Podcasts about cahaly

Robert Cahaly of the Trafalgar Group is best known for being the pollster who spotted Donald Trump's support in 2016 and his path to a shocking victory. Eight years later, American politics is in even more turmoil and the current state of polling is a matter of great debate.Cahaly covers all of this with NHJournal's Michael Graham, and he shares his predictions for the U.S. Senate races across the country. And of course -- who will win the POTUS race?Sponsored by Dr. Bruce Houghton and Perfect Smiles of Nashua.

The lead pollster for Trafalger Group explains how difficult it is to find the hidden Trump voter, and why that's become even more difficult since 2016.

In this episode, Lisa delves into the chaotic presidential election, marked by events like the attempted assassination of Donald Trump and Joe Biden's withdrawal. Pollster Robert Cahaly from the Trafalgar Group provides insights into the challenges of polling during such a tumultuous cycle. He discusses the impact of recent debates, voter behavior, and the strategies of both parties. Cahaly highlights the significance of battleground states and the influence of social desirability bias on polling data. The Truth with Lisa Boothe is part of the Clay Travis & Buck Sexton Podcast Network - nw episodes debut every Monday & Thursday. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The head pollster for Trafalger joins the Annie Frey Show with a track record in presidental elections that rivals the best of them.  Hear what he has to say about Trump and Republican chances in this election.  

Dom welcomes in Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster of the Trafalgar Group, back onto the Dom Giordano Program to hear what his group is discovering through their continued polling this 2024 presidential election season. First, Cahaly tells what his group does that has produced accurate results for the past few elections, noting strategies employed by Trafalgar in gathering data that isn't used by other polling services. Then, Cahaly discusses the overall forecast of the election, noting that Kamala Harris poses a much better chance against Trump, particularly in very important states. Cahaly suggests what needs to be done by conservatives if they hope to change these polls, and offers whether he believes this to be solely a honeymoon phase for the Democratic candidate. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Full Hour | In today's third hour, Dom welcomes in Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster of the Trafalgar Group, back onto the Dom Giordano Program to hear what his group is discovering through their continued polling this 2024 presidential election season. First, Cahaly tells what his group does that has produced accurate results for the past few elections, noting strategies employed by Trafalgar in gathering data that isn't used by other polling services. Then, Cahaly discusses the overall forecast of the election, noting that Kamala Harris poses a much better chance against Trump, particularly in very important states. Cahaly suggests what needs to be done by conservatives if they hope to change these polls, and offers whether he believes this to be solely a honeymoon phase for the Democratic candidate. Then, Dom welcomes in Robin Shaffer, President of Protect Our Coast NJ, back onto the Dom Giordano Program to discuss a hearing happening down the shore as we speak featuring congressional members and experts discussing the negative implications of wind energy on coastal towns. Shaffer takes us through what Rep. Jeff Van Drew, Rep. Scott Perry, and others are noting about the blind push to force windmills upon shoregoers and residents.

Trafalgar Group Robert Cahaly breaks down weak job reports, falling market numbers directly linkage to Bidenomics and why Kamala Harris's seemingly terrific polling numbers will only be a “honeymoon” phase. Cahaly comments that reason that her numbers have soared in recent weeks is due to the “group of people that are building it up. The media is letting her hide from her record, letting her literally do more flip flops than John Kerry and not reporting it, and also a lot of the media and establishment polling company.”See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Chief Pollster at the Trafalger Group explains how many polls artificially inflated Trump's popularity just before the verdict so they could drop the numbers after it came out.  

Towery and Cahaly discuss the upcoming presidential debate and the potential implications for Joe Biden's candidacy. They speculate on what might happen if Biden performs poorly and debate the strategic options for the Democratic Party. They also touch on the possibility of Biden being replaced as the nominee and the timing of such a decision. Towery brings up the analogy of Richard Nixon's resignation and suggests that Biden could be 'Nixoned' if he doesn't make it through the debate.  They also discuss the media bias and the coverage of Biden and Trump. Towery mentions the importance of the democracy theme for the Democrats and how it may or may not resonate with voters. They briefly touch on sports and the upcoming Olympics.  The conversation concludes with a lighthearted discussion about Mick Jagger and drug use. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, Lisa welcomes Robert Cahaly from the Trafalgar Group to discuss the aftermath of the Iowa caucuses and the outlook for the New Hampshire primary. They analyze Donald Trump's significant win in Iowa and the implications for Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley. Cahaly explains the accuracy of their polling, attributing it to measuring voter intensity and the impact of the subzero temperatures on turnout. The conversation also covers the strong support for Trump among Republicans, despite legal challenges and media attacks, and the diminishing prospects for other candidates. They speculate on the potential general election matchup between Trump and Biden, touching on key issues like immigration, the economy, and national security concerns. Subscribe now to The Truth with Lisa Boothe - new episodes debut every Monday & Thursday. Follow Clay & Buck on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/clayandbuckSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode, Lisa welcomes Robert Cahaly from the Trafalgar Group to discuss the aftermath of the Iowa caucuses and the outlook for the New Hampshire primary. They analyze Donald Trump's significant win in Iowa and the implications for Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley. Cahaly explains the accuracy of their polling, attributing it to measuring voter intensity and the impact of the subzero temperatures on turnout. The conversation also covers the strong support for Trump among Republicans, despite legal challenges and media attacks, and the diminishing prospects for other candidates. They speculate on the potential general election matchup between Trump and Biden, touching on key issues like immigration, the economy, and national security concerns. Subscribe now to The Truth with Lisa Boothe - new episodes debut every Monday & Thursday. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

John talks politicsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Full Hour | In today's third hour, Dom continues the Dom Giordano Program by welcoming in Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster for the Trafalgar Group, to hear what he thinks will happen after Robert Kennedy Jr. announced over the weekend that he'd be running as an Independent. First though, Cahaly and Giordano trash talk a bit back and forth with Cahaly being a lifelong and hardcore Atlanta Braves fan, as the division rivals set to begin their playoff runs which will likely cross paths. Then, Cahaly gets into the meat of the call, explaining the implications that Kennedy will be as a disrupter for Biden, but also tells that he's concerned that public discourse shifts and he starts to peel voters away from Trump. Then, after playing Dom's Money Melody, Dan tells Dom that he's gotten into a Twitter argument with good friend of the show @PhillyCrimeUpd from Twitter. On Twitter, PCU posted critique of a Temple Public Safety announcement that tells of all the crime that persisted over the weekend in Philadelphia, suggesting that this is an attempt to normalize the crime that we see play out on their campus. (Photo by Don Murray/Getty Images)

Dom continues the Dom Giordano Program by welcoming in Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster for the Trafalgar Group, to hear what he thinks will happen after Robert Kennedy Jr. announced over the weekend that he'd be running as an Independent. First though, Cahaly and Giordano trash talk a bit back and forth with Cahaly being a lifelong and hardcore Atlanta Braves fan, as the division rivals set to begin their playoff runs which will likely cross paths. Then, Cahaly gets into the meat of the call, explaining the implications that Kennedy will be as a disrupter for Biden, but also tells that he's concerned that public discourse shifts and he starts to peel voters away from Trump. (Photo by Mario Tama/Getty Images)

In this episode, Lisa is joined by Robert Cahaly from the Trafalgar Group who provides insight into the current state of the Republican primary field and the strength of Donald Trump's support. They discuss how candidates are shifting and realigning based on their performance, with DeSantis' supporters moving to other candidates like Chris Christie and Mike Pence. Cahaly highlights Trump's strong support from the Republican base, despite facing multiple indictments and impeachments. They also discuss potential strategies for Democrats, the impact of third-party candidates, and the vulnerabilities of both Trump and Biden in the upcoming election. The Truth with Lisa Boothe is part of the iHeartRadio Podcast Network - new episodes debut every Monday and Thursday.Follow Clay & Buck on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/clayandbuckSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode, Lisa is joined by Robert Cahaly from the Trafalgar Group who provides insight into the current state of the Republican primary field and the strength of Donald Trump's support. They discuss how candidates are shifting and realigning based on their performance, with DeSantis' supporters moving to other candidates like Chris Christie and Mike Pence. Cahaly highlights Trump's strong support from the Republican base, despite facing multiple indictments and impeachments. They also discuss potential strategies for Democrats, the impact of third-party candidates, and the vulnerabilities of both Trump and Biden in the upcoming election. The Truth with Lisa Boothe is part of the iHeartRadio Podcast Network - new episodes debut every Monday and Thursday.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster with the Trafalgar Group, returns to the Dom Giordano Program to discuss the political climate as former President Donald Trump flies from Florida to New York City for an indictment in relation to alleged hush money payments paid to porn star Stormy Daniels. Cahaly lays forth what this means for DeSantis, and runs through recent polling that points to whether DeSantis has furthered or dampened his chances after this. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Full Hour | In today's third hour, Dom welcomes in John McNesby, President of Philadelphia's FOP Lodge 5, the local police union, to hear his thoughts after the incident over the weekend in which police were surrounded in multiple locations by ATVs and dirt bikes who slashed tires and attempted to set a car on fire. Also, Dom gets an update on a potential mayoral endorsement, and hears from John how he feels about ‘savesies,' after the topic came up last hour. Then, Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster with the Trafalgar Group, returns to the Dom Giordano Program to discuss the political climate as former President Donald Trump flies from Florida to New York City for an indictment in relation to alleged hush money payments paid to porn star Stormy Daniels. Cahaly lays forth what this means for DeSantis, and runs through recent polling that points to whether DeSantis has furthered or dampened his chances after this. (Photo by Getty Images)

