Podcast appearances and mentions of Jeremy Grantham

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  • May 30, 2025LATEST

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Best podcasts about Jeremy Grantham

Latest podcast episodes about Jeremy Grantham

The Meb Faber Show
Cole Wilcox on The Power Law of Investing | #584

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 30, 2025 64:02


Today's guest is Cole Wilcox, CIO of Longboard Asset Management, a boutique asset manager specializing in alternative investment strategies. In today's episode, Cole walks through one of my favorite papers of all time, Does Trend-Following Still Work On Stocks? Hint: it does. Cole explains why you have to be a good loser to be a good investor, how power laws dominate the stock market, and the set up for trend following going forward., including the dollar and gold, and if he believes we are headed for a recession. (0:00) Start (1:02) Introducing our guest, Brendan Ahern (5:53) The state of China's economy (14:18) Analysis of China's geopolitical concerns and international partnerships (20:01) The narrative around China post Russia-Ukraine (22:03) Deep dive into KWEB (29:44) Implications of the US election (32:40) Discussion on currency hedging (33:52) Other KraneShares' funds (41:44) Will TikTok be banned (43:52) Brendan's most memorable investment (46:18) Future plans for KraneShares ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Apollo's Alex Wright on The Role of Private Markets in Modern Portfolios | #583

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2025 49:06


Today's guest is Alex Wright, Global Wealth Strategist at Apollo. In today's episode, Alex discusses the fragility of public markets, citing high valuations, rising correlations, and limited diversification opportunities, which prompt a need to reassess traditional 60/40 portfolios. Then he walks through the opportunity in private markets, including private equity, private credit and infrastructure. Alex explains why private assets can offer a potential pathway to enhanced diversification and capture opportunities in an expanding and evolving investment universe. (0:00) Starts (1:58) Alex's market overview and economic outlook (4:08) Public market valuation (15:07) Private markets potential (24:42) Private equity and credit opportunities (36:37) Comparison of public and private opportunities (40:16) Infrastructure investment opportunities (42:26) Alex's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on⁠ X⁠,⁠ LinkedIn⁠ and⁠ YouTube⁠ For detailed show notes, click ⁠here⁠ To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our ⁠mailing list⁠ or visit us at⁠ cambriainvestments.com⁠ ----- Sponsor:⁠ YCharts⁠ enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: ⁠X⁠ | ⁠LinkedIn⁠ | ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠TikTok⁠ ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include ⁠Ed Thorp⁠, ⁠Richard Thaler⁠, ⁠Jeremy Grantham⁠, ⁠Joel Greenblatt⁠, ⁠Campbell Harvey⁠, ⁠Ivy Zelman⁠, ⁠Kathryn Kaminski⁠, ⁠Jason Calacanis⁠, ⁠Whitney Baker,⁠ ⁠Aswath Damodaran⁠, ⁠Howard Marks⁠, ⁠Tom Barton⁠, and many more.  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (⁠https://thepodcastconsultant.com⁠). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
BCG's Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak on Global Macro: Recession Risk, Tariffs, Debt Dynamics | #582

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2025 45:35


Today's guest is Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Global Chief Economist at BCG and author Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk. In today's episode, Philipp starts by sharing his framework to assess macroeconomic risk, emphasizing the importance of adapting to changing global conditions. Then he applies that framework to the world today and shares his view on tariffs and changing trade relations, the impact of AI on labor and the deflationary effects of technology. He also covers global currencies, including the dollar and gold, and if he believes we are headed for a recession. (0:00) Starts (1:07) Rejecting the master model mentality (3:34) The allure of doom (8:08) Historical recession risk frameworks (14:00) Public debt, balance sheets, and global tariff impacts (19:41) Sentiment indicators (24:41) Wealth distribution in different regions (28:44) AI's impact on labor (33:05) De-dollarization (40:02) Most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

WEALTHTRACK
Legendary Value Investor Jeremy Grantham Warns About US Stock Market Risks

WEALTHTRACK

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2025 25:55


Investment legend Jeremy Grantham, known for his prescient market calls, warns the US stock market is as expensive as it's ever been and advises looking overseas for superior values.WEALTHTRACK episode 2146 broadcast on May 16, 2025

The Meb Faber Show
Jeremy Grantham, John Arnold & Sam Zell Share Their Most Memorable Investments | #581

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 19:54


Today's episode features the most memorable investments from Jeremy Grantham, John Arnold and Sam Zell. (0:00) Starts (0:53) Jeremy Grantham (5:25) John Arnold (8:24) Sam Zell To listen to the full episodes, click the links below: Jeremy Grantham I: Apple, Spotify, YouTube Jeremy Grantham II: Apple, Spotify, YouTube John Arnold: Apple, Spotify, YouTube Sam Zell: Apple, Spotify, YouTube ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Carl Kawaja – Navigating the Investment Landscape: AI, Tariffs, Sports Gambling & More| #580

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2025 67:13


Today's guest is Carl Kawaja, a Portfolio Manager with Capital Group for over three decades. In today's episode, Carl shares insights into his investment philosophy, early experiences, and the current market landscape. He discusses the transformative impact of AI on semiconductor demand, the challenges posed by tariffs and supply chain dynamics, and the evolving landscape of sports gambling. Carl also reflects on the enduring value of certain companies, particularly in the context of evolving market conditions. (0:00) Starts (1:46) Intro (8:04) Compounding investments (13:47) Global investment insights (21:35) Market sentiment and trade policy discussions (28:01) Emerging markets (32:11) Tech, AI, and healthcare (37:34) Sports gaming industry (51:42) Biotech and healthcare investment opportunities (57:00) Carl's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
UBS' Paul Donovan on Tariff Trouble, Swiftonomics & Republican Swings | #579

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2025 52:09


Today's guest is Paul Donovan, Chief Economist of UBS Global Wealth Management. In today's episode, Paul discusses the impact of structural changes in the economy, particularly in relation to flexible working and demographic shifts. The discussion also touches on the disparities in innovation between the US and Europe, the ongoing trend of spending on experiences rather than goods, and the role of AI in enhancing productivity. (0:00) Starts (2:37) Economic uncertainty, tariffs, and inflation (12:41) Consumer behavior & spending trends, and perceptions (18:22) Japan's economic shifts and demographic challenges (21:38) Reliability issues in economic data and surveys (31:44) Bad economic policies (38:36) The role of the dollar in the global financial system (44:41) Investment perspectives Recorded April 2, 2025 ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Their latest white paper compares four different rebalancing strategies covering 29 years of data. Download here. ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Francois Rochon - Outperforming the Market for 30+ Years Through Patience, Humility & Rationality | #578

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 8, 2025 65:07


Today's guest is Francois Rochon, the President of Giverny Capital, which has returned over 15% per year for over 30 years. In today's episode, Francois walks through the influence of Peter Lynch and Warren Buffett on his investment philosophy. He highlights three principles that have helped him navigate market cycles in his career: patience, humility and rationality. We also walk through some of the lessons learned from his investment mistakes, which he highlights in his annual letters. (0:00) Starts (0:48) Introducing Francois Rochon (5:15) Tech bubble lessons (10:13) Investment mistakes (18:01) The real expenses of stock-based compensation (25:01) Focus on company fundamentals in the long-run (34:40) Evaluating Berkshire Hathaway (41:43) Cryptocurrencies and value investing in art (53:12) Handling bear markets (56:42) Francois' most memorable investments ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
UBS' Mark Haefele – The New Rules of Investing From A $4 Trillion Investment Advisor | #577

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2025 56:16


Today's guest is Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer of UBS Global Wealth Management, where he advises on over $4 trillion. He's also the author of ‘The New Rules of Investing.' In today's episode, Mark emphasizes the significant role of government spending in shaping investment decisions. He touches on the importance of asset allocation and discusses the challenges of generational wealth transfer. Mark also introduces the concept of the three L's—liquidity, longevity, and legacy—as a framework for effective portfolio management. (0:35) Introduction of Mark Haefele (2:30) The 5 D's: debt, deglobalization, digitization, decarbonization, and demographics (11:46) Lessons from past financial crises (15:18) Government intervention and the economy (16:05) The 3 L's: liquidity, longevity, and legacy (20:54) Behavioral finance and asset allocation (27:05) Challenges in multi-generational wealth preservation (36:20) Current global investment landscape (40:26) De-dollarization (46:05) Balancing personal beliefs with investment decisions (51:15) Mark's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Christopher Zook - Accessing Private Markets (Pro Sports Teams, Private Equity & GP Stakes)

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2025 53:26


Today's guest is Christopher Zook, founder and Chief Investment Officer of CAZ Investments, which has invested $8 billion and is one of the top 180 allocators to private equity in the world. In today's episode, Christopher explains what led him to build his firm with a focus on private markets. He walks through some of the investment themes he's focused on: GP stakes, professional sports franchises and digital disruption. He also addresses how he mitigates risk and handles illiquidity with each theme. (0:00) Starts (1:42) Introduction of Christopher Zook (2:04) Investment quotes (5:12) CAZ Investments' focus (9:52) Private equity & GP stakes (27:51) Sports investments (39:47) Emerging themes in private equity and energy sector opportunities (45:39) Christopher's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Barry Ritholtz - Debunking Investment BULLSH$T! | #575

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2025 78:57


Today's guest is Barry Ritholtz, CIO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, which manages over $5.7 billion for 3,900 families. His latest book, ‘How Not to Invest,' offers a blueprint to help you make better decisions and achieve financial success. In today's episode, Barry & I discuss the pitfalls of relying on experts for investment advice, the dangers of panic selling, the allure of following investment gurus, and the value of meaningful experiences over material possessions. (0:00) Starts (1:34) Introduction of Barry Ritholtz (3:37) Barry's experience hosting Masters in Business (8:17) The danger of trusting experts (22:14) The importance of fiduciary advice (27:30) Mental accounting and regret minimization (33:36) Overconfidence, risk, and uncertainty (44:50) Navigating market crises (51:15) The future of Ritholtz Wealth Management (57:24) Barry's take on AI (1:03:27) Barry's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: Farmland LP is one of the largest investment funds in the US focused on converting chemical-based conventional farmland to organic, sustainably-managed farmland using a value-add commercial real estate strategy in the agriculture sector. ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Buy Stock Where You Shop With Grifin | Aaron Froug | #574

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 14, 2025 35:42


Today's guest is Aaron Froug, founder of Grifin, the company that helps you buy stock where you shop. In today's episode, Aaron explains how the app connects everyday spending with investing by automatically buying stock in a company you make a purchase from. Meb & Aaron also touch on financial literacy, the benefits of consumer loyalty, and the future for the company. New users earn a $25 bonus by using the code INVEST. (0:00) Starts (0:34) Sponsor: YCharts (1:42) Introduction of Aaron Froug (3:24) Griffin app overview (7:00) Simplifying the investment process (11:33) User demographics (17:14) Shareholder perks (20:28) Grifin's origin story (24:38) Customer feedback and marketing strategies (29:00) Brand partnerships ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Jacqueline Faber: A Journey into Dark Academia | #573

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 7, 2025 53:57


Today's guest is Jacqueline Faber, the author of The Department … and Meb's wife! In today's special episode, Meb & Jacqueline discuss the book's themes, including trauma, memory, and the impact of the Kitty Genovese case. They both talk about how they approach the writing process, the art of getting noticed in a crowded market, and how to engage your audience with unreasonable hospitality. Be sure to get a copy of The Department today and leave a review! (0:00) Starts (1:05) Introducing Jacqueline Faber & "The Department" (11:17) Personal stories (16:46) Advice for authors (24:53) Marketing insights and business strategies (30:26) Dealing with feedback (34:05) Creative processes (43:33) Engaging listeners (44:52) Audiobook sample of "The Department" ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
MEBISODE: Can We All Invest Like Yale?

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 4, 2025 28:25


In today's Mebisode, Meb reads his latest paper, “Can We All Invest Like Yale?” ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). ----- The information set forth herein is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax or legal advice. Please see the appropriate professional advisor for advice specific to your situation. There is no guarantee that a particular investment strategy will be successful. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change at any time. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investments are subject to risks, including the risk of loss of principal.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Goldman Sachs' Peter Oppenheimer - Concentration & Correction: What To Do Next | #572

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2025 66:53


Today's guest is Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs' Chief Global Equity Strategist and Head of Macro Research. He's also the author of Any Happy Returns: Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Markets, which explains how cycles help explain investor returns. In today's episode, Peter discusses how structural changes in macroeconomic drivers, geopolitics, government policy and social attitudes all combine to drive secular super cycles that help to explain investor returns. Then he focuses on what he calls the Post-Modern Cycle and how AI and de-carbonization may impact financial market returns and opportunities. Throughout the episode, Peter emphasizes the need for diversification in investment strategies to both manage risk and enhance returns. (0:00) Starts (1:02) Introduction of Peter Oppenheimer (2:22) The Four Phases of the Equity Cycle (10:17) Thoughts on The US Market Today (17:23) European Banks vs. US Tech Stocks (20:32) Diversification and Sector Dominance in Equity Markets (23:35) Long-term Structural Changes in Markets (34:23) Personal and National Influences on Investing (44:37) AI and Technological Investment Opportunities (51:46) Valuation Cycles: China and the US (58:02) Most Memorable Investment ----- For detailed show notes, click here ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Merryn Talks Money
GMO's Jeremy Grantham Warns US Stocks Are About to Be Crushed

Merryn Talks Money

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2025 42:04 Transcription Available


Merryn Somerset Webb interviews GMO co-founder and notorious caller of market bubbles Jeremy Grantham. Grantham, who also serves as the firm’s long-term investment strategist, leans in to his more than five decades of investing experience to explain the current “super bubble” in the markets. He comments on when we’ll see a correction, the fate of the green transition and why he’s so concerned about population decline. Sign up for Merryn's newsletter: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/merryn-talks-moneyAnd for John's: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/money-distilledSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Meb Faber Show
Former Merrill Strategist Chuck Clough – This Time is Different | #571

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2025 62:25


Today's guest is Chuck Clough, Chief Investment Officer of Clough Capital. Chuck is well known from his time as the Chief Global Investment Strategist at Merrill Lynch until 2000 and has spent over six decades in finance. In today's episode, Chuck shares insights from his illustrious career, reflecting on the challenges of the 1970s and the market crash of 1987. Chuck explains what it was like to be bearish during the dot-com bubble and watch Cisco go up 6x after he turned bearish, only to then decline by 95%. He compares the current stock market to the dot-com bubble, talks about the impact of AI on various sectors, and finishes with lessons from working alongside legends like Bob Farrell & Richard Bernstein. (0:00) Starts (0:34) Sponsor: Farmland LP (1:40) Introduction of Chuck Clough (5:14) 1970s inflation (11:57) Comparing the 1999 dot-com bubble to today (14:08) Predictions for AI companies (24:13) Clough Capital and views on China (28:09) Interest rates, inflation, and demographics (33:09) Savings, investment, and the productivity impact of AI (38:30) Investment opportunities in various industries (47:11) Contrarian views (50:50) Financial market surprises (56:37) Chuck's most memorable investment ----- For detailed show notes, click here ----- Farmland LP is one of the largest investment funds in the US focused on converting chemical-based conventional farmland to organic, sustainably-managed farmland using a value-add commercial real estate strategy in the agriculture sector. Register here for their webinar on March 12.  ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). The Clough ETFs are distributed by Paralel Distributors, LLC. Paralel Distributors, LLC and Clough Capital Partners L.P. are not affiliated. Please read Clough Capital's disclosures and a prospectus at cloughetfs.com/disclosures before investing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Jim Masturzo - Fragile Markets, Strong Portfolios: 2025 Asset Allocation Playbook | #570

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 14, 2025 50:45


Today's guest is Jim Masturzo. Jim is the CIO of Multi-Asset Strategies at Research Affiliates and is responsible for the firm's tactical asset allocation and cross-asset portfolios. He is also co-portfolio manager on the PIMCO All Asset and All Asset All Authority funds. In today's episode, Jim & I discuss the evolving landscape of asset allocation. He highlights the fragility of US markets amid high valuations, the divergence between China & India, and why private equity expectations may not align with public equity fundamentals. He also explores the current landscape of fixed income and explains why he thinks the impact of AI on productivity may not be as positive as expected. P.S. – do you know the origin of the 60/40 portfolio? Shoot us a message at feedback@themebfabershow.com. ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Brian Jacobs on Bond Myths, Tax Strategies, Home-Ownership and Dynamic Investment Strategies for Today's Market | Aptus Capital Advisors | #569

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 7, 2025 63:39


Today's guest is Brian Jacobs, Portfolio Manager and Investment Strategist with Aptus Capital Advisors. In today's episode, Brian and I talk about some investing truisms, including the CAPE ratio, home ownership, the ideal bond allocation, tax-efficient strategies and more. We also discuss Aptus Capital Advisors' unique approach to hedged equity products and defined risk strategies, as well as the benefits of minimum volatility and trend following in portfolio management. (0:00) Starts (1:00) Introduction of Brian Jacobs (2:29) Historical bond performance (6:02) Aptus ETFs and investment strategies (9:37) Defined risk and hedging products (ACIO, UPSD, DEFR) (22:50) Options strategies (25:42) Bond yields, put writing, and credit spreads (29:03) Housing market & tax optimization (35:18) Stock buybacks, dividends, and total return concepts (45:19) CAPE ratio critique (56:32) Most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Money For the Rest of Us
Contrarian Investing with GMO's Ben Inker - FEG Insight Bridge

Money For the Rest of Us

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 5, 2025 50:41


This week on episode 510, we share a conversation between Ben Inker of GMO and Greg Dowling of FEG Investment Advisors on contrarian investing, deep value stocks, and the rise of passive investing. David introduces the episode by sharing his key takeaways from the discussion.FEG Investment Advisor is David's former institutional advisory firm, where he worked for 17 years, before founding Money for the Rest of Us. Greg Dowling is Chief Investment Officer of FEG, and David's former business partner and colleague.Topics discussed in the episode include:How experienced professionals can have a significant influence on one's career, such as the impact Jeremy Grantham and David Swenson had on Ben's careerThe impact of the rise of passive investingInvestment opportunities in quality and deep value stocksThe distinct risks of the high concentration in large cap tech stocksSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Meb Faber Show
Mike Maples on 100x Investments, Lessons from David Swensen & the AI Revolution | #568

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 31, 2025 70:59


Today's guest is Mike Maples Jr. a partner at Floodgate, a pre-seed and seed-stage venture capital firm that's invested in companies like Twitter, Lyft, Twitch, Okta. He's also the author of Pattern Breakers: Why Some Start-Ups Change the Future. In today's episode, Mike shares his framework for investing in successful early-stage companies. He explores the nature of startups as acts of disagreement with the status quo and the importance of being disagreeable in the entrepreneurial journey. Mike also touches on the evolving landscape of IPOs and private markets, the transformative power of AI, lessons from one of his first Limited Partners, Yale's David Swensen, and more. (0:00) Starts (1:06) Mike Maples' investment philosophy (7:26) Identifying pattern breaking startups (13:02) Spotting inflection points (23:14) Portfolio strategy (32:04) The future of private markets (38:58) AI's impact on investing (46:13) Early influences (53:55) AI in education (1:01:00) Controversial beliefs (1:03:58) Mike's most memorable investments ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
BofA's Savita Subramanian on The New S&P 500: AI-Driven and Asset-Light | #567

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2025 65:43


My guest today is Savita Subramanian, Bank of America's Head of U.S. Equity Strategy & U.S. Quantitative Strategy. Barron's named Savita as one of the 100 Most Influential Women in U.S. Finance.  In today's episode, we cover the key trends shaping markets as we start 2025. Savita discusses the evolution of the S&P 500 over the past 50 years and why that leads her to be more comfortable with higher valuations today. Then she explains why productivity gains could drive the next bull market and the surprising resilience of corporate margins despite inflation volatility. Plus, Savita weighs in on the future of small, mid, and large caps and why she favors selective stock picking over buying the index. (0:00) Intro (0:34) Sponsor: Farmland LP (2:02) The evolution of the S&P 500 (5:13) Does the market deserve a higher valuation? (11:02) 2025 market outlook (14:34) Corporate margin expansion and efficiency (19:43) Fixed income alternatives and large cap value stocks (26:03) IPO trends and private markets (32:23) Reshoring and US infrastructure investment (38:12) Market shift to focus on total return (51:17) Old economy stocks and global market opportunities (58:35) Most memorable investment ----- For detailed show notes, click here ----- Sponsor: Farmland LP is one of the largest investment funds in the US focused on converting chemical-based conventional farmland to organic, sustainably-managed farmland using a value-add commercial real estate strategy in the agriculture sector. ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Wendy Li on How To Invest Like Elite Endowments | #566

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 17, 2025 58:58


Today's guest is Wendy Li, founder and CIO of Ivy Invest, which offers an endowment-style fund with traditional and alternative assets. She's spent her career as an institutional investor managing billions of dollars for some of New York's largest endowments and foundations. In today's episode, Wendy walks through the strategies and principles behind how major endowments invest, manage risk and navigate the evolving landscape of alternative assets. Then we shift to Ivy Invest and her innovative approach in making endowment-style investing accessible to individual investors. She explains her approach to building a diverse investment portfolio, her framework for liquidity management, and how this fund structure allows individuals to invest with no need to be an accredited investor. (0:00) Introduction to Wendy Li (2:38) Endowment investing (11:35) Balancing illiquidity and evolution of alternative investments (22:58) Founding Ivy Invest (26:27) Investment process, portfolio composition, and manager sourcing (33:29) Evergreen structures and liquidity (42:23) Skin in the game (49:44) Most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

FEG Insight Bridge
The Thoughtful Contrarian featuring Ben Inker

FEG Insight Bridge

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 7, 2025 49:00 Transcription Available


Discover a fresh perspective: Ben Inker of GMO examines market trends and potential investment strategies for 2025.On this episode of the FEG Insight Bridge Podcast, we are joined by Ben Inker, Co-Head of Asset Allocation and Portfolio Manager at GMO, in a conversation exploring market trends and investment strategies for 2025. Ben and FEG CIO Greg Dowling discuss the impact of market concentration, the role of quality and value in portfolios, and the effects of passive investing. Ben provides insights into the performance of U.S. large cap growth stocks, the state of Japanese small caps, and the potential importance of diversification in uncertain times. Ben also shares his career journey at GMO, highlighting lessons learned from industry leaders like Jeremy Grantham and David Swenson.Tune in for key insights on market concentration and the evolving dynamics of today's investment landscape.You can find every episode of FEG Insight Bridge podcasts in one place and sign up to receive our other publications here.

The Meb Faber Show
Audiobook - Shareholder Yield: A Better Approach to Dividend Investing - 2nd Edition | #565

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 3, 2025 132:31


In this special episode, I'm releasing the full audiobook of Shareholder Yield: A Better Approach to Dividend Investing. While you can purchase the audiobook on Amazon, podcast listeners can listen here for free!   Check out the description and times of each chapter below. About The Book For decades, both professional money managers and retail investors have revered dividend stocks. However, an objective examination of historical data reveals a surprising truth: these investors may have been shortchanging themselves. In this eye-opening exploration, Meb Faber unveils a more holistic market strategy beyond dividend investing - shareholder yield. Utilizing market studies, historical data, and insights from some of the world's most successful investors, Faber guides readers through the numerous benefits of this broader approach.  Discover why focusing on total shareholder value - encompassing dividends, buybacks, and debt management - offers a superior method. Join Faber as he presents compelling data, debunks misconceptions, and demonstrates how to implement these concepts in your portfolio. (1:07) Opening (1:55) Introduction (7:00) Chapter 1 (10:50) Chapter 2 (13:36) Chapter 3 (18:00) Chapter 4 (32:42) Chapter 5 (1:11:54) Chapter 6 (1:37:50) Chapter 7 (1:52:20) Chapter 8 (1:58:00) Chapter 9 (2:00:28) Chapter 10 (2:04:54) Chapter 11 (2:06:13) Chapter 12 ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com/)  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Felix Zulauf - The Next Market Reversal Could Be Ugly! | #563

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 23, 2024 54:16


Today's returning guest is macro-expert Felix Zulauf, founder of Zulauf Consulting. He was previously the global strategist for UBS and later ran his own asset management firm. In today's episode, Felix explains why he's concerned about the concentration of global equity markets and why he believes the US stock market is in a bubble. Then he shares his outlook for commodities, Bitcoin, and currencies. As we wind down, he advises investors to shift their focus from managing opportunities to managing risks. (1:30) Market concentration & risks (3:43) Late stage bull market indicators and valuation metrics (7:07) Market fundamentals and market catalysts (16:23) Fixed income and currency outlook (33:02) Gold, Bitcoin and commodities (45:59) Absolute vs. relative performance and investor resolutions ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Fran Kinniry on The Past, Present & Future of Vanguard | #562

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 20, 2024 49:46


My guest today is Fran Kinniry, Principal and Head of Vanguard Investment Advisory Research Center. Fran has been at Vanguard since 1997 and served as the Global Head of Private Investments and Global Head of Portfolio Construction. In today's episode, Fran highlights the role of advisors to help investors stay disciplined and avoid creating their own bear markets. He discusses his role leading Vanguard's entrance into private equity in 2020, covering the initial launch and what's next. He also touches on the market today, making the case for fixed-income, international diversification and rebalancing as 2024 comes to a close. (2:24) Market conditions & investor behavior (6:44) The role of advisors (11:12) Advisors alpha (14:07) The significance of fees and taxes (18:01) Vanguard's expansion into private equity (25:03) Evolution of market efficiency (29:43) The undervaluation of high-quality bonds (33:16) Perspectives on international investments (40:27) Evolving views on value vs. growth investing (42:16) Fran's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Robeco's Matthias Hanauer - Think Value Investing Is Outdated? Think Again | #561

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2024 45:52


Today's guest is Matthias Hanauer, a researcher on Robeco's Quant Equity Research team. In today's episode, we discuss the intricacies of value investing, the impact of various factors such as interest rates and market conditions, and the potential for emerging markets and small cap stocks going forward. Matthias highlights his research on the ‘Factor Zoo,' the integration of machine learning in investment strategies, the evolution of quantitative investing, and more. (1:32) Introduction of Matthias Hanauer (2:01) The state of value investing (7:26) Value investing's relationship with interest rate (14:10) Growth stocks vs. value stocks (16:38) Comparing emerging and developed markets (18:55) Market influences (23:20) Factor Zoo pape (28:57) Machine learning (38:15) Momentum ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
The Baby Bust: How The Toxicity Crisis Could Cause the Next Economic Crash with Jeremy Grantham

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2024 107:40


(Conversation recorded on November 5th, 2024)     It is no secret that population dynamics significantly impact global stability. But what's really behind today's shifting global birth trends, the increased need for medically-assisted pregnancy, and the changing age demographics of industrialized nations? Furthermore, what are the implications of these shifts for future economic security?  Today, Nate is joined by investment strategist Jeremy Grantham to discuss the critical but underreported issues surrounding toxicity and public health – particularly endocrine disruptors and their impact on human fertility, longevity, and societal structures.  In this important conversation, Jeremy highlights the ubiquitousness of toxicity in our modern environments, the cultural and economic factors contributing to declining fertility rates, and the urgent need to transition to non-toxic materials and energy sources.  In what ways could population decline pose serious economic challenges, particularly in aging societies? How might the alarming drop in sperm count affect future policies on immigration? Finally, how can we detoxify both our environments – and capitalism – before it's too late?   About Jeremy Grantham: Jeremy Grantham co-founded GMO in 1977 and is a member of GMO's Asset Allocation team, serving as the firm's long-term investment strategist. He is a member of the GMO Board of Directors, a partner of the firm, and has also served on the investment boards of several non-profit organizations. Additionally in 1989, Jeremy co-founded the Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment. Prior to GMO's founding, Mr. Grantham was co-founder of Batterymarch Financial Management in 1969 where he recommended commercial indexing in 1971, one of several claims to being first. He began his investment career as an economist with Royal Dutch Shell. Mr. Grantham earned his undergraduate degree from the University of Sheffield (U.K.) and an MBA from Harvard Business School. He is a member of the Academy of Arts and Sciences, holds a CBE from the UK and is a recipient of the Carnegie Medal for Philanthropy.   Show Notes and More Watch this video episode on YouTube   ---   Support The Institute for the Study of Energy and Our Future Join our Substack newsletter Join our Discord channel and connect with other listeners  

The Meb Faber Show
Michael Venuto on ETFs in 2024: FIRE, Crypto, Nancy Pelosi & More | #560

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 6, 2024 65:54


My guest today is Michael Venuto, CIO & co-founder of Tidal Financial Group, an ETF platform with over 175 ETFs and $25 billion in assets. In today's episode, Mike & I discuss the banner year for the ETF industry and some of the trends contributing to the record inflows and fund launches. Then Mike talks about some different strategies, including ETFs that support people in the FIRE movement, blockchain and crypto, and yes, even how you can invest alongside Nancy Pelosi.  (1:37) The state of the ETF industry (3:33) Crypto ETFs (8:04) Launching an ETF with Tidal (17:19) FIRE movement ETFs (24:09) Expansion of YieldMax platform (27:41) Active management in ETFs (31:07) Different ETF strategies (42:01) Congressional trading insights (45:47) Mutual fund to ETF conversions (52:04) ETF predictions ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Joel Nagel on Global Asset Protection: Defense for a Dangerous World | #559

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 22, 2024 56:29


My guest today is Joel Nagel, founder of the international law firm Nagel & Associates, which has a major focus on asset protection. Joel is also the Chairman of Caye International Bank, and has served as ambassador to Austria, the United Nations in Vienna and to Croatia and Slovenia on behalf of the Belizean government. In today's episode, Joel starts by covering the four key risks in asset protection. He walks through different use cases for trusts, second passports and dual citizenship to help negate these risks. Joel also shares his perspective on both gold and cryptocurrencies and explains why using debt can be a helpful tool to protect your assets. (2:00) Introduction of Joel Nagel (3:00) Asset protection strategies (6:02) Utilizing trusts (13:06) Offshore structures (16:32) Advantages of offshore trusts (20:57) Risks in asset protection and second passport interest (27:31) Motivations for second citizenship (40:06) Strategic use of debt (47:46) Investing in Bitcoin & gold (52:26) Inflation and fiat currencies ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Aswath Damodaran on Sugar Daddies, The Magnificent Seven & The Art of Selling Stocks | #558

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 15, 2024 62:24


Today's returning guest is Aswath Damodaran, a professor at NYU, where he teaches corporate finance and equity valuation. In today's episode, Professor Damodaran delves into the intricacies of investing and the lifecycle of companies. He also covers the challenges of valuation in a changing economy, the trend of buybacks versus dividends, and the evolving role of AI in finance. Be sure to stick around to hear him critique ESG investing and share insights on the broken media landscape. (1:55) Mag7 stocks (7:28) Corporate life cycle (9:47) Factors influencing startup success & characteristics of mature companies (24:41) Capital allocation (26:52) The IPO landscape (34:05) AI in the investment process (39:12) OpenAI's corporate structure (45:48) ESG & the media landscape (50:24) Sports economics ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
JP Morgan's David Kelly - Spread Out or Miss Out: The Urgent Case for Diversification | #557

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2024 47:28


My guest today is Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist and Head of the Global Market Insights Strategy Team for J.P. Morgan Asset Management. In today's episode, Dr. David Kelly discusses various economic themes, including inflation, consumer sentiment, the value of the dollar, and the government deficit. He also covers the current state of global markets and urges listeners to reassess their risk exposure in light of recent wealth gains. (1:13) Economic outlook (4:12) Consumer behavior (8:24) Stocks and gold 2024 performance (13:27) US dollar and deficit concerns (20:44) Long-term capital market assumptions (26:52) Regional opportunities (33:09) David's favorite charts (36:56) Thoughts on immigration (39:37) Nonconsensus views on the federal deficit ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Disciplined Investor
TDI Podcast: Fallacy of Composition (#893)

The Disciplined Investor

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2024 70:44


Andrew and David discussed the financial industry, focusing on timeless topics and the role of Jeremy Grantham. In this episode, we also explored the challenges of valuing private equity investments, the importance of having a clear investment strategy, and the impact of government intervention in capital markets. A spirited discussion followed about our contrasting views on China and Japan, and discussed the current state of the economy, particularly focusing on inflation and the actions of the Federal Reserve. Guest: David Salem - HedgeEye David Salem, Managing Director – Capital Allocation @ Hedgeye Prior to joining Hedgeye in early 2023, David served as founding President and Chief Investment Officer of The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF) and as a partner at GMO, working closely with Jeremy Grantham on investment solutions for large institutional funds. David received a JD cum laude from Harvard Law School and an MBA with high distinction from Harvard Business School, where he was elected a Baker Scholar. A member of the District of Columbia Bar, David has held adjunct faculty positions at Middlebury College, from which he earned his undergraduate degree summa cum laude, and the University of Virginia, and served in the White House Counsel's office while enrolled at Harvard. David's has given talks at many colleges and universities, including Dartmouth, Duke, Harvard, MIT, Middlebury, Northwestern, and Oxford, and at conferences organized by the Association of Governing Boards, the CFA Institute, the Council on Foundations, the Foundation Financial Officers Group and NACUBO among other organizations.   Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ CHARTS DISCUSSED IN THIS EPISODE Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (META), (AAPL), (NVDA), (MSFT)

The Meb Faber Show
Marty Bergin, DUNN Capital - 50 Years in the Markets: How Trend Following Can Survive and Thrive | #555

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 1, 2024 38:01


My guest today is Marty Bergin, President of DUNN Capital Management, which manages over $1.5 billion and is one of the longest continually running trend following firms in the world. In today's episode, Marty reflects on the firm's 50-year journey in the trend following space and shares how a firm can not only survive but thrive over five decades. He touches on  the resilience required to weather market fluctuations, how an allocation to trend following may enhance portfolio performance, and the need for adaptability in strategies while staying true to your core principles. (1:20) Marty Bergen intro (2:34) Trend following & fee structures (5:01) Lessons from 50 Years in investing (13:05) Benefits of non-correlated asset classes (20:52) Institutional interest in trend following (24:31) Handling volatility (27:16) Views on cryptocurrencies (30:03) Considerations for allocator (32:05) Marty's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Visit YCharts to download their 2024 Election Guide & start your free trial - be sure to mention "Meb" for 20% off your subscription (new clients only).  Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Dr. Bryan Taylor - Surprising Lessons from 100 Years of Financial History | #553

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 18, 2024 40:32


My guest today is Dr. Bryan Taylor, President and Chief Economist for Global Financial Data, which provides the most comprehensive, historical economic and financial information.  In today's episode, Bryan walks through what he's learned from studying 200+ years of market concentration in the US. Then we dive into his analysis of financial history over the past eight centuries by breaking the past up into five historical eras. He shares how this can improve our understanding of the returns to stocks, bonds and bills and the equity risk premium in the future. ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Visit YCharts to start your free trial and be sure to mention "Meb" for 20% off your subscription (new clients only). Sponsor: Today's episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world's largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Subscribe for free here. Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | Tik Tok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Owen Lamont on Bubble Fever, Index Gripers & Inefficient Markets | #552

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 11, 2024 56:01


Today's guest is Owen Lamont, a Portfolio Manager at Acadian Asset Management. He's been on the faculty at Harvard, Princeton, Yale and the University of Chicago. He also writes the blog, Owenomics. In today's episode, Owen walks through how he analyzes market bubbles and if the U.S. is in a bubble today.  He touches on the rise of passive investing, the gamification of trading and why the U.S. stock market is Koreafying. Owen also shares his view on closed-end funds, short-selling, AI and what Seinfeld can teach us about investing. (2:33) The four horsemen of bubbles (9:57) Gamification of investing (18:51) The U.S. Stock Market is Koreafying (26:43) Gangnam Style (30:46) Excitement about AI (33:56) Why 2021 was a bubble (38:08) Closed-end fund premiums (42:12) Investing Mount Rushmore (47:11) China's recent stock performance (50:15) Impact of cultural investment preferences ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Long View
Jeremy Grantham: The Bigger the New Idea, the More the Market Becomes Overpriced

The Long View

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2024 74:55


Today on the podcast, we're delighted to welcome back Jeremy Grantham. Jeremy is the long-term investment strategist at his namesake firm, Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., or GMO, which he cofounded in 1977. He serves on GMO's Asset Allocation Committee and board of directors. Prior to GMO, Jeremy was cofounder of Batterymarch Financial Management and before that was an economist at Royal Dutch Shell. He earned his undergraduate degree from the University of Sheffield and his MBA from Harvard University. Jeremy is a member of the Academy of Arts and Sciences, holds a CBE from the UK, and is a recipient of the Carnegie Medal of Philanthropy. In 1997, he and his family started the Grantham Foundation for the protection of the environment, which supports research and action to address climate change.BackgroundBioGMOGrantham FoundationGMO Quality IIIGMO US Quality ETF“Jeremy Grantham: The US Market Is in a Super Bubble,” The Long View podcast, Morningstar.com, Feb. 8, 2022.Bubbles and the Market“The Great Paradox of the US Market,” by Jeremy Grantham, gmo.com, March 11, 2024.“AI Craze Stokes ‘Bubble Within a Bubble,' Says GMO's Jeremy Grantham,” by Christine Idzelis, marketwatch.com, March 11, 2024.“Entering the Superbubble's Final Act,” by Jeremy Grantham, gmo.com, Aug. 31, 2022.“Jeremy Grantham Says the AI Bubble Will Burst and Take the Stock Market Down With It. Here Are His 14 Best Quotes From an Event This Week,” by Theron Mohamed, markets.businessinsider.com, Feb. 18, 2024.“China Turmoil Poses a Risk to the Magnificent 7, Jeremy Grantham's GMO Says,” by Yuheng Zhan, markets.businessinsider.com, Feb. 9, 2024.The Environment and Sustainability“Sustainability or Bust: The Sheer Impossibility of Eternal Compound Growth,” by Jeremy Grantham, gmo.com, March 18, 2024.“GMO Horizons,” by Jeremy Grantham, gmo.com, Feb. 27, 2024.“Pollution, Population, and Purpose,” The Great Simplification podcast with Nate Hagens and Jeremy Grantham, gmo.com, Feb. 15, 2024.“Jeremy Grantham Assesses Long-Term Threats Through an Investor Lens,” by William Hughes, cruxinvestor.com, Dec. 31, 2023.

The Meb Faber Show
Brad Gerstner on The AI Supercycle, Invest America & Stock Compensation | #551

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 4, 2024 61:34


Today's is Brad Gerstner, founder and CIO of Altimeter Capital, a multi-billion dollar technology-focused investment firm that invests in both public and private markets. In today's episode, Brad discusses his journey in investing, how to invest in the AI supercycle, and how he incorporates the impact of stock compensation when analyzing companies. Brad also covers his initiative, Invest America, aimed at promoting financial literacy and inclusion for children in the U.S. He highlights the need for a collective effort to empower the next generation and ensure they have a stake in the economy. (2:10) Intro of Brad Gerstner (7:47) Current market thoughts (10:58) The state of AI (16:16) Brad's investment philosophy (22:32) Impact of AI on both enterprise and consumer technology (25:46) Global advancements in AI (27:27) Autonomous vehicles (30:39) Stock-based compensation (36:31) Invest America (53:06) Importance of financial literacy for kids ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Capital Allocators
David Salem - Investment Wisdom from the Owner's Box (EP.409)

Capital Allocators

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2024 65:25


David Salem has been a pioneer, practitioner and student of institutional investing for the last forty years. David was the founding president and CIO of The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF), which he led for nearly two decades until 2010. Since then, he has managed a multi-family office, worked and wrote alongside Ben Hunt at Epsilon Theory, and now serves as the Managing Director of Capital Allocation at Hedgeye Risk Management. Along the way, David worked closely with and distilled lessons from David Swensen, Jack Meyer in his time at Harvard Management Company, Charley Ellis, Chuck Feeney from Atlantic Philanthropies, and many other leading CIOs and managers. Our conversation covers David's journey to investing, including sitting alongside Jeremy Grantham during GMO's early growth stage and founding TIFF. We dive into manager selection, decision-making, investment committees, and risk management. We then turn to David's views on China, Japan, private equity, and digital assets. Throughout our conversation, David shares his profound understanding of the unique pressures faced by institutional investors and the principles that guide successful investment strategies and leadership in complex environments. Learn More Follow Ted on Twitter at @tseides or LinkedIn Subscribe to the mailing list Access Transcript with Premium Membership

The Meb Faber Show
Tiger Cub Rob Citrone on Milei's Argentina: A Bullish Outlook for Investors | #550

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2024 50:43


Today's guest is Rob Citrone, founder of Discovery Capital Management, a hedge fund that invests opportunistically across asset classes in emerging and developed markets. Rob worked for Julian Robertson at Tiger Management in the mid 1990's and managed money for the Soros family. He's also a minority owner of the Pittsburgh Steelers. In today's episode, Rob explains why he expects the investment regime to shift, with higher volatility and lower returns in the next decade. He highlights the potential for Latin America to outperform Asia in the coming years and why he sees a huge opportunity in Argentina. He also discusses his investments in cryptocurrencies, why he's bearish on China and Europe, and the skill and discipline needed to be a short seller. (2:09) Rob's 25th anniversary at Discovery Capital Management (4:01) Lessons from Julian Robertson and George Soros (7:42) The opportunity in Argentina (18:07) Geopolitics (25:38) Outlooks for China, India, US and Europe (29:12) The art of short selling (36:54) Fiscal policy concerns (39:18) Bitcoin (42:08) Contrarian investment beliefs (43:30) Rob's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Download YCharts' latest white paper, which dives into how different asset classes have historically performed when inflation settles into the Fed's target range. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Inside the Mind Of A Successful Trend Follower: Doug Greenig | #548

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2024 54:43


Today's guest is Doug Greenig, CEO & CIO of Florin Court Capital, which uses systematic trend-following in over 500 markets. Doug's been involved in markets for over 30 years and was most recently at Man AHL as the Chief Risk Officer and Head of the Portfolio Management Group. In today's episode, Doug explains why we're living in a world made for trend following. He explains his unique approach to trend following and the benefits of expanding the number of markets traded, including esoteric ones like California carbon emissions and Turkish interest rate swaps. Doug also touches on the macro backdrop - characterized by deep structural change and tail risks, including intensifying geopolitical conflict and US fiscal instability. (3:00) Doug Greenig intro (7:56) Trend following (10:22) Trading in unique and esoteric markets (22:38) Why trend following works (27:00) Leverage cycles and reflexivity (29:08) Integrating trend following with traditional portfolios (34:52) The macro environment (37:26) Market volatility & narrative shifts (40:21) Gray rhinos (43:29) Bullish on China (48:55) Most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts - YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Visit YCharts to start your free trial and get 20% off your subscription (new clients only). Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Introducing The Best Investment Writing

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 30, 2024 11:55


We launched a new podcast called The Best Investment Writing. It began as a book, then as individual episodes on this feed, but listeners enjoyed it so much that we decided it needs to be its own show!  Where else can you hear hand-selected investment research voiced by some of the most respected money managers and investment researchers in the world. Listen to a recent episode we published featuring prior podcast guest, Jason Buck, reading a piece titled Herschel Walker Syndrome.  Subscribe on Apple, Spotify or YouTube. ----- Follow Meb on Twitter and LinkedIn. To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: Today's episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world's largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Subscribe for free here. Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | Tik Tok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Catastrophe Bond Crash Course: Man AHL's Tarek Abou Zeid & Andre Rzym | #547

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 23, 2024 49:14


Today's guests are Andre Rzym and Tarek Abou Zeid, two Portfolio Managers from Man AHL, one of the longest running systematic asset managers in the world. In today's episode, Andre & Tarek delve into the world of catastrophe bonds. They provide an overview of what catastrophe bonds are, recent performance metrics, how they relate to ESG and sustainable investing. They share some predictions for the 2024 hurricane season and wind down with some thoughts on the crypto markets. ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Visit YCharts to start your free trial and be sure to mention "Meb" for 20% off your subscription (new clients only).  Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Roger Mitchell on Investing in Sports Amid the Fourth Turning | #546

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2024 69:38


Today's guest is Roger Mitchell, founder of Albachiara, which offers consultancy services and does early stage venture investing, mostly around sports and entertainment. Roger began his career in finance and later became the inaugural Chief Executive of the Scottish Premier League in 1998. In today's episode, Roger walks through topics from his new book, Sport's Perfect Storm: An Industry Now Totally Adrift. Roger explains how the rise of new media platforms, changing demographics, and the increasing importance of gambling and fantasy sports are reshaping the sports industry landscape. He discusses the different origins and business models of American and European sports, and why sport franchises and businesses are such unique assets.  ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
TIP650: Stock Market Bubbles, AI, & Climate Change w/ Jeremy Grantham

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 9, 2024 67:35


On today's episode, Clay Finck is joined by investing legend and bubble historian, Jeremy Grantham. Jeremy gives his updated views on the recent stock market run up, how today's market compares to market bubbles of the past, and indicators that point to the potential bear market that lies ahead. IN THIS EPISODE YOU'LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:49 - Lessons Jeremy learned from his early career investing in the 1960s. 06:13 - How today's market compares to previous superbubbles in the 1920s, 1989, 1999, and 2007. 12:11 - Jeremy's view on the market rally since 2022, and the impact of the overcentration of the Magnificent 7 in the S&P 500. 17:40 - Why bubbles tend to last longer than we would expect them to.  31:56 - Whether using the P/E ratio is a reliable way to value the broader market. 36:29 - The major flaw in projecting compounding growth into the future from here. 44:55 - What Jeremy is seeing for innovation in the green energy space. And so much more! Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Check out GMO's website. GMO's new US Quality ETF. Related Episode: Listen to TIP542: The Crisis Bigger Than Banks w/ Jeremy Grantham, or watch the video. Related Episode: TIP466: The Bear Has Arrived w/ Jeremy Grantham, or watch the video. Related Episode: TIP371: The Top of the Cycle w/ Jeremy Grantham, or watch the video. Follow Clay on Twitter. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: River Toyota Range Rover Fidelity Fundrise Sound Advisory AT&T The Bitcoin Way SimpleMining BAM Capital American Express Onramp Public USPS Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

The Meb Faber Show
Michael Mauboussin on Market Concentration, Capital Allocation & Attributes of Great Investors | #545

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 9, 2024 60:26


Today's guest is Michael Mauboussin, Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, a $70 billion equity manager.  In today's episode, Michael covers some of his latest research on market concentration, equity issuance and stock buybacks, and how the boom and bust cycle relates to AI today. He also shares some common attributes among great investors, lessons from Elon Musk & Tesla, and more. (1:31) Guest Introduction: Michael Mauboussin (2:41) Capital allocation and stock-based compensation (9:58) Trivia question on the top performing stock (15:56) Market concentration (23:13) Modern value investing & the rise of intangibles (28:45) Attributes of great investors (33:09) Factors influencing total shareholder returns (42:22) Technology, capitalism, and market predictability (48:15) Indexing, market efficiency & book recommendations (54:10) The Santa Fe Institute's interdisciplinary approach ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Visit YCharts to download their 2024 Election Guide & start your free trial - be sure to mention "Meb" for 20% off your subscription (new clients only).  Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Steve Eisman's Playbook for the AI & Infrastructure Boom | #544

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 2, 2024 36:01


Today's guest is Steve Eisman. Steve is most famous for his bet against the US housing market before 2008 and his role in Michael Lewis' book, The Big Short. He's now a portfolio manager at Neuberber Berman. In today's episode, Steve talks about the three themes he sees driving markets today: AI, infrastructure and crypto. He explains why he's a believer in the first two, but not crypto. He also shares his take on the upcoming election and how that may impact markets. (1:05) Steve's view of the economic landscape (3:13) How to invest in AI (8:08) Infrastructure beneficiaries (14:15) Steve's take on the election (17:43) The impact of policy on markets (22:39) Other market and crypto commentary (27:15) Financial innovation & leverage (29:57) Steve's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
BlackRock's Kate Moore - Don't Bet Against US Corporate Dynamism | #543

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 26, 2024 50:44


Today's guest is Kate Moore. Kate is a member of the Global Allocation investment team and Head of Thematic Strategy. In this episode, Kate talks about the resilience of the U.S. economy. She talks about the concentration of market leadership, the upcoming election's potential effects on policy and markets, the potential for a momentum reversal, and the role of AI in investing. (2:36) Kate's view of the US economy (5:34) Expectations for the Federal Reserve (8:10) Equity market leadership and sector performance analysis (13:25) Small cap insights (22:23) Historical perspective on interest rates and inflation (24:17) Global market cap trends and investment opportunities in Asia (34:42) Addressing investment biases (39:02) The role of AI in investing (44:18) Book recommendations ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts just published their latest release of their Top 10 Visuals resource deck with fresh data and visuals. Start your free trial and be sure to mention "Meb" for 20% off your subscription (new clients only).  Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Meb Faber Show
Ian Cassel on The Art of Microcap Investing: Identifying Hidden Gems | #542

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2024 59:19


Today's guest is Ian Cassel. Ian is the founder of MicroCap Club, which is a best idea generator and networking resource for the microcap space. Ian is also the CIO of Intelligent Fanatics Capital Management, which invests in small, illiquid microcaps. In today's episode, Ian gives an overview of the microcap space. He shares common mistakes  people make when investing in microcap stocks, what he looks for when analyzing companies, and common characteristics he's found in multi-bagger stocks. (1:05) Overview of the micro-cap sector (3:12) Misconceptions about micro-cap stocks (7:52) Advantages of micro-caps in public markets (14:14) Ian's investment journey (27:30) Case studies (33:03) The discovery phase (37:21) Ian's current holdings (44:32) Selling strategies (46:33) Analyzing the current micro-cap landscape (50:27) Ian's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices