Moving Markets: Daily News

Equity markets staged a cautious rebound yesterday, with major indices posting modest gains. In Europe, utilities led the advance, lifting the broader market, while in the US, leadership came from big tech and AI-related stocks. Sentiment was buoyed by SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son's revelation that he was “practically crying” to sell the company's Nvidia stake, alongside a strong earnings report from MongoDB. However, not all segments participated in the rally – precious metals lagged, and the energy sector saw a notable reversal. Meanwhile, DarioMessi, Head of Fixed Income Research, discusses expectations surrounding the still-pending appointment of a new Fed Chair for next year and how the bond market is digesting this transition.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:29) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (10:34) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stocks and bonds declined amid company-specific developments and concerns over bond supply, as investors prepare for a record-level issuance of investment-grade debt in the coming days. Additionally, rising expectations of an imminent interest rate hike in Japan further pressured yields upward. In today's programme, we welcome Manuel Villegas from Next GenerationResearch, who shares his insights on the future trajectory of artificial intelligence - and addressesthe pressing question: Is AI experiencing a bubble?(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:08) - Artificial Intelligence update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (12:38) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

November closed with markets focused on hopes of a Fed rate cut, which overshadowed fears of an AI bubble. The S&P 500 made strong gains in a holiday-shortened week, while technology lagged, leaving the Nasdaq down in November for the first time after seven months of gains. European equities ended the month slightly higher, supported by the strong outperformance of Switzerland's SMI last week. Silver is hitting new highs, while gold is also climbing. In Asia, Chinese PMI data disappointed, while India stood out with 8.2% GDP growth in the third quarter. The head of Japan's central bank hinted at a rate rise during a speech on Monday. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research, shares his views on the USD, precious metals, and his outlook for US equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:31) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:51) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US Thanksgiving holiday has given stock markets globally a brief pause following the strong performance earlier in the week. With Asian markets trading mixed this morning, attention shifts to key eurozone inflation data, while US markets resume trading for a shortened session. In today's programme, we welcome Nicolas Jordan from the CIO Office, who discusses the concerns around potential cracks in the artificial intelligence capital expenditure cycle.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:23) - Update from the CIO Office: Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis (11:29) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets are now pricing in an almost 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December – this boosted tech stocks and others followed suit, prompting a global rally. US markets will be shut today for the Thanksgiving holiday, and the Black Friday shopping bonanza will start tomorrow when the US market will reopen for a shortened trading session. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economic and Next Generation Research, joins the show with a timely update on energy markets and what's driving them currently. And Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, rounds off the podcast by highlighting the latest moves in Sterling after the UK budget as well as this week's action in preciousmetals.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:44) - Energy Markets: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (11:41) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (15:56) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Equity markets continue to rally amid improving investor sentiment and rising expectations of further US interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, oil prices are trading lower, driven by signs of de-escalation efforts in relation to Russia's war in Ukraine. In today's programme, we are joined by Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research analyst, who shares his insights on why a stronger Japanese yen is unlikely to hinder the ongoing rise of Japanese equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:44) - Japan update: Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research (17:28) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US equities, led by technology, rallied as confidence in artificial intelligence strengthened and rate-cut expectations grew. European defence stocks slipped amid ongoing Ukraine peace talks. Novo Nordisk tumbled, while Bayer surged on positive trial results. In Asia, Taiwan tensions kept trading cautious. Manuel Villegas of Next Generation Research discusses the outlook for digital assets after last week's sharp price drop.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:19) - Digital assets update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:37) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Last week brought significant market shifts — from concerns about bursting investment bubbles to potential peace talks in Ukraine, and a major milestone for Eli Lilly. The S&P 500 posted its second decline in three weeks, while the Nasdaq recorded a third consecutive weekly drop. However, on Friday, US markets stabilised after dovish remarks from a prominent Federal Reserve official, with most stocks closing higher. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why this is a positive signal and why last Thursday's sharp intraday reversal, though counterintuitive, is technically a bullish indicator.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:16) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:45) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stock markets swung sharply as NVIDIA's post-earnings rally reversed into losses, triggering a sell-off on Wall Street. Robust US employment data and hawkish signals from US Federal Reserve officials dampened hopes of interest rate cuts, while defensive sectors held firm and oil prices slipped amid Ukraine peace talks. Japan unveiled a new stimulus package—the largest since the Covid crisis. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, discusses how investors are navigating tough choices amid persistent volatility in precious metals, mixed economic indicators, and shifting currency flows, including notable Swiss franc selling this week.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:52) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva (10:58) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang shrugged off concerns about an AI bubble on Wednesday, as the company surprised Wall Street with accelerating growth after several quarters of slowing sales growth. Technology-heavy indices in Asia are trading significantly higher this morning. Defence companies came under selling pressure after news of a potential US peace plan for Ukraine. Oil also fell on the news. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, shares his latest view on the black gold and dives deeper into the topic of data centres and related energy demand.(00:00) - Introduction: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:50) - Oil / data centres and rising electricity prices in the US: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research (13:38) - Closing remarks: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Investors grew increasingly cautious ahead of today's highly anticipated NVIDIA earnings release, scheduled after market close in New York. The uncertainty weighed on equities, pushing stock indices lower and widening credit yield spreads. Notably, the equal-weighted S&P 500 held up relatively well, indicating that the downturn was not broad-based. Joining us today is Dario Messi, who shares his insights on navigating fixed income markets amid the current macroeconomic backdrop.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:38) - Fixed income update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (12:58) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Equity markets saw another sharp decline yesterday as investors awaited Wednesday's earnings report from artificial intelligence leader Nvidia and a closely watched US jobs report later this week. Sentiment was already fragile, and news that a prominent hedge fund had sold its Nvidia stake added further pressure. Our Chief Economist, David Kohl, shares his outlook on the upcoming wave of US economic data following the end of the government shutdown and explains what these developments could mean for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:50) - With US data delivery resuming, what next for the Fed?: David Kohl, Chief Economist (11:45) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

