Podcasts about qi research

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2025 14:27

“It's time for Jerome Powell to put on his big boy pants and say, no, inflation is not the bigger problem,” says Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research. In today's interview with Daniela Cambone, Booth argues that the Fed should prioritize employment, as true inflation is low and declining—especially in housing—while job losses continue and consumer purchasing power weakens. “Companies are saying in no uncertain terms, they don't have pricing power because U.S. consumers don't have purchasing power." On Trump's tax bill, she aligns with Elon Musk, warning that it will increase the deficit and national debt. “This gravy train was supposed to end at the end of 2025… you're not stimulating the US economy. You're simply preventing a negative shock to the system,” she concludes. Register for Rick Rule Symposium 2025 conference this July in Boca Raton, Florida, at https://registration.allintheloop.net/register/event/rick-rule-symposium-2025-ccha?via=DaniC

Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed is Derelict in it’s Duty to the American People

Palisade Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 29, 2025 49:05

Tom Bodrovics once again engages in an interesting conversation with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, former Fed Insider, and author of the book "Fed Up." The conversation focuses on the ongoing recession that likely began in Q1 2024. Danielle highlights key data points, such as job losses starting in Q2 2024, which confirm the recession's onset. Despite this clarity, official channels are reluctant to acknowledge the recession due to political considerations. Danielle emphasizes the severe impact of student loan forbearance and credit constraints on US households, noting that rising defaults will further strain consumer spending. This situation is compounded by a lack of clear policies to replace past stimulus measures, leaving the economy vulnerable. Danielle shifts into the commercial real estate sector, with banks facing growing pressure to recognize losses. She critiques the Federal Reserve for ignoring critical data, such as shelter inflation and job losses, in favor of focusing on tariffs' impact on goods prices. This stance, she argues, is politically motivated and disregards the Fed's own historical lessons. Investors are advised to prioritize safety over riskier assets, given the high returns on cash and the uncertain economic outlook. Danielle concludes by urging empathy and support for communities navigating these challenging times, emphasizing the importance of looking out for one another during economic hardship. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:10 - Recession Recognition?6:05 - Recession & Neg. GDP9:06 - Politics & Power Games11:28 - Democrats & Leadership14:16 - Global Recession Outlook16:10 - Student Loan Problems20:10 - Com. Real Estate Bubble23:48 - Banks & Neg. Home Values26:38 - Q.E. Tariffs & Inflation30:30 - Wages, Housing, & Retail36:30 - Powell & Coming Shocks40:59 - Fed Ignoring The Data42:05 - Safe Investor Plays?47:10 - Concluding Thoughts48:10 - Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/DiMartinoBoothSubstack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Website: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a Research Revolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette, where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio.

#256 Danielle DiMartino Booth On The Hidden Economic Indicators Flashing Red

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Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2025 43:56

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 256 for an FOMC day interview.Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia DiMartino Booth argues that Fed monetary policy remains overly restrictive while the labor market is "anything but solid." She points to concerning indicators including record credit card minimum payments, rising long-term unemployment, and declining full-time jobs. DiMartino Booth makes the case for immediate rate cuts to a floor of 2%, warning the economy now operates "without a safety net" after successive waves of debt-fueled growth. Looking forward, she expresses concern about geopolitical risks while finding hope in the strong work ethic of the younger generation.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Links: QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 - Opening commentary on Powell and monetary policy0:23 - Introduction and FOMC day discussion1:39 - Arguments that monetary policy is too restrictive2:49 - Labor market indicators and private sector layoffs4:13 - Credit card minimum payments and student loan impacts6:02 - Signs of financial stress in refinancing behaviors8:10 - Bankruptcy trends and distressed debt exchanges9:57 - Fed's dual mandate debate12:05 - Critique of Powell's selective history on Fed actions13:57 - Job market reality vs. Powell's "solid" characterization15:48 - Self-employment and full-time job losses17:50 - Sponsor segment19:08 - Labor market "scarring" and long-term unemployment21:12 - Federal debt approaching $38 trillion22:03 - Analysis of long-term debt cycles since Greenspan24:16 - Student loan wage garnishment concerns28:36 - Fed rate cut recommendations30:10 - Policy pushing money from real economy to financial assets33:00 - Tariffs discussion - why they're deflationary not inflationary36:38 - Real-world impacts of import costs38:26 - What keeps Danielle up at night - geopolitical concerns39:53 - What gives her hope - younger generation's work ethic42:17 - Information about Qi Research and closing thoughts

04/25- Special Guest-Danielle DiMartino Booth, QI Research

The Jon Sanchez Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2025 31:45

Join me today on the Jon Sanchez Show at 3pm to listen to an interview with one of the most respected Wall Street strategists. Her name is Danielle DiMartino Booth, Founder and CEO of QI Research. She spent 9 years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and years on Wall Street. You'll find out why she thinks the fed is doing the wrong thing, plus her take on the current market volatility and how tariffs will impact inflation.

04/25- Special Guest-Danielle DiMartino Booth, QI Research

The Jon Sanchez Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2025 30:29

Join me today on the Jon Sanchez Show at 3pm to listen to an interview with one of the most respected Wall Street strategists. Her name is Danielle DiMartino Booth, Founder and CEO of QI Research. She spent 9 years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and years on Wall Street. You'll find out why she thinks the fed is doing the wrong thing, plus her take on the current market volatility and how tariffs will impact inflation.

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Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed's Impossible Dilemma

On The Tape

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2025 27:20

Guy is joined by Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins to discuss Federal Reserve policies and their impacts on the U.S. eco nomy. The conversation starts with the current political tension surrounding Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and the administration's frustrations with him. Danielle highlights her disappointment with the Fed's handling of the economy, citing missed revenue targets as an indicator of pre-existing economic stress before the ongoing trade war. The discussion explores the inefficacy of tariffs, the complex dynamics of ten-year yields, and the significant issues of rising bankruptcy rates. Danielle also touches on the shifting trends in the bond and gold markets, the currency exchange rate crisis, and the increasing importance of liquidity in financial markets. With a call for stronger leadership and a critique of current economic policies, this episode offers a thorough analysis of the broader economic landscape and the challenges facing the Federal Reserve. — FOLLOW US YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia Instagram: @riskreversalmedia Twitter: @RiskReversal LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

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#250 Danielle DiMartino Booth On Collapsing Confidence, Trump vs. Powell, Market Turmoil, and What's Next

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 22, 2025 37:45

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 250 where she reiterates her view that the US is already in recession, explains the "collapse in confidence" spreading through markets, and evaluates the growing tension between President Trump and Fed Chair Powell. Booth reveals concerning trends in consumer credit, employment data, and housing that mainstream statistics aren't capturing.Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Links: QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 00:00 - Introduction 03:31 - Discussion on US exceptionalism and capital migration out of US dollar assets 06:50 - Exploring the implications of collapsing confidence 08:35 - Trump's Truth Social post about Powell and interest rates 11:59 - Federal Reserve's independence and potential rate cut decisions15:20 - Discussion on whether rate cuts are necessary and timing 16:02 - Explanation of Fed blackout period and limitations on communication 17:59 - Analysis of Trump's strategy regarding Fed commentary 19:17 - Consumer 22:20 - CEO confidence decline, reduced capital expenditures, and potential layoffs 23:47 - Discussion on high unemployment claim rejection rates (44%)25:19 - Effects on gig economy and discretionary spending like rideshare services 27:03 - Confirmation that we are in a recession 31:34 - Housing market assessment and discussion of market conditions34:05 - Housing price outlook and structural issues 36:00 - Closing thoughts

DiMartino Booth is 'short-term pessimistic' but expects moderate improvement

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2025 59:08

Danielle DiMartino Booth, chief strategist at QI Research, says that she remains concerned about the economy in the short run because Congress isn't being "brisk and efficient" in delivering on the promise of de-regulation and lower taxes. Since those potential policy benefits haven't shown up — but the uncertainty of tariff policies has — she is expecting a bumpy economic road ahead. She does say that inflation may be having less impact than consumers say it is having, but she notes that consumer fears are real and are contributing to her feelings that the economy will struggle to regain momentum. Speaking of tariffs, Chuck answers a listener's question on how they are supposed to work and why he has been saying the dollar must be weaker for them to achieve President Trump's stated goal. Plus, Ted Rossmandiscusses a Bankrate.com survey which showed that Americans with checking accounts have maintained the same account for an average of 19 years, which may mean they are missing out on opportunities to get more from their most basic bank accounts.

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#235 Danielle DiMartino Booth: Disinflation Signs, Job Market Stress, and More Rate Cuts Than Expected

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 20, 2025 34:44

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 235 to discuss mounting signs of disinflation and labor market stress in early 2025. She points to falling rents, rising vacancy rates, and a wave of both private and public sector job cuts that could force more Fed rate cuts than markets expect. DiMartino Booth warns about the confluence of student loan delinquencies, credit stress, and potential disruption to passive investment flows as demographic shifts and job losses impact 401(k) contributions.Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/juliaA global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.Links: QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 Welcome and introduction 1:10 Analysis of Fed minutes and debt ceiling impact 2:04 Discussion of Treasury general account and liquidity 3:50 MBS rolloff implications 5:18 Private sector layoffs and bankruptcies 8:20 Labor market conditions and Uber driver earnings 9:31 Initial jobless claims analysis and Fed outlook 11:23 Rent and housing market dynamics 13:36 Disinflationary trends and shelter costs 15:54 Student loan impact on credit scores 16:54 Housing market inventory and spring selling season 19:49 Senior housing opportunities 20:50 White collar recession analysis 23:50 Discussion of Doge savings and flat tax proposal 26:18 Potential stimulus impact on inflation 27:58 Passive investing risks and TSP analysis 32:01 Closing remarks

#230 Danielle DiMartino Booth On Labor Market Cracks, Recession Signals, and Why We'll Likely See A March Rate Cut

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2025 54:13

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 230 for an in-person Fed day analysis following the January FOMC meeting. She breaks down Powell's press conference, newly released 2019 Fed transcripts, and signals of labor market weakness that official numbers might miss. DiMartino Booth explains why the Fed's shift to market-based inflation metrics could accelerate rate cuts, while warning about mounting evidence of job market deterioration hidden beneath headline numbers. A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Links: QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655 Timestamps: 0:00 Opening discussion on disinflationary pressures 1:09 Analysis of 2019 Fed transcripts and global trade impact 3:13 Discussion of Conference Board data and labor market signals 8:56 Analysis of rental market dynamics and Fed's new inflation metrics 17:36 Housing market analysis and renter dynamics 18:28 Impact of tariffs on economy and growth 21:54 Release timing of Fed transcripts and messaging 23:16 Current state of economy and job market analysis 28:54 Federal employee buyouts and workforce implications 34:11 Evolution of layoff reporting and gig economy impact 38:54 Discussion of fiscal policy mechanisms and inflation 41:30 Analysis of potential government efficiency measures 47:00 AI impact on markets and tech valuations 50:57 Societal shifts in spending habits and debt management 54:22 Closing remarks and where to find her work

Futures Edge Podcast with Jim Iuorio and Bob Iaccino

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 13, 2025 15:07

“I'd like to invite members of the Federal Open Market Committee to hop on LinkedIn and to read about the plight of so many of those who are out of work,” says Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research. In our 2025 Outlook Series, Booth sits down with Daniela Cambone to share the growing concerns over the disconnect between Fed policy and the challenges faced by everyday Americans in the labor market. Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcast or Call 866-349-3310

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Economic Divergence: Small Businesses, Real Estate, and the K-Shaped Recovery with Danielle DiMartino Booth

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 31, 2024 55:44

What factors drive the uneven recovery across different sectors and income groups, and what can be done to bridge the gap in a K-shaped recovery? Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm, joins Jim Iuorio and Bobby Iaccino on Futures Edge to examine the current economic climate, focusing on the divergent paths of recovery, small business sentiment, government policies, and the Federal Reserve's role. They explore the potential risks of a recession, labor market dynamics, and the global economic environment, particularly highlighting the challenges faced by the lower 70% of the population amid a K-shaped recovery. They analyze the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, the deceptive nature of employment data, and the broader implications of inflation. They also address the hurdles confronting the real estate sector, specifically focusing on commercial real estate, and consider the future of regional banks in light of shifting economic forces. Additionally, the conversation touches on the transformative impact of AI on employment and the economy. Key Takeaways: - K-shaped economy signals a widening divide between the affluent and those struggling to recover. -While small business optimism is on the rise, many entrepreneurs still face significant obstacles.-Pandemic-era government policies disproportionately benefitted larger corporations, leaving smaller businesses at a disadvantage. -The Federal Reserve's decisions are intricately linked to the challenges faced by borrowers and the stock market. -Jobless claims may not fully capture the true state of the job market, given the growth of the gig economy. -The gig economy has emerged as a crucial lifeline for individuals displaced during the pandemic. -The Federal Reserve remains committed to maintaining interest rates in the upper 2% range. -The real estate market is encountering considerable challenges, particularly within the commercial sector -Regional banks are facing significant pressure, with consolidation likely on the horizon. Chapters: 00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction 06:02 Small Business Optimism and Economic Indicators 12:03 The Role of the Federal Reserve and Interest Rates 17:58 Recession Predictions and Economic Outlook 29:54 Federal Reserve's Stance on Interest Rates 38:33 Commercial Real Estate Challenges 43:48 Impact of AI on Employment and Economy 49:49 Reforming the Federal Reserve 55:15 Building a New Media Platform

#221 Danielle DiMartino Booth: Fed Has 'Frayed Nerves,' Jobs Data 'Statistically Impossible' & How A Recession Could Get 'Pinned' On Trump

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 19, 2024 43:43

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist of QI Research and former Federal Reserve insider, joins the Julia La Roche Show for an in-person interview to discuss why she sees "frayed nerves" at the Federal Reserve about the incoming Trump administration. In this wide-ranging conversation, DiMartino Booth reveals why 18 months of downward revisions to jobs data is "statistically impossible," explains how bureaucrats could start "releasing the Kraken" with true economic data that gets "pinned on Trump," and warns about the explosion of buy-now-pay-later debt that's not showing up in official credit statistics. She also shares a powerful message about the growing divide between Wall Street and Main Street A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Links: QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655 Timestamps: 00:00 Welcome Danielle 01:00 Reaction to the FOMC, frayed nerves at the Fed 3:08 Fed spooked by inflation 3:45 Fed went in opposite direction of staff presentations 6:30 10-Year 8:03 A "closer call" 9:12 Does the Fed make policy for the public good? 13:00 Nihilism among younger generations 16:30 The government is buying the economy time, and the Fed is making the wealthier wealthier 18:48 Are we in a recession? 22:00 Declining consumption is not a prerequisite to recession 24:10 Could Trump inherit a recession? 26:30 Jobs numbers 30:00 Story behind the data 31:20 Trump administration 2.0 37:45 Stock market 39:50 What's keeping Danielle up at night 42:11 Parting thoughts

Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Recession the U.S. Needs is Already Underway

