Podcasts about Renminbi

In this episode of Corporate Treasury 101, we discuss the intricacies of operating a treasury function in China, one of the most highly regulated and misunderstood markets in the world. Damian Glendinning, former Group Treasurer of Lenovo and founder of Complex Countries, helps us unpack the challenges of treasury management in China, from regulatory ambiguity to the unique roles of Alipay and WeChat Pay. We cover how foreign companies can navigate this distinct financial landscape, including legal workarounds like entrustment loans, limitations around cross-border flows, and the impact of China's evolving global strategy.Damian shares insights from decades of hands-on experience, having led treasury operations in China during his time at IBM and Lenovo. He offers a nuanced, practical perspective on how treasurers can operate effectively in a market where the rules are complex and constantly changing.What You'll Learn in This EpisodeHow China's banking sector transitioned from state-run distribution to commercial bankingWhy are regulations in China often interpreted and enforced in flexible waysHow companies navigate cash pooling with tools like entrustment loansThe rise of tech giants like Alipay and WeChat Pay in filling banking gapsWhat treasurers need to know about China's efforts to reduce reliance on USD and SWIFTEpisode Breakdown with Timestamps [00:00] – Introduction & AFP Certification Promo [01:50] – Why China Is a Focus for Corporate Treasurers [03:19] – Misconceptions About China's Culture and Structure [15:31] – Evolution of the Banking System: State to Commercial [20:56] – WeChat Pay, Alipay & Financial Innovation [28:02] – Foreign Companies and Banking Limitations [33:41] – Entrustment Loans & Cash Pooling Workarounds [46:02] – Cross-Border Lending and Capital Flows [49:58] – Renminbi, SWIFT, and De-Dollarization Strategies [56:26] – The Bigger Picture: Global Integration vs. IsolationFollow Damian Glendinning & Complex Countries: Website: https://www.complexcountries.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/damian-glendinning-089b44b/ Follow Corporate Treasury 101:Website: https://corporate-treasury-101.com/ LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/company/86645197/admin/dashboard/ Follow Hussam & Guillaume:Hussam on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/hussam-ali-6bb69186/ Guillaume on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/guillaume-jouvencel/ Gha Marketing Website: https://ghapodcast.com/ #CorporateTreasury #InterestRates #Derivatives #CrossCurrencySwaps #FXRisk #DebtStructuring #CapitalMarkets...

Space, once a distant destination, has become yet another battleground for great power competition.  Since the early days of the People's Republic of China, the country has been pursuing a series of ambitious space programs aimed to build up its space capacity as an essential element of its comprehensive national power.  In recent years, under the Xi Jinping regime, Beijing has significantly increased its investment in its civilian space program efforts. It has a plan to send Chinese Taikonauts to the Moon before the US can return.  As the US-China strategic competition continues to heighten, it is vital to assess China's space policy and its role in China's grand strategy. To discuss these issues, host Bonnie Glaser is joined by Dean Cheng, senior advisor to the China program at the U.S. Institute of Peace and a nonresident fellow with George Washington University's Space Policy Institute. Dean focuses on China's space program, Chinese military doctrine, and “dual-use” issues associated with China's scientific and technical enterprises.  He also recently published a book titled China and the New Moon Race. Timestamp[00:00] Start[01:54] Space Race 2.0[03:27] Space in China's Grand Strategy[05:27] Achievements of China's Space Program[07:18] Similarities and Differences in China's Approach[09:14] Nature of Public-Private Cooperation in China[12:42] Implications of Landing on the Moon[15:30] A Chinese Incident in Space[17:00] International Lunar Research Station [18:50] Responses to China's Space Ambitions[21:03] Problems in the US-China Civilian Space Race[23:20] Stars and Stripes on Mars

The BRICS+ summit was held in the Russian city of Kazan this past October. The original BRICS comprised four countries: Brazil, Russia, India, and China. The first meeting that they held was in 2009. South Africa joined in 2011. BRICS has now grown to include Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates. The recent summit also invited 13 countries to the group as partner states. Countries that have expressed interest in joining BRICS include Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand (which is a U.S. treaty ally), and Turkey (which is a member of NATO).As countries in the Global South flock to form an increasingly significant geopolitical bloc in which China has assumed a leading role, it is important to understand how BRICS+ fits into China's foreign policy strategy and the role that the BRICS mechanism is likely to play going forward. To discuss these issues, host Bonnie Glaser is joined by Alexander Gabuev, director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center which is based in Berlin. His research focuses on Chinese and Russian foreign policy. Timestamps[00:00] Start[01:37] Behind the Creation of BRICS[04:08] BRICS+ in China's Foreign Policy Objectives[06:20] Domination of China in BRICS+[09:13] Russian and Chinese Interest in BRICS+[14:16] China and the Expansion of BRICS[18:07] Noteworthiness of the Kazan Declaration[21:10] Possibility of a BRICS Currency[28:11] BRICS+ and U.S. Policy Under Donald Trump[30:26] Responding to BRICS+ and a Multipolar World

Official figures show China has seen a 10-percent increase of renminbi turnover in the first three quarters of this year.

In this week's CIO Weekly Investment Outlook podcast, the Private Bank's Chief Investment Officer in APAC, Stefanie Holtze-Jen, discusses how the Fed rate cut and expectations on its rate cut cycle has been a game changer for Emerging Asia central banks and assets.Stefanie discusses China's potentially largest ever stimulus package, equivalent to 7 trillion Renminbi and up to around 6% of China's GDP this year. Stefanie argues that China's new forward guidance is a positive for helping to stabilise markets and win back investor confidence. The CIO also believes the Chinese equities rally still has legs to run in the short term, while she says the jury is still out for the medium to long term. In addition to U.S. CPI and employment data, Stefanie discusses risk and volatility around the escalation in Middle East tensions and how gold continues to be a good diversifier in portfolios.As Japan faces early elections, the market is digesting new leadership comments as to how that could affect the Bank of Japan's decision-making, from hawk to dove, which is impacting the Yen and carry trade.Tune in and listen to Stefanie's key thoughts for the week ahead.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk. The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”).Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche BankSecurities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, whichconducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2024Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

This episode is sponsored by Kirkland & Ellis, LGT Capital Partners and TPG NewQuest The Asia-Pacific secondaries market is one of the most fascinating corners of the global secondaries landscape. This region typically never accounts for more than single-digit figures in terms of global deal volume share – yet some of the most innovative transactions have come out of the APAC market over the years. In this episode of our Decade of Secondaries Investing miniseries, we sit down with Brooke Zhou, partner at LGT Capital Partners; Michelle Cheh, partner at Kirkland & Ellis; and Darren Massara, managing partner at TPG NewQuest, to discuss what types of deals have happened over the last 10 years in the Asia-Pacific region. We explore Renminbi-to-US dollar restructurings and why these have taken a back seat in 2024; why valuations are a more complex issue when it comes to Asia-Pacific GPs than their global counterparts; the different drivers of dealflow in the various markets in APAC and what types of opportunities these are bringing about; and why the regulations affecting GP-led secondaries deals in the US and western Europe have had little impact on APAC secondaries transactions. For full coverage of our Decade of Secondaries Investing series, including all podcast episodes and an interactive timeline, click here.

Het was dé grote prestatie van Joe Biden: de Inflation Reduction Act. Honderden miljarden gingen er naar bedrijven die de Amerikaanse economie op volle toeren zouden helpen draaien de komende jaren. Maar wat blijkt? 40 procent van die investeringen zit nu in projecten die ofwel vertraagd zijn, ofwel helemaal stilstaan. De mensen achter de projecten zijn namelijk bang dat de geldkraan mogelijk dicht gaat na de Amerikaanse verkiezingen. Lees: als Trump president wordt. En niemand wil met lege handen en diepe schulden komen te zitten. Verder zijn economen het volledig eens over het rentepad van de ECB. Althans: tegenover Bloomberg. De centrale bank gaat volgens hen de komende anderhalf jaar ieder kwartaal de rente verlagen, en wel met een kwart procentpunt per kwartaal. Dat zou betekenen dat de ECB in december 2025 op een beleidsrente van 2,25 procent uitkomt, een halfjaar eerder dan gedacht. Disney heeft zélf z'n pad voor de toekomst uitgestippeld. Met een livestream van 3 uur bracht het fans en beleggers op de hoogte van de plannen voor de komende 10 jaar. De streamingtak draait sinds afgelopen kwartaal winst, en dat is te merken. Want er wordt de komende tijd meer content geproduceerd. En ook de tegenvaller van de afgelopen cijferpresentatie, de attractieparken, krijgen een zak geld. 60 miljard dollar moet ervoor zorgen dat kinderen bij hun ouders om een bezoekje naar Disneyland blijven zeuren. Maar: hoe lang slikken die ouders de prijzen nog, en wie zegt dat de streamingswinsten permanent zijn?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Het was dé grote prestatie van Joe Biden: de Inflation Reduction Act. Honderden miljarden gingen er naar bedrijven die de Amerikaanse economie op volle toeren zouden helpen draaien de komende jaren. Maar wat blijkt? 40 procent van die investeringen zit nu in projecten die ofwel vertraagd zijn, ofwel helemaal stilstaan. De mensen achter de projecten zijn namelijk bang dat de geldkraan mogelijk dicht gaat na de Amerikaanse verkiezingen. Lees: als Trump president wordt. En niemand wil met lege handen en diepe schulden komen te zitten. Verder zijn economen het volledig eens over het rentepad van de ECB. Althans: tegenover Bloomberg. De centrale bank gaat volgens hen de komende anderhalf jaar ieder kwartaal de rente verlagen, en wel met een kwart procentpunt per kwartaal. Dat zou betekenen dat de ECB in december 2025 op een beleidsrente van 2,25 procent uitkomt, een halfjaar eerder dan gedacht. Disney heeft zélf z'n pad voor de toekomst uitgestippeld. Met een livestream van 3 uur bracht het fans en beleggers op de hoogte van de plannen voor de komende 10 jaar. De streamingtak draait sinds afgelopen kwartaal winst, en dat is te merken. Want er wordt de komende tijd meer content geproduceerd. En ook de tegenvaller van de afgelopen cijferpresentatie, de attractieparken, krijgen een zak geld. 60 miljard dollar moet ervoor zorgen dat kinderen bij hun ouders om een bezoekje naar Disneyland blijven zeuren. Maar: hoe lang slikken die ouders de prijzen nog, en wie zegt dat de streamingswinsten permanent zijn?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this week's CIO Weekly Investment Outlook podcast, the Private Bank's Chief Investment Officer in APAC, Stefanie Holtze-Jen discusses repricing in markets and monetary policy. In considering a September rate cut, Stefanie says the Federal Reserve needs to balance economic growth, inflation, and job market risks when it meets this week.Europe is also repricing in anticipation for when second quarter GDP data is announced this week, which may show slower growth. However, an inflation surprise, with data due mid-week, could lower the probability of the ECB's next rate cut in September.For Japan, Stefanie says markets have been repricing on expectations that the Bank of Japan could hike rates in July. Furthermore, she sees the recent strengthening of the Japanese Yen also as linked to the easing of the US dollar, due to frontloaded rate cut expectations from the Fed and speculation the Bank of Japan may at least start to reduce bond purchases. For China's Renminbi, the easing US dollar also plays a role for the People's Bank of China. Stefanie also discusses upcoming PMI data, with early indicators pointing to a further slowdown in manufacturing data in July. But summer travel spending may boost consumer data in the months ahead.Tune in and listen to Stefanie's key thoughts for the week ahead.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk. The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany's central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group. The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2024 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Stronger US retail sales do little to dent September rate cut hopes. Gold hit a fresh high overnight. New Zealand inflation is being watched for signs of weakness. Australian consumer confidence falls again. Bank Indonesia looks set to hold rates. In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ's Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh looks ahead to a possible fourth set of Renminbi reforms as Chinese authorities seek to boost the effectiveness of monetary policy. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

In this episode, we turn our attention to something that affects almost every investor in China: a weakening renminbi. The Chinese currency has lost almost 10 per cent against the US dollar in the last 18 months. Is this a result of economic weakness in China or just another chapter in the strong dollar story? How is the renminbi performing against other currencies like the Japanese yen? Is currency weakness a cyclical challenge for the country or a structural trend? And what should investors do about it? To help answer these questions, Marty Dropkin, Head of Equities, Asia Pacific, is joined by Asia Economist, Peiqian Liu, and Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, Belinda Liao. With additional contributions from Portfolio Manager Casey McLean. To read more on the renminbi, please visit fidelityinternational.com To read Belinda's article on hedging, click here. To listen to the previous podcast episode on ‘Japanification', click here.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode, we turn our attention to something that affects almost every investor in China: a weakening renminbi. The Chinese currency has lost almost 10 per cent against the US dollar in the last 18 months. Is this a result of economic weakness in China or just another chapter in the strong dollar story? How is the renminbi performing against other currencies like the Japanese yen? Is currency weakness a cyclical challenge for the country or a structural trend? And what should investors do about it? To help answer these questions, Marty Dropkin, Head of Equities, Asia Pacific, is joined by Asia Economist, Peiqian Liu, and Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, Belinda Liao. With additional contributions from Portfolio Manager Casey McLean. To read more on the renminbi, please visit fidelityinternational.com To read Belinda's article on hedging, click here. To listen to the previous podcast episode on ‘Japanification', click here.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Umfragen zufolge nimmt die Bereitschaft der Russen, ihre Ersparnisse in US-Dollar und Euro anzulegen, ab. Dazu haben sicher auch die westlichen Sanktionen beigetragen. Jetzt legen die Russen ihre Ersparnisse lieber in Rubel oder Renminbi an. zum Artikel

Nicht dass Sie denken, Brunner hätte etwas gegen Schmähungen. Aber überzeugend sollten sie schon sein – und wenn möglich von sprachlicher Eleganz!

#Russia: Renminbi now the currency in Moscow. Michael Bernstam, Hoover. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-05-13/russian-economy-stays-strong-amid-sanctions-ukraine-war-spending MOSCOW 1896

Über 5 Billionen Euro werden täglich am Devisenmarkt umgesetzt, damit ist dies der größte Finanzmarkt der Welt. Dennoch wird selten über diesen für die Weltwirtschaft hochrelevanten Markt gesprochen. Höchstens in akuten Krisen blickt man auch im Westen angespannt auf den Markt, an dem mit Währungen gehandelt wird. Der Devisenmarkt ist keineswegs eine neue Erscheinung, bereits die Italiener im Mittelalter hatten dieses Geschäft zu erster Blüte getrieben. Ein paar Jahrhunderte später wurde dann die City of London der wichtigste Marktplatz für Devisen – und ist es erstaunlicherweise bis heute geblieben. Inzwischen können auch Kleinanleger mit Devisen spekulieren und sich ein bisschen wie George Soros fühlen. Mehr dazu von Ole Nymoen und Wolfgang M. Schmitt in der neuen Folge von „Wohlstand für Alle“! Werbung: Patrick Schreiner: Nichts für alle. Wie Politik und Wirtschaft uns den Sozialstaat kündigen. Mit einen Vorwort von Wolfgang M. Schmitt. https://shop.jacobin.de/deal/wohlstand-fuer-alle/abonnieren Literatur: Marcello de Cecco: „History of Foreign Exchange Markets“, in: The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2008. DIW Lukas Menkhoff und Tobias Stöhr: Devisenmarktinterventionen: Ein häufig genutztes und wirksames Instrument: https://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.557308.de/17-18-1.pdf Ulrike Herrmann über die Devisenmärkte: https://taz.de/Kommentar-TTIP--Waehrungsspekulation/!5037339/ Jörg Huffschmidt: Politische Ökonomie der Finanzmärkte. VSA. https://www.vsa-verlag.de/uploads/media/VSA_Huffschmid_Politische_Oekonomie_der_Finanzmaerkte.pdf Hanns Günther Hilpert: Chinas währungspolitische Offensive. Die Herausforderung der Internationalisierung und Digitalisierung des Renminbi: https://www.swp-berlin.org/publications/products/studien/2024S09_ChinasWaehrungsoffensive.pdf Arte-Doku: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71orWmRXuoA Veranstaltungen: Wolfgang in Göttingen: https://www.instagram.com/p/C6UacV0I8SK/?img_index=1 Wolfgang in Wiesbaden: https://www.staatstheater-wiesbaden.de/programm/spielplan/operntalk-ring-imf-2024/10368/ Ole in Berlin: https://lfbrecht.de/events/2024-05-16/ Ole in Magdeburg: https://sozialkombinat-ost.de/2024/03/19/programm-der-ostdeutschland-konferenz-am-25-mai-in-magdeburg-online/ Unsere Zusatzinhalte könnt ihr bei Steady und Patreon hören. Vielen Dank! Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/oleundwolfgang Steady: https://steadyhq.com/de/oleundwolfgang/about Ihr könnt uns unterstützen - herzlichen Dank! Paypal: https://www.paypal.me/oleundwolfgang Konto: Wolfgang M. Schmitt, Ole Nymoen Betreff: Wohlstand fuer Alle IBAN: DE67 5745 0120 0130 7996 12 BIC: MALADE51NWD Social Media: Instagram: Unser gemeinsamer Kanal: https://www.instagram.com/oleundwolfgang/ Ole: https://www.instagram.com/ole.nymoen/ Wolfgang: https://www.instagram.com/wolfgangmschmitt/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@oleundwolfgang Twitter: Unser gemeinsamer Kanal: https://twitter.com/OleUndWolfgang Ole: twitter.com/nymoen_ole Wolfgang: twitter.com/SchmittJunior Die gesamte WfA-Literaturliste: https://wohlstand-fuer-alle.netlify.app

Der US-Dollar ist nach wie vor noch die weltweit wichtigste Reservewährung. Als Reservewährungen gelten meist sichere Häfen, in dem man sein Vermögen in Zeiten höherer Marktunsicherheit schützen kann. Die Stabilität und Stärke der USA und die Unabhängigkeit und Glaubwürdigkeit ihrer Zentralbank, machen die amerikanische Währung attraktiv bzw. stabil.  Viel Spaß beim Hören,Dein Matthias Krapp(Transkript dieser Folge weiter unten) NEU!!! Hier kannst Du Dich kostenlos für meinen Minikurs registrieren und reinschauen. Es lohnt sich: https://portal.abatus-beratung.com/geldanlage-kurs/     

Asian currencies have been roiled by an unexpectedly stronger US Dollar this year, but we do not equate this to the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997. Most Asian countries are better positioned than before to weather currency volatility and temporary higher oil prices, due to stronger fundamentals and more flexible exchange rates. However, the effect of a weaker Renminbi could last longer as economic growth slows and given China is the biggest trading partner for most countries in Asia and Australia except India. We stay away from local rates except Singapore Dollar due to the deep local investor base and keep our call for Asian Investment Grade USD bonds due to strong technicals.This episode is presented by Magdalene Teo, Head of Fixed Income Research Asia at Julius Baer.

Ci sono alcuni segnali di svalutazione dello Yuan rispetto al Dollaro, ma si fatica a comprendere come questa eventuale svolta mercantilista collimi con il desiderio di una Cina protagonista delle riserve valutarie mondiali....

During early spring the Chinese government discussed the health of the domestic economy and outlined its plans for several years to come. For 2024 the government projected a modestly bullish 5% GDP growth target, above what many onlookers gauge reasonable. Head of KraneShares International, Xiaolin Chen, sat down with Andrew Wilkinson to explain why she believes the domestic economy is ripe for strong growth following the National Peoples' Congress.

In this episode of The Sound of Economics, Yuyun Zhan invites Alessia Amighini and Alicia García-Herrero to discuss China's latest push to internationalise its currency, the Renminbi. They talk about China's previous two attempts, its approach to internationalise the RMB this time around and the wider implications of a strengthened RMB. This might prompt other countries to try and strengthen their own currencies, which could lead to a more fragmented financial system. Our experts discuss how the euro, compared to the dollar, might be more affected by this. Relevant publications:  Amighini, A. and A. García-Herrero (2023) ‘Third time lucky? China's push to internationalise the renminbi', Policy Brief 20/2023, Bruegel China's second attempt to internationalise the RMB by launching its own digital currency, ZhōngHuá Mundus newsletter, April 2021 This episode is part of the ZhōngHuá Mundus series of The Sound of Economics. ZhōngHuá Mundus is a newsletter by Bruegel, bringing you monthly analysis of China in the world, as seen from Europe. Sign up now to receive it in your mailbox!

可以搜索公号【璐璐的英文小酒馆】或者添加【luluxjg2】咨询课程or加入社群，查看文稿和其他精彩内容哦~Hi, everyone. And welcome back to geek time. Hi, Brad. Hi, Lulu. So what is our topic for today?We're gonna be talking about cryptocurrency. We kind of talked about NFTs before. And NFTs kind of share a basic background with cryptocurrency, but we haven't really gotten into cryptocurrency before. So I think this is where we can kind of get into it. Yeah. This is where everything started basically. First of all, cryptocurrency在中文叫加密货币. I think many people think of cryptocurrency, they think of Bitcoin 比特币 or even Dogecoin 狗狗币. But what exactly is cryptocurrency?Oh, cryptocurrency is just a currency that doesn't have a central government or authority controlling it. So when you have your dollar, your Renminbi, someone had to print that or control the amount of it. And rather than that, It's usually the central bank, isn't it?Like the central bank. But rather than that, this is something that's online. And there's like a digital ledger that has a list of everyone who has bought or sold the currency. And so they know who has what and this can be like anonymous. And that's why a lot of people really wanted it. But nowadays a lot of the exchanges are kind of starting to collect your personal data for tax purposes and things like that. I see. so let me slow this down a little bit. There's no central authority. 一般来说我们生活中接触的货币, 不管是人民币或者说美金日元, 它都是由central bank一般都是央行来发行的, but cryptocurrency essentially there is no authority, no central authority, no government involved, and no regulatory bodies, 没有这种监管的机构. So It's just everything stored in a ledger. You said像一个账本, a digital ledger. Right.And some people can be anonymous. They can - you don't know who they are. They're just an account number, but others might have to register. They might have to have their personal data there. Yeah, so oftentimes if you're looking at the blockchain, you may not be able to know who the person is. But if you go to like, for example, the government will know who this person is because they've signed up for an exchange and that exchange has tied their account number to their nameI see and you mentioned blockchain. This was one of the hottest buzzwords a few years back, blockchain, 区块链. Till this day I still don't know exactly what blockchain is, but I know this is the technology behind cryptocurrency, right? Blockchain made cryptocurrency possible. Yeah, it is basically just all the data. Blockchain is the ledger. You have to decrypt and encrypt all the data. So whenever someone buys or sells something using the cryptocurrency or whenever cryptocurrency is traded, it has to go through authorization and they have to run the blockchain. In order to do this, they're using hundreds of computers or thousands of computers and they go through a process that's referred to as mining. So sounds you're like mining for gold. And essentially, that's what you're doing by using your computer to help the blockchain process. You're going to get some sort of payment. Let me stop you there. So mining here就是挖矿. It's like you are mining for gold or mining for diamonds. And this is a way to make money in this cryptocurrency world?Yeah. because rather than have - like a government doing all the mining or regulation, everyone is pitching in to do the regulation or to do the mining to move the data or to move the currency from one person to another. Oh, I see it's like a community thing almost. I've heard of people doing the mining, 其实我自己朋友圈里面也有人去参与这种cryptocurrency的挖矿.

The US dollar is soaring on the back of expectations that US interest rates will stay higher for longer, putting pressure on currencies including the Yen and Renminbi. We contrast the responses of the Bank of Japan and the People's Bank of China with Vishnu Varathan of Mizuho Bank.Image Credit: Shutterstock

Dmitri Alperovitch talks with geoeconomist Douglas Rediker (Senior Fellow at Brookings and formerly with the IMF Executive Board) about the enduring dominance of the U.S. dollar and why it won't change any time soon. Why the dollar continues to have no realistic alternatives and why Chinese renminbi is not a viable replacement. Also, what are the prospects and obstacles for seizing Russia's Central Bank Reserves to pay for Ukrainian reconstruction and other budget needs. And is there anything that China can do to diminish the impact of any future U.S. sanctions if it choose to invade Taiwan?

For decades, China has been the engine of global growth, doubling its GDP every eight years. But now it faces weak demand, slowing productivity and an ageing population. We debate if China can beat the “middle-income trap” and what it means for investors. And in today's Dumb Question of the Week: Is China's currency called the Yuan or the Renminbi? Get in touch

The U.S. dollar's status as the global reserve currency is diminishing, which reduces the power that U.S. leaders have over the global economic system. In this episode, hear highlights from recent Congressional testimony during which financial elites examine the current status of the global financial system and what Congress is being told to do to address perceived threats to it (and to their own power). Please Support Congressional Dish – Quick Links Contribute monthly or a lump sum via PayPal Support Congressional Dish via Patreon (donations per episode) Send Zelle payments to: Donation@congressionaldish.com Send Venmo payments to: @Jennifer-Briney Send Cash App payments to: $CongressionalDish or Donation@congressionaldish.com Use your bank's online bill pay function to mail contributions to: 5753 Hwy 85 North, Number 4576, Crestview, FL 32536. Please make checks payable to Congressional Dish Thank you for supporting truly independent media! View the show notes on our website at https://congressionaldish.com/cd276-the-demise-of-dollar-dominance Background Sources Recommended Congressional Dish Episodes CD269: NDAA 2023/Plan Ecuador CD230: Pacific Deterrence Initiative CD195: Yemen CD187: Combating China CD102: The World Trade Organization: COOL? International Monetary Fund “IMF Financial Activities List 2023.” Updated June 21, 2023. International Monetary Fund. “Weekly Report on Key Financial Statistics.” June 9, 2023. International Monetary Fund. “IMF Lending.” Updated December 2022. International Monetary Fund. Argentina “Argentina: Letter of Intent, Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies, and Technical Memorandum of Understanding” October 17, 2018. International Monetary Fund. “Argentina Policy Memorandum.” January 11, 1999. International Monetary Fund. Ecuador “Ecuador—Supplementary Letter of Intent.” March 13, 2003. International Monetary Fund. Smaller Banks within the World Trade System International Finance Corporation China “Members and Observers.” World Trade Organization. “ China and the WTO.” World Trade Organization. “From ‘China Shock' to deglobalisation shock: China's WTO accession and US economic engagement 20 years on.” Stephen Kirchner. January 24, 2022. United States Studies Centre. “The China Reckoning: How Beijing Defied American Expectations.” Kurt M. Campbell and Ely Ratner. February 13, 2018. Foreign Affairs. The World Bank “Who can borrow from the World Bank?” December 10, 2020. Bretton Woods Observer. “Domination of the United States on the World Bank.” Eric Toussaint. April 2, 2020. Committee for the Abolition of Illegitimate Debt. “Why Is the World Bank Still Lending to China?” Yukon Huang. January 15, 2020. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Congressional Stock Trade Tracking Quiver Quantitative Unusual Whales US Abuse of Sanctions “The Other Counteroffensive to Save Ukraine.” Lawrence Summers et. al. June 15, 2023. Foreign Affairs. Allies Pivoting “Europe must resist pressure to become ‘America's followers,' says Macron.” Jamil Anderlini and Clea Caulcutt. April 9, 2023. Politico. “US State Dept backs latest raft of Saudi, UAE, Jordan arms sales.” February 2, 2022. Al Jazeera. Witnesses Mark Rosen on Linkedin Daniel F. Runde on Linkedin “Membership Roster.” Accessed June 24, 2023. Council on Foreign Relations. Tyler Goodspeed on Linkedin Carla Norrlof - “Board of Directors.” Atlantic Council. Daniel McDowell bio Marshall Billingslea on Linkedin Audio Sources Dollar Dominance: Preserving the U.S. Dollar's Status as the Global Reserve Currency June 7, 2023 House Financial Services Committee Watch on YouTube Witnesses: Dr. Tyler Goodspeed, Kleinheinz Fellow, Hoover Institution at Stanford University Dr. Michael Faulkender, Dean's Professor of Finance, Robert H. Smith School of Business at University of Maryland Dr. Daniel McDowell, Associate Professor, Maxwell School of Citizenship & Public Affairs at Syracuse University Marshall Billingslea, Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute Dr. Carla Norrlöf, Senior Fellow, The Atlantic Council and Professor, University of Toronto Clips 34:05 Dr. Tyler Goodspeed: In 2022, as the Ranking Member highlighted, 88% of all foreign exchange transactions by value involved the United States Dollar, a figure that has been roughly constant since 1989, which is testament to the substantial path dependence in international currency usage due to large positive network externalities. As the Ranking Member also highlighted, 59% of all official foreign exchange reserves were held in US dollars, which is down from a figure of 71.5% in 2001. By comparison 31% of all foreign exchange transactions by value involve the Euro, which is the second most commonly transacted currency, which accounted for 20% of official foreign exchange reserves. 34:50 Dr. Tyler Goodspeed: The fact that 90% of all foreign exchange transactions continue to involve the United States dollar, and that global central banks continue to hold almost 60% of their foreign exchange reserves in US dollars confers net economic benefits on the United States economy. First, foreign demand for reserves of US dollars raises demand for dollar denominated securities, in particular United States Treasury's. This effectively lowers the cost of borrowing for US households, US companies, and federal, state and local governments. It also means that on average, the United States earns more on its investments in foreign assets than we have to pay on foreign investments in the United States, which allows the United States to import more goods and services than we export. Second, foreign demand for large reserves of US dollars and dollar denominated assets raises the value of the dollar and a stronger dollar benefits us consumers and businesses that are net importers of goods and services from abroad. Third, large reserve holdings of US currency abroad in effect constitutes an interest free loan to the United States worth about $10 to $20 billion per year. Fourth, the denomination of the majority of international transactions in US dollars likely modestly lowers the exchange rate risks faced by US companies. Fifth, the given the volume of foreign US dollar holdings and dollar denominated debt, monetary policy actions by foreign central banks generally have a smaller impact on financial conditions in the United States than actions by the United States Central Bank have on financial conditions in other countries. 36:40 Dr. Tyler Goodspeed: However, the benefits of the US dollar's global reserve status are not without costs. The lower interest rates in the United States benefit US borrowers, especially the federal government. They also lower returns to US savers. In addition, though a stronger dollar benefits US consumers and businesses that net import goods and services from abroad, it does also disadvantage US firms that export goods and services abroad as well as firms that compete against imported goods and services. Furthermore, the perception of the US dollar as a safe haven asset means that demand for the dollar tends to increase in response to adverse macroeconomic events that are global in nature. As a result, the competitiveness of US exporters and US firms that compete against imported goods and services are likely to face an increased competitive disadvantage at times of elevated global macroeconomic stress. 37:35 Dr. Tyler Goodspeed: However, despite these costs, studies generally find that the economic benefits of the dollar's prominent global status outweigh the costs, providing a modest net benefit to the United States economy. This does not include the substantial benefit to which the chairman referred of the United States dollar's centrality in global transactions, allowing the United States to utilize financial sanction tools when appropriate in support of national security objectives. 44:50 Dr. Daniel McDowell: With little more than the stroke of the President's pen or through an Act of Congress, the US government can use financial sanctions to impose enormous economic costs on targeted foreign actors, be they individuals, firms, or state institutions, by freezing their dollar assets or cutting them off from access to the banks through which those dollars flow. The consequences for individual targets, known as specially designated nationals or SDNs, are severe, significantly impairing targets capacity to participate in international trade, investment, debt repayment, and depriving them of access to their wealth. Over the last two decades, the United States has used the tool of financial sanctions with increasing frequency. For example, in the year 2000, just four foreign governments were directly targeted under a US Treasury Country Program overseen by the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC). Today that number is greater than 20, and if we include penalties from secondary sanctions the list gets even longer. The more that the United States has reached for financial sanctions, the more it has made adversaries and foreign capitals aware of the strategic vulnerability that stems from dependence on the dollar. Some governments have responded by implementing anti-dollar policies measures that are designed to reduce an economy's reliance on the US currency for investment in cross-border transactions. But these measures sometimes fail to achieve their goals. Others have produced modest levels of de-dollarization. Notable examples here include Russian steps to cut its dollar reserves and reduce the use of the dollar and trade settlement in the years leading up to its full scale invasion of Ukraine, or China's ongoing efforts to build its own international payments network based on the Yuan, efforts that have taken on a new sense of urgency as Beijing has become more aware of its own strategic vulnerabilities from Dollar dependence. 47:05 Dr. Daniel McDowell: The United States should reconsider the use of so-called symbolic financial sanctions. That is, if the main objective of a tranche of sanctions is to signal to the world or to a domestic audience that Washington disapproves of a foreign government's policy choices, other measures that can send a similar signal but do not politicize the dollar system ought to be considered first. Second, the use of financial sanctions against issuers of potential rival currencies in particular, China and its Yuan should face a higher bar of scrutiny. Even a small targeted sanctions program provides information to our adversaries about their vulnerabilities, and gives them time to prepare for a future event when a broad US sanctions program may be called upon as part of a major security crisis, when such measures will be most needed. Finally, whenever possible, US financial sanctions should be coordinated with our allies in Europe and Asia, who should feel as if they are key stakeholders in the dollar system and not vassals to it. Such coordinated efforts will prevent our friends from seeking to conduct business with U.S. adversaries outside of the dollar system and send a message to the whole world that moving activities into secondary currencies, like the Euro or the Yen, is not a safe haven. 48:35 Marshall Billingslea: I'll say at the outset that I agree with you and others that to paraphrase Mark Twain, reports of the dollar's demise have been greatly exaggerated. That said, we need to remind ourselves that in the 16th century the Spanish silver dollar was the dominant currency, in the 17th century it was Dutch florins, in the 18th century it was the pound sterling. The link between a nation's currency and its role as the relatively dominant political actor on the world stage is pretty clear. And that is why people like Lula from Brazil, Putin and Xi all aspire to undercut the role of the dollar as the global reserve currency. 50:00 Marshall Billingslea: If we look at what Russia did in the run-up to its further invasion of Ukraine, they began dumping ownership of treasury bonds in 2018. In that year, they plummeted from $96 billion and holdings down to $15 billion and they also started buying large amounts of gold. China is now, as the Ranking Member has observed, embarking on its own its own gold buying spree. I haven't seen the data for May, but April marked the sixth straight month of Chinese expansion in its gold holdings, and I'm not sure I believe the official figures. We have to recall that China is the dominant gold mining player around the world and half of those gold mining companies are state-owned. So the actual size of China's war chest when it comes to gold reserves may be far higher. In fact, I suspect inevitably far higher than official numbers suggest. Last year China also started dumping its treasuries. 2022 marked the largest or second largest decrease on record, with a drop of about $174 billion, and China stood at the lowest level since 2010. In terms of its holdings, though, this past March they did reverse course. This bears close watching because a sell-off may be a strong indicator of planned aggression. 51:20 Marshall Billingslea: The sheer size of the Chinese economy dwarfs what we've been contending with in the form of Iran, Russia, and so on. And one of the first things that the Biden administration did in the wake of Russia's attack was start sanctioning Russian banks and de-SWIFTing them. That's one thing when you're going after an economy smaller than the size of Texas; it's quite another when you consider that out of the 100 largest banks in the world, China has 20, and all four of the top four are Chinese banks. And that is why many within the Treasury contended when I was there, and they will contend to this day, that these Chinese banks are simply too big to sanction. I don't agree that we can allow that to stand but I do believe we have to start taking very swift action to put us in a situation where we could take punitive measures on these banks if necessary. 54:10 Dr. Carla Norrlöf: I will note that the Dollar's dominance is not quite as strong amongst private actors and private markets as it is with governments. In private transactions, it averages about 45% of the world's total. That includes FX transactions, but also things like issuance of international debt, securities, and cross-border banking. 54:55 Dr. Carla Norrlöf: The Chinese Yuan poses no immediate threat to dollar dominance. It accounts for roughly 3% of overall reserves. So far China has been successful in promoting the Yuan with its trade partners, but the Yuan is scarcely used by countries outside trade with China. China is a potential long term challenger due to its active pursuit of trade and investment relationships. If the Yuan is increasingly used by third countries, it will pose a greater threat to the dollar. 55:30 Dr. Carla Norrlöf: And in addition to these external threats, there is also a domestic threat. Flirting with the possibility of a voluntary default puts dollar dominance at risk. What should the US do to maintain dominance, to curb the domestic threat? Congress should consider creating an alternative mechanism for resolving political differences on government spending and its consequences. 56:00 Dr. Carla Norrlöf: To rein in external threats the United States should, whenever possible, implement multilateral sanctions in support of broadly endorsed goals to shore up the liberal international order. This is likely to limit dollar backlash. 59:40 Marshall Billingslea: The thing I do worry -- I come back to this fact that they've been buying a lot of gold -- that one of the things that they could do, which would be very concerning, if they wind up having larger reserves of gold than we believe, is they could start issuing Yuan or gold denominated, gold-backed Yuan contracts and that would further their ambition for introducing the Yuan onto the world stage. 1:05:00 Marshall Billingslea: China considers the actual composition of its foreign exchange reserves to be a state secret. So they don't publish and they they view it as a criminal offense to try to obtain that information in terms of the balance of how much is gold, how much Dollar or Euro denominated. But the numbers I've seen suggest that still at this moment, about 50% to 60% of their Foreign Exchange reserves are still in Dollars or Euros, which means that they are at high risk of sanctions; we can affect them. The problem is that that war chest that they've built up is enormous. It's more than $3 trillion that they have in Foreign Exchange reserves. Compare that with what Russia had at the onset of its assault, which was around $680 billion, of which we managed to freeze overseas half of it, but Russia is still keeping its economy going despite the Biden administration sanctions. So imagine how they're going to be able to continue with that sizable war kitty in Beijing if they do decide to go after the Taiwanese. 1:09:00 Dr. Tyler Goodspeed: Short term I think the risk is that we continue to see diversification away from the dollar, PRC continuing to push other countries to use trade inverse invoicing and Renminbi, that they continue to promote the offshore Renminbi market, that they continue to promote or force bilateral clearing. Longer term, I think the bigger risk is that foreign investors no longer perceive the United States federal government debt to be as safe and risk free as it is today perceived. 1:41:20 Dr. Daniel McDowell: The demonstration of US control over the actual flow of dollars, of communication, absolutely provides information to adversaries to prepare for events where they may face similar circumstances. And so I think what we're seeing is China, we're seeing Russia, we're seeing other countries try to create alternative payments networks. Russia has its own SPFS payment messaging system. It's quite small. It was launched in 2014, not coincidentally, after the initial round of sanctions targeting Russia. In terms of CIPS, China's cross border payments network, Belarus announced it was having banks join immediately following the 2022 sanctions. So what I'm saying is there's a pattern between when the United States mobilizes control over the pipes and the messaging of cross-border payments and adversaries looking for alternatives. It doesn't mean they're using them, but they're getting plugged into the system as at least sort of a rainy day option in the event of a future targeting. 1:45:35 Dr. Daniel McDowell: I look at China not just as a typical country, because I think they're an alternative service provider. Most countries fall into alternative service users; they're looking for an alternative to the dollar. China, you could perhaps put Europe in this as well, are the only two sort of economic BLOCs capable, I think, of constructing an attractive enough cross-border payments network that could attract those alternative service users that are looking for that network. And so that's why I think again, with China, there should be a higher bar of scrutiny. 2:02:20 Dr. Tyler Goodspeed: As deficits mount and as the debt burden rises above 100%, I think the Congressional Budget Office has it ending the budget window at about 119% of our economy, then we will probably observe an acceleration of diversification away from the dollar as a hedge. Again, I don't see another single currency displacing the dollar as the major international currency or as the major reserve currency, but continued diversification. International Financial Institutions in an Era of Great Power Competition May 25, 2023 House Financial Services Committee Watch on YouTube Witnesses: Jesse M. Schreger, Associate Professor of Business, Columbia Business School Mark Rosen, Partner, Advection Growth Capital and former Acting Executive Director, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Daniel F. Runde, Senior Vice President, Center for Strategic & International Studies(CSIS) Rich Powell, Chief Executive Officer, ClearPath & ClearPath Action Daouda Sembene, Distinguished Nonresident Fellow, CGD and CEO, AfriCatalyst Clips 39:55 Mark Rosen: The IMF is the global lender of last resort to countries that are in economic distress. IMF borrowers usually have a balance of payments problem, are running out of foreign exchange reserves, and so cannot meet their obligations. The IMF negotiates a set of economic policies with the borrower in government to alleviate the crisis, and, conditional on the government implementing the agreed policies, provides a loan in tranches, normally over a three year period. 41:00 Mark Rosen: The biggest challenge the IMF faces today is China which, as we've heard, has lent vast sums to emerging market and low income countries in a non-transparent and irresponsible manner. Many IMF members are now struggling to repay China. 42:05 Mark Rosen: The United States is the largest shareholder in the IMF and has veto power over certain key decisions and it's critical that the US continues to maintain its ownership of more than 15% which enables it to have this veto power. 42:20 Mark Rosen: China for some time, has been pressing for an increased quota share at the IMF. However, given its irresponsible lending, and then willingness to provide debt relief to developing countries, this is not the time to reward China with increased ownership at the Fund. Two other issues I'd like to focus on are anti-corruption and the catalytic role of the private sector in the work of the IMF. Corruption is a severe problem for many emerging market countries, which do not have strong institutions that can confront and root out corruption. The IMF is certainly doing a much better job than it did historically on anti-corruption, but I believe it's critical that it continues to make anti corruption laws and policies front and center in the conditions of its lending programs, as well as a focus of its technical assistance. Only by reducing corruption will many of these countries be able to attract the vast amount of private sector investment which is potentially available and remains the ultimate key to reducing poverty. Establishing a rule of law, including laws to protect private property is key to unlocking this investment. And it should be a focus of the IMF and World Bank to encourage these countries to improve the rule of law and to fight corruption. If they do that, emerging market countries can attract private capital and grow rapidly as many countries that have followed that path have already done so successfully. 44:45 Daniel Runde: Multilateral development banks, MDBs, under US and Western leadership are one way that we can respond with something. The United States built and strengthened the MDB system. MDBs provide money, advice, data and convening power to help developing countries solve problems. If the US exerts its influence over these institutions, they are forced multipliers of a US-led global system. If we disregard our leadership role, then other actors, including China, can exert influence over them. The World Bank Group is a series of institutions: it lends money to national governments, it has a private sector arm, and has an insurance arm. There are a series of other regional development bank's including the InterAmerican Development Bank, the Asian Development Bank -- Taiwan is a member of the Asian Development Bank -- the African Development Bank and the EBRD, the European Bank for Reconstruction Development Bank, focused mainly on countries that used to be behind the Iron Curtain. The United States has been instrumental in creating the majority of these institutions and remains the largest, or one of the largest, shareholders of every afformentioned MDB. Since the founding of these institutions, the US has used its shareholding power to shape the policies and activities of MDBs in indirect support of American foreign policy. 47:10 Daniel Runde: What role does China play in the MDBs? They're a shareholder. China continues to borrow from the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank. That is crazy. That needs to stop. China is a shareholder. Also, Chinese firms can bid on MDB projects. China wins a lot of in terms of dollar value, a lot of the dollar value of World Bank contracts. Something to take a look at. 47:35 Daniel Runde: How does the Belt and Road figure into the MDBs? You all have heard of the Belt and Road. Infrastructure is now a strategic issue. China's Belt and Road Initiative is a combination of construction and financing projects for roads, airports, and energy around the world. Unfortunately for us, BRI is an ambitious project that speaks to the hopes of China's friends and potential friends. To counter the BRI, the US needs a positive alternative that says more than, "Don't work with China." Right? That's not a strategy. We've got to have an alternative. 1:12:50 Rep. Andy Barr (R-KY): How do we end China's eligibility to borrow from the World Bank? Daniel Runde: The Asian Development Bank has said they're going to end their eligibility by 2025. We should absolutely hold them to that. There is a temptation for the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank to continue to loan for a couple of reasons. One is they say, "Well, this is a window into how we can understand China better." There's lots of other ways to understand China better. And or this is a way for us to -- for a bunch of lending reasons that they do it. You all have the power of the purse, you have an ability, I think you should have blunted conversations with the administration about this. I suspect it's an open door, but it's going to require, I think, some pushing from Congress. I would encourage this committee to push the administration on ending lending to China. 1:14:30 Jesse Schreger: So fundamentally right now, the Renminbi is not yet positioned to compete with the US dollar for a number of reasons. First and foremost, the reason that the dollar plays the role it does in the international financial system is it provides the global safe asset. You're confident, except for the upcoming debt ceiling, that you will always be paid back if you own US dollars. That's fundamentally what you know. When you contemplate investing in China and holding Chinese Renminbi as reserves, you're not necessarily sure that you're gonna be able to turn that piece of paper into the goods and services that you need or intervening in FX markets. 1:21:15 Jesse Schreger: First and foremost, what China is trying to do is essentially convince countries around the world that the Renminbi is an alternative asset to invoice your trade and to invest in. And so on the investment side, they've been working very hard to actually allow in foreign capital, encouraging foreign central banks to hold Renminbi denominated bonds as their reserves. And on the trade side, they're encouraging firms to invoice, basically price their goods, in Renminbi. There's a few areas in which they've had challenges there. So first, we actually don't know who are holding most of these Renminbi denominated assets. What you can see is after the US sanctioned Russia back in 2014, it was the Russian Central Bank that effectively announced they were moving out of US dollar denominated assets and into Renminbi, so they did that publicly. And so China has effectively been trying to attract foreign capital of that form and a lot of the reasons for that is that China finds itself vulnerable in the dollar-based financial system. And so what I would say the fundamental area in which the United States can assure the dominance of the dollar is making everyone understand that US Treasuries are the world's safe asset that there is no state of the world in which the United States can or will default. 2:03:25 Jesse Schreger: I think the real way in which people start being able to issue and borrow in Renminbi is when people start thinking in terms of the goods that they need to buy and consume are in Renminbi. Fundamentally, most countries around the world, if they issue a bond in Renminbi, the calculation they have to do is then "okay, I'm going to take my renminbi and convert it into US dollars to buy the thing in which I need." And so while actions in the US financial system are certainly going to affect other countries decisions to borrow in Renminbi, the kind of underlying challenges in Chinese financial markets and fundamentally the lack of goods priced and sold in Renminbi are going to continue to hold back kind of a growth of this market for a while. And in particular, the fact that many countries are reluctant to try to raise money inside of China's liquid onshore capital markets for, effectively, fear of capital controls. If you've raised renminbi in China, you can't get that out and to your projects the way you can if you raise money in the US in dollars. 2:14:55 Daniel Runde: The business model of the World Bank is they lend money to richer countries with a pretty good credit rating and then they cross subsidize that by lending to poor countries with a poor credit rating. My view is, China can finance its own development, we should stop this practice. I think the Asian Development Bank has sort of gotten the memo, but the World Bank has not fully gotten the memo and they'll give you kind of World Bank-y answers to this sort of thing. We got to stop it. Rep. Zach Nunn (R-IA): Mr. Runde, I could not agree with you more. And you highlighted earlier, you know, by 2025, China should graduate from this program. I'd offer that 25 is two years too late. We can start funneling them off that now. Daniel Runde: I agree, sir. Rep. Zach Nunn (R-IA): I think you're in the right spot. Thank you. Music Tired of Being Lied To by David Ippolito (found on Music Alley by mevio) Editing Pro Podcast Solutions Production Assistance Clare Kuntz Balcer Cover photo Eric Prouzet on Unsplash

Photo: No known restrictions on publication. @Batchelorshow #Pakistan: Trading in Renminbi with Russia and China. Husain Haqqani, Hudson.  https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/pakistans-russian-crude-shipment-paid-chinese-currency-minister-2023-06-12/

China wants the world to accept the renminbi as a reserve currency. What are their reasons for suggesting an alternative to the US Dollar? Was Bretton Woods a mistake? Is Purchasing Power Parity a reasonable way to value a currency? Money is international but a currency is national; how many people care about that distinction? Has anyone ever gotten a date by using monetary theory as a pickup line? Is the paradigm of a "cold war" drawn from the Soviet-American 20th century headbutting a useful frame to examine the actions of the Chinese government? Has the Dollar's role at the core of the international financial system been a net positive or negative for the United States? Tune in to hear James Fok's highly informed take on these important issues and Your Enlightentaining Host's nostalgia over the bezant. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/messytimes/message Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/messytimes/support

There's a lot of discussion these days about de-dollarization and whether the US dollar will lose its standing as the world's sole reserve currency. Generally, people seem open to the idea, but they also don't see many good alternatives out there. The renminbi is the obvious candidate to take share away from the dollar, given the size of the Chinese economy and China's role in global trade. But for various reasons, the currency isn't suited to be a global reserve currency. So what would it actually take to become one? And what would be the effects if it started to play a major role in global trade? On this episode of the podcast, we speak with Karthik Sankaran, a longtime FX veteran, about what China would have to do if it really has global aspirations for its currency, and why a more multipolar FX landscape might be good for world financial stability.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dan McDowell is an associate professor of political science at Syracuse University, and he is the author of a new book titled, *Bucking the Buck: US Financial Sanctions and the International Backlash Against the Dollar.* Dan joins Macro Musings to talk about this new book and the prospects for de-dollarization around the world. David and Dan also discuss the mechanics and effectiveness of financial sanctions, the renminbi as a rival to the dollar, Russia and Turkey as case studies, and more.   Transcript for this week's episode   Dan's Twitter: @daniel_mcdowell Dan's website Dan's Syracuse University profile   David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings   Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our new Macro Musings merch!   Related Links:   *Bucking the Buck: US Financial Sanctions and the International Backlash against the Dollar* by Dan McDowell   *What's Driving Dollar Doomsaying?* by Paul Krugman   *Renminbi's Share of Trade Finance Doubles Since Start of Ukraine War* by Hudson Lockett and Cheng Leng

“You're going to see [de-dollarization] in the energy sector before you see in anywhere else,” says Ford Nicholson, co-founder and strategic advisor at MCF Energy. “Whether it's Renminbi or bitcoin or some other version of trade, I see that beginning in the oil market,” Nicholson argues, explaining that what happened in the energy market spells issues for the dollar moving forward. Plus, he claims that the European energy crisis also implies opportunities in the next two years as countries such as Germany struggle with domestic supply of oil and gas. "Each continent is going to have its own battle with energy,” Nicholson claims. “Energy is where rubber hits the road to keep the economy going… Looking at the differentiation between each of these continents is going to be super critical and I think a lot of money can be made by following this,” he concludes. ➡️ Watch Here

#VinceLanci: At 3 AM, China Just Made Gold Money Again There was significant news out of China last night, as at 3 AM eastern time, China just effectively made #gold money again. Late last night, the commercial banks in China just created the ability for Renminbi savings accounts to be connected to gold accounts, so that Chinese citizens can now buy gold directly out of their savings accounts. China has long been encouraging its population to purchase gold, and the new policy has just made it even easier to do so. This is also happening at the same time that JP Morgan's Jamie Dimon is on his way to China for the first time in 4 years, which Vince suggests is hardly a coincidence. He talks about the reasons Jamie is visiting China, and the potential links they might be aiming to develop regarding business in the gold market. Vince also talks about the declining #silver inventories on the COMEX, and whether there really is a significant amount of silver available to be delivered. So to stay up to date on the latest developments in the precious metals markets, click to watch this video now! - To read the article that Vince references about China taking gold public go to: https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/p/must-read-china-may-be-taking-gold - To join our free email list and never miss a video click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/email-signup/ - To get on the waiting list for your very own ´Silver Chopper Ben´ sterling silver figurine click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/get-a-chopper-ben/ - To get your paperback or audio copy of The Big Silver Short go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/thebigsilvershort/ Find Arcadia Economics content on these sites: YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/ArcadiaEconomics Rumble - https://rumble.com/c/ArcadiaEconomics Bitchute - https://www.bitchute.com/channel/kgpeiwO1dhxX/ LBRY/Odysee - https://odysee.com/@ArcadiaEconomics:5 Listen to Arcadia Economics on your favorite Podcast platforms: Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/75OH2PpgUpriBA5mYf5kyY Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/arcadia-economics/id1505398976 Google-https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9teXNvdW5kd2lzZS5jb20vcnNzLzE2MTg5NTk1MjMzNDVz Anchor - https://anchor.fm/arcadiaeconomics Amazon - https://podcasters.amazon.com/podcasts Follow Arcadia Economics on these social platforms Twitter - https://twitter.com/ArcadiaEconomic Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/arcadiaeconomics/ To see the evidence of manipulative behavior in the silver market (as well as how you can send it to your local regulators and Congressional representatives) click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/cftc-complaint/ - To sign the petition to ban JP Morgan from having any involvement in the silver industry click here: https://www.ipetitions.com/petition/ban-jp-morgan-from-trading-gold-and-silver #silver #silverprice And remember to get outside and have some fun every once in a while!:) (URL0VD)Subscribe to Arcadia Economics on Soundwise

#VinceLanci: At 3 AM, China Just Made Gold Money Again There was significant news out of China last night, as at 3 AM eastern time, China just effectively made #gold money again. Late last night, the commercial banks in China just created the ability for Renminbi savings accounts to be connected to gold accounts, so that Chinese citizens can now buy gold directly out of their savings accounts. China has long been encouraging its population to purchase gold, and the new policy has just made it even easier to do so. This is also happening at the same time that JP Morgan's Jamie Dimon is on his way to China for the first time in 4 years, which Vince suggests is hardly a coincidence. He talks about the reasons Jamie is visiting China, and the potential links they might be aiming to develop regarding business in the gold market. Vince also talks about the declining #silver inventories on the COMEX, and whether there really is a significant amount of silver available to be delivered. So to stay up to date on the latest developments in the precious metals markets, click to watch this video now! - To read the article that Vince references about China taking gold public go to: https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/p/must-read-china-may-be-taking-gold - To join our free email list and never miss a video click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/email-signup/ - To get on the waiting list for your very own ´Silver Chopper Ben´ sterling silver figurine click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/get-a-chopper-ben/ - To get your paperback or audio copy of The Big Silver Short go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/thebigsilvershort/ Find Arcadia Economics content on these sites: YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/ArcadiaEconomics Rumble - https://rumble.com/c/ArcadiaEconomics Bitchute - https://www.bitchute.com/channel/kgpeiwO1dhxX/ LBRY/Odysee - https://odysee.com/@ArcadiaEconomics:5 Listen to Arcadia Economics on your favorite Podcast platforms: Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/75OH2PpgUpriBA5mYf5kyY Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/arcadia-economics/id1505398976 Google-https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9teXNvdW5kd2lzZS5jb20vcnNzLzE2MTg5NTk1MjMzNDVz Anchor - https://anchor.fm/arcadiaeconomics Amazon - https://podcasters.amazon.com/podcasts Follow Arcadia Economics on these social platforms Twitter - https://twitter.com/ArcadiaEconomic Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/arcadiaeconomics/ To see the evidence of manipulative behavior in the silver market (as well as how you can send it to your local regulators and Congressional representatives) click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/cftc-complaint/ - To sign the petition to ban JP Morgan from having any involvement in the silver industry click here: https://www.ipetitions.com/petition/ban-jp-morgan-from-trading-gold-and-silver #silver #silverprice And remember to get outside and have some fun every once in a while!:) (URL0VD)Subscribe to Arcadia Economics on Soundwise

Geld spielt in China eine wichtige gesellschaftliche Rolle. Deshalb schenkt man zu Festen und Feierlichkeiten auch rote Umschläge. Aber sind alle Menschen in China deshalb geldgeil? Das erfährst Du in dieser Folge.

Two currencies sit at the center of the de-dollarization narrative: the USD, and the Chinese Renminbi. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann discuss what exactly it takes for a country to build a reserve currency, and why they do not see the Renminbi as a credible competitor to the Dollar on a multi-decade timeline. 

Music: Moscow-Peking (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BtvEhrwFzok)

This week on Sinica, Kaiser and Jeremy welcome Diana Choyleva and Dinny McMahon, who recently published a report for the Wilson Center on China's efforts to internationalize the Renminbi, its currency. Diana Choyleva is chief economist and founder of Enodo Economics, an independent macroeconomic forecasting consultancy she set up in 2016. Dinny McMahon is a former Wall Street Journal reporter and author of the book China's Great Wall of Debt. Their report is called “China's Quest for Financial Self-Reliance: How Beijing Plans to Decouple from the Dollar-Based Global Trading and Financial System.”2:38 – The advantages the U.S. enjoys through the dollar's global primacy4:40 – How Beijing sees the dollar's dominance as a strategic vulnerability7:11 – Other countries who actively pursued internationalization of their currency10:07 – International trust deficit regarding China's currency13:37 – Right-sizing China's currency ambitions15:13 – How China incentives increased demand for the RMB24:19 – Are we currently at a critical turning point of currency displacement?36:42 – The role of digital currency in China's monetary strategy 43:42 – The BRI as a mechanism for expanding the circulation of the RMB A transcript of this podcast is available at TheChinaProject.com.Recommendations:Jeremy: This is Going to Hurt: Secret Diaries of a Junior Doctor by Adam Kay; Kay's Anatomy by Adam Kay Diana: Picking up dancing as a pastime; China: The Gathering Threat by Constantine MengesDinny: Lombard Street by Walter BagehotKaiser: The Amazon miniseries The English See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

China's central bank is ramping up support for renminbi settlement in new forms and models of foreign trade.

Conversamos com o Jaime Cesar Coelho (UFSC) sobre o contexto atual da economia política internacional. Estaríamos vivendo num momento de transição no capitalismo financeiro e globalizado? O que caracterizaria essas mudanças? Quais são as alternativas de construção possíveis? Aperte o play e descubra! The post Dólar, Renminbi e Hegemonia appeared first on Chutando a Escada.

Conversamos com o Jaime Cesar Coelho (UFSC) sobre o contexto atual da economia política internacional. Estaríamos vivendo num momento de transição no capitalismo financeiro e globalizado? O que caracterizaria essas mudanças? Quais são as alternativas de construção possíveis? Aperte o play e descubra!

Property and Freedom Podcast, Episode 136. This talk is from the 2015 meeting of the Property and Freedom Society. Andrew Shuen (Lion Rock, Hong Kong), China, the US, the Renminbi, the $, and Hong Kong. PFS 2015 Playlist.

2022 has presented a complex set of challenges, meaning investors may want to take a step back and consult rules-based indicators and strategies for some clarity.-----Transcript-----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about trends across the global investment landscape and how we put those ideas together. It's Wednesday, May 4th, at 2 p.m. in London. 2022 is complicated. Cross-asset returns are unusually bad and investors still face wide ranging uncertainties, from how fast the Federal Reserve tightens, to whether Europe sees an energy crisis, to how China addresses COVID. But step back a bit, and the year is also kind of simple. Valuations were high, policy is tightening and growth is slowing, and prices have fallen. Cheaper stocks are finally outperforming more expensive ones. Bond yields were very low and are finally rising. So what should investors do, given a complex set of challenges, but also signs of underlying rationality? This can be a good time to step back and look at what our rules-based indicators are saying. Let's start by focusing on what these indicators say about where we are in the cycle, and what that means for an investment strategy. Our cycle indicator looks at a range of economic data and then tries to map this to historical patterns of cross-asset performance. Our indicator currently sees the data as significantly above average. We call this 'late cycle', because historically readings that have been sharply above the average have often, but not always, occurred later in an economic expansion. This is not about predicting recession, but rather about thinking probabilistically. If the odds of a slowdown are rising, then it will affect cross-asset performance today, even if a recession ultimately doesn't materialize. At present, the 'late cycle' readings of this indicator are consistent with underperformance of high yield credit relative to investment grade credit, the outperformance of defensive equities, a flatter yield curve and being more neutral towards bonds overall. All are also current Morgan Stanley Research Views. A second question that comes up a lot in our meetings is whether or not there's enough worry and concern in the market to help it. After all, if most investors are already negative, it can be harder for bad news to push the market lower and easier for any good news to push the market higher. We try to quantify market sentiment and fear in our sentiment indicator. Our sentiment indicator works by trying to look at a wide variety of data, but also paying attention to not just its level but the direction of sentiment. At the moment, sentiment is not extreme and it's also not yet improving. Therefore, our indicator is still neutral. Given the swirling mix of storylines and volatility, a third relevant question is what would a fully rules-based strategy do today? For that we turn to CAST, our cross-asset systematic trading strategy. CAST asks a simple question with a rules-based approach; what looks most attractive today, based on what has historically worked for cross-asset performance. CAST is dialing back its market exposure, especially in commodities where it has become more negative on copper, although it still likes energy. CAST expects the Renminbi to weaken against the U.S. dollar, and Chinese interest rates to be lower relative to U.S. rates. In stocks, it is positive on Japan and healthcare, and negative on the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000. All of these align with current Morgan Stanley Research fundamental views and forecasts. Rules based tools help in markets that are volatile, emotional, and showing more storylines than a reasonable investor can process. For the moment, we think they suggest cross-asset performance continues to follow a late cycle playbook, that sentiment is not yet extreme enough to give a conclusive tactical signal, and that following historical factor-based patterns can help in the current market environment. These tools won't solve everything, but given the challenges of 2022 so far, every little bit helps. Thanks for listening. Subscribe to Thoughts on the Market on Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen, and leave us a review. We'd love to hear from you.

Israel's central bank has made the most significant changes to its allocation of reserves in over a decade. The ICB lowered the dollar and euro holdings while adding the Chinese yuan. The reshuffling of currency holdings away from the dollar's dominance is picking up.

In the 1950s and 1960s, the dollar was as “good as gold” – until it wasn't. The dollar no longer served as the centerpiece of the world's fixed exchange rate arrangement when the Bretton Woods system broke apart in the early 1970s. But the dollar has remained, to this day, the dominant currency for international trade and global finance. What advantages does the United States enjoy because of the special role of the dollar? Are other currencies, like the Euro or the Renminbi, or even cryptocurrencies, likely to replace the dollar's hegemonic position? Megan Greene discusses this topic which has important implications for the United States economy as well as the stability of the world monetary system. Megan is a Senior Fellow at the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard Kennedy School, and is also the first Dame DeAnne Julius Senior Fellow in International Economics at Chatham House, UK.

In the 1950s and 1960s, the dollar was as “good as gold” – until it wasn't. The dollar no longer served as the centerpiece of the world's fixed exchange rate arrangement when the Bretton Woods system broke apart in the early 1970s. But the dollar has remained, to this day, the dominant currency for international trade and global finance. What advantages does the United States enjoy because of the special role of the dollar? Are other currencies, like the Euro or the Renminbi, or even cryptocurrencies, likely to replace the dollar's hegemonic position? Megan Greene discusses this topic which has important implications for the United States economy as well as the stability of the world monetary system. Megan is a Senior Fellow at the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard Kennedy School, and is also the first Dame DeAnne Julius Senior Fellow in International Economics at Chatham House, UK.

#GreatReset #EllanBrown #Vanguard Christ & Crypto In The Morning Show - 4/22/2022 Daily Topics: - Israel Dumps The Dollar For China's Renminbi, Beijing Starts Quietly Acquiring Russian Energy Assets - Hitachi creates fingerprint payment system - Vanguard to End Support for Grayscale Bitcoin and Ethereum Products - MoneyGram sued by U.S., New York for unfair remittance transfers - DTCC FIRST PROTOTYPE TO SUPPORT DIGITAL U.S. CURRENCY IN THE CLEARING --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/christandcrypto/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/christandcrypto/support

In last week's episode, we discussed China's ambition to replace the dollar as the world's global currency. In this episode, Benjamin J. Cohen of UCSB takes the conversation a step further as we discuss how the US became the dominant international currency, why China would need to implement democractic reforms to take its place, and why this is unlikely to happen. Benjamin's book, "Currency Statecraft: Monetary Rivalry and Geopolitical Ambition" lays the groundwork for our conversation. You can purchase it direct from the publisher here: https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/C/bo29141097.html

Dagens episode er bragt i samarbejde med Zetland. Køb køb køb adgang til danmarks bedste journalistik: Zetland.dk/fremtidsfabrikkenDet er blevet tid til en lille special, hvor vi følger op på lidt forskellige events med Adam Neumann, META krise, E-renminbi, Løvens Hule valuations og lidt NFT adoption - lyt med!Vi søger programmører, business analysts, marketingfolk og meget mere. Vi er at finde på The Hub:Resights: https://thehub.io/startups/resightsComplyTeq: https://thehub.io/startups/complyteqConnect med os på LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/in/larshorsbol/https://www.linkedin.com/in/eskegerup/Neumann interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dgp-CM-gQik&t=2s&ab_channel=NewYorkTimesEvents See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

In Episode 239 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Peter Zeihan geopolitical strategist and author of the soon-to-be-released book “The End of the World is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization.” Demetri asked Zeihan back on the podcast in order to get his perspective on the very serious situation that is unfolding in Ukraine and Eastern Europe at the moment. We discuss the European security theatre, US-Russia relations, the risks of military confrontation with NATO, nuclear escalation, and knock-on effects to global energy markets and food systems. We also speculate on China's involvement in the diplomatic efforts over Ukraine, the implications for Taiwan, the US Dollar system, and so much more. Our objective in bringing you this conversation is to situate the war in Ukraine within this larger geopolitical framework, so that when you see things like Saudi Arabia engaging in talks with China to price some of its oil sales in Renminbi or Egyptian bonds selling off over concerns about wheat shortages and rising prices you are able to put it all in context. The full episode, transcript, and intelligence report to this week's conversation can be accessed by going directly to the episode page at HiddenForces.io and clicking on "premium extras." All subscribers gain access to our premium feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 03/17/2022