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Economy Watch
Pressure in the details

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 15, 2026 6:23


Kia ora.Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the modest US inflation rate reported for January is fueling a disconnect and scepticism in US households.But first, this is a week where we will get the next RBNZ OCR review on Wednesday, important because it is Governor Brennan's first. And she will get her first inkling of January inflation impulses on Tuesday, and may have the January REINZ data later today. And she will likely know how the bank's consumer and business surveys are tracking, especially on inflation expectations.In Australia, the key data will come on Thursday with their January labour force updates. And the RBA will release the minutes of it February 4 meeting on Tuesday, always a potential market-moving event.The US Fed will also release its minutes this week. And we will get the advance estimate of Q4-2025 US GDP, as well as the Fed's [referred inflation gauge, the PCE. Canada will chime in with its own key releases.In China, markets will be closed for the week-long Lunar New Year holiday from February 16 to 23, although January foreign direct investment data is still expected to be released. Elsewhere, trade figures are due from Singapore, Malaysia, and New Zealand, while Malaysia will also publish inflation data.Over the weekend, China reported that that price deflation in their housing market picked up in January for a third straight month at a faster pace, overall down -3.1% from a year ago. In January, the year-on-year sales price of existing homes in first-tier cities fell by -7.6%. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen falling by -8.7%, -6.8%, -8.3%, and 6.5% respectively. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year sales prices of existing homes fell by -6.2% and -6.1%. Prices for new-built houses fell too, but only by -2.1%.Staying in China, and as expected, the normal January surge in new yuan lending by banks occurred again this year, but by less than expected and by a -8.2% lower level than for 2025, -4.3% lower than for January 2024. And it was -5.8% lower than what was expected. It is a soft result and is typically followed by a sharply lower level of lending in February during the Spring Festival/CNY period. 2026 is off to a languid start for them.Meanwhile, China's export economy is still functioning at full speed. Their current account surplus widened to an unprecedented US$242 bln in Q4-2025, sharply higher than the US$164 bln recorded a year earlier.India also released bank loan data overnight, and their firms are borrowing up big. In fact, it was up +14.6% in January from a year ago, the strongest surge in a year.Malaysia reported that its economic activity rose +6.3% in Q4 2025 from a year ago, revised up from an initial 5.7% and accelerating from 5.4% growth in Q3. This was their sharpest expansion since Q4-2022, with broad gains in agriculture, driven by oil palm output (+16, manufacturing, and services.On Saturday in the US CPI inflation came in at 2.4% for the year to January, slightly below the expected 2.5%. Core inflation came in at the expected 2.5%. This result was all due to lower petrol prices and falling used car prices. However, food was up +2.9%, and rents were up +3.0%. Electricity prices were up +6.3% (thank you, AI) and home gas was up +9.8%. It will be hard for households to feel inflation is under control.And key will be how the US Fed will interpret this data when setting their policy rates at their next meeting on March 19, 20206 (NZT). Markets currently expect a hold, and at least until the middle of the year.And one reason food prices seem higher there than the official data is that US beef cattle herd is now at its lowest in 75 years. This helps explain why US imports are soaring, and prices are high & rising.And don't forget, it is a long holiday weekend in the US for Washington's Birthday/President's Day. US-based activity will be low tomorrow and that will show up in our financial markets.The UST 10yr yield is still just under 4.06%, little-changed from Saturday but it is down -15 bps from this time last week.The price of gold will start today up +US$21 from Saturday at US$5041/oz. Silver is down -50 USc at US$77.50/oz today.American oil prices are little-changed at just under US$63/bbl, while the international Brent price is still under US$68/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is little-changed against the USD from Saturday, now just on 60.4 USc and down -10 bps. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 85.4 AUc. We are down marginally again against the yen. Against the euro we are unchanged at 50.9 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today little-changed, now at 63.8 and down -10 bps from Saturday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$68,565 and down -0.8% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modeST at just under +/- 1.5%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow.

Economy Watch
Tech takes a beating, bond yields fall

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2026 4:37


Kia ora.Welcome to Friday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news global financial markets are showing nerves ahead of tomorrow's US CPI data, not only because there is upside risk that will restrain the US Fed from, rate cuts, but also gun-shy after getting non-farm payrolls reports they basically didn't believe. Sanitised US data is a risk no-one wants (other than the White House.)First in the US, there were 248,000 initial jobless claims last week, a small decrease but the one explained by seasonal factors. There are now 2.215 mln people on these benefits, more than the 2.19 mln in the same week a year ago.And American existing home sales came in sharply lower in January that the good December level. They ran at a -4.4% lower rate than in January 2025, and even lower than the unusually low January 2024 level. They fell everywhere and was the largest fall in four years, although prices rose marginally from a year ago.The New York Fed released a detailed review of "who pays" the Trump tariff taxes, and surprise, surprise, they found it is almost exclusively (90%) Americans who pay. Who knew? They also found that after these tariffs, China's share of US imports is basically unchanged. Some people are slow learners - tariff taxes are a tax on yourself. But you have to take stage one economics to learn this stuff.In India, they released CPI inflation data overnight and it came in at 2.75%, their highest since May. And we should also probably note that protests in India are growing against their recently-agreed free-trade deal with the US.In China, their Spring Festival / Chinese New Year formally starts on Tuesday, and a lot depends on the consumer spending patterns during this two week annual break. Forward bookings for travel indicate a record level of travel, a sharp jump in international travel, and a preference for independent, non-package holidays. Thailand, Russia, Turkey and the Philippines are getting outsized bookings this year.Separately, China has rolled back its steep tariff penalty on EU dairy products.In Australia. consumer inflation expectations rose in February to 5.0%. This follows a seven-month period of below five-per cent expectations. The increase in February is present across a number of inflation expectations measures.And staying in Australia, chances are rising that extended drought conditions related to the return of an El Niño weather pattern that may come later in 2026. It will be hotter there too. If that occurs, there will be spillover implications for New Zealand, particularly for the rural sector.Global container freight rates were little-changed last week (-1%), to be -38% lower than year-ago levels. Once again, the key change were weaker outbound China rates. Although shifting in between, bulk cargo rates are essentially unchanged from a week ago, but they are +150% higher than year-ago levels. (But that base was unusually low.)The UST 10yr yield is now just over 4.11%, and down -6 bps from yesterday in a hard shift to 'safety'.The price of gold will start today down -US$122 from yesterday at US$4953/oz. Silver is down a very sharp -US$8 at US$76/oz and even more volatility.American oil prices are down -US$2 at just over US$63/bbl, while the international Brent price is now just under US$68/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is down a minor -10 bps against the USD from yesterday, now just over 60.5 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +20 bps at 85.2 AUc. We are down again against the yen. But against the euro we are unchanged at 51 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today also little-changed, still at 63.9.The bitcoin price starts today at US$66,288 and up +0.5% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just on +/- 1.7%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again on Monday.

SAfm Market Update with Moneyweb
Market Watcher: Are we out of the woods?

