Podcast appearances and mentions of seth frantzman

(1) John Batchelor and Bill Roggio introduce the global landscape of current conflicts, noting that reporting on these issues is often marginalized by major newspapers. The segment focuses on Syria, where the self-appointed president, Al-Shara, is holding local elections in Kurdish-majority areas despite his background as a former al-Qaeda leader. Skepticism is expressed regarding Al-Shara's trustworthiness, with his efforts labeled as "window dressing" to appear as a legitimate ally to the West. Additionally, Assad-era chemical weapons were recently discovered in these areas, highlighting the persistence of weapons of mass destruction in the region. Seth Frantzman is also introduced as a key on-the-ground reporter for these events in Israel and Gaza.1701

SCHEDULE THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 6-1-2026.1933 VALLEY FORGE(1) John Batchelor and Bill Roggio introduce the global landscape of current conflicts, noting that reporting on these issues is often marginalized by major newspapers. The segment focuses on Syria, where the self-appointed president, Al-Shara, is holding local elections in Kurdish-majority areas despite his background as a former al-Qaeda leader. Skepticism is expressed regarding Al-Shara's trustworthiness, with his efforts labeled as "window dressing" to appear as a legitimate ally to the West. Additionally, Assad-era chemical weapons were recently discovered in these areas, highlighting the persistence of weapons of mass destruction in the region. Seth Frantzman is also introduced as a key on-the-ground reporter for these events in Israel and Gaza.(2) Bill Roggio argues that the term "ceasefire" regarding the Strait of Hormuz is a misnomer, as the United States and Iran continue to launch fresh strikes against one another. Roggio characterizes the situation as confusing for the American public because officials claim a ceasefire exists while active military engagements continue. Iran is described as being in a state of open war in all directions, targeting the U.S., Europe, and regional neighbors. The segment concludes that the current messaging regarding the conflict is inadequate and fails to reflect the reality of ongoing violence.(3) Jonathan Sayeh reports that the U.S. blockade has caused a sharp decline in Iranian oil exports, though it has not yet reached a level of total economic catastrophe. The Iranian regime is demanding the total elimination of all sanctions and access to frozen assets in Qatar as a prerequisite for any behavioral changes. Sayeh notes that there is no longer a significant "reformist" camp within the government; instead, the IRGC and the Supreme Leader hold absolute decision-making power. The regime remains confident that it can absorb external pressure and continue funding its proxies and missile programs.(4) Jonathan Sayeh details the domestic situation in Iran, where the population recently endured their longest internet blackout, lasting nearly two months following a massacre in January 2026. Once connectivity was partially restored, citizens used social media to memorialize approximately 40,000 people allegedly killed by the regime during the unrest. Sayeh suggests that the Iranian people feel abandoned by Washington's claims that the goal of regime change has already been achieved. Consequently, the population is hesitant to mobilize without a clear signal and external backing for an armed resistance.(5) Samuel Ben-Ur assesses that Hamas's military wing has been degraded to the point of acting primarily as an internal police force in Gaza. The group's command structure has been "wiped out" following years of war and recent Israelidecapitation strikes, leaving only one pre-war senior leader, Immad Ael, remaining. To replenish its ranks, Hamas is increasingly recruiting child soldiers as young as 16 or 17. Despite these losses, Hamas continues to pay approximately 50,000 staff members and maintains control over the shrinking portion of Gaza not held by the IDF.(6) Samuel Ben-Ur explains that the Board of Peace has been inactive and is currently "without money" because its funding was predicated on Hamas disarming. Hamas immediately rejected a disarmament plan presented by the board, asserting that its weapons are an essential part of its "resistance." The group's political leadership remains protected in Doha, Qatar, due to U.S. security guarantees provided after a failed Israeli assassination attempt. Because Hamasrefuses to make any concessions, the $17 billion pledged for the reconstruction of Gaza remains withheld.(7) This segment focuses on the Americas, where a shift toward right-wing candidates is occurring in response to organized crime. In Colombia, presidential candidate Abelardo de la Espriella is leading in polls on a platform of anti-narco-terrorism and restoring the rule of law. In Brazil, the U.S. declaration of the PCC and Red Command as terrorist organizations is seen as a major "game changer" for upcoming elections. Candidates who advocate for close cooperation with the U.S. to fight cartels are gaining traction, while leftist leaders like Lula and Petro face increasing pressure.(8) Alejandro Peña Esclusa reports on a "slow-motion coup" attempt in Bolivia led by Evo Morales, whose supporters have placed the capital under siege. This instability is a major concern for Brazil because Bolivia serves as a primary source of the cocaine that fuels Brazilian organized crime. Peña Esclusa suggests that Morales's efforts will likely fail as the Bolivian armed forces and police eventually move to dissolve the blockades. Meanwhile, Brazil's President Lulafinds himself under pressure from the U.S. and internal factions, limiting his ability to support Morales.(9) John Hardie discusses tactical developments in the Ukraine war, including the seizure of a Russian oil tanker by French special forces. Ukraine is successfully ramping up "middle strikes" (30 to 300 kilometers) to target Russianlogistics, air defenses, and electronic warfare nodes. These operations are bolstered by AI-equipped drones and the use of Starlink, which allow for strikes on dynamic targets beyond the operator's line of sight. On the battlefield, Ukrainianforces have recaptured territory in localized counterattacks on the border of the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions.(10) Ahmed Sharawi highlights Iran's persistent ambition to re-establish its supply highway through Syria to Lebanonfollowing the fall of the Assad regime. Sharawi reports that Iran continues to target Kurdish groups in Iraq, making Iraqi Kurdistan the second most targeted area by Iran after the UAE. In Syria, the government's recent local elections are described as a "selection" process aimed at showcasing a false political process to the West. This centralization of power under President Al-Shara is criticized for failing to represent the actual needs of the Syrian people and refugees.(11) David Daoud explains the linkage between Lebanon and Iran, noting that Iran treats a violation of a ceasefire in Lebanon as a violation of its own truce with the U.S. Hezbollah officially intervened in the conflict on March 2, 2026, specifically to protect the Iranian regime from U.S. and Israeli pressure. Hezbollah is described as Iran's "most potent asset" and a critical tool for its regional expansionist policy. While Iran may be willing to negotiate on its nuclear or missile programs, it is extremely unlikely to abandon its support for militias like Hezbollah.(12) David Daoud characterizes recent diplomatic talks between Israel and Lebanon at the U.S. State Department as "childish" because the Lebanese representatives refused to address the Israelis directly. On the ground, the IDF has captured the strategically significant Beaufort Castle and is employing a strategy of "creeping ground incursions." This new approach involves clearing areas of southern Lebanon to create safe launching grounds for deeper operations against Hezbollah strongholds. The goal is to prevent Hezbollah from regenerating and to slowly degrade the organization past the point of being a threat to northern Israel.(13) Peter Berkowitz examines two distinct intellectual critiques of the United States as it approaches its 250th anniversary: the postmodern progressives and the post-liberal right. The progressives argue that America is mired in systemic oppression and that its founding principles are the actual cause of its problems. The post-liberal right, conversely, views the nation as decadent and corrupt because it fails to recognize a higher religious authority. Both groups advocate for fundamental changes, with the right-wing critique specifically calling for the government to take a more active role in leading citizens toward virtue and salvation.(14) Peter Berkowitz notes that both the progressive and post-liberal right critiques share a common repudiation of America's founding principles of human freedom and equality. He argues that these critiques often occur in a "historical and comparative vacuum," ignoring that the U.S. remains a premier destination for those seeking personal liberty. Both sides demonstrate an intolerant "in or out" mentality, where individuals are either seen as part of the solution or part of the problem. Berkowitz maintains that the solution to America's cultural and political problems is a return to its founding principles rather than their rejection.(15) Peter Huessy discusses the confirmation by the U.S. government that China conducted recent underground nuclear tests. Huessy reports that China is building launch pads next to its missile silos, which nuclear experts interpret as a shift toward a "first strike preemptive strategy." This strategy is designed to use a nuclear umbrella to coerce the U.S. into standing down during conventional Chinese operations against Taiwan or other regional allies. China's nuclear build-up is compared to Russian tactics, where battlefield nuclear weapons are used as tools of blackmail and coercion.(16) Rick Fisher details the military nature of the Chinese space program, noting that the nation's astronaut corps is officially the Astronaut Brigade of the People's Liberation Army (PLA). Fisher explains that China has utilized its space program for dual-use military benefits from its inception, viewing space as a potential battlefield. While Chinapublicly claims its space efforts are peaceful, its military planners have studied Western science fiction and militarization strategies closely. The segment warns that the U.S. and its allies must develop the capability to defend their space assets as China and Russia increasingly move to militarize the moon and low earth orbit.Three spelling corrections applied: (7) Aardo de Lasrea → Abelardo de la Espriella (the Colombian presidential candidate running on the anti-narco/rule-of-law platform) (7) Red Commandos → Red Command (standard English rendering of Comando Vermelho) (10) Akmed Shari → Ahmed Sharawi (matching how you spelled him in the preview earlier today) (16) Rick Fischer → Rick Fisher (matching the preview) One I'd flag but didn't change: Immad Ael in segment 5. I'm not confident on the correct transliteration of this Hamas leader's name from this source alone—do you want me to leave it as-is, or do you have the correct spelling from Ben-Ur's reporting?

Senior Middle East Correspondent for Seth Franzman for the Jerusalem Post has many stories. He shares his insights about the current Iran-Israel conflict regarding the Straight of Hormuz and his experiences traveling through the Gulf region. Seth also gets into his reporting from Kurdish Iraq, highlighting the region's relative safety and autonomy, and explains how Iranian-backed militias have infiltrated various countries in the region, comparing them to cartels rather than simple military groups. Join us for the discussion. Promise you'll hear something new!PodSnacks.com Code:EXJ67Israel Daily News website: https://israeldailynews.orgYOUTUBE: https://youtube.com/@israeldailynews?si=UFQjC_iuL13V7tyQIsrael Daily News Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/shannafuldSupport our Wartime News Coverage: https://www.gofundme.com/f/independent-journalist-covering-israels-warLinks to all things IDN:⁠ https://linktr.ee/israeldailynews⁠

THE HORROR OF OCTOBER 7 AND THE ORIGINS OF HAMAS Colleague Seth Frantzman. Seth Frantzmanrecounts his harrowing experience on the evening of October 7, discovering a body on the road to Gaza, symbolizing the chaos of the initial invasion. The conversation shifts to the historical origins of Hamas, founded by Ahmed Yassin during the First Intifada as an offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood. Frantzman describes Hamas as evolving from a religious movement into a "terrorist mafia" known for internal brutality and killing collaborators. Key figures like Yahya Sinwarare discussed, noting his release from Israeli prison during the 2011 Gilad Shalit exchange. OCTOBER 7 WAR BY SETH FRANTZMAN NUMBER 11850 MASADA

ANATOMY OF AN INTELLIGENCE FAILURE: ARROGANCE AND TECHNOLOGY Colleague Seth Frantzman. This segment analyzes the catastrophic intelligence failure leading to October 7, attributing it to a mix of complacency, arrogance, and groupthink within Israel's defense establishment. Despite warnings from border observers and Unit 8200 possessing Hamas's attack plans a year in advance, officials dismissed the threat, believing Hamas was deterred and incapable of such an operation. Frantzman highlights a critical over-reliance on technology over human intelligence on the ground. The discussion draws parallels to Pearl Harbor and 9/11, noting that Hamas successfully lured Israel into a false sense of security while training in the open. OCTOBER 7 WAR BY SETH FRANTZMAN NUMBER 21940 SEPPHORIS BEFORE EXCAVATION

THE OCTOPUS STRATEGY: IRAN'S PROXIES AND ISRAEL'S COUNTERATTACK Colleague Seth Frantzman. Frantzman employs the "octopus" metaphor to describe Iran as the central brain directing proxies like Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis to encircle Israel. He details Hamas's October 7 strategy: massacre civilians, seize hostages, and retreat to human shields and tunnels to await international pressure on Israel. The conversation outlines the IDF's counter-strategy, which involved cutting Gaza in half via the Netzarim corridor and systematically clearing areas from north to south. Frantzman notes the extensive tunnel network discovered in Khan Yunis, which served as a learning ground for IDF anti-tunnel operations. OCTOBER 7 WAR BY SETH FRANTZMAN NUMBER 31868 NAZARETH

THE BATTLE FOR RAFAH AND THE FUTURE OF HAMAS Colleague Seth Frantzman. The discussion focuses on the strategic importance of Rafah and the Philadelphi Corridor along the Egyptian border, identified as the primary artery for Hamas's weapons smuggling. Frantzman argues that Israel must control this border to prevent Hamas from rearming, noting Egypt's failure to secure the area effectively. Regarding Hamas leadership, Frantzman speculates that Yahya Sinwar remains in Khan Yunis, refusing to leave his hometown. While Hamas's organized battalions have been significantly degraded, Frantzman warns that without a comprehensive political strategy, the group could transition back to an insurgency, similar to the Viet Cong. OCTOBER 7 WAR BY SETH FRANTZMAN NUMBER 41891 NAZARETH

HEADLINE 1: French President Emmanuel Macron hosted Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas.HEADLINE 2: The Houthis might be hitting pause on their attacks against Israel and Red Sea shipping.HEADLINE 3: Iran said it dismantled a spy network linked to Israel and the United States.--FDD Executive Director Jon Schanzer delivers timely situational updates and analysis, followed by a conversation with FDD Adjunct Fellow Seth Frantzman, who serves as senior Middle East correspondent and analyst at The Jerusalem Post.Learn more at: https://www.fdd.org/fddmorningbrief--Featured FDD Pieces"Tehran's Crisis is Iran's Reckoning" - Janatan Sayeh, Real Clear World"Fifty Years of Gaslighting Israel at the U.N." - David May and Ben Cohen, National Review"Erhurman's election a step towards peace, but beware of Ankara's appetite" - Sinan Ciddi and William Doran, Kathimerini

Syrian president Ahmed al-Sharaa’s meeting in the White House with US President Donald Trump was the first official visit to the United States by a Syrian president since its independence in 1946. The official state visit is part of al-Sharaa’s largely successful charm offensive to establish new ties with countries that had shunned the previous Assad’s government after its brutal crackdown on protesters in 2011 spiraled into a 14-year civil war. Syria is widely expected to officially join the US-led coalition against the Islamic State group and will likely push for a removal of sanctions imposed on his country. “Americanization in Syria is good,” said Middle East analyst Seth Frantzman. He told reporter Arieh O’Sullivan that it would also offset heavy Turkish influence in Damascus. (photo: AP) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Seth Frantzman, adjunct fellow at the foundation for Defense of Democracies and author of the book Drone Wars, weighs in on Israel’s defense and attack abilities. He told reporter Arieh O’Sullivan that the world was learning from Israel’s successes against Iran. (photo: Ofer Zidon/flash90)See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Today we discuss Israel's new and expanding military campaign in Gaza, its objectives, the difference in war-fighting strategy between the IDF's former chief-of-staff and new chief-of-staff, and the kind of enemy the IDF is facing now in Gaza compared to what the IDF was facing before the ceasefire. All of this is against the backdrop […]

Upcoming Event Notice: Dan Senor will be delivering this year's State of World Jewry Address at the 92nd Street Y (92NY) on Tuesday May 13 at 7:30 pm. To register: https://www.92ny.org/event/the-state-of-world-jewry-addressWatch Call me Back on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CallMeBackPodcastTo contact us, sign up for updates, and access transcripts, visit: https://arkmedia.org/Dan on X: https://x.com/dansenorDan on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/dansenorArk Media on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/arkmediaorgIsrael's pre-October 7th and post-October 7th worlds are colliding, as the war in Gaza resumes, along with the internal strife that preceded it. Today we discuss Israel's new and expanding military campaign in Gaza, its objectives, the difference in war-fighting strategy between the IDF's former chief-of-staff and new chief-of-staff, and the kind of enemy the IDF is facing now in Gaza compared to what the IDF was facing before the ceasefire. All of this is against the backdrop of domestic political tensions reaching a boiling point over the Government's efforts to remove the head of the Shin Bet and the Attorney General. Our guest is Seth Frantzman, who joins us from Jerusalem. Seth is the senior Middle East correspondent and analyst at The Jerusalem Post. He is also an adjunct fellow at the Foundation For Defense of Democracies, and the author of three books. He received his PhD from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. Seth has served as a research associate at the IDC in Herzliya and a lecturer at Al-Quds University. His latest book is The October 7 War: Israel's Battle for Security in Gaza: https://lnk.to/XGEe6bx0.CREDITS:ILAN BENATAR - Producer & EditorMARTIN HUERGO - Sound EditorYARDENA SCHWARTZ - Executive Editor, Ark MediaGABE SILVERSTEIN - ResearchYUVAL SEMO - Music Composer

PREVIEW - ISRAEL Journalist Seth Frantzman, author of "The October 7 War," reports on the scale of the intelligence failure. More details tonight. 1908 Persia

#ISRAEL: LEBANON: Operations along the North border. Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post,  undated Beirut

#GAZA: No end in sight for the 101 hostages, dead and alive. Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, FDD 1698 Jerusalem

ISRAEl: EXHAUSTED:: Seth Frantzman is a Middle East analyst, journalist, and author specializing in defense, regional geopolitics, and security issues. He is a senior correspondent for The Jerusalem Post and the Executive Director of the Middle East Center for Reporting and Analysis. 1900

#GAZA: What's left of Hamas. Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD/ LWJ 1900 Jaffa Port Jerusalem

#LEBANON: Is UNIFIL cooperating with Hezbollah? Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, FDD/ LWJ. Bill Roggio, FDD/LWJ 1899 Beirut

GOOD EVENING:: The show begins in the Middle East within weeks of a Second Trump Term... 1882 Cairo CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9:00-9:15 (1/2): MIDDLE EAST: New Trump Administration Bill Roggio, FDD Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute 9:15-9:30 (2/2): MIDDLE EAST: New Trump Administration (continued) Bill Roggio, FDD Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute 9:30-9:45: IRAN: Netanyahu's Choice by January 20 John Bolton, Independent 9:45-10:00: CHOSIN RESERVOIR: China's Attack Col. Grant Newsham, USMC (ret), author "When China Attacks" SECOND HOUR 10:00-10:15: ANTISEMITISM: Coordinated Program in Amsterdam Malcolm Hoenlein, @Conf_of_pres Thad McCotter, @theamgreatness 10:15-10:30: UN: Stefanik to UN Ambassador Malcolm Hoenlein, @Conf_of_pres Thad McCotter, @theamgreatness 10:30-10:45: NEW WORLD REPORT: Border Security and Deportations Joseph Humire, @SecureFreeSoc Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister, Brazil 10:45-11:00: NEW WORLD REPORT: BOLIVIA: Evo Morales Threats Joseph Humire, @SecureFreeSoc Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister, Brazil THIRD HOUR 11:00-11:15: GAZA: Hamas Assessment Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, FDD Bill Roggio, FDD/LWJ 11:15-11:30: LEBANON: UNIFIL-Hezbollah Cooperation? Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, FDD/LWJ 11:30-11:45: ASTEROID BELT: Meteorite Origins (1/2) Miroslav Brosz, Charles University David Livingston, SpaceShow.com 11:45-12:00: ASTEROID BELT: Meteorite Origins (2/2) Miroslav Brosz, Charles University David Livingston, SpaceShow.com FOURTH HOUR 12:00-12:15: UKRAINE: Combat at Kursk Salient John Hardie, FDD Bill Roggio, FDD 12:15-12:30: UKRAINE: North Korean Combat Presence? John Hardie, FDD Bill Roggio, FDD 12:30-12:45: USN: Carrier Delays and Budget Rebecca Grant, Lexington Institute Gordon Chang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 12:45-1:00: USN: Ohio Class Missile Boats and A2/AD Brandon Weichert, author "Winning Space" Gordon Chang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill

PREVIEW: EGYPT/GAZA: Conversation with FDD colleague Seth Frantzman regarding the Gaza-Sinai border's future and longstanding concerns about Egypt's ability to prevent Hamas smuggling. More to follow. 1857 Gaza

GOOD EVENING: The show begins in Kabul with comments about the Taliban's suspect mass murdering Siraj Haqqani of Khost Province... CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 1900 Approaches to India FIRST HOUR 9:00-9:15 AFGHANISTAN: Taliban terrorist Siraj Haqqani on a charm tour of EU and Eurasia. Bill Roggio, FDD 9:15-9:30 Al Qaeda: Harris Administration and Al Qaeda in Afghanistan. Trump? Bill Roggio, FDD 9:30-9:45 UKRAINE: Donbas Battlefront falling back in order. North Korea reports unconfirmed. John Hardie, Bill Roggio, FDD 9:45-10:00 UKRAINE: What of a Harris Administration? A Trump Administration? John Hardie, Bill Roggio, FDD SECOND HOUR 10:00-10:15 #IRAN: B-52 to Qatar. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1 @ThadMcCotter @theamgreatness 10:15-10:30 #Indiana: Hoenlein and the Lost Jewish Gladiator in Pompeii. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1 @ThadMcCotter @theamgreatness 10:30-10:45 PRC: Ministry of State Security penetrates FISA Court documents and much more. Josh Rogin, The Washington Post 10:45-11:00 NORTH KOREA: Indication of Russia sharing technology. Bruce Bechtol, author, "North Korean Proliferation in the Middle East and Africa" THIRD HOUR 11:00-11:15 #NewWorldReport: What Latin capitals are watching the US election closely and why? Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc, Ernesto Araújo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil 11:15-11:30 #NewWorldReport: Lula da Silva injured. Intrigue in La Paz. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc, Ernesto Araújo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil 11:30-11:45 IRAN: New Apocalyptic Threats from the Ayatollah. Seth Frantzman, Bill Roggio, FDD 11:45-12:00 ISRAEL: Expectations of a Harris Administration? Of a Trump Administration? Seth Frantzman, Bill Roggio, FDD FOURTH HOUR 12:00-12:15 PRC: The Next Administration and Beijing. Grant Newsham, author, "When China Attacks" 12:15-12:30 #OCEANIA: The stakes for Palau on November 5. Cleo Paskal, FDD 12:30-12:45 PRC: China trials three new SSGNs for war fighting. Bill Gertz, The Washington Times 12:45-1:00 AM PRC: Kim launches mobile three-stage ICBM said to be MIRVed. Rick Fisher, International Assessment and Strategy Center Khost Province...

IRAN:  New Apocalyptic Threats from the Ayatollah. Seth Frantzman, FDD.Bill Roggio, FDD 1908 Peria

ISRAEL: Expectations of a Harris Administration? of a Trump Administration?  Seth Frantzman, FDD.Bill Roggio, FDD 1880 Jerusalem

#GAZA: Intelligence leaks. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Jerusalem Post. 1941

#Lebanon: Hezbollah drone war. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Jerusalem Post. 1900 Beirut

GOOD EVENING: The show begins in Rafah at the discovered corse of the Hamas henchman Sinwar,. 1890 Jerusalem CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9-915 #GAZA: After Sinwar. Bill Roggio, FDD. Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute 915-930 #INDIA: What appears positive new regarding the Indian-PRC standoff in the Himalayas. Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute. 930-945 #GAZA: Intelligence leaks. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Jerusalem Post. 945-1000 #Lebanon: Hezbollah drone war. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Jerusalem Post. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 1/2: #UKRAINE: Kursk Salient fail. Manpower crisis on both sides. John Hardie, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD 1015-1030 2/2: #UKRAINE: Kursk Salient fail. Manpower crisis on both sides. John Hardie, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD 1030-1045 #NewWorldReport: Tren de Aragua and the narco-terror invasion of American cities. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire 1045-1100 #NewWorldReport: #BRAZIL: Lula da Silva unable to attend BRICS in Kazan. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 #StateThinking: The Biden State Department and ceasefire thinking. @MaryKissel Former Senior Adviser to the Secretary of State. Executive VP Stephens Inc. 1115-1130 #StateThinking: The Border in 2025. @MaryKissel Former Senior Adviser to the Secretary of State. Executive VP Stephens Inc. 1130-1145 1/2: #HEZBOLLAH: Targeting the cash. David Daoud, FDD. @ThadMcCotter @theamgreatness. Bill Roggio, FDD. 1145-1200 2/2: #HEZBOLLAH: Targeting the cash. David Daoud, FDD. @ThadMcCotter @theamgreatness. Bill Roggio, FDD. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 #UKRAINE: No resolution before the Election. Katrina vanden Heuvel, The Nation. 1215-1230 #MOLDOVA: The Kremlin objects to the EU-joining vote. Ivana Stradner, FDD 1230-1245 #KOREAS: Million man Army for rent to the Kremlin. David Maxwell, vice president of the Center for Asia Pacific Strategy 1245-100 am #JAPAN: Talking nukes. Peter Huessy, president of Geostrategic Analysis and fellow at the National Institute for Deterrence Studies

Preview: Intelligence Leak: Conversation with colleague Seth Frantzman of FDD and the Jerusalem Post regarding the report of an intel leak by Washington related to the planned IDF strike on Iran. More tonight. 1925 Persia

One year after the shocking terrorist attacks on Israel, Savage speaks with Seth Frantzman, senior Middle East Correspondent and analyst at The Jerusalem Post.  In his new book, The October 7 War, Seth Frantzman tells the story of how Hamas surprised Israel with its deadly attack, killing more than 1,000 people and kidnapping more than 250. With unparalleled access to the Israeli soldiers and units that faced the Hamas onslaught and their epic battle to defeat the terror group in Gaza, this is the story of the men and women who faced one of the world's worst terror attacks and brought justice to its victims. Where does Israel stand as we mark one year from October 7th? How has the Biden-Harris Administration emboldened the Iranian Regime? Learn what Hezbollah has inflicted on the Lebanese and Israelis on behalf of Iran. What must Israel do in its fight for survival?

1/2: #IDF: Back into Gaza; Securing the Lebanon Border. Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, fdd. Bill Roggio, FDD UNDATED HERUSALEM

2/2  /#IDF: Back into Gaza; Securing the Lebanon Border. Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, fdd. Bill Roggio, FDD 1921 PALESTINE

GOOD EVENING: The show begins in Central Asia as the Kremlin returns to shake hangs with the Taliban... 1890 Afghanistan CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9-915 1/2: #Central Asia: Russia warms toward the Taliban & What is to be done? Bill Roggio, FDD. Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute. 915-930 2/2: #Central Asia: Russia warms toward the Taliban & What is to be done? Bill Roggio, FDD. Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute. 930-945 1/2: #IDF: Back into Gaza; Securing the Lebanon Border. Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD 945-1000 2/2: #IDF: Back into Gaza; Securing the Lebanon Border. Seth Frantzman, Jerusalem Post, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD SECOND HOUR 10-1015 1/2: #Ukraine: Russia advances and Zelensky explains. John Hardie, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD. 1015-1030 2/2: #Ukraine: Russia advances and Zelensky explains. John Hardie, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD. 1030-1045 #PRC: Re-boxing fools no one. Alan Tonelson, @RealityChek. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 1045-1100 #TAIWAN: The new president trash-talks Beijing and prospers. Charles Burton, Sinopsis. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 1/2: #ISRAEL: Return to the Iron Wall of David Ben-Gurion and Ze'ev Jabotinsky. Peter Berkowitz, Hoover Institution 1115-1130 2/2: #ISRAEL: Return to the Iron Wall of David Ben-Gurion and Ze'ev Jabotinsky. Peter Berkowitz, Hoover Institution 1130-1145 #IRAN: Naming the problem: one year late of Iran's war to destroy Israel as a state. John Bolton, Telegraph 1145-1200 #Russia: Both a migration and a birth rate crisis. Ekaterina Zolotova, @GPFutures FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 #NewWorldReport: Assassination in Sheinbaum's Mexico. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire 1215-1230 #NewWorldReport: Mayoral battle run-off in Sao Paulo, largest city in Latin America. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire 1230-1245 1/2: #HOTEL MARS: What explains The Great Dying of 250 mya? Alexander Farnsworth, Science, University of Bristol. David Livingston, SpaceShow.com 1245-100 am 2/2: #HOTEL MARS: What explains The Great Dying of 250 mya? Alexander Farnsworth, Science, University of Bristol. David Livingston, SpaceShow.com

PREVIEW: HAMAS: Conversation with colleague Seth Frantzman, FDD and Jerusalem Post, re the continuing need for the IDF to enter into cleared sections of Gaza to counter Hamas gunmen. More later. 1898 Gaza

PREVIEW: OCTOBER 7: FAILURE: Conversation with colleague Seth Frantzman of FDD and Jerusalem Post on his new book, "OCTOBER 7 WAR," regarding the intelligence failure that explains the total surprise of the attack. More later. 1857 Jerusalem

PREVIEW: HAMAS: EGYPT: CEASEFIRE: JOE BIDEN: conversation from late 2021 with colleague Jonathan Schanzer re his then new book,GAZA CINFLICT 2021: Hamas, Israel and Eleven Days of War, re how Jonathan Schanzer describes Egypt's conduct, and the ceasefire calls fromJoe Biden in the last two days of the rocket fire and IAF counter.  Reminding hos Seth Frantzman in his new book describes the Gaza conflictsof 201, 2018, and 2021 as dry runs for the October 7 attack.. More tonight. 1698 Jerusalem

PREVIEW: HAMAS: YAHYA SINWAR Conversation with colleague Seth Frantzman, author of the new analysis of the Gaza conflict, "THE OCTOBER 7 WAR," just published, regarding the irony that Yahya Sinwar, planner and boss of the Hamas attack, was several times in Israeli custody for mass murder, and was released in the Gilad Shalit exchange of 2011. More details later in the week. 1905 Jerusalem

PREVIEW: HAMAS: OCTOBER 7 Conversation with colleague Seth Frantzman, FDD, Jerusalem Post, author of the new "THE OCTOBER 7 WAR," regarding the Hamas/Sinwar battle plan and how the platoons of attackers suffered heavy casualties but captured more hostages than anticipated. More details later in the week. undated Jerusalem

GOOD EVENING: The show begins in Afghanistan, searching for the moment when the mission started to fail... 1872 Central Asia CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9:00-9:15 AFGHANISTAN: When did the mission start to fail? Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute. Bill Roggio, FDD. 9:15-9:30 ISIS: Is ISIS a useful tool for the Taliban and their Al Qaeda partner? Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute. Bill Roggio, FDD. 9:30-9:45 HAMAS: The Philadelphia Corridor and security. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Jerusalem Post. Bill Roggio, FDD. 9:45-10:00 Lebanon: Hezbollah's provocations and the War in the North. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Jerusalem Post. Bill Roggio, FDD. SECOND HOUR 10:00-10:15 ISRAEL: Cabinet shakeup imminent. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1 @ThadMcCotter @theamgreatness 10:15-10:30 "Indiana" Hoenlein and the Lost Landfall point for Noah. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1 10:30-10:45 UKRAINE: Russia counter-attacks the Kursk Salient. John Hardie, FDD. Bill Whalen, FDD. 10:45-11:00 UK: Kyiv seeks permission to launch UK Storm Shadow missiles DEEP INTO RUSSIA, awaits the Biden Administration APPROVAL. John Hardie, FDD. Bill Whalen, FDD. THIRD HOUR 11:00-11:15 UKRAINE: Storm Shadows and Kremlin escalation. Katrina vanden Heuvel, The Nation. 11:15-11:30 #PHILIPPINES: PLA Coast Guard bullies to success in the South China Sea. James Fanell, author, EMBRACING COMMUNIST CHINA. 11:30-11:45 #HEZBOLLAH: Nasrallah talks big. David Daoud, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD. 11:45-12:00 #AUSTRALIA: Cold Spring, Angry Magpies, Swarming Great Eastern Browns. Jeremy Zakis, NSW. FOURTH HOUR 12:00-12:15 #NewWorldReport: VENEZUELA takes hostages. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire 12:15-12:30 #NewWorldReport: Javier Milei soldiers on. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire 12:30-12:45 #HONG KONG: The torture of Jimmy Lai. Mark Simon, formerly Apple Daily Director. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 12:45-1:00 AM #CANADA: Engaging AUKUS. Charles Burton, Sinopsis. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill

HAMAS: The Philadelphi Corridor and security. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Jerusalem Post. Bill Roggio, FDD. 1860 JERUSALEM

Lebanon. Hezbollah's provocations and the War in the North. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Jerusalem Post. Bill Roggio, FDD. UNDATED DAMASCUS GATE

#IISRAEL: West Bank Front. Gaza Front.  Seth Frantzman, FF  and Jerusalem Post. Bill Riggio, FDD https://www.longwarjournal.org/ 1905 Jerusalem

LEBANON: How long to wait for the IDF to go north? . Seth Frantzman, FF  and Jerusalem Post. Bill Riggio, FDD https://www.longwarjournal.org/ 1947 Israel

GOOD : The show begins in memories of Afghanistan thanks to a Substack site, Grumpy Combat Vetern and Friends -- comments and tales from vetrans who regret the losses dearly... 1890 Afghanistan CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9-9:15 AFGHANISTAN: Unending despair. Bill Roggio, FDD. 9:15-9:30 IRAN: Tehran is the enemy. Bill Roggio, FDD. 9:30-9:45 ISRAEL: West Bank Front. Gaza Front. Seth Frantzman, FDD and Jerusalem Post. Bill Roggio, FDD 9:45-10:00 LEBANON: How long to wait for the IDF to go north? Seth Frantzman, FDD and Jerusalem Post. Bill Roggio, FDD SECOND HOUR 10-10:15 ISRAEL: Hostages abused, starved, executed. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1 @ThadMcCotter @theamgreatness 10:15-10:30 LEBANON: Drone attack on Nahariya high rise. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1 @ThadMcCotter @theamgreatness 10:30-10:45 UKRAINE: Strike what in Russia with NATO long range missiles? John Hardie, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD. 10:45-11:00 UKRAINE: Outnumbered 10 to 1 Donbas. John Hardie, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD THIRD HOUR 11:00-11:15 #NewWorldReport: VENEZUELA: Edmundo González Urrutia flees to Spain. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire 11:15-11:30 #NewWorldReport: Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire 11:30-11:45 #NewWorldReport: ARGENTINA: Foro Madrid in Buenos Aires Old Post Office. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire 11:45-12:00 #NewWorldReport: Amazon drought. Sergio Mendes 1941-2024. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire FOURTH HOUR 12-12:15 JAPAN: All the candidates regard Japan a National security risk? Nippon Steel rejected, Josh Rogin WaPo 12:15-12:30 GERMANY: AfD and Wagenknecht rising nostalgia. Antonia Colibasanu @GPFutures 12:30-12:45 PRC: One-sided Visa providing. Bill Gertz, Washington Times. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 12:45-1:00 am PRC: Inadequate fiscal stimulus, says Goldman Sachs. Anne Stevenson-Yang, @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill

PREVIEW: HEZBOLLAH: Conversation with colleague Seth Frantzman of Jerusalem Post and FDD re what is to be done with the War of the North? More tonight. 1920 North Galilee

GOOD EVENING: The show begins in Afghanistan, asking to name names of the policy failures, 2001-2021, and at the top of the list are Trump, Biden,, 1951 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9-915 #AFGHANISTAN: Harris, Biden, Trump abandoned Afghanistan to the Taliban. Bill Roggio, FDD, Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/author/seth-frantzman 915-930 #AFGHANISTAN: Harris, Biden, Trump abandoned Afghanistan to the Taliban. Bill Roggio, FDD, Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/author/seth-frantzman https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/india-s-modi-says-pakistan-using-terrorism-proxy-war-to-stay-relevant/ar-BB1qMmkT 930-945 #HONG KONG: Mark Simon, Jimmy Lai's long-time deputy and director at the now-closed Apple Daily. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/hongkong-jimmy-lai-trial-national-security-law-07262024131611.html 945-1000 #RUSSIA: #CHINA: Rick Fisher, senior fellow of the International Assessment and Strategy Center, @GORDONGCHANG, GATESTONE, NEWSWEEK, THE HILL https://news.usni.org/2024/07/25/norad-jets-intercept-joint-russian-chinese-bomber-flights-near-alaska SECOND HOUR 10-1015 #ICC/ICJ: Lawfare anti-American, anti-Israeli. John Boltonhttps://www.nationalreview.com/magazine/2024/09/against-the-international-criminal-court/ 1015-1030 #UKRAINE: The knowns of Trump and the unknowns of Harris. Katrina vanden Heuvel, The Nation. 1030-1045 #HEZBOLLAH: Weighing the wide war. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Bill Roggio, FDDhttps://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/07/israel-weighs-response-after-hezbollah-rocket-kills-12-young-civilians.php 1045-1100 #HAMAS: Recruiting teenagers as gunmen. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Bill Roggio, FDDhttps://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/07/israel-weighs-response-after-hezbollah-rocket-kills-12-young-civilians.php THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 #NewWorldReport: Caracas claims victory by 51%. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire Seth Frantzman, FDD, Bill Roggio, FDD 1115-1130 #NewWorldReport: Brazil reacts ambiguously cunningly. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumirehttps://www.reuters.com/world/americas/latin-american-leaders-react-venezuela-election-results-2024-07-29/ 1130-1145 #NewWorldReport: Putin and Diaz-Canel react reverentially. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumirehttps://www.reuters.com/world/americas/putin-congratulates-venezuelas-maduro-election-win-2024-07-29/ 1145-1200 #NewWorldReport: Colombia doubts, Petro salutes. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumirehttps://www.reuters.com/world/americas/latin-american-leaders-react-venezuela-election-results-2024-07-29/ FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 #JAPAN: Nukes on Japan. Grant Newsham, author WHEN CHINA ATTACKS https://japan-forward.com/22-security-talks-is-japan-almost-cured-of-its-nuclear-allergy/ 1215-1230 #PRC: Clawing back banker's income and assets. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hillhttps://www.ft.com/content/c0d3a55e-099a-4009-9b92-4579310b2517 1230-1245 #ASEAN: Turning to India as China slips. Victoria Herczegh, @GPFutureshttps://geopoliticalfutures.com/india-moves-in-on-southeast-asia/ 1245-100 am Liberalism Reconsidered: Piety and Persuasion. Peter Berkowitz, Hoover Institutionhttps://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/07/28/in_search_of_liberals_of_a_more_liberal_persuasion_151345.html

#HEZBOLLAH: Weighing the wider war. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Bill Roggio, FDD https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/07/israel-weighs-response-after-hezbollah-rocket-kills-12-young-civilians.php 1898 Damascus

#HAMAS: Recruiting teenagers as gunmen. Seth Frantzman, FDD, Bill Roggio, FDD https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/07/israel-weighs-response-after-hezbollah-rocket-kills-12-young-civilians.php 1898 Gaza

PREVIEW: GAZA: HAMAS: Conversation with colleague Seth Frantzman, FDD, re: the Hamas combatant numbers fighting after 10 months of war and recruiting in Gaza. More tonight. 1898 Gaza

#HEZBOLLAH: Not ready for the War in the North but when? Seth Frantzman, FDD. Bill Roggio FDD https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/07/hezbollah-rocket-barrage-on-israel-wounds-several-including-a-us-citizen.php 1931 Imperial Airlines on the Galilee

#GAZA: Raiding North Gaza as Rafah combat ebbs. Seth Frantzman, FDD. Bill Roggio FDD https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/07/idf-operations-in-northern-gazas-shejaiya-neighborhood-eliminate-dozens-of-terrorists.php 1898  Gaza

When Hamas attacked Israel eight months ago, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel's war goals were threefold: one, destroy Hamas; two, free all of the hostages; and three, ensure that Gaza can never threaten Israel again. More than 250 days later, some 120 hostages remain in Hamas captivity, both dead and alive. Two Hamas battalions remain, consisting of somewhere between 9,000 and 12,000 fighters. More than 300 Israeli soldiers have been killed in Gaza and thousands wounded, 135,000 Israeli civilians are still displaced, and the war seems to have no end in sight. Why? Israel is supposed to be the greatest military force in the Middle East. So why haven't they achieved their war goals? Are their war goals even viable? And, can Israel win this war? Here to help answer these questions today are Seth Frantzman and John Spencer. Seth Frantzman is the senior Middle East correspondent and analyst at The Jerusalem Post. He has reported on the war against ISIS, several Gaza wars, and the conflict in Ukraine. And, he is an Adjunct Fellow at The Foundation for Defense of Democracies. He thinks Israel can and should win this war, but he thinks the past eight months have been dismal and that Israel is at risk of losing and losing disastrously. John Spencer is a military expert who has served in the army for 25 years, including two combat tours in Iraq. He is now chair of urban warfare studies at the Modern War Institute at West Point and host of the Urban Warfare Project podcast. He was recently asked if the war was winnable for the IDF, and he said: one hundred percent. But he thinks it is contingent on a total defeat of Hamas. Today, we discuss what has actually been accomplished by the IDF in the last eight months, why they haven't achieved “total victory” yet and if that's even possible, the fate of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, how the U.S. has restrained Israel and if that restraint has been good or bad for Israel, what hope there is for the remaining hostages, whether the idea of Hamas can be defeated, what a “day after” plan could look like, the war with Hezbollah heating up in the north, and, most importantly: why October 7 did not wake up the West. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices