Moving Markets: Daily News

Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite ended Monday's trading session lower as chip stocks faltered, while the Dow Jones gained 0.25% on the day. It was a similar story in Asia this morning as investors digested the potential ramifications of 'Operation Economic Outcast', while awaiting not only Nvidia's and Marvell Technology's results and US PCE data tomorrow, but also a highly anticipated speech by Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole this Friday. Damien Ng, Next Generation Research, joins the podcast today to provide his take on the good news last week from the Moderna/Merck cancer trials. Tune in to the podcast to find out why he believes that innovation-driven healthcare remains one of the most compelling long-term investment opportunities.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (07:07) - How personalised vaccines could transform cancer treatment: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research (12:23) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stronger-than-expected US PMI data could not save equities from a down week as rising bond yields and the Treasury's bond-buying intervention renewed dollar debasement fears, fuelling a blistering rally in gold and Bitcoin. Trade tensions returned as US-Canada talks collapsed over the weekend, and investors brace for a pivotal week featuring NVIDIA earnings and Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole address. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, looks at the recent US dollar weakness from a technical perspective and what it means for other asset classes.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (01:06) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (07:03) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:58) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The Q2 earnings season delivered a strong set of results, with positive surprises across sectors and regions. As investors look ahead to the remainder of the year, the broadening of earnings growth and market participation is creating opportunities beyond the dominant AI and technology themes.In this episode, Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy at Julius Baer, talks to Helen Freer about the key takeaways from the Q2 earnings season. They explore sector performance, forward guidance provided by companies, the ongoing strength of the AI investment cycle, and the implications of increased competition and monetisation in AI. The conversation also covers the importance of diversification, and how investors can position portfolios for a broader and potentially more volatile market environment into year end.(00:00) - Introduction (00:47) - Key takeaways from Q2 earnings season (02:01) - Sector performance shows broadening growth (03:08) - Forward guidance (04:12) - Evidence of broadening returns (05:13) - The health of the AI investment cycle (06:37) - Volatility in AI-related stocks (07:54) - Monetisation of AI investments (09:18) - Impact of lower cost AI models (10:44) - The case for diversification beyond AI (12:03) - Alternatives to AI across sectors and regions (13:30) - Closing remarks and legal information Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets largely dipped yesterday as geopolitical tensions, rising oil prices and disappointing guidance from Walmart weighed on investor sentiment. After yields fell on Wednesday following the announcement from the US Treasury of doubling buybacks of longer-term debt, yesterday they resumed their upward trend, even after Treasury Secretary Bessent suggested further increases to the buyback programme. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, joins the show today to talk about the impact of the Treasury's announcement on the US dollar, and he also shares his latest thoughts on precious metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (05:45) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX & Precious Metals Sales Geneva (10:21) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US Treasury provided a boost to bond and equity markets yesterday, announcing that it will more than double repurchases of 10, 20, and 30-year debt in the next few months. This saw the long bond yield fall 10 bps from its 19-year high on Tuesday, to 5.184%. Gold had its best day since March. US stock markets also closed up on the day with Moderna and Merck providing a boost. Asian equity markets continued the rally overnight and the KOSPI leapt over 6% after SK Hynix announced a big stock buyback. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, joins the podcast today to talk about gold and silver. Tune in to find out what he believes has been driving the August rally, and whether he thinks it can continue from here.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:49) - Gold and silver: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (11:21) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