SAfm Market Update with Moneyweb

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 3, 2026 10:24


Terence Hove of Exness runs us through the day's market developments, including a rebound in commodities after the recent sell-off, the US Fed's latest decision, geopolitical tensions, oil prices, US earnings, and local retail stocks. SAfm Market Update - Podcasts and live stream

World Business Report
President Trump nominates Kevin Warsh as US Fed Chair

World Business Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2026 8:59


The former Federal Reserve governor has deep ties to Wall Street, was previously interviewed for the job in 2017, and has been an outspoken critic of America's central bank. We'll ask how financial markets have responded to the news. Also, Venezuelan MPs have approved a bill to open up its oil sector to private firms. And, Panama's Supreme Court has voided a Hong-Kong based company's canal port contracts.

Moneycontrol Podcast
5015: Apple, Google rejoice over India sales, NSE gets nod for IPO & metals have a bruising day | MC Editor's Picks

Moneycontrol Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2026 4:13


Apple dubs India its growth engine, Google is pleased with its domestic performance too, National Stock Exchange gets green signal for IPO, Trump names US Fed chief, govt adopts wait and watch mode for stablecoins, space regulator seeks startup feedback on regulatory hurdles while dealing with US and much more. Tune in to Moneycontrol Editor's picks for the top headlines from the day.

Investment Talks - All About Investing
US Fed Threat vs. India's 7.2% Growth: Who Wins the Battle?...30-Jan-26

Investment Talks - All About Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2026 1:53


It's a tale of two markets. Globally, fear is rising—Gold is correcting sharply on fears of tighter US monetary policy. Domestically, confidence is high—the Govt predicts robust GDP growth of up to 7.2% for FY27. Which signal should you follow? The Nifty closed lower today, caught in this crossfire. Join Sanket Bendre as we decode the "Safe Haven" sell-off and the sectors that will survive the volatility.

Investment Talks - All About Investing
US Fed Threat vs. India's 7.2% Growth: Who Wins the Battle?...30-Jan-26

Investment Talks - All About Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2026 1:53


It's a tale of two markets. Globally, fear is rising—Gold is correcting sharply on fears of tighter US monetary policy. Domestically, confidence is high—the Govt predicts robust GDP growth of up to 7.2% for FY27. Which signal should you follow? The Nifty closed lower today, caught in this crossfire. Join Sanket Bendre as we decode the "Safe Haven" sell-off and the sectors that will survive the volatility.

Investment Talks - All About Investing
US Fed Threat vs. India's 7.2% Growth: Who Wins the Battle?...30-Jan-26

Investment Talks - All About Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2026 1:53


It's a tale of two markets. Globally, fear is rising—Gold is correcting sharply on fears of tighter US monetary policy. Domestically, confidence is high—the Govt predicts robust GDP growth of up to 7.2% for FY27. Which signal should you follow? The Nifty closed lower today, caught in this crossfire. Join Sanket Bendre as we decode the "Safe Haven" sell-off and the sectors that will survive the volatility.

Yadnya Investment Academy
Daily Stock Market News(29 Jan 2026): US Fed Rate, BEL, ACC, L&T, TVS Motor Q3 Results

Yadnya Investment Academy

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2026 20:00


#stockmarket #nifty #sensex #investing #trading #finance #breakingnews #usfed #iipdata #q3results #bel #lt #marutisuzuki #tvsmotor #starhealthhttps://shorturl.at/gM97lHow to Use Artificial Intelligence for Investing - Combo of 5 ebooksThe US Fed kept rates unchanged to assess sticky inflation, halting its rate-cut streak. India's industrial growth (IIP) hit a 2-year high of 7.8% in December. Corporate earnings were mixed: BEL and TVS Motor posted record numbers, while L&T and Star Health missed estimates due to labour costs and underwriting losses. Maruti Suzuki saw a 29% revenue jump, and ACC reported record sales volumes despite a profit slump.00:00 Start00:38 US Fed Decision 03:29 India IIP Hits 2-Year High05:20 BEL Q3 Earnings Beat07:09 ACC Q3 Profit Slumps 63pc08:58 L&T Misses Estimates11:30 Maruti Suzuki Revenue Jumps 29pc12:54 TVS Motor Record Q3 Profit14:57 Star Health Profit Falls16:17 Believe it or not

The Business Times Podcasts
S2E451: US dollar continues to fall, Indonesian shares in turmoil, STI gets close to 5,000 points

The Business Times Podcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2026 2:40


Market news for January 29, 2026: US Fed holds rates steady, sees ‘elevated’ inflation and stabilising job market; US dollar falls, Korean won rallies; Indonesia shares hit by second trading halt after MSCI flags transparency concerns; STI could hit as high as 6,500 on extended rally, says JPMorgan Synopsis: Market Focus Daily is a closing bell roundup by The Business Times that looks at the day’s market movements and news from Singapore and the region. Written by: Emily Liu (emilyliu@sph.com.sg) Produced and edited by: Chai Pei Chieh & Claressa Monteiro Produced by: BT Podcasts, The Business Times, SPH Media Produced with AI text-to-speech capabilities --- Follow Market Focus Daily and rate us on: Channel: bt.sg/btmktfocus Amazon: bt.sg/mfam Apple Podcasts: bt.sg/mfap Spotify: bt.sg/mfsp YouTube Music: bt.sg/mfyt Website: bt.sg/mktfocus Feedback to: btpodcasts@sph.com.sg Do note: This podcast is meant to provide general information only. SPH Media accepts no liability for loss arising from any reliance on the podcast or use of third party’s products and services. Please consult professional advisors for independent advice. Discover more BT podcast series: BT Money Hacks at: bt.sg/btmoneyhacks BT Correspondents at: bt.sg/btcobt BT Podcasts at: bt.sg/podcasts BT Lens On: bt.sg/btlensonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

CommSec
Market Close 28 Jan 26: Market slides on rate hike fears

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 28, 2026 9:53


The Aussie market’s winning streak snapped today as hotter-than-expected inflation data fueled fears of a February rate hike. With core inflation hitting 3.4%, markets are now pricing in a 70% chance of an RBA move next Tuesday, sparking a sell-off in Retail and Tech stocks. Despite the gloom, BHP hit a record all-time high, cementing its position as Australia's most valuable company, while the Aussie dollar cracked 70 US cents for the first time in nearly three years. Energy stocks also sparkled, led by a 3% lift for Woodside following a production beat. Attention now turns to the US Fed decision tonight and a massive slate of tech earnings including Meta and Microsoft. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Economy Watch
Inflation pressure raises chances of rate rises

