Podcasts about deficits

Difference between revenues and spending

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Best podcasts about deficits

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Latest podcast episodes about deficits

Coin Stories
Lyn Alden's Global Reserve Currency Deep-Dive: Tradeoffs, Trade Deficits and U.S. Dollar Hegemony's Impact on Working Class

Coin Stories

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2025 60:29


Natalie Brunell is joined by Lyn Alden for a wide-ranging conversation on the forces shaping the global financial system and the future of money. Lyn breaks down the complexities of the US dollar's reserve currency status, its role in persistent trade deficits, and the economic toll on America's working class. The discussion spans monetary history, policy tradeoffs, the future of manufacturing, and the potential of Bitcoin as a neutral reserve asset in a volatile world. Topics include: The global demand created by dollar reserve status How trade deficits are tied to an overvalued dollar The link between financialization and the decline of the working class The shift from gold to fiat and its long-term effects Why tariffs may not fix structural economic issues Capital outflows and their rare occurrence in the U.S. The case for a multipolar currency world  Challenges in the real estate market The role of automation in reshoring jobs Rising value of skilled blue-collar labor Bitcoin as a potential neutral reserve asset Predictions for market volatility and Bitcoin's future Arguably, no one explains these concepts better than Lyn Alden. Her analysis is among the best and is sure to give you that “aha” moment, unlocking key pieces of the complex monetary puzzle, and why an alternative, such as Bitcoin, is so important. Guest Bio: Lyn Alden is a brilliant macroeconomist, investment strategist and General Partner at Ego Death Capital. Follow Lyn on X https://x.com/LynAldenContact and subscribe to her phenomenal newsletter https://www.lynalden.com ---- Coin Stories is brought to you by lead sponsor Genius Group (NYSE American $GNS). Genius is a Bitcoin-first business delivering AI-powered education and acceleration solutions for the future of work: https://www.geniusgroup.ai/coinstories ---- Bitwise has over $10B in client assets, 32 investment products, and a team of 100+ employees across the U.S. and Europe, all solely focused on Bitcoin and digital assets since 2017. Learn more at https://www.bitwiseinvestments.com  ---- Natalie's Bitcoin Product and Event Links: Secure your Bitcoin with collaborative custody and set up your inheritance plan with Casa: https://www.casa.io/natalie  For easy, low-cost, instant Bitcoin payments, I use Speed Lightning Wallet. Get 5000 sats when you download using this link and promo code COINSTORIES10: https://www.speed.app/sweepstakes-promocode/ Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/natalie River is where I DCA weekly and buy Bitcoin with the lowest fees in the industry: https://partner.river.com/natalie  Safely self-custody your Bitcoin with Coinkite and the ColdCard Wallet. Get 5% off: https://store.coinkite.com/promo/COINSTORIES Earn 2% back in Bitcoin on all your purchases with the Gemini credit card: https://www.gemini.com/natalie  Bitcoin 2025 is heading to Las Vegas May 27-29th! Join me for my 4th Annual Women of Bitcoin Brunch! Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/affiliate/hodl/event/bitcoin-2025   Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie  Your Bitcoin oasis awaits at Camp Nakamoto: A retreat for Bitcoiners, by Bitcoiners. Code HODL for discounted passes: https://massadoptionbtc.ticketspice.com/camp-nakamoto    ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories   #money #Bitcoin #investing

Empire
Hivemind: Bitcoin Decoupling, US Trade Deficits & Worldcoin

Empire

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2025 52:00


This week, the Hivemind team discuss Bitcoin decoupling from traditional markets, how tariffs and deficits play into the bid for US assets, and Worldcoin tackling the AI-identity issue. We also dig into the best launchpad for crypto onboarding, stablecoin adoption, Bitcoin & gold in DeFi, and more. Enjoy!. -- Start your day with crypto news, analysis and data from Katherine Ross and David Canellis. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire Follow Ceteris: https://x.com/ceterispar1bus Follow Jose: https://x.com/ZeMariaMacedo Follow Yan: https://x.com/YanLiberman Follow Duncan: https://x.com/FloodCapital Follow Empire: https://x.com/theempirepod Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/4jYEkBx Subscribe on Apple: https://bit.ly/3ECSmJ3 Subscribe on Spotify: https://bit.ly/4hzy9lH Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code EMPIRE10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv  Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (1:40) Bitcoin Decoupling from Traditional Markets (6:07) Reserve Currency Debate (8:47) Bitcoin Decoupling Pt. 2 (11:53) Trade Deficits, Tariffs & Bid for US Assets (18:33) Global Bitcoin Adoption (19:53) Neutral and Synthetic Dollars (23:21) Radium vs Pump.Fun (30:22) Worldcoin & Identity on Social Networks (37:35) Stablecoin Adoption (41:01) Bitcoin and Gold in DeFi (44:49) OM, OKX & ETH Sentiment (50:04) Final Thoughts -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

Forward Guidance
Why Systematic Macro Outperforms Discretionary | Market Radar

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2025 53:06


In this episode, Arty & Gamma from the Market Radar team join the show to discuss their macro models and the importance of systematic trading, how they're thinking about global markets today, and how deficits and tariffs are complicating the Fed's cutting plans. We also delve into lessons for discretionary traders, what Market Radar wants to see to turn risk-on, and more. Enjoy! — Follow Market Radar: https://x.com/themarketradar Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv __ At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all. Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/ Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:34) Market Radar Models (04:12) Systematic vs Discretionary Macro (07:23) Market Radar Systematic Approach (14:31) Ads (Ondo, Ledger) (15:42) Lessons for Discretionary Traders (20:58) Weaknesses of Systematic Macro (24:06) Argument Against Shorting (27:57) Current Market Outlook (34:13) Current Market Outlook (Con't) (34:22) Ads (Ondo, Ledger) (37:00) The Fed & Deficits (46:42) Conditions to Turn Risk-On (49:07) Catching Tops & Bottoms (52:09) Final Thoughts __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Steve Forbes: What's Ahead
Spotlight: This Is Why Trade Deficits And Surpluses Are Meaningless Statistical Data Points Signifying Nothing

Steve Forbes: What's Ahead

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2025 4:56


Steve Forbes explains why focusing on trade deficits and surpluses completely ignores the key questions of economic health—and why the focus on that could lead to serious and avoidable economic turbulence.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Mises Media
The Twin Deficits

Mises Media

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 12, 2025


You've heard endless debate about the trade deficit, but what about its evil twin, the budget deficit? In this episode, Mark Thornton untangles the truth behind the so-called “twin deficits,” revealing why trade imbalances aren't necessarily bad, and how government borrowing distorts investment, fuels inflation, and weakens long-term prosperity. Mark cuts through the economic fog and shows what's really dragging us down.Additional Resources“Trade Deficits and Fiat Currencies” by Robert Murphy: mises.org/MI_115_A“The Evil Twins: U.S. Federal Budget Deficits and U.S. Trade” by Jane L. Johnson: mises.org/MI_115_B“The Twin Deficits” by Gary North: mises.org/MI_115_C"A Dollar as Good as Gold" by Lewis E. Lehrman: mises.org/MI_115_DJoin the Mises Institute on April 26 in Phoenix, Arizona, as we expose the danger and waste of bureaucracy: Mises.org/Phoenix25Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues

Capital Record
Episode 225: The Morality of Trade Deficits vs. Central Planning

Capital Record

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2025 10:21


David looks at the wildest week in global financial markets in the last five years in the context of first principles – how the administration's choice to lump allies in with adversaries hurt their cause – and how the need to properly define terms and understand basic economic concepts matters.

KNBR Podcast
4-10 Papa & Silver Hour 1: The Gregs dive into the huge comeback win by the Giants vs the Reds avoiding getting swept by erasing 5-0 & 6-1 deficits

KNBR Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2025 57:00


4-10 Papa & Silver Hour 1: The Gregs dive into the huge comeback win by the Giants vs the Reds avoiding getting swept by erasing 5-0 & 6-1 deficitsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

CEO Perspectives
Are Trade Deficits Bad for the US? It's Complicated

CEO Perspectives

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2025 28:40 Transcription Available


Dive deep into the world of trade balances, the role of the US, and the power of the dollar.     The US regularly runs trade deficits with its biggest trade partners, while other blocs such as the EU have trade surpluses. Is this bad for the US, and if so, what can be done about it?     Join Steve Odland and guest Maria Demertzis, The Conference Board Economy, Strategy & Finance Center Leader for Europe, to explore trade balances, why the US dollar underpins global trade, and why the WTO rule book doesn't work well with China.    (00:21) Understanding Trade Deficits  (01:09) Measuring Trade Balances  (02:18) Country vs. Trading Block Deficits  (05:00) The Impact of Trade Deficits  (07:13) The Unique Position of the US Dollar  (10:04) Global Trade and Currency Dynamics  (18:52) Economic Policies and Trade Surpluses  (21:59) China's Role in Global Trade    For more from The Conference Board:  Reciprocal Tariffs Will Weaken US and Global Economies  The Conference Board's Tariff Tracker  Trade Wars 101: What Businesses Need to Know 

Papa & Lund Podcast Podcast
4-10 Papa & Silver Hour 1: The Gregs dive into the huge comeback win by the Giants vs the Reds avoiding getting swept by erasing 5-0 & 6-1 deficits

Papa & Lund Podcast Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2025 57:00


4-10 Papa & Silver Hour 1: The Gregs dive into the huge comeback win by the Giants vs the Reds avoiding getting swept by erasing 5-0 & 6-1 deficitsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Planet Money
Do trade deficits matter?

