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Send a textImproved risk appetite pushes stocks higher. Focus shifts to Nvidia earnings after US markets close. Trump highlights diplomacy as the main way out of the US-Iran crisis. Gold and oil maintain recent gains; dollar whipsaws.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
APAC mostly firmer as China returned, somewhat shrugging off the weak Wall St. finish on AI disruption concerns.DXY marginally firmer, EUR/USD directionless, while USD/JPY edged higher and above 155.00.USTs pulled back from Monday's best, Bunds remained near highs, while JGBs saw choppy action after the long weekend.Crude remained tentative amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, XAU faded while copper rallied as China returned.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly, House Prices (Dec), Consumer Confidence (Feb), Dallas/Richmond Fed (Feb), Atlanta Fed GDP, NBH Policy Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Bailey, Lombardelli, Greene, Taylor & Pill, Fed's Goolsbee, Collins, Bostic, Waller, Cook & Barkin, Supply from UK, Italy & US, Earnings from Home Depot & Keurig Dr Pepper.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Send a textUncertainty weighs on risk appetite; crypto winter persists. Stocks try to findtheir footing ahead of Wednesday's Nvidia earnings. Trump's State of theUnion in focus as reports point to an imminent strike on Iran. Dollar's rallypauses; gold and oil consolidate after gains.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Today, another breakdown of the remarkable dispersion in the US market, with few signs that it is ending just yet, while Europe continues to soar on record inflows. FX is deeper in limbo after USD shorts were squeezed - important to see how we close for the week there, especially for EURUSD as we saw a very pale green shoot from the German Manufacturing PMI today for the first time in years. This and much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.
Send a textTensions continue to build over Iran as Trump sets deadline for nucleardeal. Dollar climbs to one-month peak, eyes US GDP and PCE inflationdata. Oil surges to 6-month high but gold can barely grip onto $5,000handle. Yen flounders again, equities trade mixed.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send a textGold and oil jump amid fears US will attack Iran even as nuclear talksprogress. Dollar climbs to two-week high as Fed minutes confirm hawkishtilt. Wall Street edges higher on easing AI fears, Walmart earnings eyed.Aussie and kiwi outperform on rate hike bets.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send a textFed minutes awaited as traders expect more than two Fed cuts this year. Yen slips, pound trades indecisively after CPIs, kiwi falls after RBNZ. Wall Street recovers on tech rebound, progress in US-Iran talks.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send a textInvestors expect 65bps worth of Fed cuts for 2026. FOMC meeting minutes and Q4 GDP data awaited. Yen recovers some GDP-related losses, aussie and pound slip. Wall Street set to open lower, gold extends pullback.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send a textSlow start to the week; China and the US on holiday today. Busy event calendar ahead, with a potential Supreme Court decision on Friday. US equity weakness in the spotlight; dollar benefits from lingering ‘risk off' sentiment. Dollar/yen slide pauses; Japanese sovereign yields drop after weak GDP report.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Please join Ralf Preusser for a discussion on the German outlook with Evelyn Herrmann, Sphia Salim and Michalis Rousakis. We will explore the view on the German fiscal implementation, its impact on the growth profile in 2026-27 and the challenges ahead. We will also present our EUR rate and German yield forecasts as well as our takeaways for the EURUSD outlook. Disclosure: You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and trends affecting your everyday financial life. "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing names for the global banking businesses and global markets businesses (which includes BofA Global Research) of Bank of America Corporation. Lending, derivatives, and other commercial banking activities are performed globally by banking affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including Bank of America, N.A., Member FDIC. Securities, trading, research, strategic advisory, and other investment banking and markets activities are performed globally by affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including, in the United States, BofA Securities, Inc. a registered broker-dealer and Member of FINRA and SIPC, and, in other jurisdictions, by locally registered entities. ©2026 Bank of America Corporation. All rights reserved.
Send a textInvestors still expect more than two Fed rate cuts this year. USCPI data on today's agenda could further boost US dollar. PM Takaichi'sadvisor says a March BoJ hike seems premature. Wall Street tumbles ontech-selloff, gold pulls back.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send a textNonfarm payrolls increase by nearly double the forecast. Dollar gains asinvestors scale back their Fed rate cut bets. Yen extends rally onintervention worries, Aussie rallies on RBA hawkishness. Wall Street pullsback after NFP, gold shrugs off dollar strength.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send a textUS equities and cryptos reverse Monday's gains. Focus shifts to nonfarm payrolls after weak US retail sales. A 70k NFP increase is forecast, but speculation is rife about a weaker print. Dollar/yen slide persists; greenback is weak even against the troubled pound.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send a textStocks climb as AI panic eases; Dow and Nikkei hit new records. Dollarhalts decline as investors await first of trifecta of US data this week. Gold'srebound pauses while Bitcoin hits wall at $70,000. Pound softer as UKyields fall back as Starmer safe for now.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textFriday's rally in both equities and cryptos may be tested today. Japanese PM Takaichi scores an impressive win; verbal interventions boost the yen. Dollar on the back foot, also due to a Chinese directive about US Treasuries. Pound remains under pressure as political crisis deepens.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textWorries about AI spending and disruption continue to weigh on stocks. But precious metals and Bitcoin come off lows. Soft US jobs data boost rate cut bets but dollar supported by market turmoil. Yen finds some footing ahead of elections, BoE and ECB hold rates.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textEquities and cryptos on the back foot. US technology stock underperformance lingers. Dollar rally pauses; focus shifts to ECB and BoE meetings. Pound under pressure as political crisis deepens.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textTech stocks tumble amid fears of AI disruption to software companies. Gold benefits from tech jitters, soars back above $5,000; Bitcoin hits new low. Yen remains pressured despite softer dollar, US data eyed as NFP delayed. Oil jumps after US shoots down Iranian drone.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textEquities and gold gain while dollar's rally pauses. US partial governmentshutdown in focus, Friday's NFP is delayed. Aussie benefits from hawkishRBA meeting; more hikes on the cards. Yen remains on the back foot,focus firmly on Sunday's election.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textGold and silver collapse on Warsh's nomination and forced exit. Dollar rebounds ahead of NFP report; RBA decision on tap. Yen resumes slide ahead of key Sunday election. Wall Street pulls back, oil tumbles on US-Iran deescalation.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textTrump is expected to announce new Fed chair nomination today. Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is reported to be surprise pick. Gold skids, dollar jumps as Warsh not seen as dovish as other contenders. Stocks steadier on Apple earnings following volatile session on Wall Street.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textFed holds rates, citing improving economic outlook, but dollar littlechanged. Gold leads ongoing rally in commodities amid Iran tensions. S&P500 tops 7,000 but AI spending spree limits gains from tech earnings beats.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textDollar falls sharply as Trump says he is not concerned with the slide. Fed expected to remain on hold, focus to fall on forward guidance. Yen rallies as intervention risk remains elevated. Stocks await Fed decision and earnings, gold hits new record high.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textA plethora of market issues overshadow risk appetite, keeping gold bid. Equity markets prepare for this week's key earnings. The dollar tries to find its footing, but tariff talk hinders its recovery. Dollar/yen stabilizes; will the April 2024 price action repeat?Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textSpeculation of US-Japan coordinated intervention boosts the yen. Dollar traders add to shorts ahead of Fed meeting, Trump's Fed Chair pick. Stocks trade mixed ahead of key earnings from tech giants. Gold hits fresh record high, oil rebounds on fresh US sanctions on Iran.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textDollar resumes slide as investors choose better alternatives. BoJ stays onhold, upgrades projections, but disappoints yen bulls. Yen rallies later dueto potential intervention call by Japan's MoF. Wall Street extends gains,gold climbs to fresh record high.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textTrump rules out military action over Greenland, drops tariffs. Dollar rebounds, risk-linked aussie and kiwi rally. Yen falls as BoJ commences two-day monetary policy meeting. Wall Street rebounds, gold retreats after hitting new record high.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textRisk asset recovery attempt hinges on Trump's speech and the US Treasury 20-year auction. A conciliatory tone from Trump might please markets but will Europeans be satisfied? US Supreme Court to hear arguments on the Fed's Cook firing today. Japanese bond yields drop; Could the BoJ restart its aggressive bond purchases? Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textTrump reiterates demands for Greenland ahead of discussions in Davos. Dollar's woes worsen but gold and silver surge to new record highs. Equities slide but losses contained for now, Netflix earnings eyed. Takaichi sets February 8 election date, Japanese bonds sink. Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textTrump's tariff threat pushes risk assets lower and gold higher. EU retaliation is on the cards, the dollar feels the brunt. US bank holiday today, focus shifts to the WEF in Switzerland. Japanese bond yields disapprove of the anticipated snap elections. Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textImproved equity performance due to AI and earnings. Gold and oil stabilize, but the risk of a US military action remains elevated. FX and equity volatility are low, ignoring geopolitics and the Trump-Powell spat. Japan edges closer to an actual intervention; markets are still not convinced. Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textGold and silver pull back from records after Trump holds off from attackingIran. Oil also tumbles, but Greenland remains a concern. Stocks mixedafter Wall Street closes in the red on disappointing bank earnings. Dollarslightly firmer, yen finds some support.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textCommodities in the spotlight; gold and silver print fresh all-time highs. Oil climb stops, as Trump “likes the price of oil at $53 a barrel”. Dollar rally pauses; focus shifts to a busy Fedspeak and data calendar. Japanese bond yields surge, dollar/yen reaches intervention zone.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textGeopolitics drives markets; oil tests $60, gold hovers around $4,600. Dollarreacts to Monday's weakness, NY Fed Williams defends Chair Powell. USCPI in focus; a softer print could prove market-moving. Dollar/yen climbs,verbal interventions intensify; all eyes on 160.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textDollar gains after not-so-bad US employment report. Pulls back after US prosecutors open criminal probe against Powell. Yen slides following reports of snap election in Japan. Stock futures retreat, gold hits new record high, oil rises.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textDollar gains ahead of official US employment report. Signs of a healinglabor market could weigh on Fed rate cut bets. Yen approaches yearlylows, could spark new intervention warnings. Wall Street mixed ahead ofNFP, Oil rebounds on Iranian tensions.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Original Release Date: December 3, 2025Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy Michael Zezas and Chief Global Cross-Asset Strategist Serena Tang address themes that are key for markets next year.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Michael Zezas: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy.Serena Tang: And I'm Serena Tang, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Cross-Asset Strategist.Michael Zezas: Today we'll be talking about key investor debates coming out of our year ahead outlook.It's Wednesday, December 3rd at 10:30am in New York.So, Serena, it was a couple weeks ago that you led the publication of our cross-asset outlook for 2026. And so, you've been engaging with clients over the past few weeks about our views – where they differ. And it seems there's some common themes, really common questions that come up that represent some important debates within the market.Is that fair?Serena Tang: Yeah, that's very fair. And, by the way, I think those important debates, are from investors globally. So, you have investors in Europe, Asia, Australia, North America, all kind of wanting to understand our views on AI, on equity valuations, on the dollar.Michael Zezas: So, let's start with talking about equity markets a bit. And one of the common questions – and I get it too, even though I don't cover equity markets – is really about how AI is affecting valuations. One of the concerns is that the stock market might be too high, might be overvalued because people have overinvested in anything related to AI. What does the evidence say? How are you addressing that question?Serena Tang: It is interesting you say that because I think when investors talk about equities being too high, of valuations – AI related valuations being very stretched, it's very much about parallels to that 1990s valuation bubble.But the way I approach it is like there are some very important differences from that time period, from valuations back then. First of all, I think companies in major equity indices are higher quality than the past. They operate more efficiently. They deliver strong profitability, and in general pretty solid free cash flow.I think we also need to consider how technology now represents a larger share of the index, which has helped push overall net margins to about 14 percent compared to 8 percent during that 1990s valuation bubble. And you know, when margins are higher, I think paying premium for stocks is more justified.In other words, I think multiples in the U.S. right now look more reasonable after adjusting for profit margins and changes in index composition. But we also have to consider, and this is something that we stress in our outlook, the policy backdrop is unusually favorable, right? Like you have economists expecting the Fed to continue easing rates into next year. We have the One Big Beautiful Bill Act that could lower corporate taxes, and deregulation is continuing to be a priority in the U.S.And I think this combination, you know, monetary easing, fiscal stimulus, deregulation. That combination rarely occurs outside of a recession. And I think this creates an environment that supports valuation, which is by the way why we recommend an overweight position in U.S. equities, even if absolute and relative valuation look elevated.Michael Zezas: Got it. So, if I'm hearing you right, what I think you're saying is that comparisons to some bubbles of the past don't necessarily stack up because profitability is better. There aren't excesses in the system. Monetary policy might be on the path that's more accommodative. And so, when compared against all of that, the valuations actually don't look that bad.Serena Tang: Exactly.Michael Zezas: Got it. And sticking with the equity markets, then another common question is – it's related to AI, but it's sort of around this idea that a small set of companies have really been driving most of the growth in the market recently. And it would be better or healthier if the equity market were to perform across a wider set of companies and names, particularly in mid- and small cap companies. Is that something that we see on the horizon?Serena Tang: Yes. We are expecting U.S. stock earnings to sort of broaden out here and it's one of the reasons why our U.S. equity strategy team has upgraded small caps and now prefer it over large caps. And I think like all of this – it comes from the fact that we are in a new bull market. I think we have a very early cycle earnings recovery here. I mean, as discussed before, the macro environment is supportive. And Fed rate cuts over the next 12 months, growth positive tax and regulatory policies, they don't just support valuations. They also act as a tailwind to earnings.And I think like on top of that, leaner cost structures, improving earnings revisions, AI driven efficiency gains. They all support a broad-based earnings upturn. and our U.S. equity strategy team do see above consensus 2026 earnings growth at 17 percent. The only other region where we have earnings growth above consensus in 2026 is Japan; for both Europe and the EM we are below, which drive out equal weight and slight underweight position in those two indices respectively.Michael Zezas: Got it. And so, since we can't seem to get away from talking about AI and how it's influencing markets, the other common question we get here is around debt issuance related to AI.So, our colleagues put together a report from earlier this year talking about the potential for nearly $3 trillion of AI related CapEx spending over the next few years. And we think about half of that is going to have to be debt financed. That seems to be a lot of debt, a lot of potential bonds that might be issued into the market – which, are credit investors supposed to be concerned about that?Serena Tang: We really can't get away from AI as a topic. And I think this will continue because AI-related CapEx is a long-term trend, with much of the CapEx still really ahead. And I think this goes to your question. Because this really means that we expect nearly another [$]3 trillion of data center related CapEx from here to 2028. You know, while half of the spend will come from operating cash flows of hyperscalers, it still leaves a financing gap of around [$]1.5 trillion, which needs to be sourced through various credit channels.Now, part of it will be via private credit, part of it would be via Asset Backed Securities. But some of it would also be via the U.S. investment grade corporate credit bond space. So, add in financing for faster M&A cycle, we forecast around [$]1 trillion in net investment grade bond issuance, you know, up 60 percent from this year.And I think given this technical backdrop, even though credit fundamentals should stay fine, we have doubled downgraded U.S. investment grade corporate credit to underweight within our cross asset allocation.Michael Zezas: Okay, so the fundamentals are fine, but it's just a lot of debt to consume over the next year. And so somewhat strangely, you might expect high yield corporate bonds actually do better.Serena Tang: Yes, because I think a high yield doesn't really see the same headwind from the technical side of things. And on the fundamentals front, our credit team actually has default rates coming down over the next 12 months, which again, I think supports high yield much better than investment grade.Michael Zezas: So, before we wrap up, moving away from the equity markets, let's talk about foreign exchange. The U.S. dollar spent much of last year weakening, and that's a call that our team was early to – eventually became a consensus call. It was premised on the idea that the U.S. was going to experience growth weakness, that there would also be these questions among investors about the role of the dollar in the world as the U.S. was raising trade barriers. It seemed to work out pretty well.Going into 2026 though, I think there's some more questions amongst our investors about whether or not that trend could continue. Where do we land?Serena Tang: I think in the first half of next year that downward pressure on the dollar should still persist. And you know, as you said, we've had a very differentiated view for most of this year, expecting the dollar to weaken in the first half versus G10 currencies. And several things drive this. There is a potential for higher dollar negative risk premium, driven by, I think, near term worries about the U.S. labor markets in the short term. And as investors, I think, debate the likely composition of the FOMC next year. Also, you know, compression in U.S. versus rest of the world. Rate differentials should reduce FX hedging costs, which also adds incentive for hedging activity and dollar selling.All this means that we see downward pressure on the dollar persisting in the first half of next year with EUR/USD at 123 and USD/JPY at 140 by the end of first half 2026.Michael Zezas: All right. Well, that's a pretty good survey about what clients care about and what our view is. So, Serena, thanks for taking the time to talk with me today.Serena Tang: And thank you for inviting me to the show today.Michael Zezas: And to our audience, thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review and share the podcast. We want everyone to listen.
Im heutigen Podcast geht es um den Dollar Index als wichtigsten Chart für 2026. Ich zeige, warum ein weiterer Dollar Rückgang von 8 bis 9 Prozent deine Renditen massiv beeinflussen kann. Vereinbare jetzt dein kostenfreies Strategiegespräch: https://jensrabe.de/Q4Termin25 Trage dich hier in meinen täglichen kostenfreien Newsletter ein https://jensrabe.de/Q4NewsYT25
EUR/USD gained, while DAX and Bund futures fell as ECB's Schnabel said she is 'comfortable' on bets that next move will be a hike.APAC stocks were mixed following a lack of major macro drivers over the weekend and with markets tentative ahead of this week's risk events, while participants also digested data, including the latest Chinese trade figures.USD/JPY briefly retreated beneath the 155.00 handle amid a softer buck and as the latest wages data from Japan supported the case for a December BoJ rate hike, although Q3 GDP revisions were disappointing and showed a wider-than-feared contraction.Chinese trade data showed a stronger-than-expected recovery in Exports, but Imports disappointed.European equity futures indicate a slightly softer cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.1% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output, EZ Sentix, Comments from ECB's Cipollone, BoE's Taylor & Lombardelli, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy Michael Zezas and Chief Global Cross-Asset Strategist Serena Tang address themes that are key for markets next year.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Michael Zezas: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy.Serena Tang: And I'm Serena Tang, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Cross-Asset Strategist.Michael Zezas: Today we'll be talking about key investor debates coming out of our year ahead outlook.It's Wednesday, December 3rd at 10:30am in New York. So, Serena, it was a couple weeks ago that you led the publication of our cross-asset outlook for 2026. And so, you've been engaging with clients over the past few weeks about our views – where they differ. And it seems there's some common themes, really common questions that come up that represent some important debates within the market. Is that fair?Serena Tang: Yeah, that's very fair. And, by the way, I think those important debates, are from investors globally. So, you have investors in Europe, Asia, Australia, North America, all kind of wanting to understand our views on AI, on equity valuations, on the dollar.Michael Zezas: So, let's start with talking about equity markets a bit. And one of the common questions – and I get it too, even though I don't cover equity markets – is really about how AI is affecting valuations. One of the concerns is that the stock market might be too high, might be overvalued because people have overinvested in anything related to AI. What does the evidence say? How are you addressing that question? Serena Tang: It is interesting you say that because I think when investors talk about equities being too high, of valuations – AI related valuations being very stretched, it's very much about parallels to that 1990s valuation bubble.But the way I approach it is like there are some very important differences from that time period, from valuations back then. First of all, I think companies in major equity indices are higher quality than the past. They operate more efficiently. They deliver strong profitability, and in general pretty solid free cash flow.I think we also need to consider how technology now represents a larger share of the index, which has helped push overall net margins to about 14 percent compared to 8 percent during that 1990s valuation bubble. And you know, when margins are higher, I think paying premium for stocks is more justified.In other words, I think multiples in the U.S. right now look more reasonable after adjusting for profit margins and changes in index composition. But we also have to consider, and this is something that we stress in our outlook, the policy backdrop is unusually favorable, right? Like you have economists expecting the Fed to continue easing rates into next year. We have the One Big Beautiful Bill Act that could lower corporate taxes, and deregulation is continuing to be a priority in the U.S. And I think this combination, you know, monetary easing, fiscal stimulus, deregulation. That combination rarely occurs outside of a recession. And I think this creates an environment that supports valuation, which is by the way why we recommend an overweight position in U.S. equities, even if absolute and relative valuation look elevated.Michael Zezas: Got it. So, if I'm hearing you right, what I think you're saying is that comparisons to some bubbles of the past don't necessarily stack up because profitability is better. There aren't excesses in the system. Monetary policy might be on the path that's more accommodative. And so, when compared against all of that, the valuations actually don't look that bad.Serena Tang: Exactly.Michael Zezas: Got it. And sticking with the equity markets, then another common question is – it's related to AI, but it's sort of around this idea that a small set of companies have really been driving most of the growth in the market recently. And it would be better or healthier if the equity market were to perform across a wider set of companies and names, particularly in mid- and small cap companies. Is that something that we see on the horizon?Serena Tang: Yes. We are expecting U.S. stock earnings to sort of broaden out here and it's one of the reasons why our U.S. equity strategy team has upgraded small caps and now prefer it over large caps. And I think like all of this – it comes from the fact that we are in a new bull market. I think we have a very early cycle earnings recovery here. I mean, as discussed before, the macro environment is supportive. And Fed rate cuts over the next 12 months, growth positive tax and regulatory policies, they don't just support valuations. They also act as a tailwind to earnings.And I think like on top of that, leaner cost structures, improving earnings revisions, AI driven efficiency gains. They all support a broad-based earnings upturn. and our U.S. equity strategy team do see above consensus 2026 earnings growth at 17 percent. The only other region where we have earnings growth above consensus in 2026 is Japan; for both Europe and the EM we are below, which drive out equal weight and slight underweight position in those two indices respectively.Michael Zezas: Got it. And so, since we can't seem to get away from talking about AI and how it's influencing markets, the other common question we get here is around debt issuance related to AI.So, our colleagues put together a report from earlier this year talking about the potential for nearly $3 trillion of AI related CapEx spending over the next few years. And we think about half of that is going to have to be debt financed. That seems to be a lot of debt, a lot of potential bonds that might be issued into the market – which, are credit investors supposed to be concerned about that?Serena Tang: We really can't get away from AI as a topic. And I think this will continue because AI-related CapEx is a long-term trend, with much of the CapEx still really ahead. And I think this goes to your question. Because this really means that we expect nearly another [$]3 trillion of data center related CapEx from here to 2028. You know, while half of the spend will come from operating cash flows of hyperscalers, it still leaves a financing gap of around [$]1.5 trillion, which needs to be sourced through various credit channels.Now, part of it will be via private credit, part of it would be via Asset Backed Securities. But some of it would also be via the U.S. investment grade corporate credit bond space. So, add in financing for faster M&A cycle, we forecast around [$]1 trillion in net investment grade bond issuance, you know, up 60 percent from this year.And I think given this technical backdrop, even though credit fundamentals should stay fine, we have doubled downgraded U.S. investment grade corporate credit to underweight within our cross asset allocation.Michael Zezas: Okay, so the fundamentals are fine, but it's just a lot of debt to consume over the next year. And so somewhat strangely, you might expect high yield corporate bonds actually do better.Serena Tang: Yes, because I think a high yield doesn't really see the same headwind from the technical side of things. And on the fundamentals front, our credit team actually has default rates coming down over the next 12 months, which again, I think supports high yield much better than investment grade.Michael Zezas: So, before we wrap up, moving away from the equity markets, let's talk about foreign exchange. The U.S. dollar spent much of last year weakening, and that's a call that our team was early to – eventually became a consensus call. It was premised on the idea that the U.S. was going to experience growth weakness, that there would also be these questions among investors about the role of the dollar in the world as the U.S. was raising trade barriers. It seemed to work out pretty well. Going into 2026 though, I think there's some more questions amongst our investors about whether or not that trend could continue. Where do we land?Serena Tang: I think in the first half of next year that downward pressure on the dollar should still persist. And you know, as you said, we've had a very differentiated view for most of this year, expecting the dollar to weaken in the first half versus G10 currencies. And several things drive this. There is a potential for higher dollar negative risk premium, driven by, I think, near term worries about the U.S. labor markets in the short term. And as investors, I think, debate the likely composition of the FOMC next year. Also, you know, compression in U.S. versus rest of the world. Rate differentials should reduce FX hedging costs, which also adds incentive for hedging activity and dollar selling. All this means that we see downward pressure on the dollar persisting in the first half of next year with EUR/USD at 123 and USD/JPY at 140 by the end of first half 2026.Michael Zezas: All right. Well, that's a pretty good survey about what clients care about and what our view is. So, Serena, thanks for taking the time to talk with me today.Serena Tang: And thank you for inviting me to the show today.Michael Zezas: And to our audience, thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review and share the podcast. We want everyone to listen.
APAC stocks mostly firmer following the Wall St. handover, though China was mixed amid reports of Trump selling NVIDIA chips to China.Fed's Collins says she has not made up her mind on December. Treasury Secretary Bessent said prices are getting better.DXY contained, EUR/USD bounced from 1.15, Cable rangebound, USD/JPY firmer but limited in holiday trade.USTs and Bunds contained after the moves seen on Friday; Crude is uneventful, XAU continues to fade.US' Rubio said good progress had been made re. Ukraine, and none of the outstanding issues are insurmountable.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo (Nov), US National Activity Index (Oct), Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov), Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Elderson & Lagarde, Supply from the US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Arindam Sandilya, Meera Chandan and James Nelligan discuss the outlook for currencies with a focus on the European FX bloc. This podcast was recorded on 14 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5131492-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
APAC stocks were mixed after an early sell-off following the losses stateside, where tech underperformed amid valuation concerns.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.7% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.3% on Tuesday.The USD rally has paused for breath (DXY remains above 100), EUR/USD is unable to reclaim 1.15 status, USD/JPY failed to hold below 153.Global fixed income benchmarks remain supported, crude futures lack direction, Gold remains below USD 4k.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Orders, EZ, UK & US Final PMI, EZ Producer Prices, US ADP, US ISM Services PMI, Riksbank, NBP & BCB Policy Announcements, ECB Wage Tracker, US Supreme Court Tariff hearing begins, Speakers including ECB's Nagel, BoE's Breeden, BoC's Macklem & Rogers, Riksbank's Jansson, US QRA, Supply from Germany.Earnings from BMW, Novo Nordisk, Pandora, AMC, Arm, Snap & McDonald'sRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded mostly higher overnight. European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.2%.Chinese RatingDog Manufacturing PMI data disappointed amid a sharp decline in export orders.Fed's Waller said he still advocates for the Fed to cut rates in December and said data fog does not tell you to stop.Crude futures gained at the open as participants digested the latest OPEC+ decision to raise output again by a modest 137k bpd in December before pausing for Q1 2026.In FX, DXY is steady, USD/JPY sits above 154 with Japan away from market, EUR/USD remains on a 1.15 handle, AUD marginally outperforms ahead of RBA this week.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, EZ, UK & US Final Manufacturing PMI, US ISM Manufacturing PMI, Speakers including Fed's Daly, ECB's Lane & BoC's Macklem, Supply from BoE Gilt Sale (long-term), US Financing Estimates.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Further positive trade rhetoric from the US, mega-cap earnings in focus; AMZN +12.9% after-hours, AAPL +2.7%European futures point to a slightly softer open, US futures rebounded from the Powell pressure amid earnings, NQ leadsDXY paused for breath, EUR/USD beneath 1.16, Antipodeans lackluster after a disappointing Chinese Manufacturing PMIFixed benchmarks subdued, weighed on in part by sizable Meta supplyCrude futures lacked demand, XAU tested the USD 4k/oz mark to the downside, base metals rangeboundLooking ahead, highlights include German Import Prices (Sep), Retail Sales (Sep), EZ Flash HICP (Oct), Italian CPI, Dallas Fed (Sep), Chicago PMI (Oct), (Suspended Releases: US PCE, Employment Costs), ECB Bulletin, Speakers including Fed's Logan, Bostic, Miran & Schmid, Earnings from Exxon Mobil, Chevron, AbbVie, AON & Intesa SanpaoloClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
How to Retire in PortugalPicture it: retiring fabulously in Portugal with LGBTQ+ protections, world-class healthcare, and the freedom to split time between Europe and the U.S.—without uprooting your life today. In Queer Money® episode 613, we sit down with Pedro Lino, CEO of Optimize Investment Partners, to unpack the Portugal Golden Opportunities Fund—a SEC-registered, PFIC-compliant mutual fund designed to qualify investors for Portugal's Golden Visa (residency now, citizenship later). We cover why a Golden Visa can be smart “life-hedging” in uncertain times, how the fund works (stocks/bonds, no real estate), what's changing in Europe, using self-directed IRAs, costs, timelines, and how one investment can include your spouse, kids, and even parents through family reunification.Whether your dream is six months in Lisbon and six months stateside, a second passport for your kids' future, or a values-aligned Plan B if U.S. politics keeps fraying your nerves, this episode gives you the details to decide with confidence.TakeawaysA Golden Visa is optionality: live/work/travel in the EU now or later—without leaving the U.S. immediately.Portugal is consistently LGBTQ+ friendly, with significantly lower healthcare costs and robust protections.The current path is via eligible investment funds (no real estate); fund must meet strict criteria (≥60% PT companies, no real estate, long-only, five-year availability).Self-directed IRAs can be used; look for SEC-registered and PFIC-compliant structures to keep U.S. tax/reporting clean.One qualifying investment can include spouse, kids, and parents via family reunification, creating a multi-generational Plan B.Chapters00:00 – Dream setup & why a Plan B now01:22 – What a Golden Visa actually gives you (residency → citizenship)03:18 – You don't have to move today: optionality for LGBTQ+ families05:02 – Why Portugal for LGBTQ+ safety, community & healthcare07:10 – Real-estate option removed: what changed and why funds remain10:12 – Inside the Golden Opportunities Fund (eligibility rules, asset mix)13:15 – Returns, risk, and diversification vs. buying a single property16:02 – Using self-directed IRAs; SEC & PFIC compliance explained19:04 – Demand, timelines, and potential policy shifts to watch22:31 – Costs, EUR/USD realities & creative ways families reach €500K26:05 – Family reunification: who can be included under one application28:40 – Downturn strategy: dividend-rich Portuguese market & bonds31:12 – What Optimize handles vs. what U.S. custodians/lawyers handle34:20 – Wrap-up & how to send us follow-up questionsDownload your free Happy Gay Retirement CalculatorMentioned in this episode:Get Your Portugal Golden Visa Faster Here!Want a European passport with access to living in nearly any European country? Just click the link below to find out how. Get Your Portugal Golden Visa Here!Get Your Portugal Golden Visa Here!
APAC stocks were mostly higher as expectations for incoming Fed rate cuts helped the region shrug off the mixed lead from Wall St.Fed Chair Powell said downside risks to the US jobs market have risen and rising risks to the job market justified a September interest rate cut.US President Trump announced he is considering terminating business with China regarding cooking oil.European equity futures indicate a firm cash market open with EuroStoxx 50 future up 1.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.3% on Tuesday.DXY is softer and now basically flat on the week, AUD is attempting to atone for recent losses, EUR/USD sits on a 1.16 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Industrial Production (Aug), NY Fed Manufacturing (Oct), Cleveland Fed CPI (Sep), US Military Pay Date, Fed Beige Book, (Suspended Releases: US CPI), BoE's Ramsden & Breeden, ECB's de Guindos, Lane & Lagarde, Fed's Miran, Bostic, Waller & Schmid, RBA's Bullock & Kent, Supply from UK & Germany.Earnings from ASML, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Dollar Tree & Progressive.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks were mixed following the rebound on Wall St; Japan underperformed on return from holiday/reacted to the ruling coalition split.China's MOFCOM announced that it is taking countermeasures against five US-linked firms; said the US cannot have talks while threatening new restrictions.European equity futures indicate a mildly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.7% on Monday.DXY is a touch softer, antipodeans lag, JPY picked up as the risk sentiment soured, EUR/USD is on the rise and eyeing 1.16.French PM Lecornu's government is to present a budget aiming to reduce the deficit to 4.7% by end-2026, according to La Tribune.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Unemployment/Wages (Aug), German ZEW (Oct), US NFIB (Sep), IEA OMR, Fed Discount Rate Minutes, ECB's Cipollone & Villeroy, BoE's Bailey & Taylor, Fed's Powell, Waller, Collins & Bowman, BoC's Rogers, RBA's Hunter & Hauser, Supply from Netherlands, Italy & GermanyEarnings from BlackRock, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citi, Wells Fargo, Johnson & Johnson, Bellway & LVMH.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Trade Bitcoin Like a Pro Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #607: Trade Bitcoin Like a Pro In this video: 00:26 – Do you want to know how to trade Cryptos? 00:45 – I want to buy Bitcoin. 01:50 – What's your local exchange rate against the USD? 02:28 – Trade Crypto using my proven FX strategy. 02:55 – Wait for a pullback first. 03:22 – Trade only the bullish patterns. 03:49 – Trade a different crypto that is a better buy. 04:54 – Check out my new 30 minutes Masterclass. 05:18 – Book a call to talk with us. 05:22 - Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker. 05:48 – Like, Share and Subscribe Today, I wanted to share with you how you can invest in the crypto market wisely, using a proven trading strategy. So let's talk about that and more. Right now. Hey there, Forex Traders! It's Andrew Mitchem here at The Forex Trading Coach with video on podcast number 607. Do you want to know how to trade Cryptos? So today we're actually not talking about forex. We're going to be talking about cryptos. You see this so many people out there jumping on the bandwagon of buying cryptos. And unfortunately most people don't really know what they're doing. The trouble is that just buying cryptos or coins because of that whole FOMO, the fear of missing out. I want to buy Bitcoin. And a classic example of that is just a few weeks ago, I was talking to a friend of mine and she said, look, Andrew, I've gone and bought some Bitcoin. I said, fantastic, but why did you buy a Bitcoin when it was an almost like it's an all time high. So far it was up close to $124,000 USD. And you know that so far has been the highest it's ever got to. And she said oh well, I've just got some money through the sale of a property and I thought I'd buy some bitcoin. You know, I don't want to miss out and I think it's going to go higher and higher. I said, well, okay, look if you're willing to hold it for, you know, months, years, it could still well be an okay decision. But the here's the issue that I find with so many people is they are not buying a crypto for a particular reason. They buy Bitcoin because they know Bitcoin. And everybody says it's going to go to 200,000. And so you're buying it thinking it's going to go up. Probably not a great way of doing it. And there's probably other things you can do to make that decision better. What's your local exchange rate against the USD? Now added on top of this, if you don't live in the US and you're buying it in equivalent of another currency, like for me and my friend who is New Zealand dollars right now, the New Zealand US dollar rate is really, really terrible for us because the US is strong and then New Zealand is weak. And therefore if you're buying an equivalent in US dollars, you've got a double whammy. You've got the let's say Bitcoin that almost an all time high. And you've got the NZD/USD rate at very low rate. So you're getting smashed on both sides. It's costing you a lot of money in your local currency to go and buy already a high value product such as Bitcoin. Trade Crypto using my proven FX strategy. Now take this back to how we trade and how we can help you. There's a few things you can do because we trade cryptos using my proven forex strategy in exactly the same way as we would trade, let's say the EUR/USD. And what we're using is technical analysis. And you can apply some very simple basic. Once you know what you're doing technical analysis to make your crypto decisions better. So let's stick with our example of buying Bitcoin. Wait for a pullback first. Instead of just randomly buying Bitcoin at today's price. You could instead use some good technical knowledge and wait for a pullback and then a bullish opportunity to go long again and buy it at a lower and better price.
Meera Chandan, Antonin Delair and Patrick Locke discuss the lower conviction and data dependent outlook for the dollar, as well as implications from systematic signals, the US government shutdown and payrolls. Risks around the EUR/USD view as well as AI-FX linkages are discussed. Speakers Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Antonin Delair, Global FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy This podcast was recorded on September 26, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5089100-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.