Podcast appearances and mentions of danielle dimartino booth

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Latest podcast episodes about danielle dimartino booth

The Julia La Roche Show
#378 Danielle DiMartino Booth: Warsh Gets 9/10, Finally "Fed Up Too," Removes Dot Plot

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2026 30:37


In this episode, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of QI Research and former Fed insider, gives Kevin Warsh a 9 out of 10 on his first FOMC meeting and press conference, saying "it sounds like he's fed up too" after witnessing a dramatic departure from Powell's approach. Warsh delivered a remarkably short statement (140 words vs Powell's 341 words), removed the dot plot entirely ("show don't tell"), eliminated forward guidance, and created five task forces including communications overhaul, data exploration, and inflationary frameworks review. Danielle was thrilled he's revisiting the arbitrary 2% inflation target, moving away from core PCE (which she calls "a bunch of BS" because stock market gains inflate the metric), and exploring trim mean inflation instead. Warsh went to a grocery store asking people if Fed policy actually helps with gas, beef, and egg prices—demonstrating he understands Fed policy cannot address supply-driven inflation. He called non-farm payroll data "echoes of history" and demanded accountability, slamming the NBER for being "derelict in their duty" to call recessions when bankruptcy filings are up 38% year-over-year and personal bankruptcies surged 8%. Danielle warns the market is "calling his bluff" after today's sell-off, notes no junk bonds have been sold in 41 days signaling credit stress, and says to watch the MOVE index and credit spreads closely as the next tell. She's cautiously optimistic but "wait and see," drawing comparisons to Powell's 2018 pivot when he reversed course after market pain. Warsh managed a unanimous vote despite the aggressive reform agenda.Thank you to our sponsors: Kalshi - download the Kalshi app and use code JULIA to get $10 when you trade $10. https://www.kalshi.com/julia Monetary Metals - learn more at https://www.monetary-metals.com/julia/Links: Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction - Fed day with Danielle DiMartino Booth 1:37 Statement very short - 140 words vs Powell's 341, "fed up too"2:14 No forward guidance, removed dot plot - "show don't tell"3:13 Warsh strategic approach - "I'm going to fix this broken institution"5:20 Five task forces including communications and inflationary frameworks7:48 Revisit 2% inflation target - Arbitrary and unnecessary14:10 Rate cuts - most traders on Kalshi expect zero16:57 Markets lower today, Wall Street calling his bluff17:51 Bankruptcies up 38.4% year over year, personal up 8%19:00 NBER derelict in recession calling - Should have called 202524:43 Non-farm payroll data unreliable until third revision - "echoes of history"26:09 Financial markets work best reacting to real data, not Fed speak27:20 Overall impression 9 out of 10, cautiously optimistic29:15 Watch MOVE index and credit spreads for next signal30:00 Warsh got unanimous vote - Corralled all governors

Top Traders Unplugged
UGO12: Why the Next Financial Crisis Could Change America Forever ft. Danielle DiMartino Booth

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 53:56 Transcription Available


As Kevin Warsh prepares to take the reins at the Federal Reserve, a deeper question emerges: has the Fed reached the limits of what monetary policy can achieve? Cem Karsan sits down with Danielle DiMartino Booth to explore the growing tensions between inflation, debt, financialization, and political pressure. From the future of quantitative easing and Treasury market risks to the rise of populism and the long term consequences of decades of intervention, this conversation examines whether the United States is approaching a turning point that could redefine the relationship between markets, government, and the Federal Reserve.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Danielle on X.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Introduction and why Kevin Warsh's arrival at the Fed matters02:25 - Warsh steps into a divided Federal Reserve05:13 - The debt problem and the pressures facing policymakers07:52 - Can Warsh avoid another era of quantitative easing?10:00 - Interest rates, inflation, and the limits of Fed policy17:53 - Revisiting Arthur Burns and the lessons of the 1970s23:02 - Treasury buybacks, debt monetization, and market stability29:27 - Populism, demographics, and the future inflation outlook37:34 - Is the Fed's mandate shifting toward managing government debt?43:06 - Sovereign wealth funds and the possibility of equity market intervention45:56 - Would merging Treasury and the Fed end central bank independence?49:59 - Has the Federal Reserve broken the natural business cycle?51:22 - Final thoughts on crisis, reform, and America's economic futureCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I'm really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here3. Other Resources that can help youAnd if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click HerePrivacy PolicyDisclaimer

TD Ameritrade Network
Kevin Warsh Faces Major Fed Headwinds

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 8:34


Danielle Dimartino Booth breaks down the growing labor market fallout and why incoming pressure could make life more difficult for Kevin Warsh at the Fed. She explains why Warsh may rely more on alternative data and industry insight as concerns grow around the U.S. economy and labor mandate. Danielle also names a few likely allies for Warsh. Danielle Dimartino Booth breaks down the growing labor market fallout and why incoming pressure could make life more difficult for Kevin Warsh at the Fed. She explains why Warsh may rely more on alternative data and industry insight as concerns grow around the U.S. economy and labor mandate. Danielle also names a few likely allies for Warsh.

The Julia La Roche Show
#363 Danielle DiMartino Booth: Powell's 'Patriotic' Stand Protecting Fed Independence, Fed Should Cut Despite Oil Prices, and Flirting With Liquidity Crisis as Non-Banks Too Big to Fail

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2026 38:57


In this episode, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of QI Research and former Fed insider, explains why she's "less fed up" despite disagreeing with Fed policy - praising Jerome Powell's decision to stay on as governor to protect Fed independence, drawing parallels to Marriner Eccles' 1948 stand against President Truman. Danielle calls Powell's move "patriotic" while warning we're "flirting with a liquidity crisis" as non-banks have become "too big to fail." She discusses the challenges Kevin Warsh will face as incoming chair, argues the Fed has failed its employment mandate, and explains how the economy cannot withstand persistently high oil prices and interest rates simultaneously.Links: Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction - Fed day with Danielle DiMartino Booth0:32 Powell's last time at the podium - Takeaways1:48 The Eccles parallel - Fed independence fight in 19482:39 Why Danielle is "less fed up" today2:57 The Powell move - Staying on as governor4:20 Risk of being perceived as shadow Fed chair?5:39 Triple hawkish dissent 6:16 Unprecedented dissent levels - Early resistance signs?7:57 Powell's legacy and how it changed today9:22 The Eccles legacy - Established as governor, not chair10:27 Powell's move was "patriotic" - Protecting Fed independence11:27 What is your read on Kevin Warsh?12:48 Liquidity crises take precedence - The Mike Tyson test13:40 0% chance of rate cut - Should they have cut?14:47 Fed has failed its employment mandate16:48 Oil prices and disinflationary demand destruction17:17 Bankruptcies accelerating, layoffs increasing18:01 Home prices falling - Thinking about inflation wrong19:16 The valley of death at $100k income level19:32 Higher for longer means more pain20:34 How does building consensus at the Fed work?22:04 Flirting with a liquidity crisis - How big is the risk?22:38 Pummeling the housing market23:26 More sellers than buyers - Biggest disconnect ever24:09 Investment boom or panic stockpiling ahead of tariffs?25:27 Economy can't withstand high oil and high rates28:07 Base case for rest of 2026 - Fed cuts30:43 If you could advise Kevin Warsh, what would you say?32:17 Bloomberg chat - hot takes with institutional investors33:34 What's keeping you up at night and making you hopeful?35:37 Non-banks now too big to fail37:06 Systemic risk from non-banking system37:25 Mother's Day tribute - Legacy and three graduating kids38:03 Closing thoughts

TD Ameritrade Network
Danielle DiMartino Both on Jerome Powell's Legacy & Fed's Midterm Impact

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2026 12:00


Danielle DiMartino Booth believes the fireworks surrounding Wednesday's interest rate decision will fall solely on current Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his legacy. She makes the case Powell will stay on the FOMC and talks about the expectations she sees from the committee with Powell still acting as a governor. With midterm elections looming, Danielle talks about how the Fed's decision adds pressure to a Trump administration seeking lower gas prices amid a war with Iran.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Grant Williams Podcast
The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 120 - Danielle DiMartino Booth

The Grant Williams Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2026 30:00


In the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, I welcome Danielle DiMartino Booth back for a wide-ranging conversation about a macro backdrop that feels increasingly detached from the official story. Danielle explains why consumer sentiment—particularly rising expectations of unemployment—is flashing a far darker signal than headline labour data suggests, and why she believes the average household is under far more pressure than policymakers are willing to admit. From hidden weakness in the job market to the spread of gambling, speculation, and buy now, pay later behaviour, our discussion paints a picture of an economy held together by coping mechanisms, financial stress, and a deepening sense that something important is missing beneath the surface. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory, Shifts Happen and The Hundred Year Pivot, is available to Copper and Silver Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.  Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… 

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Rich Valdés America At Night
Scott MacFarlane on the CBS Exit, Danielle DiMartino Booth on AI and Financial Risks, Judd Isbell on the Mount Vernon Trail

Rich Valdés America At Night

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2026 119:46


On America at Night with McGraw Milhaven, Scott MacFarlane, chief Washington correspondent and anchor for MeidasTouch, joined the program to discuss the latest media headlines and the high-profile CBS exit, and what it means for the changing landscape of political journalism in Washington. Next, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, analyzed growing concerns around artificial intelligence and financial markets, following warnings tied to an Anthropic AI model scare that prompted Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to raise alarms with major bank CEOs. Finally, Judd Isbell, President of the Friends of the Mount Vernon Trail, joined the show for the national parks segment to discuss the history and significance of the Mount Vernon Trail, a scenic route along the Potomac River that connects George Washington's Mount Vernon estate with Washington, D.C., and remains one of the region's most popular outdoor recreation destinations. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Julia La Roche Show
#358 Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed Knows the Data Is Broken, Private Credit Is Contagious, and Nobody Is Fighting for American Families

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2026 33:02


Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of QI Research and former Fed insider, joins Julia to sound the alarm on a U.S. economy she believes is being misread, misreported, and mismanaged. From growing divisions inside the FOMC to deeply troubling labor market signals — including an ISM non-manufacturing employment reading of 45.2 last seen during the Great Recession — Danielle lays out why she believes the Fed is falling dangerously behind. She breaks down the private credit contagion risk, why only 25% of unemployed Americans are collecting benefits, and how student loan repayments, rising gas prices, and tightening lending standards are quietly crushing working families. With a midterm election on the horizon and consumer sentiment crumbling across all income levels, Danielle argues the stakes have never been higher — and that someone needs to start speaking up for everyday Americans.Links: Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 Welcome back Danielle DiMartino Booth 01:00 FOMC minutes: Even more division inside the Fed 4:47 – What happens if no Fed chair gets confirmed? 7:19 – Is the Fed ignoring everyday Americans? 8:51 – ISM data parallels to 2001, 2007, and the Great Recession 10:53 – Job insecurity hitting ALL income levels 15:26 – Stagflation or just stagnation? Danielle breaks it down 16:38 – Are we headed for a policy error? Private credit warning 18:18 – The 10-year Treasury, Iran, and the liquidity threat 20:48 – Private credit contagion: What's not getting enough attention 23:16 – Buy Now, Pay Later and gig workers getting crushed 25:42 – Only 25% of unemployed Americans are collecting benefits 27:23 – The Fed knows the data is broken — so why won't they say it? 28:35 – April FOMC: Rate cuts off the table? 29:34 – Danielle on who she's fighting for 30:31 – What investors don't understand about the real cost of living 31:58 – Parting thoughts: Spread kindness

TD Ameritrade Network
Danielle DiMartino Booth on Fed's "Difficult Position" & Stagflation Concerns

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2026 8:27


Danielle DiMartino Booth believes the FOMC may be more worried about inflation than investors believe. She points to February's core PCE waving warnings flags. However, a jump in jobless claims isn't doing any favors for the Fed's dual mandate, which Danielle also sees losing slack. As for Friday's CPI number, she expects a hot print but shares concerns it will show early signs of stagflation. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

WTFinance
Corporate Defaults are Spiraling Out of Control as Tariffs & Energy Crisis Hits | Danielle DiMartino Booth

WTFinance

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 3, 2026 28:33


Interview recorded - 30th of March, 2026On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Danielle DiMartino Booth. Danielle is the CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research. She is the author of Fed Up and a global thought leader in monetary policy, economics and finance with 9 years experience at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.During our conversation we spoke about the current issues in the economy, energy crisis, how businesses can't catch a break with tariffs, energy costs and higher rates, FED reaction, liquidity shift, Private Credit and impact on markets. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction2:46 - Overview of economy4:49 - Comparing to prior energy crisis?6:29 - Where is the leverage?7:15 - Companies struggling8:56 - Unemployment11:26 - FED reaction14:53- What should FED do?18:13 - Kevin Warsh nomination19:26 - Liquidity shift22:15 - Private Credit Concerns25:20 - Impact on markets27:06 - One message to takeaway?DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally.Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets.Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.Danielle DiMartino Booth - Website - https://quillintelligence.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothYouTube - @DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Here's The Latest Outlook From Lacy Hunt, Ed Dowd, Lyn Alden + A Dozen Other Experts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 24, 2026 20:58


BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceWell, the Spring Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I'm delighted to say the event was a real success.That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 11-hour day.Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Ed Dowd, Luke Gromen, Michael Howell, Melody Wright, Michael Oliver, Stephanie Pomboy & Grant Williams, Brent Johnson, Darius Dale, Matt Taibbi, Judy Shelton & Danielle DiMartino Booth, Andy Schectman, Rick Rule, David Hay, Lyn Alden, New Harbor Financial and Jonathan Wellum. And Jeff Clark provided a bonus video focused on gold & silver mining stocks.For those of you who didn't attend, I thought you'd enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights.You can also lock in your Early Bird ticket price to our Fall 2026 online conference at 0% inflation at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/fall#recession #investing #marketcorrection_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

The Disciplined Investor
TDI Podcast: Reality Bites (#962)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 1, 2026 57:00


Markets not thrilled with tech Mortgage rates dip below 6% Feb ends with a dud Looking at the Fed's next move with our guest – Danielle DiMartino Booth – the “Fed watcher” NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE'S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) As Founder & CEO of Quill Intelligence, Danielle DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how markets intelligence is conceived and delivered. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), has a column on Bloomberg View, is a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio: she holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (NVDA), (META), (ORCL), (GOOG), (AMZN), (MSFT), (IBM)

The Julia La Roche Show
#341 Danielle DiMartino Booth: Americans' Financial Wellbeing Just Hit a Record Low — And the Fed Is Discussing a Hike?

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 19, 2026 31:07


In this episode, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of QI Research and former Fed insider, calls the Federal Reserve "borderline cruel" after FOMC minutes revealed several participants wanted rate hikes despite Americans' financial wellbeing hitting record lows. Danielle argues we're already in a labor market recession that "won't be acknowledged for years but is undeniable to the people who are in it," pointing to unprecedented data: 12 consecutive months of negative payroll revisions, 419,000 net job losses when excluding education and health services, seasonal adjustment anomalies adding 140,000 phantom jobs in January, and unemployment survey response rates at record lows making the data unreliable. She highlights that Truflation shows inflation at just 0.7% while the Fed maintains hawkish rhetoric, that 52% of college graduates are underemployed with another graduating class arriving in two months, and that AI is destroying entry-level jobs in finance, accounting, and architecture without any retraining programs in place. Danielle warns about the societal implications of Gen Z and millennials (52.5% of voters) increasingly using buy now pay later for basic necessities like medical bills and utilities, while others use it for vacations with no intention of paying it back. She questions whether Kevin Warsh will hold to his stated principles about shrinking the Fed's balance sheet or cave to market pressure like Powell did in 2018, and reveals that Fed governor Michael Barr is already hinting at expanded social safety nets or UBI to address AI-driven unemployment. Danielle refuses to "gaslight Americans" about the economy and emphasizes the urgent need to think about retraining workers and the societal implications of mass youth unemployment.Links: Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 Welcome back Danielle DiMartino Booth 0:52 FOMC minutes: Several participants want rate hikes 1:46 Americans' financial wellbeing at record lows — the disconnect 3:31 Truflation at 0.7% — what the Fed is missing 5:27 What's the Fed missing on the labor side? 7:06 Labor recession in plain sight — concentrated in non-cyclical sectors8:28 Buy now pay later for medical and dental bills 9:32 Gen Z and millennials: Taking on debt with no intention to pay 11:00 A revolt against the system? 12:15 The Fed didn't listen to your open letters 13:40 Rate hike talk while small business borrowing costs are "prohibitively tight" 14:59 Fed being sanguine on credit delinquencies 16:14 What would be the responsible thing for the Fed to do? 17:12 "It's getting personal" — Americans worried about losing their own jobs 18:02 52% of college graduates are underemployed 18:42 Is this AI or just an excuse? 20:08 What happens in 2028 if the pendulum swings? 21:32 Kevin Warsh — will he stick to his principles? 24:01 Is the Fed too beholden to the market? 25:15 Unemployment survey response rate at record lows 27:23 Base case for the economy — labor market recession continues 28:56 What keeps you up at night and what makes you hopeful?

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
As The Rich Start To Struggle, Will They Pull Down The Economy? | Danielle DiMartino Booth

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 4, 2026 47:59


We've all come to accept the US is now a K-shaped economy.The rich are at the top, living large off of their asset appreciation.And everyone else - the vast majority -- is in the bottom leg. Feeling increasingly left behind.But the rich have been spending so amply that they've kept the averages for retail spending -- which drives the majority of our GDP -- in "healthy" territory.But what will happen if the rich start to stumble?Analyst Danielle DiMartino Booth thinks we are seeing signs they're starting to. And she's concerned they could pull down the economy along with them.To find out why, and what the repercussion will be, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #deflation #economy _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Coin Stories
Danielle DiMartino Booth: Gold to $10,000+? Trump's War with Fed's Powell as Cracks in Monetary Order Widen

Coin Stories

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 2, 2026 41:12


Natalie Brunell and former Federal Reserve insider Danielle DiMartino Booth break down the escalating battle between Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, the explosion in gold prices, and why Bitcoin is still trading like a "risk-on" asset instead of digital gold. We discuss:  Why the Fed–White House showdown could change monetary policy Will Powell be a "shadow Fed Chair" beside Kevin Warsh? Was gold's rally a bubble or the start of a new era  Why Danielle calls Bitcoin the ultimate gauge of risk appetite The labor-market crisis facing young Americans Returning to a gold standard?  Danielle is CEO and Chief Strategy is QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com  ---- Order Natalie's new book "Bitcoin is For Everyone," a simple introduction to Bitcoin and what's broken in our current financial system: https://amzn.to/3WzFzfU  --- Coin Stories is powered by Gemini. Invest as you spend with the Gemini Credit Card. Sign up today to earn a $200 intro Bitcoin bonus. The Gemini Credit Card is issued by WebBank. See website for rates & fees. Learn more at https://www.gemini.com/natalie  ---- Ledn is the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. Get .25% off your first loan, learn more at https://www.Ledn.io/natalie  ---- Earn passive Bitcoin income with industry-leading uptime, renewable energy, ideal climate, expert support, and one month of free hosting when you join Abundant Mines at https://www.abundantmines.com/natalie  ---- Natalie's Bitcoin Product Partners: For easy, low-cost, instant Bitcoin payments, I use Speed Lightning Wallet. Play Bitcoin trivia and win up to 1 million sats! Download and use promo code COINSTORIES10 for 5,000 free sats: https://www.speed.app/coinstories  Block's Bitkey Cold Storage Wallet was named to TIME's prestigious Best Inventions of 2024 in the category of Privacy & Security. Get 20% off using code STORIES at https://bitkey.world   Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/natalie  With BitcoinIRA, you can invest in bitcoin 24/7 inside a tax-advantaged IRA. Choose a Traditional IRA to defer taxes, or a Roth IRA for tax-free withdrawals later. Take control of your future with BitcoinIRA: https://www.bitcoinira.com/natalie  Natalie's Upcoming Events: Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput=  Strategy World 2026 in Las Vegas on February 23-26th - Use code HODL for discounted tickets: https://www.strategysoftware.com/world26    Extra Services to Consider: Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie   Ditch your fiat health insurance like I did four years ago! Join me at CrowdHealth: www.joincrowdhealth.com/natalie  ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing

The Julia La Roche Show
#333 Danielle DiMartino Booth on Powell's Policy Errors, Why Unemployment Is Headed to 6%, and Gold Going Meme

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2026 34:23


Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, breaks down why the Fed's decision to pause was both premature and political, arguing Powell is "committing policy errors to quietly dig at the administration." She explains why the Fed should have cut today — and why she believes we need 100 basis points of cuts given deteriorating labor market data that Powell is choosing to ignore. Danielle unpacks the DOJ subpoena drama, revealing that betting markets dropped Powell's odds of leaving by August from 90% to 60% after the charges, and she believes he's now "enjoying the cat and mouse" with Trump. She revisits her open letter calling for the FOMC to elect Chris Waller as chair, explains why Rick Rieder would be "inviting the fox into the hen house," and shares her bold prediction: unemployment will have a 6 handle within a year. Plus, she discusses the hidden stress signals in Buy Now Pay Later data and why gold is behaving like a "meme stock." Links: Danielle's open letter: https://quillintelligence.com/2025/12/10/the-weekly-quill-open-letter-2/Danielle's open letter part 2: https://quillintelligence.com/2026/01/22/the-weekly-quill-open-letter-ii-public/Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 Welcome 1:05 The Powell subpoena: Danielle's reaction 3:35 Betting markets: Powell leaving odds dropped 4:51 Powell is the cat, Trump is the mouse 5:54 Why Powell is being political by NOT cutting rates 6:35 How Powell moved the goalposts on rate probability 7:32 The contradiction: Integrity vs. ignoring the American people 8:33 Financial conditions are easy because of passive investing, not the Fed 9:19 The shutdown has affected data integrity 10:05 Outlook for the year: Rate cuts coming? 10:50 Conference Board labor differential — recession signal 12:06 Should he have cut today? Yes. We need 100 basis points of cuts12:52 Open Letter Part Two: Why the FOMC should have elected Chris Waller 15:03 Rick Rieder: Inviting the fox into the hen house? 16:34 Who will be the next Fed chair? 17:35 What we don't understand about Fed chair transitions 19:04 The questions reporters should have asked Powell 21:29 Hidden signal: Google searches for "file unemployment" keep rising22:28 Buy Now Pay Later for dental bills and utilities — the stress is real25:41 Gen Z risk appetite and the environment that shapes investors 26:45 Gold is a meme now 29:01 DoubleLine roundtable: Long utilities, short financials 31:14 Commercial real estate capitulation and bankruptcies 32:14 Bold prediction: Unemployment will have a 6 handle by next year33:20 Parting thoughts: Don't forget about your neighbors 33:45 Closing

TD Ameritrade Network
'Nervousness' Ahead of FOMC Decision, Why Waller Could Replace Powell

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 28, 2026 7:10


Danielle DiMartino Booth visits the NYSE set to preview the upcoming rate decision from the Federal Reserve. She admits "nervousness" surrounding the Fed as the narrative around replacing Jerome Powell has taken center stage. Danielle says Christopher Waller might be the name to watch to replace Powell for his mostly apolitical positioning. She adds her commentary on the importance of an independent central bank in the U.S. and doesn't believe a rate cut is happening in the January meeting. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Real Estate Guys Radio Show - Real Estate Investing Education for Effective Action
2025 Economic Insights and a Glimpse into What Comes Next

The Real Estate Guys Radio Show - Real Estate Investing Education for Effective Action

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 29, 2025 51:10


As one year ends and another begins, it's the perfect moment to take stock and consider the forces shaping the economy … and your investments in the year ahead. In this episode recorded live at the New Orleans Investment Conference, Robert Helms sits down with Lawrence Lepard, Danielle DiMartino-Booth, and Rick Rule to get their perspective on where things stand as 2026 gets underway, and what may be coming next. From the future of money to gold and silver, bitcoin, real estate, and beyond, these interviews dig into the forces that could shape your investments in the year ahead. Settle in and listen for interesting insights, fresh angles, and investor-focused ideas you won't find in the daily headlines. Since 1997, The Real Estate Guys™ radio show features real estate investing ideas, strategies, interviews, and all kinds of valuable resources. Visit the Special Reports Library under Resources at RealEstateGuysRadio.com

The Julia La Roche Show
#315 Danielle DiMartino Booth Calls Out Fed Powell's Lies In Open Letter To The FOMC - 'Somebody Needed to Say Bullshit, And I Said Bullshit'

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 34:56


Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins Julia La Roche to break down the FOMC and discuss her open letter manifesto to the committee written on behalf of every hard-working American. This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXJuliaLinks:    Danielle's open letter: https://quillintelligence.com/2025/12/10/the-weekly-quill-open-letter-2/Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth  Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 Intro and welcome back Danielle 00:33 Reaction to FOMC 01:36 QE? 02:40 Markets are overreacting 02:59 Danielle's open letter to The Federal Open Market Committee06:57 Kevin Hassett 08:45 How to preserve Fed independence 09:20 Every Hardworking American Who Wakes Up in the Morning Asking Themselves What Went Wrong10:42 The Fed's conflicting mandates 12:25 The unprecedented level of dissent 15:04 Powell was passionately against QE back in 201217:21 The Fed could exert its independence 18:50 Markets think it's QE, but is it? 20:09 Powell 21:29 Fed policy is eviscerating the middle class 25:10 Labor market dynamics 30:12 Biggest fear - civil war without honest monetary policy 32:45 Call to action

The Julia La Roche Show
#308 Danielle DiMartino Booth: Fed Risks Repeating December 2018 Liquidity Crisis With Rate Hold

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 20, 2025 35:42


Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins Julia La Roche to break down the FOMC minutes. Danielle discusses the deep divisions within the Federal Reserve and their controversial decision-making heading into December. She argues the Fed is willfully ignoring abundant alternative data sources like ADP's weekly reports while claiming to fly blind without official jobs data—data that won't be released until after their December meeting due to administrative delays. Booth warns that if the Fed doesn't cut rates in December, they risk triggering a liquidity crisis similar to December 2018, when Powell's hawkish stance caused a market bloodbath on Christmas Eve and forced him to reverse course. This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXJuliaLinks:    Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth  Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction & post-FOMC reaction0:27 - Deep divisions within the Federal Reserve1:47 - Fed's tone deafness on inflation concerns2:05 - Politics at the Federal Open Market Committee3:32 - Alternative data sources: ADP & jobless claims5:38 - The irony: administration's self-inflicted rate cut problem6:51 - ADP data: what Powell said vs. what the Fed does7:32 - Market reaction & Nvidia's impact8:13 - Should the Fed cut rates in December?9:39 - Powell's contacts: the willful blindness problem10:12 - Fed independence vs. politicization11:28 - The damage of playing politics with monetary policy13:51 - Treasury yields & market concerns17:38 - Debt servicing crisis & political implications26:54 - Private credit & private equity discussions27:30 - Liquidity crisis warning: emergency rate cut risk28:44 - Question for Powell?29:27 - Why an emergency cut may be necessary31:52 - Closing thoughts

SF Live
YOU Need To Hear This Before December 1! Danielle DiMartino Booth

SF Live

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 11, 2025 15:49


Danielle DiMartino Booth exposes how the Fed is playing politics with monetary policy. From the government shutdown to a frozen housing market and an auto credit crunch, the system is cracking.#gold #federalreserve #qe ---------------------Thank you to our sponsor: First Majestic SilverMake sure to pay them a visit: https://www.firstmajestic.com/---------------------

SF Live
YOU Need To Hear This Before December 1! Danielle DiMartino Booth

SF Live

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 6, 2025 15:49


Danielle DiMartino Booth exposes how the Fed is playing politics with monetary policy. From the government shutdown to a frozen housing market and an auto credit crunch, the system is cracking.#gold #federalreserve #qe ---------------------Thank you to our sponsor: First Majestic SilverMake sure to pay them a visit: https://www.firstmajestic.com/---------------------

The Julia La Roche Show
#300 Danielle DiMartino Booth: "Something Else Is Going On" at the Fed - December Rate Cut in Doubt Despite Weakening Labor Data and Worker Struggles

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 37:53


Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins Julia La Roche to break down the October 2024 FOMC meeting and Fed Chair Powell's surprisingly hawkish stance despite mounting evidence of labor market weakness. Danielle questions whether the Fed is ignoring its dual mandate as major companies like UPS, GM, Meta, and Amazon announce tens of thousands of layoffs. She discusses the dissents from both Stephen Miran and Jeffrey Schmid, explores potential political dynamics at play within the Fed, and examines growing stress in private credit markets, commercial real estate, and rising corporate bankruptcies. Danielle also highlights alternative labor market indicators like state-by-state data and WARN notices that paint a concerning picture of the economy, while emphasizing the importance of compassion for struggling American families heading into the holiday season.This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXJuliaThis show is brought to you by Monetary Metals.Learn more about Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Links:    Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth  Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/07352116550:00 Introduction & episode 300 celebration1:37 FOMC meeting reaction - Powell's hawkish tone2:33 What's really going on at the Fed?3:48 The two dissenters - Miran & Schmid5:39 Market reaction to Powell's comments6:17 The Fed's labor mandate - are they ignoring it?7:16 Major layoff announcements - UPS, GM, Meta, Amazon8:00 Is the Fed sticking it to the administration?9:55 Fed balance sheet & mortgage-backed securities16:19 Private credit market concerns27:04 Corporate bankruptcies rising28:18 October bankruptcy data - highest post-pandemic29:22 Interest rate impact on corporate refinancing30:05 What would you ask Powell? State-by-state data31:29 WARN notices & real labor market data32:19 Layoffs aren't free - cost to companies33:10 ADP weekly data as labor market indicator33:26 Message of compassion during the holidays34:29 Closing & where to find Danielle's work35:09 QI Research & Daily Feather newsletter

The Disciplined Investor
TDI Podcast: DiMartino Booth Says What?(#944)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2025 59:45


It's time to tend to tend to the garden – a little maintenance for the portfolio October does what it usually does Targets raised, analysts are trying to keep up – even if earnings miss And our guest - Danielle DiMartino Booth - the "Fed watcher" NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE'S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) As Founder & CEO of Quill Intelligence, Danielle DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how markets intelligence is conceived and delivered. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), has a column on Bloomberg View, is a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio: she holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AMZN), (GLD), (BTCUSD), (ORCL), (GOOG), (SMR), (CEG), (GEV), (AMD)

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Here's The Latest Outlook From Lacy Hunt, Lyn Alden, James Grant + A Dozen Other Experts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2025 27:24


BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceWell, the Fall Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I'm delighted to say the event was a real success.That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 11-hour day.Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Stephanie Pomboy & Grant Williams, Michael Howell, Darius Dale, Sven Henrich, Andy Schectman, James Grant, Danielle DiMartino Booth, Judy Shelton, Michael Every, David Hay, Lyn Alden, Melody Wright, Craig Wichner, New Harbor Financial and Jonathan Wellum. And Jeff Clark provided a bonus video focused on gold & silver mining stocks.For those of you who didn't attend, I thought you'd enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights.You can also lock in your Early Bird ticket price to our Spring 2026 online conference at 0% inflation at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/2026#recession #investing #marketcorrection_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

The Julia La Roche Show
#293 Danielle DiMartino Booth: Fed Quietly Reclassified $300B In Loans With No Comment - Is This Systemic?

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 41:30


Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins Julia La Roche in-studio following the Fed minutes. In this episode, DiMartino Booth highlights how the Fed quietly reclassified nearly $300 billion in loans on a Friday afternoon with no comment, shifting them from stodgy commercial categories into the "black box" of non-depository financial institution (NDFI) lending now totaling $1.7 trillion. She draws parallels to Enron as First Brands bankruptcy exposes what appeared to be an auto supplier was actually a financial using off-balance sheet vehicles, with subprime delinquency rates likely double reported figures. Elsewhere, Booth warns youth unemployment hit 1988 levels but from lack of demand not supply as companies blindly adopt AI without hiring, leaving the Class of 2025 worse off than 2024. She argues gold has become a "meme stock" with Wall Street firms' price targets signaling contrarian risk, while the government shutdown leaves the Fed "flying blind" without official data for their October 29th meeting.Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Links: Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/07352116550:00 Hawkish Fed minutes - knife in Miran's back1:44 Fed insider on Miran controversy2:48 Did Fed want September cut?5:08 Shutdown means Fed flying blind October6:04 Gold and NASDAQ flying - unusual7:03 Gold as meme stock - contrarian warning9:50 NDFI loans - $1.7 trillion black box12:21 $250B loan reclassification bombshell13:14 Fed reclassified quietly on Friday14:17 First brands like Enron revelation16:21 Off balance sheet financing returns18:25 Subprime delinquencies likely double20:15 Is this systemic? Fed doesn't know21:28 Fed won't move without official data22:22 Challenger data horror at Fed24:52 Charts need gray recession bars25:12 Fed put born October 198727:32 Youth unemployment demand crisis30:02 AI adoption without hiring32:24 Parents worry kids made redundant33:20 First five years determine career35:48 Not sending kids to college37:11 Put faces on repo statistics38:47 Markets masking K economy39:01 Lowercase i economy concept

TD Ameritrade Network
Market Overtime: How Fed Rate Cut Impacts Economy & Investors

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2025 51:00


In the wake of the FOMC decision to cut interest rates by 25bps, Nicole Petallides interviews two market minds with their takeaways from the central bank's decision. First, Dan Niles provides his macro commentary before turning his trading attention to the state of the A.I. trade. Then, former Fed official Danielle DiMartino Booth makes the case for a 50bps cut coming in October. Don't miss this hour-long edition of Market Overtime on Schwab Network.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Financial Sense(R) Newshour
From Inflation Prints to Job Losses – Danielle DiMartino Booth on the Fed's Risky Blind Spots

Financial Sense(R) Newshour

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2025 25:17


Sep 20, 2025 – Danielle DiMartino Booth joins Financial Sense's Jim Puplava to unpack the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut, revealing why Fed independence is under pressure and how flawed economic data masks true risks...

The Julia La Roche Show
#287 Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed Chose Independence Over The Economy Even As A Double-Dip Recession Unfolds

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2025 34:02


Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins Julia La Roche in-studio following the September FOMC. DiMartino Booth argues the Fed "chose independence over economy" with its 25bp cut, as Waller and Bowman sacrificed potential Fed chair positions by not dissenting for larger cuts. She presents compelling evidence the US has created zero jobs since April in the core private sector and calls a double-dip recession starting Q2 2024. DiMartino Booth's thesis is that "the Fed put is dead" - if the Fed goes to zero bound again, the 40% of stocks owned by 70+ year-olds will be forced to sell, stress-testing passive flows for the first time in history. She advocates reforming the Fed's structure, eliminating the conflicting dual mandate, and warns that unknown leverage in private markets represents the new systemic fault line.Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Links: Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/07352116550:00 Welcome and introduction - Danielle in studio post-FOMC0:36 Fed chose independence over economy - 25bp cut reaction2:32 Waller's non-dissent - sacrificing Fed chair shot for integrity3:46 US created zero jobs since April in core private sector5:43 Monetary Metals ad read6:43 Double dip recession call - started Q2 20248:53 Jobs typo in North Carolina data - continuing claims actually rose11:14 Top 10% now account for 49% of consumption12:21 Double dip recession explained - historical 1980-81 parallel14:31 1.4 million full-time jobs lost since January16:08 CEOs investing in AI to cut workers, not add jobs17:20 Fed's dual mandate doesn't make sense - inherently conflicting20:16 The Fed put is dead - new book thesis23:02 Zero bound means boomers sell stocks - passive never stress tested27:24 Fed structure needs reform - too many PhDs, need practitioners29:01 Lehman anniversary - Fed violated law with MBS purchases31:42 Private markets are new fault line - leverage unknown32:32 Final thoughts - give peace a chance, listen to each other

Commodity Culture
Risk of 'Major Correction' for Markets as Jobs Numbers Tank: Danielle DiMartino Booth

Commodity Culture

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2025 30:34


Danielle DiMartino Booth thinks that record passive inflows, momentum, and speculation are the main factors currently driving the stock market and while in the short term, the party could continue, eventually reality will rear its ugly head and deliver a long overdue reckoning for the Mag 7 and inflation tech stocks. Danielle also discusses the rising crisis she sees in the housing market, gold's role as a hedge in our uncertain economic times, why the Fed is cutting rates in the face of rising inflation, and much more.Get Your Commodity Culture Merch: https://commodity-culture-shop.fourthwall.comThe Daily Feather: https://dimartinobooth.substack.comQI Research: https://quillintelligence.com'Fed Up' on Audible: https://www.audible.com/pd/Fed-Up-Audiobook/B01NAT4A2V?source_code=ASSGB149080119000H&share_location=pdpFollow Jesse Day on X: https://x.com/jessebdayCommodity Culture on Youtube: https://youtube.com/c/CommodityCulture

WTFinance
The FED is Desperate To Prevent A Crisis with Danielle DiMartino Booth

WTFinance

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2025 24:56


Interview recorded - 16th of September, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Danielle DiMartino Booth. She is the author of Fed Up and a global thought leader in monetary policy, economics and finance with 9 years experience at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.During our conversation we spoke about the FOMC meeting, Lisa Cook firing, employment revision, whether this will continue, recession, bond market, stock market impact and more. Do you agree?0:00 - Introduction1:14 - FOMC meeting1:57 - Lisa Cook firing5:24 - Powell dovish cut7:42 - Employment revisions10:25 - Poor data11:40 - Job market was not strong13:34 - Foreign born vs domestic employment14:28 - Recession?18:45 - Bond market20:18 - No recessions?21:50 - Stock market23:03 - One message to takeaway?DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyse the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally.Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets.Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.Danielle DiMartino Booth - Website - https://quillintelligence.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothYouTube - @DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Investing Experts
Historic day at the Fed with Danielle DiMartino Booth

Investing Experts

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2025 24:10


Fed expert Danielle DiMartino Booth on the Fed's historic day (0:25). Rate cuts and economic despair (7:55). Focused on Fed balance sheet, dot plot (11:00). Powell's uncomfortable position (14:35). Stagflation extremely real (15:55). Get dividends wherever you can (20:10).Show Notes:Powell In Jackson Hole, A Little Too LateU.S. retail sales keep up the pace in August in stronger-than-expected printTrump Proposes Shift To Semiannual EarningsQI ResearchEpisode transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock and ETF quant scores, and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
The Fed Is Starting To Fear Recession | Danielle DiMartino Booth

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 65:43


Suddenly, the Federal Reserve is filled with more drama and curveballs than a World Series tiebreaker.The betting markets are abuzz debating who President Trump will replace current Chair Jerome Powell with. A surprise resignation from Fed governor and FOMC voting member Adriana Kugler has added Trump loyalist Stephen Mirran into the Inner Circle. And another FOMC voting member, governor Lisa Cook is now in the crosshairs due to a purported mortgage fraud scandal, and is at risk of being replaced.On top of all that, Jerome Powell gave a significant indication in his speech at Jackson Hole last week that rate cuts are indeed coming ahead, likely starting next month -- due to rising concerns at the Fed that the economy, labor force and housing market are weaker than it previously appreciated.To make sense of all this for us and the likely implications, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research LLC and author of the book "Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America"Subscribe to Danielle on Substack at http://dimartinobooth.substack.com/LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#federalreserve #recession #interestrates _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Investing Experts
Powell in Jackson Hole, a little too late - Danielle DiMartino Booth

Investing Experts

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2025 20:44


Markets celebrate Powell's Jackson Hole commentary; Fed expert Danielle DiMartino Booth thinks he's a little too late (0:20). Markets will be attentive to additional Fed statements (2:00). Bond market reactions (4:05). Tariffs - what's really happening? (4:55) Similarities to Covid era (7:40). Housing very much a buyer's market (14:30). The interesting US dollar (16:30).Show Notes:Dow surges to record high as Wall Street rallies on Powell's Jackson Hole remarksAmerica's Game Of ThronesJobs, Oil, Powell, Precious Metals, USDCleveland Fed Pres. Hammack: Inflation is too high and trending higherEpisode transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions

The Ross Kaminsky Show
08-22-25 *INTERVIEW* Jimmy with Danielle DiMartino Booth CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research

The Ross Kaminsky Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2025 15:35 Transcription Available


TD Ameritrade Network
Booth's FOMC Big Picture: Meeting Minutes, Jackson Hole & Future Fed Chair

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2025 6:24


Danielle DiMartino Booth gives investors a big picture perspective on the FOMC ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium. She's hoping Wednesday's FOMC meeting minutes from July will add color behind the double dissent to leaving interest rates unchanged. At Jackson Hole, Danielle sees Jerome Powell tempered expectations for a 50bps cut in September and instead move toward commentary for 25bps. As for the Fed's future, she talks about the nomination process and how frontrunners can gain traction in the Senate's voting process.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Sprott Money News
Former Fed Insider on Recession & Hyperinflation Risk. Bullish for Gold? | Danielle DiMartino Booth

Sprott Money News

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2025 21:43


Is the U.S. already in a recession? Former Federal Reserve insider Danielle DiMartino Booth says net job destruction began in Q2 2024, meaning the economy has been contracting for over a year despite what the Fed is telling you. In this Ask the Expert episode, Danielle joins Craig Hemke to reveal the truth about the labor market, the 24 downward payroll revisions in the last 30 months, and the real headcount data that points to ongoing economic weakness. She discusses the political pressure on Jerome Powell, the growing calls for a 50 basis point rate cut in September 2025, and why dissent at the FOMC is at historic highs. Danielle also warns about the dangers of increased Fed–Treasury cooperation, the risk of hyperinflation, potential threats to the U.S. dollar, and the possibility of market turmoil if retirees are forced to liquidate stocks. Most importantly for investors, she shares why these conditions are bullish for gold in a time of economic and political uncertainty.

Coin Stories
Danielle DiMartino Booth: Middle Class Crisis and Why the Fed Can't Fix the "Silent Recession"

Coin Stories

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 46:03


In this episode of Coin Stories, Natalie Brunell talks with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Chief Strategist of QI Research and former Fed advisor, breaking down what's really going on with the U.S. economy. Topics discussed: The "silent recession" crushing the Middle Class Why people earning $150k feel poor The truth about recent economy data points, tariff impacts and inflation Fiscal dominance vs monetary policy What will happen if the Fed lowers interest rates in September?  Has Danielle changed her perspective on Bitcoin? Danielle is the author of "FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve Is Bad for America." Subscribe to QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com. Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on X at https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth  ---- Coin Stories is powered by Gemini. Invest as you spend with the Gemini Credit Card. Sign up today to earn a $200 intro Bitcoin bonus. The Gemini Credit Card is issued by WebBank. See website for rates & fees. 10% back at golf courses is available until 9/30/2025 on up to $250 in spend per month. Learn more at https://www.gemini.com/natalie  ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitwise. Bitwise has over $10B in client assets, 32 investment products, and a team of 100+ employees across the U.S. and Europe, all solely focused on Bitcoin and digital assets since 2017. Learn more at https://www.bitwiseinvestments.com  ---- Ledn is the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. Learn more at https://www.Ledn.io/natalie  ---- Natalie's Bitcoin Product and Event Links: Earn 2-4% back in Bitcoin on all your purchases with the orange Gemini Bitcoin credit card: https://www.gemini.com/natalie   Secure your Bitcoin with collaborative custody and set up your inheritance plan with Casa: https://www.casa.io/natalie  Block's Bitkey Cold Storage Wallet was named to TIME's prestigious Best Inventions of 2024 in the category of Privacy & Security. Get 20% off using code STORIES at https://bitkey.world   Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/natalie  For easy, low-cost, instant Bitcoin payments, I use Speed Lightning Wallet. Get 5000 sats when you download using this link and promo code COINSTORIES10: https://www.speed.app/sweepstakes-promocode/  Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput=  Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie   Your Bitcoin oasis awaits at Camp Nakamoto: A retreat for Bitcoiners, by Bitcoiners. Code HODL for discounted passes: https://massadoptionbtc.ticketspice.com/camp-nakamoto      ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing

The Julia La Roche Show
#277 Danielle DiMartino Booth: What the historic Fed dissent really exposed about Powell's leadership crisis and why Trump's relentless pressure campaign could trigger an Armageddon scenario

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 24:14


Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins Julia La Roche in-studio on Fed day to analyze the historic FOMC meeting featuring the first double dissent since 1993, arguing it could have been a triple dissent based on softened statement language. She criticizes Powell's dismissive handling of the dissenters and Trump's public attacks on the Fed chair, warning of an "Armageddon scenario" if Trump continues his pressure campaign. DiMartino Booth presents data showing the US entered recession in Q2 2024, with job losses, rising underemployment, and deflation in key sectors like hotels and airlines. She argues Powell could secure his legacy by admitting he's wrong about the job market being "solid" when data shows jobs are increasingly hard to get.Sponsors:  Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Kalshi: ⁠https://kalshi.com/julia  Links:    Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth  Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCYPBim2ARV9Yrqci0ljokFA  Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/07352116550:00 Welcome and introduction - FOMC day reaction1:05 Historic double dissent - first since 19933:04 History of Fed dissents - why they disappeared after 19966:48 Powell's dismissive handling of dissenters8:26 Why dissents should be healthy for Fed decision-making9:23 Trump's embarrassing public beratement of Powell10:52 The Armageddon scenario - what happens if Trump pushes too hard13:13 Will Powell stay? Hell would freeze over before he leaves15:00 Powell's path to securing his Fed legacy16:40 Jobs hard to get rises to highest of cycle - 18.9%17:26 US economy entered recession in Q2 202419:13 Deflation signals - hotel revenues and airline travel down20:25 Core PCE market-based pricing is negative 0.3%21:23 Gig economy collapse - Uber drivers earning 60% less22:41 Biggest risk - Fed's tone deafness to job market reality

Investing Experts
Danielle DiMartino Booth on jobs, oil, Powell, precious metals, USD

Investing Experts

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2025 23:39


Economic expert Danielle DiMartino Booth explains why perspective is key and how markets have been looking for an excuse to rally (0:50). Whatever you do, don't lose your job! (4:00) Unreliability of some economic data (6:00). Powell, inflation and a weak housing market (7:30). U.S. dollar counter-intuitiveness (14:30). Encouraging precious metals (18:00). Oil supply and demand (19:00). Bitcoin: more counter-intuitiveness (21:40).Show Notes:Danielle DiMartino Booth On America's Game Of ThronesShould We Trust Economic Data?Quill IntelligenceEpisode transcriptFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions

TD Ameritrade Network
Booth: Fed Needs to Focus on Employment Mandate

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2025 8:36


Danielle DiMartino Booth says "everything is pointing to weakening labor" which is heightening pressure on jobseekers. She discusses Fed Governor Waller's recent dovish commentary suggesting a rate cut could come as soon as July. Danielle maps out possible next steps for the Federal Reserve, and believes Chairman Jerome Powell should help move the focus to its employment mandate instead of the inflation one.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Julia La Roche Show
#267 Danielle DiMartino Booth & George Goncalves: Fed Is 'Behind the Curve' as We're Already in Recession and There's More Than One Economy in America

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 19, 2025 48:32


Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, and George Goncalves, Head of U.S. Macro Strategy at MUFG, join Julia La Roche in-studio on FOMC day, where they break down the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged, the state of the economy, and the interest rate outlook.Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Kalshi: ⁠https://kalshi.com/julia Links: https://www.mufgresearch.com/ George's Twitter/X: https://x.com/bondstrategist QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCYPBim2ARV9Yrqci0ljokFA Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/073521165500:00 - Danielle: Fed "willfully blind" to economic reality 02:52 - Record 5.3% of Americans working multiple jobs 05:00 - Real unemployment is 4.5-4.6%, not reported 4.2% 08:07 - Debate: Is the Fed being political? 10:00 - George: "More than one economy" - rates hurting different groups 16:28 - Net worth declined via both stocks and real estate in Q1 21:57 - Interest expense is fastest growing budget item 26:06 - Next Fed Chair prediction: Waller, Warsh, Bessent front-runners 32:12 - Corporate bankruptcies highest since 2010 38:49 - Danielle: US entered recession Q1 2024, back in one now 40:26 - Top 10% of earners drive 49.7% of consumption 43:52 - What keeps them up at night: False sense of security

WTFinance
Recession Inevitable? Danielle DiMartino Booth's Data Warning!

WTFinance

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2025 25:55


Interview recorded - 5th of June, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Danielle DiMartino Booth. Danielle is the CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research. She is the author of Fed Up and a global thought leader in monetary policy, economics and finance with 9 years experience at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.During our conversation we spoke about Danielle's thoughts on the economy, the FED stalling elections, the bond market, BOJ increasing global yields, recession comparison and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction2:07 - Danielle's economic outlook3:22- FED stalling6:37 - Worried about Covid repeat?7:50 - Cut before election?10:07 - End of Powell?12:13 - Bond market?13:41 - BOJ increases impacting global yields14:27 - Dollar depreciation16:02- US in a recession?19:16 - Global economy20:18 - Recession comparison21:31 - Risk-off?22:46 - Retirees selling?24:05 - One message to takeaway?DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally.Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets.Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.Danielle DiMartino Booth - Website - https://quillintelligence.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothYouTube - @DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

ITM Trading Podcast
US Layoffs Spike: Powell Needs ‘Big Boy Pants' Urges Ex-Fed Insider

ITM Trading Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2025 14:27


“It's time for Jerome Powell to put on his big boy pants and say, no, inflation is not the bigger problem,” says Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research. In today's interview with Daniela Cambone, Booth argues that the Fed should prioritize employment, as true inflation is low and declining—especially in housing—while job losses continue and consumer purchasing power weakens. “Companies are saying in no uncertain terms, they don't have pricing power because U.S. consumers don't have purchasing power." On Trump's tax bill, she aligns with Elon Musk, warning that it will increase the deficit and national debt. “This gravy train was supposed to end at the end of 2025… you're not stimulating the US economy. You're simply preventing a negative shock to the system,” she concludes. Register for Rick Rule Symposium 2025 conference this July in Boca Raton, Florida, at https://registration.allintheloop.net/register/event/rick-rule-symposium-2025-ccha?via=DaniC

Palisade Radio
Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed is Derelict in it’s Duty to the American People

Palisade Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 29, 2025 49:05


Tom Bodrovics once again engages in an interesting conversation with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, former Fed Insider, and author of the book "Fed Up." The conversation focuses on the ongoing recession that likely began in Q1 2024. Danielle highlights key data points, such as job losses starting in Q2 2024, which confirm the recession's onset. Despite this clarity, official channels are reluctant to acknowledge the recession due to political considerations. Danielle emphasizes the severe impact of student loan forbearance and credit constraints on US households, noting that rising defaults will further strain consumer spending. This situation is compounded by a lack of clear policies to replace past stimulus measures, leaving the economy vulnerable. Danielle shifts into the commercial real estate sector, with banks facing growing pressure to recognize losses. She critiques the Federal Reserve for ignoring critical data, such as shelter inflation and job losses, in favor of focusing on tariffs' impact on goods prices. This stance, she argues, is politically motivated and disregards the Fed's own historical lessons. Investors are advised to prioritize safety over riskier assets, given the high returns on cash and the uncertain economic outlook. Danielle concludes by urging empathy and support for communities navigating these challenging times, emphasizing the importance of looking out for one another during economic hardship. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:10 - Recession Recognition?6:05 - Recession & Neg. GDP9:06 - Politics & Power Games11:28 - Democrats & Leadership14:16 - Global Recession Outlook16:10 - Student Loan Problems20:10 - Com. Real Estate Bubble23:48 - Banks & Neg. Home Values26:38 - Q.E. Tariffs & Inflation30:30 - Wages, Housing, & Retail36:30 - Powell & Coming Shocks40:59 - Fed Ignoring The Data42:05 - Safe Investor Plays?47:10 - Concluding Thoughts48:10 - Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/DiMartinoBoothSubstack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Website: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a Research Revolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette, where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Media-Whipped Slowdown Fears Could Trigger Recession | Danielle DiMartino Booth

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2025 69:43


Last year, fears of recession faded from the headlines as the "no landing" narrative won out.But the disruption brought by the new Trump administration -- especially around global trade -- has brought recession concerns back to the forefront.The Administration says it isn't worried. That we're merely passing through a transitory "detox" period before new trade deals, tax cuts and de-regulation kick in to turbo-charge economic growth.Others fear a more pronounced slowdown is in the cards.So which outlook is more likely?To find out, we have the good fortune to speak today with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research LLC and author of the book "Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America"WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#recession #bearmarket #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

The Julia La Roche Show
#256 Danielle DiMartino Booth On The Hidden Economic Indicators Flashing Red

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2025 43:56


Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 256 for an FOMC day interview.Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia DiMartino Booth argues that Fed monetary policy remains overly restrictive while the labor market is "anything but solid." She points to concerning indicators including record credit card minimum payments, rising long-term unemployment, and declining full-time jobs. DiMartino Booth makes the case for immediate rate cuts to a floor of 2%, warning the economy now operates "without a safety net" after successive waves of debt-fueled growth. Looking forward, she expresses concern about geopolitical risks while finding hope in the strong work ethic of the younger generation.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Links: QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 - Opening commentary on Powell and monetary policy0:23 - Introduction and FOMC day discussion1:39 - Arguments that monetary policy is too restrictive2:49 - Labor market indicators and private sector layoffs4:13 - Credit card minimum payments and student loan impacts6:02 - Signs of financial stress in refinancing behaviors8:10 - Bankruptcy trends and distressed debt exchanges9:57 - Fed's dual mandate debate12:05 - Critique of Powell's selective history on Fed actions13:57 - Job market reality vs. Powell's "solid" characterization15:48 - Self-employment and full-time job losses17:50 - Sponsor segment19:08 - Labor market "scarring" and long-term unemployment21:12 - Federal debt approaching $38 trillion22:03 - Analysis of long-term debt cycles since Greenspan24:16 - Student loan wage garnishment concerns28:36 - Fed rate cut recommendations30:10 - Policy pushing money from real economy to financial assets33:00 - Tariffs discussion - why they're deflationary not inflationary36:38 - Real-world impacts of import costs38:26 - What keeps Danielle up at night - geopolitical concerns39:53 - What gives her hope - younger generation's work ethic42:17 - Information about Qi Research and closing thoughts

On The Tape
Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed's Impossible Dilemma

On The Tape

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2025 27:20


Guy is joined by Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins to discuss Federal Reserve policies and their impacts on the U.S. eco nomy. The conversation starts with the current political tension surrounding Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and the administration's frustrations with him. Danielle highlights her disappointment with the Fed's handling of the economy, citing missed revenue targets as an indicator of pre-existing economic stress before the ongoing trade war. The discussion explores the inefficacy of tariffs, the complex dynamics of ten-year yields, and the significant issues of rising bankruptcy rates. Danielle also touches on the shifting trends in the bond and gold markets, the currency exchange rate crisis, and the increasing importance of liquidity in financial markets. With a call for stronger leadership and a critique of current economic policies, this episode offers a thorough analysis of the broader economic landscape and the challenges facing the Federal Reserve. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Here's The Latest Outlook From Lacy Hunt, Luke Gromen, Lyn Alden + A Dozen Other Experts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2025 17:47


Well, the Spring Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I'm delighted to say the event was a real success.That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 10-hour day.Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Luke Gromen, Michael Howell, Darius Dale, Sven Henrich, Brent Johnson, Thomas Hoenig, Danielle DiMartino Booth, Mike Green, Andy Schectman, John Thorndike (GM), Louis-Vincent Gave, Steven Bavaria, Lyn Alden, Melody Wright, New Harbor Financial and Jonathan Wellum. And Jeff Clark provided a bonus video focused on gold & silver mining stocks.For those of you who didn't attend, I thought you'd enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights.

The Disciplined Investor
TDI Podcast: The Tariff Kid (#907)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2025 58:24


The Tariff Kid - Tariff on Tariff off! US Manufacturing turns the corner. A quick check on earnings and some thoughts on the economy. And our guest - Danielle DiMartino Booth - the "Fed watcher" NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE'S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) As Founder & CEO of Quill Intelligence, Danielle DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how markets intelligence is conceived and delivered. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), has a column on Bloomberg View, is a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio: she holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AMZN), (GLD), (BTCUSD), (ORCL), (GOOG), (SMR), CEG), (GEV), (AMD)