Planet Money

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 23:37


At the heart of President Trump's tariffs is this idea that we should not be buying more from other countries than they are buying from us. Basically, he wants to get rid of the trade deficit. And in the wake of the tariff announcement we got a LOT of questions from listeners about what that means. Do trade deficits matter? Is it bad to have a trade deficit? Are we getting ripped off? Today on the show – we tackle those questions. This episode of Planet Money was produced by Emma Peaslee and edited by Marianne McCune and Kenny Malone. It was fact checked by Sarah McClure and engineered by Kwesi Lee. Alex Goldmark is our executive producer. Find more Planet Money: Facebook / Instagram / TikTok / Our weekly Newsletter.Listen free at these links: Apple Podcasts, Spotify, the NPR app or anywhere you get podcasts.Help support Planet Money and hear our bonus episodes by subscribing to Planet Money+ in Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org/planetmoney.Music: NPR Source Audio - "The Westerners," "Liquid Courage," and "Blazed and Emboldened" Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

Duane's World
Difficult but Necessary: Decoupling from China, Becoming Energy Independent, and Fixing Trade Deficits

Duane's World

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 56:40


It's been a rough week for the markets after President Trump's new tariff policy went into effect. Is it all an overreaction? Jim Talent joined me to discuss.Watch this episode here.

The Marc Cox Morning Show
Hans Von Spakovsky Breaks Down Trade Deficits, Tariffs, and Judicial Overreach

The Marc Cox Morning Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 7, 2025 5:40


Marc Cox welcomes Hans Von Spakovsky for a detailed conversation on international trade and judicial authority. They examine America's persistent trade deficits, current negotiations with over 50 countries, and the impact of unequal tariff rates on U.S. exports—particularly cars and agricultural products. From trade imbalances with the EU to legislative efforts aimed at limiting presidential tariff power, the discussion underscores conservative concerns about economic policy.

Consider This Northumberland
Liberal candidate John Goheen tackles tariffs, tax cuts, deficits and local issues

Consider This Northumberland

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 5, 2025 31:45


It is easy to forget the current federal election is not just about the party leaders. While most The post Liberal candidate John Goheen tackles tariffs, tax cuts, deficits and local issues appeared first on Consider This. Related posts: Liberal Dorothy Noronha unpacks party platform within a Northumberland perspective Liberal Alison Lester explains need for election, affordable housing, supports for seniors and more Farmers, roads and development high on the list of concerns for Logel

More or Less: Behind the Stats
Trump tariffs: All about the deficits

More or Less: Behind the Stats

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2025 8:58


US President Donald Trump has announced sweeping tariffs on global trade, adding taxes of as much as 50% to imports from some countries. The tariffs, he says, are “reciprocal” – calculated to address currency manipulation and trade barriers that other countries place on the US. However, when you look at how the new tariffs were actually calculated, that claim does not add up. Tim Harford speaks to Thomas Sampson, an associate professor at the London School of Economics, to understand what is going on.Presenter: Tim Harford Producers: Lizzy McNeill and Nathan Gower Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound mix: Neil Churchill Editor: Richard Vadon

Consider This from NPR
Trump takes aim at trade deficits. Are they actually bad?

Consider This from NPR

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 3, 2025 10:52


Whatever you think of President Trump's tariffs, there's one point you have to concede: his interest in them is not a passing whim. He noted that on Wednesday, in the Rose Garden, when he was announcing the latest, massive round of tariffs. "I've been talking about this for 40 years," he said.The use of tariffs are a core belief for Donald Trump. Trade deficits are bad, other countries take advantage of the U.S. and tariffs are the way to fix this.Since the Rose Garden announcement, markets have plunged, other countries have promised to retaliate, and members of his own party have spoken out against the tariffs.Trump's tariff plan is designed to eliminate U.S. trade deficits. Are trade deficits actually bad?For sponsor-free episodes of Consider This, sign up for Consider This+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.Email us at considerthis@npr.org.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

The Average Climber Podcast
Q&A: fall practice on "easy mode", burnout, the deal with caloric deficits, short but effective route sessions, pain with board climbing and more!

The Average Climber Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 3, 2025 70:18


Today we have a big, bad listener Q&A episode covering topics like: - how to start from square one when it comes to fear management - what to do if you're always starving when you climb outside - the deal with caloric deficits + climbing training - how to get an effective route session done in 90 minutes or less - preventing burnout and MORE. Thanks to all who submitted their questions, we appreciate you! Register now for THE CREW! Resources mentioned:  1. Follow Lauren's behavior change coach, Jimena on instagram @jime.ramirez.coaching 2. Up down ups by Power Company Climbing CAITLIN LINKS: 1. Join Caitlin's Newsletter for April Hydration Bingo! LAUREN LINKS: 1. Get on Lauren's newsletter for a chance at FREE COACHING! 2. Sign up for the Fast Track Movement Course Additional Links: Submit your episode ideas to us: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdcmb5M_M4ZyaDqT26cYTKVNNVhyvSW-y-7nCsCps4wAgCAUw/viewform Send Lauren an email and get a sticker for submitting a podcast review! https://www.goodsprayclimbing.com/contact Support us on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/averageclimberpodcast Learn more about Plug Tone Audio: www.plugtoneaudio.com

The China in Africa Podcast
South Africa's Active Yet Unequal Trade With China

The China in Africa Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2025 45:36


From afar, the China-South Africa trade relationship looks amazing. Last year, the two countries sold more than $52 billion worth of goods to one another — mostly raw materials from South Africa and finished goods from China. But when you look at the figures more closely, some real problems become evident. While trade volumes between the two countries have grown exponentially over the past 20 years, so has South Africa's trade deficit with China, which reached almost $10 billion last year. Marvellous Ngundu, a research consultant at the Institute for Security Studies in Pretoria, explored the problem in a recently published paper and joins Eric & Cobus to discuss what can be done to balance out this "active, yet highly unequal" trading relationship. Show Notes: Institute for Security Studies: South Africa's trade deficit dilemma with China by Marvellous Ngundu Bloomberg: A New ‘China Shock' Is Destroying Jobs Around the World by Katia Dmitrieva, Philip Heijmans, and Prima Wirayani X: @christiangeraud I @ChinaGSProject | @eric_olander | @stadenesque Facebook: www.facebook.com/ChinaAfricaProject YouTube: www.youtube.com/@ChinaGlobalSouth Now on Bluesky! Follow CGSP at @chinagsproject.bsky.social FOLLOW CGSP IN FRENCH AND ARABIC: Français: www.projetafriquechine.com | @AfrikChine Arabic: عربي: www.alsin-alsharqalawsat.com | @SinSharqAwsat JOIN US ON PATREON! Become a CGSP Patreon member and get all sorts of cool stuff, including our Week in Review report, an invitation to join monthly Zoom calls with Eric & Cobus, and even an awesome new CGSP Podcast mug! www.patreon.com/chinaglobalsouth  

AM full episode
Deficits forecast ahead of pre-election budget

AM full episode

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2025 20:16


Years of deficits ahead with no surpluses in sight - Jim Chalmers manages expectations as he puts the final touches on his pre-election budget.

AM
Deficits forecast ahead of pre-election budget

AM

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2025 20:16


Years of deficits ahead with no surpluses in sight - Jim Chalmers manages expectations as he puts the final touches on his pre-election budget.

The Human Action Podcast
Are Trade Deficits a Sign of Economic Strength?

The Human Action Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 22, 2025


Bob responds to recent tweets that believe trade deficits are a sign of economic strength. He also includes an op-ed from Robert Barro and a clip from Milton Friedman, to show that even big gun economists can often speak in misleading ways when it comes to trade deficits.Bob's Article on Free Traders Defending Deficits: Mises.org/HAP492aThe FRED Chart Referenced in this Episode: Mises.org/HAP492bBob's 2007 Mises Daily article on Capital Surplus: Mises.org/HAP492cBob's 2007 Mises Daily article Predicting the Recession: Mises.org/HAP492dThe Human Action Podcast Episode on International Trade: Mises.org/HAP492eThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Murray Rothbard's, What Has Government Done to Our Money? Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFreeJoin us May 15–17, 2025, at the Mises Institute for our Revisionist History of War Conference: Mises.org/RHW

Mises Media
Are Trade Deficits a Sign of Economic Strength?

Mises Media

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 22, 2025


Bob responds to recent tweets that believe trade deficits are a sign of economic strength. He also includes an op-ed from Robert Barro and a clip from Milton Friedman, to show that even big gun economists can often speak in misleading ways when it comes to trade deficits.Bob's Article on Free Traders Defending Deficits: Mises.org/HAP492aThe FRED Chart Referenced in this Episode: Mises.org/HAP492bBob's 2007 Mises Daily article on Capital Surplus: Mises.org/HAP492cBob's 2007 Mises Daily article Predicting the Recession: Mises.org/HAP492dThe Human Action Podcast Episode on International Trade: Mises.org/HAP492eThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Murray Rothbard's, What Has Government Done to Our Money? Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFreeJoin us May 15–17, 2025, at the Mises Institute for our Revisionist History of War Conference: Mises.org/RHW

Recovery After Stroke
Living with Invisible Stroke Deficits: The Challenges No One Sees

Recovery After Stroke

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2025 23:01


Living with invisible stroke deficits means fighting unseen battles daily. Learn how I manage stroke fatigue, spasticity, and mental challenges. The post Living with Invisible Stroke Deficits: The Challenges No One Sees appeared first on Recovery After Stroke.

The Harmful Habits Podcast
Ep. 130: White People and Empathy Deficits

The Harmful Habits Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 20, 2025 41:00


In this episode, we break down the latest headlines and the recurring theme of white empathy deficits shaping public discourse. We unpack the return of segregation—not in name, but in practice—as systemic choices continue to isolate and exclude marginalized communities. And in a sharp left turn, we also talk about menopause—because if society refuses to discuss it, we will! From brain fog to surprise hot flashes in the middle of a meeting, we get into why menopause is basically puberty's grumpy older sister and why everyone (yes, even you) should care. 

Money For the Rest of Us
What Trump Wants Part 2 - How Trade Deficits and Capital Flows Can Harm or Help Countries

Money For the Rest of Us

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2025 22:39


How trade deficits are making the U.S. poorer, while in the past they have made the U.S. wealthier.Topics covered include:Two ways countries can increase their competitivenessHow savings always equals investmentWhy excess savings flows to the U.S. leading to a drop in U.S. domestic savingsWhy the U.S. current trade situation could lead to a debt crisisEpisode SponsorsNetSuite LinkedIn Jobs – Use this link to post your job for free on LinkedIn JobsInsiders Guide Email NewsletterGet our free Investors' Checklist when you sign up for the free Money for the Rest of Us email newsletterOur Premium ProductsAsset CampMoney for the Rest of Us PlusShow NotesWhy U.S. Debt Must Continue to Rise by Michael Pettis—Carnegie EndowmentCould Trump devalue the dollar with a "Mar-a-Lago Accord"? by Paul Diggle and Luke Bartholomew—Aberdeen InvestmentsA User's Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System by Stephen Miran—Hudson Bay CapitalIs Peter Navarro Wrong on Trade? by Michael Pettis—Carnegie EndowmentRelated Episodes515: Tariffs and the Mar-a-Lago Accord: What Trump Really Wants470: How the Economy Really Works: Savings, Investing, Consuming and Market Distortions144: Trade Deficits Aren't Always Bad. Trade Wars Are.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

TD Ameritrade Network
Merk: Long Gold Until World Addresses ‘Fiscal Deficits in Earnest'

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2025 10:55


Axel Merk is investing in gold and gold miners, touting their returns as the rest of the market falls. “Gold in the long run has zero correlation to equities,” but is correlated to real interest rates, he says. However, he says this relationship has fallen apart as the dollar has been “weaponized.” He would sell when the world begins addressing “fiscal deficits in earnest.”======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Disrupting Obesity
093 Ask Whatever XXX: Maintaining Motivation, Triggering Friendships, & Conquering Calorie Deficits

Disrupting Obesity

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 17, 2025 41:38


Send us a textWelcome back to another classic Ask Whatever episode, where I'll be answering a whole back log of listener and follower questions! From calorie deficit 101, to staying motivated and handling social triggers, I'm diving deep into strategies that have worked for me and thousands of others not only in losing the weight and keeping it off, but ultimately changing your relationship with food. So tune in to hear the questions and topics I'll be covering today:• What exactly is a calorie deficit, and how do you achieve it without feeling deprived?• Why gradual calorie reduction works better than drastic cuts for long-term success.• How to stay motivated when the scale isn't moving and progress feels slow.• The truth about self-sabotage and how to recognize when you're getting in your own way.• How to handle eating out and social events without ruining your progress.• Why the week before your period can be the hardest time to stick to your plan – and how to manage it.• What to do about loose skin and how to feel confident in your body.• Setting boundaries with friends who constantly talk about weight and body image.I have so many resources outside of this podcast if you're ready to take another small step closer to achieving your weight loss journey goals that you can find below! So keep trying, keep tracking, don't be intimidated, and don't give up. You've totally got this!Episode Mentioned:039 Ask Whatever VIII: Common Calorie QuestionsLooking for help on your weight loss journey? I've created a couple of resources:• My NEW Membership Community! Join HERE: https://charlotte-skanes.mykajabi.com/disruptor-our-community• My Immersive Weight Loss Experience: The Program• My Cookbook 'Disruptor'• My Free Guide ‘Getting Started for the Last Time'• My Weight Loss Workbook Disruptor, find anywhere in the world on Amazon by searching “Disruptor Charlotte Skanes”•Get Started For The Last Time LIVE Webinar Replay Sign-Up WebsiteInstagramYoutube...

Jack Tomczak Podcast
The DFL's Deficits and Deceit with Senator Mark Koran and Dr. John Spry

Jack Tomczak Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 14, 2025 69:38


Wharton Business Radio Highlights
The 2025 Budget Debate: Tax Cuts, Deficits, and Policy Shifts

Wharton Business Radio Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 14, 2025 8:00


Wharton professor and faculty director of the Penn Wharton Budget Model, Kent Smetters, examines the fiscal 2025 budget discussions, the proposed extension of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, and the challenges policymakers face in balancing tax cuts with deficit constraints. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Casa DeConfidence Podcast
Why Your Goals Feel Out of Reach: The Hidden Dangers of Dopamine Deficits

Casa DeConfidence Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 7, 2025 19:04


I want to hear your thoughts about the show and this episode. Text us here...In this engaging episode of the Casa De Confidence podcast, we dive into the fascinating world of dopamine, the brain's motivation and reward chemical. Julie has some insightful advice and explores how our modern habits, especially social media use, can lead to feeling overwhelmed and dissatisfied. Sharing personal anecdotes, she highlights the importance of managing dopamine levels through practices like dopamine fasting, shifting to intrinsic motivation, and prioritizing deep work. Julie encourages listeners to identify and change dopamine-driven habits for better well-being and sustainable fulfillment in life and business. In this episode:The role of dopamine in motivation and rewardThe impact of modern habits, especially social media, on dopamine levelsThe concept of "dopamine fasting" and its benefitsThe effects of morning routines on motivation and dopamine reservesThe cycle of dopamine depletion due to constant stimulationThe importance of delayed gratification and embracing discomfortStrategies for prioritizing deep work and achieving flow statesThe role of self-care practices in regulating dopamine levels for better well-beingWhy Your Goals Feel Out of Reach—And How to Fix ItAre you struggling to stay motivated? You start strong, but somehow, your goals still feel just out of reach. The problem might not be your discipline—it could be your dopamine levels.This free Dopamine Boost Toolkit will help you: ✅ Understand what's draining your motivation with a quick self-assessment. ✅ Get instant motivation with science-backed dopamine-boosting hacks. ✅ Stay on track with a simple goal-tracking template that keeps you consistent. ✅ Create lasting motivation with easy, sustainable habits.DowThis is an invitation to join a supportive community of purpose-driven entrepreneurs who are creating an impact in the world.A mastermind is a community of peers who exchange ideas, provide support, and offer sound advice for running a successful business.Join the Confident YOU Mastermind now at https://goconfidentlyservices.myflodesk.com/confidentyoumastermindSupport the showOther helpful resources for you: Learn more about my Confident You Mastermind Today! Here's your Guide to Starting A Podcast in 30 days, download yours today! For more about me and what I do, check out my website. If you're looking for support to grow your business faster, be positioned as an authority in your industry, and impact the masses, schedule a call to explore if you'd be a good fit for one of my coaching programs. Thank you for listening to our podcast. Please Subscribe! Join our Facebook GroupInstagram, TikTok We love reviews! Please leave us a review.Contact us if you want to Launch, restart, or grow your podcast.

Willard & Dibs
The Warriors Can Now Overcome Deficits!

Willard & Dibs

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 7, 2025 12:26


Willard and Dibs discuss another way in which Jimmy Butler has impacted the Warriors in a positive way.

ALBERTO PADILLA
Explicando los deficits comerciales y si estos ameritan imposición de aranceles, con #IsaacCohen.

ALBERTO PADILLA

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 6, 2025 55:27


-#DonaldTrump posterga por 1 mes la imposición de aranceles para las 3 automotrices Estadounidenses. -#Canadá prohibe la venta de #JackDaniels en el País: Firma asegura que eso es peor que los aranceles. -Farmacéutica rebaja precio de su ampolleta contra la gordura #Wegovy de US$1,300 a solo $499 al mes.

Church of the City New York
Missional Formation | Disciple the Deficits - Suzy Silk

Church of the City New York

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2025 53:28


This week, Pastor Suzy Silk continued our sermon series on Missional Formation by focusing on the distinctive of Discipling the Deficits and the discipline of confessing sin as keys to being counter-formed from the ways of the world into the ways of Jesus. Pastor Suzy called us to walk in freedom by regularly inviting the Holy Spirit to search our hearts, confessing specific sins regularly, and committing to accountability in a trusted group. Confession and obedience lead to greater freedom, intimacy with God, and the increased ability to reflect His image in the world.

NGI's Hub & Flow
Mind the Gap: Widening Natural Gas Storage Deficits Create Urgent Summer Challenge

NGI's Hub & Flow

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2025 21:33


After back-to-back warm winters, this year's brutally cold showing has rapidly depleted Lower 48 natural gas inventories, flipping them from surplus to deficit and creating a challenging outlook for the upcoming injection season. With storage now sitting below five-year averages and record LNG exports consuming more supply, the market faces a steeper climb to rebuild stocks amid caution by producers to bring on more supply. A hot summer could siphon gas away from injections to make the task harder. NGI's Leticia Gonzales, managing director of North American natural gas pricing, and senior markets editor Chris Newman examine the market's dramatic shift from surplus to deficit, producers' restraint despite higher prices, and the impact of structural LNG demand growth on domestic markets. They also look ahead to how the evolving market fundamentals could shape gas prices through summer and into winter 2025/26.

Nurturing Financial Freedom
US Government Debt and Deficits Explained

Nurturing Financial Freedom

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 27, 2025 23:52


After sending congratulations to the Super Bowl champion Eagles, today we dive into a dense and important topic: the U.S. federal debt. There's a lot of fear and misinformation around this issue, so we break down what the numbers really mean and how they compare to history.Alex kicks things off by clarifying key terms. A deficit occurs when the government spends more than it brings in during a given year. The debt is the accumulation of all past deficits, minus any surpluses. The U.S. has run a deficit in 46 of the last 50 years, meaning it consistently spends more than it collects in revenue. To cover these shortfalls, the government borrows money by selling treasury securities to investors, institutions, and foreign governments. The debt's significance is often measured against the country's total economic output—its debt-to-GDP ratio—which has averaged about 64% since 1939 but has spiked dramatically at key moments in history.We've seen two major surges in debt-to-GDP: during World War II, when it reached 120%, and during COVID-19, when emergency spending pushed it to 125%. While this ratio has come down slightly since the pandemic, it remains historically high. Similarly, the deficit-to-GDP ratio, which measures the size of the annual shortfall relative to economic output, has averaged 3.4% over time but ballooned to around 6.4% in recent years.Ed walks us through the current numbers. As of 2025, the U.S. total debt stands at $36.2 trillion, with about $28.9 trillion held by the public and $7.3 trillion held by government programs like Social Security. Given that GDP is around $29 trillion, our debt-to-GDP ratio sits at 120%, nearly double its long-term average. The U.S. ran a $1.8 trillion deficit in 2024 and is on track for a similar shortfall in 2025. Experts believe a sustainable deficit level should be closer to 3% of GDP, meaning we'd need to close a $1 trillion annual gap through tax increases, spending cuts, or a mix of both.A common concern we address is the idea that foreign nations “own” the U.S. through debt holdings. In reality, only about 23% of U.S. debt is held by foreign countries, with Japan and China being the largest holders. However, they invest in U.S. debt not to control us but because U.S. treasuries are among the safest assets in the world.So, should we be panicking? Not necessarily. As Ed reminds us, people have been warning about a debt crisis for decades. Ross Perot famously made it a central issue of his 1992 presidential campaign when the debt was just $4 trillion.  And yes, we may have detoured for a moment into Ross Perot and "Dana Carvey doing Ross Perot" impressions.Today's debt and deficit numbers are bigger, but so is the U.S. economy. While the current trajectory isn't sustainable forever, it's not an immediate crisis either—more of an issue that will need to be addressed over time.If you're wondering how these macroeconomic trends impact your personal financial planning, feel free to reach out. Visit Birch Run Financial, email info@birchrunfinancial.com, or call 484-395-2190. You can always email Alex and Ed at info@birchrunfinancial.com or give them a call at 484-395-2190.Or visit them on the web at https://www.birchrunfinancial.com/Alex and Ed's Book: Mastering The Money Mind: https://www.amazon.com/Mastering-Money-Mind-Thinking-Personal/dp/1544530536 Any opinions are those of Ed Lambert Alex Cabot, and Jon Gay and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. The examples throughout this material are for illustrative purposes only. Raymond James does not provide tax or legal services. Please discuss these matters with the appropriate professional. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. CDs are insured by the FDIC and offer a fixed rate of return, whereas the return and principal value of investment securities fluctuate with changes in market conditions. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. Stock Market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. This information is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security referred to herein. Future investment performance cannot be guaranteed, investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and bond prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and when interest rates fall, bond prices generally rise. Investing in small cap stocks generally involves greater risks, and therefore, may not be appropriate for every investor. The prices of small company stocks may be subject to more volatility than those of large company stocks. Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Raymond James Financial Services Advisors, Inc. Birch Run Financial is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services. Birch Run Financial is located at 595 E Swedesford Rd, Ste 360, Wayne PA 19087 and can be reached at 484-395-2190. Any rating is not intended to be an endorsement, or any way indicative of the advisors' abilities to provide investment advice or management. This podcast is intended for informational purposes only.Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize, or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors.Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users or members.

Good Morning Liberty
Deficits & Debt Are Not "America First" || EP 1497

Good Morning Liberty

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 38:02


In this episode of Good Morning Liberty, hosts Nate Thurston and Charles Chuck Thompson dive deep into the latest developments in the federal budget and spending cuts. They discuss the House's new spending bill, the ongoing challenges with Medicare, and Thomas Massey's viral video criticizing the GOP's budget plans. They also highlight issues with government unions, Elon Musk's controversial email to federal employees, and an unexpected white pill from Jeff Bezos and the Washington Post. Join Nate and Chuck as they break down complex topics with humor and insight, while their dogs, Toby and Simba, chill in the background. Don't miss this jam-packed episode! (01:22) Political News and Spending Bill Discussion (03:47) Government Spending and Deficit Analysis (07:33) Thomas Massie's Opposition and GOP Reactions (14:29) Elon Musk's Cabinet Meeting Speech (16:21) Reflections on Government Waste and Public Perception (19:26) Discussing Tax Cuts and Government Spending (23:05) Elon's Email Controversy (26:57) Government Unions and Accountability (33:07) Washington Post's New Editorial Direction (35:21) Closing Remarks and Future Plans   Links:   https://gml.bio.link/   YOUTUBE:   https://bit.ly/3UwsRiv   RUMBLE:   https://rumble.com/c/GML   Check out Martens Minute!   https://martensminute.podbean.com/   Follow Josh Martens on X:   https://twitter.com/joshmartens13   Join the private discord & chat during the show!   joingml.com   Bank on Yourself bankonyourself.com/gml   Get FACTOR Today! FACTORMEALS.com/gml50off   Good Morning Liberty is sponsored by BetterHelp! Rediscover your curiosity today by visiting Betterhelp.com/GML (Get 10% off your first month)     Protect your privacy and unlock the full potential of your streaming services with ExpressVPN. Get 3 more months absolutely FREE by using our link EXPRESSVPN.com/GML  

Palisade Radio
John Titus: The Fed’s Dangerous Path to Further Secrecy

Palisade Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 58:12


Tom welcomes back an always interesting guest who dives deeply into various financial topics; John Titus. Several key topics were discussed, including the banking crisis of March 2023, federal debt, central bank independence, and the implications of the Fed's policies. Titus began by revisiting his prediction of the banking crisis, attributing it to the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program during the pandemic. He explained that this led to a surge in commercial bank deposits, which ultimately caused instability when large deposits were withdrawn from banks like Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). Titus emphasized that these massive deposits, often exceeding $1 billion, were uninsured and posed significant risks when withdrawn rapidly. He discussed how the Fed's actions during the pandemic injected liquidity into non-bank entities, leading to a buildup of deposits in commercial banks. This created a situation where the failure of SVB was inevitable due to the withdrawal of large deposits. Moving on to federal debt, Titus expressed concern about the growing U.S. debt and its sustainability. He highlighted that the Fed's policies have led to a system where debt is used to finance government operations, creating a cycle of borrowing to cover interest payments. This spiral could lead to fiscal insolvency if not addressed. The discussion then turned to central bank independence and the implications of a Biden administration memo emphasizing central bank autonomy. Titus argued that in the U.S., the Federal Reserve is not truly independent but rather an agency under Congress, which has the constitutional authority to oversee it. He warned against efforts to model the Fed after systems like the European Central Bank, which operate independently of national governments, as this could erode democratic accountability. Titus also previewed his new series, "The War for Bankocracy," which explores the history and power dynamics of central banks. He emphasized the importance of constitutional governance over monetary policy, arguing that Congress must maintain control to prevent abuses of power by central bankers. Throughout the interview, Titus stressed the need for public awareness and engagement in monetary policy decisions, urging listeners to stay informed and advocate for transparency and accountability in how debt and money are managed. His analysis highlighted the interconnected risks posed by federal debt, banking instability, and central bank autonomy, emphasizing that these issues require immediate attention to prevent further economic crises. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:48 - Predicting Bank Failures4:12 - Bank System in 20256:43 - Risks or Manipulation10:06 - Fed, Deficits, & Austerity12:43 - Fed & Fiscal Dominance15:05 - The Debt Spiral20:15 - Extinguish Debt?23:40 - C.B. Gold Reserves25:57 - U.S. Rates & Debt Rollover27:07 - Treasury Dealers31:25 - Fed & Inflation34:59 - Neverending Puzzle36:30 - Debt Solutions?40:00 - Reverse Repo Status45:15 - Fed 'Independence'50:00 - Biden Memo Concerns52:26 - C.B. Independence55:20 - Bankocracy Series Guest Links:SubStack: https://bestevidence.substack.com/Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1843407Odysey: https://odysee.com/@BestEvidence:bYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BestEvidenceBankocracy Series Episodes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y-fPI_tleUo&list=PLXr4cxq6ih6DbS8NIMK3nAiEM8AggZ_DQ John Titus holds a masters degree in electrical engineering as well as a law degree and he uses these to pursue his "day job". However, John is also a staunch critic of central banking the federal reserve system and his diligent research has uncovered numerous lies and deceptions from the U.S. Federal Reserve regarding their actions/policies since 2008. John is the creator and executive producer of the "BestEvidence" YouTube channel and all of his documentaries can be found there. BestEvidence seeks to chronicle major financial forces and legal changes be...

Making Sense
NEW $5,000 Stimulus Plan ANNOUNCED (It's NOT What You Think)

Making Sense

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2025 18:32


WTF!? This really better be a stunt or a bad joke because if it's not then we're faced with more bad economics. This proposal is exactly the SH&% that is supposed to be ending. The government wouldn't be giving anyone "their" money back, just borrowing more to make it look like that would what happens. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisMilton Friedman - Tyranny of the Status Quo - Part 1 - Beneficiaries w/ David Brookshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wRXEk7su62wThe Hill Adviser behind ‘DOGE dividend' check program: It's reasonablehttps://thehill.com/business/5154650-james-fishback-donald-trump-elon-musk-doge-dividends/Fox $5,000 DOGE check? Trump backs idea to send some savings to Americanshttps://www.fox9.com/news/5000-doge-dividend-check-trump-backs-savings-americansCBO https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2025-01/60870-By-the-Numbers.pdfhttps://www.cbo.gov/publication/60870#:~:text=The%20Budget%20Outlook-,Deficits,to%20%242.7%20trillion%20by%202035.https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The China in Africa Podcast
Debate: Is China a Helpful or Horrible Trade Partner for Global South Countries?

The China in Africa Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 19, 2025 58:47


At last week's Munich Security Conference, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi touted his country's 5% economic growth last year as a "benefit to the world" thanks to all of the trade it does with countries around the world. While countries in Africa, the Middle East, and Asia, among other regions, are no doubt selling more raw materials to China, critics contend, though, that this trade pattern isn't healthy and mostly in China's favor.  This week, Eric, Cobus, and Géraud debate whether Chinese trade is helping or hurting developing countries and whether China's role as the world's manufacturer is also the primary reason why poor countries remain stuck at the bottom of the industrial value chain. JOIN THE DISCUSSION: X: @ChinaGSProject | @eric_olander | @stadenesque  Facebook: www.facebook.com/ChinaAfricaProject YouTube: www.youtube.com/@ChinaGlobalSouth Now on Bluesky! Follow CGSP at @chinagsproject.bsky.social FOLLOW CGSP IN FRENCH AND ARABIC: Français: www.projetafriquechine.com | @AfrikChine Arabic: عربي: www.alsin-alsharqalawsat.com | @SinSharqAwsat JOIN US ON PATREON! Become a CGSP Patreon member and get all sorts of cool stuff, including our Week in Review report, an invitation to join monthly Zoom calls with Eric & Cobus, and even an awesome new CGSP Podcast mug! www.patreon.com/chinaglobalsouth

Baskin & Phelps
Jimmy Watkins: The Browns incentives are not aligned with Andrew Berry's incentives; he made big swings that didn't connect and put the Browns in draft pick and salary cap deficits

Baskin & Phelps

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 17, 2025 16:53


Jimmy Watkins joined Baskin and Phelps to break down the piece he wrote on Myles Garrett and whether or not the Browns will honor his trade request. He discussed Andrew Berry's plans for the Browns and whether or not he can fix the roster. Jimmy also talked about the expectations for the Cavaliers through the rest of the regular season.

The Young Turks
Friends With Deficits

The Young Turks

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2025 63:03


Amy Klobuchar's Plan To Fight Trump Is… Rely On Moral Republicans! Republicans Are Secretly Worried About Elon Musk's Takeover. Steven Bannon Pleads GUILTY To Defrauding His Own Fans. Hosts: Ana Kasparian & Cenk Uygur SUBSCRIBE on YOUTUBE ☞ https://www.youtube.com/@TheYoungTurks FOLLOW US ON: FACEBOOK ☞ https://www.facebook.com/theyoungturks TWITTER ☞ https://twitter.com/TheYoungTurks INSTAGRAM ☞ https://www.instagram.com/theyoungturks TIKTOK ☞ https://www.tiktok.com/@theyoungturks

Macro Musings with David Beckworth
Senator Pat Toomey on Fed Governance, Monetary Policy, and the future of Digital Assets

Macro Musings with David Beckworth

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 10, 2025 58:03


Pat Toomey is a former senator from the state of Pennsylvania and served on the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. In Pat's first appearance on the show he discussed his career in public service, Fed master accounts, the future on monetary policy, his quest for Fed accountability, the looming debt issue, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on January 23rd, 2025 Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow Pat Toomey: @SenToomey Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:01:09) – Senator Toomey's Committee Work (00:21:21) – Federal Reserve Master Accounts (00:27:07) – Accountability of the Fed (00:30:07) – Monetary Policy (00:45:19) – Debts, Deficits, and Fiscal Policy (00:57:22) – Outro

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Lyn Alden: Can Anything Stop The Runaway Train Of Fiscal Deficits?

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 6, 2025 69:13


One of the biggest forces boosting both economic growth and asset price appreciation over recent years has been the explosion of higher fiscal deficit spending -- sending the prices of all assets including growth stocks, gold and Bitcoin soaring. Today's guest, analyst Lyn Alden, predicts we'll be stuck with these these large deficits for a long time to come, often repeating in her writing that "nothing stops this train". Why? And if indeed so, what are the implications for investors? And furthermore, with a new US presidential Administration publicly committed to reducing government spending, is the train truly unstoppable? For answers, we'll ask Lyn directly. Lyn, thanks so much for joining us today! BUY YOUR TICKET AT THE EARLY BIRD PRICE FOR OUR MARCH 15 CONFERENCE at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference

Fit Body, Happy Joints
Ask an RD: Calorie deficits, maintenance, and surpluses with Hope Brandt, RD

Fit Body, Happy Joints

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 4, 2025 12:13


When should you be in a calorie deficit? And for how long? When is maintenance appropriate, and how do you know when you're at maintenance? Is a calorie surplus necessary for muscle growth? All these things are discussed in today's installment of ASK an RD, with our guest, Hope Brandt, RD.  Visit portal.evlofitness.com to try a free Evlo Upper Body Build class.

Jesus Changes Everything
JCE ep 2.5.25 Sacred Marriage, Spiritual Mothering II; Tariffs and Trade Deficits; King Ishmael; A 59 Year Old Child

Jesus Changes Everything

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 4, 2025 36:19


Lisa and I continue to discuss the blessings of spiritual mothers. I warn of the dangers of tariffs and the folly of trade deficits, remember God's promises to Hagar for Ishmael and consider what it means to be a child at 59 years old.

The Chasing Health Podcast
Episode 287 Q&A - Diet Fatigue, Scale Frustrations, Workout Burnout, Squats vs. Walking, Changing Routines, Calorie Deficits, Food Labels, More About Us - The Coaches Roundtable

The Chasing Health Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 3, 2025 29:57


Summary: In this Q&A episode, Chase and Chris answer listener questions about workout routines, diet fatigue, and why the scale might not be moving even when you're doing everything right. They break down the debate between squats and walking for blood sugar regulation, explain how to tell if your calorie deficit is too low, and share their personal fitness goals. Plus, they give a behind-the-scenes look at how they teamed up to build their coaching business. Tune in for practical tips, real talk, and a few laughs along the way! Chapters: 00:00 Chase Almost Blows Up His House (Not Really)02:00 Squats vs. Walking: Which is Better?05:00 How to Know If Your Calories Are Too Low07:15 What Causes Diet and Exercise Fatigue?12:00 How Often Should You Change Your Workouts?14:00 Why Food Labels Can Be Misleading16:00 How We Started Our Coaching Business23:00 Our Personal Fitness Goals & Workout Routines28:30 Chris Brags About Florida Weather (Again) SUBMIT YOUR QUESTIONS to be answered on the show:https://forms.gle/B6bpTBDYnDcbUkeD7 How to Connect with Us: Chase's Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/changing_chase/Chris' Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/conquer_fitness2021/Facebook Group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/665770984678334/Interested in 1:1 Coaching: https://conquerfitnessandnutrition.com/1on1-coachingJoin The Fit Fam Collective: https://conquerfitnessandnutrition.com/fit-fam-collective

