Moving Markets: Daily News

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Moving Markets is a daily market news briefing from Julius Baer. Our experts discuss the latest market developments and put the headlines in perspective to set you up for the coming day. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.

Julius Baer


    • Apr 18, 2026 LATEST EPISODE
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    Latest episodes from Moving Markets: Daily News

    The View Beyond: When earnings meet geopolitics

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2026 9:47


    The first quarter of 2026 has presented investors with complex and worsening financial conditions, volatile oil prices, and heightened geopolitical tensions. Q1 earnings are already being reported, and so far, the indications have been promising. What are the expectations for the rest of the season? And what should investors be watching out for?In this episode of The View Beyond Podcast, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research at Julius Baer, to preview the first-quarter earnings season and explore how markets are dealing with the ongoing uncertainty. They examine the resilience of equity markets, the concentration of earnings growth in big tech and commodity sectors, and the early signals from major banks. The conversation includes expectations for European markets, the critical importance of forward guidance this time around, and thoughts on how investors might navigate the current environment.(00:00) - Introduction (01:04) - Market backdrop ahead of Q1 earnings (02:00) - Consensus expectations for Q1 (02:59) - Early results and the performance of big banks (04:08) - European earnings outlook (05:08) - What investors should focus on now (05:59) - Assessing equity markets amid geopolitical uncertainty (07:20) - Investment views in the current environment (08:24) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Nasdaq on its best winning streak since 2009

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2026 10:33


    Wall Street ended modestly higher yesterday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs following a twelfth consecutive advance. US markets reacted positively to the announcement of a 10‑day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. Earnings also provided support, led by banks and semiconductor companies, while luxury remained the weak spot this week. Notably, shares of Charles Schwab and Netflix both fell sharply yesterday after releasing their results. US economic data was mixed, with industrial production declining but survey indicators staying firm. In Europe, inflation surprised to the upside and Germany cut its growth forecast for the year. Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX Sales Switzerland, talks about why the US dollar may be trading lower despite unresolved tensions between the US and Iran.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:19) - FX & metals update: Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions (09:31) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Bullish signs of a peace deal send stocks soaring

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 16, 2026 13:34


    President Trump indicated that Tehran wants to make a deal yesterday and officials from Pakistan signalled that new talks are planned. Meanwhile, it seems as if Israel and Lebanon might also be poised to have ceasefire discussions. US and Asia stock markets have reacted very positively with several indices surging to new all-time highs. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, joins the podcast to unravel the complicated nuances of different fuel prices and explain why he believes that oil prices might now be past their peak. (00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:18) - Energy market update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (12:45) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Stocks closing in on record highs

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2026 10:17


    Investors grapple with rising stagflation fears amid slowing growth and persistent inflation, yet optimism over renewed US-Iran peace talks has fuelled a broad equity rally, pushing major markets close to record highs. Banks are reporting booming trading revenues even as they sounded a note of caution about the ripple effect of higher oil prices. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, discusses how major central banks may respond to the repercussions of the war and whether credit markets can benefit from the equity rebound.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:08) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:27) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets bounce back as deal hopes resurface

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 14, 2026 11:27


    After an early sell-off, equities rebounded during the trading session following President Trump's comments that further negotiations with Iran - and a potential deal - remain within reach in the coming days. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 moved back into positive territory for the year, while oil prices slipped below USD 100 per barrel once again. In today's episode, we are joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who shares his outlook on cybersecurity and explains why we remain constructive on the theme going forward.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:08) - Cybersecurity in focus: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:41) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    From ceasefire relief to risk‑off reality

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 13, 2026 9:35


    Last week's market rally was driven by ceasefire optimism and a sharp drop in oil prices, lifting equities despite growing signs of economic strain and energy‑led inflation pressures, although US core inflation in March (excluding energy) remained contained. Over the weekend, geopolitical risks moved back to centre stage as failed US–Iran talks and an effective embargo on Iranian oil pushed energy prices higher, shifting markets into a cautious risk‑off stance. The earnings season begins in earnest today, with results set to test whether corporate profits can withstand rising costs and heightened uncertainty. Notable companies reporting today include LVMH and Goldman Sachs. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, highlights an improvement in market breadth in US equities, and explains why semiconductor stocks are in favour.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:39) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:52) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The View Beyond: What the fragile Middle East truce means for China