On this Salcedo Storm Podcast: Robert Cahaly is the founder of The Trafalgar Group, one of the nation's most respected polling firms. Cahaly provides expert and honest analysis to elected officials, corporations, organizations, campaigns, PACs, and high net worth individuals.

On this episode we talk about providing value in business and the fact that cost is only an issue in the absence of value.  

Full Hour | In today's second hour, Dom welcomes in Fox News host Jesse Watters onto the Dom Giordano Program to discuss multiple topics of the day. First, Dom commends Watters on his great coverage of the Tyre Nichols video as it broke live during his show. Watters explains that everything viewers saw that night was what was genuinely happening live as the host and panelists dissected and digested the video. Then, producer Dan chides Jesse a bit for not wearing Eagles green to the NFC Championship, with Watters explaining his just reasoning behind not wearing the colors of his favorite football team. Then, Dom and Jesse get into the Biden classified document scandal and the news today that Hunter Biden has sued because of his laptop, for the first time admitting that the laptop was indeed his. Also, Jesse tells about his protégé for his man-on-the-street segments, and offers some hair tips to listeners. Then, Dom welcomes Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster of Trafalgar Group, back onto the Dom Giordano Program. First, Dom asks if Cahaly has ever done polling around whether the day after the Super Bowl should be a national holiday. Then, Dom and Cahaly hop into national politics, with Dom asking Cahaly about recent polling out of South Carolina regarding the Republican frontrunner for President, with Cahaly explaining the polling that still shows Trump with a lead over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. (Photo by Jason Koerner/Getty Images)

Dom welcomes Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster of Trafalgar Group, back onto the Dom Giordano Program. First, Dom asks if Cahaly has ever done polling around whether the day after the Super Bowl should be a national holiday. Then, Dom and Cahaly hop into national politics, with Dom asking Cahaly about recent polling out of South Carolina regarding the Republican frontrunner for President, with Cahaly explaining the polling that still shows Trump with a lead over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

In this installment of Best Of The Gist, we look at the squishiest of science: cancelation and polling. Up first, we feature an installment of Cancel Court from Thursday's episode of Not Even Mad, our sister podcast. Listen in as Mike, Virginia Heffernan, and Jamie Kirchick attempt to rule on the cancelation of Brooklyn Nets point guard Kyrie Irving for the anti-Semitic remarks he made in a recent documentary? Next, we'll listen back to Mike's 2020 interview with Robert Cahaly, head pollster of the Atlanta-based Trafalgar Group. Cahaly explains their polling methodology in gathering accurate opinion data, why social desirability bias comes into play, and how his team was able to predict Trump's win in 2016.  Produced by Joel Patterson and Corey Wara Email us at thegist@mikepesca.com To advertise on the show, visit: https://advertisecast.com/TheGist    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Chief Pollster of the Trafalgar Group, Robert Cahaly, says there is a segment of Republican voters, that he calls “submerged voters,” that are convinced that the Biden administration has criminalized political thought and behavior, and are not showing up in the polling. Cahaly says that people should be watching for these voters as they don't poll, but will show up to vote, and could have a major shift on numbers today.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Howie is joined by Robert Cahaly, the founder of the Trafalgar Group. Cahaly talks midterm surveying and how it's looking for Republicans come next Tuesday, namely Herschel Walker in Georgia and Doug Mastriano in Pennsylvania. Then, Howie brings out the newest Biden audio featuring "earpiece moments" and gaffes upon gaffes.

Ryan Wiggins welcomes Robert C. Cahaly to the show to discuss midterm polling data. Cahaly shares what makes Trafalgar different than other polling groups, what races we should keep a close eye on, and his ultimate prediction for the state of Illinois going red.

Leading Republican Pollster Robert Cahaly says anti-Trump establishment is refusing to fund Mastriano even though it's a swing state; because if Mastriano wins, it would show Trump's strength for 2024. Cahaly says it's hard to predict how the election goes in Pennsylvania because so many people are immeasurable who just quit participating because they're afraid their polling data will be given to the government and used to make a MAGA list of people to be targeted. If people think taking a poll would put them on a list, they won't take the poll but chances are, they will vote. Mastriano is depending on them.  Cahaly says, if the election were held today, Republicans would win the House by 30 or more seats and win a Senate majority by 2-3 seats. But the Marxist Dems can still do something crazy in the week that remains. GUEST: ROBERT CAHALY, THE TRAFALGAR GROUP

Expert pollster Robert Cahaly founder of the Trafalgar group shares the loophole to midterm predictions. After President Biden and the far left-wing of the democrat party labeled MAGA voters as extremist, Cahaly's secret to gathering accurate polls has become essential to this years midterm election predictions. Tune in as Rebecca Weber taps into the mind of this political pollster and hear what he thinks is in store for midterms and 2024!

On today's special show, we are joined by the man of the hour, Robert Cahaly of Trafalgar Group. He explains why he believes Republicans will overperform the polling, how the Left manipulates polls to create self-fulfilling prophecies, and which surprises to look for on election night. Cahaly also explains which issues loom large in which states, particularly the potency of the crime issue. Also, where was he right and where was he wrong in 2020? You'll be surprised by his answer. Either way, more than a red wave, our focus should be on a "red mandate" to immediately reverse all of the radical policies destroying our country, families, bodies, and economy.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dom welcomes in Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster at Trafalgar Group, for an updating on polling in Philadelphia's midterm elections for Senate and Governor. First, Dom asks Cahaly about recent polling results that shows strides made by Republicans in minority communities, with Cahaly explaining that Oz's celebrity has helped him heavily in breaking through as many like him from television. Cahaly and Giordano discuss other strides made by both the Oz and Mastriano camps, but discuss what Mastriano needs to do to further have a chance coming up. (Photo by Getty Images)

Full Hour | In today's second hour, Dom receives a call from a new caller Scooter Mo, a former scooter cop in the New York City Police Department. Scooter Mo tells us how he was able to take his precincts and, using only an Eastman UTV and a pair of binoculars, cut crime by striking accountability into the criminal element of the community. Then, Dom offers up a topic presented on the social media platform Reddit, in which a person asked if it was OK to have a dry wedding. Then, Dom welcomes in Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster at Trafalgar Group, for an updating on polling in Philadelphia's midterm elections for Senate and Governor. First, Dom asks Cahaly about recent polling results that shows strides made by Republicans in minority communities, with Cahaly explaining that Oz's celebrity has helped him heavily in breaking through as many like him from television. Cahaly and Giordano discuss other strides made by both the Oz and Mastriano camps, but discuss what Mastriano needs to do to further have a chance coming up. (Photo by Getty Images)

Join Jim and Greg as they cheer House Republicans for planning to shine a bright spotlight on China's many atrocities at home and abroad - from pushing fentanyl into the U.S. to supply chain vulnerability to the persecution of the Uighurs. They also discuss the unique polling approach of the Trafalgar surveys and what it will mean if Republican voters are even more reticent to say who they support but are more determined than ever to vote. And they sigh as Twitter promises ramped-up "fact-checking" that will ramp up before the midterms.

Join Jim and Greg as they cheer House Republicans for planning to shine a bright spotlight on China’s many atrocities at home and abroad – from pushing fentanyl into the U.S. to supply chain vulnerability to the persecution of the Uighurs. They also discuss the unique polling approach of the Trafalgar surveys and what it […]

On Monday's Mark Levin Show, the U.S has some former Presidents who have done very nasty things and the Department of Justice did nothing at all. In fact, many Attorneys General and federal prosecutors routinely mishandle classified information as they travel in their vehicles, and no one prosecutes them. But Biden's Department of Justice decided to use a SWAT team to raid a pro-life Catholic activist. After a judge threw out the case, AG Merrick Garland picked it up. The family was raided by a SWAT Team with 15 vehicles and all 7 of their small children watched in terror. Then, the White House and its economic advisor are backpedaling on the impending global recession. No matter how hard the Democrats try to spin inflation, the American people know what they're spending at the grocery store and the gas pump. Later, why isn't the media covering the carnage left behind by Hurricane Fiona in Puerto Rico? The media hasn't been focused on talking to FEMA or reporting how many homes still don't have electricity. Why won't the media hold Biden accountable on his disaster response the way they do to Gov Ron DeSantis and others? Afterward, Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster and Founder of The Trafalgar Group, joins the show to discuss how many polls are creating narratives that affect voters rather than reflect voter sentiment. Cahaly says that recent polls show a sizable Republican advantage on the generic ballot.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

John talks politics with Robert Cahaly and Scott BaughSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Pollsters on the Left are putting out agenda driven polls done by media or universities trying to keep the American public from accepting GOP will have a big year.  Robert Cahaly says the single biggest issue this fall is student loan forgiveness.  Nothing this year has evoked more visceral reaction than  asking someone who works with their hands for a living to pay off student loans for someone more affluent.  Cahaly says Biden's nasty, hateful speech going after MAGA Republicans has created submerged voters.  They don't want anyone to know what their MAGA positions are.  They're radio silent, they're so angry and they'll stay submerged until election day.  Cahaly fears some of those submerged voters now fear the govt so much, that they won't vote.  GUEST:  ROBERT CAHALY, THE TRAFALGAR GROUP

Democrats this weekend have resorted to Anti Semitic attacks on Zeldin by AOC and social democrats are backfiring as Jewish and Christian support reject the attacks sourced by fake jew athiest satanist Soros vs the first serious Jewish contender to be governor. Cahaly is confirming that Americans are getting this and are ticked off. They're going to punish the Democrats for pushing the idea. Now we're seeing races that one wouldn't have thought would be close suddenly turning tight like the governor's race in New York where Republican Lee Zeldin now has a real chance. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mike-k-cohen/support

In today's third hour, Dom welcomes Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster of the Trafalgar Group, back onto the Dom Giordano Program to discuss surprising results in Pennsylvania. After months of what looked to be becoming a landslide in favor of John Fetterman in his Senate race against Dr. Mehmet Oz, Cahaly reports that Oz has made up some ground, now sitting only about 5 points behind the Democratic front-runner. Also, Cahaly takes us inside the polling concerning the gubernatorial race, which has also exhibited a change in favor of the Republican candidate, with Doug Mastriano climbing within 4 percentage points. Cahaly takes us inside the polling, breaking down polling results based on demographic, and telling of a trend that he's seeing with senior citizens. (Photo by Getty Images)

Full Hour | In today's third hour, Dom welcomes Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster of the Trafalgar Group, back onto the Dom Giordano Program to discuss surprising results in Pennsylvania. After months of what looked to be becoming a landslide in favor of John Fetterman in his Senate race against Dr. Mehmet Oz, Cahaly reports that Oz has made up some ground, now sitting only about 5 points behind the Democratic front-runner. Also, Cahaly takes us inside the polling concerning the gubernatorial race, which has also exhibited a change in favor of the Republican candidate, with Doug Mastriano climbing within 4 percentage points. Cahaly takes us inside the polling, breaking down polling results based on demographic, and telling of a trend that he's seeing with senior citizens.   Then, Giordano welcomes back John Siciliano, Executive Director of the Greater Wildwoods Tourism Improvement and Development Authority, to discuss what's coming up in the great shore destination. First, Dom asks John for some commentary on how this year's season has turned out for the City, with John revealing some great news for the return of tourism as we claw our way back out of Coronavirus. Then, Giordano asks Siciliano about the ‘local summer,' or the shoulder season of September and October, with Siciliano taking Dom and listeners through multiple upcoming events in the Wildwoods.

The Chief Pollster and Founder of The Trafalgar Group, Robert C. Cahaly joins AFS to share how the Mar-A-Lago raid affected voters. Cahaly and Annie then discuss the science behind the “red wave” and what impact it will bring to the midterms. The interview closes out with Cahaly sharing how he conducts his surveys. © 2022 KFTK (Audacy). All rights reserved. | (Photo by Eva Marie Uzcategui/Getty Images)

Farmers say the cost of pesticide and fertilizer is up 300%, diesel fuel has doubled. The question is, is this the peak? Just how bad will it get? Dems says we're transitioning—to what? The Green New Deal, Green Economy or the Leftist New World Order? Pollster Robert Cahaly says Americans look in every direction and see something wrong and government making it all worse, not better. Cahaly says there's a new sense of activism in America. New people are coming into politics and he predicts we'll see wholesale changes locally and up to the federal level.   GUESTS: SENATOR MARSHA BLACKBURN AND POLLSTER & STRATEGIST ROBERT CAHALY

Robert C. Cahaly, the Chief Pollster and founder of The Trafalgar Group, joins AFS to discuss the Missouri Senate Race. Cahaly gets deep into detail about the shocking poll results and shares his thoughts on who he thinks is gonna claim Roy Blunt's seat. Annie asks Cahaly about the power of endorsements and political attack advertisements. You don't wanna miss this interview!

Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster for The Trafalgar Group, rejoins the Dom Giordano Program to break down some recent polling results, both locally in Pennsylvania and nationally ahead of the 2024 election. First, Dom asks Cahaly about a recent poll that the Group held concerning the Convention of States, asking why the organization regularly polls voters on their opinion of the Convention of States, and why he feels it's a good reflection of how certain States vote. Then, Giordano asks Cahaly how polls have settled following the Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, with the expert telling how he believes the issue will affect the midterm elections. Finally, Dom and Cahaly discuss recent polling results centered on the 2024 Presidential election, with Trump showing a surprising lead over Biden due to the failure of Biden's policies. (Photo by Mario Tama/Getty Images)

Full Hour | Today, Dom led off the Dom Giordano Program by breaking some local news, telling that the Pennsylvania Supreme Court has ruled in favor of former Philadelphia Police Officer Ryan Pownall before his upcoming trial for the murder of Daniel Jones, a black man who was fleeing from police when he was killed. According to the decision, the prosecutor challenged a likely defense shooting permitted under PA state law justifying the use of deadly force. Dom spends a majority of the first half hour discussing the case and taking calls, then introduces the side question, asking listeners for people throughout history who displayed ‘guts.' Then, Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster for The Trafalgar Group, rejoins the Dom Giordano Program to break down some recent polling results, both locally in Pennsylvania and nationally ahead of the 2024 election. First, Dom asks Cahaly about a recent poll that the Group held concerning the Convention of States, asking why the organization regularly polls voters on their opinion of the Convention of States, and why he feels it's a good reflection of how certain States vote. Then, Giordano asks Cahaly how polls have settled following the Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, with the expert telling how he believes the issue will affect the midterm elections. Finally, Dom and Cahaly discuss recent polling results centered on the 2024 Presidential election, with Trump showing a surprising lead over Biden due to the failure of Biden's policies. (Photo by Scott Heins/Getty Images)

Founder and Chief Pollster of The Trafalgar group chats with Annie about what the latest polls are saying about Illinois. 

Matt Towery, pollster, attorney and syndicated columnist and Robert Cahaly, of the Trafalgar Group discuss today's primaries around the nation, including the contentious state of PA. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster at the Trafalgar Group, rejoins the Dom Giordano Program after some surprising polling results in the most recent Trafalgar poll. Giordano has repeatedly had Cahaly on due to his trust of Trafalgar polling, many times complimenting the different strategies employed by the organization when performing their polling. Cahaly reveals that Barnette has skyrocketed in popularity in recent polling, now nipping at the heels of Dr. Mehmet Oz and joining Dave McCormick, now making the battle a three horse race. Also, Giordano asks for Cahaly's opinion on new polling in the gubernatorial race pointing to Mastriano as a clear front-runner in the race, with the polling expert pointing to the release of 2000 Mules as a huge benefit to candidates using voter integrity as a cornerstone issue in their campaign. (Photo by Mario Tama/Getty Images)

