Podcasts about equity markets

The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present Facts and Truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for What's Next in these increasingly turbulent times. To access our premium content, subscribe to the Trends Journal: https://trendsjournal.com/subscribe Follow Gerald Celente on Twitter: http://twitter.com/geraldcelente Follow Gerald Celente on Facebook: http://facebook.com/gcelente Follow Gerald Celente on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/geraldcelentetrends Follow Gerald Celente on Gab: http://gab.com/geraldcelente Copyright © 2025 Trends Research Institute. All rights reserved.

In this episode, we talk a lot about the job market, which is anything but hot, and its implications for the Fed, which is under pressure. All of the below tend to support President Trump's criticism of Powell being “too late”: weakening job growth this summer (only +22k jobs in August, mostly in health care). likelihood of significant negative revisions this week. unemployment that would be over 5% if not for lower labor force participation. Although unemployment is not an issue (yet), the risk in the labor market is a dearth of new jobs, with the odds of finding a job if you lose on today only 45%, the lowest level in over 12 years. We believe that AI is having an outsized effect on job openings, especially at the entry level. All of these factors, along with a shift away from a focus on inflation by the Fed, support the market's consensus view of a rate cut being on tap for next week, with two or three more likely to follow in quick succession. Historically, this has been a positive for equity markets if (and that is a big if) a recession can be avoided. the Fed has cut rates after an extended pause (like the one we are in now) eight times in the last forty years; four times we avoided a recession, and markets gained, on average, around 15%. the other four times, we entered a recession, with markets typically experiencing a 10-15% drawdown. Although there are some parallels between now and the late 1990s, valuations are not quite as stretched at the top, with the median P/E of the top 10 stocks around 31x versus a 41x multiple in 1999. However, investor allocation to equites is now at 55%, above its prior peak in 1999. We also discuss the reasons why, despite Fed rate cuts, the all important 10-year yield may not cooperate. Chief among these are the lagged impact of tariffs on prices and the relatively high (and growing) level of U.S. government debt. Will the U.S. be forced to suppress yields a la the bank of Japan in order to unlock the housing market, and is that what is causing tempers to flare between members of the administration? Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting www.formidableam.com.

On this episode, Shiv Narayanan interviews Andy Lund, Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Primary Capital Advisory at Houlihan Lokey, to discuss strategies for private equity firms navigating today's challenging fundraising and liquidity environment.Andy shares insights on how GPs can differentiate themselves in a crowded market, leveraging tools like secondary transactions, continuation vehicles, and direct investments to address LP liquidity demands. He explores the impact of macroeconomic shifts, including geopolitical uncertainties and tariffs, on M&A and fundraising, and highlights the growing importance of operational value-add and AI integration to drive enterprise value.The conversation also covers the evolving dynamics of the private equity landscape, from the rise of next-gen firms to the challenges faced by mid-market players, offering practical advice for GPs aiming to thrive in a competitive market.The information contained in this podcast is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice.

Equity markets have taken a turn this September, and it's prompted concerns among experts. Markets are softening a bit, which is a remarkably regular occurrence in September. Sam Dickie from Fisher Funds reveals what's going on. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Equity markets have taken a turn this September, and it's prompted concerns among experts. Markets are softening a bit, which is a remarkably regular occurrence in September. Sam Dickie from Fisher Funds reveals what's going on. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

US equity markets resumed trading following the Labour Day holiday long weekend and opened September in negative territory amid fresh uncertainty around tariffs - Dow down -249-points or -0.55% Nike Inc (down -3.48%) was the worst performer in the 30-stock index, while Nvidia Corp (-1.95%) led losses among the so-called ‘Magnificent Seven' cohort of mega-capitalisation technology stocks.

In this KE Report Daily Editorial (Tuesday, September 2nd), we welcome back TG Watkins, Director of Stocks at Simpler Trading and editor of the Profit Pilot. We start with the weak opening for September as the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow all pull back while the VIX spikes higher. TG shares his perspective on: Why August and September are historically weak months for equities. The impact of institutional book-squaring and seasonality (including the "Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur" effect). Whether shallow pullbacks remain buying opportunities - or if a deeper correction is needed. We also dive into precious metals, with gold nearing $3,600 and silver pushing above $41. TG breaks down the technical setups in GLD, GDX, and SIL, explaining how sideways consolidation and moving averages have set the stage for today's breakout. Finally, TG highlights opportunities he's tracking in crypto and COIN, which appear to be stabilizing after recent weakness.   Visit TG's Profit Pilot website here: https://www.profit-pilot.com/   For more analysis, check out our Substacks: The KE Report – daily market commentary and summaries. Shad's Substack – resource sector insights and trading setups.

27 Aug 2025 - Sovereign Advisors Principal Advisor Zaheer Lalani and Investment Manager Max Riaz provide a quarterly update on the markets.

US equity markets advanced as investors shrugged off President Trump's removal of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook from the central bank's board and eyed Nvidia Corp's (+1.09%) second quarter result after the closing bell of tonight's AEST session - Dow rose +136-points or +0.30%. Boeing Co (up +3.51%) was the leading performer in the 30-stock index following news that Korean Air ordered 103 of the planemaker's passenger jets.