After a rollercoaster session US equities rebounded by Friday's close, with technology even ending the day in positive territory. Europe had earlier closed lower, mirroring Thursday's US tech selloff. Overnight, Korean technology stocks drove the Kospi higher but China and Japan's geopolitical tensions over Taiwan weighed on the broader market. Japan's travel and tourism sectors took a hit today after China warned its citizens not to travel there. When it comes to the week ahead, watch out for the Fed minutes, a raft of US data being unleashed after the shutdown, and Nvidia's all-important results on Wednesday. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical analysis covers likely trajectories for gold and the US dollar in today's podcast, as well as revealing what the charts say about a year-end rally.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:03) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:40) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets turned risk-off after early optimism. European stocks reversed gains, with the STOXX 600 down 0.6%. In the US, hawkish Federal Reserve comments erased the relief rally: the Nasdaq dropped 2.3%, Bitcoin fell back below USD 100,000, and gold eased slightly. Odds of a December rate cut slipped to 50% following remarks by several Fed members, lifting US Treasury yields. US president Trump plans tariff cuts on food imports to tackle inflation. Brent crude rebounded from midweek losses. The dollar softened, the Swiss franc strengthened, the yen hit a record low against the euro, and sterling remains volatile. Weak Chinese data weighed on Asian equities, led by technology losses. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, highlights that precious metals are trading with equity-like dynamics, the CHF goes from strength to strength, while the Japanese yen is under pressure.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:30) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva (10:51) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

We need to exclude tech stocks though. Whilst the S&P 500 rose, and the Dow Jones closed above 48,000 for the first time ever, the Nasdaq Composite closed lower yesterday, with investors further rotating out of technology and into industrials, financials and healthcare stocks. News of the end of the US government's longest ever shutdown also provided a muted boost to Asia's stock markets.European stocks closed broadly higher, continuing their upward trend this week. Even gold saw a relief rally. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research joins the podcast today to try to make sense of just what is driving the current rebound in the precious metal markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:14) - Gold & silver: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:16) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