Full Hour | In today's second hour, Giordano leads off the Dom Giordano Program by posting a new poll on Twitter asking listeners who they'd support for Governor of Pennsylvania if the Republican primary were tomorrow. Dom goes through each candidate, discussing what he likes and dislikes about each individual candidate. Dom plays back a clip of Doug Mastriano hanging up on an interview, and asks whether or not Republicans could actually win with Mastriano representing the party in a general election. Then, Giordando offers an update on the Supreme Court situation pertaining to abortion and Roe v. Wade, telling about the security detail needed by Justice Alito to fend off angry protestors. Then, Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster at the Trafalgar Group, rejoins the Dom Giordano Program after some surprising polling results in the most recent Trafalgar poll. Giordano has repeatedly had Cahaly on due to his trust of Trafalgar polling, many times complimenting the different strategies employed by the organization when performing their polling. Cahaly reveals that Barnette has skyrocketed in popularity in recent polling, now nipping at the heels of Dr. Mehmet Oz and joining Dave McCormick, now making the battle a three horse race. Also, Giordano asks for Cahaly's opinion on new polling in the gubernatorial race pointing to Mastriano as a clear front-runner in the race, with the polling expert pointing to the release of 2000 Mules as a huge benefit to candidates using voter integrity as a cornerstone issue in their campaign. (Photo by Getty Images)

The Trafalgar Group's founder and chief pollster, Robert Cahaly, returns to The Prediction Trade to walk through the 2022 midterms. Cahaly talks about his record—a winner prediction ratio of nearly 92%—and explains how his company approaches polling differently. He shares predictions for several midterm nominations, discusses how a Trump endorsement can flip a race, and contemplates the probability of Joe Biden or Kamala Harris leading the Democratic ticket in 2024.

The Trafalgar Group's founder and chief pollster, Robert Cahaly, returns to The Prediction Trade to walk through the 2022 midterms. Cahaly talks about his record—a winner prediction ratio of nearly 92%—and explains how his company approaches polling differently. He shares predictions for several midterm nominations, discusses how a Trump endorsement can flip a race, and contemplates the probability of Joe Biden or Kamala Harris leading the Democratic ticket in 2024.

The Trafalgar Group's founder and chief pollster, Robert Cahaly, returns to The Prediction Trade to walk through the 2022 midterms. Cahaly talks about his record—a winner prediction ratio of nearly 92%—and explains how his company approaches polling differently. He shares predictions for several midterm nominations, discusses how a Trump endorsement can flip a race, and contemplates the probability of Joe Biden or Kamala Harris leading the Democratic ticket in 2024. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Then, Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster at the Trafalgar Group, rejoins the Dom Giordano Program to discuss polling results his organization has seen in the Pennsylvania Senate and Gubernatorial races. Giordano first reminds listeners who Trafalgar is, telling about their success in predicting Trump's win and their past midterm success. Then, Giordano asks Cahaly about the unconventional tactics that Trafalgar uses to help solidify the accuracy of their polls, with Cahaly telling in-depth the strategies that his organization employs. Finally, Giordano and Cahaly discuss the polling results in Pennsylvania, with Oz winning their April 15th poll on the Senate race, and Mastriano winning the Governor poll, with both offering their political expertise to justify why both candidates have proven well in polling. (Photo by Getty Images)

Full Hour | In today's third hour, Dom welcomes in Bill McSwain, gubernatorial candidate for Governor in Pennsylvania. First, Giordano asks McSwain about Larry Krasner's continued reliance and doubling down on progressive policies, with McSwain lamenting that those who suffer most are the communities that need the most help. Then, Giordano asks McSwain about comments made by President Trump about his gubernatorial candidacy, with the former President calling Bill a coward due to his relationship with Bill Barr, with McSwain explaining why he refuses to take any shots at the former President even though he vehemently disagrees with his assessment of the situation. Then, after McSwain and playing Dom's Money Melody, Giordano returns to the topic of Larry Krasner and the crime wave in Philadelphia, discussing the way Krasner's office continues to reframe and pass blame on crime to anybody but himself. Then, Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster at the Trafalgar Group, rejoins the Dom Giordano Program to discuss polling results his organization has seen in the Pennsylvania Senate and Gubernatorial races. Giordano first reminds listeners who Trafalgar is, telling about their success in predicting Trump's win and their past midterm success. Then, Giordano asks Cahaly about the unconventional tactics that Trafalgar uses to help solidify the accuracy of their polls, with Cahaly telling in-depth the strategies that his organization employs. Finally, Giordano and Cahaly discuss the polling results in Pennsylvania, with Oz winning their April 15th poll on the Senate race, and Mastriano winning the Governor poll, with both offering their political expertise to justify why both candidates have proven well in polling. (Photo by Getty Images)

Annie chats with Robert Cahaly, a chief pollster at the Trafalgar Group about the polling results from the Missouri Senate Race. Annie asks Cahaly about the process of the Trafalgar polling group, and what they have found out so far about the Missouri Open Seat. At the end of the segment, Annie asks Cahaly about the Biden family conflict poll.  © 2022 KFTK (Audacy). All rights reserved. |(iStock / Getty Images Plus)

GOP Pollster Robert Cahaly of The Trafalgar Group says an overwhelming amount of Americans still disapprove of Biden. Cahaly also talks his latest polling that shows Americans favor sending fighter planes to support Ukraine and a no fly zone over the country. Trump endorsed candidate, Katie Arrington says shame on Biden for not being more aggressive in defending our our partners around the world and standing up to Putin & defending the people of Ukraine. She says he is the weakest president in U.S. history.   GUEST:  ROBERT CAHALY, TRAFALGAR GROUP AND KATIE ARRINGTON, SOUTH CAROLINA CONGRESSIONAL CANDIDATE 

GOP Strategist and Award Winning Pollster Robert Cahaly urges Republicans to stay fired up to win in 2022.  Kinzinger and Cheney are the Dems useful idiots on the Jan 6 Committee.  GUEST:  ROBERT CAHALY, TRAFALGAR GROUP

The Trafalgar Group is probably best known as one of the few polling firms that predicted the Trump surge in 2016. They also spotted the GOP's surprisingly strong performance in 2020. Now, Trafalgar's CEO Robert Cahaly is on the New Hampshire Journal podcast to talk about his new poll of Granite State voters, as well as the trends for 2022 he's seeing in polling across the U.S. And he answers one of the most frequently-asked questions among Republican activists: Are Biden's bad numbers tanking too soon? Does the GOP still have time to blow the midterms?(Spoiler alert: The GOP can ALWAYS blow an election.)Cahaly discusses all this and more with host Michael Graham of InsideSources and Drew Cline of the Josiah Bartlett Center for Public Policy.

On today's show: Vicky Hartzler, U.S. Representative for the 4th District of Missouri and member of the House Armed Services Committee, discusses the Pentagon leadership's testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee over the disastrous

Rutgers University's Harry Crane discusses his new research comparing the accuracy of polling models with the prediction markets following the November election, giving FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver another reason to troll tweet.  Also, Trafalgar Group's Robert Cahaly tips off TPT to some potentially market-moving poll results he is about to release about the upcoming Georgia Senate races. Follow Harry Crane on Twitter @HarryDCrane, visit Researchers.One for his Models vs. Markets white paper and check out his website at harrycrane.com.   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Politicians in My Eyes (Death, 1974) is the theme song of The Political Trade. Courtesy of Bank Robber Music.

Before you place any more political bets, check out pollster Robert Cahaly of Trafalgar Group's explanation of why he beat his polling peers in the past two election cycles, how he nailed the Electoral College outcome in 2016 and why the polls are wrong again in 2020. Cahaly calls the swing states, two key Senate toss-ups and some Luckbox Longshot trades for less than a dime. TRENDS The Polls Are Wrong—Here's Why There IS a Shy Trump Voter  Correcting for Social Desirability Bias Nate Silver and the $10,000 Challenge TRADES (8) Swinging in FL, NC, PA & WI GA & MI Senate Seats ECMoV Third-Party Smarty THE LUCKBOX LONGSHOT Hint: Three Coins in the Mountains Follow Robert Cahaly on Twitter @RobertCahaly and check out @Trafalgar_Group at thetrafalgargroup.org   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp