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European bourses are modestly firmer, whilst US equity futures are mixed ahead of the ECB and US CPI.DXY is firmer and towards session highs; JPY underperforms, with USD/JPY rising to just shy of the 148.00 mark.USTs and Bunds are a touch softer into ECB/US CPI and a 30-year auction following a strong 3- and 10-year outing earlier this week.Industrial commodities and gold are subdued, awaiting key risk events; some modest upticks seen on Poland, Ukraine & Lithuania, calling the recent Russian drone incursion an “unprecedented” provocation.Looking ahead, US CPI (Aug) & Jobless Claims, ECB Policy Announcement & Press Conference, CBRT Announcement, OPEC Monthly Report, Supply from the US, and Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Send us a textDollar and US equities rally; crypto market is indecisive. Volatility remains elevated despite improved risk sentiment. US PPI data could show tariff impact ahead of CPI report. Gold and oil are supported by broader geopolitical tensions.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textUS employment expected to be revised down by 800,000 for year to March. A bigger revision could bolster bets for 50-bps rate cut in September. Dovish expectations pummel bond yields and dollar, lift stocks and gold. Euro and French bonds stay calm after PM Bayrou ousted.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textSofter US jobs data leave door open for a larger Fed rate cut. Dollar and US equities try to find their footing today. Yen under pressure after PM Ishiba's resignation. Gold and oil rally, supported by weaker dollar and geopolitical tensions.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textUS CPI and PPI data to take centre stage ahead of Fed decision. ECB to likely hold rates, might signal long pause. OPEC decision to shape sentiment at start of week. Bond markets on alert for Treasury auctions and French budget vote.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textRisk sentiment improves, dollar slightly under pressure. Gold holds gains, bond yields ease across the board. Today's NFP could determine the size of the Fed rate cut. Decent market reaction if jobs data delivers a strong upside surprise.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textRisk sentiment remains fragile ahead of the first batch of key US data. Gold and rising bond yields continue to unnerve investors. ADP report and ISM Services PMI might open the door to a 50bps Fed cut. Fedspeak to intensify, markets to digest Miran's hearing headlines today.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textGold and US dollar remain in demand amid bond market selloff. Pound slips again as UK yields continue to surge. But Wall Street given a lifeline following Google's legal win. ISM manufacturing PMI spurs yo-yo price action, JOLTS awaited next.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textDollar on the back foot, equities remain wobbly. Court battles in focus after Friday's tariffs ruling. Investors prepare for critical US data; all eyes on Friday's jobs report. Uncertainty boosts gold and silver; cryptos remain under pressure.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textUS jobs data to steal the limelight amid worries about labour market health. ISM PMIs to be watched too for signs of tariff-driven price pressures. Eurozone flash CPI and Canadian employment also on tap.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textFed Governor Waller reiterates support for lower interest rates. PCE inflation data may impact Fed rate cut bets beyond September. S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit fresh record highs. Gold gains, approaches upper boundary of sideways range.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textNY Fed President Williams says rates likely to fall. Anxiety about Trump'sefforts to influence Fed policy intensifies. Spotlight turns to PCE inflationnumbers and next week's NFP. S&P 500 hits new record, but Nvidia slidesafter earnings results.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textSteadier bonds and AI optimism help stocks to bounce back; Nvidia eyed. Dollar edges up as Fed independence fears ease slightly. But inflation and borrowing concerns keep risk appetite in check.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

APAC stocks traded mostly lower after global markets faded last Friday's post-Powell dovish reaction.US President Trump threatened to impose substantial additional tariffs on countries that do not remove discriminatory actions such as digital taxes.US President Trump posted a letter removing Fed's Cook from her position with immediate effect; Cook says she will not resign.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.5% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.8% on Monday.FX markets are contained, EUR/USD is supported by the 1.16 mark, USD/JPY sits on a 147 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods (Jul), Consumer Confidence (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP, Riksbank Minutes, NBH Announcement, E3/Iran Nuclear talks, Fed Discount Rate Minutes, Fed's Barkin & BoE's Mann, Supply from Italy and the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Send us a textFed's independence under attack again as Trump wants to oust Lisa Cook. Dollar skids but later recovers, US yield curve steepens slightly, gold edges up. Stocks turn negative as Fed rally fades, PCE inflation awaited. Euro slips as French government at risk of collapse.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textPowell hints at a September cut, traders sell dollars. Wall Street indices rally, Dow Jones hits fresh record high. Attention to slowly shift to PCE inflation data later this week. BoJ Gov. Ueda expresses optimism about another rate hike soon.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Seiko Kataoka-Fisher, Director in Japanese Customer Sales for EMEA in London, discuss how the latest economic data is shaping the outlook for BoJ and Fed policies. Will widening policy divergence put greater pressure on USD/JPY as we head into the autumn?  

Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Seiko Kataoka-Fisher, Director in Japanese Customer Sales for EMEA in London, discuss how the latest economic data is shaping the outlook for BoJ and Fed policies. Will widening policy divergence put greater pressure on USD/JPY as we head into the autumn?

Send us a textMuted risk appetite; equity indices edge higher, bitcoin struggles. August 12 deadline for US-China truce in the spotlight. Gold flirts with $3,400 as US prepares to tariff gold bar imports. Eventful BoE meeting boosts the pound.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textUS CPI and PPI data awaited amid dovish Fed bets. RBA ready to cut rates as Australian inflation slows. UK jobs and GDP data to shake the pound after BoE.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textTariffs back in the spotlight; China could be next. Equities shrug off tariff headlines but dollar weakens. Gold rises despite progress made in the US-Russia talks. BoE to cut rates; pound's performance hinges on degree of dovishness.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textMarkets subdued after ISM Services PMI revives inflation and growth worries. Dollar returns to post-NFP lows, gold eases from highs. Trump flags tariffs on pharmaceuticals and chips but equities inch higher.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textDollar assets on a steadier footing after Friday's selloff. September Fed rate cut gains traction; Fedspeak is critical going forward. Trump's 12:00 GMT live TV appearance in the spotlight. Gold retains gains, oil's decline stalls.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

APAC stocks traded mixed following a quiet weekend of newsflow and last Friday's disappointing Non-Farm Payrolls data.US President Trump said on Sunday that he will announce a new head of BLS in the next three or four days.US President Trump said he is to announce a replacement for Fed's Kugler in the next couple of days after Kugler resigned on Friday.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.4% after the cash market suffered losses of 2.9% on Friday.DXY is a touch firmer after Friday's selling pressure, EUR/USD ran out of steam ahead of 1.16, USD/JPY trades on a 147 handle.Crude slightly lower after OPEC+ agreed to increase oil output by 548k BPD in September.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI (Jul), EZ Sentix Index Aug), US Employment Trends (Jun), Durable Goods R (Jun) & Factory Orders.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Send us a textPost-NFP selloff eases as focus turns to Fed rate cuts. Dollar and stocks on steadier footing as yen and gold rallies cool. But tariff mess and Trump's firing of jobs data chief keep risk appetite in check. Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textBank of England decision to be the week's main event. ISM services PMI to be only other highlight in relatively quiet week. Market sentiment might struggle in aftermath of Trump's August 1 tariffs.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textTrump's tariff announcements trigger another risk-off reaction. Dollar is stable, but equity markets underperform despite strong tech earnings. US jobs data in the spotlight; nonfarm payrolls expected to rise by 110k. Inflated expectations for a solid report raise the risk of a sharp reaction if data disappoints.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Today, a look at Meta blasting it out of the park in its latest earnings report, though this could be about as good as it gets for a company of its size, and its roadmap has some "questionable" elements. Microsoft also surprised, sending Mag7 sentiment higher ahead of two further Mag7 names to report today - Apple and Amazon. Also, a look at Trump's latest tariff announcements, the FOMC and Bank of Japan meetings and USDJPY levels and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Send us a textFed keeps rates unchanged, but leaves door open to future rate cuts. Strong earnings lift equities, reversing the post-FOMC dip. Gold rebounds, oil struggles to hold $70, copper futures plunge. BoJ keeps its powder dry, yen gets a small lift.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

Send us a textDollar traders turn cautious ahead of Fed decision. Attention will fall on the likelihood of a September rate cut. BoC and BoJ to remain on hold; eyes will be on future action signals. Wall Street retreats on disappointing earnings; Microsoft and Meta awaited.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

APAC stocks traded with a mostly negative bias after a similar performance among global peers.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.3%.FX markets are contained, EUR/USD sits on a 1.15 handle, USD/JPY maintains its footing above the 148 mark.Bund futures lacked direction overnight. Crude futures were little changed but held on to most of the prior day's spoils.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish GDP Estimate, US Advance Goods Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories Advance, Consumer Confidence, Dallas Fed Services Revenues, Atlanta Fed GDPNow, ECB SCE, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Earnings from AstraZeneca, Barclays, Unite, L'Oreal, Air Liquide, Orange, Kering, Banca Generali, Terna, Endesa, Grifols, Visa, Marathon Digital, Starbucks, Booking, UnitedHealth, Sofi, Paypal, UPS, Spotify, Merck, Nucor, JetBlue, Procter & Gamble.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Send us a textBoth the dollar and US equities start the week on a strong note. Euro suffers as European leaders challenge the US-EU trade deal. Gold retreat stalls; oil fails to materially benefit from Trump's Russia comments. Light calendar today, but 7-year US auction could trigger volatility.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

EU and US agreed on a trade deal with 15% tariffs; EU to buy USD 750bln in US energy, and make USD 600bln in investments.EC President von der Leyen later confirmed the 15% rate is for a vast majority of EU exports including cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals; 50% tariff on steel and aluminium remains.US and China are expected to extend the trade truce by 90 days, according to SCMP.APAC stocks are mixed with Japan lagging due to political uncertainty, US futures are higher (ES +0.5%), Europe set to open firmer (Eurostoxx 50 future +1%).DXY is steady with FX markets broadly contained, EUR/USD remains on a 1.17 handle, USD/JPY failed to hold above the 148 mark.Looking ahead, highlights include Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index, Treasury Financing Estimates, OPEC+ JMMC, US and China talks in Stockholm, supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Send us a textDollar gains as data allow the Fed to stay in wait-and-see mode. US and EU secure trade deal, tariff clock is ticking for others. Wall Street at record highs amid trade optimism and better earnings. Pound slides after retail sales, yen retreats even as BoJ hike bets increase.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD

After another week of Trump-driven financial market volatility, attention now turns to Japanese politics. Derek Halpenny, Head of Research, Global Markets EMEA and International Securities, sits down with Chris Jakubowski, Head of Hedge Fund FX Sales, to discuss Sunday's upper house election and its potential implications for the markets next week and beyond. Upper house elections in Japan are typically low-impact events, but this one feels different. Could we see renewed JGB volatility? What might the results mean for USD/JPY, and is there a risk of a sovereign credit rating downgrade? Derek and Chris also explore the “demise of US exceptionalism” narrative in light of the latest US capital flow data.

由於日本執政聯盟在7月20日上議院（參議院）選舉中失去多數席次的機率達50%，投資人正加速押注日圓走弱。交易員開始布局美元兌日圓（USD/JPY）多頭部位，預期日本將轉向更擴張性的財政政策。 文：樂羽嘉 製作團隊：樂祈、張雅媛 ＊閱讀零時差，點這看全文

US President Trump sent tariff letters to 14 countries, including Japan, South Korea, South Africa, and Thailand, with tariff rates ranging between 25%-40%.Trump also warned against retaliation, although he also delayed the tariff deadline to August 1st - leaving room for negotiation.APAC stocks mostly traded with cautious gains as participants digested the Trump letters; Wall Street closed lower.RBA defied the broad consensus and instead decided to pause on rates through a 6-3 majority vote.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.0% on Monday.DXY is steady, AUD is the clear outperformer across the majors, USD/JPY sits on a 146 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include German Trade, US NY Fed SCE, NFIB Business Optimism, EIA STEO, RBA's Bullock, ECB's Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from Netherlands, UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks began the new quarter mostly higher, albeit with gains tentative; Wall Street closed higher.The Senate vote-a-rama process is ongoing before a final version is sent back to the House to approve the bill, before then sending it to Trump's desk.EU is to accept Trump's universal tariff but seeks key exemptions and wants the US to commit to lower rates on key sectors, according to Bloomberg.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.4% on Monday.DXY is steady, EUR/USD briefly ventured onto a 1.18 handle, USD/JPY marginally extended on its downside.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK & US Manufacturing PMIs, German Unemployment Rate, EZ HICP, US ISM Manufacturing, JOLTS Job Openings, ECB SCE & Central Banking Forum, Speakers include ECB's de Guindos, Elderson, Schnabel & Lagarde, Fed's Powell, BoJ's Ueda, BoE's Bailey & BoK's Rhee.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Today we discuss how Iran's staged response to US bombings mostly crushed the geopolitical tension premium in crude oil and gave a big boost to global risk sentiment, which also enjoyed another Fed member waxing dovish, sending US yields lower. Also, Tesla couldn't have timed its autonomous driving service debut better, as the stock soared despite shaky performance in at least one report. This and a discussion of gold and more on today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, with Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting. John's FX Update from today.

Why I Trade Coffee, Cocoa, and Crypto Too  Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Watch Prop Firm Masterclass #593: Why I Trade Coffee, Cocoa, and Crypto Too In this video: 00:27 – We don't only trade the Forex market. 01:06 – More metals now available. 01:25 – We trade Indices, Commodities and Cryptos.   01:56 – More trading opportunities for high quality patterns. 03:14 – Trades I have open right now on non-FX markets. 03:50 – All trades have equal and low risk. 05:23 – Get onto my 17 minutes masterclass. 05:44 – Have a chat with us. 06:15 – Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker. Today, I want to explain to you why we don't only trade the forex market. We look at other markets as well. So let's talk about that more right now. Hey there, Forex Traders! It's Andrew Mitchem here at The Forex Trading Coach with video and podcast number 593. We don't only trade the Forex market. Now being called The Forex Trading Coach you would assume that we trade only the forex market. Well we used to. And that's because years ago all that was available to us were forex pairs. And like the GBP/USD and USD/JPY, USD/CHF, etc. the main pairs. And then over time more and more pairs. What were called exotics or minor pairs got added. Things like NZD/CAD and then other pairs got added as times gone on, like ZAR/JPY, things like that, some more and more have been added. And then years ago they introduced a couple of metals and we could trade gold and silver against the US. More metals now available. And then more recently we've got access to more metal markets. So example Gold and Silver against the Pound and against the Uen and against the Chinese Yuan and different crosses like that, but also more metals such as, Palladium and Platinum and Copper. We trade Indices, Commodities and Cryptos.   We can trade indices like the Nasdaq and different American markets and different Canadian and Swiss franc markets, Yen markets. We can trade, things like commodities. We can trade coffees and Cocoas. We can trade cryptos, Bitcoins and Ethereums, etc.. So the beauty of trading today on a platform such as MetaTrader 5 is that you have access to so many more markets. More trading opportunities for high quality patterns. And you could think of that and go, well that's just going to create more work. Andrew. No, not at all. What it does is it gives you the opportunity once you know what you're looking for, and once you have a strategy that you can scan through the markets really quick, it's giving you more and more opportunity to look for the pattern on a higher quality chart. So for example, years ago you might have said, well, this trade on the GBP/USD, it's okay. It doesn't quite fit my criteria but it's okay. And you might have taken that trade. Rightly or wrongly. Whereas now you've got the opportunity to scan through more and more markets. And so the way that we trade I don't particularly care what I trade. It's the pattern that I'm looking for. It's where has that candle formation appeared within the chart. Has it got room to move to? The profit target has the stop loss got protection? All these type of things that we look for. And so if I'm trading the pattern, I'm giving myself a very high probability chance of success, because I'm looking for only the highest quality patterns, regardless of the market or direction. So simply because I live in New Zealand, it doesn't mean I have to trade New Zealand dollar pairs more, or I have to trade the EUR/USD because it's the biggest traded forex pair. Not at all. Trades I have open right now on non-FX markets. As an example, I've got a a monthly chart trade on Cafaro, which is one of the coffee markets on the commodities. I've got two weekly chart trades open right now on Dogecoin and Solana.

In this explosive episode of Macro Mondays, James Brodie, James Todd & Will Cunliffe unpack the most volatile week in global markets this year.Key highlights include:Middle East tensions flare: The Israel-Iran conflict escalates, sending crude oil surging and gold prices spiking to the critical $3435 resistance level.U.S. inflation cools unexpectedly: CPI and PPI data come in well below consensus, while initial jobless claims rise, deepening recession fears.UK payroll shock: Employment falls sharply post-budget, with unemployment now at 4.6%—the highest since 2021.China data mixed: Consumer prices slip into deflation, while retail sales jump 6.4% amid government stimulus.Fund managers turn bearish: Paul Tudor Jones, Jeffrey Gundlach, and Jamie Dimon issue stark macro warnings—drawing parallels to 2007 and 1999.Stocks under pressure: U.S. equities break key support levels; insider selling hits record highs; tech valuations remain stretched.Dollar sinks to 3-year lows: FX markets react sharply, with EURUSD continuing its uptrend and USDJPY stuck in a tight range.Bitcoin stalls: Price caught between $100K support and $112K resistance as volatility looms.Plus: Central bank bonanza ahead—FOMC, BOE, BOJ, and SNB decisions in focus this week.Tune in for actionable macro insights, technical breakdowns, and positioning analysis from top global fund managers. Don't miss the Charts of the Week, including Meta's crucial support test.

Today, can't help but turn more bearish on equities as the US trade policy issue finally adds some more bite and as the broader concern on the trajectory of the US economy may be picking up here. The US dollar is certainly headed south versus the euro again, and USDJPY is making a show of selling off - can the move stick this time? Thoughts on the Fed possibly cutting earlier than expected, Oracle blowout earnings and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.   Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued handover from Wall St; Europe primed for a lower open (Eurostoxx 50 future -0.7%)US President Trump said he would be willing to extend the trade talks deadline but doesn't think it will be necessaryUS President Trump is planning to send letters in a week and a half for countries to take it or leave it regarding a trade deal.US evacuated non-emergency US government personnel from several Middle Eastern countries due to heightened regional tensionsUS officials were told that Israel is fully ready for an Iran operation, according to CBSDXY has extended losses, EUR/USD has made its way onto a 1.15 handle, USD/JPY is sub-144Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP Estimate, US Initial Jobless Claims & PPI, ECB's Schnabel, de Guindos & Elderson, Supply from Italy & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly higher amid the recent trade-related optimism stemming from the US-China trade talks in London which have now concluded.US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said they have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus; will return to the US to see if Trump approves.Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang said the two sides reached a consensus regarding the Geneva meeting; will report on the framework to leaders.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.4% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.1% on Tuesday.USD is broadly firmer vs. peers, EUR/USD is retaining a 1.14 handle, USD/JPY is oscillating around the 145 mark, GBP eyes the UK spending review.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB Wage Tracker, US CPI & Weekly Earnings, UK Spending Review, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, Lane & Cipollone, Supply from Australia, UK, Germany & US, Earnings from Oracle and Inditex.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Live from the Morgan Stanley Japan Summit, our analysts Chiwoong Lee and Sho Nakazawa discuss their outlook for the Japanese economy and stock market in light of the country's evolving trade partnerships with the U.S. and China.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Lee-san: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Chiwoong Lee, Principal Global Economist at Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities.Nakazawa-san: And I'm Sho Nakazawa, Japan Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities.Lee-san: Today we're coming to you live from the Morgan Stanley Japan Summit in Tokyo. And we'll be sharing our views on Japan in the context of global economic growth. We will also focus on Japan's position vis-à-vis its two largest trading partners, the U.S. and China.It's Tuesday, May 20, at 3pm in Tokyo.Lee-san: Nakazawa-san, you and I both have been talking with a large number of clients here at the summit. Based on your conversations, what issues are most top of mind right now?Nakazawa-san: There are many inquiries about how to position because of the uncertainty of U.S. trade policy and the investment strategy for governance reform. These are both catalysts for Japan. And in Japan, there are multiple governance investment angles, with increasing interest in the removal of parent-child listings, which is when a parent company and a subsidiary company are both listed on an exchange. This reform [would] remove the subsidiaries. So, clients are very focused on who will be the next candidate for the removal of a parent-child listing.And what are you hearing from clients on your side, Lee-san?Lee-san: I would say the most frequent questions we received were regarding the Trump administration's policies, of course. While the reciprocal tariffs have been somewhat relaxed compared to the initial announcements, they still remain very high; and there was a strong focus on their negative impact on the U.S. economy and the global economy, including Japan. Of course, external demand is critical for Japanese economy, but when we pointed out the resilience of domestic demand, many investors seemed to agree with that view.Nakazawa-san: How do investors' views square with your outlook for the global economy over the rest of the year?Lee-san: Well, there was broad consensus that tariffs and policy uncertainty are negatively affecting trade and investment activities across countries. In particular, there is concern about the impact on investment. As Former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke wrote in his papers in [the] 1980s, uncertainty tends to delay investment decisions. However, I got the impression that views varied on just how sensitive investment behavior is to this uncertainty.Nakazawa-san: How significant are U.S. tariffs on global economy including Japan both near-term and longer-term?Lee-san: The negative effects on the global economy through trade and investment are certainly important, but the most critical issue is the impact on the U.S. economy. Tariffs essentially act as a tax burden on U.S. consumers and businesses.For example, in 2018, there was some impact on prices, but the more significant effect was on business production and employment. Now, with even higher tariff rates, the impact on inflation and economic activity is expected to be even greater. Given the inflationary pressures from tariffs, we believe the Fed will find it difficult to cut rates in 2025. On the other hand, once it becomes feasible, likely in 2026, we anticipate the Fed will need to implement substantial rate cuts.Lee-san: So, Nakazawa-san, how has the Japanese stock market reacted to U.S. tariffs?Nakazawa-san: Investors positioning have skewed sharply to domestic-oriented non-manufacturing sectors since the U.S. government's announcement of reciprocal tariffs on April 2nd. Tariff talks with some nations have achieved some progress at this stage, spurring buybacks of export-oriented manufacturer shares. However, the screening by our analysts of the cumulative surplus returns against Japan's TOPIX index for around 500 stocks in their coverage universe, divided into stocks relatively vulnerable to tariff effects and those less impacted, finds a continued poor performance at the former. We believe it is important to enhance the portfolio's robustness by revising sector skews in accordance with any progress in the trade talks and adjusting long/short positioning with the sectors in line with the impact of the tariffs.Lee-san: I see. You recently revised your Topix index target, right. Can you quickly walk us through your call?Nakazawa-san：Yes, of course. We recently revised down our base case TOPIX target for end-2025 from 3,000 to 2,600. This revision was considered by several key factors: So first, our Japan economics team revised down its Japanese nominal growth forecast from 3.7% to 3.3%, reflecting implementation of reciprocal tariffs and lower growth forecasts for the U.S., China, and Europe. Second, our FX team lowered its USD/JPY target from 145 to 135 due to the risk of U.S. hard data taking a marked turn for the worse. The timing aligns with growing uncertainty on the business environment, which may lead firms to manage cash allocation more cautiously. So, this year might be a bit challenging for Japanese equities that I recommend staying defensive positioning with defensive non-manufacturing sectors overall.Nakazawa-san: And given tariff risks, do you see a change in the Bank of Japan's rate path for the rest of the year?Lee-san: Yeah well, external demand is a very important driver of Japanese economy. Even if tariffs on Japan do not rise significantly, auto tariffs, for example, remain in place and cannot be ignored. The earnings deterioration among export-oriented companies, especially in the auto sector, will take time for the Bank of Japan to assess in terms of its impact on winter bonuses and next spring's wage growth. If trade negotiations between the U.S. and countries including Japan make major progress by summer, a rate hike in the fall could be a risk scenario. However, our Japan teams' base case remains that the policy rate will be unchanged through 2026.Lee-san: How is the Japanese yen faring relative to the U.S. dollar, and how does it impact the Japanese stock market, Nakazawa-san?Nakazawa-san：I would say USD/JPY is not only driver for Japanese equities. Of course, USD/JPY still plays a key role in earnings, as our regression model suggests a 1% higher USD/JPY lifting TOPIX 0.5% on average. But this sensitivity has trended down over the past decade. A structural reason is that as value chain building close to final demand locations has lifted overseas production ratios, which implies continuous efforts of Japanese corporate optimizing global supply chain.That said, from sector allocation perspective, sectors showing greater resilience include domestic demand-driven sectors, such as foods, construction & materials, IT & services/others, transportation & logistics, and retails.Nakazawa-san: And finally, the trade relationship between Japan and China is one of the largest trading partnerships in the world. Are U.S. tariffs impacting this partnership in any way?Lee-san: That's a very difficult question, I have to say, but I think there are multiple angles to consider. Geopolitical risk remains to be a key focus, and in terms of the military alliance, Japan-U.S. relationships have been intact. At the same time, Japan faces increased pressure to meet U.S. demands. That said, Japan has been taking steps such as strengthening semiconductor manufacturing and increasing defense spending, so I believe there is a multifaceted evaluation which is necessary.Lee-san: That said, I think it's time to head back to the conference. Nakazawa-san, thanks for taking the time to talk.Nakazawa-san: Great speaking with you, Lee-san.Lee-san: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

Mixed APAC trade, US futures range bound while European futures point to a marginally firmer open.DXY remains lower after Thursday's data, EUR/USD marginally reclaimed 1.12, USD/JPY found support at 145.00.Fixed benchmarks extended/held on to recent gains.Crude benchmarks remain underpinned by the latest on US-Iran, metals marginally softer.Looking ahead, highlights include US Export/Import Prices, UoM Sentiment Survey, BoC SLOS, Speakers including ECB's Lane, Cipollone & Fed's Barkin.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly higher but with gains capped following disappointing Chinese Caixin Services PMI.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.1% after the cash market finished flat on Monday.DXY failed to hold above the 100 mark, EUR/USD sits on a 1.13 handle, USD/JPY was unable to maintain its footing above 144.Crude futures have clawed back nearly all the losses seen in reaction to the weekend's OPEC+ output hike.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ PMI (Final), US International Trade, Canadian Exports/Imports, NZ HLFS Unemployment Rate, EIA STEO, BoE's Breeden, Supply from Germany & US.Earnings from AMD, Supermicro, Rivian, Tempus AI, Celsius, Datadog, Constellation Energy, Fresenius Medical Care, Zalando, Continental, UniCredit, Intesa Sanpaolo & Ferrari.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded higher but with gains capped in severely thinned conditions owing to mass holiday closures across the region and in Europe for Labour Day.BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.50% and provided some dovish rhetoric despite maintaining its rate hike signal.US is said to have reached out to China recently for tariff talks, according to Bloomberg citing an influential social media account.US stocks were boosted heading into the Wall St closing bell. Futures saw a further lift following strong earnings from Microsoft and Meta.DXY is higher, JPY lags post-BoJ with USD/JPY eyeing 144 to the upside, EUR/USD sits around the 1.13 mark.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Layoffs, Jobless Claims & ISM Manufacturing, BoJ Governor Ueda's Press Conference.Earnings from Amazon, Apple, Riot Platforms, Reddit, Airbnb, Eli Lilly, Roblox, CVS, MasterCard, McDonald's, Drax, Hiscox, Lloyds, Kerry, Whitbread, Standard Chartered & Telecom Italia.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is expected to soften the impact of his automotive tariffs, according to WSJ citing sources.Canada's ruling Liberals, led by Mark Carney, won the national election but will need to form a minority government.APAC stocks were mostly in the green but with gains capped following the choppy performance stateside.European equity futures indicate a slightly positive open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.1% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.3% on Monday.DXY is attempting to claw back some of yesterday's losses, EUR/USD has slipped back onto a 1.13 handle, USD/JPY bounced from support at 142.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK Consumer Sentiment, Spanish GDP, HICP, EZ Business Sentiment, US Advance Goods Trade, JOLTS Job Openings, ECB's Cipollone, BoE's Ramsden, SNB's Martin & US Treasury Secretary Bessent, Supply from UK & Italy.Earnings from Starbucks, Visa, Snap, PPG, SoFi, PayPal, JetBlue, Coca-Cola, UPS, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean, Spotify, HSBC, BP, AstraZeneca, Ocado, Entain Lufthansa, Porsche AG, Deutsche Bank, Capgemini, Amundi, Rexel, Scor, URW, Carlsberg, Novartis, Logitech & BBVA.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst talks to Michael Owen, Head of Global Client Desk EMEA, about the volatile price action for USD/JPY over the past week. Will the BoJ's upcoming policy meeting derail the current downward trend for USD/JPY? Disclaimer: www.mufgresearch.com (PDF)