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Latest podcast episodes about asml

The Twenty Minute VC: Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI and Anthropic Threatened by Kimi? | Should the US Ban Chinese Open-Source Models | Should Openrouter Sell & Value in the Routing Layer? | Stripe Buying Paypal: What You Need to Know

The Twenty Minute VC: Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 83:12


AGENDA: 00:04 China's Kimi and Qwen Put Frontier AI on Notice00:08 Washington Debates Whether Chinese AI Models Should Be Banned 00:17 Can America Build a Profitable Open-Weight AI Champion? 00:21 OpenRouter's Moment: Is This the Perfect Time to Sell? 00:31 Fireworks' $1.5B Raise Signals the Real AI Money Is in Infrastructure 00:39 Why Every Great AI App May Need to Build Its Own Model 00:50 Stripe's Bold Play to Buy PayPal 01:01 The AI Funding Frenzy: Why Late-Stage Venture Is Winning 01:12 Nuclear Startups Go Wild While Databricks and Stripe Stay Private 01:15 The AI Supply Chain War: TSMC, ASML, DRAM—and Nvidia's Next Move  

The Circuit
Ep 184: Earnings TSMC/ASML/AEHR, State of AI Semis

The Circuit

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2026 59:17


In this episode, Ben and Jay analyze the latest developments in the semiconductor industry, focusing on TSMC, ASML, Air, and the broader market implications of AI and chip manufacturing advancements. They explore how these trends impact supply chains, CapEx, and future growth prospects.Key Topics:TSMC's CapEx increase and demand signalsASML's capacity expansion and high NA EUV technologyAir's role in semiconductor testing and optical advancementsMarket sentiment and investor rotation in semiconductorsThe impact of AI on chip demand and manufacturing

OHNE AKTIEN WIRD SCHWER - Tägliche Börsen-News
China-KI Kimi K3 schockt Börse. Tenbagger finden. Intuitive fällt, Saab steigt & Thyssenkrupp

OHNE AKTIEN WIRD SCHWER - Tägliche Börsen-News

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2026 14:52


2,5% Zinsen p.a. auf ein unbegrenztes Guthaben mit bis zu fünfmal der gesetzlichen Einlagensicherung*. Auch für Kinder. Das gibt's bei Scalable Capital. Mehr Infos hier. Trump Media will schnelleren Zugang zu Truth-Social-Posts für 100.000 $/Monat verkaufen. Chinas Kimi K3 holt bei KI-Modellen auf. Intuitive Surgical crasht trotz guter Zahlen. Saab liefert ab. Iran-Konflikt eskaliert weiter. ASML verschenkt Aktien. Thyssenkrupp (WKN: 750000) wird zur Finanzholding. TKMS, Nucera, bald Accelis. Allein der TK-Elevator-Anteil ist 3 Mrd. € wert. Eine Wette auf den Umbau, nicht auf Stahl. Wie findet man Tenbagger? Wir haben uns die Analyse eines Hedgefonds angeschaut. Diesen Podcast vom 20.07.2026, 3:00 Uhr stellt dir die Podstars GmbH (Noah Leidinger) zur Verfügung. *Veränderlicher Zins auf unbegrenztes Guthaben. Konditionen sowie Guthabenverteilung auf scalable.capital/tagesgeld. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

INSIDE FINANCE
Inside value #19 L'eccellenza non basta più.

INSIDE FINANCE

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2026 9:44


L'eccellenza non basta più.Nel mercato di oggi non basta essere bravi.Bisogna essere più bravi di quanto il prezzo abbia già promesso.In questo nuovo episodio di Inside Value, Roberto Russo accompagna gli ascoltatori dentro una settimana in cui anche aziende straordinarie, come TSMC e ASML, sono state penalizzate dai mercati nonostante risultati solidi e una domanda AI ancora molto forte.Il motivo? Le aspettative erano già altissime.Parleremo della corsa ai semiconduttori, della possibilità che l'intelligenza artificiale si trasformi in una “commodity digitale”, dell'arrivo di nuovi competitor dalla Cina e dei rischi legati agli enormi investimenti in data center, chip e infrastrutture cloud.Ma analizzeremo anche il lato più fragile dell'entusiasmo: la leva finanziaria, le margin call e il crollo della Borsa coreana, dove molti investitori hanno scoperto quanto velocemente un salto può trasformarsi in caduta.Al centro della puntata anche il confronto tra Nvidia e Apple: due modelli opposti, uno fondato sulla potenza degli investimenti, l'altro sulla forza di un ecosistema già consolidato.Un episodio dedicato a chi vuole capire perché un'azienda eccellente non è automaticamente un investimento eccellente a qualsiasi prezzo.Perché, nei mercati, l'asticella la fissa il prezzo.Ma il giudice finale resta sempre il bilancio.Se volete approfondire i temi di questa puntata, trovate la newsletter sul sito Il Valore Conta, a cura di Roberto Russo e Filippo Pasini.Per maggiori informazioni: info@ilvaloreconta.itQuesto podcast ha finalità esclusivamente informative e divulgative.Non costituisce consulenza finanziaria né raccomandazione di investimento.Le opinioni espresse riflettono il punto di vista degli autori.Buon ascolto.

AEX Factor | BNR
iTold you so: Apple terug aan de top (zónder AI-miljarden)

AEX Factor | BNR

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2026 25:02


Honderden miljarden dollars investeren in datacenters, taalmodellen of nieuwe AI-producten: het blijkt allemaal niet nodig om beleggers blij te krijgen. Meta, Alphabet, Amazon en Microsoft wisten niet hoeveel en hoe snel ze maar geld in hun producten moesten blijven pompen. Maar nu staat er één bedrijf ver boven hen. Apple vecht opeens weer om de titel van meest waardevolle beursbedrijf ter wereld. Een nek-aan-nek race met Nvidia. Wie wint 'm? En is dit het bewijs dat Apple het bij het rechte eind had en heeft? Dat hoor je in deze aflevering. Daarin hebben we het ook over nóg zo'n bedrijf dat volle bak in de investeringen is gevlogen. Meta bouwde als een gek datacenters om maar genoeg computerkracht voor hun modellen te hebben. En nu zitten ze met een overschot. De oplossing: het verhuren van die computerkracht. Ze zijn in onderhandeling met Anthropic om er 10 miljard dollar voor te krijgen. Verder hoor je over slechte cijfers van Ryanair. Laatst werd er nog bijna een passagier uit het raam gezogen, nu raken ze een paar beleggers definitief kwijt. Ondertussen loopt de topman van Boeing glimlachend over een beurs in het Verenigd Koninkrijk omdat hij de weg omhoog voor zijn bedrijf terug heeft gevonden. En we vertellen je over een persbureau, dat al over een beurswaarde van 1 biljoen dollar voor ASML droomt. Te gast: Arend Jan Kamp, van Stockwatch.nl en de podcast Het Beurscafé BNR Beurs is een journalistiek onafhankelijke productie, mede mogelijk gemaakt door Saxo. Over de makers: Jelle Maasbach is presentator van BNR Beurs en freelance financieel journalist. Zijn favoriete aandeel om over te praten is Disney, maar daar lijkt hij de enige in te zijn. Sinds de eerste uitzending van BNR Beurs is 'ie er bij. Maxim van Mil is presentator van BNR Beurs en journalist bij BNR, waar hij zich focust op de financiële markten en ontwikkelingen in de tech-wereld. Je krijgt hem het meest enthousiast als hij kan praten over ASML, of oer-Hollandse bedrijven zoals Ahold of ABN Amro. Jorik Simonides is presentator van BNR Beurs, economieredacteur en verslaggever bij BNR. Hij wordt er vooral blij van als het een keer níet over AI gaat. Je hoort hem ook in de BNR-podcast Moerdijk: dorp van de rekening. Milou Brand is presentator van BNR Beurs, freelance podcastmaker en columnist bij het Financieele Dagblad. Jochem Visser is presentator van BNR Beurs, maakt Beursnerd XL en is redacteur bij de podcast Onder Curatoren. Vraag hem naar obscure zaken op financiële markten en hij vertelt je waarom het eigenlijk nóg leuker is dan je al dacht. Over de podcast: Met BNR Beurs ga je altijd voorbereid de nieuwe beursdag in. We praten je in een kleine 25 minuten bij over alle laatste ontwikkelingen op de handelsvloer. We blijven niet alleen bij de AEX of Wall Street, maar vertellen je ook waar nog meer kansen liggen. En we houden het niet bij de cijfers, maar zoeken ook iedere dag voor je naar duiding van scherpe gasten en experts. Of je nu een ervaren belegger bent of net begint met je eerste stappen op de beurs, de podcast biedt waardevolle inzichten voor je beleggingsstrategie. Door de focus op zowel de korte termijn als de lange termijn, helpt BNR Beurs luisteraars om de ruis van de markt te scheiden van de essentie.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

IAD TALKS
ASML - tichá pevnosť Európy

IAD TALKS

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2026 6:53


Týždenné spravodajstvo z finančných trhov.Holandská spoločnosť ASML drží kľúč k výrobe najmodernejších čipov a dáva Európe prekvapivo silnú pozíciu v technologickom súperení USA a Číny. Jej nenahraditeľnosť je obrovským tromfom, no zároveň aj rizikom, ak Európa nedokáže túto výhodu pretaviť do budovania ďalších strategických technológií. Téme sa vo svojom týždňovom komentári z finančných trhov podrobnejšie venuje Adam Záhorský...IAD TALKS, týždenník, IAD Investments,správ. spol., a.s., Malý trh 2/A, 811 08 Bratislava, IČO: 17 330 254, dátum vydania: 13.07.2026, 34/2026, EV 139/23/EPP..*UPOZORNENIE. Tento materiál je marketingovým oznámením. Kompletné znenie upozornenia nájdete na stránke www.iad.sk/marketingoveoznamenia

Beurswatch | BNR
Beurs in Zicht | 1,5 meter afstand houden: IBM-drama is hoogbesmettelijk!

Beurswatch | BNR

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2026 8:39


Het heeft flinke indruk gemaakt: de krater bij het aandeel van IBM. Ooit was dat hét techbedrijf op Wall Street, maar nu hebben beleggers alle hoop verloren. Volgens de topman stellen klanten hun bestellingen bij IBM uit, omdat ze eerst andere AI-gerelateerde aankopen moeten doen waar ze bakken met geld aan kwijt zijn. En dat brengt zorgen met zich mee. Komt van uitstel afstel, vragen beleggers zich af. IBM is echter niet de enige die met dit probleem zou kunnen zitten, daar wijst Errol Keyner van de VEB op. Deze week moeten andere softwarebedrijven gaan bewijzen dat zij hier niet - of op z'n minst minder - door worden geraakt. Of dat gaat lukken, hoor je in deze aflevering. In Beurs in Zicht stomen we je klaar voor de beursweek die je tegemoet gaat. Want soms zie je door de beursbomen het beursbos niet meer. Dat is verleden tijd! Iedere week vertelt een vriend van de show waar jouw focus moet liggen. e gast: Errol Keyner van de Vereniging van Effectenbezitters BNR Beurs is een journalistiek onafhankelijke productie, mede mogelijk gemaakt door Saxo. Over de makers: Jelle Maasbach is presentator van BNR Beurs en freelance financieel journalist. Zijn favoriete aandeel om over te praten is Disney, maar daar lijkt hij de enige in te zijn. Sinds de eerste uitzending van BNR Beurs is 'ie er bij. Maxim van Mil is presentator van BNR Beurs en journalist bij BNR, waar hij zich focust op de financiële markten en ontwikkelingen in de tech-wereld. Je krijgt hem het meest enthousiast als hij kan praten over ASML, of oer-Hollandse bedrijven zoals Ahold of ABN Amro. Jorik Simonides is presentator van BNR Beurs, economieredacteur en verslaggever bij BNR. Hij wordt er vooral blij van als het een keer níet over AI gaat. Je hoort hem ook in de BNR-podcast Moerdijk: dorp van de rekening. Milou Brand is presentator van BNR Beurs, freelance podcastmaker en columnist bij het Financieele Dagblad. Jochem Visser is presentator van BNR Beurs, maakt Beursnerd XL en is redacteur bij de podcast Onder Curatoren. Vraag hem naar obscure zaken op financiële markten en hij vertelt je waarom het eigenlijk nóg leuker is dan je al dacht. Over de podcast: Met BNR Beurs ga je altijd voorbereid de nieuwe beursdag in. We praten je in een kleine 25 minuten bij over alle laatste ontwikkelingen op de handelsvloer. We blijven niet alleen bij de AEX of Wall Street, maar vertellen je ook waar nog meer kansen liggen. En we houden het niet bij de cijfers, maar zoeken ook iedere dag voor je naar duiding van scherpe gasten en experts. Of je nu een ervaren belegger bent of net begint met je eerste stappen op de beurs, de podcast biedt waardevolle inzichten voor je beleggingsstrategie. Door de focus op zowel de korte termijn als de lange termijn, helpt BNR Beurs luisteraars om de ruis van de markt te scheiden van de essentie.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Canadian Investor
Bank of Canada Holds, Housing Cracks, and AI's Infrastructure Problem

The Canadian Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2026 59:58


In this episode of The Canadian Macro Investor Podcast, Simon and Dan break down the latest Bank of Canada rate decision and monetary policy report. They discuss why the Bank of Canada held rates steady, how the bond market is increasingly driving borrowing costs, and why housing is becoming a more important risk in the central bank’s outlook. They also look at Canada’s increasingly divided housing market, with Ontario and B.C. under pressure while several other provinces continue to hit new highs. The discussion covers condo weakness in Toronto and Vancouver, the impact of unsold inventory, rental market dynamics, CMHC MLI Select, and how mortgage products and government policy are shaping real estate investment. From there, they shift to the U.S. rate outlook and why the Fed may have less room to raise rates than prediction markets or futures markets suggest. They discuss rising U.S. Treasury bill issuance, the potential role of stablecoins in creating demand for short-term government debt, and why higher inflation targets may become more politically and financially attractive over time. Finally, they dig into the AI investment boom, including new Chinese open-weight models, pressure on OpenAI and Anthropic’s business models, data centre constraints, Tourmaline’s proposed Alberta data centre opportunity, and what semiconductor drawdowns may be signaling for broader markets. Tickers discussed: TOU.TO, SMH, NVDA, TSM, AVGO, AMD, MU, ASML, META, QQQ Watch the full video on Our New Youtube Channel! Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Deffner & Zschäpitz: Wirtschaftspodcast von WELT
Chip-Crash trotz Rekordzahlen: Kaufchance oder Anfang vom Ende?

Deffner & Zschäpitz: Wirtschaftspodcast von WELT

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2026 8:40 Transcription Available


Der Halbleiterindex SOX verliert 20 Prozent in einem Monat, Speicherchip-Werte wie SK Hynix und Micron stürzen um bis zu 35 Prozent ab. Und das, obwohl ASML und TSMC sensationelle Zahlen vorlegen und Planungssicherheit bis 2030 versprechen. Die beiden Wirtschaftsjournalisten Dietmar Deffner und Holger Zschäpitz streiten über die große Tech-Rotation, dieses Mal mit vertauschten Rollen: Der Bär sieht mittelfristig Chancen im abgekühlten Chip-Sektor bei einem KGV von 17, der Bulle warnt vor einer nachhaltigen Korrektur nach dem Vorbild der Rüstungswerte. Außerdem: Stripe will PayPal für 60,50 Dollar je Aktie übernehmen, SpaceX verliert eine Billion Dollar an Marktkapitalisierung und Apple stößt Nvidia vom Thron des wertvollsten Unternehmens der Welt. Du möchtest mehr über unsere Werbepartner erfahren? Hier findest du alle Infos & Rabatte: https://linktr.ee/deffnerundzschaepitz DEFFNER & ZSCHÄPITZ sind wie das wahre Leben. Wie Optimist und Pessimist. Im wöchentlichen WELT-Podcast diskutieren und streiten die Journalisten Dietmar Deffner und Holger Zschäpitz über die wichtigen Wirtschaftsthemen des Alltags. Schreibt uns an: wirtschaftspodcast@welt.de Impressum: https://www.welt.de/services/article7893735/Impressum.html Datenschutzerklärung: https://www.welt.de/services/article157550705/Datenschutzerklaerung-WELT-DIGITAL.html

That Was The Week
Intelligence: Who Owns it?

