Podcast appearances and mentions of michael lebowitz

The Federalist Radio Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2026 50:08

It's Fed Day, and markets are waiting for answers. It's also Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts takes your questions from our YouTube Live Chat window. He'll break down the biggest economic, investing, and market developments of the past week, including the Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting, interest rates, inflation, rising Treasury yields, oil prices, AI spending concerns, and the recent pressure on stocks. 0:00 INTRO 0:55 - Fed Day: Will They or Won't They? 3:11 - Market Breaks Below 50-DMA 4:12 - Reflexive Rally not surprising, post-Fed 4:30 - Oil Prices Putting Pressure on Economy 9:02 - What's the Expected Market Reaction for FOMC Rate Decision? 12:54 - Are there clear tech support levels for S&P? 15:57 - Does it make sense to owns TIPS in an IRA in a state with high income tax? 16:47 - Lance's Roth Thesis 19:14 - Inflation feeds into everything; isn't it tame for now? (What the Fed SHOULD do) 22:37 - Credit Card Spending and After Tax Wage Growth 25:31 - Do Markets Compound? (no) 30:03 - Gold Behavior and Rate Hikes 31:53 - Too Bad Warsh Didn't Introduce Truflation (link to Oliver Rust interview is below) 32:49 - 90% Equities, 10% Cash: Time to Buy Bonds? 34:07 - Nick Timaros Chart--pricing in two rate hikes this year? 34:39 - Selling Equities to Lock in Bonds? 38:08 (Gamblers Anonymous Thursdays w Michael Lebowitz) 39:52 - Raise Rate and Lower Credit Card Rates? (Doesn't work that way) 40:15 - Do we only have a few years left to make money? (yes) (chart) 44:34 - Will Payment of Interest on National Debt be an Issue? (no) 46:19 - Where might the top of the Ten Year Treasury be? 47:54 - Why can't you cap credit card rates lower? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's Before the Bell report, "Markets Break the 50-DMA: What Happens Next?" https://youtu.be/GNBpgdhBG9U ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/a_oJzPPbdLQ -------- Watch our previous show, "10 Money Moves to Make Before Year End" https://youtube.com/live/cSHoYh0sR70 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ "Is Inflation Data Getting it Wrong? (Oliver Rust Interview) https://www.youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8?si=lSvziR7PKnwWx1Fp --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #TechnologyStocks #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #TaxPlanning #RothConversion #YearEndPlanning

ai google tips register inflation lock bonds won federal reserve treasury cio money moves equities national debt chief investment strategist fed day lance roberts michael lebowitz

Is America Any Safer 25 Years After 9/11?

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2026 46:01 Transcription Available

On this edition of The Federalist Radio Hour, former national security attorney and war crimes prosecutor Michael Lebowitz joins Federalist Senior Elections Correspondent Matt Kittle to discuss their recollections of the 9/11 terrorist attacks and the war that followed, how Al-Qaeda and other terrorist groups have regrouped over the last 25 years, and what America needs to do to fix its vulnerabilities and prevent future attacks.You can read Lebowitz' new book, Second Wave: Inside Al Qaeda's Post-9/11 Attack Plan and America's Secret Effort to Stop It, here.The FDRLST Media Foundation is a nonprofit, and we depend entirely on our listeners and readers — not corporations. If you value fearless, independent journalism, please consider a tax-deductible gift today at TheFederalist.com/donate. Your support keeps us going.

america iran september 11th terrorism safer national security never forget al qaeda cyberattacks stop it lebowitz michael lebowitz thefederalist

Federalist Radio Hour: Is America Any Safer 25 Years After 9/11?

The Ricochet Audio Network Superfeed

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2026 46:01

On this edition of The Federalist Radio Hour, former national security attorney and war crimes prosecutor Michael Lebowitz joins Federalist Senior Elections Correspondent Matt Kittle to discuss their recollections of the 9/11 terrorist attacks and the war that followed, how Al-Qaeda and other terrorist groups have regrouped over the last 25 years, and what America needs […]

america september 11th safer al qaeda michael lebowitz federalist radio hour

Inside Al-Qaeda's "Second Wave": the follow up Plan after 9/11

The Pacific War Channel Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2026 58:04

In this pivotal episode of Echoes of War, host Craig sits down with Michael Lebowitz, a senior attorney in the DOJ's National Security Division and decorated combat veteran of the 101st Airborne Division, to discuss the haunting reality of post-9/11 terror plots targeting America. Lebowitz is the author of "Second Wave: Inside Al-Qaeda's Post-9/11 Attack Plan and America's Secret Effort to Stop It," a groundbreaking book that exposes the strategic blueprint Al-Qaeda developed immediately following the September 11 attacks. This is not speculative—this is documented intelligence about what Al-Qaeda operatives actually planned for the American homeland. The conversation reveals how Al-Qaeda didn't view 9/11 as their final blow. Instead, they meticulously planned sleeper agents strategically positioned throughout American cities, designed to execute a coordinated wave of devastating attacks aimed at inflicting catastrophic casualties. Beyond manpower, these operatives worked to acquire weapons of mass destruction through sophisticated smuggling networks, including efforts to obtain nuclear and radiological materials. Lebowitz traces how events in 1998 fundamentally shaped these post-9/11 ambitions and influenced the trajectory of their planning. He explores how the 9/11 mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed (KSM) coordinated with logistics operatives like Saifullah Paracha, whose critical role in Al-Qaeda's weapons procurement networks brought these nightmarish scenarios perilously close to execution. Perhaps most disturbing is the detailed examination of Osama bin Laden's "America's Hiroshima" vision—a plan requiring a minimum of 10,000 American casualties. The episode also reveals the story of Muhammad Atta meeting the potential "20th Hijacker" Muhammad Al-Katani in Orlando, and how intelligence failures and miscommunication nearly allowed catastrophic follow-up attacks on East Coast infrastructure, gas stations, and soft targets. This episode pulls back the classified curtain on counterterrorism efforts and declassified DOJ intelligence. Whether you're interested in 9/11 history, terrorism studies, national security, or counterterrorism operations, this conversation with a DOJ insider and 101st Airborne veteran provides rare, firsthand insight into how intelligence agencies tracked, investigated, and neutralized threats before they could materialize on American soil. Don't forget I have a Youtube Membership: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCbp8JMZizR4zak9wpM3Fvrw/join or my Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/pacificwarchannel where you can get exclusive content like "What if Japan invaded the USSR during WW2?"

Bonds To Reverse Soon As Yields Approach 'Line In The Sand'? Michael Lebowitz

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2026 56:22

LOCK IN YOUR EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL ONLINE CONFERENCE (OCT 17TH) at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceThe yield on the US Treasury 10-year bond is now dangerously near 5%That's the "line in the sand" portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz sees that, once hit, the economy and financial markets will start to buckle, and the Treasury and (likely) the Fed feel forced to step in an intervene to bring yields down.So, contrary to the current swirl of narratives projecting that yields will keep rising into 2027, Michael concludes it's more likely that they will peak soon and instead trend downwards for the next year or two.For all things bond-related, watch this video.#bonds #bondyields #interestrates _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

loss investing sand reverse fed foreign bonds copyright treasury securities yields us treasury exchange commission sec line' michael lebowitz

9-10-26 What Will Inflation Data Do for the Fed

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2026 41:24

With CPI and PPI inflation reports in focus, markets are looking for clues about the Fed's next move on interest rates. Will cooler inflation give policymakers more room to cut rates, or could hotter data force the Fed to remain cautious? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what the latest inflation numbers could mean for Fed policy, interest rates, Treasury yields, and financial markets, as investors try to determine whether inflation is cooling enough to change the Fed's outlook. 0:00 INTRO 0:49 - PPI, CPI Preview 2:11 - Oil As Factor in Inflation 4:36 - Markets Continue to Do What They Do 6:53 - Volatility Warms Up 10:03 - PPI, CPI - What's Driving the Numbers 12:56 - Inflation vs Deflation 17:21 - We Have a Relatively Weak Economy 18:51 - Will the Fed Hike Rates Twice this Year? 20:04 - Walsh, Bessent, & Signals to the Market 24:58 - Go Back and Watch Truflation Interview w Oliver Rust: https://www.youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8?si=irUSKOwd9oEDb2hM 25:56 - Scott Bessent "I am the House" 30:39 - Ten Year Treasury Auction Results 32:38 - S&P 500 Trend Index 34:52 - In the End-phase of Secular Bullish Trend 37:37 - Moving Into a More Normal Rate Environment Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/y1GoUw9wURw -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What Should Investors Do Now?" https://youtube.com/live/cbnYs0Eoc0E?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Markets Test Key Support," https://youtu.be/t6Hl9kH52gw ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Hike Or Hold? Debating The Coming Fed Decision" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hike-or-hold-debating-the-coming-fed-decision/ "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Inflation #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CPI #FedPolicy

google house driving register inflation fed treasury cio walsh signals ppi chief investment strategist inflation data lance roberts senior investment advisor michael lebowitz

CRABBY: A 9/11 Prosecutor on the Attack That Almost Followed.

Garage Logic

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2026 71:07

Former DOJ national-security prosecutor and Guantanamo war-crimes attorney Michael Lebowitz joins The Crabby Coffee Podcast to talk 9/11, the second wave of attacks that almost followed, and terrorist vs. counterterrorist tactics. Dive deep in his new book Second Wave: Inside Al Qaeda's Post-9/11 Attack Plan and America's Secret Effort to Stop It. A prosecutor's view of the first strike, the plot meant to come after, and whether we're ready for the one that hasn't happened yet.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

america dive attack september 11th prosecutors guantanamo stop it crabby michael lebowitz

9-3-26 Is the Stock Market Expensive or Cheap?

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2026 44:14

Is the stock market dangerously expensive, or are investors overlooking strong future earnings growth? The S&P 500's Shiller CAPE ratio has reached 41, yet the PEG ratio, which incorporates expected earnings growth, is signaling one of the cheapest market valuations in decades. Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts examine why these two popular valuation measures are sending completely opposite signals. The key difference comes down to expectations: CAPE relies on historical earnings, while PEG depends heavily on Wall Street forecasts for future growth. We look at the reliability of those earnings forecasts, the extraordinary concentration of expected growth among a handful of large technology companies, the role of AI investment, and whether today's valuations already price in too much optimism. 0:00 INTRO 1:04 - Jobs, JOLTS, & Economic Number Previews 5:01 - Markets are Stuck 11:04 - Vacation & Weekend Plans 12:23 - The Fed: What Will Warsh Do With Rates? 16:12 - The Truth About "Fed Buy Backs" 17:57 - Inflation Expectations are not Reason to Raise Rates 21:29 - No Guidance from the Fed? 23:48 - Valuations - What We Know vs What We Think We Know 28:48 - It all Comes Down to AI 32:12 - The Issue with PEG Ratios 36:12 - Dealing with Earnings Estimates Revisions 37:55 - How AI is Like the Railroads 39:34 -The Use of AI is Growing Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/OOZIdB7YSsw -------- Watch our previous show, "What Should You Expect From a Financial Planner?" https://youtube.com/live/dRd4fGgwrkc ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Stuck in Neutral," https://youtu.be/bTDPi28yJcg ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Valuation: Expensive CAPE Or Cheap PEG?" hhttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuation-expensive-cape-or-cheap-peg/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #ValueStocks #SeptemberMarkets #StockMarket #MarketValuation #Investing #SP500 #ArtificialIntelligence

ai google college jobs vacation wall street register markets expensive reason cheap fed stock market cio neutral cape financial planners smart ways truth about chief investment strategist jolts inflation expectations no guidance lance roberts senior investment advisor michael lebowitz

9-3-26 Is the Stock Market Expensive or Cheap?

A Better Peace: The War Room Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2026 44:15

Is the stock market dangerously expensive, or are investors overlooking strong future earnings growth? The S&P 500's Shiller CAPE ratio has reached 41, yet the PEG ratio, which incorporates expected earnings growth, is signaling one of the cheapest market valuations in decades. Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts examine why these two popular valuation measures are sending completely opposite signals. The key difference comes down to expectations: CAPE relies on historical earnings, while PEG depends heavily on Wall Street forecasts for future growth. We look at the reliability of those earnings forecasts, the extraordinary concentration of expected growth among a handful of large technology companies, the role of AI investment, and whether today's valuations already price in too much optimism. 0:00 INTRO 1:04 - Jobs, JOLTS, & Economic Number Previews 5:01 - Markets are Stuck 11:04 - Vacation & Weekend Plans 12:23 - The Fed: What Will Warsh Do With Rates? 16:12 - The Truth About "Fed Buy Backs" 17:57 - Inflation Expectations are not Reason to Raise Rates 21:29 - No Guidance from the Fed? 23:48 - Valuations - What We Know vs What We Think We Know 28:48 - It all Comes Down to AI 32:12 - The Issue with PEG Ratios 36:12 - Dealing with Earnings Estimates Revisions 37:55 - How AI is Like the Railroads 39:34 -The Use of AI is Growing Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/OOZIdB7YSsw -------- Watch our previous show, "What Should You Expect From a Financial Planner?" https://youtube.com/live/dRd4fGgwrkc ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Stuck in Neutral," https://youtu.be/bTDPi28yJcg ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Valuation: Expensive CAPE Or Cheap PEG?" hhttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuation-expensive-cape-or-cheap-peg/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #ValueStocks #SeptemberMarkets #StockMarket #MarketValuation #Investing #SP500 #ArtificialIntelligence

ai google college jobs stuck wall street register markets expensive reason cheap fed stock market cio neutral cape railroads financial planners s p smart ways chief investment strategist jolts inflation expectations no guidance lance roberts senior investment advisor michael lebowitz

SMUGGLING, SUPERMAX, AND THE SECOND WAVE: POST-9/11

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 1, 2026 34:46

How did an ordinary businessman get tied to Al-Qaeda's post-9/11 plans? Former war crimes prosecutor Michael Lebowitz joins host Ron Granieri to discuss his book, “Second Wave”, detailing this true story and the FBI, CIA, and military turf wars.

fbi september 11th cia al qaeda smuggling second wave supermax michael lebowitz ron granieri

8-27-26 Nvidia Says the AI Boom Is Just Getting Started

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2026 46:01

Nvidia delivered another blockbuster quarter, reporting record revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% from a year ago, as demand for AI infrastructure continues to accelerate. But the bigger story may be what comes next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia's latest earnings, its extraordinary growth outlook, Blackwell and Vera Rubin demand, the massive buildout in AI infrastructure, and Nvidia's growing financial involvement across the AI ecosystem. We also examine the risks, including rising memory costs, margin pressure, enormous capital requirements, and questions about whether today's AI spending boom can deliver adequate returns. 0:00 INTRO 1:00 - Economic Recap & Multiplier Effect 6:31 - Market Push from NASDAQ 11:45 - Passwords, Needles & Rosso's toys 14:30 - NVIDIA Reports - Markets Respond 21:36 - How Ancillary Business Benefit from NVIDIA 24:03 - NVIDIA Stock Performance 25:32 - The Heat Map Game 27:25 - Portfolio Positioning & Nat Gas play 30:37 - The Economics of Gilligan's Island 35:33 - Productivity Factors of AI 38:04 - How Much Return on AI Investment will there be 39:57 - How Will AI be Transformative? 42:42 - We're All Investing in AI Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lGSWXLw9dPY ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fueling AI Data Centers: Behind The Meter Solutions- Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fueling-ai-data-centers-behind-the-meter-solutions-part-1/ "Behind The Meter Solutions Investment Guide- Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/behind-the-meter-solutions-investment-guide-part-2/ "Productivity On Gilligan's Island: Episode 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/productivity-on-gilligans-island-episode-2/ "Bitcoin Up 22%: Has The Halving Cycle Begun?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bitcoin-up-22-has-the-halving-cycle-begun/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "NASDAQ Technicals Are Turning Higher," https://youtu.be/33KMo6HoezY ------- Watch our previous show, "Are Today's Interest Rates Really That High?" https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NASDAQ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #Nvidia #NVDA #NvidiaEarnings #AIStocks

8-27-26 Nvidia Says the AI Boom Is Just Getting Started

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2026 46:02

Nvidia delivered another blockbuster quarter, reporting record revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% from a year ago, as demand for AI infrastructure continues to accelerate. But the bigger story may be what comes next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia's latest earnings, its extraordinary growth outlook, Blackwell and Vera Rubin demand, the massive buildout in AI infrastructure, and Nvidia's growing financial involvement across the AI ecosystem. We also examine the risks, including rising memory costs, margin pressure, enormous capital requirements, and questions about whether today's AI spending boom can deliver adequate returns. 0:00 INTRO 1:00 - Economic Recap & Multiplier Effect 6:31 - Market Push from NASDAQ 11:45 - Passwords, Needles & Rosso's toys 14:30 - NVIDIA Reports - Markets Respond 21:36 - How Ancillary Business Benefit from NVIDIA 24:03 - NVIDIA Stock Performance 25:32 - The Heat Map Game 27:25 - Portfolio Positioning & Nat Gas play 30:37 - The Economics of Gilligan's Island 35:33 - Productivity Factors of AI 38:04 - How Much Return on AI Investment will there be 39:57 - How Will AI be Transformative? 42:42 - We're All Investing in AI Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lGSWXLw9dPY ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fueling AI Data Centers: Behind The Meter Solutions- Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fueling-ai-data-centers-behind-the-meter-solutions-part-1/ "Behind The Meter Solutions Investment Guide- Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/behind-the-meter-solutions-investment-guide-part-2/ "Productivity On Gilligan's Island: Episode 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/productivity-on-gilligans-island-episode-2/ "Bitcoin Up 22%: Has The Halving Cycle Begun?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bitcoin-up-22-has-the-halving-cycle-begun/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "NASDAQ Technicals Are Turning Higher," https://youtu.be/33KMo6HoezY ------- Watch our previous show, "Are Today's Interest Rates Really That High?" https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NASDAQ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #Nvidia #NVDA #NvidiaEarnings #AIStocks

ai google college island economics register getting started nvidia cio nasdaq transformative passwords blackwell portfolio managers smart ways ai boom chief investment strategist vera rubin lance roberts michael lebowitz

8-20-26 Is Treasury Bailing Out the Bond Market

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2026 43:46

Is the Treasury stepping in to rescue the bond market, or is that the wrong way to interpret its purchases of long-term Treasuries? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz examine why Treasury purchases are not necessarily the same as Federal Reserve quantitative easing, how issuing Treasury debt to fund an asset swap differs from creating new money, and what this could mean for bond yields, inflation, and investors. We'll also look at the changing relationship between Treasury bonds and gold. 0:00 INTRO 0:50 - Treasury Action & FOMC Meeting Minutes 4:19 - Market Rally on Debt Buy Back 10:03 - Are High Oil Prices Deflationary? 11:13 - Debt & GDP 13:53 - Federal Debt as % of GDP 17:51 - Selling Treasuries is Not a Problem 18:31 - What Happens if Gov't Stops Spending 20:55 - The Treasury Buy Back Plan 24:59 - The History of Buy Back Operations 28:12 - The Basis Trade 31:52 - The Term Premium Model 36:09 - What Would Cause Basis Trade to Unwind? 39:18 - When the Gov't Cuts Spending Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Treasury Buybacks Spark a Market Bounce," https://youtu.be/pY-lAMlQo7M -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/9qhjXZbxkxs ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The US Treasury Doubles Down On Buybacks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-us-treasury-doubles-down-on-buybacks/ -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Are Rising Rates a Market Warning?" https://youtu.be/j6w6g_kXQrU?si=zGfqusgrjAIu1jdN ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TreasuryYields #MarketVolatility #Investing #TreasuryBonds #BondMarket #GovernmentSpending #InterestRates

history google debt register gov federal reserve treasury cio portfolio managers unwind bond market treasuries bailing chief investment strategist market rally federal debt lance roberts michael lebowitz

8-20-26 Is Treasury Bailing Out the Bond Market?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2026 43:47

