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Blue Owl, a name we've gotten to know for all the wrong reasons, has been forced to come clean after getting sued by pretty much every class action securities lawyer in America, not only into admitting there was a wave of withdrawals but also promising to accommodate them over and above what it normally would. Not only does that further confirm the First stage of the credit cycle reverse, it actually sets up the second stage. In this video, we're going to cover where everything in the credit cycle stands and and more importantly what it all means. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Publicly Traded Private-Credit Funds Set for Worst Year Since 2020https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-29/publicly-traded-private-credit-funds-set-for-worst-year-since-2020Bloomberg Blue Owl BDC Allows 17% Redemptions as Investors Storm Exithttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-07/blue-owl-bdc-allows-for-17-redemptions-as-investors-storm-exithttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
This is simply insane – new car sales among American households making $75k or less have crashed by 30% since 2019. Car prices soared. Incomes didn't. They can't afford a new car. But it's not just the lowest incomes. Those making between $75k and $150k have bought 7% fewer cars than in 2019. This is a lot more than the K-shaped economy and to call it an affordability crisis seriously understates the problem. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------Fox Business Fed Governor Stephen Miran says more than 100 basis points in rate cuts justified this yearhttps://www.foxbusiness.com/media/fed-governor-stephen-miran-says-more-than-100-basis-points-cuts-justified-yearBloomberg Slowing Auto Sales Stoke Concern Over Near-Record Car Priceshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-05/us-auto-sales-poised-to-slip-as-middle-class-buyers-retreathttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
As prices stay high, the White House delays new tariffs to blunt affordability backlash. Brandon Aceto and Jeff Snider break down why prices will not fall, how Biden era inflation reshaped the economy, and why wage growth and jobs matter more than messaging.
Commodities are going nuts right now, with copper now parabolic joining silver on the crazy train. Gold is lagging behind both, which is not a good sign for each's ability to stay on the upside. Meanwhile, at the complete other end of the commodity spectrum is oil, not just in terms of prices but key spreads in Middle East markets. One of those just flipped for the first time in years, signaling growing worries about global demand. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It's where understanding the monetary world isn't a mystery, it's a method.If you're serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you're in the right place. Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we'll fill in everything that you've been missing. Join us: https://web.eurodollar-university.com/eurodollar-vsl-pagehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Loss of momentum isn't just happening in the US, it is very well synchronized globally with practically the same pattern showing up everywhere. Updates from neighbors Canada and Mexico show a deepening downturn at the end of last year, especially Mexico putting up its deepest contraction since April. Over in Europe, Germany fell back bringing Italy down with it. Plus, global bellwether Switzerland experienced its own “unexpectedly” sharp setback. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------SPG Canada Manuhttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/78c6ddcb80cf4ef0b14fc9dc3c091c86SPG Mexico Manuhttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/47f22c8de61b4d54965a25c3d3c417caSPG Germany Manuhttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/bd3c462f68704c5ea1613f2fce2879fdSPG Italy Manuhttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/be3b992b4ebb4b4db3030abaff5e0bc5Bloomberg Swiss Manufacturing Contracted More Than Anticipated in Decemberhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-05/swiss-manufacturing-contracted-more-than-anticipated-in-decemberhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The number of legendary investors calling this an AI bubble continues to climb, with Howard Marks, co-founder of Wall Street giant Oaktree flatly stating if AI isn't conforming to the historical bubble pattern, it will be a first. But there are some key differences within that pattern that just aren't being fully appreciated. Starting with how this AI bubble isn't actually about the stock market. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Bull steepening on the Treasury curve, falling energy prices especially gasoline, the final look at the US economy in 2025 shows it losing momentum again as the new year begins. In fact, even mainstream Economists, the most optimistic bunch you'll find, they're growing concerned again, with Moody's chief economist saying, quote, “nothing else can go wrong” because in his words, we're already on the edge of recession. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------S&P Global US Manu PMIhttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/7ca2ebfa9cce4c768e0cf449ba966293https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
There was an explosion, a record spike – and it's not even close - in lending by European banks to European shadow banks in October and November. This spike in European bank lending wasn't some newfound enthusiasm to take on risks. It was emergency lending, a shadow bank shadow bailout which was every bit the other side of the US$ repo tightness I've been telling you about. This surge in shadow bank borrowing in euros shows how widespread and global funding pressure has already been. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------The Banker Explainer: Why the IMF fears contagion from lenders' shadow bank exposurehttps://www.thebanker.com/content/0ec3d3f5-62bc-4aa1-8202-9cccb6ebc2a3Bloomberg Deutsche Bank Leads EU Lenders' Exposure to Shadow Bankshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/deutsche-bank-most-exposed-in-europe-to-shadow-banks-ubs-sayshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The Fed is going to need some more not-QE and fast. We've got the year-end surge in repo borrowing at its window that is already way more than expected. At the same time, front end Treasury bill yields tumble in what is looking more like collateral scarcity along the lines of repo fails. Plus, the rest of the yield curve spent the entire fourth quarter – doing nothing. Literally nothing - and that's huge. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Massive protests have broken out in Iran as the economy there implodes. This is no longer an uncommon occurrence as we're seeing more signs of the most dangerous phase of the economy. Spurred largely by younger generations who have born the brunt of economic suckitude their entire lives, political upheaval is spreading and intensifying – maybe presenting opportunity but either way it is, by far, the greatest risk the world faces in 2026.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Gen Z Revolts Against Dystopian Future as Protests Spread Worldwidehttps://www.bloomberg.com/features/2025-gen-z-protest-worldwide/Gallup George H.W. Bush Retrospectivehttps://news.gallup.com/opinion/gallup/234971/george-bush-retrospective.aspxCSpan October 1992 Presidential Townhallhttps://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-clintons-i-feel-your-pain-moment/4842764https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Repo fails just exploded, coming in at the highest weekly total since 2022. And this isn't even year-end. This is mid-December. It's the flat Beveridge economy that is exposing cracks in the credit markets. And along those lines, we've got an update on the Tricolor debacle and how it was actually uncovered that will knock your socks off u But it also does a really good job of explaining why there is so much risk aversion exploding throughout the monetary system. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
CarMax is back as a microcosm of the entire consumer economy. The company stumbled back in the spring then at the end of summer declared – no big deal - everything was turning around. Instead, not long after management eventually admitted it didn't turn around which, this past week, was totally confirmed when CarMax reported sales that had basically crashed during the quarter. Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
For the first time in Los Angeles Dodgers history, they began the year as reigning World Series champions and end the year the same way. The 2025 season wasn't without its hiccups, but it ultimately ended the same way the 2024 season did: with the Dodgers holding the World Series trophy over their heads. On tonight's year-end show, Clint Pasillas and Jeff Snider are here to talk with the viewers about the highs (and maybe some of the lows) of an unforgettable year in Dodger Blue. Tube in all offseason long! Leave a voicemail or text the Friend of the Show hotline! = (562)373-4095 #Dodgers Join our Discord by supporting the show on Patreon! ️ https://patreon.com/realFRG Or on YouTube Members! ️ https://youtube.com/@alldodgers/join All Dodgers is presented by FanDuel, part of the Bleav Network of podcasts. Please like and subscribe on YouTube! Hit that notification bell to get alerts on new content! PODCAST: Listen on BLEAV! ️ https://bit.ly/adbleav Listen on iTunes! ️ https://apple.co/3TXL8Vv Listen on Spotify! ️ http://bit.ly/3I9nW2S Listen on iHeart! ️ https://ihr.fm/3TXV5Cy SOCIAL: Follow Clint on Twitter/X ️ twitter.com/realFRG Follow Clint on Instagram ️instagram.com/realfrg Follow Jeff on Twitter/X ️ twitter.com/snidog Follow Kevin on Twitter/X ️twitter.com/skinner7kevin Follow the show on Twitter/X ️ twitter.com/alldodgersla Follow the show on Instagram ️ instagram.com/alldodgerspod Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The Bank of Japan keeps hiking its policy rate, Japanese bond yields continue to rise, yet no matter how high interest rates go over there the weaker the Japanese yen seems to get. And no one can figure out why. The government is stumped. Central bankers can only complain. And the yen is not the only one, but is a critical example of what everyone leaves out because they don't really know what they're looking at, or even looking for. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. Reserve your spot below but you better hurry, there aren't many left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's After-Christmas SALEGet $1,000 off an annual subscription to our DDA+ or 40% off an annual membership. Complete details and checkout at our website link below:https://www.eurodollar.university/holiday-offer---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Repo fails, a measure of collateral flow throughout the entire financial system, soared to more than $300 billion as of the middle of December. It was the highest for any non-quarter end week going back to June 2023. At the same time, borrowing from the Fed's repo facility is way up again as investors refuse to buy the spin from private credit that their portfolios are just fine and from central bankers who say the same thing about the economy. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's After-Christmas SALEGet $1,000 off an annual subscription to our DDA+ or 40% off an annual membership. Complete details and checkout at our website link below:https://www.eurodollar.university/holiday-offer---------------------------------------------------------------------------------WSJ The Private-Credit Party Turns Ugly for Individual Investorshttps://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/the-private-credit-party-turns-ugly-for-individual-investors-287356f9https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