That Was The Week

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2026 39:16


This week's video transcript summary is here. You can click on any bulleted section to see the actual transcript. Thanks to Granola for its software.EditorialIntelligence: Who Owns it?This week the word “AI” feels too small.AI is a technology. Intelligence is its product. And if intelligence is the product, the question is no longer just: Which model is best? Who has the cheapest tokens? Who owns the weights? Who controls the data center? Those are important questions, but they are lower in the stack.The bigger question is simpler and more political:Who owns intelligence?That sounds abstract until you make it concrete. Intelligence is becoming something companies can capture, package, serve, meter, route, improve, and sell.It can write code, answer questions, design molecules, automate offices, run agents, draft legal work, advise scientists, serve consumers, and reshape workflows. It is not merely software. It is a general-purpose capability. And all humans could benefit from more of it.General-purpose capabilities have a habit of becoming public questions. But the default answer, that public good is best delivered by government, is the wrong answer in this context.The Product Is IntelligenceWe should stop talking about AI as a feature and start talking about intelligence as the universal thing that is delivered as an input to the world.Water is an input. Electricity is an input. Literacy is an input. Connectivity is an input. Once a society depends on them, access stops being optional. Nobody needs government to build every well, power plant, school, or network. But everybody understands that a civilization cannot be organized around less than universal and reliable access to foundational inputs.Intelligence is reaching that level of importance now that we all know it is real.Government should not own it, operate it, or develop it. Quite the opposite. Companies are the right actors to build fast, compete hard, improve models, serve customers, and discover the real use cases. Self-interest is a useful framing here. Markets are good at finding demand, reducing costs, and turning invention into services people actually use.Companies are the right operators, developers, and owners. But that does not settle the real question of who owns the benefits. That is an economic question.If intelligence becomes metered infrastructure, what happens to the value it creates?The Ownership StackThis week's articles keep circling the same issue from different directions but in the nature of ‘circling' never quite nail it.Jamin Ball's “Own Your Weights” starts with the enterprise version of the question. Owning a model file is not enough. The durable asset is the loop: the data flywheel, the evaluations, the reinforcement system, the workflow learning, and the operating context that lets capability compound.Benedict Evans' “Ways to Think About Token Pricing” adds the market layer. Tokens may become essential, abundant, and cheap, like mobile data. But being essential does not guarantee that the token layer captures the value. The money may move up the stack to whoever owns the workflow, the customer, the distribution, or the application.Alex Karp's fight with the labs, reported in “Alex Karp Is Saying What Every Angry CEO Is Thinking About AI”, is the same argument in sharper enterprise language. Companies are afraid that model providers will not just sell intelligence, but learn from customer workflows and then move into the markets where those workflows create value. The “All-in” group are echoing Karp's view.And “What Is Loop Engineering, and Who Owns It?” names the new contested terrain. The loop is where intelligence meets the world. Whoever owns the loop owns the learning. Whoever owns the learning owns the compounding asset.That is why “who owns intelligence?” is not a slogan. It is the question under the model layer, the application layer, the enterprise layer, and the economic layer.Because intelligence is the product, the tools creating it are fragmented and competitive. So there is no logic in trying to discuss this at the level of a single company or set of tools and models.The Old Promise Was That Commerce Would Tame PowerThe essays this week give the historical backdrop.Deirdre McCloskey, in “What Really Caused the Industrial Revolution”, argues that modern growth came not simply from capital accumulation, but from a change in permission: ordinary people were allowed to innovate, trade, build, and be honored for it.That matters because intelligence could be another expansion of permission. It could make more people capable of building, learning, creating, coding, researching, translating, selling, and coordinating. It could lower the cost of competence.But only if access is broad.Paul Krugman's “AI in an Age of Oligarchy” warns that the same technology lands differently in different political economies. A new general-purpose technology entering a broad, open, upwardly mobile society is one thing. The same technology entering a concentrated economy, with extreme wealth and weak counterweights, is another.Tim O'Reilly's Economist essay, “Elon Musk is building a form of capitalism that Adam Smith would hate”, makes the governance point more directly. The old liberal hope was that commerce would tame arbitrary power. Markets, boards, courts, shareholders, disclosure, and competition would discipline the prince.But what if the prince uses markets to escape discipline?Henry Farrell's “political economy of billionaire derangement” pushes the same point. Founder culture, monopoly ambition, peer rivalry, weak correction mechanisms, and vast private control can amplify appetites rather than restrain them.The danger with intelligence is not that companies build it. They should. Companies build it, meter it, use public tolerance and public infrastructure to scale it, learn from everyone who uses it. All of those things are inevitable and healthy. Market forces will sort out winners from losers. The real danger is that the winners treat all of the surplus produced as purely private.Metered Intelligence Creates SurplusIf metering is not the problem, what is?The problem is pretending that metered intelligence creates value only for the metering entity. Metering water is only tolerated as a public good. If the public were blackmailed by a private water company with the threat of no water we would all rebel.Once we understand that the product of AI is intelligence we can see that every time intelligence is used, there is the immediate transaction: the user pays, the provider serves.But there is also system value. Usage creates signals. Workflows reveal patterns. Prompts, corrections, failures, preferences, integrations, edge cases, and business processes all help define where intelligence is useful and how it should improve. Intelligence breeds intelligence.Even when customer data is contractually protected, the market learns. The platform learns where demand is. The product team learns which workflows matter. The ecosystem learns which jobs are vulnerable, which tasks are automatable, and which parts of the economy can be reorganized around machine intelligence.So the surplus is not born in a vacuum.It rests on public science, public education, public data exhaust, public law, public infrastructure, public energy systems, public tolerance for data centers, and billions of human interactions. It is served by companies, but it is not made only by companies.This is why “Americans Deserve a Dividend From AI Companies' Riches” belongs at the center of this week's issue. The detail can be debated. The principle is harder to dismiss. If intelligence becomes a new foundational resource, then some part of the wealth it creates should flow back to the people whose society makes it possible. Intelligence did not suddenly appear. AI is built on the entire history of human intelligence. It benefits from it and at the same time evolves it.Not Nationalization. A Human Wealth Fund.If intelligence belongs to everybody, some conclude that government ownership of intelligence is the right outcome.Governments are not well suited to build, operate, or improve intelligence. They will move too slowly, regulate too early, politicize the wrong things, and confuse economic participation with operational control.Andrew McAfee's “Why I Didn't Sign the AI Open Letter” is useful here. His objection is not that the technology is unimportant. It is that steering too hard before we understand the shape of the change can become its own failure mode. Marc Andreessen's satire of AI regulation is less policy than temperament, but it captures a real Silicon Valley fear: that regulation can become permission, capture, and incumbency before it becomes wisdom.That fear should be taken seriously.But it does not answer the economic question. It answers only the operational one.How can the economic benefits of intelligence be distributed? The better answer is a sovereign human wealth fund.Call it a sovereign wealth fund if you must, but the phrase is too national. Intelligence will not respect borders. The leading companies are global. The models, chips, data centers, agents, platforms, and workflows will be transnational from the beginning. If the value created by intelligence is global, then the mechanism for sharing some of that value should begin with the companies global enough to capture it. The nice thing about xAI, OpenAI, and Anthropic is that they are supranational.These companies own and operate intelligence. Let them compete. Let them profit. Let them keep the incentives that make the system improve. But if intelligence is the new water, the wealth it creates cannot belong only to the companies that meter it. And they, themselves, have the power to fix it, even more than governments.Access will become a Human Right; Ownership Is the Economic DesignThis is where human rights come in. There is no right to access an AI model, yet. But there will soon be a need to change that.Not as a claim that every person is entitled to every frontier model at every moment for free. That is not serious. Capacity has costs. Models have costs. Inference has costs. Data centers have costs. Although those costs will decline over time, possibly quite quickly as self-learning models address costs.The claim is more basic: in a world where intelligence becomes a primary input into education, work, health, science, citizenship, creativity, and economic agency, baseline access to intelligence starts to look like a civic requirement.That could mean public access layers. It could mean education credits. It could mean open models. It could mean AI dividends. It could mean public-interest compute. It could mean taxes on rents. It could mean a company-initiated human wealth fund that returns some of the upside to society without handing the operating system to the state. The latter could couple wealth growth with universal distribution of ownership.The exact mechanism matters. But the distinction matters more.Government should not own intelligence. It should be universally available. And people should have a claim on the wealth intelligence creates.The Frontier Is Also PhysicalThe abstraction is not weightless.“The Fight Against AI Data Centers Is Just Beginning”, “New York becomes the first state to enact a data center moratorium”, Reuters on pollution from Musk's xAI power project, and DataGravity's “Who Captures Value in AI Infrastructure?” all say the same thing from the ground up.Intelligence uses land. It uses power. It uses water. It uses chips. It uses grid capacity. It uses neighborhoods. It uses public patience.That makes the value question unavoidable. A society can accept the buildout if the buildout is legible as shared progress. It will resist it if the costs are local, the profits are private, and the benefits feel enclosed.Who Owns the “Loop”?The week ends where it began.“Anthropic and Blackstone” are betting that implementation is the next trillion-dollar business. “Vint Cerf” is working on identity for agents on the open internet. “GPT-Red” points toward systems that improve their own robustness. “Kimi K3” adds another open frontier model to the global mix.The model race continues. The deployment race is accelerating. The governance race is behind.My view is this:The central product of this era is intelligence. Companies have figured out how to capture it, package it, serve it, and meter it. That is good. It should stay in the hands of builders who have the incentive to make it better.But intelligence is too foundational to become just another private toll booth. A significant part of it will turn out to be free to users.As intelligence becomes a general-purpose resource, then access to it becomes a human-capability question, and the surplus from it becomes an economic-justice question. Not because government should run it. Because government should not run it. The operating layer belongs with companies. The wealth question belongs with everyone. But companies are best placed to turn that into a process of distribution.The question is not whether companies should build intelligence. They should.The question is whether humanity gets a stake in the wealth created by the thing that may soon become its most important shared input.Contents* Essays* Deirdre McCloskey on What Really Caused the Industrial Revolution* AI in an Age of Oligarchy* Elon Musk is building a form of capitalism that Adam Smith would hate* Murky Mirror: Truth and Consequences* The political economy of billionaire derangement* Is there any “oligarchy” to fight?* AI* Nearly 200 Economists and Tech Leaders Warn of A.I. Threats* Why I Didn't Sign the AI Open Letter* Own Your Weights* Ways to Think About Token Pricing* Alex Karp Is Saying What Every Angry CEO Is Thinking About AI* The AI Agents Are Coming for Microsoft Office* What Is Loop Engineering, and Who Owns It?* The Fight Against AI Data Centers Is Just Beginning* 6 months to live for open models* Americans Deserve a Dividend From AI Companies' Riches* Who Gets to Define the Frontier?* GPT-Red: Unlocking Self-Improvement for Robustness* Anthropic, Blackstone bet the next trillion-dollar AI business is implementation, not just models* Vint Cerf is working on a plan to unleash AI agents on the open internet* xai-org/grok-build, now open source* The Pulse: What can we learn from Bun's rapid Rust rewrite with AI?* Orphan risks at the frontier of artificial intelligence* The Lab of the Future Should Feel Like a Data Center* Why AMI Labs' Alexandre LeBrun won't call his AI “AGI” or “superintelligence”* Kimi K3 Tech Blog: Open Frontier Intelligence* Venture Capital* Three Years In* Venture Has Rarely Looked More Bifurcated* The Best Angel Investors in the US: Who Backs the Most Unicorns, and Who's Active Now* Are Prediction Markets Doomed to Fail?* Regulation* Exclusive: The Next Frontier of the Deportation Wars: College Campuses* The Supreme Court Broke Independent Agencies. Here's a Way to Slow the Damage.* India's crackdown on a new WhatsApp feature risks setting a global precedent* Let's build a children's public internet* Computer cops* Google is better at playing the AI regulations game* Infrastructure* Who Captures Value in AI Infrastructure?* New York becomes the first state to enact a data center moratorium* Pollution from Musk's unpermitted xAI power project hits hardest in Black communities* Interview of the Week* The End of the End of Geography* Startup of the Week* Radical AI's Joseph Krause: The Scientist Building The “Waymo” Lab For New Materials* Post of the Week* Marc Andreessen on AI RegulationEssaysDeirdre McCloskey on What Really Caused the Industrial RevolutionYascha Mounk and Deirdre McCloskey | Persuasion | July 11, 2026Yascha Mounk interviews Deirdre McCloskey about her argument that the modern world's economic liftoff came less from capital accumulation than from a change in ideas. McCloskey says both left and right versions of the conventional story rely too heavily on investment: the left stresses exploitation and surplus value, while the right stresses virtuous saving by capitalists. Her objection is historical and economic. Human beings had always invested, from irrigation works and Roman roads to seed grain, and simple accumulation quickly runs into diminishing returns.McCloskey's alternative is that northwestern Europe, first Holland, then Britain and Scotland, and then the North American colonies, developed a liberal ideology that changed who was allowed to innovate and be honored for it. The conversation links that shift to the erosion of inherited hierarchy, the spread of dignity for ordinary commercial life, and a moral vocabulary in which liberalism is not merely procedural but connected to virtues and values. The point is not that machines, coal, trade, and institutions did not matter, but that they do not explain the scale and timing of modern enrichment without a cultural permission structure for innovation.The interview also turns to the contemporary defense of liberalism. Mounk frames the series around the worry that liberalism is often treated as too thin to command allegiance, while its opponents speak more directly to moral passions. McCloskey's case is that liberal societies became rich because they dignified experimentation and ordinary enterprise, and that liberals need to recover the moral language behind that claim.Read moreAI in an Age of OligarchyPaul Krugman | Paul Krugman | July 12, 2026Paul Krugman frames AI as a major technological shock arriving inside an already unequal political economy. The post says AI's economic and social effects may take years to understand, but argues that the setting matters now: America has much greater wealth concentration and political inequality than it did in the 1950s and 1960s, when progressive taxation, stronger regulation, and more active antitrust might have contained some of the destructive effects of a new technology.Krugman's opening claim is that the same technology would likely have different consequences in a more level society. In today's United States, he writes, extreme wealth is both a cause and effect of policies that favor a small elite, including low effective taxes on capital and high incomes, weak enforcement of worker protections and antitrust, and cuts to programs that benefit ordinary Americans.The article is explicitly more about oligarchy than AI. Krugman says the paid sections document the rise of the “.0002%,” the economics and politics of extreme wealth, how oligarchy will shape AI's impact, and possible policy paths. His caveat is that AI itself may still produce a pushback against oligarchy, but absent that, he expects the pre-existing concentration of wealth and power to magnify AI's downsides.Read moreElon Musk is building a form of capitalism that Adam Smith would hateAuthor: Tim O'Reilly Published: July 12, 2026Tim O'Reilly argues that Elon Musk is using the legal forms of shareholder capitalism to escape the restraints that shareholder capitalism was supposed to impose. The article begins with SpaceX's public-market structure: ordinary public investors get little meaningful governance power, Musk keeps roughly 85 percent of the votes through super-voting shares, buyers waive jury trials and class actions, the company qualifies as controlled, and removal of Musk depends on the share class he controls. In O'Reilly's framing, that is not ordinary founder control; it is a design for being answerable to no one, possibly beyond Musk's own lifetime.The killer detail is the article's turn through Albert Hirschman, Montesquieu, James Steuart, Adam Smith, and Keynes. Older defenses of commerce held that markets would tame princely passions because the self-interest of merchants was safer than arbitrary rule. O'Reilly says Musk reverses that hope. The market discipline that was supposed to cage the prince has become the lever by which the prince raises capital, removes feedback loops, and carries private power into politics, government, Mars, robots, AI, or whatever ambition comes next.The pull is the link to AI governance. O'Reilly says corporations are already a kind of artificial intelligence: narrow-input systems that act at a scale no individual human can match. Their partial controls include independent boards, shareholder votes, courts, disclosure, regulators, public pressure, and activism. If the leaders building frontier AI strip those alignment mechanisms out of their own companies, the governance of the company becomes a preview of the governance of the machine.Read more: The EconomistMurky Mirror: Truth and ConsequencesAuthor: Esther Dyson Published: July 14, 2026Esther Dyson argues that today's institutional crisis is better viewed through the 14th century than through recent political history. Using Barbara Tuchman's A Distant Mirror as her frame, she compares a world of famine, plague, church schism, feudal predation, and purposeless war with a present in which institutions again feel brittle, incentives are badly aligned, and power is shifting into forms that are hard to govern.The killer detail is the historical analogy between land, corporations, and AI. Dyson moves from nobles who controlled serfs and territory, to the East India Company as a quasi-sovereign business, to today's AI systems and data centers as a possible new sector that crosses and weakens both nation-states and companies. The question is whether AI becomes a new kind of private land, owned by a new nobility, or an open prairie that many people can cultivate.The pull is human attention. Dyson says the central question is not what AI will do to people, but how people will react to it: whether they can value love, kindness, embodied attention, and artisanal human presence in a world of seductive artificial offerings.Read more: SourceThe political economy of billionaire derangementAuthor: Henry Farrell Published: July 15, 2026Henry Farrell argues that the visible political radicalization of some Silicon Valley billionaires is not a random personality quirk, but a product of the political economy that made them. Starting from Tyler Cowen's dismissal of “billionaire derangement syndrome” and Tim O'Reilly's warning that Elon Musk is using shareholder capitalism to escape shareholder restraint, Farrell flips the phrase: the question is why billionaires themselves can become deranged.The killer detail is Farrell's use of Peter Thiel as both theorist and example. Thiel's Stanford lectures described startups as monarchies and founders as figures vested with unusual power, while Silicon Valley culture rewarded eccentricity, monopoly ambition, and founder exceptionalism. Farrell says those ideas combined with dense founder-investor networks, peer rivalry, and weak correction mechanisms to amplify rather than discipline princely appetites.The pull is the ideological problem for classical liberals who once saw tech wealth as an ally of markets and freedom. Farrell says commerce did not tame the passions; in parts of Silicon Valley, the passions have begun to devour markets, institutions, and the liberal story that justified them.Read more: SourceIs there any “oligarchy” to fight?Matthew Yglesias | Slow Boring | July 16, 2026Matthew Yglesias argues that “oligarchy” is a rhetorically powerful but analytically loose way to describe American politics. The post begins from Bernie Sanders' “Fighting Oligarchy” tour, Amy Klobuchar's warning about a MAGA “broligarchy,” and the long afterlife of the Martin Gilens and Benjamin Page paper that was widely summarized as showing that only the rich matter in policy outcomes. Yglesias says the evidence supports a weaker claim: affluent people and business leaders have unusual access and influence, but that is not the same as rule by a small cabal.His main distinction is between inequality and oligarchy. The Gilens-Page measure treated the top 10 percent of households as “the wealthy,” and later critics found that rich and middle-class preferences usually align; in the cases where they differ, the rich win about 53 percent of the time. Yglesias also says business executives get special access partly because their decisions are materially important to communities, jobs, investment, and local tax bases, not only because of campaign donations.The post preserves Jerusalem Demsas' counterpoint from their podcast discussion: privileged donor and business access can still violate democratic equality even if the oligarchy label overstates the structure of power. Yglesias' narrower claim is that Democrats should be precise about what problem they are trying to solve, because donor influence can also push the party left on climate and cultural issues in ways that alienate many voters.Read more: Slow BoringAINearly 200 Economists and Tech Leaders Warn of A.I. ThreatsAuthor: Ben Casselman Published: July 13, 2026Ben Casselman reports on “We Must Act Now,” a statement warning that artificial intelligence could transform the economy faster than any previous technology and that policymakers need to move faster to understand and respond. The statement says AI may become radically more powerful over the next 10 years, bringing risks such as large-scale job displacement as well as opportunities such as higher living standards. Nearly 200 people signed, including 15 Nobel laureates, the chief economists of OpenAI and Anthropic, Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark, former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, and venture capitalist Vinod Khosla.The killer detail is who joined the warning. Casselman notes that the signatories include economists who have historically been skeptical of Silicon Valley's most dramatic AI job-loss forecasts, including Daron Acemoglu and Simon Johnson, the MIT professors who won the 2024 Nobel in economics. Erik Brynjolfsson, who helped organize the statement, says there has been a notable change in the profession and that economists and policymakers are not ready for the “tsunami” he sees coming.The pull is the measurement problem. The statement does not offer a specific policy menu, but calls for economists, policymakers, and industry leaders to understand the economics of transformative AI and steer it toward complementing humans. Brynjolfsson says one high priority is better data on AI's spread and impact, because current measures tell conflicting stories about job losses and which workers are most exposed.Read more: The New York TimesWhy I Didn't Sign the AI Open LetterAuthor: Andrew McAfee Published: July 13, 2026Andrew McAfee explains why he did not sign “We Must Act Now,” the AI economy statement organized in part by his longtime collaborator Erik Brynjolfsson. McAfee agrees with the letter's starting point that AI is likely to become radically more powerful over the next decade and that it is a general-purpose technology. His objection is not to urgency or to studying AI's economic effects, but to the framing of risk, displacement, and institutional steering as the first move.The killer detail is McAfee's line edit. He says the original letter comes close, then “bounces off the crossbar” by calling for incentives, guardrails, and institutions to steer AI before we know enough about its actual impacts. He points to mixed current evidence: labor-market canaries, but also rising software job postings, low unemployment for younger workers, rising real median income, and claims that AI-adopting companies are adding workers faster than low-adopting peers. His worry is that the letter leans toward upstream governance and dirigisme when the evidence may call for capability building instead.The pull is his replacement statement. McAfee keeps the three-paragraph structure but changes the emphasis: AI is likely to become radically more powerful; like earlier world-changing technologies it will raise living standards while also bringing harms and shocks; and economists, policymakers, and technology leaders should build the capabilities to respond quickly and effectively. It is a concise version of the permissionless-innovation case inside the AI policy debate.Read more: The Geek WayOwn Your WeightsAuthor: Jamin Ball Published: July 10, 2026Jamin Ball argues that the enterprise AI debate about whether companies should “own their weights” or rent models from frontier labs is asking too narrow a question. A model weight file gives a company control over a point-in-time artifact, but not durable control over the capability stack. In his framing, the weight file is a melting ice cube: it does not get worse in absolute terms, but it falls behind as frontier systems improve and enterprise needs change.The killer detail is what Ball says companies really need to own: the data flywheel, reinforcement learning infrastructure, and evaluation harness that produce and improve the model. Simply deploying an open-weights model and declaring sovereignty leaves the enterprise with yesterday's capability and no way to compound workflow-specific learning.The pull is that enterprise AI control may be less about model ownership than operating ownership. The defensible layer is the system that turns company data, edge cases, business definitions, and evaluations into continuously improving performance.Read more: Clouded JudgementWays to Think About Token PricingAuthor: Benedict Evans Published: July 9, 2026Benedict Evans argues that today's AI token prices are a temporary signal from a supply-constrained market, not a reliable guide to long-term value capture. The open question is whether foundation models keep durable pricing power or become commodity infrastructure as data-center capacity, inference efficiency, and model competition all shift. His current read is that the visible market dynamics point toward commoditization unless something materially changes.The killer detail is the mobile data analogy. Evans says cellular networks became a trillion-dollar industry with hundreds of billions in capex after data usage exploded, but carrier stocks went nowhere because value moved up the stack. Tokens may behave similarly: an opaque unit tied to marginal cost, sold through bundles, essential to everything, yet not necessarily where profits accrue.The pull is uncertainty, not prediction. Evans lists paths to model dominance, including network effects, less competition, regulation, export controls, or a lab pulling ahead on execution, but says each requires a new fact not yet visible. Without that change, the model layer looks more like infrastructure beneath the products that capture value.Read more: SourceAlex Karp Is Saying What Every Angry CEO Is Thinking About AIAuthor: Tim Higgins Published: July 11, 2026Tim Higgins reports that Palantir CEO Alex Karp has turned corporate frustration with AI labs into a public argument about enterprise control. Palantir released a white paper, “Institutional Sovereignty in the Age of AI,” laying out steps companies and governments can take to protect themselves from OpenAI, Anthropic, and other foundation-model providers. The article links that paper to Karp's CNBC appearance, where he said “something has gone completely wrong” in the relationship between AI labs and customers and argued that enterprises are paying for tokens that create little value.The killer detail is the value-capture question. Higgins writes that Karp's critique has resonated because AI labs may gain power and insight from customer data, workflows, and decision-making, even when enterprise policies say customer data are not used for training. David Sacks amplified the concern by arguing that Anthropic is moving from the model layer into vertical applications such as science, security, legal, and coding, raising the fear that model providers will watch where value is being created and then move into those markets directly.The pull is that Karp is not alone, even if his style is unusually combative. Higgins notes that Satya Nadella has also warned that companies need to retain the learnings created when they use AI models, while Mark Zuckerberg has framed Meta's new model release partly around lower-cost frontier intelligence. The article presents Karp's campaign as one sign that established technology companies and large enterprises are trying to define where they fit when AI labs become central infrastructure, application competitors, and potential IPO giants at the same time.Read more: The Wall Street JournalThe AI Agents Are Coming for Microsoft OfficeAlex Wilhelm | Cautious Optimism | July 11, 2026Alex Wilhelm argues that one of the week's quieter AI questions is whether the productivity market that Microsoft successfully moved into subscription software is now being attacked by agentic tools. The piece begins with the infrastructure backdrop: SK Hynix raised $26.5 billion in a U.S. listing while building U.S. HBM and advanced-packaging capacity, and memory, chip, and foundry companies are now priced for sustained AI demand.Wilhelm then says the AI conversation has shifted quickly from raw capability to cost per task. He cites new model releases and vendor language emphasizing cheaper agentic and coding models, faster performance, and lower dollars per task. That matters because lower costs make it more plausible for AI systems to take on routine knowledge work at scale rather than remain a premium coding assistant market.The core of the article is Microsoft Office. Wilhelm notes that Microsoft turned Office from a one-time purchase into Microsoft 365, a large recurring revenue business with tens of millions of subscribers and a major productivity segment. Now, he says, late-stage unicorns and AI labs are pushing into the same territory: Anthropic's Cowork was reportedly used mostly outside software development, OpenAI merged ChatGPT and Codex into a tool for creating sheets, slides, docs, web apps, and long-running work, and other companies are building agentic coworkers that connect business data to documents, workflows, schedules, alerts, and apps.The article's caveat is that Microsoft has survived major platform shifts before. The argument is not that Office disappears quickly, but that the definition of office software is broadening from documents and spreadsheets into AI systems that can create, monitor, and act across workplace data.Read moreWhat Is Loop Engineering, and Who Owns It?Author: Nilesh Barla Published: July 11, 2026Nilesh Barla argues that “loop engineering” is becoming a distinct discipline because production AI agents now fail less at single prompts than at runtime: when to stop, what state to preserve, and how to recover after a bad step. Prompt engineering shapes one model call, and context engineering shapes what the model sees, but loop engineering shapes what a sequence of calls actually does.The killer detail is the three-primitives frame. Barla says a real agent loop needs halt conditions, state carryover, and recovery paths, then maps teams across five maturity levels. At the lowest level, an agent is just a model call in a for-loop with a step cap and raw history; by the higher levels, the system has structured state, explicit planning, replay, evaluation, and self-repair.The pull is organizational. If agents are becoming production systems rather than demos, someone has to own the runtime itself. The loop engineer is the role Barla gives to the person responsible for making long-running agent work dependable.Read more: Adaline LabsThe Fight Against AI Data Centers Is Just BeginningEmma Roth | The Verge | July 12, 2026Emma Roth argues that community resistance to data centers has moved from an early warning sign into a national political fight as AI facilities grow larger, more power-hungry, and more visible to nearby residents. The article starts with Apple's failed 2015 plan for a $1 billion data center in Athenry, Ireland, where a small group of residents challenged the project over noise, light pollution, flooding, traffic, and wildlife effects until Apple abandoned it in 2018.The current data-center buildout is presented as much larger and more contentious. Roth writes that residents now cite rising energy costs, water quality, noise, light pollution, and greenhouse gas emissions, while the U.S. Energy Information Administration expects commercial energy demand to surpass residential demand this year because of AI data centers and Goldman Sachs expects data-center power demand to double by 2027.The central evidence comes from Data Center Watch, which says protesters blocked or delayed at least 75 U.S. projects worth $130 billion from January to March, with active opposition groups more than doubling from 396 at the end of 2025 to 833 by the end of the first quarter of 2026. Roth also cites QTS abandoning a $12 billion Wisconsin campus, Delaware City regulators blocking a 580-acre project under the Coastal Zone Act, opposition stopping a QTS project in Prince William County, and pressure that pushed Kevin O'Leary to downsize the proposed 40,000-acre Project Stratos in Utah.The policy section describes a split between federal acceleration and local resistance. President Trump has treated data centers as part of the AI race with China and fast-tracked construction, while some Republican candidates are distancing themselves from that position ahead of midterms. Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez have proposed a moratorium until price and environmental protections exist, bipartisan lawmakers are backing ratepayer-protection measures, and states including Florida, Idaho, and Washington have passed rules on cost shifting, water use, and tax breaks. Roth's caveat is that the policy patchwork is still incomplete, leaving many communities to fight project by project.Read more6 months to live for open modelsAuthor: Nathan Lambert Published: July 12, 2026Nathan Lambert argues that open-weight AI models are facing their most serious policy test so far because U.S. officials are beginning to discuss concrete controls rather than abstract safety concerns. He says reported White House conversations about a new executive order may initially target Chinese-origin models and government use, but could create a broader review habit for frontier open models. His forecast is that a model above the capability range of GPT-5.5, Claude Opus 4.8, or GLM-5.2 could trigger a ban or indefinite delay within six months.The post separates two policy fights that are becoming intertwined: distillation and frontier capability. Lambert says the distillation campaign against Chinese models has become a form of regulatory capture because Anthropic and other closed-model companies would gain economically if Chinese open models were banned. He does not dismiss IP protection, but argues that if a closed model's capabilities are dangerous enough to justify restricting open models, the lab also has to explain why those capabilities are exposed through a queryable API. He cites unauthorized access to Anthropic's Mythos private beta as evidence that APIs are not automatically secure.The broader claim is that a unilateral U.S. ban would hurt positive actors more than bad actors if comparable open models remain available elsewhere. Lambert says the only durable ceiling would require global agreement, which does not exist, and that open models can improve safety by allowing broad inspection, adaptation, and understanding. His proposed near-term off-ramps are a strong U.S. open model release from companies such as Microsoft, Meta, or Reflection, and a broader coalition of open-source beneficiaries lobbying for safe rollout rather than prohibition.Read more: SourceAmericans Deserve a Dividend From AI Companies' RichesAuthor: Scott Stanford Published: July 14, 2026Scott Stanford argues that proposals to give the government a stake in AI companies miss the point unless ordinary citizens directly receive and control the upside. Sam Altman has discussed giving up equity in OpenAI, Washington already owns a stake in Intel, Nvidia is sharing China chip revenue, and Bernie Sanders wants large AI labs to contribute half their stock to a sovereign wealth fund. Stanford says those ideas all park value with the state, not with people.The killer detail is New Carlisle, Indiana, where AWS's Project Rainier is turning cornfields into one of the world's largest AI superclusters. The project is planned to run up to a million chips, draw more than two gigawatts of power, and represents an investment that has grown from $11 billion to $13.8 billion. Stanford uses that local transformation to argue that AI's public bargain should be visible at the household level.The pull is design. A citizen AI dividend would have to specify who earns a stake, how they hold it, and when they see cash. Without that mechanism, the AI wealth debate remains a fight over government balance sheets rather than public ownership.Read more: SourceWho Gets to Define the Frontier?Author: Mark Daley Published: July 14, 2026Mark Daley argues that Demis Hassabis is right to call for a serious institution to verify frontier AI systems, but that the power to test models is also the power to govern them. Hassabis's proposed Frontier AI Standards Body would get privileged pre-release access to advanced models, testing compute, held-out evaluations, support from national labs and security agencies, third-party auditors, and eventually authority to block models from the American market or coordinate a slowdown.The killer detail is Daley's constitutional objection. He says the proposal sometimes looks like a scientific lab, a standards body, an industry regulator, a licensing authority, and an emergency security council at once. Combining those roles because each requires technical expertise would be like putting the central bank, auditor-general, and Supreme Court in one building and calling it efficient.The pull is standard-setting. Daley's concern is not that verification is unnecessary, but that whoever writes the tests, decides what passes, adjudicates disputes, and grants market access may end up defining the frontier itself.Read more: SourceGPT-Red: Unlocking Self-Improvement for RobustnessOpenAI | OpenAI | July 15, 2026OpenAI describes GPT-Red as an internal automated red-teaming model trained to find prompt-injection vulnerabilities at a scale human red teams cannot match. The post says AI systems increasingly encounter third-party data through browsers, connected apps, local files, and tools, creating opportunities for malicious instructions hidden in emails, webpages, tool responses, or code repositories. Human red-teaming remains part of OpenAI's safety process, but the company says it is time-intensive and cannot generate enough diverse adversarial examples for model training.The system is trained through self-play reinforcement learning, with GPT-Red rewarded for eliciting valid failures and defender models rewarded for resisting attacks while still completing their tasks. OpenAI says the training environments specify threat models across settings such as local files, webpage banners, email bodies, and tool outputs. The model is kept separate from deployed production models because it is intentionally trained with malicious capabilities.OpenAI reports that GPT-Red generalized beyond its training set, including an internal replication of the indirect prompt-injection arena from Dziemian et al. (2025), where it found successful attacks in 84% of scenarios compared with 13% for human red-teamers. The post also says GPT-Red transferred attacks from simulation to a live autonomous vending-machine agent, causing price changes and order cancellations, and outperformed a prompted GPT-5.5 baseline against a Codex CLI agent on held-out data-exfiltration tasks.The article's main robustness claim is that OpenAI has used GPT-Red and predecessor models in training since GPT-5.3, with later GPT releases becoming more resistant to prompt injections. It says GPT-5.6 Sol has six times fewer failures on OpenAI's hardest direct prompt-injection benchmark than the best production model from four months earlier, that a “Fake Chain-of-Thought” attack class fell from more than 95% success against GPT-5.1 to below 10% against GPT-5.6 Sol, and that GPT-5.6 Sol fails on only 0.05% of GPT-Red's direct prompt injections. OpenAI says general capabilities and targeted over-refusal evaluations were not harmed, and says a preprint with more details will follow.Read moreAnthropic, Blackstone bet the next trillion-dollar AI business is implementation, not just modelsRebecca Bellan | TechCrunch | July 15, 2026Rebecca Bellan reports that Ode with Anthropic is the $1.5 billion AI implementation company launched by Anthropic with Blackstone, Hellman & Friedman, Goldman Sachs, and other backers. The article says the venture reflects a growing belief among frontier AI labs that enterprise adoption requires more than better models: customers need engineers who can embed inside businesses and turn AI into working systems.Ode was originally conceived by Blackstone after it used both large consulting firms and smaller AI services boutiques across its portfolio companies. TechCrunch reports that Fractional AI, an AI engineering services startup, stood out and was acquired by the joint venture shortly after the venture was announced. Fractional now forms the foundation of Ode, which has 100 engineers and works closely with Anthropic's applied AI team to identify where the technology can affect specific businesses.Ode CEO Chris Taylor tells TechCrunch that the company could someday become a trillion-dollar business if it scales without losing quality. He says an ideal customer is one whose CEO treats the AI project as a top one or two priority, whether it is a major product feature or the reworking of a core business process. Ode will operate under a “Claude-first” principle, using Anthropic technology whenever possible, but the article says it can use rival AI products when needed.The article's central implementation argument comes from Ode chief technologist Eddie Siegel, who says model selection matters but is not where most of the engineering effort goes. He compares it to the choice of programming language in software: one ingredient in a system that still has to be engineered. Bellan writes that Ode's challenge is hiring and training enough elite generalist engineers, many of them former founders, while competing with OpenAI's The Deployment Company and consulting giants that have built their own forward-deployed engineering teams.Read moreVint Cerf is working on a plan to unleash AI agents on the open internetTim Fernholz | TechCrunch | July 15, 2026Tim Fernholz reports that Vint Cerf, after leaving Google, is advising Innovation Labs on an open architecture for identifying AI agents online. Innovation Labs is a subsidiary of Identity Digital, a DNS registry company, and its proposal is to use domain-name infrastructure as part of a system for agent identity, accountability, and auditability. The premise is that agents will need a way to identify themselves if they move beyond proprietary systems and begin interacting across the open internet.The concrete proposal is DNSid, a registry that links an AI agent to an existing internet domain and uses cryptographic proofs to log its registration over time. Innovation Labs says it is trialing the standard with unnamed hyperscalers and identity companies. Cerf frames the problem around authority and accountability: what authority an agent has, where that authority came from, who is accountable for the agent's behavior, how its identity is established, and why anyone should trust it.The article's caveat is that standards are still emerging and agents are more active than static domains. Cerf says the period may be both fascinating and exasperating because the functionality is powerful and interoperability is unresolved. He compares the adoption problem to TCP/IP: competing systems may not work together until users push for functional interoperation. He also says an agentic economy is not inevitable, but that people will try to build it because delegating work to agents will be easier.Read more: TechCrunchxai-org/grok-build, now open sourceAuthor: Simon Willison Published: July 15, 2026Simon Willison argues that xAI's decision to open-source Grok Build is best understood as a trust repair move after a severe privacy failure. The CLI had triggered backlash when users realized that running it in a directory could upload the entire directory to xAI's Google Cloud buckets, including one user's reported SSH keys, password manager database, documents, photos, and videos. xAI disabled the feature, said previously retained coding data would be deleted, and released the code under Apache 2.0.The killer detail is what the codebase reveals. Willison counts 844,530 lines of Rust, only about 3% of which appears vendored, and finds remnants of the upload system still present but disabled: gcs.rs contains Google Cloud upload code, while upload_session_state() now returns a hard-coded session_state_upload_unavailable error. He also notes copied or ported tool implementations from Codex and OpenCode, prompt files, and a terminal Mermaid renderer.The pull is that terminal coding agents are becoming large, intricate software systems in their own right. The privacy failure mattered because these tools operate inside the directories where developers keep their most sensitive work; the open-source release matters because trust now depends on inspecting what an agent can see, send, and do.Read more: SourceThe Pulse: What can we learn from Bun's rapid Rust rewrite with AI?Author: Gergely Orosz and Ivan Klaric Published: July 16, 2026Gergely Orosz and Ivan Klaric argue that Bun's AI-assisted rewrite from Zig to Rust is a practical sign of how software engineering changes when models can take on large, bounded migrations with clear feedback loops. The piece does not treat the rewrite as magic: Jarred Sumner first spent hours turning design judgment into a detailed porting guide, then used adversarial review, parallel agents, compiler errors, and tests to force the work toward correctness.The killer detail is the scale. Bun had 535,496 lines of Zig, 1,448 files, and 22 million monthly downloads, making a conventional rewrite a year-long freeze the team could not justify. Using Fable, Sumner split the work across 64 agents, produced about 6,500 commits, and got the migration done in 11 days at an estimated API cost of $165,000.The pull is economic, not theatrical. If a one- or two-year migration can become an 11-day project, AI coding is not just faster autocomplete; it changes which technical debts are worth paying down.Read more: SourceOrphan risks at the frontier of artificial intelligenceAuthor: Andrew Maynard Published: July 16, 2026Andrew Maynard argues that frontier AI safety frameworks are creating “orphan risks”: harms that companies can see, but do not formally own because they are hard to quantify, do not fit catastrophic-risk thresholds, or fall outside audit-friendly compliance machinery. His target is not existing frontier safety work, but the narrowing effect that happens when private companies decide which risks count as governable.The killer detail is Maynard's contrast between measurable model dangers and threats to value. He points to Meta's three-day Galactica collapse, OpenAI's 2023 board crisis, safety-team departures, and wellbeing litigation as examples of risks that damaged trust, culture, legitimacy, or users without fitting cleanly into conventional model-risk categories. The proposed fix is an orphan-risk register: a public record of risks a company considered and chose not to manage, with reasons.The pull is accountability. Frontier developers' internal scoping choices have become a de facto layer of public governance, so the question is no longer only which risks they manage, but which risks they quietly leave outside the frame.Read more: SourceThe Lab of the Future Should Feel Like a Data CenterLatent.Space with Andy Beam and Rafa Gomez-Bombarelli | Latent.Space | July 16, 2026Latent.Space interviews Lila Sciences CTO Andy Beam and chief science officer for physical sciences Rafa Gomez-Bombarelli about the company's attempt to build an AI-run science factory. The post describes Lila's thesis as treating the lab itself as an “infinite token generator”: if internet data drove the first era of AI scaling, experimentally verified scientific data may be the next scarce training source. Lila is trying to produce that data with robotics, lab instruments, orchestration software, and AI models wired into the wet lab.The central analogy is the lab as data center. Instruments are nodes on a graph, a magnetically levitating transport layer moves materials between them, and experiment scheduling looks like a compute queue. Beam says Lila is not simply an automation company, because the point is not just throughput; it is flexibility, generalization, and experiment capture. The post says Lila has built more than 10 trillion experimentally validated “scientific reasoning tokens,” not internet text or biological sequences.The interview ranges across biology, chemistry, drug discovery, materials science, and the limits of automation. It notes that Lila rebuilt one gas-sorption measurement to run roughly 2,500 times faster, claims its general models can transfer priors from small-molecule chemistry to metal-organic frameworks for carbon capture, and describes model-suggested platinum-group-free electrocatalysts that moved from looking boring or wrong to becoming strong performers. The caveats are physical: experiments have runtimes, biology cannot always be accelerated, chains of thought can be unreliable narrators, and reward hacking becomes more dangerous when a model controls a real lab.Read more: Latent.SpaceWhy AMI Labs' Alexandre LeBrun won't call his AI “AGI” or “superintelligence”Kate Park | TechCrunch | July 16, 2026Kate Park interviews AMI Labs CEO Alexandre LeBrun about why Yann LeCun's world-model startup avoids the language of “AGI” and “superintelligence.” LeBrun says the terms are not useful because they lack stable definitions: “We never used the word AGI. And I just noticed that nobody is using it anymore; they switched to superintelligence.” His argument is that the practical frontier is not a label, but whether AI systems can understand and predict real-world states.The article explains the world-model thesis by contrasting language prediction with physical-state prediction. A large language model predicts the next word; a world model predicts the next state, such as what happens when a glass tips over. LeBrun says LLMs remain complementary and efficient for language, but the physical world is where current AI is weak. Robotics is the clearest case: hardware has advanced quickly, but robots are still brittle outside controlled routines because they lack context and situational understanding.AMI is still pre-product, but TechCrunch reports that LeBrun was in Seoul looking for industrial partners, researchers, and global companies. He says world models cannot be built entirely inside a lab because they need access to real environments. That is why South Korea appeals to AMI: robotics, semiconductors, manufacturing, and fast adoption create the kind of hardware-heavy context that software-only AI has barely touched.Read more: TechCrunchKimi K3 Tech Blog: Open Frontier IntelligenceKimi | Kimi | July 16, 2026Kimi introduces Kimi K3 as an open 3T-class frontier model aimed at coding, knowledge work, reasoning, multimodality, and long-context agentic use. The source describes the model as a 2.8T-parameter system built on Kimi Delta Attention and Attention Residuals, with native multimodality and a 1M-token context window. It says Moonshot AI plans to release model weights by July 27.The post presents K3 through benchmark and use-case sections rather than as a general product announcement. It reports results across coding, productivity, agentic, and multimodal evaluations, including DeepSWE, Terminal-Bench 2.1, Program Bench, SWE Marathon, FrontierSWE, PostTrain Bench, OfficeQA Pro, SpreadsheetBench 2, MCP Atlas, AutomationBench, BrowseComp, GDPval-AA v2, AA-Briefcase, MMMU-Pro, MathVision, BabyVision, OmniDocBench, and PerceptionBench. The source says all reported K3 results use maximum reasoning effort with temperature and top-p set to 1.0, and that different benchmark comparisons use KimiCode, Claude Code, or Codex harnesses depending on the test.Kimi's caveats are unusually concrete. The limitations section says K3 was trained in preserved thinking-history mode, so quality may become unstable if an agent harness does not pass historical thinking content correctly or if an ongoing session switches to K3 midstream. It also says K3's emphasis on long-horizon tasks can make it excessively proactive when it encounters minor issues or ambiguous intent, and recommends imposing explicit behavioral constraints for applications that require strict boundaries. The post adds that K3 remains behind Claude Fable 5 and GPT 5.6 Sol in user experience despite being competitive overall.Read moreVenture CapitalThree Years InAuthor: Tomasz Tunguz Published: July 10, 2026Tomasz Tunguz marks Theory Ventures' third anniversary by arguing that AI's central market effect is time compression. In his telling, model release cycles, company revenue milestones, enterprise adoption, and venture categories have all accelerated. Seed, Series A, and Series B still exist as financing labels, but they no longer cleanly describe company maturity when some seed rounds are larger than IPOs and the best AI companies can mature much earlier than prior software companies.The killer detail is the shift from models to inference. Tunguz argues that inference has become the dominant AI market because workloads and buyer preferences are fragmenting: video, batch, local, agentic, and real-time tasks each create different infrastructure needs. He compares this to databases splitting into OLTP, OLAP, vector, and streaming categories, with AI pushing the same specialization into inference infrastructure.The pull is that Theory sees the AI-native venture firm as part of the same pattern. The firm says it has analyzed twice as many investment opportunities with three investors working alongside a nine-person intelligence organization, using agents and research systems to map markets, source companies, and support diligence. The piece is both a market map and a statement about how venture itself is being rebuilt by the technology it funds.Read more: LinkedInVenture Has Rarely Looked More BifurcatedAuthor: Beezer Clarkson Published: July 14, 2026Beezer Clarkson points to PitchBook's Q2 report as evidence that the U.S. venture market has split into two very different realities. AI now accounts for more than 60 percent of all U.S. venture deal value, meaning the headline market can look active and well-funded even while much of the non-AI market is dealing with a much colder liquidity and fundraising environment.The thread uses that split as the setup for Clarkson's latest Origins episode with Alec Litowitz, founder of Magnetar and QStar Capital and one of Citadel's original founding partners. Clarkson says markets like this are periods of genuine uncertainty, not merely ordinary risk, which is why Litowitz's Adaptability Quotient framework is relevant.The embedded clip makes the liquidity point concrete. Litowitz says DPI is “the resolution of uncertainty” because it converts an uncertain investment into actual cash returned to LPs. In his framing, a realized dollar is a real mark, while TVPI remains uncertain until it is realized.The killer detail is the distinction between pricing risk and resolving uncertainty. Litowitz's perspective matters because QStar is a SpaceX investor and Clarkson says the conversation happened just before one of venture's most consequential IPOs. The episode's stated questions are why venture remains a way to gain exposure to innovation, how AI is changing what is investable, why liquidity is ultimately a function of time, and why uncertainty requires a different decision framework from risk.Read more: XThe Best Angel Investors in the US: Who Backs the Most Unicorns, and Who's Active NowAuthor: Ilya Strebulaev Published: July 10, 2026Ilya Strebulaev ranks angels, angel groups, accelerators, and incubators by lifetime U.S. unicorn investments, counting checks written before a company reached unicorn status. The top of the combined list is dominated by organizations: Y Combinator leads with 113 unicorn investments, followed by Plug and Play at 52 and 500 Global at 41. Sand Hill Angels is the highest-ranked angel group at 31.The killer detail is how quickly the list changes below the biggest accelerators. Strebulaev says 271 of the 304 investors in the Top 200 are individuals, or 89%. In the top 100, individuals are 91%. That makes the market underneath the large accelerator counts look much more personal: mostly operators and individual angels writing early checks from their own networks.The pull is the ranking's own caveat. Strebulaev writes that every lifetime leaderboard has a blind spot because many of the unicorns behind those totals were founded a decade or more ago, and some angels have since moved into formal funds, slowed down, or stopped investing. His post therefore separates lifetime performance from recent cohorts, including companies founded in 2015 or later and 2020 or later. For founders or allocators making current decisions, that distinction matters: a career record and a current record are not the same measure.Read more: Ilya StrebulaevAre Prediction Markets Doomed to Fail?Author: Contrary Published: July 16, 2026Contrary argues that prediction markets' current boom depends on whether platforms can prove they are more than regulated gambling with exchange-style branding. Kalshi and Polymarket have reached mass cultural, investor, and regulatory attention, but the article says the underlying idea is old: academic markets, corporate forecasting tools, Intrade, PredictIt, and other predecessors all struggled with the same linked problems of liquidity, legality, and user appeal.The killer detail is the comparison with sportsbooks. Prediction markets present themselves as peer-to-peer, transparent, and non-house-based, but sports contracts reportedly account for more than 90 percent of Kalshi trading, and the article says the platforms keep a much thinner slice of volume than sportsbooks. A market can therefore show sports-betting-scale handle while generating far less revenue.The pull is that the product's hardest problem may be distribution of wins. If a small group of sharp traders captures most profits while casual users lose interest, prediction markets may become valuable data feeds and professional tools before they become durable consumer networks.Read more: SourceRegulationExclusive: The Next Frontier of the Deportation Wars: College CampusesAuthor: Adrian Carrasquillo Published: July 11, 2026Adrian Carrasquillo reports that college campuses are becoming a new front in the fight over immigration enforcement because automatic license plate readers can turn ordinary campus security infrastructure into searchable location data. His thesis is that Flock Safety's camera network, even without direct ICE or DHS contracts, can feed deportation enforcement through local police partnerships and data-sharing practices.The killer detail is the campaign target. The Emergency Campaign to Support Higher Education, working with Schools Drop ICE, is focusing on 75 colleges and universities publicly identified as having Flock contracts. Flock says it has no ICE or DHS contracts, but activists argue the risk comes through local agencies that coordinate with federal authorities and run searches on their behalf.The pull is broader than immigration. Carrasquillo notes that license plate readers have already been abused by officers for stalking, and that Flock's AI search features can identify more than plates, including bumper stickers. A campus safety tool can become a political surveillance system when the data layer is searchable.Read more: The BulwarkThe Supreme Court Broke Independent Agencies. Here's a Way to Slow the Damage.Author: Todd Phillips Published: July 12, 2026Todd Phillips argues that the Supreme Court's decision in Trump v. Slaughter damaged independent agencies by ending for-cause removal protections, but did not leave Congress powerless. The ruling weakens the old model in which commissioners at bodies such as the FTC, NLRB, CPSC, SEC, and CFTC could be insulated from dismissal over policy disagreements. Phillips says the next fight is whether presidents can turn nominally bipartisan commissions into one-party instruments.The killer detail is the procedural fix: quorum rules. Phillips proposes that Congress require bipartisan slates of commissioners to be seated before independent agencies can act. A president could still fire commissioners, as the Court now permits, but if those firings broke quorum, the agency would be unable to proceed until replacements were confirmed. The guardrail would

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That Was The Week
Intelligence: Who Owns it?

That Was The Week

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2026 39:16


This week's video transcript summary is here. You can click on any bulleted section to see the actual transcript. Thanks to Granola for its software.There was an issue with this only going to paid subscribers, so sending it again. Apologies to those who get it twice. I appreciate being paid so feel free to upgrade if you enjoy TWTW.EditorialIntelligence: Who Owns it?This week the word “AI” feels too small.AI is a technology. Intelligence is its product. And if intelligence is the product, the question is no longer just: Which model is best? Who has the cheapest tokens? Who owns the weights? Who controls the data center? Those are important questions, but they are lower in the stack.The bigger question is simpler and more political:Who owns intelligence?That sounds abstract until you make it concrete. Intelligence is becoming something companies can capture, package, serve, meter, route, improve, and sell.It can write code, answer questions, design molecules, automate offices, run agents, draft legal work, advise scientists, serve consumers, and reshape workflows. It is not merely software. It is a general-purpose capability. And all humans could benefit from more of it.General-purpose capabilities have a habit of becoming public questions. But the default answer, that public good is best delivered by government, is the wrong answer in this context.The Product Is IntelligenceWe should stop talking about AI as a feature and start talking about intelligence as the universal thing that is delivered as an input to the world.Water is an input. Electricity is an input. Literacy is an input. Connectivity is an input. Once a society depends on them, access stops being optional. Nobody needs government to build every well, power plant, school, or network. But everybody understands that a civilization cannot be organized around less than universal and reliable access to foundational inputs.Intelligence is reaching that level of importance now that we all know it is real.Government should not own it, operate it, or develop it. Quite the opposite. Companies are the right actors to build fast, compete hard, improve models, serve customers, and discover the real use cases. Self-interest is a useful framing here. Markets are good at finding demand, reducing costs, and turning invention into services people actually use.Companies are the right operators, developers, and owners. But that does not settle the real question of who owns the benefits. That is an economic question.If intelligence becomes metered infrastructure, what happens to the value it creates?The Ownership StackThis week's articles keep circling the same issue from different directions but in the nature of ‘circling' never quite nail it.Jamin Ball's “Own Your Weights” starts with the enterprise version of the question. Owning a model file is not enough. The durable asset is the loop: the data flywheel, the evaluations, the reinforcement system, the workflow learning, and the operating context that lets capability compound.Benedict Evans' “Ways to Think About Token Pricing” adds the market layer. Tokens may become essential, abundant, and cheap, like mobile data. But being essential does not guarantee that the token layer captures the value. The money may move up the stack to whoever owns the workflow, the customer, the distribution, or the application.Alex Karp's fight with the labs, reported in “Alex Karp Is Saying What Every Angry CEO Is Thinking About AI”, is the same argument in sharper enterprise language. Companies are afraid that model providers will not just sell intelligence, but learn from customer workflows and then move into the markets where those workflows create value. The “All-in” group are echoing Karp's view.And “What Is Loop Engineering, and Who Owns It?” names the new contested terrain. The loop is where intelligence meets the world. Whoever owns the loop owns the learning. Whoever owns the learning owns the compounding asset.That is why “who owns intelligence?” is not a slogan. It is the question under the model layer, the application layer, the enterprise layer, and the economic layer.Because intelligence is the product, the tools creating it are fragmented and competitive. So there is no logic in trying to discuss this at the level of a single company or set of tools and models.The Old Promise Was That Commerce Would Tame PowerThe essays this week give the historical backdrop.Deirdre McCloskey, in “What Really Caused the Industrial Revolution”, argues that modern growth came not simply from capital accumulation, but from a change in permission: ordinary people were allowed to innovate, trade, build, and be honored for it.That matters because intelligence could be another expansion of permission. It could make more people capable of building, learning, creating, coding, researching, translating, selling, and coordinating. It could lower the cost of competence.But only if access is broad.Paul Krugman's “AI in an Age of Oligarchy” warns that the same technology lands differently in different political economies. A new general-purpose technology entering a broad, open, upwardly mobile society is one thing. The same technology entering a concentrated economy, with extreme wealth and weak counterweights, is another.Tim O'Reilly's Economist essay, “Elon Musk is building a form of capitalism that Adam Smith would hate”, makes the governance point more directly. The old liberal hope was that commerce would tame arbitrary power. Markets, boards, courts, shareholders, disclosure, and competition would discipline the prince.But what if the prince uses markets to escape discipline?Henry Farrell's “political economy of billionaire derangement” pushes the same point. Founder culture, monopoly ambition, peer rivalry, weak correction mechanisms, and vast private control can amplify appetites rather than restrain them.The danger with intelligence is not that companies build it. They should. Companies build it, meter it, use public tolerance and public infrastructure to scale it, learn from everyone who uses it. All of those things are inevitable and healthy. Market forces will sort out winners from losers. The real danger is that the winners treat all of the surplus produced as purely private.Metered Intelligence Creates SurplusIf metering is not the problem, what is?The problem is pretending that metered intelligence creates value only for the metering entity. Metering water is only tolerated as a public good. If the public were blackmailed by a private water company with the threat of no water we would all rebel.Once we understand that the product of AI is intelligence we can see that every time intelligence is used, there is the immediate transaction: the user pays, the provider serves.But there is also system value. Usage creates signals. Workflows reveal patterns. Prompts, corrections, failures, preferences, integrations, edge cases, and business processes all help define where intelligence is useful and how it should improve. Intelligence breeds intelligence.Even when customer data is contractually protected, the market learns. The platform learns where demand is. The product team learns which workflows matter. The ecosystem learns which jobs are vulnerable, which tasks are automatable, and which parts of the economy can be reorganized around machine intelligence.So the surplus is not born in a vacuum.It rests on public science, public education, public data exhaust, public law, public infrastructure, public energy systems, public tolerance for data centers, and billions of human interactions. It is served by companies, but it is not made only by companies.This is why “Americans Deserve a Dividend From AI Companies' Riches” belongs at the center of this week's issue. The detail can be debated. The principle is harder to dismiss. If intelligence becomes a new foundational resource, then some part of the wealth it creates should flow back to the people whose society makes it possible. Intelligence did not suddenly appear. AI is built on the entire history of human intelligence. It benefits from it and at the same time evolves it.Not Nationalization. A Human Wealth Fund.If intelligence belongs to everybody, some conclude that government ownership of intelligence is the right outcome.Governments are not well suited to build, operate, or improve intelligence. They will move too slowly, regulate too early, politicize the wrong things, and confuse economic participation with operational control.Andrew McAfee's “Why I Didn't Sign the AI Open Letter” is useful here. His objection is not that the technology is unimportant. It is that steering too hard before we understand the shape of the change can become its own failure mode. Marc Andreessen's satire of AI regulation is less policy than temperament, but it captures a real Silicon Valley fear: that regulation can become permission, capture, and incumbency before it becomes wisdom.That fear should be taken seriously.But it does not answer the economic question. It answers only the operational one.How can the economic benefits of intelligence be distributed? The better answer is a sovereign human wealth fund.Call it a sovereign wealth fund if you must, but the phrase is too national. Intelligence will not respect borders. The leading companies are global. The models, chips, data centers, agents, platforms, and workflows will be transnational from the beginning. If the value created by intelligence is global, then the mechanism for sharing some of that value should begin with the companies global enough to capture it. The nice thing about xAI, OpenAI, and Anthropic is that they are supranational.These companies own and operate intelligence. Let them compete. Let them profit. Let them keep the incentives that make the system improve. But if intelligence is the new water, the wealth it creates cannot belong only to the companies that meter it. And they, themselves, have the power to fix it, even more than governments.Access will become a Human Right; Ownership Is the Economic DesignThis is where human rights come in. There is no right to access an AI model, yet. But there will soon be a need to change that.Not as a claim that every person is entitled to every frontier model at every moment for free. That is not serious. Capacity has costs. Models have costs. Inference has costs. Data centers have costs. Although those costs will decline over time, possibly quite quickly as self-learning models address costs.The claim is more basic: in a world where intelligence becomes a primary input into education, work, health, science, citizenship, creativity, and economic agency, baseline access to intelligence starts to look like a civic requirement.That could mean public access layers. It could mean education credits. It could mean open models. It could mean AI dividends. It could mean public-interest compute. It could mean taxes on rents. It could mean a company-initiated human wealth fund that returns some of the upside to society without handing the operating system to the state. The latter could couple wealth growth with universal distribution of ownership.The exact mechanism matters. But the distinction matters more.Government should not own intelligence. It should be universally available. And people should have a claim on the wealth intelligence creates.The Frontier Is Also PhysicalThe abstraction is not weightless.“The Fight Against AI Data Centers Is Just Beginning”, “New York becomes the first state to enact a data center moratorium”, Reuters on pollution from Musk's xAI power project, and DataGravity's “Who Captures Value in AI Infrastructure?” all say the same thing from the ground up.Intelligence uses land. It uses power. It uses water. It uses chips. It uses grid capacity. It uses neighborhoods. It uses public patience.That makes the value question unavoidable. A society can accept the buildout if the buildout is legible as shared progress. It will resist it if the costs are local, the profits are private, and the benefits feel enclosed.Who Owns the “Loop”?The week ends where it began.“Anthropic and Blackstone” are betting that implementation is the next trillion-dollar business. “Vint Cerf” is working on identity for agents on the open internet. “GPT-Red” points toward systems that improve their own robustness. “Kimi K3” adds another open frontier model to the global mix.The model race continues. The deployment race is accelerating. The governance race is behind.My view is this:The central product of this era is intelligence. Companies have figured out how to capture it, package it, serve it, and meter it. That is good. It should stay in the hands of builders who have the incentive to make it better.But intelligence is too foundational to become just another private toll booth. A significant part of it will turn out to be free to users.As intelligence becomes a general-purpose resource, then access to it becomes a human-capability question, and the surplus from it becomes an economic-justice question. Not because government should run it. Because government should not run it. The operating layer belongs with companies. The wealth question belongs with everyone. But companies are best placed to turn that into a process of distribution.The question is not whether companies should build intelligence. They should.The question is whether humanity gets a stake in the wealth created by the thing that may soon become its most important shared input.Contents* Essays* Deirdre McCloskey on What Really Caused the Industrial Revolution* AI in an Age of Oligarchy* Elon Musk is building a form of capitalism that Adam Smith would hate* Murky Mirror: Truth and Consequences* The political economy of billionaire derangement* Is there any “oligarchy” to fight?* AI* Nearly 200 Economists and Tech Leaders Warn of A.I. Threats* Why I Didn't Sign the AI Open Letter* Own Your Weights* Ways to Think About Token Pricing* Alex Karp Is Saying What Every Angry CEO Is Thinking About AI* The AI Agents Are Coming for Microsoft Office* What Is Loop Engineering, and Who Owns It?* The Fight Against AI Data Centers Is Just Beginning* 6 months to live for open models* Americans Deserve a Dividend From AI Companies' Riches* Who Gets to Define the Frontier?* GPT-Red: Unlocking Self-Improvement for Robustness* Anthropic, Blackstone bet the next trillion-dollar AI business is implementation, not just models* Vint Cerf is working on a plan to unleash AI agents on the open internet* xai-org/grok-build, now open source* The Pulse: What can we learn from Bun's rapid Rust rewrite with AI?* Orphan risks at the frontier of artificial intelligence* The Lab of the Future Should Feel Like a Data Center* Why AMI Labs' Alexandre LeBrun won't call his AI “AGI” or “superintelligence”* Kimi K3 Tech Blog: Open Frontier Intelligence* Venture Capital* Three Years In* Venture Has Rarely Looked More Bifurcated* The Best Angel Investors in the US: Who Backs the Most Unicorns, and Who's Active Now* Are Prediction Markets Doomed to Fail?* Regulation* Exclusive: The Next Frontier of the Deportation Wars: College Campuses* The Supreme Court Broke Independent Agencies. Here's a Way to Slow the Damage.* India's crackdown on a new WhatsApp feature risks setting a global precedent* Let's build a children's public internet* Computer cops* Google is better at playing the AI regulations game* Infrastructure* Who Captures Value in AI Infrastructure?* New York becomes the first state to enact a data center moratorium* Pollution from Musk's unpermitted xAI power project hits hardest in Black communities* Interview of the Week* The End of the End of Geography* Startup of the Week* Radical AI's Joseph Krause: The Scientist Building The “Waymo” Lab For New Materials* Post of the Week* Marc Andreessen on AI RegulationEssaysDeirdre McCloskey on What Really Caused the Industrial RevolutionYascha Mounk and Deirdre McCloskey | Persuasion | July 11, 2026Yascha Mounk interviews Deirdre McCloskey about her argument that the modern world's economic liftoff came less from capital accumulation than from a change in ideas. McCloskey says both left and right versions of the conventional story rely too heavily on investment: the left stresses exploitation and surplus value, while the right stresses virtuous saving by capitalists. Her objection is historical and economic. Human beings had always invested, from irrigation works and Roman roads to seed grain, and simple accumulation quickly runs into diminishing returns.McCloskey's alternative is that northwestern Europe, first Holland, then Britain and Scotland, and then the North American colonies, developed a liberal ideology that changed who was allowed to innovate and be honored for it. The conversation links that shift to the erosion of inherited hierarchy, the spread of dignity for ordinary commercial life, and a moral vocabulary in which liberalism is not merely procedural but connected to virtues and values. The point is not that machines, coal, trade, and institutions did not matter, but that they do not explain the scale and timing of modern enrichment without a cultural permission structure for innovation.The interview also turns to the contemporary defense of liberalism. Mounk frames the series around the worry that liberalism is often treated as too thin to command allegiance, while its opponents speak more directly to moral passions. McCloskey's case is that liberal societies became rich because they dignified experimentation and ordinary enterprise, and that liberals need to recover the moral language behind that claim.Read moreAI in an Age of OligarchyPaul Krugman | Paul Krugman | July 12, 2026Paul Krugman frames AI as a major technological shock arriving inside an already unequal political economy. The post says AI's economic and social effects may take years to understand, but argues that the setting matters now: America has much greater wealth concentration and political inequality than it did in the 1950s and 1960s, when progressive taxation, stronger regulation, and more active antitrust might have contained some of the destructive effects of a new technology.Krugman's opening claim is that the same technology would likely have different consequences in a more level society. In today's United States, he writes, extreme wealth is both a cause and effect of policies that favor a small elite, including low effective taxes on capital and high incomes, weak enforcement of worker protections and antitrust, and cuts to programs that benefit ordinary Americans.The article is explicitly more about oligarchy than AI. Krugman says the paid sections document the rise of the “.0002%,” the economics and politics of extreme wealth, how oligarchy will shape AI's impact, and possible policy paths. His caveat is that AI itself may still produce a pushback against oligarchy, but absent that, he expects the pre-existing concentration of wealth and power to magnify AI's downsides.Read moreElon Musk is building a form of capitalism that Adam Smith would hateAuthor: Tim O'Reilly Published: July 12, 2026Tim O'Reilly argues that Elon Musk is using the legal forms of shareholder capitalism to escape the restraints that shareholder capitalism was supposed to impose. The article begins with SpaceX's public-market structure: ordinary public investors get little meaningful governance power, Musk keeps roughly 85 percent of the votes through super-voting shares, buyers waive jury trials and class actions, the company qualifies as controlled, and removal of Musk depends on the share class he controls. In O'Reilly's framing, that is not ordinary founder control; it is a design for being answerable to no one, possibly beyond Musk's own lifetime.The killer detail is the article's turn through Albert Hirschman, Montesquieu, James Steuart, Adam Smith, and Keynes. Older defenses of commerce held that markets would tame princely passions because the self-interest of merchants was safer than arbitrary rule. O'Reilly says Musk reverses that hope. The market discipline that was supposed to cage the prince has become the lever by which the prince raises capital, removes feedback loops, and carries private power into politics, government, Mars, robots, AI, or whatever ambition comes next.The pull is the link to AI governance. O'Reilly says corporations are already a kind of artificial intelligence: narrow-input systems that act at a scale no individual human can match. Their partial controls include independent boards, shareholder votes, courts, disclosure, regulators, public pressure, and activism. If the leaders building frontier AI strip those alignment mechanisms out of their own companies, the governance of the company becomes a preview of the governance of the machine.Read more: The EconomistMurky Mirror: Truth and ConsequencesAuthor: Esther Dyson Published: July 14, 2026Esther Dyson argues that today's institutional crisis is better viewed through the 14th century than through recent political history. Using Barbara Tuchman's A Distant Mirror as her frame, she compares a world of famine, plague, church schism, feudal predation, and purposeless war with a present in which institutions again feel brittle, incentives are badly aligned, and power is shifting into forms that are hard to govern.The killer detail is the historical analogy between land, corporations, and AI. Dyson moves from nobles who controlled serfs and territory, to the East India Company as a quasi-sovereign business, to today's AI systems and data centers as a possible new sector that crosses and weakens both nation-states and companies. The question is whether AI becomes a new kind of private land, owned by a new nobility, or an open prairie that many people can cultivate.The pull is human attention. Dyson says the central question is not what AI will do to people, but how people will react to it: whether they can value love, kindness, embodied attention, and artisanal human presence in a world of seductive artificial offerings.Read more: SourceThe political economy of billionaire derangementAuthor: Henry Farrell Published: July 15, 2026Henry Farrell argues that the visible political radicalization of some Silicon Valley billionaires is not a random personality quirk, but a product of the political economy that made them. Starting from Tyler Cowen's dismissal of “billionaire derangement syndrome” and Tim O'Reilly's warning that Elon Musk is using shareholder capitalism to escape shareholder restraint, Farrell flips the phrase: the question is why billionaires themselves can become deranged.The killer detail is Farrell's use of Peter Thiel as both theorist and example. Thiel's Stanford lectures described startups as monarchies and founders as figures vested with unusual power, while Silicon Valley culture rewarded eccentricity, monopoly ambition, and founder exceptionalism. Farrell says those ideas combined with dense founder-investor networks, peer rivalry, and weak correction mechanisms to amplify rather than discipline princely appetites.The pull is the ideological problem for classical liberals who once saw tech wealth as an ally of markets and freedom. Farrell says commerce did not tame the passions; in parts of Silicon Valley, the passions have begun to devour markets, institutions, and the liberal story that justified them.Read more: SourceIs there any “oligarchy” to fight?Matthew Yglesias | Slow Boring | July 16, 2026Matthew Yglesias argues that “oligarchy” is a rhetorically powerful but analytically loose way to describe American politics. The post begins from Bernie Sanders' “Fighting Oligarchy” tour, Amy Klobuchar's warning about a MAGA “broligarchy,” and the long afterlife of the Martin Gilens and Benjamin Page paper that was widely summarized as showing that only the rich matter in policy outcomes. Yglesias says the evidence supports a weaker claim: affluent people and business leaders have unusual access and influence, but that is not the same as rule by a small cabal.His main distinction is between inequality and oligarchy. The Gilens-Page measure treated the top 10 percent of households as “the wealthy,” and later critics found that rich and middle-class preferences usually align; in the cases where they differ, the rich win about 53 percent of the time. Yglesias also says business executives get special access partly because their decisions are materially important to communities, jobs, investment, and local tax bases, not only because of campaign donations.The post preserves Jerusalem Demsas' counterpoint from their podcast discussion: privileged donor and business access can still violate democratic equality even if the oligarchy label overstates the structure of power. Yglesias' narrower claim is that Democrats should be precise about what problem they are trying to solve, because donor influence can also push the party left on climate and cultural issues in ways that alienate many voters.Read more: Slow BoringAINearly 200 Economists and Tech Leaders Warn of A.I. ThreatsAuthor: Ben Casselman Published: July 13, 2026Ben Casselman reports on “We Must Act Now,” a statement warning that artificial intelligence could transform the economy faster than any previous technology and that policymakers need to move faster to understand and respond. The statement says AI may become radically more powerful over the next 10 years, bringing risks such as large-scale job displacement as well as opportunities such as higher living standards. Nearly 200 people signed, including 15 Nobel laureates, the chief economists of OpenAI and Anthropic, Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark, former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, and venture capitalist Vinod Khosla.The killer detail is who joined the warning. Casselman notes that the signatories include economists who have historically been skeptical of Silicon Valley's most dramatic AI job-loss forecasts, including Daron Acemoglu and Simon Johnson, the MIT professors who won the 2024 Nobel in economics. Erik Brynjolfsson, who helped organize the statement, says there has been a notable change in the profession and that economists and policymakers are not ready for the “tsunami” he sees coming.The pull is the measurement problem. The statement does not offer a specific policy menu, but calls for economists, policymakers, and industry leaders to understand the economics of transformative AI and steer it toward complementing humans. Brynjolfsson says one high priority is better data on AI's spread and impact, because current measures tell conflicting stories about job losses and which workers are most exposed.Read more: The New York TimesWhy I Didn't Sign the AI Open LetterAuthor: Andrew McAfee Published: July 13, 2026Andrew McAfee explains why he did not sign “We Must Act Now,” the AI economy statement organized in part by his longtime collaborator Erik Brynjolfsson. McAfee agrees with the letter's starting point that AI is likely to become radically more powerful over the next decade and that it is a general-purpose technology. His objection is not to urgency or to studying AI's economic effects, but to the framing of risk, displacement, and institutional steering as the first move.The killer detail is McAfee's line edit. He says the original letter comes close, then “bounces off the crossbar” by calling for incentives, guardrails, and institutions to steer AI before we know enough about its actual impacts. He points to mixed current evidence: labor-market canaries, but also rising software job postings, low unemployment for younger workers, rising real median income, and claims that AI-adopting companies are adding workers faster than low-adopting peers. His worry is that the letter leans toward upstream governance and dirigisme when the evidence may call for capability building instead.The pull is his replacement statement. McAfee keeps the three-paragraph structure but changes the emphasis: AI is likely to become radically more powerful; like earlier world-changing technologies it will raise living standards while also bringing harms and shocks; and economists, policymakers, and technology leaders should build the capabilities to respond quickly and effectively. It is a concise version of the permissionless-innovation case inside the AI policy debate.Read more: The Geek WayOwn Your WeightsAuthor: Jamin Ball Published: July 10, 2026Jamin Ball argues that the enterprise AI debate about whether companies should “own their weights” or rent models from frontier labs is asking too narrow a question. A model weight file gives a company control over a point-in-time artifact, but not durable control over the capability stack. In his framing, the weight file is a melting ice cube: it does not get worse in absolute terms, but it falls behind as frontier systems improve and enterprise needs change.The killer detail is what Ball says companies really need to own: the data flywheel, reinforcement learning infrastructure, and evaluation harness that produce and improve the model. Simply deploying an open-weights model and declaring sovereignty leaves the enterprise with yesterday's capability and no way to compound workflow-specific learning.The pull is that enterprise AI control may be less about model ownership than operating ownership. The defensible layer is the system that turns company data, edge cases, business definitions, and evaluations into continuously improving performance.Read more: Clouded JudgementWays to Think About Token PricingAuthor: Benedict Evans Published: July 9, 2026Benedict Evans argues that today's AI token prices are a temporary signal from a supply-constrained market, not a reliable guide to long-term value capture. The open question is whether foundation models keep durable pricing power or become commodity infrastructure as data-center capacity, inference efficiency, and model competition all shift. His current read is that the visible market dynamics point toward commoditization unless something materially changes.The killer detail is the mobile data analogy. Evans says cellular networks became a trillion-dollar industry with hundreds of billions in capex after data usage exploded, but carrier stocks went nowhere because value moved up the stack. Tokens may behave similarly: an opaque unit tied to marginal cost, sold through bundles, essential to everything, yet not necessarily where profits accrue.The pull is uncertainty, not prediction. Evans lists paths to model dominance, including network effects, less competition, regulation, export controls, or a lab pulling ahead on execution, but says each requires a new fact not yet visible. Without that change, the model layer looks more like infrastructure beneath the products that capture value.Read more: SourceAlex Karp Is Saying What Every Angry CEO Is Thinking About AIAuthor: Tim Higgins Published: July 11, 2026Tim Higgins reports that Palantir CEO Alex Karp has turned corporate frustration with AI labs into a public argument about enterprise control. Palantir released a white paper, “Institutional Sovereignty in the Age of AI,” laying out steps companies and governments can take to protect themselves from OpenAI, Anthropic, and other foundation-model providers. The article links that paper to Karp's CNBC appearance, where he said “something has gone completely wrong” in the relationship between AI labs and customers and argued that enterprises are paying for tokens that create little value.The killer detail is the value-capture question. Higgins writes that Karp's critique has resonated because AI labs may gain power and insight from customer data, workflows, and decision-making, even when enterprise policies say customer data are not used for training. David Sacks amplified the concern by arguing that Anthropic is moving from the model layer into vertical applications such as science, security, legal, and coding, raising the fear that model providers will watch where value is being created and then move into those markets directly.The pull is that Karp is not alone, even if his style is unusually combative. Higgins notes that Satya Nadella has also warned that companies need to retain the learnings created when they use AI models, while Mark Zuckerberg has framed Meta's new model release partly around lower-cost frontier intelligence. The article presents Karp's campaign as one sign that established technology companies and large enterprises are trying to define where they fit when AI labs become central infrastructure, application