Podcast appearances and mentions of michael lebowitz

What makes capitalism the most successful wealth-building system in history? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore how economic freedom, private ownership, and innovation incentives have lifted billions out of poverty and created unmatched prosperity. Why do societies that embrace free markets and entrepreneurship tend to enjoy higher standards of living, longer lifespans, and greater personal happiness? Lance & Michael examine the misconceptions surrounding capitalism—why critics often overlook the power of voluntary exchange and how wealth creation benefits everyone over time. 0:19 - Earnings Season is Underway w 75% Beat Rates 4:49 - Markets Maintain Bullish Trend w Lackluster Conviction 8:23 - The Itch to Twitch w Royalty-free Music 10:04 - The Fed Moves Forward - Net Impact to Bond Market 13:58 - There is No More Liquidity - Effects in Crypto Realm 17:03 - The Danger of Buying Crypto on Margin 19:57 - Leverage Works Worse in Reverse 24:04 - When the Markets Break 29:59 - Capitalism vs Socialism - the path to prosperity 31:49 - Quantifying Capitalism - The Economic Freedom Index 35:22 - Capitalism is Not an Equalization System 38:23 - The Global Decline of Economic Freedom 39:32 - Does Wealth Buy Happiness? 40:58 - Defining the "American Dream" 43:16 - Why Businesses Fail 44:51 - The Savanna Bananas 46:57 - Capitalism Is Not Fair

What makes capitalism the most successful wealth-building system in history?  Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore how economic freedom, private ownership, and innovation incentives have lifted billions out of poverty and created unmatched prosperity. Why do societies that embrace free markets and entrepreneurship tend to enjoy higher standards of living, longer lifespans, and greater personal happiness? Lance & Michael examine the misconceptions surrounding capitalism—why critics often overlook the power of voluntary exchange and how wealth creation benefits everyone over time. 0:19 - Earnings Season is Underway w 75% Beat Rates 4:49 - Markets Maintain Bullish Trend w Lackluster Conviction 8:23 - The Itch to Twitch w Royalty-free Music 10:04 - The Fed Moves Forward - Net Impact to Bond Market 13:58 - There is No More Liquidity - Effects in Crypto Realm 17:03 - The Danger of Buying Crypto on Margin 19:57 - Leverage Works Worse in Reverse 24:04 - When the Markets Break 29:59 - Capitalism vs Socialism - the path to prosperity 31:49 - Quantifying Capitalism - The Economic Freedom Index 35:22 - Capitalism is Not an Equalization System 38:23 - The Global Decline of Economic Freedom 39:32 - Does Wealth Buy Happiness? 40:58 - Defining the "American Dream" 43:16 - Why Businesses Fail 44:51 - The Savanna Bananas 46:57 - Capitalism Is Not Fair

Portfolio manager Michael Lebowtiz looks back at the red-hot rise in stocks over the past two month and asks:Have stocks moved too far too fast?Can this continue without a pullback first?YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#investing #marketcorrection #aibubble _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

A recession usually means falling inflation and lower bond yields — good news for bond investors. But what if this time is different? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how the next recession could flip the bond trade from bullish to bearish — and why government policy and fiscal stimulus may once again distort the relationship between inflation, yields, and bond prices. 0:19 - US Dollar Impact on Multi-national Companies 3:32 - Expectations for Market Reversal 9:45 - The AI Chase & Circular Money Flow 13:17 - Investments are Based on Hopeful Future Demand 16:28 - The Question of The How & The When 19:12 - The Nvidia - AMD - OpenAI Conundrum 20:07 - Natural Gas is the Only Answer for next 5-years 22:02 - Markets Are Chasing Whatever Goes Up 24:24 - The Lesson for Diversifying 26:15 - Do Bonds Protect Investors in the Next Recession? 32:18 - Preview of Daniel LaCalle Interview 35:38 - Gold is Fueling Dollar Debasement 39:43 - All Asset Classes will Reverse Eventually 43:33 - Is This Time Different? 50:06 - Coming Attractions

A recession usually means falling inflation and lower bond yields — good news for bond investors. But what if this time is different? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how the next recession could flip the bond trade from bullish to bearish — and why government policy and fiscal stimulus may once again distort the relationship between inflation, yields, and bond prices. 0:19 - US Dollar Impact on Multi-national Companies 3:32 - Expectations for Market Reversal 9:45 - The AI Chase & Circular Money Flow 13:17 - Investments are Based on Hopeful Future Demand  16:28 - The Question of The How & The When 19:12 - The Nvidia - AMD - OpenAI Conundrum 20:07 - Natural Gas is the Only Answer for next 5-years 22:02 - Markets Are Chasing Whatever Goes Up 24:24 - The Lesson for Diversifying 26:15 - Do Bonds Protect Investors in the Next Recession? 32:18 - Preview of Daniel LaCalle Interview 35:38 - Gold is Fueling Dollar Debasement 39:43 - All Asset Classes will Reverse Eventually 43:33 - Is This Time Different? 50:06 - Coming Attractions

The government shutdown has silenced the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving investors without the monthly jobs report. But does Wall Street really need the BLS to keep moving? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore what happens when government labor data goes missing, how traders adapt, and what alternative indicators might offer clues about the state of the economy. Lance and Mike also examine valuation metrics in the markets, and discuss claims that interest rates are still too high. Can the "AI Effect" sustaining markets and the economy continue into 2026? 0:19 - What the Economic Surprise Index is Saying 4:29 - Markets Hit All-time High. Again. 9:30 - When P/E Ratios are Elevated 12:25 - 1999 Valuations vs Now 13:52 - Is the AI Excitement Worth It? 17:47 - The Risk of Disappointment 21:57 - Government Shutdown Ramifications 24:03 - BLS vs ADP 27:31 - What JOLTS & IRS Data is Telling Us 33:44 - Stephen Miran - Are Rates Too High? 35:38 - The Fallacy of CPI 37:37 - Immigration Impact on Economic Growth 39:00 - The Natural Rate of Interest 41:26 - The Taylor Rule Explained 45:17 - Will AI Spending Be Able to Continue into 2026? 46:58 - The Resilience of the Market

