Podcast appearances and mentions of julius baer

How sustainable is the narrow leadership of US equity markets? With aggressive AI-related capex plans raising concerns about long-term returns, investors have been reassessing concentrated positions in US mega cap technology and turning their attention elsewhere. What should be in focus as they look to broaden their portfolios?In this edition of Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Nenad Dinic, one of Julius Baer's equity strategists, to discuss the drivers behind the current equity market rotation. They explore the broadening of market leadership beyond the AI-linked hyperscalers, the implications of massive capital expenditure plans, and the importance of selectivity within software and IT. The conversation also covers renewed investor interest in non-US equities, with a focus on Europe, Switzerland, Japan, and emerging markets, as well as sector preferences for healthcare, financials, and miners. Nenad shares why diversification is more critical than ever as investors position for the next phase of the cycle.(00:00) - Introduction (01:07) - Factors behind the improvement in market breadth (03:35) - How AI is reshaping equity leadership   (05:45) - Is the software selloff overdone?   (08:12) - Diversification beyond US equities: Flows and drivers   (09:20) - Regions benefiting from the broadening (12:04) - Healthcare, financials, and miners   (13:58) - Key takeaways (14:27) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Recent weeks have seen extreme cross‑asset volatility, with sharp unwinds hitting US and China tech stocks, precious metals and cryptocurrencies. In China, renewed concerns about regulatory scrutiny are weighing on sentiment, even as the case for a stronger renminbi continues to build.In this episode of Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd., to discuss what the market dislocations mean for investors, and how these cross-asset dynamics may shape positioning in the weeks ahead.(00:30) - The big precious metals selloff (04:04) - Cryptocurrencies – near and long-term outlook (08:13) - Industrial metals remain supported by rising strategic demand (10:36) - China tech – is it time to buy the dip? (13:55) - Defining “value” in China's rotation (15:32) - Regulatory scrutiny – how worried should investors be? (20:20) - A-shares vs H-shares in the short term? (23:03) - Renminbi strength and outlook

Fri, 13 Feb 2026 04:45:00 +0000 https://jungeanleger.podigee.io/2956-borsepeople-im-podcast-s23-14-philipp-vorndran 649809f434aac6406a8eaddf4667b368 Philipp Vorndran ist Partner bei Flossbach von.Storch und einer der bekanntesten Kapitalmarktstrategen der DACH-Region. Wir starten bei Julius Baer, sprechen über das Management des weltgrössten Derivatefonds, die Tätigkeit als globaler Chefstratege bei Credit Suisse Asset Management sowie als Chief Executive Officer bei Credit Suisse Asset Management Deutschland. Und natürlich jetzt seit Jahren bei Flossbach von Storch. Eher selten in der Börsepeople-Reihe werden aufsehenerregende Trades aus der Investmentvergangenheit meiner Gäste besprochen - anders bei Philipp, da geht es um schöne gewonnene Wetten in Deutschland aber auch in Österreich. Und dann spreche ich mit dem "Lehrer" (das wird aufgelöst) auch noch über Roland Sinkovits, Julia Kistner, Armin Wolf, Madrid und die Österreichische Schule der Nationalökonomie. https://www.flossbachvonstorch.at/ Börsepeople Roland Sinkovits: https://audio-cd.at/page/podcast/8254 About: Die Serie Börsepeople des Podcasters Christian Drastil, der im Q4/24 in Frankfurt als "Finfluencer & Finanznetworker #1 Austria" ausgezeichnet wurde, findet im Rahmen von http://www.audio-cd.at und dem Podcast "Audio-CD.at Indie Podcasts" statt. Es handelt sich dabei um typische Personality- und Werdegang-Gespräche. Die Season 23 umfasst jahreszahlbezogen unter dem Motto „26 Börsepeople“ 26 Talks. Presenter der Season 23 ist die 3Banken Generali Investment Gesellschaft http://www.3bg.at. Welcher der meistgehörte Börsepeople Podcast ist, sieht man unter http://www.audio-cd.at/people. Der Zwischenstand des laufenden Rankings ist tagesaktuell um 12 Uhr aktualisiert. Bewertungen bei Apple (oder auch Spotify) machen mir Freude: http://www.audio-cd.at/spotify , http://www.audio-cd.at/apple . Du möchtest deine Werbung in diesem und vielen anderen Podcasts schalten? Kein Problem!Für deinen Zugang zu zielgerichteter Podcast-Werbung, klicke hier.Audiomarktplatz.de - Geschichten, die bleiben - überall und jederzeit! 2956 full no Christian Drastil Comm. (Agentur für Investor Relations und Podcasts) 2215

The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the likely next chair of the Federal Reserve has prompted immediate market reactions and renewed debate around the future direction of US monetary policy. What should investors expect as the Fed faces new leadership?In this episode of Julius Baer's Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by David Kohl, Chief Economist, to discuss the implications of Kevin Warsh's nomination to lead the Federal Reserve. They examine market reactions, the prospects for rate cuts, the outlook for the US dollar, and the potential impact on asset classes including treasuries, fixed income, and equities. The conversation also covers the Fed's balance sheet strategy, the risk of increased volatility, and what a shift away from ample liquidity could mean for investors. Finally, they address the recent volatility in precious metals and whether the nomination will bring stability to gold and silver markets.(00:00) - Introduction (01:01) - Was Warsh's nomination a surprise? (01:39) - Hawkish or dovish: What does Warsh's stance mean for the Fed? (03:20) - Expected rate trajectory and implications for monetary policy (05:19) - Data dependence and the Fed's decision-making process (06:22) - Do we expect the US dollar to weaken further as a result? (09:59) - Will Warsh's nomination affect the Fed's balance sheet? (12:07) - No further quantitative easing underr Kevin Warsh? (13:33) - What is the potential impact on financial markets? (15:11) - The new outlook for fixed income investors (16:04) - US equities and the case for diversification (17:38) - Precious metals volatility: Will the rollercoaster end? (19:27) - Closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Vous avez eu l'impression de passer la semaine dans une machine à laver en mode essorage, pendant qu'un type tapait dessus avec un marteau dans les escaliers ? Rassurez-vous, vous n'êtes pas seuls. Entre les algos qui font la loi, le Bitcoin qui redécouvre la loi de la pesanteur, et le Dow Jones qui nargue tout le monde en franchissant les 50 000 points pour la première fois de son histoire, cette semaine du 2 au 6 février 2026 a été un véritable défi pour les nerfs (et les portefeuilles). Au programme de ce Swiss Bliss : L'arnaque du sentiment : Pourquoi on a eu tort chaque matin avant la clôture ? IA & CAPEX : On dépense des centaines de milliards, mais quand est-ce que ça rapporte ? Le cas d'école Nvidia. Crypto Crash & Rebond : Le Bitcoin à 60'000$, simple respiration ou fin de l'euphorie ? Focus Suisse

Pablo García, director general de Divacons-Alphavalue, repasa lo más destacado en Europa: Pandora, Intesa San Paolo, Julius Baer, AstraZeneca, EssilorLuxottica y Carrefour.

After a remarkable 2025, gold and silver have surged to new highs in early 2026, driven by a complex mix of geopolitical developments and speculative flows. What is fuelling this rally, can it continue, and how should investors position themselves in these volatile markets?In this episode of Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Julius Baer's Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, and Christopher Irwin, Head of FX and Precious Metals Trading, to dissect the forces behind the explosive moves in gold and silver. The discussion covers the impact of US political dynamics, the role of central bank and ETF flows, the unique characteristics of the silver market, and the macro factors investors should monitor. The episode concludes with practical guidance for managing risk and navigating heightened volatility in precious metals.(00:00) - Introduction (01:26) - Key catalysts behind the gold and silver rally (03:12) - Trading flows, speculative positioning, and physical demand (04:25) - The role of the Shanghai Futures Exchange and silver market dynamics (04:58) - Silver – currency or commodity? (07:00) - Geopolitics and the persistence of the rally (08:43) - Erosion of confidence in US assets and implications for gold and silver (09:06) - Silver's acceleration and trading behaviour (10:35) - Fundamental differences between gold and silver (11:59) - Macro factors to watch: interest rates, inflation, and the US dollar (13:09) - What investors should focus on now – gold (14:10) - What investors should focus on now – silver (15:02) - Key takeaways from trading (16:00) - Closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Beyond Markets has now joined forces with Moving Markets to make one home for Julius Baer's podcasts. Don't forget to subscribe to Moving Markets to keep receiving the latest from the experts at Julius Baer and ensure you never miss an episode. 

China's markets are off to a strong start in 2026, raising renewed comparisons to the 2015 boom‑and‑bust just as global tensions escalate — from dramatic US moves over Greenland to a surge in gold prices and a weakening dollar. With capital rotating out of U.S. assets and liquidity patterns shifting across Asia, does today's rally carry familiar risks, or does it mark the start of a very different cycle? In this episode of Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd., to examine these cross‑currents: the resilience of A‑shares, the wave of Hong Kong tech IPOs, and why rising margin financing today is not a replay of 2015. They also highlight the key themes shaping 2026, including precious metals, AI‑linked industries, and high‑dividend opportunities. This episode was recorded on 21 January 2026.(00:24) - Initial reactions to the Greenland crisis (02:39) - Implications on gold, US dollar, and global assets (07:36) - China's rising margin financing balances, and the paradox of a “slow bull market” (12:55) - Hong Kong IPO glut: liquidity drain or healthy market growth? (17:05) - China's economic cycle vs. valuations (21:16) - Key sector themes for 2026

Geopolitics is once again in the spotlight. With protests intensifying in Iran and the recent US intervention in Venezuela, many investors are questioning whether these developments will meaningfully move oil prices — or whether an already oversupplied market will simply absorb the shocks.In this episode of Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Norbert Ruecker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research at Julius Baer, joins Ayako Lehmann to explore how these events fit into the broader global energy landscape. They also discuss the longer‑term outlook for US shale, the ongoing erosion of oil demand in advanced economies, and what all of this could mean for the crude oil market in 2026.(00:00) - Introduction and framing the geopolitical context (01:00) - Why Venezuela's regime change did not move oil markets (02:35) - The role of heavy oil from Venezuela, Canada, and Mexico (04:16) - Assessing the situation in Iran and its impact on oil supply (06:22) - Contrasting risks: supply disruption in Iran vs. long-term supply potential in Venezuela (07:44) - Other geopolitical hotspots: Ukraine, Taiwan, and global supply chains (09:49) - Can geopolitical risks meaningfully drive oil prices higher? (12:00) - The state of the U.S. shale business and its sensitivity to price (13:55) - Implications for U.S. inflation and Federal Reserve policy (15:35) - The impact of lower oil prices on Russia and the Ukraine conflict (17:23) - Lessons from previous geopolitical tensions and structural shifts in oil markets (20:01) - Closing remarks and key takeaways Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Investors should prepare themselves for 2026 to be a year that rewards those who adapt early to the resets and rebalancing which are shaping the new investment landscape. So, what are the key themes?In this edition of Moving Markets - The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko sits down with Christian Gattiker, Head of Research, and Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia, to discuss Julius Baer's Market Outlook 2026 and why it's important not to let a single country or theme dominate portfolios. Asian equities, artificial intelligence, defensives, and European cyclical stocks all have a role to play. The conversation also covers fixed income positioning, the appeal of Australian dollar bonds, prospects for further US dollar weakness, and whether gold's remarkable run can continue.(00:00) - Introduction to speakers and topic (00:52) - Defining resetting and rebalancing (01:53) - Economic expectations for 2026 (02:46) - The opportunity set is going global (05:51) - Asian AI and tech have room to run (08:03) - Careful portfolio construction required for AI (09:07) - A balanced equity allocation advised for 2026 (09:54) - Fixed income: balancing credit exposure and duration (10:41) - Time to consider Australian dollar bonds (11:52) - Expectations for the US dollar and its alternatives (13:58) - Can the precious metals rally continue? (15:34) - Key messages to take away (16:30) - Closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Excerpt from Beyond Markets Podcast, originally published on 25.09.2025.This episode is part of a special two-week series featuring highlights from Julius Baer's recent Beyond Markets podcasts. Our regular show that starts with daily market news returns on Monday 5th January.When one thinks of safe-haven currencies, the Swiss franc, Japanese yen, and US dollar typically come to mind. But with capital flows diversifying away from the US dollar, interest in alternative safe havens is increasing. The Singapore dollar, one of Asia's most stable and best-performing currencies, stands out as one such potential candidate. In this episode, we explore the unique characteristics of the Singapore dollar, its central role in Singapore's monetary policy, and how investors can position themselves to benefit from the Singapore dollar's strength.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Singapore dollar: Yaw Shin Wong, Equity Specialist and Jen-Ai Chuna, Equity Research Analyst (07:35) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Excerpt from Beyond Markets Podcast, originally published on 08.04.2025.This episode is part of a special two-week series featuring highlights from Julius Baer's recent Beyond Markets podcasts. Our regular show that starts with daily market news returns on Monday 5th January.In this episode of Beyond Markets we take a closer look at water. With water scarcity and extreme weather events on the increase, what do listeners need to know about water-related challenges and opportunities from both a societal and investment perspective? We are joined by Carsten Menke and Maeve Timoney from Julius Baer's Next Generation Research team to answer these questions and much more.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Water sustainability: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, Maeve Timoney, Next Generation Analyst and Emily Rookwood, Head of Thought Leadership (09:25) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Excerpt from Beyond Markets Podcast, originally published on 13.08.2025.This episode is part of a special two-week series featuring highlights from Julius Baer's recent Beyond Markets podcasts. Our regular show that starts with daily market news returns on Monday 5th January.In this episode of Beyond Markets, Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer, speaks with General David H. Petraeus, Partner at KKR and former US Army General, about leadership lessons from his distinguished military career and how they translate to the corporate world. Their conversation explores recent conflicts, including the India–Pakistan skirmish, the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, and the Russia–Ukraine war, highlighting the critical role of deterrence. They also examine the future of US energy policy amid shifting dynamics in the Middle East and global oil markets, consider China's growing influence in the Western Hemisphere and its implications, and explore regions with strong potential for development.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - From Battlefield to Boardroom: Leadership in a changing world: Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia and General David H. Petraeus, Partner at KKR and former US Army General (10:57) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Excerpt from Beyond Markets Podcast, originally published on 24.08.2025.This episode is part of a special two-week series featuring highlights from Julius Baer's recent Beyond Markets podcasts. Our regular show that starts with daily market news returns on Monday 5th January.Investing in private markets has the potential to create long-term value in portfolios. But how can qualified and professional investors navigate the current marketplace? What does the private equity market look like today? Which factors are driving potential opportunities? And where might the risks lie? In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Fiona Kenyon, Head of Private Markets Specialists at Julius Baer talks to Jack Weingart, Chief Financial Officer at the global alternatives firm TPG, to discuss these questions as they evaluate the current landscape and reflect on the potential risks and rewards.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:40) - Private equity: Jack Weingart, Chief Financial Officer at TPG and Fiona Kenyon, Head of Private Markets Specialists (08:43) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Excerpt from Beyond Markets Podcast, originally published on 12.09.2025.This episode is part of a special two-week series featuring highlights from Julius Baer's recent Beyond Markets podcasts. Our regular show that starts with daily market news returns on Monday 5th January.In this episode of Beyond Markets, we take a closer look at agentic AI, which is no longer just a concept. AI agents are actively reshaping how tasks get done, decisions are made, and content is created. These autonomous systems mark a shift from passive AI models to active agents that can reason, act, and self-improve. We are joined by Manuel Villegas from Julius Baer's Next Generation Research team to answer these questions and much more.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Agentic AI: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research and Emily Rookwood, Head of Thought Leadership (09:40) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Excerpt from Beyond Markets Podcast, originally published on 01.10.2025.This episode is part of a special two-week series featuring highlights from Julius Baer's recent Beyond Markets podcasts. Our regular show that starts with daily market news returns on Monday 5th January.Structured products can provide investors with capital protection, enhanced yield, or targeted exposure to specific market scenarios. While they may appear complex to those less familiar with them, this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast aims to demystify these instruments. Helen Freer is joined by two Julius Baer experts, Conrad Bruggisser and Raffaele Perroncello, to explain how structured products work and how they can add value to a portfolio. They also discuss the key risks to consider, why market volatility is relevant and how the products can be tailored to suit different investor profiles.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:37) - Structured products: Conrad Bruggisser, Head of Markets PB Sales & Solutions and Raffaele Perroncello, Head of Cross Asset Sales (07:07) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

In this final episode of the Beyond Markets Podcast, Hannah Wise sits down with Yves Bonzon, Group Chief Investment Officer at Julius Baer, to explore the secular outlook for the decade ahead. They discuss why interest rates have normalized at current levels, whether the AI investment cycle can avoid the fate of the dot-com bust, what China's balance sheet recession means for global investors, and the geopolitical risk that keeps Yves awake at night: waking up with stranded assets.The Beyond Markets podcast channel is wrapping up on a high note at the end of 2025. But do not worry! The conversation continues on our podcast Moving Markets by Julius Baer, where we'll be sharing fresh insights and analysis on current market developments. Subscribe to Moving Markets on Spotify Subscribe to Moving Markets on Apple Podcasts 

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, but it also increased its forecast for 2026 GDP, from 1.9% to 2.1%, hardly a rate that would necessitate a long string of further cuts. Multiple forces are pulling the economy in different directions, so the 10-year treasury yield will likely continue to move in the same wide band it's been in since 2023. Recent local elections have tilted strongly in favour of Democrats, and Trump's approval ratings are low. It is possible next year's mid-term elections go strongly in the Democrats' favour, and the administration has less power than it does now. With economically-sensitive stock market indices like mid and small caps, the Dow Jones Industrials and the S&P 500 equal-weighted index all breaking to new highs, it's difficult to be pessimistic.This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

Chinese equities enter 2026 on a strong footing, with policy tailwinds from the upcoming Five-Year Plan expected to sustain momentum despite recent consolidation. While tech-led rallies have dominated, attention is shifting toward domestic consumption as policymakers prioritise demand-side reforms—a potential turnaround for lagging consumer sectors if stimulus materialises.Meanwhile, ongoing concerns over stretched valuations in US tech and AI names underscore the case made for diversifying into non-US markets, such as China and Japan. Structural drivers, including a weaker U.S. dollar and gradual yuan appreciation, add to the appeal. On commodities, strong fundamentals and AI-driven demand for industrial metals signal further upside, building on this year's broad-based rally in materials.This episode is presented by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer and Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd.

As 2025 draws to a close, investors are reflecting on a year that tested their emotional discipline – from Liberation Day tariffs to geopolitical events that sent markets into turmoil. What separated those who thrived from those who struggled? In this episode of the Beyond Markets Podcast, Helen Freer sits down with Yves Klenk, Head of Client Coverage and Advisory at Julius Baer, to discuss what worked well and what worked less well this year, why resisting the urge to react emotionally was crucial, and what lies ahead for 2026. They explore the ongoing AI story and how to diversify exposure along the value chain, the case for reducing USD concentration, and why currencies like the Australian dollar and structured products deserve a closer look as investors position for the year ahead.(00:11) - Introduction (00:53) - The role of Client Coverage and Advisory (01:37) - What worked well in 2025 (03:28) - What didn't go according to plan (04:42) - Why 2025 was so tough to navigate (06:26) - Can the AI story continue in 2026? (08:56) - Reducing USD exposure without sacrificing yield (11:19) - Three levels of diversification (12:56) - How to deploy fresh capital now (14:49) - Closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Investors are looking ahead to the Federal Reserve decision happening later this week. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to push through another quarter-point interest-rate cut this week. That is despite growing unease among fellow policymakers that inflation remains too high. In Asia-Pacific, the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate decision and a raft of Chinese data are the key events in the week ahead. We heard from Mark Matthews, Head of Asia Research at Julius Baer. He spoke to Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong. Plus - in Japan, a slew of economic data was released. In Tokyo, labor cash earnings were released. Stronger wage gains in October bolstered the case for the Bank of Japan to deliver a 25-basis-point rate hike at its Dec. 18–19 meeting. However, Japan's economy shrank in the three months through September, the government confirmed in a revised report, giving further justification for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's stimulus package announced last month. For more on what the latest Japan data means for the BoJ, we heard from Bloomberg's Brian Fowler. He spoke to Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Japan is undergoing a profound economic transformation under its first female Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, whose growth-focused "Sanaenomics" policy drives investment in critical areas such as infrastructure, tech and energy. After decades of deflation, inflation has reached 2.9%, supported by a robust 5% wage growth, boosting consumption and corporate earnings.In this episode, Ayako Lehmann speaks with Louis Chua, Asia equity research analyst at Julius Baer, about the investment landscape for Japan, against a backdrop of structural corporate reforms, strengthening earnings, and rising shareholder returns, and explores the opportunities and risks to watch ahead.(01:25) - What can we expect from Sanae Takaichi's agenda? (02:25) - Japan's shifting economic landscape (03:40) - Green shoots in Japan corporate reform (05:21) - Growing influence of activist investors (06:50) - Takeaways from Q3 earnings (08:39) - Diverging paths between small and large caps (10:17) - How does the weakening Yen impact Japanese businesses? (11:31) - Risks to watch (13:33) - Rising Japanese bond yields – a cause for concern? (15:07) - Are Japanese bonds finally attractive for international investors?

Just weeks after hawkish Federal Reserve commentary dimmed December rate cut hopes, new dovish comments from New York Fed President John Williams have boosted rate cut odds back to 63%. With policymakers seemingly divided, a tied vote on the December 10 FOMC meeting – unprecedented in its history – remains possible.Markets remain uneasy in the meantime, with concerns on high AI spending and a Bitcoin bear market weighing on sentiment. Technical signals add to the unease with the S&P 500 and tech sector indices showing signs of a “head and shoulders” pattern, a bearish sign. Additionally, a leaked draft of President Trump's Ukraine peace plan indicates the unfreezing of some Russian financial assets confiscated by the west, potentially implicating gold demand.This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

As markets evolve and the traditional 60/40 portfolio faces new challenges, are hedge funds becoming the next core allocation for resilient investing? In this episode of Beyond Markets, William Fong, Head of Alternatives Specialists at Julius Baer for Asia and the Middle East, speaks with Joe Dowling, Senior Managing Director and Global Head of Blackstone's Multi-Asset Investing, about how the endowment model is reshaping portfolio construction.Joe shares insights on why institutions have leaned heavily into alternatives, how multi-strategy hedge funds are delivering uncorrelated returns, and what private investors can learn from the playbook of elite endowments. From risk management to the “democratisation of alternatives”, this episode explores how hedge funds may just be part of the new 60/40 for long-term investors seeking durability and diversification.This episode was recorded on 28 October 2025.(00:10) - – The endowment model (03:24) - – Is it limited to institutional investors? (05:02) - – A typical allocation split (06:28) - – The importance of a long-term approach (07:16) - – Recent criticisms of the endowment model (09:03) - – Hedge funds: a bond substitute? (11:23) - – The rise of multi-strategy funds (13:24) - – How multi-strategy funds have performed throughout volatility (15:13) - – What to look for in a good multi-strategy fund (16:33) - – Absolute return vs index investing (18:33) - – Are multi-strategy funds getting too big? (20:17) - – Are single-manager, single-strategy funds still relevant? (21:32) - – Rebalancing – a critical element (22:44) - – Fund manager expertise, and the art of portfolio construction (27:01) - – Thoughts on private equity and infrastructure (31:33) - – An ivy league education? Or an alternatives portfolio?

Following hawkish commentary from six Federal Reserve presidents and promising indicators of October labour and consumer data, the market no longer expects a December rate cut. Meanwhile, recent technology stock performance suggests the market increasingly distinguishes between sustainable and speculative growth, and leverage. Over in Asia, China's stock market is supported by the country's leadership in electrification, more exports of high-technology products and services, a slowly appreciating Renminbi, and governmental efforts to promote equity investment and corporate governance reforms. This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

Gold has been on a wild ride lately — surging past USD 4,000 an ounce before tumbling in one of its biggest corrections in years. What's really driving this volatility, and how are the narratives around gold evolving?Chris Irwin, Head of FX and Precious Metals Trading Asia, and Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research at Julius Baer, discuss the changing forces behind gold's rally — from questions over the Fed's independence and fears of dollar debasement to the role of central bank buying and China's strategic accumulation. The conversation also touches on the outlook and trends for silver and the broader precious metals market.This episode was recorded on Nov 10, 2025.(00:22) - Narratives driving the gold market (02:25) - Dollar resilience or temporary pause? (03:55) - Mixed signals from the Fed (05:35) - Do geopolitics really matter for gold? (06:49) - Central bank buying and structural trends (09:55) - China's gold strategy (12:55) - ETF flows: Conviction or speculation? (15:25) - Chinese regulatory changes, and impact on precious metals landscape (17:27) - Section 232 and silver (20:45) - Is the mythical $50 level in silver still in play? (21:25) - Outlook and key takeaways

The recent conclusion of China's Fourth Plenum has shed light on the strategic direction of the 15th Five-Year Plan, highlighting key priorities such as boosting domestic consumption, advancing technological self-reliance, and expanding into new export markets. Following the Plenum, Chinese President Xi also met with US President Trump in South Korea, reaching a mutual agreement to pause key trade escalations for a year. What do these developments mean for the future of US-China relations, and can Chinese markets continue its bull run in 2026? This episode is presented by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer and Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd.

87% of the S&P 500 index companies that have reported their Q3 earnings thus far have beaten consensus forecasts - significantly higher than the 10-year average beat rate of 75%. Earnings growth is running at 9.2% year/year, vs. 7.9% that analysts had estimated prior to the start of the reporting season. The NASDAQ 100 index is also on track to post 7 consecutive months of gains. In each of the four times this had happened before, returns in the 12 months that followed were double-digit, averaging 17.5%.  This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

Recent bankruptcies of companies that accessed the private debt market are a reminder that manager selection is of the utmost importance. The real acid test for the private debt market will be the next recession, although there are no signs of one on the horizon. Still, the labour market is changing, and we look for a rate cut at the Fed's next meeting on October 29, followed by another three by March. Alibaba claims to have invented a computing pooling solution that reduces the number of Nvidia GPUs needed to serve its AI models by 82%. An index of Hong Kong residential property infers prices are up 6% this month. This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

As the third-quarter equity earnings season begins, we anticipate broadly supportive results, with a strong focus on the ongoing AI investment cycle and commentary from the hyperscalers. While revenue generation will be a key theme heading into 2026, significant execution risks remain despite the expansive opportunity set. Amid growing policy uncertainties in the United States, investors may find merit in diversifying portions of their equity exposure away from the US toward other markets, such as China, Switzerland, India, and Japan, where policy settings appear more favourable. In fixed income, listed corporate credit continues to look attractive, supported by tightening spreads and limited new supply. This episode is presented by Bhaskar Laxminarayan, Chief Investment Officer Asia and Middle East at Julius Baer.

Golden Week has just wrapped, offering a timely snapshot of China's consumer sentiment. Travel volumes surged, but spending data remained subdued, highlighting the limits of short-term stimulus and reinforcing calls for deeper structural reform.Amidst this backdrop, China's stock market continues to rally, prompting fresh questions: Can momentum broaden beyond tech? Will long-awaited social reforms finally shift the consumption narrative? And what does a weakening US dollar mean for global asset allocation?Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, and Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd., return to unpack the macro forces behind the rally, the outlook for the 15th Five-Year Plan, and why gold and silver are stealing the spotlight in 2025.This episode was recorded on 8 October 2025.

Despite uncertainty around the US government shutdown and signs of economic weakness, equities have rallied, though tech stocks paused as AI enthusiasm met valuation concerns. With non-farm payroll data delayed, investors are turning to private sector indicators for labour market insights. Meanwhile, in Japan, Sanae Takaichi's surprise win as Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leader signals a potential return to expansionary “Sanaenomics”, a policy stance reminiscent of Abenomics, boosting equities and pressuring the yen. Tune in for a deep dive into the macro shifts shaping markets this week.This episode is presented by Magdalene Teo, Head of Fixed Income Research Asia, Julius Baer.

Structured products can provide investors with capital protection, enhanced yield, or targeted exposure to specific market scenarios. While they may appear complex to those less familiar with them, this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast aims to demystify these instruments. Helen Freer is joined by two Julius Baer experts, Conrad Bruggisser and Raffaele Perroncello, to explain how structured products work and how they can add value to a portfolio. They also discuss the key risks to consider, why market volatility is relevant and how the products can be tailored to suit different investor profiles.(00:12) - Introduction (00:48) - A simple explanation of what structured products are (02:16) - How structured products can add value to a portfolio (04:03) - Which structured products might be appropriate in the current environment? (06:11) - What volatility means for structured products (07:28) - How the underlyings are selected (09:05) - How structured products can be tailored to different investor profiles (10:17) - How investments are monitored and managed once they are in a portfolio (11:15) - The common misconceptions about structured products (12:36) - Some of the main risks to be aware of (13:40) - Factors to consider when investing in a structured product for the first time (15:12) - Summary and closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US equity market defied expectations of September seasonal weakness, with the S&P 500 index gaining 4% this month. With the exception of India, many global markets have also seen gains, with US, Hong Kong and Japan up 30% in USD terms since April , Europe up 20%, Korea and Taiwan up 50%. In this episode of The Week in Markets, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, considers if we should ride this momentum in the Chinese equity markets. He examines investor flows and positioning, asset re-allocation trends from domestic retail investors, and recent market pullbacks in the tech and pharmaceutical sectors. He also looks ahead at key fourth quarter events and catalysts to watch – such as the meeting between Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping at the APEC summit, and the Fourth Plenum of the Chinese Communist Party. Richard also highlights Julius Baer's latest views on Singapore equities, which we have recently upgraded to Overweight. Please also check out our recent episode on the Singapore dollar and equities at the following links:Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/singapore-dollar-small-but-mighty/id1552236298?i=1000728312662Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/0Io10QxFwEkbNQzJNDUpbM?si=rwR9CLdoQISPC79v8SKAGQ

When one thinks of safe haven currencies, the Swiss franc, Japanese yen, and US dollar typically come to mind. But with capital flows diversifying away from the US dollar, interest in alternative safe havens is increasing. The Singapore dollar, one of Asia's most stable and best-performing currencies, stands out as one such potential candidate. In this episode, we explore the unique characteristics of the Singapore dollar, its central role in Singapore's monetary policy, and how investors can position themselves to benefit from the Singapore dollar's strength. This episode is presented by Yaw Shin Wong, Equity Specialist and Jen-Ai Chua, Equity Research Analyst at Julius Baer.

The US Federal Reserve resumed its rate cut cycle last week with a widely expected 25bp rate cut. Julius Baer expects four further rate cuts through March 2026, pausing at 3.25%, while the markets are pricing in slightly more aggressive easing. Against a backdrop of rapidly falling short-term rates and rising re-investment risk, 5-7 year bonds emerge as the sweet spot – offering a balance of yield and volatility amid a steepening curve. In credit markets, the tight spreads between corporates and Treasuries aren't just a sign of strong corporate demand, but also reflect weakening Treasury appeal. When benchmarked against swaps, the implied corporate credit spreads appear more normal, supporting continued inflows into investment-grade corporate bonds. In equities, the rally in lower-quality and non-profitable tech stocks suggests that the market has been expecting and pricing in looser monetary policy conditions. However, a reversal may be due, and it may be time for quality stocks to outperform again. Notably, despite strong gains, valuations of the Magnificent 7 stocks remain below prior bubble peaks. This episode is presented by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer.

As we head towards the end of the year, financial markets are caught between fading growth and expectations regarding monetary policy. How should investors navigate financial markets in the final months of 2025, and where do we see the sweet spots?In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Christian Gattiker, Julius Baer's Head of Research, and Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia, talk to Bernadette Anderko about the macroeconomic developments since Liberation Day, what they expect from the Fed and the ECB for the rest of the year, and the current global opportunities for investors, particularly, but not only, in the equity and fixed income space.(00:32) - Introduction of topic and speakers (01:12) - Macroeconomic developments since Liberation Day (02:10) - Asia's macroeconomic picture (05:05) - Year-end headline research calls (05:39) - Developed-market equity preferences (06:09) - Breaking away from the ‘US only' mindset (06:42) - Emerging market equity sweet spots (08:26) - Where to find value in fixed income (09:10) - Commodities outlook (11:06) - US dollar set to weaken? (11:46) - Dealing with tariff news (12:45) - Summary and closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

In this episode of Beyond Markets, we take a closer look at agentic AI, which is no longer just a concept. AI agents are actively reshaping how tasks get done, decisions are made, and content is created. These autonomous systems mark a shift from passive AI models to active agents that can reason, act, and self-improve. We are joined by Manuel Villegas from Julius Baer's Next Generation Research team to answer these questions and much more.  Hosted by Emily Rookwood, Head of Thought Leadership at Julius Baer.

The Nikkei 225 recently reached an all-time high of 43,876, driven by better-than-expected first-quarter earnings, ongoing corporate reforms, and a weaker yen. On September 7, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced his resignation, triggering a leadership race within the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). While political uncertainty may weigh on sentiment in the near term, structural tailwinds continue to support Japan's long-term investment outlook.This episode is presented by Louis Chua, equities research analyst at Julius Baer.

The rapid pace of China's stock market rally in August has sparked concerns of a market bubble forming, with local regulators mulling measures to curb stock speculation. Are these concerns warranted, and is the end of the rally near?The Renminbi, in the meantime, continues to strengthen against the weakening US dollar, and gold has broken out again, making new all-time highs.Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, and Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd., share their perspectives in this month's edition of China Conversations.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell clearly signalled at Jackson Hole that a rate cut at the Fed's September meeting is likely. In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Helen Freer talks to Julius Baer's Head of Fixed Income Research, Dario Messi, about what a resumption of the Fed's rate-cutting cycle would mean for bond markets. They also discuss the current fiscal concerns and the expected impact of tariffs on inflation, both in and outside of the US.(00:32) - Introduction (00:50) - What would the resumption of a rate-cutting cycle by the Fed mean for bond markets? (02:27) - What impact will the fiscal concerns have? (03:37) - What duration is currently appropriate in a bond portfolio? (04:32) - What impact might tariffs have on fixed income markets? (07:05) - Is the Fed's independence really in danger? (08:46) - Should investors consider corporate credit exposure? (09:37) - Would exposure to European corporate bonds also be appropriate? (11:11) - Summary and closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Investing in private markets has the potential to create long-term value in portfolios. But how can qualified and professional investors navigate the current marketplace? What does the private equity market look like today? Which factors are driving potential opportunities? And where might the risks lie?In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Fiona Kenyon, Head of Private Markets Specialists at Julius Baer talks to Jack Weingart, Chief Financial Officer at the global alternatives firm TPG, to discuss these questions as they evaluate the current landscape and reflect on the potential risks and rewards.(00:30) - Introduction (01:22) - Private equity market landscape (02:38) - Focus on sector frameworks (04:07) - The impact of tariffs (05:27) - Likely level of deal activity in H2 2025 (07:46) - Fund liquidity and distributions to limited partners (09:15) - What private equity can bring to a portfolio (11:21) - The risks investors in private equity should be aware of (13:22) - Innovations: Evergreen structures (15:29) - The question of liquidity (16:55) - Summary and conclusion Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

In this episode of Beyond Markets, Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer, speaks with General David H. Petraeus, Partner at KKR and former US Army General, about leadership lessons from his distinguished military career and how they translate to the corporate world. Their conversation explores recent conflicts, including the India–Pakistan skirmish, the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, and the Russia–Ukraine war, highlighting the critical role of deterrence. They also examine the future of US energy policy amid shifting dynamics in the Middle East and global oil markets, consider China's growing influence in the Western Hemisphere and its implications, and explore regions with strong potential for development.(00:52) - Lessons from the General Petraeus' military career (03:24) - Parallels with the corporate world (05:52) - Takeaways from the India-Pakistan and Russia-Ukraine conflicts (11:38) - Energy independence, and the future of US policy in the Middle East (19:47) - The effectiveness of US sanctions (25:30) - China's growing influence in the Western hemisphere (29:01) - Growing interest in the Arctic (30:45) - Singapore and Dubai's success story (34:00) - Countries with great potential and opportunities

Despite a lacklustre Chinese economy, the Hong Kong stock market has remained very popular, with the Hang Seng Index up 24% year-to-date. Concurrently, the Chinese Mainland A-share market has significantly underperformed the Hong Kong H-share market. What are the reasons behind these disparities in the Chinese stock markets? Does the Hong Kong market have further to run, and what are the sectors that are driving the market? This episode is presented by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, and Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd.

The US imposed an unexpected 39% tariff on Switzerland, sparking market concern. Although there are some caveats to the tariff terms, this development will have a material impact on the Swiss economy. However, there are still a few days to the tariff's effective date of August 7th, so a deal is still possible. Meanwhile in the US, last Friday's poor non-farm payroll numbers sent rate cut expectations for September up to 90%, and caused a 2% pullback in the US market. The Chinese market also suffered a week of correction. Despite these macroeconomic challenges, we remain constructive on China. This episode is presented by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong for Julius Baer.

This week's episode covers the S&P 500's new record highs as US fiscal policy proves stimulative, despite ongoing tariff headlines and persistent inflation concerns. We examine the fresh trade deal with Indonesia, rising political uncertainty in Japan, and what August's looming tariff deadline could mean for global trade. Q2 earnings season is underway, with strong results from US banks and tech stocks. We explore what these developments could mean for portfolio positioning amid shifting market dynamics. This episode is presented by Eric Mak from the Equity Research Asia team at Julius Baer.

This week's episode explores how markets are moving beyond tariff fatigue, with attention shifting to the surge in copper prices and renewed interest in European assets. We also touch on the latest US tariff announcements and their implications for trade partners. Meanwhile, diverging views within the Federal Reserve and strong technicals continue to shape sentiment in Asian credit. We discuss what these developments could mean for portfolio positioning.This episode is presented by Magdalene Teo, Head of Fixed Income Research Asia at Julius Baer.

President Trump's 90-day pause on the imposition of tariffs was meant to come to an end on 8 July, but this has now been extended to 1 August. So, what is the latest with regard to the tariff dispute and how does it impact inflation, recession risk and interest rate policy in the US? And what is the impact on both financial markets and other economies?In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, David Kohl, Julius Baer's Chief Economist, talks to Bernadette Anderko about his current thinking and why the impact of tariffs has still not fed through to the key data that the US Federal Reserve is monitoring when it comes to making monetary policy decisions. They discuss the implications of the tariff dispute on financial markets as well as looking at its potential impact on the trajectory of the US dollar. They also examine the impact on other regions and reflect on what this means for investors going forwards.(00:31) - Introduction (00:58) - The impact of trade disputes & tariffs (04:47) - Tariffs' July 9th rollover impact (06:35) - Likelihood of US recession? (08:04) - Impact on US monetary policy (11:44) - Will Trump be satisfied with 3.5% Fed Funds rate? (12:38) - Impact of a ‘shadow' Fed chair (14:18) - Where the US dollar goes from here (18:14) - A look at Europe (21:31) - The China situation (24:53) - Summary Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Recent headlines about price wars and intense competition in the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) market have sparked investor concerns about the industry's future, with many worrying about a race to the bottom. But what's really going on behind the scenes? In this episode, Louis Chua, investment analyst at Julius Baer, examines the key dynamics, opportunities, and challenges in the Chinese EV sector, and what they mean for the market's long-term growth prospects.(01:00) - : The “price war” – a race to the bottom? (00:00) - Chapter 2 (03:45) - : Chinese automakers making waves internationally (00:00) - Chapter 4 (04:45) - : Is the Chinese domestic EV market slowing? (00:00) - Chapter 6 (06:00) - : Innovation in Chinese EVs (00:00) - Chapter 8 (07:53) - : The “zero-mileage used cars” problem (00:00) - Chapter 10 (09:55) - : Supplier payment reforms (00:00) - Chapter 12 (10:30) - : Key risks and catalysts to watch