The Prediction Trade

Two years after her first appearance on The Prediction Trade, political strategist Rachel Bitecofer has returned to build on her previous appearance's success. It's a high bar. Last time, she correctly handicapped 10 contentious markets ahead of the 2020 election. On this appearance, Rachel takes a look at the Pennsylvania and Arizona Senate elections, House and Senate control after the midterms, and who will win the Los Angeles mayoral election. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

How do you make six figures trading in prediction markets? SXSW's Brett Cannon knows, and in this episode of The Prediction Trade he shares the market bets he's currently making on PredictIt. From Marco Rubio's Senate race and Kamala Harris' tie-breaking Senate votes to whether Donald Trump will file for president before 2023, Brett shares his strategies across a variety of market topics. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

In three compelling trade ideas—one lock, one longshot and one even-money bet—Garrett Baldwin covers student loan debt, Dr. Oz's Pennsylvania Senate race and overall Senate control after the midterms. Plus, he calls upon his expertise as an economist to share his take on what's going on in the stock market. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

When he's on the air for tastytrade, Jermal Chandler shares his insights about options, equity markets, interest rates and the economy. When he joins the crew on The Prediction Trade, his baseball-betting side comes out. Jermal predicts the 2022 World Series matchup, winners in all six MLB divisions and both league MVPs. But before he talks baseball, he shares his thoughts on several Kalshi prediction markets, including when high inflation will end, how many Fed rate hikes will come in 2022 and whether or not a recession is coming. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Cryptocurrency regulation is a hot-button issue—one that Mike Frisch knows a lot about. He spent five years as a CFTC trial attorney and now specializes in cryptocurrency, digital assets and Web3 as partner of the Croke Fairchild Morgan and Beres law firm. Mike weighs in on the state of crypto currently, and how it may be regulated in the future. He also dives into the prediction markets of Kalshi and PredictIt to talk about student loan forgiveness, Build Back Better, the Illinois gubernatorial race and 2024. Mike Frisch's comments are neither legal advice nor investment advice. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

After an impressive first appearance, Victor Jones, host of tastytrade's Jones and Friends, returns to The Prediction Trade with more markets to forecast. From mortgage rates to Fed interest rates, oil prices to gasoline prices, and the U.S. GDP, Victor makes calls in them all. Plus, he updates the market calls he made in his previous appearance. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Lloyd Green knows what makes or breaks elections. Formerly serving as opposition research counsel to the ‘88 George H.W. Bush campaign, the political columnist for The Guardian and The Daily Beast joins the team at The Prediction Trade to talk about the 2022 midterms and their respective prediction markets on PredictIt. Arizona, Nevada, Florida and Georgia take center stage, but Lloyd also shares his analysis for the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee market. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Victor Jones is known for hosting tastytrade's Jones and Friends, but he's lending his markets and investing expertise to The Prediction Trade for this special episode. A longtime prediction market trader himself, Victor has strong opinions about a variety of topics, and he shares them all. Kalshi's interest rates and GDP markets, and PredictIt's House control and presidential nominee markets take center stage, and there's plenty of lockbox and longshot trades to go around. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Politics and golf go hand-in-hand in this special episode of TPT. Professional gambler Paul Krishnamurty, of BetOnline, shares his golf-betting expertise to handicap the PGA Tour's U.S. Open. But golf isn't Paul's only specialty. As a political junkie, he also shares his bets for the 2024 presidential nominees and whether or not Boris Johnson will remain in office for the rest of the year. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE:

The crypto crash will eventually come to an end, says Iceberg Capital Group's portfolio manager Jake Weinig. When it does, the big winners will be the coins that have innovative underlying technology. In this second installment of TPT's crypto coverage, Jake shares which coins are in his hedge fund's portfolio—and why crypto investors should consider buying them too. Plus, the crew makes bets in the student loan markets on Kalshi. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

The crypto market crash has active investors wondering what lies ahead. Buy the dip? Will the dip keep dipping? Fortunately, tastytrade's global head of digital assets Ryan Grace has no-holds-barred answers about bitcoin, ethereum, and more—and he tells all on this episode of TPT. Ryan also wades into Kalshi's “price of oil” market, and the crew covers two new “lockbox” trades. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Market got you down? Pro energy trader Tracy Shuchart manages a nine-figure portfolio for a family office. In this special stock pickers episode, Shuchart reveals the eight energy stocks she owns today, her forecast for the price of oil and the reason behind her positive outlook for the energy sector. The crew also looks at the PA GOP Senate race and revisits insights from pollster Robert Cahaly. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

You know you want to bet on the Kentucky Derby, and you're in luck! Veteran horse racing analyst Molly Jo Rosen sorts out the field for you, including the horse to bet on to win it all. (Spoiler: It's not Epicenter!) Molly Jo covers how to bet and which horses to avoid in this year's Run for the Roses. She also reveals her daily double, quinella, exacta and trifecta bets. As an added bonus, the TPT crew looks at MLB wagers, inflation trades and the Georgia GOP gubernatorial primary. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

The Trafalgar Group's founder and chief pollster, Robert Cahaly, returns to The Prediction Trade to walk through the 2022 midterms. Cahaly talks about his record—a winner prediction ratio of nearly 92%—and explains how his company approaches polling differently. He shares predictions for several midterm nominations, discusses how a Trump endorsement can flip a race, and contemplates the probability of Joe Biden or Kamala Harris leading the Democratic ticket in 2024. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Tom Sosnoff is no stranger to financial markets, and on this episode of The Prediction Trade the founder and co-CEO of tastytrade shares his take on events-based prediction markets. Tom walks through a handful of markets on Kalshi and PredictIt, and he ties it all together with a surprise 2024 Democratic presidential nomination forecast. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

The co-founder of the political prediction market site PredictIt, John Phillips, joins The Prediction Trade for an exclusive interview ahead of the 2022 midterm election season. Phillips shares what technological improvements PredictIt has made, what to watch out for on the midterm campaign trail, and what he makes of Sarah Palin's race for Alaska's House seat. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF

Prediction market super-trader Scott Supak joins The Prediction Trade to offer a crash course on maximizing profits in PredictIt's and Kalshi's presidential approval rating markets, as well as his tactics for forecasting and trading the COVID-19 markets. The show wraps up with win total over/under predictions for the upcoming Major League Baseball season. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

The Prediction Trade is placing bets on March Madness, the Georgia governor's race, the 2024 presidential election and the Grammys in this jam-packed episode. Plus, economist Garrett Baldwin shares an essential tool for taking on Kalshi's Fed interest rate markets, pointing out price discrepancies along the way. Spoiler alert: There are three Luckbox Lockbox picks throughout the episode. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/3LsdBeF TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Season 3 of The Prediction Trade debuts with betting and trading opportunities in politics, sports and pop culture. Things kick off with handicapping the Brazilian general election, move to March Madness Final Four predictions and wrap up with a how-to for betting on this weekend's Academy Awards. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Want to be a wiser weather wagerer? TPT enlists Rick DiMaio, an expert meteorologist and meteorology professor, to walk through the weather markets on the Kalshi prediction market platform. Tools he shares: https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ https://www.weather.gov/ https://www.accuweather.com/ https://foreflight.com/ The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

The Prediction Trade goes back to Canada with Toronto-based public affairs consultant, political commentator, writer and speaker Tasha Kheiriddin. After successfully forecasting that Canada would hold a national election in 2021, Tasha shares her calls for the number of Liberal and Conservative seats in Parliament, as well as who she thinks will come out of the election as Prime Minister. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

There's a new prediction game in town: Kalshi, the first federally regulated events exchange. Kalshi is now taking trades on whether it will rain in NYC, when Kanye West's next album will drop, how many people will get vaccinated this week, and all sorts of other outcomes. Prediction market traders, investors and gamblers alike have been waiting for this moment. The Prediction Trade sits down for an exclusive interview with the market's two founders, Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara. Sign up for Kalshi's public beta at Kalshi.com. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

From Tennis Betting Tidbits to The Prediction Trade, Jon Reid reveals how he bets on tennis—and his bets speak for themselves. With more than 1,300 wagers in 2020, he netted nearly 80 units with average odds of +144. But today the Canadian tennis handicapper is on TPT to talk about this year's French Open, sharing his forecasts for the semifinal and final matchups. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

When there's a first-rate sporting event, you can count on TPT to bring you the most qualified experts to handicap the betting opportunities. But what about those other sporting events? In this episode, TPT calls on Hard Factor's Wes Shephard to weigh in on the upcoming Mayweather-Paul boxing spectacle, the Fat Boy Summer movement and crypto trading altcoins. TPT Alert: Wes rings the bell with his prop bets. Show Outline: Fat Boy Summer Sippin' crypto and Eatin' Dips How to bet the fight Follow Wes Shephard on Twitter @hardfactorwes & @hardfactornews, hardfactor.com and patreon.com/hardfactor The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

A veteran Las Vegas oddsmaker and expert motorsports handicapper takes TPT behind the bookmaking curtain to handicap the upcoming Coca-Cola 600 and the Indy 500. Micah Roberts takes on a range of subjects including Phil Mickelson's big payoff, Billy Walters' big bets, how to wager on motorsports, the importance of pole positions and whether the Monaco Grand Prix is boring. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Two horse-racing veteran analysts handicap the 147th Kentucky Derby. Molly Jo Rosen is first out of the gate with a lesson on how to bet smart on big race days. Noel Michaels takes us around the turn with a look at this year's strongest contenders. Then, both guests go head-to-head on the home stretch sharing the five horses they will each be betting on. Spoiler Alert: Three horses end up on both experts' shortlists! Show Outline: How to Bet Big Races (Molly Jo Rosen at ~5 minutes) A look at the Field (Noel Michaels at ~25 minutes) The Pros Place Their Derby Bets (Rosen and Michaels at ~45 minutes) The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

“I am 100% certain!” That's how confident National Post columnist Tasha Kheiriddin is on this episode's political wager. Kheiriddin dissects the Liberal Party of Canada's recently revealed budget and discusses the likelihood of a Canadian election taking place in 2021, resulting in a high-conviction even-money betting opportunity. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Anthony Scaramucci returns to The Prediction Trade with a shocking prediction on the fate of NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo. Scaramucci shares his 2021 bitcoin price forecast as well as his thoughts on NY Mayor Bill de Blasio, NY Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, NY Attorney General Letitia James and Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Professional gambler Paul Krishnamurty makes his return to the TPT studio, this time to discuss more than just politics. The golf-betting pro gives a master class on betting on the Masters, including the five players who are the best bets to don the coveted green jacket. He also reveals his two favorite longshot bets. Political bettors will get their fix with a discussion about the markets wagering on Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko's chances to remain in office amid growing national discontent and scandals. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

Season 2 of The Prediction Trade kicks off with lifelong New Yorker James Altucher. James, an entrepreneur, investor, chess master, comedian, author and host of “The James Altucher Show” podcast, shares his contrarian analysis and best bets in the prediction markets for New York's gubernatorial and mayoral races, as well as the fate of Gov. Andrew Cuomo. In addition to a surprise prediction for New York's upcoming gubernatorial race, James talks about the backstory behind his viral New York Post op-ed “New York City is dead forever,” and what it's like to be attacked by Jerry Seinfeld. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepredictiontrade.com Open your PredictIt account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @predictiontrade FACEBOOK: @predictiontrade INSTAGRAM: @predictiontrade YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp TPT's theme song: Where Do We Go From Here? (Death)

The Prediction Trade - coming soon! Each episode features pros from the prediction trade: gamblers, traders, investors, data freaks, probability geeks and super-forecasters. We also introduce experts with proprietary forecasting models and insights into the outcomes of prediction market events. Whether you live to bet or bet to live, join us for the next episode of The Prediction Trade.

Rutgers University's Harry Crane discusses his new research comparing the accuracy of polling models with the prediction markets following the November election, giving FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver another reason to troll tweet.  Also, Trafalgar Group's Robert Cahaly tips off TPT to some potentially market-moving poll results he is about to release about the upcoming Georgia Senate races. Follow Harry Crane on Twitter @HarryDCrane, visit Researchers.One for his Models vs. Markets white paper and check out his website at harrycrane.com.   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Politicians in My Eyes (Death, 1974) is the theme song of The Political Trade. Courtesy of Bank Robber Music.

In this special episode, Libertarian Party presidential candidate Jo Jorgensen teaches Libertarian 101. Dr. Jorgensen takes us to school about "shy Libertarian voters," wasted red & blue votes, victimless crimes, Seagrams, meth, Edward Snowden, pre-existing medical conditions, big tech, the Clemson Tigers & cask-strength whiskey. Visit jo20.com and follow Jo Jorgensen on Twitter @Jorgensen4POTUS and @LPNational.   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20   Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Politicians in My Eyes (Death, 1974) is the theme song of The Political Trade. Courtesy of Bank Robber Music.

Republicans, Democrats, partisans & wingnuts ... There's something for everyone in this special recap episode featuring favorite guests, moments and trades from our last 30 episodes. In the second half of the episode, Star Spangled Gamblers' Pratik Chougule shares his post-VP debate analysis, as well as some trade ideas. TRENDS Our No-Fly Debate Zone Pratik Chougule Predicts a Wave TRADES Florida Blues Longshot, or EC Money? Follow Pratik Chogule on Twitter @pjchougule and hear him regularly on Star Spangled Gamblers   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp Politicians in My Eyes, (Death, 1974) is the theme song of The Political Trade. Courtesy of Bank Robber Music.

Before you place any more political bets, check out pollster Robert Cahaly of Trafalgar Group's explanation of why he beat his polling peers in the past two election cycles, how he nailed the Electoral College outcome in 2016 and why the polls are wrong again in 2020. Cahaly calls the swing states, two key Senate toss-ups and some Luckbox Longshot trades for less than a dime. TRENDS The Polls Are Wrong—Here's Why There IS a Shy Trump Voter  Correcting for Social Desirability Bias Nate Silver and the $10,000 Challenge TRADES (8) Swinging in FL, NC, PA & WI GA & MI Senate Seats ECMoV Third-Party Smarty THE LUCKBOX LONGSHOT Hint: Three Coins in the Mountains Follow Robert Cahaly on Twitter @RobertCahaly and check out @Trafalgar_Group at thetrafalgargroup.org   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Professional gambler Paul Krishnamurty returns to The Political Trade after going four-for-four on his prior trades. Paul shares his Biden-favoring election day hedging strategy, three new high-return trades and a Luckbox Lockbox trade with a big upside! TRENDS U.K. & Betfair Pricing  RBG and the Debates 2016 Misdeeds & Midterm Misreads TACTICS: High-Performance Biden Hedges Swinging for the Swing States TRADES Popular Vote MoV Brackets Next European Leader Out on the Dime EC MoV Brackets THE LUCKBOX LOCKBOX  This Swing State Has Already Swung   Follow Paul "Motty" Krishnamurty on Twitter @paulmotty and check out his blog at politicalgambler.com The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Super-trader Jason Pipkin returns to The Political Trade after nailing major forecasts ahead of Super Tuesday in his first appearance. This time, he's sharing the essential tips, tricks and skills necessary to trade successfully—and profitably—on election night. TRENDS Jason's contest for political traders TACTICS: Election Night The County Line Florida, Man & NC State The Websites You Need to Know TRADES Buy Biden Better The Safety Dance If/When to Board the Trump Train THE LUCKBOX LONGSHOT Hint: B2 for a Dime THE LUCKBOX LOCKBOX  Hint: On the Green in Four Follow Jason Pipkin on Twitter @jipkin and check out his blog at predictingpolitics.com   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, follow us and give feedback and guest ideas: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20   Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Allan Lichtman, a professor of history at The American University, holds "The Keys to the White House" — his proven, proprietary model for forecasting presidential elections that correctly called the 2016 election for Donald Trump, as well as every other presidential outcome since 1984. This TPT episode compares the model's predictive accuracy to polling, and delves into each of Lichtman's proprietary 13 Keys. "The Keys to the White House" is available on Amazon. Follow Allan Lichtman on Twitter @AllanLichtman.   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, follow us and give feedback and guest ideas: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Former Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich returns for Part 2 of his TPT appearance. In Part 2, Blago enters the trading pits of PredictIt.org, analyzing the markets and sharing his unique perspectives, opinions and forecasts as a former state governor. A total of eight markets are called in all, including the market for Paul Manafort's clemency, markets for a couple key battleground states, a more obscure Illinois-focused market, and the big one: "Who will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?" Listen to more of Gov. Blagojevich weekly on the "Lightning Rod" podcast.   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, follow us and give feedback and guest ideas: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

When he took office in 2003, Rod Blagojevich was the first Democrat elected to be Illinois' governor in 30 years. Riding a populist wave, he racked up progressive political victories until he was taken into federal custody on corruption charges in 2008. After serving eight years of his 14-year sentence, Blagojevich had his sentence commuted by President Donald Trump in February 2020. In this provocative two-part series, the former governor tells all, revealing his frustration, wisdom, populist insights and 2020 political forecasts. Listen to more of former Gov. Blagojevich weekly on the "Lightning Rod" podcast.   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, follow us and give feedback and guest ideas: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Mark Vargas has more than earned his political insider credentials as the so-called "mystery man" who achieved the impossible: nearly single-handedly brokering Trump's commutation of former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich's 14-year prison sentence. But that's not all. Vargas also assisted in securing Roger Stone's recent commutation. He tells the full story, as well as sharing his insights on Jared Kushner, Kanye West, Mark Cuban, Michael Flynn & Paul Manafort that you don't want to miss. In Part 2, Vargas reveals some high-value prediction market trades, including a shocking Luckbox Lockbox trade! Follow Mark on Twitter @MarkAVargas and listen to him and former Gov. Blagojevich on the "Lightning Rod" podcast. TRENDS The Blagojevich Standard Kushner & Kanye Passing a Stone Haley & Cuban Ivanka 2024 TRADES Flynn Flam Money on Manafort Trump: I Beg My Pardon What's Special About Georgia? Popping in on Kim Jong-Un THE LUCKBOX LOCKBOX Hint: Silent Mojo   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, follow us and give feedback and guest ideas: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20   Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

David Rothschild rings the TPT bell, and Nate Silver's ears are ringing. Rothschild, a Microsoft Research data scientist and economist, breaks down prediction markets and takes down FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver in a discussion about the relative merits of polling vs. prediction markets. In Part 2, Rothschild enters the trading pits and serves up Electoral College and Florida trading ideas.  Follow Rothschild on Twitter @DavMicRot TRENDS Does Kamala Harris Move the Needle? Does Nate Silver Deserve Some Needling? TRADES Betting Biden Better No, Joe Isn't Gonna Go House Rules Florida (C'mon) Man THE LUCKBOX LOCKBOX Hint: Name That ATM (HRC)   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, follow us and give feedback and guest ideas: thepoliticaltrade.com More Free Money?  Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Longtime prediction market trader Travis Lloyd, known to PredictIt traders as "baselevel," brings more than just an impressive (and verified) tale of how he turned a $50 investment into $120,000. He also brings scotch! Travis shares some of his political insights, a trick he uses for achieving upwards of a third of his returns, why he's negative on negative risk and three trade ideas. TIPPLES Glenlivet 15, FEW Bourbon & Usquaebach's An Ard Ri TRENDS The Lincoln Project Goes Down-Ballot & Stone Commutes Home TACTICS Negative on Negative Risk & Trading the YES Side of Liquid Markets TRADES "Two-Cent Tammy" Returns to TPT in the Teens Strong Buy in the Maine Matchup: Collins v Gideon Flynn Clemency — Profit, Without Prediction THE LUCKBOX LOCKBOX Hint: Esper de Corpse The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, follow us and give feedback and guest ideas: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Take our listener survey: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/3V6XFZX Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Washington Post data analyst and political columnist David Byler talks partisanship and the BLM movement's likely impact on the upcoming presidential election. In the TRADES segment, he enters the PredictIt trading pits with 12 forecasts, including seven state general elections, Mike Pence, the Democratic VP and yet another Luckbox Lockbox trade! Subscribe to David's weekly newsletter, The Odds, where he shares what we can — and can't — know about the 2020 election here: https://t.co/d6naS4Kp6p?amp=1   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT   TPT newsletter, ask questions, follow us and give feedback and guest ideas: thepoliticaltrade.com   Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20   Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

This year's Fourth of July saw fireworks not only erupting in the sky, but also on social media following a viral tweet by Kanye West. The rapper, singer, songwriter, record producer, composer, entrepreneur, and fashion designer may soon don a new title: presidential candidate. In this breaking news episode of TPT, we go through the biggest stories moving the markets on PredictIt, dedicating special attention to West's potential presidential bid and what it means for the stakes of the 2020 election. The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, follow us and give feedback and guest ideas: thepoliticaltrade.com More Free Money?  Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Equipped with raw intuition and unique insights, Dylan Ratigan returns in Part 2, ready to tackle the prediction markets of PredictIt. Wasting no time, Dylan walks through a total of 10 markets, sharing the picks he thinks have the highest probability in each. TRADES include: Handicapping Biden's health through November, Senate control, the Electoral College and Michelle Obama's fandom. Dylan then jumps to Trump mispricing and ends the episode with the highest-payout "Luckbox Lockbox" trade suggestion to date. The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, follow us and give feedback and guest ideas: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Dylan Ratigan has so much to say about what is wrong with politics today, it took two episodes. We begin by asking Dylan to revisit his memorably viral on-air MSNBC rant. Also in Part 1, Dylan riffs on partisanship, redistricting, ranked balloting, running for office, the two-party system and prediction markets' political biases. The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, give feedback and guest ideas at thepoliticaltrade.com Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest. Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Not all headlines are clickbait — at the request of a TPT listener, this episode explains the ins and outs of a political prediction market strategy that results in free money! It's called "Negative Risk." Tricky at first, but TPT super trader Scott "Sazerac" Supak uses the Democratic VP market to illustrate the trading tactic where the house pays you back for each new trade. TPT Mailbag Rachel Bitecofer, PredictIt's Tweet Retreat & A Letter From Johnny Ringo TACTICS The Ultimate Intro to Mastering Negative Risk (101) TRADES Balance of Power in D' House & D' Senate The Highs & Lows of Trump's Approval THE LUCKBOX LOCKBOX Hint: Riding the Pence Train Scott Supak's negative risk calculator: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1seDM8xaboXSNOba_d6D0cABd2huHrzLpWacabODKKVc/edit#gid=0  For more negative risk training, follow Scott Supak on Twitter @ssupak. The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter, ask questions, give feedback and guest ideas at thepoliticaltrade.com More Free Money? Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest. Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

In this special episode, we walk Rachel "the Doc" Bitecofer, the hottest hand in election handicapping, into the political trading pit for her very first time. She earned her cred by nailing the 2018 midterms, and her 2020 election model is the talk of the Beltway. So we put her to work, talking through more than a dozen prediction markets and sharing her most promising forecasts. Part 1: Profiting From Political Partisanship (2:47) Part 2: The Election Whisperer Rings the TPT Trading Bell (19:52) TRADES The Electoral College Bets, Trump & the Popular Vote, Key Senate Races & the Veepstakes Take our first-ever listener survey here: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/3V6XFZX   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter signup, ask questions, give feedback and guest ideas at thepoliticaltrade.com Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest.   Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

Against the backdrop of President Trump's Twitter feuds and recent executive order regarding social media censorship, TPT enlists super trader Derek Phillips (the $400,000 man from Episodes 5 and 6) to tackle PredictIt's notorious tweet markets, currently accounting for as much as 80% of his prediction market fortune. Secrets shared—must listen. TRENDS (10:23) Executive Orders, Recession & Minny-markets TACTICS (22:21) Mastering the Tweet Markets: Monetizing the Middle with the Phillips Condor TRADES (38:17) North Carolina & the Red State Blues Dental Floss Tycoon (hat tip Frank Zappa) Tammy Two-Cents Returns (from Episode 2) THE LUCKBOX LOCKBOX (52:03) Hint: What HRC and an ATM Have in Common    The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT TPT newsletter signup, ask questions, give feedback and guest Ideas at thepoliticaltrade.com Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest. Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp

In this bonus episode, TPT's Jeff Joseph joins Barstool Sports' Hard Factor News team to talk about politics, prediction markets and some unusual laws governing the state of Florida. Many thanks to Hard Factor's Wes, Mark, Will and Pat for letting us share this previously aired Hard Factor segment. Find them on the Barstool Sports Network.   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT 5-Star Offer! Want a free print issue of Luckbox? Email a screenshot of your TPT podcast review, with your mailing address, to tpt@luckboxmagazine.com, and we'll send you the most recent issue, no strings attached! Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest. Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Questions? Feedback? Guest Ideas? thepoliticaltrade.com