Podcast appearances and mentions of nassim taleb

Der MSCI World wurde Ende Mai neu sortiert – und der USA-Anteil klettert auf rekordverdächtige 74 Prozent. Drei Viertel Amerika, dazu jede Menge Tech und große Werte: Ist das noch ein vernünftiges Basisinvestment oder ein gefährliches Klumpenrisiko? Die beiden Wirtschaftsjournalisten Dietmar Deffner und Holger Zschäpitz diskutieren, erinnern an Japan, das Ende der 1980er mal 45 Prozent des Index ausmachte und danach ein Jahrzehnt lang für Underperformance sorgte. Die beiden gehen die Alternativen durch: FTSE All World, der breite MSCI ACWI IMI mit Schwellenländern und Small Caps, der BIP-gewichtete Amundi-FTSE All World ETF, der Länder nach Wirtschaftsleistung sortiert, und der Gerd-Kommer-Multifactor-ETF. Dazu Bullen und Bären der Woche — von Nebius (plus 645 Prozent in einem Jahr) über Alphabets Rekord-Kapitalerhöhung von 80 Milliarden Dollar bis zur abgestürzten Beiersdorf-Aktie. Plus: die Barbell-Strategie nach Nassim Taleb und die alles entscheidende Deo-Frage. DEFFNER & ZSCHÄPITZ sind wie das wahre Leben. Wie Optimist und Pessimist. Im wöchentlichen WELT-Podcast diskutieren und streiten die Journalisten Dietmar Deffner und Holger Zschäpitz über die wichtigen Wirtschaftsthemen des Alltags. Schreibt uns an: wirtschaftspodcast@welt.de Impressum: https://www.welt.de/services/article7893735/Impressum.html Datenschutzerklärung: https://www.welt.de/services/article157550705/Datenschutzerklaerung-WELT-DIGITAL.html

In this episode of Investing Unscripted, Jason and Jeff are joined by longtime friend and investing educator Brian Stoffel. Brian shares his fascinating journey from a middle school writing teacher in Washington, D.C., to discovering Warren Buffett in Costa Rica, and eventually becoming a prominent writer for The Motley Fool. The trio dives deep into Brian's investing evolution—blending the extreme optimism of David Gardner with the anti-fragility of Nassim Taleb—and the painful valuation lessons learned during the 2022 bear market. They also tackle the burning question: "Will AI kill SaaS?", exploring the protective moats of high switching costs, physical world connections, and mission-critical proprietary data.  01:47 Dave Ramsey Story 04:00 From Teacher to Fool 07:25 Buffett Book and Costa Rica 11:56 Berkshire Meeting Takeaways 18:33 Evolving Investing Style 25:30 AI and SaaS Moats 29:15 SaaS Winners in Selloff 29:47 Shopify and Toast Moats 31:56 Physical World Edge 32:54 Proprietary vs Synthetic Data 34:23 Leadership and SaaS Evolution 36:17 Margins TAM and Volume 37:23 Compute Costs and Jevons 43:16 AI Everywhere Anecdotes 45:58 Investor Mindset Rules 47:32 Fads Position Sizing 52:33 Luck Skill and Plugs 56:51 Closing Thanks Disclaimer Check out Brian's work: https://www.stockinvestingmentor.com Companies mentioned: AMZN, AXON, CRM, CRWD, DDD, GOOG, GOOGL, NET, NFLX, NVDA, SHOP, SSYS, TOST, TTD Find where to listen & subscribe,  portfolio contests, and contact information at https://investingunscripted.com ***************************************** To get 15% off any paid plan at fiscal.ai, visit https://fiscal.ai/unscripted Listen to the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast for discussions on stocks, financial markets, super investors, and more. Follow the show on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or YouTube ***************************************** Join our PatreonSubscribe to our portfolio on Savvy Trader Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

En esta conversación exploramos, junto a Alex Sanz Vicente, el mundo del branding, la percepción de marca y cómo las interacciones diarias influyen en la construcción de la identidad de una marca. Desde conceptos básicos hasta estrategias avanzadas, descubren cómo influir en la percepción y gestionar la reputación en un entorno digital y social en constante cambio. En esta conversación profunda, exploramos cómo las marcas y comunidades pueden construir autenticidad, confianza y pertenencia en un mundo digital en constante cambio. Desde ejemplos concretos como Nike o Liquid Death hasta la importancia de la última milla en marca personal, profundizamos en estrategias para conectar genuinamente con audiencias e, incluso, fortalecer la identidad nacional. "Saber es perdonar" "Lo que no sabes puede ser tu mayor limitación" Palabras clave branding, percepción de marca, comunicación, identidad, estrategia, marketing, redes sociales, influencia, cultura, comunidad marca personal, comunidad, Liquid Death, última milla, marca país, comunicación auténtica, redes sociales, confianza, identidad, liderazgo Temas centrales Definición de marca y percepción El papel de la comunicación y la identidad Estrategias para influir en la percepción pública La importancia de la coherencia y la autenticidad El impacto de las interacciones diarias en la reputación: El ejemplo de Liquid Death y su estrategia de marca La importancia de la comunidad genuina y creíble La dificultad y valor de construir una marca país El concepto de la última milla en marca personal y autoridad La complejidad de la comunicación en la era digital Minutaje: 00:00 Introducción al Branding y la Identidad 03:03 Percepción y Construcción de Marca 06:05 La Identidad en el Entorno Empresarial 08:58 La Honestidad en las Interacciones 12:10 El Impacto del Libro de Carnegie 14:59 La Comunicación en la Era Digital 17:53 Datos y Estrategias de Marketing 21:14 Conclusiones sobre Marca y Autenticidad 24:14 La Importancia de los Datos en las Empresas 27:25 Estrategias de Comunicación y el Cliente Ideal 30:25 Limitaciones y Oportunidades en el Marketing 33:33 La Reacción en la Estrategia de Marca 36:19 Entendiendo las Limitaciones y la Política en las Marcas 41:46 La Conversación como Clave en la Marca 49:25 Estrategias de Marca en Mercados Competitivos 52:21 La Importancia de la Adaptación y la Persistencia 53:56 Construyendo Comunidades de Marca 01:00:03 La Última Milla en la Comunicación 01:07:39 Limitaciones y Oportunidades en el Marketing Personal 01:12:51 Definiendo la Marca España 01:15:05 La Complejidad de la Conversación 01:17:08 La Importancia de la Escucha Activa 01:20:16 Construyendo Comunidad y Marca 01:23:33 El Futuro de la Identidad Española 01:26:01 Desafíos y Reflexiones sobre España Recursos Libros: Dale Carnegie - Cómo ganar amigos e influir sobre las personas - https://www.amazon.es/ganar-amigos-influir-personas-Deusto/dp/8423440028?tag=masdivi-21 Chris Voss – Rompe la barrera del no - https://www.amazon.es/Rompe-barrera-del-principios-negociar/dp/8416029741?tag=masdivi-21 Antifrágil de Nassim Taleb - https://www.amazon.es/Antifr%C3%A1gil-cosas-benefician-desorden-Contextos/dp/844934185X?tag=masdivi-21 2666 de Roberto Bolaño - https://www.amazon.es/2666-CONTEMPORANEA-Roberto-Bola%C3%B1o/dp/8466337121?tag=masdivi-21 Fundación de Isaac Asimov - https://www.amazon.es/Estuche-fundaci%C3%B3n-contiene-Fundaci%C3%B3n-Imperio/dp/8466389245?tag=masdivi-21 Podcasts: La Ingobernable - https://www.laringobernable.com Episodio Kapital (Joan Tubau) con Luis Bassat - https://open.spotify.com/episode/5kYnzbBGWt8A6KHlxq51oQ?si=W1WanY-EQV-S67AZnVrEmA Ilustres pucelanos con Alex Sanz Vicente - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHpNav2CabY Documentales: Abstract: El arte del diseño https://www.netflix.com/es/title/80057883 La industria de los expertos: https://www.rtve.es/play/videos/documentos-tv/documentos-tv-industria-expertos-comienzo/1753156/ Webs: Microbio Comunicación: https://www.microbio.tv/ Generalismo: https://www.generalismo.com Comunidad CPS: https://www.comunidadcps.es/ El mejor románico del MUNDO: https://www.diputaciondepalencia.es/sitio/turismo/rutas-culturales/rutas-romanico Perfiles Invitado: Twitter - https://twitter.com/alexsanzvicente LinkedIn – https://www.linkedin.com/in/alex-sanz-vicente/ Otros: Javier Recuenco https://x.com/Recuenco Guillermo de Haro https://x.com/deharoguillermo Joan Tubau https://x.com/joantubau

ROAS steigt, CAC stabil, Conversion Rate verbessert – und dann fragt Finance, warum der Deckungsbeitrag sinkt. Stille im Raum. Nicht weil jemand gelogen hat, sondern weil alle denselben Report gelesen haben und trotzdem in unterschiedlichen Realitäten unterwegs waren. Das ist kein Datenproblem. Das ist ein Durchschnittsproblem. In dieser Episode geht es um eine der gefährlichsten Zahlen im Marketing: nicht weil sie falsch berechnet ist, sondern weil sie strukturell lügt. Wer nur auf aggregierte KPIs schaut, verwechselt sauberes Reporting mit wirtschaftlicher Kontrolle – und merkt es meistens erst dann, wenn der Cashflow ausgeht.

Chris Voss is the former lead international kidnapping negotiator for the FBI. For seven years, his job was to talk people out of the worst decisions of their lives. He's the reason a bank robber walked out of a Manhattan branch after an eight-hour standoff and surrendered to him personally on the sidewalk. A teammate named Jamie Sedania passed Chris two notes at critical moments. Those two notes ended the standoff.But Chris didn't start there. He grew up in a small town in Iowa, the son of an entrepreneur who put every kid to work the moment they could carry trash. He joined the Kansas City police, then the FBI, then the New York Joint Terrorist Task Force. He applied for the hostage negotiation team and got rejected. The woman in charge told him to go volunteer on a suicide hotline first. He did. That decision changed everything, because tactical empathy doesn't get built in simulation rooms. It gets built in conversations where the stakes are someone's life.Today Chris is the founder of the Black Swan Group, named after Nassim Taleb's book on the impact of the highly improbable. He's the author of Never Split The Difference, a book that has sold millions of copies and still ranks #1 in negotiation a decade after release. In this episode of Truth Works, he sits down with Jessica Neal and Peter Clark to unpack how the skills that brought hostages home alive close million-dollar deals, win raises, and transform hiring conversations.This is not a tactics episode. It's a conversation about what happens inside the human brain when someone feels heard, and why coachability is the rarest and most expensive trait in any room.What you'll learn:The 6 second silence rule that triggers oxytocin and serotonin, and why most people destroy it by speaking too soonWhy "negotiate your career, not your salary" is the only raise strategy that actually works, and the exact opening line to use with your bossThe 3 negotiator types (assertive, analyst, accommodator) and how the same silence lands differently with eachHow to spot when you're the fool in the game (20% of the time, you are)Why Stephen Covey got "seek first to understand" wrong, and the small correction Chris makesThe tactical empathy framework, why it was rebranded from plain "empathy," and the neuroscience underneath itThe single observation Chris makes at the grocery store that turns a produce clerk into a personal tour guideThe Robert Greene charmer principle that explains why some people make you feel like the most interesting person in the roomWhy coachability is the rarest trait in any room, and the man on a plane who proved it in 10 secondsThe bank robbery story, the swap negotiator tactic, and the two notes that ended an eight-hour standoffThe 22 second silence Elon Musk held with Lex Fridman, and what came out the other sideLearn more about Chris, his Professional Dealmaker Day on May 15th, and his upcoming salary negotiation course at blackswanltd.com.Truth Works is hosted by Jessica Neal, former Chief Talent Officer at Netflix. New episodes drop weekly. Subscribe for more honest conversations on leadership, work, and what needs to change.

LISTEN and SUBSCRIBE on:Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/watchdog-on-wall-street-with-chris-markowski/id570687608 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2PtgPvJvqc2gkpGIkNMR5i WATCH and SUBSCRIBE on:https://www.youtube.com/@WatchdogOnWallstreet/featured  Drawing from Nassim Taleb's concept of “antifragile,” Chris explores how setbacks, stress, and failure can make people stronger instead of weaker. From investing and fitness to faith and personal growth, it's a reminder that character is built through adversity — not comfort.

