Podcasts about raboresearch

For more than a year, alcohol sales in the on-premise (restaurants, bars, stadiums, and hotels) have outperformed sales in the off-premise (grocery, convenience, and liquor stores). On the surface, this trend contradicts many of our explanations for the industry's struggles. If people are broke, why are they spending money in the channel where alcohol costs the most? If people are spending more time alone, why are they drinking in venues driven by socialization? A mystery this big requires more intellectual firepower than RaboResearch alone can provide. So we invited two PhDs and an economist on the show to help us figure it out. Our guests: Bart Watson, President & CEO, Brewers Association Andrew Heritage, Chief Economist, Beer Institute Lester Jones, Chief Economist, National Beer Wholesalers Association Relevant time stamps:  Why are on-premise sales outperforming off-premise sales? Round 1: 7:42 – The K-shaped economy is widening the gap between on-premise and off-premise sales: Middle/lower-income consumers feel squeezed and cut back more during at-home (off-premise) occasions, while protecting meaningful social occasions (on-premise). Higher-income consumers continue spending, widening the gap. 16:04 – Rising wealth is leading to an overall increase in on-premise spending: The US is getting richer over time; historically that drives more spending "away from home." As incomes rise, consumers shift toward experiences like bars/restaurants. 24:01 – Post-Covid socialization is normalizing: People want to reconnect after Covid. Younger consumers especially over-index in out-of-home alcohol spend, supporting on-premise demand through social experiences. 32:54 – Health and wellness trends are driving people to cut back on banal, at-home occasions: Consumers drink less overall, especially at home, but keep social drinking occasions. Alcohol becomes more "occasion-based," benefiting on-premise while hurting off-premise volumes. 42:02 – Inflation in the on-premise is massively outpacing off-premise: On-premise prices are rising faster than off-premise. Even if behavior doesn't change much, higher pricing inflates on-premise performance in dollar terms. Round 2:  45:18 – Travel and experiences are rebounding: Increased travel drives on-premise consumption (restaurants, bars, concessions). Social and vacation contexts strengthen on-premise relative to at-home drinking. 47:24 – The on-premise has more innovation, driving increases in productivity: Restaurants and bars have innovated (tech, formats, efficiency) post-Covid, improving service and experience. Better venues lead to stronger performance versus relatively static off-premise retail. 52:10 – There are more women in the workforce: More women in the workforce = more income + stronger social consumption patterns. Women may drink less, but have more money to spend per serving, suggesting they may be a driver of on-premise strength. 57:48 – Staying at home is more stimulating than it used to be: Consumers don't have to drink because they're bored. Competing activities (cannabis, online gaming, etc.) replace at-home drinking occasions – especially for younger males – more than on-premise drinking occasions. 1:03:02 – Several final factors may also be contributing to the on-premise performance gap: With the last pick of the draft, Bourcard mops up some of the final potential factors behind the on-premise performance gap, including young adults living with their parents, the decline of underage drinking, and GLP-1 drugs reducing the desire for casual drinking while leaving social occasions intact. Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are those of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates, and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

Coffee prices have dropped by 32% in the last six months due to an increase in production. As the availability of coffee in origin increases, stocks in destination countries are still scarce, and some volatility is expected before we see even lower prices. Join Oran van Dort and Carlos Mera as they discuss these and many other topics affecting much of the world's favorite beverage.  This episode was recorded on June 12, 2026.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417272/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

RaboResearch ging er in de juniraming vanuit dat de inflatie zou stijgen en de economische groei zou afnemen, mede omdat werd verwacht dat de Straat van Hormuz nog enige tijd gesloten zou blijven. Nu er een vredesakkoord tussen de Verenigde Staten en Iran lijkt te zijn bereikt en de zeestraat naar alle waarschijnlijkheid vrijdag weer opengaat, rijst de vraag of die verwachtingen moeten worden bijgesteld. ‘Wat moeten we daarmee? Is het al tijd om onze ramingen aan te passen of gaan we nog even aankijken?’, aldus Menno Middeldorp van RaboResearch. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Around 25% of US spirits sales move through control states, but how do they work? How are they different from open states, and what can suppliers do to improve their performance in these markets? In this episode we speak to leadership at the National Alcohol Beverage Control Association (NABCA) about how government-run liquor businesses operate and what brands can do to better position themselves for success. Our guests: Neal Insley, President & CEO, NABCA Buddy Buckner, General Counsel, NABCA Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are those of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates, and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

Angus Gidley-Baird and Jen Corkran break down the latest New Zealand sheepmeat story: a tale of strong prices, tightening supply, shifting export dynamics, and a level of optimism they haven't seen in a while. With China taking a smaller slice and key markets stepping up, is this the reset the sector's been waiting for? They also unpack what's next – from winter slowdown to spring lambing – and the key risks producers shouldn't ignore. Sheepmeat chat never looked so good.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Join Senior Animal Protein Analyst Jen Corkran and Senior Market Strategist Ben Picton as they discuss the May Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting and the New Zealand budget. They unpack what happened at the RBNZ meeting, how the economy is performing, what is happening with the budget balance, and what it all might mean for the official cash rate and term interest rates.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Trade disruptions, conflict in the Middle East, a lower global beef supply, and record-high Australian beef production. What does it all mean for the Australian cattle market and Australian cattle producers? Angus Gidley-Baird speaks with Jen Corkran following the release of the 2026 Australian beef seasonal outlook.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Emma Higgins and Jen Corkran dive into New Zealand's extraordinary 2025/26 dairy season and discuss what lies ahead. They explore the 2026/27 outlook – where resilient supply, uncertain global demand, and rising on-farm costs collide.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.   

In this episode, Michael Harvey and Emma Higgins unpack the key forces shaping the Australian dairy sector as processors prepare to set opening milk prices for the new season by the June 1 deadline.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

US inflation in April reached its highest level in three years, driven in part by the war in Iran. The volume of oil flows affected by the conflict is three times larger than the disruption caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, yet many firms – especially in the US – don't seem too concerned. According to our analysts, they should be. Join us for an enlightening, if not light-hearted, discussion about the impact of this crisis and how it affects the economic future for the US, Europe, and the global economy. Our guests: Jane Foley, Head of Foreign Exchange Strategy, RaboResearch Christian Lawrence, Head of Americas & Energy Market Strategy, RaboResearch Joe DeLaura, Senior Energy Strategist, RaboResearch Relevant time stamps: 2:11 – The US-Israel campaign against Iran and the immediate energy market shock. 6:52 – Why markets could be underestimating the length and impact of the crisis. 14:02 – The macroeconomic, inflationary, and consumer impacts of higher energy prices. 27:04 – Implications of the Iran war for Fed policy and interest rates. 31:21 – How the conflict is shifting our perspectives on globalization and geopolitics. 44:43 – Broader macroeconomic themes: taxes, tariffs, European growth, and the economic growth outlook for the rest of the year. Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are those of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates, and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

Dom talks with Emma Higgins, RaboResearch senior analyst, about its latest report, 'High milk prices, higher costs: The 2026/27 margin equation', the continuing profitability of the dairy sector and the inflationary impacts of geopolitical disruption. Tune in daily for the latest and greatest REX rural content on your favourite streaming platform, visit rexonline.co.nz and follow us on Instagram, Facebook and LinkedIn for more.

On today's REX Daily Podcast, Dom talks with Matt Baker, Silver Fern Farms GM of Global Markets and Sales, about his recent trip to China to assess the growth and value of the market, what's happening in the Middle East market and the continuing challenges of the global supply chain... He talks with Emma Higgins, RaboResearch senior analyst, about its latest report, 'High milk prices, higher costs: The 2026/27 margin equation', the continuing profitability of the dairy sector and the inflationary impacts of geopolitical disruption... And he talks with Greg Hamill, Nedap Livestock Management NZ GM, about the range of Nedap products available in NZ and what NZ farmers need to be looking out for in the growing wearables market. Tune in daily for the latest and greatest REX rural content on your favourite streaming platform, visit rexonline.co.nz and follow us on Instagram, Facebook and LinkedIn for more.

In this episode, RaboResearch analysts Vítor Pistóia and Angus Gidley Baird explore the start of Australia's 2026/27 winter cropping season. The discussion highlights an uneven seasonal start and a shift in crop mix, with growers moving away from wheat toward canola, barley, and pulses in response to margin pressure and shifting risk-reward profiles.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Join RaboResearch Senior Market Strategist Ben Picton as he examines changes in the Australian federal budget affecting the agriculture space and compares Treasury's forecasts to those from the RBA. Where is the economy headed, and what might that mean for the cash rate?   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

RaboResearch senior analyst covers the latest developments in global fertiliser markets, where farmers are paying the price, big time, for the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This week, we review the pleasantly robust results from global beer companies during the first quarter of 2026. More importantly, we bid adieu to a dear friend and longtime contributor, Francois Sonneville.  For those wanting to thank Francois for years of fantastic industry coverage, please reach out: FSonneville@yahoo.co.uk.  We discuss individual company results at the following timestamps:  Heineken (7:32): Results are stable heading into a leadership transition. AB InBev (15:44): Revenue, volumes, and EBITDA are all well ahead of expectations. RTDs, Michelob, and Busch are filling the gap left by Bud Light.  Constellation Brands (24:20): Business is stabilizing following a tough year in 2025. Royal Unibrew (32:22): Despite strong results from a highly diversified business, the headline was the loss of the PepsiCo business in Denmark, Finland, and the Baltic states, which account for nearly one-sixth of company revenue.   Carlsberg (38:40): Both volume and revenues grew, with strong performance in the UK as the integration of Britvic goes forward. The headline is the switch from Coca-Cola to PepsiCo in Denmark and Finland and taking on the Baltic states from Royal Unibrew.  Molson Coors (48:20): Volume is down, but revenues are flat with improved EBITDA, though costs pressures – aluminum in particular – remain a headache.      Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Join RaboResearch Senior Market Strategist Ben Picton and Global Strategist Michael Every as they unpack the rapid changes that are underway in the global economic system. Mike takes us through his concept of "America Perestroika," whereby the United States under Donald Trump is seeking to shift from a consumption-based economy to a production-based economy with a national security overlay. We explore what these changes mean for the global economy, why it is happening, and where the challenges and opportunities may lay for commodity producers in New Zealand and Australia. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast

Join RaboResearch analysts Paul Joules and Vítor Pistóia as they review how Australian farmland values performed in 2025 and explore the forces that could influence land prices moving forward.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Food prices remain one of the most visible – and frustrating – parts of Australia's inflation story. In this episode, analysts Michael Harvey and Paul Joules focus on where food inflation actually stands today, how it differs across categories, and what matters most looking forward.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Rabobank's Head of Research for South America, Andy Duff, discusses the impact of rising diesel prices on sugar, grain, and soybean production. As Brazil relies heavily on long‑distance truck transport to move agricultural products inland, logistics costs can negatively impact Brazilian farm margins. Sugar prices have been on a roller-coaster ride in recent weeks, and Andy explains why the high probability of an El Niño event is a key price driver to watch.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

Emma Higgins and Jen Corkran unpack the seasonal shift now reshaping New Zealand dairy and livestock markets, with topics ranging from farmgate conditions to the market signals that may define the months ahead. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

With the imposition of beef import quotas at the beginning of 2026, China was set to redistribute global beef trade. Angus Gidley-Baird speaks with Chenjun Pan about the impacts this quota may have on China and the current state of the Chinese beef market.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Since the war in Iran began, fertilizer prices have been climbing steadily. US Gulf urea prices alone are up around 40% since the start of the conflict and nearly 80% year‑to‑date, putting intense pressure on farm economics. In several regions, farmer margins are now razor‑thin – or outright negative – raising the risk of reduced fertilizer use and significant cuts in planted wheat area ahead of the upcoming Southern Hemisphere wheat planting season. Join Carlos Mera and Sam Taylor as they discuss how the conflict in the Middle East and the effective double blockade of the Strait of Hormuz are reshaping fertilizer markets and key crops – and what that could mean for global agricultural production and food prices.     Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417272/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.   

Agriculture Analyst Paul Joules chats with Bruno Fonseca, Senior Farm Inputs Analyst and recent lead author of RaboResearch's latest Semiannual Fertilizer Outlook, to discuss the key impacts of the Middle East crisis on global fertilizer markets.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Wine supplies continue to outstrip demand. Glenn Proctor of Ciatti and Jeff Bitter of Allied Grape Growers return to discuss the larger-than-(some)-expected 2025 California grape crush, the path to equilibrium in wine supply, and whether the costs of domestic production and competition from imports mean that every acre of wine grapes pulled out of production will never come back.  Topics covered in this discussion:  The results from the California Grape Crush Report, why prices from that report don't reflect the actual health of wine grape and bulk wine pricing, and why so many industry analysts dramatically underestimated the size of last year's harvest.  What the optimal strategy for wineries and growers is and whether buyers are pulling back on contracted commitments at the expense of future stability.  What is going to happen to all those mothballed vineyards. The role of imports in replacing lost acres in California and the possibility that all future incremental demand for wine volumes in the US will be met by foreign producers.   Relevant time stamps:  03:20 – The status of acreage rightsizing in California and the not-so-good fate of mothballed vineyards. 22:45 – The bulk wine market, demand, and the lack of demand for old vintage wine. 33:30 – The crush report and what it means for different regions and growers. 43:15 – The financialization of the wine industry and incentives to leave your growers out in the cold. 52:30 – Imports, the road to recovery, and the dark world the future could hold.   Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In this episode, RaboResearch analyst Vítor Pistóia unpacks the early signals for Australia's 2026/27 winter crop, drawing on what's being said on the ground. The discussion looks at seasonal conditions and shifting area decisions, alongside the growing impact of high input costs, particularly nitrogen fertiliser, on crop choice and margins.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

One year on from his visit Down Under, US-based RaboResearch Senior Dairy Analyst Lucas Fuess reconnects with RaboResearch Australia's Senior Dairy Analyst Michael Harvey to take stock of how the US dairy sector has evolved and what it means for Australia and New Zealand. Their conversation revisits the structural themes identified during Lucas' earlier tour of Australia and New Zealand and explores how those insights stack up against developments in the US dairy sector today.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

RaboResearch Global Energy Strategist Joe DeLaura unpacks diesel supply chain disruptions stemming from tensions at the Strait of Hormuz. While global crude prices have been highly volatile, diesel prices in Australia and New Zealand remain elevated to attract the needed import volumes. RaboResearch Economic Strategist Ben Picton explains the implications for inflation, consumers, interest rates, and currencies.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

RaboResearch Global Energy Strategist Joe DeLaura unpacks diesel supply chain disruptions stemming from tensions at the Strait of Hormuz. While global crude prices have been highly volatile, diesel prices in Australia and New Zealand remain elevated to attract the needed import volumes. RaboResearch Economic Strategist Ben Picton explains the implications for inflation, consumers, interest rates, and currencies.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In late March, Brown-Forman Corporation and Pernod Ricard confirmed they were in talks about a potential merger that would bring together giant brands like Jack Daniels, Herradura, Woodford Reserve, Jameson, Beefeater, Absolut, and Chivas Regal. It would be a formidable lineup, which in terms of spirit sales would rival the scale of Diageo – long the largest spirits business in the history of the universe. Equity analyst Richard Withagen of Kepler Cheuvreux joins us to discuss the details and outlook for this blockbuster deal.    Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Neste episódio do Foco no Agronegócio, o Andrés Padilla conversou com o Renan Alves sobre o momento atual do consumidor brasileiro e sobre o novo relatório publicado pelo RaboResearch para falar do consumo doméstico de alimentos e bebidas.   Consulte nosso disclaimer em https://www.rabobank.com.br/conhecimento/disclaimer/011483208/disclaimer para saber sobre as limitações do conteúdo publicado neste podcast. 

Join Stefan Vogel, General Manager of RaboResearch Australia & New Zealand, as he chats with Andy Duff, RaboResearch's Global Sugar Strategist based in Brazil, and Charles Hart, Senior Commodity Analyst in London, for a truly global discussion of the sugar market outlook. How much do high oil prices translate into higher Brazilian gasoline prices, and by how much will Brazilian sugar mills switch from sugar production to ethanol? What other fundamental factors are driving the global sugar surplus in 2026? Tune in to find out!   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Many investors have abandoned the world of early-stage alcohol startups, leaving a gaping hole in the market. There is less money available to fuel startup growth, and potential buyers are demanding both scale and profitability, extending the time to achieve an exit and reshaping the optimal strategy for building a brand. Over the last five years, Jason Sherman (Top Shelf) and Nick Papanicolaou (No Sleep Beverage) each helped found venture capital firms specializing in alcohol. In this episode we explore where they see opportunity, what they consider when making an investment, and what buyers of the future will ultimately be looking for. In this episode we discuss: The metrics that startups and investors should prioritize when measuring success. The current capital environment for early-stage startups and how to build a brand with way less money than before. Where the corporate VC model succeeded and why it ultimately failed to survive. Where innovation for large firms will come from in the future. Notable time stamps: 2:23 – Jason and Nick share their background and the investment thesis behind their firms. 17:11 – How to measure velocity: The key metric for potential investors. 20:30 – The impact of the general environment on investor sentiment and capital availability for independent brands. 41:00 - A corporate VC post‑mortem and the future of innovation at large alcohol suppliers. Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Australia's farm sector is feeling the ripple effects of the escalating Middle East conflict. In this episode, Stefan Vogel leads a discussion with the team on the latest energy and fertiliser supply shocks – and how they are pushing up input costs and squeezing margins for Australian growers.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

The Sydney-based general manager of RaboResearch crunches the numbers on fuel and fertiliser coming out of the Middle East - and those numbers don’t make good reading. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Michael Harvey and Lambert van Horen discuss the latest global greenhouse trends, highlighting shifts in supply, demand, and cost structures across major horticultural regions. They explore how energy prices, sustainability pressures, and evolving consumer behaviour are reshaping investment decisions for growers worldwide.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

No matter where you're at in your farm business, it's never too early to start thinking about succession. In this episode of RaboElevate, Rabobank's Skye Ward sits down with Isobel Knight from Proagtive, drawing on her 25 years of experience working with farming families in succession planning. From how to start the process, to creating the appropriate forum for these discussions, Isobel shares why structure and communication are key – and how, in her experience, these conversations can actually deepen family relationships.     Disclaimer: This publication is not a RaboResearch publication and is for information purposes only. The contents of this publication are general in nature and do not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. As such, the contents of this publication do not constitute advice and should not be relied upon as a basis for any financial decisions. Rabobank Australia Limited ABN 50 001 621 129 AFSL 234700 and Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. (Australia Branch) ABN 70003917655 AFSL 238446 (collectively referred to as, 'Rabobank Australia') recommend that you seek independent financial advice from your accountant or financial adviser before making any financial decisions related in any way to the contents of this publication. The information and opinions contained in this publication have been compiled or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable. Any opinions, forecasts or estimates made are reasonably held, based on the information available at the time of publication and there can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with any such opinions, forecasts or estimates. All opinions expressed are subject to change at any time. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is made or provided as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of any information or opinions contained within the publication. You should make your own inquiries regarding the contents of this publication. Rabobank Australia does not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of any error or omission in the publication or arising out of any reliance or use of this publication or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. This publication may not be reproduced or distributed in whole or in part, except with the prior written consent of © Rabobank Australia Limited ABN 50 001 621 129 AFSL 234700 and Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. (Australia Branch) ABN 70003917655 AFSL 238446, as part of the Rabobank Group.  

From 1970 to 1995, US per capita spirits consumption fell by nearly 50%. Yet some players, like Heaven Hill, emerged stronger and more diversified than when the downturn began. In this episode, Heaven Hill Chairman Max Shapira and President Kate Latts reflect on the company's 90‑year journey, offering first-person accounts of beverage alcohol's last major downturn, the subsequent revival in demand, and what lessons, if any, apply to the current marketplace.  In this episode we discuss:  The drivers behind the collapse of alcohol sales in the 1970s and 1980s and the segments (wine, vodka, etc.) that actually grew during the downturn. The consolidation of the US bourbon industry, with the number of Kentucky distillers falling from 70 to 10 in just two decades. The drivers of the current market and whether they share any similarities with the 1980s. The outlook for the current US bourbon supply, and the risk of a shortage in three to five years. The moderated impact of oversupply on the sales performance of well-established brands v. startups.   Notable time stamps: 02:20 – History of Heaven Hill and building a diversified portfolio 09:21 – What caused alcohol sales to collapse from 1970 to 1995 12:39 – Parallels between the 1980s and today 19:17 – Drivers behind the current decline in alcohol demand and what is going on with millennials  32:13 – Why downturns and oversupply favor strong brands and what will happen to craft distillers 54:32 – Chaos in the distributor tier 01:02:28 – The post‑pandemic socialization reset   Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Jan Lambregts, Head of Global Economics Research for Rabobank, discusses the impact of the war in Iran and wider geopolitical implications on Australia's and New Zealand's economy and agriculture.    Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

The Australian Horticulture Statistics Handbook 2024/25 has been released, providing an ideal opportunity for Michael Harvey and Jen Corkran to reflect on the key trends shaping the industry. The report offers a snapshot of the sector's performance and highlights broad-based strength across the sector, with several categories achieving record growth.    Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Interview recorded - 13th of March, 2026On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Every. Michael is Global Strategist at RaboResearch.During our conversation we spoke about the "Grand Macro Strategy", how this should be interpreted with Venezuela and Iran interventions, potential resolutions, reshaping of the world order, Europe and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction2:30 - Iran & Venezuela signals7:52 - Trump global shift10:57 - China's reaction13:44 - Cold war15:10 - US losing control?18:22 - The new potential system?20:59 - China reducing manufacturing?23:46 - Europe to struggle26:26 - Impact on markets?30:09 - One message to takeaway?Michael Every is a Global Strategist at Rabobank. He analyses major financial developments and contributes to the bank's various economic research publications for internal and external customers and to the media.Michael has over two decades of experience working as an Economist and Strategist. Before Rabobank, he was a Director at Silk Road Associates in Bangkok, Senior Economist and Fixed Income Strategist at the Royal Bank of Canada in both London and Sydney, and an Economist for Dun & Bradstreet in London.Michael holds a Masters degree in Economics (with distinction) from University College London and speaks a smattering of languages, including Thai.Michael Every - Website - https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/our-experts/011085368/michael-everyLinkedIn - https://sg.linkedin.com/in/michael-every-38983214WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

In this third episode of our six-part RaboElevate series, Dr Robin Stonecash sits down with John Francis from Agrista to talk about benchmarking in farm businesses. With more than 30 years in the game, John shares how the top producers he works with use benchmarking to turn their raw farm and financial data into meaningful information. And how this process helps shift from reactionary to anticipatory decision-making to help stay ahead of the game.   Disclaimer: This publication is not a RaboResearch publication and is for information purposes only. The contents of this publication are general in nature and do not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. As such, the contents of this publication do not constitute advice and should not be relied upon as a basis for any financial decisions. Rabobank Australia Limited ABN 50 001 621 129 AFSL 234700 and Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. (Australia Branch) ABN 70003917655 AFSL 238446 (collectively referred to as, 'Rabobank Australia') recommend that you seek independent financial advice from your accountant or financial adviser before making any financial decisions related in any way to the contents of this publication. The information and opinions contained in this publication have been compiled or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable. Any opinions, forecasts or estimates made are reasonably held, based on the information available at the time of publication and there can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with any such opinions, forecasts or estimates. All opinions expressed are subject to change at any time. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is made or provided as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of any information or opinions contained within the publication. You should make your own inquiries regarding the contents of this publication. Rabobank Australia does not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of any error or omission in the publication or arising out of any reliance or use of this publication or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. This publication may not be reproduced or distributed in whole or in part, except with the prior written consent of © Rabobank Australia Limited ABN 50 001 621 129 AFSL 234700 and Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. (Australia Branch) ABN 70003917655 AFSL 238446, as part of the Rabobank Group.

Angus Gidley-Baird speaks with Wagga Rural manager Georgia Twomey on the state of the Australian lamb market and the increased popularity of feedlotting lambs.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In this episode, RaboResearch analysts Vítor Pistóia and Ben Picton unpack the relevance of the recent conflict involving Iran and the wider Persian Gulf. They explore how heightened regional risk could affect energy and agricultural supply chains and what this means for farm input costs and inflation.    Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Fresh from their rather somber state-of-the-industry presentation, SipSource analysts Danny Brager and Dale Stratton help identify whether there are any areas of growth and promise in the wine and spirits business. Topics include:  The performance of wine and spirits depletions in 2025 and the outlook for 2026. The surprising resilience of RTD growth rates. Prosecco's continuing strong performance. The wine industry trying more innovative marketing strategies. The importance of finding the right packaging formats. If consumers actually want low-alcohol products or if they want low-calorie and low-sugar products.    Have a question, qualm, or story to tell? Reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Oliver Winery is one of the largest wine businesses in the United States. It is located in Indiana. In this episode, CEO Pat Brown shares how the unusual origins of the business have helped the company capture consumers who would otherwise be overlooked by the wine business, as well as the advantages of operating a winery outside the West Coast.    Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Danny Wirtz, Co-Chairman of Breakthru Beverage Group, discusses how brands are rethinking national agreements and what success looks like when performance, not footprint, are the primary concern for suppliers' route-to-market strategy. Themes from the episode: How did Breakthru shift strategy after a planned merger with Republic National Distributing Company was terminated in 2019? What does geographic expansion look like in the current market? What is driving decisions about footprint? Are suppliers deprioritizing a national footprint? Are there still benefits from those national partnerships? How is the push from beer wholesalers and Reyes Beverage Group changing the strategies of wine and spirits wholesalers?  What are Danny's thoughts, as CEO of the Chicago Blackhawks, about the boost his sport has received from the international phenomenon Heated Rivalry?     Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.   

We caught up with Francis Creighton, President and CEO of the Wine & Spirits Wholesalers of America, on the floor at this year's Access Live conference in Las Vegas. In addition to helping its members navigate a very difficult business environment, the lobbying group representing US wine and spirits wholesalers in the US has a full advocacy agenda. Francis quickly brings us up to date on its legislative priorities and how wholesalers are dealing with the tough times.  Have a question, qualm or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.     

The team from Beer Business Daily and Beernet Radio offer candid coverage of the tumult and upheaval in the US beer wholesaler business.  In this episode, we touch on the following topics:  How are big brands (AB InBev, Molson Coors, Constellation Brands) applying pressure differently to their wholesaler networks? What is the outlook for hemp beverages (né marijuana edibles)? Will they be legal in 2027, and are they actual profit drivers for wholesalers?  Will wholesalers continue to diversify away from beer? Should this concern the biggest brands in their portfolio? Are wholesalers seeing a clear impact from the Trump administration's immigration crackdown? Should beer wholesalers move more aggressively into wine and spirits? Should those businesses be run separately from their beer business?    Have a question, qualm, or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Economics power duo Jane Foley and Christian Lawrence return to discuss the first 12 months of the Trump administration and the 2026 outlook for economies in the US and Europe. As always, the conversation is far-reaching, touching on:  The AI boom and its impact on business operations and economic growth. Inflation and the legacy of higher food, housing, and healthcare prices. Interest rates, currencies, and the threats to an independent Federal Reserve. The waning predictive power of consumer confidence surveys. The incomplete and lasting impact of tariffs and Trump's challenge to the geopolitical order. The impact of immigration policies on population growth and economic activity. Have a question, qualm, or story to tell, reach out via email: Bourcard.Nesin@Rabobank.com Sign up to access our written research: RaboResearch sign-up   Note: The content and opinions presented within this podcast are not intended as investment advice, and the opinions rendered are that of the individuals and not Rabobank or its affiliates and should not be considered a solicitation or offer to sell or provide services.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.