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It’s now time for a Special, year-end edition of Market View, where we not only take you though how the Singapore stock market closed for the day, but also step back to examine three key themes that have shaped markets over the year, and will continue to matter as we head into 2026. The three themes are: First, whether the global AI boom can move beyond hype and experimentation into a phase of real productivity gains and earnings delivery. Second, uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory and whether we’re truly approaching a more balanced phase of growth, inflation and policy. And finally, China’s economic transition and whether domestic consumption can meaningfully offset weaker property investment and export headwinds amid ongoing global trade tensions. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian dived into the details with David Chow, Director, Azure Capital and Olivia Ding, Investment Analyst, Reed Capital Partners. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we start with news the US Fed is struggling with its diverging views ahead of tomorrow's catch up non-farm payrolls report. Wall Street is dipping in anticipation. The oil price is falling on concerns demand is weakening.Overnight, two Fed speakers were out delivering different views. Trump insert Stephen Miran essentially called affordability concerns overblown and reckoned the data doesn't show an affordability problem. Whereas NY Fed boss John Williams sees 'resilience' and on-going price pressures.Meanwhile, the latest regional Fed factory survey is from the New York region and it turned into a contraction in December after two months of expansion. It was an unexpected turn lower. New orders held steady, and inflation pressures eased, but activity declined noticeably.On the home building front, the widely watched national survey of home builders remained glum, even if it did improve marginally. This measure stayed in contraction for the 20th consecutive month. Builders are contending with higher construction costs, economic and tariff risks, and muted demand from buyers who cite affordability concerns.In Canada, their CPI inflation came in at 2.2% in the year to November, unchanged from October. However, food prices rose 4.2%. Meanwhile, Canadian housing starts rose in November, consistent with the building permit trend we have noted before. But there are questions about whether that will last because November real estate sales were lower on volume and lower in price.In Japan, a series of Q4-2025 business sentiment surveys show good or rising confidence levels, now up to a four year high. This is true for large firms (recall our reports of how they are winning against the Trump tariff-taxes), the local services sector, and now a good jump for small businesses.In China, new home prices across their 70 major cities dropped -2.4% in November from a year ago, deepening from a 2.2% decline in the previous two months. The latest results are the 29th consecutive month of price drops and the steepest pace since August. Beijing is involved in a long struggle to overcome the seemingly endless weakness in their property sector. The price declines for housing resales are deeper, but not more sharp, even if they are just relentless.China's retail sales were notably weak in November, rising just +1.3% from a year ago and far below the expected +2.9% (with some expecting a +3.3% gain). This is a real cold-water moment for the Chinese economy and will undoubtedly bring emergency actions from Beijing. One reason for the weakness may have been the end of consumer goods subsidies, and the widespread expectation that they would be reinstated. Such subsidies are a trap on public finances.Chinese industrial production rose +4.8% in November, below the expected +5.0% rise and near the lowest growth level since late 2023. Despite its lowish level, there are reasons to be sceptical of even this level. (See next item.)But November electricity production in China was up only +2.7% from the same month a year ago, showing up the October year-on-year surge as an outlier.In India, their November exports rose while their imports fell, delivering a much smaller trade deficit for the month than was expected; in fact their lowest since June. And the November shifts were true for both goods and services.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.18%, down -2 bps from this time yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$4295/oz, and down -US$4 from yesterday. And we should note that silver is up +US$1 at just over US$62/oz.American oil prices are down another -US$1 at just on US$56.50/bbl and a five year low, while the international Brent price is now just over US$60/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is -10 bps softer from yesterday, now at just over 57.9 USc. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 87.2 AUc. Against the euro we are down -10 bps at 49.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 62, and down -20 bps from yesterday, shifted by a fall against the Japanese yen.The bitcoin price starts today at US$86,357 and down -2.8% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate, at just on +/- 2.1%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc

11 Dec 2025. The US Federal Reserve has cut rates by 25 basis points, and the UAE Central Bank followed immediately. Economist Ed Bell breaks down what the move means for borrowing, inflation and the wider UAE economy. Plus, Wafi Group and ALMAD Group reveal a major new joint venture to transform Wafi City, announced exclusively on The Business Breakfast. And Binance has secured a full licence for all three of its entities from ADGM. We speak to the company’s CMO about what this milestone means for crypto in the UAE.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Nifty looks set to rebound after a three-day slide, with global sentiment steadying post the U.S. Federal Reserve's widely expected rate cut. Still, with policymakers divided on the future pace of easing, volatility may linger. Back home, the broader market remains in focus after recent weakness. The GIFT Nifty points to a strong start, supported by gains across Asian markets and a solid overnight close on Wall Street. Among stocks to watch today: TCS, Cipla, Tata Steel and InterGlobe Aviation. Tune in for all this and more in today's Market Minutes — your essential morning podcast bringing you the top stories, market cues and trends to jump-start your trading day.

Stevie and Laura unpack a busy Thursday where the ASX jumped early on a US Fed rate cut, only to lose steam after a mixed local jobs report. The market still closed slightly higher, helped by gains in materials and real estate, while tech and healthcare dragged. Scentre Group was one of the standout performers after interest emerged in a potential stake sale at Westfield Sydney, Flight Center jumped on upgraded profit expectations following its UK cruise acquisition, and Myer surged on record Black Friday sales. On the weaker side, IAG slipped after the ACCC knocked back its planned WA insurance purchase. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Top Indian Stock Market News for Dec 11, 2025! Catch the US Fed 25bps rate cut, the massive EMS stock crash (Kaynes, Dixon), Adani Enterprises rights issue update, and SpaceX's potential $30Bn IPO. Plus: India-US trade deal & ADB upgrades India GDP forecast (7.2% for FY26). Don't miss these key market drivers!Link for Investing Ebooks: https://shorturl.at/gM97lHow to Use Artificial Intelligence for Investing - Combo of 5 ebooks00:00 Start00:51 US Fed Rate Cut03:25 SpaceX Plans $30Bn IPO05:16 India-US Trade Deal update08:09 ADB Raises India's FY26 GDP Forecast09:49 Indian Markets overview11:34 Adani Enterprises Rights Issue Oversubscribed13:10 EMS Stocks Crash Led by Kaynes15:50 Hindustan Zinc Surges on Silver Prices16:32 Swiggy's ₹10,000 Crores QIP

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the world's economy is handling the US tariff-tax buffeting quite well.Financial market reactions to the US Fed rate cut yesterday, and the nature of its split decision, has seen the USD fall, bonds shift to a risk averse tone, and Wall Street retreat, although it has recovered to break-even in the past hour. The oil price has fallen as demand estimates in the US fade.Today, in a very big shift, there were 313,100 actual initial jobless claims last week in the US which is the largest weekly rise since early in 2020. There are now 1.965 mln people on these benefits, +2% more than at this time last year.We should also note that the US home ownership rate in Q3-2025 was 65.3%. A year ago it was 65.6%. (In New Zealand it is 66.0%.) Their rental vacancy rate is now 7.1%, up from 6.9% a year ago.US wholesale inventories are rising according to late-released September data, now up +4.8% from a year ago. But their inventory-to-sales ratio isn't anywhere near concerning levels yet.US exports rose marginally in September, largely driven by the export of gold which accounted for 70% of the monthly rise. Computer exports fell, and travel receipts by visitors also retreated notably. Meanwhile imports into the US were little-changed. The shift of gold out enabled them to record their lowest trade deficit since 2020.In Canada however, their export growth was much stronger, and also featuring gold. Their exports jumped +6.3%, while imports were down -4.1%. That turned a trade deficit of -C$6.4 bln in August to a small trade surplus of +C$153 mln surplus in September and ending the 2025 negative monthly outcomes. Canada's exports of aircraft, and energy products (oil and electricity) rose significantly in September.Across the Pacific, Japan's Business Survey Index for large manufacturers rose to +4.7% in Q4-2025, up from 3.8% in the prior quarter and the strongest reading this year. This was better than expected, underscoring continued resilience despite trade frictions, growth concerns and their mounting fiscal risks.China has signaled that 2026 economic support from Beijing will be more modest than many had thought it would be.Switzerland reviewed its interest rate overnight and left it at 0%. They have inflation at +0.2%.We can also note the Central Bank of Turkey cut its policy rate by -150 bps to 38% overnight, a fourth consecutive reduction, and by more than markets expected. They claim inflation is starting to ease, especially food inflation. Overall inflation is still running over 30% pa, although that is half the rate of a year ago.In Australia, their November labour market report showed employment fell -21,300 (s.a.) from October, an unexpected result, but remained +182,400 higher than a year ago. Full-time employment fell -56,500 but part-time employment rose +35,200. Their jobless rate was stable at 4.3%. Underemployment rose to 6.2%.Container freight rates rose +2% last week from the prior week, largely on the back of rising rates from China to the EU. Rates from China to the US are falling as trade volumes ease. These container rates are now -45% lower than year-ago levels. Meanwhile bild cargo rates are +111% higher than year-ago levels, after last week's -14.8% fall off the recent peak.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.12%, down -4 bps from this time yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$4273/oz, and up +US$70 from yesterday and back near its peak. And we should note again that silver has set a new record high, just under US$64/oz with another big move.American oil prices are down almost -US$1 at just over US$57/bbl, while the international Brent price is just under US$61/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is +30 bps firmer from yesterday, now at just on 58.2 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +10 bps at 87.2 AUc. Against the euro we are down -20 bps at 49.5 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 62.3, and up +30 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$89,977 and down another -2.5% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate, at just over +/- 2.5%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again on Monday.