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 28, 2026 5:06


Kia ora, Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news markets now expect an Australian rate rise next week. But first today, the US Fed held its policy rate unchanged at 3.5%. This is what markets expected from them, despite the Trump pressure to cut sharply. The vote was 10-2 with the dissenters working to curry favour with Trump to get the nod as the next Fed chairman. The FOMC indicated that rates at this level could hold for some time while household inflation stress remains elevated. Inflation with no growth (other than AI) is a hard position to extract yourself from. They also have their eye on the labour market, with some large layoff announcements in the past few days. Both UPS (-30,000) and Amazon (-16,000) have announced big cuts, less about seasonal changes, more about 'efficiency'. They aren't the only ones pulling back. American mortgage applications fell last week as mortgage interest rates rose. Refinance activity fell more than -16%, while new home purchase mortgages were little-changed. This may not be a trend change, rather just a breather, because the prior three weeks rose notably. However, this metric is in a clear yoyo pattern. Canada's central bank also held its policy rate at 2.25% in its overnight decision. New bully threats from the US are keeping their growth outlook quite uncertain but they still see inflation holding at about 2% (currently 2.4%), and they still see an economic expansion at about +1.5%. India's industrial production accelerated in December, up +7.9% from the same month a year ago to end its full year up +4.1% from 2024. Factory production was up +8.1%, with the weak sector being mining. The December expansion was its sharpest since October 2023. In Australia, inflation was reported rising 3.8%, far above the November 3.4% and also above the expected 3.6% level. After the strong December labour market data released earlier in the month, this will put heavy pressure on the RBA to act to prevent inflation impulses and inflation expectations from requiring even tougher medicine in the future. Growth hotspots Brisbane and Perth both reported even higher inflation rates. Even Sydney reported 3.7% December inflation. The RBNZ will be looking at this evolving situation with some alarm, given that we too have above-target inflation, even without the growth pressures. Separately, the Chinese ambassador to Australia has said that Beijing will step in if Australian moves to regain control of the Darwin port that was leased to Chinese interests in 2015 on a 99-year lease basis. He said China “has the obligation to take measures” to protect their rights over the port. That may include trade retaliation, and more Chinese navy circumnavigations including live-fire exercises in the Tasman. The UST 10yr yield is now just on 4.26%, up +3 bps from this time yesterday. The price of gold will start today at US$5289/oz, up a sharp +US$202 from yesterday and a new record high. Silver is up +US$7 to US$114/oz, also a record. Platinum has recovered and now at US$2645, but not back to Monday's spectacular record. We should also note that the aluminium price has risen sharply overnight - again. It is now back approaching its pandemic-frenzy levels. American oil prices are up another +US$1 at just under US$63/bbl, while the international Brent price is also higher, now just under US$68/bbl. These are four month highs. The Kiwi dollar is up +10 bps from yesterday, now at 60.3 USc. Against the Aussie we are down -10 bps at 86.2 AUc. Against the euro we are up +30 bps at just on 50.5 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just under 63.8, and up +10 bps from yesterday, its highest since late September. The bitcoin price starts today at US$89,425 and up +0.9% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has again been low at just under +/- 0.9%. You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz. Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow.

Bitesize Business Breakfast Podcast
Can the UAE Become Egg-Self-Sufficient?

Bitesize Business Breakfast Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 27, 2026 31:15


27 Jan 2026. Al Ain Farms plans to supply a quarter of the UAE’s eggs within three years, expanding poultry production by 38% to reach 550 million eggs annually. We put the questions to Milana Boskovic, Director of Marketing and R&D at Al Ain Farms Group, on scale and pricing. Plus, the year’s first US Fed meeting kicks off under unusual circumstances - with the Fed Chair facing legal action. Economist Dan Richards tells us what to watch. And Tom Urquhart checks in from Melbourne on Emirates’ growing Australia strategy, including its long-standing partnership with the Australian Open.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bitesize Business Breakfast Podcast
Metals Surge, Property Warnings & a New Trade Deal

Bitesize Business Breakfast Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 15, 2026 33:26


15 Jan 2026. Gold, silver and copper have all hit record highs amid geopolitical tensions and growing concerns over threats to US Fed independence. We ask economist Ed Bell what’s driving the rally and how much further it could go. Plus, we revisit Fitch Ratings’ forecast of a Dubai property price correction in late 2025 and 2026 with real estate boss Lewis Allsopp. And the UAE has signed a new trade deal with the Philippines ,we speak to the country’s Trade Commissioner & former Business Council on what it means for businesses, workers and investment flows.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

News Headlines in Morse Code at 15 WPM

Morse code transcription: vvv vvv What a new law and an investigation could mean for Grok AI deepfakes Newspaper headlines ADHD care costs soar and Bin Diesel The curious question of whether gut health affects ageing We need housing help in the Budget or Ill never be independent How one woman lures foreign recruits to Russias front line in Ukraine Randa Abdel Fattah How Adelaide Writers Week imploded after axing Palestinian author BBC will aim to have Trumps 5bn defamation lawsuit thrown out Jerome Powell World central bank chiefs declare support for US Fed chair Mandelson apologises for continuing Epstein friendship Trump weighs next move on Iran and faces a complex calculation

SBS World News Radio
Global central bankers show support for US Fed Chair Jerome Powell

SBS World News Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 14, 2026 7:31


SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with Hebe Chen from Vantage Australia about the day's sharemarket action including the significance of a joint statement released by a dozen global central bankers, including the RBA's Michele Bullock, supporting US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who is under investigation by the US administration.

SBS On the Money
Global central bankers show support for US Fed Chair Jerome Powell

SBS On the Money

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 14, 2026 7:31


SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with Hebe Chen from Vantage Australia about the day's sharemarket action including the significance of a joint statement released by a dozen global central bankers, including the RBA's Michele Bullock, supporting US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who is under investigation by the US administration.

The Chad Benson Show
US Fed Chair Jerome Powell Under Criminal Investigation

The Chad Benson Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 13, 2026 109:59 Transcription Available


US Fed chair Jerome Powell under criminal investigation. Trump says Tehran wants to talk as U.S. weighs military options. NFL Wild Card weekend. Poll flashes warning signs for Democrats, as most Americans call them out of touch. Golden Globe awards. Bad flu season getting worse; skyrocketing cases set state record. Cars stolen in U.S. are being smuggled to Mexico, where they're almost impossible to recover. Latest on Iran protests as pressure mounts on the regime.

Radio Sweden
Swedish Central Bank backs US Fed chief, record cocaine haul, more snow, stick-less hockey team

Radio Sweden

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 13, 2026 2:26


A round-up of the main headlines in Sweden on January 13th 2026. You can hear more reports on our homepage www.radiosweden.se, or in the app Sveriges Radio. Presenter/producer: Sujay Dutt

Economy Watch
Powell winning the tussle with Trump, so far

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 13, 2026 5:21


Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the Powell resistance to Trump has garnered unexpectedly wide support, nationally and internationally, reinvigorating "central bank independence" positions. It also has many Trump supporters worried, if the 'right-wing press' is any indication.First up today, the overnight Pulse dairy auction of milk powders extended last week's full auction gains for both SMP and WMP. And they were good gains, with SMP +2.1% higher than a week ago, and WMP +1.2% higher on the same basis.In the US, the December CPI data released overnight recorded no-change from their November levels, at 2.7% or 2.6% on a 'core' basis. Both are still above the US Fed target. Food prices are up +3.1% and rents up +3.2% within this survey.The ADP weekly jobs data shows a similar +11,000 jobs gain last week, a rate that would confirm January's net hiring as slower than the slow December.US new home sales held at the higher 737,000 annual rate in October, a good result in the circumstances, but now quite dated data.This data will get more 'interesting' in 2026 with news that more migrants left the US than entered. While the net outflow wasn't large (for the US) at possibly about -300,000, the expectation is that it will be similar in 2026. This is the first time in 50 years they have shed people. It has certainly lost its 'welcoming' reputation - for both potential migrants, and for travelers.We got more recent sentiment surveys overnight, The RCM/TIPP survey was more downbeat in January than December and more so than expected - although to be fair the shifts weren't large - they just went the 'wrong' way.But the NFIB survey was little-changed - negative yes (below 100 still), but marginally less so.In Japan, their official "economy watchers survey" was also little-changed, although the forward looking section became marginally more optimistic.Meanwhile, bank lending in Japan rose 4.4% in December from a year ago. That growth was well above what was anticipated. If you ignore than pandemic distortion, that was at least a 25 year high, and probably very much longer.And Japan is on watch, with many expecting Prime Minister Takaichi to call a snap election very soon to bolster her conservative clout in the Diet. That saw the yen tumble and equities soar yesterday. Benchmark bond yields rise sharply too.In India, they released their December vehicle sales data overnight, reporting a very strong +20.6% gain from the same month a year ago, capping a year of +5.0% growth. Apparently their GST rate reduction for other products improved the overall affordability situation for many buyers.In Australia, consumer sentiment as measured in the Westpac survey has shifted lower and is more pessimistic in January. While confidence is still well above the extreme lows recorded during the protracted ‘cost of living' crisis in 2022–2024, consumers are becoming more concerned about what 2026 may bring for family finances and the wider economy. The main catalyst continues to be a sharp turn in interest rate expectations. Nearly two thirds of consumers with a view now expect mortgage rates to move higher over the next 12 months, more than double the level back in September.The UST 10yr yield is now just on 4.17%, down -1 bp from this time yesterday. The key 2-10 yield curve is still at +64 bps.The price of gold will start today at US$4610/oz, and down -US$7 from yesterday, essentially holding yesterday's big run-up on the risks from the unsettled US Fed. Silver is still rising, now almost US$87/oz.American oil prices are up US$2.50 from yesterday at just under US$61.50/bbl, while the international Brent price is still at just under US$65.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is down -20 bps from yesterday, now at just over 57.4 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +20 bps at 86 AUc. Against the euro we are down -10 bps at just on 49.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just under 61.6, and down -20 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$93,492 and up +1.5% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has again been modest, also at just on +/- 1.5%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow.

Investissement et Trading au quotidien
Inflation US, Fed sous pression : le marché entre en zone de tension

Investissement et Trading au quotidien

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 13, 2026 16:48


Jour clé sur les marchés. L'inflation américaine tombe aujourd'hui et dépasse largement le simple enjeu macro : elle s'inscrit dans un contexte de tension institutionnelle inédite entre la Fed et la Maison-Blanche.Au programme de ce Morning Mood :Pourquoi le CPI US est devenu un test politique autant qu'économiqueLa pression sur le dollar, la réaction des taux et le signal envoyé par l'orLes grandes actualités entreprises : fusions géantes, crise sanitaire chez Nestlé, énergie et géopolitiqueCe que ce contexte change concrètement pour la lecture des marchésUn épisode pour comprendre où se situe réellement le risque aujourd'hui, au-delà des chiffres.l'ETF BNPP éligible PEA : LU3047998896 https://www.bnpparibas-am.lu/intermediaire-selectionneur-de-fonds/fundsheet/equity/bnp-paribas-easy-bloomberg-europe-defense-ucits-etf-c-lu3047998896?tab=overviewETF Focus Défense

Spectrum Commodities Wheat & Cattle Markets Analysis

Grains firming into today's crop reports; political unrest in Iran threatens major grain imports; concerns over US FED independence pressures US dollar, potentially helping grains exports.

Simple English News Daily
Tuesday 13th January 2026. Iran US negotiation. Indonesia Malaysia Grok. Australia bushfire. Gambia FGM. Egypt energy deal...

Simple English News Daily

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 12, 2026 8:46 Transcription Available


World news in 7 minutes. Tuesday 13th January 2026.Today: Iran US negotiation. Indonesia Malaysia Grok. Australia bushfire. Gambia FGM. Egypt energy deal. Uganda election. Hungary asylum. UK Ukraine missile. US Fed. Venezuela Italian prisoner. US Barbie.SEND7 is supported by our amazing listeners like you.Our supporters get access to the transcripts and vocabulary list written by us every day.Our supporters get access to an English worksheet made by us once per week.Our supporters get access to our weekly news quiz made by us once per week.We give 10% of our profit to Effective Altruism charities.You can become a supporter at send7.org/supportContact us at podcast@send7.org or send an audio message at speakpipe.com/send7Please leave a rating on Apple podcasts or Spotify.We don't use AI! Every word is written and recorded by us!Since 2020, SEND7 (Simple English News Daily in 7 minutes) has been telling the most important world news stories in intermediate English. Every day, listen to the most important stories from every part of the world in slow, clear English. Whether you are an intermediate learner trying to improve your advanced, technical and business English, or if you are a native speaker who just wants to hear a summary of world news as fast as possible, join Stephen Devincenzi, Juliet Martin and Niall Moore every morning. Transcripts, vocabulary lists, worksheets and our weekly world news quiz are available for our amazing supporters at send7.org. Simple English News Daily is the perfect way to start your day, by practising your listening skills and understanding complicated daily news in a simple way. It is also highly valuable for IELTS and TOEFL students. Students, teachers, TEFL teachers, and people with English as a second language, tell us that they use SEND7 because they can learn English through hard topics, but simple grammar. We believe that the best way to improve your spoken English is to immerse yourself in real-life content, such as what our podcast provides. SEND7 covers all news including politics, business, natural events and human rights. Whether it is happening in Europe, Africa, Asia, the Americas or Oceania, you will hear it on SEND7, and you will understand it.Get your daily news and improve your English listening in the time it takes to make a coffee.For more information visit send7.org/contact or send an email to podcast@send7.org

Moving Markets: Daily News
US Fed Chair responds to DoJ's threat of criminal investigation

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 12, 2026 10:08


Jerome Powell has responded to the threat of criminal charges against him relating to the renovation of historic Fed buildings, stating that they are nothing to do with this and rather reflect the fact that he will not bow to political interference when it comes to matters of monetary policy. US futures and the dollar have fallen since he spoke yesterday. This comes after record closes for the Dow Jones and S&P 500 on Friday. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, joins today's podcast to discuss the technical take on US equity performance as well as the continued rise of precious metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:36) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:18) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Economy Watch
Powell shirt-fronts Trump's cheap tactics