US equity markets rebounded strongly on Friday (22 August) after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted at a near-term interest-rate cut during his Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium speech - Dow rallied +846-points or +1.89% to a record closing high of 45,631.74, marking the 30-stock indice's first record close since 4 December last year. Caterpillar Inc (+4.25) was the leading Dow component, while American Express Co (+3.57%), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (+3.62%), and Home Depot Inc (+3.79%) all gained over >3.5%. Nvidia Corp (+1.72%)  has told suppliers to suspend production of its H20 chip, according to toa report by The Information citing unnamed sources, after Beijing asked local firms to avoid using the chip tailored for the Chinese market due to security concerns. Reuters separately reported that Nvidia had asked Foxconn to suspend work related to the H20 chips.

EP 402 - Is the UK stock market dying or is it the biggest bargain in global investing? This week we welcome back investor and author Andrew Craig who argues that British equities are deeply undervalued and overlooked by international investors. From political uncertainty to structural challenges, Craig explains why the UK is seen as “on sale” - and why that could be a once-in-a-generation opportunity. We pack market misperceptions, long-term risks, and where savvy investors should be looking now. Essential listening for entrepreneurs, business leaders, and anyone questioning the future of the UK economy.*For Apple Podcast chapters, access them from the menu in the bottom right corner of your player*Spotify Video Chapters:00:00 BWB with Andrew Craig01:29 The Decline of the UK Stock Market06:08 Impact of Passive Investing on the Economy11:07 IPO Market Challenges13:01 The Role of Equity Markets in Innovation and Growth17:31 The Vicious Cycle of Economic Policies22:38 Global Comparisons and UK Economy Future34:45 The Importance of Entrepreneurial Wealth Creation38:03 The Impact of Amazon on Society39:30 The Role of Wealthy Individuals in Society41:33 Government vs. Private Sector Efficiency44:39 The Future of Technology and Innovation50:00 Challenges in the UK Infrastructure and Economy58:54 QUICKFIRE - Get To Know Andrew01:02:22 !BUSINESS or BULLSHIT QUIZ! 01:11:16 Wrap Upbusinesswithoutbullshit.meWatch and subscribe to us on YouTubeFollow us:InstagramTikTokLinkedinTwitterFacebookIf you'd like to be on the show, get in contact - mail@businesswithoutbullshit.meBWB is powered by Oury Clark

20 Aug 2025 - Sovereign Advisors Principal Advisor Zaheer Lalani and Investment Manager Max Riaz provide a quarterly update on the markets.

Major technology companies led declines on US equity markets overnight - Dow inched +10-points or +0.02% higher to 44,922.27, touching a fresh record intra-day high (45,207.39). Nvidia Corp (down -3.50%) and Boeing Co (-3.19%) both fell over >3%. Reuters reported that Nvidia could look to deliver samples of a new artificial intelligence (AI) chip, entatively known as the B30A,  to Chinese clients for testing as early as next month. Separately, there were reports that Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Jensen Huang sold 150,000 shares in the AI semiconductor giant.

US equity markets opened the week little changed  - Dow slipped -34-points or -0.08%. UnitedHealth Group Inc (up +1.47% after jumping +11.98% last Friday (15 August)) was the leading Dow component for a second session running after filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) released late last week recorded that Berkshire Hathaway Inc took a new positions in the health insurer.    The broader S&P500 dipped -0.01%, with Real Estate (down -0.95%) leading seven of the eleven primary sectors lower. Industrials and Consumer Discretionary both rose ~0.4%. Dayforce Inc (up +25.98%) was the leading performer in the S&P 500 following a report that private equity firm Thoma Bravo is in discussions to acquire the human resources software provider. First Solar Inc (+9.69%) and other solar stocks gained in the wake of new guidance from the Treasury Department on federal tax incentives for clean energy projects.

US equity markets mixed to close out a strong week as Wall Street tempered its rate-cut hopes following the latest inflation and retail sales data   - Dow added +35-points or +0.08% to 44,946.12, logging its first record intra-day high (45,203.52) since December in the opening minutes of last Friday's (15 August) session. UnitedHealth Group Inc jumped +11.98% after filings released after the close of the previous session with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recorded that Berkshire Hathaway Inc took a new positions in the health insurer.   Cisco Systems Inc (down -4.47%) was the worst performing Dow component, with HSBC downgrading the networking giant to a ‘hold' recommendation from ‘buy' following the company's fiscal fourth quarter result a day earlier.

Sasfin's David Shapiro runs us through the day's market developments, the rand, local equities reaching new highs, US interest rates, the world managing to avoid a recession amid Trump's tenure, and the oil price. SAfm Market Update - Podcasts and live stream

In this episode, Lesley Marks, Chief Investment Officer of Equities, discusses the equity market's surprising resilience, driven by strong corporate earnings, sustained buybacks, and market optimism around potential Fed rate cuts. She explores risks beneath the surface: stretched US valuations, a near-zero equity risk premium, and the concentration in mega-cap tech stocks. Lesley also touches on quality factors in corporate earnings, recent US and Canadian jobs data, and how evolving trade dynamics could shape the economic outlook ahead.  This episode was recorded on August 11, 2025.

