Real Estate Espresso

On today's show we are talking about what happens when there is an announcement about jobs moving. It seems like a zero sum game in which there are winners and losers. Yesterday's announcement from the White House had those characteristics. If you've been following this show for a while, you know that my development firm Y Street Capital, together with a few partners owns a large parcel of land consisting of 1783 acres in Colorado Springs. The project is a large master planned community located on the eastern edge of Colorado Springs. The development of the city is constrained by the mountains on the west side. It has developed North and South. Denver is about an hour to the North. The city has also developed East which is where our property is located. Our immediate neighbour is Schreiver Space Force Base. There are numerous assets in Colorado Springs.Colorado Springs is a major hub for U.S. military space and defense operations, and as a result, many of the assets located there are part of the newly formed U.S. Space Force, which was created from elements of the U.S. Air Force.The move was widely anticipated. Our sources said that the announcement would happen before the end of August. (We were off by two days.) Our sources tell us the move is anticipated to affect about 750-1000 jobs. Schriever Space Force Base is not being moved, nor are the ground bases in Alaska or elsewhere around the world. While the move is negative for Colorado Springs, we anticipate that the Golden Dome announcement from earlier this year will require growth in both Colorado Springs and Huntsville in order to be realized. Much of the growth that was announced for Huntsville is linked to the Golden Dome program, and not the wholesale relocation of Space Force from Colorado to Huntsville. Therefore, we do not foresee a long term negative impact.-----------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are taking a look at a paper published in the past week by Stanford University.But first, I'd like to let you know about an opportunity for one lucky individual to participate in the creation of the real estate espresso podcast. This is an unpaid internship position which will give you the opportunity to learn and to contribute to how guests for the podcast are selected. The work represents a couple of hours a week. If you, or someone you know might be a good fit for this position, we will be accepting applications to join our podcast team. Send an email to podcast@victorjm.com and let me know a little bit about yourself and how you think you might be a good fit. Again send an email to podcast@victorjm.comOn today's show we are taking a look at a paper published in the past week by Stanford University.There is a lot of news coverage about how AI is changing the world of software development. This is seen as a bellwether for what is to come elsewhere in the economy. Software is ideal for tools like AI in that it is a much more restricted language than natural language with a much smaller vocabulary. It's at the intersection of math and language, so it's much easier for a large language model to work on. The Stanford paper was widely quoted in the media and it tells us a few things about the state of AI and how it is affecting hiring. The first, and perhaps most striking fact is the substantial and measurable decline in employment for workers aged 22-25 in occupations deemed most exposed to generative AI. This group has experienced a 13% relative decline in employment since late 2022, a period that coincides with the widespread adoption of tools like ChatGPT. For the most AI-exposed occupations, young workers experienced a 6% decline, while older workers saw an increase of 6-9%. This tells us that junior positions are being displaced, but the most experienced workers are using AI to augment their work and multiply their productivity. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Our book this month is "The Four Obsessions of an Extraordinary Executive: A No-Nonsense Breakdown" by Patrick Lencioni.It's not a new book. It was first published in 2000. The author is founder and president of The Table Group, a firm dedicated to helping leaders improve their organizations' health since 1997. Prior to founding The Table Group, Lencioni served on the executive team at Sybase, Inc. He started his career at Bain & Company and later worked at Oracle Corporation.The core of the book are four obsessions that the author believe are core to a healthy organization.Obsession #1: Build a Real Leadership Team, Not a Social ClubObsession #2: Stop the Confusion and Get ClearObsession #3: Communicate Until You're Sick of Your Own VoiceObsession #4: Put Clarity into the Company's DNA-------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Galiano Tiramani is based in Las Vegas, Nevada where the factory for Boxable.com is located. The idea behind Boxable is optimizing the entire end to end construction process and creating an efficient shipping package that allows for cost effective transportation. By reducing as much of the site work to the bare minimum, it is possible to reduce the overall cost of construction. To connect with Galiano or to learn more visit boxable.com------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Adam Gower is based on the Central Coast of California. He has over 40 years experience in commercial real estate. On today's show we are talking about how to connect authentically using LinkedIn as a vehicle for building relationships. To learn more, visit gowercrowd.com.--------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Every year the Kansas City Fed hosts the Jackson Hole symposium. All eyes are on the opening speech from Jerome Powell which was widely covered by the news media. To me, the more interesting talks are the invited speakers who give talks on various elements of the economy. The theme this year at Jackson Hole is demographics and the impact on the labor market. So this week we will be doing a mini series summarizing the most noteworthy talks from Jackson Hole this year. The paper we are examining is by Emi Nakamura from Berkeley University. In this paper the author is examing the Taylor Rule named after John Taylor who came up with the observation after six years at the Fed, specifically examining the Alan Greenspan years. Emi Nakamura shows convincingly that the Taylor Rule rarely if ever applies in the real world, except for those six years. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are talking about the global response to US negotiating tactics. The President is used to negotiating with a single party across the table. But he lacks experience negotiating with millions of people who are not party to the negotiation. The current negotiating stance of the US administration is highly combative and employs methods designed to maximize US leverage in the negotiation. There are three possible responses to this approach Engage In NegotiationsGive in to US demandsTake steps to reduce or eliminate the US negotiating power It's that 3rd approach which is not getting very much attention. It also presumes that you know who you are negotiating with.  --------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Every year the Kansas City Fed hosts the Jackson Hole symposium. All eyes are on the opening speech from Jerome Powell which was widely covered by the news media. To me, the more interesting talks are the invited speakers who give talks on various elements of the economy. The theme this year at Jackson Hole is demographics and the impact on the labor market. So this week we will be doing a mini series summarizing the most noteworthy talks from Jackson Hole this year. Some of these talks are considered boring by the news media and they don't get covered. But for those who seek to understand how the economy functions, these talks are very interesting.On today's show we are examining a paper called "Interstate Labor Mobility and the US Economy". It has four authors, two from the University of Michigan and two from Europe. Their paper discusses how Gross migration rates within the United States have undergone a subtle but significant transformation over the past five decades. While some sources, notably the Current Population Survey (CPS), paint a picture of a steep decline, plunging from over 3% to a mere 1.2% by the end of the sample period, a closer look at more robust data tells a different story. Using IRS data, the authors show that labor force mobility declined to 2.5% from 3% over that same time period. They further break down the components of why people move. One factor that I believe was not adequately addressed is the rise of remote work. People don't have to move for work in many instances. That virtual mobility may in fact be by choice rather than necessity. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Every year the Kansas City Fed hosts the Jackson Hole symposium. All eyes are on the opening speech from Jerome Powell which was widely covered by the news media. To me, the more interesting talks are the invited speakers who give talks on various elements of the economy. The theme this year at Jackson Hole is demographics and the impact on the labor market. So this week we will be doing a mini series summarizing the most noteworthy talks from Jackson Hole this year. Some of these talks are considered boring by the news media and they don't get covered. But for those who seek to understand how the economy functions, these talks are very interesting. Our first one is focused on a talk by Claudia Goldin from Harvard University.-----------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show I'm coming to you live from Anchorage Alaska. Based on the most recent data available, the rental vacancy rate in the Municipality of Anchorage was 4.6% in 2024. This indicates a relatively tight rental market, although it's a slight increase from some of the historically low rates seen in recent years. The recent population decline can be linked to a long-running economic recession in Alaska, which began in 2015. This recession was largely a result of falling oil prices, which impacted state revenue and led to a slowdown in economic activity. As a result, Anchorage lost jobs and people, and its employment levels have yet to recover to pre-2015 peaks.-----------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Dave Shirkey is based in Michigan where today he specializes in mobile home park investing. On today's show we are talking about the darker side of investing which sometimes attracts bad actors. We're discussing how to avoid the possibility of being lured into a scam.To connect with Dave, you can reach him on LinkedIn. --------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Kevin Bupp is based in Tampa, Florida where he invests in mobile home parks and structured parking assets. On today's show we are focusing on the investment mandate for parking lots and structured parking assets. To connect with Kevin you can find him on LinkedIn or at https://sunrisecapitalinvestors.com/fund-4/-------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are asking questions about property rights. Our team has been working on  a development site in Utah. The property in question has a broad commercial zoning associated with it. The purpose of zoning is to restrict land use to specific uses that are in line with the city's master plan. The intent is to ensure that developments of those properties is not in conflict with the stated goals of the city. At this point we have presented three different site plans to the city that are consistent with the zoning. All were supported by the planning commission. The most recent site plan proposal was approved by the planning commission with a vote of 7-0. But then when it got to city council, it was denied. Unlike in some other municipalities, this city has delegated the final decision-making authority to the Planning Commission for certain types of applications, including:Conditional Use PermitsCommercial site plansThis means that for these specific applications, the Planning Commission's decision is final and does not require further approval from the City Council, unless it is appealed.Since our property is zoned commercial, it is unclear that City council should have even played a role in the application according to the city's own rules. So the question eventually becomes one of property rights. At what point does the denial of construction on a property effectively become a condemnation of the property, without just compensation. We are truly starting to ask questions about the legitimacy of the repeated denials. Clearly these are risks that a developer takes. But my gosh this feels a bit extreme. On today's show we are going to take a look at the case law surrounding excessive government interference. Now of course I'm not a lawyer and I don't play one on a podcast.As you can see, we're a little frustrated with the city council and it's looking like consulting a very experienced land use attorney might be the next step. ----------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1⁠)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613⁠)   Website: [⁠www.victorjm.com⁠](⁠http://www.victorjm.com⁠)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](⁠http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce⁠)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](⁠http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734⁠)   Facebook: [⁠www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)⁠   Email: [⁠podcast@victorjm.com⁠](mailto:⁠podcast@victorjm.com⁠)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [⁠www.ystreetcapital.com⁠](⁠http://www.ystreetcapital.com⁠)   Facebook: [⁠www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)⁠   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](⁠http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital⁠)  

On today's show we are doing another in the beginner series. The Real Estate Espresso Podcast is unlike other podcasts in that most others are focused on a more entry level audience.  Our listeners are sophisticated. Many of you own large portfolios of apartments. But you also have people in your life who are interested in learning more, but maybe don't have access to high quality information. The idea of sending your spouse to a $199 weekend bootcamp for beginners where they are going to be abused by sleazy sales people sounds unthinkable. So where do they go. Look no further. We are going to dedicate a couple of shows a month to topics that will accelerate the learning for less experienced investors, and might give the most sophisticated investors a new way of explaining a concept that is otherwise complex to describe.Today's show is focused on underwriting where I'm reviewing the underwriting from a new investor who is looking at their first multi-family acquisition. There are numerous pitfalls in underwriting which unless you have the experience, you don't know what you don't know. This project is the first syndication for them and they don't have experience having put together a compliant offering. ------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are talking about whether Real estate investing as a career require more tech skills in the future? Will it require more finance skills? How do you find that person?The advent of AI has changed the way that the real estate investing is done. It's a fundamental shift in the real estate investment landscape, moving the industry from a reliance on intuition, fragmented data, and manual processes to a new paradigm that is data-centric. AI is not merely an incremental technological advancement; it is redefining the competitive advantage.--------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are talking about ways in which business people and regular citizens are being targeted for financial fraud. This was prompted by an attempt to get $9,000 from our company earlier this week. The attempt to defraud us failed, but it showed how much more sophisticated these attempts are becoming. -----------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

The headlines on the Wall Street Journal have been marvelling at the lack of inflationary pressure as a result of tariffs. The latest CPI announcement had the annualized rate at 2.7% against the backdrop of a weakening labor market. This is converging on the Fed's 2% target for inflation. We are looking at inflation because the Fed's interest rate policy is linked to balancing both price stability and maximizing employment. If inflation is too high, they raise rates in order to suppress demand. If unemployment is too high they lower rates to stimulate investment. Of course we know it is not just the rates which affect the economy, it's access to credit which is infinitely more important. We know that tariffs have been making headlines for most of this year. Tariffs have been in effect on a wide range of goods for many countries since April 1. There have been several delays to the implementation of tariffs which were designed to incentivize new trade deals with the US. Some of these have concluded and others like Canada and China are still in process. Last Friday the Producer Price Index was published and it showed that prices increase 0.9% for the month of July. That's a huge jump in a month. Is this all the result of tariffs? No. The services component of the PPI rose 1.1% and the goods component rose 0.7%. Tariffs are not the whole story. When I consider that companies need to maintain profitability, there are several ways they can do this. For example, retailers might hold the line on prices for goods that have tariffs attached to them. But I think the cost pressure from tariffs and the incentive to bring manufacturing to the US will have two effects.Any new manufacturing in the US will take time to implement. In the meantime, companies will have to find other ways to cut costs. If and when they do eventually bring new manufacturing to the US, it will be very highly automated to minimize the impact of higher wages in the US. With the advent of AI, manufacturers will be looking for ways to eliminate other positions in the company and reduce headcount to improve operating margins. The drive to save costs will accelerate the adoption of AI in companies and speed up the elimination of jobs. Strangely, this will have the opposite effect that the White House is hoping for. So if inflation ticks up as a result of tariffs, can the Fed do anything about it? The answer is a resounding NO. Raising interest rates won't make the tariffs go away. Increasing costs for businesses won't cause demand to fall enough to suppress prices. So the Fed would be rendered completely impotent to bring price stability from an artificial imposition of tariffs causing prices to increase. You see these economic models assume normal economic behaviour. But if the model doesn't explain the real situation on the ground, then at a certain point you have to abandon the computer simulation and look out the window to see what's happening.--------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Ryan Hawkins is based in St. Louis where he consults as a campaign manager for developers all across North America on the politics of land use. On today's show we are talking about the types of opposition that materialize and how to respond to them. To connect with Ryan and to learn more, visit https://www.sabrepointpa.com/--------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Luis Belmonte is based in San Francisco. He's been active in real estate development since the 1960's and has lived through 7 economic cycles in his career. On today's show we are talking about how to spot and survive these cycles. To connect with Luis, visit 7hp.com. He has several books on Amazon includingReal Estate 101Streetdog MBAStreetdog ManagerStreetdog Negotiator---------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are doing a walk-through of a new project that is hosting an open house tomorrow. This is a 253 unit housing project at Mont Tremblant in Quebec, an hour North of Montreal. Mont Tremblant, like many resort communities suffers from a shortage of housing for the employees of the resort. On today's show I'm sharing some of the attention to detail that is necessary to deliver a world class product. -------------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are talking about government involvement in the economy. Countries vary widely in terms of the extent to which government plays a role in the total economy. At the extreme end of the spectrum there are the purely authoritarian states based on communism. Places like Cuba and the old Soviet Union where government was the economy. But there are government initiatives within the US which frankly are worse. ---------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are taking a look at a relatively new product category. This is something that Y Street Capital has been active in for some time. But the industry and the investment community are waking up and taking notice. A recent white paper from the folks at Green Street is entitled : "Industrial Outdoor Storage: A Beautiful Ugly Duckling." Research and data on the sector remain scarce, which frankly can create opportunities. That's the opinion at Green Street, and it's our opinion as well. ------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are looking at the integrity of economic data. This has been making headlines with the President firing the head of the bureau of labor and statistics and installing a longtime critic of the BLS to head the agency. The BLS has received a lot of questions and criticism for their data collection methods.The world seems up in arms that the President is going to interfere with how economic data is collected and reported. On today's show we are going to take a walk through history to look at how economic data and employment data is collected and reported and the numerous changes that have taken place under various administrations since the 1940's. The BLS and the BEA claim to have no political affiliation and therefore they are independent from the administration. Let's look and see at what history tells us, and maybe you will agree with that sentiment, and maybe you won't. The collection and dissemination of these statistics are primarily the responsibility of two independent federal agencies: the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The BLS, which was first established in 1884, is responsible for producing data on employment, prices, and productivity, while the BEA's mission is to provide a comprehensive picture of the U.S. economy through its national accounts, including Gross Domestic Product (GDP).-------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Capital tends to flow where it is treated the best. Well the state of Texas is considering a change to its constitution which will have no immediate impact on taxes. Currently the state of Texas has no state income tax for individuals or businesses. It also has no capital gains tax. Texas is currently in the process of considering a constitutional amendment that would permanently prohibit a state-level capital gains tax. This is a significant development, especially since Texas already has no state income or capital gains tax. The proposed change isn't to add a tax, but to legally block one from ever being enacted in the future.Texas voters will decide on Proposition 2, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment, on November 4, 2025.Of course any income earned in the state of Texas including capital gains is still subject to Federal income tax and capital gains tax. So why is this significant? When a jurisdiction is seen as business friendly, it tends to attract investment. It attracts more than its fair share of jobs and prosperity. This is sending a message to the business community that Texas is open for business and is open for investment and residency. This might be considered a PR stunt since in the short term it really changes nothing. But investment in a location starts with making a favourable first impression. It's one step along the path of many steps that are ultimately required to get a company to locate there. ---------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Joel Landon is based in Salt Lake City where he helps investors administer their retirement savings. On today's show we are talking about how to use a Roth Conversion as a tax efficient method for investing in real estate. This is not a rookie move, and of course we are not providing tax advice on this show. Consult your own tax specialists who are familiar with your specific circumstance. To connect with Joel, visit https://heritageira.com/joel-landon/ or email him directly at joel@heritageira.com. ------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Mike Kron is based in Newport Beach California. His strategy has pivoted lately to focusing on retail credit tenant net leases. These are the national brand operators that provide corporate guarantees on the retail lease for businesses that are not vulnerable to e-commerce and shrinking retail footprints. To connect with Mike visit https://guardiannetlease.com/ or email him directly at mike@guardian-advisory.com. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are looking at an echo from the Great Financial Crisis. There was collapse of a banking house of cards triggered a drop in lending liquidity which then precipitated a fall in real estate prices. There were several areas across the US that got caught up in that mess in a big way. On today's show we are looking at which areas of the country are currently experiencing negative equity and comparing them to counties that were similarly affected in the period from 2008-2012. In that time, the recovery only started in 2013. It took a full 8 years for prices to re-normalize in many of those areas. Right now, there are a few areas in California, Florida, New York, Illinois, and Texas that are experiencing negative equity. Washington DC is also on the list, but in my opinion for different reasons.Now I'm not here to tell you that we are experiencing a repeat of 2008. But I find it interesting that some of the same markets that experienced the most negative equity in 2008 are also the same ones experiencing negative equity today in 2025. This is a time when you need to be particularly careful. There are people still quoting growth statistics for these areas that frankly in my estimation are no longer valid. Yes, there are national home builders planning large scale gated communities with thousands of homes in the future. But I can also tell you that these builders will not be building at the same pace in an environment where inventories are surging and equity is evaporating. ----------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

As many of you know, I follow macro economics and from time to time I share perspectives on the implications of underlying aspects of industries that ultimately affect real estate or the economy in some way. On today's show we are talking about oil. It's been a while since we have looked at what's happening in oil and gas. To start with we have not seen any appreciable change in oil prices over the past two years. They've traded within a fairly narrow range between $70-$90 per barrel. There have been a few excursions outside that range. These days, prices are hovering between $60-$70 per barrel for most of this year. This is an indication of fairly balanced supply and demand. The latest 50% tariff levelled against India as punishment for buying Russian oil is totally missing the point. This has become a massive game of musical chairs. At the end of the day, supply and demand will always seek to find an equilibrium, just like gravity helps water find its equilibrium. ------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are talking about the impact of data centres on nearby residents. You would think that a data centre is a large rectangular building filled with electronics and the high speed optical connections coming in and out of the data centre will connect the servers with the end users. Beyond the fact that the data centre is probably not the most beautiful building in the world, there should be no real lasting impact from the data centre on the community.Well, as it turns out, that's not the case. In fact, data centres can create a huge amount of noise and they use a massive amount of water. --------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are looking at three clear signals that financial markets are sending us over the past three days. There are three moves in the market that are noteworthy. We are going to unpack all threeThe US dollar has risen dramatically in the past weekShort term rates dropped dramatically in the past two daysWe have a resignation on the Fed Board of Governors.-------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are looking at banking and how banks make decisions. Access to capital is one of the key pillars in real estate. Now let me be clear. I am not a banker. I'm not a mortgage broker in any jurisdiction and I'm not her to provide advice of any kind. I'm merely sharing what have been my own observations, which may be incomplete or downright incorrect. Let's look at how banks make money so that we can better understand how and why they might say yes to a loan request  and when they are likely to say no. --------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

George Ross is a repeat guest on the podcast. On today's show we're talking about how to negotiate when there is a power imbalance between the parties. --------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Jacob Sybrowsky is based in Provo Utah where he specializes in working with high net worth families on their investment mandates. On today's show we are talking about what ultra high net worth families are looking for when it comes to getting deals done. To connect with Jacob, visit diversify.com or email his directly at jsybrowsky@diversify.com. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

If you have been following me for a while you will know that I come from an engineering and product design background. I view the world through the lens of product design where you are designing a specific product for a specific customer. If you buy a rental apartment building and decide you are going to lease it out to tenants, this is still a product designed with a specific customer in mind. It is human centred design. Our book this month is all about human centred design."The Design of Everyday Things” by Don Norman. The Design of Everyday Things, is not merely a book about industrial design; it is a profound philosophical treatise on the relationship between humans and the objects that populate their world. First published in 1988 and revised in 2013, the book's core message remains as relevant and powerful today as it was over three decades ago. Norman argues that the fault for our daily struggles with technology—from fumbling with confusing remote controls to battling poorly designed doors—lies not with the user, but with the designer. This simple yet revolutionary premise forms the backbone of a text that has become essential reading for anyone involved in product design.-------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are talking about the softening of the residential housing market that is underway across both the US and Canada. The seasonally adjusted numbers are in for the month of June which now shows four months of steady decline compared with the previous months. Again, we need to remember that these are seasonally adjusted numbers. The June numbers are still about 2% higher than the same period in 2024. This is true for the top 20 primary markets across the US as well as the national averages. The numbers are pretty consistent for both the Case Schiller report as well as the National Association of Realtors. The national home builders are also experiencing falling demand. New single family home sales have fallen by 6.6% in the first six months of 2025. Home builders have tried to adapt to the falling demand by building smaller and more affordable homes. But sales have fallen even with these adaptations to market demand. ----------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are unpacking the shocking GDP announcement that was published at 8:30 on Wednesday morning July 30. The market expected a 2.3% growth rate and the actual published number blew past the expectation with a 3% annualized growth rate in the second quarter. This is in stark contrast to the negative 0.5% growth rate in the first quarter.So the obvious question is how did the economy swing from economic contraction in the first quarter to 3% growth in the second quarter?On today's show we are going to look at the underlying components of the GDP calculation to get an understand what is happening.There are only a handful of variables, five of them in fact that move the needle. There is consumption, investment, inventory, imports and exports.Let's look at each one of these factors and determine the impact of each one on the GDP calculation.------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On yesterday's show we talked about building perimeter access. This is part of an entire building system for your residential apartments. The other main question is how to provide keys for your apartments. If you use a hotel key card system then you are sending an indirect message to your residents that you don't expect them to stay for very long and that idea can get planted in a resident's mind early in the process. They may not say anything about it, but there is a nagging idea in the back of their mind that they should not think of this apartment like their home. It's more like a short term stay. If your property truly is intended for a short term stay, then there is no problem with that idea. But if you expect people to stay for years and years, that's probably not the idea you want to reinforce every time they enter their apartment. In an ideal world you would want the same database that programs the building's perimeter to also provide the access to the apartments. ----------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are looking at one of the most over-looked aspects of real estate product design. The problem is that the architects don't get involved. The electrical engineer and electricians don't get involved, and the general contractor doesn't get involved. These systems often end up as an oversight or an afterthought. Let's start with building access. On today's show we are going to only focus on securing the perimeter of your building and the common areas and amenities.The way residents interact with your building is often a function of the technology decisions you make to incorporate systems within your building. The life cycle cost of operating and maintaining those systems is also a function of the choices you make. ---------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Marc Koran is based in Montreal, Quebec which is the headquarters of Campus Habitations. The first of several projects is in Mont Tremblant, a ski resort just North of Montreal. On today's show we are talking about the benefits of renting apartments to corporate clients and not just individual tenants. To connect with Marc and to learn more, visit https://www.campushabitations.com/ or connect with him on LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/marc-koran/-----------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Patrick Grimes is based in Honolulu Hawaii where he is a principal at Passive Investing Mastery. On today's show we are talking about what true diversification looks like. As many of you know, our team develops senior housing and this coming week, I'll be part of a panel on senior housing. To connect with Patrick and to learn more about the panel discussion on Senior Housing, visit https://passiveinvestingmastery.com/. ------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are talking about the conversion of office space. The problem with most office buildings is that they are the wrong shape to build apartments. Many office buildings are square in shape and most apartment buildings are rectangular, or L shaped, or U shaped. Apartment buildings need lots of windows. Living rooms need windows and bedrooms need windows. Offices do benefit from natural light, but in truth, a sunny south facing window creates so much glare that it makes it impossible to read the screen on your desk. Windows remain covered for much of the day. We're going to be using a case study of an office building that is part of the Kanata Research Park. The building is part of a very large office park and is located next to a four star hotel that is also located within the office park. It's no surprise that office vacancy has hit this location, just as it has impacted many offices during the pandemic and the slow return to office trend since the pandemic. So the owner of the building made the decision to convert one of the half dozen buildings on this particular site to residential and move the remaining commercial tenants to other buildings within the same complex. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are looking at what might become another tectonic force in the world of real estate investing. The White House provides a steady stream of topics that are worthy of discussing on any real estate podcast. This week is no exception. On Tuesday of this week, the President floated the idea that maybe houses will be exempted from capital gains tax. The thinking is that this would stimulate the real estate market. A change like this to the tax code would require Congressional and Senate involvement. The final definition of what type of property would qualify to achieve the tax exempt status has not been articulated. So on today's show we are going to dive into the dangerous realm of speculation for what that might be the consequences of such a change. ------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are looking at the impact of data centres on the local economy where these are located. We are looking at the energy component, and the technology life cycle. You have no doubt heard the statement that “energy is the economy.” It is true that for every unit of GDP there is an equivalent unit of energy consumed somewhere in the world. But in this instance, energy is the lifeblood of the AI industry. In addition to the gold rush in AI, there is a recognition that the world is not generating enough electricity to satisfy the incremental demand from data centres. What caught my attention this past week was not the plethora of announcements of new power generating capacity. Although that is impressive, there is something even more important that we will explore. Let's take a look at the aggregate power generation announcements in just the past month alone. Several of the announcement have been in the range of 2GW. We need to put this in perspective. 2GW of power generation is enough to power 1.5M homes. This is enough to power a city like Phoenix or San Diego or San Antonio. So when we measure the power consumption of a large data centre complex, we are comparing it to the GDP of an entire city of 1.5M homes, or about 3m people. The primary driver of obsolescence is the relentless pace of Nvidia's (and other manufacturers') innovation cycle. New generations of AI chips are released frequently, every 12 to 18 months, bringing significant leaps in computational power, efficiency, and new features.Meta's studies, for example, have shown significant GPU failures during the training of large models like Llama 3, with an estimated annualized failure rate of around 9%, potentially reaching 27% over three years for H100 GPUs. These chips consume a lot of power (700W for H100s, over 1000W for future chips) and generate intense heat, putting immense stress on the hardware.------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are talking about changes in lending policies and how these are affecting commercial real estate loans. But first. I'd like to give the listeners to the podcast the opportunity to be among the first to get visibility of an exciting new project that will form part of our industrial portfolio. The project is located on a 21 acre parcel in Bradenton Florida. This is an area that has an acute shortage of property that is even zoned for industrial uses. The project is not open yet for investment. This is an opportunity for interested parties to learn more about the project. If you are interested in learning more, send an email to victor@victorjm.com and put the word industrial in the subject line. We will get some information over to you shortly. That's victor@victorjm.com. This is not a solicitation for investment, and any investment would be by prospectus only, limited to accredited investors residing in the US in compliance with SEC regulations.On today's show we are talking about changes in lending policies and how these are affecting commercial real estate loans. When a lender or an agency issues and update to a lending policy , it is worth paying attention to the details of the new policy. Chances are, it will either make it easier to get the loan you need or perhaps make it impossible. We have seen both situations in recent months. We're going to give several examples on today's show. ---------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are talking about math. Yes, I know, not everyone likes math. We are going to be talking about the concept behind the time value of money and the different measures that are used to describe the time value of money. So when we are talking about time value of money, we can talk about the present value, the future value, and rates of return as all related by the same types of mathematical operations. A lot of investors perform a very simple return on investment calculation. The math is easy, but it doesn't take into account the time value of money. In that sense, it's not the proper calculation to be performing. We use the internal rate of return calculation instead. That's also true of pretty much all institutional investors as well. So on today's show we are going to dissect the concept of time value of money calculations. ------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Zach Westerfield is based in Forsyth Georgia where he specializes in renovating historic properties. The economics of these projects are impossible without the inclusion of either Federal or State tax credits that are confined to specific historic districts and properties that meet the historic designation criteria. This is a fascinating segment that is often overlooked. To connect with Zach, visit southvp.com ------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Jace Graham is with Rising Phoenix Capital where he invests in oil and gas leases. This is the real estate end of the oil industry which is entirely based on royalties. To learn more, visit https://www.laplatapeakfund.com/----------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

I'd like to give the listeners to the podcast the opportunity to be among the first to get visibility of an exciting new project that will form part of our industrial portfolio. The project is located on a 21 acre parcel in Bradenton Florida. This is an area that has an acute shortage of property that is even zoned for industrial uses. The project is not open yet for investment. This is an opportunity for interested parties to learn more about the project. If you are interested in learning more, send an email to victor@victorjm.com and put the word industrial in the subject line. We will get some information over to you shortly. That's victor@victorjm.com. This is not a solicitation for investment, and any investment would be by prospectus only, limited to accredited investors residing in the US in compliance with SEC regulations. As always, I believe that the hyper local market situation always outweighs the macro market conditions. That doesn't mean you should ignore the macro environment entirely. One of the principal effects of the macro environment is on the cost of capital. On today's show we are figuring out how to interpret the current market conditions, or at least we're going to try. I frequently have conversations with investors who are trying to forecast the future of interest rates and what that would mean for their investment thesis. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are talking about how some trade measures make no sense whatsoever.If you have children who grow into adults, you know that if those children become overly dependent on their parents, they ultimately fail to launch. These are the children in their 30's and 40's still living at home with their parents and having their parents subsidize their lifestyle. There is no incentive for them to figure out how to become an adult because  they don't have to. When countries overly coddle their industries under the guise of protecting domestic jobs, they are doing the same thing as coddling an adult child and not sending them out into the world to prosper. When an industry is protected, it's the same as letting your teenager hang out in your basement for the next 20 years. They're content with the status quo, but they're not really achieving great things. This brings us to the walled gardens of protectionist economics. If you want to see what protectionism results in, look at the Ontario egg farmers and their quota system. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

We keep hearing the refrain that there's billions of dollars sitting on the sidelines for commercial real estate. Well if that's true, then why is it so hard to raise capital in the current environment? Every investor and every developer I speak with is saying that investors are sitting on their wallets. There is a substantial amount of dry powder available for commercial real estate investment across various firms, with London-based investment data company Preqin putting the number at more than $350 billion. Much of it is held by the largest private equity and alternative investment firms, including Blackstone, Brookfield Asset Management, Ares Management, KKR, Carlyle Group, Apollo Global Management, TPG Capital and Starwood Capital Group.Much of the dry powder was raised three or more years ago and has been left unspent. Funds often have set periods during which they must spend money they've taken in from investors, and that deadline is approaching with many companies showing new signs of activity. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

If you've been listening to this show for a while you will know that I'm a proponent of the law of supply and demand. To me, the law of supply and demand is a little like gravity. If you choose to try and fool gravity, you're probably going to end up on the losing end of that bargain. It's the same with supply and demand. On today's show we are looking at three forms of downward pressure being exerted in the student housing arena. I'm going to make the simplifying assumption that over the next year or two, the amount of supply of student housing is not going to change dramatically. The real issue is on the demand side. This is a segment that quite frankly has been under pressure from simple demographics. Birth rates are down and the number of students enrolling is down. There are a number of new borrowing limits that affect government sponsored student loans in the latest tax legislation that was signed on July 4.During times of falling domestic demand for a university education, many schools try to make up the shortfall with foreign students. But here too  we are seeing falling numbers of international students coming to the US for university. This is another headwind for student housing. Layer on top of these headwinds the fact that some student housing providers had financed their properties at much lower interest rates than today's market rates. These properties will face substantially higher debt service costs when it comes time to refinance their existing debt. -------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)