Two Blokes Trading - Learn to Trade Online

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Two Blokes Trading is an interesting and entertaining podcast that chronicles the journey of Tom and Owen from knowing nothing about trading to (hopefully!) becoming proficient and profitable work from home traders. There will be interviews with leading Retail Trading industry figures from Brokerage…

Tom Constable and Owen Roberts (Two Blokes Trading)


    • May 12, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • every other week NEW EPISODES
    • 35m AVG DURATION
    • 277 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from Two Blokes Trading - Learn to Trade Online

    Why This Veteran Trader LOVES Bear Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2025 51:33


    In Episode 12 of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast, veteran trader Chris Tubby shares insights from over 50 years in the financial markets, explaining why bear markets are his favorite playground.From trading cocoa on chalkboards in the 1970s to calling the 2020 crash ahead of time, Chris has traded through every type of market and technological shift. In this episode, he unpacks his personal strategy for thriving in market downturns, explains how to build consistency through smart risk management, and offers guidance on trading psychology for both new and experienced traders.Listeners will learn why most retail traders fail, how to build emotional resilience, and how to manage positions during volatility. Chris also covers his views on global macro risks, including tariffs, inflation, and debt, and explains how these forces could shape the next potential crash.For traders seeking to improve, this episode provides a rare and unfiltered perspective from someone who has truly seen it all. Chris also shares details of his flagship Master Trading eBook, mentorship programs, and an exclusive 20% discount for Two Blokes Trading listeners.What You'll Learn in This Episode :This episode offers practical, experience-based insights that go far beyond technical setups. Chris Tubby explains how traders can build an edge by embracing rather than fearing bear markets. He outlines his core framework for risk control, including setting daily loss limits, trade journaling, and developing emotional detachment from trades.Listeners will discover the psychological traps that derail retail traders, the crucial difference between demo and live trading, and how asset class rotation helps identify a trader's ideal market. Chris also explores real-world scenarios from the commodity booms of the past to macroeconomic volatility driven by tariffs, inflation, and geopolitical tension.Chris explains why he prefers futures over CFDs, the tools he uses for timing (including pivot points and Fibonacci), and how he applies multi-chart setups like candlestick, Heiken Ashi, and point-and-figure analysis. He also shares a structured approach to entering and exiting trades in zones, scaling in and out, and managing stop-loss placement during market swings.With decades of experience and a direct, no-hype teaching style, Chris provides a high-value session ideal for serious traders looking to level up. He also offers a 20% discount on his 750-page Master Trading eBook and mentoring programs by using code 2BT25 before the end of August.

    How Pros Use Technical Analysis for Short-Term Trading

    Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2025 51:59


    How do top traders actually apply technical analysis for short-term trading in fast-moving markets? In this episode of the Two Blokes Trading podcast, host Jonathan Farrelly is joined by trading veteran Jason Sen a market technician with over 35 years of real-world experience to unpack the strategies that still work today.Jason discusses how he transitioned from the high-pressure world of the London trading floor to building a successful career using chart-based trading strategies. You'll discover the importance of support and resistance levels, the value of stochastic indicators, and why the 4-hour and 1-hour charts remain critical tools for short-term traders.This episode is loaded with practical, no-nonsense advice on building a disciplined approach to trading, mastering market psychology, and avoiding the most common retail mistakes. Whether you're a beginner or refining your edge, Jason's journey from executing orders on the pit floor to training thousands of traders through Day Trade Ideas offers deep insight into what it really takes to succeed in the markets today.What You'll Learn in This Episode:This episode dives into the foundations of technical analysis for short-term trading, offering listeners an inside look at how veteran trader Jason Sen navigates the markets. You'll learn how to identify key support and resistance zones, apply multi-timeframe chart analysis, and use stochastic indicators to time entries and exits more effectively. Jason explains how simplifying your charts and removing emotional bias can lead to better outcomes.He also shares hard-earned lessons from his own career, including the importance of using stop losses, developing a repeatable process, and avoiding the trap of over-leveraging. Listeners will gain insight into the mental and technical tools used by professional traders, and how to build these habits into their own strategies. If you're serious about short-term trading, this episode offers an actionable blueprint grounded in decades of market experience.

    Why 90% of Traders Blow Their Accounts

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2025 51:59


    In this episode of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast, Alistair Crooks, founder of Traders Support Club, joins us to explain why 90% of traders blow their accounts and what you must do to avoid being part of that statistic. With over 23 years of active trading experience, Alistair reveals key lessons on surviving volatile markets, mastering risk management, and developing real consistency. We discuss the realities behind market cycles, the importance of handling drawdowns correctly, and how traders often sabotage their own success by abandoning proven strategies. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, this conversation delivers powerful insights you can immediately apply to improve your trading performance.What You'll Learn in This Episode:You'll gain a deep understanding of the factors that cause most traders to fail, and learn proven techniques for developing long-term trading consistency. Alistair Crooks shares insights on adapting to fast-changing markets, the dangers of emotional decision-making, and how focusing on process over profit is key to real success. We also cover critical concepts like risk management strategies used by professionals, how to survive drawdowns without derailing your entire trading plan, and why mentorship can dramatically shorten your learning curve. This episode is packed with actionable advice for traders who want to elevate their game and finally build sustainable success.

    Mastering Trading Psychology & Mindfulness

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 21, 2025 56:04


    Mastering the trading psychology and mindfulness is no longer optional it's essential. In this powerful episode of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast, host Jonathan Farrelly sits down with legendary trader and performance coach Mark Randall, co-founder of the AlphaMind Project, to uncover the crucial role of mindfulness and mental edge in modern trading. With over 40 years of experience in the financial markets, including pioneering roles on the original trading floors of London, Mark brings an extraordinary depth of insight into how successful traders develop internal resilience and psychological strength.As algorithmic systems dominate, it's easy to overlook the human element. But Mark reminds us that mental clarity, focus, and emotional awareness remain the bedrock of consistent performance. This episode delves into how traders can train the mind like any other tool using applied mindfulness, neuroplasticity, and awareness techniques borrowed from elite-level training environments. The result? Smarter decisions, reduced emotional reactivity, and greater trading longevity.Whether you're a retail trader navigating volatile markets or a seasoned professional seeking sustainable performance, this conversation provides a unique edge. You'll learn about the realities of floor trading in the 1980s, the evolution of technical analysis, and the new frontiers of trading psychology. Plus, Jonathan and Mark share real-world strategies to strengthen discipline and enhance your decision-making under pressure. What You'll Learn in This Episode In Episode 9 of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast, you'll gain a masterclass in mental performance and trading psychology from Mark Randall, one of the most experienced voices in the business. With decades of experience on trading floors and in coaching rooms, Mark offers a rare behind-the-scenes view of what separates elite traders from the average.You'll learn how trading psychology isn't just about avoiding mistakes it's about engineering the conditions for clarity and execution. Mark explains how techniques like mindfulness, performance coaching, and mental edge development help traders move beyond fear and hesitation, even in the most volatile market environments. He shares how the concept of "mind fitness" has evolved and how traders can implement this into their routines, much like athletes train for high-stakes competition.Mark also discusses his early use of technical analysis tools like point-and-figure charts and how understanding the structure and character of the market is more valuable than relying solely on numbers. He dives into his work with the AlphaMind Project, highlighting how behavioral coaching and neuro-performance techniques are transforming how traders approach the craft.Whether you're exploring trading psychology for the first time or refining an already disciplined approach, this episode delivers high-value takeaways grounded in real-world experience. You'll walk away with practical tools to sharpen your trading edge mentally, emotionally, and strategically.