Is the Treasury stepping in to rescue the bond market, or is that the wrong way to interpret its purchases of long-term Treasuries? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz examine why Treasury purchases are not necessarily the same as Federal Reserve quantitative easing, how issuing Treasury debt to fund an asset swap differs from creating new money, and what this could mean for bond yields, inflation, and investors. We'll also look at the changing relationship between Treasury bonds and gold. 0:00 INTRO 0:50 - Treasury Action & FOMC Meeting Minutes 4:19 - Market Rally on Debt Buy Back 10:03 - Are High Oil Prices Deflationary? 11:13 - Debt & GDP 13:53 - Federal Debt as % of GDP 17:51 - Selling Treasuries is Not a Problem 18:31 - What Happens if Gov't Stops Spending 20:55 - The Treasury Buy Back Plan 24:59 - The History of Buy Back Operations 28:12 - The Basis Trade 31:52 - The Term Premium Model 36:09 - What Would Cause Basis Trade to Unwind? 39:18 - When the Gov't Cuts Spending Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Treasury Buybacks Spark a Market Bounce," https://youtu.be/pY-lAMlQo7M -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/9qhjXZbxkxs ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The US Treasury Doubles Down On Buybacks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-us-treasury-doubles-down-on-buybacks/ -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Are Rising Rates a Market Warning?" https://youtu.be/j6w6g_kXQrU?si=zGfqusgrjAIu1jdN ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TreasuryYields #MarketVolatility #Investing #TreasuryBonds #BondMarket #GovernmentSpending #InterestRates

history google register gdp gov federal reserve treasury cio portfolio managers unwind bond market treasuries bailing chief investment strategist market rally federal debt lance roberts michael lebowitz

Michael Lebowitz on the Campbell Conversations

Campbell Conversations

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2026 27:53

Michael Lebowitz talks about his book, "Second Wave: Inside Al Qaeda's Post-9/11 Attack Plan and America's Secret Effort to Stop It".

america conversations campbell stop it michael lebowitz

260. Al Qaeda's Second Wave Plot: A Deep Dive into Post-9/11 Investigations with Michael Lebowitz

SPYCRAFT 101

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 10, 2026 86:34

Today, Justin is joined by Michael Lebowitz. Michael served as a paratrooper in the Army's 101st Airborne Division and later as a judge advocate in the US Army Reserve, currently at the rank of lieutenant colonel. As a civilian, he's worked as a trial attorney in private practice and as a prosecutor for the Department of Justice's National Security Division. Michael is here to discuss the investigations, arrests, and trials of terror suspects following the 9/11 attacks, which he wrote about in his new book, available this week from Diversion Books. Connect with Mike: lebowitzbooks.com LinkedIn: Mike Lebowitz Check out the book, Second Wave: Inside Al Qaeda's Post-9/11 Attack Plan and America's Secret Effort to Stop It, here. https://a.co/d/0buuFYIK Connect with Spycraft 101: Get Justin's latest book, Murder, Intrigue, and Conspiracy: Stories from the Cold War and Beyond, here. spycraft101.com IG: @spycraft101 Shop: shop.spycraft101.com Substack: spycraft101.substack.com Patreon: Spycraft 101 Find Justin's first book, Spyshots: Volume One, here. Check out Justin's second book, Covert Arms, here. Download the free eBook, The Clandestine Operative's Sidearm of Choice, here. Kruschiki The best surplus military goods delivered right to your door. Use code SPYCRAFT101 for 10% off! https://kruschiki.com/ Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

america murder army september 11th deep dive ebooks cold war plot investigations al qaeda intrigue simplecast second wave airborne divisions stop it us army reserve spycraft national security division diversion books sidearm michael lebowitz

False Breakout? Or Is A Wave Of New Market Highs Ahead? | Michael Lebowitz

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2026 84:05

Stocks have recently ripped to new highs, after spending months in a trading range.Is this a sustainable breakout?Or a false one, as we saw back in June?Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz discuss the odds, as well as the new surprise payroll numbers, his outlook for bond yields, as well as his firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#stockrally #jobs #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

loss investing false wave foreign stocks copyright breakout highs securities newmarket exchange commission sec market recap michael lebowitz

HR3 AI Scams, Crisis Messaging, and the High-Stakes Game in Colorado. (8-5-26)

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2026 54:52

Join the Conversation at 303-477-5600 or text 307-200-8222. Monday-Friday, 3 pm-6 pm MT. https://RushToReason.com HOUR 1 What's Your Gut Trying to Tell You About Stress and Time? Why can some people master their time while others are overwhelmed? Discover surprising ways your habits, routines, and even your gut health shape more than just your productivity. John Rush busts the myth of one-size-fits-all advice and reveals how your natural rhythm, priorities, and daily choices might secretly steer your mood, energy, and stress. Then Dr. Julie Gatza dives into the secrets your digestive system is dying to tell you. Are stress and modern habits quietly sabotaging your gut, immune system, or mental clarity? Find out what your daily patterns reveal, which warning signs you can't afford to miss, and why ignoring small symptoms could mean bigger trouble. You'll leave armed with simple, science-backed strategies for more energy and better health. Timestamps 33:11 — Dr. Julie Gatza — https://naturessources.com HOUR 2 Can America Preserve Its Identity Before It Slips Away? John Rush and Richard Battle tackle the clash between modern pop culture and America's core values. Dive into a no-holds-barred debate about personal responsibility, truth, and the pull between honor and fame. This segment exposes the real stakes behind cultural shifts happening now. Hear a bold take on Colorado's political infighting and why party unity could make or break the next election. John's commentary pulls no punches. The hour continues with Sunny Kutcher from Young Americans Against Socialism, who joins to challenge today's narratives on capitalism, wealth, and opportunity. With unforgettable analogies—think Halloween candy and restaurant tips—this conversation will shift how you see generational debates and the true cost of lost freedoms. The hour closes with a thought-provoking caller weighing in on capitalism, communism, and the cycles shaping America's future. You'll walk away questioning what comes next—and what part you play. Timestamps 1:08 — Richard Battle — https://richardbattle.com 32:02 — Sunny Kutcher — https://yaas.org HOUR 3 AI Scams, Crisis Messaging, and the High-Stakes Game in Colorado Cybersecurity expert Michael Lebowitz reveals how AI-powered scams and deepfakes are evolving faster than ever. Get the inside scoop on real threats and walk away with simple, powerful tools to protect yourself and your family from digital deception. The conversation heats up as John tackles Colorado's razor-thin political battles and why your vote could tip the scales in critical races. Then, author John Leake exposes how fear, crisis narratives, and media manipulation can hijack public opinion and influence government policy. Discover recurring patterns in history—and how to break free from the next wave of manufactured panic. John closes with a preview of his upcoming talk with Dr. Kelly Victory and a powerful reminder: staying sharp and informed is your best weapon against manipulation—on any front. Timestamps 1:13 — Michael Lebowitz — https://lebowitzbooks.com 31:52 — John Leake — https://mindvirusesjohnleake.com/

america time game halloween ai conversations discover crisis colorado dive mt scams messaging high stakes john rush julie gatza michael lebowitz richard battle young americans against socialism

HR1 What's Your Gut Trying to Tell You About Stress and Time? (8-5-26)

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2026 57:00

Join the Conversation at 303-477-5600 or text 307-200-8222. Monday-Friday, 3 pm-6 pm MT. https://RushToReason.com HOUR 1 What's Your Gut Trying to Tell You About Stress and Time? Why can some people master their time while others are overwhelmed? Discover surprising ways your habits, routines, and even your gut health shape more than just your productivity. John Rush busts the myth of one-size-fits-all advice and reveals how your natural rhythm, priorities, and daily choices might secretly steer your mood, energy, and stress. Then Dr. Julie Gatza dives into the secrets your digestive system is dying to tell you. Are stress and modern habits quietly sabotaging your gut, immune system, or mental clarity? Find out what your daily patterns reveal, which warning signs you can't afford to miss, and why ignoring small symptoms could mean bigger trouble. You'll leave armed with simple, science-backed strategies for more energy and better health. Timestamps 33:11 — Dr. Julie Gatza — https://naturessources.com HOUR 2 Can America Preserve Its Identity Before It Slips Away? John Rush and Richard Battle tackle the clash between modern pop culture and America's core values. Dive into a no-holds-barred debate about personal responsibility, truth, and the pull between honor and fame. This segment exposes the real stakes behind cultural shifts happening now. Hear a bold take on Colorado's political infighting and why party unity could make or break the next election. John's commentary pulls no punches. The hour continues with Sunny Kutcher from Young Americans Against Socialism, who joins to challenge today's narratives on capitalism, wealth, and opportunity. With unforgettable analogies—think Halloween candy and restaurant tips—this conversation will shift how you see generational debates and the true cost of lost freedoms. The hour closes with a thought-provoking caller weighing in on capitalism, communism, and the cycles shaping America's future. You'll walk away questioning what comes next—and what part you play. Timestamps 1:08 — Richard Battle — https://richardbattle.com 32:02 — Sunny Kutcher — https://yaas.org HOUR 3 AI Scams, Crisis Messaging, and the High-Stakes Game in Colorado Cybersecurity expert Michael Lebowitz reveals how AI-powered scams and deepfakes are evolving faster than ever. Get the inside scoop on real threats and walk away with simple, powerful tools to protect yourself and your family from digital deception. The conversation heats up as John tackles Colorado's razor-thin political battles and why your vote could tip the scales in critical races. Then, author John Leake exposes how fear, crisis narratives, and media manipulation can hijack public opinion and influence government policy. Discover recurring patterns in history—and how to break free from the next wave of manufactured panic. John closes with a preview of his upcoming talk with Dr. Kelly Victory and a powerful reminder: staying sharp and informed is your best weapon against manipulation—on any front. Timestamps 1:13 — Michael Lebowitz — https://lebowitzbooks.com 31:52 — John Leake — https://mindvirusesjohnleake.com/

america time halloween ai conversations discover stress colorado dive mt john rush julie gatza michael lebowitz richard battle young americans against socialism

HR2 Can America Preserve Its Identity Before It Slips Away? (8-5-26)

