Moving Markets: Daily News

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Moving Markets is a daily market news briefing from Julius Baer. Our experts discuss the latest market developments and put the headlines in perspective to set you up for the coming day. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.

Julius Baer


    • Nov 17, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekdays NEW EPISODES
    • 12m AVG DURATION
    • 853 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from Moving Markets: Daily News

    US Tech stocks bounce back but need to watch out for Wednesday

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 17, 2025 9:57


    After a rollercoaster session US equities rebounded by Friday's close, with technology even ending the day in positive territory. Europe had earlier closed lower, mirroring Thursday's US tech selloff. Overnight, Korean technology stocks drove the Kospi higher but China and Japan's geopolitical tensions over Taiwan weighed on the broader market. Japan's travel and tourism sectors took a hit today after China warned its citizens not to travel there. When it comes to the week ahead, watch out for the Fed minutes, a raft of US data being unleashed after the shutdown, and Nvidia's all-important results on Wednesday. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical analysis covers likely trajectories for gold and the US dollar in today's podcast, as well as revealing what the charts say about a year-end rally.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:03) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:40) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Fed hawkishness and China data weigh on investor sentiment

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 14, 2025 11:59


    Markets turned risk-off after early optimism. European stocks reversed gains, with the STOXX 600 down 0.6%. In the US, hawkish Federal Reserve comments erased the relief rally: the Nasdaq dropped 2.3%, Bitcoin fell back below USD 100,000, and gold eased slightly. Odds of a December rate cut slipped to 50% following remarks by several Fed members, lifting US Treasury yields. US president Trump plans tariff cuts on food imports to tackle inflation. Brent crude rebounded from midweek losses. The dollar softened, the Swiss franc strengthened, the yen hit a record low against the euro, and sterling remains volatile. Weak Chinese data weighed on Asian equities, led by technology losses. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, highlights that precious metals are trading with equity-like dynamics, the CHF goes from strength to strength, while the Japanese yen is under pressure.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:30) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva (10:51) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    As the US government shutdown ends, the equity rally continues

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 13, 2025 11:33


    We need to exclude tech stocks though. Whilst the S&P 500 rose, and the Dow Jones closed above 48,000 for the first time ever, the Nasdaq Composite closed lower yesterday, with investors further rotating out of technology and into industrials, financials and healthcare stocks. News of the end of the US government's longest ever shutdown also provided a muted boost to Asia's stock markets.European stocks closed broadly higher, continuing their upward trend this week. Even gold saw a relief rally. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research joins the podcast today to try to make sense of just what is driving the current rebound in the precious metal markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:14) - Gold & silver: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:16) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Investors rotate out of tech

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2025 15:30


    European equities hit fresh highs, led by Swiss stocks on tariff hopes. In the US, the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished Tuesday's session also at record levels while the Nasdaq Composite faced pressure after SoftBank exited its Nvidia stake and investors moved money away from technology stocks into other parts of the market. Joining the show today are Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, who discusses the potential end of the US shutdown from a bond perspective, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who shares his view on the final inning of the Q3 earnings season and why he thinks healthcare is in a good place.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:36) - US corporate credit update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:54) - Earnings season, and a sector upgraded to Overweight: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (14:21) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Shutdown relief lifts sentiment across assets

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 11, 2025 12:26


    Markets staged a broad-based rebound yesterday, driven by optimism that the US government shutdown may soon be resolved. Equities rallied, led by tech, while both Bitcoin and gold also moved higher. In Asia, early gains faded after China signalled potential restrictions on rare earth exports, and Japan's bond auction underwhelmed. We also cover Fed Governor Miran's dovish comments, ongoing delays in US economic data, and what to watch during today's Veterans Day trading session. Joining us is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who shares his thoughts on Bitcoin's Q4 performance so far, which has been overshadowed by broader economic uncertainty.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:22) - Crypto assets update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (11:17) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets rebound as US government shutdown nears resolution

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 10, 2025 11:19


    After a volatile week in equity markets – driven by valuation concerns surrounding tech and AI-related companies – stocks are climbing this morning on news that the US government shutdown may soon come to an end. Gold is also on the rise, potentially signalling the conclusion of its brief consolidation phase. Today, we're joined by Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his insights on why he believes the year-end rally is gaining momentum.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:15) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:10) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Tech wobbles and Fed to cut, or not to cut?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2025 15:08


    Outplacement firm Challenger reported over 150,000 job cuts in October – the highest for the month of October in more than 20 years. US Treasury yields fell sharply, raising expectations of a December Fed rate cut, although some officials remain cautious. AI-related stocks dragged markets lower, but the selling was selective. In Europe, German industrial output beat forecasts but remains weak; while the Euro Stoxx 50 fell on disappointing earnings. In Asia, China's exports unexpectedly declined for the first time in eight months. Richard Tang, Head of Research in Hong Kong, discusses the lack of short-term catalysts for China's equity markets and our outlook on the AI investment theme, which is key to markets in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:19) - Asia update – Japan, Korea and China: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong (13:50) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment Writing Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Data, earnings, and the Supreme Court give equities a boost

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 6, 2025 12:18


    US, European and Asian markets have all reacted positively to news in the US yesterday. Private payrolls and ISM data revealed that the economy is more resilient than had been feared. Advanced Micro Devices' Q3 earnings beat expectations, and their tide lifted other AI boats globally. And the Supreme Court hinted that it may well place limits on President Trump's tariffs, although we'll have to wait a while for any decision there. Our Head of Next Generation Research, Carsten Menke, provides insights into the rollercoaster ride that copper has been on recently, sharing his thoughts on what might come next.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:58) - Copper: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (11:05) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Reality check for AI sends markets lower

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2025 18:00


    Global markets retreated yesterday as investors took a closer look at lofty AI valuations. The US dollar climbed to a three-month high, supported by persistent inflation concerns and the ongoing government shutdown. Commodities came under pressure, with both gold and oil slipping, while crypto markets saw sharp declines amid broader risk-off sentiment. In Asia, tech-led losses weighed on indices, and minutes from the Bank of Japan revealed a growing internal debate over potential rate hikes. Joining the show today are Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, who discusses the US public debt dynamics, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who shares insights on Q3 hyperscaler earnings, the AI bubble, and emerging market equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:13) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:21) - Q3 earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (16:49) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets ride the AI and earnings wave, but valuation concerns linger

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2025 11:33


    Stock markets edged higher during the European and US trading sessions, buoyed by earnings and renewed investor enthusiasm around AI-driven deals and ahead of Palantir's highly anticipated earnings release after the close. Although the company surpassed earnings expectations, its share price tumbled post-market as concerns emerged over its current valuation. In today's discussion, we're joined by Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who provides insight into the evolving opportunities and risks within the AI ecosystem.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:34) - Artificial Intelligence update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:25) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Nvidia creates a country's economy in only 5 days

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2025 9:54


    Markets were buoyed by solid tech earnings, a positive Trump–Xi meeting, and a wave of AI-related deals last week. Nvidia single-handedly created an entire country's economy in five days. Outside the tech sector, however, equity performance was more muted. European markets lagged, weighed down by persistent inflation and cautious central bank messaging. Meanwhile, emerging market equities posted their strongest year-to-date rally since the dawn of the internet era. Joining the show is Markus Wachter from our Technical Analysis team. He shares insights on what seasonality suggests for the remainder of the year, what US equity market internals are signalling, and why copper may be on the verge of a secular breakout.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:47) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:40) - Technical Analysis update: Markus Wachter, Technical Analysis (08:47) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets pause for breath as they digest key earnings

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 18:31


    US Markets closed slightly lower on Thursday after hyperscaler earnings raised concerns about increasing AI spending, but Apple and Amazon results after the close provided a boost to futures. The mood was further elevated by an agreement between China and the US that seemingly delays the trade war by a year. To date, October 2025 is bucking the historical trend, with the big three US indices all in positive territory. Our Chief Economist, David Kohl, assesses this week's central bank action and what to expect policy-wise going forwards. And Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, provides a round up of what he is seeing with the Japanese yen, the US dollar and the euro, as well as the latest on silver and gold.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:43) - Central bank meetings: David Kohl, Chief Economist (13:03) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (17:10) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Rate Cuts, Record Highs, and Rare Earths

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 14:22


    The US Federal Reserve delivered a widely anticipated rate cut, but growing divisions among policymakers spooked markets. Strong AI-driven spending fuelled big-tech earnings, but the outlooks dented the bullish mood. Eurozone markets gained on robust banking performance, while the main indices in the UK and Spain hit another all-time high. The Bank of Japan opted to leave rates unchanged at its meeting today. The meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi ended and has eased some global trade concerns – but underlying tensions persist. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, talks about rare earths as well as oil in light of the latest sanctions.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:41) - Oil and rare earths: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (13:05) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    AI-powered markets hit new highs, but market breadth remains narrow

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2025 14:14


    As European markets experience some profit-taking ahead of key central bank meetings, all major US stock indices closed at record highs. However, market breadth remains narrow, driven primarily by gains in just a few mega-cap technology stocks. Today, we welcome Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, who shares his outlook on upcoming interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank – and what these developments could mean for fixed income investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:54) - Fixed income & central banks: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (13:09) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Wall Street hits record highs ahead of key earnings and central bank decisions

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2025 14:33


    Global equity markets rallied as optimism around US-China trade negotiations lifted investor sentiment. European trade-sensitive sectors led early gains, while Wall Street closed at new record highs, driven by strong performances in chip stocks. Gold sold off sharply and oil prices dipped. In tech, Qualcomm surged on its AI pivot, while AMD partnered with the US government on supercomputing. Argentina's markets soared following political developments, and Japan signed new trade deals with the US. Joining the show today are Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who shares insights on the unfolding earnings season, and Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, who covers the latest developments in crypto assets.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:36) - Earnings Season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (09:33) - Latest news on Crypto assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (13:20) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Global equities rally on trade deal optimism

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2025 11:03


    Global stocks rose on renewed optimism that the United States and China are nearing a trade agreement. The upbeat sentiment also lifted commodity prices, with copper and oil posting gains. In contrast, Treasuries declined and gold slipped. Looking ahead, investors face a pivotal week featuring interest rate decisions from four G7 central banks and earnings reports from five of the ‘Mag-7' tech giants—Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, and Amazon. Joining the show is Markus Wachter from our Technical Analysis team. He discusses the significance of Japan's Nikkei breaking above the 50,000-point level and shares his outlook on the Swiss franc, anticipating the end of a prolonged consolidation phase.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:32) - Technical Analysis update: Markus Wachter, Technical Analysis (09:54) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Oil surges on sanctions, markets rally on earnings

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 12:59


    Oil prices spiked over 5% after the US imposed fresh sanctions on Russia's top crude producers. Meanwhile, equity markets rallied on strong corporate earnings, with European luxury and US tech stocks leading the charge. The Swiss National Bank released its first-ever policy minutes, offering insights into its current stance. In Asia, markets gained ahead of President Trump's upcoming visit to the region, where trade and security talks with China's President Xi are in focus. Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong, joins us to share his views on China, Japan, and Singapore.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:28) - Asia update: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong (11:41) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Earnings and trade tensions in focus … as oil grabs the spotlight from gold

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2025 11:32


    European and US stocks moved lower in yesterday's trading sessions, with earnings releases and new mooted curbs on US software exports to China doing nothing to boost the trading mood. Asia's equity markets also reacted negatively to the escalation in trade tensions. Oil prices jumped about 3% last night after the US administration imposed further sanctions on Russia's two largest crude companies, Rosneft and Lukoil, aiming to harm the Kremlin's ability to raise revenue to fund its war against Ukraine. Our Head of Equity Strategy Research, Mathieu Racheter, joins the podcast to provide an update on a – so far – strong US earnings season. He explains why next week is the one to watch out for though, as it should reveal whether or not AI momentum is still building.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:11) - Earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy (10:22) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Mixed markets, metals meltdown, and CHF strength

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2025 11:43


    European and US equity markets were mixed yesterday, with gains from strong earnings offset by declines in mining stocks. French shares reached record highs despite political uncertainty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new peak following robust earnings. US Treasury yields fell on weak data; gold and silver saw steep declines; the USD strengthened, and the Swiss franc approached record highs amid resilient exports. India and the US are reportedly negotiating a trade deal involving lower tariffs and reduced Russian oil imports. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, provides his timely take on one of the sharpest declines in precious metals in years.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:21) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:04) - Gold update: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:38) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets rebound on upbeat earnings and easing credit concerns

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 13:36


    Stocks bounce back on diminishing fears regarding US regional bank credit quality and positive earnings reports. Meanwhile, French assets lag on the back of waning investor confidence and company specific news in the banking sector, and the gold rally continues. Today, we are joined by Eirini Tsekeridou from Fixed Income Research, who shares her thoughts on French bonds after the downgrade, on Argentina ahead of the mid-term elections on Sunday, and the credit jitters among US regional banks.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:54) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:28) - Bond market update: Eirini Tsekeridou, Fixed Income Research (12:21) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Turbulence, tensions & turnarounds

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2025 10:26


    Markets swung wildly last week as easing US-China trade tensions clashed with fresh regional bank fears. While Wall Street rebounded on Friday, Europe lagged amid banking and defence sector woes. Bond yields fell, gold slipped, and this morning Asia rallied on Japanese political shifts. All eyes now turn to earnings and US inflation data later this week. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he still likes gold and why he expects equity markets to kick-off a year-end rally.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:51) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:21) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    On banks, gold and the USD

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2025 14:51


    US stocks opened higher yesterday, but then reversed course. Small caps underperformed, and market volatility rose amid credit concerns at regional banks. In Europe, Swiss and French equity markets outperformed, supported by positive corporate news and France temporarily avoiding a political crisis. Gold extended its record-breaking rally. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury fell below a key threshold, reflecting weak economic data and dovish comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, shares his insights on bank earnings and talks about US vs European banks. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, discusses key considerations amid the rally in precious metals and the recent pullback in the US dollar.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:42) - Earnings season: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (09:25) - Currencies and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (13:46) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets rebound on luxury rally and earnings boost

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 14:33


    Global equities rebounded midweek, driven by a sharp rally in European luxury stocks and strong earnings from major US banks. US-China trade tensions remain in focus, with Treasury Secretary Bessent reaffirming a firm stance. The AI theme continues to dominate headlines, supported by major deal announcements and robust earnings results. In commodities, both gold and oil are trading higher this Wednesday morning. Gold is benefiting from its safe-haven appeal, while oil prices are rising on reports that India may reduce its purchases of Russian crude. Today's show features Nicolas Jordan from the CIO Office, who shares his insights on the US equity market, China, and gold.(00:00) - Introduction: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:43) - Update from the CIO Office: Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis (13:27) - Closing remarks: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US earnings season opens strongly with banks

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2025 11:30


    Equities fluctuated on mixed US–China trade signals and a speech by the US Federal Reserve Chair, which suggested that the central bank may be ready to halt balance sheet reduction. This boosted small-cap stocks and non-technology sectors, while robust bank earnings added momentum. Asian markets rose, although China lagged due to data indicating persistent deflationary pressures. Gold reached new highs, whereas oil declined amid supply concerns. Sophie Altermatt, Macro & Next Generation Research, shares our perspective on the tense US–China trade negotiations.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:44) - Developments in China: Sophie Altermatt, Macro & Next Generation Research (10:23) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Monday's European and US equity rally sullied by new trade war actions

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2025 10:38


    President Trump's Sunday post – “Don't worry about China, it will all be fine” – boosted stock markets yesterday, with further positive AI-specific headlines also providing fuel to a rally that saw the main indices clawing back a good part of their losses from Friday's sell-off. News overnight that China is imposing curbs on American units of South Korean shipbuilder Hanwha Ocean Co. have seen markets in Asia retreat and US futures drop. Gold and silver were the winners, yet again. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, joins the podcast today to bring an update on Bitcoin, explaining why crypto assets are also impacted by geopolitical risks.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:04) - Digital assets update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (09:19) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets slide as trade tensions return

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2025 10:43


    Global markets tumbled on Friday following renewed trade war fears sparked by President Trump's aggressive rhetoric towards China. Major global indices saw sharp declines, while gold surged past USD 4,000 an ounce. In Europe, political uncertainty in France added to the risk-off mood, with President Macron's surprise reappointment of Lecornu facing immediate opposition. Meanwhile, China's latest trade data showed unexpected resilience, and Japan saw a shift in its political landscape with the dissolution of its ruling coalition. Joining us today is Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his insights on the market fallout.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:35) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:35) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets pause as geopolitical shifts and rare earth tensions take centre stage

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 11:08


    After a strong rally, US and European markets paused, with major indices closing lower amid a more cautious mood. In Europe, Ferrari's downward revision to guidance and HSBC's restructuring in Hong Kong weighed on sentiment, even as Germany's DAX reached a fresh intra-day high. Geopolitical developments dominated headlines, with Israel and Hamas agreeing to a ceasefire. Gold and oil prices retreated on the news. Meanwhile, silver surged past USD 50 an ounce for the first time ever yesterday. China's expanded restrictions on rare earth exports triggered a rally in US mining stocks, underscoring strategic tensions in global tech supply chains. In fixed income, US Treasury yields edged slightly higher amid ongoing uncertainty around a potential government shutdown, and Fed Governor Barr cautioned against premature rate cuts. In Asia, South Korea's Kospi outperformed, buoyed by strong performances from AI-driven chipmakers. Joining us today is Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, who shares insights on precious metals, the US dollar, and the Japanese yen.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:20) - FX and metals markets: Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva (10:00) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Gold glitters, stocks rally, and China's cracks

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 14:44


    European and US equities edged higher as gold held above USD 4,000/oz amid ongoing economic and political uncertainty. Despite strong travel data, Chinese consumer sentiment remains weak, while Germany's industrial downturn fuels structural concerns. With the Fed maintaining a dovish stance and political tensions easing in France, investors turn to upcoming earnings and central bank cues. Today, we're joined by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, to discuss his outlook for the Q3 earnings season.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:21) - Q3 Earnings season preview: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (13:34) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Gold breaks records as markets pause

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 17:25


    Global equity markets paused after a strong rally, with US equities dipping slightly and bringing an end to a seven-day winning streak as Oracle's weak cloud margins raised concerns about profitability in AI infrastructure. European stocks remained flat, though French luxury brands outperformed. Airbus broke a major commercial barrier when its A320 family of planes overtook the Boeing 737 to become the most delivered jetliner in history. In currencies, the yen and euro weakened amid political shifts, while the US dollar strengthened. Meanwhile, gold surged past USD 4000 per ounce, continuing its record-breaking run. To talk about what is behind the recent rally and the outlook for this precious metal, we are joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research. Also on the show today is Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong, who shares his insights on Japan and China – and what recent developments mean for global investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:56) - Gold: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:17) - Japan & China: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong (16:21) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US stocks hit fresh highs on deals and despite geopolitics

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 13:28


    Major US equity indices, from small caps to tech, hit fresh highs yesterday, spurred by strong corporate news – from semiconductors to banking deals. Political uncertainty in France and Japan lifted bond yields, weakened the yen and euro, and drove gold towards the historic USD 4,000 per ounce level, while oil rose on a modest OPEC+ output increase. Eirini Tsekeridou, Fixed Income Research, assesses the outlook for France following the surprise resignation of its prime minister. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, sees the AI investment surge as a boom – not (yet) a bubble.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (05:48) - Impact of French politics on markets: Eirini Tsekeridou, Fixed Income Research (08:07) - Cloud computing and Artificial Intelligence update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (12:19) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    All eyes on Japan as markets rally ahead of historic leadership shift

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2025 9:39


    Japanese equities surge to fresh record highs as Sanae Takaichi – known for being pro-stimulus - has won the LDP leadership and is likely to become the country's first female prime minister. Consequently, Japanese government bond yields have risen, while the yen weakened against major currencies. Meanwhile, both bitcoin and gold extended their rallies, reaching new highs as investors seek out alternative stores of value. Today, we welcome Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his insights on whether the current momentum behind gold's upward trajectory is sustainable - or if a correction may be on the horizon.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:22) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:30) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets rally, unfazed by Washington turmoil

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 12:22


    Global stock markets rally to fresh record highs amid upbeat developments in the automotive and artificial intelligence sectors, with gains extending beyond the US into European bourses. Meanwhile, Warren Buffett has re-entered acquisition mode for the first time since 2022, signalling renewed confidence in deal-making opportunities. In today's podcast, we welcome Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, who shares his latest insights on commodity markets – with a particular focus on oil and natural gas.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:48) - Commodities update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (11:04) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Financial markets shrug off the shutdown and embrace AI

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2025 11:26


    European and US stock markets rallied on Wednesday, seemingly unconcerned by the US government shutdown. The S&P 500 closed above the 6,700 level for the first time ever. Asian stocks, particularly in South Korea, were boosted overnight after OpenAI signed an agreement with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix for them to supply the company with memory chips. OpenAI also completed a share sale at a record USD 500 billion valuation, making the creator of ChatGPT the world's most valuable startup. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva shares what he is seeing in terms of market activity in precious metals – there are some surprising revelations. His thoughts on investors only being conceptually bearish on the USD are also worth hearing.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:40) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:15) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Washington shuts its doors

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 12:22


    September saw strong gains across markets, with the S&P 500 up 3%. Hong Kong outperformed, rising 7%. Gold hit multiple highs and credit spreads narrowed to multi-year lows. Yesterday, healthcare rallied after Pfizer announced discounted drug sales via a new government platform. Switzerland and the United States issued a joint statement opposing currency manipulation. In Asia, trading was subdued due to China's Golden Week, while Tokyo declined on interest rate concerns. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, comments on the US government shutdown, noting that while politically sensitive, the market impact is likely to remain limited.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:58) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:29) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:09) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets hold firm as shutdown fears loom

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2025 13:11


    European markets closed higher yesterday, buoyed by strong performances in the healthcare and luxury sectors. In the US, concerns over a potential government shutdown failed to dampen investor sentiment, as a rebound in AI-related stocks helped support equity markets. Beyond market movements, President Trump unveiled a proposed plan to address the conflict in Gaza, alongside announcing a new wave of tariffs targeting a wide range of goods from films to furniture. In commodities, gold continues its impressive rally, reaching yet another record high. Meanwhile, oil prices declined sharply amid expectations that OPEC+ may increase output in November. Joining us on today's episode is James Haunso from Next Generation Research, who shares a timely and insightful update on the cybersecurity investment theme.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:15) - Cybersecurity: James Haunso, Next Generation Research (12:04) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Equities rebound and gold reaches another all-time high

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2025 10:17


    Markets faced a turbulent week, starting with caution amid hawkish Fed commentary and trade tensions, but ending on a more optimistic note thanks to a solid US inflation report. Global equities rebounded on Friday, though US equities still closed the week in negative territory. In contrast, European markets held steady, supported by robust economic data and reassurance regarding pharmaceutical tariffs. Meanwhile, gold continues its upward momentum. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he still likes the precious metal, he discusses this year's lacklustre performance of Swiss equities and offers guidance for Swiss investors, noting that the Swiss franc is expected to strengthen further.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:07) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:08) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets rattle as data surprises and tariffs return

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2025 13:31


    Markets hit some rough patches yesterday, with all major European indices closing lower, followed by similar losses across the three main US benchmarks. Revised US data revealed an upward adjustment to second-quarter GDP, while jobless claims came in below expectations. This prompted markets to reassess the outlook for future interest rate cuts. Overnight, trade tensions resurfaced as US President Trump announced new tariffs targeting pharmaceuticals and heavy-duty trucks. Asian pharmaceutical stocks were quick to react, reflecting renewed concerns over global trade policy. Today, attention turns to the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. Joining us to unpack the latest developments in currencies and precious metals is Tim Gagie, our Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:07) - Gold and silver: Tim Gagie, Head of PB Sales (Geneva) – FX and PM (12:15) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Have equity markets hit an air pocket?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2025 16:44


    US indices closed lower yesterday, despite good performance by some individual names, notably Intel, which rallied 6.4% after reports of a possible investment by Apple. President Trump's announcements regarding Ukraine boosted defence stocks globally and semiconductor stocks powered the Asian indices. Today's US jobless claims and tomorrow's release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index will now be closely monitored for signs of the Fed's intentions. With gold and silver continuing to rally, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, provides some insights into why the inflows are continuing at such a strong pace, as he unpicks central bank and investor demand.Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US equities slide as Nvidia-OpenAI deal raises questions

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 24, 2025 12:46


    US equities struggled to keep up with the recent momentum yesterday, with the S&P 500 posting its worst day in three weeks, while the NASDAQ and the Magnificent 7 saw even larger declines. Questions around the Nvidia-OpenAI-deal weighed on segment. Over in Europe, there was much more of a risk-on tone after the September flash PMIs painted a picture of ongoing resilience. Powell did not offer any groundbreaking revelations in yesterday's press conference, reiterating his arguments for last week's rate cut. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, discusses what the restarted rate cutting cycle means for equities going into year end, as well as what he thinks about Swiss equities after August's tariff shock.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:52) - Equity market update and outlook: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (11:40) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Headwinds in Europe, tailwinds in big tech – and momentum building in Asia

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2025 14:50


    European markets have recently underperformed compared to their US counterparts, with German automakers weighing heavily on broader indices yesterday. Meanwhile, US technology stocks continue to power ahead, buoyed by another significant development in the AI space—the announcement of a partnership of Nvidia with one of its largest customers, OpenAI. In today's episode of Moving Markets, we are joined by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong, who sheds light on how the ongoing AI boom is driving growth not just in the US, but also across select Asian markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:07) - China and Japan in focus: Richard Tang, Head of Equity Research Hong Kong (13:41) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    US equity strength sets up a promising finish

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2025 10:44


    Wall Street trades at record highs after the Fed cut rates, led by technology stocks. Investors expect further cuts, but hawkish Fed comments pushed both US Treasury yields and the dollar higher last week. In Europe, data showed industrial output rebounding; in Asia, Bank of Japan's ETF unwind plans initially weighed on Japanese shares, but concerns are easing this Monday. Gold rises for a fifth week with record ETF inflows, Apple climbs after the iPhone 19 launch, and Porsche postpones its EV launch. Trump's USD 100,000 H-1B visa fee threatens US tech and India-US relations. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, notes that strong US equities year-to-date and in September bode very well for the rest of the year.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:45) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:47) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:33) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Equities cheer Fed Rate cuts

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2025 18:03


    All of the major US equity indices hit a new all-time high, a day after the US Federal Reserve's first rate cut of the year and stronger-than-expected economic data. Europe followed suit with strength in semiconductor stocks. Central banks diverged: Norway cut rates, the Bank of England held steady, and the Bank of Japan surprised by announcing plans to offload its large equity ETF holdings. Asian markets are mixed, with Japanese stocks volatile and Asian dollar bond spreads at record lows—reflecting global optimism in credit markets. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, shares his take on this week's central bank decisions, while Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, examines the USD and gold following a central bank heavy week.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:08) - Central bank actions – implications for bonds: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (12:28) - FX and metals markets: Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva (16:56) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    The Fed is back to lowering rates

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 12:11


    The US central bank delivered a widely expected rate cut, sparking mixed market reactions amid cautious optimism. Tech stocks wobbled, especially Nvidia, after China's internet regulator had told the country's tech companies to stop buying Nvidia's AI chips and terminate its existing orders. Robotaxis and a USD 42 billion tech pact between the US and the UK fuelled gains elsewhere. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, explains copper's role in powering the AI revolution and what the Fed decision means for the gold price.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:44) - Copper: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (11:00) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    It's Fed day!

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2025 13:39


    Yesterday brought a mixed set of signals across global markets. We saw unexpected optimism from Germany, developments on the US–China trade front, stronger-than-expected US retail sales figures, and mounting anticipation ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Equity markets in both Europe and the US ended the session lower, partly weighed down by profit-taking ahead of the policy announcement. In contrast, gold surged to new highs, breaking through the USD 3,700 per ounce mark. Today, all eyes are on the Fed, its forward guidance, and Chair Jerome Powell's press conference that will follow the rate decision. Joining us on the show is Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who provides deeper insights into the rate decision, equity market valuations, and the outlook for emerging markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:21) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:30) - Equity markets in Fed week: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (12:31) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Global equities rally, and French government bond yields making headlines

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2025 12:07


    Global stocks rise on upbeat US-China trade talks, with technology giants driving the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to record highs. Alphabet is joining the USD 3 trillion club, while Tesla is surging after Elon Musk's USD 1 billion share purchase. US chip stocks are facing pressure from Chinese antitrust probes, and gold is at an all-time high on rate cut expectations. European markets are gaining despite France's credit downgrade, with French 10-year government bond yields above their Italian counterparts – a first since 1999. Asian equities reach a 4-year high on strength in technology, and Tencent is launching its first offshore yuan bond. Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research shares insights on the ‘Buy now, pay later' industry.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:21) - Future of finance: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (11:01) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Rate decisions ahead – a make-or-break week for markets?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2025 11:05


    Markets are off to a strong start this week, which will be a critical one with a 'triple-header' of major central bank decisions. The US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are all scheduled to announce their latest monetary policy moves. Recent economic data suggest it may now be time for the Fed to restart its rate-cutting cycle, following a pause that began in January. In today's discussion, we're joined by Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who anticipates further declines in US Treasury yields and the value of the US dollar. He also expects equities to continue their upward momentum, supported by improving technicals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:06) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:58) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Markets rally as ECB holds rates and US data fuels Fed rate cut bets

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 14:00


    marked a second consecutive pause following eight hikes since last year. In the US, data was mixed: inflation remains sticky but isn't accelerating, and jobless claims unexpectedly surged. These developments have reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Asian markets were lifted overnight by renewed enthusiasm around artificial intelligence. In commodities, gold is trading near record highs, while oil has pulled back from earlier gains this week as investors refocus on fundamentals. Joining us today is Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, who shares his insights on what the ECB's decision and US inflation data mean for bond markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:07) - Fixed income markets after ECB and US inflation data: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (12:43) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    New record closing and intraday highs for US stocks

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 15:27


    US equities surged again yesterday, closing off their intraday highs but nevertheless achieving new records. US PPI data confirmed that growth is slowing, providing more of the data that the Fed needs to start cutting rates again – markets will now scrutinise today's CPI data for more clues. Oracle's near 36% rally yesterday was sparked by astonishing cloud demand numbers. Asian tech also drove markets there higher. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, explains why his team believes oil prices should trend lower and gold higher in the next 12 months, whilst Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis, provides some insights into relative trends in equity style factor performance and why they are important when making portfolio decisions.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:35) - Oil and gold: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (10:05) - Update from the CIO Office: Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis (14:12) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Higher ground – equities rise on rate hopes and merger activity

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 18:27


    Stocks in the US hit another all-time high on expectations that the Federal Reserve will fight the slowdown in jobs growth with interest rate cuts. US inflation data out today and tomorrow will be the next test for markets. The Anglo/Teck ‘merger-of-equals' creates a premier global player in copper and critical minerals. Today, we are joined by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, who explains why he believes markets will grind higher into year-end, and Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PMPrivate Banking Sales Geneva, who shares his current insights on currencies and metals markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:39) - Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (13:03) - FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (17:14) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    French government collapses as Bayrou loses confidence vote

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2025 10:10


    French Prime Minister Bayrou lost the confidence vote yesterday, triggering the collapse of his government. European markets had no chance to react, as the decision came after trading ended. The political uncertainty adds fresh strain to the eurozone, where stock markets actually started the week on a high. Speaking of highs, the Nasdaq hit a fresh record, driven by strength in tech and AI-related stocks, while gold also rallied to a new peak, supported by expectations of a US rate cut and ongoing geopoliticaltensions. Meanwhile, Japan's Nikkei 225 briefly touched a record intraday high before turning negative, as investors assess the implications of Prime Minister Ishiba's resignation. Joining us today is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who provides an update on the video game industry and the structural transformation it's undergoing.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (05:40) - Video game industry undergoing structural transformation: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (09:06) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    Japan's stock markets rally after PM resigns

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2025 10:13


    The Nikkei 225 was up around 1.5% and the Topix hit a record high this morning after Japan's prime minister resigned over the weekend. It's hoped that a new regime should provide greater longer-term policy and political stability, and a more conducive pro-growth environment for the equities market. Asia's stock markets rallied after the US jobs report on Friday provided further justification for data-based Fed rate cuts.At the start of a big week including inflation data, a vote of confidence in the French government and the September ECB meeting, Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he believes that there's room for both US equities and the price of gold to rally further and for US Treasury yields to keep falling.  (00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:31) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:03) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

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