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2026 28:56


    The US and Iran have agreed to a two‑week ceasefire in the Middle East conflict, but the deal continues to look fragile. Markets have reacted swiftly, with crude oil prices falling sharply while gold and equity markets rebounded. However, the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, keeping energy supply risks firmly in focus. In this complex backdrop, how attractive is the current market risk‑reward, and how might the geopolitical landscape evolve from here?Richard Tang, China Strategist and Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management, to assess the implications for global markets and China. They discuss whether investors should chase the recent rebound or stay defensive, the outlook for oil, gold, and the US dollar, and why China's equity market has shown relative resilience. The conversation also covers China's economic momentum, sector preferences, and the role of defensive, value, and high‑dividend stocks -- particularly Chinese banks -- in navigating ongoing geopolitical and macro uncertainty.This episode was recorded on 9 April, 2026.(00:00) - A fragile ceasefire and the market rebound (02:00) - Assessing the market risk-reward, geopolitical landscape (04:44) - Has the USD/gold long-term trend changed? (09:22) - How vulnerable is China to high oil prices? (14:58) - Green shoots in China's economy – signal or seasonal? (19:05) - China's consumption sector – staples vs discretionary (24:02) - Views on Chinese banks

    Ceasefire hopes lift markets as eyes turn to US inflation

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2026 10:57


    Equity markets are trading higher amid renewed optimism that the ceasefire will hold, reinforced by Israel's signal that it is ready to enter direct negotiations with Lebanon. Meanwhile, oil prices continue to rebound following Wednesday's sharp losses. Investors' focus now turns to today's US CPI data for March. In this episode, we are joined by Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX Sales Switzerland, who shares his perspective on what lies ahead for the US dollar.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:45) - FX & metals update: Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions (10:00) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Global equity rally falters after disagreements on ceasefire terms

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2026 10:58


    The last 24 hours were a game of two halves for equity markets – Europe and the US rallied as they celebrated the Middle East ceasefire and crude oil ended Wednesday 16% lower. But then the cracks in the terms of the ceasefire appeared – Israel attacked Lebanon, which Iran said breached the agreement, and Iran claimed that it has the right to enrich uranium, which the US says it does not. And so, oil rose again and Asian equity markets fell. Our Head of Next Generation Research, Carsten Menke, joins the podcast today to unravel the reaction of commodity markets to the ongoing situation. He explains how the ceasefire fits into a pattern in which extreme price spikes trigger both behavioural and political responses, and that markets respond in a monochrome fashion. Tune in to find out more about the possible shades of grey that need consideration.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:38) - Reaction of commodities to ceasefire: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:08) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US and Iran agree 2-week ceasefire that will open Strait of Hormuz

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 8, 2026 14:14


    Oil fell the most in nearly six years, while stocks surged after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire just hours before a Trump-imposed deadline, giving markets a brief respite from Middle East–driven turbulence. Asian equity markets jumped, Treasuries rallied, the US dollar weakened, and precious metals advanced. Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Strategist, discusses the implications for bond markets, while Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, joins the show to outline what to expect from the upcoming earnings season.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:02) - Bond market update: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research (09:55) - Earnings season preview: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (13:24) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets on edge as oil, inflation, and AI drive a fragile mood

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 7, 2026 10:48


    Equity gains on Monday were modest and fragile. Risk appetite is fading as investors focus on President Trump's deadline, rising oil prices, and Middle East tensions. Strong US payrolls on Friday contrast with weaker services employment and rising input costs on Monday, leaving uncertainty over whether inflation pressures will persist. Technology remains a key theme: strong AI demand supported Samsung and Broadcom, while potential IPOs from SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI point to rising competition for a limited pool of capital. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, comments on developments in energy markets ahead of President Trump's deadline.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:55) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:29) - Energy: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (10:01) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The View Beyond: The continued resilience of emerging market equities

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2026 10:16


    Despite a significant selloff following the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East, global emerging market equities have demonstrated a surprising degree of resilience. What explains this contained drawdown, and how should investors differentiate across regions even as volatility persists?(00:00) - Introduction (01:11) - Current resilience of emerging markets (01:59) - Earnings revisions and relative performance (03:18) - Market sensitivity and the nature of the drawdown (04:23) - Energy costs and financial conditions (06:16) - Monetary policy impact and US dollar outlook (07:00) - AI as a growth driver in emerging markets (07:30) - Outlook for EM equities (09:14) - Closing remarks and legal information In this episode of Julius Baer's Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by Nenad Dinic, Emerging Market Strategist at Julius Baer, to examine the recent performance of emerging market equities in the wake of geopolitical shocks. They discuss why the fundamental story for the asset class remains robust, the importance of distinguishing between net energy importers and exporters, and how factors such as a weakening US dollar and the AI-driven CapEx cycle are shaping the outlook. The conversation also addresses the implications of regional dispersion, the role of earnings revisions, and why patient investors may find compelling opportunities amid ongoing uncertainty.