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 12, 2026 4:43


Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we start with news of gold and other commodity prices have pushed up into record territories again as geopolitical risks rise. (Crypto's are notable by their impotence in the background, irrelevant in this environment.)Perhaps one reason is in the US, where the President has used his weaponised Justice Department to pressure the Federal Reserve to bow to his will. The clearly bogus criminal charges are being resisted by chairman Powell. The unseemly crisis could aggravate risk premiums worldwide. So far interest rates have remained stable (you can be sure that bond markets will be watching intensely), but the USD is noticeably weaker.It has not been in the limelight recently, but we should note that US grain farmers are facing tough trading, with them being shut out from the China trade for soybean and corn. Trump seem to have thrown them under the bus.In India, consumer price inflation rose to 1.3% in December from 0.7% in November but below the market consensus of 1.5%. Despite the rise, this rate remains well below the Reserve Bank of India's tolerance limit of 2%-6%. Prices fell less for food (down -2.7%), which represent nearly half of the consumer basket.In Australia, household spending rose strongly in November, up +1.0% from October, up +6.3% from November a year ago. This result was much better than expected.And Australia said it will y and stockpile key rare-earth minerals from domestic producers to strengthen defence and technology supply chains and reduce reliance on China. They are initially focusing on antimony and gallium under a new A$1.2 bln program.The UST 10yr yield is now just over 4.18%, up +1 bp from this time yesterday. Wall Street has opened its week with the S&P500 very little-changed, up +0.1%. We should perhaps note that serial underperformer Rakon has received another takeover bid from a previous suitor, this one less than the last, and the frustrated shareholders look like they will finally accept. They will put the mismanagement misery behind them, it seems. They will be selling for $1.55/share. These shares peaked at $5.60 back in the day, $2.08 in 2022. Today they are $1.36, so the market isn't yet pricing in a full chance of the takeover.At the other end of the scale we should also note that Alphabet (Google) briefly hit US$4 ​trln in market valuation earlier today, the second company to do that after Nvidia, as they sharpened their AI gains, both with impressive integrated solutions, and a recent deal with Apple (who was pushed into third place on the valuation table).The price of gold will start today at US$4617/oz, and up +US$108 from yesterday on the risks from the unsettled US Fed. Silver is now up at over US$80.50/oz.American oil prices are unchanged from yesterday at just on US$59/bbl, while the international Brent price is still at just under US$63.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is up +40 bps from yesterday, now at just under 57.7 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +10 bps at 85.8 AUc. Against the euro we are up +10 bps as well at just under 49.4 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just on 61.7, and up +30 bps from yesterday.In offshore trading the Chinese yuan (CNH) has strengthened well past the 4:USD level, and rising.The bitcoin price starts today at US$92,071 and up +1.2% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest, also at just on +/- 1.2%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow.

MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Market View: (SPECIALS) The AI boom, US Fed rate uncertainty and China's economic transition away from property and heavy investment – the three themes weighing on investors in 2025

MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2025 15:34


It’s now time for a Special, year-end edition of Market View, where we not only take you though how the Singapore stock market closed for the day, but also step back to examine three key themes that have shaped markets over the year, and will continue to matter as we head into 2026. The three themes are: First, whether the global AI boom can move beyond hype and experimentation into a phase of real productivity gains and earnings delivery. Second, uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory and whether we’re truly approaching a more balanced phase of growth, inflation and policy. And finally, China’s economic transition and whether domestic consumption can meaningfully offset weaker property investment and export headwinds amid ongoing global trade tensions. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian dived into the details with David Chow, Director, Azure Capital and Olivia Ding, Investment Analyst, Reed Capital Partners. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Economy Watch
Wall Street optimism fades

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 5:21


Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we start with news the US Fed is struggling with its diverging views ahead of tomorrow's catch up non-farm payrolls report. Wall Street is dipping in anticipation. The oil price is falling on concerns demand is weakening.Overnight, two Fed speakers were out delivering different views. Trump insert Stephen Miran essentially called affordability concerns overblown and reckoned the data doesn't show an affordability problem. Whereas NY Fed boss John Williams sees 'resilience' and on-going price pressures.Meanwhile, the latest regional Fed factory survey is from the New York region and it turned into a contraction in December after two months of expansion. It was an unexpected turn lower. New orders held steady, and inflation pressures eased, but activity declined noticeably.On the home building front, the widely watched national survey of home builders remained glum, even if it did improve marginally. This measure stayed in contraction for the 20th consecutive month. Builders are contending with higher construction costs, economic and tariff risks, and muted demand from buyers who cite affordability concerns.In Canada, their CPI inflation came in at 2.2% in the year to November, unchanged from October. However, food prices rose 4.2%. Meanwhile, Canadian housing starts rose in November, consistent with the building permit trend we have noted before. But there are questions about whether that will last because November real estate sales were lower on volume and lower in price.In Japan, a series of Q4-2025 business sentiment surveys show good or rising confidence levels, now up to a four year high. This is true for large firms (recall our reports of how they are winning against the Trump tariff-taxes), the local services sector, and now a good jump for small businesses.In China, new home prices across their 70 major cities dropped -2.4% in November from a year ago, deepening from a 2.2% decline in the previous two months. The latest results are the 29th consecutive month of price drops and the steepest pace since August. Beijing is involved in a long struggle to overcome the seemingly endless weakness in their property sector. The price declines for housing resales are deeper, but not more sharp, even if they are just relentless.China's retail sales were notably weak in November, rising just +1.3% from a year ago and far below the expected +2.9% (with some expecting a +3.3% gain). This is a real cold-water moment for the Chinese economy and will undoubtedly bring emergency actions from Beijing. One reason for the weakness may have been the end of consumer goods subsidies, and the widespread expectation that they would be reinstated. Such subsidies are a trap on public finances.Chinese industrial production rose +4.8% in November, below the expected +5.0% rise and near the lowest growth level since late 2023. Despite its lowish level, there are reasons to be sceptical of even this level. (See next item.)But November electricity production in China was up only +2.7% from the same month a year ago, showing up the October year-on-year surge as an outlier.In India, their November exports rose while their imports fell, delivering a much smaller trade deficit for the month than was expected; in fact their lowest since June. And the November shifts were true for both goods and services.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.18%, down -2 bps from this time yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$4295/oz, and down -US$4 from yesterday. And we should note that silver is up +US$1 at just over US$62/oz.American oil prices are down another -US$1 at just on US$56.50/bbl and a five year low, while the international Brent price is now just over US$60/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is -10 bps softer from yesterday, now at just over 57.9 USc. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 87.2 AUc. Against the euro we are down -10 bps at 49.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 62, and down -20 bps from yesterday, shifted by a fall against the Japanese yen.The bitcoin price starts today at US$86,357 and down -2.8% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate, at just on +/- 2.1%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

OANDA Market Insights
US Fed cuts rates, Unemployment claims jump, Silver soars

OANDA Market Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 9:10


Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc

Bitesize Business Breakfast Podcast
Fed Cuts Rates - UAE Follows

Bitesize Business Breakfast Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 31:51


11 Dec 2025. The US Federal Reserve has cut rates by 25 basis points, and the UAE Central Bank followed immediately. Economist Ed Bell breaks down what the move means for borrowing, inflation and the wider UAE economy. Plus, Wafi Group and ALMAD Group reveal a major new joint venture to transform Wafi City, announced exclusively on The Business Breakfast. And Binance has secured a full licence for all three of its entities from ADGM. We speak to the company’s CMO about what this milestone means for crypto in the UAE.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Moneycontrol Podcast
4953: Nifty poised to snap 3-day losing streak as US Fed's ‘hawkish' cut drives global markets higher | Market Minutes

Moneycontrol Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 9:05


The Nifty looks set to rebound after a three-day slide, with global sentiment steadying post the U.S. Federal Reserve's widely expected rate cut. Still, with policymakers divided on the future pace of easing, volatility may linger. Back home, the broader market remains in focus after recent weakness. The GIFT Nifty points to a strong start, supported by gains across Asian markets and a solid overnight close on Wall Street. Among stocks to watch today: TCS, Cipla, Tata Steel and InterGlobe Aviation. Tune in for all this and more in today's Market Minutes — your essential morning podcast bringing you the top stories, market cues and trends to jump-start your trading day.

CommSec
Market Close 11 Dec 25: First lift of the week for Aussie stocks

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 9:51


Stevie and Laura unpack a busy Thursday where the ASX jumped early on a US Fed rate cut, only to lose steam after a mixed local jobs report. The market still closed slightly higher, helped by gains in materials and real estate, while tech and healthcare dragged. Scentre Group was one of the standout performers after interest emerged in a potential stake sale at Westfield Sydney, Flight Center jumped on upgraded profit expectations following its UK cruise acquisition, and Myer surged on record Black Friday sales. On the weaker side, IAG slipped after the ACCC knocked back its planned WA insurance purchase. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

CommSec
Market Close 10 Dec 25: Investors await US interest rate decision

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2025 9:17


The ASX200 edged lower, about 0.1% down, marking a 0.6% weekly decline. The RBA left rates unchanged and the US Fed decides tomorrow, keeping markets cautious. Materials rose 1.3% while tech fell 1.5% and financials slipped 0.4%. Silver hit $60/oz and gold gained, lifting their sub‑indexes. Investors watch the Fed announcement, Australian Job Standard data and China’s upcoming policy meeting. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

CommSec
Morning Report 11 Dec 25: US Fed cuts rates and projects one more cut in 2026

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2025 9:50


The US Federal Reserve has cut interest rates and has signalled one more reduction in 2026. In company news, GE Vernova surged as AI-driven demand supported higher dividends and buybacks, while Amazon’s growing grocery momentum pressured shares of Instacart and DoorDash. In commodities, oil rose after the Trump administration seized oil tankers off the Venezuelan coast, and copper and iron ore rebounded on China stimulus hopes. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to open higher ahead of key jobs data. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Money News with Ross Greenwood: Highlights
MWP December 10: The ASX is a flat sea, as silver sets a new record high

Money News with Ross Greenwood: Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2025 4:19


As global markets await a rate cut decision by the US Fed, traders piled into silver once again, sending the metal price to a new high.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

CommSec
Market Close 09 Dec 25: Rate hikes ahead?

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 9, 2025 9:56


The ASX200 slipped about 0.5 % to under 8 600 points, with every sector in the red. Tech off 1.3 %, mining down 0.5 % and energy down 1 % after oil fell. The RBA left rates unchanged, shifting market focus to a 2026 hike. Look out for Thursday’s jobs numbers, January CPI and US Fed cut, plus quarterly ASX index rebalance. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

CommSec
Market Close 05 Dec 25: Aussie market extends winning streak

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2025 9:58


Stevie and Laura wrap up a quiet first week of December, with the ASX managing a small lift to notch its fourth straight day of gains. Investors worked through mixed local data, including softer GDP but a surprisingly strong jump in household spending has kept rate expectations in focus. Lithium miners were standouts on upgraded demand forecasts, Premier Investments weighed on consumer discretionary after flagging softer earnings, and NextDC climbed after striking a major data centre deal with OpenAI. With the RBA’s decision on Tuesday, the US Fed on Thursday, and key inflation and jobs data on the way, markets are bracing for a big week ahead. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

CommSec
Market Close 24 Nov 25: ASX rebounds from six‑month low

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 24, 2025 9:59


The ASX200 jumped 1.3% on Monday, snapping a week of declines and lifting the index to within 6.5% of its October record high. Tech and industrial stocks led the rise, while energy fell as oil slipped. Notable moves included Qube soaring 19.5% on a $11.6 bn Macquarie offer and DroneShield edging higher despite a steep MTD loss. Investors will watch Wednesday’s inflation print, the US Fed rate decision on 10 Dec, and a busy roster of AGMs later in the week. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

CommSec
Market Close 30 Oct 25: ASX extends losses to a third straight day

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 8:24


The Aussie sharemarket extended losses to a third straight day, weighed down by fading hopes of another RBA rate cut this year after yesterday’s hotter-than-expected inflation data. The ASX200 slipped about half a percent, trimming October’s monthly gain to just 0.5%. Overnight, the US Fed delivered another 25-basis-point rate cut but signalled caution about further easing, while Nvidia hit a record US$5 trillion valuation. Locally, healthcare and energy stocks led modest gains, but sharp falls in consumer discretionary shares — dragged by Wesfarmers — kept the broader market under pressure. Investors also watched a high-stakes meeting between US and Chinese leaders, their first face-to-face since Trump’s re-election, aimed at easing trade tensions. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nedgroup Investments Insights
Market and economic wrap: Rate cuts, rally risks and the rise of AI titans

Nedgroup Investments Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 7:40 Transcription Available


In this week's episode of the Market and Economic Wrap, Tumisho Grater, Multi-Manager Investment Analyst explores the shifting global economic landscape, highlighting the IMF's revised growth outlook, China's slowing GDP, and the US Fed's dovish stance amid labour market concerns. The discussion covers resilient US equities driven by AI optimism and strong earnings, record-breaking gold prices, and South Africa's ambitious R2.2 trillion energy infrastructure plan. Locally, inflation trends and currency movements are also unpacked, offering a comprehensive view of macroeconomic forces shaping markets. LinkedIn · YouTube

The John Batchelor Show
1: SHOW SCHEDULE 10-15--25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 1964 ATLANTIC CITYCONVENTION HALL THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT CONGRESS.... 10-15--25 FIRST HOUR 9-915 HEADLINE: Obamacare Subsidies Trigger Government Shutdown Debate GUEST

The John Batchelor Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 5:56


SHOW SCHEDULE 10-15--25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 1964 ATLANTIC CITYCONVENTION HALL THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT CONGRESS.... 10-15--25 FIRST HOUR 9-915 HEADLINE: Obamacare Subsidies Trigger Government Shutdown Debate GUEST NAME: Michael Toth SUMMARY: Michael Toth explains that the current government shutdown debate centers on extending two expensive Biden-era Obamacare subsidies. These changes allow individuals earning over 400% of the federal poverty line to receive subsidies and provide 100% coverage for the near-poor. The original Obamacare cross-subsidy structure failed because young, healthy individuals found premiums too high. Toth advocates deregulation, such as allowing insurance companies to charge lower, risk-adjusted rates and enabling single business owners to use Professional Employer Organizations (PEOs) for cheaper coverage. 915-930 HEADLINE: Obamacare Subsidies Trigger Government Shutdown Debate GUEST NAME: Michael Toth SUMMARY: Michael Toth explains that the current government shutdown debate centers on extending two expensive Biden-era Obamacare subsidies. These changes allow individuals earning over 400% of the federal poverty line to receive subsidies and provide 100% coverage for the near-poor. The original Obamacare cross-subsidy structure failed because young, healthy individuals found premiums too high. Toth advocates deregulation, such as allowing insurance companies to charge lower, risk-adjusted rates and enabling single business owners to use Professional Employer Organizations (PEOs) for cheaper coverage. 930-945 HEADLINE: Hamas, Hostages, and Middle East Turmoil: Challenges to the Trump Ceasefire Plan GUEST NAME:Jonathan Schanzer SUMMARY: Jonathan Schanzer discusses complications in the Trump ceasefire plan, including Hamas delaying the return of deceased hostages to maintain leverage. The released prisoners, including potential Hamas leaders, raise concerns about where the organization's center of gravity will shift if they are deported to places like Turkey or Qatar. Schanzer views Turkey, an autocratic supporter of Hamas, as a problematic guarantor of the ceasefire. Internationally, Iran continues its nuclear program despite snapback sanctions, and al-Sharaa is meeting with Putin regarding Russian assets in Syria. 945-1000 HEADLINE: Hamas, Hostages, and Middle East Turmoil: Challenges to the Trump Ceasefire Plan GUEST NAME:Jonathan Schanzer SUMMARY: Jonathan Schanzer discusses complications in the Trump ceasefire plan, including Hamas delaying the return of deceased hostages to maintain leverage. The released prisoners, including potential Hamas leaders, raise concerns about where the organization's center of gravity will shift if they are deported to places like Turkey or Qatar. Schanzer views Turkey, an autocratic supporter of Hamas, as a problematic guarantor of the ceasefire. Internationally, Iran continues its nuclear program despite snapback sanctions, and al-Sharaa is meeting with Putin regarding Russian assets in Syria. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 HEADLINE: China's Predicament in the Middle East and Domestic Economic Instability GUEST NAME: General Blaine Holt SUMMARY: General Blaine Holt analyzes China's strategic challenges, noting Beijing is concerned about losing access to critical oil and gas resources as US leadership advances the Abraham Accords. China's previous regional deals, like the Saudi-Iran agreement, lacked substance compared to US business commitments. Holt suggests internal pressures might lead Iran toward the Accords. Domestically, China faces accelerating deflation and uncertainty regarding Xi Jinping's leadership due to four competing factions before the fourth plenum. 1015-1030 HEADLINE: South Korea's Descent into Authoritarianism and Persecution of Opposition GUEST NAME: Morse Tan SUMMARY: Morse Tan argues that South Korea is moving toward a "rising communist dictatorship" that oppresses political and religious figures. The indictment of the Unification Church leader and the targeting of the rightful President Yoon exemplify this trend. This persecution serves as an intimidation campaign, demonstrating the regime's disregard for the populace. Tan recommends the US implement active measures, including sanctions relating to a coup d'état and visa sanctions, while also pressing for greater military cooperation. 1030-1045 HEADLINE: Russian War Economy Stalls as Oil Prices Decline and Sanctions Bite GUEST NAME: Michael Bernstam SUMMARY: Michael Bernstam reports that the Russian economy is struggling as global oil prices decline and sanctions increase transportation costs, leading to a $13 to $14 per barrel discount on Russian oil. The "military Keynesianism" economy is exhausted, resulting in staff cuts across industrial sectors. Forecasts indicate contraction in late 2025 and 2026, with the IMF lowering its growth projection for 2025 to 0.6%. Russia is avoiding sanctions by routing payments through neighbors like Kyrgyzstan, who have become major financial hubs. 1045-1100 HEADLINE: Lessons from the Swiss National Bank: Risk-Taking, Exchange Rates, and Fiscal Responsibility GUEST NAME: John Cochrane SUMMARY: Economist John Cochrane analyzes the Swiss National Bank (SNB), noting it differs greatly from the US Federal Reserve by investing heavily in foreign stocks and bonds to manage the Swiss franc's exchange rate. The SNB's massive balance sheet carries risks accepted by Swiss taxpayers and the Cantons. Switzerland, being fiscally responsible (running no budget deficits), finds central banking easier. Cochrane advises that the US Fed should not be buying stocks or venturing into fiscal policy. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 HEADLINE: China Retaliates Against Dutch Chipmaker Seizure Amid European Fragmentation GUEST NAME:Theresa Fallon SUMMARY: Theresa Fallon discusses China imposing export controls on Nexperia after the Dutch government seized control of the chipmaker, which was owned by China's Wingtech. The Dutch acted due to fears the Chinese owner would strip the technology and equipment, despite Nexperia producing low-quality chips for cars. Fallon notes Europe needs a better chip policy but struggles to speak with one voice, as fragmented policy allows China to drive wedges and weaken the EU. 1115-1130 HEADLINE: China's Economic Slowdown, Deflation, and the Spectre of Japanification GUEST NAME: Andrew Collier SUMMARY: Andrew Collier discusses China's economic woes, characterized by persistent deflation, with the CPI down 0.3% (6 out of 9 months in the red) and the PPI down for 36 straight months. This environment raises concerns about "Japanification"—a multi-decade slowdown after a property crash. Major structural changes to stimulate consumer consumption are unlikely at the upcoming Communist Party plenum, as the system favors state investment. The property market collapse means foreign investment is leaving, and Collier suggests the economy may not bottom until 2027 or 2028. 1130-1145 HEADLINE: SpaceX Starship Success, Private Space Dominance, and Government Inaction GUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: Bob Zimmerman describes SpaceX's Starship Super Heavy 11th test flight as "remarkable," highlighting successful booster reuse and controlled re-entry despite missing tiles. He asserts that private enterprise, like SpaceX, runs the "real American space program" aimed at Mars colonization, outpacing government efforts. In contrast, European projects like Callisto, proposed in 2015, demonstrate government "inaction." JPL is also laying off staff following the cancellation of the Mars sample return project, forcing organizations like Lowell Observatory to seek private funding. 1145-1200 HEADLINE: SpaceX Starship Success, Private Space Dominance, and Government Inaction GUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: Bob Zimmerman describes SpaceX's Starship Super Heavy 11th test flight as "remarkable," highlighting successful booster reuse and controlled re-entry despite missing tiles. He asserts that private enterprise, like SpaceX, runs the "real American space program" aimed at Mars colonization, outpacing government efforts. In contrast, European projects like Callisto, proposed in 2015, demonstrate government "inaction." JPL is also laying off staff following the cancellation of the Mars sample return project, forcing organizations like Lowell Observatory to seek private funding. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 HEADLINE: Commodity Market Trends and UK's Lack of Risk Appetite for AI Innovation GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: Simon Constable notes that data center expansion for AI is increasing prices for copper (up 15%) and steel (up 14%). He points out that the UK lags significantly behind the US in building new AI data centers (170 vs. 5,000+) due to a lack of risk appetite, insufficient wealth, and poor marketing of new ideas. Separately, Constable discusses the collapse of a UK China spying trial because the prior government failed to officially classify China as a national security threat during the alleged offenses. 1215-1230 HEADLINE: Commodity Market Trends and UK's Lack of Risk Appetite for AI Innovation GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: Simon Constable notes that data center expansion for AI is increasing prices for copper (up 15%) and steel (up 14%). He points out that the UK lags significantly behind the US in building new AI data centers (170 vs. 5,000+) due to a lack of risk appetite, insufficient wealth, and poor marketing of new ideas. Separately, Constable discusses the collapse of a UK China spying trial because the prior government failed to officially classify China as a national security threat during the alleged offenses. 1230-1245 HEADLINE: AI Regulation Debate: Premature Laws vs. Emerging Norms GUEST NAME: Kevin Frazier SUMMARY: Kevin Frazier critiques the legislative rush to regulate AI, arguing that developing norms might be more effective than premature laws. He notes that bills like California's AB 1047, which demands factual accuracy, fundamentally misunderstand AI's generative nature. Imposing vague standards, as seen in New York's RAISE Act, risks chilling innovation and preventing widespread benefits, like affordable legal or therapy tools. Frazier emphasizes that AI policy should be grounded in empirical data rather than speculative fears. 1245-100 AM HEADLINE: AI Regulation Debate: Premature Laws vs. Emerging Norms GUEST NAME: Kevin Frazier SUMMARY: Kevin Frazier critiques the legislative rush to regulate AI, arguing that developing norms might be more effective than premature laws. He notes that bills like California's AB 1047, which demands factual accuracy, fundamentally misunderstand AI's generative nature. Imposing vague standards, as seen in New York's RAISE Act, risks chilling innovation and preventing widespread benefits, like affordable legal or therapy tools. Frazier emphasizes that AI policy should be grounded in empirical data rather than speculative fears.

The John Batchelor Show
HEADLINE: Lessons from the Swiss National Bank: Risk-Taking, Exchange Rates, and Fiscal Responsibility GUEST NAME: John Cochrane SUMMARY: Economist John Cochrane analyzes the Swiss National Bank (SNB), noting it differs greatly from the US Federal Reserve

The John Batchelor Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 10:55


HEADLINE: Lessons from the Swiss National Bank: Risk-Taking, Exchange Rates, and Fiscal Responsibility GUEST NAME: John Cochrane SUMMARY: Economist John Cochrane analyzes the Swiss National Bank (SNB), noting it differs greatly from the US Federal Reserve by investing heavily in foreign stocks and bonds to manage the Swiss franc's exchange rate. The SNB's massive balance sheet carries risks accepted by Swiss taxpayers and the Cantons. Switzerland, being fiscally responsible (running no budget deficits), finds central banking easier. Cochrane advises that the US Fed should not be buying stocks or venturing into fiscal policy. 1890 SWISS

CommSec
Market Close 15 Oct 25: ASX posts best day in weeks

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2025 9:32


The ASX200 was up about 0.9 % in afternoon trade, close to the 9 000‑point psychological barrier, driven chiefly by a 1.2 % rise in the financials sector as major banks posted stronger earnings and dividend upgrades. Materials also added strength after softer Chinese inflation data, while energy fell on lower oil prices. Looking ahead, market focus will shift to US bank results, the US Fed’s upcoming rate decision, and Australia’s jobs report due tomorrow, which could steer the RBA’s policy path. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

OANDA Market Insights
US Fed cuts rates

OANDA Market Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 13:02


Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc

Bitesize Business Breakfast Podcast
The US Fed cuts interest rates by a quarter point, The UAE Central Bank immediately does the same

Bitesize Business Breakfast Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 33:31


18 Sep 2025. The US Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by a quarter point and the UAE Central Bank immediately followed, lowering the base rate to 4.15%. We ask economist Dan Richards of Emirates NBD what it means for borrowing, saving, and investing here in the UAE. Plus, Majid Al Futtaim has opened a supermarket just for kids, we speak to their CEO of Retail about the concept. And Sky Kurtz, the “Berry King” of Pure Harvest, joins us to reveal two new collaborations as demand for local produce continues to rise.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Moneycontrol Podcast
4820: India's market cap surge, Infra.Market's fund raise & the GenZ powered boost to tourism | MC Editor's Picks

Moneycontrol Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 3:39


In this edition, we have two interesting interviews - economist Kaushik Basu argues that closer India-China engagement is necessary even as India competes with its neighbour and Abakkus Asset Manager founder Sunil Singhania tells us that India Inc must shift its focus from margin protection to growth. Also find reportage on India's market cap surge, why US Fed rate cuts are unlikely to draw FPIs to India, Infra.Market's funding round and how GenZ is powering spiritual and cultural tourism this festive season.

World Business Report
Is the US Fed's independence at stake?

World Business Report

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2025 26:31


As Fed governor Lisa Cook fights to block President Trump from firing her, a first legal hearing on the matter ends without a ruling. But with ongoing tensions and concerns over political meddling, who would want the next Fed chair job when the role becomes vacant next year? We speak to a former regional Fed president who says he's up for the job.Canada's economy shrinks much more than expected amid trade disputes with the US. An economist from the Canadian Chamber of Commerce weighs in on whether it might improve any time soon.And as a Chinese property giant's shares are removed from a major stock market, is the golden era for Chinese real estate well and truly over?

Finshots Daily
Mr. Powell says the good times are coming!

Finshots Daily

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 7:05


In today's episode on 28th August 2025, we tell you about the silent, yet most important, change in the US Fed's stance.

Global News Podcast
Israeli report denies targetting journalist in Gaza

Global News Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 26:22


The Israeli military says in its initial report about the attack on the Nasser Hospital in southern Gaza that it was not targetting journalists but a Hamas camera. Twenty people died in the attack, among them five journalists. Most of the casualties were caused by the second strike which came ten minutes after the first. Also, US Fed governor Lisa Cook says she'll sue President Trump for ordering her dismissal, and Taylor Swift announces her engagement to NFL star Travis Kelce. The Global News Podcast brings you the breaking news you need to hear, as it happens. Listen for the latest headlines and current affairs from around the world. Politics, economics, climate, business, technology, health – we cover it all with expert analysis and insight. Get the news that matters, delivered twice a day on weekdays and daily at weekends, plus special bonus episodes reacting to urgent breaking stories. Follow or subscribe now and never miss a moment. Get in touch: globalpodcast@bbc.co.uk

Tech Path Podcast
More Pain Coming?

Tech Path Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2025 16:21 Transcription Available


Bitcoin fell below $113,000 as investors braced for Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech that could set the US Fed's path on interest rate cuts.~This episode is sponsored by Gemini & Tangem~Sign up for The Gemini Credit Card and get an extra $50 in crypto!➜ https://bit.ly/GeminiPBNTangem ➜ https://bit.ly/TangemPBNUse Code: "PBN" for Additional Discounts!00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: Tangem00:50 Fear & Greed02:00 CNBC: Are people just taking profits?04:00 More pain coming04:45 Polymarket05:25 Sponsor: Gemini06:00 Powell under pressure07:25 Bankruptcy filings08:15 David Zervos08:35 David Zervos: Policy is too restrictive10:40 Bitcoin ETF outflows12:05 ETH lows in?12:30 New ETH treasury companies14:15 Charts: Price targets15:50 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~More Pain Coming?

Thinking Crypto Interviews & News
FED MAKES A MAJOR MOVE WITH CRYPTO BANKING! XRP ADOPTION NEWS!

Thinking Crypto Interviews & News

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2025 17:08


Crypto News: BlackRock Bitcoin, Ether ETFs buy $1B as BTC price mostly fills CME gap. US Fed to end oversight program for banks' crypto activities. Wellgistics debuts XRP payments for independent US pharmacies. Show Sponsor -