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2026 54:39

Join the Conversation at 303-477-5600 or text 307-200-8222. Monday-Friday, 3 pm-6 pm MT. https://RushToReason.com HOUR 1 What's Your Gut Trying to Tell You About Stress and Time? Why can some people master their time while others are overwhelmed? Discover surprising ways your habits, routines, and even your gut health shape more than just your productivity. John Rush busts the myth of one-size-fits-all advice and reveals how your natural rhythm, priorities, and daily choices might secretly steer your mood, energy, and stress. Then Dr. Julie Gatza dives into the secrets your digestive system is dying to tell you. Are stress and modern habits quietly sabotaging your gut, immune system, or mental clarity? Find out what your daily patterns reveal, which warning signs you can't afford to miss, and why ignoring small symptoms could mean bigger trouble. You'll leave armed with simple, science-backed strategies for more energy and better health. Timestamps 33:11 — Dr. Julie Gatza — https://naturessources.com HOUR 2 Can America Preserve Its Identity Before It Slips Away? John Rush and Richard Battle tackle the clash between modern pop culture and America's core values. Dive into a no-holds-barred debate about personal responsibility, truth, and the pull between honor and fame. This segment exposes the real stakes behind cultural shifts happening now. Hear a bold take on Colorado's political infighting and why party unity could make or break the next election. John's commentary pulls no punches. The hour continues with Sunny Kutcher from Young Americans Against Socialism, who joins to challenge today's narratives on capitalism, wealth, and opportunity. With unforgettable analogies—think Halloween candy and restaurant tips—this conversation will shift how you see generational debates and the true cost of lost freedoms. The hour closes with a thought-provoking caller weighing in on capitalism, communism, and the cycles shaping America's future. You'll walk away questioning what comes next—and what part you play. Timestamps 1:08 — Richard Battle — https://richardbattle.com 32:02 — Sunny Kutcher — https://yaas.org HOUR 3 AI Scams, Crisis Messaging, and the High-Stakes Game in Colorado Cybersecurity expert Michael Lebowitz reveals how AI-powered scams and deepfakes are evolving faster than ever. Get the inside scoop on real threats and walk away with simple, powerful tools to protect yourself and your family from digital deception. The conversation heats up as John tackles Colorado's razor-thin political battles and why your vote could tip the scales in critical races. Then, author John Leake exposes how fear, crisis narratives, and media manipulation can hijack public opinion and influence government policy. Discover recurring patterns in history—and how to break free from the next wave of manufactured panic. John closes with a preview of his upcoming talk with Dr. Kelly Victory and a powerful reminder: staying sharp and informed is your best weapon against manipulation—on any front. Timestamps 1:13 — Michael Lebowitz — https://lebowitzbooks.com 31:52 — John Leake — https://mindvirusesjohnleake.com/

america time halloween ai conversations discover identity colorado dive mt preserve slips john rush julie gatza michael lebowitz richard battle young americans against socialism

8-6-26 Hidden AI Debt - Is the Risk Overblown

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2026 40:28

Has Wall Street been looking at hyperscaler debt all wrong? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine claims that the "hidden debt" of AI hyperscalers has surged to $1.65 trillion through off-balance-sheet obligations, including long-term leases and infrastructure commitments. But does that mean the AI investment thesis is breaking down? We'll separate the headlines from the fundamentals by comparing the financial strength of Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle. While hidden obligations deserve attention, not all debt carries the same risk, and not every hyperscaler should be viewed through the same lens. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - ISM Looking Good, MFG at 4-year High 4:13 - Markets Take a Rest - time to rebalance? 9:27 - Forward Returns After Breakout to New Highs 14:04 - Open Source AI vs Closed Source AI 17:18 - Who Benefits, Regardless of Source? (Who is the common denominator?) 22:31 - Hyperscaler Bear Porn - Look at the debt 24:53 - A Basket of Hyperscalers Does Not an Index Make 27:35 - What Does "Off Balance Sheet" Mean? (There Are Three Types) 28:27 - Data Center Leasing 30:32 - Joint Ventures 30:55 - Chip Leasing 35:20 - Listen to the Markets 38:34 - Busting Narratives; don't believe the hype Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HeU8LWC2rfo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Palantir Earnings Provide Hope For The Software Sector" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/palantir-earnings-provide-hope-for-the-software-sector/ "Hidden Debt: Is Our Hyperscaler Thesis Wrong – Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hidden-debt-is-our-hyperscaler-thesis-wrong-part-2/ "Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/carnage-in-hyperscaler-credit-really/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Time to Rebalance?" https://youtu.be/y7Er-AsOkFc ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Market Questions Answered" https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Technology #FinancialPlanning

amazon time ai google microsoft risk hidden debt register oracle cio alphabet basket portfolio managers rebalance overblown open source ai mfg who benefits lance roberts michael lebowitz

8-6-26 Hidden AI Debt: Is the Risk Overblown?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2026 40:29

Has Wall Street been looking at hyperscaler debt all wrong? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine claims that the "hidden debt" of AI hyperscalers has surged to $1.65 trillion through off-balance-sheet obligations, including long-term leases and infrastructure commitments. But does that mean the AI investment thesis is breaking down? We'll separate the headlines from the fundamentals by comparing the financial strength of Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle. While hidden obligations deserve attention, not all debt carries the same risk, and not every hyperscaler should be viewed through the same lens. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - ISM Looking Good, MFG at 4-year High 4:13 - Markets Take a Rest - time to rebalance? 9:27 - Forward Returns After Breakout to New Highs 14:04 - Open Source AI vs Closed Source AI 17:18 - Who Benefits, Regardless of Source? (Who is the common denominator?) 22:31 - Hyperscaler Bear Porn - Look at the debt 24:53 - A Basket of Hyperscalers Does Not an Index Make 27:35 - What Does "Off Balance Sheet" Mean? (There Are Three Types) 28:27 - Data Center Leasing 30:32 - Joint Ventures 30:55 - Chip Leasing 35:20 - Listen to the Markets 38:34 - Busting Narratives; don't believe the hype Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HeU8LWC2rfo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Palantir Earnings Provide Hope For The Software Sector" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/palantir-earnings-provide-hope-for-the-software-sector/ "Hidden Debt: Is Our Hyperscaler Thesis Wrong – Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hidden-debt-is-our-hyperscaler-thesis-wrong-part-2/ "Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/carnage-in-hyperscaler-credit-really/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Time to Rebalance?" https://youtu.be/y7Er-AsOkFc ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Market Questions Answered" https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Technology #FinancialPlanning

amazon time ai google microsoft risk hidden debt register markets oracle cio alphabet basket joint ventures portfolio managers rebalance overblown new highs chief investment strategist open source ai mfg who benefits lance roberts michael lebowitz

7-30-26 Hyperscaler Credit - Warning or Opportunity

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2026 44:03

Are investors overreacting to rising credit spreads among the largest AI hyperscalers? As companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle continue borrowing heavily to fund massive AI infrastructure, headlines are warning of "carnage" in hyperscaler credit markets. But does wider credit spread really signal financial trouble—or simply reflect unprecedented capital spending? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what credit default swaps (CDS), bond spreads, and AI capital expenditures are actually telling investors. We'll separate sensational headlines from market reality, and explore whether this is a genuine warning sign or another example of fear outrunning the fundamentals. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Markets Sell of as Margins Unwind 3:48 - What Happens When Moving Averages Are Broken 7:22 - Yields Respond to FOMC 9:42 - What Walsh Didn't Say... 14:01 - Four Things (he did say) 16:01 - No Support for Rate Hikes in Slowing Economy 21:26 - Momentum is the Market Driver (and it's unwinding) 23:24 - Why the 2% Inflation Target? 27:09 - Google vs Microsoft Earnings & Market Responses 30:25 - Hyperscalers & Credit Spreads 36:34 - Oracle is the Problem Child 37:42 - Market Price Narratives are not Realistic 39:42 - The Importance of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lsx5FwAF_mQ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/carnage-in-hyperscaler-credit-really/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens," https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco ------- Watch our previous show, "Will the Fed Meeting Matter?" https://youtube.com/live/NXuTqIZToX0 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #TechStocks #PortfolioManagement

amazon ai google opportunities microsoft register credit momentum oracle cds cio alphabet portfolio managers four things no support microsoft earnings lance roberts michael lebowitz

7-30-26 Hyperscaler Credit: Warning or Opportunity?

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2026 44:04

Are investors overreacting to rising credit spreads among the largest AI hyperscalers? As companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle continue borrowing heavily to fund massive AI infrastructure, headlines are warning of "carnage" in hyperscaler credit markets. But does wider credit spread really signal financial trouble—or simply reflect unprecedented capital spending? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what credit default swaps (CDS), bond spreads, and AI capital expenditures are actually telling investors. We'll separate sensational headlines from market reality, and explore whether this is a genuine warning sign or another example of fear outrunning the fundamentals. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Markets Sell of as Margins Unwind 3:48 - What Happens When Moving Averages Are Broken 7:22 - Yields Respond to FOMC 9:42 - What Walsh Didn't Say... 14:01 - Four Things (he did say) 16:01 - No Support for Rate Hikes in Slowing Economy 21:26 - Momentum is the Market Driver (and it's unwinding) 23:24 - Why the 2% Inflation Target? 27:09 - Google vs Microsoft Earnings & Market Responses 30:25 - Hyperscalers & Credit Spreads 36:34 - Oracle is the Problem Child 37:42 - Market Price Narratives are not Realistic 39:42 - The Importance of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lsx5FwAF_mQ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/carnage-in-hyperscaler-credit-really/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens," https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco ------- Watch our previous show, "Will the Fed Meeting Matter?" https://youtube.com/live/NXuTqIZToX0 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #TechStocks #PortfolioManagement

amazon ai google opportunities microsoft register credit momentum oracle cds realistic cio alphabet portfolio managers four things fomc problem child no support lance roberts michael lebowitz

What Bonds, Oil & Gold Are Telling Us | Michael Lebowitz

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 69:03

What are bonds telling us right now about investor confidence & expected inflation?What is oil telling us about the prospects to an end to the Iran-US war?And what are gold prices telling us now that they may have found a bottom?Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz joined us for a livestream to answer these questions as well as audience Q&A. Watch the replay here.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bonds #inflation #creditspreads _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Thoughtful-Money-Disclosure-Document-12.6.23.pdf?pid=227Thoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Thoughtful-Money-Agreement-Agreement.docx?pid=227IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

gold loss investing foreign bonds copyright securities exchange commission sec iran us michael lebowitz

7-23-26 Can SpaceX Fire on All Cylinders

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 47:06

SpaceX has transformed the commercial space industry with reusable rockets, Starlink, and ambitious plans for Starship. But after one of the largest IPOs in history, can the company continue delivering the growth investors now expect? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine whether SpaceX's fundamentals can keep pace with its valuation. We'll discuss launch cadence, Starlink's revenue potential, Starship's development timeline, competitive pressures, capital requirements, and the risks investors should consider before chasing one of the market's most talked-about stocks. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Where Do Markets Go Next? 3:40 - The Oil, Dollar, & Gold Connection 9:41 - The Only Thing That Really Matters is Earnings Growth 13:52 - Liquidity Matters as well 15:11 - Google Earnings & Negative Free Cash 23:59 - Space-X: Is Value Eroding? 26:51 - The Three Distinct Businesses of Space-X 33:08 - What Space-X Employees Will Do 37:04 - The Track Record of Elon Musk 37:50 - When to Buy Space-X? 40:52 - Space-X Earnings: Wait for it 41:50 - Oil, Bonds, & Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XGeCGPXfE4k ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Can SpaceX Fire On All Cylinders?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/can-spacex-fire-on-all-cylinders/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Oil, Earnings, and Market Complacency," https://youtu.be/nBKqoSD_uCI ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Retail Traders Keep Losing" https://youtube.com/live/neGG2EOd8SM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #EarningsSeason #Investing #SpaceX #ElonMusk #GrowthStocks

google register spacex dollar oil ipo bonds cio starlink earnings starship portfolio managers track record cylinders lance roberts google earnings michael lebowitz

7-23-26 Can SpaceX Fire on All Cylinders?

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 47:07

SpaceX has transformed the commercial space industry with reusable rockets, Starlink, and ambitious plans for Starship. But after one of the largest IPOs in history, can the company continue delivering the growth investors now expect? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine whether SpaceX's fundamentals can keep pace with its valuation. We'll discuss launch cadence, Starlink's revenue potential, Starship's development timeline, competitive pressures, capital requirements, and the risks investors should consider before chasing one of the market's most talked-about stocks. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Where Do Markets Go Next? 3:40 - The Oil, Dollar, & Gold Connection 9:41 - The Only Thing That Really Matters is Earnings Growth 13:52 - Liquidity Matters as well 15:11 - Google Earnings & Negative Free Cash 23:59 - Space-X: Is Value Eroding? 26:51 - The Three Distinct Businesses of Space-X 33:08 - What Space-X Employees Will Do 37:04 - The Track Record of Elon Musk 37:50 - When to Buy Space-X? 40:52 - Space-X Earnings: Wait for it 41:50 - Oil, Bonds, & Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XGeCGPXfE4k ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Can SpaceX Fire On All Cylinders?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/can-spacex-fire-on-all-cylinders/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Oil, Earnings, and Market Complacency," https://youtu.be/nBKqoSD_uCI ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Retail Traders Keep Losing" https://youtube.com/live/neGG2EOd8SM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #EarningsSeason #Investing #SpaceX #ElonMusk #GrowthStocks

google elon musk register spacex dollar oil ipo bonds cio starlink earnings starship portfolio managers track record cylinders lance roberts michael lebowitz

7-16-26 Headwinds, Tailwinds, and Market Risk

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 45:34

Markets rarely move in a straight line. Just like the weather, investing requires understanding both the headwinds that can slow markets down and the tailwinds that can keep the rally moving forward. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the key forces shaping today's investment landscape, including stretched valuations, investor sentiment, earnings expectations, interest rates, liquidity, and the continued influence of artificial intelligence. While several risks deserve close attention, there are also powerful catalysts that could continue supporting stocks in the months ahead. The goal is not to predict the next storm, but to recognize the environment and adjust portfolio risk accordingly. 0:00 INTRO 1:04 - Earnings and AI Exuberance 4:44 - Consolidation Process Continues 6:33 - Have Semi-conductors Earnings Expectations Peaked? 11:03 - Pizza, Pineapple, & Sam Houston's Chili 12:54 - Why Junk Bonds and Junkier Bonds are Trading Fine 16:07 - The Bifurcated Bond Market 18:35 - What Fund Gating Really Means 21:44 - Pay Attention to Credit Spreads 22:54 - Investor Sentiment & GDP Growth 25:53 - When the Yield Curve Was Wrong 29:34 - Headwinds & Forecasts (The Big Tailwind of AI Spending) 33:40 - The Cone of Uncertainty 38:15 - Watch the Indicators 39:57 - Semi-conductors Aren't Looking Good Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/PA0HSeYexfE ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Semiconductor Warning as Markets Climb," https://youtu.be/9PJPUe3i390 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - CPI, Earnings, and Market Risks" https://youtube.com/live/zVjwV7l3kjw ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #Nvidia #MarketOutlook #Investing #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning

google pizza register markets semi cio pay attention pineapple earnings cone tailwinds headwinds sam houston market risk lance roberts senior investment advisor michael lebowitz candid coffee

7-9-26 Yield Curve Warnings - Signal or False Alarm

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2026 47:03

Flattening yield curves, violent sector rotations, and shifting market leadership often trigger recession headlines—but do they really predict when markets will peak? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz look at why investors frequently confuse condition indicators with timing indicators. While yield curve flattening and rapid rotations between growth and value stocks can reveal that the market environment is changing, they don't tell you exactly when a recession or bear market will begin. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Markets' Response to Hormuz Limbo 5:54 - Consolidation Patterns Remain Unchanged 11:24 - The Risk of Continuing Iran Conflict 14:58 - The Ambiguous Fed 16:43 - Chip Stocks' Behavior 18:16 - Market Volatility is Low 21:35 - SEC Rules Changes & Liquidity 23:24 - The Japanese Yen & Carry Trade 29:58 - Japan's "Trolly Car" Problem & Risk to U.S. 32:47 - Yield Curve Warnings 37:43 - Long- or Short-duration Bonds? 40:05 - What's the Real Yield? 42:00 - Why Own Bonds Now? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/oFqAQg5DkiI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Breakout Still Waiting," https://youtu.be/hGKaEy7tJiY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Markets, Rates, and Risk" https://youtube.com/live/ua-paCoNRwo ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Flattening Curves And Style Rotations Deceptive Omens?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/are-flattening-curves-and-style-rotations-deceptive-omens/ 'The Low VIX Hides Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-low-vix-hides-fierce-undercurrents/ "The Yen At 40-Year Lows: Should You Care?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-yen-at-40-year-low-should-you-care/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #SP500 #Semiconductors #Investing #YieldCurve #Recession #RiskManagement

google japan risk register markets signal rates bonds warnings cio portfolio managers market volatility flattening false alarms yield curve japanese yen lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee

7-9-26 Yield Curve Warnings: Signal or False Alarm?

The Voice of Reason with Andy Hooser

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2026 47:04

Flattening yield curves, violent sector rotations, and shifting market leadership often trigger recession headlines—but do they really predict when markets will peak? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz look at why investors frequently confuse condition indicators with timing indicators. While yield curve flattening and rapid rotations between growth and value stocks can reveal that the market environment is changing, they don't tell you exactly when a recession or bear market will begin. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Markets' Response to Hormuz Limbo 5:54 - Consolidation Patterns Remain Unchanged 11:24 - The Risk of Continuing Iran Conflict 14:58 - The Ambiguous Fed 16:43 - Chip Stocks' Behavior 18:16 - Market Volatility is Low 21:35 - SEC Rules Changes & Liquidity 23:24 - The Japanese Yen & Carry Trade 29:58 - Japan's "Trolly Car" Problem & Risk to U.S. 32:47 - Yield Curve Warnings 37:43 - Long- or Short-duration Bonds? 40:05 - What's the Real Yield? 42:00 - Why Own Bonds Now? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/oFqAQg5DkiI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Breakout Still Waiting," https://youtu.be/hGKaEy7tJiY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Markets, Rates, and Risk" https://youtube.com/live/ua-paCoNRwo ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Flattening Curves And Style Rotations Deceptive Omens?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/are-flattening-curves-and-style-rotations-deceptive-omens/ 'The Low VIX Hides Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-low-vix-hides-fierce-undercurrents/ "The Yen At 40-Year Lows: Should You Care?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-yen-at-40-year-low-should-you-care/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #SP500 #Semiconductors #Investing #YieldCurve #Recession #RiskManagement

google japan risk behavior register markets signal rates bonds warnings cio portfolio managers market volatility flattening false alarms yield curve lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee

Michael Lebowitz: Independence Day Recap, Media Narratives, FISA Renewal and Threats to the US

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2026 38:09

Guest Michael Lebowitz, author "Second Wave", joins to discuss ongoing threats to the United States. Can we survive another 250years? Discussion of ongoing terror threats, cybersecurity threats, and more. How important is the FISA renewal, and how successful has FISA been so far? Recapping this weekends Independence Day celebrations. How patriotic was your community? Discussion of celebrating America's 250th birthday, and the media narrative to try and attack American values.

united states america american threats independence day renewal recapping day recap second wave fisa media narratives michael lebowitz

7-2-26 Why Markets Follow Interest Rates (More Than the News)