The government shutdown has silenced the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving investors without the monthly jobs report. But does Wall Street really need the BLS to keep moving? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore what happens when government labor data goes missing, how traders adapt, and what alternative indicators might offer clues about the state of the economy. Lance and Mike also examine valuation metrics in the markets, and discuss claims that interest rates are still too high. Can the "AI Effect" sustaining markets and the economy continue into 2026? 0:19 - What the Economic Surprise Index is Saying 4:29 - Markets Hit All-time High. Again. 9:30 - When P/E Ratios are Elevated 12:25 - 1999 Valuations vs Now 13:52 - Is the AI Excitement Worth It? 17:47 - The Risk of Disappointment 21:57 - Government Shutdown Ramifications 24:03 - BLS vs ADP 27:31 - What JOLTS & IRS Data is Telling Us 33:44 - Stephen Miran - Are Rates Too High? 35:38 - The Fallacy of CPI 37:37 - Immigration Impact on Economic Growth 39:00 - The Natural Rate of Interest 41:26 - The Taylor Rule Explained 45:17 - Will AI Spending Be Able to Continue into 2026? 46:58 - The Resilience of the Market

Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz joins us live to explain why he remains bullish on bonds here in the near term, as well as to take your Q&A#bonds #treasurybonds #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

The Federal Reserve's latest move has investors asking: Is policy turning more accommodative or staying restrictive? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz decode the Fed's decision, cut through the jargon, and explain what it means for markets, rates, and your money. We'll cover: What the Fed actually signaled last week The difference between accommodative and restrictive policy How markets typically react to these shifts Key risks for stocks, bonds, and the economy going forward Stay tuned as we unpack the Fed's message and put it into plain language for investors navigating uncertain markets. SEG-1a: On becoming "vintage" and Irrational Exuberance SEG-1b: Markets Appear to be Pulling Back SEG-2a: Jerome Powell's "Fairly Valued" Market Assessment SEG-2b:The Virtual Circle of the Markets & Economy SEG-2c: Quad Chart: Is the Fed too Easy or too Restrictive? SEG-2d: Markets Are Always Searching for a Narrative SEG-2e: AI Impact - A Double-edged Sword SEG-2f: What Credit Spread Compression is Telling Us SEG-2g: How We Manage in the Markets Now SEG-2h: The Fed Jargon Test Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, ww Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Accommodative Or Restrictive? Decoding The Fed's Latest Move" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/accommodative-or-restrictive-decoding-the-feds-latest-move/ -------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDHV6eIWGlI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Pullback or Just a Pause?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYd7d13Iu1Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "Strange Recession Signals: What Markets & Odd Indicators are Telling us" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKIv4RZn6sE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketToday #PreMarketUpdate #MarketPullback #EnergyStocks #StockMarketAnalysis #DecodingTheFed #FederalReserve #FedDecision #InterestRates #MarketOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Federal Reserve's latest move has investors asking: Is policy turning more accommodative or staying restrictive? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz decode the Fed's decision, cut through the jargon, and explain what it means for markets, rates, and your money. We'll cover: What the Fed actually signaled last week The difference between accommodative and restrictive policy How markets typically react to these shifts Key risks for stocks, bonds, and the economy going forward Stay tuned as we unpack the Fed's message and put it into plain language for investors navigating uncertain markets. SEG-1a: On becoming "vintage" and Irrational Exuberance SEG-1b: Markets Appear to be Pulling Back SEG-2a: Jerome Powell's "Fairly Valued" Market Assessment SEG-2b:The Virtual Circle of the Markets & Economy SEG-2c: Quad Chart: Is the Fed too Easy or too Restrictive? SEG-2d: Markets Are Always Searching for a Narrative SEG-2e: AI Impact - A Double-edged Sword SEG-2f: What Credit Spread Compression is Telling Us SEG-2g: How We Manage in the Markets Now SEG-2h: The Fed Jargon Test Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, ww Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Accommodative Or Restrictive? Decoding The Fed's Latest Move" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/accommodative-or-restrictive-decoding-the-feds-latest-move/ -------- Watch today's video on YouTube:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDHV6eIWGlI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Pullback or Just a Pause?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYd7d13Iu1Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "Strange Recession Signals: What Markets & Odd Indicators are Telling us" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKIv4RZn6sE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketToday #PreMarketUpdate #MarketPullback #EnergyStocks #StockMarketAnalysis #DecodingTheFed #FederalReserve #FedDecision #InterestRates #MarketOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

From the Fed's next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today's biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed's lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios. 0:18 - Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments 2:01 - Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report - Largest negative revision to jobs in history. 4:20 - William Poole's explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention. 6:13 - Herbert Hoover's belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers. 8:19 - The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not. 9:35 - How the Fed intervenes 10:55 - Kevin Walsh Fed candidate: The Fed needs more real-time data. They're always too late. 12:24 - Preview of September Fed meeting: The Fed should cut rates. 14:20 - What monetary policy is and/or should be (and what it is not) 16:36 - Correlation of asset classes...and not. 18:55 - How the Fed looks at inflation & asset prices (Gold & Gold Miners) 21:55 - Active Management is counter-cyclical 22:52 - Gold & Gold Miners as an asset class: Due for correction? 24:41 - The impact of passive investing driving asset prices; Index Investing & Price Distortion 26:29 - Rapidly depleting asset investments (Gold) 28:30 - Active Management Matters: Invest in management teams 30:14 - Importance of understanding the fundamentals of companies in which to invest 32:29 - Venture Capital-lite: Who Gets the Money? 34:42 - What Worries You Now? Having no investment process; a mediocre process is better than nothing 35:33 - If you can sleep with what you have... 37:25 - Why Technical Analysis works well in Gold space 40:20 - Risk Management in Good Times: The Value of Good Analysis 42:29 - The Value of Contrarian Views & Skin in the Game 45:29 - There is No Such Thing as an Investing in the End of the World; there's always the day after 48:07 - The Best Investment Advice Ever: Invest in Yourself Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/YeciboacIW0 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwqWqisbCyQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "No Risk-free Path for the Fed" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sC5i-sZm73o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/ "Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AxelMerk #JobsReport #FederalReserve #GoldInvesting #MarketOutlook

