Moving Markets: Daily News

US equities surged again yesterday, closing off their intraday highs but nevertheless achieving new records. US PPI data confirmed that growth is slowing, providing more of the data that the Fed needs to start cutting rates again – markets will now scrutinise today's CPI data for more clues. Oracle's near 36% rally yesterday was sparked by astonishing cloud demand numbers. Asian tech also drove markets there higher. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, explains why his team believes oil prices should trend lower and gold higher in the next 12 months, whilst Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis, provides some insights into relative trends in equity style factor performance and why they are important when making portfolio decisions.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:35) - Oil and gold: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (10:05) - Update from the CIO Office: Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis (14:12) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stocks in the US hit another all-time high on expectations that the Federal Reserve will fight the slowdown in jobs growth with interest rate cuts. US inflation data out today and tomorrow will be the next test for markets. The Anglo/Teck ‘merger-of-equals' creates a premier global player in copper and critical minerals. Today, we are joined by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, who explains why he believes markets will grind higher into year-end, and Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PMPrivate Banking Sales Geneva, who shares his current insights on currencies and metals markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:39) - Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (13:03) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (17:14) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

French Prime Minister Bayrou lost the confidence vote yesterday, triggering the collapse of his government. European markets had no chance to react, as the decision came after trading ended. The political uncertainty adds fresh strain to the eurozone, where stock markets actually started the week on a high. Speaking of highs, the Nasdaq hit a fresh record, driven by strength in tech and AI-related stocks, while gold also rallied to a new peak, supported by expectations of a US rate cut and ongoing geopoliticaltensions. Meanwhile, Japan's Nikkei 225 briefly touched a record intraday high before turning negative, as investors assess the implications of Prime Minister Ishiba's resignation. Joining us today is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who provides an update on the video game industry and the structural transformation it's undergoing.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (05:40) - Video game industry undergoing structural transformation: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (09:06) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The Nikkei 225 was up around 1.5% and the Topix hit a record high this morning after Japan's prime minister resigned over the weekend. It's hoped that a new regime should provide greater longer-term policy and political stability, and a more conducive pro-growth environment for the equities market. Asia's stock markets rallied after the US jobs report on Friday provided further justification for data-based Fed rate cuts.At the start of a big week including inflation data, a vote of confidence in the French government and the September ECB meeting, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he believes that there's room for both US equities and the price of gold to rally further and for US Treasury yields to keep falling.  (00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:31) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:03) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The S&P 500 is trading at fresh all-time highs ahead of today's crucial US non-farm payrolls report, which iswidely seen as the final piece of the puzzle that could give the Federal Reserve the go-ahead to resume cutting interest rates. Meanwhile, Asian markets are rising, buoyed by positive trade developments out of Japan and broader optimism in the region. Joining us today is Tim Gagie, Head of Private Banking Sales in Geneva for FX and Precious Metals, to discuss which currencies – beyond the usual suspects – could benefit from a renewed weakening of the US dollar.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:03) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (11:37) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Google avoiding worst-case penalties in its antitrust case lifted tech stocks yesterday, which drove the good performance of both the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500. Meanwhile, US job openings data provided a boost to US Treasuries, fuelling hopes of a September rate cut. Asia joined the rally, with the notable exception of China and Hong Kong. The latter had news specific to Nidec Corp to digest but China's dropcame on the back of news that financial regulators are said to be considering a number of cooling measures for the stock market following its spectacular rally since the start of August. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, joins the show to shed light on the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:42) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:53) - Gold and silver: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:49) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global long-term government bond yields spike amid renewed concerns over fiscal sustainability. This has put pressure on equities, which declined broadly – though certain sectors held up better, including luxury stocks. In the US, both major indices ended the session lower, though they recovered somewhat from their intraday lows. Meanwhile, gold emerged as a key beneficiary, climbing to new all-time highs as investorssought safe-haven assets. Alphabet and Apple shares surged in extended trading following a favourable court ruling. Joining us today is Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, and he explains why he isn't overly alarmed by the rise in long-end yields.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:47) - Fixed income markets: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:28) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

With US markets closed yesterday for a public holiday, attention was firmly on European markets, where equities began the new month on a positive note. Two sectors led the gains: defence and healthcare. Meanwhile, European bond markets weakened slightly, weighed down by ongoing concerns over France's political stability and fiscal outlook. Overnight in Asia, markets traded mixed as investors digested developments from the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit amid lingering uncertainty over tariffs. In commodities, gold hit a fresh record high, while oil prices were supported by worries of potential supply disruptions. Joining us today is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who discusses the latest developments in AI data centre projects – specifically in Asia – and their role in advancing global AI innovation and deployment.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:51) - Artificial Intelligence news: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (11:43) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

August saw strong gains in global equities, particularly in the Dow Jones, as well as indices in both China, and Japan. Gold has hit a four-month high nearing USD 3,500 per ounce this morning, driven by concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence and uncertainty around US tariffs. Silver is breaking the USD 40 an ounce level – for the first time since 2011 – boosted by supply constraints and rising demand from the clean energy sector. After tech profit-taking last week and ongoing political risks in France, investors face a seasonally weak September with pivotal US labour market data due on Friday and the anticipation of US rate cuts later in the month. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, notes that declining US corporate bond yields bodes well for US stocks, while gold and silver offer further upside.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:23) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:16) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Yesterday saw a flurry of economic data releases, accompanied by significant political developments. The US economy demonstrated stronger-than-expected resilience in the second quarter, expanding at a revised annualised rate of 3.3%, while recent labour market figures suggest a supportive backdrop. Meanwhile, Donald Trump's attempt to dismiss Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, followed by her decision to sue the President, could have a profound effect on the relationship between the White House and the central bank. Stock markets remained robust yesterday, with the S&P 500 reaching a new intraday high. Attention now turns to today's key US economic data release: the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index – the Federal Reserve's favoured measure of inflation. Joining us today are Nenad Dinic, who offers insights into the French equity market amid ongoing political uncertainty, and Tim Gagie, who provides an update on the current trends in FX and precious metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:25) - Equity update – France: Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research (10:38) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (15:08) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

French stocks have staged a modest recovery following the recent sell-off, while government bond spreads relative to neighbouring Germany have continued to widen. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 reached a new record high, as investors awaited Nvidia's Q2 earnings report after the market close. Despite exceeding analyst expectations, Nvidia's share price declined in after-hours trading. To discuss how current geopolitical developments may influence commodity prices, we are joined by Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:23) - Energy markets: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (12:02) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

French political uncertainty sparks market jitters, sending European equities tumbling, with the CAC 40 falling a further 1.7% yesterday. In contrast, US stocks buck the trend despite concerns over the Fed's independence. Today, market participants will focus on upcoming corporate earnings, in particular Nvidia's quarterly results. And we have Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, on the show to discuss what Jackson Hole and the French confidence vote mean for bond markets, and what fixed income investors should do now.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:52) - What Jackson Hole and the French confidence vote mean for bond markets: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:30) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US President attempted to sack Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook yesterday – a move that saw the dollar fall and gold gain. These moves were somewhat reversed when Governor Cook's lawyer called the action illegal and lacking proper process and Cook vowed not to quit. Trump was also in the news for threatening “200% tariffs or something” on China if it does not export rare-earth magnets to the US. European markets closed Monday lower with the CAC 40 down more than 1.6% after the country's Prime Minister announced that he will seek a confidence vote in parliament next month over the government's budget plans. US markets also traded lower on Monday following Friday's rally, and Asia followed suit with the exception of China's CSI 300 which traded marginally higher. Richard Tang, Head of Equity Research Asia, shares his thoughts on the recent Chinese equity rally and explains why he now believes that A shares should outperform H shares. He also provides insights into his preferred sectors for those looking to get on board. (00:00) - Introduction: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (01:05) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (07:07) - Asia update, including China: Richard Tang, Head of Equity Research Asia (12:27) - Closing remarks: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global markets have rallied following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish speech on Friday that opened the door to interest rate cuts. In response, stocks, bonds, gold, and crypto assets surged, while the US dollar has fallen. Asian equity markets are following Wall Street this morning, led by shares in Hong Kong. The US government will acquire a 9.9% stake in Intel. Looking ahead to the week, key events include Nvidia's earnings report on Wednesday after the market close, as well as crucial inflation data releases on both sides of the Atlantic on Friday. According to Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research, market breadth indicators in the US and Europe suggest further stock market gains are likely through to the end of the year.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:20) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:55) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US stocks extended their losses amid trade tensions and mixed corporate earnings. Stronger-than-expected PMI data and warnings from Walmart, the US retail giant, that Trump's tariffs are driving up costs, have heightened inflation concerns and lifted yields. As markets are looking for direction, investors eagerly await Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's keynote speech at Jackson Hole, seeking guidance on future interest rates. Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM Solutions Geneva, discusses what this means for the US dollar and in which currencies he sees opportunities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:22) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:47) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The Nasdaq 100 fell as much as 1.5% before recovering to close just 0.6% lower. Markets remain on edge ahead of key events, including Jay Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium tomorrow, whilst the USD remains unchanged and gold rises amid concerns over Fed independence. UK inflation surged to an 18-month high and government bonds rallied, lifting large-cap UK stocks, whilst Asian markets showed mixed results, with technology-heavy Korea and Taiwan rising and Japan's Nikkei 225 falling. Shares in Shanghai have reached their highest in a decade. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses the Circular Economy investment theme, focusing on the plastic problem.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:34) - Circular Economy: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:26) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

While major European stock markets experienced a cautiously optimistic trading session, buoyed by hopes of de-escalation in Ukraine, the main US indices ended the day in negative territory, led by declines in large-cap technology stocks. Nevertheless, a notable 70% of S&P 500 constituents managed to finish higher, as investors looked ahead to the Jackson Hole symposium, which begins tomorrow, for fresh insights into future monetary policy. For expert analysis, Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, shares his perspectives on these developments, while Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, discusses the potential implications of a peace agreement for European equities, especially the defence sector.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (06:38) - Expectations for Jackson Hole: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (12:12) - Defence stocks in the wake of peace talks: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (16:12) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

President Zelenskyy's second meeting at the White House delivered more smiles than his first but resulted in expectations rather than deals. President Trump has announced that he will now set up a face-to-face meeting for Ukraine and Russia's leaders, and President Zelenskyy has made security guarantees a ‘starting point for ending the war'. Financial markets are breathing a small sigh of relief and now turning their attention to the Jackson Hole global central bank symposium starting on Thursday. Meanwhile, technological advancements and product innovations in the asset management space are blurring the divide between public and private markets, and the exchange traded fund (ETF) market is now undergoing something of a revolution – Next Generation analyst Manuel Villegas joins the podcast to explain the trend and what it might mean for investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:27) - Future of finance: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:14) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Major equity markets surge to new highs, driven by easing trade tensions, robust US earnings, and expectations of US interest rate cuts even as US inflation remains a concern. This trend is also reflected in US investment-grade credit spreads, which have reached their lowest level since 1998. Meanwhile, Indian markets are up over 1% today, following news of a planned cut in consumption tax. Looking ahead, investors are eagerly anticipating several key events this week, including today's meeting between Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump in Washington DC, the release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, and Fed Chair Jay Powell's speech in Jackson Hole on Friday. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research, shares his insights on what market breadth reveals about our regional equity preferences from a technical perspective.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:34) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:01) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Yesterday's hotter-than-expected US inflation data prompted a reassessment of rate cut expectations, driving yields and the US dollar higher. Although most stocks fell, the S&P 500 managed to eke out a marginal gain, largely due tothe strong performance of major tech companies. Notably, Intel's stock jumped on news that the Trump administration was considering taking a stake in the beleaguered chipmaker. Attention now turns to the upcoming Trump-Putin summit, where discussions may significantly impact safe-haven assets like gold and the Swiss franc. To explore the potential implications and trading opportunities, Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions, shares his insights.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:16) - FX and metals: Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions (08:23) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Benchmark equity indices in the US, Italy, Spain, and the UK have surged to new highs, fuelled by a benign US inflation report and Germany's inflation data confirming a sub-2% reading. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says US interest rates could be 150 to 175 basis points lower. Bitcoin has hit a new all-time high, with Ether also close to its record high. Japanese shares are down on a stronger yen, after previously reaching a record high. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, weighs in on the energy market outlook: from oil to gas and Friday's US-Russia summit.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:45) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:14) - Update on oil and gas: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (13:34) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The latest US inflation figures for July sent stocks soaring to new all-time highs once again. With a 25 basis-point rate cut in September now widely anticipated by market participants, expectations are running high. In contrast, European markets underperformed due to disappointing economic data from Germany. Joining us today are Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research. Dario shares his rationale for why he doesn't foresee any significant yield spikes, while Mathieu provides insight into the challenges facing the pharmaceutical sector and the shifting landscape of market leadership in Europe.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:37) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:29) - Fixed Income: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (12:34) - Equities: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (18:10) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The main question on everyone's mind is whether today's US inflation report will corroborate the narrative of easing inflation, potentially paving the way for a possible Federal Reserve rate cut in September. A stronger-than-expected inflation figure would serve as a reality check for investors. Meanwhile, geopolitical developments, such as the upcoming meeting between Trump and Putin, and trade news, including the extension of the US-China trade truce, are dominating the headlines. Overnight, the Australian central bank cut interest rates, whilst Japanese shares reached new record highs. Joining us on the show to discuss the recent surge in Bitcoin and Ethereum is Manuel Villegas from our Next Generation Research team.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:08) - Digital assets – Bitcoin and Ethereum rally: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:25) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US stocks are on a tear with the S&P 500 trading just a whisker below its all-time high and the Nasdaq shining thanks to renewed enthusiasm around tech and artificial intelligence stocks. European stocks are also having a good run with banks in the lead. However, Switzerland has been lagging after the hefty 39% levies on Swiss exports to the US took effect on Thursday. This week's inflation data will be decisive in terms of whether markets can rally further. Joining us this morning is Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his insights on the direction of US yields and explains why he believes in a rise in gold prices during the second half of this year.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:23) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:16) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Once again, investors are facing a flood of news to digest – from tariff updates, such as Japan's announcement that the US will end the stacking of universal tariffs and cut levies on cars; to central bank developments, including the Bank of England's rate decision and the appointment of Stephen Miran to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors; to company-specific headlines, such as Eli Lilly's latest study results; and geopolitical updates, including a potential Trump - Putin meeting. Joining us to discuss the latest developments in the currencies and metals markets is Tim Gagie, our Head of FX/PM Private Banking in Geneva.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:22) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (12:08) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets are in a positive mood, driven by corporate earnings that are exceeding expectations, and this is despite further 'tariff sabre-rattling' by President Donald Trump, who announced a potential 100% tariff on chips and semiconductors that are not manufactured in the US. Meanwhile, Switzerland has yet to successfully negotiate a reduction in the US tariff of 39%. Yields are slightly higher this morning, partly due to the underwhelming demand in yesterday's auction of new 10-year US Treasuries. For insights into the bank's investment strategy, we are joined by Nicolas Jordan from the CIO Investment Analysis team.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (05:47) - Update from the CIO Office: Nicolas Jordan, CIO Investment Analysis (10:43) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

With tariffs on Switzerland still in focus, a small Swiss delegation travels to Washington to negotiate a resolution. Meanwhile, emerging tariff threats for semiconductors and pharmaceuticals are weighing on market sentiment. Beyond trade developments, investors must digest a slew of macroeconomic figures and reports from the ongoing earnings season. The US Federal Reserve is also in the spotlight, especially after President Trump announced his intention to nominate a new Fed Chair by the end of the week. To provide clarity amidst the market turmoil, we welcome Dario Messi, our Head of Fixed Income Research, and Mathieu Racheter, our Head of Equity Strategy, to the show today.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (07:21) - Is Fed independence really at risk? Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (13:24) - Swiss equities and Q2 earnings in focus: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (19:34) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

European and US stocks staged a recovery rally yesterday, although the Swiss market trailed behind following the recent 39% tariff shock. Meanwhile, yields have fallen sharply across Europe due to robust real money demand. In the US, yields have also dipped slightly, as markets now largely anticipate a 25 basis-point rate cut in September. With a comprehensive update on the current state of the Swiss property market, we are joined by Markus Waeber, Head of Indirect Real Estate Advisory and Intelligence.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (05:24) - Real estate update: Markus Waeber, Head of Indirect Real Estate Advisory & Intelligence (11:22) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

President Trump's team delivered more tariff surprises ahead of the weekend with conditions worsening for both Canada and Switzerland. Then the jobs data delivered some ugly news for the US economy, with severe downward revisions to May and June's data which saw the bearer of the tidings - the commissioner of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics – lose her job. Added to this, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler announced her early departure from office, leaving the President with two new job announcements to make. It's therefore no surprise that equity markets fell, and US treasuries rallied, as markets more than doubled their previous day's bet on a September rate cut to 87.5%. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, joins the podcast today to provide insights into how the tariff news might impact Swiss investors as he discusses rates, the Swiss franc and Swiss equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (06:58) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:50) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has tempered expectations that the central bank may cut interest rates at its September meeting, leading to a modest decline in stock prices. However, after the close of trading, both Microsoft and Meta reported strong earnings for Q2, with their shares rising substantially, which could set the stage for a positive trading day ahead. Meanwhile, Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM Private Banking Sales in Geneva, offers his insights on the current strength of the US dollar and identifies potential opportunities as we head into August.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (07:26) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (11:27) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

European equities rebounded yesterday, driven by largely positive earnings, as the IMF upgraded its global growth forecast for this year and next, citing reduced US trade war impact and a weaker US dollar. Meanwhile, Novo Nordisk makes headlines with a 30% share dive on revised sales and profit guidance, and US equities lose steam ahead of today's Fed meeting. For more on the earnings season so far and ahead of the four mega-cap tech stocks that are scheduled for this week, we have Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, on the show.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (05:55) - Q2 Earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (11:32) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The long-awaited trade deal between the EU and the US only provided a temporary boost to the markets, with concerns swiftly being voiced in Europe. Many described the agreement as one-sided, favouring US interests. Following the announcement, the US dollar strengthened while the price of gold plummeted to a three-week low. Meanwhile, oil prices rose, driven by the trade deal and President Trump's renewed pressure on Russia. Attention now turns to US monetary policy, with the Federal Open Market Committee commencing its two-day meeting today. Joining us on the show to discuss the implications of last week's European Central Bank decision and provide insight into this week's rate decision in the US is our Chief Economist, David Kohl.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (06:12) - Central Banks and Trade Deals: David Kohl, Chief Economist (12:26) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The European Union and the United States have reached a significant trade agreement, substantially reducing the likelihood of an all-out trade war. While some details remain unclear, the markets have responded favourably to the announcement. In a related development, Chinese and US officials are set to convene in Stockholm today to discuss easing trade tensions. Markets have a lot to digest this week with the Federal Reserve interest rate decision and the latest US jobs data due. Also, it is a busy week for company earnings reports, with four of the Mag7 companies reporting, among other. As always on Mondays, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, joins us to share his views on markets from a technical analysis perspective.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (05:35) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:35) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Earnings remain in the spotlight, with notable gains in the banking sector, while Tesla tumbled amid US policy headwinds. The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged and offered a modestly upbeat assessment of the eurozone economy, raising doubts among investors about further policy easing, even while US tariff threats still cloud the outlook. This pushed yields higher and weighed on gold. Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM Private Banking in Geneva, explains why the precious metal has consolidated since Liberation Day, and why he agrees with the consensus view of higher prices for metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (05:54) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:33) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global equity markets rally on US-Japan trade deal progress, sparking hopes for EU agreements, with equities surging and gold easing. Japan's Nikkei 225 reaches a new all-time high, as does the S&P 500. In earnings: Alphabet surprises positively, while Tesla disappoints. Companies reporting today include industry giants like Nestle, Roche, Deutsche Bank, and LVMH. The ECB is not expected to cut rates today, with the market's focus on its outlook. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses China's historic new hydropower project – which is six times bigger than the Three Gorges Dam – and explores its potential impact on iron ore and steel prices.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Investment Writing (05:58) - Iron ore and steel: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:51) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The current earnings season is proving particularly intriguing, with some companies surpassing analyst expectations and others struggling, particularly due to the impact of US tariffs. On the subject of tariffs, the recently announced US-Japan trade deal has boosted market confidence and fuelled optimism that others, such as the European Union, may also be able to secure similar deals. Meanwhile, attention is slowly but surely shifting towards interest rate decisions, with the ECB set to announce its decision tomorrow and the US Federal Reserve scheduled to follow next week. Joining us on the show today is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who provides an update and outlook on the crypto space.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (07:10) - Digital assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:37) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US stock market reached new heights, driven by the strong performance of several of the top tech giants, but the broader market failed to follow suit. Meanwhile, government bond yields declined across the board as the deadline for President Trump's trade negotiations, set for 1 August, draws closer. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, offers his insights on the Japanese market in the aftermath of the recent election upheaval and provides a comprehensive overview of the earnings season thus far.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (07:04) - Implications of Japan elections and earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (11:27) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Japan's Upper House election has sparked market uncertainty after the ruling LDP coalition lost control. Nevertheless, the JPY remained surprisingly stable. The S&P 500 and MSCI World indices reached new heights last week, bolstered by robust economic data and impressive corporate earnings. The US Congress passes legislation regulating stablecoins, thereby giving credibility to the digital asset industry. According to Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, the CHF is likely to maintain its strength, and small- and mid-cap stocks are currently preferred over large-cap equivalents in the Swiss equities market.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Investment Writing (06:09) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:17) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global stock markets experienced a positive day yesterday, bolstered by impressive earnings reports – including those from ABB – and favourable macroeconomic data from the US. The latter indicated a resilient retail sector, underpinned by a strong US consumer. As a result, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite both closed at record highs. In Asia, however, the outlook is more mixed, with attention centred on Japan ahead of its upper house elections this weekend. On the commodities front, oil prices remain steady, whereas gold has edged down slightly this morning. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and the US dollar have both appreciated. We are joined today by Bence Boldvai from FX/PM Solutions, who discusses the latest developments in currencies and metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (07:26) - FX and metals: Bence Boldvai, FX/PM Solutions (11:07) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US President's comments regarding potentially firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell sparked market volatility. The initial reaction was swift, with the dollar and stocks tumbling, but the market later showed resilience with the S&P 500 rising. Strong US bank earnings and mixed inflation signals added to the complex picture. Global trade tensions weighed on European stocks, with shares of ASML and Renault plunging, while in Asia, TSMC came out with strong results. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, provides some impressive numbers behind Bitcoin's march to a new all-time high.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Investment Writing (06:39) - Digital assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:40) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stocks retreated in response to US inflation data, which met expectations but showed that tariffs have arrived in inflation figures. The earnings season has started with mixed bank earnings dragging down broader equity markets, while the tech heavy Nasdaq reached a record high on gains by chip giant Nvidia. This followed the US decision to ease restrictions on selling AI chips to China. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, shares his insights on what to expect from the earnings season and why he sees more upside potential for the defence sector. And Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, explains why Japanese bond yields increased so strongly and Japan's election this weekend remains a risk event.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (00:52) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (06:14) - Fixed income update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:52) - Earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (16:21) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stock markets continue to show resilience in the face of the latest US tariff threats and potential countermeasures from trading partners such as the EU. Other significant news yesterday included French President Emmanuel Macron announcing plans to substantially increase defence spending, while the US shifted its stance towards Russia, threatening to introduce secondary sanctions. Overnight in Asia, investors digested a slew of Chinese macroeconomic data and the latest increase in Japanese government bond yields. Today, the focus shifts to US banks as they kick off the earnings season. Also joining the show today is Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, with an update on gold and silver.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (07:16) - Gold and silver update: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:46) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Markets take note of the escalating trade tensions, yet their response appears surprisingly subdued. The US dollar has edged upwards, just like global long-term yields, and stock prices have dipped slightly. Investors seem to be adopting a cautious stance, awaiting the ongoing developments and hoping that some political flexibility can be maintained until 1 August. In addition, Richard Tang, Head of Research in Hong Kong, discusses the specific drivers of China's onshore and offshore markets, as well as the potential significance of Japan's upcoming upper-house elections for the country's government.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (06:29) - Asia update: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong (16:07) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US equities reach another record high as investors downplay tariff concerns, buoyed by a positive forecast from Delta Airlines. Bitcoin soars to a new all-time high, exceeding USD 118,000. European shares see modest gains, with the Swiss market leading the way due to advancements in healthcare, and the UK market rising on the back of strong commodity performance following the announcement of the US copper tariffs. The original Hermès Birkin handbag is sold for EUR 8.58 million. According to Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX & PM Solutions, the US dollar's downward trend remains in place, although he notes that July and August are typically not periods of strong trends.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Investment Writing (06:15) - FX and metals: Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions (08:57) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

President Trump delivers more tariff letters and lays down the gauntlet to Brazil – announcing a 50% tariff on their exports into the US. Copper also faces a 50% import tariff. US markets rally on artificial intelligence enthusiasm as Nvidia buoys tech stocks, becoming the first company ever to reach a valuation of USD 4 trillion. Our Chief Economist, David Kohl, provides his thoughts on the latest tariff developments and what they might mean for the US economy and the dollar going forwards, and sticking with the tariff theme, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, delves into the copper news and the multiple factors at play when it comes to pricing.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (05:54) - Tariff developments by David Kohl, Chief Economist (13:49) - Copper: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (18:07) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Stock markets remain quiet, shrugging off President Trump's assertive rhetoric on additional tariffs and his stance that no exemptions will be made ahead of the 1st August deadline for reciprocal tariffs. Nevertheless, government bond yields are rising across major markets due to potential inflationary pressures triggered by the tariffs and a broader re-evaluation of risk appetite. To provide insight into these developments, Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, discusses why he remains relatively unfazed by the increase in yields, while Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, shares his outlook for the upcoming Q2 earnings reporting season.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (06:01) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (10:49) - Q2 Earnings season preview: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (14:53) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US sent a flurry of ‘trade letters' to numerous countries yesterday, stating that it will impose steep tariffs from 1 August 2025 unless these countries take steps to open their markets to American products. Meanwhile, US President Trump signed an executive order, delaying the deadline for reciprocal tariffs from this Wednesday to 1 August. The stock market reacted swiftly, with US indices closing lower yesterday, but market sentiment appears to have improved slightly overnight as investors focused on the fact that Trump has left the door open for further trade discussions. With a quiet economic agenda today, investors are likely to remain focused on the trade saga and await further developments. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, joins our show today to provide an update on the world of crypto.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Investment Writing (06:38) - Digital assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:09) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Investors are seeking protection in more defensive areas of the market as US President Donald Trump ratchets up trade tensions. European and US equity futures plunge alongside Asian shares amidst fresh tariff uncertainty ahead of the Wednesday tariff deadline. However, 1 August appears to be the new deadline, allowing certain countries more time for negotiations. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, talks about the optical illusion of recent all-time highs in US equities and the need to hedge US dollar assets, particularly for Swiss franc investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (05:46) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:06) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

A solid US jobs report sends global stocks higher and US equities to all-time highs. But the devil lies in the detail. A US Federal Reserve rate cut in July is now off the table, pushing US Treasury yields higher and gold lower. What comes next? Investors are already looking to next week when Wednesday's tariff deadline looms. Trump has intensified trade tensions even ahead of the deadline, saying the administration would start sending out letters to countries from today. Joining us is Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM Private Banking in Geneva, who shares his views on the weakening US dollar, the moves in the British pound this week, and why gold remains a buy-on-dip.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:51) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing (06:06) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (09:40) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The S&P 500 reached a new high, fuelled by technology stocks. Despite weak US private jobs data, optimism prevailed thanks to a Vietnam trade deal and significant bank dividend increases. However, UK politics sparked fresh concerns, causing the pound and UK domestic equities to decline. Meanwhile, copper prices are surging due to tariff-induced stockpiling in the US – Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, provides his take.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Investment Writing (06:12) - Copper: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:27) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

While European stocks had a subdued start yesterday, broader US indices managed to kick off the second half of 2025 firmly in the green, shrugging off concerns on the looming tariff ‘decision day' on 9 July. However, big tech mega caps dragged down the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq. Talk of the day was the Senate's passing of the ‘Big, beautiful (tax) bill' as President Trump calls it, and a flurry of manufacturing activity reports from around the globe, which showed that this part of the economy keeps on facing challenges. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, explains why he believes that the US Treasury yield curve is likely to steepen going forward.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Investment Writing (06:27) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (12:55) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.