POPULARITY
Eddie Ghabour shares his key takeaways from recent market action, warning that stronger inflation and economic growth could push the 10-year treasury yield higher and trigger market correction this summer. He identifies small-cap stocks as one of the most vulnerable areas of the market and explains how investors should navigate the current environment. Eddie also discusses what he's watching for next in the software trade.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Welcome to the final pre-summer episode of the recurring podcast "Trading Tips with Jim", where market predictions and investment strategies are shared. In Episode 23, we unpack the macroeconomic forces signaling a major shift from inflation to a potential period of heavy deflation. With AI driving unprecedented business efficiency and oil prices poised for a potential steep drop to $40, the global market is bracing for a dramatic change.In this episode, I walk you through my recent portfolio rebalancing. We discuss why I am taking profits on tech giants like NVIDIA and Tesla, and rotating into undervalued consumer stocks like Dollar General and American Airlines. We also look at the geopolitical factors pushing the US Dollar higher against the Euro, and what this means for European GDP and global markets moving forward.Finally, we will review my recent struggles with Bitcoin trend changes, and check in on the $1,000 challenge launched in 2024 where personal stock purchases are tracked publicly.Key Highlights:The Macro Outlook: The transition from a super-inflationary period to potential deflation.Tech & AI: The impact of AI efficiency on market valuations and why I exited NVDA and TSLA.The Consumer Shift: My three-step buying strategy behind DG, AAL, Starbucks, and Chipotle.Global Economy: The strengthening US Dollar versus European political and economic stagnation.Crypto Reality Check: Navigating Bitcoin's recent drop to $73,000.Portfolio Tracking: An update on the public $1,000 challenge tracking personal stock purchases.Disclaimer: As the Founder and CEO of the financial analysis platform Stockinvest.us, I remind all listeners that trading involves a high risk of losing money. Please speak with a financial advisor before buying or selling any securities. Do not base your investment decisions solely on this podcast.Investing, Stock Market, Trading Tips with Jim, Deflation, AI Stocks, NVIDIA, Tesla, Bitcoin, Oil Prices, Market Correction, Consumer Stocks, Stockinvest.us, Personal Finance, Trading Strategies, Business News
Australia's housing market is showing early signs of moderation, with softer auction results and growing caution among buyers. However, economists say the country's ongoing housing shortage, population growth and limited supply are preventing a major property crash scenario. Here's what current market conditions could mean for investors, homeowners and first-home buyers. You can have your say by leaving a voice message ► https://www.speakpipe.com/realestateradio ► Website: https://aussierealestatepodcast.lovable.app ► Subscribe here to never miss an episode: https://www.podbean.com/user-xyelbri7gupo ► INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/therealestatepodcast/?hl=en ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100070592715418 ► Email: myrealestatepodcast@gmail.com The latest real estate news, trends and predictions for Brisbane, Adelaide, Canberra, Gold Coast, Sydney, Melbourne and Perth. Gold Coast Real Estate, Adelaide Property Market, Luxury Real Estate Australia, Property Investment Podcast, Real Estate Trends 2026, Median Price Growth. We include home buying tips, commercial real estate, property market analysis and real estate investment strategies. Including real estate trends, finance and real estate agents and brokers. Plus real estate law and regulations, and real estate development insights. And real estate investing for first home buyers, real estate market reports and real estate negotiation skills. We include Hobart, Darwin, Hervey Bay, the Sunshine Coast, Newcastle, Central Coast, Wollongong, Geelong, Townsville, Cairns, Ballarat, Bendigo, Launceston, Mackay, Rockhampton, Coffs Harbour. #PropertyInvestment #RealEstateInvesting #FirstTimeInvestor #PropertyManagement #RentalYields #CapitalGrowth #RealEstateFinance #InvestorAdvice #PropertyPortfolio #RealEstateStrategies #sydneyproperty #Melbourneproperty #brisbaneproperty #perthproperty #adelaideproperty #canberraproperty #PerthRealEstate #hobartproperty #RealEstate #RealEstateNews #MortgageTips #PropertyMarket #FinanceAustralia #BrisbaneInvesting #RealEstateDevelopment #adelaide #PerthRealEstate #FirstHomeBuyer #AustralianProperty #AustralianRealEstate #PropertyMarketUpdate #MortgageAustralia #FinanceTips #HousingAffordability #RealEstateTrends #AussieProperty #MortgageRates #HomeLoans #PropertyMarket #MortgageTips #InterestRates #BrisbaneProperty #QLDRealEstate #PropertyInvestment #AustralianHousingMarket #AdelaideProperty #AdelaideRealEstate #InvestInAdelaide #SouthAustraliaProperty #AustralianRealEstate #HousingTrends#MelbourneHousing #MelbourneInvestment #MelbourneMarket #PropertyInvestment #RealEstateTips #WealthBuilding #InvestmentStrategy #HomeBuying #AustralianProperty
Markets finally pulled back after a relentless momentum-driven rally, but history suggests parabolic advances rarely end quietly. Lance Roberts & Tom Thornton break down the growing signs of a speculative bubble forming beneath the surface of the market, from DeMark Exhaustion Sell Signals and narrow market breadth to surging semiconductor inflows, Korean market speculation, and rising energy-driven inflation risks. We examine why tech leadership is becoming dangerously concentrated, how crude oil and gasoline prices could reignite CPI pressures, and why the Fed may be effectively finished with rate cuts. We also discuss the "immediate gratification economy," emerging market weakness, fertilizer and commodity pressures, and the growing disconnect between market optimism and economic reality. Plus, we analyze why investors may want to diversify, take profits while they still can, and rethink the difference between long-term investing and speculative casino behavior. NOTE: This interview was pre-recorded on 5/7/26. 00:00 - Intro 1:20 - Market Correction, as Predicted 4:00 - Parabolic Spikes Have Happened Before 5:53 - There's a Bubble Brewing - Bullish Sentiment (slide) 8:53 - DeMark Exhaustion Sell Signals (slide) - what they are 10:54 - What the Signals are Saying (13's) 11:40 - Nasdaq 100 w DeMark Exhaustion Sell Signals 12:25 - Korean Kospi Index - Most Important in the World, next to U.S. 13:38 - GS Data Center & Memory Baskets (slide) 15:25 - SMH Semi's & EWY Korea ETF Inflows (slide) 18:35 - Memory Chip Price Gouge 20:56 - EWY Korean ETF 21:47 - QQQ vs SPX and SMH vs SPX Ratios (slide) 23:08 - Narrow Market Breadth 24:26 - Markets Regurgitate Same News, over and over 25:43 - Paul Tudor Jones: "United States has never been more dependent on the stock market than ever before." 26:41 - XLK Tech vs SPX & RSP Equal Weight vs SPX ratios (slide) 29:13 - Crude Traders are "in a bunker" on fears of Crude Oil draws 30:20 - Crude Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices, and CPI 33:33 - The Fed is Done 34:28 - What if...it's all about timing 36:15 - Are Emerging Markets Losing Their Luster? 38:26 - High Energy Prices' Impact on Consumer Spending into Foreign Markets 38:51 - Living in the Immediate Gratification Economy 39:33 - The Fertilizer Issue 40:43 - Gasoline Prices and the Lag-effect on CPI 42:11 - The Call to Take Profits While You Can 42:56 - Catalyst List: Crude, Bonds, Rates - This is a call to diversify 44:52 - Warren Buffett - Church vs Casino Investing (Why we sold our Berkshire stock) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/s5pdp2zHltg ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketBubble #Nasdaq #Investing #FederalReserve
Aidan O'Brien has been sweeping all before him in Classic trials, but after some surprise weekend results is the Derby more open than it looks? The panel also digs into the latest developments in the governance crisis consuming British racing following Ascot's decision to walk away from the Racecourse Association, and asks what a softening breeze-up market means for the sport.
Mike and Jayden discuss today's market situation.
THE BEST BITS IN A SILLIER PACKAGE (from Tuesday's Mike Hosking Breakfast) So, Buck Up/Oh, Actually, Everything Is About to Implode/AI Apocalypse Update/Skipping Breakfast/Warriors Do It the Hard WaySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
***** About The SharePickers Investment Club *****The SharePickers Investment Club employs a unique, systematic method to uncover small, profitable companies on the London Stock Exchange. Each potential investment undergoes comprehensive analysis and is evaluated against 15 crucial financial metrics. This fact-based, quantitative approach allows us to pinpoint high-potential growth businesses and deliver consistent results, bypassing the hype and focusing on the numbers. *****MY BOOK *****How to Become a MicroCap Millionaire - A 3 Step Strategy for Stock Market Success Is now on sale here:https://www.sharepickers.com/how-to-become-a-microcap-millionaire-3-step-strategy/!!!IF YOU BUY THE BOOK YOU CAN GET 40% OFF MEMBERSHIP TO THE SHAREPICKERS INVESTMENT CLUB!!!HOW?If you buy a copy of the book, then like it enough to leave a 5 star rating & write a positive review, you can get yearly membership to the SharePickers Investment Club for just £149!!!THIS IS £2.88 WEEK - LESS THAN:HALF A PINT OF BEERA BAG CHIPS FROM THE CHIPPYA BATTERED JUMBO SAUSAGE FROM THE CHIPPYA JUMBO SAVELOY FROM THE CHIPPYHALF THE AMOUNT A PERSON SPENDS ON CHOCOLATE40% CHEAPER THAN A MCDONALDS FILAY-O-FISH43% CHEAPER THAN A BIG MACONE FEEDS YOUR BELLY AND DESTROYS YOUR HEALTH, THE OTHER FEEDS YOU MIND AND IMPROVES YOUR WEALTH—----------------------------------------------------------------------In this podcast I cover the Microcap News to see if they're good enough to be added to the MicroCap League.The UK's first MicroCap League where 100's of small businesses are analysed and scored in relation to their growth, value, health, efficiency, momentum & potential.The companies that score the highest are added to the MicroCap League and possess the best risk / reward profile.—----------------------------------------------------------------------If you regularly listen to this podcast and value its content, it's a free resource, so please consider paying back in kind by giving it a 5 star rating and review. That way more people will find it.Thank you!
Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson talks about risks in this late stage of the equity market pullback, how investors should position and what could come next.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing what investors should be doing as we enter the final innings of this equity market correction.It's Monday, April 6th at 11:30 am in New York. So, let's get after it.For the past several months, my view has been very consistent. In short, I continue to believe we're in a bull market that began last April, coming out of what I've described as a rolling recession between 2022 and 2025. That recovery remains intact despite recent threats from AI disruption, private credit and a new war in Iran while the war between Russia and Ukraine persists.Markets have not been complacent with stocks correcting since last fall. In fact, it's well advanced with the S&P 500's forward price earnings multiple declining by 18 percent, a rare move outside of a recession or a Fed tightening cycle – neither of which is likely in my view.Meanwhile, earnings growth isn't rolling over. Instead, it's accelerating to multi-year highs and that's a key difference versus past periods when oil shocks led to a recession. And, in the absence of that outcome, I see a market that's discounted a lot of bad news.Beneath the surface, the damage has been even more significant with over half of stocks down at least 20 percent from their highs, and many down 30-40 percent. Resets of this scale usually occur near the end of corrections, not the beginning.The S&P 500 bounced last week off the 6300 to 6500 range of support that I have been highlighting. Could we re-test those levels? Sure – especially if rates push higher or geopolitical risks escalate further. However, I don't see a meaningful breakdown.If anything, what's still missing – and what I'd actually like to see – is a bit more de-risking in crowded trades like semiconductors and memory stocks, in particular. That kind of repositioning reset is often required to seal a durable bottom.So, if we are in the later innings, the next question is: where do you want to be? For me, it's about balance and I think the right approach is a barbell of cyclicals, and quality growth.On the cyclical side, I like Financials, Consumer Discretionary, and Industrials. These are the areas where earnings momentum remains strong and valuations have come down meaningfully. It's also what was leading prior to the start of the Iran conflict and reflects our core view that we are still in the early stages of a recovery from the rolling recession. Last week's jobs report supports that view with private payrolls increasing by [$]186 000, one of the largest rises in three years. On the growth side, I'm focused on the hyperscalers as a very good risk reward at this point. These companies are trading at roughly the same multiple as defensive sectors like Staples, but with more than three times the earnings growth. Meanwhile the sentiment and positioning is as bad as it's been since 2022's bear market when these companies were showing negative earnings growth. So, what could go wrong? The main risk to equities is still rates and central bank policy, not the war.We know this because we just flipped back into a regime where stocks and yields are negatively correlated where higher rates put pressure on valuations. 4.5 percent on a 10-year Treasury bond continues to be a key threshold where stock valuations are likely to get worse before they rebound durably. Furthermore, bond volatility and Fed expectations are driving tighter financial conditions—and that's been the real source of market stress lately.But here's the irony: that tightening is also what ultimately sets up a more dovish pivot from the Fed and other central banks. If financial conditions tighten too much, the Fed has the flexibility to respond—and we have plenty of evidence that there's willingness to do that over the past several years.Bottom line? The market has already done a lot of the hard work. It has priced in geopolitical risk, private credit concerns and even negative side effects from AI, which is ultimately a productivity enhancing technology.What we're dealing with now is the final hurdle – policy, rates levels and volatility. And once we get through that, I think the path forward becomes a lot clearer.But remember, markets don't wait for certainty – they move ahead of it. You should, too.Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!
