Podcasts about treasurys

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Best podcasts about treasurys

Latest podcast episodes about treasurys

Marketplace All-in-One
Understanding California's billionaire tax

Marketplace All-in-One

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2026 6:56


California voters will decide this November whether to impose a one-time wealth tax on the state's richest residents, setting up what could become one of the most expensive ballot measure fights in state history. Proposition 40 would levy a one-time 5% tax on the total wealth — not just income, but stock holdings, real estate, yachts, and other assets — of roughly 200 of California's richest residents. We'll dig in. Also: a stopgap funding bill and Treasury term premiums.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace Morning Report is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Stories covered in this episode:Why term premiums on U.S. Treasurys have been risingCalifornia voters weigh $100 billion wealth tax to offset Medicaid cuts

CNBC's
Treasurys Turn Higher… And Novo Sinks After Trial Failure 7/31/26

CNBC's "Fast Money"

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2026 43:29


U.S. Treasurys popping to end the week as the 2 Year hits a near two-decade high and the 10 Year reaches highs not seen since January 2025. The traders break down the reason behind the surge and if this could affect the next Fed rate decision. Then, Novo Nordisk tumbling after a heart medicine trial failure. Mizuho securities healthcare sector specialist Jared Holz lays out how the company can coarse correct, and what this means for the broader pharmaceutical space. Plus, Amazon surging 15% on the back of its earnings while Exxon loses steam, and counting down to SpaceX's earnings report as the aerospace giant trades well below its IPO price. Fast Money Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Thinking Crypto Interviews & News
Clarity Act Ethics Battle Continues with Goldman Sachs CEO Support & DTCC TradFi Tokenization!

Thinking Crypto Interviews & News

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 25, 2026 36:11 Transcription Available


In this Crypto Water Cooler episode, Amanda and Tony discuss the latest developments surrounding the CLARITY Act as Republicans introduce new ethics language and Democrats push back. They also cover Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon's support for the CLARITY Act, the House's passage of the congressional stock trading ban, and the DTCC's first live production trades of tokenized stocks, ETFs, and U.S. Treasurys with firms including JPMorgan, BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and Vanguard.⭐️⛏️ GoMining is an All-in-one Bitcoin superapp to mine, earn and use BTC. They have 5 Million+ users and have been live since 2021. - https://siagomininglatvia.sjv.io/aNLaRq 

DH Unplugged
DHUnplugged #808: Bulls in a Bubble Shop

DH Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2026 61:55


Happy 250th! The bulls are bubbling up! Yentervention – it is a thing. Labor market predictions. PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? PayPal.Donation.Button({ env:'production', hosted_button_id:'JJJHP2GDEJC7J', image: { src:'https://www.paypalobjects.com/en_US/i/btn/btn_donateCC_LG.gif', alt:'Donate with PayPal button', title:'PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!', } }).render('#donate-button'); Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - 250 Years! - We have the scorecard - Bulls are on the loose! - Kevin Hassett - what a putz - RAM JOB! Markets - Google's first day in the DJIA - a good one - SpaceX bonds already losing -Yen slips to 1986 levels - Yentervention? WHAT A PUTZ! - Trump Accounts launch July 4, with the NYSE and Nasdaq set to ring the opening bell from the Oval Office. - Program gives a $1,000 Treasury-funded investment account to U.S. children born from January 1, 2025 through December 31, 2028. - Kids under 18 can have accounts, but only newborns in that four-year window get the federal seed money. - Parents, family, employers, nonprofits, and governments can add money, with a general $5,000 annual contribution cap. - Money is invested in index funds and generally locked up until the child reaches adulthood. - Kevin Hassett pitched it as a way to teach kids about markets, ownership, saving, and compounding. His argument is that the more young people get exposed to investing early, and market ownership becomes less of an upper-income club. - However - > the government is handing out taxpayer-funded brokerage seed money while selling it as capitalism. - Also odd: the benefit may skew toward families who already know how to file forms, open accounts, and add more money. - So basically it is a forced financial-literacy experiment wrapped in a political brand name, with a socialist starter check to teach capitalism. First-Half Winners and Losers - S&P 500 finished the first half up roughly 7% to 8%, with the rally led by AI hardware, chips, memory, and data-center infrastructure. - Biggest winners were the shovel sellers: Sandisk up about 780%, Micron up about 296%, Western Digital up about 240%, Seagate up about 226%. - Overseas AI hardware ripped too: South Korea's Kospi up 123%, helped by Samsung up 169% and SK Hynix up 303%. - Semiconductor ETFs had a monster Q2: iShares Semiconductor ETF up 86.8%, VanEck Semiconductor ETF up 64.8%. - Japan's Nikkei rose about 38%; FTSE 100 gained about 5.8%. - Losers were the software/platform names that could not prove immediate AI payoff. - Microsoft was down about 24% despite being one of the biggest AI spenders. - Momentum stocks had one of their worst stretches in two decades as the Magnificent Seven slipped on capex worries. - Crypto and gold also lagged the AI-infrastructure trade. - Equity BULLS are running like it was San Fermin, Spain... MORE.... - Gold biggest quarterly loss since 2013 - Japan best quarter ever - Oil starts and ends - Kospi best quarter in 30 years - Stoxx 600 best Q in 5 years Something is going to break! - When Micro announced earnings, and we see that companies are panicking (News about existential threat to smaller tech players).. We said something is going to break - MU shares lifted to ATH on the news - big big beat - Micron's latest quarter showed a dramatic acceleration from the year-ago period, with revenue rising from $9,301 to $41,460 and EPS increasing from $1.91 to $25.11. - HUGE uptick in guidance - Apple increased pricing, Dell is increasing prices next week (17%), Microsoft raised price on XBox, HP across the board increase, Lenovo/Xiaomi increases, - NOW: Apple is lobbying the Trump administration for clearance to buy memory chips from China's ChangXin Memory Technologies Korea Goes All-In On AI Memory - Samsung and SK Hynix are backing a huge South Korea chip buildout tied to AI memory, HBM, advanced DRAM, packaging and data centers. - Samsung's plan includes hundreds of trillions of won for new fabs, including HBM facilities in Cheonan and Onyang. - SK Hynix is expanding Yongin and planning a major new chip base as it rides demand from Nvidia-linked HBM supply. - Government angle: Seoul wants domestic chip capacity treated like national infrastructure, not just corporate capex. - The state is trying to lock in supply-chain control before China, Taiwan, Japan and the U.S. pull more production into their own subsidy zones. - Market wrinkle: AI memory is hot now, but memory companies have a long history of overbuilding into strong pricing cycles. - Governments are no longer just subsidizing chips — they are helping plan semiconductor cities. RAM Job? - Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron were hit with a U.S. antitrust class-action lawsuit over alleged DRAM price fixing. - Allegation: the big three coordinated supply cuts while shifting capacity away from regular DDR3/DDR4 memory and into high-bandwidth memory for AI servers. - Plaintiffs say the three companies control roughly 90% of the DRAM market. - Conventional DRAM prices allegedly jumped about 700% over four years. - Complaint argues that in a normal commodity market, at least one supplier would usually increase production when prices spike. - Instead, the lawsuit says all three moved in the same direction at the same time. DRAM: We Have Seen This Movie Before - Yes, there was a similar DRAM price-fixing scandal in the 2000s. - DOJ investigation covered alleged DRAM price fixing from roughly 1998 through 2002. - Hynix pleaded guilty in 2005 and agreed to pay a $185 million criminal fine. - Samsung pleaded guilty in 2005 and agreed to pay a $300 million criminal fine. - Infineon pleaded guilty earlier, in 2004, and agreed to pay a $160 million fine. - Micron was involved in the investigation but received amnesty/cooperation treatment rather than the same criminal fine path. - Several executives were also charged or pleaded guilty. - State AGs and private plaintiffs later pursued civil cases tied to overpayment claims. - Difference now: the new case is not yet proven and appears focused on alleged coordinated supply restriction during the AI/HBM boom. Chevron and Microsoft - Chevron Corp signed 20-year deal with Microsoft for data center power. - Agreement supplies natural-gas fired generation for massive West Texas facility. - Project Kilby expected online 2028, ramping to 2.67 gigawatts. - Full output enough to power more than 530,000 Texas homes. - Chevron partnering Engine No. 1, final investment decision planned later. - Deal follows prior reports of exclusive long-term power negotiations. More Oil News - Drill baby Drill - Interior Department cutting federal drilling bonds by 95% to spur exploration. - Required bond drops from $500,000 to $25,000 for leases. - Bonds ensure cleanup costs don't fall on taxpayers if wells abandoned. - Policy change aims to encourage more oil and gas development. - Proposal subject to 60-day public comment after Federal Register publication. Dow 52,000 and the Tech Bounce - Dow closed above 52,000 for the first time Monday, finishing at 52,182.74. - S&P 500 gained 1.18%; Nasdaq jumped 2.07%. - S&P and Nasdaq snapped five-session losing streaks. - Alphabet rose 4.8% on its first day as a Dow component. - Tesla gained 8.5%; SpaceX rose more than 7%. - The bounce came after last week's tech selloff, with investors rotating back into mega-cap and AI names. Comcast Breaks Itself Up - Comcast plans to split media and connectivity into two separate companies. - NBCUniversal and Sky would be spun off in a tax-free deal; Comcast keeps broadband, wireless, and cable. - Completion expected within a year. - Shareholders would own both Comcast and the new NBCUniversal. - Comcast shares rose on the news; Charter also jumped as investors speculated Comcast could eventually pursue a broadband-scale deal. AI Trade Gets a Warning Label - Bank for International Settlements flagged the AI boom as a financial-stability risk. - The main concerns: elevated valuations, investor complacency, complex funding structures, and debt financing across the AI supply chain. - BIS also warned that record public debt and leveraged hedge-fund activity in sovereign bonds could amplify shocks. - Quote from BIS General Manager Pablo Hernandez de Cos: "Policy actions must reinforce each other." - The interesting part: central bankers are not saying AI is fake; they are saying the financing stack may be fragile. Inflation Back Above 4% - BEA's PCE price index rose 4.1% year over year in May. - April was 3.8%; March was 3.5%; February was 2.9%. - This keeps pressure on the Fed because PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. - Core PCE may later be revised lower because of BEA methodology changes. - Goldman estimated May core PCE could be trimmed to 3.2% from 3.4%; JPMorgan expected 3.3%. - Funny-but-real detail: part of the potential revision comes from how BEA prices portfolio management, legal services, and computer software. Jobs Report Becomes Bad-News-Is-Bad-News - June payrolls are due Thursday because markets are closed Friday for Independence Day. - The setup is awkward: strong jobs could mean stronger economy, but also higher odds of Fed hikes. - Looking back - May payrolls were hot at 172,000 versus an 85,000 forecast, with unemployment steady at 4.3%. - Remember - after the June Fed meeting, policymakers were clearly focused on inflation, not rescue cuts. Oil, Iran, and the Market's New Weird Routine - Oil stayed volatile around renewed U.S.-Iran tensions and peace-talk headlines. - Brent rose 1.6% Monday to $73.15; WTI rose 2.2% to $70.75. - Markets rallied anyway, helped by signs talks would resume and shipping routes were stabilizing. - The odd market behavior: geopolitical escalation keeps getting followed by de-escalation headlines and risk-on rallies. - This is now part of the trading pattern: weekend war scare, Monday relief rally, repeat. --- New attacks by USA on Iran happened at approx 4:30PM on Friday (markets closed) and then a halt to the fighting on Sunday - before the futures opened. Odd : Wendy's Becomes a Meme Stock - Wendy's became the latest retail-trader short-squeeze target. - Stock surged 25% last Wednesday, then gained another 9% Thursday. - Barron's said the move followed a CFO shakeup and WallStreetBets attention. - New CFO Steve Cirulis came from Potbelly and is also taking the Chief Strategy Officer title. - Wendy's had fallen 47% over the past year before the rally. - Short interest was nearly 30% of the public float, making the stock easier to squeeze. - Trian, Nelson Peltz's firm, owned nearly 15 million shares valued around $93 million. SpaceX Bonds Slip After Big Debut - SpaceX sold $25 billion of investment-grade bonds, its first major public debt deal. - Demand was huge, with roughly $85 billion to $98 billion of orders. - The 10-year tranche priced about 1.4 percentage points over Treasurys. - Bonds weakened quickly after pricing. - The 10-year yield rose near 6%, with the spread moving above 1.6 percentage points. - Longer-dated 2046 and 2056 bonds took the most pressure. - The pushback: bond buyers want more yield for a company still funding rockets, Starlink, AI/data-center spending, and Mars ambitions. - Clean read: equity investors bought the story; bond investors immediately marked it down. Yentervention - Yen weakened again, pushing toward the 162-per-dollar zone and near its weakest level in about 40 years. - Japan keeps warning it is ready for "decisive action" or to respond "at any time." - Market does not seem scared for long. - Japan already spent heavily defending the yen, including a roughly $73 billion yen-buying operation after the currency broke past 160. - U.S. rates are still high, the Fed is not rushing to cut, and the Bank of Japan is still moving slowly. - That keeps the carry trade alive: borrow cheap yen, buy higher-yielding dollars. - Japan's foreign reserves fell 5.6% in May after intervention, showing the defense is expensive.   Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? PayPal.Donation.Button({ env: 'production', hosted_button_id: 'JJJHP2GDEJC7J', image: { src: 'https://www.paypalobjects.com/en_US/i/btn/btn_donateCC_LG.gif', alt: 'Donate with PayPal button', title: 'PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!' } }).render('#donate-button-2'); THE CLOSEST TO THE PIN for SpaceX (SPCX) Winners will be getting great stuff like the new "OFFICIAL" DHUnplugged Shirt!     FED AND CRYPTO LIMERICKS   See this week's stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter

Stansberry Investor Hour
Gold Is Down 20%. So Why Is the Smart Money Still Buying?

Stansberry Investor Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2026 54:47


In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Andy Schectman to the show. Andy is the founder and CEO of Miles Franklin Precious Metals, a company dedicated to transparency, ethics, and long-term wealth preservation.   Andy kicks things off by explaining why gold prices breaking down isn't as bad as many people believe. He says that while the paper price of gold is going down, the physical asset has been going strong. In fact, since the start of President Donald Trump's second term, billions of physical gold bars in contracts have been delivered to CME Group's Commodity Exchange ("COMEX"). Silver also had strong deliveries to COMEX, with December 2025 seeing a record 65 million ounces in contracts delivered. Andy also says that one reason why gold exchange-traded funds ("ETFs") have experienced increased outflows is because large firms are redeeming their shares in exchange for gold to fulfill delivery contracts. And some of these contracts are for foreign countries that have lost trust in the central banks. (0:00)   Next, Andy shares his thoughts on bitcoin (BTC) and gold. Contrary to the stances supporters of either asset have, he doesn't believe investors need to be in only one of them and opposed to the other. He believes it's best if you invest in both. Andy personally invested in 1 BTC early on so he could have some exposure to the development of bitcoin. Andy then talks about the country's debt problem. With the U.S. in debt by more than $39 trillion, our country needs a way to pay it off. Andy says we have no way of selling products to other countries in the hopes of being paid in dollars, and other countries have established their own methods of trade without relying on the U.S. dollar. And with a trifecta of worse education rates, a lack of at-home manufacturing, and AI replacing certain jobs, the future outlook is grim. (19:14)   Finally, Andy says that Trump does have a plan to address this problem. The key is to bring manufacturing back home and sell that to the world. The U.S. cannot afford to be reliant on other countries. Also, the U.S. needs to aggressively buy gold. That would go straight into the Treasurys and help pay off our debt. While in the short-to-mid term this will be painful for Americans as certain services might need to be withheld, in the long term, Andy says it would be worth it. He ends the interview by warning investors to not save their money in dollars due to its dwindling value but to put their money into hard assets instead. (39:46)

Stansberry Investor Hour
Gold Is Down 20%. So Why Is the Smart Money Still Buying?

Stansberry Investor Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2026 54:47


In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Andy Schectman to the show. Andy is the founder and CEO of Miles Franklin Precious Metals, a company dedicated to transparency, ethics, and long-term wealth preservation.   Andy kicks things off by explaining why gold prices breaking down isn't as bad as many people believe. He says that while the paper price of gold is going down, the physical asset has been going strong. In fact, since the start of President Donald Trump's second term, billions of physical gold bars in contracts have been delivered to CME Group's Commodity Exchange ("COMEX"). Silver also had strong deliveries to COMEX, with December 2025 seeing a record 65 million ounces in contracts delivered. Andy also says that one reason why gold exchange-traded funds ("ETFs") have experienced increased outflows is because large firms are redeeming their shares in exchange for gold to fulfill delivery contracts. And some of these contracts are for foreign countries that have lost trust in the central banks. (0:00)   Next, Andy shares his thoughts on bitcoin (BTC) and gold. Contrary to the stances supporters of either asset have, he doesn't believe investors need to be in only one of them and opposed to the other. He believes it's best if you invest in both. Andy personally invested in 1 BTC early on so he could have some exposure to the development of bitcoin. Andy then talks about the country's debt problem. With the U.S. in debt by more than $39 trillion, our country needs a way to pay it off. Andy says we have no way of selling products to other countries in the hopes of being paid in dollars, and other countries have established their own methods of trade without relying on the U.S. dollar. And with a trifecta of worse education rates, a lack of at-home manufacturing, and AI replacing certain jobs, the future outlook is grim. (19:14)   Finally, Andy says that Trump does have a plan to address this problem. The key is to bring manufacturing back home and sell that to the world. The U.S. cannot afford to be reliant on other countries. Also, the U.S. needs to aggressively buy gold. That would go straight into the Treasurys and help pay off our debt. While in the short-to-mid term this will be painful for Americans as certain services might need to be withheld, in the long term, Andy says it would be worth it. He ends the interview by warning investors to not save their money in dollars due to its dwindling value but to put their money into hard assets instead. (39:46)

GREY Journal Daily News Podcast
Should Founders Follow Warren Buffett's Index Fund Playbook?

GREY Journal Daily News Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2026 2:03


Yahoo Finance highlighted Warren Buffett's recurring guidance for new investors, emphasizing low-cost S&P 500 index funds, long holding periods, and avoiding market timing. Buffett's 2013 Berkshire Hathaway letter described a 90 percent index fund and 10 percent short-term Treasurys allocation for his family's trust. He stresses that fees are one of the few controllable variables, pointing to expense ratios near 0.03 to 0.09 percent for major S&P 500 ETFs. His 2007 bet against Protege Partners showed an S&P 500 index fund outperformed a basket of hedge funds from 2007 to 2017. For founders, he cautions against leverage, recommends cash reserves, and suggests broad diversification to offset concentrated company risk. Company treasuries can mirror this discipline by using short-term Treasurys and ladders for runway while keeping long-term assets simple.Learn more on this news by visiting us at: https://greyjournal.net/news/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The Dividend Cafe
The Actual Truth about the National Debt

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2026 34:53


Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4d5naRq David Bahnsen discusses U.S. national debt after total federal public debt surpassed 100% of GDP, defining it as $31.27T in Treasury securities versus $31.22T GDP, distinct from state/local debt, intergovernmental debt, and unfunded liabilities. He explains who holds Treasurys (foreign holders, the Fed, U.S. households, and banks/pensions/insurers) and why Treasurys serve as the global risk-free rate, rooted in confidence in repayment supported by U.S. economic strength and taxing authority. Bahnsen argues the key problem is persistent deficits (~6% of GDP) growing faster than the economy, projecting debt near $50T by 2040, driven mainly by entitlement spending rather than military, fraud, or insufficient taxation. He says growth is necessary but not sufficient, warning reforms will involve pain, and closes by advocating diversified, valuation-conscious dividend growth investing as an attractive risk/reward approach. 00:00 Why Debt Matters 02:43 Crossing 100 Percent 03:43 Debt Definitions 06:14 Who Owns Treasuries 08:42 Why Treasuries Work 14:14 What 100 Percent Means 17:38 Deficits Keep Growing 20:09 What Caused It 27:08 Hard Choices Ahead 29:13 Investor Takeaways 32:47 Dividend Growth Close 33:20 Thanks And Wrap Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Thinking Crypto Interviews & News
MORGAN STANLEY LAUNCHES CRYPTO TRADING! XRP LEDGER USED BY JPMORGAN & MASTERCARD!

Thinking Crypto Interviews & News

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2026 26:01 Transcription Available


Crypto News: Morgan Stanley brings crypto trading with lower fees than rivals on ETrade. Ripple, JPMorgan and others use XRP Ledger to cash out tokenized Treasurys fund internationally. Brought to you by

Marketplace
U.S. Treasurys aren't selling like they used to

Marketplace

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 8, 2026 25:22


The share of U.S. debt held by foreign countries has been shrinking. Foreign investors currently hold about 30% of federal public debt, down from nearly half. In today's episode, we explain why the rest of the world isn't picking up the U.S. tab anymore, and how that'll impact American consumers and businesses. Plus: Three tech giants are eyeing initial public offerings this year, and Delta Airlines reported high earnings — and higher fees. Also, before inflation reports drop this week, learn why the PCE is slower than CPI. And finally, discover this hidden driver of the music industry.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

Marketplace All-in-One
U.S. Treasurys aren't selling like they used to

Marketplace All-in-One

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 8, 2026 25:22


The share of U.S. debt held by foreign countries has been shrinking. Foreign investors currently hold about 30% of federal public debt, down from nearly half. In today's episode, we explain why the rest of the world isn't picking up the U.S. tab anymore, and how that'll impact American consumers and businesses. Plus: Three tech giants are eyeing initial public offerings this year, and Delta Airlines reported high earnings — and higher fees. Also, before inflation reports drop this week, learn why the PCE is slower than CPI. And finally, discover this hidden driver of the music industry.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

WSJ's Take On the Week
How Emerging-Market Bonds Can Hedge Against U.S. Market Volatility

WSJ's Take On the Week

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 29, 2026 29:42


In this week's episode of WSJ's Take On the Week, co-hosts Miriam Gottfried and Telis Demos break down the math behind current oil price fluctuations and what the market is signaling about the duration of the Iran conflict. Food manufacturers and producers ConAgra Brands, Cal-Maine Foods and McCormick are reporting their earnings this upcoming week. Will these companies continue to pass on some of their high expenses to customers or will they absorb the rising costs? And a couple of the show's listeners share their takes on the oil vs. gold portfolio hedge.  After the break, Telis and Miriam are joined by Eric Fine, portfolio manager and head of active emerging market debt at global investment management firm VanEck. Fine explains the concept of fiscal dominance and why he believes the roles of developed and emerging markets have reversed. He makes the case for why bonds for countries like Brazil and Colombia may now offer more stability than U.S. Treasurys. Plus, they discuss why some emerging-markets strategies have been abandoned in favor of strict fiscal discipline.  This is WSJ's Take On the Week where co-hosts Telis Demos, Heard on the Street's banking and money columnist, and Miriam Gottfried, WSJ's investing and wealth management reporter, cut through the noise and dive into markets, the economy and finance—the big trades, key players and business news ahead. Have an idea for a future guest or episode? How can we better help you take on the week? We'd love to hear from you. Email the show at takeontheweek@wsj.com. To watch the video version of this episode, visit our WSJ Podcasts YouTube channel or the video page of WSJ.com Further Reading Is It Time to Diversify Away From U.S. Stocks Into Global Markets Grocery Price Inflation: Customer Reactions Unilever in Talks to Separate Food Business and Combine It With McCormick Brazil's Central Bank Cuts Rates; Future Actions Unclear Amid Middle East Conflict For more coverage of the markets and your investments, head to WSJ.com, WSJ's Heard on The Street Column, and WSJ's Live Markets blog. Sign up for the WSJ's free Markets A.M. newsletter.  Follow Miriam Gottfried here and Telis Demos here.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Confluence Podcasts
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Are Long-Term Treasurys No Longer a Safe Haven? (3/16/26)

Confluence Podcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 16, 2026 11:26 Transcription Available


After the war with Iran began, the dollar recorded its largest weekly advance since November 2024. But another traditional favorite destination for investors seeking safety, long term Treasury bonds, performed very different. In this week's report, Confluence Chief Market Strategist Patrick Fearon-Hernandez asks the question, are long term Treasurys no longer a safe haven? The answer to this question has obvious implications for investment strategies.

Risk Parity Radio
Episode 492: An Expat Risk Parity Style Portfolio, Intermediate Accumulation For A Mortgage, And Assorted Asset Allocation Questions

Risk Parity Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2026 44:17 Transcription Available


In this episode we answer emails from TJ, John and Optimus Bill.  We discuss TJ's modified Golden Ratio portfolio and backtests, maximizing withdrawals with flexibility, ZROZ vs. TLT simulated leverage, gambling problems, intermediate accumulation to pay down a mortgage, and assorted allocations questions about mid-caps and other funds.We also talk about our Fairfax CASA fundraiser in our Queen Mary segment and a recent Catching Up to FI presentation at the end.Links:Links:Fairfax CASA Donation Page:  Donate - Fairfax CASATJ's Portfolio:  testfol.io/?s=gJEgezdqVdyPortfolio Charts Risk Parity style Accumulation Article:  Minimize Your Miss – Portfolio ChartsRisk Parity Chronicles ZROZ vs. TLT Analysis:  Bond Allocation Sizing - Google SheetsRisk Parity Chronicles KBWP Article:  The Search for a Low-Beta Equity Unicorn - by JustinCatching Up to FI Presentation:  Catching Up To FI Illinois/Wisconsin Meeting Presentation - YouTubeCatching Up to FI Presentation Slides:  The_Risk_Parity_Mission for Catching Up To FI.pdf - Google DriveCatching Up to FI Presentation Summary Video:  Catching Up To FI Risk Parity Portfolios Meeting and Presentation.mp4 - Google DriveBreathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:A listener writes from overseas with a situation that strips retirement down to the essentials: no pension, no Social Security “backup plan,” and a real need to get the portfolio right. We walk through his modified Golden Ratio style allocation using growth and value funds, small-cap value tilts, long-duration Treasury strips, gold, and alternatives like DBMF, then talk about what matters more than a pretty spreadsheet: whether you can live with the drawdowns and keep the plan steady for decades.From there we get practical about retirement withdrawals and the assumptions hiding underneath them. We explain why a 5.5% withdrawal rate can be realistic when you pair it with flexible rules like a floor and ceiling approach, and why “inflation” is not one number that applies to everyone. If you're living abroad, spending in another currency, or even willing to relocate, your personal inflation experience can diverge from CPI, which changes how you should think about risk, resilience, and what flexibility is worth.We also tackle the investor temptations that never seem to go away: debating ZROZ versus TLT, obsessing over duration ratios, and tinkering with allocations when the market gets loud. We share a simple constraint that helps many DIY investors stay sane: build a small sandbox for experiments so your core portfolio stays intact. We finish with an intermediate accumulation question about investing toward a future mortgage payoff, plus a clear framework for why splitting short and long Treasurys can be useful, and why international diversification often shows up as currency exposure in modern markets. Subscribe, share this with a friend who's rebuilding their portfolio, and leave a review with the withdrawal rate question you're trying to answer.Support the show

The Financial Exchange Show
Jobs Data, Market Rotation, AI Threats & China's Treasury Warning Explained

The Financial Exchange Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2026 38:31 Transcription Available


Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong preview a crucial week of economic data, debating whether emerging “green shoots” in the labor market are real or just noise ahead of delayed jobs and CPI reports. The hour also dives into violent sector rotation under the surface of flat index performance, AI's threat to software business models, China's move to limit bank exposure to U.S. Treasurys, and the risks behind calls for renewed Fed-Treasury coordination under potential Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts
Revolution in China, Dollar Collapse & New World Order 01/29/2026

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2026 21:48


Today we take a look at a Prophecy from Chris Reed about the Revolution in China. In other news, we see the dollar keeps crashing – just like Shane Warren was told, and now it’s come to light that the Danish Pension Fund has dumped all of it’s U.S. Treasurys. 00:00 Intro 02:24 Chinese Revolution 07:09 Dollar Collapse 08:18 Prophecies 13:55 The Impossible 19:03 Iran

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts
Revolution in China, Dollar Collapse & New World Order 01/29/2026 - Video

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2026 21:48


Today we take a look at a Prophecy from Chris Reed about the Revolution in China. In other news, we see the dollar keeps crashing – just like Shane Warren was told, and now it’s come to light that the Danish Pension Fund has dumped all of it’s U.S. Treasurys. 00:00 Intro 02:24 Chinese Revolution 07:09 Dollar Collapse 08:18 Prophecies 13:55 The Impossible 19:03 Iran

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts
Revolution in China, Dollar Collapse & New World Order 01/29/2026 - Audio

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2026 21:48


Today we take a look at a Prophecy from Chris Reed about the Revolution in China. In other news, we see the dollar keeps crashing – just like Shane Warren was told, and now it’s come to light that the Danish Pension Fund has dumped all of it’s U.S. Treasurys. 00:00 Intro 02:24 Chinese Revolution 07:09 Dollar Collapse 08:18 Prophecies 13:55 The Impossible 19:03 Iran

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts
Revolution in China, Dollar Collapse & New World Order 01/29/2026 - Video

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2026 21:48


Today we take a look at a Prophecy from Chris Reed about the Revolution in China. In other news, we see the dollar keeps crashing – just like Shane Warren was told, and now it’s come to light that the Danish Pension Fund has dumped all of it’s U.S. Treasurys. 00:00 Intro 02:24 Chinese Revolution 07:09 Dollar Collapse 08:18 Prophecies 13:55 The Impossible 19:03 Iran

The Rate Guy
Fed Meeting Wednesday

The Rate Guy

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 26, 2026 19:16


On this episode of The Rate Guy we discuss what some of you may have forgotten...the Fed meeting is this week! We cover the Supreme Court's take on the Lisa Cook case, 10T behaviours, China "dumping" Treasurys and info about caps that our floating rate borrowers might be interested in.  Here is the link for the Pensford Cap Pricer that we discussed.  See you all Wednesday night for the FOMC recap!

Look Forward
The Legion of Peace/Board of Doom (Greenland, Europe Fights Back, 4th Amendment) | Ep438

Look Forward

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 23, 2026 73:35 Transcription Available


This week on Look Forward, the guys return to discuss another episode of "TACO" this time it's Greenland edition, Europe pushes back strong against Trump, speeches at Davos, ICE thinks it can violate the 4th amendment, judge will not allow feds to go after Don Lemon, US House approves $30 million for increased SCOTUS security, Jack Smith testifies publicly to the House, pension funds start to dump US treasurys, DOGE access social security data to help overturn elections, Trump pushes further on his Board of Peace aka his evil UN alternative. Big TopicTACO: Greenland EditionSpeech at DavosFrom TrumpFrom the rest of the worldEurope's responseNews You NeedICE says they can violate your 4th amendment rightsAnd they're literally kidnapping childrenJack Smith testifies to Congress on his investigationJudge declines to sign off on charges against Don LemonUS House approves additional $30 million for Supreme Court securityPension plans selling off US TreasurysFast Corruption and Faster Screw-UpsDOGE accessed your social security information illegally, but that's just the startThe “Board of Peace” is like the loser table in the cafeteria

Marketplace
The EU owns $8 trillion in Treasurys

Marketplace

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 21, 2026 25:27


The EU owns $8 trillion in Treasurys. Sure, Eurozone governments probably won't use ‘em as leverage in the Trump-Greenland situation — and even if they wanted to, it'd be complicated — but what if they did? We'll explain. Also in this episode: United posts strong quarterly profits after a turbulent year, a primary care doctor tells Kai how Medicaid changes are affecting his work, and cover crops are a tough sell for cash-strapped farmers.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

Marketplace All-in-One
The EU owns $8 trillion in Treasurys

Marketplace All-in-One

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 21, 2026 25:27


The EU owns $8 trillion in Treasurys. Sure, Eurozone governments probably won't use ‘em as leverage in the Trump-Greenland situation — and even if they wanted to, it'd be complicated — but what if they did? We'll explain. Also in this episode: United posts strong quarterly profits after a turbulent year, a primary care doctor tells Kai how Medicaid changes are affecting his work, and cover crops are a tough sell for cash-strapped farmers.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

DH Unplugged
DHUnplugged #787: The Elitists Convene

DH Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 21, 2026 65:16


Here we go again – Tariffs and retaliatory tariffs DAVOS – Elitists are Meeting Suicide Coaches? Hedge funds – finally a good year! PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter   Warm-Up - Here we go again - Tariffs and retaliatory tariffs - DAVOS - Elitists are Meeting - Suicide Coaches? - Hedge funds - finally a good year! Markets - Silver and Gold - ATH - Selling off after Greenland threat - Netflix - Saga continues Davos - 2026 - Economic Confab that often brings out the elite (elitists) - Many watch for their key points and do the opposite - Trump going, Xi Jinping and Narendra Modi not - Why is Zelensky going? - Kushner, Bessent, Little Marco will be attending with Trump - Did you know - Larry Fink is the interim Co-Chair. - The CEOs that you would expect that love the limelight ) (Jensen, Nadella etc) World Economic Forum Report (Davos) - Due out Wednesday - expected to show that geopolitical confrontation is the top concern this year - Rising Inflation - Economic Downturn - Asset Bubbles - High debt burdens - Any of those could be any year and anyone in the world that is breathing could have made that list WEF List NEXT - Greenland - Sell or Else! - Trump promises 100% that he will impose tariffs and follow through - The tariffs will start at 10% on Feb. 1 and shoot up to 25% on June 1, Trump said. - Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Finland - Supposedly in response to EU allies moving troops into Greenland - Greenland protests with - Make America Go Away hats - 200% tariff threatened in champagne and wines (Mad at Macron) Oh - and Gaza - The new Board of Peace - Trump names himself 'Board of Peace' chair under October plan - Marco Rubio, special envoy Steve Witkoff, former British prime minister Tony Blair and Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner. - Supposedly Putin has said he was also invited to be on the board. - Purpose? Officially, the Board is mandated to “promote stability, restore dependable and lawful governance, and secure enduring peace in areas affected or threatened by conflict... Saks - bankrupt - Chapter 11 - Problems really got worse after they agreed to purchase Needless Markup (aka Neiman Marcus) - Amazon filed an objection to Saks Global's bankruptcy financing plan on the grounds it could harm creditors and push the tech company further down the repayment pecking order. - Amazon The tech company invested $475 million into Saks' acquisition of Neiman Marcus in December 2024,  a stake it said is now effectively “worthless.” - Amazon threatened more “drastic remedies” if Saks doesn't heed its concerns, including the appointment of an examiner or a trustee. - Amazon initially invested because it thought Saks would start selling its products on Amazon's website and the tech company would offer technology and logistics expertise.| - Amazon's attorneys: “Saks continuously failed to meet its budgets, burned through hundreds of millions of dollars in less than a year, and ran up additional hundreds of millions of dollars in unpaid invoices owed to its retail partners.” Suicide Coaches - “This year, you really saw something pretty horrific, which is these AI models became suicide coaches,” Benioff told CNBC's Sarah Eisen on Tuesday at the World Economic Forum's flagship conference in Davos, Switzerland. - In 2018, Benioff said social media should be treated like a health issue, and said the platforms should be regulated like cigarettes: “They're addictive, they're not good for you.” - “Bad things were happening all over the world because social media was fully unregulated,” he said Tuesday, “and now you're kind of seeing that play out again with artificial intelligence.” China - China 2025 new yuan loans 16.27 trln yuan, lowest since 2018 - Dec new yuan loans beat forecast - PBOC announces targeted monetary policy easing - "From the asset side, amid the property market adjustment, the private sector including households and firms showed insufficient willingness to add leverage, while government bond issuance was ramped up to stabilize leverage and the economy." - Now what is happening is that $ that used to go into real estate is heading for stocks/risk assets. - Chinese authorities tightened rules on margin financing, signaling unease over the pace of a rally. - - Under the new rule, investors must now provide margin equal to the full value of the securities they buy on credit, up from the previous 80% threshold. - - - Regulators made the move to rein in potential froth in financial markets, with a fund manager saying it sends a clear signal that they want a slow bull market, not an overheated one. --- Under the new rule, investors must now provide margin equal to the full value of the securities they buy on credit, up from the previous 80% threshold, according to a Shenzhen Stock Exchange statement. The move, which applies to Shenzhen, Shanghai and Beijing bourses, underscores regulators' efforts to rein in potential froth in financial markets. More China - China's population of 1.4 billion continued to shrink, marking the fourth straight year of decrease, new government statistics show. The total population in 2025 stood at 1.404 billion, which was 3 million less than the previous year. - After the one-child policy - now government is pushing or more births - Measured another way, the birth rate in 2025 — 5.63 per 1,000 people — is the lowest on record since 1949 - Government tactics range from cash subsidies to taxing condoms to eliminating a tax on matchmakers and day care centers. Bank Earnings - Generally pretty good! - Yield curve is helping in a big way - steepening - Goldman beats, BAC beast Morgan Stanley bets etc. etc. - Goldman: The company said profit jumped 12% from a year earlier to $4.62 billion, or $14.01 per share, on gains across its capital markets businesses. - Morgan Stanley: Last Thursday reported fourth-quarter results that exceeded Wall Street expectations on the back of strong revenue from wealth management. Fed Chair - Over the weekend, Hassett thinks Trump is right not to have him in that position (What a sap! Good he is not in running anymore) - Rick Reider and Warsh are front-runners - Who ever kisses the most ass should win - Warsh would actually be a good pick - experience and smart guy that is level headed - Meanwhile - all of a sudden Trump says he is not looking to fire Powell (maybe h wants him to resign) Netflix/Warner Brothers Update - Netflix now plans to pay $27.75 per WBD share entirely in cash to acquire WBD's streaming platform HBO Max and the Warner Bros. film studio. - In reaction tot he hostile takeover bid from Paramount/Skydance - The last offer was unanimously approved by the BOD - NFLX Earnings ..... --- Earnings per share: 56 cents vs. 55 cents, estimated ------Revenue: $12.05 billion vs $11.97 billion, estimated - Stock down AH Inflation (Did we talk about this?) - Even though we are told there is little inflation... - Consumer Price Index increases 0.3% in December - Food, rents were the main drivers of consumer inflation - Underlying inflation rises a moderate 0.2% - Food prices surged 0.7% Planes! - Boeing outsold Airbus last year - First time since 2018 - BA stock made an ATH last week Bond Vigilantes - Danish pension operator AkademikerPension said it is exiting U.S. Treasurys over finance concerns tied to America's budget shortfall. - The move comes amid increasing tensions with the U.S. over Greenland as President Donald Trump pushes for control of the island. - AkademikerPension said it plans to have closed its position of around $100 million in U.S. Treasurys by the end of the month. - 10 YR yields moved up again to 4.3% - What if.....??? (Mutual assured destruction?) Hedgies - Hedge fund investors posted gains of about 12.6% last year, the best returns since 2009, according to data compiled by Hedge Fund Research Inc. - Funds run by industry giants such as D.E. Shaw & Co. and Millennium Management posted double-digit returns, with Bridgewater Associates' Pure Alpha II fund scoring a 34% gain. - Hedge funds secured net inflows of $71 billion during the first three quarters of last year, a major reversal after a decade of outflows, with the industry's giants being among the major beneficiaries.     Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? ANNOUNCING THE WINNER OF THE THE CLOSEST TO THE PIN CUP 2025 Winners will be getting great stuff like the new "OFFICIAL" DHUnplugged Shirt!     FED AND CRYPTO LIMERICKS   See this week's stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter

Marketplace
Less-than-great expectations for upcoming jobs data

Marketplace

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 9, 2026 25:36


The January jobs report and consumer price index come out this week, and experts expect both employment and inflation to hold relatively steady. But that jobs report will also include revisions to 2025 data. Will that show a net loss of jobs over the last year? Also in this episode: Foreign investment in U.S. Treasurys stays strong, Hollywood prepares to renegotiate key labor agreement with SAG-AFTRA, and Michigan wants to sue Big Oil for antitrust violations.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

Marketplace All-in-One
Less-than-great expectations for upcoming jobs data

Marketplace All-in-One

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 9, 2026 25:36


The January jobs report and consumer price index come out this week, and experts expect both employment and inflation to hold relatively steady. But that jobs report will also include revisions to 2025 data. Will that show a net loss of jobs over the last year? Also in this episode: Foreign investment in U.S. Treasurys stays strong, Hollywood prepares to renegotiate key labor agreement with SAG-AFTRA, and Michigan wants to sue Big Oil for antitrust violations.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

Conservative Review with Daniel Horowitz
Why Both Parties Suck on Health Care | 12/11/25

Conservative Review with Daniel Horowitz

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 64:06


As Republicans continue to get crushed in the polls, they are doubling down on denying inflation and denying the cost of data centers. I discuss how we continue to lose on account of policies and people who are actually antithetical to our values. Next, we're joined by Reg Hislop, an economist and health care expert, to provide a plan and a vision on the most important economic and fiscal issue. He explains how Republicans continue to push a lukewarm hell plan by accepting the premise of Obamacare while assuming responsibility for it. We develop our ideal health care plan that would cut out the administrative bureaucracy, monopolies, and market distortions. Reg also weighs in on the Fed's decision to cut interest rates and print more money to purchase Treasurys. He believes this will continue artificially directing money into ineffective AI projects that will create more inflation than productivity.    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Squawk Box Europe Express
Bond Market Sell-Off, WarnerBros Deal & a Metaverse Pivot

Squawk Box Europe Express

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2025 27:26


Global bond yields rise amid complicated pictures in the USA and Japan. Treasurys saw yields rise on stronger U.S. jobs data, while deepening expectations of a rate hike by the BOJ sees JGB prices fall. Elsewhere, Netflix has reportedly won the battle over Warner Bros Discovery; and Meta shares rise on reports the company is planning sweeping cuts to its ‘metaverse' unit, a former darling of CEO Mark Zuckerburg.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

REality
How Buyers And Sellers Can Navigate Today's Mortgage Market

REality

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 50:14 Transcription Available


Want a clear, no-spin read on where mortgage rates are headed and how to win in this market? We dig into why rates have stabilized in the mid-sixes, what the Jolts report and labor revisions signal, and how sticky inflation and tariff psychology keep pressure on the other side. Then we translate the macro into moves you can actually use: seller-paid buydowns that drop payments into the fives, first-time buyer programs that lower cash-to-close, and a buy-before-you-sell path that unlocks equity so you can pounce when the right house appears.We walk through the mortgage math behind today's stability, including the narrowing spread between mortgage-backed securities and the 10-year Treasury, and why that spread may put a five-handle within reach even without big moves in Treasurys. Builders have proven the leverage of payment over price; we show how resale sellers can compete by marketing a target payment and structuring smart concessions. On the demand side, life events continue to drive millions of sales each year, and with two-thirds of owners sitting on 50%+ equity, buyers and sellers have more options than headlines suggest.Technology and AI are changing the process, not the relationship. Permission-based income and asset verification, AI-powered doc review, and agency risk scoring make approvals faster and more predictable, while seasoned pros focus on judgment, strategy, and trust. Appraisals have steadied as appreciation cools, and more granular data helps right-size value calls. Whether you're renting at “100% interest,” trying to time a five-handle, or weighing concessions versus price cuts, this conversation arms you with concrete tactics and a realistic timeline.If this helped you make sense of the market, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a quick review—what strategy are you considering next?

Planet Money
How the government got hedge funded

Planet Money

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 28:10


The U.S. government spends a ton of money, on everything from Medicare to roads to defense. In fact, it spends way more than it takes in. So…it borrows money, in the bond market. By selling U.S. Treasurys, basically IOUs with periodic interest payments. And for decades, people have loved to invest in Treasurys, for their safety and security. But lately, Treasurys have started to look riskier. In part because, in recent years, there's a new buyer at the table: hedge funds, those loosely-regulated financial companies that invest on behalf of institutions and wealthy clients. They have started doing a special trade called the “Treasury basis trade.” And, depending on who you talk to, this trade could destabilize our entire financial system. Or help the U.S. government borrow more money. Or both. On the latest episode: how and why are hedge funds getting into Treasurys? We follow how a Treasury travels from the nest into the hands of hedge funds. And we speak to someone from one of those hedge funds, about what they're doing and why.Pre-order the Planet Money book, and get a free gift / Subscribe to Planet Money+Listen free: Apple Podcasts, Spotify, the NPR app or anywhere you get podcasts.Facebook / Instagram / TikTok / Our weekly Newsletter.This episode was hosted by Mary Childs and Kenny Malone. It was produced by Willa Rubin and edited by Marianne McCune. It was fact-checked by Sierra Juarez and engineered by Jimmy Keeley and Cena Loffredo. Alex Goldmark is our Executive Producer. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
A Tipping Point? US Treasurys Are No Longer The 'Reserve Asset Of Choice' | David Hay

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2025 66:30


TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceDavid Hay delivers his macro & market outlook -- plus takes your live Q&A#bonds #marketcorrection #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA
Short-Term Demands vs. Long-Term Goals: The Fed's Balancing Act

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2025 13:58


What is the Fed, and why does Jerome Powell seem to have Wall Street on speed dial? This week, the “Henssler Money Talks” hosts unpack the power and purpose of the Federal Reserve—who runs it, who appoints them, and how their decisions ripple through everything from Treasury bonds to your credit card APR. We break down the rates the Fed actually controls and why those moves matter. Plus, if the Fed is supposed to be independent, why does it feel like politics—especially Trump's calls for lower rates—are always lurking in the background?Original Air Date: July 26, 2025Read the Article: https://www.henssler.com/short-term-demands-vs-long-term-goals-the-feds-balancing-act

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA
July 26, 2025: Power, Privilege & Payments: What's Changing in Your Wallet

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 26, 2025 74:35


What is the Fed, and why does Jerome Powell seem to have Wall Street on speed dial? This week, we unpack the power and purpose of the Federal Reserve—who runs it, who appoints them, and how their decisions ripple through everything from Treasury bonds to your credit card APR. We break down the rates the Fed actually controls (spoiler: it's not all of them) and why those moves matter. Plus, if the Fed is supposed to be independent, why does it feel like politics—especially Trump's calls for lower rates—are always lurking in the background?Next, we ask, “Is the upper middle class having an identity crisis?” We dig into the surprising squeeze on America's “comfortably wealthy.” From overcrowded Amex lounges to bidding wars for average homes, we explore how rising wealth—especially among the top 10%—is making luxury feel less exclusive. We explore what it means for expectations around lifestyle and status, and how the wealth ladder is getting more crowded at the top.In Part 1 of our series on the evolution of payments, we dive into the rise of credit cards and how they reshaped the way we spend. We explore the move toward a cashless society—fueled by digital wallets and tap-to-pay tech—but also spotlight the pushback: small businesses are passing credit card fees onto customers, and even some places going cash-only. So where are we really headed? Is cash dying, or just evolving?Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice, a seasoned communicator and host, on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty.Henssler Money Talks — July 26, 2025  |  Season 39, Episode 30Timestamps and Chapters8:27: Third of the Way Through Earnings Season19:58: The Fed's Big Influence 32:03: Too Many Millionaires, Not Enough Pool Chairs54:13: From Cash to Tap: How Credit Cards Changed EverythingFollow Henssler:  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube:  https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup  “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial.

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA
Safer on Paper: Is Microsoft Safer Than Uncle Sam?

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2025 6:55


On May 16, after the market closed, Moody's became the third major credit rating agency to downgrade the U.S. government's debt rating. The cut comes at a time when global confidence in U.S. debt is wavering, and Congress is debating a tax bill that could further increase the national debt. We examine what this downgrade means and whether it reflects actual investment risk.Original Air Date: May 24, 2025Read the Article: https://www.henssler.com/safer-on-paper-is-microsoft-safer-than-uncle-sam  

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA
May 24, 2025: Retail Investors, Tax Bills, and Triple Tax Tricks

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA

Play Episode Listen Later May 24, 2025 59:45


Did you know that the median retail investor spends only six minutes researching a stock before buying it? Most of that time is spent staring at a price chart—often just the current day's movement. Nick compares the limited “research” many individual investors conduct to the extensive analysis performed by Henssler's research analysts.K.C. then takes a closer look at the “One Big Beautiful Bill” that passed the House of Representatives just hours before we recorded. We discuss the revised State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction cap, the increased Child Tax Credit, and the proposed tax break on tip income. While the bill's fate in the Senate remains uncertain, it appears that many of Trump's 2017 tax cuts may be extended.Last Friday, after the market closed, Moody's became the third major credit rating agency to downgrade the U.S. government's debt rating. The cut comes at a time when global confidence in U.S. debt is wavering, and Congress is debating a tax bill that could further increase the national debt. We examine what this downgrade means and whether it reflects actual investment risk.After the break, D.J. breaks down Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) and explains why they're one of the most powerful tools for saving money—thanks to their unique triple tax benefit. While many people use HSAs to pay for health-care expenses as they arise, there are compelling advantages to covering those costs from other funds and allowing the HSA to accumulate, benefiting from tax-deferred growth over time.Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice, a seasoned communicator and host, on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty.Henssler Money Talks — May 24, 2025  |  Season 39, Episode 21Timestamps and Chapters4:38: Impulse Investors26:31: House Approves One Big Beautiful Bill33:06: Moody's Downgrade39:50: Economic News45:37: HSAs: Triple Tax BenefitFollow Henssler:  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube:  https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup  “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/ 

MKT Call
Investors Shake off Moody's Downgrade

MKT Call

Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2025 7:59


MRKT Matrix - Monday, May 19th S&P 500 is flat as investors shake off Moody's downgrade (CNBC) Mortgage rates cross back over 7% after U.S. credit downgrade (CNBC) Ray Dalio says the risk to U.S. Treasurys is even greater than what Moody's is saying (CNBC) BlackRock's Rick Rieder says this is the ‘sweet spot' in bonds right now (CNBC) Morgan Stanley's Wilson Says Buy US Stock Dips After Moody's Cut (Bloomberg) Fed Officials Signal Rates Likely to Stay on Hold Until at Least September (Bloomberg) Trump Tax Bill Advances After GOP Deal for Faster Medicaid Cuts (Bloomberg) Jamie Dimon's Would-Be Successors Audition for the Top Job at JPMorgan (WSJ) Nvidia announces new tech to keep it at the center of AI development (CNBC) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: ⁠https://riskreversalmedia.beehiiv.com/subscribe⁠ MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs

The Bitboy Crypto Podcast
BlackRock & China Fueling Bitcoin Bull Run ($10 XRP Incoming?)

The Bitboy Crypto Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2025 81:01


BlackRock & China are driving the Bitcoin bull run as U.S. Treasurys get dumped! With BTC hitting $94K and institutions flooding in. We break down what it means for the bitcoin and altcoin market. ➡️ Unlock 13,000 USDT Trading Rewards! https://www.lbank.com/activity/futurestournament/DiscoverCrypto?icode=4M7MZ ➡️  Arculus - https://www.getarculus.com/products/arculus-cold-storage-wallet ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● ➡️ Follow on X - https://x.com/DiscoCryptoLive ➡️  Join Telegram - https://t.me/+vS5uDtG57XpjNDA1 ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● All of our videos are strictly personal opinions. Please make sure to do your own research. Never take one person's opinion for financial guidance. There are multiple strategies and not all strategies fit all people. Our videos ARE NOT financial advice. Our videos are sponsored & include affiliate content. Digital Assets are highly volatile and carry a considerable amount of risk. Only use exchanges for trading digital assets. We never keep our entire portfolio on an exchange. #bitcoin #crypto

WSJ What’s News
‘Sell America' Trade Picks Up After New Trump Threats on Fed

WSJ What’s News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 21, 2025 14:17


P.M. Edition for April 21. U.S. markets were on edge about President Trump's tariff war as well as his threats to fire Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell. Stocks fell, the dollar hit fresh multiyear lows against major currencies, and yields on longer-term Treasurys rose. Plus, U.S. megabanks are built for business from all corners of the globe. Heard on the Street columnist Telis Demos says that will become tougher in a deglobalized world. And cryptocurrency is pushing deeper into the banking system; banking reporter Gina Heeb has the scoop on the crypto firms planning to apply for bank charters or licenses. Pierre Bienaimé hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Unf*cking The Republic
The U.S. Dollar and 10 Year Treasury: Why Economists Are Freaking the F*ck Out.

Unf*cking The Republic

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2025 20:34


Are there hidden market patterns that signal massive economic change? A weak dollar and rising yield on the ten year treasuries sent Wall Street into panic mode over fears that Trump was torching the global economy with his tariff wars. Since 1945 the U.S. dollar has been the bedrock of the global economy. Trump’s reckless behavior has allies and enemies alike wondering if this is the end of U.S. hegemony in the world. Last week when the dollar and ten year treasury yield briefly split, the global bond market suddenly came into focus and was on everyone’s radar. This episode boils down the jargon to explain what’s going on and why everyone freaked out. Ultimately, while we may not tear down the global order, there’s no question that we won’t restore faith in the U.S. Dollar and economy until Trump is out of office. Access the episode Show Notes. Resources Compound Real Estate Bonds: Bond Vigilantes: Definition, Role & Impact on Markets EWA: The Relationship Between US Dollar Index and US 10 Year Treasury Bond Investopedia: Bonds: Treasury Yields and Interest Rates CNBC: Investors are growing concerned about a U.S. asset exodus as Treasurys and the dollar decline Privalgo: The relationship between bond yields and currencies ScienceDirect: International capital flows and U.S. interest rates St. Louis Fed: Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index (DTWEXBGS) St. Louis Fed: Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS10) Darden Report Online: What the Sell-Off in Treasuries Means for Your Mortgage The Washington Post: Fact Check: Has Trump declared bankruptcy four or six times? -- If you like #UNFTR, please leave us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and Spotify: unftr.com/rate and follow us on Facebook, Bluesky, TikTok and Instagram at @UNFTRpod. Visit us online at unftr.com. Join our Discord at unftr.com/discord. Become a member at unftr.com/memberships. Buy yourself some Unf*cking Coffee at shop.unftr.com. Visit our bookshop.org page at bookshop.org/shop/UNFTRpod to find the full UNFTR book list, and find book recommendations from our Unf*ckers at bookshop.org/lists/unf-cker-book-recommendations. Access the UNFTR Musicless feed by following the instructions at unftr.com/accessibility. Unf*cking the Republic is produced by 99 and engineered by Manny Faces Media (mannyfacesmedia.com). Original music is by Tom McGovern (tommcgovern.com). The show is hosted by Max and distributed by 99.Support the show: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/unftrSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

WSJ's Take On the Week
Consumer Spending Under Tariffs: Pimco Manager on What Investors Can Watch For

WSJ's Take On the Week

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 13, 2025 25:30


On WSJ's Take On the Week, co-hosts Gunjan Banerji and Telis Demos talk about the markets' reaction to the latest developments in President Trump's tariffs policies. They talk about the “buy the dip” trade and weigh in on “the stock market isn't the economy” debate. The hosts also discuss what's going on with Treasurys. Later on the show, Kris Kraus, a managing director and portfolio manager at one of the world's largest bond managers, Pimco, joins the podcast to give us a pulse check on the health of consumers, including their debt, from mortgages to auto loans. He shares what we should—and shouldn't—be worried about as tariffs start to hit our pocketbooks and portfolios. Kraus also talks about what he'll be looking out for in upcoming earnings from credit card companies, like American Express and Capital One, for clues on where consumers are headed. This is WSJ's Take On the Week where co-hosts Gunjan Banerji, lead writer for Live Markets, and Telis Demos, Heard on the Street's banking and money columnist, cut through the noise and dive into markets, the economy and finance—the big trades, key players and business news ahead. Have an idea for a future guest or episode? How can we better help you take on the week? We'd love to hear from you. Email the show at takeontheweek@wsj.com.  To watch the video version of this episode, visit our WSJ Podcasts YouTube channel or the video page of WSJ.com  Further Reading To read more from co-host Gunjan Banerji, catch up on When Does a Market Dive Hit the Rest of the Economy? and Market Rout Shatters Long-Held Beliefs on Investing  Live Q&A: What's Happening With the Markets?—Our Reporters Answered Your Questions  Trump U-Turn Halts the ‘Sell Everything American' Trade, but the Fallout Remains  For more coverage of the markets and your investments, head to WSJ.com, WSJ's Heard on The Street Column, and WSJ's Live Markets blog.   Sign up for the WSJ's free Markets A.M. newsletter.  

Make Me Smart
Selling America

Make Me Smart

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2025 34:31


Amid this week's tariff turmoil, U.S. stocks tumbled, U.S. Treasurys sold off, and the U.S. dollar weakened. Kai explains what this triple sell-off could mean for the future of the American economy. And, is the era of cheap stuff in America over? Donald Trump administration officials are arguing it's a good thing. We'll get into it. Plus, we'll weigh in on penguin memes and using public phones during a round of Half Full/Half Empty. Here's everything we talked about today:"Treasury Secretary Bessent says the American dream is not about 'access to cheap goods'" from CNBC"Cheap Consumer Goods Are the American Dream, Actually" from Bloomberg"The Trump administration says cheap goods aren't part of the American dream. They're wrong." from Vox"The bond market is acting weird. It spooked Trump" from CNN Business"After Trump's Tariffs, Stocks Plunged but Penguin Memes Ticked Up" from The New York Times"More students opt for certificates as undergraduate degree earners decline" from Marketplace"A Frenzy at Trader Joe's: ‘Everyone's Here for the Tote Bags'" from The New York Times"The Masters offers public phones as alternatives to cellphones. Here's what attendees think" from Fast CompanyGot a question for our hosts? Email makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART.

Marketplace All-in-One
Selling America

Marketplace All-in-One

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2025 34:31


Amid this week's tariff turmoil, U.S. stocks tumbled, U.S. Treasurys sold off, and the U.S. dollar weakened. Kai explains what this triple sell-off could mean for the future of the American economy. And, is the era of cheap stuff in America over? Donald Trump administration officials are arguing it's a good thing. We'll get into it. Plus, we'll weigh in on penguin memes and using public phones during a round of Half Full/Half Empty. Here's everything we talked about today:"Treasury Secretary Bessent says the American dream is not about 'access to cheap goods'" from CNBC"Cheap Consumer Goods Are the American Dream, Actually" from Bloomberg"The Trump administration says cheap goods aren't part of the American dream. They're wrong." from Vox"The bond market is acting weird. It spooked Trump" from CNN Business"After Trump's Tariffs, Stocks Plunged but Penguin Memes Ticked Up" from The New York Times"More students opt for certificates as undergraduate degree earners decline" from Marketplace"A Frenzy at Trader Joe's: ‘Everyone's Here for the Tote Bags'" from The New York Times"The Masters offers public phones as alternatives to cellphones. Here's what attendees think" from Fast CompanyGot a question for our hosts? Email makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART.

WSJ What’s News
Bonds Sell Off as New U.S. Tariffs Upend Global Trade

WSJ What’s News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 14:06


A.M. Edition for April 9. As U.S. tariffs targeting nearly 100 nations take effect, WSJ reporters Jason Douglas and Kim Mackrael explain how America's trade partners are responding to the levies, including a 104% tariff on China. Plus, markets reporter Chelsey Dulaney breaks down an intensifying selloff in usual safe haven U.S. Treasurys. And President Trump vows to bring back the declining U.S. coal industry. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Wall Street Unplugged - What's Really Moving These Markets
What's behind the surge in bond yields?

Wall Street Unplugged - What's Really Moving These Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 56:29


In this episode: Pay attention to surging bond yields [2:52] One simple thing could end this market meltdown [6:51] I eat some humble pie on a recent small cap trade [14:50] China's plan to sell U.S. Treasurys—should you be worried? [17:16] Big banks will be able to buy bonds—why that's a huge deal [26:41] This market leader has the most China risk [32:39] Is Cramer right that Ford is a value trap? [36:35] Be prepared for a lot of companies to cut guidance [38:50] An easy trading tip as earnings season kicks off [47:44] Did you like this episode? Get more Wall Street Unplugged FREE each week in your inbox. Sign up here: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu Find Wall Street Unplugged podcast… --Curzio Research App: https://curzio.me/syn_app --iTunes: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_i --Stitcher: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_s --Website: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_cat Follow Frank… X: https://curzio.me/syn_twt Facebook: https://curzio.me/syn_fb LinkedIn: https://curzio.me/syn_li

WSJ Minute Briefing
Trump's Reciprocal Tariffs Hit Nearly a Hundred Countries

WSJ Minute Briefing

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 3:02


Plus, a surprising selloff in the usual safe haven of U.S. Treasurys. And the International Monetary Fund agrees to provide Argentina with a new $20 billion dollar loan, which would boost President Javier Milei's free-market overhaul. Kate Bullivant hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Stansberry Investor Hour
The Private-Equity Reckoning Is Here

Stansberry Investor Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 17, 2025 57:56


On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Dan Rasmussen back to the show. Dan is the founder and portfolio manager of asset-management firm Verdad Advisers, as well as a bestselling author. His most recent book, The Humble Investor, came out just last month.  Dan kicks off the show by explaining what motivated him to write The Humble Investor. This leads to a discussion about why savvy investors should be skeptical of forecasts and why they should always consider whether other investors are looking at the same data and reaching the same conclusions as them. One area where this is a big problem is AI. It's capital intensive with very little return thus far, yet investors are blindly buying into AI stocks on lofty expectations. Dan points out that the "Magnificent Seven" are riskier than most folks realize, and this overvaluing of U.S. stocks has made foreign investors begin to look at other countries' markets for opportunities. (1:47) Next, Dan talks about investors mistakenly being underweight gold for years, whether it's possible to predict a bubble, the pattern of credit crises, and the recent worrying signal of money drying up in private equity. He notes that this tendency for investors to take on more risk in private equity than elsewhere is a disaster waiting to happen. Dan then delves into which parts of the market he finds most and least attractive today. For example, he notes that changing corporate governance for Japanese stocks is an "obvious catalyst" for doubling your money, while short-term macroeconomic factors are keeping him away from U.S. Treasurys. (17:12) Finally, Dan discusses diversification versus "diworsification," the often-ignored problem with passive investing, and the "valuation drop-off" between S&P 500 Index stocks and foreign stocks. With the Magnificent Seven officially in a bear market, Dan declares that "the turning point seems to be upon us" for U.S. stock valuations to come down. And he concludes with a stark reminder about earnings growth for listeners. (38:11)

Marketplace All-in-One
‘Tis the season to shop

Marketplace All-in-One

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2024 8:57


Tomorrow is Black Friday, the biggest shopping day of the year and what we think of as the official start of the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation expects over 183 million people to shop between Black Friday and Cyber Monday. And by the end of the season, consumers are expected to spend a record $902 per person on gifts, food and decorations. Plus, are U.S. Treasurys still “risk-free” investments? A new paper makes the case that U.S. government debt is riskier than many people think.

Marketplace Morning Report
‘Tis the season to shop

Marketplace Morning Report

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2024 8:57


Tomorrow is Black Friday, the biggest shopping day of the year and what we think of as the official start of the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation expects over 183 million people to shop between Black Friday and Cyber Monday. And by the end of the season, consumers are expected to spend a record $902 per person on gifts, food and decorations. Plus, are U.S. Treasurys still “risk-free” investments? A new paper makes the case that U.S. government debt is riskier than many people think.

CNBC's
10-year yield tops 4%, Markets sink on war fears 10/7/24

CNBC's "Fast Money"

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2024 43:35


The yield on 10-year Treasurys hit their highest level since early August ahead of Thursday's CPI print. Meanwhile, the prospect of a strike on Lebanon sent U.S. equity markets sharply lower midday. All the headlines on investors' minds tonight.  Fast Money Disclaimer

Marketplace
Slow and steady global growth

Marketplace

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 16, 2024 28:16


The International Monetary Fund reported today that the global economy has shown “remarkable resilience” and that growth is expected to hold steady at 3.2% this year. But that’s low by historical standards. Plus, why there’s weaker demand for Treasurys, how restaurant chains scout locations and why Warner Bros. is shelving “Coyote vs. Acme.” Beep beep!