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Host: Tracy Shuchart Guests: Hugh Hendry and Brent Johnson Hugh Hendry Hugh Hendry is a writer, risk-taker, and thought leader on global capital markets. In 2002 he founded Eclectica Asset Management, a hedge fund that delivered uncorrelated returns to clients for over a decade. His prescience in anticipating the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 earned him a reputation as a prophetic iconoclast. Despite stepping back from active fund management, Hendry remains an influential voice in finance, leveraging his deep understanding of market dynamics and his contrarian mindset to provide a unique perspective on economic developments as the Acid Capitalist. Hendry now resides in St. Barts, where he is a leading investor in luxury real estate. Link: https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryBrent JohnsonBrent Johnson brings over twenty years of experience in the financial markets to his position as CEO of Santiago Capital where he manages $175mm for High Net Worth families via separately managed accounts and private funds. Brent enjoyed more than nine years as a Managing Director at BakerAvenue Asset Management, a $2 Billion Asset Manager and Wealth Management firm, with offices in San Francisco, Dallas and New York. He was the lead advisor for several of the firms largest clients. Before joining BakerAvenue, Brent spent nine years at Credit Suisse in their private client group. He got his start as part of the training program at DLJ in New York prior to moving to San Francisco. He joined Credit Suisse in the fall of 2000 when the bank purchased DLJ.Link: https://santiagocapital.com/Disclaimer: This material is presented solely for informational and entertainment purposes and is not to be construed as a recommendation, solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell / long or short any securities, commodities, or any related financial instruments. Please contact a licensed professional before making any investment or trading decisions
This week Nick talks to long time friend of the show, Hugh Hendry the Acid Capitalist.Hugh Hendry is a prominent investor and hedge fund manager, best known for founding Eclectica Asset Management. Hendry gained considerable attention for his contrarian investment style and outspoken personality. He began his career at Baillie Gifford before moving to Credit Suisse, where he honed his skills in asset management. Hendry's reputation for making bold, unconventional bets was solidified during the 2008 financial crisis when his fund profited significantly from positions that anticipated the market downturn. His ability to foresee economic shifts and his willingness to take high-stakes risks have marked him as a distinctive figure in the world of finance.Despite stepping back from active fund management, Hendry remains an influential voice in finance, leveraging his deep understanding of market dynamics and his contrarian mindset to provide a unique perspective on economic developments as the Acid Capitalist. Hugh guides Nick through a macroeconomic maze, exploring the markets, gold, the Kobayashi Maru test, Dollar/Yen, Euro/Dollar, the Federal Reserve, Japan's devaluation and yelling at Yelland plus where Hugh invests his money. Fancy a ACID CAPITALIST SUMMER CAMP MACRO RETREAT with Hugh? Click here for details. This content is issued by Zeus Capital Limited (“Zeus”) (Incorporated in England & Wales No. 4417845), which is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) for designated investment business, (Reg No. 224621) and is a member firm of the London Stock Exchange. This content is for information purposes only and neither the information contained, nor the opinions expressed within, constitute or are to be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or other instruments mentioned in it. Zeus shall not be liable for any direct or indirect damages, including lost profits arising in any way from the information contained in this material. This material is for the use of intended recipients only.
Our guest this week is Hugh Hendry, a man who found fortunes walking the tightropes as booms turned to busts. Founder and CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, London, a Global Macro Hedge Fund, from 2002 to 2017, where its “high water mark” events were the early and successful identification of the gold bull market in 2003 and the housing debacle in the US in 2008. [Repeat from June, 2023.] Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Interview recorded - 1st of August, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Hugh Hendry - Former Hedge Fund manager of Eclectica Asset Management, also known as the Acid Capitalist. During our conversation we spoke about why Hugh is fearful, similarities between today and 2008, understanding the actions of central banks and an explanation of Hugh's portfolio. I hope you enjoy. 0:00 - Introduction1:45 - What is Hugh seeing and is he fearful?4:55 - Are there similarities between today and 2008?10:09 - Fiscal stimulus has picked up private demand slack?12:14 - We are in the waiting room17:50 - Understand what your position means19:20 - Are central banks acting faster as seen with UK Pension Crisis and SVB collapse?26:39 - Inflation wouldn't have changed with faster interest rate increases31:38 - Hugh's portfolio42:55 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Hugh Hendry is an award winning hedge fund manager, market commentator, thought leader, ST Barts Real Estate Investor & Surfer.Hugh Hendry was the founding partner and chief investment officer of the now defunct hedge fund firm, Eclectica Asset Management. The fund was created in 2003 and returned 50 per cent from the revival in the gold price. Hugh later attracted media attention when his fund achieved a 31.2 per cent positive return in 2008 during the depths of the financial crisis, earning him a reputation as a contrarian investors. He has been referred to as "the most high-profile Scot" in the hedge fund sector. Hugh Hendry - Twitter - https://twitter.com/hendry_hughYouTube - @HughHendryOfficial Website - https://hughhendry.com/Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficial/Patreon - WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
A founder and CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, a Global Macro Hedge Fund that ran from 2002 to 2017. High water mark events were the early and successful identification of the gold bull market in 2003 and the housing debacle in 2008 both of which delivered annual returns of between 30% and 50%. St. Barts luxury hotelier and Acid Capitalist. Confessions of a Market Maker presents Hugh Hendry---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Hugh Hendry on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hendry_hugh JJ on Twitter: https://twitter.com/vwaptrader1 Ray on Twitter: https://twitter.com/AllxDayxRayx---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Any listener of this podcast that has the skills to pass an evaluation can become a prop trader fully funded by either APEX Trader or Topstep Funding. Our own microefutures trading community has many members who are now fully funded; no need to trade with your own money; keep 90% of your profits. To learn more, visit our website at https://microefutures.com/
The Acid Capitalist Hugh Hendry (@Hendry_Hugh) joins Julia La Roche again for an unfiltered conversation on macro, markets, Bitcoin, the Fed, and more. Hendry founded Eclectica Asset Management, a global macro hedge fund that was pretty much uncorrelated to everything in the financial universe. Hugh started Eclectica in 2002 and ran for 15 years before closing in 2017. He made more than 30% in 2008 betting against banks. These days, Hendry is a luxury hotelier on St. Barts, where he spends his time surfing and still thinking about macro. He also hosts a weekly podcast called "Acid Capitalist" and shares his views on Instagram, Twitter, and Substack. 0:00 Intro 1:18 Macro picture, ‘my imagination is as dark as it was in 2007' 5:00 “I'm fearful”, already in recession as we speak 8:18 Want to own equities right now 12:30 Bitcoin 15:00 Sitting with cash, waiting to buy 17:58 Been in a depression since 2008 22:30 Banking sector 27:30 Eurodollar system 32:00 Entrepreneurial dream has been replaced 34:50 Inflation Reduction Act is actually smart 38:00 A recession of a similar magnitude to 2008-2009 42:47 The five who know 45:30 Music and charts 47:30 Twitter 49:23 Parting thoughts
Our guest this week is Hugh Hendry, a man who found fortunes walking the tightropes as booms turned to busts. Founder and CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, London, a Global Macro Hedge Fund, from 2002 to 2017, where its “high water mark” events were the early and successful identification of the gold bull market in 2003 and the housing debacle in the US in 2008. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Tom welcomes the fascinating new guest Hugh Hendry to the show. Hugh talks about the challenges of setting up a hedge fund today. He paints a picture of the current markets as fiercely volatile, particularly with unusual events occurring that are supposed to happen once in a century. Additionally, debt and debt expansion shows no signs of ending. Hugh reviews the implications of China predominantly using domestic financing and the effects of their surplus in global trades. He harkens back to the gold standard when it acted as successful high powered currency on an international level before the US Federal Reserve's involvement. The US now embraces debt to an unprecedented degree that is leading much of the world to a type of serfdom. Should a conflict occur between Taiwan and China, markets would suffer a massive increase in volatility with a likely negative outcome. Meanwhile in China, their GDP metrics have failed, and the world's economies are all in a state of decline. An example of this is the drop in financial sector stocks along with people fleeing banks to get to the 5% offered by the Fed. Hugh's view is that the 1934 Federal Reserve Act was made to mend the banking system, however, with current price deflation and reduced capital investment, it has been ineffective. Market stabilizers, such as short selling, also aren't able to prove as useful as before and capital controls remain a risk. He highlights the Marxist ideology that has resurfaced recently, as younger generations are no long seeing the promised level of success available to their parents. Hugh states we are in the “Fourth Depression”, and he breaks down how each of the previous three was resolved. Considering reasonable trades in relation to this environment, Hugh suggests considering Bitcoin as one of the few assets currently undervalued. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:57 - Hedge Fund Start5:57 - Bubbles & Trends10:32 - Debt Expansion & China16:07 - China's Labor Force22:32 - Taiwan & Conflict Risk28:30 - Fed Aggressiveness36:00 - Capital Flight Controls?40:55 - Feds Usefulness?48:40 - Foreign Capital & Equities55:08 - Wealth Protection?1:06:18 - Trades, Nvidia & Bitcoin1:10:33 - Thoughts on Gold1:15:48 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode We are in an unprecedented period of volatility and debt expansion, with growing potential for conflict.There has been a lack of counter moves to the overvaluation, as well as financial repression resulting from negative real rates and the possibility of a fourth depression.Bitcoin could be one of the few assets currently undervalued and he explains his views on gold. Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/@hendry_hughYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@HughHendryOfficialWebsite: https://hughhendry.com/Acid Capitalist Podcast: https://open.spotify.com/show/5zj3Ox1qRD9GSynCKJIODS Hugh Hendry was born in 1969 in Glasgow, Scotland, and graduated from Strathclyde University with a degree in Business Administration and Economics and Finance in 1990. His career began at Edinburgh asset management company Baillie Gifford, followed by Credit Suisse and Odey Asset Management. In 2005, he founded Eclectica Asset Management. Hendry is renowned for his risk-taking and thought-leadership in global capital markets. His prescience in forecasting the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 earned him a reputation as a prophetic iconoclast. He has achieved success on social media, including a successful podcast, viral posts, and appearances on Bloomberg, the Economist, and Institutional Investor. Hendry now resides in St. Barts, where he is a leading investor in luxury real estate. He achieved a 31.2% positive return in 2008 and was featured on Financial News's list of the 100 most remarkable people in European capital markets. Often giving interviews, participating in TV programs and conferences, and known for his contrarian views, Hugh Hendry is an influential figure in today's market ma...
Chris Whalen, founder at Whalen Global Advisors, and Hugh Hendry formerly of Eclectica Asset Management, join for an extended Fed roundtable on what might the last of the Fed's historic tightening cycle. Dr. Richard Portes, London Business School professor, joins us in studio to talk the ECB decision, the US economy, and bank turmoil. Barry Ritholtz, founder of Ritholtz Wealth Management and host of “Masters in Business,” and Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins for an extended roundtable on the Fed. Claudia Sahm, founder of Sahm Consulting and former Senior Economist at the White House Council of Economic Advisors, joins to talk about her column on the labor market and gives her take on the Fed and regional banks. Brad Case, Chief Economist at Middleburg Communities, joins to discuss the impact of the Fed's rate hike cycle in real estate and other areas of the economy. Margie Patel, Senior Portfolio Manager at AllSpring Global Investments, joins to discuss how the markets are pricing in the Fed's possible last rate hike of this tightening cycle. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Alison Williams, Senior Global Banks and Asset Managers Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, and Bloomberg Opinion columnist Paul Davies join for a roundtable on UBS' new CEO to lead them through the Credit Suisse acquisition. David Bahnsen, CIO at The Bahnsen Group, joins the show to discuss sectors he likes as stocks look to rebound in 2023. Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist Tom Orlik joins to discuss how Alibaba's split affects China's tech sector and outlook for the Chinese economy this year amid global uncertainty and recent courting of Xi Jinping to Vladimir Putin. Anneka Treon, Chief Economist International at Van Lanschot Kempen, joins the program to talk about the outlook for global economies and inflation. Bryan Whalen, co-chief investment officer and generalist portfolio manager with TCW Investment Management, discusses the fixed income markets. Mandeep Singh, Senior Tech Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to talk semiconductor stocks after Micron's earnings. Hugh Hendry, Former CIO/Founding Partner/Founder of Eclectica Asset Management, joins to discuss the economy and outlook for a recession and rate cut in the US. Hosted by Paul Sweeney, Matt Miller, and Barry Ritholtz.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
My guest today is Hugh Hendry, a British hedge fund manager and podcaster. He was the founding partner and chief investment officer of the now defunct hedge fund firm, Eclectica Asset Management. Despite returning 50 percent in his fund's first calendar year, from the revival in the gold price back in 2003, it was not until 5 years later that he began to attract media attention when his fund achieved a 31.2 percent positive return in 2008 during the depths of the financial crisis, earning him a reputation as a contrarian investor. Hendry has been referred to as "the most high-profile Scot" in the hedge fund sector The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The stock market's highest point Quant trend following mindset Trend following positive payoffs Inflation The main strategy of hedge fund GDP growth in China Chinese GDP inflation Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
My guest today is Hugh Hendry, a former British hedge fund manager and now podcaster. He was the founding partner and chief investment officer of the now defunct hedge fund firm, Eclectica Asset Management. Despite returning 50 percent in his fund's first calendar year, from the revival in the gold price back in 2003, it was not until 5 years later that he began to attract media attention when his fund achieved a 31.2 percent positive return in 2008 during the depths of the financial crisis, earning him a reputation as a contrarian investor. The topic is Trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Quant trend following mindset Trend following positive payoffs Inflation GDP growth in China Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
Former hedge fund manager Hugh Hendry grew up working class in Glasgow, Scotland. His anxiety, detachment from money, and passionate observations of life led him to hypotheses and market positions others couldn't see. In 2008, when the rest of the world was melting down, Hugh's Eclectica Asset Management returned over 30%. As great as the money was, he says what drives him is a profound need to be loved. Today, Hugh develops property in St. Barths where he lives full time. In this conversation, Hugh shares anecdotes of Scottish thrift that will make you laugh, an honest description of how it feels to lose millions of other people's dollars, why closing his hedge fund felt “as if you've died in Mortal Kombat,” and why we should all be mindful of “the profound wrongness of today.” We spoke at the Stansberry Research conference in Boston in October.
Hugh Hendry—former founder of macro hedge fund, Eclectica Asset Management—joins me to discuss the approaches of central banks and his insights into commodities, as well as reflect on the arc of Eclectica.00:00 - Intro01:26 - Hugh Hendry Intro02:20 - Unpacking the term "hedge fund"05:11 - Eclectica as a macro hedge fund07:17 - What is the problem with the FED and Central Banks?14:28 - Market reaction to credit risk + debt levels18:02 - Efficacy of Quantitative Easing22:20 - Rising dollar temporary phenomenon?26:14 - Gold no longer a "safe haven"?31:16 - Bitcoin hype train33:02 - Investing in oil
Today's guest is Hugh Hendry, formerly the CIO of Eclectica Asset Management and now a luxury hotelier and host of The Acid Capitalist podcast. In today's episode, Hugh shares his thoughts on all the macro factors in the world today. He touches on inflation, energy markets, the dollar, the situation in China, and more. Be sure you stick around to hear why a dream about the Wizard of Oz led him to buy gold from the Bank of England. ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world's largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Subscribe for free here. ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!
We live in unique and highly uncertain times. Rates and FX markets - especially in the developed world -are experiencing volatility at levels associated with crisis. Central Banks are confronting an inflation problem not seen in decades and risk doing too much or too little. And the intersection of market prices and geopolitics is especially fraught. Against this backdrop, it was a pleasure to welcome Hugh Hendry to the Alpha Exchange.The founder of Eclectica Asset Management, a fund he ran from 2005 to 2017, Hugh is now a developer of high-end properties. But he's also spending a lot of time reading, thinking and reflecting. Our discussion reviews his time in asset management and his focus on original, uncorrelated trade construction. While sharing some of his success in spotting convex trade opportunities where the consensus broke, he also looks back on the long cycle of post crisis QE as a vol suppressor.With respect to the set of risks today, Hugh is keenly focused on China and presents a sobering analysis of vulnerabilities associated with an overvalued property sector and FX exchange rate adjustments. On the latter, he believes a cross-rate that should be watched is that between the Japanese Yen and Chinese Yuan. Lastly, in contemplating extreme scenarios of "what-if", Hugh sees value in an extremely long-dated, far out of the money call on the S&P 500, a trade that could be explosive in a regime in which inflation, rates, volatility and nominal asset prices surge.I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Hugh Hendry.
Hugh Hendry is a financier and was the founder and manager of Eclectica Asset Management, a former global macro hedge fund. Here he shares his views on inflation, the Fed, multipolar world theory, as well as some ideas around finding trade ideas from the "inside". You can get his hats and other merch here - https://pixel-gallery.co.uk/collections/acid-capitalist-trucker-hats
Hugh Hendry was the founder and Chief Investment Officer of the macro hedge fund Eclectica Asset Management. After strong returns before and during the Great Financial Crisis, he became a popular figure in the financial media. He retired in 2017 to run a luxury hotel in St Barts, but has lately been increasingly active in financial media, tweeting as @hendry_hugh (60k followers) and podcasting (The Acid Capitalist).
Contrarian macro investor and thinker Hugh Hendry (@Hendry_Hugh) joins Julia La Roche for a two-hour, unfiltered conversation that covers everything, from his early years in the hedge fund world to why he's currently fearful of the economy. In this episode, Hugh discusses his time “healing” from the hedge fund world while living on St. Barts for the past five years. He revisits his earliest years, how he got into markets, and his investment process while running his hedge fund. Hugh also explains why he's fearful of the economy and unpacks his views on why he thinks we're currently in the fourth depression in the last 200 years that he argues will end in “a revolution in money.” Hugh is also critical of the Federal Reserve and believes they're making a mistake with rate hikes while debt is “at warning levels.” The conversation also covers inflation, class warfare, the problems with ESG, current opportunities in the market, why he thinks gold is a “stupid” investment, and his thoughts on Bitcoin. Hendry founded Eclectica Asset Management, a global macro hedge fund that was pretty much uncorrelated to everything in the financial universe. Hugh started Eclectica in 2002 and ran for 15 years before closing in 2017. He made more than 30% in 2008 betting against banks. These days, Hendry is a luxury hotelier on St. Barts, where he spends his time surfing and still thinking about macro. He also hosts a weekly podcast called “Acid Capitalist” and shares his views on Instagram, Twitter, and Substack.
Use code JACK250 to get $250 off tickets to Blockworks Digital Asset Summit https://blockworks.co/events/digital-asset-summit-2022-new-york/ Use code “guidance” to get 50% off Blockworks Research: https://blockworks.co/get-research/ -- Hugh Hendry, macro investor and former chief investment officer of Eclectica Asset Management, joins Jack Farley to make the case that central banks are not in control of the global monetary order. Hendry argues that an inverted yield curve is showing that the Federal Reserve is making a severe policy error. He insists that the rises in consumer prices is not “inflation” as he defines it because they are not due to the extending of credit by commercial banks. Hendry passionately exhorts the Chinese ruling class to empower the Chinese consumer and allow the Chinese Yuan (“RenMinBi”) to strengthen to what Hendry thinks is its true market value. Hendry tells Farley he expects commodity prices to remain high due to bad energy policy and he thinks that portfolio managers who are fueling the recent rally in risk assets are making a mistake. Filmed on August 4th, 2022. -- Follow Hugh Hendry on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hendry_hugh Follow Jack on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ -- Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ Timecodes: (00:00) Introduction (09:56) Why Rising Consumer Prices Is Not Inflation (11:06) The Energy Crisis (19:13) Paul Volcker (21:56) China and the Global "Glut of Saving" (28:09) The Eurodollar System (34:08) Is The Fed Effective (39:31) Did the Fed save the world in 2020 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
On todays episode of the podcast I was happy to host Hugh Hendry Official - Founder of Eclectica Asset Management, an award winning hedge fund manager and host of the Acid Capitalist podcast.On the podcast we talked about who is Hugh Hendry, being a contrarian investor, the current relationship between the US and China and why it has created class warfare. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:57 - Who is Hugh Hendry?3:00 - Why do we have a specific view of hedge fund managers?7:30 - How does contrarian investing look?10:45 - Looking past pop psychology of marketplace12:30 - IPO's are a con13:55 - How did this impact your investment philosophy?16:15 - Open minded in investing18:55 - contrarian thinking in 200820:50 - How would you compare today to the past?23:50 - Relationhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficial/ship between US and China29:55 - Why asset prices have trended up?32:08 - Will this time be different with high inflation and high debt?34:19 - Inflation39:30 - How could treasuries recover from this point?40:50 - Class warfare48:35 - Commercial conflict vs real conflict50:40 - Concern about China?55:40 - Disengagement is an option59:11 - One message to takeaway from the podcast?Hugh Hendry is an award winning hedge fund manager, market commentator, thought leader, ST Barts Real Estate Investor & Surfer.Hugh Hendry was the founding partner and chief investment officer of the now defunct hedge fund firm, Eclectica Asset Management. The fund was created in 2003 and returned 50 per cent from the revival in the gold price. Hugh later attracted media attention when his fund achieved a 31.2 per cent positive return in 2008 during the depths of the financial crisis, earning him a reputation as a contrarian investors. He has been referred to as "the most high-profile Scot" in the hedge fund sector. Hugh Hendry - TwitterYouTubeWebsiteInstagramWTFinance -InstagramSpotifyiTunesTwitter
Tom Roderick is a portfolio manager at Trium Capital. Before that, he was partner at Eclectica Asset Management and he talks about how he went from theoretical physics to finance, his thoughts on the lockdowns+yuan, inflation and his 3 "D" framework, and much more!
On today's edition of "Boiler Room," Alfonso Peccatiello is joined by Hugh Hendry host of the "Acid Capitalist" podcast. Hugh spent 15 years, from 2002 - 2017, as CIO of his macro hedge fund Eclectica Asset Management. Since closing the fund in 2017, Hugh now resides in Saint Barthélemy investing in luxury hotels, surfing & thinking about markets. Providing his outlook for markets throughout 2022, Hugh predicts smart money will soon wake up and price in the "mother of all economic recessions". Hugh goes on to explain how the U.S dollar system is broken in it's current state but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Hugh: https://twitter.com/hendry_hugh Follow Alfonso: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe To The Acid Capitalist: https://spoti.fi/3lMe9RI Subscribe To The Macro Compass: https://themacrocompass.substack.com/ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:47) Drawing Historical Parallels To Todays Market (04:16) Is There More Pain To Come In Markets? (06:51) Are We Facing A De-Leveraging (13:24) Money & Inflation (20:10) The Fed Does NOT Create Money (26:23) Central Banks Are Trapped -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Boiler Room should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Kevin Chou, founder & CEO of Rally, and Hugh Hendry, founder of Eclectica Asset Management, to discuss how Rally is using tokenization to create an ecosystem for content creators. From live music to gaming, Rally is building a community of various content creators who are chosen and vetted by Rally token holders democratically. Chou, Hendry, and Bennington dive into the intricacies of the Rally network and how Chou's background in gaming shaped its creation. Filmed on June 22, 2021.
In this week's episode, returning guest Hugh Hendry joins Dan for another round at the Stansberry Investor Hour table... Hugh founded the now-defunct Eclectica Asset Management in 2005. He rose to fame as the "Scottish hedge-fund king" when his fund returned 30%-plus during the throes of the financial crisis. He's also well-known for his outspoken remarks and contrarian views. One time, he even duked it out with a Nobel Prize-winning economist on television, asking, "Um, hello? Can I tell you about the real world?" These days, Hugh entertains a wide audience with his wit and energetic market commentary in his podcast, The Acid Capitalist. Today's conversation begins with a bang, as Dan and Hugh tackle one of the biggest market headlines: the stock sell-off. Shares of "FAANG" giants like Netflix, Amazon, and Apple are tanking... And it's hard to see these behemoths – which were once among the best-performing tech companies in the world – as "risk free" businesses anymore. Instead, they could herald a recession. So, what does Hugh have to say on the matter? It's going to be really long, but it's going to be entertaining. Wear comfortable clothing. He and Dan chat about several other topics, including inflation's grim march, Bill Hwang's multibillion-dollar fraud indictment, the "malevolent shadow of the Federal Reserve" behind high prices in oil and mining industries, and bitcoin as a risk-on versus risk-off asset. No one is safe from Hugh's wisecracks – not even the ultrawealthy. In addition to financial topics, he shares his thoughts on Elon Musk's latest follies, the real reason Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos vacationed in St. Barts, and what he thinks of Johnny Depp's biggest purchase
In this week's episode, returning guest Hugh Hendry joins Dan for another round at the Stansberry Investor Hour table... Hugh founded the now-defunct Eclectica Asset Management in 2005. He rose to fame as the "Scottish hedge-fund king" when his fund returned 30%-plus during the throes of the financial crisis. He's also well-known for his outspoken remarks and contrarian views. One time, he even duked it out with a Nobel Prize-winning economist on television, asking, "Um, hello? Can I tell you about the real world?" These days, Hugh entertains a wide audience with his wit and energetic market commentary in his podcast, The Acid Capitalist. Today's conversation begins with a bang, as Dan and Hugh tackle one of the biggest market headlines: the stock sell-off. Shares of "FAANG" giants like Netflix, Amazon, and Apple are tanking... And it's hard to see these behemoths – which were once among the best-performing tech companies in the world – as "risk free" businesses anymore. Instead, they could herald a recession. So, what does Hugh have to say on the matter? It's going to be really long, but it's going to be entertaining. Wear comfortable clothing. He and Dan chat about several other topics, including inflation's grim march, Bill Hwang's multibillion-dollar fraud indictment, the "malevolent shadow of the Federal Reserve" behind high prices in oil and mining industries, and bitcoin as a risk-on versus risk-off asset. No one is safe from Hugh's wisecracks – not even the ultrawealthy. In addition to financial topics, he shares his thoughts on Elon Musk's latest follies, the real reason Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos vacationed in St. Barts, and what he thinks of Johnny Depp's biggest purchase
For years 15 years, Hugh Hendry ran the hedge fund Eclectica Asset Management, earning a reputation as a provocative and contrarian thinker on the entire state of the world economy. These days though, he's living in St. Bart's, surfing, and managing luxury properties for the richest people in the world. But of course, he can't stop thinking about macro. On this episode off Odd Lots, Hendry joins Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal to talk about Europe's big energy mistake, China's property troubles, and why even after all this time, the world can't get enough dollar assets. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Hugh Hendry, The Acid Capitalist, Macro-Advisor, and Founder of Eclectica Asset Management, joins us for a creative and critical, hot-take filled conversation.=========================================HIGHLIGHTS=========================================- Blunderer Putin's absurd personal ego-fueled tragic war on Ukraine- Europe caught on the backfoot- Inflation, what it is and is this it, yet?- Natural gas, Pipelines- Gold- the unbalanced symbiosis that is U.S.-China trade, currency and policy malaise- the realities facing the bond market - bifurcation and dislocation in markets- the crisis and opportunity in equity market 'glitches'- the Carbon Credit system, how it works, how it can work, and it's inevitable future value, - the meaning and significance of 'The Metaverse' and NFTs and why and who it matters to.=========================================Where to find Hugh Hendry:=========================================Hugh Hendry Official on Youtube [Download] Hugh Hendry's 'Dawn of Chaos' ReportHughHendry.comHugh Hendry on InstagramHugh Hendry on TwitterHugh Hendry on LinkedinBlancBleu Saint BartsBlancBleu Saint Barts - Press=========================================Where to find the Raise Your Average crew:=========================================ReSolve Asset Management ReSolve Asset Management Blog Mike Philbrick on LinkedinRodrigo Gordillo on LinkedinAdam Butler on LinkedinPierre Daillie on LinkedinJoseph Lamanna on LinkedinAdvisorAnalyst.com========================================="You don't have to be brilliant, just wiser than the other guys, on average, for a long time." Charlie MungerWelcome to Raise Your Average, our deep dive journey into learning from the people and process behind the world of investing. Through conversations with leaders in the investments game, we peel back the layers of the onion on how these holders of the keys to the kingdom allocate their time, their energy, and their dollars. We are all students and we are all teachers. We are the average of the 5 people we spend the most time with. Come hang out with us for a while and raise your average, as we raise ours.Music credit: In Hip Hop, Paul Velchev (8MJZA6T3LK)
Hugh Hendry, a.k.a. The Acid Capitalist, and Founder of the award winning hedge fund management firm, Eclectica Asset Management, joins Pierre Daillie and Joseph Lamanna for over 90 minutes, in a hot-take filled and hilarious-at-times conversation deep in critical and paradoxical thinking about the past and current geo-politics of Russia and China, the QE and disinflation-fueled equity and bond bull markets, the dynamics of oil and natural gas in the context of both pre-inflation concerns and the ultimate exogenous energy threat to Europe, his unique perspective on the impact and opportunity presented by the carbon permit/credit market, as well as his take on the now flaring Russia/Ukraine conflict we are witnessing.Our conversation is an exploratory journey around the geo-political world. Hendry identifies the chasms that are opening up the fault lines between Russia and the Western World, China and the U.S., the shift from Quantitative Easing to Quantitative Tightening, and what that all means.Where to find and reach out to Hugh Hendry:Hugh Hendry Official on Youtube[Download] Hugh Hendry's 'Dawn of Chaos' ReportHughHendry.comHugh Hendry on InstagramHugh Hendry on TwitterHugh Hendry on LinkedinBlancBleu Saint BartsBlancBleu Saint Barts - PressCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst.com
After Bitcoin plunged 54% from its all-time-high in April, many crypto speculators are feeling quite shaken... But Dan points out that it's what didn't happen after the crypto crash that's worth noting... No banks went under... the Fed didn't need to bail anyone out... We didn't see a big systemic collapse... And Bitcoin is still standing... Not to mention, Dan points out that one of the biggest names in the investing world just announced he bought some Bitcoin for the very first time... Then on this week's interview, Dan invites Hugh Henry onto the show. Hugh is an award-winning hedge fund manager, market commentator, real estate investor, and podcaster. Hugh previously worked at Odey Asset Management, before he founded Eclectica Asset Management in 2005, where he achieved a 31.2% return during the 2008 financial crisis. During their conversation, Hugh elaborates on his stance that inflation is more of a social phenomenon than many people give it credit for. Hugh also explains how if you spot some of these social trends, and are willing to take a contrarian stance, you could find some amazing investment opportunities at the best value they've been in years. He even shares the names of 4 or 5 stocks trading at rock-bottom prices that he absolutely loves going forward... Then on the mailbag this week, one listener asks Dan an in-depth question about life insurance and holding cash... And another long-time listener asks what Dan thinks about the popular assertion that gold will plummet when a crisis happens... Listen to Dan tackle these questions and more on this week's episode.
After Bitcoin plunged 54% from its all-time-high in April, many crypto speculators are feeling quite shaken... But Dan points out that it's what didn't happen after the crypto crash that’s worth noting... No banks went under... the Fed didn't need to bail anyone out... We didn't see a big systemic collapse... And Bitcoin is still standing... Not to mention, Dan points out that one of the biggest names in the investing world just announced he bought some Bitcoin for the very first time... Then on this week's interview, Dan invites Hugh Henry onto the show. Hugh is an award-winning hedge fund manager, market commentator, real estate investor, and podcaster. Hugh previously worked at Odey Asset Management, before he founded Eclectica Asset Management in 2005, where he achieved a 31.2% return during the 2008 financial crisis. During their conversation, Hugh elaborates on his stance that inflation is more of a social phenomenon than many people give it credit for. Hugh also explains how if you spot some of these social trends, and are willing to take a contrarian stance, you could find some amazing investment opportunities at the best value they've been in years. He even shares the names of 4 or 5 stocks trading at rock-bottom prices that he absolutely loves going forward... Then on the mailbag this week, one listener asks Dan an in-depth question about life insurance and holding cash... And another long-time listener asks what Dan thinks about the popular assertion that gold will plummet when a crisis happens... Listen to Dan tackle these questions and more on this week's episode.
DB-Feb18,2021. Real Vision editors Jack Farley and Max Wiethe start the Daily Briefing by breaking down the latest stories, ranging from rolling blackouts in Texas to the congressional hearing surrounding GameStop to Berkshire Hathaway’s latest maneuvers. Then, Jack welcomes Eclectica Asset Management founder and former-CIO Hugh Hendry, who tells him about the interplay between real yields, gold, and silver as well as giving Real Vision a sneak peek of his short film, “An Intense Psychotic Cacophony.” Lastly, Jack speaks to Real Vision's Weston Nakamura about a dislocation Weston has noticed in the VIX futures market. For the latest edition of “Inside the Hive Mind,” click here: http://rvtv.io/HiveReportFeb. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Interview, Recorded on December 1, 2020.: Hugh Hendry, founder and former CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, welcomes Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy for a wide-ranging discussion on international trade and the Eurodollar system. Hendry mounts a nuanced defense of the dollar's role as the global reserve asset, whereas Alden sees a slow but steady de-dollarization happening around the world, which she expects will continue. Hendry and Alden discuss whether China's role in international trade is "mercantilist," and whether its stagnant reserves of U.S. Treasurys is a true macroeconomic bellwether. Lastly, Hendry and Alden look forward to identify potential solutions to these problems, such as digital currencies (Alden's solution) and ultra-negative rates (Hendry's solution). Hugh Hendry's YouTube channel can be accessed here: https://www.youtube.com/c/HughHendryOfficial/videos. Key learnings: Alden and Hendry agree that structural forces have prevented the dollar from weakening to the levels implied by its persistent trade deficit. But while Alden thinks the Eurodollar system will expand beyond the control of the U.S., Hendry argues that American commercial banks will continue to control the supply of dollars in reality, and that the U.S. will remain the global monetary hegemon. Hendry has also provided a transcript he has personally edited to clarify some of his points in this interview: https://rvtv.io/3gysJZT Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Hugh Hendry, founder and former CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, joins Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal, to re-imagine the future of money, credit, currency, and interest rates. The great predicament of the past decade, Hendry argues, has been the tendency of central bank lending to become "trapped" in the commercial banking sector as reserves rather than being funneled into the real economy to fund productive activity. To fix this problem, Hendry envisions a world of ultra-negative rates in order to funnel the liquidity out of the financial sector. Short-term rates would have to go to -3% -- perhaps even lower in order to accommodate a steep yield curve -- is needed for banks to not go out of business. Pal investigates the profound consequences that this paradigm shift in monetary policy would have on the dollar, inflation, and creation, asking Hendry about alternatives such as perpetual bonds and modern monetary theory. Pal and Hendry then consider the optimal portfolio for this brave new world, including assets such as gold, calls on Eurodollar futures, and even Bitcoin. Hugh Hendry's YouTube channel can be accessed here: https://www.youtube.com/c/HughHendryOfficial/videos Key learnings: A move to ultra-negative interest rates might be necessary to force liquidity out of the banking system and into the real economy. Such a paradigm shift in monetary policy would drench most assets in unprecedented liquidity and make cash a very unattractive asset to hold. Recorded on November 12, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The home is the center of the universe! Jason Hartman shares his thoughts on the jump in home improvements through the pandemic. More people are buying homes because of the coronavirus pandemic and they want more space to work from home. Hugh Hendry joins Jason to share what was going through his head through the 2008 recession and what preliminary actions he took to position himself well. Everyone is wondering “where are we going [market]” and Hendry shares some thoughts based on actions the Fed took over the last 60 years. Webinar: Southwest Florida JasonHartman.com/Webinar Key Takeaways: [1:30] The stay at home orders caused a huge jump in home improvement projects. [5:10] “They will vote with their feet.” [6:00] Why did 69% of 5,000 homebuyers move during the pandemic? Lowest Mortgage Rates Ever? Hugh Hendry [14:00] 31.2% positive return back in the 2008 recession [15:00] To be curious you have to misbehave first. [18:30] Discussing the “boom-market in fear.” [24:00] Everybody is wondering where we are going [market]? [30:00] What is your stance on Paul Volcker? [33:30] What is the FED doing wrong? Websites: JasonHartman.com/Webinar www.JasonHartman.com Jason Hartman Quick Start Jason Hartman PropertyCast (Libsyn) Jason Hartman PropertyCast (iTunes)
Hugh Hendry, founder and former CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, joins Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal to analyze the state of markets at this unprecedented juncture of uncertainty and to reflect on a lifetime of macro investing. Raoul and Hugh explore how gold could perform in a debt deflation and whether central bank largesse is sufficient to help risk assets weather the storm. After a thorough investigation into the interplay between volatility and price, they contemplate the prospect of a “gilded depression” – one in which cataclysmic economic disaster is kept solvent by never-ending fiscal stimulus and where asset prices are continually re-inflated by incessant injections of central bank liquidity. Hugh can be found on Twitter at @hendry_hugh and on Instagram at hughhendryofficial. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Hugh Hendry, the founder of Eclectica Asset Management, discusses the motivations behind the decision to close the Eclectica Fund and says the global macro game will get fun again in the future. Sen. Ben Cardin, a Democrat from Maryland, says the only way our political system will function is if Republicans and Democrats work together. Fortress Investments' Wes Edens, Marc Lasry, the founder of Avenue Capital Group and co-owner of the Milwaukee Bucks, and Jamie Dinan, the founder of York Capital Management, talk about investing in a "tough" environment and the evolution of basketball. Finally, Christopher Hill, former U.S. Ambassador to South Korea, says the U.S. and China must do more than sanctions against North Korea. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Hugh Hendry, the founder of Eclectica Asset Management, discusses the motivations behind the decision to close the Eclectica Fund and says the global macro game will get fun again in the future. Sen. Ben Cardin, a Democrat from Maryland, says the only way our political system will function is if Republicans and Democrats work together. Fortress Investments' Wes Edens, Marc Lasry, the founder of Avenue Capital Group and co-owner of the Milwaukee Bucks, and Jamie Dinan, the founder of York Capital Management, talk about investing in a "tough" environment and the evolution of basketball. Finally, Christopher Hill, former U.S. Ambassador to South Korea, says the U.S. and China must do more than sanctions against North Korea.
Michael Covel analyzes a recent interview from famed trader Hugh Hendry of Eclectica Asset Management given at the Buttonwood Gathering held by The Economist. Hendry is not a trend following trader--at least publicly--and Covel gives some insight on how some very important trend following ideas have made their way into Hendry's work. Unlike Covel's comment on David Harding's interview from several weeks ago, this analysis is not about the skewed media perception of trend following, but rather how big name traders like Hendry use trend following philosophies in their trading, even if they would deny the label. Stick with it as Hendry talks about some of his fundamental views, because the trend following principles sneak up on you later in the interview. A narrative and a story is important in trying to sell yourself, and some of Hendry's thoughts belie the fundamental perspective on trading he presents to the public; Covel helps to read between the lines and see the underlying trend following thread inherent in Hendry's work. Covel comments as Hendry gives his thoughts on central bank manipulation and the consequences of those actions; how Hendry doesn't want to hear from the ridiculous analysts that can't help you in buying, selling, allocating to assorted markets in your portfolio, having a bet size strategy, and having a risk management strategy; how he made 50% in October of 2008 (and how this leads Covel to believe some trend following strategies might have been employed); and how Hendry is a student of uncertainty.
The view from the top of business. Presented by Evan Davis, The Bottom Line cuts through confusion, statistics and spin to present a clearer view of the business world, through discussion with people running leading and emerging companies. Evan asks his guests whether it's time to declare a state of emergency in the world economy and to adopt extreme measures to sort out the Euro crisis and the lack of economic activity in the West. They also discuss rumours, hearsay and speculation, and the role they play in business. Evan is joined in the studio by Guy Berruyer, chief executive of global business software supplier Sage Group; internet entrepreneur Brent Hoberman, founder of online interior decoration business mydeco.com; Hugh Hendry, co-founder of hedge fund Eclectica Asset Management. Producer: Ben Crighton.
The view from the top of business. Presented by Evan Davis, The Bottom Line cuts through confusion, statistics and spin to present a clearer view of the business world, through discussion with people running leading and emerging companies. Evan and a panel of guests from the worlds of civil engineering, hedge funds and investment discuss the art of staying ahead of the competition. The ruthless former chief executive of General Electric, Jack Welch, often held up as a model of business leadership, pursued a strategy to establish each of GE's businesses as either number one or number two in the market. Without this approach, he believed the company's prospects would be bleak. Some companies will do anything to be big, even if it means cutting prices and making less money. Other businesses are happy to be smaller and more profitable. Which strategy wins? The panel also discusses corporate claptrap. Silly jargon, faddish ideas and vacuous concepts - why is the business world so keen on nonsense? Evan is joined in the studio by Deborah Meaden, entrepreneur and business investor; Keith Clarke, chief executive of FTSE 250 civil engineering and design consultancy Atkins; Hugh Hendry, hedge fund manager and co-founder of Eclectica Asset Management.
Hugh Hendry of Eclectica Asset Management tells us to buy bonds . Francis Claessens of Peers tells us what the super rich have been doing wth their money. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Hugh Hendry of Eclectica Asset Management tells us to buy bonds .Francis Claessens of Peers tells us what the super rich have been doing wth their money. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit frisby.substack.com/subscribe