Podcasts about aukus

The Prime Minister is defending his party's plan to unlock super for first home buyers - despite warnings of increasing house prices and hurt retirement savings in the long term. Scott Morrison is also on the back foot over reports the US wanted AUKUS to have an agreement from both major parties before signing even though Labor was only told a day before the announcement.

With Australia's federal election to be held this Saturday, Allan and Darren conduct a quick discussion of the role foreign policy has played over the past month during the campaign, and what we can learn regardless of who will form government. Then, to finish, eyebrows are raised in response to reporting detailing secret conversations between very senior Australian and US national security officials regarding AUKUS and the US' need for bipartisan support for the deal within Australia.   We thank Annabel Howard for research and audio editing and Rory Stenning for composing our theme music. Relevant links Kishor Napier-Raman, “An oddly civil election debate, before Dutton finds a warship-shaped dead cat”, Crikey, 13 May 2022: https://www.crikey.com.au/2022/05/13/an-oddly-civil-election-debate/ Little Red Podcast, “Kevin Rudd: Is War With China Inevitable?”, 28 April 2022: https://omny.fm/shows/the-little-red-podcast/kevin-rudd-is-war-with-china-inevitable Nick Bisley, Robyn Eckersley, Shahar Hameiri, Jessica Kirk, George Lawson & Benjamin Zala (2022) For a progressive realism: Australian foreign policy in the 21st century, Australian Journal of International Affairs, 76:2, 138-160: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10357718.2022.2051428 Asia-Pacific Development Diplomacy & Defence Dialogue: https://www.asiapacific4d.com/ Peter Hartcher, “Radioactive: Inside the top-secret AUKUS subs deal”, Sydney Morning Herald, 14 May 2022: https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/radioactive-inside-the-top-secret-aukus-subs-deal-20220510-p5ak7g.html   Peter Hartcher, “Biden demanded bipartisan support before signing AUKUS. Labor was not told for months”, Sydney Morning Herald, 14 May 2022: https://www.smh.com.au/national/biden-demanded-bipartisan-support-before-signing-aukus-labor-was-not-told-for-months-20220513-p5al9d.html   Peter Hartcher,  “AUKUS fallout: double-dealing and deception came at a diplomatic cost”, Sydney Morning Herald, 15 May 2022: https://www.smh.com.au/national/aukus-fallout-double-dealing-and-deception-came-at-a-diplomatic-cost-20220513-p5al95.html Linda Jaivin, The shortest history of China, Black Inc: https://www.blackincbooks.com.au/books/shortest-history-china Yun Jiang, Rethinking China (video), 8 May 2022: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=462TgDdgEcE Ezra Klein Show, "What does the ‘post-liberal right' actually want?", Interview with Patrick Deneen, 13 May 2022: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/13/podcasts/transcript-ezra-klein-interviews-patrick-deneen.html Pekingology podcast, “Foreign and Security Policymaking in Xi Jinping's China”, Interview with Suisheng Zhao, 6 May 2022: https://www.csis.org/node/65210

The Prime Minister is defending his party's plan to unlock super for first home buyers - despite warnings it could drive up house prices further, and hurt retirement savings in the long term. Scott Morrison is also on the back foot over reports the US wanted AUKUS to have agreement from both major parties before signing - even though Labor was only told a day before the announcement. - 連邦政府のスコット・モリソン首相は初めて住宅を買う人、いわゆるファーストホームバイヤー、にスーパーアニュエーションを開放するという自由党の計画を弁護しましたが、その計画には、住宅価格をさらに押し上げる恐れがあり、長期的には退職後に備える貯蓄を損なう恐れがあるという警告が出ています。

Listen to the SBS Sinhala election feature on the latest updates of the election campaign including criticism over the liberal coalition's election promise to unlock super accounts for first home buyers, US insisting Australia to secure the support of both major parties before signing the AUKUS security agreement and Greens' wish-list if it holds the power of balance in parliament. - ඔස්ට්‍රේලියාවේ මැතිවරණ වේදිකාවේ උණුසුම් පුවත් දැන ගැනීමට මැයි 17 වෙනි අඟහරුවාදා විකාශය වූ මැතිවරණ කාලීන තොරතුරු විශේෂාංගයට සවන් දෙන්න.

It was a deal Australia had been trying to shore up for more than four decades, and this year, following a series of secret meetings, it finally became a reality, revealed by the Sydney Morning Herald and The Age's international and political editor Peter Hartcher. The deal, which was part of an enhanced trilateral security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States, allows Australia to have conventionally armed, nuclear powered submarines for the first time. The announcement in September saw the end of a $90 billion deal with the french to build submarines, causing major diplomatic fallout and prompting French President Emmanuel Macron to describe Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison as a liar. Until now the full details of how the French deal unravelled and how the new arrangement with the US came about were shrouded in mystery.  Today on Please Explain, Peter Hartcher joins Nathanael Cooper to discuss how it all came to pass. Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

It was a deal Australia had been trying to shore up for more than four decades, and this year, following a series of secret meetings, it finally became a reality, revealed by the Sydney Morning Herald and The Age's international and political editor Peter Hartcher. The deal, which was part of an enhanced trilateral security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States, allows Australia to have conventionally armed, nuclear powered submarines for the first time. The announcement in September saw the end of a $90 billion deal with the french to build submarines, causing major diplomatic fallout and prompting French President Emmanuel Macron to describe Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison as a liar. Until now the full details of how the French deal unravelled and how the new arrangement with the US came about were shrouded in mystery.  Today on Please Explain, Peter Hartcher joins Nathanael Cooper to discuss how it all came to pass. Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Defence Minister Peter Dutton accuses Anthony Albanese of misleading the public over his comments on the AUKUS alliance, Another man killed in an overnight Sydney shooting, The festivities continue for the Sydney Kings, who continue to celebrate their Grand Final win.

Photo:  Sand patch, West Perth — the scene of a crime that occurred in 1930, West Perth, Australia #Australia: AUKUS at Perth. Gregory R Copley, editor and publisher of Defense & Foreign Affairs.   https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fnation%2Fdefence%2Fjohn-howard-says-domestic-nuclear-industry-inevitable-with-aukus-subs%2Fnews-story%2Fd9a1d35e2327ddf2ca664de6292a45b6&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&v21=dynamic-cold-test-noscore&V21spcbehaviour=append

「AUKUS」表面上看起來是一個買賣潛艇的概念，美國總統拜登、英國首相強森和澳洲總理莫里森共同宣示，要幫助澳洲建立核子潛艇艦隊，後面講什麼基於和平、維護秩序，不用太在意。 為什麼澳洲要獲得核子潛艇艦隊呢？這就要回到地緣戰略來說起，大家可以下載google earth來看，利用上面功能算出全球航運密度跟航運路線，哪些貨物經過哪裡走什麼路線……這些如果不懂，在那邊講什麼中國要封鎖台灣、封鎖什麼國家，那真的聽聽就好。 想看更多軍事常識請到： ♟王立第二戰研所 部落格 https://vocus.cc/eoiss/ 小額贊助支持本節目： https://pay.firstory.me/user/ckto3psu9e54z0986u4jqmwiy 留言告訴我你對這一集的想法： https://open.firstory.me/user/ckto3psu9e54z0986u4jqmwiy/comments 此節目由方格子、王立第二戰研所共同製作 讓一起在內容的宇宙裡，展開各種驚喜與奧妙的旅程吧！ 方格子網站：https://vocus.cc/ ❏ 合作聯繫：reader_support@vocus.cc Powered by Firstory Hosting

هيمنت قضايا رئيسية مثل علاقة أستراليا مع جزر سليمان والغزو الروسي لأوكرانيا واتفاق AUKUS على المناظرة الدفاعية بين وزير الدفاع ونظيره العمالي التي تمت في نادي الصحافة الوطني

馬克宏無懸念成功連任法國總統，但也刷新廢票率超高、投票率超低的紀錄！疫情、烏俄戰爭雙夾擊，曾是領頭羊的法國被超車，淪為歐洲的老好人！從富人總統到別再馬克宏，法國內政外交兩頭燒，被戰狼外交惹怒，法國對中國態度轉硬？馬克宏連任執政沒有蜜月期。台灣降低法國香檳關稅，前駐法代表分享台法國會外交歷程！精彩訪談內容，請鎖定@華視三國演議！ 本集來賓：#呂慶龍 #矢板明夫 主持人：#汪浩 #馬克宏 #香檳 #烏俄戰爭 #戰狼外交 電視播出時間

Australia, the United States, and the United Kingdom known as AUKUS decided to expand cooperation on hypersonic weapons and develop nuclear-powered submarines for Australia. R.Sathyanathan, a veteran broadcaster, explains the story. Produced by RaySel. - ஆஸ்திரேலியா, பிரிட்டன் மற்றும் அமெரிக்கா ஆகிய நாடுகளுக்குடையேயான AUKUS அமைப்பின் மூலமாக அதி நவீன போராயுதங்களை உற்பத்தி செய்ய முடிவெடுக்கப்பட்டுள்ளது. ஏன் இந்த முடிவு? சீனா ஆஸ்திரேலியாவுக்கு தரும் அச்சுறுத்தலுக்கும் ஆயுத தயாரிப்புக்கும் தொடர்புண்டா? என்று பல அம்சங்கள் குறித்து ராணுவ நிபுணர்கள் முன்வைக்கும் பல்வேறு கருத்துக்களை தொகுத்தளிக்கிறார் பிரபல வானொலியாளர் இரா.சத்தியநாதன். அவரோடு உரையாடியவர்: றைசெல்.

In this latest SBS Hindi bulletin: Solomon Islands Prime Minister Manasseh Sogavare criticises the Australian government for not consulting with the Pacific nation before joining the AUKUS alliance; Prime Minister Scott Morrison announces a $70 million hydrogen hub; Rugby League officials threaten to take the NRL Grand Final out of Sydney and more news. 

Scott Morrison fires back at his Solomons Islands counterpart, after the Pacific leader said he was blindsided by the AUKUS deal; Election candidates taking their campaign messages to platforms like TikTok and even the dating app Grindr; And, a new Omicron subvariant detected in Australia, what are the chances of reinfection?

솔로몬 제도의 총리가 태평양에 핵잠수함을 들여오는 오커스 동맹 결성 전 호주가 태평양 국가들과 협의하지 않았다고 지적하자, 모리슨 연방 총리는 솔로몬 제도 총리의 관점이 어떤 영향으로 바뀌었다고 반박했다. 

The Solomon Islands Prime Minister blasts Australia over AUKUS security pact, Scott Morrison promises a $70 million hydrogen hub and in sport, rugby League officials threaten to take the NRL Grand Final out of Sydney.

Eliot and Eric welcome Charlie Edel, Australia Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, to discuss security in the Indo-Pacific, the role of Australia, the AUKUS partnership, John Quincy Adams and U.S. foreign policy—do the "restrainers" read Adams correctly?—and the role of literature in understanding history. Shield of the Republic is a Bulwark podcast co-sponsored by the Miller Center of Public Affairs at the University of Virginia.

烏俄戰爭延燒近2個月，影響歐美對中國立場，習近平自認東強西弱是誤判形勢？還是遭普丁誤導？如今戰事延宕，中俄騎虎難下，但對美國來說，如何突破犄角之勢夾擊，是否有實力分出兵力牽制？國際社會都在看！美視俄為敵人，視中為戰略競爭對手，當美俄矛盾升級，美中矛盾相對不明顯，中國想趁機當快樂第三人？美航艦屢經台海，警告中國勿犯台，再者歐美齊力鬥垮俄，更有利美專心布局亞太！精彩訪談內容，請鎖定@華視三國演議！ 本集來賓：#明居正 #矢板明夫 主持人：#汪浩 #犄角之勢 #習近平 # 戰略競爭#美中關係 電視播出時間

Shanghai Residents Trade Food to Survive Lockdown; Can Japan Join AUKUS to Deter China?

1. 烏克蘭最新（俄羅斯軍隊在烏克蘭東部集中+芬蘭總理確定數週決定是否加入 NATO) 2. 日本有意加入AUKUS 3.韓國新外長出爐，親美知日+北韓太陽節 4. 香港選出新任特首李家超 5.全球通膨，美國國內情況＋地鐵後續 #Dennis #福澤喬 製作人： #KIMI #國際新聞 #DJTALK #DENNIS全球政治筆記 #Joel來談日本 #今夜一杯

Salve, salve, Cacdista! Veja os destaques do Resumo de Notícias da semana (entre dias 1º e 8 de abril): - CDH: Rússia é suspensa do Conselho de Direitos Humanos da ONU; - OMC: países membros aprovam acordo de quotas tarifárias para agricultura; - IPCC: última década marcou o maior número de emissões de gases estufa da História; - AUKUS: EUA, Reino Unido e Austrália anunciam cooperação para desenvolver mísseis hipersônicos; - Khashoggi: Justiça da Turquia suspende julgamento dos suspeitos pelo assassinato de jornalista saudita; - Hungria: primeiro-ministro Viktor Orbán é eleito para quarto mandato consecutivo; - Peru: após protestos, governo impõe toque de recolher em Lima.

The team at Aucoin Analytics, LLC provides key insights from the week and discusses how these events will impact government, business, and society in the future. Here is what is on our radar this week: • Massacre in Bucha • Russia ousted from UN Human Rights • US President calls Putin war criminal • Global Elections changing the geopolitical landscape • AUKUS goes hypersonic • Finland is ready for NATO membership • Sri Lanka protests • North Korea Nuclear tests • Nun kidnapped in Burkina Faso • The tale of Cher Ami Podchaser #Reviews4Good (Click the link and you will see our latest episodes. Rate and Review as many as you have time for)

４月８日（金）ニュース ・「ウクライナ侵略から日本が学ぶべき５つの教訓」   ・G7が首脳声明を発表。ロシアからの石炭の輸入禁止・段階的廃止へ   ・国連人権理事会がロシアの資格停止を決議。中国や北朝鮮は反対 　ロシア政治の専門家　慶應義塾大学総合政策学部 　廣瀬陽子教授   ・ロシアが日本への報復措置を検討   ・「AUKUS（オーカス）」   ・メジャー開幕直前！アナハイムに行くにはどうすればいいのか？」   ＃ウクライナ　＃ロシア　＃大谷翔平　＃ニュース　＃国連 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ngày 10/04/2022, cử tri Pháp được mời gọi tham gia cuộc bỏ phiếu vòng một bầu chọn tổng thống mới, trong bối cảnh dịch bệnh Covid-19 vẫn hoành hành và cuộc chiến Ukraina do Nga tiến hành đang diễn ra khốc liệt. Đây cũng là dịp để nhìn lại đường lối đối ngoại của tổng thống sắp mãn nhiệm. Trong cái nhìn tương đối khắt khe, kênh truyền hình quốc tế France 24 đánh giá, trong suốt 5 năm nhiệm kỳ, nguyên thủ Pháp nỗ lực hành động như một nhà hòa giải, nhưng đa phần thất bại. Hâm nóng quan hệ với Nga : « Công dã tràng » ? Cho đến cuối nhiệm kỳ, Emmanuel Macron đã cố gắng thể hiện vai trò mà ông tự gán cho mình ngay từ năm 2017 : Nhà trung gian hòa giải hàng đầu. Bằng chứng mới nhất là cố gắng sử dụng hết mọi phương tiện ngoại giao để tránh việc Nga xâm lược Ukraina. Từ thường xuyên gọi điện thoại cho đến việc đích thân đến Matxcơva (07/02/2022) gặp gỡ tổng thống Nga Vladimir Putin, nhằm kêu gọi hạ nhiệt căng thẳng. Mục tiêu đó của ông Macron có lúc tưởng chừng đã đạt được khi thông báo một cuộc gặp có thể giữa chủ nhân điện Kremlin và chủ nhân Nhà Trắng, Joe Biden. Nhưng rủi thay, chưa đầy hai tuần sau đó, Vldimir Putin tuyên bố công nhận hai nước Cộng hòa ly khai vùng Donbass, trước khi ra lệnh mở « chiến dịch quân sự đặc biệt » xâm chiếm Ukraina ngày 24/02/2022. Thất bại ngoại giao này là đòn thứ hai liên tiếp của Emmanuel Macron, khi trước đó vài hôm, ông gặp phải một thất vọng khác : Thông báo ngày 17/02 cho triệt thoái quân Pháp khỏi Mali, khu vực mà Pháp dấn thân từ 9 năm qua trong cuộc chiến chống thánh chiến trong toàn vùng Sahel. Hai vố đau này chưa thể đại diện cho mọi hành động ngoại giao mà tổng thống Pháp tiến hành từ 5 năm qua, nhưng chúng biểu tượng cho sự bất lực của nước Pháp trên trường quốc tế. Emmanuel Macron, mỗi khi có cơ hội, đều tìm cách nắm lấy để mang lại cho nước Pháp một vai trò, một tiếng nói có trọng lượng hơn.   Nỗ lực này đã được ông thể hiện rõ ngay trong những ngày đầu nhiệm kỳ trong mối quan hệ với Nga. Ngày 29/05/2017, chỉ hai tuần sau khi đặt chân vào điện Elysée, nguyên thủ Pháp đã long trọng đón tiếp đồng nhiệm Nga Vladimir Putin tại cung điện Versailles, để rồi hai năm sau đó, một cuộc gặp khác tại Brégançon vào tháng 8/2019, trong một bầu không khí thân mật hơn. Đối với một số truyền thông Pháp, cuộc xâm lăng Ukraina do Nga tiến hành là một thất bại hoàn toàn cho « mối quan hệ đặc biệt » với Nga của ông Macron. Đâu là nguyên nhân ? Về điểm này, nhà báo Isabelle Lasserre1, trợ lý tổng biên tập ban Quốc tế, nhật báo Le Figaro điểm ra hai sai lầm của tổng thống Pháp. « Sai lầm đầu tiên trong chính sách với Nga là đã hành động một mình. Ông ấy đã không đến gặp tất cả các nước Đông – Trung Âu để nói với họ rằng "chúng tôi cần sưởi ấm lại quan hệ với Nga, nhưng không phải để chống lại quý vị". Bởi vì rõ ràng Emmanuel Macron không có lấy một chính sách nào mềm yếu hơn như của bà Angela Merkel. Ông ấy luôn ủng hộ các biện pháp trừng phạt. Sai lầm thứ hai của Macron là đã xem thường lập trường của Quai d'Orsay (tức bộ Ngoại Giao) và các nhà ngoại giao. Những người này đã cảnh báo ông rằng "hâm nóng quan hệ với Vladimir Putin, chúng ta đã thử làm từ 20 năm qua. Mỗi lần như thế, chúng ta đều đi vào ngõ cụt. Đó không phải là cách để xử lý vấn đề". » (France Culture ngày 11/03/2022) Emmanuel Macron : « Đệ tử » của chủ nghĩa đa phương ? Cách tiếp cận này cũng được chủ nhân điện Elysée áp dụng cùng một kiểu trong mối quan hệ với cựu tổng thống Mỹ. Donald Trump cùng Đệ Nhất phu nhân là khách mời danh dự cho lễ diễu binh mừng quốc khánh Pháp 14/7/2017 và bữa dạ tiệc sang trọng trên tháp Eiffel. Đáp trả thịnh tình, cựu chủ nhân Nhà Trắng tiếp đón Macron cùng phu nhân ở Washington tháng 4/2018. Nhưng tất cả những điều đó cũng không ngăn cản được chính quyền Trump rút nước Mỹ ra khỏi thỏa thuận khí hậu Paris và hạt nhân Iran. Theo France 24, Emmanuel Macron ý thức được rằng nước Pháp đang thụt lùi trên trường quốc tế nên cũng muốn tận dụng ngay từ ngày đầu nhiệm kỳ sự mờ nhạt của Vương Quốc Anh, quá bận rộn với cuộc Brexit, và chính sách co cụm của đồng minh Mỹ, để thể hiện vai trò đi đầu trong chủ nghĩa đa phương. Ông liên tục có những bài phát biểu « hoa mỹ » như « Make Our Planet Great Again » vào tháng 6/2017 tại Đại Hội Đồng Liên Hiệp Quốc, tháng 12/2017 tại One Planet Summit ở Paris hay như thượng đỉnh G7 tại Biarritz tháng 8/2019. Liệu người ta có thể khẳng định nhiệm kỳ của ông Macron được đánh dấu với chủ nghĩa đa phương ? Ông Michel Duclos, cựu đại sứ Pháp ở Syria, cố vấn đặc biệt cho Viện Montaigne không chắc rằng đây là một thành công. « Tôi nghĩ là ở đây có một sự hiểu nhầm giữa ông Macron với người dân Pháp, bởi vì, đúng là ông ấy có mang lại cho chủ nghĩa đa phương một phong cách mới gắn kết các quỹ lớn, các đại tập đoàn, các tác nhân thuộc Nhà nước với những lý lẽ lớn như nạn phá rừng ở châu Phi, ở Brazil hoặc như các quy định về Internet. Nhưng đó là những điều khó làm cho công luận hiểu và nhất là ông Macron lại không trang bị cho mình những công cụ để giải thích hành động này với đồng bào. Đây là điều đáng tiếc vì lẽ ra chúng có thể sẽ là một điểm tích cực cho hành động của ông. » (IRIS ngày 01/12/2021) Điều nghịch lý là một mặt tổng thống Pháp kêu gọi một sự hợp tác đa phương, nhưng mặt khác đôi lúc ông hành động đơn độc, không thông báo hay tham vấn với các đối tác châu Âu, một hình thức « chủ nghĩa đơn phương » theo kiểu Pháp như đánh giá của ông Pascal Boniface, giám đốc Viện Quan Hệ Quốc Tế và Chiến Lược (IRIS). Khi tuyên bố « NATO chết não », nguyên thủ Pháp cũng không ngần ngại có những phát biểu gây sốc cho các đối tác, đồng minh truyền thống. Đối với nhà cựu ngoại giao Pháp, Michel Duclos, đây là điểm yếu đáng chú ý của nguyên thủ Pháp. Cách thức tiếp cận này đã hạn chế tham vọng lớn nhất của Emmanuel Macron : Xây dựng một chiến lược tự chủ cho Liên Hiệp Châu Âu với một ngân sách chung cho toàn khu vực đồng euro, đồng nhất thuế khóa và chính sách xã hội, và nhất là một nền quốc phòng chung. Ông giải thích : « Tổng thống Macron đương nhiên là một người có tầm nhìn châu Âu rộng lớn. Ông muốn có một châu Âu hùng mạnh, một châu Âu đoàn kết nhưng cùng lúc ông lại hành động đơn phương gần như là có hệ thống về các hồ sơ như Libya, Syria, thậm chí là cả hồ sơ Iran, Liban… Ông ấy liên tục có những sáng kiến mà không tham vấn ai như về Nga và NATO. Cảm giác của tôi là điều đó đã làm suy yếu thông điệp của ông về một châu Âu đoàn kết, trong chừng mực nào đó điều này đã gia tăng mối hoài nghi ở các đối tác đối với Pháp. » (IRIS ngày 01/12/2021) AUKUS : Chênh lệch về tầm nhìn mối họa Trung Quốc ? Cuối cùng, một hồ sơ khác không kém phần quan trọng góp phần làm lu mờ đường hướng ngoại giao của tổng thống Macron : Sự ra đời liên minh quân sự AUKUS – Anh, Mỹ và Úc, khiến Pháp bị vuột mất hợp đồng bán tầu ngầm cho Canberra, trị giá hàng tỷ đô la. Một cú tát như trời giáng, một đòn « sỉ nhục » mà Mỹ giành cho Pháp, theo như nhận định từ nhiều nhà quan sát. Tổng thống Pháp cũng bị chỉ trích mạnh mẽ là đã có thái độ không mấy gì cứng rắn trước hành động này của đồng nhiệm Biden cũng như là sự « phản bội » của Mỹ đối với đồng minh Pháp. Ông Alain Richard, cựu bộ trưởng Quốc Phòng và là thượng nghị sĩ Pháp, trước hết nhắc lại đường hướng đối ngoại của Pháp đối với Mỹ trước sau như một, vẫn luôn tuân thủ cách tiếp cận theo tinh thần của tướng De Gaulle và cố tổng thống Mitterand. Điểm cốt lõi trong cuộc tranh chấp này là sự chênh lệch lớn về cách diễn giải mối đe dọa Trung Quốc trong khu vực Ấn Độ - Thái Bình Dương. « Theo cách tiếp cận này, nước Pháp, đồng minh của Mỹ, hội nhập hoàn toàn trong phe phương Tây khi có các cuộc xung đột nhưng đồng thời cũng quan tâm đến việc tự chủ chiến lược và đối thoại với các thế lực địa chính trị khác. Tôi cho rằng không có lý do gì chúng ta phải thay đổi bởi vì vấn đề là cuộc tranh cãi có liên quan đến AUKUS lại là một cuộc tranh cãi về cách đánh giá tình hình khu vực. Ở đây tôi xin lưu ý là thuật ngữ Ấn Độ - Thái Bình Dương được sáng tạo đơn giản chỉ vì có mối nguy hiểm Trung Quốc, đây là một cách nói bóng bẩy thông thường trên phương diện địa chính trị, để nói rằng có một vấn đề mới nảy sinh đang bao phủ toàn bộ vùng địa lý mà người ta chưa rõ về vị thế chiến lược của Trung Quốc. Đó là mức độ đe dọa mà Trung Quốc có thể gây ra. Chính ở điểm này mà có một sự xung khắc giữa tầm nhìn Pháp, một tầm nhìn của cách đây nhiều năm và tầm nhìn của Mỹ. » (IRIS 24/11/2021) Emmannuel Macron : Quai d'Orsay, cỗ máy ngoại giao già cỗi ? Khi điểm lại những thất bại đã qua, người ta tự hỏi phải chăng tuổi đời còn trẻ, không xuất thân từ tầng lớp chính trị gia, có là những yếu tố hạn chế tầm nhìn của nguyên thủ Pháp dẫn đến những thất bại nêu trên ? Trái với những người tiền nhiệm, Emmanuel Macron có phương cách hành động theo cái cách mà ông Michel Duclos gọi là « Đoạn tuyệt thực tế », nghĩa là « cùng lúc tính đến yếu tố thực tế nhưng đồng thời thay đổi chúng, cần phải phá vỡ thực tế đó khi dựa vào các thực tiễn. » Một cách tiếp cận mà nhà cựu ngoại giao Pháp không ngần ngại chỉ trích là có nguy cơ bị phản đòn mà hồ sơ Nga hay Aukus là một ví dụ điển hình. Chính từ cách nhìn này mà nguyên thủ Pháp đã bỏ ngoài tai tiếng nói của giới ngoại giao, đi ngược cách thức vận hành so với Quai d'Orsay, bị đánh giá quá chậm chạp, chỉ đưa ra kết quả sau một quá trình tìm kiếm đồng thuận dài hơi đôi khi không mấy gì phù hợp. Trong một thế giới ngày càng xuất hiện nhiều nhà độc tài mang nặng tư tưởng chủ nghĩa xét lại, ông Macron cho rằng cần phải có khả năng hành động nhanh hơn chống lại những mối đe dọa nhắm vào các giá trị của châu Âu, nhưng thực tế đôi khi lại không theo ý ông muốn. Dù vậy, bà Sylvie Bermann, cựu đại sứ Pháp tại Trung Quốc, Anh và Nga, đưa ra một cái nhìn khoan dung hơn về đường lối đối ngoại của ông Macron trong suốt nhiệm kỳ qua. « Nhìn chung, Emmanuel Macron là một trong số hiếm hoi các nguyên thủ Pháp gần đây có một tầm nhìn địa chính trị trên thế giới. Ông ấy biết rõ là ông muốn đi đến đâu. Quả thực là ông Macron muốn có một châu Âu hùng mạnh để có thể đối phó với những tính toàn từ Trung Quốc, thậm chí là Mỹ và Nga tại châu lục (…) Liên quan đến Nga, Emmanuel Macron đã có lý khi muốn thiết lập mối quan hệ này và hiện nay, ông là một trong số hiếm hoi các đối tác cuối cùng được ông Putin chấp nhận. » (France Culture 11/03/2022)

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Australia says Aukus defence buildup about peace and stability Australia, the United States and the United Kingdom have vowed to expand cooperation on hypersonic weapons under the AUKUS Explainer: The proposed hike in German military spending Germany commits €100 billion to defense spending All around the World "Military Defence" budgets are skyrocketing and leaders like PM Scott Morrison (SCOMO) are talking about peace and stability. Via a show of military force of course! So is the World getting ready for War? Matthew 24: 6-8 Revelation 6: 3-4 Second Seal: Conflict on Earth But that is just my opinion. J Fallon Apple Music J Fallon Spotify --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/jason-fallon/message

The newly-formed AUKUS defence pact is expanding its cooperation to high-speed , so called hypersonic missiles. Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States formed the alliance in September last year, announcing the building of a class of nuclear-propelled submarines.

①China says circumstances surrounding Bucha civilian deaths should be verified. How will the Bucha incident impact the on-going Russia-Ukraine conflict? ②Hungary asks EU "not to punish voters" after Orban's election victory. What are the latest disputes between Budapest and Brussels? ③AUKUS nations announce cooperation on hypersonic weapons. What are the details?

Equity bourses/futures have come under further pressure after a tepid APAC handover, as the NQ underperforms amid renewed yield advances pre-FOMC MinutesHowever, while ES has lost the 4500 mark it is yet to test/breach the 200-DMA at 4484Geopolitical updates have been thin and primarily focused around Russian sanctionsAlbeit, such updates have been sufficient to provide WTI and Brent with an underlying bidDXY has taken some respite after recent gains while yields continue to climb and Bunds approach cycle lowsLooking ahead, highlights include FOMC Minutes & ECB's LaneAs of 11:15BST/06:15ETLOOKING AHEADFOMC Minutes, ECB's Lane, Fed's HarkerClick here for the Week Ahead preview.GEOPOLITICSRUSSIA-UKRAINENEGOTIATIONS/TALKSUkraine Deputy PM says 11 humanitarian corridors agreed for Wednesday, but people trying to leave Mariupol must use own vehicles.Russian Kremlin says that work is continuing when questioned on when the next round of peace discussions with Ukraine would take place; progress not as fact as they would like.DEFENCE/MILITARYThe US will send an additional USD 100mln in Javelin anti-tank missiles to Ukraine, according to NBC sources. The amount was confirmed by Secretary of State Blinken.Military sources cited by The Times suggested the UK plans to develop its own hypersonic missile, the plan would be accelerated by the AUKUS pact.ENERGY/ECONOMIC SANCTIONS & UPDATESWhite House said sanctions expected to be announced on Wednesday related to Russia; aim is to make Russia choose between default and drain remaining Dollar reserves, according to Reuters.Russia's Sberbank is among banks being considered for tightened sanctions by US President Biden's administration, according to Reuters.Russia Deputy Chair of Security Council Medvedev says Moscow will fight Western attempts to expropriate Russian property overseas with lawsuits; will wage legal war in US, Europe, and international courts.Head of Ukraine gas transit operator says three main gas pipelines have suffered damage during the war, and two gas distribution stations have been destroyed, via Reuters.German Finance Minister Lindner says an immediate withdrawal from Russian oil and gas is not possible, via Reuters.Hungarian Foreign Minister Szijjarto says they are preparing to pay for Russian gas using RUB.OTHERChina's UN Envoy, in response to US/UK/Aus hypersonic weapons deal, warned against "things which may lead other parts of world into crisis" like Ukraine, via Reuters.EU's Foreign Affairs Chief Borrell said last week's EU-China summit was a "dialogue of the deaf", according to SCMP.EUROPEAN TRADEEQUITIESEuropean bourses deteriorated further from a tepid cash open, in-fitting with the Wall St./APAC handover, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.6%Such downside was exacerbated by weak Construction PMIs and as yields continue to make further advances ahead of ECB's Lane & FOMC MinutesAs such, the NQ -1.0% is the morning's laggard, though price action thus far has seen the ES give-up 4500 ahead of the 200-DMA at 4484.Click here for more detail.FXDollar fades fast following rapid rise to fresh 2022 high post-hawkish Fed Brainard and pre-FOMC minutes - DXY reaches 99.759 before retreat to sub 99.500.Swedish Krona outperforms after latest comments from Riksbank member Floden upping the ante for a near term repo rise, EUR/SEK capped below 10.3000.Franc lags as yield and policy divergence weigh and EUR/CHF cross rebounds in a fashion that suggests official intervention, USD/CHF tests 0.9350 and EUR/CHF close to 1.0200 vs sub-1.0150 at one stage.Euro and Pound take advantage of Buck pull back and some chart support to recoup losses, EUR/USD and Cable back on 1.0900 and 1.3100 handles after dip through 1.0895 Fib and 1.3050.Yen reverses more repatriation gains as BoJ maintains YCC, USD/JPY hovering beneath 124.05 peak.Click here for more detail.FIXED INCOMEUS Treasuries extend post-Brainard collapse with little let-up ahead of FOMC minutes as the 10 year T-note sits just off a 120-07+ low and yield tops 2.6%.EU bonds slide in catch-up trade with Bunds closing in on cycle lows below 157.00 and Gilts retesting bids into 120.00.EZ periphery debt continues to underperform amidst syndications and French Presidential election jitters, with Italian BTPs near 135.00 and OATs close to 148.50.Italy sold EUR 2.1bln in three BTP bonds that were sold to bond specialists.Click here for more detail.COMMODITIESWTI and Brent are firmer, shrugging off the tepid tone and benefitting from geopolitical premia. amid ongoing sanction announcements/discussionsHowever, the benchmarks are once again in relatively thin ranges of circa. USD 3.00/bbl at present.US Private Energy Inventory Data (bbls): Crude +1.08mln (exp. -2.1mln), Cushing +1.791mln, Gasoline -0.543mln (exp. +0.1mln), Distillate +0.593mln (exp. -0.8mln).Gas flows via Yamal-Europe pipeline resume eastward, according to Gascade data, according to Reuters; however, subsequently reported that such flows have stopped.Spot gold/silver are modestly firmer, benefitting from the general risk tone and as the USD takes a breather from recent advances.Click here for more detail.CENTRAL BANKSECB's Wunsch said the inflation target is essentially met and expects the deposit rate to be raised to zero by year end. He said the ECB's rate could rise to 1.5-2% in the longer term, but caveat that even within the ECB there has been no discussion about raising interest rates, according to Reuters.ECB's Panetta says they would not hesitate to tighten policy if supply shocks fed into domestic inflation, not seeking any de-anchoring of inflation expectations. Asking the ECB to bring down high inflation in the near-term would be extremely costly.RBA's Deputy Governor Bullock notes Australian labour market is tight, was seeing some response in wages, with unemployment at 4.0%. Expects some revision upward in inflation forecasts; are now seeing more underlying inflation pressures.Riksbank's Floden says inflation will be much higher in the coming year than predicted in February. We must raise the policy rate much earlier than previously planned. Evident we must reassess and substantial adj. monetary policy plans.DATA RECAPGerman Industrial Orders MM (Feb) -2.2% vs. Exp. -0.2% (Prev. 1.8%, Rev. 2.3%)EU S&P Global Construction PMI (Mar) 52.8 (Prev. 56.3); German S&P Global Construction PMI (Mar) 50.9 (Prev. 54.9)French S&P Global Construction PMI (Mar) 48.4 (Prev. 50); Italian S&P Global Construction PMI (Mar) 62.9 (Prev. 68.5)NOTABLE US HEADLINESCRYPTOCrypto markets experienced sudden selling pressure overnight with Bitcoin losing USD 45k, a level it has acquired a foothold on during the European session.APAC TRADEEQUITIESAPAC stocks traded lower across the board following the losses on Wall Street; Mainland China returned from its long-weekend.ASX 200 conformed to the downbeat tone which isn't helped by the RBA's hawkish hold yesterdayNikkei 225 saw most of its construction and machinery-related names with losses.KOSPI was pressured by its large tech exposure.Hang Seng was also weighed on by its tech exposure as yields continued to rise overnight.Shanghai Comp returned for the first time this week following its domestic holiday and saw less pronounced losses, with the Real Estate sector feeling relief from reports that over 60 Chinese cities ease policies on housing purchases to support the market.NOTABLE APAC HEADLINESChina's Shanghai City says it will remain in lockdown until city-wide mass COVID testing (due to start Apr 6) is complete; results will be used to assess whether an extension to the lockdown is needed.China's Shanghai city reports 16,766 new asymptomatic COVID cases for April 4th (vs 13,086 for April 4th).Over 60 Chinese cities ease policies on housing purchases to support market, according to Global Times.PBoC set USD/CNY mid-point at 6.3799 vs exp. 6.3793 (prev. 6.3509 on Friday).PBoC injected CNY 10bln via 7-day reverse repos with the rate at 2.10% for a CNY 440bln net drainDATA RECAPChinese Caixin Services PMI (Mar) 42 (Exp. 49.7, Prev. 50.2); Composite 43.9 (Prev. 50.1).Click here for the US Early Morning note.US Democratic Senator Sinema has told donors a path to revival for Build Back Better is unlikely, according to Axios.JetBlue (JBLU) reportedly bids USD 3.6bln or USD 33/shr to acquire Spirit Airlines (SAVE), according to NYT.

Missiles which can travel five times the speed of sound could soon become a part of Australia's military arsenal after a new agreement amongst Australia and its AUKUS partners. But when will they be available and how could Australia use them?

APAC stocks traded lower across the board following the losses on Wall Street; S&P 500 -1.2%, Nasdaq -2.2%.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.4% after the cash market closed lower by 0.8% yesterday.DXY remains firm above 99.50 (fresh YTD highs), JPY lags with USD/JPY above 124 at one stage, EUR/USD hovers around 1.09.ECB's Wunsch said the ECB's inflation target is essentially met and expects the deposit rate to be raised to zero by year end.Looking ahead, highlights include FOMC Minutes, ECB's Lane, Schnabel, Panetta, de Guindos, Fed's Harker.US TRADEUS stocks trundled lower throughout the US session with the tech-heavy Nasdaq hit the hardest amid the surge in yields.SPX -1.19% at 4,528, NDX -2.24% at 14,820, DJIA -0.80% at 34,641, R2K -2.22% at 2,045.Click here for a detailed summary.NOTABLE US HEADLINESEU Commission wants large online platforms to pay an annual supervisory fee of up to 0.1% of their global net income under new tech rules, according to an EU document, according to Reuters.JetBlue (JBLU) reportedly bids USD 3.6bln or USD 33/shr to acquire Spirit Airlines (SAVE), according to NYT.US Democratic Senator Sinema has told donors a path to revival for Build Back Better is unlikely, according to Axios.GEOPOLITICSRUSSIA-UKRAINENEGOTIATIONS/TALKSRussia's Foreign Minister Lavrov said the West is trying to derail talks between Russia and Ukraine by fuelling hysteria over Bucha, according to Ria. He added that agreements with Ukraine should completely rule out NATO's expansion to the east, according to Interfax.DEFENCE/MILITARYThe US will send an additional USD 100mln in Javelin anti-tank missiles to Ukraine, according to NBC sources. The amount was confirmed by Secretary of State Blinken.Military sources cited by The Times suggested the UK plans to develop its own hypersonic missile, the plan would be accelerated by the AUKUS pact.Russian Defence Ministry said its forces will "liberate" Mariupol from Ukrainian nationalists, according to Ria.China's Ambassador to the UN said the reports and images of civilian deaths in Bucha are very disturbing, relevant circumstances and specific causes of the events must be verified and established, according to Reuters.ENERGY/ECONOMIC SANCTIONSWhite House said sanctions expected to be announced on Wednesday related to Russia; aim is to make Russia choose between default and drain remaining Dollar reserves, according to Reuters.Russia's Sberbank is among banks being considered for tightened sanctions by US President Biden's administration, according to Reuters.OTHERChina's UN Envoy, in response to US/UK/Aus hypersonic weapons deal, warned against "things which may lead other parts of world into crisis" like Ukraine, via Reuters.EU's Foreign Affairs Chief Borrell said last week's EU-China summit was a "dialogue of the deaf", according to SCMP.CENTRAL BANKSFed's Daly (2024 voter) said the labour market is extremely tight and Fed is on a path to raise interest rates. She does not expect a big slowdown in US economy due to high oil prices. She said the Fed can begin balance sheet reduction as early as May meeting and will use balance sheet reductions as well as rate hikes to reduce policy accommodation. "We'll be able to get inflation moving down by end of year, but no recession", according to Reuters.ECB's Lane said maybe by mid-year we will see the peak on inflation, but it depends on the war. The momentum of inflation will slow down, so thinks that in the second half of the year the inflation rate will come down. "We do think it will be a lot lower next year and the year after." Lane expects to see a slowdown in the economy, but economy will still grow this year, via ECB.ECB's Wunsch said the inflation target is essentially met and expects the deposit rate to be raised to zero by year end. He said the ECB's rate could rise to 1.5-2% in the longer term, but caveat that even within the ECB there has been no discussion about raising interest rates, according to Reuters.APAC TRADEEQUITIESAPAC stocks traded lower across the board following the losses on Wall Street; Mainland China returned from its long-weekend.ASX 200 conformed to the downbeat tone which isn't helped by the RBA's hawkish hold yesterdayNikkei 225 saw most of its construction and machinery-related names with losses.KOSPI was pressured by its large tech exposure.Hang Seng was also weighed on by its tech exposure as yields continued to rise overnight.Shanghai Comp returned for the first time this week following its domestic holiday and saw less pronounced losses, with the Real Estate sector feeling relief from reports that over 60 Chinese cities ease policies on housing purchases to support the market.US equity futures held a downside bias and the NQ narrowly underperformed.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.4% after the cash market closed lower by 0.8% yesterday.FXDXY remained over 99.50 as yields continued rising, with the index hitting an overnight high of 99.640.EUR/USD briefly dipped under 1.0900 ahead of the YTD low of 1.0804.GBP/USD traded relatively flat after finding support around 1.3050Antipodeans were lacklustre throughout the session as upside remained capped by the soured APAC mood.JPY continued to weaken due to yield differentials with the US; USD/JPY briefly topped 124.00, whilst some desks noted of Japanese exporter offers around the psychological level.FIXED INCOME10yr UST futures edged lower in a continuation of the US action, whilst the corresponding cash yield rose to an APAC high of exactly 2.62%APAC yields rose in tandem, with the 10yr JGB yield hitting a high of 0.23% vs the BoJ's 0.25% cap.Bund futures conformed to the selling across the debt complex.COMMODITIESCrude clambered off worst levels despite the surprised build in the weekly Private Inventories.US Private Energy Inventory Data (bbls): Crude +1.08mln (exp. -2.1mln), Cushing +1.791mln, Gasoline -0.543mln (exp. +0.1mln), Distillate +0.593mln (exp. -0.8mln).Gas flows via Yamal-Europe pipeline resume eastward, according to Gascade data, according to Reuters.Spot gold remained caged in a tight range overnight.LME 3M copper fell amid the soured risk tone and prices receded further below USD 10.5k/t.CRYPTOCrypto markets experienced sudden selling and thereafter a recovery in which Bitcoin briefly fell under USD 45k.US Treasury Secretary Yellen to deliver speech on digital assets on Thursday, according to Reuters.NOTABLE APAC HEADLINESChina's Shanghai City says it will remain in lockdown until city-wide mass COVID testing (due to start Apr 6) is complete; results will be used to assess whether an extension to the lockdown is needed.China's Shanghai city reports 16,766 new asymptomatic COVID cases for April 4th (vs 13,086 for April 4th).Over 60 Chinese cities ease policies on housing purchases to support market, according to Global Times.PBoC set USD/CNY mid-point at 6.3799 vs exp. 6.3793 (prev. 6.3509 on Friday).PBoC injected CNY 10bln via 7-day reverse repos with the rate at 2.10% for a CNY 440bln net drainDATA RECAPChinese Caixin Services PMI (Mar) 42 (Exp. 49.7, Prev. 50.2); Composite 43.9 (Prev. 50.1).

این تسلیحات بر اساس پیمان دفاعی سه جانبه AUKUS که سال گذشته ایجاد شد، توسعه خواهند یافت.

Today is the last day of the the Qingming Tomb Sweeping Festival holiday. Shanghai tested 25 million or so people Monday, I do not think all the test results are in. The official case numbers for Monday were 13,354 indigenous cases, with all but 268 “asymptomatic”. Based on Vice Premier Sun Chunlan’s and other officials’ comments it sounds like people who tested positive and their close contacts in the tens of thousands at least - will soon be moved to medical facilities and quarantine centers. It is getting harder to see how the lockdown ends in just a few days.

In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, Dr. Charles Edel joins us to unpack the relationship between Australia and China. Dr. Edel begins by navigating key moments of closeness and tension in the China-Australia relationship. In terms of policies towards China, he highlights the moderate approach of the Australian business community versus the more forward-leaning approach from the Australian government and the public. He notes that when faced with great economic pressure, “Australian businesses were able to diversify and find other markets quickly”. Dr. Edel also examines Australia's participation in AUKUS and the Quad. He explains that Australia believes it needs to build up power projection capabilities, especially as China increases its presence in the Indo-Pacific. He adds that Australia's response to Chinese coercion demonstrates to China that not all countries will fold to its pressure. Additionally, he explains that China's closeness to Russia amid the invasion of Ukraine propels an overarching negative sentiment towards China and prompts the Australian government to consider potential responses if China attacks Taiwan. Lastly, Dr. Edel asserts that despite the current downward trend in China-Australia relations, the relationship will eventually stabilize. Charles Edel is the inaugural Australia Chair and a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. He previously taught at the University of Sydney, where he was also a senior fellow at the United States Studies Centre. Prior to that, Dr. Edel was a professor of strategy and policy at the U.S. Naval War College and served on the U.S. secretary of state's Policy Planning Staff from 2015 to 2017. In that role, he advised the secretary of state on political and security issues in the Indo-Pacific region. 

The chair of Parliament's Intelligence and Security Committee says strengthening the AUKUS security arrangement is Australia's most important overseas mission amid warnings Russia's invasion of Ukraine could inspire similar actions from China in Taiwan. Overnight, US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan and China's top diplomat Yang Jiechi met in Rome after the White House cautioned Beijing it would face consequences if it helps Russia evade sanctions. Guest: Senator James Paterson, Chair of the Joint Parliamentary Intelligence and Security Committee

With intelligent and thought-provoking analysis, RN Drive goes behind the headlines to give you original insight into the world you live in. Keep up to date with federal politics, current affairs, arts, culture and the stories that are making Australia talk.

Whether Australia leases, buys or builds nuclear-fuelled submarines as part of the AUKUS pact with the United Kingdom and the United States, it will be the first non-nuclear state to do so. How nuclear non-proliferation issues are addressed by these three countries is not the sole test of AUKUS, but it will form an important part of managing its future trajectory and global reception. On 14 March 2022, the Lowy Institute hosted Dr Alan J. Kuperman, Associate Professor at the Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs in Texas for a discussion with Hervé Lemahieu, Director of Research. They discussed the implications of AUKUS for the nuclear non-proliferation regime and how the current negotiations with the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna aim to mitigate any proliferation risks stemming from AUKUS. Dr Alan J. Kuperman is Associate Professor of Public Affairs and founding coordinator of the Nuclear Proliferation Prevention Project at the LBJ School of Public Affairs at the University of Texas. He was previously Senior Policy Analyst for the nongovernmental Nuclear Control Institute, and Legislative Director for Rep. Charles Schumer in the US Congress. He holds an AB in Physical Sciences from Harvard University, an MA in International Relations and International Economics from Johns Hopkins University, and a PhD in Political Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He has authored and edited books including Plutonium for Energy? Explaining the Global Decline of MOX (2018) and Nuclear Terrorism and Global Security: The Challenge of Phasing out Highly Enriched Uranium (2013).

On this week’s episode, Rich and Jarrod are joined by French Ambassador to the U.S. Philippe Ètienne for a conversation on repairing U.S.-French relations following the AUKUS agreement last year, ensuring European security and combating antisemitism in France and the U.S.

Katharine Murphy talks to Labor's foreign affairs spokesperson, Penny Wong, about the Aukus deal, Scott Morrison's approach to China relations and the task of managing politics and diplomacy in the region – while also reflecting modern Australia

In this latest SBS Hindi bulletin: Opposition leader Anthony Albanese criticises the government's handling of the AUKUS submarines contract; New South Wales government to provide an extra $551 million in housing support for flood victims and more.

스콧 모리슨 호주 총리와 조 바이든 미국 대통령, 보리스 존슨 영국 총리는 인도·태평양 지역의 새로운 안보 동맹인 오커스(AUKUS)를 발족하며, 호주의 핵 추진 잠수함 보유를 지원키로했다.

Australia correspondent Bernard Keane joins Kathryn to look at the devastating floods sweeping the east coast of Australia.

Join us for the return of On Liberty for 2022 as we talk to senior fellow at the University of Sydney's United States Studies Centre Stephen Loosley to find out what film can teach us about the possible cold wars to come. As Russia masses troops on the Ukrainian border and China ramps up its military presence in the South China Sea and South East Asia, the development of new Pacific and global alliances such as the quad and AUKUS creates tensions amongst the world superpowers, it seems like a new cold war is on the horizon. But do rising tensions really mean that the West faces "New Cold Wars"? Maybe the movies can tell us. We discuss what films like Wolf Warrior, Viking, and of course Dr. Strangelove mean for the state of international affairs. Does Xi Jinping's weaponisation of Wolf Warrior II presage a more global Chinese military adventurism? Does Vladimir Putin's endorsement of Viking telegraph his intention to invade Ukraine? And what do our own Cold War movies tell us about ourselves? Join us on YouTube at 12.30pm, Wednesday 23 February, as we find out. Stephen Loosley is a senior fellow at the University of Sydney's United States Studies Centre and a former NSW Labor senator from 1990 to 1995 and ALP national president from 1991-1992.He is a regular commentator on US elections in Australian media outlets.

This week, Mike is joined by the inaugural Australia Chair at CSIS, Dr. Charles Edel. The two start with an important discussion on the intersection of history and strategy, the strategic mind of John Quincy Adams, and the need for an Australia Chair in Washington as Australian influence on U.S. decisionmaking becomes more significant. Mike and Charles also assess the Biden administration's new Indo-Pacific strategy, Australia's role in increasing multilateral cooperation in the region, including within AUKUS and the Quad, and Australia's deepening relationship with Japan.

Ahead of the election, Scott Morrison is trying to wedge Labor on national security generally and China in particular. Opposition defence spokesman Brendan O'Connor tells this podcast: “National security is the the greatest priority of any federal government in order to protect the interests of the country and citizens. But we should not be politicising national security for base political purposes and that's been on display now for certainly the last couple of weeks.” “It is a critical issue and will always be a critical issue, but it shouldn't be debased in the manner in which Scott Morrison has chosen to do so recently.” On China, O'Connor indicates the difference under a Labor government would be one of tone rather than substance.   “We need to use temperate language in order to maintain peace and stability in the region. That's not for a moment to suggest we do not call out acts of aggression or coercion.” (The Essential poll, published on Tuesday, asked which party respondents would trust to build a relationship with China in Australia's best interests. It found 37% favoured Labor, 28% nominated the Coalition and 34% were unsure.) O'Connor describes Russian's President Putin's move on Ukraine – recognising two breakaway regions and deploying forces for “peacekeeping” – as “a blatant fundamental breach of international law”. “Our position therefore has to be that we engage with our friends, particularly the NATO states and the United States, as to what best we can do to reduce the likelihood of any invasion by Russia of the Ukraine.” O'Connor says Labor has concerns about a possible Australian defence capability gap between the current Collins class submarines and the delivery of the first submarine under AUKUS. But how a Labor administration would deal with that gap would depend on being comprehensively briefed in government on options.

General Abrams and Ambassador Harris discuss their partnership,  the treaty alliance with the ROK,  the shift under the Trump Administration to a top down approach to foreign policy and to a transactional relationships with allies, US summitry efforts with North Korea, managing  ROK initiatives, the storming of the Ambassador's residence, the threat of the PRC and the value of the Quad and AUKUS.  

This is a repost of my conversation with John Blaxland and Qinduo Xu, originally published on 01 Nov 2021.  --- Today I spoke with John Blaxland and Qinduo Xu. John is an outspoken commentator and researcher on topics such as Australian military history and strategy, public policy, security, defence, and international relations. Qinduo Xu is a political analyst who frequently contributes to international media outlets on China's rise and its interactions with the rest of the world. We discussed roots of the AUKUS partnership, difference in Australian and Chinese perspectives, China's economic and military growth, COVID-19, Double standards, lack of transparency, projection of strength, culture and many other topics. You can follow John and Qinduo on their respective Twitter accounts @JohnBlaxland1 and @xuqinduo. I briefly mentioned an article I recently published on the state of Western democracy, grey zone warfare by authoritarian states and the dangers of social media. You can view the article here.   ---   Full show notes My guests today are John Blaxland and Qinduo Xu. My audience might already be familiar with John Blaxland, who's previously been on the show. He is a Professor of International Security and Intelligence Studies and former Head of the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University. Prior to his academic pursuits, John enjoyed an extensive career as an Intelligence Officer in the Australian Army including as the principal intelligence staff officer for the Australian contingent deployed to East Timor in 1999, as the Director Joint Intelligence Operations at Headquarters Joint Operations Command and as Australia's Defence Attaché to Thailand and Myanmar. John is an outspoken commentator and researcher on topics such as Australian military history and strategy, public policy, security, defence and international relations. Qinduo Xu hosts Dialogue Weekend at China Global Television Network (CGTN), a talk show that offers in-depth analyses of current affairs. He also works as a producer of the TODAY show at China Radio International. As a political analyst who follows Chinese foreign policy closely, Qinduo frequently contributes to international media outlets such as The New York Times, Press TV, NPR, Turkey's TRT, ABC, RT, and others. Qinduo majored in both English and international studies. His focus of research has been on China's rise and its interactions with the rest of the world. Qinduo has spent years in the US as the chief correspondent for China Radio International and one year in Australia as a visiting scholar at the University of Melbourne. He is a Senior Fellow at the Pangoal Institution and an Adjunct Professor at Renmin University of China. Some of the topics we covered are: Origins and impact of AUKUS from the Australian and Chinese perspective China's economic and military growth The primacy of China and US relationship China's overseas influence operations Why China did not accept responsibility for COVID-19 Double standards, lack of transparency, and projection of strength Importance of perception, history, and culture Role of globalisation in deteriorating relationships Defusing tensions Chinese perspective of its role and contribution to the world Climate change and global challenges Need for increased dialogue between US, China, and other nations

亞太局勢日益緊張，法國和印尼設法加強雙方軍事關係，因此印尼宣布向法國訂購42架飆風戰鬥機，合約總價值81億美元。 聽眾五星留言+訂閱

This is a repost of my conversation with Michael Vatikiotis, a mediator at the Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue and author of the excellent book ‘Blood and Silk: Power and Conflict in modern Southeast Asia'. This episode was originally published on 22 Nov 2021. -- My guest today is Michael Vatikiotis who is a writer, journalist and private diplomat working in Southeast Asia (SEA) since 1987. He was formerly editor of the Far Eastern Economic Review as well as a journalist in Asia for more than three decades. He currently lives in Singapore and is the Asia Director of the Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue, a Geneva-based private foundation that facilitates dialogue to resolve armed conflicts. Michael has written two novels set in Indonesia and three books on the politics of SEA, including ‘Blood and Silk: Power and Conflict in modern Southeast Asia', which we focused on today. Some of topics we covered include: ‘delusion' of democracy in SEA; power of the elites; question of SEA identity; Western misunderstanding of SEA; China's influence and role; reality of regional circumstances; US/China contestation; Australia and AUKUS; reality of adjustment and accommodation as well as issues plaguing traditional and social media.    --- Full show notes: My guest today is Michael Vatikiotis who is a writer, journalist and private diplomat working in Southeast Asia since 1987. He was formerly editor of the Far Eastern Economic Review as well as a journalist in Asia for more than three decades. He currently lives in Singapore and is the Asia Director of the Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue, a Geneva-based private foundation that facilitates dialogue to resolve armed conflicts. Michael has written two novels set in Indonesia and three books on the politics of Southeast Asia, including ‘Blood and Silk: Power and Conflict in modern Southeast Asia', which we'll focus on a lot today, as well as ‘Political Change in Southeast Asia: Trimming the Banyan Tree'. His latest book ‘Lives Between The Lines: A Journey in Search of the Lost Levant' was published in August this year. In addition to his books, Michael regularly writes opinion pieces for international and regional newspapers and is a regular contributor to outlets such Al Jazeera and the BBC. Michael is a graduate of the School of Oriental and African Studies in London and gained his doctorate form the University of Oxford. He joins me today to discuss social, political and cultural dynamics of Southeast Asia and the role it plays, or is likely to play, in the complex world of modern geopolitics.  Some of the topics we covered include: Michael's background and journey to Southeast Asia Why Western idea of democracy remains a ‘delusion' in SEA Power and influence of elites in SEA Identity in SEA Western misunderstanding of SEA and what makes it ‘tick' Chinese influence and role in SEA Diversity and values Reality of ASEAN US/China contestation and resulting friction in SEA Peculiar reality of the region's position Sources of risks of conflict in SEA Australia's role and impact of AUKUS Reality of ‘Easternisation' Geopolitical struggle of adjustment and accommodation Role of journalism and social media Reasons behind Michael's hope

Defence Minister Peter Dutton says he would like to see more American combat capability based in Australia. Speaking on the “Politics with Michelle Grattan” podcast, Dutton says: “I'd be very open to it. I would be very, very happy to have that discussion with the US if they saw a strategic advantage in doing so.” He says there is significant visiting by US airforce, navy and army forces (together with the current marine rotation). “And if that is accompanied by, or there's a subsequent decision to base further numbers, we'd be very happy to have that discussion with the US – or with the UK, for that matter.” Last September's AUSMIN talks committed “to significantly advance Australia-United States force posture cooperation”. Dutton also reiterates he's working on the acceleration of the timetable for the nuclear-powered submarines, a centrepiece of last year's AUKUS agreement between Australia, the US and Britain. “I can assure you, the 20 year timeline is nonsense. I believe that we will be able to acquire well before that”. Discussions with the US and UK have been “very productive” and “I'll have more to say on that in due course once the discussions continue”. “Everything [is] on the table with the US and the UK at the moment, and we will achieve capability well ahead of what the critics are pointing out at the moment.” “I've been driving the process, receiving weekly updates, engaging with our counterparts. And this has momentum. It has buy-in from the US and the UK. It has an urgency because of the way in which the Chinese government is positioning in the Indo-Pacific”. Asked about criticism that his language on China is too belligerent, Dutton says, “I do believe that China is on a pathway of aggression, particularly toward Taiwan, and I want to be part of what I think is a majority view around the world to stop that from taking place. "I want China to continue to grow economically. I want to see people lifted out of poverty, but I don't want to see a clash, particularly between great powers. And I think again, we're better off to be frank in our assessments and to argue from a position of strength, not weakness, because otherwise, we will find ourselves in conflict in the Indo-Pacific, and that's not what anybody wants.” Dutton doesn't step back from his description of Russian President Vladimir Putin as an ageing dictator who is becoming more and more irrational. “People only need to look at his track record and concerning human rights abuses in Russia. There's no sense when we're dealing with a bully of any nature, believing that if we just close our ears and our mouth, that somehow the bully will become a good person.”