Podcast appearances and mentions of Russell Napier

  • 53PODCASTS
  • 111EPISODES
  • 44mAVG DURATION
  • 1EPISODE EVERY OTHER WEEK
  • Jun 2, 2025LATEST
Russell Napier

POPULARITY

20172018201920202021202220232024


Best podcasts about Russell Napier

Latest podcast episodes about Russell Napier

Making Money
Is there a 'right' way to invest?

Making Money

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2025 72:00


What can history teach us about investing? Is there a right way? Russell Napier—financial historian, author of The Anatomy of the Bear, and founder of the Library of Mistakes—shares what centuries of market behavior reveal about asset allocation, financial repression, and why even the smartest investors get it wrong.

The Grant Williams Podcast
The Hundred Year Pivot Ep. 3 - Russell Napier

The Grant Williams Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2025 87:42


In the third episode of The Hundred Year Pivot, Demetri and I are joined by one of our main inspirations for setting out on this podcast journey, renowned financial historian Russell Napier, for a sweeping exploration of the deep structural imbalances reshaping the global economic and monetary order. Russell lays out a powerful framework for understanding the unwinding of decades-long distortions—rising debt, trade and capital flow asymmetries, and the pivotal role of China in the shifting global balance. As geopolitical alliances realign and governments turn increasingly to capital controls and financial repression, Russell warns that traditional investment strategies may prove dangerously inadequate. From the future of the U.S. dollar to the strategic role of gold and real assets, Russell offers a masterclass in navigating a world where preserving wealth demands foresight, flexibility, and a willingness to think far beyond the consensus as The Hundred Year Pivot forces us to completely change the way we think about the world around us and how we invest therein. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.  Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

Library of Mistakes
EP 38: Meltdown – Scandal, Sleaze And The Collapse of Credit Suisse (with Duncan Mavin)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2025 51:43


Russell Napier invites Duncan Mavin back for a second appearance on the podcast – this time to discuss his recent book on Credit Suisse. Their fascinating discussion explores how decades of a rotten corporate culture dating back to WWII developed into the scandals and reputational disasters that eventually brought the Swiss bank down.

Hidden Forces
Wealth Preservation During a Fourth Turning | Russell Napier

Hidden Forces

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2025 2:18


Episode 415 is the third episode in the Hundred Year Pivot podcast series. In it, Demetri Kofinas and Grant Williams speak with some of the smartest and most plugged-in people they know to help them navigate the once-in-a-century economic, political, and geopolitical reordering that is currently underway. In this episode Kofinas and Williams speak with economic historian, author of “The Solid Ground Newsletter” and Keeper of the Library of Mistakes, Russell Napier about the end of the economic, monetary, and global trading & security order that has been the largest single driver of global growth over the last thirty years. The consequences of the changes discussed for economic and national security, social cohesion, investment, and wealth preservation are nothing short of tectonic. Points of discussion include: The Trump administration's economic and trade strategy Efforts to isolate China The creation of new monetary systems The search for new safe assets The realignment of global power The escalating risk of war with China There is also a long and detailed discussion about how investors can position themselves for: The accelerating repatriation of capital flows The onset of capital controls A prolonged period of financial repression in which wealth preservation will take precedence over making money and chasing outsized financial returns. If you want early access to this conversation, subscribe to our premium content—including our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports—by visiting HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you'd like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed today's episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by: Subscribing on Apple Podcasts, YouTube, Spotify, Stitcher, SoundCloud, CastBox, or via our RSS Feed Writing us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Joining our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io. Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 04/25/2025

Money Makers
265: Money Makers Investment Trusts Podcast - Russell Napier, Edward Chancellor (26 Mar 2025)

Money Makers

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2025 31:18


In this edition of the Money Makers Investment Trusts Podcast, Jonathan Davis, editor of the Investment Trusts Handbook and winner of the 2024 AIC Best Broadcast Journalist Award, is joined by two experts on financial history, Russell Napier, global market strategist and founder of the Library of Mistakes in Edinburgh, and Edward Chancellor, historian and author of The Price of Time, to put the dramas of Trump 2.0 in context. This discussion was recorded on 25 March 2025 at the Weekend of Mistakes in Hay-on-Wye. *** Out now: The 2025 Investment Trusts Handbook *** The Investment Trusts Handbook is an independent educational publication designed to provide investors with a handy annual reference book that summarises all you need to know about investment trusts. Now in its eighth year, the Handbook is a high-quality, full-colour hardback of more than 340 pages, the largest yet, with reviews of the past year, extensive interviews and commentary, plus nearly 80 pages of “how to” information and performance data. Available to order from Harriman House (https://harriman-house.com/ithb2025) or Amazon. There is also a free e-book version you can read on a PC, tablet or smartphone, plus an audiobook version. Next week Jonathan will be speaking and signing copies of the Handbook at the Master Investor show in London on March 29th. *** Section Timestamps: 0:00:24 - Introduction 0:01:33 - Putting the Trump presidency into historical context 0:04:36 - Market reactions 0:06:50 - Trump's motivations and agenda 0:11:52 - Will Scott Bessent reign in Trump's more extravagant proposals? 0:16:00 - A short break 0:16:56 - Returning to capital controls and a loss of independence in central banks? 0:22:21 - Anticipating a change in market style 0:25:34 - Gold 0:27:58 - Putting on a hard hat 0:29:50 - The Library of Mistakes, London 0:30:36 - Close If you enjoy the weekly podcast, you may also find value in joining The Money Makers Circle. This is a membership scheme that offers listeners to the podcast an opportunity, in return for a modest monthly or annual subscription, to receive additional premium content, including interviews, performance data, links to third party research, market/portfolio reviews and regular comments from the editor. A subscription costs £12 a month or £120 for one year. This week, as well as the usual features, the Circle features a profile of Baillie Gifford US Growth (USA). Future profiles include Invesco Global Equity Income (IGET) and RIT Capital Partners (RCP). Our new expanded weekly subscriber email includes a comprehensive summary of all the latest news plus the week's biggest share price, NAV and discount movements. Subscribe and you will never miss any important developments from the sector. For more information please visit money-makers.co/membership-join. Membership helps to cover the cost of producing the weekly investment trust podcast, which will continue to be free for the foreseeable future. We are very grateful for your continued support and the enthusiastic response to our more than 260 podcasts since launch. You can find more information, including relevant disclosures, at www.money-makers.co. Please note that this podcast is provided for educational purposes only and nothing you hear should be considered as investment advice. Our podcasts are also available on the Association of Investment Companies website, www.theaic.co.uk. Produced by Ben Gamblin.

New Books Network
The Library of Mistakes: A Conversation with Russell Napier

New Books Network

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 10, 2025 54:53


The Library of Mistakes is a library located in Edinburgh, Scotland dedicated to financial and economic history. Russell Napier, the founder and keeper of the library is a professor at The Edinburgh Business School and investment manager. In this wide-ranging discussion, Russell discusses his work as a practitioner and a scholar of financial crises. He also discusses how and why he started a library, in addition to his writing on financial history. Professor Russell Napier is the author of The Solid Ground investment report for institutional investors and co-founder of the investment research portal ERIC- a business he now co-owns with D.C. Thomson. Caleb Zakarin is editor of the New Books Network. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

New Books in Economics
The Library of Mistakes: A Conversation with Russell Napier

New Books in Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 10, 2025 54:53


The Library of Mistakes is a library located in Edinburgh, Scotland dedicated to financial and economic history. Russell Napier, the founder and keeper of the library is a professor at The Edinburgh Business School and investment manager. In this wide-ranging discussion, Russell discusses his work as a practitioner and a scholar of financial crises. He also discusses how and why he started a library, in addition to his writing on financial history. Professor Russell Napier is the author of The Solid Ground investment report for institutional investors and co-founder of the investment research portal ERIC- a business he now co-owns with D.C. Thomson. Caleb Zakarin is editor of the New Books Network. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/economics

New Books in Business, Management, and Marketing
The Library of Mistakes: A Conversation with Russell Napier

New Books in Business, Management, and Marketing

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 10, 2025 54:53


The Library of Mistakes is a library located in Edinburgh, Scotland dedicated to financial and economic history. Russell Napier, the founder and keeper of the library is a professor at The Edinburgh Business School and investment manager. In this wide-ranging discussion, Russell discusses his work as a practitioner and a scholar of financial crises. He also discusses how and why he started a library, in addition to his writing on financial history. Professor Russell Napier is the author of The Solid Ground investment report for institutional investors and co-founder of the investment research portal ERIC- a business he now co-owns with D.C. Thomson. Caleb Zakarin is editor of the New Books Network. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

New Books in Economic and Business History
The Library of Mistakes: A Conversation with Russell Napier

New Books in Economic and Business History

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 10, 2025 54:53


The Library of Mistakes is a library located in Edinburgh, Scotland dedicated to financial and economic history. Russell Napier, the founder and keeper of the library is a professor at The Edinburgh Business School and investment manager. In this wide-ranging discussion, Russell discusses his work as a practitioner and a scholar of financial crises. He also discusses how and why he started a library, in addition to his writing on financial history. Professor Russell Napier is the author of The Solid Ground investment report for institutional investors and co-founder of the investment research portal ERIC- a business he now co-owns with D.C. Thomson. Caleb Zakarin is editor of the New Books Network. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

New Books in Finance
The Library of Mistakes: A Conversation with Russell Napier

New Books in Finance

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 10, 2025 54:53


The Library of Mistakes is a library located in Edinburgh, Scotland dedicated to financial and economic history. Russell Napier, the founder and keeper of the library is a professor at The Edinburgh Business School and investment manager. In this wide-ranging discussion, Russell discusses his work as a practitioner and a scholar of financial crises. He also discusses how and why he started a library, in addition to his writing on financial history. Professor Russell Napier is the author of The Solid Ground investment report for institutional investors and co-founder of the investment research portal ERIC- a business he now co-owns with D.C. Thomson. Caleb Zakarin is editor of the New Books Network. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/finance

Library of Mistakes
EP 35: Lending To The Borrower From Hell (with Mauricio Drelichman)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 6, 2025 43:58


Russell Napier enjoys a fascinating chat with Mauricio Drelichman who (together with Hans Joachim-Voth) is the author of Lending to the Borrower from Hell: Debt, Taxes, and Default in the Age of Philip II. Together, they explore how this account of the freely-defaulting 16th century King of Spain changes our perceptions of financial history.

Library of Mistakes
EP 33: Money – The Unauthorised Biography (with Felix Martin)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 13, 2025 41:31


Russell Napier quizzes Felix Martin about his book, Money – The Unauthorised Biodgraphy. A fascinating listen for anyone interested inj the true nature of money, illuminated through entertaining examples such as the Irish Bank Strike of 1970, the Argentinian Crédito and the Bristol Pound.

The Political Orphanage
The Library of Mistakes

The Political Orphanage

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 8, 2025 67:22


Russell Napier is the Keeper of the Library of Mistakes, in Edinburgh, Scotland. Napier has worked in the investment business for 30 years and has been advising global institutional investors on asset allocation since 1995. He also is the author of the book “Anatomy of The Bear: Lessons From Wall Street's Four Great Bottoms” and he is founder and course director of The Practical History of Financial Markets course that is part of the Edinburgh Business School MBA.

The More Freedom Foundation Podcast
Is America Foreign-Owned?

The More Freedom Foundation Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 6, 2025 55:47


In this episode, we dive into the intriguing concept of "national capitalism", exploring its potential to shatter the world's current financial organization. Inspired by economist Russell Napier's vision, we unpack how this approach could reshape economies in an era defined by shifting global power dynamics. With shifts in China and elsewhere setting the stage for new challenges, we examine how economic changes might influence global markets and what it means for the future of monetary policy. Join us for a thought-provoking discussion as we connect the dots between global finance, shifting power structures, and the policies that might redefine the way we think about money and freedom. ⁠⁠⁠⁠Patreon⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Website⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Books⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TikTok

Merryn Talks Money
Everyone Wants Their Money to Come Home with Russell Napier

Merryn Talks Money

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2024 38:07 Transcription Available


Market historian Russell Napier joins Merryn to explain that economic nationalism will have negative consequences for some nations. They also talk Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Become a Bloomberg.com subscriber using our special intro offer at bloomberg.com/podcastoffer. You’ll get episodes of this podcast ad-free and unlock access to deep reporting, data and analysis from reporters around the world. Already a subscriber? Connect your account on the Bloomberg channel page in Apple Podcasts to listen ad-free.Sign up to Merryn's newsletter: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/merryn-talks-moneySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The David McWilliams Podcast
National Capitalism: A New Era of Economic Survival?

The David McWilliams Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2024 37:11


As the global financial system shifts under the weight of geopolitical tensions and Chinese economic policy reversals, Russell Napier introduces a concept that could redefine the next decade: National Capitalism. This podcast unpacks the startling implications of a system where governments force domestic savings to fund national priorities, effectively ending the free flow of global capital. With 57.2 trillion USD in U.S. assets owned by foreigners and 77% of U.S. GDP reliant on external creditors, the stakes are higher than ever. Could rising Chinese inflation, a faltering U.S. debt system, and Europe's internal pressures spark a new financial architecture? From how Ireland might adapt to a national savings mandate to whether young people could finally claw back wealth from older generations, this episode dives into the economic, generational, and geopolitical ripple effects of a post-globalist world. Join the gang! https://plus.acast.com/s/the-david-mcwilliams-podcast. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hidden Forces
National Capitalism & Death of the International Monetary System | Russell Napier

Hidden Forces

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 2, 2024 56:47


In Episode 392 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with author, investor, and financial historian Russell Napier, about how to navigate a seminal transition in the global trade and monetary order. This episode aims to provide you with the tools to understand, value, and manage the assets, exposures, and risks in your portfolios and to capitalize on opportunities that come along only once every hundred years. In the first hour, Demetri and Russell Napier discuss the origins of the non-system that came to shape international trade and finance in the decades after the breakdown of the Bretton Woods international system of fixed exchange rates. They discuss the de-pegging of the RMB from the USD, the closing of the gap between the discount rate and the growth rate in developed economies, and the implications of America's escalating economic war against China. In the second hour, which is available to premium subscribers only, Russell Napier and Kofinas focus most of their time on the implications of this breakdown in the international trade and monetary system for investors. They discuss how developed world governments are likely to repress capital, what you want to own in such a world, what you don't want to own, and how to tell the difference. They also discuss what a new Chinese monetary order might look like, which countries would participate, and how such a system would build off China's efforts to digitize the Yuan and create a Chinese-built digital payments infrastructure that extends beyond China's borders as part of the Digital Silk Road initiative. They also discuss the prospects for a strategic Bitcoin fund, the use of stablecoins as an extension of Dollar hegemony, and the fate of the Euro in a world torn between Beijing and Washington. You can subscribe to our premium content and access our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces, you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 11/27/2024

The David McWilliams Podcast
From Beijing to the Box Room: The Global Forces Locking Out a Generation

The David McWilliams Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2024 34:10


On the eve of Ireland's election, we shift focus to the global forces shaping our lives. Why can't today's youth afford homes like their parents could? The answer lies far beyond Ireland—in decisions made in Beijing in the 1990s, the mechanics of global monetary systems, and the ripple effects of China's currency strategies on interest rates and property prices worldwide.Join us as we connect the dots between China's rise, America's spending habits, and how these forces turned Irish homes into financial assets rather than affordable shelters. Plus, hear from monetary historian Russell Napier about what the unraveling of these 30-year trends could mean for the future. It's a deep dive into money, power, and policy you won't want to miss. Join the gang! https://plus.acast.com/s/the-david-mcwilliams-podcast. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Library of Mistakes
EP 32: Gambling Man (with Lionel Barber)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2024 38:12


Lionel Barber, the former editor of the Financial Times, discusses his fascinating biography of Masayoshi Son, one of the world's least-known but most consequential investors. Regarding himself as an 'empire builder' rather than a CEO, Son was briefly the world's richest man and has ruffled many feathers on his rise from a Korean slum in Japan to the modern-day temples of power. Russell Napier asks the questions.•The Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course

Unhedged
Live from Kilkenomics: financial mistakes

Unhedged

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2024 25:58


Each year economists gather in Kilkenny, Ireland for the annual Kilkenomics festival. The guests share stories in pubs and make dark jokes about economics. This year, we joined them, taping two episodes of our podcast in Cleere's Bar & Theatre. In our first instalment, we speak with financial historian Russell Napier and Martín Lousteau, a senator representing the city of Buenos Aires. The topic is financial mistakes. Also we go long anger in politics and short France. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedofferYou can email Robert Armstrong at robert.armstrong@ft.com and Katie Martin at katie.martin@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Library of Mistakes
EP 31: Money & Promises (Paolo Zannoni)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2024 44:52


Money & Promises (Seven Deals That Changed World) is Paolo Zannoni's first book and one of Russell Napier's favourite books of the year. For as well as being President of the luxury Italian fashion group Prada, Paolo is a highly experienced banker who has combined his professional expertise with a passion for exploring ledger archives to create a ground-breaking work of financial history.•The Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course

Library of Mistakes
EP 30: Money – A Story of Humanity (with David McWilliams)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2024 33:55


"Despite being a fully paid-up member of the economist tribe for many years, I've concluded that most economists don't really understand money," says David McWilliams, co-founder of Kilkenomics, (the world's first economics and comedy festival). David's new book, Money: A Story of Humanity, explains why he takes this entertainingly provocative position – and backs it up with powerful arguments. The book has received many plaudits. Professor Brian Cox describes it as: "A breathtaking, expansive and imaginative ride through the history and future of money from an author who truly understands it." And this free-ranging discussion with Russell Napier – embracing Karl Marx, Van Morrison and James Joyce – is just as fascinating.•To discover more about Kilkenomics, go to: https://www.kilkenomics.com•The Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course

Millennial Investing - The Investor’s Podcast Network
MI369: The Anatomy of The Bear: Digging Through Financial History w/ Shawn O'Malley

Millennial Investing - The Investor’s Podcast Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2024 68:42


In today's episode, Shawn O'Malley (@Shawn_OMalley_) breaks down two of the greatest bear market bottoms in stock market history which left stocks incredibly undervalued, as outlined by Russell Napier's book The Anatomy of the Bear. You'll learn why it's important to study financial history, what bear markets have in common, how the bear market of 1921 differed from 1932, how the financial system has evolved over the last century, which factors really caused the Stock Market Crash of 1929 and the Great Depression, plus so much more! Prefer to watch? Click here to watch this episode on YouTube. IN THIS EPISODE, YOU'LL LEARN 00:00 - Intro 01:31 - Why it's important to study financial history 03:53 - What similarities and differences there are between major bear markets 08:51 - Why the Federal Reserve was first founded and how its role evolved 10:22 - What types of stocks led the stock market across the 1910s and 1920s 11:56 - What circumstances led up to the great bottom of 1921 and how you could have identified the bottom 38:44 - Why the economy boomed in the 1920s 47:17 - What sparked the Stock Market Crash of 1929 55:40 - How a stock market selloff turned into an economic depression *Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Kyle and the other community members. Russell Napier's book, The Anatomy of the Bear. The Library of Mistakes website. Russell Napier's newsletter. Check out the books mentioned in the podcast here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our Millennial Investing Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try Kyle's favorite tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: Range Rover Toyota Airbnb Fundrise Found Public Facet NetSuite Connect with Shawn: Twitter | LinkedIn | Email HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

Library of Mistakes
EP 28: The Twilight Before The Storm (with Viktor Shvets)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2024 47:09


Technology is transforming our societies, promising a far deeper disruption than the industrial revolutions. As a result, humanity is at a major turning point, and how we respond to the merger of technology and financialisation will decide our future. Are we heading for "enlightened communism" or "despotic feudalism"? Russell Napier quizzes Viktor Shvets on his throught-provoking book The Twilight Before The Storm.•The Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course

Library of Mistakes
EP 26: The Life Of Carry (with Tim Lee & Kevin Coldiron)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2024 43:13


Russell Napier revisits a book that slipped out during the pandemic crisis but does, he believe, deserve considerable attention. Listen to him quizzing Tim Lee and Kevin Coldiron, two of the authors of The Rise of Carry: The Dangerous Consequences of Volatility Suppression and the New Financial Order of Decaying Growth and Recurring Crisis.•The Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course

Library of Mistakes
EP 25: What I Learned This Week (with Kiril Sokoloff)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 22, 2024 38:27


For 40 years, Kiril Sokoloff, the founder of 13D Research & Strategy, has been picking some of the biggest turning points in financial markets. And, in 2001, he launched 'What I Learned This Week' – a must-read for anyone in the investment community. In this interview with Russell Napier, Kiril shares some of the insights he has gleaned across a long and successful career.•The Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course

The Value Perspective
The Value Perspective with Russell Napier

The Value Perspective

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2024 57:53


In this episode, we're joined by Russell Napier. Fans of the pod will recall that Russell first appeared on TVP in 2021, so this is a warm welcome back. For those not familiar, Russell is an independent market strategist, financial historian, an author and the co-founder of the Library of Mistakes. If you find yourself in Edinburgh, the Library is well worth a visit - check out their website for further details. Juan and Russell explore what has changed in the world from a monetary point of view since his last appearance on TVP. They discuss what history has taught us about the state in which we find the world today, given the conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, but also what the current analysis is missing out on. They'll reflect on Russell's very well-timed prediction on inflation coming back, which he made in 2021, but also what is coming next. Finally, they analyse China's need to further devalue its currency. Enjoy!

Forward Guidance
Russell Napier On The Rise And Fall Of The Age Of Debt And China's Choice Between Deflation and Devaluation

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2024 73:02


Finally, you can easily access Bitcoin in a low-cost ETF with the VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL). Visit https://vaneck.com/HODLFG to learn more. VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/hodlprospectus/ __ Russell Napier, founder of Orlock Advisors and publisher of The Solid Ground Newsletter, returns to Forward Guidance to share how China's decision to peg its currency the Chinese Yuan in 1994 at an artificially low rate had enormous consequences on world's monetary system, and why China may be soon be forced to make a monetary policy decision regarding its currency which may have similarly large consequences for the globe. Filmed on March 13, 2024. Russell is the author of two books, “Anatomy of a Bear Market: Lessons from Wall Street's four great bottoms” and “The Asian Financial Crisis 1995-1998 And The Birth Of The Age of Debt.” __ Russell Napier's newsletter, The Solid Ground: https://russellnapier.co.uk/ Russell's first book, “Anatomy of a Bear Market: Lessons from Wall Street's four great bottoms”: https://www.amazon.com/Anatomy-Bear-Lessons-Streets-bottoms/dp/0857195220/?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_w=JKHqA&content-id=amzn1.sym.cf86ec3a-68a6-43e9-8115-04171136930a&pf_rd_p=cf86ec3a-68a6-43e9-8115-04171136930a&pf_rd_r=144-7804338-9176020&pd_rd_wg=QZHz8&pd_rd_r=bb8adee9-1ab7-4906-bfc2-cf8c13a39d25&ref_=aufs_ap_sc_dsk Russell Napier's second book, “The Asian Financial Crisis 1995-1998 And The Birth Of The Age of Debt”: https://www.amazon.com/Asian-Financial-Crisis-1995-98-Birth/dp/0857199145/?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_w=JKHqA&content-id=amzn1.sym.cf86ec3a-68a6-43e9-8115-04171136930a&pf_rd_p=cf86ec3a-68a6-43e9-8115-04171136930a&pf_rd_r=144-7804338-9176020&pd_rd_wg=QZHz8&pd_rd_r=bb8adee9-1ab7-4906-bfc2-cf8c13a39d25&ref_=aufs_ap_sc_dsk Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:52) How To Spot A Change In Monetary Policy (03:50) Birth Of The Age Of Debt (08:43) Chinese Surpluses Are Getting Smaller (14:10) China's Choice Between Deflation Or Devaluation (18:23) China's Growth Requires Massive Expansion In Narrow Money (27:10) VanEck Ad (27:53) Is China The Biggest Real Estate Bubble Ever? (30:35) PBOC Likely To Move To Flexible Exchange Rate In Order To Achieve Their Goals In Controlling Price And Quantity of Money (33:53) Is Foreign Lending Contingent Upon U.S. Dollar Reserves? (36:29) The Origin of The Chinese Stock Market In 1992 (39:11) Valuations of China's Stock Market (41:33) Buy Cheap Currencies, Not Cheap Companies (54:11) Napier's Views On Japanese Currency And Stock Market (58:51) The Lessons Of Quantitative Easing (QE) (01:01:27) The Future of Japanese Monetary Policy (01:03:10) The Interest Rate Shock Has Not Broken Something. Why? Will This Continue? (01:06:16) Are Higher Interest Rates Deflationary Or Inflationary? __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Library of Mistakes
EP 24: Investing in US Financial History (with Mark J Higgins)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 22, 2024 46:06


Russell Napier and Mark J Higgins explore some of the lessons to be learned from Mark's latest book, Investing in US Financial History: Understanding the Past to Forecast the Future. The book opens with Alexander Hamilton's financial programmes of 1790 and ends with the Federal Reserve's battle with inflation in 2023 – and Russell welcomes the valuable way in which it fills a void in our understanding of American financial history.•The Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course

We Talk Careers
Head of Research

We Talk Careers

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2024 36:20


Today, we are speaking to leaders who can both geek out on data and translate the big picture of our economy. They are the Head of Research. From strategic planning to market analysis to industry trends, how do their roles guide the creation and management of ETFs?  We have Matt Dines and Carol Spain with us today.  Carol Spain is a Managing Director and Head of Credit Research for Schwab Asset Management. Carol earned a Master of Public Policy from the University of Chicago and a Bachelor of Arts in political science from the University of Notre Dame. She is an active member of the National Federation of Municipal Analysts and is a member of the External Advisory Panel of the Government Finance Research Center. Carol lives in Chicago with her husband and two small children.    Matt Dines serves as Chief Investment Officer at Build Asset Management, where he oversees portfolio management, capital allocation, and strategy for the firm and its clients. Matt holds a Master's degree in Finance from Washington University in St. Louis, with a focus on Quantitative Finance. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Biological Science from the University of Notre Dame. Matt earned his Chartered Financial Analyst® designation in 2017. Matt and his wife live in Seattle with their twin boys.   Kristine Delano guides the conversation about the hard work and skills it takes to research and analyze data in the world of ETFs.  Follow on Instagram kristine.delano.writer  Visit www.womeninetfs.com to find additional support in the ETF industry.  Go to www.kristinedelano.com for your Thrive Guide: a compilation of the most requested and insightful advice from our guests on Leadership and Advancement. In partnership with https://www.etfcentral.com/ Book recommendations:  Leading Lightly by Jody Michael The Asian Financial Crisis 1995-98: Birth of the Age of Debt by Russell Napier

Library of Mistakes
EP 23 Boom and Bust (with William Quinn & John D. Turner)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 5, 2024 39:30


In an appetising taster of our Weekend of Mistakes at Hay Castle on 1-3 March 2024, Russell Napier is joined by the authors of Boom And Bust, William Quinn & John D. Turner, to discuss their fascinating global history of financial bubbles.William will also be joining Russell at Hay Castle for a session called The Madness Of Crowds.If you're accessing this podcast before 1 March 2024, there may still be tickets left for the Weekend of Mistakes. More info at https://www.haycastletrust.org/p-3525-weekend-of-mistakes-at-hay-castle.aspx•The Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course

Library of Mistakes
EP 21 War and Gold (with Kwasi Kwarteng)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 1, 2023 39:49


Financial historian and former Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng discusses War And Gold, his 500-year review of 'empires, adventures and debt'. In conversation with Russell Napier, he also looks back on the fallout from the 'fiscal statement' of September 2022 and the power of the bond markets.(The Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course)

Library of Mistakes
EP 20 The Market Mind Hypothesis (with Patrick Schotanus)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2023 73:27


Welcome to a special, extended episode recorded live at the Library of Mistakes on 15 November 2023. Cognitive economist and investment 'pracademic' Patrick Schotanus discusses his important new book The Market Mind Hypothesis, with an introduction from Russell Napier. Drawing on the thinking of Adam Smith, The Market Mind Hypothesis touches on key issues in economics, investing, and cognitive science, leading to insights that can improve markets, make investing more sustainable, increase the effectiveness of public policy and benefit society.The two quotes that Patrick refers to in his talk are as follows:"Now the issue, as is plain, relates to the treatment of 'consciousness' in human beings. The essence is [economics'] iniststence that we ignore... the existence of conscousness... In oppositioon to this view, I propose... that we cannot treat human beings as... mechanisms, and that we do not want to do so even if it were possible."Frank Knight 1925The global behavor of the market... is reminiscent of... the emergence of consciousness."Didier Sornette 2003[The Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course]

Library of Mistakes
EP 19 Behind the Balance Sheet (with Stephen Clapham)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 6, 2023 40:04


Stephen Clapham joins Russell Napier to discuss the clues and warnings that are often hiding in plain sight within the pages of a company's accounts – and yet are all too often missed by investors and journalists. Steve is the author of The Smart Money Method, and the creator of the Behind The Balance Sheet podcast and the popular online training course of the same name. Join us for an entertaining and insightful conversation.Also, to find out more about Stephen's course, go to: www.behindthebalancesheet.comAnd remember that the Library of Mistakes also runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, go to: www.libraryofmistakes.com/course

Library of Mistakes
EP 18: The Millionaires' Factory (with Joyce Moullakis & Chris Wright)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2023 42:14


Hear the authors of the Millionaires' Factory reveal the inside of story of how Macquarie Bank became a global giant – a fascinating tale which also reflects the profound changes to have taken place across the financial world since 1974. Joyce and Chris are interviewed by Russell Napier, Keeper of the Library of Mistakes, who explores how the story of this institution illuminates issues that affect us all.And remember, that if you'd like to learn more about the world of investment, the Library of Mistakes runs an outstanding course called the Practical History of Financial Markets. To find out more, simply visit www.libraryofmistakes.com/course.

Merryn Talks Money
Fringe Festival Panel Day 1: Russell Napier, Anna MacDonald and James Anderson

Merryn Talks Money

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2023 54:06 Transcription Available


This week, we bring you a lightly edited version of Merryn's panel at the Fringe Festival in Edinburgh called "The Butcher, the Brewer, the Baker and Merryn Somerset Webb." It was held at Panmure House--Adam Smith's residence between 1778 and 1790. We taped this panel on August 26, 2023. Guests include: Russell Napier, Anna MacDonald and James Anderson.Sign up to John Stepek's Money Distilled: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/uk-wealthSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Library of Mistakes
Ep 16 How Private Equity is Plundering America (with Brendan Ballou)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2023 33:13


With a skull and crossbones on the cover, and the title of Plunder: Private Equity's Plan to Pillage America, Brendan Ballou's debut book pulls no punches over the perceived greed and ineptitude of many of America's private equity firms – and the damage they are causing to the economy and society. All the more surprising then that the author is neither a journalist or a retired lawman but very much an active special counsel working for the U.S. Department of Justice. Brendan clearly has a passion for the subject, matched by his deeep knowledge in the field, and his conversation with Russell Napier is as fascinating as it is alarming. Very much worth a listen.For more information on the Advanced Valuation in Financial Markets course mentioned by Russell, please see www.didaskoeducation.org.

Hidden Forces
The New Political-Economy | Russell Napier, Edward Chancellor, & Helen Thompson

Hidden Forces

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 3, 2023 49:07


In Episode 318 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with political and financial historians Edward Chancellor, Russell Napier, and Helen Thompson. All three have appeared individually on the podcast before and joined Demetri ahead of his latest Genius community dinner in London to discuss the changing nature of the international economic and political order. Many of the material changes we are experiencing today are driven by the reversal of multi-decade trends in demographics, globalization, and low-cost, carbon-based energy sources. The ripple effects of these changes on inflation, risk rates, wealth & income distribution, national security, and the ruling legitimacy of national governments are already starting to materialize. Learning to navigate these changes is crucial if you want to remain ahead of the curve. Today's conversation is meant to help you do just that. The episode's second hour begins with a discussion about the energy transition and its geostrategic consequences for resource-rich countries like the US and Russia, for countries that are heavily dependent on energy imports like those in the European Union, and for China, which is investing enormous sums of money into renewables and other, non-carbon-based sources of energy. The panel also discusses the possibility of a rapprochement between the US, Europe, and Russia, avenues for peace between the US and China, and some of the industries and sectors that are positioned to benefit, as well as those that you will want to avoid in this new economic and political paradigm. You can subscribe to our premium content and gain access to our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports (or Key Takeaways) at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page. If you still have questions, feel free to email info@hiddenforces.io, and Demetri or someone else from our team will get right back to you. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 06/29/2023

Money Makers
Weekly Investment Trusts Podcast - with Russell Napier and Janette Rutterford (10 Jun '23)

Money Makers

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2023 53:30


In this week's edition of the Weekly Investment Trust Podcast, Jonathan Davis, editor of the Investment Trusts Handbook, continues his conversation with Russell Napier, chairman of Mid Wynd International Investment Trust (MWY). Listeners can find the first half of this discussion in the podcast released on 27 May 2023. Jonathan then talks to Janette Rutterford, emeritus professor of finance at the Open University, to talk about lessons that can be learnt from the history of investment trusts. Jonathan remains on holiday this week, but Stuart Watson returns to provide the summary of the week's announcements and results. Next week's podcast will be released later than usual, on Tuesday 20 June 2023, after which the normal Saturday schedule will return. Section Timestamps: 00:29 - Coming up this week 01:44 - News and announcements with Stuart Watson 02:45 - Summary of the week's results 10:42 - Money Makers Circle 11:14 - Q&A with Russell Napier (Part 2) 15:16 - Commercial and residential property 17:52 - Thoughts on the investment trusts sector 24:50 - Recommended literature 27:52 - The Library of Mistakes 29:10 - Q&A with Janette Rutterford 29:41 - The Baring Crisis of 1890 35:36 - The 1920s 41:17 - The 1990s and the Split Capital Crisis 46:23 - Split capital trusts 47:29 - Lessons for investors 49:33 - Knowledgeable investing 52:54 - Close Trusts mentioned this week (with tickers): Worldwide Healthcare Trust (WWH), Fidelity China Special Situations (FCSS), STS Global Income and Growth (STS), LXi REIT (LXI), Warehouse REIT (WHR), JZ Capital Partners (JZCP), JPMorgan European Growth and Income (JEGI), Abrdn Japan (AJIT), Schroder Real Estate (SREI), BlackRock Frontiers (BRFI), Edinburgh Worldwide (EWI), JPMorgan Indian (JII), Barings Emerging EMEA Opportunities (BEMO), Abrdn Diversified Income and Growth (ADIG), Residential Secure Income (RESI). If you enjoy the weekly podcast, you may also find value in joining The Money Makers circle. This is a membership scheme that offers listeners to the podcast an opportunity, in return for a modest monthly or annual subscription, to receive additional premium content, including interviews, performance data, market/portfolio reviews and regular extracts from the editor's notebook. This week, as well as the regular features, features a profile of HydrogenOne Capital Growth (HGEN). Next week's profile will be of Pacific Horizon (PHI). For more information about the Money Makers circle, please visit money-makers.co/membership-join. Membership helps to cover the cost of producing the weekly investment trust podcast, which will continue to be free. We are very grateful for your continued support and the enthusiastic response to our over 160 podcasts since launch. You can find more information, including relevant disclosures, at www.money-makers.co. Please note that this podcast is provided for educational purposes only and nothing you hear should be considered as investment advice. Our podcasts are also available on the Association of Investment Companies website, www.theaic.co.uk. Produced by Ben Gamblin.

Library of Mistakes
Ep 15: Controlling Credit (with Eric Monnet)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2023 44:59


Russell Napier meets up with Eric Monnet, former senior economist at the Banque de France and now Professor of Economic History at the Paris School of Econimics. Eric takes us on a journey through the evolution of central banks and credit policy in France, and across western Europe – while also explaining what 'monetary policy without interest rates' looks like.For more information on the Advanced Valuation in Financial Markets course mentioned by Russell, please see www.didaskoeducation.org.

Money Makers
Weekly Investment Trusts Podcast - featuring Russell Napier and Max King (27 May 2023)

Money Makers

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2023 58:58


In this week's edition of the Weekly Investment Trust Podcast, Jonathan Davis, editor of the Investment Trusts Handbook, is joined by financial historian and market strategist Russell Napier, chairman of Mid Wynd International Investment Trust (MWY), in part one of their recent conversation (part two follows next week). Jonathan also speaks to Max King, former investment trust fund manager at Investec. Section Timestamps: 01:05 - The markets this week 03:46 - Investment trusts news 11:21 - This week's results 15:15 - Money Makers Circle 15:42 - Noteable interim results 17:14 - Q&A with Russell Napier (Part 1) 17:43 - The Federal debt ceiling 27:15 - The debt burden 29:40 - The 2% inflation target 36:37 - The attractiveness of bonds going forward 37:31 - Q&A with Max King 37:40 - How the year is panning out 40:46 - The Bank of England's response to inflation 42:22 - The UK market 44:52 - The investment trusts sector 45:31 - Infrastructure and renewables 49:05 - Commercial property 50:59 - Social housing 53:02 - Caledonia Investments (CLDN) and private equity 55:52 - Japanese trusts merger 57:24 - Twitter under Elon Musk 58:22 - Close Gresham House Energy Storage (GRID), CT Property Trust (CTPT) / LondonMetric (LMP), Momentum Multi-Asset Value Trust (MAVT), RM Infrastructure Income (RMII), M&G Credit Income (MGCI), Round Hill Music Royalty Fund (RHM), Capital Gearing Trust (CGT), HICL Infrastructure (HICL), JPMorgan Asia Growth and Income (JAGI), Schroder AsiaPacific (SDP), Henderson European Focus Trust (HEFT), Ediston Property Investment Company (EPIC), Shires Income (SHRS), Rockwood Strategic (RKW), Odyssean (OIT), 3i Infrastructure (3IN), BBGI Global Infrastructure (BBGI), Ashoka WhiteOak Emerging Markets Trust (AWEM), CT Property Trust (CTPT), Primary Health Properties (PHP), Assura (AGR), Derwent London (DLN), Great Portland Estates (GPOR), Shaftesbury Capital (SHC), Land Securities (LAND), TR Property (TRY), Home REIT (HOME), AEW UK REIT (AEWU), Civitas Social Housing (CSH), Caledonia Investments (CLDN), RIT Capital Partners (RCP), Scottish Mortgage (SMT), HG Capital Trust (HGT), 3i Group (III), Literacy Capital (BOOK), Nippon Active Value (NAVF) / Abrdn Japan (AJIT). If you enjoy the weekly podcast, you may also find value in joining The Money Makers circle. This is a membership scheme that offers listeners to the podcast an opportunity, in return for a modest monthly or annual subscription, to receive additional premium content, including interviews, performance data, market/portfolio reviews and regular extracts from the editor's notebook. This week, as well as the regular features, the Circle features a profile of Abrdn Property Income Trust (API). For more information about the Money Makers circle, please visit money-makers.co/membership-join. Membership helps to cover the cost of producing the weekly investment trust podcast, which will continue to be free. We are very grateful for your continued support and the enthusiastic response to our 160 podcasts since launch. You can find more information, including relevant disclosures, at www.money-makers.co. Please note that this podcast is provided for educational purposes only and nothing you hear should be considered as investment advice. Our podcasts are also available on the Association of Investment Companies website, www.theaic.co.uk. Produced by Ben Gamblin.

Master Investors
Is market sentiment emerging from the shadow of the global debt mountain?

Master Investors

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2023 19:38


In this month's Master Investor podcast, Sarah Lowther and Jonathan Davis disagree about the direction of the markets. Lowther, at a grass roots level, sees market sentiment on the up while Davis cites renowned financial strategist Russell Napier who errs caution due to the global accumulation of debt. Napier's thoughts are shared by United States Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen who suggests the U.S. government will run out of money at the beginning of June, and if that happens Davis says June will be 'a lively month'. Davis shares Napier's thoughts on debt eradication and why ‘the right kind of equities' could be a solution. Davis's own solution is 'rack up your risk tolerance', or 'do something less frenetic than watching the markets go up and down every day' which Lowther interprets as permission to study to become a vet. For more investment and economics analysis plus inspiration please visit our website masterinvestor.co.uk.

Merryn Talks Money
Why Governments Won't Let Inflation Go Away

Merryn Talks Money

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 3, 2023 41:48 Transcription Available


Inflation isn't going away. Why? Because governments can't let it. So says market historian Russell Napier, who on this episode of Merryn Talks Money tells host Merryn Somerset Webb that, with the global debt-to-GDP ratio at an historic high, using inflation to eat away at the real value of debt is the only escape route. What that means, Napier says, is that for the first time in a long time politics will matter most to markets. Napier also shares his ideas on how investors can navigate this new environment. He says market indices may fall, but mentions some equities that he says will still make investors real money. Which ones? Tune in to find out. And Money Distilled's finest John Stepek joins to talk about why dividends are due a comeback. Check out his daily newsletter here:https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/uk-wealth See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Stuff That Interests Me
How the nature of money has changed - and what it means for you

Stuff That Interests Me

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2022 9:06


Money evolves constantly. Every day there is some tiny new fintech development, but it's only when you take a step back and look at the ten-, twenty- or thirty-year  picture that you realise just how much things have changed. What is money today is a far cry from what was money when I was a child. Digital technology barely existed back then. We used cash and these things called cheques. You've probably heard of them.It's not just what we use as money that evolves. How money is created - that changes too. And just this decade there has been a major evolution. That's what I am going to talk about today.Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. This post is public so feel free to share it.The creation of money and debtOnce upon a time you would create money by mining gold and silver. But debt-based money systems have also existed since the dawn of civilization, when clay tokens representing valuable items such as barley or sheep would be baked inside clay balls. When the debt was settled the clay balls would be smashed open.Humans, being the ingenious folk they are, especially when it comes to money, soon found that it was quicker to simply inscribe the clay with pictures of said items and so did the first systems of writing develop - hieroglyphics. Coins came along, and then the printing press, both remarkably long-lived technologies, but behind it all there was always metal.Western Europe abandoned gold in 1914 so it could print the money to pay for the First World War, and the United States did the same in 1971 amidst spiralling welfare costs and the conflict in Vietnam. Both years were landmarks in the evolution of money creation.This became the fiat era, when money became debt. Some physical cash was printed or minted, but money for the most part was created when loans were made. You borrow a thousand pounds to buy a house, the bank created that thousand pounds using the house as collateral and suddenly there was a thousand pounds in the housing market that wasn't previously there. That's why houses kept on rising in value - the constant introduction of newly created money through mortgages. Introduce debt into a market and prices rise. If houses were cash based, they'd be a lot cheaper. Something similar happened in the bond markets and the financial markets with the use of leverage. Leverage is just a fancy term for debt.There were occasional moments of credit tightening, but the broader trend, especially as economists and governments became obsessed with what they call growth, was for ever expanding credit.Human beings, being the greedy folk they are, especially when it comes to money, took the whole thing too far, 2008 came along and the bubble went pop.Then a whole way new to create money was invented: Quantitative Easing. Central Banks now started creating money, and they bailed out the financial system with it. Then they started using the money to buy government bonds - so they effectively printed money to pay for government spending. They also bought other financial assets. And so lots of newly created money went into the financial system and from there to the expensive houses in which many of those who work in finance live, and we got another decade or more of rising prices.But because all this newly created money went into financial assets and housing, it didn't show up on the inflation numbers. Central bank inflation measures don't include houses or financial assets. So they said there was no inflation. Then Covid came along. Central banks could now print money and it doesn't create inflation, they thought. They forgot about the sleight of hand that was their inflation measures. So they printed more money and the government handed it out to people. That money made its way into the real economy and now we have inflation. And they are all scratching their heads and blaming Vladimir Putin.But the nature of money creation has changed. Now money is not just debt. Governments are creating it to fund their activities. And when central bank digital currencies come along, they are going to do that even more. As a result governments, are going to play far greater role in where capital gets allocated. We turn to the wise old owl that is financial historian Russell Napier. “By issuing state guarantees on bank credit during the Covid crisis, governments have effectively taken over the levers to control the creation of money”. They said it was temporary, but, to quote the great Milton Friedman, “nothing is so permanent as a temporary government programme”.We now have the War in Ukraine and with it spiralling energy costs - another emergency. How to deal with it? Keep with the programme. Lend money and guarantee loans. Russell Napier again: “By telling banks how and where to grant guaranteed loans, governments can direct investment where they want it to, be it energy, projects aimed at reducing inequality, or general investments to combat climate change. By guiding the growth of credit and therefore the growth of money, they can control the nominal growth of the economy.”It's a huge win for the unelected technocrat. Nobody designed this, nobody planned it, they have just discovered they can do it. And who was at the heart of it all in the UK? Our new Prime Minister. Perhaps, among other things, it means that the age of the all-powerful central bank is coming to an end.“This is a shift of power that cannot be underestimated,” says Napier. “Our whole economic system of the past 40 years was built on the assumption that the growth of credit and therefore broad money in the economy was controlled through the level of interest rates – and that central banks controlled interest rates. But now, when governments take control of private credit creation through the banking system by guaranteeing loans, central banks are pushed out of their role. We are moving from a mechanism where bank credit is controlled by interest rates to a quantitative mechanism that is politicised. This is the politicisation of credit.”Inflation is often accompanied by high unemployment. It was in the 1970s. But we are in an era of low unemployment. Many are struggling to get the staff (at the price they are prepared to pay) - this isn't a Brexit thing. It's happening across Europe and the US.Many government spending programmes will be popular. They'll create a lot more employment. We'll probably get a load more “growth”, which means higher levels of inflation will be more acceptable (and long-lasting).Government is about to get a whole lot more involved in the economy - and in our lives. It ain't getting smaller.How to navigate it all?We turn to our man Russell once more. “First of all: avoid government bonds. Investors in government debt are the ones who will be robbed slowly. Within equities, there are sectors that will do very well. The great problems we have – energy, climate change, defence, inequality, our dependence on production from China – will all be solved by massive investment. This capex boom could last for a long time. Companies that are geared to this renaissance of capital spending will do well. Gold will do well once people realise that inflation won't come down to pre-2020 levels but will settle between 4 and 6%.”Gold is in a downtrend. But we like it. It's even more permanent than a temporary government programme. But the nature of money creation has evolved once more.The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Interested in buying gold? Check out the Pure Gold Company.If you are in or around London on November 24, wearing my comedy hat, I'm doing a gig with the Gilets Jaunes - that's my band - at Crazy Coqs in Piccadilly Circus underneath Brasserie Zedel. It's a fantastic venue for this kind of thing. It's going to be a great night. Please come on down.This article first appeared at Moneyweek. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe

Library of Mistakes
Ep 8: Lex Greensill and the Pyramid of Lies (with Duncan Mavin)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2022 38:48


How did Australian farmer Lex Greensill convince the likes of Credit Suisse and the Softbank Vision Fund that he was a highly investable fintech entrepreneur? Why was former UK Prime Minister David Cameron recruited as a lobbyist? And what caused Greensill's 'pioneering' chain finance model to collapse with the loss of billions of dollars? Join our host Russell Napier as investigative journalist Duncan Mavin reveals a tale of greed, deceit and incompetence.Duncan Mavin is the author of The Pyramid Of Lies: Lex Greensill and the Billion-Dollar Scandal, published by Pan Macmillan.For more information on the Advanced Valuation in Financial Markets course mentioned by Russell, please see www.didaskoeducation.org.

BFM :: The Breakfast Grille
Some Haven't Learnt The Lessons Of The Asian Financial Crisis

BFM :: The Breakfast Grille

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2022 27:20


It's been a month since the 25th anniversary of the 1997 Asian financial crisis which wreaked havoc in much of East Asia and Southeast Asia. What were the fundamental impact of the crisis to the region's economic policies and what lessons can we take away from it as concerns of another economic crisis draws near? Russell Napier, author and cofounder of the think tank ERIC explains.

Library of Mistakes
Ep 7 The Price Of Time (with Edward Chancellor)

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2022 36:52


All economic and financial activities take place across time – and interest coordinates those activities. The story of capitalism is thus the story of interest: the price that individuals, companies and nations pay to borrow money. Edward Chancellor could barely have chosen a more topical moment to publish a book about the history of interest rates (The Price Of Time), and host Russell Napier opens this fascinating interview by asking him if one of the problems that economies face is that interest rates are expected to perform too many functions.(Note to listeners: Edward's first answer is accompanied by some effusive birdsong, but our feathered friends settle down after that.)For more information on the Advanced Valuation in Financial Markets course mentioned by Russell, please see www.didaskoeducation.org.

Hidden Forces
How to Survive in the New Economic & Financial Order | Russell Napier

Hidden Forces

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2022 54:11 Very Popular


In Episode 243 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with investor and financial historian Russell Napier. Russel was on the podcast a year ago for a conversation about his book on the Asian Financial Crisis and “The Birth of the Age of Debt.” Today's episode picks up where that conversation left off, building on the foundations of the post-Bretton Woods system of flexible exchange rates and dollar hegemony to speculate on what comes next—on what the new order that is now being born will look like, how it will operate, and what its implications will be for economies, industries, portfolios, and the role of the dollar in the new, international monetary system. It's a conversation about inflation, war, and how to position oneself for a new world where old assumptions about monetary policy, risk-taking, and the power and influence of governments to shape economic opportunities will need to be radically rethought. Understanding who the winners and losers of this new economic and political order will be, as well as the asset classes, industries, and companies that will benefit from it is an imperative for investors. This conversation is meant to help you develop the mindset and strategies that you will need to navigate this new world. You can access the full episode, transcript, and intelligence report to this week's conversation by going directly to the episode page at HiddenForces.io and clicking on "premium extras." All subscribers gain access to our premium feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 04/07/2022

Library of Mistakes
The Financial Cold War

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2022 45:38


As the West seeks to punish Russia for its invasion of Ukraine through financial sanctions, Russell Napier meets an expert on how this kind of warfare tends to play out. In a timely and thought-provoking discussion, he puts the questions to James Fok, author of Financial Cold War – A View of Sino-US Relations from the Financial Markets.

Library of Mistakes
Iceland's Secret – The Untold Story Of The World's Biggest Con

Library of Mistakes

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 21, 2022 35:43


In this first episode of the Library of Mistakes podcast series, Russell Napier explores the 2008 financial collapse of Iceland with Jared Bibler, author of Iceland's Secret – The Untold Story Of The World's Biggest Con. After moving from the US financial world to Iceland in search of a quieter life, Jared found himself working for the nation's tiny, cash-strapped regulator, digging into multi-billion-dollar crimes carried out by top executives. His page-turner of a book provides a fascinating basis for this entertaining discussion.