Podcasts about Unpredictable

Samoa is getting ready to vote in what is tipped as being one of the most unpredictable elections in the country's history. The vote was originally scheduled for April next year, but was brought forward after a split in the ruling FAST party which led to months of political instability and then the snap election. Reporter Grace Tinetali-Fiavaai is in Apia and spoke to Lisa Owen.

I remember reading somewhere that men learn to love the Draft Class that they're attracted to, and that women become more and more attracted to the Draft Class that they love.One of the most versatile and prolific directors who has ever lived. Unpredictable. Exciting. Remarkable track record of consistency while never feeling repetitive. True master of many cinematic crafts. STEVEN SODERBERGH!Joining Jon Saks for 3 Rounds of the STEVEN SODERBGH Draft - SPECIAL GUESTS!Ben AllenJake Estes"Let us know what Draft you would like to listen to by sending us a message!"Support the show

As artificial intelligence sweeps across industries, Chris Cebollero and Kelly Grayson are asking the big question: Is EMS ready? In this episode of the Inside EMS podcast, the duo gets into the weeds of how AI could reshape the field, from charting and documentation, to predictive deployment and real-time clinical prompts. They dig into practical use cases, like auto-generating patient care reports from spoken narratives, using smart speakers for on-the-fly drug dosages and deploying AI in dispatch triage. But they're not AI cheerleaders; both caution against overreliance, false confidence and the risk of replacing critical thinking with shortcuts. It's a spirited, funny and forward-looking conversation about how EMS can lead, not lag, in adopting this rapidly evolving tech. Because one thing's clear: AI isn't coming — it's already here. Memorable quotes “I think the big issue that people have with AI is that they fear it's gonna start doing our thinking for us rather than help us with everyday tasks. And to me, that's a legitimate fear.” —Kelly Grayson “When we open this door of where AI can touch EMS directly, I think there's a lot of places this can go.” —Chris Cebollero “I learned long ago that one of the tricks to the choreography of a smooth call is to think out loud and to talk, talk, talk your way through everything that you do. It's interesting thinking about narrating that for the purpose ofan AI client to write your chart as you go.” —Kelly Grayson Enjoying the show? Email theshow@ems1.com to share feedback or suggest future guests!

In this heartfelt episode of Coffee with K, we dive deep into the emotional journey of infertility, fostering, and the unexpected joys of motherhood. My guest, Gloria, vulnerably shares her story—walking through infertility treatments, opening her home to foster children, and ultimately experiencing the miracle of pregnancy after surrendering her plans to God.This conversation is a beautiful reminder that:Motherhood is a privilege, not a guarantee.Faith and surrender can carry us through seasons of waiting.Support from family and friends is vital in the hardest times.Open communication and trust in God's timing make all the difference for couples navigating family planning.If you've ever wrestled with expectations of motherhood—or wondered how faith can transform the journey—this episode will speak deeply to your heart.

Endless waiting, silences and just the general feeling of banging your head against the brick wall. Sound familiar? You're not alone. A career in publishing is tough. So how do you stick the course? How do you keep going in the face of long silences and periods of constant rejection? We are so lucky to talk to the shining star that is Ines Ayala @byinesayala. One of our oldest and dearest cheerleaders for Of the Publishing Persuasion. Come join us as we get deep and talk all things writing journey and how to stay present and positive in the unpredictable publishing wilds.We can't wait for you to tune in, but first, here's more about Ines:Ines Ayala is a children's book writer who crafts voicy and immerseive teen novels and heartwarming picture books. A lifelong storyteller (and self-proclaimed comma abuser), she was longlisted for the 2020 Voyage YA Literary Magazine short story contest for young adult contemporary fiction. Passionate about diverse representation in children's literature, she balances her writing with roles as a Regional Marketing Manager for a K–12 curriculum publisher and Communications Manager for the Latinx Kidlit Book Festival.Her love for words led her to a marketing degree in 2019, but stories have always been her true calling. You can also find her work in Parents Magazine, where she turns moments of personal growth into (hopefully) helpful anecdotes for parents.Born and raised on Long Island, she lives there with her daughter and their dog, Rocky—affectionately nicknamed Pollo for his irrational fears (including his own shadow) and his undying love for anything chicken-related.Follow her on Instagram and Bluesky @byinesayala or subscribe to her Substack for inspiration for your own writing journey!https://www.inesayala.com/#OfthePublishingPersuasion #podcast #Publishing #writingcommunity #writingpodcast #Bookish #Bookstagram #podcastsforwriters #writingpodcast #authortube #authorsofinstagram #authorssupportingauthors #authorsofig #authorscommunity #writersofinstagram #writerspodcast #writeradvice #podcasting #podcasts #podcastersofinstagram #podcastlife #Kidlit #ChildrensBooks #latinxbooks #latinxwriters #latinxauthors #latinxinpublishing #LatinxStorytellersConference #LatinxKidLit #KidLitFestival 

Alt-Folk Singer/Songwriter/Storyteller Nevaeh Dyson shares about how curiosity and an open mind can lead to better ways forward in challenging times. Follow along with Nevaeh's music and journeySee Nevaeh play at Frequency 528 in Kelowna with former podcast guest Diane Barbarash on Aug. 29th.Share your thoughts on this episode in the ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Write Songs You Love Facebook Community⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ group.To join the Write Songs You Love Member calls, visit https://writesongsyoulove.substack.com/ and to expand and nurture your creativity!

Summary: Life is short and uncertain, but when we number our days and turn to God, He gives us wisdom to live purposefully with eternity in mind.Series: The Playlist of LifeTitle: Part 11: Time is of the EssenceDate: 8/20/25, 7pm, Wednesday Bible StudySpeaker: Pastor Tom Van KempenOutline:00:00 - Introduction: Racing Against the Clock02:35 - Psalm 90: God's Eternal Nature07:10 - Man's Mortality and the Curse of Sin14:50 - Why Life Feels So Complicated21:05 - Life is Unpredictable and Fragile27:40 - The Shortness of Life: Three Metaphors34:20 - Numbering Our Days Wisely40:55 - Turning to God for Wisdom47:30 - Living with Eternity in Mind53:10 - Trusting God's Mercy and Joy59:00 - Time as an Opportunity for Growth01:04:25 - Prioritizing What Matters Most01:10:50 - Practicing Rest and Sabbath01:15:00 - Final Challenge: Start Now

The Articulate Fly podcast delivers essential Southwest Virginia fishing intelligence with guide Matt Reilly, who breaks down the critical decision-making process every angler faces when conditions refuse to cooperate. Reilly, an expert smallmouth fishing guide with years of regional experience, reveals how flash floods and yo-yo water levels have made this one of the most challenging topwater seasons in recent memory. Learn his systematic approach to reading stream flow data, water clarity and temperature to make split-second location decisions that save your fishing day. Discover when to abandon your primary topwater game plan and pivot to productive streamer fishing tactics in dirty water conditions. Reilly shares specific strategies for choosing water with varied structure when visibility drops, explaining how runs, shoals and ledge systems concentrate fish when flats become unfishable. Most importantly, master the art of managing client expectations while maintaining fishing success through honest pre-trip communication and flexible tactical approaches. Whether you're guiding clients or planning your own Southwest Virginia smallmouth adventures, these real-world insights from challenging 2025 conditions will transform your decision-making process.To learn more about Matt, check out our full length interview.Related ContentS7, Ep 19 - Weathering the Winds: March Fishing Insights and Pre-Spawn Strategies with Matt ReillyS6, Ep 41 - Smallmouth Secrets and Streamer Savvy with Brendan RuchS7, Ep 32 - Swim Flies and Trout Tactics: An East Tennessee Fishing Report with Ellis WardS7, Ep 1 - Winter Fly Tying and Pre-Spawn Tips with Matt ReillyAll Things Social MediaFollow Matt on Instagram.Follow us on Facebook, Instagram, Twitter and YouTube.Support the Show Shop on AmazonBecome a Patreon PatronSubscribe to the PodcastSubscribe to the podcast in the podcatcher of your choice.Advertise on the PodcastIs our community a good fit for your brand?

Send us a textIn this episode, host Nathan Freeburg is joined by Brian and Dr. Linda Schubring to unpack the impact of uncertainty on leaders, teams, and organizations. Drawing from client examples and real-world challenges, they explore the hidden consequences of uncertainty—like fractured trust and chronic stress—and share practical ways to build resilience, foster clarity, and create meaningful connections, even when everything feels unclear.Key Topics Covered:The “theme of the year” for organizations: uncertaintyHow external disruption leads to internal breakdownHidden consequences on teams: burnout, fractured trust, decision fatigueHow strong leaders are choosing calm, clarity, and connectionThe importance of wellness, boundaries, and emotional regulationBuilding flexible systems for resilient teamsResources Mentioned:Leadership Vision Consulting: https://www.leadershipvisionconsulting.comUnfolded: Lessons in Transformation from an Origami Crane

Culture Friday on AI's dehumanizing turn in music, Arsenio Orteza on an unconventional music prodigy David Ackles, and Word Play on our ever-shifting language. Plus, the Friday morning newsSupport The World and Everything in It today at wng.org/donateAdditional support comes from Dordt University, where pre-med students gain knowledge through undergraduate research and hone skills through hands-on simulations. Dordt.eduFrom WatersEdge Kingdom Investments — personal investments that build churches. 5.05% APY on a three-month term. WatersEdge.com/investWatersEdge Kingdom Investments - WatersEdge securities are subject to certain risk factors as described in our Offering Circular and are not FDIC or SIPC insured. This is not an offer to sell or solicit securities. WatersEdge offers and sells securities only where authorized; this offering is made solely by our Offering Circular.And from Covenant College. Rigorous academics, grounded in Reformed theology, lived out in Christ-centered community. covenant.edu/WORLD

The Kansas City Royals have spent much of the year hovering just below the .500 mark. With only seven weeks left in the season, do they have a chance of sneaking into the playoffs?

Reacting to preseason news, injuries, and what the guys will be watching for during Panthers matchup in preseason game #2.

One of the keys to successful parenting is being willing to adapt to change. Danny shares with John about how he's had to be flexible with his own kids. Then, Jim Daly talks to Melissa Hannigan on how she's learned to deal with her children's spontaneity. She also gives a few healthy mindsets for parents. Find us online at focusonthefamily.com/parentingpodcast. Or call 1-800-A-FAMILY. Receive the book Inconvenient Parenting for your donation of any amount! Take the 7 Traits of Effective Parenting Assessment Instilling God-Given Qualities into Your Children Learn About Our Age and Stage e-Newsletter 12 God-Given Traits list PDF Support This Show! If you enjoyed listening to the Focus on Parenting Podcast, please give us your feedback.

If your income's a little unpredictable, you know the stress that comes with wondering if you'll make it to the next payday. Erin and Keri share a simple, life-changing strategy to smooth out those ups and downs so you can pay your bills, keep your promises, and ditch the financial anxiety for good. Join our online community: www.getthehelloutofdebt.com  Today's episode is brought to you by Ava. Download the Ava app here: https://meetava.app.link/webdownload Use the promo code: ERIN and get your first month free. Thanks to our sponsor: Cash App. Download Cash App, use our exclusive referral code FAMILY10 in your profile, send $5 to a friend within 14 days, and you'll get $10 dropped right into your account. (Terms apply.) Get your own bidet like Erin and Keri have here: https://amzn.to/4lhzOgO If you are interested in Erin's How To Teach Your Kids About Money course, click here: https://www.erinskyekelly.com/how-to-teach-your-kids-about-money  Purchase Get The Hell Out Of Debt and Naked Money Meetings online or from your favorite bookstore. Leave us a message at: https://www.speakpipe.com/erinskyekelly Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today, Eric shares a recent coaching experience he had with an entrepreneur who was hesitant to grow her business because she was happy with her current setup and did not feel the need to expand.  Stay tuned as Eric takes a closer look at whether or not that way of working is, in fact, sustainable.  Growth Can Create Freedom Staying small might feel comfortable, but constantly jumping from one project to the next leaves little room for personal time or long-term progress. Growth allows business owners to step back from their daily tasks and invest their time where it truly matters- on clients, strategy, and the parts of the business they enjoy most. Delegation Is Essential Delegating is about sustainability rather than relinquishing control. Many entrepreneurs wait too long before trusting someone else with parts of their business, which often leads to burnout.  Delegation makes space for high-level focus and prevents the business from becoming overwhelming. Representation The most valuable contribution a business owner can make is representing the company and nurturing relationships, which includes sales, brand presence, and staying in touch with clients and prospects. Those are all time-consuming tasks, and the only way to prioritize them is by letting go of lower-level responsibilities. 80 Percent Is Good Enough Client satisfaction should guide your decisions around delegation, not perfectionism. No one will do things exactly the way you do. So, even if someone can only deliver 80 percent of your standard on your behalf, and the client is still satisfied, that is okay.  Personal Lessons from Early Burnout In the early years of his corporate events business, Eric believed no one could serve his clients as well as he could. So, he avoided delegating, fearing it would compromise his brand. This mindset led to exhaustion, and he nearly burned out. Only after hiring a project manager did he realize clients were happy even without his constant presence. That allowed him to build systems and focus on growth. Start with a Long-Term Vision You cannot make aligned decisions without a long-term vision. Defining what you want your life and business to look like in 10 years will give you the clarity to act with purpose. That clarity is also the foundation of strategic growth. Develop the Right Mindset Entrepreneurship is not linear. It is a rollercoaster of unpredictable challenges. To be successful, you must be mentally prepared, able to manage stress and stay focused on the reason you started. Surrounding yourself with the right kind of support and using tools like journaling and meditation can help you remain grounded. Manage the Chaos  Running a business means juggling high-level strategy with everyday tasks. Unpredictable factors add to the stress, especially in fast-moving industries. Learning to navigate the chaos is essential for staying grounded and moving forward. Stay Consistent  Progress comes from steady effort, not big leaps. Small, repeated actions will create meaningful change over time. Even when momentum feels slow, doing a little bit every day will impact your long-term results and the growth of your business. Sustainable Growth Requires All Three By combining your long-term vision with a strong mindset and daily consistency, you can create a foundation for healthy, sustainable business growth. Without those, it becomes much harder to build something lasting and fulfilling. Connect with Eric Rozenberg On LinkedIn Facebook Instagram Website Listen to The Business of Meetings podcast Subscribe to The Business of Meetings newsletter  

With David Smoak & Paul Catalina Former BYU quarterback Riley Nelson joins the show to break down the Cougars' unexpected quarterback battle heading into the season. With starter Jake Retzlaff gone, three transfers — Ryder Burton, Gerry Bohanon, and Treyson Bourguet — are now competing for the job. Nelson explains why the decision is more complicated than it seems, what separates each contender, and why size, durability, and accuracy may shape the outcome. He also offers insider insight into Kalani Sitake's coaching style and how BYU's unique developmental approach continues to shape resilient and mature players. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

(4:00) Norvell empties the kitchen sink with assessments of first scrimmage -- mostly positive?(8:00) Ousmane Kromah makes an impression(17:00) Sounds like the calvary is coming for the defensive line?(24:00) Unpredictable season awaits; let go and enjoy!(32:00) A 2-2 start(42:00) No Brock Glenn chatter?(46:00) Generating Discussion sparked by Cummins(1:00:00) Revisiting 2017(1:13:00) Rivals or SEC wins(1:20:00) Overall vibe(1:28:00) Best former FSU QB for Malzahn systemMusic: kenny hoopla - Orphanvitaminenergy.com | Shake it and take it!Get $10 Off at BRUNT with code WAKEUP at https://www.bruntworkwear.com/WAKEUP  #Bruntpod

(4:00) Norvell empties the kitchen sink with assessments of first scrimmage -- mostly positive?(8:00) Ousmane Kromah makes an impression(17:00) Sounds like the calvary is coming for the defensive line?(24:00) Unpredictable season awaits; let go and enjoy!(32:00) A 2-2 start(42:00) No Brock Glenn chatter?(46:00) Generating Discussion sparked by Cummins(1:00:00) Revisiting 2017(1:13:00) Rivals or SEC wins(1:20:00) Overall vibe(1:28:00) Best former FSU QB for Malzahn systemMusic: kenny hoopla - Orphanvitaminenergy.com | Shake it and take it!Get $10 Off at BRUNT with code WAKEUP at https://www.bruntworkwear.com/WAKEUP  #Bruntpod

Leading today is not for the faint of heart. Between generative AI, market instability, rising employee expectations, and the pressure to make fast, high-stakes decisions with limited data, leaders are being tested like never before. So, how do the best ones not only survive but thrive? In this episode, we dive into the neuroscience of leadership under pressure and explore the powerful idea of the leadership factory, a system for growing future-ready leaders at scale. Inspired by a recent McKinsey article and backed by the science of how the brain responds to uncertainty, we unpack what the best organizations are doing to grow resilience, agility, and innovation deep into their culture. You'll learn: • Why grit, balance, and servant leadership are now essential traits—not nice-to-haves • How to create psychological safety that unlocks creative thinking and decision-making • What neuroscience says about how humans lead under threat—and how to override it • How executive leadership, HR, and organizational leaders are turning leadership development into a strategic engine Whether you're a CEO, a first-line leader, or someone who wants to lead better in uncertain times, this episode will give you practical insights and inspiration to build your leadership factory and why now is the time to do it. QUOTES BY DR. BRAY "If you can approach periods of disquiet, of change with calm, clarity, confidence and a focus on future needs... you're going to be a great leader." "Whether you manage people or not... you for sure influence other people." "Such growth cannot be left to chance."

"Made in America." It's something the president wants to see more of, and it's one reason behind his tariffs. But they're hitting companies that are already making in America. We speak with a local manufacturer about the impact. Then, as the state faces another big budget gap, could it make up the shortfall using Coloradans' unclaimed property? Purplish explores the idea and how to find out if you're owed something. Plus, celebrating a century of lawn bowling! 

Passengers on a Delta flight from Utah to Amsterdam found themselves diverted to Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport Wednesday night after severe turbulence prompted an emergency landing. Their plane took off from Salt Lake City Wednesday afternoon. About an hour into the flight, they ran into turbulence that caused the plane's altitude to drop about 1,000 feet within a minute – according to the flight-tracking website, FlightAware. Delta said 25 people on board were injured. They were taken to hospitals after landing. We wanted to know more about what causes severe turbulence. Kwasi Adjekum is professor of aviation and aerospace sciences at the University of North Dakota. He spoke to Minnesota Now guest host Chris Farrell.

The cautionary handling of the effects of Russia's earthquake, which triggered tsunami phone alerts and some coastal evacuation, has been further explained. The 8.8 magnitude quake shunted tsunami waves across the Pacific - the largest to hit our shores, landing on the Chatham Islands at 51 centimetres. Unpredictable currents are expected to continue until tomorrow. Civil Defence Director John Price says precautions are important - and he's defending the use of emergency alerts. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Brock and Salk debate the unpredictability of the Mariners and why you still can't get a read on this team. Then, Seahawks right tackle Abe Lucas joins the show to discuss his time in training camp, coming back from his knee injury last year, who has jumped out to him in camp and more.

 With decades of experience creating gardens for himself and others, Gardeners' World presenter and garden designer Adam Frost has seen how our summers have changed over the past few years. How should we now look at our outdoor spaces and can they be adapted in the face of extreme weather? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

NEMA is warning of unpredictable surges after the 8.8 magnitude earthquake in Russia for most of New Zealand and expects that threat to remain in place until midday. Reporter Chen Liu spoke to Corin Dann.

In this week's episode, host Daniel Rami talks with Heather Zichal, global head of sustainability at JPMorganChase, about the role of financial institutions in the energy transition. Zichal explains how she has advanced climate policy goals from positions in the United States Congress, the executive branch, nonprofits, and the financial sector. From these diverse perspectives, Zichal outlines the opportunities and challenges for climate-policy stakeholders as they navigate an uncertain political environment. Zichal highlights how financial institutions support the energy transition through green finance commitments, supporting clients' sustainability goals, and investing in emerging technologies to support the world's energy needs. Zichal underscores the importance of promoting climate solutions that focus on long-term value in the context of commercial and sustainability goals and that balance environmental and business priorities. References and recommendations: “Ocean” with David Attenborough; https://silverbackfilms.tv/shows/oceanwithdavidattenborough/

Cast your burden on the Lord, and he will sustain you; he will never permit the righteous to be moved. Psalm 55:22Support the show, a product of Hope Media: https://hope1032.com.au/donate/2211A-pod/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

My fellow pro-growth/progress/abundance Up Wingers,With tariff and immigration policies uncertain, and the emerging AI revolution continuing to emerge, there's plenty to speculate about when it comes to the US economy. Today on Faster, Please! — The Podcast, I invite Joseph Politano to help us try and make sense of it all.He is the author of the popular Apricitas Economics Substack newsletter. Politano previously worked as an analyst at the Bureau of Labor Statistics.In This Episode* Trade and immigration headwinds (1:03)* Unpredictable trade policy (7:32)* Tariffs as a political tool (12:10)* The goal: higher tariffs (17:53)* An AI tailwind (20:42)Below is a lightly edited transcript of our conversation. Trade and immigration headwinds (1:03)You're going to have what is probably the largest one-year change in immigration in US history.Pethokoukis: What are the main economic headwinds that you're tracking right now? Or is it just trade, trade, trade?Politano: It's hard for me to not say it's trade, trade, trade because that's what my newsletter has been covering since the start of this administration and I think it's where the biggest change in longstanding policy is. If you look back on, say, the last 100 years of economic history in the United States, that's the kind of level you have to go to find a similar period where tariffs and trade restrictions were this high in the United States.At the start of this year, we were at a high compared to the early 2000s, but it was not that large compared to the 1970s, 1960s, the early post-war era. Most of that, especially in Trump's first term, was concentrated in China, and then a couple of specific sectors like steel or cars from Mexico. Now we have one, you had the big jump in the baseline — there's ten percent tariffs on almost all goods that come to the United States, with some very important exceptions, but ten percent for most things that go into the US. Then, on top of that, you have very large tariffs on, say, cars are 25 percent, steel and aluminum right now are 50 percent. China was up to 20 percent then went to the crazy 150 percent tariffs we had for about a month, and now it's back down to only 30 percent. That's still the highest trade war in American history. I think that is a big headwind.The headwind that I don't spend as much time covering, just because it's more consistent policy — even if it is, in my opinion, bad policy — is on the immigration stuff. You're going to have what is probably the largest one-year change in immigration in US history. So we're going to go from about 2.8 million net immigration to a year, to people like Stan Veuger projecting net-zero immigration this year in the United States, which would be not entirely unprecedented — but again, the biggest shift in modern American history. I think those are the two biggest headwinds for the US economy right now.You're highlighting two big drivers of the US economy: trade and immigration. But analyzing them is tricky because recent examples are limited. To understand the effects of these changes, you often have to look back 50 or 100 years, when the economic landscape was very different. I would think that would make drawing clear conclusions more difficult and pose a real challenge for you as an analyst.Again, I'm going to start with trade because that's where I focused a lot of my energy here, but the key thing I'm trying to communicate to people — when people think of the protectionist era in US history, the number one thing people think about is Smoot-Hawley, which were the very large tariffs right before the Great Depression — in my opinion, obviously did not cause the Great Depression, but were part of the bad policy packages that exacerbated the Great Depression. That is an era in which one, the US is not a big net importer to the same degree; and two, trade was just a much smaller share of the economy, even though goods were a much larger share of the economy.This is pre- the really big post-war globalization and pre- the now technology-era globalization. So if you're doing tariffs in 1930 or prior, you're hitting a more important sector. Manufacturing is a much larger share of the economy, construction is a larger share of the economy, but conversely, you're hitting it less hard. And now you have this change of going from a globalized world in which trade is a much larger share of GDP and hitting that with very large tariffs.The immigration example is hard to find. I think the gap is America has not done . . . let's call it extensive interior enforcement in a long time. There's obviously been changes to immigration policy. Legally the tariffs have gone up. Legally, lot of immigration policy has not changed. We don't pass bills on immigration in the same way. We don't pass bills on tariffs, but we do pass bills on tax policy. So immigration has changed mostly through the enforcement mechanisms, primarily at the border, and then secondarily, but I think this is the bigger change, is the kind of aggressive interior enforcement.The Steven Miller quote that was in the Wall Street Journal is what I think about, like, why aren't you going to Home Depot to try to deport people who are here undocumented? That's a really big change in economic policy from the first term where it was like, “Okay, we are going to restrict the flow of legal and undocumented immigrants at the border, and then mostly the people who are in the interior of the United States, we're only going to focus on people who've committed some other crime.” They got picked up by local law enforcement doing something else, and then we're going to deport them because of that.This is very different, and I think also very different tonally. In the first term, there was a lot of, “People don't want refugees.” Refugee resettlement was cut a lot, but there was a rhetorical push for, “We should let some people in from Venezuela or Cuba, people who were fleeing socialist dictatorships.” That program [was] also very much torn up. So it's hard to find examples, in that case, where you've got to go back to 1924 immigration policy, you've got to go back to 1930 trade policy for the closest analogs.Unpredictable trade policy (7:32)People notice if the specific things that they associate with other countries go up in price, even if those aren't their most important export.Trade policy seems especially difficult to analyze these days because it's been so mercurial and it's constantly evolving. It's not like there's one or two clear policy shifts you can study — new announcements and reversals happen daily, or weekly. I think that unpredictability itself creates uncertainty, which many analysts see as a drag on growth, often as much as the tariffs themselves.I think that's exactly right. I used to joke that there were three people in Washington, DC who know what the current tariff levels are, and I'm not sure any of them are in the White House, because they do change them extremely frequently. I'm going to give an example of the last 24 hours: We had the announced rate on imports from the Philippines from 20 percent to 19 percent, the rate on imports from Indonesia went from 32 to 19, the rate on Japan went from 25 to 15. None of those are legal changes. They've not published, “Here's the comprehensive list of exactly what we're changing, exactly when these are going to go into effect, yada, yada, yada.” It's just stuff that administration officials or Trump, in particular, said. So it's really hard to know with any certainty what's going on.Even just this morning, the Financial Times had a good article basically saying that the US and the European Union are close to a quote-unquote “deal” where the tariffs on the EU would be at 15 percent. Then literally 30 minutes ago, Peter Navarro is on TV and he's like, “I would take that with a grain of salt.” So I don't know. Clearly some people internally know. This is actually the longest period of time that Trump has gone without legally changing the tariffs since he was inaugurated. 28 days was the previous record.Normally — I'll give an example of the last Trump administration — what would happen is you'd have, “Hey, we are doing this Section 301 investigation against China. This is a legal procedure that you say that the Chinese government is doing ABC, XYZ unfair trade practices and we're going to retaliate by putting tariffs on these specific goods.” But you would have a very long list of goods at least a couple of months before the tariffs would take effect.It wasn't quite to this degree, I don't want to make it sound like Trump won, everything was peachy keen, and there was no uncertainty. Trump would occasionally say something and then it would change the next week, but it was much more contained, and now it's like all facets of trade policy.I think a really good example was when they did the tariffs on China going from 10 to 20 to then 145 percent, and then they had to come back a week later and be like, “We're exempting smartphones and certain types of computers.” And then they came back a week after that and were like, “We're exempting other types of electronics and electronic parts.” It does not take an expert to know that smartphones come from China. It's on the package that Apple sends you. And if you were very strategically planning this out, if you were like, “Well, are going to do 150 percent tariffs on China,” that would be one of the first questions someone would be like, “Well, people are going to notice if their iPhone prices go up. Have we thought about exempting them?”During Trump's first term — again, you can take this as political or economic strategy — they mostly focused a lot of the tariffs on intermediate goods: computer parts, but not computers; brakes, not cars. That has more complicated economic costs. It, on balance, hurts manufacturing in the United States more and hurts consumers less, but it's clearly trying to set up a political salience. It's trying to solve a political salience problem. People notice if the specific things that they associate with other countries go up in price, even if those aren't their most important export. There's been much less of that this time around.We're doing tariffs on coffee and bananas. I complain about that all the time, but I think it is useful symbolism because, in an administration that was less concerned about political blowback, you'd be like, “Oh yeah, give me a list of common grocery items to exempt.” This is much less concerned with that blowback and much more slap-dash.Tariffs as a political tool (12:10). . . we're now in the process of sending out these quote-unquote “letters” to other countries threatening higher tariffs. It doesn't seem to me like there's a rhyme or reason why some countries are getting a letter or some countries aren't.I think there's a lot of uncertainty in interpreting administration statements, since they can change basically overnight. Even if the policy seems settled, unexpected events — like, oh, I don't know, a there's a trial of a politician who Trump likes in another country and all of a sudden there's a tariff to nudge that country to let that politician go. If the president views tariffs as a universal tool, he may use them for unpredictable, non-economic reasons, making it even harder to analyze, I would think.I think that's exactly right, and if you remember very early on in the Trump administration, the Columbian government did not want to take deportees on military aircraft. They viewed this as unjust treatment of Columbian nationals, and then Trump was like, “I'm going to do a 20, 30 percent tariff,” whatever the number was, and then that was resolved the next day, and then we stopped doing the military flights two weeks after that. I think that was a clear example . . . Columbia is an important US trading partner, but there's a lot more who are larger economies, unfortunately for Columbia.The example you're giving about Brazil is one of the funnier ones because . . . on April 2nd, Trump comes out and says, “We're doing reciprocal tariffs.” If you take that idea seriously, we should do tariffs against countries that employ unfair trade practices against US exports. You take that idea seriously, Brazil should be in your top offender categories. They have very high trade barriers, they have very high tariffs, they have domestic industrial policy that's not super successful, but does clearly hurt US exports to the region. They got one of the lowest tariff rates because they didn't actually do it by trade barriers, they did it by a formula, and Brazil happens to export some oil, and coffee, and cashews, and orange juice to the United States more than they buy from us. That was the bad formula they did looking at the bilateral trade deficit.So you come back, and we're now in the process of sending out these quote-unquote “letters” to other countries threatening higher tariffs. It doesn't seem to me like there's a rhyme or reason why some countries are getting a letter or some countries aren't. We sent one to Libya, which is not an important trading partner, and we sent one to the Philippines, which is. But the letter to Brazil is half, “Okay, now we remembered that we have these unfair trade practices that we're complaining about,” and then it's half, “You have to let Jair Bolsonaro go and stop prosecuting him for the attempt to stay in power when he lost the election.”It's really hard to say, okay, what is Lula supposed to do? It's one thing to be like, economically, a country like Brazil could lower its tariffs and then the United States would lower its tariff threat. You'd still be worse off than you were at the start of the year. Tariffs would still be higher, trade barriers would still be higher, but they'd at least not be as bad as they could be. But tying it up in this political process makes it much less clear and it's much harder to find an internally consistent push on the political thing. There are out-and-out dictatorships that we have very normal trade relationships with. I think you could say we should just trade with everybody regardless their internal politics, or you could say trade is a tool of specific political grievances that we have, but neither of those principles are being applied consistently.As a business owner, totally separate from the political considerations, is it safe to import something from Mexico? Is Trump going to get upset at Claudia Sheinbaum over internal political matters? I don't know. He was upset with Justin Trudeau for a long period of time. Trudeau got replaced with Mark Carney, who is not exactly the same political figure, but they're in the same party, they're very similar people, and the complaints from Trump have dropped off a cliff. So it's hard to tell what the actual impulse is. I follow this stuff every day, and I have been wrong so many times, it is hard to count. I'll give an example: I thought Trump, last month, was like, “We're going to do 50 percent tariffs on the European Union.” And in my head I was like, “Oh, this makes sense.”With every other major trading partner, we go from a baseline level, we raise to a very large level, we keep that on for a very short amount of time, and then we lower back down to a level that is much higher than what we started at, but much lower than what was in practice. We went from average 20 percent-ish tariffs on China, we went from that to average 40 percent-ish tariffs, and then we went into the mid-100s, and now we're back down to average 50 percent-ish tariffs on China if you count stuff from Trump's first term.So I was like, “Oh, they paused this for 90 days, they're going to come back and they're going to say, ‘Well, everyone except the European Union, everyone except Japan, everyone except Brazil is doing really well in negotiations. We're going to raise tariffs on Brazil to 50 percent for a week and then we're going to lower them back.'” And that was obviously just wrong. They just kicked the can down the road unceremoniously.The goal: higher tariffs (17:53)It's not as though Donald Trump has a specific vision of what he wants the tariff rates to look like in five years, at a number level, per country per good. It's that he wants them to be higher.Do you feel that you have a good understanding, at this point, about what the president wants, ultimately, out of his trade policy?I do. In one word, he wants tariffs to be higher. Beyond that, all of the secondary goals are fungible. Recently, the White House has been saying, “Oh, tariffs don't raise prices,” which is an economic conjecture I think is empirically wrong. You can look at pre- and post-tariff import prices, post-tariff prices are up. It's not a 100 percent being passed through to consumers, but you can see some of that passed through in stuff like toys, and audio equipment, and coffee, and yada, yada.Point being, if you believe that conjecture, then it really can't industrialize the nation because it's implying that foreigners are just absorbing the costs to continue passing products that they make in Japan, or China, or Canada, into the United States. And then inversely, they'll say, “Well, it is industrializing the nation. Look at this investment, this factory that's being built, and we think it's because of the tariffs.”Well, if that's happening, it can't raise revenue. And then they'll come back and say, “Well, actually, it's fixing the budget deficit.” If that's happening, then you're in the worst of both worlds because it's raising prices and you're still importing stuff. So it's hard to find an internally consistent justification.Part of my mental model of how this White House works is that there's different camps on every issue, and it's very much not a consensus institution on policy, but it's also not a top-down institution. It's not as though Donald Trump has a specific vision of what he wants the tariff rates to look like in five years, at a number level, per country per good. It's that he wants them to be higher.He has this general impulse that he wants to reduce trade openness, and then somebody comes up to Trump and goes, “Hey, Mr. President, we should do 25 percent tariffs on cars. Remember where they come from?” And he goes, “That's a good idea.”And then somebody comes up to him and goes, “Hey, Mr. President, we should do a 10 percent baseline tariff on everything that comes into the United States.” And he goes, “That's a good idea.”And then somebody goes and says, “Hey, Mr. President, we should do a tariff that's reciprocal that's based on other countries trade barriers.” And he goes, “That's actually a good idea.”Those are very, very wildly different goals that are conflicting, even in just that area. But it's not that there's one vision that's being spread across all these policies, it's that there's multiple competing visions that are all getting partially implemented.An AI tailwind (20:42)This is the one area where it's only American companies that dominate, and the depth is so high that [other countries] feel like they're not even competing.I see AI as a potential tailwind toward productivity gains, but my concern is that any positive impact may only cancel out the headwinds of current trade and immigration policies, rather than accelerating growth. Is it a big enough tailwind?I do think it's a tailwind, and the US has several distinct advantages specific to AI. The first being that most of the companies that are major players, both from a software-development and from an infrastructure-development point of view, are in the United States. We are here in the DMV, and this is the largest data center cluster on planet Earth, which is kind of crazy that it's in Loudoun County. But that kind of stuff is actually very important. Secondarily, that we have the depth of financing and the expertise that exists in Silicon Valley that is so rare across the rest of the world. So I am optimistic that it will increase GDP growth, increase productivity, maybe not show up as a growth in productivity growth immediately, if that makes sense. Not quite an acceleration, but definitely a positive tailwind and a tailwind that is more beneficial in the United States than it is in other countries.The counter to that is that the AI stuff is obviously not constrained by borders to even a nominal degree, at this point. The fact that everyone talks about DeepSeek, for obvious reasons, but there are tons of models in the Gulf States, in Western Europe, in Australia, and you can access them all from anywhere. The fact that you can access ChatGPT from Europe means that not all the benefits are just captured in the narrow area around open AI headquarters in San Francisco.The secondary thing is that, in my opinion, one of the most important reasons why the United States continues to benefit from this high-tech economy that most other high-income countries are extremely jealous of — you talk to people from Europe, and Japan, and even places like Canada, the prize that they're jealous of is the stuff in Silicon Valley, because they feel like, reasonably, they can make cars and do finance just as well as the Americans. This is the one area where it's only American companies that dominate, and the depth is so high that they feel like they're not even competing. Anyone who wants to found a company moves to San Francisco immediately, but that relies on both a big research ecosystem and also a big immigration ecosystem. I don't know if you saw the Facebook superstars that they're paying, but I believe it was 50 percent non-American-born talent. That's a really big advantage in the United States' case that lots of people want to move to the US to found a company to work for some of these big companies. I don't think that's demolished, but it's clearly partially under threat by a lot of these immigration restrictions.The other important thing to remember is that even though the president's most controversial immigration policies are all about undocumented immigrants, and then to a lesser extent, people who are documented asylees, people who are coming from Haiti, and El Salvador, Venezuela, et cetera, the biggest direct power that they have is over legal immigration, just from a raw numerical standpoint. So the idea that they want to cut back on student visas, they want to cut back on OPT, which is the way that student visas basically start working in the United States, they want to add more intensive restrictions to the H-1B program, those are all going to undermine the benefits that the US will get from having this lead in artificial intelligence.The last thing that I'll say to wrap a big bow around this: We talked about it before, I think that when Trump was like, “We're doing infinity tariffs April 2nd,” there were so many bits of the computer ecosystem that were still tariffed. You would've had a very large tariff on Taiwanese computer parts, which mostly is very expensive TSMC equipment that goes into US data centers. I think that Jensen Huang — I don't know if he personally did this . . . or it was the coalition of tech people, but I am using him as a representative here — I think Jensen Huang went in and was like, “We really badly need this,” and they got their exemption. The Trump administration had been talking about doing tariffs on semiconductors at some point, I'm sure they will come up with something, but in the meantime, right now, we are importing absolute record amounts of large computers. It's at a run-rate of close to $150 billion a year.This is not all computers, this is specific to the kind of large computers that go into data centers and are not for personal or normal business use. I don't know what happens to that, let's say a year and a half from now, if the tariffs are 25 percent, considering how much of the cost of a data center is in the semiconductors. If you're going to have to then say, “Well, we would really like to put this somewhere in Virginia, somewhere in Pennsylvania, somewhere in Arizona, but you have a 25 percent premium on all this stuff, we're going to put it in Vancouver. We're going to put it in somewhere in the Gulf States,” or what I think the administration is very worried about is, “We're going to put it somewhere in China.” That chart of US computer imports, in trade policy, it's really rare to get a chart that is just a straight line up, and this is just a straight line up.On sale everywhere The Conservative Futurist: How To Create the Sci-Fi World We Were PromisedMicro ReadsPlease check out the website or Substack app for the latest Up Wing economic, business, and tech news contained in this new edition of the newsletter. Lots of great stuff! Faster, Please! is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit fasterplease.substack.com/subscribe

In this heartfelt episode, I'm unpacking what friendship really looks like in your thirties — the messiness, the maintenance, the mourning, and the miracles. From shifting dynamics to surprising reconnections, we explore how adult friendships evolve through marriage, motherhood, moves, and more.⚠️ Disclaimer: I had a second camera angle set up, but didn't love the footage — so thanks for sticking with the straight-on view!✨ Let's grow good friendships together!!!

We cover how unit economics transforms unpredictable cloud costs into forecastable spending patterns. To do so, we go over examples of how connecting cloud spending to business demand drivers (ex. customers served; transactions processed) creates predictable patterns that finance teams can budget for. The conversation also covers practical implementation strategies and common mistakes companies make when starting with unit economics.

In today's episode Eoin goes through how to improve your blood sugar management during unpredictable times of day (@insuleoin).Eoin highlights a 3 Step process you can implement that will give you clarity around your blood sugar during the most unpredictable times of your day / week; exercise, mornings, overnights, meal times etc.This 3 step process is:Remove.Isolate.Reintroduce.As always, be sure to rate, comment, subscribe and share. Your interaction and feedback really helps the podcast. The more Diabetics that we reach, the bigger impact we can make!Questions & Stories for the Podcast?:theinsuleoinpodcast@gmail.comConnect, Learn & Work with Eoin:https://linktr.ee/insuleoin Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Send us a textDisorganized attachment develops when children experience unpredictable caregiving, creating a template where they can't anticipate how adults will respond and must constantly adjust their behavior to stay safe.• Disorganized attachment characterized by unpredictable caregiving—loving one day, absent the next, angry another• Children develop hypervigilance, constantly assessing situations and people to determine safety• The phrase "if it's hysterical, it's historical" helps understand disproportionate reactions• Disorganized attachment affects only 2-5% of general population but 80% of at-risk populations• Children may resist stability because predictability feels threatening and unfamiliar• Progress requires patience, consistency and time—it's not linear and setbacks are normal• Caregivers need strong support systems as this work is emotionally demanding• Safe, predictable responses from caregivers gradually help children build new neural pathwaysContact:podcasts@calfarley.org To Donate: https://secure.calfarley.org/site/Donation2?3358.donation=form1&df_id=3358&mfc_pref=TTo Apply:https://apply.workable.com/cal-farleys-boys-ranch/j/25E1226091/For More Information about Cal Farley's Boys Ranch:https://www.calfarley.org/Music:"Shine" -NewsboysCCS License No. 9402

Porschia Parker-Griffin has coached hundreds of executives and professionals to accomplish their goals. She has experience as a director and business consultant in the financial industry, helping companies unlock millions of dollars in potential hidden within their organizations.Porschia earned her master's in Industrial and Organizational Psychology and holds a B.S. in Psychology from the University of Georgia. She served as an Associate Training Coach for the Institute for Professional Excellence in Coaching and is recognized as a Career Expert and Top Voice by LinkedIn. Porschia also hosts the Career 101 Podcast.In today's episode of Smashing the Plateau, you will learn how to respond to volatility, uncertainty, and change in the workplace—and how to turn setbacks into new opportunities.Porschia and I discuss:How VUCA (volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity) is affecting organizations and individuals [02:17]What professionals and consultants can do to make progress in challenging times [06:25]Where to look for new opportunities in today's business landscape [08:22]How AI and technology are shaping new career paths [08:45]The essential role of communication and consistency for consultants [15:12]Why planning (not “winging it”) is critical for new entrepreneurs [16:39]How Porschia's Brave Bird Career Alliance helps professionals succeed [18:20]A success story of transitioning from employment to entrepreneurship [20:24]Tips for diversifying your offerings to meet client needs [22:03]Learn more about Porschia at:https://www.linkedin.com/company/64512733https://www.youtube.com/@flyhighcoaching382https://www.facebook.com/FlyHighCoachingThank you to Our Sponsor:The Smashing the Plateau CommunitySubscribe now for actionable insights and proven strategies from our podcast guests—your journey to entrepreneurial mastery begins here.

We dive deep into the Big 12 with the first of our three-part conference preview and break out all 16 teams into contender tiers, discuss the biggest storylines shaping the season, and use goofy metaphors, quotes and sounds to capture the delightful uncertainty that defines the league. From Arizona State's quest to repeat as champions to the transfer portal revolution reshaping rosters across the league, we unpack what makes this conference so addictively unpredictable. In this college football podcast episode, we discuss why the Big 12 in 2025 feels like the ultimate chaos conference where almost anything is possible. We have a healthy debate over which teams belong in the top tier, with Arizona State and Kansas State leading the way, discuss the hype around Texas Tech and Baylor, and wonder if Iowa State can take the next step. Plus, we analyze the most meaningful coordinator changes at programs like Utah and Oklahoma State, examine rosters heavily influenced by the portal, and revel in the fact that nearly every team has at least at 35% change of reaching a bowl. We also explore the post-Shedeur and Travis Hunter era at Colorado, debate whether Texas Tech's investment will pay dividends, and wonder if this is finally the year Kansas State breaks through under Chris Klieman. Plus, can Baylor's explosive offense carry them despite defensive concerns? Will Utah's new-look offense complement their traditionally strong defense? Can Kansas ride good vibes to 7 or 8 wins? And why does Mike Gundy's Oklahoma State feel like it's entered desperation mode? Consider this your starter pack for navigating the beautiful chaos that is Big 12 football in 2025. Timestamps:2:47 - Opening Thoughts8:37 - Top Tier29:09 - Middle Tier41:42 - Oklahoma State Tier46:34 - Bottom Tier58:23 - Predictions Support the show and get perks like ad-free episodes, early releases, bonus content, Discord access and much more: https://www.verballers.com _____ A fan of our college football podcast? Leave us a rating and review, and don't forget to subscribe or follow so you don't miss any of our podcast episodes: Apple Podcasts: https://play.solidverbal.com/apple-podcasts Spotify: https://play.solidverbal.com/spotify Amazon Music: https://play.solidverbal.com/amazon-music Overcast: https://play.solidverbal.com/overcast Pocket Casts: https://play.solidverbal.com/pocketcasts Podcast Addict: https://play.solidverbal.com/podcast-addict CastBox: https://play.solidverbal.com/castbox Our college football show is also available on YouTube. Subscribe to the channel at: https://www.youtube.com/@solidverbal Learn more about the show on our website: https://www.solidverbal.com/about Want to get in touch? Give us a holler on Twitter: @solidverbal, @tyhildenbrandt, @danrubenstein, on Instagram, or on Facebook. You can also find our college football podcast out on TikTok and Threads. Stay up to date with our free weekly college football newsletter: https://quickslants.solidverbal.com/subscribe. College football has been our passion since we started The Solid Verbal College Football Podcast back in 2008. We don't just love college football, we live it!Support the show!: https://www.patreon.com/solidverbalSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

India has witnessed its wettest May in 125 years, with torrential rains arriving well ahead of the usual monsoon season. Typically expected in early June, the monsoon arrived early this year, flooding cities across the country. Driven by a temperature contrast between the Indian Ocean and the Asian subcontinent, the seasonal rains account for nearly 70 percent of India's annual rainfall. But they also bring recurring floods, landslides and widespread disruption, particularly in urban areas. Now, climate change is intensifying the monsoon's impact, pushing India's already fragile infrastructure beyond its capacity. FRANCE 24's Théo Prouvost and Lisa Gamonet report.

Hello Queen! Welcome back to another episode of the fruitful fitness series. In this episode, I cover patience and how you can continue to persevere even in an unpredictable journey. How can you weather the storm when obstacles keep getting in your way and practice patience with yourself. I pray this episode blesses you.    Grab your worksheet here!-   https://mailchi.mp/boxfitqueens/2p4nyuaqzz Join my 7-day Boxing & Bible devotional challenge here.-   https://rebrand.ly/7day_boxing_bible    Join our Free community on Mighty Networks-  https://mailchi.mp/boxfitqueens/jttfza80s7   Grab your She is Strong confidence box here: https://www.boxfitqueens.com/shop  

0:00: Unpredictable weather and a dramatic course on the way06:00: Rory McIlroy flamed out at home at Portrush in 2019. What will be different this time?11:00: Scottie Scheffler gets deep – really deep – about life as the world No. 1.17:00: Why Jon Rahm is a player to watch this week19:00: How many players can actually win this week?26:00: Other players who have our attention, for various reasons: Jordan Spieth, Sepp Straka, Patrick Reed32:00: Talk of Turnberry and Muirfield dominate R&A presser34:00: Mini-pods coming your way all week from Portrush! 

Hour 1 MWC media days this week Ranking interest in Utah Jazz players through summer league Real Golf Radio host Bob Casper Hour 2 NBC Sports NBA writer Kurt Helin 60 in 60 Watchlist Whole World News Hour 3 MWC expectations Sports Roulette Final thoughts

MWC feels unpredictable  Sports Roulette Final thoughts

The investment world is filled with overconfidence. We obsessively track our wins while conveniently forgetting our losses, leading most investors—even professionals—to achieve prediction accuracy barely above 50%. This sobering reality forms the foundation of a fascinating conversation about why predicting markets is so difficult and how diversification offers protection against our behavioral biases.When we zoom in too closely on market movements, every fluctuation appears significant, triggering emotional responses that frequently sabotage our long-term success. The natural instincts that serve us well in everyday life often lead to counterproductive investment behaviors—buying high and selling low in response to fear and greed. A risk parity framework offers an antidote to these tendencies by emphasizing balanced exposure across assets that respond differently to various economic conditions.True diversification extends far beyond traditional 60/40 portfolios, which typically show 98% correlation with equity markets. Instead, it requires thoughtful allocation across stocks, bonds, commodities, and inflation-protected securities, weighted according to their volatility characteristics. Historical data supports this approach: equities have experienced "lost decades" in two of the past five decades, while alternative assets like gold have delivered comparable long-term returns but performed best during equity's worst periods. This complementary performance pattern demonstrates why diversification across uncorrelated assets provides the only "free lunch" in investing.Today's environment of heightened uncertainty and inflation volatility makes diversified approaches more valuable than ever. While many portfolios have become increasingly concentrated in U.S. equities after years of outperformance, the coming decade may reward those who embrace a more balanced approach to navigating the unknowable future. Remember: investing isn't about predicting tomorrow perfectly—it's about building resilient portfolios that can thrive across diverse economic scenarios.Riddler Road Rally is not your average adventure. It's a live, citywide scavenger hunt on wheels, that will be the most fun you have this summer!Riddler Road Rally is hitting eleven cities across Utah and Idaho. Each rally brings new clues and its own vibe, with pre-rally parties, swag giveaways, and surprise diversions. Whether you rep your hometown or hit every stop on the Wasatch Tour to climb the 2025 leaderboard, the choice is yours.You and your team will race across t Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

7/9/25 - Hour 3 Guest host Brian Webber is joined by Tim Murray of VSIN to talk about the latest in College Football. Please check out other RES productions: Overreaction Monday: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://apple.co/overreactionmonday⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠  What the Football with Suzy Shuster and Amy Trask: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://apple.co/whatthefootball⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ The Jim Jackson Show: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-jim-jackson-show/id1770609432⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ No-Contest Wrestling with O'Shea Jackson Jr. and TJ Jefferson: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/no-contest-wrestling/id1771450708⁠⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In this episode of Welcome to Cloudlandia, we explore the shifting landscape of expertise in the digital age. Our discussion starts by examining the sheer volume of digital content and how it challenges traditional learning and expertise. With AI playing a significant role, we consider how this technology might disrupt long-established institutions like universities, allowing individuals to gain expertise in new ways. We then take a historical journey back to the invention of the printing press, drawing parallels between past and present innovations. Using AI tools like ChatGPT, we uncover details about Gutenberg's early legal challenges, showcasing how AI can offer new insights into historical events. This approach highlights how asking the right questions can transform previously unknown areas into fields of expertise. Next, we discuss the changing role of creativity in an AI-driven world. AI democratizes access to information, enabling more people to create and innovate without needing institutional support. We emphasize that while AI makes information readily available, the challenge of capturing attention remains. By using AI creatively, we can enhance our understanding and potentially redefine what it means to be an expert. Finally, we consider the impact of rapid technological advancements on daily life. With AI making expertise more accessible, we reflect on its implications for traditional expert roles. From home renovation advice to navigating tech mishaps, AI is reshaping how we approach problems and solutions. Through these discussions, we gain a fresh perspective on the evolving landscape of expertise and innovation. SHOW HIGHLIGHTS We discuss the overwhelming volume of digital content and how it challenges the utility and comprehension of information in the modern age. Dean talks about the potential impact of artificial intelligence on traditional educational institutions, like Harvard, and how AI might reshape our understanding of expertise. Dan describes the intersection of historical innovation and modern technology, using the invention of the printing press and its early legal battles as a case study. We explore how AI democratizes access to information, enabling individuals to quickly gather and utilize knowledge, potentially reducing the role of traditional experts. Dean shares humorous thought experiments about technological advancements, such as the fictional disruption of electric cars by the combustion engine, highlighting the societal impacts of innovation. Dan critically examines energy policies, specifically in New York, and reflects on creative problem-solving strategies used by figures like Donald Trump and Elon Musk. We reflect on the evolving landscape of expertise, noting how AI can enhance creativity and transform previously unexplored historical events into newfound knowledge. Links: WelcomeToCloudlandia.com StrategicCoach.com DeanJackson.com ListingAgentLifestyle.com TRANSCRIPT (AI transcript provided as supporting material and may contain errors) Dean: Mr Sullivan. Dan: But who's going to listen to all the transcriptions? That's what I want to know. Who's going to read them yeah, but what are they going to do with them? I don't know, I think it's going to confuse them actually. Dean: They're on to us. They're on to us. They're on to us and we're on to them. Dan: Yeah but it's a problem. You know, after a while, when you've overheard or listened to 3 million different podcasts, what are you doing with it? I know, is it going anywhere? Is it producing any results? You know, I just don't know that's really. Dean: It's funny that you say that right. Like there's, I and you have thousands of hours of recorded content in all of the podcasts. Like between you know, podcasting is your love language. How many five or seven podcasts going on at all time. And I've got quite a few myself. Dan: I have eight series. Dean: You've got eight series going on regularly 160 a year times, probably 13 years. Yeah, exactly. Dan: Let's say but there's 1,600. Let's say there's 1,600 and it adds up. Dean: Let's call that. We each have thousands of hours of on the record, on the record, on your permanent record in there. Yeah, because so many people have said uh you know, you think about how much people uh talk, you think about how much people talk without there being any record of it. So that body of work. I've really been trying to come to terms with this mountain of content that's being added to every day. Like it was really kind of startling and I think I mentioned it a few episodes ago that the right now, even just on YouTube, 500 hours a minute uploaded to YouTube into piling onto a mountain of over a billion available hours. Dan: It's more than you can. It's really more than you can get to. Dean: And that's when you put it in the context of you know, a billion. I heard somebody talk about. The difference between a million and a billion is that if you had,1 a second each second, for if you ran out, if you're spending that $1 a second, you would run out if you had a million dollars in 11 and a half days, or something like that and if you had a? billion dollars, it would be 30 be 11 000, 32 years, and so you think about if you've got a million hours of content it would take you know it's so long to consume it. Dan: You know it's funny. I was thinking about that because you know there's a conflict between the US government and Harvard University. I don't know if you follow this at all. No, government and Harvard University. I don't know if you follow this at all. Because no? Yeah, because they get about. You know they get I don't know the exact number, but it's in the billions of dollars every year from the US government, harvard does you know? Harvard does you? know, and and. But they, you know they've got some political, the DEI diversity, and the US basically is saying if you're, if you have a DEI program which favors one race over another, we're not going to give. We're not going to give you any more money, we're just not going to give you any more money. I mean unless it's if you favor one racial group over another, you don't get the. You don't get US tax money. So they were saying that Harvard has $53 billion endowment. And people say, well, they can live off their endowment, but actually, when you look more closely at it, they can't, because that endowment is gifts from individuals, but it's got a specific purpose for every. It's not a general fund, it's not like you know. We're giving you a billion dollars and you can spend it any way you want Actually it's very highly specified so they can't actually run their annual costs by taking, you know, taking a percentage, I think their annual cost is seven or eight billion dollars to run the whole place billion to run the whole place. So if the US government were to take away all their funding in eight, years they would go bankrupt. The college would go, the university would just go bankrupt, and my sense is that Trump is up to that. The president who took down Harvard. The president who took down Harvard. It wouldn't get you on Mount Rushmore, but there's probably as many people for it as there are against it. Dean: Well, you never know, by the end it might be Mount Trump. We've already got the gulf of america who named it? Dan: anyway, yeah it's so, it's, yeah, it's so funny because, um you know, this was a religious college at one time. You know, harvard, harvard college was once you know, I I'm not sure entirely which religion it was, but it was a college. But it's really interesting, these institutions who become. You say, well, you know they're just permanent, you know there will never be. But you know, if a college like a university, which probably, if you took all the universities in the world and said which is the most famous, which is the most prominent, harvard would you know, along with Cambridge and Oxford, would probably be probably be up and you know what's going to take it down. It is not a president of the United States, but I think AI might take down these universities. I'm thinking more and more, and it has to do with being an expert. You know, like Harvard probably has a reputation because it has over, you know, 100 years, anyway has hundreds of experts, and my sense is that anybody with an AI program that goes deep with a subject and keeps using AI starts acquiring a kind of an expertise which is kind of remarkable, kind of an expertise which is kind of remarkable. You know, like I'm, I'm beginning that expert expertise as we've known it before november of 2022 is probably an ancient artifact, and I think that that being an expert like that is going to be known as an expert, is probably going to disappear within the next 20 years. I would say 20 years from now 2045,. The whole notion of expert is going to disappear. Dean: What do you? Think I mean you think, I think yeah, I have been thinking about this a lot. Dan: You'll always be the expert. You'll always be the expert of the nine-word email. That's true, forever, I mean on the. Mount Rushmore of great marketing breakthroughs. Your visage will be featured prominently. That's great. I've cemented my place in this prominently. Dean: That's great. I've cemented my place. Yeah, that's right. Part of that is, I think, dan, that what I am concerned about. Dan: That would be the highest mountain in Florida, that's right, oh, that's right. Oh, that's funny, you'd have to look at it from above. Dean: That's right. The thing that I see, though, is exactly that that nobody is doing the work. I think that everybody is kind of now assuming and riding on the iterations of what's already been known, because that's what that's really what AI is now the large? Language. That's exactly it's taking everything we know so far, and it's almost like the intellectual equivalent of the guy who famously said at the patent office that everything that can be invented has been invented. Right, that's kind of that's what it feels like. Is that? Yeah, uh, that the people are not doing original work? I think it's going to become more and more rare that people are doing original thinking, because it's all iterative. It's so funny. We talk often, dan, about the difference between what I call books authorship that there's a difference between a book report and a field report is going to be perfect for creating and compiling and researching and creating work, organizing all the known knowledge into a narrative kind of thing. You can create a unique narrative out of what's already known, but the body of creating field reports where people are forging new ground or breaking new territory, that's I think it's going to be out of. Dan: I think we're moving out of that, I'm going to give you a project. Okay, I'm going to give you a project to see if you still think this is true, and you're going to use Charlotte as a project manager. You're going to use Charlotte your. Ai project manager and you ask it a question tell me ten things about a subject, okay, and that's your, that's your baseline. It could be anything you want and then ask it ten consecutive questions that occur to you as it, and I had that by the 10th, 10th question. Dean: You've created something brand new hmm, and Then so ask so if I say Tell me, charlie, tell me 10 things about this particular topic. Okay, let's do it, let's, let's create this life. So okay, if I say, charlotte, tell me 10 things about the 25 years after Gutenberg released the press, what were the top 10 things that you can tell me about that period of time? Dan: Yeah. Okay, and then Charlotte gets back to you and gives you a thing, and then it occurs to you. Now here's where it gets unpredictable, because I don't know what your first question is going to be when that comes back. Dean: Yeah, so what would the Okay? Dan: and then Charlotte goes out and answers, charlotte gets the answer to that question and then you have another question, but I can't predict. So you're going to have 10 unpredictable questions in a row and you can't predict what those 10 questions are because you don't even know what the first one is until Charlotte gets back with information and I'm saying, by the time you've asked, you've gotten your answer to the 10th question. You've created an entirely new body of knowledge that nobody in history has ever created. Dean: That's interesting, right? Yeah, you know. That's so funny that you know there was a comedian, george Carlin, in the 70s and 80s, I know George. George Carlin had a very famous bit where he was talking about words and how we all use the same words and you would think that everything that people say, well, everything has already been said. But, ladies and and gentlemen, you're going to hear things tonight that have never been spoken in the history of the world. We're breaking, we're making history tonight. He said, for instance, nobody has ever said hey, mary, as soon as I finish shoving this hot poker in my eye, I'm gonna go grill up some steaks. He said you just witnessed history tonight, right here. Dan: Yeah yeah, that's funny, right yeah yeah, yeah and uh, you have the explanation for a lot of foolish things that people do. Dean: Exactly. Dan: And I think that's that all the things have been created in the history of the world are a very, very small percentage of what is going to be created. Dean: This is interesting. So while we were talking I just typed into chat GPT. We're going to create history right here on the podcast. Dan:So I just said. Dean: What are 10 things that happened in the first 25 years after Gutenberg released the printing press and she typed back. Here are 10 key things that happened in the first 25 years, roughly 1450 to 1475. Number one the Gutenberg Bible was printed and she describes that the 42-line Bible became the first major book printed using movable type. Two, printing spread to other cities. Within a decade. Printing presses began appearing outside mains, starting with Strasbourg, cologne and Venice. By 1475, over a dozen European cities had active presses. Then, number three Johann First sues Gutenberg. First, who had financially backed Gutenberg sued him and won control of his equipment. Fust and Gutenberg's assistant went on to become successful printers in Mainz, the first printed Psalter, whatever, p-s-a-l-t-e-r in Latin, the first book to bear a printed date and a printer's mark. That's interesting. So the property, the first kind of copyright, I guess right. Or the first printer's mark and the first color initials. Emergence of the print Trade was another one Printed Law and Medical Texts, latin Grammar by Donatus D-O-N-A-T-U-S. Mass produced in the 1460s. The first printed Greek and Hebrew. First books using Greek were typed print in 1476. Printing in Italy begins and the rise of the Incanobula era, the Enoch group was well underway. Dan: Yeah, Now ask a question about that number 10. Dean: Yeah, so that's interesting. So if I said what happened with the lawsuit, yeah, what happened with the Fust lawsuit? Dan: Yeah, now here's the thing Now, here's the thing that until you got the answers back from the first prompt from the first query. You had no idea what your next question was going to be. Right, because I didn't know, and so this is almost like a didn't know, and so this is almost like a uh and what I'm saying. If you tracked, if you were to do this, you know, after our, maybe during, maybe during our podcast, but uh, certainly after you know, let's say, by five o'clock this afternoon you would, you would ask 10 questions that's an original, that's an original body of knowledge. That no one else previous to you has put together. Dean: Wow, so the lawsuit? So Gutenberg? It went in detail about Gutenberg's partnership with John. Dan: Tell me 10 things about the lawsuit. Dean: Yeah, well, that's what essentially she's done here. Yeah, the lawsuit was filed five years later, 1450. Gutenberg needed funding to develop his movable pipe. He borrowed 1,600 guilders a significant sum a wealthy financier. The loan was formalized as a business agreement Fust would invest and Gutenberg would develop the technology and handle production. Lawsuit filed in 1455. 1455, after several years, fust sued Gutenberg, claiming misuse of funds and lack of returns. The outcome the court ruled in favor of Fust. Gutenberg lost control of his printing equipment. First, fust partnered with Gutenberg's former assistant, peter Schofer, and the two continued printing successfully. Fust and Schofer became one of the first successful commercial printing firms in Europe. Gutenberg, though innovator and inventor, died in relative obscurity and financial hardship in 1468. The lawsuit reflects the tension between innovation and commercialization. Gutenberg had the vision, but Fust had the capital and, eventually, the press. Let me know if you want a dramatized version of the court case. It's got all the ingredients money betrayal and world changing technology oh my goodness yeah yeah, yeah, and you know, and, and so what I'm thinking here? Dan: is that by the end of the five o'clock this afternoon, let's say you follow through on this. You're a great. You're a greater expert on this particular subject than has ever lived. Dean: Yeah, Dan, you just that. It's almost like doing a triple play. I mean, yeah, it's three layers deep or whatever. Right, or yeah, or whatever you know, but just the layers. Dan: But it's all original because no one could possibly duplicate separate from you. Like today somebody's out there and they're duplicating, and they're duplicating the first 10 answers, the second 10 answers, the third 10 answers. Nobody could possibly duplicate that, you know. Dean: Because, it's up to me what the follow-up questions are. Dan: Yeah, and it doesn't occur to you until you're presented with the say oh that's a really interesting thing, but nobody else could. Possibly. They might follow you on one thing, but they wouldn't follow you on two things. And each further step towards 10 questions, it's just impossible to know what someone else would do, and my statement is that that represents complete originality and it also, by the end of it, it represents complete um expertise that was done in a period. That was done in a period of about five or six hours yeah I mean, that's what we were doing it. Dean: I said, yes, that would be fun. Please do that. She created this, dramatized the People vs Johannes Gutenberg, and it was called the. Trial of the Century Act. Dan:One the Pack. Dean: A candlelit workshop in Maine. The smell of ink and ambition fills the air I mean this is ridiculous. And then at the end, so outline the thing. And then it says, uh, would you like this adapted into a short stage play script or animated storyboard? Next I said, let's. So I think this would be funny to do it. Please do a stage play in Shakespearean pentameter or whatever. What do you call it? Dan: What's that? Dean: What's the style of Shakespeare in Shakespearean? How do you call that? Well, it's a play, yeah, yeah, but I mean, what's the phrasing called in Shakespearean? Dan: Oh, you mean the language. Dean: Yeah, yeah, yeah, the language structure. Dan: Yeah, yeah, iambic pentameter In Shakespearean. Dean: I'm going to say Shakespearean pentameter yeah. Dan: Pentameter is 10 syllables Da-da, da-da, da-da, da-da, da-da. That's the Shakespearean. He didn't create it. It was just a style of the day, but he got good at it. Dean: Damn, I am big, oh man so the opening scene is, to wit, a man of trade, johan by name, doth bring forth charge against one, johannes G, that he, with borrowed coin, did break his bond and spend the gold on ventures not agreed I mean yes, there you go completely, completely original, completely original. Oh, dan you, just now. This is the amazing thing is that we could take this script and create a video like using Shakespearean you know, costumed actors with British accents? Dan: Oh they'd have to be British, they'd have to be. British. Dean: Oh man, this is amazing. I think you're on to something here. Dan: My feeling is that what we've known as expertise up until now will just fade away, that anybody who's interested in anything will be an original expert. Yeah, and that this whole topic came about because that's been the preserve of higher education, and my sense is that higher education as we've known it in 20 years will disappear. Sense is that higher education as we've known it in 20 years will disappear yeah, what we're going to have is deeper education, and it'll just be. Individuals with a relationship with ai will go deeper and deeper and deeper, and they can go endlessly deep because of the large language models. Dean: Oh, this is I mean, yeah, this is amazing, dan, it's really so. I look at it that where I've really been thinking a lot about this distinction that I mentioned a few episodes ago about capability and ability, episodes ago about capability and ability, that, mm-hmm, you know this is that AI is a capability that everybody has equal access to. The capability of AI yep, but it's the ability of what to how to direct that that is going to. Dan: That's where the origins, because in the us, uh, at least over the last 40 or 50 years, higher education has been associated with the um, the political left. Uh, the um um, you know, it's the left left of the democratic party, basically in can Canada it's basically the Liberals and the NDP. And the interesting thing is that the political left, because they're not very good at earning a living in a normal way, have earned a living by taking over institutions like the university, communications media, government bureaucracies, government bureaucracies corporate bureaucracies, culture you know culture, theater, you know literature, movies they've taken over all that you know, literature, movies, they've taken over all that, but it's been based on a notion of expertise. It's um that these are the people who know things and uh and uh and, of course, um. But my feeling is that what's happening very quickly, and it's as big a revolution as gutenberg, and I mean you can say he lost the court, but we don't remember the people who beat him. We remember Gutenberg because he was the innovator. You know, I mean, did you know those names before? Dean: No I never heard of the two people and. I never heard of the lawsuit. You know it's interesting right, yeah, yeah. Dan: And it probably won't go between our country. It won't go further than our right right today, but gutenberg is well known because somebody had to be known for it and he, he ended up being the person. And my sense, my sense, is that you're having a lot of really weird things happening politically. Right now I'm just watching the states. For example, this guy, who's essentially a communist, won the Democratic primary to become mayor of New York. Dean: I saw that Ma'am Donnie. Dan: And he's a complete idiot. I mean, he's just a total wacko idiot. But he won and the reason is that that whole way of living, that whole expertise way of living, of knowing theories and everything, is disappearing. It's going to disappear in the next 20 years. There's just going to be new things you can do with ai. That's, that's all there's going to exist. 20 years from now and uh, and nobody can be the gatekeeper to this, nobody can say well you can't do that with ai. Anybody can do it with ai and um and you. There's going to be people who do something and it just becomes very popular. You know and there's no predicting beforehand who the someone or the something is going to be. That becomes really popular. But it's not going to be controlled by experts. Dean: Yeah. Dan: I think. Ai is the end of expertise as we've known it. Dean: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I think that's really I mean a little bit. I think that's been a big shift. I'd never thought about it like that. That that's where the if we just look at it as a capability, it's just an accelerator, in a way. Information prior to November 22, prior to chat, gpt all of this information was available in the world. You could have done deep dive research to find what they're accessing, to uncover the lawsuit and the. You know all of that, that stuff. But it would require very specialized knowledge of how to mine the internet for all of this stuff where to find it how to summarize it. 0:32:24 - Dan: Well, not only that, but the funding of it would have been really hard you know you'd have to fund somebody's time, somebody who would give you know their total commitment to they, would give their total attention to a subject for 10 years you know, and they'd probably have to be in some sort of institution that would have to be funded to do this and you know it would require an enormous amount of connection, patronage and everything to get somebody to do this. And now somebody with AI can do it really really cheaply. I mean, you know, really really quickly, really cheaply. I mean you know really really quickly, really cheaply and wouldn't have to suck up. Dean: Yeah. I mean this is wild, this is just crazy. Dan: Yeah, that sounds like a yeah, you should take that at a level higher. That sounds like an interesting play. Dean: I mean, it's really, it is. I've just, my eyes have been opened in a way. Dan: Now, now. Now have somebody you know. Just ask them to do it in a Shakespearean British accent, right. Just ask someone to do it. I bet. Dean: Yeah. Dan: I bet it'll be really interesting. Like that's what I think now is there would be. Dean: the thing is you could literally go to Eleven Labs and have the voice having a, you know, having British Shakespearean dramatic actors. Yeah, read, create a radio play of this. Dan: Yeah, so I go back to my little quarterly book, the Geometry of Staying Cool and Calm, which was about a year and a half ago. And I said there's three rules Number one everything's made up. Does this check? Does that check? Everything's made up, yeah. Dean: Did we just make that up this? Dan: morning. Dean: Yep. Dan: Nobody's in charge. Dean: Right. Dan: Is anybody in charge? Dean: Do we have to ask? Dan: permission. Dean: Yep, okay, and life's in charge. Right, is anybody in charge? Do we have to ask permission? Yep, okay. Dan: And life's not fair. Dean: Life's not fair. Dan: Life's not fair, that's right. Why do we get to be able to do this and nobody else gets to be man? Life's not fair. Dean: Uh-huh. Dan: Wow. Dean: It's a pretty big body of work available. I mean, that's now that you think about it. I was kind of looking at it as saying you know, I was worried that the creativity, or, you know, base creativity, is not going to be there, but this brings certainly the creativity into it. I think you're absolutely right, I've been swayed here today. Your Honor, yeah. Dan: But you're still confronted with the basic constraint that attention is limited. We can do this, but it's enjoyable in its own. Whether anybody else thinks this is interesting or not doesn't really matter. We found it interesting yeah, yeah, in background. Dean: Uh, you know, charlotte created a, uh, a playbill for this as well. She just kept asking follow-up would you like me to create a playbill I said. I said, can you design a cover of the play Bill? And it's like you know yeah, what's it called Well the Mainzer Stad Theater proudly presents. The Press Betrayed A Tragic History in One Act, being a True and Faithful Account of the Lawsuit that Shook the world. Yeah, that's great I mean it's so amazing, right, that's like, that's just. Yeah, you're absolutely right, it's the creativity, I guess it's like if you think about it as a capability. It's like having a piano that's got 88 keys and your ability to tickle the ivories in a unique, unique way. Yeah, it's infinite, yeah, it's infinite yeah. And you're right that, nobody that that okay, I'm completely, I'm completely on board. That's a different perspective. Dan: Yeah, and the. The interesting thing is the. I've just taken a look at the odds here, so you have, you start with 10 and if you did you continue down with 10, that makes it 100, that makes it a thousand, you know, it makes it 10, 000, 100, 000, a million. Uh, you know. And then it you start. And the interesting thing, those are the odds. At a certain point it's one in ten billion that anyone else could follow the trail that you just did. You know, yeah, which makes it makes everything very unpredictable you know, it's just completely unpredictable, because yeah and original. Unpredictable and original yeah. And I think that this becomes a huge force in the world that what are the structures that can tolerate or respond well to this level of unpredictability? I think it's. And then there's different economic systems. Some economic systems are better, some political systems are better, some cultural systems are better, and I've been thinking a lot about that. There was a big event that happened two days ago, and that is the US signed their first new trade agreement under Trump's. That is, the US signed their first new trade agreement under Trump's trade rules with Vietnam, which is really interesting, that Vietnam should be the first, and Vietnam is going to pay 20 percent tariff on everything that ships in. Everything that is shipped produced by Vietnam into the United States has a 20% tariff on it. And they signed it two days ago. Okay. Dean: Wow. Dan: However, if China ships it because China maybe has a much bigger tariff than Vietnam does, but the Chinese have been sending their products to Vietnam where they're said made in Vietnam and they're shipped to the United States the US will be able to tell that in fact it's going to be 40% for Vietnam if they're shipping Chinese products through. Dean: And this can all be tracked by AI. Dan: Right, this can all be tracked by AI. The reason why Trump's thing with tariffs this year is radically different from anything that happened previously in history is that with AI you can track everything. Dean: Yeah. Dan: And it happens automatically. I mean, it's not a stack of paper on an accountant's desk, it's just electronic signals. Oh, no, no that came from the Chinese 40% Please, please, please, send us a check for 40%, right, right, right, right, 40%. And my sense is that this is the first instance where a new set of rules have been created for the whole world. I mean, trump went to Europe two weeks ago and the Europeans have been complaining about the fact that their contribution to NATO has to be 2% of GDP, and that's been contentious. I mean, canada is doing like 1% or something like that, and they're complaining. And he came away with an agreement where they're all going to increase their contribution to NATO to 5% of NDP, and part of the reason is they had just seen what his B-2 bombers did to Iran. The week before and I said, hey, it's up to you. I mean you can do it or not do it, but there's a reward for doing it and there's a penalty for not doing it, and we can track all this electronically. I mean we can tell what you're doing. I mean you can say one thing but, the electronics say something else. So I think we're into a new world. Dean: I really feel like that yeah, yeah, wow. Dan: But it's expertise in terms of an individual being an expert. There's expertise available anytime you want to do it, but an individual who's an expert, probably that individual is going to disappear. Dean: Yeah, I agree, yeah, I can't. Yeah, I mean this is, yeah, it's pretty amazing. It's just all moving so fast, right, that we just and I don't think people really understand what, what we have. Yeah, I think there's so many people I wonder what, the, what the you know percentage or numbers of people who've never ever interacted with chat GPT. Dan: Me, I've never. Dean: Well, exactly, but I mean, but perplexity, I have perplexity. Dan:Yeah, exactly. Dean: Yeah, yeah, that's interesting. Dan: Yeah, well, you know. I mean, there's people in the world who haven't interacted with electricity yet. Somewhere in the Amazon, you know, or somewhere, and you know I mean the whole point is life's not fair, you know, life's just not fair. Nobody's in charge and you know everything's made up but your little it was really you know extraordinary that you did it with Charlotte while we were talking, because yeah would you get two levels, two levels in or three levels in? Dean: I went three or four, like just that. So I said, yeah, I asked her about the top 10 things and I said, oh, tell me about the lawsuit. And she laid out the things and then she suggested would you like me dramatic? Uh yeah, and she did act one, act two, act three and then yeah doing it in, uh, in shakespearean, shakespearean. And she did that and then she created the playbill and I said, can you design a cover for the playbill? And there we are and that all happened happened while we're having the conversation. Dan: You know what's remarkable? This is about 150 years before Shakespeare. Dean: Yeah, exactly, it's wild, right. I mean I find I was looking at, I had someone, diane, one of the runs, our Go-Go Agent team. She was happened to be at my house yesterday and I was saying how I was looking, I'm going to redo my living room area. My living room area I was asking about, like, getting a hundred inch screen. And I would say asking Charlotte, like what's the optimum viewing distance for a hundred inch screen? And she's telling the whole, like you know, here's how you calculate it roughly. You know eight to 11 feet is the optimal. And I said, well, I've got a. You know I have a 20 by 25 room, so what would be the maximum? What about 150 inches? That would be a wonderful, immersive experience that you could have. You certainly got the room for it. It was just amazing how high should you mount? Dan: that yeah, but but can they get it in? Dean: that's the right, exactly. Dan: Yes, if you have to if you have, if you have to take out a wall to get it in, maybe, yeah, too expensive, yeah yeah, but anyway, that's just so. Dean: It's amazing right to just have all of that, that she knows all the calculations, all the things. Dan: Yeah, and I think the you know what you've just introduced is the whole thing is easy to know. Dean: The whole thing, is easy to know. Well, that's exactly it. Dan: This is easy to know. Whichever direction you want to go, anything you need will be easy to know. Dean: Yeah. Dan: And that's new in human affairs We've had to pay for expertise for that, yeah. Dean: You'd have to pay a researcher to look into all of this stuff right, yeah. And now we've got it on top. Dan: We were at the cottage last week and Babs has a little pouch it's sort of like a little thing that goes around her waist and it's got. You know she's got things in it, but she forgot that she put the Tesla. You know our keys for the Tesla in and she went swimming and then she came out. It doesn't work after you go swimming with the Tesla. Dean: I don't even have a key for my Tesla anymore. It's all on my phone. Yours is on your phone. Dan: Yeah, yeah well, maybe she. Well, that'll be an upgrade for her to do that. But anyway, she went on YouTube and she said how do you, if you go swimming with your Tesla, bob, and it doesn't work, can you repair it? And then she went on YouTube and it would be easier buying a new Tesla. Dean: That's funny yeah, first you do this, then you do this. And interesting, uh, there's a guy uh rory sutherland, who is the uh vice chairman of ogilvy, uh advertising oh yeah and wow, and yeah, he did he had a really interesting thought he said let's just propose that we're all using electric cars, that electric cars are the norm. And we're all charging them at home and we're all driving around and we're all. It's all. You know, everybody's doing that. And then somebody from Volkswagen comes up and says hey, I got another idea. What if, instead of this, electric engine? or electric power. What if we created a combustion engine that would take and create these mini explosions in the vehicle, and, of course, we'd have to have a transmission and we'd have to have all of these, uh, all these things, 250 components, and you know, and you'd be asking well, is it, is it, is it faster? Uh, no, is it, is it more convenient? No, is it, is it, you know, safer? you know none of those things. It would. There would be no way that we would make the leap from electric to gasoline if if it didn't already exist. That's an interesting thought. You and he said that kind of. he used this kind of thinking like rational thinking and he said that rational thinking often leads to the wrong conclusions. Like he said, if you had a beverage and your job was that you were trying to unseat Coca-Cola from the thing, if you're trying to be a competitor for Coca-Cola, rational thinking would say that you would want to have a beverage that tastes better than Coke, that is a little less expensive and comes in a bigger package. And he said that's what you would bigger container, that's what you would do to unseat them. But he said the reality is that the biggest disruptor to Coca-Cola is Red Bull, which is expensive in a small can and tastes terrible. It's like you would never come to the conclusion that that's what you're going to do. But that wasn't. It wasn't rational thinking that led to no no yeah, and the other. Dan: The other thing is that, um, you know, um, the infrastructure for the delivery of fossil fuel is a billion times greater than the infrastructure delivery system for electricity yes. And that's the big problem is that you know it's in the DNA of the entire system that we have this infrastructure and there's millions and millions and millions and millions of different things that already work. Dean: And you're trying to. Dan: But the other thing is just the key. There is energy density, it's called energy density. That if you light a match to gasoline, you just get enormous energy density. And this came up. I was listening to this great guy. I'll send you the link because he's really funny. He's got a blog called Manhattan Contrarian. Really really interesting. Okay, you know, really interesting. Dean: Okay. Dan: You know New York City. You know he's New York City. He's a New Yorker guy and he was just explaining the insanity of the thinking about energy in New York State and New York City and he said just how weird it is and one of the things is that they've banned fracking in New York. Dean: Oh, wow. Dan: They have a huge deposit of natural gas underneath New York State, but they've banned it. Okay, so that's one. They could very, very easily be one of the top energy-producing states, but rather they'd rather be one of the great energy. We have to import our energy from somewhere else, Because that puts us on the side of the angels rather than the side of the devils. You know. Dean: Oh right, yeah, Side of the angels rather than the side of the devils. Dan: You really want to be on the side of the angels, but he was talking that they're exploring with green hydrogen. Have you ever heard of green hydrogen? Dean: Never. Dan: Well, it's green because it's politically correct. It's green, and then it's hydrogen, it's green and then it's hydrogen, and so what they have is in one place it's on Lake Ontario, so across the lake from Toronto, and then it's also in the St Lawrence Seaway. They have two green energy sites. And they have one of them where it's really funny they're using natural gas to produce the electricity to power the plant that's converting hydrogen into energy. Dean: Okay. Dan: Why don't you just use the natural gas? Oh, no, no, no, no, no. We can't use natural gas. That's evil, that's the devil. And so it's costing them 10 times as much to produce hydrogen electricity out of hydrogen. Rather, they just use the natural gas in the beginning to use it. And if they just did fracking they'd get the natural gas to do it. But but that produces no bureaucratic jobs, and this other way produces 10 times more bureaucratic jobs. Dean: That's crazy, yeah, yeah. Dan: But he just takes the absurdity of it, of how they're trying to think well of themselves, how much it costs to think well of yourself, rather than if you just solved a problem, it would be much easier. Mm-hmm, yeah, yeah, amazing, yeah, marvelous thing. But I'm interested in how far you're going to go. I mean, you've already written yourself a great Shakespearean play, maybe you? don't have to go any further than that. Dean: I mean I think it's pretty fascinating, though, right Like, just to think that literally as an afterthought or a side quest, while we're, I would say as a whim. You know, that's really what we, this is what I think, that's really what I've been reframed today, that you could really chase whims with. Yeah, this you know that, that, that you can bring whatever creativity um you want to. It like to be able to say okay, she's suggesting a dramatic play, but the creativity would be what if we did it as a Shakespearean play? That would be. Dan: You know, I think Trump is tapping into this or something you know, because he had two weeks when it was just phenomenal. He just had win after win, after win after win, after, uh, after two weeks, I mean nothing, nothing didn't work for him. Supreme court, dropping bomb on iran, the passage of this great new tax bill, I mean just everything worked. And I said he's doing something different, but the one you know Elon Musk to do. We have to use this Doge campaign and we have to investigate all of Elon's government contracts. And he says that's what we have to do. Dean: We have to. Dan: Doge, Elon, and he says you know he'll lose everything. He'll lose Tesla. He'll lose SpaceX, everything He'll have Tesla. He'll lose SpaceX, everything. He'll have to go back to South Africa. Dean: I mean that's unbelievable. Dan: He's such a master like reframer. Dean: You know, I saw him turning the tables on Nancy Pelosi when she was questioning his intentions with the big beautiful bill Just tax breaks for your buddies. And he said oh, that's interesting, let's talk about the numbers. And he pulls out this thing. He says you know, you have been a public servant. Dan: You and your husband. Yeah, you and your husband, you've been a public servant, you've had a salary of $200,000 a year $280,000 and you're worth $430 million. How'd you do that? Dean: That's an interesting story. Dan: There's not a person on Wall Street who's done as well as you have. How did you do that? You know Exactly. Dean: I just think what a great reframe you know. Dan:Yeah. Dean: Yeah, he's a master at that. You know who I haven't heard from lately is Scott Adams. He's been off my radar. No, he's dying. He's been off my radar. Dan: He's dying, he's dying and he's in his last month or two. He's got severe pancreatic cancer. Dean: Oh, no, really. Dan: And you know how you do that, how you do that. You know I'm convinced you know, I mentioned it that you die from not getting tested. I'm sure the guy hasn't gotten tested in the last you know 10 years. You know because everything else you know you got to get tested. You know that stuff is like pancreatic is the worst because it goes the fastest. It goes the fastest Steve Jobs. And even Steve Jobs didn't have the worst kind, he just fooled around with all sorts of Trying to get natural like yours, yeah. Yeah, sort of sketchy sketchy. You know possibilities. There was no reason for him to die when he did. He could have, he could have been, you know, could have bypassed it. But two things you didn't get tested or you got tested too late. Dean: So that's my Well, you said something one time. People say I don't want to know. He said well, you're going to find out. I said don't you? Dan: worry, don't worry, you'll find out. When do you want to find out? Dean: Right Exactly Good, right Exactly Good question yeah. Dan: What do you want to do with the information Right, exactly, all right. Well, this was a different kind of podcast. Dean: Absolutely. We created history right here, right, creativity. This is a turning point. For me, personally, this is a turning point for me personally. Dan: I was a witness yeah fascinating okay, dan, I'll be in Chicago next week. I'll talk to you next week, okay, awesome bye, okay, bye.

Send us a textIn this episode, we dive deep into the wildcards of the 2025 fantasy football season — the players who could swing your league in either direction. From boom-or-bust breakout candidates to veterans with uncertain roles, we break down the athletes with the widest range of outcomes. Whether you're drafting for upside or trying to avoid landmines, this episode will help you identify the riskiest (and potentially most rewarding) picks on the board. Tune in for bold predictions, tier debates, and strategy tips to navigate the chaos of the upcoming season. -Add Matt Hamm on Twitter:https://twitter.com/crewmatthamm-Add the Craft Man on Twitter:https://twitter.com/CraftmanPackfan-Join The Crew on the Discord:https://discord.gg/NFqzMzmY-Listen to the episodes on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/@crewmatthamm-Give us those subscriptions, add the podcast, and give us that 5 star Review!!

Mike Armstrong and Marc Fandetti discuss Trump sets August 1st as the tariff start date. Want to know where the economy is heading? Don't trust those who have the answers. Why some see the dollar's drop as a sign America is losing its financial might. Late-career job losses are blurring what retirement looks like. Homeowners who gambled on lower rates are paying the price. Elon Musk is running out of road in China.

Dr. Roman Yampolskiy is a computer scientist, AI safety researcher, and professor at the University of Louisville. He's the author of several books, including "Considerations on the AI Endgame," co-authored with Soenke Ziesche, and "AI: Unexplained, Unpredictable, Uncontrollable."http://cecs.louisville.edu/ry/ Upgrade your wardrobe and save on @TrueClassic at https://trueclassic.com/rogan Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In this episode of Healing Generations, Maestras Susie Armijo and Debra Camarillo engage in a heartfelt conversation with Lizeth Bendaña, an educator dedicated to restorative justice and community healing. They discuss the importance of connection, cultural identity, and self-forgiveness, while exploring Lizeth's journey from Honduras to becoming a transformative teacher. The conversation emphasizes the need for compassion and understanding in challenging times, and the role of education in fostering healing and empowerment within communities.     Chapters:   00:00 Introduction and Navigating Difficult Times Together   06:28 Lizeth Bendaña - Background and Journey   20:25 Creating Connection in Education   29:44 Embracing Cultural Heritage and Identity   37:37 Lessons on Self-Forgiveness and Healing   40:40 Future Aspirations and Vision for Education   46:50 Final Thoughts and Advice for the Next Generation     To learn more about the National Comadres Network, please visit:   Website: https://nationalcompadresnetwork.org/about/   Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/la.cultura.cura/   Twitter: https://twitter.com/laculturacura   Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/national.compadres.network   Email: HGP@compadresnetwork.org

It's a Q&A podcast! Topics include: - Ways to plan/manage tasks when your time is unpredictably chopped up (gig worker)?- How to move into a new planner midyear?- How to talk with a partner who feels your planning systems are over the top (and you feel like they are absolutely necessary for a functional family life)?- How to handle a close friend or relative who refuses to make firm plans?- Planner recs for a child with ADHD entering middle school Keep your questions coming! Email sarah.hart.unger at gmail, leave a message on the show notes (theshubox.com) or reply to the newsletter! Newsletter signups: theshubox.com/newsletter EPISODE SPONSORS IXL: Make an impact on your child's learning, get IXL now.  BLP listeners can get an exclusive 20% off IXL membership when they sign up today at ⁠⁠⁠ixl.com/plans⁠⁠⁠. Green Chef:  Make this summer your healthiest yet with Green Chef. Visit ⁠⁠⁠greenchef.com/50BESTLAID⁠⁠⁠ and use code 50BESTLAID to get 50% off your first month, then 20% off for two months with free shipping. Mint Mobile: Save this summer with a Mint Mobile Wireless plan!  Get your summer savings and shop premium wireless plans at ⁠⁠⁠mintmobile.com/BLP⁠⁠⁠ PrepDish:  Delicious and healthy plans to take the mental load out of planning dinner!  Visit ⁠⁠⁠prepdish.com/plans⁠⁠⁠ for two weeks free! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trevor, Hunter, and Konner keep you up to date on everything going on in the disc golf world! Subscribe ► https://youtube.com/@GripLocked?sub_confirmation=1 Check out the Store: http://foundationdiscs.com Patreon: http://patreon.com/foundationdiscgolf Foundation Disc Golf: http://youtube.com/foundationdiscgolf 0:00 - Intro 0:55 - USWDGC Recap 24:20 - Trophy Talk 33:18 - Trevor's Trivia 49:23 - All Women's Sports Network 58:37 - Silas Selects

If your routine only works when life is calm and controlled… it's not a routine. It's a trap. In today's episode, we're diving into one of the biggest blocks to progress: the belief that consistency isn't possible when life is unpredictable. Whether it's school breaks, travel, toddler wake-ups, late meetings, or just the everyday chaos—this episode is here to help you build something that works in real life, not just in ideal conditions. We'll walk through: Why your chaos might be more predictable than you think How to stop starting over every time life changes What “anchor habits” are—and how to build your own Real examples from clients and my own routine The shift from “all or nothing” to “always something” Plus, I'll introduce you to a brand new tool inside The Consistency Course that can help coach you through your disruptors, anytime, anywhere.