From the Fed's next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today's biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed's lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios. 0:18 - Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments    2:01 - Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report - Largest negative revision to jobs in history. 4:20 - William Poole's explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention. 6:13 - Herbert Hoover's belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers. 8:19 - The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not. 9:35 -  How the Fed intervenes 10:55 - Kevin Walsh Fed candidate: The Fed needs more real-time data. They're always too late. 12:24 - Preview of September Fed meeting: The Fed should cut rates. 14:20 - What monetary policy is and/or   should be (and what it is not) 16:36  - Correlation of asset classes...and not. 18:55 - How the Fed looks at inflation & asset prices (Gold & Gold Miners) 21:55 - Active Management is counter-cyclical 22:52 - Gold & Gold Miners as an asset class: Due for correction?  24:41 -  The impact of passive investing driving asset prices; Index Investing & Price Distortion 26:29 - Rapidly depleting asset investments (Gold) 28:30 - Active Management Matters: Invest in management teams 30:14 - Importance of understanding the fundamentals of companies in which to invest 32:29 - Venture Capital-lite: Who Gets the Money? 34:42 - What Worries You Now? Having no investment process; a mediocre process is better than nothing  35:33 - If you can sleep with what you have...  37:25 - Why Technical Analysis works well in Gold space 40:20 - Risk Management in Good Times: The Value of Good Analysis 42:29 - The Value of Contrarian Views & Skin in the Game 45:29  - There is No Such Thing as an Investing in the End of the World; there's always the day after 48:07 - The Best Investment Advice Ever: Invest in Yourself Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube:  https://youtu.be/YeciboacIW0 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwqWqisbCyQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "No Risk-free Path for the Fed" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sC5i-sZm73o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/ "Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AxelMerk #JobsReport #FederalReserve #GoldInvesting #MarketOutlook

The Federal Reserve cut rates on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 — but the path forward is anything but risk-free. Markets had already priced in much of the move, leaving investors to wonder if Powell's guidance will calm volatility or spark fresh uncertainty. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz look at what the Fed's latest decision means for stocks, bonds, and the economy. Why Powell's words may matter more than the rate cut itself. The risks of inflation, slowing growth, and financial instability in the months ahead.

The Federal Reserve cut rates on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 — but the path forward is anything but risk-free. Markets had already priced in much of the move, leaving investors to wonder if Powell's guidance will calm volatility or spark fresh uncertainty. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz look at what the Fed's latest decision means for stocks, bonds, and the economy. Why Powell's words may matter more than the rate cut itself. The risks of inflation, slowing growth, and financial instability in the months ahead.

Stock valuations are at extreme levels — some call it a bubble, while others argue the bull market has more room to run. So, who's right? And more importantly, what should YOU do as an investor? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz expose the conflicting market narratives and explain why selling everything may not be the smartest move. Instead, they'll explore how active investing, technical signals, and disciplined risk management can help you capture gains while protecting your portfolio if the tide turns.

Stock valuations are at extreme levels — some call it a bubble, while others argue the bull market has more room to run. So, who's right? And more importantly, what should YOU do as an investor? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz expose the conflicting market narratives and explain why selling everything may not be the smartest move. Instead, they'll explore how active investing, technical signals, and disciplined risk management can help you capture gains while protecting your portfolio if the tide turns.

Nvidia reported earnings with strong overall results, but Wall Street was not impressed. Despite solid forward guidance, a data center revenue miss rattled investors and sent the stock lower. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia's earnings highlights, why guidance failed to wow the bulls, and what this means for tech stocks going forward; the ongoing soap opera that is the Federal Reserve: Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, and dovish vs hawkish monetary policy stances; a discussion of the evolution of markets and investing as "entertainment." * Nvidia's Q2 2025 earnings breakdown * Why data center revenue is the market's key focus * How Wall Street is reacting to Nvidia's guidance * What this could mean for broader tech sector momentum

Nvidia reported earnings with strong overall results, but Wall Street was not impressed. Despite solid forward guidance, a data center revenue miss rattled investors and sent the stock lower. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia's earnings highlights, why guidance failed to wow the bulls, and what this means for tech stocks going forward; the ongoing soap opera that is the Federal Reserve: Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, and dovish vs hawkish monetary policy stances; a discussion of the evolution of markets and investing as "entertainment." * Nvidia's Q2 2025 earnings breakdown * Why data center revenue is the market's key focus * How Wall Street is reacting to Nvidia's guidance * What this could mean for broader tech sector momentum

Markets are showing signs of a speculative frenzy once again—but is the fire burning out or just getting started? Danny Ratliff & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest stock market speculation, shifts in investor sentiment 2025, and the risks of a potential market bubble forming. We'll look at how speculative trading trends are driving prices higher, what this means for long-term investors, and where financial market volatility could take markets next. If you're looking to understand whether the rally is sustainable—or if risk is quietly building beneath the surface—this discussion will give you the insights you need to stay informed and positioned wisely. 1 - Retailers Are Seeing Diminished Consumer Spending 2 - What Sector Rotation is Telling Us 3 - Speculative Bull Markets Can Go On for a Long Time 4 - The Fed is Contending With Weak Employment 5 - The Full Impact of Tariff is Still Unknown 6 - Jackson Hole & the Rate Cut Conundrum 7 - The Truth About Fed Meeting Minutes 8 - Lisa Cook & The Politicization of The Fed 9 - Fed Rate Cuts - 50 or 25? 10 - The Starbuck's Indicator of Consumer Sentiment 11- The Surprising Side Benefits of Paying with Cash 12 - Looking at the Positives 13 - Keeping Perspectives on Interest Rates 14 - Mortgage Rates vs Treasury Rates 15 - What Lowerd Rates Might Imply 16 - UPS: Value or Value Trap? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://bit.ly/4mrXcJW -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bad News is not New News" is here: https://bit.ly/4lwwFtH -------- Our previous show, "John Tamny - Money is Ruthless," can be viewed here: https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Greg Mankiw's Solutions Would Expand Federal Debt" https://www.realclearmarkets.com/2025/08/12/greg_mankiws_solutions_would_expand_federal_debt_1128148.html ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #LisaCook #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #AIstory #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #StockMarket #InvestorSentiment #MarketBubble #SpeculativeTrading #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets are showing signs of a speculative frenzy once again—but is the fire burning out or just getting started?  Danny Ratliff & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest stock market speculation, shifts in investor sentiment 2025, and the risks of a potential market bubble forming. We'll look at how speculative trading trends are driving prices higher, what this means for long-term investors, and where financial market volatility could take markets next. If you're looking to understand whether the rally is sustainable—or if risk is quietly building beneath the surface—this discussion will give you the insights you need to stay informed and positioned wisely. 1 - Retailers Are Seeing Diminished Consumer Spending 2 - What Sector Rotation is Telling Us 3 - Speculative Bull Markets Can Go On for a Long Time 4 - The Fed is Contending With Weak Employment 5 - The Full Impact of Tariff is Still Unknown 6 - Jackson Hole & the Rate Cut Conundrum 7 - The Truth About Fed Meeting Minutes 8 - Lisa Cook & The Politicization of The Fed 9 - Fed Rate Cuts - 50 or 25? 10 - The Starbuck's Indicator of Consumer Sentiment 11- The Surprising Side Benefits of Paying with Cash 12 - Looking at the Positives 13 - Keeping Perspectives on Interest Rates 14 - Mortgage Rates vs Treasury Rates 15 - What Lowerd Rates Might Imply 16 - UPS: Value or Value Trap? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://bit.ly/4mrXcJW -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bad News is not New News" is here:  https://bit.ly/4lwwFtH -------- Our previous show, "John Tamny - Money is Ruthless," can be viewed here: https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q  -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Greg Mankiw's Solutions Would Expand Federal Debt" https://www.realclearmarkets.com/2025/08/12/greg_mankiws_solutions_would_expand_federal_debt_1128148.html ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #LisaCook #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #AIstory #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #StockMarket #InvestorSentiment #MarketBubble #SpeculativeTrading #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed's hand and what it means for your portfolio. Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week? SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear? SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to Appear SEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut? SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" Inflation SEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff Inflation SEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut? SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten Companies SEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles? SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick? SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-Caps SEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio Tools SEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & Nvidia Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Index Isn't Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/ "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed's hand and what it means for your portfolio.  Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week? SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear? SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to Appear SEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut? SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" Inflation SEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff Inflation SEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut? SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten Companies SEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles?  SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative  SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick? SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-Caps SEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio Tools SEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & Nvidia Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Index Isn't Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/ "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Trillions in investor capital has been locked up in the "T-bill and Chill" trade for several years now.But will the Fed expected to cut rates materially over the next year, that trade is coming to an end.Where should all that capital consider going next?Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz and I dive into this key question in this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#interestrates #federalreserve #bondyields 0:00 - Welcome and Introduction2:09 - Discussion on Speculative Market Trends and Dot-Com Echoes4:00 - Comparison to Meme Stocks and Cathie Wood-Type Tech Stocks5:40 - Historical Context of 1998-2000 Dot-Com Boom7:11 - Analysis of High-Beta vs. Low-Beta Stocks11:50 - Growth vs. Value Performance During Dot-Com Era14:22 - Speculative Mania and Risk Management Strategies18:03 - Importance of Diversification and Active Management19:41 - Growth vs. Value Index and Historical Trends22:01 - Small-Cap vs. Large-Cap and Profitability Trends25:06 - Recent Market Trends and High-Beta Outperformance29:03 - Potential Triggers for High-Beta Stock Correction33:12 - Economic Slowdown as a White Swan Risk38:01 - Critique of BLS Data Reliability43:31 - Need for Real-Time Data and Fed Reform47:51 - Model-Based Fed Policy and Transparency50:21 - Bond Market Dynamics and Yield Curve Strategy56:26 - Positioning for Potential Fed Rate Cuts58:39 - End of T-Bill and Chill Trade Considerations1:02:17 - Closing Remarks and Call to Action1:04:14 - Michael's Advice on Separating Politics from Investing_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

How can low beta stocks help savvy investors sidestep the pain of the Dot-Com Bust? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz reveal why that lesson matters today...what low beta investing means, how it works in bear markets, and how it can protect your portfolio from bubbles and volatility. Lance reviews market reaction to tariffs coming completely online, and Apple's commitment to re-shore manufacturing to the US; the multiplier effect of domestic manufacturing. A look at Eli Lilly's successful completion of trials for its GLP pill; markets continue to hover along the 20-DMA. Lance and Michael discuss the AI phenomenon; what it really means when we're talking about "the market;" what is the cycle that is sustaining the stock market? How will younger investors' habits imprint market dynamics. What will trigger a crisis of confidence in the market; Lance and Michael discuss the importance of continuous risk management. SEG-1: Tariffs Are Fully in Effect - Market Response SEG-2a: Markets Continue to Defy Dire News SEG-2b: Is the AI Bubble the Same as the Dot-com Bubble? SEG-2c: Commentary on the Concentration on AI Stocks SEG-2d: What Do We Mean when We Say, "Market?" SEG-2e: The Virtuous Cycle Lifting Markets Higher SEG-2f: Impact & Influence of Younger Investors' Habits SEG-2g: What Will Be the Crisis of Confidence? SSEG-2h: The Importance of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW8-B15zzCk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-7-25 Is the Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEX8Ev1PJgo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Build a Winning Investment Portfolio | What to Buy & What to Avoid in 2025 " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYKQ9V4PIfU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #LowBetaStocks #DotComBubble #RiskManagement #StockMarketCrash #DefensiveInvesting#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

