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Global Flashpoints: Ceasefires, Nuclear Claims, and the Legality of Venezuela Deployment Guest: Colonel Jeff McCausland Colonel Jeff McCausland assesses global conflicts, noting the Gaza ceasefire remains fragile as neither Israel nor Hamas is willing to compromise meaningfully.

Global Flashpoints: Ceasefires, Nuclear Claims, and the Legality of Venezuela Deployment Guest: Colonel Jeff McCausland Colonel Jeff McCausland assesses global conflicts, noting the Gaza ceasefire remains fragile as neither Israel nor Hamas is willing to compromise meaningfully. Russia remains defiant, having recently tested a claimed nuclear-powered missile, with Putin insisting Ukraine must surrender to achieve peace. McCausland criticizes the US deployment of a carrier battle group near Venezuela as "overkill," resembling nineteenth-century gunboat diplomacy intended to intimidate the Maduro regime. He questions the legality of kinetic action against alleged drug smugglers without Congressional approval. R

Market Relief, AI Layoffs, and Political Turmoil Guest: Elizabeth Peek Elizabeth Peek analyzes market relief following the temporary US-China trade truce, noting that President Trump effectively uses American consumer spending and tariff policy as a powerful geopolitical weapon. However, she expresses serious alarm over AI-driven mass layoffs across major corporations, including Amazon, coupled with a notable absence of substantive political debate addressing workforce displacement. Peek warns that the rise of an inexperienced, anti-capitalist mayoral candidate threatens New York City's economic prosperity and competitiveness in an increasingly challenging urban landscape. 1957

Market Relief, AI Layoffs, and Political Turmoil Guest: Elizabeth Peek Elizabeth Peek analyzes market relief following the temporary US-China trade truce, noting that President Trump effectively uses American consumer spending and tariff policy as a powerful geopolitical weapon. However, she expresses serious alarm over AI-driven mass layoffs across major corporations, including Amazon, coupled with a notable absence of substantive political debate addressing workforce displacement. Peek warns that the rise of an inexperienced, anti-capitalist mayoral candidate threatens New York City's economic prosperity and competitiveness in an increasingly challenging urban landscape.

Iran Defies West on Nuclear Program Despite Loss of Key Scientists. Jonathan Schanzer discusses Iran's defiant nuclear program, noting the procurement of air defense systems from Russia and China is debatable. A major setback has been the loss of nuclear scientists due to targeted assassinations. Iran is heavily supporting the Houthis (now a full proxy), sending ballistic missile components and IRGC officials to help assemble them in Yemen. Snapback sanctions' impact on Iran's partnerships with Russia and China remains uncertain. 1543

4. Post-Pandemic Lessons and Policy Interventions Nicholas Eberstadt Book: Men Without Work (Post-Pandemic Edition) Eberstadt addresses the post-pandemic landscape, noting the problem has worsened and shows warning signs of spreading to prime-age women and older cohorts. The China shock (China entering the WTO) previously disrupted US manufacturing. Pandemic-era government transfers were unique in that US disposable income rose, generating over $2.5 trillion in excess savings that facilitated a "delayed return to work." Policy solutions include adopting a "work first" principle for social welfare programs and improving vocational skills training to reduce disincentives. Eberstadt stresses the need to gather statistics on the vast ex-felon population (one in seven adult men has a felony conviction) to enable evidence-based policies for societal reentry. Gaming the disability system often involves claims that are difficult to falsify, such as psychological or musculoskeletal pain. 1939 NYSE

As a key gateway for fostering connectivity, Hong Kong is set to accelerate the integrated development of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and the nation's high-quality growth.香港作为加强互联互通的核心门户，正计划加快粤港澳大湾区一体化建设，推动国家高质量发展。The city will achieve this by continuously channeling global capital, promoting innovation and building cultural bridges, senior officials, industry leaders and experts told the Greater Bay Area Conference 2025, which was held on Thursday in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.在香港特别行政区于周四举办的“2025粤港澳大湾区大会”上，政府高官、行业领袖及专家表示，香港将通过持续引入全球资本、推动创新发展、搭建文化交流桥梁等举措实现上述目标。Qu Yingpu, publisher and editor-in-chief of China Daily, lifted the curtain on the high-profile conference with a prerecorded welcome speech, which was followed by keynote speeches delivered by Leung Chun-ying, vice-chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, and Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee Ka-chiu.中国日报社社长兼总编辑曲莹璞通过预录欢迎辞为这场备受关注的大会拉开帷幕。随后，全国政协副主席梁振英、香港特别行政区行政长官李家超分别发表主旨演讲。Leung emphasized the central government's vision for the Hong Kong and Macao special administrative regions to actively integrate into the nation's development.梁振英强调，中央政府始终支持香港、澳门两个特别行政区积极融入国家发展大局。He said that upholding the principle of "one country, two systems" and promoting integrated development across the Greater Bay Area would "unleash huge energy similar to nuclear fusion", driving development on both sides.他表示，坚持“一国两制”方针，推动粤港澳大湾区融合发展，将“释放出堪比核聚变的巨大能量”，为大湾区内外发展注入动力。Leung also highlighted the freer flow of people, goods, capital and data as key pathways and objectives of the region's integrated development. Noting the concrete progress in infrastructure and visa relaxation, he said the collaboration between the Hong Kong SAR and Guangdong province has become broader and deeper.梁振英还指出，人员、货物、资金、数据的更自由流动，是大湾区一体化发展的核心路径与目标。他提到，当前大湾区基础设施建设与签证便利化政策已取得切实进展，香港特区与广东省的合作领域正不断拓宽、合作深度持续加深。"Faster and easier cross-boundary journeys have brought about the flow of talent to cities where they are most needed, and where they are most productive," Leung added.“更快捷、更便捷的跨境出行，让人才能够流向最需要、也最能发挥其价值的城市，”梁振英补充道。The senior official expressed his firm belief in the huge untapped potential of Hong Kong's role as a "super-connector", not only within the Greater Bay Area but also in linking the region with the rest of the world.这位高官坚信，香港作为“超级联系人”的潜力尚未完全释放——这一角色不仅体现在大湾区内部，更在于将大湾区与全球其他地区紧密联结。"For all sectors, there are opportunities, and for all opportunities, there are windows. Opportunities come and go, and the windows open and shut," Leung said, calling for "better understanding" and more on-the-ground actions.“各行业皆有机遇，所有机遇皆有窗口期。机遇转瞬即逝，窗口期亦会开合，”梁振英说道，他呼吁各方“增进理解”并采取更多务实行动。The conference, themed "Financial Connectivity, Nurturing Talent, Building Cultural Bridges", was co-organized by China Daily and the Hong Kong Coalition. It brought together more than 300 guests, including executives from Fortune Global 500 and China 500 companies, representatives of think tanks, academia and media, and experts from public and private sectors across Asia.本次大会以“金融互联・人才培育・文化筑桥”为主题，由中国日报与香港友好协进会联合主办。来自亚洲各地的300余名嘉宾参会，包括《财富》世界500强与中国500强企业高管、智库代表、学术界人士、媒体从业者，以及公共部门与私营领域的专家。Qu, the publisher and editor-in-chief of China Daily, highlighted Hong Kong's advantage in "value adding" as the "super-connector", noting that the city's newly established GoGlobal Task Force "will make Hong Kong the primary channel for attracting international capital and technology".中国日报社社长兼总编辑曲莹璞强调，香港作为“超级联系人”，具备独特的“增值”优势。他指出，香港新建立的出海服务平台“将推动香港成为吸引国际资本与技术的主要渠道”。He said he believes the Greater Bay Area is set to "contribute to the national goal of scientific and technological self-reliance", while the upcoming 15th National Games, which will be co-hosted by Hong Kong, Macao and Guangdong, make it "a magnet for domestic and international talent, as well as tourists — a connector of cultures and civilizations".他认为，粤港澳大湾区必将“为国家实现科技自立自强的目标贡献力量”；而即将由香港、澳门与广东联合举办的第十五届全国运动会，将使大湾区“成为吸引国内外人才与游客的‘磁石'，成为连接不同文化与文明的纽带”。"The Greater Bay Area has the glorious mission of becoming a principal support of the new development paradigm and a pioneer of Chinese modernization. By pursuing high-quality development and better integrating itself into China's overall development, the Greater Bay Area can well fulfill this mission and make an important contribution to national rejuvenation," Qu added.“粤港澳大湾区肩负着成为新发展格局重要支撑、中国式现代化先行典范的光荣使命。通过推动高质量发展、更好融入国家发展大局，大湾区完全能够履行这一使命，为民族复兴作出重要贡献，”曲莹璞补充道。In a video speech, Hong Kong Chief Executive Lee underscored the city's unique position as the only city having both Chinese and global advantages.香港特别行政区行政长官李家超在视频致辞中强调，香港是唯一兼具“中国优势”与“全球优势”的城市，地位独特。Leveraging its common law system, competitive taxation and a bilingual talent pool, Hong Kong serves as a "premier gateway for cooperation, bridging people, trades, businesses, cultures and values across the region".依托普通法制度、具有竞争力的税收政策及双语人才库，香港成为“区域合作的首要门户，为区内人员、贸易、企业、文化及价值观的互联互通搭建桥梁”。The GoGlobal Task Force will support Chinese mainland enterprises in their global expansion to "create important value for both our country and Hong Kong", Lee said, emphasizing the importance of accelerating the city's development as an international innovation and technology center.李家超表示，“出海”服务平台将支持中国内地企业拓展全球市场，“为国家与香港创造重要价值”。他同时强调，加快推动香港建设国际创新科技中心具有重要意义。With strengthened talent cultivation and cultural exchanges, particularly through the upcoming 15th National Games, Hong Kong will continue to link the Greater Bay Area to global markets, Lee added.李家超补充道，通过加强人才培养与文化交流（尤其是借助即将举办的第十五届全国运动会），香港将继续发挥纽带作用，推动粤港澳大湾区与全球市场对接。The conference featured two panel discussions on innovative finance and talent development, and a dialogue on the National Games' impact on local sports and culture.大会设置两场专题小组讨论，分别聚焦“创新金融与人才发展”；此外还举办了一场主题对话，探讨全运会对香港本地体育与文化发展的影响。Panelists highlighted Hong Kong's GoGlobal Task Force initiative, which supports mainland firms' overseas expansion and facilitates capital flows.参会嘉宾重点关注香港“出海”服务平台 的相关举措——该平台不仅支持内地企业海外拓展，还为资金流动提供便利。Their discussions also focused on enhancing university-industry collaboration to drive technological advancement and leveraging the games to boost regional integration through sports and cultural exchanges.嘉宾们在讨论中还提出，应加强校企合作以推动技术进步，并借助全运会契机，通过体育与文化交流促进区域融合。Furthermore, they discussed strategies to improve cross-regional coordination and advance the Greater Bay Area as a benchmark for China's high-quality development.此外，嘉宾们还就“如何完善跨区域协调机制”“推动粤港澳大湾区成为中国高质量发展标杆”等议题探讨了具体策略。untapped/ˌʌnˈtæpt/adj.未开发的；未利用的integrated/ˈɪntɪɡreɪtɪd/adj.一体化的；综合的facilitate/fəˈsɪlɪteɪt/v.促进；使便利

Small Business Economy Steady; AI Remains a 'Toy'. Gene Marks reports on the small business economy, noting steady activity among machine parts manufacturers, often preparing for an "onshoring boom." Construction and housing are holding steady but anticipate a future boom as interest rates decline. Tariffs have a muted impact, often absorbed or passed on as separate invoice line items for transparency. Marks demonstrates that AI, despite its advances, is not ready for prime-time business use, failing to accurately generate a requested image of a Yorkshire Terrier hitting a home run.

NASA's Artemis Woes, Chinese Debris, and Global Space Industry Shifts. Bob Zimmerman discusses NASA's Artemis program, noting Administrator Sean Duffy is using a social media feud with Elon Musk as a "shiny object" to distract from the Orion capsule's untrustworthy heat shield risks. Other space issues include China's dangerous rocket debris crashes, some using highly toxic fuels, and European satellite companies consolidating into Project Bromo due to competition. Zimmerman also highlights the discovery of a large asteroid orbiting near Venus and Lockheed Martin's investment in Venus Aerospace's radical rocket engine design.

NASA's Artemis Woes, Chinese Debris, and Global Space Industry Shifts. Bob Zimmerman discusses NASA's Artemis program, noting Administrator Sean Duffy is using a social media feud with Elon Musk as a "shiny object" to distract from the Orion capsule's untrustworthy heat shield risks. Other space issues include China's dangerous rocket debris crashes, some using highly toxic fuels, and European satellite companies consolidating into Project Bromo due to competition. Zimmerman also highlights the discovery of a large asteroid orbiting near Venus and Lockheed Martin's investment in Venus Aerospace's radical rocket engine design.  1960

Small Business Economy Steady; AI Remains a 'Toy'. Gene Marks reports on the small business economy, noting steady activity among machine parts manufacturers, often preparing for an "onshoring boom." Construction and housing are holding steady but anticipate a future boom as interest rates decline. Tariffs have a muted impact, often absorbed or passed on as separate invoice line items for transparency. Marks demonstrates that AI, despite its advances, is not ready for prime-time business use, failing to accurately generate a requested image of a Yorkshire Terrier hitting a home run.

Colonel Newsham Discusses Promising US-Australia Rare Earth Deal and Canberra's Dual Strategy Toward China Grant Newsham with John Batchelor Colonel Grant Newsham discussed the promising US-Australia rare earth deal, noting Australia has vast mining capabilities to provide an alternative to China's dominance. China's threat to use export controls might spur free nations to develop alternative supply chains. Newsham noted Canberra is playing a "neat trick," maintaining a firm defense alliance with the US (AUKUS) while maintaining profitable economic ties with Beijing, reflecting an underlying "softness" toward China. 1850

Colonel Newsham Discusses Promising US-Australia Rare Earth Deal and Canberra's Dual Strategy Toward China Grant Newsham with John Batchelor Colonel Grant Newsham discussed the promising US-Australia rare earth deal, noting Australia has vast mining capabilities to provide an alternative to China's dominance. China's threat to use export controls might spur free nations to develop alternative supply chains. Newsham noted Canberra is playing a "neat trick," maintaining a firm defense alliance with the US (AUKUS) while maintaining profitable economic ties with Beijing, reflecting an underlying "softness" toward China. 1698

Colonel McCausland Discusses Postponed Budapest Summit, Gaza Ceasefire Instability, and Pentagon Information Control Jeff McCausland with John Batchelor Colonel McCausland explained the Budapest summit postponement, noting Putin demands Ukrainian surrender before a ceasefire. He considered Tomahawks an escalation of firepower, but not a game-changer, with delivery now on hold. McCausland described the Gaza ceasefire as precarious, lacking discussion or plan for Hamas disarmament, which he views as the necessary "red line" for stability. He criticized the Pentagon's new policy blocking journalists from soliciting unauthorized information as an attempt by Secretary Hegseth to control information flow and increase opacity. 1600

Colonel McCausland Discusses Postponed Budapest Summit, Gaza Ceasefire Instability, and Pentagon Information Control Jeff McCausland with John Batchelor Colonel McCausland explained the Budapest summit postponement, noting Putin demands Ukrainian surrender before a ceasefire. He considered Tomahawks an escalation of firepower, but not a game-changer, with delivery now on hold. McCausland described the Gaza ceasefire as precarious, lacking discussion or plan for Hamas disarmament, which he views as the necessary "red line" for stability. He criticized the Pentagon's new policy blocking journalists from soliciting unauthorized information as an attempt by Secretary Hegseth to control information flow and increase opacity. 1560

Gaza Ceasefire and Regional Instability in the Middle East Jonathan Schanzer, Foundation for Defense of Democracies, with John Batchelor Schanzer analyzes the Gaza ceasefire, noting Hamas is deliberately slow-rolling the return of bodies to maintain leverage. New regional tensions are rising, including reports of Egypt moving aggressive offensive weapons into the Sinai and Turkey calling for a pan-Islamic offensive against Israel. Schanzer notes that internal power struggles between tribes and a weakening Hamas could lead to political fragmentation in Gaza. 1922

Gaza Ceasefire and Regional Instability in the Middle East Jonathan Schanzer, Foundation for Defense of Democracies, with John Batchelor Schanzer analyzes the Gaza ceasefire, noting Hamas is deliberately slow-rolling the return of bodies to maintain leverage. New regional tensions are rising, including reports of Egypt moving aggressive offensive weapons into the Sinai and Turkey calling for a pan-Islamic offensive against Israel. Schanzer notes that internal power struggles between tribes and a weakening Hamas could lead to political fragmentation in Gaza. 1915

In Episode 67 of the Footballguys Dynasty Football Show, Dave Kluge and Jeff Bell talk about backfield and wide receiver usage shifts around the NFL coming out of Week 6. Follow Dave Kluge on Twitter: https://twitter.com/DaveKluge Follow Jeff Bell on Twitter: https://twitter.com/4WhomJBellTolls Footballguys Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fbgfantasy Footballguys Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/footballguys Footballguys Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/Footballguys

Wrestling icon and local Texas star Kevin Von Erich sits down to discuss the upcoming AEW Dynamite & Collision event on October 22nd at the Boeing Center at TechPort in San Antonio! With AEW on a meteoric ascent as the first true mainstream wrestling alternative in decades, Von Erich offers insights into what fans can expect on this action-packed night. He'll also share stories from his near 50-year career and speak about his sons, Marshall & Ross Von Erich, who are continuing the family's legendary path as part of the AEW roster. Don't miss this opportunity to hear from a wrestling Hall of Famer with deep Texas roots, right before AEW returns to the Alamo City!AEW Dynamite/Collision: San AntonioDate:OCTOBER 22, 2025Venue:Boeing Center at TechPortCity:San Antonio, TXTime:6:30pm CThttps://www.allelitewrestling.com/aew-event/aew-dynamite-collision-san-antonioChapters:00:00-00:28: Introduction & WelcomeWelcome to I Am Refocused Radio.Introduction of special guest: Kevin Von Erich, true Texas wrestling legend.Promoting AEW Dynamite and Collision in San Antonio at the Boeing Center at Techport on October 22nd.00:28-00:54: The Von Erich Sons & AEWMention of his sons, Marshall and Ross Von Erich, continuing the family legacy in AEW (airs on TBS, TNT, and streams on HBO Max).Thanking Kevin Von Erich for his time.How are you doing, sir?00:54-02:24: Fondest Memories & the People of TexasDiscussing nearly five decades in the business and asking which moments still stand out today.Sharing a story about a costume contest in Wichita Falls during Halloween.Recounting the moment he lifted a heavy little girl dressed as a witch into the ring, and the crowd's considerate silence to avoid hurting her feelings.Highlighting the brotherhood and consideration of the people of Texas.02:24-04:44: Personal Growth and the Importance of FamilyReflecting on lessons learned while growing and succeeding in the business.The initial focus on working "hard all out" to bring home a check for the family.The crushing loss of his brothers, David in 1984 and Mike in 1986.Realizing that family was what was important all along, not money or fame.Describing the intense work ethic—performing with fever, broken bones, and dislocations—because the fans paid their money.The motivation of being a father: willing to pay any price and the confidence his family had in him.Concluding that love is the greatest force on Earth.04:44-05:04: AEW Event PromotionReminder to tune into I Am Refocus Radio with Kevin Von Erich.Promoting AEW Dynamite and Collision in San Antonio on October 22nd at the Boeing Center at Techport.05:04-07:51: Advice for Sons and the New Era of WrestlingAsking what advice he gives his sons, Marshall and Ross, on balancing fame, pressure, and purpose.Recounting his own father's advice not to enter the business and his sons' similar defiance.Describing the brutal training in Japan ("like torture") with a thousand sit-ups and push-ups daily, sweeping, bowing, and building the ring.The sons' love for the business despite the hardship.Observing that AEW has "burst out from the pack" and is a leader.Praising modern wrestlers as fluid, decisive, and professional athletes right out of college or the NFL.Noting the absence of drugs in the current wrestling business.Lamenting that his brothers can't see this new era.Asking if he sees a glimpse of his younger self in his sons and the importance of work ethic.07:51-12:30: Work Ethic, Discipline, and The MovieStating you get out of it what you put into it; it's about paying the price and working harder than others.Discussing the discipline and hard life of an athlete.Addressing The Iron Claw movie, mentioning the filmmakers were from England and didn't consult him.Pushing back on the depiction of Texans as "rough" and his father's strict, but respectful, upbringing with a leather strap.Highlighting the Texas values: respect, punctuality, and keeping your word.Asking what sets AEW apart from other promotions.Comparing AEW to the "World-Class Wrestling" of his day: having young, hungry guys who developed organic, natural personalities.Praising AEW athletes as hard-working, devoted to the sport, and masters of their counters, reversals, and submissions.Refuting the movie's narrative that his father forced them to wrestle or that it was "money, money, money."Admitting to using numbing agents (Novocaine) on knees and back before shows, but stressing it was not for fun but to perform better for the crowd.Asserting wrestling is the purest form of entertainment.12:30-15:23: San Antonio Fans and Texas Wrestling PrideAddressing fans going to the Boeing Center on October 22nd.Remembering the incredible noise in San Antonio at the Freeman Coliseum and Hemisphere Arena—"better than Dallas."Sharing his love for San Antonio and the Texas rivers, mentioning his recent move to the country near Sisterdale.Quote: "If you want to find a way to really love Texas, try leaving it for 20 years."Asking what he's most proud of regarding Texas wrestling on a global stage.Describing the Texas style as men who will "pay the price" and "knock the heck out of each other."Expressing how the crowd noise and chanting is essential, recalling how difficult it must have been for young wrestlers during COVID in empty arenas.Stating wrestlers "feed off the crowd," and you "don't feel anything when you're flying off the turnbuckles."15:23-18:14: Final Lessons and True LegacyAsking what lessons today's wrestlers need to learn from his experience.Discussing muscle memory and the wrestler's code of ethics.Sharing a story about his friend, Bruiser Brody, and the danger of crossing someone who is "that down to hurt, to pain," leading to Brody's death.Asking what legacy means to him personally, beyond titles and fame.Reiterating that his sons and family have no curse—they are blessed.Expressing concern that the movie's narrative ("curse" and name-changing) is "a bunch of bull" and not the truth, though he knows movies are "strong things."Final thank you and good wishes for the show in San Antonio.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/i-am-refocused-radio--2671113/support.Thank you for tuning in to I Am Refocused Radio. For more inspiring conversations, visit IAmRefocusedRadio.com and stay connected with our community.Don't miss new episodes—subscribe now at YouTube.com/@RefocusedRadio

Boaventura de Sousa ​Santos, Emeritus Professor of Sociology at the University of Coimbra, discusses his professional training from law, to the philosophy of law and then to sociology, covering his time studying in Cold War Berlin, then Yale in the late 1960s and early 1970s, and his eventual involvement with the World Social Forum and his efforts to densify class struggle. Bouncing off his recent article on cancel culture, de Sousa Santos analyses the “narcissism of belongingness” and how identity politics is sabotaging the left, where the connection to the political economy is lost to the language of inclusion. Analysing the weaponisation of victimhood and lies that are used to create narratives that uniquely rely upon the perverse assumption of female innocence and male guilt, de Sousa Santos observes the current social discourse and protofascistic regimes of our times, where the Inquisition of the Dark Ages has returned. Noting the rise of social fascism, which he believes may potentially slide into political fascism, de Sousa Santos argues that the proliferation of victimhood narratives creates the subject as a type of inert res extensa, in Cartesian terms, that simultaneously negates the Spinozean notion of human potentia, something he believes will ultimately kill the feminist movement. Get full access to Savage Minds at savageminds.substack.com/subscribe

DC's Decline and the Search for a New Imperial Capital. Gaius and Germanicus debate where the new capital of the American Empire should be located, noting that Washington, D.C., is losing its usefulness. This parallels the Roman abandonment of Rome when it became indefensible and the imperial economy shifted east, leading Constantine to establish Constantinople. DC is troubled by a bypassed population and a shrinking federal workforce, partly due to the consolidation of AI data centers in Virginia. A shift in the capital would symbolize a dramatic transformation of American identity. Germanicus suggests Miami as a potential new capital because it already serves as the entrepôt for Latin America, fitting a potential "America First" hemispheric identity. This focus aligns with the large Hispanic influx and the migration of Northerners into strong Southern states like Florida and Texas. Just as DC was originally situated midway between the North and South colonies, the new capital must be centered where North and South meet to cement a new identity. The hosts anticipate a future hemispheric alliance where America becomes a fortress and a startup for a billion people in the 22nd century. 1712 CAESAR Retry

2. The Colossal Misjudgment: Underestimating Ukraine and Putin's Imperial Ambitions. Serhii Plokhy (Professor of Ukrainian History at Harvard University) covers the lead-up to the 2022 full-scale invasion, noting Russia's military buildup in 2021 while President Biden publicly stated that no US troops or weapons would be sent to Ukraine, which constituted a "colossal misjudgment of Putin." Despite the lack of meaningful preparatory military aid for Ukraine, US intelligence performed exceptionally well, accurately predicting the timing of the war and releasing this intelligence in real time, hoping to "shame" Putin. The expectation that Kyiv would fall within days reflected a profound misjudgment: underestimating the resolve of the Ukrainian state and people, and overestimating the Russian military's capacity. To justify his actions, Putin built an argument to the Russian people based on a "misreading of history," reviving 19th-century Russian imperial ideas that claimed Russians, Ukrainians, and Belarusians constituted a single whole. This false belief led to the expectation that Ukrainians would welcome Russian troops with flowers, rather than weapons. Putin's consistent goal since 2014 was to stop Ukraine's Western trajectory and integrate it into the Russian-controlled Eurasian Union. When President Zelensky refused Putin's demands regarding the implementation of the Minsk agreements in Paris in December 2019, many observers mark this moment as the countdown to the 2022 invasion.

The Oligarchic Motives Behind the "No Kings" Protest. Gaius and Germanicus, speaking from Londinium, discuss the contemporary "No Kings" protest occurring across the American Empire, noting the young people involved are protesting the outcome and subsequent actions taken following the 2024 democratic vote. While Gaius sees the protest as amateurish, Germanicus finds it rooted in deep ignorance. Germanicus emphasizes that kingship is profoundly alien to both the Roman experience (which was founded on the overthrow of kings) and the American experience, pointing out that even a Roman emperor would never call himself a king. The true American Revolution was a rebellion against Parliament, not King George III. The element that is truly sinister, however, is not the youthful protestors but the oligarchy that created the enterprise. This elite class, which feels entitled to rule and controls the ruling institutions, is threatened by the rise of "big men" (like Crassus or Pompey) supported by populism. The "No Kings" metaphor is an absurd and ahistorical tactic used by the threatened oligarchy to quash this popular movement. The hosts then turn to debating the necessity of moving the American Empire's capital, as DC's usefulness is outworn. 1582 OTHO

China is experiencing the strongest cold front so far in the second half of this year, with most parts of the nation forecast to see a sharp drop in temperatures, experts said.专家表示，我国正遭遇今年下半年以来最强冷空气，预计全国大部地区气温将显著下降。There is a high possibility that Beijing will see an early start to winter this weekend, and the temperature drop will bring the unusually persistent scorching heat in the eastern and southern provinces to an end, according to the latest forecast by the China Meteorological Administration.中国气象局最新预报显示，本周末北京大概率提前入冬，此次降温还将终结我国东部及南部省份持续多日的异常高温天气。Ma Xuekuan, chief forecaster of the National Meteorological Center, said that a strong cold front will move from the north to the south and continuously affect the nation's central and eastern parts from Thursday to Tuesday, adding that these areas will see temperature drops of 6 to 10 degrees.国家气象中心首席预报员马学款介绍，10月24日（周四）至29日（周二），一股强冷空气将自北向南影响我国中东部地区，上述地区气温预计下降6至10摄氏度。Among these provinces and areas, the Inner Mongolia autonomous region and those in the country's central part will see temperatures drop by 10 to 14 degrees, or even over 15 degrees, during the period, Ma noted.马学款指出，其中内蒙古自治区及我国中部部分地区降温幅度可达10至14摄氏度，局部地区甚至超过15摄氏度。"It's so far the strongest cold front affecting China in the year's second half based on its range and degree of influence," he said, adding that the nation's northern provinces will see the temperature keep falling next week.“从影响范围和强度来看，这是今年下半年以来影响我国最强的一股冷空气。”他补充道，下周我国北方省份气温将持续走低。He said that China's central part and provinces along the eastern part of the Yellow River and Huaihe River, including Jiangsu, Anhui, Henan and Shandong, will witness the temperature plunge by 10 degrees in five consecutive days from Saturday, with a higher possibility of the onset of winter.马学款表示，江苏、安徽、河南、山东等我国中部及黄河、淮河东部沿线省份，自28日（周六）起连续5天累计降温幅度将达10摄氏度，入冬可能性较大。Xinxin, a weather analyst from China Weather TV, said there is a very high possibility of Beijing seeing an early arrival of winter on Saturday, as reported by the People's Daily on Friday.据《人民日报》10月27日（周五）报道，中国天气电视台气象分析师信欣称，北京本周六（28日）大概率提前入冬。According to Xin, Beijing will see the average day temperature fall below 10 degrees in continuous 7 days from Saturday. Historically, from 1991 to 2020, the city has seen the start of winter on Oct 31, which will move up now because of the ongoing cold front.信欣分析，自28日起，北京连续7天日平均气温将跌破10摄氏度。1991年至2020年的气候数据显示，北京常年入冬时间为10月31日，受此次冷空气影响，今年入冬时间将有所提前。Affected by the strong cold front, provinces and regions south of the Yangtze River and the nation's southern part, such as Shanghai and Zhejiang, will also see a quick temperature change that will end the unusual heat wave there, according to Ma, the chief forecaster.马学款还提到，受强冷空气影响，上海、浙江等长江以南地区及我国南方省份气温也将快速下降，当地异常高温天气将随之结束。He added that from Sunday to Friday, the southern provinces will see temperatures 2 to 4 degrees lower than usual in previous years.他补充道，10月29日（周日）至11月3日（周五），南方省份气温将较常年同期偏低2至4摄氏度。The meeting of the cold front and warm air currents also brought torrential rains to southwestern provinces and provinces along the Yellow River and Huaihe River such as Sichuan and Chongqing on Thursday and Friday. The rains will ease from Saturday after the cold front moves southward.此外，10月24日（周四）至25日（周五），受冷空气与暖湿气流交汇影响，四川、重庆等我国西南地区及黄河、淮河沿线省份出现强降雨天气。随着冷空气南下，自28日（周六）起，上述地区降雨将趋于减弱。Noting the sharp temperature change, the China Meteorological Administration has reminded the public to be careful of weather-related risks like flu, and to be covered in adequately warm clothing.针对此次大幅降温，中国气象局提醒公众注意防范流感等天气相关健康风险，及时增添衣物，做好保暖措施。cold front/ˌkəʊld ˈfrʌnt/n.冷锋scorching/ˈskɔːtʃɪŋ/adj.酷热的；灼热的torrential/təˈrenʃl/adj.倾盆的；猛烈的

HEADLINE: China's Predicament in the Middle East and Domestic Economic Instability GUEST NAME: General Blaine Holt SUMMARY: General Blaine Holt analyzes China's strategic challenges, noting Beijing is concerned about losing access to critical oil and gas resources as US leadership advances the Abraham Accords. China's previous regional deals, like the Saudi-Iran agreement, lacked substance compared to US business commitments. Holt suggests internal pressures might lead Iran toward the Accords. Domestically, China faces accelerating deflation and uncertainty regarding Xi Jinping's leadership due to four competing factions before the fourth plenum. 1914

HEADLINE: Lessons from the Swiss National Bank: Risk-Taking, Exchange Rates, and Fiscal Responsibility GUEST NAME: John Cochrane SUMMARY: Economist John Cochrane analyzes the Swiss National Bank (SNB), noting it differs greatly from the US Federal Reserve by investing heavily in foreign stocks and bonds to manage the Swiss franc's exchange rate. The SNB's massive balance sheet carries risks accepted by Swiss taxpayers and the Cantons. Switzerland, being fiscally responsible (running no budget deficits), finds central banking easier. Cochrane advises that the US Fed should not be buying stocks or venturing into fiscal policy. 1890 SWISS

HEADLINE: Global Turmoil: Turkey's War Aims, China's Coup, and Iran's Pivot GUEST NAME: Gregory Copley SUMMARY: Gregory Copley discusses the Gaza ceasefire's instability, noting Hamas, backed by Turkey, is reasserting control. He analyzes Turkey's neo-Ottomanist need to continue confrontation. Iran is seen as strategically weakened, potentially seeking a deal with Trump. The conversation pivots to China, detailing rumored internal turmoil, including a coup led by General Zhang Youxia, and linking China's rare earth export threats to Beijing's leadership struggles. 1548

HEADLINE: Gaza Fragility and Germany's Trade Concerns with China GUEST NAME: Judy Dempsey SUMMARY:Judy Dempsey analyzes the fragile Gaza ceasefire, noting Gazans return to destruction while Hamas fights rivals and remains armed. Arab states are cautious about taking over governance. She credits President Trump for forcing the peace deal, appreciating his decisive, non-ideological approach. The discussion shifts to US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's aggressive stance on China's rare earth export threats. Germany's powerful auto industry faces risk, but Berlin is responding calmly and diversifying its supply chains. 1922

HEADLINE: Gaza Fragility and Germany's Trade Concerns with China GUEST NAME: Judy Dempsey SUMMARY:Judy Dempsey analyzes the fragile Gaza ceasefire, noting Gazans return to destruction while Hamas fights rivals and remains armed. Arab states are cautious about taking over governance. She credits President Trump for forcing the peace deal, appreciating his decisive, non-ideological approach. The discussion shifts to US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's aggressive stance on China's rare earth export threats. Germany's powerful auto industry faces risk, but Berlin is responding calmly and diversifying its supply chains. 1938

HEADLINE: Gaza Ceasefire, Hamas Regeneration, and Iran's Tactical Retreat GUEST NAMES: David Daoud, Bill Roggio SUMMARY: David Daoud analyzes the Gaza ceasefire, noting Hamas refuses to disarm and is executing rivals to reassert control. He views the truce as a tactical lull in the "long war," expecting released senior prisoners to help regenerate terrorist leadership. Iran, which skipped the summit, is seen as engaging in a tactical retreat to staunch losses and rebuild proxies, letting adversaries adopt a false sense of victory. 1917 GAZA

HEADLINE: Gaza Ceasefire, Hamas Regeneration, and Iran's Tactical Retreat GUEST NAMES: David Daoud, Bill Roggio SUMMARY: David Daoud analyzes the Gaza ceasefire, noting Hamas refuses to disarm and is executing rivals to reassert control. He views the truce as a tactical lull in the "long war," expecting released senior prisoners to help regenerate terrorist leadership. Iran, which skipped the summit, is seen as engaging in a tactical retreat to staunch losses and rebuild proxies, letting adversaries adopt a false sense of victory. 1967

HEADLINE: Ceasefire Challenges, Border Conflicts, and Ukraine's Weapons Needs GUEST NAME: Colonel Jeff McCausland SUMMARY: Colonel Jeff McCausland reviews the Gaza ceasefire, noting the prisoner exchange and aid delivery, but stresses that disarming Hamas remains the key challenge. Released senior prisoners could regenerate leadership. He discusses the long-standing conflict between Pakistan and the Taliban/TTP, noting deep mistrust exacerbated by perceived Indian influence. Regarding Ukraine, the potential delivery of long-range Tomahawk missiles, viewed by Putin as escalation, is uncertain due to past US bluffs and domestic supply concerns. 1957 SWEDEN

HEADLINE: Ceasefire Challenges, Border Conflicts, and Ukraine's Weapons Needs GUEST NAME: Colonel Jeff McCausland SUMMARY: Colonel Jeff McCausland reviews the Gaza ceasefire, noting the prisoner exchange and aid delivery, but stresses that disarming Hamas remains the key challenge. Released senior prisoners could regenerate leadership. He discusses the long-standing conflict between Pakistan and the Taliban/TTP, noting deep mistrust exacerbated by perceived Indian influence. Regarding Ukraine, the potential delivery of long-range Tomahawk missiles, viewed by Putin as escalation, is uncertain due to past US bluffs and domestic supply concerns. 1937 RAMALLAH QUAKER SCHOOL

HEADLINE: Global Turmoil: Turkey's War Aims, China's Coup, and Iran's Pivot GUEST NAME: Gregory Copley SUMMARY: Gregory Copley discusses the Gaza ceasefire's instability, noting Hamas, backed by Turkey, is reasserting control. He analyzes Turkey's neo-Ottomanist need to continue confrontation. Iran is seen as strategically weakened, potentially seeking a deal with Trump. The conversation pivots to China, detailing rumored internal turmoil, including a coup led by General Zhang Youxia, and linking China's rare earth export threats to Beijing's leadership struggles. 1920 TURKEY

HEADLINE: Global Turmoil: Turkey's War Aims, China's Coup, and Iran's Pivot GUEST NAME: Gregory Copley SUMMARY: Gregory Copley discusses the Gaza ceasefire's instability, noting Hamas, backed by Turkey, is reasserting control. He analyzes Turkey's neo-Ottomanist need to continue confrontation. Iran is seen as strategically weakened, potentially seeking a deal with Trump. The conversation pivots to China, detailing rumored internal turmoil, including a coup led by General Zhang Youxia, and linking China's rare earth export threats to Beijing's leadership struggles.

HEADLINE: Global Turmoil: Turkey's War Aims, China's Coup, and Iran's Pivot GUEST NAME: Gregory Copley SUMMARY: Gregory Copley discusses the Gaza ceasefire's instability, noting Hamas, backed by Turkey, is reasserting control. He analyzes Turkey's neo-Ottomanist need to continue confrontation. Iran is seen as strategically weakened, potentially seeking a deal with Trump. The conversation pivots to China, detailing rumored internal turmoil, including a coup led by General Zhang Youxia, and linking China's rare earth export threats to Beijing's leadership struggles.

PREVIEW HEADLINE: The Tories' Deep Troubles: Mismanagement and the Liz Truss Legacy GUEST NAME: Joseph Sternberg 50-WORD SUMMARY: John Batchelor discusses the deep troubles of the Tories with Joseph Sternberg, noting their slip to third place behind Labour and Reform UK. The party struggles to overcome 14 years of mismanagement. They face a "real pickle" trying to justify aggressive economic reform now, having previously ousted Liz Truss for promising similar changes. 1901 OLD HOUSE

PREVIEW HEADLINE: Hamas Executes Gazans During Ceasefire: Revenge and Intimidation GUEST NAME: David Daoud 50-WORD SUMMARY: David Daoud discusses reports of Hamas executing Gazans, noting the ragged nature of war endings. Hamas is using this ceasefire period for revenge against clans suspected of collaborating with Israelis. They are also acting to intimidate potential challengers and stake a claim to future control of Gaza, continuing the conflict against the Gazans themselves. 1950 WEST BANK

PREVIEW HEADLINE: Turkey's Erdogan : A Sponsor of Regional Turmoil GUEST NAME: Gregory Copley 50-WORD SUMMARY: Gregory Copley discusses President Erdogan's attendance at ceasefire deal signing, noting he is a primary sponsor of regional turmoil and a "neo-Ottomanist" seeking Ottoman revival. Erdogan, who reportedly demanded Netanyahu not appear, is determined to continue conflict so Israel cannot claim victory. The US is providing Turkey F-35s/F-16s, possibly encouraging Turkish expansionism against Greece and Cyprus.

PREVIEW: Houthis Are Inconsistent and Unreliable, Their Terms for Attacks Shift GUEST NAME: Bridget Toomey (Foundation for Defense of Democracies) 100-WORD SUMMARY: Bridget Toomey discusses the Houthis in Yemen, noting that they are "completely inconsistent and unreliable." While they currently state they will hold off on attacks if there is a ceasefire concerning Gaza and Hamas is content, their terms constantly shift. Their current demands involve ending the blockade on Gaza and allowing aid in. Toomey emphasizes that the Houthis might decide to attack Israel tomorrow based on a new impetus, despite any statements made today.

1. The Wild Turkey and the Bald Eagle: Symbolism and History AUTHOR: Stephen Moss BOOK TITLE: 10 Birds That Changed the World This excerpt introduces the book and discusses the Wild Turkey, noting its reestablishment in New England and its domestication in prehistory, originating from southern Mexico. It explores the non-logical naming of the turkey, likely confused with exotic trade items like the guinea fowl. The conversation shifts to the Bald Eagle, discussing its scavenging habits, Benjamin Franklin's potential joking preference for the turkey as the national bird, and the eagle's historical representation of power and sinister forces. 1949

      Roman Revisionism and the Crisis of the American Republic Gaius and Germanicus discuss the 21st-century revisionism of Rome, which they find entertaining, noting that it presents figures like Domitian as successful and Nero as misunderstood. They counter the revisionist view that the Roman Republic was vital by asserting that Rome was perpetually embroiled in civil war until the ultimate resolution by an emperor. This leads to the central question of whether the American Republic is in a late stage heading toward an emperor. They debate whether political strife signals societal vitality or decadence, noting that while conflict in U.S. history was sometimes resolved by figures like Franklin Delano Roosevelt or McKinley, the late Roman Republic required the intervention of "big men" like the triumvirates (Pompey and Caesar). The speakers suggest the current American political structure and unsustainable economic inequality may require a major adjustment, echoing the Roman path. They conclude by heading off to make a sacrifice to the great god Augustus. 1876 NERO AND TORCHES FOR CHRISTIANS

Monster Snakes Found in Homes Spur Urgent Safety Warnings GUEST NAME: Jeremy Zachis Snakes in Australia are increasing in quantity and size, with professional catchers noting they are getting bigger. A monsterized 5-foot Red-bellied Black Snake was found lying out in the open in a Queensland home. Due to the heightened threat and recent fatalities, Public Service Announcements (PSAs) are coming out thick and fast, urging people to stay still if they encounter a snake and seek immediate medical attention if bitten. 1905 MELBOURNE

Palisades Fire Aftermath and In-N-Out Expansion GUEST NAME: Jeff Bliss Jeff Bliss discusses the aftermath of the Palisades fire, noting that Adam Carolla, who lost his home, believes rebuilding is stalled by political forces seeking subsidized housing or natural restoration. An arrest was made in Florida for Jonathan Flendernik in connection with the fire. Video evidence suggests the LA Fire Department failed to fully extinguish the initial fire, which spread through root systems. In business news, the family-owned In-N-Out chain, known for high profits and employee treatment, is expanding with five new stores. The Boring Company's Prufrock tunneling machine is operating in Las Vegas. 1919

Italy's Rising Diplomatic Status Amid Economic Headwinds GUEST NAME: Lorenzo Fiori Lorenzo Fiori details Italy's enhanced diplomatic role, noting that Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has been invited to the Israel-Gaza peace agreement signing. Italian carabinieri are already training local police near the Rafah border. Meloni has friction with French President Macron over migration policy and Africa. Italy's production index has fallen below mid-2021 levels due to weak internal demand and the highest energy costs in Europe. Mr. Trump restored Columbus Day, and AC Milan owner Cardinale received honorary Italian citizenship. 1936 RAMALLAH

Space Updates: NASA Administrator, Reusable Rockets, and Satellite Cell Service GUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman Bob Zimmerman discusses the potential renomination of billionaire Jared Isaacman as NASA administrator, noting Isaacman's previous private manned space missions. He highlights Stoke Space raising nearly $1 billion to develop its fully reusable Nova rocket, potentially cheaper than SpaceX's offerings. AST SpaceMobile signed Verizon (adding to AT&T) to use its "Bluebirds" satellites for direct cell phone service, eliminating dead spots. SpaceX recently flew a Falcon booster for its 29th flight. Congressional cuts zeroed out 15 potential space missions

Space Updates: NASA Administrator, Reusable Rockets, and Satellite Cell Service GUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman Bob Zimmerman discusses the potential renomination of billionaire Jared Isaacman as NASA administrator, noting Isaacman's previous private manned space missions. He highlights Stoke Space raising nearly $1 billion to develop its fully reusable Nova rocket, potentially cheaper than SpaceX's offerings. AST SpaceMobile signed Verizon (adding to AT&T) to use its "Bluebirds" satellites for direct cell phone service, eliminating dead spots. SpaceX recently flew a Falcon booster for its 29th flight. Congressional cuts zeroed out 15 potential space missions

Deepseek's AI Claims, Huawei's Chip Ambitions, and US/China Tech Competition Chris Riegel analyzed the escalating tech competition between the US and China, focusing on Chinese AI firm Deepseek and noting its claims of superiority were potentially misleading due to non-transparency and reliance on Nvidia technology. He discussed Huawei's chip fabrication efforts and ambitions, concluding that US sanctions, particularly restricting ASML tools, keep China one to one and a half generations behind. The US scale advantage, exemplified by investments like Colossus, remains significant in the AI competition.

Judy Dempsey details the political deadlock in France, noting Macron's sixth prime minister in two years and crippling resistance to necessary reforms, which weakens the Franco-German partnership. She discusses the success of pro-EU forces in Moldova but stresses the need for continued support to combat corruption. Dempsey addresses the rise of populism in the Czech Republic. She also analyzes Angela Merkel's surprising claim that Poland and the Baltics partly fueled the Ukraine invasion and examines the urgency of the European drone defense meeting in Copenhagen. 1910 UNGA ALASKA

Jonathan Schanzer reports cautious optimism for the Gaza deal in Cairo, noting the main challenges include locating all hostages (alive and deceased) and Hamas's refusal to disarm. He discusses Turkey's wild card role, advocating for Hamas's survival. Iran, reeling from economic isolation and military impacts, has shown a surprising willingness to accept a ceasefire. Schanzer concludes that Saudi Arabia's MBS is primarily focused on achieving normalization with Israel to secure US security guarantees, potentially setting a precedent for other Muslim nations. 1910 VALDEZ AK