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This week, exclusive interview with Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies. Michael shares his incredible insights on a range of topics, including how much longer he expects the consolidation in gold prices to last, which metal he favors the most and much more. Don't forget to also follow us on social media for more important precious metals updates! https://www.youtube.com/@Moneymetals | https://www.facebook.com/MoneyMetals | https://instagram.com/moneymetals/ | https://twitter.com/moneymetals | https://www.pinterest.com/moneymetals/
Interview recorded - 22nd of May, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I have the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Pento. Michael is the President & Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies.During our conversation we spoke about Michael's thoughts on the economy, tariff negotiations, inflation, Doge, bond market issues, growth of debt issues, what would turn Michael bullish and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:15 - Overview of the economy4:20 - Tariff negotiations6:41 - Inflation9:25 - Doge shift10:36 - Bond market issues15:41 - Volatility trading19:49 - Grow out of debt issue24:45 - Rotating in commodities/agriculture?26:16 - What would turn bullish?30:01 - One message to takeaway?Michael Pento serves as the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS). PPS is a Registered Investment Advisory Firm (RIA) that operates like an actively managed fund without all the expenses. The Model Portfolio uses a proprietary macroeconomic model to determine when and how to invest across an inflation/deflation and economic cycle spectrum. The 20-component model is used to determine the two most important factors when it comes to successful investing: the second derivatives of growth and inflation.Michael Pento - Website - https://pentoport.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/michaelpento?lang=enLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-pento-a1882917b/WTFinance Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseasThumbnail image from - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/article-next-up-for-markets-a-crisis-of-confidence-in-the-us-dollar/
Michael Pento is seeing clear signs that the US economy is facing massive danger, as crises on multiple fronts are evolving into systemic risk for the banking system and threatening to curb the Trump administration's efforts to wage a global trade war. Michael explains why in the face of these facts, he's moved capital into the commodities sector and is relying on precious metals as a ballast in his portfolio, as he sees a clear move away from the dollar and towards gold by foreign nations.Subscribe to the TRENDS Journal: https://trendsjournal.com/subscribe (Use coupon code COMMODITY for 10% off)Pento Portfolio Strategies: https://pentoport.comFollow Jesse Day on X: https://x.com/jessebdayCommodity Culture on Youtube: https://youtube.com/c/CommodityCulture
Tom welcomes back Michael Pento, from Pento Portfolio Strategies. The discussion revolves around the current economic landscape, highlighting the Federal Reserve's challenges in balancing inflation control and recession fears. Pento argues that the Fed is constrained by a "Gordian knot" of conflicting mandates, emphasizing its focus on bailing out banks and managing government debt rather than addressing inflation effectively. He critiques the dual mandate of stable prices and full employment, suggesting that employment rates have little bearing on inflation, which stems from fiat currency devaluation. Pento also delves into the impact of tariffs, particularly those imposed by former President Trump, noting their role in exacerbating economic instability. While he acknowledges the intent behind these measures—to rebuild the middle class and reduce trade deficits—the lack of clear planning and frequent changes create uncertainty for businesses. This unpredictability complicates financial decision-making, especially for manufacturers considering relocating production. Pento advocates for a model that considers credit spreads, real interest rates, and financial conditions. He warns against passive investing in market-cap weighted indices like the S&P 500, which concentrates capital in overvalued stocks and amplifies market volatility. Instead, he recommends an active approach, emphasizing short-term bonds, gold, and selective equity exposure. Pento also discusses the role of gold as a hedge against inflation and economic instability, distinguishing between physical gold (held personally) and liquid paper gold (ETFs and mining stocks). He advises investors to allocate 5% of their net worth to physical gold for safety, with additional exposure to liquid gold based on market conditions. Finally, Pento addresses the potential for geopolitical conflicts, such as tensions with China, to drive demand for gold. He concludes by highlighting the importance of an active investment model in navigating economic uncertainty, emphasizing that investors cannot rely solely on passive strategies or the hope of market recovery. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:32 - Fed & Economic Numbers2:52 - Tariff & Uncertainties8:02 - Crash & Fed Reactions11:12 - Yields Spiking Meaning14:32 - Demand Into Gold19:38 - Reserves & Rev. Repos21:53 - Uncertainty & Massive Q.E.26:12 - Passive Investments?32:28 - Gold & Rumors of War34:35 - Mining/Gold Investments39:30 - Institutional Interest41:50 - Thoughts on Silver42:30 - 2025 is Exhausting43:26 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: http://pentoport.comE-Mail: mpento@pentoport.comTwitter: https://twitter.com/michaelpento Michael Pento is the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies with more than 30 years of professional investment experience. He worked on the floor of the NYSE during the mid-90s. Pento served as an economist for both Delta Global and EuroPacific Capital. He was also the portfolio creator and consultant to Delta/Claymore's commodity portfolios, which were distributed through Claymore/Guggenheim's sales network.
Michael Pento says the economy is "very, very weak" despite a brief 3-day stock market rally. He warns of a market correction or even a recession due to high valuations, a liquidity drought, and asset bubbles. Pento believes the Fed cutting interest rates would be a mistake and predicts they'll instead be forced to cut more aggressively later this year.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Is a 40% market correction looming? In this episode, top portfolio strategist Michael Pento joins me on Soar Financially to break down today's turbulent economic landscape. We dissect Trump's aggressive tariff moves, the Fed's frozen policy stance, and why safe havens like gold remain crucial in a market under stress. Tune in as we explore overvalued equities, shrinking earnings forecasts, and active portfolio management strategies designed to navigate these uncertain times.#gold #federalreserve #trump ------------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------
When today's guest was last on this program back in December, he warned that after blockbuster double-digit returns in 2023 and 2024, stocks were likely to have a tougher time this year.Well, so far, with the S&P slightly down YTD for 2025, that prediction is proving prescient.So, where does he see the market headed from here?To find out, we're fortunate today to talk with money manager Michael Pento. president of Pento Portfolio Strategies.He maintains a 20-point model that guides his portfolio allocation, and today we'll hear what it's advising him to do right now.Spoiler alert: it is telling him we are at a dangerously high risk of a major downwards correction in both stock & home prices.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS), joins Julia La Roche on episode 233 where he delivers a stark warning about the state of financial markets. Pento challenges Fed Chair Powell's recent victory lap on inflation, pointing out that prices have remained above the Fed's 2% target for nearly four years. He outlines his thesis for what he calls a "triumvirate of bubbles" in equities, real estate, and credit markets, explaining why these interconnected asset bubbles could lead to a market correction of at least 50%. Drawing on his 34 years of experience and proprietary 20-point liquidity model, Pento provides detailed evidence for his concerns while sharing insights on portfolio positioning, the impact of Trump 2.0, and potential solutions to America's mounting debt crisis.Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/juliaLinks: https://pentoport.com/ https://twitter.com/michaelpento0:00 Intro and welcome Michael0:43 Powell's congressional testimony & inflation criticism 3:02 Fed's $5T post-COVID liquidity & reverse repo facility 6:43 Warning of market bubbles 7:28 Evidence of equity bubble (Market cap to GDP, price to sales) 10:27 Credit bubble & private credit markets 11:24 Liquidity draining from system 13:08 Trump 2.0 impact on markets 14:37 Analyzing market liquidity (20-point model) 18:21 Future recession & $6T deficit concerns 19:41 Potential silver lining: Market reset 21:10 Fed's rate cut dilemma 23:10 Treasury gold revaluation discussion 25:56 Solutions to US debt crisis 28:44 Current portfolio strategy 31:51 Critique of passive investment industry 35:00 Closing thoughts & contact information
Michael Pento provided a critical overview of the current economic situation, highlighting the precarious nature of existing market bubbles in credit, housing, and equities. He likened these bubbles to a hot air balloon, sustained by diminishing liquidity, and warned of an impending crash that could catch many off guard, particularly those relying on government safety nets. Pento expressed skepticism about the government's ability to effectively manage inflation through borrowing and spending, emphasizing the need for substantial reforms, particularly in entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare, to address ongoing debt and deficit issues. The discussion also touched on recent labor market data, with Pento noting a surprising 4.1% increase in wages, which raised questions about the reliability of government inflation statistics. Both Pento and Kerry Lutz expressed concerns about the implications of potential discrepancies in these data, which could undermine trust and lead to increased long-term bond rates. Lutz highlighted issues of fraud within Medicare and Medicaid, advocating for a health revolution in the U.S. They both linked poor dietary choices to broader health and economic challenges, suggesting that improving public health could alleviate some financial burdens on the healthcare system. Pento and Lutz further explored the dynamics of the gold market, noting a shift away from dollar dependence as countries invest their trade surpluses in gold. Pento expressed skepticism about cryptocurrencies, arguing they lack the qualities of true digital gold due to their unlimited supply and Wall Street's involvement. Lutz raised concerns about systemic corruption in bankruptcy proceedings, citing a case where a bookkeeper faced severe penalties for mismanagement. They concluded by discussing the implications of Trump's tax cuts and the potential for a national consumption tax, recognizing the political hurdles in reforming the tax system while emphasizing the need for active money management in light of a predicted recession. Find Michael here: htttps://PentoPort.com Find Kerry here: http://financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ and here: https://inflation.cafe
Another incredible interview with Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies. Michael clues us in on why the Fed is actually cutting rates and reminds us of who they ultimately answer to. He also tells us why the counter-intuitive move recently in the bond market following those Fed rate cuts should be very worrisome and may be quite detrimental for the economy and the broader financial markets.
Interview recorded - 4th of December, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Pento. Michael is the President & Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies.During this conversation we spoke about the current market outlook, why the market is dangerous, cutting government costs, is inflation an issue, asset bubbles, whether the middle class can be saved and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:59 - Market outlook2:38 - Why is the market dangerous?8:06 - How does the US get out of this?9:43 - Cutting government costs?11:36 - Inflation an issue?20:28 - 3 Asset Bubbles22:58 - Which sectors benefitting?25:08 - Next stage24:53 - Can the middle class be saved?27:53 - One message to takeaway from conversation?Michael Pento serves as the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS). PPS is a Registered Investment Advisory Firm (RIA) that operates like an actively managed fund without all the expenses. The Model Portfolio uses a proprietary macroeconomic model to determine when and how to invest across an inflation/deflation and economic cycle spectrum. The 20-component model is used to determine the two most important factors when it comes to successful investing: the second derivatives of growth and inflation.Michael Pento - Website - https://pentoport.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/michaelpento?lang=enLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-pento-a1882917b/WTFinance Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
Stocks are on track to end 2024 on a high note. The S&P is up roughly 27% so far, hitting new record highs all throughout the year. Will the party continue into the New Year? Or will 2025 be a less enjoyable one for investors? To find out, we're fortunate today to talk with money manager Michael Pento. president of Pento Portfolio Strategies. He maintains a 20-point model that guides his portfolio allocation, and today we'll hear what it's advising him to do right now. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
In this interview, Kerry Lutz and Michael Pento delve into the pressing economic issues facing the U.S., covering everything from inflation to government spending. They break down how persistent inflation, a lack of liquidity in the bond market, and unchecked government spending are creating a potentially explosive financial situation. Pento criticizes the Federal Reserve's recent rate cuts despite high inflation, suggesting this decision favors Treasury solvency over middle-class stability. He warns that ongoing spending, regardless of political leadership, could lead to a bond market crisis and rising interest rates. The conversation also highlights concerns about manipulated economic data and the vulnerability of the middle class, where wealth concentration in the top quintile could spark social unrest. Pento and Lutz discuss the broader impact of government policies, touching on controversial topics like potential food bans and Big Pharma's influence on public health. They advocate for a return to the gold standard as a way to stabilize the economy and emphasize that true growth comes from productivity and innovation, not artificial interventions. The speakers conclude with a call to reduce the Federal Reserve's control over the economy, proposing a shift toward market-driven authority to promote genuine economic freedom. This engaging discussion underlines the urgent need for reform to safeguard the financial well-being of the country. Find Michael here: https://PentoPort.com Find Kerry here: https://financialsurvivalnetwork.com and here: https://inflation.cafe
Patrick Vierra from Silver Bullion Television spoke money manager Michael Pento from Pento Portfolio Strategies. Michael is an author and an expert when it comes to the bond market and the economy. In this interview Michael will go over the Fed balance sheet, bonds, liquidity, and of course inflation - the driver of chaos. You'll want to hear what Michael has to say.
BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference Well, the Fall Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I'm delighted to say the event was a real success. That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 9 hour day. Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Stephanie Pomboy, Fred Hickey, Thomas Hoenig, Danielle DiMartino Booth, Michael Pento, Michael Lebowitz, Steven Bavaria, Brent Johnson, Lyn Alden, Melody Wright, Rick Rule, Lance Roberts, New Harbor Financial and Jonathan Wellum. For those of you who didn't attend, I thought you'd enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights. And for details on the New Harbor event in Concord, MA on Oct 24th, go to https://newharborfinancial.regfox.com/the-new-harbor-summit-new-england #recession #interestrates #marketcorrection --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
Michael Pento poses the question: Is the U.S. going to end up like Japan or Zimbabwe, amidst record levels of debt and deficits, never-ending money printing, raging inflation and evisceration of the middle class by power mad politicians and policy makers? Either way, Michael explains why he wants to be holding gold, along with shedding light on where he's both long and short the market heading into perhaps the most polarizing presidential election in modern history. Pento Portfolio Strategies: https://pentoport.com Follow Jesse Day on X: https://x.com/jessebdayCommodity Culture on Youtube: https://youtube.com/c/CommodityCulture
In this episode, Jay is joined by Michael Pento. Michael discusses the three major bubbles in the American economy: real estate, equities, and private credit. He explains how these bubbles are interconnected, meaning that if one sector collapses, it could trigger a domino effect across the others. He touches on the challenges that policymakers face in preventing a collapse due to the systemic risks and the broader impact on the economy. The conversation also covers inflation, deflation risks, and the long-term implications for commodities like gold. Throughout, Pento emphasizes the difficulty in predicting the exact timing of a market correction but warns of significant financial instability ahead. The Commodity University: https://thecommodityuniversity.com/ Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://jaymartin.substack.com/subscribe Be part of our online investment community: https://cambridgehouse.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international 0:00 - Intro 1:03 - The Three Economic Bubbles Threatening the U.S. 9:04 - The Looming Cross-Contamination in Real Estate and Equities 12:39 - Recession, Depression, or Collapse: What Comes Next? 22:12 - Preventing a 2008-Style Market Meltdown 23:40 - The New Era of Monetary Expansion 32:43 - Commodities in a Crash: A Lifeboat Strategy 37:16 - How the Smart Money Stays Ahead of Crises 42:34 - Are We Voting for Inflation? 46:08 - Navigating Geopolitical Events in Investment Strategies Copyright © 2024 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
In this episode of the Financial Survival Network, host Kerry Lutz welcomes back Michael Pento of https://PentoPort.com. The conversation dives into the ongoing economic challenges and the questionable policies affecting both markets and everyday Americans. They discuss the current "election insanity" and question whether the outcome will truly address the underlying economic issues, highlighting that neither candidate offers a complete solution. Michael Pento shares his insights on how government spending, particularly the trillions of dollars in stimulus and helicopter money, has contributed to inflation and economic instability. The discussion touches on the flaws of government intervention, including proposed subsidies for housing, which they argue will only inflate prices further. Pento also criticizes the reliance on money printing and the lack of sound fiscal policy, warning that these actions could lead to long-term economic pain. They wrap up by addressing the challenges faced by the middle class, the dangers of asset bubbles, and the importance of preparing for potential economic downturns. Kerry and Michael agree that while short-term fixes like money printing may temporarily boost markets, they ultimately set the stage for more significant issues down the road. For more in-depth insights, visit https://PentoPort.com and tune into the full episode on FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com. Don't forget to subscribe for the latest updates and financial advice. Find Michael here: pentoport.com Find Kerry here: FSN and here: inflation.cafe
Michael Pento discusses his concerns about the current economic landscape, focusing on the risks posed by massive asset bubbles in stocks, real estate, and credit. He outlines his investment strategy and explains why he believes significant market corrections are inevitable. Michael also shares his views on inflation, deflation, and the potential for gold to rise to $5,000 or $6,000 per ounce. #goldprice #gold #silver ------------ Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver ------------
This week we interviewed Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies. Michael covers a range of topics, including the evisceration of the middle class, the unsustainable debt levels and debt servicing costs we've reached in this country and how he – as an investment advisor – looks at markets and aims to capitalize on all of the market chaos. | Do you own precious metals you would rather not sell, but need access to cash? Get Started Here: https://www.moneymetals.com/gold-loan
Tom welcomes back Michael Pento, from Pento Portfolio Strategies. Pento argues that due to a massive debt-to-revenue ratio and persistent deficits, the nation is insolvent. He linked this to the Federal Reserve's negative real interest rates since 2002, which led to a $7 trillion increase in its balance sheet, tightening bank lending standards, and an inverted yield curve for a record length of time. Pento expresses concerns over credit bubbles, particularly private debt, that have reached alarming levels, but credit spreads remain quiescent. Pento shares his economic framework, consisting of five sectors based on the rate of change and second derivative of inflation. He emphasizes assessing the economy's health or distress, asset prices, debt levels, and the yield curve for each sector. Michael believes that when the yield curve normalizes, stocks should be sold as it signals Fed acknowledgement of economic problems and impending earnings plunge. Michael expresses concern over the Federal Reserve prioritizing banks and Wall Street over the American people, highlighting its failure to address inflation impacting the middle class. He advocates for holding interest rates steady instead of cutting them and warned of a dollar depreciation against other currencies and hard assets like gold during deflation. He suggests overweighting bonds and bond proxies in disinflationary periods and emphasized the importance of gold as a safe haven. Michael's model identifies specific sectors as favorable for gold, while suggesting being out of commodities during certain periods. He highlights energy's importance during growth periods. He criticizes passive investing and advocates active management with a clear framework. Lastly he notes, rising long-term rates and increasing costs could impact the housing market and banking system. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:31 - An Insolvent Nation4:39 - Credit Spreads & Outlook9:34 - Five Sector Model11:07 - Yield Curve Inversion15:08 - Equity Crash @ Cuts?18:10 - Election & Dollar23:07 - Model & Sectors25:26 - Energy & GDP26:42 - Fall Data Outlook28:45 - Labor Revisions30:33 - Good Money Managers33:04 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode Michael Pento believes the U.S. is insolvent due to high debt-to-revenue ratio and persistent deficits, leading to tight lending standards and an inverted yield curve. Pento's economic framework includes five sectors based on inflation rate change, emphasizing sector health, asset prices, debt levels, and yield curves. Michael criticizes the Fed for prioritizing banks over people, advocates for gold as a safe haven during deflation, and encourages active management. Guest Links:Website: http://pentoport.comE-Mail: mpento@pentoport.comTwitter: https://twitter.com/michaelpento Michael Pento is the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies with more than 30 years of professional investment experience. He worked on the floor of the NYSE during the mid-90s. Pento served as an economist for both Delta Global and EuroPacific Capital. He was also the portfolio creator and consultant to Delta/Claymore's commodity portfolios, which were distributed through Claymore/Guggenheim's sales network.
Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS), joins Julia La Roche on episode 187 to discuss a dangerous triumvirate of bubbles in the economy: a real estate bubble, an equity bubble, and a credit bubble. These bubbles have been fueled by 20 years of a negative real Fed funds rate. Pento predicts that these bubbles will burst. He believes that the current situation is very dangerous and could result in a stagflationary environment. Michael also discusses inflation and the erosion of the middle class and the negative implications for the economy. Links: https://pentoport.com/ https://twitter.com/michaelpento 0:00 Welcome back Michael Pento 1:11 Macro view, most salient chart 1:55 A triumvirate of dangerous bubbles 4:09 Bubbles bursting 7:14 The market has already priced in rate cuts 9:39 Most dangerous time in the markets? 11:10 Where would we be if the free market could exist? 13:19 Bifurcation of the economy 19:44 America is an insolvent nation 21:30 Headed for stagflation 23:12 Election 24:29 Investing 27:50 Gold 28:30 Inflation 30:00 Erosion of the middle class 35:58 What difference would a Fed cut even make? 34:55 US dollar 41:20 Gold is not an investment 43:30 Any hope?
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testified in front of Congress this week to defend his current monetary policy. While we don't have the results of that testimony as of the time of this recording, Powell has recently stated that he is now seeing the kind of disinflationary path for the US economy that he's wanted to. This of course has Wall Street salivating again that rate cuts are near at hand. Are they? For perspective, we're fortunate today to talk with money manager Michael Pento, president of Pento Portfolio Strategies. Michael warns that we have the most overvalued stock market ever, and the liquidity that drove it to today's extremes is starting to run out. In his words "We're running on fumes". And stocks are at risk of correcting 30-80% from here. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #bearmarket #marketcrash #marketcorrection --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
Michael Pento expressed deep concern about the current state of the stock market, highlighting the disproportionate influence of a few key stocks on the market's overall performance. He warned about the potential dangers of this imbalance and emphasized the need for caution in the face of a market that appears to be thriving on the surface but is, in reality, exhibiting signs of weakness and instability. Pento also raised significant concerns about the US economy's insolvency, highlighting the potential risks of excessive borrowing to combat a recession and the impact on bond vigilantes. Furthermore, Pento discussed the potential impact of the $1.7 trillion of QE from the reverse repo facility and its potential to trigger a liquidity crisis, along with a temporary strengthening of the US dollar. He also expressed deep concerns about the potential destruction of the dollar against hard assets and the possibility of protracted stagflation. The discussion also touched on the potential role of future policymakers in managing the economic fallout, the potential need for a debt jubilee or restructuring, and the urgency of developing a strategy to navigate the impending crisis. Kerry Lutz acknowledged the unsustainable nature of the situation and the need for a more sustainable monetary policy. Find Michael here: pentoport.com Find Kerry here: FSN and here: inflation.cafe
Interview recorded - 7th of May, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Pento. Michael is the President & Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies.Michael Pento serves as the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS). PPS is a Registered Investment Advisory Firm (RIA) that operates like an actively managed fund without all the expenses. The Model Portfolio uses a proprietary macroeconomic model to determine when and how to invest across an inflation/deflation and economic cycle spectrum. The 20-component model is used to determine the two most important factors when it comes to successful investing: the second derivatives of growth and inflation.0:00 - Introduction2:07 - Current outlook on the markets?4:49 - Why is economy looking strong?7:25 - Global economy9:47 - FED have to drive economy into ground?10:51 - Surprised that FED is dovish?18:28 - How is Michael positioning himself?20:18 - What will the FED do?24:35 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Michael Pento - Website - https://pentoport.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/michaelpento?lang=enLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-pento-a1882917b/WTFinance Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS), joins Julia La Roche on episode 167 to discuss the current state of the economy and the potential risks ahead. In this episode, Pento highlights the rising inflation rate, the burden on the middle class, and the unsustainable levels of debt. Pento predicts a slowdown in GDP growth and the possibility of a negative quarter in the second half of the year. He believes that the Federal Reserve will be forced to lower interest rates and engage in quantitative easing to stimulate the economy. Pento also discusses the potential impact on the housing market, equities, and the bond market. He suggests overweighting energy, base metals, and gold in a stagflationary environment. Links: https://pentoport.com/ https://twitter.com/michaelpento 00:00 Intro and welcome Michael Reno 00:54 Macro view, inflation, and the bankrupting of the middle class 4:08 If rates don't come down the economy is in trouble 5:49 Fed rate cuts ahead this year? 8:00 Market is massively overvalued 9:36 Stagflation and how to invest in that environment 11:32 Home prices 13:50 Why Powell can't wait to end QT now 15:23 Long-term yields might not come down 16:00 Explosion of rates in high-yield will crush the economy 17:27 Gold 20:00 Erosion of the middle class
With the market now expecting less than 2 rate cuts this year -- perhaps none at all until next year according to Bank of America -- what does that mean for the economy? Can it handle "higher for even longer" interest rates without slowing markedly? Or, even worse, something systemic breaking? And what impact will these higher rates likely have on stock, bonds and other asset prices? To find out, we're fortunate today to talk with money manager Michael Pento. president of Pento Portfolio Strategies. Michael is "not happy". He's very concerned that the crown jewel of our capitalist society, the middle class, is getting "destroyed". He sees nothing good coming from that. And looking ahead, he sees a disinflationary recession happening in the second half of 2024, to be followed in early to mid-2025 by an era of stagflation more extreme than we've ever experienced. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #inflation #stagflation #recession
Kerry Lutz and Michael Pento discussed various economic issues, including inflation, interest rates, and the stability of the US dollar. Pento expressed skepticism about the possibility of inflation going below 2% and argued that a recession or depression might be the only way to achieve that. He also highlighted the increasing strength of gold trading, with central bankers buying gold due to their lack of trust in the US dollar and bond market. The discussion also touched on the potential consequences of interest rate cuts, monetizing debt, and the challenges faced by households, corporations, and the government in handling current interest rates. Overall, the conversation emphasized the need for a viable and functioning middle class in the country. Find Michael here: Pentoport Find Kerry here: FSN and here: Inflaton.Cafe
Well, the first-ever Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I'm delighted to say the event was a real success. That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 9 hour day. Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Stephanie Pomboy, Michael Pento, Ted Oakley, Michael Lebowitz, Danielle DiMartino Booth, Tom McClellan, Brent Johnson, Melody Wright, Rick Rule, Matt Piepenburg and Mark Moss. For those of you who didn't attend, I thought you'd enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights. BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference #recession #hardlanding #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Solicitor. We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such. We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor in good standing with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance. IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities. Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, and money market funds involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods. A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.
Tom welcomes back Michael Pento, President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies, to the show. Michael begins by focusing on the current state of the US financial system and potential risks ahead. With the bank term funding program expiring next week, there may be stress in the banking system as banks will have to repay credit received and take back their assets. Other risks include rising unemployment rates, impacting various loan markets, and indicators such as a contraction in the manufacturing sector for 16 months, an inverted yield curve, and increasing bankruptcies. Michael suggests that the economy is unhealthy and unbalanced, favoring the wealthy while harming the middle class and lower-income individuals. Michael feels there's potential for another liquidity crisis in the US banking system. While the Fed could implement measures like another bank term funding program, it would be problematic amid high inflation, potentially leading to higher long-term interest rates, increased borrowing costs, and a sovereign debt crisis. He argues that options for addressing a liquidity crisis are limited and any measures taken may have unintended consequences. Mr. Pento believes we're in a bubble economy due to excessive money printing and low interest rates. Pento expects inflation to continue to rise, leading to a recession and potentially a serious bear market for stocks. Pento discusses the relationship between gold and Bitcoin, suggesting that Wall Street and the general public have been more focused on Bitcoin due to its higher profile and influence of sponsors in financial media. He believes gold is a more reliable store of value and better hedge against inflation than Bitcoin. Michael advises investors to pay attention to economic cycles and consider active steps for protection, like diversifying into precious metals and actively managing your investments. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:37 - Fed & Liquidity Levels3:39 - Bitcoin Tangent6:14 - Fed BTFP Program End9:38 - Unemployment & Banks11:48 - Economy & Manufacturing14:58 - Debt, Defaults, & Problems19:52 - Fed Inflation & Printing25:00 - Good Intentions & Roads27:10 - Gold Positioning & Rates30:20 - Hype Train & Bitcoin/Gold32:37 - Miners Vs. Physical34:18 - Avoid Losing Money!36:39 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode Bank term funding program expires shortly which may cause increased stress in the banking system as banks must repay credit and reclaim assetss. Potential risks to financial sector include rising unemployment rates, impact on loan markets, and multiple negative indicators. Limited options exist for the Fed to address a liquidity crisis, and any measures taken could have unintended consequences. Guest Links:Website: http://pentoport.comE-Mail: mpento@pentoport.comTwitter: https://twitter.com/michaelpento Michael Pento is the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies with more than 30 years of professional investment experience. He worked on the floor of the NYSE during the mid-90s. Pento served as an economist for both Delta Global and EuroPacific Capital. He was also the portfolio creator and consultant to Delta/Claymore's commodity portfolios, which were distributed through Claymore/Guggenheim's sales network.
Retirement Lifestyle Advocates radio host Dennis Tubbergen speaks with Michael Pento, founder and president of Pento Portfolio Strategies, this week about the current state of the stock market and the potential implications of insider selling. Pento highlights the high ratio of insider selling to insider buying, suggesting that insiders may know something that the mainstream…
Michael Pento thinks commodities will be a great place to be, just not right now. A confluence of factors including untenable government debt, a weak banking sector, and extreme overvaluation in the broad market means that stocks are set for a brutal correction, and Michael believes it's better to play defense for the time being, and then look to gold, silver, uranium and other commodities when there's blood in the streets. Pento Portfolio Strategies: https://pentoport.com Follow Jesse Day on X: https://twitter.com/jessebdayCommodity Culture on Youtube: https://youtube.com/c/CommodityCulture
As speculative fervor fuels price spikes in technology stocks and cryptocurrencies, gold continues to quietly hold its major support level. And don't miss a must-hear interview with Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies. | Do you own precious metals you would rather not sell, but need access to cash? Get Started Here: https://www.moneymetals.com/gold-loan
Portfolio Strategist Michael Pento joins us to discuss the current economic environment. We discuss the market's opinion of a Goldilocks Economy, landing scenarios, and odds of a DEPRESSION. How does Gold fit into his portfolio strategy and does he rate T-Bills and bonds at the moment? Excellent insights packed into a fast-paced conversation. Enjoy! HAPPY NEW YEAR and all the best for 2024! This interview was originally published on January 11th, 2024 on our YouTube channel. Guest: Michael Pento Company: Pento Portfolio Strategies
In this critical discussion, Kerry Lutz teams up with economic expert Michael Pento to dissect the latest non-farm payroll report, revealing a worrying decline in the labor force and negative revisions that point to a rapidly deteriorating jobs market. They challenge the face value of headline numbers, urging viewers to understand the deeper implications behind the stats. Pento, in particular, criticizes the inefficiency of government hiring and sheds light on the concerning net loss of jobs in the manufacturing and service sectors. The conversation takes a sharp turn to the bond market's volatility and the Federal Reserve's ambiguous stance on rate cuts. Pento debunks the overzealous market reactions to the Fed's announcements, exposing the stark difference between the central bank's rhetoric and the market's interpretation. The duo navigates through the intricacies of market behaviors and the influential role of the Fed, providing a nuanced perspective on the economic and financial challenges ahead. As the session wraps up, Lutz and Pento plan to reconvene in the coming months to further analyze the unfolding economic landscape. This insightful dialogue is not just a critique but a beacon for anyone looking to grasp the current state of the economy and anticipate what's next. Stay tuned and dive deep into the realities of the job market and monetary policy with two seasoned economic commentators. Visit Michael at https://PentoPort.com
Like many, today's guest was quite concerned entering 2023 that a recession was all but inevitable. But it never showed up. As the year nears its end and a new one readies to begin, did we indeed dodge a bullet? Or has the recession only been delayed, now ready to make landfall in 2024, perhaps with even stronger destructive force than had it arrived sooner? For answers, we turn to the highly popular and always informed money manager and macro analyst Michael Pento. To learn what's in store for this new Thoughtful Money channel, SUBSCRIBE FOR FREE to Adam's new Substack at https://adamtaggart.substack.com/ #recession #marketcrash #deflation
Michael Pento believes that both investors and the media have gotten complacent when it comes to the soft landing narrative and one day in the not-too-distant future, the untenable debt situation in the U.S. is going to wreak havoc on markets and the economy. Sign Up For Crisis & Chaos: https://crisisandchaosevent.com The Commodity University: https://thecommodityuniversity.com
SBTV spoke with Michael Pento from https://pentoport.com/ about the bond market and the volatility of yields. What does it mean, what is it signalling? Having over 30+ years of experience in the markets and author of The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market Michael Pento spells it out for us. You won't want to miss this.
Interview recorded - 26th of October, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Michael Pento - President & Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies. During our conversation we spoke about Michael's thoughts on current markets, why it could be stagflation or depression after a stock crash in 2024, what will happen for the dollar, whether it is possible to save the markets and assets to protect wealth during this period. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:09 - What is Michael's thoughts on the market?5:28 - Indicators to pay attention to?9:00 - Stagflation period?14:53 - Deflation during the recession?17:17 - What will happen with the dollar?19:58 - Bonds to de-correlate from equities?24:50 - Is it possible to save the markets?27:43 - What assets protect wealth during that period?29:13 - Holding reverse ETFs30:28 - One message to takeaway from our conversationMichael Pento serves as the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS). PPS is a Registered Investment Advisory Firm (RIA) that operates like an actively managed fund without all the expenses. The Model Portfolio uses a proprietary macroeconomic model to determine when and how to invest across an inflation/deflation and economic cycle spectrum. The 20-component model is used to determine the two most important factors when it comes to successful investing: the second derivatives of growth and inflation.Michael Pento - Website - https://pentoport.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/michaelpento?lang=enLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-pento-a1882917b/WTFinance Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
Two years ago, the 10-year US Treasury note was yielding .50 percent. Now it’s 4.8 percent. That debt is rolling over, and the money that it costs to service that debt is skyrocketing. Soon, 35 percent of all tax revenue is going to pay just the interest on our national debt. Our guest this week,…
Michael Pento discussed the current state of the bond market and warned of the potential collapse of the US dollar due to the erosion of faith in the world's reserve currency. He advised investors to sell long duration bond exposure and invest in short term US government debt. Pento also discussed the inflation and GDP acceleration, as well as China and Japan's selling of US treasuries. He warned of the massive issuance and supply of US debt and questioned who will buy it, as the Federal Reserve is no longer buying and is instead selling their balance sheet, adding to the supply from China and Japan. Pento also warned of the impending refinancing wall in the corporate bond market and its potential impact on financial entities that own commercial mortgage-backed securities, mortgage-backed securities, and corporate debt. He argued that the real estate market is suffering due to the inability of consumers to afford higher mortgage rates, and that the economy is facing challenges due to high levels of credit card debt and delinquencies. Pento emphasized the importance of active money management in a volatile market and discussed his investment strategy, which includes short-term treasuries, hedges, and physical gold. He also warned of the dangers of excessive debt and the destruction of currency, and the impact it could have on the middle and lower classes. Visit Michael's site before it's too late: https://PentoPort.com Visit Kerry at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
Money manager Michael Pento returns for Part 2 of our interview with him to share how his portfolio is currently positioned as well as how he will change that positioning once the market correction he expects is underway. He's confident one will happen in the coming 12 months as stocks remain 30% overvalued by his calculations. When the correction occurs, Michael recommends positioning in cash, the US dollar, US Treasurys & shorts. ************************ At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: https://www.wealthion.com/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Adam on Twitter: https://twitter.com/menlobear Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040 #marketcrash #gold #deflation ****************************** IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as official investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust.
With interest rates higher than they've been in over 20 years, many analysts and economists have expected the economy - and then the markets - to buckle under the higher cost of debt. After all, we have 6x the total public debt as we did that last time interest rates were this high. But whether that will eventually prove true, the markets are priced as if it won't. Right now, they're priced for no recession, no adverse lag effects from the historically aggressive hiking & tightening campaign pursued over the past year and a half by the Federal Reserve and most of the other major world central banks. So when will this higher cost of debt matter? Will it matter? For answers, we turn to the highly popular and always informed money manager and macro analyst Michael Pento. ************************ At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: https://www.wealthion.com/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Adam on Twitter: https://twitter.com/menlobear Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040 #recession2024 #marketcrash #inflationdeflation ****************************** IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as official investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust.
Michael Pento returns to the show to discuss the bond market and the possibility of a recession. He believes we should experience an official recession by the end of the year, based on metrics other than just GDP that already show flat or declining activity. The recent actions the Fed took to boost banks by changing the Discount Window is similar to a very quiet bailout. This will allow banks to continue to lend recklessly. It appears Powell doesn't know what he's doing. Money supply should be determined by a tangible like gold so it can remain steady and only increase with economic activity. Inflation is likely to come back and will be treated with the Fed re-targeting it's inflation goals. This can result in the public losing credibility on the Fed. Furthermore, there is a risk of the U.S. gradually losing reserve currency status. Entitlement programs are estimated to reach 100% of government income by 2040, leading to a freefall economy. The only solution is a depression and a corrective period in which people can understand why it happened. Government will do its best to keep the party going though, which will destroy the dollar's value. Everything is looking increasingly like a banana republic and we aren't headed towards more freedom. The Fed introducing its own cryptocurrency could increase control mechanisms and give it tremendous power. These are very real dangers. Timestamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:08 - Equities & Bond Outlook6:16 - Fed Policy & Q.E.9:40 - Japan & Bond Volatility15:27 - Inflation Outlook & Targets17:08 - Recession & Equities20:53 - Deficits & Entitlements23:32 - Untenable Choices26:26 - Global Problems28:15 - Sectors & Outcomes32:20 - Investing Approach35:38 - Collapse of Faith37:18 - Freedoms & CBDCs42:21 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode: Recent Fed actions point to an impending recession and have created a quiet bailout of the banking system. Inflation is likely to return and cause the value of the US Dollar to drop. Entitlements will reach 100% of government revenue by 2040 a mathematical impossibility. The Fed introducing a CBDC could give it tremendous power over the population with increased control mechanisms. Guest Links:Website: http://pentoport.comE-Mail: mpento@pentoport.comTwitter: https://twitter.com/michaelpento Michael Pento is the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies, with over 27 years of investment experience. He was the portfolio creator and consultant to Delta/Claymore's commodity portfolios that raised over $3 billion, distributed through Claymore/Guggenheim's sales network. He is the author of the book "The Coming Bond Market Collapse" and has a weekly podcast called "The Mid-week Reality Check."
Macro expert and money manager Michael Pento returns for part two of our interview with him in which he suggests that the S&P 500 could drop by 30-40% to around 3,000 points if market forces were allowed to operate naturally. This drop would correspond to a severe recession or deflationary period. He expresses concern about the permanent monetization of debt, which could significantly impact inflation and growth rates. Michael also emphasizes that his model provides early warning signs of when major market participants are likely to become nervous and sell, allowing for defensive dividends to be accrued. ************************************************* At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. There's no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead? Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: https://www.wealthion.com/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Adam on Twitter: https://twitter.com/menlobear Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040 #sandwichgeneration #stockmarketcrash #investingforrecession ************************************************* IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss.
Michael Pento believes that the Fed's rapid rate increases have caused a banking crisis, and that the Fed's actions have created an artificial construct that will lead to a deflationary recession/depression followed by runaway inflation. He predicts a 30-50% drop in equity averages and suggests investors play it safe by collecting dividends in a safe manner. Michael discussed the unsustainable levels of global debt and the potential for deflation and a depression if the Fed does not take action to reduce debt levels. He believes that inflation is not the answer and that the middle class will suffer if it continues. He suggests that the Fed should reduce the balance sheet and remove the gamblers from Wall Street in order to create a healthy economy. Key Topics discussed: Discussion of the Impact of the Fed's Rapid Rate Increases on the Banking System Impact of AI on the economy The effects of inflation on the economy Discussion of the Political Power Struggle in the US Global debt is unsustainable with high interest rates and inflation. Impact of Federal Reserve and Treasury policies on the economy The need for a vibrant and healthy middle class Visit Michael's site at: https://PentoPort.com Visit FSN at: https://FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com
Are you scratching your head at the disconnect between the macro data and current market prices? Are you flummoxed how stocks can be performing so well so far this year when so many economic indicators are at recessionary levels? Is determining how to allocate your portfolio in the midst of these contradictions making your head hurt? If you answered 'yes' to any of these you'll be glad to hear that money manager Michael Pento. is returning to the program today. Always one to bring clarity to the picture with logic and data, he'll share his latest macro and market outlooks, while explaining his method for arriving at them. Visit Michael at https://pentoport.com/ ************************************************* At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. There's no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead? Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: https://www.wealthion.com/ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Adam on Twitter: https://twitter.com/menlobear Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040 #recession #hardlanding #stockmarketbubble ************************************************* IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss.
The problem in the banking system is pretty simple, for ten out of the last fourteen years, mortgage rates have been well below the effective Fed funds rate today, which is 5.1%. So, bank assets are yielding very, very low-income streams to banks. Alternatively, you can go out right now and get over 5% on…
Tom welcomes back Michael Pento, President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies, to the program. Michael compares the huge increase in debt leading up to the 2008 financial crisis and the current debt bubble. Pento highlighted the $68.9 trillion in total non-financial debt that is currently outstanding, which is double the amount of debt prior to the crisis. He notes that this was caused by the Federal Reserve taking interest rates to 1% and then to 0%, which created an artificial edifice known as the US economy. Pento described how the Fed's balance sheet went from $800 billion in 2007 to $9 trillion in 2022, which caused misallocations of capital and asset bubbles. He warns that the only way to bring down inflation was to pop the bubbles, but that this would cause further economic destruction. He explains that this cycle of inflation-deflation would eventually lead to an inflation oppression, in which high rates of inflation would be combined with low economic growth. He coined this term “infla-pression” back in 2012. Michael discusses the four horsemen of the economic apocalypse, which are cash, US sovereign debt, the dollar and shorts. He believes that the Federal Reserve's BTFB has prevented a liquidity crisis and created a number of zombie banks. He has been investing in gold and miners, and his current allocation is 14%. He is waiting to see further erosion in economic growth before he increases his gold allocation to 20%. He advises that 5% of investments should be in physical gold, and the rest could be in liquid or paper gold. He believes that now is the time for people to buy the dip in precious metals. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:38 - 2008 Debt Crisis & Today3:30 - A Perfect System5:45 - Yellen & Q.E. Lite6:52 - Inflationary Cycles8:57 - Asset Bubbles & Inflation14:36 - Infla-pression16:00 - The Four Horseman19:47 - Rates & Allocations22:05 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode The US non-financial debt is double the amount prior to the 2008 financial crisis.Michael coined the term “infla-pression” which is a combination of high inflation and low economic growth.Michael advises that now is likely the time to buy the dip in precious metals. Guest Links:Website: http://pentoport.comE-Mail: mpento@pentoport.comTwitter: https://twitter.com/michaelpentoLast Episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5wARHQcMY Michael Pento is the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies, with over 27 years of investment experience. He was the portfolio creator and consultant to Delta/Claymore's commodity portfolios that raised over $3 billion, distributed through Claymore/Guggenheim's sales network. He is the author of the book "The Coming Bond Market Collapse" and has a weekly podcast called "The Mid-week Reality Check."
SBTV spoke with Michael Pento, President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies, about the Fed's conundrum between saving the banking system and fighting inflation. Michael believes the Fed's QE and QT cycles will lead to bigger asset bubbles that will be increasingly deadly when they collapse.