Join Jeremy Zirin, Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of the Private Client US Equity Team with UBS Asset Management, as he shares a performance update for US equities at the midpoint of 2025. We also cover an outlook for the US economy, the ongoing impact of artificial intelligence to US equities, along with a look at equity sector themes. Host: Daniel Cassidy. Recorded on 25.07.24

My guest today is Andrew Milgram. Andrew is the founder of Marblegate Asset Management, an alternative investment firm that invests in credit opportunities and special situations. He joins me to discuss his unique approach to distressed investing in the middle market, revealing how middle market EBITDA has declined 20-25% since 2019, creating what he calls the "K-shaped economy." His investment stories are legendary, particularly his $600+ million bet on NYC taxi medallions, which we go into in great detail. We discuss Marblegate's approach to negotiation, sourcing deals directly from hundreds of regional banks, and understanding the human element in distressed situations. Please enjoy this conversation with Andrew Milgram. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ----- This episode is brought to you by⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Ramp⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Ramp's mission is to help companies manage their spend in a way that reduces expenses and frees up time for teams to work on more valuable projects. Go to⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Ramp.com/invest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ to sign up for free and get a $250 welcome bonus. – This episode is brought to you by⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Ridgeline⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Ridgeline has built a complete, real-time, modern operating system for investment managers. It handles trading, portfolio management, compliance, customer reporting, and much more through an all-in-one real-time cloud platform. Head to⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ridgelineapps.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ to learn more about the platform. – This episode is brought to you by⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ AlphaSense⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. AlphaSense has completely transformed the research process with cutting-edge AI technology and a vast collection of top-tier, reliable business content. Invest Like the Best listeners can get a free trial now at⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Alpha-Sense.com/Invest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and experience firsthand how AlphaSense and Tegus help you make smarter decisions faster. ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://thepodcastconsultant.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠). Show Notes: (00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like the Best (00:04:58) Understanding the K-Shaped Economy (00:07:08) Middle Market Challenges and Data Insights (00:16:56) Distressed Investing Explained (00:25:06) The Taxi Medallion Investment Story (00:46:46) Navigating New York's Taxi Medallion System (00:47:17) Building Relationships with Regulators and Unions (00:50:22) Taking the Taxi Operation Public (00:51:26) The Future of Autonomous Vehicles and Medallions (00:54:30) Investment Strategies and Risk Management (00:58:41) Negotiation Principles and Human Drama (01:11:55) Personal Reflections and Formative Experiences (01:17:22) The State of the American Economy (01:23:29) Insights on Private Credit and Equity Markets (01:30:39) Future of Asset Management (01:33:16) The Kindest Thing Anyone Has Done For Andrew

Stephen Grootes is in conversation with Dr Leila Fourie, CEO of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, unpacking the latest interim results. They explore what the numbers reveal about the health of South Africa’s capital markets, the trends shaping investor sentiment, and how the JSE is navigating a challenging economic landscape marked by subdued listings, global uncertainty, and structural reforms. The Money Show is a podcast hosted by well-known journalist and radio presenter, Stephen Grootes. He explores the latest economic trends, business developments, investment opportunities, and personal finance strategies. Each episode features engaging conversations with top newsmakers, industry experts, financial advisors, entrepreneurs, and politicians, offering you thought-provoking insights to navigate the ever-changing financial landscape.    Thank you for listening to a podcast from The Money Show Listen live Primedia+ weekdays from 18:00 and 20:00 (SA Time) to The Money Show with Stephen Grootes broadcast on 702 https://buff.ly/gk3y0Kj and CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show, go to https://buff.ly/7QpH0jY or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/PlhvUVe Subscribe to The Money Show Daily Newsletter and the Weekly Business Wrap here https://buff.ly/v5mfetc The Money Show is brought to you by Absa     Follow us on social media   702 on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TalkRadio702 702 on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@talkradio702 702 on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/talkradio702/ 702 on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk 702 on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@radio702   CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/Radio702 CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Stay ahead of the curve with this week's market and economic wrap podcast. In this episode, Trevor Garvin dives into the latest developments, including the implementation of US tariffs and their impact on South Africa, a significant repo rate cut by the SARB, and key movements in the global market. Discover insights on currency shifts, commodity trends, and the political events making the headlines, from local enquiries into police corruption to border conflicts in Asia and new defence strategies in the Middle East. Whether you're an investor or just looking to stay informed, this episode breaks down what you need to know to navigate today's turbulent economic landscape. LinkedIn · YouTube

President Trump's team delivered more tariff surprises ahead of the weekend with conditions worsening for both Canada and Switzerland. Then the jobs data delivered some ugly news for the US economy, with severe downward revisions to May and June's data which saw the bearer of the tidings - the commissioner of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics – lose her job. Added to this, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler announced her early departure from office, leaving the President with two new job announcements to make. It's therefore no surprise that equity markets fell, and US treasuries rallied, as markets more than doubled their previous day's bet on a September rate cut to 87.5%. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, joins the podcast today to provide insights into how the tariff news might impact Swiss investors as he discusses rates, the Swiss franc and Swiss equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (06:58) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:50) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Smart Calls with Smartkarma | Mid Cap Momentum: Picking Winners in India's Equity Market29.4% return. 90% hit rate. What's the framework behind it?Pranav Rao speaks with Dr. Manishi Raychaudhuri, who shares his three-pronged quant screen for identifying high-conviction mid-caps: • Future earnings CAGR >10% • PEG < 1.3 • Upgraded earnings + consensus buysThematic overlays (industrials, financials, healthcare) helped drive alpha—and reduce noise.Like what you heard? Share this episode and follow us for more Smart Calls.Read the full Insight - http://on.skr.ma/4fhK47BDr. Manishi Raychaudhuri - http://on.skr.ma/454sUHfThis podcast is provided for general informational and entertainment purposes only, and is not intended to provide financial, investment or other professional advice. Views expressed by third parties do not necessarily represent Smartkarma's views. Smartkarma assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy, compliance or completeness of the podcast or the information it contains. Users should not rely on the podcast or the information it contains when making individual, business or other strategic decisions and should always consult a qualified expert or professional adviser.

Today, we look at the downdraft in the euro and European stocks yesterday and wonder if this is merely a kneejerk reaction to the EU-US trade deal or the start of something bigger. We also run down a few big movers in the US yesterday as the AI theme remains strong in the "shovel" space in AI (those who make the hardware driving AI data centers). Finally, we use Visa's valuation to demonstrate the rich valuation in US equities, look at levels for major Euro crosses and gold and silver, break down the US macro data up today and more. Today's pod hosted by John J. Hardy, Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy. Link to John's substack for more links to Saxo and other content. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Despite the uncertainty about tariffs, equity markets have been strong around the world, putting the early April declines behind them. This has coincided with a weaker US dollar and a stronger gold price, says Chris Holdsworth, Chief Investment Strategist, Investec Wealth & Investment International. Investec Focus Radio SA

This week, we speak with Frederik Carstensen (Equity Strategist) about the development of global equity markets in 2025: What has driven the markets in the first half of 2025? What opportunities and risks lie ahead for investors?DISCLAIMER This publication is for information- and marketing purposes only. The provided information is not legally binding and neither constitutes a financial analysis, nor an offer for investment-transactions or an investment advice and does not substitute any legal, tax or financial advice. Bergos AG does not accept any liability for the accuracy, correctness or completeness of the information. Bergos AG excludes any liability for the realisation of forecasts or other statements contained in the publication. The reproduction in part or in full without prior written permission of Bergos is not permitted.

What's driving equities now – and what are investors most focused on? Lou Miller, Global Head of Equity Custom Baskets in Goldman Sachs Global Banking & Markets, discusses with Chris Hussey.   Recorded on July 10, 2025. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

BUSINESS: Global asset managers investing in China equity market | July 9, 2025Visit our website at https://www.manilatimes.netFollow us:Facebook - https://tmt.ph/facebookInstagram - https://tmt.ph/instagramTwitter - https://tmt.ph/twitterDailyMotion - https://tmt.ph/dailymotionSubscribe to our Digital Edition - https://tmt.ph/digitalSign up to our newsletters: https://tmt.ph/newslettersCheck out our Podcasts:Spotify - https://tmt.ph/spotifyApple Podcasts - https://tmt.ph/applepodcastsAmazon Music - https://tmt.ph/amazonmusicDeezer: https://tmt.ph/deezerStitcher: https://tmt.ph/stitcherTune In: https://tmt.ph/tunein#TheManilaTimes Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Join Jeff Hans, Portfolio Manager with UBS Asset Management, as he shares a performance update for US equities. We also cover an outlook for growth v. value, the ongoing impact of artificial intelligence to US technology stocks, along with takeaways from recent investor conferences. Recorded on 25.06.18

In today's episode of The Daily Voice, Sam reviews the main headlines from yesterday and previews the day ahead.

With market volatility front of mind in 2025, we explore equity market concentration risk and what can be done to mitigate it. Our speakers are Aude Martin, Head of Pooled Index Investment Specialists, and Andrzej Pioch, a Fund Manager specialising in multi-asset strategies in our Asset Allocation team. All data from Bloomberg as at 5 June 2025 unless otherwise stated.  For professional investors only. Capital at risk. Past performance is not a guide to the future. It should be noted that diversification is no guarantee against a loss in a declining market. Securities are mentioned for illustrative purposes only. Reference to a particular security is on a historic basis and does not mean that the security is currently held or will be held within an L&G portfolio. The above information does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Assumptions, opinions, and estimates are provided for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass.

In this episode of 'This Week in Futures Options,' Mark Longo and Russell Rhoads (Indiana University - Kelley School of Business) dive deep into the world of futures and options trading, specifically focusing on the metal markets like silver, gold, and platinum. The discussion highlights the recent significant moves in the precious metals sector, with silver showing a substantial uptrend. The conversation shifts to copper and natural gas, with attention paid to their volatile trading volumes and market trends. Notably, the episode touches on the energy sector, particularly WTI crude oil, discussing its price movements and market factors. The episode also features a brief dive into the equity index space, analyzing the latest volatility trends and what to expect leading up to key economic announcements. Listeners are also updated on different trading strategies and the importance of skew in understanding market biases. 01:03 Welcome to This Week in Futures Options 03:46 Guest Introduction: Russell Rhodes 05:00 Movers and Shakers Report 11:50 Deep Dive into Silver and Gold 28:07 Exploring Platinum Trends 30:08 Analyzing Open Interest and Volume 30:36 Diving into Platinum and Copper Markets 31:16 Copper's Economic Indicators and Market Trends 32:10 Copper Options and Market Sentiment 35:46 Palladium and Transition to Energy Markets 36:44 Exploring Natural Gas Market Dynamics 43:36 Crude Oil Market Analysis 49:03 Equity Markets and Volatility Insights 54:22 Concluding Remarks and Upcoming Content  

In this episode of 'This Week in Futures Options,' Mark Longo and Russell Rhoads (Indiana University - Kelley School of Business) dive deep into the world of futures and options trading, specifically focusing on the metal markets like silver, gold, and platinum. The discussion highlights the recent significant moves in the precious metals sector, with silver showing a substantial uptrend. The conversation shifts to copper and natural gas, with attention paid to their volatile trading volumes and market trends. Notably, the episode touches on the energy sector, particularly WTI crude oil, discussing its price movements and market factors. The episode also features a brief dive into the equity index space, analyzing the latest volatility trends and what to expect leading up to key economic announcements. Listeners are also updated on different trading strategies and the importance of skew in understanding market biases. 01:03 Welcome to This Week in Futures Options 03:46 Guest Introduction: Russell Rhodes 05:00 Movers and Shakers Report 11:50 Deep Dive into Silver and Gold 28:07 Exploring Platinum Trends 30:08 Analyzing Open Interest and Volume 30:36 Diving into Platinum and Copper Markets 31:16 Copper's Economic Indicators and Market Trends 32:10 Copper Options and Market Sentiment 35:46 Palladium and Transition to Energy Markets 36:44 Exploring Natural Gas Market Dynamics 43:36 Crude Oil Market Analysis 49:03 Equity Markets and Volatility Insights 54:22 Concluding Remarks and Upcoming Content  

Amid market doubts over the US's exceptionalism, where can investors seeking diversification turn? Is a ‘re-awakened' Europe an alternative? In this edition, Nadia Grant, Head of Global Equities, shares her views and investment ideas with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains how his outlook on earnings and valuations give him a constructive view on U.S. equities for the next 12 months.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Mike Wilson: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll discuss where there is the most push back to our Mid-year outlook and why I remain convicted in our generally constructive view on U.S. equities for the next 12 months.It's Monday, June 2nd at 11:30am in New York.So, let's get after it.To briefly summarize our outlook, we have maintained our 6500 12-month price target for the S&P 500 this year despite what has been a very volatile first five months – both in terms of news flow and price action. Part of the reason we didn't change this view stems from the fact that we expected the first half to be challenging for U.S. stocks but to be followed by a more favorable second half. Much of this was related to our view that the new administration would pursue the growth negative part of their policy agenda first. This played out -- with their focus on immigration enforcement, spending cutbacks and tariffs. In addition to these policy adjustments, we also expected AI capex to decelerate in the first half after such fast growth last year. All of these factors conspired to weigh on both economic growth and earnings revisions.Second, the way in which tariffs were rolled out on Liberation Day was a shock to most market participants, including us, and served as the perfect catalyst for what can only be described as capitulation selling by many institutional investors. That capitulation has set the stage for the very reflexive snap back in equity prices that is also supported by a positive rate of change on policy, earnings revisions breadth, financial conditions and a weaker U.S. dollar.The main push back to our views centers on our constructive earnings outlook for high single digit growth both this year and next and our view that valuations can remain elevated at 21.5x forward Earnings. On the earnings front, our calendar year earnings estimates already incorporate a mid-single-digit percent hit to bottoms-up consensus forecasts. Second, our Leading Earnings Indicator which projects Earnings Per Share growth 12 months out is suggesting a sideways consolidation in growth in the high single-digit range over the next year.Third, a weaker dollar, elements of the tax bill and AI-driven productivity should be incremental tailwinds for earnings that are not in our model. Fourth, we have experienced rolling recessions for many sectors of the private economy for the last 3 years, which makes growth comparisons easier. Finally, and most importantly, the rate of change on earnings revisions breadth has inflected higher from a very low level after a year-long downturn. On valuation, our work shows that if earnings growth is above the long-term median of 7 percent and if the fed funds rate is down on a year-over-year basis, it's very rare to see multiple compression. In fact, Price Earnings multiples have expanded 90 percent of the time under these conditions to the tune of 9 percent over a 12- month period. Therefore, in some ways we're being conservative with our forecast for the S&P 500's price earnings ratio to remain flat at current levels over the next year.With respect to our favorite valuation metric, the equity risk premium, it's interesting to note that in the week following Liberation Day, the Equity Risk Premium reached the same level we witnessed in the aftermath of the 9-11 shock in 2001 and even exceeded the risk premium reached during the Long-Term Capital Management crisis in 1998. Both episodes resulted in 20 percent corrections to the S&P 500 much like we experienced this year only to be followed by very strong equity markets over the next year.The bottom line is that I remain convicted in both our earnings forecast for high single digit earnings growth for this year and next; and my view that valuations can remain elevated in this classic late cycle expansion of slower economic growth that typically elicits interest rate cuts from the Fed.Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review; and if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

Bob Carey discusses his long-term outlook for equity markets as the baby boom generation ages.  He also weighs in on potential near-term drivers of equity market performance, including tariffs, regulations, and the “one big, beautiful bill”.----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Subscribe Here to the ROI Podcast & other First Trust Market News Website: First Trust PortfoliosConnect with us on LinkedIn: First Trust LinkedInFollow us on X: First Trust on XSubscribe to the First Trust YouTube ChannelSubscribe to the ROI Podcast YouTube Channel

After two years of full steam ahead for U.S. equity markets, 2025 has so far featured a number of speed bumps and even a few U-turns for some key areas of the market. With continued market volatility and a stock market correction, how should investors be thinking about the U.S. equity market as compared with the rest of the world?Carrie King, U.S. and Developed Markets Chief Investment Officer for BlackRock's Fundamental Equities group will discuss market volatility, rotations and the state of the U.S. equity market.Sources: Q2 Equities Outlook, BlackRock 2025Check out the full series covering tariffs and market volatility on The Bid: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/3iiZbbNz3eI08zXGZ4n3LI?si=TNiOrYRoSxyXVsbwsBs68QKey moments in this episode:00:00 Introduction to Market Volatility and The Equity Landscape02:00 Recap of Previous Discussion and Market Trends03:48 Broadening of the Equity Markets04:27 US vs. Global Market Performance05:13 Drivers of Market Rotation and Volatility06:28 Fundamental Shifts in the Market09:15 European Market Outperformance12:11 US Exceptionalism and Future Outlook15:11 Health of US Corporations and Consumers18:14 Investor Sentiment and Future Outlook19:20 Conclusion and Investor Takeaways

Global trade tensions have eased after a steadying in U.S. policy shifts, leading our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson to make a more bullish case for the second half of 2025.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast, I will discuss recent developments on tariffs and interest rates, and how it affects our 12 month view for U.S. Equities.It's Friday, May 23rd at 9am in New York.So, let's get after it.The reduction in the headline tariff rate on China from 145 percent to 30 percent extended the rally in stocks last week and should help to support both corporate and consumer confidence. More importantly, the 90-day détente came at a critical juncture, in my view, as a few more weeks of what was essentially a trade embargo would have likely led to a recession.Equity market volatility also subsided considerably amid the decline in trade policy uncertainty. In fact, both measures peaked well before the deal with China came together and are now back below where they were pre-Liberation Day. To me, this means trade headwinds have likely peaked in rate of change terms and are unlikely to return to such levels again. This would fit with the capitulatory price action we saw in early April with the average stock in the S&P 500 experiencing a 30 percent drawdown. In short, while the lagging hard data is likely to come in softer over the next coming months, the equity market already priced it in April. In the event of a recession that still arrives, we think the April lows will still hold, assuming it's a mild one with manageable risk to credit and funding markets.As further support for stocks, earnings revisions breadth appears to have bottomed. This indicator has leading properties in terms of the direction of earnings forecasts and is an important gauge of corporate confidence, in our view. The combination of upside momentum in revision breadth and last week's deal with China has placed the S&P 500 firmly back in our original pre-Liberation Day first half range of 5500-6100. Having said that, we think continued upward progress in earnings revisions breadth into positive territory will be necessary to break through 6100 in the near term, given the stickiness of 10-year Treasury yields.Amidst these developments, we released our mid -year outlook earlier this week and updated our base, bear and bull case targets for the S&P 500. In short, we effectively pushed out the timing of our original 6500 price target for the end of this year to 12 months from today. This is mainly due to a less dovish Fed and therefore higher 10-year Treasury yields than our economists and rates strategists expected at the end of last year. We also trimmed our EPS forecasts modestly to adjust for higher than expected tariff rates, at least for now.Looking ahead, we are more bullish today than we were at the end of last year given the growth negative policy announcements are now behind us and the Fed's next move is likely to be multiple cuts. In short, the rate of change on earnings revisions breadth, interest rates and policy changes from the administration are all now pointing in a positive direction, the opposite of six months ago and why I was not bullish on the first half of this year.The near-term risk for U.S. equities remains very overbought conditions and interest rates. With the Fed on hold due to lingering inflation concerns and Moody's downgrade of U.S. Treasury debt last Friday, 10-year Treasury yields are back above 4.5 percent; the level where the correlation between equities and rates tends to move back into negative territory. Ultimately, we think the Treasury and Fed have tools they can and will use to manage this risk. However, in the short term, this is a potential catalyst for the S&P 500 to take a break and even lead to a 5 percent correction. We would look to add equity risk into such a correction should it materialize given our bullish 6-12-month view.Thanks for tuning in. I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review; and if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

It's been quite a ride for equity markets this year. Uncertainty and volatility hit a fever pitch in the weeks following President Trump's sweeping tariff announcement in April as investors feared the potential for rising inflation, slow economic growth, and US assets, losing their aura of dominance. Tony DeSpirito, global CIO for BlackRock's Fundamental Equities Group, joins host Oscar Pulido to help make sense of recent market turmoil from an equity perspective where he sees opportunities amidst the volatility and what history tells us to expect as we look ahead to the rest of the year.Sources: Equity Market Outlook Q2 2025, BlackRock; BlackRock Fundamental Equities, with data from Morningstar & Bloomberg as of April 30, 2025;Check out the full series covering tariffs and market volatility on The Bid: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/3iiZbbNz3eI08zXGZ4n3LI?si=TNiOrYRoSxyXVsbwsBs68QKey moments in this episode:00:00 Stock Market Turmoil and Recovery01:22 Tony DeSpirito Gives His Q2 Outlook04:15 Historical Equity Markets Volatility06:53 Where Equity Opportunities in Volatile Markets Lie12:55 Global Market Comparisons17:34 Final Thoughts and Investor Considerations

Today, we check in on the technical status of the US equity market, noting meanwhile that leading versus coincident indicators on the economy have yawned to one of their greatest divergences in the past 50 years, something that usually coincides with trouble. Thoughts on make or break time for Tesla, geopolitics, FX, US treasuries and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.   Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

As equity markets catch their breath, Brad Conger says valuations are stretched, making it a challenging trade-off for investors. He's overweight European stocks on a non-hedged basis and underweight the U.S. dollar, which he believes could be a risk-off currency. Conger is also finding defensive positions in his investment portfolios, including pharmaceuticals like Novo Nordisk (NOVO) and safe fixed income.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Who stands to be the biggest loser if free trade starts to unwind? Who stands to gain? Chief Market Strategist Troy A. Gayeski, CFA dives into his latest strategy note on how investors can respond to tariff-induced volatility.  Troy joins Content Strategist Harrison Beck to outline his framework for understanding the current, trade war-inflected environment. He examines what a “Galactic Mean Reversion” means for equities, how U.S. consumer and bank strength is challenging recession narratives and how investors can prepare for what may come next.  “The thing to remember is that pockets of dislocation and uncertainty are often where you find your best investment opportunities.” –Troy A. GayeskiResources:The Galactic Mean Reversion Part II: Trade wars are not good for S&P 500 profit margins Domestic resilience in vogue amid selloffHave a question for our experts? Text us for a chance to have your questions answered on the next episode.To watch the video version, go to https://www.youtube.com/@FSInvestments For more research insights go to FSInvestments.com https://bit.ly/m/fsinvestments

Hear views on the US equity markets from Jeremy Zirin, Senior Portfolio Manager of the House View Equity Portfolios, and Head of the Private Client US Equity Team, and Dominic Schagar, Senior Equity Investment Specialist.

Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg, discusses the current state of the commodity market, focusing on oil, agriculture, copper, and gold. He highlights the volatility in oil prices, the challenges faced by U.S. farmers, the dynamics of the copper market, and the resilience of gold as a safe haven investment amidst economic uncertainty. McGlone emphasizes the need for a significant market shift to trigger a new commodity super cycle, while also addressing the implications of global economic trends on commodity prices.

Good evening: The show begins in the unhappy and unpredictable bond and equity markets.... OCTOBER 1958 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9-915 #Markets: Japan Goes First. Liz Peek, The Hill, Fox News and Fox Business 915-930 #Markets: Rallying Point Booker. Liz Peek, The Hill, Fox News and Fox Business 930-945 #Berlin: SPD Outpolls the CDU. Judy Dempsey, Senior Scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Berlin 945-1000 #Berlin: Coalition of the Willing. Judy Dempsey, Senior Scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Berlin SECOND HOUR 10-1015 #MrMarket: Another Down Bear Day. Brett "Break the Glass" Arends 1015-1030 #Serbia: Vucic on the Ropes. Ivana Stradner, FDD 1030-1045 #Moscow: Seeking Cooperation in the Middle East. Ekaterina Zolotova, @GPFutures 1045-1100 #Russia: Sanctioning Oil $20. Michael Bernstam, Hoover Institution THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 #LondonCalling: EU Has Tools to Prosper. @JosephSternberg @WSJopinion 1115-1130#LondonCalling: China and Short Term Fixes. @JosephSternberg @WSJopinion 1130-1145 #Hezbollah: Reorganizing. David Daoud, Bill Roggio, FDD 1145-1200 #Houthis: And the Oman Talks with Iran. David Daoud, Bill Roggio, FDD FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 PRC: Weakness, Threats. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs 1215-1230 PRC: Farewell Xi. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs 1230-1245 POTUS: Firing the "Subversion." Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs 1245-100 AM King Charles Report: In Rome. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs at Nero's Coliseum

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains the stock market tumble and whether investors can hope for a rally.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing the recent Equity Market correction and what to look for next. It's Monday, March 17th at 11:30am in New York. So let's get after it. Major U.S. equity Indices are as oversold as they've been since 2022. Sentiment, positioning gauges are bearish, and seasonals improve in the second half of March for earnings revisions and price. Furthermore, recent dollar weakness should provide a tailwind to first quarter earnings season and second quarter guidance, particularly relative to the fourth quarter results; and the decline in rates should benefit economic surprises. In short, I stand by our view that 5,500 on the S&P 500 should provide support for a tradable rally led by lower quality, higher beta stocks that have sold off the most, and it looks like it may have started on Friday. The more important question is whether such a rally is likely to extend into something more durable and mark the end of the volatility we've seen YTD? The short answer is – probably not. First, from a technical standpoint there has been significant damage to the major indices—more than what we witnessed in recent 10 per cent corrections, like last summer. More specifically, the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 1000 growth and value indices have all traded straight through their respective 200-day moving averages, making these levels now resistance, rather than support. Meanwhile, many stocks are closer to a 20 per cent correction with the lower quality Russell 2000 falling below its 200 week moving average for the first time since the 2022 bear market. At a minimum, this kind of technical damage will take time to repair, even if we don't get additional price degradation at the index level. In order to forecast a larger, sustainable recovery, it's important to acknowledge what's really been driving this correction. From my conversations with institutional investors, there appears to be a lot of focus on the tariff announcements and other rapid-fire policy announcements from the new administration. While these factors are weighing on sentiment and confidence, other factors started this correction in December. In our year ahead outlook, we forecasted a tougher first half of the year for several reasons. First, stocks were extended on a valuation basis and relative to the key macro and fundamental drivers like earnings revisions, which peaked in early December. Second, the Fed went on hold in mid-December after aggressively cutting rates by 100 basis points over the prior three months. Third, we expected AI capex growth to decelerate this year and investors now have the DeepSeek development to consider. Add in immigration enforcement, the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) exceeding expectations, and tariffs – and it's no surprise that growth expectations are hitting equities in the form of lower multiples. As noted, we highlighted these growth headwinds in December and have been citing a first half range for the S&P 500 of 5500-6100 with a preference for large cap quality. Finally, President Trump has recently indicated he is not focused on the stock market in the near term as a barometer of his policies and agenda. Perhaps more than anything else, this is what led to the most recent technical breakdown in the S&P 500. In my view, it will take more than just an oversold market to get more than a tradable rally. Earnings revisions are the most important variable and while we could see some seasonal strength or stabilization in revisions, we believe it will take a few quarters for this factor to resume a positive uptrend. As noted in our outlook, the growth-positive policy changes like tax cuts, de-regulation, less crowding out and lower yields could arrive later in the second half of the year – but we think that's too far away for the market to contemplate for now. Finally, while the Trump put apparently doesn't exist, the Fed put is alive and well, in our view. However, that will likely require conditions to get worse either on growth, especially labor, or in the credit and funding market, neither of which would be equity-positive, initially. Bottom line, a short-term rally from our targeted 5500 level is looking more likely after Friday's price action. It's also being led by lower quality stocks. This helps support my secondary view that the current rally is unlikely to lead to new highs until the numerous growth headwinds are reversed or monetary policy is loosened once again. The transition from a government heavy economy to one that is more privately driven should ultimately be better for many stocks. But the path is going to take time and it is unlikely to be smooth. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the podcast, leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

Today's guest is Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs' Chief Global Equity Strategist and Head of Macro Research. He's also the author of Any Happy Returns: Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Markets, which explains how cycles help explain investor returns. In today's episode, Peter discusses how structural changes in macroeconomic drivers, geopolitics, government policy and social attitudes all combine to drive secular super cycles that help to explain investor returns. Then he focuses on what he calls the Post-Modern Cycle and how AI and de-carbonization may impact financial market returns and opportunities. Throughout the episode, Peter emphasizes the need for diversification in investment strategies to both manage risk and enhance returns. (0:00) Starts (1:02) Introduction of Peter Oppenheimer (2:22) The Four Phases of the Equity Cycle (10:17) Thoughts on The US Market Today (17:23) European Banks vs. US Tech Stocks (20:32) Diversification and Sector Dominance in Equity Markets (23:35) Long-term Structural Changes in Markets (34:23) Personal and National Influences on Investing (44:37) AI and Technological Investment Opportunities (51:46) Valuation Cycles: China and the US (58:02) Most Memorable Investment ----- For detailed show notes, click here ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategy Mike Wilson suggests that stock, factor and sector selection remain key to portfolio performance.----- Listener Survey -----Complete a short listener survey at http://www.morganstanley.com/podcast-survey and help us make the podcast even more valuable for you. For every survey completed, Morgan Stanley will donate $25 to the Feeding America® organization to support their important work.----- Transcript -----Hi, I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Before we get into today's episode, the team behind Thoughts on the Market wants your thoughts and your input. Fill out our listener survey and help us make this podcast even more valuable for you. The link is in the show notes.Plus, help us help the Feeding America organization. For every survey completed, Morgan Stanley will donate $25 towards their important work.Thanks for your time and the support. On to the show… Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing equities in the context of higher rates and weaker earnings revisions. It's Tuesday, Feb 18th at 11:30am in New York. So let's get after it.Since early December, the S&P 500 has made little headway. The almost unimpeded run from the summer was halted by a few things but none as important as the rise in 10-year Treasury yields, in my view. In December, we cited 4 to 4.5 percent as the sweet spot for equity multiples assuming growth and earnings remained on track. We viewed 4.5 percent as a key level for equity valuations. And sure enough, when the Fed leaned less dovish at its December meeting, yields crossed that 4.5 percent threshold; and correlations between stocks and yields settled firmly in negative territory, where they remain. In other words, yields are no longer supportive of higher valuations—a key driver of returns the past few years. Instead, earnings are now the primary driver of returns and that is likely to remain the case for the foreseeable future. While the Fed was already increasingly less dovish, the uncertainty on tariffs and last week's inflation data could further that shift with the bond market moving to just one cut for the rest of the year. Our official call is in line with that view with our economists now just looking for just one cut–in June. It depends on how the inflation and growth data roll in. Our strategy has shifted, too. With the S&P 500 reaching our tactical target of 6100 in December and earnings revision breadth now rolling over for the index, we have been more focused on sectors and factors. In particular, we've favored areas of the market showing strong earnings revisions on an absolute or relative basis.Financials, Media and Entertainment, Software over Semiconductors and Consumer Services over Goods continue to fit that bill. Within Defensives, we have favored Utilities over Staples, REITs and Healthcare. While we've seen outperformance in all these trades, we are sticking with them, for now. We maintain an overriding preference for Large-cap quality unless 10-year Treasury yields fall sustainably below 4.5 percent without a meaningful degradation in growth. The key component of 10-year yields to watch for equity valuations remains the term premium – which has come down, but is still elevated compared to the past few years. Other macro developments driving stock prices include the very active policy announcements from the White House including tariffs, immigration enforcement, and cost cutting efforts by the Department of Government Efficiency, also known as DOGE. For tariffs, we believe they will be more of an idiosyncratic event for equity markets. However, if tariffs were to be imposed and maintained on China, Mexico and Canada through 2026, the impact to earnings-per-share would be roughly 5-7 percent for the S&P 500. That's not an insignificant reduction and likely one of the reasons why guidance this past quarter was more muted than fourth quarter results. Industries facing greater headwinds from China tariffs include consumer discretionary goods and electronics. Lower immigration flow and stock is more likely to affect aggregate demand than to be a wage cost headwind, at least for public companies. Finally, skepticism remains high as it relates to DOGE's ability to cut Federal spending meaningfully. I remain more optimistic on that front, but realize greater success also presents a headwind to growth before it provides a tailwind via lower fiscal deficits and less crowding out of the private economy—things that could lead to more Fed cuts and lower long-term interest rates as term premium falls. Bottom line, higher backend rates and growth headwinds from the stronger dollar and the initial policy changes suggest equity multiples are capped for now. That means stock, factor and sector selection remains key to performance rather than simply adding beta to one's portfolio. On that score, we continue to favor earnings revision breadth, quality, and size factors alongside financials, software, media/entertainment and consumer services at the industry level. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the podcast, help us make it even more valuable to you. Share your feedback on the show at morganstanley.com/podcast-survey or head to the episode notes for the survey link.