Imagine your Rock admin takes two weeks off for vacation with no handoff, no Slack notification, no "just text me if you need something" message. What breaks first? Whatever comes to mind is your starting point for what Nassim Taleb calls the fragility list.In this episode, Jon, Emily, and Nicole apply Talebʼs concept of antifragility to church systems inside Rock. Most people think the opposite of fragile is tough, but Taleb says thereʼs a third category for things that become stronger under stress. Glass breaks under tension but muscle grows, so should your systems.Jon shares an update about v19 in Beta Testing, and early AI Agent capabilities in this release. After engagement from social media on church budgets and AI pricing, he explains further how churches can prepare their budgets now while AI tools are still subsidized.Visit the show notes to find all the resources talked about in this episode. Don't forget to join the new Rock Cast Rocket Chat Channel to see what other churches are saying about this episode. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In one sentence, the philosopher Nassim Taleb encapsulates the power of Stoic philosophy.This episode explores the transformative power of a profound sentence.Apply it and you may just transform your life.Ignore it at your peril. It delves into how fear, pain, mistakes, and desire can be harnessed for personal growth, using Stoic principles and real-life examples like Jiu Jitsu. Key TopicsThe transformative sentence from Nassim Nicholas TalebThe role of fear and prudence in growthPain as a catalyst for transformationMistakes as initiation into masteryDesire as a driver for undertaking goals

¿Sientes que cuanto más presionas, menos avanzas? No es falta de esfuerzo, es física. En este directo vamos a desmantelar la "Trampa del Observador". Te voy a explicar por qué revisar tus métricas, tu cuenta o tus proyectos con ansiedad activa el Efecto Zeno Cuántico, un fenómeno documentado que impide que un sistema cambie de estado mientras es observado. Hoy aprenderás: Por qué "la olla vigilada no hierve" (Fundamento científico). Cómo diferenciar la gestión real del ruido ansioso (Nassim Taleb). El protocolo para pasar de la vigilancia al colapso de resultados. TU DIAGNÓSTICO: Si quieres saber qué tanto está interfiriendo tu mirada en tus resultados, comenta la palabra EFECTO y te enviaré el Escáner de Interferencia (DEP) para medir tu nivel de estancamiento actual. #salvadormingo #conocimientoexperto #soberaniaoperativa #efectozeno #físicacuántica #mentalidaddeéxito #productividadreal #nassimtaleb #estrategia #gestióndeltiempo #enfoqueinterno Salvador Mingo Creador de Conocimiento Experto | Estratega en desarrollo personal y enfoque interno CONECTA CONMIGO: Contacto: salvador@conocimientoexperto.com Enlaces oficiales: Web: https://conocimientoexperto.com YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@conocimientoexperto Podcast (Spotify): https://spoti.fi/2yS9p38 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/salvadormingo/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/salvadormingoce/

¿Sientes que cuanto más presionas, menos avanzas? No es falta de esfuerzo, es física. En este directo vamos a desmantelar la "Trampa del Observador". Te voy a explicar por qué revisar tus métricas, tu cuenta o tus proyectos con ansiedad activa el Efecto Zeno Cuántico, un fenómeno documentado que impide que un sistema cambie de estado mientras es observado. Hoy aprenderás: Por qué "la olla vigilada no hierve" (Fundamento científico). Cómo diferenciar la gestión real del ruido ansioso (Nassim Taleb). El protocolo para pasar de la vigilancia al colapso de resultados. TU DIAGNÓSTICO: Si quieres saber qué tanto está interfiriendo tu mirada en tus resultados, comenta la palabra EFECTO y te enviaré el Escáner de Interferencia (DEP) para medir tu nivel de estancamiento actual. #salvadormingo #conocimientoexperto #soberaniaoperativa #efectozeno #físicacuántica #mentalidaddeéxito #productividadreal #nassimtaleb #estrategia #gestióndeltiempo #enfoqueinterno Salvador Mingo Creador de Conocimiento Experto | Estratega en desarrollo personal y enfoque interno CONECTA CONMIGO: Contacto: salvador@conocimientoexperto.com Enlaces oficiales: Web: https://conocimientoexperto.com YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@conocimientoexperto Podcast (Spotify): https://spoti.fi/2yS9p38 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/salvadormingo/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/salvadormingoce/Conviértete en un supporter de este podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/conocimiento-experto--2975003/support.

James Marshall of GAIN and Excelsior Athletic Club joins to talk how he came to coach three sports, knowledge sharing and the athletic insights of Nassim Taleb. Check out his website: https://excelsiorgroup.co.uk/Link to James' substack newsletter. Debrief: James Marshall Chris DeSantis

Ireland is now officially the worst country in Europe for young entrepreneurs. Just 5.1% of our 20-somethings are building their own businesses, less than half the rate in Slovakia. So what the hell happened? This week, we ask why young Irish people have stopped backing themselves, and why a country that looks rich on paper is quietly losing the very people who make economies dance. We get into the difference between wealth that's extracted (the multinationals) and wealth that's created (the Ryanairs), and why one is far more fragile than it looks. We bring in Schumpeter and Nassim Taleb, follow a hypothetical 27-year-old called Kiera as the numbers crush her before she's even begun, and ask whether Ireland has become a nation of doubters, quietly punishing anyone who dares to have a go. We float a fix: stop parking the multinational windfall in a pension fund our 25-year-olds will never see, and turn it into a startup fund they can actually use. Because without risk-takers, there's no return, and without return, there's no economy. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

So you landed a cannabis client... now what? Here's what it actually looks like to serve a cannabis client as a world-class CFO.---With federal rescheduling on the horizon, cannabis CFOs have never been more in demand. DOPE CFO gives you the tools, training, and network to build a premium cannabis CFO advisory practice — ready to go from day one. Get started here: https://go.dopecfo.com/get-started-6?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=specialized-cfo&utm_term=cfo+client+service&utm_content=non+lottery+tickets+cfo+edition ---Andrew Hunzicker, CPA, founder and CEO of DOPE CFO, has spent 26 years finding what Nassim Taleb calls "non-lottery tickets" — low-cost, low-effort moves with massive upside. In this video, he breaks down how that framework applies to client service, and why the CFOs who get this right become the most indispensable person in the room.Andrew covers:- Why bookkeeping, taxes, and audits have zero value in the eyes of your client — and what actually does- The month-end close discipline most firms skip and why it's the foundation for everything else- How to split your month into execution work and pure value-add time — and why your competition structurally can't do the same- Real stories from 26 years in the field — the small bets that cost nothing and paid off for years- The one cannabis-specific move he's been pitching to every operator he meets — nearly zero cost, potentially six figures back in your client's pocketThe CFO who masters this doesn't just keep clients — they become the first call for everything.

Oggi parliamo del tuo sogno bagnato: guardare partite di calcio a ripetizione, scommettere tutto sull'Atalanta e diventare milionario. Ti raccontiamo la storia di Tony Bloom, padrone del Brighton, scommettitore seriale e disciplinato che sta sfondando in Premier League.I consigli di oggi:Nicola: The risk takers podcastVittorio: Hoser su YouTubeAlain: Iohan Gueorguiev su YouTube

This week's blogpost - https://bahnsen.co/4mUGiFb Trevor Cummings hosts the Thoughts On Money podcast with Brett Bonecutter to discuss a due diligence hypothetical: if you could ask an advisor or investment manager only one question, it should be “How do you invest your money?” Drawing on Nassim Taleb's “skin in the game” idea, Trevor argues behavior and portfolio holdings reveal true beliefs more than polished pitches. He recounts meeting a Twitter-famous fund manager whose personal investments didn't match his fund strategy, reinforcing the “eat your own cooking” rule while noting it isn't a complete substitute for full due diligence or diversification. The conversation explores aligned incentives versus fiduciary labels, Buffett's Goldman Sachs deal requiring executives to retain shares (“buying the jockey”), 1929-era disclosure rules on insider trading, and Trevor's real example of a near-retiree concentrated in two stocks despite claiming high confidence. 00:00 One Question Diligence 01:40 Skin In The Game 02:48 Quitting Social Media 05:31 Fund Manager Test 09:22 Eat Your Cooking 14:34 Buffett Deal Lesson 18:35 Limits Of Skin 19:56 Peace Child Setup 20:26 Judas and the Gospel 21:24 Peace Child Incentives 22:21 Advisor Skin in Game 23:42 Fiduciary vs Incentives 25:09 Taleb Fund Cycle 28:35 Do You Follow Advice 31:41 1929 Insider Reporting 35:06 Eating Own Cooking 35:39 Diversification Wake Up 38:04 Due Diligence Wrap Links mentioned in this episode: http://thoughtsonmoney.com http://thebahnsengroup.com

You're not lazy. You're not lacking effort.   You're sprinting in every direction — and going nowhere.   In this episode, Tom Foxley breaks down a real coaching case — a  business owner who arrived at a session already running on empty.  Financial pressure building in the background. A key relationship at  home temporarily disconnected. Publicly called out in a group coaching  environment for not having done something sooner. A staff situation  unresolved. All of it hitting at once.   The surface diagnosis was stress. The real diagnosis was hustle  fragility — a system built for output that has no mechanism for  handling load.   Drawing on Nassim Taleb's anti-fragility framework and the Biosphere 2  experiment, Tom makes the case that resilience — just pushing through,  staying tough, not letting it affect you — is the wrong goal. The  strongest systems in nature don't survive stress. They get stronger  because of it.   That's what this episode is about. Not how to reduce the pressure. How  to build the kind of operator who can be still inside it.   Topics covered: - Why hustle builds the business and then breaks the operator - Fragile, resilient, anti-fragile — and where most business owners    are actually sitting - The Biosphere 2 trees — what perfect conditions without stress    actually produce - Stillness in the storm — the skill underneath every high performer    who operates well under load - One question to ask this week when the pressure stacks up

In this episode, Dr. Killeen breaks down a powerful concept from Nassim Taleb about the difference between signal and noise. While signal represents the meaningful patterns that actually matter, noise is made up of the small, random fluctuations that can easily distract us. The more often we check our data, the more noise we tend to see, which can cloud our judgment and decision making. This shows up when we focus too closely on daily ups and downs like a slow schedule, a cancellation, or a tough patient interaction. These moments can feel significant in the moment, but often do not reflect the bigger picture of how the practice is truly performing. Zoom out and focus on long term trends like patient trust, team growth, and consistent improvement. When you learn to filter out the noise, you can make clearer decisions and stay focused on what actually moves your practice forward.

O "Ulrich Responde" é uma série de vídeos onde respondo perguntas enviadas por membros do canal e seguidores, abordando temas de economia, finanças e investimentos. Oferecemos uma análise profunda, trazendo informações para quem quer entender melhor a economia e tomar decisões financeiras mais informadas.00:00 – Começando mais um Ulrich Responde00:10 – Impacto do IPCA-15 na queda de juros em abril?01:47 – Preços dos combustíveis será herança maldita?03:28 – Flávio Bolsonaro, centrão e o futuro da esquerda no Brasil05:29 – Candidatos e pautas cripto no Brasil06:13 – Investimentos: CDI vs. IPCA+ no longo prazo07:09 – Riscos de investir fora do Brasil e desglobalização08:54 – Possibilidade de Lula não concorrer às próximas eleições09:55 – Nova lei da misoginia e insegurança jurídica no mercado10:37 – Cenário fiscal e o desempenho da Bolsa brasileira (Ibovespa)12:53 – Inteligência dos EUA e Israel foram surpreendidos pelo Irã?16:36 – Credibilidade das postagens de Trump e negociações com o Irã18:42 – Eletrificação da mobilidade e o choque do petróleo21:50 – Como avaliar os IPOs na bolsa?24:01 – Trump e Putin melhores amigos?25:44 – Guerra Irã e EUA e o impacto no Bitcoin.26:31 – O Bitcoin é uma bolha? Argumentos e lições da crise das tulipas28:17 – O "êxodo de milionários" em Dubai e impactos globais29:31 – Estratégia de aportes mensais em tempos de guerra29:53 – Recessão global como objetivo de guerra e política dos EUA30:47 – Atualização sobre o cenário econômico da Argentina (Milei)31:34 – Volatilidade do ouro como ativo de proteção32:41 – O fracasso do Metaverso e o foco em Inteligência Artificial34:04 – Governos emergentes e a adoção de stablecoins (dólar cripto)34:35 – Possibilidade de tropas terrestres no Irã e impacto no petróleo36:08 – USDT ainda é um perigo para o Bitcoin?37:14 – Sucessão de Trump em 2028 e o racha na base MAGA38:27 – Análise sobre o pensamento de Nassim Taleb e Bitcoin39:17 – Participação em podcasts e conversa com Otávio Fakhoury e Renato 38tão

Most business owners think resilience is the goal. It isn't. In this episode, Tom Foxley opens with a story from the Biosphere 2  project in 1990s Arizona — a sealed, controlled environment designed to  create perfect conditions for growth. The trees grew faster than anything  in the wild. They also fell over before reaching maturity. The reason: no wind. No stress. No stress wood. Without resistance, the  trees never developed the structural density they needed to stand on  their own. Drawing on Nassim Taleb's three-level framework — fragile, resilient,  anti-fragile — Tom makes the case that the business owners who plateau  aren't the ones who face too much stress. They're the ones who've spent  years trying to insulate themselves from it. Resilience means you can absorb the hit. Anti-fragility means the hit  makes you stronger. That's the goal — and it requires a fundamentally  different relationship with hardship, pressure, and discomfort. Topics covered: - The Biosphere 2 experiment and what it reveals about performance under pressure - Fragile vs resilient vs anti-fragile — and why most owners are stuck at level two - Why stress is not the enemy of growth — it's the mechanism of it - What dosing yourself with the right stress actually looks like - One question to ask yourself this week

Tonight's BizNews Briefing spans energy, markets and policy. Thomas Garner explains why Eskom warns load-shedding could return in 2029 and what needs to change to prevent it. A SENS round-up then tracks improving property momentum, Aveng's return to profit, Super Group's resilience and a sharp drop in liquidations data. Bloomberg's Nassim Taleb warns that today's AI leaders may not remain tomorrow's winners, before Dawie Roodt previews Wednesday's Budget — with the revenue overrun the key swing factor.

Today's BizNews Daybreak, hosted by Alec Hogg, covers sweeping international developments, market-rattling AI advancements, and crucial South African economic updates. Here is a breakdown of the key stories: Global Tariffs & Geopolitics: The White House is preparing a formal directive to increase the global tariff rate to 15%. Additionally, tensions between the US and Iran remain high, with the primary risk being the potential blockage of oil delivery from the Gulf Coast, which could push oil prices to $100. AI Disruptions & Market Moves: IBM shares tumbled 13% after Anthropic announced that its Claude code tool can modernize the Cobalt software language. This AI disruption led author Nassim Taleb to warn of impending software bankruptcies. On the M&A front, Paramount raised its all-cash bid to buy Warner Bros Discovery to $30 a share. Gold & Crypto: Gold surged 3% overnight to reach $5,250 an ounce. In contrast, Bitcoin lost 4%, dropping to $63,500. UK Political Scandal: UK police arrested Peter Mandelson, the former British ambassador to the US, on suspicion of misconduct in public office. This arrest follows the release of emails allegedly showing him forwarding government information to Jeffrey Epstein. South Africa's Budget Windfall: Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana will present the national budget with an estimated R50 billion windfall in additional revenue, driven by high gold and platinum commodity prices. Economist Dawie Roodt advises using these funds to cut corporate taxes and adjust personal income tax brackets, warning heavily against using the surplus to increase government spending. Local Parliamentary Inquiries: The ad hoc committee investigating police and political capture has drawn heavy criticism. Ian Cameron expressed disappointment, stating the proceedings resembled a "soap opera" driven by TikTok likes instead of serious questioning.

The Hidden Investment Risks Pre-Retirees and Retirees Don’t See Coming: Kentucky Retirement Planning Insights Are you approaching retirement and concerned about protecting your life savings from market volatility? In this comprehensive episode of the Tom Dupree Show, Kentucky retirement planning advisors Tom Dupree and Mike Johnson explore the multidimensional nature of investment risk and why personalized investment management is essential for pre-retirees aged 50-65. Unlike mass-market approaches from large firms, Dupree Financial Group provides direct access to portfolio managers who understand your specific retirement goals and risk tolerance. This evergreen financial education episode delivers timeless wisdom on risk assessment, portfolio protection strategies, and why understanding what you own is critical before retirement. Whether you’re working with a local financial advisor in Kentucky or managing investments on your own, these insights will help you make more informed decisions about your retirement security. Key Takeaways: Investment Risk Management for Pre-Retirees Risk is multidimensional: Investment risk extends beyond simple volatility—it includes sequence of returns risk, concentration risk, and the risk of falling short of your retirement goals The Capital Asset Pricing Model misconception: More risk doesn’t automatically mean more return; it means a wider range of potential outcomes, both positive and negative The danger of false security: Long periods of strong returns can create complacency, causing investors to unknowingly take on excessive risk right before retirement Personalized portfolio analysis matters: Your investment strategy must align with your specific retirement timeline, income needs, and risk capacity—not just market averages Understanding beats panic: Clients who truly understand their portfolio holdings don’t panic during market downturns because they know their strategy is designed for their goals Active risk identification: Professional Kentucky retirement planning involves continuously identifying and monitoring specific risks to each holding, not just following the crowd Howard Marks on Investment Risk: Wisdom from a Market Legend The episode draws heavily from Howard Marks’ influential 2006 memo on risk, which Tom and Mike have studied extensively. Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management, challenges conventional thinking about risk and return relationships. “If more risk always meant more return, it would cease being risky. The risk would be riskless,” explains Mike Johnson, highlighting the fundamental misunderstanding many investors have about the risk-return relationship. The discussion emphasizes that bearing risk unknowingly represents one of the biggest mistakes pre-retirees can make. This is particularly relevant for those who have experienced strong market performance for years without understanding the volatility embedded in their portfolios. The Real-World Cost of Ignoring Investment Risk Tom Dupree shares a cautionary tale that every pre-retiree should hear: “There was a man that came to me years ago who had been at UK for a number of years. He had invested in Fidelity and TIAA-CREF, good funds, great returns. He had something like 1,000,006 and he had averaged 13 and a quarter percent return per year for like 23 years. He extrapolated that he could take 10% a year, which was $160,000, live on it and be okay because it was gonna keep doing that. The sequence of returns turned around and bit him good.” This example perfectly illustrates sequence of returns risk—a critical concept for anyone approaching retirement. Even with excellent average returns, the timing of market downturns relative to when you need to withdraw funds can devastate a retirement plan. This is why personalized investment management from a local financial advisor who understands your specific timeline is so valuable. Why Volatility Isn’t the Only Risk Pre-Retirees Face The episode challenges the traditional definition of investment risk as merely volatility. For pre-retirees and retirees specifically, Mike Johnson explains: “The base case that we’re trying to solve here? We’re speaking specifically to near retirees and retirees. Volatility is gonna be your friend or your foe the day you need to take your money out. That’s gonna be your definition of risk—what has the volatility done to my money the day I need it.” Additional Risk Dimensions for Kentucky Retirement Planning Falling short of goals: The risk that your portfolio won’t produce sufficient income for your desired retirement lifestyle Concentration risk: Over-exposure to single stocks or sectors, especially common with company stock or recent tech winners Unconventionality risk: The professional risk advisors take when thinking independently rather than following the crowd—but this can benefit clients long-term Underperformance risk: Short-term underperformance relative to indices, which requires conviction in your strategy and understanding your goals Hidden risk exposure: Unknown risks embedded in portfolios, particularly index funds that provide no true diversification strategy The False Sense of Security: Why Long Bull Markets Are Dangerous One of the most powerful concepts discussed is how prolonged positive market performance can numb investors to risk—exactly when they should be most vigilant. Mike Johnson references Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness” to illustrate this danger: “Reality’s far more vicious than Russian roulette. First, it delivers the fatal bullet rather infrequently, like a revolver that would have hundreds or even thousands of rounds instead of six. After a few dozen tries, one forgets about the existence of a bullet under a numbing false sense of security. One is thus capable of unwittingly playing Russian roulette and calling it by something alternative: low risk.” This perfectly describes the situation many pre-retirees face today after years of strong market performance. The analogy to driving at 90 mph—where you stop feeling the speed—resonates powerfully. You’re taking significant risk, but you’ve become accustomed to it and no longer perceive the danger. Direct Access to Portfolio Managers: The Dupree Financial Difference Unlike large firms where you’re assigned an investment counselor who may change frequently, Dupree Financial Group provides direct access to portfolio managers Tom Dupree and Mike Johnson. This relationship-focused approach enables: Deep understanding of your specific retirement timeline and goals Customized portfolio construction based on your unique risk capacity Ongoing education about what you own and why you own it Proactive risk identification specific to your holdings The ability to think unconventionally when it serves your interests “When our clients understand what’s in their portfolio and why, they don’t call us panicking when the market drops,” Tom Dupree emphasizes, highlighting the value of education and transparency in financial relationships. Why Index Funds Aren’t a Complete Investment Strategy The episode delivers a sobering message about the limitations of index fund investing for retirees: “If you don’t like risk and you think that you’re not taking any risk by investing in the S&P 500, sweetie pie, you need to get in the money market fund and just hope you got enough money to ride through it because you are taking risk that you don’t know about. And that is a problem because you’re gonna find it out in a very uncomfortable way at some point.” This doesn’t mean index funds have no place in portfolios, but rather that they shouldn’t be confused with a comprehensive retirement income strategy. Personalized portfolio analysis considers: Your specific income needs in retirement Time horizon until you need to access funds Concentration risk in popular stocks or sectors The difference between the accumulation and distribution phases Tax efficiency of different investment approaches Building a Foundation: From Stocks to Portfolio For younger investors just starting out, Mike Johnson offers this perspective: “If somebody’s in their late twenties, early thirties and they have a few stocks here and there, that’s great. You’re ahead of the curve from a lot of people, but that is not a portfolio. What you want to do is lay a foundation that’s more sturdy, more solid than just having a few stocks here and there.” This guidance is equally relevant for pre-retirees who may have accumulated individual positions over time without a cohesive strategy. Kentucky retirement planning requires transitioning from an accumulation mindset to a distribution strategy—and that requires professional portfolio architecture. The Retirement Risk Equation: It’s About Income, Not Just Account Balance One of the most important insights for pre-retirees: “Remember, it’s not just the accumulation, it’s not the dollar amount, it’s what it’s gonna produce for you and how long can it produce that to sustain you. Retirement has the normal set of rules plus other variables that you have to take into consideration.” This shift in perspective—from portfolio value to sustainable income—is where personalized investment management becomes critical. Every individual’s situation differs slightly, and those differences matter enormously in retirement planning. Faith, Risk, and Investment Philosophy Tom Dupree introduces an often-overlooked dimension of investment risk: the role of faith. Not just faith in markets or historical returns, but a deeper consideration of existential risk and what you ultimately trust. “Underpinning any investment scheme is faith. At the base of everything related to risk is faith. You cannot get away from it. One of the things about the God factor is that it takes certain elements of risk that you’re willing to take on for yourself and transfers them to a higher power.” While this dimension is personal and not emphasized in typical financial planning, it reflects Dupree Financial Group’s holistic approach to understanding clients as people—not just portfolios. Frequently Asked Questions About Investment Risk and Retirement Planning What is the biggest investment risk for pre-retirees? The biggest risk for pre-retirees is sequence-of-returns risk—experiencing market downturns just as you begin withdrawing from your portfolio. Even with strong average returns over time, poor returns in the years immediately before and after retirement can devastate your retirement security. This is why personalized retirement planning in Kentucky focuses on more than just average returns. How is investment risk different for retirees versus younger investors? For retirees, risk is primarily defined by volatility’s impact on withdrawals. When you need to take money out during a market downturn, you crystallize losses and reduce your portfolio’s recovery potential. Younger investors have time to recover from volatility. As Tom Dupree explains, “Volatility is gonna be your friend or your foe the day you need to take your money out.” Are index funds safe for retirement portfolios? Index funds are not inherently “safe” for retirement—they carry significant volatility and concentration risks (especially in large-cap tech stocks right now). While they can be part of a retirement strategy, they should not be confused with a comprehensive income plan. Local financial advisors can help design strategies that balance growth needs with income stability. How much can I safely withdraw from my retirement portfolio annually? There’s no universal answer—withdrawal rates depend on your portfolio composition, risk tolerance, retirement timeline, and income needs. The gentleman in Tom’s example assumed 10% annual withdrawals based on historical 13.25% returns, which proved disastrous. Personalized portfolio analysis determines sustainable withdrawal rates specific to your situation. Why should I work with a local Kentucky financial advisor instead of a large national firm? Local advisors like Dupree Financial Group provide direct access to portfolio managers who personally manage your investments, rather than being assigned to a counselor who may change. You receive personalized service, education about your holdings, and strategies tailored to your specific goals—not mass-market approaches. Tom emphasizes: “When our clients understand what’s in their portfolio and why, they don’t call us panicking when the market drops.” What does it mean to “know what you own” in my portfolio? Knowing what you own means understanding not just the names of your holdings, but the specific risks each position carries, how they work together, and why each was selected for your situation. It means knowing what could go wrong with each investment and having conviction in your overall strategy during market volatility. How often should I review my retirement portfolio risk? Pre-retirees should review portfolio risk at least annually, and more frequently as retirement approaches. Risk tolerance, time horizon, and income needs change as you near retirement. Kentucky retirement planning professionals continuously monitor holdings for emerging risks and rebalance as needed. What is concentration risk, and why does it matter? Concentration risk occurs when your portfolio has too much exposure to a single stock, sector, or asset class. Many investors have unknowingly accumulated concentration in large technology stocks through both index funds and individual holdings. If that sector declines, your entire portfolio suffers disproportionately. Diversification addresses concentration risk. How do I know if I’m taking too much risk before retirement? Signs you may have excessive risk include: heavy concentration in stocks after years of strong returns, high portfolio volatility relative to your withdrawal timeline, lack of income-producing assets, or simply not understanding what you own. A complimentary portfolio review with Dupree Financial Group can identify hidden risks: call 859-233-0400. What makes Dupree Financial Group’s investment philosophy different? Dupree Financial Group focuses on building long-term relationships with people—not just managing money. The team conducts their own research, provides comprehensive education, thinks independently rather than following the crowd, and designs portfolios around your specific goals. Learn more about their investment philosophy. Schedule Your Complimentary Portfolio Risk Analysis Don’t Wait for a Market Downturn to Discover Hidden Risks in Your Portfolio If you’re retired or approaching retirement, understanding the specific risks in your portfolio is critical. After 47 years in the investment business, Tom Dupree has seen countless retirees discover they were taking far more risk than they realized—often at the worst possible time. Dupree Financial Group offers Central Kentucky residents a complimentary portfolio review to help you: Identify hidden concentration risks in your current holdings Understand the sequence-of-returns risk as you approach retirement Evaluate whether your portfolio aligns with your retirement income needs Learn what you actually own and why it matters Develop a personalized strategy for your retirement timeline Call 859-233-0400 to schedule your complimentary consultation Or visit us online: Schedule Your Personalized Portfolio Analysis Learn About Our Investment Philosophy Listen to More Market Commentary Read Client Testimonials Explore Kentucky Retirement Planning Services Dupree Financial Group serves clients throughout Central Kentucky, including Lexington, Louisville, Frankfort, Winchester, Richmond, and surrounding communities. About the Tom Dupree Show The Tom Dupree Show provides timeless financial education for investors approaching and in retirement. Hosted by Tom Dupree, Jr., founder of Dupree Financial Group, and portfolio manager Mike Johnson, each episode delivers practical insights on investment management, retirement planning, and portfolio risk assessment. Unlike generic financial advice, the show focuses on the specific challenges facing Kentucky retirees and pre-retirees. Tom Dupree founded Dupree Financial Group on the principle that creating long-term relationships with people—not just their money—is the key to successful wealth management. With direct access to portfolio managers and personalized investment strategies, Dupree Financial Group delivers the attentive service of a local advisor with the knowledge of a seasoned investment team. Episode Type: Evergreen Financial Education Primary Topics: Investment Risk, Retirement Planning, Portfolio Management, Sequence of Returns Risk Featured Guests: Mike Johnson, a member of the team at Dupree Financial Group Listen to More Episodes: Market Commentary Archive Share This Episode Help others understand investment risk by sharing this episode: www.dupreefinancial.com/podcast The post The Hidden Investment Risks You Don’t See Coming: Kentucky Retirement Planning Insights appeared first on Dupree Financial.

The Hidden Investment Risks Pre-Retirees and Retirees Don’t See Coming: Kentucky Retirement Planning Insights Are you approaching retirement and concerned about protecting your life savings from market volatility? In this comprehensive episode of the Tom Dupree Show, Kentucky retirement planning advisors Tom Dupree and Mike Johnson explore the multidimensional nature of investment risk and why personalized investment management is essential for pre-retirees aged 50-65. Unlike mass-market approaches from large firms, Dupree Financial Group provides direct access to portfolio managers who understand your specific retirement goals and risk tolerance. This evergreen financial education episode delivers timeless wisdom on risk assessment, portfolio protection strategies, and why understanding what you own is critical before retirement. Whether you’re working with a local financial advisor in Kentucky or managing investments on your own, these insights will help you make more informed decisions about your retirement security. Key Takeaways: Investment Risk Management for Pre-Retirees Risk is multidimensional: Investment risk extends beyond simple volatility—it includes sequence of returns risk, concentration risk, and the risk of falling short of your retirement goals The Capital Asset Pricing Model misconception: More risk doesn’t automatically mean more return; it means a wider range of potential outcomes, both positive and negative The danger of false security: Long periods of strong returns can create complacency, causing investors to unknowingly take on excessive risk right before retirement Personalized portfolio analysis matters: Your investment strategy must align with your specific retirement timeline, income needs, and risk capacity—not just market averages Understanding beats panic: Clients who truly understand their portfolio holdings don’t panic during market downturns because they know their strategy is designed for their goals Active risk identification: Professional Kentucky retirement planning involves continuously identifying and monitoring specific risks to each holding, not just following the crowd Howard Marks on Investment Risk: Wisdom from a Market Legend The episode draws heavily from Howard Marks’ influential 2006 memo on risk, which Tom and Mike have studied extensively. Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management, challenges conventional thinking about risk and return relationships. “If more risk always meant more return, it would cease being risky. The risk would be riskless,” explains Mike Johnson, highlighting the fundamental misunderstanding many investors have about the risk-return relationship. The discussion emphasizes that bearing risk unknowingly represents one of the biggest mistakes pre-retirees can make. This is particularly relevant for those who have experienced strong market performance for years without understanding the volatility embedded in their portfolios. The Real-World Cost of Ignoring Investment Risk Tom Dupree shares a cautionary tale that every pre-retiree should hear: “There was a man that came to me years ago who had been at UK for a number of years. He had invested in Fidelity and TIAA-CREF, good funds, great returns. He had something like 1,000,006 and he had averaged 13 and a quarter percent return per year for like 23 years. He extrapolated that he could take 10% a year, which was $160,000, live on it and be okay because it was gonna keep doing that. The sequence of returns turned around and bit him good.” This example perfectly illustrates sequence of returns risk—a critical concept for anyone approaching retirement. Even with excellent average returns, the timing of market downturns relative to when you need to withdraw funds can devastate a retirement plan. This is why personalized investment management from a local financial advisor who understands your specific timeline is so valuable. Why Volatility Isn’t the Only Risk Pre-Retirees Face The episode challenges the traditional definition of investment risk as merely volatility. For pre-retirees and retirees specifically, Mike Johnson explains: “The base case that we’re trying to solve here? We’re speaking specifically to near retirees and retirees. Volatility is gonna be your friend or your foe the day you need to take your money out. That’s gonna be your definition of risk—what has the volatility done to my money the day I need it.” Additional Risk Dimensions for Kentucky Retirement Planning Falling short of goals: The risk that your portfolio won’t produce sufficient income for your desired retirement lifestyle Concentration risk: Over-exposure to single stocks or sectors, especially common with company stock or recent tech winners Unconventionality risk: The professional risk advisors take when thinking independently rather than following the crowd—but this can benefit clients long-term Underperformance risk: Short-term underperformance relative to indices, which requires conviction in your strategy and understanding your goals Hidden risk exposure: Unknown risks embedded in portfolios, particularly index funds that provide no true diversification strategy The False Sense of Security: Why Long Bull Markets Are Dangerous One of the most powerful concepts discussed is how prolonged positive market performance can numb investors to risk—exactly when they should be most vigilant. Mike Johnson references Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness” to illustrate this danger: “Reality’s far more vicious than Russian roulette. First, it delivers the fatal bullet rather infrequently, like a revolver that would have hundreds or even thousands of rounds instead of six. After a few dozen tries, one forgets about the existence of a bullet under a numbing false sense of security. One is thus capable of unwittingly playing Russian roulette and calling it by something alternative: low risk.” This perfectly describes the situation many pre-retirees face today after years of strong market performance. The analogy to driving at 90 mph—where you stop feeling the speed—resonates powerfully. You’re taking significant risk, but you’ve become accustomed to it and no longer perceive the danger. Direct Access to Portfolio Managers: The Dupree Financial Difference Unlike large firms where you’re assigned an investment counselor who may change frequently, Dupree Financial Group provides direct access to portfolio managers Tom Dupree and Mike Johnson. This relationship-focused approach enables: Deep understanding of your specific retirement timeline and goals Customized portfolio construction based on your unique risk capacity Ongoing education about what you own and why you own it Proactive risk identification specific to your holdings The ability to think unconventionally when it serves your interests “When our clients understand what’s in their portfolio and why, they don’t call us panicking when the market drops,” Tom Dupree emphasizes, highlighting the value of education and transparency in financial relationships. Why Index Funds Aren’t a Complete Investment Strategy The episode delivers a sobering message about the limitations of index fund investing for retirees: “If you don’t like risk and you think that you’re not taking any risk by investing in the S&P 500, sweetie pie, you need to get in the money market fund and just hope you got enough money to ride through it because you are taking risk that you don’t know about. And that is a problem because you’re gonna find it out in a very uncomfortable way at some point.” This doesn’t mean index funds have no place in portfolios, but rather that they shouldn’t be confused with a comprehensive retirement income strategy. Personalized portfolio analysis considers: Your specific income needs in retirement Time horizon until you need to access funds Concentration risk in popular stocks or sectors The difference between the accumulation and distribution phases Tax efficiency of different investment approaches Building a Foundation: From Stocks to Portfolio For younger investors just starting out, Mike Johnson offers this perspective: “If somebody’s in their late twenties, early thirties and they have a few stocks here and there, that’s great. You’re ahead of the curve from a lot of people, but that is not a portfolio. What you want to do is lay a foundation that’s more sturdy, more solid than just having a few stocks here and there.” This guidance is equally relevant for pre-retirees who may have accumulated individual positions over time without a cohesive strategy. Kentucky retirement planning requires transitioning from an accumulation mindset to a distribution strategy—and that requires professional portfolio architecture. The Retirement Risk Equation: It’s About Income, Not Just Account Balance One of the most important insights for pre-retirees: “Remember, it’s not just the accumulation, it’s not the dollar amount, it’s what it’s gonna produce for you and how long can it produce that to sustain you. Retirement has the normal set of rules plus other variables that you have to take into consideration.” This shift in perspective—from portfolio value to sustainable income—is where personalized investment management becomes critical. Every individual’s situation differs slightly, and those differences matter enormously in retirement planning. Faith, Risk, and Investment Philosophy Tom Dupree introduces an often-overlooked dimension of investment risk: the role of faith. Not just faith in markets or historical returns, but a deeper consideration of existential risk and what you ultimately trust. “Underpinning any investment scheme is faith. At the base of everything related to risk is faith. You cannot get away from it. One of the things about the God factor is that it takes certain elements of risk that you’re willing to take on for yourself and transfers them to a higher power.” While this dimension is personal and not emphasized in typical financial planning, it reflects Dupree Financial Group’s holistic approach to understanding clients as people—not just portfolios. Frequently Asked Questions About Investment Risk and Retirement Planning What is the biggest investment risk for pre-retirees? The biggest risk for pre-retirees is sequence-of-returns risk—experiencing market downturns just as you begin withdrawing from your portfolio. Even with strong average returns over time, poor returns in the years immediately before and after retirement can devastate your retirement security. This is why personalized retirement planning in Kentucky focuses on more than just average returns. How is investment risk different for retirees versus younger investors? For retirees, risk is primarily defined by volatility’s impact on withdrawals. When you need to take money out during a market downturn, you crystallize losses and reduce your portfolio’s recovery potential. Younger investors have time to recover from volatility. As Tom Dupree explains, “Volatility is gonna be your friend or your foe the day you need to take your money out.” Are index funds safe for retirement portfolios? Index funds are not inherently “safe” for retirement—they carry significant volatility and concentration risks (especially in large-cap tech stocks right now). While they can be part of a retirement strategy, they should not be confused with a comprehensive income plan. Local financial advisors can help design strategies that balance growth needs with income stability. How much can I safely withdraw from my retirement portfolio annually? There’s no universal answer—withdrawal rates depend on your portfolio composition, risk tolerance, retirement timeline, and income needs. The gentleman in Tom’s example assumed 10% annual withdrawals based on historical 13.25% returns, which proved disastrous. Personalized portfolio analysis determines sustainable withdrawal rates specific to your situation. Why should I work with a local Kentucky financial advisor instead of a large national firm? Local advisors like Dupree Financial Group provide direct access to portfolio managers who personally manage your investments, rather than being assigned to a counselor who may change. You receive personalized service, education about your holdings, and strategies tailored to your specific goals—not mass-market approaches. Tom emphasizes: “When our clients understand what’s in their portfolio and why, they don’t call us panicking when the market drops.” What does it mean to “know what you own” in my portfolio? Knowing what you own means understanding not just the names of your holdings, but the specific risks each position carries, how they work together, and why each was selected for your situation. It means knowing what could go wrong with each investment and having conviction in your overall strategy during market volatility. How often should I review my retirement portfolio risk? Pre-retirees should review portfolio risk at least annually, and more frequently as retirement approaches. Risk tolerance, time horizon, and income needs change as you near retirement. Kentucky retirement planning professionals continuously monitor holdings for emerging risks and rebalance as needed. What is concentration risk, and why does it matter? Concentration risk occurs when your portfolio has too much exposure to a single stock, sector, or asset class. Many investors have unknowingly accumulated concentration in large technology stocks through both index funds and individual holdings. If that sector declines, your entire portfolio suffers disproportionately. Diversification addresses concentration risk. How do I know if I’m taking too much risk before retirement? Signs you may have excessive risk include: heavy concentration in stocks after years of strong returns, high portfolio volatility relative to your withdrawal timeline, lack of income-producing assets, or simply not understanding what you own. A complimentary portfolio review with Dupree Financial Group can identify hidden risks: call 859-233-0400. What makes Dupree Financial Group’s investment philosophy different? Dupree Financial Group focuses on building long-term relationships with people—not just managing money. The team conducts their own research, provides comprehensive education, thinks independently rather than following the crowd, and designs portfolios around your specific goals. Learn more about their investment philosophy. Schedule Your Complimentary Portfolio Risk Analysis Don’t Wait for a Market Downturn to Discover Hidden Risks in Your Portfolio If you’re retired or approaching retirement, understanding the specific risks in your portfolio is critical. After 47 years in the investment business, Tom Dupree has seen countless retirees discover they were taking far more risk than they realized—often at the worst possible time. Dupree Financial Group offers Central Kentucky residents a complimentary portfolio review to help you: Identify hidden concentration risks in your current holdings Understand the sequence-of-returns risk as you approach retirement Evaluate whether your portfolio aligns with your retirement income needs Learn what you actually own and why it matters Develop a personalized strategy for your retirement timeline Call 859-233-0400 to schedule your complimentary consultation Or visit us online: Schedule Your Personalized Portfolio Analysis Learn About Our Investment Philosophy Listen to More Market Commentary Read Client Testimonials Explore Kentucky Retirement Planning Services Dupree Financial Group serves clients throughout Central Kentucky, including Lexington, Louisville, Frankfort, Winchester, Richmond, and surrounding communities. About the Tom Dupree Show The Tom Dupree Show provides timeless financial education for investors approaching and in retirement. Hosted by Tom Dupree, Jr., founder of Dupree Financial Group, and portfolio manager Mike Johnson, each episode delivers practical insights on investment management, retirement planning, and portfolio risk assessment. Unlike generic financial advice, the show focuses on the specific challenges facing Kentucky retirees and pre-retirees. Tom Dupree founded Dupree Financial Group on the principle that creating long-term relationships with people—not just their money—is the key to successful wealth management. With direct access to portfolio managers and personalized investment strategies, Dupree Financial Group delivers the attentive service of a local advisor with the knowledge of a seasoned investment team. Episode Type: Evergreen Financial Education Primary Topics: Investment Risk, Retirement Planning, Portfolio Management, Sequence of Returns Risk Featured Guests: Mike Johnson, a member of the team at Dupree Financial Group Listen to More Episodes: Market Commentary Archive Share This Episode Help others understand investment risk by sharing this episode: www.dupreefinancial.com/podcast The post The Hidden Investment Risks You Don’t See Coming: Kentucky Retirement Planning Insights appeared first on Dupree Financial.

Talking with psychotherapist, guitarist Matt Baldwin on his collection How to Play Guitar, an “anarchist cookbook for the creative process, an heirloom seed library of underground values and culture, a map of inner and outer edge places” (Tartantula Press 2025)On motivation from V. Vale, the philosophical underpinnings of punk, on Nassim Taleb's anti-fragile thinking and auto-didactic survival strategies, on John Fahey psyche, on low-res analog magic, on creativity as automatic cascading thought, on taping paper to paper at the kitchen table, on making art without handholding or explanation, on psychotherapy as edge work for the creative unconscious, on hypnosis and ontological shock, on alien abduction and lost time, on ketamine, on UFOs and the government's, on synesthetic perception shifts and reality's mutability, on rescue music, on DJing in therapy, on uncertainty as the engine of therapeutic change, on not-knowing as technique, on urban exploration of the haunted margins, on freight hopping and riding trains into wasteland, on survival and longevity as an artist, on stepping outside surveillance into forgotten spaces where trees grow through living room floors, on being, on enjoying being wrong, on religion and spiritual practice, on practice, on life.Interview ExcerptsOn Returning from the Edge I think I say that in the book somewhere, it's valuable to go crazy if you know how to come back.On Paradigms What did it destroy? It destroyed something about my reality, and how I think about reality. So it was this kind of weapon against my paradigm that I was holding onto.On End PointsI think it's more a case of, it's time to face the answer rather than to find the answer.On Music in TherapyIt's all you have to do. Just listen to the music. And that was very reassuring. And if you do that, you realize that the music is this carrier wave that pulls you through the experience. And it can energize the experience or it can make it more tranquil.Interview contains samples from Matt Baldwin's Album NEW UNIVERSAL SOLAR CALENDARIntro: Did you See the EyesOuter: Old Sand RoadsLinks:Matt Baldwin's Psychotherapy Practice: https://mattbaldwin.net/How To Play Guitar by Matt Baldwin Get full access to Leafbox at leafbox.substack.com/subscribe

Creemos que lo controlamos todo… hasta que el azar nos humilla. Nassim Taleb combina estadística y sabiduría antigua para mostrarnos cuán poco entendemos del éxito, del mérito y de nosotros mismos. En este episodio, exploro Engañados por el azar y La cama de Procusto, dos obras que desnudan al hombre moderno con ironía y precisión.Más info de Bibliotequeando

Creemos que lo controlamos todo… hasta que el azar nos humilla. Nassim Taleb combina estadística y sabiduría antigua para mostrarnos cuán poco entendemos del éxito, del mérito y de nosotros mismos. En este episodio, exploro Engañados por el azar y La cama de Procusto, dos obras que desnudan al hombre moderno con ironía y precisión.Más info de Bibliotequeando Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Journalist and author, Brigid Delaney looked into the ancient philosophy during an assignment from her editor. What she discovered led her to years of study and a brand-new outlook on life that focuses less on happiness and more on meaning and contentment.Brigid is devoted to the Stoics, a philosophy that encourages its followers to focus on what they can control, accepting what happens outside of that sphere of control, and mastering inner peace to have a good life.These ideas have helped Brigid prepare for grief and take the edge off her anxiety by putting it in context.One of the most powerful Stoic ideas is that all the wonderful things and people in our life are “on loan” and can be taken away at any moment.Instead of taking them for granted, the Stoics wanted us to run toward them at full speed, and wring as much fun and juice out of them as we can.Further informationBrigid's new book The Seeker And The Sage, and Reasons Not To Worry: How to be Stoic in chaotic times are both published by Allen & Unwin.The Executive Producer of Conversations is Nicola Harrison.This episode contains references to a buddhist with attitude, Nassim Taleb, stoic week, Nero, improving my life, how to improve my life, how to be content, how to find meaning in life, The Guardian, Brigid Delaney's Diary, newspaper column, newspaper columnist, writer, writing life, author, novel, fable, Circles of Hierocles, meditation, Celeste Barber, Wellmania, netflix and internal happiness.To binge even more great episodes of the Conversations podcast with Richard Fidler and Sarah Kanowski go the ABC listen app (Australia) or wherever you get your podcasts. There you'll find hundreds of the best thought-provoking interviews with authors, writers, artists, politicians, psychologists, musicians, and celebrities.

Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 1896: Isaac Morehouse highlights the limits of endless ideation and the power of building something real. He shares how launching a company forced him to put his theories to the test, proving that true clarity and impact come only when ideas meet the market. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://isaacmorehouse.com/2015/07/18/when-ideas-arent-enough-start-a-company/ Quotes to ponder: "The practice of putting theories into business models will reveal weaknesses in the idea, or demonstrate that it's so good you can't wait to act on it." "Not every idea is monetizable, and that's okay." "If you want to change the world and your own life, you can't stop at ideas." Episode references: Skin in the Game by Nassim Taleb: https://www.amazon.com/Skin-Game-Hidden-Asymmetries-Daily/dp/042528462X

Discover all of the podcasts in our network, search for specific episodes, get the Optimal Living Daily workbook, and learn more at: OLDPodcast.com. Episode 1896: Isaac Morehouse highlights the limits of endless ideation and the power of building something real. He shares how launching a company forced him to put his theories to the test, proving that true clarity and impact come only when ideas meet the market. Read along with the original article(s) here: https://isaacmorehouse.com/2015/07/18/when-ideas-arent-enough-start-a-company/ Quotes to ponder: "The practice of putting theories into business models will reveal weaknesses in the idea, or demonstrate that it's so good you can't wait to act on it." "Not every idea is monetizable, and that's okay." "If you want to change the world and your own life, you can't stop at ideas." Episode references: Skin in the Game by Nassim Taleb: https://www.amazon.com/Skin-Game-Hidden-Asymmetries-Daily/dp/042528462X Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nassim Taleb no ofrece fórmulas modernas, sino una filosofía brutal heredada de los antiguos: resistir el caos, aceptar la incertidumbre y jamás opinar sin arriesgar. En este episodio exploro sus tres ideas fundamentales: El cisne negro, Antifrágil y Jugarse la piel. ¿Y si sobrevivir al mundo exige más sabiduría griega que ciencia moderna? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nassim Taleb no ofrece fórmulas modernas, sino una filosofía brutal heredada de los antiguos: resistir el caos, aceptar la incertidumbre y jamás opinar sin arriesgar. En este episodio exploro sus tres ideas fundamentales: El cisne negro, Antifrágil y Jugarse la piel. ¿Y si sobrevivir al mundo exige más sabiduría griega que ciencia moderna?

The Hidden Investment Risks Pre-Retirees and Retirees Don’t See Coming: Kentucky Retirement Planning Insights Are you approaching retirement and concerned about protecting your life savings from market volatility? In this comprehensive episode of the Tom Dupree Show, Kentucky retirement planning advisors Tom Dupree and Mike Johnson explore the multidimensional nature of investment risk and why personalized investment management is essential. Unlike mass-market approaches from large firms, Dupree Financial Group provides direct access to portfolio managers who understand your specific retirement goals and risk tolerance. This financial education episode delivers timeless wisdom on risk assessment, portfolio protection strategies, and why understanding what you own is critical before retirement. Whether you’re working with a local financial advisor in Kentucky or managing investments on your own, these insights will help you make more informed decisions about your retirement security. Key Takeaways: Investment Risk Management for Pre-Retirees Risk is multidimensional: Investment risk extends beyond simple volatility—it includes sequence of returns risk, concentration risk, and the risk of falling short of your retirement goals The Capital Asset Pricing Model misconception: More risk doesn’t automatically mean more return; it means a wider range of potential outcomes, both positive and negative The danger of false security: Long periods of strong returns can create complacency, causing investors to unknowingly take on excessive risk right before retirement Personalized portfolio analysis matters: Your investment strategy must align with your specific retirement timeline, income needs, and risk capacity—not just market averages Understanding beats panic: Clients who truly understand their portfolio holdings don’t panic during market downturns because they know their strategy is designed for their goals Active risk identification: Professional Kentucky retirement planning involves continuously identifying and monitoring specific risks to each holding, not just following the crowd Howard Marks on Investment Risk: Wisdom from a Market Legend The episode draws heavily from Howard Marks’ influential 2006 memo on risk, which Tom and Mike have studied extensively. Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management, challenges conventional thinking about risk and return relationships. “If more risk always meant more return, it would cease being risky. The risk would be riskless,” explains Mike Johnson, highlighting the fundamental misunderstanding many investors have about the risk-return relationship. The discussion emphasizes that bearing risk unknowingly represents one of the biggest mistakes pre-retirees can make. This is particularly relevant for those who have experienced strong market performance for years without understanding the volatility embedded in their portfolios. The Real-World Cost of Ignoring Investment Risk Tom Dupree shares a cautionary tale that every pre-retiree should hear: “There was a man that came to me years ago who had been at UK for a number of years. He had invested in Fidelity and TIAA-CREF, good funds, great returns. He had something like 1,000,006 and he had averaged 13 and a quarter percent return per year for like 23 years. He extrapolated that he could take 10% a year, which was $160,000, live on it and be okay because it was gonna keep doing that. The sequence of returns turned around and bit him good.” This example perfectly illustrates sequence of returns risk—a critical concept for anyone approaching retirement. Even with excellent average returns, the timing of market downturns relative to when you need to withdraw funds can devastate a retirement plan. This is why personalized investment management from a local financial advisor who understands your specific timeline is so valuable. Why Volatility Isn’t the Only Risk Pre-Retirees Face The episode challenges the traditional definition of investment risk as merely volatility. For pre-retirees and retirees specifically, Mike Johnson explains: “The base case that we’re trying to solve here? We’re speaking specifically to near retirees and retirees. Volatility is gonna be your friend or your foe the day you need to take your money out. That’s gonna be your definition of risk—what has the volatility done to my money the day I need it.” Additional Risk Dimensions for Kentucky Retirement Planning Falling short of goals: The risk that your portfolio won’t produce sufficient income for your desired retirement lifestyle Concentration risk: Over-exposure to single stocks or sectors, especially common with company stock or recent tech winners Unconventionality risk: The professional risk advisors take when thinking independently rather than following the crowd—but this can benefit clients long-term Underperformance risk: Short-term underperformance relative to indices, which requires conviction in your strategy and understanding your goals Hidden risk exposure: Unknown risks embedded in portfolios, particularly index funds that provide no true diversification strategy The False Sense of Security: Why Long Bull Markets Are Dangerous One of the most powerful concepts discussed is how prolonged positive market performance can numb investors to risk—exactly when they should be most vigilant. Mike Johnson references Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness” to illustrate this danger: “Reality’s far more vicious than Russian roulette. First, it delivers the fatal bullet rather infrequently, like a revolver that would have hundreds or even thousands of rounds instead of six. After a few dozen tries, one forgets about the existence of a bullet under a numbing false sense of security. One is thus capable of unwittingly playing Russian roulette and calling it by something alternative: low risk.” This perfectly describes the situation many pre-retirees face today after years of strong market performance. The analogy to driving at 90 mph—where you stop feeling the speed—resonates powerfully. You’re taking significant risk, but you’ve become accustomed to it and no longer perceive the danger. Direct Access to Portfolio Managers: The Dupree Financial Difference Unlike large firms where you’re assigned an investment counselor who may change frequently, Dupree Financial Group provides direct access to portfolio managers Tom Dupree and Mike Johnson. This relationship-focused approach enables: Deep understanding of your specific retirement timeline and goals Customized portfolio construction based on your unique risk capacity Ongoing education about what you own and why you own it Proactive risk identification specific to your holdings The ability to think unconventionally when it serves your interests “When our clients understand what’s in their portfolio and why, they don’t call us panicking when the market drops,” Tom Dupree emphasizes, highlighting the value of education and transparency in financial relationships. Why Index Funds Aren’t a Complete Investment Strategy The episode delivers a sobering message about the limitations of index fund investing for retirees: “If you don’t like risk and you think that you’re not taking any risk by investing in the S&P 500, sweetie pie, you need to get in the money market fund and just hope you got enough money to ride through it because you are taking risk that you don’t know about. And that is a problem because you’re gonna find it out in a very uncomfortable way at some point.” This doesn’t mean index funds have no place in portfolios, but rather that they shouldn’t be confused with a comprehensive retirement income strategy. Personalized portfolio analysis considers: Your specific income needs in retirement Time horizon until you need to access funds Concentration risk in popular stocks or sectors The difference between the accumulation and distribution phases Tax efficiency of different investment approaches Building a Foundation: From Stocks to Portfolio For younger investors just starting out, Mike Johnson offers this perspective: “If somebody’s in their late twenties, early thirties and they have a few stocks here and there, that’s great. You’re ahead of the curve from a lot of people, but that is not a portfolio. What you want to do is lay a foundation that’s more sturdy, more solid than just having a few stocks here and there.” This guidance is equally relevant for pre-retirees who may have accumulated individual positions over time without a cohesive strategy. Kentucky retirement planning requires transitioning from an accumulation mindset to a distribution strategy—and that requires professional portfolio architecture. The Retirement Risk Equation: It’s About Income, Not Just Account Balance One of the most important insights for pre-retirees: “Remember, it’s not just the accumulation, it’s not the dollar amount, it’s what it’s gonna produce for you and how long can it produce that to sustain you. Retirement has the normal set of rules plus other variables that you have to take into consideration.” This shift in perspective—from portfolio value to sustainable income—is where personalized investment management becomes critical. Every individual’s situation differs slightly, and those differences matter enormously in retirement planning. Faith, Risk, and Investment Philosophy Tom Dupree introduces an often-overlooked dimension of investment risk: the role of faith. Not just faith in markets or historical returns, but a deeper consideration of existential risk and what you ultimately trust. “Underpinning any investment scheme is faith. At the base of everything related to risk is faith. You cannot get away from it. One of the things about the God factor is that it takes certain elements of risk that you’re willing to take on for yourself and transfers them to a higher power.” While this dimension is personal and not emphasized in typical financial planning, it reflects Dupree Financial Group’s holistic approach to understanding clients as people—not just portfolios. Frequently Asked Questions About Investment Risk and Retirement Planning What is the biggest investment risk for pre-retirees? The biggest risk for pre-retirees is sequence-of-returns risk—experiencing market downturns just as you begin withdrawing from your portfolio. Even with strong average returns over time, poor returns in the years immediately before and after retirement can devastate your retirement security. This is why personalized retirement planning in Kentucky focuses on more than just average returns. How is investment risk different for retirees versus younger investors? For retirees, risk is primarily defined by volatility’s impact on withdrawals. When you need to take money out during a market downturn, you crystallize losses and reduce your portfolio’s recovery potential. Younger investors have time to recover from volatility. As Tom Dupree explains, “Volatility is gonna be your friend or your foe the day you need to take your money out.” Are index funds safe for retirement portfolios? Index funds are not inherently “safe” for retirement—they carry significant volatility and concentration risks (especially in large-cap tech stocks right now). While they can be part of a retirement strategy, they should not be confused with a comprehensive income plan. Local financial advisors can help design strategies that balance growth needs with income stability. How much can I safely withdraw from my retirement portfolio annually? There’s no universal answer—withdrawal rates depend on your portfolio composition, risk tolerance, retirement timeline, and income needs. The gentleman in Tom’s example assumed 10% annual withdrawals based on historical 13.25% returns, which proved disastrous. Personalized portfolio analysis determines sustainable withdrawal rates specific to your situation. Why should I work with a local Kentucky financial advisor instead of a large national firm? Local advisors like Dupree Financial Group provide direct access to portfolio managers who personally manage your investments, rather than being assigned to a counselor who may change. You receive personalized service, education about your holdings, and strategies tailored to your specific goals—not mass-market approaches. Tom emphasizes: “When our clients understand what’s in their portfolio and why, they don’t call us panicking when the market drops.” What does it mean to “know what you own” in my portfolio? Knowing what you own means understanding not just the names of your holdings, but the specific risks each position carries, how they work together, and why each was selected for your situation. It means knowing what could go wrong with each investment and having conviction in your overall strategy during market volatility. How often should I review my retirement portfolio risk? Pre-retirees should review portfolio risk at least annually, and more frequently as retirement approaches. Risk tolerance, time horizon, and income needs change as you near retirement. Kentucky retirement planning professionals continuously monitor holdings for emerging risks and rebalance as needed. What is concentration risk, and why does it matter? Concentration risk occurs when your portfolio has too much exposure to a single stock, sector, or asset class. Many investors have unknowingly accumulated concentration in large technology stocks through both index funds and individual holdings. If that sector declines, your entire portfolio suffers disproportionately. Diversification addresses concentration risk. How do I know if I’m taking too much risk before retirement? Signs you may have excessive risk include: heavy concentration in stocks after years of strong returns, high portfolio volatility relative to your withdrawal timeline, lack of income-producing assets, or simply not understanding what you own. A complimentary portfolio review with Dupree Financial Group can identify hidden risks: call 859-233-0400. What makes Dupree Financial Group’s investment philosophy different? Dupree Financial Group focuses on building long-term relationships with people—not just managing money. The team conducts their own research, provides comprehensive education, thinks independently rather than following the crowd, and designs portfolios around your specific goals. Learn more about their investment philosophy. Schedule Your Complimentary Portfolio Risk Analysis Don’t Wait for a Market Downturn to Discover Hidden Risks in Your Portfolio If you’re retired or approaching retirement, understanding the specific risks in your portfolio is critical. After 47 years in the investment business, Tom Dupree has seen countless retirees discover they were taking far more risk than they realized—often at the worst possible time. Dupree Financial Group offers Central Kentucky residents a complimentary portfolio review to help you: Identify hidden concentration risks in your current holdings Understand the sequence-of-returns risk as you approach retirement Evaluate whether your portfolio aligns with your retirement income needs Learn what you actually own and why it matters Develop a personalized strategy for your retirement timeline Call 859-233-0400 to schedule your complimentary consultation Or visit us online: Schedule Your Personalized Portfolio Analysis Learn About Our Investment Philosophy Listen to More Market Commentary Read Client Testimonials Explore Kentucky Retirement Planning Services Dupree Financial Group serves clients throughout Central Kentucky, including Lexington, Louisville, Frankfort, Winchester, Richmond, and surrounding communities. About the Tom Dupree Show The Tom Dupree Show provides timeless financial education for investors approaching and in retirement. Hosted by Tom Dupree, Jr., founder of Dupree Financial Group, and portfolio manager Mike Johnson, each episode delivers practical insights on investment management, retirement planning, and portfolio risk assessment. Unlike generic financial advice, the show focuses on the specific challenges facing Kentucky retirees and pre-retirees. Tom Dupree founded Dupree Financial Group on the principle that creating long-term relationships with people—not just their money—is the key to successful wealth management. With direct access to portfolio managers and personalized investment strategies, Dupree Financial Group delivers the attentive service of a local advisor with the knowledge of a seasoned investment team. Episode Type: Evergreen Financial Education Primary Topics: Investment Risk, Retirement Planning, Portfolio Management, Sequence of Returns Risk Featured Guests: Mike Johnson, a member of the team at Dupree Financial Group Listen to More Episodes: Market Commentary Archive Share This Episode Help others understand investment risk by sharing this episode: www.dupreefinancial.com/podcast The post The Hidden Investment Risks You Don’t See Coming: Kentucky Retirement Planning Insights appeared first on Dupree Financial.

Sinema Kulübü'müzün 25inci buluşmasında yönetmenliğini Ridley Scott'ın yaptığı, başrolünde Matt Damon'ın oynadığı 2015 yılı yapımı "Marslı" adlı filmi konuştuk.Film Mars gezegeninde şiddetli bir fırtınada öldü sanılarak ekibi tarafından terk edilen Mark Watney'in hayatta kalma mücadelesi anlatılıyor. Watney, elindeki sınırlı olanaklarla, zekasını ve bilgisini kullanarak dünyaya yaşadığına dair bir sinyal göndermeyi başarıyor. Milyonlarca mil uzakta NASA ve uluslararası bilim insanları onun eve dönmesi için uğraşırken, ekip arkadaşları da riskli bir kararın eşiğine geliyorlar.Bu filmi, bu ay okuduğumuz Nassim Taleb'den Anti Kırılganlık kitabına eşlik edecek şekilde seçmiştik, grupça filmin bu temaya uygun olduğunda hemfikir olduk. Söyleşimizde de arkadaşlar bu kitaba atıfta bulundular.Mark Watney'nin başına gelen felaket karşısında, "Ben burada ölmeyeceğim" kararını verdikten sonra "Bir sorunu çöz, sonra bir diğerini" yaklaşımıyla, büyük problemleri küçük parçalara bölerek üstesinden gelmesi hepimizi etkiledi.Bilimin sadece teorik bilgi değil, hayat kurtaran pratik bir araç olduğunu gördük filmde. Watney'nin dışkılardan gübre yapması, pusula kullanarak ikili sayı sistemiyle iletişim kurması gibi yaratıcı çözümler çarpıcıydı.Filmin Amerikan perspektifinden anlatılması üzerine de konuştuk. Tek bir insanı kurtarmak için gösterilen küresel çabayı bazılarımız içten bulurken, bazılarımız bu kadar büyük bir operasyonun gerçekçi olmadığını düşündü. Çin-Amerika işbirliği sahnelerini de yapay bulduk.Nassim Taleb'in kitabında havacılık örneğini vermesi gibi uzay endüstrisi de anti kırılganlığa iyi bir örnek. Bir kaza bir sonraki uçuşu, seferi daha güvenli kılıyor. Hatalarından ders almayan endüstriler, şirketler için bunu söyleyemiyoruz tabii.Sonuç olarak filmi oldukça sürükleyici ve ilham verici bulduk. Her şeye rağmen hayata tutunma gücümüz, bilimin ışığında çözüm üretebilme yeteneğimiz ve en karanlık anlarda bile umudun bizi ayakta tutması üzerine güzel bir söyleşi yaptık.(02:29) Ferhan Koca, (04:53) Ebru Başaran, (07:38) Olcay Büyükçapar, (10:14) Uğur İyidoğan, (12:18) Ekin Akkol, (16:16) Ebru Vural, (20:12) Ekin Akkol, (21:42) Olcay BüyükçaparSupport the show

Stop trying to protect yourself from every risk. It's the reason you're still fragile, vulnerable, and one bad event away from collapse. The secret to thriving in chaos isn't avoiding shocks. It's becoming the kind of system that gets stronger from them... ⁠Show notes⁠ / ⁠Free Audiobook⁠ / ⁠PDF, Infographic, Ad-free Audiobook and Animated Summary⁠ Your entire life is built on a lie. You've been told that success comes from eliminating risk, building stability, and protecting yourself from chaos. But what if the secret to thriving isn't avoiding shocks—it's becoming the kind of system that gets stronger from them? READ ANY BOOK IN MINUTES: Start a free trial of ⁠StoryShots⁠: ⁠https://www.getstoryshots.com⁠ to get the extended ad-free audiobook, PDF, infographic and animated version of this summary of Antifragile and more exclusive content. Comment on Spotify or Apple Podcasts and let us know how you liked this episode. Help us grow to create more amazing content for you! ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ Don't forget to subscribe, rate and review the StoryShots podcast now. What should our next book be? Comment on Spotify/iTunes or vote it up on the ⁠StoryShots⁠ app. Get the full audiobook for free ⁠here⁠ or listen to it on ⁠Spotify⁠. Interested in sponsorship? Contact ⁠sales@getstoryshots.com⁠. Your entire life is built on a lie. You've been told that success comes from eliminating risk, building stability, and protecting yourself from chaos. But every time you play it safe, you're making yourself weaker. The next Black Swan event (and it's coming) will shatter everything you've built. Unless you learn the one counterintuitive principle that separates those who collapse from those who thrive. In Nassim Nicholas Taleb's groundbreaking book, Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder, you'll discover why the opposite of fragile isn't robust—it's antifragile. While the fragile breaks under stress and the robust merely endures it, the antifragile gets stronger. This isn't just about surviving uncertainty. It's about thriving because of it. If you're tired of trying to predict the unpredictable, if you're an entrepreneur or investor who wants to profit from volatility instead of fearing it, or if you feel like one bad break could destroy everything you've built, this episode will change your entire approach. You'll learn the Barbell Strategy for managing risk, the power of Via Negativa (subtraction over addition), why skin in the game matters more than expertise, and how to build systems that benefit from randomness instead of being destroyed by it. ⁠"Antifragility is beyond resilience or robustness. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better." —Nassim Nicholas Taleb⁠ Related Book Summaries ⁠The Black Swan⁠ by Nassim Nicholas Taleb⁠Fooled by Randomness⁠ by Nassim Nicholas Taleb⁠Skin in the Game⁠ by Nassim Nicholas Taleb⁠Thinking, Fast and Slow⁠ by Daniel Kahneman⁠Sapiens⁠ by Yuval Noah Harari⁠Thinking in Systems⁠ by Donella H. Meadows⁠The Signal and the Noise⁠ by Nate Silver⁠The Bed of Procrustes⁠ by Nassim Nicholas Taleb Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Pour recevoir les mails privés, clique ici : https://www.formactions.outilsdumanager.com/inscription-emails-prives-adf72f1dPour recevoir une série d'emails spécifiques sur la culture d'entreprise: https://www.formactions.outilsdumanager.com/ctc-inscription-mail-2***Découvre ce que nous avons créé pour t'aider à aller plus loin :Des formactions pratiques et concrètes pour manager efficacement, quel que soit ton rôle ou ton secteur.Une communauté unique en ligne, le CIEL, où dirigeants et cadres dirigeants, s'entraident pour réussir ensemble.L'offre exclusive du moment pour t'aider à passer à l'action dès aujourd'hui.Clique ici pour explorer le catalogue ODM : https://www.formactions.outilsdumanager.com/cataloguecomplet***Dans cet épisode, je te parle d'un sujet qui fait souvent grincer des dents : l'engagement des collaborateurs. On dit généralement qu'il est impossible de trouver des équipes vraiment investies, que “les gens ne veulent plus bosser”. Pourtant, la vraie question, c'est : as-tu créé les conditions pour qu'ils puissent s'engager ? Je te partage ici ma réflexion, issue de discussions avec plusieurs dirigeants, de mes notes quotidiennes, et de mes propres expériences de management. On y parle de culture d'entreprise, de valeurs incarnées, de skin in the game (ce fameux concept de Nassim Taleb), et de ce que cela veut dire être engagé pour de vrai. Tu verras pourquoi un collaborateur désengagé n'est pas toujours “le problème” — parfois, c'est le symptôme d'une culture floue ou incohérente. Et surtout, je t'explique comment bâtir une culture d'entreprise qui attire, protège et fait grandir, et pourquoi ton rôle de dirigeant, c'est avant tout d'en être le gardien. Au programme : - Pourquoi certains ne s'engagent pas (et ce que tu peux y faire) - Comment différencier une mauvaise personne d'un mauvais comportement - Pourquoi tolérer un désengagé peut te coûter très cher - Comment faire de ta culture d'entreprise un levier d'engagement puissantHébergé par Ausha. Visitez ausha.co/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

CUPOM: SOCIOS NA OFICINA: https://r.vocemaisrico.com/4fc4aff144 CONHEÇA OS PRODUTOS DA CAFFEINE ARMY: https://r.vocemaisrico.com/e08eeca18a PARTICIPE DA MAIOR BLACK FRIDAY DA HISTÓRIA:https://r.vocemaisrico.com/8a42b56ccaA filosofia tem o poder de iluminar o caos — não para eliminá-lo, mas para revelar o que nasce dele.Desde os mitos antigos até a modernidade líquida, o ser humano tenta construir muros contra o imprevisível. Mas, como alertou Nassim Taleb, talvez o verdadeiro progresso não esteja em resistir ao caos, e sim em aprender a se beneficiar dele.Vivemos em uma era de conforto e hipersensibilidade, onde qualquer desconforto é visto como falha. E, no entanto, é justamente a dor, a dúvida e o risco que forjam a coragem, o propósito e a maturidade. O antifrágil não sobrevive apesar do caos — ele cresce por causa dele.Mas como cultivar essa virtude num mundo que idolatra a estabilidade?É possível ser antifrágil em uma sociedade que pune o erro e recompensa a aparência?O que acontece quando a fé, o amor e a própria ideia de sentido são testados até o limite?Para responder a essas perguntas, recebemos Luiz Felipe Pondé no episódio 267 do Poscast Os Sócios.Falaremos sobre o pensamento de Nassim Taleb, a diferença entre resiliência e antifragilidade, os riscos de uma sociedade frágil, a importância do sofrimento, o papel da coragem moral e a possibilidade de encontrar força na incerteza.Ele será transmitido nesta quinta-feira (23/10), às 12h no canal Os Sócios Podcast.Hosts: Bruno Perini @bruno_perini e Malu Perini @maluperiniConvidado: Luiz Felipe Pondé @ lf_ponde

Es gibt eine ganze Reihe von Crashpropheten, die man getrost ignorieren kann – doch einige von ihnen verdienen durchaus Gehör. Einer derjenigen, denen man zuhören sollte, ist Nassim Taleb, der mit seinem Buch The Black Swan den Begriff des „Schwarzen Schwans“ geprägt hat. In einem aktuellen Interview mit Bloomberg äußerte Taleb, dass sich die derzeitige Rallye zwar möglicherweise noch eine Zeit lang fortsetzen könne. Dennoch warnte er eindringlich davor, sich in diesem Markt ohne eine Absicherung zu bewegen. Wer das tue, laufe Gefahr, seine gesamte Rendite wieder zu verlieren oder gar zu verspielen. Deshalb lohnt es sich, genau hinzuhören, was Nassim Taleb zu sagen hat – und ebenso darüber zu sprechen, wie man seine Warnungen und Empfehlungen in der Praxis umsetzen kann.
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Season 4 of 3 Techies Banter is here, and we're finally putting faces to the voices you've been tolerating for three seasons – because nothing says "we've made it" like watching three people in their 50s gesture wildly at cameras while debating whether Web3 is dead or just hibernating. We might go delightfully off-script: the psychology of why developers have strong opinions about tabs vs spaces, how TikTok算法 accidentally created a new form of folk art, why Silicon Valley VCs are suddenly into longevity science and mushroom coffee, the game theory of group chats, whether your Spotify Wrapped says more about you than your therapy sessions, and why every tech bro suddenly thinks they're a philosopher after reading one Nassim Taleb book. With video, we might even unleash live demos that will either blow your mind or spectacularly crash on air, reaction cams for those "did they really just say that?" moments, and the occasional meme break because let's be honest - tech is too serious and we're definitely not. We are covering it all with the same chaotic energy that's kept you coming back, now with 100% more awkward eye contact. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

LISTEN and SUBSCRIBE on:Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/watchdog-on-wall-street-with-chris-markowski/id570687608 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2PtgPvJvqc2gkpGIkNMR5i WATCH and SUBSCRIBE on:https://www.youtube.com/@WatchdogOnWallstreet/featured  Surveys show Americans remain deeply anxious about retirement savings, but quick fixes and cookie-cutter portfolios often make matters worse. Drawing on lessons from Nassim Taleb and Warren Buffett, WDOWS stresses the importance of preparation over prediction—creating resilient, “anti-fragile” strategies that can withstand financial storms and unexpected shocks.

En este episodio de Tertulia Dura, converso con Alci Cruz, fundador de Conexus, una comunidad educativa que rompe el molde tradicional aplicando principios de Design Thinking y pensamiento crítico para formar estudiantes capaces de adaptarse a un mundo real y cambiante.Hablamos de una verdad incómoda: muchos padres, con las mejores intenciones, están dañando a sus hijos sin darse cuenta.La hiperprotección, la sobrevigilancia y la obsesión por evitar cualquier tipo de frustración están formando adultos frágiles, dependientes y emocionalmente inmaduros.Alci explica por qué la verdadera educación no busca eliminar el error, sino convertirlo en maestro, y cómo el rol del padre moderno no es proteger a toda costa, sino preparar para la vida.Exploramos también el concepto de antifragilidad de Nassim Taleb: la capacidad de fortalecerse con la adversidad. Porque sin frustración, no hay carácter. Y sin carácter, no hay criterio.

Story of the Week (DR):Disney brings back Jimmy Kimmel's show after backlash spurred massive boycott while some conservatives blasted FCCSinclair says it won't air Jimmy Kimmel on its stations after Disney announced his returnFCC Chair Brendan Carr defends ABC affiliate that's not showing 'Jimmy Kimmel Live!' despite his reinstatementNexstar joins Sinclair, says it will continue not to air Jimmy KimmelDisney investors demand internal records on Jimmy Kimmel's suspension, say the board may have breached dutiesDisney investors say handling of Jimmy Kimmel suspension put politics over shareholders, demand recordsDisney boss Bob Iger has gone from woke warrior to liberal lightning rod MAGA furious at Disney and ABC over Jimmy Kimmel's return: ‘They let the woke mob get to them' Disney decides it hasn't angered people enough, announces Disney+ price hikes'There's no way we can afford $100,000': Small firms scramble over H-1B visa feesTalent Drain: Skilled Immigrants Choose Canada Over U.S.Indian IT Firms Recalibrate U.S. Strategy After Visa ShockJPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon expresses surprise and concernDimon said the hike “came out of the blue” and stressed that the U.S. still needs access to global talent. He has indicated the banking/finance sector may challenge or negotiate around the policyReed Hastings (Netflix) praises the policyHastings called the $100,000 fee a “great solution,” especially because he sees it as helping ensure that the H-1B program is used for “very high value jobs,” reducing reliance on a lottery system.Silicon Valley leaders cautiously support the feeNvidia CEO Jensen Huang and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman praised the measure in terms of potentially simplifying the visa system and merit-based immigrationAltman: "We need to get the smartest people in the country, and streamlining that process and also sort of aligning financial incentives seems good to me"Royal Bank of Canada's CEO Dave McKay said the US President's move to impose a $100,000 fee on H-1B visas is a win for Canada.The 20 financial firms that could be hardest hit from Trump's new H-1B fee — from Goldman Sachs to CitiTylenol maker Kenvue battles fresh storm as Donald Trump links it to autism MMTrump's unfounded claims heap new stress on household brand name TylenolTrump, RFK Jr. distort facts on autism, Tylenol and vaccines, scientists say: "Sick to my stomach"OB-GYN group calls Trump's remarks on acetaminophen 'irresponsible'Kenvue Stock Recoups Losses After Trump Links Tylenol to AutismResearch tying Tylenol to autism lost in court. Then it won Trump's earTrump's 'tough it out' advice to expectant moms is the latest example of men opining on women's painThe President and RFK Jr.'s dangerous war on science and mothersThe Shameful Spectacle of Trump and Kennedy Blaming Mothers for AutismAutism Science Foundation: 'Shocking' move takes us 'straight back to when moms were blamed for autism''Acet…Aceto…': Trump Struggles To Say Medicine's Name, Links Autism To PainkillerAnti-vaccine groups melt down over RFK Jr. linking autism to Tylenol"We didn't wait 20 years for Bobby to finally speak and then get served Tylenol as an answer," anti-vaccine group Georgia Coalition for Vaccine Choice wroteChildren's Health Defense (CHD) - the anti-vaccine group founded by Kennedy - retweeting a post on Monday: "THIS WAS NOT CAUSED BY TYLENOL."Oracle names two CEOs in rare leadership shift after Catz exitLord Emperor Larry Ellison (65% influence and 42% voting power): he still gets $8.3M in pay despite owning ~$378B in Oracle stock. Is this even possible? He got security-related costs and expenses of $2,999,264 for his primary residence. Board chairFormer CEO and now Executive Vice Chair Safra Catz. She's staying on the board.221,974: (i) Company matching contributions under our 401(k) Plan of $5,100, (ii) flexible credits used towards covering the premiums for cafeteria-style benefit plans in the amount of $14,860, (iii) security-related costs and expenses to augment the existing security system at Ms. Catz's primary residence, (iv) legal counsel fees and (v) aggregate incremental costs to Oracle of $200,086 for Ms. Catz's use of Oracle's private aircraft for non-business travel. This leaves $1,928 for legal fees and security: for a Larry:Safra We Love Him More Security Ratio of: ~3114:1Catz still got $6.5M despite owning $2.8B of company stockNew co-CEO and director Clayton Magouyrk: joined Oracle in 2014, is 39Mr. Magouyrk will receive a grant of stock options to purchase $250M in shares of Oracle common stock with 80% of the grant consisting of time-based stock options and 20% of the grant consisting of performance-based stock options (“PSOs”).New co-CEO and director Michael Sicilia: joined Oracle in 2009, is 54Mr. Sicilia will receive a grant of stock options to purchase $100M in shares of Oracle common stock with 80% of the grant consisting of time-based stock options and 20% of the grant consisting of PSOs.Goodliest of the Week (MM/DR):DR: MacKenzie Scott gives $70 million to UNCF to financially strengthen HBCUs DRUNCF, as the nation's largest private provider of scholarships to minority students works to raise $1 billion to strengthen all 37 of its historically Black colleges and universitiesMM: Trump claims ‘sabotage' at UN from escalator, teleprompter and micTurns Out Trump's Own Team Messed Up U.N. Escalator and TeleprompterAssholiest of the Week (MM):American oligarchsMurdoch's TikTok? Trump offers allies another lever of media controlLarry Ellison's Oracle set to spearhead U.S. oversight of TikTok algorithmElon Musk just sold Grok to U.S. government for 42 cents – and signals warmer ties with TrumpMark Zuckerberg showed Google how to make Republicans happyIN: Zuck, Musk, Ellison, MurdochOUT: Satya Nadella (too Indian), Tim Cook (too gay), Sundar Pichai (too Indian), Bezos (too bald), Jensen Huang (too Asian), women, blacksSee? TikTok deal won't include 'golden share' or equity for U.S., Trump administration says - he only takes a golden share or voting stake when the CEO is Japanese (Nippon Steel) or Chinese (Intel)Disney - now everyone hates you!Conservatives: MAGA furious at Disney and ABC over Jimmy Kimmel's return: ‘They let the woke mob get to them'Liberals: Disney boss Bob Iger has gone from woke warrior to liberal lightning rodAffiliates: Nexstar joins Sinclair, says it will continue not to air Jimmy KimmelIRONY ALERT: In statement, Nexstar cited “diversity” as a reason why Kimmel is still off the air: “On Wednesday, Nexstar said it continues to evaluate the show and is speaking with Disney ‘with a focus on ensuring the program reflects and respects the diverse interests of the communities we serve.'”Trump: Trump threatens to sue Disney-owned ABC over Jimmy Kimmel's return to TVInvestors: Disney investors demand internal records on Jimmy Kimmel's suspension, say the board may have breached dutiesEveryone: Disney decides it hasn't angered people enough, announces Disney+ price hikesStay in your place on the manufacturing line MMFirst they say college is for losers, now they say so is being alive - just eat your cheap fatty protein adjacent meal and go to workEx-Google CEO Eric Schmidt warns U.S. tech workers: competing with China's grueling 12-hour workdays means sacrificing work-life balancePalantir CEO says Gen Z can either have a social life at age 20 or be successful—but they can't do bothCharlie Kirk had a message for the over 2 million unemployed Gen Z NEET men: You don't need college to make your dreams happenBlackRock CEO Larry Fink said America could dodge a ‘retirement crisis' by encouraging people to work longerDon't try to be funny at work unless you want to risk your job and any chance of ever getting promoted, management professors sayMcDonald's is supersizing its value menu to win back average Americans — could it be a sign of trouble ahead?Girls, STOP APOLOGIZING for doing your jobsCracker Barrel CEO apologizes for logo, store changesWe conducted extensive research to inform our strategic plan. Well, what cannot be captured in data is how much our guests see themselves and their own story in the Cracker Barrel experience, which is what's led to such a strong response to these changes.Translation: we had no idea how racist you all areAt least she didn't apologize for everything that's ever happened in the last hundred years like Vanessa Hudson apologizing for the boys behavior at QantasLook how it worked for her: Qantas cutting CEO pay signals new era of cyber accountability - has a dude EVERY HAD PAY CUT FOR ANYTHINGHeadliniest of the WeekDR: Real American Beer collaborates with WWE for special Hulk Hogan collectible can: 'Hulkamania forever'Hulk:In leaked recordings Hogan was heard making homophobic remarks, using the N-word, making racist remarks, and openly admitting to being racistWWE terminated their relationship with him temporarily, removed him from their website/Hall of Fame, following public backlash. Eventually, some reinstatement occurred.Hogan's ex-wife made public emotional abuse allegations and accusations of an affair with their daughter's friendDuring the WWF / Vince McMahon-related trial over steroids in wrestling, Hogan testified under immunity and admitted past steroid use back to 1976He admitted to actively working against efforts to unionize professional wrestlersTwo divorcesMichelob Ultra overtakes Modelo Especial as best-selling beer in the U.S.American subsidiary Anheuser-Busch Companies, LLCWoke CEO Brendan Whitworth was a first lieutenant in the United States Marine Corps and then as an operations officer for the CIA's counterterrorism center. Woke!Their leadership page of 15 executives also has a woke DEI hire! Chief People Officer Lindsay KingBelgian parent Anheuser-Busch InBev (AB InBev)They are even worse than their American counterparts: of their 18 executive leaders, they have TWO DEI WOMEN: Chief Communications Officer Donna Lorensen and General Counsel Katherine Barrett. DEI gone crazy!Both Michelob ULTRA and Bud Light are made by Anheuser-Busch Companies, LLC, a subsidiary of Anheuser-Busch InBev.DR: Palantir CEO says Gen Z can either have a social life at age 20 or be successful—but they can't do both & Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt warns U.S. tech workers: competing with China's grueling 12-hour workdays means sacrificing work-life balance MM: Tesla 'The Biggest Meme Stock' Ever? Expert Says 'Too Much Emphasis On The Magic Wand Of Musk'Sharing thoughts on Musk's new compensation package, Yale School of Management Senior Associate Dean Jeff Sonnenfeld didn't hold back with the meme stock analogy.THE SAME WIZARD IGER SONNENFELDMM: ‘Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb says your city's new bike lane is the reason the economy sucksTrump's tariffs force resources into lower-margin activities, Taleb said, likening the policy to “asking a brain surgeon to do some gardening two days a week to avoid being ‘ripped off' by professional gardeners.”Who Won the Week?DR: I-boo-proff-in, oh no, it's not American!MM: Jimmy Kimmel's YouTube channel PredictionsDR: Jimmy Kimmel takes Tylenol on air causing all remaining ABC affiliates to replace him with family-appropriate TV: Law & Order: Special Victims Unit which covers sex-based crimes (i.e. violence against women, now with commercials!)MM: Victoria's Secret ditches woke rebrand and vows to return to 'unapologetically sexy' roots - after reading this headline, Webster's Dictionary finally changes its definition of “woke” from “politically liberal or progressive (as in matters of racial and social justice) especially in a way that is considered unreasonable or extreme” to “anything including fat chicks, uggos, black people, and gays.”

In this episode of Creative on Purpose Live, Scott delves into Seneca's Barbell Strategy—a powerful resource-allocation framework that helps solopreneurs strike a balance between security and high-risk, high-reward experiments. Learn how to avoid the trap of “middle-of-the-barbell” distractions and move your most promising ideas all the way across to proven, revenue-generating assets.In this episode, you'll discover:* Seneca's Barbell Explained: Origins as a Stoic risk-mitigation tool and its modern revival in Nassim Taleb's Antifragile* Explore vs. Exploit: How to allocate time, money, attention, and reputation between safe bets and high-potential experiments* First Principles Framework: Identify your irresistible offer, eager audience, and minimum effective dose system* Avoiding the Middle: Why half-baked marketing tactics create busywork, not growth* Personal Audit Story: Scott's pivot to Substack and the power of focusing on proven assets* Practicing Patience: Tracking data, gathering feedback, and moving one system component at a time across the barbellReady to accelerate your progress and close the gap between where you are and where you want to be?Join the Solopreneur Success Circle for weekly coaching calls and monthly deep dives—designed to help you implement principles with greater ease and velocity. Click the link below to learn more and enroll.

// SPONSORS //iCoin: https://icointechnology.com/breedloveCowbolt: https://cowbolt.com/Heart and Soil Supplements (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://heartandsoil.co/Blockware Solutions: https://mining.blockwaresolutions.com/breedloveIn Wolf's Clothing: https://wolfnyc.com/Onramp: https://onrampbitcoin.com/?grsf=breedloveMindlab Pro: https://www.mindlabpro.com/breedloveCoinbits: https://coinbits.app/breedloveThe Farm at Okefenokee: https://okefarm.com/Orange-Pill App: https://www.orangepillapp.com/ // PRODUCTS I ENDORSE //Protect your mobile phone from SIM swap attacks: https://www.efani.com/breedloveLineage Provisions (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://lineageprovisions.com/?ref=breedlove_22Colorado Craft Beef (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://coloradocraftbeef.com/Salt of the Earth Electrolytes: http://drinksote.com/breedloveJawzrsize (code RobertBreedlove for 20% off): https://jawzrsize.com // SUBSCRIBE TO THE CLIPS CHANNEL //https://www.youtube.com/@robertbreedloveclips2996/videos // TIMESTAMPS //0:00 – WiM Episode Trailer1:05 – Why Collaboration Has Explosive Upside12:53 – Collective Culture vs Rule of Law15:26 – iCoin Bitcoin Wallet16:56 – Cowbolt: Settle in Bitcoin18:12 – Leverage and Liquidation Risk20:13 – Linear vs Super-Linear Growth: Bitcoin, Phones & Metcalfe's Law29:56 – Centralized vs Decentralized Planning32:12 – Heart and Soil Supplements33:12 – Mine Bitcoin with Blockware Solutions34:38 – Creative Destruction and the Nature of Time53:29 – Technology is at its Best when Invisible 54:31 – Helping Lightning Startups with In Wolf's Clothing55:24 – Onramp Bitcoin Custody56:46 – Taleb's Take on Bitcoin57:57 – The Internet as a Living System1:05:03 – The Golden Rule Applied to Economics1:15:14 – Mind Lab Pro Supplements1:16:24 – Buy Bitcoin with Coinbits1:17:35 – Time Is the Judge of All Things1:25:00 – Self-Reinforcing Systems and Feedback Loops1:29:50 – The Farm at Okefenokee1:31:00 – Orange Pill App: Find, Chat, and Meet with Bitcoiners1:31:24 – Time Is Volatility1:40:38 – A Riskless Life Isn't Ethical1:45:50 – “When You're Finished Changing, You're Finished”1:50:48 – How to Connect with WiM // PODCAST //Podcast Website: https://whatismoneypodcast.com/Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-what-is-money-show/id1541404400Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/25LPvm8EewBGyfQQ1abIsERSS Feed: https://feeds.simplecast.com/MLdpYXYI // SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL //Bitcoin: 3D1gfxKZKMtfWaD1bkwiR6JsDzu6e9bZQ7Sats via Strike: https://strike.me/breedlove22Dollars via Paypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/RBreedloveDollars via Venmo: https://account.venmo.com/u/Robert-Breedlove-2 // SOCIAL //Breedlove X: https://x.com/Breedlove22WiM? X: https://x.com/WhatisMoneyShowLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/breedlove22/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/breedlove_22/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@breedlove22Substack: https://breedlove22.substack.com/All My Current Work: https://linktr.ee/robertbreedlove

// SPONSORS //iCoin: https://icointechnology.com/breedloveNetsuite: https://netsuite.com/whatismoneyCowbolt: https://cowbolt.com/Heart and Soil Supplements (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://heartandsoil.co/Blockware Solutions: https://mining.blockwaresolutions.com/breedloveIn Wolf's Clothing: https://wolfnyc.com/Onramp: https://onrampbitcoin.com/?grsf=breedloveMindlab Pro: https://www.mindlabpro.com/breedloveCoinbits: https://coinbits.app/breedloveThe Farm at Okefenokee: https://okefarm.com/ // PRODUCTS I ENDORSE //Protect your mobile phone from SIM swap attacks: https://www.efani.com/breedloveLineage Provisions (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://lineageprovisions.com/?ref=breedlove_22Colorado Craft Beef (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://coloradocraftbeef.com/Salt of the Earth Electrolytes: http://drinksote.com/breedloveJawzrsize (code RobertBreedlove for 20% off): https://jawzrsize.com // SUBSCRIBE TO THE CLIPS CHANNEL //https://www.youtube.com/@robertbreedloveclips2996/videos // TIMESTAMPS //0:00 - WiM Episode Trailer1:13 - Implementation vs Invention6:53 - Self Service in the Modern Economy13:35 - iCoin Bitcoin Wallet15:05 - NetSuite by Oracle16:15 - Bitcoin's Elegant Simplicity19:19 - UBI and Leisure21:50 - The Cutting Edge of Technology27:26 - Cowbolt: Settle in Bitcoin28:41 - Heart and Soil Supplements29:41 - Bitcoin and Resisting New Technology 39:09 - Arrogance in Academia43:36 - Mine Bitcoin with Blockware Solutions45:01 - Helping Lightning Startups with In Wolf's Clothing45:53 - Street-Smarts vs Book-Smarts56:22 - Lecturing Birds on How to Fly58:43 - Onramp Bitcoin Custody1:00:40 - Mind Lab Pro Supplements1:01:50 - The Broken Window Fallacy1:11:49 - Openness to the Unknown1:21:25 - Buy Bitcoin with Coinbits1:22:53 - The Farm at Okefenokee1:24:03 - Be Wary of Word Salad1:26:24 - The Origins of “Woke”1:28:10 - Occupy Wall St. vs Occupy the Fed1:30:26 - Arguments Against Bitcoin1:36:36 - Education and Economic Growth1:43:59 - Closing Thoughts // PODCAST //Podcast Website: https://whatismoneypodcast.com/Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-what-is-money-show/id1541404400Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/25LPvm8EewBGyfQQ1abIsERSS Feed: https://feeds.simplecast.com/MLdpYXYI // SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL //Bitcoin: 3D1gfxKZKMtfWaD1bkwiR6JsDzu6e9bZQ7Sats via Strike: https://strike.me/breedlove22Dollars via Paypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/RBreedloveDollars via Venmo: https://account.venmo.com/u/Robert-Breedlove-2 // SOCIAL //Breedlove X: https://x.com/Breedlove22WiM? X: https://x.com/WhatisMoneyShowLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/breedlove22/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/breedlove_22/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@breedlove22Substack: https://breedlove22.substack.com/All My Current Work: https://linktr.ee/robertbreedlove

Ever felt like life just sucker-punched you out of nowhere? That's exactly what Nassim Taleb calls a Black Swan event. Most people think they can predict the future by looking at patterns. They study charts, analyze trends, and feel safe in their little bubble of certainty. However, the biggest events that shape our lives—market crashes, pandemics, breakthrough innovations—are the ones nobody sees coming. .. Taleb argues we're all like turkeys getting fed every day, thinking tomorrow will be the same, until suddenly it's Thanksgiving. The real mind-bender? We convince ourselves afterwards that we "should have seen it coming." This is critical for understanding finance or world events More than that, it's about how your brain tricks you into thinking you understand a world, that's fundamentally unpredictable. Stop trying to predict everything and start building resilience for anything Rebuild your investment portfolio and life plan to deal with shocks Prepare for worst-case scenarios instead of hoping for the best How to Change the World Sam's new show can be found on major podcast players: Spotify - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/1Fj3eFjEoAEKF5lWQxPJyT⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Apple - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/how-to-change-the-world-the-history-of-innovation/id1815282649⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ YouTube - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/@HowToChangeTheWorldPodcast⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Can't find it on your player? RSS feed - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://feeds.acast.com/public/shows/682b3b86696b5d1232d698a8⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ------- UPGRADE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Premium⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠:

A system that grows stronger from chaos? That's not science fiction. It's nature's original design. Nassim Taleb's Antifragile isn't just a book. It's a lens—a way to see the world not as a series of risks to be avoided, but as opportunities to evolve. In this episode, we explore what it means to thrive in disorder. From ancient myths like the Hydra, to modern jobs and biological systems, we trace the pattern: fragility is punished, antifragility is rewarded. What if you built a life where setbacks made you better, not bitter? Where unpredictability wasn't a threat, but a catalyst? That's the shift we're inviting you to make. Takeaways: Design your systems to gain from shocks, not just resist them. Embrace small failures—they prevent catastrophic ones. Seek environments where your upside grows with uncertainty. WORKSHOP - Building certainty in an uncertain world

// SPONSORS //The Farm at Okefenokee: https://okefarm.com/iCoin: https://icointechnology.com/breedloveHeart and Soil Supplements (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://heartandsoil.co/In Wolf's Clothing: https://wolfnyc.com/Blockware Solutions: https://mining.blockwaresolutions.com/breedloveOn Ramp: https://onrampbitcoin.com/?grsf=breedloveMindlab Pro: https://www.mindlabpro.com/breedloveCoinbits: https://coinbits.app/breedlove // PRODUCTS I ENDORSE //Protect your mobile phone from SIM swap attacks: https://www.efani.com/breedloveNoble Protein (discount code BREEDLOVE for 15% off): https://nobleorigins.com/Lineage Provisions (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://lineageprovisions.com/?ref=breedlove_22Colorado Craft Beef (use discount code BREEDLOVE): https://coloradocraftbeef.com/ // SUBSCRIBE TO THE CLIPS CHANNEL //https://www.youtube.com/@robertbreedloveclips2996/videos // OUTLINE //0:00 - WiM Episode Trailer1:22 - Nassim Taleb's “Anti-Fragile”11:36 - Why Anti-Fragile?19:15 - The Farm at Okefenokee20:25 - iCoin Bitcoin Wallet21:55 - The Central Triad: Fragile, Robust, and Anti-Fragile26:45 - Learning31:05 - Skin in the Game: Decisions and Risk36:28 - Heart and Soil Supplements37:28 - Helping Lightning Startups with In Wolf's Clothing38:20 - Skin in the Game and Anti-Fragility41:34 - Academia and WTF Happened in 197147:54 - Central Triad Explained57:43 - Mine Bitcoin with Blockware Solutions59:05 - OnRamp Bitcoin Custody1:00:28 - Modern Problems: Health, Big Pharma, Raising Children 1:12:28 - Surviving Scarcity and Weimar Hyperinflation1:18:17 - Fragile vs Anti-Fragile Systems (Centralization vs Free Markets)1:20:44 - Mind Lab Pro Supplements1:21:53 - Buy Bitcoin with Coinbits1:23:22 - Hormesis and Iatrogenics: The Benefits of Adversity1:29:46 - Money Printing and Anti-Fragility1:32:54 - Alcoholism and Money Printing1:36:22 - Have Agency: Humans are Programmable1:40:20 - Closing Thoughts // PODCAST //Podcast Website: https://whatismoneypodcast.com/Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-what-is-money-show/id1541404400Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/25LPvm8EewBGyfQQ1abIsERSS Feed: https://feeds.simplecast.com/MLdpYXYI // SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL //Bitcoin: 3D1gfxKZKMtfWaD1bkwiR6JsDzu6e9bZQ7Sats via Strike: https://strike.me/breedlove22Dollars via Paypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/RBreedloveDollars via Venmo: https://account.venmo.com/u/Robert-Breedlove-2

Get our Business Monetization Playbook: https://clickhubspot.com/monetization Episode 664: Sam Parr ( https://x.com/theSamParr ) and Shaan Puri ( https://x.com/ShaanVP ) talk about investing wisdom from Nassim Taleb and how to use ChatGPT as a life coach.  — Show Notes:  (0:00) No small boy stuff (2:30) Squid Game for investors (13:00) Noise v. signal (20:36) Sam uses ChatGPT to plan his life (31:50) Shaan explains how LLMs work (39:50) How to write better prompts (52:56) How to build a billion dollar company (55:51) 13 Questions that will change your life — Links: • Nassim Taleb books - https://tinyurl.com/2vnvz36f  • Crystal Ball Trading Challenge - https://elmwealth.com/crystal-ball-challenge/  • Kubera - https://www.kubera.com/  • 3Blue1Brown - https://www.youtube.com/c/3blue1brown  • Leetcode Wizard - https://leetcodewizard.io/  • Fertilo - https://www.gametogen.com/fertilo  • “13 Questions That Will Change Your Life” - https://shaan.beehiiv.com/p/one-minute-blog-13-questions-that-will-change-your-life  — Check Out Shaan's Stuff: Need to hire? You should use the same service Shaan uses to hire developers, designers, & Virtual Assistants → it's called Shepherd (tell ‘em Shaan sent you): https://bit.ly/SupportShepherd — Check Out Sam's Stuff: • Hampton - https://www.joinhampton.com/ • Ideation Bootcamp - https://www.ideationbootcamp.co/ • Copy That - https://copythat.com • Hampton Wealth Survey - https://joinhampton.com/wealth • Sam's List - http://samslist.co/ My First Million is a HubSpot Original Podcast // Brought to you by The HubSpot Podcast Network // Production by Arie Desormeaux // Editing by Ezra Bakker Trupiano