Markets are showing signs of strain to start the week, with stocks flirting with correction territory, volatility on the rise, and geopolitical tensions—particularly around oil and the Strait of Hormuz—adding another layer of uncertainty. But the bigger story may lie ahead, as upcoming data on jobs, manufacturing, and consumer spending helps determine whether the economic backdrop can steady investor sentiment—or give markets something new to react to.From there, we shift to the “on-demand” economy—where convenience has never been faster, or easier to take for granted. When a forgotten laptop charger can arrive at your hotel door in 20 minutes, it highlights just how much these platforms have reshaped daily life. But behind that seamless experience is a bigger question: are these companies building durable, profitable businesses—or operating on razor-thin margins to meet ever-rising expectations?Finally, we look at a small change that could carry broader implications—the potential elimination of the penny. As transactions begin rounding to the nearest nickel, businesses, consumers, and policymakers alike will need to adjust. We'll explore what this shift means in practice, from pricing strategies to tax considerations, and whether removing the penny is simply a cost-saving move—or a subtle change with meaningful ripple effects.Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice, a seasoned communicator and host, on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty. Henssler Money Talks — April 4, 2026 | Season 40, Episode 14Timestamps and Chapters8:25: Close to Correction24:24: The Business of Convenience: Fast, Easy… and Profitable?45:25: No Pennies, No Problem? The Economics of Rounding Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/ Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®, and CFP® (with plaque design) in the United States to Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc., which authorizes individuals who successfully complete the organization's initial and ongoing certification requirements to use the certification marks.See important disclosures at Henssler.com
I have started to get back into Tesla and continue to increase my market positions. Last week offered a strong return for the latest trades and again signals proved to be right.In this week's podcast I speak more about what I think will happen moving forward and also reveal more of my positions and onging trades. In the $1000 challenge NIO have had a good period bringing the $1000 challenge up above $4.400.This and much more in this week's episode of Trading Tips With Jim
Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, has maintained a more bullish outlook on the economy and the financial markers than most analysts over recent years.And he's largely been proven correct.But in the aftermath of the outbreak of war in Iran, his outlook has turned quite bearish -- he sees the return of the bond market vigilantes (a term he coined back in the 1980s), this time worldwide.And he now calculates rising odds of both an economic recession and bear market in stocks resulting from the current oil price shock.What advice does he have for investors in such an environment?To find out, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #bearmarket #recession _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Thoughtful-Money-Disclosure-Document-12.6.23.pdf?pid=227Thoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Thoughtful-Money-Agreement-Agreement.docx?pid=227IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Welcome out to another Trading Justice Podcast. This week, the market continues to wrestle with geopolitical uncertainty, shifting Fed expectations, and rising pressure from energy markets. We break down the latest developments surrounding the Iran conflict, the market's reaction to mixed political messaging, and why volatility has remained persistent as traders search for stability during the current correction cycle.
Investors are feeling the fear as the Dow follows the Nasdaq into a correction and the most popular stocks are reeling from double-digit selloffs. With no clear end in sight to rising oil prices and the war in Iran, the sirens of stagflation are awakening our animal spirits. Douglas Boneparth drops in with some financial therapy for long-term investors, and helps us refocus on the plan. Plus, as stocks skid we drop some bars to break it down, and what an Italian mathematician from the Dark Ages can teach us about when this selloff might finally end. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Investors are feeling the fear as the Dow follows the Nasdaq into a correction and the most popular stocks are reeling from double-digit selloffs. With no clear end in sight to rising oil prices and the war in Iran, the sirens of stagflation are awakening our animal spirits. Douglas Boneparth drops in with some financial therapy for long-term investors, and helps us refocus on the plan. Plus, as stocks skid we drop some bars to break it down, and what an Italian mathematician from the Dark Ages can teach us about when this selloff might finally end. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Victor Dergunov, The Financial Prophet, talks his 5 step plan (0:30) Bullish on gold (3:30) Gold and interest rates (6:00) Energy names to like; the price of oil (12:10) Palantir, AMD, Tesla and the tech sector (21:00)Show Notes:Why I Remain Constructive On U.S. Markets$100 Oil: Short-Term Pain For Long-Term GainLofty Valuations, Overheated Technicals - Managing Market Risk With Victor DergunovEpisode TranscriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock and ETF quant scores, and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.
