Podcasts about mill street research

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Best podcasts about mill street research

Latest podcast episodes about mill street research

The Disciplined Investor
TDI Podcast: 10 Trading Rules (#915)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 6, 2025 56:49


Retaliation on the Retaliatory Tariffs – where does it end? Eat your vegetables – people! Put call ratio 1.6 and the VIX hits 45! Oil – 3-year low. This week's guest - Tim Knight – a self proclaimed permabear Tim Knight. NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE'S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Tim Knight has been charting and trading since 1987. His first stock trade was, in fact, on October 19, 1987 – the day of the crash – which perhaps goes a long way explaining his disposition toward bearishness. He has been involved in personal computers since late 1979 and, starting at age 16, began writing a couple dozen books about using and programming computers. His most recent writing has been focused on charting and the history of financial markets, including his newest books, Panic, Prosperity, and Progress, and, more recently, Silicon Valley Babble On and Solid State, his first novel. He has been running Slope since March 29 2005 and has, during that time, written more than 30,000 posts on the site. In 1992 Knight founded Prophet, a web-based technical analysis company that was acquired by Investools (and, later, Ameritrade) in January 2005. Tim served as Senior Vice President of Technology for Investools from 2005 through 2010. Both Barron's & Forbes consistently named Prophet the #1 website for technical analysis. Besides running the Slope of Hope, Tim also hosts a daily show on the tastylive network, Trading Charts with Tim Knight. You can find Sam Burns & Mill Street Research at https://slopeofhope.com/ and on Twitter at @slopeofhope. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ CHARTS DISCUSSED IN THIS EPISODE Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode:

The Disciplined Investor
TDI Podcast: Bearishness Reasoned (#889)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2024 49:56


Shocking – Rates running higher on better then expected jobs report. Oil on the move as the Middle East conflict intensifies. China and Emerging Markets on Fire – breaking out from long base. This week's guest - Tim Knight – a self proclaimed Permabear. Tim Knight has been charting and trading since 1987. His first stock trade was, in fact, on October 19, 1987 – the day of the crash – which perhaps goes a long way explaining his disposition toward bearishness. He has been involved in personal computers since late 1979 and, starting at age 16, began writing a couple dozen books about using and programming computers. His most recent writing has been focused on charting and the history of financial markets, including his newest books, Panic, Prosperity, and Progress, and, more recently, Silicon Valley Babble On and Solid State, his first novel. He has been running Slope since March 29 2005 and has, during that time, written more than 30,000 posts on the site. In 1992 Knight founded Prophet, a web-based technical analysis company that was acquired by Investools (and, later, Ameritrade) in January 2005. Tim served as Senior Vice President of Technology for Investools from 2005 through 2010. Both Barron's & Forbes consistently named Prophet the #1 website for technical analysis. Besides running the Slope of Hope, Tim also hosts a daily show on the tastylive network, Trading Charts with Tim Knight. You can find Sam Burns & Mill Street Research at https://slopeofhope.com/ and on Twitter at @slopeofhope. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ CHARTS DISCUSSED IN THIS EPISODE Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (FXI), (QQQ)

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
Global X's Helfstein: 'There is no crisis,' so Fed can stay patient

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2024 60:55


Scott Helfstein, head of investment strategy at Global X ETFs, says that he has no problem with higher-than-planned inflation levels so long as nominal economic growth is there. "Investors don't really profit off of Federal Reserve changes," he says, "they profit off of growth in the economy, and that's what we should be focused on." Gene Peroni, founder of Peroni Portfolio Advisors, says that "The market is sensing something quite significantly positive on the horizon, based on its trends." He expects economic strength and rising earnings to keep growing for roughly nine months or more, and says that downturns and setbacks will remain buying opportunities for now. Plus, Sam Burns, chief strategist at Mill Street Research, brings his earnings-expectation driven style of investing to the Market Call.

Lead-Lag Live
Sam Burns on Mastering Asset Allocation Amidst Market Crossroads and Economic Uncertainty

Lead-Lag Live

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 27, 2024 52:04 Transcription Available