How can low beta stocks help savvy investors sidestep the pain of the Dot-Com Bust? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz reveal why that lesson matters today...what low beta investing means, how it works in bear markets, and how it can protect your portfolio from bubbles and volatility. Lance reviews market reaction to tariffs coming completely online, and Apple's commitment to re-shore manufacturing to the US; the multiplier effect of domestic manufacturing. A look at Eli Lilly's successful completion of trials for its GLP pill; markets continue to hover along the 20-DMA. Lance and Michael discuss the AI phenomenon; what it really means when we're talking about "the market;" what is the cycle that is sustaining the stock market? How will younger investors' habits imprint market dynamics. What will trigger a crisis of confidence in the market; Lance and Michael discuss the importance of continuous risk management. SEG-1: Tariffs Are Fully in Effect - Market Response  SEG-2a: Markets Continue to Defy Dire News SEG-2b: Is the AI Bubble the Same as the Dot-com Bubble? SEG-2c: Commentary on the Concentration on AI Stocks SEG-2d: What Do We Mean when We Say, "Market?" SEG-2e: The Virtuous Cycle Lifting Markets Higher SEG-2f: Impact  & Influence of Younger Investors' Habits SEG-2g: What Will Be the Crisis of Confidence? SSEG-2h: The Importance of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW8-B15zzCk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-7-25 Is the Correction Over?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEX8Ev1PJgo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Build a Winning Investment Portfolio | What to Buy & What to Avoid in 2025 " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYKQ9V4PIfU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #LowBetaStocks #DotComBubble #RiskManagement #StockMarketCrash #DefensiveInvesting#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady in its latest policy meeting, signaling a firm stance amid inflation concerns, and despite unchecked market bullishness. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down what the Fed's decision means for investors, the economy, and your portfolio. AI datacenter buildouts are showing up in economic data...but, the 3% GDP print has a more dire undertone: Strip out the build outs, and the economy is weaker than it appears. Is dissention among Fed governors politically motivated, or being economically cautious? Home prices are declining; housing is like an economic pyramid (NOT a pyramid scheme!) The AI buildout is skewing economic data. The bulk of market positivity bs being driven by only a few, large companies; any iss by Amazon or Apple reported today could sway markets tomorrow.

The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady in its latest policy meeting, signaling a firm stance amid inflation concerns, and despite unchecked market bullishness. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down what the Fed's decision means for investors, the economy, and your portfolio. AI datacenter buildouts are showing up in economic data...but, the 3% GDP print has a more dire undertone: Strip out the build outs, and the economy is weaker than it appears. Is dissention among Fed governors politically motivated, or being economically cautious? Home prices are declining; housing is like an economic pyramid (NOT a pyramid scheme!) The AI buildout is skewing economic data. The bulk of market positivity bs being driven by only a few, large companies; any iss by Amazon or Apple reported today could sway markets tomorrow. 

Artificial intelligence is no longer the future—it's the engine behind today's market moves. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how AI and machine learning are reshaping investing strategies, influencing algorithmic trading, and transforming financial analysis. Lance looks at earnings season and Tesla's results; there's nothing wrong with the markets, but all the ingredients are in place for a market reversion; what will be the catalyst? Lance corrects himself on Tesla comments; Lane and Michael hash over the impact of AI on market trading, and the pro's and con's of algorithmic trading; AI can tell you what to buy, but what about when to sell? Jerome Powell is in a pickle with an over-budget Fed Building redux and an unhappy Boss (DJT). What would a Powell removal do for markets? Lance's notes on our switch to pure-digital August 4th; is the government missing an investment opportunity in the AI infrastructure buildout? * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Earnings Season Results to Date SEG-2a: Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentary SEG-2b: AI vs Dot-com Revolutions SEG-3: Fed Froth & Powell Fed Building Bungle SEG-4a: Going Digital SEG-4b: The AI Investment Buildout Opportunity Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhqbFkLRaO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=173s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Are Stocks Going Up?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ "AI Is Powering Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-is-powering-markets/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #CreditSwaps #CreditSpreads #AIMarkets #AIInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #StockMarketTrends #MachineLearningFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are the Magnificent Seven losing their magic? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz get the real story behind Magnificent Seven stocks performance and what it means for your investment strategy. Lance reviews this week's PPI report (flat) showing little to no effects from tariffs. Yet. The make up of the US economy (80% services) is such that corporations will primarily pay tariffs, and likely not pass along much of the additional cost. Earnings Season continues to roll along as markets enter the seasonally-weaker period of the year. Lance and Michael discuss PPI and what the Fed might be thinking next. The Question de Jour is what is happening with bonds. NOTE: Lance reveals more details about our upcoming programming changes; pay attention! Lance & Michael discuss how we manage Bonds; the surge in retail speculation and the performance (?) of Mag-7 stocks (meh). Michael discusses the two forms of Volatility, and Lance preaches to the YouTube Chat choir. SEG-1: PPI Comes in Flat - Markets Prepare for Correction SEG-2: What is the FEd Thinking Now? SEG-3a: Show Changes Coming SEG-3b: How We Manage Bond Portfolios SEG-3c: Has the Mag-7 Lost its Magic? SEG-4a: YouTube Chat SEG-4b: S&P 500 Realized vs Implied Volatility Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "SPAC's are Back!," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaCxUW2BClU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BondPortfolio #MagnificentSeven #StockMarketUpdate #TechStocks #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are the Magnificent Seven losing their magic?  Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz get the real story behind Magnificent Seven stocks performance and what it means for your investment strategy. Lance reviews this week's PPI report (flat) showing little to no effects from tariffs. Yet. The make up of the US economy (80% services) is such that corporations will primarily pay tariffs, and likely not pass along much of the additional cost. Earnings Season continues to roll along as markets enter the seasonally-weaker period of the year. Lance and Michael discuss PPI and what the Fed might be thinking next. The Question de Jour is what is happening with bonds. NOTE: Lance reveals more details about our upcoming programming changes; pay attention! Lance & Michael discuss how we manage Bonds; the surge in retail speculation and the performance (?) of Mag-7 stocks (meh). Michael discusses the two forms of Volatility, and Lance preaches to the YouTube Chat choir. SEG-1: PPI Comes in Flat - Markets Prepare for Correction SEG-2: What is the FEd Thinking Now? SEG-3a: Show Changes Coming SEG-3b: How We Manage Bond Portfolios SEG-3c: Has the Mag-7 Lost its Magic? SEG-4a: YouTube Chat SEG-4b: S&P 500 Realized vs Implied Volatility   Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here:  https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "SPAC's are Back!," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaCxUW2BClU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BondPortfolio #MagnificentSeven #StockMarketUpdate #TechStocks #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

As inflation remains elevated and the Federal Reserve begins to shift its tone, markets are asking: Will lower interest rates actually bring prices down — or make them worse? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz unpack the delicate balance between monetary policy, consumer behavior, and price pressures: * The historical relationship between rate cuts and inflation * Why inflation may be more “sticky” than expected * How consumer demand and debt loads are reshaped by lower rates * The unintended consequences of looser policy on asset prices * What this means for investors and retirees going forward SEG-1: Why Economists Expect Higher Growth by 2026 SEG-2: Growth is Back in Vogue SEG-3a: Like & Subscribe tease - changes coming SEG-3b: Can Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices? SEG-4a: Coffee Cafe, ChatGPT, & Economic Haiku SEG-4b: Earnings Season Preview: Tariff Effects? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/ "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Protect Your Multi-decade Retirement From Inflation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #InterestRates #InflationControl #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #PriceStability#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

As inflation remains elevated and the Federal Reserve begins to shift its tone, markets are asking: Will lower interest rates actually bring prices down — or make them worse? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz unpack the delicate balance between monetary policy, consumer behavior, and price pressures: * The historical relationship between rate cuts and inflation * Why inflation may be more “sticky” than expected * How consumer demand and debt loads are reshaped by lower rates * The unintended consequences of looser policy on asset prices * What this means for investors and retirees going forward SEG-1: Why Economists Expect Higher Growth by 2026 SEG-2: Growth is Back in Vogue SEG-3a: Like & Subscribe tease - changes coming SEG-3b: Can Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices? SEG-4a: Coffee Cafe, ChatGPT, & Economic Haiku SEG-4b: Earnings Season Preview: Tariff Effects?   RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/ "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Protect Your Multi-decade Retirement From Inflation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #InterestRates #InflationControl #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #PriceStability#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Send us a textIt's time for one of our favorite guests again! GÜD for MAMAs Prenatal is designed by our friend Dr. Noah Lebowitz and his dad Dr. Michael Lebowitz. It is the CLEANEST prenatal and multivitamin you can find and one we trust with our families! (You all know how skeptical we are!) Both the prenatal and multivitamin are third-party tested, clean, and made by people who actually care. Today, Dr. Noah breaks down the ingredients and shares what's really important for a healthy pregnancy. He genuinely wants mamas to feel good, grow healthy babies, and be supported through both pregnancy and postpartum.The fellas are not forgotten about! In this episode you'll also hear about sperm health and how long you should be stacking up the "goods" with a multivitamin preconception. Use Code UTSP15 for 15% off your prenatal or multivitamin! or click the link below

The economy is showing increasing signs of weakening, and eventually stock prices are going to have to reflect that predicts portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz -- who guest stars in this week's Market Recap while Lance Roberts is traveling in the UK.Earnings estimates for the rest of this year and next are very optimistic, perhaps unrealistically so.Should the economy continue to weaken, the chances of attaining those earnings results will drop so low that Wall Street will have to start demanding that stocks trade at a discount to current prices.Michael and I discuss the logic why, as well dig into the newest -- and controversial -- non-farms payroll data, inflation expectations & bond yields, the investment potential of the artificial intelligence & energy sectors, and the future of Tesla.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#recession #marketcorrection #tesla 0:00 - Welcome and Fourth of July Greetings2:20 - Market Technicals and Potential Melt-Up7:21 - Seasonal Trends and Upcoming Catalysts11:46 - Wall of Worry and Market Resilience16:17 - Drivers of the Market Breakout21:14 - Technical Indicators and Consolidation Needs22:56 - June Non-Farm Payrolls Report Analysis27:22 - Discrepancies in BLS and ADP Data32:26 - Economic Slowdown Signals36:42 - AI and Economic Growth Potential44:29 - Energy and AI Investment Opportunities56:00 - Upcoming AI and Energy Investing Event59:40 - Tesla and AI's Physical Applications1:18:24 - Rant: Societal Risks of AI and UBI1:29:32 - Preparing for AI's Impact1:34:16 - Closing and Financial Advice_____________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Is the Fed setting the stage for another policy blunder? As inflation pressures linger and economic growth slows, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the risks of the central bank's next move—and what it could mean for your money on this morning's episode of #TheRealInvestmentShow. The Market Rally is ON, yet oil prices are telling a different story about the economy. President Trump could be picking a successor to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sooner than later. Lance and Michael expose the Fed's political "independance," and it's proclivity for financial socialism. The Fed is always late...and always wrong. The true role of the Fed is to protect its member banks. Jerome Powell doesn't mind being late. The ill-fated push to lower bank's minimum reserve requirements. Again. (Did we not learn from the past?) SEG-1: Vacation Prelude - The Rally is On SEG-2: The Folly of the Fed & Financial Socialism SEG-3: Economic Data Shows Weaking - Will the Fed be too late? SEG-4: The Fed is Always Wrong RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8wHxhOOWMQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bulls Are Back in Town," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InflationOutlook #RecessionRisk #FedMistake #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #IranIsraelConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

May CPI surprised with a "cooler" print on inflation, begging the question of what the Fed will do next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the CPI report, reveal what's driving the slowdown in some consumer prices, and explore what it means for interest rates, your portfolio, and the broader economy. Who's going to end up "eating" the tariff-related increases? A clue may appear in the PPI reading. April saw a massiv surge in stock buy backs; that window will soon close. Lance and MIchael discuss the initial effects of tariffs on the economy; consumer choice is a factor that should not be ignored. For investors, the key is focusing on what really matters (earnings) vs the popular narratives de jour. Markets have all the information, but investors sometimes allow sentiment to take control. SEG-1: CPI & PPI - Who's Eating the Tariffs? SEG-2: Parsing CPI: What Did Tariffs Really Affect? SEG-3: Why All That Matters is Earnings SEG-4: How to Manage Risk Best RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F4zKT325bo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Love for Puts," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI Day - Will Inflation Hold Steady?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InflationCools #InflationUpdate #ConsumerPriceIndex #MarketPullback #StockBuyBacks #Puts #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are investors wrong to assume that rate cuts will automatically tame inflation? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz challenge the belief that the Fed's rate cuts always translate into lower inflation. Using historical data and current economic conditions, we explore how monetary policy really interacts with price pressures—and why rate cuts may actually stoke inflation under the wrong conditions. Specifically, Lance and Mike address the real impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflation, why cutting rates doesn't always reduce inflation, and some lessons from past economic cycles. What today's investors should expect in 2025

Are investors wrong to assume that rate cuts will automatically tame inflation?  Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz challenge the belief that the Fed's rate cuts always translate into lower inflation. Using historical data and current economic conditions, we explore how monetary policy really interacts with price pressures—and why rate cuts may actually stoke inflation under the wrong conditions. Specifically, Lance and Mike address the real impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflation, why cutting rates doesn't always reduce inflation, and some lessons from past economic cycles.  What today's investors should expect in 2025

Are bonds cheap? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss whether or not bonds are a good buy now, with a composite bond market outlook, and the relationship of interest rates and bond prices. SEG-1: Hurricane Season & Market Pullback SEG-2: Bond Auction Reality - What did the dealers do? SEG-3: Debunking the Narratives & Bad, Scary Charts SEG-4: Why Bonds Are a Good Buy Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Death Of The Dollar: An Eternal Tale" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/death-of-the-dollar-an-eternal-tale/ "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pullback We Needed ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Has the Correction Started?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD_sgSpa4Go&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #BondMarket #InvestingInBonds #FixedIncome #InterestRates2025 #MarketOutlook #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

In this latest Sprott Money "Ask the Expert" episode, host Craig Hemke sits down with Michael Lebowitz to dissect the economic turbulence facing markets mid-2025. From shifting Fed policies to the implications of new tariffs, they dive deep into what these crosscurrents mean for the gold price, silver price, and broader market sentiment. Is the U.S. economy headed for a recession or just slower growth? How do rising bond yields affect the price of gold and silver? And is now the time to buy gold or buy silver? Don't miss this essential discussion that cuts through media noise to provide actionable insights for investors in precious metals and beyond.

Are rising yields a warning sign, or are they reflecting renewed economic strength? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz dive into the latest movements in bond yields and what they signal for markets, the Fed, and your portfolio. Lance and Mike analyze the shape of the yield curve, interest rate forecasts, and what it all means for investors in 2025: * Why the 10-year Treasury yield is making headlines * Is the inverted yield curve still relevant? * What to watch from the Fed and inflation data * How bond market signals impact equity prices Stay informed. Stay ahead. ➤ Subscribe for more market insight and financial commentary. SEG-1: If You Don't Raise Cash, You Can't Buy the Dip SEG-2: Inflation Continues to Modulate Lower SEG-3: Markets Are Driven by Trading Dynamics SEG-4: The Problem with the Buffett Indicator Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkCQucjucCo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Wealth Effect Is Not Always Virtuous" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-wealth-effect-is-not-always-virtuous/ "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is the Time to Not Be Greedy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdJgbyS_PkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Equity Chase is On" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondYields #InterestRates #YieldCurve #MarketUpdate #TreasuryYields #MarketRally InvestorGreed #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #StockMarket2025 #StockMarketRally #EquityOutlook #BullMarket2025 #InvestmentStrategy #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays#MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Federal Reserve kept its stance firmly hawkish at their latest FOMC meeting — but what does that mean for stocks, bonds, and the economy? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the Fed's latest interest rate decision, Jerome Powell's comments, and the immediate market reaction, covering key sectors impacted, investor sentiment shifts, and the Fed's outlook for inflation, growth, and monetary policy going forward. Lance and Michael discuss why Fed Head Jerome Powell was surprised by the Trump Tariffs, the relative strength of the dollar, and how the economy is "normalizing" with "higher" interest rates. Lance and Michael also discuss the merits of Ai with Apple & Google, and the multiplier effect artificial intelligence will produce for supporting industries; the importance of identifying and investing in companies poised for generating earnings growth. Don't miss this critical update as the Fed's tough tone shapes the path ahead for portfolios and financial markets. SEG-1: Fed Day Snoozer; Earnings Season Wraps SEG-2: Why It's Okay to Run a Trade Deficit SEG-3: The Economy is Actually Normalizing SEG-4a: Apple vs Google-Ai SEG-4b: Investing in Companies Generating Earnings Growth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9m45eTIyu0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Storm Before The Calm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-storm-before-the-calm/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/ "Economic Decline Gains Momentum" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the Market Continue to Build?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e00bUJpRZZc ------- Our previous show is here: "China Blinks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #FederalReserve #InterestRate #HawkishFed #InvestingOpportunity FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Despite the growing investor enthusiasm for the recent sharp rally in stocks, we're still in a "sell the rip" environment counsels portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz.He thinks it's more likely that stocks top out soon, to then fall to re-test the April lows.We discuss his reasons why, as well as bonds, tariffs, recession risk, the Federal Reserves likely next moves, as well as his firm's recent trades in this week Market Recap.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketrally #tariffs #recession _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Dr. Michael Lebowitz, a veteran physician with over 43 years of experience, joins the Tick Boot Camp Podcast live from the ILADS Conference to discuss his expertise in treating environmentally sensitive patients, chronic infections, and the role of mold in Lyme disease and other chronic illnesses. Key Takeaways: The Chronic Illness Crisis: Understanding how microbes (threat) and toxic load (vulnerability) contribute to the rise of chronic diseases. The Mold Factor: How mold exposure can increase susceptibility to Lyme disease and worsen symptoms post-infection. Historical Treatments for Mold: A look into ancient remedies, including essential oils and environmental interventions, for combating mold-related illnesses. Modern Mold Illness Approaches: Dr. Lebowitz's integrative strategy for addressing mold, parasites, viruses, Lyme disease, food sensitivities, and more to lower total toxic burden. Reducing Toxic Load: Practical recommendations on testing for dysbiosis, using full-spectrum herbs, and eliminating dietary and environmental triggers. Resources & Links:

Will the market soar to new heights, stall in uncertainty, or plummet into correction? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the key drivers that will shape the economy and stock market in the months ahead. From Federal Reserve policy shifts to earnings forecasts, geopolitical risks to liquidity conditions—this is your investor's guide to what's next. Whether you're managing a portfolio or planning your financial future, this episode offers data-driven insights and strategic foresight you won't want to miss. SEG-1: The Burrito Economic Indicator SEG-2: Three Paths Forward for Markets SEG-3: Bear Market vs Bull Market: Putting Markets in Context SEG-4: Is a Liquidity Crisis Brewing? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mx2LIiXrMlc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Path Ahead: Soar, Stall, Or Plummet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-path-ahead-soar-stall-or-plummet/ "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/ "Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Middlin Momentum" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CA6HUOOge7Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trump vs. Powell: Should the Fed Chair Be Fired?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wk1oFwfzi90&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #OilDemand #ConsumerDemand #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestorForecast #EconomicTrends #StockMarketFuture #BullOrBear #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #DonaldTrump #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Tariff talk is giving markets a fit, unable to price equities or make reasonable earnings estimates amidst the on-again, off-again tariff threats. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow economic forecasting tool predicts an imminent recession, which is fueling investor angst. However, the New York and St. Louis Feds' Nowcast economic forecasts predict continued economic growth in the first quarter. Confused? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore the GDPNow and Nowcast models to understand the recent forecast divergences. How do these affect economic forecasts for 2025? How do they align with recession predictions vs growth outlook and the Federal Reserve interest rate outlook? What should investors do when presented with conflicting economic indicators, and how should you factor-in market uncertainty analysis? Also a look at the impact of Gold on the trade deficit, and a look at the Debt Ceiling and X-Date. SEG-1: Tariff Talk & Sentiment Shift SEG-2: Bear Porn Nirvana SEG-3: GDP Now & Nowcast Divergencies SEG-4a: Impact of Gold on Trade Deficit SEG-4b: The Debt Ceiling and X-Date Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qizvC5xxIX0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1409s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Tariff Talk Tatters Traders," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Risk of Recession Rising?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLfl-tzH17k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1984s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicForecasts #GDPNow #Nowcast #MarketOutlook2025 #RecessionOrRecovery #InvestingInUncertainty #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

After a pummeling few weeks over which the stocks lost $trillions in market cap, Friday saw a big rally and the reversal of a number of technical indicators.Does this mean the bottom is in? At least, in the near term?Quite possibly, says portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz.We discuss the reasons why this is more likely than not, and the importance of watching closely what happens next.If stocks rise to make a new high, the multi-year bull market trend will remain intact.If they rise, but start putting in lower highs & lower lows, that suggests more weakness to come.If they fail to rise at all from here and resume their downtrend, that opens the door to some scary prospects.Michael and I discuss all of these in depth -- as well as his outlook on tariffs, earnings, recession risk, bonds, gold and his firm's latest trades -- in this week's Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

The market has been tossed a lot of surprises lately -- even a near-black swan (DeepSeek) -- and yet, stocks have shrugged off all the uncertainty.Investor sentiment remains sky-high.And concern of the growing list of risk factors appears quite low.So, is "irrational exuberance" back?That's what portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz and I discuss in today's video, as well as his current outlook for the bond market, the latest jobs data, the distorting impact single-stock ETFs are having on equity prices, whether the US dollar will strengthen or weaken from here, and Michael's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets, watch this week's Market Update.BUY YOUR TICKET AT THE EARLY BIRD PRICE FOR OUR MARCH 15 CONFERENCE at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference

What does the $500-B Stargate announcment really mean for the economy (remember Carrier's "on-shoring" of jobs)? Lance recounts the benefits and innovations that came out of the US Space Race. Markets are back at all time highs; choose your entry point wisely. Lance & Michael review the concepts of trimming portfolios and taking profits; how to properly weight portfolios. What is your objective? Portfolio weighting = risk management. Lance previews an upcoming, virtual economic summit. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss the recent strong correlation between the appreciating dollar and rising yields and the reasons for the relationship, covering the US Dollar Impact on Economy, Global Currency Trends for 2025, and Dollar Strength and Investments. Lance & Mike will also touch on Foreign Exchange Markets Analysis and USD vs Global Currencies. Importing edflation, exporting inflation; fundamentals vs sentiment. FOMO and Term Premiums. Why Bond Vigilantes are not the good guys. Lance & Michael's Fed Meeting Preview; the problem of CPI Shelter component; New Rents will take months to show up in calculus. SEG-1: What the $500-B Stargate Announcement Really Means SEG-2: How to Trim Portfolios & Take Profits SEG-3: It's the Dollar Stupid SEG-4: Curbing Expectations to Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pT38gvYnsXc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It's the Dollar, Stupid!" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/its-the-dollar-stupid/ "Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?" https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Be Careful of Chasing at All Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Returns Expectations For 2025 Too High?," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEKNkfsiB4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AllTimeHigh #FOMO #EntryPoint #Volatility #InvestorSentiment #USDollar #GlobalEconomy #ForexMarket #CurrencyTrends #FinancialTalk #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference Well, the Fall Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I'm delighted to say the event was a real success. That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 9 hour day. Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Stephanie Pomboy, Fred Hickey, Thomas Hoenig, Danielle DiMartino Booth, Michael Pento, Michael Lebowitz, Steven Bavaria, Brent Johnson, Lyn Alden, Melody Wright, Rick Rule, Lance Roberts, New Harbor Financial and Jonathan Wellum. For those of you who didn't attend, I thought you'd enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights. And for details on the New Harbor event in Concord, MA on Oct 24th, go to https://newharborfinancial.regfox.com/the-new-harbor-summit-new-england #recession #interestrates #marketcorrection --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support