US GDP utterly crushed it in Q3 and that was following Q2 when output supposedly was well more than expected, so two quarters in a row of booming numbers. So why isn't anyone buying it? To begin with, just look at gold and silver. Safe haven buying is literally off the charts. Bond yields didn't react at all. And consumer confidence keeps falling deeper into recession territory.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Back in October, foreigners sold a massive $61.2 billion in LT UST assets, the most since April. While that may sound like the “sell America” and Treasury rejection narrative from the summer, it's actually proof that the Fed's bank reserves are irrelevant. Remember October? Repo rates soaring. Use of the Fed's repo facility skyrocketed. Cockroaches and garbage lending. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Blue Owl is back, the beleaguered alternative fund manager making news this time by refusing to partner back up with beleaguered former AI bubble star Oracle. This is big, especially since before now Blue Owl and Oracle worked together on seemingly everything. We've even got Tether's CEO feeling the winds shift, admitting how Bitcoin's struggles, for example, are a reflection of both the credit cycle and bursting AI anxiety. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar Series REPLAYThere is a ton of smoke coming out from the credit markets right now. But is there fire? For the next hour and a half, join us in examining the issue from all the relevant angles and perspectives. Just how big is the "garbage pool"? What is the driving force behind the credit cycle? How can we tell if it is turning, or maybe has turned? The most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention. Replay the full webinar at the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/m9wym/go/replay/1ym21cpxh8zfw3f4---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Miami leads the nation in home de-listings, that is number of sellers who realize the housing situation is bad and getting worse, therefore simply pull their property off the market. De-listings nationally have soared this year, led by Miami and Florida. It wasn't supposed to be like this. Sellers came back into the market thinking lower interest rates were going to lure buyers. Why wouldn't they? That's what everyone says. Falling rates are stimulus and real estate is the most sensitive to it.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To get your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page------------------------------------------------------------Realtor.com November 2025 Monthly Housing Market Trends Reporthttps://www.realtor.com/research/november-2025-data/NAR NAR Existing-Home Sales Report Shows 0.5% Increase in Novemberhttps://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-existing-home-sales-report-shows-0-5-increase-in-novemberFlorida Housing Market https://www.redfin.com/state/Florida/housing-marketBloomberg US Existing-Home Sales Edge Up With Help From Tamer Priceshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-19/us-existing-home-sales-edge-higher-with-help-from-tamer-priceshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Tariff inflation continues to go down in flames, yet central bankers refuse to let it go. The US CPI report for November was released today and the details should help put all this to rest – especially alongside the payroll numbers from earlier in the week. However, over in Europe both the ECB and Bank of England claim they need to be vigilant about tariff inflation at the same time job losses and unemployment pile up even higher. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar Series REPLAYThere is a ton of smoke coming out from the credit markets right now. But is there fire? For the next hour and a half, join us in examining the issue from all the relevant angles and perspectives. Just how big is the "garbage pool"? What is the driving force behind the credit cycle? How can we tell if it is turning, or maybe has turned? The most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention. Replay the full webinar at the link below:https://event.webinarjam.com/m9wym/go/replay/1ym21cpxh8zfw3f4---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The BLS confirmed the US labor market has indeed entered flat Beveridge territory with profound implications. What are they? What does this mean moving forward? Join me at 1:30pm ET to find out.Also, join me later tonight for a very special webinar where we are going to be doing a COMPREHENSIVE review of on set of consequences from flat Beveridge: cockroaches and the credit market cycle. We'll go over all the smoke rising from the space and assess whether or not there's fire behind it - and take a few reasonable stabs at estimating how much.EDU's Webinar SeriesThursday December 17, 6pm ETA Trillion-Dollar Eurodollar Bomb is going Off on Wall StreetThe most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention.https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/risks