European equities hit fresh highs, led by Swiss stocks on tariff hopes. In the US, the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished Tuesday's session also at record levels while the Nasdaq Composite faced pressure after SoftBank exited its Nvidia stake and investors moved money away from technology stocks into other parts of the market. Joining the show today are Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, who discusses the potential end of the US shutdown from a bond perspective, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who shares his view on the final inning of the Q3 earnings season and why he thinks healthcare is in a good place.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:36) - US corporate credit update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:54) - Earnings season, and a sector upgraded to Overweight: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (14:21) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets staged a broad-based rebound yesterday, driven by optimism that the US government shutdown may soon be resolved. Equities rallied, led by tech, while both Bitcoin and gold also moved higher. In Asia, early gains faded after China signalled potential restrictions on rare earth exports, and Japan's bond auction underwhelmed. We also cover Fed Governor Miran's dovish comments, ongoing delays in US economic data, and what to watch during today's Veterans Day trading session. Joining us is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who shares his thoughts on Bitcoin's Q4 performance so far, which has been overshadowed by broader economic uncertainty.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:22) - Crypto assets update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (11:17) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

After a volatile week in equity markets – driven by valuation concerns surrounding tech and AI-related companies – stocks are climbing this morning on news that the US government shutdown may soon come to an end. Gold is also on the rise, potentially signalling the conclusion of its brief consolidation phase. Today, we're joined by Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his insights on why he believes the year-end rally is gaining momentum.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:15) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:10) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Outplacement firm Challenger reported over 150,000 job cuts in October – the highest for the month of October in more than 20 years. US Treasury yields fell sharply, raising expectations of a December Fed rate cut, although some officials remain cautious. AI-related stocks dragged markets lower, but the selling was selective. In Europe, German industrial output beat forecasts but remains weak; while the Euro Stoxx 50 fell on disappointing earnings. In Asia, China's exports unexpectedly declined for the first time in eight months. Richard Tang, Head of Research in Hong Kong, discusses the lack of short-term catalysts for China's equity markets and our outlook on the AI investment theme, which is key to markets in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:19) - Asia update – Japan, Korea and China: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong (13:50) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US, European and Asian markets have all reacted positively to news in the US yesterday. Private payrolls and ISM data revealed that the economy is more resilient than had been feared. Advanced Micro Devices' Q3 earnings beat expectations, and their tide lifted other AI boats globally. And the Supreme Court hinted that it may well place limits on President Trump's tariffs, although we'll have to wait a while for any decision there. Our Head of Next Generation Research, Carsten Menke, provides insights into the rollercoaster ride that copper has been on recently, sharing his thoughts on what might come next.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:58) - Copper: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (11:05) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global markets retreated yesterday as investors took a closer look at lofty AI valuations. The US dollar climbed to a three-month high, supported by persistent inflation concerns and the ongoing government shutdown. Commodities came under pressure, with both gold and oil slipping, while crypto markets saw sharp declines amid broader risk-off sentiment. In Asia, tech-led losses weighed on indices, and minutes from the Bank of Japan revealed a growing internal debate over potential rate hikes. Joining the show today are Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, who discusses the US public debt dynamics, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who shares insights on Q3 hyperscaler earnings, the AI bubble, and emerging market equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:13) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:21) - Q3 earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (16:49) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stock markets edged higher during the European and US trading sessions, buoyed by earnings and renewed investor enthusiasm around AI-driven deals and ahead of Palantir's highly anticipated earnings release after the close. Although the company surpassed earnings expectations, its share price tumbled post-market as concerns emerged over its current valuation. In today's discussion, we're joined by Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who provides insight into the evolving opportunities and risks within the AI ecosystem.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:34) - Artificial Intelligence update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:25) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets were buoyed by solid tech earnings, a positive Trump–Xi meeting, and a wave of AI-related deals last week. Nvidia single-handedly created an entire country's economy in five days. Outside the tech sector, however, equity performance was more muted. European markets lagged, weighed down by persistent inflation and cautious central bank messaging. Meanwhile, emerging market equities posted their strongest year-to-date rally since the dawn of the internet era. Joining the show is Markus Wachter from our Technical Analysis team. He shares insights on what seasonality suggests for the remainder of the year, what US equity market internals are signalling, and why copper may be on the verge of a secular breakout.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:47) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:40) - Technical Analysis update: Markus Wachter, Technical Analysis (08:47) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US Markets closed slightly lower on Thursday after hyperscaler earnings raised concerns about increasing AI spending, but Apple and Amazon results after the close provided a boost to futures. The mood was further elevated by an agreement between China and the US that seemingly delays the trade war by a year. To date, October 2025 is bucking the historical trend, with the big three US indices all in positive territory. Our Chief Economist, David Kohl, assesses this week's central bank action and what to expect policy-wise going forwards. And Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, provides a round up of what he is seeing with the Japanese yen, the US dollar and the euro, as well as the latest on silver and gold.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:43) - Central bank meetings: David Kohl, Chief Economist (13:03) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (17:10) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US Federal Reserve delivered a widely anticipated rate cut, but growing divisions among policymakers spooked markets. Strong AI-driven spending fuelled big-tech earnings, but the outlooks dented the bullish mood. Eurozone markets gained on robust banking performance, while the main indices in the UK and Spain hit another all-time high. The Bank of Japan opted to leave rates unchanged at its meeting today. The meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi ended and has eased some global trade concerns – but underlying tensions persist. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, talks about rare earths as well as oil in light of the latest sanctions.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:41) - Oil and rare earths: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (13:05) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

As European markets experience some profit-taking ahead of key central bank meetings, all major US stock indices closed at record highs. However, market breadth remains narrow, driven primarily by gains in just a few mega-cap technology stocks. Today, we welcome Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, who shares his outlook on upcoming interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank – and what these developments could mean for fixed income investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:54) - Fixed income & central banks: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (13:09) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global equity markets rallied as optimism around US-China trade negotiations lifted investor sentiment. European trade-sensitive sectors led early gains, while Wall Street closed at new record highs, driven by strong performances in chip stocks. Gold sold off sharply and oil prices dipped. In tech, Qualcomm surged on its AI pivot, while AMD partnered with the US government on supercomputing. Argentina's markets soared following political developments, and Japan signed new trade deals with the US. Joining the show today are Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who shares insights on the unfolding earnings season, and Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, who covers the latest developments in crypto assets.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:36) - Earnings Season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (09:33) - Latest news on Crypto assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (13:20) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global stocks rose on renewed optimism that the United States and China are nearing a trade agreement. The upbeat sentiment also lifted commodity prices, with copper and oil posting gains. In contrast, Treasuries declined and gold slipped. Looking ahead, investors face a pivotal week featuring interest rate decisions from four G7 central banks and earnings reports from five of the ‘Mag-7' tech giants—Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, and Amazon. Joining the show is Markus Wachter from our Technical Analysis team. He discusses the significance of Japan's Nikkei breaking above the 50,000-point level and shares his outlook on the Swiss franc, anticipating the end of a prolonged consolidation phase.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:32) - Technical Analysis update: Markus Wachter, Technical Analysis (09:54) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Oil prices spiked over 5% after the US imposed fresh sanctions on Russia's top crude producers. Meanwhile, equity markets rallied on strong corporate earnings, with European luxury and US tech stocks leading the charge. The Swiss National Bank released its first-ever policy minutes, offering insights into its current stance. In Asia, markets gained ahead of President Trump's upcoming visit to the region, where trade and security talks with China's President Xi are in focus. Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong, joins us to share his views on China, Japan, and Singapore.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:28) - Asia update: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong (11:41) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

European and US stocks moved lower in yesterday's trading sessions, with earnings releases and new mooted curbs on US software exports to China doing nothing to boost the trading mood. Asia's equity markets also reacted negatively to the escalation in trade tensions. Oil prices jumped about 3% last night after the US administration imposed further sanctions on Russia's two largest crude companies, Rosneft and Lukoil, aiming to harm the Kremlin's ability to raise revenue to fund its war against Ukraine. Our Head of Equity Strategy Research, Mathieu Racheter, joins the podcast to provide an update on a – so far – strong US earnings season. He explains why next week is the one to watch out for though, as it should reveal whether or not AI momentum is still building.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:11) - Earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy (10:22) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

European and US equity markets were mixed yesterday, with gains from strong earnings offset by declines in mining stocks. French shares reached record highs despite political uncertainty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new peak following robust earnings. US Treasury yields fell on weak data; gold and silver saw steep declines; the USD strengthened, and the Swiss franc approached record highs amid resilient exports. India and the US are reportedly negotiating a trade deal involving lower tariffs and reduced Russian oil imports. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, provides his timely take on one of the sharpest declines in precious metals in years.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:21) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:04) - Gold update: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:38) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stocks bounce back on diminishing fears regarding US regional bank credit quality and positive earnings reports. Meanwhile, French assets lag on the back of waning investor confidence and company specific news in the banking sector, and the gold rally continues. Today, we are joined by Eirini Tsekeridou from Fixed Income Research, who shares her thoughts on French bonds after the downgrade, on Argentina ahead of the mid-term elections on Sunday, and the credit jitters among US regional banks.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:54) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:28) - Bond market update: Eirini Tsekeridou, Fixed Income Research (12:21) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets swung wildly last week as easing US-China trade tensions clashed with fresh regional bank fears. While Wall Street rebounded on Friday, Europe lagged amid banking and defence sector woes. Bond yields fell, gold slipped, and this morning Asia rallied on Japanese political shifts. All eyes now turn to earnings and US inflation data later this week. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he still likes gold and why he expects equity markets to kick-off a year-end rally.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:51) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:21) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US stocks opened higher yesterday, but then reversed course. Small caps underperformed, and market volatility rose amid credit concerns at regional banks. In Europe, Swiss and French equity markets outperformed, supported by positive corporate news and France temporarily avoiding a political crisis. Gold extended its record-breaking rally. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury fell below a key threshold, reflecting weak economic data and dovish comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, shares his insights on bank earnings and talks about US vs European banks. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, discusses key considerations amid the rally in precious metals and the recent pullback in the US dollar.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:42) - Earnings season: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (09:25) - Currencies and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (13:46) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global equities rebounded midweek, driven by a sharp rally in European luxury stocks and strong earnings from major US banks. US-China trade tensions remain in focus, with Treasury Secretary Bessent reaffirming a firm stance. The AI theme continues to dominate headlines, supported by major deal announcements and robust earnings results. In commodities, both gold and oil are trading higher this Wednesday morning. Gold is benefiting from its safe-haven appeal, while oil prices are rising on reports that India may reduce its purchases of Russian crude. Today's show features Nicolas Jordan from the CIO Office, who shares his insights on the US equity market, China, and gold.(00:00) - Introduction: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:43) - Update from the CIO Office: Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis (13:27) - Closing remarks: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Equities fluctuated on mixed US–China trade signals and a speech by the US Federal Reserve Chair, which suggested that the central bank may be ready to halt balance sheet reduction. This boosted small-cap stocks and non-technology sectors, while robust bank earnings added momentum. Asian markets rose, although China lagged due to data indicating persistent deflationary pressures. Gold reached new highs, whereas oil declined amid supply concerns. Sophie Altermatt, Macro & Next Generation Research, shares our perspective on the tense US–China trade negotiations.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:44) - Developments in China: Sophie Altermatt, Macro & Next Generation Research (10:23) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

President Trump's Sunday post – “Don't worry about China, it will all be fine” – boosted stock markets yesterday, with further positive AI-specific headlines also providing fuel to a rally that saw the main indices clawing back a good part of their losses from Friday's sell-off. News overnight that China is imposing curbs on American units of South Korean shipbuilder Hanwha Ocean Co. have seen markets in Asia retreat and US futures drop. Gold and silver were the winners, yet again. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, joins the podcast today to bring an update on Bitcoin, explaining why crypto assets are also impacted by geopolitical risks.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:04) - Digital assets update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (09:19) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global markets tumbled on Friday following renewed trade war fears sparked by President Trump's aggressive rhetoric towards China. Major global indices saw sharp declines, while gold surged past USD 4,000 an ounce. In Europe, political uncertainty in France added to the risk-off mood, with President Macron's surprise reappointment of Lecornu facing immediate opposition. Meanwhile, China's latest trade data showed unexpected resilience, and Japan saw a shift in its political landscape with the dissolution of its ruling coalition. Joining us today is Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his insights on the market fallout.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:35) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:35) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

After a strong rally, US and European markets paused, with major indices closing lower amid a more cautious mood. In Europe, Ferrari's downward revision to guidance and HSBC's restructuring in Hong Kong weighed on sentiment, even as Germany's DAX reached a fresh intra-day high. Geopolitical developments dominated headlines, with Israel and Hamas agreeing to a ceasefire. Gold and oil prices retreated on the news. Meanwhile, silver surged past USD 50 an ounce for the first time ever yesterday. China's expanded restrictions on rare earth exports triggered a rally in US mining stocks, underscoring strategic tensions in global tech supply chains. In fixed income, US Treasury yields edged slightly higher amid ongoing uncertainty around a potential government shutdown, and Fed Governor Barr cautioned against premature rate cuts. In Asia, South Korea's Kospi outperformed, buoyed by strong performances from AI-driven chipmakers. Joining us today is Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, who shares insights on precious metals, the US dollar, and the Japanese yen.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:20) - FX and metals markets: Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva (10:00) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

European and US equities edged higher as gold held above USD 4,000/oz amid ongoing economic and political uncertainty. Despite strong travel data, Chinese consumer sentiment remains weak, while Germany's industrial downturn fuels structural concerns. With the Fed maintaining a dovish stance and political tensions easing in France, investors turn to upcoming earnings and central bank cues. Today, we're joined by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, to discuss his outlook for the Q3 earnings season.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:21) - Q3 Earnings season preview: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (13:34) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global equity markets paused after a strong rally, with US equities dipping slightly and bringing an end to a seven-day winning streak as Oracle's weak cloud margins raised concerns about profitability in AI infrastructure. European stocks remained flat, though French luxury brands outperformed. Airbus broke a major commercial barrier when its A320 family of planes overtook the Boeing 737 to become the most delivered jetliner in history. In currencies, the yen and euro weakened amid political shifts, while the US dollar strengthened. Meanwhile, gold surged past USD 4000 per ounce, continuing its record-breaking run. To talk about what is behind the recent rally and the outlook for this precious metal, we are joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research. Also on the show today is Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong, who shares his insights on Japan and China – and what recent developments mean for global investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:56) - Gold: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:17) - Japan & China: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong (16:21) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Major US equity indices, from small caps to tech, hit fresh highs yesterday, spurred by strong corporate news – from semiconductors to banking deals. Political uncertainty in France and Japan lifted bond yields, weakened the yen and euro, and drove gold towards the historic USD 4,000 per ounce level, while oil rose on a modest OPEC+ output increase. Eirini Tsekeridou, Fixed Income Research, assesses the outlook for France following the surprise resignation of its prime minister. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, sees the AI investment surge as a boom – not (yet) a bubble.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (05:48) - Impact of French politics on markets: Eirini Tsekeridou, Fixed Income Research (08:07) - Cloud computing and Artificial Intelligence update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (12:19) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Japanese equities surge to fresh record highs as Sanae Takaichi – known for being pro-stimulus - has won the LDP leadership and is likely to become the country's first female prime minister. Consequently, Japanese government bond yields have risen, while the yen weakened against major currencies. Meanwhile, both bitcoin and gold extended their rallies, reaching new highs as investors seek out alternative stores of value. Today, we welcome Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his insights on whether the current momentum behind gold's upward trajectory is sustainable - or if a correction may be on the horizon.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:22) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:30) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global stock markets rally to fresh record highs amid upbeat developments in the automotive and artificial intelligence sectors, with gains extending beyond the US into European bourses. Meanwhile, Warren Buffett has re-entered acquisition mode for the first time since 2022, signalling renewed confidence in deal-making opportunities. In today's podcast, we welcome Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, who shares his latest insights on commodity markets – with a particular focus on oil and natural gas.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:48) - Commodities update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (11:04) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

European and US stock markets rallied on Wednesday, seemingly unconcerned by the US government shutdown. The S&P 500 closed above the 6,700 level for the first time ever. Asian stocks, particularly in South Korea, were boosted overnight after OpenAI signed an agreement with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix for them to supply the company with memory chips. OpenAI also completed a share sale at a record USD 500 billion valuation, making the creator of ChatGPT the world's most valuable startup. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva shares what he is seeing in terms of market activity in precious metals – there are some surprising revelations. His thoughts on investors only being conceptually bearish on the USD are also worth hearing.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:40) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:15) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

September saw strong gains across markets, with the S&P 500 up 3%. Hong Kong outperformed, rising 7%. Gold hit multiple highs and credit spreads narrowed to multi-year lows. Yesterday, healthcare rallied after Pfizer announced discounted drug sales via a new government platform. Switzerland and the United States issued a joint statement opposing currency manipulation. In Asia, trading was subdued due to China's Golden Week, while Tokyo declined on interest rate concerns. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, comments on the US government shutdown, noting that while politically sensitive, the market impact is likely to remain limited.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:58) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:29) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:09) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

European markets closed higher yesterday, buoyed by strong performances in the healthcare and luxury sectors. In the US, concerns over a potential government shutdown failed to dampen investor sentiment, as a rebound in AI-related stocks helped support equity markets. Beyond market movements, President Trump unveiled a proposed plan to address the conflict in Gaza, alongside announcing a new wave of tariffs targeting a wide range of goods from films to furniture. In commodities, gold continues its impressive rally, reaching yet another record high. Meanwhile, oil prices declined sharply amid expectations that OPEC+ may increase output in November. Joining us on today's episode is James Haunso from Next Generation Research, who shares a timely and insightful update on the cybersecurity investment theme.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:15) - Cybersecurity: James Haunso, Next Generation Research (12:04) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets faced a turbulent week, starting with caution amid hawkish Fed commentary and trade tensions, but ending on a more optimistic note thanks to a solid US inflation report. Global equities rebounded on Friday, though US equities still closed the week in negative territory. In contrast, European markets held steady, supported by robust economic data and reassurance regarding pharmaceutical tariffs. Meanwhile, gold continues its upward momentum. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he still likes the precious metal, he discusses this year's lacklustre performance of Swiss equities and offers guidance for Swiss investors, noting that the Swiss franc is expected to strengthen further.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:07) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:08) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets hit some rough patches yesterday, with all major European indices closing lower, followed by similar losses across the three main US benchmarks. Revised US data revealed an upward adjustment to second-quarter GDP, while jobless claims came in below expectations. This prompted markets to reassess the outlook for future interest rate cuts. Overnight, trade tensions resurfaced as US President Trump announced new tariffs targeting pharmaceuticals and heavy-duty trucks. Asian pharmaceutical stocks were quick to react, reflecting renewed concerns over global trade policy. Today, attention turns to the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. Joining us to unpack the latest developments in currencies and precious metals is Tim Gagie, our Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:07) - Gold and silver: Tim Gagie, Head of PB Sales (Geneva) – FX and PM (12:15) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US indices closed lower yesterday, despite good performance by some individual names, notably Intel, which rallied 6.4% after reports of a possible investment by Apple. President Trump's announcements regarding Ukraine boosted defence stocks globally and semiconductor stocks powered the Asian indices. Today's US jobless claims and tomorrow's release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index will now be closely monitored for signs of the Fed's intentions. With gold and silver continuing to rally, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, provides some insights into why the inflows are continuing at such a strong pace, as he unpicks central bank and investor demand.Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US equities struggled to keep up with the recent momentum yesterday, with the S&P 500 posting its worst day in three weeks, while the NASDAQ and the Magnificent 7 saw even larger declines. Questions around the Nvidia-OpenAI-deal weighed on segment. Over in Europe, there was much more of a risk-on tone after the September flash PMIs painted a picture of ongoing resilience. Powell did not offer any groundbreaking revelations in yesterday's press conference, reiterating his arguments for last week's rate cut. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, discusses what the restarted rate cutting cycle means for equities going into year end, as well as what he thinks about Swiss equities after August's tariff shock.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:52) - Equity market update and outlook: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (11:40) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.