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⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal's AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today's update, Palvatar breaks down softer-than-expected US inflation data that lifted equities and fueled hopes for Fed rate cuts, alongside growing controversy surrounding Chair Jerome Powell. Global markets were mixed, with Japan's Nikkei hitting record highs as the yen slid. In crypto, Bitcoin surged above $92,000 on renewed institutional buying, while regulatory developments, IPO chatter, and protocol upgrades shaped broader digital asset sentiment.
Tariff inflation continues to go down in flames, yet central bankers refuse to let it go. The US CPI report for November was released today and the details should help put all this to rest – especially alongside the payroll numbers from earlier in the week. However, over in Europe both the ECB and Bank of England claim they need to be vigilant about tariff inflation at the same time job losses and unemployment pile up even higher. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar Series REPLAYThere is a ton of smoke coming out from the credit markets right now. But is there fire? For the next hour and a half, join us in examining the issue from all the relevant angles and perspectives. Just how big is the "garbage pool"? What is the driving force behind the credit cycle? How can we tell if it is turning, or maybe has turned? The most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention. Replay the full webinar at the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/m9wym/go/replay/1ym21cpxh8zfw3f4---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The latest US CPI data shows inflation falling to 2.7%, but while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are pumping, the crypto market is facing massive manipulation. In this video, we dive into why Bitcoin and Ethereum are getting wrecked by institutional "liquidation hunts" despite the positive economic news.Institutional whales like Wintermute are pumping millions into the market only to liquidate retail shorts and longs within minutes of each other. We saw Bitcoin erase a $2,200 pump with a $4,000 dump in under an hour. This level of market control is exactly what crypto was supposed to fix, but with the rise of ETFs and institutional wealth, the volatility is reaching insane levels.I'm breaking down the charts for the S&P 500 vs. Crypto, explaining the "Bart Simpson" candles, and why I'm personally staying away from leverage (longs/shorts) during this period of high manipulation.0:00 - The CPI Data Surprise (2.7% Inflation)1:10 - How Institutions are Liquidating Retail2:05 - Stocks vs. Crypto: The Disconnect3:15 - Why I'm Avoiding Longs & Shorts4:20 - The Future of Institutional ManipulationDISCLAIMER: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial, investment, or legal advice. I am not affiliated with, nor compensated by, the project discussed—no tokens, payments, or incentives received. I do not hold a stake in the project, including private or future allocations. All views are my own, based on public information. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor before investing. Crypto investments carry high risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. I am not responsible for any decisions you make based on this content.
TikTok's long-delayed plan to separate from Chinese parent ByteDance Ltd. was put in motion Thursday when the video sharing sensation said it's being bought by a group of buyers led by Oracle Corp. TikTok Chief Executive Officer Shou Chew told employees that the company and ByteDance signed binding agreements to create a US joint venture majority-owned by American investors, according to an internal memo reviewed by Bloomberg. Chew wrote that he was "pleased to share some great news" and said agreements with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX have been signed. The deal is expected to close on Jan. 22, 2026, though Chew added that "there's more work to be done" before then. Asian equities rose after cooling US inflation data backed the case for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts and calming tech jitters supported American stocks. We heard from Amy Xie Patrick, Head of Income Strategies at Pendal Group. She spoke to Bloomberg's Annabelle Droulers and Paul Allen. Plus - A solid outlook from giant Micron Technology Inc. underscored the voracious appetite for all things related to artificial intelligence. The S&P 500 rose nearly 1%, halting a four-day slide. We spoke to Keith Buchanan, Senior Portfolio Manager at Globalt.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Chief Economist at Wolfe Research Stephanie Roth discusses the November US CPI report. Roth spoke with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
APAC stocks were mostly lower following on from the tech-led selling stateside and ahead of US inflation data and a slew of upcoming central bank decisions.US President Trump's primetime address to the nation made no mention of a US blockade against Venezuela or Russian sanctions.US President Trump said he will soon announce the next Fed chair and that the new Fed chair will believe in lowering interest rates by a lot.US equity futures traded rangebound with little reaction seen following President Trump's primetime address and as participants awaited US CPI data.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures U/C after the cash market closed with losses of 0.6% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Nov), Jobless Claims (w/e 13 Dec), Philly Fed (Dec), Japanese CPI (Nov), NZ Trade Balance (Nov), ECB Announcement, BoE Announcement, Norges Bank Announcement, Riksbank Announcement, CNB Announcement, Banxico Announcement. Speakers include Norges Bank's Bache, Riksbank's Thedeen, ECB's Lagarde & BoE's Bailey, Supply from US, Earnings from Carnival, Nike & FedEx.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said he will soon announce the next Fed chair and that the new Fed chair will believe in lowering interest rates by a lot.European bourses are mostly firmer; US equity futures also gain, with mild outperformance in the NQ.DXY is slightly firmer as traders await US CPI; GBP underperforms a touch ahead of the BoE, EUR awaits the ECB.Fixed income grinds higher; Bunds saw some modest downticks after Germany's DFA announced their 2026 issuance plan, which came in slightly above analyst expectations.Crude complex was initially firmer but now hovering just above the unchanged mark, as Trump avoided mentioning Venezuela/Russia in his primetime address.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Nov), Jobless Claims (w/e 13 Dec), Philly Fed (Dec), Japanese CPI (Nov), NZ Trade Balance (Nov), ECB Announcement, BoE Announcement, CNB Announcement, Banxico Announcement. Speakers include ECB's Lagarde & BoE's Bailey, Supply from US, Earnings from Carnival, Nike & FedEx.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Send us a textUS stocks and cryptos remain under pressure, as gold hovers near record highs. US inflation report in the spotlight; could it surprise like Wednesday's UK CPI? BoE to cut rates today; voting results to dictate market reaction. ECB to keep rates steady once again; press conference might spark market volatility.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Kia ora,Welcome to Friday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we start with news there were many central banks reviewing their settings overnight and most stayed unchanged.But first up today we can report a considerable surprise in the November CPI result. Markets had expected a 3.1% rate. But there was no October reading due to shutdown problems and this may have affected the collecting of November data. In any case the official November result was published as a rise of 2.7%, a sharply lower level no analyst saw coming. Apparently, falling rents were a big part of the retreat. (And don't forget, the last US BLS boss who delivered unwelcome results was fired by the Administration.). In any event, financial markets have taken it at face value, accepting there is no affordability problem, Just as the President has claimed.And official US initial jobless claims came in at the expected +255,000, so there are now 1.882 mln people on these benefits, fractionally more than the 1.864 mln in the same week a year ago.In non-Administration controlled data, the news isn't so bright. The Philly Fed's December factory survey fell sharply again, retreating as it has done in the past two months. And this came as new orders actually rose, although from a low level. It is a survey that has reported 'future conditions' very positive for more than a year now, but also reporting 'current conditions languishing.The similar Kansas City Fed factory survey fell into a mild contraction in December, a sharpish fall from November. Again, those surveyed were still upbeat probably because new orders ticked higher. But more companies are reporting higher prices paid for supplies.In Canada, they are reporting rising SME business optimism, and the highest since May 2022.The Taiwan central bank held its policy rate unchanged at 2% overnight. The ECB held their unchanged too at 2.15%.Sweden held their 1.75% rate unchanged as well at their overnight meeting. Norway held their at 4.0%. But the English central bank had a need to cut theirs, by -25 bps to 3.75%, in a split 5-4 decision (the four dissenters wanted no cut.) Japan will review its policy rate later today and is widely expected to raise it by +25 bps.In Australia, inflation expectations rose to 4.7% in December from 4.5% in November, and have now been at or above 4.5% for six of the past seven months.Global freight rates for containerised cargoes rose +12% last week to be -43% lower than year-ago levels. The latest rise was driven by very much stronger demand in the outbound China to the US rates. Separately, bulk cargo freight rates fell -13% last week but are now +50% higher than year ago levels.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.13%, down -3 bps from this time yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$4367/oz, and up another +US$35 from yesterday, and which we make as a new record high. Silver is at US$65/oz and sharply back off its record high.American oil prices are slightly firmish from yesterday at just under US$56.50/bbl, while the international Brent price is still just under US$60/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is unchanged from yesterday, still at just on 57.8 USc. Against the Aussie we are -20 bps softer at 87.3 AUc. Against the euro we are up +10 bps at 49.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just under 62, and again little-changed from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$88,092 and up +1.6% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate, at just on +/- 2.3%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again on Monday.
The ASX200 closed about 0.6 % lower on Thursday, slipping to a three‑and‑a‑half‑month low after October jobs data dented hopes of an RBA rate cut. The market also reacted to the US House passing a spending bill and a rally, while materials and health made modest gains and tech and real estate fell. Investors now eye December RBA decision, US CPI release and earnings. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Daniel Lam discusses the delayed US CPI figure, how it lays the path for another 25bps cut from the Fed, and the implications for investors.Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
Nick Kunze from Sanlam Private Wealth unpacks South Africa's grey-list exit, the latest US CPI print, a potential US-China thaw – and why global markets are flirting with record highs. Ninety One's Hannes van den Berg highlights where real value still lies locally – and the risks – as precious metal miners dominate 2025 returns. Absa CIB's Anthony Kirui discusses the Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2025, which shows steady progress in deepening and strengthening markets across the continent.
In this week's Macro Mondays James Todd is joined by Ed Hayden-Briffett and Will Cunliffe to unpack another turbulent week across global markets. US equities hit fresh all-time highs as lower-than-expected CPI data fuels optimism - yet the rally is increasingly narrow, driven by speculative tech names with little to no earnings. Meanwhile, recession risks are flashing red, with UBS warning of a 93% probability and nearly a third of US states already contracting. In Asia, China's deflation deepens to its worst levels since 2004, while GDP growth slips below target and fixed-asset investment turns negative, underscoring the fragility of its recovery.Commodities told a very different story: gold suffered its biggest single-day fall since 2013, silver followed suit, and the dollar rebounded as traders priced out rate cuts. Oil surged on renewed Russian sanctions, and volatility returned to precious metals markets. Key highlights include:✅ U.S. equites make new all-time highs S&P500 and Nasdaq✅ While Gold & Silver come crashing down to earth✅ Brent spikes on fresh Russian sanctions✅ US CPI come in lower than expected
Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc
David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, breaks down the US CPI report for September as he expects the Federal Reserve to “keep on cutting rates.” He speaks with Bloomberg's Jonathan Ferro and Annemarie Hordern. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Eric Rosengren, Former Boston Fed President & CEO and Visiting Scholar at MIT Golub Center, shares his expectation for Friday’s US CPI report.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
A relatively tame US inflation reading combined with more signs of jobs cooling spurred a rally on Wall Street amid speculation the Federal Reserve will slash interest rates for the first time this year. The highly anticipated consumer price index showed that while inflation is still above the Fed's 2% target, it's not spinning out of control. Alongside that report came the usually noisy jobless-claims figures, which jumped to the highest in almost four years, emboldening bets policymakers will cut rates next week in an effort to counter a rapid slowdown in the labor market. We get the market views of Jim Craige, Co-Chief Investment Officer & Head of Emerging Markets at Stone Harbor Investment Partners.Plus - MSCI's gauge of Asian shares rose for a seventh day and neared a fresh record, after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes both climbed to fresh closing highs in New York. A gauge of global stocks also hit a new record. Contracts for US equities were little changed Friday. We get more perspective from Jun Bei Liu, Co-Founder and Lead Portfolio Manager at Ten Cap. She speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong on The Asia Trade.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc
APAC stocks followed suit to the mixed performance stateside, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq printed fresh record highs.US President Trump's administration appealed the court ruling blocking the removal of Fed Governor Cook.US Senate Republicans are aiming to confirm President Trump's temporary Federal Reserve pick Stephen Miran as soon as Monday, according to Politico, citing two sourcesEU is reportedly very unlikely to impose crippling tariffs on India or China, the main buyers of Russian oil, as US President Trump urged the bloc to do so, according to Reuters citing EU sources.European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures U/C after the cash market closed with losses of 0.1% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Aug) & Jobless Claims, ECB Policy Announcement & Press Conference, CBRT Announcement, IEA & OPEC Monthly Report, Supply from Italy and the US, and Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
European bourses are modestly firmer, whilst US equity futures are mixed ahead of the ECB and US CPI.DXY is firmer and towards session highs; JPY underperforms, with USD/JPY rising to just shy of the 148.00 mark.USTs and Bunds are a touch softer into ECB/US CPI and a 30-year auction following a strong 3- and 10-year outing earlier this week.Industrial commodities and gold are subdued, awaiting key risk events; some modest upticks seen on Poland, Ukraine & Lithuania, calling the recent Russian drone incursion an “unprecedented” provocation.Looking ahead, US CPI (Aug) & Jobless Claims, ECB Policy Announcement & Press Conference, CBRT Announcement, OPEC Monthly Report, Supply from the US, and Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Kristina Clifton and Carol Kong discuss the top drivers of currency markets this week. Disclaimer: Important Information This podcast is approved and distributed by Global Economic & Markets Research (“GEMR”), a business division of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 (“the Bank”). Before listening to this podcast, you are advised to read the full GEMR disclaimers, which can be found at www.commbankresearch.com.au. No Reliance This podcast is not investment research and nor does it purport to make any recommendations. Rather, this podcast is for informational purposes only and is not to be relied upon for any investment purposes. This podcast does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. It is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial products, or as a recommendation, and/or investment advice. You should not act on the information in this podcast. The Bank believes that the information in this podcast is correct and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations made are reasonably held at the time given, and are based on the information available at the time of its compilation. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is made or provided as to accuracy, reliability or completeness of any statement made. Liability Disclaimer The Bank does not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of any error or omission in or from the information provided or arising out of the use of all or part of the podcast.
In this episode, Dustin Reid, Chief Fixed Income Strategist, shares his insights on two key macro developments that could reshape the Fed's policy trajectory: July's softer-than-expected US CPI print and significant downward revisions to recent job numbers. Dustin explains why these data points have prompted several Fed officials to warm to the idea of a September rate cut, and how tariff-related inflation, slowing private payrolls, and shifting rate expectations are influencing markets. This episode was recorded on August 13, 2025.
Today we look at the explosive reaction to the US July CPI release, which failed to confirm fears that Trump tariffs would feed into hotter headline inflation - but was this one-off algorithmic squeeze or something more durable? Also, a delving into the different moving parts of inflation, one major category of which could prove deflationary, a look at the macro and FX reaction to the US CPI data, Circle Internet execs doing a money grab, Coreweave dumped as it struggles with costs and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
Daniel discusses the market's relief as the effect of tariff on inflation was not as bad as the market had feared. Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered Bank For more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
Stocks climbed to a record after an in-line US inflation reading bolstered speculation the Federal Reserve will have room to cut rates in September. US inflation data bolstered expectations that the Fed can move toward rate cuts without reigniting price pressures. While underlying inflation accelerated to the strongest since the start of the year, the modest gain in goods prices eased fears that trade-related costs may feed into broader price pressures. We get reaction from Charles Lieberman, Co-Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Advisors Capital Management. Plus - Bitcoin continues to flirt with an all-time high as demand from institutional investors and corporate treasury buyers lifts the wider market for digital assets. A recent executive order from US President Donald Trump clears the way for digital assets to be added to the mix of investments available in workplace retirement plans - and for ordinary investors dissatisfied with the returns from target-date funds or the traditional 60/40 portfolio to push their savings into riskier assets. We talk all things crypto with Peter Chung, Head of Research at quant trading firm Presto in Hong Kong.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
European bourses are modestly firmer, whilst US futures trade on either side of the unchanged mark into US CPI.DXY flat, GBP rises post-data, EUR choppy, and AUD narrowly lag post RBA.USTs/Bunds rangebound into US CPI, whilst Gilts lag after jobs data.Crude is choppy with focus on Russia-Ukraine with Zelensky flagging a fresh Russian offensive ahead of Friday talks.Looking ahead, US CPI (Jul), EIA STEO, OPEC MOMR, Speakers including, Fed's Barkin & Schmid, Earnings from CoreWeave.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Today, a look at the strong close to the equity market action on Friday and the ongoing speculative fervor in key areas of the market, with Bitcoin pushing near all time highs today. Also: a look at Apple's big comeback above its 200-day moving average and its massive pivot into AI, with all of the risks and opportunities that brings. Lithium and lithium stocks are a hot topic as well after China shutdown a key mine for three months. Looking ahead, we wonder if the US CPI release tomorrow can throw some cold water on the markets. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Kristina Clifton and Samara Hammoud discuss the top influences on currency markets this week including the US CPI, RBA decision and Australian and UK labour market data. Disclaimer: Important Information This podcast is approved and distributed by Global Economic & Markets Research (“GEMR”), a business division of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 (“the Bank”). Before listening to this podcast, you are advised to read the full GEMR disclaimers, which can be found at www.commbankresearch.com.au. No Reliance This podcast is not investment research and nor does it purport to make any recommendations. Rather, this podcast is for informational purposes only and is not to be relied upon for any investment purposes. This podcast does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. It is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial products, or as a recommendation, and/or investment advice. You should not act on the information in this podcast. The Bank believes that the information in this podcast is correct and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations made are reasonably held at the time given, and are based on the information available at the time of its compilation. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is made or provided as to accuracy, reliability or completeness of any statement made. Liability Disclaimer The Bank does not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of any error or omission in or from the information provided or arising out of the use of all or part of the podcast.
The next US Consumer Price Inflation report will be out this week, and economists are speculating about what this could mean going forward. Markets are keeping an eye on things, as inflation continues to be an issue in the US. Harbour Asset Management's Shane Solly explains further. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week on Macro Mondays, James Brodie, James Todd & Will Cunliffe breaks down the biggest macro market movers: US economy falters - July jobs report shows just 73k new jobs, the weakest hiring since COVID, plus a massive 259k downward revision. ISM manufacturing and services PMIs point to stagflation risks.Fed rate cut bets surge - Markets now price -58bp by year-end and -111bp over 12 months; JP Morgan expects three consecutive cuts.Trump escalates tariffs - New 15%–100% levies on Japan, India, and chip imports, plus Nvidia/AMD paying 15% of China sales to the US government.Global slowdown signals - Eurozone PMIs sink, German industrial production falls -1.9%, UK manufacturing contracts, and China's PPI deflation deepens.Equity concentration risk - S&P 500's top 10 stocks now make up 40% of market cap; Nvidia alone is 8% of the index, while breadth weakens.Commodities in focus –- Gold eyes a $3,430 breakout amid Trump's Fed nomination; Bitcoin and Ethereum extend rallies; Brent crude slips on weaker Chinese demand.Stock spotlights - Palantir's sky-high PE (620) sparks bubble talk; Tesla breaks higher on strong technicals. Plus, James, James and Will cover key data ahead: US CPI, OPEC report, UK & German figures, and Chinese retail sales , all with potential to spark volatility in the weeks ahead.
In the week ahead, all eyes will be on US CPI data which is likely to tick up. We preview the key data releases from the UK and Europe, as well as the Norges Bank decision coming up. We discuss the contrasting outcomes that we expect from the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Thailand. Finally, in a special segment in this episode, we focus on the US Dollar and why keeping a soft medium-term dollar view makes sense. Chapters: (US: 01:36, EMEA: 08:18, Asia: 14:57, FX Special Segment: 21:18).
After an extraordinarily divisive Bank of England policy meeting, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing explores why it's become so difficult to get a clear read on the UK economy. Part of the problem lies with the data – an issue now making headlines in the US following Donald Trump's dismissal of the Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner. Neil explains what this means for the credibility of official data and what to watch for in the upcoming BLS inflation release, which could prove pivotal for the Fed's September decision. Plus, Thomas Ryan from our US team looks at why Trump's promises to restore American manufacturing are likely to fall far short of reality.Analysis and events referenced in this episode:Read: Miran a good pick for the FedRead: Integrity of economic data safe for nowUS Drop-In: Are higher tariff rates fuelling inflation – and how should the Fed respond?Data: UK Employment IndicatorRead: Tariffs will not fix decades-long manufacturing decline
Daniel discusses the influence of tariff on the latest US CPI inflation figure, the reaction from risky assets, and what investors should be watching out for. Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered Bank For more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
APAC stocks were ultimately mixed with the region indecisive in the aftermath of the latest Chinese GDP and activity data.European equity futures indicate a marginally higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Monday.DXY has given back some of yesterday's gains, EUR/USD remains on a 1.16 handle, other majors are contained.EU draws up retaliatory tariffs for US goods in case a trade deal is not reached, including aircraft and booze, according to WSJ.Crude futures remained subdued after US President Trump announced 100% tariffs on Russia and secondary sanctions on other countries that buy oil from Russia if a Ukraine deal is not struck within 50 days.The ECB is to discuss a more negative scenario next week than previously envisaged in June after Trump's latest tariff threat, according to Reuters.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Industrial Production, German ZEW, US & Canadian CPI, OPEC MOMR, Bundesbank Monthly Report, Fed's Bowman, Barr, Barkin & Collins, BoE's Bailey & UK Chancellor Reeves, Supply from Germany, Earnings from JPMorgan, Blackrock, Wells Fargo, Citi and Ericsson.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
EU draws up retaliatory tariffs for US goods in case a trade deal is not reached, including aircraft and booze, according to WSJ.European bourses are modestly firmer, US futures also gain with clear outperformance in the NQ boosted by NVIDIA.NVIDIA (+5% pre-market) to resume H20 sales to China and announces new, fully compliant GPU for China.USD a little lower into US CPI, Antipodeans top the G10 pile given the risk sentiment.USTs flat into CPI & Bowman, Bunds lead, OATs await Bayrou & Gilts await Bailey/Reeves.Crude lower but off worst levels on reports that Trump asked if Ukraine are able to hit Moscow with US weapons.Looking ahead, US & Canadian CPI, OPEC MOMR, Bundesbank Monthly Report, Speakers including Fed's Bowman, Barr, Barkin & Collins, BoE's Bailey & UK Chancellor Reeves. Earnings from JPMorgan, Blackrock, Wells Fargo, Citi.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Markets erupted this week as oil spiked 13% overnight following Israeli strikes on Iran. Anthony and Piers unpack what it all means from geopolitical shockwaves to the tactical chaos of trading during breaking news.They also dive into the concept of backwardation and why it's dominated the oil market for years, despite the headlines. Plus, what U.S. inflation data reveals about Trump's tariff strategy and the real pressure behind his attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell.With the Fed meeting looming, a surging FTSE defying weak UK GDP, and signs of a subtle U.S.–China détente in London, this episode helps you connect the dots in a world full of noise.(00:00) Intro & Key Themes in Focus(02:14) Market Reactions to Geopolitical Events(12:33) Understanding Oil Market Dynamics(17:47) US Inflation Data and Its Implications(25:39) Trump Pressures the Fed to Cut(27:50) US-China Relations and Market Impact(32:45) UK GDP and the Resilience of the FTSE 100
Daniel discusses that latest US CPI figure, the building of the narrative of Fed rate cut, and the re-kindling of interests in bonds.Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
Today a quick update on another strong day for risk sentiment as the AI focus is reheating with a significant rise in AI commitments from Meta and even Intel showing signs of life. Also, a quick rundown on the important of today's US CPI release for May and some thoughts on what is at stake here if Trump's coalition is increasingly fragile and the implications if so. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. John's final article in four-part series on Rules for the Trump 2.0 Market Era. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.
US equity futures are slightly lower after Tuesday's gains. European markets are firmer in early trade, while Asian markets ended higher with broad gains across Greater China and Korea. US and China reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus, though execution still requires approval from Presidents Trump and Xi. Commerce Secretary Lutnick suggested rare earth and magnet issues may be resolved through the deal, but any US export control easing depends on reciprocal Chinese moves. US-India and US-Mexico are reportedly close to interim trade deals addressing digital access and tariff relief, according to Reuters and Bloomberg. Eyes turn to Wednesday's US CPI report, where tariffs are expected to show up in higher core inflation. Elon Musk just now said he regrets his recent comments about President Trump.Companies Mentioned: Tesla, Lockheed Martin, Starbucks, General Mills
Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
APAC stocks were mostly higher amid the recent trade-related optimism stemming from the US-China trade talks in London which have now concluded.US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said they have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus; will return to the US to see if Trump approves.Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang said the two sides reached a consensus regarding the Geneva meeting; will report on the framework to leaders.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.4% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.1% on Tuesday.USD is broadly firmer vs. peers, EUR/USD is retaining a 1.14 handle, USD/JPY is oscillating around the 145 mark, GBP eyes the UK spending review.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB Wage Tracker, US CPI & Weekly Earnings, UK Spending Review, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, Lane & Cipollone, Supply from Australia, UK, Germany & US, Earnings from Oracle and Inditex.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said they have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus; will return to the US to see if Trump approves.Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang said the two sides reached a consensus regarding the Geneva meeting; will report on the framework to leaders.European bourses are firmer this morning, though with Retail lagging; Stateside, futures are just into the red into CPI.DXY choppy but contained within Tuesday's parameters so far. Fixed benchmarks pressured into CPI, Gilts lag.Crude has seen notable two-way action on reporting around Iran. XAU edges higher, base metals mixed. Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI & Weekly Earnings, UK Spending Review, Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Supply from the US, Earnings from Oracle.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
This week, we're tracking Ethereum's continued ascent, which has now seen an incredible 14 consecutive days of ETF inflows. Bullish sentiment is reflected across the board with both ETH and BTC basis trading above 10%, while Bitcoin's market dominance holds strong at 65.45%. We'll also dive into the recent strength in DeFi tokens like UNI, AAVE, and SKY following favorable comments from former SEC Commissioner Paul Atkins, and what this signals for the sector's future.The macro landscape is packed with catalysts. We're monitoring US/China trade talks as the July 9th tariff pause deadline approaches, the progress of the "Big Beautiful Bill" through the House, and a critical week for economic data with US CPI and PPI releases. Markets will also be watching the U.S. 30-year bond auction on Thursday for signals on the economy.The main event this week is our stablecoin focus, with the US Senate reportedly set for a vote on the GENIUS stablecoin bill this Wednesday. We'll explore what's next if it passes and the broader industry momentum, including Circle's IPO, Plasma's $500M raise, and reports of major companies like Apple, X, and Airbnb exploring stablecoin payments.We then turn to corporate crypto adoption, discussing a new Standard Chartered report showing 61 public companies now hold 3.2% of Bitcoin's total supply, and how the market is thinking about the risks associated with these growing treasury strategies. We'll also touch on key Bitcoin Core development around transaction relay policy and what it means for the network's future.In the NFT space, Yuga Labs continues to narrow its focus by sunsetting its DAO to launch APE Co.Finally, in Coinbase news: a new report indicates 60% of Fortune 500 firms are working on blockchain initiatives, Prime has advanced its ETH staking capabilities, the "State of Crypto" event is this Thursday and we share a consumer protection PSA.Topics Covered:Market Dynamics:Ethereum's 14-day ETF inflow streak and price ascent.High ETH & BTC basis (>10%) and BTC Dominance (65.45%).DeFi token strength (UNI, AAVE, SKY) following Paul Atkins' comments.Macro & US Policy:US/China trade talks & July 9th tariff deadline.Progress of the "Big Beautiful Bill."Key Economic Data: US CPI, PPI, and the 30-year bond auction.Stablecoin Deep Dive:Upcoming US Senate vote on the GENIUS stablecoin bill.Industry fundraising: Circle IPO, Plasma $500m raise, Noah.Corporate exploration of stablecoin payments (Apple, X, Airbnb).Corporate Adoption & Bitcoin Core:Standard Chartered report: 61 public companies hold 3.2% of BTC.Risks and strategies for corporate crypto treasuries.Bitcoin Core development on transaction relay policy.NFT Ecosystem:Yuga Labs sunsets DAO to launch APE Co.Coinbase News:Report: 60% of Fortune 500 working on blockchain.Product: Advanced ETH staking capabilities on Prime."State of Crypto" on June 12th.A consumer protection PSA.Our latest ad - Who's got the “Price of Housing in Bitcoin” chart?
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to U.S CPI and PPI data and Tesla’s Robotaxi launch. In the UK – a look ahead to London’s Tech Summit. In Asia – a look ahead to readings on Chinese exports, as well industrial production and retail sales. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to U.S CPI and PPI data and Tesla’s Robotaxi launch. In the UK – a look ahead to London’s Tech Summit. In Asia – a look ahead to readings on Chinese exports, as well industrial production and retail sales. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
Nora Szentivanyi and Michael Hanson discuss key takeaways from the latest Global Inflation monitor and the impact of tariffs on inflation in the US and the rest of the world. After a broad-based upside surprise in January, core inflation has shown a similar widespread moderation. The US CPI data show limited impact from tariffs through March, but we look for core inflation to jump to a 6%ar this quarter and next. At the same time, inflationary impulses in the rest of the world appear tilted to the downside; a pullback in US front-loading demand along with a decoupling of US-China trade should put downward pressure on goods prices as excess supply is redirected elsewhere. Absent a meaningful retaliation, we see core inflation outside the US moderating to 2.5-3%ar over 2H25. This podcast was recorded on April 30, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4966015-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4956489-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4960640-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.