Podcast appearances and mentions of chris whalen

Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, returns to the show to discuss his newly released book "Inflated: Money, Debt and the American Dream." Sponsors: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: kalshi.com/julia In this episode, Whalen offers a contrarian perspective on current markets, dismissing recession fears while highlighting a "silent recession" in commercial real estate. He draws parallels between Trump and Andrew Jackson, explains why the Treasury-Fed relationship is America's most important economic factor, and predicts zero rate cuts this year despite market expectations. Whalen argues that America's addiction to inflation has benefited asset holders while hurting average citizens, creating a housing affordability crisis and warning of an impending commercial real estate collapse that could become "the new subprime."Links:    Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen    Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/    The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/   Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673Timestamps:0:00 - Introduction and welcome back Chris Whalen 0:31 - Discussion about Chris's new book release 2:04 - Current market analysis and tariff situation 2:35 - Trump's fiscal plans and Congressional challenges 3:58 - Credit to Chris for predicting tariffs as "distraction" 4:21 - Chris's investment positions 5:09 - America's addiction to debt 7:35 - Treasury market and Fed priorities analysis 9:02 - Banks' lack of credit demand issue 11:22 - Inflation misconceptions 13:43 - Trump/Jackson parallel 15:33 - Fed/Treasury relationship change post-2008 17:09 - Trump's vision for economic role of government 18:06 - Solutions for national debt 19:37 - Inflation impact across economic classes 21:33 - Housing market issues and starter home costs 24:56 - 2% inflation compounding effects 26:08 - Inflation's role in addressing national debt 28:49 - Recession outlook discussion 30:36 - "Silent recession" in commercial real estate 31:55 - Why rate cuts aren't needed 33:37 - Commercial real estate as "the new subprime" 35:29 - Government as housing lender of last resort problems 37:06 - Closing remarks

In this explosive episode, Chris Whalen, Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and Wall Street veteran, delivers an unfiltered breakdown of what's next for the U.S. economy. From the Fed's policy blunders to a looming 20% housing market correction, Chris lays out what most analysts refuse to say. We cover the fintech credit crisis, inflation's true cause, commercial real estate's silent implosion, and why gold is set to become a central bank favourite again. Buckle up — this one's packed.#Gold #housingcrash #inflation ---------------------

Apr 25, 2025 – In this compelling interview, Jim Puplava sits down with Chris Whalen, financial expert and author of Inflated: Money, Debt and the American Dream, to explore our nation's fascinating and turbulent relationship with money...

Apr 25, 2025 – In this compelling interview, Jim Puplava sits down with Chris Whalen, financial expert and author of Inflated: How Money and Debt Built the American Dream, to explore our nation's fascinating and turbulent relationship with money...

Despite the best efforts of Elon Musk and the DOGE team, the US fiscal deficit for 2025 is $1.3 trillion so far, the second highest six-month level on record.And while the US at least is giving lip service to its plans to reduce its deficit over coming years, much of the rest of the world's largest economies -- like the EU and China -- are actively ramping up their fiscal spending. All of which makes today's guest's perspective incredibly timely. He's just released a new second edition to his book "Inflated: How Money & Debt Built The American Dream"Is there a way we can stop, and perhaps even reverse the loss of purchasing power our fiat currencies are suffering from all this wanton spending?Or, it is only going to get worse from here?To find out, we'll ask the author himself, Chris Whalen, Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors LLC and expert on the banking, mortgage finance and fintech sectors.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#inflation #goldprice #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Chris Whalen says JPMorgan Chase (JPM) has a “mind-boggling” advantage in its efficiencies, but notes recurring revenue was basically flat. However, he notes that as GDP estimates tick down, delinquencies will likely rise, which the banks need to prepare for. “Tariffs are a distraction,” he adds, “credit is the headline this year.” He looks at struggling real estate markets to back his point.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 247 to discuss tariffs, markets, and the economy. Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. ⁠https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Chris Whalen explains why the tariff debate is largely a distraction - part of Trump's "shock and awe" strategy to force trading partners to negotiate fairer terms as America attempts to end the Bretton Woods system after 75 years. He sees credit deterioration emerging in auto loans and credit cards while warning about multi-family housing defaults, particularly in smaller urban properties where market indicators show values 50% below their last sale. Despite market fears, Whalen believes the bond market is already cutting rates regardless of Fed action, with the 10-year yield dropping to 3.94% due to strong demand for risk-free collateral and Treasury's efforts to reduce auction sizes. He predicts financial consolidation will continue, pointing to the mortgage industry shrinking to just five major lender/servicer groups, while suggesting investors should look for stock opportunities despite current volatility.Links: Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/ The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.amazon.com/Inflated-Money-Debt-American-Dream/dp/139428571XStanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/ 0:00 Introduction1:27 Tariffs 3:03 Market reaction assessment5:11 Investment strategy amid volatility7:40 Historical context of tariffs10:37 Main Street vs Wall Street priorities11:17 Impact and distribution of tariff costs13:30 Consumer credit and lending trends15:34 Multi-family housing defaults17:36 Real estate overbuilding concerns18:17 Consumer recession outlook20:46 Job market and recession dynamics22:57 Fed outlook and rate environment24:52 Balance sheet impact discussion26:56 Treasury market outlook29:36 Client questions about market positioning30:57 Closing remarks and contact information

Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 240 to discuss markets and the state of the economy. Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Whalen explains why market euphoria has faded under Trump's "shock and awe" strategy. Banks face a $3 trillion mortgage securities problem yielding under 3% against 3% funding costs. He notes the FDIC has stopped reporting troubled bank asset totals after 35 years, suggesting numerous insolvent institutions need resolution. Despite these issues, Whalen doesn't forecast a recession, seeing continued growth with isolated credit problems. In commercial real estate, he describes a "silent recession" where banks avoid taking properties, while for residential real estate he predicts price softening, then a rate-cut mini-boom before a major 2028 correction. Whalen also calls Fannie & Freddie stocks a "pump and dump" trade, states gold is "the only form of money that's not debt," and dismisses crypto as "nothing."Links:    Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen    Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/    The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/   Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.amazon.com/Inflated-Money-Debt-American-Dream/dp/139428571XStanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/  0:00 Intro and welcome back Chris Whalen 1:06 Big picture market overview and Trump policy impact 2:49 Stock market as political proxy and market conditions 4:46 Fed policy outlook and potential rate cuts 6:09 Banking sector challenges and mark-to-market issues 8:07 Silicon Valley Bank anniversary and bank issues 11:10 Economic assessment and credit conditions 13:52 Commercial real estate challenges 16:11 Discussion of tariffs and Trump's structural changes 20:13 Debt, government spending, and economic growth 22:18 Investment approach and AI skepticism 24:36 Gold vs cryptocurrency perspective 25:58 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac 27:29 Housing market conditions and affordability 29:50 Closing thoughts and where to find his work

0:00 - DOGE 11:54 - Polling BLM Brandon 30:04 - Any 85 Bears left that can run for governor or mayor? 50:22 - Jasmine Crockett on The Breakfast Club: not that much waste, fraud, abuse 01:02:11 - In-depth History with Frank from Arlington Heights 01:05:05 - British journalist, former bureau chief for Daily Telegraph’s Moscow office, Julius Strauss: What Putin Wants. And what America will do. For more from Julius backtothefront.substack.com 01:26:56 - Ted Dabrowksi, president at Wirepoints, is green with envy as Ron DeSantis ponders scrapping property taxes. Get Ted’s latest wirepoints.org 01:42:06 - Investment banker, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors LLC and editor for The Institutional Risk Analyst, Chris Whalen, discusses DC, DOGE, and the dollar. Chris has a book coming out this May! Inflated: Money, Debt and the American Dream – 2nd Edition 02:00:58 - Thomas Baker, retired FBI special agent and legal attaché: FBI Reforms for Kash Patel. Check out Thomas’ book The Fall of the FBI: How a Once Great Agency Became a Threat to DemocracySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, joins Julia La Roche for episode 231 where he shares his perspective on the economic and market implications of President Trump's pivot back to 19th century-style tariffs. Whalen argues that while tariffs are unlikely to significantly slow the US economy, the Fed is "playing chicken" with liquidity levels as it unwinds its balance sheet amid soaring deficits. He warns of structural issues in the mortgage market stemming from pandemic-era policies, and expects a major housing reset in 2027-28. Whalen also discusses the Treasury's funding challenges, the Trump administration's likely tax policy priorities, risks lurking beneath buoyant markets, and the limits of mixed economic data for asset allocators. Tune in for an incisive discussion on navigating an increasingly uncertain investing landscape. Links:     Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen     Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/     The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/    Stanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/   Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 01:06 Trump taking us back to the 19th century with tariffs 03:14 Tariffs unlikely to slow down the US economy much 04:57 Fed erring on side of liquidity due to federal deficit, hasn't reduced reserves 06:27 Fed playing "chicken" with liquidity levels in the economy 08:03 Politics making Fed governors protective and reluctant to cut rates 09:45 Treasury's ebb and flow of cash and Fed's balance sheet runoff impacting liquidity 12:36 Fed's difficulty in determining minimum liquidity levels 13:43 Treasury Secretary Bessent inheriting Yellen's reliance on short-term T-bills 15:42 Appetite for longer-dated Treasuries depends on the coupon 17:49 Structural impediments in the mortgage market from QE during COVID 18:19 Taxes to be a big focus for Trump administration 19:51 Danger of relying on long-dated Treasury issuance to finance deficits 21:11 Strong liquidity masking underlying economic issues 22:44 Inflation likely here to stay given high debt levels 24:14 Expecting Fed rate cuts, mini boom, then major housing reset in 2027-28 25:55 Treasury Secretary Bessent named acting head of CFPB after firing Chopra 27:13 Stock market valuations stretched, risks from passive strategies selling 29:54 Trump likened to a disruptive Andrew Jackson, investors may seek safety 31:48 Mixed economic data making asset allocation challenging

Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, joins Episode 223 of the Julia La Roche Show for his first outlook of 2025. Whalen explains why he believes long-term interest rates could rise unless Trump makes "real progress" on the federal deficit, warns a "kamikaze release" of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from conservatorship without legislation would be highly disruptive, and shares why focusing on Treasury policy rather than the Federal Reserve is "all that matters." He also discusses why stocks could be "ready for a downward adjustment" after outperforming in 2023-2024, and offers a surprisingly optimistic longer-term view if Washington can demonstrate "real leadership." Links:     Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen     Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/     The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/    Stanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/   Timestamps: 00:00 Welcome back to Chris Whalen 01:12 2024 retrospective and consumer spending 02:42 Housing affordability and discretionary spending 04:49 Inflation outlook and Fed policy 06:31 Fed's focus on market stability over inflation 08:16 Fed rate cuts projection for 2025 10:52 Trump administration 2.0 outlook 11:42 Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac conservatorship discussion 13:21 Recession probability assessment 15:25 GSE release implications 19:45 Best approach to GSE reform 21:47 Federal deficit challenges 23:38 US debt situation and spending freeze 25:49 Treasury debt issuance strategy 27:42 Shifting narrative from Fed to Treasury 28:36 Market outlook for 2025 30:50 Closing thoughts on leadership and demographics

On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with investment banker and author Chris Whalen about the possibilities and challenges of bringing the GSEs — Fannie and Freddie — out of conservatorship. Whalen edits The Institutional Risk Analyst newsletter and has held positions in organizations such as the House Republican Conference Committee, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Bear, Stearns & Co., Prudential Securities, and Carrington Mortgage Holdings. Related to this episode: Broeksmit: MBA ready to work on GSEs' exit from conservatorship | HousingWire Chris Whalen | LinkedIn HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire   Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, joined the Julia La Roche Show (Ep. 216) to share his outlook on markets amid the transition to a new Trump administration. Whalen explains why the markets want to see seriousness about deficit reduction from the incoming administration, discusses his views on Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary pick, and outlines why showing progress on the deficit could drive rates lower without Fed intervention. He also delves into the future of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the return of bond vigilantes, and why Bitcoin's rise is his favorite inflation indicator. Links:     Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen     Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/     The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/    Stanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/   Timestamps: **Timestamps:** 00:01 Introduction to Chris Whalen 00:54 Post-election cabinet picks and macro overview 03:16 Analysis of Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent 05:04 Discussion of Treasury debt and market implications 06:14 Treasury priorities and impact on rates 07:31 Federal Reserve policy and market normalization 09:25 Long-term vs short-term rates outlook 11:25 Housing market forecast 13:22 Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac conservatorship discussion 17:16 GSE stock trading outlook 19:11 Fed rate cut implications for market narrative 21:49 Recession and credit market concerns 23:17 Inflation discussion and Bitcoin indicator 25:49 Gold policy recommendations 27:07 Tariffs and trade policy analysis 29:28 Department of Government Efficiency outlook 31:35 Government headcount reduction impact 34:44 Closing thoughts on Treasury markets

Investment banker and author Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, who is also the author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, returns to the show for episode 208 to discuss the economy, markets, and the 2024 presidential election. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.9% yield: https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only.   *A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.9% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 8/23/2024. A bond's yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond's YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account. Links:     Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen     Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/     The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/    Stanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/   Timestamps: 00:00 Intro and welcome back Chris Whalen 00:56 Big picture, overview of interest rates and Fed policy 02:57 Analysis of Treasury bond market dynamics 04:11 Long-term outlook for bonds and market structure 06:01 Discussion of fiscal policy and government spending 09:00 Critique of government spending efficiency 11:24 Commentary on government sector competency 13:21 Election outlook and demographic shifts 16:56 Analysis of Bank of America and banking sector 19:16 Discussion of stock selection in current market 22:42 Investment strategy in uncertain times 24:59 Analysis of hydrogen and energy sector outlook 26:02 Key market risk: potential for higher long-term rates 28:05 Closing thoughts and upcoming conference call

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com Banking expert Chris Whalen fears the Federal Reserve cut interest rates too soon. As a result inflation will remain sticky, the Fed will likely be forced to start expanding its balance sheet soon, and that mortgage rates will rise back above 7% #mortgagerates #interestrates #federalreserve --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

Investment banker and author Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, who is also the author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, returns for episode 200 to discuss the economy, the Fed, upcoming bank earnings, the 2024 election, and more. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.6% yield: https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only. *A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.6% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 9/18/2024. A bond's yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond's YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account. Links: Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/ The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Stanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/ 00:00 Introduction and welcome Chris Whalen 01:10 Macro view and Federal Reserve actions 02:56 Fed's rate cut mistake and implications 05:14 Fed's credibility and narrative challenges 07:12 Global economic outlook and banking sector issues 09:13 Inflation and its impact on different economic segments 12:09 Analysis of proposed first-time homebuyer policy 15:01 Discussion on oil markets and OPEC 16:48 US 10-year yields and mortgage rates 19:46 Outlook for upcoming bank earnings 22:19 Basel Accord and banking regulation issues 26:25 Market risks and bank solvency concerns 28:16 Implications of rising 10-year Treasury yields 30:36 2024 US election outlook and key issues 33:00 Closing thoughts and upcoming book releases

Investment banker and author Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, who is also the author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, returns to the show for episode 195 to discuss the current state of the economy. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.9% yield: https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only.   *A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.9% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 8/23/2024. A bond's yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond's YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account. Links:     Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen     Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/     The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/    Stanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/   Chapters 00:00 Intro and welcome back Chris Whalen 01:04 Big picture view — is there a recession or not? 02:24 Labor market 03:44 Home prices 07:53 Recession   10:40 Rate policy 12:54 Fed is afraid to really fight inflation 14:00 Liquidity explained 17:00 Americans are looking to be bailed out 21:30 Intervention 23:05 Fed 24:50 Deficit 28:40 Election 32:36 Parting thoughts

Thanks to today's podcast sponsor, PHH Mortgage. For over 35 years, PHH Mortgage has provided industry-leading mortgage services. They are one of the largest servicers of residential mortgages in the United States and offer a variety of solutions for the entire mortgage lifecycle. If you are looking for a Correspondent Lending partner or an experienced, award-winning Subservicer who can manage your forward and reverse, residential and commercial, and performing and non-performing loans look no further than PHH. Learn more at business.phhmortgage.com.

Investment banker and author Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, who is also the author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 188 to discuss the economy. This episode was recorded on Friday, Aug. 2. Links: Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/ The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Stanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/ Timestamps: 00:00 Welcome back Chris Whalen 01:00 Big picture view and the troublesome rate of change 2:30 10-year yield 04:15 An inflection point 06:15 Risks in corporate credit and commercial real estate 09:15 A difficult economic environment ahead 12:50 Upcoming election 15:00 Why the Fed won't cut before the election 16:40 Opportunities 18:40 Fannie and Freddie 23:08 Velocity of the change 24:00 Consumers 26:16 Opportunities for Lenders 28:00 Inflation problem

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. Follow Chris Whalen on Twitter https://x.com/rcwhalen Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:44) Overview of Chris' Banking Outlook (04:59) Bank of America (12:54) VanEck Ad (15:39) Charles Schwab (20:27) Credit Cards and Auto (27:21) Permissionless Ad (28:24) Commercial Real Estate (CRE) (35:51) Smaller Banks Are Leading The Larger Banks (40:34) Capital Markets Activity Is Picking Back Up (44:43) Private Credit & Private Equity (47:21) Synthetic Risk Transfers (56:42) Basel III Endgame Might Be Shelved If Trump Gets Re-Elected (01:18:58) What About The Chinese Shadow Banking System? (01:21:13) How Pettis Sees This All Playing Out (01:25:09) How Falling Real Estate Prices (And Stock Markets) Impact Sentiment In China __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Investment banker and author Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, who is also the author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 181 to discuss the economy, why he thinks the Federal Reserve is worried about a recession next year, and his take on the upcoming election. Links: Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/ The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Stanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/ Timestamps: 0:00 Intro and welcome Chris Whalen 01:00 Macro view 03:00 Stress tests 05:50 The Consumer 07:30 Silent crisis in commercial 11:24 Election 14:45 Trump win good for the economy 17:30 Inflation 21:20 Rate policy 25:30 Trump 29:00 Parting thoughts

Today's guest wrote the book "Inflated: How Money & Debt Built The American Dream" In it, he wrote: "The first rule of any fiat system is no fiscal deficit" Well, the US -- and virtually every other G7 country -- is breaking that rule six ways to Sunday given the unprecedented record levels of deficit spending currently underway. Does that mean we're headed for trouble? To find out, we'll ask the author himself, Chris Whalen, Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors LLC and expert on the banking, mortgage finance and fintech sectors. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #inflation #debt #bankingsystem --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

Could the #commercialrealestate market be the ticking time bomb that triggers the next #economicrecession? Non-performing loans, steeply discounted commercial assets, and high deficits hiding deeper economic woes - my guest and I tackle these pressing issues head-on.From our June 12, 2024 Win-Win Webinar, I bring together three eminent voices in banking and real estate finance - William Erbey, President, Salt Pond Holdings, LLC, Bill Moreland, Partner, BankRegData.com and Chris Whalen, Chairman, Whalen Global Advisors LLC.In a riveting discussion, we unveil the hidden dangers of non-performing loans #npl that federal spending might be masking, unpack the inflationary threats posed by ballooning deficits, despite the Federal Reserve's efforts to control the situation, highlight the staggering debt and dwindling demand leading to deep discounts on asset sales, and take a deeper look into the escalating issues within the commercial loan sector of the #bankingindustry.From the challenges of repurposing commercial buildings to the factors reshaping the market to the opportunities and risks for investors, this episode promises a thought-provoking exploration of the intricate dynamics at play in today's economic and real estate landscapes.William Erbey on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/william-erbey-/Bill Moreland on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/bill-moreland-097586/Chris Whalen on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rcwhalen/If your intention is to securely invest with a partner that cares about your investment priorities and provides low risk with maximized returns, please consider joining our successful investing family and let us create a legacy of financial and community impact together. Please email bill@firstliencapital.com or go to https://www.firstliencapital.com and press the INVEST button to be contacted by our team.    Stay connected with Bill Bymel and First Lien Capital:Linktree: https://linktr.ee/billbymelTo learn more, visit:https://billbymel.com/Listen to more episodes on Mission Matters:https://missionmatters.com/author/bill-bymel/

Investment banker and author Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, who is also the author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 175 to discuss the economy, the risk in commercial real estate, the upcoming presidential election, and the status of the American dream.   Links:  Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen  Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/  The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Stanley Middleman book: https://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Around-Corners-Achieving-Business/dp/B0D5PTSJVC/ Timestamps:  0:00 Intro and welcome Chris Whalen  1:55 Macro view today, an indication that the tide is going back out 4:40 Residential housing will be the last headwind  5:50 Health of the economy? ‘We're hiding a lot'  7:10 Commercial could be the source of the next financial crisis  11:50 Presidential election  14:00 What a Trump victory would mean  16:00 Our debt and deficit — We're headed toward a crisis 18:40 The Fed  21:40 Fed's focus on language and turning markets into a Kindergarten exercise  23:30 We've turned the Fed into a corporate earnings exercise  26:00 Inflation  28:31 The American Dream  31:00 Parting thoughts 

Sponsor Link: Profit Specialist Groupvideo:    • Cash Discount Program Explained  https://www.cashisking.cc/Low Birth Rates Could Doom Retirement   • Interview – Alison Morrow Interviews ...  Mystery Link:    • "Elon And I Agree, This Is A Serious ...  Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-2039428Odysee.TV: https://odysee.com/@SandmanMGTOW:cBitchute Link: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/YIxe...Sandman 2:    / @sandman2317  Twitter:   / sandmanmgtow  SubscribeStar.com: https://www.subscribestar.com/sandmanPaypal / Email: Sandmanmgtow @ Gmail.comBitcoin Address: bc1qtkeru8ygglfq36eu544hxw6n9hsh22l7fkf8uvHi Everyone Sandman Here,This video isn't brought to you by any donations. So I decided to discuss a video I put a link in the description called Low Birth Rates Could Doom Retirement by one of my long-time sponsor Chris Whalen. I'm just doing it as a thank you and he says that today those over the age of 60 in the United States makeup 23% of the population. But in another thirty years they will make up 29.5% percent of the population. Almost 1 in 3. The population will continue to grow overall but the tax base per old person will go down and social security and medicaid are already technically bankrupt. The fertility rate is 1.78 and falling. That's assuming the tax base will be there. But men that aren't getting married aren't working as hard killing themselves at jobs for their families and to pay government taxes. He says they can't increase taxes on younger people. But taxes will have to go up. This destroys his idea that immigration will continue into America. If young people from outside are just working to pay for food, shelter and taxes to keep the old people in depends then odd are they won't come to a place like America or Canada. There was a Russian living in Vancouver talking about this six months ago and he was struggling to make ends meet as a software engineer. This situation isn't going to be pretty but he does mention that for many the solution will be medical tourism in South America or Eastern Europe. As a guy going his own way going into his 60s, 70s and 80s in 2050 you're going to want to plan now for what comes next. Remember there's already a shortage of specialist doctors in the west. Nursing homes are closing in some cases and assisted living will cost you 8-10k a month right now. Even if you're doing ok financially that might deplete all of your assets in only five to ten years. I'd suggest guys start doing preventative medicine right now. Which means get the three most important things under control. Those being diet, exercise and stress. Lose weight and cut out the sugars and corn starch. Exercise by at least walking half an hour to an hour each day. I do those but stress is also extremely important. Living a low stress lifestyle versus a high stress one is the difference between dying in your early sixties of heart disease versus living into your mid 80s with no issues. Stress also elevates cortisol and blood sugar levels. If I want to have a decent retirement I'm going to have lower my stress to keep health issues at bay. I think it's every man for themselves at this point. I'll discuss more in a moment but let me first tell everyone about today's sponsor Profit Specialist Group:Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/mgtow/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Due to the situation of the economy today… Everyone is talking about the interest rates and when we might see some cuts coming… I've also been doing my research and picking the brains of some real estate experts on my podcast. Previously, I talked with Logan Mohtashami about when the Fed might be planning to reduce rates… Today, I've invited another expert: Chris Whalen from Whalen Global Advisors… …who shares an interesting point of view of where we are, how we got here, and what to expect with the interest rates in the next 5 to 10 years. Chris is an institutional risk analyst and a specialist in economics, looking at rates and recessions. He believes that interest rates are a function of demographics…and that being an open state is actually our strength. The U.S. population continues to grow because we still have positive immigration… …unlike many countries, like China and Japan, that are experiencing traumatic population shrinkage. Our positive growth is improving the demographics and the real estate supply and demand curve. We also talk about… - the boom of the southern states like Carolinas, Texas, and Florida and why you should care - how China is a ‘weak' state and their Belt & Road initiative is a desperate move to keep up with the Western world - the role of politics and how that's going to shape the real estate market in the coming years. You CANNOT miss this podcast… Take Control, Hunter Thompson Resources mentioned in the episode: Chris Whalen Institutional Risk Analysis Website RC Whalen Website Interested in investing with Asym Capital? Check out our webinar.   Please note that investing in private placement securities entails a high degree of risk, including illiquidity of the investment and loss of principal. Please refer to the subscription agreement for a discussion of risk factors. Tired of scrambling for capital?  Check out our new FREE webinar -  How to Ensure You Never Scramble for Capital Again (The 3 Capital-Raising Secrets). Click Here to register.   CFC Podcast Facebook Group

Investment banker and author Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, who is also the author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, returns to The Julia La Roche Show to discuss the big picture of the economy and markets. He highlights the dichotomy between the consumer side, which is doing relatively well, and the commercial side, which is suffering due to low interest rates and illiquidity. Whalen predicts that interest rates will rise, leading to a preference for income-focused investments and a shift away from speculative pricing.  He also emphasizes the need for reimagining and redeveloping cities to address the challenges in the commercial real estate sector. Overall, Whalen believes that the economy is producing nominal growth but that people are struggling due to rising costs. Links: Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/ The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ The Death of Leverage; What's the WAC of Bank America? https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/the-death-of-leverage-what-s-the-wac-of-bank-america Timestamps: 0:00 Intro and welcome Chris Whalen  0:55 Macro view, we're in a weird dichotomy   2:55 Higher interest rates  4:03 Rate outlook  7:13 5 handle on 10-year treasury  10:18 The death of leverage  12:00 Confidence  16:43 Silent crisis in commercial real estate  20:25 A qualitative recession  25:15 Election year  27:23 Higher rates and impact on investor behavior  32:30 Goodbye 

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG. VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus. __ Follow Chris Whalen on Twitter https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. Timestamps (00:00) Introduction (00:37) Banking Net Interest Income Is "Flat To Down" (04:26) Commercial Real Estate (CRE) (13:26) VanEck Ad (14:26) (17:31) Consumer Deposits Have Become "Toxic" (20:07) Schwab (22:15) Chris Expects Mid-Size Banks To "Do Better Than The Big Guys" Next Year (24:43) If There's No Recession, Are Bank Stocks Still Cheap? (27:41) Higher For Longer Will Continue To Be Bad For Banks' Core Business of Taking Deposits And Making Loans (30:19) Bank of America Should Be "Spanked" (32:59) Only A Few Fed Cuts Are Needed To Improve Banks' Position (35:13) Consumer Credit Continues To Be Fine ("Not Even At 2019 Levels") (37:10) Credit Risk Issues For Banks Are Primarily In CRE (38:12) New York Community Bank

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Chris Whalen and Chuck Clough. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.  In this episode, we feature conversations with Chris Whalen and Wendy Schiller Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Forward Guidance is sponsored by Van Eck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. __ Chris Whalen of Whalen Global Advisors returns to Forward Guidance to share his outlook on the U.S. banking sector for 2024. Whalen argues that consumer and business credit is faring fine, as delinquencies are rising but from ultra-low levels. He does worry that commercial real estate (CRE) loans will continue to suffer impairment as losses are realized in 2024. Whalen notes that while the decline in long-term bond yields since early November 2023 has improved banks' unrealized losses on held-to-maturity (HTM) securities, and interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will not help banks that much as their deposit costs will be slow to fall. Filmed on January 24, 2024. __ Follow Chris Whalen on Twitter https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Use code FG10 to get 10% off Blockworks' Digital Asset Summit in March: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2024-london __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:31) Troubles In Commercial Real Estate (07:28) This Will Be A Slow-Motion Train Wreck (11:01) Consumer Credit Is Normalizing (Delinquencies Are Rising From Very Low Levels) (16:13) VanEck Ad (16:57) Updated Views On Banks' Interest Rate Exposure (24:52) The Fed Is Unlikely To Cut Interest Rates 6 Times This Year, Argues Whalen (30:13) Fed Will Stop Quantitative Tightening Sooner Than Market Expects (32:32) Lowest Comfortable Level of Reserves (LCLoR) (33:49) Discount Window, Standing Repo Facility, and Reverse Repo Facility (39:00) Medium Term, Short-Term Rates Will Fall and Yield Curve Will Normalize (41:24) Basel III Endgame (45:32) Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSRs) and Gain On Sale (51:42) Net Income Will Likely Fall At Banks - "Don't Look For Roses And Sunshine" (01:01:04) Private Credit And CLOs __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Angela Harrell, Chief Diversity and Corporate Impact Officer at Voya Financial, joins to talk about corporate diversity initiatives and challenges to goals in recent years. Chris Whalen, Chairman at Whalen Global Advisors, discusses bank health in the US amid earnings season. Brad Bernstein, Managing Director at UBS Private Wealth Management, joins to give his market outlook and the view of inflation in 2024. Mike Mullaney, Director of Global Markets Research for Boston Partners, joins to give his outlook on markets and the Fed.  Hosts: John Tucker and Jennifer RyanSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Investment banker and author Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, who is also the author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, returns to The Julia La Roche Show to discuss the big picture of the economy and markets, including an impending maxi reset in home prices and the potential for more bank failures.  He also highlights the “silent crisis” in commercial real estate and the potential increase in bank failures. Whalen shares his insights on the earnings of big banks and media coverage. He provides an outlook on the Federal Reserve and discusses the debt situation in the US. Lastly, he addresses the possibility of releasing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from conservatorship and shares his work and parting thoughts. Takeaways The commercial side of the economy is experiencing pain, particularly in commercial real estate and corporate defaults. The housing market is expected to undergo a reset in the future, leading to a decrease in home prices and potential challenges for developers. There is a silent crisis in commercial real estate, with legacy properties becoming toxic and banks being urged to sell assets. The Federal Reserve may need to drop rates, start buying bonds, and increase reserves to address the challenges in the economy and banking sector. The US debt situation is a significant concern, and long-term rates may rise, impacting various sectors of the economy. The release of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from conservatorship is unlikely due to their credit ratings and challenges in functioning as private entities. Links: Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/ The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Comments most recent Fed proposal in Basel III Endgame: https://www.regulations.gov/comment/OCC-2023-0008-0052 Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:08 Big picture view of the economy and markets 3:29 Impact of Basel III endgame  4:50 A maxi reset in housing 06:20 Silent Crisis in commercial real estate 09:28 Potential increase in bank failures 13:00 Big bank earnings and media coverage 15:30 Grim economic picture for commercial  21:15 Outlook on the Federal Reserve 24:55 Fed could cause a bank crisis  26:15 Debt situation in the US 31:30 Release of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from Conservatorship?  35:15 Parting Thoughts

Chris Whalen brings his banking expertise to Keeping it Simple. For more information, visit simplify.us. Simplify Asset Management Inc. is a Registered Investment Adviser. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Simplify Asset Management Inc. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission, nor does it indicate that the advisor has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy. This content is not intended to provide investment, tax, or legal advice. This content is solely for informational purposes and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. These materials are made available on an “as is” basis, without representation or warranty. The information contained in these materials has been obtained from sources that Simplify Asset Management Inc. believes to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. This information is only current as of the date indicated and may be superseded by subsequent market events or for other reasons. Neither the author nor Simplify Asset Management Inc. undertakes to advise you of any changes in the views expressed herein.

Mick Mulroy, co-founder of the Lobo Institute, and Joe Mathieu, host of Bloomberg's “Balance of Power” and “Sound On,” join to discuss Kevin McCarthy leaving Congress, Ukraine, and foreign aid. Chris Whalen, at Whalen Global Advisers, joins to discuss testimony from big bank CEOs on Capitol Hill today and capital requirements. Quincy Krosby, Chief Market Strategist with LPL Financial, joins to discuss the global economic impact and risks amid the war in Israel and other geopolitical factors. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Simone Foxman.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ed Ludlow, host of Bloomberg Technology, joins to discuss SpaceX potentially spinning off Starlink. Jay Hatfield, CEO at Infrastructure Capital Management, joins to discuss his inflation call in the US, as well as potential recession in Europe. Chris Whalen, Chairman at Whalen Global Advisors, joins to discuss the outlook for Fed rate cuts, inflation in the US, deflation concerns, and concerns of the Fed breaking something. Tina Marriott Larson, COO and President at Recursion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: RXRX), joins to discuss her company's recent performance, outlook for the biopharma space and its new notable investor, Cathie Wood. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Cam Harvey, Professor at Duke University Faqua School of Business, joins to discuss the FOMC meeting, the Treasury auction, and outlook for a hard landing. Jen Rie, Senior Antitrust Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, and George Ferguson, Senior Defense/Aerospace Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, discuss the Spirit-JetBlue trial, what it means for the industry, and airline earnings and industry outlook. Tim Duy, Chief US Economist at SGH Macro Advisors, joins to discuss the Fed and outlook for rates in 2024. Chris Whalen, founder at Whalen Global Advisors, joins to discuss bank liquidity, the Fed, and outlook for a hard landing. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Galit Altstein, Israel economy and government reporter for Bloomberg News, joins to discuss President Biden's speech in Israel. Chris Whalen, Chairman at Whalen Global Advisors, joins to wrap bank earnings and Fed speak and offers his outlook for the banks, US consumers, and US economy. Pat Pacious, CEO at Choice Hotels (NYSE: CHH), joins to discuss growth for his company a day after their bid for Wyndham was rejected. Amit Kumar, CIO at Param Hansa Values, joins to offer single stock analysis and discusses market risks. Bobby Ghosh, editor with Bloomberg Opinion, joins to discuss the broader impact of the tragic hospital explosion in Gaza and how it impacts President Biden's visit. Mick Mulroy, co-founder of the Lobo Institute and former CIA paramilitary officer, joins to provide his analysis of the explosion at the hospital in Gaza. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Banker and author Chris Whalen (@rcwhalen), chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, who is also the author of The Institutional Risk Analyst, joins Julia La Roche on episode 108. In this episode, Whalen delves into what he terms a ‘Silent Crisis' lurking within the commercial real estate sector and its ripple effects on regional banking and the broader economy. Whalen highlights the intricacies of the Federal Reserve's policy shifts and how the central bank is slowly killing the world of credit and putting banks in a tough spot. Links: Chris on Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ 0:00 Welcome Chris Whalen to the show  1:14 Big picture is the Fed is slowly killing the world of credit  2:13 Bond market is signaling the Fed is going to stop soon 3:34 Commercial real estate risk  4:18 Banks are looking at another down quarter for net income  5:30 Commercial, not consumer  6:18 New York State Assembly killed multi-family housing  9:26 A typical recession was led by consumers, but this recession is being caused by the Fed  11:24 Landlords are a small business  13:00 Silent crisis 14:50 Impact on banks  16:00 Politics need to change if NYC is going to survive  17:30 A strange economic cycle  19:22 Half the banks in the country are insolvent on mark-to-market  20:24 Banks are a fixed income trade that masquerades as an equity trade 21:30 Fed will drop rates by end of the year because of banks 22:14 Should we have mark-to-market accounting?  23:50 Housing outlook, tips for homebuyers  27:00 Parting thoughts 

Despite the light week of economic data, there was lots going in in the economy to discuss for the Inside Economics team, including the runup in 10-year Treasury yields and fixed mortgage rates. Noted investment banker Chris Whalen then joins the conversation to talk about the banking system, its' under significant pressure, the independent mortgage banks, a shakeout is underway, and the Fed and other regulators, he's not a fan.For more on Chris Whalen, click hereFollow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight.

Nancy Curtin, Partner and Global CIO/Head of Investment Advisory at AlTi, joins to discuss markets, the Fed, and outlook for China and Japan as emerging markets. Lee Klaskow, Senior Analyst of Freight Transportation and Logistics with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins us to talk UPS earnings. Chris Whalen, Chairman at Whalen Global Advisors, discusses the Moody's credit downgrade for US banks and outlook for the sector. Nancy Tengler, CEO and CIO at Laffer Tengler Investments, joins to talk markets and investing and the launch of her new ETF today. Margie Patel, Senior Portfolio Manager at Allspring Global Investments, joins to discuss how the markets are pricing in the Fed's possible last rate hike of its aggressive tightening campaign. Michael Shah, Senior Industry Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses Danish company Novo Nordisk A/S after its obesity drug cut heart risks in a major trial, as well as other biotech news. Ryan Lockwood, CFO of CarParts.com (NASDAQ: PRTS), joins to discuss earnings and outlook for consumers and his company. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Thanks to today's sponsor, ReadyPrice. For years, mortgage brokers have been logging into ReadyPrice's product and pricing engine to shop for the best loans across multiple lenders. Today, ReadyPrice offers the industry's most powerful independent universal delivery portal where brokers can shop, lock and deliver the best loans, all on one platform—for free! It's a new industry utility that gives brokers more time to focus on building their business. Check them out at ReadyPrice.com.

Alison Williams, Senior Global Banks & Asset Managers Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, and Herman Chan, Senior Regional Banks Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins the program to discuss the Fed Bank Stress Tests. Jackie Bowie, Managing Partner and Head of EMEA for Chatham Financial, joins the program to discuss inflation in the UK and across Europe. Chris Whalen, at Whalen Global Advisors, joins to discuss Jay Powell's comments from this week and the Banks' Fed Stress Test and outlook for the big banks and regionals. Robert Teeter, Head of Investment Policy & Strategy Group at Silvercrest Asset Management, joins in studio to discuss sectors and stocks on the move and what could outperform the market amid various economic headwinds. Jonathan Levin, Opinion Columnist with Bloomberg News, discusses his article on Carnival cruises and what he thinks it portends about 2Q earnings. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Gaming and Lodging Analyst Brian Egger also joins, discussing Carnival and outlook for the industry. Nancy Curtin, Partner and Global CIO/Head of Investment Advisory at AlTi, joins to discuss markets, the Fed, and outlook for China and Japan as emerging markets. Stacey Stevenson, CEO at Family Equality, discusses diversity hiring efforts and how they've been prioritized as businesses tighten spending and face challenging legislation from lawmakers. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Jess Menton.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ira Jersey, Chief US interest rate strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses the Fed, rates, and Treasuries. Wendy Schiller, Brown University professor of, joins to preview the indictment of former President Trump and its political implications. Bloomberg TV anchor Kailey Leinz also joins us from Miami. Chris Whalen, founder at Whalen Global Advisors, discusses CPI and a potential pause from the Fed, its impact on the banking industry, and shares his thoughts on AI and Nvidia. Lydia Boussour, EY Parthenon Chief Economist, joins us in studio for a discussion on CPI and outlook for the US economy and inflation in the US. Tim Pagliara, CIO at CapWealth, joins to give his stock picks and discusses his outlook for markets. Jennifer Lee, Managing Director and Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, joins the program to discuss inflation in the US and globally as well as her notes on central bank activity around the globe. Scott Baxter, CEO at Kontoor Brands (NYSE: KBT), joins to discuss his company and outlook for performance and consumer trends. Sean Kerins, CEO at Arrow Electronics (NYSE: ARW), joins to discuss his company and tech outlook. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Jess Menton.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Credit Analyst Robert Schiffman discusses Apple's $90 billion buyback plan and poses the question if Apple has so much cash why borrow even more? Chris Whalen, Institutional Risk Analyst at Whalen Global Advisors and Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst for US Regional Banks Herman Chan discuss the Fed warning that banks' concerns about slower growth could lead them to make fewer loans, accelerating an economic downturn. Liliana Esposito, Chief Corporate Affairs and Sustainability Officer at Wendy's, talks about the fast-food chain's ESG strategy. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Businessweek Assistant Managing Editor Jim Ellis provide the details of the Businessweek Magazine story Airbus Bets on a Stretched A220 Jet to Beat Boeing's 737. And We Drive to the Close with Alex Coffey, Senior Trading Strategist at TD Ameritrade.Hosts: Carol Massar and Matt Miller. Producer: Paul Brennan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Whalen Global Advisors founder Chris Whalen to the show to discuss the formative banking crisis, what's driving it, and what comes next. They also touch on the outlooks for stocks and precious metals. https://bit.ly/414Qj5S The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Download Big Picture Trading chartbook

Chris Whalen, founder at Whalen Global Advisors, and Hugh Hendry formerly of Eclectica Asset Management, join for an extended Fed roundtable on what might the last of the Fed's historic tightening cycle. Dr. Richard Portes, London Business School professor, joins us in studio to talk the ECB decision, the US economy, and bank turmoil. Barry Ritholtz, founder of Ritholtz Wealth Management and host of “Masters in Business,” and Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins for an extended roundtable on the Fed. Claudia Sahm, founder of Sahm Consulting and former Senior Economist at the White House Council of Economic Advisors, joins to talk about her column on the labor market and gives her take on the Fed and regional banks. Brad Case, Chief Economist at Middleburg Communities, joins to discuss the impact of the Fed's rate hike cycle in real estate and other areas of the economy. Margie Patel, Senior Portfolio Manager at AllSpring Global Investments, joins to discuss how the markets are pricing in the Fed's possible last rate hike of this tightening cycle. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This week, Liz sits down with risk management analyst and Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, Chris Whalen to discuss the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the eerie familiarity with the 2008 financial crisis. Chris reflects on how the FDIC and the Federal Reserve are responding to the collapse and offers advice for investors who are anxious about the future of the economy. Later, Chris and Liz reflect on how the economy has evolved since the 2008 financial crisis and the influence of inflation on the banking industry. Follow Liz Claman on Twitter: @LizClaman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Ira Jersey, Chief US interest rate strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses the Fed and SVB, Treasuries, and CPI. Dan Ives, Senior Equity Analyst at WedBush Securities, joins the program to discuss what the collapse of SVB means for big tech, venture capitalists, and the future of Silicon Valley. Sevin Yeltekin, Dean of Simon Business School at the University of Rochester, joins the program to discuss monetary policy in the US and how it relates to the SVB collapse. She weighs how risky SVB's behavior was, and how risky the Fed's rapid tightening was on US financial institutions. Chris Whalen, Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, joins to discuss the fallout from Silicon Valley Bank's collapse and how the bank run and Fed tightening could affect other regionals in the US. Jeffrey Cleveland, Chief US Economist at Payden & Rygel, joins the program to discuss CPI and the state of the US economy post-SVB. Nicole Elam, president & CEO at National Bankers Association, joins to discuss the impact the SVB bank run and damage to regional banks can have on wealth creation, minority-owned businesses, and minority communities. Hosted by Paul Sweeney, Matt Miller and Kriti Gupta.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.