Chinese investment crashed yet again in November, the second straight month of bigtime declines. Only this time FAI was joined by consumer spending. Retail sales over in China also crashed last month, dropping by almost half a percent in November alone. That's enormous. It follows terrible data on household lending and bank credit. All of it points to an increasingly familiar topic and condition: China big economic slide is sliding right onto flat Beveridge. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar SeriesThursday December 17, 6pm ETA Trillion-Dollar Eurodollar Bomb is going Off on Wall StreetThe most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention.https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/risks---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, join me at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To get your spot, just go here: https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg China's Labor Market Distress Spreads at Worst Time for Deflation Fighthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-22/china-s-labor-distress-spreads-at-worst-time-for-deflation-fighthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
It appears Byron Buxton might be off the trade market, which means one fewer trade target for the Los Angeles Dodgers to fill their hole in the outfield. There are still some good outfielders available in free agency, so Jeff Snider and Clint Pasillas are here to talk about who fits best if LA decides to go that route. Cody Bellinger, Kyle Tucker, and Harrison Bader are the best options available, but which is the best solution for the Dodgers? Also, LA president Andrew Friedman hinted that the team doesn't necessarily need to add an outfielder; would a big-name infielder make as much sense? Tube in all offseason long! Leave a voicemail or text the Friend of the Show hotline! (562)373-4095 Join our Discord by supporting the show on Patreon! patreon.com/realFRG Or on YouTube Members! ️youtube.com/@alldodgers/join All Dodgers is presented by FanDuel, part of the Bleav Network of podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
So, Jay Powell just casually strolled to the podium at his press conference last week and announced the Fed now believes the US has been losing jobs at a rate of 20,000 per month. From strong and resilient to solid to, ah, so what we're now shedding jobs by the tens of thousands per month. Do you see it yet? The Treasury curve does, which is why it is moving into its final form in this long un-inversion process, with the big moves taking shape and doing most of the reshaping right in Chair Powell's conference room. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar SeriesThursday December 17, 6pm ETA Trillion-Dollar Eurodollar Bomb is going Off on Wall StreetThe most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention.https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/risks---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, join me at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To get your spot, just go here: https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page------------------------------------------------------------NBER Determination of the December 2007 Peak in Economic Activityhttps://www.nber.org/news/business-cycle-dating-committee-announcement-december-1-2008FOMC Press Conference, December 10, 2025https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ko-_yb2UkDkTranscripthttps://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20251210.pdfBloomberg Fed's Goolsbee Says He Sees More Cuts Than Most Others Next Yearhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-12/fed-s-goolsbee-cites-need-for-more-data-in-dissent-against-cuthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
IBM's CEO said there is “no way” that the massive spending on AI and data centers will ever pay off. For the first time in this bubble cycle people are finally wondering if maybe he is right. It couldn't have come at a more critical time in light of Oracle's shocking results. And then Broadcom failed to live up to the hype. In many ways, AI is the last pillar holding the forgot how to grow economy together, from both investments and stock-fueled consumer spending. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar SeriesThursday December 17, 6pm ETA Trillion-Dollar Eurodollar Bomb is going Off on Wall StreetThe most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention.https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/risks---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, join me at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To get your spot, just go here: https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
France's President called it a matter of life and death for European industry. The head of the European Commission said it has reached “an inflection point.” The Chinese have been trying to export their way out of what is now a major downturn. The truth is, neither side has much choice; the Chinese have to do it and the Europeans have to start resisting it. What China just reported in banking and the economy shows they're out of options even if it means sinking relations with an entire continent. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar SeriesThursday December 17, 6pm ETA Trillion-Dollar Eurodollar Bomb is going Off on Wall StreetThe most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention.https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/risks---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, join me at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To get your spot, just go here: https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg China Forces Reckoning in Europe as Trade Turns Existentialhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-12/china-forces-reckoning-in-europe-as-trade-boom-turns-existentialPolitico EU European industry faces ‘life or death,' Macron says — and China needs to helphttps://www.politico.eu/article/europe-china-emmanuel-macron-foreign-investment-trade/Bloomberg China Politburo Member Misses Two Key Meetings as Mystery Buildshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-12/china-politburo-member-misses-two-key-meetings-as-mystery-buildshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar SeriesThursday December 17, 6pm ETA Trillion-Dollar Eurodollar Bomb is going Off on Wall StreetThe most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention.https://event.webinarjam.com/m9wym/register/n0rnxu7n---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, join me at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To get your spot, just go here: https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Live replay on December FOMC decision.---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar SeriesThursday December 17, 6pm ETA Trillion-Dollar Eurodollar Bomb is going Off on Wall StreetThe most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention.https://event.webinarjam.com/m9wym/register/n0rnxu7n---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE 2026If you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, join me at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To get your spot, just go here: https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Swiss central bankers are being forced to choose between negative interest rates and negative consumer prices by the increasingly negative direction of the globally synchronized system. On a monthly basis, Switzerland's CPI declined in November for the fourth straight month as the country tries to work through contractions in output and a small but noticeable rise in unemployment. This all should sound familiar because, again, globally synchronized. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar SeriesThursday December 17, 6pm ETA Trillion-Dollar Eurodollar Bomb is going Off on Wall StreetThe most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention.https://event.webinarjam.com/m9wym/register/n0rnxu7n---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
There is a debate raging on Wall Street and across the markets about what's happening in private credit right now and what that might mean moving forward. We've gotten past the initial shock, the Tricolor and First Brands fiascos, the first round of hedge fund redemptions, so now what? Well, to begin with, there's what banks are doing right now and then there are warnings still coming in from key players across the industry. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIf you're a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, join me at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To get your spot, just go here: https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-pageBloomberg Private Credit Woes Should Put Banks on Noticehttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-12-05/banks-need-shoring-up-against-private-credit-risksBloomberg Private Credit ‘Hysteria' Will Get Very Real Next Yearhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-12-01/private-credit-risk-apollo-ceo-hysteria-claim-is-not-totally-rightBloomberg Private Credit's Sketchy Marks Get Warning Shot From Wall Street's Top Cophttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-25/private-credit-s-sketchy-marks-get-warning-shot-from-wall-street-s-top-copBloomberg Private Credit on Defensive Again Over ‘Mark-to-Myth' Studyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-16/private-credit-on-the-defensive-again-over-mark-to-myth-studyhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals. Most people won't notice until it's too late.I'm hosting a free webinar to break down what's happening and what it means for your portfolio. https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/risks--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Automotive insurance claims are estimated to have dropped around 9% so far this year. That sounds like a good thing, but it's an ominous sign. There haven't been fewer car accidents, instead more people just can't afford car insurance. Just recently, Gallup found at its midseason Christmas update, holiday shopping plans plummeted by a record amount. More than during late 2008. Why? Same reason people aren't buying car insurance. There are no jobs and not nearly enough income. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisGallup Economic Confidence Slips; Holiday Spending Plans Plummethttps://news.gallup.com/poll/699311/economic-confidence-slips-holiday-spending-plans-plummet.aspxBloomberg More Americans Are Skipping Car Insurance to Save Moneyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-12-05/more-americans-are-skipping-car-insurance-to-save-moneyhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The yen has made a huge move over the past seven months and no one can figure out why. According to every mainstream economic theory, JPY should be soaring not sinking. It's got the government in Tokyo hollering about currency intervention claiming there is no fundamental reason for the yen's plight. Except, there is and we just got more confirmation as household spending there utterly plunged in September and October. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar SeriesThursday December 17, 6pm ETA Trillion-Dollar Eurodollar Bomb is going Off on Wall StreetThe most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention.https://event.webinarjam.com/m9wym/register/n0rnxu7n---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
After weeks of speculation, back and forth over bad theories on inflation and what seemed to be a steady stream of hawk-sounding Fed policymakers, the market has spoken. We know right now what the FOMC is going to do next Wednesday. But what comes after that is still somewhat up in the air, though not nearly as much as you might think given all the noise recently. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU's Webinar SeriesThursday December 17, 6pm ETA Trillion-Dollar Eurodollar Bomb is going Off on Wall StreetThe most important funding system in the world is flashing warning signals, and almost no one is paying attention.https://event.webinarjam.com/m9wym/register/n0rnxu7n---------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