The ASX200 edged lower, about 0.1% down, marking a 0.6% weekly decline. The RBA left rates unchanged and the US Fed decides tomorrow, keeping markets cautious. Materials rose 1.3% while tech fell 1.5% and financials slipped 0.4%. Silver hit $60/oz and gold gained, lifting their sub‑indexes. Investors watch the Fed announcement, Australian Job Standard data and China’s upcoming policy meeting. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The US Federal Reserve has cut interest rates and has signalled one more reduction in 2026. In company news, GE Vernova surged as AI-driven demand supported higher dividends and buybacks, while Amazon’s growing grocery momentum pressured shares of Instacart and DoorDash. In commodities, oil rose after the Trump administration seized oil tankers off the Venezuelan coast, and copper and iron ore rebounded on China stimulus hopes. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to open higher ahead of key jobs data. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

As global markets await a rate cut decision by the US Fed, traders piled into silver once again, sending the metal price to a new high.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Singapore shares dipped today as Asian markets broadly traded in the red. The Straits Times Index was down 0.27% at 4,501.15 points at 2.34pm Singapore time, with a value turnover of S$573.59M seen in the broader market. In terms of counters to watch for today, we have Golden-Agri Resources, YZJ Maritime and Centurion Accommodation Real Estate Investment Trust. That’s after how a Singapore Exchange statement out yesterday said the three counters were added to the iEdge Singapore Next 50 Index and the iEdge Singapore Next 50 Liquidity Weighted Index. Elsewhere, from a last look at market expectations ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s latest rate decision, to how Amazon said today that it plans to invest more than US$35 billion in India by 2030, more international and corporate headlines remained in focus. Also on deck – how SK Hynix is exploring the possibility of listing shares in New York. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with Kenneth Goh, Director, Private Wealth Management, UOB Kay Hian.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news markets have essentially been on hold overnight awaiting the US Fed's decision.In the end, the Fed's FOMC trimmed its key rate by -25 bps to 3.75% as markets had guessed it would do. But it was not unanimous. The Trump stooge on the committee wanted a far larger cut. But the professional members fear inflation still and the small trim was the uneasy compromise. The voting was 9 members to cut by -25 bps, two to hold unchanged, and Miran wanting a big cut.Immediately after, the UST 10yr benchmark was active with a softish tone but really little-changed. the S&P500 rose, and the USD fell slightly. More reaction will come after Chairman Powell's press conference which is about to start soon.Earlier, the report on US mortgage applications was quite positive, up 4.8% last week from the week before which you may recall brought a small but unexpected retreat. The latest week however was all about refinance applications which were up +15% on that same prior week basis.An Q3-2025 data for US payroll compensation costs (pay plus payroll taxes plus benefits) were up +3.5% from a year ago, rising at about that rate in the latest quarter too. So American inflation isn't getting any respite from this direction.Quite how odd the US public policy has become is revealed in a current court case. US Federal prosecutors spent over a year extraditing a Belarusian woman to the US to face charges she illegally smuggled US tech to Russia for its war on Ukraine. Then ICE stepped in accusing her of being in the country illegally, and deported her, collapsing the case. Moscow smirked in satisfaction.In Canada, their central bank stood pat, holding their policy rate unchanged at 2.25% as widely expected. The say this is about the right level in the current uncertain environment. But they were surprised by the upside growth of GDP at +2.6% in the third quarter, found the labour market improvement better than anticipated as their unemployment rate fell. CPI inflation slowed to 2.2% in October and they see core inflation remaining in the 2.5% to 3% range.Across the Pacific in China, there was a slight rise in CPI inflation, enhance because the previous inflation was so low. Their inflation rose 0.7% in November from a year ago, as expected and accelerating from a +0.2% increase in October. This time, food price inflation was very low. It was the second consecutive month of consumer inflation and the fastest pace since February 2024.Meanwhile China's producer prices fell into a steeper deflation, down -2.2% in November from a year ago.And the IMF has raised its forecast for growth of the Chinese economy for 2025 and 2026, now expecting to see an expansion of +5.0% this year.And some influential analysts are saying the Chinese yuan is 25% undervalued and will appreciate more than forwards contracts are pricing for 2026.And in the EU, the ECB boss Christine Lagarde says they will likely raise their forecast for EU growth as well.In Australia, if you are retired and have assets, you need to pay a tax on a deemed rate of interest on your assets (irrespective of what they actually earn, if anything). That rate depends on how many assets you have. They raised it in September 2025 and have now signaled they will raise it again in March.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.16%, dipping -0.1 bp from this time yesterday and holding that after the Fed decision.The price of gold will start today at US$4204/oz, and down -US$17 from yesterday. And we should note again that silver has set a new record high, just under US$61/oz.American oil prices are little-changed at just om US$58/bbl, while the international Brent price is just under US$62/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is +10 bps firmer from yesterday, now at just under 57.9 USc. Against the Aussie though we are again essentially unchanged at 87.1 AUc. Against the euro we are down -10 bps at 49.7 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 62, and down -10 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$92,274 and down -2.3% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest, at just over +/- 1.4%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

The ASX200 slipped about 0.5 % to under 8 600 points, with every sector in the red. Tech off 1.3 %, mining down 0.5 % and energy down 1 % after oil fell. The RBA left rates unchanged, shifting market focus to a 2026 hike. Look out for Thursday’s jobs numbers, January CPI and US Fed cut, plus quarterly ASX index rebalance. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A 226-point Nifty decline, persistent FII selling, weakness in the rupee, and sharp damage in mid- and small caps—today's correction came from multiple pressure points.With the US Fed meeting days away and inflation data around the corner, traders chose caution over conviction.Listen to Neel Parekh connect the dots behind today's risk-off mood.

A 226-point Nifty decline, persistent FII selling, weakness in the rupee, and sharp damage in mid- and small caps—today's correction came from multiple pressure points.With the US Fed meeting days away and inflation data around the corner, traders chose caution over conviction.Listen to Neel Parekh connect the dots behind today's risk-off mood.

A 226-point Nifty decline, persistent FII selling, weakness in the rupee, and sharp damage in mid- and small caps—today's correction came from multiple pressure points.With the US Fed meeting days away and inflation data around the corner, traders chose caution over conviction.Listen to Neel Parekh connect the dots behind today's risk-off mood.

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news long term global bond yields are rising.The coming week will be one dominated by the final central bank monetary policy decisions of the year. The big one, the one that will likely move markets, is the US one on Thursday NZT. Markets expect a -25 bps cut to 3.75%. There will also be central bank decisions from Canada (Thursday, no change expected), Switzerland (Friday, no change), Australia (Tuesday, no change), Brazil (Thursday, no change), and Turkey (Friday, -100 bps).This week will also feature China releasing a series of key November economic data including for exports (expected to be strong), CPI inflation (expected to rise marginally but stay very low), PPI (still in deflation). Monetary and debt data will also be closely watched. In Japan, it will be all about their Q3 GDP, PPI, and machine tool orders.In India, markets will focus on November inflation data.In Australia, apart from the expected no-change RBA decision, labour market data will likely show their jobless rate edging up, and business confidence surveys are expected to be broadly stable.At the end of last week bond markets kept pushing up long term yields. The rise of Japanese long bond yields has this market concerned. But that just comes on top of where US fiscal stability is heading.In the US, personal income data is in catch-up mode with September details released over the weekend. Income was up +1.9% from a year ago while personal expenditures were up +2.1% on the same basis. Their PCE version of inflation was +2.8% and rising. There are no real surprises in this now-old data.Meanwhile US consumer debt rose +2.2% or +US$9.2 bln in October, less than expected and less than the September rise. Revolving debt (like credit cards) rose at an annual rate of +4.9%. Non-revolving debt which includes car and student loans was up +1.2%.Earlier, the University of Michigan December consumer sentiment survey reported it didn't fall from November, posting a small, probably insignificant gain. That leaves it -28% lower than a year ago. Year-ahead inflation expectations decreased from 4.5% last month to 4.1% this month. Despite the nominal improvements, the overall levels across the board remain quite dismal for most consumers there.Canada reported payroll data for November over the weekend and rather than the expected -5000 dip, they got a +53,600 gain in overall employment. But unfortunately for them, all the gains were in part-time employment (+63,000) with full time jobs shrinking -9,400.This extended better-than-expected labour market report is one of the reasons the IMF's latest review of Canada was quite positive. They are impressed by how Canada is handling the attempted-trashing it has been getting from the US.In China, their foreign exchange reserves, already very large, climbed to US$3.346 tln in November and fractionally less than expected. It was the fourth straight month of increases, to the highest level since November 2015 and it happened even though the US dollar weakened. Meanwhile, the People's Bank of China continued to add to its gold holdings for the thirteenth consecutive month, with reserves edging up to 74.1 mln troy ounces in November and their value rose +4.5% in a month (in USD).In India, and as expected, their central bank cut its key repo rate by -25 bps to 5.25% at its Friday meeting. They claim confidence in a softer inflation outlook. The RBI has now cut rates by a total of -125 bps since the beginning of the year, bringing the repo rate to its lowest level since July 2022.In Japan, household personal spending fell unexpectedly in October, and quite hard. It was down -2.9% from a year ago, way different to the market expectations of a +1.0% rise, and reversing a +1.8% gain in September. It was the first decline since April. From September, personal spending fell -3.5%, and starkly different from the expected +0.7% rise.In Germany, factory orders rose +1.5% in October from September, better than the expected +0.5% gain but slowing from an upwardly revised 2.0% gain in the previous month. From a year ago, their factory orders are down -0.7% however. The latest data was boosted by a very large (+87%) jump in orders for large equipment like aircraft, ships, and trains. There was also a +12% rise in metal production and processing. In contrast, demand for electrical equipment fell -16%. These are all quite big moves with the overall change.Globally, the FAO says its Food Price Index declined for the third consecutive month in November, with all indices but cereals down. Dairy prices were down -1.6% from a year ago, down -11.5% from their June peak. Meat prices were up +5.0% from a year ago but down -2.7% from their recent September peak.It is probably worth noting that the Argentine wheat crop is going to be huge this year, one that will have global impacts. In Australia, the winter wheat crop will be the second largest ever too.Also worth noting is that Trump's boast to farmers that the Chinese will be back buying American soybeans in a major way was just fantasy. They have bought only minor volumes. Administration officials are now admitting there never was any agreement.And we should also probably note that the copper price is moving up sharply again, back toward its US-tariff-induced July heights.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.14%, unchanged from this time Saturday, up +12 bps for the week. The price of gold will start today at US$4197/oz, and down -US$18 from Saturday, down -US$13 for the week. Silver is moving higher again, back at over US$58.50/oz and near its record high.American oil prices are holding at just over US$60/bbl, while the international Brent price is still at just under US$64/bbl, and up about +US$1 for the week.The Kiwi dollar is marginally higher from Saturday, now at just under 57.8 USc, up +50 bps for the week. Against the Aussie though we are unchanged at just on 87 AUc. Against the euro we are also unchanged at 49.6 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at 61.9, and little-changed from yesterday and from a week ago.The bitcoin price starts today at US$89,503 and up +0.7% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest, at just on +/- 1.0%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Stevie and Laura wrap up a quiet first week of December, with the ASX managing a small lift to notch its fourth straight day of gains. Investors worked through mixed local data, including softer GDP but a surprisingly strong jump in household spending has kept rate expectations in focus. Lithium miners were standouts on upgraded demand forecasts, Premier Investments weighed on consumer discretionary after flagging softer earnings, and NextDC climbed after striking a major data centre deal with OpenAI. With the RBA’s decision on Tuesday, the US Fed on Thursday, and key inflation and jobs data on the way, markets are bracing for a big week ahead. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

As markets head into the final stretch of the year, is a Santa Claus rally is still on the cards amid mixed Asia Pacific trading, a softer opening for Singapore stocks, and rising expectations of a US Fed rate cut? Fresh data from China adds to the uncertainty, with property developer sales plunging 36% in November and services activity slowing to a five-month low, raising questions about the durability of its recovery. On Market VIew, Willie Keng and Eddy Loh, Chief Investment Officer, Maybank Group Wealth Management unpack what could power or derail a year-end upswing. They also SoftBank’s decision to sell Nvidia and pour capital into new AI bets, the checkpoints that distinguish long-term structural shifts from bubble risk, and the global themes investors may be overlooking as the year draws to a close.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The ASX200 jumped 1.3% on Monday, snapping a week of declines and lifting the index to within 6.5% of its October record high. Tech and industrial stocks led the rise, while energy fell as oil slipped. Notable moves included Qube soaring 19.5% on a $11.6 bn Macquarie offer and DroneShield edging higher despite a steep MTD loss. Investors will watch Wednesday’s inflation print, the US Fed rate decision on 10 Dec, and a busy roster of AGMs later in the week. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with markets are even more skittish today, with key activity moving into bond markets even at higher yields.First, American mortgage applications fell back last week and by their most since late September. Fears about rising interest rates are getting the blame as it sinks in that highish inflation isn't going away. Refinance activity was the hardest hit. Still, it and purchase application levels remain well above year-ago levels.There was also official data released overnight, old catchup data for the US trade balance for both goods and services. That came in at the expected -US$50 bln deficit for August, exports flat, imports also flat. That was slightly better than August 2024 but almost identical to August 2023.And there will be no October jobs report from the US. It has been cancelled, officially because they "couldn't collect some data", but more likely because it would have delivered news the White House didn't want.Meanwhile reports circulate that the US is not only rolling back tariff-taxes on food imports, it is also close to rolling them back on steel and aluminium, maybe like the food rollback, somewhat selectively.The latest US Treasury 20 year bond auction raised US$17.8 bln at a median yield of 4.65%, up from 4.46% at the prior equivalent auction a month ago.The US Fed minutes of their last meeting on October 30 are due to be released at 8AM NZT. There is intense interest in these, more so because Trump as one acolyte in on the meetings pushing for [dangerous] rate cuts. If there is important stuff that emerges, we will update this item here.In Japan, September machinery orders rose a better-than-expected +11.6% from the same month a year earlier, up an impressive +4.2% from August. (This result is not twisted by large, volatile items like for ships or major infrastructure machinery such as electric power plants. That would have pushed the rise even higher.) Export orders were particularly notable.And Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose above 1.77% on Wednesday, a 17-year high. A year ago it was at 1.06%. The recent climb comes ahead of a crucial ¥800 bln debt auction (US$5.1 bln) that could indicate investor appetite signals. That is important because the new Takaichi government plans major debt-financed stimulus which is raising fiscal concerns.Meanwhile, China has raised US$8.6 bln in USD and EUR bonds. While that is a lot for them, it pales compared to the US$234 bln that was bidIn Malaysia, they are still an export powerhouse with October exports up +15.7% from a year ago and to a record high, imports up +11.2%, also a record high, resulting in a larger positive trade balance than expected. In fact, they haven't run a trade deficit in any month since the pandemic.As expected, the Indonesian central bank left its policy rate unchanged yesterday at 4.75%.In Australia, payroll costs rose pretty much as expected in the September quarter. They were up +3.4% year-on-year in Q3 2025, unchanged from the previous quarter. Public sector wages increased +3.8%, slightly above the +3.7% rise in Q2, while private sector wages grew by +3.2%, easing from +3.4% previously. (Overall, total wages and salaries for all employees rose +5.3% for the year to September, boosted by an expanding workforce.)The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.11%, down -3 bps from this time yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$4071/oz, and up +US$10 from this time yesterday.American oil prices have softened -50 USc from yesterday to be just under US$59.50/bbl, with the international Brent price down to under US$63.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at just on 56 USc, and down -60 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -30 bps at 86.7 AUc. Against the euro we are down -40 bps at 48.5 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 60.7, and down -50 bps from yesterday, to its lowest since July 2009.And we probably should note that the NZD has now fallen below 4 Chinese renminbi for the first time in three years.The bitcoin price starts today at US$89,524 and down a sharp -4.2% from yesterday and well lower than year-ago levels. In fact, it is falling as we publish. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate at just on +/- 2.4%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kick off your Monday with the latest from India's business world! Food inflation stays soft for now, Tamil Nadu takes the NEET Bill fight to the Supreme Court, and Nifty, Sensex, and Bank Nifty rebound with FPIs back in action. Gold and silver see choppy moves as US Fed rate hopes waver. Get today's top business news, market trends, key economic updates, and the latest on commodities, equities, and policy developments from India and around the globe.

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news inflation is rising more quickly in one large economy, the US, and policymakers and financial markets are getting skittish.Firstly, this week will be dominated by the Reserve Bank of Australia's release of the minutes of its November 5 meeting. There will be intense interest on their views of inflation risks. Then the US Fed will release the minutes of its October 30 meeting and observers will be looking for similar clues.Locally we will get another full dairy auction, and trade data this week, preceded this morning by the REINZ October results at 9am.Trade, inflation and PMI data will be coming from a range of countries. From the US, we await how they will be catching up with their official data releases. There will be the usual prosaic private sector data releases but the new weekly ADP employment data will bring intense interest, as will some earnings reports, especially from Nvidia.There will be little major data this coming week from China, because they released most of it this past weekend. And that was headlined by an big unexpected negative surprise from their fixed asset investment data. They said it fell -1.7% for the year to October. But that belies a huge -11% drop in the month from the same month a year earlier. For a country as large as China, that is a mammoth and sudden shift. The really large decrease was in the industrial northeast region. And it is puzzling analysts, especially in the light of the electricity data surge. Perhaps a clue is in this factoid in their data release: "fixed asset investment by foreign-invested enterprises decreased by 12.1%". The slump raises important questions about the health of their domestic demand which is still over-reliant on exporting. The internal economy still hasn't gotten over the real estate slump and the resulting defensive change in attitudes by their consumers.China's new home prices in October across their 70 major cities were unchanged from September, officially, but dropped -2.2% from the same month a year ago. This was the same year-on-year decline they had in September. Most analysts expected a lesser decline of -2.0%. Seven of the 70 cities posited modest year-on-year price gains. None posted any gains for resales.Meanwhile, China's retail sales held up better than expected, up +2.9% from a year ago with better holiday spending. Their official industrial production was up +4.9% from a year ago in October, a rather large easing in their 6.0% September growth rate.China's electricity production fell in October, but that was less than expected and less that the usual seasonal pattern so it was up an unusually large +7.9% from a year ago. That may have something to do with the electricity appetite by AI infrastructure.In India, bank loan growth stayed very high in October to easily a new record, even if the percentage rise wasn't as high as September. That is now three consecutive months where new debt has risen by more than +11% from the same month a year ago.In Canada, they released some September data over the weekend and it was quite positive. Their manufacturing sales rose +2.7% real, and their wholesale trade rose +0.6% real, both from August. Year-on-year it isn't so positive although manufacturing sales are almost back to those levels (-0.8%) after being down -4.1% in May. Both data sets indicate remarkable resilience, and their fast transition even after being dumped-on capriciously by the US.And there was some interesting data out over the weekend from the EU, where their trade surplus rose to +€19 bln in September. That was its best in five months and +50% better that year ago results. Driving the gains were exports to the US and the UK, offset somewhat by imports from India and Mexico. Imports from the US rose too but at a slower pace than the export activity. Imports from South Korea fell sharply. Trade activity with China was little-changed although it remains deeply negative (that is, more imports from China than exports to China).In the US there are clear signs investors are getting quite skittish about the risks of bonds tied to AI companies. Don't forget bonds have priority over equities, so the dive for insurance on bonds isn't a great sign. Bloomberg is reporting the demand for credit default swaps is surging for these bonds and they cite what is happening in Oracle's case. A surge in debt is expected to flood debt markets soon as these AI companies ramp up funding of their plans.And there is the news that Trump is now rolling back some of his tariff-taxes, because even he can see they have caused household inflation and the 'affordability crisis' he is being blamed for. US inflation pressure is moving the dial in money markets. The chance of a Fed rate cut on December 11 (NZT) is fading, and quite quickly, as professional traders scale back the bets on a cut rather sharply.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.15%, up another +1 bp from Saturday at this time up +7 bps for the week.The price of gold will start today at US$4081/oz, and down -US$17 from this time yesterday. That is up +US$17 for the week.American oil prices have held from Saturday to be just over US$60/bbl, with the international Brent price now just under US$64.50/bbl, up less than +US$1 from a week ago.The Kiwi dollar is now at just on 56.8 USc, and unchanged from Saturday, up +60 bps from a week ago. Against the Aussie we are up +10 bps at 86.9 AUc. Against the euro we are unchanged at 48.9 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 61.3, little-changed from yesterday, up +60 bps for the week.The bitcoin price starts today at US$94,374 and down another -1.5% from yesterday. That is its lowest since May 2025 and down -8.9% for the week. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate at just on +/- 2.7%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

The Aussie sharemarket extended losses to a third straight day, weighed down by fading hopes of another RBA rate cut this year after yesterday’s hotter-than-expected inflation data. The ASX200 slipped about half a percent, trimming October’s monthly gain to just 0.5%. Overnight, the US Fed delivered another 25-basis-point rate cut but signalled caution about further easing, while Nvidia hit a record US$5 trillion valuation. Locally, healthcare and energy stocks led modest gains, but sharp falls in consumer discretionary shares — dragged by Wesfarmers — kept the broader market under pressure. Investors also watched a high-stakes meeting between US and Chinese leaders, their first face-to-face since Trump’s re-election, aimed at easing trade tensions. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Get the latest updates impacting the Nifty and Sensex! In today's market summary, we cover the significant global and Indian economic developments.The US Federal Reserve announced its second rate cut of 25 basis points, but future cuts are uncertain due to elevated inflation and tariff risks. Globally, Nvidia crosses a massive $5 Trillion valuation fueled by the relentless AI boom and key 6G partnerships. Domestically, India is considering a crucial $12 Billion bailout plan for power distributors, linked to mandatory privatization and structural reforms.We also deep-dive into the strong Q2/Q3 earnings season, featuring:- L&T: Huge 45% jump in order inflows with strong international contribution.- PB Fintech: 164% profit surge driven by renewal flywheel and cost control.- Varun Beverages (VBL): Major pivot into the alcoholic beverages segment.- CG Power: Robust backlog and announcement of new switchgear capex.- APL Apollo Tubes: Record profitability driven by value-added products mix.- Five-Star Business Finance: Solid AUM and NII growth.Stay ahead of the market and understand the factors driving stock performance!

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news benchmark bond rates are on the move higher as the bond market passes its judgment on the geopolitical trade situation and the US Fed's signals.Basically they are pricing in risks where American inflation risks are not contained, and there is no real resolution to the trade tensions triggered by Trump.The Trump/Xi meeting ended with Trump claiming it was "an amazing meeting" with "all issues resolved". Markets discounted the hubris seeing the outcome actually making little practical progress. But at least it seems to be a truce. If there is any progress, it will come after further negotiations. Basically it was a photo op resulting in an invitation for Trump to visit Beijing where his ego can be stroked.The meeting brought China more time to finesse its position with the US, and more broadly, it made clear just how much stronger China has become since Xi and Trump last met. And interestingly, neither country has yet bothered to release a readout of the leaders meeting.In Japan, their central bank kept its benchmark short-term rate unchanged at 0.5% in October 2025 and extending a pause since the last hike in January. It was the market-expected decision, bit it was a split 7-2 result, with two members pushing for a rise to 0.75%, as they had at the prior meeting.Japanese share erased losses after the central bank boss gave his press conference review, but the yen dipped.In Europe, with inflation under control and its economy humming along at a modest level, but near potential, the ECB left all their settings unchanged, both interest rates (at 2.15%) and their balance sheet run-down pace. It has been a long time since they can claim their objectives are running as they would like.Meanwhile, overall economic sentiment is picking up in the EU, consistent with the improving economic data. Both industry and consumer sentiment are up in October and expectations are back to long-term averages, a position they haven't been in since early 2022.So it will be no surprise to know the Q3-2025 EU GDP rose from Q2 to be +1.5% higher than a year agoIn Germany, their October inflation rate inched lower to 2.3% from 2.4% in the prior month. But this wasn't quite as bigger move as the 2.2% rate expected. Energy costs there are falling and food prices are up only a modest +1.4% within the overall result.Globally, passenger air travel rose +3.6% in September from a year ago, with international travel up +5.1%. This was led by Asia/Pacific's +7.4% increase and trailed by North America's +2.5% rise. US domestic travel stood out with its -1.7% fall, the only region to record a shrinkage.Container freight rates rose another +4% last week, as China-USWC, and China-EU rates picked up notably. Overall they are now -41% lower than year-ago levels.Bulk freight rates fell -4.9% last week to now be +42% higher than year-ago levels.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.10%, up +7 bps from yesterday after the Fed announcement and after the US-China talks. The price of gold will start today at US$3999/oz, up +US$6 from this time yesterday.American oil prices are unchanged from yesterday at just on US$60.50/bbl, with the international Brent price just on US$65/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at just on 57.5 USc, and down -30 bps from this time yesterday. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 87.7 AUc. Against the euro we are also little-changed at 49.7 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 62.1 and down -30 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$108,076 and down another -2.8% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has again been modest at just on +/- 1.9%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again on Monday.

The Fed has begun cutting again, but without the comfort investors expected. Jerome Powell’s message was clear: the path to lower rates will be “data-dependent,” not automatic. Meanwhile, stocks remain at all-time highs, gold continues to glitter, and yields are refusing to budge. Dan Koh speaks with Ben Emons, Chief Investment Officer at Fed Watch Advisors, about what the Fed’s shift in tone really means, how the end of quantitative tightening could reshape liquidity, and whether markets are due for a healthy pullback after months of record highs.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the two big policy set pieces today have been underwhelming.First up today, the US Fed trimmed its policy rate by -25% as expected, bringing the target range to 3.75% to 4.00%. It issued a timid wait-and-see review which would be consistent with growing divisions within the policymaking committee, and growing worries that inflation is returning even as their labour markets weaken fast. Policy during stagflation requires a choice. One group wants the low-interest rate juice now, the other takes its inflation fighting mandate seriously.Immediately after the announcement, the S&P500 dipped slightly, the UST 10 year yield rose a few basis points, and the USD changed little. The announcement had no impact on the gold price - nor the bitcoin price.Earlier is was reported that mortgage applications rose +7.1% last week from the weak prior week, mainly on the back of pent-up refinance activity. Mortgage interest rates dipped but only minorly and were probably not the reason for the jump, which came after four consecutive weeks of decline. But having noted that, the small rate dip did taken them to their lowest level in more than a year.September pending home sales were soft, dipping -0.9% from the same month a year ago. This followed a +3.8% rise in August.As expected, the Bank of Canada trimmed its policy rate by -25 bps to % in its overnight decision. It said that the Canadian economy is adjusting to tariffs and the sharp drop in demand for exports. The reconfiguration of global trade and domestic production is leading to higher costs. Total inflation there has been around 2%, while underlying inflation remains about 2½%. Following the decision, their central bank boss suggested their easing cycle may be over as they expect cost pressure to rise as their economy goes through this adjustment phase.Malaysia's producer prices dipped slightly in September, down -0.8% from a year ago, but this was the least in six months as deflationary pressures seem to be past them now.Meanwhile Singapore's producer prices are on the upswing now. They rose +3.7% in September from a year ago, the most in six months. It was more for factory products with those surging about double that rate on the year-ago basis.In Australia, inflation is rising, and by more than expected. Their monthly indicator reported it rose +3.5% from the same month in 2024. The RBA meets next Tuesday to decide on its cash rate, and this seems to put the kibosh on the chance of any cut. In fact, a rate hike might get some airtime in their review.At the APEC meeting in South Korea, all eyes are on the Xi-Trump meeting results - and how far Trump has backed down. (TACO) Of course, both sides will talk up the outcome, but early signs are that things like China's resumption of soybean imports from the US will be nominal at best. Trump's deals with both Korea and Japan have long-tail implications that may not work out for the US. But the short-term optics are all that matters at present.Demand for air cargo transport rose for its seventh straight month, up +2.8% in September globally from a year ago, up +3.2% for international air shipments. This was led by the +6.9% rise in the Asia/Pacific region, and lagged by the -1.4% retreat in North America,The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.00%, after the Fed announcement. The price of gold will start today at US$3993/oz, up +US$38 overnight and making back yesterday's drop.American oil prices are up +50 USc from yesterday at just on US$60.50/bbl, with the international Brent price just on US$65/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at just on 57.8 USc, and unchanged from this time yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -10 bps at 87.7 AUc. Against the euro we are up +10 bps at 49.7 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 62.4 and up +10 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$111,195 and down -3.7% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has again been moderate at just on +/- 2.0%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

In this week's episode of the Market and Economic Wrap, Tumisho Grater, Multi-Manager Investment Analyst explores the shifting global economic landscape, highlighting the IMF's revised growth outlook, China's slowing GDP, and the US Fed's dovish stance amid labour market concerns. The discussion covers resilient US equities driven by AI optimism and strong earnings, record-breaking gold prices, and South Africa's ambitious R2.2 trillion energy infrastructure plan. Locally, inflation trends and currency movements are also unpacked, offering a comprehensive view of macroeconomic forces shaping markets. LinkedIn · YouTube

SHOW SCHEDULE 10-15--25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 1964 ATLANTIC CITYCONVENTION HALL THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT CONGRESS.... 10-15--25 FIRST HOUR 9-915 HEADLINE: Obamacare Subsidies Trigger Government Shutdown Debate GUEST NAME: Michael Toth SUMMARY: Michael Toth explains that the current government shutdown debate centers on extending two expensive Biden-era Obamacare subsidies. These changes allow individuals earning over 400% of the federal poverty line to receive subsidies and provide 100% coverage for the near-poor. The original Obamacare cross-subsidy structure failed because young, healthy individuals found premiums too high. Toth advocates deregulation, such as allowing insurance companies to charge lower, risk-adjusted rates and enabling single business owners to use Professional Employer Organizations (PEOs) for cheaper coverage. 915-930 HEADLINE: Obamacare Subsidies Trigger Government Shutdown Debate GUEST NAME: Michael Toth SUMMARY: Michael Toth explains that the current government shutdown debate centers on extending two expensive Biden-era Obamacare subsidies. These changes allow individuals earning over 400% of the federal poverty line to receive subsidies and provide 100% coverage for the near-poor. The original Obamacare cross-subsidy structure failed because young, healthy individuals found premiums too high. Toth advocates deregulation, such as allowing insurance companies to charge lower, risk-adjusted rates and enabling single business owners to use Professional Employer Organizations (PEOs) for cheaper coverage. 930-945 HEADLINE: Hamas, Hostages, and Middle East Turmoil: Challenges to the Trump Ceasefire Plan GUEST NAME:Jonathan Schanzer SUMMARY: Jonathan Schanzer discusses complications in the Trump ceasefire plan, including Hamas delaying the return of deceased hostages to maintain leverage. The released prisoners, including potential Hamas leaders, raise concerns about where the organization's center of gravity will shift if they are deported to places like Turkey or Qatar. Schanzer views Turkey, an autocratic supporter of Hamas, as a problematic guarantor of the ceasefire. Internationally, Iran continues its nuclear program despite snapback sanctions, and al-Sharaa is meeting with Putin regarding Russian assets in Syria. 945-1000 HEADLINE: Hamas, Hostages, and Middle East Turmoil: Challenges to the Trump Ceasefire Plan GUEST NAME:Jonathan Schanzer SUMMARY: Jonathan Schanzer discusses complications in the Trump ceasefire plan, including Hamas delaying the return of deceased hostages to maintain leverage. The released prisoners, including potential Hamas leaders, raise concerns about where the organization's center of gravity will shift if they are deported to places like Turkey or Qatar. Schanzer views Turkey, an autocratic supporter of Hamas, as a problematic guarantor of the ceasefire. Internationally, Iran continues its nuclear program despite snapback sanctions, and al-Sharaa is meeting with Putin regarding Russian assets in Syria. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 HEADLINE: China's Predicament in the Middle East and Domestic Economic Instability GUEST NAME: General Blaine Holt SUMMARY: General Blaine Holt analyzes China's strategic challenges, noting Beijing is concerned about losing access to critical oil and gas resources as US leadership advances the Abraham Accords. China's previous regional deals, like the Saudi-Iran agreement, lacked substance compared to US business commitments. Holt suggests internal pressures might lead Iran toward the Accords. Domestically, China faces accelerating deflation and uncertainty regarding Xi Jinping's leadership due to four competing factions before the fourth plenum. 1015-1030 HEADLINE: South Korea's Descent into Authoritarianism and Persecution of Opposition GUEST NAME: Morse Tan SUMMARY: Morse Tan argues that South Korea is moving toward a "rising communist dictatorship" that oppresses political and religious figures. The indictment of the Unification Church leader and the targeting of the rightful President Yoon exemplify this trend. This persecution serves as an intimidation campaign, demonstrating the regime's disregard for the populace. Tan recommends the US implement active measures, including sanctions relating to a coup d'état and visa sanctions, while also pressing for greater military cooperation. 1030-1045 HEADLINE: Russian War Economy Stalls as Oil Prices Decline and Sanctions Bite GUEST NAME: Michael Bernstam SUMMARY: Michael Bernstam reports that the Russian economy is struggling as global oil prices decline and sanctions increase transportation costs, leading to a $13 to $14 per barrel discount on Russian oil. The "military Keynesianism" economy is exhausted, resulting in staff cuts across industrial sectors. Forecasts indicate contraction in late 2025 and 2026, with the IMF lowering its growth projection for 2025 to 0.6%. Russia is avoiding sanctions by routing payments through neighbors like Kyrgyzstan, who have become major financial hubs. 1045-1100 HEADLINE: Lessons from the Swiss National Bank: Risk-Taking, Exchange Rates, and Fiscal Responsibility GUEST NAME: John Cochrane SUMMARY: Economist John Cochrane analyzes the Swiss National Bank (SNB), noting it differs greatly from the US Federal Reserve by investing heavily in foreign stocks and bonds to manage the Swiss franc's exchange rate. The SNB's massive balance sheet carries risks accepted by Swiss taxpayers and the Cantons. Switzerland, being fiscally responsible (running no budget deficits), finds central banking easier. Cochrane advises that the US Fed should not be buying stocks or venturing into fiscal policy. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 HEADLINE: China Retaliates Against Dutch Chipmaker Seizure Amid European Fragmentation GUEST NAME:Theresa Fallon SUMMARY: Theresa Fallon discusses China imposing export controls on Nexperia after the Dutch government seized control of the chipmaker, which was owned by China's Wingtech. The Dutch acted due to fears the Chinese owner would strip the technology and equipment, despite Nexperia producing low-quality chips for cars. Fallon notes Europe needs a better chip policy but struggles to speak with one voice, as fragmented policy allows China to drive wedges and weaken the EU. 1115-1130 HEADLINE: China's Economic Slowdown, Deflation, and the Spectre of Japanification GUEST NAME: Andrew Collier SUMMARY: Andrew Collier discusses China's economic woes, characterized by persistent deflation, with the CPI down 0.3% (6 out of 9 months in the red) and the PPI down for 36 straight months. This environment raises concerns about "Japanification"—a multi-decade slowdown after a property crash. Major structural changes to stimulate consumer consumption are unlikely at the upcoming Communist Party plenum, as the system favors state investment. The property market collapse means foreign investment is leaving, and Collier suggests the economy may not bottom until 2027 or 2028. 1130-1145 HEADLINE: SpaceX Starship Success, Private Space Dominance, and Government Inaction GUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: Bob Zimmerman describes SpaceX's Starship Super Heavy 11th test flight as "remarkable," highlighting successful booster reuse and controlled re-entry despite missing tiles. He asserts that private enterprise, like SpaceX, runs the "real American space program" aimed at Mars colonization, outpacing government efforts. In contrast, European projects like Callisto, proposed in 2015, demonstrate government "inaction." JPL is also laying off staff following the cancellation of the Mars sample return project, forcing organizations like Lowell Observatory to seek private funding. 1145-1200 HEADLINE: SpaceX Starship Success, Private Space Dominance, and Government Inaction GUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: Bob Zimmerman describes SpaceX's Starship Super Heavy 11th test flight as "remarkable," highlighting successful booster reuse and controlled re-entry despite missing tiles. He asserts that private enterprise, like SpaceX, runs the "real American space program" aimed at Mars colonization, outpacing government efforts. In contrast, European projects like Callisto, proposed in 2015, demonstrate government "inaction." JPL is also laying off staff following the cancellation of the Mars sample return project, forcing organizations like Lowell Observatory to seek private funding. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 HEADLINE: Commodity Market Trends and UK's Lack of Risk Appetite for AI Innovation GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: Simon Constable notes that data center expansion for AI is increasing prices for copper (up 15%) and steel (up 14%). He points out that the UK lags significantly behind the US in building new AI data centers (170 vs. 5,000+) due to a lack of risk appetite, insufficient wealth, and poor marketing of new ideas. Separately, Constable discusses the collapse of a UK China spying trial because the prior government failed to officially classify China as a national security threat during the alleged offenses. 1215-1230 HEADLINE: Commodity Market Trends and UK's Lack of Risk Appetite for AI Innovation GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: Simon Constable notes that data center expansion for AI is increasing prices for copper (up 15%) and steel (up 14%). He points out that the UK lags significantly behind the US in building new AI data centers (170 vs. 5,000+) due to a lack of risk appetite, insufficient wealth, and poor marketing of new ideas. Separately, Constable discusses the collapse of a UK China spying trial because the prior government failed to officially classify China as a national security threat during the alleged offenses. 1230-1245 HEADLINE: AI Regulation Debate: Premature Laws vs. Emerging Norms GUEST NAME: Kevin Frazier SUMMARY: Kevin Frazier critiques the legislative rush to regulate AI, arguing that developing norms might be more effective than premature laws. He notes that bills like California's AB 1047, which demands factual accuracy, fundamentally misunderstand AI's generative nature. Imposing vague standards, as seen in New York's RAISE Act, risks chilling innovation and preventing widespread benefits, like affordable legal or therapy tools. Frazier emphasizes that AI policy should be grounded in empirical data rather than speculative fears. 1245-100 AM HEADLINE: AI Regulation Debate: Premature Laws vs. Emerging Norms GUEST NAME: Kevin Frazier SUMMARY: Kevin Frazier critiques the legislative rush to regulate AI, arguing that developing norms might be more effective than premature laws. He notes that bills like California's AB 1047, which demands factual accuracy, fundamentally misunderstand AI's generative nature. Imposing vague standards, as seen in New York's RAISE Act, risks chilling innovation and preventing widespread benefits, like affordable legal or therapy tools. Frazier emphasizes that AI policy should be grounded in empirical data rather than speculative fears.

HEADLINE: Lessons from the Swiss National Bank: Risk-Taking, Exchange Rates, and Fiscal Responsibility GUEST NAME: John Cochrane SUMMARY: Economist John Cochrane analyzes the Swiss National Bank (SNB), noting it differs greatly from the US Federal Reserve by investing heavily in foreign stocks and bonds to manage the Swiss franc's exchange rate. The SNB's massive balance sheet carries risks accepted by Swiss taxpayers and the Cantons. Switzerland, being fiscally responsible (running no budget deficits), finds central banking easier. Cochrane advises that the US Fed should not be buying stocks or venturing into fiscal policy. 1890 SWISS

The ASX200 was up about 0.9 % in afternoon trade, close to the 9 000‑point psychological barrier, driven chiefly by a 1.2 % rise in the financials sector as major banks posted stronger earnings and dividend upgrades. Materials also added strength after softer Chinese inflation data, while energy fell on lower oil prices. Looking ahead, market focus will shift to US bank results, the US Fed’s upcoming rate decision, and Australia’s jobs report due tomorrow, which could steer the RBA’s policy path. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

China will maintain an independent and accommodative monetary policy amid the unfolding global rate cut cycle, with future adjustments to be determined by domestic priorities and incoming data, officials and analysts said on Monday.官方及分析人士于周一表示，在当前全球降息周期逐步展开的背景下，中国将继续实施独立且稳健宽松的货币政策，未来政策调整将依据国内发展重点与实际经济数据来确定。Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, said on Monday that China's monetary policy will remain independent and data-driven, following the US Federal Reserve cutting the federal funds rate by 25 basis points last week.中国人民银行行长潘功胜在周一指出，继上周美国联邦储备委员会宣布将联邦基金利率下调25个基点后，中国货币政策仍将坚持独立性与数据驱动原则。"China's monetary policy adheres to the principle of staying oriented to domestic needs while balancing internal and external factors," Pan said at a news conference, adding that future decisions will be based on macroeconomic conditions and evolving circumstances.潘功胜在新闻发布会上强调：“中国货币政策始终坚持以国内需求为主导，同时统筹兼顾内外部均衡。”他进一步表示，未来货币政策决策将立足宏观经济形势与实际情况变化来制定。Citing international central banking practice, Pan said the PBOC will follow a data-based approach to policy adjustment, and make comprehensive use of multiple tools to ensure ample liquidity and guide financing costs lower.提及国际央行通行做法时，潘功胜表示，中国人民银行会遵循数据导向的政策调整思路，综合运用多种货币政策工具，确保市场流动性合理充裕，并引导融资成本持续下行。Such efforts are aimed at bolstering consumption, expanding investment and consolidating economic recovery, Pan said, stressing that "China's current monetary policy stance is supportive."他指出，这些举措旨在提振消费、扩大有效投资，巩固当前经济回升向好态势，同时明确“中国当前的货币政策立场具备充分的支持性”。Also on Monday, the PBOC released the latest loan prime rates — the market-based lending benchmarks — which remained unchanged for the fourth consecutive month. The one-year LPR stood at 3 percent, while the over-five-year LPR came in at 3.5 percent.同样在周一，中国人民银行公布了最新一期贷款市场报价利率（LPR）——作为市场基础性贷款利率基准，此次LPR已连续第四个月维持不变。其中，1年期LPR保持3%不变，5年期以上LPR则稳定在3.5%水平。The steady rates were in line with expectations, as the policy rate of seven-day reverse repos has also held stable. Analysts said the third quarter has been a period of observing monetary policy effects, even as the US Fed rate cut provides more policy room for China by potentially ushering in a global rate cut cycle.此次LPR保持稳定符合市场预期，此前7天期逆回购操作利率亦持续维持不变。分析人士认为，尽管美联储降息可能推动全球进入降息周期，为中国货币政策提供更广阔操作空间，但第三季度仍是观察前期货币政策实施效果的关键阶段。Looking ahead, Ming Ming, chief economist at CITIC Securities, said credit growth remained subdued and property sales became weaker in the third quarter, underscoring the need for interest rate cuts to lower financing costs.展望未来，中信证券首席经济学家明明表示，第三季度我国信贷增长态势偏缓，商品房销售表现进一步走弱，这凸显出通过降息降低市场主体融资成本的必要性。Ming said that the narrowing net interest margin of commercial banks suggests that deposit rates may need to decline before a cut in LPRs can take place, adding that rate cut decisionmakers should also pay attention to the impact on investor sentiment in the stock market.明明指出，商业银行净息差持续收窄，这意味着若要下调LPR，可能需要先推动存款利率下行。此外，政策制定者在作出降息决策时，还需关注其对股票市场投资者情绪的潜在影响。During Monday's news conference, heads from China's top financial regulators also reported the achievements made by the country's financial sector over the 14th Five-Year Plan period (2021-25).在周一的新闻发布会上，我国金融监管部门负责人还介绍了“十四五”规划（2021-2025年）期间我国金融业取得的发展成就。Pan said total assets of China's banking sector reached nearly 470 trillion yuan ($66 trillion) by the end of June, the largest in the world, while the country's stock and bond markets ranked second globally in size.潘功胜透露，截至今年6月末，我国银行业总资产规模接近470万亿元（约合66万亿美元），规模位居全球首位；股票市场与债券市场规模则均位列全球第二。Wu Qing, chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, said at the conference that equity and bond financing on the exchange markets totaled 57.5 trillion yuan in the past five years, raising the share of direct financing to 31.6 percent, up by 2.8 percentage points from the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan period (2016-20).中国证券监督管理委员会主席吴清在会上表示，过去五年，我国交易所市场股票与债券融资总额达57.5万亿元，直接融资占比提升至31.6%，较“十三五”规划（2016-2020年）期末提高2.8个百分点。Technology-related stocks now account for over one-fourth of the market capitalization of the A-share market, far surpassing the combined weight of financial and real estate sectors, while dividends and share buybacks reached 10.6 trillion yuan in the past five-year period, more than twice the combined proceeds from IPOs and refinancing, Wu said.吴清指出，目前A股市场中科技相关板块市值占比已超过四分之一，远超金融与房地产板块市值之和；过去五年，A股市场现金分红与股份回购总额达10.6万亿元，是同期首次公开发行（IPO）与再融资募集资金总和的两倍多。Looking ahead, Wu said the commission will advance reforms of the STAR Market and ChiNext regarding IPOs, mergers and acquisitions, and corporate restructurings to amplify support for innovation, improve listed companies' disclosure quality, foster a culture that values and rewards investors, and enhance market regulation and risk-prevention frameworks.对于未来工作方向，吴清表示，证监会将推进科创板、创业板在首次公开发行（IPO）、并购重组等领域的改革，进一步加大对科技创新的支持力度；同时将提升上市公司信息披露质量，培育尊重投资者、回报投资者的市场文化，并健全市场监管与风险防范体系。Wu added that long-horizon assessments of funds will be reinforced, while cross-border investment and financing will be made more convenient to attract more capital inflow.他补充道，监管部门还将强化对基金产品的长期业绩考核，进一步便利跨境投融资活动，吸引更多境外资本流入我国资本市场。Zhu Hexin, administrator of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, said that overseas institutions and individuals held over 10 trillion yuan worth of onshore stocks, bonds, deposits and loans by the end of July.国家外汇管理局局长朱鹤新表示，截至今年7月末，境外机构与个人持有境内股票、债券、存款及贷款等各类资产规模合计超过10万亿元。Official data showed that foreign investors now hold about 3.4 trillion yuan of A shares, while 269 Chinese companies are listed overseas.官方数据显示，目前境外投资者持有A股规模约3.4万亿元，共有269家中国企业在境外市场上市。accommodativeadj.融通的，适应性强的/əˈkɒmədeɪtɪv/liquidityn.流动性；资产变现能力/lɪˈkwɪdəti/marginn.差额，利润/ˈmɑːdʒɪn/

The US Fed makes its first play on rates for the year, but should we expect the floodgates to open? ASIC Chair Joe Longo won’t seek reappointment to his role, due to expire in May next year. Can salary packaging be a way to get around the pitfalls of bracket creep? And the ASX closed the week higher, with Wall Street excited for what’s to come. Interview with: Mike Daly, salary packaging expert from Smart Email us your thoughts to moneynews@nine.com.au Hosted by: Tom StoreySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc

18 Sep 2025. The US Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by a quarter point and the UAE Central Bank immediately followed, lowering the base rate to 4.15%. We ask economist Dan Richards of Emirates NBD what it means for borrowing, saving, and investing here in the UAE. Plus, Majid Al Futtaim has opened a supermarket just for kids, we speak to their CEO of Retail about the concept. And Sky Kurtz, the “Berry King” of Pure Harvest, joins us to reveal two new collaborations as demand for local produce continues to rise.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this edition, we have two interesting interviews - economist Kaushik Basu argues that closer India-China engagement is necessary even as India competes with its neighbour and Abakkus Asset Manager founder Sunil Singhania tells us that India Inc must shift its focus from margin protection to growth. Also find reportage on India's market cap surge, why US Fed rate cuts are unlikely to draw FPIs to India, Infra.Market's funding round and how GenZ is powering spiritual and cultural tourism this festive season.

The market fell in a day of big financial news, as the US Fed cut interest rates for the first time this year, and ADNOC pulled out of its takeover deal for Santos.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The US Fed has cut rates for the first time in 2025, while Australia’s unemployment numbers suggest we might be waiting longer for our next cut.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The US Fed will deliver its most important rate cut decision overnight, with expectations of a drop of at least 25 basis points, and as much as 50 basis points.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nifty looks set to wrap up the week on a strong note after seven straight sessions of gains, with GIFT Nifty signaling a firm start and global markets buoyed by rising expectations of a US Fed rate cut next week. In today's episode we track all the big movers—Infosys after announcing its biggest-ever Rs 18,000-crore share buyback, SEBI board meet agenda, the August inflation print that may break a nine-month downtrend, and the government's two-day PSU bank ‘Manthan' meet where consolidation and AI adoption are on the agenda. Tune in for all this and more in today's Market Minutes — your morning podcast bringing you the top stories to kickstart your trading day, from stocks in the news to macro trends and global market cues. Tune in for all this and more in today's Market Minutes — your morning podcast

As Fed governor Lisa Cook fights to block President Trump from firing her, a first legal hearing on the matter ends without a ruling. But with ongoing tensions and concerns over political meddling, who would want the next Fed chair job when the role becomes vacant next year? We speak to a former regional Fed president who says he's up for the job.Canada's economy shrinks much more than expected amid trade disputes with the US. An economist from the Canadian Chamber of Commerce weighs in on whether it might improve any time soon.And as a Chinese property giant's shares are removed from a major stock market, is the golden era for Chinese real estate well and truly over?

In today's episode on 28th August 2025, we tell you about the silent, yet most important, change in the US Fed's stance.

The Israeli military says in its initial report about the attack on the Nasser Hospital in southern Gaza that it was not targetting journalists but a Hamas camera. Twenty people died in the attack, among them five journalists. Most of the casualties were caused by the second strike which came ten minutes after the first. Also, US Fed governor Lisa Cook says she'll sue President Trump for ordering her dismissal, and Taylor Swift announces her engagement to NFL star Travis Kelce. The Global News Podcast brings you the breaking news you need to hear, as it happens. Listen for the latest headlines and current affairs from around the world. Politics, economics, climate, business, technology, health – we cover it all with expert analysis and insight. Get the news that matters, delivered twice a day on weekdays and daily at weekends, plus special bonus episodes reacting to urgent breaking stories. Follow or subscribe now and never miss a moment. Get in touch: globalpodcast@bbc.co.uk

Bitcoin fell below $113,000 as investors braced for Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech that could set the US Fed's path on interest rate cuts.~This episode is sponsored by Gemini & Tangem~Sign up for The Gemini Credit Card and get an extra $50 in crypto!➜ https://bit.ly/GeminiPBNTangem ➜ https://bit.ly/TangemPBNUse Code: "PBN" for Additional Discounts!00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: Tangem00:50 Fear & Greed02:00 CNBC: Are people just taking profits?04:00 More pain coming04:45 Polymarket05:25 Sponsor: Gemini06:00 Powell under pressure07:25 Bankruptcy filings08:15 David Zervos08:35 David Zervos: Policy is too restrictive10:40 Bitcoin ETF outflows12:05 ETH lows in?12:30 New ETH treasury companies14:15 Charts: Price targets15:50 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~More Pain Coming?

Crypto News: BlackRock Bitcoin, Ether ETFs buy $1B as BTC price mostly fills CME gap. US Fed to end oversight program for banks' crypto activities. Wellgistics debuts XRP payments for independent US pharmacies. Show Sponsor -

31 Jul 2025. So what’s next for rate cuts and what it means for us? We ask economist Daniel Richards. Plus, ADNOC Drilling posts a record-breaking H1, CFO Youssef Salem joins us live. Saudi budget airline flyadeal releases fresh metrics, we speak to the CEO. And it’s the final day for UAE businesses to file late corporate tax returns without facing fines, tax lawyer Nirav Rajput explains what you need to know.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

MS-13 terrorist and human trafficker Kilmar Armando Abrego-Garcia is BACK in the US!

As gold prices reach new all-time highs, Metals & Mining Commodity Strategist Amy Gower discusses whether the rally is sustainable.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley. ---- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Amy Gower, Morgan Stanley's Metals & Mining Commodity Strategist. Today I'm going to talk about the steady rise we've had in gold prices in recent months and whether or not this rally can continue. It's Tuesday, April 15th, at 2pm in London.So gold breached $3000/oz for the first time ever on 17th of March this year, and has continued to rise since then; but we would argue it still has room to run. First of all, let's look back at how we got here. So, gold already rallied 25 percent in 2024, which was driven largely by strong central bank demand as well as the start of the US Fed rate cutting cycle, and strong demand for bars and coins as geopolitical risk remained elevated. And arguably, these trends have continued in 2025, with gold up another 22 percent, and now rising tariff uncertainty also contributing. This comes in two ways – first, demand for gold as a safe haven asset against this current macro uncertainty. And second as an inflation hedge. Gold has historically been viewed by investors as a hedge against the impact of inflation. So, with the U.S. tariffs raising inflation risks, gold is seeing additional demand here too. But, of course, the question is: can this gold rally keep going? We think the answer is yes, but would caveat that in big market moves -- like the ones we have seen in recent weeks -- gold can also initially fall alongside other asset classes, as it is often used to provide liquidity. But this is often short-lived and already gold has been rebounding. We would expect this to continue with the price of gold to rise further to around $3500/oz by the third quarter of this year. There are three key drivers behind this projection: First, we see still strong physical demand for gold, both from central banks and from the return of exchange-traded funds or ETFs. Central banks saw what looks like a structural shift in their gold purchases in 2022, which has continued now for three consecutive years. And ETF inflows are returning after four years of outflows, adding a significant amount year-to-date, but still well below their 2020 highs, suggesting there's arguably much more room to go here. Second, macro drivers are also contributing to this gold price outlook. A falling U.S. dollar is usually a tailwind for commodities in general, as it makes them cheaper for non-dollar holders; while a stagflation scenario, where growth expectations are skewed down and inflation risks are skewed up, would also be a set-up where gold would perform well. And third, continued demand for gold as a safe-haven asset amid rising inflation and growth risks is also likely to keep that bar and coin segment well supported. And what would be the bullish risks to this gold outlook? Well, as prices rise, you tend to start ask questions about demand destruction. And this is no different for gold, particularly in the jewelry segment where consumers would go with usually a budget in mind, rather than a quantity of gold. And so demand can be quite price sensitive. Annual jewelry demand is roughly twice the size of that central bank buying and we already saw this fall around 11 percent year-on-year in 2024. So, we would expect a bit of weakness here. But offset by the other factors that I mentioned. So, all in all, a combination of physical buying, macro factors and uncertainty should be driving safe haven demand for gold, keeping prices on a rising trajectory from here. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.