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The federal government shutdown drags on this week, leaving a labor data vacuum. Private firms are hoping to fill the gap with their own data sets — some are even offering ‘em for free. Unfortunately, that private data is narrower and less comprehensive than typical BLS reports. Also in this episode: The popularity of all-cash home sales, the unique risks and boons AI presents for Indian Country, and the vital role of equipment auctions for small contractors.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.
The federal government shutdown drags on this week, leaving a labor data vacuum. Private firms are hoping to fill the gap with their own data sets — some are even offering ‘em for free. Unfortunately, that private data is narrower and less comprehensive than typical BLS reports. Also in this episode: The popularity of all-cash home sales, the unique risks and boons AI presents for Indian Country, and the vital role of equipment auctions for small contractors.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.
Trump and the Republicans have orchestrated the government shutdown that they are trying to blame on Democrats.The military is being mobilized in American cities. Stephen Miller and Trump's fascist advisors couldn't be happier. Links From the Week Ending 10.05.2025New details emerge on Hegseth's unusual mass gathering of top brass - The Washington PostSinclair Ends 'Jimmy Kimmel Live!' Boycott, Says Its ABC Stations Will Resuming Airing Show ImmediatelyDMPS superintendent Dr. Ian Roberts detained by ICEHeritage Foundation Uses Bogus Stat to Push a Trans Terrorism Classification | WIREDHouse Democrats release latest Jeffrey Epstein documents with Musk, Thiel, Bannon and Prince Andrew mentions | The IndependentTiming for Grijalva's swear-in in questionTrump Fired a U.S. Attorney Who Insisted on Following a Court Order - The New York Timeshttps://apnews.com/article/fbi-george-floyd-kash-patel-8d18a1e6a5a36636cc2415fc492b3f52Hundreds of VA doctors and caregivers warn that cutbacks, policy changes threaten veterans' care | CNN PoliticsTrump says he will send troops to Portland, Oregon, in latest deployment to US citiesMondayPortland threatens to evict Ice from Oregon facility over permit violationsExclusive | Eric Adams drops out of NYC mayoral race amid increasing pressure: 'I know I cannot continue my campaign'Post by @rparloff.bsky.social — BlueskyMultiple victims in Michigan church shooting; church on fire, police say | CNNhttps://bsky.app/profile/kyledcheney.bsky.social/post/3lzwh3vutn222Oregon Sues Trump to Stop ‘Unlawful' Portland Troop Deployment - Democracy Dockethttps://bsky.app/profile/kyledcheney.bsky.social/post/3lzwo6pv5rs2uMoldova's pro-EU party takes lead in vote plagued by Russian interference claims | AP Newshttps://www.kgw.com/article/news/local/trump-seems-to-back-off-portland-military-plan/283-e9c6bdfb-92d6-4881-bb74-09bb325a5270Moldova's Pivotal Election Projected to End in Victory for Pro-Europeans - The New York TimesAmerica Brought to You by Bad Bunny - by Charlotte Clymerhttps://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/sep/29/mormon-church-shooting-trump-signMedbedsTrump's Targeting of Soros Foundations Elicits Fear and Defiance on Left - The New York TimesCriminal investigation launched after feds fire pepper ball at CBS Chicago reporter's truck - CBS ChicagoStephen Miller takes leading role in strikes on alleged Venezuelan drug boats | Trump administration | The GuardianTuesdayOregon mayors condemn Trump's plan to send troops to Portland - POLITICOU.S. Deports Planeload of Iranians After Deal With Tehran, Officials Say - The New York TimesJudge excoriates Trump in blistering decision calling efforts to deport pro-Palestinian academics illegal - POLITICOTrump, Hegseth Address Military Leaders at Quantico in Unprecedented Gathering - WSJJudge orders Trump administration to preserve $233M in FEMA grants it attempted to pull from blue states - POLITICOWednesdayReductions in Force During Shutdowns | LawfareUS comedians defend decision to play in Saudi Arabia: ‘They're paying me enough to look the other way' | Comedy | The GuardianWhite House withdraws Trump's controversial nominee to lead BLS after ousting predecessor over jobs data | CNN PoliticsN.Y. sues over DHS cutting counterterrorism fundingHow Capitol Hill is set to feel the government shutdown pain - POLITICOHundreds of celebrities relaunch a McCarthy-era committee to defend free speechLisa CookFederal Workers Are Being Told to Blame Democrats for the Shutdown | WIREDTrump calls for culling 'dead wood' in government amid shutdown - ABC Newshttps://bsky.app/profile/joshgerstein.bsky.social/post/3m25o77vkok2wPentagon plans widespread random polygraphs, NDAs to stanch leaks - The Washington PostThursdayAt least 170 U.S. hospitals face major flood risk. Experts say Trump is making it worse. - CBS NewsJane Fonda relaunches her father's McCarthy-era free speech initiativeBonus 180: "Domestic Terrorism" and NSPM-7 | One FirstUS memo to colleges proposes terms on ideology, foreign enrollment for federal funds | ReutersRep Dean Post by @atrupar.com — BlueskyUS Supreme Court expands its 'emergency' docket - and Trump's power too | ReutersTrump says US is in 'armed conflict' with drug cartels after ordering strikes in the Caribbean Our Donation LinksNational Security Counselors - DonateMSW Media, Blue Wave California Victory Fund | ActBlueWhistleblowerAid.org/beansFederal workers - feel free to email AG at fedoath@pm.me and let me know what you're going to do, or just vent. I'm always here to listen. Find Upcoming Actions 50501 Movement, No Kings.org, Indivisible.orgDr. Allison Gill - Substack, BlueSky , TikTok, IG, TwitterDana Goldberg - BlueSky, Twitter, IG, facebook, danagoldberg.comCheck out more from MSW Media - Shows - MSW Media, Cleanup On Aisle 45 pod, The Breakdown | SubstackShare your Good News or Good TroubleMSW Good News and Good TroubleHave some good news; a confession; or a correction to share?Good News & Confessions - The Daily Beanshttps://www.dailybeanspod.com/confessional/ Listener Survey:http://survey.podtrac.com/start-survey.aspx?pubid=BffJOlI7qQcF&ver=shortFollow the Podcast on Apple:The Daily Beans on Apple PodcastsWant to support the show and get it ad-free and early?The Daily Beans | SupercastThe Daily Beans & Mueller, She Wrote | PatreonThe Daily Beans | Apple Podcasts Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
On Tuesday, the nomination of E.J. Antoni, the Chief Economist at The Heritage Foundation, to become the next Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, was withdrawn. In his first long-form interview since his withdrawal, Antoni joins “The Signal Sitdown” for an inside look at life as a presidential nominee and the problems with our economic data that President Donald Trump is trying to solve. When Antoni met with the president in the Oval Office upon his nomination, the biggest piece of advice that Trump gave him was “always tell the truth.” In the months since President Donald Trump nominated him for the position in August, Antoni has lived the unique life of a presidential nominee—constant meetings on Capitol Hill, continued preparation for the nominated role in the administration, and very little sleep. But, day after day, Antoni took the president's words to heart and told Senators the hard truths about our economy and our economic data. Antoni explained why the BLS is in desperate need of reform, ”The problems were starting to surface, really, many, many years ago with things like people just not responding to government surveys anymore. Those response rates have been steadily trending down,” Antoni told The Daily Signal. Keep Up With The Daily Signal Sign up for our email newsletters: https://www.dailysignal.com/email Subscribe to our other shows: The Tony Kinnett Cast: https://megaphone.link/THEDAILYSIGNAL2284199939 The Signal Sitdown: https://megaphone.link/THEDAILYSIGNAL2026390376 Problematic Women: https://megaphone.link/THEDAILYSIGNAL7765680741 Victor Davis Hanson: https://megaphone.link/THEDAILYSIGNAL9809784327 Follow The Daily Signal: X: https://x.com/intent/user?screen_name=DailySignal Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thedailysignal/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TheDailySignalNews/ Truth Social: https://truthsocial.com/@DailySignal YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/dailysignal?sub_confirmation=1 Subscribe on your favorite podcast platform and never miss an episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Bradenton Webinar Registration I'd iike to invite you to learn more about an exciting opportunity located in Bradenton Florida. Bradenton is next to Sarasota for those of you who are familiar with Florida. This market has an industrial moratorium that is driving one asset class to new heights, specifically light industrial. This 35 are property, right in the middle of Bradenton has an existing Charter School on 11 of those acres and 24 acres of land that we are developing. We are hosting a webinar on Wednesday October 8 at 7PM Eastern time. This opportunity is only open to accredited investors residing in the US in compliance with SEC regulations. To learn more, click on the link in the show notes and we will see you on Wednesday evening at 7PM. -------------On today's show we are looking at the continuing signs of weakness in the US economy. Of course with the government shut down , there are no numbers coming out of the BEA, or the BLS. Today would have been the monthly jobs report which consists of two reports. There is the headline employment report, sometimes called the establishment survey and the household survey. The employment report made headlines in a significant way when the numbers for the past year were revised down ward by over 900,000 jobs. The financial markets have come to rely on these reports when it comes to bidding on interest rate futures. The theory is that if the economy is strong and employment is strong, then the Fed will put more emphasis on suppressing demand by raising the cost of capital. This is the so-called hawkish stance where fighting inflation takes centre stage. If the economy is weak and jobs are disappearing, then the Fed in theory should take a more stimulative approach to reduce the cost of capital and encourage hiring. This was the stance in the last FOMC meeting which resulted in a 0.25% rate cut. So we have no data coming out and the market doesn't really know what to do. But there is data coming from private sources that are well respected. Payroll processing company ADP produces are regular report based on the aggregated and anonymized payroll data of more than 26 million U.S. employees. This week's report showed that the US economy shed 32000 in the month of September. ADP gathers their data weekly.We can confidently predict another 0.25% rate cut at the next FOMC meeting at the end of October and then a further rate cut at the December meeting. For those of us in real estate, this is good news. It means those variable rate loans that are indexed to SOFR will see a reduction of 0.5% before the end of the year. ----------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
Protecting your family starts with the right financial basics. In this video, we break down the must-have estate planning tools, insurance coverage, and financial safeguards every household needs. From wills and trusts to life insurance, disability coverage, and guardianship designations, we'll cover how to ensure your loved ones are secure no matter what happens. We'll also dive into digital assets, medical directives, and children's financial planning — the often-overlooked steps that protect families from unnecessary risks. ✅ Learn the financial documents every family should have ✅ Avoid common mistakes that leave families unprotected ✅ Build peace of mind with a plan that covers all bases 0:20 - Green on the Screen on Day-3 of Government Shutdown 4:05 - Risk Management thru Estate Planning 7:28 - Basic Estate Planning Documents You Need to Have 9:48 - Powers of Attorney 18:19 The Document Repository 21:03 - Post-mortem Plans - Trusts vs Wills 28:23 - Designating Beneficiaries 36:11 - Disability & Long Term Care Insurance Considerations 42:43 - Letters of Intent
Protecting your family starts with the right financial basics. In this video, we break down the must-have estate planning tools, insurance coverage, and financial safeguards every household needs. From wills and trusts to life insurance, disability coverage, and guardianship designations, we'll cover how to ensure your loved ones are secure no matter what happens. We'll also dive into digital assets, medical directives, and children's financial planning — the often-overlooked steps that protect families from unnecessary risks. ✅ Learn the financial documents every family should have ✅ Avoid common mistakes that leave families unprotected ✅ Build peace of mind with a plan that covers all bases 0:20 - Green on the Screen on Day-3 of Government Shutdown 4:05 - Risk Management thru Estate Planning 7:28 - Basic Estate Planning Documents You Need to Have 9:48 - Powers of Attorney 18:19 The Document Repository 21:03 - Post-mortem Plans - Trusts vs Wills 28:23 - Designating Beneficiaries 36:11 - Disability & Long Term Care Insurance Considerations 42:43 - Letters of Intent
Harley Lippman blames global uncertainty for the slowing in hiring and expects AI to have a huge impact on jobs in the next 4-10 years. Eric Pachman focuses on how hiring has been disproportionately driven by healthcare, which was “not a healthy situation.” Harley discusses employee retention as firms become more reluctant to hire. Eric talks about whether the Fed cares about ADP jobs data and if the lack of BLS data will change anything.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Segment 1: Jane Oates, Senior Policy Advisor and recent President at WorkingNation, joins Jon to talk about the government shutdown, the postponement of the BLS monthly report, and if the delayed report will impact any movement from the Fed on interest rates. Segment 2: Sarah Hartwick, Senior Vice President for the Illinois Manufacturers' Association, joins Jon Hansen […]
Thursday, October 2nd, 2025Today, Republicans and Trump have shut down the government but construction on the Trump White House Ballroom will continue; federal employees are sent propaganda about Democrats being at fault for the shutdown; YouTube pays Trump a giant bribe; the Pentagon is planning widespread polygraphs and non-disclosure agreements; the White House has withdrawn the nomination of the Bureau of Labor Statistics as the jobs numbers for August are revised downward; New York is suing the Department of Homeland Security for defunding the police; as we predicted the Supreme Court is allowing Lisa Cook to remain in her job on the Federal Reserve Board with oral arguments set for January; and Allison and Dana deliver your Good News.StoriesU.S. companies shed 32,000 jobs in September in latest sign of labor market weakness | NBC NewsWhite House withdraws Trump's controversial nominee to lead BLS after ousting predecessor over jobs data | CNN PoliticsYouTube to pay $22 million for White House ballroom to settle lawsuit from Trump | CBS NewsNew York sues over DHS cutting counterterrorism funding to state | Spectrum News 1Supreme Court allows Lisa Cook to remain on Fed board for now | The Washington PostPentagon plans widespread random polygraphs, NDAs to stanch leaks | The Washington Post | The Washington PostFederal Workers Are Being Told to Blame Democrats for the Shutdown | WIREDGood TroubleAnonymous consumer:While there may not be any truly ethical consumption (except maybe The Beans, PBS, and the TMBG catalog) some spending is definitely more ethical. If you're having trouble figuring out what to boycott or where to spend your money, try checking out the unionlabel.org website! You can find lists of where to buy and where not to buy! Don't Buy | Union Label and Service Trades Department, AFL-CIOCheck with your local unions to see their buy/don't buy lists, too.Good luck!**Vote Yes 836 - Oklahoma**OCTOBER 18 - NoKings.org, Leave some notes around town to spread the word.**California needs your help | Proposition 50 Vote YES !! Yes On Prop 50 | Special Election Phone Banks - mobilize.us**Help ensure safety of public servants. Hold RFK Jr accountable by signing the letter: savehhs.org, @firedbutfighting.bsky.social on Bluesky**SIGN THE STATEMENT OF SOLIDARITY for the FEMA Katrina Declaration.**How to Organize a Bearing Witness Standout**Fire Kilmeade - foxfeedback@foxnews.com, Submit a request – Fox News**Indiana teacher snitch portal - Eyes on Education**Find Your Representative | house.gov, Contacting U.S. SenatorsFrom The Good Newsunionlabel.orgVote Yes 836 - OklahomaGOOD TASTE RecordsHow You Can Write or Call the White HousePatrons Sponsoring Patrons - The Daily Beans(Mark your calendar for November 14th, 2025 - Chicago, Illinois - Dana)Our Donation LinksNational Security Counselors - DonateMSW Media, Blue Wave California Victory Fund | ActBlueWhistleblowerAid.org/beansFederal workers - email AG at fedoath@pm.me and let me know what you're going to do, or just vent. I'm always here to listen. Find Upcoming Actions 50501 Movement, No Kings.org, Indivisible.orgDr. Allison Gill - Substack, BlueSky , TikTok, IG, TwitterDana Goldberg - BlueSky, Twitter, IG, facebook, danagoldberg.comMore from MSW Media - Shows - MSW Media, Cleanup On Aisle 45 pod, The Breakdown | SubstackReminder - you can see the pod pics if you become a Patron. The good news pics are at the bottom of the show notes of each Patreon episode! That's just one of the perks of subscribing! patreon.com/muellershewrote Our Donation LinksNational Security Counselors - DonateMSW Media, Blue Wave California Victory Fund | ActBlueWhistleblowerAid.org/beansFederal workers - feel free to email AG at fedoath@pm.me and let me know what you're going to do, or just vent. I'm always here to listen. Find Upcoming Actions 50501 Movement, No Kings.org, Indivisible.orgDr. Allison Gill - Substack, BlueSky , TikTok, IG, TwitterDana Goldberg - BlueSky, Twitter, IG, facebook, danagoldberg.comCheck out more from MSW Media - Shows - MSW Media, Cleanup On Aisle 45 pod, The Breakdown | SubstackShare your Good News or Good TroubleMSW Good News and Good TroubleHave some good news; a confession; or a correction to share?Good News & Confessions - The Daily Beanshttps://www.dailybeanspod.com/confessional/ Listener Survey:http://survey.podtrac.com/start-survey.aspx?pubid=BffJOlI7qQcF&ver=shortFollow the Podcast on Apple:The Daily Beans on Apple PodcastsWant to support the show and get it ad-free and early?The Daily Beans | SupercastThe Daily Beans & Mueller, She Wrote | PatreonThe Daily Beans | Apple Podcasts Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The government shutdown is underway. Federal workers are being forced to blame Democrats. Donald's racist sombrero memes. Republicans need affordable healthcare premiums, too. Kentucky Kynect. More Americans blame Republicans for the shutdown. Republicans losing with independent voters. EJ Antoni will not be the commissioner of BLS. The ADP jobs numbers are a disaster. Jimmy Kimmel destroyed Donald on the Late Show. Jimmy Fallon is playing it safe. Heroes of Democracy: Rep. Madeleine Dean's come-to-Jesus for Mike Johnson and Donald Trump. With Jody Hamilton, David Ferguson, music by Freekbass, and more! Brought to you by Russ Rybicki, AIF®, CRC®, CSRIC™ Socially & Environmentally Responsible Investing: SRIguy.com.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
The government shutdown has silenced the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving investors without the monthly jobs report. But does Wall Street really need the BLS to keep moving? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore what happens when government labor data goes missing, how traders adapt, and what alternative indicators might offer clues about the state of the economy. Lance and Mike also examine valuation metrics in the markets, and discuss claims that interest rates are still too high. Can the "AI Effect" sustaining markets and the economy continue into 2026? 0:19 - What the Economic Surprise Index is Saying 4:29 - Markets Hit All-time High. Again. 9:30 - When P/E Ratios are Elevated 12:25 - 1999 Valuations vs Now 13:52 - Is the AI Excitement Worth It? 17:47 - The Risk of Disappointment 21:57 - Government Shutdown Ramifications 24:03 - BLS vs ADP 27:31 - What JOLTS & IRS Data is Telling Us 33:44 - Stephen Miran - Are Rates Too High? 35:38 - The Fallacy of CPI 37:37 - Immigration Impact on Economic Growth 39:00 - The Natural Rate of Interest 41:26 - The Taylor Rule Explained 45:17 - Will AI Spending Be Able to Continue into 2026? 46:58 - The Resilience of the Market
1 - Chief Economist and Richard Aster Fellow in The Heritage Foundation's Grover M. Hermann Center for the Federal Budget, Dr. EJ Antoni, joins us once again. What was it like going through the BLS nomination process? Is the President really that great in person? Is there any trouble on the horizon with this government shutdown? Will the pattern of self-deportation continue? Was the Fed justified in cutting its rates over the last few years? How did Karl Marx inspire so many people in today's society? 110 - Google is reporting that there has been a spike in searches for “Trump” and “fascist”. 120 - Do Democrats and the Pope realize their stances just aren't what people are looking for today? Your calls. 130 - Host of “Tomi Lahren is Fearless” on Outkick & Co-Host of “Big Weekend Show” on Fox News, Tomi Lahren, joins the program. How is the big new show on Fox going? What are her topics of choice on Outkick? Does she think there will be counter-programming to Bad Bunny's Super Bowl halftime show? What is the government shutdown really about for Democrats? Antifa is coming to the city this weekend. What is Tomi's reaction? 145 - Does Trump have a better approval rating in Jersey than Phil Murphy? Why are Trump supporters not going to vote in the governor's race? 150 - Your calls.
12 - Dom is at odds with yet another Pope as Leo XIV makes a declaration on abortion and the death penalty. Was Dom right about him all along? We have better audio of the Dean of Decency's condemnation of Republicans to Mike Johnson's face. 1215 - Side - all-time bad idea 1220 - Dom gives an announcement on the next Mulligan's broadcast down the shore. Why is the University of Delaware going after one of its own student television shows? 1235 - We found the Das Kapital audiobook! Can Antifa be eradicated? 1250 - Ro Khanna says the quiet part out loud. 1 - Chief Economist and Richard Aster Fellow, in The Heritage Foundation's Grover M. Hermann Center for the Federal Budget, Dr. EJ Antoni joins us once again. What was it like going through the BLS nomination process? Is the President really that great in person? Is there any trouble on the horizon with this government shutdown? Will the pattern of self-deportation continue? Was the Fed justified in cutting its rates over the last few years? How did Karl Marx inspire so many people in today's society? 110 - Google is reporting that there has been a spike in searches for “Trump” and “fascist”. 120 - Do Democrats and the Pope realize their stances just aren't what people are looking for today? Your calls. 130 - Host of “Tomi Lahren is Fearless” on Outkick & Co-Host of “Big Weekend Show” on Fox News, Tomi Lahren, joins the program. How is the big new show on Fox going? What are her topics of choice on Outkick? Does she think there will be counter-programming to Bad Bunny's Super Bowl halftime show? What is the government shutdown really about for Democrats? Antifa is expected to arrive in the city this weekend. What is Tomi's reaction? 145 - Does Trump have a better approval rating in Jersey than Phil Murphy? Why are Trump supporters not going to vote in the governor's race? 150 - Your calls. 2 - Jody Della Barba joins us as the Columbus Day Parade is back after a hiatus! How excited is Jody for this event? Where is Helen Gym? What kind of amenities will be at the celebration? How impactful has George Bocchetto been throughout this ordeal? Where will this event take place? Who is being honored at this year's event? 210 - Your calls. 215 - Dom's Money Melody! 225 - The Dean of Decency sparred with Jake Tapper last night on CNN. Does the cartel care that they're recruiting teens to a life of crime and possibly major prison time? 235 - Dom returns to the Pope as he condemns anyone who is pro-life but supports the death penalty. How do we keep electing people like this? 240 - Your calls. 250 - The Lightning Round!
The government shutdown has silenced the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving investors without the monthly jobs report. But does Wall Street really need the BLS to keep moving? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore what happens when government labor data goes missing, how traders adapt, and what alternative indicators might offer clues about the state of the economy. Lance and Mike also examine valuation metrics in the markets, and discuss claims that interest rates are still too high. Can the "AI Effect" sustaining markets and the economy continue into 2026? 0:19 - What the Economic Surprise Index is Saying 4:29 - Markets Hit All-time High. Again. 9:30 - When P/E Ratios are Elevated 12:25 - 1999 Valuations vs Now 13:52 - Is the AI Excitement Worth It? 17:47 - The Risk of Disappointment 21:57 - Government Shutdown Ramifications 24:03 - BLS vs ADP 27:31 - What JOLTS & IRS Data is Telling Us 33:44 - Stephen Miran - Are Rates Too High? 35:38 - The Fallacy of CPI 37:37 - Immigration Impact on Economic Growth 39:00 - The Natural Rate of Interest 41:26 - The Taylor Rule Explained 45:17 - Will AI Spending Be Able to Continue into 2026? 46:58 - The Resilience of the Market
“We're not concerned at all” about the government shutdown, Ed Siddell says. “Short term, there's going to be a little bit of pain, but long term it will benefit the economy.” He discusses how the Fed's reliance on BLS data may “put everything on hold” for rate cuts. He is bullish on gold and thinks it can hit as high as $5K next year. His stock picks right now include API Group (APG), Lowe's (LOW) and the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Andrew Walworth, Tom Bevan and Carl Cannon discuss the politics of the government shutdown, which government functions will be affected, and the possibility that the Trump administration will use the shutdown to fire thousands of government employees. Then, they talk about Trump's withdrawal of E.J. Antoni's nomination as director of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the fact that BLS will not issue Friday's jobs report due to the government shutdown. Next, they discuss new revelations from the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committees chaired by Sen. Rand Paul about the TSA's “Quiet Skies” surveillance program, which placed then Representative Tulsi Gabbard and at least three other members of Congress on a watch list. And finally, the guys chat about next month's New Jersey gubernatorial election and recent controversies concerning Democratic nominee Mikie Sherill, who was blocked from attending her own graduation ceremony at the US Naval Academy due to her involvement in a 1994 cheating scandal. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
PMI and ISM manufacturing showed a mixed picture, according to Kevin Green. New orders showed the biggest red mark on the report. Kevin explains why investors want to watch the numbers as Europe experiences similar weaknesses. He also takes a closer look at the ADP employment report and the "divergence" to watch between ADP and BLS.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
The White House reportedly is withdrawing its nomination to head the BLS. AP correspondent Mike Hempen reports.
On today's podcast:1) Congress blew past a midnight funding deadline, triggering the US government’s first shutdown in nearly seven years — and the third under President Trump. The White House’s budget office ordered agencies to begin executing their plans for a funding lapse, shuttering the government aside from essential duties, disrupting the jobs of hundreds of thousands of Americans and upending many public services.2) The Congressional Budget Office estimates that about 750,000 employees will be furloughed at a cost per day of $400 million in lost compensation. President Trump has also threatened to use the shutdown to fire federal workers, but agency plans for the lapse in funding didn’t specify any measures for terminations. With key economic reports on hold, traders fear the loss of visibility will leave markets in the dark on the outlook for monetary policy. The immediate reports at risk are Thursday’s weekly jobless claims and the October 3rd release of September’s nonfarm payrolls.3) The White House pulled the nomination of EJ Antoni to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics, throwing the leadership of the critical data agency into further disarray after President Trump fired the former commissioner. A White House official said that the administration looked forward to nominating a new candidate soon. Antoni was slated to appear before a Senate committee for a confirmation hearing for the BLS commissioner role, which is the only political appointee in an agency of roughly 2,000 people.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Welcome back to the show! In this week's episode, I sit down with Doug Elmendorf, former director of the Congressional Budget Office, to talk about the impact of government shutdowns, the challenges of fiscal sustainability, and the importance of independent statistical agencies. We discuss how shutdowns ripple through the economy and people's lives, the tough choices facing policymakers on entitlements and deficits, and why compromise is vital to our democracy. Doug also shares his perspective on the independence of federal statistical agencies, the role of private sector data, and the optimism he sees in today's policy students. It's a wide-ranging conversation about economics, governance, and the future of public service.Subscribe to the PolicyViz Podcast wherever you get your podcasts.Become a patron of the PolicyViz Podcast for as little as a buck a monthFollow me on Instagram, LinkedIn, Substack, Twitter, Website, YouTubeEmail: jon@policyviz.com
President Donald Trump and top congressional leaders are sitting down at the White House on Monday, Sept. 29, for a high-stakes meeting in hopes of avoiding a fast-approaching government shutdown.~This Episode is Sponsored By Coinbase~Buy $50 & Get $50 for getting started on Coinbase➜ https://bit.ly/coinbasePBN00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: Coinbase00:40 Shutdown odds01:40 Elizabeth Warren ready for the shutdown02:50 BLS bends the knee03:30 Volatility incoming04:00 Tariff threats05:00 Global pivot05:30 Shutdown won't be as bad for crypto06:30 SEC / ETF October deadlines07:00 Uptober?07:50 BlackRock CIO: There are “pockets of irrational exuberance”09:30 Cathie Wood: BTC will always be bigger than ETH11:40 Coinbase lending skyrocketing13:20 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~Government Shutdown Countdown
Our Global Head of Thematic and Fixed Income Research Michael Zezas and our U.S. Public Policy Strategist Ariana Salvatore unpack the market and economic implications of a looming government shutdown.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Michael Zezas: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley's Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy. Ariana Salvatore: And I'm Ariana Salvatore, U.S. Public Policy Strategist. Michael Zezas: Today, our focus is once again on Washington – as the U.S. government fiscal year draws to a close and a potential government shutdown hangs in the balance.It's Friday, September 26th at noon in New York. Ariana we're just four days away from the end of the month. By October 1st, Congress needs to have a funding agreement in place, or we risk a potential shutdown. To that point, Democrats and Republicans seem far apart on the deal to avoid a shutdown. What's the state of play? Ariana Salvatore: Right now, Republicans are pushing for what's called a clean continuing resolution. That's a bill that would keep funding levels flat while putting more time on the clock for negotiators to hammer out full fiscal year appropriations. And the CR they're proposing lasts until November 21st. Democrats, conversely, are seeking to tie government funding to legislative compromise in other areas, including the enhanced Obamacare or ACA subsidies, and potential spending cuts to Medicaid from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which Republicans signed earlier this year. Remember, even though Republicans hold a majority in both chambers, this has to be a bipartisan agreement because of exactly how thin those margins of control are. But Mike, it seems as we get closer, investors are asking more infrequently whether or not a shutdown is happening – and are more interested in how long it could potentially last. What are we thinking there? Michael Zezas: So, it's hard to know. Shutdowns typically last a few days, but sometimes there are short as a few hours, sometimes as long as a few weeks. Historically, shutdowns tend to end when the economic risk, and therefore the attached political risk gets real. So, consider the 35-day shutdown under President Trump in this first term. The compromise that ended it came quickly after there was an air traffic stoppage at New York's LaGuardia Airport – when 10 air traffic controllers who weren't being paid failed to show up for work. So, we think the more relevant question for investors is what it all means for economic activity. Our economists have historically argued that a government shutdown takes something like 0.1 percent off of GDP every single week it's happening. However, once employees go back to work, a lot of times that effect fades pretty quickly. Now it's important to understand that this time around there could be a wrinkle. The Trump administration is talking about laying employees off on a durable basis during the shutdown. And that's something that maybe would have more of a lasting economic impact. It's hard to know how credible that potential is. There would almost certainly be court challenges, but it's something we have to keep our eye on that could create a more meaningful economic consequence. Ariana Salvatore: That's right. And there are also some really important indirect macroeconomic effects here. Like delayed data releases. Much of the federal workforce, to your point, will not be working through a shutdown – which could impede the collection and the release of some key data points that matter for markets like labor and inflation data, which come from BLS, the Bureau of Labor Statistics. So, assuming we're in this scenario with a longer-term shutdown. Obviously, we're going to see an increase in uncertainty, especially as investors are looking toward each data print for guidance on what the Fed's next move might be. What do we expect the market reaction to all of this to be? Michael Zezas: Well, the obvious risk here is that markets might have to price in some weaker growth potential. So, you could see treasury yields fall. You could see equity markets wobble; be a bit more volatile. It could be that those effects are temporary, though. And that volatility could easily be amplified by having to price risk in the market without the data you were talking about, Ariana. So, investors could overreact to anecdotal signals about the economy or underweight some real risks that they're not seeing. So, that's why even a short shutdown can have outsized market effects. Well, Ariana, thanks for taking the time to talk.Ariana Salvatore: Great speaking with you, Mike. Michael Zezas: And to our audience, thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you get this podcast and tell your friends about it. We want everyone to listen.
Erica Groshen knows what's behind the numbers. She served as the 14th Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and a Vice President at the New York Fed. The BLS is rarely in the headlines but political assaults on its independence have suddenly made its work front-page news. At stake: whether the data that guide trillions in investment and policy decisions can still be trusted. In our conversation, Erica and I explored five questions that matter not just for CRE professionals, but for anyone trying to make sense of today's economy: What happens to markets when political leaders undermine trust in official statistics? How would a politicized Fed and BLS reshape the cost of capital and risk across the economy? How is the nation's labor data actually gathered? Why does the BLS's data matter so much for the business and CRE cycle? How does the Fed use labor data to set interest rates? This isn't an abstract debate. For commercial real estate, cap rates, borrowing costs, and deal structures all trace back to the business cycle - and that cycle is measured first and foremost by BLS data. If you want to look beyond today's headlines and hear why institutional trust translates directly into your cost of capital — this is the episode to listen to. *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing. With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection. Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe Email: adam@gowercrowd.com Call: 213-761-1000
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe Eurozone is feeling the inflation pressure. Mexico is in a recession and the rest of the world is going to follow. The economy is an illusion and Biden created it with fake numbers. Trump is bringing the economy out of the recession and he is transforming the system right in front of the [CB]. The [DS] is now showing who they truly are. They are pushing their foot soldiers to become more violent, the people are witness the insurrection. Trump is pushing the [DS] down the path of war. The [DS] is following the 16 year plan and it ends with war. DC is now setting up anti-scale fencing. The people of the US are now judging what they are seeing. Justice is coming. Economy Eurozone Faces Inflation, Growth Threat From China's Rare Earths Dominance, ECB Warns The eurozone economy faces the threat of higher inflation rates and slower economic growth if supplies of rare earth minerals from China are disrupted, the European Central Bank said Tuesday. In a report, the ECB's economists said the eurozone relies heavily on rare earths from China, either directly or through intermediaries such as large U.S. technology companies. Were those supplies to be interrupted as a result of trade or other disputes, the eurozone would suffer economic harm, they warned. Source: wsj.com https://twitter.com/SNienow/status/1970594156469788775 https://twitter.com/WallStreetMav/status/1970830346217251294 (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970838444659093881 February 2020. This suggests that official BLS job openings data will likely continue to trend lower. All as the number of unemployed Americans now exceeds available jobs for the first time since April 2021. Job weakness is spreading. https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1970819754592964811 US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned that cutting rates too aggressively risked stoking inflation US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently issued a cautionary statement, warning that the Federal Reserve should avoid cutting interest rates too aggressively, as it could reignite inflation and undermine the Fed's efforts to reach its 2% target. Powell's comments, made on September 23, 2025, stressed the need for caution in monetary policy to balance the dual goals of maximum employment and price stability, particularly as inflation remains somewhat elevated despite a cooling labor market. https://twitter.com/JoeLang51440671/status/1970845535767527606 “key” to the plan. Trump chose Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary for a reason. Anybody remember what he was pushing right after the election? “Ultra-Long Bonds: A Bold Bet on Stability” “Perhaps the most intriguing part of Bessent's vision is his openness to issuing ultra-long Treasury bonds—securities with maturities of 50 years or even 100 years. This isn't just a technical adjustment; it's a statement. Ultra-long bonds send a clear signal about how the Treasury plans to manage its debt in a changing economic environment.” “Stability” is the key. Why would Bessent be pushing for “ultra-long bonds?” “Ultra-long bonds (like 50-year or 100-year Treasuries) may become more common.
Keith discusses the pros and cons of being a hands-on landlord versus hiring a property manager. Self-management offers cost savings, quality control, and better tenant relationships but can be challenging due to tenant and contractor management. Keep up with inflation and market trends, by using tools like Rent Finder.ai for market analysis. Dani-Lynn Robison with Freedom Family Investments joins the conversation to highlight their recession-resilient real estate funds offering 8-16% returns, with options for liquidity and growth. Resources: Visit freedomfamilyinvestments.com/gre to learn more about the investment opportunity or text FAMILY to 66866 to get more information about Freedom Family Investments' liquid investment options. Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/572 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:01 welcome to GRE I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, being a hands on landlord versus professional property management. Which one is right for you? How often and how much should you raise the rent? Then learn how, rather than a landlord, to be a landlord and increase your income by becoming a real estate lender. Today on get rich education, Speaker 1 0:28 since 2014 the powerful get rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord. Show Host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad advisors, and delivers a new show every week since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads in 188 world nations. He has a list show guests and key top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki, get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps build wealth on the go with the get rich education podcast. Sign up now for the get rich education podcast, or visit get rich education.com Corey Coates 1:13 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Speaker 2 1:30 Welcome to GRE from Charleston, South Carolina to Charleston, West Virginia and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Weinhold, and you're listening to get rich education before we talk about, should you be your own landlord or not, and how often do you raise the rent? Let's get more personal. I want to get introspective with you with three questions, do you focus more on what you have or on what's missing? Yeah, and not just as an investor, but in your overall life. Do you focus more on what you have or on what's missing? As for me, it's what's missing, and that might be a shame. I'm definitely grateful for what I have, but probably not grateful enough if you also focus more on what's missing from your life rather than what you have. Maybe you need to be more grateful for what you've got too. But those like me that focus more on what's missing are often accomplishment driven people always trying striving for more. The second question is, do you focus more on your past, present or future. Now we all focus on all three, but which one do you focus on the most? For me, it's the present and then the future after that. The third question that you can ask yourself to learn more about yourself is, do you focus more on what's in your control or out of your control, I focus more on what's in my control. So there you go. Certain combinations of those questions can tell you a lot about yourself. For example, if you answered that, you're most focused on your future and what's out of your control, you could be setting yourself up for some sleepless nights. Oh, gosh, did I lock the car door or really, it's more like, Geez, how is that meeting really going to go tomorrow? I do some of that too fretting too much about the future for things outside your control that won't change your future one bit, but yet, ostensibly, that steals your peace of mind in the present. And I don't know who to attribute those questions to. Who originated them, but I heard Tony Robbins talking about them, and that helps you figure yourself out for some of what we're talking about here on today's show. I want to start off real basically here most first time real estate investors, they find themselves diving into the world of property management with zero experience and tons of uncertainty. You don't have to put management experience on a resume before you hire yourself to manage your own property. Self managing a rental property, it can be daunting in the beginning, but it also offers you some real benefits, like greater control and cost savings and some hands on learning. But self management comes with its own set of challenges, like tenant management and handling maintenance issues, so let's weigh some of those pros and cons of self landlording versus outsourcing it to a professional manager, there are about four key advantages to self managing. I think that most obvious one is the cost savings, because property management companies typically charge eight to 10% of the monthly. Rent amount for their services, along with an additional fee for placing a tenant or renewing a lease, and maybe even a fee for certain maintenance types. By self managing, you can then avoid these fees and keep more of the rental income for yourself and thereby making your investment more profitable. Say that your property is rented for $2,000 a month. That $200 management fee, because that's 10% Well, multiply that by 12, that's $2,400, a year, plus a typical leasing fee when a new tenant is placed is a half months rent. That's $1,000 in this case, now, you're probably not going to have a new tenant placed every single year, but if you did, then that's $3,400 annually to the manager in total, between the management fee and the leasing fee. Another advantage of DIY ing is quality control. Now, I think people that tend to be control freaks, oftentimes have to self manage, and they care a little too much. But when you self manage, you do have direct control over the maintenance and tenant selection and the overall condition of your property, and that is going to ensure that your investment is well maintained and that your tenants are satisfied. Property managers, they often manage multiple properties, so your rental might not get as much attention. And the most common, recurring issue that I hear from investors that use a professional management company is that they don't feel like their property is getting enough attention, or that the property manager doesn't really care that much about them after their contract is signed. And if you think that through, from the property management industry side, you know most managers, they're only making that 100 to 200 bucks of recurring revenue per month on each property they manage, and these are pretty thin margins overall. So in order to run a profitable business and pay their employees and cover their other business expenses, these property managers, they need to onboard hundreds of clients, and in turn, that's going to spread out their efforts pretty thin if you've only got a few properties with a manager. Well, their main priority sometimes ends up being their bigger clients. So the smaller you are, the further down the callback list you might be. But I'll tell you, even staying in touch with my professional managers a little bit, even the ones I only have a few properties with, I feel like I get what I need. A third advantage to managing yourself is better tenant relationships. You've got a level of control that allows you to build relationships with your residents that can lead to longer retention and less of that costly turnover, and having that direct communication that builds some trust, that builds some respect between you and your tenant, they appreciate a landlord like you is probably going to respond quickly to maintenance requests and the fact that you're approachable if an issue comes up, and also, by you being more involved in the tenant screening process, you can ensure that you select a pretty good tenant that's going to stay Long Term and really take care of your property. Another advantage to you self managing is that you do build some valuable skills. I mean, managing a property on your own that teaches you a big range of pretty versatile skills, from like handling maintenance and repairs to negotiating leases and just overall, managing your finances, these can be pretty helpful skills, not just for your rentals, but for your future business ventures. So really, those are some of the upsides of self management. Now, how about the flip side, the challenges of self managing your own rental property? Well, the problem is managing your tenants. I mean, some say that this whole discipline that's called Property Management ought to be called tenant management and handling tenant relations. That's one of the most critical aspects of being a self managing landlord. I mean, even if you try to build tenant relationships, mismanagement that can lead to vacancies or disputes or can even go into legal issues. So educating yourself on landlord tenant laws and best practices, that's pretty essential. If you want to head off problems, you've got proper tenant screening and addressing tenant concerns and ensuring that rent is paid on time. I mean, all that stuff's crucial. Most tenants are pretty reasonable, but you know, there are always going to be a few that will challenge your patients, and it really requires that you be tactful and professional to manage well, managing contractors. I mean, property maintenance, that's another key responsibility you have to. Fine and hire and coordinate contractors for repairs and upkeep and poor contractor management that could lead to cost overruns or really shoddy work and more, knowing how to negotiate contracts and oversee projects that's crucial to maintaining the tenant satisfaction and the overall quality of your property. Another downside of self management is handling emergencies, I mean plumbing leaks or electrical issues, that stuff could happen anytime. And as a self managing landlord, you might not always be available to respond immediately, which can lead to property damage or unhappy tenants. So self managers, they really need to be problem solvers. Self managing a rental property, things go fine 99 plus percent of the time, but it could get emotionally taxing, especially if those tenant relations become a problem. So you got to keep personal feelings out of it, that stuff can cloud your judgment and negatively impact your decisions. If you want to self manage, you've got to maintain professionalism and set clear boundaries and remain objective when you're dealing with tenants and property issues, so creating systems and processes help you minimize those emotionally driven decisions, and can help you ensure consistency in managing approach. And then there is that legal side you ought to keep up on that local area's landlord and tenant law. So in conclusion, on whether to be your own landlord or outsource it to professional management, while these challenges are pretty real, you should still be able to self manage your properties, even remotely, even across state lines or from 1000s of miles away. I mean, most of these worst case scenarios that you hear about, like a flood at 2am I mean that stuff just never happens. I mean, it's never happened to me, even if you don't have previous experience, you really can effectively manage your rental properties and see positive results when you got the right tools and the right mindset. And today's tech tools make remote management easier than it's ever been in human history. But any long time listener knows that I do not manage my own properties. My time is simply too valuable. As a frequent guest on the show here, Robert helm says life is too short for property management, I just feel a personal sense of freedom and autonomy and some headspace clearance by knowing that no tenant can contact me directly yet that my manager is taking care of them. I mean, it's just not worth doing it myself to get that last 2% toward perfection. When you buy in the most investor advantage areas, you should have enough margin to pay for a manager. Keith Weinhold 13:03 All right, well, let's change topics now, and whether you self manage or you outsource it to a pro, you know, you've got to ask, how much and how often should landlords raise the rent? That is the question. Let's say you've crunched the numbers and expenses are climbing like they have these past few years, and the market is shifting and your rent hasn't changed. That really leaves you with one big question, Should you raise the rent? And should you raise it every year? And if you're new to landlording, it can kind of feel complicated. It could feel like if you raise the rent too much, you risk losing a great tenant if you raise it too little or not at all, and you might fall behind on costs then, or even undervalue your property if you don't keep your rents up there, because five plus unit property values are based on the rent, which goes into the NOI your net operating income. And really, this is one of the more common dilemmas that landlords face. But really, the good news is that there's a pretty clear way forward. So let me help you determine when a rent increase makes sense, and then figure out an amount that keeps your unit competitive. It keeps your rental income on track. Now some people, they actually believe that landlords are required to raise the rent every year and to a tenant, it might seem like that's what happens, but no, landlords are not required to raise the rent every year. They often choose to do so to keep up with inflation or stay competitive and high demand markets, and keep up with shifts in local rental trends, gradual, smaller increases can help you avoid the need for making larger jumps later, that stuff can surprise or frustrate your tenant. You want to go for those big rent jumps, but two. 19 tenancies. We've covered that part before. Now, some landlords prefer to keep rent steady, like when they have long term reliable tenants, or they're just focused on building equity over time, and they want to stay hands off, and don't really need the cash flow so much. Now, in a lot of cases, maintaining that same rent amount that sure can reduce your turnover in vacancy costs, those things are your biggest expenses, but often that is not the best approach in the long run, because you probably are a leveraged investor, meaning that you have a loan on the property. Well, then a rent increase that helps you out more than it does for the less educated, paid off free and clear property owner, because you can widen your delta faster. You widen your cash flow faster because your biggest expense, your principal and interest payment, stays fixed. Yes, you are getting leverage on both the asset value overall and the income. Yes, this is winning that third crown of GRE s inflation triple crown. So ultimately deciding how often to raise the rent, that really depends somewhat on your goals and also the condition of the rental. You got to factor in how satisfied you think that your tenant is. That's part of it, and the state of the market as well. Now, if you're unsure what the right rent price is for your area, there are increasingly sophisticated tools for helping you figure that out. Rent finder.ai, can help you. One of my property managers uses it. It's a really cool AI driven report that looks at 25 rent comparables in the area. Again, that tool is rent finder.ai. Speaker 2 16:52 Now, when should landlords raise rent? Finding the right time to do this that helps you stay aligned with the market value all while supporting your financial goals. But there are also times where it might be smarter to hold off on hiking the rent. The most common times that you implement a rent increase are at least renewal. That's really the most common and appropriate time to raise the rent, provided that you give proper notice. You usually got to give 30 to 60 days notice. Another common time to raise the rent are after you make significant upgrades, like installing new appliances or renovating a kitchen or updating flooring. I mean, this is when it might be reasonable to adjust rent to reflect that added value. Another time is when overall market rents are rising, even if you haven't improved the unit or anything, because if rental prices in your area are up, well, then raising your rent helps keep your property in line with local rates. But you got to keep in mind that rent price increases require a well thought out strategy to avoid pushing away good tenants. Another time to increase the rent is to keep up with inflation and expenses over time, especially these last few years, we've all had higher operational costs like higher insurance, higher property taxes, higher maintenance costs. So even a small annual rent increase definitely helps offset those rising expenses, but you have got to avoid basing your rent price solely on operating expenses. When you do raise the rent for this reason, though, let the tenant know just which operating expense rose. That is going to help reduce tenant frustration. Now, on the flip side, there are times when keeping your rent steady could be the better choice, especially if