Podcasts about academy securities

►► Sponsored by Aptos, check it out here: https://aptosfoundation.org/ Bitcoin is inching closer to the $100K mark as progress in the U.S.-China trade deal boosts market optimism, and the Fed is expected to keep rates steady. I'm joined by Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, to break down what this means for Bitcoin and what could be coming next. Peter Tchir: https://x.com/TFMkts Chris Inks will join us in the second part to share some interesting trades in crypto and beyond. Chris Inks: https://twitter.com/TXWestCapital ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER, DELIVERED EVERY WEEKDAY!

On the latest episode of the Debtwire Municipals Muni Lowdown podcast, Managing Editor Paul Greaves talks with the Head of Securitized Products Research and Strategy at Academy Securities, Dr. Stav Gaon, about stadium securitizations. Debtwire ABS Editorial Director Eric Homer and Reporter Kunal Kamal also join the podcast.Dr. Gaon provides an overview of asset-backed securities (ABS) and how they typically work.The discussion shifts to Dr. Gaon highlighting the growing interest in sports securitizations. The dialogue segues into Dr. Gaon explaining how stadium financing is different than other types of asset-backed securitizations.Dr. Gaon follows with a comparison of stadium securitization to municipal bond financing for stadiums.The conversation moves to Dr. Gaon outlining the risks involved with stadium securitization.Dr. Gaon details the key players involved in a stadium securitization deal.The podcast closes with Dr. Gaon discussing aspects of certain ongoing stadium securitization

Charles Hoskinson predicts Bitcoin will surge to $250K by year-end—even amid Trump's escalating tariff war! I'm joined by Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, to break down exactly how these tariffs could shake up global markets, impact crypto prices, and what you need to know right now. Plus, don't miss Dan from The Chart Guys, who'll be dropping essential market insights and actionable trade ideas in the second half of the show. Peter Tchir: https://x.com/tfmkts The Chart Guys: https://www.youtube.com/@ChartGuys ►►

The connection between military service and football runs deep, woven into the ethos of both fields, where discipline, teamwork, and resilience are paramount. Hall of Fame quarterbacks Roger Staubach and Sid Luckman, and the late Pat Tillman are just a few of the athletes that have distinguished themselves both on the gridiron and in military service. Alongside them is Phil McConkey, Navy Veteran, Super Bowl 21 Champion with the New York Giants, and President of Academy Securities. Phil goes Inside the ICE House to expound on the nation's first post-9/11 veteran-owned and operated investment bank and broker dealer. He details his motivations for pursuing the NFL after five-years of military service, how Academy Securities is is supporting veterans, and how he and CEO Chance Mims are buidling the firm for the future.  https://www.ice.com/insights/conversations/inside-the-ice-house

Join us in this episode of Wealthion as James Connor sits down with Peter Tchir, head of macro strategy at Academy Securities, to discuss the recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and their potential ripple effects on global markets. Discover how these events could impact your investments and strategies to safeguard your wealth amidst rising uncertainties. Dive into a detailed analysis of potential economic outcomes, market predictions, and expert insights on navigating these turbulent times. Don't miss out on this crucial financial forecast! Timestamps: 00:00 - Introduction 01:08 - Academy Securities: Military Insights into Finance 04:12 - Middle East Crisis: Immediate Impacts on Global Markets 10:15 - Biden's Strategy and Diplomatic Tensions 11:54 - Oil Price Predictions Amidst Geopolitical Strain 16:44 - Long-term Effects on Energy and Commodity Markets 21:06 - Final Thoughts

-Jay Pelosky, TPW Advisory Principal & Founder-Peter Tchir, Academy Securities, Head Of Macro Strategy-Bill Dudley, Fmr. NY Fed President & Bloomberg Opinion columnistJay Pelosky, TPW Advisory Principal & founder, says commodities are a major opportunity in the global market. Peter Tchir of Academy Securities says the equity market is 'frothy and overextended' into tech and is positioned for a rotation. Former New York Fed President Bill Dudley discusses why last year's banking crisis could happen again. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyMarch 26th, 2024Featuring: John Kartsonas, Managing Partner at Breakwave Advisors, on the Baltimore Bridge collapse Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, on geopolitics, wars in Ukraine and Israel, and how it can all play out in the 2024 presidential election Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, on China's threat to personal consumption in the US Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo with her Newspaper Headlines Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Major General Mastin Robeson, Geopolitical Intelligence Advisor at Academy Securities, discusses the White House weighing potential responses to a deadly attack on a US base in Jordan by Iran-backed militants over the weekend. Silvio Tavares, CEO of VantageScore, talks about the firm's credit data gauge on health of the consumer. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Business of Sports Reporter Ira Boudway shares the details of the Businessweek Magazine story Steve Ballmer's $2 Billion Arena Is for Basketball Die-Hards. And we Drive to the Close with Jeff Krumpelman, Chief Investment Strategist at Mariner Wealth Advisors.Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Major General Mastin Robeson, Geopolitical Intelligence Advisor at Academy Securities, discusses the White House weighing potential responses to a deadly attack on a US base in Jordan by Iran-backed militants over the weekend. Silvio Tavares, CEO of VantageScore, talks about the firm's credit data gauge on health of the consumer. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Business of Sports Reporter Ira Boudway shares the details of the Businessweek Magazine story Steve Ballmer's $2 Billion Arena Is for Basketball Die-Hards. And we Drive to the Close with Jeff Krumpelman, Chief Investment Strategist at Mariner Wealth Advisors.Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities and Major General Mastin Robeson, Geopolitical Intelligence Advisor at Academy Securities, discuss the latest with the Israel-Hamas war and the turmoil on the Red Sea. Ope Awoyemi, General Partner at Fast Forward Venture Studio, talks about the implementation of artificial intelligence in Africa. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities and Major General Mastin Robeson, Geopolitical Intelligence Advisor at Academy Securities, discuss the latest with the Israel-Hamas war and the turmoil on the Red Sea. Ope Awoyemi, General Partner at Fast Forward Venture Studio, talks about the implementation of artificial intelligence in Africa. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On today's podcast: 1) Equities held gains after the Federal Reserve validated bets that it will soon move to easier policy and pushed stock market gauges toward all-time highs. 2) Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she plans to visit China again in 2024, seeking to deepen areas of cooperation and improve communication even as she vowed to continue confronting Beijing over national security concerns and human rights. 3) Citigroup will shutter its municipal business, one of the most dramatic moves yet by Chief Executive Officer Jane Fraser as she seeks to squeeze better returns out of the Wall Street giant.   Full Transcript:  Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen. Stocks are set for their fifth weekly gain, with rate cut bets giving traders a lot of hope heading into twenty twenty four. Equities are pushing for all time highs after J. Powell indicated this week the Fed could ease monetary policy soon. The S and P is advancing toward its seventh consecutive weekly advance. Oil is looking at its first weekly gain in almost two months. Neil Dutta of Renaissance Macro Research says the Fed is following a framework that will allow the US economy to grow. The die has been cast for this for a little bit of time now, I mean, and that's because inflation is slowing more rapidly than they expect. I mean, I think the Fed is following essentially a rules based framework where they're taking changes in inflation and the unemployment rate and translating that into expectations around the federal funds rate. And that's basically what's happening. In fact, last month, Neil detis that he expected the Fed to cut rates by March, so he says he is not surprised by the pivot, but Nathan Dudda's expectations were not shared by many on Wall streets, such as Peter Sheer, head of Macro's strategy at Academy Securities. Really took me by surprise of how comfortable the power was with cutting rates. So when I was at four twenty, I was getting nervous about risk assets because I thought the only way you have to four percent, given what the FED was saying, is for economic conditions to turn much worse. They didn't turn much worse, and yet we're at four percent because of the FED. So I think we have some room for risk to continue to rally, and it's been a great run. Peter Sheer with Academy Securities also tells Bloomberg, despite hawkish stances from the European Central Bank and Bank of England, he expects more growth outside the US. He specifically focused on shine Up. He anticipates further cooperation with the US and increased stimulus measures, and that's the signal that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is sending Karen. She says she's going to visit China again next year with a goal of deepening ties and improving communication with the world's second biggest economy. Speaking of the US China Business Council in Washington, Secretary Yellen said that the discussions will focus on difficult topics, but she expects cooperation from both sides. America's fundamental economic strength means that we have nothing to fear from healthy economic competition with China or any other country. The United States does not seek to decouple from China. This would be damaging to both our economies. Still, Treasury Secretary Yellen says the US will pursue export controls and investment restrictions that have angered China. She did stress the need to engage to prevent what she calls a wide range of diplomatic and financial crises. Well as for the latest moves in China, Nathan, the People's Bank of China pumped a record amount of cash into the economy to try to prop up as struggling property market and boost de mad It marked a bullish signal to investors who have been disappointed in china recent piecemeal approaches to stimulus. Meanwhile, stocks across Asia traded higher on optimism over a FED pivot. Now let's turn to a major move in US banking Karen Bloomberg News has learned City Group is shutting down its municipal bond business. It is one of the most dramatic moves yet in CEO Jane Fraser's ongoing restructuring as she looks to squeeze better returns out of the Wall Street Giant. Bloomberg Finance team leader Sally Bakewell says although the move was expected, it is still a shock. City was an absolute powerhouse in this four trillion market for US state and for local debt. It helped on deals for some very prominent buildings in landmarks, such as the World Trade Center rebuilding the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey. It was also one of the lead underwriters Bloomberg. Sally Bakewell says City will complete the wine down by the end of the first quarter. Source to say the moves expected to effect about one hundred employees and some more news on the labor front this morning, Nathan General Motors cutting more than one thousand, three hundred hourly job. Is it a pair of plants in Michigan. It comes less than a month after GMS he unionized workforce. It proved a new labor contract the counts will take effect January. First s turned to politics Now Karen and messaging out of Washington. President Biden continues to urge Israel to be more cautious in its war with Hamas. Bloomberg z ed Baxter has the details a bit of a change from the message he's delivered for the last week. NIC spokesman John Kirby says keywords are lower intensity possible transitioning from what we would call high intensity operations, which is what we're seeing them do now, to lower intensity operations sometime, you know, in the near future, meaning more surgical operations aimed at a Moss leaders rather than the current force. Biden says the focus should be getting Hamas, but also saving civilian lives. I'm at Baxter Bloomberg Radio, all right, and thanks. Meanwhile, in Europe, Ukraine has taken a win and a loss at the EU leader summit in Brussels. The leaders have agreed to open membership talks with Ukraine, but they couldn't not agree on a new financial aid package. That debate will extend into early next year. Hungary's Victor Orbond planned the are blocked the planned fifty billion euro package despite support from the twenty six other EU leaders. The amount of newly committed Western eight for Ukraine has fallen to its lowest level since Russia's invasion almost two years ago. That has Russian President Vladimir Putin expressing renewed confidence in his war aims at his annual end of year news conference. Coming back to the ghouls, they remain unchanged, I will remind you it means the Nazification, the neutralization all of Ukraine and its neutral status. This was President Putin's first end of your news conference since he ordered the Ukraine invasion in February of last year. S and P futures are higher by three tens of one percent, up thirteen points. Now futures up one hundred and twenty five points, that's again of a third of one percent, and Nasdaq futures are about a third of one percent higher as well, up fifty three points. Global headlines straight ahead, plus a check of sports. This is Bloomberg sor Ry Nathan. Thanks. It's time now for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's John Tucker. John, good morning, and good morning, Karen. Google Will stop telling police witch users we're near a crime. That story in this report this morning from Bloomberg's Amy Morris, Google is changing its maps tools so the company no longer has access to users individual location histories. It cuts off its ability to respond to law enforcement warrants that ask for data on everyone who is in the vicinity of a crime. The change comes three months after a Bloomberg BusinessWeek investigation that found police across the US are increasingly using warrants to obtain location and search data from Google, even for nonviolent cases and even for people who had nothing to do with the crime. Google will roll out the changes gradually through the next year on its own Android and Apple's iOS mobile operating systems. Amy Morris Bloomberg Radio. President Biden trying to rally support among seniors, highlighting new government caps and prescription drug prices, saying the effort will help crack down on price gouging by the pharmaceutical companies. Year before we pass the cization, drug maker's jacked up prices nearly four times faster and inflation went on and they were already too high. Let's call this for what it is is, simply, it's a rip off. Under legislation passed by Democrats, pharmaceutical companies are required to pay rebates to Medicare when they increase certain drug prices passed inflation rates into Bloomberg News Morning consult Paul released Thursday, Biden trailed Donald Trump across a number of swing states. US defense officials say a cargo ship caught fire in the Red Sea this morning into being hit by a projectile launched by rebel controlled Yimmen. The attack and eyed Lightberian flag vessel further escalates a campaign by Yemmens, Iran backed Hooti rebels who claim responsibility for a series of missile assaults in recent days. A lawyer for two former election officials told members of a jury and federal court Thursday they should send a message in considering how much former Mayor Rudy Juliani should have to pay for spreading diffamatory lies about them as part of his effort three years ago to keep President Trump in office. At the last minute decision, Juliani decided not to testify as planned on Thursday. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. Now, I'm John Tucker, and this is Bloomberg. Karen, all right, John, thank you well. We do bring you news throughout the day right here on Bloomberg Radio. But now you can get the latest news on demand, and that means you can get it whenever you want it. Subscribe to Bloomberg News Now and you can get the latest headlines right at the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot com plus Apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for the Bloomberg Scores Update with John Stashauer John Karon. Blowout in the Desert. Just a few days after the Raiders had a home game and lost to the Vikings three did nothing. They had another home game and beat the Chargers sixty three to twenty one. This game was twenty one nothing in the first quarter. It was forty two to nothing at halftime. That's a near NFL record. It was sixty three to seven midway through the fourth quarter. The Raiders rookie quarterback Adan O'Connell through four touchdown passes. The Chargers lost four fumbles. It's the most points the Raiders have ever scored in the game, and it's the most points the Chargers have ever allowed. Celtics twelve and I went home. They've be in Cleveland, won sixteen to one oh seven. Warriors now just ten and fourteen, playing without the suspended Draymond Green. They lost to the Clippers in LA. Won twenty one one thirteen. Big NBA story so far this year the Minnesota Timberwolves now eighteen and five A one nineteen one oh one win in Dallas. Luca Dompson scored thirty nine and the loss. In Sacramento's win over Oklahoma City the Aaron Fox points for the King Shay Gilgess Alexander scored forty three the loss the Thunder. George McGinnis, the Hall of Famer who played for the Pacers and Sixers, has passed away at the age of seventy three. Capital Is lost in Philadelphia four to three in a shootout in LA. On the day that the Dodgers introduced Joe Otani, they added another player, pitcher Tyler Glass, now comes from Tampa Bay with outfielder and Manuel Margo. The Rays get a couple of prospects in return. Remember, Otani is not going to pitch. He's only going to hit in twenty twenty four. Don Statieward, Bloomberg's courts Karen, all right, John, thank you. While we are watching stocks, they're set for a fifth weekly game this on the Fed pivot, and we want to discuss all of this. We're going to be bringing in Andrew Sheets, the global head of Corporate Credit research Ed Morgan Stanley, for that discussion and ahead of EDSMP futures are higher again this morning. They're up three tenths even percent of about fourteen points. Dwaen Nasdaq futures all also up three tenths of up percent. This is Bloomberg from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syria's exam, the Bloomberg Business Appen Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. There is plenty of fuel for optimism in the US market, with the Federal Reserve signaling this week that it is in fact ready to start thinking about cutting interest rates next year. But when it comes to global central banks like the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, they're holding firm on higher for longer. So what's this mean for the outlook headed into twenty twenty four. Let's get some answers now from Andrew Sheets, global head of corporate credit research at Morgan Stanley. Andrew, it's great to speak with you this morning. So what does a more dovish FED and a more hawkish ECB mean in your world? So? I think the important starting point is that I think we've seen an evolution of the data that's much better than we or the market would have expected six months ago. You know, over the last twelve months, the US economy has grown three percent year every year, and inflation's been declining. And in Europe you've seen again inflation really start to moderate in a way that the ECB a number of central bank watchers would not have expected six months ago. So I think the important factor, the most important factor, is that this year has been all about inflation, and inflation is finally coming down, which gives these central banks a lot more flexibility to moderate policy as that happens. So again, you know, you've seen central banks react to that a little bit differently, the FED sounding a little bit more dubvish, the ECB sounding a little bit more hawkish, But I think the core message as you go into next year is these are central banks that are done hiking. They're going to be cutting, and the path is going to be easing going forward. But the path is going to be easing at a much different pace. It seems like when we hear this more hawkish tone from the likes of Madame Legarde, what could that mean for a global bond markets If we see higher for longer in the Eurozone and maybe not so much here in the US. Well, I think what the market might test is how credible that more hawkish rhetoric really is. You know, we've seen a very weak PMI data out today from the Eurozone. You're seeing inflation in the Eurozone come down quickly, and on Morgan Stanley's forecast it continues to decline quickly. And so you know, we can understand from a strategic standpoint, not wanting to ease up too early on the rhetoric run inflation, wanting to establish the ECB's credibility on inflation. But as the data continues to come in, as inflation data continues to fall, as the growth data is soft, we'd be surprised. We would not expect the ECB to continue to sound this hawkish into next year, and would expect them to be to be easing policy in line with the FED into twenty twenty four. Interesting, what about the Fed's credibility? Is there a risk that the FED pivots back the other way next year? Is that something in your forecast? It's not in our forecast. And I think the point about credibility is key. You know, credibility is everything in central banking, and I think to the credit of the FED, they are talking more dubbishly as core inflation is coming down on Morgan Stanley's estimates with the latest readings of producer price inflation six month annualized core PCE, and thinking about core PCE is the measure of inflation that the FED cares about the most. Over the last six months, core PCE in the US is running at one point nine percent. It's at the Fed's target. If anything, it's a little below. So the idea that the FED is reacting to that data, it is and it's not done anything yet. It's simply talking about the possibility that it might ease and the fact that the FED thinks the neutral rate is way down at two and a half, two and three quarters. All the FED is doing is saying, look, we have policy way above neutral. Core inflation is rapidly approaching our target. Yes, we will be easing policy next year. I think that's a credible place for the FED to operate from. What about the market credibility of they're pricing in something like what six or seven rate cuts next year when we got three from the dot plot? Do you see the FED moving more in line with the market or the other way around. So the market has moved very quickly. I mean, we had forecasts that we thought were quite dubvish when we put out our outlook in the middle of in early October, in early November, excuse me, you know we had the US tenure at three ninety five. By the end of twenty twenty four, it's more than gotten there. You know, we had three hundred basis points of FED cuts over twenty four and twenty five. Again, a lot of that's getting priced in. So I think objectively, the market's moved to price in more cutting than we have expected. But I think it's also fair to say that it is historically normal. Once the FED thinks that a central bank is done hiking. The market usually expects, usually somewhat overestimates future cuts as the market's trying to balance the probability of a FED staying on hold with something more significant, So a lot has been priced in. But I think the general idea that the market once a FED, once the FED is done, starts pricing in more cuts that is very consistent with what we've seen over prior cycles. Really good to have you on with us, Andrew, at the end of a really interesting week for central banks. That's Andrew Sheets with us this morning, Global head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. This is Bloomberg day Break Today, your morning brief on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast, feat at six am Eastern each morning on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street time, on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine one in Washington, Bloomberg one oh sixty one in Boston, and Bloomberg nine sixty in San Francisco. Our flagship New York station is also available on your Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty plus. Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, SERRIUSXM, the iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg dot Com. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg DaybreakSee 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Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities says he wants to be underweight Treasuries right now.George Saravelos, Global Head of FX Research at Deutsche Bank, says the ECB should cut rates when it meets next week. Ajay Banga, President of The World Bank joins from COP 28. David Turk, US Department of Energy Deputy Secretary joins from COP 28 where he says now is the time to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Helane Becker, Senior Research Analyst at TD Cowen weighs in on Alaska Air's plans to buy rival, Hawaiian.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, points to potential issues in the global supply chain amid ongoing geopolitical conflicts. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Managing Director of Public Policy, says the margin of error for House Republicans to avoid a government shutdown has narrowed. Dan Ives, Wedbush Sr. Equity Research Analyst, predicts that Apple could look to buy ESPN. Alexander Goldfarb, Piper Sandler Senior Research Analyst, says the commercial real estate market is in the midst of a rare phenomenon.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance    Full Transcript: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keene, along with Jonathan Farrow and Lisa Abramowitz. Join us each day for insight from the best and economics, geopolitics, finance and investment. Subscribe to Bloomberg Surveillance on demand on Apple, Spotify and anywhere you get your podcasts, and always on Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business app. Our guest of the Morning to synthesize all this with our question. Peter Cheers joins us. Now ahead of macro strategy at Academy Securities, you look for price up, yield down. What will that do to the equity market. I think for now it's going to be good. I think we see four thirty on tens before before we see four to seventy five. I think the pain trade is actually to lower yields. A lot of people who are bullished at five kind of got short again. I think that works until we get down about four thirty five. Equities rally on the back of that. Then we realize we're getting here because things like oil copper receding because the economy is actually slowing fast so I think at that point that's when the recession fear start getting priced back into stock. Taking Academy Securities three year view, you've got that slowing global demand. Nick bennenbrook On from Wells Fargo stunning with a two point four percent global GDP call. Can you own equities out with a three year vision? I think you could if you had a three year vision. I think right now it's more like a two to three week vision. Everything's so volatile. We don't know where this economy is turning. We don't know what's going on there. And one thing that's starting to scare me is we're having a lot of discussions about the Middle East. We're starting to hear a little bit more concerns about supply chains. I don't think it's an issue today, but if as this drags on, if there's any degree of escalation, supply chains become an issue again. So I think that will be a big drag on the economy. The Middle East crude last month is just unreal. To see a move of almost eleven percent lower on WTI, even with the heightened tension in the Middle least, A lot of people appointing to maybe demand starting to crack in a certain places around the world, Europe one, maybe even the United States gone into next year. What's your view on that. Yeah, I think the last time I was here, I said buying oil was not going to be a good hedge for escalation there because oil had been under so much pressure before, and I think that's what we're seeing again. There's just that lack of demand and the Saudis definitely have the ability to turn on the tap if they want. We're clearly trying to figure out how to work with Venezuela, and so far it looks like Aram's going to continue to pump oil despite the sanctions, despite the height intensions there. So there's not much in favor of oil right now, and I think that's a very crowded long position, so I could see that breaking lower coming into next year. You mentioned a two to three week view. I'm with you. You You know what's about to happen. Then in the next two to three weeks, we're going to get a load of people publishing their outlooks for twenty twenty four. Can you help us understand how you get any visibility whatsoever into next year? What's the strategic view going into you know, I think there's still some big themes. I think AI, how people are using AI, the efficiency that that could cause for companies. I think that's going to be a big theme still. So you can look over that. Where are we going to be on the defense spending? Where are we going to be in terms of geopolitical spending. I think the reshoring is still real. I think a reasonably healthy economy with their decent jobs is still the overriding thing. So I think markets are a little bit more volatile, volatile right now than the underlying economy is. So if you put this together to what you said earlier, that you see benchmark ten year yields getting down to four point three five percent before going back up to four point seventy five percent, or just basically they're heading lower. Does that mean that we're going to have slower growth but still the soft landing and that it basically people are going to get a little concerned about stocks, but that it sets up a rally. And I'm just trying to understand. No, I think a very convoluted range of thoughts. So I think as we move towards four thirty five, you get this, Oh, this is all good for stocks, and then as you start moving below four forty, I think people realize, oh man, we're getting there. Because things are not in the economy. The job market has changed, you know, white collar workers aren't doing as well as they were. You're seeing, i think, some potential for spending. You're seeing little cracks in the housing prices. So I think, all of a sudden, by year end, we're going to be back on a hard landing discussion and it'll be the boy who Cried Wolf, but we'll all be back talking about no more soft landing. We've overdone it. So you think that at that point, treasures will continue to be Haven's once again, even though arguably one of the biggest drivers of the yield move has been Washington, d C. And it doesn't look like that's changing. That's not changing. But again that's a three five ten year sort of pain. It's you know, we get ahead of ourselves. And I do think the one problem we all have is the bond market's so big. You talk about these numbers, two hundred and fifty billion, and it's huge, but it's you know, a fraction of twenty five trillions. So I think the ability to digest this you see corporate bonds come out twenty two billion yesterday, I believe it was you know, there's no problem digesting this, so I think the market's pretty healthy. I think people see yields as attractive. You're going to see people continue to add to that, so I think that's fine. It's going to be the risk side of things that gets people a little bit more spooked. Tell me about the November real yield shift we've seen. We've seen the ten year real yield migrate two point five zero percent to two point one nine percent. That makes things easier for everybody, right, it does. But I think the nominal yields still play a big role. They're still relatively high, and we had that move from you know, three seventy five to five, so we haven't clawed a lot of that back. I think there's this long you know, invariable lag time is really long. This time people did such a good job locking in yields. It's only now that you're hearing more and more people have to roll over their debt. Right if you issue to your debt back in the hey day, Now it's rolling over. Three year debt's not quite rolling over. So I think we're just starting to see that slow down impact. And I think one point John brings up, we've got what we've been calling this faux liquidity, this fake liquidity. It feels like the markets are super liquid at any given price point, but the ability to gap high or low is there. So I think we got pushed to five percent by people getting stopped out, pushing on yields. We're now got back to four fifty in a heartbeat because people are getting stopped out. So that's what we're trying to I think manage is like, what's the real noise versus the signal? You mentioned the Great Financinc. The Great Financinc. Of the pandemic, the huge wealth transfer we had from Treasury to the consumer. Consumer balance sheets were stronger. Everyone under the Sunny wonder House remortgage termed out that debt low rates. Corporate America did the same thing. One place didn't Treasury standrug Amit has been very critical of leadership a Treasury over the last i don't know, five years through that low interest rate period not termin out the debt. What are your thoughts on that? What do you think about that conversation? Yeah, I think they should have done what corporations did. I'm always a big believer, right, you know, borrolong it blocks in, you reduce volatility. And we're having a lot of conversation with clients. Probably a little bit hypothetical at this point, but maybe people are supposed to be under weight treasuries and T bills and way overweight whether it's commercial paper or corporations. That right, if you take a step back and talk about this as being governance, right, the US governance is offer right now in terms of our spending, in terms of we talk about not paying our bills. Right, you look at the large corporation's world. They have good corporate governance, they have global plans. They never once would ever even think about saying, oh, we're not going to pay our debt on time because we don't feel like it. So I think you're supposed to be starting to push really heavily to overweight high quality corporates, maybe in commercial paper, maybe some abs, and move really underweight T bills. So do you foresee a time when Apple can borrow at a lower rate than the US government? You know that ability to break the sovereign ceiling rarely happens, even in emerging markets. I don't think it happens here, but I do think you can see really tight spread compression, especially at the front end of the corporate bond curve. So I like that as a trade. Do you think we get convergence spread compression on governance issues alone? I think that will play a part of it. Yeah. I think the top quality companies have a ton of cash. The liquidity in the bond markets not what it once was, So whatever you have to pay up their own tea bills, maybe you don't. And I think this government issue is going to become a real thought again. If you think about it, why would you lend to someone who talks about not paying your debt because for a long time they've had the privilege of acting recklessly correct talked about this so many times there's been no consequence for it. Why is this time different. I think something we talked about before snapped in the market, and all of a sudden people are really questioning this whole you know, correlation or coalescence of events that have been on the back of everyone's mind. I don't think it cracks this time, certainly, but I think it starts setting us in stage again. I always go back to the Great Financial Crisis. It started breaking in two thousand and six, got fixed, broken in in two thousand and seven, got fixed, broken in in two thousand and seven, got fixed. So I feel now we've started this unwined and unless DC gets its act together, this is going to be Every time it rears its head, it'll get uglier. But it's not this year's story anymore. Pet love it always thoughtful Pitcher. There of academic securities. Lebby Cantrell joints Now managing director had a public policy a pinkel. You're the only one I can do this with. Can you take the election results and you can fold them into a government shutdown which happens in about three cups of coffee? Can you make that exercise happen? Yeah? Well, good morning, and thank you for not asking me a question about orgo. I did I take organic chemistry at school, so thanks thanks for testing me on that. Yeah, so I do think that the read through actually from last night, Tom So thanks thanks for a layup. Here is actually Democrats won a special election in Rhode Island. This was a is a blue race, a blue seat, this is a house seat. That means that they have two hundred and thirteen seats in the House. Republicans, however, only have two hundred and twenty one. They have a special election in Utah in a few weeks. The reason why this actually means this is important from a government shutdown perspective is that means practically that Republicans now can only lose three seats excuse me, three votes in order to pass a funding bill that they need a pass to avoid a shutdown by next Friday. So it just means that the margin of error is much more narrow for Republicans. Speaker Johnson was already needing to thread a needle, if you will, and that a needle point has just gotten even more narrow from the result from last night and threading the needle. What will moderate Republicans do? I don't have it in front of me, but I'm going to suggest on Long Island east of New York City, the Republicans had a good night. What are the moderate I guess the former president would say, Republicans in name only. How do they adapt an adjust off the selection? Yeah, I think that what we learned last night is that the abortion rights still very much resonate. That was obviously a takeaway from the twenty two, twenty twenty two midterms, where abortion really emboldened turnout. It shows last night that this really is very much an issue, especially when it is on the ballot. Now, I think for twenty twenty four, many of these folks, particularly in those districts Tom that you mentioned, where there are you know, Republicans who are defending Biden districts. The Democrats will make this an issue. You're going to hear a lot about abortion rights over the next year because of the results of last night, just sort of underscoring that this clearly is a resident voting issue for voters. So in terms of the government shutdown, what does that make those moderate Republicans do They are voting in lockstep here. They really are trying to give Speaker Johnson, you know, the benefit of the doubt. I think that will continue. I think the big question for markets is, though, is that enough can they actually avoid a shutdown If they pass a partisan bill, Tom, we will see a shutdown next Friday. So again kind of an open question of how this all resolves. But as of now, it looks like they are voting in a partisan way, which means that shutdown risk is you know, I think is increased over the last week or so. Do markets care though, I mean, as a shutdown basically, okay, they're going to do it for twenty four hours for effect and then we'll move on. Yeah, least, I think that's that's that's that's the real the real issue. If it is a temporary shutdown, no, this will just be more DC noise. If it's a longer, more prolonged shutdown, it does become I mean, the economic impacts of you know, lots of federal workers being furloughed not actually collecting a paycheck could matter. And also, you know, the data matters, right. If we don't get data from the Department of Labor, for instance, that makes the Fed's job, you know, a little bit a little bit harder. And we can also see, you know that this term premium that you all been talking about, we could see you know, some of the yields back up again as well on account of this. So I think you're right. If it's a short term shutdown, no, the markets probably don't care. If it's longer term, however, you know, it may it may weigh on you know. Again, I just sort of the confidence around sort of the political apparatus in Washington, d C. Just shifting from last night's elections to what we're expecting next year, a presidential election. How much of a certainty do you think that it is that we're going to President Biden versus former President Trump. How much will tonight's debate really color that discussion about potential other running candidates for the Republican Party in particular. Yeah, so, I think what we've been messaging to client Lisa is with high conviction President Biden will be the nominee for the Democratic Party. This idea that he is going to drop out, that Governor Newsom, for instance, may jump into the race, it just is not It's just not realistic at this point. Nor is there any indication from the Biden camp that he has any interest in dropping out or any intention of dropping out. So he will be the Democratic nominee again, you know, excluding or assuming there's no sort of exident health issue or what have you. On the Republican side, I President Trump obviously has an incredibly formidable lead in the polls, but this is actually a really important point. He his campaign is much more organized, i think by his own emission, than it was in twenty sixteen, and they have been systematic changing the delegate rules in the states in terms of how the state primaries allocate delegates to his benefit. So not only does he have this formidable lead in the polls, but he's also sort of changed the kind of the machinations behind the scenes in terms of how these delegates are allocated, and of course getting the nominations just a delegate game, So the fact that he's been changing these rules is to his benefit as well. So, I mean a lot would have to happen, I think tonight and over the next two months. Now. I think what we can show from even last night that voting behavior is the most important thing to look at and polls are not always right, and so particularly in Iowa and New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina. Those are the four the first contests, Lisa, and how we're guiding our clients is if Trump wins all of those, then he very likely is going to be the nominee. However, if there's somebody can test one of those that it could be easily become a two person race. But again sort of remains to be seen. In terms of tonight, it's really a race for number two DeSantis between and Haley. Yeah, I think we will see it be pretty pretty nasty and pretty ugly tonight. I'm looking forward to that debt a little bit. Nice Levie, thank you going to catch out you're one of the best. You're going to catch with a pimcot the vix at fourteen point eighty four. That is a Dana Ives market you, Senior Equity Research Channal web Bush. You refuses to talk to us when Apple learnings come out. We only get them to pick up the debris and we can tell for those of you on radio, you can understand these long Lily Pulitzer as well. This morning. Great, Look, Dan, I want to talk about your two forty call on Apple. You're not lonely. There's a few other people out there with dana Ives optimism on Apple. When I saw those margins and a company managing for profit not revenue growth, can you raise your two forty estimate? Yeah? Look, I think this is just the beginning of the next fees of the Apple store. You look at margins that are historical. You look what's happening on services now mid teen growth, and I despite the haters continuing to hate, is growing even when you take out currency and you it's even growing more asps the China iPhone demise story is a fictional Netflix story, and in my opinion, this is just the start of what I ultimately view is at three and a half to four trillion dollar market. So slow day, we got to make some news here. Can you pop from two forty up to two fifty this morning for us? Look, I believe that I believe are the best case or the bowld case is probably closer to to seventy five as this all plays out, because also now you don't have AI in those numbers. This is just the get out the popcorn moment for when Apple ultimately I believe, over the next year, introduces the AI app Store, and that's just going to be you know, ultimately from a services perspective, that could be an incremental five to ten fifteen millions. You made a couple of statements, so let's stroke down on them. We can do that. Your friends, you talked about growth at the iPhone. What growth are you talking about? So if you unit growth, units are growing into the December quarter, you also if you take out currency, which is a headwind, you have basically mid single digit growth. You've been talking about a massive boom of people upgrading. I guess my questions you dan to be polite about it. Have you been right for the wrong reasons on the stock to acknowledge that? I would say that ultimately, if you look at this, what I've used a mini supercycle that's playing out. The ASP stories played out, and I think our biggest call has been China. Despite many yelling fire in a crowd theater, the China growth is actually increasing, not decreasing. But they had a down quarter right in China. Well, if you look at China, Meanli in China was actually a record for the September quarter. When you look at the overall, you know, as Keen talks about the initial reaction after sure iPads, max that and three dollars get your cup of coffee, I'm focused on iPhones where units were up in China. Well, I'm struggling with that. And you'll appreciate this. If you came on today and say margins it better they are. I'm with you, Okay, Margins are great service revenues where the growth is that deserves a high multiple. I understand that maybe you can make the case for why the stock is high this year based on those things. When you say things like iPhone supercycles, when we've had no growth for four quarters in the company, that's where I struggle. Can you have the understanding this? So it's dissect that first. When you're thinking about the card five six hundred BIPs f X headwinds, that is actually underlying growth that you're seeing an iPhone units. Just to steady state it. I also believe our whole view of the iPhone cycle is really going to be over the next three, four or five quarters. That's where you're going to have these upgrades that actually come through. I'm not saying that you don't have some maybe share minor share of Watses on the sort of mid tier, but in terms of high end as a utility, this essentially is going to be a mid to high single digit growth on iPhone, and when you start to run that through, that could be an incremental one two three dollars earnings As you look out next two three years. There's a lot of growth already baked into valuation, and a big piece of valuation is where the buyers are going to come from. And you've been traveling around the world trying to hold everyone's hand and convince them that there is still value in big tech. How much do the losses of other areas of the tech like sphere and I'm thinking of Masioshi's Sun and the more than eleven billion dollars loss on we work. How much does that play into a little ambivalence about buying the story right now. Look, I think you're definitely having winners and losers in terms of this just broader economy, and I think in terms of the Magnificent seven. In terms of big tech, I think the strong gets stronger. But he said, to my point, you know, being an easier for a few weeks, and in Europe, you know, it's very easy to sit there here in New York on your tenth floor spreadsheet being negative on Apple. What I see out in the world is a much different environment in terms of the growth that happening. And I believe tech to your point, you're going to see the strong continuing to dominate. And I think in terms of AI, we are just in the early stages of monetization. I think that's a big thing in this tech ball market. Microsoft saw it in terms of AI, you're starting now see monization data dog that's a Hall of Fame quarter in terms of what we saw there, pallenteer the messy of AI, and I believe ultimately right now the AI gold rush is actually starting. That sounds lovely on that side. On the side of how much we're paying for price monetization and monetization of AI, am looking at Apple plus in sort of the amount that though that's increased, are we going to be paying six hundred dollars a month to Apple for all of our various services? Look, I think over in there, But to your point, I think over the next year or two, I think the average Apple user is going to start to definitely increase what they're paying Apple on the services because ultimately, as it goes out, the A I technology that's gonna be in fitness health in the app store, that's just going to give them just another added growth to the monization of Coupertino. And I think part of why the stocks reacted, you know, despite you know many I think being very negative initially, as it's come through, you know, to Pharaoh's point, iPhone, you're now starting to see grow services mid teen growth margins. This is just another you know, flex and muscles moment. And I think that's on a sum of the parts, how this is a stock that Ultimate is gonna be a four trillion dollar markup by twenty twenty five. Just picking up on penalty the messy of Ai. Why why are they the messy of Ais? Because I believe they are the pures play AI name in the market period. And and look, Palenteer is one where you know, many have been negative on that story for a number of different reasons. But I think what you're seeing now happen is that they've actually parlayd enterprise success and you're seeing the use cases explode. I believe Palteerman twenty five is are a base case, but that is the golden child of AIS. I'm gonna make some news any day now. Do I see another massive, mega billion dollar Apple debt offering. Look, I think that's something that you know clearly, you know could be on the table. I think the bigger thing for Apple is I think they're finally going to look at M and A, and we've talked about I think we got to extend the in They're gonna buy Disney by by the week. I believe ESPN is the asset that Ultimate by Okay, you but for that, I think thirty five to forty billion in terms of what bates transaction, but it could not beats three and a half billion. But also it goes back to the MLS deal that was I think where the light bulb went off in terms of live streaming sports. I think ESPN is a unique ass And look right now, you look at the top of this mound, it's Nodella, it's cook, you know, it's You're really starting to see ultimately more of an opportunity where they could go on the offensive ratherland defense. Okay, it's good to see you. Thank you, buddy Dennice of web Bush. It's joining us to talk about just how bad of a time this is for this to hit. Alexander Goldfarb, Senior Research and Analystic Piper Sandler. I want to start there, Alexander. There've been talks discussions around the number of leases that we work is going to abandon. Is the pressure on commercial real estate office space in particular in New York is it overstated right now or understated? Well, good morning Lisa and Tom, and thank you for having me on you know here at Piper Sandler. When we look at what is going on in office, it's it's eerily similar to what happened with malls. You know, over the past decade. If you recall, everyone pre pandemic thought every single mall going to close because everyone was going to shop online, and in fact what happened is the dominant malls like the Roosevelt Fields or Houston Gallerias continue to excel and lesser malls fall away. The same thing is with office. So if you look at we Work, which we don't cover we Work, but if you look at some of the fallout out in San Francisco, they rejected a bunch of leases. They did not reject one lease from Boston properties. When you look in San Francisco, when you look in New York, you know, companies like s Green Bornado have zero exposure now to WE Work because they exited those we Work leases over the past number of years, and even Boston properties only as one percent. So when you look at the fallout that's going to happen, and you look at the major reats and especially the ones that we cover here at Piper Sandler, the impact is negligible. And what's really interesting is when you look at office, especially here in New York, it's gravitating around Grand Central, and actually you're seeing rents increase on Park Avenue. So just like MAUL, the dominant office will survive the lesser the generic office. That's where the trouble is. So are you saying right now that the prices have baked in a lot of that trouble or that people just haven't been discerning enough to understand the winners versus the losers. Absolutely. If you speak to the brokerage community like Newmark, they are starting, They and Cushman and the other brokerage companies are starting to discern the difference between top tier versus generic, Class A, class B, etc. So when you look at what tenants want today, tenants want, you know, great space with a lot of amenities, convenient, convenient for commuters, and they want a landlord who has the capital wherewithal to invest in the properties. And let's face it, the brokers want to get paid a commission and you're seeing that fallout. It's no different than we've seen in retail. So again I use the mall example, Simon Property Group, you know with their billion dollars a year from task, so tenants know that they can be there the same as happening in reats with companies like sl Green. That's right where I wanted to go, Alexander, you are reading my mind. What is David Simon going to do with this folks? Simon Property Group Indianapolis three thousand employees. What is the guy from Indiana University can do? He's seen this before we come down. But my history is fresh money always comes in. When does the fresh money click in? If transaction to transaction, I'm down forty percent. Well, you are speaking David's mind. He loves cash flow. So since IPO, the company's paid out thirty nine billion in dividends, and the reason they've done that is by investing shrewdly. So when you look right now, he's very focused on investing in his malls. So apart from the Tallman acquisition, which was structured before the pandemic, he hasn't bought anything on the outside. His focus has been investing in the malls like out in Northgate and Sea out Of where they're converting it into a hockey arena, or Houston Gallera where they're adding office and apartments, etc. So that's where he's focused. But let's face it, given the challenges away from Simon. He can pick and choose. But if you look, he's making a ton of money out of his portfolio, which people forget is actually small. It's only one hundred and twenty malls and only two hundred or so domestic properties in total. So he's a large company but with a small powerhouse portfolio, right, Ben Alison, I got to make some headlines here. We're in the business and news, Alexander. There's blood on the streets. We see it in New York, and I get it. New York's its own little weird place, but there's all across the nation real estate blood on the streets. Are you saying your world of reats back to when you were at Lehman, your world of reads? Is it now a screaming by because of all the agony Lisa was just framing, So it's not a screaming buy in the sense that interest rates are high. Right, we have a tenure that was approaching five percent and it's now backed off a little. But certainly the financing market, which as you guys have reported, is basically shut down, right, CNBS market is tough. You walk into a bank and try to get a construction loan, they'll call the cops on you. They're like, we don't do that right now. Right, So lending is very tough. The transaction market is almost on ice because of the widespread what's interesting people missing? Tom, You're like my first boss at Liam and David Shulman. You've been around a number of decades. Real estate right now is benefiting from a phenomena that it has not had in a long long time, which is low supply because nothing new is getting built, and low vacancy. That combination is really powerful. And you started the show by saying, how is the credit going to get worked out? Again? As you as we've spoken before, back in the GFC, everyone was panicked about the CNBS. No one can tell you where the benchmark GG ten? What happened to that famous twenty two thousand and seven feel right, stuff gets worked out, Obviously there will be pain, there will be blood, for sure. But if you look at real estate's biggest benefit right now, it's that lack of supply and low vocacy. That's a huge positive that is underappreciated by the market. Just about thirty seconds. What happens if there's for selling, akin to re work, so we work is a tenant, so you don't really have force selling from that. But to be clear, banks where everyone's focused on, they're not in the business a running real estate, right. So as long as it's a good asset with a good sponsor, they're going to work out some deal. Because, as the old adage goes, a rolling loan collects no loss. That said, there's clearly going to be assets that will go back to the lenders. And those are the assets where the economics don't exist. That's the stuff to worry about. But the big properties like the three ninety nine Parks, the one Vanderbilts, those big centers or are going to be fine. And again, when you look at where the value in real estate is, it's a crewing at the top. But you're right there will be blood, and the blood it's going to be generic assets. Alexander Brilliant, Alexander Goldfire years of work at Piper Sandler now on real estate investment trust. Subscribe to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast on Apple, Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live every weekday starting at seven am Eastern. I'm Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app. Tune in and the Bloomberg Business App. You can watch us live on Bloomberg Television and always on the Bloomberg Terminal. Thanks for listening. I'm Tom Keane, and this is BloombergSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Major General (Ret.) Mastin Robeson, Geopolitical Intelligence Advisor at Academy Securities, shares his thoughts on the Israel-Hamas war. Lior Susan, Founder and Managing Partner at Eclipse Ventures, talks about the economics and the stifling of innovation as a result of the Israel-Hamas war. Julie Hansen, US CEO of Babbel, discusses the growth of the language platform and the impact of AI. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Businessweek Columnist Max Chafkin provide the details of Max's Businessweek Magazine story Meta Flirts With Ad-Free Services But Prefers the Status Quo. And we Drive to the Close with Cole Smead, CEO and Portfolio Managare at Smead Capital Management. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Major General (Ret.) Mastin Robeson, Geopolitical Intelligence Advisor at Academy Securities, shares his thoughts on the Israel-Hamas war. Lior Susan, Founder and Managing Partner at Eclipse Ventures, talks about the economics and the stifling of innovation as a result of the Israel-Hamas war. Julie Hansen, US CEO of Babbel, discusses the growth of the language platform and the impact of AI. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Businessweek Columnist Max Chafkin provide the details of Max's Businessweek Magazine story Meta Flirts With Ad-Free Services But Prefers the Status Quo. And we Drive to the Close with Cole Smead, CEO and Portfolio Managare at Smead Capital Management. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Welcome to "The Franchise Life" podcast with your host, Stacie Shannon. In this episode, Stacie sits down with special guest Brigadier General (U.S. Army, Retired) Anthony Tata. If you follow "The Franchise Life" regularly, this isn't our traditional franchise brand spotlight. Instead, we've chosen Anthony Tata to spotlight how an Army veteran and the skillsets he acquired in his military career are transferable to being a successful franchise owner!   I met Anthony at a Homefront Brands franchise event in Charlotte, NC. Since my initial introduction to Anthony, he and his career accomplishments fascinated me. Anthony's background not only includes his honorable military service but also civilian roles such as Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, the #3 position in the United States Department of Defense, leading his consulting firm (Tata Leadership Group), and serving on the board of directors of publicly traded companies Edge Data Solutions and Coda Octopus, and on the advisory boards of investment bank Academy Securities, Hub Cybersecurity, and Homefront Brands. Not only that, but Anthony has written 16 thriller novels, and his work has been referred to as "Tom Clancy-style military thrillers.   Discover the fascinating journey of Anthony Tata, from growing up in a humble family of educators to a distinguished military career that took him to Afghanistan and beyond. Learn how his experiences in leadership, logistics, and diplomacy in the military world translate seamlessly into franchising.   Explore the unique franchise opportunities Anthony has chosen to invest in, including car washes and robotics. Understand the significance of private equity firms entering the franchise industry and how it signals a wealth of opportunities for aspiring business owners.   Take advantage of this engaging conversation about seizing opportunities, overcoming fear, and creating success in the dynamic world of franchising. Join us on "The Franchise Life" podcast today!       Want to speak with Stacie regarding a franchise opportunity? Reach out today to stacie@fusionfranchising.com or book a 15-min intro call! Calendly - Stacie Shannon. This video is about the journey of Anthony Tata.  But it also covers the following topics:   Entrepreneurism Franchise opportunities Writing Process The Franchise Life podcast.   ✅  Stay Connected With Me.  

US Navy Rear Admiral Julius S. Caesar (Ret.) joins host Aileen Black on this week's Leaders and Legends.Admiral Caesar is a career Surface Warfare Officer who has had a distinguished career in the military and industry.He is a Massachusetts Institute of Technology Seminar XXI Fellow in Foreign Politics, International Relations, and the National Interest. He has also served as a chief operating officer, sector vice president, senior vice president and general manager in public and privately held technology firms.Caesar a trustee at the Naval War College Foundation and Strategic Advisor, Academy Securities, and was recently awarded the Distinguished Graduate Award from the US Naval Academy Alumni Association and Foundation. There are only 110 USNA Distinguished Graduates out of 69,000 living graduates.During the interview Caesar talked about his leadership style, saying he strives everyday to give back and take care of the individuals around him.“At the end of the day it is about faith, family and friends. This will give you the resiliency you need to be successful in life”. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoicesSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

US Navy Rear Admiral Julius S. Caesar (Ret.) joins host Aileen Black on this week's Leaders and Legends. Admiral Caesar is a career Surface Warfare Officer who has had a distinguished career in the military and industry. He is a Massachusetts Institute of Technology Seminar XXI Fellow in Foreign Politics, International Relations, and the National Interest. He has also served as a chief operating officer, sector vice president, senior vice president and general manager in public and privately held technology firms. Caesar a trustee at the Naval War College Foundation and Strategic Advisor, Academy Securities, and was recently awarded the Distinguished Graduate Award from the US Naval Academy Alumni Association and Foundation. There are only 110 USNA Distinguished Graduates out of 69,000 living graduates. During the interview Caesar talked about his leadership style, saying he strives everyday to give back and take care of the individuals around him. “At the end of the day it is about faith, family and friends. This will give you the resiliency you need to be successful in life”.

Major General (Ret.) Mastin Robeson, Geopolitical Intelligence Advisor at Academy Securities and Bloomberg News National Security Reporter Courtney McBride discuss how Vladimir Putin managed to avert an attack on Moscow with an eleventh-hour deal with his mutinous mercenary commander. But the uprising has pierced his aura of total political control over Russia unlike any other event in his nearly quarter century in power. Carnival CEO Josh Weinstein shares his thoughts on the company's earnings results and seeing continued strength in pricing. David Riedel, President of Riedel Research Group, talks about investing in China and India. Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at Brookings Institution, provides her insight on Putin's reaction to the attempted mutiny by Wagner soldiers. Hosts: Carol Massar and Matt Miller. Producer: Paul Brennan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Major General (Ret.) Mastin Robeson, Geopolitical Intelligence Advisor at Academy Securities and Bloomberg News National Security Reporter Courtney McBride discuss how Vladimir Putin managed to avert an attack on Moscow with an eleventh-hour deal with his mutinous mercenary commander. But the uprising has pierced his aura of total political control over Russia unlike any other event in his nearly quarter century in power. Carnival CEO Josh Weinstein shares his thoughts on the company's earnings results and seeing continued strength in pricing. David Riedel, President of Riedel Research Group, talks about investing in China and India. Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at Brookings Institution, provides her insight on Putin's reaction to the attempted mutiny by Wagner soldiers. Hosts: Carol Massar and Matt Miller. Producer: Paul Brennan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

From the battlefield to the boardroom, military veterans are making their mark in the financial services industry today. Hear their stories in this special podcast featuring Academy Securities, AmeriVet Securities, Bancroft Capital, Drexel Hamilton, Mischler Financial Group and Roberts & Ryan. Chip Barnett hosts. (45 minutes)

Jan Hatzius, Chief Economist at Goldman Sachs, says the market is being overly aggressive in pricing in Fed rate cuts. Cameron Dawson, NewEdge Wealth CIO, says the risk of recession is high but we're not seeing the 'whites of the eyes' in the hard data. Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, says people in Washington DC have lost focus, and there's plenty of other things we should be focusing on rather than the debt ceiling. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says that when the Fed does cut rates, they'll be cutting aggressively. Bloomberg's Annmarie Hordern talks the debt ceiling after her exclusive interview with Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen at the G7 meeting in Japan. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    In this week's AAP Podcast, Chris Versace is joined by Real Money contributor and Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, Peter Tchir. From the fallout from Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank to discussing the impact of the February CPI report on expectations for the Fed and monetary policy, Chris and Peter cover quite a bit of ground. Peter shares likely next steps as the ripple effect of Silicon Valley Bank is had and parts with some interesting thoughts on what helped contribute to the inflationary environment the Fed is now trying to lick. Chris and Peter also discuss the mixed message the market is giving when it comes to monetary policy later this year, but also why the market should focus on the Fed's other policy tools, not just the fed funds rate. The conversation then pivots toward defense spending and the debt ceiling with Peter explaining why he closely watching to see if China sells weapons to Russia.   Now please sit back and enjoy this timely conversation between Chris Versace and Peter Tchir.    

Retired USAF General David Deptula, Advisory Board Member at Academy Securities, discusses tensions between the US and China over surveillance balloons. Joshua Horwitz, Co-Director of the Center for Gun Violence Solutions at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, talks about the recent rash of mass shooting in the US. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist Leonid Bershidsky provide the details of the Businessweek Magazine cover story Putin's War Is Crippling Ukraine's Economy—and Russia's, Too. And we Drive to the Close with Ken Van Leeuwen, CEO of Van Leeuwen & Company. Hosts: Carol Massar and Madison Mills. Producer: Paul Brennan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Retired USAF General David Deptula, Advisory Board Member at Academy Securities, discusses tensions between the US and China over surveillance balloons. Joshua Horwitz, Co-Director of the Center for Gun Violence Solutions at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, talks about the recent rash of mass shooting in the US. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist Leonid Bershidsky provide the details of the Businessweek Magazine cover story Putin's War Is Crippling Ukraine's Economy—and Russia's, Too. And we Drive to the Close with Ken Van Leeuwen, CEO of Van Leeuwen & Company. Hosts: Carol Massar and Madison Mills. Producer: Paul Brennan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, and Mike McGlone, Senior Macro Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, join me to discuss the macroeconomic environment and its effect on investment decisions.  Peter Tchir: https://twitter.com/TFMkts Mike McGlone: https://twitter.com/mikemcglone11  ►► Sponsored by PRIME XBT! Sign up for a new trading account using the link below & receive up to a $7,000 deposit bonus with “wolfofallstreets” promo code. 

Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, discusses the latest on the markets. He spoke with hosts Bryan Curtis and Rishaad Salamat on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. In the edition Eric, Keenan and Bill...along with John and Chris from the Sing Second Sports Podcast, discuss the OT loss to Army and breaking news that Navy's winningest coach, Ken Niumatalolo will not be back next season. Finally, our entire team sends along thoughts and prayers to the family and friends of former Navy Football player Tyler Tidwell '07 who passed away this weekend. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. Its Army Week and we are here help get you ready with our game preview and alumni spotlight with Navy great and Super Bowl champion Phil McConkey. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. We are two weeks out from the big game in Philly and to help get you in the mood Keenan Reynolds shares his favorite Army-Navy memories; we talk to Navy great Eddie Meyers ' 82 during and wrap-up our pre-Army week pod with an exclusive conversation with Coach Ken Niumatalolo. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, the team talk keys to victory for Navy's upcoming game against UCF. A special thanks to Mike James '99 of the Mod Report for filling in during our first segment. In our Alumni spotlight segment we feature our conversation with Navy great Malcolm Perry '20. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, discusses the latest on the markets. He spoke with hosts Doug Krizner and Rishaad Salamat on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, Bill, Eric and Keenan talk keys to victory for Navy's upcoming game against Notre Dame. In our Alumni spotlight segment we feature our conversation with former Navy kicker Matt Harmon '08. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

In the November FOMC meeting, Fed Chair Jay Powell stated that while the pace of economic growth is slowing, indicators point to modest growth in spending and production this quarter. Peter Tchir, head of macro strategy at Academy Securities, joins Forward Guidance to argue that the economy is slowing much, much faster than the Federal Reserve's models indicate.  Tchir tells Jack Farley how brewing geopolitical tension between China and the U.S. will likely continue to weigh upon financial markets, and he shares his insights on energy markets in the U.S. and Europe.  -- Follow Peter Tchir on Twitter https://twitter.com/TFMkts Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://rb.gy/uesguv Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://rb.gy/cy0dki Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://rb.gy/igyzsj -- Founded in 2014 by three cybersecurity engineers, Bittrex is a world-class cryptocurrency exchange with a focus on security and trust. Trade over 150 cryptocurrencies in the United States along with lightning-fast trade execution and dependable digital wallets, all protected by industry-leading security practices. Discover why Bittrex is the best kept secret in crypto trading. Open your account today at: http://fgpodcast.link/bittrex -- Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://rb.gy/5weeyw Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can't-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos Find out more about the Blockworks video editor role here: https://blockworks.co/careers/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:27) "I Would Disagree With Powell" On The U.S. Economy (06:03) "Credit Bubbles Only Happen With Safe Assets" (08:17) Layoffs In Big Tech (12:17) This Will Be A Deep And Lasting Recession (14:31) The Semiconductor Industry (20:34) China (33:52) Energy (36:56)) Regulation of Fossil Fuels (40:41) When Will The Drawdown of The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) Stop? (44:27) Will Europe's Energy Problems Cause A Recession? (48:26) The Strong Dollar Is Destabalizing The Global Financial System (59:30) The Increasing Political Pressure On The Federal Reserve -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, Bill, Eric and Keenan talk keys to victory for Navy's upcoming game against Cincinnati. In our Alumni spotlight segment we feature our conversation with Craig Candeto '04 The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, Bill, Eric and Keenan talk keys to victory for Navy's upcoming game against Temple. In our Alumni spotlight segment we feature our conversation with Bob Kuberski '93. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, Bill, Eric and Keenan talk keys to victory for Navy's upcoming game against Houston. In our Alumni spotlight segment we feature our conversation with Ryan Williams-Jenkins '15. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, Bill and Keenan talk keys to victory for Navy's Friday night game against SMU. In our Alumni spotlight segment we feature our conversation with Mike James '99 of the Mid Report. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, the team talks keys to victory for Navy's home game against Tulsa. In our Alumni spotlight segment we feature our conversation with President of the Navy Brotherhood Frank Schenk '91. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, the team talks keys to victory for Navy's away game against Air Force. In our Alumni spotlight segment we feature our conversation with legendary Navy Coach Paul Johnson. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, the team talks keys to victory for Navy's away game against ECU. In our Alumni spotlight segment we feature our conversation with Navy great, Superbowl Champion and Academy Securities President Phil McConkey '79. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, discusses the latest on the markets. He spoke with hosts Bryan Curtis and Rishaard Salamat on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, discusses the latest on the markets. He spoke with hosts Bryan Curtis and Rishaad Salamat on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, the team talks keys to victory for Navy's AAC opener against Memphis. In our Alumni spotlight segment we feature our conversation with former Navy slotback Shun White '09. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, the team talks keys to victory for Navy's home opener against Delaware. We are joined by special guest Rear Admiral Tom Lynch (ret), Chairman of NewDay USA. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Welcome to another edition of the Navy Football Podcast with Keenan Reynolds, Eric Kettani & Bill Wagner, brought to you by NewDay Mortgage and Academy Securities. On this edition, the team looks ahead to the 2022 Navy Football Season--breaking down the offense, defense and special teams. The Navy Football Podcast is part of the Sing Second Sports podcast network and is a Provision Advisors production.

Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, discusses the latest on the markets. He spoke with hosts Bryan Curtis and Rishaad Salamat on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Major General Mastin Robeson, Geopolitical Intelligence Advisor at Academy Securities and Bloomberg Political News Director Jodi Schneider discuss Moscow saying it will reduce military operations in areas where its forces are being pushed back. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Health Care Reporter Anna Edney share the details of Anna's Businessweek story U.S. Drug Supply Is Even More Reliant on India Than Thought. Bloomberg News Media, Entertainment and Telecom Reporter Carly Wanna explains why Instagram rival ‘BeReal' is taking over college campuses. And we Drive to the Close with Luca Paolini, Chief Strategist at Picet Asset Management. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com

Retired Major General Mastin Robeson, Geopolitical Intelligence Advisor at Academy Securities and Peter Thcir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, discuss the economic and geopolitical implications of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Bloomberg News Foreign Policy Reporter Nick Wadhams shares his Big Take story Biden's Inner Circle Feared Sanctions Wouldn't Stop Putin. Ellen Wald, President of Transversal Consulting, talks about the impact of the war in Ukraine on oil and energy markets. And we Drive to the Close with Yacov Arnopolin, VP and Portfolio Manager at Pimco. Hosts: Carol Massar and Paul Sweeney. Producer: Paul Brennan. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com