Palisade Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2024 28:59

Tom Bodrovics engages in a discussion with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, former Fed Insider, and author of the book "Fed Up." Danielle stresses the importance of monitoring private sector actions, particularly in 2025 due to recent job losses and the significance of shelter inflation's impact on the Federal Reserve. She highlights an upward trend in unemployment rates and potential recession expectations, but does not believe one is necessary. The conversation touches upon central bankers' confidence bubble and its implications for the current economic climate. They also delve into commercial real estate markets and the potential repercussions on banks and markets. Serious concerns in this sector have led to double defaults on commercial mortgage-backed securities, with regulators putting pressure on credit rating agencies not to downgrade them. Tom also inquires about other financial burdens, such as rising unemployment, falling house prices, and mortgage delinquencies, which contribute to significant household financial pressures. Canadian banks have announced larger losses but maintain they are contained. Banks attempt to slow charge-offs by modifying loans and extending terms, but this approach has limitations due to the possibility of re-default. Danielle concludes the conversation by encouraging listeners to maturely face sacrifices and embrace long-term benefits that come with cutting government waste. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:44 - The Economy & Stats2:49 - Unemployment & Layoffs3:38 - Powell & Trump4:37 - Revisions & Recession6:25 - Bankruptcies & Rates8:13 - C.B. Confidence/Hubris11:22 - Dollar Strength & Trump14:57 - Inflation Thoughts16:47 - Housing Confidence19:38 - Commercial Real Estate20:57 - Consumers & Banking22:37 - Safe Assets & Dividends24:14 - Buy Now Pay Later?26:42 - 2025 and Gov't Spending27:49 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode Danielle emphasizes investors monitor private sector actions amid job losses, shelter inflation, and potential recession concerns. Concerns center around Central bankers' 'confidence', commercial real estate risks, and household financial pressures. DiMartino cautions listeners that Trump cuts may require short to medium term sacrifices to gain long-term benefits. Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothSubstack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Website: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015.

#209 Danielle DiMartino Booth On The Fed And Powell's Future, Why The U.S. Economy Is Already In Recession, And What's Really Happening In The Labor Market

Financial Sense(R) Newshour

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 9, 2024 45:46

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 209 to discuss the FOMC decision, the state of the economy, and the 2024 election results. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options and bonds in a self-directed account are offered by Public Investing, Inc., member FINRA & SIPC. Public Investing offers a High-Yield Cash Account where funds from this account are automatically deposited into partner banks where they earn interest and are eligible for FDIC insurance; Public Investing is not a bank. Treasury accounts offering 6 months T-Bills are offered by Jiko Securities, Inc.,member FINRA & SIPC. Securities in your account are protected up to $500,000. For details: www.sipc.org. Banking services and the Bank Accounts are provided by Jiko Bank, a division of Mid- Central National Bank. For U.S. Investments in T-bills: Not FDIC Insured; No Bank Guarantee; May Lose Value. Treasuries risk disclosures, see https://jiko.io/docs/treasuries_risk_disclosure.pdf. See public.com/#disclosures-main A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC and includes 10 investment-grade and high-yield bonds. As of [11/08/24], the average, annualized yield to worst (YTW) across all ten bonds is greater than 6%. A bond's YTW is not “locked in” until the bond is purchased and is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTW of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity or if the issuer defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, there is no way to know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or by how much they will decline. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. All investing involves risk. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Visit public.com/bond-account to learn more More about Danielle: A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Links: QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655

#251 -

The Incubator

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2024 10:43

Send us a textBen and Daphna dive into neonatal point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) with Dr. Sharada Gowda and Dr. Karena Lawrence, leaders of the CHNC POCUS Focus Group. They discuss the rapid expansion of POCUS in neonatology, highlighting the collaborative efforts to build standards for data collection, quality assurance, and program development. From hemodynamic assessment to creating a foundation for cross-center data sharing, Dr. Gowda and Dr. Lawrence share the challenges and exciting potential of POCUS in neonatal care. Tune in for a closer look at this transformative field.As always, feel free to send us questions, comments, or suggestions to our email: nicupodcast@gmail.com. You can also contact the show through Instagram or Twitter, @nicupodcast. Or contact Ben and Daphna directly via their Twitter profiles: @drnicu and @doctordaphnamd. The papers discussed in today's episode are listed and timestamped on the webpage linked below. Enjoy!

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Danielle DiMartino Booth on Rush Towards Gold and More Fed Easing

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 18, 2024 25:06

Oct 18, 2024 – After this week's wrap-up highlighting the strong rally in stocks, precious metals, and commodities, Financial Sense's Jim Puplava sits down with Danielle DiMartino Booth from QI Research for insights on her market and economic outlook, especially regarding

State of US Systemic Risks with DiMartino Booth

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2024 25:56

In the beige book, you see all 12 districts reporting declining spending in some way shape or form, and that's unheard of: There is no such thing, and I think that is what got the attention of the Federal Reserve, says Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist for QI Research. In this edition of the Macro Matters podcast, Booth joins host and Bloomberg Intelligence chief North American rates strategist Ira Jersey to discuss changes to the microstructure of the US Treasury market, as well as some of the largest systemic risks to financial markets. The duo also touch on potential Fed reforms and changes to bank-capital rules affecting market-making activity and liquidity in US Treasury markets.

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Keeping it Simple | Ep.39: Wake Me Up, When October Ends

Keeping it Simple with Simplify Asset Management

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2024 58:37

Mike and Harley are joined by former Fed staffer and founder of QI Research, Danielle DiMartino Booth, to discuss her October 2023 recession call. For more information, https://www.simplify.us Investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Simplify Asset Management Inc. is a Registered Investment Adviser. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Simplify Asset Management Inc. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission, nor does it indicate that the advisor has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy. This content is not intended to provide investment, tax, or legal advice. This content is solely for informational purposes and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. These materials are made available on an “as is” basis, without representation or warranty. The information contained in these materials has been obtained from sources that Simplify Asset Management Inc. believes to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. This information is only current as of the date indicated and may be superseded by subsequent market events or for other reasons. Neither the author nor Simplify Asset Management Inc. undertakes to advise you of any changes in the views expressed herein.

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The Hidden Signs of Economic Collapse You're Missing with Danielle DiMartino Booth

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 9, 2024 30:10

Join Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, as she explores how the mainstream and financial media are persuading Americans that their economic hardships are merely figments of their imagination. Emphasizing the importance of recognizing manipulation, through the media's narrative. Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcast or Call 866-349-3310

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Excessive Tightening To Initiate Historic Recession with Danielle DiMartino Booth

WTFinance

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2024 24:31

Interview recorded - 18th of July, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Danielle DiMartino Booth. Danielle is the CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm.During our conversation we spoke about her outlook for the economy, unemployment and whether it could stick, how bad could the recession be and more. I hope you enjoy.0:00 - Introduction1:44 - Outlook for the economy?3:15 - Unemployment going to stick?5:35 - Is the economy soft?6:40 - What will FED do?9:45 - Further fiscal deficit?12:30 - Both parties to increase fiscal spending?13:30 - How bad could the recession be?17:55 - Are interest rates really high?18:23 - Trust the economic numbers?20:50 - Bonds back to safe haven?22:05 - One message to takeaway from conversation?DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally.Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets.Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.Danielle DiMartino Booth - Website - https://quillintelligence.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothYouTube - @DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Danielle DiMartino Booth on Why the US Recession Began October 2023

Mining Stock Daily

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2024 15:49

Head of QI Research, Danielle DiMartino Booth, joins us from Boca following her keynote presentation at the Rule Symposium. Danielle believes the recession officially began in October of this past year and shows the theories and data to back her claim. So why hasn't the Fed come to the rescue? And with the tremendous amount of housing supply coming online, has that sector overdone it?

Where to Find Good Data?

Real Estate Espresso

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2024 6:03

On today's show we are talking about the non headline revisions to economic data. I'm here to tell you beyond a shadow of a doubt that the US economy is in recession. What I'm sharing today is the good work that is done by Danielle DiMartino Booth. She is the CEO and chief strategist at QI Research. Previously Danielle was at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas for nine years working under Richard Fisher. This past FOMC meeting marked a significant departure from previous meetings where Fed chairman Jerome Powell described a change in Fed posture. This was not part of the initial remarks or the press release, but rather a response during the question period. He said that the Fed was shifting posture from fighting inflation to a return to its dual mandate to both maximize and maintain price stability. That means that the Fed is seeing something in the employment data that is concerning. On this show I've been reporting inconsistencies in the employment data for many months. Well now we have one more data point that categorically shows what is really happening in the jobs market. Every month the BLS puts out the payroll establishment survey and they publish the GDP for the nation. In addition to the payroll survey, the census bureau also conducts their own survey once a quarter. The data from the Census Bureau is much more comprehensive than the BLS survey. We also experience frequent revisions to the payroll survey. What the census data shows is that in the third quarter of 2023 instead of having 640,000 jobs created during that three month period, the economy actually lost 190,000 jobs in that time period. This is not a small difference. The narrative in the mainstream media is that the economy is strong and the consumer is resilient and the jobs market is strong. If the true data was being reported, I think it would be much more difficult to propagate that story.

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DiMartino Booth on Stagflation, AI, and “Condo-mageddon”

Global Macro Update

Play Episode Listen Later May 10, 2024 31:45

QI Research founder Danielle DiMartino Booth unpacks recession signals, how America lost its ability to budget, and whether we're barreling toward stagflation. You'll also hear about AI's impact on jobs, “condo-mageddon,” and what all this means for the markets.

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Are We Heading into a Recession? Signs You Can't Ignore in 2024 with Danielle DiMartino Booth

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Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2024 22:54

Join Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, as she explores the current U.S. labor market and the economic indicators pointing towards a potential recession. Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcast or Call 866-349-3310

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Danielle DiMartino Booth – Why the Fed is Bad for America

The Nick Halaris Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2024 31:33

This week on The Nick Halaris Show we are featuring Danielle DiMartino Booth, the CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research. She is an economist, thought leader, and former Federal Reserve insider, the author of Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America and The Daily Feather newsletter, and one of the most widely followed, most respected voices in global economics and finance. I wanted to have Danielle on the show to get her take on what's happening in the economy and explore her provocative ideas on why the Fed may be bad for America. As I've been interviewing investors and economists on the show, I keep hearing over and over how it's the Fed that is responsible for many of our big problems, whether it's the debt itself, our wealth inequality problem, or inflation. I've been following Danielle, who is a former Fed insider, for years so I knew she would have a lot to say about all this and she did not disappoint. Tune in to this eye-opening episode to learn:- Why there is a growing disconnect between the stock market and the real economy - Why the Fed may be in the midst of yet another policy mistake - The role that (perhaps, deliberately) inaccurate economic data plays in distorting incentives and impairing the health functioning of our capitalist system- How the Fed's desire to pass regulatory reforms aimed at the shadow banking sector may be influencing its current higher-for-longer policy stance- How the Fed has become more and more politicized and why we should care about that- & Much, much moreStay tuned to the end to hear why Danielle believes that the key first step to right the ship is for ordinary Americans to focus seriously on personal financial literacy and responsibility (i.e. living within our means instead of relying more and more on debt to fuel consumption). Danielle also discusses why Chair Powell deserves our respect for his steadfast commitment to Fed independence and why we should be cheering him on to stay the course.As always, I hope you all enjoy this episode. Thanks for tuning in! Love this episode? Please rate, subscribe, and review on your favorite podcast platform to help more users find our show.

The Power and Importance of Financial Literacy with Danielle DiMartino

KnowThyBrand - Championing gender inclusion in business

Play Episode Play 32 sec Highlight Listen Later Mar 19, 2024 33:18

In this episode, Danielle Di Martino, CEO and chief strategist at QI Research, delves into the critical importance of financial literacy and inclusion. Drawing from her own journey, Danielle highlights the underrepresentation of women in finance and stresses the necessity of empowering them through financial education.Topics covered in this episode: Importance of financial literacy and inclusionGender disparities in financeChallenges and advice for women in financePromoting financial literacy through accessible resourcesEducating young people about money managementAdvocacy for incorporating financial literacy into school curriculaConnect with Danielle on Twitter and make sure you take a look at her new book Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America

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Danielle DiMartino Booth & Jim Bianco: Danielle DiMartino Booth & Jim Bianco: Recession or "No Landing," Rate Cuts, & Bitcoin vs ETFs

Coin Stories

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 15, 2024 67:32

In this episode with macro strategists Danielle DiMartino Booth and Jim Bianco we discuss: Latest inflation data vs. 'truflation' Danielle says we're in recession, Jim says we're in a "no landing" scenario Remote work, wage growth, and AI's impact on jobs Extreme wealth concentration Will the Fed cut rates? Why are stocks booming when rates are still high? Government spending and national debt Powell's legacy, the election year economy Bitcoin and the spot Bitcoin ETFs ---- Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, an independent research firm. She spent 9 years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until he retired in 2015. She's the author of "Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America." Danielle's research firm: https://quillintelligence.com Follow Danielle on X https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research. His wide-ranging commentaries have addressed monetary policy, the intersection of markets and politics, the role of government in the economy. Jim's firm: https://www.biancoresearch.com/visitor-home/ Follow Jim on X: https://twitter.com/biancoresearch ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ: BTDR), a publicly-traded leader in Bitcoin mining that stands alone as the only vertically-integrated, technology-focused Bitcoin mining company. Learn more at www.bitdeer.com. ---- Natalie's Promotional Links: Buy Bitcoin, secure it through multisig Collaborative custody, start a Bitcoin IRA or take out a Bitcoin loan with UNCHAINED: https://unchained.com/?utm_campaign=natalie promo code Natalie Bitcoin Nashville is July 25-27, 2024: Get 10% off your passes using the code HODL at https://b.tc/conference Get 5% off your Bitcoin cold storage solutions at Coinkite, including the Coldcard wallet: https://store.coinkite.com/promo/COINSTORIES https://bitcointreasuries.net/ is the best and most up-to-date source of Bitcoin holdings by publicly traded companies, ETFs, governments and other entities. It is community maintained, and you can be a contributor. Check out the amazing graphs! CrowdHealth offers the Bitcoin community alternative to health insurance. I now spend just ~$100 a month on my health care. Sign up: https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/natalie Connect with Bitcoiners and Bitcoin merchants wherever you live and travel on the Orange Pill App: https://signup.theorangepillapp.com/opa/natbrunell ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing

#143: Danielle DiMartino Booth On The Jobs Market, The Economy, And Why The Recession Already Started

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 13, 2024 26:28

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 143. In this episode, Danielle provides an update on the economy, highlighting the challenges faced by the job market and the increase in layoffs. She discusses the impact of the white collar recession and the decline in net worth for high-income individuals. DiMartino Booth also shares her insights on the market performance and the Federal Reserve's approach to interest rates. She suggests a question for Fed Chair Powell regarding the regulatory changes and their impact on the financial system. Additionally, DiMartino Booth emphasizes the importance of backlogs as an indicator and discusses the current state of the economy in an election year. A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Links: QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655 Takeaways The job market is facing challenges, with layoffs increasing and the demand for labor collapsing. The current recession can be characterized as a white collar recession, with high-income individuals experiencing a decline in net worth. The market performance is driven by the anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts, but the timing and extent of these cuts are uncertain. Backlogs serve as an important indicator of the economy, reflecting pent-up demand and potential future trends. The upcoming election is crucial, and voters should be aware of the government's spending and the importance of their vote. Timestamps 00:00 Introduction and update on the economy 03:08 Job market and layoffs 08:25 White collar recession 10:03 Market performance 15:06 Outlook for interest rates 17:19 Question for Fed Chair Powell 18:41 The importance of backlogs as an indicator 20:05 Recession 21:34 Journalism background and Warren Buffett 24:00 Parting thoughts