The first two rounds of March Madness delivered everything—buzzer-beaters, bracket busters, and of course some bad beats. But was it really madness… or just a market correction?We break down the biggest trends from the opening weekend. Then, we dive into the teams that look like true contenders, the ones we're not buying, and if our beloved Hogs have a chance against Arizona.Oh yeah, and some talk about late night pressure washing, annoying exit signs and the best commercials from the tournament.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Adam and Ty Schmit of The Pat McAfee Show discuss how JSN's new deal impacts others, why running backs are set to cash in, the win-win trade of Jaylen Waddle, the Dolphins' dead cap situation, the latest on A.J Brown, and why we've seen an uptick in trades across the league. 0:00 Welcome 2:02 The ripple effects of JSN's new deal 8:09 Why the top of the running back market is set to cash in 13:33 Why the Waddle deal made sense for Denver and Miami 19:54 The unprecedented dead cap situation for the Dolphins 27:28 The latest speculation on A.J. Brown 32:23 The uptick in trades around the league Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
With volatility and oil prices up while Fed policy is easing, our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson breaks down why today's selloff is giving flashbacks to March 2025—and why he believes his bull case still holds.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll discuss how the equity market has been processing recent headlines for months. It's Monday, March 16th at 1 pm in New York. So, let's get after it. Last week on the podcast, I noted it was clear to me that the current equity market correction began last fall when liquidity first started to tighten. As soon as funding markets started to show stress from that tightening, the Fed responded by announcing it would end its balance sheet reduction program earlier than expected. It then followed that up by restarting asset purchases in December. This pivot subsequently led to better equity performance in January. It also happened alongside a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar and concentrated returns in emerging markets and commodity-oriented sectors like gold and silver, industrial metals, oil and memory stocks. More recently, the dollar has rallied and these same areas have noticeably cooled off. The key point is that before the attacks in Iran two weeks ago, the correction in equities was already very well advanced in both time and price. In fact, 50 percent of all stocks in the Russell 3000 are now down 20 percent from their 52-week highs. In many ways, we find ourselves in a similar position to last year. Recall that the major indices started to accelerate lower in February and early March. The concern at that time was centered around tariffs. But like today equity markets had been trading poorly for months under the surface on additional concerns that had nothing to do with tariffs. More specifically, equity markets had been worried about risks related to DeepSeek, immigration controls, and DOGE. Tariffs then provided the final blow. This time around, markets have been worried about AI disruption on labor markets, private credit defaults and liquidity tightness well before the Iran conflict escalated. Now it's interesting to note – but not surprising – that crude and volatility began to rise in January, signaling the market was ahead of this risk, too. Corrections typically don't end though until the best stocks and highest quality indices get hit, and that usually takes a capitulatory shock. Last year, this was Liberation Day. This time around, that event is the Iran conflict and concern about a sustained rise in crude prices above $100 a barrel. This final corrective phase has begun, in our view, with the S&P 500 having its worst two-week stretch since last April. To be clear, I don't expect this capitulation or drawdown to be as bad as last year for several reasons. First, last year's events came at the end of what we were calling a rolling recession at the time and effectively marked the end of that downturn. That means equities were pricing in a recession at the lows in April 2025 and that's why the S&P 500 was down 20 percent from its highs. Second, the current backdrop for earnings and economic growth is much better than a year ago. Third, fiscal support is much greater today, too. Specifically, personal income tax cuts are flowing through right now with tax refunds running 17 percent higher year-over-year. Tax incentives in the [One] Big Beautiful Bill [act] should drive higher capital spending. Lastly, the Fed is much more accommodative with asset purchases versus balance sheet contraction in 2025. Bottom line, equity markets have been digesting many of the concerns for months that are now hitting the headlines. We think this means that we are closer to the end of this correction rather than the beginning and investors should be getting ready to buy any final capitulation that may occur on the next bad headline. One scenario that might create that final downdraft is a combination of a more hawkish Fed this week on backward looking inflation concerns combined with Triple Witching options expiration. Or maybe the upcoming trade meeting between the United States and China is delayed or cancelled. Whatever it might be, market lows happen faster than tops. So be ready to add risk in anticipation of the bull market resuming. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!
This episode I talk about the last 2 market corrections and in my opinion what prevents it from happening again. SCL S8E16
Jeff Bliss and Brandon Weichert debate the AI boom, predicting a market correction followed by a second wave where robotics and AI integration fundamentally transform the global economy.1919 PACIFIC PALISADES AND HOLLYWOOD SETS
Welcome back to the markets! The shop reveals the reason for last week’s absence, along with Don, Connor, & Ted’s upcoming appearance on the Words of Rizdom podcast, and review this week’s market correction (and why it’s so crucially important to have a few quality stops in your sell discipline) before diving into how the S&P 500’s flat return dispersion affected names like HOOD and XLP and reviewing a few key bleeding-edge players in computing at NET and FSLV. In this video for educational purposes only, Dan Stewart, Don Vandenbord, Connor Bates, & Todd Thomas host The Your Money Video Podcast + Live Trading and Watchlist Stocks to Study. Key Moments from the Show 0:00 – Opening Bell 07:30 – This Week in the Markets 16:00 – Market Correction in AI & Crypto 23:00 – Got Stops? 38:00 – Charting The S&P’s Flat Return Dispersion – HOOD, XLP 45:00 – Bleeding Edge Computing Players – FSLV, NET The Your Money Radio Podcast covers general topics & investment ideas for Research. It is for Educational & Entertainment purposes ONLY and is NOT meant to be Investment Advice. If you want or need Investment Advice, contact your own advisors or reach out to Revere Asset Management for individual Investment Advice. For more information contact us. The post GOT STOPS? AI DISRUPTION SPURNS MARKET ACTION | Your Money Podcast Ep. 578 appeared first on Revere Asset Management.
Market Correction vs. Collapse: Analysis of why the "SaaS is dead" narrative is likely an exaggeration of a necessary shift, where the real threat lies in "sleepy" companies failing to adapt to rapid technological transitions.The Productivity Paradox: Exploration of recent Harvard research showing AI often intensifies workloads rather than reducing them, leading to expanded job scopes, "vibe-coding," and increased cognitive load.The $700 Billion Infrastructure Gamble: Breakdown of unprecedented AI capital expenditures from Big Tech giants like Amazon and Google, and the resulting strain on free cash flow and debt levels.High-Stakes Influencer Marketing: Discussion on the billion-dollar digital ad surge and $600,000 influencer deals used to drive AI adoption, questioning if revolutionary tech should require such aggressive paid promotion.OpenAI's Financial Projections: A look at OpenAI's projected $14 billion loss in 2026 and the implications of its massive burn rate for the future of the industry.Credit: @Ric_RTP on X
Ben and Andrew react to a bloodbath for public Saas companies with thoughts on the future of software in the AI era, beginning with why companies choose to outsource solutions to Saas companies today, and why those moats may be more durable than skeptics think. Then: Why SaaS skepticism remains fair, including an analogy to the newspapers in the '90s, the absence of anti-fragility, a variety of headwinds that will impact pricing power, start-ups with superior cost structures, and looming consolidation and layoff questions. At the end: The biggest SaaS company of them all and what Microsoft's roadmap should look like, a response to data center skepticism, supply and demand for hyperscalers, why Ben hated the Anthropic Super Bowl ads, should AI hallucinations be good case law?, and a Vision Pro announcement.
Happy 2026. This Episode is hosted by Chris Maffeo and brought to you by MAFFEO DRINKS. A Deep-Dive Analysis of This Episode is Available at maffeodrinks.com Steve Grasse returns to MAFFEO DRINKS for a conversation about the current state of the spirits industry. Grasse, founder of Quaker City Mercantile and Tamworth Distillery, brings perspective from both the brand building and distillery sides of the business.His previous work includes Hendrick's Gin and his current portfolio spans luxury craft spirits at Tamworth to the non-alcoholic Pathfinder brand. The previous episode with Grasse (Episode 27, recorded roughly two years ago when Brand Mysticism first came out) was one of the best-performing episodes on the podcast.The discussion examines what Grasse calls the "Spirits Apocalypse," a structural correction facing the industry through overproduction of bourbon and whiskey, shifting consumer habits, and the fading novelty of craft distilling. The conversation moves from macro industry dynamics to brand fundamentals, exploring how core brand strength determines survival when market conditions turn hostile. The talk emphasizes the importance of strong brand fundamentals, challenges of rapid expansion, and the rise of new-to-world Ready-To-Drink innovations, providing actionable advice for both established and emerging brands navigating this tumultuous market.Timestamps00:00 Introduction and Welcome Back00:19 The Spirits Apocalypse: An Overview01:15 Craft Distilling: Challenges and Changes03:47 Brand Fundamentals and Market Shifts05:23 Advice for Craft Distillers08:54 Innovative Success Stories11:53 The Importance of Core Brand Values13:50 Adapting to Market Changes16:07 Tamworth Distillery Portfolio and Business Model18:45 The Celebrity Exit Delusion vs Building for Passion21:30 Experimentation and Pragmatism Over Big Bets23:15 Brand Ambassadors Must Drive Sales, Not Just Talk25:40 FMCG Invasion vs Old School Intuition - Industry Polarization28:20 On-Trade vs Off-Trade Debate is Obsolete30:10 Board Pressure and Why Solid Brand Core Enables Tactical Freedom33:25 Physical Fitness Core Analogy - Brand Strength as Insulation35:54 Conclusion and Final Thoughts This episode is brought to you by MAFFEO DRINKS, an Advisory helping drinks leaders execute bottom-up growth while managing stakeholder expectations.
Shooters and Prospectors (309) 737-3248 https://www.facebook.com/SWShooterSuppliesAndProspecting/ Adventures In Prospecting(A.I.P.) http://www.adventuresinprospecting.com/ XTREME SCOOPS https://www.facebook.com/XTREMEScoops/ TheRingFinders https://theringfinders.com/ BEYOND SIGHT AND SOUND YouTube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCk7YDKf4Bxdw0Lwdat9VoRA All Metal Militia on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/AllMetalMilitia/ DetectEd Outdoors https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjLV9vNNhgmPJut2vMq0iNA Crazy Spider Adventures on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCsKNJc6jKCnYthGmyp-QYEQ Illinois Iowa treasure hunters Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/251326456035/ BOOT CAMP VIDEOS Night 1 silvers https://m.facebook.com/groups/576627622397397?view=permalink&id=2969793473080788 Night 2 coppers https://m.facebook.com/groups/576627622397397?view=permalink&id=2978808162179319 Night 3 tips, tricks and tweaks https://www.facebook.com/groups/detectamerica/permalink/2985422534851215/ NOKTA WEBSITE https://www.noktadetectors.com/ Midwest refineries https://www.midwestrefineries.com/ All Metal Militia on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT22mRQ_QQ0LfHrZy22IaaA?fbclid=IwAR1s1ma_fkWv9VzBVDKyLF10rQZq2wg0IJwQwJAKP21tWCHMYa7yiIs26l8 The Relic Hunter Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/249978366379006/?ref=share $10K diamond ring return https://theringfinders.com/blog/Josh.Kimmel/2020/10/1-25-1-5-carat-diamond-gold-ring-returned-trf-celina-ohio-potential-replacement-8-10k/?fbclid=IwAR2tULpBnqX3Uwuc7FVRVASecMO0lF0tpxvy8OXbiBNk7bCbdB8W530xBc4 Metal Detecting:- Beyond Sight and Sound https://www.facebook.com/groups/421832374617055 FIND US ON AMAZON AND AUDIBLE https://www.amazon.com/BEYOND-SIGHT-AND-SOUND/dp/B08JJS1FC1 Sapphire and diamond arthritic wedding ring returned https://theringfinders.com/blog/Josh.Kimmel/2021/05/sapphire-diamond-arthritic-wedding-ring-returned-trf-celina-ohio/?fbclid=IwAR10iM9GH2BDcf3BHywNMhvQiyP_g0bHL_360zscykDQfiMK1R3fWe1ZCB0 MDCI Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/259089097602307/ Terry Shannon's website https://terryshannon.com/ Quarter Hoarder YouTube channel https://m.youtube.com/@QuarterHoarder Bark's Detecting Bits on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@barksdetectingbits3298 Ill Digger YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@Ill_Digger Steve Pacifico's 3d products and more https://www.md3dcoins.com/?fbclid=IwY2xjawPtl0lleHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETFHdlIyczVRVWZRd29ERU96c3J0YwZhcHBfaWQQMjIyMDM5MTc4ODIwMDg5MgABHm6Nmh7pIaT-4JG0Y4d4qunUs82q1r2MQsYtTp19SO-CeVOG_gmnFlZAxadd_aem_64Bvy6ULhrx94o1hAE12Qg BEYOND SIGHT AND SOUND on PodBean
In this KE Report daily editorial, Joel Elconin, co-host of Pre-Market Prep and founder of the Stock Trader Network, joins us to break down a broadly red market day marked by spiking volatility, tech weakness, and shifting expectations heading into year-end. Key Discussion Highlights: Market Selloff Intensifies: VIX hits 25, risk assets slide, and tech leads the downturn. Nvidia Breakdown: NVDA's failed 50% retracement signals deeper market weakness. Fed Cut Expectations Fade: December cut unlikely; lagging data adds uncertainty. AI & Labor Market Shift: Structural unemployment may rise as AI-driven job cuts accelerate. Where Money May Hide: Potential resilience in Walmart, utilities, healthcare, and financials. Longer-Term Tone: Caution warranted; market may be entering a multi-quarter grind. Click here to visit Joel's PreMarket Prep website Click here to visit the Stock Trader Network ------------ For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.
In this episode of China Decode, hosts Alice Han and James Kynge break down how China is quietly building the “Android of AI” while the U.S. is pouring billions into the ultra-premium iPhone equivalent. As American firms chase ever-bigger, pricier models, Chinese competitors are going lean, open-source, and dirt-cheap — and U.S. startups are already switching to them. They unpack why Chinese models are suddenly dominating Hugging Face, how an AI price war could spark a market correction, and whether U.S. export controls are backfiring. Plus, a diplomatic firestorm between China and Japan is raising tough questions about the future balance of power in East Asia. With Tokyo taking an unusually hard line on Taiwan — and Beijing responding with fury — Alice and James examine what's driving the escalation, what it means for U.S. strategy, and how historical grievances still shape the region's security map. Finally, China's coffee wars are heating up — and Starbucks is blinking. After losing ground to aggressive local rivals like Luckin and Cotti, Starbucks is selling off majority control of its China business. They explore why Western brands keep struggling in China's hyper-competitive consumer market — and whether Starbucks can claw back relevance. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Today, a look at markets bouncing back with considerable enthusiasm as the US government shutdown may be set to end in coming days, though it's worth noting we are only seven days removed from record highs as the market completely ignored the shutdown issue in the first place. Also, talking precious metals and natural gas with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, macro and FX, whether US President Trump is turning hard left, incoming earnings and lots of must read and must listen links. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.
“We've been overdue for a pullback,” argues Patrick Mueller, and foresees a 10%-20% pullback in the next 6 months. However, he thinks the current dip won't last long and markets will climb again soon. He discusses potential catalysts for a market correction, including a potential “black swan” event. He likes Berkshire Hathaway (BRK/B) for the long-term and highlights the tech sector and utilities, along with silver.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: Instagram | YouTubeCheck out our recommended tool: Prop StreamThank you for listening!
Patrick Mueller says the Fed is always late to the game, and it will be interesting to see if they can cut interest rates without inflation issues. He talks about the holiday spending season and how retailers will navigate a stressed consumer environment. While he compares market concentration to the dot-com bubble, he argues that this time around, the megacaps have “strong earnings.” However, he thinks people should be cautious not to be overweight in tech.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
As the S&P 500 continues to rally, our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson discusses three factors that could lead to a stock market correction in the near term.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing why we are still in a new bull market even if a correction is likely in the near term. It's Monday, October 20th at 1pm in New York. So, let's get after it. I continue to believe the sharp selloff in April following Liberation Day marked the trough of what was effectively a three-year rolling recession in the U.S. economy. We have written extensively about this view; but it still remains very much out of consensus. Since 2022 most sectors of the private economy have gone through their own individual recession but at different times. The final trough in the rate of change in economic activity came in April around the tariff announcements which came as a surprise to almost everyone, at least in terms of the magnitude and scope. In short, Liberation Day was really capitulation day on the last piece of bad news for the economic cycle which then bottomed. Stocks seem to agree which is why they have rallied in a straight line since then, much like they do after the trough in any economic cycle. The other proof we have for this claim is the v-shaped recovery in earnings revision breadth, something we have discussed for many months in our written research and on this podcast. Based on our numerous conversations with investors, this view remains very unpopular. Instead, most believe the economy and earnings growth for next year are at risk of being lower rather than higher than expected, as I do. Core to my view is that we are now firmly in an inflationary regime since COVID and the implementation of helicopter money to get us out of that crisis. The government has to run it hot to get us out of the massive debt and deficit problem created over the past 20 years. The end result is that investors need to expect hotter but shorter cycles rather than the elongated 10-year cycles we experienced between 1980-2020 when inflation was falling. That means two-year up cycles followed by one-year down cycles for U.S. equity markets, which is exactly what's happened since 2020. We are now in the midst of a new up cycle that began in April. The key thing to understand during this new regime is that inflation is not bad for stocks so long as it's accelerating and the Fed is on the sidelines or easing like in 2020-21, 2023 and now today. Higher inflation means higher earnings growth which is why price earnings multiples are high today. With inflation likely to accelerate next year, stocks are anticipating better earnings growth. In other words, stocks are a hedge against inflation. In fact, relative to gold, high quality stocks may offer a cheaper inflation hedge at this point given their dramatic underperformance to precious metals year-to-date and since 2021. Eventually, inflation will be a problem again for stocks like in 2022 when the Fed has to react by tightening policy, but that's a story for another day. Having said all this, the equity markets are a bit frothy at the moment and so a 10-15 percent correction in the S&P 500 is not only possible but would be normal at this stage of a new bull market. I see three primary reasons for why we could get that in the near term. First, China-U.S. trade relations have recently escalated again, and we are slowly marching toward a November 1st deadline for tariffs on China to go back to Liberation Day levels. While most investors don't want to get sucked into selling at the worst possible time like they did in April, this risk is real and will weigh on stocks if we don't see evidence of a de-escalation in the next few weeks. Second, funding markets have exhibited some signs of increased stress lately. This is likely due to the ongoing quantitative tightening program by the Fed which is draining bank reserves. Should these stresses increase, it could spill over into equities. Third, our earnings revision breadth metric is rolling over now after its historic rise since April. This could continue into earnings season as it's normal to see some retracement from such a high level and tariffs start to flow through from inventories to the income statement. Trade tensions might also weigh on company guidance in the short term. Bottom line, I believe a new bull market began in April with a new rolling economic and earnings recovery that is now quite nascent. However, even new bull markets have corrections along the way, and certain conditions argue we are at risk for the first tradable one since April. Keep your powder dry in the near term for what should be a great buying opportunity, if it arrives. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!
From the BBC World Service: Jamie Dimon, the chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, told the BBC that a serious market correction could come in the next six months to two years. He also hinted that there could be an imminent deal between India and the U.S. on tariffs; India is currently suffering under 50% duties. Also, China has tightened export controls on rare earth metals, which are vital to a range of electronic devices, including military hardware.
From the BBC World Service: Jamie Dimon, the chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, told the BBC that a serious market correction could come in the next six months to two years. He also hinted that there could be an imminent deal between India and the U.S. on tariffs; India is currently suffering under 50% duties. Also, China has tightened export controls on rare earth metals, which are vital to a range of electronic devices, including military hardware.
Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, says the economy is reasonably healthy and has been resilient amid difficult headlines, which make it likely to accelerate as rate cuts, tax cuts and deregulation kick in and provide a spending boost. At the same time, Brusuelas says he thinks the market is building "bubbles and period of over-speculation where there's a concentration of risk in one area of the equities market," which could lead to "a healthy correction" that brings the market back to earth and squeezes out the speculators. David Trainer, founder and president at New Constructs, has long disliked the electric vehicle industry, noting that the stocks are priced more on hype than on any proven ability to deliver. Today he puts Luci Group in The Danger Zone, noting that the company has persistent ongoing losses, high cash burn, heavy shareholder dilution and is facing profitable competitors in a market that is seeing demand fall. Worse yet, he says the stock is priced as if it will "sell more vehicles than the best-selling passenger car in America." Sam Bourgi of Investors Observer discusses the latest Big Mac Housing Index, which showed that it now takes nearly 71,000 Big Macs from McDonald's priced at the national average, to buy the median-price house in the United States, and what those changing dynamics — housing prices that actually have fallen in the last three years against rising inflation on food prices — means for the broad economy.
Steve, McNew, Justine, Kathy & Matt W. talk about two recent issues distilleries have had to deal with. TBD music by Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com). Important Links: Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theabvnetwork Our Events Page: bourbonpalooza.com Check us out at: abvnetwork.com. The ABV Barrel Shop: abvbarrelshop.com Join the revolution by adding #ABVNetworkCrew to your profile on social media.
The leading economic indicators are showing that the economy is slowing further. Are we headed into recession?It's too early to tell.But it does put today's sky-high stock valuations in doubt, as they depend on very strong earnings growth next year -- which increasingly look at odds with the decelerating economic data.This boosts the chance of a coming correction in the stock market.How big of one?Lance and I discuss in today's video, along with the latest inflation numbers, AI, signs of growing vulnerability in the credit system, central planner intervention and, always, Lance's firm's latest trades,For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Weekly Recap.#recession #inflation #ai 0:00 - Slowdown Signals: Leading Indicators Suggest Economic Weakening4:44 - Economic Data: 3.8% Q2 GDP Driven by Trade, Spending Outpaces Income6:43 - Earnings Gap: Mag 7 Slows, Bottom 493 Flat, 11-15% Growth Questioned9:18 - AI's Economic Impact: Reduces Jobs/Wages, Hurts Earnings Outlook10:00 - Leading Economic Index: Negative Turn Signals Slower Growth11:19 - 2022 Anomaly: Stimulus Masked Recession Signals, Now Normalizing13:57 - Yield Curve Uninversion: Signals Slower Growth, Recession Risk14:56 - Employment Trends: Full-Time Jobs Drop, Weakens Consumer Spending16:52 - Recession Context: 16-Year Gap, Policy Aversion to Downturns18:29 - Policy Response: All-Out Stimulus Likely for Even Mild Recession23:21 - Policy Addiction: QE, Zero Rates, Checks Expected at Job Losses26:20 - Inflation History: Pre-2000 Restraint vs. Post-Reagan Deficit Surge31:05 - Wealth Inequality: Top 10% Own ~80% Net Worth, Policy-Driven35:30 - Socialism vs. Capitalism: 46% Youth Favor Socialism Amid Inequality39:13 - Speculative Risks: Perpetual Options, Leveraged Bitcoin ETF Losses41:57 - AI Bubble: Nvidia-OpenAI Circular Financing Echoes Dot-Com Excesses47:53 - Entrepreneurship: Capital Access Easier, Opportunities for Scrappy Ideas57:12 - Precious Metals: Silver Melt-Up, Rebalanced to Manage Gains59:46 - Bitcoin Concerns: Leveraged ETFs Down 45%, Signals Risk-Off Move1:01:49 - Technical Analysis: Overbought High Beta, Declining Money Flows1:06:23 - Market Outlook: 5-10% Oct-Nov Correction, Buyable for Year-End Rally1:12:11 - Bond Bull Case: High Valuations, Low ERP Favor Bonds Over Stocks1:16:45 - Tricolor Bankruptcy: $1B Subprime Auto Loans Signal Credit Issues1:20:56 - PayPal's Buy-Now-Pay-Later: Debt Sale Raises Red Flags1:24:13 - AI Spending Risks: $800B Shortfall, Winner-Take-All Dynamics_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
David Hunter. Historic Melt-up Followed by a Massive Market Correction. Peter Schiff 20X Silver. Buy Gold Now Before its too Late. 20X Silver & Gold Investing Playbook: A Crisis Worse Than 2008 | Peter Schiff Silver Stocks Watch this video at- https://youtu.be/QL94FBxokA4?si=4sftQfh3lL9TKZS7 Gold Silver Investing 4 views Sep 24, 2025 #silverinvesting #GoldInvesting #financialeducation 20X Silver & Gold Investing Playbook: A Crisis Worse Than 2008 | Peter Schiff Silver Stocks | Must Watch! Peter Schiff's 100X Silver Playbook! | High Return Gold & Silver Investing ▬
Glenn Dorsey “definitely” expects the economy to slow but anticipates the U.S. consumer will continue to spend. He sees a “pretty good tailwind” for earnings ahead after looking at historical context but thinks we could see a market correction before the end of the year. He looks at potential opportunities in tech and AI, telling investors to consider time horizon and ancillary players.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
John Blank, chief investment strategist and chief economist at Zacks Investment Research, says the conditions are increasingly bringing back the spectre of a recession, with the odds of a protracted economic slowdown now standing at about 50 percent. Moreover, he doesn't believe that the widely anticipated interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve today will really do anything to alter that course. Blank says that the recession could trigger a stock market sell-off that could cut valuations by more than 40 percent, though he does not think that any such decline will be long-lived. Allison Hadley discusses research she did for NC Solutions which showed that 73% of Americans say little treats are crucial to quality of life; as a result, they're spending an average of $360 a year on $5 indulgences like chocolate, coffee, and candles. Scott Bennett, founder of Invest With Rules brings his trend-following methodology to the Market Call, where he helps to prove the adage that "disagreement makes a market" by coming to the opposite conclusion on a stock covered by John Dorfman of Dorfman Value on yesterday's show.
The dollar has weakened considerably so far this year.Amidst the new US Adminstration's hardball trade tactics, critics claim that foreigners are ramping up their de-dollarization efforts, buying less US debt, and that the days of the dollar as the dominant world reserve currency are ending.How much truth, if any, underlies this?For answers, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital, developer of the Dollar Milkshake Theory.Brent thinks the dollar has become quite oversold, so don't be surprised to see it rally.Also, he thinks it's more likely than not that a stock market correction will happen by September.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#dollar #marketcorrection #geopolitics _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Crypto News: Bitcoin and altcoins continue their downtrend. Jim Cramer turns bearish signaling inverse cramer. Publicly traded company launches SUI treasury.Show Sponsor -
It's a mega-earnings report day, and a Fed Meeting day, to boot; the notion among some investors that 20% returns are normal is scary. The Fed is expected to hold steady on interest rates, but there is dissention in the ranks of Fed Governors. Inflation erodes your purchasing power—are you prepared? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down smart strategies to hedge against inflation and protect your wealth. Lance and Danny commiserate on kids home for the Summer and then off to college. You've got to have inflation for economic growth; the best hedge against inflation, historically, is still stocks. The only benchmark for portfolios is the rate of inflation. Investing strategies are only wrong if they don't work. Adjusting retirement for inflation and lifestyle. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Mega Earnings Reports & Fed Day Preview SEG-2a: Kids Home for Summer & Off to College SEG-2b: Currency Debasement & Inflation SEG-3: Emotional Aspects of Inflation (bias) SEG-4: Adjusting Retirement for Inflation & Lifestyle Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rXwvTN34YI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Capturing Rotation in Market Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Grit, Grind, & Glam" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #InflationHedge #ProtectYourWealth #SmartInvesting #InflationProtection #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Healthcare stocks have been under a lot of pressure of late as markets continue in rotational moves. Healthcare has been basing, going back to April; not going up, not going down, just traveling sideways. Meanwhile, Technology has been doing very, very well...and getting very, very over bought (looks a lot like the S&P 500). If we start to see a correctional move in the S&P, we could see a move to areas in which there is good fundamental value (like Healthcare), and also into areas that have been beaten up: They're not going down anymore, but they haven't been rising, either. These could catch some rotational action. Basic Materials, Industrials, and Transports all have been doing well as a result of the AI-chase and the associated infrastructure build-out. But Utilities, however, have been doing okay as a mixed bag of companies: These may come to be seen as a risk-off defensive play. Similarly, REIT's haven't gone anyway as a function of interest rates. There remains risk of a correction; timing is always the problem. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's a mega-earnings report day, and a Fed Meeting day, to boot; the notion among some investors that 20% returns are normal is scary. The Fed is expected to hold steady on interest rates, but there is dissention in the ranks of Fed Governors. Inflation erodes your purchasing power—are you prepared? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down smart strategies to hedge against inflation and protect your wealth. Lance and Danny commiserate on kids home for the Summer and then off to college. You've got to have inflation for economic growth; the best hedge against inflation, historically, is still stocks. The only benchmark for portfolios is the rate of inflation. Investing strategies are only wrong if they don't work. Adjusting retirement for inflation and lifestyle. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Mega Earnings Reports & Fed Day Preview SEG-2a: Kids Home for Summer & Off to College SEG-2b: Currency Debasement & Inflation SEG-3: Emotional Aspects of Inflation (bias) SEG-4: Adjusting Retirement for Inflation & Lifestyle Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rXwvTN34YI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Capturing Rotation in Market Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Grit, Grind, & Glam" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #InflationHedge #ProtectYourWealth #SmartInvesting #InflationProtection #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comDespite stretched valuation levels and further signs that the consumer is struggling, stocks are partying on.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts sees stocks prices as having "detached from all the underlying economic data" at this point.That doesn't mean they won't go even higher still here in the near term. But he does think the probability of a correction is now quite high.So how is he positioning for that?We discuss that, as well as what earnings season is currently telling us, what the Fed is most likely to announce next week, how AI is super-concentrating wealth in both the corporate sector as well as consumer households, the long term risks to the markets, and Lance's firm's latest trades. For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.#federalreserve #marketcorrection #artificialintelligence 0:00 - Market Outlook and Correction Risks18:35 - Portfolio Adjustments:21:36 - Fed Policy and Trump's Influence41:12 - Earnings Insights56:01 - Wealth Concentration and AI1:03:35 - Economic Data and Consumer Debt1:11:07 - Long-Term Market Risks1:25:00 - Gold and Crypto Update1:31:27 - Life Philosophy Rant1:47:04 - Closing and Resources_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Can the AI boom sustain current valuations, or is a reckoning coming? Lance Roberts examines how AI and Big Tech investing trends are shaping portfolios, whether rising interest rates will derail Tech stock market outlook, and the growing risks of regulation impact on Big Tech from Washington to Brussels. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs. Lance shares the latest Roberts Family Saga, and his Coldplay strategy. Is investor exuberance getting out of hand? Options expiring within 24-hours are at an all-time high: This is not hedging, this is pure betting. Lance discusses anticipated spending for AI, and identifies associated debt as productive (think, Hoover Dam) vs non-productive (entitlements), which is dis-inflationary. Buuy backs are a poor (non-productive) use of capital. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Mega-cap Earnings Preview SEG-2a: Another Roberts Family Saga & Coldplay SEG-2b: Market Exuberance is Getting Out of Hand SEG-3a: Paramount & Colbert Kill The Late Show SEG-3b: No Concerns for Market Correction...yet SEG-4: Productive Debt vs Stock Buy Backs Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnE_SxbFc0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "Money Scripts & Credit Scores," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BigTech #TechStocks #ArtificialIntelligence #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Companies, investors, and countries are all having a hard time knowing what the future holds. And that makes forecasting hard. (00:21) Jason Moser and Matt Argersinger discuss: - The market's correction reaction to tariffs, and what higher prices might mean for consumers that are already spending less. - The market's questions around Tesla's tough start to 2025, slipping european sales, and Elon Musk. - Earnings from Adobe, Vail, and Docusign. (19:22) Macro-focused investor Richard Bernstein walks Ricky Mulvey through the big picture he's seeing, and how tariffs, trade uncertainty, and how it all flows into what we've seen in the stock market over the past few weeks. (32:51) Jason and Matt break down where they turn to celebrate Pi Day and two stocks on their radar: Ansys and Starbucks. Stocks discussed: TSLA, ADBE, MTN, DOCU, ANSS, SBUX Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Jason Moser, Matt Argersinger, Richard Bernstein, Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices