Podcast appearances and mentions of julius baer

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Best podcasts about julius baer

Latest podcast episodes about julius baer

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: Our mid-year outlook for markets

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2026 16:29


As global markets adjust to a world where capital is no longer abundant, investors face new challenges and opportunities. How should they adapt their portfolios, and what are the most compelling prospects for the second half of 2026? Christian Gattiker, Head of Research at Julius Baer, and Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia, join Bernadette Anderko to discuss Julius Baer's mid-year market outlook. The conversation dissects the shift from a savings glut to a savings grab, and focuses on why selectivity and capital discipline are paramount. Mark and Christian explain the outlook for equities and fixed income, investigating not just sectors but also regions of interest, together with the case for investment grade and emerging market debt, and the ongoing impact of AI and clean energy themes. They also review the prospects for commodities, gold, and currencies as investors position themselves for the remainder of the year.(00:00) - Introduction and agenda (00:55) - From a ‘savings glut' to a ‘savings grab' (02:16) - Be selective amidst capital expenditure opportunities (03:03) - Bond yields, duration, and global opportunities (05:33) - Credit quality and emerging market debt (06:49) - US vs. non-US markets (08:07) - European equity dynamics (08:59) - AI, Asia, and regional drivers (10:14) - Cloud computing, AI, clean energy (11:24) - Commodities: Super shock vs. super cycle (12:53) - Gold outlook (14:04) - US dollar, yen, and commodity currencies (15:08) - Key takeaways, closing remarks and legal information Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

World vs Virus
How to navigate a crisis: lessons from a chief investment officer

World vs Virus

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2026 33:49


On this episode we team up with The View Beyond, a podcast from wealth management group Julius Baer, to discuss how to navigate crises.  Julius Baer's Group Chief Investment Officer Yves Bonzon gives his perspective as someone who has spent decades making high-stakes decisions on behalf of investors. This episode is a collaboration with The View Beyond, the weekend edition of Moving Markets, Julius Baer's daily flagship podcast on the markets, thematic investing, and wealth management. The co-host is Moving Markets host Bernadette Anderko. Listen to the Julius Baer podcasts wherever you get podcasts, and learn more on the Julius Baer Insights Hub: https://www.juliusbaer.com/en/insights/ Related episodes: Financial fragmentation: the $6 trillion cost of breaking the "plumbing" of global finance: https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/radio-davos/episodes/financial-fragmentation/ Chief Economists Outlook: counting the cost of the Hormuz crisis, with Maersk's Ilaria Maselli: https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/radio-davos/episodes/chief-economists-outlook-maersk-ilaria-maselli/ The Iran oil shock: will it force the world to re-think the future of energy?: https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/radio-davos/episodes/oil-shocks-hormuz-iran-columbia-energy-exchange-jason-bordoff/ "Everything has changed" - Gita Gopinath on the global economy in 2026: https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/radio-davos/episodes/gita-gopinath-global-economy-2026/ Check out all our podcasts on wef.ch/podcasts:  YouTube: - https://www.youtube.com/@wef/podcasts Radio Davos - subscribe: https://pod.link/1504682164 Meet the Leader - subscribe: https://pod.link/1534915560 Agenda Dialogues - subscribe: https://pod.link/1574956552

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: Thoughts from our CIO on how to invest in a crisis

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2026 39:54


The role of a Chief Investment Officer is multifaceted – acting as both the guardian and the architect of a company's investment process, and preventing people from making mistakes that might destroy value. A key requisite for the job is the ability to stay calm amid the panic when a global crisis hits.In this special edition of The View Beyond, produced jointly with the World Economic Forum's Radio Davos, Bernadette Anderko and WEF Editor Robin Pomeroy sit down with Julius Baer's Group CIO Yves Bonzon to explore the history and nature of recent crises. Yves has spent more than three decades steering portfolios through other people's worst weeks: the crash of '87, the Asian crisis 10 years later, 2008's Global Financial Crisis, COVID, the tariff wars, and now of course the war in Iran. He explains why each crisis provides opportunities to make a difference. After all, in the face of a crisis, a CIO must decide: is history repeating itself, or is a new paradigm emerging?(00:00) - Introduction: A special joint episode from Julius Baer and Radio Davos (02:02) - Crisis navigation: Every crisis is different (03:30) - Exogenous vs. endogenous shocks (06:48) - Oil, markets, and resilience (11:31) - Looking back to the financial crisis of 2008 (13:50) - Crises are opportunities to make a difference (16:25) - Balancing risk mitigation and opportunity (20:26) - Liquidity events in turbulent times (22:32) - Private markets vs. public markets (23:34) - When does a crisis become a crisis? (29:29) - How crises and responses have evolved since the 1980s (33:04) - Emotional decisions and the cost of anchoring (35:18) - Education, discipline, and the importance of process (38:47) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.Radio Davos is the flagship weekly podcast from the World Economic Forum. Get it on any podcast app:https://pod.link/1504682164. Find all Forum podcasts at  wef.ch/podcasts and YouTube(https://www.youtube.com/@wef/podcasts).

Moving Markets: Daily News
From record highs to a reality check – Julius Baer Group CIO Yves Bonzon on markets

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2026 20:05


The S&P 500 snapped its nine-day winning streak yesterday, as renewed tensions in the Middle East dented risk sentiment, and momentum in the AI-driven rally eased. At the same time, bond yields pushed higher on the back of resilient labour market data, reigniting concerns that inflation pressures may persist. In today's episode, our Group CIO Yves Bonzon shares his latest perspectives on the market backdrop, while Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, explains why he expects oil prices to trend lower from here.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (05:42) - Latest market perspectives: Yves Bonzon, Group CIO (14:15) - An update on oil: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (19:13) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: Waiting for the gold rally to resume

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later May 30, 2026 19:12


After a period of relative calm, gold has re-emerged as a focal point for investors amid geopolitics, shifting central bank strategies, and evolving global demand. How should investors interpret gold's recent volatility, and what does the outlook hold as we move through 2026?In this episode of Julius Baer's Moving Markets:The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, and Chris Irwin, Head of FX and Precious Metals Trading Asia at Julius Baer, to discuss the drivers behind gold's remarkable run, the impact of central bank activity, and the changing dynamics of investment demand. The conversation covers gold's behaviour during recent global shocks, the significance of central bank buying (and selling), the evolving role of ETFs, and the influence of Asian and Indian markets. The episode concludes with an outlook for gold through the remainder of 2026, highlighting both the structural and cyclical forces at play.(00:00) - Introduction (01:21) - Lessons from recent events (03:08) - The role of geopolitics in gold's long-term performance (04:15) - Central bank buying (06:16) - A multipolar world and central bank strategies (07:10) - Investment demand and the shifting role of ETFs (09:15) - US monetary policy (10:45) - Trading trends in the US and China (12:51) - China's investment flows and retail participation (13:44) - India's import tax hike and its impact on gold demand (15:57) - Outlook for gold in 2026 (18:28) - Closing remarks and legal information Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: From petrodollars to a new world order?

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2026 16:37


The petrodollar system has long been a cornerstone of global finance, underpinning the US dollar's dominance for decades. But as energy markets shift, and talk of de-dollarisation grows louder, is this system now fading? And what could that mean for the future global order?In this episode of The View Beyond, Jan Bopp is joined by Julius Baer's currency strategist, David Meier, and Norbert Rücker, Head of Macro and Next Generation Research, to explore the origins and evolution of the petrodollar system, the impact of the US shale oil revolution, and the practical realities of de-dollarisation. The discussion covers the shifting correlation between oil prices and the US dollar, the significance of Saudi Arabia's move to accept multiple currencies, and why the US dollar's dominance remains largely unchallenged despite headlines. The episode also examines the scale of non-dollar oil trade, the role of sanctions, and the structural factors underpinning reserve currency status.(00:00) - Introduction (00:53) - What is the petrodollar system and why has it mattered? (02:44) - Geopolitics and the petrodollar narrative (03:40) - Has the petrodollar system ended or evolved? (04:33) - The US shale oil revolution (05:02) - Oil prices and the US dollar (08:00) - Saudi Arabia and the rise of multi-currency oil trade (09:02) - Sanctions and non-dollar oil markets (09:59) - De-dollarisation or diversification - what's really happening? (11:52) - Why less oil in dollars doesn't weaken the dollar (13:46) - What could truly challenge the US dollar's dominance? (15:33) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

MorningBull
CETTE FOIS C'EST DIFFÉRENT (mais ça fout la trouille)

MorningBull

Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2026 38:20 Transcription Available


Cette semaine, j'ai vu un signal que je n'avais plus vu depuis 2007 — et personne n'en parle. Dans ce nouveau Swiss Bliss, je décrypte la semaine la plus surréaliste de 2026 : Wall Street à un record absolu, pendant que le 30 ans américain explose à des niveaux jamais vus depuis la crise financière, que Walmart hurle à l'inflation, que Nvidia se fait griller pour soupçon de financement circulaire à la Lucent 1999, et que la guerre USA/Iran ressemble à une mauvaise série Netflix avec un projet de péage dans le détroit d'Ormuz. Mais sous le vernis du record, il y a une vraie question : combien de temps un marché peut-il refuser de voir la réalité avant que la réalité ne s'occupe de lui ? 35 ans dans les salles de trading. J'ai vu 1987, j'ai vu la bulle internet, j'ai vu 2008, j'ai vu le COVID. Et là, cette semaine, on a coché trois cases qu'on ne devrait jamais cocher en même temps. Je vous explique pourquoi.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: The AI story behind US equity highs

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2026 28:21


Despite geopolitical tensions, US equity markets have reached record highs, with artificial intelligence at the heart of this surge. What is driving these historic moves? How are investors positioning themselves to both capture the opportunities and manage the risks? In this episode of The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research at Julius Baer, and Manuel Villegas, Co-Manager of the Julius Baer Next Generation Equity Fund. They explore the rapid development of AI, the unprecedented growth in data centre infrastructure, and the evolving dynamics of the global value chain. The discussion covers the shift from AI training to inference, the critical role of memory and hardware, bottlenecks in data centre buildout, and the implications of rising capital expenditure by hyperscalers. Their conversation also examines the international nature of the AI value chain, the impact of regulatory and supply constraints, and the outlook for investors as monetisation accelerates across the sector.(00:00) - Introduction (00:56) - AI's impact on the tech landscape (03:56) - Hardware vs. software (05:22) - Capturing the AI infrastructure super cycle (09:01) - Data centre bottlenecks and constraints (10:43) - Inflationary pressures (13:27) - The politics of data centre construction (14:52) - Hyperscaler earnings (18:16) - How AI investments are translating into tangible revenues (19:49) - Performance, positioning, and valuation (20:53) - Winners, sector rotation, and the importance of Asia's supply chain (23:16) - The global nature of the AI value chain (24:22) - Scenarios for cloud computing and AI (24:56) - View on sub sectors for remainder of 2026 (27:11) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: Reading between China's headline indices

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2026 25:19


Global equity markets have performed strongly, led by the AI-driven rally across the US, Japan, and Korea, while China's headline indices have lagged in comparison. Yet beneath the surface, performance has been more nuanced, with parts of the market showing stronger momentum than index-level data suggests.In this episode, Richard Tang, China Strategist and Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management. They discuss why China's markets have underperformed on the surface, whether traditional benchmarks are capturing the right parts of the economy, and how the AI and semiconductor cycle is shaping market performance. They also explore US-China relations, the outlook for the renminbi, dynamics in the property market, and the impact of oil prices and geopolitics on broader market conditions.(00:28) - China versus global markets and the underperformance question (01:54) - Are investors looking at the wrong indices (05:25) - AI cycle dynamics and China's role in the semiconductor rally (08:18) - US-China relations and the geopolitical backdrop (13:25) - Renminbi outlook and China's global positioning (16:30) - Property market rebound or false dawn (20:00) - Impact of oil prices and market implications

Energy Connects Podcast
Structural shifts reshaping global oil markets

Energy Connects Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2026 11:50


In this episode of the Energy Connects podcast, host Chiranjib Sengupta speaks with Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research at Julius Baer, to unpack the structural shifts reshaping global energy markets amid unprecedented volatility. The conversation explores the implications of the Strait of Hormuz disruption, the UAE's exit from OPEC, oil market fundamentals, and the role of storage and geopolitics in price formation. Rücker also examines Europe's resilience and how the energy transition is strengthening energy security during periods of crisis.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: How can structured products help navigate current markets?

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2026 16:33


With geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility top of mind, investors are seeking tools to help navigate an increasingly complex landscape. How can structured products add value to portfolios in this environment?In this episode of Julius Baer's Moving Markets: The View Beyond podcast, Helen Freer is joined by Yves Klenk, Head of Client Coverage and Advisory, and Maximiliano Ranieri, Head of Structured Products Solutions Sales Geneva, to discuss the role of structured products in portfolios today. The conversation covers the current macroeconomic backdrop, the scenarios where structured products can complement traditional investments, and the four main categories of structured products. The discussion also addresses the significance of volatility with structured products, the key risks to consider, as well as which solutions are resonating in particular with investors right now.Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: Private infrastructure - Resilience & growth amidst volatility

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2026 32:40


In an environment marked by higher inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and increased market volatility, private infrastructure is regaining focus as a resilient allocation.In this episode of Moving Markets: The View Beyond, William Fong, Head of Alternatives Specialists Asia & Middle East at Julius Baer, speaks with Daniel McCormack, Head of Research at Macquarie Asset Management's Client Solutions Group, about the shifting global macro landscape and how private infrastructure can play a vital dual role in portfolios - providing resilience through inflation linkage and essential services, while positioning investors for long‑term growth driven by digitalisation, AI‑led data demand, the energy transition and evolving supply chains.(00:00) - Introduction (01:16) - The shifting global macro landscape (03:37) - Why private infrastructure matters in an age of volatility (04:45) - Infrastructure sub-sectors that look promising (06:40) - Macquarie's infrastructure origins (09:21) - Opportunities in debt investment (11:05) - Inflation-hedging properties of infrastructure (13:15) - Private vs public infrastructure (14:59) - Opportunities in the transport sector (17:22) - The inflationary impact of shifting supply chain dynamics (18:48) - Digitalisation, AI and data (20:23) - Is AI in a bubble? (23:29) - The growing energy demand (26:04) - Rising power prices and inflation (27:43) - Is it too late to get into infrastructure? (31:38) - Closing

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: When earnings meet geopolitics

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2026 9:47


The first quarter of 2026 has presented investors with complex and worsening financial conditions, volatile oil prices, and heightened geopolitical tensions. Q1 earnings are already being reported, and so far, the indications have been promising. What are the expectations for the rest of the season? And what should investors be watching out for?In this episode of The View Beyond Podcast, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research at Julius Baer, to preview the first-quarter earnings season and explore how markets are dealing with the ongoing uncertainty. They examine the resilience of equity markets, the concentration of earnings growth in big tech and commodity sectors, and the early signals from major banks. The conversation includes expectations for European markets, the critical importance of forward guidance this time around, and thoughts on how investors might navigate the current environment.(00:00) - Introduction (01:04) - Market backdrop ahead of Q1 earnings (02:00) - Consensus expectations for Q1 (02:59) - Early results and the performance of big banks (04:08) - European earnings outlook (05:08) - What investors should focus on now (05:59) - Assessing equity markets amid geopolitical uncertainty (07:20) - Investment views in the current environment (08:24) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Cierre de mercados
Cierre de Mercados 14/04/2026

Cierre de mercados

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 14, 2026 53:59


El conflicto con Irán entra en una nueva fase de incertidumbre. En este contexto, desde Julius Baer consideran que el petróleo y el gas siguen inmersos en una fase de picos de precios que, aunque muy pronunciada, debería seguir siendo temporal. En opinión de los estrategas del banco suizo, para que el conflicto desestabilice de forma duradera a la economía mundial no basta con interrupciones parciales del comercio o con tensiones puntuales en los flujos.. haría falta un daño serio y amplio sobre las infraestructuras energéticas de Oriente Medio. Y eso, por ahora, no ha ocurrido. Ha habido recortes de producción y exportaciones, sí, pero no una destrucción suficiente como para hablar de una ruptura estructural del suministro global. Julius Baer reconoce que la situación sigue siendo extremadamente confusa.. no está claro si las negociaciones han fracasado de manera definitiva ni si el alto el fuego acabará rompiéndose en breve. El gobierno alemán ha anunciado medidas adicionales de 1.600 millones de euros con el objetivo de intentar paliar el impacto en los precios del combustible de la guerra en Oriente Medio. Que incluyen una reducción limitada a dos meses del impuesto sobre hidrocarburos de unos 17 céntimos brutos por litro de diésel y gasolina. Hablaremos del outplacement como la vía más rápida y efectiva para la transición profesional con Marcos Huego, presidente de LHH España, y con el profesor de la Universidad Europea, Moisés Ruiz, del resultado de las elecciones de este domingo en Hungría. En la Tertulia de Cierre de Mercados nos acompañarán José Ignacio Gutiérrez, de la Confederación de Cuadros y Profesionales, y Francisco Canós, inversor y partner en CyberC.

Cierre de mercados
Cierre de Mercados 13/04/2026

Cierre de mercados

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 13, 2026 53:59


El conflicto con Irán entra en una nueva fase de incertidumbre. En este contexto, desde Julius Baer consideran que el petróleo y el gas siguen inmersos en una fase de picos de precios que, aunque muy pronunciada, debería seguir siendo temporal. En opinión de los estrategas del banco suizo, para que el conflicto desestabilice de forma duradera a la economía mundial no basta con interrupciones parciales del comercio o con tensiones puntuales en los flujos.. haría falta un daño serio y amplio sobre las infraestructuras energéticas de Oriente Medio. Y eso, por ahora, no ha ocurrido. Ha habido recortes de producción y exportaciones, sí, pero no una destrucción suficiente como para hablar de una ruptura estructural del suministro global. Julius Baer reconoce que la situación sigue siendo extremadamente confusa.. no está claro si las negociaciones han fracasado de manera definitiva ni si el alto el fuego acabará rompiéndose en breve. El gobierno alemán ha anunciado medidas adicionales de 1.600 millones de euros con el objetivo de intentar paliar el impacto en los precios del combustible de la guerra en Oriente Medio. Que incluyen una reducción limitada a dos meses del impuesto sobre hidrocarburos de unos 17 céntimos brutos por litro de diésel y gasolina. Hablaremos del outplacement como la vía más rápida y efectiva para la transición profesional con Marcos Huego, presidente de LHH España, y con el profesor de la Universidad Europea, Moisés Ruiz, del resultado de las elecciones de este domingo en Hungría. En la Tertulia de Cierre de Mercados nos acompañarán José Ignacio Gutiérrez, de la Confederación de Cuadros y Profesionales, y Francisco Canós, inversor y partner en CyberC.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: What the fragile Middle East truce means for China

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2026 28:56


The US and Iran have agreed to a two‑week ceasefire in the Middle East conflict, but the deal continues to look fragile. Markets have reacted swiftly, with crude oil prices falling sharply while gold and equity markets rebounded. However, the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, keeping energy supply risks firmly in focus. In this complex backdrop, how attractive is the current market risk‑reward, and how might the geopolitical landscape evolve from here?Richard Tang, China Strategist and Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management, to assess the implications for global markets and China. They discuss whether investors should chase the recent rebound or stay defensive, the outlook for oil, gold, and the US dollar, and why China's equity market has shown relative resilience. The conversation also covers China's economic momentum, sector preferences, and the role of defensive, value, and high‑dividend stocks -- particularly Chinese banks -- in navigating ongoing geopolitical and macro uncertainty.This episode was recorded on 9 April, 2026.(00:00) - A fragile ceasefire and the market rebound (02:00) - Assessing the market risk-reward, geopolitical landscape (04:44) - Has the USD/gold long-term trend changed? (09:22) - How vulnerable is China to high oil prices? (14:58) - Green shoots in China's economy – signal or seasonal? (19:05) - China's consumption sector – staples vs discretionary (24:02) - Views on Chinese banks

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: The continued resilience of emerging market equities

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2026 10:16


Despite a significant selloff following the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East, global emerging market equities have demonstrated a surprising degree of resilience. What explains this contained drawdown, and how should investors differentiate across regions even as volatility persists?(00:00) - Introduction (01:11) - Current resilience of emerging markets (01:59) - Earnings revisions and relative performance (03:18) - Market sensitivity and the nature of the drawdown (04:23) - Energy costs and financial conditions (06:16) - Monetary policy impact and US dollar outlook (07:00) - AI as a growth driver in emerging markets (07:30) - Outlook for EM equities (09:14) - Closing remarks and legal information In this episode of Julius Baer's Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by Nenad Dinic, Emerging Market Strategist at Julius Baer, to examine the recent performance of emerging market equities in the wake of geopolitical shocks. They discuss why the fundamental story for the asset class remains robust, the importance of distinguishing between net energy importers and exporters, and how factors such as a weakening US dollar and the AI-driven CapEx cycle are shaping the outlook. The conversation also addresses the implications of regional dispersion, the role of earnings revisions, and why patient investors may find compelling opportunities amid ongoing uncertainty.

Moneycontrol Podcast
5104: Wealth Architects: As India Gets Richer, Wealth Management Is Becoming More Institutional

Moneycontrol Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 31, 2026 28:13


India's wealth ecosystem is evolving rapidly. From portfolio construction and investor behaviour to legacy planning and the role of AI, the rules of wealth management are changing. In Wealth Architects, Julius Baer's Ashwin Patni breaks down the shifts shaping how India's richest investors manage capital today.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: Central Banks' response to the Energy Crisis

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2026 12:06


With geopolitical tensions in the Middle East driving a new wave of uncertainty, investors are watching central bank decisions and accompanying statements very closely. How are policymakers responding, and what does this mean for fixed income positioning?In this episode of The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Dario Messi, Julius Baer's Head of Fixed Income Research, to discuss the week's mammoth round of central bank meetings. The conversation explores how recent geopolitical developments are shaping inflation expectations, and the challenges that these pose for central banks. Dario shares his perspective on why a hawkish tone from policy makers is justified but may not necessarily translate into actual policy tightening. He also offers his insights for fixed income investors navigating the current environment.(00:00) - Introduction (01:13) - Takeaways from the Fed's decision (02:42) - Swiss National Bank and European Central Bank (03:57) - Has the rate-cut narrative been derailed? (06:40) - Will sounding hawkish translate into being hawkish? (08:06) - Implications for bond markets and yield curves (09:33) - Fixed income scenarios (11:05) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. 

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: The impact of the Iran war on Asia markets

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 14, 2026 26:24


As the conflict in Iran continues to drive oil prices higher and unsettle global markets, investors are assessing the implications for Asia and China. Meanwhile in Beijing, the annual Two Sessions meetings have just concluded, outlining policy priorities and economic targets for the year ahead.In this episode of Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management. They discuss how geopolitical tensions are affecting Asian markets, their key takeaways from the Two Sessions, the outlook for Hong Kong versus A-shares, and the case for renminbi appreciation. Looking further ahead, they also examine the lessons from Japan's balance sheet recession framework for China.(00:00) - Can Asia and China markets weather the storm? (03:14) - Hong Kong markets vs A-shares (07:40) - Key takeaways from Two Sessions (11:19) - Is the RMB appreciation trend set to continue? (16:08) - Lessons from Japan's balance sheet recession framework for China

Moving Markets: Daily News
Equity markets rebound as oil tumbles

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 11, 2026 16:19


Markets reacted to volatile geopolitics as hopes of a swift resolution in the Iran crisis clashed with heightened military tensions. Strong gains in European equities and a sharp drop in oil prices highlighted a session defined by fragile optimism. With central banks watching inflation and safe havens like gold and the Swiss franc holding firm, uncertainty remains. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research at Julius Baer, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Julius Baer's Equity Strategy Research team, discuss how recent geopolitical developments are shaping global bond and equity markets and how investors can navigate markets amid the fog of war.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:06) - Fixed income market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (10:25) - Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (15:36) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: The road ahead after the US Supreme Court's tariffs decision

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2026 8:57


The recent US Supreme Court decision on tariffs has shifted the landscape for investors, replacing a patchwork of country-specific measures with a temporary universal tariff. What does this mean for markets overall, different countries and sectors, the US dollar and fixed income?In this episode of Julius Baer's Moving Markets – The View Beyond podcast, Helen Freer is joined by Christian Gattiker, Head of Research, to discuss the implications of the Supreme Court's ruling against the tariffs implemented under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act last year. The conversation covers the short-term reduction in uncertainty, the winners and losers among countries and sectors, the impact on corporate earnings, and the unresolved question of tariff refunds. Christian Gattiker also shares insights on the muted reaction of the US dollar, the outlook for fixed income, and the key takeaways for investors as US trade policy enters a new phase.(00:00) - Introduction (00:42) - What the decision means for investors in the short term (01:28) - The temporary universal tariff (02:06) - Winners and losers by country and sector (03:32) - Ongoing uncertainty and the medium-term outlook (04:12) - Will there be an impact on corporate earnings? (04:47) - The unresolved issue of tariff refunds (05:31) - The US dollar reaction and outlook (06:22) - Fixed income perspective: uncertainty, fiscal effects, and inflation (07:32) - Key takeaways (07:59) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: Diversifying beyond Big Tech

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2026 15:17


How sustainable is the narrow leadership of US equity markets? With aggressive AI-related capex plans raising concerns about long-term returns, investors have been reassessing concentrated positions in US mega cap technology and turning their attention elsewhere. What should be in focus as they look to broaden their portfolios?In this edition of Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Nenad Dinic, one of Julius Baer's equity strategists, to discuss the drivers behind the current equity market rotation. They explore the broadening of market leadership beyond the AI-linked hyperscalers, the implications of massive capital expenditure plans, and the importance of selectivity within software and IT. The conversation also covers renewed investor interest in non-US equities, with a focus on Europe, Switzerland, Japan, and emerging markets, as well as sector preferences for healthcare, financials, and miners. Nenad shares why diversification is more critical than ever as investors position for the next phase of the cycle.(00:00) - Introduction (01:07) - Factors behind the improvement in market breadth (03:35) - How AI is reshaping equity leadership   (05:45) - Is the software selloff overdone?   (08:12) - Diversification beyond US equities: Flows and drivers   (09:20) - Regions benefiting from the broadening (12:04) - Healthcare, financials, and miners   (13:58) - Key takeaways (14:27) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: Making sense of the cross-asset turbulence

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 14, 2026 26:37


Recent weeks have seen extreme cross‑asset volatility, with sharp unwinds hitting US and China tech stocks, precious metals and cryptocurrencies. In China, renewed concerns about regulatory scrutiny are weighing on sentiment, even as the case for a stronger renminbi continues to build.In this episode of Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd., to discuss what the market dislocations mean for investors, and how these cross-asset dynamics may shape positioning in the weeks ahead.(00:30) - The big precious metals selloff (04:04) - Cryptocurrencies – near and long-term outlook (08:13) - Industrial metals remain supported by rising strategic demand (10:36) - China tech – is it time to buy the dip? (13:55) - Defining “value” in China's rotation (15:32) - Regulatory scrutiny – how worried should investors be? (20:20) - A-shares vs H-shares in the short term? (23:03) - Renminbi strength and outlook

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: What Kevin Warsh means for markets

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 7, 2026 20:14


The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the likely next chair of the Federal Reserve has prompted immediate market reactions and renewed debate around the future direction of US monetary policy. What should investors expect as the Fed faces new leadership?In this episode of Julius Baer's Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by David Kohl, Chief Economist, to discuss the implications of Kevin Warsh's nomination to lead the Federal Reserve. They examine market reactions, the prospects for rate cuts, the outlook for the US dollar, and the potential impact on asset classes including treasuries, fixed income, and equities. The conversation also covers the Fed's balance sheet strategy, the risk of increased volatility, and what a shift away from ample liquidity could mean for investors. Finally, they address the recent volatility in precious metals and whether the nomination will bring stability to gold and silver markets.(00:00) - Introduction (01:01) - Was Warsh's nomination a surprise? (01:39) - Hawkish or dovish: What does Warsh's stance mean for the Fed? (03:20) - Expected rate trajectory and implications for monetary policy (05:19) - Data dependence and the Fed's decision-making process (06:22) - Do we expect the US dollar to weaken further as a result? (09:59) - Will Warsh's nomination affect the Fed's balance sheet? (12:07) - No further quantitative easing underr Kevin Warsh? (13:33) - What is the potential impact on financial markets? (15:11) - The new outlook for fixed income investors (16:04) - US equities and the case for diversification (17:38) - Precious metals volatility: Will the rollercoaster end? (19:27) - Closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Mercado Abierto
Protagonistas de la sesión en el Viejo Continente

Mercado Abierto

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 2, 2026 7:28


Pablo García, director general de Divacons-Alphavalue, repasa lo más destacado en Europa: Pandora, Intesa San Paolo, Julius Baer, AstraZeneca, EssilorLuxottica y Carrefour.

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: Is the precious metals mania set to continue?

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 28, 2026 16:56


After a remarkable 2025, gold and silver have surged to new highs in early 2026, driven by a complex mix of geopolitical developments and speculative flows. What is fuelling this rally, can it continue, and how should investors position themselves in these volatile markets?In this episode of Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Julius Baer's Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, and Christopher Irwin, Head of FX and Precious Metals Trading, to dissect the forces behind the explosive moves in gold and silver. The discussion covers the impact of US political dynamics, the role of central bank and ETF flows, the unique characteristics of the silver market, and the macro factors investors should monitor. The episode concludes with practical guidance for managing risk and navigating heightened volatility in precious metals.(00:00) - Introduction (01:26) - Key catalysts behind the gold and silver rally (03:12) - Trading flows, speculative positioning, and physical demand (04:25) - The role of the Shanghai Futures Exchange and silver market dynamics (04:58) - Silver – currency or commodity? (07:00) - Geopolitics and the persistence of the rally (08:43) - Erosion of confidence in US assets and implications for gold and silver (09:06) - Silver's acceleration and trading behaviour (10:35) - Fundamental differences between gold and silver (11:59) - Macro factors to watch: interest rates, inflation, and the US dollar (13:09) - What investors should focus on now – gold (14:10) - What investors should focus on now – silver (15:02) - Key takeaways from trading (16:00) - Closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Beyond Markets
Moving Markets – the new home for Beyond Markets content

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 26, 2026 0:41


Beyond Markets has now joined forces with Moving Markets to make one home for Julius Baer's podcasts. Don't forget to subscribe to Moving Markets to keep receiving the latest from the experts at Julius Baer and ensure you never miss an episode. 

Moving Markets: Daily News
The View Beyond: Does China's 2026 rally echo 2015?

Moving Markets: Daily News

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2026 23:05


China's markets are off to a strong start in 2026, raising renewed comparisons to the 2015 boom‑and‑bust just as global tensions escalate — from dramatic US moves over Greenland to a surge in gold prices and a weakening dollar. With capital rotating out of U.S. assets and liquidity patterns shifting across Asia, does today's rally carry familiar risks, or does it mark the start of a very different cycle? In this episode of Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd., to examine these cross‑currents: the resilience of A‑shares, the wave of Hong Kong tech IPOs, and why rising margin financing today is not a replay of 2015. They also highlight the key themes shaping 2026, including precious metals, AI‑linked industries, and high‑dividend opportunities. This episode was recorded on 21 January 2026.(00:24) - Initial reactions to the Greenland crisis (02:39) - Implications on gold, US dollar, and global assets (07:36) - China's rising margin financing balances, and the paradox of a “slow bull market” (12:55) - Hong Kong IPO glut: liquidity drain or healthy market growth? (17:05) - China's economic cycle vs. valuations (21:16) - Key sector themes for 2026

Beyond Markets
Secular Outlook 2026: A CIO Perspective on the Forces Shaping the Decade Ahead

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2025 18:07


In this final episode of the Beyond Markets Podcast, Hannah Wise sits down with Yves Bonzon, Group Chief Investment Officer at Julius Baer, to explore the secular outlook for the decade ahead. They discuss why interest rates have normalized at current levels, whether the AI investment cycle can avoid the fate of the dot-com bust, what China's balance sheet recession means for global investors, and the geopolitical risk that keeps Yves awake at night: waking up with stranded assets.The Beyond Markets podcast channel is wrapping up on a high note at the end of 2025. But do not worry! The conversation continues on our podcast Moving Markets by Julius Baer, where we'll be sharing fresh insights and analysis on current market developments. Subscribe to Moving Markets on Spotify Subscribe to Moving Markets on Apple Podcasts 

Beyond Markets
The Week in Markets: Economically-sensitive stock market indices break to new highs

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 19:09


The Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, but it also increased its forecast for 2026 GDP, from 1.9% to 2.1%, hardly a rate that would necessitate a long string of further cuts. Multiple forces are pulling the economy in different directions, so the 10-year treasury yield will likely continue to move in the same wide band it's been in since 2023. Recent local elections have tilted strongly in favour of Democrats, and Trump's approval ratings are low. It is possible next year's mid-term elections go strongly in the Democrats' favour, and the administration has less power than it does now. With economically-sensitive stock market indices like mid and small caps, the Dow Jones Industrials and the S&P 500 equal-weighted index all breaking to new highs, it's difficult to be pessimistic.This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

Beyond Markets
China Conversations: AI momentum and policy tailwinds into 2026

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2025 26:30


Chinese equities enter 2026 on a strong footing, with policy tailwinds from the upcoming Five-Year Plan expected to sustain momentum despite recent consolidation. While tech-led rallies have dominated, attention is shifting toward domestic consumption as policymakers prioritise demand-side reforms—a potential turnaround for lagging consumer sectors if stimulus materialises.Meanwhile, ongoing concerns over stretched valuations in US tech and AI names underscore the case made for diversifying into non-US markets, such as China and Japan. Structural drivers, including a weaker U.S. dollar and gradual yuan appreciation, add to the appeal. On commodities, strong fundamentals and AI-driven demand for industrial metals signal further upside, building on this year's broad-based rally in materials.This episode is presented by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer and Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd.

Beyond Markets
Staying disciplined when markets test your resolve

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 16:19


As 2025 draws to a close, investors are reflecting on a year that tested their emotional discipline – from Liberation Day tariffs to geopolitical events that sent markets into turmoil. What separated those who thrived from those who struggled? In this episode of the Beyond Markets Podcast, Helen Freer sits down with Yves Klenk, Head of Client Coverage and Advisory at Julius Baer, to discuss what worked well and what worked less well this year, why resisting the urge to react emotionally was crucial, and what lies ahead for 2026. They explore the ongoing AI story and how to diversify exposure along the value chain, the case for reducing USD concentration, and why currencies like the Australian dollar and structured products deserve a closer look as investors position for the year ahead.(00:11) - Introduction (00:53) - The role of Client Coverage and Advisory (01:37) - What worked well in 2025 (03:28) - What didn't go according to plan (04:42) - Why 2025 was so tough to navigate (06:26) - Can the AI story continue in 2026? (08:56) - Reducing USD exposure without sacrificing yield (11:19) - Three levels of diversification (12:56) - How to deploy fresh capital now (14:49) - Closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Beyond Markets
Sanaenomics and a new era for Japan's economy

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 25, 2025 17:05


Japan is undergoing a profound economic transformation under its first female Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, whose growth-focused "Sanaenomics" policy drives investment in critical areas such as infrastructure, tech and energy. After decades of deflation, inflation has reached 2.9%, supported by a robust 5% wage growth, boosting consumption and corporate earnings.In this episode, Ayako Lehmann speaks with Louis Chua, Asia equity research analyst at Julius Baer, about the investment landscape for Japan, against a backdrop of structural corporate reforms, strengthening earnings, and rising shareholder returns, and explores the opportunities and risks to watch ahead.(01:25) - What can we expect from Sanae Takaichi's agenda? (02:25) - Japan's shifting economic landscape (03:40) - Green shoots in Japan corporate reform (05:21) - Growing influence of activist investors (06:50) - Takeaways from Q3 earnings (08:39) - Diverging paths between small and large caps (10:17) - How does the weakening Yen impact Japanese businesses? (11:31) - Risks to watch (13:33) - Rising Japanese bond yields – a cause for concern? (15:07) - Are Japanese bonds finally attractive for international investors?

Beyond Markets
The Week in Markets: December Fed meeting could be its strangest ever

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 24, 2025 15:49


Just weeks after hawkish Federal Reserve commentary dimmed December rate cut hopes, new dovish comments from New York Fed President John Williams have boosted rate cut odds back to 63%. With policymakers seemingly divided, a tied vote on the December 10 FOMC meeting – unprecedented in its history – remains possible.Markets remain uneasy in the meantime, with concerns on high AI spending and a Bitcoin bear market weighing on sentiment. Technical signals add to the unease with the S&P 500 and tech sector indices showing signs of a “head and shoulders” pattern, a bearish sign. Additionally, a leaked draft of President Trump's Ukraine peace plan indicates the unfreezing of some Russian financial assets confiscated by the west, potentially implicating gold demand.This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

Beyond Markets
Beyond 60/40: The rise of hedge funds in modern portfolios

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 19, 2025 34:53


As markets evolve and the traditional 60/40 portfolio faces new challenges, are hedge funds becoming the next core allocation for resilient investing? In this episode of Beyond Markets, William Fong, Head of Alternatives Specialists at Julius Baer for Asia and the Middle East, speaks with Joe Dowling, Senior Managing Director and Global Head of Blackstone's Multi-Asset Investing, about how the endowment model is reshaping portfolio construction.Joe shares insights on why institutions have leaned heavily into alternatives, how multi-strategy hedge funds are delivering uncorrelated returns, and what private investors can learn from the playbook of elite endowments. From risk management to the “democratisation of alternatives”, this episode explores how hedge funds may just be part of the new 60/40 for long-term investors seeking durability and diversification.This episode was recorded on 28 October 2025.(00:10) - – The endowment model (03:24) - – Is it limited to institutional investors? (05:02) - – A typical allocation split (06:28) - – The importance of a long-term approach (07:16) - – Recent criticisms of the endowment model (09:03) - – Hedge funds: a bond substitute? (11:23) - – The rise of multi-strategy funds (13:24) - – How multi-strategy funds have performed throughout volatility (15:13) - – What to look for in a good multi-strategy fund (16:33) - – Absolute return vs index investing (18:33) - – Are multi-strategy funds getting too big? (20:17) - – Are single-manager, single-strategy funds still relevant? (21:32) - – Rebalancing – a critical element (22:44) - – Fund manager expertise, and the art of portfolio construction (27:01) - – Thoughts on private equity and infrastructure (31:33) - – An ivy league education? Or an alternatives portfolio?

Beyond Markets
The Week in Markets: Hawkish Fed commentary diminish December rate cut hopes

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 17, 2025 16:57


Following hawkish commentary from six Federal Reserve presidents and promising indicators of October labour and consumer data, the market no longer expects a December rate cut. Meanwhile, recent technology stock performance suggests the market increasingly distinguishes between sustainable and speculative growth, and leverage. Over in Asia, China's stock market is supported by the country's leadership in electrification, more exports of high-technology products and services, a slowly appreciating Renminbi, and governmental efforts to promote equity investment and corporate governance reforms. This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

Beyond Markets
​Is the gold narrative shifting?

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2025 25:51


Gold has been on a wild ride lately — surging past USD 4,000 an ounce before tumbling in one of its biggest corrections in years. What's really driving this volatility, and how are the narratives around gold evolving?Chris Irwin, Head of FX and Precious Metals Trading Asia, and Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research at Julius Baer, discuss the changing forces behind gold's rally — from questions over the Fed's independence and fears of dollar debasement to the role of central bank buying and China's strategic accumulation. The conversation also touches on the outlook and trends for silver and the broader precious metals market.This episode was recorded on Nov 10, 2025.(00:22) - Narratives driving the gold market (02:25) - Dollar resilience or temporary pause? (03:55) - Mixed signals from the Fed (05:35) - Do geopolitics really matter for gold? (06:49) - Central bank buying and structural trends (09:55) - China's gold strategy (12:55) - ETF flows: Conviction or speculation? (15:25) - Chinese regulatory changes, and impact on precious metals landscape (17:27) - Section 232 and silver (20:45) - Is the mythical $50 level in silver still in play? (21:25) - Outlook and key takeaways

Beyond Markets
China Conversations: The post-plenum roadmap

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2025 25:38


The recent conclusion of China's Fourth Plenum has shed light on the strategic direction of the 15th Five-Year Plan, highlighting key priorities such as boosting domestic consumption, advancing technological self-reliance, and expanding into new export markets. Following the Plenum, Chinese President Xi also met with US President Trump in South Korea, reaching a mutual agreement to pause key trade escalations for a year. What do these developments mean for the future of US-China relations, and can Chinese markets continue its bull run in 2026? This episode is presented by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer and Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd.

Beyond Markets
The Week in Markets: Q3 earnings outpacing analyst expectations so far

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2025 14:35


87% of the S&P 500 index companies that have reported their Q3 earnings thus far have beaten consensus forecasts - significantly higher than the 10-year average beat rate of 75%. Earnings growth is running at 9.2% year/year, vs. 7.9% that analysts had estimated prior to the start of the reporting season. The NASDAQ 100 index is also on track to post 7 consecutive months of gains. In each of the four times this had happened before, returns in the 12 months that followed were double-digit, averaging 17.5%.  This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

Beyond Markets
The Week in Markets: Encouraging signs in Hong Kong's long-beleaguered property market

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 12:19


Recent bankruptcies of companies that accessed the private debt market are a reminder that manager selection is of the utmost importance. The real acid test for the private debt market will be the next recession, although there are no signs of one on the horizon. Still, the labour market is changing, and we look for a rate cut at the Fed's next meeting on October 29, followed by another three by March. Alibaba claims to have invented a computing pooling solution that reduces the number of Nvidia GPUs needed to serve its AI models by 82%. An index of Hong Kong residential property infers prices are up 6% this month. This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

Beyond Markets
The Week in Markets: AI takes centre stage as Q3 earnings season begins

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2025 6:08


As the third-quarter equity earnings season begins, we anticipate broadly supportive results, with a strong focus on the ongoing AI investment cycle and commentary from the hyperscalers. While revenue generation will be a key theme heading into 2026, significant execution risks remain despite the expansive opportunity set. Amid growing policy uncertainties in the United States, investors may find merit in diversifying portions of their equity exposure away from the US toward other markets, such as China, Switzerland, India, and Japan, where policy settings appear more favourable. In fixed income, listed corporate credit continues to look attractive, supported by tightening spreads and limited new supply. This episode is presented by Bhaskar Laxminarayan, Chief Investment Officer Asia and Middle East at Julius Baer.

Beyond Markets
China Conversations: From Golden Week to the 15th Five-Year Plan

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 29:27


Golden Week has just wrapped, offering a timely snapshot of China's consumer sentiment. Travel volumes surged, but spending data remained subdued, highlighting the limits of short-term stimulus and reinforcing calls for deeper structural reform.Amidst this backdrop, China's stock market continues to rally, prompting fresh questions: Can momentum broaden beyond tech? Will long-awaited social reforms finally shift the consumption narrative? And what does a weakening US dollar mean for global asset allocation?Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, and Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd., return to unpack the macro forces behind the rally, the outlook for the 15th Five-Year Plan, and why gold and silver are stealing the spotlight in 2025.This episode was recorded on 8 October 2025.

Beyond Markets
The Week in Markets: Shutdown blues, Sanaenomics buzz

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 5:46


Despite uncertainty around the US government shutdown and signs of economic weakness, equities have rallied, though tech stocks paused as AI enthusiasm met valuation concerns. With non-farm payroll data delayed, investors are turning to private sector indicators for labour market insights. Meanwhile, in Japan, Sanae Takaichi's surprise win as Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leader signals a potential return to expansionary “Sanaenomics”, a policy stance reminiscent of Abenomics, boosting equities and pressuring the yen. Tune in for a deep dive into the macro shifts shaping markets this week.This episode is presented by Magdalene Teo, Head of Fixed Income Research Asia, Julius Baer.

Beyond Markets
How structured products can add value to a portfolio

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 16:44


Structured products can provide investors with capital protection, enhanced yield, or targeted exposure to specific market scenarios. While they may appear complex to those less familiar with them, this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast aims to demystify these instruments. Helen Freer is joined by two Julius Baer experts, Conrad Bruggisser and Raffaele Perroncello, to explain how structured products work and how they can add value to a portfolio. They also discuss the key risks to consider, why market volatility is relevant and how the products can be tailored to suit different investor profiles.(00:12) - Introduction (00:48) - A simple explanation of what structured products are (02:16) - How structured products can add value to a portfolio (04:03) - Which structured products might be appropriate in the current environment? (06:11) - What volatility means for structured products (07:28) - How the underlyings are selected (09:05) - How structured products can be tailored to different investor profiles (10:17) - How investments are monitored and managed once they are in a portfolio (11:15) - The common misconceptions about structured products (12:36) - Some of the main risks to be aware of (13:40) - Factors to consider when investing in a structured product for the first time (15:12) - Summary and closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Beyond Markets
The Week in Markets: To ride the momentum, or not?

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2025 8:17


The US equity market defied expectations of September seasonal weakness, with the S&P 500 index gaining 4% this month. With the exception of India, many global markets have also seen gains, with US, Hong Kong and Japan up 30% in USD terms since April , Europe up 20%, Korea and Taiwan up 50%. In this episode of The Week in Markets, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, considers if we should ride this momentum in the Chinese equity markets. He examines investor flows and positioning, asset re-allocation trends from domestic retail investors, and recent market pullbacks in the tech and pharmaceutical sectors. He also looks ahead at key fourth quarter events and catalysts to watch – such as the meeting between Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping at the APEC summit, and the Fourth Plenum of the Chinese Communist Party. Richard also highlights Julius Baer's latest views on Singapore equities, which we have recently upgraded to Overweight. Please also check out our recent episode on the Singapore dollar and equities at the following links:Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/singapore-dollar-small-but-mighty/id1552236298?i=1000728312662Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/0Io10QxFwEkbNQzJNDUpbM?si=rwR9CLdoQISPC79v8SKAGQ

Beyond Markets
Singapore dollar – Small but mighty

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2025 12:53


When one thinks of safe haven currencies, the Swiss franc, Japanese yen, and US dollar typically come to mind. But with capital flows diversifying away from the US dollar, interest in alternative safe havens is increasing. The Singapore dollar, one of Asia's most stable and best-performing currencies, stands out as one such potential candidate. In this episode, we explore the unique characteristics of the Singapore dollar, its central role in Singapore's monetary policy, and how investors can position themselves to benefit from the Singapore dollar's strength. This episode is presented by Yaw Shin Wong, Equity Specialist and Jen-Ai Chua, Equity Research Analyst at Julius Baer.

Beyond Markets
The Week in Markets: Looking beyond the expected Fed rate cut

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2025 8:29


The US Federal Reserve resumed its rate cut cycle last week with a widely expected 25bp rate cut. Julius Baer expects four further rate cuts through March 2026, pausing at 3.25%, while the markets are pricing in slightly more aggressive easing. Against a backdrop of rapidly falling short-term rates and rising re-investment risk, 5-7 year bonds emerge as the sweet spot – offering a balance of yield and volatility amid a steepening curve. In credit markets, the tight spreads between corporates and Treasuries aren't just a sign of strong corporate demand, but also reflect weakening Treasury appeal. When benchmarked against swaps, the implied corporate credit spreads appear more normal, supporting continued inflows into investment-grade corporate bonds. In equities, the rally in lower-quality and non-profitable tech stocks suggests that the market has been expecting and pricing in looser monetary policy conditions. However, a reversal may be due, and it may be time for quality stocks to outperform again. Notably, despite strong gains, valuations of the Magnificent 7 stocks remain below prior bubble peaks. This episode is presented by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer.

Beyond Markets
Market Outlook Year-End 2025 – All eyes on policy responses

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2025 15:16


As we head towards the end of the year, financial markets are caught between fading growth and expectations regarding monetary policy. How should investors navigate financial markets in the final months of 2025, and where do we see the sweet spots?In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Christian Gattiker, Julius Baer's Head of Research, and Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia, talk to Bernadette Anderko about the macroeconomic developments since Liberation Day, what they expect from the Fed and the ECB for the rest of the year, and the current global opportunities for investors, particularly, but not only, in the equity and fixed income space.(00:32) - Introduction of topic and speakers (01:12) - Macroeconomic developments since Liberation Day (02:10) - Asia's macroeconomic picture (05:05) - Year-end headline research calls (05:39) - Developed-market equity preferences (06:09) - Breaking away from the ‘US only' mindset (06:42) - Emerging market equity sweet spots (08:26) - Where to find value in fixed income (09:10) - Commodities outlook (11:06) - US dollar set to weaken? (11:46) - Dealing with tariff news (12:45) - Summary and closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Beyond Markets
What is agentic AI and how might it impact your investments?

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 20:45


In this episode of Beyond Markets, we take a closer look at agentic AI, which is no longer just a concept. AI agents are actively reshaping how tasks get done, decisions are made, and content is created. These autonomous systems mark a shift from passive AI models to active agents that can reason, act, and self-improve. We are joined by Manuel Villegas from Julius Baer's Next Generation Research team to answer these questions and much more.  Hosted by Emily Rookwood, Head of Thought Leadership at Julius Baer.