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IMPORTANT: remember, our content is moving away from YouTube and across to Flux.Live as of next week, so make sure to checkout our comprehensive news website for your daily energy news.In the final episode of the Flux News Show, before we move our shows across to Flux.live, Group CEO Greg Newman, Harry Campion-Evans from Onyx Markets and Geek in the Seat, Martha Dowding, dive deep into a cooling global oil market where volatility has dried up and traders are left waiting for a catalyst.They explore technical signals like Bollinger Band pinches, why Brent keeps hitting resistance at $70/bbl, and how options and volumes are painting a muted picture. Plus, a deep look at EU-US energy trade deals, refinery impacts from China to the North Sea, and the surprising fallout from a glut of high-sulphur fuel in Asia. Whether you're tracking cracks, spreads, or the macro grind, this one's for you.Topics include:Why volatility is collapsing across energy marketsBrent/Dubai spread moves and what they signalUS LNG expansion and EU energy security playsThe reshuffling of refinery flows and trade arbitrageTotal's Q2 earnings slump and the underestimated power of trading desksWhy Japan's power futures surge matters, and who's cashing in Please note, this episode was recorded at 9am BST on 29th July, 2025.Chapters for this episode are:0:28 Introduction1:29 Temperature Gauge: Your Pulse on the Market 7:00 Herd Mentality: What's Driving the Market?15:11 The Officials - The Technical Breakdown21:13 Macro Mayhem: Macro Market News40:11 Crack Spread Chronicles: Refinery Margins41:34 Gold Rush: Where Traders Struck Big!43:54 Widow Maker: The Market's Biggest Trading Losses51:47 Crystal Ball: Trade Ideas & Forward-Looking Analysis
In this episode of Macro Mondays, James Todd, Will Cunliffe, and Edward Hayden-Briffett unpack the week that was in global markets. Markets are reacting to sweeping new trade deals - notably a major US-EU agreement involving zero tariffs and massive energy investments - while weak US and Eurozone PMIs, consolidating precious metals, and rising Japanese yields signal caution. Meanwhile, investors are withdrawing from US Treasuries amid political uncertainty, China's economy is under pressure despite upcoming stimulus, and global attention turns to a packed week of critical economic data releases.
In this episode, hosts Luke and Ronnie welcome AI enthusiast Jerome Johnson to explore how traders can harness artificial intelligence as their personal trading coach. Discover how to create your own team of AI specialists - from "Risk Rachel" to "Growth Gary" - that can analyze your trading patterns, challenge your decisions, and help improve your performance. Learn practical applications using tools like Perplexity and Claude, from researching market events in real-time to identifying hidden patterns in your trading history. The trio demonstrates how AI is democratizing capabilities once reserved for institutional traders, while addressing the risks and showing you exactly how to get started today.Key Timestamps:00:00:00 - 05:15 | Introduction & AI Foundations05:15 - 14:00 | AI as Your Trading Partner14:00 - 29:02 | Building Your AI Trading Team29:02 - 40:03 | Advanced Applications & Risks40:03 - 44:09 | Getting Started & CommunityRuntime: 44:16 minutesRemember to like and subscribe!Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit.Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They're not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment.Your capital may be at risk.
In this week's episode of the Flux News Show, Greg Newman, Harry Campion-Evans, and Mita Chaturvedi break down why middle distillates like diesel are defying the trend and driving oil markets. They dive deep into the distillates rally, unpacking how chronically low stocks, disjointed refining activity, and CTA-led momentum flipped what looked like a stop-out into a full-blown bull run.Meanwhile, soaring diesel-led margins and rare summer tightness in the physical market are reshaping the narrative on cracks and spreads — and few saw it coming.The team also touches on new hedge fund launches, the shifting macro backdrop around US–EU trade tensions, and the latest on the Murban pricing saga, as PLATTS faces scrutiny over a controversial methodology tweak.In the Crystal Ball, Greg, Harry, and Mita debate whether the distillate tightness is here to stay - and what it means for Brent, refinery utilization, and product flows heading into peak demand season.
In this episode of Macro Mondays, James Todd & Edward Hayden-Briffett unpack a high-stakes week in global markets; where rising bond yields, China's deepening economic slump, and Trump's provocative economic rhetoric have stirred volatility across assets. As fears of stagflation hit the UK, and the tech rally pushes into bubble territory, markets are bracing for unpredictable shifts ahead.
Handeln Sie weltweit an über 60 Börsen. Aktien, ETFs, Anleihen, Optionen und vieles mehr zu günstigsten Konditionen – www.whselfinvest.de.Du möchtest die aktuelle Ausgabe des Traders´unverbindlich lesen? Dann sichere Dir Dein Exemplar hier: Traders´ GratisexemplarWas passiert eigentlich in einem Live-Tradingroom? Warum schaffen viele Trader es nicht auch trotz konkreter Anleitung erfolgreich zu sein? Carlos Martins berichtet in dieser Folge aus seiner langjährigen Erfahrung in der Leitung des größten Tradingrooms Deutschlands.Hier erfährst du mehr über Carlos Martins: tradersclub24.deLinks:Sichere Dir meine kostenlosen Tradingimpulse und mein kostenloses ebook: Hier abonnierenVereinbare hier Dein kostenfreies Trader-Coaching mit Wieland Arlt: TradercoachingWebsite: www.torero-traders-school.comInstagram: @traderwielandYouTube: Torero Traders School TVDie Bücher von Wieland Arlt (Affiliate Links)55 Gründe, Trader zu werdenRisiko- und Money-Management - Simplified **Disclaimer:**Der Handel mit Futures, Forex und CFDs birgt hohe Risiken und ist nicht für jeden Trader geeignet. Ein Trader kann möglicherweise mehr Geld als das eingesetzte Kapital verlieren. Risikokapital ist das Geld, das bei dessen Verlust keine Änderung der Finanzsituation mit sich bringt bzw. keinen Einfluss auf das Leben des Betroffenen entfaltet. Für den Handel sollte nur Risikokapital verwendet werden. Anlageerfolge in der Vergangenheit sind keine Garantie für Anlageerfolge in der Zukunft.Die von der Torero Traders School („TTS“) im Rahmen des Kursangebots vorgestellten Analysen, Marktkommentare, Meinungen und durchgeführten Transaktionen sind keine Beratung oder Wertpapierdienstleistung im Sinne des Wertpapierhandelsgesetzes und stellen kein Angebot und keine Aufforderung zum Kauf, Halten oder Verkauf von Wertpapieren, CFDs oder Derivaten dar. Sie sind lediglich Lehrmaterial und dienen ausschließlich der Vermittlung der jeweiligen Inhalte des Kursangebots.Die Torero Traders School übernimmt deshalb keine Haftung für vorgestellte Meinungen, Analysen, Strategien oder andere Informationen. Besucher der Webseite und Teilnehmer des Kursangebots von TTS, die aufgrund der veröffentlichten Inhalte Anlageentscheidungen treffen und/ oder Transaktionen durchführen, handeln in vollem Umfang auf eigene Gefahr und auf eigenes Risiko.Mentioned in this episode:WH SelfinvestHier erfährst Du mehr über WH Selfinvest (Affiliatelink): WH Selfinvest
En el Consultorio de Bolsa con gerardoortega.es y victorgalanbolsa.com, Gerardo Ortega y Víctor Galán comentan la jornada bursátil y el sentimiento de mercado. Los expertos analizan los siguientes valores que plantean los oyentes: En la Pizarra del Consultorio de Bolsa con gerardoortega.es y victorgalanbolsa.com Sobre Gerardo Ortega Economista y Asesor Financiero certificado, Gerardo Ortega ha desarrollado su carrera profesional asesorando, principalmente y a nivel independiente a grandes patrimonios así como gestionando carteras a nivel institucional (Agencias de Valores). Actualmente y desde 2008 trabaja como analista independiente y responsable del portal financiero https://www.gerardoortega.es/ Colabora de forma exclusiva con CMC Markets desde 2010 como formador (entidad británica líder en intermediación de CFDs.) Ponente en cursos y seminarios sobre análisis y gestión en mercados financieros de diversas Universidades y Facultades de Ciencias Empresariales. Conferenciante habitual en las Ferias de mercados financieros en Madrid, Barcelona y Valencia. Ortega es un convencido del Análisis técnico independiente y de que los precios responden básicamente a las expectativas generadas por el mercado sobre los aspectos fundamentales y macro. Sobre Víctor Galán Analista cuantitativo y técnico. Desde hace casi una década en los mercados financieros. Enfocado en desarrollar estrategias y sistemas de trading. Formación en Trading, derivados (opciones) y macroeconomía. Fundador de Planeta Bolsa y de victorgalanbolsa.com. Apasionado del trading, Galán es licenciado en Económicas con varios postgrados en productos financieros. Destaca el realizado en el Instituto de Estudios Bursátiles de Tesorería. Galán se ha seguido formando en varios cursos más concretos de bolsa, donde ha ido profundizando conceptos sobre Análisis Técnico, Análisis Fundamental, Gestión de Capital y Psicología del Mercado. Los oyentes pueden mandarnos WhatsApp al teléfono 609 22 47 16. Si prefieren hablar directamente con los analistas y comentarles sus dudas, pueden contactarles en el número de teléfono 91 533 18 51.En el Consultorio de Bolsa con gerardoortega.es y victorgalanbolsa.com, Gerardo Ortega y Víctor Galán comentan la jornada bursátil y el sentimiento de mercado. Los expertos analizan los siguientes valores que plantean los oyentes: En la Pizarra del Consultorio de Bolsa con gerardoortega.es y victorgalanbolsa.com Sobre Gerardo Ortega Economista y Asesor Financiero certificado, Gerardo Ortega ha desarrollado su carrera profesional asesorando, principalmente y a nivel independiente a grandes patrimonios así como gestionando carteras a nivel institucional (Agencias de Valores). Actualmente y desde 2008 trabaja como analista independiente y responsable del portal financiero https://www.gerardoortega.es/ Colabora de forma exclusiva con CMC Markets desde 2010 como formador (entidad británica líder en intermediación de CFDs.) Ponente en cursos y seminarios sobre análisis y gestión en mercados financieros de diversas Universidades y Facultades de Ciencias Empresariales. Conferenciante habitual en las Ferias de mercados financieros en Madrid, Barcelona y Valencia. Ortega es un convencido del Análisis técnico independiente y de que los precios responden básicamente a las expectativas generadas por el mercado sobre los aspectos fundamentales y macro. Sobre Víctor Galán Analista cuantitativo y técnico. Desde hace casi una década en los mercados financieros. Enfocado en desarrollar estrategias y sistemas de trading. Formación en Trading, derivados (opciones) y macroeconomía. Fundador de Planeta Bolsa y de victorgalanbolsa.com. Apasionado del trading, Galán es licenciado en Económicas con varios postgrados en productos financieros. Destaca el realizado en el Instituto de Estudios Bursátiles de Tesorería. Galán se ha seguido formando en varios cursos más concretos de bolsa, donde ha ido profundizando conceptos sobre Análisis Técnico, Análisis Fundamental, Gestión de Capital y Psicología del Mercado. Los oyentes pueden mandarnos WhatsApp al teléfono 609 22 47 16. Si prefieren hablar directamente con los analistas y comentarles sus dudas, pueden contactarles en el número de teléfono 91 533 18 51.
In this week's episode of the Flux News Show, Harry Campion-Evans steps in for Group CEO Greg Newman and joins Harinder Sandhu and Vincent Wu to dissect the shifting tides in global oil markets.The team kicks off with a bullish shift in market fundamentals, driven by strong open interest in Brent options, rising refinery margins, and the impact of U.S. sanctions rhetoric. They then dig into the distillate rally, where July–August gas oil spreads hit their highest levels since the Russian invasion. With inventory draws in the U.S. and Europe, and hedge funds piling into long positions, gas oil is shaping up to be the star of Q3. On the flip side, the fuel oil market saw a dramatic sell-off, as supply flooded into Singapore, overwhelming demand and triggering a steep decline in cracks and spreads — a major blow for traders who had been long throughout the summer.The team also unpacks China's aggressive crude buying, highlighting record Saudi allocations and ramping refinery run rates, which could support prices through the second half of the year. Finally, they take on Trump's renewed tariff threats, analysing whether they hold weight or are being shrugged off by increasingly sceptical markets.In the Crystal Ball segment, the Harry, Harinder and Vincent give their outlook on Brent futures, product cracks, and seasonal demand patterns, with some heated debate along the way. Want to trade?Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
In this episode of Macro Mondays, James Brodie, James Todd & Will Cunliffe unpack the latest macro crosscurrents dominating global markets—from record-breaking equity rallies to deepening economic strains in China and the U.S., and a major resurgence in precious metals and crypto. As global trade tensions escalate and monetary policy remains uncertain, markets are grappling with mixed signals and elevated volatility.
En el Consultorio de Bolsa con gerardoortega.es y Crypto Forex Systems, Gerardo Ortega y Javier González analizan la jornada bursátil y el sentimiento del mercado. Los expertos analizan en el Consultorio de Bolsa con gerardoortega.es y Crypto Forex Systems los siguientes valores que nos plantean los oyentes: Sobre Gerardo Ortega Economista y Asesor Financiero certificado, Gerardo Ortega ha desarrollado su carrera profesional asesorando, principalmente y a nivel independiente a grandes patrimonios así como gestionando carteras a nivel institucional (Agencias de Valores). Actualmente y desde 2008 trabaja como analista independiente y responsable del portal financiero https://www.gerardoortega.es/ Colabora de forma exclusiva con CMC Markets desde 2010 como formador (entidad británica líder en intermediación de CFDs.) Ponente en cursos y seminarios sobre análisis y gestión en mercados financieros de diversas Universidades y Facultades de Ciencias Empresariales. Conferenciante habitual en las Ferias de mercados financieros en Madrid, Barcelona y Valencia. Ortega es un convencido del Análisis técnico independiente y de que los precios responden básicamente a las expectativas generadas por el mercado sobre los aspectos fundamentales y macro. Sobre Javier González Javier es ingeniero de Teleco, MBA y AMP por el IE. Tiene una larga trayectoria internacional en el sector IT. Hace unos años le picó el virus de la inversión y desde entonces, se ha especializado en finanzas cuantitativas, sobre todo en trading algorítmico. Actualmente, desarrolla su actividad como advisor, trader independiente y fundador de CryptoForexSystems.com. Estrategias buy & hold, tendenciales, de cobertura, con staking.. Hay muchas opciones de inversión, tantas como personas. Te enseñamos a pescar, tú elige que caña utilizar. Javier González es ingeniero de Telecomunicaciones y trader independiente desde 2006. Programador de estrategias y sistemas de inversión de 2013, ha dedicado mucho tiempo y pasión a entender y buscar ventajas estadísticas en distintos mercados: Renta Vairable (ETFs, Acciones), Forex, y últimamente, más dedicado a crypto. Con afán de demostrar que las inversiones no son tan complicadas y que el mundo crypto no es tan horrible como lo pintan. En los consultorios de Bolsa de Cierre de Mercados, los oyentes pueden mandarnos WhatsApp al teléfono 609 22 47 16. Si prefieren hablar directamente con los analistas y comentarles sus dudas, pueden contactarles en el número de teléfono 915331851.
In this of Trading Corner, hosts Manny and James dissect the extraordinary strength in the gasoil market and unravel the mechanics behind dislocations across the barrel. From front spreads hitting unprecedented highs to refinery margins soaring amid tight diesel supplies, Manny and James explore why the usual summer seasonality is failing to materialise.They examine the knock-on effects on crude, particularly the puzzling weakness in prompt physical markets despite bullish futures curves and the implications for refinery utilization and freight. As the conversation evolves, they assess regional dynamics, from European strength to softer Eastern margins, and discuss how arbitrage and freight might balance the global flows.Trade Ideas Discussed:- Manny - Bearish WTI Brent Position & Short Front Flys - James - Long Dec 26 EBOB CracksCFDs and spread bets are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts lose money when trading in CFDs and spread bets. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs and spread bets work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
In this episode of the Flux News podcast, Group CEO Greg Newman is back alongside Research Associate Martha Dowding and Research Analyst Will Cunliffe to break down the oil market's summer reset following the “12-day war” shock. With volumes and conviction draining out of the system, the team explores whether the return to calm signals a true inflexion point - or just the eye of the storm. This week's discussion dives into:• OPEC's latest move: why a larger-than-expected paper unwind didn't shake the market - and what the Saudi OSP hike is really signalling• China's quiet buying spree, refinery margins at record highs, and what they reveal about demand• Europe's extreme weather: how heatwaves are throttling refinery output and driving distillate cracks skyward• Macro mayhem: the U.S. dollar's strange new correlation with oil, Trump's tariff chaos, and signs of a bearish shift in U.S. economic leadership• Gasoline's fade: why cracks are slipping even in peak summer, and whether the distillate rally is now overcooked• UK pump prices are rising again - what the forward curve tells us about what you'll pay next• The Gold Rush and the Widowmaker: who made money in the Brent time spreads, and who got burned in the gasoline-gas oil spread unwind Want to trade? Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
Join James Brodie, James Todd, and Will Cunliffe for a brand new episode of Macro Mondays, as they unpack another volatile week in global markets. This episode was recorded at 11am BST on Monday, the 7th of July, 2025.
Handeln Sie weltweit an über 60 Börsen. Aktien, ETFs, Anleihen, Optionen und vieles mehr zu günstigsten Konditionen – www.whselfinvest.de.Du möchtest die aktuelle Ausgabe des Traders´unverbindlich lesen? Dann sichere Dir Dein Exemplar hier: Traders´ GratisexemplarWie kann man Saisonalitäten mit Optionen handeln? Claudia Jankewitz ist Optionshändlerin mit Leib und Seele und verrät in dieser Folge, worauf es ankommt, um gekonnt auf den Wellen der Zeiten zu traden.Links:Sichere Dir meine kostenlosen Tradingimpulse und mein kostenloses ebook: Hier abonnierenVereinbare hier Dein kostenfreies Trader-Coaching mit Wieland Arlt: TradercoachingWebsite: www.torero-traders-school.comInstagram: @traderwielandYouTube: Torero Traders School TVDie Bücher von Wieland Arlt (Affiliate Links)55 Gründe, Trader zu werdenRisiko- und Money-Management - Simplified **Disclaimer:**Der Handel mit Futures, Forex und CFDs birgt hohe Risiken und ist nicht für jeden Trader geeignet. Ein Trader kann möglicherweise mehr Geld als das eingesetzte Kapital verlieren. Risikokapital ist das Geld, das bei dessen Verlust keine Änderung der Finanzsituation mit sich bringt bzw. keinen Einfluss auf das Leben des Betroffenen entfaltet. Für den Handel sollte nur Risikokapital verwendet werden. Anlageerfolge in der Vergangenheit sind keine Garantie für Anlageerfolge in der Zukunft.Die von der Torero Traders School („TTS“) im Rahmen des Kursangebots vorgestellten Analysen, Marktkommentare, Meinungen und durchgeführten Transaktionen sind keine Beratung oder Wertpapierdienstleistung im Sinne des Wertpapierhandelsgesetzes und stellen kein Angebot und keine Aufforderung zum Kauf, Halten oder Verkauf von Wertpapieren, CFDs oder Derivaten dar. Sie sind lediglich Lehrmaterial und dienen ausschließlich der Vermittlung der jeweiligen Inhalte des Kursangebots.Die Torero Traders School übernimmt deshalb keine Haftung für vorgestellte Meinungen, Analysen, Strategien oder andere Informationen. Besucher der Webseite und Teilnehmer des Kursangebots von TTS, die aufgrund der veröffentlichten Inhalte Anlageentscheidungen treffen und/ oder Transaktionen durchführen, handeln in vollem Umfang auf eigene Gefahr und auf eigenes Risiko.Mentioned in this episode:WH SelfinvestHier erfährst Du mehr über WH Selfinvest (Affiliatelink): WH Selfinvest
En el Consultorio de Bolsa con Trive, Gerardo Ortega, para comentar la jornada bursátil. Asimismo, nuestros expertos analizan en el Consultorio de Bolsa los siguientes valores por los que les preguntan los oyentes: Sobre Gerardo Ortega Economista y Asesor Financiero certificado, Gerardo Ortega ha desarrollado su carrera profesional asesorando, principalmente y a nivel independiente a grandes patrimonios así como gestionando carteras a nivel institucional (Agencias de Valores). Actualmente y desde 2008 trabaja como analista independiente y responsable del portal financiero https://www.gerardoortega.es/ Colabora de forma exclusiva con CMC Markets desde 2010 como formador (entidad británica líder en intermediación de CFDs.) Ponente en cursos y seminarios sobre análisis y gestión en mercados financieros de diversas Universidades y Facultades de Ciencias Empresariales. Conferenciante habitual en las Ferias de mercados financieros en Madrid, Barcelona y Valencia. Ortega es un convencido del Análisis técnico independiente y de que los precios responden básicamente a las expectativas generadas por el mercado sobre los aspectos fundamentales y macro. En los consultorios de Bolsa de Cierre de Mercados, los oyentes pueden mandarnos WhatsApp al teléfono 609 22 47 16. Si prefieren hablar directamente con los analistas y comentarles sus dudas, pueden contactarles en el número de teléfono 915331851.
In this episode of the Flux News podcast, Group CEO Greg Newman is joined by Harry Campion-Evans from Onyx Markets and "Geek in the Seat" Harinder Sandhu to unpack the aftermath of the Israel-Iran conflict and its whiplash effect on global oil markets. With volatility collapsing, producer hedging accelerating, and refiners raking in profits, they look beneath the headlines to understand who actually came out on top - and why the bearish consensus might be getting ahead of itself. This week's discussion dives into:• The volatility unwind: how trade houses crushed overpriced options after the ceasefire• Why flat price ignored the news flow - and what Brent spreads reveal about true sentiment• The return of Iranian barrels, Trump's oil tweets, and what they mean for 2025 balances• OPEC's next move: paper unwind or physical flood? And why the Saudis are playing it slow• CTA, hedge fund, and retail whiplash: who faded the spike, and who got caught?• Crack spreads remain sky-high, even as UK refineries shut down. What's really going on here?• And more! Want to trade?Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
In this episode of Macro Mondays, James Brodie, James Todd & Will Cunliffe unpack the most volatile macro crosscurrents in markets as U.S. equities push to fresh all-time highs and the dollar resumes its downtrend. Key highlights include:• U.S. consumer cracks widening• Housing on the brink• Fed doves emerge• Inflation expectations collapse• Employment weakness deepens• Equities defy fundamentals• Gold tests key support• Dollar dives• Hedge funds retreat: CTAs flip net short, and Andurand's flagship fund drops another 12.7%• BOE turns dovish• Tesla soars & Nvidia at new highs Key data releases this week:
Trading Corner | Crude Oil Chaos, Brent Structure, and Summer Market OutlookWelcome back to Trading Corner! In this episode, Manny and James dive into one of the most volatile two-week stretches in recent crude oil markets. From surprise short-covering rallies to aggressive sell-offs, they unpack the psychology and positioning behind the recent price swings — and what they reveal about market sentiment. Topics covered:The dramatic market reaction around Friday the 13thCrude oil structure analysis: flatprice, spreads, and contangoGeopolitical risk: Iran & the Strait of Hormuz threatCTA flows and positioning trendsBrent vs. WTI dynamics and TI-Brent outlookRefinery margins and crack spread behaviourDistillate vs. gasoline: “Widowmaker” tradesDeferred contracts and structural shorts With deep insights from live desk experience, this episode covers both macro and micro market forces, real-time trader psychology, and how institutions are positioning into the summer months. Trade Ideas Discussed: Short Sep/Oct v Oct/Nov Brent Short Dec/Jun/Dec Brent Short WTI-BrentLong Dec 26 EBOB #CrudeOil #Brent #OilTrading #CommodityMarkets #RefineryMargins #TradingStrategy #EnergyMarkets #CTA #Geopolitics #StraitsOfHormuz #TradingCorner CFDs and spread bets are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts lose money when trading in CFDs and spread bets. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs and spread bets work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
In this episode, Group CEO Greg Newman is joined by Director of Benchmarking Jorge Montepeque and Research Associate Vincent Wu to unpack a volatile week in oil markets following missile exchanges between Israel and Iran - exacerbated by the U.S. stepping in. With a dramatic rally in options and front-end time spreads giving way to an even sharper collapse, the team dissects what actually drove the price action—and what happens next. This week's discussion dives into:• Why options (not flat price) drove the rally: open interest, hedging panic, and call buying hysteria• The Strait of Hormuz closure fear trade; how serious is the risk of strait closure?• The Polymarket signal, GPS jamming rumours, and real-time tanker trolling• How ADNOC's tactics sparked chaos in the physical market - and put the Murban benchmark at risk• CTAs, hedge funds, and retail: who made money, and who got smoked?• Refinery margins explode again: who hedged at the top and what it means for supply• Plus: the return of OPEC to the spotlight - and why Trump's oil tweets may matter more than ever Want to trade? Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
Join James Brodie & Will Cunliffe for a brand new episode of Macro Mondays, as they unpack another volatile week in global markets.
Handeln Sie weltweit an über 60 Börsen. Aktien, ETFs, Anleihen, Optionen und vieles mehr zu günstigsten Konditionen – www.whselfinvest.de.Du möchtest die aktuelle Ausgabe des Traders´unverbindlich lesen? Dann sichere Dir Dein Exemplar hier: Traders´ GratisexemplarWas hat Auswandern mit Trading zu tun und welche Voraussetzungen muss man mitbringen, damit beides erfolgreich ist? Alex Kaspereit gibt im Gespräch Wieland Arlt interessante Einblicke in die wichtigsten Voraussetzungen für mehr Freiheit im Leben.Hier findest du mehr über Alex Kaspereit: Links:Sichere Dir meine kostenlosen Tradingimpulse und mein kostenloses ebook: Hier abonnierenVereinbare hier Dein kostenfreies Trader-Coaching mit Wieland Arlt: TradercoachingWebsite: www.torero-traders-school.comInstagram: @traderwielandYouTube: Torero Traders School TVDie Bücher von Wieland Arlt (Affiliate Links)55 Gründe, Trader zu werdenRisiko- und Money-Management - Simplified **Disclaimer:**Der Handel mit Futures, Forex und CFDs birgt hohe Risiken und ist nicht für jeden Trader geeignet. Ein Trader kann möglicherweise mehr Geld als das eingesetzte Kapital verlieren. Risikokapital ist das Geld, das bei dessen Verlust keine Änderung der Finanzsituation mit sich bringt bzw. keinen Einfluss auf das Leben des Betroffenen entfaltet. Für den Handel sollte nur Risikokapital verwendet werden. Anlageerfolge in der Vergangenheit sind keine Garantie für Anlageerfolge in der Zukunft.Die von der Torero Traders School („TTS“) im Rahmen des Kursangebots vorgestellten Analysen, Marktkommentare, Meinungen und durchgeführten Transaktionen sind keine Beratung oder Wertpapierdienstleistung im Sinne des Wertpapierhandelsgesetzes und stellen kein Angebot und keine Aufforderung zum Kauf, Halten oder Verkauf von Wertpapieren, CFDs oder Derivaten dar. Sie sind lediglich Lehrmaterial und dienen ausschließlich der Vermittlung der jeweiligen Inhalte des Kursangebots.Die Torero Traders School übernimmt deshalb keine Haftung für vorgestellte Meinungen, Analysen, Strategien oder andere Informationen. Besucher der Webseite und Teilnehmer des Kursangebots von TTS, die aufgrund der veröffentlichten Inhalte Anlageentscheidungen treffen und/ oder Transaktionen durchführen, handeln in vollem Umfang auf eigene Gefahr und auf eigenes Risiko.Mentioned in this episode:WH SelfinvestHier erfährst Du mehr über WH Selfinvest (Affiliatelink): WH Selfinvest
In this episode, Group CEO Greg Newman is joined by Harry Campion-Evans from Onyx Markets, "Geek in the Seat" Research Associate Martha Dowding, Director of Benchmarking Jorge Montepeque, and Research Associate Will Cunliffe from The Officials. With crude prices spiking and time spreads surging after geopolitical escalation between Israel and Iran, the team explores whether this marks a structural shift or a short-lived frenzy.Is the oil market bracing for sustained turmoil, or is the smart money already fading the move? This week's discussion dives into:• Explosive rallies in Brent time spreads and front-month volatility: geopolitical panic or justified repricing?• Illiquid options markets, call seller pain, and how market makers got caught • Why retail investors are piling in—and why that may signal a top• The Strait of Hormuz dilemma: real flow threats vs. diplomatic suicide• Freight premiums, Dubai vs Brent pricing, and the resilience of global oil logistics• Pump prices and retail backlash: UK wholesale dynamics, delayed pass-throughs, and what end-users can actually do• Plus: refinery margins hit new highs, and which cracks and differentials traders are watching most closely for the next big moveWant to trade?Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
In this explosive episode of Macro Mondays, James Brodie, James Todd & Will Cunliffe unpack the most volatile week in global markets this year.Key highlights include:Middle East tensions flare: The Israel-Iran conflict escalates, sending crude oil surging and gold prices spiking to the critical $3435 resistance level.U.S. inflation cools unexpectedly: CPI and PPI data come in well below consensus, while initial jobless claims rise, deepening recession fears.UK payroll shock: Employment falls sharply post-budget, with unemployment now at 4.6%—the highest since 2021.China data mixed: Consumer prices slip into deflation, while retail sales jump 6.4% amid government stimulus.Fund managers turn bearish: Paul Tudor Jones, Jeffrey Gundlach, and Jamie Dimon issue stark macro warnings—drawing parallels to 2007 and 1999.Stocks under pressure: U.S. equities break key support levels; insider selling hits record highs; tech valuations remain stretched.Dollar sinks to 3-year lows: FX markets react sharply, with EURUSD continuing its uptrend and USDJPY stuck in a tight range.Bitcoin stalls: Price caught between $100K support and $112K resistance as volatility looms.Plus: Central bank bonanza ahead—FOMC, BOE, BOJ, and SNB decisions in focus this week.Tune in for actionable macro insights, technical breakdowns, and positioning analysis from top global fund managers. Don't miss the Charts of the Week, including Meta's crucial support test.
In this episode, Will and Ed from The Officials dive into the upcoming OPEC+ meeting and the latest quota and compliance dynamics shaping oil markets - just days ahead of Saudi Arabia's anticipated OSP announcement. What's Covered:Why OPEC's production cuts remain central to price stabilityThe increasing tension between quota compliance and fiscal needs for producers like Iraq and KazakhstanSaudi Arabia's strategic positioning and growing frustration with non-compliant membersHow market expectations are shifting ahead of the June 5th OPEC meetingThe likely trajectory of Saudi OSPs amid structural softening in Dubai and late-month pricing dynamicsThe evolving Brent/Dubai differential and what it signals for Atlantic Basin and Middle East gradesThe ripple effects of China's tariffs on WTI, and the emerging demand from India and Korea
In this episode of Trading Corner, James and Manny unpack an unusually balanced crude market, where everything should be moving - but isn't. With WTI defying fundamentals, Brent spreads losing steam, and products drifting post-rally, they dig into: Why front-end WTI time spreads are surging above $1What Brent-Dubai convergence says about physical flowsWhy the data window and physical diffs are underwhelming despite peak margin seasonThe resilience of fuel oil cracks and the tightness still priced inA cooling margin environment and what that means for product hedgesTrading strategies for a sideways market: short July/Aug Dated and exit half of Dec ‘26 gasoline longs Glossary terms featured this week: MurbanA light, sweet crude oil produced in Abu Dhabi, known for its high quality and used widely in Asia; a benchmark in the ICE Futures Abu Dhabi market. RallyA period of sustained increase in price action.MarginsThe difference between the prices of refined products and crude inputs, weighted by yield, which represents the refinery's profit (excluding transport and power).DFLDated-to-Frontline. A monthly contract that measures the premium of physical North Sea crude (Dated Brent) to Brent swaps.Time SpreadA time spread, or ‘calendar spread', in oil derivatives, is a strategy where a trader simultaneously buys and sells two futures or options contracts for the same oil quantity but with different expiration dates. This strategy aims to profit from the change in the price difference, or spread, between these two contracts over time.WTIWTI is a light, sweet crude oil that is produced in the United States. It is the main benchmark for US crude oil.CrackDifferential between a barrel of product and barrel of crude. DiffsDifferentials or "diffs" are contracts priced against one another.FlyA calendar spread strategy involving three consecutive contract months. Brent SpreadsA differential of a shorter-term and longer-term Brent futures contract. E.g. the M1/M2 spread is the M1 Brent futures minus the M2 Brent futures contract.
En el Consultorio de Bolsa con gerardoortega.es y victorgalanbolsa.com, Gerardo Ortega y Víctor Galán comentan la jornada bursátil y el sentimiento de mercado. Los expertos analizan los siguientes valores que plantean los oyentes: En la Pizarra del Consultorio de Bolsa con gerardoortega.es y victorgalanbolsa.com Sobre Gerardo Ortega Economista y Asesor Financiero certificado, Gerardo Ortega ha desarrollado su carrera profesional asesorando, principalmente y a nivel independiente a grandes patrimonios así como gestionando carteras a nivel institucional (Agencias de Valores). Actualmente y desde 2008 trabaja como analista independiente y responsable del portal financiero https://www.gerardoortega.es/ Colabora de forma exclusiva con CMC Markets desde 2010 como formador (entidad británica líder en intermediación de CFDs.) Ponente en cursos y seminarios sobre análisis y gestión en mercados financieros de diversas Universidades y Facultades de Ciencias Empresariales. Conferenciante habitual en las Ferias de mercados financieros en Madrid, Barcelona y Valencia. Ortega es un convencido del Análisis técnico independiente y de que los precios responden básicamente a las expectativas generadas por el mercado sobre los aspectos fundamentales y macro. Sobre Víctor Galán Analista cuantitativo y técnico. Desde hace casi una década en los mercados financieros. Enfocado en desarrollar estrategias y sistemas de trading. Formación en Trading, derivados (opciones) y macroeconomía. Fundador de Planeta Bolsa y de victorgalanbolsa.com. Apasionado del trading, Galán es licenciado en Económicas con varios postgrados en productos financieros. Destaca el realizado en el Instituto de Estudios Bursátiles de Tesorería. Galán se ha seguido formando en varios cursos más concretos de bolsa, donde ha ido profundizando conceptos sobre Análisis Técnico, Análisis Fundamental, Gestión de Capital y Psicología del Mercado. Los oyentes pueden mandarnos WhatsApp al teléfono 609 22 47 16. Si prefieren hablar directamente con los analistas y comentarles sus dudas, pueden contactarles en el número de teléfono 91 533 18 51.
In this episode, Group CEO Greg Newman is joined by Harry Campion-Evans from Onyx Markets and Research Associate Mita Chaturvedi to decode the hidden signals driving oil markets higher as speculative capital surges back into crude - despite mixed macro sentiment and seasonal demand concerns. Is this a genuine breakout or another false dawn? This week's discussion dives into:• Brent and WTI futures breaking out: bullish momentum or overextended rally?• Surge in refining utilisation and margin resilience - how long can it last?• Why CTAs are backing off shorts and what that means for risk appetite• The China puzzle: record crude inventories, heavy refinery turnarounds, and what to expect next• OPEC underproduction, Saudi allocations, and the quiet game of signalling restraint• Pump prices, U.S. gasoline demand weakness, and why refiners may be overproducing into a glut• Plus: crack spreads, fuel oil strength, and whether the market is setting up for a Q3 reversalAs mentioned in the episode, our more technical content will be making the move to our Flux platform - which is free with an Onyx Markets account, offers free trials, and offers great value for traders. Learn more & sign up here: https://www.onyxcapitalgroup.com/flux Want to trade? Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
This episode of Macro Mondays aired live at 12:30pm BST on Monday, the 9th of June, 2025.
In this episode, hosts Luke and Ronni explore how traders can leverage free AI tools like Claude and Perplexity to gain institutional-grade capabilities without the hefty price tag. They demonstrate how Perplexity excels at market data and research, while Claude specialises in reasoning and portfolio analysis.We share practical examples of creating watchlists, optimising portfolios, and managing risk using these platforms. They highlight Deloitte research showing AI-powered risk assessment has reduced portfolio drawdowns by 15% for professional funds.This practical guide offers actionable insights for both beginners and experienced investors on using AI as your personal trading coach and analyst through accessible, free platforms that can replace expensive Bloomberg terminals for most retail trading needs.So, would you use AI?Key Timestamps:00:00:34 - Introduction: The Rise of AI in Trading 02:00:13 - Cost-Effective Alternatives to Premium Trading Terminals 04:45:23 - Understanding the Two Key AI Tools: Perplexity vs Claude 08:17:13 - AI as Your Personal Trading Coach 14:09:04 - Using AI Projects for Streamlined Trading Research 17:27:04 - Crafting Effective Prompts: From Vague to Specific 20:25:24 - How Professional Funds Use AI: Performance Metrics26:27:13 - Real-Time Demonstrations: Analyzing Stocks with AI33:10:08 - Practical Benefits: Time-Saving and Decision-Making 40:40:19 - Getting Started and Conclusion Runtime: 46 minutesRemember to like and subscribe!Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit.Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They're not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment.Your capital may be at risk.
In this episode, Group CEO Greg Newman is joined by Research Associate Vincent Wu and Research Analyst Edward Hayden-Briffett to unpack the mounting pressure across the oil market as physical fundamentals clash with financial positioning. Refinery margins are cracking, Brent time spreads have surged then stalled, and OPEC's headline theatre is wearing thin. Are we approaching a tipping point - or just another seesaw in the market?This episode also covers:The Brent market's $60/bbl floor: real support or short-covering illusion?A look into distillate and naphtha weakness - and what it signals for marginsOPEC's layered cuts, voluntary compliance issues, and Abu Dhabi's Murban pivotCrack spread compression and what it means for global refinery utilisationHedge fund activity, CTA short positioning, and why funds are sitting out the rallyPlus: why the physical oil market is finally starting to behave rationally - and what that means for trading the rest of the year. Want to trade?Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
This episode of Macro Mondays aired live at 12:30pm BST on Monday, the 2nd of June, 2025. Research Analyst Will Cunliffe from Onyx Officials joins Direct Trader James Todd as James Brodie is teaching abroad. Join us LIVE every Monday at 12:30 PM UK time for Macro Mondays with James Brodie and James Todd, where we break down the biggest financial market moves and what's coming next!
Welcome back to Trading Corner. This week, James and Manny dive headfirst into the wild ride that is the HSFO market and what it means for cracks, margins, and benchmark distortion.Three trades this week:James' Trade Idea:Hold Long Dec '26 EBOB Crack — Deferred gasoline margins still underpriced with summer upside in sight.Manny's Trade Ideas:Long June/July DFL Roll — Tight barrels and seasonal strength point to continued structure.Long Q3 DFL — Dubai benchmark pricing is misfiring, but physicals suggest upside still to come.From refinery complexity choking HSFO supply, to a benchmark blindspot in Dubai, and a product market that's tightening as the mercury rises, James and Manny unpack the big themes:* Why high-sulfur fuel oil cracks are breaking records* The lead/lag dance between fuel and crude pricing* A deep dive on Dubai's Murban distortion and why it's capping benchmark reaction* When "margin boxes" lie — and how to trade what's really happening* The case for long product / short crude reversals as we enter Q3* Why June vs. July is where the curve gets interestingGlossary terms featured this week:Crack Differential between a barrel of product and crude oil, indicating refinery margin.Volatility Volatility is the degree of variation of a trading price series over time.HSFO Fuel oil with higher sulfur contents - max: 3.5%. Typically used in shipping and power generation.Margins The difference between the prices of refined products and crude oil.Platts Price Reporting Agency which provides benchmark price assessments in the physical energy markets.Lead / Lag The lead-lag relationship in trading describes how one market or asset (the "leader") tends to move ahead of another (the "lagger"), allowing traders to anticipate price movements based on these patterns.Over brought “Over brought” refers to a market condition where a trader has purchased more of a commodity than intended or than the market can absorb, increasing downside risk if demand falls short.Balmo "Balmo" (Balance of Month) refers to contracts covering the remaining days of the current month, used for short-term supply or hedging once the month is underway.Dubai (contract) The Dubai contract is a crude oil benchmark used to price Middle Eastern exports to Asia, reflecting medium sour crude and managed by the Dubai Mercantile Exchange (DME).Naphtha Naphtha is a light, flammable hydrocarbon liquid from petroleum refining, used in gasoline production and widely in industrial and petrochemical processes.
Sleeping Volatility: Giant Waiting in the Wings?In this episode, Greg Newman, Harry Campion-Evans and Harinder Sandhu break down the most explosive move in the fuel oil complex in over a decade. Singapore 380 cracks have surged to triple the 5-year average, with speculative interest hitting record highs. Is this a sustainable bull run—or a dangerously crowded trade?The Flux News Show also covers:The Brent/Dubai spread tightening and its impact on global crude flowsSaudi Arabia's upcoming OSPs and the psychology behind their softer pricing stanceChinese refineries buying behaviour and forward structure flatteningSingapore fuel oil open interest, profit-taking risks, and signs of a market peakRegrade signals and how refiners might play the gasoil-fuel oil spread
This episode of Macro Mondays aired live at 12:30pm BST on Monday, the 27th of May, 2025. Join James Brodie and James Todd , LIVE 12:30 BST, as they break down the biggest financial market moves and what's coming next!
In this episode of The Officials Explain, Will and Ed break down the fascinating world of crude oil grades - and why the market can't afford to ignore their differences.From the lightest Malaysian condensates to Venezuela's goopy Merey 16, they explore how density, sulphur, and even metal content shape both value and logistics.They unpack:• The role of API gravity and sulphur content in defining crude grades• Why yield matters, and how refiners calculate value from gasoline to fuel oil• How soaring fuel oil cracks are flipping traditional Dubai benchmark pricing• The mechanics of quality premiums and sulphur escalators in the North Sea• What refinery setups in Europe, China, and the Gulf of Mexico reveal about global trade flowsThis episode is essential viewing for anyone working with or exposed to crude-linked pricing.All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
In this episode the Talking Shop crew discuss The Psychology of Stop Losses and Why Successful Traders Use Them and Others Don't.Luke Moore and Ronni Agnig demonstrate how proper stop-loss implementation can significantly reduce trading losses, improve risk management, and help retail traders develop emotional discipline - ultimately leading to more consistent profitability. Key Timestamps:00:00:00 Introduction to Stop Losses00:02:12 What is a Stop Loss Mechanically?00:03:31 Understanding Market Orders and Slippage00:04:56 Guaranteed Stop Losses Explained00:06:41 Real Trading Experiences with Stops00:08:18 Why Using Stops Doesn't Mean You're Wrong00:10:59 Managing Headline Risk in Markets00:13:04 Common Excuses for Not Using Stops00:15:25 Volatility Based Stop Loss Model00:17:53 Average True Range (ATR) Explained00:20:52 ATR Implementation for Different Trading Styles00:23:07 Chandelier Exit Strategy00:25:53 Benefits of Trailing Stops in Trending Markets00:28:29 Adapting Stops to Market Conditions00:30:35 Using Options as Alternative Stop Strategies00:32:45 Options Expected Move for Setting Stops00:35:31 Q&A and Final ThoughtsRemember to like and subscribe!Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit.Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They're not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment.Your capital may be at risk.
This episode of Macro Mondays aired live at 12:30pm BST on Monday, the 19th of May, 2025. Research Analyst Will Cunliffe from Onyx Officials joins Direct Trader James Todd as James Brodie is teaching in Singapore.Join us LIVE every Monday at 12:30 PM UK time for Macro Mondays with James Brodie and James Todd, where we break down the biggest financial market moves and what's coming next!
Welcome back to Trading Corner, where the market's on fire and the cracks are even hotter.This week, Manny and James dissect a juicy dislocation between crude spreads and product strength—and roll out three sharp trade ideas:Manny's Trade Ideas:June/July Dated Brent – seeing upside as product tightness bitesLong Q3 Dated Dubai – early shift in Brent/Dubai positioning could extendJames' Trade Idea:Holding Dec ‘26 EBOB Crack – deferred gasoline margins still look underpriced despite recent rally From refinery margins screaming bullish, to physical barrels disappearing in the East, and the return of Brent/Dubai upside flow, this is the setup before summer truly kicks in. Manny and James unpack:High-sulphur fuel oil strength & air con seasonalityRepsol's surprise crude dump and Spain's refinery outagesProduct-crude disconnect and the case for margin compression tradesWhy now might be the time to buy crude relative to product—but only if you know where If you're trading cracks, curves, or calendar spreads, this episode delivers the real context behind price moves. Skip the noise. Play the dislocations. Want to trade? Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/ }
In this episode of the Flux News podcast, Group CEO, Greg Newman, Harry Campion-Evans from Onyx Markets, and Geek in the Seat, Mita Chaturvedi, analyse the past week in the oil market. Greg, Harry, and Mita break down the shifting dynamics in crude markets following the latest OPEC output announcements and Saudi crude allocations. They examine how sentiment flipped from bearish to cautiously bullish, with a focus on the impact of geopolitical risks and physical oil fundamentals - including refinery margins and regional supply signals. The team take a detailed look at the 25-delta risk reversal, implications of volatility normalisation, and what the narrowing put-call skew is telling us about trader positioning. They also cover why hedge fund flows are subdued, how Brent/Dubai spreads are reacting to supply concerns, and the recent rally in Singapore VLSFO time spreads. The Officials also call in to weigh in on Saudi allocations, spot markets, and the North Sea.Want to trade? Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
In Episode 12 of the Two Blokes Trading Podcast, veteran trader Chris Tubby shares insights from over 50 years in the financial markets, explaining why bear markets are his favorite playground.From trading cocoa on chalkboards in the 1970s to calling the 2020 crash ahead of time, Chris has traded through every type of market and technological shift. In this episode, he unpacks his personal strategy for thriving in market downturns, explains how to build consistency through smart risk management, and offers guidance on trading psychology for both new and experienced traders.Listeners will learn why most retail traders fail, how to build emotional resilience, and how to manage positions during volatility. Chris also covers his views on global macro risks, including tariffs, inflation, and debt, and explains how these forces could shape the next potential crash.For traders seeking to improve, this episode provides a rare and unfiltered perspective from someone who has truly seen it all. Chris also shares details of his flagship Master Trading eBook, mentorship programs, and an exclusive 20% discount for Two Blokes Trading listeners.What You'll Learn in This Episode :This episode offers practical, experience-based insights that go far beyond technical setups. Chris Tubby explains how traders can build an edge by embracing rather than fearing bear markets. He outlines his core framework for risk control, including setting daily loss limits, trade journaling, and developing emotional detachment from trades.Listeners will discover the psychological traps that derail retail traders, the crucial difference between demo and live trading, and how asset class rotation helps identify a trader's ideal market. Chris also explores real-world scenarios from the commodity booms of the past to macroeconomic volatility driven by tariffs, inflation, and geopolitical tension.Chris explains why he prefers futures over CFDs, the tools he uses for timing (including pivot points and Fibonacci), and how he applies multi-chart setups like candlestick, Heiken Ashi, and point-and-figure analysis. He also shares a structured approach to entering and exiting trades in zones, scaling in and out, and managing stop-loss placement during market swings.With decades of experience and a direct, no-hype teaching style, Chris provides a high-value session ideal for serious traders looking to level up. He also offers a 20% discount on his 750-page Master Trading eBook and mentoring programs by using code 2BT25 before the end of August.
This episode of Macro Mondays aired live at 12:30pm BST on Monday, the 12th of May, 2025. Join us LIVE every Monday at 12:30 PM UK time for Macro Mondays with James Brodie and James Todd, where we break down the biggest financial market moves and what's coming next!
In this episode of the Flux News podcast, Group CEO, Greg Newman, Harry Campion-Evans from Onyx Markets, and Geek in the Seat, Vincent Wu, analyse the past week in the oil market. Greg, Harry, and Vincent break down the latest developments from OPEC+, analyse the unexpected build in U.S. crude inventories, and explain how macroeconomic indicators like U.S. inflation and China's economic stimulus are moving prices. They also cover refinery maintenance, seasonal demand in approach to summer driving season, Brent forecasts, and more. Will Cunliffe and Edward Hayden-Briffett from The Officials call in to discuss recent movements in Brent/Dubai and a OPEC+'s (potential) price war. Whether you're tracking Brent and WTI prices or watching for the next Fed move, this episode offers actionable insights, trade ideas, and data-backed forecasts for navigating the volatility in energy markets.Want to trade? Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
In this candid episode, the Talking Shop crew discuss the market volatility of April 2025 following President Trump's tariff announcements. They share their personal trading experiences during a "therapy session" for traders facing unprecedented market swings.Key Timestamps:00:27:07: Introduction to the "Talking Shop Therapy Session"02:10:03: Initial tariff announcement and market reaction08:19:20: Sunday night market crash12:59:04: Margin increases and risk management19:41:21: Pete's "Disneyland disaster" trading story24:30:07: "Walk Back Wednesday" and 12% market recovery28:21:16: How the bond market forced policy changes36:16:14: Sector impacts and long-term economic effects43:46:16: Key lessons learned from April turbulenceRemember to like and subscribe!Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit.Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They're not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment.Your capital may be at risk.
In this episode of the Flux News podcast, Group CEO, Greg Newman, Harry Campion from Onyx Markets, and Geek in the Seat, Martha Dowding, analyse the past week in the oil market.Greg, Harry and Martha unpack the long-term implications of OPEC's latest production cuts and the escalating tug-of-war between supply control and market stability. They discuss how OPEC's coordinated actions - particularly from key players like Saudi Arabia and Russia - are expected to fuel a 5-year surge in oil market volatility, reshaping trading strategies across the globe. They also analyse the role of U.S. shale producers, shifting demand patterns in Asia, and how geopolitical friction—especially in the Middle East—is amplifying uncertainty in global oil flows.They also analyse how institutional investors, hedge funds, and sovereign wealth funds are positioning themselves in this turbulent environment, and what it means for oil futures, energy stocks, and commodity ETFs. Whether you're trading WTI or Brent, or just trying to understand how oil price swings affect inflation and your portfolio, this episode delivers critical insight into the mechanics behind the world's most watched commodity market.Want to trade?Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
Are Hedge Funds Missing the Oil Market Rally? | Flux News Oil Markets Deep Dive – April 2025 In this episode of Flux News, Group CEO, Greg Newman, Harry Campion and Geek in the Seat, Harinder Sandhu break down why the physical crude oil market is surging while hedge funds and CTAs remain under-positioned—and potentially on the wrong side of the trade.Our hosts unpack the implications of U.S.-Iran negotiations, China's quiet crude-buying spree, and refinery margins that continue to signal strength. Whether you're trading Brent, WTI, or niche time spreads, we've got you covered with the essential macro and micro catalysts moving oil prices today.In our new segment, Hedge Fund Watch, Greg, Harry and Harinder discuss RBOB vs. Heating Oil and explain how hedge funds and trade houses are playing both sides of the barrel. Our new segment offers insight into managed money flows and what they mean for price direction. Whether you're learning or trading, this is a must-watch for real market edge.Want to trade? Get a behind-the-scenes look at how the pros express views with relative value trades, uncorrelated contracts, and smart positioning. This episode is rich in education for newer traders, and deep enough for veterans hunting asymmetric opportunities. All the trades discussed are live on Onyx Markets, where you can practice, simulate, or dive in. Visit https://onyxmarkets.co.uk/
In this episode of the Flux News podcast, Greg Newman, CEO of Onyx Capital Group, is joined by Harry Campion-Evans from Onyx Markets and guest analyst (Geek in the Seat) to dissect the unprecedented volatility shaking global markets. The team breaks down how the oil market is reacting to headline volatility around the US-China trade war, OPEC policy shifts and rising talks between the US and Iran. They also discuss support in the physical oil market despite the macro uncertainty and discuss recent shifts in refinery margins, Brent time differentials and the Brent/Dubai differential. This episode is packed with actionable trade setups, including a breakdown of Q4 Brent/Dubai, naphtha crack trades, and insights into the high-sulfur fuel oil rally. They break down complex structures like Dated Brent and condensate-linked contracts in plain language, so even if you're new to energy markets, you'll walk away with real-world strategies to explore and a better understanding of what really drives price in this space.Key topics include Brent spreads and the physical market's dislocation to global macro headlines, the Iranian nuclear deal, the rally in high-sulphur fuel oil, and a look into US and European gasoline contracts ahead of summertime demand.
This episode of Macro Mondays aired live at 12pm on Monday, the 14th of April, 2025. Join us LIVE every Monday at 12:30 PM UK time for Macro Mondays, where we break down the biggest financial market moves and what's coming next!
In this episode, the Trading Corner team delves into the recent turbulence in the oil markets, examining the significant $10 sell-off in crude prices and its implications across various asset classes. The discussion highlights the unexpected outperformance of dated Brent relative to futures and spreads, and the resilience observed in specific contracts despite widespread market liquidation.Key topics include:The dynamics of flat price movements and the impact of mass liquidation events.Strategies involving long flies and positioning at the front of the curve.Seasonal demand factors influencing May cargoes in Europe and Asia.Insights into middle distillates, with a focus on gas oil and heating oil cracks.The role of swaps and price action in current market conditions.The influence of summer travel demand on jet fuel markets.Analysis of margins and the performance of light ends, particularly EBOB.The episode also features trade ideas, including a bullish outlook on Q3 EBOB cracks and considerations for heating oil cracks in deferred periods. You can gain valuable perspectives on navigating the complexities of the oil derivatives market during periods of volatility.CFDs and spread bets are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts lose money when trading in CFDs and spread bets. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs and spread bets work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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