Podcasts about brasserie zedel

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Best podcasts about brasserie zedel

Latest podcast episodes about brasserie zedel

The Go To Food Podcast
S3 Ep30: Jeremy King OBE - Britains Most Successful Restaurateur on; Go-Karting with Princess Diana, His Secrets To Success & Why His Investors Screwed Him Over!!

The Go To Food Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2025 68:36


Today we're joined by the greatest restaurateur of his generation in Jeremy King OBE, the genius behind the success of such places as; Le Caprice, The Ivy, The Wolseley, J Sheekey, Brasserie Zedel, The Delaunay and much more. For the first time ever he reveals his ind epth career story from working the floor at Joe Allens in the late 70s to becoming the most successful restaurateur in the world to his feud with Richard Caring & his fallout with his Thai investors he reveals it all. Plus we hear delightful memories of his intimate friendship with Lucian Freud, his plans to reopen the iconic Simpsons on the Strand next year, his days gokarting against Princess Diana, how he made The Ivy the coolest restaurant in the world in the 90s, the terrifying day he was chased by his psychotic head chef with a meat cleaver, recalls his rudest ever customers, reveals why you should never giveaway a majority in anything, gasps over the most shocking sexism he's ever witnessed and much much more... Plus he reveals all his secrets to industry success and what it takes to make money in todays market, so sit back, relax and enjoy his genius.  ------ Please leave us a great rating and a comment and share it with your friends - it really helps us grow as a show.  If you're in the industry and are looking for the greatest POS system in the world than look no further as Blinq are tearing up the rulebook—no long-term contracts, no hidden fees, and no per-device charges. Just £49 a month for unlimited devices and 24/7 UK-based support that's always there, in person when you need it. Built for hospitality, by hospitality, blinq is the fastest, easiest POS system on the market—so intuitive, anyone can use it. And while others take weeks to get you up and running, with blinq, you're live in just 2 hours. Join the hospitality revolution today & use the code GOTOBLINQ to get your first month free - https://blinqme.com/

Stuff That Interests Me
The Business of War

Stuff That Interests Me

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2023 6:37


Once upon a time, the business model of war was straightforward. You attacked some neighbouring realm, overpowered it, then plundered and taxed the conquered people. The Vikings were great pioneers of the model, as was Ancient Rome: it worked for as long as the empire kept expanding and Rome kept winning wars. When the expansion stopped, Rome had to replace the plunder with some other form of income. That's when the currency debasement started.Often, but not always, the conquerors built infrastructure - buildings, roads or train lines (in the case of the British) - they stabilised the currency and introduced functioning bureaucracies, leading to the common argument that the conquerors actually improved things, which in many ways they did.The business model didn't always function well, especially if the fight was ideological or, more importantly, if you lost. Europe “came second” in the Crusades and the grand part of the bill fell to the lowly European tax-payer. The various tithes of Henry II, Richard I and John, for example - with the Saladin tithe being the most famous - have gone down in history as some of the most punitive taxes ever imposed. There were even cowardice taxes, “scutage”, for those who didn't want to go to war. On the other hand, the Catholic Church and the papacy, which, broadly speaking, initiated the expeditions, made extremely good by the whole affair: the church experienced an enormous increase in wealth and power, the papacy especially.Something changed with the great wars of the twentieth century. The Nazis may have vigorously pursued the traditional business model of war - to overpower, plunder and then tax. But the Allies emerged victorious and Britain, in particular, did not enjoy the spoils of victory that were enjoyed after the wars of previous centuries. There was little plunder, loot and taxation. Instead, the cost of the war fell on the British citizen. Taxation in 1947 was three times as high as it was in 1938. The cost of living doubled between 1938 and 1951 - put another way, the pound lost 50% of its purchasing power. The US supplied Britain with all sorts of essentials during the war and then after the war provided all sorts of credit. But it would not accept pounds as repayment, instead demanding gold or dollars. It took Britain two generations - 60 years - to settle the debt. Germany, on the other hand, had its debt written off in 1953. The British were not rewarded for their sacrifice.Today, the US's enormous military-industrial complex has had its coffers tremendously enriched by its various wars in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere, and through America's role as world policeman. From defence contractors such as Lockheed Martin and Boeing to oil giants, such as Halliburton, which benefitted from lucrative contracts gained in the aftermath, billions have been made. But who actually foots the bill?Broadly speaking, there hasn't been the “traditional” plunder and taxation of the newly conquered territories in the wars that the US nominally won, and it lost quite a few others. Some of the cost has been covered by the “exorbitant privilege” of the US dollar and the ability the US has to print and loan. But probably the largest portion of the cost of war falls on the US citizen, paid for in taxes. Roughly 12% of total US government spending (21% of federal spending) - so roughly 12% of everything an American pays in tax - will go on what the US disingenuously calls defence (I don't recall any nation actually invading the US). That same citizen will be the one hit to get hit if/when those debt chickens come home to roost.With the enrichment of the military-industrial complex, and the worship of many of those who operate in it, there are many parallels between today's US war business model and that of the Crusades. Some large organisations are enriched and empowered by it, others pay.You might say the current model is unsustainable, which would be true. But that doesn't mean it can't go on for a long time. The Crusades went on for two hundred years.And what about the current war in Ukraine? At first glance, I suggest Russia was hoping for a traditional plunder-and-tax affair with its invasion. But Ukraine has since attracted vast support, the original source of which is the western tax-payer. I guess we have a blend of the two models.Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. This post is public - please like and share.West End gig alert! This May, wearing my comedy hat, I'll be coming back to Crazy Coqs in Brasserie Zedel for another night of “curious comedy songs”. That's this May 7th. Please come if you're in town. They are super nights.AI and the FutureI recorded this 90-minute interview about AI the other day with Andy - super interesting - and it's now available to free subscribers:GoldInterested in protecting your wealth in these extraordinary times? Then be sure to own some gold bullion. My current recommended bullion dealer is The Pure Gold Company, whether you are taking delivery or storing online. Premiums are low, quality of service is high. You can deal with a human being. I have an affiliation deals with them. The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

The Flying Frisby
The Business of War

The Flying Frisby

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2023 6:37


Once upon a time, the business model of war was straightforward. You attacked some neighbouring realm, overpowered it, then plundered and taxed the conquered people. The Vikings were great pioneers of the model, as was Ancient Rome: it worked for as long as the empire kept expanding and Rome kept winning wars. When the expansion stopped, Rome had to replace the plunder with some other form of income. That's when the currency debasement started.Often, but not always, the conquerors built infrastructure - buildings, roads or train lines (in the case of the British) - they stabilised the currency and introduced functioning bureaucracies, leading to the common argument that the conquerors actually improved things, which in many ways they did.The business model didn't always function well, especially if the fight was ideological or, more importantly, if you lost. Europe “came second” in the Crusades and the grand part of the bill fell to the lowly European tax-payer. The various tithes of Henry II, Richard I and John, for example - with the Saladin tithe being the most famous - have gone down in history as some of the most punitive taxes ever imposed. There were even cowardice taxes, “scutage”, for those who didn't want to go to war. On the other hand, the Catholic Church and the papacy, which, broadly speaking, initiated the expeditions, made extremely good by the whole affair: the church experienced an enormous increase in wealth and power, the papacy especially.Something changed with the great wars of the twentieth century. The Nazis may have vigorously pursued the traditional business model of war - to overpower, plunder and then tax. But the Allies emerged victorious and Britain, in particular, did not enjoy the spoils of victory that were enjoyed after the wars of previous centuries. There was little plunder, loot and taxation. Instead, the cost of the war fell on the British citizen. Taxation in 1947 was three times as high as it was in 1938. The cost of living doubled between 1938 and 1951 - put another way, the pound lost 50% of its purchasing power. The US supplied Britain with all sorts of essentials during the war and then after the war provided all sorts of credit. But it would not accept pounds as repayment, instead demanding gold or dollars. It took Britain two generations - 60 years - to settle the debt. Germany, on the other hand, had its debt written off in 1953. The British were not rewarded for their sacrifice.Today, the US's enormous military-industrial complex has had its coffers tremendously enriched by its various wars in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere, and through America's role as world policeman. From defence contractors such as Lockheed Martin and Boeing to oil giants, such as Halliburton, which benefitted from lucrative contracts gained in the aftermath, billions have been made. But who actually foots the bill?Broadly speaking, there hasn't been the “traditional” plunder and taxation of the newly conquered territories in the wars that the US nominally won, and it lost quite a few others. Some of the cost has been covered by the “exorbitant privilege” of the US dollar and the ability the US has to print and loan. But probably the largest portion of the cost of war falls on the US citizen, paid for in taxes. Roughly 12% of total US government spending (21% of federal spending) - so roughly 12% of everything an American pays in tax - will go on what the US disingenuously calls defence (I don't recall any nation actually invading the US). That same citizen will be the one hit to get hit if/when those debt chickens come home to roost.With the enrichment of the military-industrial complex, and the worship of many of those who operate in it, there are many parallels between today's US war business model and that of the Crusades. Some large organisations are enriched and empowered by it, others pay.You might say the current model is unsustainable, which would be true. But that doesn't mean it can't go on for a long time. The Crusades went on for two hundred years.And what about the current war in Ukraine? At first glance, I suggest Russia was hoping for a traditional plunder-and-tax affair with its invasion. But Ukraine has since attracted vast support, the original source of which is the western tax-payer. I guess we have a blend of the two models.Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. This post is public - please like and share.West End gig alert! This May, wearing my comedy hat, I'll be coming back to Crazy Coqs in Brasserie Zedel for another night of “curious comedy songs”. That's this May 7th. Please come if you're in town. They are super nights.AI and the FutureI recorded this 90-minute interview about AI the other day with Andy - super interesting - and it's now available to free subscribers:GoldInterested in protecting your wealth in these extraordinary times? Then be sure to own some gold bullion. My current recommended bullion dealer is The Pure Gold Company, whether you are taking delivery or storing online. Premiums are low, quality of service is high. You can deal with a human being. I have an affiliation deals with them. The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

Stuff That Interests Me
Life skills you learn from stand-up comedy

Stuff That Interests Me

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 8, 2023 10:37


Jonathan Johnson, from recruitment company, Auxato, got in touch and asked me to write a piece for him, explaining how it is I got from being stand-up comic and voice actor to a renowned (his words) longstanding, financial writer for Money Week. I thought readers would like it and he kindly gave me permission to republish it here. The questions are Jonathan's.Stand-up comedy – what life skills did it teach you?Stand-up comedy teaches you lots of things. How to stand on stage in front of a bunch of strangers. How to present yourself. How to entertain people. How to cope with pressure. How to deal with difficult situations and difficult people. How to think on your feet. Communication. Clarity.These are all really useful life skills that you might call upon in any number of other situations. Everyone should go and be a stand-up for a bit. But there is a lot more to being a stand-up than what you see on stage. Behind the scenes, every comic is running a small business. Every day you are trying to get gigs. You're sending out emails, making phone calls, posting on social media, all with the aim of pushing your brand, getting noticed and getting better work. You're running a diary. You're invoicing for the gigs you have done. You're chasing money from slow payers, while trying to extract money from the unsavoury promoters who are trying to wriggle out of paying you at all.You are travelling up and down the country four, five, sometimes seven nights a week to places you have probably only ever heard of, meeting all sorts of different people. As a result comics often know the country as well as anyone - all the while trying to keep costs down so that you can exit the gig at a profit. On top of all of that, but most fundamental of all, you have got to write an act that people find funny. You learn so many skills doing comedy. Even if you are not destined for stardom, which most of us aren't, the discipline still equips you for life. You just need to look at the many people who started out as comedians who have since gone on to achieve huge success in other fields, from Joe Rogan to Volodymyr Zelensky, to know there must be something in it.Yet, if you're a potential employer looking at someone's CV and you see the word comedian, I bet that makes you less likely, rather than more likely, to call them in for an interview.In fact, most comedians who decide they've done it for long enough and now want to try something else, find it near impossible to find employment because of the fact they have comedian on their CV. The only option for most is to set up another business. Please tell your friends on Twitter, Linked and Facebook about this really interesting article.What a random hotchpotch of a career you have. How did it happen?I'm now 53. The longest I've ever lasted in a “proper” job is three months. This was back in 1992, when I was 23. I used to get up every morning, get the tube into Leicester Square and then do 10am to 6.30pm in an office. I hated it. It was not that bad a job either, but I hated being stuck in an office all day with no fresh air and not owning my own time.That's not to say I'm not hard-working. I'm extremely hard-working. You just need to look at my output to see that. I would spend the next 15 years working occasionally as an actor, regularly as a voiceover (for some reason I always got more voiceover work than acting) and then, from 1997, as a comedian. All the while, I was trying to get stuff published - I wrote two novels and a million articles - but never with any success. I think I got one article in the Big Issue.But by 2006, I had made a bit of money, some in property (by accident) and some from voiceovers: I had been, at various points, the voice of such eminent products as First Direct, Nintendo 64 and the National Lottery. My dad had made a bit of money, too. Between us, we were trying to figure out how to turn our bit of money into a lot of money; because we were trying to raise five million quid to bring Kisses on a Postcard into the West End. From what I was reading at the time, commodities and gold, especially, seemed to be the place to invest, particularly with all the growth that was taking place in China. There were all sorts of people talking about it. But how to meet them and talk to them, without having to pay them? A podcast …What gave you the inspiration for the podcast interviews?I always knew I'd be a good presenter, even though I'd never actually done it. I was good at hosting comedy clubs and other such stuff. I approached a mining PR company called Commodity Watch and suggested we start a podcast. They didn't really understand what I was talking about, so I did it anyway and began interviewing all these various people I'd heard on the internet talking so wisely about stuff.My very first interview was with the billionaire, Jim Rogers, who had run the Quantum Fund with George Soros. My next two were with noted silver analyst, David Morgan, and the gold expert, James Turk. I quickly learnt that you could secure interviews with people “above your station” quite easily, if they have something to promote, such as a book. A lot of the time people are happy to help out, even if they don't have something to promote. To my surprise, there were far fewer walled gardens in the worlds of investment and commodities than in comedy and TV. People were much more open.Subscribe to The Flying Frisby.What brought about the job at Moneyweek?One of the people I interviewed was Merryn Somerset Webb who, at the time, was editor at Money Week. “We need people like you to come and write for us,” she said. “Come into the office next week and meet Toby, the MD.”So I did. Here I am, 17 years later and I am still writing the same weekly column, a column that has been popular and, in terms of longevity at least, successful. I've since published three books with a fourth on the way. I've written several documentaries, one of which was a huge internet sensation (even if I was never properly credited) and more besides. I think it's fair to say that partnership with Moneyweek has worked - for them and me. But if I had sent my CV in to Merryn, all she would have seen was stand-up comedian, voiceover artist, occasional actor, Johnny-come-lately podcast host and unpublished novelist. I don't think she would for a second have gone, “I need to get this bloke writing for us.” Pretty much any employer would have looked at my CV and passed it by.I now have this ridiculously random hotchpotch career that I can't begin to explain. I'm a financial writer, comedian, singer-songwriter, comedy music video maker, TV presenter and voiceover artist. A very nice chap who works in internet marketing and likes my output - but despairs at its lack of clarity - with whom I correspond frequently, put this graphic together to try and explain what I do.What can we learn from that episode with Merryn?Two things. One, I don't believe there is any substitute for face-to-face meetings. Meeting someone in the flesh inspires trust in a way that not a million emails can. (That, by the way, is, I think, why I never had stuff published. I just sent it in. I'm not even sure it got read. It's much easier to ignore a letter or an email than someone in person).Often it works in reverse too. You really admire someone online for whatever it is they've written or said, but then you meet them in person and realise this is not the type of person you should be listening too.Second, when you meet someone through the medium of an interview for a podcast, rather than just a meeting, it's like a heightened encounter. You get through so much more in an hour than you otherwise would. Get to know anyone who hosts a regular podcast and you will see they are total mavens. How many people do Joe Rogan, Konstantin Kisin or Steven Bartlett know as a result of their podcasts? How powerful are their networks? They are super connected - and trusted. Any introductions they make will carry weight.As it turns out, stand-up comedy was the ideal training ground for being a financial writer. In comedy, if the audience doesn't understand you, they don't laugh. If they don't laugh, you die. Thus does the comedian quickly learn the vital discipline of clarity. You also learn that you have to entertain people if you want to keep their attention.No such discipline exists in the world of financial journalism. Obfuscation is everywhere. It almost pays to be obfuscatory because then you can say, “Oh I didn't mean that, I meant this.” Some of the broadsheet journalists - guys who regularly win Finance Journalist of the Year or whatever - are as dull as ditch water and about as clear. Half the time, you have no idea what it is they are droning on about. I barely make it past the first paragraph.But do you know what? They probably got the job because their CV was right. Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. Please like and share this post if you enjoyed it. .Other stuff:West Eng gig alert! This May, wearing my comedy hat, I'll be coming back to Crazy Coqs in Brasserie Zedel for another night of “curious comedy songs”. That's this May 7th. Please come if you're in town. They are super nights.AI and the FutureI recorded this 90-minute interview about AI the other day with Andy - super interesting - and it's now available to free subscribers:GoldInterested in protecting your wealth in these extraordinary times? Then be sure to own some gold bullion. My current recommended bullion dealer is The Pure Gold Company, whether you are taking delivery or storing online. Premiums are low, quality of service is high. You can deal with a human being. I have an affiliation deals with them.Here is some more info about Auxato: At Auxato, we don't just rely on your CV to get to know you. A key aspect of our approach to recruitment for our clients and candidates is the importance of building a long term relationship, learning about those skills that don't make it onto a CV. Want to experience a different recruitment way? Get in touch with us today and start your journey. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

The Flying Frisby
Life skills you learn from stand-up comedy

The Flying Frisby

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 8, 2023 10:37


Jonathan Johnson, from recruitment company, Auxato, got in touch and asked me to write a piece for him, explaining how it is I got from being stand-up comic and voice actor to a renowned (his words) longstanding, financial writer for Money Week. I thought readers would like it and he kindly gave me permission to republish it here. The questions are Jonathan's.Stand-up comedy – what life skills did it teach you?Stand-up comedy teaches you lots of things. How to stand on stage in front of a bunch of strangers. How to present yourself. How to entertain people. How to cope with pressure. How to deal with difficult situations and difficult people. How to think on your feet. Communication. Clarity.These are all really useful life skills that you might call upon in any number of other situations. Everyone should go and be a stand-up for a bit. But there is a lot more to being a stand-up than what you see on stage. Behind the scenes, every comic is running a small business. Every day you are trying to get gigs. You're sending out emails, making phone calls, posting on social media, all with the aim of pushing your brand, getting noticed and getting better work. You're running a diary. You're invoicing for the gigs you have done. You're chasing money from slow payers, while trying to extract money from the unsavoury promoters who are trying to wriggle out of paying you at all.You are travelling up and down the country four, five, sometimes seven nights a week to places you have probably only ever heard of, meeting all sorts of different people. As a result comics often know the country as well as anyone - all the while trying to keep costs down so that you can exit the gig at a profit. On top of all of that, but most fundamental of all, you have got to write an act that people find funny. You learn so many skills doing comedy. Even if you are not destined for stardom, which most of us aren't, the discipline still equips you for life. You just need to look at the many people who started out as comedians who have since gone on to achieve huge success in other fields, from Joe Rogan to Volodymyr Zelensky, to know there must be something in it.Yet, if you're a potential employer looking at someone's CV and you see the word comedian, I bet that makes you less likely, rather than more likely, to call them in for an interview.In fact, most comedians who decide they've done it for long enough and now want to try something else, find it near impossible to find employment because of the fact they have comedian on their CV. The only option for most is to set up another business. Please tell your friends on Twitter, Linked and Facebook about this really interesting article.What a random hotchpotch of a career you have. How did it happen?I'm now 53. The longest I've ever lasted in a “proper” job is three months. This was back in 1992, when I was 23. I used to get up every morning, get the tube into Leicester Square and then do 10am to 6.30pm in an office. I hated it. It was not that bad a job either, but I hated being stuck in an office all day with no fresh air and not owning my own time.That's not to say I'm not hard-working. I'm extremely hard-working. You just need to look at my output to see that. I would spend the next 15 years working occasionally as an actor, regularly as a voiceover (for some reason I always got more voiceover work than acting) and then, from 1997, as a comedian. All the while, I was trying to get stuff published - I wrote two novels and a million articles - but never with any success. I think I got one article in the Big Issue.But by 2006, I had made a bit of money, some in property (by accident) and some from voiceovers: I had been, at various points, the voice of such eminent products as First Direct, Nintendo 64 and the National Lottery. My dad had made a bit of money, too. Between us, we were trying to figure out how to turn our bit of money into a lot of money; because we were trying to raise five million quid to bring Kisses on a Postcard into the West End. From what I was reading at the time, commodities and gold, especially, seemed to be the place to invest, particularly with all the growth that was taking place in China. There were all sorts of people talking about it. But how to meet them and talk to them, without having to pay them? A podcast …What gave you the inspiration for the podcast interviews?I always knew I'd be a good presenter, even though I'd never actually done it. I was good at hosting comedy clubs and other such stuff. I approached a mining PR company called Commodity Watch and suggested we start a podcast. They didn't really understand what I was talking about, so I did it anyway and began interviewing all these various people I'd heard on the internet talking so wisely about stuff.My very first interview was with the billionaire, Jim Rogers, who had run the Quantum Fund with George Soros. My next two were with noted silver analyst, David Morgan, and the gold expert, James Turk. I quickly learnt that you could secure interviews with people “above your station” quite easily, if they have something to promote, such as a book. A lot of the time people are happy to help out, even if they don't have something to promote. To my surprise, there were far fewer walled gardens in the worlds of investment and commodities than in comedy and TV. People were much more open.Subscribe to The Flying Frisby.What brought about the job at Moneyweek?One of the people I interviewed was Merryn Somerset Webb who, at the time, was editor at Money Week. “We need people like you to come and write for us,” she said. “Come into the office next week and meet Toby, the MD.”So I did. Here I am, 17 years later and I am still writing the same weekly column, a column that has been popular and, in terms of longevity at least, successful. I've since published three books with a fourth on the way. I've written several documentaries, one of which was a huge internet sensation (even if I was never properly credited) and more besides. I think it's fair to say that partnership with Moneyweek has worked - for them and me. But if I had sent my CV in to Merryn, all she would have seen was stand-up comedian, voiceover artist, occasional actor, Johnny-come-lately podcast host and unpublished novelist. I don't think she would for a second have gone, “I need to get this bloke writing for us.” Pretty much any employer would have looked at my CV and passed it by.I now have this ridiculously random hotchpotch career that I can't begin to explain. I'm a financial writer, comedian, singer-songwriter, comedy music video maker, TV presenter and voiceover artist. A very nice chap who works in internet marketing and likes my output - but despairs at its lack of clarity - with whom I correspond frequently, put this graphic together to try and explain what I do.What can we learn from that episode with Merryn?Two things. One, I don't believe there is any substitute for face-to-face meetings. Meeting someone in the flesh inspires trust in a way that not a million emails can. (That, by the way, is, I think, why I never had stuff published. I just sent it in. I'm not even sure it got read. It's much easier to ignore a letter or an email than someone in person).Often it works in reverse too. You really admire someone online for whatever it is they've written or said, but then you meet them in person and realise this is not the type of person you should be listening too.Second, when you meet someone through the medium of an interview for a podcast, rather than just a meeting, it's like a heightened encounter. You get through so much more in an hour than you otherwise would. Get to know anyone who hosts a regular podcast and you will see they are total mavens. How many people do Joe Rogan, Konstantin Kisin or Steven Bartlett know as a result of their podcasts? How powerful are their networks? They are super connected - and trusted. Any introductions they make will carry weight.As it turns out, stand-up comedy was the ideal training ground for being a financial writer. In comedy, if the audience doesn't understand you, they don't laugh. If they don't laugh, you die. Thus does the comedian quickly learn the vital discipline of clarity. You also learn that you have to entertain people if you want to keep their attention.No such discipline exists in the world of financial journalism. Obfuscation is everywhere. It almost pays to be obfuscatory because then you can say, “Oh I didn't mean that, I meant this.” Some of the broadsheet journalists - guys who regularly win Finance Journalist of the Year or whatever - are as dull as ditch water and about as clear. Half the time, you have no idea what it is they are droning on about. I barely make it past the first paragraph.But do you know what? They probably got the job because their CV was right. Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. Please like and share this post if you enjoyed it. .Other stuff:West Eng gig alert! This May, wearing my comedy hat, I'll be coming back to Crazy Coqs in Brasserie Zedel for another night of “curious comedy songs”. That's this May 7th. Please come if you're in town. They are super nights.AI and the FutureI recorded this 90-minute interview about AI the other day with Andy - super interesting - and it's now available to free subscribers:GoldInterested in protecting your wealth in these extraordinary times? Then be sure to own some gold bullion. My current recommended bullion dealer is The Pure Gold Company, whether you are taking delivery or storing online. Premiums are low, quality of service is high. You can deal with a human being. I have an affiliation deals with them.Here is some more info about Auxato: At Auxato, we don't just rely on your CV to get to know you. A key aspect of our approach to recruitment for our clients and candidates is the importance of building a long term relationship, learning about those skills that don't make it onto a CV. Want to experience a different recruitment way? Get in touch with us today and start your journey. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

Stuff That Interests Me
The lithium bull market is over. Here's why.

Stuff That Interests Me

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2023 7:28


I've seen it happen with so many niche commodities - potash, graphite, antimony, rare earth metals, cobalt, vanadium - and I am pretty sure it is happening again.There is some substance you've barely heard of. Suddenly, it's essential to some new technology which is going to save the earth in some way, but nobody's producing it. Why is nobody producing it, if it's so essential? Because prices are so low.Prices then start going up, because everybody wants it and nobody's producing it. Suddenly, a load of natural resource companies which aren't going anywhere, especially in Canada and Australia, “change their focus” and “pivot” They start exploring for said commodity. Some of them acquire half-explored development projects and re-drill them.Investment capital piles in. Some of the above companies actually make discoveries that start producing. Existing producers up their output.Within a few years, there is a surplus of said commodity, where once there was a shortfall, and the price comes back down again. The bigger the previous rocket launch, the bigger the subsequent crash. Those companies that aren't profitably producing hit the skids. Those that are have to tighten their belts. The bull market has morphed to bear.Nothing fixes high commodity prices like high commodity prices runs the adage. If you can time these cycles well, you can make a great deal of money. But you can also lose a lot of money.The bull market in an essential commodity bursts I think we are seeing one such turn right now in lithium. Perhaps even in the broader battery metal space. Fossil fuels are destroying the planet. Electric vehicles are the answer. But they need lots of lithium? Yes. Who makes lithium? I don't know. But the price is going up. Quick, let's invest in lithium. Let's start a lithium company. Lithium is going to save us. Tesla can't get enough lithium. Tesla's going to buy a lithium company. Lithium, Tesla, EVs, Net Zero, Climate Change, BUBBLE!!!Much as I love niche commodities for these repeating cycles they display, I'm afraid I missed the lithium bubble. I didn't catch the early phases of the bull market when it had a good run in 2016 and 2017.In 2018 and 2019 the lithium companies had a miserable time, and I felt somewhat vindicated. But after the Covid lows of 2020, they exploded - I missed that one too, as I was away with other commodities. I felt I was too late to join the party. I clicked my tongue as the price went up without me. I clicked my tongue even more as the bull market went on for longer than I thought it would . I then watched with a certain amount of confusion as the companies pulled back while the price of lithium carbonate kept on rising. That's not normally a good sign.In any case, now the price of lithium carbonate has stopped rising. In just a couple of months, it's lost over 30% - having risen tenfold. Here's the price action since 2017.And here is the Global X Lithium ETF (NYSE:LIT) - the lithium companies - over the last ten years.Supply up, demand down Lithium is not actually that hard to produce. Many of the problems are regulatory.  But there was a frenzied rush by electric vehicle makers to secure supply over the past two years, which sent lithium prices to the moon. Whoever could get producing first would win the race to secure contracts. The slower movers would suffer. Then late last year China announced it would halt subsidies for the $87 billion industry. Demand for electric vehicles dropped, just as lithium supply started coming on-stream. There is now a lot more supply on its way from China, Chile, Australia and North America and that is only going to send prices one way. Australian supply alone is set to rise by 32% this year.Lithium giant Albemarle (ALB.N) has said the lower car sales are a “temporary weakness”, given the early Lunar New Year in China. I'm not buying it. As my buddy, asset manager Simon Catt of Arlington Capital, alerted me in an email yesterday, the AUD$12.5bn market cap, Aussie producer, Pilbara Lithium (ASX.PLS) announced last week that their latest shipment of 15,000 tonnes of 6% spodumene concentrate was unpriced. “UNPRICED! Hold the phone,” he cried.Chinese battery giant CATL, the largest Chinese battery manufacturer, is selling its batteries at little more than cost to automakers. The discount includes an assumption that prices of lithium carbonate would fall by over 50%.“Lithium - First Leg Lower”Goldman Sachs just put out a report titled, “Lithium - First Leg Lower”, noting much of what I have just said and more. Chinese lithium demand is down 52% versus the three-month moving average, while production is unchanged. Prices “have more room to fall before spot demand recovers, in our view.” Goldman notes the end of subsidies, falling EV sales, falling spot prices, falling demand from EV battery production, and rising EV inventory putting a further dampener on demand and rising supply from China and Chile. It would seem the battery wheel is come full circle, if I may misquote the great man.This is not the end of lithium demand, nor the end of the electric vehicle. Both will play an enormous part in our futures. But my hunch is that this is the end of a two-year bull market that saw lithium carbonate and spodumene up many times over. Supply can now meet demand. The market has solved the problem in the market. Now the market has another problem: falling prices. It will solve that too. And so the commodity cycle turns. West Eng gig alert! This May, wearing my comedy hat, I'll be coming back to Crazy Coqs in Brasserie Zedel for another night of “curious comedy songs”. That's this May 7th. Please come if you're in town. They are super nights.Interested in protecting your wealth in these extraordinary times? Then be sure to own some gold bullion. My current recommended bullion dealer is The Pure Gold Company, whether you are taking delivery or storing online. Premiums are low, quality of service is high. You can deal with a human being. I have an affiliation deals with them.This article first appeared at Moneyweek. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

The Flying Frisby
The lithium bull market is over. Here's why.

The Flying Frisby

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2023 7:28


I've seen it happen with so many niche commodities - potash, graphite, antimony, rare earth metals, cobalt, vanadium - and I am pretty sure it is happening again.There is some substance you've barely heard of. Suddenly, it's essential to some new technology which is going to save the earth in some way, but nobody's producing it. Why is nobody producing it, if it's so essential? Because prices are so low.Prices then start going up, because everybody wants it and nobody's producing it. Suddenly, a load of natural resource companies which aren't going anywhere, especially in Canada and Australia, “change their focus” and “pivot” They start exploring for said commodity. Some of them acquire half-explored development projects and re-drill them.Investment capital piles in. Some of the above companies actually make discoveries that start producing. Existing producers up their output.Within a few years, there is a surplus of said commodity, where once there was a shortfall, and the price comes back down again. The bigger the previous rocket launch, the bigger the subsequent crash. Those companies that aren't profitably producing hit the skids. Those that are have to tighten their belts. The bull market has morphed to bear.Nothing fixes high commodity prices like high commodity prices runs the adage. If you can time these cycles well, you can make a great deal of money. But you can also lose a lot of money.The bull market in an essential commodity bursts I think we are seeing one such turn right now in lithium. Perhaps even in the broader battery metal space. Fossil fuels are destroying the planet. Electric vehicles are the answer. But they need lots of lithium? Yes. Who makes lithium? I don't know. But the price is going up. Quick, let's invest in lithium. Let's start a lithium company. Lithium is going to save us. Tesla can't get enough lithium. Tesla's going to buy a lithium company. Lithium, Tesla, EVs, Net Zero, Climate Change, BUBBLE!!!Much as I love niche commodities for these repeating cycles they display, I'm afraid I missed the lithium bubble. I didn't catch the early phases of the bull market when it had a good run in 2016 and 2017.In 2018 and 2019 the lithium companies had a miserable time, and I felt somewhat vindicated. But after the Covid lows of 2020, they exploded - I missed that one too, as I was away with other commodities. I felt I was too late to join the party. I clicked my tongue as the price went up without me. I clicked my tongue even more as the bull market went on for longer than I thought it would . I then watched with a certain amount of confusion as the companies pulled back while the price of lithium carbonate kept on rising. That's not normally a good sign.In any case, now the price of lithium carbonate has stopped rising. In just a couple of months, it's lost over 30% - having risen tenfold. Here's the price action since 2017.And here is the Global X Lithium ETF (NYSE:LIT) - the lithium companies - over the last ten years.Supply up, demand down Lithium is not actually that hard to produce. Many of the problems are regulatory.  But there was a frenzied rush by electric vehicle makers to secure supply over the past two years, which sent lithium prices to the moon. Whoever could get producing first would win the race to secure contracts. The slower movers would suffer. Then late last year China announced it would halt subsidies for the $87 billion industry. Demand for electric vehicles dropped, just as lithium supply started coming on-stream. There is now a lot more supply on its way from China, Chile, Australia and North America and that is only going to send prices one way. Australian supply alone is set to rise by 32% this year.Lithium giant Albemarle (ALB.N) has said the lower car sales are a “temporary weakness”, given the early Lunar New Year in China. I'm not buying it. As my buddy, asset manager Simon Catt of Arlington Capital, alerted me in an email yesterday, the AUD$12.5bn market cap, Aussie producer, Pilbara Lithium (ASX.PLS) announced last week that their latest shipment of 15,000 tonnes of 6% spodumene concentrate was unpriced. “UNPRICED! Hold the phone,” he cried.Chinese battery giant CATL, the largest Chinese battery manufacturer, is selling its batteries at little more than cost to automakers. The discount includes an assumption that prices of lithium carbonate would fall by over 50%.“Lithium - First Leg Lower”Goldman Sachs just put out a report titled, “Lithium - First Leg Lower”, noting much of what I have just said and more. Chinese lithium demand is down 52% versus the three-month moving average, while production is unchanged. Prices “have more room to fall before spot demand recovers, in our view.” Goldman notes the end of subsidies, falling EV sales, falling spot prices, falling demand from EV battery production, and rising EV inventory putting a further dampener on demand and rising supply from China and Chile. It would seem the battery wheel is come full circle, if I may misquote the great man.This is not the end of lithium demand, nor the end of the electric vehicle. Both will play an enormous part in our futures. But my hunch is that this is the end of a two-year bull market that saw lithium carbonate and spodumene up many times over. Supply can now meet demand. The market has solved the problem in the market. Now the market has another problem: falling prices. It will solve that too. And so the commodity cycle turns. West Eng gig alert! This May, wearing my comedy hat, I'll be coming back to Crazy Coqs in Brasserie Zedel for another night of “curious comedy songs”. That's this May 7th. Please come if you're in town. They are super nights.Interested in protecting your wealth in these extraordinary times? Then be sure to own some gold bullion. My current recommended bullion dealer is The Pure Gold Company, whether you are taking delivery or storing online. Premiums are low, quality of service is high. You can deal with a human being. I have an affiliation deals with them.This article first appeared at Moneyweek. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

Stuff That Interests Me
What happened there could soon happen here

Stuff That Interests Me

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 9:16


Today's missive comes to you from the Galapagos Islands out in the eastern Pacific, where two stories of noble energy initiatives reflect the broader realities of energy policy around the world. We tell these stories with a specific question in mind: how much gas, so to speak, is left in the tank of this energy bull market?The Galapagos population is only around 30,000, but, as a fully functioning society, the same dynamics observed in this small ecosystem occur elsewhere, even if less visibly, so it serves as a useful case study.So we come to the first of our two stories.Not so green transport in GalapagosIn order to limit traffic, protect the environment in this most ecologically delicate of places and protect the taxi industry, the local government made it extremely difficult to get a vehicle licence. All sorts of problematic bureaucratic hurdles had to be jumped, and most people ended up using bikes or public transport.But then in 2016 the powers that be, with a brighter, greener future in mind, decided that anyone could get a licence to own a vehicle, no permit required - as long as it was an electric vehicle. There was just one condition. The buyer had to have a family. Given that most people on the islands have relations, that was a pretty easy condition to meet, even for the single folk. There was a great deal of PR and fanfare about this new initiative: clean, green, sustainable - all that stuff - and a blind eye was turned to the increase in traffic, or of roadkill to the many tame birds on the streets of the island (this is a major problem).At this point it's worth reminding ourselves that there are, around the world, three main areas of energy consumption - transportation, heating and electricity. While cleaner forms of energy, such as nuclear or wind, might be increasing as sources of electricity, 84% of global energy still derives from the burning of fossil fuels, as the graphic below from Our World In data shows.Even electricity, despite its green credentials, still relies on fossil fuels. The burning of the fossil fuel may be out of sight and, therefore, out of mind, but over 60% of global electricity still derives from it, as our second graphic shows. Wind and solar between them account for barely 10%.Sign up to The Flying Frisby.As we are all now discovering to our cost, despite many years of considerable investment, some might say over-investment, in green energy, there have, simultaneously, been many years of underinvestment in fossil fuel exploration and extraction, nuclear power (the use of which in electricity has, on a relative basis, been declining since the 1990s) and public grids. Hence the current energy shortages especially in Europe. The Galapagos Islands followed the international trends in this regard - which is one reason this story makes for such an interesting case study.Here on the Galapagos Islands, the majority of electricity, despite what you may read, is produced by burning diesel. And at this point we deviate to story number two.The Galapagos wind turbines.There were, once upon a time, some wind turbines built by a consortium of overseas energy corporations, looking to advertise their green credentials to the world. Said corporations conducted a one-year study of wind on the island and concluded that next to the airport (where they would also conveniently be seen by everyone arriving at and leaving the islands) was the best place to erect the turbines. The turbines were duly installed, the publicity was had - here is the world's first airport that runs 100% on wind and solar, all that stuff - and the energy companies retired back to their nation states.It turned out that year of the study had been an outlier for winds, and they hadn't built the turbines in anything like the windiest spot. Then the wind turbines stopped working, but nobody on the islands knew how to fix them. Nor was it clear whose responsibility they were. Ever since, the turbines have sat there, stuck - even when the wind is blowing up a storm. Ask a local for the story, and you'll get a wry shake of the head and a smile at the stupidity of it all. Lord knows how much fossil fuel was burnt mining the necessary materials, manufacturing the turbines, transporting them to the islands and erecting them, only for them not to work, but that is, despite the good intention, what has happened. There they remain, motionless, like statues from a fallen empire. But how now to get rid of them?The episode is neither clean, green nor sustainable.Tell the world about this amazing articleSo back to story number one and the attempt to make the islands greener with electric vehicles (EVs). With the easing of regulation in 2016, the locals who had previously wanted a vehicle but couldn't get one (a lot) piled in and bought electric vehicles, much to the benefit of the EV manufacturers.But as diesel is the major source of electricity on the islands, so more diesel than ever was now burnt. Again, neither clean nor green. In fact so much diesel got burnt, and so much electricity was consumed, that the shortcomings of the grid and the lack of investment therein were exposed. Power outages soon followed. Multiple and regular. The power outages got so bad that just three years after the EV fanfare, in 2019 a moratorium on electric vehicles was discreetly declared - no fanfare this time - and the islands went back to their old ways.I can't help thinking that the West is travelling a similar path. As consumers,, encouraged by the green credentials, adopt more electric vehicles, has there been a concomitant investment in power grids to meet the new demand? In many - dare I say most? - countries there hasn't. What proportion of this rising new electricity demand will entail more burning of fossil fuel, coal especially? Will there be power outages as a result?It's stupid to expect us to consume less energy. As civilisations progress, they consume more energy. They also get better at consuming energy. A civilisation that consumes less energy is a civilisation in recession and decline. We should not be advocating the consumption of less energy, but advocating the better and more efficient consumption of energy, and that means we have to invest in the exploration and production of fossil fuels. How else is the developing world to pull out of poverty without the benefits of fossil fuels? The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecast in 2020 in its World Energy Outlook that growth in global oil demand will only end in 10 years and that “global natural gas demand growth might stop around 2040”. Those two landmark years - 2030 and 2040 - are not when we stop using oil and gas, just when the demand for them stops increasing. (And they are probably optimistic forecasts).That means that, to meet demand, not only do we have to maintain oil and gas production at current levels, we have to increase them - or prices will go a lot higher. That means greater investment in coal, oil and gas is required. And that means this bull market is far from over.The whole narrative needs to change, as it is slowly starting to do.There have been at least ten years of underinvestment in coal, oil and gas - partly because of the excesses of the last secular bull market and partly because of the powerful anti-fossil fuel story. That now needs to be corrected.There is also now a strong case for a reversion to traditional auto manufacturers, as opposed to the likes of Tesla. But that's a subject for another day.The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Interested in buying gold? Check out the Pure Gold Company.If you are in or around London on November 24, wearing my comedy hat, I'm doing a gig with the Gilets Jaunes - that's my band - at Crazy Coqs in Piccadilly Circus underneath Brasserie Zedel. It's a fantastic venue for this kind of thing. It's going to be a great night. Please come on down.Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. This post is public so feel free to share it.This article first appeared at Moneyweek. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

The Flying Frisby
What happened there could soon happen here

The Flying Frisby

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 9:16


Today's missive comes to you from the Galapagos Islands out in the eastern Pacific, where two stories of noble energy initiatives reflect the broader realities of energy policy around the world. We tell these stories with a specific question in mind: how much gas, so to speak, is left in the tank of this energy bull market?The Galapagos population is only around 30,000, but, as a fully functioning society, the same dynamics observed in this small ecosystem occur elsewhere, even if less visibly, so it serves as a useful case study.So we come to the first of our two stories.Not so green transport in GalapagosIn order to limit traffic, protect the environment in this most ecologically delicate of places and protect the taxi industry, the local government made it extremely difficult to get a vehicle licence. All sorts of problematic bureaucratic hurdles had to be jumped, and most people ended up using bikes or public transport.But then in 2016 the powers that be, with a brighter, greener future in mind, decided that anyone could get a licence to own a vehicle, no permit required - as long as it was an electric vehicle. There was just one condition. The buyer had to have a family. Given that most people on the islands have relations, that was a pretty easy condition to meet, even for the single folk. There was a great deal of PR and fanfare about this new initiative: clean, green, sustainable - all that stuff - and a blind eye was turned to the increase in traffic, or of roadkill to the many tame birds on the streets of the island (this is a major problem).At this point it's worth reminding ourselves that there are, around the world, three main areas of energy consumption - transportation, heating and electricity. While cleaner forms of energy, such as nuclear or wind, might be increasing as sources of electricity, 84% of global energy still derives from the burning of fossil fuels, as the graphic below from Our World In data shows.Even electricity, despite its green credentials, still relies on fossil fuels. The burning of the fossil fuel may be out of sight and, therefore, out of mind, but over 60% of global electricity still derives from it, as our second graphic shows. Wind and solar between them account for barely 10%.Sign up to The Flying Frisby.As we are all now discovering to our cost, despite many years of considerable investment, some might say over-investment, in green energy, there have, simultaneously, been many years of underinvestment in fossil fuel exploration and extraction, nuclear power (the use of which in electricity has, on a relative basis, been declining since the 1990s) and public grids. Hence the current energy shortages especially in Europe. The Galapagos Islands followed the international trends in this regard - which is one reason this story makes for such an interesting case study.Here on the Galapagos Islands, the majority of electricity, despite what you may read, is produced by burning diesel. And at this point we deviate to story number two.The Galapagos wind turbines.There were, once upon a time, some wind turbines built by a consortium of overseas energy corporations, looking to advertise their green credentials to the world. Said corporations conducted a one-year study of wind on the island and concluded that next to the airport (where they would also conveniently be seen by everyone arriving at and leaving the islands) was the best place to erect the turbines. The turbines were duly installed, the publicity was had - here is the world's first airport that runs 100% on wind and solar, all that stuff - and the energy companies retired back to their nation states.It turned out that year of the study had been an outlier for winds, and they hadn't built the turbines in anything like the windiest spot. Then the wind turbines stopped working, but nobody on the islands knew how to fix them. Nor was it clear whose responsibility they were. Ever since, the turbines have sat there, stuck - even when the wind is blowing up a storm. Ask a local for the story, and you'll get a wry shake of the head and a smile at the stupidity of it all. Lord knows how much fossil fuel was burnt mining the necessary materials, manufacturing the turbines, transporting them to the islands and erecting them, only for them not to work, but that is, despite the good intention, what has happened. There they remain, motionless, like statues from a fallen empire. But how now to get rid of them?The episode is neither clean, green nor sustainable.Tell the world about this amazing articleSo back to story number one and the attempt to make the islands greener with electric vehicles (EVs). With the easing of regulation in 2016, the locals who had previously wanted a vehicle but couldn't get one (a lot) piled in and bought electric vehicles, much to the benefit of the EV manufacturers.But as diesel is the major source of electricity on the islands, so more diesel than ever was now burnt. Again, neither clean nor green. In fact so much diesel got burnt, and so much electricity was consumed, that the shortcomings of the grid and the lack of investment therein were exposed. Power outages soon followed. Multiple and regular. The power outages got so bad that just three years after the EV fanfare, in 2019 a moratorium on electric vehicles was discreetly declared - no fanfare this time - and the islands went back to their old ways.I can't help thinking that the West is travelling a similar path. As consumers,, encouraged by the green credentials, adopt more electric vehicles, has there been a concomitant investment in power grids to meet the new demand? In many - dare I say most? - countries there hasn't. What proportion of this rising new electricity demand will entail more burning of fossil fuel, coal especially? Will there be power outages as a result?It's stupid to expect us to consume less energy. As civilisations progress, they consume more energy. They also get better at consuming energy. A civilisation that consumes less energy is a civilisation in recession and decline. We should not be advocating the consumption of less energy, but advocating the better and more efficient consumption of energy, and that means we have to invest in the exploration and production of fossil fuels. How else is the developing world to pull out of poverty without the benefits of fossil fuels? The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecast in 2020 in its World Energy Outlook that growth in global oil demand will only end in 10 years and that “global natural gas demand growth might stop around 2040”. Those two landmark years - 2030 and 2040 - are not when we stop using oil and gas, just when the demand for them stops increasing. (And they are probably optimistic forecasts).That means that, to meet demand, not only do we have to maintain oil and gas production at current levels, we have to increase them - or prices will go a lot higher. That means greater investment in coal, oil and gas is required. And that means this bull market is far from over.The whole narrative needs to change, as it is slowly starting to do.There have been at least ten years of underinvestment in coal, oil and gas - partly because of the excesses of the last secular bull market and partly because of the powerful anti-fossil fuel story. That now needs to be corrected.There is also now a strong case for a reversion to traditional auto manufacturers, as opposed to the likes of Tesla. But that's a subject for another day.The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Interested in buying gold? Check out the Pure Gold Company.If you are in or around London on November 24, wearing my comedy hat, I'm doing a gig with the Gilets Jaunes - that's my band - at Crazy Coqs in Piccadilly Circus underneath Brasserie Zedel. It's a fantastic venue for this kind of thing. It's going to be a great night. Please come on down.Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. This post is public so feel free to share it.This article first appeared at Moneyweek. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit frisby.substack.com/subscribe

Stuff That Interests Me
The Way We Help People Does Not Help People

Stuff That Interests Me

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2022 7:46


The highest form of charity, argued the 12th-century Jewish philosopher Maimonides, is when the help given enables the receiver to become self- sufficient.But our systems of state charity - aka welfare - have too frequently had the opposite effect: they have actually created dependency. It is time to re-think the way we help people.I suggest something that may be heinous to some, but it's this: welfare would be more effective, more varied, more widespread and affordable if there were no state involvement.People instinctively think that without a welfare state, the poor and needy would not be looked after. At such an unacceptable prospect, people then become fervent in their defence of state welfare systems. You can see the passion people feel about this erupting all over the Twitter and the blogosphere.Before we start, I want you to get your head around one thought - suggesting that the welfare system is not working and that we should do away with it is not the same as suggesting the poor and needy should not be looked after. Not at all - in fact, quite the opposite.The provision of care is a delicate, complicated and unpredictable process. Sometimes money might help the recipient towards self-sufficiency, but sometimes not. Giving money might lead to a temporary lessening of suffering, but often it can lead to greater dependency and less self-reliance. Sometimes something local is required, sometimes something practical, sometimes something psychological or emotional, sometimes something specific to the individual's circumstances - sometimes what's needed is a proverbial kick up the backside. Different circumstances require different forms of care.The dignity of the recipient also needs to be considered. It can be demeaning to receive charity. On occasion anonymity might be required - but on other occasions it might not be.How on earth can anyone hope to design a top-down, one-size-fits-all, system of state welfare that can meet all these varying needs consistently over time?Then there is the matter of the giver. He or she must also be considered.Compassion, care and the giving of charity and care are essential human functions - they are a part of human nature. People need to give as much as they need to receive. You just need to see the pleasure children get from giving as evidence of this. Even perhaps the most ruthless, murderous drug-trafficker that ever drew breath, Pablo Escobar, was a prolific giver. He built houses, churches and schools in his native city of Medellin on a scale unmatched by the Colombian government.In the charitable process, the giver has needs too. Sometimes the giver wants to be anonymous - sometimes they want recognition. Sometimes he or she likes to be involved with the recipient in some way, sometimes not.But, in the process of state care, the giver's needs are not even considered. Taxes are taken and that is it. We are given no real say in how the money we have earned is spent, bar a vote of dubious effect every five years. Often the giver is morally opposed to what his taxes are being spent on!The forced giving that is taxation actually destroys the altruistic satisfaction that people get from giving voluntarily. To help others and to share with them is part of humanity. But, in a world in which government is responsible for the care of the poor and needy, that compassion is removed from life. As a result, the state now has a near monopoly on compassion!if you find this interesting, please share .In fact it is even more bizarrely specific than that: the pro-large-welfare-state left wing has the monopoly on compassion. Anyone who doesn't agree with the concept of a large, generous welfare state is deemed heartless and selfish.While you have to pay the government through tax to provide welfare (or heathcare or education) your ability to provide any of these things for yourself or your family is reduced, because you have less money. After taxes are taken from you, you often you can't then afford to pay for your children's school, your doctor, your hospital, your home, or your charity to others - so you find yourself depending on the state help in some way. And so more and more people, in some way or other, are caught in the ever-growing dependency net.What's more, if the state is providing care to the needy, you are then absolved of the responsibility to do so.Meanwhile, government welfare, as well as being inflexible, is expensive . The large organizations, such as the NHS or the DWP, through which care is administered can be inefficient and wasteful. Worse yet, they are be prone to corruption and rent-seeking (people gaming the system in some way).If you look at food, clothing or technology - essential human needs that, largely, are not supplied by the state - we have, over the last thirty of forty years, seen dramatic falls in price and dramatic improvement in quality. Competition has driven costs lower. Yet welfare has not experienced the same improvements. Why not? Because, thanks to the state's near monopoly, there is no competition.The idea of competition in welfare is offensive to many. But we need it if we are to improve quality and lower costs.The greatest expense in our lives is not, as many believe, your house or your children's education, it is in fact government. But imagine a world with minimal state. Suddenly that expense is removed. Without the cost of the state, we have more capital to spend and invest. People are empowered. Our ability to help others is increased.In a world with no state, what's more, suddenly our responsibility to help others is also increased. If the state is not helping people, you must. Simultaneously, thanks to competition, the help we want to offer is cheaper and better in quality - organizations are competing with each other to offer better help at a lower price.The result will be more affordable welfare, more widespread and diverse welfare, more flexible welfare that can provide for specific needs, more effective welfare, more onus to provide welfare - ultimately, better welfare.Without a welfare state the poor and needy won't be looked after, you say? I suggest they will be - to a much higher standard than they are today.The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.If you are in or around London on November 24, wearing my comedy hat, I'm doing a gig with the Gilets Jaunes - that's my band - at Crazy Coqs in Piccadilly Circus underneath Brasserie Zedel. It's a fantastic venue for this kind of thing. It's going to be a great night. Please come on down.Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. This post is public so feel free to share it. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

The Flying Frisby
The Way We Help People Does Not Help People

The Flying Frisby

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2022 7:46


The highest form of charity, argued the 12th-century Jewish philosopher Maimonides, is when the help given enables the receiver to become self- sufficient.But our systems of state charity - aka welfare - have too frequently had the opposite effect: they have actually created dependency. It is time to re-think the way we help people.I suggest something that may be heinous to some, but it's this: welfare would be more effective, more varied, more widespread and affordable if there were no state involvement.People instinctively think that without a welfare state, the poor and needy would not be looked after. At such an unacceptable prospect, people then become fervent in their defence of state welfare systems. You can see the passion people feel about this erupting all over the Twitter and the blogosphere.Before we start, I want you to get your head around one thought - suggesting that the welfare system is not working and that we should do away with it is not the same as suggesting the poor and needy should not be looked after. Not at all - in fact, quite the opposite.The provision of care is a delicate, complicated and unpredictable process. Sometimes money might help the recipient towards self-sufficiency, but sometimes not. Giving money might lead to a temporary lessening of suffering, but often it can lead to greater dependency and less self-reliance. Sometimes something local is required, sometimes something practical, sometimes something psychological or emotional, sometimes something specific to the individual's circumstances - sometimes what's needed is a proverbial kick up the backside. Different circumstances require different forms of care.The dignity of the recipient also needs to be considered. It can be demeaning to receive charity. On occasion anonymity might be required - but on other occasions it might not be.How on earth can anyone hope to design a top-down, one-size-fits-all, system of state welfare that can meet all these varying needs consistently over time?Then there is the matter of the giver. He or she must also be considered.Compassion, care and the giving of charity and care are essential human functions - they are a part of human nature. People need to give as much as they need to receive. You just need to see the pleasure children get from giving as evidence of this. Even perhaps the most ruthless, murderous drug-trafficker that ever drew breath, Pablo Escobar, was a prolific giver. He built houses, churches and schools in his native city of Medellin on a scale unmatched by the Colombian government.In the charitable process, the giver has needs too. Sometimes the giver wants to be anonymous - sometimes they want recognition. Sometimes he or she likes to be involved with the recipient in some way, sometimes not.But, in the process of state care, the giver's needs are not even considered. Taxes are taken and that is it. We are given no real say in how the money we have earned is spent, bar a vote of dubious effect every five years. Often the giver is morally opposed to what his taxes are being spent on!The forced giving that is taxation actually destroys the altruistic satisfaction that people get from giving voluntarily. To help others and to share with them is part of humanity. But, in a world in which government is responsible for the care of the poor and needy, that compassion is removed from life. As a result, the state now has a near monopoly on compassion!if you find this interesting, please share .In fact it is even more bizarrely specific than that: the pro-large-welfare-state left wing has the monopoly on compassion. Anyone who doesn't agree with the concept of a large, generous welfare state is deemed heartless and selfish.While you have to pay the government through tax to provide welfare (or heathcare or education) your ability to provide any of these things for yourself or your family is reduced, because you have less money. After taxes are taken from you, you often you can't then afford to pay for your children's school, your doctor, your hospital, your home, or your charity to others - so you find yourself depending on the state help in some way. And so more and more people, in some way or other, are caught in the ever-growing dependency net.What's more, if the state is providing care to the needy, you are then absolved of the responsibility to do so.Meanwhile, government welfare, as well as being inflexible, is expensive . The large organizations, such as the NHS or the DWP, through which care is administered can be inefficient and wasteful. Worse yet, they are be prone to corruption and rent-seeking (people gaming the system in some way).If you look at food, clothing or technology - essential human needs that, largely, are not supplied by the state - we have, over the last thirty of forty years, seen dramatic falls in price and dramatic improvement in quality. Competition has driven costs lower. Yet welfare has not experienced the same improvements. Why not? Because, thanks to the state's near monopoly, there is no competition.The idea of competition in welfare is offensive to many. But we need it if we are to improve quality and lower costs.The greatest expense in our lives is not, as many believe, your house or your children's education, it is in fact government. But imagine a world with minimal state. Suddenly that expense is removed. Without the cost of the state, we have more capital to spend and invest. People are empowered. Our ability to help others is increased.In a world with no state, what's more, suddenly our responsibility to help others is also increased. If the state is not helping people, you must. Simultaneously, thanks to competition, the help we want to offer is cheaper and better in quality - organizations are competing with each other to offer better help at a lower price.The result will be more affordable welfare, more widespread and diverse welfare, more flexible welfare that can provide for specific needs, more effective welfare, more onus to provide welfare - ultimately, better welfare.Without a welfare state the poor and needy won't be looked after, you say? I suggest they will be - to a much higher standard than they are today.The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.If you are in or around London on November 24, wearing my comedy hat, I'm doing a gig with the Gilets Jaunes - that's my band - at Crazy Coqs in Piccadilly Circus underneath Brasserie Zedel. It's a fantastic venue for this kind of thing. It's going to be a great night. Please come on down.Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. This post is public so feel free to share it. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit frisby.substack.com/subscribe

Stuff That Interests Me
How the nature of money has changed - and what it means for you

Stuff That Interests Me

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2022 9:06


Money evolves constantly. Every day there is some tiny new fintech development, but it's only when you take a step back and look at the ten-, twenty- or thirty-year  picture that you realise just how much things have changed. What is money today is a far cry from what was money when I was a child. Digital technology barely existed back then. We used cash and these things called cheques. You've probably heard of them.It's not just what we use as money that evolves. How money is created - that changes too. And just this decade there has been a major evolution. That's what I am going to talk about today.Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. This post is public so feel free to share it.The creation of money and debtOnce upon a time you would create money by mining gold and silver. But debt-based money systems have also existed since the dawn of civilization, when clay tokens representing valuable items such as barley or sheep would be baked inside clay balls. When the debt was settled the clay balls would be smashed open.Humans, being the ingenious folk they are, especially when it comes to money, soon found that it was quicker to simply inscribe the clay with pictures of said items and so did the first systems of writing develop - hieroglyphics. Coins came along, and then the printing press, both remarkably long-lived technologies, but behind it all there was always metal.Western Europe abandoned gold in 1914 so it could print the money to pay for the First World War, and the United States did the same in 1971 amidst spiralling welfare costs and the conflict in Vietnam. Both years were landmarks in the evolution of money creation.This became the fiat era, when money became debt. Some physical cash was printed or minted, but money for the most part was created when loans were made. You borrow a thousand pounds to buy a house, the bank created that thousand pounds using the house as collateral and suddenly there was a thousand pounds in the housing market that wasn't previously there. That's why houses kept on rising in value - the constant introduction of newly created money through mortgages. Introduce debt into a market and prices rise. If houses were cash based, they'd be a lot cheaper. Something similar happened in the bond markets and the financial markets with the use of leverage. Leverage is just a fancy term for debt.There were occasional moments of credit tightening, but the broader trend, especially as economists and governments became obsessed with what they call growth, was for ever expanding credit.Human beings, being the greedy folk they are, especially when it comes to money, took the whole thing too far, 2008 came along and the bubble went pop.Then a whole way new to create money was invented: Quantitative Easing. Central Banks now started creating money, and they bailed out the financial system with it. Then they started using the money to buy government bonds - so they effectively printed money to pay for government spending. They also bought other financial assets. And so lots of newly created money went into the financial system and from there to the expensive houses in which many of those who work in finance live, and we got another decade or more of rising prices.But because all this newly created money went into financial assets and housing, it didn't show up on the inflation numbers. Central bank inflation measures don't include houses or financial assets. So they said there was no inflation. Then Covid came along. Central banks could now print money and it doesn't create inflation, they thought. They forgot about the sleight of hand that was their inflation measures. So they printed more money and the government handed it out to people. That money made its way into the real economy and now we have inflation. And they are all scratching their heads and blaming Vladimir Putin.But the nature of money creation has changed. Now money is not just debt. Governments are creating it to fund their activities. And when central bank digital currencies come along, they are going to do that even more. As a result governments, are going to play far greater role in where capital gets allocated. We turn to the wise old owl that is financial historian Russell Napier. “By issuing state guarantees on bank credit during the Covid crisis, governments have effectively taken over the levers to control the creation of money”. They said it was temporary, but, to quote the great Milton Friedman, “nothing is so permanent as a temporary government programme”.We now have the War in Ukraine and with it spiralling energy costs - another emergency. How to deal with it? Keep with the programme. Lend money and guarantee loans. Russell Napier again: “By telling banks how and where to grant guaranteed loans, governments can direct investment where they want it to, be it energy, projects aimed at reducing inequality, or general investments to combat climate change. By guiding the growth of credit and therefore the growth of money, they can control the nominal growth of the economy.”It's a huge win for the unelected technocrat. Nobody designed this, nobody planned it, they have just discovered they can do it. And who was at the heart of it all in the UK? Our new Prime Minister. Perhaps, among other things, it means that the age of the all-powerful central bank is coming to an end.“This is a shift of power that cannot be underestimated,” says Napier. “Our whole economic system of the past 40 years was built on the assumption that the growth of credit and therefore broad money in the economy was controlled through the level of interest rates – and that central banks controlled interest rates. But now, when governments take control of private credit creation through the banking system by guaranteeing loans, central banks are pushed out of their role. We are moving from a mechanism where bank credit is controlled by interest rates to a quantitative mechanism that is politicised. This is the politicisation of credit.”Inflation is often accompanied by high unemployment. It was in the 1970s. But we are in an era of low unemployment. Many are struggling to get the staff (at the price they are prepared to pay) - this isn't a Brexit thing. It's happening across Europe and the US.Many government spending programmes will be popular. They'll create a lot more employment. We'll probably get a load more “growth”, which means higher levels of inflation will be more acceptable (and long-lasting).Government is about to get a whole lot more involved in the economy - and in our lives. It ain't getting smaller.How to navigate it all?We turn to our man Russell once more. “First of all: avoid government bonds. Investors in government debt are the ones who will be robbed slowly. Within equities, there are sectors that will do very well. The great problems we have – energy, climate change, defence, inequality, our dependence on production from China – will all be solved by massive investment. This capex boom could last for a long time. Companies that are geared to this renaissance of capital spending will do well. Gold will do well once people realise that inflation won't come down to pre-2020 levels but will settle between 4 and 6%.”Gold is in a downtrend. But we like it. It's even more permanent than a temporary government programme. But the nature of money creation has evolved once more.The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Interested in buying gold? Check out the Pure Gold Company.If you are in or around London on November 24, wearing my comedy hat, I'm doing a gig with the Gilets Jaunes - that's my band - at Crazy Coqs in Piccadilly Circus underneath Brasserie Zedel. It's a fantastic venue for this kind of thing. It's going to be a great night. Please come on down.This article first appeared at Moneyweek. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

The Flying Frisby
How the nature of money has changed - and what it means for you

The Flying Frisby

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2022 9:06


Money evolves constantly. Every day there is some tiny new fintech development, but it's only when you take a step back and look at the ten-, twenty- or thirty-year  picture that you realise just how much things have changed. What is money today is a far cry from what was money when I was a child. Digital technology barely existed back then. We used cash and these things called cheques. You've probably heard of them.It's not just what we use as money that evolves. How money is created - that changes too. And just this decade there has been a major evolution. That's what I am going to talk about today.Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. This post is public so feel free to share it.The creation of money and debtOnce upon a time you would create money by mining gold and silver. But debt-based money systems have also existed since the dawn of civilization, when clay tokens representing valuable items such as barley or sheep would be baked inside clay balls. When the debt was settled the clay balls would be smashed open.Humans, being the ingenious folk they are, especially when it comes to money, soon found that it was quicker to simply inscribe the clay with pictures of said items and so did the first systems of writing develop - hieroglyphics. Coins came along, and then the printing press, both remarkably long-lived technologies, but behind it all there was always metal.Western Europe abandoned gold in 1914 so it could print the money to pay for the First World War, and the United States did the same in 1971 amidst spiralling welfare costs and the conflict in Vietnam. Both years were landmarks in the evolution of money creation.This became the fiat era, when money became debt. Some physical cash was printed or minted, but money for the most part was created when loans were made. You borrow a thousand pounds to buy a house, the bank created that thousand pounds using the house as collateral and suddenly there was a thousand pounds in the housing market that wasn't previously there. That's why houses kept on rising in value - the constant introduction of newly created money through mortgages. Introduce debt into a market and prices rise. If houses were cash based, they'd be a lot cheaper. Something similar happened in the bond markets and the financial markets with the use of leverage. Leverage is just a fancy term for debt.There were occasional moments of credit tightening, but the broader trend, especially as economists and governments became obsessed with what they call growth, was for ever expanding credit.Human beings, being the greedy folk they are, especially when it comes to money, took the whole thing too far, 2008 came along and the bubble went pop.Then a whole way new to create money was invented: Quantitative Easing. Central Banks now started creating money, and they bailed out the financial system with it. Then they started using the money to buy government bonds - so they effectively printed money to pay for government spending. They also bought other financial assets. And so lots of newly created money went into the financial system and from there to the expensive houses in which many of those who work in finance live, and we got another decade or more of rising prices.But because all this newly created money went into financial assets and housing, it didn't show up on the inflation numbers. Central bank inflation measures don't include houses or financial assets. So they said there was no inflation. Then Covid came along. Central banks could now print money and it doesn't create inflation, they thought. They forgot about the sleight of hand that was their inflation measures. So they printed more money and the government handed it out to people. That money made its way into the real economy and now we have inflation. And they are all scratching their heads and blaming Vladimir Putin.But the nature of money creation has changed. Now money is not just debt. Governments are creating it to fund their activities. And when central bank digital currencies come along, they are going to do that even more. As a result governments, are going to play far greater role in where capital gets allocated. We turn to the wise old owl that is financial historian Russell Napier. “By issuing state guarantees on bank credit during the Covid crisis, governments have effectively taken over the levers to control the creation of money”. They said it was temporary, but, to quote the great Milton Friedman, “nothing is so permanent as a temporary government programme”.We now have the War in Ukraine and with it spiralling energy costs - another emergency. How to deal with it? Keep with the programme. Lend money and guarantee loans. Russell Napier again: “By telling banks how and where to grant guaranteed loans, governments can direct investment where they want it to, be it energy, projects aimed at reducing inequality, or general investments to combat climate change. By guiding the growth of credit and therefore the growth of money, they can control the nominal growth of the economy.”It's a huge win for the unelected technocrat. Nobody designed this, nobody planned it, they have just discovered they can do it. And who was at the heart of it all in the UK? Our new Prime Minister. Perhaps, among other things, it means that the age of the all-powerful central bank is coming to an end.“This is a shift of power that cannot be underestimated,” says Napier. “Our whole economic system of the past 40 years was built on the assumption that the growth of credit and therefore broad money in the economy was controlled through the level of interest rates – and that central banks controlled interest rates. But now, when governments take control of private credit creation through the banking system by guaranteeing loans, central banks are pushed out of their role. We are moving from a mechanism where bank credit is controlled by interest rates to a quantitative mechanism that is politicised. This is the politicisation of credit.”Inflation is often accompanied by high unemployment. It was in the 1970s. But we are in an era of low unemployment. Many are struggling to get the staff (at the price they are prepared to pay) - this isn't a Brexit thing. It's happening across Europe and the US.Many government spending programmes will be popular. They'll create a lot more employment. We'll probably get a load more “growth”, which means higher levels of inflation will be more acceptable (and long-lasting).Government is about to get a whole lot more involved in the economy - and in our lives. It ain't getting smaller.How to navigate it all?We turn to our man Russell once more. “First of all: avoid government bonds. Investors in government debt are the ones who will be robbed slowly. Within equities, there are sectors that will do very well. The great problems we have – energy, climate change, defence, inequality, our dependence on production from China – will all be solved by massive investment. This capex boom could last for a long time. Companies that are geared to this renaissance of capital spending will do well. Gold will do well once people realise that inflation won't come down to pre-2020 levels but will settle between 4 and 6%.”Gold is in a downtrend. But we like it. It's even more permanent than a temporary government programme. But the nature of money creation has evolved once more.The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Interested in buying gold? Check out the Pure Gold Company.If you are in or around London on November 24, wearing my comedy hat, I'm doing a gig with the Gilets Jaunes - that's my band - at Crazy Coqs in Piccadilly Circus underneath Brasserie Zedel. It's a fantastic venue for this kind of thing. It's going to be a great night. Please come on down.This article first appeared at Moneyweek. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit frisby.substack.com/subscribe

Stuff That Interests Me
Notes from New Orleans

Stuff That Interests Me

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2022 6:00


Back in the 90s, when we were in our 20s, all my university buddies and I wanted to do was travel. We wanted to go everywhere and see the world. The problem was how to pay for it.My solution was to work all year, save up, then, having spent Christmas with my folks, get a flight somewhere on Boxing Day or the day after (flights were always cheap then) and come back at the end of January. The business I was in at the time – voiceovers – never really got going until mid January, so I would end up with almost six weeks of backpacking and only miss a couple of weeks of work, if that.My best buddy, who is now a big cheese at Channel 4 so I won't mention his name, went several stages further. He got a job compiling guide books for many years. As a result, he has been to more places than anyone I've ever met – across Asia, Africa, Europe, the Americas, you name it. And, of all of them, he says he reckons New Orleans was the best.So, imagine my delight when I got an invitation to come and speak at the New Orleans Investment Conference this year. Do I want to come? You betcha!The conference took place last week and I thought it might be of some use or interest to you if I shared some of my observations.Will the Fed keep raising interest rates?First up, I had a great time. The conference, organised by Brian Lundin of the Gold Newsletter and his supremely competent team, lasted four days. There were workshops and events galore, plus a host of great speakers – from celebrated resource investors such as Rick Rule, Brent Cook and Sean Broderick to macro strategists such as Danielle DiMartino Booth, Peter Boockvar, James Grant and Jim Iuorio to the unorthodox with the likes of Jim Rickards, George Gammon, Dave Collum and Robert Prechter. Over 600 people came and there were 100 exhibitors. I would say the bulk of the attendees were American, over 50 and male. There were a lot of gold bugs in the room. I felt well at home. Plus there was plenty of fun to be had in this most musical of cities by night – and great food too.I would say the overriding theme of the conference – the subject that would not go away – was the Federal Reserve Bank. How long does it continue to raise rates for? When does it pivot? At what point do debt levels become unsustainable? The US has interest to pay on $31trn of debt – that surely caps how much further it can raise interest rates? But then it has made it clear that fighting inflation is its number one priority. Round and round the subject went. Some argued that it pivots, others that it keeps on raising.There was also plenty of talk about falling real estate prices; commodities – especially base and battery metals, not to mention energy; the strong dollar and the Ukraine war. I found myself on a panel with George Gammon and Jim Rickards about the threat of imminent nuclear war that got very tin-foil hat. When I suggested that, to everyone's surprise, Russia was losing the war in Ukraine, Rickards declared that I had fallen for the propaganda and had become a mouthpiece for the globalist agenda and the New World Order. Each to their own, I guess.Opportunities for investors in the UKAnother theme that cropped up a couple of times was investing in the UK and the opportunities there – or here, I should say. The yields on real estate investment trusts (Reits) are incredible, said Peter Boockvar, and, unlike New York where a lot of commercial property is sitting vacant, while many continue to work from home, in the UK it's mostly being used again. Perhaps most importantly, UK property is looking very cheap to our transatlantic friends thanks to the strong dollar. I warned about the potential for rising rates here in the UK and the damage it could potentially do to real estate, whether commercial or residential, but Boockvar still felt the UK is looking like an attractive proposition at the moment. We have a tendency to denigrate ourselves here in the UK, which is why it's so good to go abroad and meet people who see the UK in a much more favourable light.A lot of North American money is going to make its way to Europe and the UK, not to mention Japan, in the not too distant future, I would venture.I focused my talk on subjects that I have been covering quite extensively on these pages in recent weeks – energy; gold and its relevance (or lack thereof) in today's world and China's monumental gold holdings; and the strong dollar superseding all.There were plenty of mining companies there too exhibiting their wares. I think my favourite was probably a silver mining company by the name of Sierra Madre Gold and Silver (TSX-V.SM), which has a dynamic young management, good broker backing, some promising exploration properties and has just acquired a silver mine from First Majestic Silver (Toronto: FR, NYSE: AG) that it is now putting back into production. Pending the closing of this transaction, the stock is currently halted, which is what all silver companies should be – it removes the temptation to buy them!The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.If you're in London on November 24, wearing my comedy hat, I'll be doing a gig with the Gilets Jaunes at Crazy Coqs (underneath Brasserie Zedel), which is one of the best venues in the West End for musical comedy. It's going to be a great night. Please come on down.This article first appeared at Moneyweek. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

The Flying Frisby
Notes from New Orleans

The Flying Frisby

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2022 6:00


Back in the 90s, when we were in our 20s, all my university buddies and I wanted to do was travel. We wanted to go everywhere and see the world. The problem was how to pay for it.My solution was to work all year, save up, then, having spent Christmas with my folks, get a flight somewhere on Boxing Day or the day after (flights were always cheap then) and come back at the end of January. The business I was in at the time – voiceovers – never really got going until mid January, so I would end up with almost six weeks of backpacking and only miss a couple of weeks of work, if that.My best buddy, who is now a big cheese at Channel 4 so I won't mention his name, went several stages further. He got a job compiling guide books for many years. As a result, he has been to more places than anyone I've ever met – across Asia, Africa, Europe, the Americas, you name it. And, of all of them, he says he reckons New Orleans was the best.So, imagine my delight when I got an invitation to come and speak at the New Orleans Investment Conference this year. Do I want to come? You betcha!The conference took place last week and I thought it might be of some use or interest to you if I shared some of my observations.Will the Fed keep raising interest rates?First up, I had a great time. The conference, organised by Brian Lundin of the Gold Newsletter and his supremely competent team, lasted four days. There were workshops and events galore, plus a host of great speakers – from celebrated resource investors such as Rick Rule, Brent Cook and Sean Broderick to macro strategists such as Danielle DiMartino Booth, Peter Boockvar, James Grant and Jim Iuorio to the unorthodox with the likes of Jim Rickards, George Gammon, Dave Collum and Robert Prechter. Over 600 people came and there were 100 exhibitors. I would say the bulk of the attendees were American, over 50 and male. There were a lot of gold bugs in the room. I felt well at home. Plus there was plenty of fun to be had in this most musical of cities by night – and great food too.I would say the overriding theme of the conference – the subject that would not go away – was the Federal Reserve Bank. How long does it continue to raise rates for? When does it pivot? At what point do debt levels become unsustainable? The US has interest to pay on $31trn of debt – that surely caps how much further it can raise interest rates? But then it has made it clear that fighting inflation is its number one priority. Round and round the subject went. Some argued that it pivots, others that it keeps on raising.There was also plenty of talk about falling real estate prices; commodities – especially base and battery metals, not to mention energy; the strong dollar and the Ukraine war. I found myself on a panel with George Gammon and Jim Rickards about the threat of imminent nuclear war that got very tin-foil hat. When I suggested that, to everyone's surprise, Russia was losing the war in Ukraine, Rickards declared that I had fallen for the propaganda and had become a mouthpiece for the globalist agenda and the New World Order. Each to their own, I guess.Opportunities for investors in the UKAnother theme that cropped up a couple of times was investing in the UK and the opportunities there – or here, I should say. The yields on real estate investment trusts (Reits) are incredible, said Peter Boockvar, and, unlike New York where a lot of commercial property is sitting vacant, while many continue to work from home, in the UK it's mostly being used again. Perhaps most importantly, UK property is looking very cheap to our transatlantic friends thanks to the strong dollar. I warned about the potential for rising rates here in the UK and the damage it could potentially do to real estate, whether commercial or residential, but Boockvar still felt the UK is looking like an attractive proposition at the moment. We have a tendency to denigrate ourselves here in the UK, which is why it's so good to go abroad and meet people who see the UK in a much more favourable light.A lot of North American money is going to make its way to Europe and the UK, not to mention Japan, in the not too distant future, I would venture.I focused my talk on subjects that I have been covering quite extensively on these pages in recent weeks – energy; gold and its relevance (or lack thereof) in today's world and China's monumental gold holdings; and the strong dollar superseding all.There were plenty of mining companies there too exhibiting their wares. I think my favourite was probably a silver mining company by the name of Sierra Madre Gold and Silver (TSX-V.SM), which has a dynamic young management, good broker backing, some promising exploration properties and has just acquired a silver mine from First Majestic Silver (Toronto: FR, NYSE: AG) that it is now putting back into production. Pending the closing of this transaction, the stock is currently halted, which is what all silver companies should be – it removes the temptation to buy them!The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.If you're in London on November 24, wearing my comedy hat, I'll be doing a gig with the Gilets Jaunes at Crazy Coqs (underneath Brasserie Zedel), which is one of the best venues in the West End for musical comedy. It's going to be a great night. Please come on down.This article first appeared at Moneyweek. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit frisby.substack.com/subscribe

Richard Skipper Celebrates
Richard Skipper Celebrates Karen Oberlin 7/05/2022

Richard Skipper Celebrates

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 5, 2022 76:00


For Video Edtion, Please Click and Subscribe Here: https://youtu.be/Q7JiH9YBWIk Karen Oberlin Telling the story, both musically and lyrically, is what I find most exciting and galvanizing as a performer," Karen Oberlin was quoted saying in an interview. Hailed as one of premier interpreters of the Great American Songbook by both the New York Times and London's Classical Source, Oberlin was deeply honored to receive, in 2013, both the Mabel Mercer Foundation's most prestigious Donald F. Smith Award and an Honorary Doctorate in Music from Dix Hills Performing Arts Center/Five Towns College. She has also been the recipient of the Nightlife Award for Jazz Vocalist of the Year, a Bistro Award for Outstanding Achievement and multiple MAC Awards. Ms. Oberlin's recordings can be heard regularly on the legendary WNYC radio show hosted by Jonathan Schwartz, where he often sings her praises. This year Ms. Oberlin returns for her annual week performing at London's most exquisite cabaret club, the Crazy Coqs at Brasserie Zedel, following a return engagement in Paris, this time at Club RaYé. Quoting from among her many reviews in the New York Times, Stephen Holden says, "Beyond having a pretty voice, poise and interpretive insight... Ms. Oberlin has impeccable classic pop style (and) musical intelligence." Rex Reed, in the New York Observer, called her performance "thrilling," and continued, "Oberlin is as lovely to look at as she is to hear -- subtle, elegant and musically spot on... (Her performance) rings true and funny and flawless. She's a keeper!" The music critic, David Yaffe, says Ms. Oberlin "reaches into the minds and muses of our golden repertoire to teach us, dazzle us, and send us to a Tin Pan Alley nirvana, as deep as the ocean and high as the sky."   

The Media Coach Radio Show
The Media Coach 13th August 2021

The Media Coach Radio Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2021 25:19


Let down by Brasserie Zedel; Speaker Coaching; Andrew Cotter; ASDA gravy; Where are you in the story”; Instead of “no comment”; Be there, now; An interview with, and music from, Dean Friedman

thebuzzr pod
The Great Leslie

thebuzzr pod

Play Episode Listen Later May 11, 2021 64:44


Hey, y'all. Shay here. On air indie. Welcome & enjoy. Episode 44 First, music history trivia for May 11th. In 1969 Led Zeppelin attended an Elvis show at the Los Angeles Forum in California. After a shaky start to the show, Elvis stopped the band and said, “Wait a minute, if we can start together fellas, because we've got Led Zeppelin out there, lets try to look like we know what we're doing.” The band met with Elvis after the show, spending over 2 hours backstage. Elvis asked for all the group's autographs for his daughter, Lisa Marie. London-based alt rock band The Great Leslie is with us today. Ollie Trevors and Jason Mark Boyd come onto the podcast to chat with me. We chat about that, how the band came together and their creative process. Their music is as unique as the band's diverse influences. Great band you need to follow. Excellent music!https://youtu.be/IFEDYzlaQwoDirected by Julian Smith (@juliansmithdirector).Video Credits - Julian Smith (Director), Deri Watt (Producer, Editor, Assistant Director), Adrian Homeshaw (Director of Photography) Sam Trevers (Producer, Editor), Chris Rand (Lighting Gaffer), Josie Smart (Production Coordinator) Pete Wheeler (Camera Operator) Alfred Sadler (Camera Operator) Zoe Clark (Spark) Nico Secretin (Venue Lighting, Sound Op) Andrew Wang (Hair and Makeup) Saffron Earl (Runner).Shot on Location at Brasserie Zedel, London UK. Special thanks to everyone who got involved and put time and effort into this project, we wouldn't have been able to achieve it with out each and every one of you.https://youtu.be/XxwaVN5kP1s?list=RDIFEDYzlaQwoDirected by Julian Smith (@juliansmithdirector).Video Credits - Julian Smith (Director) Deri Watt (Editor) Adrian Homeshaw (Director of Photography) Sam Trevers (Producer, Assistant Director) Andrew Wang (Hair) Ella Spinks (Makeup) Saffron Earl (Runner) Shot on Location at Belt Craft Studios, London UK.https://youtu.be/5gHBqbjMCM8The Great Leslie - "Money"From the band: “After the last music video, (where we had extras and costumes) we really wanted to do a simple video, and just go in the other direction.Focusing mainly on using our performance and professional camera work to carry through the song. We worked with the same team as last time, with Julian Smith directing, and Adrian Homeshaw as our DOP. It was Julian who actually came up with the idea of just having a really simple blacked-out studio and playing around with different lighting rigs.It was also really important that we introduce each member of the band, as it gives everyone some screen time to really shine.”Directed by Julian Smith (@juliansmithdirector). Video Credits - Julian Smith (Director), Deri Watt (Producer, Editor, Assistant Director), Adrian Homeshaw (Director of Photography, Camera Operator) Sam Trevers (Producer, Editor), Chris Rand (Lighting Gaffer), Gareth Crockford (Spark) James Brown (Assistant) Charlotte Homeshaw (Sound Op) Harry Cloake (Camera Assistant) Zoe Clark (Spark) Rebecca Goodeve (Colourist) Danielle Poole (Makeup Artist) Andrew Wang (Hair Stylist) Saffron Earl (Runner) Shot on Location at Cineview Studios, London UK. Facebook Youtube Spotify Instagram Apple Tiktok Previous Next

The Gentleman‘s Journal Podcast
Go with your gut — Jeremy King, restaurateur

The Gentleman‘s Journal Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2020 75:41


Jeremy King is the restaurateur behind so many of London's finest and most adored restaurants. Along with his long time collaborator Chris Corbin, he opened the Ivy and J Sheekey and Le Caprice in the nineties, all of which became London's first true ‘power' restaurants — and more recently, they've been behind places like the Wolseley, the Delaunay, Colbert, Fischer's, Soutine and Brasserie Zedel.  In this episode, we spoke about how Jeremy decided to bet his whole career on the role of the dice; why he would pretend to be Long John Silver when working in finance; why you should always go with your gut; how the hospitality industry can survive this pandemic; why “I'm doing my best” is a terrible thing to say; and why you should never open a restaurant on a full moon.    

Travelling Through... London, the world and life.
011 If It Was Easy To Do, Then Everybody Would Be Doing It - Stephanie Mair (Fifi la Mer) talks about The London Pull

Travelling Through... London, the world and life.

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2020 49:39


STEPHANIE MAIR is an accordionist and singer with her band Oh la la! They gig across the UK and play regularly at Brasserie Zedel in Piccadilly, London. Stephanie's show name is Fifi La Mer and she plays solo as well as in a duo. You may have met her playing French songs and pavement strolling in Lower Marsh on Bastile Day. She joined us at Travelling Through after a gig on our last day as a bookshop and played "Je ne regrette rien". A moment never to be forgotten by those present. Born in London, Stephanie was brought up in Paris by her French mother, also spending time in the north of Scotland with her Scottish father. She travelled to Australia at 17 years old, and on her return to Paris, she began a career singing on the boat tours in Paris. Stephanie came to London and "accidentally" stayed. She was encouraged to sing French songs with an accordionist but her quest for one was futile so she decided to master the skill herself! THIS IS STEPHANIE'S (Fifi La Mer's) UNIQUE STORY ABOUT LONDON, THE WORLD AND LIFE.   "It was tough, Financially it was tough, because places don't pay very well, But I don't mind tough, If you're going to do something you like, You have to have some down sides, If it was easy to do, Then everybody would be doing it. And, I feel privileged to be doing what I am doing, And to make a living from what I enjoy doing, But it's not easy, But that's part of it, It probably makes you play better, A bit of a challenge is not a bad thing, You always have to be on top of your game, and always have new ideas."   MUSIC arrangements are by members of the band Oh la la! The music played throughout this podcast has been inserted with the complete agreement of Stephanie Mair and Oh La La! Link to PURCHASE their music is https://www.ohlalamusic.co.uk/buy-cds.php Songs in order of play are: Amélie: Oh la la! Ensemble Vol.1 Je te veux: Oh la la! Ensemble Vol.2 Les Champs-Élysées: Oh la la! Ensemble Vol.1 Ma p'tite chanson: Oh la la! Ensemble Vol.2 Pigalle: Oh la la! Ensemble Vol.1 C'est si bon: Oh la la! Ensemble Vo.1 Them there eyes: Oh la la! Ensemble Vol.2 J'ai la mémoire qui flanche: Oh la la! Ensemble Vol.2   STEPHANIE'S CONTACT DETAILS ARE... OH LA LA! website is https://www.ohlalamusic.co.uk/index.php Find out more and PURCHASE CD's at https://www.ohlalamusic.co.uk/buy-cds.php Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Fifi.la.Mer Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fifi_la_mer/?hl=en Oh la la! play regularly at Brasserie Zédel, check them out here https://www.brasseriezedel.com/ ABOUT THIS PODCAST... Podcast Host Emma, and Travelling Through can be found at: https://www.travellingthrough.co.uk/ The Travelling Through Jingle was written and produced by the lovely Mariska Martina https://www.mariskamartina.com/ Show notes 011 STEPHANIE MAIR can be found at this link https://travellingthrough.podbean.com Thanks to Stephanie Mair for hosting this podcast recording at her home on 05.03.2020.           

Travelling Through... London, the world and life.
005 Have Your Own Space To Go, Re-set, And Come Back To Yourself - Mariska Martina talks about The London Pull

Travelling Through... London, the world and life.

Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2020 45:29


MARISKA MARTINA is a musician, singer and songwriter as well as a classically trained cellist AND she composed our podcast intro/outro jingle! Mariska is Dutch-Peruvian. She came to London from Holland under a heavy cloud of mental health struggles in her early twenties. Five years on, Mariska feels London is home and she is steadily carving out a career for herself as a singer and musician. She has played at Ronnie Scott’s, Brasserie Zedel, Toulouse Lautrec and Sofar Sounds London to name but a few places, while also working in a bar and giving private music lessons to children. This is MARISKA MARTINA'S unique story of LONDON, THE WORLD AND LIFE. Her advice to you would be to: “… get lost…, turn your phone off, (and) start walking, because that’s how you get in to amazing adventures, go to a place you’ve never been to before, on your own, it’s very important to have your own space where you can go… reset, and come back to yourself.” MARISKA’S SOCIAL MEDIA LINKS… @MariskaMartina can be found on these links: Twitter Facebook Instagram Mariska’s website is: https://www.mariskamartina.com/   MARISKA’S MUSIC LINKS… Search for Mariska Martina on You Tube, Deezer or Spotify. Sound Cloud: https://soundcloud.com/mariska-martina   ABOUT THE PODCAST... Information About Your Podcast Host Emma, and Travelling Through can be found at: https://www.travellingthrough.co.uk/ The Travelling Through Jingle was written and produced by the lovely Mariska Martina https://www.mariskamartina.com/ Show notes 005 MARISKA MARTINA Show Notes can be found at this link https://travellingthrough.podbean.com  

Life Stories with Ian Rutter
Life Stories with Gary Williams - a Christmas Special

Life Stories with Ian Rutter

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 23, 2018 56:23


“Michael Bublé isn’t the only person keeping the Sinatra Flame alive” so said the London Times of Gary Williams, star of the West End’s “Rat Pack” and soloist with leading big bands and concert orchestras including the Royal Liverpool Philharmonic, the Melbourne Symphony, the BBC Big Band, Ireland’s RTE and the Lahti Sinfonia Finland. Other work includes performing for The Prince of Wales at Buckingham Palace, ‘That’s Entertainment’ a tribute to the MGM musicals with the John Wilson Orchestra at the Royal Festival Hall, performing at Sinatra’s Palm Springs home for the LA Jazz Institute, Radio 2 with the BBC Concert Orchestra, ‘Winter Wonderland’ at the Royal Albert Hall, ‘A Swingin’ Session’ with the Nelson Riddle Orchestra in Los Angeles, ‘Big Band Wonderland’ at Ronnie Scott’s, ‘The Legend of Sinatra’ (UK tour), a tribute to the music of Fred Astaire presented by his daughter Ava, BBC Pebble Mill, Gloria Hunniford’s ‘Open House’ (with Donny Osmond and Burt Bacharach), the soundtrack for the Warner Bros’ motion picture ‘Mrs Ratcliffe’s Revolution’ and BBC1’s ‘Doctor Who Christmas Special’. As a headline act on the world’s luxury cruise liners he has visited over 60 countries. His latest two albums, a tribute to Sinatra and a “best of” his Abbey Road recordings, were recently released, prompting Oscar winning lyricist Don Black to say “In a world of Pop Idol mediocrity Gary Williams shines like a dazzling beacon.”Support the show (http://patreon.com/IanRutter)

In Conversation Radio
Jeremy King OBE

In Conversation Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 17, 2016 31:59


In 2014 Jeremy King, was awarded an MBE and is quite rightly hailed as one of the country's most successful restaurateurs. With his business partner Chris Corbin he's been responsible for Le Caprice, the Ivy, Brasserie Zedel, and the Wolseley - officially the most successful restaurant London has ever seen.

Underground London Radio
Underground London Radio: Episode 9

Underground London Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2015 27:11


Episode 9: Reviews of Brasserie Zedel, Wicked the Musical. Interviews with Stop City Airport and Dixe Wills. Music by The Step. Presented by Anthony Davis. #London #Review #Podcast

Judy Carmichael's Jazz Inspired
EPISODE488 - Jazz Inspired - Ruth Leon

Judy Carmichael's Jazz Inspired

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2015 59:00


British writer/TV producer/theater critic Ruth Leon discusses her position as program director for Londonâ??s elegant cabaret venue, Le Crazy Coqs at the Brasserie Zedel, and why this room is thriving, when similar venues are closing in NYC.

tv new york city british brasserie zedel jazz inspired ruth leon
Midweek
James Bowen, Mary Sheepshanks, Gino Strada, Ty Jeffries

Midweek

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 3, 2013 41:46


Libby Purves meets James Bowen who befriended Bob the cat; author Mary Sheepshanks; surgeon Dr Gino Strada and Ty Jeffries, also known as cabaret star Miss Hope Springs. James Bowen is a street musician and former heroin addict who found Bob the cat in 2007. Bob was badly injured and James nursed him back to health. The pair have been inseparable ever since and Bob helped James recover from drug addiction. The World According to Bob is published by Hodder & Stoughton. Mary Sheepshanks is a poet and author who published her first novel when she was in her sixties. She was brought up at Eton College where her father was a housemaster. At 21 she married the head of a prep school, becoming responsible for the welfare of the staff and 80 boys. Her book, Wild Writing Granny, is published by Stone Trough Books. Dr Gino Strada is an Italian surgeon who co-founded Emergency, an NGO which provides free medical and surgical treatment to victims of war and poverty. The charity operates in a range of war-torn countries including Iraq, Afghanistan, Sudan, Sierra Leone and Cambodia. Dr Strada is in London to speak at Bloomsbury Central Baptist Church. Ex-Las Vegas showgirl, pianist and nightclub singer Miss Hope Springs is the creation of composer and lyricist Ty Jeffries. Ty is the son of the late actor and director Lionel Jeffries. He spent his formative years in Hollywood where his father had moved to work on the film Camelot. Family friend Fred Astaire taught Ty to tap dance down Sunset Boulevard. Miss Hope Springs performs every Sunday at The Crazy Coqs Cabaret room, Brasserie Zedel, in London's Piccadilly. Producer: Paula McGinley.