Podcasts about donbas

Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine has now passed the three-and-a-half-year mark, and there is still no end in sight. The Trump administration's recent push to negotiate a ceasefire ground to a halt in early September, after Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelensky rejected Vladimir Putin's proposal to meet in Moscow, dismissing the invitation as a sign that his Russian counterpart has no desire to negotiate. Meanwhile, on the battlefield in Ukraine, Russian troops are continuing their offensive in central Donbas. While Ukrainian forces have succeeded in slowing their advance, this has come at the cost of Kyiv's defenses elsewhere, creating vulnerable gaps between frontline positions that Russian forces can slip through. With the front line becoming increasingly fluid and peace talks stalled, Russia has also continued to launch deadly missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities, targeting the country's energy grid ahead of the approaching winter months.  By all appearances, Putin believes that if Russia's military keeps pushing forward, it will eventually outlast and overpower Ukraine. But how much longer can the Kremlin sustain its war machine?  In a new report for the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), senior fellow Maria Snegovaya and Europe, Russia, and Eurasia program director Max Bergmann break down the mounting costs of Russia's war effort and outline four plausible scenarios for the war's next chapter. Dr. Maria Snegovaya joins this episode of The Naked Pravda to discuss their analysis. Time stamps for this episode: (2:05) The current state of the Russia–Ukraine war(4:49) Russia's war strategy and unchanging goals(8:03) How sustainable is this war for the Kremlin?(13:12) How Russia is replenishing its military losses(17:30) Potential scenarios for the war's future(26:55) Strategies for Ukraine and Western alliesКак поддержать нашу редакцию — даже если вы в России и вам очень страшно

This week we talk about Article 4, big sticks, and spheres of influence.We also discuss Moldova, super powers, and new fronts.Recommended Book: More Everything Forever by Adam BeckerTranscriptThe North Atlantic Treaty Organization, or NATO, was originally formed in 1949 in the wake of World War 2 and at the beginning of the Cold War.At that moment, the world was beginning to orient toward what we might think of as the modern global order, which at the time was predicated on having two superpowers—the US and the Soviet Union—and the world being carved up into their respective spheres of influence.NATO was formed as the military component of that protection effort, as the Soviets (and other powers who had occupied that land in the past) had a history of turning their neighbors into client states, because their territory provides little in the way of natural borders. Their inclination, then, was to either invade or overthrow neighboring governments so they could function as buffers between the Soviet Union and its potential enemies.The theory behind NATO is collective security: if anyone attacks one of the member nations, the others will come to their aid. Article 5 of the NATO treaty says that an attack against one member is considered an attack against all members, and while this theoretically would be applied against any would-be attacker, it was 100% created so that the Soviets and their Warsaw Pact allies knew that if they attacked, for instance, Norway, the other NATO nations—including, importantly, the United States, which again, was one of just two superpowers in the world at that point, all the other powers, like the UK and France having been devastated by WWII—would join in their defense.NATO, today, is quite a bit bigger than it was originally: it started out with just 12 countries in Europe and North America, and as of 2025, there are 32, alongside a handful of nations that are hoping to join, and are at various points along the way to possibly someday becoming member states.What I'd like to talk about today are recent provocations by the Soviet Union's successor state, Russia, against NATO, and what these provocations might portend for the future of the region.—In early 2014, Russia invaded—in a somewhat deniable way, initially funding local rabble-rousers and using unmarked soldiers and weapons—the eastern portion of Ukraine, and then annexed an important Black Sea region called Crimea. Then in early 2022, Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, massing hundreds of thousands of military assets on their shared border before plunging toward Ukraine's capitol and other vital strategic areas.Against the odds, as Ukraine is small and poor compared to Russia, and has a far smaller military, as well, Ukrainians managed to hold off the Russian assault, and today, about 3.5 years later, Ukraine continues to hold Russia off, though Russian forces have been making incremental gains in the eastern portion of the country over the past year, and Russian President Putin seems convinced he can hold the Donbas region, in particular, even if peace is eventually declared.At the moment, though, peace seems unlikely, as Russian forces continue to grind against increasingly sophisticated and automated Ukrainian defenses, the invading force, in turn, bolstered by North Korean ammunition and troops. Ukraine's exhausted soldiery is periodically and irregularly bulwarked by resources from regional and far-flung allies, helping them stay in the game, and they're fleshing out their locally grown defense industry, which has specialized in asymmetric weaponry like drones and rockets, but Russia still has the advantage by pretty much any metric we might use to gauge such things.Over the past three weeks, concerns that this conflict might spill over into the rest of Europe have been heightened by Russian provocations along the eastern edge of the NATO alliance.Russia flew drones into Poland and Romania, fighter jets into Estonia, and aggressively flew fighters over a Germany Navy frigate in the Baltic Sea. Article 4 of the NATO treaty was invoked, which is the lead-up invocation to an eventual invocation of Article 5, which would be a full-fledged defense, by the bloc, against someone who attacked a NATO member.And that's on top of Russia's persistent and ongoing efforts to influence politics in Moldova, which held an election over the weekend that could serve as a foot in the door for Russian influence campaigns and Russia-stoked coups within the EU, or could become one more hardened border against such aggressions, depending on how the election pans out. The final results aren't in as of the day I'm recording this episode, but there are fears that if the pro-Russian parties win, they'll turn the country—which is located on Ukraine's borders, opposite Russia—into another Russian puppet state, similar to Belarus, but if the pro-Russian parties don't do well, they'll try to launch a coup, because Russian disinformation in the country has been so thorough, and has indicated, in essence, if they lose, the process was rigged.All of which is occurring at a moment in which NATO's most powerful and spendy member, by far, the US, is near-universally pulling out of international activities, the second Trump administration proving even more antagonistic toward allies than the first one, and even more overt in its disdain for alliances like NATO, as well. It's probably worth noting here, too, that part of why things are so hectic in Moldova is that the US government has stopped pressuring social networks to tamp down on overt misinformation and propaganda from Russia-aligned groups, and that's led to significant fog of war for this most recent election.Considering the US's recent unreliability, and in some cases complete absence regarding NATO and similar alliances and pacts, it's perhaps prudent that NATO member states have recently agreed to up their individual spending on defense, all of these states meeting or exceeding their pre-2025-summit goal of 2% of GDP, that target increasing to 5% by 2035.This is notable in part because it's something Trump demanded, and that demand seems to have worked and probably been a good idea, but this is also notable because of what it represents: a cessation of leadership by the US in this alliance.The US has long been the big stick wielded by its European allies, and this administration basically said, hey, you need to make your own big sticks, you may not have access to our weapons and support anymore. And while it will still take a while to both get their funding up to snuff and to spend those funds appropriately, outfitting their defenses and shoring up their numbers, this would seem to be a step in that direction—though there's simmering concern that it might be too little, too late.That concern is mostly held by Russia-watchers who have noted a big pivot by Russia's leadership, and in the Russian economy.Over the past 3.5 years since it invaded Ukraine, that invasion taking a lot longer than they thought it would, Russia has shifted into a total war stance, its entire economy becoming reliant on its continued invasion of Ukraine.Should that invasion end or ebb, or should it continue to fail to give the Russian government enough successes, so it can brag about how well it's doing to its citizenry and oligarchs, it would probably need another target—another front in the war that it can open to justify the continued churning-out of weapons and soldiers, and the continued spending of a huge chunk of its GDP toward the military. Lacking that churn, it's economy would be in even worse straits than it's in, today, and lacking that cause, it's possible support for the government could collapse.It's also been posited that it could be a disaster Putin's regime if too many Russian veterans, wounded and traumatized from their time on the front lines in Ukraine, were to arrive back in Russia all at once. That's the sort of situation that could lead to an uprising against the government, or bare minimum a lot of turmoil that they don't want to deal with. Having another front, another battle to send them to, would solve that problem; it would be an excuse to keep them fighting external enemies, rather than looking for internal ones.Russia's Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, recently said that NATO and the EU have declared a “real war” against Russia by participating in the conflict; by providing arms and financial support for Ukraine.This is, of course, a silly thing to say, though it is the kind of statement an aggressor makes when they want to make themselves sound like the victim, and want to justify moving on to victimize someone else. You attacked us for no reason! We are thus completely within our rights to defend ourselves by attacking you; we are in the right here, you're the bad guys.This could be just saber-rattling, and it usually is. Lavrov says things like this all the time, and it's almost always state-sanctioned bluster. The drone and jet flyovers, likewise, could be meant to send a signal to the EU and NATO: back off, this is not your fight, but if you continue supporting Ukraine, we'll make it your fight, and we think we can beat you.It's also possible, though, that these actions are meant to test NATO defenses at a moment in which the US is largely absent from the region, China and Russia have never been tighter, including in supporting each other's regional goals and militaries, and in which Russia seemingly has many reasons, mostly internal, to expand the scope of the conflict.Show Noteshttps://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/pistorius-russian-jet-flew-over-142629311.html?guccounter=1https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/world/europe/russian-fighter-jets-estonia-nato.htmlhttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/07/business/russia-disinformation-trump.htmlhttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/20/world/europe/poland-drones-russia-nato.htmlhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prelude_to_the_Russian_invasion_of_Ukrainehttps://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5ygjv0r2myohttps://thehill.com/policy/international/5522862-lavrov-nato-eu-russia/https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/27/europe/putin-hybrid-war-europe-risks-intlhttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/27/world/europe/russia-europe-poland-drones-moldova-election.htmlhttps://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-poland-drones-sanctions-rafale-429ff46431a916feff629f26a5d0c0dahttps://www.reuters.com/world/europe/denmark-has-no-plans-invoke-natos-article-4-foreign-minister-says-2025-09-26/https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2025/09/27/More-drones-spotted-Denmark/4031758983759/https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-poland-drones-defense-kyiv-ec284922b946737b98a28f179ac0c5a0https://apnews.com/article/poland-airspace-drones-russia-airport-closed-cf7236040d8c7858104a29122aa1bd57https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-poland-drones-fa2d5d8981454499fa611a1468a5de8bhttps://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-poland-drones-1232774279039f9e5c5b78bd58686cb9https://apnews.com/article/british-intelligence-mi6-russia-war-443df0c37ff2254fcc33d5425e3beaa6https://apnews.com/article/nato-article-4-explainer-russia-poland-estonia-26415920dfb8458725bda517337adb12https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/nato-article-4-russia/https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/28/world/europe/moldova-election-russia-eu.htmlhttps://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_49187.htmhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NATOhttps://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_52044.htm This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit letsknowthings.substack.com/subscribe

Bradley Gorski, a literary and culture scholar, examines the breakneck commercialization of Russian book publishing and of Russian literature more broadly – in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union. In the early 1990s, thousands of new publishers emerged, up from a mere two hundred at the Soviet Union's end. The notion of the “bestseller” quickly came to dominate the new market, fueling he rise of immensely popular genres such as detective novels, including its zhenskii variety (detective novels written by women and featuring female sleuths. Gorski artfully weaves together the evolution of the book market - from the chaos of the early post-Communist years to the near-monopoly in the 2000s - with literary analysis of some of the most prominent post-Soviet authors. At early stages, post-Soviet literature often reflected a degree of optimism about the Western ideal of personal liberty and embraced what sociologist Boris Dubin called a Russian version of the “American success story”. In recent years, however, the Russian literary market has taken a distinctly illiberal turn, exemplified by the writer Zakhar Prilepin, a bestselling author turned jingoistic patriot who fought in the Donbas region of Ukraine and inspired many of his admirers to join the front.  Cultural Capitalism: Literature and the Market after Socialism (Northern Illinois University Press, 2025) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

Bradley Gorski, a literary and culture scholar, examines the breakneck commercialization of Russian book publishing and of Russian literature more broadly – in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union. In the early 1990s, thousands of new publishers emerged, up from a mere two hundred at the Soviet Union's end. The notion of the “bestseller” quickly came to dominate the new market, fueling he rise of immensely popular genres such as detective novels, including its zhenskii variety (detective novels written by women and featuring female sleuths. Gorski artfully weaves together the evolution of the book market - from the chaos of the early post-Communist years to the near-monopoly in the 2000s - with literary analysis of some of the most prominent post-Soviet authors. At early stages, post-Soviet literature often reflected a degree of optimism about the Western ideal of personal liberty and embraced what sociologist Boris Dubin called a Russian version of the “American success story”. In recent years, however, the Russian literary market has taken a distinctly illiberal turn, exemplified by the writer Zakhar Prilepin, a bestselling author turned jingoistic patriot who fought in the Donbas region of Ukraine and inspired many of his admirers to join the front.  Cultural Capitalism: Literature and the Market after Socialism (Northern Illinois University Press, 2025) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/literary-studies

Bradley Gorski, a literary and culture scholar, examines the breakneck commercialization of Russian book publishing and of Russian literature more broadly – in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union. In the early 1990s, thousands of new publishers emerged, up from a mere two hundred at the Soviet Union's end. The notion of the “bestseller” quickly came to dominate the new market, fueling he rise of immensely popular genres such as detective novels, including its zhenskii variety (detective novels written by women and featuring female sleuths. Gorski artfully weaves together the evolution of the book market - from the chaos of the early post-Communist years to the near-monopoly in the 2000s - with literary analysis of some of the most prominent post-Soviet authors. At early stages, post-Soviet literature often reflected a degree of optimism about the Western ideal of personal liberty and embraced what sociologist Boris Dubin called a Russian version of the “American success story”. In recent years, however, the Russian literary market has taken a distinctly illiberal turn, exemplified by the writer Zakhar Prilepin, a bestselling author turned jingoistic patriot who fought in the Donbas region of Ukraine and inspired many of his admirers to join the front.  Cultural Capitalism: Literature and the Market after Socialism (Northern Illinois University Press, 2025) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/russian-studies

Bradley Gorski, a literary and culture scholar, examines the breakneck commercialization of Russian book publishing and of Russian literature more broadly – in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union. In the early 1990s, thousands of new publishers emerged, up from a mere two hundred at the Soviet Union's end. The notion of the “bestseller” quickly came to dominate the new market, fueling he rise of immensely popular genres such as detective novels, including its zhenskii variety (detective novels written by women and featuring female sleuths. Gorski artfully weaves together the evolution of the book market - from the chaos of the early post-Communist years to the near-monopoly in the 2000s - with literary analysis of some of the most prominent post-Soviet authors. At early stages, post-Soviet literature often reflected a degree of optimism about the Western ideal of personal liberty and embraced what sociologist Boris Dubin called a Russian version of the “American success story”. In recent years, however, the Russian literary market has taken a distinctly illiberal turn, exemplified by the writer Zakhar Prilepin, a bestselling author turned jingoistic patriot who fought in the Donbas region of Ukraine and inspired many of his admirers to join the front.  Cultural Capitalism: Literature and the Market after Socialism (Northern Illinois University Press, 2025) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/eastern-european-studies

Bradley Gorski, a literary and culture scholar, examines the breakneck commercialization of Russian book publishing and of Russian literature more broadly – in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union. In the early 1990s, thousands of new publishers emerged, up from a mere two hundred at the Soviet Union's end. The notion of the “bestseller” quickly came to dominate the new market, fueling he rise of immensely popular genres such as detective novels, including its zhenskii variety (detective novels written by women and featuring female sleuths. Gorski artfully weaves together the evolution of the book market - from the chaos of the early post-Communist years to the near-monopoly in the 2000s - with literary analysis of some of the most prominent post-Soviet authors. At early stages, post-Soviet literature often reflected a degree of optimism about the Western ideal of personal liberty and embraced what sociologist Boris Dubin called a Russian version of the “American success story”. In recent years, however, the Russian literary market has taken a distinctly illiberal turn, exemplified by the writer Zakhar Prilepin, a bestselling author turned jingoistic patriot who fought in the Donbas region of Ukraine and inspired many of his admirers to join the front.  Cultural Capitalism: Literature and the Market after Socialism (Northern Illinois University Press, 2025) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

No terceiro e último episódio da série, tenho uma longa e esclarecedora conversa com o número 2 das relações exteriores ucranianas, Sergiy Kyslytsya, um afiado e renomado diplomata que serviu durante anos nas Nações Unidas.Já fazem 2 meses desde que voltei da Ucrânia e desde então a situação parece ter ficado ainda mais grave.Os russos continuam seu lento e sangrento avanço na região de Donbas, além de seus criminosos ataques contra a população civil. Enquanto isso, os ucranianos elevaram sua campanha de bombardeio das refinarias russas, derrubando em quase 20% a produção do produto que sustenta a economia de PutinO campo diplomático espelha o campo de batalha, com muita ação mas pouca definição. Mesmo com as investidas de Trump para terminar com a guerra, Putin não cedeu um centímetro em suas exigências e os ucranianos continuam obstinados a defender sua terra, sua cultura e sua existência.A discussão no momento gira em torno das tais “garantias de segurança”, algo que só mostra o quão volátil a região deve continuar sendo mesmo que algum tipo de acordo seja alcançado.Enquanto isso, a guerra mais violenta do século continua fazendo vítimas em ritmo recorde. Estima-se que para cada dia que passa, milhares de baixas acontecem dos dois lados.Volto para o Brasil com algumas dúvidas, mas muitas certezas.Não sei quando a guerra vai terminar, não sei em que termos ela vai terminar.Mas sei que os ucranianos vão lutar até o fim e que os russos vão continuar em sua cruzada imperialista, seja na Ucrânia ou em outros lugares.Afinal, a guerra da Ucrânia não é só sobre a Ucrânia.

Bradley Gorski, a literary and culture scholar, examines the breakneck commercialization of Russian book publishing and of Russian literature more broadly – in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union. In the early 1990s, thousands of new publishers emerged, up from a mere two hundred at the Soviet Union's end. The notion of the “bestseller” quickly came to dominate the new market, fueling he rise of immensely popular genres such as detective novels, including its zhenskii variety (detective novels written by women and featuring female sleuths. Gorski artfully weaves together the evolution of the book market - from the chaos of the early post-Communist years to the near-monopoly in the 2000s - with literary analysis of some of the most prominent post-Soviet authors. At early stages, post-Soviet literature often reflected a degree of optimism about the Western ideal of personal liberty and embraced what sociologist Boris Dubin called a Russian version of the “American success story”. In recent years, however, the Russian literary market has taken a distinctly illiberal turn, exemplified by the writer Zakhar Prilepin, a bestselling author turned jingoistic patriot who fought in the Donbas region of Ukraine and inspired many of his admirers to join the front.  Cultural Capitalism: Literature and the Market after Socialism (Northern Illinois University Press, 2025) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/book-of-the-day

In today's explosive episode, we dive deep into the fight for election transparency, foreign interference, and government accountability. We examine how institutional secrecy erodes public trust and endangers democracy. When government institutions withhold critical information, citizens are left in the dark, unable to make informed decisions. This erosion of transparency fosters cynicism, fear, and disengagement, weakening the very foundations of democratic governance.  Our special guest, Ray McGovern, former CIA analyst and activist, joins the conversation to provide his unique insight on intelligence, geopolitical tensions, and the Ukraine conflict. From the buildup to the war in Donbas to the suppression of critical early warnings, McGovern sheds light on what citizens and policymakers need to understand about global security, foreign influence, and the necessity of accurate, unbiased intelligence. We also explore the impact of foreign actors on U.S. politics, with reports on Israel's influence in domestic affairs raising questions about sovereignty and accountability. The show also covers the case of Tina Peters, former Mesa County Clerk, who remains imprisoned for exposing election irregularities. Her situation highlights the dangers of selective prosecution and the suppression of political dissent. With her health deteriorating and appeals ongoing, Peters' case has become emblematic of the broader struggle for justice, transparency, and the preservation of American freedoms. This episode is essential listening for anyone committed to defending liberty, uncovering the truth, and holding powerful institutions accountable.  

Dani Belo's Russian Warfare in the 21st Century: An Incentive-Opportunity Intervention Model (Routledge, 2025) provides a comprehensive analysis of Russia's foreign policy in gray zone conflicts, with a particular focus on its interventions in Ukraine. Challenging conventional views, the book contends that Russia's use of varied gray zone tactics is influenced by both system-level incentives and domestic-level opportunities, which are integrated here into the Incentive-Opportunity Intervention (IOI) Model. The book examines case studies including Abkhazia, Crimea, Odesa, Kharkiv, and the Donbas, demonstrating how local ethnic-based movements and perceptions of regional retreat shape Moscow's coercive strategies. It highlights the reactive nature of Russia's tactics, driven by perceived threats to its protector role, and the significant role of ethnic and political dynamics in the region. The study underscores the importance of understanding these motivations for effective conflict resolution and suggests that protecting minority rights could mitigate such interventions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for nuanced approaches that address both geopolitical and local dynamics. Ultimately, the book calls for future research to apply the IOI Model to other great powers, enhance the generalizability and applicability of the findings, and highlight the potential for multilateral coordination in promoting minority rights as a strategy for conflict prevention. This book will be of much interest to students and policy practitioners working on Russian foreign policy, international security, Eastern European politics, and International Relations.  Dani Belo is an Assistant Professor of International Relations and Security and Director of the Global Policy Horizons Research Lab, Webster University in St. Louis, USA. Stephen Satkiewicz is an independent scholar with research areas spanning Civilizational Sciences, Social Complexity, Big History, Historical Sociology, Military History, War Studies, International Relations, Geopolitics, and Russian and East European history. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

Dani Belo's Russian Warfare in the 21st Century: An Incentive-Opportunity Intervention Model (Routledge, 2025) provides a comprehensive analysis of Russia's foreign policy in gray zone conflicts, with a particular focus on its interventions in Ukraine. Challenging conventional views, the book contends that Russia's use of varied gray zone tactics is influenced by both system-level incentives and domestic-level opportunities, which are integrated here into the Incentive-Opportunity Intervention (IOI) Model. The book examines case studies including Abkhazia, Crimea, Odesa, Kharkiv, and the Donbas, demonstrating how local ethnic-based movements and perceptions of regional retreat shape Moscow's coercive strategies. It highlights the reactive nature of Russia's tactics, driven by perceived threats to its protector role, and the significant role of ethnic and political dynamics in the region. The study underscores the importance of understanding these motivations for effective conflict resolution and suggests that protecting minority rights could mitigate such interventions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for nuanced approaches that address both geopolitical and local dynamics. Ultimately, the book calls for future research to apply the IOI Model to other great powers, enhance the generalizability and applicability of the findings, and highlight the potential for multilateral coordination in promoting minority rights as a strategy for conflict prevention. This book will be of much interest to students and policy practitioners working on Russian foreign policy, international security, Eastern European politics, and International Relations.  Dani Belo is an Assistant Professor of International Relations and Security and Director of the Global Policy Horizons Research Lab, Webster University in St. Louis, USA. Stephen Satkiewicz is an independent scholar with research areas spanning Civilizational Sciences, Social Complexity, Big History, Historical Sociology, Military History, War Studies, International Relations, Geopolitics, and Russian and East European history. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/military-history

Dani Belo's Russian Warfare in the 21st Century: An Incentive-Opportunity Intervention Model (Routledge, 2025) provides a comprehensive analysis of Russia's foreign policy in gray zone conflicts, with a particular focus on its interventions in Ukraine. Challenging conventional views, the book contends that Russia's use of varied gray zone tactics is influenced by both system-level incentives and domestic-level opportunities, which are integrated here into the Incentive-Opportunity Intervention (IOI) Model. The book examines case studies including Abkhazia, Crimea, Odesa, Kharkiv, and the Donbas, demonstrating how local ethnic-based movements and perceptions of regional retreat shape Moscow's coercive strategies. It highlights the reactive nature of Russia's tactics, driven by perceived threats to its protector role, and the significant role of ethnic and political dynamics in the region. The study underscores the importance of understanding these motivations for effective conflict resolution and suggests that protecting minority rights could mitigate such interventions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for nuanced approaches that address both geopolitical and local dynamics. Ultimately, the book calls for future research to apply the IOI Model to other great powers, enhance the generalizability and applicability of the findings, and highlight the potential for multilateral coordination in promoting minority rights as a strategy for conflict prevention. This book will be of much interest to students and policy practitioners working on Russian foreign policy, international security, Eastern European politics, and International Relations.  Dani Belo is an Assistant Professor of International Relations and Security and Director of the Global Policy Horizons Research Lab, Webster University in St. Louis, USA. Stephen Satkiewicz is an independent scholar with research areas spanning Civilizational Sciences, Social Complexity, Big History, Historical Sociology, Military History, War Studies, International Relations, Geopolitics, and Russian and East European history. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/world-affairs

Dani Belo's Russian Warfare in the 21st Century: An Incentive-Opportunity Intervention Model (Routledge, 2025) provides a comprehensive analysis of Russia's foreign policy in gray zone conflicts, with a particular focus on its interventions in Ukraine. Challenging conventional views, the book contends that Russia's use of varied gray zone tactics is influenced by both system-level incentives and domestic-level opportunities, which are integrated here into the Incentive-Opportunity Intervention (IOI) Model. The book examines case studies including Abkhazia, Crimea, Odesa, Kharkiv, and the Donbas, demonstrating how local ethnic-based movements and perceptions of regional retreat shape Moscow's coercive strategies. It highlights the reactive nature of Russia's tactics, driven by perceived threats to its protector role, and the significant role of ethnic and political dynamics in the region. The study underscores the importance of understanding these motivations for effective conflict resolution and suggests that protecting minority rights could mitigate such interventions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for nuanced approaches that address both geopolitical and local dynamics. Ultimately, the book calls for future research to apply the IOI Model to other great powers, enhance the generalizability and applicability of the findings, and highlight the potential for multilateral coordination in promoting minority rights as a strategy for conflict prevention. This book will be of much interest to students and policy practitioners working on Russian foreign policy, international security, Eastern European politics, and International Relations.  Dani Belo is an Assistant Professor of International Relations and Security and Director of the Global Policy Horizons Research Lab, Webster University in St. Louis, USA. Stephen Satkiewicz is an independent scholar with research areas spanning Civilizational Sciences, Social Complexity, Big History, Historical Sociology, Military History, War Studies, International Relations, Geopolitics, and Russian and East European history. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/russian-studies

Dani Belo's Russian Warfare in the 21st Century: An Incentive-Opportunity Intervention Model (Routledge, 2025) provides a comprehensive analysis of Russia's foreign policy in gray zone conflicts, with a particular focus on its interventions in Ukraine. Challenging conventional views, the book contends that Russia's use of varied gray zone tactics is influenced by both system-level incentives and domestic-level opportunities, which are integrated here into the Incentive-Opportunity Intervention (IOI) Model. The book examines case studies including Abkhazia, Crimea, Odesa, Kharkiv, and the Donbas, demonstrating how local ethnic-based movements and perceptions of regional retreat shape Moscow's coercive strategies. It highlights the reactive nature of Russia's tactics, driven by perceived threats to its protector role, and the significant role of ethnic and political dynamics in the region. The study underscores the importance of understanding these motivations for effective conflict resolution and suggests that protecting minority rights could mitigate such interventions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for nuanced approaches that address both geopolitical and local dynamics. Ultimately, the book calls for future research to apply the IOI Model to other great powers, enhance the generalizability and applicability of the findings, and highlight the potential for multilateral coordination in promoting minority rights as a strategy for conflict prevention. This book will be of much interest to students and policy practitioners working on Russian foreign policy, international security, Eastern European politics, and International Relations.  Dani Belo is an Assistant Professor of International Relations and Security and Director of the Global Policy Horizons Research Lab, Webster University in St. Louis, USA. Stephen Satkiewicz is an independent scholar with research areas spanning Civilizational Sciences, Social Complexity, Big History, Historical Sociology, Military History, War Studies, International Relations, Geopolitics, and Russian and East European history. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/eastern-european-studies

Dani Belo's Russian Warfare in the 21st Century: An Incentive-Opportunity Intervention Model (Routledge, 2025) provides a comprehensive analysis of Russia's foreign policy in gray zone conflicts, with a particular focus on its interventions in Ukraine. Challenging conventional views, the book contends that Russia's use of varied gray zone tactics is influenced by both system-level incentives and domestic-level opportunities, which are integrated here into the Incentive-Opportunity Intervention (IOI) Model. The book examines case studies including Abkhazia, Crimea, Odesa, Kharkiv, and the Donbas, demonstrating how local ethnic-based movements and perceptions of regional retreat shape Moscow's coercive strategies. It highlights the reactive nature of Russia's tactics, driven by perceived threats to its protector role, and the significant role of ethnic and political dynamics in the region. The study underscores the importance of understanding these motivations for effective conflict resolution and suggests that protecting minority rights could mitigate such interventions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for nuanced approaches that address both geopolitical and local dynamics. Ultimately, the book calls for future research to apply the IOI Model to other great powers, enhance the generalizability and applicability of the findings, and highlight the potential for multilateral coordination in promoting minority rights as a strategy for conflict prevention. This book will be of much interest to students and policy practitioners working on Russian foreign policy, international security, Eastern European politics, and International Relations.  Dani Belo is an Assistant Professor of International Relations and Security and Director of the Global Policy Horizons Research Lab, Webster University in St. Louis, USA. Stephen Satkiewicz is an independent scholar with research areas spanning Civilizational Sciences, Social Complexity, Big History, Historical Sociology, Military History, War Studies, International Relations, Geopolitics, and Russian and East European history. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today I have the pleasure of speaking with cultural anthropologist Greta YOU-LING about her new book, Decolonizing Ukraine: The Indigenous People of Crimea and Pathways to Freedom, a fascinating story about an indigenous group in Crimea fighting for its rights.  Uehling tells us of the complex history of the Crimean Tatars, a Sunni Muslim group who were driven off their land in 1944 by the Soviet Union. This group now finds itself caught in the Russia-Ukraine war. It has rebuffed attempts by Putin and yet also has insisted on maintaining and defending its indigenous identity and rights with regard to Ukraine. We talk about the importance of both cultural memory and political struggle in the present, and hear of Greta's time at the barricade which Tatars set up to stem the flow of materials across their land.Greta Uehling is a cultural anthropologist who works at the intersection of Indigenous and Eastern European Studies. She is a Teaching Professor at the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, where she is in the Program in International and Comparative Studies and is Associate Faculty of the Center for Russian, East European and Eurasian Studies. Uehling is the author of three books: Beyond Memory: The Deportation and Return of the Crimean Tatars (Palgrave 2004), Everyday War: The Conflict over Donbas, Ukraine (Cornell University Press 2023), and Decolonizing Ukraine: The Indigenous People of Crimea and Pathways to Freedom (Rowman & Littlefield 2025). Throughout her career, Uehling has served as a consultant to organizations working in the fields of international migration, human rights, and human trafficking, including the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees.

In de Turkse hoofdstad Ankara doet de rechter vandaag uitspraak over het partijbestuur van de grootste oppositiepartij CHP. De procedure zou kunnen leiden tot het ontslag van partijleider Özgür Özel, de grootste concurrent van president Erdoğan. Dit weekend gingen ruim 50.000 mensen de straat op om te protesteren tegen deze poging van de Turkse regering om de oppositie uit te schakelen. Wat blijft er over van de Turkse democratie? We vragen het collega en Turkije-kenner Cevahir Varan.  (10:27) Drones bedreigen aanvoerroute in de Donbas  Met toenemend succes weten de Russische militairen hun eigen drones in te zetten aan het oostelijke front. Dat zet de verdediging van Oekraïne onder grote druk, zo vertellen militairen en commandanten aan onze verslaggever Michiel Driebergen. Hij maakte een reportage in de plaats Druzhkivka. Zeker nu een belangrijke aanvoerroute vanuit Kharkiv naar de Donbas bedreigd wordt, is de situatie nijpend. Presentatie: Laila Frank

Morse code transcription: vvv vvv Nine Met Police officers suspended after BBC investigation Labour MPs despondent, says minister after Mandelson and Rayner chaos Newspaper headlines Got him and MPs warn Starmer time is running out Memphis next US city to see National Guard troops, Trump says Jaguar Land Rover suppliers face bankruptcy due to hack crisis As Russian forces advance, Ukrainians in Donbas must choose to stay or go Court orders tribe to be evicted from Scottish woodland Prince Harry told me I was being hacked Stephen Lawrences mum Charlie Kirk We have him How the murder suspect was caught Jay Wynne, former BBC weather presenter, dies aged 56

Morse code transcription: vvv vvv Jay Wynne, former BBC weather presenter, dies aged 56 Court orders tribe to be evicted from Scottish woodland Newspaper headlines Got him and MPs warn Starmer time is running out Charlie Kirk We have him How the murder suspect was caught Labour MPs despondent, says minister after Mandelson and Rayner chaos Prince Harry told me I was being hacked Stephen Lawrences mum As Russian forces advance, Ukrainians in Donbas must choose to stay or go Memphis next US city to see National Guard troops, Trump says Nine Met Police officers suspended after BBC investigation Jaguar Land Rover suppliers face bankruptcy due to hack crisis

Morse code transcription: vvv vvv Jay Wynne, former BBC weather presenter, dies aged 56 Labour MPs despondent, says minister after Mandelson and Rayner chaos Nine Met Police officers suspended after BBC investigation Jaguar Land Rover suppliers face bankruptcy due to hack crisis Newspaper headlines Got him and MPs warn Starmer time is running out As Russian forces advance, Ukrainians in Donbas must choose to stay or go Prince Harry told me I was being hacked Stephen Lawrences mum Court orders tribe to be evicted from Scottish woodland Charlie Kirk We have him How the murder suspect was caught Memphis next US city to see National Guard troops, Trump says

Morse code transcription: vvv vvv Newspaper headlines Got him and MPs warn Starmer time is running out Court orders tribe to be evicted from Scottish woodland Jaguar Land Rover suppliers face bankruptcy due to hack crisis Jay Wynne, former BBC weather presenter, dies aged 56 Nine Met Police officers suspended after BBC investigation Labour MPs despondent, says minister after Mandelson and Rayner chaos As Russian forces advance, Ukrainians in Donbas must choose to stay or go Prince Harry told me I was being hacked Stephen Lawrences mum Charlie Kirk We have him How the murder suspect was caught Memphis next US city to see National Guard troops, Trump says

In this episode, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer breaks down Russia's long pattern of external aggression and why its latest gamble in Ukraine could mark a decisive turning point. From Georgia in 2008, Crimea in 2014, to the full-scale invasion of 2022, Russia has repeatedly turned outward to mask domestic weakness and economic stagnation. Kempfer explains how Vladimir Putin miscalculated Europe's resolve, underestimated Ukrainian nationalism, and crippled Russia's military strength through corruption and cronyism. Now, with Russia massing over 100,000 troops along with tanks and armor in the Donbas, the stage is set for what may become the war's decisive battle—a moment reminiscent of the Battle of the Bulge or Russia's own collapse in 1917. Will this offensive break Ukraine's defenses, or will it shatter Russia's will to fight? The outcome could shape not only the future of Ukraine but the global balance of power.Takeaways:Russia's invasions are rooted in autocratic leaders seeking external distractions from domestic failures.Putin misunderstands capitalism and macroeconomics but wields corruption and adventurism.Russia's petro-state economy is its core vulnerability, not a strength.Putin's belief of Europe's dependence on Russian energy backfired.Corruption hollowed out Russia's military, undermining its effectiveness in Ukraine.Current territorial gains come at unsustainable human and material cost.A major Russian offensive in the Donbas could be decisive—success or failure will redefine the war.Western support is critical now; the window to shift momentum is rapidly closing. #STRATPodcast #HalKempfer #MutualBroadcastingSystem #StrategicRiskAnalysis #RussiaUkraineWar #DecisiveBattle #PutinStrategy #UkraineDefense #Geopolitics #MilitaryAnalysis #BattleOfDonbas #RussiaSanctions #GlobalSecurity #WarInUkraine #PetrostateEconomy #RussianMilitary #UkraineSupport #NATOResponse #Clauswitz #NapoleonicWars

The Donbas region has become a fault-line in peace talks between Ukraine and Russia. It's a territory known as Ukraine's energy powerhouse, and is desired by Russian President Vladimir Putin, experts suggesting its position as a hotbed for Kremlin propaganda could be a contributing factor to Putin not wanting to give it up. - Донбас став лінією розлому в мирних переговорах між Україною і Росією. Проте, за словами експертів, Донбас упродовж останніх 11 років також є ключовим полем для поширення кремлівської пропаганди, що створюється для виправдання вторгнення.

Since the fanfare surrounding Donald Trump's face to face peace talks with the Russian President, perhaps unsurprisingly, the war continues in Ukraine. That's partly because as part of any deal, Vladimir Putin wants Ukraine to hand over the entire eastern region of Donbas. It's a demand that Ukraine rejects.  So, what is so important to Putin about that region?  Today, John Haltiwanger from Foreign Policy magazine, explains why Donbas is at the heart of Putin's war. Featured: John Haltiwanger, staff writer at Foreign Policy magazine

Khu vực Donbas đã trở thành một điểm nóng, trong các cuộc đàm phán hòa bình giữa Ukraine và Nga, vốn là một vùng lãnh thổ được biết đến, là trung tâm năng lượng của Ukraine và là nơi Tổng thống Nga Vladimir Putin khao khát. Các chuyên gia cho rằng, vị trí của Donbas như một ổ dịch tuyên truyền của Điện Kremlin, có thể là một yếu tố góp phần khiến Putin không muốn từ bỏ nó. Bài viết này được thực hiện trong khuôn khổ, chuyến công tác nghiên cứu do Bộ Ngoại giao Liên bang Đức, phối hợp với Câu lạc bộ Báo chí Quốc gia Úc tổ chức.

In this episode...3:21 - Former Parliament Chairman Andriy Parubiy assassinated 7:48 - Russian missile strike on Kyiv kills relative of UWH co-host 10:21 - Battlefield Update: Pokrovsk stabilizes while Kupiansk is under critical threat 13:29 - Former mayor of Kherson released from Russian captivity 17:32 - The aftermath of the Alaska meeting and other American shenanigans27:46 - New long-range missiles added to the Ukrainian toolkit29:59 - Water Crisis in occupied Donbas35:45 - Hungary launches new grievance campaign after Ukraine targets Russia's Druzhba pipeline43:20 - There seems to be a gradual crackdown on some illegal constructions in KyivTwitterAnthony: @BartawayRomeo: @VagrantJournoUkraine Without Hype: @HypeUkraineOther Social Mediahttp://youtube.com/@UkraineWithoutHypehttp://tiktok.com/@ukrainewithouthypehttp://instagram.com/ukrainewithouthype/Patreonhttps://www.patreon.com/UkraineWithoutHypeResources and Charitieshttps://linktr.ee/ukrainewithouthypeMusicHey Sokoli (Traditional)

Kate Adie presents stories from Ukraine, Greenland, the US and Germany.Ukraine has this week come under its heaviest bombardment in weeks, with the UK and the EU summoning their Russian envoys after their offices in Kyiv were hit. Quentin Sommerville has been in Donetsk, the area Vladimir Putin wants to fully control in the resource rich region of the Donbas, as residents flee attacks and soldiers tell of the intensification of the battle there.Greenland's status has been thrust into the spotlight after the US president has repeatedly said he wanted to annexe the semi-autonomous nation for its strategic position and mineral wealth. And despite having broad self-government since 1979, Greenland's foreign and defence policy is made in Copenhagen. On an island of just over 55,000 people, where fishing is the primary source of income, independence for Greenland would mean either increasing tourism or allowing the mining of minerals like rare earth metals. Bob Howard has been to the capital Nuuk.In the US, a record number of people are being held in immigrant detention, following President Trump's crackdown. One controversial site has become the subject of several lawsuits attempting to shut it down: Alligator Alcatraz in Florida. Josephine Casserly reports from the centre, which sits on an abandoned airstrip amid the marshes, forests, mangroves and estuaries and wildlife of the Everglades.James Naughtie has been in the German city of Weimar, at a cultural festival in the state of Thuringia in Eastern Germany – which reflects on the historical legacy of the Weimar Republic. Among the performances and installations, he found echoes of the past in the present.Series Producer: Serena Tarling Production Coordinator: Rosie Strawbridge Editor: Richard Vadon

The Donbas region has become a fault-line in peace talks between Ukraine and Russia. It's a territory known as Ukraine's energy powerhouse, and is desired by Russian President Vladimir Putin, experts suggesting its position as a hotbed for Kremlin propaganda could be a contributing factor to Putin not wanting to give it up. - Донбас стал линией разлома в мирных переговорах между Украиной и Россией. Однако, по словам экспертов, Донбас на протяжении последних 11 лет также является ключевым полем для распространения кремлевской пропаганды, создаваемой для оправдания вторжения.

As Russia continues to pour cold water on the prospect of an imminent summit between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky, efforts to end the war in Ukraine appear to have returned to a familiar holding pattern. Despite the fanfare surrounding key summits in Alaska and Washington, significant divisions remain on key issues from territorial concessions to security guarantees. So, with Trump once again restarting the clock on the deadline for Russian cooperation, what sort of progress can we expect in the coming weeks?Today, we're joined from Ukraine's Donbas region by our correspondent Quentin Sommerville, to discuss how the lives of those on the front line are being materially affected by diplomatic deadlock. And, former senior US intelligence officer Andrea Kendall-Taylor gives her view on what it would take for headway to be made in peace negotiations.You can fill out our audience questionnaire here: bit.ly/ukrainecastfeedback This episode is presented by Victoria Derbyshire and Vitaly Shevchenko. The producers were Laurie Kalus and Polly Hope. The technical producer was Ben Andrews. The social producer was Grace Braddock. The series producer is Tim Walklate. The senior news editor is Sam Bonham. Email Ukrainecast@bbc.co.uk with your questions and comments. You can also send us a message or voice note via WhatsApp, Signal or Telegram to +44 330 1239480You can join the Ukrainecast discussion on Newscast's Discord server here: tinyurl.com/ukrainecastdiscord

On today's Strategy Series program, sponsored by General Atomic Aeronautical Systems, Sam Bendett of the Center for Naval Analyses and Dr. Eugene Rumer, the director of the Russia and Eurasia program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, join Defense & Aerospace Report Editor Vago Muradian to discuss the outlook for peace between Ukraine and Russia in the wake of President Trump's meetings with Vladimir Putin in Alaska and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy as well as allied leaders in Washington; status of the fighting as Russia continues to creep forward; how Ukraine manages to slow Russian advances as well as stop and push back significant incursions; whether the notion of granting Russia's demand for all of Donbas will lead to a lasting peace or merely pave the way for a third Russian attack; and what shape a peacekeeping force might take as the president suggests openness to supporting allied troops in Ukraine as well as US air power as Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney visits Kyiv to discuss a peacekeeping role.

At least 20 people, including five journalists, are reported to have been killed in an Israeli strike on a hospital in the southern Gaza Strip. Also: Ukrainian soldiers in the Donbas speak to the BBC about fierce fighting and high casualty rates; paramilitaries in Sudan's Darfur region are accused of killing civilians fleeing the besieged city of El Fasher; President Trump threatens to send National Guard troops into another Democratic stronghold, Baltimore. The Global News Podcast brings you the breaking news you need to hear, as it happens. Listen for the latest headlines and current affairs from around the world. Politics, economics, climate, business, technology, health – we cover it all with expert analysis and insight. Get the news that matters, delivered twice a day on weekdays and daily at weekends, plus special bonus episodes reacting to urgent breaking stories. Follow or subscribe now and never miss a moment. Get in touch: globalpodcast@bbc.co.uk

Russia is losing the war in Ukraine. More than 1 million Russian troops have been killed or injured, and it's been estimated that it would take another four years and 2 million more soldiers for Putin to conquer the Donbas region. So no, Ben Shapiro, getting Ukraine to sacrifice the region in return for some kind of security guarantee would not be a "masterstroke" for Trump. Meanwhile, red state governors sending National Guard troops to D.C. are disrupting the lives and families of those troops at back-to-school time—just to please Daddy Trump. Plus, the MAGA socialism around Intel, Dems should advise foreign countries to think twice about doing corrupt deals with Trump, and Hegseth's pull-ups don't cut it in the alpha male world he thinks he's making. Adam Kinzinger joins Tim Miller. show notes Tim on the Louisiana governor sending the National Guard to D.C. Kinzinger's interview with Jason Riddle Jonathan Martin on Trump giving Putin more time to stall FT on Europeans comparing eastern Ukraine to Florida  *** THE BULWARK LIVE in Toronto, D.C. and NYC: Thebulwark.com/events ***

Victor Davis Hanson puts the summit in historical perspective and compares Trump's diplomacy to past U.S. presidents on today's episode of “Victor Davis Hanson: In His Own Words.” “ It begs the question, do you have any collective memory? The Ukraine war started when Vladimir Putin invaded the Crimea and Donbas under the presidency of Barack Obama. Remember the hot mic in Seoul, where he said, 'Tell Vladimir that if he gives me space for my last election, I'll be flexible on missile defense'? Do you remember that? He also invaded, as you remember, in Joe Biden's tenure. He tried to take Kyiv. He didn't during Donald Trump's four years. “ All I'm asking them is, please give us an alternative strategy. How long do you wanna fight? Who is gonna fight? How many deaths, wounded are you willing to incur to push Vladimir Putin all the way back to where he was prior to the invasion of 2014, when Barack Obama allowed him to come in? Just a question.”

Victor Davis Hanson puts the summit in historical perspective and compares Trump's diplomacy to past U.S. presidents on today's episode of “Victor Davis Hanson: In His Own Words.”   “ It begs the question, do you have any collective memory? The Ukraine war started when Vladimir Putin invaded the Crimea and Donbas under the presidency of […]

It's been another wild week, after the D.C. Attorney General sued the government for attempting to install the head of the D.E.A. as D.C.'s emergency police commissioner. Following an emergency hearing, US Attorney General Pam Bondi backed down and re-wrote the directive. But Andrew and Mary highlight why that's just the start: it's no longer just the D.C. National Guard being deployed in the nation's capital, National Guard units from five other red states are being sent to the city, making a complicated stew of who's in charge and who has jurisdiction. Next, they weave this thread into last week's trial over whether California's National Guard performed law enforcement operations in Los Angeles, a potential violation of The Posse Comitatus Act. And with Russia and Ukraine so much in the news, Andrew offers some reflections from the 2019 Special Counsel's report that exposes Russia's long-held goal of taking over the Donbas region. And last up, Andrew and Mary fill listeners in on two DC Circuit cases that have their attention: a decision allowing the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to be dismantled and another that allows Trump to withhold billions in foreign aid.And a reminder: tickets are on sale now for MSNBC Live – our second live community event featuring more than a dozen MSNBC hosts. The day-long event will be held on October 11th at Hammerstein Ballroom in Manhattan. To buy tickets visit msnbc.com/live25.Want to listen to this show without ads? Sign up for MSNBC Premium on Apple Podcasts.

Graham Plattner is running for Senate in Maine. He's not a career politician. He's not a household name. He's a newcomer, and he's coming in with the kind of video that's designed to break through the noise. It's everything you'd expect from someone trying to signal that they're different — kettlebell lifting, scuba diving, oyster farming, military gear. This is Fetterman-core, and I mean that in the pre-stroke, media-savvy, meme-friendly way. It's intentionally loud, intentionally masculine, and intentionally designed to get people talking.But this isn't just a vibe campaign. Plattner's already built a real team. He's working with the same media shop that did ads for Zohran Mamdani in New York and helped elect Fetterman in Pennsylvania. These aren't DCCC types. They're insurgent operatives with a history of getting attention — and winning. That tells me Plattner's not just here to make a point. He's running to win. And in a state like Maine, where ideological boundaries don't map neatly onto party lines, he might actually have a shot.Democratic leadership, though, has other plans. Chuck Schumer and his operation would clearly prefer Janet Mills. She's the sitting governor, she's 77 years old, and she'd walk into the race with a national fundraising network already behind her. But that's exactly the kind of candidate a guy like Plattner is built to run against. If she enters, it turns this race into a referendum on the Democratic establishment. And it gives Susan Collins exactly what she wants: two Democrats locked in a bitter primary while she gears up for a calm general election campaign.Maine is weird politically. I don't mean that as an insult — I mean it's unpredictable in a way that defies national modeling. This is a state that elects independents, splits tickets, and shrugs at coastal assumptions. A candidate like Plattner, who's running a progressive but culturally savvy campaign, could actually catch fire. He's already signaling that he's not going to run from the Second Amendment — which would make him a unicorn among progressives — and he seems to get that guns, culture, and economic populism all intersect here in a way that's not neat or clean.It's early, and most people outside the state probably haven't even heard of him. But he's getting coverage. And he's trying to frame himself as the guy who will show up everywhere — from left-wing podcasts to centrist fundraisers to gun ranges in rural districts. If he pulls it off, it won't just be a Maine story. It'll be a signal that Democrats are still capable of producing candidates who can speak across class and cultural lines without watering down the message. We'll see if he holds up under pressure.Trump, Zelensky, and the Shape of a Ukraine DealTrump's pushing a peace summit with Russia and Ukraine, and the location that's gained traction is Budapest. That's not a random choice. Budapest is where Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons in exchange for guarantees that turned out to be meaningless. Putin invaded anyway. So now, years later, trying to broker a peace deal in that same city feels almost poetic — or cynical, depending on how you look at it. Macron wants Geneva. Putin wants Moscow. Orbán, who runs Hungary, is offering Budapest as neutral turf. That offer seems to be sticking.The terms of the talks are shifting. Zelensky isn't being required to agree to a ceasefire before negotiations begin — which is a major departure from the Biden administration's stance. Trump's team seems to believe that real movement can happen only if you start talking now, without preconditions. That's risky. But it's also more flexible. The Russians are now suggesting they might accept something like NATO-style security guarantees for Ukraine — just without the name “NATO.” That's a big shift. If they're serious, it opens up a lane for something that looks like independence and protection without triggering all-out war.Zelensky, for his part, is in a bind. His approval rating has dropped. His party just lost ground. The economy is on life support. And the longer the war goes on, the harder it is to keep Ukrainians fully on board with total resistance. That's not a moral failing — it's exhaustion. What Ukraine wants now, more than anything, is certainty. If they're going to give up territory — and no one's saying that out loud, but everyone's thinking it — then they want to know they'll never have to fight this war again. That's where the Article 5-style guarantees come in.Trump's envoy, Steve Witkoff, is reportedly testing those waters. And Marco Rubio said the quiet part out loud — that if Ukraine can get real security commitments in exchange for ending the war, it's worth exploring. This isn't the “bleed Russia dry” strategy the Biden administration backed. That was about regime change through attrition. This is something else. It's about containment, closure, and trying to make sure the region doesn't explode again five years down the line.No one's pretending this is clean. Crimea isn't coming back. Parts of the Donbas are going to remain contested forever. But if a deal gets Ukraine real protection, even without NATO branding, and gets Russia out of the areas it's willing to surrender, that's movement. And right now, movement is the only thing that separates this from another decade of trench warfare and broken promises. Whether it holds is anyone's guess. But it's on the table now — and for the first time in a long time, that actually matters.Chapters00:00:00 - Intro00:04:42 - Maine Midterms00:18:08 - Update00:19:04 - Trilateral Meetin00:30:04 - DC Fed Takeover00:33:24 - Epstein Files00:36:00 - Interview with Alex Epstein01:34:40 - Wrap-up This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Benoit Paré is a former French defense ministry analyst who worked as an international monitor in eastern Ukraine from 2015 to 2022.In his first interview with a US outlet, Paré speaks to The Grayzone's Aaron Maté about the hidden reality of the Ukraine war in the Donbas region, where the US-backed Kyiv government fought Russia-backed rebels following the 2014 Maidan coup. Russia now demands that Ukraine accept its capture of the Donbas as a condition for ending the war.When it comes to which party is responsible for the failure to implement the Minsk accords, the 2015 peace pact that could have prevented the 2022 Russian invasion, Paré says. "I will very clear. For me the fault lies on Ukraine... by far." Paré also warns that Ukrainian ultra-nationalists, who violently resisted the Minsk accords, remain a major obstacle to peace.Paré worked as a monitor for the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), a predominately European group. He recounts his experience as an OSCE monitor in Ukraine in his new book, "What I saw in Ukraine: 2015-2022, Diary of an International Observer."

Patrick Bet-David, Tom Ellsworth, Vincent Oshana, and Adam Sosnick break down Trump's face-to-face meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Putin's demand that Russia keep control of the Donbas region as part of any peace deal, and the shocking arrest of Israel's top cybersecurity official on charges of child sex crimes.------

Day 1,272.Today, after the Trump and Putin summit in the United States ends without accord – but with certain principles for peace seemingly agreed between them – we look ahead to the vital meeting between Zelensky, Trump, and European leaders in the White House, and consider why the proposal for Ukraine to cede Donbas would leave Ukraine strategically exposed.We will be releasing a bonus episode immediately after the summit.Contributors:Francis Dearnley (Executive Editor for Audio). @FrancisDearnley on X.Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor of Defence). @DomNicholls on X.Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Analyst). @RolandOliphant on X.Content Referenced:In maps: Why the entire peace deal hangs on this small strip of Ukraine (Roland Oliphant in The Telegraph):https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/08/18/maps-why-entire-peace-deal-hangs-on-small-strip-ukraine/ Russia taunts Ukraine by flying US flag on front line:https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/08/18/russia-taunts-ukraine-american-flag-front-line/ Telegraph Ukraine Live Blog:https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/08/18/ukraine-russia-war-trump-zelensky-meeting-latest-news/ SIGN UP TO THE NEW ‘UKRAINE: THE LATEST' WEEKLY NEWSLETTER:https://secure.telegraph.co.uk/customer/secure/newsletter/ukraine/ Each week, Dom Nicholls and Francis Dearnley answer your questions, provide recommended reading, and give exclusive analysis and behind-the-scenes insights – plus maps of the frontlines and diagrams of weapons to complement our daily reporting. It's free for everyone, including non-subscribers.NOW AVAILABLE IN NEW LANGUAGES:The Telegraph has launched translated versions of Ukraine: The Latest in Ukrainian and Russian, making its reporting accessible to audiences on both sides of the battle lines and across the wider region, including Central Asia and the Caucasus. Just search Україна: Останні Новини (Ukr) and Украина: Последние Новости (Ru) on your on your preferred podcast app to find them. Listen here: https://linktr.ee/ukrainethelatestSubscribe: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatestEmail: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Victor Davis Hanson explains what was (and wasn't) said at the summit, why Russia is appealing directly to Trump and the American people, and how Trump—whether the Left likes it or not—could end this war he didn't start on today's episode of “Victor Davis Hanson: In His Own Words.” “ Ukraine will not be in NATO. They don't have the military wherewithal. They have the moral edge and the moral right—but they don't have the military wherewithal. Nor does Europe or the United States want to go to that length to give it to them against nuclear Russia to reclaim the Donbas—all of the Donbas—or Crimea. “ The summit was about what we could expect. Putin wants to win over America so then America will back off from Ukraine, and so it can get some more mileage westward and further deteriorate or erode or detrite the Ukrainian military. The Ukrainian military is pretty tough. It's hanging in there. It wants enough aid to leverage Putin. And between those two poles, there will be a DMZ. And if there is a peace settlement, it will be the work—whether the Left likes it or not—of Donald Trump, the one world leader, among the three, that has nothing to do with this war.”

Benoit Paré is a former French defense ministry analyst who worked as an international monitor in eastern Ukraine from 2015 to 2022. In his first interview with a US outlet, Paré speaks to The Grayzone's Aaron Maté about the hidden reality of the Ukraine war in the Donbas region, where the US-backed Kyiv government fought Russia-backed rebels following the 2014 Maidan coup. Russia now demands that Ukraine accept its capture of the Donbas as a condition for ending the war. When it comes to which party is responsible for the failure to implement the Minsk accords, the 2015 peace pact that could have prevented the 2022 Russian invasion, Paré says. "I will very clear. For me the fault lies on Ukraine... by far." Paré also warns that Ukrainian ultra-nationalists, who violently resisted the Minsk accords, remain a major obstacle to peace. Paré worked as a monitor for the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), a predominately European group. He recounts his experience as an OSCE monitor in Ukraine in his new book, "What I saw in Ukraine: 2015-2022, Diary of an International Observer." Benoit Paré's book: https://www.amazon.com/What-Saw-Ukraine-2015-2022-International/dp/295986011X

Batya Ungar-Sargon, Journalist and Author, calls into the show to talk about the significant developments from the recent summit held on Friday, where President Trump and Vladimir Putin showed willingness to consider security guarantees for Ukraine in exchange for territorial adjustments. Contrary to media reports, Batya emphasizes the importance of Putin's acceptance of Ukraine's security concerns as a major step toward peace. She revisits the dynamics of Ukraine's territorial integrity, Crimea, the Donbas region, and the potential impacts of these negotiations. Both Batya and Sid critique the mainstream media's portrayal of the summit, accuse them of biased reporting, and express skepticism about some European leaders' roles. They debate the capabilities and intentions of Russia and the leadership qualities of both Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The episode touches on the broader implications of US involvement, NATO's role, and geopolitical strategies. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Can Donald Trump strike a deal with Vladimir Putin in Alaska today and get a ceasefire in Ukraine - and if so, on what terms? President Trump has previously spoken of 'land swaps' but Kyiv has already rejected the idea. We hear from a teenager who lived under Russian occupation in the Donbas for 10 years, and recently escaped.Also in the programme: the world marks 80 years since Japan surrendered, ending World War Two; and as talks on a global plastics treaty collapse – again – is there any hope countries can ever agree?

The stakes couldn't be higher. Will this summit move the world toward peace or harden the deadlock? Hanson lays out why the Biden administration has avoided such meetings, why the “Putin puppet” narrative has gone silent, and what Trump's high-stakes negotiating strategy could mean for the war's endgame on today's episode of “Victor Davis Hanson: In His Own Words.” “We're gonna have this summit. And Trump is going to say to Putin, ‘You can have no NATO Ukraine. You can have the Crimea. You can have the Donbas. I think I can get Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian people to agree. But we've gotta fight over how far west you are and whether you have to go back or will stay in place.' And then he's going to have to tell Zelenskyy, ‘We're supplying you. That's the only leverage we have against Putin, along with a secondary boycott. But you have to decide whether you're going to cede the Donbas, Crimea, and some of the territory. Because if you don't, there's not going to be a peace. And if there's not going to be a peace, we can't assure you a blank check forever.'”

President Zelensky has vowed to reject any proposal from Russia that would mean Ukraine ceding territory or withdrawing troops from the eastern Donbas region. He was speaking ahead of a meeting between Presidents Trump and Putin in Alaska on Friday. Donald Trump has said any peace deal would involve "some swapping of territories" and it is believed one of Vladimir Putin's demands is that Kyiv surrenders the parts of the Donbas it still controls. Also: A surgeon operating in Gaza tells us he has to recycle surgical parts from dead bodies to save the living, and the owners of the video game Fortnite take on Apple and Google over access in an Australian court. Plus: the UN tells torturers in Myanmar: "We know who you are", the heatwaves blasting much of Europe, the US puts a $5 million reward on the head of a gang leader in Haiti, a former first lady of South Korea is arrested, the American woman convicted of conspiracy to murder in Britain -- disguised in an Islamic headscarf, and how AI is helping to keep elephants in India safe.The Global News Podcast brings you the breaking news you need to hear, as it happens. Listen for the latest headlines and current affairs from around the world. Politics, economics, climate, business, technology, health – we cover it all with expert analysis and insight. Get the news that matters, delivered twice a day on weekdays and daily at weekends, plus special bonus episodes reacting to urgent breaking stories. Follow or subscribe now and never miss a moment. Get in touch: globalpodcast@bbc.co.uk

Day 1,266.Today, as Russian forces surge behind Ukrainian lines in the Donbas, we ask if this is just leverage for the upcoming talks in Alaska, or signs of a fundamental weakness in Ukraine's defence. We also hear how President Zelensky's line on ceding territory may be softening and look at how Russian propaganda is interpreting Putin's upcoming meeting with Trump.Contributors:Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor of Defence). @DomNicholls on X.Francis Dearnley (Executive Editor for Audio). @FrancisDearnley on X.Joe Barnes (Brussels Correspondant). @Barnes_Joe on X.James Kilner (Former Russia Correspondant). @jkjourno on X.Content Referenced:Battle Lines:https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/08/08/battle-lines-podcast-inside-the-rise-of-chinas-military/Ukraine prepared to cede territory held by Russia (Joe Barnes in The Telegraph):https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/08/11/ukraine-prepared-freeze-war-current-frontline-summit/ Britain issues warning to Merz and Macron over Ukraine (The Telegraph):https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/08/12/stop-commenting-trump-putin-ukraine-peace-talks-merz-macron/ Children First: Trump-Putin Summit ‘Disaster' for Ukraine's Stolen Kids, Warns Expert (Kyiv Post):https://www.kyivpost.com/post/57954Putin silences Russia with sweeping internet blackouts (The Telegraph):https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/08/07/putin-silences-russia-internet-blackouts/ North Koreans tell BBC they are being sent to work 'like slaves' in Russia (BBC):https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c2077gwjlvxo SIGN UP TO THE NEW ‘UKRAINE: THE LATEST' WEEKLY NEWSLETTER:https://secure.telegraph.co.uk/customer/secure/newsletter/ukraine/ Each week, Dom Nicholls and Francis Dearnley answer your questions, provide recommended reading, and give exclusive analysis and behind-the-scenes insights – plus maps of the frontlines and diagrams of weapons to complement our daily reporting. It's free for everyone, including non-subscribers.Subscribe: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatestEmail: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

President Volodymyr Zelensky says Ukraine will not abandon the eastern Donbas region -- which has been partially seized by Russia and its proxy forces since Twenty- Fourteen. He warned doing so would give Russia a springboard for future attacks on other areas.Also in the programme: We'll hear from the UN investigator on systematic abuses spreading in Myanmar; a warning over changes to federal funds for scientific research in the US; North Koreans tell BBC they are being sent to work 'like slaves' in Russia; and can cats get dementia?(Photo credit: EPA)

Donate (no account necessary) | Subscribe (account required) Join Bryan Dean Wright, former CIA Operations Officer, as he dives into today's top stories shaping America and the world. In today's episode, we cover Trump Targets Crime and Homelessness in DC Following a brutal attack on a former Trump employee in Washington DC, the president will announce sweeping plans to clean up the city. Proposals may include evicting the homeless, involuntary psychiatric commitments, and even federalizing DC's governance. Bryan unpacks the root causes of the capital's lawlessness, from broken families to weak criminal enforcement. Putin-Trump Peace Talks Face Global Pushback The Russian president is set to meet Trump in Alaska on Friday to discuss ending the Ukraine war. Putin's demands include control of Donbas and Crimea, but Europe, Zelenskyy, and China all oppose the proposed “Alaska Protocol.” Bryan examines why some say this could be a diplomatic breakthrough, while others see it as a Kremlin ploy. China and India Undercut U.S. Strategy China openly declares it wants Russia to win in Ukraine to keep America distracted. India deepens its ties with Moscow despite new U.S. tariffs, canceling American weapons purchases and strengthening the BRICS alliance. Trump's New “Peace Corridor” Rattles Iran and Russia Last week's U.S.-brokered peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan creates the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity — a new corridor for oil, gas, and trade running close to Iran's borders. Tehran threatens to turn it into a “graveyard for Trump's mercenaries,” while Moscow warns against foreign meddling. The Great Game for Global Power From Ukraine to the South Caucasus, from India to China's Pacific shores, a new geopolitical contest is underway. Bryan outlines how foreign powers may try to sabotage U.S. influence at home and abroad, including covert propaganda, political funding, and infiltration through the southern border. "And you shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free." - John 8:32

Day 1,260.Today, as Donald Trump's special envoy Steve Witkoff meets Vladimir Putin for so-called ceasefire negotiations, President Zelensky releases a video marking a year since Ukrainian troops invaded Russia's Kursk oblast and Ukraine's Prosecutor General's Office opens another investigation into alleged Russian war crimes after a video emerges of a civilian being gunned down in the Donbas. Plus, we explore issues around the use of tourniquets in combat and how their misuse might be causing unnecessary deaths.Contributors:Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor of Defence). @DomNicholls on X.Francis Dearnley (Executive Editor for Audio). @FrancisDearnley on X.Maeve Cullinan (Global health security reporter). @maeve_cullinan on X.Content Referenced:‘Cult' of tourniquets causing thousands of unnecessary amputations and deaths in Ukraine, say surgeons (Maeve Cullinan in The Telegraph):https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/terror-and-security/cult-of-tourniquets-causing-unnecessary-amputations-deaths/ Putin considers missile and drone truce as Trump envoy arrives in Moscow (The Telegraph):https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/08/06/putin-mulls-missile-drone-truce-trump-envoy-moscow/ Exclusive: Putin doubts potency of Trump's ultimatum to end the war, sources say (Reuters):https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-doubts-potency-trumps-ultimatum-end-war-sources-say-2025-08-05/ Trump's Ukraine peace plan: Make India pay (The Telegraph):https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/08/06/trumps-ukraine-peace-plan-runs-straight-through-old-friend/ Why the laws of war are widely ignored (The Economist):https://www.economist.com/international/2025/08/05/why-the-laws-of-war-are-widely-ignored Sviatlana Tsikanouskaya (List of events marking five years of protest):https://tsikhanouskaya.org/en/news/join-events-on-august-9-to-mark-five-years-since-the-2020-protests-in-belarus.htmlSubscribe: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatestEmail: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.