Podcasts about prediction contest

The guys are joined by Kelly from the podcasts "What You Should Read" and "Press Play and Scream" to give their first impressions of this year's Oscar race. Also, Kelly announces her group movie selection as the 2024 Prediction Contest.

After a very busy holiday season, your host Paulo is back to help you get ready for your Death Race prep. Here is a list of the 35 films that Gold Derby / Awards Expert / Next Best Picture collectively think will get nominated (plus 27 more for those of you who really want to cover all your bases). Letterboxd list here: https://letterboxd.com/ninjaboi/list/odr-25-prep/ Plus if you are interested in participating in this year's Oscars Nomination Prediction Contest for eternal glory, you can enter that at this Google form here! https://forms.gle/5QDGRs1n6n4JXQUA6 Join the Community! Academy of Death Racers - aodr.net Oscars Death Race Discord - https://discord.gg/gZzsdxKFS5 r/OscarsDeathRace - https://old.reddit.com/r/oscarsdeathrace/ r/OscarRace - https://old.reddit.com/r/oscarrace/ Community Race Progress Tracking Sites - https://oscarsdeathrace.com/ and https://deathracetracking.com/oscars Community Prediction Odds - GoldDerby.com Credits Email: oscarsdeathracepodcast@gmail.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/OscarsDRaceCast iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-oscar-death-race-podcast/id1490975424 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1H4k4ojRI8gDdE0JANfvAV Google Play: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iyauzre7vuce4fnxnbxzqbec6um Podchaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/the-oscars-death-race-podcast-1021552 A Ninjaboi Media Production Email: ninjaboimedia@gmail.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ninjaboimedia Twitter: https://twitter.com/NinjaboiMedia Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/ninjaboi333 Letterboxd: http://letterboxd.com/ninjaboi Music from https://filmmusic.io "Take a Chance" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com) License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) Find out more at https://the-oscar-death-race-podcast.pinecast.co This podcast is powered by Pinecast.

Patrick Pfingsten and Brenden Moore of Lee Enterprises hold their first Election Day prediction contest!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In today's episode, I am joined by Kyle, the winner of the 2024 Oscar prediction contest on The Oscar Project. We talk about a little of everything including what we liked from the 96th Academy Awards, other movies from 2023 we enjoyed, and things we're looking forward to in 2024. Books mentioned in this episode include:Caste: The Origins of Our Discontents by Isabel WilkersonElvis and Me: The True Story of the Love Between Priscilla Presley and the King of Rock N' Roll by Priscilla Beaulieu PresleyRobot Dreams by Sara VaronKillers of the Flower Moon by David GrannAmerican Prometheus by Kai Bird and Martin J. SherwinErasure by Percival EverettTomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomorrow by Gabrielle ZevinThe Confederacy of Dunces by John Kennedy TooleFear and Trembling by Søren KierkegaardNovelist as a Vocation by Haruki MurakamiWhat I Talk About When I Talk About Running by Haruki MurakamiThe Creative Act: A Way of Being by Rick RubinThe list of films we mentioned is too long to include in the show notes, but check out the full Letterboxd list for this episode. A few films mentioned in this episode include:Oppenheimer directed by Christopher NolanPoor Things directed by Yorgos LanthimosThe Creator directed by Gareth EdwardsGodzilla Minus One directed by Takashi YamazakiThe Zone of Interest directed by Jonathan GlazerThe Killer directed by David FincherThe Boy of the Heron directed by Hayao MiyazakiSpider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse directed by Joaquim Dos Santos, Kemp Powers, and Justin K. ThompsonMaestro directed by Bradley CooperKillers of the Flower Moon directed by Martin Scorsese20 Days in Mariupol directed by Mstyslav ChernovThe Holdovers directed by Alexander Payne"The Last Repair Shop" directed by Ben Proudfoot and Kris BowersMay December directed by Todd HaynesHow to Blow Up a Pipeline directed by Daniel GoldhaberGodland directed by Hlynur PálmasonAnatomy of a Fall directed by Justine TrietSociety of the Snow directed by J. A. BayonaAsteroid City directed by Wes Anderson"The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar" directed by Wes AndersonOrigin directed by Ava DuVernayThe Iron Claw directed by Sean DurkinCheck out Kyle on the Picture Box Cinema Hour Podcast with Gavin.

The Olympic Trials delivered, indoor track is really heating up and it's Millrose Week. Track and field historian Gary Corbitt joins us at 121:29 to talk about the historical impact of the Pioneer Club, one of the first integrated track and field clubs in America, and an exhibit at the New York Historical Society titled, Running for Civil Rights: The New York Pioneer Club, 1936 – 1976, which is open through February 25th. Details here Fiona O'Keefe is America's newest marathon star, Clayton Young and Conner Mantz delivered the goods, but with a less than satisfying finish, and what does the future hold for Zach Panning and Galen Rupp amongst others? Hobbs Kessler took down Jake Wightman and Noah Lyles blasted a 60 at the NBIGP. 00:00 NY Pioneer Club intro 01:25 Prediction Contest sponsored by Relay 02:29 Start - LetsRun Meetup, Orlando vibe 08:42 Olympic Marathon Trials men- Did Clayon let Conner win? 23:11 Amby Burfott says cancel Olympic Marathon Trials? *link 30:09 Zach Panning - brave or foolish? 34:42 Tyler Pennel 2.0? 36:58 CJ Albertson 42:40 Women's Olympic Marathon Trials - Fiona O'Keeffe marathon star 50:24 Emily Sisson's grade 57:21 Marathon Trials Draft results 01:07:56 NBIGP 01:09:47 Hobbs Kessler takes down Wightman 01:19:47 Elle St. Pierre is back 01:24:08 Noah Lyles *WTW 01:32:24 Lyles worry meter 01:35:46 Olympic marathon trials 2nd look- drafting? 01:38:32 Text of week - timing is everything 01:41:27 What if a big name had taken it more conservatively? 01:44:43 Frank Shorter and Bill Rodgers 01:46:08 Rupp's future? 01:51:19 Michael Saruni doping excuse 02:01:29 Guest Gary Corbitt on NY Pioneer Club and Ted Corbitt *Ted Corbitt obituary 02:17:12 Natural History exhibit Details here 02:21:48 Olympic marathon start times 02:27:42 Five borough marathon Links: Pioneer club exhibit details here Ted Corbitt obituary WTW Amby Burfoot link Contact us: Email podcast@letsrun.com or call/text 1-844-LETSRUN podcast voicemail/text line. Want a Millrose Preview podcast (and a 2nd podcast every week?) Join our Supporters Club today and get all the LetsRun.com content, a second podcast every week (the Friday 15), savings on gear, and more. Cancel at anytime. Moneyback guarantee.https://www.letsrun.com/subscribe Check out the LetsRun.com store. https://shop.letsrun.com/ We've got the softest running shirts in the business. Thanks for listening. Please rate us on itunes and spread the word with a friend. There is a reason we're the #1 podcast dedicated to Olympic level running. Find out more at http://podcast.letsrun.com

Status: 24/53 Total | 21/38 Features | 3/15 Shorts | 84/120 Nominations Oscars Nomination Day is upon us and it's time to check out who made it, who didn't and who we think can go all the way. Plus we look at who won the nominations prediction contest this year, and plan out the rest of the episodes for this season 2024 Schedule (Tentative): Jan 31 - Non BP ATL (Nyad + Rustin) + Live Action Shorts Feb 7 - Technicals (Napoleon / The Creator / Godzilla Minus One / GotG3 / MI7 / El Conde / Golda / Indiana Jones 5) Feb 14 - Documentaries + Doc Shorts Feb 21 - Animated Features + Animated Shorts ft ??? Feb 28 - International + Songs (American Symphony / Flamin' Hot) Mar 5 - Winner Predictions ft ??? Mar 13 - Oscars Recap + Catch Up Join the Community! Academy of Death Racers - aodr.net Oscars Death Race Discord - https://discord.gg/gZzsdxKFS5 r/OscarsDeathRace - https://old.reddit.com/r/oscarsdeathrace/ r/OscarRace - https://old.reddit.com/r/oscarrace/ Community Race Progress Tracking Sites - https://oscarsdeathrace.com/ and https://deathracetracking.com/oscars Community Prediction Odds - GoldDerby.com Credits Email: oscarsdeathracepodcast@gmail.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/OscarsDRaceCast iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-oscar-death-race-podcast/id1490975424 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1H4k4ojRI8gDdE0JANfvAV Google Play: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iyauzre7vuce4fnxnbxzqbec6um Podchaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/the-oscars-death-race-podcast-1021552 A Ninjaboi Media Production Email: ninjaboimedia@gmail.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ninjaboimedia Twitter: https://twitter.com/NinjaboiMedia Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/ninjaboi333 Letterboxd: http://letterboxd.com/ninjaboi Music from https://filmmusic.io "Take a Chance" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com) License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) Find out more at https://the-oscar-death-race-podcast.pinecast.co This podcast is powered by Pinecast.

Thanks to everyone who joined the Supporters Club during Worlds! https://www.letsrun.com/subscribe We say goodbye to the 2023 World Track and Field Championships. What are our final thoughts on Worlds? Who were the biggest winners and losers from Worlds? We can never get enough of Jakob Ingebrigtsen, Athing Mu, and of course even Grant Fisher, who wasn't even at Worlds. And we even have a little NYC Marathon talk. Zurich Weltklasse is Thursday. 0:00 Banter 03:59 Prediction Contest is scored https://www.letsrun.com/letsruncontest/logincontest.php 05:19 Jon and Noah Lyles in the airport 10:01 Noah Lyles for the win in Budapest 11:50 Sha'Carri, Noah, Sydney and Usain Bolt 16:22 Athing Mu 19:49 Mary Moraa 22:44 Femke Bol bookends meet 24:42 Reassessing Sydney and Athing 28:00 Jakob Ingebrigtsen 30:30 Disrespect for Josh Kerr? 41:14 Should Jakob and Kipyegon actually be able to do 1500, 5000, 10000 triple? 48:15 Biggest losers 54:42 Fisher, Kincaid, Grijalva 59:10 Yared Nuguse 01:00:13 Fred Kerley, Van Niekerk 01:06:25 Most Impressive non medallist 01:10:11 Men's steeple 01:12:42 Lessons from Worlds 01:20:05 NYC Marathon looking great Email podcast@letsrun.com or call/text 1-844-LETSRUN podcast voicemail/text line. Want a 2nd podcast every week? And savings on running shoes? Join our Supporters Club today and get all the LetsRun.com content, a second podcast every week, savings on running shoes, and a lot more. Cancel at anytime. https://www.letsrun.com/subscribe Check out the LetsRun.com store. https://shop.letsrun.com/ We've got the softest running shirts in the business. Thanks for listening. Please rate us on itunes and spread the word with a friend. There is a reason we're the #1 podcast dedicated to Olympic level running.

The World Track and Field Champs start Saturday in Hungary and we break it all down. Show notes below. Play in our $200,023 BetterRunningShoes.com Prediction Contest and win some great prizes and Suunto watches. Want Daily podcasts from Worlds? Now is your chance. Join our Supporters Club today and get daily podcasts from Worlds and savings on full-price running shoes, and a lot more. Cancel at anytime. https://www.letsrun.com/subscribe Use code CLUB25 to save 25%. Show notes: This is a video about 2023 Worlds preview show 8_15 and Pod 00:00 BetterRunningShoes.com Worlds Prediction Contest Start: Which athlete has the most to gain and lose at Worlds..... Noah Lyles 14:56 Men's 100- Wide Open 21:13 Women's 100- SAFP vs Shericka vs Ta Lou vs Sha'Carri 29:30 Men's 10k- Kiplimo out, does that help Klecker 31:13 Women's 10k loaded with Tsegay, Hassan, Gidey 32:37 Women's 5k as good as the women's 100? 34:00 Igebrigtsen - 1500 and 5000? 43:43 Kipyego/Jakob double chances 46:06 DrinkLMNT offer 50:33 Sydney McLaughlin Out 56:05 Will Athing Mu run? 01:00:38 Over under US distance medals? 01:01:46 Which distance event outside of 800w and 1500m is US most likely to medal in? 01:06:06 Men's Steeple: World record holder Girma the underdog to El Bakkali 01:12:01 400m Hurdles: Karsten Warholm vs Rai Benjamin and dos Santos 01:15:51 Justyn Knight joins Bowerman 01:21:57 San Diego gets World Road Running champs Contact us: Email podcast@letsrun.com or call/text 1-844-LETSRUN podcast voicemail/text line. Want Daily podcasts from Worlds? Now is your chance. Join our Supporters Club today and get daily podcasts from Worlds and savings on full-price running shoes, and a lot more. Cancel at anytime. https://www.letsrun.com/subscribe Use code CLUB25 to save 25%. Play in our $200,023 BetterRunningShoes.com Prediction Contest and win some great prizes and Suunto watches. Check out the LetsRun.com store. https://shop.letsrun.com/ We've got the softest running shirts in the business. Thanks for listening. Please rate us on itunes and spread the word with a friend. There is a reason we're the #1 podcast dedicated to Olympic level running.

To kick off the show, Ian Mendes and Sean McIndoe address being left out of Julian McKenzie and Mark Lazerus' Athletic fantasy Canada vs US ball hockey draft, and discuss why the snub may be a grave error. Then, they look back at this season's DGB prediction contest, and discuss some surprising results, and Sean's GM class rankings. Then, a peculiar situation currently going on in the Senators' front office, Flyers PR apologizes for a hot mic. To wrap up, a dive into the mailbag and a look back with "This Week in Hockey History". Have a question for the show? You can always email theathletichockeyshow@gmail.com, or leave a VM (845) 445-8459! Save on a subscription to The Athletic: theathletic.com/hockeyshow LinkedIn Jobs helps you find the qualified candidates you want to talk to, faster. Post your job for free at LinkedIn.com/NHLSHOW Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This week in lieu of me delaying the episode since I haven't made that much progress on my race, I go back over the guild awards I forgot to update you on over the season, and also announce my Oscars Winner Prediction Contest! Prediction Contest Entry: https://forms.gle/jprTWTk6VaZMUn2v9 Status: 26/54 Total | 26/39 Features | 0/15 Shorts This Season's Schedule (exact dates subject to change) Dec 14 - Welcome Back Dec 21 - Oscars Shortlists Dec 28 - Banshees of Inisherin / Elvis / Glass Onion / EEAAO ft Classic Movies Live Jan 4 - Pinocchio / Fabelmans / Top Gun Maverick / TAR / RRR ft Alex Atienza Jan 11 - Babylon / Avatar 2 / Women Talking / The Woman King ft TBD Jan 18 - Nomination Predictions ft Contra Zoom Pod Jan 25 - Nomination Reactions Feb 1 - - Triangle of Sadness / All Quiet / Black Panther Feb 15 - Docs / Women Talking / Causeway / Aftersun Feb 22(ish) - Guild Awards Catchup Mar 1 - TBD Mar 8 - Winners Predictions ft TBD Mar 15 - Season Wrap Up Join the Community! Academy of Death Racers - aodr.net Oscars Death Race Discord - https://discord.gg/gZzsdxKFS5 r/OscarsDeathRace - https://old.reddit.com/r/oscarsdeathrace/ r/OscarRace - https://old.reddit.com/r/oscarrace/ Community Race Progress Tracking Sites - https://oscarsdeathrace.com/ and https://deathracetracking.com/oscars Community Prediction Odds - GoldDerby.com Credits Email: oscarsdeathracepodcast@gmail.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/OscarsDRaceCast iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-oscar-death-race-podcast/id1490975424 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1H4k4ojRI8gDdE0JANfvAV Google Play: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iyauzre7vuce4fnxnbxzqbec6um Podchaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/the-oscars-death-race-podcast-1021552 A Ninjaboi Media Production Email: ninjaboimedia@gmail.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ninjaboimedia Twitter: https://twitter.com/NinjaboiMedia Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/ninjaboi333 Letterboxd: http://letterboxd.com/ninjaboi Music from https://filmmusic.io "Take a Chance" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com) License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) Find out more at https://the-oscar-death-race-podcast.pinecast.co This podcast is powered by Pinecast.

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: [Crosspost] ACX 2022 Prediction Contest Results, published by Scott Alexander on January 24, 2023 on LessWrong. Original here. Submission statement/relevance to Less Wrong: This forecasting contest confirmed some things we already believed, like that superforecasters can consistently outperform others, or the "wisdom of crowds" effect. It also found a surprising benefit of prediction markets over other aggregation methods, which might or might not be spurious. Several members of the EA and rationalist community scored highly, including one professional AI forecaster. But Less Wrongers didn't consistently outperform members of the general (ACX-reading, forecasting-competition-entering) population. Last year saw surging inflation, a Russian invasion of Ukraine, and a surprise victory for Democrats in the US Senate. Pundits, politicians, and economists were caught flat-footed by these developments. Did anyone get them right? In a very technical sense, the single person who predicted 2022 most accurately was a 20-something data scientist at Amazon's forecasting division. I know this because last January, along with amateur statisticians Sam Marks and Eric Neyman, I solicited predictions from 508 people. This wasn't a very creative or free-form exercise - contest participants assigned percentage chances to 71 yes-or-no questions, like “Will Russia invade Ukraine?” or “Will the Dow end the year above 35000?” The whole thing was a bit hokey and constrained - Nassim Taleb wouldn't be amused - but it had the great advantage of allowing objective scoring. Our goal wasn't just to identify good predictors. It was to replicate previous findings about the nature of prediction. Are some people really “superforecasters” who do better than everyone else? Is there a “wisdom of crowds”? Does the Efficient Markets Hypothesis mean that prediction markets should beat individuals? Armed with 508 people's predictions, can we do math to them until we know more about the future (probabilistically, of course) than any ordinary mortal? After 2022 ended, Sam and Eric used a technique called log-loss scoring to grade everyone's probability estimates. Lower scores are better. The details are hard to explain, but for our contest, guessing 50% for everything would give a score of 40.21, and complete omniscience would give a perfect score of 0. Here's how the contest went: As mentioned above: guessing 50% corresponds to a score of 40.2. This would have put you in the eleventh percentile (yes, 11% of participants did worse than chance). Philip Tetlock and his team have identified “superforecasters” - people who seem to do surprisingly well at prediction tasks, again and again. Some of Tetlock's picks kindly agreed to participate in this contest and let me test them. The median superforecaster outscored 84% of other participants. The “wisdom of crowds” hypothesis says that averaging many ordinary people's predictions produces a “smoothed-out” prediction at least as good as experts. That proved true here. An aggregate created by averaging all 508 participants' guesses scored at the 84th percentile, equaling superforecaster performance. There are fancy ways to adjust people's predictions before aggregating them that outperformed simple averaging in the previous experiments. Eric tried one of these methods, and it scored at the 85th percentile, barely better than the simple average. Crowds can beat smart people, but crowds of smart people do best of all. The aggregate of the 12 participating superforecasters scored at the 97th percentile. Prediction markets did extraordinarily well during this competition, scoring at the 99.5th percentile - ie they beat 506 of the 508 participants, plus all other forms of aggregation. But this is an unfair comparison: our participants were only allowed to spend five minut...

Link to original articleWelcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: [Crosspost] ACX 2022 Prediction Contest Results, published by Scott Alexander on January 24, 2023 on LessWrong. Original here. Submission statement/relevance to Less Wrong: This forecasting contest confirmed some things we already believed, like that superforecasters can consistently outperform others, or the "wisdom of crowds" effect. It also found a surprising benefit of prediction markets over other aggregation methods, which might or might not be spurious. Several members of the EA and rationalist community scored highly, including one professional AI forecaster. But Less Wrongers didn't consistently outperform members of the general (ACX-reading, forecasting-competition-entering) population. Last year saw surging inflation, a Russian invasion of Ukraine, and a surprise victory for Democrats in the US Senate. Pundits, politicians, and economists were caught flat-footed by these developments. Did anyone get them right? In a very technical sense, the single person who predicted 2022 most accurately was a 20-something data scientist at Amazon's forecasting division. I know this because last January, along with amateur statisticians Sam Marks and Eric Neyman, I solicited predictions from 508 people. This wasn't a very creative or free-form exercise - contest participants assigned percentage chances to 71 yes-or-no questions, like “Will Russia invade Ukraine?” or “Will the Dow end the year above 35000?” The whole thing was a bit hokey and constrained - Nassim Taleb wouldn't be amused - but it had the great advantage of allowing objective scoring. Our goal wasn't just to identify good predictors. It was to replicate previous findings about the nature of prediction. Are some people really “superforecasters” who do better than everyone else? Is there a “wisdom of crowds”? Does the Efficient Markets Hypothesis mean that prediction markets should beat individuals? Armed with 508 people's predictions, can we do math to them until we know more about the future (probabilistically, of course) than any ordinary mortal? After 2022 ended, Sam and Eric used a technique called log-loss scoring to grade everyone's probability estimates. Lower scores are better. The details are hard to explain, but for our contest, guessing 50% for everything would give a score of 40.21, and complete omniscience would give a perfect score of 0. Here's how the contest went: As mentioned above: guessing 50% corresponds to a score of 40.2. This would have put you in the eleventh percentile (yes, 11% of participants did worse than chance). Philip Tetlock and his team have identified “superforecasters” - people who seem to do surprisingly well at prediction tasks, again and again. Some of Tetlock's picks kindly agreed to participate in this contest and let me test them. The median superforecaster outscored 84% of other participants. The “wisdom of crowds” hypothesis says that averaging many ordinary people's predictions produces a “smoothed-out” prediction at least as good as experts. That proved true here. An aggregate created by averaging all 508 participants' guesses scored at the 84th percentile, equaling superforecaster performance. There are fancy ways to adjust people's predictions before aggregating them that outperformed simple averaging in the previous experiments. Eric tried one of these methods, and it scored at the 85th percentile, barely better than the simple average. Crowds can beat smart people, but crowds of smart people do best of all. The aggregate of the 12 participating superforecasters scored at the 97th percentile. Prediction markets did extraordinarily well during this competition, scoring at the 99.5th percentile - ie they beat 506 of the 508 participants, plus all other forms of aggregation. But this is an unfair comparison: our participants were only allowed to spend five minut...

Thanks to the 3295 of you who participated in Stage 1 of the 2023 Prediction Contest (“Blind Mode”). This is now closed. You can keep submitting Blind Mode answers if you want, but they won't count and you can't win. Stage 2 (“Full Mode”) is now upon us! Your job is now to use any resources you choose, to get predictions as accurate as you can. There's no such thing as cheating, short of time travel or murdering competitors! Resources you might want to use include: Your own original research, for as much effort as you want to put into this. I'm only offering $500 prizes this year, so don't spend too much time. But you can if you want. Prediction markets and forecasting tournaments on these questions. It's not worth copying these verbatim - their management will be submitting their own entries, and if they win I'll credit it to them and not you - but you can use them as resources or a place to start. The 3295 blind mode answers. You can get them as an XLSX at 2023blindmode Predictions 1.81MB ∙ XLSX File Download or http://slatestarcodex.com/Stuff/2023blindmode_predictions.xlsx , or get them as a .csv at http://slatestarcodex.com/Stuff/2023blindmode_predictions.csv . Feel free to take the average or otherwise run fancy aggregation algorithms on them. When respondents gave permission, I included their ACX Survey answers. If you want to double-weight people with PhDs, or exclude all Australians, or test whether forecasting accuracy is correlated with how vividly people dream, now you have the data you need. The form will ask you for a short description of what strategy you used - if you win, I'll probably contact you later asking for more details. You can enter your Full Mode predictions on the same form, https://forms.gle/Caxh4TxEVZqrw9yV8

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest Each winter, I make predictions about the year to come. The past few years, this has outgrown my blog, with other people including Zvi and Manifold (plus Sam and Eric's contest version). This year I'm making it official, with a 50-question 2023 Prediction Benchmark Question Set. I hope that this can be used as a common standard to compare different forecasters and forecasting site (Manifold and Metaculus have already agreed to use it, and I'm hoping to get others). Also, I'd like to do an ACX Survey later this month, and this will let me try to correlate personality traits with forecasting accuracy. —You can see the questions and enter the contest here—

Peter Klein runs through the American League win totals with a team-by-team breakdown as we get ready for the MLB season. Then Peter announces the winner of the first Couch Potato Diary Wrestlemania Prediction Contest.

On the final episode of this season of the Oscars Death Race Podcast, we ignore a certain slap and go over how I wrapped up the Death Race with 7 minutes to spare, who won at the Deathies Awards, Who won at the Oscars awards, who did the best at my Predictions contest, and what the Best Picture Winner says about Netflix's performance at the Oscars this past few years. Catch you all next year! We Make Movies Better Parody: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xtubfwx_xaM We Don't Talk About Bruno Parody: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PY34SwSA49I 2nd Annual Deathies Awards: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CvnSG77ohlw This Seasons' Guests can be found at Alex's Letterboxd: https://letterboxd.com/almowbs/ Adele's Letterboxd: https://letterboxd.com/at34712/ Alex Atienza's Letterboxd: https://letterboxd.com/aatienza/ Classic Movies Live: https://open.spotify.com/show/3gy7EYnn7LORzZIgBOF7wG ContraZoomPod: https://open.spotify.com/show/0rdhbCzOpccrSUJG7taoYn SomeGuyNamedJames Letterboxd: https://letterboxd.com/aboycalledjames/ Current Status: 38/38 Features | 15/15 Shorts This Season's Schedule Dec 22 - Oscars Shortlists Jan 12 - Streaming Nominees (The Power of the Dog / Don't Look Up / Tick Tick Boom / Being the Ricardos) ft AODR Jan 19 - Genre Nominees (Dune / West Side Story / Nightmare Alley / The Tragedy of Macbeth) ft Alex Atienza Jan 26 - Coming of Age Nominees (Belfast / Licorice Pizza / KIng Richard / CODA) ft Classic Movies Live Feb 2 - Nominations Predictions ft Contra Zoom Pod Feb 9 - Nominations Reactions + the Race is On Feb 16 - Animated Films Feb 23 - International Films Mar 2 - Technical Nominations Mar 16 - Catching Up Mar 23 - Predicting the Winners ft SomeGuyNamedJames Mar 30 - Season Wrap Up Join the Community! Academy of Death Racers - aodr.net Oscars Death Race Discord - https://discord.gg/gZzsdxKFS5 r/OscarsDeathRace - https://old.reddit.com/r/oscarsdeathrace/ r/OscarRace - https://old.reddit.com/r/oscarrace/ Community Race Progress Tracking Sites - https://oscarsdeathrace.com/ and https://oscarsdeathrace.netlify.app/ Community Prediction Odds - GoldDerby.com Credits Email: oscarsdeathracepodcast@gmail.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/OscarsDRaceCast iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-oscar-death-race-podcast/id1490975424 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1H4k4ojRI8gDdE0JANfvAV Google Play: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iyauzre7vuce4fnxnbxzqbec6um Podchaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/the-oscars-death-race-podcast-1021552 A Ninjaboi Media Production Email: ninjaboimedia@gmail.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ninjaboimedia Twitter: https://twitter.com/NinjaboiMedia Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/ninjaboi333 Letterboxd: http://letterboxd.com/ninjaboi Music from https://filmmusic.io "Take a Chance" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com) License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) Find out more at https://the-oscar-death-race-podcast.pinecast.co This podcast is powered by Pinecast.

In this episode, Steve previews the PGA Tour Playoffs as players begin their quest for the Fedex Cup. Submit your prediction on who you think will walk away with the cup and win some great prizes. Listen for details!! Steve answers some great questions from listeners. Listen to answers to the following questions: Theory on Jack Nicklaus ball position recommendation Club laid off at the top of the backswing Lifting the left heel on the backswing Overcoming arthritis pain in the hands Drills for beginner golfers Getting rid of the pulls Knee bend at setup Pros & Cons of chipping with high lofted wedges Thank you to Pure on Main for sponsoring this podcast! Live a healthier life by achieving whole body wellness the all-natural way with the help of Pure On Main! Visit their website at www.pureonmain.com and start feeling better and living a healthier life!       Thank you to StretchLab of Greenville for sponsoring the podcast! Are you are looking to improve your golf performance? Are you wanting to decrease joint pain? Maybe you simply want a great stretch. No matter what brings you into StretchLab – the benefits of a professional assisted stretching routine are tremendous. Visit their website at www.stretchlab.com to learn more about how they can improve your golf game and your health.    www.goforthgolfinstruction.com           www.willow-creekgolf.com

Mortal Kombat director Simon McQuoid joins the show! We chat about adapting the iconic video game franchise, and creating edge-of-your-seat fight scenes. He also gets into the details behind deciding which of the fan-favorite characters had to bite the dust, and how they set themselves up for a sequel. We also get into some spoilers about the movie’s new character it’s introducing to the franchise, but don’t worry this episode is spoiler free. Keep an eye on our social channels for that clip to drop after the movie is release this weekend. If that wasn’t enough for you, we also have our annual Oscars predictions segment in which the guys lock in their final predictions for who will take home each award at this year’s ceremony. Whoever gets the most correct will get to subject the others to a viewing of a movie of their choosing…however terrible or horrifying it may be. *This Week In Movies* --------------------- - Demon Slayer The Movie: Mugen Train - Together Together (limited) - Mortal Kombat *ReelBlend Premium* ------------------- Sign up for an extra episode a week, a bi-weekly newsletter from Sean, and ad-free episodes at bit.ly/reelblendpremium ( https://bit.ly/reelblendpremium ). *ReelBlend on YouTube* ---------------------- Be sure to subscribe to ** ReelBlend ( https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYIG77MzbUQ40aaWF3nX2FA ) on YouTube (YouTube.com/ReelBlendPodcast) for full episodes of the show in video form. *Follow The Show* ----------------- ReelBlend - *@ReelBlend* ( https://twitter.com/ReelBlend ) Sean - *@Sean_OConnell* ( https://twitter.com/Sean_OConnell ) Jake - *@JakesTakes* ( https://twitter.com/JakesTakes ) Kevin - *@KevinMcCarthyTV* ( https://twitter.com/KevinMcCarthyTV ) Gabe - *@gabeKovacs* ( https://twitter.com/gabekovacs ) *ReelBlend Merch* ----------------- We have all kinds of fun merch for dedicated Blenders to flaunt their fandom with pride. ( cinemablend.com/shop ( https://app.redcircle.com/shows/0c2b4c55-eca7-471e-9354-4f307fc4169c/ep/cinemablend.com/shop ) ) *Timestamps (approx. only)* --------------------------- 3:04 - Weekly Poll 6:29 - Simon McQuoid Interview 35:34 - Final Oscars Predictions 1:23:22 - This Week In Movies 1:34:30 - Favorite Michael Giacchino 1:43:43 - Outro Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/reelblend/exclusive-content Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

WATCH THE FULL VIDEO VERSION - HERE PATREON EXCLUSIVE AUDIO - HERE It's finally here! On today's show we announce the winner of #TheMandalorian Season 2 Prediction contest and perhaps speak to the winner! Who will win... Baby Yoda vomits? Ahsoka tells Din about Yoda? Mark Hamill de-aged?THE IGNITE THE GREEN T-SHIRT IS BACK! https://www.belowthecollar.com/steele...CLASSIC T'S FOR JUST $9.95 WITH STICKER PACKS! https://merchostore.com Listen to the award winning Steele Wars Star Wars podcast... Patreon : https://www.Patreon.com/SteeleWarsWebsite : https://www.SteeleWars.com/YouTube : https://www.YouTube.com/SteeleWarsPodcast Audio : https://play.acast.com/s/steele-wars-star-warsiTunes : https://www.SteeleWars.com/iTunesGoogle Play :

WATCH THE FULL VIDEO VERSION - HERE PATREON EXCLUSIVE AUDIO - HERE VOTE ON THE WINNER HERE : https://twitter.com/SteeleWars/status/1349222564447481858Let's review all the predictions in #TheMandalorian season 2 prediction contest to see who actually got it right before we choose which correct prediction was the "best" thus winning the Darksaber of Prediction! THE IGNITE THE GREEN T-SHIRT IS BACK! https://www.belowthecollar.com/steele... CLASSIC T'S FOR JUST $9.95 WITH STICKER PACKS! https://merchostore.com Listen to the award winning Steele Wars Star Wars podcast... Patreon : https://www.Patreon.com/SteeleWarsWebsite : https://www.SteeleWars.com/YouTube : https://www.YouTube.com/SteeleWarsPodcast Audio : https://play.acast.com/s/steele-wars-star-warsiTunes :

WATCH THE FULL VIDEO VERSION - HERE! A cast of dozens join the show for a super fun night of The Mandalorian predictions!Who will live, who will die, who will win the Darksaber of Prediction?LISTEN FREE ON...ITUNES FEEDDOWNLOADYOUTUBESPOTIFYGOOGLE PLAYRSS FEEDNEW STEELE WARS T-SHIRTSSTICKERS & CLASSIC T-SHIRTSSUPPORT STEELE WARS ON PATREON!Get a exclusive feed with every Steele Wars main episode and all the Youtube content in audio form for hassle free listening direct to your podcast app of choice. Daily episodes Mon - Fri.Plus hear ALL the weekly ongoing bonus Patreon content support the podcast for just $3 a month. Over 600 episodes.CLICK HERE TO CHECK IT OUT! See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Jack Bauer and I talk about Week 1 of the Prediction Contest and a little about Hyrox Dallas. Plus Lillie Elkin discusses her 5th place finish in Jacksonville USNS Race. Picks Contest Week 1 Results Lillie on IG OCR Discord Chat Support Us On Patreon  

THE RESULTS ARE IN! Which one of the KTX Boys will win the E3 2019 Prediction Contest and take home their VERY OWN PIZZA?! The answer may surprise you. ---------- And don't forget our other social medias! https://twitter.com/keeptappinx https://twitch.tv/keeptappinx https://facebook.com/keeptappinx youtube.com/keeptappinx And search for us on the iTunes store and Google Play Music for more free downloads of the podcast! Be sure to look up Keep Tappin' X on YouTube for Let's Plays, visuals for the Podcast and more content from these lovable Boys!

E3 rolls around again and what better way to celebrate than a friendly competition... TO THE DEATH? The death of any healthy diets, of course! David, Blake and Colby get together to discuss their predictions for E3 2019! Winner (Colby) gets a pizza paid for by the losers (those other two dorks)! ---------- And don't forget our other social medias! https://twitter.com/keeptappinx https://twitch.tv/keeptappinx https://facebook.com/keeptappinx youtube.com/keeptappinx And search for us on the iTunes store and Google Play Music for more free downloads of the podcast! Be sure to look up Keep Tappin' X on YouTube for Let's Plays, visuals for the Podcast and more content from these lovable Boys!

http://traffic.libsyn.com/foregolfersnetwork/FGN_Episode_114_-_Masters_Pvw_4-8-19.mp3 Welcome to a Special Edition of the Fore Golfers Network Podcast! We're thrilled to present this special MASTERS PREVIEW and Contest! Here's the rundown of the podcast and the entry info for our prediction contest: MASTERS PREVIEW RUNDOWN: (:10) Prediction Contest Details (4:14) Ryan Lavner from Golf Channel (16:15) Dan Bier from Two Inches Short (36:09) Brian Taylor from Real Golf Radio PREDICTION CONTEST INFO: We're putting your prediction skills to the test by asking you to forecast the Champion (worth 50 points), 2nd place (worth 25 points), and 3rd place (worth 15 points). There's only one way to enter - call the FGN 24/7 Listener Hotline - 989-787-0193 - before play officially begins at the 2019 Masters Tournament. The Grand Prize Winner will receive a pair of Footjoys of your choice (up to $299 value) and the t-Shirt of your choice from the TwoInchesShort.com Pro Shop! One entry per household. No purchase necessary. Must be 18 or older. In the event of a tie, a random drawing will determine the Grand Prize winner. Please subscribe to the FGN Podcast!

WE'RE BACK!LIFEGUFF! SNEEZEGUFF!TELLYGUFF! THE GRAND TOUR!PEEP SHOW! THE GOOD PLACE!END OF THE FUCKING WORLD!GAMEGUFF! TOWNIE WASN'T LISTENING!PROBABLY HITMAN OR MARIO!MOVIEGUFF! PLANET OF THE APES!INGRID GOES WEST! STAR WARS!2018 PREDICTION CONTEST!EMAILS! MELTZER BRAIN!EXTRA AWARDS! DARK!ENJOY WRESTLING! PREMIER LEAGUE!MORE PREDICTION RESULTS!MOVIE CAREERS! MARK WAHLBERG! NEWS! PAIGE CAREER OVER!?EC3 GONE! TNA CHANGES!JERICHO VS. OMEGA! *****!AND MUCH, MUCH MORE!

Neil Bolt and Ben Shillabeer-Hall do battle in the predictions for WWE Fastlane, and this time they have tag-team partners in Alfonso Boxill and Mike Harradence. Can Neil extend his lead from Elimination Chamber? Or will the clueless duo of Ben and Mike claw back the two point deficit?

The Jordan Breen Show was back Wednesday on the Sherdog Radio Network. On this broadcast Breen takes listener contests, gives us an update on the MMA Athlete's Association, and take's the first prediction for the SRN's annual prediction contest.

Karlee, Kevin, Will, Matt. and Josh all gather round the podcastin' table to discuss how decent this week's Monday Night Raw was, how badly the finish to Charlotte vs Nikki Bella played out (spoilers: very), have the Night of Champions prediction contest, and much more! Remember to leave a five star review wherever you're listening and send any feedback you may have to livewrestlingpod@gmail.com! Listen in!

The "Let's Talk Jets" radio show is proud to announce a draft contest for all of their listeners and supporters.  Details below:To become eligible: You must follow "Let's Talk Jets" on Twitter: (@TalkJetsRadio)To enter: Call in live (929) 477-2651 on Tuesday, May 6, show begins at 8 pm.  Share your first and second round predictions for the New York Jets in the 2014 NFL Draft with Dennis Agapito and Tyson Rauch, or tweet your predictions using the @TalkJetsRadio tag.  Deadline is May 6th, 11:59pm  The Prize: An autographed New York Jets item.All entrants having both the first and second round players correct will be placed into a random drawing for the prize.  The winner will be announced on Friday, May 9th, via Twitter.  If there are no correct entries a random winner will be selected from all of the participants.Certified scout and draft analyst Ron Pickett from (TheFootballEducator.com) will also be helping break down the upcoming NFL draft."Let's Talk Jets" can now be found on iTunes. (Link Here).

On this week's episode of Keepin' It Strong Style, Jeremy Donovan and the "Young Boy" Josh Smith are joined by Chris Bryan from "Grown Men Watch This S***?". Jeremy, Josh, and Chris review the June 25th Kizuna Road Show, NJPW Southern Showdown, preview the first night of the G1 Climax 29, award the WOTM/MOTM, answer listener questions, and cover all the latest news in the world of New Japan Pro Wrestling.Chris Bryan's Match Recommendation of the Week: Yuji Nagata vs Kazunari MurakamiEnter our G1 Climax 29 Prediction Contest: https://socialsuplex.com/keepin-it-strong-style-g1-climax-29-prediction-contest/Get the official Keepin' It Strong Style t-shirt from Pro Wrestling Tees!Follow us on Twitter: @SocialSuplex, @KIStrongStyle, & @JeremyLDonovanLike us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SocialSuplex/Visit our website for news, columns, and podcasts: https://socialsuplex.com/Join the Social Suplex community Facebook Group: The Wrestling (Squared) CircleKeepin' It Strong Style is the New Japan Pro Wrestling Podcast of the Social Suplex Podcast Network. Support the Social Podcast Network by leaving a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and StitcherGet a free first month of over 5000 hours of independent wrestling from across the globe on Powerslam.TV, with the promo code “SOCIALSUPLEX"Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/keepin-it-strong-style/donations

On this week's episode of Keepin' It Strong Style, Jeremy Donovan and the "Young Boy" Josh Smith are joined by Chris Bryan from "Grown Men Watch This S***?". Jeremy, Josh, and Chris review the June 25th Kizuna Road Show, NJPW Southern Showdown, preview the first night of the G1 Climax 29, award the WOTM/MOTM, answer listener questions, and cover all the latest news in the world of New Japan Pro Wrestling.Chris Bryan's Match Recommendation of the Week: Yuji Nagata vs Kazunari MurakamiEnter our G1 Climax 29 Prediction Contest: https://socialsuplex.com/keepin-it-strong-style-g1-climax-29-prediction-contest/Get the official Keepin' It Strong Style t-shirt from Pro Wrestling Tees!Follow us on Twitter: @SocialSuplex, @KIStrongStyle, & @JeremyLDonovanLike us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SocialSuplex/Visit our website for news, columns, and podcasts: https://socialsuplex.com/Join the Social Suplex community Facebook Group: The Wrestling (Squared) CircleKeepin' It Strong Style is the New Japan Pro Wrestling Podcast of the Social Suplex Podcast Network. Support the Social Podcast Network by leaving a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and StitcherGet a free first month of over 5000 hours of independent wrestling from across the globe on Powerslam.TV, with the promo code “SOCIALSUPLEX"Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/social-suplex-podcast-network/donations