    What Elite Traders Know That You Don't (Mindset Secrets Revealed)

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 14, 2025 39:12


    Unlock the secrets to building a winning trading mindset in this must-watch episode of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast! We're joined by Steven Goldstein, a veteran trader and renowned performance coach with nearly 40 years of real-world market experience, author of "Mastering the Mental Game," and founder of the AlphaMind program.In this insightful episode, Steven uncovers why the vast majority of traders struggle or fail outright and, crucially, how to transform your trading mindset to join the ranks of successful traders. From overcoming emotional hurdles and managing risk effectively to creating robust trading processes, Steven delivers candid truths on what truly separates elite traders from the rest.Whether you're wrestling with inconsistency, frequently breaking your own trading rules, or stuck transitioning from part-time to full-time trading, this episode provides clear, actionable advice on how to refine your mindset and develop real trading discipline.Steven discusses his own trading journey, including the tough lessons he learned from significant setbacks and the pivotal mental shifts that turned his career around. He explains how even seasoned traders fall victim to psychological traps, emphasizing that mastering trading is more about controlling your mindset than finding the perfect strategy.You'll learn exactly why trading feels easy until real money is on the line, and how the mental pressure dramatically alters decision-making. Steven also dives into the critical importance of aligning your trading strategy with your personal lifestyle, ensuring that your approach to the markets is sustainable and psychologically balanced.Steven further elaborates on the pitfalls many traders encounter when transitioning from a practice account to live trading. He explores how the introduction of real financial stakes amplifies emotions such as fear and greed, often leading traders away from their initial disciplined strategies into impulsive decisions. By detailing specific emotional triggers and scenarios that commonly disrupt a trader's discipline, Steven provides practical methods to recognize and mitigate these detrimental reactions before they can damage your trading account.Moreover, Steven emphasizes the necessity of self-awareness and continuous self-improvement. He discusses how traders can effectively utilize journals and regular reflective practices to identify recurring psychological issues and systematically address them. This methodical approach helps traders build robust habits, enabling them to respond to market volatility with measured, rational decisions rather than emotional reactions.What You'll Learn in This Episode:Steven Goldstein breaks down the core psychological reasons behind trader failure and shares practical steps to cultivate a winning mindset, including how to develop the mental resilience needed for trading success, why most traders sabotage their own strategies and how to stop, practical techniques for managing risk and emotional control, key differences in mindset between retail traders and institutional professionals, and strategies to transition to full-time trading without financial stress or unrealistic expectations. Steven also highlights real-life case studies and personal experiences from his coaching career, providing relatable examples that demonstrate how mental toughness and risk management combine to form a sustainable trading edge.If you're committed to becoming a consistently profitable trader, don't miss this deep dive into mastering your mindset for lasting trading success in 2025 and beyond. Packed with invaluable insights and actionable advice, this episode offers a comprehensive guide to navigating the psychological complexities of trading, helping you move closer to achieving your trading goals.

    Why Most Traders FAIL & How to Fix It

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 7, 2025 38:43


    Why most traders fail and how to fix it—that's the brutally honest conversation we dive into in this must-listen episode of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast. We're joined by Charlie Burton, a veteran trader with 28 years of real market experience and the co-founder of Ezeetrader, who has guided thousands of traders through the psychological and technical challenges of building consistency.In this eye-opening episode, Charlie shares why the vast majority of traders lose money—and more importantly, how to fix it. From emotional discipline to risk management and strategy execution, Charlie reveals the unfiltered truth about what separates amateurs from professionals in the markets.If you're stuck in the cycle of inconsistency, struggling to manage losses, or constantly second-guessing your trades, this episode is packed with actionable strategies to shift your mindset and improve your edge.Charlie walks us through his early days chasing the Holy Grail of trading strategies, how overconfidence nearly cost him everything, and the specific habits he used to break through and find long-term profitability.Whether you're a part-time trader or managing capital professionally, Charlie's insights into emotional control, risk calibration, and technical precision are invaluable.He also breaks down how to make the leap into full-time trading without putting your lifestyle or finances at risk and how most aspiring full-time traders get this part disastrously wrong. Charlie emphasizes why removing pressure, having backup income, and keeping your psychology clean is far more important than trying to double your account every month.What You'll Learn in This EpisodeCharlie Burton explains the psychology behind why most traders fail and shares a blueprint for how to fix it, starting with mindset. You'll learn how to reduce emotional decision-making, how to build a trading routine around process over profit, and how to stick with a proven edge even when the markets test your patience. He discusses the dangers of overtrading, chasing win rates, and trading without structure. You'll also learn why every pullback in a trend is a psychological test, and how professionals use technical analysis, sentiment, and risk-to-reward ratios to manage those challenges. If you're aspiring to go full-time, Charlie lays out a realistic framework, including income buffers, psychological prep, and portfolio expectationsto make that transition successful.This episode isn't just about theory, it's about real-world application. If you're serious about becoming a profitable, sustainable trader in 2025 and beyond, don't miss this deep dive into what it really takes to make it.

    How Central Banks Are Using Gold To Prepare For Reset

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 31, 2025 42:49


    In this episode of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast, we discuss how Central Banks are using gold to prepare for reset. We're joined by Stephen Flood, CEO of GoldCore and a globally recognized expert in precious metals investing. With decades of experience in global finance and time on the trading desks of Goldman Sachs, Stephen shares the untold story behind gold's meteoric rise in 2025—and why central banks are quietly buying record amounts of gold behind closed doors.If you're trying to navigate today's unstable markets, this episode is your blueprint for financial security.Stephen unveils how money printing, monetary debasement, and global geopolitical instability are driving the next wave of interest in gold as a safe haven asset. From digital currencies and de-dollarization to the risk of a fiat currency collapse, this episode breaks down what's really going on—and what retail investors can do now to protect their future.What You'll Learn in This EpisodeStephen Flood breaks down why central banks are aggressively accumulating gold behind the scenes and how this massive shift is quietly reshaping the global monetary system. You'll learn why gold is exploding in value in 2025, the real reasons central banks are dumping U.S. treasuries, and how these macro shifts signal a looming fiat currency collapse.Stephen exposes the long-term risks of money printing, the dangers of relying on central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), and the urgent need to secure financial sovereignty through physical gold investment. You'll also get a blueprint for setting up secure, allocated gold storage outside the traditional financial system in places like Zurich and Singapore.Whether you're new to precious metals investing or looking to deepen your understanding of gold as an inflation hedge and a safe haven asset, this episode gives you actionable insight. Learn how to protect your portfolio, spot manipulation in the gold markets, and why retail investors must act before the next global financial reset.

    Losing £40K to Financial Freedom Trading : Jason Graystone

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 24, 2025 43:50


    In this episode of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast, we're joined by renowned trader and educator Jason Graystone founder of Tier One Trading and Greystone Education. Jason shares the raw, unfiltered truth about what it really takes to become a successful trader, from losing 40k to financial freedom.If you're tired of fake trading gurus selling dreams and want to hear what it actually looks like to build consistent profits through technical analysis, risk management, and mental discipline, this episode is for you.Jason's journey from blowing £40,000 in his first few years of trading to achieving financial independence is nothing short of inspiring and more importantly, it's real. No Lambos. No Rolex flex. Just process, patience, and relentless learning.What You'll Learn in This EpisodeIn this episode, Jason takes us deep into his trading journey from his early mistakes and emotional battles to the exact turning point that shifted everything. He explains how he built a methodical, business-minded approach to Forex trading, why he eventually quit day trading after his most profitable day ever, and how he now uses swing trading strategies to maintain consistent income while barely trading more than a few times a week.We explore why trading psychology is more important than any technical setup, the dangers of early wins built on luck, and why backtesting your trading strategy is essential before ever risking real capital. Jason also shares his thoughts on the rise of AI in trading, why algorithmic systems still fall short, and how real edge in the markets comes from mental resilience and experience.You'll also learn about Jason's two-stage model of financial freedom a practical framework for achieving financial independence through investing, asset building, and passive income and why most people are getting it wrong by following outdated financial advice.

    What Does Trump's Plan Mean For The Stock Markets Future?

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2025 24:22


    What does Trump's plan mean for the stock markets? With new tariffs, economic uncertainty, and shifting global capital flows, traders and investors are on high alert. In this episode of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast, we sit down with Aidan O'Donnell to analyze how Trump's policies are affecting stocks, commodities, and currencies—and what opportunities might emerge from the chaos.With Trump's trade war 2.0 back in focus, the markets are responding with increased volatility. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have seen sharp pullbacks, while gold and silver have surged to new highs. Meanwhile, the dollar is weakening, and European and Chinese markets are showing unexpected resilience. But what does Trump's plan mean for the stock markets long-term? Will we see a continued correction, or is this a buy-the-dip opportunity?

    Inside the Mind of a Prop Trader

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2025 23:14


    In this episode, we're joined by John White, co-founder of Positive Equity, to unpack what it truly takes to succeed in the high-stakes world of prop trading. Whether you're a beginner exploring how to get into trading or an experienced retail trader looking to take your skills to the next level, this episode is packed with invaluable insights from someone who's been through every stage of the trading journey.John shares his incredible story of getting his start at Geneva Trading in Dublin straight out of college, with no prior trading experience. What drew him in was the promise of a career where your income matches your effort. Over time, John discovered that success in trading doesn't happen overnight. In fact, it takes years of dedication, learning, and adaptation. He explains that it took him at least two years before he felt confident in the markets and even longer before he saw meaningful financial rewards. This is a crucial reminder that prop trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme—it's a profession that demands grit, patience, and constant improvement.One of the most fascinating parts of our conversation is John's breakdown of the trading edge—how traders develop a strategy that works and why that edge can disappear as market conditions change or more people discover the same opportunity. With market volatility, evolving macro trends, and ever-smarter competition, maintaining a profitable strategy requires constant evolution. As John puts it, the market is always moving, and so must you.We also dive into what separates a successful prop trader from someone who eventually drops out. The key traits Positive Equity looks for are strong numeracy skills, competitiveness, and, above all, grit. Trading is full of setbacks. It's easy to enter the markets thinking it's as simple as buying and selling on your phone, but real success requires years of learning, managing your risk, and staying in the game long enough to learn the necessary lessons. As John explains, no one joins the trading floor as an instant success story, and no one wins without putting in the work.For those wondering about the difference between prop trading vs retail trading, John provides some powerful insights. While retail traders often juggle trading with full-time jobs and limited screen time, prop traders have the advantage of being immersed in the markets all day, working within teams, and using advanced tools and risk management systems. This environment provides professional traders with better cost structures, higher-quality research, and the ability to patiently wait for high-probability setups. Retail traders often feel pressure to act within the small windows of time they have, which can lead to suboptimal decision-making.John also shares valuable advice for aspiring traders looking to break into proprietary trading. His top tips? Start reading. Books like Market Wizards and Alpha Trader provide raw, honest insights into the real lives of professional traders, including their biggest mistakes and how they overcame them. He also recommends getting hands-on experience with simulator trading, taking it seriously, and building strong accountability, whether through a mentor, a peer, or even tracking your stats daily. Before risking real money, it's vital to spend the time mastering your process, understanding risk management, and learning how to handle losses.And for those looking for that “hot stock tip”? John keeps it real—Positive Equity's traders aren't focused on long-term stock...

    I Bought Bitcoin For Under Fifty Dollars And Got Lucky

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 24, 2025 36:59


    In this engaging podcast episode, seasoned trader Mark Gough recounts his early Bitcoin breakthrough, buying Bitcoin for less than $50 and explores how that pivotal move paved the way for a deep dive into both cryptocurrency and stock market trading. Mark discusses the speculative nature of the crypto market, highlighting its extreme volatility and the power of technical analysis in navigating rapid market shifts, comparing crypto trading to “the stock market on steroids.” He explains the risks associated with meme coins and the pitfalls of chasing quick wins, while emphasizing the importance of reading charts and leveraging historical data for informed decision-making.The conversation then shifts to broader market trends, where Mark examines opportunities in US stocks and Chinese investments, particularly in sectors like EVs and technology. He also touches on how global regulatory changes, trade tariffs, and shifts in the energy market are influencing investor behaviour. With a forward-looking perspective, the discussion delves into emerging technologies such as AI, blockchain, and quantum computing—highlighting their potential to revolutionize trading strategies and reshape the financial landscape.

    "Why Gold Prices Are Skyrocketing & No One Is Talking About It!"

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 11, 2025 26:27


    We are back for the new season of two blokes trading. In this podcast we discuss the impact of Trump's presidency on the financial markets, highlighting his pro-business stance and the influence of tech leaders like Musk, Zuckerberg, and Bezos.The conversation also covers the potential market effects of US-China tensions and the rise of crypto, including the Trump coin.Aiden O'Donnell, a financial analyst, shares his insights on technical analysis, the importance of both fundamental and technical analysis, and the current market trends.Aidan notes the strong performance of tech stocks, the potential of Meta's glasses, and the resilience of Chinese assets despite political pressures. The discussion also touches on gold's all-time high and broader commodity trends.

    2023 Has Been A Great Year For Traders

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 19, 2023 22:16


    This is the last podcast of the year & the Blokes discuss how 2023 has been a great year for traders.2024 has a lot to live up too after a really strong year, seeing so many opportunities throughout the markets. Tech Stocks have seen some great gains with the biggest winner in the S&P being Nvidia, seeing a 230% gain. This is a result of the current AI boom! Jonathan believes AMD could be one to watch in 2024, with the release of its newest chip. Across currencies we saw some good volatility & directional moves. We also had some big moves in Oil & Gold with the former hitting all time highs, briefly!As we close in on the end of 2023 the volatility is slowly winding down & the blokes suggest everyone to take a break & come back in 2024 refreshed!We would like to thank all of our loyal listeners & wish you all a very happy holiday.

    Trend Is Your Friend

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 27, 2023 29:53


    In this podcast Jonathan & Adam scan the markets, with the current theme being the trend is your friend!This morning the markets were thin after thanksgiving on Friday, but we did see a slight pickup as the day went on. Markets are currently directional which is great for traders, the DXY remains bearish & stocks are soaring with market sentiment firmly risk on, as we approach the Christmas period.Jonathan discusses how over the early years of his trading journey he let his bias dictate his decision making, regardless of the trend & even went through a period of counter trend trading. In recent years he has found his success rate increase when he aligns his bias with the trend. This lessens the amount of trading opportunities but has substantially increased the success rate of his trades.Adam goes on to discuss how he feels there maybe a short term market shift about to happen as he believes the markets are currently overextended & we may see some cooling off, this might be the time to reassess the shorter term direction. However Adam feels that 2024 will be a strong year with Tech & AI growing rapidly. Adam also believes that global economies will recover next year & we may see a strong pick up, however Jonathan disagrees & feels it will take more time to fully recover.The blokes go on to discuss the impact rising interest rates have had on the markets, plus how the world is adapting to a new way of life in this faced paced environment. The blokes move on to scan the markets looking at US Indices which are currently flying, with most of the blue chip companies taking advantage of the Santa rally. Jonathan goes on to give his opinion on Oil & Gold with the latter reaching 6 month highs. The blokes then look at some USD pairs with most markets taking advantage of Dollar weakness.To conclude the episode, Adam shares his hot tips on the market, which are Disney & ASML, whereas Jonathan feels Nvidia has further to go due to It's domination of the AI chip market, which is expected to grow by 38% annually for the next decade, almost ensuring continued upside for Nvidia.You can join the blokes in our community & receive access to our education, market breakdowns, trade ideas, live webinars & much more.

    Importance of the Economic Calendar

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 23, 2023 31:42


    Jonathan and Rory talk though the importance the economic calendar for all traders. A lot of traders believe that certain data doesn't move the markets enough and that they should ignore it. But using this information to your advantage can give you a trading edge.The economic Calendar provides real-time updates on economic news and trends, allowing individuals to make more informed investment decisions.This information gives you a macro outlook, allowing you to a receive an insight into key data such as GDP, Inflation, Unemployment, international relations & political changes.During the episode, Rory & Jonathan share how they use the data not just for volatility trading but to confirm or deny pre-existing biases we may have. For example, if you think the economy is struggling and the PMI report is growing each time, the market might not move but maybe you should change your bias? It's about using the data in your favour to add further confirmations which will in turn help your consistency.The Blokes then discuss the PCE index, which is released next week, what it means and the importance of it to traders. Rory mentions how the PCE is the Fed's preferred method to gauge inflation along with describing exactly how it's calculated.If you really want to improve your trading, then you need to use all the resources at your disposal to build a bias whether that bullish or bearish.Listen now to find out more!

    Oil rallying to $100 per barrel?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 20, 2023 25:52


    One of the main talking points over the weekend was the production cuts from OPEC. It's looking possible that over 1 million barrels per day could be cut from supply as fear enters the market that demand could be drying up.We have already seen on Monday that price is up nearly 3% towards $78 and speculation is that it will continue towards 80.DXY continues the move lower today as more negativity creeps in. There seems to be a strong risk on appetite in markets and with implied interest rates moving lower, strength in USD is fading as a break of 103 looks likely.Other FX crosses seem to be taking advantage of this with USDJPY moving towards 148, USDCAD holding on the trend line and USDNOK moving lower from the higher oil prices (NOK benefiting)Gold continues to move sideways unable to take advantage of a weaker dollar. Jonathan still holds his thoughts of selling gold at 2000 and narrowly missed a great shirt at price rallied above 1990.Indices within the UK remain subdued as weaker oil prices impact the FTSE100 constituents. US indices continue moving higher with the NASDAQ pushing higher towards 16,000. With the macro picture still not looking all positive but a soft landing looking more likely, how will you be positioned going into the remainder of 2023?

    How to trade news headlines

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 15, 2023 27:12


    In this podcast , Jonathan and Rory discuss how to trade news headlines. The key is to understand the impact & domino effect these headlines can have on companies & markets. Immersing yourself within the financial markets is key to construct your trade and investment ideas. The example Rory covers, is around Maersk letting go 10,000 workers. We ask, if they are seeing less demand what does this mean for other stocks in the sector? What does this mean for the market, the economy and global trade?We also talk about inflation and deflation problems in China and Japan. How the weak JPY is causing high inflation and how the strong CNY is causing deflation due to imports becoming cheaper. This also means exports are dropping which isn't helping things as China received another huge stimulus pump earlier this week.Jonathan also talks us through the many opportunities that have been in markets this year as we draw to a close. With so many moves in dollar, Jonathan talks us through how he was long dollar from July based off his bias that the fed were not going to cut interest rates earlier this year. Both Jonathan and Rory explain that the cuts in monetary policy there were due around this time, were pushed back so far that it was taken hawkish by traders hence the strong run higher in US Dollar/DXY.Understanding how macroeconomics shape markets is essential to understanding trading and the Two Blokes Trading app is the best place to start.Join our 1500 + members today and sign up for free below

    Hold Fire Amid Uncertainty

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 13, 2023 21:49


    In this weeks episode, Jonathan & Adam scan the markets & explain why you should hold fire amid uncertainty.Monday has been a quite day & the blokes explain the importance of waiting for the right time to execute with Dollar currently consolidating.Later in the week we have some high impact data coming out with US CPI & PPI & we should see a spike in volatility. This should offer some further insight into the longer term direction of markets.Jonathan discusses his perspective on the markets, particularly USD/JPY of which he shared a trade in the APP earlier in the day which played out nicely, seeing a short spike in volatility.A weak JPY has become a political issue for the government amid rising cost-of-living pressures. Unless BOJ intervene we could see a bullish move to the upside, but the blokes both agree it's likely that they will! Adam then offers his technical viewpoint on the markets across FX pairs & Gold with his current bias being further Dollar weakness, but there remains uncertainty in the markets & we should have a clearer picture later in the week.Adam then offers his opinion across Tech stocks & remains bullish on semi conductors firms such as AMD & Nvidia with his pick being ASML Holdings.The blokes share their market analysis & trade ideas on the Two Blokes Trading APP everyday, so don't miss out!Check out the FREE Two Blokes Trading Community for education, analysis & much more!

    Pros & Cons Of Limit Orders

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2023 30:44


    In this episode the Blokes discuss the pros & cons of limit orders. Jonathan and Rory both discuss how & when they use limit orders in different situations.Both Jonathan and Rory highlight that the advantages usually heavily outweigh the disadvantages. It allows you to target a specific target price & have that order waiting to execute even while away from the computer, meaning you will never miss an entry. Most part-time retail traders can't sit in front of a screen 24/7, so by placing limit orders it allows traders to semi automate the process. Rory explains that the only slight disadvantage is in highly volatile markets where the trade can be executed and hit a stop loss in a matter of seconds however, chances of that are very slim out of the covid cycle.Jonathan explains using limit orders correctly can allow you to find optimal entry levels rather than executing a trade at the wrong time. Also limit orders can be highly beneficial when price is trading within a range. For example, If an asset has a strong range and is continuously finding support and resistance at the same levels, orders can help remove any doubts.Similarly both Jonathan and Rory agree that on larger one off trades, limit orders are useful for not missing a big move in the market. For example; recently when Gold hit 1800, before it was there, a lot of people would have thought it was a great level to buy. However, when price reached 1800, people were afraid to buy, having this order in place would have removed any psychological doubts & this will help you trade more objectively.There is no doubt that if used correctly limit orders can improve your success rate & limit your screen time!Make sure to join the app today where Adam, Jonathan and Rory give their daily rundowns of markets and analysis and join over 1500 people in one of the fastest trading communities.Check out the FREE Two Blokes Trading Community for education, analysis & much more!

    Santa Rally On Its Way

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 6, 2023 21:58


    Is the Santa rally on its way or is this just an overreaction to some bad news that investors think is good news?For a long time now, the narrative of “bad data = good news” has allowed equity markets to rally. However, Rory shares in the app and talks about it on todays podcast that over 75% of major data last week was negative. yet the market takes it as a positive.While that may mean the Fed are not going to hike as much if at all, it does mean there is a deterioration within the economy and it's why Rory says he is exercising caution within the equity space right now.Jonathan discusses the increase in volatility throughout the markets, most notably the fall of the Dollar & the rise of stocks has changed the perspective for now & it's time to reassess.This week is quite on economic front, with the exception of Powell's speech, which may allow the markets to digest last weeks data & offer a clearer picture for the longer term direction of the markets. Jonathan shares his thoughts around the USD and notes that many dollar pairs such as GBP and EUR are all moving higher and taking advantage of this recent dollar weakness. We will have to wait until next weeks CPI report for further clarification of dollar positioning.Speaking of taking advantage of dollar weakness, Gold failed to do so, still hovering shy of $2000 not able to break higher despite the sell off in USD. Both Jonathan and Rory agree that if gold can't move higher now, what will make it move higher? It perhaps doesn't look as attractive as other trades such as FX or the fixed income space.Crude oil rose to nearly $83 on Monday morning trading but remains under pressure despite Saudi Arabia confirming an extension of its 1 million barrels per day additional voluntary production cut until the end of December, while Russia said it would continue with its additional voluntary supply cut of 300,000 bpd from its crude exports as well.Finally, we have another busy week of earnings. Rory has shared the economic calendar and earnings calendar within the app, along with Jonathan and Adam, who are posting their daily analysis on the markets.Join our community APP today at app.twoblokestrading.com

    Will USD/JPY Tank?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2023 24:28


    Rory takes a USDJPY short just before the podcast begins, but will USD/JPY tank? He explains the reasoning behind this move as well as the strong risk to reward that is favoured. Jonathan is holding off until we see 152 hit but will it be too late?The question is will Bank Of Japan intervene after removing a pledge to defend the level with offers to buy unlimited amounts of bonds.This week in the markets is Jam-packed with Data, Earnings, and everything in between. With ISM, PMI Services, NFP, FOMC, BoE and more. There is sure to be a further increase in volatility.One of the biggest stock winners so far is Amazon after earnings were released better than expected with the share price jumping 11% as the outlook seems better than initially expected. The last time the stock has had such a two day stretch was a 17% rally from November 11, 2022.The blokes look over other markets with Rory saying he is now short on Oil but would rather not be involved. There's so many factors that could go against this such as the War in the middle east and the potential of OPEC supply, none of this can be confirmed or quantified and therefore, for now, both of the blokes agree they would rather rule it out. Data from China the US and EU also isn't highly supportive of stronger economic conditions therefore demand for Oil may not be as strong as initially predicted.Gold has found resistance at the $2000 level after a strong run higher. Jonathan explains how the major zone of 1800/2000 looks to be in play for quite some time and its likely with a stronger dollar, Gold will remain under pressure, unless of course we see any escalations in middle east.DXY saw strong support last week from 105.50 and today at 106.00 to continue the push higher towards 107. Jonathan reiterates his long bias on USD & has been taking advantage of the cross pairs as a result. Jonathan also says with a lot of data due this week, there could be the potential for a lot of volatility and higher USD.With lots of earnings this week from McDonalds, Pfizer, PayPal, Apple, Shopify and many more, it's going to be an interesting week!Join us live in the APP as we cover NFP this Friday!Check out the FREE Two Blokes Trading Community for education, analysis & much more!

    Uncertainty In The Financial Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2023 31:43


    In this episode Jonathan and Rory continue to evaluate the risks from the Middle East & the uncertainty in the financial markets. Also looking at higher yields and central bank action from around the globe.The war in the Middle East is still raging and shows no sign of stopping. In the podcast Rory mentions the risk of other countries such as Iran getting involved and the potential catalysts that could being to the table.The ECB are expected to hold rates this week however the door is open in the future for hikes as higher oil prices Continue to drive prices higher says Christine Lagarde and the ECB are cautions of this.The US markets snapped a strong losing streak after better than expected earnings from Microsoft and Google. Google was down due to their cloud revenue being lower than forecast.Higher yields in the US and across the EU/GB have punished stocks in recent days with the US S&P500 breaching the 4200 support level. Hedge fund manager, Bill Ackman announced he was covering his short bond positions and now is looking to go long bonds as these attractive yields.The Fed are almost certain not to hike rates next week however the door may be open in December as Jerome Powell is watching yields with caution.To find out more , join the free app today at app.twoblokestrading.com

    The Impact Of War On The Financial markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 19, 2023 33:04


    In this episode the blokes look at the impact of war on the financial markets & what markets are most effected.The blokes also share their deepest condolences to the innocent people that have been effected by the war, especially the woman & children.Jonathan discusses how there is always two sides to every war & how main stream media always have an agenda, so make your own opinion through valid sources.Rory discusses how religion has & always will be a major cause in so many wars, along with the fight for power, money & resources.Jonathan shares how he was compelled to an image drawn by the famous artist Banksy, depicting the innocents of children regardless of their cultural background.While the war in the Middle East continues, the question for us traders is how does it effect the markets? Jonathan and Rory break down what exactly the implications are for now & may have in the future.While neither countries involved are major contributors to the global markets, countries such as Iran are major oil exporters which account for nearly 2% of total daily production.If they were to get involved and sanctioned, how would this impact commodity and energy markets? It would be negative and quite inflationary for markets causing a stronger dollar and weaker equities (similar to what we are seeing right now).The History books will tell us "the greater the increase in oil prices, the more likely a recession eventually unfolds."The question Jonathan wants to know is how much of this is priced in to the markets already. Unfortunately we don't know what is priced in but what isn't priced in is a deep escalation and involvement of Iran.If the war stopped tomorrow, we don't think markets would react hugely positively, maybe slightly. However any escalation could be detrimental to markets.We are already seeing the cracks appear outside of the Middle East with inflation back on the rise, consumer spending strong however savings are down, credit card purchases are up and credit card delinquencies are increasing.Inflation & Interest rates remain high with no signs of slowing down with the 10yr US Bond Yield breaking above 4.9% on Wednesday.Why is all of this so important? Tune into this weeks podcast to find out more. Check out the FREE Two Blokes Trading Community for education, analysis & much more!

    Technical versus Fundamental Traders

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2023 39:18


    In this weeks podcast the blokes discuss the difference between technical versus fundamental traders.We also introduce Adam Harris, a long term professional in the financial markets who has now joined the team and most will already have noticed his great analysis within the app already. Adam talks us through his background and years of experience. He starts by telling us exactly how he got into trading and the process that led him down the route of predominately becoming a successful technical trader.The blokes share their opinions on their styles of trading, showing that regardless of how you analyse the markets whether that's technical, fundamental or sentiment based, you can be still be profitable. There is a million ways to trade the financial markets its just perfecting your strategy to gain consistency over the long term. The blokes all agree that mentoring was key to success in their journey.The podcast was also recorded over the US CPI release and with a 3.7% YoY figure and MoM beating expectations, Dollar strength has since ripped back through the market causing risk off selling. While Rory couldn't keep a good internet connection, he was able to tell us more about his view on markets this week and what a higher CPI number means for markets going forward.Following this the blokes discuss the rise in interest rates in the US & their opinion on the next US election with Adam of the opinion Biden will walk the next election due to uncertain times.Adam also discusses in the podcast his best tips for new and upcoming traders and what he recommends doing when starting out.

    Macroeconomic Indicators

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2023 17:18


    In this podcast, Jonathan and Rory discuss the importance of using macroeconomic indicators. During the live NFP stream that Jonathan and Rory shared via the TBT app, Rory mentioned before NFP was released how he thought there would be a larger than expected number as he read reports on indicators that suggest employment is increasing.Looking at reports such as the ISM and being able to take a collective data set of the recent initial jobless claims report, you can marry up the data and draw your own conclusions. This analysis can give you the edge when trying to forecast data releases.On this point, Jonathan mentions the importance of using your own data and your own ideas rather than relying on other people's ideas. Jonathan says, “We see it time and time again where Investment banks have conflicting opinions and these guys are supposed to be the industry experts”.Rory also discusses the importance of not taking trade ideas directly from anyone. The main reason, it is that usually when things go wrong and its more often than not, they won't post about it and let people know. This means people will be stuck in the trade with a losing position and won't know when to get out.To find out more about the importance of using your own data, make sure to join the app today where this topic is heavily discussed by Rory.Check out the FREE Two Blokes Trading Community for education, analysis & much more!

    Gold Not So Shiny

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2023 24:48


    I'm this episode, Jonathan and Rory breakdown the week ahead in the markets and discuss the moves of last week, including why gold is not so shiny for investors. The blokes also share their opinion on what markets to watch this week.The ISM PMI came in above estimates however the S&P500 didn't manage to take much advantage, closing nearly flat on Monday. However, tech is still being driven higher by just a handful of names.Dollar continues the climb above 107 as traders wait for the NFP and ESR report on Friday to determine the US labour market conditions. The ISM said that employment was better and on Tuesday afternoon, JOLT job openings has risen higher than expected creating more openings and a stronger market.Rory discusses in the podcast how there is 28% probability of a rate hike In November however there is a 6% probability of a 50bps hike in December, any wonder the dollar is rallying.Speaking of dollar, EURUSD continues to be held lower now at 1.04 , close to parity and levels feared last year.USDJPY pushed 150 before a huge shock lower to 147.50. Word on the street that the BOJ intervened in the open market. This would have pushed rates lower monetarily and we could hear commentary from them soon.Gold now close to $1800 , what a tremendous fall it has seen since the break of 2000. A lot quicker than we anticipated, however given the dollar strength, it comes with no surprise. Are you long or short gold at $1800?Oil has seen some rejection at the low $90's and is now back below 90 at the high 80's. Could winter demand start to push oil higher and what are the views on OPEC? All of our analysis is covered live in the APP.We will also be covering Non Farm Payroll live in the APP on Friday, come watch us as we analysis the markets live!Check out the FREE Two Blokes Trading Community for education, analysis & much more!

    Are Stocks Doomed?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2023 24:09


    In this episode the blokes breakdown the markets & ask the question are stocks doomed?The blokes discuss how it's a great time to be trading! Markets are directional which presents huge opportunity to capitalise.Rory also tells us how McDonald's was founded. Have you watched the movie about McDonalds? If not it's a great watch for anyone with an entrepreneurial mindset. I won't spoil it here but I do suggest to watch it.This week In markets we focus on Yields, consumer confidence, dollar strength and equities which remain pressured as market sentiment shifts!A weak bond market which is effectively pushing yields higher and strength into the dollar is playing havoc on the equity market. As of 6pm London time on Tuesday, the S&P500 was down over -1.1% as dollar continued to surge and yields on the 10yr pushed past 4.5%.Fed Member Neel Kashkari reiterated his statement that he expects another rate hike this year however that was closely followed by a statement saying he thinks there's a 60% chance of a soft landing. I feel like he's been told to say this as markets reacted the first time and ignored him on the latter.China is also facing problems with the housing market under pressure and the major Evergreen defaulting on a 4 billion yuan payment which is putting pressure on the Chinese Yuan and Chinese equities which is also spilling into European and US markets.Oil continues to hold at higher levels even though it is somewhat softer the last few days. Some economists have warned if oil exploration in the US is not more heavily invested in then there is risk of an under supply and prices pushed past $120 and even as high as $150.Some favourite stock picks this week are still short ideas on UAL from Rory as higher fuel costs and potential for lower fares coupled with lower demand could impact top and bottom line. Jonathan is keeping an eye on MSFT to see whether their latest investment into the AI race will allow the stock to find some support.Check out the FREE Two Blokes Trading Community for education, analysis & much more!

    Global Recession Coming Soon?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2023 34:05


    Jonathan and Rory dive into the facts to help understand if there will be a global recession coming soon? The blokes share their opinions on the future outlook across a global level.In the podcast, they mention how we have avoided a crash in the economy despite higher interest rates and the cost of living crisis. Rory discusses what caused inflation in the first place as well as some home truths to why wages unfortunately will never catch up with prices, even in the long run.The blokes also talk about how different geopolitical events can impact countries and how this filters down into markets and what traders need to be aware of.Understanding that there are always three sides to any story is the key to understanding the market. All media across the world is biased towards an opinion or agenda but only the truth will allow you a clear vision to best predict the future.Rory explains it is up to you to decide on what information to listen to, plus the importance of listening to all sides and how this can be brought back to trading.Download the TBT APP now to chat LIVE with the Blokes!

    The DXY is on a 8 week winning streak

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2023 24:30


    In this episode, Jonatan and Rory discuss how the DXY is on a 8 week winning streak, could it make a ninth?The blokes analyse some last weeks action in markets including, the US CPI print coming in hotter than expected along with the influence it had on Equities and FX pairs last week, plus the impact it could have on the FOMC this Wednesday.The Blokes also talk about how the ECB increased rates another 25bps to 4% and signalled to the market that they are likely done while they also revised up inflation forecasts, while lowering growth for 2023 and 2024.This week in markets, the Fed interest rate decision is on Wednesday night and Rory talks us through what to listen out for including, what their inflation forecast will look like, what the FOMC expects in terms of growth, as well as their expectations of interest rates within the speeches and the all-important Dot Plot.EU stocks have dropped off following the decline on wall street on Friday and Société general dropped 11% after the bank cut its outlook on profitability.The Blokes also offer their thoughts on the BOE interest rate decision due on Thursday & the effect this could have on the GBP/USD pair! Goldman Sachs expect it to be the last hike. Some expect FTSE100 to lag global stocks next year however with the index already undervalued and oil prices increasing, could the giants such as BP and Shell look to hold the index higher?Rory and Jonatan also talk through Netflix and United Airlines & why these two stocks are on their watchlist for this week.Check out the FREE Two Blokes Trading Community for education, analysis & much more!

    Mindset of a Successful Trader

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2023 33:12


    In this podcast we introduce Rajan Dhall & discuss the mindset of a successful trader. Raj has an extensive history and career in trading adding further value to our community, which we discuss in the podcast.Rajan talks about trading psychology and the importance of it and describes how retail traders can become better traders by simply switching their mindset. He also talks about how retail traders can develop their own strategy around a work life balance. Raj also talks about what got him into trading, sharing his very interesting story of how his journey started as a fitness trainer at J.P Morgan.Jonathan shares his thoughts on how retail traders battle with the psychology of trading & how traders can adapt a trading style that suits the individual. Jonathan also shares his journey of this and how he overcame the process. Jonathan firmly believes anyone can become successful in trading regardless of their background, once they are willing to learn, have the right information & follow the right process.Raj also talks about the average success rate of many institutional traders being lower than expected & how this opened up his eyes to change his approach. Raj also discusses matching the process with the personality and the importance this can have on a trader. Ragan offers tips for traders at all stages of their journey, discussing what holds traders back & how to overcome this.Rajan will now be sharing his analysis, ideas & expertise in the two blokes trading app, for our community.Download the FREE Two Blokes Trading APP now!

    Will Dollar strength continue

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2023 19:16


    In this episode, the blokes offer their opinion on the markets, taking a close look to see will Dollar strength continue with a busy economic calendar ahead!Rory and Jonathan talk about their expectations of markets ahead of the US CPI and FOMC Interest rate decision next week.The past week in financial markets has been a lot quitter than usual on a data front with the UK labour market conditions being reported slightly higher on Thursday Morning. On Wednesday 13th, the US CPI is due to be released and could change how the outlook is on broader markets.Starting with European Indices, they have been weaker ahead of the ECB interest rate decision. Negative data has German Dax down as traders brace for the ECB policy decision on Thursday. While the German investor moral is slightly higher in September, Wholesale prices continued their decline dropping by 2.7%.The US dollar and DXY seen natural resistance at 105 which was expected ahead of the key CPA data and FOMC interest rate hike next week. Rory shares his thoughts on how this data could shape the DXY stating a higher than expected CPI will likely move DXY higher well above 105 towards 106, whereas a lower than expected will see some cooling. He also thinks an inline reading will still be enough to drive DXY back above 105 as it will be 2 consecutive months of higher CPI reading which may give the FOMC a credible cautious but hawkish stance.Jonathan also talks us through his thoughts on Gold and the Dollar. Jonathan remains bullish on Dollar, while he would expect Gold to fall potentially below 1900 again and towards 1870.Tune into the podcast to hear the full rundown.

    Why only 20% of traders make money

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2023 25:40


    In this episode Jonathan and Rory discuss the well known statistic, why only 20% of traders make money. At the beginning of the podcast Jonathan runs through some statistics of the probability of footballers and golfers making it to a professional level. Jonathan and Rory both share their experiences of what's helped them throughout their trading journey, most notable having a mentor. The blokes discuss with the growth of social media, there are now many charlatan traders, promoting their services to help other traders when they can't trade properly themselves.Rory also shared some thoughts about his University experience, how people are committed to 3 year degrees at University to then only be considered for further training whether that's law, accounting etc. Whatever job or profession you would like to do, it requires time to learn & refine the skill. Sometimes making mistakes along the way, the key is to learn from your mistakes & remain focused on the objective.Therefore taking trading as a profession or a part-time job, it involves a similar process of training and learning and then practice the application. Everyone's journey won't be as much as 3 years but with hard work and commitment it can be vastly reduced, especially if you have the right mentor.To summaries, how can you become one of the 20% of successful traders?Commitment – Never stop learningPreparation – Analyse before you execute Discipline – Risk management & Psychology (Stay Objective)Reflection – Always look to improve (Journal)Mentorship – Learn from real professionals To find our more on the confluences of the top percentile of traders and professionals, stay tuned to this weeks podcast.Join the Two Blokes Trading Community Now

    Will DXY hit 105?

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2023 24:36


    For the 7th consecutive week, the Dollar Index finished in the green closing above 104 to show strong support, the question is will the DXY hit 105? Jonathan and Rory both discuss their thoughts on dollar going into a quieter week than usual for economic data however the market will only be gearing up for what's to come next week as the US CPI is due to be released. A hawkish release could see another strong dollar and the push to 105 whereas a dovish release could see DXY fall lower.In Indices, US markets were closed on Monday following the labor day holiday. European indices had a strong start to the day but later in the session fell-off due to stronger efforts from China to support the property sector faded.Jonathan talks about his views on GBPUSD, AUDUSD & USDJPY with his predispositions being short on both GBPUSD & AUDUSD pairs, as he is still bullish on Dollar. Both pairs are stuck in somewhat of a range but Jonathan thinks especially Euro has further to fall. Jonathan also believes there's further upside potential for USDJPY. Ones to watch!The Blokes then offer their views on Gold & Oil. Both Rory & Jonathan agree that Gold upside maybe limited due to Dollar strength, whereas Oil has potential for further upside.Jonathan also mentions how September can be a bearish month for stocks with negative returns so buying stocks may not be the perfect time according to past data. However he does mention, retail traders are not limited as most CFD products allow traders to short and still profit from the move.There is so much analysis and information available on our app so make sure to join for free today at app.twoblokestrading.com

    Power Of Compound Interest

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 31, 2023 18:07


    In this podcast, Jonathan and Rory talk about the 8th wonder of the world, Compound Interest. This is a term a lot of people are familiar with but not many are able to use it to their benefit. At the beginning of the podcast, Rory tells us a story of friend who had money saved away for years which grew exponentially but one day decided it was enough and wanted to buy a car. If they had waited another 15 years the money wouldn't have doubled to buy 2 cars, but instead would have been over half a million!Jonathan then explains how compound interest and the power of it can be used in trading. He Explains that by having a small account and achieving just 2% each week that the numbers will compound weekly. In less than a decade you could be trading with more than half a million, starting with as little as €5000. The blokes explain that Compound interest usually “doesn't work” until the later stages as 10% of 1 isn't much but when it's 10% of 1 million, that's when people think “it works” the gains have stayed constant, but the variable change is only in the nominal amount. The most important lesson to learn from compound interest is to stay consistent and not chase losses. Consistency will get you further than taking unnecessary risks and focusing on the short term. Jonathan also explains that too many traders focus on the short-term goals and not the long-term goals.Make sure to join our free app today to learn more about trading and investing and join the fastest growing network. www.app.twoblokestrading.com

    Busy Trading Week Ahead

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2023 18:06


    In this podcast , Jonathan and Rory talk about their predictions on the financial markets, looking at Dollar, Dax, Gold, Oil, Apple, and major FX pairs. There is a busy week ahead with high impact data releases including, NFP, US PCE which could give some hints around the next inflation. (CPI) reading as well as thoughts on how the FOMC will react at the next monetary policy committee meeting in September. A higher number will indicate potential further increases to monetary policy and a stronger dollar led by weaker equities and bonds.Oil on the other hand has experienced a slight pull back following a 45 degree incline during July as demand was strong and supply levels from OPEC could be impacted due to production cuts.In FX, The Euro has been declining steadily and Rory discusses his great short trades on the pair last week, he talks us through why he shorted it and what he is focusing on going forward. Rory also talks about his reasoning for being neutral on Cable but still bullish on USDJPY as there may be a chance, we don't see an intervention from the BoJ.For more analysis, join the fastest growing trading and investing network for free today app.twoblokestrading.com

    How to Build a Trading Strategy

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 23, 2023 36:28


    In this podcast Jonathan and Rory talk about how to build a trading strategy and what to focus on when it comes to technical, fundamentals and sentiment analysis.Jonathan discusses at the beginning of the podcast that too many new traders focus on technical analysis to generate trade ideas and solely rely on the charts for entries and exits. In this episode , he talks us through his reasoning of using technical analysis and how he combines fundamentals with sentiment to find trade ideas.Rory also shares his thoughts on how to use statistical analysis as well as fundamentals to generate ideas whether it be in equities or forex. He explains the process of understanding economics as well as the value chain to identify ideas. When it comes to stop losses and profit levels, Rory is keen on using a more quantitative approach and encourages anyone to ask him more about it especially if they are interested in quantitative trading.In the podcast Jonathan also mentions some resources that new traders can use to help gain an edge such as books in technical analysis which Include “technical analysis of the financial markets” written by John J Murphy. This is a great resource which shows the concepts and application of technical analysis within the markets.As always, the best way to learn is to ask questions and challenge everything, no matter how stupid it may seem. This is Rory's best advice to anyone who wants to construct a better approach to their strategy when trading and everyone is encouraged to ask questions through the app, after all that's why it's there. It's free so join using the link belowApp.twoblokestrading.com

    Dollar Strength

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2023 20:45


    Jonathan and Rory discuss their thoughts on current Dollar Strength ahead of Jackson hole. Plus Fed chair, Jerome Powell due to speak on Thursday.The economic calendar is due to be light until then but with some shockwaves from recent events, there could still be some volatility left in markets.Rory discusses his thoughts on the dollar and how he sees 104.50 being the upper bound for now until more supportive data allows for price to continue. This is while EURUSD continues in the downtrend.Jonathan shares his ideas with GBPUSD and the sideways action that's been happening. For very short term intra day traders there has been strong support and resistance trading zone he says but for longer term directional traders, the volatility is non existent.Jonathan and Rory both agree that while on Monday morning, European equities were driven higher by German PPI data, the strong sentiment in markets is what will continue to drive European risk assets lower for the time being.For more analysis, join the fastest growing trading community for free today….

    Trading Psychology

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2023 19:02


    Too many traders are told “it's about psychology” but what they aren't told is the truth behind psychology. In this episode, Jonathan and Rory breakdown the truth behind trading psychology, as well as sharing some of their best tips when trading and investing.The word psychology in trading is thrown around too loosely, understanding how to adopt an objective approach while trading will immediately give you an edge. If you have good risk management, then psychology around trading reduces significantly.During the episode, Rory mentions that too many traders don't focus on risk adjusted returns I.e. how much risk you take to profit. Too many traders focus on absolute numbers rather than the statistics themselves and while it may seem rational and reasonable, often it's not favourable. Make sure to ask Rory any questions around probability, statistics, or portfolio performance in the app!Jonathan also lets us in on how he remains in focus throughout his trading career. He highlights that you are not always going to get it right, so accepting a loss is part of trading you have to accept. Once you accept this, you can control & minimise your losses, allowing you to focus on your winning trades. Too many traders hold on to losses in the hope the market will swing in their favour. Always refer to this quote “the market will remain illogical longer than you can remain solvent”. Jonathan explains his systematic process that traders should follow in order to achieve consistency and not deviate off course. Listen in to hear his techniques.Join the TBT community today

    Risk Off Sentiment

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2023 18:40


    In this episode the Blokes discuss the current risk off sentiment in the markets & look at recent events impacting price action. This includes the latest US PPI and US CPI reports which both came out higher than previous. The complications that higher inflation can have on the economy is something Rory has discussed throughout the podcast and explains in this episode.Jonathan also talks us through his thoughts on the US Dollar. Today with little data to move the markets we saw the Dollar strengthen as the risk-off mood continues in the market. Jonathan recaps todays moves in FX pairs with Key levels to watch out for. Jonathan looks at levels we may reach in the DXY & how this could effect other USD pairs, talking us through his reasoning along with his view on the current horizon.Rory offers his view on Crude Oil with all factors looking like a continued rally to the upside. He then goes on to describe the correlation between Oil & the Canadian Dollar explaining how one effects the other.Rory then offers his opinion on Gold after closing a profitable trade today with major support levels coming into play. Rory also talks about the events upcoming in markets this week. As earnings season is drawing to a close a lack of economic data on Monday led to a muted session and the calendar is limited for the remainder of the week with UK inflation and US Building permits on Wednesday. The FTSE100 has been struggling the last few weeks so all UK investors will be watching the data closely for any clues on what the BOE may be doing next.Jonathan and Rory go into a lot more detail on the podcast and within the app so make sure you join one of the fastest growing investing and trading communities today for free!

    Digital Currency

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 9, 2023 39:55


    In this episode, Jonathan and Rory talk about the future of money. The Blokes share their thoughts on a digital currency being introduced. Rory openly admits that it's not something he favours and towards the end of the podcast gives his reason for this with a relevant example to how current FX markets work and why they work so well.If governments do try to introduce a digital currency what will the narrative be? Will the public accept this change & is there anything we can do to stop it? Or could this be for the greater good, would a digital currency reduce crime & have further benefits? Either way it seems that we are becoming more restricted by the powers in control. Jonathan talks us through his concerns to what will support a digital currency. Will it be pegged to a commodity, a currency or exactly how it would work. In a time where technology is advancing, governments want to see an introduction to digital currencies however, what would that mean to the general public & how could this effect the future of transactions.Will we move to a new way of exchange? Rory believes we could go back to bartering with commodities such as gold or silver. However, Jonathan believes this will accelerate the use of Crypto currencies.Be sure to listen and find out what both Jonathan and Rory have to say…

    US Debt Downgraded

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2023 27:41


    In this episode Jonathan and Rory talk about recent events in the markets and what their opinions are going forward. The Blokes take a look over FX, commodities, indices & Stocks. The hot topic was APPLE loosing $200 billion in market cap in less than a week, the blokes offer their opinion in the future direction of APPLE stocks. A highlight from last week was the downgrade of US debt by ratings agency Fitch's where US debt was downgraded from AAA to AA+. This sparked some initial selling in the market, but Rory reiterated in the podcast that he doesn't think this single event will cause anymore selling.On the Tuesday morning news released also stated that another ratings agency, Moody's had downgraded US small and mid-size lenders which added pressure to financials. This was on top of the Italian government announcing a surprise 40% windfall tax on extra profits.Looking ahead into the week, Jonathan takes us through his prediction for the US dollar and the CPI report due to be released on Thursday. Forecasts expect inflation to rise to 3.3% on a year over year basis from July 2022. This reacceleration is nothing to worry markets & we should see little impact as a result. Oil and energy markets have been moving higher so the possibility of reacceleration has been priced in. What has not been priced in, is a trend of reacceleration of inflation back to higher levels which would cause the monetary policy committee to continue hiking rates perhaps above 6%. If this was the case, a very strong dollar could be expected.Rory also talks through recent earnings and the downgrades we have been seeing as well as the outlook for Apple as they have been struggling in the last few sessions and broke a major trendline.Check out the TWO blokes Trading APP

    Will Gold Rally 2023

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2023 30:57


    Rory and Jonathan talk about recent events in markets including the dollar, gold, USEquities and world indices. The Blokes also talk about recent events such as theUS CPI and this weeks data which includes RBA, ISM Surveys, Non Farm Payrollsand Unemployment Situation Report.In the podcast, Rory talks about the stronger than expected data on Monday and how itwas linked to a strong AUD and what he expected from AUDUSD for the short termas the RBA interest rate decision is in a matter of hours.Jonathan talks Gold and what his view is on XAUUSD moving forward into the second halfof the year. Considering the strong upwards movement, Jonathan believes pricestill has a lot of upside potential. Rory however disagrees and thinks Goldwon't be able to breach $2000. Will Gold rally in 2023? Listen to find out both opinions.What Rory and Jonathan both agreed on was the price of Oil and where is will be heading.Both think that it could be headed towards $90 per barrel as production cutsseen by Russia and Saudi are set and as global demand doesn't seem to beslowing down. Jonathan and Rory also answer a listeners question on how to stay motivated whentrading. This can often be a very difficult period for traders so make sure tolisten and find out more.Join the Two Blokes Trading APP for free…

    Trading vs Investing

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 26, 2023 26:24


    In this weeks episode, Jonathan and Rory talk about the difference between Trading vs Investing. These terms are often used interchangeably amongst the retail community however, it's important to distinguish their differences and to be aware that trading and investing often have different processes.Both Jonathan and Rory have different opinions on whether you should trade before investing or invest before you trade. However, both the blokes agree that learning the fundamentals to finance & economics is a great starting point as well as learning about technical analysis and sentiment.Jonathan and Rory also talk through their own processes for both trading and investing and highlight their key differences whether it's in the trade idea generation process or whether it's about risk management or psychology.The blokes then go on to talk about how retail traders have impacted the financial markets with the influence of wall street bets & other social platforms, plus the impact influencers can have on the markets. Whether you are taking your first steps in trading or investing it's always great to hear the opinions of other likeminded trades hence why our app is a great place for members to share their thoughts with other members. Join the app for free…

    investing trading both jonathan
    Earnings Season

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2023 18:30


    Jonathan and Rory talk about recent developments in the markets including, strong selling in dollar which was later seen with strong buying which managed to see the DXY Index climb above 101.Rory mentions this thoughts around recent dollar buying stating that if dollar was to continue the downward trend it would need to be sold against another pair but what pair would he buy now that PMI reports are coming out weaker and inflation in the UK is starting to ease, decreasing the chances for higher rates that were initially thought of.Jonathan talks about the recent developments in equities as we are now in the middle of earnings season with lots of big names reporting this week including Google, Microsoft, Boeing , Meta and Exxon to name some. Earning so far this season have surprised mainly to the upside but can the momentum continue as markets seem to be under some pressure?Equities aren't the only market that could be under pressure, Gold markets are also feeling a pinch after a great run from 1900 to 1980, XAUUSD failed to stay above 1980 as the USD continued higher above 101 and Gold could now be set to return to 1940 especially if the FOMC come out with a hawkish statement this week:Looking ahead, lots of data this week including; FOMC Rate Decision, ECB Rate Decision, PMI Reports and PCE data on Friday. Earnings are also in between all of these so volatility can be expectedKeep up to date by joining the app for free today.

    How To Trade Stocks

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2023 31:29


    In this weeks episode Jonathan and Rory talk through recent moves in the markets. Rory talks about how recent moves after the lower than expected UK CPI has created a risk on tone in the UK with GBP falling from recent highs and FTSE rallying firm.Jonathan also discusses his thoughts on some FX pairs and explains how sentiment has started to change particularly as the dollar has been selling hard and other key levels in many major pairs are now approaching. Jonathan then goes on to discuss the uptick in Gold but the lack of demand from China & India seem to be capping gains, as well as discussing how Gold generally underperforms in the summer months.Rory mentions how some major banks are calling for WTI Crude to reach levels close to $100 p/b by the end of summer and how production cuts from OPEC as well as increasing demand could see this as a probable cause.The Blokes then go on to discuss how to trade Stocks, they talk through how to generate a macro led trade idea. Rory discusses how he generates his trade idea starting at the very beginning, coming up with a bias through leading indicators and then using a filtering process to then do a quantitative and qualitative analysis on the sector and companies.Rory also discusses the importance of running a portfolio correctly and how important it is to know how to do it properly. This ranges from knowing how to hedge correctly , calculate statistics and performance reports as well as being able to effectively manage risk on a single asset and across the entire portfolio.Rory goes into a lot more detail in the app on trade idea generation as well as portfolio management so to learn more, sign up today!Download The Two Blokes Trading APP

    Beware Of Trading Scams

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 12, 2023 26:03


    Jonathan and Rory talk about how the retail trading industry has changed in the last decade. The introduction of Instagram, TikTok and other popular social media platforms, these have been a haven for many charlatan educators, to showcase their fake results and lifestyle in order to lure retail traders. Rory also shares some recent examples of how he has seen the “influencer” lifestyle take over social media and why seeing isn't always believing when it comes to Instagram.Jonathan discusses how before these times, traders found it difficult to find information regarding trading, but now the industry is a full of false information & it's hard for traders to access real education. Jonathan also explains how by learning from the right mentors can take years off your trading journey & fast track your path to successful trading.A new trend over the last few years has been the development of AI in trading and algorithms. Many large hedge funds and institutions spend billions each year developing quantitative strategies to beat the market. Jonathan and Rory argue the point that if they are spending billions to make 40% per year but Instagram traders will sell you a strategy to make 40% per month for small monthly fees, it's obviously not going to work.In the podcast, the blokes also talk about the importance of risk management & trade psychology, two key factors that separates a good trader & a bad trader. The blokes also talk about how some retail traders make the same mistakes as they have never been taught correct risk management principles. The blokes then discuss the importance of staying objective when trading, how to stick to your trading strategy & not allow emotions to dictate your decisions. Download The Two Blokes Trading Community APP

    Beginning Of A Bull Or Bear Market?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 11, 2023 17:40


    Jonathan and Rory take over as Mike has departed from Two Blokes Trading to become a portfolio analyst at one of the UK's leading pension funds. We wish Mike all the best in his new role and thank you for your valuable contribution to the podcasts.Last week seen US labour markets remain tight with unemployment declining to 3.6% from 3.7%, clearing the path for the Federal Reserve to hike a further 25bps in their meeting at the end of the month.Jonathan asks Rory what his view is on the current economic cycle, including if he thinks the fed have further to go in terms of interest rate hikes and what a stronger labour market means for the Dollar and US risk assets including equities.Currently US indices are in a strong bull market backed by a divergence of data from recent PMI's that are suggesting the economy may be contracting, Jonathan asks Rory his opinion and where he sees many assets heading such as GBP/USD , EUR/USD, WTI Crude Oil and Gold.Jonathan also asks Rory for his opinion on Apple to which Rory thinks they are a great company but may be overvalued due to their “household name “ nature. What he means by this is how he expressed in the podcast that If any retail trader had £100 to invest in a company, chances are they will choose Apple as they know the name.Rory also says that Apple's success is down to their ability to make people repurchase a similar product such as the iPhone where people continually roll from phone contracts or simple just purchase a new phone to have the latest device.Check Out The Two Blokes Trading APP

    How To Trade NFP

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 5, 2023 11:25


    In this podcast Mike and Rory share the theory behind how the NFP data release should be traded. The podcast investigates the details of what the NFP is and how it is typically announced. Rory mentions how the NFP is a leading indicator, however also explains that there are leading indicators that can be used for the NFP such as the initial jobless claims, PMI employment reports and more.Mike mentions on the podcast what happens if there is a positive announcement, one that is higher than the expected. Mike tells us that when payrolls are above expectations and participating rates are higher, then we can expect to see growth in risk assets such as equities, Fixed income products and the USD will rally.Rory shares his opinion on how a negative announcement can be a sign of a weakening economy the would require support that we could see equities and risk assets fall, Fixed income products gather strength and USD to drop.Both Mike and Rory agree that they think on Friday, for Junes NFP number it will be higher than the consensus of 225k and could be in the region of 240k-260k. This would be a positive announcement and could see growth in risk assets like equities.Find out more and join our free app

    Emerging Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 3, 2023 19:22


    In this podcast, Mike and Rory start by discussing an under the radar under performance from the Brazilian Real on Monday, following the less than expected foreign direct investment into Brazil. The pair talk about how there is still room for growth in their opinion with the emerging market space and the difficulties that can often surround investing into emerging markets.Rory talks about how last Friday's PCE number came in lower than expected finally below 4% and what this could mean going forward in terms of monetary policy, as well as how markets will recognise this move lower. He also talks about the implications of stubborn inflation at these levels.The Blokes also cover the recent market moves that many big tech names and other corporates are up following some out of Calendar earnings and price being pushed by macro tailwinds in general. Carnival cruise lines (CCL) is one company mentioned in the podcast, looking at how their negative earnings were still a positive for investors and how this landed the stock up higher.Rory talks about the week ahead in the podcast discussing the importance of the ISM Manufacturing and Services that is being released as well as listening out for the FOMC minutes also and not to forget the RBA interest rate decision. However, the highlight of the week and the one to watch will be the employment situation report (ESR) which is released on Friday, with the Non-Farm Payrolls expected to be 225k. The Blokes share their opinion on what they think NFP will be on Friday and to follow this podcast will be their opinion on how NFP can be traded.Download The Two Blokes Trading APP

    Why 90 Percent of Traders lose money

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2023 14:11


    In this episode, Mike and Rory discuss why 90% of traders lose money and how you can avoid being on the wrong side. Rory opens and mentions that too many people believe the BS narrative that comes from brokers who may have a conflict of interest with trading whether that is selling you false information or pushing you to trade products you have absolutely no idea about.Rory also mentions how most retail traders unfortunately treat trading like a casino, where they expect to deposit £100 and turn it into £100,000 in the most unrealistic timeframe. Mike talks about the importance of risk adjusted returns and how 5x your money every year is a very unrealistic approach, traders must seek out information and understand the distribution of returns for a trader each week, month, or year. This is the type of content we cover more of in our App. Rory follows on from Mike talking about some of the professional returns and what to expect from markets.The podcast also unveils the truth behind scams who claim to have proprietary software that for just a few quid each month you can have access to their ultra successful algorithm or quantitative strategy, that returns 20% per month versus funds like citadel who returned less than 40% in a year but charged in the region of $18 billion in performance fees and expenses to do so. Rory & Mike asks the listeners to think about this and see whether it makes sense because it doesn't make sense to them.Download The Two Blokes Trading APP

    Macroeconomic Outlook

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2023 17:22


    In this weeks episode Mike and Rory talk about the S&P500 and the recent events causing this slight pullback and where they think markets are headed. Most recently, the S&P500 made highs of 4445 with a pull back to current levels of 4300.This pull back was due to a deteriorating macroeconomic outlook as well as the Fed median projected dot plot for interest rates in 2023 to end at 5.6%. This would mean another 2 hikes is possible before the year end and Fed chair, Jerome Powell reiterated the same message that inflation is still an issue for the US.Mike and Rory also mention how the S&P500 rally during 2023 has been greatly assisted by a handful of companies such as AI stocks like NVIDIA and mega cap tech names such META who have both more than doubled in price this year.Rory also mentions how low interest savings accounts have been discouraging savers and instead encouraging spending and discretionary buying. Could this spending and lack of saving be correlated with the recent large returns seen in markets?Download The Two Blokes Trading APP

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