POPULARITY
A terrific round table of Alisyn Camerota, Bill Kristol, and Mike Podhorzer join Harry to analyze a week in which only a couple things went right for Trump this week, but they were big-ticket items. The House R's dragged the “big beautiful bill” over the finish line by a single vote. And the Supreme Court gave Trump a big victory that will permit him to fire leaders of certain important agencies without cause. But otherwise the courts forcefully rejected Trump's overreaching executive orders. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
[Initially Released 11/07/23]Patrick Ruffini, pollster at Echelon Strategies, returns to talk about his new book PARTY OF THE PEOPLE - on the transition of the Republican Party from being dominated by wealthy, suburban white voters to a more blue-collar and increasingly-multi-racial coalition. In this conversation, Patrick lays out the data behind these shifts, what is driving the GOP's new-found success with blue-collar voters, why this movement came as a surprise to many, the balance of economic vs. cultural priorities, how Latino/AAPI/Black voters are increasingly persuadable audiences in elections, and expectations as to how these shifts will continue to define American politics for the foreseeable future.IN THIS EPISODEPatrick lays out the core thesis of Party of the People...Patrick's favorite data points that illustrate the changing face of the GOP...Patrick's take on the role of "educational attainment" in changing voting patterns...Patrick gives a quick tutorial on when and how Democrats have historically been the party of working-class Americans...How flawed 2012 exit polls have contributed to shifting party coalitions more than a decade later...Patrick's take on how the "In This House..." yard signs unwittingly speak to tensions within the Democratic coalition...Economic vs cultural drivers of voter behavior...Missteps and missed GOP opportunities from the trifecta control of government in 2017 and 2018...Mining recent data among Hispanic voters...What Patrick learned about border communities on a trip to the Rio Grande Valley...Why Lester Chang is important...Why Black voter behavior has been more stable than Latino and Asian voters...Patrick's take on the growing segment of biracial and multi-racial Americans...The impact of free trade and foreign policy on changing partisan coalitions...What Patrick learned in the process of writing his first book...AND 7:3 coalitional splits, anti-globalization sentiments, Joe Biden, blurbs, Brexit, George W. Bush, census buckets, charts and data, Hillary Clinton, Nate Cohn, Thomas Dewey, Tom Edsall, Ryan Enos, existential demographic crisis, fading historical patterns, faint echoes, frontier mentalities, the Great Recession, the green transition, Hamiltonian tendencies, illiberal populism, instinctive hawks, Andrew Jackson, jettisoning first principles, Chryl Laird, majority popular tendencies, mercantile progress, the New Deal, Barack Obama, Mike Podhorzer, Ronald Reagan, the Republican autopsy, rivalrous groups, Mitt Romney, sheepskin effects, David Shor, social taboos, Starr County, Steadfast Democrats, Harry Truman, Donald Trump, the UAW, Ismail White, white phenomenons....& more!
Harry unpacks Trump's victory with Mike Podhorzer, founder of the Analyst Institute and the Defend Democracy Project and perhaps the nation's #1 authority on polls and their foibles. Podhorzer resists the conventional wisdom that the election result is best explained by demographic shifts among certain voters such as Hispanic men or white women. If what's happened here happened in the Hungarian or Turkish elections, we wouldn't be looking at their exit polls to understand what happened. He rather analyzes the seeds of Trump's victory in a series of developments since 2008, including Supreme Court decisions and an outpouring of money from third parties. Podhorzer avers that Trump's policies have virtually no support in the electorate, pointing out how Trumpian candidates fared in down ballet races; however, Trump's success traces to a persuasive embodiment of widely held attitudes, in particular anti-incumbency, which has been a potent force around the world since COVID. That suggests that when Trump begins to put policies into effect, for example the promised mass deportation, it will prompt an electoral backlash. Podhorzer's core argument about the election is that while it was legal in the sense of not turning of quirky contingencies, it was not legitimate because it failed the fundamental test of expressing the true consent of the governed.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
SERIES 3 EPISODE 48: COUNTDOWN WITH KEITH OLBERMANN Three times this weekend Trump announced he will invoke "The Alien Enemies Act" which gives him the personal, arbitrary power to send to a concentration camp, or to deport, anybody in this country based on their race. Make no mistake that he means it. Trump's anti-immigrant, specifically anti-Hispanic, hate speech has now climaxed with a promise to invoke the 1798 law that permits the president – in war time – to arrest and detain or deport without a hearing or without evidence of crime – American citizens and others – at his personal whim – based on their race. NOT where they were born, NOT whether they've committed or been suspected of a crime, NOT whether they are here legally or illegally. Based on their race. The last time this country used it, in one of the most shameful episodes in our history, they rounded up the Japanese. Nearly all that lived in the Continental United States. Nearly none of them accused of crimes. Nearly all of whom had been born here. And you were Japanese, if you were one-sixteenth Japanese. The latest New York Times-Siena poll shows that among Hispanic voters Harris leads Trump by only 54 to 36. Mike Podhorzer, the recently retired political director of the AFL-CIO, explains that this poll number is just what you think it is. “When we do focus groups with the segment of Latinos that are answering survey questions saying that they're comfortable with mass deportation, what comes out quickly is” nobody has told them that things like the Alien Enemies Act gives Trump the PERSONAL right to send to concentrate camps or expel from this country, not criminals, not suspects, not undocumented immigrants, not gang members, not rapists, not murderers, but THEM. Then, says Podhorzer, you explain: Trump will have the right to expel your wife. And your children. And you. And no lawyer or court can stop him. What happens then? “That focus group flips.” Kamala Harris needs to get a direct-to-camera commercial up immediately warning Hispanics in this country that Trump can and will send to concentration camps, without as much as a hearing, their relatives and friends...and them. AS TRUMP SAYS THE MILITARY SHOULD BE DEPLOYED during this election, we learn he really wanted to use it to back a "new election" in the summer of 2021. And the media is still responding by saying that his return to power would be a "boon" to the business side of news. Not even Andrew Ross Sorkin, nominally an economics guy at CNN, seems to understand that Trump will happily declare that "The Alien Enemies Act" can be applied to an industry and shut down all the news organizations, seize their assets, and turn them into state-run media. After all, that's what Hitler did. THE COMIC RELIEF? J.D. Vance says he forgot to wear his earrings to a town hall. Misplaced them? I think I know where you should look for them, Jayvee.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Noel closes out her week in Chicago with a recap of Kamala Harris's speech. Political strategist Mike Podhorzer looks ahead. This episode was produced by Haleema Shah and Miles Bryan, edited by Amina Al-Sadi, fact-checked by Laura Bullard and Matt Collette, engineered by Rob Byers and Andrea Kristinsdottir, and hosted by Sean Rameswaram. Photo by ROBYN BECK/AFP via Getty Images. Transcript at vox.com/today-explained-podcast Support Today, Explained by becoming a Vox Member today: http://www.vox.com/members Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Mike Podhorzer, senior fellow at the Center for American Progress Action Fund, joins the show to discuss the 2024 presidential race, Vice President Kamala Harris, and Project 2025. Daniella and Colin also talk about President Joe Biden's proposed U.S. Supreme Court reforms and how Project 2025 would harm Social Security.
We spend a lot of time talking about the odds - and not enough time talking about the stakes for 2024. Mike Podhorzer joins Joe and Alex to discuss the long-term implications of the 2024 presidential race -- and how pervasive the Federalist Society's influence on our judiciary has been. What might the Supreme Court look like after another term of Trump in 2028? Bottom line: It's all on the line in 2024. Mike and Joe explain why we have to look at what's already happening in red states or in places where MAGA already controls the judiciary. So what do we do about it? How do we make our democracy better for more people? Read Mike's latest on the Federalist Society and the stakes of the Court: https://www.weekendreading.net/p/breaking-the-law-trump-is-the-means Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Hal Malchow was the incredibly innovative Democratic direct mail and fundraising consultant, who passed away several weeks ago. His final chapter was chronicled by Sasha Issenberg in Politico recently. Hal's was truly a creative mind, including breaking new ground on sophisticated political microtargeting and "social pressure" tactics to generate increased voter turnout. Joining this conversation are two of Hal's longtime business partners and friends - fellow direct mail consultants, Trish Hoppey and Rich Schlackman. We discuss Hal's political roots in progressive politics out of the Deep South, his innovative and curious political mind, the new approaches he developed, and the legacy he leaves behind after decades in the trenches of political targeting and communications. IN THIS EPISODEMemories of meeting Hal for the first time...Hal's path to DC from the Deep South...The GOP luminary who was one of Hal's most trusted friends...The innovations in political targeting and messaging spearheaded by Hal...A few of the races and campaigns most impacted by Hal's creativity...The origin of Hal's groundbreaking work on "social pressure" with two Ivy League academics...Why Hal left day-to-day consulting after the 2010 cycle and how he stayed involved over the past decade...Hal's most recent advice to Democratic campaigns...Hal's motivations during the final chapter of his life...Final thoughts on Hal's legacy in politics...AND The Analyst Institute, bananas ideas, Evan Bayh, better mousetraps, Andrew Bleeker, CHAID analysis, Campaign Performance Group, Christina Coloroso, couch surfing, Mario Cuomo, Morris Dees, failed attorneys, fake-out mail, Vic Fazio, feedback loops, funny accents, Page Gardner, Alan Gerber, Al Gore, Christine Hopkinson, Herb Kelleher, Harry Kennedy, Ted Kennedy, Dean Levitan, Alex Malchow, microtargeting, Janet Napolitano, Gavin Newsom, paella, personalized yard signs, Mike Podhorzer, rat infestations, Rick Ridder, Mitt Romney, Ron Rosenblith, Santa Fe, Tom Sugar, Richard Viguerie, Voter Contact Services, Mark Warner, Michael Woolridge & more!
A New York Times and Siena College poll released Nov. 5 showed Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in five of the six key swing states, with a notable jump in support among nonwhite and young voters. In response, Democrats freaked out.But then two days later, voters across the country actually went to the polls, and Democrats and Democratic-associated policy did pretty well. In Kentucky, Andy Beshear held the governorship. Democrats took back the House of Delegates in Virginia. And Ohio voted for an amendment protecting abortion rights.I asked Mike Podhorzer, a longtime poll skeptic, to help to help me understand the apparent gap between the polls and the ballot box. Podhorzer was the longtime political director of the A.F.L.-C.I.O. And as the founder of the Analyst Institute, he was the godfather of the data-driven turn in Democratic campaign strategy. He also writes a newsletter on these topics called “Weekend Reading.”We discuss the underlying assumptions behind polling methodologies and what that says about their results; how to square Biden's unpopularity with the Democrats' recent wins; why he thinks an anti-MAGA majority is Biden's best bet to the White House and how that coalition doesn't always map cleanly onto demographic data; what a newly energized labor movement might means for Biden; and much more.Mentioned:“We Gave Four Good Pollsters the Same Raw Data. They Had Four Different Results.” by Nate CohnBook Recommendations:“Politics and the English Language” by George OrwellTyranny, Inc. by Sohrab AhmariCrashed by Adam ToozeThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Rollin Hu. Fact checking by Michelle Harris and Kate Sinclair. Mixing by Jeff Geld and Efim Shapiro. Our senior editor is Claire Gordon. The show's production team also includes Emefa Agawu and Kristin Lin. Original music by Isaac Jones. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. And special thanks to Carole Sabouraud.
Patrick Ruffini, pollster at Echelon Strategies, returns to talk about his new book (released today, 11/7/23) PARTY OF THE PEOPLE - on the transition of the Republican Party from being dominated by wealthy, suburban white voters to a more blue-collar and increasingly-multi-racial coalition. In this conversation, Patrick lays out the data behind these shifts, what is driving the GOP's new-found success with blue-collar voters, why this movement came as a surprise to many, the balance of economic vs. cultural priorities, how Latino/AAPI/Black voters are increasingly persuadable audiences in elections, and expecations as to how these shifts will continue to define American politics for the forseeable future.IN THIS EPISODEPatrick lays out the core thesis of Party of the People...Patrick's favorite data points that illustrate the changing face of the GOP...Patrick's take on the role of "educational attainment" in changing voting patterns...Patrick gives a quick tutorial on when and how Democrats have historically been the party of working-class Americans...How flawed 2012 exit polls have contributed to shifting party coalitions more than a decade later...Patrick's take on how the "In This House..." yard signs unwittingly speak to tensions within the Democratic coalition...Economic vs cultural drivers of voter behavior...Missteps and missed GOP opportunities from the trifecta control of government in 2017 and 2018...Mining recent data among Hispanic voters...What Patrick learned about border communities on a trip to the Rio Grande Valley...Why Lester Chang is important...Why Black voter behavior has been more stable than Latino and Asian voters...Patrick's take on the growing segment of biracial and multi-racial Americans...The impact of free trade and foreign policy on changing partisan coalitions...What Patrick learned in the process of writing his first book...AND 7:3 coalitional splits, anti-globalization sentiments, Joe Biden, blurbs, Brexit, George W. Bush, census buckets, charts and data, Hillary Clinton, Nate Cohn, Thomas Dewey, Tom Edsall, Ryan Enos, existential demographic crisis, fading historical patterns, faint echoes, frontier mentalities, the Great Recession, the green transition, Hamiltonian tendencies, illiberal populism, instinctive hawks, Andrew Jackson, jettisoning first principles, Chryl Laird, majority popular tendencies, mercantile progress, the New Deal, Barack Obama, Mike Podhorzer, Ronald Reagan, the Republican autopsy, rivalrous groups, Mitt Romney, sheepskin effects, David Shor, social taboos, Starr County, Steadfast Democrats, Harry Truman, Donald Trump, the UAW, Ismail White, white phenomenons....& more!
Recently, labor unions have exercised power in ways not seen in decades. Former political director of the AFL-CIO Mike Podhorzer joins the podcast to discuss the surge of activity in the labor movement, how the fight for democracy and labor rights are connected and what you should look out for as we get closer to the 2024 election. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@democracydocket.com. Follow Democracy Docket! Twitter Post Facebook Instagram TikTok Subscribe to our free newsletters Resources: Subscribe to Mike Podhorzer's Substack Marc Elias: We Cannot Out-Organize Voter Suppression
Ford, Stellantis and General Motors all now have tentative deals with the UAW. But the longterm impact may just be beginning as labor's strength grows politically. Mike Podhorzer, former AFL-CIO political director, joins me to talk about just that. Feedback as always - dailydetroit - at - gmail - dot - com or 313-789-3211 Follow us on Apple Podcasts: https://lnk.to/dailydetroitonapple Or Spotify: https://lnk.to/dailydetroitonspotify Thanks to our members: http://www.patreon.com/dailydetroit Or those who do a one-time contribution: http://www.buymeacoffee.com/dailydetroit
Former Political Director and senior advisor to Richard Trumka with the AFL-CIO, Mike Podhorzer, joined the America's Work Force Union Podcast to discuss his start in the labor movement and political environment. Podhorzer also discussed Trumka's efforts during Obama's 2008 presidential campaign and how workers can fight the misinformation being shared with them daily. Independent Labor Voice, Tom Buffenbarger, joined the America's Work Force Union Podcast to talk about his concerns with Congress, and the significant separation between how states perceive each other. He also shared a warning of what a state shouldn't do with its tax credits and funding.
Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Post)Rachel Parker @msraitchetp (Post) Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO (Twitter and Post)https://heartlandpod.com/JOIN PATREON FOR MORE - AND JOIN OUR SOCIAL NETWORK!“Change The Conversation” Mike: https://aflcio.org/author/michael-podhorzer Mike's Substack (very smart stuff) https://michaelpodhorzer.substack.com/p/the-emerging-anti-maga-majorityAtlantic Article About Mikehttps://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2022/06/red-and-blue-state-divide-is-growing-michael-podhorzer-newsletter/661377/
Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Post)Rachel Parker @msraitchetp (Post) Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO (Twitter and Post)https://heartlandpod.com/JOIN PATREON FOR MORE - AND JOIN OUR SOCIAL NETWORK!“Change The Conversation” Mike: https://aflcio.org/author/michael-podhorzer Mike's Substack (very smart stuff) https://michaelpodhorzer.substack.com/p/the-emerging-anti-maga-majorityAtlantic Article About Mikehttps://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2022/06/red-and-blue-state-divide-is-growing-michael-podhorzer-newsletter/661377/
Chris sits down with Orioles beat writer Nathan Ruiz to discuss the surging Baby Birds, and welcomes on Mike Podhorzer of FanGraphs to survey the fantasy landscape and pressure him into making a trade in their home league! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Our friend Mike Podhorzer joins Joe and Alex (yes, he's back) to uncover the state of the 2024 election and what's coming. Sure, Ron DeSantis had a horrendous campaign launch. But why clowning on him is missing the bigger threat. Mike also makes a really important point: Why is history repeating itself - and why ultra-MAGA tactics look a lot like Jim Crow. Plus - Mike highlights the "hack" ultra-MAGA has into our constitutional system. And we get into why the obsession with Joe Biden's approval ratings is the wrong question. What questions should the media be focused on -- and what numbers actually matter right now? Check out Mike's Substack now and don't miss an update: https://open.substack.com/pub/michaelpodhorzer/p/dont-panic-about-bidens-approval?r=9bfgo&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/that-trippi-show/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Governor Howard Dean discusses the consequences of Republicans focusing too much on their base. Axios's Felix Salmon talks about his new book, The Phoenix Economy: Work, Life, and Money in the New "Not Normal." Former AFL-CIO political director Mike Podhorzer updates us on America's burgeoning union movement.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Michael Podhorzer joins The Great Battlefield podcast to talk about his career in the labor movement, the use of data and analytics and recently stepping down as Political Director at the AFL-CIO.
Mike Podhorzer from Fangraphs and ProjectingX.com is off to a great start in both AL Tout Wars and Mixed LABR. He joins Jeff Erickson to talk about his projections process and how it informs his draft strategy, and about his respective teams. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Beat the Shift podcast: Understand statistics episode
Maren Hesla has done virtually everything there is to do in Democratic politics. She's currently a partner in leading Democratic direct mail firm Mission Control…but before that she managed campaigns, worked for the DNC, DCCC, and EMILYs List, and spent time as a media consultant and pollster. Maren talks her personal journey as a Minnesota transplant growing up in the Deep South and what she's learned navigating the political profession. Great episode with both smart political stories and highly actionable advice for pursuing and succeeding in a career in politics. IN THIS EPISODE…Maren's first political memory at a local protest…Maren's memories growing up in the Atlanta area during the height of the Civil Rights Era…Maren's memories of seeing a fellow Georgian in the White House….Maren's first campaign with a local political icon in the Atlanta area…How a mistake calculating voter IDs played havoc in the Mondale targeting operation…How Maren built the first statewide voter file in Georgia county by county…Maren manages the campaign of Ben Jones (“Cooter” from the Dukes of Hazzard)…The Democratic member who broke Maren's heart…Maren talks what a field plan looked like in the 1990s…Maren's time in the polling industry learning under Diane Feldman…Maren remembers Tammy Baldwin's underdog first race for Congress…Maren's unlikely path to EMILY's List…Maren's best practices to running independent-expenditure campaigns…Maren's early modeling project at EMILYs List…Maren talks the talent pipeline produced by EMILYs List…How Maren joined up with Mission Control and Ed Peavy…Maren explains Direct Mail 101…The most common mistakes in direct mail…Maren talks how smart direct mail aided in the recent elections of Sherrod Brown and Jon Ossoff…AND…the Analyst Institute, Julian Bond, Sherrod Brown, cutting turf, Rahm Emanuel, Emory University, Jennifer Granholm, Amy Green, Clay Henderson, Allison Jaslow, John Lewis, Ann Liston, Lester Maddox, Hal Malchow, Ellen Malcolm, Manuel Maloof, Martha McKenna, Ellen Moran, Jim Moran, Jerry Nadler, Jon Ossoff, the Peanut Brigade, Mike Podhorzer, psychographic profiles, Jim Quackenbush, Connie Schultz, Doug Sosnik, standard-issue white guys, Pat Swindall, George Wallace, Karen White, Andrew Young, and MORE!
Mike Podhorzer of RotoGraphs returns to the show as we analyze which players have the best chance to bounce back this season. Why is Justin Upton (6:39) worth the risk after his career-worst 2019 campaign, how come Manny Machado (17:09) is being taken around pick 60 despite his consistency, and is poor durability all that prevents Garrett Richards (31:39) from being a solid option? Players: Yasiel Puig - 0:00:48 Giancarlo Stanton - 0:04:05 Justin Upton - 0:06:20 Wil Myers - 0:10:01 Andrew Benintendi - 0:11:31 Khris Davis - 0:13:45 Manny Machado - 0:17:10 Adalberto Mondesi - 0:19:53 Joey Gallo - 0:21:51 Corey Kluber - 0:23:26 Chris Archer - 0:25:26 Rick Porcello - 0:27:03 Edwin Diaz - 0:28:27 Yusei Kikuchi - 0:29:44 Garrett Richards - 0:31:40 David Price - 0:33:48 Justin Smoak - 0:35:47 Masahiro Tanaka - 0:37:19 Domingo Santana - 0:38:50
Mike Podhorzer from RotoGraphs joins the show to discuss which players have rankings that heavily differ from their ADP. Can Yordan Alvarez (11:43) maintain his immense power numbers and what should we expect from Yu Darvish (21:02)? Which version of Aristides Aquino (40:48) will we get in 2020 and is Eric Hosmer (52:57) worth owning?
WisPolitics.com's Midwest Polling Summit held Oct. 9 in Madison featured top experts talking about the issues and trends that will affect campaign 2020 and key Midwest battlegrounds, including Wisconsin. The afternoon began with a primer on Midwest views on health care issues from nonpartisan Kaiser Family Foundation polling expert Ashley Kirzinger Following Kirzinger's address, a panel focused on the political perspective and featured top campaign advisers with strong Midwest ties: Celinda Lake, Paul Maslin, B.J. Martino and Brian Reisinger. A “future of polling” panel followed, and was led by the director of the Marquette University Law School Poll Charles Franklin and include Mike Podhorzer, the former political director of AFL-CIO and now senior adviser to its president, Ashlee Rich Stephenson, vice president and national political director, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Nick Mastronardi, CEO of Polco, as well as Ray Block, associate professor of political science and African American studies at Pennsylvania State University. UW-Madison political scientist and author Katherine Cramer then provided closing remarks on public opinion research. This event was sponsored by the Outrider Foundation and The Capital Times. We thank them for their generous support.
WisPolitics.com's Midwest Polling Summit held Oct. 9 in Madison featured top experts talking about the issues and trends that will affect campaign 2020 and key Midwest battlegrounds, including Wisconsin. The afternoon began with a primer on Midwest views on health care issues from nonpartisan Kaiser Family Foundation polling expert Ashley Kirzinger Following Kirzinger's address, a panel focused on the political perspective and featured top campaign advisers with strong Midwest ties: Celinda Lake, Paul Maslin, B.J. Martino and Brian Reisinger. A “future of polling” panel followed, and was led by the director of the Marquette University Law School Poll Charles Franklin and include Mike Podhorzer, the former political director of AFL-CIO and now senior adviser to its president, Ashlee Rich Stephenson, vice president and national political director, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Nick Mastronardi, CEO of Polco, as well as Ray Block, associate professor of political science and African American studies at Pennsylvania State University. UW-Madison political scientist and author Katherine Cramer then provided closing remarks on public opinion research. This event was sponsored by the Outrider Foundation and The Capital Times. We thank them for their generous support.
WisPolitics.com's Midwest Polling Summit held Oct. 9 in Madison featured top experts talking about the issues and trends that will affect campaign 2020 and key Midwest battlegrounds, including Wisconsin. The afternoon began with a primer on Midwest views on health care issues from nonpartisan Kaiser Family Foundation polling expert Ashley Kirzinger Following Kirzinger's address, a panel focused on the political perspective and featured top campaign advisers with strong Midwest ties: Celinda Lake, Paul Maslin, B.J. Martino and Brian Reisinger. A “future of polling” panel followed, and was led by the director of the Marquette University Law School Poll Charles Franklin and include Mike Podhorzer, the former political director of AFL-CIO and now senior adviser to its president, Ashlee Rich Stephenson, vice president and national political director, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Nick Mastronardi, CEO of Polco, as well as Ray Block, associate professor of political science and African American studies at Pennsylvania State University. UW-Madison political scientist and author Katherine Cramer then provided closing remarks on public opinion research. This event was sponsored by the Outrider Foundation and The Capital Times. We thank them for their generous support.
Episode 56- Understanding Statistics EpisodeGuest – Mike PodhorzerStrategy Section -Advanced StatisticsOPS vs wOBALuck StatsBABIPStrand RateERA EstimatorsFIP & SIERAHR/FBWhat are x Stats?xFIPxwOBAStatcastExit VelocityLaunch AngleBarrelsWhat are + Stats?wRC+ERA-Per 9 stats vs %K/9 vs K%BB/9 vs BB%K-BB% vs K/BBWARWPAPlate DisciplineO-Contact, Z-Contact, O-Swing, Z-SwingSwStrwPDI / mPDIRecommended StatsWaiver Wire - AC RG & MP – The team talks about a few potential waiver wire pickups.Pitcher Preview - RG AC & MP – The team highlights the coming week's 2-start pitchers and key 1-start matchups.Injury Update - RG – Reuven gives us the injury update.
The All-Star break gave all fantasy owners a breather, but baseball is back and with the second half underway, Mike Podhorzer of Rotographs joined us to give predictions to look forward to heading into the stretch run starting with a turnaround for Blake Snell (2:30). Mike Soroka is highly unlikely to keep up his numbers (14:52) and Justin Smoak is being hugely undervalued and should be owned immediately (20:23). The waiver wire shouldn't be ignored either with pitchers like Matt Strahm (31:45) and Tyler Mahle (34:54) still readily available. If you're looking for power, there are a pair of youngsters who can be had for free in Bobby Bradley (38:14) and Nate Lowe (39:35). We close out the show with our listener mailbag and dream of what our all-time starting lineup would be for an All-Star game (46:14).
Which starting pitchers should you target early on and who are the best values deeper in drafts? Mike Podhorzer from RotoGraphs joined us today to help us tackle that very question, but we start off by examining Manny Machado's outlook with the Padres (1:03). Is Blake Snell (13:20) a top-five SP this year or is he bound to regress, and does Shane Bieber (31:41) get far more hype than he deserves? Can Josh James (41:09) become a stud as a rookie if he cracks the rotation, and how sustainable is Freddy Peralta's (56:22) strikeout rate?
In the inaugural episode of Power & Money, Mike Podhorzer, political director of the AFL-CIO, and Teddy Downey, executive editor of The Capitol Forum, discuss the upcoming midterm elections and the possibility of a ‘Blue Wave’ in November.
We're back with guest Mike Podhorzer of RotoGraphs to catch up on all the latest news and performances around the league since our last show. Robert Stephenson was called back up (3:03), Eloy Jimenez is supposedly nearing a call-up (5:33), Rougned Odor may have finally figured it out (8:03), and Matt Carpenter is somehow an MVP candidate (11:18). There's a lot to discuss including hitters worth adding that should be available in your league (17:54) and which available pitchers are quality adds versus streaming options (31:41). If you're wondering if it's time to drop one of your struggling bigger names, listen in as we run through a list of players that many owners may have to move on from (43:52).
Al Melchior has all the best fantasy baseball coverage for you. Al looks at the impact of the suspension of David Paulino, as well as the great debut of Clint Fraizer. Mike Podhorzer joins the program looking at some of the rising and falling fantasy values of pitchers. #FNTSY #MLB #FantasyBaseball #DavidPaulino #ClintFraizer Learn more about your ad-choices at https://news.iheart.com/podcast-advertisers
2017-04-21 Friday guest expert: Mike Podhorzer, Rotographs columnist at Fangraphs.com ... plus NL/AL News, Playing Time, Frequent Fliers, weekend Pitcher Matchups, Master Notes
Al Melchior is joined by Greg Jewett, Paul Sporer, Mike Podhorzer, and Brent Hershey to break down this weekend's Tout Wars draft, and go in depth with the live NL draft! #FNTSYsportsnetwork #FNTSY #Fantasybaseball #ToutWars #FNTSYRadio #FantasySports #RedSox #Orioles #BlueJays #Yankees #Rays #Indians #Tigers #WhiteSox #Twins #Royals #Rangers #Angels #Mariners #Athletics #Astros #Nationals #Mets #Phillies #Marlins #Braves #Cardinals #Pirates #Cubs #Reds #Brewers #Dodgers #Rockies #Giants #DBacks #Padres Learn more about your ad-choices at https://news.iheart.com/podcast-advertisers
On this edition of the Nasty Cast we welcome Mike Podhorzer from Fangraphs. We discuss his player projection software, Projecting X 2.0, debate the impact of some player injuries, and take a look at Outfielders outside the Top 50. Find Mike's projections at projectingx.com and find his master class on player projections at fantasybaseballsummit.com. Entry to the 2017 Podcast League is now closed, but you can still send questions to thefantasyamateurs@gmail.com or find us on Twitter @FantasyAmateurs @NathanDokken @ManlyVanLee @MrJesseJordan @JoeSadchy and Mike is @MikePodhorzer. Go to TheFantasyAmateurs.com to get a Nasty Cast T-shirt (which will come with a FREE bag of Dot's Pretzels), find our rankings, and more!?
Mike Podhorzer has developed a new xBABIP formula that incorporates shift data. We'll discuss the implications of this and specifically how it relates to Mets hitters who get shifted a lot, like Curtis Granderson and Jay Bruce.
2016-07-15 Friday guest expert: Author & Rotographs writer Mike Podhorzer, plus news & Commentaries ... Runs 2:11:05
2016-05-06 Guest expert Mike Podhorzer of FanGraphs discusses his projection methods, Expected Strikeouts, some speculative waivers pickups, Studs and Duds and more... also the Minor League Minute
Mike Podhorzer joins a special guest episode of the show - and it's one you don't want to miss. What really happened in the days after Election Day in 2020 - and how did people across the political spectrum come together to save it? Why building a coalition to protect democracy is more important than ever. What can we learn from 2022? And what lessons do we need to take into 2024 as a pro-democracy coalition? Also - Why a massive media miss at the end of 2022 probably cost the Democrats the House. And why they can't keep making the same mistakes. What do we do about it? Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/that-trippi-show/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy