Podcasts about raboresearch

New drinks aplenty and trends always changing. Exploring culture, with the drinks we are raising. Asking a stranger, "Why did you order that thing?" These are a few of my favorite [drink] things. Friends at a conference with gossip worth sharing. Newsletters, dailies, and podcasts worth airing. Together let's ask what all of these numbers mean. These are a few of my favorite [drink] things. For this episode, very special guest and former co-host Jim Watson returns to discuss some oddly specific nominations for our favorite things about the beverage industry. Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are those of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates, and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

Attacks on Ukrainian and Russian ports have disrupted grain exports, moving grain prices up substantially. General Manager of RaboResearch – Australia/New Zealand Stefan Vogel and Senior Macro Strategist Ben Picton discuss the outlook for grains and diesel and whether China can continue to surprise global markets.    Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In this episode, Jen Corkran and Emma Higgins explore the growing dairy-beef opportunity in New Zealand. From sexed semen and genetics to calf rearing, supply chain alignment, and the new Fonterra-Silver Fern Farms programme, they discuss how better breeding decisions could unlock more value from nearly two million surplus dairy calves annually.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In this episode, Michael Harvey and Emma Higgins discuss the release of RaboResearch's World Dairy Map 2026, exploring how global dairy trade is evolving. The conversation examines why cheese has emerged as the standout growth engine of global dairy trade, the implications of China's changing import demand, and how growth opportunities are increasingly shifting toward Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Emma Higgins and Jen Corkran review New Zealand's agricultural outlook, highlighting record dairy production, strong beef and lamb prices, and improving farm profitability. They discuss global supply and demand trends, ongoing fertiliser and input cost pressures, and the growing likelihood of El Niño conditions shaping production risks and opportunities.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In this episode, RaboResearch analyst Vítor Pistóia takes listeners around the country to assess current crop conditions and the outlook for the 2026/27 season. While a delayed seasonal break and persistent dryness across parts of the East Coast raised early concerns, recent rainfall has greatly improved conditions in many key growing regions. With adequate crop establishment, improved soil moisture reserves, and production prospects on the rise, Australia is shaping up for another solid season, assuming El Niño remains at bay.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Neste episódio do podcast Foco no Agronegócio, nosso analista Bruno Fonseca conversa com André Schwening, produtor de soja e multiplicador de sementes, sobre os principais movimentos e perspectivas do mercado de sementes de soja no Brasil. A discussão explora os desafios, oportunidades e tendências que estão moldando um novo ciclo para o setor, com base em estudo publicado pelo RaboResearch em maio deste ano.   Consulte nosso disclaimer em https://www.rabobank.com.br/conhecimento/disclaimer/011483208/disclaimer para saber sobre as limitações do conteúdo publicado neste podcast. 

In this episode, RaboResearch analysts Vítor Pistóia and Angus Gidley-Baird discuss the latest developments in global fertiliser markets, exploring why nitrogen prices remain under pressure amid improving supply while phosphate and potash markets continue to be supported by tighter fundamentals.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

De Amerikaanse inflatie is gedaald van 4,2 naar 3,5 procent. Ook de kerninflatie viel met 2,6 procent lager uit dan de verwachte 2,8 procent. Dat zorgt voor opluchting in de Verenigde Staten, maar zet de centrale bank voor een lastige keuze: wat moet er met de rente gebeuren? ‘Voor een centrale bankier is dat best lastig. Je bepaalt de rente nu, maar de gevolgen daarvan worden pas over ongeveer anderhalf jaar echt zichtbaar’, zegt Menno Middeldorp van RaboResearch. De reden dat de inflatie zo sterk daalde, was een sterk dalende benzineprijs. De vraag is echter hoe duurzaam dat effect is omdat de dieselprijs alweer stijgt. Het is dan ook niet alleen de Amerikaanse economie die ook last heeft van de ontwikkelingen in het Midden-Oosten en in het bijzonder de Straat van Hormuz. Raffinaderijen hebben ook weinig capaciteit om naast brandstoffen andere olieproducten te produceren. ‘De olieprijs is wel wat gestegen, maar wat nog harder is gestegen, zijn alle distillaten: de producten die uit olie worden gemaakt’, merkt Middeldorp op. ‘Dat zal waarschijnlijk weer voor extra inflatie zorgen.’ De financiële markten waren volgens Middeldorp desondanks ‘opgelucht’ omdat er op korte termijn ‘niet al te veel renteverhogingen te verwachten’ zijn. ‘Misschien pas in december weer.’ Tijdens zijn verhoor in het Amerikaanse Congres wilde Fed-baas Kevin Warsh daar echter niet ingaan. Een bewuste keuze, zegt Middeldorp. ‘Hij wil een andere manier van communiceren.’ Warsh is benoemd door de Amerikaanse president Donald Trump, die openlijk en al geruime tijd hamert op een verlaging van de rente. Voor het communicatiebeleid heeft Warsh een werkgroep in het leven geroepen, met onder meer de voormalige president van de Bank of England. ‘Zij vinden het belangrijker dat je begrijpt hoe wij denken dan dat ik je precies vertel wat we gaan doen’, legt Middeldorp uit. ‘Niet je eigen beleid voorspellen, maar begrip kweken voor de manier waarop je beslissingen neemt zodat de markt beter begrijpt hoe je tot die besluiten komt.’ Warsh is van begin af aan duidelijk geweest dat het primaire doel van de Fed moet zijn de inflatie terugbrengen naar 2 procent, ‘consistent met wat hij vroeger als Fed-gouverneur ook al zei’. De vraag is wat het effect van zijn besluiten als hoofd van de Fed op langere termijn zal zijn. ‘Dat is voor een centrale bankier best lastig’, zegt Middeldorp. ‘Want als je nu de rente bepaalt, dan beïnvloedt die pas over anderhalf jaar of zo wat de economie gaat doen’, legt hij uit. Daarnaast heeft een rentebesluit doorgaans effect op de vraag in de economie, maar de huidige inflatie wordt bepaald door een gebrek aan aanbod. ‘Daar kunnen ze dus niets aan doen.’ Daarmee draait het debat binnen de Fed op dit moment niet zozeer over de vraag of de rente omhoog of omlaag moet, maar over hoe om te gaan met het aanbodprobleem. ‘Als economische schokken de inflatie omhoog duwen en mensen het vertrouwen verliezen, dan wordt het lastig om dat te negeren.’ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sarah Barrett, Managing Editor at Wine & Spirits Daily, and Chris Shepard, Senior Editor at Beer Marketer's Insights, join us to debate the most impactful stories of the year so far.   Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are those of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates, and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

Join Senior Animal Protein Analyst Jen Corkran and Senior Market Strategist Ben Picton as they discuss the July Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting, the recent memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, and the outlook for NZ interest rates. Jen and Ben delve into what the RBNZ signalled about the future path of the official cash rate, what indicators they will be watching, and what factors could change their thinking.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Het is nog hoogst onzeker wat de gevolgen voor de economie zullen zijn nu de Amerikaanse president Donald Trump heeft verklaard dat het akkoord om de oorlog in Iran te beëindigen niet meer geldt. ‘Je zag dat de olieprijs in eerste instantie steeg nadat er over en weer werd onderhandeld met raketten’, zegt Menno Middeldorp van RaboResearch. ‘Dat heeft vandaag dan weer tot een soort ommekeer in de olieprijs geleid, ondanks alle uitspraken van Trump.’See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

RaboResearch's North America head of crop research, Steve Nicholson, unpacks recent US acreage shifts, which moved prices. US wheat plantings in 2026 have hit the lowest level in over 100 years. Meanwhile, US cotton area has recovered from last year's ten-year low but only marginally, and dryness might prevent more acres from being harvested than usual. The shocker for Australian farmers might be the jump in Canada's canola acreage.     Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Prices remain at record highs, and lamb and sheep slaughter numbers are dropping. How low can they go, and what does this mean for future lamb and sheep production? Angus Gidley-Baird chats with New Zealand analyst Jen Corkran about the Australian, New Zealand, and global sheep markets.    Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In this RaboResearch podcast, Agri Commodities Markets Research analysts Charles Hart and Andrick Payen discuss some of the highlights from the USDA's recent Acreage and Grain Stocks reports and what the reports will mean for grain and oilseed markets moving forward.     Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417272/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In this episode, RaboResearch analysts Vítor Pistóia and Oscar Tjakra dive into the outlook for palm oil markets through 2031. They discuss supply constraints, rising biodiesel demand, and why palm oil prices are likely to remain elevated over the coming years.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

After a relatively subdued period between March and April, volatility has returned to the cocoa market in force. Cocoa prices, still down 23.5% year-to-date, have rallied 31% since the beginning of May as bullish fundamentals reemerge. Key drivers include the transition toward an active El Niño event, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and a slow start to the development of West Africa's 2026/27 main crop. Join Carlos Mera and Oran van Dort as they discuss the delectable but turbulent world of cocoa.    Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417272/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

For more than a year, alcohol sales in the on-premise (restaurants, bars, stadiums, and hotels) have outperformed sales in the off-premise (grocery, convenience, and liquor stores). On the surface, this trend contradicts many of our explanations for the industry's struggles. If people are broke, why are they spending money in the channel where alcohol costs the most? If people are spending more time alone, why are they drinking in venues driven by socialization? A mystery this big requires more intellectual firepower than RaboResearch alone can provide. So we invited two PhDs and an economist on the show to help us figure it out. Our guests: Bart Watson, President & CEO, Brewers Association Andrew Heritage, Chief Economist, Beer Institute Lester Jones, Chief Economist, National Beer Wholesalers Association Relevant time stamps:  Why are on-premise sales outperforming off-premise sales? Round 1: 7:42 – The K-shaped economy is widening the gap between on-premise and off-premise sales: Middle/lower-income consumers feel squeezed and cut back more during at-home (off-premise) occasions, while protecting meaningful social occasions (on-premise). Higher-income consumers continue spending, widening the gap. 16:04 – Rising wealth is leading to an overall increase in on-premise spending: The US is getting richer over time; historically that drives more spending "away from home." As incomes rise, consumers shift toward experiences like bars/restaurants. 24:01 – Post-Covid socialization is normalizing: People want to reconnect after Covid. Younger consumers especially over-index in out-of-home alcohol spend, supporting on-premise demand through social experiences. 32:54 – Health and wellness trends are driving people to cut back on banal, at-home occasions: Consumers drink less overall, especially at home, but keep social drinking occasions. Alcohol becomes more "occasion-based," benefiting on-premise while hurting off-premise volumes. 42:02 – Inflation in the on-premise is massively outpacing off-premise: On-premise prices are rising faster than off-premise. Even if behavior doesn't change much, higher pricing inflates on-premise performance in dollar terms. Round 2:  45:18 – Travel and experiences are rebounding: Increased travel drives on-premise consumption (restaurants, bars, concessions). Social and vacation contexts strengthen on-premise relative to at-home drinking. 47:24 – The on-premise has more innovation, driving increases in productivity: Restaurants and bars have innovated (tech, formats, efficiency) post-Covid, improving service and experience. Better venues lead to stronger performance versus relatively static off-premise retail. 52:10 – There are more women in the workforce: More women in the workforce = more income + stronger social consumption patterns. Women may drink less, but have more money to spend per serving, suggesting they may be a driver of on-premise strength. 57:48 – Staying at home is more stimulating than it used to be: Consumers don't have to drink because they're bored. Competing activities (cannabis, online gaming, etc.) replace at-home drinking occasions – especially for younger males – more than on-premise drinking occasions. 1:03:02 – Several final factors may also be contributing to the on-premise performance gap: With the last pick of the draft, Bourcard mops up some of the final potential factors behind the on-premise performance gap, including young adults living with their parents, the decline of underage drinking, and GLP-1 drugs reducing the desire for casual drinking while leaving social occasions intact. Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are those of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates, and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

Coffee prices have dropped by 32% in the last six months due to an increase in production. As the availability of coffee in origin increases, stocks in destination countries are still scarce, and some volatility is expected before we see even lower prices. Join Oran van Dort and Carlos Mera as they discuss these and many other topics affecting much of the world's favorite beverage.  This episode was recorded on June 12, 2026.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417272/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

RaboResearch ging er in de juniraming vanuit dat de inflatie zou stijgen en de economische groei zou afnemen, mede omdat werd verwacht dat de Straat van Hormuz nog enige tijd gesloten zou blijven. Nu er een vredesakkoord tussen de Verenigde Staten en Iran lijkt te zijn bereikt en de zeestraat naar alle waarschijnlijkheid vrijdag weer opengaat, rijst de vraag of die verwachtingen moeten worden bijgesteld. ‘Wat moeten we daarmee? Is het al tijd om onze ramingen aan te passen of gaan we nog even aankijken?’, aldus Menno Middeldorp van RaboResearch. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Around 25% of US spirits sales move through control states, but how do they work? How are they different from open states, and what can suppliers do to improve their performance in these markets? In this episode we speak to leadership at the National Alcohol Beverage Control Association (NABCA) about how government-run liquor businesses operate and what brands can do to better position themselves for success. Our guests: Neal Insley, President & CEO, NABCA Buddy Buckner, General Counsel, NABCA Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are those of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates, and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

Angus Gidley-Baird and Jen Corkran break down the latest New Zealand sheepmeat story: a tale of strong prices, tightening supply, shifting export dynamics, and a level of optimism they haven't seen in a while. With China taking a smaller slice and key markets stepping up, is this the reset the sector's been waiting for? They also unpack what's next – from winter slowdown to spring lambing – and the key risks producers shouldn't ignore. Sheepmeat chat never looked so good.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Join Senior Animal Protein Analyst Jen Corkran and Senior Market Strategist Ben Picton as they discuss the May Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting and the New Zealand budget. They unpack what happened at the RBNZ meeting, how the economy is performing, what is happening with the budget balance, and what it all might mean for the official cash rate and term interest rates.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Trade disruptions, conflict in the Middle East, a lower global beef supply, and record-high Australian beef production. What does it all mean for the Australian cattle market and Australian cattle producers? Angus Gidley-Baird speaks with Jen Corkran following the release of the 2026 Australian beef seasonal outlook.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Emma Higgins and Jen Corkran dive into New Zealand's extraordinary 2025/26 dairy season and discuss what lies ahead. They explore the 2026/27 outlook – where resilient supply, uncertain global demand, and rising on-farm costs collide.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.   

In this episode, Michael Harvey and Emma Higgins unpack the key forces shaping the Australian dairy sector as processors prepare to set opening milk prices for the new season by the June 1 deadline.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

US inflation in April reached its highest level in three years, driven in part by the war in Iran. The volume of oil flows affected by the conflict is three times larger than the disruption caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, yet many firms – especially in the US – don't seem too concerned. According to our analysts, they should be. Join us for an enlightening, if not light-hearted, discussion about the impact of this crisis and how it affects the economic future for the US, Europe, and the global economy. Our guests: Jane Foley, Head of Foreign Exchange Strategy, RaboResearch Christian Lawrence, Head of Americas & Energy Market Strategy, RaboResearch Joe DeLaura, Senior Energy Strategist, RaboResearch Relevant time stamps: 2:11 – The US-Israel campaign against Iran and the immediate energy market shock. 6:52 – Why markets could be underestimating the length and impact of the crisis. 14:02 – The macroeconomic, inflationary, and consumer impacts of higher energy prices. 27:04 – Implications of the Iran war for Fed policy and interest rates. 31:21 – How the conflict is shifting our perspectives on globalization and geopolitics. 44:43 – Broader macroeconomic themes: taxes, tariffs, European growth, and the economic growth outlook for the rest of the year. Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are those of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates, and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

In this episode, RaboResearch analysts Vítor Pistóia and Angus Gidley Baird explore the start of Australia's 2026/27 winter cropping season. The discussion highlights an uneven seasonal start and a shift in crop mix, with growers moving away from wheat toward canola, barley, and pulses in response to margin pressure and shifting risk-reward profiles.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Join RaboResearch Senior Market Strategist Ben Picton as he examines changes in the Australian federal budget affecting the agriculture space and compares Treasury's forecasts to those from the RBA. Where is the economy headed, and what might that mean for the cash rate?   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

RaboResearch senior analyst covers the latest developments in global fertiliser markets, where farmers are paying the price, big time, for the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This week, we review the pleasantly robust results from global beer companies during the first quarter of 2026. More importantly, we bid adieu to a dear friend and longtime contributor, Francois Sonneville.  For those wanting to thank Francois for years of fantastic industry coverage, please reach out: FSonneville@yahoo.co.uk.  We discuss individual company results at the following timestamps:  Heineken (7:32): Results are stable heading into a leadership transition. AB InBev (15:44): Revenue, volumes, and EBITDA are all well ahead of expectations. RTDs, Michelob, and Busch are filling the gap left by Bud Light.  Constellation Brands (24:20): Business is stabilizing following a tough year in 2025. Royal Unibrew (32:22): Despite strong results from a highly diversified business, the headline was the loss of the PepsiCo business in Denmark, Finland, and the Baltic states, which account for nearly one-sixth of company revenue.   Carlsberg (38:40): Both volume and revenues grew, with strong performance in the UK as the integration of Britvic goes forward. The headline is the switch from Coca-Cola to PepsiCo in Denmark and Finland and taking on the Baltic states from Royal Unibrew.  Molson Coors (48:20): Volume is down, but revenues are flat with improved EBITDA, though costs pressures – aluminum in particular – remain a headache.      Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Join RaboResearch Senior Market Strategist Ben Picton and Global Strategist Michael Every as they unpack the rapid changes that are underway in the global economic system. Mike takes us through his concept of "America Perestroika," whereby the United States under Donald Trump is seeking to shift from a consumption-based economy to a production-based economy with a national security overlay. We explore what these changes mean for the global economy, why it is happening, and where the challenges and opportunities may lay for commodity producers in New Zealand and Australia. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast

Join RaboResearch analysts Paul Joules and Vítor Pistóia as they review how Australian farmland values performed in 2025 and explore the forces that could influence land prices moving forward.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Food prices remain one of the most visible – and frustrating – parts of Australia's inflation story. In this episode, analysts Michael Harvey and Paul Joules focus on where food inflation actually stands today, how it differs across categories, and what matters most looking forward.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Rabobank's Head of Research for South America, Andy Duff, discusses the impact of rising diesel prices on sugar, grain, and soybean production. As Brazil relies heavily on long‑distance truck transport to move agricultural products inland, logistics costs can negatively impact Brazilian farm margins. Sugar prices have been on a roller-coaster ride in recent weeks, and Andy explains why the high probability of an El Niño event is a key price driver to watch.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

Emma Higgins and Jen Corkran unpack the seasonal shift now reshaping New Zealand dairy and livestock markets, with topics ranging from farmgate conditions to the market signals that may define the months ahead. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

With the imposition of beef import quotas at the beginning of 2026, China was set to redistribute global beef trade. Angus Gidley-Baird speaks with Chenjun Pan about the impacts this quota may have on China and the current state of the Chinese beef market.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Since the war in Iran began, fertilizer prices have been climbing steadily. US Gulf urea prices alone are up around 40% since the start of the conflict and nearly 80% year‑to‑date, putting intense pressure on farm economics. In several regions, farmer margins are now razor‑thin – or outright negative – raising the risk of reduced fertilizer use and significant cuts in planted wheat area ahead of the upcoming Southern Hemisphere wheat planting season. Join Carlos Mera and Sam Taylor as they discuss how the conflict in the Middle East and the effective double blockade of the Strait of Hormuz are reshaping fertilizer markets and key crops – and what that could mean for global agricultural production and food prices.     Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417272/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.   

Agriculture Analyst Paul Joules chats with Bruno Fonseca, Senior Farm Inputs Analyst and recent lead author of RaboResearch's latest Semiannual Fertilizer Outlook, to discuss the key impacts of the Middle East crisis on global fertilizer markets.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Wine supplies continue to outstrip demand. Glenn Proctor of Ciatti and Jeff Bitter of Allied Grape Growers return to discuss the larger-than-(some)-expected 2025 California grape crush, the path to equilibrium in wine supply, and whether the costs of domestic production and competition from imports mean that every acre of wine grapes pulled out of production will never come back.  Topics covered in this discussion:  The results from the California Grape Crush Report, why prices from that report don't reflect the actual health of wine grape and bulk wine pricing, and why so many industry analysts dramatically underestimated the size of last year's harvest.  What the optimal strategy for wineries and growers is and whether buyers are pulling back on contracted commitments at the expense of future stability.  What is going to happen to all those mothballed vineyards. The role of imports in replacing lost acres in California and the possibility that all future incremental demand for wine volumes in the US will be met by foreign producers.   Relevant time stamps:  03:20 – The status of acreage rightsizing in California and the not-so-good fate of mothballed vineyards. 22:45 – The bulk wine market, demand, and the lack of demand for old vintage wine. 33:30 – The crush report and what it means for different regions and growers. 43:15 – The financialization of the wine industry and incentives to leave your growers out in the cold. 52:30 – Imports, the road to recovery, and the dark world the future could hold.   Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In this episode, RaboResearch analyst Vítor Pistóia unpacks the early signals for Australia's 2026/27 winter crop, drawing on what's being said on the ground. The discussion looks at seasonal conditions and shifting area decisions, alongside the growing impact of high input costs, particularly nitrogen fertiliser, on crop choice and margins.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

One year on from his visit Down Under, US-based RaboResearch Senior Dairy Analyst Lucas Fuess reconnects with RaboResearch Australia's Senior Dairy Analyst Michael Harvey to take stock of how the US dairy sector has evolved and what it means for Australia and New Zealand. Their conversation revisits the structural themes identified during Lucas' earlier tour of Australia and New Zealand and explores how those insights stack up against developments in the US dairy sector today.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

RaboResearch Global Energy Strategist Joe DeLaura unpacks diesel supply chain disruptions stemming from tensions at the Strait of Hormuz. While global crude prices have been highly volatile, diesel prices in Australia and New Zealand remain elevated to attract the needed import volumes. RaboResearch Economic Strategist Ben Picton explains the implications for inflation, consumers, interest rates, and currencies.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

RaboResearch Global Energy Strategist Joe DeLaura unpacks diesel supply chain disruptions stemming from tensions at the Strait of Hormuz. While global crude prices have been highly volatile, diesel prices in Australia and New Zealand remain elevated to attract the needed import volumes. RaboResearch Economic Strategist Ben Picton explains the implications for inflation, consumers, interest rates, and currencies.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In late March, Brown-Forman Corporation and Pernod Ricard confirmed they were in talks about a potential merger that would bring together giant brands like Jack Daniels, Herradura, Woodford Reserve, Jameson, Beefeater, Absolut, and Chivas Regal. It would be a formidable lineup, which in terms of spirit sales would rival the scale of Diageo – long the largest spirits business in the history of the universe. Equity analyst Richard Withagen of Kepler Cheuvreux joins us to discuss the details and outlook for this blockbuster deal.    Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Many investors have abandoned the world of early-stage alcohol startups, leaving a gaping hole in the market. There is less money available to fuel startup growth, and potential buyers are demanding both scale and profitability, extending the time to achieve an exit and reshaping the optimal strategy for building a brand. Over the last five years, Jason Sherman (Top Shelf) and Nick Papanicolaou (No Sleep Beverage) each helped found venture capital firms specializing in alcohol. In this episode we explore where they see opportunity, what they consider when making an investment, and what buyers of the future will ultimately be looking for. In this episode we discuss: The metrics that startups and investors should prioritize when measuring success. The current capital environment for early-stage startups and how to build a brand with way less money than before. Where the corporate VC model succeeded and why it ultimately failed to survive. Where innovation for large firms will come from in the future. Notable time stamps: 2:23 – Jason and Nick share their background and the investment thesis behind their firms. 17:11 – How to measure velocity: The key metric for potential investors. 20:30 – The impact of the general environment on investor sentiment and capital availability for independent brands. 41:00 - A corporate VC post‑mortem and the future of innovation at large alcohol suppliers. Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

From 1970 to 1995, US per capita spirits consumption fell by nearly 50%. Yet some players, like Heaven Hill, emerged stronger and more diversified than when the downturn began. In this episode, Heaven Hill Chairman Max Shapira and President Kate Latts reflect on the company's 90‑year journey, offering first-person accounts of beverage alcohol's last major downturn, the subsequent revival in demand, and what lessons, if any, apply to the current marketplace.  In this episode we discuss:  The drivers behind the collapse of alcohol sales in the 1970s and 1980s and the segments (wine, vodka, etc.) that actually grew during the downturn. The consolidation of the US bourbon industry, with the number of Kentucky distillers falling from 70 to 10 in just two decades. The drivers of the current market and whether they share any similarities with the 1980s. The outlook for the current US bourbon supply, and the risk of a shortage in three to five years. The moderated impact of oversupply on the sales performance of well-established brands v. startups.   Notable time stamps: 02:20 – History of Heaven Hill and building a diversified portfolio 09:21 – What caused alcohol sales to collapse from 1970 to 1995 12:39 – Parallels between the 1980s and today 19:17 – Drivers behind the current decline in alcohol demand and what is going on with millennials  32:13 – Why downturns and oversupply favor strong brands and what will happen to craft distillers 54:32 – Chaos in the distributor tier 01:02:28 – The post‑pandemic socialization reset   Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Fresh from their rather somber state-of-the-industry presentation, SipSource analysts Danny Brager and Dale Stratton help identify whether there are any areas of growth and promise in the wine and spirits business. Topics include:  The performance of wine and spirits depletions in 2025 and the outlook for 2026. The surprising resilience of RTD growth rates. Prosecco's continuing strong performance. The wine industry trying more innovative marketing strategies. The importance of finding the right packaging formats. If consumers actually want low-alcohol products or if they want low-calorie and low-sugar products.    Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Oliver Winery is one of the largest wine businesses in the United States. It is located in Indiana. In this episode, CEO Pat Brown shares how the unusual origins of the business have helped the company capture consumers who would otherwise be overlooked by the wine business, as well as the advantages of operating a winery outside the West Coast.    Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Danny Wirtz, Co-Chairman of Breakthru Beverage Group, discusses how brands are rethinking national agreements and what success looks like when performance, not footprint, are the primary concern for suppliers' route-to-market strategy. Themes from the episode: How did Breakthru shift strategy after a planned merger with Republic National Distributing Company was terminated in 2019? What does geographic expansion look like in the current market? What is driving decisions about footprint? Are suppliers deprioritizing a national footprint? Are there still benefits from those national partnerships? How is the push from beer wholesalers and Reyes Beverage Group changing the strategies of wine and spirits wholesalers?  What are Danny's thoughts, as CEO of the Chicago Blackhawks, about the boost his sport has received from the international phenomenon Heated Rivalry?     Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.