Get Rich Education
538: Listener Q&A, The Insane Canadian Housing Crisis

Get Rich Education

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 27, 2025 45:00


Keith answers listener questions about getting started in real estate investing with limited funds and how to determine the true appreciation of a property against inflation. He also discusses: The impact of the LA wildfires on housing needs and some landlords raising rents excessively. Economic and housing challenges facing Canada, including high inflation and unaffordable home prices. And highlights the views of likely future Canadian Prime Minister Pierre Poilievre on addressing these issues. GRE Free Investment Coaching:GREmarketplace.com/Coach For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/538 Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE  or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments.  You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review”  For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript:   Automatically Transcribed With Otter.ai    Keith Weinhold  0:01   welcome to GRE. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, I answer three of your listener questions, then learn why LA area landlords got a bad name during this month's awful Southern California wildfires. Finally, why Canadians cannot buy houses anymore, and what lessons you can learn from Canada's real estate mistakes and the abject lunacy there today on get rich education.   Unknown Speaker  0:30   Since 2014 the powerful get rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being the flipper or landlord. Show Host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad advisors and delivers a new show every week since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads of 188 world nations. He has a list show guests and key top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki, get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps build wealth on the go with the get rich education podcast. Sign up now for the get rich education podcast or visit get rich education.com   Unknown Speaker  1:16   You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education.   Keith Weinhold  1:32   Welcome to GRE from Gatlinburg, Tennessee to Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Weinhold, and you are inside this week's installment of the program known as get rich education, I'm grateful that you're here, but you're not here for me. You are here for you. So let's talk about you and some of the listener questions that you wrote into the show about and as usual, whenever I have a batch of listener questions, I answer the beginner level questions first and then move on to more advanced questions. The first one comes from Jeanette in Seaford, Delaware. Jeanette asks, I only have a little money to invest in real estate. How do I get started with just a small amount of money. All right, Jeanette, well, first I would talk to a lender. You have to talk to a mortgage specialist or a loan officer to find out what you qualify for. You're basically getting them to punch holes into your financial picture. And then that way, Jeanette, you will know what holes to go, mend, so your loan officer is essentially giving you a free troubleshooting session. Now, our investment coaches here at GRE help you with some of that, but GRE doesn't originate loans, so you want to get with someone like a ridge lending group for help. And now, what are some of the holes that a mortgage lender might poke into your finances? Jeanette, well, getting your credit score up and they'll help you with that strategy. Or you simply need more dollars in savings, in what your mortgage loan underwriter calls reserves, or you might need to establish a two year job history, or you have to say, Pay off your car loan in order to get your debt to income ratio lower, or whatever it is. And since at GRE marketplace, the least expensive income property is probably about $120,000right now, a number that keeps going up with inflation. But what you would need is 23 to 25% of that between your down payment and closing costs, all right? Jeanette, so then about 28 to 30k that is the minimum lump of cash that you'll need to buy a property that is already fixed up and ready for a tenant, and that is a great way to start in real estate investing if you want to maintain your standard of living, okay, that is therefore the lowest entry point that you can do that. But if you're temporarily willing to let your quality of life slide for a couple years and maybe live communally. You can put as little as 3% down on a primary residence and then rent out the other rooms. Okay, that's the house hacking model, but depending on your setup, you know, maybe you're sharing a kitchen with roommates or suitemates, and therefore that temporary loss in quality of life. Maybe you can even Airbnb at a short term rental, in which case you will be buying the furniture. However, now with a 3% down payment on an owner occupied house, hack like that, you're probably going to have to pay a PMI premium, a private mortgage insurance premium of a few $100 per month. But still, this does get you in with very little money, since that's what you're asking about Jeanette. And finally, the third thing I'll bring up here is that you can get a combination of maintaining your standard of living and putting a small down payment on a property by using an FHA loan and three and a half percent down. And you can do that with a single family home, duplex, triplex or four Plex, living in one unit and renting out the others. So yes, you get both this way, but I will not go into the details on the FHA, because I have described that in detail on other episodes since it's how I started out myself. But there are a number of options right there for you to inquire about Jeanette, all starting with an investment centric mortgage lender like Ridgelendinggroup.com.     The next question comes from Jared in Pocatello, Idaho. Jared asks Keith, in the past year, my duplex in Pocatello went up in value 5% from 400k to 420k. How do I know how much of that 5% is true appreciation, and what portion of the 5% is from inflation? Oh, that is such a devastatingly cool question Jared, and that's exactly what I thought when I saw that question come in. Okay, so basically, Jared is asking, say, in this 5% price increase is 3% from inflation and 2% from appreciation, for example, or like, what is the breakout of those two components of the price change? And a lot of people don't understand the difference, and even know enough to ask a question this good. So props to you there. Jared. One thing you cannot do is just look at CPI inflation over the last year for the US, which is 2.9% and then say, Oh, well, then I guess the other 2.1% must be appreciation. Therefore, no, you can't really do that. There's more to it than that, for a lot of reasons. I mean consumer price inflation, like on a pound of ground beef at the supermarket, that is different from asset price inflation, and there are a lot of other reasons too. Appreciation is distinctly different from inflation, because the value of your property increasing 5% that has to do with the attractiveness of your property to the marketplace. Now there are attributes with appreciation, like proximity to high paying jobs, proximity to highways and shopping in desirable schools, which are basically those axiomatic Location, location, location qualities. Now I'm going to assume that you did not make an improvement or a renovation to the property Jared, because obviously that would hike up the value. Now other appreciation attributes that are distinctly different from inflation are things like population growth and wage growth in your area, what can really pump up appreciation is if the remaining availability of developable land starts shrinking and shriveling up in a desirable location. Contrary to popular belief, mortgage rates have little to do with appreciation. We can leave that out of this discussion. Now, how this is different from inflation is that inflation is not about the intrinsic value. Rather, inflation is the price of the home increasing because the currency is worth less. Now I hope that you find that explanation satisfying Jared, but what is dissatisfying is that it's actually hard to pin down a number and say, was this two and a half percent appreciation and two and a half percent inflation, or any other combination? And that's because inflation itself is practically impossible to accurately measure, and a lot of that has to do with an inflationary basket of goods that is just exceedingly difficult to adjust for attributes like quality and utility and substitution So Jerry did is likely that your duplexes 5% value increase is an amalgamation of both appreciation and inflation, that part I can confirm, but the exact breakdown for each is virtually incalculable, super insightful question there Jared.     The third and final of our three listener questions to get the show started today, and then I'll get into landlords in the LA wildfires and Canada versus us real estate. The final question today is from Jeter in Roseville, California. I know where Roseville is. It's just northeast of Sacramento, and I'm not sure if Jeter j, e t, e r is your first name or your last name, like former Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter, but only one name came in here. Jeter asks, Keith, I am a true believer in GRE principles. I'm looking to pounce on some property this year and get leverage and other people's money working for me, instead of only getting my money to work for me in my company's 401 k. Let me just interject here. You really get it. You really get it. Jeter, um, continuing on with your question, with mortgage rates around 7% I'd love to know where you think interest rates are headed next, and what is going to make rates move. Thanks, Jeter. Well, I've got to tell you, Jeter, not only do I avoid predicting future interest rates, but I don't know of anyone in the world that can predict interest rates with high reliability, especially over the medium to long term. James Grant, He's based in New York City. He puts out a publication called Grant's Interest Rate Observer that might just give you a better than 5050, shot of where they're headed next. He's a well regarded source. In fact, I saw James Grant speak in person a couple months ago, but I wouldn't put too much credence in any interest rate predictor out there. Now, just 11 days ago, I sent our newsletter subscribers a graphic of just how bad. I mean, really awful that recent interest rate predictions have been. I've never seen a chart like this. This chart looked like a centipede. Okay, the Bold Line was the actual federal funds rate that was like the centipedes body and all the hundreds of legs coming off this line were predictions that others had made, all deviating from the true line, the centipede body, which is what the rate really was. I mean, prominent experts rate predictions have a track record that's more abysmal than everyone saying we'd surely have a man on Mars, by now, terrible. Jeter. When you look at interest rate predictions, you're looking at a waste of your time. They're about as reliable as a weather app in a tornado a year ago, the collective brain trusts of all the economic wizards believed with devotion and alacrity that mortgage rates would be sub six now, instead, they are still about seven, which might correspond to a three or three and a half percent federal funds rate. They all thought the federal funds rate would be near three by now, but it's more like four and a half today. And what's hilarious is that, in more recent years, the Fed even tells us what they plan to do next. They even tell us it's little like having the answers to the test, and yet you still fail the test. You've got the cheat sheet and you still aren't doing any better? How can this possibly be? Well, the reason that I don't make interest rate predictions is because it is a surefire way to look foolish. Jeter, to answer the second part of your question, what moves interest rates around? The answer is, well, it's really broad economic forces and political forces, that is why it's tough, and this includes jobs reports, supply and demand of credit, inflation, a pandemic, a surprise new war in the Middle East, tariffs, GDP reports, surprise election outcomes, a massive change in tax policy and more. I mean, it is total entropy. Now, one thing we know is that persistently higher inflation will soon result in higher rates, just like we saw in 2022 I mean, rates rise in a bullish, robust and optimistic economy. And another thing that we do know is that sustained fear causes rates to fall. That's why, when you look at a chart, you see interest rates of all kinds plunge like a cliff diver during the 2001 dot com recession, the 2008 GFC and the 2020 COVID pandemic. The reason that rates fall during fearful times just like those, is because the economy needs the help and a little pro tip for you here, Jeter, when a recession begins, it's more likely than not that rates will fall. But see, it can be hard to predict a recession, as we've all found out recently, we just came off three fed interest rate cuts late last year, and that was a little weird, because the economy does not need the help that is sort of like offering Gatorade to someone that's not even sweating. Okay, and when rates scrape the ocean bottom floor at zero, from 2009 to 2016 and then again from 2020, to 2022,that's unhealthy. Natural market forces would mean that there's a cost to receive a service like borrowing money. Well, with zero rates, it feels like no one wants to save and everyone wants to borrow and spend. Zero rates, it is time to all out. Ball out. My two time GRE podcast guest here on the show, and super smart guy, Dr Chris Martinson, he thinks that rates are generally going to go higher from here. But you don't have to look far. You can find other wise guys that say they're going lower. At the last Fed meeting last year, they disappointed markets by signaling plans to only cut rates twice this year, instead of the four cuts that were previously expected. And now that's even changed since then, a lot of people question if those two cuts are even going to happen this year, given things like a hot jobs report that came flying in and still too high inflation. So this is kind of like expecting a decadent dessert of rate cuts, and instead you get, like, one Biscoff cookie, like they give you an economy on the plane. So Jeter, that's why I don't forecast rates. I don't think anyone can, but now, at least you have a couple resources, and you also know what factors move rates around.    Now if you want a fun, real time pulse on the market. Check out poly market. You might have heard of it by now. It's a site where you can place bets on various outcomes, a lot of non sports bets. You can see people put their money where their mouth is. You don't have to make a wager yourself. You can just see what people are wagering on. There are wagers on fed interest rate decisions. There at Poly market, you can even place a bet on if Jerome Powell says Good afternoon at his next press conference over there on Poly market, I'm not kidding right now, the odds of him saying Good afternoon at his next press conference are 96% so remember this, the market has always felt confident about where rates are headed, and the market has always been wrong. Interest rates don't drive property values. Their intrinsic worth is based on the timeless stuff, location, amenities, income, occupancy, size, density, business case, exit options and operating costs. Those are the things that drive property values. The bottom line with interest rates is that nobody knows the future interest rates direction is a pinball game of black swans and policy pivots. So instead, focus on the big things that you can control, like how many dollars you have, leveraging properties and keeping your operations on those properties efficient. So Jeter waiting to buy property generally harms an investor more than it helps them, because it's dollars on the sidelines that are paying the opportunity cost of not leveraging other people's money. Of course, if you buy your property at whatever interest rate today, and rates soon fall like a knife, well, then you can refinance at the lower rate, all while leverage keeps compounding and building your wealth. Thanks for the question,  Jeter.    If you have a listener question or comment or feedback of any type for us, as always, you can visit us at get rich education.com/contactfor either written or voice communication there, like I said earlier, that amazingly interesting centipede like chart of just how dreadful interest rate predictions have really been that was in our recent newsletter. Now it's too late for you to get that issue, but to get more like them, you can get our don't Quit your Daydream. Newsletter, completely free, just text GRE to 66866 that's text GRE to 66866.   now, when it comes to this month's historically bad, devastating LA area wildfires, I heard from a friend in that area last week. She lives just south of LA and her house was spared, fortunately, but she's been busy helping friends in the LA area who have lost their homes and businesses. It is truly tragic. And you know, what she told me, is the biggest, most compelling need right now, and I put some credence in this, since it's an independent on the ground report. This is outside of major media, displaced residents. Number one need is not food, it's not water, it's not clothing, it's not heat, it's not even community with 1000s of families without homes, the urgent need is for housing. You might not find that surprising. That's what she shared with me. I mean, it is a need so dire that even a family of six would consider a small mobile home or an RV rental to help with temporary housing. And a lot of these displaced families were you know, you got to consider the fact that before the fire, they were living in above average homes, even luxury homes. Now, as far as LA area, landlords that have housing to rent out, a lot of those landlords have jacked up the rent price. California's anti price gouging. Laws make it illegal for landlords to raise rent by more than 10% in the first month to six months after a disaster is declared. Now the BBC reported that one resident who lost their home in the historic California wildfires found a rental property that was previously priced at $13,000 per month, they offered $20,000 per month, and the landlord countered with 23k that is a 75% price hike. And it's not the only example. A Bel Air home located in an evacuation warning zone was listed on Zillow recently at 29,500bucks a month. That is an 86% hike from its September of last year price. That's according to the outlet called La est, another realtor raised in Encino, California, listing from 9k per month at the beginning of this month to 11 and a half K after the fires started. That's according to the LA Times. The realtor then backpedaled to abide by the 10% rule, which she said that she did not know about. And for a little context there, yes, those rent prices sound high, and La rent was already high. It averaged $2,820 a month. That's compared to $1,983a month nationally. Those figures are per Zillow. Now I don't know what percentage of La landlords are engaging in. I guess what I'll call extortionate behavior, but even if it's the vast minority of landlords you know that gives them a bad name, to have the word landlord in headlines like this. And is this behavior extortionate? In some cases, it probably is, I suspect, just a guess here that some landlords might think they have a chance of insurance paying some or all of the higher rent for their tenant that was displaced from their original home. But let's keep things in perspective here. What this does to good landlords reputations. You know, that's not the story here. The story and the effort should be in helping the displaced people. And of course, there are so many angles to the devastating la wildfires. One of them is that many believe zoning laws pushed homes out into fire prone areas. I recently shared that reason.com article with you in our free newsletter. So again, to get our Don't quit your Daydream newsletter, completely free, which I write every word of myself. Text GRE to 6866 you can do it now, while it's on your mind, hit pause and text GRE to 66866 the abject lunacy in Canada's real estate market, in what US residents and others can learn from all this, that's next. I'm Keith Weinhold. You're listening to get rich education.   Hey, you. Can get your mortgage loans at the same place where I get mine at Ridge lending group NMLS, 42056, they provided our listeners with more loans than any provider in the entire nation because they specialize in income properties. They help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. You can start your pre qualification and chat with President Caeli Ridge personally. Start now while it's on your mind at Ridge lendinggroup.com That's ridgelendinggroup.com.   Oh geez, the national average bank account pays less than 1% on your savings, so your bank is getting rich off of you. You've got to earn way more, or else you're losing your hard earned cash to inflation. Let the liquidity fund help you put your money to work with minimum risk, your cash generates up to a 10% return and compounds year in and year out. Instead of earning less than 1% in your bank account, the minimum investment is just 25k you keep getting paid until you decide you want your money back. Their decade plus track record proves they've always paid their investors 100% in full and on time. And you know how I know, because I'm an investor in this myself, earn 10% like me and GRE listeners are text family to 66866, to learn about freedom. Family investments, liquidity fund on your journey to financial freedom through passive income. Text family to 66866   Naresh Vissa  26:41   this is GRE real estate investment coach. Naresh Vissa don't live below your means, grow your needs. Listen to get rich education with Keith Weinhold.   Keith Weinhold  26:57   Welcome back to get rich Education. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, let's discuss the Canadian economy and Canadian real estate. Because even if you live in the US or Central America or Europe or one of the other 187 nations that were heard in outside the US, you know there are lessons here for you, and there are lessons here for me as well. There is some just jaw dropping material that I'm about to share with you, and I won't discuss the politics of it, because that's not GRE 's lane. Instead, it is the policy. Earlier this month, Canada's equivalent of the President, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced that he will be resigning soon. And Trudeau has been under a lot of criticism. At last check, his approval rating was a miserable 22% now, most people think that the next and future Prime Minister of Canada will be a man named Pierre Poilievre. In fact, the wagering site poly market has polyev with an over 80% chance of being Canada's next prime minister, and you will hear him speak shortly here. And yes, that is how an Anglophone pronounces his last name, polyev In a recent interview with Dr Jordan Peterson. You'll listen into here shortly. Polyev, Canada's likely next leader here, first, he describes some of the problems with Canada's economy, and then he'll get into their real estate market. Right now, the median home price in the United States is about 450k you might think that Canada's should be lower, because Canada has more land in the US and Canada has just about 1/9 of the US population. So a low population density. I mean, the US is population density is more than 10 times Canada's. But no, due to some of these policies, it's just the opposite, because Canada's average home is over 725k. yeah, that's just for a basic home. I've got to admit, I did not know who polyev was until just a couple months ago. I'm starting to like him the more that I listen to him. He's a clear thinker and a clear speaker. Here is a clip of Canada's likely next leader talking about Canada's problems. This is 10 and a half minutes long. I'm going to listen to this again with you right now, and then I will come back along with you to comment. This is why you can't buy a house in Trudeau, Canada.    Unknown Speaker  29:41   Our productivity is another major problem right now, and that's productivity. Sounds complicated. It's actually extremely simple. You just take the GDP and you divide it by the hours worked in the country. So American GDP is $80 so for every hour an American worker works, on average. He or she produces $80 of GDP in Canada, it 50. So that's every hour. So that means we have to work 60% more just to make the same amount and have the same level of income to buy food and housing. And so that's the Now that sounds like a bunch of wonk speak that should might seem like it only matters to someone staring at a spreadsheet or a graph or a chart, but in fact, that's reflected in the fact that our 2 million people are lined up at food banks because they can't afford food, and 80% of youth can't afford homes, and our quality of life is and the things we can afford to provide our kids have fallen back so much there's a real, real life, Stark and easily comprehensible statistic. And if you work and you produce $80 worth of goods and services in an hour, yeah, compared to working and producing 50, obviously, that's a substantial shortfall. Yeah. So, and is that, is there a starker indicator of the economic disparity between the US and Canada than that? Or do you think that's the primary statistic? I mean, I think housing costs are another one. I mean, right. There was a study out just 10 days ago that has Toronto and Vancouver now by far the most unaffordable housing markets in North America. And so you know, housing costs are 50% higher in Toronto than they are in Chicago, even though Chicago workers make 50% more money. The same is true between Vancouver and Seattle. Seattle workers make way more than Vancouver workers, but housing is 60 or 70% more expensive in Vancouver. So on, all the measures by a lot. Yes, a lot by a lot. Yeah, and we're and we're paying more, more by a lot, right? And most of that's transpired the last 10 years. Yes, and we're paying the difference by accumulating enormous quantities of debt. Our households are by far the most indebted in the g7. when you take you divide total household debt by GDP, we now have a bigger stock of household debt than our entire economy. We are more indebted as households than the Americans were right before the oh eight financial crisis. And so what we have as a model in Canada is we have artificial scarcity imposed by very heavy and restrictive state, confiscatory state, so that suppresses production. But in order to allow for consumption, we print money and borrow money and then flood the economy with that money. Okay, so that's another problem. So that's the inflationary problem. Yes. Now the problem with inflation just many problems with inflation, but one of them is that it particularly punishes people who are thrifty and who save? Yes, right, right? So inflation punishes the people who forego gratification to invest in the future. That's right, right? So that's a very bad idea. It's our inflation is the single most immoral tax for so many reasons. One, it takes from savers and people who are trying to be responsible, thus making it impossible to be responsible, because you will, if you, if you refuse to play the inflation game of borrowing money to buy things you can't afford, someone else inevitably will, and you won't be able to afford anything. So you ultimately have to actor responsibly. It's like Milton Friedman was asked, What would you do with your money in times of inflation? He said, spend it right like the first thing you want to do when inflation is out of control is to make sure you get rid of this thing that's losing its value. The second reason it's immoral is it takes from the poor, because the poorest people cannot put they do not have the ability to buy inflation proof assets like gold and real estate and fancy watches and art collections and wine fancy wines and things that go up with or even exceed inflation. So it's a very big wealth transfer from the have to the from the from the poor and the working class to the very, very wealthy, a very small group of people actually get richer. So the socialist policies that provide goods and services to Canadians, let's say, or denizens of other countries by printing money, actually punish the poor brutally. Oh, absolutely, and consequence of the inflation that they generate. Yes, I mean all the socialist policies in practice take redistribute from the working class to the super wealthy in practice, and I can prove that again and again and again in practice, yeah, in practice. In practice they with the all the redistribution that happens in the so called socialist countries ultimately goes from the working class to the super wealthy. That is the reality. Okay, so, but just one last thing on inflation. The final reason why it's so immoral is nobody votes on it. The basic principle of our parliamentary system is the government can't tax what parliament has not voted the people must no taxation without representation, right? But no one ever votes to have the money printing happen. And so the inflation is adopted secretly, and you blame the grocer because groceries are more expensive, or your local gas station because gas is more or your realtor because house, in fact, it was actually the government that bid up all of those things with money printing, and you didn't even know about it. So it is silent. It's a silent thief that takes from the poor and gives to the richest people and destroys the working class. And that's why I am I want to crush inflation. We need a policy that seeks to just to stop inflation at all, at all costs. Okay, so what would you do to to stop inflation? Well, we stopped the money printing. You know, we need a we need. And the money printing is just a means to fund deficit spending. Governments borrow to define the deficit, yeah, for people. So basically, the deficit is the difference between what the government spends and what it brings in. It's usually calculated on a yearly basis, that's right, yeah, and the debt, but the debt is just the accumulation of the deficits, right? So the deficit right now is $62 billion and I thought it had a ceiling of 41 billion. Yeah, right. Isn't that a ceiling? Yes, not a I guess not. And look, there are very real present day consequences for that. Deficits increase the money supply. Central banks effectively facilitate that increase in the money supply, and that causes inflation. And, you know, it's, it's why our, you know, I have a buddy who's whose family moved here from Italy back in 1973 His father worked paving roads and his mother made sandwiches in a senior's home, they were able to pay off their home 10 minutes from Parliament Hill in seven years. Right, their grandchildren wouldn't be able to save up a down payment for that home in 15 years, and they will be university educated with all the advantages of having been here two decades. That is the consequence of the money supply growing vastly quicker than the stuff that money buys. So we have to do is stop growing the money supply and start growing the stuff money buys. Right? Produce more energy, grow more food, build more homes. We have to unleash the free enterprise system to produce more stuff of value, and this is where we have to remove the artificial scarcity that the government is imposing on the population. Let's incentivize our municipalities to grant the fastest building permits in the world to build homes. You have a plan for that in principle, yes, I mean, I'm going to say to the municipal governments, they either, they either speed up permits, cut Development Charges and free up land, or they will lose their federal infrastructure money, so they will have a powerful carrot and stick incentive to speed up home building and the percentage of a new house price. That's a consequence of government, taxation and regulation. Well, in Vancouver, it's 60% 66 does that include the land and the house? Yes, that includes everything. So I'll tell you how they calculate it, CD, how took the cost of building a compare the cost of building a home to the cost of buying a home, yeah. And he said, what's the gap between those two things? So they added up land, labor, profit for the developer, materials, and they compared that to the sale price, and they found the gap was $1.2 million so that's $1.2 million of extra cost, above and beyond the materials, the labor, the land and the profit for the developer. So where's that going? Well? The answer is, development charges,sales taxes, land transfer taxes, the delays in getting the permit. Time is money, the consultants, lawyers, accountants, lobbyists that the developer has to hire in order to get the approval that so in other words, we're spending twice in Vancouver. We spend twice as much on bureaucrats than we do on all other things combined. To build a home, more money goes to bureaucrats than goes to the carpenters, electricians and plumbers who build the place. And to add insult to injury, those trades people who build homes can't afford to live in them, right? I mean, it is. So what we need to do is slash the bureaucracy. And I'm going to I'm going to say to the mayors, you're not getting federal infrastructure money until you slash your development charges, speed up your permits. I'm going to take. The Federal GST off new homes under a certain limit, and encourage the provinces to do the same. But we've got so much land. We should have the most affordable housing in the world. We have. It should be dirt cheap because we have the most dirt we just need to get the government out of the way.    Keith Weinhold  40:20   Yeah, again, that was Dr Jordan Peterson interviewing Canada's likely next leader, Pierre poilievre, just a few weeks ago now. Polyev, when discussing inflation and investing, you know, he also brought up points that I've surfaced here on the show over the past few years. He even articulates a few things the way I've described them. It's almost weird, like inflation means that it actually makes sense to strategically borrow and spend and not to save. It's almost like polyev is a GRE listener. I love how he said, stop growing the money supply and start growing the things that money buys. We're talking about things like homes and energy and food. That was eloquent. I mean, in Vancouver, the percentage of a new house cost for taxation and regulation is 60% of the cost of the home, fully 60 and then, if that's not surprising enough, due to all these layers of regulation, the cost of building a new home is $1.2 million more than the cost of buying an existing home. Just astounding. This might have even left you either flabbergasted or gobsmacked, which one?So some parallels to the US there in Canada, but back here in the US, the housing market is clearly more affordable and healthier. Polyev really pointed out a direction that the US does not want to fall into. In fact, we've got a pretty good Canadian listening contingent. So let me ask, Do you have a connection to Pierre poilievre, if you do, we would probably like to invite him here on to the show with us. If you do, or you even know someone that knows someone, let us know right into get rich education.com/contact or email us directly at info@get rich education.com and we'll make that happen now. What is happening at GRE marketplace right now is that our listeners are getting brand new build investment property in Florida and some other places at competitive prices and a fixed interest rate of just four and three quarters percent. So yes, that is sub Canadian prices, by far below Canadian prices, and a four and three quarter percent rate. And then on top of that, you get to pay an affordable insurance premium in Florida because it's new build, or similarly, it's that way in other states if you buy new build, but builders overbuilt in some pockets of Florida, like I've mentioned to you before. So at this time, on top of all that, they're offering a free full year of property management. And because when you own a new build property, it's not occupied with tenants on day one, and this means that you don't inherit unknown tenants. And builders are also offering you up to three months in a rent guarantee in case your single family home or duplex or four Plex is not occupied yet, the builder would pay the rent for you. Really amazing incentives, but probably none better than that four and three quarter percent mortgage rate. I mean, it's like you get to roll the clock back to when rates were artificially low, back in 2021, and 2022, and lock it in. Now, our GRE investment coaches connect you with the investment property that's right for you based on your needs and your goals, including those four and three quarter percent rates, if you so choose, it is all free at GRE marketplace. From GRE marketplace.com just click on the coaching area and you can book a time right there until next week. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, don't quit your Daydream.    Unknown Speaker  44:23   nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC, exclusively   Unknown Speaker  44:51   The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth building get rich education.com you.  

J.P. Morgan Insights (audio)
The Big Picture on Debt, Deficits and Interest Rates

J.P. Morgan Insights (audio)

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 21, 2025 12:25


“Unsustainable!” To quote Inigo Montoya: “You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means” For decades, journalists, economists, politicians, and central bankers have said that the U.S. federal debt is on an “unsustainable” path.  However, it has stayed on that path, climbing from a very manageable $3.3 trillion, or 31.5% of GDP, in fiscal 2001, to $28.3 trillion, or 98.2% of GDP in fiscal 2024.

LiftingLindsay's More Than Fitness
Why Calorie Deficits Mess with Your Sleep (And How to Fix It)

LiftingLindsay's More Than Fitness

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 20, 2025 25:08


In this episode, I explore the intricate relationship between caloric deficits and sleep quality, discussing how reducing calorie intake can disrupt sleep patterns. I highlight the importance of recognizing signs of fatigue and knowing when to adjust your diet or lifestyle for better health. Finally, I address various factors contributing to sleep disturbances in the context of dieting and offer tips for improving sleep hygiene.Topics discussed in this episode:(00:08) - Why does calorie defict mess with my sleep? (02:49) - Noticing when I'm tired (04:25) - How do you know you should make changes? (07:52) - What happens when the caloric deficit is causing the lack of sleep? (11:21) - What happens in a calorie deficit? (12:24) - Why do we experience lack of sleep during calorie deficit? (16:33) - What can we do about it? My Community BeStrong provides both Training programs and help with recipes and MEAL PLANNING!!! Making it easier than ever to hit your goals!!! Sign up HERE.Membership gives you access to….Training App with dozens of programs to choose from.MEAL PLANS w/ Yummy recipes!Courses : Learn Step Away from Tracking and Mindfully EatHow to set up a Fat Loss planSetting up your Muscle building phase.Community & Support with specific groups that share you same goals$500 worth in give aways monthlyMonthly Themes and Challenges to increase your learning and help you BECOME the person you want to be.bi Weekly Lives where I help you get your nutrition plan or answer questionsUpload videos of exercises for form reviews done by me!

Palisade Radio
Mel Mattison: Debt, Deficits, and The Road to a New Monetary Order

Palisade Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 20, 2025 62:13


Tom welcomes back Mel Mattison to discuss the economic implications of the new administration under Trump's second term. He expresses skepticism towards government-released data such as CPI numbers and raises concerns about rising inflation and interest rates due to massive deficit spending and debt refinancing. Mel estimates approximately seven to eight trillion dollars will be issued this year for these purposes, with uncertainty surrounding who will buy all this debt. He suggests real inflation numbers may be higher than reported, potentially leading to significant increases in interest rates. The U.S., with a debt-to-GDP ratio of 120%, faces a major concern regarding unsustainable levels of interest expenses. Mel shares his concerns about the historical parallels between the current high debt-to-GDP ratio and that of the post-World War II era, when reductions in debt came from a combination of surprise inflation and interest rate manipulations. The need for fiscal sustainability is discussed, with maintaining a 3% deficit to GDP ratio suggested. However, achieving this through cuts alone is considered unrealistic due to the significant role government spending plays in the economy. The possibility of a debt reset under new Treasury Secretary Scott Besson is explored, with the need for independence from China's supply chains and essential goods emphasized due to global security competition. The potential for gold and Bitcoin as neutral reserve assets is proposed, along with revaluing gold certificates held by the Federal Reserve and a move towards these assets to lead to significant increases in value. Mel discusses Bitcoin potentially decoupling from risk assets like QQQ this year due to increasing institutional adoption. Potential consequences of a global debt crisis include a revaluation of currencies through gold or Bitcoin, and economic wartime goals setting the stage for inflationary impulses to return. The need for controlling interest rates and addressing inflation is emphasized, with potential consequences including debt repression, a gold certificate revaluation, and the promotion of stablecoins. Mel predicts a significant crisis leading to market pullbacks and recoveries, while acknowledging the urgency to tackle deficit issues due to their increasing impact on tax receipts and interest expenses. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:44 - Economic Strength6:20 - U.S. Debt Holders11:33 - Debt & GDP Extremes15:20 - DOGE Cuts & Deficits21:18 - Debt Reset & BRICS28:08 - Gold Cert. Valuations31:43 - BTC & Gold Potential35:53 - Global Debt & Reserves39:16 - Tariffs Purpose & Trump42:50 - Inflation & Oil Trends46:56 - Trump Power Plays51:34 - Equity Markets Outlook56:35 - Jeffrey Gundlach59:13 - 2025 Possibilities1:01:23 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: https://www.MelMattison.comTwitter: https://x.com/MelMattison1LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/melmattison/ Mel Mattison is a writer, investor, and financial services veteran. Leveraging over twenty years' experience in the realm of high finance, he brings real-world authenticity to his fictional narratives. Mel combines this insider knowledge with a critical eye toward the economic forces that shape all our lives. With a knack for deconstructing jargon and making the complex understandable, he sheds light on the sometimes dark and confusing corners of finance. Mel holds an MBA from Duke University and studied creative writing at Loyola University Chicago. His recent novel, Quoz: A Financial Thriller, delivers an epic ride packed with action, intrigue, and a healthy dose of economic realism.