Podcasts about Credit crunch

“We are sourcing, identifying misunderstood, high-quality middle-market companies where we have a real edge...,” said Sandor Hau, Managing Director & President, Credit, at Charlesbank, who oversees the company's opportunistic credit investment team. Hau joined Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert on the latest episode of the Credit Crunch podcast to discuss cutting teeth on the ground in the Asian financial crisis, missing out on the dot.com boom, a private equity approach to credit investing and tradeoffs between primary- and secondary-market investments. He also spoke about valuing heritage, leveraging learnings across the firm and portfolio companies and much more. The Credit Crunch podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.

Credit globally recovered to nearly where it was as trade tensions eased, with various trade deals or tariff pauses while rate cuts are priced for central banks, especially the ECB and BOE but not the Fed. The big question is how to play credit after this recovery. In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, Mahesh Bhimalingam, Global Head of Credit Strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Craig Scordellis, CIO of Credit at CQS UK, discuss how alternative credit and leveraged finance offer opportunities after the spread rally. They discuss tariffs, their effect on global inflation and currencies, central bank policy and outlook, state of credit fundamentals and default views for the next year across Europe and the US.

“I'm an entrepreneur, I'm a capitalist. I love growth, I love to back entrepreneurs,” said Ted Koenig, founder, chairman and CEO of Monroe Capital, on how he sees the firm's expansion to over $20 billion in assets under management from its founding in 2004. Koenig joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch podcast to discuss the company's founding, attracting capital, identifying partners for growth and the market landscape. The three talk about diversification and CLOs, how big is too big and giving back to the community.

Market uncertainty can create its own opportunity, and when it comes to investing, “rules are meant to be broken in terms of finding attractive situations.” That's according to Jeffrey Kivitz, chief investment officer for Canyon Capital Advisors, who joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch to discuss the firm's approach to distressed and opportunistic credit. We talk about pricing risk amid uncertainty, solving for borrower needs, why the ingredients may be in place to see and more traditional, elongated credit cycle, and much more.  The Credit Crunch podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.

Interview recorded - 22nd of May, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I have the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Pento. Michael is the President & Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies.During our conversation we spoke about Michael's thoughts on the economy, tariff negotiations, inflation, Doge, bond market issues, growth of debt issues, what would turn Michael bullish and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:15 - Overview of the economy4:20 - Tariff negotiations6:41 - Inflation9:25 - Doge shift10:36 - Bond market issues15:41 - Volatility trading19:49 - Grow out of debt issue24:45 - Rotating in commodities/agriculture?26:16 - What would turn bullish?30:01 - One message to takeaway?Michael Pento serves as the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS). PPS is a Registered Investment Advisory Firm (RIA) that operates like an actively managed fund without all the expenses. The Model Portfolio uses a proprietary macroeconomic model to determine when and how to invest across an inflation/deflation and economic cycle spectrum. The 20-component model is used to determine the two most important factors when it comes to successful investing: the second derivatives of growth and inflation.Michael Pento - Website - https://pentoport.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/michaelpento?lang=enLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-pento-a1882917b/WTFinance Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseasThumbnail image from - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/article-next-up-for-markets-a-crisis-of-confidence-in-the-us-dollar/

Credit recovered from the tariff rout with trade war easing with many deals across US, China and UK while the new government takes shape in Germany and rate cuts priced for central banks - especially the ECB and BOE - adding momentum. The big question is whether this strength will continue? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, Mahesh Bhimalingam, Global Head of Credit Strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Amir Fergani, Head of Credit LDI at Generali Asset Management, discuss tariffs, fiscal policies German and French politics and their effect on inflation, growth and central bank policy, the dollar weakness and its impact on global credit and the challenges of taking a directional view after big rates moves.

Tariff-induced uncertainty has rapidly altered the cost of capital for companies across all sectors, with potential for wider spreads to persist. Carlos Mendez, Co-Founder and Managing Partner at Crayhill Capital Management, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch to dive into the firm's focus on commercial finance and renewable infrastructure asset-based lending, and the insulation its defensive approach provides. We discuss Crayhill's recently announced oversubscribed fund, market dislocations and private credit competition, along with technological adoption and tools for dealing with stress.

The mortgage market may be on the brink of major transformation amid freshly implemented tariffs, proposed deregulation and the potential privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In this episode of Credit Crunch, Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier are joined by Deepak Narula, founder and co-chief investment officer of Metacapital Management, to explore emerging opportunities in mortgage-backed securities (MBS). They discuss the negative convexity profile for the asset class, prepayment impacts, stagflation scenarios, utilizing machine learning models, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac going private and more.

High yield had good first quarter gains with default rates low but cracks started developing in March even before Liberation day which led to a substantial rout with spreads selling off at record speeds. Will 2Q be a huge loss or will there be a turnaround and why? Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence's Global Head of Credit Strategy, discusses the results of the BI 2Q25 High Yield Investor Survey, along with the market outlook, with Per Wehrmann, Head of European high yield at DWS Investments GmBH. The podcast covers investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, default and supply forecasts and relative-value across asset class (high grade vs. junk), geography (Europe vs. US), ratings and sector.

Copper and uranium may be well-positioned as economies seek to balance energy needs against social demands. Oskar Lewnowski, Founder and Group CEO of Orion Resource Partners, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Rob Barnett on the latest episode of the Credit Crunch podcast to discuss supply-demand dynamics across the commodity landscape, themes (including energy and technology) incentivizing new investment and the structural positioning of various minerals. They also explore funding the construction phase of new mines, investment horizons, the geopolitical climate and the alliance between environmental and mining interests.

Factor-driven, trend and pure alpha are among the sleeves within systematic investing that can fuel returns. Jeffrey Rosenberg, managing director and senior portfolio manager for BlackRock Systematic, has spent years identifying and mining such returns. He joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert on Credit Crunch to discuss the evolution of systematic investing, defensive alpha, the opportunity in high-dispersion markets, the evolving microstructure of credit and BlackRock's “glass box” approach. That and more in this latest episode. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

Direct lending remains a pillar of private credit, providing companies with new and flexible sources of financing in today's high interest-rate environment. Laura Holson, Chief Operating Officer of Credit and Managing Director at New Mountain Capital, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on Credit Crunch to discuss the firm's focus on “defensive growth” direct lending, and expansion into other areas of the private credit markets, including BDCs and CLOs. The conversation touches on collaboration within New Mountain, deal sourcing, the addressable market, direct lending risk premiums, secondary market viability, and more.

Government bonds sold off in the past weeks, due to tariff news from the US and the debt brake being eased soon in Germany and this has increased the probabilities of rate cuts by central banks, including the Fed. Credit rallied through this mayhem and the big question is, will this strength continue? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, Global Head of Credit Strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Pierre Krief, Head of Credit at CDC (Caisse Des Depots ET Consignations) discuss tariffs and debt brake effect on inflation, growth and central bank policy, its impact on global credit and the challenges of taking a directional view after the big rates moves. They discuss rates, yields and credit spreads along with curve steepening, the dollar weakness and their impact on credit.

Hybrid capital solutions may aid small and medium enterprise companies confronting balance-sheet challenges amid persistently high borrowing costs. Ari Lefkovits, managing partner at Delos Capital, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's credit strategists Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of the Credit Crunch podcast to discuss trends in private credit markets, and Delos' advisory and principal investment approach. The conversation digs into the adoption of co-op agreements between lenders, transformations in the default process, hybrid capital benefits as well as inflation and tariff impacts. 

Catastrophe bonds offer issuers additional capacity for underwriting risk, while providing investors with a stream of uncorrelated returns. Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier are joined by Tarek Abou Zeid and Andre Rzym, partners and portfolio managers at Man AHL to discuss the growth and adoption of cat bonds. The discussion gets into real-world examples, from Hurricanes Andrew and Milton, to the 2006 FIFA World Cup. They also talk about primary vs. secondary markets, payout structures, cybersecurity and terrorism, target investors and much more.

We are delighted to welcome Phil Williams – CEO of Direct Affinity CX. Phil has 37 years' experience being a supplier in the motor trade.  He started his career in subprime finance before starting Direct Affinity after the credit crunch in 2008.   Phil is passionate about great customer experiences.  One important element in building a good customer experience, is the culture in your business.  Another is to close the loops. One way of doing that in sales is to examine your lost sales process. On average 33% of these enquiries are still in the market to buy and 50% of those are happy to come back into your dealership. These are opportunities not to be ignored. Here are the highlights: {05:49} Credit Crunch {10:24} What makes a great business {15:49} Moments of truth {30.03} Lost sales {36:15} Close the loop in aftersales {44:50} Predictive CSI {47:43} Keeping staff motivated About Symco Training: Symco Training was founded in 2000 by Simon Bowkett and it was his belief that the business had to offer its clients something different. That difference was clear to Simon from his days in the dealership when he experienced many sales trainers who had all the answers, but were unable, unwilling or both to actually show the delegate how they could be implemented. It remains the ethos of the business today. You see, Symco only employ trainers that are committed to delivering not only in spiring and insightful training, but are equally as happy to demonstrate these skills and techniques with real customers in your own showroom. We believe in order for sales training to be effective and in Simon's words ‘real world', it needs to be tried and tested in the only place it matters the showroom floor. There is no room for theory when your goals are for your team to sell more cars, hours or parts and retain more profit. In dealerships around the world the focus applied by many of the sales executives is to try and sell a deal. Symco specialise in getting your teams to focus on selling themselves, the product and then supporting this with the deal. To find out more visit: www.symcotraining.co.uk

High yield credit had a strong 2024 as yields rallied and spreads followed, while defaults didn't blow up as feared. In Europe, the index default rate stands at a low 2.5% and the US at 1.1%, while the share of stressed and distressed bonds drastically came down. Will 1Q sustain those gains, and why? Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence's chief European credit strategist, discusses the results of the team's 1Q25 High Yield Survey, along with the market outlook, with Marco Salcoacci, senior high yield fund manager at Union Investments. The report covers investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, default and supply forecasts and relative-value opinions by geography, rating and sector. They assess how deeply high yield prospects differ between Europe and the US.

European credit markets have gone through a significant shift in market dynamics over the past five years, as low-interest-rate debt is coming due and traditional sources of financing retreat. Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier are joined by Arini Capital Management CIO and Founder Hamza Lemssouguer on this episode of Credit Crunch to discuss how Arini is capitalizing on structural inefficiencies in high yield credit markets. The conversation gets into the founding of the firm and their approach to running a long/short book before touching on the extension into CLOs, dispersion despite tight spreads and the impact of shifting costs of capital. The Credit Crunch podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series. Listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

As others head for the exit from the commercial real estate (CRE) sector, Benefit Street Partners President Richard Byrne views this as the perfect time to fill the funding void that could arise. Byrne joins hosts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier of Bloomberg Intelligence on Credit Crunch to discuss the budding opportunity in CRE as a result of higher interest rates. The discussion gets into CRE debt vs equity, an impending CRE maturity wall, the multifamily sweet spot, relative value within direct lending and much more. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast.

CLOs are driving loan supply and in this Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief European Credit Strategist and Desmond English, Head of European Leveraged Loans at Amundi, reflect on how both the US and European leveraged loan markets fared last year and the outlook for loans in 2025. They discuss BI's leveraged loan outlook publication covering loan pricing, returns, supply and relative value vs. high yield bonds as well as loan growth relative to the bond market and private credit in detail and also address the outlook for CLO issuance, reinvestment risks and arbitrage evolution and implications for 2025.

Incoming pro-growth policy, while inflationary in nature, could result in a strong credit environment in the eyes of PineBridge Investments' Global Head of Credit, Steven Oh. Oh joins Bloomberg Intelligence corporate credit strategists Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch to walk through various macroeconomic pathways. The conversation touches on central-bank policy expectations and the geopolitical climate, before diving into portfolio composition, sector exposures and the current default landscape.

In this episode, Steve Fretzin and Simon McCrum discuss:Effective business development in law firmsEnhancing client loyalty through serviceStanding out with unique differentiatorsBuilding trust and collaboration internally Key Takeaways:Authenticity and trust, rather than sheer volume of connections, are the cornerstone of effective business development, as demonstrated by prioritizing fewer, deeper introducer relationships.A well-defined "service promise," crowd-designed and rigorously delivered, creates a memorable client experience that sets a firm apart from its competitors.Revisiting underutilized existing client relationships can unlock significant growth by exploring untapped legal service opportunities and addressing overlooked needs.Implementing transparent client feedback systems, like real-time service ratings published publicly, builds credibility, accountability, and fosters long-term client trust and satisfaction. "Business development isn't goodwill development; it has to be about money and profit." —  Simon McCrum Got a challenge growing your law practice? Email me at steve@fretzin.com with your toughest question, and I'll answer it live on the show—anonymously, just using your first name! Thank you to our Sponsors!Rankings.io: https://rankings.io/Rainmakers Roundtable: https://www.fretzin.com/lawyer-coaching-and-training/peer-advisory-groups/ About Simon McCrum: Simon McCrum, a Management Consultant, helps law firms strengthen and grow their businesses. A solicitor and former Equity Partner and Managing Partner, he has decades of leadership in law firms and legal teams. Qualifying as a lawyer in 1990, Simon moved from fee-earner to roles like Marketing Partner, Director of Business Development, and part of the Management Team at a £50m turnover UK law firm. In 2007, as Managing Partner of a Top 200 UK law firm with a £6m turnover, he led the firm from a trading loss during the Credit Crunch to its most successful year in 2010, becoming the UK's fastest-growing law firm. After the firm's 2016 acquisition, Simon launched McCrum Consulting to boost law firm performance and growth. He developed "The Perfect Legal Business" model, which inspired his bestselling book, The Perfect Legal Business, followed by The Perfect Lawyer. His upcoming book, The Perfect Partner, completes the trilogy. Connect with Simon McCrum:  Website: https://www.mccrum.legal/Email: simon@mccrumandco.comLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/simonmccrum/ Connect with Steve Fretzin:LinkedIn: Steve FretzinTwitter: @stevefretzinInstagram: @fretzinsteveFacebook: Fretzin, Inc.Website: Fretzin.comEmail: Steve@Fretzin.comBook: Legal Business Development Isn't Rocket Science and more!YouTube: Steve FretzinCall Steve directly at 847-602-6911  Audio production by Turnkey Podcast Productions. You're the expert. Your podcast will prove it. 

The short end of the curve may be better positioned than longer-dated bonds as the interest rates are likely to stay high for longer, with president-elect Donald Trump's policies potentially amplifying the challenges of bringing inflation to the 2% target, says Henry Song, portfolio manager for Diamond Hill Capital Management. On the latest episode of Credit Crunch, Song and Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier discuss real positive yields, favorable carry for shorter-dated credit across corporates and securitized products as well as housing-related credit, thinking through portfolio construction and technology in trading. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

A resilient macroeconomic environment, along with rising M&A activity, have the direct-lending space primed for additional growth in the coming years. Curt Lueker, managing director and head of direct lending at Marathon Asset Management, joins Noel Hebert and Sam Geier of Bloomberg Intelligence on this episode of Credit Crunch to discuss how the firm is capitalizing on its expertise in the core middle-market sector. The conversation dives into the firm's recent partnership with Webster Bank, the investment committee process, secondary markets, central bank policy and much more.

Private credit has expanded toward $2 trillion for direct lending and related markets, with another $5 trillion in asset-based finance, making for ample lender opportunities in the view of Daniel Pietrzak, KKR partner and global head of private credit. Pietrzak rejoined Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert on the latest episode of Credit Crunch to talk about the market's growth, the current risk climate and how the incoming presidential administration may influence the market opportunity. They also examine the recent growth in investment grade private credit, the risk transfer market and prospects for an active secondary.

With credit markets enjoying a strong 2024 and with many uncertainties, charting the course for 2025 is a challenge. Will US trade policies slow Fed cuts and will ECB easing stay the course as priced, and what will this mean for credit? Will stubborn US yields filter into Europe? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, chief European credit strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Marc Rovers, Head of European Credit at Legal & General Investment Management, discuss the state of credit and the 2025 outlook for US and Europe. They tackle relative value across credit on both sides of the Atlantic; high yield and high grade; fund flows and supply; defaults and ratings; fundamental and curve views. They also detail the risks across the US, UK and Europe, including German and French politics.

A slower exit environment for limited partners on the back of elevated rates and inflation has helped drive tremendous growth for the world of NAV lending over the past couple of years. David Philipp, partner in the Fund Liquidity Solutions Group at Crestline Investors, walks through the journey of the asset class with Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch. The conversation gets into the evolution of the investor, public-market accessibility, synergies with adjacent Crestline strategies, LP concerns and much more.

A collateralized loan obligation's (CLO) reinvestment period is among the keys to the success for the asset class in the view of Eagle Point's Founder and Managing Partner Tom Majewski. He joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this edition of Credit Crunch to walk through Eagle Points focus on the higher-risk tranches of a CLO structure, with an emphasis on equity. The discussion touches on holder concentration, the growth in covenant-lite loans, misconceptions around forced selling, synergies with private credit markets and much more.

With the US election having a clear result and credit markets enjoying a strong run this year, charting the course forward is a challenge. Will a Trump regime slow down Fed cuts and will the ECB continue on its previous easing course, and what will this mean for credit? Will stubborn US yields cause more divergence in credit until 1H25? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, chief European credit strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence and James Turner, Co-Head of EMEA fundamental fixed income at Blackrock, discuss the state of credit and gaps across the US and Europe. They tackle relative value across credit in different currencies; junk and high grade; fund flows and supply; defaults and ratings; fundamental and curve views. They also detail the impact of elections across the US, UK and Europe.

By engaging across multiple sectors of the structured product markets, 400 Capital Management has the flexibility to independently deal with the unique cycles and phases of the various asset classes. Founder and Managing Partner Chris Hentemann joins Noel Hebert and Sam Geier of Bloomberg Intelligence on this episode of Credit Crunch to talk through the process of navigating through those cycles. The conversation touches upon asset class allocations, the risk-transfer market, joint venture benefits, the attraction of commercial real estate, and more. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast.

With plenty of private equity dry powder and a growing supply-demand imbalance, direct lending is well positioned to grow, according to Antares Capital Director of Asset Management, Vivek Mathew. Vivek joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on another special edition of Credit Crunch, recorded at the Greenwich Economic Forum. They discuss the benefits of being under the wing of the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, the refinancing cycle, Antares' co-investment approach, secondary-market viability and more.

Polen Capital, with deep roots in the world of growth equity investing, has expanded into the opportunistic high yield bond market, leveraging its acquisition of DDJ Capital in 2021. Polen CEO, Stan Moss, and Head of Credit, Dave Breazzano, join Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this special edition of Credit Crunch, live from the Greenwich Economic Forum. The conversation dives into the firm's focus on growth, the benefits of a flexible high yield investment approach, leadership through uncertain times, the credit cycle and more.

High yield credit had a strong year (to date), as yields rallied and spreads followed, while defaults didn't blow up as feared. In Europe, the index default rate stands at 2.7% and the US at 1.2% but the share of stressed and distressed bonds has come down. Will 4Q sustain those gains, and why? Listen to Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence's Chief European Credit Strategist, discuss the results of the 4Q High Yield Survey, along with market outlook, with Peter Khan, Global High Yield Portfolio Manger at Fidelity Investments. They discuss the BI 4Q investor survey report, which covers investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, default and supply forecasts and relative-value opinions by geography, rating and sector. They discuss deeply how high yield prospects differ between Europe and the US.

Private credit markets have seen tremendous growth over the past decade, establishing themselves as viable sources of funding for companies across the rating spectrum. That growth may not slow down anytime soon, according to Amanda Lynam, head of Macro Credit Research at BlackRock. Lynam joins Noel Hebert and Sam Geier of Bloomberg Intelligence on this episode of Credit Crunch to walk through trends in the corporate-credit space. The discussion hits on how corporate credit spreads could tighten, the ebbs and flows of financing mix, the default cycle, regional relative value and much more. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast.

Hey BA fam! This week, Tiffany tells Mandi all about her epic speech at the Women Evolve conference in front of 38,000 women of color from across the US. From the pressures of public speaking to the importance of community support, the conversation emphasizes having faith in your own ability and plowing ahead through the things that intimidate us. Plus, a discussion on how the current housing crisis is impacting Mandi as well as tens of millions of Americans. The ladies share their experiences and call for systemic change -- and why voter registration can help make a difference.Mentioned on the episode:Housing shortage: https://www.npr.org/2024/04/23/1246623204/housing-experts-say-there-just-arent-enough-homes-in-the-u-sStacey Abram's podcast "The Rent is Too Damn High": https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-rent-is-too-damn-high-but-renters-are-even-more-powerful/id1760004996?i=1000670021324 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoicesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The corporate credit landscape could face uncertain times ahead, with upcoming elections, policy shifts and global conflicts. Andrew Beckman, Head of Global Credit at FS Investments, joins Credit Crunch's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier to discuss the firm's approach to investing across public and private markets. The conversation delves into current risk-reward levels, the credit-quality sweet spot, leveraging the broader FS infrastructure, creditor-on-creditor violence and more. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast.

Credit markets have had a strong year, a few blips notwithstanding. After the ECB cut rates twice, the BOE once and with the Fed about to embark on a long cutting cycle, are credit spreads too tight and priced for perfection? Is the rally in yields justified on expected rate cuts until 1H25? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, chief European credit strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence and Jamie Irvine, investment director at abdrn, discuss the state of credit across the US, UK, and Europe. They tackle relative value across credit in different currencies; junk and high grade; fund flows and supply; defaults and ratings; and fundamental views. They also address the sterling credit market, and the impact of elections across the US, UK and Europe.

Shoot us a Text.Today, we pause and reflect on the events of 9/11/2001. No crisis can win.It's Wednesday and DG is back for round two. We're talking about how Ally Financial is dealing with consumer credit challenges, how GM is drawing a line in the sand for its salaried employees and busting the EV slowdown myth.Show Notes with links:Ally Financial is grappling with growing credit challenges as high inflation impacts borrowers, resulting in increased delinquencies. Shares plummeted 17.62% on Sept. 10, signaling the pressure the lender facesDelinquencies in Ally's retail auto sector increased by 20 basis points in July and August compared to Ally's expectations, and net charge-offs (unrecoverable debts) increased by 10 basis points during the same period.Borrowers are also cutting back on loans amidst high interest rates.Ally has sold its lending business to Synchrony Financial to address its credit issue.CFO Russell Hutchinson specifically mentioned that the number of borrowers in the 61+ day delinquency category has become a point of concern, with more underperformance expected in this bucketGeneral Motors is intensifying its push toward an all-electric future, making it clear that salaried employees must align with its EV vision or move on. A series of organizational changes this year underscores GM's dedication to selling only electric vehicles by 2035.GM is downsizing its global headquarters to streamline operations and create cost efficiencies.As we covered early this year, the automaker revised how it evaluates employee performance, with a stronger focus on productivity and innovation.New bonus metrics now align more closely with the company's EV goals, emphasizing those who contribute to the transition.Remote work privileges have been reduced for some employees to promote better in-office collaboration and push productivity.The goal is to become more agile and tech-focused, modeled after top-performing companies in the technology sector.Despite misleading headlines claiming otherwise, EV sales continue to rise globally, though growth percentages have naturally slowed as the market expands. Media reports about an EV sales “slump” overlook key data points.Misinformation has led some to believe EV sales are dropping, but the reality shows the opposite: gas-powered car sales are actually declining.Despite declines from major automakers like GM, VW, and Tesla, overall EV sales in the U.S. still increased by 7% in Q1, reflecting continued growth in the market.EV sales growth rates have slowed as expected but remain positive globally, rising about 10% in advanced economies,From the Electrek article, “Each journalist who has spent the last year perpetuating the myth of an EV sales slowdown could have read any one of our articles, or googled a single number showing year-over-year EV sales in any region or for most countries and most brands, and found that they are still goinHosts: Paul J Daly and Kyle MountsierGet the Daily Push Back email at https://www.asotu.com/ JOIN the conversation on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/asotu/ Read our most recent email at: https://www.asotu.com/media/push-back-email

Macro credit trends tend to be based on more of a feel than precise numbers. In this latest episode of the Credit Crunch podcast, Mahesh Bhimalingam, Chief European Credit Strategist and Heema Patel, Senior Credit Strategy Associate at Bloomberg Intelligence, delve into proprietary research and data on BI STRTE to make macro credit very precise. Explore their novel spread-prediction model with market and macroeconomic drivers, insights on index metrics -- default rates, rating quality/drift and credit ratios. They also discuss if green bonds are trading at a premium or discount, a methodology contrasting with the conventional greenium calculations. Lastly, they address the main derivative play in credit, the cash-CDS basis and gain perspective on current market patterns and uncover alpha-generating opportunities.

SLR Capital Partners has built expertise in corporate lending, asset-based financing, life-science credits and other segments over nearly two decades. The firm's cofounders Michael Gross and Bruce Spohler join Bloomberg Intelligence credit analysts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier to talk about how the firm thinks about underwriting risk across borrowers and the types of investment vehicles they've built out. The conversation hits on their principal investment approach, how they deal with problematic loans, the current regulatory environment and more.

Increased electronification and the growing prevalence of portfolio trading are creating opportunities for systematic credit, which seeks to harness the explosion of data to create models and strategies, says Paul Benson, head of systematic fixed income at Insight Investment. Benson joins BI credit strategists Noel Hebert and Sam Geier to discuss the history of the systematic approach, model dependency, excess liquidity premiums and identifying relative value. That and more in this latest episode of Credit Crunch. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

Shorecliff Asset Management's Grant Nachman talks about the intellectually-enriching challenges of launching a new firm in this episode of Bloomberg Intelligence's Credit Crunch podcast. Grant joins BI's chief US credit strategist Noel Hebert and his colleague Sam Geier to discuss Shorecliff's full-cycle credit-investing strategy, the benefits of having a lean team, a bottom-up due-diligence process, the ideal size for the strategy and more.

High yield corporate credit had a strong 1H, despite rates volatility, as spreads rallied and defaults stayed low. In Europe, the index default rate stands at 0.85% and the share of stressed and distressed bonds has come down, while it's higher in the US. Will 3Q sustain those gains, and why? Listen to Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence's Chief European Credit Strategist, discuss the results of the 3Q High Yield Survey, along with market outlook, with Peter Aspbury, Head of European High Yield and PM at JP Morgan Asset Management. They discuss the BI 3Q investor survey report, which covers investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, default and supply forecasts and relative-value opinions by geography, rating and sector. They also discuss how high grade and leveraged loan prospects compare with junk.

Diversification, lower default rates and elevated yields are just a few of the features of today's collateralized loan obligation (CLO) landscape, says Senior Managing Director and Head of Structured Credit at Pretium Jerry Ouderkirk. He joins Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch to discuss the asset class' current state and its evolution over nearly two decades. The dialog touches on what backdrops drive primary vs. secondary market allocations, default expectations, loan and CLO dynamics, among other topics.

Credit markets had a strong nine months of rally, particularly in spreads, although there were yield blips. As the environment changes with rate cuts, led by the ECB, are credit spreads too tight, despite low defaults? Is the rally justified on expected rate cuts for the rest of 2024? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, Chief European Credit Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Axel Potthof, Head of High Yield at Fisch Asset Management, discuss the state of credit after the first ECB cut and the long rally. They discuss relative value across junk, high grade and loans, fund flows, defaults, rate cuts and yield-curve views in detail. They also address CLOs and their support for loans, while on private credit, they ask if it is taking anything away from public markets.

M&A financing continues to translate into supply opportunities in the investment grade market. With companies like Home Depot and Johnson & Johnson recently announcing multi-billion-dollar acquisition deals, we believe there is a $100 billion pipeline of announced deals over the course of 2024. However, the consumer retail space has simultaneously begun to slow down. With tight spreads and an election year underway, how has the consumer retail space been impacted by current economic conditions? How are companies responding and planning to grow in this economic environment? What are some motivators and considerations for corporations in the M&A space? On this episode of Disruptive Forces, host Anu Rajakumar invites Kristin Cejda, Senior Research Analyst and Co-Director of Investment Grade Credit Research, to discuss key topics in the state of the investment grade credit space, unravel the dynamics of consumer behavior, and shed light on the strategic shifts companies are making to navigate the current credit landscape.   This communication is provided for informational and educational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Information is obtained from sources deemed reliable, but there is no representation or warranty as to its accuracy, completeness or reliability. This communication is not directed at any investor or category of investors and should not be regarded as investment advice or a suggestion to engage in or refrain from any investment-related course of action. Neuberger Berman is not providing this material in a fiduciary capacity and has a financial interest in the sale of its products and services. Investment decisions should be made based on an investor's individual objectives and circumstances and in consultation with his or her advisors. All information is current as of the date of this material and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Neuberger Berman products and services may not be available in all jurisdictions or to all client types. This material is not intended as a formal research report and should not be relied upon as a basis for making an investment decision. The firm, its employees and advisory accounts may hold positions of any companies discussed. This material may include estimates, outlooks, projections and other “forward-looking statements.” Due to a variety of factors, actual events or market behavior may differ significantly from any views expressed. Investing entails risks, including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  This material is being issued on a limited basis through various global subsidiaries and affiliates of Neuberger Berman Group LLC. Please visit www.nb.com/disclosure-global-communications for the specific entities and jurisdictional limitations and restrictions.  The “Neuberger Berman” name and logo are registered service marks of Neuberger Berman Group LLC.  © 2024 Neuberger Berman Group LLC. All rights reserved.

NAV finance has been at the forefront of innovation in private credit markets, seeing tremendous growth since the start of the pandemic, when private equity funds began turning to alternative sources of funding. Pierre-Antoine de Selancy, co-founder and managing partner at 17Capital, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on Credit Crunch to walk through how he's seen the evolution of the space. The conversation touches on the importance of fund-manager track records, use of proceeds, 17Capital's partnership with Oaktree, and a variety of other topics. Credit Crunch is part of the FICC Focus podcast series.

We're diving deep into the world of loan approvals. Join us on this week's episode of Tell me it's Friday as we explore how artificial intelligence is reshaping the traditional credit decisioning process, making it faster, fairer, and more efficient for credit unions and their members.

On this special episode of TCAF Tuesday, Michael Batnick, Barry Ritholtz, and Downtown Josh Brown are joined by Campbell Harvey to discuss: the state of the economy, the yield curve indicator, the next recession, and much more! This episode is sponsored by LifeX. Learn more at: lifexfunds.com. Check out the latest in financial blogger fashion at The Compound shop: https://www.idontshop.com Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. Wealthcast Media, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

#SmallBusinessAmerica: Credit crunching.  @GeneMarks  @Guardian @PhillyInquirer https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231025984720/en/New-Survey-of-Small-Business-Owners-Shows-a-Credit-Crunch-is-Hindering-Growth 1940 BOLOGNA