competitors, and potential IPO giants at the same time.Read more: The Wall Street JournalThe AI Agents Are Coming for Microsoft OfficeAlex Wilhelm | Cautious Optimism | July 11, 2026Alex Wilhelm argues that one of the week's quieter AI questions is whether the productivity market that Microsoft successfully moved into subscription software is now being attacked by agentic tools. The piece begins with the infrastructure backdrop: SK Hynix raised $26.5 billion in a U.S. listing while building U.S. HBM and advanced-packaging capacity, and memory, chip, and foundry companies are now priced for sustained AI demand.Wilhelm then says the AI conversation has shifted quickly from raw capability to cost per task. He cites new model releases and vendor language emphasizing cheaper agentic and coding models, faster performance, and lower dollars per task. That matters because lower costs make it more plausible for AI systems to take on routine knowledge work at scale rather than remain a premium coding assistant market.The core of the article is Microsoft Office. Wilhelm notes that Microsoft turned Office from a one-time purchase into Microsoft 365, a large recurring revenue business with tens of millions of subscribers and a major productivity segment. Now, he says, late-stage unicorns and AI labs are pushing into the same territory: Anthropic's Cowork was reportedly used mostly outside software development, OpenAI merged ChatGPT and Codex into a tool for creating sheets, slides, docs, web apps, and long-running work, and other companies are building agentic coworkers that connect business data to documents, workflows, schedules, alerts, and apps.The article's caveat is that Microsoft has survived major platform shifts before. The argument is not that Office disappears quickly, but that the definition of office software is broadening from documents and spreadsheets into AI systems that can create, monitor, and act across workplace data.Read moreWhat Is Loop Engineering, and Who Owns It?Author: Nilesh Barla Published: July 11, 2026Nilesh Barla argues that “loop engineering” is becoming a distinct discipline because production AI agents now fail less at single prompts than at runtime: when to stop, what state to preserve, and how to recover after a bad step. Prompt engineering shapes one model call, and context engineering shapes what the model sees, but loop engineering shapes what a sequence of calls actually does.The killer detail is the three-primitives frame. Barla says a real agent loop needs halt conditions, state carryover, and recovery paths, then maps teams across five maturity levels. At the lowest level, an agent is just a model call in a for-loop with a step cap and raw history; by the higher levels, the system has structured state, explicit planning, replay, evaluation, and self-repair.The pull is organizational. If agents are becoming production systems rather than demos, someone has to own the runtime itself. The loop engineer is the role Barla gives to the person responsible for making long-running agent work dependable.Read more: Adaline LabsThe Fight Against AI Data Centers Is Just BeginningEmma Roth | The Verge | July 12, 2026Emma Roth argues that community resistance to data centers has moved from an early warning sign into a national political fight as AI facilities grow larger, more power-hungry, and more visible to nearby residents. The article starts with Apple's failed 2015 plan for a $1 billion data center in Athenry, Ireland, where a small group of residents challenged the project over noise, light pollution, flooding, traffic, and wildlife effects until Apple abandoned it in 2018.The current data-center buildout is presented as much larger and more contentious. Roth writes that residents now cite rising energy costs, water quality, noise, light pollution, and greenhouse gas emissions, while the U.S. Energy Information Administration expects commercial energy demand to surpass residential demand this year because of AI data centers and Goldman Sachs expects data-center power demand to double by 2027.The central evidence comes from Data Center Watch, which says protesters blocked or delayed at least 75 U.S. projects worth $130 billion from January to March, with active opposition groups more than doubling from 396 at the end of 2025 to 833 by the end of the first quarter of 2026. Roth also cites QTS abandoning a $12 billion Wisconsin campus, Delaware City regulators blocking a 580-acre project under the Coastal Zone Act, opposition stopping a QTS project in Prince William County, and pressure that pushed Kevin O'Leary to downsize the proposed 40,000-acre Project Stratos in Utah.The policy section describes a split between federal acceleration and local resistance. President Trump has treated data centers as part of the AI race with China and fast-tracked construction, while some Republican candidates are distancing themselves from that position ahead of midterms. Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez have proposed a moratorium until price and environmental protections exist, bipartisan lawmakers are backing ratepayer-protection measures, and states including Florida, Idaho, and Washington have passed rules on cost shifting, water use, and tax breaks. Roth's caveat is that the policy patchwork is still incomplete, leaving many communities to fight project by project.Read more6 months to live for open modelsAuthor: Nathan Lambert Published: July 12, 2026Nathan Lambert argues that open-weight AI models are facing their most serious policy test so far because U.S. officials are beginning to discuss concrete controls rather than abstract safety concerns. He says reported White House conversations about a new executive order may initially target Chinese-origin models and government use, but could create a broader review habit for frontier open models. His forecast is that a model above the capability range of GPT-5.5, Claude Opus 4.8, or GLM-5.2 could trigger a ban or indefinite delay within six months.The post separates two policy fights that are becoming intertwined: distillation and frontier capability. Lambert says the distillation campaign against Chinese models has become a form of regulatory capture because Anthropic and other closed-model companies would gain economically if Chinese open models were banned. He does not dismiss IP protection, but argues that if a closed model's capabilities are dangerous enough to justify restricting open models, the lab also has to explain why those capabilities are exposed through a queryable API. He cites unauthorized access to Anthropic's Mythos private beta as evidence that APIs are not automatically secure.The broader claim is that a unilateral U.S. ban would hurt positive actors more than bad actors if comparable open models remain available elsewhere. Lambert says the only durable ceiling would require global agreement, which does not exist, and that open models can improve safety by allowing broad inspection, adaptation, and understanding. His proposed near-term off-ramps are a strong U.S. open model release from companies such as Microsoft, Meta, or Reflection, and a broader coalition of open-source beneficiaries lobbying for safe rollout rather than prohibition.Read more: SourceAmericans Deserve a Dividend From AI Companies' RichesAuthor: Scott Stanford Published: July 14, 2026Scott Stanford argues that proposals to give the government a stake in AI companies miss the point unless ordinary citizens directly receive and control the upside. Sam Altman has discussed giving up equity in OpenAI, Washington already owns a stake in Intel, Nvidia is sharing China chip revenue, and Bernie Sanders wants large AI labs to contribute half their stock to a sovereign wealth fund. Stanford says those ideas all park value with the state, not with people.The killer detail is New Carlisle, Indiana, where AWS's Project Rainier is turning cornfields into one of the world's largest AI superclusters. The project is planned to run up to a million chips, draw more than two gigawatts of power, and represents an investment that has grown from $11 billion to $13.8 billion. Stanford uses that local transformation to argue that AI's public bargain should be visible at the household level.The pull is design. A citizen AI dividend would have to specify who earns a stake, how they hold it, and when they see cash. Without that mechanism, the AI wealth debate remains a fight over government balance sheets rather than public ownership.Read more: SourceWho Gets to Define the Frontier?Author: Mark Daley Published: July 14, 2026Mark Daley argues that Demis Hassabis is right to call for a serious institution to verify frontier AI systems, but that the power to test models is also the power to govern them. Hassabis's proposed Frontier AI Standards Body would get privileged pre-release access to advanced models, testing compute, held-out evaluations, support from national labs and security agencies, third-party auditors, and eventually authority to block models from the American market or coordinate a slowdown.The killer detail is Daley's constitutional objection. He says the proposal sometimes looks like a scientific lab, a standards body, an industry regulator, a licensing authority, and an emergency security council at once. Combining those roles because each requires technical expertise would be like putting the central bank, auditor-general, and Supreme Court in one building and calling it efficient.The pull is standard-setting. Daley's concern is not that verification is unnecessary, but that whoever writes the tests, decides what passes, adjudicates disputes, and grants market access may end up defining the frontier itself.Read more: SourceGPT-Red: Unlocking Self-Improvement for RobustnessOpenAI | OpenAI | July 15, 2026OpenAI describes GPT-Red as an internal automated red-teaming model trained to find prompt-injection vulnerabilities at a scale human red teams cannot match. The post says AI systems increasingly encounter third-party data through browsers, connected apps, local files, and tools, creating opportunities for malicious instructions hidden in emails, webpages, tool responses, or code repositories. Human red-teaming remains part of OpenAI's safety process, but the company says it is time-intensive and cannot generate enough diverse adversarial examples for model training.The system is trained through self-play reinforcement learning, with GPT-Red rewarded for eliciting valid failures and defender models rewarded for resisting attacks while still completing their tasks. OpenAI says the training environments specify threat models across settings such as local files, webpage banners, email bodies, and tool outputs. The model is kept separate from deployed production models because it is intentionally trained with malicious capabilities.OpenAI reports that GPT-Red generalized beyond its training set, including an internal replication of the indirect prompt-injection arena from Dziemian et al. (2025), where it found successful attacks in 84% of scenarios compared with 13% for human red-teamers. The post also says GPT-Red transferred attacks from simulation to a live autonomous vending-machine agent, causing price changes and order cancellations, and outperformed a prompted GPT-5.5 baseline against a Codex CLI agent on held-out data-exfiltration tasks.The article's main robustness claim is that OpenAI has used GPT-Red and predecessor models in training since GPT-5.3, with later GPT releases becoming more resistant to prompt injections. It says GPT-5.6 Sol has six times fewer failures on OpenAI's hardest direct prompt-injection benchmark than the best production model from four months earlier, that a “Fake Chain-of-Thought” attack class fell from more than 95% success against GPT-5.1 to below 10% against GPT-5.6 Sol, and that GPT-5.6 Sol fails on only 0.05% of GPT-Red's direct prompt injections. OpenAI says general capabilities and targeted over-refusal evaluations were not harmed, and says a preprint with more details will follow.Read moreAnthropic, Blackstone bet the next trillion-dollar AI business is implementation, not just modelsRebecca Bellan | TechCrunch | July 15, 2026Rebecca Bellan reports that Ode with Anthropic is the $1.5 billion AI implementation company launched by Anthropic with Blackstone, Hellman & Friedman, Goldman Sachs, and other backers. The article says the venture reflects a growing belief among frontier AI labs that enterprise adoption requires more than better models: customers need engineers who can embed inside businesses and turn AI into working systems.Ode was originally conceived by Blackstone after it used both large consulting firms and smaller AI services boutiques across its portfolio companies. TechCrunch reports that Fractional AI, an AI engineering services startup, stood out and was acquired by the joint venture shortly after the venture was announced. Fractional now forms the foundation of Ode, which has 100 engineers and works closely with Anthropic's applied AI team to identify where the technology can affect specific businesses.Ode CEO Chris Taylor tells TechCrunch that the company could someday become a trillion-dollar business if it scales without losing quality. He says an ideal customer is one whose CEO treats the AI project as a top one or two priority, whether it is a major product feature or the reworking of a core business process. Ode will operate under a “Claude-first” principle, using Anthropic technology whenever possible, but the article says it can use rival AI products when needed.The article's central implementation argument comes from Ode chief technologist Eddie Siegel, who says model selection matters but is not where most of the engineering effort goes. He compares it to the choice of programming language in software: one ingredient in a system that still has to be engineered. Bellan writes that Ode's challenge is hiring and training enough elite generalist engineers, many of them former founders, while competing with OpenAI's The Deployment Company and consulting giants that have built their own forward-deployed engineering teams.Read moreVint Cerf is working on a plan to unleash AI agents on the open internetTim Fernholz | TechCrunch | July 15, 2026Tim Fernholz reports that Vint Cerf, after leaving Google, is advising Innovation Labs on an open architecture for identifying AI agents online. Innovation Labs is a subsidiary of Identity Digital, a DNS registry company, and its proposal is to use domain-name infrastructure as part of a system for agent identity, accountability, and auditability. The premise is that agents will need a way to identify themselves if they move beyond proprietary systems and begin interacting across the open internet.The concrete proposal is DNSid, a registry that links an AI agent to an existing internet domain and uses cryptographic proofs to log its registration over time. Innovation Labs says it is trialing the standard with unnamed hyperscalers and identity companies. Cerf frames the problem around authority and accountability: what authority an agent has, where that authority came from, who is accountable for the agent's behavior, how its identity is established, and why anyone should trust it.The article's caveat is that standards are still emerging and agents are more active than static domains. Cerf says the period may be both fascinating and exasperating because the functionality is powerful and interoperability is unresolved. He compares the adoption problem to TCP/IP: competing systems may not work together until users push for functional interoperation. He also says an agentic economy is not inevitable, but that people will try to build it because delegating work to agents will be easier.Read more: TechCrunchxai-org/grok-build, now open sourceAuthor: Simon Willison Published: July 15, 2026Simon Willison argues that xAI's decision to open-source Grok Build is best understood as a trust repair move after a severe privacy failure. The CLI had triggered backlash when users realized that running it in a directory could upload the entire directory to xAI's Google Cloud buckets, including one user's reported SSH keys, password manager database, documents, photos, and videos. xAI disabled the feature, said previously retained coding data would be deleted, and released the code under Apache 2.0.The killer detail is what the codebase reveals. Willison counts 844,530 lines of Rust, only about 3% of which appears vendored, and finds remnants of the upload system still present but disabled: gcs.rs contains Google Cloud upload code, while upload_session_state() now returns a hard-coded session_state_upload_unavailable error. He also notes copied or ported tool implementations from Codex and OpenCode, prompt files, and a terminal Mermaid renderer.The pull is that terminal coding agents are becoming large, intricate software systems in their own right. The privacy failure mattered because these tools operate inside the directories where developers keep their most sensitive work; the open-source release matters because trust now depends on inspecting what an agent can see, send, and do.Read more: SourceThe Pulse: What can we learn from Bun's rapid Rust rewrite with AI?Author: Gergely Orosz and Ivan Klaric Published: July 16, 2026Gergely Orosz and Ivan Klaric argue that Bun's AI-assisted rewrite from Zig to Rust is a practical sign of how software engineering changes when models can take on large, bounded migrations with clear feedback loops. The piece does not treat the rewrite as magic: Jarred Sumner first spent hours turning design judgment into a detailed porting guide, then used adversarial review, parallel agents, compiler errors, and tests to force the work toward correctness.The killer detail is the scale. Bun had 535,496 lines of Zig, 1,448 files, and 22 million monthly downloads, making a conventional rewrite a year-long freeze the team could not justify. Using Fable, Sumner split the work across 64 agents, produced about 6,500 commits, and got the migration done in 11 days at an estimated API cost of $165,000.The pull is economic, not theatrical. If a one- or two-year migration can become an 11-day project, AI coding is not just faster autocomplete; it changes which technical debts are worth paying down.Read more: SourceOrphan risks at the frontier of artificial intelligenceAuthor: Andrew Maynard Published: July 16, 2026Andrew Maynard argues that frontier AI safety frameworks are creating “orphan risks”: harms that companies can see, but do not formally own because they are hard to quantify, do not fit catastrophic-risk thresholds, or fall outside audit-friendly compliance machinery. His target is not existing frontier safety work, but the narrowing effect that happens when private companies decide which risks count as governable.The killer detail is Maynard's contrast between measurable model dangers and threats to value. He points to Meta's three-day Galactica collapse, OpenAI's 2023 board crisis, safety-team departures, and wellbeing litigation as examples of risks that damaged trust, culture, legitimacy, or users without fitting cleanly into conventional model-risk categories. The proposed fix is an orphan-risk register: a public record of risks a company considered and chose not to manage, with reasons.The pull is accountability. Frontier developers' internal scoping choices have become a de facto layer of public governance, so the question is no longer only which risks they manage, but which risks they quietly leave outside the frame.Read more: SourceThe Lab of the Future Should Feel Like a Data CenterLatent.Space with Andy Beam and Rafa Gomez-Bombarelli | Latent.Space | July 16, 2026Latent.Space interviews Lila Sciences CTO Andy Beam and chief science officer for physical sciences Rafa Gomez-Bombarelli about the company's attempt to build an AI-run science factory. The post describes Lila's thesis as treating the lab itself as an “infinite token generator”: if internet data drove the first era of AI scaling, experimentally verified scientific data may be the next scarce training source. Lila is trying to produce that data with robotics, lab instruments, orchestration software, and AI models wired into the wet lab.The central analogy is the lab as data center. Instruments are nodes on a graph, a magnetically levitating transport layer moves materials between them, and experiment scheduling looks like a compute queue. Beam says Lila is not simply an automation company, because the point is not just throughput; it is flexibility, generalization, and experiment capture. The post says Lila has built more than 10 trillion experimentally validated “scientific reasoning tokens,” not internet text or biological sequences.The interview ranges across biology, chemistry, drug discovery, materials science, and the limits of automation. It notes that Lila rebuilt one gas-sorption measurement to run roughly 2,500 times faster, claims its general models can transfer priors from small-molecule chemistry to metal-organic frameworks for carbon capture, and describes model-suggested platinum-group-free electrocatalysts that moved from looking boring or wrong to becoming strong performers. The caveats are physical: experiments have runtimes, biology cannot always be accelerated, chains of thought can be unreliable narrators, and reward hacking becomes more dangerous when a model controls a real lab.Read more: Latent.SpaceWhy AMI Labs' Alexandre LeBrun won't call his AI “AGI” or “superintelligence”Kate Park | TechCrunch | July 16, 2026Kate Park interviews AMI Labs CEO Alexandre LeBrun about why Yann LeCun's world-model startup avoids the language of “AGI” and “superintelligence.” LeBrun says the terms are not useful because they lack stable definitions: “We never used the word AGI. And I just noticed that nobody is using it anymore; they switched to superintelligence.” His argument is that the practical frontier is not a label, but whether AI systems can understand and predict real-world states.The article explains the world-model thesis by contrasting language prediction with physical-state prediction. A large language model predicts the next word; a world model predicts the next state, such as what happens when a glass tips over. LeBrun says LLMs remain complementary and efficient for language, but the physical world is where current AI is weak. Robotics is the clearest case: hardware has advanced quickly, but robots are still brittle outside controlled routines because they lack context and situational understanding.AMI is still pre-product, but TechCrunch reports that LeBrun was in Seoul looking for industrial partners, researchers, and global companies. He says world models cannot be built entirely inside a lab because they need access to real environments. That is why South Korea appeals to AMI: robotics, semiconductors, manufacturing, and fast adoption create the kind of hardware-heavy context that software-only AI has barely touched.Read more: TechCrunchKimi K3 Tech Blog: Open Frontier IntelligenceKimi | Kimi | July 16, 2026Kimi introduces Kimi K3 as an open 3T-class frontier model aimed at coding, knowledge work, reasoning, multimodality, and long-context agentic use. The source describes the model as a 2.8T-parameter system built on Kimi Delta Attention and Attention Residuals, with native multimodality and a 1M-token context window. It says Moonshot AI plans to release model weights by July 27.The post presents K3 through benchmark and use-case sections rather than as a general product announcement. It reports results across coding, productivity, agentic, and multimodal evaluations, including DeepSWE, Terminal-Bench 2.1, Program Bench, SWE Marathon, FrontierSWE, PostTrain Bench, OfficeQA Pro, SpreadsheetBench 2, MCP Atlas, AutomationBench, BrowseComp, GDPval-AA v2, AA-Briefcase, MMMU-Pro, MathVision, BabyVision, OmniDocBench, and PerceptionBench. The source says all reported K3 results use maximum reasoning effort with temperature and top-p set to 1.0, and that different benchmark comparisons use KimiCode, Claude Code, or Codex harnesses depending on the test.Kimi's caveats are unusually concrete. The limitations section says K3 was trained in preserved thinking-history mode, so quality may become unstable if an agent harness does not pass historical thinking content correctly or if an ongoing session switches to K3 midstream. It also says K3's emphasis on long-horizon tasks can make it excessively proactive when it encounters minor issues or ambiguous intent, and recommends imposing explicit behavioral constraints for applications that require strict boundaries. The post adds that K3 remains behind Claude Fable 5 and GPT 5.6 Sol in user experience despite being competitive overall.Read moreVenture CapitalThree Years InAuthor: Tomasz Tunguz Published: July 10, 2026Tomasz Tunguz marks Theory Ventures' third anniversary by arguing that AI's central market effect is time compression. In his telling, model release cycles, company revenue milestones, enterprise adoption, and venture categories have all accelerated. Seed, Series A, and Series B still exist as financing labels, but they no longer cleanly describe company maturity when some seed rounds are larger than IPOs and the best AI companies can mature much earlier than prior software companies.The killer detail is the shift from models to inference. Tunguz argues that inference has become the dominant AI market because workloads and buyer preferences are fragmenting: video, batch, local, agentic, and real-time tasks each create different infrastructure needs. He compares this to databases splitting into OLTP, OLAP, vector, and streaming categories, with AI pushing the same specialization into inference infrastructure.The pull is that Theory sees the AI-native venture firm as part of the same pattern. The firm says it has analyzed twice as many investment opportunities with three investors working alongside a nine-person intelligence organization, using agents and research systems to map markets, source companies, and support diligence. The piece is both a market map and a statement about how venture itself is being rebuilt by the technology it funds.Read more: LinkedInVenture Has Rarely Looked More BifurcatedAuthor: Beezer Clarkson Published: July 14, 2026Beezer Clarkson points to PitchBook's Q2 report as evidence that the U.S. venture market has split into two very different realities. AI now accounts for more than 60 percent of all U.S. venture deal value, meaning the headline market can look active and well-funded even while much of the non-AI market is dealing with a much colder liquidity and fundraising environment.The thread uses that split as the setup for Clarkson's latest Origins episode with Alec Litowitz, founder of Magnetar and QStar Capital and one of Citadel's original founding partners. Clarkson says markets like this are periods of genuine uncertainty, not merely ordinary risk, which is why Litowitz's Adaptability Quotient framework is relevant.The embedded clip makes the liquidity point concrete. Litowitz says DPI is “the resolution of uncertainty” because it converts an uncertain investment into actual cash returned to LPs. In his framing, a realized dollar is a real mark, while TVPI remains uncertain until it is realized.The killer detail is the distinction between pricing risk and resolving uncertainty. Litowitz's perspective matters because QStar is a SpaceX investor and Clarkson says the conversation happened just before one of venture's most consequential IPOs. The episode's stated questions are why venture remains a way to gain exposure to innovation, how AI is changing what is investable, why liquidity is ultimately a function of time, and why uncertainty requires a different decision framework from risk.Read more: XThe Best Angel Investors in the US: Who Backs the Most Unicorns, and Who's Active NowAuthor: Ilya Strebulaev Published: July 10, 2026Ilya Strebulaev ranks angels, angel groups, accelerators, and incubators by lifetime U.S. unicorn investments, counting checks written before a company reached unicorn status. The top of the combined list is dominated by organizations: Y Combinator leads with 113 unicorn investments, followed by Plug and Play at 52 and 500 Global at 41. Sand Hill Angels is the highest-ranked angel group at 31.The killer detail is how quickly the list changes below the biggest accelerators. Strebulaev says 271 of the 304 investors in the Top 200 are individuals, or 89%. In the top 100, individuals are 91%. That makes the market underneath the large accelerator counts look much more personal: mostly operators and individual angels writing early checks from their own networks.The pull is the ranking's own caveat. Strebulaev writes that every lifetime leaderboard has a blind spot because many of the unicorns behind those totals were founded a decade or more ago, and some angels have since moved into formal funds, slowed down, or stopped investing. His post therefore separates lifetime performance from recent cohorts, including companies founded in 2015 or later and 2020 or later. For founders or allocators making current decisions, that distinction matters: a career record and a current record are not the same measure.Read more: Ilya StrebulaevAre Prediction Markets Doomed to Fail?Author: Contrary Published: July 16, 2026Contrary argues that prediction markets' current boom depends on whether platforms can prove they are more than regulated gambling with exchange-style branding. Kalshi and Polymarket have reached mass cultural, investor, and regulatory attention, but the article says the underlying idea is old: academic markets, corporate forecasting tools, Intrade, PredictIt, and other predecessors all struggled with the same linked problems of liquidity, legality, and user appeal.The killer detail is the comparison with sportsbooks. Prediction markets present themselves as peer-to-peer, transparent, and non-house-based, but sports contracts reportedly account for more than 90 percent of Kalshi trading, and the article says the platforms keep a much thinner slice of volume than sportsbooks. A market can therefore show sports-betting-scale handle while generating far less revenue.The pull is that the product's hardest problem may be distribution of wins. If a small group of sharp traders captures most profits while casual users lose interest, prediction markets may become valuable data feeds and professional tools before they become durable consumer networks.Read more: SourceRegulationExclusive: The Next Frontier of the Deportation Wars: College CampusesAuthor: Adrian Carrasquillo Published: July 11, 2026Adrian Carrasquillo reports that college campuses are becoming a new front in the fight over immigration enforcement because automatic license plate readers can turn ordinary campus security infrastructure into searchable location data. His thesis is that Flock Safety's camera network, even without direct ICE or DHS contracts, can feed deportation enforcement through local police partnerships and data-sharing practices.The killer detail is the campaign target. The Emergency Campaign to Support Higher Education, working with Schools Drop ICE, is focusing on 75 colleges and universities publicly identified as having Flock contracts. Flock says it has no ICE or DHS contracts, but activists argue the risk comes through local agencies that coordinate with federal authorities and run searches on their behalf.The pull is broader than immigration. Carrasquillo notes that license plate readers have already been abused by officers for stalking, and that Flock's AI search features can identify more than plates, including bumper stickers. A campus safety tool can become a political surveillance system when the data layer is searchable.Read more: The BulwarkThe Supreme Court Broke Independent Agencies. Here's a Way to Slow the Damage.Author: Todd Phillips Published: July 12, 2026Todd Phillips argues that the Supreme Court's decision in Trump v. Slaughter damaged independent agencies by ending for-cause removal protections, but did not leave Congress powerless. The ruling weakens the old model in which commissioners at bodies such as the FTC, NLRB, CPSC, SEC, and CFTC could be insulated from dismissal over policy disagreements. Phillips says the next fight is whether presidents can turn nominally bipartisan commissions into one-party instruments.The killer detail is the procedural fix: quorum rules. Phillips proposes that Congress require bipartisan slates of commissioners to be seated before independent agencies can act. A president

united states america ceo american new york amazon founders black world ai donald trump australia europe google starting china disney apple interview house washington water space americans phd office european chinese government data global predictions elon musk market european union ireland microsoft mit tennessee mars police utah wisconsin white house congress fail chatgpt scotland indiana legal court human tesla supreme court theory reflection silicon valley republicans companies britain whatsapp ice apologies seed android origins democrats mississippi maine stanford computers radical bernie sanders define intelligence idaho owning skype paypal chiefs south korea wright sec commission markets holland ip north american mark zuckerberg spacex oracle telegram evans hart models intel civil signal phillips older human rights economists sanders ipo cnbc gemini openai loop maga sol capacity riches nobel damage nvidia robotics goldman sachs plug alexandria ocasio cortez rust api lab epa roth robertson flock alphabet seoul frontier reuters literacy electricity owns gpt verge pollution aws mythos ftc lambert international association slaughter higgins orphan roblox apis beam mermaid public service usage instruments ode farrell citadel keen mastodon dhs wwdc anthropic peter thiel dyson sam altman connectivity industrial revolution apache prompt r d european commission techcrunch y combinator prompts blackstone colossus palantir eligible tokens adam smith agi lps mcafee kimi wilhelm waymo google cloud workflows krause dns maynard konrad clarkson codex fractional pew gpus daley micron sumner tsmc thiel series b amy klobuchar microsoft office kathy hochul satya nadella dma eff xai eric schmidt polymarket broadcom granola karp asml cftc innovation labs oligarchy zig paul krugman kalshi cerf keynes marc andreessen cli bun mccloskey inference lebrun ssh axon dpi nlrb latent arista east india company montesquieu clean air act digital markets act galactica cowork tyler cowen david sacks tcp ip daron acemoglu supermicro bruce schneier k3 kevin ryan gul coreweave yann lecun simon johnson demis hassabis pitchbook metering andreessen sk hynix jack clark euv access now who owns andrew mcafee navy yard vint cerf feiner vinod khosla flock safety glm prince william county energy information administration cpsc motorola solutions benedict evans hbm deirdre mccloskey athenry erik brynjolfsson casselman magnetar carrasquillo yglesias predictit olap mounk qts jerusalem demsas oltp adaptability quotient internet freedom foundation brynjolfsson new carlisle sand hill angels datagravity
Chit Chat Money
Apple Sues OpenAI; Blowout Bank Earnings; Will Stripe Acquire PayPal? $PYPL $ADYEN

Chit Chat Money

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2026 64:35


The Investing Power Hour is live-streamed every Thursday on the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast YouTube channel at 5:00 PM EST. This week we discussed: (00:00) Introduction (01:55) ASML's Earnings (04:53) Adyen's Annual Report and Shareholder Questions (10:58) OpenAI's Legal Challenges and Hardware Developments (15:03) Bank earnings (24:56) Stripe, PayPal, and Payment Industry Dynamics (29:55) Tech Leadership on social media (35:05) Crypto, NFTs, and Regulatory Environment (40:01) Home Buying Trends and Market Reflections (49:58) Interest Rates, Inflation, and Demographics (55:01) Share issuance issue ***************************************************** Subscribe to Emerging Moats Research: emergingmoats.com  ********************************************************************* Chit Chat Stocks is presented by Interactive Brokers. Get professional pricing, global access, and premier technology with the best brokerage for investors today:  https://www.interactivebrokers.com/  Interactive Brokers is a member of SIPC.  ********************************************************************* Fiscal.ai is building the future of financial data. With custom charts, AI-generated research reports, and endless analytical tools, you can get up to speed on any stock around the globe. All for a reasonable price.  Use our LINK and get 15% off any premium plan: ⁠https://fiscal.ai/chitchat  ********************************************************************* Disclosure: Chit Chat Stocks hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Alles auf Aktien
Der TSMC-Effekt und die neuen Machthaber an der Wall Street

Alles auf Aktien

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2026 24:05 Transcription Available


In der heutigen Folge sprechen die Finanzjournalisten Nando Sommerfeldt und Holger Zschäpitz über Ernüchterung bei Netflix, den finalen Atai-Moment und einen erwachenden Markt. Außerdem geht es um SpaceX, Alphabet, Oracle, Abbott Laboratories, UnitedHealth Group, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, AtaiBeckley, Eli Lilly, Compass Pathways, Definium Therapeutics, Infineon, ABB, Schneider Electric, Siemens Energy, ASML, Delivery Hero, Uber, Novo Nordisk, Burberry, Saab, Travelers, Yara, BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Robinhood Markets, Reddit, Nvidia, Micron Technology, SanDisk, Applied Materials, Western Digital, KLA, Marvell Technology, Lam Research, iShares Nikkei 225 (WKN: A0YEDQ), Xtrackers MSCI Japan (WKN: DBX1MJ), Amundi Japan Topix (WKN: A2H58U), VanEck Space Innovators ETF (WKN: A3DP9J), Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares / SOXL (WKN: A1C1G7) Wir freuen uns an Feedback über aaa@welt.de. Noch mehr "Alles auf Aktien" findet Ihr bei WELTplus und Apple Podcasts – inklusive aller Artikel der Hosts. Hier bei WELT: https://www.welt.de/podcasts/alles-auf-aktien/plus247399208/Boersen-Podcast-AAA-Bonus-Folgen-Jede-Woche-noch-mehr-Antworten-auf-Eure-Boersen-Fragen.html. Hier könnt ihr den AAA-Newsletter abonnieren: https://www.welt.de/newsletter/article232797673/Alles-auf-Aktien-Der-taegliche-Boersen-Newsletter-fuer-WELTplus-Abonnenten.html Und – ganz neu: AAA gibt es jetzt auch auf Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/alles_auf_aktien/ Disclaimer: Die im Podcast besprochenen Aktien und Fonds stellen keine spezifischen Kauf- oder Anlage-Empfehlungen dar. Die Moderatoren und der Verlag haften nicht für etwaige Verluste, die aufgrund der Umsetzung der Gedanken oder Ideen entstehen. Hörtipps: Für alle, die noch mehr wissen wollen: Holger Zschäpitz können Sie jede Woche im Finanz- und Wirtschaftspodcast "Deffner&Zschäpitz" hören. +++ Werbung +++ Du möchtest mehr über unsere Werbepartner erfahren? Hier findest du alle Infos & Rabatte! https://linktr.ee/alles_auf_aktien *Anzeige: Eight Sleep: Der Pod 5 reguliert die Temperatur im Bett automatisch, trackt Schlaf- und Gesundheitswerte ohne Wearable und kann so zu besserem Schlaf beitragen. Mit dem Code ALLESAUFAKTIEN erhaltet ihr auf https://www.eightsleep.com/allesaufaktien bis zu 350 Euro Rabatt.* Impressum: https://www.welt.de/services/article7893735/Impressum.html Datenschutz: https://www.welt.de/services/article157550705/Datenschutzerklaerung-WELT-DIGITAL.html

Beurswatch | BNR
President Trump gaat beleggers voorkennis verkopen

Beurswatch | BNR

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2026 23:25


We dachten dat we alles al gezien hadden. Niet dus! Truth Social, het socialmediabedrijf van president Trump, gaat snellere toegang tot berichten van Trump verkopen. Dat betekent dat handelaren sneller informatie van de president kunnen verwerken dan concurrenten. Informatie die de koers van aandelen, maar ook de olieprijs vaak heeft beïnvloed. Zo bleek uit onderzoek al dat Trump minstens twintig bedrijven heeft gepromoot op Truth Social, net nadat hij er zelf een belang in had genomen. In sommige gevallen kondigde hij overheidsbeleid aan dat gunstig uit kon pakken voor die bedrijven. Het ging onder meer om autobouwer Tesla, chipmaker Nvidia en spijkerbroekenmerk American Eagle. Deze aflevering kijken we wat deze nieuwe dienst betekent voor de beurshandel. Het idee is dat flitshandelaren hiervan gebruik gaan maken, we zoeken uit of het Nederlandse Flowtraders hiervan gaat profiteren. Hebben we het ook uitgebreid over Netflix. Dat stelt teleur. De omzet en winst zijn de komende tijd minder dan waarop analisten en beleggers rekenden. Ze maken zich zorgen over de groei van de grootste streamer van de wereld. Die lijkt er nu wel echt uit. Ook komt Netflix met een opvallende stap: het wil minder vertellen over het kijkgedrag van hun klanten. Waardoor Netflix (weer) minder transparant wordt. Verder hoor je deze aflevering meer over ASML. Dat geeft bijna een miljard uit aan cadeaus voor het personeel. Ook komt Adyen voorbij. Moeten zij nu ook op overnamepad, nu hun grootste concurrent op overnamejacht is? En je hoort over Viaplay. Dat boekt voor het eerst in heel veel kwartalen weer eens winst! Te gast: Errol Keyner van de Vereniging van Effectenbezitters BNR Beurs is een journalistiek onafhankelijke productie, mede mogelijk gemaakt door Saxo. Over de makers: Jelle Maasbach is presentator van BNR Beurs en freelance financieel journalist. Zijn favoriete aandeel om over te praten is Disney, maar daar lijkt hij de enige in te zijn. Sinds de eerste uitzending van BNR Beurs is 'ie er bij. Maxim van Mil is presentator van BNR Beurs en journalist bij BNR, waar hij zich focust op de financiële markten en ontwikkelingen in de tech-wereld. Je krijgt hem het meest enthousiast als hij kan praten over ASML, of oer-Hollandse bedrijven zoals Ahold of ABN Amro. Jorik Simonides is presentator van BNR Beurs, economieredacteur en verslaggever bij BNR. Hij wordt er vooral blij van als het een keer níet over AI gaat. Je hoort hem ook in de BNR-podcast Moerdijk: dorp van de rekening. Milou Brand is presentator van BNR Beurs, freelance podcastmaker en columnist bij het Financieele Dagblad. Jochem Visser is presentator van BNR Beurs, maakt Beursnerd XL en is redacteur bij de podcast Onder Curatoren. Vraag hem naar obscure zaken op financiële markten en hij vertelt je waarom het eigenlijk nóg leuker is dan je al dacht. Over de podcast: Met BNR Beurs ga je altijd voorbereid de nieuwe beursdag in. We praten je in een kleine 25 minuten bij over alle laatste ontwikkelingen op de handelsvloer. We blijven niet alleen bij de AEX of Wall Street, maar vertellen je ook waar nog meer kansen liggen. En we houden het niet bij de cijfers, maar zoeken ook iedere dag voor je naar duiding van scherpe gasten en experts. Of je nu een ervaren belegger bent of net begint met je eerste stappen op de beurs, de podcast biedt waardevolle inzichten voor je beleggingsstrategie. Door de focus op zowel de korte termijn als de lange termijn, helpt BNR Beurs luisteraars om de ruis van de markt te scheiden van de essentie.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Doppelgänger Tech Talk
Stripe will PayPal, Uber kauft Delivery Hero, Salesforce schluckt Contentful | China-Modelle schließen auf | ASML, TSMC, Netflix Earnings #580

Doppelgänger Tech Talk

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2026 83:38


Chinesische Open-Source-Modelle schließen zu westlichen Modellen auf. Bei OpenAI wird das erste eigene Gerät konkret, während ein Analyst vorrechnet, dass das Werbegeschäft die eigene Prognose um 90% verfehlt. Codex und ChatGPT Work kommen auf 8 Mio. aktive Nutzer, gleichzeitig räumt OpenAI ein, dass Codex in seltenen Fällen das Home-Verzeichnis löscht. Google verschiebt den Gemini-Launch, weil die Technik interne Ziele verfehlt. Anthropic und Blackstone wetten, dass das nächste Billionen-Geschäft die Implementation ist, nicht die Modelle selbst. Bei Musk gibt es eine Identitätskrise rund um SpaceXAI, Grok Build wird nach dem Datenskandal open source, und für den Compute-Hunger wird eine Gasturbinen-Firma gekauft. In Europa lockert die EU unter US-Druck die Regeln für Meta-Brillen und zwingt Google gleichzeitig zur KI-Interoperabilität. Dazu die große Konsolidierung: Uber übernimmt Delivery Hero und Salesforce schluckt Contentful. Unterstütze unseren Podcast und entdecke die Angebote unserer Werbepartner auf ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠doppelgaenger.io/werbung⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Vielen Dank!  Philipp Glöckler und Philipp Klöckner sprechen heute über: (00:00:00) OpenAI Speaker (00:03:17) Codex Micro (00:05:29) OpenAI Werbe-Flop 6 Codex 8 Mio. Nutzer (00:11:28) NY Datacenter-Moratorium (00:14:18) Stripe PayPal (00:28:58) Thinking Machines (00:31:49) Soofi-S (00:35:26) Open-Source-AI-Report (00:37:24) Kimi 3 überholt Fable 5 (00:39:16) DeepSeek $74 Mrd. (00:40:10) Gemini verschoben (00:41:18) Ramp KI-Kosten (00:45:53) Earnings: ASML, TSMC, Netflix (00:48:05) Anthropic x Blackstone (00:50:18) Spahn (00:54:14) Truth API (00:59:48) Trump-Insiderwetten (01:01:27) EU lockert Meta-Brillen (01:02:45) Grok lädt Nutzerdaten hoch (01:05:07) SpaceXAI Chaos (01:05:40) Musk kauft APR Energy (01:06:55) xAI-Kraftwerk Umwelt (01:07:20) China vs. Chatbot-Liebe (01:08:37) Globales KI-Gremium (01:09:33) KI-Slop auf Amazon (01:11:26) Eli Lilly kauft Atai (01:12:32) Uber Delivery Hero, Salesforce Contentful (01:13:24) Schwarz Digits Shownotes OpenAI-Speaker ohne Bildschirm - bloomberg.com Codex Micro Keypad - worklouder.cc OpenAI-Werbung verfehlt Ziel um 90% - adweek.com Codex: 8 Mio. Nutzer - xcancel.com Codex löscht Home-Verzeichnis - xcancel.com NY: Moratorium für KI-Rechenzentren - theverge.com Stripe & Advent bieten für PayPal - linkedin.com PayPal-Board lehnt Angebot ab - reuters.com Thinking Machines launcht Inkling - wired.com Soofi-S: deutsches 30B-Modell - the-decoder.com State of Open-Source-AI (Mozilla) - stateofopensource.ai Kimi 3 schließt zu Opus 4.8 auf - techcrunch.com Kimi K3: Fable/Sol-Niveau - xcancel.com Google verschiebt Gemini - bloomberg.com Ramp: KI-Kosten-Dashboard - ramp.com ASML hebt Prognose an - cnbc.com TSMC: +80% Q2-Gewinn - cnbc.com Netflix Q2-Zahlen - cnbc.com Anthropic & Blackstone: Implementation statt Modelle - techcrunch.com Kimi-K3 überholt Fable 5 (Arena) - xcancel.com DeepSeek: $74 Mrd. vor IPO - reuters.com DeepSeek plant Börsengang - ft.com Truth API: Trump-Posts für Wall Street - cnbc.com Insiderwetten auf Trump-Reden - spiegel.de EU lockert Regeln für Meta-Brillen - politico.eu Grok Build lädt Daten hoch, wird Open Source - simonwillison.net Musk zur SpaceXAI-Datenspeicherung - xcancel.com SpaceXAI in der Identitätskrise - bloomberg.com Musk kauft Gasturbinen-Firma APR Energy - electrek.co xAI-Kraftwerk belastet Black Communities - reuters.com China verbietet Chatbot-Liebe - wsj.com 29 Länder gründen KI-Gremium - reuters.com KI-Slop-Biografien auf Amazon - nytimes.com Jens Spahn ist Vater geworden - spiegel.de Eli Lilly kauft AtaiBeckley ($2,8 Mrd.) - pharmaceutical-technology.com Uber vor Delivery-Hero-Deal (FT) - ft.com Uber kauft Delivery Hero ($14,8 Mrd.) - bloomberg.com Pausder plant ARK Labs (Palantir-Vorbild) - manager-magazin.de Salesforce kauft Contentful (1,3 Mrd.) - manager-magazin.de Schwarz-Gruppe gibt XM Cyber ab - manager-magazin.de EU zwingt Google zu KI-Interoperabilität - theverge.com ZDF untersagt Levit & Danger Dan - spiegel.de Doppelgänger Orakel - doppelgaenger-orakel.com

BeursTalk
Lichte nervositeit, maar markten staan tegen recordhoogten aan

BeursTalk

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2026 28:43


De spanningen in het Midden-Oosten doen nauwelijks iets meer met de beurzen. Op weekbasis sloot de AEX licht boven het slot van vorige week en staat daarmee op een mooie 1091 punten. Wel zien de experts de nervositeit licht toenemen. "De winsten stijgen harder dan de koersen, zeker in de techsector, wat op zich positief is", zegt Han Dieperink (Aureus Vermogensbeheer). "De vraag die de markt wél stelt is hoe het zit met het verdienmodel van AI. Wat gaat dat aan omzet opleveren?" Robbert Manders (Antaurus Europe Fund) is neutraal positief over de markt. "Alle grote events, zoals het Midden-Oosten, zijn grotendeels uitgespeeld. Beleggers richten zich nu dus weer op het cijferseizoen. Daar kijk ik nu naar en daar zien we geen onverwachte dingen gebeuren." Han ziet nog wel wat agendapunten die voor reuring kunnen zorgen op de beurzen. Zo brengt president Xi in september een bezoek aan de VS en de mid-term verkiezingen kunnen ook voor opschudding zorgen. Maar Han vindt wel dat de markt er fundamenteel goed bij ligt. De banken in de VS hebben, met uitzondering van Citigroup, uitstekende cijfers laten zien. Vooral JP Morgan heeft het uitstekend gedaan, net als Goldman Sachs. De geweldige prestaties van JP Morgan schrijven de experts vooral toe aan de kwaliteiten van topman Jamie Dimon. Aangezien die tegen zijn pensioen aanloopt, is de vraag of z'n opvolger dezelfde prestaties kan leveren. Verder in de podcast onder andere aandacht voor de problemen bij Volkswagen, waarom de chipfabrikanten hun koersen zien dalen en veel cijfernieuws. Niet alleen van de Amerikaanse banken, maar natuurlijk ook van ASML en TSMC. Uiteraard behandelen we de luisteraarsvragen en geven de experts hun tips. Han tipt deze keer een Koreaans bedrijf, Robbert tipt een Deens aandeel. Geniet van de podcast! Let op: alleen het eerste deel is vrij te beluisteren. Wil je de hele podcast (luisteraarsvragen en tips) horen, wordt dan Premium lid van BeursTalk. Dat kost slechts 9,95 per maand, 99 euro voor een heel jaar. Abonneren kan hier!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

NY to ZH Täglich: Börse & Wirtschaft aktuell
KI-Abverkauf zu übertrieben? | New York to Zürich Täglich

NY to ZH Täglich: Börse & Wirtschaft aktuell

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2026 17:46 Transcription Available


Die Wall Street startet mit deutlichen Verlusten, kann sich aber von den Tiefs erholen. Im Mittelpunkt steht nicht der Konflikt mit Iran, sondern der abrupte Stimmungsumschwung im KI-Sektor. Nach den enttäuschenden Kursreaktionen auf die Zahlen von Taiwan Semiconductor und ASML setzt sich der Ausverkauf bei Halbleiter und KI-Aktien weltweit fort. Zusätzlichen Druck erzeugt Moonshot AI: Das chinesische Start-up hat ein Open Source Modell vorgestellt, das laut Unternehmen mit den führenden KI-Systemen konkurrieren kann. Gleichzeitig wächst die Sorge, dass die milliardenschweren Investitionen in Rechenzentren ihren Höhepunkt erreichen könnten. Meta prüft offenbar, Rechenkapazitäten an Dritte zu vermieten, Apple arbeitet daran, KI-Modelle direkt auf iPhones lauffähig zu machen, und die Diskussion über mögliche Überkapazitäten gewinnt an Dynamik. Netflix enttäuscht nachbörslich mit einem verhaltenen Ausblick für das dritte Quartal und einer nur moderaten Entwicklung der Nutzungsdauer, obwohl Umsatz und Gewinn im Rahmen der Erwartungen liegen. Dagegen überzeugen UnitedHealth, State Street und Regions Financial mit starken Quartalszahlen und angehobenen Jahresprognosen. Geopolitisch bleibt die Lage angespannt. Die Kämpfe zwischen den USA und Iran dauern an, doch Signale aus Washington sprechen weiterhin gegen eine größere militärische Eskalation. Anleger richten den Blick heute zudem auf die US-Industrieproduktion, das Verbrauchervertrauen der Universität Michigan und die Einzelhandelsumsätze, bevor in der kommenden Woche mit Tesla, Alphabet und IBM die Berichtssaison der großen Technologiekonzerne richtig Fahrt aufnimmt. Abonniere den Podcast, um keine Folge zu verpassen! ____ Folge uns, um auf dem Laufenden zu bleiben: • X: http://fal.cn/SQtwitter • LinkedIn: http://fal.cn/SQlinkedin • Instagram: http://fal.cn/SQInstagram

Wall Street mit Markus Koch
Wall Street: KI-Schock erfasst die Märkte

Wall Street mit Markus Koch

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2026 25:48 Transcription Available


Werbung | Exklusives Angebot für unsere Hörer: Testet Handelsblatt Premium 4 Wochen für 1 € und bleibt zu den Entwicklungen an den Finanz- und Aktienmärkten informiert. Mehr zum Vorteilsangebot der Handelsblatt-Fachmedien erfahrt ihr unter: www.handelsblatt.com/mehraktien Die Wall Street startet den Wochenausklang mit deutlichen Verlusten. Im Mittelpunkt steht nicht der Konflikt mit Iran, sondern der abrupte Stimmungsumschwung im KI Sektor. Nach den enttäuschenden Kursreaktionen auf die Zahlen von Taiwan Semiconductor und ASML setzt sich der Ausverkauf bei Halbleiter und KI Aktien weltweit fort. Zusätzlichen Druck erzeugt Moonshot AI: Das chinesische Start-up hat ein Open Source Modell vorgestellt, das laut Unternehmen mit den führenden KI Systemen konkurrieren kann. Gleichzeitig wächst die Sorge, dass die milliardenschweren Investitionen in Rechenzentren ihren Höhepunkt erreichen könnten. Meta prüft offenbar, Rechenkapazitäten an Dritte zu vermieten, Apple arbeitet daran, KI Modelle direkt auf iPhones lauffähig zu machen, und die Diskussion über mögliche Überkapazitäten gewinnt an Dynamik. Netflix enttäuscht nachbörslich mit einem verhaltenen Ausblick für das dritte Quartal und einer nur moderaten Entwicklung der Nutzungsdauer, obwohl Umsatz und Gewinn im Rahmen der Erwartungen liegen. Dagegen überzeugen UnitedHealth, State Street und Regions Financial mit starken Quartalszahlen und angehobenen Jahresprognosen. Geopolitisch bleibt die Lage angespannt. Die Kämpfe zwischen den USA und Iran dauern an, doch Signale aus Washington sprechen weiterhin gegen eine größere militärische Eskalation. Anleger richten den Blick heute zudem auf die US Industrieproduktion, das Verbrauchervertrauen der Universität Michigan und die Einzelhandelsumsätze, bevor in der kommenden Woche mit Tesla, Alphabet und IBM die Berichtssaison der großen Technologiekonzerne richtig Fahrt aufnimmt. Ein Podcast - featured by Handelsblatt. ► Entdecke den exklusiven NordVPN Deal! Jetzt risikofrei testen mit einer 30-Tage-Geld-zurück-Garantie: https://nordvpn.com/wallstreet * ► Direkt an der Börse handeln mit tradegate.direct: https://bit.ly/WallStreet_Juni * ► Erhalte einen exklusiven 15% Rabatt auf Saily eSIM Datentarife! Lade die Saily-App herunter und benutze den Code wallstreet beim Bezahlen: https://saily.com/wallstreet * +++ Alle Rabattcodes und Infos zu unseren Werbepartnern findet ihr hier: https://linktr.ee/wallstreet_podcast +++ Impressum: https://www.360wallstreet.de/impressum *Werbung

Yaron Brook Show
Iran; ICE; Jones Act; DST; Data Centers; Recycling; Dugin; PayPal; Achievement | Yaron Brook Show

Yaron Brook Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 102:02 Transcription Available


Live July 15, 2026 | Yaron Brook Show(Season 12, Episode 124)Iran; ICE; Jones Act; DST; Data Centers; Recycling; Dugin; PayPal; Achievement | Yaron Brook ShowIran Escalates, America Stalls, AI Booms—Why the Biggest Threat May Be Our Own Bad Ideas Is America making the right strategic choices—or is it being undermined by bad economics, bad politics, and even worse philosophy?This Yaron Brook Show connects the dots between the biggest stories shaping our future—from Iran and ICE to AI, energy, PayPal, data centers, and the ideas driving today's political movements.Yaron examines America's strategy toward Iran, the debate over immigration enforcement, why the century-old Jones Act continues to damage Puerto Rico and the U.S. economy, and how Congress manages to ignore exploding national debt while obsessing over daylight saving time.The conversation then shifts to artificial intelligence, New York's proposed data center moratorium, ASML's outlook, California's latest recycling regulations, and why abundant energy—not government restrictions—will determine America's technological future.Yaron also explores Alexander Dugin's strange celebration of "success," Stripe's reported interest in PayPal, encouraging new research showing declining dementia rates, and what these stories reveal about innovation, achievement, and the moral foundations of a free society.The live Q&A tackles CIA involvement in Iran's 1953 coup, the disturbing normalization of extremist politics, the future of the New Right, the economic lessons of Hong Kong and Singapore, the absence of Objectivism in universities, altruism's cultural dominance, entrepreneurship, philosophy, and much more.If you enjoy deep analysis of politics, economics, philosophy, technology, and current events from an Objectivist perspective, subscribe and join the conversation.Watch now: https://youtube.com/live/1vg0_HzRexATimestamps00:00 Introduction • England vs. Argentina & World Cup preview05:39 Iran strategy: Is America getting it right?15:01 ICE, crime, and policing in America21:07 The Jones Act's hidden economic costs29:15 Natural gas exports and Puerto Rico35:39 Daylight Saving Time debate45:15 Congress, spending, and the national debt47:12 New York's data center moratorium49:43 AI's future and the U.S. economy53:41 California's recycling crackdown58:44 Alexander Dugin on "success"1:01:59 Stripe, PayPal, and fintech disruption1:06:20 ASML, AI chips, and global demand1:09:04 Why dementia rates are falling1:14:19 Upcoming events & show schedule1:17:35 Alex Epstein, energy & data centersLive Audience Questions1:17:51 Was the 1953 Iran coup justified—or built on fabricated intelligence?1:23:29 Why would Hunter Biden interview Nick Fuentes?1:30:04 Does the New Right have a future after James Fishback?1:31:03 Why did Hong Kong and Singapore succeed despite limited political freedom?1:35:04 Is Objectivism disappearing from universities?1:35:15 Why haven't Africa and South America produced major philosophers?1:36:17 Why is altruism treated as beyond criticism?1:36:52 Where are today's Objectivist entrepreneurs?1:39:00 Are Americans becoming more altruistic?1:39:27 How can irrational people become enormously successful?#Iran #ArtificialIntelligence #ICE #Economics #Capitalism #Objectivism #EnergyPolicy #PayPal #Politics #Immigration #Inflation Subscribe for daily analysis on economics, politics, philosophy, technology, investing, and current events.The Yaron Brook Show is Sponsored by[The Ayn Rand Institute](https://www.aynrand.org/starthere)[Energy Talking Points, featuring AlexAI, by Alex Epstein](https://alexepstein.substack.com/)[Express VPN](https://www.expressvpn.com/yaron)[Hendershott Wealth Management](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4lfC...) &(https://hendershottwealth.com/ybs/)[Michael Williams & The Defenders of Capitalism Project](https://www.DefendersOfCapitalism.com)[Support the Show]( / yaronbrookshow )[Sponsor the Show](askyaron@yaronbrookshow.com/)[One-time donation](https://bit.ly/2RZOyJJ)Join the [Yaron Brook Show YouTube channel]( / @yaronbrook )Like what you hear? Like, share, and subscribe to stay updated on new videos and help promote the [Yaron Brook Show](https://bit.ly/3ztPxTx)Continue the discussion by following Yaron on [Twitter](https://bit.ly/3iMGl6z) and [Facebook](https://bit.ly/3vvWDDC )Want to learn more about Ayn Rand and Objectivism? Visit the [Ayn Rand Institute](https://bit.ly/35qoEC3)Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/yaron-brook-show--3276901/support.Yaron is the executive chairman of the Ayn Rand Institute and a world class speaker. He is the coauthor of the national best-seller Free Market Revolution: How Ayn Rand's Ideas Can End Big Government, Equal is Unfair: America's Misguided Fight Against Income Inequality and In Pursuit of Wealth: The Moral Case for Finance. He speaks around the world on a variety of topics including the morality of capitalism, Ayn Rand and her philosophy, finance and economics, and the value of inequality.

The Canadian Investor
PayPal Gets a Buyout Offer, Aritzia Crushes Earnings, and ASML Rides the AI Memory Boom

The Canadian Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 52:49


In this episode of The Canadian Investor Podcast, we start with a quick look at the Bank of Canada’s latest rate decision and why the central bank is keeping policy steady while balancing economic weakness with inflation risks. We then dive into the reported buyout offer for PayPal from Stripe and Advent International, why the market appears skeptical the deal will go through, and whether the offer undervalues PayPal given its free cash flow. We also look at Lucid’s financial struggles, its cash burn, and why EV startups remain such difficult businesses to scale. From there, we break down another strong quarter from Aritzia, including impressive growth in the U.S., strong comparable sales, expanding gross margins, and why the company continues to stand out in retail. We also discuss MTY Food Group’s difficult quarter, its strategic review, and what slowing consumer traffic means for restaurant franchises. Finally, we cover Pepsi’s struggles with pricing and private-label competition, IBM’s surprise preliminary results and why the stock sold off sharply, and ASML’s strong quarter as AI-related demand drives spending on memory, lithography systems, and semiconductor capacity. Tickers discussed: PYPL, SQ, LCID, ATZ.TO, MTY.TO, PEP, KO, IBM, ASML, MU, TSM, NVDA Subscribe to Our New Youtube Channel! Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Fiscal.ai for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast
Charles' Take: Buy the Semiconductor Dip or Run for Cover?

Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 7:06


Charles Payne is joined by Jessica Inskip, Director of Investor Research at Stockbrokers.com, to discuss how post-earnings sell-offs and overseas leverage are driving current market volatility. They explore buying opportunities for long-term investors amid pullbacks in semiconductor leaders like ASML, Micron, and Taiwan Semiconductor, while also assessing shifting software and hardware demands and noting potential headline risks in upcoming mergers and acquisitions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-16-26 Semiconductor Warning as Markets Climb | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 5:15


Markets continue to grind higher after breaking out of a multi-week consolidation pattern, with resistance near previous highs still in focus. Technical trends remain constructive as buy signals stay intact and moving averages continue rising, but momentum is becoming increasingly stretched as markets approach overbought territory. The bigger story is happening beneath the surface. Leadership rotated sharply on Wednesday as investors moved back into Mega Cap technology names like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon while semiconductor stocks suffered broad selling pressure despite ASML's earnings. With the semiconductor sector breaking below key technical support, investors should watch closely to see whether this is simply a healthy consolidation or the beginning of a larger topping pattern. Lance Roberts examines the technical outlook for the S&P 500, the developing head-and-shoulders pattern in semiconductor stocks, why the 50- and 100-day moving averages matter, and whether slowing earnings growth expectations could signal a shift in market leadership. We also discuss the potential for a reflex rally in chip stocks and what investors should monitor before making portfolio adjustments. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/9PJPUe3i390 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Are BDCs Ignoring Junk Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bdcs-ignoring-junk-bonds/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis

Die Krypto Show - Blockchain, Bitcoin und Kryptowährungen klar und einfach erklärt
#1173 ASML mit Bomben-Earnings, trotzdem tiefrot im Chip-Sektor: Was das für nächste Woche heißt (Daily Snippet)

Die Krypto Show - Blockchain, Bitcoin und Kryptowährungen klar und einfach erklärt

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 4:38


Daily Snippet vom 16.07.2026 ASML hat gestern zweistellig geschlagen, bei Umsatz und bei Gewinn. In einer normalen Phase wäre die Aktie 20 bis 25 Prozent gestiegen und hätte den ganzen Sektor mitgerissen. Stattdessen schloss sie nur knapp im Plus. Warum genau das zum Warnsignal für Chips, KI und Memory wurde, ordne ich im heutigen Snippet ein.

Alles auf Aktien
Das ASML-Paradoxon und eine vielsagende Lieblings-ETF-Liste

Alles auf Aktien

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 25:30 Transcription Available


In der heutigen Folge sprechen die Finanzjournalisten Nando Sommerfeldt und Holger Zschäpitz über neue Paypal-Fantasie, die unterschätzte Apple-Rallye und die Antwort auf die Frage: Kann ein Atommüll-Staatsfonds auch Rente? Außerdem geht es um Samsung Electronics, Micron Technology, IBM, SK Hynix, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, PayPal Holdings, Block, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, BASF, Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes-Benz Group, Richemont, Kering, LVMH, Hermès, Burberry, TSMC, Netflix, ABB, Abbott Laboratories, GE Aerospace, Intuitive Surgical, UnitedHealth Group, Alcoa, United Airlines Holdings, BHP, ING Group, Smartbroker Holding, AMD, Broadcom, Nvidia, Viasat, AST SpaceMobile, Rocket Lab, Planet Labs, EchoStar, SpaceX, Amundi Global Luxury UCITS ETF (WKN: A2H564), Boreas S&P Absolute Luxury UCITS ETF (WKN: A412DN), iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF (WKN: A0RPWH), Xtrackers MSCI World UCITS ETF 1C (WKN: A1XB5U), SPDR MSCI ACWI ETF (WKN: A1JJTC), iShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETF (WKN: A111X9), VanEck Semiconductor UCITS ETF (WKN: A2QC5J), Amundi MSCI Semiconductors UCITS ETF (WKN: LYX018), VanEck Space Innovators UCITS ETF (WKN: A3DP9J), Global X Copper Miners UCITS ETF (WKN: A3C7FZ), Global X Silver Miners UCITS ETF (WKN: A3DC8R), VanEck Uranium and Nuclear Technologies ETF (WKN: A3D47K), iShares Global Clean Energy ETF (WKN: A0MW0M). Wir freuen uns an Feedback über aaa@welt.de. Noch mehr "Alles auf Aktien" findet Ihr bei WELTplus und Apple Podcasts – inklusive aller Artikel der Hosts. Hier bei WELT: https://www.welt.de/podcasts/alles-auf-aktien/plus247399208/Boersen-Podcast-AAA-Bonus-Folgen-Jede-Woche-noch-mehr-Antworten-auf-Eure-Boersen-Fragen.html. Hier könnt ihr den AAA-Newsletter abonnieren: https://www.welt.de/newsletter/article232797673/Alles-auf-Aktien-Der-taegliche-Boersen-Newsletter-fuer-WELTplus-Abonnenten.html Und – ganz neu: AAA gibt es jetzt auch auf Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/alles_auf_aktien/ Disclaimer: Die im Podcast besprochenen Aktien und Fonds stellen keine spezifischen Kauf- oder Anlage-Empfehlungen dar. Die Moderatoren und der Verlag haften nicht für etwaige Verluste, die aufgrund der Umsetzung der Gedanken oder Ideen entstehen. Hörtipps: Für alle, die noch mehr wissen wollen: Holger Zschäpitz können Sie jede Woche im Finanz- und Wirtschaftspodcast "Deffner&Zschäpitz" hören. +++ Werbung +++ Du möchtest mehr über unsere Werbepartner erfahren? Hier findest du alle Infos & Rabatte! https://linktr.ee/alles_auf_aktien *Anzeige: Eight Sleep: Der Pod 5 reguliert die Temperatur im Bett automatisch, trackt Schlaf- und Gesundheitswerte ohne Wearable und kann so zu besserem Schlaf beitragen. Mit dem Code ALLESAUFAKTIEN erhaltet ihr auf https://www.eightsleep.com/allesaufaktien bis zu 350 Euro Rabatt.* Impressum: https://www.welt.de/services/article7893735/Impressum.html Datenschutz: https://www.welt.de/services/article157550705/Datenschutzerklaerung-WELT-DIGITAL.html

VC10X - Venture Capital Podcast
VC10X Pulse - ASML Earnings: The Biggest AI Signal This Week

VC10X - Venture Capital Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 3:33


ASML may have delivered the most important earnings report of the week for semiconductor investors.The company raised its full-year sales guidance again, reported a sharp increase in memory-related revenue, and announced plans to expand EUV lithography production by around 30% annually in 2027 and 2028.While the headlines focused on ASML, the implications extend far beyond one company.In this episode, we break down why ASML's latest results reinforce the broader AI infrastructure story—and what they mean for companies across the semiconductor supply chain.⭐ Sponsored by Podcast10x - Podcasting agency for VCs - https://podcast10x.comKey topics we explore:– Why ASML is one of the most important companies in the AI ecosystem– What the latest earnings reveal about global semiconductor demand– Why memory-related revenue surged and what it says about HBM demand– How strong EUV orders reinforce the long-term AI infrastructure buildout– The read-through for Nvidia, TSMC, Micron, SK hynix, and other semiconductor leaders– Why investors should watch semiconductor equipment companies as closely as AI chip designersThe bigger question:If the AI infrastructure boom were slowing, would ASML be raising guidance and expanding production capacity?For investors, ASML's earnings provide another important data point that demand for advanced semiconductor manufacturing—and the AI infrastructure powering it—remains robust.LINKSPrashant Choubey - ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/choubeysahab⁠Subscribe to VC10X newsletter - ⁠https://vc10x.beehiiv.com⁠Subscribe on YouTube - ⁠https://youtube.com/@VC10X⁠Subscribe on Apple Podcasts - ⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/vc10x-investing-venture-capital-asset-management-private/id1632806986⁠Subscribe on Spotify - ⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/7F7KEhXNhTx1bKTBFgzv3k?si=WgQ4ozMiQJ-6nowj6wBgqQ⁠VC10X website - ⁠https://vc10x.com⁠For sponsorship queries reach out to prashantchoubey3@gmail.comThis channel is for asset managers, allocators, and investors who want analysis that holds up—not headlines dressed as insight.Subscribe for weekly data-driven breakdowns of the forces reshaping capital markets.#ASML #Semiconductors #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Nvidia #TSMC #Micron #SKHynix #HBM #EUV #ChipStocks #Investing #TechStocks #VC10X #Finance #VentureCapital #DataCenters #SemiconductorEquipment #WallStreet #Markets

Beurswatch | BNR
Oepsie! Prosus creëert eigen monsterconcurrent

Beurswatch | BNR

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 22:57


Na een spetterend begin lijkt Space X terug bij af. Het ruimtevaartbedrijf van Elon Musk schommelt een maand na de beursgang weer rond de $135. Is dat te wijten aan een milde afstraffing van tech, of is er meer aan de hand? En is dit een kans voor alle beleggers die bij de IPO naast de pot piesten om alsnog in te stappen? En het zal niet zijn geweest wat ze voor ogen hadden bij Prosus, toen ze Just Eat overnamen: het creëren van een extra grote concurrent. Toch is dat wat er is gebeurd: Prosus moest gedwongen afstand doen van hun andere belang, dat in maaltijdbezorger Delivery Hero. och is het gebeurd. Uber koopt heel Delivery Hero op voor 'n kleine 15 miljard dollar, en wordt zo de grootste maaltijdbezorger buiten China. Wat betekent dat voor Prosus - en voor Uber?!Verder in deze aflevering:- De uitstekende kwartaalcijfers van TSMC- Zaken gaan goed bij Nedap- Apple krijgt toestemming om Apple Intelligence uit te rollen in China- Stijging van het aantal aan AI-bedrijven gerichte bedreigingen- Eli Lilly gaat in de psychedelica- De rechtszaakhattrick bij Paramount Te gast: Martine Hafkamp van Fintessa Vermogensbeheer BNR Beurs is een journalistiek onafhankelijke productie, mede mogelijk gemaakt door Saxo. Over de makers: Jelle Maasbach is presentator van BNR Beurs en freelance financieel journalist. Zijn favoriete aandeel om over te praten is Disney, maar daar lijkt hij de enige in te zijn. Sinds de eerste uitzending van BNR Beurs is 'ie er bij. Maxim van Mil is presentator van BNR Beurs en journalist bij BNR, waar hij zich focust op de financiële markten en ontwikkelingen in de tech-wereld. Je krijgt hem het meest enthousiast als hij kan praten over ASML, of oer-Hollandse bedrijven zoals Ahold of ABN Amro. Jorik Simonides is presentator van BNR Beurs, economieredacteur en verslaggever bij BNR. Hij wordt er vooral blij van als het een keer níet over AI gaat. Je hoort hem ook in de BNR-podcast Moerdijk: dorp van de rekening. Milou Brand is presentator van BNR Beurs, freelance podcastmaker en columnist bij het Financieele Dagblad. Jochem Visser is presentator van BNR Beurs, maakt Beursnerd XL en is redacteur bij de podcast Onder Curatoren. Vraag hem naar obscure zaken op financiële markten en hij vertelt je waarom het eigenlijk nóg leuker is dan je al dacht. Over de podcast: Met BNR Beurs ga je altijd voorbereid de nieuwe beursdag in. We praten je in een kleine 25 minuten bij over alle laatste ontwikkelingen op de handelsvloer. We blijven niet alleen bij de AEX of Wall Street, maar vertellen je ook waar nog meer kansen liggen. En we houden het niet bij de cijfers, maar zoeken ook iedere dag voor je naar duiding van scherpe gasten en experts. Of je nu een ervaren belegger bent of net begint met je eerste stappen op de beurs, de podcast biedt waardevolle inzichten voor je beleggingsstrategie. Door de focus op zowel de korte termijn als de lange termijn, helpt BNR Beurs luisteraars om de ruis van de markt te scheiden van de essentie.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

OHNE AKTIEN WIRD SCHWER - Tägliche Börsen-News
PayPal-Übernahme. ASML & BlackRock boomen. Buffett hat Alphabet gekauft. Hello Kitty mit Sanrio.

OHNE AKTIEN WIRD SCHWER - Tägliche Börsen-News

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 14:50


Unser Partner Scalable Capital ist der einzige Broker, den deine Familie zum Traden braucht. Bei Scalable Capital gibt's nämlich auch Kinderdepots. Alle weiteren Infos gibt's hier: scalable.capital/oaws. BlackRock knackt 15 Bio. $ Vermögen. ASML hebt Prognose an. Richemont wächst doppelt so schnell wie erwartet. Morgan Stanley sammelt 148 Mrd. $ ein. Buffett hatte die Alphabet-Idee. Alibaba steckt in Apple Intelligence China.  Aehr Test Systems. wächst. Hello Kitty hat seit den 70ern über 80 Mrd. $ umgesetzt. Die Firma dahinter heißt Sanrio (WKN: 866933) und kassiert bei jedem Deal Lizenzgebühren. Nach 30% Kursrückgang liegt das KGV bei 22. Lego, Warner Bros. und ein neues Videospiel stehen an. Stripe will zusammen mit Advent PayPal (WKN: A14R7U) für rund 50 Mrd. $ kaufen. Bei 5 Mrd. $ Gewinn klingt das günstig. Aktie ist über 10% hoch. Ob Kartellbehörden mitspielen, ist offen. Robinhood startet eigene Blockchain, handelt 3 Mrd. $ in wenigen Tagen. Diesen Podcast vom 16.07.2026, 3:00 Uhr stellt dir die Podstars GmbH (Noah Leidinger) zur Verfügung. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Capital, la Bolsa y la Vida
Consultorio de Bolsa con Javiero Alfayate

Capital, la Bolsa y la Vida

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 23:01


El gestor de fondos del Grupo Link analiza los títulos de IAG, ASML, ACS, BBVA, CaixaBank, Enagás e Indra, entre otros

WSJ Minute Briefing
Tech Stocks Rise on ASML Earnings

WSJ Minute Briefing

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 2:30


Plus: Chinese AI developer DeepSeek prepares for an IPO in Shanghai as early as next year. And Hollywood writers sue to block Paramount's $81 billion takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery. Daniel Bach hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

La ContraCrónica
El desplome de IBM

La ContraCrónica

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 53:18


Este martes la acción de IBM se desplomó más de un 25% en una sola jornada. La masacre ha sido de tal calibre que ha superado incluso su anterior plusmarca, que se produjo el 19 de octubre de 1987, una fecha que ha pasado a la historia de la Bolsa como Lunes Negro. En aquel entonces IBM se hundió junto a todo el mercado, esta vez se ha hundido prácticamente sola. Unos 67.000 millones de dólares de capitalización se evaporaron en unas horas y sus directivos entraron en modo de máxima alerta . El detonante fue una simple carta. Arvind Krishna, consejero delegado de la empresa desde hace 6 años, adelantó a los inversores los resultados preliminares del segundo trimestre, algo que no estaba obligado a publicar hasta el 22 de julio, pero que decidió hacerlo una semana antes. Informaba de unos ingresos de 17.200 millones, ligeramente por encima de lo previsto, y un beneficio por acción ajustado de 2,93 dólares frente a los 3 que se esperaban. Nada especialmente llamativo de primeras, salvo por una frase concreta en la que Krishna reconocía que las cosas habían ido peor de lo previsto y de lo que él mismo había vaticinado hace solo unos meses. Krishna no hablaba de una empresa que esté perdiendo clientes, sino una empresa cuyos clientes gastan el dinero en otra cosa. Con la memoria disparada de precio, los directores de sistemas de otras empresas están priorizando la compra de memoria por encima de otros gastos de capital. Un contrato de software se puede aplazar al mes de octubre, un lote de módulos de memoria quizá ya no esté disponible o lo esté a un precio mucho mayor. El software se ha convertido así en la variable de ajuste. No se cancela su compra, se aplaza, pero el trimestre perdido está perdido para siempre. La prueba la encontramos en la cotización de empresas que se dedican a la fabricación de memoria. SK Hynix subió casi un 9% tras poner en producción su módulo HBM4 de 12 capas, Samsung y Kioxia ganaron un 6%, y ASML, que fabrica las máquinas que hacen chips, también subió. En definitiva, que cada dólar que no fue a una licencia de IBM se fue a un módulo de memoria. La cuestión es que, en contratos de software, IBM ha crecido un 5%, aproximadamente la la mitad de lo prometido. Pero lo problemático no es eso, sino que la venta de servidores se ha contraído un 7% cuando la propia compañía había previsto un 1%. IBM no tiene una crisis de costes, que podría arreglarse con un plan de ajuste, sino de demanda, algo que depende de terceros. No es, además, la primera sacudida bursátil que sufren este año. El 23 de febrero la acción cayó un 13% tras anunciar Anthropic que Claude Code podía mapear y documentar bases de código COBOL en pocas semanas. Ahí lo que peligra son las horas facturables en un negocio que aporta a IBM unos 5.000 millones cada trimestre. Otras empresas dedicadas a negocios parecidos como Workday, ServiceNow, Salesforce y Accenture también han bajado sin que ninguna de ellas publicase nota alguna. Es lo que los inversores han bautizado como “SaaSpocalipsis”, el apocalipsis de las empresas de software como servicio. IBM tiene el problema añadido de que su software va atado a su hardware. Si la tendencia persiste tendrán que tomar medidas serias, tanto como reinventarse de nuevo, algo que IBM ha hecho ya varias veces. En La ContraRéplica: 0:00 Introducción 3:57 El desplome de IBM 32:09 El cociente intelectual y las etnias 43:31 Propiedad de los videojuegos 47:53 Las consolas de Steam · Canal de Telegram: https://t.me/lacontracronica · “Contra el pesimismo”… https://amzn.to/4m1RX2R · “Hispanos. Breve historia de los pueblos de habla hispana”… https://amzn.to/428js1G · “La ContraHistoria del comunismo”… https://amzn.to/39QP2KE · “La ContraHistoria de España. Auge, caída y vuelta a empezar de un país en 28 episodios”… https://amzn.to/3kXcZ6i · “Contra la Revolución Francesa”… https://amzn.to/4aF0LpZ · “Lutero, Calvino y Trento, la Reforma que no fue”… https://amzn.to/3shKOlK Apoya La Contra en: · Patreon... https://www.patreon.com/diazvillanueva · iVoox... https://www.ivoox.com/podcast-contracronica_sq_f1267769_1.html · Paypal... https://www.paypal.me/diazvillanueva Sígueme en: · Web... https://diazvillanueva.com · Twitter... https://twitter.com/diazvillanueva · Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/fernandodiazvillanueva1/ · Instagram... https://www.instagram.com/diazvillanueva · Linkedin… https://www.linkedin.com/in/fernando-d%C3%ADaz-villanueva-7303865/ · Flickr... https://www.flickr.com/photos/147276463@N05/?/ · Pinterest... https://www.pinterest.com/fernandodiazvillanueva Encuentra mis libros en: · Amazon... https://www.amazon.es/Fernando-Diaz-Villanueva/e/B00J2ASBXM #FernandoDiazVillanueva #ibm #ia Escucha el episodio completo en la app de iVoox, o descubre todo el catálogo de iVoox Originals

Schwab Market Update Audio
Morgan Stanley, ASML Ahead as PPI Data, Warsh Loom

Schwab Market Update Audio

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 9:55


With the main surge of bank earnings over, investors face Morgan Stanley today along with chip infrastructure firm ASML. PPI follows a light CPI and Warsh continues testimony. Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The {securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions. For illustrative purpose(s) only. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please seeschwab.com/indexdefinitions. The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party. Digital currencies [such as bitcoin] are highly volatile and not backed by any central bank or government. Digital currencies lack many of the regulations and consumer protections that legal-tender currencies and regulated securities have. Due to the high level of risk, investors should view digital currencies as a purely speculative instrument. Cryptocurrency-related products carry a substantial level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Investments in cryptocurrencies are relatively new, highly speculative, and may be subject to extreme price volatility, illiquidity, and increased risk of loss, including your entire investment in the fund. Spot markets on which cryptocurrencies trade are relatively new and largely unregulated, and therefore, may be more exposed to fraud and security breaches than established, regulated exchanges for other financial assets or instruments. Some cryptocurrency-related products use futures contracts to attempt to duplicate the performance of an investment in cryptocurrency, which may result in unpredictable pricing, higher transaction costs, and performance that fails to track the price of the reference cryptocurrency as intended. Please read more about risks of trading cryptocurrency futures here. Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Schwab does not recommend the use of technical analysis as a sole means of investment research. The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC. Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB. (0131-0726) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

FactSet Evening Market Recap
Evening Market Recap - Wednesday, 15-Jul

FactSet Evening Market Recap

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 7:44


US equities were higher in Wednesday trading. Breadth was positive, though the equal-weight (RSP) trailed the cap-weighted index by over 50 bp. Momentum was under pressure again as SOX reversed its Tuesday's gains, with no help from positive ASML results.

The Financial Exchange Show
AI Spending Starts to Strain Big Tech's Business Case

The Financial Exchange Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 38:31 Transcription Available


AI spending is still powering parts of the market, but IBM's warning raises a bigger question about whether companies can keep funding the boom without cutting elsewhere.Chuck Zodda and Marc Fandetti break down why a flood of stock and bond issuance is testing investor appetite, how IBM's earnings warning highlights the pressure AI spending is putting on older software and consulting businesses, and why hyperscalers may eventually need to prove that AI can replace labor rather than simply assist workers. They also discuss ASML's stronger outlook, why the Magnificent Seven have struggled despite earnings growth, what to watch for if data center spending slows, and Todd Lutsky's explanation of what the Medicaid application process really requires.

TD Ameritrade Network
Stock Market Today: ASML Earnings, AI Memory Slides & PYPL Takeover Buzz

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 1:47


Tech Markets saw major moves as ASML Holding (ASML) delivered a strong earnings beat and guidance raise on AI driven chip equipment demand. AI memory stocks faced pressure from rising Chinese competition. PayPal (PYPL) jumped after reports of a potential $53 billion acquisition offer. Sam Vadas takes investors through the top stories of the trading session. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

TD Ameritrade Network
ASML Earnings "Couldn't be Any Better," How it Shakes Up Volatile AI Chip Trade

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 6:02


Logan Gilland and Nick Raich discuss their takeaways from ASML (ASML) earnings and what they mean for AI semiconductor stocks. They talk about what the report signals for the AI chip trade, with Nick making the case that the earnings couldn't have come in any better.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

TD Ameritrade Network
What ASML Earnings Means for AMAT, Chip Manufacturers & AI Memory

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 6:32


Matt Dmytryszyn talks about what ASML's (ASML) earnings beat means for the greater AI chip trade. He says ASML Holding intends to raise prices for chipmaking equipment, which can impact companies like Applied Materials (AMAT), Lam Research (LRCX), and KLA Corp. (KLAC). Matt also touches on CapEx spending plans and ways the AI memory trade ties into chip manufacturers. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

TD Ameritrade Network
ASML Gains After First Half of the Year

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 5:20


Marley Kayden walks us through ASML Holding's (ASML) strong first half of the year. She says the company gained after beating on earnings and is planning a 30% capacity expansion in each of the next two years. Scott Bauer offers an example options trade for ASML Holding.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

options ios gains first half sling asml vizio scott bauer market minute asml holding
TD Ameritrade Network
ASML Adds AI Strength Where IBM Shows Weakness, PYPL Sees $53B Buy Offer

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 11:39


Strong earnings kicking off the earnings season face headwinds with rising tensions between the U.S. and Iran. As crude oil hovers around $80, Tom White talks about the key headlines investors should watch for. While momentum in software stocks came to a grinding halt following IBM Corp.'s (IBM) preliminary earnings, ASML (ASML) posted a beat and raise that sparked much needed life into the AI trade. Tom also notes Morgan Stanley's (MS) earnings and a tentative PayPal (PYPL) buyout. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Chit Chat Money
A Primer On Investing In Semiconductors (History, Supply Chain, Big Winners) - $TSM $ASML $CDNS

Chit Chat Money

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 72:09


On this episode of Chit Chat Stocks, Brett and Ryan dive into the semiconductor industry to give an introductory overview of the sector, including multiple stock case studies. We discuss: (00:00) Introduction (04:04) What Is a Semiconductor? Basic Explanation and Analogy (15:11) History (19:54) Industry Cycles, Leading Companies, and Market Dynamics (30:09) Case Study: ASML and EUV Lithography Machines (38:03) Case Study: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) and Advanced Nodes (53:00) Cadence Design Systems and Semiconductor Software (01:08:13) Listener Questions ***************************************************** Subscribe to our newsletter, Emerging Moats: emergingmoats.com  ********************************************************************* Chit Chat Stocks is presented by Interactive Brokers. Get professional pricing, global access, and premier technology with the best brokerage for investors today:  https://www.interactivebrokers.com/  Interactive Brokers is a member of SIPC.  ********************************************************************* Fiscal.ai is building the future of financial data. With custom charts, AI-generated research reports, and endless analytical tools, you can get up to speed on any stock around the globe. All for a reasonable price.  Use our LINK and get 15% off any premium plan: ⁠https://fiscal.ai/chitchat  ********************************************************************* Disclosure: Chit Chat Stocks hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

WALL STREET COLADA
Inflación alivia el tape, $AAPL entra a China con IA, $PYPL salta 15% con oferta de adquisición y $AEHR dispara 30% con reservas récord

WALL STREET COLADA

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 3:51


SUMMARY DEL SHOW Futuros al alza este miércoles tras el dato de inflación más suave de lo esperado, con el NASDAQ liderando apoyado por ASML, que elevó su guía de ingresos para 2026 tras superar expectativas trimestrales. Apple Intelligence recibió luz verde en China para operar en iPhones con modelos de $BABA y $BIDU, un mercado que generó $20.5 Billones en ingresos para $AAPL el último trimestre. $PYPL salta cerca de 15% en premarket tras reportarse una oferta conjunta de Stripe y Advent International a $60.50 por acción, mientras $AEHR dispara 30% con reservas récord y proyecciones de ingresos casi triplicándose para 2027.

The Rundown
PayPal Gets a $53B Takeover Offer, ASML Says the AI Boom Is Accelerating

The Rundown

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 10:58


Market update for Wednesday July 15, 2026Check out the Public app for incredible investing tools and to support the show (LINK)Follow us on Instagram (@TheRundownDaily) for bonus content and instant reactions.In today's episode, Zaid covers:Why cooler CPI and PPI inflation data is easing fears of another Fed rate hikeKevin Warsh's promise of a “regime change” at the Federal ReserveASML's blowout earnings and what its order book says about the AI boomSamsung and DeepSeek could be among the next major AI-related companies headed to public marketsPayPal's $53 billion takeover offer Lucid's bankruptcy rumorWhy New York is temporarily blocking large data centers

Squawk Box Europe Express
ASML hikes FY outlook on strong AI-driven chip demand

Squawk Box Europe Express

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 26:53


ASML smashes Q2 estimates and hikes its FY guidance as huge A.I. demand offsets disappointing performance in the Chinese market. President Trump reverses his call for fees on tankers leaving the Strait of Hormuz under U.S. naval protection following investment pledges from GCC nations as a means of compensation. U.S. CPI slows more than expected as energy prices fall. Newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh makes his first Congressional appearance and promises to keep his position independent from the White House while bringing down inflation. In luxury news, Richemont enjoys a 20 per cent boost in sales, beating estimates from Q1 with strong growth seen across the Americas and Asia.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Alles auf Aktien
IBM-Implosion, Lucid-Ängste und eine klare AAA-Empfehlung

Alles auf Aktien

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 24:15 Transcription Available


In der heutigen Folge sprechen die Finanzjournalisten Nando Sommerfeldt und Holger Zschäpitz über den Dürre-Krisen-Indikator und machen einen Wall-Street-Banken-Exkurs. Außerdem geht es um Lucid, HCA Healthcare, Pentair, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, SpaceX, Uber, Evotec, Delivery Hero, ASML, BlackRock, BNY Mellon, Morgan Stanley, Johnson & Johnson, United Airlines, J.B. Hunt, Rio Tinto, Richemont, BASF, Covestro, Shell, Thyssenkrupp, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Evonik, Lanxess, Wacker Chemie, K+S, Nvidia, JPMorgan Global Equity Plus (ISIN: LU3351089811). Wir freuen uns an Feedback über aaa@welt.de. Noch mehr "Alles auf Aktien" findet Ihr bei WELTplus und Apple Podcasts – inklusive aller Artikel der Hosts. Hier bei WELT: https://www.welt.de/podcasts/alles-auf-aktien/plus247399208/Boersen-Podcast-AAA-Bonus-Folgen-Jede-Woche-noch-mehr-Antworten-auf-Eure-Boersen-Fragen.html. Hier könnt ihr den AAA-Newsletter abonnieren: https://www.welt.de/newsletter/article232797673/Alles-auf-Aktien-Der-taegliche-Boersen-Newsletter-fuer-WELTplus-Abonnenten.html Und – ganz neu: AAA gibt es jetzt auch auf Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/alles_auf_aktien/ Disclaimer: Die im Podcast besprochenen Aktien und Fonds stellen keine spezifischen Kauf- oder Anlage-Empfehlungen dar. Die Moderatoren und der Verlag haften nicht für etwaige Verluste, die aufgrund der Umsetzung der Gedanken oder Ideen entstehen. Hörtipps: Für alle, die noch mehr wissen wollen: Holger Zschäpitz können Sie jede Woche im Finanz- und Wirtschaftspodcast "Deffner&Zschäpitz" hören. +++ Werbung +++ Du möchtest mehr über unsere Werbepartner erfahren? Hier findest du alle Infos & Rabatte! https://linktr.ee/alles_auf_aktien *Anzeige: Eight Sleep: Der Pod 5 reguliert die Temperatur im Bett automatisch, trackt Schlaf- und Gesundheitswerte ohne Wearable und kann so zu besserem Schlaf beitragen. Mit dem Code ALLESAUFAKTIEN erhaltet ihr auf https://www.eightsleep.com/allesaufaktien bis zu 350 Euro Rabatt.* Impressum: https://www.welt.de/services/article7893735/Impressum.html Datenschutz: https://www.welt.de/services/article157550705/Datenschutzerklaerung-WELT-DIGITAL.html

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: NQ supported by ASML and SK Hynix strength, DXY and USTs lacklustre into PPI

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 2:02


US struck Iran overnight, Trump said they will do so again on Wednesday night. Adding, they will hit power plants and bridges next week unless Iran negotiates.IRGC targeted weapons/storage in Bahrain and Kuwait, US positions in Jordan and the Fifth Fleet Command HQ. Iran said it is a mistake to think military action will force them to talk.ASML (+3.7%) reported Q2 earnings that beat estimates while raising its FY guidance above analyst expectations. Additionally, the Co. announced a partnership with Intel (INTC) for high-volume production of Intel 18A logic products using High NA EUV.US equity futures are firmer across the board, with NQ supported by ASML and SK Hynix upside overnight.DXY and Fixed Income rangebound ahead of a busy speaker slate.Crude benchmarks eke out mild gains, with another round of US strikes tonight.Looking ahead, highlights include US PPI (Jun), BoC Policy Announcement (Jul), Fed Beige Book (Jul), Speakers including Fed's Williams, Musalem, Warsh & Cook, BoC Governor Macklem, BoE's Pill, Earnings from United Airlines, Johnson & Johnson, Morgan Stanley, PNC Financial Services, BNY Mellon.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Beurswatch | BNR
ASML in de clinch met eigen klanten? 'Prijzen van machines gaan omhoog'

Beurswatch | BNR

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 24:37


ASML heeft een extreem goed kwartaal achter de rug. De omzet steeg met 21 procent, de winst ging met 26 procent omhoog. Beide veel beter dan gedacht. Maar belangrijker, voor de tweede keer dit jaar gaat de omzetverwachting omhoog. Ook die verhoging was niet verwacht. Met al dat goede nieuws zou je denken: het aandeel gaat door het dak. Aanvankelijk leek het erop. Aan het begin van de beurshandel stond het aandeel zo'n 7 procent hoger, maar de koers zakte als een oude onderbroek. Deze aflevering kijken we waar dat pessimisme vandaan komt. Ook lopen we uitgebreid door de cijfers en de verwachtingen heen. Je hoort meer over het opschalen van de productie, over de orders en over de mogelijke aandelensplitsing. Gaat het ook over Stripe, de betaalverwerker. Dat is een Amerikaanse concurrent van Adyen die groeit door overnames. Nu willen ze de grootste overname uit hun geschiedenis doen: voor ruim 50 miljard het kwakkelende PayPal opkopen. Het lijkt een bedreiging voor Adyen, maar toch gaat dat aandeel opvallend goed op het nieuws. De Zuid-Koreaanse beurs komt ook langs. De beurs doet het dit jaar erg goed, maar heeft ook wat manische periodes. De koers schommelt nogal. Het gaat zo hard dat zelfs de president van het land ingrijpt! Te gast: Jordy Beuving van De Aandeelhouder BNR Beurs is een journalistiek onafhankelijke productie, mede mogelijk gemaakt door Saxo. Over de makers: Jelle Maasbach is presentator van BNR Beurs en freelance financieel journalist. Zijn favoriete aandeel om over te praten is Disney, maar daar lijkt hij de enige in te zijn. Sinds de eerste uitzending van BNR Beurs is 'ie er bij. Maxim van Mil is presentator van BNR Beurs en journalist bij BNR, waar hij zich focust op de financiële markten en ontwikkelingen in de tech-wereld. Je krijgt hem het meest enthousiast als hij kan praten over ASML, of oer-Hollandse bedrijven zoals Ahold of ABN Amro. Jorik Simonides is presentator van BNR Beurs, economieredacteur en verslaggever bij BNR. Hij wordt er vooral blij van als het een keer níet over AI gaat. Je hoort hem ook in de BNR-podcast Moerdijk: dorp van de rekening. Milou Brand is presentator van BNR Beurs, freelance podcastmaker en columnist bij het Financieele Dagblad. Jochem Visser is presentator van BNR Beurs, maakt Beursnerd XL en is redacteur bij de podcast Onder Curatoren. Vraag hem naar obscure zaken op financiële markten en hij vertelt je waarom het eigenlijk nóg leuker is dan je al dacht. Over de podcast: Met BNR Beurs ga je altijd voorbereid de nieuwe beursdag in. We praten je in een kleine 25 minuten bij over alle laatste ontwikkelingen op de handelsvloer. We blijven niet alleen bij de AEX of Wall Street, maar vertellen je ook waar nog meer kansen liggen. En we houden het niet bij de cijfers, maar zoeken ook iedere dag voor je naar duiding van scherpe gasten en experts. Of je nu een ervaren belegger bent of net begint met je eerste stappen op de beurs, de podcast biedt waardevolle inzichten voor je beleggingsstrategie. Door de focus op zowel de korte termijn als de lange termijn, helpt BNR Beurs luisteraars om de ruis van de markt te scheiden van de essentie.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Insigneo Talks
Inflación, Chips Imparables y una Oferta Sorprendente por PayPal

Insigneo Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 23:08


En el episodio de hoy Valentina Orduz y Juan Manuel de los Reyes hablaron sobre los datos del índice de precios al productor (PPI). Luego, los reportes corporativos de ASML y BlackRock. Por último cerraron con la oferta no solicitada de Stripe y Advent para comprar PayPal.

80,000 Hours Podcast with Rob Wiblin
#247 – Anton Leicht on how middle powers avoid losing everything in a post-AI world

80,000 Hours Podcast with Rob Wiblin

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2026 93:58


In a post-AGI world, can a country without access to frontier AI even be considered sovereign anymore?Anton Leicht says once frontier AI becomes a core economic input, the countries that own it will pull further and further ahead. Everyone else stays a customer… or worse. Maybe the dominant power wants your land, or a military base, or a resource. Without economic leverage, there's very little you could do about it.Anton — Carnegie fellow and writer of the blog Threading the Needle — thinks middle powers should band together and build their own frontier models.He's costed it out: something like $500 billion over four years for a band of allied democracies. That's not absurd money for the G7 minus the US. The problem is you'd be asking treasuries to take on sovereign debt for a speculative venture with no business case, wide open to US coercion and domestic backlash.So despite its promise, Anton's verdict is that it probably won't happen. His backup is for countries to ask themselves: if intelligence becomes abundant, what stays scarce?Upstream, that's everything that feeds the supply chain: ASML's lithography machines, chipmaking, exclusive training data — all of it gets more valuable as AI does.Downstream, “a country of geniuses in a data centre” still can't cure cancer without someone building the production plants and running the trials. The Europeans, Japanese, and South Koreans are good at exactly these real-world bottlenecks.It's an imperfect fix. The US would still hold more leverage, plus an incentive to re-industrialise and cut you out. The prize is avoiding the worst outcomes: a gradual but irreversible decline, waiting to be either annexed or discarded as the US and China race ahead.In this episode, Anton and host Tom Reed look at what middle powers should start doing now to keep a seat at the table.Learn more, video, and full transcript: https://80k.info/AL This episode was recorded on June 19, 2026.Chapters:Cold open (00:00:00)Who's Anton Leicht? (00:00:43)Most countries face bleak AI futures (00:01:06)How middle powers can strike AI deals (00:06:10)The $500 billion AI moonshot (00:12:16)Would the US crush allied AI? (00:24:54)When to launch the AI moonshot (00:31:56)Why AI dominance is forever (00:35:45)Is AI dependence catastrophic? (00:37:42)What's left to sell in an AI-dominated world? (00:42:45)Policies to avoid mass AI-layoffs (00:47:47)Who really governs Anthropic? (01:08:29)Why “pausing superintelligence” fails (01:10:52)Is American AI monopoly safe? (01:21:08)Explaining AGI to the world (01:28:40)Is Anton bullish or bearish on Germany? (01:31:05)Our production team includes:Video editors: Josh Alward, Dominic Armstrong, Ollie Bignell, Andrés Escobar, Jasper Luithlen, Milo McGuire, Luke Monsour, and Simon MonsourProducers: Elizabeth Cox and Nick StocktonCoordination and support: Katy Moore and Lou MoranCamera operator: Jeremy ChevillotteMusic: CORBIT

聽天下:天下雜誌Podcast
【經濟學人@天下 Ep.264】孩子真的國家養!川普幫嬰兒買千元美股,是盲目砸錢還是緩解AI焦慮?

聽天下:天下雜誌Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2026 70:35


川普宣布一項新政策,為在2025年至2028年間出生的新生兒,提供補助1000美元投入美股。《經濟學人》點出,政策表面上看充滿裙帶政治,背後是針對AI瘋狂擴張、科技巨頭壟斷資源後的避險手段。當未來AI消滅總體勞動需求,民眾面臨找不到工作的生存危機,這項政策等於為底層薪水變相縮水買保險。 另外,《經濟學人》本週封面故事聚焦在俄羅斯,這個國家因為戰事陷入泥淖。俄羅斯「化肥之王」梅爾尼琴科罕見批評,普丁獨裁體制會把國家拖入深淵。凸現了菁英集體焦慮,若無法逼迫一黨專政分權改革,最終將變相壓縮國民的生存空間。 【聽完這集你會知道】 23:50|日本在把北海道變成「新台灣」 日本新創晶片廠 Rapidus 進駐北海道,試圖打造半導體國家隊,當地憑藉豐沛水資源、綠能潛力與地緣戰略安全,正加速轉型為高科技樞紐,甚至被稱為「新台灣」。然而,這個計畫仍然面臨人才匱乏、冬季氣候惡劣與供應鏈還尚未成熟的巨大考驗。 29:20|美中科技戰延續,荷蘭左右為難 美國指控荷蘭 ASML 的頂級晶片製造設備流向中國,遭荷方強烈駁斥。雙方在技術防堵與經濟利益上產生深層分歧,此衝突凸顯美方試圖以法規強壓盟友,擴大科技戰的角力範圍。 41:45|觀星旅遊成為新潮流 全球逾八成人口因光害難見夜空,促使「暗夜觀星旅遊」在疫後暴發。遊客藉此尋求減壓與平靜,不僅推升天文飯店需求,更為偏遠與沒落鄉村帶來全新的觀光轉型商機。 55:05|人工智慧狂潮引爆全球債券市場 科技巨頭紛紛發行巨額債券以籌措 AI 基礎設施資金,規模逼近歷史新高。雖然雲端大廠信用優異穩定市場,但隨著高風險垃圾債增加,投資人須審慎辨識泡沫,避免重演歷史上的鐵路泡沫危機。 主持人:天下雜誌副總編輯 黃亦筠 主講人:金庫資本管理合夥人兼總經理 丁學文 製作團隊:錢玉紘、莊志偉、邱宇豪 *延伸閱讀|ASML政治危機擴大:https://www.cw.com.tw/article/5136886 *訂閱天下全閱讀:https://bit.ly/3STpEpV *意見信箱:bill@cw.com.tw -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

TD Ameritrade Network
Options Corner: ASML Outpaces Most Tech Ahead of Earnings

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2026 3:36


ASML (ASML) will report earnings early Wednesday morning as shares see a 60% rally so far in 2026. Rick Ducat dives into the key support and resistance levels for investors to watch heading into the report. He then turns to an example options trade for ASML. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about