November now makes three of the last four months and four of the last six with negative private payrolls. According to ADP, the US private economy shed 32k jobs last month, the most yet in the cycle. And it turns the 6m average negative for the first time, so serious problems in labor – which are creating bigger ones in the housing market. According to the latest official numbers from the government, home prices fell for the fourth time in the last five months and that brought the annual rate of change down to the lowest since February 2012. Yes, February 2012, the bottom of the housing bust. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Federal Reserve Beige Book November 2025https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20251126.pdfBloomberg A Historic Housing Disconnect Is Forcing Prices Downhttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-12-01/a-housing-disconnect-points-to-lower-priceshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Jeff Snider and Kevin Skinner react to the news of Miguel Rojas re-signing with the Los Angeles Dodgers. What's next for LA on the hot stove ahead of the winter meetings? Plus the 2025 grades series continues with the outfield! How do Andy Pages, Teoscar Hernandez, and old friend Michael Conforto stack up? Tube in all offseason long! Leave a voicemail or text the Friend of the Show hotline! = (562)373-4095 #Dodgers Please consider supporting the show on Patreon! ️ https://patreon.com/realFRG Or support on YouTube Members! ️ https://youtube.com/@alldodgers/join All Dodgers is presented by FanDuel, part of the Bleav Network of podcasts. Please like and subscribe on YouTube! Hit that notification bell to get alerts on new content! PODCAST: Listen on BLEAV! ️ https://bit.ly/adbleav Listen on iTunes! ️ https://apple.co/3TXL8Vv Listen on Spotify! ️ http://bit.ly/3I9nW2S Listen on iHeart! ️ https://ihr.fm/3TXV5Cy SOCIAL: Follow Clint on Twitter/X ️ twitter.com/realFRG Follow Clint on Instagram ️instagram.com/realfrg Follow Jeff on Twitter/X ️ twitter.com/snidog Follow Kevin on Twitter/X ️twitter.com/skinner7kevin Follow the show on Twitter/X ️ twitter.com/alldodgersla Follow the show on Instagram ️ instagram.com/alldodgerspod Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Patrick Bet-David, Tom Ellsworth and Brandon Aceto are joined by @eurodollaruniversity 's Jeff Snider as they break down Governor Tim Walz being probed over the Minneapolis fraud scandal, Costco suing Donald Trump over tariff refunds, Odell Beckham's $100 million problem, and Zohran Mamdani & Bernie Sanders leading protests against Starbucks.------
Consumer products giant Proctor & Gamble just came out with an unusual warning about its core business, consumer products meaning consumers. The maker of Tide detergent, Mr. Clean, Pampers, Gilette and whole bunch of other brands you use every single day just said that sales were down “significantly” in October and that it likely continued right on through November. This tracks with where Christmas holiday shopping has been so far with Black Friday and Cyber Monday.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg P&G Warns US Sales Down ‘Significantly' Entering Current Quarterhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-02/p-g-warns-us-sales-down-significantly-entering-current-quarterBloomberg Cyber Monday Spending Pace Lags Black Friday for Second Yearhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-02/cyber-monday-online-spending-in-us-increases-7-1CNN You're paying more for less this shopping season. Now there's proofhttps://www.cnn.com/2025/12/01/business/black-friday-shoppers-holiday-seasonhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
December begins with a decided risk-off mood in financial markets, led by more painful liquidations in crypto. Bitcoin starts off the month with a nearly 7% drop to what would be a new recent low. Why? Economic woes continue to dominate concerns. Starting with Chicago, ISM's regional business barometer put up its largest single month decline in new orders in more than two years. Backlogs crashed by nearly 22 points to the lowest since March 2009. Its employment index fell to the worst since May 2009, with not a single respondent saying it had increased employment last month. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's AFTER BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ISM Chicago Business Barometer November 2025https://drive.google.com/file/d/1N7xXT_P4Z_g7u0dJYI_kOYkSk1fcvLcQ/viewISM Manufacturing November 2025https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/pmi/november/S&P Global Press Releaseshttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/public/release/pressreleasesBloomberg Small Businesses Turn to Lending Startups as Tariff Costs Mounthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-15/tariffs-drive-small-importers-to-costly-loans-as-lending-startups-surgeBloomberg First Brands' Blowup Puts Trade Finance in Spotlighthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-10-19/first-brands-blowup-puts-trade-finance-in-spotlight-jnj-jpm-ubs-jefhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
HP becomes the latest big name to announce major layoffs, said to be around 6000 more white collar jobs. It's getting to the point where despite all the mainstream and social media attention, call it fixation, on the tariff inflation faction at the Fed, the latest economic update from the central bank has almost nothing in it about that. Instead, it's cover-to-cover with worries about HP, Amazon, and all the smaller businesses we never hear about who nonetheless are finding themselves on the same part of the flat Beveridge curve. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
China sold a record amount of Treasuries last quarter, which is actually more confirmation of the monetary tightening story over the summer which is now spilling out into the mainstream in the form of elevated repo rates, SOFR, and repo borrowing from the Fed. At the same time and for very much related reasons, private foreign counterparties were buying huge amounts of, yes, US Treasuries. There was no rejection at all, quite the contrary all of it pointing to growing expectations for the fallout from flat Beveridge. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Repo. It's back. Or more accurately, never really left. When we last left off with it, things were calming down which is not unusual in these circumstances. That didn't mean it was a one-time, one-off matter, just that in the middle of the month there isn't a whole lot going on. But now with the Thanksgiving holiday here and December approaching, repo rates are up, borrowing from the Fed is back, and in related developments the hedge fund-private credit world is getting spicier. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg UBS Boss Is Right on Private Credit Rating Riskshttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-11-06/ubs-boss-scores-one-for-banks-over-private-creditBIS The transformation of the life insurance industry: systemic risks and policy challengeshttps://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap161.htmhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Despite half the Federal Reserve's best efforts to take away the December rate cut, the bond market is signaling from top to bottom, back to front it doesn't care one bit. The FOMC can spout off on tariff inflation, they can claim there is no way they'll support lowering rates next month, yields are going down and taking inflation expectations with them. The bond market is making big moves despite KC Jeff and his federal funds band. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Conference Board US Consumer Confidence Fell Sharply in Novemberhttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/Bloomberg Retail Sales Lost Steam in September as Shoppers Pulled Backhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-25/us-retail-sales-rose-0-2-in-september-as-consumers-pulled-backCNBC Core wholesale prices rose less than expected in September; retail sales gainhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/25/core-wholesale-prices-rose-less-than-expected-in-september-retail-sales-gain.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
India's rupee broke, plunging and I mean plunging Friday to a new record low and once again embarrassing the country's central bank which had been intervening heavily for the past month. The funny thing is, there really wasn't much of a trigger to it, at least not on the surface. The rupee continues to be a major global bellwether that often has less to do with India specifically. This once again appears to be one of those cases especially with the dollar making big moves against other important currencies, too. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-------------------------------------------------------------------Get the free guide that breaks down the real economic signals behind America's shrinking consumer demand, and how to protect your wealth before the slowdown hits your income: https://web.eurodollar-university.com/home-------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Indian Rupee Sinks to All-Time Low as RBI's Absence Sows ‘Panic'https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-21/indian-rupee-slides-to-record-low-on-delay-in-us-trade-dealBloomberg Korean Won Approaches Dollar-Sale Trigger Zone Before Rate Callhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-24/korean-won-approaches-dollar-sale-trigger-zone-before-rate-callhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Over half of American homes lost value over the last year, the highest number since...2012. More importantly, even the media is catching on that something big changed this summer in real estate. The reason why the housing market is retreating isn't interest rates. Lower mortgage costs have not sparked a turnaround in the face of all expectations they would. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIn a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That's why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on. If you don't have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University's comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.comZillow 53% of U.S. homes lost value in the past year, the most since 2012https://investors.zillowgroup.com/investors/news-and-events/news/news-details/2025/53-of-U-S--homes-lost-value-in-the-past-year-the-most-since-2012/default.aspxHome Value Declines Spread, But Losses Since Last Sale Are Rarehttps://www.zillow.com/research/home-value-decline-35724/Bloomberg Job and Housing Stresses Are Caught in a Vicious Loophttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-11-21/job-and-housing-stresses-are-caught-in-a-vicious-loophttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Nvidia was a bust. Not the company's earnings and forecasts, those were stellar. Instead, it didn't provide the buying boost everyone thought it would. Stocks lost ground. Bitcoin continues to get hammered, down by a third in roughly six weeks. What is going on here? The answer, or answers, are coming from the cockroaches. There's more to the Blue Owl hedge fund story. Plus, Bitcoin is correlating with what we call the triple hooks. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------CNBC Stocks tumble, Nasdaq closes 2% lower after stunning reversal in AI, Nvidia stockshttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/19/stock-market-today-live-updates.htmlCNBC Blue Owl calls off merger of its two private credit funds after announcement rattles stockhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/19/blue-owl-calls-off-merger-of-its-two-private-credit-funds-after-announcement-rattles-stock-sources-say.htmlBloomberg Blue Owl Money Machine Sputters in Face of Private Credit Crackshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-20/blue-owl-money-machine-sputters-in-face-of-private-credit-crackshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
After Home Depot disappointed and Target got slammed, Walmart reported results that were above expectations because in this economic climate the Target and Home Depot's losses are Walmart's gains. And its strength came from all income brackets, though high-income Americans are increasingly turning to Walmart. That's not good. But it does fit with the long-delayed payroll data that just came out, which you'll be shocked to learn has another revision turning another monthly number negative. That makes two. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------FOMC October 2025 Minuteshttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20251029.pdfNBC News Walmart raises sales outlook, boosted by e-commerce and higher-income shoppershttps://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/walmart-earnings-ecommerce-rcna244853CNBC Walmart hikes sales and earnings forecast as it attracts shoppers across incomeshttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/20/walmart-wmt-q3-2026-earnings.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
While everyone else is glued to Nvidia, the results from Home Depot and Target will have far more to say about the markets and a lot more. Plus others like TJ Maxx, Bitcoin and the surprising Fed minutes that has a lot to say about the status of December's rate cut.Bloomberg Wary Stock Bulls Eye Walmart, Target for Clues to Consumer Healthhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-11-17/wary-stock-bulls-eye-walmart-target-for-clues-to-consumer-health?srnd=phx-economics-v2Economic Times TGT stock falls today as Target cuts guidance and predicts weak holiday saleshttps://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/tgt-stock-falls-today-as-target-cuts-guidance-and-predicts-weak-holiday-sales/articleshow/125437666.cms?from=mdrRead more at:https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/tgt-stock-falls-today-as-target-cuts-guidance-and-predicts-weak-holiday-sales/articleshow/125437666.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppstYahooFinance Target cuts earnings guidance, warns about high prices, and predicts a weak holiday seasonhttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/target-cuts-earnings-guidance-warns-about-high-prices-and-predicts-a-weak-holiday-season-113001475.htmlCNBC TJ Maxx and Marshalls owner hikes outlook as CEO says holiday season is off to a ‘strong start'https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/19/tjx-companies-tjx-earnings-q3-2026.htmlFOMC Minuteshttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20251029.pdf
Patrick Bet-David, Tom Ellsworth, and Brandon Aceto are joined by Jeff Snider as they break down Congress passing the Epstein bill, Trump calling reporter Catherine Lucey “Piggy,” MBS's high-stakes U.S. visit, Bitcoin's sudden freefall, and rumors that Apple CEO Tim Cook may be stepping down.------
We went from the economy is strong and resilient, credit markets are fine reaching for yield to big names like Jamie Dimon and now so-called bond king Jeffrey Gundlach openly talking about cockroaches and garbage lending that are looking more like 2006 and 2007 every day. We've even got news of more hedge fund redemptions. Unlike a few months ago, now all of a sudden the possibilities seem plausible to people who forever refused to even consider the idea. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Jeffrey Gundlach Warns of ‘Garbage Lending' as Private Credit Boomshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-17/gundlach-slams-garbage-lending-in-private-credit-marketBloomberg Blue Owl Plunges to 2023 Low After Blocking Exit From Fundhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-17/blue-owl-plunges-to-2023-low-after-blocking-exit-from-early-fundBloomberg Funding Market Strains Spur Wall Street Calls for More Action From Fedhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-13/funding-market-strains-spur-wall-street-calls-for-more-action-from-fedhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The European labor market is on the cusp of its own flat Beveridge moment. That danger was amplified by the third quarter contraction in the Swiss economy, which, as we know, is a key leading global indicator. And if all that wasn't enough, a group of German Economists, of all people, just tore into the mainstream European narrative of Europe being in a good place. They even went so far as correctly, of course, crap all over the Berlin bazooka. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-------------------------------------------------------------------Get the free guide that breaks down the real economic signals behind America's shrinking consumer demand, and how to protect your wealth before the slowdown hits your income: https://web.eurodollar-university.com/home-------------------------------------------------------------------euronews Weak eurozone growth meets flat jobs market as bankruptcies surgehttps://www.euronews.com/business/2025/11/14/weak-eurozone-growth-meets-flat-jobs-market-as-bankruptcies-surgeBloomberg Merz Advisers Revise 2026 German Growth Forecast to Below 1%https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-12/merz-advisers-revise-2026-german-growth-forecast-to-below-1DW Germany news: Economic experts call for change of coursehttps://www.dw.com/en/germany-news-economic-experts-call-for-change-of-course/live-74708934https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU