Podcast appearances and mentions of william bernstein

Send us a textWhy do harmful policies like tariffs keep coming back despite universal condemnation from economists? The answer lies in the dynamics of collective action and concentrated interests.In this eye-opening conversation with G. Patrick Lynch, Senior Fellow at Liberty Fund, Mike Munger explores the fascinating world of public choice theory and how it explains some of democracy's most persistent puzzles. Lynch, a self-described "popularizer of public choice," breaks down complex economic principles into digestible insights about political behavior.The discussion begins with the foundations of public choice theory—the application of economic reasoning to political decisions. Far from portraying politicians as uniquely self-interested, public choice simply acknowledges that all humans respond to incentives, whether in markets or politics. As Lynch explains, "It's a mistake to characterize public choice as people being just materially self-interested." Even Mother Teresa was pursuing her goals single-mindedly—the definition of self-interest properly understood.When the conversation turns to tariffs, Lynch delivers a masterclass in why bad policies persist. Manufacturing interests receive concentrated benefits and organize effectively, while consumers bear diffuse costs. "That $70,000 job costs consumers $210,000 to $250,000 in increased prices," Munger notes. But since an individual consumer might pay just pennies more per purchase, they won't mobilize political opposition.Perhaps most fascinating is the exploration of Elinor Ostrom's Nobel Prize-winning work on common-pool resources. Conventional wisdom suggested that without government intervention, shared resources face inevitable destruction through overuse. Yet Ostrom discovered countless examples worldwide where communities developed sophisticated management systems to sustain resources over generations.If you've ever wondered why policies that economists universally condemn keep returning, or why small groups seem to dominate our politics despite majority rule, this conversation offers profound and sometimes unsettling answers. Subscribe now for more insights that will transform how you understand politics, economics, and collective decision-making.LINKS:G. Patrick Lynch:https://www.econlib.org/author/plynch/ https://www.civitasinstitute.org/research/the-young-americas-need-each-other https://lawliberty.org/author/patrick-lynch/https://lawliberty.org/book-review/public-choice-with-chinese-characteristics/ Shaggy Dog story: https://www.phrases.org.uk/meanings/shaggy-dog-story.html The ORIGINAL Shaggy Dog story:  https://stephengreensted.wordpress.com/2011/01/20/the-original-shaggy-dog-joke/Book'o'da Month:    Two Books, both by William Bernstein. The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created. McGraw-Hill, New York, 2004, If you have questions or comments, or want to suggest a future topic, email the show at taitc.email@gmail.com ! You can follow Mike Munger on Twitter at @mungowitz

Today on the podcast we welcome back Cullen Roche. Cullen is the founder and chief investment officer of the Discipline Funds, which manages the Discipline Fund ETF. In addition, he heads up Orcam Group, a registered investment advisory firm he established in 2012. He's authored several books, including Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance, and he has a new book coming out next year called Your Perfect Portfolio. Cullen started his career as an advisor at Merrill Lynch and worked at an event-driven hedge fund before starting his RIA firm. He received his bachelor's degree in finance from Georgetown University's McDonough School of Business. Cullen, welcome back to The Long View.BackgroundBioDiscipline FundsDiscipline Fund ETFPragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and FinanceYour Perfect PortfolioTariffs and Recession“Let's Talk About Tariffs,” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, Feb. 3, 2025.“Weekend Reading—How Did We Get Here?” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, April 4, 2025.“Three Things—Tariffs, Of Course,” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, April 7, 2025.“American Economic Association 2021-2022 Universal Academic Questionnaire Summary Statistics,” by Charles E. Scott and John J. Siegfried, jstor.org.“Three Things—Is a Recession Coming?” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, Feb. 8, 2025.Defined Duration Investing“What Is Defined Duration Investing?” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, Feb. 21, 2023.“Defined Duration Investing,” by Cullen Roche, paper.ssrn.com, Aug. 8, 2022.The Fed and Global Investing“Three Things—State of the Markets,” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, Feb. 22, 2025.“Why Is International Investing Working Again?” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, March 26, 2025.“Three Things—Weekend Reading,” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, April 19, 2025.Other“Cullen Roche: Macro Is About Understanding the World for What It Is,” The Long View podcast, Morningstar.com, Jan. 11, 2022.Milton Friedman“NY Empire State Index: Meaning, Benefits, Example,” by Adam Hayes, Investopedia.com, June 30, 2022.William Bernstein's No-Brainer PortfolioMeb FaberThe Humble Investor, by Dan Rasmussen

Combining technical skill with a strong aesthetic, flameworking pioneer Sally Prasch is known for her work that places other-worldly figures in glowing globes filled with rare gasses. She has also constructed portraits from broken shards of glass and is well known for her goblets made with coiled stems that allow them to bounce when handled. Her latest work incorporates cast bronze with glass. But perhaps Prasch's greatest fulfillment has come from teaching. She has taught flameworking workshops at UrbanGlass, Brooklyn; the famous Niijima Glass School, Japan; Pilchuck Glass School, Stanwood, WA; Penland School of Craft, Penland, NC; Pittsburgh Glass Center, Pittsburgh, PA; Grove Gas & Light Co, University of CA, San Diego, CA; Ingalena Klenell's Studio, Sweden, and many more. States Prasch: “Teaching has always been a part of my life. My parents were teachers, and both my brother and sister have also been teachers. Lloyd Moore, my first teacher, found it very important not to have any secrets but to share your knowledge with others – share your love of glass and making things. He taught thousands of people, and I continue in his tradition. Lloyd started me teaching at age 15. It was scary for me to teach adults, but made me practice things over and over again. We started people on soft glass tubing and then worked them up to borosilicate.”  Prasch began her career at age 13 with Moore working as a part-time apprentice at the University of Nebraska and then worked as a glassblowing instructor for the City of Lincoln Recreation Department. Later on, she took workshops from some of the best glassblowers of the time including William Bernstein, Ray Schultz, and Lino Tagliapietra. She attended the University of Kansas from 1977 to 1980 and received a Bachelor's Degree in Fine Art in Glass and Ceramics.  After college, Prasch started her glass art business that is still active today. She soon began to receive recognition for her artistic work and was selected for the Corning Museum of Glass' New Glass Review in 1993. The artist has been attending Glass Art Society (GAS) Conferences since 1978 and continues to participate by giving demonstrations and lec-moes, serving on the GAS Advisory Board and working with the organization's History Committee. In 1985, Prasch received her Certificate in Scientific Glass Technology from Salem Community College (SCC), Carneys Point, New Jersey. Soon afterwards, she obtained a position with AT&T doing large quartz work for the semiconductor industry. Continuing with her studies, Prasch earned her degree in Applied Science from SCC in 1986. Later that year she got a job as a scientific glassblower and glass instructor at the University of Massachusetts. She has worked as a scientific glassblower at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst (UMass Amherst), Syracuse University, and the University of Vermont, Burlington.  Currently, Prasch is the scientific glassblower and also teaches Scientific Glassblowing and the Properties of Glass to graduate students in Chemistry, Art and Physics at University of Massachusetts, Amherst. She is a member of the American Scientific Glassblowers Society (ASGS) and the director of the Northeast section. Her ASGS experience includes participating in seminars on such subjects like vacuum technology, quartz technology, and glass sealing. She has instructed a neon class with David Wilson, presented a paper on her work with the discovery of the gravitational wave, and co-chaired symposiums.  In 2025, Prasch will exhibit her work in Glass Lifeforms at the Pittsburgh Glass Center, opening February 7 and running through April 20. Her work will also be on view in Glasstastic at the Brattleboro Art Museum, Brattleboro, VT, March 22 through November 1. The artist will teach at the Pittsburgh Glass Center, Pittsburgh, PA, from July 28 – August 1. After curating the annual glass exhibit at Leverett Crafts and Arts in Leverett, MA for the month of November, Prasch will have a one-week fall residency with George Kennard at SCC, as well as a residency at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst. In 2026, the Herter main gallery at UMass Amherst will host a solo exhibit of Prasch's work from January 29 through May 8. The opening will take place Friday, April 24, 2026, from 5 to 7 p.m. with an artist talk from 6 to 6:30 p.m. Her work will also be on display at the Science Library and at the Durfee Conservatory at UMass during the show.  As Prasch develops new work, including pieces for Laura Donefer's 2026 Glass Fashion Show to be held at GAS, she continues to teach and fabricate scientific glassware at UMass. She says: “I have taught on average 25 students a month for my entire career, only taking a break during the pandemic. Obviously, teaching is a part of me, and I gain so much. It is not about teaching, not about glass, not about notoriety, not about pay – it is about the energy between people. It is about trust.”  UPCOMING EVENT LINKS Spring and Fall semester classes and weekend workshops at the University of Massachusetts – Amherst https://www.umass.edu/natural-sciences/research/scientific-glassblowing-laboratory February 7 – April 20, 2025 – Glass Lifeforms Exhibit, Pittsburgh Glass Center https://www.pittsburghglasscenter.org/event/exhibition-lifeforms/ March 22 – November 1, 2025 – Glasstastic, Brattleboro Art Museum, Brattleboro VT https://www.brattleboromuseum.org/2024/09/06/glasstastic-2025/ March 21 – 23, 2025 – International Flameworking Conference, Salem Community College, Carneys Point, NJ https://www.salemcc.edu/glass/international-flameworking-conference April 5, 2025 – Northeast American Scientific Glassblowers Section Meeting, Cornell University https://northeast.asgs-glass.org/ May 14 – 17, 2025 –Glass Art Society Conference https://www.glassart.org/conference/texas-2025/ July 28 – August 1, 2025 – Teaching at the Pittsburgh Glass Center, Pittsburgh PA https://canvas.pittsburghglasscenter.org/classes/1632 Fall, 2025 – one week residency with George Kennard at Salem Community College, Carneys Point, NJ https://www.salemcc.edu/glass Fall, 2025 – one week residency at the University of Massachusetts https://www.umass.edu/natural-sciences/research/scientific-glassblowing-laboratory January 29 – May 8, 2026 – Exhibit at the Herter Gallery, University of Massachusetts, Amherst Opening April 24, 5 – 7 p.m. with artist talk 6:00 – 6:30pm https://www.umass.edu/herterartgallery/herter-art-gallery January 29 – May 8, 2026 Exhibit at the Science and Engineering Library and the Durfee Conservatory https://www.library.umass.edu/sel/ https://www.umass.edu/natural-sciences/research/greenhouses/durfee-conservatory  

Something mysterious has been going down in New Jersey this week…but it's NOT drones. It's that thousands of people are looking at airplanes in the night sky and thinking they see UFOs. What causes mass delusions like this wave of now mostly debunked drone sightings? In this concluding episode of How We Got Here, Max and Erin share four stories of famous mass hysterias and talk to William Bernstein, an author who writes about the science of mass delusions and why they happen.

In this episode we answer email from Pankaj, Matthias and Iain.  We discuss the simple path to withdrawals when you are over-saved and the over-complications of the over-saved, reprise some information about leveraged accumulation portfolios and provide some tips for a U.K listener.Links:Interview of Jim Grubman: Dr. Jim Grubman: The Psychology of Wealth | Rational Reminder 282PensionCraft YouTube Channel:  What Is The Safe Withdrawal Rate In Retirement?Many Happy Returns Podcast:  Building a Bulletproof Retirement Portfolio, with Tyler from Portfolio Charts - Many Happy ReturnsAmusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:  Could a simple tweak to your investment strategy unlock enhanced withdrawal rates and bolster your legacy savings? We unravel the misconceptions surrounding risk parity portfolios and explore how they truly aim to balance asset risk profiles, not just maximize safe withdrawal rates. Discover innovative portfolios like the golden butterfly and golden ratio designed to potentially boost your financial freedom, especially if your spending is comfortably below 3%. For those more focused on long-term growth, we share Warren Buffett's straightforward approach: a mix of 90% S&P 500 and 10% T-bills. Join us as we also highlight the conservative investment habits of financial minds like William Bernstein and Bill Bengen, and the irony of their attraction to simplicity amidst complex financial strategies. We explore the power of leveraging portfolios for high risk tolerance investors with long horizons, discussing how concentration and leverage could elevate your returns. Practical advice on setting up a leveraged portfolio is on the docket, along with the risks you need to consider. Remember, this engaging episode is purely for your entertainment and enlightenment, not financial guidance.Support the show

As this podcast is being released on Thanksgiving Day Paul begins by thanking those people who choose to follow the Foundation's work, those who forward our articles, podcasts and videos to others, and those who donate time and money to the Foundation. He also addresses the challenges of living at three different homes (Bainbridge Island, Portland and Rancho Mirage) in 2024.  We know some donations have been lost in the mail.   Our concern is people will declare a charitable deduction that did not actually happen.  By the way, the permanent address of the Foundation is now - 2445 NW Westover Road #311, Portland, Oregon 97210. Paul comments on his challenges in recommending cryptocurrency. Finally he discusses the life changing impact of goal setting.   The following are articles and videos on goal setting from some of the Truth Tellers Paul recommends. Jim Dahle writes to young doctors but the information is usually good for all people who are putting together a financial plan. The Power of Focus in Your Financial Life Jonathan Clements is struggling with cancer and for anyone facing death sooner than expected, and the goal setting that might be considered, I think you will find his journey worth reading. The C Word. William Bernstein has recently updated his best selling , “The Four Pillars of Investing.”  In this short introduction you will hopefully decided it's worth reading the rest of the book. Here is a podcast that you won't want to miss.  Larry Swedroe is interviewed by another Truth Teller, Ben Felix and Cameron Passmore.  The book they discuss has been updated since the interview.  "Your Complete Guide to a Successful and Secure Retirement" is one of the best books I know for those trying to address the many important retirement goals.  While Christine Benz is the Director of Personal Finance at Morningstar I thought it might be interesting to get her take on the non-financial plans we should consider.  Her new book has  become a best seller.  How to Retire: 20 lessons for a happy, successful, and wealthy retirement.

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Dan Solin is the New York Times bestselling author of the Smartest series of books, which include The Smartest Investment Book You'll Ever Read, The Smartest 401(k) Book You'll Ever Read, The Smartest Retirement Book You'll Ever Read, The Smartest Portfolio You'll Ever Own, The Smartest Sales Book You'll Ever Read and The Smartest Money Book You'll Ever Read. He is also the author of Ask: How to Relate to Anyone and Does Your Broker Owe You Money? In 2005, he testified as an investor advocate before the Subcommittee on Capital Markets, Insurance and Government Sponsored Enterprises of the Committee on Financial Services in the U.S. House of Representatives. His latest book is Wealthier: The Investing Field Guide for Millennials. The website for Wealthier is https://wealthierbook.com. Dan is a regular blogger for Advisor Perspectives. Dan graduated from Johns Hopkins University and the University of Pennsylvania Law School.   He practiced law in New York City for many years before retiring. As an attorney, he represented many investors harmed by the misconduct of brokers. He was formerly a registered investment advisor with several prominent advisory firms. He resides in Bonita Springs, FL with his wife, Patricia.   In this episode Luis and Dan discuss:   ·        Why investing does not need to be complicated ·        Tips for Millennials and anyone getting started in their financial journey ·        How to eliminate distractions in life and get focused on your goals ·        Focusing on what matters most   And much more….. Resources: Get the book: Wealthier – The Investing Field Guide for Millennials Follow Dan on Facebook Connect with Dan on LinkedIn Follow Dan on Instagram Follow Dan on X Follow Dan on Tik Tok Get Dan's Books on Amazon Find a financial advisor on the XYPN Planning Network Get The Little Book of Common Sense Investing by Jack Bogle on Amazon Get the If You Can book by William Bernstein on Amazon

Today we talk with a nurse who is currently in school to become a CRNA and is officially a millionaire. Roughly 10 years ago he and his wife took control of their finances. He said there was some tough conversations as they educated themselves about how to become financially literate and what their goals should be and how to reach them. But once they were on the same page they were able to start crushing their goals. Their big goal was to be millionaires by 40 and they got there a few years early. He is now passionate about giving back both financially and educating coworkers about how to get started with taking control of their financial life. After the interview Dr. Dahle gives his thoughts on how to get started for finance 101. We estimate that 80% of doctors need, want, and should use a financial advisor and/or an investment manager. Some investment gurus such as Dr. William Bernstein think my estimate is way too low. At any rate, if you want to use an advisor temporarily or for your entire life, there is no reason to feel guilty about it—just make sure you are getting good advice at a fair price. If you need help updating your financial plan or just getting one in place, check out our list of recommended financial advisors at https://whitecoatinvestor.com/financial-advisors. The White Coat Investor has been helping doctors with their money since 2011. Our free financial planning resource covers a variety of topics from doctor mortgage loans and refinancing medical school loans to physician disability insurance and malpractice insurance. Learn about loan refinancing or consolidation, explore new investment strategies, and discover loan programs specifically aimed at helping doctors. If you're a high-income professional and ready to get a "fair shake" on Wall Street, The White Coat Investor channel is for you! Be a Guest on The Milestones to Millionaire Podcast: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/milestones  Main Website: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com  Student Loan Advice: https://studentloanadvice.com  YouTube: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/youtube  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thewhitecoatinvestor  Twitter: https://twitter.com/WCInvestor  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thewhitecoatinvestor  Subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/whitecoatinvestor  Online Courses: https://whitecoatinvestor.teachable.com  Newsletter: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/free-monthly-newsletter 

This doc made it back to broke only one year out of training. He was diligent about tracking his spending since med school and he attributes much of his success to having a plan and sticking to it. He said he definitely felt the temptation of lifestyle creep once he started seeing his paychecks but reminding himself that sticking to the plan was the best thing he could do for himself and his future self helped him stick to it! His advice to you? Make a budget, be on the same page as your partner, max out your retirement savings and know that if you stick to the plan time will work in your favor. After the interview we will talk about the difference between term life insurance and whole life insurance for finance 101. We estimate that 80% of doctors need, want, and should use a financial advisor and/or an investment manager. Some investment gurus such as Dr. William Bernstein think my estimate is way too low. At any rate, if you want to use an advisor temporarily or for your entire life, there is no reason to feel guilty about it—just make sure you are getting good advice at a fair price. If you need help updating your financial plan or just getting one in place, check out our list of recommended financial advisors at https://whitecoatinvestor.com/financial-advisors. The White Coat Investor has been helping doctors with their money since 2011. Our free financial planning resource covers a variety of topics from doctor mortgage loans and refinancing medical school loans to physician disability insurance and malpractice insurance. Learn about loan refinancing or consolidation, explore new investment strategies, and discover loan programs specifically aimed at helping doctors. If you're a high-income professional and ready to get a "fair shake" on Wall Street, The White Coat Investor channel is for you! Be a Guest on The Milestones to Millionaire Podcast: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/milestones Main Website: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com  Student Loan Advice: https://studentloanadvice.com  YouTube: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/youtube  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thewhitecoatinvestor  Twitter: https://twitter.com/WCInvestor  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thewhitecoatinvestor  Subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/whitecoatinvestor  Online Courses: https://whitecoatinvestor.teachable.com  Newsletter: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/free-monthly-newsletter 

What does it mean to be a long-term investor? In this special mash up episode, all the show's guests from the past year weigh in.   Listen now to hear from Ben Carlson, Taylor Schulte, Burton Malkiel, Phil Huber, Rubin Miller, Dasarte Yarnway, Robin Powell, Brian King, Jeremy Schwartz, Rick Ferri, Mike Piper, Carl Richards, Ashby Daniels, Polina Pompliano, Mathieu Pellerin, John Jennings, Cait Howerton, Tyler Olson, Jesse Cramer, Meir Statman, Susan Jones, Hal Hershfield, William Bernstein, and Peter Lazaroff.   Visit www.TheLongTermInvestor.com for show notes, free resources, and a place to submit questions.

During this episode, Financial Advisor and Associate Portfolio Manager Phil Briggs joins us to discuss the ‘cash wedge' financial strategy. He also shares his motivation for joining PWL Capital after kicking off his career in the banking industry. Next, Mark McGrath unpacks the four D's of tax planning and how to implement them in your future planning. We review a much-loved past episode featuring Dr. William Bernstein and unpack the principles taught in Seth Godin's latest book, The Song of Significance. During the aftershow, you'll hear about our recent explorations in the world of infinite banking, Admired Leadership, and more. In closing, we share some of our favourite reviews from guests all over the world and offer a glimpse of what's to come in upcoming conversations. Thanks for listening!    Key Points From This Episode:   (0:02:19) Phil's introduction to financial services and his decision to join PWL. (0:07:06)The role of the podcast in helping Philip to take the plunge and leave his role at the bank.  (0:09:35) What the ‘cash wedge' strategy is and how it supports financial planning for retirement.  (0:22:41) Stress-testing financial plans using the Monte Carlo simulation.  (0:25:10) Mark McGrath joins the show for this episode's Mark-to-Market segment. (0:29:54) Assessing which category RSPs fit into. (0:32:02) Past episode review: episode 108 with Dr. William Bernstein.  (0:34:22) Reviewing Seth Godin's book, The Song of Significance.  (0:29:11) Seth's principles on the road to significance. (0:39:53) The aftershow: infinite banking, Admired Leadership, and more. (0:42:43) Reviews from Canada, Australia, San Francisco, and beyond. (0:47:44) A teaser for two upcoming episodes.   Books From Today's Episode: The Song of Significance — https://www.amazon.com/Song-Significance-New-Manifesto-Teams/dp/0593715543 The Four Pillars of Investing — https://www.amazon.com/Four-Pillars-Investing-Second-Portfolio/dp/1264715919/ The Wealthy Barber — https://www.amazon.com/Wealthy-Barber-Updated-3rd-Commonsense/dp/0761513116   Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/  Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/  Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/cameron-passmore/ Cameron on X — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Philip Briggs on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/phillip-briggs-cfp%C2%AE-cim%C2%AE-362436125/ Mark McGrath on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmcgrathcfp/ ‘Sustainable Withdrawal Rates from Retirement Portfolios' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1969021 Megan McCoy on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/megan-mccoy-phd/ Episode 108 — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/108 Episode 226 — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/226 Episode 217 — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/217

William Bernstein, author of The Four Pillars of Investing, joins the show to talk about the most recent edition of his highly influential work.   Listen now and learn: What are the four pillars of investing The history of risk and common traits of a bubble Potentially attractive segments of the market   Visit www.TheLongTermInvestor.com for show notes, free resources, and a place to submit questions.

Dr. William (Bill) Bernstein is a retired neurologist, author, investment adviser, and financial historian. His research is in the field of modern portfolio theory and economic history. Bill has published extensively on investing and economic history, including eight books and numerous articles. He holds a Ph.D. and an M.D. Bill is a repeat guest, first appearing in Episode 13. In this episode, we discuss Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), asset allocation in today's uncertain world, four deep risks, and the cost of income inequality.     This podcast is hosted by Rick Ferri, CFA, a long-time Boglehead and investment adviser. The Bogleheads are a group of like-minded individual investors who follow the general investment and business beliefs of John C. Bogle, founder and former CEO of the Vanguard Group. It is a conflict-free community where individual investors reach out and provide education, assistance, and relevant information to other investors of all experience levels at no cost. The organization supports a free forum at Bogleheads.org, and the wiki site is Bogleheads® wiki.    Since 2000, the Bogleheads' have held national conferences in major cities around the country. There are also many Local Chapters in the US and even a few Foreign Chapters that meet regularly. New Chapters are being added on a regular basis. All Bogleheads activities are coordinated by volunteers who contribute their time and talent.     This podcast is supported by the John C. Bogle Center for Financial Literacy, a non-profit organization approved by the IRS as a 501(c)(3) public charity on February 6, 2012. Your tax-deductible donation to the Bogle Center is appreciated.  

Prepare for a journey that will arm you with timeless investing principles. This episode is set to demystify the complexities of investing as we unpack the enduring principles outlined in "The Four Pillars of Investing" by William Bernstein. We shed light on the intricate link between risk and reward, revealing why the brightest markets often yield the lowest returns, while the bleakest ones offer the highest. We also address the emotional turmoil that most investors face when grappling with the idea of higher risk for higher returns. Take a deeper look at the fascinating world of small and large cap stocks. We scrutinize their differences and dissect the historic trend of small cap stocks yielding higher long-term returns. As we navigate through this, we also touch on the potential implications of the US holding larger equity value than the rest of the world and the possible pitfalls this might pose for US investors. Discover the indispensable role of global diversification in maximizing returns and why it's crucial for every investor.  Surely, you've heard the phrase, "this time it's different"? We'll explore why this mindset can be an expensive mistake, drawing from the canal revolution in England as a case study. Join us as we delve into the dangers of market frenzy brought about by inexperienced investors, and how understanding the principles of security valuation can serve as your compass. We also illuminate how current market conditions may lead to a bubble and the protective shield indexing provides. Then, we delve into the universe of returns, pulling data from various indexes. Remember, understanding bear markets and staying committed to your allocation is critical for any investor. You won't want to miss this episode! (0:00:01) - Exploring the Four Pillars of Investing (0:13:01) - Small vs Large Cap Stocks (0:26:22) - Market Bubbles and Long-Term Data Understanding (0:37:44) - Understanding Risk and Return in Investing (0:46:30) - Contact and Sponsor Information for Podcast

BIO: William Bernstein is a neurologist, a co-founder of Efficient Frontier Advisors – an investment management firm, and has written several titles on finance and economic history.STORY: William lost money after investing in palladium futures under the belief that a couple of physicists had perfected the technique of cold fusion to get helium.LEARNING: Never invest based on the headlines. Something that everyone knows isn't worth knowing. “Something that everyone knows has already been pounded into the market, so it isn't worth knowing.”William Bernstein Guest profileWilliam Bernstein is a neurologist, a co-founder of Efficient Frontier Advisors – an investment management firm, and has written several titles on finance and economic history. He has contributed to the peer-reviewed finance literature and has written for several national publications, including Money Magazine and The Wall Street Journal.He has produced several finance titles and four volumes of history, The Birth of Plenty, A Splendid Exchange, Masters of the Word, and The Delusions of Crowds, about, respectively, the economic growth inflection of the early nineteenth century, the history of world trade, the effects of access to technology on human relations and politics, and the history and social psychology of mass manias. He was also the 2017 winner of the CFA Institute's James R. Vertin Award.Worst investment everAbout 35 years ago, a couple of physicists announced that they had perfected the technique of cold fusion, which enables you to take hydrogen atoms, smash them together, and get helium—the same thing that goes on in a hydrogen bomb. If that were the case, then it meant there was now a source of energy that was too cheap to meter. The limiting factor in that technique was palladium, which was the catalyst. So, palladium went from $100 to $400 an ounce. William thought it would be a good idea to buy palladium futures. He lost his money in that investment.Lessons learnedNever invest based on the headlines.Something that everyone knows isn't worth knowing.Andrew's takeawaysDon't be lured by the seductiveness of headlines.Actionable adviceStart slow, see how you react to the bear market, and find out your actual risk tolerance in the real world because there's a big gap between talking to talk and walking the walk.No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsWilliam's number one goal for the next 12 months is to read good nonfiction books and then write reviews.Parting words “Just keep buying.”William Bernstein [spp-transcript] Connect with William BernsteinWebsiteBooksAndrew's books

“The essence of investing is not maximizing returns, but rather maximizing odds of success.”  William Bernstein is a financial theorist, neurologist, and the best-selling author of “The Four Pillars of Investing: Lessons for Building a Winning Portfolio,” now in its second edition. Motley Fool Senior Advisor Robert Brokamp caught up with Bernstein to discuss: - Why a 2% real return is “quite spectacular” - The math and Shakespeare of investing - Why value stocks may have fallen out of fashion - What the history of the stock market reveals about modern bubbles Host: Robert Brokamp Guest: William Bernstein Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineer: Rick Engdahl

This doc has been a White Coat Investor since he was a med student. He got started with his financial journey during residency and has hit financial milestones left and right. Less than 5 years after residency he has paid off his student loans, acquired several real estate properties, invested wisely and become a millionaire. If you want to follow in his path he recommends that you learn all you can, absorb everything you can, surround yourself with like minded people and work hard up front. After the interview we will talk about hitting the ground running for Finance 101. We estimate that 80% of doctors need, want, and should use a financial advisor and/or an investment manager. Some investment gurus such as Dr. William Bernstein think my estimate is way too low. At any rate, if you want to use an advisor temporarily or for your entire life, there is no reason to feel guilty about it—just make sure you are getting good advice at a fair price. If you need help updating your financial plan or just getting one in place, check out our list of recommended financial advisors at https://whitecoatinvestor.com/financial-advisors. You can do this and The White Coat Investor can help. The White Coat Investor has been helping doctors with their money since 2011. Our free financial planning resource covers a variety of topics from doctor mortgage loans and refinancing medical school loans to physician disability insurance and malpractice insurance. Learn about loan refinancing or consolidation, explore new investment strategies, and discover loan programs specifically aimed at helping doctors. If you're a high-income professional and ready to get a "fair shake" on Wall Street, The White Coat Investor channel is for you! Be a Guest on The Milestones to Millionaire Podcast: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/milestones  Main Website: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com  Student Loan Advice: https://studentloanadvice.com  YouTube: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/youtube  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thewhitecoatinvestor  Twitter: https://twitter.com/WCInvestor  Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thewhitecoatinvestor  Subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/whitecoatinvestor  Online Courses: https://whitecoatinvestor.teachable.com  Newsletter: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/free-monthly-newsletter 

(8/11/23) The Summer Malaise (and associated heat) continues, with no Recession: Looking for a market pullback. This is not a normal economic cycle; what will holiday spending reveal? The impact of AI on productivity. Preparing against the worst possible outcome: Are you Spick or Kirk (or George Costanza)? Why the 4% Rule is wrong. The Wisdom of William Bernstein; minimizing the chances of dying poor. The new PE Ratio: Price to Emotion; dealing with longevity risk. Podcast preview and summer heat: Secure Act changes to IRA's: Why Roth is important to the IRS: They want your money now. Seg-1: Summer Malaise & No Recession SEG-2: Are You Prepared for the Worst? SEG-3: Minimizing Chances of Dying Poor SEG-4: Podcast Preview; Secure Act Changes to IRA's Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LNSSuF6uJ94&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Bonds Are Best Bet" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrYwLlbxHUk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens if Inflation Ticks-up?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hI8G4pWDMr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Retirement #SecureAct #DyingPoor #LongevityRisk #WilliamBernstein #AI #Productivity #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/11/23) The Summer Malaise (and associated heat) continues, with no Recession: Looking for a market pullback. This is not a normal economic cycle; what will holiday spending reveal? The impact of AI on productivity.  Preparing against the worst possible outcome: Are you Spick or Kirk (or George Costanza)? Why the 4% Rule is wrong. The Wisdom of William Bernstein; minimizing the chances of dying poor. The new PE Ratio: Price to Emotion; dealing with longevity risk. Podcast preview and summer heat: Secure Act changes to IRA's: Why Roth is important to the IRS: They want your money now.  Seg-1: Summer Malaise & No Recession SEG-2: Are You Prepared for the Worst? SEG-3: Minimizing Chances of Dying Poor SEG-4: Podcast Preview; Secure Act Changes to IRA's   Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show,  on our YouTube channel:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LNSSuF6uJ94&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Bonds Are Best Bet" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrYwLlbxHUk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens if Inflation Ticks-up?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hI8G4pWDMr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Retirement #SecureAct #DyingPoor #LongevityRisk #WilliamBernstein #AI #Productivity #Markets #Money #Investing

CNBC's Bob Pisani spoke with Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise Investments, and William Bernstein, legendary author of The Four Pillars of Investing. With a key deadline looming ahead for the crypto community this week, our panel of experts discussed the odds of a spot bitcoin ETF being approved, and all the pitfalls and regulatory hurdles to come. Plus, Bill Bernstein broke down the second edition of his timeless investing classic.In the “Markets 102” portion, Bob continued the conversation with Matt Hougan from Bitwise Investments. 

In this episode we answer an email from Judy.  We discuss a 2013 Michael Kitces article about risk parity, which aspects we have incorporated and which we have not (and why), and then talk about an interview of William Bernstein about his new book and some related thoughts and ramifications about bonds, crystal balls, annuities and other things.  (Note:  I think I said it was the 4th edition, but its really just the 2d.)And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional links:2013 Michael Kitces Risk Parity Article:  Microsoft Word - Kitces Report November-December 2013 - RISK PARITY - FINALMorningstar Long View Interview of William Bernstein:  Bill Bernstein: Revisiting The Four Pillars of Investing | MorningstarMorningstar Long View Interview of Aswath Damodaran:  Aswath Damodaran: A Valuation Expert's Take on Inflation, Stock Buybacks, ESG, and More | MorningstarFactor Investing Book:  Your Complete Guide to Factor-Based Investing: The Way Smart Money Invests Today by Andrew L Berkin | GoodreadsSupport the show

Today's returning guest is Dr. William Bernstein, a neurologist turned investment advisor. Bill's an author of several books and just released an updated edition of The Four Pillars of Investing, which came out over 20 years ago.  In today's episode, Dr. Bernstein shares two key updates since the first edition. Then we walk through some his best quotes and tie them to both timeless topics and current events like the AI craze and the media's love for star managers. Click here to listen to Dr. Bernstein's last appearance on the podcast. ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world's largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Subscribe for free here. Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | Tik Tok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! 

These are confusing times for the economy and for financial markets—and for the relationship between the economy and financial markets. At the moment the economy is doing well. The labor market is still creating hundreds of thousands of jobs each month. Unemployment is low. Inflation has come down over the past year. And economic growth has been stronger than a great many economists and others had forecast heading into the year. But that's just how the economy is doing right now. What about six months from now? Or a year? Forecasting is always hard, and it may well be impossible. But economists sometimes look at “leading indicators” that are meant to give at least a sense of where the economy is headed. And some of those are flashing red, suggesting we might be headed for a recession in the near future. Then again, those same indicators have looked bad for a while now, and still the recession is nowhere in sight, so who knows. Meanwhile, look at the US stock market. It collapsed last year. But it's come roaring back this year—and this despite the Federal Reserve continuing to raise interest rates aggressively. Is the stock market now overpriced, too expensive? Is it underpriced, a good time to get in? And what happens if we do go into recession? What about bonds and other markets? What happened to crypto and all those meme stocks? Returning to the show to discuss all this and more is William Bernstein. Bill is the author of no fewer than three of Cardiff's favorite books on finance and the economy, including “The Four Pillars of Investing”, which just came out in a second edition roughly two decades after the first. It has all new updated information, data, and charts, plus the lessons learned in the intervening years. Related links:The Four Pillars of InvestingBill's other books and writings Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On today's episode of The Long View podcast, we welcome back William Bernstein. This is Bill's third appearance on the podcast. In fact, he was our very first guest back when we started The Long View in 2019. Bill is a neurologist turned investment advisor. He is also the author of several books, including The Intelligent Asset Allocator, The Four Pillars of Investing, If You Can: How Millennials Can Get Rich Slowly, and The Delusion of Crowds. Bill has just come out with a new edition of The Four Pillars of Investing. So, we wanted to have him on to discuss the new book and what's changed since that book's original publication more than 20 years ago.BackgroundBioThe Four Pillars of Investing, Second EditionThe Intelligent Asset Allocator: How to Build Your Portfolio to Maximize Returns and Minimize RiskIf You Can: How Millennials Can Get Rich SlowlyThe Delusion of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups“Bernstein: ‘I Don't Think the System Needs Nudges. I Think the System Needs Dynamite,'” The Long View podcast, Morningstar.com, May 7, 2019.“Bill Bernstein: We're Starting to See all of the Signs of a Bubble,” The Long View podcast, Morningstar.com, March 10, 2021.The Four Pillars of InvestingRobert KaplanWho Is Charlie Munger?Antti IlmanenExpected Returns: An Investor's Guide to Harvesting Market Rewards, by Antti Ilmanen“Bernstein's ‘4 Pillars of Investing' & How They Work To Boost Returns,” by Anupam Nagar, economictimes.indiatimes.com, July 31, 2021.“Are You Leaving Money on the Table From Your Funds' Returns?” by Amy Arnott, Morningstar.com, July 12, 2022.“William Bernstein on Deep Risk, Shallow Risk, and Investing for the Long-Term,” by Larry Frank, Sr., betterfinancialeducation.com, Aug. 24, 2022.Where Are the Customers' Yachts? Or a Good Hard Look at Wall Street, by Fred SchwedRetirement“Playing Inflation Russian Roulette in Retirement,” by William Bernstein, advisorperspectives.com, Nov. 29, 2022.“Riskless at Age 104,” by William Bernstein, advisorperspectives.com, March 20, 2023.“William Bernstein on Holding Both Treasury Bonds and TIPS (or Savings I Bonds),” by Jonathan Ping, mymoneyblog.com, April 16, 2023.

Analizamos una por una las 17 reglas de oro de Harry Browne: Construya su riqueza a través de su carrera profesional. No asuma que puede recuperar su riqueza. Comprenda la diferencia entre invertir y especular. Manténgase alejado de los vendedores de riqueza. No espere que alguien pueda hacerle rico. No confíe en sistemas de trading. Invierta solo el dinero del que dispone. Tome sus propias decisiones. Haga solo aquello que entienda. Diversifique los riesgos. Construya una cartera a prueba de balas. Especule solo con el dinero que puede permitirse perder. Guarde algunos activos fuera de su país. Aproveche los planes con beneficios fiscales. Haga las preguntas correctas. No olvide disfrutar de la vida. Cuando dude, escoja el camino más seguro. Antiguos episodios Kapital: K27. Antonio Rico. El inversor tranquilo. Kapital es posible gracias a sus colaboradores: ⁠Indexa Capital⁠. Gestión pasiva en fondos indexados. Indexa Capital ofrece carteras de fondos y planes de pensiones indexados con diversificación global y con costes totales en torno a 0,60 % al año. Indexa es el gestor automatizado independiente líder en España, con 1.600 millones de euros gestionados, de más de 63.000 clientes. Si quieres, puedes abrirte una cuenta sin compromiso. Utiliza el enlace promocional de Kapital para beneficiarte de un descuento especial: 10.000 euros sin comisión de Indexa durante el primer año. ⁠Barcelona Finance School⁠⁠. Una escuela líder en finanzas. La Barcelona Finance School (BFS) es una escuela de finanzas con proyección internacional creada por el Instituto de Estudios Financieros (IEF). Su objetivo es compartir el conocimiento y la experiencia acumulados por esta entidad, con una trayectoria de más de 30 años y una estrecha vinculación con el sector financiero. La escuela está dirigida a todos los profesionales del sector financiero y a posgraduados interesados en allí especializarse. La oferta académica de la Barcelona Finance School (BFS) incluye másteres, posgrados y cursos de especialización, todos ellos con acreditación universitaria. Los responsables de los programas y el claustro docente son prestigiosos profesionales que están al día de las nuevas tendencias en el sector financiero. Enlace con 300 euros de descuento en la matrícula de su Máster en Finanzas. Equito App⁠⁠. Invierte en tokens inmobiliarios. Muchos españoles no pueden invertir en inmuebles porque los bancos exigen un capital alto antes de conceder un préstamo. Equito App llega para cambiar esto. Esta aplicación te permite invertir en el sector inmobiliario desde tan solo 100 euros, a través de un préstamo participativo en el que los intereses varían según los rendimientos y la plusvalía del inmueble. Aprovecha el código NB543 para obtener 30 euros de descuento en tu primera inversión de 500. Esta oferta es válida por un tiempo limitado. Entra en Equito.app para conocer todos los detalles del proyecto. Índice: 2.55. Harry Browne, inversor y candidato a la presidencia. 8.32. La filosofía de Baelo Dividendo Creciente. 22.14. Santander amplía capital para pagar el dividendo. 30.49. El inversor mediterráneo. 35.54. Los malos gestores complican innecesariamente el lenguaje. 41.18. Feynman hablaba de la maldición del conocimiento. 51.10. La cartera boomer: 98% inmobiliario y 2% en acciones del Sabadell. 59.10. Las 17 reglas de Harry Browne. 2.18.35. El programa de radio de Harry Browne. Apuntes: Inversor inteligente. Antonio Rico. La inversión a prueba de errores. Harry Browne. Nadie te debe nada. Harry Browne. La cartera permanente. Craig Rowland & J. M. Lawson. Los dividendos aún no mienten. Geraldine Weiss. La tesis de los dividendos crecientes. David Bahnsen. Expectativas racionales en inversión. William Bernstein. The smartest investment book you'll ever read. Daniel Solin. El arte de reflexionar sobre el dinero. André Kostolany. La psicología del dinero. Morgan Housel. Antifrágil. Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Los ensayos. Michel de Montaigne.

What do financial bubbles and religious millenarianism have in common? They both involve collective delusion. When Charles Mackey wrote a book on the Madness of Crowds in the 19th century, he could not have imagined that religious and financial bubbles will continue to reappear, but as Willam Bernstein points out, the world has not gotten any saner. William Bernstein is an investment manager and the author of a number of books including, The Delusions Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups and The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created. And before his work in finance, he spent more than 30 years practicing medicine. William and Greg discuss the difference between intelligence and rationality, how human nature is rooted in imitation and mimicry, and the end of the world. Gregory LaBlanc is a lifelong educator with degrees in History, PPE, Business, and Law, Greg currently teaches at Berkeley, Stanford, and HEC Paris. He has taught in multiple disciplines, from Engineering to Economics, from Biology to Business, from Psychology to Philosophy. He is the host of the unSILOed podcast. unSILOed is produced by University FM. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

What do financial bubbles and religious millenarianism have in common? They both involve collective delusion. When Charles Mackey wrote a book on the Madness of Crowds in the 19th century, he could not have imagined that religious and financial bubbles will continue to reappear, but as Willam Bernstein points out, the world has not gotten any saner. William Bernstein is an investment manager and the author of a number of books including, The Delusions Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups and The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created. And before his work in finance, he spent more than 30 years practicing medicine. William and Greg discuss the difference between intelligence and rationality, how human nature is rooted in imitation and mimicry, and the end of the world. Gregory LaBlanc is a lifelong educator with degrees in History, PPE, Business, and Law, Greg currently teaches at Berkeley, Stanford, and HEC Paris. He has taught in multiple disciplines, from Engineering to Economics, from Biology to Business, from Psychology to Philosophy. He is the host of the unSILOed podcast. unSILOed is produced by University FM. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/sociology

What do financial bubbles and religious millenarianism have in common? They both involve collective delusion. When Charles Mackey wrote a book on the Madness of Crowds in the 19th century, he could not have imagined that religious and financial bubbles will continue to reappear, but as Willam Bernstein points out, the world has not gotten any saner. William Bernstein is an investment manager and the author of a number of books including, The Delusions Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups and The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created. And before his work in finance, he spent more than 30 years practicing medicine. William and Greg discuss the difference between intelligence and rationality, how human nature is rooted in imitation and mimicry, and the end of the world. Gregory LaBlanc is a lifelong educator with degrees in History, PPE, Business, and Law, Greg currently teaches at Berkeley, Stanford, and HEC Paris. He has taught in multiple disciplines, from Engineering to Economics, from Biology to Business, from Psychology to Philosophy. He is the host of the unSILOed podcast. unSILOed is produced by University FM. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/religion

What do financial bubbles and religious millenarianism have in common? They both involve collective delusion. When Charles Mackey wrote a book on the Madness of Crowds in the 19th century, he could not have imagined that religious and financial bubbles will continue to reappear, but as Willam Bernstein points out, the world has not gotten any saner. William Bernstein is an investment manager and the author of a number of books including, The Delusions Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups and The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created. And before his work in finance, he spent more than 30 years practicing medicine. William and Greg discuss the difference between intelligence and rationality, how human nature is rooted in imitation and mimicry, and the end of the world. Gregory LaBlanc is a lifelong educator with degrees in History, PPE, Business, and Law, Greg currently teaches at Berkeley, Stanford, and HEC Paris. He has taught in multiple disciplines, from Engineering to Economics, from Biology to Business, from Psychology to Philosophy. He is the host of the unSILOed podcast. unSILOed is produced by University FM. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/economics

What do financial bubbles and religious millenarianism have in common? They both involve collective delusion. When Charles Mackey wrote a book on the Madness of Crowds in the 19th century, he could not have imagined that religious and financial bubbles will continue to reappear, but as Willam Bernstein points out, the world has not gotten any saner. William Bernstein is an investment manager and the author of a number of books including, The Delusions Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups and The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created. And before his work in finance, he spent more than 30 years practicing medicine. William and Greg discuss the difference between intelligence and rationality, how human nature is rooted in imitation and mimicry, and the end of the world. Gregory LaBlanc is a lifelong educator with degrees in History, PPE, Business, and Law, Greg currently teaches at Berkeley, Stanford, and HEC Paris. He has taught in multiple disciplines, from Engineering to Economics, from Biology to Business, from Psychology to Philosophy. He is the host of the unSILOed podcast. unSILOed is produced by University FM. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

What do financial bubbles and religious millenarianism have in common? They both involve collective delusion. When Charles Mackey wrote a book on the Madness of Crowds in the 19th century, he could not have imagined that religious and financial bubbles will continue to reappear, but as Willam Bernstein points out, the world has not gotten any saner. William Bernstein is an investment manager and the author of a number of books including, The Delusions Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups and The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created. And before his work in finance, he spent more than 30 years practicing medicine. William and Greg discuss the difference between intelligence and rationality, how human nature is rooted in imitation and mimicry, and the end of the world. Gregory LaBlanc is a lifelong educator with degrees in History, PPE, Business, and Law, Greg currently teaches at Berkeley, Stanford, and HEC Paris. He has taught in multiple disciplines, from Engineering to Economics, from Biology to Business, from Psychology to Philosophy. He is the host of the unSILOed podcast. unSILOed is produced by University FM. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/finance

What do financial bubbles and religious millenarianism have in common? They both involve collective delusion. When Charles Mackey wrote a book on the Madness of Crowds in the 19th century, he could not have imagined that religious and financial bubbles will continue to reappear, but as Willam Bernstein points out, the world has not gotten any saner.William Bernstein is an investment manager and the author of a number of books including, The Delusions Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups and The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created. And before his work in finance, he spent more than 30 years practicing medicine. William and Greg discuss the difference between intelligence and rationality, how human nature is rooted in imitation and mimicry, and the end of the world. *unSILOed Podcast is produced by University FM.*Episode Quotes:When it comes to pattern recognition, who are the right people to listen to?47:23: ​​When I'm listening to an analyst or a commentator, what I'm listening for is not how eloquent they are or how smart they sound, because it turns out that the most eloquent people tend to be people who can get away with a lot of analytical sloppiness. What I'm looking for is nuance. I'm looking for someone who can see both sides of an argument and argue something from both sides.Who are the people you want to make decisions for you?06:37: Rationality and intelligence are entirely orthogonal. There are people who really aren't all that brilliant but are eminently rational. Those are the kinds of people you want making decisions for you.Are you a seller or consumer opinions?31:43: If you are a seller of opinions and want to sell opinions, then you tell stories. But if you are a consumer of opinions, you want to ignore the stories and focus on the data.Show Links:Recommended Resources:The Late Great Planet EarthWilliam MillerDual Process Theory Daniel KahnemanAlex JonesExtraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds Premillennialism David KoreshShiva Dome of the RockDr. StrangeloveGuest Profile:William J. BernsteinProfessional Profile on Literary HubProfessional Profile on CFA InstituteHis Work:Articles on Financial TimesThe Delusions Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in GroupsThe Intelligent Asset Allocator: How to Build Your Portfolio to Maximize Returns and Minimize Risk The Investor's Manifesto: Preparing for Prosperity, Armageddon, and Everything in BetweenThe Four Pillars of Investing: Lessons for Building a Winning Portfolio Rational Expectations: Asset Allocation for Investing Adults (Investing for Adults) The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created A Splendid Exchange: How Trade Shaped the Worldhttps://a.co/d/1Db5SrC

In questa nuova puntata della saga dedicata al rischio negli investimenti, analizziamo con Lorenzo Volpi e Lorenzo Brigatti quello che William Bernstein definisce "Deep Risk", ossia "rischio profondo"; quali differenze ci sono con quello "superficiale" (comunque da non sottovalutare) e come si affronta? La risposta nel podcast. 

BIO: Nick Maggiulli is the Chief Operating Officer and Data Scientist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, where he oversees operations across the firm and provides insights on business intelligence.STORY: Nick invested in a stock he wasn't familiar with just because his friends were doing it. He suffered a 78% loss.LEARNING: Don't buy individual stocks. Trust your gut. “If you're going to gamble, just wager less.”Nick Maggiulli Guest profileNick Maggiulli is the Chief Operating Officer and Data Scientist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, where he oversees operations across the firm and provides insights on business intelligence. He is also the author of OfDollarsAndData.com, a blog focused on the intersection of data and personal finance. His work has been featured in The Wall Street Journal, CNBC, and The Los Angeles Times. Nick graduated from Stanford University with a degree in Economics and currently resides in New York City.Worst investment everIt was the summer of 2021, and Nick was having a great night with some friends. One of his buddies, who's pretty good at stock picking, told the group about this new exciting stock called Matterport (MTTR). Matterport is a virtual reality software that allows you to do 3D imaging of a room.Up until this point, Nick had primarily been a passive investor. The friend convinced the group to invest in Matterport, saying it would be big. Nick put in about 1% of his net worth. The group didn't do much research. They just discussed the stock in a group chat for a day or two. They didn't pay attention to it anymore.Over the next few months, the stock starts going up. Nick got excited about the surprising stock performance. He happened to attend an art show in New York. Coincidentally, the gallery was using Matterport to give a tour of their art venues. This was so wild and got Nick even more excited.The stock kept going up, and by November 2021, it had doubled. Nick bought it for $15, and now it was $30. At this point, everyone in the friends' group doubled their investment.The peak was in November, and then the price started to decrease slightly. Nick figured it was no big deal, as every great winning stock has a decline. So he held onto the stock. The price kept going down. Nick sold his stock in October 2022 at $3.30 a share, making a 78% loss.Lessons learnedDon't buy individual stocks.Trust your gut.Andrew's takeawaysWhen you get invested in something, you'll find every possible reason to justify it.There are a lot of times that we know stuff that we're not supposed to do, yet we somehow end up in it.Actionable adviceIf you're going to gamble, make sure you know exactly how much you're willing to lose.Nick's recommendationsIf you want to learn about individual stocks, Nick recommends reading Scale: The Universal Laws of Life, Growth, and Death in Organisms, Cities, and Companies. The book talks about the growth of cities, companies, and that type of stuff. To understand asset allocation, Nick recommends books by William Bernstein. He also recommends reading his book Just Keep Buying:...

Caleb and Riley discuss what Nick Murray calls “The key to your investments outperforming most others” and how fear and our reactions are often the #1 wealth killer. There is no doubt that you want to come out ahead and maximize your returns. But maybe you are wondering how can you get there. Investment success belongs to the fearlessly disciplined not the brilliant. This was said by William Bernstein, a financial theorist and neurologist, and writer of financial literature. Remaining a disciplined investor, despite all the panic around us, is incredibly important as we plan for and live through our retirement. Learn more about: How to feel okay about fearful emotions about the market and not react in a way that kills growth Why ups and downs in the market are normal an expected and the distinction between volatility and loss They key to having an outlook that builds wealth through the remainder of your retirement Memorable Quotes: “A genius is the man who can do the average thing when everyone else around him is losing his mind.” “Great golfers don't necessarily hit the most number of great shots, as they hit the least number of terrible shots.” “The S&P 500 broader market return on average is around 13.69% but the average equity investor's return, was half of that 5.50%.” Resources: Ted Talk: Things Aren't As Bad As You Think They Are | Dan Gardner | TEDxNashville Article: Morgan Housel on Greed and Fear, Frugality and Paranoia Hosted by Caleb Miller and Riley Anderson of InvestorDNA Meet Caleb and Riley Book a Call Subscribe on Apple Podcasts Subscribe on Spotify Subscribe on Google Podcasts

My conversation with Nick Maggiulli.Nick is the COO of Ritholtz Wealth Management. His blog tears about many common misconceptions about the finance with data. Nick is a proponent of a broad based indexing approach and actually advises against what my blog is all about - stock picking.I like Nick's work because it challenges a lot of sacred cow ideas in the financial community. He has challenged ideas like the utility of the CAPE ratio in market timing and the idea that most stock returns have come from declining interest rates in the last forty years.I hope you enjoy our conversation and thank you for subscribing!Show notes:* Nick's book, Just Keep Buying about the wisdom of regularly purchasing income-producing assets to build wealth.* Nick's blog, OfDollarsandData.* Nick's post on the utility of the CAPE ratio.* Nick's post deconstructing the argument that stock market returns have entirely been driven by declines in interest rates for the last 40 years.* The Intelligent Asset Allocator by William Bernstein. Bernstein was a major influence on Nick's approach.DisclaimerNothing on this podcast is investment advice.The information in this podcast is for information and discussion purposes only. It does not constitute a recommendation to purchase or sell any financial instruments or other products.  Investment decisions should not be made with this article and one should take into account the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or institution.Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances from their own tax, financial, legal, and other advisers about the risks and merits of any transaction before making an investment decision, and only make such decisions on the basis of the investor's own objectives, experience, and resources.The information contained in this podcast & show notes is based on generally-available information and, although obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness cannot be assured, and such information may be incomplete or condensed.Investments in financial instruments or other products carry significant risk, including the possible total loss of the principal amount invested. This podcast, the host, and the guest do not purport to identify all the risks or material considerations that may be associated with entering into any transaction. This host & guest accepts no liability for any loss (whether direct, indirect, or consequential) that may arise from any use of the information contained in or derived from this content. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.securityanalysis.org/subscribe

¿Por qué lanzar un fondo con asignación táctica? ¿Por qué producir un podcast sobre finanzas personales? Ambas preguntas atacan un mismo problema y tanto Javier como yo luchamos por cambiar las dinámicas negativas del sistema. Aunque el altavoz es pequeño si influye en la opinión de un solo inversor ya habrá merecido la pena. A eso nos agarramos para seguir haciendo lo que hacemos. El mejor marketing de GPM Asignación Táctica es la transparencia. Por eso comparte un Excel con sus posiciones.Este podcast está patrocinado por Dani Marín.Dani es un fisioterapeuta que un día descubrió que hablar se le daba mejor que tocar y que era capaz de transmitir ideas a las personas que las necesitaban. Ahora tiene un proyecto online, con un enfoque técnico pero a la vez entretenido sobre el funcionamiento del cerebro, y me manda este mensaje para los oyentes de Kapital: Si mientras lees esto estás con gente, busca a una persona y obsérvala durante 5 minutos, si estás solo abre la red social que quieras y mira cualquier post. En cualquier caso será más que suficiente para encontrar algún comportamiento que no te parezca ‘normal'. Me llamo Dani Marín y me dedico a enseñar cómo funciona el cerebro, la mente, las personas… que vendría a ser lo mismo. Lo hago en mi newsletter donde cuento cosas que te ayudan a comprender lo ‘anormal' del comportamiento humano o del tuyo mismo. Aprender, sentir dolor o vender algo depende del cerebro, entender cómo hacer para usarlo a tu favor depende de ti.Índice:1.32. La psicología de las pérdidas.8.38. Lecciones de vida en el póker.24.20. No te compliques con tu estrategia de inversión.53.42. Sacrificar rentabilidad a cambio de reducir volatilidad.1.13.33. Los engranajes de la asignación táctica.1.34.43. Comisiones de gestión activa en fondos indexados.1.44.09. Ariely y la errónea percepción del valor.1.59.26. Mourinho encontró la felicidad en Roma.Apuntes:La cartera permanente. Craig Rowland & J. M. Lawson.Expectativas racionales en inversión. William Bernstein.Common sense on mutual funds. John Bogle.The smartest investment book you'll ever read. Daniel Solin.Monte Carlo Millions. Phil Ivey.EPT Grand Final. Adrián Mateos.Predictably irrational. Dan Ariely.

A menos que usted vaya a intercambiar certificados de bonos y acciones con sus amigos, se verá obligado a enfrentarse con el coloso que domina la escena moderna americana: la industria financiera. Y no se equivoque, usted se verá inmerso en una titánica batalla de suma cero con la misma, en la que cada céntimo en comisiones, tasas y costes de transacción que ésta se lleva, es irremediablemente a su costa. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/gardieles Twitter: https://twitter.com/LInversores Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/gardieles/ Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/43y3NRBMvZn43igN4yQDz9?si=9GtlUYDfQHWJoTyHUgPvZw Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/es/podcast/gardieles/id1494217471 Ivoox: https://www.ivoox.com/podcast-gardieles_sq_f11091823_1.html --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/luis-pizarro/support

Quizá uno de los episodios más resumidos, más cortitos, pero no por eso menos importante. La psicología de la inversión según Bernstein - y según varios más - es uno de los principios más fundamentales paras tener éxito en las inversiones. Te contamos todo acá, en el podcast de Gardieles. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/gardieles Twitter: https://twitter.com/LInversores Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/gardieles/ Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/43y3NRBMvZn43igN4yQDz9?si=9GtlUYDfQHWJoTyHUgPvZw Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/es/podcast/gardieles/id1494217471 Ivoox: https://www.ivoox.com/podcast-gardieles_sq_f11091823_1.html --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/luis-pizarro/support

Períodos de bonanza, historias de la depresión de los años 30, datos curiosos de las inversiones del siglo 17. Las principales enseñanzas que debes saber dentro de la historia de la bolsa. Este es el segundo episodio de los cuatro pilares de la inversión, de William Bernstein. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/gardieles Twitter: https://twitter.com/LInversores Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/gardieles/ Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/43y3NRBMvZn43igN4yQDz9?si=9GtlUYDfQHWJoTyHUgPvZw Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/es/podcast/gardieles/id1494217471 Ivoox: https://www.ivoox.com/podcast-gardieles_sq_f11091823_1.html --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/luis-pizarro/support

Gente preciosa, llegamos a un nuevo episodio donde aprenderemos y repasaremos conceptos clásicos de la inversión. Todo lo relativo a la teoría de la inversión. El riesgo y el beneficio, cómo podemos calcular nuestro riesgo, cuál sería la mejor cartera de inversiones según tu tolerancia al riesgo, y montones de cosas más. Quédate a este nuevo episodio, y que no se te olvide compartirlo si te genera valor, un abrazo grandote :) --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/luis-pizarro/support

The “LIFE ART LIFE William Bernstein” exhibition opens August 6 and runs through October 9, 2022, at the Toe River Arts' Kokol Gallery, Spruce Pine, North Carolina. This 50-year retrospective of the blown glass work and paintings of William Bernstein showcases the work of an artist who has been at the forefront of the North Carolina studio glass movement for over 50 years. It creates a visual summary of the separate elements of Bernstein's art over time – his motives, goals, and achievements, while showing his ability to work simultaneously in diverse mediums.  Curated by Bernstein, the artist was assisted by Jordan Ahlers from Momentum Gallery, Asheville, North Carolina. He and Billy selected approximately 40 sculptural works and 20 wall pieces that span his career. The artist's unique style of incorporating images on glass is mirrored stylistically in his two-dimensional paintings. So much of his work and family life are evident in his art forms – portraits of the people, pets, and environs that surround him.  Both an online and printed catalog will be available that will include narratives about Bernstein's lifetime of art written by Bill Warmus, former curator at Corning Museum of Glass, and will include images from the show. Writes Warmus: “Bernstein is a minimalist whose style is based upon the dedication to the concepts of honesty, modesty, and humility. It has a feel of its surroundings and of the people of the region.” Graduating in 1968 from the Philadelphia College of Arts and just married, Bernstein moved to Penland School of Crafts to be their second glass resident artist from 1968 to 1970. He was a co-founder of the Glass Arts Society (GAS) – together with glass pioneers Mark Peiser and Fritz Dreisbach –  that formed to bring together the glass community so people could work together and learn from each other. Receiving numerous awards, fellowships and grants, he has exhibited internationally and has artwork in many private and public collections. Bernstein has lived most of his professional life in the rural Celo community, a land trust in rural Yancey, North Carolina, along with his family and artist wife, Katherine Bernstein.  Katherine and William both grew up in New Jersey and met while attending art school at Philadelphia College of Arts. In the early years, Katie worked in hand-built porcelain and Billy, very influenced by Scandinavian and colonial American glass design, started producing a variable line of goblets and sculptural pieces. In the mid 1970s, glass master and educator Harvey Littleton moved to the area and quickly took an interest in the young artists' work. He insisted that Katie's sculpture in clay would translate beautifully into glass. To make his point, he took several of Katie's clay originals back to his studio and cast them in crystal. The results were wonderful, and Katie started working exclusively in glass. By the ‘80s, both Bernsteins had established themselves as major forces in the glass world, but to keep their studio running they needed a steady flow of sales, which eventually brought them together in the creation of a line of goblets and tableware. Katie supplied the imagery with melted glass color rods, and Billy formed the result into a vessel. This combination proved very popular and received wide recognition in design journals and magazines. They continue to produce these pieces today under the name Bernstein Glass. Currently, both Billy and Katie produce individual pieces for gallery shows and collaborate with two assistants on the functional work. Their oldest son Josh is a physician, and their son Alex is a respected glass artist; both live in Asheville, North Carolina. Katie and Billy remain content in their log cabin with their huge dog Murphy. Says Billy: “This has not only been a year-long process of curating pieces for an exhibit, but a lifetime of making art that connects with all things about one's life.” Coinciding with the United Nations' Year 2022 as the Year of Glass and the 60th Anniversary of the Studio Glass Movement, the “LIFE ART LIFE William Bernstein” exhibition has been made possible by Toe River Arts, the North Carolina Arts Council, the Cary Art Center, Art Alliance for Contemporary Glass, the Blumenthal Foundation, and Mountain Electronics in Micaville, North Carolina.  Billy's Digital Sketchbook: https://www.billysdigitalsketchbook.net/ Retrospective Catalogue: https://www.billysdigitalsketchbook.net/_files/ugd/70476b_4ed469574598440ebea63ee03a0c34db.pdf  

¿Qué rentabilidad esperada tiene tu cartera de inversión? ¿Está bien diversificada? ¿Contiene las clases de activos adecuadas? ¿De qué factores depende el peso en acciones que debes elegir para tu cartera? A lo largo de esta sesión, repasaremos con el gestor Antonio R. Rico algunas de las ideas principales de Expectativas racionales en inversión: diversificación eficiente para inversores adultos, una de las obras más interesantes y poco conocidas de William Bernstein, recientemente publicada en español dentro de la Colección Baelo.   Si te ha gustado el programa, déjanos un comentario y danos una valoración alta en la plataforma donde lo hayas escuchado. No olvides darte de alta en www.valueschool.es para obtener información sobre nuestras actividades y acceder a todo nuestro material gratuito. Recuerda que también puedes seguirnos en Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, LinkedIn y en nuestro canal de YouTube. (Música: "Corporate Innovative" by Scott Holmes). http://www.scottholmesmusic.com 

William Bernstein, author of "The Splendid Exchange: How Trade Shaped the World"

Hoy te traigo mi resumen del libro Los 4 Pilares De La Inversión de William Bernstein. Si quieres saber cómo puedes crear una cartera de inversión ganadora y ampliar tu conocimiento en inversión en bolsa, ¡no te lo pierdas!

Đây là phần 1 trong talkshow OnMic ngày 23-Apr-2022: Vì sao danh mục đầu tư có nhiều lớp tài sản ? Nhiều tài sản nhưng phải như thế nào ? Một số danh mục kinh điển như: David Swensen, Ray Dalio, John Bogle, Larry Swedroe, William Bernstein, Meb Faber.

Antonio Rico es uno de los grandes divulgadores en la temática finanzas. Él cree en la filosofía de inversión pasiva, promovida por el gran John Bogle. Los indexados son fondos que replican íntegramente el comportamiento de un mercado, comprando un poco de todo. La mejor parte es que, sin analistas de por medio estudiando cuál será la empresa ganadora, te ahorras la comisión de gestión del 2%. Antonio ofrece, desde Baelo Patrimonio, un fondo robusto para dormir tranquilo en todo tipo de terrenos.Escucha el podcast en tu plataforma habitual:Spotify — Apple — iVoox — YouTubeArtículos sobre finanzas en formato blog:Substack Kapital — Substack CardinalApuntes:Inversor inteligente. Antonio Rico.52 libros para 52 semanas. Antonio Rico.La cartera permanente. Craig Rowland & J. M. Lawson.Expectativas racionales en inversión. William Bernstein.La mejor inversión. Lowell Miller.La inversión a prueba de errores. Harry Browne.El almanaque de Naval Ravikant. Eric Jorgenson.Los dividendos aún no mienten. Kelley Wright.Common sense on mutual funds. John Bogle.Enough. John Bogle.The smartest investment book you'll ever read. Daniel Solin.Índice:0.28. A los 10 años el 90% de fondos activos pierde frente a la indexación.9.55. ¿Qué es y cómo funciona un fondo índice?17.35. La revolución de John Bogle.24.49. «Tienes una cartera arriesgada cuando la miras cuando todo cae».48.12. Los 6 títulos de la Colección Baelo.1.16.59. El debate tuitero sobre los dividendos.1.28.55. La cartera permanente: 25% acciones, 25% bonos, 25% oro y 25% cash.1.46.28. El reto de los 52 libros para 52 semanas.

You are in for a real treat with an engineer turned investment advisor who previously designed telescopes for outer space. I doubt he'd call himself a rocket scientist but I think he's pretty darn smart… especially with money. Jesse Cramer discusses a lot of financial topics in a very relatable manner without dumbing it down. His budgeting technique is so simple El started using it right away. Then we did a deep dive into stock market index funds and Jesse helped us understand the difference between correlated, anti-correlated, and uncorrelated investments. He ended with a quote from William Bernstein that the point of diversification “is to not die broke.” Listen in for a ton more financial tips.Here's another review from an early reader of our soon to be released new book: The Graduate Project…“What El and Dave have put together is timeless and relevant wisdom from knowledgeable and experienced world class niche professionals. Every parent should consider this book as post college 101. It'll save you time,  money, &, potentially, your relationship with loved ones.”  ~ Festus Amoye ~ Author and Founder of Laddering Your SuccessKeep an eye on our socials @poweradulting for more info on the book release.GUEST INFORMATIONCONTACTWebsite - The Best Interest - https://bestinterest.blogTwitter - https://twitter.com/BestInterest_JCJesse Cramer at Cobblestone Capital Advisors    https://cobblestonecap.com RESOURCESMoney Mastermind    https://bestinterest.gumroad.com/l/MoneyMastermind How to Money Podcast     https://www.howtomoney.com Animal Spirits Podcast     https://awealthofcommonsense.com/podcast/19 Questions to Ask Your Financial Advisor    by Jason Zweig Wall Street JournalHOST INFORMATIONCONTACTcontact@poweradulting.com.  Email us here to request book launch notificationsFollow us on Facebook, Instagram, TikTok, and YouTube     @poweradultingRESOURCESThe Graduate Project: A Success Guide for Parents to Help New Adults Rock their ‘Real Life' Journey.  By El Brownell & Dave Kochpoweradulting.com/growth   FREE Art of Adulting Guidebook & 5-Day Challenge

In this episode, Paul speaks to Paul Kaseburg about Multifamily investing and how to evaluate real estate sponsors. They go in-depth about his work at the MG Property Group, the current investment climate and macro trends, his acquisition process, and the most common mistakes you can make when deciding whether or not to make a deal.About our guest:Paul is the Chief Investment Officer at the MG Properties Group. He is responsible for the firm's acquisition, disposition, and capital markets activities. He has 17 years of experience in real estate private equity investment, capital markets, and corporate M&A. Prior to joining MG, he held various roles in commercial real estate debt and equity acquisitions, development, and financing.Paul's LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kaseburg/ Paul's book “Investing in Real Estate Private Equity”:https://www.amazon.com/Investing-Real-Estate-Private-Equity-ebook/dp/B01IW0G0S0 Paul's book recommendations: The “Investing for adults” series by William Bernstein: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B074CJC6KG“The Black Swan” by Nassim Nicholas Taleb:https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00139XTG4 “Wooden: A Lifetime of Observations and Reflections On and Off the Court” by John Wooden:https://www.amazon.com/Wooden-Lifetime-Observations-Reflections-Court-ebook/dp/B003TO4TKQ/“Meditations: A New Translation” by Marcus Aurelius:https://www.amazon.com/Meditations-New-Translation-Marcus-Aurelius-ebook/dp/B08RP7Z54J/ Disclaimer: This real estate podcast is for informational and educational purposes only, and does not imply suitability. The views and opinions expressed by the presenters are their own. The information is not intended as investment advice.For any inquiries or comments, you can reach us as info@indepthrealestate.com.

Yhdysvaltalaisen William J. Bernsteinin kirja The Delusions Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups ilmestyi tämän vuoden alussa. Bernstein tarkastelee teoksessaan joukkoharhoja, joita löytyy yhtä hyvin talouden kuin uskonnon piiristä. Teokseen liittyvistä teemoista ja sijoittajapsykologiasta keskustelemassa kirjailija, pörssitoimittaja Tommi Melender. Häntä haastattelee Mikko Jylhä.

In The Delusions of Crowds, finance theorist William Bernstein writes about some of the famous financial bubbles and religious manias of the past. He joins Cardiff to discuss the connection between these two kinds of events, why humans are so susceptible to mass manias, the good that sometimes comes from a financial bubble, and how we can all spot the visible signs of manias when they arise. Links from the episode:The Delusions of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups (https://tinyurl.com/95ff3emt)A Splendid Exchange: How Trade Shaped the World (https://tinyurl.com/kn6pdr7k)The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created (https://tinyurl.com/v8mw4be2)Cardiff and Aimee are on Twitter at @CardiffGarcia and @AimeePKeaneSend us an email! You can write to us at hello@bazaaraudio.com See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

In episode 346, we welcome our guest, Dr. William Bernstein, neurologist, author, and co-founder of Efficient Frontier Advisors.     Click here to listen to Dr. Bernstein's first appearance on The Meb Faber Show.      In today's episode, we start by covering Dr. Bernstein's recent book, The Delusions Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups.  He explains why we're susceptible to manias and walks us through situations that have seen extreme speculation. Then we turn to discuss today's market. We cover Robinhood, meme stocks, lofty valuations, and crypto. We even get into what narratives Dr. Bernstein sees today, whether it's with star fund managers or the idea that the Fed will save the market.     Please enjoy this episode with Efficient Frontier Advisors' Bill Bernstein.     -----     Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com     -----     Today's episode is sponsored by Fellow.  Fellow is revolutionizing access to men's reproductive healthcare and offers the only lab-certified, mail-in semen analysis that exceeds all standards for FDA validated semen analysis methods. With their at-home fertility test, you can skip the uncomfortable clinic experience and still get accurate, comprehensive, lab-grade results that are approved by a physician and easy to understand. All the while, you can preserve your fertility for when you may need your most fertile sperm. As a special offer for listeners of the show, visit meetfellow.com and use the code MEB to get $20 off your order.     Today's episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world's largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Join today and get access to quarterly CAPE ratios, an excel quant backtester and the entire research library.

Dr. William Bernstein is a trained neurologist and writes and advises on finance. He is the author of numerous books including A Splendid Exchange: How Trade Shaped the World which is the subject of our conversation.

Are we living in the End Times? Again? Are we falling for a financial bubble? Again? Author William Bernstein is here to expose the roots of human irrationality and the cost of mass mania. Plus, Alison teaches us the poetry of yogababble.

On this week's Behind The Wealth, Roger and Elias talk about what is going on in the world of personal finance, topics include:  - The oldest bottle of whiskey going up for auction - Collectable - A new way to invest into collectibles  - William Bernstein's latest book: "The Delusion Of Crowds: Why People Go Mad In Groups" - Warren Buffett's Annual Meeting  www.BTWealthShow.com Follow Us on Facebook.com/BTWealthShow Subscribe to the Podcast https://linktr.ee/BehindTheWealth Hosted By: Roger Abel Co-Host: Elias Randel Produced By: Molly Nordlocken   Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, a registered investment advisor, member FINRA /SIPC. The opinions voiced in this show are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult with your attorney, accountant, and financial advisor or tax advisor prior to investing. All performance referenced is historical and is not a guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Premier Investments of Iowa, Inc. and LPL Financial do not provide tax advice, please consult your tax professional. 

Summary One time in college, I told my housemate he should drop $10 on a Mario mobile game because “You've made stupider purchases than that.” He used this same reasoning to make progressively stupider purchases until he realized that he needed to change his ways. Smart people often make bad financial decisions when everyone around them is acting irrational. The best example of this is the dotcom bubble, where investors stopped caring about fundamentals and started pouring money into pretty much every Internet company. To avoid losing money in a bubble, be self-aware and try writing down the reasoning for your investment decisions. “You've made stupider purchases than that.” One time in college, my housemate walked into our living room and told me that he was thinking about buying some new Mario mobile game for $10. He thought it looked cool, but he wasn't sure that it was really worth $10. “I don't think it's a big deal man, it's just $10,” I told him. I was looking at my laptop and I wasn't really paying attention to what he was saying. “You've probably spent $10 on stupider things than that.”  “Huh, that makes a lot of sense,” he said. He ended up buying the app, but he didn't stop there. For some reason, “You've probably spent $10 on stupider things than that,” really resonated with him. He used that same framework to buy a bunch of other things on Amazon that he didn't really need. He ended up buying progressively stupider and stupider things until he found himself in his room, surrounded by a bunch of useless shit. He looked around, shook his head in shame, and wondered where his life had gone wrong. Apparently, he never even played that original Mario game that much. All of that happened because of my terrible advice. Anyway, I'm going to try to make up for what I did by giving you guys some good advice on how you can avoid letting bad influences (like the college version of me) convince you to make bad financial decisions. Why do smart people make bad decisions? There's a reason why the advice I gave my housemate was so terrible. Every purchase decision seems okay if you're comparing it to the stupidest purchases you've ever made. My advice can easily be used to justify purchases that give you a quick hit of instant gratification before you recognize that you made a terrible mistake. Next thing you know, you're dropping $175 on an Adventure Time Christmas sweater, not realizing that none of the fifty-year-olds at your office holiday party even know the show until you open the package. Now look, I'm not telling you this story to make fun of my housemate. All of us have held incredibly stupid beliefs at some point in our lives. Usually, we rely on other people to talk us out of whatever ridiculousness we currently have in our heads. Most of the time, relying on friends and family to stop us from being morons works pretty well. Of course, it doesn't work when everyone is being stupid. Sometimes, the entire market gets hit with an epidemic of people who are making really bad excuses to chase instant gratification. That's how bubbles happen. The dotcom bubble To get a better idea of how this works, we can take a look at the dotcom bubble of the late 90s and early 2000s. Back in 1999, the Internet was still relatively new and user numbers were going up exponentially. From 1995 to 1999, it's estimated that the number of global Internet users went from 16 million to 248 million. Those numbers made investors very excited. They started pouring huge amounts of money into any Internet company they could find. The demand for dotcom stocks reached unreal levels. During 1999, the average IPO closed 90% over its offering price on the first day of trading. It didn't matter how unprofitable or nonsensical your business was, the public markets were still happy to buy your stock. For example, Webvan, a company that promised to deliver customers groceries in 30 minutes, raised $375 million in a 1999 IPO. Let's be real — there's no way any company in the 90s could have delivered on that promise. Even today, Amazon doesn't offer 30-minute grocery delivery despite the fact they have the most sophisticated delivery operation in the world and own more than 500 Whole Foods stores in North America. Eventually, reality hit. The tech sector started crashing in the year 2000 when interest rates rose and Wall Street guys started actually looking at the balance sheets of the tech companies they were investing in. They quickly realized that companies like Webvan were unprofitable and didn't have any viable path to actually start making money. The NASDAQ index, which contains most tech stocks, lost 39% of its value that year. It wouldn't get back to pre-crash levels until 2015. As we can all know now, the Internet was a game-changer, and there have been many billion-dollar companies built on top of it. The problem wasn't that the Internet was all hype — investors who poured money into dotcom companies were just getting way ahead of themselves. While there were a few big winners in that era like Amazon and eBay, lots of other successful Internet companies were still years away. The infrastructure that was needed to actually make the Internet a great place for users and businesses wasn't there yet — broadband speeds were still incredibly slow in the 90s. Plus, the one innovation that made the Internet a constant presence in people's lives — the smartphone — wouldn't become popular until 2007 with the release of the iPhone. What can we learn from all this? Even though I was just a kid when the dotcom bubble happened, I can totally imagine what was going through the heads of investors at that time. It's not easy to stay rational and try to make reasonable decisions when you see all your friends becoming insanely wealthy in just a few months. You get jealous and then you want to jump in. Soon enough, the whole market is driven by the emotions of people who don't want to be the only person in their friend group who didn't get rich. Plus, it's important to remember that there have been bubbles around exciting new pieces of technology since the dawn of time. Just like the dotcom bubble, there was a bubble in canals in the 1700s and a bubble in railroads in the 1800s. All of these technologies turned out to be a big deal for humanity's progress as a species. Still, human beings got too excited each time and ended up losing tons of money. So how do you avoid losing money in a bubble? Here's a quote from William Bernstein, where he talks about what he would tell someone who's afraid of getting caught up in a bubble. I would ask them how empathetic they are. When they see someone around them happy, do they get happy? When they see someone around who is very sad, do they get sad along with them? And if you answer those two questions yes, then you really have to be on your guard, because that tells you that you're the kind of person who is going to feed off other people's investing emotions, which is death in investing.The trick is having as much self-awareness as possible. Personally, I've been trying to do that by writing down my investment decisions. Honestly, I could be better about it — I don't do it as much as I should. Still, it's the best way to force yourself to look at the reasons why you're making certain decisions. If you end up losing money, you can always come back to what you wrote to figure out where you went wrong. In conclusion My housemate wasn't the first person who got sucked into really bad financial decisions by the stupidity of the people surrounding him. He's definitely not going to be the last one either. We all get sucked into bubbles — it's just human nature. The only way out is through self-awareness. Anyway, if you liked what you read, sign up for our weekly newsletter. If you enjoyed hearing about my housemate ruining his bank account, you'll definitely enjoy our weekly articles on business, tech, and investing. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit sundayspecial.substack.com

In this episode, Emily Gutowski (host) interviews Dr. William Bernstein, a neurologist, financial theorist, and author. They speak about the importance of learning to manage finances early on in one’s medical career, as well as some of the hurdles faced specifically by young trainees. Lastly, Dr. Bernstein provides suggestions for individuals looking to start investing. Linked resources: https://www.amazon.com/White-Coat-Investor-Personal-Investing/dp/0991433106 https://www.etf.com/docs/IfYouCan.pdf

Our guest this week is noted author and advisor, William Bernstein. Bill’s background and entree to finance is unique--a neurologist by training, Bill taught himself the principles of investing and asset allocation, eventually parlaying that knowledge into a successful financial advisory practice and a series of influential, critically acclaimed books such as The Intelligent Asset Allocator, The Four Pillars of Investing, If You Can: How Millennials Can Get Rich Slowly, and his latest, The Delusions of Crowds.Background BioBooks“Bernstein: ‘I Don’t Think the System Needs Nudges. I Think the System Needs Dynamite,’”The Long View Podcast, May 7, 2019. Current Market EnvironmentThe Wisdom of Crowds, by James Surowiecki“A Stock Market Bubble Is Forming,” by John Rekanthaler, Morningstar.com, Oct. 20, 2020.“From 1720 to Tesla, FOMO Never Sleeps,” by Jason Zweig, wsj.com, July 17, 2020.“The 4 Pillars of Investing,” by Larissa Fernand, Morningstar.com, June 19, 2020.“4 Ways Today’s Stock Market Resembles That of the Late 1990s,” by John Rekenthaler, Morningstar.com, March 4, 2021. Inflation, Bonds, and Other Asset Classes“The Case for Minimizing Risk in Your Bond Holdings,” by William Bernstein, wsj.com, Oct. 18, 2015.Inflation, Deflation, Confiscation & Devastation--The Four Horsemen of Risk,” by Wade Pfau, forbes.com, March 4, 2020. “What if Inflation Isn’t Dead?” by John Rekenthaler, Morningstar.com, Aug. 11, 2020.Pioneering Portfolio Management: An Unconventional Approach to Institutional Investment by David F. Swensen.“Fran Kinniry: Applying the Vanguard Approach to Private Equity,” The Long View Podcast, April 1, 2020. “What Are SPACs and Should I Care?” by David Sekera, Morningstar.com, March 2, 2021. Retirement“How to Think About Risk in Retirement,” by William Bernstein, wsj.com, Nov. 30, 2014.“Retirement Planning When You Have Enough,” by Christine Benz, Morningstar.com, Sept. 11, 2020."Of Viruses, Distressed Sales, and Stocks' 'Rightful Owners,' " by Bill Bernstein, efficient frontier.com, 2020. ETFs“No Room on the ARK?” by Ben Johnson and Bobby Blue, Morningstar.com, March 3, 2021. “Digging Into ARK Innovation’s Portfolio,” by Amy Arnott, Morningstar.com, Feb. 18, 2021. “Gerard O’Reilly: Control for the Unexpected, Focus on the Expected,” The Long View Podcast, Jan. 26, 2021. 

For this episode of the Rational Reminder Podcast, we review our year by playing back and discussing a collection of the most impactful moments of the show from 2020. This has been a drastic year filled with many learnings for us all, and in today’s show, we cover topics of happiness, decision making, dealing with uncertainty, and the connection that financial planning and investing have to all of this. We collect some amazing gems of wisdom from guests like Annie Duke, Ken French, Michael Kitces, Patricia Lovett-Reid, and a whole lot more, whittling down an original list of over one hundred of this year’s finest moments to a collection of just 45. The show starts out exploring themes of the connection between wealth and happiness, keeping cool in stressful times, and the transformations that crises kickstart. From there, we talk about the importance of models and systems for informing investing and behaviour in general, and the idea that unexpected outcomes swamp expected ones in the short term. We also look at what market history has to say about staying in your seat rather than market timing when things look bleak. Next up, we cover themes of the value of a flexible approach to retirement spending, how families should think about financial planning, whether 60/40 portfolios are dead, and why stock market returns in the U.S. are higher under Democratic presidents. Moving onto the subject of decision making, we explore some of our guests’ thoughts on evaluating decisions, outcomes bias and the role of luck, and more. We also consider the topic of human capital, how it relates to investing, and what we should really be spending our time on. The subject of the convergence of brokerage firms and financial advisors then leads to a great exploration of the role of financial advisors. We wrap up with some extra special perspectives on how optimal financial planning should be geared around the person that you want to be rather than maximizing wealth for the sake of it. Tune in today for an amazing overview of the year and to hear all the ways we have changed and grown thanks to our incredible guests.   Key Points From This Episode: Looking back on the year: Pandemic adjustments and how this podcast has grown. [0:00:15] Shoutouts and Cameron’s method of putting past clips together for today’s show. [0:06:20] Brian Portnoy and Andrew Hallam on wealth and happiness. [0:09:15] Dealing with stress and volatility with Dr. Moira Somers and Dave Goetsch. [0:13:48] Craig Alexander on market volatility and Jim Stanford on crisis and revolution. [0:18:27] Dave Goetsch and Greg Zuckerman on the benefit of models and systems. [0:23:11] The role of unexpected returns in outcomes and how to deal with this. [0:27:04] Small and value stocks relative to the market with Dr. William Bernstein. [0:33:09] Ken French and Cliff Asness on whether ‘this time is different’. [0:35:29] Enduring tracking error with Cliff Asness and Andrew Hallam. [0:38:37] Cliff Asness on whether 60/40 is dead and Lubos Pastor on why stock market returns in the US are higher under Democratic presidents. [0:41:00] Changing your risk portfolio when the market is dropping with Ken French. [0:45:25] Market timing versus awareness of investing history with Mark Hebner and Dr. Bernstein. [0:48:20] Wade Pfau on how expected returns fit into financial planning and the ‘safety first’ approach. [0:52:15] Moshe Milevsky on retirement spending and Pattie Lovett Reid on addressing one’s financial situation. [0:56:13] Annie Duke, Ken French, and Victor Ricciardi on making and evaluating decisions. [1:00:05] Greg Zuckerman on the role of luck in decisions leading to positive outcomes. [1:08:15] Forecasting as a way of knowing the range of outcomes with Craig Alexander. [1:11:15] Moshe Milevsky and Dr. Bernstein on human capital, financial planning, investing and asset allocation. [1:13:34] Josh Brown on what to spend your time on and Fred Vettesse on when to start saving. [01:16:28] Michael Kitces on the convergence of brokerage firms and financial advisors. [01:19:20] Dennis Mosey Williams and Ken French on financial advice for gaining wealth and being content. [01:20:57] Allison Schrager on the role of financial advisors for mitigating systematic risk. [01:25:00] Mark Hebner on the role of financial advisors for explaining a range of outcomes. [01:26:38] Scott Rieckens and Dennis Mosey Williams on what finding happiness means. [01:30:03]

There is a well-known economist named William Bernstein who originally asked the question “When you’ve won the game, why keep playing?” But should people who are retired avoid the stock market completely? An article on the Motley Fool follows the same line of thought. You do need a plan for withdrawing your money in retirement that is different from your plan for building your nest egg and it needs to be in place before you need to withdraw from your assets. A good rule of thumb is to not have money that you expect you will have to spend in the next five years invested in stocks. If you want to mitigate longevity risk and tax-rate risk, the only way is to have an annuity that gives you a tax-free stream of income for life. If it’s inflation adjusted, that’s even better. The issue is that most annuities are implemented in the tax-deferred bucket. You must find an annuity that allows you to do a Piecemeal Internal Roth Conversion and convert that annuity over time to a Roth IRA. Accomplishing this during the first five years of retirement is where most people run into problems. Chuck Saletta doesn’t completely discount the idea of investing in the stock market during retirement, but believes that for the money you need several years from now, the stock market is one of the few ways to generate the returns you need to accomplish those goals. Ultimately, as you transition to relying on your portfolio to cover your costs of living, you will want to strike that balance between short and long term money. Just because you’ve won the game, that doesn’t mean that you can’t do even better over time. In the Power of Zero paradigm, after you have set up the systems to afford your lifestyle expenses in retirement you will still have other discretionary expenses that will arise. These can include healthcare expenses, family requirements, or aspirational expenses and go above and beyond your lifestyle requirements. Any money that is not earmarked to paying for lifestyle expenses, taxes on Roth Conversions, and LIRP contributions during the first five to six years of retirement should be allocated to an aggressive stock market portfolio. This gives you the ability to wait a year and allow the stock market to recover if necessary before drawing money from your portfolio. The bottom line is that you need to keep money invested in the stock market for all the expenses that will be earmarked after the Roth Conversion. You need to grow that money as efficiently as possible over the expected 30 years of your retirement if you want to have any hope of being able to pay for your discretionary expenses. Just because the numbers say you’ve won the game, that doesn’t mean it’s time to take all your money out of the stock market. Instead, you should be guaranteeing your lifestyle expenses and anything else above that you can invest and take more risk on. Clients of the Power of Zero paradigm will also be funding their LIRP during the first five to seven years of retirement, which grows safely and productively and can be used to cover discretionary needs after the eleventh year. You should not be taking risk in investments that are going to be used to fund expenses early on in retirement. Work with your advisor to create a timeline that incorporates the right level of risk with investments that mature at the right times during your retirement. Once the Roth Conversion period is up, whatever money is not earmarked for the first five or six years of your retirement should be allocated to your high octane stock market portfolio so you can pay for any additional expenses you will need to cover. Stocks are not toxic once you retire, it is absolutely necessary that you continue to invest in stocks in such a way that your account lasts long enough to cover your discretionary needs during the balance of your retirement.

This week on the podcast, we examine proposed Senate legislation to create Congressional “rescue committees” that could propose cutbacks to Social Security and Medicare benefits.My guest is Nancy Altman, the president of Social Security Works, one of the leading progressive advocacy organizations for Social Security. Nancy also brings a unique vantage point as a scholar and historian of Social Security. And she also served on the staff of the Greenspan Commission, which succeeded in passing significant reforms to Social Security back in 1983.Senator Mitt Romney of Utah is the sponsor of the TRUST Act, a bill I consider to be ironically named, because it could lead to benefit cuts for these programs through a secretive closed-door committee process. The TRUST Act has been rattling around Congress for a while, but now it may be included in whatever pandemic relief bill the Senate Republicans wind up proposing. Yes, you heard that right - in the middle of a pandemic, Senate Republicans may propose a review of Social Security and Medicare that could lead to cutting these vital programs.The TRUST Act would require the U.S. Department of the Treasury to report to Congress on the health of the Social Security and Medicare trust funds within 45 days of passage. Congress would then appoint bipartisan committees to come up with recommendations by June of 2021. Then, lawmakers would be required to take an up or down vote on the proposals, with no amendments allowed.Ok, first - let’s stipulate that these trust funds have problems that need to be addressed. The Social Security trust fund is on track to be exhausted in about 15 years - at that point, it would have sufficient revenue coming in the door to pay roughly 80 percent of promised benefits. The Medicare hospital trust fund - which pays for Part A - is on track to be exhausted in 2026 - and it could be sooner than that due to the pandemic. But we don’t need reports from Treasury to know these things - the Social Security and Medicare trustees issue exhaustive, authoritative financial health reports annually. And we don’t need new analysis of ways to reform the programs - numerous studies, reports and Congressional hearings have been held in recent years, featuring testimony from experts representing all political and policy perspectives.But there’s a good reason why Republicans want this debated away from the public eye, especially where Social Security is concerned. Simply put, they want to advance ideas that the public doesn’t support, like higher retirement ages, means testing and a stingier annual cost of living increase. That is clear from their own legislative proposals in recent years, and the ideas they push in bipartisan policy settings, such as the 2016 report issued on retirement policy by the Bipartisan Policy Center. But public poll after public poll has shown that given the choice, the public would prefer higher taxes over benefit cuts. Sometimes, the Republicans come right out in the open and tell you why they want the debate to occur in private. Here’s Iowa Senator Joni Ernst at a town hall meeting last year:Click the player icon at the top of this page to listen to the podcast. And here’s my Reuters column this week, which discusses the TRUST Act.Not a subscriber yet? Take advantage of a special offerSign up now for the free or subscriber edition of the newsletter, and I’ll email a copy of my latest retirement guide to you. This one looks at dealing with the Social Security Administration during the COVID19 crisis. Customer service at the Social Security Administration has changed during the coronavirus crisis - the agency closed its network of more than 1,200 field offices to the public in March. Just a reminder- subscribers, have access to the entire series of guides at any time. Click on the little green button to subscribe, or go here to learn more.Why it’s time to fire your brokerJay Abolofia thinks it’s time to get rid of your broker.Jay is a fiduciary CFP, founder of his own planning firm, Lyon Financial Planning and an economist. You may recall that he joined me on the podcast back in March to talk about how to deal with fear of stock market volatility.Jay recently got back in touch with me about an article he posted on the high cost and financial conflicts involved in working with a stock broker - a timely topic, since the Security and Exchange Commission’s new (and toothless) “Regulation Best Interest” took effect recently. Jay’s post is titled Why it’s time to break up with your broker, and it details the numerous conflicts of interest and high fees that pose major barriers to your financial success. I’ve been highlighting this topic for years, but Jay did some great digging into the disclosure forms of the major brokerage firms, so I asked his permission to cross-post his article here:In his book The Four Pillars of Investing, financial theorist and author William Bernstein puts it bluntly:“Under no circumstances should you have anything to do with a full-service brokerage firm . . . Severing that professional relationship is necessary to your financial survival.”This is often easier said than done, as your broker may be your neighbor, friend or even family. In what follows, I shed light on the conflicts of interest and excessive fees that are commonplace in the brokerage industry today. (Please proceed with caution. What I’m about to share may shock you.)Your Broker is Not Your BuddyA stockbroker is a person in the business of buying and selling financial securities on behalf of customers. Long story short, a stockbroker is a professional salesperson. Brokers need trades to make money. Unlike investment advisors, who must register with the SEC or state securities regulator, brokers are not fiduciaries. Rather than being required by law to act in their clients’ best interest (like doctors, lawyers, bankers and accountants), brokers are instead subject to a “suitability” standard upheld by a private-sector organization. This standard says that brokers should “have a reasonable basis to believe a recommended transaction or investment strategy is suitable for the customer.” Yes, you read that correctly! As the old adage goes, a broker’s job is to slowly transfer his client’s assets to his own name.There are no educational requirements to be a broker. No courses in finance, economics or law. Not even a high-school diploma. Earn a 72% on the simple multiple choice Series 7 exam and you’re ready to manage other peoples’ life savings. Spend five minutes reading my Four Steps to Successful Long-term Investing and you’ll know far more than the average broker.Brokers have one incentive, and that is to earn their commission. This creates a minefield of conflicts. In their so-called Important Account Information booklet, a disclosure document hidden deeply within their website, Morgan Stanley beautifully summarizes many of these conflicts of interest. I count over twenty major conflicts (see pages 7-12). These read like a coup de grâce. Here are five I find particularly egregious.“A Financial Advisor has an incentive to recommend more transactions or to break transactions into smaller increments that might generate higher and more frequent commissions.”“A Financial Advisor has an incentive to recommend that you add more assets to your account, as it will generate a higher asset-based fee . . . [and earn them more] compensation based on certain milestones.”“Financial Advisors may receive more or less compensation if, for example, clients select certain products over others.”“Financial Advisors, could engage in outside business activities and investments or have outside or pre-existing relationships with product or service providers that conflict with their job responsibilities.""Financial Advisors are also compensated when their clients borrow funds."In short, you can’t trust much of anything your broker says. It’s not because they are inherently bad. It’s because they are trained and incentivized to sell, not to deliver objective advice.Your Broker Charges Exorbitant Asset-Based FeesBrokers are typically paid an investment management fee based on the amount of assets they manage in your accounts. These are called asset-based or assets under management (AUM) fees. These fees may or may not include any financial planning your broker provides and may be in addition to other fees, commissions, fund expenses, taxes, and investment-related costs. For example, a 2% AUM fee means you’ll pay $20K in fees this year on a $1M account. As the account grows, the fee grows proportionately.Below is a summary of AUM fees charged by some of the largest brokerage firms for their most common investment management service for retail customers. Morgan Stanley, Ameriprise and Wells Fargo take the cake for highest fees. Although publicly available, this information is a bear to uncover.[1] These fees are typically assessed on at least the first $1-5M in the account, depending on the broker and service, with slightly lower fees assessed on higher account balances.Two percent might not sound like much, until you consider that it’s ¼ to ½ of the gross annual return you may expect to earn in your accounts. Over years of investing, this can add up to hundreds of thousands of dollars lost, both to fees and lost investment growth—every dollar paid in fees is one less dollar earning compound interest in your account. With a 2% AUM fee, a $1M account growing at 6% a year will result in cumulative fees over 20 years of $623K and $443K in lost investment growth. This amounts to a loss of over $1M, or 48% of the account’s cumulative growth!Break Up With Your BrokerGiven these major conflicts of interest and exorbitant asset-based fees, Bernstein’s advice to break up with your broker really adds up. You’ll likely get much better financial advice and save hundreds of thousands of dollars by working with an independent, fee-only fiduciary. One with solid credentials and experience, who provides comprehensive financial planning, not just investment advice or management. Better yet, find an advisor who does all of this for a straightforward fixed-fee and your future self will thank you![1] Fee information can often be found in the firm’s disclosure documents. For example, read the section on “fees and compensation” in the firm’s “wrap fee” program brochure or ADV Part 2A. Here are source links I used for each firm: Morgan Stanley, Ameriprise, Wells Fargo, Merrill Lynch, Edward Jones, UBS, Fidelity, Charles Schwab. This is a public episode. Get access to private episodes at retirementrevised.substack.com/subscribe

In keeping with our recent tide of incredible guests, today’s one is no exception. Dr. William Bernstein, a financial theorist, advisor, and neurologist, joins us to share some of his incredible insights. As the author of several seminal books such as The Intelligent Asset Allocator and The Four Pillars of Investing, Dr. Bernstein has made his mark applying his medical evidence-based approach to investing. These works have had a particularly strong influence on Cameron when he made the transition from active mutual funds earlier in his career, so it was an incredible honour to have him on the show. In this episode, we dive into a range of topics. We kick off with the importance of understanding investment theories and market history along with why Dr. Bernstein believes young investors should cross their fingers and hope for a bear market. We then take a look at how overconfidence and ill-discipline affect investment decisions and how investors can test their risk appetite in real-time. From there, we turn our attention to small-cap and value stocks and Dr. Bernstein’s take on them and the role they should play in your portfolio. We round the show off by discussing the real economic issue that Dr. Bernstein thinks the pandemic is bringing to the fore in the US, the parallels he has seen between his medical and his financial advisory career, and some of his frustrations in communicating financial advice. Be sure to tune into this phenomenal episode.    Key Points From This Episode: Learn more about today’s guest, Dr. William Bernstein, and his background. [0:01:06.0] An overview of value averaging and how it’s different from dollar-cost averaging. [0:02:37.0] Why Dr. Bernstein believes it’s so important for investors to understand investing theory. [0:05:14.0] What it means to understand the several facets of market history. [0:06:28.0] Insights into return sequence and why young investors should hope for bear markets. [0:08:11.0] Why generational underperformance is arguably a bigger risk than volatility. [0:09:39.0] Why people are so bad at evaluating their risk tolerance and how they should assess it. [0:11:54.0] Bernstein’s take on whether young investors should be using leverage. [0:15:15.0] Insights on premiums for small-cap and value stocks and the reason to not build an entire portfolio of them. [0:15:49.0] Dollar-cost averaging vs value cost averaging: Dr. Bernstein’s position. [0:19:37.0] Factors that influence the shift from an equity biased portfolio to a fixed-income one. [0:21:08.0] How to reconcile the idea that stocks can be less risky than bonds over time. [0:23:58.0] When Dr. Bernstein would make the rare recommendation of an annuity. [0:25:33.0] The difference between financial systems and airfoils and electric circuits. [0:27:29.0] Why Dr. Bernstein calls mean-variance optimizer an error maximizer. [0:29:28.0] Bernstein’s opinions on gold and some of the problems he sees with it. [0:30:34.0] What Dr. Bernstein is really worried about with the securities market in the COVID crisis. [0:31:49.0] The similarities between neurology and financial advisory and what motivated Dr. Bernstein’s transition. [0:35:04.0] The impact that the current crisis is likely to have on global trade. [0:38:01.0] Find out what Dr. Bernstein thinks about the US Central Bank’s crisis response. [0:39:24.0] The lessons that Dr. Bernstein has learned about communicating financial topics. [0:40:46.0]

Another episode of the Independent Thinking Show for FifthWrist Radio. Join hosts Roman (@TimesRomanAU) and a FifthWrist alumnus Adam (@mediumwatch) as we chat with today's special guest Victor (“Last Name Unknown”) – about collecting indie watches, economics of luxury goods and just why totalitarian leaders are great wristwatch influencers to a generation of young affluent guys.  Join us for a conversation about Devon Works, Ressence, Veblen goods and Vladimir Putin (seriously – you will be surprised how they all fit together!) We discuss why Vacheron doesn't sell well in China these days but Hublot does; marketing strategies in the East/West; and just how to view watch collecting through an economist's loupe! Great chat with a couple of great and thoughtful gents who happen to be watch collectors and economists. The odd seagulls also drops by for a chirp.  Honestly – no calculators needed for this one! Just open minds. Hope you enjoy this episode! A special shout-out to good friend of the podcast (@jnshapiro_watches) about 5 minutes in; and Max Busser (@maxbusser) about 48 minutes in.  Thank you for all the positive reviews & comments on our episodes. We read and appreciate each one! Recommendations from this episode Victor: “The Birth of Plenty” by William Bernstein (book) Adam: Horolonomics Blog Roman: The Watchmaker's Apprentice movie (available on Neflix) Theme Music: Tick Tock by Jimmy Fontanez / Media Right Productions (via YouTube Free Audio Library) Follow us on Instagram: @FifthWrist To join our crew group chat then please email us at contact@fifthwrist.com and if you have time please leave us a review wherever you listen to our podcast. We hope you enjoy listening to this episode as much as we enjoyed making it! Stay On Time & Cheers from DownUnder

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With private equity investments increasing in popularity, you may feel the pressure to expand your portfolio. Today’s episode, we look at the data behind private equity returns to see if these investments add something to your portfolio that you couldn’t get elsewhere. But first, we discuss some big news — that slow-moving Dimensional Fund Advisors are entering the ETF marketplace. After looking at the implications of this move, we use a Harvard paper as our springboard into the topic of private equity. By exploring the shift in demand for private equity, the paper establishes the context for why investors, especially institutions, are seeking higher returns. Looking at research from AQR, we talk about their finding that private equity returns are overvalued, despite them being historically good investments. You’ll hear how the risks underlying private equity are obscured by a ‘return smoothing effect’ and why people are willing to overpay to get smooth returns. We examine how the gap between private and public equity returns has narrowed along with AQR’s argument that market changes have caused private equity investments to perform poorly. After AQR, we move onto a paper by Erik Stafford which shows that small-cap investing yields similar returns to private equity — with the advantage that you don’t have to pay high private equity fees. We round off the episode with a discussion on the benefits of spousal loans before talking about this week’s bad financial advice. This is a valuable episode for those wondering about adding private equity to their portfolios. Listen to find out why that might not be in your best interest.    Key Points From This Episode: Updates on our brilliant future guests — Jim Stanford and William Bernstein. [0:01:50] That Jim Stanford’s book provides an excellent view of money and banking in capitalism. [0:02:49] The big news; Dimensional Fund Advisors are entering the ETF marketplace. [0:04:50] The similarity between Avantis Investments and Dimensional Fund’s offerings. [0:06:05] Speculation on why Dimensional Fund Advisors are moving into the ETF space. [0:09:06] The benefit of ETFs — if you want out, then you have to pick up the spread [0:13:12] How ETFs might affect investor discipline and what ETF demand might look like. [0:14:06] Other Dimension news; 16 Canadian funds will get a management fee reduction. [0:15:39] Corrections to a chart on Twitter showing investors selling their equity holdings. [0:16:16] Hear about Capital and Ideology, Benjamin’s book of the week. [0:17:38] How private equity is becoming increasingly popular. [0:19:26] Why, generally, you shouldn’t include U.S ETFs in your portfolio. [0:21:20] The massive shift towards private equity investment from numerous entities. [0:24:08] How the timing has caused large institutions to look for higher returns. [0:25:33] Why expected returns from private equity were historically good and why this is no longer the case. [0:27:50] How private equity trading results in an artificial ‘return smoothing effect’. [0:29:10] That the valuation gap between private and public equity has narrowed. [0:31:40] What other mechanisms lead to an overvaluation of private equity. [0:32:28] Why IRRs, as opposed to PMEs, can be easily gamed, rendering them unreliable. [0:37:00] The historical conditions that led to high returns from private equity. [0:40:50] Comparing the expected return for public and private equity. [0:43:25] How Erik Stafford’s paper agrees that public equity risk is under-stated. [0:47:06] The difference in dispersion between private and public mutual equity funds. [0:49:30] Why private equity past performance isn’t a predictor of future returns. [0:50:55] How spousal loans allow your partner to make investments with your money. [0:54:24] The potential tax savings that result from spousal loans. [01:01:20] Why you should probably include spousal loan debt forgiveness in your will. [01:03:45] Hear the show’s bad advice of the week; the return of 90s investment ideas. [01:06:16]

William Bernstein es considerado uno de los héroes de la inversión independiente. Bernstein ha forjado su reputación reflexionando sobre la sabiduría de Wall Street, cuestionando las prácticas de los brokers y demostrando a los inversores cómo gestionar sus inversiones con inteligencia y éxito a largo plazo. Durante este #WebinarioVS repasaremos con Marcos Álvarez las enseñanzas de este clásico moderno con el que Bernstein pretende mostrarnos cómo sortear los obstáculos y mantener el rumbo hacia una inversión a largo plazo que genere riqueza para nosotros y nuestras familias.   Si te ha gustado el programa, déjanos un comentario y danos una valoración alta en la plataforma donde lo hayas escuchado. No olvides darte de alta en www.valueschool.es para obtener información sobre nuestras actividades y acceder a todo nuestro material gratuito. Recuerda que también puedes seguirnos en Facebook, Twitter, Instagram y en nuestro canal de YouTube. Muchas gracias por tu atención. (Música: "Corporate Innovative" by Scott Holmes). http://www.scottholmesmusic.com

Hello Listeners, Today is a very special episode with William Bernstein, PhD in Chemistry, MD, Co-principal of Efficient Frontier Advisors, and author. William practiced neurology. He authored several books including “The Intelligent Asset Allocator”, “A Splendid Exchange”, and his upcoming new book on the Madness of Crowds and human behavioral finance. In today’s episode we discuss CoVid and the potential effects. Enjoy and thanks for the listen!

On this week's episode, Ben sits down with investor, author, and market historian William Bernstein to put the current crash into perspective with history's worst crises. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Our guest this week is Lawrence Hamtil. Lawrence is a principal at Fortune Financial Advisors, an independent Registered Investment Advisor firm he co-founded in 2008. He provides financial advice and investment management services to the firm’s high-net-worth clients. Lawrence came to our attention on social media, where he can be found on twitter at @lhamtil. A prolific researcher and excellent writer, Lawrence frequently publishes investments research and commentary on Fortune Financial’s blog. His research has covered a lot of ground, but a few topics have gained him a following, including his work on the role of sectors and industries in explaining stocks returns; the low-volatility phenomenon; sin stocks; equal-weighted portfolios; and more. Lawrence is a graduate of Rockhurst University..Background and InfluencesLawrence Hamtil bio  Fortune Financial advisor blog  Lawrence Hamtil’s twitter account @lhamtil  “Contrarian Investment Ideas” by David Dreman; May 18, 1998 “Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits” by Phil Fisher; Jan. 1, 1960 Value Investing and Inflation“Who Killed Value?” by William Bernstein; Efficient Frontier blog “How Inflation Makes the Value Factor a Sector Bet” by Lawrence Hamtil; Fortune Financial blog; May 14, 2019Equal-Weighting and Inflation“The Inflation Advantage of Equal Weight” by Lawrence Hamtil; Fortune Financial blog; Aug. 28, 2018  Sectors and Industries: Importance to Stock Returns“Hedge Fund Contagion and Liquidity Shocks” by Nicole Boyson, Christof Stahel, and Rene Stulz; Journal of Finance, Volume 55, No. 5. October 2010.Financial Advisor Conflicts“Breaking Down 50 Years of Industry Data” by Lawrence Hamtil; Fortune Financial blog; Jan. 17, 2020  “Is Risk a Function of Sector or Size?” by Lawrence Hamtil; Fortune Financial blog; Jan. 22, 2019  “Is Risk a Function of Sector or Size? Part II” by Lawrence Hamtil; Fortune Financial blog; July 24, 2019  “The Perils of Sector Bias” by Lawrence Hamtil; Fortune Financial blog; Oct. 29, 2018 “The Compelling Case for Mid Cap Stocks” by Lawrence Hamtil; Fortune Financial blog; June 27, 2019  “Compendium of Posts on Investing in Emerging Markets” by Lawrence Hamtil; Fortune Financial blog; Aug. 15, 2019  Low-Volatility Factor“Compendium of Low Volatility Articles” by Lawrence Hamtil; Fortune Financial blog; July 22, 2019  Andrew Miller’s Twitter account @millerak42  Sin Stocks“Casino Stocks and the Missing Sin Premium” by Lawrence Hamtil; Fortune Financial blog; Feb. 18, 2019 “Virtue Is Its Own Reward: Or, One Man’s Ceiling Is Another Man’s Floor” by Cliff Asness; AQR; May 18, 2017

Quick Recap of Episodes 5 and 6 where we talked about investing:  Make sure you are learning from the right resources Independent resources: i.e - John Bogle, Burton Malkiel, Charles Ellis, William Bernstein, Larry Swedrow, Daniel Solin, Rick Ferri, David Swensen, Frank Armstrong III, Warren Buffett Avoid the salespeople and being careful on how much media you tune into and listening to family and friends Did you take a look at your investments and any debt you have out there?  Factor in opportunity costs Remember to keep your emotions at bay (Fear, Greed, Overconfidence) Recent market events Review the terminology I included in the show notes on episode 5 (recency bias, reversion to the mean, alpha, loss aversion, expense ratio, cost basis, asset allocation, negative correlated assets, rule of 72, rebalancing, efficient market hypothesis, modern portfolio theory In this episode we will cover: Importance of asset allocation and what it is How to get your ideal asset allocation Rebalancing method(s) Historical returns of cash, bonds, stocks, real estate - plus and minuses of each of those investments Resources: Fame and French. Historical Averages based on different asset allocations. For more information on the episode visit: https://peelingbacklayers.com/podcast/

Our guest this week is David Blanchett, head of retirement research for Morningstar Investment Management. In his role at Morningstar, Blanchett works to enhance the Investment Management group's consulting and investment services and conducts research primarily in the areas of financial planning, tax planning, annuities, and retirement. He's also adjunct professor of wealth management at The American College of Financial Services.Blanchett's research has been published in a variety of academic and industry journals, such as the Financial Analysts Journal, the Journal of Financial Planning, The Journal of Portfolio Management, The Journal of Retirement, and The Journal of Wealth Management. His research won the Journal of Financial Planning's 2007 Financial Frontiers Award, the Retirement Income Industry Association's 2012 Thought Leadership Award, the Journal of Financial Planning's 2014 and 2015 Montgomery-Warschauer Awards, and the Financial Analysts Journal's 2015 Graham & Dodd Scroll Award.BackgroundDavid Blanchett's bioDavid Blanchett's research archiveQuantifying the Value of AdviceAlpha, Beta, and Now ... GammaThe Value of a Gamma-Efficient PortfolioVanguard Advisor's AlphaCapital Sigma: The Advisor AdvantageReducing Wealth Volatility: The Value of Financial Advice as Measured by ZetaRetirementAnnuities are Likely Coming to Your 401(k). Should You Use Them?A Safe Harbor for Annuities Could Help Retirement SaversSave More Today: Improving Retirement Savings Rates With Carrots, Advice, and NudgesNudge, by Richard Thaler and Cass SunsteinBehavioral Nudges for Goals-Based Financial PlanningYou Can't Fix What You Can't Measure, Aron Szapiro on The Long View podcastI Don't Think the System Needs Nudges. I Think the System Needs Dynamite, William Bernstein on The Long View podcastMan Bites Dog! Congress Is Writing Retirement Legislation!Retiree Survey: Nearly All Say They Are Happy Though Many Are Financially InsecureEstimating the True Cost of RetirementExploring the Retirement Consumption Puzzle75 Must-Know Statistics About Long-Term Care: 2018 EditionThe 4% Rule Is Not Safe in a Low-Yield WorldSimple Formulas to Implement Complex Withdrawal StrategiesReducing Retirement Risk With a Rising Equity Glide-PathRevisiting the Optimal Distribution Glide PathAnnuitized Income and Optimal Asset AllocationShould Annuities Be Purchased From Tax-Sheltered Assets?The Home as a Risky AssetCareful With That Company StockAbout the Podcast: The Long View is a podcast from Morningstar. Each week, hosts Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak conduct an in-depth discussion with a thought leader from the world of investing or personal finance. The podcast is produced by George Castady and Scott Halver.About the Hosts: Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak have been analysts and commentators on investments and the investment industry for many years. Christine is Morningstar's director of personal finance and senior columnist for Morningstar.com. Jeff is head of global manager research for Morningstar Research Services, overseeing Morningstar's team of 120 manager research analysts in the U.S. and overseas.To Share Feedback or a Guest Idea: Write us at TheLongView@morningstar.com(Disclaimer: This recording is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Opinions expressed are as of the date of recording. Such opinions are subject to change. The views and opinions of guests on this program are not necessarily those of Morningstar, Inc. and its affiliates. Morningstar and its affiliates are not affiliated with this guest or his or her business affiliates unless otherwise stated. Morningstar does not guarantee the accuracy, or the completeness of the data presented herein. Jeff Ptak is an employee of Morningstar Research Services LLC. Morningstar Research Services is a subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. and is registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Morningstar Research Services shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from or related to the information, data analysis or opinions or their use. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. All investments are subject to investment risk, including possible loss of principal. Individuals should seriously consider if an investment is suitable for them by referencing their own financial position, investment objectives and risk profile before making any investment decisions.)

Our guest this week is noted author and advisor, William Bernstein. Bill’s background and entree to finance is unique—a neurologist by training, Bill self-taught himself the principles of investing and asset allocation, eventually parlaying that knowledge into a successful financial advisory practice and a series of influential, critically acclaimed books such as "The Intelligent Asset Allocator." In this conversation, we explore Bill’s background and how it shaped his development and thinking as an investor and how he applies those lessons in working with clients who are trying to meet goals like a comfortable, secure retirement. “I had to figure out how to save and invest on my own”: Bill’s crash course into investing and constructing a portfolio (1:29) “I had to figure out how to save and invest on my own”: Bill’s crash course into investing and constructing a portfolio (1:29) • “I had to figure out how to save and invest on my own”: Bill’s crash course into investing and constructing a portfolio (1:29) • Separating the wheat from the chaff: How Bill decides what investing research matters and what doesn’t (4:30) • Top of the list: Books that profoundly influenced Bill’s investment philosophy and approach (5:45) • “The overwhelming science of investing does not speak well of active management”: Bill on why empirical data ought to settle most questions (and why active-share doesn’t hold up to scrutiny) (7:02) • “You approach it with extreme caution”: Bill explains why investors should be skeptical of most factors they encounter in the “factor zoo”, save a few (9:27) • A question that’s giving Bill pause: Is value too crowded a trade? (10:33) • Is low-volatility the most attractive factor from a behavioral standpoint? Bill worries it’s gotten too expensive. (12:02) • Fingers (and toes) crossed: Bill thinks value is cheap enough to stick with (12:55) • “Really, not very much”: Bill on how his approach to asset allocation has evolved over time (13:43) • “The riskiness of stocks is not an intrinsic characteristic of stocks; it’s more a characteristic of the investor”: Why stocks’ volatility doesn’t fluster younger investors, but freaks out older investors (14:38) • On how we tend to overrate our risk tolerance: “The difference between being able to see (losses) in a spreadsheet and actually manage (through losses) in real time is the difference between crashing an airplane in a flight simulator and in the real world” (15:38) • “If you’ve won the game, stop playing”: How to shake older investors out of their complacency with equity risk and recency bias (16:53) • “The very best physicians are consumed by self-doubt”: How a high ratio of “rumination-to-celebration” can help investors constructively reckon with shortcomings in their approach and improve (19:26) • Getting it wrong and therefore right: Bill explains how advisors can use their own fallibility and uncertainty to fortify their relationship with clients (versus scaring them to death) (21:12) • An argument with Jack Bogle: How a debate with the Vanguard founder about foreign-stock investing became an object lesson in how reality intrudes on theory (and how that informs Bill’s approach to managing clients) (22:56) • “You don’t appreciate it until bad things happen”: On whether the rally in riskier bonds has changed Bill’s tune on limiting fixed-income investments to short-term, high-grade fare (24:25) • “Investment is a process that transfers wealth to people that have a strategy and can execute it from those who don’t and can’t” (26:22) • “A reasonable hypothesis, but it got tested” (and failed): Bill on the argument for active bond investing (27:02) • Earthquakes and execrable returns: Why the best investing and economic gains have been realized in English-speaking countries. (Hint: It’s the law.) (27:48) • Emerging-markets stocks: Why they’re only a bargain when they’re cheap relative to their own history and developed markets (and still might not be inexpensive even in that case) (30:23) • Potential hazards: “The US markets are significantly overvalued relative to the rest of the world” (31:36) • “You’d have your head handed to you”: On the impermanence of investment measures, why it’s dangerous to extrapolate, and the implications for investors (32:54) • “When I think about my tombstone, ‘investment adviser’ is not one of the things I want to see up there” (34:00) • “We’re extremely choosy in who we take on. So we have a very enjoyable practice as a result of that” (35:49) • On retirement preparedness: “A slow-moving and fairly impressive disaster” (37:13) • “I don’t think the system needs nudges. I think the system needs dynamite”: Steps to radically redefine the retirement system (39:20) • “It would be nice if we had a system where people didn’t have to save quite so much, because that’s an unattainable goal for probably 80% of the population” (40:41) • The skunk-in-the-suburb analogy: We’re evolved to avoid the snake or the tiger, not to plan for retirement fifty years into the future (41:24) • What to do for investors who aren’t interested in finance or good with numbers: Limit investor autonomy, provide a generous match, offer a low-cost menu, default them into a target-date fund (43:03) • “One of the most important people in my life”: Remembering Jack Bogle (44:32) • “Something that everyone knows isn’t worth knowing”: Bill on the under-appreciated importance of corporate governance to security returns (46:46) • How Bill navigates ESG with his clients: He discourages them from pursuing it (49:25) • Principled but “bending”: How humility should make room for other ideas or priorities within a portfolio or plan (51:05)   • William Bernstein bio (CFA Institute) https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/author/williamjbernstein/ • William Bernstein’s “Efficient Frontier” website http://www.efficientfrontier.com/ • Mean-variance optimization: Explainer https://www.effisols.com/basics/MVO.htm • William Bernstein’s reading list http://www.efficientfrontier.com/reading.htm • Fama and French research papers https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=1455 • “A Random Walk Down Wall Street” by Burton G. Malkiel https://www.amazon.com/Random-Walk-Down-Wall-Street/dp/0393081435/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1324493412&sr=1-1 • “Bogle on Mutual Funds” by Jack Bogle https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/111908833X/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i4 • “The Intelligent Investor” by Benjamin Graham https://www.amazon.com/Intelligent-Investor-Definitive-Investing-Practical/dp/0060555661/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1324493602&sr=1-1 • “The Theory of Interest” by Irving Fisher https://www.amazon.com/Theory-Interest-Illustrated-Irving-Fisher-ebook/dp/B00CR32KGK • “The Arithmetic of Active Management” by William F. Sharpe • https://web.stanford.edu/~wfsharpe/art/active/active.htm • Active Share website https://activeshare.nd.edu/ • “Presidential Address: Discount Rates” by John H. Cochrane https://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/john.cochrane/research/papers/discount_rates_jf.pdf • Value (aka “book-to-market”) factor http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/Data_Library/det_form_btm.html • Momentum factor http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/Data_Library/det_mom_factor.html • Profitability factor http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/Data_Library/tw_5_ports_beme_op.html • “Your Complete Guide to Factor-based Investing” by Andrew L. Berkin and Larry E. Swedroe • https://www.amazon.com/dp/B01N7FCW2D/ref=dp-kindle-redirect?_encoding=UTF8&btkr=1 • Factor performance http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html#Research • Berkshire Hathaway 2018 shareholder letter http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2018ltr.pdf • “Betting Against Beta” by Andrea Frazzini and Lasse Heje Pedersen http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~lpederse/papers/BettingAgainstBeta.pdf • “Betting Against Beta” factor vs. value factor performance (10 years ended Feb. 2019) https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/factor-statistics?s=y&factorDataSet=-1&marketArea=0&__checkbox_ffmkt=true&__checkbox_ffsmb=true&__checkbox_ffsmb5=true&ffhml=true&__checkbox_ffhml=true&__checkbox_ffmom=true&__checkbox_ffrmw=true&__checkbox_ffcma=true&__checkbox_ffstrev=true&__checkbox_ffltrev=true&__checkbox_aqrmkt=true&__checkbox_aqrsmb=true&__checkbox_aqrhml=true&__checkbox_aqrhmldev=true&__checkbox_aqrmom=true&__checkbox_aqrqmj=true&aqrbab=true&__checkbox_aqrbab=true&__checkbox_trm=true&__checkbox_cdt=true&startDate=03%2F01%2F2009&endDate=03%2F31%2F2019 • “The Intelligent Asset Allocator” by William J. Bernstein https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0071385290/ref=s9_simz_gw_s0_p14_i1?pf_rd_m=ATVPDKIKX0DER&pf_rd_s=center-2&pf_rd_r=1NNWXTETT62HJ8QM9ZM6&pf_rd_t=101&pf_rd_p=470938631&pf_rd_i=507846 • “Availability” heuristic https://www.behavioraleconomics.com/resources/mini-encyclopedia-of-be/availability-heuristic/ • Dunning-Kruger effect https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10626367 • “Why Jack Bogle Doesn’t Own Non-U.S. Stocks” with Christine Benz and Jack Bogle (Oct. 22, 2018) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P54trh0Rre8 • “Will Active Stock Funds Save Your Bacon in a Downturn?” by Jeffrey Ptak https://www.morningstar.com/articles/852864/will-active-stock-funds-save-your-bacon-in-a-downt.html • “Global Stock Markets in the Twentieth Century” by Philippe Jorion and William N. Goetzmann, Journal of Finance https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/0022-1082.00133 • “Legal Determinants of External Finance” by Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silane, Andrei Shleifer, Robert W. Vishny, NBER Working Paper https://www.nber.org/papers/w5879 • Online Data Robert Shiller http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm • S&P 500 Shiller PE Ratio https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe • S&P 500 Price/earnings ratio https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-pe-ratio • S&P 500 Price/book ratio https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-price-to-book • National Retirement Risk Index, Center for Retirement Research at Boston College https://crr.bc.edu/special-projects/national-retirement-risk-index/ • “National Retirement Risk Index Shows Modest Improvements in 2016” by Alicia H. Munnell, Wenliang Hou, Geoffrey T. Sanzenbacher, Center for Retirement Research at Boston College https://crr.bc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/IB_18-1.pdf • “In Memoriam”, William J. Bernstein, Efficient Frontier http://efficientfrontier.com/ef/0adhoc/RIP-JCB.html • David Yermack, Albert Fingerhut Professor of Finance and Business Transformation, NYU Sterm, Publications https://its.law.nyu.edu/facultyprofiles/index.cfm?fuseaction=profile.publications&personid=20547

Bloomberg Opinion columnist Barry Ritholtz interviews William J. Bernstein, a neurologist and co-founder of the investment management firm Efficient Frontier Advisors. Bernstein has written several titles on finance and economic history, including “The Birth of Plenty,” “A Splendid Exchange” and “Masters of the Word,” about, respectively, the economic growth inflection of the early 19th century, the history of world trade, and the effects of access to technology on human relations and politics. He was also the 2017 winner of the James R. Vertin Award from CFA Institute.

Hello Listeners, Today is a very very special episode with William Bernstein. He is back for another episode in which we discuss his upcoming book, "The Madness of Crowds". We discuss the history of human irrationality. Dr. Bernstein is a retired neurologist and PhD. He authored many financial books such as "4 Pillars of Investing", "A Splendid Exchange", and many more. Enjoy and thanks for the listen!

Incassaforte Pod torna con la prima puntata del 2019 per parlarvi del recente crollo della borsa e di come abbiamo speso i nostri soldi nel 2018 Come sempre, potete scaricarlo ed iscrivervi su iTunes, oppure direttamente sulla pagina di podbean. I consigli della settimana sono: Andrea: The Four Pillars of Investing, di William Bernstein, e’ uno dei migliori libri che possiate leggere se volete avvicinarvi al mondo degli investimenti. Di facile comprensione anche se siete novizi, ma mai banale o scontato. Eccezionale.. Tommaso: Killers Of The Flower Moon, di David Grann, parla di cospirazioni, di come nel 1920 gli americani cercassero di fare qualunque cosa per fottere i nativi, e di come la corruzione dilagante tra le forze dedll'ordine abbia portato alla nascita dell'FBI. Carlo: Destinati alla Guerra, di Allison - Zurlo, cerca di piegare come, storicamente, la contestuale esitenza di due superpotenze abbia sempre portato alla guerra, e di come questa inevitabilita' si applichi alla Cina ed agli USA di oggi. Conducono: Carlo: @pedroTFP Tommaso: @tdebenetti Andrea: @incassaforte

Episode 29. On this episode, I interviewed a physician investing legend, Dr. William Bernstein. He is a neurologist turned financial author and investment advisor. Now most of us will not be able to reach the asset threshold need for him to manage our money, but the good news is we don’t have to. He provides great advice for the rest of us also. I have admired Dr. Bernstein’s approach to investing for many years and want to acknowledge him as one of the pioneers of index investing. His books are a must read for those who want to learn about financial history. Despite his tremendous expertise, he is very accessible and approachable and above all a teacher.   In this episode we discuss His basic advice to young physicians. What he recommends you do before investing. How you can construct a very simple yet effective portfolio His thoughts on cryptocurrency How does the FIRE movement affect asset allocation/savings rate? Whether or not most physicians need a financial advisor Dr. Bernstein’s website is  efficientfrontier.com On it there are great resources for beginning your financial education from beginner to more advanced levels. Join our email list or private facebook group and I will let you know how to get a copy of his book If you can for free for kindle. Although even if you listen to this podcast later and it is no longer free, this book is high value advice for very nominal amount. Please let your friends know about this podcast by sharing it on text, whatsapp or whatever social media platform you are on. More episodes of this podcast are available at www.doctormoneymatters.com and Apple Podcasts, Google Play, Stitcher, etc. All episodes are also now on YouTube (Audio only) and Facebook. You can follow me on twitter @drmoneymatters Please consider joining the Doctor Money Matters Facebook group. Thanks for listening and please leave us positive reviews and continue to share this podcast with your colleagues.  

The fifth NewRetirement podcast. This time, Steve Chen is joined by guest Bill Bernstein — a retired neurologist and best-selling author who has written six books around the themes of investing, asset allocation, history, and trade, including The Four Pillars of Investing, The Investor's Manifesto, and If You Can — and discusses the 5 hurdles between you and a financially secure retirement. They address each of the five hurdles, the ultimate reason people fail at investing properly, the role of financial advisors (or quite possibly, the lack thereof), social security, invaluable informational resources, the ideal investment portfolio, and much more. Recording, editing done by Davorin Robison. © 2018 NewRetirement Inc.

Welcome to an extra special episode of Fintech Insider - our 150th episode and it's a Halloween-themed show recorded in front of a live studio audience at our home in WeWork, London. Simon, David and Jason are joined by Valentina Kristensen, Head of Marketing at Oak North; Charlie Wood from Capco; Monty Munford, Journalist for titles such as Forbes, The Telegraph, The BBC and The Economist; and Jeremy Burge, the founder of Emojipedia. Straight on to the news and the guys discuss why Monzo has become a chat up line in London's bars and how maybe it's all to do with their sense of community. Plus, Britain's fintech boom has pushed finance trademarks to a record high. So where will new fintech company names come from? With reports this week that people trust Amazon almost as much as they trust their bank, we discuss just how close tech firms have got with their customers, and what that might mean for banking in future. Find out who our live audience trusts most. After Dark wasn't going to pass without talking about ICOs - so do they meet William Bernstein's four criteria for a 'bubble'? No live recording is complete without a good feature, so we have a bit of audience participation in Trick or Treat: Celebrity ICO & crypto endorsements, including Bono, Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson, and many more. Plus, the hotly anticipated return of the Fintech Wall of Emoji, introduced by the authority on Emoji interpretation, and Chief Emoji Officer, Jeremy Burge, and featuring Jamie Dimon vs bitcoin, iPhone X and "being the Uber of...". The guys also discuss SMBs; gender equality in banking and further afield; the Uber credit card; and Amazon Alexa's rib-tickling sense of humour. We had a fantastic night an we hope you did too - thanks to everyone who came to party with us, you made the night. Hope you enjoy the show and don't forget to leave us a review on iTunes! Let us know your thoughts @FintechInsiders or find us at podcasts@11fs.com. Special Guests: Charlie Wood, Monty Munford, and Valentina Kristensen.

In Episode 78, we welcome angel investor, Alex Rubalcava. As Meb and Alex are friends, we start with Meb recalling the first time he met Alex over some egg tacos. Alex goes on to give us more about his background, which took him from pension funds, to dot.coms to VC investing. Meb asks for more information on Alex’s group, Stage Venture Partners. Alex tells us that Stage is a classic seed venture fund. They invest in enterprise software companies that are about a year or two old. They look for companies that have a product in the market and are generating some early revenues. This dovetails into a broader discussion of how Alex landed on being a seed-stage investor, and the VC climate here in L.A. The guys talk about what Alex looks for, the size of the investment in a typical round for him, and where good ideas come from. It's not long before Meb references our podcast with angel investor, Jason Calacanis. We received a great deal of feedback after that show from listeners eager to start angel-investing. But Meb juxtaposes that interest with William Bernstein’s idea that most people shouldn’t invest their own money. Meb asks Alex if seed investing is harder than the way it’s presented. Alex responds with some interesting points about seeing the deal, understanding the deal, and winning the deal. In short, to see the right deals, you have to be in the right places, actively participating in the community. If not, you’ll never see the next Uber. To understand the deal, you must recognize what you’re seeing. Lots of people passed on Facebook, AirBnB, and Uber, because they didn’t have the vision to see what it could be. And in terms of winning the deal, often, the really great startups are oversubscribed, meaning they might need $2M of funding, but have $20M worth of interest. So it can be a challenge to convey your value to a startup to win a seat at the table. The guys then discuss how most of Alex’s deal flow comes across his desk. They discuss incubators, accelerators, going to conferences, calling people, you name it. But at the end of the day, Alex tells us he’ll look at about 1,000 start-ups this year, but will only make eight-to-ten investments. This bleeds into a conversation about the attrition rate as startups move throughout the funding process. As you’d guess, there’s a huge failure rate. The guys discuss the drop-offs through the various rounds, as well as the major reasons for them. Meb also asks when to double down on your bets? As part of this conversation, Alex tells us how attrition rates really vary by sectors. He discusses how investors in the consumer-based sector who didn’t get in on the big dogs like Facebook, Twitter, and Snapchat didn’t see anywhere near the returns that they would have otherwise. Meanwhile, other sectors have far more companies with successful exits (just not as monstrous as the Facebooks et al) – as Meb says, “more singles, doubles, and triples.” A bit later, the guys discuss the idea of “why now?” When Alex is considering an investment, the founder must be able to effectively answer “why now?” Many times, the idea is there, but the timing isn’t, perhaps due to cost, or the market simply isn’t ready. This eventually morphs into a conversation about the three biggest risks that a founder faces when starting a company: building the product, hiring the right people, and getting the customer. Meb switches gears, asking about about syndicates and funds. Are they right for investors looking to get exposure to angel investing? You’ll want to hear Alex’s perspective on this. He tells us that “If you’re going to be an angel investor…you have to be devoting significant time to it.” He goes further, saying that unless it’s close to your job, angel investing isn’t likely to be great for most people – yet investing in angel funds might be a good answer. Alex goes on to give us his reasons, and tells us there are some great angel investing funds that are worthy of consideration. He even mentions specifics. There’s way more in this episode, including the little-known angel-investing tax benefit that can save you millions – literally… Where Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning are likely headed… A mnemonic Alex uses to sort through the hype… And of course, Alex’s most memorable trade. All of you would-be angel-investors will be feeling the FOMO (“fear of missing out”). What are the details? Find out in Episode 78.

In Episode 60, we welcome the great William (Bill) Bernstein. Bill starts by giving us some background on how he evolved from medicine to finance. In short, faced with his own retirement, he knew he had to learn to invest. So he studied, which shaped own thoughts on the matter, which led to him writing investing books, which resulted in interest from the press and retail investors, which steered him into money management. After this background info, Meb jumps in, using one of Bill's books "If You Can" as a framework. Meb chose this as it starts with a quote Meb loves: "Would you believe me if I told you that there's an investment strategy that a seven-year-old could understand, will take you fifteen minutes of work per year, outperform 90 percent of financial professionals in the long run, and make you a millionaire over time?" The challenge is the "If" in the title. Of course, there are several hurdles to "if" which Meb uses as the backbone of the interview. Hurdle 1: "People spend too much money." Bill gives us his thoughts on how it's very hard for a large portion of the population to save. We live in a consumerist, debt-ridden culture that makes savings challenging. Meb and Bill discuss debt, the "latte theory," and the stat about how roughly half of the population couldn't get their hands on $500 for an emergency. Hurdle 2: "You need an adequate understanding of what finance is all about." Bill talks about the Gordon Equation, and how investors need an understanding of what they can realistically expect from stocks and bonds - in essence, you really need to understand the risks. Meb steers the conversation toward investor expectations - referencing polls on expected returns, which are usually pegged around 10%. Using the Gordon Equation, Bill's forecast comes in well-below this (you'll have to listen to see how low). The takeaway? Savings are all the more important since future returns are likely to be lower. This leads to a great conversation on valuation and bubbles. You might be surprised at how Bill views equity valuations here in the U.S. in the context of historical valuation levels. Bill tells us to look around: Is everyone talking about making fortunes in stocks? Or quitting good jobs to day trade? We don't see any of these things right now. He's not terribly concerned about valuations. Hurdle 3: "Learning the basics of financial and market history." Meb asks which market our current one resembles most from the past. Bill tells us it's a bit of a blend of two periods. This leads to a good discussion on how higher returns are more likely to be coming from emerging markets than the U.S. Hurdle 4: "Overcoming your biggest enemy - the face in the mirror." It's pretty common knowledge we're not wired to be good investors. So Meb asks the simple question why? And are there any hacks for overcoming it? Or must we all learn the hard way? Unfortunately, Bill thinks we just have to learn the hard way. He tells us "The more comfortable you are buying something, in general, the worse the investment it's going to be." Bill goes on to discuss the challenge of overconfidence and the Dunning-Kruger effect (there's an inverse correlation between competence and belief one has in their competence). Meb asks if there's one behavioral bias that's the most destructive. Bill answers with overestimating your own risk tolerance. You can model your portfolio dropping 30% and think you can handle it, but in when it's happening in real time, it feels 100% worse than how you anticipated it would. Hurdle 5: "Recognize the monsters that populate the financial industry." Basically, watch out for all the financial leeches who exist to separate you from your money. Bill tells us a great story about being on hold with a big brokerage, and the "financial porn" to which he was subjected as he waited. There's way more in this episode: Bill's thoughts on robos... What Bill thinks about any strategy that moves away from market cap weighting (Bill thinks "smart beta" is basically "smart marketing")... How buying a home really may not be a great investment after all... Cryptocurrencies... and even Meb's "secret weapon" of investing. All this and more in Episode 60.

Die 10 Großmeister der Börse (Teil 3) Höre einfach rein, Du kannst davon nur profitieren. Heute: Was kannst Du von John Templeton und William Bernstein lernen? Viel Spaß beim Reinhören, Dein Matthias Krapp Ab sofort kann ich Euch meine Lösung für eine langfristig, sicher und erfolgreiche Kapitalanlage anbieten. ---> https://www.werte-strategie.de Du hast Fragen oder möchtest Kontakt zu mir aufnehmen? Du findest mich bei Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/krapp.matthias?fref=ts oder bei Twitter: https://twitter.com/MatthiasKrapp Gerne kannst Du mir auch eine E-Mail schreiben an: krapp@a-vm.de Oder Du rufst mich einfach an: 0160 94195454 Folge meinem Podcast auch bei Itunes: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/die-werte-strategie-geld-clever/id1171644287 Wenn Dir mein Podcast gefällt, freue ich mich sehr über eine tolle Bewertung bei Itunes. Vielen Dank Dein Matthias Krapp

Découvrez vite le résumé du livre "Les 4 Piliers de l'Investissement" de William Bernstein...

William Bernstein is a financial theorist, neurologist and Best Selling author of several books, including one of our favorites, The Intelligent Asset Allocator. He shows independent investors how to build a diversified portfolio without the help of a financial advisor. In this episode we talk the possible risk tolerance of an all stock portfolio and what age you should be when investing. We discuss major advantages and disadvantages of lump sum investing over a dollar cost average approach especially over a 12-month period. Lastly the importance of knowing financial history to choose the best time to buy stocks and how it correlates with GDP. Listen to the end to hear Williams advice he would like to give to his younger self and other inspiring investors.  Relevant links for guest:  Williams Website – http://www.efficientfrontier.com/ Where are we: Sam – Bangkok Bill – Portland, Oregon Recommended Books: William Bernstein – The Intelligent Asset Allocator William Bernstein – The Four Pillars of Investing: Lessons for Building a Winning Portfolio William Bernstein – A Splendid Exchange: How Trade Shaped the World William Bernstein – The Investor’s Manifesto: Preparing for Prosperity, Armageddon, and Everything in Between Discussed (relevant links): Modern Portfolio Theory – http://www.efficientfrontier.com/ef/996/basics.htm Efficient Market Hypothesis – http://www.efficientfrontier.com/ef/700/studio54.htm The Bernstein Portfolio model – http://www.efficientfrontier.com/ef/996/cowards.htm Do not dollar cost average for more than 12-months – http://www.efficientfrontier.com/ef/997/dca.htm Time Stamp – Topic: 06:00 – How Bill got into finance 06:45 – A quantitative approach to finance 07:15 – The Intelligent Asset Allocator 08:15 – Modern portfolio theory 10:35 – The Bernstein asset allocation model 11:50 – Dialling up the stock exposure 12:15 – Stocks vs. bonds 13:00 – Risk tolerance 15:00 – Why stocks can be toxic in retirement 16:00 – Buying the basic asset allocation of funds 17:20 – The importance of sticking with an allocation 20:40 – Rebalancing your portfolio 22.15 – Simple vs. highly diversified portfolios 23:00 – Lump Sum investing vs. Dollar Cost Averaging 27:30 – The psychological part of investing 28:32 – Do not dollar cost average for more than 12 months 30:50 – What DCA buys you insurance against 32:00 – The importance of financial history 33:55 – GDP is not always correlated with stock returns 36:00 – What does Bill wish he knew 40 years ago 37:20 – Bill’s advice to young people   If you enjoyed this episode, do us a favor and share it! Also if you haven’t already, please take a minute to leave us a 5 star review on iTunes and claim your bonus here! Copyright 2016. All rights reserved. Read our disclaimer here.

Robert P. Seawright is the Chief Investment & Information Officer for Madison Avenue Securities, a boutique broker-dealer and investment advisory firm headquartered in San Diego, California. At Madison, Bob’s role is a thought leader for the firm’s independent advisors, providing counsel and guidance with respect to the latest industry trends, research and best practices. In September of 2014, The Wall Street Journal published a list of fifteen smart people for investors to follow that included Bob, along with Warren Buffett, Howard Marks, William Bernstein and the CFA Institute.   Bob is a columnist for Research magazine, a Contributing Editor at Portfolioist as well as a contributor to the Financial Times, The Big Picture, The Wall Street Journal’s MarketWatch, Pragmatic Capitalism, and ThinkAdvisor. Bob’s blog, Above the Market, has received “best of” recognition from a wide variety of sources, including The Wall Street Journal, Financial Planning, the CFA Institute, Insider Monkey, Financial Social Media, and Investment News. He also speaks regularly to a variety of audiences on topics related to finance, investing and the markets.   Bob’s Challenge; Sit down and think of a few examples of mistakes you are making.   If you liked this interview, check out episode 55 with Morgan Housel, where we discuss finance writing and cognitive biases.

Joshua Sheats invited me onto the Radical Personal Finance podcast to discuss the Permanent Portfolio investment strategy for individual private investors. In this episode we talk about many aspects of the PP strategy including: my own reasons for choosing this investment strategy the design of the portfolio the philosophy behind the approach strengths and weaknesses of the PP Show Notes: Radical Personal Finance Episode 30 Recordings of Harry Browne's investing radio shows Permanent Portfolio discussion forum “Wild About Harry” – article by William Bernstein about the Permanent Portfolio Fail Safe Investing by Harry Browne The Permanent Portfolio: Harry Browne's Long-Term Investment Strategy by Craig Rowland and JM Lawson As always regarding investment, do your own research. I am not a financial advisor and this isn't advice, it's my own experience and opinions. My intention is to encourage you to think for yourself.  

Although William Bernstein has an MD and a PhD in Chemistry, he began his career in neuroscience before deciding to become a financial investor and an author of historical books. Safe to say, he’s exactly the sort of guest we love to have on The Bryan Callen Show. Although he’s written several books, today’s podcast focuses primarily on The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created. In the last few hundred years, the average wealth of a resident of planet earth has increased astronomically. Bernstein lays out for us the four factors that he argues drove that innovation. In today’s episode, Dr. Bernstein (aka Bill), Hunter and Bryan discuss how the world achieved its modern prosperity and how we can use these four factors to drive further prosperity generation around the world. Dr. Bernstein (aka Bill) is the author of three of the best history books you’ll ever read: The Birth of Plenty: How the Prosperity of the Modern World was Created, A Splendid Exchange: How Trade Shaped the World from Prehistory to Today, Masters of the Word: How Media Shaped History. He’s also the author of an investing book called The Four Pillars of Investing: Lessons for Building a Winning Portfolio that Big Mike “Bryan’s Dad” Callen “best investment book ever produced for the lay person.” Pretty impressed right now. Dr. Bernstein (aka Bill) is on the web at http://www.efficientfrontier.com/.

I encountered a big problem when I first started investing. Maybe you’ve encountered it, too. I would read a lot of books on investing. Two of my favorites are Rick Ferri’s All About Asset Allocation and William Bernstein’s The Four Pillars of Investing. These books cover asset allocation, and in All About Asset Allocation, describe […] The post DR 043: How to Compare Mutual Funds in Under 60 Seconds appeared first on The Dough Roller.

William Bernstein talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about his latest book, Masters of the Word. Bernstein traces the history of language, writing, and communication and its impact on freedom. The discussion begins with the evolution of language and the written word and continues up through radio and the internet. A particular focus of the conversation is how tyrants use information technology to oppress their people but at the same time, technology can be used to liberate people from oppression.

William Bernstein talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about his latest book, Masters of the Word. Bernstein traces the history of language, writing, and communication and its impact on freedom. The discussion begins with the evolution of language and the written word and continues up through radio and the internet. A particular focus of the conversation is how tyrants use information technology to oppress their people but at the same time, technology can be used to liberate people from oppression.

William Bernstein talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about his latest book, Masters of the Word. Bernstein traces the history of language, writing, and communication and its impact on freedom. The discussion begins with the evolution of language and the written word and continues up through radio and the internet. A particular focus of the conversation is how tyrants use information technology to oppress their people but at the same time, technology can be used to liberate people from oppression.

Neil MacGregor's world history as told through things that time has left behind. This week he is exploring the world between 1450 and 1600 - looking at what was happening in South America, Africa and Japan at the time of the great European age of discovery. He has looked at the new ocean going galleons that were being built in Europe at this time and today he describes the money that was being used to fuel the great new trade routes of the period. He is with pieces of eight, little silver coins that by 1600 could have been used in many countries around the world. Neil describes Spain's dominance in South America and their discovery of a silver mountain in Potosi in present day Bolivia. He describes the process by which pieces of eight turned into the first truly global money. The Bolivian former head of a UNESCO project in Potosi describes the conditions for workers there today and the financial historian William Bernstein looks at how these rough silver coins were to shift the entire balance of world commerce. Producer: Anthony Denselow.

William Bernstein, author of A Splendid Exchange, talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about inequality. Bernstein is worried about it; Roberts is not. Bernstein argues that inequality is damaging to the health of low-status people and hurts the health of the economy. Roberts challenges Bernstein's empirical evidence. It's a lively conversation on the economics of status, productivity and the progressivity of taxes.

William Bernstein, author of A Splendid Exchange, talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about inequality. Bernstein is worried about it; Roberts is not. Bernstein argues that inequality is damaging to the health of low-status people and hurts the health of the economy. Roberts challenges Bernstein's empirical evidence. It's a lively conversation on the economics of status, productivity and the progressivity of taxes.

William Bernstein talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the history of trade. Drawing on the insights from his recent book, A Splendid Exchange: How Trade Shaped the World, Bernstein talks about the magic of spices, how trade in sugar explain why Jews ended up in Manhattan, the real political economy of the Boston Tea Party and the demise of the Corn Laws in England. The discussion closes with the political economy of trade today and the interaction between trade and income inequality.

William Bernstein talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the history of trade. Drawing on the insights from his recent book, A Splendid Exchange: How Trade Shaped the World, Bernstein talks about the magic of spices, how trade in sugar explain why Jews ended up in Manhattan, the real political economy of the Boston Tea Party and the demise of the Corn Laws in England. The discussion closes with the political economy of trade today and the interaction between trade and income inequality.