Moving Markets: Daily News

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Moving Markets is a daily market news briefing from Julius Baer. Our experts discuss the latest market developments and put the headlines in perspective to set you up for the coming day. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.

Julius Baer


    • Oct 1, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekdays NEW EPISODES
    • 12m AVG DURATION
    • 820 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from Moving Markets: Daily News

    Washington shuts its doors

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 12:22


    September saw strong gains across markets, with the S&P 500 up 3%. Hong Kong outperformed, rising 7%. Gold hit multiple highs and credit spreads narrowed to multi-year lows. Yesterday, healthcare rallied after Pfizer announced discounted drug sales via a new government platform. Switzerland and the United States issued a joint statement opposing currency manipulation. In Asia, trading was subdued due to China's Golden Week, while Tokyo declined on interest rate concerns. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, comments on the US government shutdown, noting that while politically sensitive, the market impact is likely to remain limited.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:58) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:29) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:09) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets hold firm as shutdown fears loom

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2025 13:11


    European markets closed higher yesterday, buoyed by strong performances in the healthcare and luxury sectors. In the US, concerns over a potential government shutdown failed to dampen investor sentiment, as a rebound in AI-related stocks helped support equity markets. Beyond market movements, President Trump unveiled a proposed plan to address the conflict in Gaza, alongside announcing a new wave of tariffs targeting a wide range of goods from films to furniture. In commodities, gold continues its impressive rally, reaching yet another record high. Meanwhile, oil prices declined sharply amid expectations that OPEC+ may increase output in November. Joining us on today's episode is James Haunso from Next Generation Research, who shares a timely and insightful update on the cybersecurity investment theme.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:15) - Cybersecurity: James Haunso, Next Generation Research (12:04) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Equities rebound and gold reaches another all-time high

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2025 10:17


    Markets faced a turbulent week, starting with caution amid hawkish Fed commentary and trade tensions, but ending on a more optimistic note thanks to a solid US inflation report. Global equities rebounded on Friday, though US equities still closed the week in negative territory. In contrast, European markets held steady, supported by robust economic data and reassurance regarding pharmaceutical tariffs. Meanwhile, gold continues its upward momentum. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he still likes the precious metal, he discusses this year's lacklustre performance of Swiss equities and offers guidance for Swiss investors, noting that the Swiss franc is expected to strengthen further.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:07) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:08) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets rattle as data surprises and tariffs return

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2025 13:31


    Markets hit some rough patches yesterday, with all major European indices closing lower, followed by similar losses across the three main US benchmarks. Revised US data revealed an upward adjustment to second-quarter GDP, while jobless claims came in below expectations. This prompted markets to reassess the outlook for future interest rate cuts. Overnight, trade tensions resurfaced as US President Trump announced new tariffs targeting pharmaceuticals and heavy-duty trucks. Asian pharmaceutical stocks were quick to react, reflecting renewed concerns over global trade policy. Today, attention turns to the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. Joining us to unpack the latest developments in currencies and precious metals is Tim Gagie, our Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:07) - Gold and silver: Tim Gagie, Head of PB Sales (Geneva) – FX and PM (12:15) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Have equity markets hit an air pocket?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2025 16:44


    US indices closed lower yesterday, despite good performance by some individual names, notably Intel, which rallied 6.4% after reports of a possible investment by Apple. President Trump's announcements regarding Ukraine boosted defence stocks globally and semiconductor stocks powered the Asian indices. Today's US jobless claims and tomorrow's release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index will now be closely monitored for signs of the Fed's intentions. With gold and silver continuing to rally, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, provides some insights into why the inflows are continuing at such a strong pace, as he unpicks central bank and investor demand.Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US equities slide as Nvidia-OpenAI deal raises questions

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 24, 2025 12:46


    US equities struggled to keep up with the recent momentum yesterday, with the S&P 500 posting its worst day in three weeks, while the NASDAQ and the Magnificent 7 saw even larger declines. Questions around the Nvidia-OpenAI-deal weighed on segment. Over in Europe, there was much more of a risk-on tone after the September flash PMIs painted a picture of ongoing resilience. Powell did not offer any groundbreaking revelations in yesterday's press conference, reiterating his arguments for last week's rate cut. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, discusses what the restarted rate cutting cycle means for equities going into year end, as well as what he thinks about Swiss equities after August's tariff shock.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:52) - Equity market update and outlook: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (11:40) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Headwinds in Europe, tailwinds in big tech – and momentum building in Asia

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2025 14:50


    European markets have recently underperformed compared to their US counterparts, with German automakers weighing heavily on broader indices yesterday. Meanwhile, US technology stocks continue to power ahead, buoyed by another significant development in the AI space—the announcement of a partnership of Nvidia with one of its largest customers, OpenAI. In today's episode of Moving Markets, we are joined by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong, who sheds light on how the ongoing AI boom is driving growth not just in the US, but also across select Asian markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:07) - China and Japan in focus: Richard Tang, Head of Equity Research Hong Kong (13:41) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US equity strength sets up a promising finish

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2025 10:44


    Wall Street trades at record highs after the Fed cut rates, led by technology stocks. Investors expect further cuts, but hawkish Fed comments pushed both US Treasury yields and the dollar higher last week. In Europe, data showed industrial output rebounding; in Asia, Bank of Japan's ETF unwind plans initially weighed on Japanese shares, but concerns are easing this Monday. Gold rises for a fifth week with record ETF inflows, Apple climbs after the iPhone 19 launch, and Porsche postpones its EV launch. Trump's USD 100,000 H-1B visa fee threatens US tech and India-US relations. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, notes that strong US equities year-to-date and in September bode very well for the rest of the year.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:45) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:47) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:33) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Equities cheer Fed Rate cuts

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2025 18:03


    All of the major US equity indices hit a new all-time high, a day after the US Federal Reserve's first rate cut of the year and stronger-than-expected economic data. Europe followed suit with strength in semiconductor stocks. Central banks diverged: Norway cut rates, the Bank of England held steady, and the Bank of Japan surprised by announcing plans to offload its large equity ETF holdings. Asian markets are mixed, with Japanese stocks volatile and Asian dollar bond spreads at record lows—reflecting global optimism in credit markets. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, shares his take on this week's central bank decisions, while Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, examines the USD and gold following a central bank heavy week.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:08) - Central bank actions – implications for bonds: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (12:28) - FX and metals markets: Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva (16:56) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The Fed is back to lowering rates

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 12:11


    The US central bank delivered a widely expected rate cut, sparking mixed market reactions amid cautious optimism. Tech stocks wobbled, especially Nvidia, after China's internet regulator had told the country's tech companies to stop buying Nvidia's AI chips and terminate its existing orders. Robotaxis and a USD 42 billion tech pact between the US and the UK fuelled gains elsewhere. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, explains copper's role in powering the AI revolution and what the Fed decision means for the gold price.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:44) - Copper: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (11:00) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    It's Fed day!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2025 13:39


    Yesterday brought a mixed set of signals across global markets. We saw unexpected optimism from Germany, developments on the US–China trade front, stronger-than-expected US retail sales figures, and mounting anticipation ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Equity markets in both Europe and the US ended the session lower, partly weighed down by profit-taking ahead of the policy announcement. In contrast, gold surged to new highs, breaking through the USD 3,700 per ounce mark. Today, all eyes are on the Fed, its forward guidance, and Chair Jerome Powell's press conference that will follow the rate decision. Joining us on the show is Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who provides deeper insights into the rate decision, equity market valuations, and the outlook for emerging markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:21) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:30) - Equity markets in Fed week: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (12:31) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Global equities rally, and French government bond yields making headlines

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2025 12:07


    Global stocks rise on upbeat US-China trade talks, with technology giants driving the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to record highs. Alphabet is joining the USD 3 trillion club, while Tesla is surging after Elon Musk's USD 1 billion share purchase. US chip stocks are facing pressure from Chinese antitrust probes, and gold is at an all-time high on rate cut expectations. European markets are gaining despite France's credit downgrade, with French 10-year government bond yields above their Italian counterparts – a first since 1999. Asian equities reach a 4-year high on strength in technology, and Tencent is launching its first offshore yuan bond. Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research shares insights on the ‘Buy now, pay later' industry.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:21) - Future of finance: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (11:01) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Rate decisions ahead – a make-or-break week for markets?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2025 11:05


    Markets are off to a strong start this week, which will be a critical one with a 'triple-header' of major central bank decisions. The US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are all scheduled to announce their latest monetary policy moves. Recent economic data suggest it may now be time for the Fed to restart its rate-cutting cycle, following a pause that began in January. In today's discussion, we're joined by Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who anticipates further declines in US Treasury yields and the value of the US dollar. He also expects equities to continue their upward momentum, supported by improving technicals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:06) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:58) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets rally as ECB holds rates and US data fuels Fed rate cut bets

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 14:00


    marked a second consecutive pause following eight hikes since last year. In the US, data was mixed: inflation remains sticky but isn't accelerating, and jobless claims unexpectedly surged. These developments have reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Asian markets were lifted overnight by renewed enthusiasm around artificial intelligence. In commodities, gold is trading near record highs, while oil has pulled back from earlier gains this week as investors refocus on fundamentals. Joining us today is Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, who shares his insights on what the ECB's decision and US inflation data mean for bond markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:07) - Fixed income markets after ECB and US inflation data: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (12:43) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    New record closing and intraday highs for US stocks

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 15:27


    US equities surged again yesterday, closing off their intraday highs but nevertheless achieving new records. US PPI data confirmed that growth is slowing, providing more of the data that the Fed needs to start cutting rates again – markets will now scrutinise today's CPI data for more clues. Oracle's near 36% rally yesterday was sparked by astonishing cloud demand numbers. Asian tech also drove markets there higher. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, explains why his team believes oil prices should trend lower and gold higher in the next 12 months, whilst Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis, provides some insights into relative trends in equity style factor performance and why they are important when making portfolio decisions.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:35) - Oil and gold: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (10:05) - Update from the CIO Office: Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis (14:12) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Higher ground – equities rise on rate hopes and merger activity

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 18:27


    Stocks in the US hit another all-time high on expectations that the Federal Reserve will fight the slowdown in jobs growth with interest rate cuts. US inflation data out today and tomorrow will be the next test for markets. The Anglo/Teck ‘merger-of-equals' creates a premier global player in copper and critical minerals. Today, we are joined by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, who explains why he believes markets will grind higher into year-end, and Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PMPrivate Banking Sales Geneva, who shares his current insights on currencies and metals markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:39) - Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (13:03) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (17:14) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    French government collapses as Bayrou loses confidence vote

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2025 10:10


    French Prime Minister Bayrou lost the confidence vote yesterday, triggering the collapse of his government. European markets had no chance to react, as the decision came after trading ended. The political uncertainty adds fresh strain to the eurozone, where stock markets actually started the week on a high. Speaking of highs, the Nasdaq hit a fresh record, driven by strength in tech and AI-related stocks, while gold also rallied to a new peak, supported by expectations of a US rate cut and ongoing geopoliticaltensions. Meanwhile, Japan's Nikkei 225 briefly touched a record intraday high before turning negative, as investors assess the implications of Prime Minister Ishiba's resignation. Joining us today is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who provides an update on the video game industry and the structural transformation it's undergoing.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (05:40) - Video game industry undergoing structural transformation: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (09:06) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Japan's stock markets rally after PM resigns

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2025 10:13


    The Nikkei 225 was up around 1.5% and the Topix hit a record high this morning after Japan's prime minister resigned over the weekend. It's hoped that a new regime should provide greater longer-term policy and political stability, and a more conducive pro-growth environment for the equities market. Asia's stock markets rallied after the US jobs report on Friday provided further justification for data-based Fed rate cuts.At the start of a big week including inflation data, a vote of confidence in the French government and the September ECB meeting, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he believes that there's room for both US equities and the price of gold to rally further and for US Treasury yields to keep falling.  (00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:31) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:03) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    A new all-time high in time for the labour market report

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2025 12:54


    The S&P 500 is trading at fresh all-time highs ahead of today's crucial US non-farm payrolls report, which iswidely seen as the final piece of the puzzle that could give the Federal Reserve the go-ahead to resume cutting interest rates. Meanwhile, Asian markets are rising, buoyed by positive trade developments out of Japan and broader optimism in the region. Joining us today is Tim Gagie, Head of Private Banking Sales in Geneva for FX and Precious Metals, to discuss which currencies – beyond the usual suspects – could benefit from a renewed weakening of the US dollar.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:03) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (11:37) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US tech rally can't help Chinese stocks

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 11:02


    Google avoiding worst-case penalties in its antitrust case lifted tech stocks yesterday, which drove the good performance of both the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500. Meanwhile, US job openings data provided a boost to US Treasuries, fuelling hopes of a September rate cut. Asia joined the rally, with the notable exception of China and Hong Kong. The latter had news specific to Nidec Corp to digest but China's dropcame on the back of news that financial regulators are said to be considering a number of cooling measures for the stock market following its spectacular rally since the start of August. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, joins the show to shed light on the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:42) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:53) - Gold and silver: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:49) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Long term yields spike on fiscal concerns – stocks dive and gold rallies

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2025 12:41


    Global long-term government bond yields spike amid renewed concerns over fiscal sustainability. This has put pressure on equities, which declined broadly – though certain sectors held up better, including luxury stocks. In the US, both major indices ended the session lower, though they recovered somewhat from their intraday lows. Meanwhile, gold emerged as a key beneficiary, climbing to new all-time highs as investorssought safe-haven assets. Alphabet and Apple shares surged in extended trading following a favourable court ruling. Joining us today is Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, and he explains why he isn't overly alarmed by the rise in long-end yields.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:47) - Fixed income markets: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:28) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Start of September brings gains for European equities and gold

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2025 12:48


    With US markets closed yesterday for a public holiday, attention was firmly on European markets, where equities began the new month on a positive note. Two sectors led the gains: defence and healthcare. Meanwhile, European bond markets weakened slightly, weighed down by ongoing concerns over France's political stability and fiscal outlook. Overnight in Asia, markets traded mixed as investors digested developments from the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit amid lingering uncertainty over tariffs. In commodities, gold hit a fresh record high, while oil prices were supported by worries of potential supply disruptions. Joining us today is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who discusses the latest developments in AI data centre projects – specifically in Asia – and their role in advancing global AI innovation and deployment.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:51) - Artificial Intelligence news: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (11:43) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Precious metals shine as markets open September

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 1, 2025 10:25


    August saw strong gains in global equities, particularly in the Dow Jones, as well as indices in both China, and Japan. Gold has hit a four-month high nearing USD 3,500 per ounce this morning, driven by concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence and uncertainty around US tariffs. Silver is breaking the USD 40 an ounce level – for the first time since 2011 – boosted by supply constraints and rising demand from the clean energy sector. After tech profit-taking last week and ongoing political risks in France, investors face a seasonally weak September with pivotal US labour market data due on Friday and the anticipation of US rate cuts later in the month. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, notes that declining US corporate bond yields bodes well for US stocks, while gold and silver offer further upside.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:23) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:16) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Fed independence in the spotlight as markets await key inflation gauge

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2025 16:25


    Yesterday saw a flurry of economic data releases, accompanied by significant political developments. The US economy demonstrated stronger-than-expected resilience in the second quarter, expanding at a revised annualised rate of 3.3%, while recent labour market figures suggest a supportive backdrop. Meanwhile, Donald Trump's attempt to dismiss Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, followed by her decision to sue the President, could have a profound effect on the relationship between the White House and the central bank. Stock markets remained robust yesterday, with the S&P 500 reaching a new intraday high. Attention now turns to today's key US economic data release: the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index – the Federal Reserve's favoured measure of inflation. Joining us today are Nenad Dinic, who offers insights into the French equity market amid ongoing political uncertainty, and Tim Gagie, who provides an update on the current trends in FX and precious metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:25) - Equity update – France: Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research (10:38) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (15:08) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Nvidia beats but its share price tumbles in after-markets trading

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 13:16


    French stocks have staged a modest recovery following the recent sell-off, while government bond spreads relative to neighbouring Germany have continued to widen. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 reached a new record high, as investors awaited Nvidia's Q2 earnings report after the market close. Despite exceeding analyst expectations, Nvidia's share price declined in after-hours trading. To discuss how current geopolitical developments may influence commodity prices, we are joined by Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:23) - Energy markets: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (12:02) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    After Jackson Hole is ahead of Nvidia's earnings report

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2025 12:38


    French political uncertainty sparks market jitters, sending European equities tumbling, with the CAC 40 falling a further 1.7% yesterday. In contrast, US stocks buck the trend despite concerns over the Fed's independence. Today, market participants will focus on upcoming corporate earnings, in particular Nvidia's quarterly results. And we have Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, on the show to discuss what Jackson Hole and the French confidence vote mean for bond markets, and what fixed income investors should do now.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:52) - What Jackson Hole and the French confidence vote mean for bond markets: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:30) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    President Trump tries a new tack to unsettle the Fed

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 13:38


    The US President attempted to sack Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook yesterday – a move that saw the dollar fall and gold gain. These moves were somewhat reversed when Governor Cook's lawyer called the action illegal and lacking proper process and Cook vowed not to quit. Trump was also in the news for threatening “200% tariffs or something” on China if it does not export rare-earth magnets to the US. European markets closed Monday lower with the CAC 40 down more than 1.6% after the country's Prime Minister announced that he will seek a confidence vote in parliament next month over the government's budget plans. US markets also traded lower on Monday following Friday's rally, and Asia followed suit with the exception of China's CSI 300 which traded marginally higher. Richard Tang, Head of Equity Research Asia, shares his thoughts on the recent Chinese equity rally and explains why he now believes that A shares should outperform H shares. He also provides insights into his preferred sectors for those looking to get on board. (00:00) - Introduction: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (01:05) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (07:07) - Asia update, including China: Richard Tang, Head of Equity Research Asia (12:27) - Closing remarks: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Jerome Powell opens the door to interest rate cuts

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2025 11:05


    Global markets have rallied following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish speech on Friday that opened the door to interest rate cuts. In response, stocks, bonds, gold, and crypto assets surged, while the US dollar has fallen. Asian equity markets are following Wall Street this morning, led by shares in Hong Kong. The US government will acquire a 9.9% stake in Intel. Looking ahead to the week, key events include Nvidia's earnings report on Wednesday after the market close, as well as crucial inflation data releases on both sides of the Atlantic on Friday. According to Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research, market breadth indicators in the US and Europe suggest further stock market gains are likely through to the end of the year.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:20) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:55) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    S&P 500 continues to slide, while Walmart warns of tariff impact

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2025 12:01


    US stocks extended their losses amid trade tensions and mixed corporate earnings. Stronger-than-expected PMI data and warnings from Walmart, the US retail giant, that Trump's tariffs are driving up costs, have heightened inflation concerns and lifted yields. As markets are looking for direction, investors eagerly await Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's keynote speech at Jackson Hole, seeking guidance on future interest rates. Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM Solutions Geneva, discusses what this means for the US dollar and in which currencies he sees opportunities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:22) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:47) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    A significant intra-day reversal in US technology stocks

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2025 11:38


    The Nasdaq 100 fell as much as 1.5% before recovering to close just 0.6% lower. Markets remain on edge ahead of key events, including Jay Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium tomorrow, whilst the USD remains unchanged and gold rises amid concerns over Fed independence. UK inflation surged to an 18-month high and government bonds rallied, lifting large-cap UK stocks, whilst Asian markets showed mixed results, with technology-heavy Korea and Taiwan rising and Japan's Nikkei 225 falling. Shares in Shanghai have reached their highest in a decade. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses the Circular Economy investment theme, focusing on the plastic problem.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:34) - Circular Economy: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:26) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Tech stocks stumble but the broader market holds up

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2025 17:19


    While major European stock markets experienced a cautiously optimistic trading session, buoyed by hopes of de-escalation in Ukraine, the main US indices ended the day in negative territory, led by declines in large-cap technology stocks. Nevertheless, a notable 70% of S&P 500 constituents managed to finish higher, as investors looked ahead to the Jackson Hole symposium, which begins tomorrow, for fresh insights into future monetary policy. For expert analysis, Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, shares his perspectives on these developments, while Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, discusses the potential implications of a peace agreement for European equities, especially the defence sector.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (06:38) - Expectations for Jackson Hole: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (12:12) - Defence stocks in the wake of peace talks: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (16:12) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Financial markets cautiously optimistic after Trump-Zelenskyy meeting

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2025 11:21


    President Zelenskyy's second meeting at the White House delivered more smiles than his first but resulted in expectations rather than deals. President Trump has announced that he will now set up a face-to-face meeting for Ukraine and Russia's leaders, and President Zelenskyy has made security guarantees a ‘starting point for ending the war'. Financial markets are breathing a small sigh of relief and now turning their attention to the Jackson Hole global central bank symposium starting on Thursday. Meanwhile, technological advancements and product innovations in the asset management space are blurring the divide between public and private markets, and the exchange traded fund (ETF) market is now undergoing something of a revolution – Next Generation analyst Manuel Villegas joins the podcast to explain the trend and what it might mean for investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:27) - Future of finance: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:14) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Ukraine, the Fed, and market breadth

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2025 11:08


    Major equity markets surge to new highs, driven by easing trade tensions, robust US earnings, and expectations of US interest rate cuts even as US inflation remains a concern. This trend is also reflected in US investment-grade credit spreads, which have reached their lowest level since 1998. Meanwhile, Indian markets are up over 1% today, following news of a planned cut in consumption tax. Looking ahead, investors are eagerly anticipating several key events this week, including today's meeting between Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump in Washington DC, the release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, and Fed Chair Jay Powell's speech in Jackson Hole on Friday. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research, shares his insights on what market breadth reveals about our regional equity preferences from a technical perspective.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:34) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:01) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Trump-Putin summit takes centre stage after hot US inflation data

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2025 9:37


    Yesterday's hotter-than-expected US inflation data prompted a reassessment of rate cut expectations, driving yields and the US dollar higher. Although most stocks fell, the S&P 500 managed to eke out a marginal gain, largely due tothe strong performance of major tech companies. Notably, Intel's stock jumped on news that the Trump administration was considering taking a stake in the beleaguered chipmaker. Attention now turns to the upcoming Trump-Putin summit, where discussions may significantly impact safe-haven assets like gold and the Swiss franc. To explore the potential implications and trading opportunities, Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions, shares his insights.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:16) - FX and metals: Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions (08:23) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    So many all-time highs

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 14:47


    Benchmark equity indices in the US, Italy, Spain, and the UK have surged to new highs, fuelled by a benign US inflation report and Germany's inflation data confirming a sub-2% reading. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says US interest rates could be 150 to 175 basis points lower. Bitcoin has hit a new all-time high, with Ether also close to its record high. Japanese shares are down on a stronger yen, after previously reaching a record high. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, weighs in on the energy market outlook: from oil to gas and Friday's US-Russia summit.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:45) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:14) - Update on oil and gas: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (13:34) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets at new all-time highs as US inflation remains contained

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2025 19:26


    The latest US inflation figures for July sent stocks soaring to new all-time highs once again. With a 25 basis-point rate cut in September now widely anticipated by market participants, expectations are running high. In contrast, European markets underperformed due to disappointing economic data from Germany. Joining us today are Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research. Dario shares his rationale for why he doesn't foresee any significant yield spikes, while Mathieu provides insight into the challenges facing the pharmaceutical sector and the shifting landscape of market leadership in Europe.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:37) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:29) - Fixed Income: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (12:34) - Equities: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (18:10) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    All eyes on today's US inflation report

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2025 11:32


    The main question on everyone's mind is whether today's US inflation report will corroborate the narrative of easing inflation, potentially paving the way for a possible Federal Reserve rate cut in September. A stronger-than-expected inflation figure would serve as a reality check for investors. Meanwhile, geopolitical developments, such as the upcoming meeting between Trump and Putin, and trade news, including the extension of the US-China trade truce, are dominating the headlines. Overnight, the Australian central bank cut interest rates, whilst Japanese shares reached new record highs. Joining us on the show to discuss the recent surge in Bitcoin and Ethereum is Manuel Villegas from our Next Generation Research team.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:08) - Digital assets – Bitcoin and Ethereum rally: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:25) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Stocks move higher but this week's inflation data will be crucial

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2025 11:25


    US stocks are on a tear with the S&P 500 trading just a whisker below its all-time high and the Nasdaq shining thanks to renewed enthusiasm around tech and artificial intelligence stocks. European stocks are also having a good run with banks in the lead. However, Switzerland has been lagging after the hefty 39% levies on Swiss exports to the US took effect on Thursday. This week's inflation data will be decisive in terms of whether markets can rally further. Joining us this morning is Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his insights on the direction of US yields and explains why he believes in a rise in gold prices during the second half of this year.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:23) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:16) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Plenty on the plate for markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2025 13:24


    Once again, investors are facing a flood of news to digest – from tariff updates, such as Japan's announcement that the US will end the stacking of universal tariffs and cut levies on cars; to central bank developments, including the Bank of England's rate decision and the appointment of Stephen Miran to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors; to company-specific headlines, such as Eli Lilly's latest study results; and geopolitical updates, including a potential Trump - Putin meeting. Joining us to discuss the latest developments in the currencies and metals markets is Tim Gagie, our Head of FX/PM Private Banking in Geneva.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:22) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (12:08) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Earnings boost markets but tariffs loom large

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2025 11:56


    Markets are in a positive mood, driven by corporate earnings that are exceeding expectations, and this is despite further 'tariff sabre-rattling' by President Donald Trump, who announced a potential 100% tariff on chips and semiconductors that are not manufactured in the US. Meanwhile, Switzerland has yet to successfully negotiate a reduction in the US tariff of 39%. Yields are slightly higher this morning, partly due to the underwhelming demand in yesterday's auction of new 10-year US Treasuries. For insights into the bank's investment strategy, we are joined by Nicolas Jordan from the CIO Investment Analysis team.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (05:47) - Update from the CIO Office: Nicolas Jordan, CIO Investment Analysis (10:43) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Trade news and macro data keep investors on their toes

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2025 20:43


    With tariffs on Switzerland still in focus, a small Swiss delegation travels to Washington to negotiate a resolution. Meanwhile, emerging tariff threats for semiconductors and pharmaceuticals are weighing on market sentiment. Beyond trade developments, investors must digest a slew of macroeconomic figures and reports from the ongoing earnings season. The US Federal Reserve is also in the spotlight, especially after President Trump announced his intention to nominate a new Fed Chair by the end of the week. To provide clarity amidst the market turmoil, we welcome Dario Messi, our Head of Fixed Income Research, and Mathieu Racheter, our Head of Equity Strategy, to the show today.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (07:21) - Is Fed independence really at risk? Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (13:24) - Swiss equities and Q2 earnings in focus: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (19:34) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets bounce back – Switzerland lags on tariff shock

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 12:30


    European and US stocks staged a recovery rally yesterday, although the Swiss market trailed behind following the recent 39% tariff shock. Meanwhile, yields have fallen sharply across Europe due to robust real money demand. In the US, yields have also dipped slightly, as markets now largely anticipate a 25 basis-point rate cut in September. With a comprehensive update on the current state of the Swiss property market, we are joined by Markus Waeber, Head of Indirect Real Estate Advisory and Intelligence.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (05:24) - Real estate update: Markus Waeber, Head of Indirect Real Estate Advisory & Intelligence (11:22) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Higher tariffs and lower jobs numbers hit equity markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2025 12:00


    President Trump's team delivered more tariff surprises ahead of the weekend with conditions worsening for both Canada and Switzerland. Then the jobs data delivered some ugly news for the US economy, with severe downward revisions to May and June's data which saw the bearer of the tidings - the commissioner of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics – lose her job. Added to this, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler announced her early departure from office, leaving the President with two new job announcements to make. It's therefore no surprise that equity markets fell, and US treasuries rallied, as markets more than doubled their previous day's bet on a September rate cut to 87.5%. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, joins the podcast today to provide insights into how the tariff news might impact Swiss investors as he discusses rates, the Swiss franc and Swiss equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (06:58) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:50) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Tech giants lift markets after Fed-induced decline

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 12:45


    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has tempered expectations that the central bank may cut interest rates at its September meeting, leading to a modest decline in stock prices. However, after the close of trading, both Microsoft and Meta reported strong earnings for Q2, with their shares rising substantially, which could set the stage for a positive trading day ahead. Meanwhile, Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM Private Banking Sales in Geneva, offers his insights on the current strength of the US dollar and identifies potential opportunities as we head into August.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (07:26) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (11:27) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Solid earnings, growth upgrade, and a sell-off

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2025 12:41


    European equities rebounded yesterday, driven by largely positive earnings, as the IMF upgraded its global growth forecast for this year and next, citing reduced US trade war impact and a weaker US dollar. Meanwhile, Novo Nordisk makes headlines with a 30% share dive on revised sales and profit guidance, and US equities lose steam ahead of today's Fed meeting. For more on the earnings season so far and ahead of the four mega-cap tech stocks that are scheduled for this week, we have Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, on the show.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (05:55) - Q2 Earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (11:32) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Market optimism faded quickly yesterday

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2025 13:36


    The long-awaited trade deal between the EU and the US only provided a temporary boost to the markets, with concerns swiftly being voiced in Europe. Many described the agreement as one-sided, favouring US interests. Following the announcement, the US dollar strengthened while the price of gold plummeted to a three-week low. Meanwhile, oil prices rose, driven by the trade deal and President Trump's renewed pressure on Russia. Attention now turns to US monetary policy, with the Federal Open Market Committee commencing its two-day meeting today. Joining us on the show to discuss the implications of last week's European Central Bank decision and provide insight into this week's rate decision in the US is our Chief Economist, David Kohl.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (06:12) - Central Banks and Trade Deals: David Kohl, Chief Economist (12:26) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Trade tensions ease as US and EU strike a deal

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2025 10:50


    The European Union and the United States have reached a significant trade agreement, substantially reducing the likelihood of an all-out trade war. While some details remain unclear, the markets have responded favourably to the announcement. In a related development, Chinese and US officials are set to convene in Stockholm today to discuss easing trade tensions. Markets have a lot to digest this week with the Federal Reserve interest rate decision and the latest US jobs data due. Also, it is a busy week for company earnings reports, with four of the Mag7 companies reporting, among other. As always on Mondays, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, joins us to share his views on markets from a technical analysis perspective.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (05:35) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:35) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The ECB keeps rates unchanged

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 25, 2025 11:51


    Earnings remain in the spotlight, with notable gains in the banking sector, while Tesla tumbled amid US policy headwinds. The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged and offered a modestly upbeat assessment of the eurozone economy, raising doubts among investors about further policy easing, even while US tariff threats still cloud the outlook. This pushed yields higher and weighed on gold. Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM Private Banking in Geneva, explains why the precious metal has consolidated since Liberation Day, and why he agrees with the consensus view of higher prices for metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (05:54) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:33) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Progress in trade negotiations lift markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2025 11:02


    Global equity markets rally on US-Japan trade deal progress, sparking hopes for EU agreements, with equities surging and gold easing. Japan's Nikkei 225 reaches a new all-time high, as does the S&P 500. In earnings: Alphabet surprises positively, while Tesla disappoints. Companies reporting today include industry giants like Nestle, Roche, Deutsche Bank, and LVMH. The ECB is not expected to cut rates today, with the market's focus on its outlook. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses China's historic new hydropower project – which is six times bigger than the Three Gorges Dam – and explores its potential impact on iron ore and steel prices.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Investment Writing (05:58) - Iron ore and steel: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:51) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Earnings and trade deals keep markets busy

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2025 11:50


    The current earnings season is proving particularly intriguing, with some companies surpassing analyst expectations and others struggling, particularly due to the impact of US tariffs. On the subject of tariffs, the recently announced US-Japan trade deal has boosted market confidence and fuelled optimism that others, such as the European Union, may also be able to secure similar deals. Meanwhile, attention is slowly but surely shifting towards interest rate decisions, with the ECB set to announce its decision tomorrow and the US Federal Reserve scheduled to follow next week. Joining us on the show today is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who provides an update and outlook on the crypto space.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (07:10) - Digital assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:37) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US stocks hit a new record - despite trade unease

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2025 12:34


    The US stock market reached new heights, driven by the strong performance of several of the top tech giants, but the broader market failed to follow suit. Meanwhile, government bond yields declined across the board as the deadline for President Trump's trade negotiations, set for 1 August, draws closer. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, offers his insights on the Japanese market in the aftermath of the recent election upheaval and provides a comprehensive overview of the earnings season thus far.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (07:04) - Implications of Japan elections and earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (11:27) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

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