Podcasts about pragmatic capitalism

Cullen Roche returns to the podcast! He is the chief investment officer at Discipline Funds, which focuses on low fee, systematic, index based investing. He is a returning guest to the podcast and I encourage you to check out our first episode from last year. Cullen is a prolific investing blogger where he discusses macroeconomics and the banking system at Pragmatic Capitalism. Welcome to the podcast, Cullen!Links* Discipline Funds, which is where Cullen applies his macro insights to investing vehicles. https://disciplinefunds.com/* Cullen's classic blog, Pragmatic Capitalism, where he has a long history of explaining complex macro issues. https://www.pragcap.com/blog/* Three Minute Macro, Cullen's Youtube channel where he explains complex topics in a three-minute-video format. https://www.youtube.com/@ThreeMinuteMacroDisclaimerNothing on this podcast is investment advice.The information in this podcast is for information and discussion purposes only. It does not constitute a recommendation to purchase or sell any financial instruments or other products.  Investment decisions should not be made with this article and one should take into account the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or institution.Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances from their own tax, financial, legal, and other advisers about the risks and merits of any transaction before making an investment decision, and only make such decisions on the basis of the investor's own objectives, experience, and resources.The information contained in this podcast & show notes is based on generally-available information and, although obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness cannot be assured, and such information may be incomplete or condensed.Investments in financial instruments or other products carry significant risk, including the possible total loss of the principal amount invested. This podcast, the host, and the guest do not purport to identify all the risks or material considerations that may be associated with entering into any transaction. This host & guest accepts no liability for any loss (whether direct, indirect, or consequential) that may arise from any use of the information contained in or derived from this content. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.securityanalysis.org/subscribe

Cullen Roche, CIO of Discipline Funds and author of Pragmatic Capitalism, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 123.  Going into 2023, Cullen's big call was disinflation, which was a largely correct call. In this episode, Cullen shares his views that it might take a full year for the Federal Reserve to hit the 2% target. Because of that, the Fed can't start signaling rate cuts without risking a resurgence in inflation. Therefore, Cullen believes the Fed will remain tighter well into 2024, increasing the risk of a hard landing or credit event as we get deeper into 2024. Links: Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/cullenroche Discipline Funds: https://disciplinefunds.com/ Is The S&P 500 Broken? https://disciplinefunds.com/2023/11/21/is-the-sp-500-broken/ Pragmatic Capitalism: https://www.amazon.com/Pragmatic-Capitalism-Every-Investor-Finance-ebook/dp/B0B4V1KHVD 0:00 Welcome Cullen Roche to the show  1:03 Macro view  5:44 Real estate  10:13 How resilient is the economy really?  13:33 Disinflation call, 2024 outlook, road to 2% more difficult  17:29 Expect Fed to hold rates tight 18:23 Opportunities in bonds 20:28 Stock market is a 17-year instrument, duration of other asset classes  26:50 Allocating in this environment  30:00 Is the S&P 500 broken, are there hidden risks?  Marlinski Media produces the Julia La Roche Show: https://www.marlinskimedia.com/

The USA debt rating is CUT! Most earnings are out and we have the results. Weekly oil inventories – largest draw-down EVER! Guest – Cullen Roch founder of Discipline Funds, helps us navigate risk. Mr. Roche founded Discipline Funds to help investors obtain access to low fee, diversified portfolios that help them stay the course and meet their financial goals. Cullen's primary areas of expertise include global macro portfolio construction, quantitative risk management, monetary economics, financial accounting and behavioral finance. Prior to establishing his own business, Cullen worked at Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management where he worked on a team overseeing $500MM+ in assets under management. Upon leaving Merrill Lynch, Cullen managed a private investment partnership which took advantage of reporting irregularities ahead of major corporate events. The strategy generated substantial positive alpha (high risk adjusted returns) without a single negative year of returns from 2005-2011. He formed Orcam Financial Group in 2012 to help better serve the much needed retail space with sophisticated but low fee asset management and financial planning services. Cullen is also a prolific writer. In addition to the weekly musings on his website Pragmatic Capitalism, he is the author of the popular book Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance as well as “Understanding the Modern Monetary System,” one of the top 10 all-time most downloaded research papers on the SSRN academic research network. He is also the author of the popular white paper “Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.” He was named one of the “Top Wall Street Economists, Experts and Opinion Leaders” of 2011 by Wall Street Economists and was named one of the “101 Best Finance People” by Business Insider, where he was described as “one of the most influential economic thinkers today.” In 2015, Cullen was named one of the “40 Under 40” most influential people in finance by InvestmentNews. He is regularly cited in the Wall Street Journal, on CNBC and in the Financial Times. Cullen is a Georgetown University alumnus, growing up in the DC area and now living in Southern California with his family, troublesome pup Callie and flock of chickens. Follow @CullenRoche Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz  Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AMD), (TUP), (YELL)

Cullen Roche is an expert on monetary policy and macroeconomics. His work helped me shed a lot of my misconceptions about monetary policy and how macroeconomics actually works.The conversation is a timely discussion about macroeconomics, the role of the Fed, and the current (May 2023) debt ceiling situation and recent bank failures.Links* Discipline Funds, which is where Cullen applies his macro insights to investing vehicles. https://disciplinefunds.com/* Cullen's classic blog, Pragmatic Capitalism, where he has a long history of explaining complex macro issues. https://www.pragcap.com/blog/* Three Minute Macro, Cullen's Youtube channel where he explains complex topics in a three-minute-video format. https://www.youtube.com/@ThreeMinuteMacroDisclaimerNothing on this podcast is investment advice.The information in this podcast is for information and discussion purposes only. It does not constitute a recommendation to purchase or sell any financial instruments or other products.  Investment decisions should not be made with this article and one should take into account the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or institution.Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances from their own tax, financial, legal, and other advisers about the risks and merits of any transaction before making an investment decision, and only make such decisions on the basis of the investor's own objectives, experience, and resources.The information contained in this podcast & show notes is based on generally-available information and, although obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness cannot be assured, and such information may be incomplete or condensed.Investments in financial instruments or other products carry significant risk, including the possible total loss of the principal amount invested. This podcast, the host, and the guest do not purport to identify all the risks or material considerations that may be associated with entering into any transaction. This host & guest accepts no liability for any loss (whether direct, indirect, or consequential) that may arise from any use of the information contained in or derived from this content. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.securityanalysis.org/subscribe

Stig has invited back investment expert Cullen Roche to discuss how to optimize your portfolio for financial independence and sleeping well at night.IN THIS EPISODE YOU'LL LEARN:00:00 - Intro01:05 - What the difference is between CPI and PCE.08:31 - Whether central bankers should be elected? 14:46 - What the velocity of money is, and how it impacts inflation?19:08 - What it means for inflation and the US dollar that the world is decoupling.28:19 - What a balance sheet recession is and why it is important to understand investors.34:15 - Whether the 60/40 portfolio is still working.41:02 - Which longer cycle we are missing in the financial markets. 41:34 - Whether the next 40 years of stock market performance will look like the previous 40 years.46:28 - Whether central banks fight global warming? 54:31 - Which portfolio to build for independence and sleeping well at night.1:09:30 - Which bias does the new generation of investors have.Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.BOOKS AND RESOURCESListen to Stig's interview with Cullen Roche about Macro Investing - TIP486 or watch the video. Related Episode: Listen to Inflation Masterclass Continued - TIP472 or watch the video.Related Episode: Listen to Inflation Update and the recent FOMC Meeting - TIP420 or watch the video.Cullen Roche's website, The Discipline Funds.Cullen Roche's website, Pragmatic Capitalism.Tweet directly to Cullen Roche.Email Cullen at cullenroche@orcamgroup.com.Cullen Roche's YouTube channel.Cullen Roche's book, Pragmatic Capitalism – Read reviews here.Gavin Jackson's book, Money in One Lesson - Read reviews here.NEW TO THE SHOW?Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs.Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool.Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets.P.S The Investor's Podcast Network is excited to launch a subreddit devoted to our fans in discussing financial markets, stock picks, questions for our hosts, and much more! Join our subreddit r/TheInvestorsPodcast today!SPONSORSGet personalized, expert advice that helps you see things clearly with ATB.Take stock of your finances and investing strategy with Betterment.Talk to your clients about Desjardins Responsible Investment today and support what's right for society and what's good for business.Send, spend, and receive money around the world easily with Wise.Let an expert do your taxes from start to finish so you can relax with TurboTax.If your business has five or more employees and managed to survive Covid you could be eligible to receive a payroll tax rebate of up to twenty-six thousand dollars per employee. Find out if your business qualifies with Innovation Refunds.Invest in high-quality, cash-flowing real estate without all of the hassle with Passive Investing.Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.HELP US OUT!Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

This week, one of Dan's favorite guests returns for his fourth Stansberry Investor Hour appearance... Cullen Roche is the founder of portfolio-management firms Orcam Financial and Discipline Funds. He is also the author of two of the most widely circulated research papers in finance and a highly rated book named after his popular financial blog, Pragmatic Capitalism. But first, Dan and Corey examine the biggest news events of the past week. And some have gotten a little too close for comfort to the extreme scenarios in the "Top 10 Potential Surprises for 2023" episode. As for our guest's economic outlook, Cullen discusses why disinflation could be this year's theme... why it's too early to be picking bottoms in the "huge, slow-moving beast" of housing... and why he thinks the Federal Reserve is likely to hike rates a bit more before adopting a wait-and-see approach... ➡️ Watch Here

This week, one of Dan's favorite guests returns for his fourth Stansberry Investor Hour appearance... Cullen Roche is the founder of portfolio-management firms Orcam Financial and Discipline Funds. He is also the author of two of the most widely circulated research papers in finance and a highly rated book named after his popular financial blog, Pragmatic Capitalism. But first, Dan and Corey examine the biggest news events of the past week. And some have gotten a little too close for comfort to the extreme scenarios in the "Top 10 Potential Surprises for 2023" episode. As for our guest's economic outlook, Cullen discusses why disinflation could be this year's theme... why it's too early to be picking bottoms in the "huge, slow-moving beast" of housing... and why he thinks the Federal Reserve is likely to hike rates a bit more before adopting a wait-and-see approach... ➡️ Watch Here

Cullen Roche, CIO of Discipline Funds and author of Pragmatic Capitalism, joins Julia La Roche on episode 50 for a wide-ranging discussion of the macro environment and Housing — the risk keeping him up at night. In this episode, Roche raises the point that when it comes to macro research, many economists argue that the U.S. economy is a housing economy, meaning when the housing market slows down a lot, it filters through everything else. “It's really up in the air… Does this environment look more like a 2008-type of slowdown? Is it more like a 2002-ish type of long drawn-out slowdown that nothing really crashes, but things persistently adjust lower?” Roche said on the show. Roche is in more of the 2002 scenario camp, but he notes there's still an outlier risk of a credit event lurking that's more akin to a 2008-style event, but that's a big outlier. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating and review. Email me at julia@julialaroche.com with any future guest ideas or suggestions. I'd love to hear from you! 0:00 Intro 0:39 Slinging stocks and bonds after college 2:30 Coming full circle to low-cost ETFs 5:40 Understanding the details of what you're buying 8:45 Big picture macro view 10:40 Process of digesting Fed policies during the pandemic 11:09 The big uncertainty — the housing market 13:38 Housing market is the backbone of everything the credit market is structured around 15:13 House prices boomed 40% during COVID 15:47 Outlier scenario that worries Cullen 17:00 Housing has become a speculative asset 18:45 Looking at the stock market as a multi-decade instrument 20:29 Is your house a great investment? 25:23 Will 2023 be the year of Disinflation? 30:30 Disinflation or deflation? 31:44 Can the Fed remain too aggressive? 38:50 Factor investing 42:20 Bonds 44:40 Importance of understanding time with asset allocation 47:40 Bitcoin as a 90-year instrument 52:00 Parting thoughts

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU'LL LEARN:01:22 - Why and how do we need to understand the macro environment when we invest07:18 - Why we should think of the economy as we think of the human body19:02 - Why the traditional buy-and-hold equity strategy is flawed26:20 - Why a house we live in is typically not a good investment35:16 - How has the stock market performed after inflation and taxes? 40:38 - Why investors are not globally diversified when they invest in the S&P50048:27 - Why bonds bear markets are different from bear markets in stocks55:58 - Why diversification is about hating some of your portfolio all of the time1:03:49 - How money creation will change with a digital currency by central banks1:11:53 - What is yield curve control, and how is it exercised? 1:16:08 - What is the third mandate of the FED?Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.BOOKS AND RESOURCESStig's first part interview with Cullen Roche about Inflation.Cullen Roche's website, The Discipline Funds.Cullen Roche's website, Pragmatic Capitalism.Tweet directly to Cullen Roche.Email Cullen at cullenroche@orcamgroup.com.Cullen Roche's YouTube channel.Cullen Roche's new research paper, All Duration Investing.Cullen Roche's book, Pragmatic Capitalism – Read reviews here.NEW TO THE SHOW?Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs.Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool.Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets.Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. P.S The Investor's Podcast Network is excited to launch a subreddit devoted to our fans in discussing financial markets, stock picks, questions for our hosts, and much more! Join our subreddit r/TheInvestorsPodcast today!SPONSORSInvest in high-quality, cash-flowing real estate without all of the hassle with Passive Investing.Private assets represent 98% of companies in North America but are absent in most portfolios. Reconstruct your portfolio with private markets with Mackenzie Investments.Build a plan that helps you strengthen your financial security with RBC Wealth Management. RBC capital markets LLC, member NYSE, FINRA, SIPC.Throw out the old traditions and get progressive. Discover the complete package - smart design, lots to love under the hood with Genesis.Have gold and silver shipped directly to your door for you to hold at your home. Get BullionMax's Gold Investor Kit today - 3 ounces of the world's most desirable gold coins, including the Gold American Eagle and Canadian Maple Leaf.See the potential of your business. Find solutions that work for you, that tick bigger boxes and help you grow with Square.Confidently take control of your online world without worrying about viruses, phishing attacks, ransomware, hacking attempts, and other cybercrimes with Avast One.Enjoy a 400-calorie meal that contains 40g of expertly sourced, premium plant protein, all 26 essential vitamins and minerals, and a scientifically calibrated mix of carbs, good fats and fiber with Huel Black Edition. Plus, get a free t-shirt and free shaker with your first order.Start printing everything your small business needs and discover the endless printabilities with VistaPrint.If your business has five or more employees and managed to survive Covid you could be eligible to receive a payroll tax rebate of up to twenty-six thousand dollars per employee. Find out if your business qualifies with Innovation Refunds.Get position and investment info for nearly 6,000 Asset Management Companies with Moomoo, Australia's first A.I. powered trading platform. Sign up and fund your moomoo account before October 31 and get $10 for every $100 you deposit. All investment carries risk. AFSL 224 663. T&Cs apply.Start building a portfolio of alternative farm and timberland assets with AcreTrader.If you're aware you need to improve your bitcoin security but have been putting it off, Unchained Capital's Concierge Onboarding is a simple way to get started—sooner rather than later. Book your onboarding today and at checkout, get $50 off with the promo code FUNDAMENTALS.Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

On episode 49 of Portfolio Rescue, Ben Carlson and Duncan Hill are joined by Cullen Roche, Author of Pragmatic Capitalism and Founder of Discipline Funds to discuss if the Fed is making a mistake, the consequences of 7% mortgage rates, how Ben and Cullen would run the Fed, and much more! Submit your Portfolio Rescue questions to askthecompoundshow@gmail.com!This episode is presented by https://liftoffinvest.com. Liftoff® is an automated investment advisory service powered by Betterment, and is a wholly owned entity of Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC. Ritholtz Wealth Management is a Registered Investment Advisor who receives fees from clients who invest in their Liftoff proprietary portfolios, which are not necessarily discussed in the commentary.Check out The Compound shop: https://www.idontshop.comInvesting involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Ben Carlson, Michael Batnick, and Duncan Hill are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. See a complete list of disclosures here:https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/Inclusion of advertisements by podcast sponsors does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers: https://abnormalreturns.us5.list-manage.com/track/click?u=f8843b0fc6f0ed7d35e67dcf5&id=33b07916d1&e=4e0f612ef0. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Get Opto's best content every day, by subscribing to our FREE Newsletter: www.cmcmarkets.com/en/opto/newsletterThis week I have the pleasure of introducing Cullen Roche, Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Discipline Funds. He founded Discipline Funds to help investors obtain access to low-fee, diversified portfolios that help them meet their financial goals. Cullen is also the founder of pragmatic capitalism where he attempts to cut through the noise and describe the world as it is while providing answers to some of the toughest questions in finance and economics. He is also the author of a number of books, one of the most popular being Pragmatic Capitalism - What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance.Cullen is a macro expert with primary skills in global macro portfolio construction, quantitative risk management, monetary economics, financial accounting, and behavioural finance.In this interview, we discuss the current macro backdrop in stocks, the precarious situation with US house prices, how the modern monetary system works, and how individuals can avoid thinking short term. Cullens' insights are second to none.disciplinefunds.comIf you're interested in receiving a daily update on thematic investing in the stocks where we keep you up to date on the next big thing, sign up to the Opto newsletter. cmcmarkets.com/en/opto/newsletter.Enjoy!Thanks to Cofruition for consulting on and producing the podcast. Want further Opto insights? Check out our daily newsletter: https://www.cmcmarkets.com/en-gb/opto/newsletter------------------Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment, or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.CMC Markets does not endorse or offer opinions on the trading strategies used by the author. Their trading strategies do not guarantee any return and CMC Markets shall not be held responsible for any loss that you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein for any loss that you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein.

Inflation has taken center stage in 2022, but its causes are a lot more complex than many investors assume. Moreover, it's not yet clear whether higher inflation will sustain into 2023 and beyond, or if the peak is already in the rear-view mirror. Cullen Roche, founder and CIO of Discipline Funds and author of the Pragmatic Capitalism book and blog, joins the show to demystify inflation, deflation and disinflation. Show notes: https://altsdb.com/2022/09/cullen-roche-056/

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU'LL LEARN:01:20 - Why inflation will be moderate in the coming years.08:44 - Why deflation is more likely than hyperinflation.16:46 - Whether velocity of money is important for inflation.25:22 - Whether a negative budget balance leads to inflation.33:38 - How do you include inflation expectations in your retirement portfolio.47:42 - What the optimal inflation or deflationary target is.55:42 - What would a deflationary world look like?1:00:09 - Whether we are entering a period of a "Fed call".1:05:55 - What the 2Y treasury is telling us.*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.BOOKS AND RESOURCESStig's first part interview with Cullen Roche about Inflation Masterclass.Cullen Roche's website, The Discipline Funds.Cullen Roche's website, Pragmatic Capitalism.Tweet directly to Cullen Roche.Email Cullen at cullenroche@orcamgroup.com.Cullen Roche's YouTube channel.NEW TO THE SHOW?Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs.Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool.Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.P.S The Investor's Podcast Network is excited to launch a subreddit devoted to our fans in discussing financial markets, stock picks, questions for our hosts, and much more! Join our subreddit r/TheInvestorsPodcast today!SPONSORSTrade specifically based on your view of concrete events with Kalshi.Enforce strong passwords and make it easy for your teams to securely share credentials with Keeper Security. Sign up for a Keeper free trial for your organization today, and get a free 3-year personal plan.Take the next step in your working-life or get ready for a change, by being a Snooze franchise partner.Confidently take control of your online world without worrying about viruses, phishing attacks, ransomware, hacking attempts, and other cybercrimes with Avast One.Build a plan that helps you strengthen your financial security with RBC Wealth Management. RBC capital markets LLC, member NYSE, FINRA, SIPC.Send, spend, and receive money around the world easily with Wise.Invest in high quality, cash flowing real estate without all of the hassle with Passive Investing.Make backing up and accessing your data astonishingly easy with Backblaze.Make summer dinners stress-free with Freshly. Get $125 off your first five orders today!Get up to 3% Daily Cash back on everything you buy with Apple Card. Apply now in the Wallet app on iPhone and start using it right away. Subject to credit approval. Daily cash is available via an Apple Cash card or as a statement credit. See Apple Card customer agreement for terms and conditions. Apple Cash card is issued by Green Dot Bank, Member FDIC. Variable APRs range from 13.24% to 24.24% based on creditworthiness. Rates as of August 1, 2022.Help empower girls to break free through education, healthcare, child protection, and other wonderful benefits by being a World Vision child sponsor today.Experience a simple way for you to set up a bitcoin IRA while keeping control of your bitcoin keys with Unchained Capital. Schedule a complimentary consultation today.Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.HELP US OUT!Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In this episode, Doug and Greg talk with Cullen Roche, Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Discipline Funds. Aside from advocating for rebalancing portfolios with low-fee, tax-efficient funds, Cullen also writes about the macroeconomy and investing strategies through his blog, Pragmatic Capitalism. Cullen also advises on the overall impact of inflation in the current market. Cullen talks with Doug and Greg about inflation, economic cycles, and countercyclical indexing with ETFs.   Key Takeaways [00:47] - What causes inflation? [03:02] - How COVID impacted the direction of inflation. [07:08] - Bank reserves vs. direct payments to individuals. [09:40] - Has the inflation already peaked? [13:35] - Are inflation and inflation rates correlated? [20:16] - Hyperproductivity in the US economy. [23:31] - How inflation negatively impacts everybody. [26:40] - The midterm elections and market predictions. [34:06] - Cullen's insights on portfolio allocation. [39:25] - Is global market investing a good idea? [44:12] - What is Discipline Funds ETF? [50:11] - How is Disciplines Fund ETF designed to last long term? Quotes [20:20] - “The thing about deflation is it tends to occur, especially the really traumatic ones, inside of debt bubbles like the housing crisis. The thing that made that so frightening was that you had balance sheets collapsing from debt deflation, and that is really traumatic because it's the exact opposite of money printing — it's money destruction. And that is a very unnatural process inside of any long-term economic period.” - @cullenroche [38:52] - “A lot of people get in trouble because they get overly confident about potential outcomes and they start saying, ‘Oh, well, hyperinflation is coming, the government's ruining everything, so I need to just own nothing but Bitcoin.' And those sorts of maximalist positions can be really damaging because if you're wrong, your outcome is asymmetric in a really potentially catastrophic way.” - @cullenroche [41:59] - “I'm not just an advocate of diversifying globally. I'm actually an advocate of diversifying globally based on what the actual full market capitalization is.” - @cullenroche Links  Cullen Roche on Twitter Cullen Roche on LinkedIn Orcam Financial Group, LLC Pragmatic Capitalism Discipline Funds Everything You Need To Know About Inflation by Cullen Roche Further Evidence on Greenspan's Conundrum Joe Manchin John Bogle Tesla Vanguard ETFs S&P 500 Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify Google Podcasts LagniappePodcast.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

Our guest today is Cullen Roche. Cullen is the founder and chief investment officer of the Discipline Funds. In addition, Cullen heads up Orcam Group, a registered investment advisory firm he established in 2012. Cullen also authors the popular blog "Pragmatic Capitalism," where he writes about a range of macroeconomic and investing topics. He is active on social media, including Twitter, where you can find him at @cullenroche. Cullen started his career as an advisor at Merrill Lynch and did a stint at an event-driven hedge fund before starting his RIA firm. He received his bachelor's degree in finance from Georgetown University's McDonough School of Business..BackgroundBioPragmatic Capitalism BlogPragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance, by Cullen RocheMacroeconomics and Financial Planning/Advice“Three Things I Think I Think—Macro Thoughts,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Aug. 3, 2021.The Psychology of Money: Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness, by Morgan Housel“The Most Important Investment Factor—Behavior,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, April 6, 2018.“What Is the Value of Financial Advice?” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Sept. 18, 2019.“Understanding Quantitative Easing,” by Cullen Roche, papers.ssrn.com, Feb. 10, 2014.“2 Reasons the Surging Deficit Worries Me,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Sept. 26, 2018.Economic Cycle and Fiscal Picture@jasonzweigwsj“Three Things I Think I Think: Cycles, Hunting Biden and Life,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Oct. 15, 2020.“Three Things I Think I Think: Housing Bubble 2.0, Passive Investing and Hyperinflation,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, April 8, 2021.“Should House Prices Be in the CPI?” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Aug. 24, 2021.“Understanding Government Liabilities,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, March 28, 2021.Inflation and Interest Rates“Let's Talk About Inflation,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, May 12, 2021.“Is Hyperinflation Coming?” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Oct. 25, 2021.“Three Things I Think I Think—Myths That Never Die,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Oct. 5, 2021.“Government Bond Markets Aren't ‘Free' Markets,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Oct. 8, 2020.“What if It's all Going to Zero?” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Nov. 9, 2021.“Why Stocks and Bonds Are the Core of any Portfolio,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, March 16, 2021.Discipline Fund ETF“Introducing the Discipline Fund ETF,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Sept. 21, 2021.“John Bogle: How to Create Perfect Asset Allocation,” video interview, youtube.com, June 24, 2018.Discipline Fund ETF OverviewWesley Gray“What Is Discipline-Based Investing?” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Jan. 1, 2019.Target-Date Funds“The Zoom Climb Glide Path & Why the Age in Bonds Rule Is Wrong,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Sept. 30, 2021. “The Portfolio Size Effect and Using a Bond Tent to Navigate the Retirement Danger Zone,” by Michael Kitces, kitces.com, Oct. 5, 2016.“Three Things I Think I Think—Dangerous & Terrible Stuff,” by Cullen Roche, pragcap.com, Sept. 29, 2021.

Location: New York Date: Saturday 5th December Project/company: Pragmatic Capitalism, Orcam Financial Group Role: Chief Investment Officer In the 1980's, Harry Browne devised an investment strategy designed to perform well in all economic conditions. It is referred to as the Permanent Portfolio. Investments are equally allocated to stocks, bonds, gold, and cash. The objective is for the portfolio to perform well in all economic conditions. But Harry Browne's strategy was developed in a period when short term boom and bust debt cycles were still a feature of economic systems. Since the global financial crisis of 2007, the debt cycle hasn't been allowed to function properly: recessions have been mitigated through unprecedented governmental monetary and fiscal stimulus programmes. In this new paradigm, where inflationary pressures cast a large shadow, what are the best investment strategies to take? Certain Bitcoiners are all in on the new form of money designed for these times. This does not fit everyone's risk appetite. But, having a portfolio that lacks exposure to Bitcoin risks missing out in a market that could otherwise be devoid of alpha. Then there is also a geographical variable at play: the US has certain inherent strengths that are not available to citizens of other countries, significantly affecting investment decisions.     In this interview, I talk to investment strategist and founder of the educational website Pragmatic Capitalism, Cullen Roche. We discuss the drivers for inflation, the role of government, investment strategies during uncertain times, and the place for Bitcoin in asset portfolios.

“If you could pick one variable in the whole world that you had to understand that would be your go to indicator, inflation would be the thing to me; you tell me what the rate of inflation is in twenty years, I'll tell you pretty much what most financial assets have done, whether it's bitcoin, bonds, stocks, whatever.”— Cullen RocheLocation: New YorkDate: Saturday 5th DecemberProject/company: Pragmatic Capitalism, Orcam Financial GroupRole: Chief Investment OfficerIn the 1980's, Harry Browne devised an investment strategy designed to perform well in all economic conditions. It is referred to as the Permanent Portfolio. Investments are equally allocated to stocks, bonds, gold, and cash. The objective is for the portfolio to perform well in all economic conditions.But Harry Browne's strategy was developed in a period when short term boom and bust debt cycles were still a feature of economic systems. Since the global financial crisis of 2007, the debt cycle hasn't been allowed to function properly: recessions have been mitigated through unprecedented governmental monetary and fiscal stimulus programmes.In this new paradigm, where inflationary pressures cast a large shadow, what are the best investment strategies to take? Certain Bitcoiners are all in on the new form of money designed for these times. This does not fit everyone's risk appetite. But, having a portfolio that lacks exposure to Bitcoin risks missing out in a market that could otherwise be devoid of alpha.Then there is also a geographical variable at play: the US has certain inherent strengths that are not available to citizens of other countries, significantly affecting investment decisions. In this interview, I talk to investment strategist and founder of the educational website Pragmatic Capitalism, Cullen Roche. We discuss the drivers for inflation, the role of government, investment strategies during uncertain times, and the place for Bitcoin in asset portfolios. This episode's sponsors:Gemini - Buy Bitcoin instantlyBlockFi - The future of Bitcoin financial servicesSportsbet.io - Online sportsbook & casino that accepts BitcoinCasa - The leading provider of Bitcoin multisig key security.Ledger - State of the art Bitcoin hardware walletCompass Mining - Bitcoin mining & hostingLVL - Bank on BitcoinBCB Group - Global digital financial Services-----WBD445 - Show Notes-----If you enjoy The What Bitcoin Did Podcast you can help support the show by doing the following:Become a Patron and get access to shows early or help contributeMake a tip:Bitcoin: 3FiC6w7eb3dkcaNHMAnj39ANTAkv8Ufi2SQR Codes: BitcoinIf you do send a tip then please email me so that I can say thank youSubscribe on iTunes | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | YouTube | Deezer | TuneIn | RSS FeedLeave a review on iTunesShare the show and episodes with your friends and familySubscribe to the newsletter on my websiteFollow me on Twitter Personal | Twitter Podcast | Instagram | Medium | YouTubeIf you are interested in sponsoring the show, you can read more about that here or please feel free to drop me an email to discuss options.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU'LL LEARN:01:43 - Which ETF strategy is right for you?06:49 - Why there is no such thing as passive investing?12:17 - How does an ETF technically work, and why is it a tax-efficient investment instrument.22:18 - What is the difference between the gross and net expense ratio?26:16 - Should you pay attention to backtesting results when you choose which ETF to invest in?31:05 - How do you launch your own ETF? 40:12 - Are retail ETF investors at a disadvantage compared to institutional investors? 45:29 - How much does it cost to run an ETF? 48:35 - How to think about fund of funds.53:27 - Why should you invest in long-term bonds in today's environment? 1:00:14 - Which implication has the interest rate on ETF investing?*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.BOOKS AND RESOURCES:Stig's interview with Cullen Roche about Inflation Masterclass.Cullen Roche's website, The Discipline Funds.Cullen Roche's website, Pragmatic Capitalism.Tweet directly to Cullen Roche.Email Cullen at cullenroche@orcamgroup.com.Read the 9 Key Steps to Effective Personal Financial Management.Communicate your ideas in the best way possible with Canva.Remove uncertainty from your portfolio and receive a steady flow of cash all year round with Farmfolio.Get 20% off on Simplisafe's newest Wireless Outdoor Security system and get the first month of monitoring service for FREE when you enroll in Interactive Monitoring.Join OurCrowd and get to invest in medical technology, breakthroughs in ag-tech and food production, solutions in the multi-billion dollar robotic industry, and so much more.Get access to some of the most sought-after real estate in the U.S. with Crowdstreet.Transform how you drive business results and connect with customers with Snap AR.Trade confidently with BMO adviceDirect. Start trading today with personalized advice with a minimum of just $10,000.Track performance, create custom watch lists, and trade from anywhere with confidence with a BMO InvestorLine Self-Directed account.to more deeply with Blinkist. Get 25% off and a 7-day free trial today.Learn about the next big thing – months before everyone else with Trends. Start your 7-day trial today for just $1.Hear about surprising bank vulnerabilities, learn about crypto thieves, and investigate the old dangers in our new media environment with What the Hack with Adam Levin.Get $50 off your Drinkworks Home Bar this holiday season. Now through December 5, save $50 on the Home Bar with promo code HOMEBAR50.Earn 1-100% back (or a shot at a whole bitcoin) on every purchase with the Fold Spin+ card. Get 20% off the Spin+ annual fee for being a listener of The Investor's Podcast.Provide future financial protection to the people who matter most to you with the help of TD Term Life Insurance. Be part of the solution by investing in companies that are actively engaged in integrating ESG practices with Desjardins.Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.HELP US OUT!What do you love about our podcast? Here's our guide on how you can leave a rating and review for the show. We always enjoy reading your comments and feedback!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Inflation is probably the most talked about topic in investing today. Some think it has become a major problem. Others (including the Fed) think it is transitory. While still others think we are headed for a repeat of the 1970s or even hyperinflation.  But many of the opinions on both side are not informed by the facts. So we wanted to do an episode where we started with the basics to help us understand what is going on now, and what might happen in the future. To do that, we couldn't think of a better person to talk to than Discipline Funds founder and author of the Pragmatic Capitalism blog Cullen Roche.  We look at inflation from the ground up.  We discuss: -  the various ways to measure it and how they are different  - the history of inflation in the US - why quantitative easing didn't cause inflation, but fiscal stimulus did - the major forces that have kept inflation down  - the differences between now and the 1970s - what hyperinflation is and why it is very unlikely  We hope you enjoy the discussion.  ABOUT THE PODCAST Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand (@practicalquant) and Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau), partners at Validea. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing, multi-factor investing, trend following, market valuation and more with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://www.validea.com/excess-returns-podcast FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA https://www.validea.com FOLLOW OUR BLOG https://blog.validea.com FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA CAPITAL https://www.valideacapital.com FOLLOW JACK Twitter: https://twitter.com/practicalquant LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-forehand-8015094 FOLLOW JUSTIN Twitter: https://twitter.com/jjcarbonneau LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jcarbonneau

❤️ Loved it!👎 Meh…Summary transcript: https://www.listory.com/ll/bb2185f1a8c55878beb33061436792cbe4315b95Original story: https://www.pragcap.com/three-things-i-think-i-think-the-more-things-change-the-more-they-stay-the-same/Description: Here are some things I think I am thinking about: 1) Markets are crazy, part 2,343,325. I like to say that markets don't really “cycle” like a sine wave. They [ … ]

With so many moving parts, it’s difficult to develop a clear view of the US monetary system. Today we speak with Pragmatic Capitalism author and Founder of Orcam Financial Group Cullen Roche, leveraging his expertise to build a comprehensive understanding of the monetary system. We open our interview with Cullen by asking him the deceptively simple question, “what is money?” We then explore where money comes from, the role of the central bank in securing our money supply, and why poor capitalization restrains banks. After discussing where the value of money derives from, Cullen shares his insights on how decentralized digital currencies are challenged by their lack of flexibility and credit options. We talk more about the role of central banks before diving into quantitative easing; what it is, why it’s used, and how interest rates impact its usage. Following this, Cullen unpacks whether quantitative easing leads to asset inflation along with the influence that stimulus policies have on inflation. Reflecting on the relationship between the Federal Reserve and US Treasury, Cullen shows why the US government is in no danger of becoming insolvent. We touch on the dollar’s purchasing power, Cullen’s view that time really is money, the role of gold in your portfolio, and why Cullen is such a big proponent of global investing. We wrap up our informative discussion by asking Cullen how he defines success in his life. Tune in to benefit from Cullen’s clever and concise explanation of our modern economic system.   Key Points From This Episode: Introducing today’s episode featuring Cullen Roche. [0:00:15] We open our interview with Cullen asking the question, “What is money?” [0:03:50] Exploring where money comes from and the role of banks in ensuring money supply. [0:06:14] The factors that constrain a bank’s lending ability. [0:09:26] Cullen unpacks where the value of money comes from. [0:12:36] Economic constraints posed by decentralized digital currencies. [0:15:08] What central banks are and why they’re such good ideas. [0:20:46] Cullen explains what bank reserves are. [0:25:00] How quantitative easing tries to stimulate the economy. [0:25:45] Why quantitative easing isn’t the same as printing money. [0:30:01] Cullen evaluates the success of quantitative easing as a policy tool. [0:33:19] Whether quantitative easing leads to asset inflation. [0:33:57] The impact that stimulus policies have on inflation. [0:39:38] The relationship between the US Federal Reserve and Treasury. [0:43:04] Why the US government will most likely never go insolvent. [0:47:44] Why low inflation trumps high inflation and how increasing government debt might or might not harm future generations. [0:51:17] Why the dollar’s purchasing power doesn’t reflect the reality of our modern standards of living. [0:55:26] Hear about Cullen’s view that time really is money. [0:59:14] How Cullen sees gold as a hedge against the dollar’s decreasing purchasing power. [1:00:41] Cullen explains why he’s such a big proponent of global investing. [1:05:04] There’s more to life than money; Cullen defines success in his own life. [1:06:48]

Jelly Donut Podcast #36 was recorded on Wednesday May 27, 2020. Cullen Roche is the founder of Orcam Financial Group, a low fee financial advisory firm as well as the founder of the popular financial blog Pragmatic Capitalism. He specializes in macro investing with a focus on fixed income and conservative strategies. https://www.pragcap.com/ https://www.pragcap.com/i-did-some-podcasts-they-were-great/ https://twitter.com/cullenroche --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/jellydonutpodcast/support

“This is going to be life and death for many advisors. Legacy firms with massive overhead and fixed high fee AUM structures will struggle to compete with the coming change in fee structures. Firms that are able to move to a leaner and more tech based platform will outperform as they make up for lost revenue with fatter margins.”Cullen Roche who blogs at Pragmatic Capitalism has been a mainstay of the financial blogsophere for over ten years now. Tadas got Cullen on the phone to talk about a recent post of his entitled “How the Fee Structure of Financial Advisory Will Change in the Future” where he talks about the significant changes facing the wealth management industry..You can read more about Cullen’s at his blog Pragmatic Capitalism:https://www.pragcap.com/how-will-the-fee-structure-of-financial-advisory-change-in-the-future/Enable our Alexa skill here - "Alexa, play the Compound show!"https://www.amazon.com/Ritholtz-Wealth-Management-LLC-Compound/dp/B07P777QBZTalk to us about your portfolio or financial plan here:https://ritholtzwealth.com/Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice just for you or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Please see this 3,000 word terms & conditions disclaimer if you seriously need this spelled out for you.https://thereformedbroker.com/terms-and-conditions/ See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Cullen Roche, the author of the financial blog Pragmatic Capitalism, explains why he went from an adherent of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) to one of its loudest critics. 

Jason Hartman talks with Cullen Roche, founder of Pragmatic Capitalism, about macroeconomic events going on today, how Cullen studies the markets, why bonds are more attractive than many believe, and the investment strategy you have to adopt when investing in cryptocurrencies today. The two also take a look at the banking industry, money supply, and asset inflation. Key Takeaways: [2:12] What does Pragmatic Capitalism really mean? [10:45] The macro-economy still looks healthy [13:59] Cullen looks at the economy like an engineer in order to try and understand what's going on [17:37] Bonds are probably more attractive than most people believe [20:29] Cryptocurrencies have become a "greater fool theory" investment [24:51] Asset inflation is real and it's becoming harder and harder to get into the investor class [29:09] The banking industry is what creates most of the money in our economy [31:27] One of Cullen's outlandish theories Website: www.PragCap.com

Jason Hartman talks with Cullen Roche, founder of Pragmatic Capitalism, about macroeconomic events going on today, how Cullen studies the markets, why bonds are more attractive than many believe, and the investment strategy you have to adopt when investing in cryptocurrencies today. The two also take a look at the banking industry, money supply, and asset inflation. Key Takeaways: [1:53] What does Pragmatic Capitalism really mean? [10:26] The macro-economy still looks healthy [13:40] Cullen looks at the economy like an engineer in order to try and understand what's going on [17:18] Bonds are probably more attractive than most people believe [20:10] Cryptocurrencies have become a "greater fool theory" investment [24:32] Asset inflation is real and it's becoming harder and harder to get into the investor class [28:50] The banking industry is what creates most of the money in our economy [31:08] One of Cullen's outlandish theories Website: www.PragCap.com

Jason Hartman talks with Cullen Roche, founder of Pragmatic Capitalism, about macroeconomic events going on today, how Cullen studies the markets, why bonds are more attractive than many believe, and the investment strategy you have to adopt when investing in cryptocurrencies today. The two also take a look at the banking industry, money supply, and asset inflation. Key Takeaways: [2:12] What does Pragmatic Capitalism really mean? [10:45] The macro-economy still looks healthy [13:59] Cullen looks at the economy like an engineer in order to try and understand what's going on [17:37] Bonds are probably more attractive than most people believe [20:29] Cryptocurrencies have become a "greater fool theory" investment [24:51] Asset inflation is real and it's becoming harder and harder to get into the investor class [29:09] The banking industry is what creates most of the money in our economy [31:27] One of Cullen's outlandish theories Website: www.PragCap.com

Robert P. Seawright is the Chief Investment & Information Officer for Madison Avenue Securities, a boutique broker-dealer and investment advisory firm headquartered in San Diego, California. At Madison, Bob’s role is a thought leader for the firm’s independent advisors, providing counsel and guidance with respect to the latest industry trends, research and best practices. In September of 2014, The Wall Street Journal published a list of fifteen smart people for investors to follow that included Bob, along with Warren Buffett, Howard Marks, William Bernstein and the CFA Institute.   Bob is a columnist for Research magazine, a Contributing Editor at Portfolioist as well as a contributor to the Financial Times, The Big Picture, The Wall Street Journal’s MarketWatch, Pragmatic Capitalism, and ThinkAdvisor. Bob’s blog, Above the Market, has received “best of” recognition from a wide variety of sources, including The Wall Street Journal, Financial Planning, the CFA Institute, Insider Monkey, Financial Social Media, and Investment News. He also speaks regularly to a variety of audiences on topics related to finance, investing and the markets.   Bob’s Challenge; Sit down and think of a few examples of mistakes you are making.   If you liked this interview, check out episode 55 with Morgan Housel, where we discuss finance writing and cognitive biases.

In this episode, The Investors talk to money manager Cullen Roche about the modern monetary system. Cullen was one of the few financial thinkers that predicted the deflationary forces that would occur from the FED's quantitative easing, so we talk to him about his model and how he arrived at his conclusion.Click here to get full access to our show notes.

My guest today is Robert Seawright, the Chief Investment & Information Officer for Madison Avenue Securities, a boutique broker-dealer and investment advisory firm headquartered in San Diego, California. Seawright is also a columnist for Research magazine, a Contributing Editor at Portfolioist as well as a contributor to the Financial Times, The Big Picture, The Wall Street Journal's MarketWatch, Pragmatic Capitalism, and ThinkAdvisor. The topic is his blog A New Kind Of Investment Outlook. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How Seawright was able to put together this blog piece Perfection and prediction Bias blindness Volatility vs. risk Separating your politics from your investing Financial media as entertainment Whether Seawright encountered any pushback after putting out his article Letting go of the high leverage idea Why the more we trade The worse we do Nobel laureate David Baltimore Adversarial collaboration Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Michael Covel speaks with Robert Seawright on today’s podcast. Seawright is the Chief Investment & Information Officer for Madison Avenue Securities, a boutique broker-dealer and investment advisory firm headquartered in San Diego, California. Seawright is also a columnist for Research magazine, a Contributing Editor at Portfolioist as well as a contributor to the Financial Times, The Big Picture, The Wall Street Journal’s MarketWatch, Pragmatic Capitalism, and ThinkAdvisor. Covel opens up by talking about “A New Kind Of Investment Outlook”, a blog post by Seawright. Covel explains that this episode is all about the right type of thinking when it comes to proper investing. Covel and Seawright discuss topics such as how Seawright was able to put together this blog piece; perfection and prediction; bias blindness; volatility vs. risk; separating your politics from your investing; financial media as entertainment; whether Seawright encountered any pushback after putting out his article; letting go of the high leverage idea; why the more we trade, the worse we do; Nobel laureate David Baltimore; and adversarial collaboration. For more information on Bob Seawright visit rpseawright.com. Want a free trend following DVD? Go to trendfollowing.com/win.

My guest today is Cullen Roche, the founder of Orcam Financial Group, a financial services company based out of San Diego. He also runs a very well-known blog called Pragmatic Capitalism (pragcap.com).  The topic is his book Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Entrepreneurism Investing in yourself The advantages of starting a blog Why the word “pragmatic” is a word that has become central to Roche's universe Eliminating your biases Why the US going bankrupt is a myth The myth that central banks exist to enrich bankers Dr. Laurie Santos and her work with monkeys Bringing risk down to something we can measure Warren Buffett Hedging your bets Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Michael Covel speaks with Cullen Roche. Roche is the founder of Orcam Financial Group, a financial services company based out of San Diego. He also runs a very well-known blog called Pragmatic Capitalism (pragcap.com). His new book, Pragmatic Capitalism, was just released. Roche takes apart the soundbites of the media and gets at how things really work. Covel and Roche talk about entrepreneurism; investing in yourself; the advantages of starting a blog; why the word “pragmatic” is a word that has become central to Roche’s universe; eliminating your biases; why the US going bankrupt is a myth; the myth that central banks exist to enrich bankers; Dr. Laurie Santos and her work with monkeys; bringing risk down to something we can measure; Warren Buffett; and hedging your bets. For more information on Cullen Roche, visit pragcap.com. Want a free trend following DVD? Go to trendfollowing.com/win.

Michael Covel talks about "The Power of Now" by Eckhart Tolle. Covel defends studying the book as a psychological manifesto for "navigating the trend following waters". Halfway through the book Covel realized how it sounded like all the trend following traders he's studied over the past fifteen years (even if it wasn't the author's intention). Covel isn't out to get you to start singing kumbaya and burning incense; he's just out to get you to look at the world differently so you can profit. Covel discusses Cullen Roche, author of the "Pragmatic Capitalism" blog, who posted some quotes from Warren Buffet recently. Covel acknowledges that Buffett is one of the most successful entrepreneurs in the history of modern man, but has no problem criticizing the myths that surround him. Buffett noted that Berkshire has $40 billion in cash on hand, but "prices are difficult right now". So, what does that even mean? Why is Buffett on CNBC? He's talking his "book", he's creating the aura, and perhaps confusing people into making decisions based off his advice. Or perhaps he simply needs his ego stroked. So, what do you buy based on that advice? How do you make buy and sell decisions? Trend following doesn't rely on vague statements, and the positive performance dates back to 1903. With trend following price is price. That is an under the radar concept though. Most people simply know Buffett's value investing, buy and hold world. However, there are inherent problems in value investing and Covel investigates by quoting David Rosenberg and John Hussman along the way. From their fundamental perspective Rosenberg and Hussman lay the foundation for trend following without thst being their intention. Covel also goes on to discuss "Finding Peace with Uncertainty" from the Zen Habits blog and announces a new $500 gun shooting video contest. Offer--Would you like a free special DVD: trendfollowing.com/free.html.