A global bond sell-off sent yields to multi-year highs, dragging equities lower as tech stocks bore the brunt amid persistent inflation concerns. Yet Bank of America's fund manager survey reveals remarkably bullish positioning, with investors reducing cash and piling into equities on hopes of a soft landing and faith in the AI boom. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, shares his views on the latest bond selloff and the drivers behind the move. We also speak with Nenad Dinic from our Equity Strategy Research team about European equities and where he sees opportunities in the region as we head into year end.(00:00) - Introduction: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (00:48) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (07:04) - Fixed income amid higher long-term US Treasury yields: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income (10:35) - European cyclicals: Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research (15:24) - Closing remarks: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Higher oil prices and rising bond yields weighed on equity markets, pushing global stocks lower at the start of the week. US Treasury yields remained in focus as strong corporate bond issuance added to concerns over US fiscal deficits. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence remained a standout theme, with Anthropic's rapid growth boosting sentiment across the sector. Enrico Chinello, Next Generation Research, takes a closer look at AI, noting that record investment by hyperscalers and institutional investors continues to support strong demand for AI infrastructure. Investors are increasingly focused on when that spending will translate into earnings and cash flow.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:08) - Institutional investing in Artificial Intelligence: Enrico Chinello, Next Generation Research (11:06) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global market performance was mixed last week, with Japanese equities emerging as the standout winner, driven by strong gains in technology and semiconductor stocks. Meanwhile, oil prices surged around 6% amid renewed geopolitical tensions, and longer-term government bond yields moved higher despite softer-than-expected signals from US inflation and consumer data. In this episode, we are joined by Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his latest insights on the recent weakness in both the US dollar and the Swiss franc. He also explains why he remains constructive on precious metals and discusses the key market trends investors should be watching in the weeks ahead.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (01:16) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:03) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research (09:53) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

With Korean semiconductor stocks down nearly 50% from their June peak, has the AI correction finally run its course? Where could the next leg of the AI rally come from, and how are China's cheaper AI models — including DeepSeek's rumoured new release — reshaping the competitive landscape?Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management, on these latest developments in AI, as well as the broader market themes driving China and global markets — including the rotation back into value names, China's growth outlook ahead of the fifth plenum, the new Renminbi government bond futures listing in Hong Kong, and the sharp rebound in gold and silver.(00:00) - Introduction (00:29) - Has the AI stock correction bottomed out? (03:03) - Sectors to watch in the next leg of the AI rally (05:57) - China's competitive AI models (09:52) - The China internet/hyperscaler rally — can it continue? (12:00) - China's economic outlook and policy direction for H2 (16:37) - AI vs non-AI: what drives the next rotation? (19:28) - Thoughts on the listing of Chinese government bond futures in Hong Kong (21:25) - Gold and silver: has the recovery arrived?

US equities continued their upward climb this week, supported by a series of encouraging inflation releases, while European stocks have taken a breather after hitting record highs earlier in the week. In fixed income markets, government bond yields moved lower as investors scaled back expectations for rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Joining us today is Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, who shares his latest outlook on the energy market and explains why he continues to expect oil prices to trend lower in the months ahead.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:24) - Energy market update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (11:52) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The latest US inflation data came in in line with expectations and reinforced the view that the Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates unchanged in September. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite both finished the day in positive territory yesterday, with technology stocks leading the gains. Earlier in Europe, equities eased as investors balanced earnings releases with ongoing geopolitical developments. Oil markets are weighing up the escalating tensions in the Middle East against softer global demand expectations from both OPEC and the IEA. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, joins the show today to share his thoughts on gold, the US dollar and the Swiss franc.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (00:51) - Markets wrap-up: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (07:23) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (11:44) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets struggled for direction yesterday, with investors balancing geopolitical tensions, higher oil prices and a busy corporate news flow. US equities fell for a second straight session as technology shares came under pressure, while European stocks consolidated near record highs and Asian markets traded mixed overnight. With markets searching for direction, the spotlight now shifts to today's US inflation report, a release that could prove pivotal for interest-rate expectations and broader investor sentiment. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, joins us to discuss what the inflation figures mean for bond investors, while Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, provides an update on the earnings season.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:52) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:37) - Fixed Income update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:56) - Q2 earnings season / Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (13:16) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Eurozone growth expectations have improved, supported by a strong earnings season. Oil prices rose on renewed Strait of Hormuz tensions, while OPEC output recovered in July. AI investment remained in focus, with Intel raising capital, Nvidia securing funding for AI infrastructure, and regulatory changes supporting additional financing channels. However, this did not support the Nasdaq, which edged lower on Monday. Gold and silver extended their rally from late last week, supported by rebounding gold ETF demand. Enrico Chinello, Next Generation Research, discusses the state of AI infrastructure spending, arguing that it is not a bubble, while stressing that investors should focus more closely on valuations, earnings visibility and monetisation.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:42) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:49) - Artificial Intelligence: Enrico Chinello, Next Generation Research (12:07) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets are starting the week on a strong footing. Softer US jobs data, falling bond yields, robust corporate earnings, and Berkshire Hathaway's return to share buybacks have fuelled optimism among investors. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, discusses what the latest signals mean for equities, the US dollar, gold, and silver, and why he believes key market trends still have room to run.(00:00) - Introduction: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (01:10) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (07:08) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research (11:32) - Closing remarks: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Amid rising market volatility and a shift beyond the dominant AI-driven rally, investor interest is turning to hedge funds. In this episode, we examine the appeal of market-neutral, Asia-focused multi-manager hedge funds and how institutional investors are incorporating them into diversified portfolios to pursue resilient outcomes. William Fong, Head of Alternatives Specialists for Asia and the Middle East at Julius Baer, sits down with Angus Wai, Founder, CEO and CIO of Polymer Capital Management, to discuss the evolution of the multi-manager model, the importance of risk management, and the opportunities he sees across Asia's dynamic investment landscape.

Three themes dominated markets yesterday: earnings, AI and macro risks. Strong results boosted stocks such as Deutsche Telekom and Diageo, while disappointments weighed on several industrial and technology names. AI remained a key driver, supporting China's trade data and attracting strong demand for Alphabet's USD 25 billion bond offering. Meanwhile, Middle East tensions lifted oil prices and bond yields as investors looked ahead to today's US payrolls report for clues on Fed policy. Damian Ng, Next Generation Research, explains why success in biotechnology increasingly depends on strong innovation ecosystems. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, discusses gold's breakout attempt, the possibility of further JPY intervention, and why expectations for USD weakness may have become overly pessimistic.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:43) - Ecosystems in Genomics: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research (09:12) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (13:44) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

With changing sentiment around Middle East tensions and a busy earnings season driving market moves, the Dow Jones recorded its fifth consecutive gain yesterday and a third straight record close. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq both slipped, with the latter weighted down by declines in SpaceX and AMD, while European equities reached a fresh all-time high. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, joins the show to discuss expectations for the US Federal Reserve and what it means for fixed income portfolios.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (00:42) - Markets wrap-up: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (07:08) - Fixed income update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:55) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stocks are breaking records as investors double down on the AI trade. Strong earnings across sectors, easing geopolitical concerns and renewed risk appetite have pushed markets higher, but SpaceX's latest results reveal the growing price tag of the AI revolution. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, provides more details on the ongoing earnings season, the rotation shaping markets, and where he sees the most attractive opportunities in technology today.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:51) - Q2 earnings season / equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (10:50) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets were supported by hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East, sending oil prices sharply lower and easing inflation concerns. Investors also digested a rare coordinated yen-buying intervention by Japan and the United States, while strong US manufacturing data pointed to continued resilience in the industrial sector. Equities advanced on both sides of the Atlantic, with the Dow Jones reaching a record close and the STOXX 600 remaining near all-time highs. Meanwhile, company news included reports of potential merger talks between AstraZeneca and Bristol Myers Squibb, Visa's acquisition of cybersecurity firm BioCatch, and Alibaba's latest AI model launch. Joining us today is Enrico Chinello from Next Generation Research, who discusses the scale of hyperscaler AI spending and whether the industry is starting to see a clear path towards monetising these investments.(00:00) - Introduction: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:39) - Q2 hyperscaler capex: Enrico Chinello, Next Generation Research (11:52) - Closing remarks: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

After a volatile week, global markets are starting the new trading session on a stronger footing. Investor sentiment improved overnight following reports that renewed US-Iran talks aimed at easing Middle East tensions could begin as early as today, sending oil prices down more than 5%. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is emerging as one of the day's standout performers, extending its gains against the US dollar after confirmed intervention efforts by both US and Japanese authorities. In today's episode, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, shares his latest market insights, examining the technical outlook for the Japanese yen, Asian semiconductor stocks, and US Treasuries, and discussing what these trends could signal for investors in the weeks ahead.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (01:18) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:08) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research (09:48) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

In just one week, the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan all chose to hold interest rates steady, yet none of the decisions were unanimous, and of course, the Fed's new Chair is now steering away from forward guidance altogether. With investors left to navigate rates without the usual signposts, what should they make of this week's decisions, and what comes next?In this episode of The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko sits down with David Kohl, Chief Economist at Julius Baer, to unpack the week's central bank decisions. They discuss why the Fed held rates despite markets anticipating a hike, the bond market volatility and dollar weakness that followed Kevin Warsh's press conference, and the outlook for Fed policy into year end. The conversation also covers the Bank of England's split vote and UK rate expectations amid a new political backdrop, as well as examining the Bank of Japan's decision to hold rates while signalling a more hawkish shift alongside yen intervention. Finally, David also offers his insights into why he believes that the ECB will not hike rates at their September meeting.(00:00) - Introduction (01:04) - The Fed's decision not to hike rates (03:00) - Bond market reaction and Kevin Warsh's communication style (05:34) - Outlook for Fed rate expectations (07:46) - The Bank of England's split decision (09:18) - UK rate expectations amid political change (11:21) - The Bank of Japan holds rates and hints at hikes (15:15) - Expectations for the ECB (17:24) - Closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US stocks staged a rally yesterday following Wednesday's post-Fed sell-off. Microsoft and semiconductors definitely helped to drive the gains. And the pattern continued in Asia this morning with South Korea's Kospi up 18% in its session. Central banks in the UK and Japan cemented a week of no moves – although their messaging about the future path of rates diverged. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, joins today's podcast to share why he thinks interventions in currency markets are a waste of money and time and he also provides some useful insights into this week's dollar and yen moves.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:36) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:30) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets reacted sharply after a divided US Federal Reserve opted to leave interest rates unchanged yesterday. The decision triggered a notable steepening of the Treasury yield curve, with 2-year yields edging lower while 30-year yields moved materially higher. US equities also came under pressure, with major stock indices posting significant declines. However, sentiment improved after the closing bell when despite Meta disappointing investors with weaker profit results, Microsoft reported stronger-than-expected earnings. In today's episode, Afonso Borges from our Fixed Income Research team unpacks the Fed's latest decision, explains the market reaction, and discusses what it could mean for investors in the months ahead.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:45) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:29) - Analysis of FOMC meeting: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research (12:24) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

A sharp market rotation took centre stage on Tuesday as investors moved out of chipmakers and into healthcare and financial stocks, pushing both sectors to fresh record highs. Even blockbuster results from AI memory leader SK Hynix failed to ease concerns, extending the sell-off in semiconductor stocks ahead of a crucial week for Big Tech earnings. With the Federal Reserve set to announce its latest interest rate decision today, markets are bracing for the next major catalyst. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, shares his expectations for the Fed's decision and what it could mean for investors. We also speak with Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, for the latest insights into the Q2 earnings season.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (07:20) - Fed preview: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income (11:07) - Q2 earnings season: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy (16:04) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets are starting the week on a firmer footing as a pause in Middle East hostilities pushes oil prices lower and eases inflation concerns. The move follows a cautious week for investors, with concerns about AI spending, rising bond yields and escalating geopolitical tensions weighing on sentiment. Most major US equity indices ended the week lower, while European equities proved relatively resilient and both Japanese and Chinese markets posted gains. Attention now turns to a pivotal week featuring the Federal Reserve's policy decision, key US economic releases, and earnings releases from Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Amazon. Joining us today is Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his views on market concentration in US equities, the importance of diversification and the recent pullback in momentum stocks.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:15) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:33) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

As Europe faces increasingly frequent and severe heatwaves, the implications extend far beyond discomfort. The rising temperatures are creating urgent challenges with regard to public health, economic resilience, and urban infrastructure. What does a warmer world mean for the way we live, work, and invest?In this episode, Helen Freer is joined by Dr. Damien Ng, an analyst in Julius Baer's Next Generation research team, to discuss how higher global temperatures are reshaping the risk landscape for populations and investors alike. The conversation explores how heatwaves are becoming a major public health concern, the mounting pressure on healthcare systems, and the economic impact of extreme heat. Dr. Ng also explains the concept of urban heat islands, and how innovations like sponge cities can help build resilience.(00:00) - Introduction (00:57) - Why heatwaves are a growing public health concern (02:24) - Understanding the concept of excess deaths during heatwaves (04:11) - The role of human-induced climate change (05:29) - Implications for healthcare systems in Europe (06:39) - The economic impact of heatwaves and other climate-related disasters (07:41) - The heat island effect in cities (08:46) - How sponge cities can build resilience (09:47) - Investments needed to handle a hotter climate (11:04) - The link between climate resilience and longevity (11:20) - Key takeaways (11:54) - Closing remarks (12:28) - Legal information Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global equities traded lower as oil prices surged in response to escalating tensions in the Middle East, while renewed concerns over AI-related capital expenditure weighed on investor sentiment. Although the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged, expectations of further policy tightening later this year have strengthened, pushing bond yields higher across major markets. In today's episode, Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, shares his insights on the latest developments in foreign exchange and metals markets, and what they could mean for investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:30) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX / Portfolio Management, Private Banking Geneva (11:44) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Oil prices continue to surge as tensions between the US and Iran raise concerns about global energy supplies and economic growth. There were knock-on effects in bond markets with the 10-year US Treasury yield rising to a two-month high. Alphabet and Tesla were the first of the Magnificent 7 stocks to report earnings after the bell yesterday – both stocks fell in extended trading. At the European Central Bank meeting later today interest rates are expected to be held steady. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, joins the show to provide an update on the Q2 earnings season so far and explains why the investment case for US banks remains.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (07:26) - Earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (10:53) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets faced a fresh wave of geopolitical risk as the conflict involving the US, Iran and the Houthis escalated, pushing oil prices higher. Yet equities remained resilient, with positive corporate earnings and strength in semiconductors helping offset investor concerns. Elsewhere, the US announced a 50% tariff on a broad range of Canadian imports, Japan's yen weakened beyond 163 against the dollar despite intervention warnings, and competition intensified in the obesity drug market as Novo Nordisk sued Eli Lilly. Investors now await results from Alphabet and Tesla while continuing to monitor developments in the Middle East. We are also joined by Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, to discuss what to expect from tomorrow's ECB meeting and whether higher oil prices could prompt the ECB to adopt a more hawkish stance.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:48) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:56) - Fixed income update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income (11:07) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Burnham's debut, bond market jitters and the future of AI in BioPharma Markets were relatively quiet yesterday, but developments in the UK drew investor attention. Prime Minister Andy Burnham's policy announcements sparked concerns over the fiscal outlook, sending gilt yields higher, while John Healey's appointment as Chancellor raised fresh questions about economic policy. Meanwhile, semiconductor stocks rebounded, and oil prices swung sharply. Damien Ng from our Next Generation Research team joins us to discuss why AI's impact on BioPharma is likely to unfold over the coming years, rather than quarters.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:08) - Genomics: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research (13:21) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Semiconductor stocks have plunged more than 20% from their recent highs, officially entering bear market territory after China's Moonshot launched its Kimi K3 model sparking fears of intensifying global competition. Amid rising concerns over stretched valuations, geopolitical risks, and a critical earnings week ahead – including reports from Alphabet, SK Hynix, and Tesla – markets stand at a crossroads. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why the long-term uptrend of semiconductors remains intact despite the sell-off and what this means for broader equity markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:38) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:13) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

After a sharp correction in AI-related stocks across Asia, investors are reassessing one of the market's strongest themes of the past year. In China, many AI and semiconductor-related names have fallen significantly from their recent highs, prompting debate over whether the pullback is creating a buying opportunity or signalling a more prolonged period of volatility. In this episode, Richard Tang speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management, about the outlook for China's equity market following the recent AI sell-off. They discuss whether the correction has further to run, the prospects for a rotation into internet and other old economy names, and what recent economic data means for expectations around policy support in the second half of the year. The conversation also explores the implications of a more hawkish US Federal Reserve under Kevin Warsh, and what this could mean for inflation expectations, interest rates and global asset prices. They also discuss the outlook for the renminbi amid strong export growth and China's expanding trade surplus. This episode was originally recorded on 15 July 2026.(00:29) - China's AI correction: buy the dip or wait? (03:05) - Are AI fundamentals still intact? What's the near-term outlook? (04:48) - China's IPO activity, liquidity conditions and market rotation (06:05) - Can China's internet and old economy names catch up? (07:48) - China's policy outlook after the latest economic data (11:14) - The Fed under Kevin Warsh and the outlook for rates (14:18) - China's exports and the long-term case for RMB appreciation

Equity markets weakened as continued losses in semiconductor stocks and ongoing tensions in the Middle East weighed on risk sentiment, pushing major indices firmly into negative territory. At the same time, recent economic data highlighted the resilience of the US economy, adding another layer of complexity to the market outlook. Meanwhile, Netflix shares came under pressure in after-hours trading after the company forecast slower revenue growth. In today's episode, Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, joins us to discuss the latest moves in gold and the British pound, what's driving these markets, and the key levels investors should keep on their radar.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:17) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:55) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The current earnings season is seeing some bright spots, such as the Swiss luxury retailer Richemont and the US asset manager BlackRock. US producer prices came in below expectations, continuing to ease inflation concerns. In Asia, a rotation continues from this year's winners, Japan and South Korea, towards laggards such as Hong Kong, while South Korean regulators announced plans to address volatility linked to leveraged ETFs tied to SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics. The US dollar stabilised after recent weakness and sterling rose to a one-year high. Meanwhile, Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, discusses why oil continues to flow through the Strait of Hormuz despite renewed regional tensions, why European natural gas prices remain elevated, and why gold has been largely unmoved by softer inflation data.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:00) - Commodities update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (13:18) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Yesterday's release of June CPI inflation data in the US provided a welcome boost to US equity and Treasury prices, as traders drastically lowered their bets on a Fed rate hike in July. The mood was further bolstered by Q2 earnings from Wall Street's big five banks. The buoyant mood continued in Asia this morning, especially in tech, with the Kospi rallying over 7% at one point. We had two guest speakers on today's podcast. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research highlights his key takeaway from the inflation report and outlines his expectations for Fed policy going forwards. And our equity strategist, Nenad Dinic, assesses those US bank earnings and provides some insights into what the early European earnings reports are revealing. Tune in to find out more!(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:50) - Fixed income update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (10:11) - Equity markets update: Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research (14:50) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Oil prices surged after fresh tensions in the Middle East raised concerns over global energy supplies, while higher inflation expectations pushed Treasury yields higher and weighed on equity markets, where semiconductor stocks led the declines. Investors are now turning their attention to the start of the US earnings season, with major banks reporting results today. Elsewhere, China's trade data surprised to the upside, Singapore's economy grew faster than expected, and the UK and Switzerland announced a new trade deal. On today's show, we are joined by Enrico Chinello, Next Generation Research, to discuss quantum computing and discover whether or not it has reached its ChatGPT moment.Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets are feeling the pressure this Monday morning as rising US-Iran tensions fuel higher oil prices, bond yields and the dollar, while equities drift lower. But with earnings season now taking centre stage, investors are asking a bigger question: can AI leaders and chipmakers justify their stellar gains from the first half of the year? Also in this episode: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he believes market leadership is unlikely to change despite recent volatility, and why he has upgraded Financials.(00:00) - Introduction: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (00:52) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (08:00) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research (10:22) - Closing remarks: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

With the UK preparing for a new phase of political leadership under the Labour Party's Andy Burnham, investors are watching closely for signals that could impact sterling and UK bonds. Despite headline changes at the top, market volatility has remained subdued. What's behind the calm, and what should investors expect next?In this episode of Julius Baer's Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by David Meier, Chief Currency Strategist, and Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research Analyst, to examine the implications of the UK's political reset for currency and fixed income markets. The discussion covers why sterling has remained resilient despite leadership changes, the lessons learned from past fiscal policy missteps, and the structural factors shaping the UK's economic outlook. The conversation also explores the drivers of UK gilt yields, the impact of oil prices and inflation expectations, and the outlook for Bank of England policy. Finally, the team discusses positioning in UK bonds, the relative appeal of UK assets, and the case for hedging FX risk.(00:00) - Introduction (01:17) - Why has sterling remained calm amid political change? (03:19) - Lessons from past fiscal episodes and the risk of a repeat (04:20) - The new prime minister's room for manoeuvre (06:19) - Structural constraints and economic outlook for the UK (07:25) - Oil prices, inflation pass-through, and UK gilt yields (10:14) - Positioning on the UK yield curve (10:56) - Bank of England policy outlook (13:22) - Implications for sterling versus major currencies (16:35) - Key factors for UK bond investors (20:30) - FX hedging and international investor considerations (21:32) - UK equities in the current environment (23:01) - Closing remarks and legal information Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

As peace talks could be back on the table in the Middle East, global equity markets breathed a sigh of relief and investors snapped up tech stocks around the world. The Kospi retreated from bear market territory rallying more than 5%. And Japanese bonds, equities and the currency were boosted by comments from the country's finance minister that the government wants to encourage its pension funds to invest more in domestic assets. Despite geopolitical risks having returned as a key driver of bond-market performance, Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, explains why investors should avoid this temporary market noise, and if necessary, take advantage of higher yield levels – especially in Europe – to ensure appropriate duration exposure within their portfolios.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:18) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:40) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Market sentiment has weakened as renewed tensions in the Middle East have pushed oil prices and government bond yields higher. Spain's benchmark equity index has come under additional pressure following President Trump's threat to impose trade restrictions on the country. In this episode, Norbert Rücker, Head of Macro and Next Generation Research, joins us to discuss the latest surge in oil prices, the broader implications for inflation and whether the move reflects a lasting shift in the outlook or merely a temporary disruption.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (05:43) - Oil rallies on Trump declaration: Norbert Rücker, Head of Macro & Next Generation Research (10:44) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Sharp semiconductor losses amid AI chip rivalry fears contrast with resilient broader markets, while escalating US-Iran tensions send oil surging 5%, highlighting growing jitters over geopolitics and inflation just as central banks signal rates may stay higher for longer. Investors will now focus on the upcoming earnings season for more guidance. Matthieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, shares his insights on what to expect. And Tim Gagie, Head of PB Sales (Geneva) FX & PM, talks about the British pound amid the political uncertainty in Britain and key levels to watch for gold.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:36) - Earnings preview: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (10:25) - FX update: Tim Gagie, Head PB Sales (Geneva) – FX and PM (14:37) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US equities started the week strongly as AI-related stocks rebounded yesterday and the Dow Jones closed above 53,000 for the first time. Broadcom gained after extending its partnership with Apple, while Microsoft slipped following plans to cut jobs as it reallocates resources towards AI infrastructure. In Europe, most indices were down, although Germany's DAX bucked the trend and reached a new record high, and EasyJet surged on takeover news. Asian markets today came under pressure, led by South Korea's Kospi, where a trading halt was triggered when the index fell more than 8%. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, joins the show to talk about El Niño and its potential economic consequences.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (06:11) - The El Niño effects heading our way: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:56) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Softer inflation data supported sentiment in the eurozone, while in the US, comments by Fed chair Kevin Warsh on inflation and a weaker-than-expected labour market report lifted equities last week. Gold rose and the USD weakened. Brent crude is holding near USD 72 despite OPEC+ announcing an output increase over the weekend. In Asia, attention is on SK Hynix ahead of its USD 29 billion US listing, which could become the largest-ever foreign IPO. SpaceX is also in focus as the expiry of the analyst quiet period is expected to trigger a wave of research reports and price targets. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, discusses, among other topics, why US equity market behaviour may be more reminiscent of 1998 than 2000.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:51) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:37) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research (10:09) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

As the United States marks 250 years of independence, investors are asking whether its markets can continue to deliver long-term outperformance in the face of elevated valuations and global competition. What are America's enduring structural advantages, and could we be entering a new investment era?In this episode of The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer, to discuss the investability of the US market as it celebrates a major milestone. Together, they examine the historical drivers of US market leadership, from industrialisation to the current wave of artificial intelligence, and consider whether the region's capitalist foundations and deep capital markets remain intact. The conversation covers the implications of high valuation multiples, the role of innovation cycles, the impact of market concentration, and the risks posed by political and economic shifts. Mark also shares his perspective on what could signal a regime change, and how investors should think about their US exposure in the context of global opportunities.(00:00) - Introduction (02:01) - US structural advantages: Resources, population, and capitalism (05:17) - Historical cycles: How US leadership translated into market outperformance (06:30) - Innovation today: Artificial intelligence and the speed of change (07:23) - Valuations and earnings: Are US equities too expensive? (08:22) - Market concentration: The Magnificent Seven and broader performance (09:15) - Could US market leadership be ending? Comparing global markets (11:23) - Key risks: Economic inequality and political shifts (13:11) - Are we in a new investment era? Technology, IPOs, and market sentiment (14:01) - What would signal a regime shift? The role of the dollar and interest rates (14:45) - Investment approach: Staying invested for the long term (15:10) - Can US structural advantages support continued outperformance? (17:03) - Closing remarks and legal reminder Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

US job growth slowed significantly in June, giving support to our economists' view that the US Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates again this year. This pushed Treasury yields and the USD lower, while supporting gold and most equities. US technology and semiconductor stocks fell sharply after reports that Anthropic is looking into developing its own AI chip together with Samsung Electronics. European marketsrose on Brent oil moving towards USD 70 per barrel, reduced rate-hike expectations by the Fed and new German growth measures. Asian equities outperformed, driven by gains in semiconductor stocks and encouraging economic data from China and Japan. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, talks about the USD, gold and his favourite commodity currencies, the AUD and CAD.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:09) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:52) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Equity markets began the third quarter on a slightly subdued note, with semiconductor stocks coming under particular pressure. In contrast, Meta emerged as one of the standout performers yesterday, with its shares rallying on reports that the company is actively developing a cloud business aimed at selling AI computing power. Fixed income markets remained relatively calm as investors awaited one of the week's key economic releases: the June US jobs report, due later today. In today's episode, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, joins us to discuss the potential implications of President Trump's decision on copper duties and what it could mean for copper prices.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:18) - Copper: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (11:03) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets closed a volatile quarter with sharply lower oil and gold prices, while AI optimism continued to support equities on both sides of the Atlantic. European stocks posted their strongest quarter in over five years, and US markets remained resilient despite weakness in the ‘Magnificent Seven'. In today's show, we also discuss easing eurozone inflation, strong US labour market data and key developments across Asia. In addition, our fixed income research analyst Eirini Tsekeridou joins us to explain why bond yields have remained elevated despite falling oil prices, and to discuss the impact of AI on fixed income markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:27) - What's driving bond yields now? Eirini Tsekeridou, Fixed Income Research (10:34) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

After tensions rose again in the Middle East over the weekend, news yesterday that US envoys will travel to Doha for fresh talks with Iran today allowed markets room to rally. The Dow Jones, which now includes Alphabet, ended yesterday's session above 52,000 for the first time. Asia continued the rally overnight with the Kospi set to exceed a 105% year-to-date performance by the end of its session. Meanwhile, the yen fell to a 40-year low against the US dollar. And, as Europe melts in the midst of the highest June temperatures on record, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, joins the podcast today to talk about the economic impact of climate change, why ‘sponge' cities are being developed, and what the implications are for investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:06) - Future cities and the heatwave: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:21) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US-Iran tensions eased over the weekend, supporting risk sentiment going into the new week. However, Asian markets are mixed despite South Korea's pledge of major semiconductor investment, as tech sector concerns temper enthusiasm. Markus Wachter from our Technical Analysis team talks about the change in the technical picture of the US dollar, why they do not expect the S&P 500 to fall into correction territory, and the outlook for gold. Meanwhile, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong, gives an update on Asian equity markets, including his thoughts on why China's stock market has been disappointing lately.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (01:01) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:47) - Technical Analysis update: Markus Wachter, Technical Analysis Research (09:22) - Asia update: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong (15:40) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

With 2026 at its midpoint, investors are navigating an environment marked by geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation, and shifting growth dynamics across major economies. How are asset allocators responding, and what does this mean for portfolio construction in the months ahead?In this episode of The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by David Kohl, Chief Economist, and Yves Klenk, Head of Client Coverage and Advisory, to examine the mid-year market outlook from an investor's perspective. The discussion covers the impact of ongoing conflicts on commodity prices, the evolution of inflation expectations, and why Europe's growth outlook is finally turning a corner. The conversation also explores the implications for equity and fixed income allocations, the realities of the AI investment boom, and the case for diversifying away from US dollar assets. The episode concludes with a look at private markets, infrastructure, and the enduring role of gold in portfolios.Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

There was a mixed picture in financial markets yesterday as persistent US inflation continues to test the Federal Reserve's patience. European equities climbed to fresh record highs, boosted by healthcare and chip stocks, while US markets diverged, with tech weakness weighing on the Nasdaq. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets came under pressure, led by sharp declines in Japan and South Korea, while oil volatility continues amid uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz. In today's show, we are joined by Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, who shares his views on the US dollar, gold and broader currency dynamics.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:17) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (11:23) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.