Insight is Capital™ Podcast

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The official podcast of AdvisorAnalyst.com, publisher of actionable insight, commentary, analysis and practice management for investment professionals, across Canada.

AdvisorAnalyst.com


    • May 15, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekly NEW EPISODES
    • 55m AVG DURATION
    • 210 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from Insight is Capital™ Podcast

    Bond Voyage! Saying Goodbye to Traditional Diversifiers with Tony Dong

    Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2025 66:27


    Pierre Daillie and Mike Philbrick welcome Tony Dong—Lead ETF Analyst at ETF Central and founder of ETF Portfolio Blueprint— to the show to explore why investors may need to rethink their reliance on traditional portfolio diversifiers like long-term bonds. Dong pulls no punches, calling out the pitfalls of covered call ETFs, explaining how to think critically about buy-write strategies, and championing capital-efficient alternatives like return stacking, trend-following CTAs, and risk-managed overlays. The trio also dig into the strategic case for overlooked assets like Swiss equities and the Swiss franc, while sharing practical insights into investor behavior, rebalancing discipline, and building resilient portfolios in a stagflation-prone world.

    Innovation and Trends in the Canadian ETF Market with Ronald Landry

    Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2025 30:09


    Canadian ETFs are booming—and behind the scenes, a quiet revolution is reshaping how advisors and investors build smarter, more efficient portfolios. In this episode, ETF industry leader Ronald Landry, Vice President, Head of Segment Solutions and Canadian ETF Services at CIBC Mellon joins us to explore what's driving record ETF flows, the rise of covered calls and liquid alts, the accelerating evolution of Canada's ETF landscape, and the policy shifts that could transform the advisory business in 2025 and beyond. Landry shares over 30 years of industry insight, covering everything from: The two-year boom in covered call ETFs—and why yield remains kingHow alternative strategies are finally gaining traction after years of slow adoptionNew ETF-wrapped solutions making it easier than ever for advisors to close portfolio gapsThe regulatory innovations (like total cost reporting and ticker rule proposals) that could reshape the advisor-client conversationWhy Canada continues to lead global ETF innovation—and what the US is learning from our marketChapters 00:00 – The ETF Boom: Why 2025 Is Already One for the Record Books 02:00 – 30 Years of Insight: Ron Landry's Unlikely Path to ETF Leadership 04:00 – Markets in Transition: What Record Q1 Flows Are Really Telling Us 08:00 – Central Banks in a Bind: Rates, Tariffs, and the Inflation Puzzle 09:30 – Single Stock ETFs, CDRs, and the Quest for Yield in Canada 12:00 – Built for Canadians: Why Homegrown ETFs Are Winning 14:00 – Crypto, Covered Calls, and the Real Drivers of Demand 16:00 – Alternatives Accelerating: The 53% Growth Story You Missed 19:00 – Advisors' Dilemma: Explaining Line Item Risk in a 60/40 World 21:00 – Regulation as Catalyst: CSA Reviews, Cost Transparency, and Ticker Labels 24:00 – From 6% to 20%: Canada's ETF Market Is on a Tear 26:00 – The Rise of Dual-Structure Funds: ETF and Mutual Fund Hybrids 27:00 – Canada: The Quiet Giant of ETF Innovation 29:00 – One Rulebook to Rule Them All: The Secret to Canada's ETF Advantage #ETFs #CanadianETFs #InvestingCanada #FinancialAdvisors #CoveredCalls #LiquidAlts #ETFInnovation #CIBCMellon #RonLandry #WealthManagement #PortfolioConstruction #FinancePodcast #InvestmentStrategies #YieldHunting

    The India Stack: The Case for Investing in India's Booming Tech Sector with Kevin Carter

    Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2025 49:49


    The most important tech story of the decade isn't in Silicon Valley—it's unfolding in Mumbai, Delhi, and Bangalore. In Part 2 of our in-depth conversation, Kevin Carter, founder of EMQQ Global, reveals why India's digital transformation, powered by the India Stack, is not only revolutionary—it's investable. We dive deep into the megatrends fueling India's internet economy, explore explosive business models like 10-minute delivery, and uncover why investors are missing one of the greatest untold tech stories of our time. As Kevin puts it: "There's no developed or emerging country with anything like this... and the world has no idea it exists."

    The Trump Put & How ETFs are Shaping Wild Markets with Eric Balchunas

    Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 68:56


    Can one word from a U.S. president really move markets by 8% in two hours? Bloomberg's Eric Balchunas calls it the "Trump Put"—and that's just for starters.Episode Summary: In this episode, Raise Your Average hosts Pierre and Mike welcome back Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas, and co-host of Trillions, for a dynamic conversation that peels back the curtain on ETF flows, investor psychology, and the growing crossover between crypto and traditional finance. Balchunas unpacks the hidden narratives driving today's markets—from the surge in passive flows and rebalancing tailwinds, to the rise of “Vanguardians” and the Degens chasing leveraged plays. He also explores how mutual fund share classes, private credit, and public-private crossovers are changing the ETF landscape. With his signature humor and razor-sharp insight, Balchunas offers a front-row seat to the evolution of asset management.Key Takeaways:Timestamps:00:00 – Intro and Eric Balchunas joins the show 03:00 – $333B ETF inflows and the "Vanguard clip" 05:45 – The divergence between retail flows and institutional positioning 07:00 – The "Trump Put" and the 8% rally on one word 08:30 – Degens, leveraged ETFs, and why people keep buying the dip 10:00 – Persistent love for U.S. stocks despite better international value 12:00 – Gold vs. Bitcoin: who's winning in 2025? 14:00 – Bitcoin's improving volatility profile and “better owners” 16:00 – Why Bitcoin ETFs are changing the game 18:30 – Cognitive dissonance: crypto purists vs. TradFi adoption 21:00 – Passive power, BlackRock conspiracies, and Bogle's last stand 27:30 – ETF transparency vs. mutual fund mythology 30:00 – Mutual fund ETF share classes: game changer or Trojan horse? 34:00 – Private credit and public-private crossover ETFs 38:30 – Why XOVR's SpaceX bet caught fire 40:00 – The veil lifts on private equity NAV “magic” 43:00 – Active ETFs: rebirth, reinvention, or just beta repackaged? 50:00 – The final frontier: alts, liquidity, and the ETF trust factor #RaiseYourAverage #EricBalchunas #Bloomberg #ETFs #BitcoinETF #Vanguard #PrivateCredit #MutualFunds #TrumpPut #CryptoMarkets #GoldVsBitcoin #ETFFlows #InvestmentStrategy #MarketInsights Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst.com

    Doomberg: Policy Uncertainty is The New Systemic Risk

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2025 88:45


    What happens when political ambition trumps economic reality? Doomberg lays it bare. In this episode, Doomberg returns to unpack the dangerous disconnect between Washington's four-year campaign cycle and the multi-decade timelines required for industrial and energy investments. From Trump's tariff threats to the fragility of global auto supply chains, we explore why the U.S. economy may be hurtling toward a recession of its own making. Doomberg dives deep into America's squandered energy advantage, China's calculated rise, and how short-term politics is colliding with long-term capital planning. If you care about markets, manufacturing, or the future of Western economic resilience — you don't want to miss this one. Chapters: 00:00 – Introduction: Supply Chains, Tariffs, and Recession Risk 04:00 – Trump's Strategy: Diagnosis vs. Execution 08:00 – Six Reasons Auto Tariffs Will Backfire 13:30 – EVs, China, and the Renewable Illusion 17:00 – Energy Politics: North America, Europe, and Asia Compared 22:00 – Reserves, Regulation, and the Bankability Crisis 27:30 – Capital Cycle vs. Political Cycle: The Core Mismatch 32:00 – Resource Riches and the Western Hemisphere Opportunity 39:00 – Natural Gas: Oversupplied, Undervalued, Unstoppable 44:30 – Energy Market Behavior: Spikes, Gluts, and Investor Strategy 49:00 – Why Projects Get Built Under Republicans, Profits Under Democrats 53:00 – Tariffs or Chaos? The Trump–Carney–Canada Connection 58:00 – Europe's Military Fantasy Meets Energy Reality 1:03:00 – War Fatigue, NATO, and the Illusion of Global Reach 1:09:00 – Final Thoughts: Diplomacy, Decline, and the Danger of Delusion #RecessionWatch, #EVRevolution, #TradeWar, #EnergyPolicy, #BYDvsTesla, #SupplyChainDisruption, #MadeInAmerica, #IndustrialPolicy, #GeopoliticalRisk, #CapitalMarkets

    Elbows Up: Fidelity's Strategic Pivot Amid US Policy Uncertainty | Ilan Kolet

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 53:59


    Summary In this timely episode of Insight is Capital, Pierre sits down with Ilan Kolet, Institutional Portfolio Manager at Fidelity Investments, to unpack Fidelity's latest macro outlook and strategic asset allocation decisions—just as the world braces for another wave of geopolitical and trade disruption. Drawing from Fidelity's latest research piece titled "Elbows Up", Kolet shares why his team is dialing back US equity exposure and tactically reallocating toward Europe. The conversation delves into the erosion of US institutional strength, rising stagflation risk, and the immense threat posed by potential tariffs on Canadian exports. Investors and advisors alike will find invaluable insights into positioning portfolios for resilience in a world increasingly defined by fragmentation and volatility.Kolet's clarity and candor shine through as he outlines how Fidelity is protecting investors from mounting uncertainty—without overreacting to short-term noise. 3 Key Takeaways:Chapters 00:00 – Intro: Why One Fire Tanked Industrial Production 01:05 – Today's Geopolitical Crossroads 02:44 – From US Exceptionalism to Strategic Repositioning 06:15 – Signs of Stagflation & Why Fidelity Bought Gold 09:04 – The Undermining of Institutional Strength in the US 12:41 – Valuations vs. Catalysts: Europe's Turn to Shine 18:25 – Caution on Canada: Debt, Rates, and Tariff Fallout 22:29 – How Tariffs Could Hammer the Canadian Economy 30:03 – Who Really Pays for Tariffs? A Case Study in Washing Machines 36:57 – Manufacturing, Inflation, and Hollowed-Out Labor 39:37 – Supply Chain Disruptions & Auto Sector Insights 44:40 – Tactical Shifts: Gold, TIPS, and Currency Hedging 48:32 – Wrapping Up: Managing Through Uncertainty #FidelityInvestments #GlobalAssetAllocation #IlanKolet #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingInStagflation #USExceptionalism #GoldAsAhedge #TIPSInvesting #TradeTariffs #CanadianEconomy #AdvisorPodcast #FinancialMarkets #InvestmentStrategy #RecessionRisk

    Return Stacking: Diversification Without Sacrifice

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 27, 2025 62:06


    Is it possible to enhance diversification without sacrificing returns? In this episode of Raise Your Average, Pierre Daillie sits down with Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Asset Management and Corey Hoffstein of Newfound Research to discuss the game-changing concept of return stacking and the launch of the Return Stacked Global Balanced & Macro ETF (RGBM)—now listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange. Discover how this capital-efficient and tax-efficient strategy allows investors and advisors to stack returns from systematic macro strategies on top of a traditional 60/40 portfolio—all without selling core assets. Packed with institutional insights, behavioral solutions, and a dose of ETF innovation, this conversation reveals how ReturnStacked® ETFs is democratizing strategies once exclusive to pension funds and hedge funds. ⏱️ Chapters (Timestamps) 0:00 - Intro: Why diversification doesn't need to mean sacrifice 2:52 - Genesis of Return Stacking: Portable alpha reborn 6:45 - Institutional proof: The Delta Pension Plan case study 11:50 - Solving line item risk & behavioral drag 14:35 - "A spoonful of sugar helps the diversification go down." 17:30 - Kitchen vs. Solarium: Pierre's investing metaphor 20:00 - Defensive leverage vs. LICE (Leverage that's Illiquid, Concentrated, Excessive) 22:30 - Inside RGBM: Structure & allocation explained 26:00 - Three implementation strategies for RGBM 32:00 - Why use RGBM as a return enhancer 36:00 - "Why are we playing the game on hard mode?" 41:30 - Systematic macro: strategy, structure, and why now 47:50 - The power of long-term structural un-correlation 52:00 - Return stacking vs. alpha chasing in equity markets 58:00 - Triple Alpha: Strategy Alpha, Structural Alpha, Tax Alpha 1:00:00 - Closing thoughts & how to learn more

    ETF Views: Factors, Alts, Derivative Onions & Bugs with Tony Dong

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 25, 2025 35:56


    In this episode of Insight is Capital, Pierre Daillie sits down with Tony Dong, founder of ETF Portfolio Blueprint and lead ETF analyst at ETF Central, for a comprehensive dive into the fast-evolving world of exchange-traded funds. Tony brings sharp insights and a dose of healthy skepticism to today's ETF landscape—from flashy private credit products and speculative options-based funds to underappreciated core portfolio strategies like the "cockroach portfolio."Tony pulls back the curtain on everything from buffer ETFs and zero-day options to smart beta, tax efficiency, and how to write an investment policy statement that keeps you grounded when FOMO strikes. You'll learn:What to watch out for in private market ETFs like PRIV and XOVRThe performance gap between growth and value ETFs—and what to do about itWhy simplicity beats complexity in volatile marketsHow the “cockroach portfolio” can deliver long-term resilienceThe importance of resisting shiny object syndrome with new ETF launchesChapters & Timestamps: 00:00 – Risk in Private Credit ETFs: A Sanity Check 01:45 – Tony Dong's Background: From Risk Manager to ETF Expert 03:50 – Market Outlook: Why Allocators Are Skittish in 2024 05:00 – Growth vs. Value ETFs: Are Investors Missing the Point? 08:00 – The Better Way to Access Factor Investing 10:30 – Risks and Red Flags in Private Market ETFs (PRIV, XOVR) 14:30 – Authority Bias and Fund Due Diligence 16:45 – Best New ETF Launches: Canada vs. US 18:50 – Derivative-Based and Zero-DTE ETFs: Caution Required 20:15 – Liquid Alternatives and Bridgewater's All Weather ETF 22:25 – Return Stacking and Trend Following Strategies 23:45 – The Problem with “1+1” S&P 500 + Bitcoin ETFs 25:00 – Buffer ETFs Explained: Training Wheels for Risk-Averse Clients 27:00 – Why You Need an Investment Policy Statement 29:00 – Building the Cockroach Portfolio: Resilience First 32:00 – The Psychology of Staying Invested 34:00 – Where to Find Tony Dong and His Research Featured Guest: Tony Dong – Founder, ETF Portfolio Blueprint Lead ETF Analyst, ETF Central Website: https://etfportfolioblueprint.com LinkedIn: Tony Dong on LinkedIn

    The ETF Industry's Hidden Risks with Dave Nadig

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 20, 2025 89:30


    Is Wall Street turning investing into a casino? Dave Nadig reveals the hidden cracks in the ETF system, the explosive risks no one's prepared for, and what financial advisors must understand before it's too late. The ETF market has never been more innovative—or more dangerous. In this controversial conversation, industry veteran Dave Nadig breaks down the evolution of financial markets, the rise of speculative ETF products, and why unchecked leverage in the options market could be the next major financial disaster. Nadig also highlights Canada's unique role in ETF innovation, the psychological battle between retail FOMO and institutional stability, and why financial advisors need to filter out the "black hats" from the "white hats" in today's investing world. This is a must for investment professionals, advisors, and anyone trying to navigate an increasingly chaotic financial landscape. Chapters 0:00 – The ETF Industry's Hidden Risks 1:21 – Canada vs. U.S.: Who Leads in ETF Innovation? 3:32 – Financial Chaos: Why Markets Feel Like a Circus 4:34 – The Power Play Behind Market Volatility 9:51 – Black Hats vs. White Hats: The Real ETF Battle 14:29 – Retail Speculation: A Dangerous Game? 17:13 – Why Passive Investing Still Wins (For Now) 26:15 – How to Survive as an Advisor in a Speculative Market 39:55 – The ETF Market's Next Big Blow-Up 48:58 – Are Financial Regulators Being Dismantled? 53:40 – The ‘Buy The Dip' Mentality: Will It Ever Break? 1:05:04 – Final Takeaways for Investors & Advisors #Investing #ETF #Finance #Markets #WallStreet #FinancialAdvisors #PassiveInvesting #StockMarket #OptionsTrading #RiskManagement #Trading #WealthManagement #InvestSmart

    Som Seif: Debunking Private Markets - Opportunities and Myths

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 11, 2025 51:56


    In this episode Som Seif, CEO of Purpose Investments, joins us to challenge common misconceptions about private markets. First, we discuss the current state of markets. Seif explains why private assets—private equity, private credit, and private real estate—are becoming essential components of modern investment portfolios. He discusses how institutional-grade private investments have become accessible to retail investors, debunks myths about risk and illiquidity, and outlines how these assets can enhance diversification, generate uncorrelated returns, and offer a more stable investment experience. Finally, we delve into how private sub-advisor managers like Apollo, Pantheon, and BlueRock are taking a significant role in democratizing access to these private market opportunities. 01:22 – Introduction: Debunking Private Markets 01:39 – Opening Disclaimer 01:58 – The State of Markets in 2025: Uncertainty & Opportunity 04:50 – Emotions vs. Rational Investing: Avoiding Reactionary Mistakes 09:17 – Why Private Markets Matter Now More Than Ever 10:04 – The Rise of Private Investments for Retail Investors 14:56 – Breaking the Myth: Institutional vs. Retail Access 16:58 – How Private Market Investments Are Being Democratized 21:03 – The Role of Private Assets in Portfolio Construction 23:34 – Private Equity: The Strategic Edge Beyond Public Markets 29:26 – Private Credit: A Rising Opportunity Amid Bank Retrenchment 33:55 – The Convergence of Private Equity & Private Credit 37:41 – Addressing Liquidity Concerns in Private Market Investing 45:27 – Purpose Investments' Approach to Private Market Accessibility 47:48 – What Advisors Need to Know About Private Markets 49:79 – Final Takeaways: A Call to Reevaluate Private Investments #PrivateMarkets #AlternativeInvestments #PrivateEquity #PrivateCredit #RealEstate #PortfolioManagement #WealthManagement #InstitutionalInvesting #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialMarkets

    Private Markets: Opportunities and Risks in a Transitional Financial Landscape

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 6, 2025 51:07


    Private markets are undergoing a seismic shift, with assets poised to surge from $13 trillion to $23 trillion in just five years. As interest rates fluctuate and the new U.S. administration reshapes the financial landscape, where should investors look for opportunities, and what risks lie ahead?In this episode, we are joined by Ash Lawrence, Head of AGF Capital Partners, to unpack the evolving world of private equity, private debt, and absolute return strategies. We discuss:The impact of rising and falling interest rates on alternative strategiesThe growth of private credit as banks tighten lendingThe role of continuation vehicles in private equityHow alternative investments can enhance returns and mitigate riskWhat the Trump administration's policies mean for marketsThe increasing institutional and retail adoption of alternativesAs markets face volatility and uncertainty, alternative investments offer new ways to build resilient, high-performing portfolios. Don't miss this deep dive into the future of alternatives with insights from one of the industry's top experts.Subscribe for more exclusive insights on markets, investments, and strategies that shape the financial world.#PrivateEquity #PrivateDebt #HedgeFunds #Investing #AlternativeInvestments #Finance #WealthManagement #Markets #AGF #PrivateMarkets #EconomicTrends #FamilyOffices #FixedIncome #MultiStrategy #InvestmentTrends

    The Power of Raising Literacy in Canada with Mélanie Valcin

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2025 42:06


    Pressing Investment Questions for 2025 with Ilan Kolet

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 5, 2025 56:19


    Market uncertainty, rate cuts, U.S. exceptionalism, and a potential Canadian dollar shock—are we prepared for 2025? In this must-watch episode, Pierre Daillie sits down with Ilan Kolet, Institutional Portfolio Manager at Fidelity's Global Asset Allocation Team, to dissect the most pressing questions investors and advisors are facing right now.What happens if a 25% tariff is imposed on Canadian exports?Is the Canadian dollar heading for a collapse?Why are U.S. equities still the best game in town?Have investors misunderstood the bond market?Should portfolios brace for a new investment paradigm?"A 25% tariff on Canadian exports could trigger as much as a 6% GDP shock, a 3% surge in inflation, and send the Canadian dollar plummeting to 52 cents." — Ilan KoletEpisode Highlights & Timestamps00:00:00 Intro & Welcome – Kicking off 2025 with uncertainty00:02:00 A Market on Fire – Why a balanced portfolio returned 20% in 202400:03:00 The Elephant in the Room: Political Instability & Tariffs00:07:00 Canada's Hidden Economic Weakness & The BoC's Dire Post-Tariff Simulation00:13:00 Inflation or Deflation? What a Shock Would Mean for Investors00:18:00 Are Investors Front-Running Inflation?00:22:00 Positioning for Uncertainty: How to Build Resilience into Portfolios00:27:00 The Bond Market Paradox: Higher for Longer?00:30:00 Why U.S. Equities Are Still the Best Bet in 202500:36:00 Rate Cuts: Canada Has to Cut, The Fed Wants to Cut00:42:00 Will the Canadian Dollar Go On Sale?00:49:00 The Rise of Alternatives & Why They're Critical in This Market00:54:00 The ‘Magic' of Portfolio Construction in Volatile Markets00:55:00 Closing Thoughts – An Elegant Solution for Complex Markets*****Get Fidelity's latest whitepaper: 11 Questions into 2025*****Listen to the full episode and get ahead of 2025's biggest investment challenges!#Markets #Investing #Finance #Economy #InterestRates #PortfolioManagement #WealthManagement #Stocks #Bonds #Canada #USMarkets #Alternatives #Fidelity #Tariffs #MacroEconomics

    The 2025 Marketing Guide for Financial Advisors with Samantha Russell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 28, 2025 51:05


    In this episode, host Pierre Daillie dives into the essentials of marketing success with Samantha Russell, Chief Evangelist at FMG Suite. Samantha shares her expert insights on how financial advisors can thrive in a digital-first world, where competition is nationwide, and the rules of client acquisition are constantly evolving.

    Are Markets overestimating 2025 Investment Opportunities with Aahan Menon

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 17, 2025 104:39


    What does 2025 have in store for investors? Join us as we dive deep into the markets, macroeconomics, and the evolving landscape of risk and opportunity with Aahan Menon, Founder and CEO of Prometheus Research. In this special kickoff-to-2025 episode of Raise Your Average, Aahan breaks down his systematic and probabilistic approach to navigating today's unpredictable economic environment, shares his investment outlook, as well as asset allocation. You may be surprised.Key Insights:Macro Trends for 2025: How growth, inflation, and interest rates are setting the stage for the year ahead.Managing Risk: Why a systematic framework is essential in a time of elevated uncertainty.Market Narratives Unpacked: The disconnects between popular sentiment and economic data.Probabilities, Not Predictions: How Prometheus Research quantifies risk and uncovers market opportunities in real time.Actionable Takeaways: Prometheus' 4 ETF portfolio model, for investors looking to stay ahead of the curve in a rapidly shifting environment.Quote of the Episode: "Investing today isn't about certainty—it's about managing probabilities in a world of growing complexity." – Aahan MenonChapters:00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome01:19 Ahan Menon's Investment Framework01:58 Market Dynamics and 2024 Review05:48 Economic Indicators and Forecasts10:21 Interest Rates and Economic Impact24:51 Liquidity Conditions and Market Implications46:52 Manufacturing Sector Challenges53:15 Challenges in the Manufacturing Sector53:26 Impact of Borrowing and Leverage53:58 Wage Costs and Interest Burden54:46 Investment and Borrowing Trends56:10 Commodity Market Dynamics58:02 Alpha Portfolio Strategies01:01:38 Manufacturing and Economic Growth01:03:53 Recession Indicators and Economic Slowdown01:11:29 Real Estate Sector Analysis01:17:14 Signal Strength and Portfolio Allocation01:21:34 Bond Market Insights01:31:58 Commodity Market Outlook01:36:12 Asset Allocation - What to do now01:43:40 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsStay Ahead of the Curve:Subscribe to Raise Your Average for more market insights, expert interviews, and actionable strategies to elevate your investing game.Connect with Us:Follow Aahan Menon on LinkedinPrometheus Research on SubstackReSolve Asset ManagementMike Philbrick on Linkedin#Investing2025 #RaiseYourAverage #MarketInsights #EconomicOutlook #PrometheusResearch

    Rethinking Wealth: Unlocking the Power of Private Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2024 59:17


    In this episode of Insight is Capital, we're joined by Tony Davidow, Senior Alternatives Investment Strategist at Franklin Templeton Institute and author of the soon-to-be-released Private Markets: Building Better Portfolios with Private Equity. Tony shares his expert insights on the revolution in private market investing and why it's reshaping wealth management.We explore how private equity, private credit, and private real estate are transforming portfolio construction, offering uncorrelated returns, greater diversification, and resilience during market downturns. Tony demystifies the illiquidity premium, highlights the growing role of secondaries, and explains why advisors must embrace alternatives to meet client expectations in today's financial ecosystem.Key Topics• Rethinking the 60/40 Portfolio: Why traditional strategies are no longer enough in today's volatile markets.• Private Markets for All: The innovations democratizing access to private investments.• Illiquidity as a Feature: Why patience is key to unlocking higher returns.• The Secondary Market Boom: Shorter J-curves and better diversification for private equity investors.• Enhancing Advisor Value: How mastering alternatives strengthens client relationships and retention.Chapters0:00 - Welcome & Introduction2:00 - The End of Easy Money: 2022's Portfolio Wake-Up Call6:30 - Tony's Career & The Power of Private Assets11:45 - Demystifying Private Market Accessibility16:00 - Structuring Portfolios: Growth, Income, and Diversification21:00 - Overcoming Client Hesitations Around Alternatives26:00 - The Hidden Opportunities in Private Markets34:00 - Illiquidity: A Feature, Not a Bug42:00 - The Growing Role of Secondaries in Private Equity47:00 - Trends Shaping Private Markets Over the Next Decade55:00 - Closing Thoughts & Where to Find TonyLinks & Resources• Tony Davidow on LinkedIn: Link• Franklin Templeton Alternatives - Canada: Link• Franklin Templeton Institute's Alts Knowledge Hub: Link• Tony's Book: Private Markets: Building Better Portfolios with Private Equity (Coming February 2024).#PrivateMarkets #AlternativeInvestments #PortfolioConstruction #WealthManagement #PrivateEquity #PrivateCredit #RealEstateInvesting #InvestmentStrategies #FinancialAdvisors #TonyDavidowCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst

    Women and Alts: A Global Perspective with Barbara Stewart, CFA

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 27, 2024 31:16


    In this episode of Insight is Capital, Pierre Daillie welcomes Barbara Stewart, CFA, a renowned global researcher, author, and former portfolio manager, to discuss her latest white paper, 'Women and Alts: A Global Perspective.' Commissioned by Kensington Capital Partners, the in-depth 83-page research paper explores the alt gender gap and the barriers preventing women from investing in alternative assets. Barbara shares insights from her extensive interviews with 52 global finance leaders, highlighting the need for improved information, network access, and inclusive marketing strategies. She emphasizes the importance of tailored marketing approaches and encourages women to begin investing, stressing the significance of understanding risks and making informed decisions. You can download the entire enlightening research report (and guide), full of detailed and universally practical tips and insights into the blossoming market for alternative investments, below.Chapters00:00 Introduction00:19 Welcoming Barbara Stewart01:22 Barbara's Career Journey03:37 Inspiration Behind the White Paper06:05 Key Findings and Barriers15:08 Strategies to Attract Women (and Men) to Alts20:17 Future Trends and AI Impact27:31 Advice for Women Interested in Alts28:33 Conclusion and AcknowledgementsCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst, Barbara Stewart, Kensington Capital Partners

    Mario Cianfarani: Canadians love their advisors - but Gen Z and Millenials are shaking things up

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 20, 2024 46:36


    In this episode Mario Cianfarani, Head of Distribution at Vanguard Investments Canada joins us to discuss the latest findings from Vanguard Canada's Value of Advice survey. The widely developed survey, which gathered responses from 1,307 Canadian investors, highlights strong client satisfaction among advisors, with 74% of investors feeling their advisor is worth every dollar. The survey also reveals the generational shift towards online brokerages among younger investors aged 18 to 34, who at the same time have a desire access to an investment professional, frequent communication and personalized financial planning - a hybrid model. Key topics include trust issues among younger investors, the value of advice beyond investment performance, and strategies for advisors to engage with the next generation of clients effectively.Chapters00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer00:20 Overview of Vanguard Canada's Value of Advice Survey00:41 Key Findings: Client Satisfaction and Online Brokerages01:35 Generational Differences in Financial Advice05:27 Trust Issues Among Younger Investors12:02 The Role of Advisors in Life Events24:12 Building Relationships with Younger Clients28:16 Communication Strategies for Advisors36:06 Perceptions of Financial Advisors' Value44:29 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst

    Doomberg: Trump, Energy Policy and Geopolitical Uncertainty

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 19, 2024 83:40


    In this episode, Richard and Pierre are joined by the brilliant and always-provocative Doomberg. Known for slicing through political and energy-market noise with precision, Doomberg unpacks the seismic shifts rippling across the globe following the U.S. election.From the resurrection of "Drill, Baby, Drill" to the strategic chessboard of Big Tech's nuclear ambitions, Doomberg delivers his signature contrarian takes on the interplay of energy, geopolitics, and the economy. Are we entering an era of “energy independence” under Trump 2.0, or is the green agenda facing its biggest existential test yet?Key Topics We Cover:

    Stop Competing with Markets! Do this instead - Larry Swedroe

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2024 85:06


    In this episode Pierre and Adam sit down with Larry Swedroe, well-known expert in evidence-based investment strategies and former CIO at Buckingham Wealth Partners. They get into Larry's views on market forecasting, why investors should ignore short-term predictions, and the importance of building resilient and hyper-diversified portfolios to mitigate market risks. Swedroe emphasizes the inefficiency of individual stock selection and market timing, advocating instead for systematic, rule-based investment strategies. Additionally, he offers insights into the historical performance of various asset classes and how to think about risk in portfolio construction.00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer00:27 Welcoming Larry Swedroe00:38 Larry's Background and Expertise01:00 The Importance of Forecasting02:11 Larry's Take on Market Predictions04:12 Challenges in Economic Forecasting07:03 Investment Strategies and Market Risks12:07 The Value of Diversification22:40 Key Investment Principles33:13 The Importance of Staying the Course44:35 Exploring Portfolio Diversification45:39 The Importance of Education in Investing47:28 Understanding Risk and Asset Allocation49:11 The Role of Alternatives in a Diversified Portfolio56:03 Behavioral Finance and Investor Psychology59:46 Advising Clients on Investment Strategies01:05:23 The Significance of Diversification01:23:06 Final Thoughts and Personal Reflections*****************************Where to find Larry Swedroe*****************************Larry Swedroe on X (@larryswedroe)Larry Swedroe on Linkedin#InvestmentStrategies, #MarketRiskManagement, #PortfolioDiversification, #AlternativeInvestments, #LarrySwedroe, #StockMarketInsightsCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst

    Fidelity's Ilan Kolet: Investing for Soft and Hard Landings into 2024. How?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2024 49:32


    Pierre welcomes back Ilan Kolet, Institutional Portfolio Manager at Fidelity Investments. This episode delves into Ilan's expert analysis on U.S. and Canadian economies amid ongoing global economic shifts. Discover insights on the Fed's unprecedented rate cuts, the productivity expansion in the U.S., challenges facing the Canadian economy, and Fidelity's tactical asset allocation positioning. Ilan also shares his experience and insight from the NABE conference and thoughts on the future of fiscal and monetary policy. Explore investment strategies and gain valuable perspectives on navigating today's markets.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer00:20 Guest Introduction: Ilan Kolet01:38 Market Overview: 2024 Insights02:25 Fed's Decision and Implications04:14 Productivity Expansion in the U.S.09:05 Comparing U.S. and Canadian Economies13:31 NABE Conference Highlights22:47 Divergence in US and Canadian Monetary Policies23:21 Strategic Use of the Canadian Dollar24:58 Impact of Interest Rate Differentials25:48 Canada's Economic Growth Drivers29:11 Decoupling of the Canadian Dollar from Oil Prices31:28 US Shale Revolution and Its Implications32:31 China's Economic Influence on Canada33:49 Tactical Asset Allocation Strategies37:44 Impact of US Election on Economic Policies40:57 Fixed Income and Commodities Exposure45:28 Ongoing Research and Portfolio Adjustments48:32 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst.com

    NBI's Martin Lefebvre: Q4 2024-2025 Market and Economic Outlook

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2024 35:43


    In this episode of the Insight is Capital podcast, Pierre talks to Martin Lefebvre, Chief Investment Officer at National Bank Investments. They explore Martin's outlook on the economy, fixed income, and equities, amid a backdrop of U.S. stock highs, falling bond yields, and changing labor market indicators. They discuss the recent Federal Reserve's 50 bps interest rate cut and its implications, the potential for a soft economic landing, and the intricacies of the U.S. and Canadian housing markets. Additionally, Lefebvre delves into strategies for handling expected market volatility ahead of the U.S. election and the broader implications of global economic factors on investment strategies. The conversation provides valuable insights into asset allocation amid economic pressures and highlights the importance of a balanced investment approach in current markets.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer00:20 Guest Introduction: Martin Lefebvre01:31 Market Overview and Economic Outlook03:30 Federal Reserve's Rate Cut Decision06:25 Impact on Fixed Income Strategies09:52 Recession Risks and Asset Allocation19:15 U.S. Election and Market Volatility30:16 Geographical Positioning35:46 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst

    Shana Sissel – From Long/Short to Long Sports: Exploring Unique Uncorrelated Alternative Investments

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 24, 2024 71:33


    In this episode of 'Raise Your Average,' co-hosts Pierre and Mike welcome Shana Orczyk Sissel, CEO at Banrion Capital Management. We explore Shana's 20-year journey in wealth management, her experience and insights on alternative investments, and the evolving landscape of the industry. Shana shares her personal story of transitioning from a career in sports management to finance, discussing the challenges and triumphs along the way. Our conversation gets into key trends and opportunities in the alternative space, including private equity, venture capital, and interval funds. Shana emphasizes the importance of differentiating and engaging clients through unique and personalized investment opportunities, from sports rights to fine art and beyond. With practical advice for advisors on how to integrate alternatives into client portfolios and the added benefits of working with experts, this episode offers a comprehensive look at making alternative investments accessible and appealing.00:00 Welcome and Introduction00:24 Guest Introduction: Shana Orczyk Sissel02:01 Shana's Career Journey04:31 The Role of Alternatives in Portfolios11:41 Trends in Alternative Investments21:26 Challenges and Opportunities in Alternatives33:16 Exploring Market Neutral Strategies33:45 Discussing BTAL: A Market Neutral ETF35:23 The Complexity of Managed Futures37:18 Return Stacking and Portfolio Diversification39:00 Building Alternative Investment Portfolios40:46 Banrion's Alternative Models43:50 Understanding Diversifying and Non-Diversifying Alts46:12 The Importance of Liquidity in Alternative Investments51:52 Engaging Clients with Passion Investments01:01:31 The Opportunity in Alternative Investments01:05:24 Advice for Advisors Exploring Alternatives01:10:18 Final Thoughts and Encouragement=========================================Where to find Shana Sissel, Banrion Capital Management:=========================================Banrion Capital Management Shana Sissel on LinkedinShana Sissel on XShana Sissel on Instagram===========================================Where to find us:===========================================ReSolve Asset ManagementReSolve Asset Management BlogMike Philbrick on LinkedinRodrigo Gordillo on LinkedinAdam Butler on LinkedinPierre Daillie on LinkedinJoseph Lamanna on Linkedin=========================================

    Todd Finkle: A Fresh Take on Warren Buffett

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2024 87:48


    In this episode of Insight is Capital, Pierre welcomes Dr. Todd Finkle, esteemed Pigott Professor of Entrepreneurship at Gonzaga University and author of 'Warren Buffett: Investor and Entrepreneur.' Dr. Finkle draws on nearly two decades of research and personal experiences and notably, his connection to the Buffett family (he shares his memories of friendship and hanging around at school with Buffett's son, Pete, and his friendship with both he and Susie), of taking students to meet Warren Buffett in Omaha, to explore Buffett's investment philosophy, entrepreneurial spirit, and the lasting impact of Buffett's childhood during the Great Depression. The discussion highlights the influence of key figures like Charlie Munger and Phil Fisher in Buffett's life, the importance of critical thinking, and the value of surrounding oneself with supportive individuals. Dr. Finkle shares the challenges of writing his book and the invaluable lessons learned from Buffett's mistakes while providing unique insights about the importance to Buffett and Munger of avoiding toxic people and embracing continual, lifelong learning.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Introduction to Dr. Todd Finkle and His Unique Insights on Warren Buffett01:31 Dr. Finkle's Personal Connection to Warren Buffett and family02:49 Warren Buffett's Philosophy and Influence07:08 Buffett's Humble and Positive Character10:20 Family Ties and Early Life in Omaha28:04 The Entrepreneurial Spirit of Young Warren Buffett35:27 Dr. Finkle's Journey to Writing the Book38:05 Meeting Warren Buffett: A Professor's Experience41:33 Meeting Warren Buffett: A Life-Changing Experience42:39 Exploring Omaha: The Heart of Buffett's Investments44:27 Buffett's Investment Philosophy and Local Business Support46:02 The Humble Life of Warren Buffett56:40 Buffett's Mistakes and Lessons Learned01:10:09 The Entrepreneurial Spirit of Warren Buffett01:17:31 The Future of Berkshire Hathaway01:24:10 The Importance of Critical Thinking and Entrepreneurship01:25:59 Final Thoughts and Best Advice

    Macro Outlook and Defensive Investing Strategies with Bob Elliott

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2024 77:53


    Bob Elliott, CEO, and CIO at NYC-based Unlimited Funds joined us on the show. We discuss his 13 years experience at Bridgewater Associates (10 years as head of Ray Dalio's investment research team), and the lessons he learned from the Global Financial Crisis. We get into the more recent period of ecomomic upheaval, and today's macroeconomic landscape. Bob shares his unique take on diversification, dissecting inflation, interest rates, as well as, for example, the impact deglobalization and reshoring may have on the U.S. economy. We explore Unlimited Funds' innovative strategies of hedge fund-like replication that everyday investors can now access, at far lower cost than 2&20 strategies. Bob stresses the significance of balancing risk in portfolios. He also shares insights on managing portfolio volatility, behavioral economics, and disciplined trading practices, offering invaluable advice on market assumptions and investment management.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Introduction and Host Greetings01:36 Guest Introduction: Bob Elliott02:41 Bob's Experience at Bridgewater03:47 Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis11:38 Current Macroeconomic Conditions26:57 Impact of Interest Rates and Inflation37:22 Gold as an Investment41:16 Gold vs Bonds: A Comparative Analysis42:14 Generational Perspectives on Gold42:36 Understanding Economic Regimes44:17 Strategic Portfolio Management44:46 Challenges of Beating the Market46:30 Accessing Top-Tier Asset Managers47:33 The Role of Diversification48:37 Replication and Manager Risk51:19 Behavioral Aspects of Investing01:03:09 Wealth Accumulation vs Wealth Management01:04:59 Building a Robust Savings Portfolio01:15:48 Final Thoughts and Best Advice

    Justin Huhn: The Generational Bull Case for Uranium

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2024 76:52


    Uranium expert Justin Huhn, Founder & Publisher of Uranium Insider, joins Pierre Daillie and Mike Philbrick on the show to discuss the unfolding generational bull case for uranium and the entire uranium and nuclear power generation sector. We explore the cyclical nature of the uranium market, current supply and demand dynamics, and the impact of geopolitical tensions. Justin provides valuable insights on the increasing interest in nuclear energy as a clean power source, driven by rising global electricity demand and technological advancements. He sheds light on the potential for significant market developments by 2029-2030, the importance of long-term contracts, and the investment opportunities emerging from the ongoing and increasingly robust supply-demand imbalance.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Introduction and Greetings00:16 Hurricane Experience and Weather Patterns01:08 Introducing Guest: Justin Huhn02:50 Justin Huhn's Background and Entry into Uranium Market04:57 Understanding the Uranium Market Dynamics07:24 Impact of Fukushima and Market Recovery20:16 Technological Advancements in Nuclear Energy26:29 Growing Demand for Electricity and Nuclear Energy's Role35:18 Uranium Processing and Conversion35:50 Enrichment and Fabrication36:59 Global Market Dynamics37:58 US Nuclear Industry Challenges38:46 Geopolitical Impacts on Uranium Supply48:32 Investment Opportunities in Uranium54:51 Market Volatility and Investment Strategies01:01:05 Future Outlook and Conclusion

    Mutiny's Jason Buck on Navigating Volatility: Defense? How? Why Now?

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 1, 2024 59:56


    In this episode of Insight is Capital, Pierre Daillie chats with Jason Buck, Chief Investment Officer at Mutiny Fund, to discuss defensive and offensive strategies in portfolio management - with equity valuations of the "Magnificent 7" it's now particularly essential for advisors and investors alike to consider defense ahead of any potential reversals. Buck points out that from a business perspective, advisors are leveraged to the equity market by 3-4x, when their business AUM is exposed to drawdown risks. Jason shares his journey from a real estate developer affected by the 2008 financial crisis to a consultant on risk management and bespoke long volatility strategies. He highlights the 'cockroach investment strategy' and the necessity of combining offensive assets like stocks and bonds with defensive assets like long volatility and commodity trend advisors. The importance of rebalancing, the concept of convexity, and the practical application of strategies like the Harry Brown portfolio model are discussed in detail. Using the memorable Herschel Walker analogy, Jason underscores the importance of a well-diversified portfolio. This episode is essential for investors and advisors looking to understand the implementation and benefits of a balanced approach to portfolio construction.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Introduction - Guest - Jason Buck, Mutiny Fund00:14 Jason Buck's Background and Investment Philosophy00:49 The Cockroach Investment Strategy01:20 Podcast Disclaimer and Welcome Back01:49 Discussing the Cockroach Strategy03:08 Importance of Diversification and Defense Strategy04:44 Launching the Defense Strategy06:47 The Great Financial Crisis and Its Lessons07:40 Combining Offensive and Defensive Assets08:53 Harry Brown's Four Quadrant Model09:33 Modern Portfolio Techniques and Convexity12:33 Commodity Trend Advisors (CTAs) Explained14:12 The Role of CTAs in Inflationary Environments15:01 Ensemble of CTAs for Robust Returns24:04 Challenges in Explaining Trend Following30:43 Understanding the Buy Button Mentality31:05 The Case for Commodity Trend Following31:38 Challenges in Portfolio Allocation32:42 Financial Advisors and Client Resistance34:37 The Importance of Defensive Assets36:37 Cash and Capital Efficiency39:19 Long Volatility and Tail Risk Explained41:02 Convexity and Portfolio Insurance48:51 Rebalancing for Effective Compounding55:45 The Herschel Walker Trade Analogy58:57 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst

    FactSet's Elisabeth Kashner – The Scoop: Deep ETF Trends Insights

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2024 59:49


    In this conversation, Pierre Daillie interviews Elisabeth Kashner, Director of Global Funds Research, FactSet, about the trends and challenges in the ETF market. They discuss the slow pace of ETF flows in 2024, the impact of the Fed's rate cuts, and the attractiveness of cash investments. They also explore the rise of actively managed equity ETFs and the competition among asset managers to offer low-cost products. The conversation highlights the importance of providing exceptional value and solving the profitability challenge in the ETF industry. The asset management industry is experiencing a shift towards lower fees and increased efficiency, driven by the rise of ETFs. While some ETF issuers have raised their management expense ratios (MERs), it is often due to operational concerns rather than a desire to make more money. The industry is becoming more commoditized, allowing investors to focus on making the right asset allocation decisions. The ETF industry continues to grow, with inflows increasing every year. However, with over 3,500 ETFs available, investors need to do their homework and understand the products they are investing in.Takeaways• ETF flows in 2024 have been slow compared to previous years, with investors gravitating towards cash investments due to their attractive yields.• The rise of actively managed equity ETFs has led to increased competition among asset managers, with a few firms attracting the majority of flows.• Asset managers face the challenge of offering exceptional value and solving the profitability issue in a highly competitive market.• The barriers to entry in the ETF industry are low, but the barriers to success are high, requiring efficiency, scale, and effective capital markets management.• The asset management industry is shifting towards lower fees and increased efficiency• ETF issuers have raised MERs due to operational concerns, not to make more money• Investors have a wide range of ETF options, but need to do their homework and understand the products• The industry is becoming more commoditized, allowing investors to focus on asset allocation decisions• Investors should seek the advice of a knowledgeable advisor to navigate the marketCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst

    Som Seif Investment Review and Outlook - Positioning for Unclear Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2024 47:24


    Join us as we catch up with Som Seif, Founder and CEO of Purpose Investments. In this episode of Insight is Capital, Som shares his perspectives on the current volatile market environment, discussing trends in stocks, bonds, and interest rates. With a focus on sustainable investment solutions and economic productivity driven by AI, Som shares his views of market expectations, the role of the Fed, and the importance of preparing for multiple economic scenarios, considering the range of possibilities of 'higher for longer' monetary policy. Som shares his thoughts on the need to establish a mental model for advisors to consider while navigating today's uncertainty and to consider ways of building resilient portfolios for today's more challenging and changing financial landscape.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Introduction01:15 Market Overview and Current Trends02:56 Bond Market Overview06:03 Economic Assumptions and the futility of predictions11:47 Comparing Consumer Resilience and Housing Market29:43 A Mental Model for Investment Strategies and Portfolio Management34:38 Advisors' Role and Resources41:19 Closing Thoughts and Best Advice Ever ReceivedCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst

    Joel Litman: Market Review & Outlook–"GAAP is not truth or reality" for investors

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2024 88:20


    Join us on the Insight is Capital Podcast as we interview Joel Litman, Chief Investment Strategist at Valens Research, discussing insights into the current equity, bond markets, and the challenges in commercial real estate. Discover the strong investment potential of the U.S. amidst global shifts, encouraging a disciplined, long-term investment strategy. We then get into a discussion of the limitations of GAAP accounting and the benefits of Uniform Adjusted Financial Reporting Standards (UAFRS). It's earnings season, after all. Explore how understanding true business earnings and improved transparency can lead to better investment decisions, and outcomes. Dive into the nuances of corporate management claims, financial forensics, and market analysis, including Jerome Powell's statements on inflation, the pitfalls of EBITDA, and the past example of IBM's flawed compensation strategy.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Understanding Earnings Comparisons00:11 The Impact of Inventory Methods on Profit Reporting00:53 Challenges with GAAP Accounting01:31 Historical Perspectives on Accounting Standards03:39 Introduction to Uniform Accounting Principles03:44 The Role of Shelby Davis in Accounting04:29 The Importance of Consistent Accounting Standards06:42 Market Insights and Economic Trends07:54 The State of the Bond Market31:19 Private Equity and Credit Markets47:18 Understanding Sustainable Earnings48:16 The Flaws of Wall Street Ratings50:37 Uniform Accounting and Fraud Detection53:00 Case Studies and Real-World Applications55:04 Challenges in Financial Analysis01:01:22 The Role of Audio Analysis in Detecting Deception01:07:20 Teaching Uniform Accounting01:14:08 The IBM Case Study01:18:30 Advice for Financial Analysts and Investors01:20:40 Global Economic Outlook and U.S. Dominance

    Steve Hawkins Returns: Innovation and the Future of ETFs

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 11, 2024 43:58


    In this episode of Insight is Capital, Pierre Daillie, Managing Editor at AdvisorAnalyst.com catches up with Steve Hawkins, CEO of Longpoint ETFs. After a notable career leading Horizons ETFs (now Global X ETFs Canada) and a brief retirement travelling the world, Hawkins discusses his market outlook, his return to the investment industry with his new venture focused on building innovative ETF products. We dive into his experiences, strategic vision, as well as his take on the evolving landscape of the ETF market, touching on the importance of listening to investor needs and the distinct opportunities he plans to bring to both retail advisors and self-directed investors. The conversation wraps up with Hawkins' insights into the future of ETFs and his excitement for upcoming launches at Longpoint.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Introduction and Welcome00:41 Steve Hawkins' Retirement Adventures01:44 Return to the Industry03:33 Building Longpoint ETFs06:46 Innovations and Future Plans11:00 Market Review, Challenges and Opportunities13:32 Global ETF Market Insights18:51 Partnerships and Strategies36:09 Personal Reflections and Travel Highlights41:20 Wrap up and Future OutlookCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst

    National Bank's Daniel Straus: Extraordinary ETF Insights, Outlook

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 4, 2024 63:42


    In this episode of 'Insight is Capital', host Pierre Daillie sits down with Daniel Straus, Director and Head of National Bank Financials' ETF Research and Strategy Group, to discuss trends in the ETF market both in Canada and the U.S. They explore recent market conditions, the dynamics between U.S. and international equities, the role of AI and technology stocks, and the state of the bond market. Daniel also delves into investor behavior, the emergence of alternative investment strategies, and the implications of recent regulatory changes on ETFs. This comprehensive discussion provides extraordinary and valuable insights into the opportunities and challenges that shape today's ETF landscape.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome01:31 Market Overview and Recent Trends04:32 Economic Indicators and Household Spending07:15 Investor Sentiment and ETF Flows11:50 Bond Market Dynamics and Strategies18:11 Trends in the ETF Market24:22 Investor Behavior and Tactical Decisions33:51 Exploring ETF Strategies for Recovery34:18 Tax Implications and Strategies34:35 Diversification in ETFs36:02 Market Cap Weighting and Passive Investing38:03 Tax Alpha and Risk Management39:50 Investor Behavior and Cognitive Biases41:26 Trends in International Markets42:46 The Rise of Thematic ETFs43:54 Crypto ETFs and Market Dynamics49:07 Alternative Assets and Leveraged ETFs58:54 Commodities and Inflation Protection01:02:13 Conclusion and Future InsightsCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst.com

    Fidelity's Ilan Kolet: Investment Outlook–Harnessing Liquid Alternatives

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 2, 2024 56:13


    In this episode of the Insight is Capital podcast, Ilan Kolet, an Institutional Portfolio Manager in Fidelity's Global Asset Allocation team, discusses the current investment landscape, focusing on the divergence between the Canadian and U.S. economies, the significance of productivity growth, and the strategic inclusion of liquid alternatives in investment portfolios. Kolet highlights the U.S. economy's remarkable growth compared to other G7 countries and emphasizes the potential of a productivity expansion in the U.S. to enhance economic growth without stoking inflation. The conversation also covers Fidelity's decision to incorporate liquid alternative strategies into their managed portfolio suite, aiming to improve diversification and risk-adjusted returns for investors. This move reflects a deliberate and research-based approach to portfolio construction, underscoring Fidelity's commitment to innovation while maintaining a cautious and incremental investment strategy.Timestamped Highlights00:00 Catching Up After a Long Time00:30 Divergence Between Canada and the U.S.04:50 The Importance of Productivity07:47 Stocks and Bonds Performance10:12 Understanding Productivity Growth16:39 Implications for Monetary Policy20:14 Introduction and Episode Overview21:04 Current Market Positioning26:56 Incremental Investment Approach27:06 Valuation and Sentiment in Investment Decisions28:14 Comprehensive Global Asset Allocation Strategy29:17 Manager Selection and Diversification29:56 Rigorous Evaluation and Tactical Decisions30:58 Challenges for Advisors35:57 Balanced Fund of the Future36:30 Inclusion of Liquid Alternatives40:44 Democratizing Access to Alternative Investments53:52 Strategic and Methodical Investment Decisions55:04 Concluding Thoughts and Future Plans

    How Unlimited's Bob Elliott is Making Hedge Funds Accessible to Everyone

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 19, 2024 50:03


    Bob Elliott, Co-Founder, CEO, and CIO of Unlimited Funds, and former long-time Bridgewater exec, discusses the company's pioneering use of machine learning to create low-cost index replications of alternative investments. The HFND ETF as the fastest growing independent active ETF launch in the US in 2022 and Bob shares his extensive experience in investment strategy development. Bob emphasizes the inspiration behind founding Unlimited, which was to democratize access to alternative investments by bringing concepts of diversified low-cost indexing to the world of two and twenty strategies. He explains the technology development process, the importance of building the technology based on an expert understanding of the types of strategies pursued by managers, and the company's focus on returns to gain a better understanding of how managers are positioned. Bob also discusses the impact of fees on investors, the role of public funds in leading the shift towards alternatives due to fee sensitivity, and the democratization of investments to make them more widely available.Thank you for listening!Timestamped Highlights00:00 At Bridgewater, he built a career around macroeconomic understanding, remains passionate.06:55 Successful investors continually learn and trade their edge.09:43 Lower fees, greater access through technology replication.11:42 Machine learning approach for hedge fund strategies.17:15 Factors and returns drive portfolio construction strategies.19:00 Importance of expert-designed systematic approach for hedge funds.24:33 Hedge fund managers balance risk and return.26:32 Hedge fund objective: preserve wealth, reduce drawdowns.30:51 Investors face fees and uncertain returns. Durable fee alpha.35:06 Importance of low-cost diversified investment strategies explained.38:26 Asset managers earn $700 billion in fees.39:53 Industry fees need radical rethink for wealth.43:39 Creating low-cost index products for everyday investors.46:33 Investors need to diversify portfolio for inflation.49:29 Grateful for the conversation and your insight.Where to find Bob Elliott and Unlimited FundsBob Elliott on LinkedinBob Elliott on TwitterUnlimited Funds

    Brooke Thackray: Seasonal Rotation – Time to rotate?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2024 68:22


    In this episode Brooke Thackray, research analyst at Global X ETFs Canada, and advisor to the Global X Seasonal Rotation ETF (HAC), joins us to discuss seasonal investing trends across US and Canadian stocks and bonds. Thackray emphasizes the effectiveness of seasonality in fine-tuning the investment process with technicals and historical market patterns – just take a quick look at the chart for the ETF – confirmed. We also discuss the rotation aspect of the fund, the expectation, for example, of gold performing well in a strong upcoming seasonal period, and the anticipation of a weaker equity market over the next six months due to various factors. Thackray highlights the importance of relying on a long-term model and discipline for managing the investment process, and expects the seasonal framework to work even better over the next decade due to changes in market sectors.Thank you for listening!Timestamped Highlights00:00 Market signals mixed, economy struggles with inflation.06:15 Economy has a rich-poor divide, different news.14:23 Seasonal trends and market performance post-COVID.16:04 Investors' shifting interest from trends to analysis.22:57 Global X Seasonal Rotation ETF chart impressive.32:10 Discussing the challenge of simplifying stock strategy.35:21 Adhere to rules. E.g. gold sector showing strength.38:32 Tech sector's strong performance suggests market caution.44:32 Economy slowing, technicals show bond strength. Yield rising or remaining high.50:35 Stock market trend uncertain, potential opportunities ahead.55:34 Investing in mystery and history, a seasonal strategy.01:00:15 Market behavior varies with seasonal elements.01:05:04 Improving processes for future market changes.Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst

    WisdomTree: Navigating These Unusual Market and Economic Signals

    Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2024 73:26


    In this conversation Jeff Weniger, Head of Equity Strategy and Samuel Rines, Macro Strategists, Model Portfolios at WisdomTree Asset Management, join us to discuss various topics including the performance of the equity and bond markets, inflation, the labor market, and the real estate market. We explore the potential impact of rising yields on equities, the relationship between bonds and stocks, and the role of the US dollar as a hedge. We get into the challenges of navigating the current economic landscape and the reluctance of individuals and businesses to make changes in their financial strategies. Jeff and Sam unpack the impact of job mobility and housing on asset allocation. Jeff Weniger discusses the challenges of job relocation and the limitations it imposes on housing choices. He also highlights the rigidity of mortgage rates and the potential financial burden it creates for homeowners. Sam Rines adds that the lack of labor market dynamism and the preference for home remodeling contribute to the stagnation of the housing market. Then we shift to the changing dynamics of the US economy, with a focus on the transition from goods to services. Sam Rines emphasizes the normalization of the services sector and the potential lasting effect on the labor market. Our focus turns to a discussion about asset allocation and the push for domestic equity ownership in various countries. We explore the seismic shift in investment trends, with a focus on the changing dynamics of global markets. We dive into the history of investing in the early 2000s in emerging markets like Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRIC), and how the focus has now shifted to investing in Japan, Korea and other markets where policy driving home bias is flourishing. We look at the role of China in the commodities market, particularly its insatiable appetite for base metals and gold. If anything, our entire conversation highlights the importance of diversifying portfolios and considering alternative asset classes like managed futures and commodities. They also touch on the impact of US-China relations and the potential risks and opportunities in the market.TakeawaysThe equity market has performed well despite the backup in yields, indicating resilience in the face of potential headwinds.Bonds may provide a diversifying effect in a 60-40 portfolio, and there is an indication that bonds and equities may move in opposite directions this year.There is a misconception about inflation, with people often misunderstanding the difference between the rate of inflation growth and inflation levels.The labor market has been confounding, with indicators sometimes differing from what is happening on the ground.There is friction and inertia when it comes to individuals and businesses making changes to their financial strategies, such as moving cash to higher-yielding investments.The real estate market is slow-moving, and the effects of macro factors, such as the actions of the Fed, take time to materialize.The current economic landscape presents challenges, but there is a sense of managed control and a slower pace of change compared to previous cycles. Job mobility and housing choices can significantly impact asset allocation decisions.Rigid mortgage rates can create financial burdens for homeowners, limiting their job mobility.The lack of labor market dynamism and the preference for home remodeling contribute to the stagnation of the housing market.The transition from goods to services in the US economy is normalizing, potentially impacting the labor market.There is concern about a push for domestic equity ownership in various countries, which may affect asset allocation strategies, and US equity performance.Japan and Korea, and other countries (Canada) are at the centre of this push that is further bullish for them, and less so for the US where country allocations are concerned.China's insatiable appetite for commodities, particularly base metals and gold, has significant implications for the market.Diversification and considering alternative asset classes like managed futures and commodities are crucial for portfolio management.US-China relations continue to be a significant factor impacting the market, with potential risks and opportunities.Chapters00:00 Discussion about CTAs, market thresholds, portfolio diversification, and bond-equity relationship.09:10 Labor market indicators are confounding due to COVID's impact on surveys - may not align with actual conditions. Sub-questions reveal differing responses.15:38 Recent market issues addressed with intervention, BTFD easing bank assets.17:10 Surprise at bank walk concept, advises money markets over savings accounts.23:37 Macro moves slowly, taking 18 months to 2 years for major shifts. Real estate in the US takes longer to impact than expected.29:48 Post-financial crisis house underwater issue slowed recovery, COVID impact on job mobility and quits.34:29 Higher mortgage rates, bond market volatility, and housing market concerns persist.42:38 Encouraging stock purchases through pension plans globally, with a focus on Japan and UK.46:32 Concerns raised about potential totalitarian push for domestic equities by institutions with significant capital. Nationalistic push may impact relative performance of US equities.53:44 Text suggests possibility of rising prices, impact on retail, potential for gold strength, and higher inflation and bear market probabilities. Cautions against putting all money in equities and bonds.56:26 Gold's relationship to interest rates and the influence of a strong dollar on its value.01:01:11 Under-the-radar aggregate companies outperformed in 2021.01:08:23 Optimistic about US economy, pessimistic about US-China relations.01:11:48 Many people don't plan for social security, but they should.Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst

    Starlight's Dennis Mitchell: Outlook 2024 – Diverse Bets for Uncertainty

    Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2024 67:23


    Dennis Mitchell, CEO, CIO at Starlight Capital joins us this episode to discuss various topics including the impact of interest rates, the potential for rate cuts, portfolio construction for the period ahead - which will be marked by the persistent threat of inflation and higher rates for longer, the importance of proper pension-like diversification, and the rising risks of geopolitical instability, and authoritarianism, and ensuing political risk ahead. He expresses optimism about the long-term trends in private real estate, infrastructure, and equity markets. He also highlights the need for education and due diligence in investing in these asset classes. However, he expresses concern about the rise of authoritarianism and the erosion of democracy, which could have negative consequences for global markets and standards of living. We explore the current investment climate and the need for a shift in portfolio construction. Dennis Mitchell emphasizes the importance of considering and adding private assets and alternative asset classes with the objective of building resilient portfolios. Mitchell highlights the need for a diversified approach that goes beyond traditional 60-40 portfolios. We discuss the benefits of adding private equity, private real estate, infrastructure, commodities, and private credit. He emphasizes the critical need for enhanced financial education and the role of financial institutions in providing innovative investment solutions. We also get into the misconceptions about private assets and the importance of understanding the risks and returns associated with different asset classes.TakeawaysInvestors should consider diversifying their portfolios with private real estate, infrastructure, and equity assets to replicate the strategies of large pension plans.The Canadian market has recently opened up to alternative and real asset investments, providing more options for investors.Investors need to understand the benefits of diversification and the importance of long-term returns.Geopolitical risks, such as conflicts in the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine tensions, can undermine political stability and impact global markets.The rise of authoritarianism poses a threat to democracy, free markets, and innovation.The world has become smaller and more dangerous, with the potential for catastrophic consequences if leaders abdicate their roles or fail to address emerging challenges.The investment climate is influenced by geopolitical events and economic cycles, which create opportunities to allocate capital to different sectors and geographies.Traditional 60-40 portfolios are outdated, and investors should consider allocating more to alternative asset classes.Private assets, such as private equity, private real estate, infrastructure, commodities, and private credit, offer opportunities for long-term returns and diversification.Financial education is crucial for investors to understand different asset classes and make informed investment decisions.Financial institutions have a responsibility to provide innovative investment solutions and be accurate stewards of the economy.ChaptersIntroduction and SettingThe Impact of Interest Rates and Rate CutsThe Canadian Market and InflationThe Importance of Diversification and Investing in Private AssetsThe Risks of Authoritarianism and Erosion of DemocracyThe Impact of Politics and Populism on Global MarketsThe Danger of Geopolitical Conflicts and AuthoritarianismThe World's Smaller and More Dangerous NatureThe Current Investment ClimateThe Decline of Traditional 60-40 PortfoliosThe Role of Financial Education and InstitutionsWhere to find Dennis Mitchell & Starlight CapitalDennis Mitchell on LinkedinStarlight CapitalStarlight Capital's Thought Leadership

    SIACharts' Paul Kornfeld - Buy the dip, or sell the rip? Are we at a turning point?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2024 95:52


    In this episode with SIACharts' President, Paul Kornfeld, we kick off our conversation with the recent changes in the Federal Reserve's rate cut projections and the performance of various stocks. We question whether it's a good time to 'buy the dip or sell the rip.' We get into the use of SIA charts in analyzing market trends and making investment decisions. What are the benefits of using a systematic approach and relative strength analysis? We touch on the challenges and opportunities of 24/7 trading, and the pressure that's mounting for moneycenter banks. We dive into the importance of having a rules-based approach and risk management in investing. We discuss the opportunities and risks in the market, and in particular the generational opportunity in the energy and materials sectors. Wending our way through the conversation, Paul peels back the layers on the importance of diversification and the need to consider the opportunity cost of investing in certain sectors. There's also the potential impact of various serious geopolitical events on international markets to weigh and the importance of incorporating risk management strategies, now. What has been the historical performance of different sectors and how great is the potential for a shift in market dynamics. What is the market indicating are trends to follow in specific sectors? What is the potential impact of inflation on portfolios and how great is the need to consider alternative asset classes?Takeaways The Federal Reserve's rate cut projections have been revised, leading to uncertainty in the market. Using SIA charts and a systematic approach can help investors analyze market trends and make informed investment decisions. 24/7 trading presents both opportunities and challenges for investors, and risk management is crucial in navigating the market. Money center banks are facing pressure due to rising interest rates, and it's important to monitor their performance. Having a rules-based approach and discipline in investing can help mitigate emotional biases and improve investment outcomes. There are opportunities for profitability in sectors like energy and materials Diversification is important to mitigate risk and take advantage of different market opportunities. Consider the opportunity cost of investing in certain sectors and evaluate the potential for higher profitability in other areas. Geopolitical events can have a significant impact on international markets, and it's important to monitor and adjust investment strategies accordingly. Incorporating risk management strategies is crucial to protect portfolios during market fluctuations. The historical performance of different sectors can provide insights into potential future trends and opportunities in the market. Diversification and following trends in specific sectors can provide opportunities in the current market environment. Inflation is expected to remain sticky, and portfolios need to consider alternative asset classes to fill the void left by bonds. SIACharts is a tool that simplifies research and provides actionable insights for advisors.

    Toby Carlisle - Value Investing is Simple, Not Easy

    Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2024 66:47


    In this conversation, Mike and Pierre talk to Tobias Carlisle, Managing Principal and Chief Investment Officer at Acquirers Funds, LLC, and portfolio manager of ZIG and DEEP ETFs. Toby shares his approach to value investing and the historical perspective he brings to the art of investing. He also talks about the performance of value investing and the importance of staying consistent with your strategy. Our conversation highlights the benefits of a systematic and quantitative approach to investing. We explore the challenges and strategies of value investing. Toby emphasizes the importance of having a systematic design and sticking to a set of rules to avoid emotional and behavioral mistakes. We discuss the ideological debate between value and growth investing and the need for a balanced approach. Our conversation turns to the role of activism in value investing and the importance of avoiding ruin and focusing on survival. The conversation continues with Toby sharing his insights into portfolio construction and the baked-in returns of value investing. We further explore the concept of investing in value stocks and the challenges that come with it – the importance of considering the long-term perspective and the potential for high returns despite short-term fluctuations. Mike and Toby deconstruct the role of market feedback loops and the impact of market crashes on investment strategies. Toby highlights the significance of character and reputation in investing. We ask Toby about his upcoming book 'Invincible' and its exploration of the parallels between value investing, Sun Tzu's 'Art of War,' and Lao Tzu's 'Tao Te Ching.'

    Aubrey Basdeo: More Coupon, Less Duration

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2024 57:16


    In this episode, our conversation with Aubrey Basdeo, Head of Fixed Income at Guardian Capital LP, we focus on the fixed income landscape and the outlook for interest rates in the US and Canada, the Federal Reserve's approach to inflation and interest rate cuts, as well as the differences between the US and Canadian economies, the impact of mortgage rates on consumer spending and the potential for rate cuts by the Bank of Canada. Overall, the conversation highlights the importance of maximizing optionality and the challenges of monetary policy in a changing economic environment, various topics related to central banks, portfolio construction, and fixed income investing. Our main themes include the shift in central bank narratives, the impact of inflation on monetary policy, the changing dynamics of portfolio construction, the shifting climate in holding duration for the sake of hedging portfolios, and the critical importance of using active management in fixed income. Our conversation also touches lightheartedly on the challenges faced by different generations in the current economic environment.Timestamped Highlights:00:00 Maximizing Optionality: The Federal Reserve's Approach to Interest Rate Cuts12:10 US Exceptionalism: Strong Growth and Pro-Growth Policies15:55 Challenges in the Canadian Economy: Higher Mortgage Rates and Slower Job Growth17:54 American homeowners have tax deduction advantage.21:16 Bank of Canada needs to pivot on inflation.24:32 Bond market optimism can spell consumer pessimism.26:43 Bank of Canada rate likely to rise.32:32 Portfolio construction shifting due to global changes.35:26 Hedging portfolio with fixed income shifted focus.40:24 Fed should be less restrictive, economy speed-dependent.43:20 Bank of Canada will ease rates moderately.48:29 Central banks shift risk approach, requiring active management.50:45 Focus on coupon, not duration, for returns.54:12 Economic growth needs younger population to sustain. "The mistake is that if they're going to make a mistake, it's that they're going to be focused on that two number (~2% neutral rate) and insist that they need to get to that, rather than you're on that trajectory towards two and you can start to ease at that point." "The world that we're entering into in terms of how things are going to, the factors that we're gonna be reacting to are going to be different from those factors that guided portfolio construction for the past 30 years." "If you're looking for duration as the hedge to the portfolio, that's not going to provide it in the same way that it did 10 years ago."TakeawaysThe Federal Reserve is aiming to maximize optionality in its approach to interest rate cuts, with the possibility of three cuts, two cuts, or no cuts depending on the evolution of inflation and the economy.The US economy is showing signs of exceptionalism, with strong growth and pro-growth policies driving the outlook for interest rates. In contrast, Europe and China are facing slower growth and export-driven challenges.The Bank of Canada is expected to ease interest rates ahead of the Federal Reserve, as the Canadian economy faces challenges from higher mortgage rates and slower job growth.The impact of mortgage rates on consumer spending differs between the US and Canada, with American homeowners benefiting from tax deductions and longer-term mortgages.Bond investors are optimistic about the potential for rate cuts, while consumers may be more pessimistic due to the potential impact on disposable income.The Bank of Canada will need to carefully navigate the path of easing, considering the impact on inflation, the interest rate differential with the US, and the potential depreciation of the Canadian dollar. Central banks may shift their narrative from targeting a specific inflation number to being less restrictive in their policies.Portfolio construction needs to adapt to a changing economic environment and regime shift.Duration may no longer provide the same level of protection in portfolios as it did in the past.Investors should focus on the belly of the yield curve for fixed income exposure.Active management is crucial in navigating the risks and opportunities in the fixed income market.The current economic environment has different implications for different generations.Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst.com

    Doomberg Decodes: Pumpamentals, Market Riddles, Energy, Gold/China, Uranium & Canada

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2024 75:11


    In this conversation, Doomberg (https://doomberg.substack.com/) joins Pierre and Mike to discuss various topics including Bitcoin, the parallel between Michael Saylor and Hugo Stinnes, speculative mania, the parallels in the borrowing strategy of Hugo Stinnes and Michael Saylor, the pumpamentals driving distortions in the market and the flywheel effect, the geopolitical implications of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the dangers of do-gooders and climate newspeak, and the natural gas situation and its unexpected impact on the economy.The conversation covers various topics related to the resource and wealth potential of Canada and the US, the prolific natural gas development in the US, the strength of the US economy, Mexico's hidden benefit from natural gas, the importance of secure borders, the economic boom in northern Mexico, the inconsistency of border security measures, the price discrepancy between natural gas and oil, the impact of natural gas prices on the economy, the role of natural gas in manufacturing, the implications of the Tonga eruption, the debate on climate change and carbon emissions, the potential consequences of sanctions on Russia, the capabilities of Russia, China, and India, the dangers of provoking Russia, the dangers of provoking Iran, the rise of nuclear power and gold, the 'Prime' time data center and the future of energy, and the importance of nuclear power for the AI revolution.Takeaways- Michael Saylor's bet on Bitcoin has paid off, demonstrating the potential of high volatility assets.- Speculative manias often precede currency debasements, making Bitcoin and crypto of interest.- The borrowing strategy of Hugo Stinnes (WWI) and Michael Saylor (today) highlights the importance of real assets.- Pumpamentals and the flywheel effect can create market distortions and lead to irrational behavior.- The Russia-Ukraine conflict and geopolitical tensions have significant implications for energy markets.- The dangers of do-gooders and climate newspeak can lead to the suppression of speech and the lack of trade-off discussions.- The abundance of natural gas in North America has prevented a potential recession and supported the manufacturing and industrial sectors. Canada and the US have significant resource potential under the right leadership.- The US is the most prolific natural gas producer in the world, with a sophisticated downstream manufacturing sector that takes advantage of cheap hydrocarbons.- Mexico is a hidden beneficiary of the natural gas boom, with an industrial boom happening in northern Mexico powered by cheap natural gas.- Secure borders are important for stability and economic growth.- The price discrepancy between natural gas and oil has significant implications for the economy.- Nuclear power and gold play important roles in the future of energy and wealth preservation.- The AI revolution and the electrification of various industries will drive the demand for energy.Where to find DoombergDoomberg on SubstackCopyright © AdvisorAnalyst.com

    Bill Bamber, BMO GAM CEO: "A generational shift in accessing structured investment payoffs"

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 7, 2024 53:38


    This is one of the trickiest times in investing history marked by heightened uncertainty, distorted valuations, regime change and increased volatility in both equity and bond markets. For good reason, advisors have increasingly turned to shifting parts of the portfolios they manage away from traditional equity and bond assets in return for exposure to structured note and investment strategies that provide structured investing outcomes from those same asset categories.In this conversation with Bill Bamber, CFA, Chief Executive Officer at BMO Global Asset Management, we are treated to a behind-the-scenes look at how and why BMO GAM developed and launched its innovative Strategic Equity Yield Fund (SEYF) solution (in June 2023). What was the thinking behind innovating this?Investors face unforeseen risks, eroded correlations, as well as unprecedented decision-making challenges due to the proliferation of choices of individual structured products in the marketplace. SEYF is an elegant, actively managed, one-ticket solution for investors, the likes of which were once only available to large institutional investors, via the capital markets desk. We discuss the rationale and strategic thinking behind BMO GAM launching this type of actively managed capital markets-based solution for accessing the best ideas and best strategies in the structured note market, in the form of a mutual fund. Now accessible to all investors, this is a milestone unto itself, to solve what have become some quintessential problems for investors desiring structured outcome solutions for their portfolio, in an always-on, always available format.Bill Bamber, CFA, brings 3 decades worth of expertise in the capital markets space to BMO GAM. As CEO, he is leading this drive to bring wide investor accessibility to structured capital markets investing strategies for everyday investors. This solution provides the enhanced yield plus capital appreciation potential and liquidity investors are seeking, along with the sophistication of stability, structured downside protection and price-seeking power, owing to the economies of scale of the firm's substantial global trading operations. Thank you for listening!About Bill Bamber, CFAChief Executive OfficerBMO Global Asset ManagementBill Bamber joined BMO Wealth Management in April 2022 as Head of Synthetic Asset Management and is currently the CEO of BMO Global Asset Management. Bill has more than 30 years of experience in the Financial Services Industry, including extensive experience in International Capital Markets, most notably in exotic derivatives spanning all asset classes as well as global structuring and structured products.Prior to joining BMO, Bill oversaw Structured Products and Quantitative Investment Strategy businesses globally and led many ground-breaking initiatives and innovative indices. He has held senior positions at International and North American financial institutions including a focus on equity derivative structuring in the Americas.Bill is well-known as an innovator in the investment industry with an outstanding track record for product firsts around the world. This includes pioneering the world's first Emerging Market ETF (STX40 SJ Equity) and creating the first MLP-linked security both inside (AMJ US Equity) and outside of the U.S. He was also the first to create a listed trading platform for zero-coupon South African gilts.Bill is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and holds both a Master of Management Analytics and a Master of Business Administration from Queen's University.

    Vanguard's Mario Cianfarani: Three Challenges for 2024

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2024 42:39


    This episode with guest Mario Cianfarani, Head of Distribution at Vanguard Canada kicks off delving into 2024's First Challenge: Bond yields and the importance of re-positioning cash for the long term given the likelihood of central banks shifting towards rate cuts in 2024.- It's time to consider how to put money back to work, to shift from a defensive market stance to a more opportunistic investment approach, and its implications on advising with regard to 60/40 portfolios and bonds. We discuss the challenge posed by having funds on standby in short-term instruments and cash equivalents, and emphasize sticking to or revisiting long-term investment strategy despite today's uncertainty and market fluctuations.- Challenge Two: We discuss the importance and challenge of investors being able to stick to their predetermined plans emphasizing the value of guidance provided by advisors. Do they have plans THEY can stick to? How can you properly get them to that state? The nature of markets has always required the necessity of portfolio diversification, and HOW you diversify is even more important, now, as is the ability to adhere to long-term investment strategies. Mario makes the point that advisors should communicate their value by widening the scope of their client discussions. That goes far beyond selecting stocks or managing portfolios, demonstrating their role, in financial planning, behavioural coaching, estate and tax planning. It's very important to consider context when making investment decisions and utilizing viewpoints and data, for managing portfolios.Pierre highlights the considerable value-add of tapping in to (such as) Vanguard's deep experience and resources to enhance portfolio construction and bolster investor trust in the quality of the source of guidance, in the context of the reintroduction of interest rates, i.e. the impact and gravity of that. Our discussion sheds light on how the zero interest rate environment has influenced now distorted valuation models and investment strategies, highlighting a return to investing principles in response to effects of higher interest rates.The conversation touches on the increasing professionalization and personalization in wealth management, Mario references Vanguard's seminal research into Advisors Alpha and the significance investors attach to services.Challenge Three: The conversation wraps up by discussing the impact of wealth transfer on succession planning for advisors suggesting it's high time to consider the notion of promoting a multi-generational approach, to managing family wealth, OR face the high risk being traded out, replaced, as their key advisor at succession. How can you strategically begin to approach this problem?Thank you for watching and listening!

    Fidelity's Ilan Kolet – 11 Questions for 2024

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2024 52:48


    Ilan Kolet, Institutional Portfolio manager in Fidelity's Global Asset Allocation Team, joins us to discuss the most important questions he and his team mates, David Wolf and David Tulk have been fielding at the start of 2024. We delve into the unexpected shifts in monetary policy led by the Federal Reserve and mull over the repercussions of potential rate cuts on inflation volatility, weaving through the intricacies of the Fed's data-driven stance and 'pivot' toward a less restrictive monetary environment.In the context of historical reflections and economic projections, Kolet elaborates on the team's optimism regarding the US market, supported by a belief in a productivity boom that dallies with the possibility of economic prosperity, low inflation, and equity strength. We get into Canadian fiscal policy, where Kolet voices concerns about Canada's macroeconomy potentially trailing in equities and fixed income, and how the team is allocating to Canada. Kolet sheds light on the team's investment strategy, from high-conviction underweights and overweights to the complexities and nuances of handling asset allocation.Throughout the episode, it's clear that the core of the discussion isn't merely the transactional aspects of investment but relates to the broader challenges advisors face when reconciling market complexities with client needs. The episode provides Fidelity's highest conviction global asset allocation guidance through the labyrinth of 2024's financial mixed and uncertain landscape.

    John De Goey - Investing ahead of unknown market risks

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 16, 2024 84:09


    John De Goey, Portfolio Manager and Investment Advisor at Designed Wealth Management joins us to discuss and explore the current investment landscape and the choices available to investors. He highlights the importance of managing risk and staying on the short end of the yield curve, for time being where fixed income is concerned. We also delve into the topics of optimism and pessimism, with a focus on the potential challenges and uncertainties in the market. We talk about the shifts in real estate markets, particularly the shift happening that's favouring the US Sun Belt, and the potential impact of climate change on investments. De Goey urges investors to be prepared and take proactive measures to balance risk in their portfolios. He also cautions against unrealistic expectations for future returns. Is your portfolio equipped to handle unknown variables and tail risks?Our chat wraps up with a nudge to uphold a diverse and balanced portfolio, mindful of the effects of surging interest rates. Remember, Balanced Asset Allocation and Balanced Funds are not the same - risk management is key. Unlike a traditional 60/40 'balanced fund', a balanced asset allocation approach ensures apt risk distribution.We explore the perils of unchecked optimism in the finance sector and how to construct a resilient, well-equipped portfolio. We ponder the withdrawal effects of quantitative easing and the necessity to confront market realities. We also investigate the financial industry's positivity bias and the knock-on effects of negativity.De Goey's "dumbest thing he's heard" takes a jab at data manipulation to bolster a narrative. We delve into the need to anticipate potential pitfalls and the importance of diversification as a safety net. Our dialogue concludes with a conversation about managing expectations, loss aversion, and the task of keeping clients invested for the long haul. Certainly, plenty to contemplate.TakeawaysStay on the short end of the yield curve for now, and manage risk in the current market.Be cautious of excessive optimism and be prepared for potential challenges and uncertainties.Consider investments in real estate, traditional inflation hedges, and diversified portfolios.Recognize the changing investment landscape and adjust expectations for future returns. Blind optimism in the financial industry can be dangerous, as it can lead to a lack of preparedness for potential risks.Quantitative easing has created withdrawal symptoms in the market, and it is important to face the reality of the current situation.The financial services industry has a commercial imperative to be optimistic, but it is crucial to consider both the positive and negative aspects of investing.Cherry-picking data to support a narrative is not a reliable approach, and it is important to consider the full picture.Proper diversification is like insurance for a portfolio, and it is essential to mitigate potential harm.Expectations management, loss aversion, and maintaining perspective are key in keeping clients invested for the long term.Timestamped Highlights:[00:00] Introduction[01:01] Investment Choices in the Current Market[03:31] Optimism and Pessimism[06:07] Shifts in Real Estate Markets[06:56] The Sun Belt and Financial Centers[08:20] Concerns and Pessimism[10:32] Preparing for Uncertain Times[16:06] Lowering Expectations for the Future[21:12] Balancing Climate Obligations and Economic Growth[26:04] Preparing for a Lower Standard of Living[31:05] The Danger of Optimism Bias[35:47] The Importance of Being Prepared[41:49] Diversification and Balance in Portfolios[46:16] The Impact of Rising Rates[48:40] The Danger of Blind Optimism[49:14] The Withdrawal Symptoms of Quantitative Easing[50:20] The Commercial Imperative of Optimism in the Financial Services Industry[51:18] The Cascading Effect of Pessimism in the Market[52:16] The Dumbest Thing Heard: Cherry-Picking Data to Support a Narrative[55:43] Listening for Quips and Side Comments in Financial Media[58:32] The Afterglow of Reaction to Bad Economic News[01:00:36] The Importance of Considering What Could Go Wrong[01:02:31] Optimism with Insurance: Proper Diversification[01:05:55] Expectations Management and Loss Aversion[01:07:29] The Challenge of Minimizing Losses and Maintaining Perspective[01:09:29] The Difficulty of Keeping Clients Invested for the Long Term[01:11:36] The Struggle of Getting Clients to Embrace Diversification[01:14:33] Differentiating Between Great Companies and Great Stocks[01:15:16] The Historical Perspective of Overvalued Markets[01:17:41] The Redistribution of Wealth During Flat Markets[01:20:55] The Need for Realism and Mitigating Potential Harm

    Fidelity's Ilan Kolet: 2024 Macro and Investment Outlook

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 21, 2023 79:44


    Join us for this enlightening conversation with Ilan Kolet, Institutional Portfolio Manager, Global Asset Allocation Team, at Fidelity Investments, as we delve into the economic outlook for 2024. Kolet provides invaluable insight into the Canadian and US economies, the housing market, investment strategies, and inflation protection. We explore the impact of interest rates, consumer spending, and central bank policies on investments. Kolet's expertise sheds light on asset allocation, portfolio diversification, and the potential implications of elevated inflation rates, making this episode an absolute must-listen.Timestamped Highlights:[00:00] Introduction - career - Bank of Canada, under Dodge and Carney, to Bloomberg, then Fidelity in Boston.[05:24] Thoughts on Market optimism.[12:10] Potential US economic growth boosted by technology.[17:36] Labor market shows resilience and interest concerns.[23:19] Reduced consumer spending leads to economic impact.[29:47] Asset allocation process involves feedback from managers.[33:03] Elevated rates causing financial stress in Canada.[38:11] Diversifying and explaining investments to numerous clients.[43:33] Services drive inflation, labor market drives expenses.[48:45] US government faces challenges in refunding debt.[57:25] Researchers on Wellington acknowledge economic sensitivities, rates outlook.[01:02:28] Leverage negative sentiment, be cautious in exuberance.[01:06:15] Questioning fixed income view, cash overweight strategic.[01:10:13] Investors have many short and long-term options.[01:17:30] Working with talented teams on global research.Where to find Ilan Kolet, Fidelity Investments:Fidelity Investments Canada - Asset Allocation QuarterlyBioIlan Kolet on LinkedinGlobal Asset Allocation Team - Fidelity Investments

    Dino Bourdos: Is the yield on your covered call fund too good?

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 14, 2023 38:28


    In this insightful discussion, Dino Bourdos, Portfolio Manager & Head of Investment Solutions at Guardian Capital LP delves into the intricacies of investment strategies, particularly focusing on the use of derivatives, covered call strategies, and the impact of market dynamics on investment decisions. With his extensive experience in the field, Bourdos offers valuable insights into the challenges and opportunities in the current economic landscape, making this a must-watch for investors and financial professionals alike.Timestamped Highlights:[00:02:19] - Impact of 2008 Financial Crisis on Individual Investors: Discussion on how the 2008 crisis led to a need for risk management strategies for individual investors, leading to the development of innovative options strategies.[00:03:39] - Guardian Capital's Approach to Asset Management: Insights into Guardian Capital's strategies, including the use of machine learning and AI in stock selection and the launch of innovative solutions like the Tontine.[00:09:47] - Creating Awareness in Investment Strategies: Emphasis on the importance of understanding the mechanics of investment strategies and setting realistic expectations to avoid misconceptions.[00:10:46] - Role of Advisors in Setting Expectations: The significance of advisors setting correct expectations and working towards delivering on them, particularly in relation to mutual funds and systematic withdrawal plans.[00:21:02] - Fundamentals Over Yield in Investment Choices: The discussion focuses on the importance of the underlying asset in investments, rather than just the yield, and the necessity of a portfolio's ability to grow and sustain payments.[00:24:31] - Cover Call Strategies for Long-Term Growth: How cover call strategies can be integrated into long-term investment plans, providing tax-efficient income while maintaining portfolio value.[00:29:04] - Personal Investment Strategy Using Home Equity: A personal anecdote about using home equity to invest in a cover call strategy, highlighting a creative approach to wealth creation.[00:32:35] - Opportunities in Single Stock Options: Discussion on the transition from index options to single stock options and the different opportunities they present in the market.[00:36:02] - Navigating Market Volatility with Covered Call Strategies: Insights into the use of covered call strategies during market downturns and the importance of being pragmatic and prudent in investment decisions.[00:37:16] - Adapting Investment Strategies Amidst Global Transitions: Commentary on adapting investment strategies in response to global shifts such as from globalism to protectionism and low to high interest rates.Where to find Dino BourdosDino Bourdos on LinkedinGuardian Capital LPResearch: Is the yield on your Covered Call Fund too high?Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst.com

    Deep Dive into Global Economic and Market Outlook, and AI's Role with Joaquin Kritz Lara

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 7, 2023 93:12


    Join us in conversation with Joaquin Kritz Lara, Chief Economist at Numera Analytics, as we explore the intricate world of global economics and financial markets. Hosted by Pierre Daillie and Richard Laterman, the discussion delves into the nuances of macroeconometrics, the dynamics of inflation, and the complexities of investment strategies in today's volatile market.Joaquin brings his extensive experience in macroeconomic analysis and model building, offering unique insights into the causal relationships between economic variables and their impact on financial markets. The conversation also touches on the rigidity of Europe's job markets, the influence of geopolitical events, and the critical role of domain knowledge in leveraging AI tools like ChatGPT for economic analysis.===========================Timestamped Highlights===========================[00:01:16] Introduction of Joaquin Kritz Lara, emphasizing his role and expertise in the financial sector.[00:07:23] Discussion on macroeconomic dynamics and Fed policy impacts on financial markets, identifying a late-cycle stage in G10 countries.[00:22:59] Analysis of the lag between real interest rate changes and consumption growth in developed markets, indicating a late-cycle economic stage.[00:25:30] Examination of the slow-moving banking crisis and its effects on the international demand for U.S. Treasuries and term premiums.[00:34:00] Conversation about the final stage of an economic expansion phase and the determination of optimal asset allocation weights for different investors.[00:50:10] Discussion on complementing stock-bond portfolios in light of paradigm shifts, focusing on asset class correlations and regime shifts.[01:29:49] Discussion on the limitations of AI tools like ChatGPT in financial analysis, highlighting the importance of domain knowledge.[01:31:51] Conclusion of the discussion, expressing appreciation for Joaquin Kritz Lara's insights and mentioning the sharing of research for further queries.===========================Where to find Joaquin Kritz Lara===========================Joaquin Kritz Lara on LinkedinNumera Analytics===========================Quoted Research===========================Numera Analytics - US Asset Allocation - October 2023Numera Analytics - Global Asset Allocation - October 2023Numera Analytics - Top Conviction Calls - Week 42 - October 2023Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst.com

    Michael Robbins: Ever seen a bad backtest?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 30, 2023 62:46


    Join us for this insight-rich conversation with Michael Robbins, a distinguished figure in quantitative asset management. He is an author, thought leader, Professor of Graduate Studies in Quantitative Investing at Columbia University, and a sitting CIO. Our conversation focuses on quantitative trading, asset management, and financial modeling. Michael's recently published book, "Quantitative Asset Management," offers insights into the complexities and nuances of quantitative strategies. We delve deep into the intricacies of Global Tactical Asset Allocation (GTA) and explore the nuances of quantitative investment strategies.HIGHLIGHTSUnderstanding GTAA: We start by defining Global Tactical Asset Allocation and discussing effective approaches and potential pitfalls in employing this strategy.[04:18] - Adam Butler discusses the unique challenges and advantages small investors face compared to large investors, emphasizing the benefit of portfolio agility for smaller investors.Investment Strategy Insights: Michael Robbins shares his expertise on various aspects of investment strategies, including the importance of a fund's management team, the significance of qualitative factors, and the role of an advisor in making informed investment decisions.Quantitative Strategies: We explore the realm of quantitative strategies, discussing hyperparameters, the impact of biases, and the importance of defining investment goals.The Role of Machine Learning: Delve into the use of machine learning in finance, understanding overfitting, and the challenges of translating complex financial data into actionable strategies.[24:20] - Pierre Daillie and Michael Robbins explore the concept of overfitting in algorithmic strategies and the skepticism surrounding backtesting, highlighting the importance of a solid theoretical foundation behind investment strategies.[34:47] - The conversation shifts to the importance of qualitative factors in investment, such as the management team's experience and the terms of investment, which are crucial alongside performance metrics.[26:58] - Michael Robbins emphasizes the need to eliminate luck and human bias from systematic investment programs, advocating for a more quantitative and systematic approach to investing.[42:08] - Michael Robbins and Pierre Daillie discuss the often overlooked aspect of the personality and charisma of analytical experts in investment management, and how it affects investment decisions.Practical Advice for Investors: Gain insights on what investors should look for in funds, the importance of diversification, and how to avoid common mistakes in quantitative investing.[1:01:56] - The article concludes with a discussion on expanding investment horizons and differentiating oneself as an advisor by exploring unique investment strategies, as suggested by Michael Robbins.*****

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