Podcasts about Credit crunch

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Credit crunch

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Best podcasts about Credit crunch

Latest podcast episodes about Credit crunch

FICC Focus
Crayhill's Mendez Speaks on Defensive ABL Appeal: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2025 60:45


Tariff-induced uncertainty has rapidly altered the cost of capital for companies across all sectors, with potential for wider spreads to persist. Carlos Mendez, Co-Founder and Managing Partner at Crayhill Capital Management, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch to dive into the firm's focus on commercial finance and renewable infrastructure asset-based lending, and the insulation its defensive approach provides. We discuss Crayhill's recently announced oversubscribed fund, market dislocations and private credit competition, along with technological adoption and tools for dealing with stress.

FICC Focus
Metacapital's Narula on Mortgage Market Shakiness: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2025 60:16


The mortgage market may be on the brink of major transformation amid freshly implemented tariffs, proposed deregulation and the potential privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In this episode of Credit Crunch, Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier are joined by Deepak Narula, founder and co-chief investment officer of Metacapital Management, to explore emerging opportunities in mortgage-backed securities (MBS). They discuss the negative convexity profile for the asset class, prepayment impacts, stagflation scenarios, utilizing machine learning models, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac going private and more.

FICC Focus
High Yield 2Q Investor Survey, Views Amid Tariffs: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 37:22


High yield had good first quarter gains with default rates low but cracks started developing in March even before Liberation day which led to a substantial rout with spreads selling off at record speeds. Will 2Q be a huge loss or will there be a turnaround and why? Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence's Global Head of Credit Strategy, discusses the results of the BI 2Q25 High Yield Investor Survey, along with the market outlook, with Per Wehrmann, Head of European high yield at DWS Investments GmBH. The podcast covers investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, default and supply forecasts and relative-value across asset class (high grade vs. junk), geography (Europe vs. US), ratings and sector.

FICC Focus
Orion's Lewnowski on Mining and Commodity Outlook: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2025 52:10


Copper and uranium may be well-positioned as economies seek to balance energy needs against social demands. Oskar Lewnowski, Founder and Group CEO of Orion Resource Partners, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Rob Barnett on the latest episode of the Credit Crunch podcast to discuss supply-demand dynamics across the commodity landscape, themes (including energy and technology) incentivizing new investment and the structural positioning of various minerals. They also explore funding the construction phase of new mines, investment horizons, the geopolitical climate and the alliance between environmental and mining interests.

FICC Focus
BlackRock's Rosenberg on Systematic Multi-Strat: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2025 71:06


Factor-driven, trend and pure alpha are among the sleeves within systematic investing that can fuel returns. Jeffrey Rosenberg, managing director and senior portfolio manager for BlackRock Systematic, has spent years identifying and mining such returns. He joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert on Credit Crunch to discuss the evolution of systematic investing, defensive alpha, the opportunity in high-dispersion markets, the evolving microstructure of credit and BlackRock's “glass box” approach. That and more in this latest episode. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

FICC Focus
New Mountain's Holson on Defensive Direct Lending: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 15, 2025 49:28


Direct lending remains a pillar of private credit, providing companies with new and flexible sources of financing in today's high interest-rate environment. Laura Holson, Chief Operating Officer of Credit and Managing Director at New Mountain Capital, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on Credit Crunch to discuss the firm's focus on “defensive growth” direct lending, and expansion into other areas of the private credit markets, including BDCs and CLOs. The conversation touches on collaboration within New Mountain, deal sourcing, the addressable market, direct lending risk premiums, secondary market viability, and more.

FICC Focus
Tariffs, Debt Brake, Fed and ECB Impact on Credit: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2025 42:43


Government bonds sold off in the past weeks, due to tariff news from the US and the debt brake being eased soon in Germany and this has increased the probabilities of rate cuts by central banks, including the Fed. Credit rallied through this mayhem and the big question is, will this strength continue? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, Global Head of Credit Strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Pierre Krief, Head of Credit at CDC (Caisse Des Depots ET Consignations) discuss tariffs and debt brake effect on inflation, growth and central bank policy, its impact on global credit and the challenges of taking a directional view after the big rates moves. They discuss rates, yields and credit spreads along with curve steepening, the dollar weakness and their impact on credit.

FICC Focus
Delos' Lefkovits on Private Credit, Default Trend: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2025 54:15


Hybrid capital solutions may aid small and medium enterprise companies confronting balance-sheet challenges amid persistently high borrowing costs. Ari Lefkovits, managing partner at Delos Capital, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's credit strategists Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of the Credit Crunch podcast to discuss trends in private credit markets, and Delos' advisory and principal investment approach. The conversation digs into the adoption of co-op agreements between lenders, transformations in the default process, hybrid capital benefits as well as inflation and tariff impacts. 

FICC Focus
Catastrophe Bonds & Extreme Events With Man AHL: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 18, 2025 61:16


Catastrophe bonds offer issuers additional capacity for underwriting risk, while providing investors with a stream of uncorrelated returns. Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier are joined by Tarek Abou Zeid and Andre Rzym, partners and portfolio managers at Man AHL to discuss the growth and adoption of cat bonds. The discussion gets into real-world examples, from Hurricanes Andrew and Milton, to the 2006 FIFA World Cup. They also talk about primary vs. secondary markets, payout structures, cybersecurity and terrorism, target investors and much more.

Selling In The Motor Trade
Close the Loops

Selling In The Motor Trade

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 13, 2025 57:04


We are delighted to welcome Phil Williams – CEO of Direct Affinity CX. Phil has 37 years' experience being a supplier in the motor trade.  He started his career in subprime finance before starting Direct Affinity after the credit crunch in 2008.   Phil is passionate about great customer experiences.  One important element in building a good customer experience, is the culture in your business.  Another is to close the loops. One way of doing that in sales is to examine your lost sales process. On average 33% of these enquiries are still in the market to buy and 50% of those are happy to come back into your dealership. These are opportunities not to be ignored. Here are the highlights: {05:49} Credit Crunch {10:24} What makes a great business {15:49} Moments of truth {30.03} Lost sales {36:15} Close the loop in aftersales {44:50} Predictive CSI {47:43} Keeping staff motivated About Symco Training: Symco Training was founded in 2000 by Simon Bowkett and it was his belief that the business had to offer its clients something different. That difference was clear to Simon from his days in the dealership when he experienced many sales trainers who had all the answers, but were unable, unwilling or both to actually show the delegate how they could be implemented. It remains the ethos of the business today. You see, Symco only employ trainers that are committed to delivering not only in spiring and insightful training, but are equally as happy to demonstrate these skills and techniques with real customers in your own showroom. We believe in order for sales training to be effective and in Simon's words ‘real world', it needs to be tried and tested in the only place it matters the showroom floor. There is no room for theory when your goals are for your team to sell more cars, hours or parts and retain more profit. In dealerships around the world the focus applied by many of the sales executives is to try and sell a deal. Symco specialise in getting your teams to focus on selling themselves, the product and then supporting this with the deal. To find out more visit: www.symcotraining.co.uk

FICC Focus
High Yield 1Q Investor Survey, Europe vs. US Views: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 7, 2025 33:40


High yield credit had a strong 2024 as yields rallied and spreads followed, while defaults didn't blow up as feared. In Europe, the index default rate stands at a low 2.5% and the US at 1.1%, while the share of stressed and distressed bonds drastically came down. Will 1Q sustain those gains, and why? Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence's chief European credit strategist, discusses the results of the team's 1Q25 High Yield Survey, along with the market outlook, with Marco Salcoacci, senior high yield fund manager at Union Investments. The report covers investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, default and supply forecasts and relative-value opinions by geography, rating and sector. They assess how deeply high yield prospects differ between Europe and the US.

FICC Focus
Arini's Lemssouguer on Dislocated European Credit: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 27, 2025 57:47


European credit markets have gone through a significant shift in market dynamics over the past five years, as low-interest-rate debt is coming due and traditional sources of financing retreat. Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier are joined by Arini Capital Management CIO and Founder Hamza Lemssouguer on this episode of Credit Crunch to discuss how Arini is capitalizing on structural inefficiencies in high yield credit markets. The conversation gets into the founding of the firm and their approach to running a long/short book before touching on the extension into CLOs, dispersion despite tight spreads and the impact of shifting costs of capital. The Credit Crunch podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series. Listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

FICC Focus
Benefit Street's Byrne on Multifamily CRE Appeal: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 21, 2025 61:01


As others head for the exit from the commercial real estate (CRE) sector, Benefit Street Partners President Richard Byrne views this as the perfect time to fill the funding void that could arise. Byrne joins hosts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier of Bloomberg Intelligence on Credit Crunch to discuss the budding opportunity in CRE as a result of higher interest rates. The discussion gets into CRE debt vs equity, an impending CRE maturity wall, the multifamily sweet spot, relative value within direct lending and much more. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast.

FICC Focus
Leveraged Loan, CLO Outlook 2025, US vs. Europe: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 15, 2025 47:44


CLOs are driving loan supply and in this Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief European Credit Strategist and Desmond English, Head of European Leveraged Loans at Amundi, reflect on how both the US and European leveraged loan markets fared last year and the outlook for loans in 2025. They discuss BI's leveraged loan outlook publication covering loan pricing, returns, supply and relative value vs. high yield bonds as well as loan growth relative to the bond market and private credit in detail and also address the outlook for CLO issuance, reinvestment risks and arbitrage evolution and implications for 2025.

FICC Focus
PineBridge's Oh on Favorable Credit Environment: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 10, 2025 63:08


Incoming pro-growth policy, while inflationary in nature, could result in a strong credit environment in the eyes of PineBridge Investments' Global Head of Credit, Steven Oh. Oh joins Bloomberg Intelligence corporate credit strategists Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch to walk through various macroeconomic pathways. The conversation touches on central-bank policy expectations and the geopolitical climate, before diving into portfolio composition, sector exposures and the current default landscape.

BE THAT LAWYER
Simon McCrum: Turning Service into Strategy: Business Development That Changes Lives

BE THAT LAWYER

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 6, 2025 31:37


In this episode, Steve Fretzin and Simon McCrum discuss:Effective business development in law firmsEnhancing client loyalty through serviceStanding out with unique differentiatorsBuilding trust and collaboration internally Key Takeaways:Authenticity and trust, rather than sheer volume of connections, are the cornerstone of effective business development, as demonstrated by prioritizing fewer, deeper introducer relationships.A well-defined "service promise," crowd-designed and rigorously delivered, creates a memorable client experience that sets a firm apart from its competitors.Revisiting underutilized existing client relationships can unlock significant growth by exploring untapped legal service opportunities and addressing overlooked needs.Implementing transparent client feedback systems, like real-time service ratings published publicly, builds credibility, accountability, and fosters long-term client trust and satisfaction. "Business development isn't goodwill development; it has to be about money and profit." —  Simon McCrum Got a challenge growing your law practice? Email me at steve@fretzin.com with your toughest question, and I'll answer it live on the show—anonymously, just using your first name! Thank you to our Sponsors!Rankings.io: https://rankings.io/Rainmakers Roundtable: https://www.fretzin.com/lawyer-coaching-and-training/peer-advisory-groups/ About Simon McCrum: Simon McCrum, a Management Consultant, helps law firms strengthen and grow their businesses. A solicitor and former Equity Partner and Managing Partner, he has decades of leadership in law firms and legal teams. Qualifying as a lawyer in 1990, Simon moved from fee-earner to roles like Marketing Partner, Director of Business Development, and part of the Management Team at a £50m turnover UK law firm. In 2007, as Managing Partner of a Top 200 UK law firm with a £6m turnover, he led the firm from a trading loss during the Credit Crunch to its most successful year in 2010, becoming the UK's fastest-growing law firm. After the firm's 2016 acquisition, Simon launched McCrum Consulting to boost law firm performance and growth. He developed "The Perfect Legal Business" model, which inspired his bestselling book, The Perfect Legal Business, followed by The Perfect Lawyer. His upcoming book, The Perfect Partner, completes the trilogy. Connect with Simon McCrum:  Website: https://www.mccrum.legal/Email: simon@mccrumandco.comLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/simonmccrum/ Connect with Steve Fretzin:LinkedIn: Steve FretzinTwitter: @stevefretzinInstagram: @fretzinsteveFacebook: Fretzin, Inc.Website: Fretzin.comEmail: Steve@Fretzin.comBook: Legal Business Development Isn't Rocket Science and more!YouTube: Steve FretzinCall Steve directly at 847-602-6911  Audio production by Turnkey Podcast Productions. You're the expert. Your podcast will prove it. 

FICC Focus
Diamond Hill's Song on Credit Outlook, Landscape: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 27, 2024 61:52


The short end of the curve may be better positioned than longer-dated bonds as the interest rates are likely to stay high for longer, with president-elect Donald Trump's policies potentially amplifying the challenges of bringing inflation to the 2% target, says Henry Song, portfolio manager for Diamond Hill Capital Management. On the latest episode of Credit Crunch, Song and Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier discuss real positive yields, favorable carry for shorter-dated credit across corporates and securitized products as well as housing-related credit, thinking through portfolio construction and technology in trading. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

FICC Focus
Middle-Market Lending With Marathon's Lueker: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 23, 2024 59:11


A resilient macroeconomic environment, along with rising M&A activity, have the direct-lending space primed for additional growth in the coming years. Curt Lueker, managing director and head of direct lending at Marathon Asset Management, joins Noel Hebert and Sam Geier of Bloomberg Intelligence on this episode of Credit Crunch to discuss how the firm is capitalizing on its expertise in the core middle-market sector. The conversation dives into the firm's recent partnership with Webster Bank, the investment committee process, secondary markets, central bank policy and much more.

FICC Focus
KKR's Pietrzak on Private Credit Scale, Value: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2024 61:48


Private credit has expanded toward $2 trillion for direct lending and related markets, with another $5 trillion in asset-based finance, making for ample lender opportunities in the view of Daniel Pietrzak, KKR partner and global head of private credit. Pietrzak rejoined Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert on the latest episode of Credit Crunch to talk about the market's growth, the current risk climate and how the incoming presidential administration may influence the market opportunity. They also examine the recent growth in investment grade private credit, the risk transfer market and prospects for an active secondary.

FICC Focus
2025 High Grade and High Yield Outlook, US vs. EU: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2024 69:21


With credit markets enjoying a strong 2024 and with many uncertainties, charting the course for 2025 is a challenge. Will US trade policies slow Fed cuts and will ECB easing stay the course as priced, and what will this mean for credit? Will stubborn US yields filter into Europe? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, chief European credit strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Marc Rovers, Head of European Credit at Legal & General Investment Management, discuss the state of credit and the 2025 outlook for US and Europe. They tackle relative value across credit on both sides of the Atlantic; high yield and high grade; fund flows and supply; defaults and ratings; fundamental and curve views. They also detail the risks across the US, UK and Europe, including German and French politics.

FICC Focus
NAV Lending Prospects With Crestline's Philipp: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 26, 2024 67:21


A slower exit environment for limited partners on the back of elevated rates and inflation has helped drive tremendous growth for the world of NAV lending over the past couple of years. David Philipp, partner in the Fund Liquidity Solutions Group at Crestline Investors, walks through the journey of the asset class with Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch. The conversation gets into the evolution of the investor, public-market accessibility, synergies with adjacent Crestline strategies, LP concerns and much more.

FICC Focus
Navigating CLO Equity With Eagle Point's Majewski: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 22, 2024 66:34


A collateralized loan obligation's (CLO) reinvestment period is among the keys to the success for the asset class in the view of Eagle Point's Founder and Managing Partner Tom Majewski. He joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this edition of Credit Crunch to walk through Eagle Points focus on the higher-risk tranches of a CLO structure, with an emphasis on equity. The discussion touches on holder concentration, the growth in covenant-lite loans, misconceptions around forced selling, synergies with private credit markets and much more.

FICC Focus
US vs. EU Credit Gaps On Election and Rate Cuts: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2024 55:52


With the US election having a clear result and credit markets enjoying a strong run this year, charting the course forward is a challenge. Will a Trump regime slow down Fed cuts and will the ECB continue on its previous easing course, and what will this mean for credit? Will stubborn US yields cause more divergence in credit until 1H25? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, chief European credit strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence and James Turner, Co-Head of EMEA fundamental fixed income at Blackrock, discuss the state of credit and gaps across the US and Europe. They tackle relative value across credit in different currencies; junk and high grade; fund flows and supply; defaults and ratings; fundamental and curve views. They also detail the impact of elections across the US, UK and Europe.

FICC Focus
400 Capital's Hentemann on Securitization Market: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2024 57:59


By engaging across multiple sectors of the structured product markets, 400 Capital Management has the flexibility to independently deal with the unique cycles and phases of the various asset classes. Founder and Managing Partner Chris Hentemann joins Noel Hebert and Sam Geier of Bloomberg Intelligence on this episode of Credit Crunch to talk through the process of navigating through those cycles. The conversation touches upon asset class allocations, the risk-transfer market, joint venture benefits, the attraction of commercial real estate, and more. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast.

FICC Focus
Antares' Mathew on Direct Lending's Advantages: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2024 41:09


With plenty of private equity dry powder and a growing supply-demand imbalance, direct lending is well positioned to grow, according to Antares Capital Director of Asset Management, Vivek Mathew. Vivek joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on another special edition of Credit Crunch, recorded at the Greenwich Economic Forum. They discuss the benefits of being under the wing of the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, the refinancing cycle, Antares' co-investment approach, secondary-market viability and more.

FICC Focus
Polen Capital on Its Multiasset Solutions Outlook: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2024 34:08


Polen Capital, with deep roots in the world of growth equity investing, has expanded into the opportunistic high yield bond market, leveraging its acquisition of DDJ Capital in 2021. Polen CEO, Stan Moss, and Head of Credit, Dave Breazzano, join Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this special edition of Credit Crunch, live from the Greenwich Economic Forum. The conversation dives into the firm's focus on growth, the benefits of a flexible high yield investment approach, leadership through uncertain times, the credit cycle and more.

FICC Focus
High Yield 4Q Investor Survey, Europe vs. US View: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2024 43:25


High yield credit had a strong year (to date), as yields rallied and spreads followed, while defaults didn't blow up as feared. In Europe, the index default rate stands at 2.7% and the US at 1.2% but the share of stressed and distressed bonds has come down. Will 4Q sustain those gains, and why? Listen to Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence's Chief European Credit Strategist, discuss the results of the 4Q High Yield Survey, along with market outlook, with Peter Khan, Global High Yield Portfolio Manger at Fidelity Investments. They discuss the BI 4Q investor survey report, which covers investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, default and supply forecasts and relative-value opinions by geography, rating and sector. They discuss deeply how high yield prospects differ between Europe and the US.

FICC Focus
BlackRock's Lynam Constructive on Credit Outlook: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2024 58:08


Private credit markets have seen tremendous growth over the past decade, establishing themselves as viable sources of funding for companies across the rating spectrum. That growth may not slow down anytime soon, according to Amanda Lynam, head of Macro Credit Research at BlackRock. Lynam joins Noel Hebert and Sam Geier of Bloomberg Intelligence on this episode of Credit Crunch to walk through trends in the corporate-credit space. The discussion hits on how corporate credit spreads could tighten, the ebbs and flows of financing mix, the default cycle, regional relative value and much more. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast.

Brown Ambition
Mandi's Credit Crunch Confession

Brown Ambition

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2024 53:24


Hey BA fam! This week, Tiffany tells Mandi all about her epic speech at the Women Evolve conference in front of 38,000 women of color from across the US. From the pressures of public speaking to the importance of community support, the conversation emphasizes having faith in your own ability and plowing ahead through the things that intimidate us. Plus, a discussion on how the current housing crisis is impacting Mandi as well as tens of millions of Americans. The ladies share their experiences and call for systemic change -- and why voter registration can help make a difference.Mentioned on the episode:Housing shortage: https://www.npr.org/2024/04/23/1246623204/housing-experts-say-there-just-arent-enough-homes-in-the-u-sStacey Abram's podcast "The Rent is Too Damn High": https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-rent-is-too-damn-high-but-renters-are-even-more-powerful/id1760004996?i=1000670021324 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoicesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

FICC Focus
FS Investments' Beckman on Opportunistic Credit: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 27, 2024 51:52


The corporate credit landscape could face uncertain times ahead, with upcoming elections, policy shifts and global conflicts. Andrew Beckman, Head of Global Credit at FS Investments, joins Credit Crunch's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier to discuss the firm's approach to investing across public and private markets. The conversation delves into current risk-reward levels, the credit-quality sweet spot, leveraging the broader FS infrastructure, creditor-on-creditor violence and more. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast.

FICC Focus
Are Spreads Pricing Fed, ECB Cuts for Perfection?: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2024 62:53


Credit markets have had a strong year, a few blips notwithstanding. After the ECB cut rates twice, the BOE once and with the Fed about to embark on a long cutting cycle, are credit spreads too tight and priced for perfection? Is the rally in yields justified on expected rate cuts until 1H25? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, chief European credit strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence and Jamie Irvine, investment director at abdrn, discuss the state of credit across the US, UK, and Europe. They tackle relative value across credit in different currencies; junk and high grade; fund flows and supply; defaults and ratings; and fundamental views. They also address the sterling credit market, and the impact of elections across the US, UK and Europe.

The Automotive Troublemaker w/ Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier
Ally Faces Credit Crunch, GM Employees On The EV Train, The EV Slowdown Myth

The Automotive Troublemaker w/ Paul J Daly and Kyle Mountsier

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2024 16:51


Shoot us a Text.Today, we pause and reflect on the events of 9/11/2001. No crisis can win.It's Wednesday and DG is back for round two. We're talking about how Ally Financial is dealing with consumer credit challenges, how GM is drawing a line in the sand for its salaried employees and busting the EV slowdown myth.Show Notes with links:Ally Financial is grappling with growing credit challenges as high inflation impacts borrowers, resulting in increased delinquencies. Shares plummeted 17.62% on Sept. 10, signaling the pressure the lender facesDelinquencies in Ally's retail auto sector increased by 20 basis points in July and August compared to Ally's expectations, and net charge-offs (unrecoverable debts) increased by 10 basis points during the same period.Borrowers are also cutting back on loans amidst high interest rates.Ally has sold its lending business to Synchrony Financial to address its credit issue.CFO Russell Hutchinson specifically mentioned that the number of borrowers in the 61+ day delinquency category has become a point of concern, with more underperformance expected in this bucketGeneral Motors is intensifying its push toward an all-electric future, making it clear that salaried employees must align with its EV vision or move on. A series of organizational changes this year underscores GM's dedication to selling only electric vehicles by 2035.GM is downsizing its global headquarters to streamline operations and create cost efficiencies.As we covered early this year, the automaker revised how it evaluates employee performance, with a stronger focus on productivity and innovation.New bonus metrics now align more closely with the company's EV goals, emphasizing those who contribute to the transition.Remote work privileges have been reduced for some employees to promote better in-office collaboration and push productivity.The goal is to become more agile and tech-focused, modeled after top-performing companies in the technology sector.Despite misleading headlines claiming otherwise, EV sales continue to rise globally, though growth percentages have naturally slowed as the market expands. Media reports about an EV sales “slump” overlook key data points.Misinformation has led some to believe EV sales are dropping, but the reality shows the opposite: gas-powered car sales are actually declining.Despite declines from major automakers like GM, VW, and Tesla, overall EV sales in the U.S. still increased by 7% in Q1, reflecting continued growth in the market.EV sales growth rates have slowed as expected but remain positive globally, rising about 10% in advanced economies,From the Electrek article, “Each journalist who has spent the last year perpetuating the myth of an EV sales slowdown could have read any one of our articles, or googled a single number showing year-over-year EV sales in any region or for most countries and most brands, and found that they are still goinHosts: Paul J Daly and Kyle MountsierGet the Daily Push Back email at https://www.asotu.com/ JOIN the conversation on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/asotu/ Read our most recent email at: https://www.asotu.com/media/push-back-email

FICC Focus
Rethinking Macro Credit Patterns via BI STRTE: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2024 45:08


Macro credit trends tend to be based on more of a feel than precise numbers. In this latest episode of the Credit Crunch podcast, Mahesh Bhimalingam, Chief European Credit Strategist and Heema Patel, Senior Credit Strategy Associate at Bloomberg Intelligence, delve into proprietary research and data on BI STRTE to make macro credit very precise. Explore their novel spread-prediction model with market and macroeconomic drivers, insights on index metrics -- default rates, rating quality/drift and credit ratios. They also discuss if green bonds are trading at a premium or discount, a methodology contrasting with the conventional greenium calculations. Lastly, they address the main derivative play in credit, the cash-CDS basis and gain perspective on current market patterns and uncover alpha-generating opportunities.

FICC Focus
SLR Cofounders on Specialty Financing Advantages: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2024 56:44


SLR Capital Partners has built expertise in corporate lending, asset-based financing, life-science credits and other segments over nearly two decades. The firm's cofounders Michael Gross and Bruce Spohler join Bloomberg Intelligence credit analysts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier to talk about how the firm thinks about underwriting risk across borrowers and the types of investment vehicles they've built out. The conversation hits on their principal investment approach, how they deal with problematic loans, the current regulatory environment and more.

FICC Focus
Systematic Credit Growth Seen by Insight's Benson: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2024 65:53


Increased electronification and the growing prevalence of portfolio trading are creating opportunities for systematic credit, which seeks to harness the explosion of data to create models and strategies, says Paul Benson, head of systematic fixed income at Insight Investment. Benson joins BI credit strategists Noel Hebert and Sam Geier to discuss the history of the systematic approach, model dependency, excess liquidity premiums and identifying relative value. That and more in this latest episode of Credit Crunch. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

FICC Focus
Shorecliff's Nachman on Launching, Running a Fund: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2024 63:06


Shorecliff Asset Management's Grant Nachman talks about the intellectually-enriching challenges of launching a new firm in this episode of Bloomberg Intelligence's Credit Crunch podcast. Grant joins BI's chief US credit strategist Noel Hebert and his colleague Sam Geier to discuss Shorecliff's full-cycle credit-investing strategy, the benefits of having a lean team, a bottom-up due-diligence process, the ideal size for the strategy and more.

FICC Focus
High Yield 3Q Investor Survey, View Ahead of Cuts: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2024 66:24


High yield corporate credit had a strong 1H, despite rates volatility, as spreads rallied and defaults stayed low. In Europe, the index default rate stands at 0.85% and the share of stressed and distressed bonds has come down, while it's higher in the US. Will 3Q sustain those gains, and why? Listen to Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence's Chief European Credit Strategist, discuss the results of the 3Q High Yield Survey, along with market outlook, with Peter Aspbury, Head of European High Yield and PM at JP Morgan Asset Management. They discuss the BI 3Q investor survey report, which covers investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, default and supply forecasts and relative-value opinions by geography, rating and sector. They also discuss how high grade and leveraged loan prospects compare with junk.

FICC Focus
Pretium's Ouderkirk on Accessing the CLO Market

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2024 52:16


Diversification, lower default rates and elevated yields are just a few of the features of today's collateralized loan obligation (CLO) landscape, says Senior Managing Director and Head of Structured Credit at Pretium Jerry Ouderkirk. He joins Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch to discuss the asset class' current state and its evolution over nearly two decades. The dialog touches on what backdrops drive primary vs. secondary market allocations, default expectations, loan and CLO dynamics, among other topics.

FICC Focus
Can Start of Rate Cuts Keep Credit Spreads Tight?: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2024 38:24


Credit markets had a strong nine months of rally, particularly in spreads, although there were yield blips. As the environment changes with rate cuts, led by the ECB, are credit spreads too tight, despite low defaults? Is the rally justified on expected rate cuts for the rest of 2024? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, Chief European Credit Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Axel Potthof, Head of High Yield at Fisch Asset Management, discuss the state of credit after the first ECB cut and the long rally. They discuss relative value across junk, high grade and loans, fund flows, defaults, rate cuts and yield-curve views in detail. They also address CLOs and their support for loans, while on private credit, they ask if it is taking anything away from public markets.

Disruptive Forces in Investing
Consumer Dynamics Amid the Credit Crunch

Disruptive Forces in Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2024 22:53


M&A financing continues to translate into supply opportunities in the investment grade market. With companies like Home Depot and Johnson & Johnson recently announcing multi-billion-dollar acquisition deals, we believe there is a $100 billion pipeline of announced deals over the course of 2024. However, the consumer retail space has simultaneously begun to slow down. With tight spreads and an election year underway, how has the consumer retail space been impacted by current economic conditions? How are companies responding and planning to grow in this economic environment? What are some motivators and considerations for corporations in the M&A space? On this episode of Disruptive Forces, host Anu Rajakumar invites Kristin Cejda, Senior Research Analyst and Co-Director of Investment Grade Credit Research, to discuss key topics in the state of the investment grade credit space, unravel the dynamics of consumer behavior, and shed light on the strategic shifts companies are making to navigate the current credit landscape.   This communication is provided for informational and educational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Information is obtained from sources deemed reliable, but there is no representation or warranty as to its accuracy, completeness or reliability. This communication is not directed at any investor or category of investors and should not be regarded as investment advice or a suggestion to engage in or refrain from any investment-related course of action. Neuberger Berman is not providing this material in a fiduciary capacity and has a financial interest in the sale of its products and services. Investment decisions should be made based on an investor's individual objectives and circumstances and in consultation with his or her advisors. All information is current as of the date of this material and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Neuberger Berman products and services may not be available in all jurisdictions or to all client types. This material is not intended as a formal research report and should not be relied upon as a basis for making an investment decision. The firm, its employees and advisory accounts may hold positions of any companies discussed. This material may include estimates, outlooks, projections and other “forward-looking statements.” Due to a variety of factors, actual events or market behavior may differ significantly from any views expressed. Investing entails risks, including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  This material is being issued on a limited basis through various global subsidiaries and affiliates of Neuberger Berman Group LLC. Please visit www.nb.com/disclosure-global-communications for the specific entities and jurisdictional limitations and restrictions.  The “Neuberger Berman” name and logo are registered service marks of Neuberger Berman Group LLC.  © 2024 Neuberger Berman Group LLC. All rights reserved.

FICC Focus
17Capital's de Selancy on NAV Lending Expansion: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later May 24, 2024 58:35


NAV finance has been at the forefront of innovation in private credit markets, seeing tremendous growth since the start of the pandemic, when private equity funds began turning to alternative sources of funding. Pierre-Antoine de Selancy, co-founder and managing partner at 17Capital, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on Credit Crunch to walk through how he's seen the evolution of the space. The conversation touches on the importance of fund-manager track records, use of proceeds, 17Capital's partnership with Oaktree, and a variety of other topics. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

FICC Focus
High Yield 2Q Investor Survey, Loan vs. Bond View: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2024 67:33


High yield had a great 4Q rally in rates and spreads, which filtered into 1Q gains as defaults stayed low. In Europe, the index default rate stands at 0.95% and the proportion of stressed and distressed bonds has come down, while it's higher in the US. Will 2Q sustain the gains, and why? Listen to Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence's Chief European Credit Strategist, discuss the results of the 2Q24 High Yield Survey with Fiona Hagdrup, Head of Leveraged Finance Funds and PM at M&G Investments, along with market outlook and trends in a Q&A format. They discuss our 2Q investor survey publication, covering investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, default and supply forecasts and relative-value opinions by geography, rating and sector in detail. They also discuss how leveraged loan prospects compare with junk.

Tell me it's Friday
Credit Crunch: How AI is Revolutionizing Loan Approvals

Tell me it's Friday

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2024 34:59


We're diving deep into the world of loan approvals. Join us on this week's episode of Tell me it's Friday as we explore how artificial intelligence is reshaping the traditional credit decisioning process, making it faster, fairer, and more efficient for credit unions and their members.

FICC Focus
Special Situations Landscape With Polus' Dafforn: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2024 60:14


Slowing growth and elevated interest rates are opening the door to fresh opportunities in the special situations world, as companies face growing “time under tension.” Rob Dafforn, chief investment officer of opportunistic credit at Polus Capital Management, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch, part of the FICC Focus podcast. Dafforn dives into the three main investment targets — cyclical losers, secular losers and frauds — along with creditor-on-creditor violence, the management process for a long-short portfolio and much more.

FICC Focus
Rate-Cut Delays Wounded Credit - How Much Longer?: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2024 51:22


Credit markets sold off in the past month, across the board, on rate-cut delays being priced in globally, led by the Fed. It takes us to an interesting juncture where we ask if this has longer to go or is largely done, and how it affects various asset classes in its aftermath. In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, Chief European Credit Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Raphael Thuin, Head of Capital Markets Strategies at Tikehau Capital, discuss the global situation's effect on inflation and central bank policy, its impact on global credit and the challenges of taking a directional view after the selloff. They discuss rates, yields and credit spreads along with curve flattening, the euro weakness and their impact on credit.

FICC Focus
Yieldstreet's CIO on Opening Up Alternatives: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 19, 2024 48:40


Alternative investments have historically been available only to institutions and ultrahigh-net-worth individuals, but that may be changing. Yieldstreet Chief Investment Officer Ted Yarbrough says democratizing access to alternatives is the company's mission. He joined Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier to talk about sourcing deals, leveraging technology and the importance of education when combining illiquid investments with retail clients. Yarbrough also spoke to the disruptive potential of Yieldstreet's digital-only platform and his long-term outlook for the business. That and more on this episode of Credit Crunch, part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

FICC Focus
Arena's Zwirn on Flexibilty in Special Situations: Credit Crunch

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2024 58:57


Complexity and illiquidity are desirable features for Dan Zwirn, CEO, CIO and Co-Founder of Arena Investors. Zwirn talks about the benefits of the special situations strategy, his concern about concurrent asset bubbles, and how partnering with others can benefit the investment process. That and much more as he joins hosts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier, each of Bloomberg Intelligence, on this episode of Credit Crunch, part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

The Auto Authorities Podcast
Credit Crunch: Auto Lending Gets Tighter

The Auto Authorities Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 20, 2024 17:27


The iron grip of the credit giants tightens around you as Jay and Gerald delve into the dark days ahead for auto financing. Once easy money that flowed as freely as water now slows to a trickle as lenders ratchet up qualifications to a level not seen since the Great Recession. "Pristine credit and money down" are the stern warnings from on high that ring in your ears. The good old days of easy auto loans are dead and gone as the credit crunch descends with a vengeance, leaving potential buyers struggling mightily to stay afloat in stormy seas of stringently approved auto financing. Will that long-desired car remain out of reach? Tune in to hear the cold hard facts on batten-down-the-hatches lending practices in a credit crunch era.

The Compound Show with Downtown Josh Brown
The Credit Crunch Is Just Beginning

The Compound Show with Downtown Josh Brown

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2023 64:42


On this special episode of TCAF Tuesday, Michael Batnick, Barry Ritholtz, and Downtown Josh Brown are joined by Campbell Harvey to discuss: the state of the economy, the yield curve indicator, the next recession, and much more! This episode is sponsored by LifeX. Learn more at: lifexfunds.com. Check out the latest in financial blogger fashion at The Compound shop: https://www.idontshop.com Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. Wealthcast Media, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The John Batchelor Show
#SmallBusinessAmerica: Credit crunching. @GeneMarks @Guardian @PhillyInquirer

The John Batchelor Show

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2023 7:44


#SmallBusinessAmerica: Credit crunching.  @GeneMarks  @Guardian @PhillyInquirer https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231025984720/en/New-Survey-of-Small-Business-Owners-Shows-a-Credit-Crunch-is-Hindering-Growth 1940 BOLOGNA