you have a long term reliable tenant. I mean good tenants that pay on time and take care of the property. They are worth retaining, not all times, but sometimes avoiding that rent hike can help you maintain a good relationship. There another time to avoid it is when the rental market is soft. I mean, if there's more competition in your area, or high vacancy rates in your area, well then raising the rent could lead a tenant to look somewhere else, especially if there are vacant properties nearby that they could move into. Another time to not raise the rent is if the property hasn't changed, if you haven't made any of those improvements, sometimes a rent increase might not be justified, or obviously you don't want to raise the rent if you really, really want to avoid a vacancy. So keeping the rent the same might encourage them to renew. So factors to consider before raising the rent and how to calculate an appropriate increase if a unit is aging or needs repairs, raising the rent without improvement that could discourage renewals. So consider creating a value checklist to quantify certain improvements, like new apps. Appliances could be 25 to $50 a month in additional rent, or a renovated kitchen, $75 a month or new HVAC. That could be 30 to $50 a month. Think about neighborhood changes like gentrification or new schools or increased transportation access or nearby commercial development. I mean, all that stuff can raise demand, building a Whole Foods nearby, having a new office space with high wages nearby, that can increase your rent. Look at City Planning announcements and local news. You can help stay ahead of the trends that way, and if your neighborhood has seen a rise in new businesses or housing demand. I mean, that is justification for a moderate increase and a modest annual rent increase tied to inflation that can help offset your rise in costs. You can reference the CPI, yeah, the BLS. They don't just report national inflation, but they do this by region as well. Now, is there a limit to the amount of your rent increase? Well, depending on where your property is located, there might be legal limits to how much you can raise the rent, and they're typically defined by state and local rent control laws that can vary a lot across the US, in cities or states with rent control, or what's called rent stabilization, there are strict caps on how much you can raise the rent annually. And those caps, they're often based on the local CPI. They might range from 2% per year to 10% a year, depending on the area and if your rental property is in a place without rent control, well, then there might not be any legal limit on how much you can raise the rent really. That's sort of situation normal. So you do have to look at those local laws. Of course, here at GRE we recommend buying and owning properties outside of any rent control jurisdictions, which are often those places in big Northeastern cities or on the west coast where they have rent control. Well, your success as an investor, it has a lot to do with how much of your money you are leveraging, but funds that are leveraged into property that you own directly, they're not very liquid. Any prudent investor keeps a liquidity bucket of funds, and for me personally, I don't keep many of them in these online only savings accounts that might yield a 3% or 4% return today, because that is simply too low. What I do with my liquid funds is I get a return that's more than twice that amount. Where I am not the landlord, I'm the LEND Lord. Yes, l, e, n, d, lendlord, I'll tell you how to increase your income that way. That's next. I'm Keith Weinhold. You're listening to get rich education. Keith Weinhold 23:03 The same place where I get my own mortgage loans is where you can get yours. Ridge lending group and MLS, 42056, they provided our listeners with more loans than anyone because they specialize in income properties. They help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage, start your pre qual and even chat with President Chaley Ridge personally. While it's on your mind, start at Ridge lendinggroup.com. That's Ridge lendinggroup.com. Keith Weinhold 23:34 You know what's crazy your bank is getting rich off of you. The average savings account pays less than 1% it's like laughable. Meanwhile, if your money isn't making at least 4% you're losing to inflation. That's why I started putting my own money into the FFI liquidity fund. It's super simple. Your cash can pull in up to 8% returns, and it compounds. It's not some high risk gamble like digital or AI stock trading. It's pretty low risk because they've got a 10 plus year track record of paying investors on time in full every time. I mean, I wouldn't be talking about it if I wasn't invested myself. You can invest as little as 25k and you keep earning until you decide you want your money back, no weird lockups or anything like that. So if you're like me and tired of your liquid funds just sitting there doing nothing, check it out. Text family to 66 866. To learn about freedom. Family investments, liquidity fund again. Text family to 66866, Robert Kiyosaki 24:48 this is our rich dad. Poor Dad. Author Robert Kiyosaki, listen to get rich education with Keith Weinhold. Don't quit your Daydream. Speaker 2 25:06 If you love the income from rentals but you don't like the vetting and the tracking and the tenant calls, this episode is for you. I've openly shared with you before that I don't keep much money in a savings account, since the returns are often lower than true inflation today, it's about where I invest my own funds that I want to keep fairly liquid yet get a strong return. We're talking to who owns and runs those very funds that I'm personally invested in. She co founded freedom family investments. They're a firm with over $50 million in assets under management, and they have a 100% track record of investor payouts to those investors that include me. After building her own wealth through real estate, she made it her mission to help investors create freedom, safety and peace of mind in their portfolios. She specializes in turning hands on real estate strategies like turnkey rentals into relatively passive, scalable income. It has real estate backed returns that get fairly high. You'll see how high today. She's got a great plain English approach and focus on recession resilient, needs based assets that have earned her repeat invitations to get rich, education and other top real estate shows she and her husband flip also co wrote a great book called Get real, which I have on my bookshelf. Hey, it's great to have you back on GRE Danny Lynn Robison Dani-Lynn Robison 26:30 thank you so much, Keith. I'm so excited to be here Speaker 2 26:33 Danni, We'll discuss rates of return for the investor shortly, but first, I think that any prudent investor asks about that foundation, what is the investment backed by? What are the underlying assets? Tell us about that. Dani-Lynn Robison 26:48 So that's really important to me as well. And real estate is my love and passion. So this is a fund that is based on recession resilient needs based real estate. What that means is we're really focused on the needs over economies, down economies, no matter what is going on the market, is there demand? Is there enough demand that the cash flow is going to continue on? And so our asset classes inside this fund are multifamily housing and then senior housing build to rent and self storage. And by concentrating on all of those, we're just staying aligned with the fundamental needs of American families, which is why we're freedom family investments, Keith Weinhold 27:26 right? Okay, so, yeah, pretty staid, stable underlying assets there, like you say, these are needs based items, items that people need. And tell us more about how the investment is structured for that investor, and these investors like me, looking for predictable, passive income. Dani-Lynn Robison 27:46 This is something that's really important to me. I'm always talking to our investors and finding out what's important to them. What are they investing in right now? How do they feel about the market? What's important to them? And out of that has come every single fund or offering that we have created. And so what I love about this one is it combines a whole bunch of things all into one place. So this fund, the way it's structured, provides diversification, because as a private money lender, you are lending on one asset, so you're dependent on that one asset actually performing and being able to pay you back. Now, as you said at the beginning of the episode, we have a 100% payout track record, and that's because I think my very first episode with you was about private money lending, and I told this story about this duplex where we lost, I want to say, over $50,000 and I talked about the importance of investor relationships to me, and that long term relationship means more to me than anything else, because if you don't Have trust, then you don't have anything, you don't have a business, you don't have you can't grow long term. So even though we had lost so much money on that duplex and made a lot of mistakes, the investor got their full principal paid back. They got every penny of interest during the time that they were owed. And that Testament has happened over and over again, and it's also why I've always preached volume, because deals like that in real estate, it's going to happen in anybody who tells you otherwise just run, because there's going to be times where you peel back a wall and there's something you know big that you're going to have to take care of, and there's times when contractors aren't going to do what they say they're going to do, and it's going to go over budget. And because of that, volume is important. So if I'm doing 10 deals a month, and two of them go bad. I've got eight that do really, really great. So that's the diversification piece that is so important to me, and therefore also important to my investors. Because we've talked about that, we've talked about those conversations. So in the fund, being balanced and diversified across those four asset classes ensures that no matter where the market is and what we're investing in, some of them could be doing really good, while some of them may not be doing as good, and we're just evening out and protecting ourselves and our investors with that separate asset classes and multiple doors. Then the other thing about that I've heard loud and clear is liquidity. And you and I were talking about this right before we pressed record, and I. Always laughed, and I was like, liquidity and real estate just don't go together. So let me figure this out. And we worked with our attorneys and figured out different ways to provide liquidity to real estate investors while still protecting just the way everything was structured, because that promise and making sure that I'm always giving that money back to the investors and paying them on time every single time, was so important, we structured a fund that allows people to invest and then get their money back in a year if they want it, but if they don't, then they get to continue investing for a period of time. And so that marriage and balance has really been a win for us and for our investors. And so I'm really excited about this fund. Keith Weinhold 30:37 Danny Lynn, it's a little sad before our chat today, we learned about another industry professional that offered a fund to investors, and that fund imploded, for lack of a better term, and you divulged with me that you're actually familiar with that fund and with that operator that offered it. And you know you talked about how there were really some red flags, some warning signs, there, you have third party eyes on your fund for its lifespan, from beginning to end and here in the present. And the other thing is that you invest the funds in your own businesses, so you have more control over that when you talk about these four different asset types that you're involved in. So can you talk to us about that? Dani-Lynn Robison 31:25 I've been in the room with him. I don't know him personally. We're not friends or anything, but I know him, and I know what happened as that fund progressed. And when I looked at the fund structure, I love the promissory note idea, because it's simple to understand. There's a warren buffett quote I love talking about that you shouldn't invest in something you don't understand. And I believe in simplicity. I believe in making sure that you understand exactly what you're getting into when you're putting your money on the line. And in that particular fund, it was very hard to understand the assets that you're investing in. And so it was a lot of businesses I would view them as high risk. I felt like even the monthly distributions were a little risky as well, because sometimes you just don't know if the money is going to be coming in. You know, you might be in a building phase where you actually need the capital to work on and grow and improve the business or the real estate. And so we always structure things in a way that we do two tiers. There's an income track and there's a growth track to allow us to balance everything out and be able to give the investors a lower rate of return if they want income, and a higher rate of return if they want growth, because that higher rate of return we can do that because they are allowing us to use that capital to be able to work on properties, to work on businesses have that growth trajectory, and when it comes to our businesses, I'm glad you brought that up, because he did invest in businesses, and I don't historically do that. I love real estate, but I do invest in my own businesses, because I know me. I know my character, I know my track record. I know what I promise I'm going to do, no matter how hard it is. I'm going to make sure that I fulfill those promises. And so if I have like, ownership and direct control of everything, I feel very confident in my ability to move forward. And that's really where the masternote program comes in, we now call it freedom notes, because we just love freedom so much we're just rebranding everything. So the freedom note program really does help us invest in businesses as we're growing, and it's our own businesses so super excited about that opportunity. Structured the exact same way as the flagship fund. Keith Weinhold 33:16 You use the term promissory note there, just so that no investor is left behind. What is a promissory note? Dani-Lynn Robison 33:23 A promissory note is really like an IOU. So I always like to compare it to bank loans. Whenever our private money lenders would come and talk to us about private money lending, and they'd say, can you explain this to me? I'd say your Bank of America like you're the one with the lien on the property, so you're in first lien position, and so if something goes wrong, then you have the ability to foreclose and get that property back. So promissory notes, essentially is a loan to this fund, and this fund is then going to use that money to purchase or acquire or invest in or do recapitalizations of those projects that we talked about. So in the flagship fund, those four asset classes, masternodes, so the freedom notes also invest in those same asset classes, but they also invest in the businesses as well. Keith Weinhold 34:09 So we're talking about predictable passive income for the investor here, about as close to passive as it gets, hands off management. You've got the professional underwriting, the servicing and the reporting done by a third party you actually use invest next, that's the third party company that administers this. Tell us more about the investor qualifications, about the minimum investment amount and accredited versus non accredited. Tell us about that. Dani-Lynn Robison 34:38 We have programs for both non accredited and accredited investors, and like I said, they're set up structurally very, very similar, but they are it's has to be SEC compliant, right? So for the non accredited investors, it is the freedom note program, and it's set up so your funds are in a separate bank account all by itself. It's fully tracked that way by our accounting team. And you can always go in and say, Hey, can you guys tell me where my funds are placed? And we can always track that information. So it's a little bit more work on our part, but it does allow non accredited investors to participate in something until they have the opportunity to reach a point where they do meet that accredited status and they can participate in the fund. And then the fund is the accredited vehicle. It's a 506, C, again, fully it's a Regulation D, fully vetted by our attorney. They're just actually finishing the documents right now. I didn't tell you before this, but you're actually the very first group that we're like talking to this about. And I told you how much I love our relationship and how long we've known each other, and how I just want to do more things with you. And so we're like, this is perfect that we get to actually launch it to Keith's group first. So we're excited about that as well. And then you talked about invest next. This is the piece that I think is important to me, no matter who you invest in, is what is their financial transparency look like? How are in the investments tracked? Where are the funds? Who is looking at those funds. So not only are we tracking all of the funds in house, but our CPA has to look at the funds and what's happening there. And originally we had nav, which is a fund manager. Now we've moved over to our invest next, and it probably took us six months to get onboarded with them, because of all the compliance pieces required for a company like that to bring you on board. So I just think that's one of the important pieces that makes me feel safe, because I want a bunch of eyes on the financials, and it makes our investors feel safe as well. Keith Weinhold 36:31 For those wondering why I invest my funds here, yes, you've got that third party auditing, like you've mentioned, and you're investing only in your own businesses, so you have control. That's a big part of what makes me feel good. Well, let's talk about the fun part. Danny, tell us about those rates of return and the liquidity. Dani-Lynn Robison 36:50 The rates of return are anywhere from eight to 14% but the 14% can go up to 16% because there's a 2% bonus upon maturity, and that eight to 16% is in two series. So there's an income series and there's a growth series. The income series is what appeals to investors who want those quarterly distributions and who want the passive income and cash flow. And so that particular series is anywhere from eight to 10% and again, depending on how much you invest, there's a 2% bonus in that series, and then the growth series is even higher. And the reason that is is because these are the long term investors who are looking to really accelerate growth in their portfolio. And that allows us peace of mind that we've got capital to be able to use for the renovations, for whatever is needed, depending on the market and how the cycles are going. As I said before, real estate is illiquid, and you have to structure and balance things based on that. And the growth series is a win for the investors, because compounding on, let me see, it's 10 to 14% returns, plus, depending on how much you invest, there's a 2% bonus that compounding adds up fast. We've done math for our investors are like, Oh my gosh, I'm never moving my money. I love this. They just love to see the growth trajectory. It's a win for us, too, because we get to use that capital as needed in order to ensure that we've got successful investments at the end of the day. Keith Weinhold 38:21 Okay, so the income series has eight to 10% returns based on how much you invest, that pays out quarterly. And then the growth series that has those higher rates of return, up to 14 even 16% where the payout is made at the end, and how long is one waiting until the end? I know it sounds like most people want to continue that compounding and roll it forward, but what does the end look like for the groceries fund? Dani-Lynn Robison 38:47 Yeah, I'm glad you asked that. So that's the liquidity piece, and that's the thing that we went back and forth with our attorneys about, because real estate is naturally illiquid, and so what we did is it's a recurring annual renewal. So it's an auto renewal, meaning that every single year you have the opportunity to say, Hey, Danny, hey freedom, I would like to go ahead and give you notice that I would like to get my funds back. And so that gives us enough notice be able to plan for those funds to come back to you principal plus interest. And then every year, if you choose not to ask for your funds back, it auto renews for a total of five years. I believe it is. You'll have to look at the documents just to confirm everything that I'm saying, because what I'm speaking to is our freedom note program, which is what this was built off of, because it was so popular. When given investment opportunities, everybody was just like, I want to go into those freedom notes. I like those because it gave them peace of mind, the ability to take out their cash if they needed it, but allowed for a compound or fast growth and a long term investment if they felt that was right as well. Keith Weinhold 39:47 Okay, this freedom note program either the income series or the growth series, but we're talking about rates of return here. What's interesting is we're in a period where federal funds rate drops are. Anticipated when that happens, the return on your savings account does fall by that amount. However, these funds don't. That is correct. Yes, we're talking about, again, these funds that are backed by needs based real estate, like senior housing, workforce apartments and self storage demand that stays steady, even in downturns. And I know that you have an investor story as well. Tell us about that. Dani-Lynn Robison 40:28 Yeah. So we have so many investor stories, and you can actually see the videos and audios on our website, and I encourage you to go check them out. But we like to call this investor story Jane, because we've heard the story so often that we call her Jane. So this is really the investors who have been investing with us as private money lenders and turnkey investors. And there they realize that number one, the in and out of investments. As a private money lender means that they always have this capital sitting and earning nothing at some point in time. And the turnkey investors, they think it's passive. And then they realize, oh gosh, there are tenant issues. I do have to, you know, manage this, the property management company. I do have to double check all the financials. I do have to approve a tenant or approve repairs, and it ends up being a little bit more work, and sometimes a lot more work than they ever anticipated. Those investors in particular, are the ones that love working with us the most, because suddenly what they thought was freedom going into the investment opportunity turned out to be a little bit different than they anticipated. And so they're like, I'm so thankful to finally, you know, be in an investment with a company that I trust, but that can be there, give me liquidity options, give me a good return, but it's 100% passive. So we call that investor Jane, because we just hear this story over and over and over Speaker 2 41:45 before I ask about how our listeners can learn more about this, if it might interest them. Is there any last thing that you want to tell the audience? Maybe something that I didn't think about asking you? Dani-Lynn Robison 41:57 That's a great question. The here's the thing that I always like to say, when you're investing with somebody, I think it's important to ask about the worst thing that's happened, what they did, how their investor was treated, what was the financial outcome? I think those questions are people don't think to ask that. Like, when you get on the phone with somebody, everybody's gonna tell you the rosy stories and all the good things, and this is why you should invest. And they're not going to go down the road of like, what happened, like, what are the bad things? Because every business and every real estate investor experiences bad things. So finding out the character of the person, I think, is how you find out is by asking what happened in that worst case scenario. So I think that's a really great question to ask, and you can ask us anytime I transparently tell my horror stories all the time, and just always in saying how important our long term investors are with us. Keith Weinhold 42:46 It's just like the title of your book. Get real. If you don't have a messy story to tell, you probably haven't been in business for very long. Are there any fees in order for one to get started? Dani-Lynn Robison 42:58 No, there are no fees. That's another investor feedback piece is the confusion. It's like they want to invest, but they're so confused by investment opportunities and what they're really making. So when you invest with us, the return that we tell you you're going to get is actually the return that you're going to get. So whether it's, you know, 8% 9% 10% whatever that is, that's the return you'll get. If there's any fees in, uh, within the fund itself, there's none in the freedom notes program. If there's any fees within the fund itself, it comes from the actual underlying properties, not from investor returns. Keith Weinhold 43:31 Well, it doesn't take very much documentation in order to get started. This could really help you make more of the funds that you want to keep more liquid as fast as 90 day liquidity. Danny, tell our audience how they can get started, and if they just want to learn more about this to see if it's right for them, Dani-Lynn Robison 43:50 we have done something super special this time. I think I've been on your podcast probably four or five times. Now this time, I'm going to tell you to go to freedom, family investments.com. Forward, slash, G, R, E, so it stands for get rich, education, so freedom, family, investments.com. Forward, slash GRE, what we've done this time is we're really tailoring what we do to Keith, because this relationship has just been such a great relationship we've had over time that we want to make sure that the investors that come in from your audience are just they rise to the top for our Investor Relations team so that anything that you need, we're just right there for you. We've got an investor concierge, and we're just doing as much as possible to make sure that you guys are prioritized. Speaker 2 44:30 Yeah, feel free to let them know that you learned about this through me, you'll get the VIP treatment. Danny, thanks for being such a responsible custodian of my own funds. For years, it's been great having you back on the show. Dani-Lynn Robison 44:42 Thank you so much, Keith. Keith Weinhold 44:50 Look the key to most anything in business or investing is for you to provide something that's of value to someone. Else. Look for something that makes somebody else money, and then go get a piece of that for yourself. And because this is where I park my own funds for liquidity, I do need something that I can count on, recession resilient needs based real estate assets that people rely on in every economic cycle. So this is backed by, frankly, pretty plain things, with durable demand, limited supply and strong demographic tailwinds. And again, those four underlying assets are multifamily housing, senior housing, build to rent, which are new single family rental communities and self storage, which is something proven to hold up even in recessions. And what makes these funds from Freedom family investments different is that, like we said, they have third party financial eyes on them, and the control is there because the funds are invested in their own companies, and now there's no such thing as a zero risk investment or even a 100% passive investment, but this is about as close to real estate passivity as you can get. There's more of that than there is with direct ownership of turnkey real estate, they'd surveyed investors to find out what they want. That's why you can choose from again, Freedom family investments either their income series, which has eight to 10% returns, but it can be up to 12% at higher investment amounts, you get quarterly distributions, or their other is their growth series, 10 to 14% returns, but it can be up to 16% at higher investment amounts, with the option to have your funds back annually. These are fixed rates of return and a declining interest rate environment like we're in now. Cannot touch those rates of return, I think, for someone that's not in real estate and doesn't understand how real estate pays, five ways, they might find it unusual that an investment can reliably return more than 10% like this. But those that are initiated, they get it. It's pretty simple. I mean, you are going to increase your income $10,000 per year if you invest 100k at a 10% return. If you'd like to learn more and see if it's right for you, it's been made pretty easy. You can do that one of two ways. Text family to 66 866, just text the word family to 66866, yes. This is how you can, rather than a landlord, be a lend Lord with the liquid component of your investments. So you can learn more about freedom family investments, just visit freedom family investments.com/gre. That's freedom, family investments.com/gre, until next week, I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, don't quit your Daydream. Speaker 3 48:13 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC, exclusively. Keith Weinhold 48:37 You know, whenever you want the best written real estate and finance info. Oh, geez, today's experience limits your free articles access and it's got paywalls and pop ups and push notifications and cookies disclaimers. It's not so great. So then it's vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that adds no hype value to your life. That's why this is the golden age of quality newsletters. And I write every word of ours myself. It's got a dash of humor, and it's to the point because even the word abbreviation is too long, my letter usually takes less than three minutes to read, and when you start the letter, you'll also get my one hour fast real estate video. Course, it's all completely free. It's called the Don't quit your Daydream letter. It wires your mind for wealth, and it couldn't be easier for you to get it right now just text. Gre 266, 866. While it's on your mind, take a moment to do it right now. Text, gre 266, 866, Speaker 2 49:53 The preceding program was brought to you by your home
Time for the Fed to start cutting interest rates…what does that mean for investors, retirees, and Americans getting close to retirement? The situation in the economy is not great right now, and the Fed is in a tough spot where they need to act. ABC news reporting on September 11th: Applications for jobless benefits jump to 263,000 last week, most in nearly 4 years In another grim sign for the U.S. labor market, jobless claim applications jumped to their highest level in almost four years last week, virtually assuring the Federal Reserve will cut its benchmark interest rate next week. Fed officials recently have expressed greater concern about the deteriorating labor market than inflation, and while a rate cut could spur economic growth and boost the job market, economists fear it could push inflation even farther above the Fed's target of 2%. The BLS's revised figures showed that U.S. employers added 911,000 fewer jobs than originally reported in the year ending in March 2025, with the biggest weakness coming from the leisure and hospitality sector, professional and business services and retail. The report showed that job gains were tapering long before President Donald Trump rolled out his far-reaching tariffs on U.S. trading partners in April. The themes for much of 2025 have been that the economy is still growing, but slowly, the labor market is clearly deteriorating, and that appears to be accelerating, inflation has come down to a more manageable 3%, but it remains sticky. So what is the Fed to do? It appears this week as I record this Podcast episode that it is pretty much guaranteed that the Fed is going to cut rates by a quarter of a percent or 25 basis points. The problem with the timing of this is that the expected inflation from tariffs has not been canceled but just delayed. I talked about that a couple months ago when I did the mid year market and economic update, and it appears that the expected inflation from tariffs has not yet fully entered the economy. Which means that if the Fed were to lower interest rates they're walking on a tightrope – A stagflation like risk which would be horrible to put it mildly is not off the table. So this week on the podcast I'm going to talk about the expected rate cut which by the time you listen to this podcast will likely have already happened. I'll talk about some of the possible scenarios that come along with a cut in interest rates, and most importantly I'll talk about what that means for investors and savers and retirees. What does that mean for your investment portfolio what does that mean for stocks and bonds. What does that mean for housing and mortgage rates. I'll talk about all of that in this week's episode…
From the Fed's next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today's biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed's lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios. 0:18 - Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments 2:01 - Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report - Largest negative revision to jobs in history. 4:20 - William Poole's explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention. 6:13 - Herbert Hoover's belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers. 8:19 - The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not. 9:35 - How the Fed intervenes 10:55 - Kevin Walsh Fed candidate: The Fed needs more real-time data. They're always too late. 12:24 - Preview of September Fed meeting: The Fed should cut rates. 14:20 - What monetary policy is and/or should be (and what it is not) 16:36 - Correlation of asset classes...and not. 18:55 - How the Fed looks at inflation & asset prices (Gold & Gold Miners) 21:55 - Active Management is counter-cyclical 22:52 - Gold & Gold Miners as an asset class: Due for correction? 24:41 - The impact of passive investing driving asset prices; Index Investing & Price Distortion 26:29 - Rapidly depleting asset investments (Gold) 28:30 - Active Management Matters: Invest in management teams 30:14 - Importance of understanding the fundamentals of companies in which to invest 32:29 - Venture Capital-lite: Who Gets the Money? 34:42 - What Worries You Now? Having no investment process; a mediocre process is better than nothing 35:33 - If you can sleep with what you have... 37:25 - Why Technical Analysis works well in Gold space 40:20 - Risk Management in Good Times: The Value of Good Analysis 42:29 - The Value of Contrarian Views & Skin in the Game 45:29 - There is No Such Thing as an Investing in the End of the World; there's always the day after 48:07 - The Best Investment Advice Ever: Invest in Yourself Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/YeciboacIW0 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwqWqisbCyQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "No Risk-free Path for the Fed" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sC5i-sZm73o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/ "Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AxelMerk #JobsReport #FederalReserve #GoldInvesting #MarketOutlook
In this episode of the show, I talk with David Wessel from the Brookings Institution about the state of the US economy, the reliability of government statistics, and why trust in data matters more than ever. We cover the latest job numbers and what downward revisions mean, the pressures facing agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics and Census Bureau, and how politics threatens the credibility of official data. David shares insights on the risks of eroding confidence, what businesses and governments might do in response, and why high-quality, transparent data is essential for policymaking and for the public. It's a timely and important conversation about the role of data in shaping our economic future.Keywords: David Wessel, Jon Schwabish, PolicyViz Podcast, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Census Bureau, U.S. economy, economic data, data revisions, trust in data, survey fatigue, government statistics, job market, unemployment, economic indicators, federal data, data transparency, data integrity, public trustSubscribe to the PolicyViz Podcast wherever you get your podcasts.Become a patron of the PolicyViz Podcast for as little as a buck a monthFollow Giorgia on Twitter and find her book “This is Me and Only Me” on AmazonFollow me on Instagram, LinkedIn, Substack, Twitter, Website, YouTubeEmail: jon@policyviz.com
From the Fed's next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today's biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed's lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios. 0:18 - Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments 2:01 - Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report - Largest negative revision to jobs in history. 4:20 - William Poole's explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention. 6:13 - Herbert Hoover's belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers. 8:19 - The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not. 9:35 - How the Fed intervenes 10:55 - Kevin Walsh Fed candidate: The Fed needs more real-time data. They're always too late. 12:24 - Preview of September Fed meeting: The Fed should cut rates. 14:20 - What monetary policy is and/or should be (and what it is not) 16:36 - Correlation of asset classes...and not. 18:55 - How the Fed looks at inflation & asset prices (Gold & Gold Miners) 21:55 - Active Management is counter-cyclical 22:52 - Gold & Gold Miners as an asset class: Due for correction? 24:41 - The impact of passive investing driving asset prices; Index Investing & Price Distortion 26:29 - Rapidly depleting asset investments (Gold) 28:30 - Active Management Matters: Invest in management teams 30:14 - Importance of understanding the fundamentals of companies in which to invest 32:29 - Venture Capital-lite: Who Gets the Money? 34:42 - What Worries You Now? Having no investment process; a mediocre process is better than nothing 35:33 - If you can sleep with what you have... 37:25 - Why Technical Analysis works well in Gold space 40:20 - Risk Management in Good Times: The Value of Good Analysis 42:29 - The Value of Contrarian Views & Skin in the Game 45:29 - There is No Such Thing as an Investing in the End of the World; there's always the day after 48:07 - The Best Investment Advice Ever: Invest in Yourself Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/YeciboacIW0 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwqWqisbCyQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "No Risk-free Path for the Fed" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sC5i-sZm73o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/ "Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AxelMerk #JobsReport #FederalReserve #GoldInvesting #MarketOutlook
On today's show we are going to take a look at the Federal Reserve's announcement on Wednesday of this week. There has been lots covered about this on virtually every news channel. What I'm covering hopefully is different from what you might be hearing. All eyes were on the Federal Reserve today. But the Bank of Canada also cut their key lending rate by 0.25% today bringing the Canadian central bank's rate down to 2.5%. Most Canadian banks followed the rate announcement with a cut to their prime lending rate of 0.25% down to 4.7%. This is the rate that Canadian banks charge to their customers. In the summer of last year, banks were charging 6.7% for loans. Today, that's 4.7%. This makes a difference. While the news is welcome, This rate cut is a reflection of economic weakness in Canada which has been impacted by the trade war with the US. Canada's unemployment rate is high at 7.1%.While the US unemployment rate is officially 4.3%, we have to remember that the BLS has tinkered with the definition of unemployed over the years. They still do report the numbers as they did in the 1970's and 1980's. This is the U6 metric which if it were compared to the unemployment rate back then, would be at 8.3% in the US.-------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
Is the labor market finally cracking, and what does that mean for the housing market? Dave Meyer distills the latest BLS and ADP payrolls, JOLTS, and unemployment data, from August's 22,000 nonfarm payroll gain and a 4.3% jobless rate to a 900,000 downward revision and a spike in initial claims, to show a clear cooling trend. He explains why a softer labor market raises the odds of Fed cuts yet inflation keeps pressure on interest rates, so mortgage rates may ease only modestly, boosting transaction volume more than home prices or housing prices. You will hear practical plays for real estate investors, including watching local job numbers, prioritizing tenant retention and collections, and considering refinances if you hold 7 to 8 percent loans, plus how markets like Las Vegas and San Francisco may diverge. Dave's housing market prediction and forecast: a soft but functioning market with cautious upside, where housing prices stabilize and conservative underwriting wins until clearer trends emerge. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-357 Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode, I sit down with William Beach, former Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, to dig into how America's most important economic data are produced. We talk about the nuts and bolts of how the BLS jobs numbers are collected, processed, and released, as well as why revisions happen and what they really mean. Bill shares his perspective on the commissioner's role, the challenges of falling survey response rates, and how statistical agencies can rebuild public trust in their work. We also touch on his experiences working across two administrations and his ideas for the future of federal data. This conversation sheds light on a system that is often misunderstood, yet vital for understanding the economy.Subscribe to the PolicyViz Podcast wherever you get your podcasts.Become a patron of the PolicyViz Podcast for as little as a buck a monthFollow me on Instagram, LinkedIn, Substack, X, Website, YouTubeEmail: jon@policyviz.com
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger Picture Klaus Schwab begins the great reset narrative, they know Trump's new economy is about to take off, which means they need to stop it before it does. Trump is making a deal with China, tariff money is coming in and all he needs is to get the rates lowered, this is why he needs control over the Fed. Panic. The [DS] is ready to unleash Antifa onto the streets. Trump is now prepositioning the NG troops in each city, they will only be there to protect federal buildings or assist Ice, but they will be there when needed. Trump is now saying that certain left wing groups are being investigated, most likely Antifa is one of them. When the riots begin, Antifa will be designated as a terrorist group. Game over. Economy https://twitter.com/newstart_2024/status/1967553172689297415 and "sensitivity" to fundamentally "reshape" our entire society. What "deficiencies" does he want to correct? He names them: a "lack of inclusion" and a system that isn't "fair." This is the language of radical, top-down social restructuring. The pandemic, he boasts, was a useful tool to increase this "new alertness" — a wake-up call they intend to answer on our behalf. This isn't about the environment. It's about power. It's about using the pretext of a climate emergency to dismantle and rebuild our economies, our social contracts, and our very way of life according to their utopian, technocratic vision. They believe they can engineer a "better" life for us, whether we want it or not. This is the Great Reset, stated plainly. It's the culmination of their belief that you must be guided to your own salvation. The ‘Gold Standard' of Jobs Data Is Broken—And America Is Paying the Price here's something incredibly wrong at BLS, and for the sake of our economy, it's time to fix it.From March 2024 to March 2025—a period mostly covering the final year of the Biden administration—BLS overestimated job numbers by 911,000. In other words, for that period, the nation added a stunning 911,000 fewer jobs than were originally reported, the largest such error on record.Let that sink in. But it's a lot worse than that. Over the last three years, the BLS has overcounted nearly 3 million jobs that didn't exist. These aren't random errors when every revision skews in the same direction. Even more troubling, the BLS numbers released last week pointed in opposite directions. One survey showed 22,000 jobs created while the other suggested nearly 300,000. Which is it?By relying on faulty data and skewed reporting methods, BLS essentially invented millions of jobs that weren't there. That flawed data was then used by the Biden administration and the legacy media to promote a job market that didn't exist, instead of reporting the weak jobs' recovery. Policymakers throughout the government rely on BLS data to shape decisions on taxes, spending and monetary policies. Americans across the country rely on BLS data to judge how elected officials' decisions affect their daily lives and the issues that matter to them, meaning flawed data could change the outcomes of our elections.Most of the period covered in this week's report took place in the waning days of President Joe Biden's tenure. For his last year in office, BLS job numbers were off by more than 50%.That overestimation came during a highly contentious election focused largely on the economy and centered on issues like jobs and inflation. Flawed BLS data painted a far better picture of Biden's economy than real...
The latest BLS report just wiped nearly a million jobs off the books through revisions, AI is creeping further into the workplace, and the headlines aren't exactly comforting with political unrest on the rise. But if you're on the job hunt, this isn't the time to freeze.In this minisode, we break down:Why the BLS report looks so ugly this month (and why their numbers keep getting revised).The role AI is actually playing in today's labor market.Which industries are still hiring — and which companies are launching real hiring sprees right now.What job seekers should actually do next (hint: don't stop applying, and keep your head up).Because even in a tough job market, there are opportunities hiding in plain sight. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The panel opened with reflections on the tragic assassination of Charlie Kirk and other recent violent events, framing them through the lens of The Fourth Turning by Strauss & Howe.Discussion on how history moves in ~80–100 year cycles of crisis and renewal, with Bitcoin and decentralized protocols potentially forming the backbone of the next institutional order.John emphasized perspective, comparing today's turmoil with past upheavals (1960s, 1970s, World Wars), and highlighted the role of media saturation in shaping perceptions.Panelists praised Kirk's willingness to debate respectfully, lamenting the erosion of open dialogue in society.Shifted to macro: China's gold accumulation as a hedge against dollar hegemony, interpreted as part of a global move toward neutral reserve assets—gold today, Bitcoin tomorrow.Deep dive into U.S. financial surveillance: the inefficiencies of the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) and threats of extending the Patriot Act to digital assets. Panelists argued KYC/AML laws are largely ineffective at stopping crime but very effective at surveilling citizens.Highlighted the DOJ's case against Samourai Wallet as an example of U.S. hostility toward Bitcoin privacy tools.Covered this week's major supply-chain attack on NPM packages, noting minimal impact but using it as a PSA: always verify addresses on hardware wallets and beware phishing scams.Tether launched a U.S.-regulated stablecoin (USAT). The panel explored how this intersects with the Genius Act, which would require stablecoin reserves to be in U.S. Treasuries, effectively creating a new forced buyer of U.S. debt.Quick hits: MicroStrategy denied S&P 500 inclusion (for now), BLS quietly revised U.S. job numbers down by 900k, Gemini goes public, and Michael Saylor positions MicroStrategy as a “Bitcoin capital markets” play. Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private. Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira.Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.
-- On the Show: -- Tyler Robinson, 22, has been identified as the alleged shooter who killed conservative activist Charlie Kirk --Donald Trump fuels political violence in America and immediately weaponizes Charlie Kirk's assassination without pause or fact-finding -- Prioritizing being offended over strategic thinking risks weakening the left and losing elections -- Trump is being manipulated by Vladimir Putin and other authoritarian leaders while Republicans are just starting to acknowledge it -- The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that nearly one million jobs were overstated under Donald Trump, signaling a stalled labor market -- A new study finds 99 percent of Americans will lose income under Trump's economic policies while only the top 1 percent benefit -- Trump faces an unavoidable political loss as House members move to force a vote on the Epstein files despite his defenses -- Gallup reports U.S. support for capitalism is at a historic low while Americans are disillusioned with the current economic system -- Ali Velshi reports on MSNBC that Donald Trump's health crisis can no longer be ignored by mainstream media -- On the Bonus Show: Trump happily approves funding for red states, Senate Republicans block release of Epstein files, and much more...
"When you face bad economic numbers, you've got two choices: fix the economy or attack the numbers," says University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers. Today, we'll discuss what to make of how the Bureau of Labor Statistics collects data on jobs and inflation, as well as the doubts cast on BLS under the second Trump administration. But first, grocery prices jumped in August. Thing is, tariffs aren't to blame.
"When you face bad economic numbers, you've got two choices: fix the economy or attack the numbers," says University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers. Today, we'll discuss what to make of how the Bureau of Labor Statistics collects data on jobs and inflation, as well as the doubts cast on BLS under the second Trump administration. But first, grocery prices jumped in August. Thing is, tariffs aren't to blame.
Steve Forbes calls for a major overhaul in how GDP data is interpreted and released, urging the Trump Administration to make a crucial change as it reforms the BLS job growth statistical gathering.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Join Jim and Greg for the Wednesday 3 Martini Lunch as they tackle a pivotal Senate race twist, Israel striking Hamas leaders in Qatar, Russia violating NATO airspace, and the brutal downward revision of U.S. job growth.First, after noting that the Democrats may end up with a fierce U.S. primary in Maine, Jim and Greg break down the Israeli bombing of Hamas targets in Doha, Qatar. Several of the highest ranking figures survived but it sends a clear message to Hamas. Of course, the usual domestic and international voices are condemning Israel's actions.Next, they react to at least 19 Russian drones entering Polish airspace. Three of them were shot down, possibly more. This is another example of Putin crossing boundaries to see what the response will be. Jim offers some advice to the U.S. government on a message that he wants to be very loud and very clear.Finally, they shudder as the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revised job growth from April 2024-March 2025 downward by more than 900,000 jobs. The BLS revised the numbers down by more than 800,000 the year before that. Greg wonders whether the monthly jobs reports still provide much value if they are regularly way off base. Jim offers some practical and comical reasons for why the monthly reports need to stay.Please visit our great sponsors:Support your health with Dose Daily. Save 25% on your first month when you subscribe at https://DoseDaily.co/3ML or enter code 3ML at checkout. Find the right support that's right for you with BetterHelp. Our listeners get 10% off their first month at https://BetterHelp.com/3MLThis Fall, save up to 50% on select plants at Fast Growing Trees—plus get an extra 15% off your first purchase with code MARTINI at https://www.Fast-Growing-Trees.com (limited time, terms apply).
August's jobs report showed just 22,000 payrolls added, unemployment rising to 4.3%, and manufacturing losses continuing—making it the weakest labor market since 2016. With downward revisions and a looming payroll adjustment cutting nearly a million jobs from earlier counts, markets now see a Fed rate cut next week as all but certain. In today's Breakdown, NLW explores what the numbers mean, the administration's clash with the BLS, and whether cuts will be good or bad for risk assets. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBreakdownBW Subscribe to the newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thebreakdown Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownBW
In this week's episode of Money Moves, Matty A and Ryan break down the latest economic shifts, market signals, and investment opportunities you need to know about. From the Fed's looming rate cuts to gold's record highs and the evolving crypto landscape, the guys share timely insights to help you navigate today's markets with confidence.What You'll Learn in This Episode:(00:00:00 – 00:02:00) Life beyond money — Tahoe recap, family, and the ROI of meaningful experiences.(00:02:00 – 00:04:00) Last week's economic data: weak jobs report, jobless claims, and why the Fed is almost certain to cut rates (likely 25 bps, not 50).(00:04:00 – 00:07:00) Market optimism: big earnings on deck, GDP growth outlook, and why Q4 could fuel years of expansion.(00:07:00 – 00:15:00) Inflation watch: PPI & CPI explained, and the BLS job revision that erased 911,000 jobs — the largest in U.S. history.(00:15:00 – 00:23:00) Confidence crisis in economic data and its ripple effect on institutional investors and policy.(00:23:00 – 00:27:00) Gold at $3,600/oz: why it still matters for AI, quantum computing, and portfolio diversification.(00:23:00 – 00:30:00) Nasdaq moves toward blockchain-based stock listings. Crypto outlook: Ethereum vs Bitcoin and what the long game looks like.(00:30:00 – 00:37:00) Global instability: France's government collapse, UK post-Brexit struggles, and how bad policies choke investment (feat. Kevin O'Leary).(00:37:00 – 00:40:00) Markets at all-time highs with $7.4T in money market funds waiting to re-enter. Could this spark a new multi-year bull run?(00:40:00 – 00:46:00) U.S. housing insights: price declines in 39 metros, rising foreclosures, climate-driven insurance risks, and why this is a window of opportunity for strategic investors.(00:46:00 – end) Looking ahead: preparing for Q4, 2026 outlook, and details on the upcoming Napa event + portfolio reviews.Final Thought:Whether you're focused on stocks, crypto, or real estate, this episode is packed with data-driven insights to help you position for the next cycle.Resources & Mentions:Apply for the Wise Investor Mastermind in Napa: Text NAPA to 844-447-1555Free wealth-building resources: www.WiseInvestorVault.comGet your free financial X-ray: Text X-RAY to 844-447-1555Access Matty A's private deals: Text DEALS to 844-447-1555Episode Sponsored By:Discover Financial Millionaire Mindcast Shop: Buy the Rich Life Planner and Get the Wealth-Building Bundle for FREE! Visit: https://shop.millionairemindcast.com/CRE MASTERMIND: Visit myfirst50k.com and submit your application to join!FREE CRE Crash Course: Text “FREE” to 844-447-1555FREE Financial X-Ray: Text "XRAY" to 844-447-1555
BLS revision shows 1 million jobs less than reported. Can you trust the data anymore? The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics disclosed that the economy created nearly 1 million fewer jobs than reported in the year ended March. What does this mean for the trades in the past year and can you trust the labor data anymore? CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts “CoinDesk Daily.” - Break the cycle of exploitation. Break down the barriers to truth. Break into the next generation of privacy. Break Free. Free to scroll without being monetized. Free from censorship. Freedom without fear. We deserve more when it comes to privacy. Experience the next generation of blockchain that is private and inclusive by design. Break free with Midnight, visit midnight.network/break-free - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.
Budget cuts may be in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' future. But the data collected by the BLS is critical for federal decision making. In this episode, we calculate if the $700 million investment is worthwhile. Plus: Firms that spend the most on AI slash tons of jobs, economic uncertainty drives up the price of gold, and mortgage rates fall — which is good for buyers but a bad sign for the overall economy.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe debt level which was created by the [CB] system is not sustainable, as of right now each household owes $274,000. The BLS was just revised, all the jobs that the Biden admin said they created was a lie. The Fed was using fake data to make all their decisions and since the data was a lie the economy was in a recession during Biden's admin. Trump has the Fed trapped. The [DS] lies are unravelling right in front of their eyes. The people are waking up and the [DS] is bringing the people to the precipice. Trump is letting the enemy do what they do best, destroy themselves and what better way to destroy the [DS], let the people see the truth. The [DS] terrorists are being destroyed. Trump must isolate himself to prevent negative OPTICS. Economy (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965127749925999053 the current 123%. To put this into perspective, US Debt-to-GDP has averaged ~69% over the last 50 years. The CBO projects that the budget deficit will exceed 5% of GDP every year until 2055. In US history, deficits this high have only occurred for 5-straight years one time, during World War II. The US debt crisis is set to get even worse. Worst Revision In History: BLS Admits A Record 911K Fewer Jobs Were Added Two weeks ago, before both Bloomberg and Reuters, we told our subscribers to "brace for another huge negative payrolls revision"... BLS reported that as part of its preliminary annual benchmark revisions, a record 911K payrolls for the period April 2024-March 2025 would be revised away last year's stunning 818K negative revision, which was the second biggest since the global financial crisis (and which we also warned ahead of time was coming), virtually nobody expected this year's number to be higher. It was not only higher, but it was the biggest negative revision on record! fake jobs numbers that were "created" by the Biden admin, and saddled Trump with relentless negative revisions. Expect 1-2 more months of painful job prints, and then another powerful rally higher into the 2026 midterms under a new BLS commissioner as all of Biden's fake baggage is expunged. Trump was absolutely correct to fire the BLS commissioner one month ago: one year of major negative revisions is happenstance; twice is coincidence; three times is enemy action... and in her case, it was just unexcusable incompetence as the most important economic data point the market uses was dead wrong. There was virtually no domestic job creation in the last year of the Biden admin when one excludes the hundreds of thousands of illegal aliens who entered the work force. The Fed should have started cutting rates in February, and would have started cutting rates in February if it knew the true sad state of the US labor market. Just as remarkable: 2 million jobs from the last 3 years of the Biden admin have now been revised away. Source: zerohedge.com https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965430039681663323 Lacalle: The Fed Caused High Inflation And The Current Jobs Slump Both the recent spike in inflation and the current decline in US jobs are, in a very significant way,
Budget cuts may be in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' future. But the data collected by the BLS is critical for federal decision making. In this episode, we calculate if the $700 million investment is worthwhile. Plus: Firms that spend the most on AI slash tons of jobs, economic uncertainty drives up the price of gold, and mortgage rates fall — which is good for buyers but a bad sign for the overall economy.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger Picture Germany is now in a debt spiral, this will spread throughout the EU. Windmills are causing the energy prices to go through the roof, Trump is stopping this. The Biden/Fed created fake job numbers and used this to run the economy, this brought the economy into a recession which Trump inherited. Trump is reversing the recession. The [DS] is following the 16yr plan and Trump is using it against them. He has now forced them to show what their plan truly is. Trump has taken the side of common sense and the people are on this side. Trump is allowing the [DS] to follow the path of war, he will use peace through strength to counter their plan. Trump is now exposing Big Pharma, people will learn the truth about almost everything. The end won't be for everyone. Economy The Gamechanger: Merz Plunges Germany Into A Debt Crisis The Bundestag's Budget Committee reached agreement on Friday regarding this year's federal budget. In the end, record debt remains, publicly masked with accounting tricks and hopeful rhetoric. Friedrich Merz is driving Germany deeper into a debt spiral. Source: thegatewaypundit.com (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1964813121538953691 about forecasts, it's a contemporaneous signal and it's been 100% accurate since the 1970s. When it flirted with activation in 2023, Claudia Sahm herself urged caution because of pandemic era distortions, but she also stressed that if it flipped cleanly, it meant the labor market was weaker than the glossy headlines implied. Fast forward, and the revisions now show that's exactly what happened. In August 2024, BLS benchmark adjustments erased 818,000 jobs. By February 2025, another 589,000 were gone. And just recently, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent flagged that another 800,000 could be stripped out. Add to that the steady drip of downward revisions through 2025, June flipping from a modest gain to a net job loss and the labor market has been overstated by somewhere between 2.3 and 2.4 million jobs since April 2023. Like i said in my previous post that kind of wholesale rewrite hasn't happened since 2009, when the BLS had to admit it had massively overstated payrolls heading into the financial crisis. And history shows that these benchmark adjustments aren't just statistical clean up. They almost always surface at turning points, the stagflationary recession of the mid 1970s, the double dip downturn in the early 1980s, and the collapse of 2007-09. They're usually evidence that the economy was already much weaker beneath the surface, and the headline strength was more illusion than fact. Which brings us back to the Sahm Rule. On the charts today, the indicator looks muted, sitting well below the 0.5 threshold. But that's because the unemployment rate itself has been calculated off job counts that are now being revised down. If those missing millions of jobs had been reflected at the time, the unemployment rate would have been higher, the Sahm Rule would have ticked up, and the U.S. might already be shown as having tripped into recession In other words, the Sahm Rule didn't miss, the inputs did. Once the revisions are fully baked in,
The jobs report came out this morning and it was a painful one. The US added only 22,000 new jobs in August, according to the latest BLS report. And unemployment ticked up to 4.3%. What does this mean? Find out in today's First Friday episode! Timestamps: Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths. (01:48) ADP vs BLS Jobs Data (04:33) Mortgage Rates & Their Impact on Homebuyers and Sellers (11:30) Fed Chair Jerome Powell's Remarks (12:54) The Fed's Dual Mandate Explained (15:58) The Fed's Changing Approach to Unemployment (18:13) Implications: Rate Cuts on the Table For more information, visit the show notes at https://affordanything.com/episode640 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
“Commercial paper” is a type of short-term debt that's paid off much faster than a typical corporate bond. It's kinda like an afternoon snack — perhaps not great for you, but it'll hold you over until dinner. In this episode, what it means that commercial paper bonds have been ramping up all year. Plus: Iconic millennial-focused brands pivot to Gen Z consumers, the BLS cares if you've got free time, and the Trump White House closely monitors U.S. chip manufacturing progress.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.