    Tensions rise, markets shift after Trump dashes hopes of a quick resolution

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 2, 2026 10:49


    In his highly anticipated address to the nation, President Trump dashed hopes of a swift resolution to the conflict with Iran, announcing that the US would ‘hit Iran very hard' in the coming weeks. Markets reacted immediately: stocks reversed earlier gains, government bond yields rose, and oil prices and the US dollar moved sharply higher on the news. In this episode, we are joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who shares his insights on the increasingly concerning developments in the aluminium market - and what these dynamics could mean for the market in the weeks ahead.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:29) - Aluminium: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:46) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Equity markets finish a turbulent March with a solid rebound

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 1, 2026 17:14


    Global markets showed signs of recovery yesterday after a highly volatile March, with European equities stabilising and US indices staging an impressive rally. However, persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on sentiment, fuelling higher energy prices and pushing Eurozone inflation above the ECB's target. Asian markets opened April on a strong footing, led by a sharp surge in Japanese and South Korean equities. Today we're joined by Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, to explore the latest developments in corporate credit markets and explain the headlines in private credit. We also welcome Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, who discusses how equity markets are reacting to the ongoing geopolitical situation and offers a deep dive into emerging market equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:13) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:26) - Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (16:24) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets torn between growth and inflation; an AI-dawn in healthcare?

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 31, 2026 13:42


    Despite strong German inflation, global bond yields fell as markets shifted from inflation concerns to weakening growth signals. Soft Swiss KOF and Eurozone confidence data reinforced this move, pushing investors into bonds. Fed chair Jerome Powell said the central bank has limited influence over supply‑driven price spikes, reducing expectations of imminent US rate increases. In equities, Europe held up, while US markets weakened as sentiment stayed fragile, oil prices stayed high, and volatility persisted after a month of war. Gold is recovering, up nearly 10% from last week's low. Overall, traders point to cleaner positioning, weak sentiment after a sharp global equity drop and a bond‑yield spike this month, and quarter‑end flows as key drivers of market moves at the end of the month. Damien Ng from Next Generation Research highlights a promising outlook for healthcare, driven by better diagnostics and AI‑enabled drug discovery.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:24) - Future Health: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research (12:55) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US-Iran war escalates further

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 30, 2026 10:44


    Risk-off sentiment dominated the end of last week, with the S&P 500 posting its fifth consecutive weekly decline. Markets remained broadly cautious amid scepticism about any near-term geopolitical de-escalation after several days of headline-driven volatility. Concerns over a prolonged conflict and the risk of spillover effects on inflation and demand as a result of higher oil prices continued to weigh on sentiment. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, highlights why lower oil prices are critical for equity markets and what it implies now that the S&P 500 has fallen below its 200-day moving average.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (01:00) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:17) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:57) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The View Beyond: Energy markets and the economic outlook amid the ongoing war in the Middle East

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2026 16:47


    As the war in the Middle East continues, energy markets are still at the centre of investors' attention. How resilient are global oil and gas flows, and what are the possible scenarios as the situation evolves? In this episode Helen Freer is joined by Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, to discuss the latest developments in the Middle East and their implications for energy markets and investors. The conversation covers the current level of oil supply disruptions, the effectiveness of alternative trade routes, the role of storage buffers, and the potential for lasting structural changes in global energy markets. Norbert outlines the key scenarios for the months ahead, the economic risks at play, and what investors should keep in mind as uncertainty persists.(00:00) - Introduction (00:49) - Crisis dynamics and early surprises (02:01) - The Strait of Hormuz situation (03:03) - How oil is moving around the disruption (04:00) - The role and limits of oil in storage (05:21) - Energy infrastructure (06:41) - Economic implications (07:58) - Could the conflict drive lasting structural changes in energy markets? (09:36) - Central banks' policy response (10:54) - Scenario analysis (14:55) - Key takeaways for investors (15:45) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    An anything-but-oil day and navigating fixed income markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 27, 2026 10:11


    Markets saw another sharp risk‑off move yesterday as fears of escalation in the Iran war pushed investors out of everything except oil. Inflation worries strengthened after the OECD raised its US forecast, while growth concerns deepened in Europe, where data points to a weak start to 2026. Corporate news added pressure, with technology stocks hit by Meta's legal setbacks and renewed doubts about memory‑chip demand. Asian markets steadied after the US extended its deadline for potential strikes on Iran's power plant infrastructure, though geopolitical risks remain high. Key releases today include Spain's inflation data, BYD's earnings, and US consumer sentiment figures. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, discusses the recent sharp moves in bond yields and what it means for investors amid an uncertain war trajectory.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (05:54) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:18) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Global rally cools, social‑media firms lose key case

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2026 10:55


    Global equities rose on Wednesday as hopes of a path to peace in the Middle East and lower oil prices lifted sentiment. The MSCI World Index gained nearly 1%, its best performance since 9 February, and bond yields eased sharply. Beneath the positive market tone, economic surveys from Switzerland and Germany pointed to weakening confidence. Company news was mixed: Arm Holdings rallied on progress in AI hardware, while Meta and YouTube lost a landmark social‑media addiction case. In Asia, sentiment reversed as oil rebounded and memory stocks weakened after Google flagged an LLM compression method that could cut memory use. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, notes that aluminium prices have fallen back after an initial spike following the outbreak of the Iran war, despite the region's central role in the market.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:45) - Aluminium: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:05) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Stocks gain, oil falls on Trump's 15-point plan

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 25, 2026 11:06


    Markets continue to gyrate around the latest headlines on the Middle East conflict. Early weakness yesterday – driven by doubts over the status of any US–Iran negotiations – gave way to renewed optimism overnight and into Asian trading this morning, as the US outlined a 15‑point plan aimed at ending the conflict. Gold stabilised, while global PMIs added to inflation concerns and highlighted weakening economic momentum. In this context, Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, discusses the drivers behind the recent market behaviour, why investors should remain patient, and why Swiss equities continue to serve as an effective crisis hedge.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:40) - Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (10:17) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    From turmoil to turnaround – markets shift on de-escalation hopes

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 24, 2026 10:34


    Global equities staged a sharp rebound yesterday after reports of a potential de‑escalation in the Middle East conflict. Brent crude saw one of its biggest intraday swings on record, and short‑dated US Treasury yields dropped sharply. Asian markets also retraced some of their steep losses from the previous session. In today's episode, we're joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who shares why he remains constructive on the Buildings & Infrastructure theme in Germany.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:02) - Germany's infrastructure spending: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:48) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Central banks keeping calm and carrying on as Gulf tensions escalate

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2026 15:09


    Equity markets in Asia have followed their US peers lower this morning after President's Trump's 48-hour ultimatum to Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz was issued on Saturday evening. Iran's Revolutionary Guards have responded that the Strait will remain closed until their power plants are rebuilt. They also warned that if Washington carries out its threat to obliterate their power plants, they will target energy anddesalination facilities in the Gulf. US Treasury bonds continue to see their prices fall, gold and silver are lower, and oil is trading on every headline. Our Chief Economist, David Kohl, joins today's podcast to wrap up last week's key central bank decisions and provide his assessment of how they are tackling the increasing threat of inflation. Meanwhile, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, provides his insights into the correction in equity markets, and also where he sees risk appetite remaining intact. Tune in for the details!(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:37) - Central bank meetings: David Kohl, Chief Economist (11:36) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (14:21) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The View Beyond: Central Banks' response to the Energy Crisis

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2026 12:06


    With geopolitical tensions in the Middle East driving a new wave of uncertainty, investors are watching central bank decisions and accompanying statements very closely. How are policymakers responding, and what does this mean for fixed income positioning?In this episode of The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Dario Messi, Julius Baer's Head of Fixed Income Research, to discuss the week's mammoth round of central bank meetings. The conversation explores how recent geopolitical developments are shaping inflation expectations, and the challenges that these pose for central banks. Dario shares his perspective on why a hawkish tone from policy makers is justified but may not necessarily translate into actual policy tightening. He also offers his insights for fixed income investors navigating the current environment.(00:00) - Introduction (01:13) - Takeaways from the Fed's decision (02:42) - Swiss National Bank and European Central Bank (03:57) - Has the rate-cut narrative been derailed? (06:40) - Will sounding hawkish translate into being hawkish? (08:06) - Implications for bond markets and yield curves (09:33) - Fixed income scenarios (11:05) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. 

    Choppy trading persists as rate jitters and Middle East risks collide

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 20, 2026 11:44


    Equity markets turned choppy heading into the weekend, while oil prices cooled as investors weighed efforts by the US and Israel to ease concerns over the Iran war. Anxieties over hawkish central bank policies and upward pressure on rates also weighed on sentiment. However, the market continues to be very sensitive to any signs of potential de-escalation. Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX Sales Switzerland, talks about gold and the impact of the oil price on currency markets and the US dollar in particular.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:50) - FX & metals update: Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions (10:49) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Oil spike rekindles inflation fears, putting markets on edge

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2026 15:48


    Equity markets are sliding and bond yields are climbing as oil and gas prices surge amid a new wave of escalation in the Middle East. At the same time, central bankers are holding their breath as inflation expectations edge higher. In today's episode, we welcome Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, and Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who share their latest insights on the future trajectory of energy and precious metals prices.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:46) - Energy markets: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (11:29) - Precious Metals: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (14:57) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets hold steady despite Middle East tensions

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2026 15:30


    Global markets held up yesterday despite rising oil prices and escalating tensions in Iran, with European and US equities closing higher. Asian markets rallied strongly overnight, led by South Korea and Japan. More broadly though, investors remain cautious as sentiment cools in Europe and central banks prepare for key policy decisions. Today we're joined by Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research Analyst, to discuss this week's monetary policy decisions, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who brings us the latest on Swiss equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:36) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:12) - Bond market update: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research (10:39) - Equity market update - Switzerland: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (14:41) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Oil jitters, NVIDIA's big product presentation, Trump hits pause on China trip

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 17, 2026 13:56


    Markets rebounded on Monday as declining oil prices during the day briefly eased inflation concerns, supported by IEA oil supply assurances and US comments on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. European and US equities advanced, led by artificial‑intelligence names, with Nvidia in focus after its major product event. Australia's central bank raised rates by 25 basis points. In Asia, markets flattened as oil prices climbed again amid Middle East tensions, and President Trump postponed his trip to China because of the Iran war, driving European equity futures into the red prior to open. Damien Ng from Next Generation Research discusses renewed investor and large‑cap pharma interest in biotechnology, with a focus on Genomics.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:55) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:44) - Emerging investment opportunities in gene testing and immunotherapy: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research (13:07) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets attempting a positive start to the week

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 16, 2026 10:07


    US markets closed lower on the day, and the week, on Friday but the S&P 500 is still only 5% off its all-time high. The US military struck Iran's Kharg Island on Friday but as yet they have not targeted the oil infrastructure. President Trump is now calling for a coalition of countries to send ships to help escort cargo through the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices a little lower again. China and Hong Kong's equities have rallied this morning as have South Korea's, and futures point to a positive start to a central bank ‘super week'. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why 200-day moving averages are a key factor to watch in attempting to determine where markets might go from here, but at the same time it is important to focus on market breadth. Tune in to hear more.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:42) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:28) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:18) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The View Beyond: The impact of the Iran war on Asia markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 14, 2026 26:24


    As the conflict in Iran continues to drive oil prices higher and unsettle global markets, investors are assessing the implications for Asia and China. Meanwhile in Beijing, the annual Two Sessions meetings have just concluded, outlining policy priorities and economic targets for the year ahead.In this episode of Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management. They discuss how geopolitical tensions are affecting Asian markets, their key takeaways from the Two Sessions, the outlook for Hong Kong versus A-shares, and the case for renminbi appreciation. Looking further ahead, they also examine the lessons from Japan's balance sheet recession framework for China.(00:00) - Can Asia and China markets weather the storm? (03:14) - Hong Kong markets vs A-shares (07:40) - Key takeaways from Two Sessions (11:19) - Is the RMB appreciation trend set to continue? (16:08) - Lessons from Japan's balance sheet recession framework for China

    Geopolitics‑driven volatility deepens across global markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 13, 2026 11:37


    Global markets endured another turbulent session as escalating tensions in the Middle East, including aggressive rhetoric from both Iran and the United States, drove oil prices higher and fuelled risk aversion. European and US equities extended their declines, with energy stocks bucking the trend. Strong US macro data contrasted with the geopolitical gloom, but new US trade investigations under Section 301 added to uncertainty. Private credit concerns also intensified, weighing heavily on major alternative asset managers. Asian markets traded lower overnight, gold slipped despite its safe‑haven appeal, and investors now turn their attention to a packed economic data agenda. Joining our show today is Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, for the latest on currencies and metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:28) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:41) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Oil tops USD 100, lifting yields and shaking markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2026 11:21


    Tuesday's rally in European stocks proved short‑lived as surging oil prices and renewed concerns over potential rate hikes unsettled investors. In contrast, US markets were more composed yesterday, with the tech‑heavy Nasdaq even managing to post a modest gain. Asian markets are trading lower today after Brent crude climbed above USD 100 a barrel amid fresh geopolitical escalations. In today's episode, we are joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who shares his insights on aluminium and the potential disruption shaping the outlook for the market.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:50) - Aluminium update: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:32) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Equity markets rebound as oil tumbles

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 11, 2026 16:19


    Markets reacted to volatile geopolitics as hopes of a swift resolution in the Iran crisis clashed with heightened military tensions. Strong gains in European equities and a sharp drop in oil prices highlighted a session defined by fragile optimism. With central banks watching inflation and safe havens like gold and the Swiss franc holding firm, uncertainty remains. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research at Julius Baer, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Julius Baer's Equity Strategy Research team, discuss how recent geopolitical developments are shaping global bond and equity markets and how investors can navigate markets amid the fog of war.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:06) - Fixed income market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (10:25) - Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (15:36) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Oil whiplash, Wall Street rebound, China's export strength