Navigate the perplexing currents of today's investment landscape with us, Michael Gayed and expert analyst Sam Burns from Mill Street Research, as we dissect the S&P's dominance and the challenges of traditional diversification. Gain valuable insight into the shifting sands of asset allocation, where the once-reliable tactics now stumble in the face of large-cap earnings surprises and the creeping dread of 'zombie companies' amidst rising interest rates. Our conversation spans from the perplexing behavior of small-cap stocks to the potential economic ripples of the November elections, painting a comprehensive picture of a market at a crossroads.As we parse through the intricate economic recovery, Sam and I scrutinize the historical echoes of inflation and how today's landscape differs, considering the impacts on housing, the auto industry, and consumer spending. We delve into the enigma of emerging markets and China's influence, probing the gap between GDP growth and corporate earnings while dissecting the sector allocation mix affecting investment returns. Join our intricate dance through economic indicators and the commodities market, as we shed light on gold's breakout and the shifting tides that may influence your next investment move.Thank you for tuning in to an episode brimming with insights and a forward-looking perspective on fiscal policy, bank credit growth, and the economic indicators that matter most in our post-COVID world. For those keen on staying abreast of market trends and expert analysis, follow us on Mill Street Research, Twitter, and LinkedIn. A heartfelt nod to Sam Burns for his invaluable expertise and to our listeners for embarking on this journey through the financial landscape with us. Here's to more enlightening episodes and engaging discourse ahead.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Lead-Lag Live
The Quest for Financial Literacy in a Volatile Market Landscape with Caleb Silver

Lead-Lag Live

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2024 49:28 Transcription Available


Embark on a journey through the evolving world of finance with none other than Caleb Silver, the Editor-in-Chief of Investopedia, as your guide. You're in for an enlightening conversation that traverses Caleb's illustrious career from Bloomberg to CNN, and his passionate advocacy for financial literacy. We tackle how the fast-paced nature of today's media impacts the integrity of business journalism and the challenges of sifting through vast data to uncover the genuine economic narratives. By the end of our chat, you'll have a deeper understanding of why positive economic indicators and public sentiment often don't align, and just how predictive Investopedia's search trends and Anxiety Index can be for the markets.Feel the pulse of economic anxiety as it ebbs and flows with the tides of political discourse. Our discussion with Caleb reveals the intricate relationship between market fluctuations and our collective psyche, dissecting how political leanings can skew our economic perceptions. As we peel back the layers of media influence, question the motives behind the dramatization of financial news, and shine a light on the latest craze in options trading, we expose the raw nerves of investor behavior and market volatility. This episode paints a vivid picture of the current financial climate and the role media plays, extending beyond simple market updates to the very heart of personal finance concerns.As we round off this comprehensive exploration of the financial landscape, we take a heartfelt look at the need for financial education, with Caleb sharing his evolution from TV producer to a champion of financial literacy. We delve into Investopedia's initiatives to make financial knowledge accessible, discussing the importance of ethical investing and the pitfalls ensnaring rookie traders. Witness the cultural shift towards zero-commission trading and its effects on investors' behaviors, and soak in the stories of market phenomena like AMC and GameStop. With this episode, your arsenal for navigating the financial markets responsibly will be significantly enhanced, and you'll be primed for our upcoming session with Sam Burns from Mill Street Research, promising to keep you at the forefront of financial acumen.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Wealthion
The Bull Market's Next Move: Growth, Inflation & Tech Stocks | Sam Burns

Wealthion

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2024 51:44


SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.wealthion.com. Eric Chemi sits down with Sam Burns of Mill Street Research, to delve into the intricacies of the current economic landscape. Sam shares his valuable insights on a range of topics including the future of the bull market, the impact of inflation and interest rates on investments, and the potential for growth in tech stocks. Whether you're an experienced investor or just starting out, Sam's analysis offers a unique perspective on where the markets are headed and how to position yourself for success. TIMESTAMPS: 2:47 - The 'TINA' Factor in Investment 5:09 - Federal Reserve Policies in 2024 7:02 - Investor Risk Appetite and Market Trends 10:13 - Analyzing US Fiscal Policy and Global Impact 12:23 - US vs Non-US Equities:14:03 - Large Cap Tech Stocks 16:27 - Valuing Tech Giants: When is it Too Expensive? 19:23 - The Role of Small Caps in Investment Strategy 20:55 - Predictions for Commodity Markets in 2024 23:16 - The Chinese Economic Dilemma 26:31 - Structural Differences in Global Economies 30:59 - Sam Burns' Journey to Mill Street Research 34:06 - Challenges in Modern Investment Research 37:34 - Avoiding the Hype: Sound Investment Strategies 40:24 - Media Influence on Financial Sentiment 42:03 - Global Economic Crisis: Lessons for the US 44:00 - Political and Economic Stability in Investment 47:48 - Balancing Clicks vs. Investment Accuracy 49:42 - Mill Street Research: A Resource for Investors 51:27 - Closing Remarks and Additional Resources

The Disciplined Investor
TDI Podcast: PermaBear Knight (#853)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 28, 2024 60:13


US Economy humming along – better than expected – but calls for rate cuts continue. Is this the Year for Foreign? Not so fast says markets. Bitcoin – post ETF blues. This week's guest - Tim Knight – a self proclaimed Permabear.   Tim Knight has been charting and trading since 1987. His first stock trade was, in fact, on October 19, 1987 – the day of the crash – which perhaps goes a long way explaining his disposition toward bearishness. He has been involved in personal computers since late 1979 and, starting at age 16, began writing a couple dozen books about using and programming computers. His most recent writing has been focused on charting and the history of financial markets, including his newest books, Panic, Prosperity, and Progress, and, more recently, Silicon Valley Babble On and Solid State, his first novel. He has been running Slope since March 29 2005 and has, during that time, written more than 30,000 posts on the site. In 1992 Knight founded Prophet, a web-based technical analysis company that was acquired by Investools (and, later, Ameritrade) in January 2005. Tim served as Senior Vice President of Technology for Investools from 2005 through 2010. Both Barron's & Forbes consistently named Prophet the #1 website for technical analysis. Besides running the Slope of Hope, Tim also hosts a daily show on the tastylive network, Trading Charts with Tim Knight. You can find Sam Burns & Mill Street Research at https://slopeofhope.com/ and on Twitter at @slopeofhope. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (NVDA), (GOOG), (AAPL), (AMD), (META), (MSFT), (INTC)

The Disciplined Investor
TDI Podcast: Skate To The Puck (#850)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 7, 2024 56:37


Conflicting Data – but absolute certainty. What was in is out – a rotation at the start of the year. The 10-year Treasury tops 4% - for a moment – looking like a key resistance point. And our guest…Sam Burns of Mill Street Research. Sam Burns, CFA is the chief strategist at Mill Street Research – an independent research company specializing in proprietary institutional research tools for asset allocation, stock selection, and macro-economic indicators.  Burns has more than 20 years of experience as a market strategist providing US and global investment insights at Wall Street firms including Oppenheimer & Co., Brown Brothers Harriman, State Street Global Markets, and Ned Davis Research. Mill Street Research: Mill Street Research provides a suite of consistently updated research reports and data for institutional investors covering asset allocation, country allocation, sector, and industry selection, equity factor analysis, and a robust quantitative stock selection process. The firm publishes more than eight research pieces each month to update investors on the various models and provide commentary on the current market and economic trends. You can find Sam Burns & Mill Street Research at https://www.millstreetresearch.com/ and on Twitter at @MillStResearch. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SMH), (OIL), (MCHI), (FXI), (SPY)

Financial Sense(R) Newshour
Corrective Move Likely But US Still Most Attractive, Says Sam Burns (Preview)

Financial Sense(R) Newshour

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 4, 2024 1:28


Jan 3, 2023 – Sam Burns at Mill Street Research was a notable market bull for 2023 and pushed back against fears over recession. Today, he provides listeners an update on his outlook, cautioning investors that we may be seeing...

Jimmy Sengenberger Show
The Jimmy Sengenberger Show 11.17.23

Jimmy Sengenberger Show

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2023 42:14


Jimmy welcomes Sam Burns - Chief Strategist at Mill Street Research to the show to talk inflation and how Biden claims we'll all be feeling good about our financial situations, and then recaps the Denver School Board meeting yesterday where Tay Anderson claimed accomplishments in his "victory/exit speech" See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

joe biden tay anderson mill street research denver school board
Jimmy Sengenberger Show Podcast
The Jimmy Sengenberger Show 11.17.23

Jimmy Sengenberger Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2023 42:14


Jimmy welcomes Sam Burns - Chief Strategist at Mill Street Research to the show to talk inflation and how Biden claims we'll all be feeling good about our financial situations, and then recaps the Denver School Board meeting yesterday where Tay Anderson claimed accomplishments in his "victory/exit speech" See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

joe biden tay anderson mill street research denver school board
Forward Guidance
Interest Rate Declines Will Bring Fated "Soft Landing," Says Earnings Maestro Sam Burns

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 9, 2023 63:25


In January of 2023, a time where extreme pessimism on stocks and the economy reigned, Sam Burns, founder of Mill Street Research, shared his bullish outlook on equities with Jack. Now that his prediction has come true, Sam returns to Forward Guidance to explain why he is much less overweight on equities now than in January, but that he remains somewhat constructive on risk assets even as he expects a modest slowdown in 2024. Filmed on November 3, 2023. __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:59) Less Overweight Equities Than In January... But Still Overweight (06:54) Monitor of Analysts' Earnings Revisions (MAER) (11:31) The Housing Market (& Homebuilding Industry) (15:18) The Banks (16:50) Commercial Real Estate (CRE) (18:43) Healthcare & Commodity Sectors (20:18) Chinese Stocks (23:55) S&P 500 Earnings Estimates (31:40) Equity Momentum Has Weakened (34:39) Disinflation Will Continue, The Soft Landing Is Here (42:40) At What Point Does Global Manufacturing & Trade Downturn Impact The U.S. Economy? (48:10) Fiscal Tailwinds In The U.S. (54:20) If Interest Rates Decline, Soft Landing Very Likely -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
Alera's Webster: Soft landing will drop rates and fuel future market tailwinds

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 2, 2023 60:32


BJ Webster, chief investment officer at Alera Group Wealth Management, says he does not expect the economy to have a hard landing, and while there will be discomfort, investors will survive a downturn and will see slower growth that brings down interest rates, which in turn will help to give a boost to any subsequent recovery. Webster notes that if the Federal Reserve is done hiking rates while other central banks are continuing to raise interest rates, international markets might benefit from the resulting weaker dollar, as well as current valuations that are better than on domestic stocks. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of VettaFi looks at a young high-yield fund for his ETF of the Week, Chuck puts a bow on his annual Halloween cash-or-candy, trade-or-treat fun, and Sam Burns of Mill Street Research talks stocks in the Money Life Market Call.

My Worst Investment Ever Podcast
Sam Burns – Understand What You're Really Betting On

My Worst Investment Ever Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2023 24:51


BIO: Sam Burns is Chief Investment Strategist at Mill Street Research, an independent investment research firm based near Boston, MA. For 25 years, he has focused on global asset allocation and quantitative stock selection, primarily for institutional investors.STORY: Sam decided to short-sell options that went horribly wrong after the Russian default. Even though he knew how options work in principle and that he could lose money, Sam didn't have a plan for what if some geopolitical event happened, causing the market to fall suddenly. And so he lost a whole lot of money in the trade.LEARNING: Understand what you're really betting on. Every option trade is about volatility. Have a plan for what could go wrong and what you'll do about it before you look at the headline to see what's happening. “There often are hidden drivers of an investment that are not what you think they are.”Sam Burns Guest profileSam Burns is Chief Investment Strategist at Mill Street Research, an independent investment research firm based near Boston, MA. For 25 years now, he has focused on global asset allocation and quantitative stock selection, primarily for institutional investors. After spending many years doing research at firms like Oppenheimer & Co, State Street, Brown Brothers Harriman, and Ned Davis Research, Sam founded Mill Street in 2016 to be able to bring all of his best work together and offer it to clients without any constraints or conflicts.Worst investment everSam had been trading options for a while, mainly from the long side, buying puts and calls, which, at the very least, has a limited risk aspect since you can only lose what you put in. At some point, Sam decided to try short-sell options, which went violently against him.This was in August 1998 when the Russian default set off a chain reaction of problems and Long-Term Capital Management blew up. Even though he knew how options work in principle and that he could lose money, Sam didn't have a plan for what if some geopolitical event happened, causing the market to fall suddenly. And so he lost a whole lot of money in the trade.Lessons learnedEvery option trade is about volatility.Have a plan for what could go wrong and what you'll do about it before you look at the headline to see what's happening.Ensure you're capitalized well enough to handle or ride through ups and downs and drawdowns.Andrew's takeawaysUnderstand what you're really betting on.Actionable adviceMake a point to think through what's behind an investment and understand the other things moving simultaneously that might explain the movement of the asset you're interested in.Sam's recommendationsSam recommends listening to or reading people who are practitioners involved in markets day to day rather than journalists, who, though they do a great job, a lot of them write for a different reason than to make you a better investor.No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsSam's number one goal for the next 12 months is to try and stay on the right side of the macro picture.Parting words “Have a plan.”Sam Burns [spp-transcript] Connect with Sam Burns

Wall Street Vision - Investing Podcast
58. Are we headed for a crash? Conversation with Sam Burns, CFA, MBA

Wall Street Vision - Investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2023 40:55


You've seen the scary headlines about a looming recession, but what's the current status of the U.S. economy? I'm joined by Sam Burns to get his take. Sam is a senior equity strategist with over 20 years of experience in financial markets. He is the founder and chief strategist at Mill Street Research.  Tune in to find out: What is Sam's take on the current state of the economy and his outlook to later this year and 2024? Why do we sometimes see scary headlines while the stock market keeps hitting new highs? Is inflation finally under control, or are there nasty surprises on the horizon? Where are some great hunting grounds for the best investment opportunities today? Sam has a wealth of knowledge and I learned a lot during our conversation. Check out more from Sam below: Follow Sam on Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/MillStResearch Connect with Sam on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sam-burns-cfa-53a51a4/ Check out Mill Street Research for their in-depth high quality research services: https://www.millstreetresearch.com/ Wall Street Vision podcast: https://wallstreetvision.com

SF Live
Sam Burns: The SHOCKING Truth About GOLD & Mining Stocks

SF Live

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2023 32:15


In a deep dive into the world of finance, the discussion revolves around the current state of commodities, mining stocks, and the looming question of a U.S. recession. Sam Burns, the chief strategist at Mill Street Research, shares valuable insights into macroeconomic indicators and their implications for the market. Guest: Sam Burns, Founder & Chief Strategist Company: Mill Street Research Twitter: @MillStResearch www.millstreetresearch.com #gold #recession #soarfinancially Save the Date DEUTSCHE GOLDMESSE November 24 & 25 in Frankfurt, Germany www.deutschegoldmesse.com Also, follow us at http://www.twitter.com/soarfinancial - make sure to follow us & click on the bell icon! ►► Follow Us! ◄◄ Twitter:http://twitter.com/soarfinancial Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/soarfinancial/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/soarfinancial/ Website: http://www.soarfinancial.com/ SF Live is a new format by Soar Financial Partners. The goal is to give short company updates and more importantly get investors engaged directly with the companies. Intro Music: "Summer" by Bensound.com **Disclaimer:** Unless specifically disclosed, all information available on Soar Financial and its affiliates or partners should be considered as non-commercial in nature. None of the content produced by Soar Financial should be considered an endorsement, offer or recommendation to buy or sell securities. Soar Financial is not registered with any financial or securities regulatory authority in Canada, the US, Europe, or the UK, and does not provide, nor claim to provide, investment advice or recommendations to any consumer of the content that Soar Financial produces and publicizes. Always do your own due diligence and/or consult a qualified legal, tax, or investment professional if personal advice is deemed necessary. Soar Financial and its related companies (including its directors, employees, and representatives) or a connected person may hold equity positions in securities detailed in communications. When this occurs a disclosure will be made. Disclosures on social media will be made using the hashtag #coi (short for conflict of interest). Soar Financial, its affiliates, and their respective directors, officers, employees, or agents expressly disclaim any liability for losses or damages, whether direct, indirect, special, or consequential, or other consequences, howsoever caused, arising out of any use or reproduction of this site or any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the produced content of Soar Financial, whether authorized or not. By accessing Soar Financial's content, each consumer of Soar Financial content releases Soar Financial, its affiliates, and their respective officers, directors, agents, and employees from all claims and proceedings for such losses, damages, or consequences.

The Julia La Roche Show
#105 Sam Burns: The Economy Isn't Headed For Recession Any Time Soon

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2023 43:20


Sam Burns, chief strategist of Mill Street Research (www.millstreetresearch.com), an independent research firm, joins Julia La Roche on episode 105. In this episode, Burns explains how he deploys a top-down macro research approach with bottoms-up analysis. When it comes to the economy, Burns points out that the economic data has been better than expected and that inflation is headed in the right direction after the worst of it peaked last year. He doesn't expect an imminent recession in the next six to 12 months. Instead, he expects a gradual slowdown in the economy rather than a sudden fall off a cliff. As for markets, Burns is overweight equities compared to bonds. Burns, who had been bullish stocks earlier this year amid the pessimism, pointed out that things have gotten back to more normal expectations.   Burns has over 20 years of experience as a market strategist, providing analysis and commentary to institutional investors globally. Prior to founding Mill Street Research in 2016, Burns worked as a senior strategist at leading firms, including Oppenheimer & Co., Brown Brothers Harriman, State Street Global Markets, and Ned Davis Research. Mill Street Research provides a suite of consistently updated research reports for institutional investors covering asset allocation, country allocation, sector and industry selection, and a robust quantitative stock selection process. Learn more at www.millstreetresearch.com. 0:00 Welcome Sam Burns to the show  0:57 Top-down, bottom-up approach to research  2:23 Macro view today 4:15 Better-than-expected economic data, inflation coming down  6:13 The balance between fiscal and monetary policy  8:14 A gradual slowdown in the economy 11:05 Worst of inflation peaked last year  14:19 Can inflation get to 2-2.5%? 16:06 Higher for longer  18:10 Not currently expecting a recession in the next 6-12 months 20:00 Consumer  22:25 Markets  25:08 Bond market  32:00 Stock market  36:40 Opportunities in the market  39:15 Traditional 60/40  41:30 Parting thoughts 

Commodity Culture
Commodities Supercycle Narrative is Overblown, Demand Just Isn't There: Sam Burns

Commodity Culture

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2023 35:33


Sam Burns of Mill Street Research isn't bullish on the commodities sector. In fact, he's been reducing his exposure and urges caution to investors who buy into the idea of a coming commodities supercycle. Sam points to a weakening Chinese economy, falling demand, and more to make his case for a bearish outlook on commodities.Mill Street Research: https://www.millstreetresearch.comFollow Mill Street on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MillStResearchFollow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/jessebdayYoutube Channel: https://youtube.com/c/CommodityCulture

Financial Sense(R) Newshour
US Fiscal Spending, Earnings Momentum Driving Bull Market, Says Sam Burns (Preview)

Financial Sense(R) Newshour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2023 1:08


Aug 22, 2023 – Chief Strategist at Mill Street Research, Sam Burns, outlined a bullish market outlook when we spoke with him earlier this year based on the eight indicators he tracks. Today, he provides listeners an update on his...

Real Vision Presents...
Where in the World to Put Your Dry Powder (with Sam Burns)

Real Vision Presents...

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2023 33:51


Sam Burns, the chief strategist at Mill Street Research, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the significance of the lineup of central bank rate decisions this week and analyze some recent economic data out of China. Plus, Sam will share which parts of the world he believes are ripe for investment. You can find more of Sam's work here: https://www.millstreetresearch.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
Americans expect to work two years longer because they don't 'have it made'

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2023 62:45


Aditi Javeri Gokhale, chief strategy officer at Northwestern Mutual, says that the average American expects to retire two years later than they did just a year ago, one of several key findings in the latest data release from the firm's 2023 Planning & Progress Study out today. She notes that Americans expect to need $1.27 million to retire, and that most have less than 10 percent of that amount saved. Tom Lydon, vice chairman at VettaFi, makes a brand new fund from PIMCO, that launches today, his ETF of the Week. Plus Alyssa Stankiewicz, research analyst at Morningstar discusses anti-ESG investing and Sam Burns, chief strategist at Mill Street Research, brings his quantitative approach to stocks in the Market Call.

The Frankie Boyer Show
Sam Burns of Mill Street Research, Dr. Catherine Athans on Mental Health, LeeEllis "Captured by Love" a Vietnam War POW Romance

The Frankie Boyer Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 13, 2023 39:37


Sam Burns, CFA is the chief strategist at Mill Street Research – an independent research company specializing in proprietary institutional research tools for asset allocation, stock selection, and macro-economic indicators. Burns has more than 20 years of experience as a market strategist providing US and global investment insights at Wall Street firms including Oppenheimer & Co., Brown Brothers Harriman, State Street Global Markets, and Ned Davis Research. Burns recently introduced a new financial insider's report for individual investors - The Weekly Round-Up can be found at https://www.millstreetresearch.com/weekly-roundup/Psychologist Dr. Catherine Athans holds Doctorate Degrees in both Clinical and Health Psychology and has been a Licensed Marriage and Family Therapist for over 25 years. She's authored numerous books, including The Heart Brain, which details how stress, anxiety and worry can put you at an increased risk for disease, and offers solutions for a more peaceful mind and healthy body. https://www.catherineathansphd.com/Col. Lee Ellis a retired Air Force pilot and love expert Greg Godek have come together to share the inspiring stories of POWs who returned from the Vietnam War after years of incarceration and mistreatment in the infamous "Hanoi Hilton" prison system. Their book, CAPTURED BY LOVE, offers readers a rare glimpse into the resilient and enduring love and romance that emerged from such a challenging and heartbreaking situation. Lee is Founder and President of Leading with Honor® and FreedomStar Media®. He is an award-winning author, leadership coach, and speaker in the areas of leadership and human performance. https://www.powromance.com/This show is part of the Spreaker Prime Network, if you are interested in advertising on this podcast, contact us at https://www.spreaker.com/show/3240061/advertisement

Millennial Investing - The Investor’s Podcast Network
MI264: How to Pick Stocks Using Earnings Estimate Revisions, Price Trends, and Valuations w/ Sam Burns

Millennial Investing - The Investor’s Podcast Network

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2023 51:12


Rebecca Hotsko and Sam Burns discuss, Sam's 2023 market outlook, the strong market performance despite negative earnings revisions, and more!Sam Burns, CFA is the chief strategist at Mill Street Research – an independent research company specializing in proprietary institutional research tools for asset allocation, stock selection, and macro-economic indicators. Burns has more than 20 years of experience as a market strategist providing US and global investment insights at Wall Street firms including Oppenheimer & Co., Brown Brothers Harriman, State Street Global Markets, and Ned Davis Research.IN THIS EPISODE, YOU'LL LEARN:0:00 - Intro02:45 - The current state of the market and Sam's outlook for 2023. 09:46 - Why the market has held up so far despite the negative revisions to analyst's earnings estimates. 24:34 - Sam's specialty at Mill Street research which is tracking analyst earnings revisions. 30:32 - How analyst earning revisions can be used to inform an investment strategy. 35:49 - Investment strategies related to analyst earnings revisions, including the sectors that are seeing better-than-expected revisions. 47:31 - Which sectors have seen the most downward revisions in earnings estimates? 50:06 - Which sectors Sam is most bullish on long term.53:03 - The indicators Sam is watching that indicator the market may be on an uptrend. *Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.BOOKS AND RESOURCESCheck out: Mill Street Research. Related Episode: Listen to MI255: Navigating Bubble 3.0: Is This Time Different? w/ David Hay, or watch the video.NEW TO THE SHOW?Check out our Millennial Investing Starter Packs.Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.Try Robert and Rebecca's favorite tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance.Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets.Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.P.S The Investor's Podcast Network is excited to launch a subreddit devoted to our fans in discussing financial markets, stock picks, questions for our hosts, and much more! Join our subreddit r/TheInvestorsPodcast today!SPONSORSGet a FREE audiobook from Audible.Let an expert do your taxes from start to finish so you can relax with TurboTax.Set, track, and manage your financial goals as your life evolves with Scotia Smart Investor.Get the professional support you need to prepare for your future career with UBC Sauder School of Business.Universal life insurance can offer protection and long-term tax-advantaged savings for your future goals & milestones. Get a universal life policy today through a simple, easy, and 100% digital purchase journey with Everly.What does happen when money and big feelings mix? Tune in to find out on the new podcast, Open Money, presented by Servus Credit Union.Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.Connect with Sam: Website | Twitter Connect with Rebecca: Twitter | InstagramEmail: Rebecca@theinvestorspodcast.comSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Julia La Roche Show
#056 Sam Burns On Being More Bullish On Equities In At Least A Year

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2023 59:19


Sam Burns, chief strategist of Mill Street Research, an independent research firm, joins Julia La Roche on episode 56. In this episode, Burns explains how he deploys a top-down macro research approach with bottoms-up analysis. He outlines why he's recently been more bullish on equities and risk assets in at least a year. According to Burns, the economy is “not great, but it's not as bad as expected.” He pointed out that the market had priced in much of last year's pessimism. Moreover, he's not expecting an imminent recession like many were at the end of last year, noting that it's, “at least being put off, if not, delayed until maybe in the next year.” Sam has over 20 years of experience as a market strategist, providing analysis and commentary to institutional investors globally. Prior to founding Mill Street Research in 2016, Sam worked as a senior strategist at leading firms, including Oppenheimer & Co., Brown Brothers Harriman, State Street Global Markets, and Ned Davis Research. Mill Street Research provides a suite of consistently updated research reports for institutional investors covering asset allocation, country allocation, sector and industry selection, and a robust quantitative stock selection process. We also provide customized work and special research projects for clients. 0:00 Intro 0:31 Background 2:53 Building an independent research firm 3:23 Combining top-down macro research with bottom-up analysis 5:36 Macro analysis 6:15 Distortions in the data 7:00 The economy is doing OK 7:46 Don't think we're heading for an imminent recession 8:45 Things aren't going to be as bad as the bears are saying 9:49 Fed rate hikes impact on the economy 13:19 Why has the labor market held up? 17:30 Inflation 21:45 Can we get back to the 2% target? 25:50 Fiscal policy 29:44 Debt 33:09 Assessment of the markets 36:07 Opportunities 52:41 Yield curve

WTFinance
Time To Put Risk On? with Sam Burns

WTFinance

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 15, 2023 26:26


Interview recorded - 6th of February, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Sam Burns, Founder & Chief Strategist at Mill Street Research. During our conversation we spoke about Sam's thoughts on the market, how we could have had a market bottom, what indicators Sam is currently watching, why earnings won't be as bad as everyone thinks and why it is the time to put on some risk. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:28 - Sam's thoughts on the market1:00 - ‘Sentiment extremes reverse'2:45 - Why does Sam think he is bullish?5:40 - Why is credit so bullish?6:34 - What will happen in 6-12 months?8:50 - Any chance of a secular shift?12:00 - Bottom in the US equity market14:00 - Long bonds in the coming years?15:30 - Earnings the current driver of markets?18:02 - What are analysts currently thinking at the moment?20:46 - Is the negative trend the same speed?24:00 - One message to take away from our conversation?Sam Burns, CFA founded Mill Street Research, LLC as an independent research provider. He has served as the Managing Member and Chief Strategist since the company's inception in February 2016.Sam has over 20 years of experience as a market strategist, providing analysis and commentary to institutional investors globally.Prior to founding Mill Street Research, Sam worked as a senior strategist at leading firms on Wall Street, including: ■ Oppenheimer & Co. ■ Brown Brothers Harriman ■ State Street Global Markets ■ Ned Davis ResearchSam graduated from Vanderbilt University with a B.A. in Economics, and completed his M.B.A. in Finance at the University of Texas at Austin. In his free time, he enjoys playing golf, hiking, reading, and TV and movies.Sam Burns - Website - https://www.millstreetresearch.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/MillStResearchLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/sam-burns-cfa-53a51a4/WTFinance - Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Forward Guidance
Earnings Season Is Strong (So Far) | Sam Burns

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 31, 2023 60:59


Sam Burns, founder of Mill Street Research, explains why he thinks the bull market in stocks can last for much longer. He notes that many companies are still growing their earnings substantially despite inflation and economic uncertainty, and argues that the outperformance of cyclical stocks over defensive stocks is an indicator that the bull market in stocks has legs. Filmed on January 26, 2023. Follow Mill Street Research on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MillStResearch Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Use code GUIDANCE10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 __ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://rb.gy/5weeyw Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can't-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. __ Timestamps: (00:00) Intro (00:35) Outlook for 2023 (06:00) Cyclical Stocks Are Outperforming Defensive Stocks (11:37) Stocks vs. Bonds Valuations (17:17) Earnings Growth Outlook for S&P 500 Stocks (20:46) Incentives of Sell-Side Analysts (28:35) Earnings Revisions By Sector (31:30) Permissionless Plug (32:33) China, Gold Miners, and Airlines (37:06) European Stocks (43:35) What Is Sam Most Bearish On? (45:53) The Fed (55:40) Inverted Yield Curve

Financial Sense(R) Newshour
An Epic Bear Market Rally? (Preview)

Financial Sense(R) Newshour

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 25, 2023 0:56


Jan 24, 2023 – FS Insider speaks with Sam Burns, Founder and Chief Strategist at Mill Street Research in Boston, about the economic and market outlook over the next 1-3 months, based on their shorter-term technical indicators, in contrast to...

P&L With Paul Sweeney and Lisa Abramowicz
CPI, Markets, and Telecom (Podcast)

P&L With Paul Sweeney and Lisa Abramowicz

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 12, 2023 49:45


Tim Craighead, Director of Research and Senior European Strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins the program to discuss outlook for equities in Europe. Robert Teeter, Head of Investment Policy & Strategy Group at Silvercrest Asset Management, joins in studio to discuss sectors and stocks on the move and what could outperform the market amid various economic headwinds. Jay Hatfield, CEO at Infrastructure Capital Advisors, also joins to talk markets and energy investing. Laura Martin, managing director and senior entertainment analyst at Needham & Co. LLC, joins the show to discuss her picks for media and telecom companies that she sees performing well in 2023 after a down 2022 year. Sam Burns, founder and chief strategist at Mill Street Research, joins the program to discuss the stock market, inflation, and gives his outlook for a recession in 2023. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Jay Martin Show
The Fed Has Gone Too Far in the Fight Against Inflation: Sam Burns

The Jay Martin Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 2, 2022 20:57


Founder and Chief Strategist at Mill Street Research, Sam Burns joins the show to discuss trends he sees emerging in the institutional investing landscape. Sam also gives his views on Fed policy and explains the effects their aggressive tightening may have on the economy as we look ahead. Sign up for our free weekly newsletter at https://www.JayMartin.club

Forward Guidance
Can Earning Season Save Growth Stocks? | Sam Burns

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 12, 2022 81:01


In this episode of Forward Guidance, host Jack Farley sits down with Sam Burns, the founder and chief strategist of Mill Street Research. In addition to general macro trends in the economic and financial world, Sam and Jack discuss Sam's MAER model (Monitor of Analyst Earning Revisions), which uses the insight of market analysts to judge how the markets will move. Using the research of analysts, Sam is able to buck the predictions of the crowd and come to his own well-formulated conclusions on markets. Jack and Sam delve into complexity sometimes required to grasp today's difficult-to-understand swings in finance. The two question and rethink traditional narratives within finance in this high-level discussion. Don't miss this talk with a heterodox thinker in the financial industry. Mill Street Research on Twitter: @MillStResearch Jack Farley on Twitter: @JackFarley96 Blockworks' Twitter: @Blockworks_

TD Ameritrade Network
Sector Picks: Tech, Energy, Financials, & Real Estate

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 9, 2021 7:49


Futures pull back from Wednesday's gains. Sam Burns, Chief Strategist at Mill Street Research, discusses this sector picks, which include technology, energy, financials, and real estate. He also talks about investing strategies in the current market environment, as well as areas of opportunity in the market. Tune in to find out more.

Behind the Markets Podcast
Behind The Markets Podcast: Sam Burns

Behind the Markets Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2021 56:46


Show from 8/5/21Interested in spicing up your 60/40 spread? Host Jeremy Schwartz brings on the Founder and Chief Strategist at Mill Street Research Sam Burns to cover the latest investing trends. Sam discusses the benefit of combining top down and bottom-up inputs to analyze markets as well as how to watch for weakening risk appetite in equities. They also get into Fed policy and the recent decision to support the corporate debt market.Guest:Sam Burns – Founder and Chief Strategist at Mill Street ResearchFollow Mill Street Research on Twitter: @MillStResearchFind out more about Mill Street Research on their website: https://www.millstreetresearch.com/ See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.