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 2, 2026 51:37

Every market rally, pullback, and recession eventually comes back to one powerful force: interest rates. While investors often focus on breaking news and political headlines, the Federal Reserve's interest-rate policy has a far greater impact on stocks, bonds, inflation, retirement income, and long-term investment returns. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain what the Federal Reserve actually controls, why rate cuts have taken longer than many investors expected, and whether the Fed can truly tame inflation. We also discuss how higher interest rates affect retirement planning, the most common interest-rate mistakes retirees make, and what investors should watch as markets continue to react to changing monetary policy. 0:00 INTRO 1:12 - US Soccer & Pepsi Jump Jet Challenge 5:45 - Markets Move Higher 12:08 - Switching from Value to Growth 16:35 - Options Trading Influence 19:17 - Rate Expectations Under Keven Warsh at Fed 22:47 - June Employment Report Preview 26:38 - The Importance of Wage Growth 28:28 - The K-Shaped Economy is Changing 29:24 - The Challenges of Being a Value Investor 32:31 - SimpleVisor Tools for You 35:45 - Looking at the "Lag-7" 37:39 - Reversion to the Mean Explained (again) 40:29 - Margin Debt and Leverage Financing Costs 43:38 - Yen Carry Trade 45:27 - Weather Forcast accuracy & predictions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/BND-She8za0 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Friedman Was Right, Just Mostly Misquoted" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mitton-friedman-was-right-just-mostly-misquoted/ "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Buy Signal or Holiday Trap?" https://youtu.be/Dne95_cl50c ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Your financial Questions Answered Live" https://youtube.com/live/A9mA4FyIAjY ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InterestRates #Investing #MarketOutlook #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #Investing #FIFA #USMT

google growth challenges register markets fed switching federal reserve cio interest rates portfolio managers us soccer lag reversion lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee

7-2-26 Why Markets Follow Interest Rates (More Than the News)

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 2, 2026 51:38

Every market rally, pullback, and recession eventually comes back to one powerful force: interest rates. While investors often focus on breaking news and political headlines, the Federal Reserve's interest-rate policy has a far greater impact on stocks, bonds, inflation, retirement income, and long-term investment returns. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain what the Federal Reserve actually controls, why rate cuts have taken longer than many investors expected, and whether the Fed can truly tame inflation. We also discuss how higher interest rates affect retirement planning, the most common interest-rate mistakes retirees make, and what investors should watch as markets continue to react to changing monetary policy. 0:00 INTRO 1:12 - US Soccer & Pepsi Jump Jet Challenge 5:45 - Markets Move Higher 12:08 - Switching from Value to Growth 16:35 - Options Trading Influence 19:17 - Rate Expectations Under Keven Warsh at Fed 22:47 - June Employment Report Preview 26:38 - The Importance of Wage Growth 28:28 - The K-Shaped Economy is Changing 29:24 - The Challenges of Being a Value Investor 32:31 - SimpleVisor Tools for You 35:45 - Looking at the "Lag-7" 37:39 - Reversion to the Mean Explained (again) 40:29 - Margin Debt and Leverage Financing Costs 43:38 - Yen Carry Trade 45:27 - Weather Forcast accuracy & predictions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/BND-She8za0 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Friedman Was Right, Just Mostly Misquoted" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mitton-friedman-was-right-just-mostly-misquoted/ "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Buy Signal or Holiday Trap?" https://youtu.be/Dne95_cl50c ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Your financial Questions Answered Live" https://youtube.com/live/A9mA4FyIAjY ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InterestRates #Investing #MarketOutlook #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #Investing #FIFA #USMT

google growth challenges register markets fed switching federal reserve cio interest rates portfolio managers lag reversion value investor wage growth lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee

6-25-26 The Micron Report - What's Next for Semi-conductors?

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2026 43:45

Has Micron's earnings report changed the outlook for semiconductor stocks and the broader artificial intelligence trade? With expectations running exceptionally high following a massive rally in chip stocks, investors are looking beyond headline numbers to what Micron's results and outlook may reveal about future demand, pricing power, and earnings growth across the industry. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss what Micron's report means for semiconductor stocks, market leadership, and the next phase of the AI-driven investment cycle. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:05 - Economic Data Preview & Trump's Gasoline Gaffe 7:00 - Narrow Market Rally Obscures Underlying Weakness 13:02 - Micron Recap 16:32 - Nvidia vs Micron - Comparing the Fundamentals 20:26 - When Will Demand Slow or Supply Catch Up? 21:57 - "Your High Margin is My Invitation" 25:22 - The Law of Large Numbers Will Eventually Apply 28:58 - Calculating the Risk 30:32 - Crude Oil Pricing vs Gasoline 33:04 - Economic Data Preview - What Will Markets Do? 37:27 - Will CPI, PPI Indicators Matter to the Fed Now? 40:54 - Bonds Look Like Gasoline Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Hu6OW8jg_XE ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What's Really Driving This Market? " https://youtube.com/live/b7C0L0Sd2mU ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Semiconductor Rally Hides Market Weakness" here: https://youtu.be/iT0t1C5puiE ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed's “Forward Guidance” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #Micron #Investing #MarketOutlook #Micron #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #Gasoline #CrudeOil

ai donald trump google law register nvidia semi cio calculating portfolio managers micron fednow conductors lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee

6-25-26 The Micron Report: What's Next for Semi-conductors?

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2026 43:46

Has Micron's earnings report changed the outlook for semiconductor stocks and the broader artificial intelligence trade? With expectations running exceptionally high following a massive rally in chip stocks, investors are looking beyond headline numbers to what Micron's results and outlook may reveal about future demand, pricing power, and earnings growth across the industry. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss what Micron's report means for semiconductor stocks, market leadership, and the next phase of the AI-driven investment cycle. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:05 - Economic Data Preview & Trump's Gasoline Gaffe 7:00 - Narrow Market Rally Obscures Underlying Weakness 13:02 - Micron Recap 16:32 - Nvidia vs Micron - Comparing the Fundamentals 20:26 - When Will Demand Slow or Supply Catch Up? 21:57 - "Your High Margin is My Invitation" 25:22 - The Law of Large Numbers Will Eventually Apply 28:58 - Calculating the Risk 30:32 - Crude Oil Pricing vs Gasoline 33:04 - Economic Data Preview - What Will Markets Do? 37:27 - Will CPI, PPI Indicators Matter to the Fed Now? 40:54 - Bonds Look Like Gasoline Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Hu6OW8jg_XE ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What's Really Driving This Market? " https://youtube.com/live/b7C0L0Sd2mU ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Semiconductor Rally Hides Market Weakness" here: https://youtu.be/iT0t1C5puiE ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed's "Forward Guidance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #Micron #Investing #MarketOutlook #Micron #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #Gasoline #CrudeOil

ai google law risk register fundamentals nvidia semi cio calculating gasoline portfolio managers micron fednow conductors lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee

HR2 Unstoppable Stories: From Autism Triumphs to Cyber Showdowns and Bold Leadership. (6-23-26)

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2026 54:49

Join the Conversation at 303-477-5600 or text to 307-200-8222. Monday - Friday from 3 pm - 6 pm MT. https://RushToReason.com HOUR 1 Border Chaos, Media Spin, and the Secrets Politicians Don't Want You to Know Hour 1 launches with a can't-miss Ed Sheeran ticket giveaway, then takes you behind the headlines into explosive debates on border security, political gamesmanship, and media manipulation. Ever wondered how to spot the truth in today's political circus, or what really makes a candidate connect—or crash? John Rush and his guests pull back the curtain on the tactics, the truths, and the trickery shaping America right now. Border security insider Ammon Blair exposes how Mexican cartels, secret tunnels, and livestock trafficking threaten America's food supply and national security. Discover the shocking links between agriculture, trade, and the criminal underworld—plus what the mainstream media isn't telling you. John shares his no-nonsense formula for spotting political grifters and picking real contenders—plus an unfiltered look at how podcasters and media moguls are driving today's hottest narratives. If you crave politics with teeth and want to know what's really happening behind the scenes, Hour 1 is unmissable. Timestamps 31:07 — Ammon Blair — https://texaspolicy.com HOUR 2 Unstoppable Stories: From Autism Triumphs to Cyber Showdowns and Bold Leadership Hour 2 hits the ground running with the remarkable journey of Caden McElwain, autism advocate and former nonverbal child turned college grad, author, and national voice. His triumphs will inspire you—and challenge everything you thought you knew about what's possible. Next, cybercrime hits home as DOJ national security expert Michael Lebowitz sounds the alarm on AI-driven scams, foreign cyber threats, and the next wave of digital dangers lurking online. Find out how to protect yourself and your family before it's too late. Plus, John unpacks the red flags of fake leaders and career politicians, revealing how to spot those who want power versus those who want to serve. If you care about real leadership and navigating today's tech threats, Hour 2 delivers. Timestamps 1:14 — Caden McElwain — https://autismdigest.com 25:55 — Michael Lebowitz — https://lebowitzbooks.com HOUR 3 Car Dealer Secrets, Economic Reality Checks, and Breaking Free from the Comfort Zone Hour 3 pulls no punches—Ray Shefska from CarEdge exposes shocking car dealer tricks, hidden fees, and the inside story behind the FTC's crackdown on industry scams. Get the must-hear tips to avoid getting ripped off on your next ride. Think you know the truth about taxes, billionaires, and economic growth? Think again. John and Joe go head-to-head on the myths (and realities) behind Musk, Tesla, and the American dream—backed by real data and fiery debate. John's final word: Escaping the comfort zone isn't just possible—it's essential. Discover why true growth demands independence, and how parents can empower the next generation to thrive on their own. Hour 3 is your all-in-one guide to outsmarting dealerships, understanding wealth, and building real independence in today's America. Don't miss it. Timestamps 1:08 — Ray Shefska — https://caredge.com 30:36 – Jerzee Joe — https://JerzeeJoe.com

HR3 Car Dealer Secrets, Economic Reality Checks, and Breaking Free from the Comfort Zone. (6-23-26)

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2026 54:16

Join the Conversation at 303-477-5600 or text to 307-200-8222. Monday - Friday from 3 pm - 6 pm MT. https://RushToReason.com HOUR 1 Border Chaos, Media Spin, and the Secrets Politicians Don't Want You to Know Hour 1 launches with a can't-miss Ed Sheeran ticket giveaway, then takes you behind the headlines into explosive debates on border security, political gamesmanship, and media manipulation. Ever wondered how to spot the truth in today's political circus, or what really makes a candidate connect—or crash? John Rush and his guests pull back the curtain on the tactics, the truths, and the trickery shaping America right now. Border security insider Ammon Blair exposes how Mexican cartels, secret tunnels, and livestock trafficking threaten America's food supply and national security. Discover the shocking links between agriculture, trade, and the criminal underworld—plus what the mainstream media isn't telling you. John shares his no-nonsense formula for spotting political grifters and picking real contenders—plus an unfiltered look at how podcasters and media moguls are driving today's hottest narratives. If you crave politics with teeth and want to know what's really happening behind the scenes, Hour 1 is unmissable. Timestamps 31:07 — Ammon Blair — https://texaspolicy.com HOUR 2 Unstoppable Stories: From Autism Triumphs to Cyber Showdowns and Bold Leadership Hour 2 hits the ground running with the remarkable journey of Caden McElwain, autism advocate and former nonverbal child turned college grad, author, and national voice. His triumphs will inspire you—and challenge everything you thought you knew about what's possible. Next, cybercrime hits home as DOJ national security expert Michael Lebowitz sounds the alarm on AI-driven scams, foreign cyber threats, and the next wave of digital dangers lurking online. Find out how to protect yourself and your family before it's too late. Plus, John unpacks the red flags of fake leaders and career politicians, revealing how to spot those who want power versus those who want to serve. If you care about real leadership and navigating today's tech threats, Hour 2 delivers. Timestamps 1:14 — Caden McElwain — https://autismdigest.com 25:55 — Michael Lebowitz — https://lebowitzbooks.com HOUR 3 Car Dealer Secrets, Economic Reality Checks, and Breaking Free from the Comfort Zone Hour 3 pulls no punches—Ray Shefska from CarEdge exposes shocking car dealer tricks, hidden fees, and the inside story behind the FTC's crackdown on industry scams. Get the must-hear tips to avoid getting ripped off on your next ride. Think you know the truth about taxes, billionaires, and economic growth? Think again. John and Joe go head-to-head on the myths (and realities) behind Musk, Tesla, and the American dream—backed by real data and fiery debate. John's final word: Escaping the comfort zone isn't just possible—it's essential. Discover why true growth demands independence, and how parents can empower the next generation to thrive on their own. Hour 3 is your all-in-one guide to outsmarting dealerships, understanding wealth, and building real independence in today's America. Don't miss it. Timestamps 1:08 — Ray Shefska — https://caredge.com 30:36 – Jerzee Joe — https://JerzeeJoe.com

HR1 Border Chaos, Media Spin, and the Secrets Politicians Don't Want You to Know. (6-23-26)

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2026 57:13

Join the Conversation at 303-477-5600 or text to 307-200-8222. Monday - Friday from 3 pm - 6 pm MT. https://RushToReason.com HOUR 1 Border Chaos, Media Spin, and the Secrets Politicians Don't Want You to Know Hour 1 launches with a can't-miss Ed Sheeran ticket giveaway, then takes you behind the headlines into explosive debates on border security, political gamesmanship, and media manipulation. Ever wondered how to spot the truth in today's political circus, or what really makes a candidate connect—or crash? John Rush and his guests pull back the curtain on the tactics, the truths, and the trickery shaping America right now. Border security insider Ammon Blair exposes how Mexican cartels, secret tunnels, and livestock trafficking threaten America's food supply and national security. Discover the shocking links between agriculture, trade, and the criminal underworld—plus what the mainstream media isn't telling you. John shares his no-nonsense formula for spotting political grifters and picking real contenders—plus an unfiltered look at how podcasters and media moguls are driving today's hottest narratives. If you crave politics with teeth and want to know what's really happening behind the scenes, Hour 1 is unmissable. Timestamps 31:07 — Ammon Blair — https://texaspolicy.com HOUR 2 Unstoppable Stories: From Autism Triumphs to Cyber Showdowns and Bold Leadership Hour 2 hits the ground running with the remarkable journey of Caden McElwain, autism advocate and former nonverbal child turned college grad, author, and national voice. His triumphs will inspire you—and challenge everything you thought you knew about what's possible. Next, cybercrime hits home as DOJ national security expert Michael Lebowitz sounds the alarm on AI-driven scams, foreign cyber threats, and the next wave of digital dangers lurking online. Find out how to protect yourself and your family before it's too late. Plus, John unpacks the red flags of fake leaders and career politicians, revealing how to spot those who want power versus those who want to serve. If you care about real leadership and navigating today's tech threats, Hour 2 delivers. Timestamps 1:14 — Caden McElwain — https://autismdigest.com 25:55 — Michael Lebowitz — https://lebowitzbooks.com HOUR 3 Car Dealer Secrets, Economic Reality Checks, and Breaking Free from the Comfort Zone Hour 3 pulls no punches—Ray Shefska from CarEdge exposes shocking car dealer tricks, hidden fees, and the inside story behind the FTC's crackdown on industry scams. Get the must-hear tips to avoid getting ripped off on your next ride. Think you know the truth about taxes, billionaires, and economic growth? Think again. John and Joe go head-to-head on the myths (and realities) behind Musk, Tesla, and the American dream—backed by real data and fiery debate. John's final word: Escaping the comfort zone isn't just possible—it's essential. Discover why true growth demands independence, and how parents can empower the next generation to thrive on their own. Hour 3 is your all-in-one guide to outsmarting dealerships, understanding wealth, and building real independence in today's America. Don't miss it. Timestamps 1:08 — Ray Shefska — https://caredge.com 30:36 – Jerzee Joe — https://JerzeeJoe.com

Colliding Market Headwinds & Tailwinds Make This A Time For Caution | Michael Lebowitz

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2026 107:27

Markets are a chaotic mess right now.Volatility has returned as numerous headwinds & tailwinds compete to pull stocks in opposite directions.What should investors do in such an environment?Michael and I discuss his current outlook, plus the SpaceX IPO, Bitcoin, quantum computing, bond yields, inflation, oil prices and Michael's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this week's Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#spacexipo #volatility #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Thoughtful-Money-Disclosure-Document-12.6.23.pdf?pid=227Thoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Thoughtful-Money-Agreement-Agreement.docx?pid=227IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

loss market investing bitcoin markets foreign copyright caution securities volatility tailwinds headwinds colliding exchange commission sec market recap michael lebowitz

5-28-27 Is the Semiconductor Trade Going Too Far?

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2026 41:30

Semiconductor stocks continue to dominate market leadership as AI spending, data center demand, and investor enthusiasm push valuations higher. But is the semiconductor trade becoming dangerously overcrowded? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine whether the current AI-driven semiconductor boom is sustainable or if markets are entering another phase of excessive speculation. We discuss narrow market breadth, concentration risk inside major indexes, memory chip pricing, Korea's growing importance in the global semiconductor supply chain, and whether investor optimism is outrunning economic reality. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - End of Quarter prep; Triton Joins $-Trillion Club 5:59 - Market Driver Primarily Technology 12:05 - Semiconductor Commentary 18:01 - 15 Trading Rules info 19:18 - PCE Price Index Preview 23:03 - U.S. Economy Continues to Accelerate 27:27 -How Does Divergence in Oil Prices Resolve? 29:26 - Market Complacency on Resolution in Iran 31:22 - Dispersion Index - Fragile/Stable vs Ripe for Rotation 33:16 - AI Impact on Economy - Bullish vs Bearish cases 35:43 - AI & the Engels Pause 37:45 - What New Jobs Will AI Generate? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XB3W7awMDZk ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "AI Productivity And Innovation: Prosperity Or Engels Pause?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-productivity-and-innovation-prosperity-or-engels-pause/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Tech Rally Risk Rising," here: https://youtu.be/AVXI7TCayvI ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Real Advisors, Real Answers ," https://youtube.com/live/zzDZJD0kIeA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #Semiconductors #SP500 #MarketRisk #Semiconductors #ArtificialIntelligence #AIStocks

ai google resolutions trade register korea quarter cio semiconductors ripe portfolio managers bearish ai impact going too far real answers lance roberts michael lebowitz

5-28-27 Is the Semiconductor Trade Going Too Far?

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2026 41:31

Semiconductor stocks continue to dominate market leadership as AI spending, data center demand, and investor enthusiasm push valuations higher. But is the semiconductor trade becoming dangerously overcrowded? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine whether the current AI-driven semiconductor boom is sustainable or if markets are entering another phase of excessive speculation. We discuss narrow market breadth, concentration risk inside major indexes, memory chip pricing, Korea's growing importance in the global semiconductor supply chain, and whether investor optimism is outrunning economic reality. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - End of Quarter prep; Triton Joins $-Trillion Club 5:59 - Market Driver Primarily Technology 12:05 - Semiconductor Commentary 18:01 - 15 Trading Rules info 19:18 - PCE Price Index Preview 23:03 - U.S. Economy Continues to Accelerate 27:27 -How Does Divergence in Oil Prices Resolve? 29:26 - Market Complacency on Resolution in Iran 31:22 - Dispersion Index - Fragile/Stable vs Ripe for Rotation 33:16 - AI Impact on Economy - Bullish vs Bearish cases 35:43 - AI & the Engels Pause 37:45 - What New Jobs Will AI Generate? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XB3W7awMDZk ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "AI Productivity And Innovation: Prosperity Or Engels Pause?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-productivity-and-innovation-prosperity-or-engels-pause/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Tech Rally Risk Rising," here: https://youtu.be/AVXI7TCayvI ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Real Advisors, Real Answers ," https://youtube.com/live/zzDZJD0kIeA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #Semiconductors #SP500 #MarketRisk #Semiconductors #ArtificialIntelligence #AIStocks

ai google resolutions iran trade register korea quarter cio accelerate rotation semiconductors ripe portfolio managers bearish ai impact going too far real answers lance roberts michael lebowitz

5-21-26 The AI Economy Beyond The Hype

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 43:54

The AI economy looks unstoppable on the surface, but what is really happening underneath? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz break down the massive surge in AI infrastructure spending, the role of hyperscaler CapEx in driving GDP growth, and whether AI is creating a stronger economy or masking deeper structural weaknesses. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:53 - NVIDIA, AI, & Streamlining Workforce 5:41 - Market Sell Signals and Chances for Summer Correction 10:10 - Weakness in Economic Data is Transitory 14:53 - Oil Price Economic Impact - When Does it Hit? 16:36 - The AI Economy -Beyond the Hype 19:52 - How Will AI-generated Productivity Work Through Economy? 22:33 - Data Center Spending Impact on GDP Growth 26:41 - GDP per Capita per US States vs Internationals 29:40 - Every Economy Has a "K" 31:07 - What AI Can Do For You 32:33 - When Dire Predictions Don't Come True 35:52 - ...this doesn't mean we can't have a recession 37:44 - Points to Ponder from Latest NVIDIA Report 38:47 - Space-X (SPCX) IPO Preview Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The AI Economy: Looking Beyond The Facade Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-ai-economy-looking-beyond-the-facade-part-1/ "The NVDA Earnings Report: Could It Pop The Gamma Bubble?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-nvda-earnings-report-could-it-pop-the-gamma-bubble/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TeIhoqBT8dg ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Pause Before Summer Rally?" here: https://youtu.be/oWiPrlAYz5A ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Straight Talk About Your Money" https://youtube.com/live/ngEmjqsUFTY ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #AIeconomy #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #TechnologyStocks

money ai google wealth economy laws points chances weakness gdp nvidia cio ponder portfolio managers capex us states capita economic data beyond the hype lance roberts michael lebowitz real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

5-21-26 The AI Economy Beyond The Hype

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 43:55

The AI economy looks unstoppable on the surface, but what is really happening underneath? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz break down the massive surge in AI infrastructure spending, the role of hyperscaler CapEx in driving GDP growth, and whether AI is creating a stronger economy or masking deeper structural weaknesses. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:53 - NVIDIA, AI, & Streamlining Workforce 5:41 - Market Sell Signals and Chances for Summer Correction 10:10 - Weakness in Economic Data is Transitory 14:53 - Oil Price Economic Impact - When Does it Hit? 16:36 - The AI Economy -Beyond the Hype 19:52 - How Will AI-generated Productivity Work Through Economy? 22:33 - Data Center Spending Impact on GDP Growth 26:41 - GDP per Capita per US States vs Internationals 29:40 - Every Economy Has a "K" 31:07 - What AI Can Do For You 32:33 - When Dire Predictions Don't Come True 35:52 - ...this doesn't mean we can't have a recession 37:44 - Points to Ponder from Latest NVIDIA Report 38:47 - Space-X (SPCX) IPO Preview Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The AI Economy: Looking Beyond The Facade Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-ai-economy-looking-beyond-the-facade-part-1/ "The NVDA Earnings Report: Could It Pop The Gamma Bubble?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-nvda-earnings-report-could-it-pop-the-gamma-bubble/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TeIhoqBT8dg ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Pause Before Summer Rally?" here: https://youtu.be/oWiPrlAYz5A ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Straight Talk About Your Money" https://youtube.com/live/ngEmjqsUFTY ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #AIeconomy #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #TechnologyStocks

ai google economy laws hype points chances weakness gdp nvidia cio ponder come true portfolio managers capex internationals us states capita transitory economic data gdp growth beyond the hype lance roberts michael lebowitz real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

5-14-26 Inflation Surge Hits Markets?

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2026 49:02

Inflation pressures may be heating up again, and markets are beginning to notice. Rising prices can have major consequences for stocks, bonds, interest rates, and Federal Reserve policy. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why persistent inflation is dangerous for both investors and the economy, how rising yields pressure bond prices, and why higher rates can challenge stock valuations — especially in high-growth and technology sectors. We also examine whether the recent market rally is underestimating the risk of another inflation wave. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Gamma Squeeze & Markets' 7-week Run 5:16 - Market Sectors vs Market Factors 13:34 - Rotations from Semi's to SAAS's? 15:57 - Market Rotations Back to Value? 17:50 - Charting Relative Scores of Market Factors 19:42 - Why Dispersion Matters 20:54 - CPI & Inflation Data - What Does it Tell Us? 23:41 - Gasoline Prices & CPI Calculations 26:58 - Chart Crimes and "Lower" Inflation 29:28 - CPI Today vs 1970's (more chart crime) 31:06 - What Kevin Warsh is Walking Into 33:35 - The Fed's Trap and Consumption Destruction 38:02 - Earnings Revisions Coming from Narrowed Breadth 38:53 - Commentary - Government Spending Impact on Inflation 45:35 - Debt to GDP Ratio - Explain Japan Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Government Debt: Not What The Doom Crowd Thinks It Is:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/government-debt-not-what-the-doom-crowd-thinks-it-is/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UOSeQNOhcwI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation," here: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday: Real Answers. No Spin." https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, THIS Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MomentumStocks #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #MarketRotation #Inflation #Bonds #InterestRates #FederalReserve

money google wealth rising laws trap hits debt inflation markets lower saas fed surge federal reserve semi cio cpi portfolio managers rotations gasoline prices no spin lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

5-14-26 Inflation Surge Hits Markets?

Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2026 49:03

Inflation pressures may be heating up again, and markets are beginning to notice. Rising prices can have major consequences for stocks, bonds, interest rates, and Federal Reserve policy. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why persistent inflation is dangerous for both investors and the economy, how rising yields pressure bond prices, and why higher rates can challenge stock valuations — especially in high-growth and technology sectors. We also examine whether the recent market rally is underestimating the risk of another inflation wave. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Gamma Squeeze & Markets' 7-week Run 5:16 - Market Sectors vs Market Factors 13:34 - Rotations from Semi's to SAAS's? 15:57 - Market Rotations Back to Value? 17:50 - Charting Relative Scores of Market Factors 19:42 - Why Dispersion Matters 20:54 - CPI & Inflation Data - What Does it Tell Us? 23:41 - Gasoline Prices & CPI Calculations 26:58 - Chart Crimes and "Lower" Inflation 29:28 - CPI Today vs 1970's (more chart crime) 31:06 - What Kevin Warsh is Walking Into 33:35 - The Fed's Trap and Consumption Destruction 38:02 - Earnings Revisions Coming from Narrowed Breadth 38:53 - Commentary - Government Spending Impact on Inflation 45:35 - Debt to GDP Ratio - Explain Japan Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Government Debt: Not What The Doom Crowd Thinks It Is:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/government-debt-not-what-the-doom-crowd-thinks-it-is/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UOSeQNOhcwI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation," here: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday: Real Answers. No Spin." https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, THIS Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MomentumStocks #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #MarketRotation #Inflation #Bonds #InterestRates #FederalReserve

google rising run laws trap hits debt inflation markets saas fed surge federal reserve semi cio portfolio managers rotations no spin lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

5-7-26 Semiconductors - Bubble or Bust?

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2026 42:55

Semiconductor stocks continue to lead the market higher as the AI boom drives massive capital spending, soaring valuations, and relentless momentum in names like Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and TSMC. But are investors witnessing the next great technology revolution, or the early stages of another market bubble? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the semiconductor trade from both sides: Explosive AI demand, data center growth, and earnings momentum versus stretched valuations, narrowing market breadth, and growing concentration risk inside the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Earnings Revisions are Ratcheting Up 4:32 - The Importance and Use of Technical Indicators 11:05 - Tools for Separating Narratives & Emotions from Market Reality 13:07 - Likes for Lebo Merch 14:10 - Semiconductors, AI, and Bubbles 16:58 - GPU's, CPU's, & LLM's 18:38 - The AMD Story & Supple-Demand Imbalances 24:10 - Portfolio Management Keeps You Out of Trouble 25:05 - Taking Profits is Important 26:45 - Where Will Money Go Next? 29:22 - Dissention in the Fed - Cuts or No Cuts? 32:15 - AI is Disinflationary in Nature 34:06 - The Curb Appeal of the Economy 36:18 - Guessing the Outcome - The K-Shape Continues 38:29 -The Technology Displacement Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/X0moIzRXOHg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "A Robot Economy: Who Gets Rich, Who Gets Left Behind" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-robot-economy-who-gets-rich-who-gets-left-behind/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "How Markets Ignore the Fear" here: https://youtu.be/1BrnxwNgzeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - What's Your Biggest Concern?" https://youtube.com/live/TFn61TpR-Fc ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #Semiconductors #AIStocks #Nvidia #TechnologyStocks

fear money ai google tools emotions wealth laws bubbles likes bust nvidia cio nasdaq amd llm gpu cpu guessing semiconductors portfolio managers tsmc broadcom curb appeal no cuts lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

5-7-26 Semiconductors: Bubble or Bust?

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2026 42:56

Semiconductor stocks continue to lead the market higher as the AI boom drives massive capital spending, soaring valuations, and relentless momentum in names like Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and TSMC. But are investors witnessing the next great technology revolution, or the early stages of another market bubble? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the semiconductor trade from both sides: Explosive AI demand, data center growth, and earnings momentum versus stretched valuations, narrowing market breadth, and growing concentration risk inside the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Earnings Revisions are Ratcheting Up 4:32 - The Importance and Use of Technical Indicators 11:05 - Tools for Separating Narratives & Emotions from Market Reality 13:07 - Likes for Lebo Merch 14:10 - Semiconductors, AI, and Bubbles 16:58 - GPU's, CPU's, & LLM's 18:38 - The AMD Story & Supple-Demand Imbalances 24:10 - Portfolio Management Keeps You Out of Trouble 25:05 - Taking Profits is Important 26:45 - Where Will Money Go Next? 29:22 - Dissention in the Fed - Cuts or No Cuts? 32:15 - AI is Disinflationary in Nature 34:06 - The Curb Appeal of the Economy 36:18 - Guessing the Outcome - The K-Shape Continues 38:29 -The Technology Displacement Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/X0moIzRXOHg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "A Robot Economy: Who Gets Rich, Who Gets Left Behind" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-robot-economy-who-gets-rich-who-gets-left-behind/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "How Markets Ignore the Fear" here: https://youtu.be/1BrnxwNgzeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - What's Your Biggest Concern?" https://youtube.com/live/TFn61TpR-Fc ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #Semiconductors #AIStocks #Nvidia #TechnologyStocks

fear ai google nature tools economy laws bubbles likes bust trouble nvidia cio nasdaq amd llm gpu cpu guessing s p semiconductors portfolio managers tsmc broadcom curb appeal no cuts lance roberts michael lebowitz technical indicators candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

4-30-26 Fed Holds Rates as Powell Stays On