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 10, 2026 11:32


    Brent oil saw historic intraday swings yesterday, surging on supply fears before dropping sharply as the G7 discussed releasing reserves and the US president signalled the war could soon end. This shift helped European markets rebound from their lows and lifted US equities as safe‑haven flows unwound. Asian markets followed Wall Street higher, supported by strong corporate results and robust Chinese export data. Japan's Q4 GDP beat expectations, although household spending weakened. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, shares his timely view on the oil price spike and what likely comes next.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:27) - Latest developments in oil: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (10:46) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Oil surges after Iran names new supreme leader

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 9, 2026 16:11


    This morning, Iran named Mojtaba Khamanei, the man President Trump said would be unacceptable in the post, as its new leader. The immediate market reaction was a spike in the price of Brent crude oil to nearly USD120 per barrel, and a pronounced selloff in Asian stock markets. These moves have since reversed somewhat after the Financial Times wrote that G7 leaders will have talks with the International Energy Agency today regarding a possible release of energy reserves. Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong explains why positioning is driving Asian equity markets more than fundamentals right now, and looks beyond the fog of war to identify attractive Asian equity sectors. And Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis focuses on what the charts reveal when it comes to the price of oil and the trajectory of US equity markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (01:18) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:17) - Asia update: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong (11:27) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (15:13) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The View Beyond: How are financial markets reacting to the strike on Iran?

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 7, 2026 17:20


    The recent US and Israel strike on Iran has introduced a new layer of uncertainty to global markets, with investors closely monitoring the implications for oil & gas, and portfolios overall. How should investors interpret these developments and position themselves amid heightened geopolitical risk?In this episode of Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, and Yves Klenk, Head of Client Coverage and Advisory, to discuss the market impact of the Middle East escalation. The conversation covers the immediate effects on oil and gas prices, the scenarios investors should consider, and how clients are responding to volatility across asset classes. The discussion also explores the role of gold, the importance of strategic asset allocation, and why infrastructure and alternatives are gaining traction as diversifiers in uncertain times.(00:00) - Introduction (00:48) - Assessing the current situation in the Middle East (01:31) - Client reactions and portfolio positioning (02:31) - Market responses: commodities and oil price dynamics (03:31) - Key scenarios for oil and gas markets (05:17) - The impact of shipping and insurance costs (05:56) - Oil price outlook and investor implications (07:01) - Broader market effects: equities and fixed income (08:16) - Gold's performance as a diversifier (11:24) - Scenario analysis: prolonged conflict and market consequences (12:39) - Harnessing volatility and portfolio strategies (13:27) - Investment topics for the long-term (15:25) - The enduring importance of strategic asset allocation (16:32) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Oil surge pulls equities lower and dampens rate-cut expectations

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 6, 2026 12:06


    Global markets saw another volatile session as escalating Middle East tensions drove oil prices sharply higher and dampened risk appetite. Equities fell across the US and Europe, and US bond yields moved higher as investors reassessed the outlook for Federal Reserve rate cuts. In tech, potential new US restrictions on AI chip exports weighed on sentiment, though software stocks bucked the trend with a notable rebound. Asian markets were mixed overnight. Joining our show today is Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, for the latest on currencies and metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:02) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (11:10) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    From energy tensions to market gains

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 5, 2026 13:02


    US and European equities rebounded yesterday as the absence of another energy spike supported sentiment. Strong US job gains and a firm ISM services reading eased growth concerns, reduced expectations for a July rate cut, and lifted major indices, with technology leading. The US dollar held firm, investors are positioned for a weaker euro, and Swiss franc strength triggered a second round of SNB verbal intervention. Bitcoin surged, China set a cautious growth target, and Asian markets – especially South Korea – rebounded sharply after steep losses. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, provides a timely update on the oil and gas markets following the near‑halt in activity through the Strait of Hormuz.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:12) - Oil and gas update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (12:14) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Stock markets fall again as Iran conflict continues

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 4, 2026 14:00


    US and European stock markets fell further yesterday although some relief was provided by Trump's promise to accompany vessels through the Strait of Hormuz.  Both oil and the US dollar strengthened, but gold and silver fell, and overnight Asia's stock markets suffered a bruising session with the Kospi falling more in one day than it has since 2001. Joining the show today are our research team heads of Equity Strategy, Mathieu Racheter, and Fixed Income, Dario Messi, to provide some context on the recent moves in global equity markets and US Treasuries, as well as some suggestions on how to position portfolios in the current situation.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:08) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:31) - Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (13:11) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets on edge as Middle East conflict widens

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2026 11:57


    While European markets tumbled amid the escalating conflict in the Middle East, US equities held up surprisingly well. Both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 managed to post modest gains, supported largely by strength in the technology sector. This morning, however, oil prices have climbed further as tensions continue to rise, and Asian markets are deep in negative territory. Today, we are joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who puts the latest moves in precious metals into perspective.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:33) - The impact of geopolitics on precious metals: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (11:10) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    War in the Middle East

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 2, 2026 12:59


    Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have escalated over the weekend, with coordinated strikes by the US and Israel targeting Iranian facilities and leadership. In response, Iran has launched retaliatory strikes across the Gulf region. The surge in hostilities has placed global markets under heightened scrutiny. Equity indices are trading lower, while safe-haven assets - including the Swiss franc and gold - are seeing increased demand. Oil prices have spiked overnight, driven by fears of potential supply disruptions in one of the world's most critical energy regions. In this episode, Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, provides timely analysis on the evolving geopolitical landscape and its implications for global investors. He is joined by Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who outlines key technical support levels for equity markets and shares his outlook for oil and precious metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:26) - Middle East situation: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research (10:18) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (12:13) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The View Beyond: The road ahead after the US Supreme Court's tariffs decision

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2026 8:57


    The recent US Supreme Court decision on tariffs has shifted the landscape for investors, replacing a patchwork of country-specific measures with a temporary universal tariff. What does this mean for markets overall, different countries and sectors, the US dollar and fixed income?In this episode of Julius Baer's Moving Markets – The View Beyond podcast, Helen Freer is joined by Christian Gattiker, Head of Research, to discuss the implications of the Supreme Court's ruling against the tariffs implemented under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act last year. The conversation covers the short-term reduction in uncertainty, the winners and losers among countries and sectors, the impact on corporate earnings, and the unresolved question of tariff refunds. Christian Gattiker also shares insights on the muted reaction of the US dollar, the outlook for fixed income, and the key takeaways for investors as US trade policy enters a new phase.(00:00) - Introduction (00:42) - What the decision means for investors in the short term (01:28) - The temporary universal tariff (02:06) - Winners and losers by country and sector (03:32) - Ongoing uncertainty and the medium-term outlook (04:12) - Will there be an impact on corporate earnings? (04:47) - The unresolved issue of tariff refunds (05:31) - The US dollar reaction and outlook (06:22) - Fixed income perspective: uncertainty, fiscal effects, and inflation (07:32) - Key takeaways (07:59) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Tech slips but broader markets hold up

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 27, 2026 9:24


    Major stock indices ended mostly lower after a two‑day rally. In the US, the Information Technology sector fell nearly 2%, weighed down by a 5.5% drop in Nvidia shares. In contrast, the equally weighted S&P 500 gained 0.6%. Treasury prices and gold edged higher as investors sought safe‑haven assets following the conclusion of US - Iran talks, which ended without any tangible progress. Today, we are joined by Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX Sales Switzerland, who shares his views on precious metals and alternatives for those looking to diversify beyond the US dollar.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (05:40) - FX & Metals markets update: Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX Sales Switzerland (08:36) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Nvidia delivers, but not enough for euphoria

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2026 12:39


    Nvidia delivered results yesterday that beat analysts' expectations but failed to cause more than a brief rally in extended trading. Nevertheless, US indices ended the day higher, with the Nasdaq Composite closing up 1.26%, and Asia's tech-biased indices following suit. The Nikkei 225 breached 59,000 for the first time as the Takaichi trade continued.  Elsewhere investors await further tariff announcements from the US in the coming days. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, joins today's show to explain why, despite rising geopolitical tensions, he believes that the trajectory for both oil and European natural gas prices will be down as we head towards the summer.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:42) - Energy update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (11:49) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Tech climbs, gold shines, and why AI could be good for bonds

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 25, 2026 11:27


    US stocks rebounded yesterday led by technology shares after AI developments announced by Meta and Anthropic. Strong US economic data lifted the broader market and boosted small caps. In Europe, autos rose on lower‑than‑expected US tariffs, while banks fell. Taiwan and South Korea climbed on AI optimism, and Japan advanced after the Prime Minister nominated two reflation‑focused academics to the Bank of Japan's policy board, fuelling expectations of slow rate increases and keeping the yen weak. Precious metals strengthened with gold and silver rising on geopolitical tensions, China's market return, and continued safe-haven demand. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Strategy Research, explains why artificial intelligence could initially support bonds.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:02) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (10:38) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Risk sentiment sours on trade and AI concerns

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 24, 2026 12:10


    Global markets were on edge yesterday as President Trump's newly announced 15% global tariff triggered a sharp European response and fresh trade uncertainty. Equity markets across both Europe and the US struggled, with tech stocks hit particularly hard amid renewed concerns about AI disruption in the software sector. Defensive names, meanwhile, benefited from the flight to safety, alongside a strong move in gold. Asian markets painted a mixed picture. On today's show, we are joined by Next Generation research analyst Damien Ng who shares an update on the implications of the emerging Alzheimer's blood test and what it means for the genomics space.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:17) - Alzheimer's blood test impact on Genomics: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research (11:25) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US Supreme Court strikes Trump tariffs, what's next?

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 23, 2026 9:26


    The US Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump's global tariffs last week, dealing a blow to his administration's centrepiece trade policy. The administration quickly signalled that it would pursue 10%, then 15% global tariffs. While equity markets rallied on Friday, risk sentiment has been dampened this morning as uncertainty about trade policy returns. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, takes a step back from the limited geopolitical visibility and looks at what the charts on Treasury yields, the US dollar, and precious metals say. A fast, lively breakdown of what's moving markets — tune in!(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:57) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:28) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:37) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The View Beyond: Diversifying beyond Big Tech

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2026 15:17


    How sustainable is the narrow leadership of US equity markets? With aggressive AI-related capex plans raising concerns about long-term returns, investors have been reassessing concentrated positions in US mega cap technology and turning their attention elsewhere. What should be in focus as they look to broaden their portfolios?In this edition of Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Nenad Dinic, one of Julius Baer's equity strategists, to discuss the drivers behind the current equity market rotation. They explore the broadening of market leadership beyond the AI-linked hyperscalers, the implications of massive capital expenditure plans, and the importance of selectivity within software and IT. The conversation also covers renewed investor interest in non-US equities, with a focus on Europe, Switzerland, Japan, and emerging markets, as well as sector preferences for healthcare, financials, and miners. Nenad shares why diversification is more critical than ever as investors position for the next phase of the cycle.(00:00) - Introduction (01:07) - Factors behind the improvement in market breadth (03:35) - How AI is reshaping equity leadership   (05:45) - Is the software selloff overdone?   (08:12) - Diversification beyond US equities: Flows and drivers   (09:20) - Regions benefiting from the broadening (12:04) - Healthcare, financials, and miners   (13:58) - Key takeaways (14:27) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Heightening US/Iran tensions ahead of key US data

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 20, 2026 11:48


    US and European equity markets fell yesterday following President Trump's announcement that Iran has 10-15 days to reach a deal over its nuclear programme. This pushed oil prices up over USD 72/ barrel this morning. On the bright side, Indian and South Korean equity markets climbed today. US Futures are also higher ahead of key US data due out today, and the possibility of the announcement of the highly anticipated Supreme Court decision on the legality of Trump's tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Fixed Income Research analyst Afonso Borges discusses expectations around the data and the court ruling as well as unpacking this week's Fed minutes.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:58) - Bond market update: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research (10:53) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    European equities break records as AI disruption fears ease

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 19, 2026 10:39


    European stocks climbed to new highs as investors responded positively to solid corporate earnings. Meanwhile, the latest Federal Reserve minutes revealed a divided stance among US monetary policymakers. In Asia, South Korea's Kospi index - often seen as a bellwether for AI-related trades - surged to a fresh record amid easing concerns over AI‑driven disruption. In today's episode, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses the emerging winners and losers as agentic AI reshapes the software sector.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (05:55) - AI and software: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:50) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Jittery tech, cheaper gold, and US-Iran talks

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 18, 2026 11:04


    As US markets returned from the holiday, volatility re-emerged across AI-linked equities. Europe showed resilience but commodities fell on easing geopolitics. In precious metals, volatility remains elevated due to thin trading during Asian hours amid the Lunar New Year holiday. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, talks about what that means for gold and silver going forward and why dips in AUD and NZD are looking like an opportunity. A fast, lively breakdown of what's moving markets – tune in!(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:00) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:21) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Thin trading, thick headlines

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 17, 2026 11:30


    With US markets closed for Presidents' Day and much of Asia shut for Lunar New Year, trading was thin yesterday and overnight, yet European equities still managed to edge higher. Swiss GDP data showed a slight rebound in Q4, although overall growth for 2025 remained below the historical average. Geopolitical developments also shaped sentiment, as investors digested the outcomes of the Munich Security Conference. Meanwhile, talks between Ukraine and Russia, as well as between Iran and the US, are taking place in Geneva today — highlighting how global politics continues to steer markets and keeping oil and gold firmly in the spotlight. On today's show, we were also joined by Manuel Villegas from Next Generation for an update on the crypto world, which has had a tough start to the new year.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:29) - Digital Assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:44) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content £Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

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