Avalanche of Job Losses, FED Driving Economy into Recession with Danielle DiMartino Booth

WTFinance

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 9, 2024 26:13

Interview recorded - 5th of February, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming on Danielle DiMartino Booth. Danielle is the CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm.During our conversation we spoke about Danielle's thoughts on the markets, what the recent job losses mean for the economy, whether the economy is currently on its last legs, could commercial real estate be another credit event catalyst and what this means for the FED in 2024. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:30 - What is Danielle thoughts about the economy?3:55 - Already in a recession?4:45 - Where will interest rates go?6:00 - Is Powell making a mistake?7:00 - US going the way of China?8:40 - A job hasn't been created until February 2023?12:20 - Will Powell make bigger cuts?14:10 - Is Powell looking at leading indicators?14:52 - Any unique data points?15:50 - Commercial Real Estate - a catalyst for another credit event?18:40 - What would Danielle do as Chairperson of the FED?20:43 - Cut interest rates while continuing QT?22:22 - Which assets could perform during 2024?25:00 - One message to takeaway from conversation?DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally.Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets.Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.Danielle DiMartino Booth - Website - https://quillintelligence.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothYouTube - @DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

U.S Earnings, ISM Services Data

ceo home beauty data services mcdonalds fed earnings chief strategist ism estee lauder personal care danielle dimartino booth ism services paul live qi research

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 5, 2024 40:25 Transcription Available

Watch Alix and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Michael Halen, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Restaurant and Foodservice Analyst, talks McDonalds earnings. Deborah Aitken, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst: Global Luxury Goods, Home, Beauty and Personal Care, joins to discuss Estee Lauder's stock surge and earnings. Anthony Nieves, Chair of the ISM Services Business Committee, discusses ISM services data. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, discusses the latest U.S eco data and her Fed outlook. Ben Gliklich, CEO of Element Solutions, discusses the latest on the tech sector, including semiconductor demand. Hosts: Paul Sweeney and Alix SteelSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

TDI Podcast: Ai-Ai-O (852)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 21, 2024 69:25

And on that server farm there was a chip - Ai-Ai-O Guests John Pugliano and Danielle Dimartino Booth are this week's guest - talking about the only two things that seem to matter - The Fed and Ai. Follow @andrewhorowitz John Pugliano is the author of The Robots are Coming: A Human's Survival Guide to Profiting in the Age of Automation. He's also the host of the Wealthsteading Podcast where he shares his ideas and personal experience on wealth building principles. John has spent over 30 years studying and applying the habits of financially independent middle-class Americans. His circuitous path to success included serving in the military as both enlisted and officer; a corporate career in industrial sales; and finally a late blooming entrepreneur. John has an M.S. in Systems Management from the University of Southern California and a B.S. in Environmental Science & Engineering from Penn State. Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such asBloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ More information available on Horowitz & Company's TDI Managed Growth Strategy Stocks discussed this week - (MSFT), (IBIT), (AMD), (NVDA), (AMZN), (INTC)

Danielle DiMartino Booth & George Goncalves on The 2024 Fed Pivot: Recession or Soft Landing?

Jimmy Sengenberger Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 11, 2024 62:38

Today's interview is sponsored by Public. You can go to Public.com, purchase Treasury bills in seconds, and you may be able to earn some of the highest yields we've seen since the year 2000. Go to https://public.com/forwardguidance to get started. -- On today's episode, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, and George Goncalves Head of US Macro Strategy at MUFG for a discussion on what to expect from the Fed, economy & markets in 2024. Will the Fed be able to avoid a recession as markets price in a soft landing? To hear all this & more, you'll have to tune in! -- This podcast is sponsored by Public. Rate discussed is gross of fees. All investing involves risk of loss and past performance is not indicative of future results. Treasuries on Public are available to US members only. Brokerage Accounts for treasury securities are offered by Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”) member FINRA and SIPC. Securities investments: Not FDIC Insured; No Bank Guarantee; May Lose Value. Banking services and the Bank Account are provided by Jiko Bank, a division of Mid-Central National Bank. Full disclosures can be found at https://public.com/forwardguidance. -- Follow Danielle on Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow George on Twitter: https://twitter.com/bondstrategist Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Use code FG10 to get 10% off Blockworks' Digital Asset Summit in March: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2024-london -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:38) What To Expect In 2024 (07:52) Fed Rate Cuts In 2024 (14:35) What Caused The Powell Pivot? (28:38) Will The Fiscal Support End In 2024? (42:55) Recession vs The Soft Landing (50:23) Heading For A Credit Event (54:39) Positioning Into 2024 (57:32) Quantitative Tightening -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

The Jimmy Sengenberger Show 12.5.23

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2023 42:44

Jimmy talks the economy with the former advisor to the Dallas Fed President, Danielle DiMartino Booth, currently CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, and addresses John Kerry's words at the climate summit See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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The Jimmy Sengenberger Show 12.5.23

Jimmy Sengenberger Show

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2023 42:44

Jimmy talks the economy with the former advisor to the Dallas Fed President, Danielle DiMartino Booth, currently CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, and addresses John Kerry's words at the climate summit See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

ceo john kerry chief strategist danielle dimartino booth qi research

Danielle DiMartino Booth: US Economy in Crisis, Credit Card Debt & Job Loss

SF Live

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 17, 2023 15:32

In this episode, we sit down with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist of QI Research, at the New Orleans Investment Conference. Danielle shares her insights on the current state of the U.S. economy, discussing potential indicators of a looming recession, consumer spending trends, and the effectiveness of the Federal Reserve's policies. #recession #USA #soarfinancially ⚠️ Please consider subscribing to our channel!

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Six Flags, Meta, and Markets

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Play Episode Listen Later Nov 2, 2023 43:42 Transcription Available

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins to discuss the FOMC decision. Jody Lurie, Credit Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss the merger between Six Flags and Cedar Fair. Doug Adams, Global Co-Head of ECM at Citi Bank, joins to discuss his outlook for equities in 2023 and into 2024. Lisa Jarvis, columnist with Bloomberg Opinion covering biotech, healthcare, and pharmaceuticals, discusses the development of weight loss drugs, growing competition, and outlook for the space. Nouvelle Gonzalo, founder at Gonzalo Law Group, joins to discuss the lawsuit against Meta over youth marketing, and how it will impact the industry. Hosted by Paul Sweeney, Matt Miller, and Barry Ritholtz.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

TDI Podcast: DiMartino's Hail Mary (#840)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2023 53:14

Only one sector up for the month – it will surprise you. GDP is what? Who says the economy is slowing? Margins and earnings – a look inside. And our guest this week - Danielle Dimartino Booth Register for the November 15th, 2024 Webinar Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such asBloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (TGT), (WMT), (SPY), (AMZN)

This is the Worst Nightmare Scenario for People Who Run Money Warns Danielle DiMartino Booth

The Daniela Cambone Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 18, 2023 13:37

“I think that the 60% probability of one rate hike between now and January will probably get revised away, but it doesn't matter,” says Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist for research and analytics firm QI Research. She emphasizes that Fed Chair Jerome Powell is looking for a reason to maintain higher interest rates so that he can eventually break the Fed put. Danielle says, “I am on board with his mission of breaking the Fed put... [but] don't actually think that that's going to happen.” She explains that even though JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned investors against today's economic instability, she doesn't believe it's “hyperbolic” given his vantage point. “He's seeing from the front lines, and he's seeing in his credit card data that the consumer's finally slowing down…he's really got a good view on the confluence of events,” Danielle concludes. ➡️ Watch Here

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#109 Danielle DiMartino Booth: 'It's Clear That The U.S. Economy Is In A Recession If It Wasn't For Everything That Uncle Sam Is Either Spending Or Fudging'

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2023 28:10

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 109. In this episode, DiMartino Booth argues that the U.S. economy would already be in recession if it weren't for the government's spending. A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Links: QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655 The Julia La Roche Show is produced by Marlinski Media: https://www.marlinskimedia.com/ Timestamps: 00:00 - Welcome Danielle DiMartino Booth to the show 1:06 - Macro outlook on the economy, discussion on job market and revisions 3:56 U.S. economy is clearly in a recession if it weren't for government spending 6:30 - Discussion on the Federal Reserve and the higher for longer regime 9:20 An about-face for equity investors 11:46 - Conundrum for RIAs 15:22 - Biggest risk is in middle portion of commercial real estate and corporate debt 17:30 - Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and a passive investing bubble? 18:27 - Discussion on Federal Reserve's zero bound interest rate policy 22:30 - Geopolitical risks following an attack in Israel 24:30 - US deficit at wartime levels, fiscal responsibility and potential long-term consequences 26:30 - Conclusion

Green Investing, The Fed, and Real Estate

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2023 52:48 Transcription Available

Jeff Chamberlain, CEO at Volta, joins to discuss EV battery development, energy technologies, storage, and investments, and the historic shift in energy that he believes is on the horizon. Danielle DiMartino Booth, Chief Strategist and CEO at QI Research, joins to preview Jay Powell's presser on Fed Day. Joanna Gallegos, co-founder of BondBloxx, discusses ETF flows and investing strategies. Kyle Kazan CEO at Glass House (OTC: GLASF), joins to talk the marijuana industry and his company. Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at CoreLogic, discusses recent real estate data and outlook for the housing market. Ian Simm, CEO at Impax Asset Management, joins to discuss how record heat is affecting physical asset and which sectors and companies that are most at risk. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Danielle DiMartino Booth: Jay Powell Just “Went Way Off Script” At September Fed Meeting

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Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2023 66:14

Today's interview is brought to you by YCharts. For a free trial and 15% discount on new memberships, visit https://go.ycharts.com/forward-guidance Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist of QI Research, returns to Forward Guidance to share her views on the September meeting of the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee (FOMC). Filmed on September 20, shortly after Fed Chair Jay Powell's press conference. Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on Twitter https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ ___ Timecodes: (00:00) Introduction (00:31) Jay Powell Goes Off Script (16:50) Oil & Inflation (25:54) Odds Of A Liquidity Crisis Forcing The Fed To Stop QT (Danielle Doesn't Buy It!) (40:13) Normalization of Credit (46:52) Danielle's Hypothesis That March 2020 Might Not Count As A Recession (53:13) Will There Be A NBER-Declared Recession Within 24 Months (And Why)? (01:01:00) Risk Of Government Shutdown

Danielle DiMartino Booth: Economic Storm and Debt Collapses Approaching

Coin Stories

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 30, 2023 44:33

Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, an independent research firm. She spent 9 years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until he retired in 2015. DiMartino Booth's work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. She's also the author of "Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America." DiMartino Booth earned her BBA at the University of Texas at San Antonio, holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin, and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Danielle's research firm: https://quillintelligence.com -- Follow Danielle on X https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth -- Partners: Coin Stories is powered by Swan Bitcoin the best way to build your Bitcoin stack with automated Bitcoin savings plans and instant purchases. Swan serves clients of any size, from $10 to $10M+. Visit https://www.swanbitcoin.com/nataliebrunell for $10 in Bitcoin when you sign up. If you are planning to buy more than $100,000 of Bitcoin over the next year, the Swan Private team can help. — BITCOIN AMSTERDAM is just around the corner. The biggest Bitcoin conference in Europe will host incredible speakers including Edward Snowden, Stella Assange, Adam Back and more. Get your tickets at b.tc/conference and use the code HODL for at least 10% off both Bitcoin Amsterdam and Bitcoin Nashville 2024 which will be held next July 25-27. — Fold is the best Bitcoin rewards debit card and shopping app in the world. Earn Bitcoin on everything you purchase with Fold's Bitcoin cash back debit card, and spin the Daily Wheel to earn free Bitcoin. Head to https://www.foldapp.com/natalie and for a limited time you can get 10,000 satoshis when you sign up for Fold and Fold+ and spend $20 on the card. — I'm proud to partner with Coinkite, your go-to tech company for top-notch Bitcoin custody solutions. The ColdCard wallet offers a safe haven for your Bitcoin, securely storing your digital assets offline. Coinkite recently introduced Tapsigner, an NFC wallet key ideal for easily setting up multisig wallets or Satscard, the best gift you can give to someone brand new to Bitcoin. And keep an eye on the Bitcoin sphere with the BlockClock, a custom desk clock displaying real-time Bitcoin blockchain stats. Coinkite's mission? Making Bitcoin user-friendly while championing decentralization. Remember, your financial control matters. Check out Coinkite's offerings, and take the step towards accessible Bitcoin management. Get 5% off using my link: https://store.coinkite.com/promo/COINSTORIES — CrowdHealth offers the Bitcoin alternative to health insurance. Instead of sending money to a fiat health insurance company, save it and help crowdfund the Bitcoin community's medical care. When someone in the community has a health need, you help them out directly. And if you need care, CrowdHealth negotiates down your medical bill (lower than what insurance would be) and the community helps you cover it. https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/natalie to sign up. The Orange Pill App is building the social layer for Bitcoin and creating opportunities for in-person connections and building community. Connect with HODLers and Bitcoin events based on your location. Download The Orange Pill App and get more information at https://www.TheOrangePillApp.com. -- OTHER RESOURCES Natalie's website https://talkingbitcoin.com/ -- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories BTC wallet bc1ql8dqjp46s4eq9k3lxt0lxzh6f2wcu35cl6944d -- FOLLOW NATALIE ON SOCIAL MEDIA Twitter https://twitter.com/natbrunell Instagram https://www.instagram.com/nataliebrunell Linkedin https://www.linkedin.com/in/nataliebrunell -- PRODUCER: Aron Bender https://www.linkedin.com/in/aron-bender/ -- DISCLAIMER This show is for entertainment purposes only and does not give financial advice. Before making any decisions consult a professional. #bitcoin #cryptocurrency #money

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The Steffan Tubbs Show 8.18.2023 hr1

The Steffan Tubbs Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2023 38:37

Jimmy Sengenberger fills in for Steffan and welcomes Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, to discuss the economy. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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The Steffan Tubbs Show 8.18.2023 hr1

Jimmy Sengenberger Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2023 38:37

Jimmy fills in for Steffan Tubbs and welcomes Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, to discuss the economy. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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The Steffan Tubbs Show 8.18.2023 hr1

Jimmy Sengenberger Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2023 38:37

Jimmy fills in for Steffan Tubbs and welcomes Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, to discuss the economy. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Target, Preferred Stocks, Trump, and Mortgage Rates

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2023 51:11 Transcription Available

Jen Bartashus, Senior Industry Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, and Bloomberg News reporter Simone Foxman join to talk about Target and TJ Maxx earnings. Danielle DiMartino Booth, Chief Strategist and CEO at QI Research, joins to discuss the Fed, pressures in China, and outlook for the economy. Nathan Dean, Senior Policy Analyst of US and Latin American with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss President Biden's attempts to curb China investments and other DC headlines. Doug Baker, portfolio manager and Head of Preferred Securities Sector Team at Nuveen, joins the program in studio to discuss fixed income, preferred securities, and gives his market outlook. Caroline Fredrickson, distinguished visiting professor at Georgetown Law, joins to talk about the Trump indictment. Lisa Sturtevant, Chief Economist at Bright MLS, joins to talk about real estate and mortgage rates. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Fitch's U.S Debt Downgrade Was Justified | Danielle DiMartino Booth

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2023 27:28

Danielle DiMartino Booth CEO & Chief Strategist, QI Research joins Forward Guidance for a special episode from Camp Kotok. We discuss the past 3 years in both the economy and markets, Fitch's recent AAA downgrade on U.S debt & the lingering stress in commercial real estate. To hear all this & more, you'll have to tune in! -- Today's interview is brought to you by YCharts. For a free trial and 15% discount on new memberships, visit https://go.ycharts.com/forward-guidance -- Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Danielle on Twitter https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Cumberland Advisors on Twitter https://twitter.com/CumberlandADV Follow Global Interdependence Center on Twitter https://twitter.com/Interdependence Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ -- Timecodes: (00:00) Introduction (00:51) Fitch's AAA Debt Downgrade (07:00) S&P's Debt Downgrade vs Fitch's Debt Downgrade (11:41) We Took MMT On A Test Drive & It Crashed Into The Wall (15:06) The Path Ahead For U.S Debt Issuance (19:58) Commercial Real Estate (23:19) Where Are We In The Cycle? (26:25) Oppenheimer Or Barbie? -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Danielle DiMartino Booth Unleashes Truth about Central Banking and Economy | EM Podcast Ep. 26

Everything Money Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2023 35:04

Fed Up with the Federal Reserve - Danielle DiMartino Booth Quill Intelligence Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of QI Research, and world-renowned economist joins Everything Money (Paul Gabrail & Mo Hussein) to discuss the drivers of consumer spending, the possibility of more layoffs, investment implications, and why the Fed is bad for America. FOLLOW DANIELLE DIMARTINO BOOTH: QI Research: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ Twitter (@DiMartinoBooth): https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth Visit: https://quillintelligence.comBuy the Book - Fed UP! https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655 #quillintelligence #federalreserve #fedup #danielledimartinobooth

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#18 What's next for auto lending, When will car prices drop, How the FED really works, Receiving a call from Warren Buffett | Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist of QI Research

CarDealershipGuy Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2023 54:38

In this episode, I'm speaking with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist of QI Research. 00:00 Intro 01:20 Danielle's background 08:00 Understanding the Federal Reserve 13:20 Dealing with labor shortages 17:10 How QI Research conducts research and analysis 19:25 What's next for inflation? 29:10 The state of auto lending 36:20 Will car prices come down? 42:25 What's next for interest rates 49:20 Best & worst signals in the market right now 53:00 Wrapping up Follow Danielle: Twitter QI Research Check out ⁠⁠⁠the website⁠⁠⁠ for more and follow me on Twitter ⁠@GuyDealership⁠! Interested in advertising with CarDealershipGuy? Join the sponsor waitlist ⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions.

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Is it time to start hedging against black swan events? Feat. Danielle DiMartino Booth

Kinesis Money

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2023 55:32

In this week's episode of Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Danielle DiMartino Booth, financial author and founder of QI Research, to address UK and US policy-making, before turning their attention to the wider geopolitical arena. The two industry experts contrast the Federal Reserve's stance on gold as an asset class with that of global central banks, and investigate who benefits from the conflict in Ukraine and escalating tensions between Taiwan and China.Check out Danielle's website: https://quillintelligence.com/The opinions expressed in this video of Andrew Maguire and any guest, do not purport to reflect the official policy or position of Kinesis.Timestamps 00:00 Start03:30 The Fed stance on gold09:30 Danielle defines truflation13:30 Is Powell doing a good job? 16:00 Are the small banks that built America under threat?20:43 The next shoe to drop? Commercial real estate25:30 If Trump got re-elected will he drain the swamp?28:30 The possibility of a Biden re-election?30:30 De-dollarisation in a multipolar world34:30 Would Danielle advise hedging against black swan events?39:00 Who is benefitting from wars? 42:00 Do you have to break something to “Build Back Better”?45:00 The green agenda and Larry Fink's ESG walk-back50:30 Danielle's thoughts on a gold re-evaluationLearn more about Kinesis by visiting our website: https://kinesis.money/Twitter: https://twitter.com/KinesisMonetaryFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/kinesismoney/Telegram: https://t.me/kinesismoneyReddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/Kinesis_money/Kinesis Forum: https://forum.kinesis.money/

Fed Minutes, Meta, Rivian, and Student Loans (Podcast)

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2023 68:02

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins to break down Fed Minutes, gives her outlook for rates, and talks her latest note on commercial real estate. Michael Green, portfolio manager and chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management, joins the program to discuss sectors he likes and investing strategies. Mona Mohajan, Senior Investment Strategist with Edward Jones, gives her market outlook and discusses the possibility of a US recession in 2023. Bloomberg Intelligence senior analyst Mandeep Singh and Bloomberg Technology host Ed Ludlow join in a roundtable to break down Rivian and Meta. Ryan Fox, Corrugated Market Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss his recent note on “The Cardboard Box” recession. Claudia Sahm, founder of Sahm Consulting and former Senior Economist at White House Council of Economic Advisors, joins to talk about her column on student loan forgiveness. Barry Ritholtz, Founder of Ritholtz Wealth Management and Host of “Masters in Business,” discusses the markets and investing. Janet Lorin, Higher Ed Finance reporter with Bloomberg News, joins us in studio to discuss her piece on Harvard being targeted by a Massachusetts bill on legacy admissions. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Jess Menton.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Fed Will Hike Rates Into Economic Train Wreck | Danielle DiMartino Booth

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Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2023 45:09

To get $1,000 off an annual subscription to QI Pro, Danielle DiMartino Booth's institutional-grade research service, go to https://quillintelligence.com/register/qi-pro-friends-of-farley/. $3,000 instead of $4,000 for the first year, offer ends in July. Interested parties may request a sample report of QI Pro by emailing Danielle DiMartino Booth at danielle@dimartinobooth.com. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist of QI Research, returns to Forward Guidance on a mission to dispute the notion that the U.S. economy is strong. Booth challenges the apparently-rosy economic data and points to where the data is either very lagging or, as she says about the Bureau of Labor Statistics' (BLS) data, “painfully corrupted.” Booth explains why she expects inflation to continue to fall very sharply, and why she expects the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates at least one more time in July (and perhaps again in September). Filmed on June 20, 2023. -- Follow Danielle: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ -- Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://rb.gy/5weeyw Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can't-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos -- Timecodes: (00:00) Introduction (00:47) Laying Inflation To Rest (07:43) Shortages Have Become Gluts (09:32) Housing Is Strong, Right? (14:04) Hidden Cracks In The Labor Market (16:49) Official Bureau of Labor Data Is "Painfully Corrupted" (24:23) Global Economic Impulse Is Disinflationary (28:56) Liquidity Is NOT Increasing, Says Danielle (35:04) QI Pro Discount (39:06) Fed Will Likely Hike Rates In July (And Maybe September), Says Danielle -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

ReSolve Riffs: Parsing Powell with Danielle DiMartino Booth

Resolve's Gestalt University

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2023 56:55

In this comprehensive episode, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research, joins the discussion to tackle various topics surrounding the Federal Reserve's leadership, monetary policy and the current economic challenges. Key themes covered include: • Jay Powell's leadership and controversies within the Federal Reserve Board • The impact of monetary policies on Wall Street, mortgage rates and unregulated loans, with insights into Powell's motivations and challenges • The multifaceted consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Federal Reserve's policy decisions and potential implications on inflation • The role of central clearing, systemic risk, and technology on the financial market • Explorations into credit easing, inflation battles, and the influence of monetary policy in the treasury market • The Fed's impact on commercial real estate, credit, and the treasury market, along with insights on housing resilience • A deep dive into inflation, quantitative tightening, and how economic indicators affect the treasury market • Discussions on Powell's experiences, interest rate considerations and the influence of fiscal policies on treasury markets and financial engineering • Assessments on data releases, regional banking challenges and wider implications of low-interest rates on the economy • The Fed's interest rate strategies, credit market signals, future of financial regulations and the overall economic outlook This information-packed episode is a must-listen for those keen on understanding the complexities of the Federal Reserve, monetary policy and the evolving economic landscape. Gain valuable insights and expert opinions on how to navigate through these challenging times. This is “ReSolve's Riffs” – live on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman of ReSolve Asset Management Inc *ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.

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Hunter Biden, Eli Lilly, CAVA, and Geopolitics (Podcast)

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2023 55:48

Nick Akerman, former assistant Special Watergate prosecutor, discusses Hunter Biden and Donald Trump. Sam Fazeli, Head of Euro Research/Pharma Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins the program to discuss Eli Lilly acquiring immune drug developer Dice. Matt Roe, Chief Revenue Officer at the auto lending enablement firm Open Lending, joins to discuss the auto market, car loans, and the credit crunch. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins to discuss the Fed and its rate hike path. George Ferguson, Senior Aerospace and Defense Analyst from Bloomberg Intelligence, joins us to discuss the latest from the Paris Air Show. Brianne Lynch, Head of Market Insight at EquityZen, joins the program to discuss the Cava IPO and IPO market in 2023. Mick Mulroy, co-founder of the Lobo Institute and former deputy assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East at the Department of Defense, joins to discuss the meeting between Xi Jinping and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and what it means for national security. He also discusses the war in Ukraine and the Titanic tour search. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Jess Menton.See omny.fm/listener for privacy information.

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Jay Powell's Plan To Kill The “Fed Put” | Danielle DiMartino Booth

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Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2023 56:52

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, returns to Forward Guidance to share her views on the Federal Reserve's decision to pause its hiking of interest rates. Filmed on June 14, 2023, after Fed Chair Jay Powell's press conference for the June meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on Twitter https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ ____ Use code GUIDANCE20 to get 20% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of Forward Guidance, you can use code GUIDANCE10 for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ ____ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://rb.gy/5weeyw Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can't-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos ____ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 54 - Danielle DiMartino Booth - PREVIEW

The Grant Williams Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 25, 2023 12:50

Joining me on this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is returning guest, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, LLC in Dallas, TX. Danielle's knowledge of the inner workings of the Federal Reserve has been invaluable both to her clients and the broader financial community in recent years and her analysis of the predicament in which the Fed finds itself and the fast-disappearing options at their disposal to extricate themselves has found a hungry audience. This time up, Danielle explains her latest thinking on the state of the economy, how we might be facing an abrupt economic air pocket, the political vulnerability of House Speaker McCarthy, and even the odds of the US splintering via a series of succession movements. It's compelling stuff, folks! Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

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Nvidia, Ukraine, Retail, and AI (Podcast)

Play Episode Listen Later May 25, 2023 67:53

Dan Ives, Senior Equity Analyst at WedBush Securities, and Anurag Rana, Senior Tech Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, join for a tech roundtable discussion. They talk about Nvidia and artificial intelligence and Microsoft's initial A-I push. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins the show to break down Fed Minutes and the debt ceiling risks. Maria Tadeo, European correspondent for Bloomberg TV, discusses Germany entering a recession and her interview with a top Zelenskiy aid on the upcoming counteroffensive. BloTed Swimmer, Head of Capital Markets at Citizen Financial, joins to discuss markets and investing strategy. Marie Driscoll, Senior Analyst with Coresight Research, joins to break down the big week in retail, luxury goods and earnings, and how it all serves for an economic bellwether. John Gittelsohn, Real Estate reporter with Bloomberg News, joins to discuss his piece on LA office building stress and the economic pain coming for real estate. Francis Oh, CEO of Qraft Technologies, discussing Qraft rang the opening bell this morning amid the launch of the Qraft AI-Pilot ETF, the industry's first ever fully AI driven risk managed ETF. Hosted by Paul Sweeney, Kriti Gutpa, and Simone Foxman.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

An Extended Breakdown of the Fed and Banks (Podcast)

Play Episode Listen Later May 4, 2023 78:21

Chris Whalen, founder at Whalen Global Advisors, and Hugh Hendry formerly of Eclectica Asset Management, join for an extended Fed roundtable on what might the last of the Fed's historic tightening cycle. Dr. Richard Portes, London Business School professor, joins us in studio to talk the ECB decision, the US economy, and bank turmoil. Barry Ritholtz, founder of Ritholtz Wealth Management and host of “Masters in Business,” and Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins for an extended roundtable on the Fed. Claudia Sahm, founder of Sahm Consulting and former Senior Economist at the White House Council of Economic Advisors, joins to talk about her column on the labor market and gives her take on the Fed and regional banks. Brad Case, Chief Economist at Middleburg Communities, joins to discuss the impact of the Fed's rate hike cycle in real estate and other areas of the economy. Margie Patel, Senior Portfolio Manager at AllSpring Global Investments, joins to discuss how the markets are pricing in the Fed's possible last rate hike of this tightening cycle. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

ceo business masters banks fed chief economists ecb matt miller chief strategist london business school senior economist economic advisors senior portfolio manager white house council ritholtz wealth management danielle dimartino booth barry ritholtz hugh hendry paul sweeney chris whalen brad case qi research eclectica asset management allspring global investments

The Fed's "Controlled Demolition" of The Financial System | Danielle DiMartino Booth

ceo federal reserve controlled demolition debt ceiling balance sheets lightspeed financial system danielle dimartino booth permissionless federal open market committee fomc qi research

Play Episode Listen Later May 4, 2023 69:24

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist at QI Research, returns to Forward Guidance to share her thoughts on May 3rd's Federal Reserve's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) as well as the ongoing issues at several regional U.S. banks. Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ ____ Apply to host the “Lightspeed” podcast on Blockworks at https://blockworks.co/careers Use code GUIDANCE10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of Forward Guidance, you can use code GUIDANCE10 for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ ____ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://rb.gy/5weeyw Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can't-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos ____ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. (00:00) Intro (11:02) When Will The Fed Pivot (Cut Rates)? (15:40) Powell Wants To Get Rid Of The Fed Put (25:20) Calling Inflation "Transitory" Was "A Path To Hell" (29:11) "Powell Will Stand His Ground" (34:30) Permissionless (35:34) The Balance Sheet (40:17) Powell Won't Save The Banks (47:41) Blockworks Research (48:41) The Debt Ceiling (54:08) "This Is Going To Be A Really Ugly Recession" (58:03) Door To A June Hike Is Ajar (59:11) The Bernanke Doctrine (01:01:26) Danielle's Views On Private Credit Are Evolving

Money Supply Is Falling By Most Since Great Depression | Danielle DiMartino Booth