Podcasts about global financial crisis

In this episode, we discuss the latest labor market releases, deteriorating consumer balance sheets, and Friday's decline in equity markets. While payroll growth exceeded expectations and the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, the composition of employment gains, the timing of the Memorial Day holiday, and several other details within the report continue to suggest a less encouraging picture of the economy. Meanwhile, consumer debt continued to rise, with revolving credit balances, much of which consists of credit card borrowing, increasing at an annualized rate of 10% in April after rising 9% in March. These figures are particularly troubling given that the personal savings rate remains near historic lows and credit card delinquencies have climbed to levels not seen since the Global Financial Crisis. Consumers appear increasingly reliant on borrowing to sustain spending, a dynamic that has rarely ended well. Friday's sell off in equity markets served as a reminder of the fragility underlying the recent rally. Weaker than expected revenue guidance from Broadcom, renewed concerns about inflation, and rising expectations that the Federal Reserve may be forced to raise interest rates before year end all contributed to the decline.

The role of a Chief Investment Officer is multifaceted – acting as both the guardian and the architect of a company's investment process, and preventing people from making mistakes that might destroy value. A key requisite for the job is the ability to stay calm amid the panic when a global crisis hits.In this special edition of The View Beyond, produced jointly with the World Economic Forum's Radio Davos, Bernadette Anderko and WEF Editor Robin Pomeroy sit down with Julius Baer's Group CIO Yves Bonzon to explore the history and nature of recent crises. Yves has spent more than three decades steering portfolios through other people's worst weeks: the crash of '87, the Asian crisis 10 years later, 2008's Global Financial Crisis, COVID, the tariff wars, and now of course the war in Iran. He explains why each crisis provides opportunities to make a difference. After all, in the face of a crisis, a CIO must decide: is history repeating itself, or is a new paradigm emerging?(00:00) - Introduction: A special joint episode from Julius Baer and Radio Davos (02:02) - Crisis navigation: Every crisis is different (03:30) - Exogenous vs. endogenous shocks (06:48) - Oil, markets, and resilience (11:31) - Looking back to the financial crisis of 2008 (13:50) - Crises are opportunities to make a difference (16:25) - Balancing risk mitigation and opportunity (20:26) - Liquidity events in turbulent times (22:32) - Private markets vs. public markets (23:34) - When does a crisis become a crisis? (29:29) - How crises and responses have evolved since the 1980s (33:04) - Emotional decisions and the cost of anchoring (35:18) - Education, discipline, and the importance of process (38:47) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.Radio Davos is the flagship weekly podcast from the World Economic Forum. Get it on any podcast app:https://pod.link/1504682164. Find all Forum podcasts at  wef.ch/podcasts and YouTube(https://www.youtube.com/@wef/podcasts).

This week, we discuss downward revisions to GDP, persistent inflation and a renewed decline in the savings rate. Real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2026 was revised down from 2.1% to 1.6%, well below the consensus estimate of 2.2%. Meanwhile, inflation remained uncomfortably high. The PCE price index rose 3.8% from a year earlier, while core PCE increased 3.3%, both still far above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The same report offered little comfort on the consumer. Real disposable personal income fell 0.5%, consumption rose just 0.1%, and the savings rate dropped to its lowest level since the eve of the Global Financial Crisis.

Corporate Profitability Remains Exceptionally Strong With earnings season now complete, the latest results indicate that the fundamental backdrop for the equity market remains healthy. One of the most important measures of market strength is operating margin, which reflects how much profit a company generates from its core operations after covering production-related costs. Companies within the S&P 500 are currently reporting operating margins of approximately 20.3%, reaching record levels. These strong margins demonstrate that businesses continue to operate efficiently and maintain profitability despite ongoing concerns about inflation, tariffs, and geopolitical uncertainty. The trend is even more encouraging when considering the potential impact of artificial intelligence and other productivity-enhancing technologies. As these innovations become more integrated into business operations, the benefits should increasingly be reflected in corporate profitability. Equal-weight operating margins, which provide a broader view of company performance across the market, are also approaching record highs. The continued improvement in margins suggests that productivity gains and operational efficiencies are beginning to spread across a wider range of companies. Rather than focusing solely on short-term uncertainties, investors appear to be recognizing the strength of corporate earnings and profit growth. Consumer Debt Headlines Miss the Bigger Picture Recent headlines have focused heavily on rising consumer debt, creating concern that Americans may be struggling financially. However, debt levels alone do not provide a complete picture of consumer health. A closer examination reveals that delinquency rates, the percentage of borrowers falling behind on payments, remain relatively low. Credit card delinquency rates have recently declined to approximately 2.92%, down from levels seen earlier in the year and well below the peaks experienced during the Global Financial Crisis. This distinction is important. Consumers may be carrying more debt, but the key question is whether they can manage and repay those obligations. Current data suggests that, for the most part, they can. Employment remains one of the primary reasons for this resilience. Despite widespread headlines about layoffs and technological disruption, initial jobless claims continue to stay near historically low levels. As long as consumers remain employed, they generally retain the ability to meet their financial obligations and continue spending. Consumer spending rose by 0.5% in April, even as wage growth remained relatively flat. While some of this spending may be supported by borrowing, tax refunds, or drawing down savings, these trends can remain sustainable for a period when supported by a growing economy, strong employment, and healthy corporate profits. The personal savings rate has declined, which bears watching, but the broader picture remains constructive. Moving forward, labor market data will continue to be one of the most important indicators for evaluating consumer strength and overall economic health. Is This Market Really a Bubble? One of the most common concerns among investors today is whether the current market environment resembles the technology bubble of the late 1990s. While certain similarities exist, a closer examination of the data reveals important differences. During the 1990s technology boom, stock prices rose dramatically despite relatively weak earnings growth. Much of the market’s return came from what is known as multiple expansion, where investors became willing to pay increasingly higher prices for each dollar of earnings based on expectations of future growth. In many cases, stock prices surged even as underlying earnings failed to keep pace. Between 1995 and 1999, the S&P 500 generated returns of approximately 220%, while earnings grew only about 67%. This disconnect between prices and profits was a defining characteristic of the technology bubble. Today’s market tells a different story. While some multiple expansion has occurred, earnings growth has been the primary driver of returns since the current bull market began in the second half of 2023. Corporate profits have continued to rise, helping justify much of the market’s advance. Although valuations remain elevated by historical standards, earnings growth has largely kept pace with stock price appreciation. In fact, strong earnings growth can make valuations appear more reasonable over time as companies generate greater profits to support higher stock prices. The relationship between earnings and market performance remains one of the most important indicators of long-term sustainability. Unlike previous bubble periods, current market gains are being supported by measurable improvements in corporate profitability. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Behind the Headlines first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

In this episode, Monika responds to the atmosphere of fear and panic spreading through everyday financial conversations — from rumours about banks collapsing to people withdrawing savings based on WhatsApp forwards and social media anxiety. Using history as her anchor, she makes a powerful argument that nations do not simply “roll over and die.” Companies fail, markets crash, governments stumble — but nations survive, adapt, reform, and rebuild. She walks listeners through some of the most severe economic crises faced by countries around the world, from Argentina's repeated debt defaults to Germany's hyperinflation and South Korea's gold donation campaign during the Asian Financial Crisis, showing how recovery eventually followed even the darkest moments.She then turns to India's own history of economic survival and reinvention. From the humiliating 1966 rupee devaluation and food shortages, to the 1991 balance of payments crisis when India pledged gold for emergency loans, to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and the economic devastation of COVID-19, Monika traces a recurring pattern: every crisis initially feels catastrophic, but India repeatedly emerges transformed rather than broken. She argues that while growth may slow and reforms may become unavoidable, today's India is fundamentally stronger than in earlier crises — with healthier banks, stronger foreign exchange reserves, a large digital economy, and growing geopolitical relevance. Her central message is one of practical resilience: prepare for turbulence, not collapse. Build emergency buffers, diversify wisely, avoid panic, and resist fear-driven rumours. The episode ultimately becomes a reminder that survival and recovery are deeply embedded in both economic systems and human behaviour.In listener questions, Jennifer asks how to structure a retirement corpus while preparing for the steep maintenance costs of a redeveloped Mumbai home, leading to a discussion on safe investing, inflation-adjusted retirement planning, and avoiding unnecessary risk later in life; Shantanu Bopardikar shares thoughtful feedback on wanting more advanced guidance around evaluating underperforming mutual funds, portfolio diversification, and passive-income planning, prompting Monika to explain her philosophy around “forever funds,” long-term consistency, and allocation-based investing; and an anonymous Bengaluru-based listener seeks advice on balancing his own financial growth with concern for his ageing parents' retirement security, health insurance, and inherited assets.Chapters:(00:00 – 00:00) Why Nations Don't Collapse the Way We Fear They Will(00:00 – 00:00) India's Darkest Economic Crises — And How It Recovered Every Time(00:00 – 00:00) What Today's Slowdown Really Means for Your Money and Investments(00:00 – 00:00) Managing Retirement, Redevelopment and Financial Safety in Your 60sIf you have financial questions that you'd like answers for, please email us at ⁠mailme@monikahalan.com⁠ Monika's book on basic money management⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-money-english/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Monika's book on mutual funds⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-mutual-funds/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Monika's workbook on recording your financial life⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-legacy/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Calculators⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://investor.sebi.gov.in/calculators/index.html⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠You can find Monika on her social media @monikahalan. Twitter ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Production House: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.inoutcreatives.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Production Assistant:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Anshika Gogoi⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, US politics has polarised sharply - with the rise of Trump and right-wing populism, but also a renewed class-based left around figures like Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortes and Zohran Mamdani.Part of what has given rise to these candidates is a Democratic Socialist political movement - and a key part of that movement is the publication Jacobin, which has sought to teach and lead debate about radical class politics, reviving Marxist critiques of capitalism and socialist ideology.In this chat, the founding editor of Jacobin, Bhaskar Sunkara, charts the history of the US democratic socialists and the role of Jacobin in particular. He unpacks the recent New York Mayoral Election campaign with Zohran Mamdani, exploring how the big but simple demands about free buses and rent freezes created a different imagination for what is possible from the state. He also shares a little about his upcoming book The Blueprint (with Mike Beggs and Ben Burgis), and some of the topics he will be talking about when he visits Australia in May and June 2026.For more information and to buy tickets for Bhaskar's Australian speaking tour: https://www.search.org.au/bhaskar_sunkara_live_in_sydney_get_your_tickets_todayThe Jacobin magazine is here.Bhaskar's earlier book, The Socialist Manifesto, can be bought here.Story NotesFor more on ChangeMakers check us out:Via our Website - https://changemakerspodcast.org (where you can also sign up to our email list!)Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ChangeMakersPodcast/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/changemakerspodcast/Threads: https://www.threads.com/@changemakerspodcastBlue Sky: https://www.threads.com/@amandatattersall.bsky.socialFor more on the books and Amanda's writing, have a look at:Amanda's website - https://amandatattersall.com/ Conscious Tribes: thinking differently about making a difference - here and via Hardie GrantPeople Power in Cities - here and via Oxford Uni PressOn Substack - https://substack.com/@amandatattersallOn Medium - https://amandatatts.medium.com/And - her much earlier book about coalition building - Power in Coalition and via Cornell Uni PressAmanda is on Socials here:On LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/amandatattersall/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/amanda.tattersallBlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/amandatattersall.bsky.socialThreads: https://www.threads.com/@amandatattersall Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, US politics has polarised sharply - with the rise of Trump and right-wing populism, but also a renewed class-based left around figures like Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortes and Zohran Mamdani.Part of what has given rise to these candidates is a Democratic Socialist political movement - and a key part of that movement is the publication Jacobin, which has sought to teach and lead debate about radical class politics, reviving Marxist critiques of capitalism and socialist ideology.In this chat, the founding editor of Jacobin, Bhaskar Sunkara, charts the history of the US democratic socialists and the role of Jacobin in particular. He unpacks the recent New York Mayoral Election campaign with Zohran Mamdani, exploring how the big but simple demands about free buses and rent freezes created a different imagination for what is possible from the state. He also shares a little about his upcoming book The Blueprint (with Mike Beggs and Ben Burgis), and some of the topics he will be talking about when he visits Australia in May and June 2026.For more information and to buy tickets for Bhaskar's Australian speaking tour: https://www.search.org.au/bhaskar_sunkara_live_in_sydney_get_your_tickets_todayThe Jacobin magazine is here.Bhaskar's earlier book, The Socialist Manifesto, can be bought here.Story NotesFor more on ChangeMakers check us out:Via our Website - https://changemakerspodcast.org (where you can also sign up to our email list!)Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ChangeMakersPodcast/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/changemakerspodcast/Threads: https://www.threads.com/@changemakerspodcastBlue Sky: https://www.threads.com/@amandatattersall.bsky.socialFor more on the books and Amanda's writing, have a look at:Amanda's website - https://amandatattersall.com/ Conscious Tribes: thinking differently about making a difference - here and via Hardie GrantPeople Power in Cities - here and via Oxford Uni PressOn Substack - https://substack.com/@amandatattersallOn Medium - https://amandatatts.medium.com/And - her much earlier book about coalition building - Power in Coalition and via Cornell Uni PressAmanda is on Socials here:On LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/amandatattersall/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/amanda.tattersallBlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/amandatattersall.bsky.socialThreads: https://www.threads.com/@amandatattersall Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Are we heading toward another Global Financial Crisis? Should investors Buy or Sell in this uncertain market? In this video, we break down the latest market trends, why the IT sector surged 2.4%, and what it signals for investors. We also analyze the movement in Gold prices, currency fluctuations, inflation fears, and global economic risks that could impact your portfolio. Get a clear understanding of stock market opportunities, risk management strategies, and smart investment decisions during volatile times. Watch till the end for valuable insights on the economy, stock market, and wealth-building strategies with IPS Finance.

In this episode, we sit down with Catherine Minor, Senior Portfolio Manager at DWS, to talk about the long game in commercial real estate—and what it really takes to build a career that lasts. Catherine's path didn't follow a straight line. She started in civil engineering and construction, moved into development, and ultimately found her place on the investment side of the business, where she now leads portfolio strategy at the intersection of global capital and local market insight. Along the way, she made intentional pivots, navigated challenging market cycles, and learned how to recognize when something wasn't the right fit. A central theme throughout the conversation is the idea of finding your “just right.” From roles that were “too hot” or “too cold” to the environments and opportunities that ultimately clicked, Catherine shares how trial, risk-taking, and self-awareness shaped her career. We also dig into what a portfolio manager actually does day-to-day, the realities of today's fundraising environment, and where she's seeing opportunity as the next real estate cycle begins to take shape. She offers a candid perspective on mentorship versus sponsorship, the importance of having true allies in your career, and how technology—especially AI—is beginning to influence the industry. It's an honest and thoughtful conversation about growth, resilience, and building a career with intention in an ever-changing market.   Timestamps 0:00 – Intro & career overview 3:00 – Finding your “just right” 4:30 – Starting in construction 6:00 – Business school & career pivot 7:00 – Walking away from the wrong opportunity 8:00 – Finding the right fit 11:00 – Global Financial Crisis lessons 12:30 – Google & large-scale development 14:30 – Transition to investment management 15:00 – What a portfolio manager does 16:00 – Market conditions & fundraising 18:00 – Where the market is heading 19:30 – NAIOP & leadership 22:00 – Work culture & AI 25:00 – Lightning round & closing

In this episode, we are joined by Jeff Hooke, former investment banking, private equity, and private debt executive turned academic critic of alternative investments, for a rigorous and provocative examination of private equity, private credit, and institutional investing. Jeff draws on decades of experience in finance and years of academic research to challenge many of the assumptions driving institutional and retail allocations to private markets. We discuss why pension plans and endowments continue pouring capital into alternatives despite evidence of underperformance, how private market valuations can obscure true risk, and why the fee structures embedded in private funds create enormous hurdles for investors. Jeff explains the methodological challenges of benchmarking private investments, the role of investment consultants and industry incentives, and why illiquidity and opaque reporting make private assets especially difficult for retail investors to evaluate. Along the way, we explore survivorship bias, public market equivalents, unrealized valuations, and the growing push to bring private assets into retirement portfolios. This conversation is an in-depth look at the incentives, risks, and realities shaping the modern alternatives industry.   Key Points From This Episode: (0:00:18) Introduction to Jeff Hooke and the focus on private equity, private credit, and alternative investments. (0:04:21) Why institutions and retail investors continue allocating heavily to alternatives. (0:04:33) What institutional investors are and how pension plans and endowments operate. (0:05:52) Why institutional staff may prefer complexity over simple index investing. (0:07:55) How early private equity outperformance fueled lasting enthusiasm for alternatives. (0:08:47) Why trustees often rely heavily on staff and consultants for investment decisions. (0:09:29) The social and psychological appeal of "exotic" investments. (0:10:28) Why institutional investors often resist criticism of private markets. (0:11:56) The CalPERS example: underperforming a simple 60/40 index despite complexity. (0:13:28) The role investment consultants play as institutional "gatekeepers." (0:15:42) Why many pension plans and endowments may have underperformed due to alternatives. (0:17:26) Findings from The Grand Experiment and research on private equity fund performance. (0:18:30) Why institutions struggled to replicate Yale's endowment success under David Swensen. (0:20:57) Gross versus net performance in private equity—and the impact of fees. (0:21:30) The extreme dispersion between top- and bottom-performing private equity funds. (0:23:26) The weak persistence of private equity manager outperformance. (0:25:27) Why private investments expanded rapidly after the Global Financial Crisis. (0:25:54) The illusion of smoother returns in private markets due to subjective valuations. (0:28:13) Why benchmarking private equity performance is methodologically difficult. (0:31:13) How private market data can support conflicting performance narratives. (0:33:41) Why public market equivalent (PME) is one of the best benchmarking approaches. (0:36:59) Survivorship bias and non-reporting funds in private market databases. (0:40:09) The rise of private credit and its role in financing leveraged buyouts. (0:42:29) Findings from Jeff's private credit research: no evidence of outperformance versus public ETFs. (0:45:15) Jeff's response to Cliffwater's critique of his private credit paper. (0:47:15) Why retail investors may underestimate the risks and costs of private alternatives. (0:49:14) Conflicts of interest and fee incentives in wealth management distribution. (0:51:03) The impact of unrealized valuations and unsold holdings on reported returns. (0:53:15) Why many private equity funds still hold large unrealized positions after a decade. (0:56:05) Whether private equity ownership actually improves company operations. (0:57:42) The major liquidity risks facing retail investors in private funds. (0:59:20) Canadian private real estate funds, gating, and redemption problems. (1:02:01) Comparing private market fees to ultra-low-cost public index funds. (1:06:46) The long-term impact of bringing private assets into retail retirement accounts. (1:08:17) How much "play money" investors should allocate to speculative alternatives. (1:10:49) Why leverage layered on top of private funds creates additional risk.   Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Benjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com)

In this episode of the Grow Your Wealth podcast, host Travis Miller sits down with Ian Saines, a highly experienced non-executive director and former senior banking executive. Ian reflects on a distinguished career that has spanned the Reserve Bank of Australia, Challenger, CBA, and Zurich, offering a unique perspective developed through decades of leadership in global financial services. He shares his journey from growing up in Wagga Wagga to leading a major institutional bank through the global financial crisis - a period he describes as a defining executive test. Ian dives deep into the mechanics of leadership, discussing the importance of "letting go" of technical specialities to become an effective leader and the value of fostering internal entrepreneurship within an accountable framework. He also offers candid advice on building long-term wealth, the common pitfalls of residential real estate investing, and why simply "being invested" is often the most powerful strategy. Whether you are an aspiring leader or a seasoned investor, Ian's insights on adaptability, risk appetite, and intellectual stimulation provide a masterclass in professional and personal growth. [00:00:00] – Introduction: Leading through the Global Financial Crisis and the essence of leadership [00:02:12] – Meet Ian Saines: A career spanning the RBA, CBA, and Macquarie Bank [00:03:34] – Early Days: Starting at the Reserve Bank, night school, and the grounding of an economics background [00:06:59] – Serendipity and Networking: How a campus introduction led to a 17-year career at BT [00:13:03] – Staying Relevant: Why Ian chooses the boardroom over retirement and the drive for intellectual stimulation [00:16:42] – Innovation and Risk: Testing, learning, and fostering entrepreneurship in large organisations [00:19:16] – Corporate Culture: The "Macquarie Way" and managing the distractions of "organisational hobbies" [00:24:33] – Career Advice: The importance of personal development and letting go of your speciality [00:28:50] – Defining Success: Transitioning from survival mode to having choices in life [00:31:36] – Investment Wisdom: The dangers of market timing and the case against residential real estate [00:36:17] – Life Outside Work: Farming in the Hunter Valley and the balance of physical labour [00:38:03] – Final Thoughts and Connecting with Ian Saines on LinkedIn iPartners Website: https://www.ipartners.com.au Register Here: https://ipartners.iplatforms.com.au/register/register-as-wholesale/ iPartners LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/ipartners-pty-ltd

I was excited to host this conversation with Rob Flatley, Founder and CEO of TS Imagine, on prediction markets, AI-driven workflows, and the structural changes reshaping financial market infrastructure.   We begin with Rob's path from software engineering into capital markets, including leadership roles at Bank of America and Deutsche Bank during the rise of electronic trading and through the Global Financial Crisis. That experience informs a broader perspective on how market infrastructure evolves during periods of stress and technological transition.   The conversation then turns to artificial intelligence and the distinction between large language models and reinforcement learning systems. Rob explains why traditional deterministic workflows in settlement and collateral management create different challenges than probabilistic systems such as risk management. He argues that the next phase of AI adoption will focus less on generating language and more on learning and automating complex workflows across financial systems.   We also explore prediction markets, an area where Rob and his team have spent significant time building infrastructure and risk frameworks. He discusses how markets tied to elections, Fed policy, GDP, inflation, and geopolitical outcomes are beginning to move from retail experimentation toward institutional relevance.   We also discuss tokenization and settlement infrastructure. Rob outlines how stablecoins, digital ledgers, and atomic settlement could reshape financing, custody, collateral mobility, and the economics of intermediated finance. We discuss the implications for prime brokerage, repo, clearinghouses, and 24-hour trading environments.   I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Rob Flatley.

On this episode of Animal Spirits: Talk Your Book, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Michael Batnick⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ben Carlson⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ are joined by Alex Morris from F/m Investments for a live show recorded in Washington D.C. that covers inflation, the Fed, AI, tax alpha and much more. Definitions of terms from the episode - AG Index: Evaluates the performance of agricultural sectors across different regions.  Basis point: Is used to indicate changes in the interest rates of a financial instrument.  SALT Deduction: SALT stands for State and Local Taxes. The SALT deduction allows taxpayers to deduct these taxes from their deferral taxable income.  Alpha: Measures an investment's performance relative to a benchmark index. Tax Alpha: The difference between a portfolio's after-tax return and the after-tax return of benchmark.  Coupon: A periodic interest payment made to bondholders  Russell 2000: Is a stock market index that measures the performance of 2,000 small cap companies in the U.S.  Options: Financial derivatives that give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset  BDCs: Stands for Business Development Company, a type of investment firm. BDCs primarily invest in small and mid-sized businesses  REITs: Stands for Real Estate Investment Trust, a company that owns, operates, or finances income-producing real estate  Par: Stated or face value of a financial instrument, primarily bonds and stocks  GFC: Stands for Global Financial Crisis, which refers to the severe worldwide economic crisis that occurred in 2007-2008  AGG: iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF, which tracks the performance of the U.S. investment-grade bond market Find complete show notes on our blogs... Ben Carlson's ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠A Wealth of Common Sense⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Michael Batnick's ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Irrelevant Investor⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Feel free to shoot us an email at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠animalspirits@thecompoundnews.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. Check out the latest in financial blogger fashion at The Compound shop: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://idontshop.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. See our disclosures here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ritholtz Wealth Management⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, Steve sits down with Jo Natoli, a property manager, developer, and business broker who has seen the industry from just about every angle. Jo grew up around property investing in Wollongong, started her own property management agency at 22, and graduated into mid-to-large-scale development alongside her husband, a builder.Their projects scaled from a six-unit build on a site so narrow the architect designed it as a joke, through to a 35-unit, eight-storey mixed-use tower on Crown Street in Wollongong CBD. That final project was meant to be their last. It was fully leased on the commercial side, with strong pre-sales and record-setting rents. Then the Global Financial Crisis hit, the banks slashed their valuation by 40%, and the financier pulled the pin. Jo and her husband walked away with $60,000, their cars, and their clothes. This conversation covers the full arc of a development career, the mechanics of how deals are structured, and the uncomfortable reality that you can do everything right and still lose.What We CoverHow growing up around property investing in Wollongong shaped Jo's approach to development, and how she fell into real estate through a traineeship she almost missed.Starting a property management agency at 22 as the first Sydney firm to specialise exclusively in residential property management.The transition from property management into development, teaming up with her husband (a builder) and why their complementary skill sets made the partnership work.Four development projects in detail: a six-unit build on a 2.5-metre-wide site in Hurstville, a 12-unit-plus-retail conversion of an old bank in Wanoona, 22 units and a shop on Victoria Street, and the 35-unit Crown Street tower.Why Jo never negotiated on price but always negotiated on terms, and how a two-year put-and-call option gave her the time to design, approve, and fund the Crown Street project without putting significant money down.The DA process, subject-to-DA contracts, and what happens when community backlash doubles your approval timeline from 12 months to 24.The Global Financial Crisis hitting one week after project completion, wiping out all pre-sales, and how the bank slashed the valuation by 40% before eventually forcing administration.Why incorrect structuring (no special purpose vehicles, no siloed entities) meant Jo and her husband lost everything they had accumulated across four projects.Walking away with $60,000, picking up a small building contract within two months, and slowly rebuilding from there.HOSTED BY:Steve PalisePh: 0403 878 497Email: steve@paliseproperty.comLinkedIn: https://au.linkedin.com/in/steve-paliseCONNECT WITH JO NATOLILinkedIn: au.linkedin.com/in/jonatoli Resources:Get FREE access to the Commercial Property Institute course -  CLICK HEREGet FREE access to the Residential Property Institute course - CLICK HEREGet your FREE copy of Commercial Property Investing Explained Simply - Use discount code PODCAST CLICK HEREGet your FREE Commercial Property Paydown Calculator CLICK HERE Follow Palise Property on FACEBOOK for Free Tips Tricks & Insights CLICK HERE

The on-premise side of wine analytics has traditionally been a black hole, not covered by other data services. Somm.ai changed that when they launched in 2021, now covering ~100k on-premise accounts in the US alone. The richness of data allows Somm.ai to help their clients benchmark, prospect for new accounts, and so much more. Jeremy Hart, Co-Founder and Chief Strategy Officer of Somm.ai, explains how it is more manpower vs a platform to accelerate on-premise sales. Detailed Show Notes: Jeremy's background: restaurants, wholesale, importingTX became a major wine market during ‘08 Global Financial Crisis; it took the allocations from NY and CASomm.ai founding: end of 2019 was originally an app for people to find restaurants with wines they wanted to drink; during the pandemic (2020) pivoted to turning restaurant wine lists into retail shops (sold ~$700k of wine); did some smart menus; 2021 launched current iteration of on-premise sales analyticsCategorizes restaurants, bars, & hotels in US (100k accounts), Canada, Europe (6 countries, Germany largest w/ 3k accounts), Singapore; data updated every 2 weeksJackson Family is longest client - w/ NBA partnership, Somm.ai developed target lists around NBA stadiums to sell into~70 clients of all sizes (many large suppliers, e.g. - Terlato, Vintus, Concha y Toro, wholesalers, importers)General use cases include: Benchmarking vs peers (accounts, placements)Prospecting and lead generation (can see accounts that other distributors cover)Identify brand extensionsHelp with pricingIdentifying sales pitches for national accountsROISome clients have moved up a lot in benchmarking ranksSave money on travel, focused on the right marketsCan save manpowerPricing ~$30-70k/year avg, includes unlimited training and unlimited seats, US and Canada (other geographies are an upcharge)Product roadmap - expanding to more geographies, which can be temporary exclusivity for early partners Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

There is growing pressure to ease post-Global Financial Crisis regulatory and supervisory frameworks and to simplify financial supervision.This TC Note makes proposals for supervisory effectiveness and—where consistent with more effective supervision—the simplification of supervisory methodologies and processes. Drawing on lessons from recent bank failures, it identifies three ways to make supervision more effective in identifying and mitigating unacceptable risks:Fully implementing risk-based supervision Enhancing cross cooperation and collaboration among supervisory authorities and other organizationsUsing SupTech carefully, recognizing the need for human intervention and judgementGuest: Clive Briault, Chair, Banking Advisory Board, Toronto CentreHost: Demet Çanakçı, Senior Program Director, Toronto CentreRead the transcript here. Read their biographies here.

This week, I sat down with Mark Bourgeois, Chief Executive of the Government Property Agency, for a conversation that bridges the worlds of private sector real estate and public sector purpose in a way that very few guests on this show ever could. Mark's journey into real estate began not through a carefully planned career move but through a rugby sevens team at Donaldson's in Leeds. What followed was 25 years at the sharp end of the retail property industry, from running shopping centre teams at Capital Regional through to managing director roles at Hammerson, navigating two of the most turbulent periods the sector has ever seen. The Global Financial Crisis and the structural disruption of COVID taught him things about leadership under pressure that no business school could. We discuss what it really feels like to lead a three billion pound business through a fight for survival, why staying close to your North Star matters more than ever when the ground is shifting beneath you, and how Mark's unusually broad grounding in finance shaped a career that consistently put him ahead of the curve in a sector famous for siloed thinking. The conversation takes a fascinating turn when Mark explains what drew him from the private sector into public sector leadership, first at Liverpool City Council during one of the most challenging periods in its modern history, and then to the GPA. He is candid about what surprised him, what frustrated him, and what has genuinely inspired him about leading a 500 person organisation with a mandate to transform how government uses its estate across the UK. Mark also shares his thinking on AI and why he believes every leader has a personal responsibility to get deep into the technology rather than delegating it to someone else in the organisation. And of course, I asked Mark the big question: Who are the People, what Property, and which Place would you invest in if you had £500 million to deploy? Drop your thoughts in the comments. We would love to hear your take. Key Topics ✅ From Rugby Sevens to Real Estate. The Unlikely Career Origin Story ✅ Leading Through the Global Financial Crisis and the Retail Collapse ✅ What the Public Sector Teaches You About Leadership That the Private Sector Cannot ✅ Inside the Government Property Agency. The Mission, the Portfolio and the Opportunity ✅ Why Every Leader Must Be a Digital Leader Right Now   The People Property Place Podcast is powered by Rockbourne, recruiting leadership talent for real estate funds, owners, investors, and developers.

In this powerful episode of The Mike Litton Experience, host Mike Litton sits down with real estate visionary Neal Bawa to uncover an extraordinary journey from adversity to massive success. Born in Mumbai just before the Indo-Pakistani War of 1971, Neil faced unimaginable challenges early in life. From losing his father as an infant to navigating poverty in India, his story is one of resilience, grit, and determination. Fast forward to today—Neil is the founder of Grow Capital, managing over $350 million in investments and working with more than 1,300 investors nationwide. In this episode, he shares how he leveraged data science, timing during the Global Financial Crisis, and unconventional thinking to build a thriving real estate empire. What you'll learn in this episode: How Neal turned hardship into a competitive advantage The power of data-driven real estate investing Why 2009 was the greatest buying opportunity in history How depreciation and tax strategy accelerate wealth The truth about passive investing (and the risks most ignore) Why transparency builds stronger investor relationships Neal also shares insights inspired by futurist Ray Kurzweil and discusses the impact of innovation leaders like Elon Musk on global progress. If you're interested in real estate, entrepreneurship, or personal growth, this episode delivers actionable insights and powerful perspective. Don't forget to LIKE, COMMENT, and SUBSCRIBE to The Mike Litton Experience for more inspiring conversations with world-class entrepreneurs and thought leaders. Welcome to The Mike Litton Experience Podcast! Mike is passionate about being a father, a teacher, a Realtor, an investor and a leader! Everyone has a story and our passion is to help them tell it! We never want you to miss an episode, so please be sure to subscribe. Could we ask you for two quick favors? If you like our program, please tell a friend. Wherever you get your podcasts please leave us a rating. It helps us to connect with quality people just like you! Reach out to Mike on Instagram @themikelittonexperience. Thank you for joining us for The Mike Litton Experience! Who you work with matters and we would be honored to interview with you or anyone you know to sell your home! If you have questions, please reach out text or call 760-522-1227. Thank you! #livinginsandiego, #movingtosandiego, #themikelittonexperience, #homesforsaleinsandiego, #mikelitton, #sellahomeinsandiego, #buyahomeinsandiego, #toptipstogetthebestoffer #themikelittonexperience

In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses the evolution of the sub-investment grade credit market from its beginnings in the 1970s to its present state. He focuses on the rise of direct lending following the Global Financial Crisis, identifying the reasons for its fast growth but also the issues created by rapid capital deployment. Looking ahead, he describes the entwined fates of direct lending and private equity, with the performance of private equity portfolio companies being a key determiner of the future success of direct loans.You can read the memo here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/whats-going-on-in-private-credit).This episode uses an AI reader.

When global markets turn volatile, where does capital seek safety? In this episode, we explore why Australian property continues to demonstrate resilience amid economic uncertainty, share market swings, and geopolitical disruption. Drawing on historical cycles including the dotcom crash, the Global Financial Crisis, and COVID, we examine a consistent theme: while equities react sharply to global events, Australian real estate remains underpinned by structural demand, limited supply, and long term fundamentals. We unpack the key drivers shaping the market today, including population growth, housing shortages, infrastructure investment, and shifting investor behaviour in response to rising interest rates. You will also gain insight into why property is often viewed as a defensive asset class, offering stability, income potential, and a greater degree of control compared to more volatile investments. If you are an investor, buyer, or simply looking to understand the forces influencing the Australian property market, this discussion provides data driven perspective and expert commentary to help you navigate uncertainty with confidence. Tune in to explore why, in times of global disruption, Australian property continues to attract long term capital and remain a preferred strategy for disciplined investors.  

This week, we examine rising strains in subprime credit, an end of quarter market rally that may say more about flows than fundamentals, and a deteriorating situation in the Middle East, along with our normal overview of macroeconomic releases. Delinquencies in subprime debt have climbed to their highest level in over a decade. Yet the system is not as exposed as it once was. Subprime balances now account for roughly half the share of total debt seen before the Global Financial Crisis, suggesting a more contained, though still notable, pocket of stress. Equity markets, meanwhile, finished the quarter with surprising strength on March 31. The move looked less like a reassessment of economic prospects and more like the mechanical force of pension rebalancing at quarter end. In other words, flows rather than fundamentals. Geopolitics adds another layer of uncertainty. Tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate, with the potential to reverberate through energy markets and inflation expectations at an already fragile moment for the global economy. As a note, this episode was recorded on April 1 and does not include the employment report released on April 3. We will return to that data, and its implications, in our next discussion.

The Iran war is shaking global markets — from oil prices and inflation to stocks, interest rates, and your personal finances. In this video, we break down how war in the Middle East could trigger a global financial crisis, impact the economy, and affect your money, investments, savings, and cost of living. EXCLUSIVE COMMUNITY & RESOURCES:

Today we're going to talk about a signal that lenders, buyers, and owners are all watching more closely: Multifamily loan delinquencies are rising, and a key measure just hit its highest level since the Global Financial Crisis. What does this mean for deals in 2026?

Why the Iran war is creating a global financial crisis. Why China doesn't want global hegemony, but if it did, now is the best time imaginable. Signs of American hegemonic decline. And Joe Kent's resignation from the Trump administration and how to read it in light of anti-semitism. Van Jackson and Matt Duss chopping up all that and more in this episode. Subscribe to the Un-Diplomatic Newsletter: https://www.un-diplomatic.com/  Watch Un-Diplomatic Podcast on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@un-diplomaticpodcast  Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the individuals and not of any institutions.

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.theflyingfrisby.comNever mind the dodgy mortgages, oil spiking to $150/barrel in July, 2008, just before the panic set in, was as big a cause of the Global Financial Crisis.The price rise was like a sudden, unexpected liquidity drain on the economy. The US economy is built on oil. Costs suddenly rose across every supply chain. Disposable income was sucked out of households. Corporate margins got squeezed and inflation expectations rose effectively tightening financial conditions, just as the system needed liquidity. Funding costs then rose and collateral quality deteriorated. In a system already stretched with cheap credit and thin margins, highly leveraged institutions and ordinary borrowers were simultaneously pushed over the edge. The structure was fragile and it only worked in a low energy, low rate world. Subprime may have been the trigger, but the energy shock had already destabilised the foundations.The oil price tightened financial conditions before central banks didThis is not a one-offAs Charlie Morris points out in his piece What Happened in 1974, there have been three major oil shocks - in 1973/4, 1980 and 2008.In 1973 the US was dependent on Arab nations for most of its oil, and shortly after the Egypt-Syria alliance suddenly declared war on Israel, oil-producing Arab nations imposed an embargo on any nation that supported Israel. “You can support Israel or have cheap oil, but you can't have both,” the Saudi Arabian king had said on US TV.The oil price went from $3.50 to $10. It would eventually peak at $39.50 in 1980.I was only a little boy in the 1970s but we lived in South Kensington and I remember how many Arabs suddenly moved to the area, many of them with a great deal of money. My step-father ran a business in Belgravia selling modern Italian furniture and his clientele changed almost overnight. Hundreds of billions of dollars, previously in Western bank accounts, now made their way to the Gulf in a transfer of wealth like no other. Next came the Rolls Royces, the racehorses, the Harrods shopping sprees (indeed Harrods itself), the mansions, the public school educations, the City petro-dollar recycling trade and yes the over-priced, glitzy, Valentino furniture. London would never be the same.And what impact did those years have on bond and equity markets more generally? The 1970s were horrible, unless you were long commodities. The low reached in 1982 was so extreme that it marked one of the greatest long-term buying opportunities ever known, perhaps the greatest. While 2008 had its own consequences, not least the end of the City as a leading player in the global financial system (thanks to the regulation which followed), followed by the general decline of London.Each of these episodes follows a similar pattern: an energy shock tightens conditions, exposes leverage and forces a reset.It might not feel that way today with oil at $100, but we are still a long way from the extremes of 1974, 1980 or 2008. A lot of commentary is saying the investment world is too complacent and has not factored in what is coming.What is 2008's $150 oil in today's money?I'm not going to give you the CPI numbers because I consider CPI a bogus measure. Using money supply instead (M2), the equivalents look like this* 1974: $10 oil ≈ $120-150* 1980: $40 oil ≈ $360-440* 2008: $150 oil ≈ $375-450In the context of those extremes $100 oil does not look unreasonableThe sub-$60 prices with which we began this year now look extraordinarily cheap. I don't think we are going back to them any time soon.I'm also not saying we are going to those comparable numbers above. I merely show them for context.In terms of where we are going, I think Charlie has it right when he says, “We should assume that $100 oil implies a slowdown, $150 a recession, and $200 a depression”.$200 is not impossible if this was carries on.What to do?Let's take a quick look at how to position ourselves, and at what's in store for gold, silver, miners and the equities markets.It was the right call to move into energy at the beginning of the year, I'm pleased to say. With such quick profits the temptation is to sell. I'm maintaining my positions.The US, especially after the Venezuala episode, is self-sufficient in hydrocarbons. Europe is not. Whose oil and gas will it be buying now that Gulf supplies are in doubt, and Russian supply is off-limits?Meanwhile, high energy prices make shale extraction profitable again.North American oil and gas comes out of this strong.

Returning today to discuss the latest developments from Israel & US's war with Iran is Nick Kumleben, Director at Greenmantle, the geopolitical risk advisory firm. What are the commodities markets telling us about duration? What are the incentive structures in place? How are traders faring in this period of extraordinary volatility? Is the US Treasury trading and how rumor and innuendo are driving that volatility? What would mines in the strait mean? Would boots on the ground actually lower prices? Why are the equity markets so sanguine? could this, plus a smoldering private credit fund concern, lead us quickly to the global financial crisis?

Send a textIf you read the headlines about Private Credit, it feels like we're on the verge of another Global Financial Crisis. So, are we?  In this Private Credit "state of the union" episode, we break down the structural differences between today's private credit market and the pre-GFC banking system, why the "private" in private credit makes it so hard to know how deep the problems actually go, and whether the knock-on effects to pensions, banks, and public markets could make this everyone's problem even if most Americans don't have direct exposure.We dig into the Blue Owl gating, redemption and markdown headlines at Blackstone and Blackrock, and what Boaz Weinstein's activist bid tells us about where these portfolios are actually worth. What's more, we ask whether the push to put private credit into 401(k)s and retail channels is democratizing wealth creation or backfilling institutional demand that's dried up. Plus: the "SaaSpocalypse" thesis, why Tuesday's record $66 billion day in IG bond issuance may be telling a very different story than private credit headlines, and more!For a 14 day FREE Trial of Macabacus, click HEREShop our Self Paced Courses: Investment Banking & Private Equity Fundamentals HEREFixed Income Sales & Trading HERE Wealthfront.com/wss. This is a paid endorsement for Wealthfront. May not reflect others' experiences. Similar outcomes not guaranteed. Wealthfront Brokerage is not a bank. Rate subject to change. Promo terms apply. If eligible for the boosted rate of 4.15% offered in connection with this promo, the boosted rate is also subject to change if base rate decreases during the 3 month promo period.The Cash Account, which is not a deposit account, is offered by Wealthfront Brokerage LLC ("Wealthfront Brokerage"), Member FINRA/SIPC. Wealthfront Brokerage is not a bank. The Annual Percentage Yield ("APY") on cash deposits as of 11/7/25, is representative, requires no minimum, and may change at any time. The APY reflects the weighted average of deposit balances at participating Program Banks, which are not allocated equally. Wealthfront Brokerage sweeps cash balances to Program Banks, where they earn the variable APY. Sources HERE.

What if the best financial advice isn't new—but simply forgotten? In this episode of Earn & Invest, Doc G sits down with historian Joseph S. Moore, author of How to Get Rich in American History: 300 Years of Financial Advice That Worked—and Didn't. Moore spent a decade exploring centuries of advice aimed at everyday Americans, testing which strategies actually worked—and which didn't. Remarkably, his research led him to build a seven-figure net worth using lessons from the past. Moore's journey began with a personal financial scare: after taking a risky “NINJA loan” to buy a townhouse in 2005, he realized his vulnerability as the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 approached. Selling his home just in time sparked a curiosity that would consume the next decade. One of his most surprising findings? Optimism is a powerful predictor of financial success. Research from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau shows that believing you can shape your financial future often outweighs inheritance or education. Moore argues that financial “gurus,” often dismissed for overhyping strategies, actually provide hope and practical frameworks that help people take action. We also explore how many “modern” wealth tactics are centuries old. House hacking—renting out spare rooms to pay a mortgage—was once a standard working-class strategy, frequently managed by women whose contributions rarely appeared in official statistics. Mobility was another forgotten tactic; in the 1800s, roughly one in three Americans moved annually to chase opportunity. Moore introduces the concepts of slow time and fast time: slow time is when we build skills, capital, and relationships; fast time is when booms, crashes, or major shifts create opportunities. Those prepared in slow time can seize advantage when fast time arrives. We also discuss concentration vs. diversification, the myth of effortless compound returns, and why financial independence isn't the finish line—it's the point when life becomes flexible enough to pursue meaningful goals. For anyone curious about wealth-building, historical financial strategies, or the patterns behind money and opportunity, this episode offers practical insights drawn from 300 years of experience. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by Doug Elliott, Partner at Oliver Wyman, and Andrés Portilla, Managing Director of Regulatory Affairs at the IIF, to take a closer look at the growing global debate over regulatory modernization. Fifteen years after the Global Financial Crisis led policymakers to introduce an expansive set of rules designed to reinforce financial stability, many jurisdictions are now questioning whether the existing framework has become overly complex, duplicative, or limiting to growth. Together, Clay, Doug, and Andrés unpack what modernization really means today, whether it is simplification, de‑layering, right‑sizing, or true deregulation, and why the conversation is gaining urgency across markets. Doug lays out the philosophical and practical forces behind modernization efforts globally, while Andrés discusses the findings of the recent IIF Report, "Modernization and Simplification — Revamping the Global Banking Regulatory Framework" - underscoring how overlapping constraints and diverging national interpretations create unnecessary friction for banks operating across borders. The discussion also turns to the ongoing debate over central bank independence, an issue increasingly intertwined with the regulatory modernization agenda. They examine how these debates differ across jurisdictions, how they may influence regulatory decision‑making, and why a credible, independent regulatory framework remains essential for market confidence. In addition, the conversation assesses the role of global standard setters, including the Financial Stability Board and the Basel Committee, in helping ensure consistency as countries revise their approaches at different paces. Clay and his guests discuss why maintaining coherence across borders is critical, even as national politics, growth priorities, and competitive pressures pull policymakers in different directions. This IIF Podcast was hosted by Clay Lowery, Executive Vice President, Research and Policy, with production and research contributions from Christian Klein, Digital Graphics and Production Associate and Miranda Silverman, Senior Program Assistant.

Sam is an experienced transformational leader and adviser with 25 years experience in politics, government, policy-making, strategy, sustainability, financial services and running his own business.Sam has undertaken some big roles in politics and Government. He was Sir Keir Starmer's Chief of Staff for the turnaround of the Labour Party and long-serving adviser to Chancellor Rt Hon Alistair Darling's during the Global Financial Crisis. Sam helped Starmer drive the political and professional transformation of the Labour Party in opposition; climbing from -10% in the polls when Sam took on the role to +30% when he left.He has worked across Government: in Whitehall, in devolved administrations and with intergovernmental bodies, and covered briefs including the Treasury, transport, energy, business and trade during the last Labour Governments under Tony Blair & Gordon Brown.Sam spent a decade as a senior executive at the FTSE100 Aviva plc, running a range of teams and advising the CEOs and Board. One of the projects he was most proud of is authoring Aviva's Net Zero 2040 plan, which remains one of the most ambitious and comprehensive climate plans for a major financial services company.Today, Sam is Chair of Foundations: the What Works Centre for Children and Families, advising government on effective interventions in policies affecting children (for example children's social care, family support etc). He has a long history championing causes including Living Wage Foundation, Climate Change, Gender Equality and Social Mobility.He also acts as a Specialist Partner at the strategic consultancy Flint Global as well as MD of his own advisory business Next Chapter Strategy, working with senior leaders in business, charities and politics. He is on a number of advisory boards, including the Social Market Foundation think tank.He is married, living in Yorkshire with two daughters. And is proud to have been one of the most senior job-sharing dads in the UK.Sam regularly appears on the media to provide insight and commentary. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

"First thing I'd say is do it… just throw yourself into it."  "Spend the first ninety days getting to know the people… listening… before acting."  "Communication here is more high context… there's a lot of reading between the lines."  "Trust is doing what you say you would do."  "A leader is someone who takes a strategy and a vision breaks that down into habits… and empowers people to execute."  Grant Torrens is an Australian recruitment leader and long-tenured Hays executive who became Managing Director of Hays Japan after a two-decade, multi-country journey with the firm. He joined Hays in London in 2006 through its graduate program—initially as a jobseeker who "fell into recruitment" like many in the industry—working a demanding hedge-fund desk in the City. After navigating the Global Financial Crisis, he took a career break to travel across Southeast Asia, where a short visit to colleagues in Singapore turned into a relocation, leveraging Hays' global internal mobility and his transferable financial-services recruitment expertise. ] Years later, he was offered the Japan role—but COVID-era border restrictions meant he effectively "ran Japan from Singapore" for about 15 months, relying heavily on his Japan leadership team and building data-driven management systems to lead remotely. When he finally relocated to Tokyo, he focused on deep listening, high-clarity communication, and change management—while guiding Hays Japan through a strategic shift toward stronger service for Nikkei clients and hiring more Japanese nationals, including team members who don't work in English.  Grant Torrens' leadership story is built on three threads: global mobility, remote-first problem solving under pressure, and culture-building at the intersection of Hays' global norms and Japan's high-context communication. He joined Hays "by accident" in London—starting in financial services at a moment when the City rewarded performance and speed, then learning to survive and adapt through the post-2008 shock. The early lesson that carries forward is pragmatic: when conditions change, your approach must pivot too. That mindset shows up repeatedly in his later Japan leadership—especially when COVID delayed his physical move and forced him to lead Japan from outside the country. During that "remote with a capital R" period, Torrens deliberately upgraded the mechanics of decision-making: he turned raw sales and activity data into usable management information, taught himself Excel at a much higher level, and used those insights to create sharper, more useful conversations over video calls. It's a very modern leadership move, but grounded in a classic idea: if you can't rely on presence, you rely on clarity—data clarity, expectation clarity, and communication clarity.  Once on the ground in Japan, his operating principle remained "listen first." He emphasizes that many leaders arrive, see processes that look "wrong," and try to replace them with headquarters logic—only to discover later those practices existed to serve customers and local realities. His antidote is explicit: spend the first ~90 days learning, not executing change. In Japan specifically, he adds two important nuances: (1) communication tends to be high-context—direct bluntness that feels "normal" in Australia/UK can land badly in Japan, and (2) trust is tightly linked to process—nemawashi and broad involvement matter, even if it slows decisions compared to London-style speed. On culture, Torrens frames "Grant culture" as mostly aligned with Hays culture after 20 years inside the firm—but he still sees leadership latitude inside the umbrellas of global standards and Japanese expectations. His chosen lever is change: he wants a culture where change is less feared and more celebrated. That includes giving people "permission" to try, treating mistakes as learning data (especially early), avoiding public blame, and celebrating wins so innovation feels worth the effort. He also highlights the practical friction of language and meaning: even company values can translate oddly, so global messaging must be adapted carefully to remain faithful—especially as Hays Japan expands its Nikkei-facing business and hires more Japanese-only speakers.  Q&A Summary Why did you choose recruitment—and how did Japan happen? Recruitment wasn't the plan; it was an opportunity in London when he was unemployed and out of options. Japan was always in the background (he studied Japanese), but Singapore became the stepping stone because it was an easy transition into Asia—English-speaking, same company, and the financial services sector was transferable.  How did you lead Japan while stuck in Singapore during COVID? Two pillars: a supportive Asia boss and a strong Japan management team. Personally, he built better reporting/insight systems—turning "raw data" into actionable information—so he could manage outcomes without relying on physical visibility.  How do you build trust in Japan? He treats trust as universal but harder-won in Japan if you ignore high-context communication and consensus processes. Practically: reciprocate trust, be fair, do what you say you'll do, and follow verbal messages with written confirmation to reduce misunderstanding—especially across language boundaries.  How do you get bottom-up ideas in a high-context culture? He uses second-level (and broader) conversations—while explicitly asking permission and explaining intent so it doesn't feel like bypassing managers. The goal is pattern recognition: common themes that reveal what the organization should improve, not "who said what about whom."  What advice would you give a leader moving to Japan? Do it (don't overthink yourself into regret). Then: listen before acting (including to customers), communicate with extra clarity (avoid slang/idioms), and intentionally build a culture where change is normal and safe—because the organization will look different in 3–10 years no matter what.  Author Credentials Dr. Greg Story, Ph.D. in Japanese Decision-Making, is President of Dale Carnegie Tokyo Training and Adjunct Professor at Griffith University. He is a two-time winner of the Dale Carnegie "One Carnegie Award" (2018, 2021) and recipient of the Griffith University Business School Outstanding Alumnus Award (2012). As a Dale Carnegie Master Trainer, Greg is certified to deliver globally across all leadership, communication, sales, and presentation programs, including Leadership Training for Results. He has written several books, including three best-sellers — Japan Business Mastery, Japan Sales Mastery, and Japan Presentations Mastery — along with Japan Leadership Mastery and How to Stop Wasting Money on Training. His works have also been translated into Japanese, including Za Eigyō (ザ営業), Purezen no Tatsujin (プレゼンの達人), Torēningu de Okane o Muda ni Suru no wa Yamemashō (トレーニングでお金を無駄にするのはやめましょう), and Gendaiban "Hito o Ugokasu" Rīdā (現代版「人を動かす」リーダー). In addition to his books, Greg publishes daily blogs on LinkedIn, Facebook, and Twitter, and hosts multiple weekly podcasts and YouTube shows, including Japan's Top Business Interviews.

Our Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Serena Tang and senior leaders from Investment Management Andrew Slimmon and Jitania Kandhari unpack new investment trends from supportive monetary and fiscal policy and shifting market leadership. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Serena Tang: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Serena Tang, Morgan Stanley's Chief Cross Asset Strategist. Today we're revisiting the 2026 global equity outlook with two senior leaders from Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Andrew Slimmon: I am Andrew Slimmon, Head of Applied Equity Team within Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Jitania Kandhari: And I'm Jitania Kandhari, Deputy CIO of the Solutions and Multi-Asset Group, Portfolio Manager for Passport Strategies and Head of Macro and Thematic Research for Emerging Market Equities within Morgan Stanley Investment Management.It's Tuesday, February 3rd at 10 am in New York. So as investors are entering in 2026, after several years of very strong equity returns with policy support reaccelerating. As regular listeners have probably heard, Mike Wilson, who of course is CIO and Chief Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley – his view is that we ended a three-year rolling earnings recession in last April and entered a rolling recovery and a new bull market. Now, Andrew, in the spirit of debate, I know you have a different take on valuations and where we are at in the cycle. I'd love to hear how you're framing this for investment management clients. Andrew Slimmon: Yeah, I mean, I guess I focus a little bit more on the behavioral cycle. And I think that from a behavioral cycle we're following a very consistent pattern, which is we had a bad bear market in 2022 that bottomed down 25 percent. And that provided a wonderful opportunity to invest. But early in a behavioral cycle, investors are very pessimistic. And that was really the story of [20]23 and really 2024, which were; investors, you know, were negative on equities. The ratios were all very negative and investors sold out of equities. And that's consistent with a early cycle. And then as you move into the third-fourth year, investors tend to get more optimistic about returns. Doesn't necessarily mean the market goes down. But what it does mean is the market tends to get more volatile and returns start to compress, and ultimately, bull markets die on euphoria. And so, I think it's late cycle, but it's not end of cycle. And that's my theme; is late cycle but not end of cycle.Serena Tang: And I think on that point, one very unusual feature of this environment is that you have both monetary and fiscal policy being supportive at the same time, which, of course, rarely happens outside of recession. So how do you see those dual policy forces shaping market behavior and which parts of the market tend to benefit? Andrew Slimmon: Well, that's exactly right. Look, the last time I checked, page one of the investment handbook says, ‘Don't fight the Fed.' And so, you have monetary policy easing. And what we; remember what happened in 2021? The Fed raised rates and monetary policy was tightening. Equities do well when the Fed is easing, and that's one of the reasons why I think it's not end of cycle. And then you layer in fiscal policy with tax relief coming, it is a reason to be relatively optimistic on equities in 2026. But it doesn't mean there can't be bumps along the way – and I think a higher level of optimism as we're seeing today is a result of that. But I think you stick with those more procyclical areas: Finance, Industrials, Technology, and then you move down the cap curve a little bit. I think those are the winning trades. They really started to come to the fore in the second half of last year, and I think that will continue into 2026. Serena Tang: Right. And we've definitely seen some bumps recently, but I think on your point around yields. So, Jitania, I think that policy backdrop really ties directly to your idea of the age of capped real rates. In very simple terms, can you explain what that means and what's behind that view? Jitania Kandhari: Sure. When I say age of real rates being capped, I mean like the structural template within which I'm operating, and real rates here are defined by the 10-year on the Treasury yield adjusted for CPI.Firstly, I'd say there was too much linear thinking in markets post Liberation Day. That tariffs equals inflation equals higher rates. Now, tariff impacts, as we have seen, can be offset in several ways, and economic relationships are rarely linear.So, inflation may not go up to the extent market is expecting. So that supports the case for capped rates. And the real constraint is the debt arithmetic, right? So, if you look at the history of public debt in the U.S., whenever there was a surge in public debt during the Civil War, two World Wars, Global Financial Crisis, even during COVID. In all these periods, when debt spiked, real rates have remained negative.So, there can be short term swings in rates, but I believe that markets not necessarily central banks will even enforce that cap. Serena Tang: You've described this moment, as the great broadening of 2026. What's driving this and what do you think is happening now after years of very narrow concentration? Jitania Kandhari: Yes. I think like if last decade was about concentration, now it's going to be about breadth. And if you look at where the concentration was, it was in the [Mag] 7, in the AI trade. We are beginning to see some cracks in the consensus where adoption is happening, but monetization is lagging. But clearly the next phase of value creation could happen from just the model building to the application layer, as you guys have also talked about – from enablers to adopters.The other thing we are seeing is two AI ecosystems evolve globally. The high cost cutting edge U.S. innovation engine and the lower cost efficiency driven Chinese model, each of them have their own supply chain beneficiaries. And as AI is moving into physical world, you're going to see more opportunities. And then secondly, I think there are limitations on this tariff policies globally; and tariff fears to me remain more of an illusion than a reality because U.S. needs to import a lot of intermediate goods And then lastly, I see domestic cycles inflecting upwards in many other pockets of the world. And you add all this up; the message is clear that leadership is broadening and portfolio should broaden too. Serena Tang: And I want to sort of stay on this topic of broadening. So, Andrew, I think, you've also highlighted, you know, this market broadening, especially beyond the large cap leaders, even as AI investment continues, I think, as you touched on earlier. So why does that matter for equity leadership in 2026? And can you talk about the impact of this broadening on valuations in general? Andrew Slimmon: Sure. So I think, you know, I've been around a long time and I remember when the internet first rolled out, the Mosaic browser was introduced in 1993. And the first thing the stock market tried to do is appoint winners – of who was going to win the internet, you know, search race. And it was Ask Jeeves and it was Yahoo and it was Netscape. Well, none of those were the winners. We just don't know who's ultimately going to be the tech winner. I think it's much safer to know that just like the internet, AI is a technology productivity enhancing tool, and companies are going to embrace AI just like they embraced the internet. And the reason the stock market doubled between 1997 and the dotcom peak was that productivity margins went up for a lot of companies in a lot of industries as they embraced the internet. So, to me, a broadening out and looking at lower valuations, it is in many ways safer than saying this is the technology winner, and this is technology loser. I think it's all many different industries are going to embrace and benefit from what's going on with AI. Serena Tang: You don't want to know where I was in 1993. And I don't recognize most of those names. Andrew Slimmon: Sorry. I was 14! Serena Tang: [Laughs] Ok. Investors often hear two competing messages now. Ignore the macro and buy great companies or let the big picture drive everything. How do you balance top-down signals with bottom-up fundamentals in your investment process? Andrew Slimmon: Yeah, I think you have to employ both, and I hear that all the time; especially I hear, you know, my competitors, ‘Oh, I just focus on my stock picks, my bottom up.' But, you know, look statistically, two-thirds of a manager's relative performance comes from macro. You know, how did growth do? How did value do? All those types of things that have nothing to do with what stock picks... And likewise, much of a return of an individual stock has to do with things beyond just what's happening fundamentally. But some of it comes from what's happening at the company level. So, I think to be a great investor, you have to be aware of the macro. The Fed cutting rates this year is a very powerful tool, and if you don't understand the amplifications of that as per what types of stocks work, because you're so focused on the micro, I think that's a mistake. Likewise, you have to know what's going on in your company [be]cause one third of term does come from actual stock selection. So, I'm a big believer in marrying a top down and a bottom up and try to capture the two thirds and the one third.Serena Tang: Since that 2022 bear market low that you talked about earlier. I mean, your framework really favored growth and value over defensives. But I think more recently you've increased your non-U.S. exposure. What changed in your top-down signals and bottom-up data to make global opportunities more compelling now? Is it the narrative of the end of U.S. exceptionalism or something else? Andrew Slimmon: No, I really think it's actually something else, which is we have picked up signals from other parts of the world, Europe and Japan. That are different signals than we saw really for the last decade, which is namely that pro-cyclical stocks started to work. Value stocks started to work in the first half of 2025. And you look at the history of when that happens, usually value doesn't work for a year and peter out. So that's been a huge change where I would say, a safer orientation has shown the relative leadership, and we have to be – recognize that. So, in our global strategies, we've been heavily weighted towards, the U.S. orientation because we didn't see really a cyclical bias outside. And now that's changing and that has caused us to increase the allocation to non-U.S. exposure. It's a longwinded way of saying, look, I think what the story of last year was the U.S. did just fine. But there were parts of the world that did better and I think that will continue in 2026. Serena Tang: Andrew, Jitania thank you so much for taking the time to talk. Andrew Slimmon: Great speaking with you, Serena. Jitania Kandhari: Thanks for having us on the show. Serena Tang: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

On this episode of the Insurance Coffee House, Nick Hoadley is joined by Susan Holliday, a global insurance and reinsurance executive and experienced board director, including her recent appointment to the board of Hippo Insurance.Susan shares how the Hippo opportunity came about, why the stage of the business matters for board impact, and what her committee roles involve, including Audit, Risk and Compliance and Compensation. She also reflects on where insurtech sits today, why the ecosystem matters, and why not every technology-led player should become a full-stack carrier.The conversation explores Susan's career path into insurance, starting in the Lloyd's market, moving into counterparty credit and global insurer analysis, and later into equity research and senior roles at Swiss Re, including Head of Investor Relations through the Global Financial Crisis. Susan describes what it was like operating in a fast-moving environment, working closely with leadership, and the importance of clear communication when the fine print matters.Nick and Susan then discuss board work in practice: how to build a board portfolio, how to define a clear value proposition, how directors stay current, and how boards should approach emerging risks. Susan shares a practical framework for AI governance, including risk appetite, controls, pilot design, cross-functional execution, and regulator engagement.Connect with Susan Holliday on LinkedIn to follow her work across board governance, risk, and technology-led insurance.The Insurance Coffee House Podcast is brought to you by Insurance Search.We are a global Insurance Executive Search Consultancy, supporting Insurance and Insurtech businesses to attract and retain the very best insurance talent.Find out more about showcasing your employer brand as a guest on the Insurance Coffee House Podcast or sign up to our News and Insights.Or follow us on LinkedIn, Twitter or Instagram.Insurance Executive Search Consultants in USA, London and Bermuda.Copyright Insurance Search 2025 - All Rights Reserved.

In this episode of the Rainmaker Podcast, Gui Costin sits down with Larry Pokora, Managing Director on the Investor Relations team at Tilden Park Capital, to unpack a 30+ year career spanning traditional asset management, alternatives, and institutional fundraising. The conversation moves from Pokora's blue-collar upbringing in Pittsburgh to his hard-earned perspective on what actually drives long-term success in fundraising.Pokora begins by tracing his career back to an unconventional starting point: working as a programmer analyst at Mellon Financial Services after attending the Community College of Allegheny County. That early technical role, he explains, trained him to think linearly, diagnose problems, and stay disciplined when things didn't work the first time. Those habits—problem-solving, persistence, and accountability, became foundational as he transitioned into product specialist and sales roles within Mellon.A pivotal chapter followed at SEI Investments, where Pokora gained broad exposure to how asset managers, consultants, and investment teams operate. His time at SEI provided a full view of the institutional ecosystem, from OCIO mandates to consulting dynamics, while reinforcing the importance of preparation and repetition in winning mandates. Despite success, Pokora recognized a gap in his experience: he wanted to work closer to firms actually managing capital.That realization led him to Brandywine Asset Management and later to what he describes as a career-defining move, joining Paulson & Company in 2006, just ahead of the Global Financial Crisis. Fundraising during this period required more than performance figures; it demanded the ability to clearly explain complex strategies to consultants and allocators navigating fear, skepticism, and unfamiliar instruments. Pokora emphasizes that sales at this level is ultimately about education and translation, not persuasion.Throughout the conversation, Pokora outlines a clear fundraising philosophy. First, knowledge is non-negotiable, knowing your product, understanding portfolio fit, and being fluent in competitors' strategies. Second, there are no shortcuts. Even decades into his career, Pokora still prioritizes volume, preparation, and follow-through. Third, disciplined CRM usage is a competitive advantage, enabling better client engagement, internal reporting, and accountability.Beyond tactics, Pokora highlights the less discussed but equally important role of energy and leadership. Investor relations professionals set the tone within an organization, particularly during challenging periods. Showing up prepared, optimistic, and transparent builds trust internally and externally.The episode closes with practical advice on internal communication, executive interaction, and final presentations, reinforcing a recurring theme: success in fundraising is built through consistency, clarity, and doing the work, day after day, cycle after cycle.Tired of chasing outdated leads? Book a demo to see how Dakota Marketplace simplifies your fundraising process with accurate, up-to-date investor data. 

It was a pleasure to welcome Alex Urdea, Founder and CIO of Deep Ocean Partners to the Alpha Exchange. Alex traces his career from credit derivatives trading at a large bank to a risk management function at a hedge fund focused on distressed investing to ultimately building an asset-backed private credit platform focused on smaller, less trafficked segments of the lending universe. The conversation centers on how regulatory changes following the Global Financial Crisis, prolonged periods of low interest rates, and shifting investor preferences have reshaped where and how credit risk is priced. Alex describes how traditional public credit markets, including leveraged loans and high yield, have increasingly compressed spreads while loosening covenants, reducing compensation for bearing risk. In contrast, private credit has emerged as an alternative channel for borrowers unable to access bank balance sheets, particularly fast-growing businesses that are asset-rich but cash-flow constrained. He emphasizes that credit underwriting remains fundamentally about downside protection, liquidation value, and recovery — principles shaped by his experience in stress, distress, and complex capital structures. A  theme central to our discussion is the distinction between risk monitoring and risk management. Alex explains how Deep Ocean combines asset-backed lending with data connectivity and real-time monitoring to identify potential issues earlier in the life of a loan, rather than relying solely on periodic reporting or mark-to-market signals. The conversation also explores how macro forces — including rate shocks, tariffs, and supply-chain disruptions — can impose themselves even on carefully underwritten credits, reinforcing the importance of portfolio construction and diversification. I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Alex Urdea.

Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research Andrew Sheets looks at the implications of the U.S. government's efforts to ease regulations, from bank balance sheets to asset valuations.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Global Head of Fixed Income Research at Morgan Stanley. Today, a core theme of easing policy, and the latest iteration in the U.S. mortgage market. It's Thursday, January 15th at 2pm in London. Central to our thinking for the year ahead is that we're seeing an unusual combination of easing monetary policy, fiscal policy, and regulatory policy – all at the same time. This isn't normal, and usually this type of support is only deployed under much more dire economic conditions. All this is also happening alongside another large supportive force – over $3 trillion of AI- and datacenter-related spending that Morgan Stanley expects all to happen through the end of 2028. This broad-based easing is a global theme. Equities in Japan have been rallying on hopes of even a larger fiscal leasing in that country. In Europe, we think that Germany will continue to spend more while the European Central Bank and Bank of England cut rates more than the market expects.But like many things these days, it's the United States that's at the heart of the story. We think that the U.S. Federal Reserve will continue to lower interest rates this year, even as core inflation persists above its target. The U.S. government will spend about $1.9 trillion more than it takes in, even after adjusting for tariffs as tax cuts from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act kick in. But my focus today is on the third leg of this proverbial three-legged stimulative stool. While easing monetary and fiscal policy probably get the most focus, easing regulatory policy is another big lever that's being pulled in the same direction. Regulatory policy is opaque, and let's face it can be a little boring. But it's extremely important for how financial markets function. Regulation drives the incentives for the buyers of many assets, especially in the all-important banking and insurance sectors. It can set almost by definition what price an asset needs to trade at to be attractive, or how much of an asset a particular actor in the market can or cannot hold. Regulatory policy tightened dramatically in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis, but now it's starting to ease. Our U.S. bank equity analysts expect that finalization of key capital rules later this year – an important regulatory step – could free up about [$]5.8 trillion – with a T – of balance sheet capacity across the Global Systematically Important Banks. In mid-December, the office of the comptroller of the currency and the FDIC withdrew lending guidelines from 2013 that had discouraged banks from making loans to more highly indebted companies. And just last week, the U.S. administration announced that the U.S. mortgage agencies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would buy [$]200 billion of mortgages to hold on their own balance sheet; a significant move that quickly tightens spreads in this key market. For investors, we see several implications. This simultaneous easing across monetary, fiscal, and now regulatory policy supports a market that runs hot and where valuations may overshoot. And in the specific case of these agency mortgages, my colleague Jay Bacow and our mortgage strategy team think that this shift is now very quickly in the price. Having previously been positive on agency mortgage spreads, they've now turned to neutral. Thank you as always for your time. If you find Thoughts on the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen. And also tell a friend or colleague about us today.

On this episode of the Insurance Coffee House Boardroom Series, Nick Hoadley is joined by David Herzog, former CFO of American International Group (AIG) and one of the most experienced finance and governance leaders in global insurance. David served as CFO of AIG from 2008 to 2016, stepping into the role in the immediate aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis and helping lead the company through one of the most complex turnarounds in modern financial services. In this conversation, David reflects on the years leading up to the CFO appointment, including rebuilding AIG's financial infrastructure as Group Controller, and the intensity of navigating markets that rapidly moved from strained, to expensive, to effectively closed. He shares what it was like inside AIG as liquidity evaporated, why coordination with the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury was pivotal, and how the organisation focused on stabilising the business, stopping the “bleeding,” and ultimately repaying government support. The discussion also explores David's transition from executive leadership into board governance. He talks through early lessons from his first directorship, how he approaches chairing audit and oversight roles, and what aspiring directors should understand about the line between being an overseer and a doer. David also shares why the opportunity to chair Aegon appealed to him, and what he looks for in organisations on a journey of strategic change. Connect with David Herzog on LinkedIn.The Insurance Coffee House Podcast is brought to you by Insurance Search.We are a global Insurance Executive Search Consultancy, supporting Insurance and Insurtech businesses to attract and retain the very best insurance talent.Find out more about showcasing your employer brand as a guest on the Insurance Coffee House Podcast or sign up to our News and Insights.Or follow us on LinkedIn, Twitter or Instagram.Insurance Executive Search Consultants in USA, London and Bermuda.Copyright Insurance Search 2025 - All Rights Reserved.

In this episode of The Rainmaker Podcast, Gui Costin sits down with Andrew Fentress, Co-Founder of ACRES Capital, to discuss his career path, the formative experiences that shaped his leadership style, and the lessons he carries forward from multiple market cycles. The conversation blends personal background with practical insights on sales, investing, and long-term platform building.Fentress begins by tracing his early life in the Washington, D.C. area, where he grew up surrounded by competition, entrepreneurship, and professional athletics. Exposure to business builders and elite performers at a young age instilled an appreciation for discipline, preparation, and accountability, themes that recur throughout his career. That competitive mindset was reinforced at Boston College, where he spent four years on the varsity sailing team, learning how consistent effort and teamwork translate into performance under pressure.After college, Fentress entered the workforce through a direct sales role outside of financial services, gaining early, hands-on experience with prospecting, persistence, and client engagement. Recognizing the need for stronger technical and financial grounding, he later pursued an MBA at UNC's Kenan-Flagler School of Business. Graduate school proved to be a critical inflection point, equipping him with the analytical tools and language necessary to operate effectively in institutional markets.His entry into Wall Street came through opportunistic networking rather than a traditional recruiting path. A last-minute opening in Morgan Stanley's summer analyst program provided the gateway into institutional finance, where he went on to build foundational skills in communication, risk-taking, and navigating complex organizations. Fentress describes the trading environment as a daily test of judgment and accountability, where feedback is immediate and credibility matters.In the mid-2000s, Fentress transitioned into private credit, helping to build a platform at a time when the strategy was still relatively nascent. That experience, combined with living through the Global Financial Crisis, shaped his long-term perspective on risk. He emphasizes that credit investing is ultimately defined by losses avoided, not just returns generated, a lesson that continues to inform his approach todayThose lessons became central when Fentress co-founded ACRES Capital. He explains that the firm was built with a risk-first mindset, emphasizing discipline, downside analysis, and alignment across the platform. Rather than optimizing for short-term market conditions, ACRES was designed to endure volatility and perform across cycles.Throughout the episode, Fentress also highlights the importance of staying close to clients and assets. Being on the road, meeting investors, and seeing markets firsthand is not just relationship-building, it's a critical learning tool. For him, real insight comes from continuous exposure to people, properties, and conditions on the ground.The conversation ultimately underscores a consistent message: durable success in investing and sales comes from preparation, humility, and respect for risk. Cycles change, markets evolve, but discipline and curiosity remain enduring advantages.Tired of chasing outdated leads? Book a demo to see how Dakota Marketplace simplifies your fundraising process with accurate, up-to-date investor data. 

In Seven Crashes: The Economic Crises That Shaped Globalization (Yale UP, 2023), distinguished economic historian Harold James offers a fresh perspective on the past two centuries of globalization and the pivotal moments that shaped it. James analyzes seven major economic crises that occurred over this period, including the late 1840s, the simultaneous stock market shocks of 1873, the First World War years, the Great Depression era, the 1970s, the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008, and most recently the Covid-19 crisis. Through his insightful analysis, he illustrates how some of these crises contributed to increased cross-border integration of labor, goods, and capital markets, while others resulted in significant deglobalization. James classifies the crises into two categories: those caused by shortages and those driven by demand. He explains how shortages have led to greater globalization as markets expanded and producers innovated to increase supply, as evidenced by events such as the First World War and the oil shocks of the 1970s. In contrast, demand-driven crises, such as those that caused the Great Depression and the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008, have typically led to international trade contraction and decreased globalization, often accompanied by widespread skepticism of governments. To support his findings, James examines the writings of key observers who shaped our understanding of each crisis, including Karl Marx in 1848, Stanley Jevons, Léon Walras, and Carl Menger in the 1870s, German Treasury Secretary Karl Helfferich in the First World War, John Maynard Keynes in the Great Depression, Milton Friedman and Friedrich Hayek in the 1970s, Ben Bernanke in 2008, and Larry Summers and Raj Chetty in 2020. Overall, James' work provides an insightful and thought-provoking analysis of the relationship between economic crises and globalization over the past two centuries, and sheds light on the potential trajectory of future economic developments. Javier Mejia is an economist at Stanford University who specializes in the intersection of social networks and economic history. His research interests also include entrepreneurship and political economy, with a particular focus on Latin America and the Middle East. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Los Andes University. Mejia has previously been a Postdoctoral Associate and Lecturer at New York University-Abu Dhabi and a Visiting Scholar at the University of Bordeaux. He is also a frequent contributor to various news outlets, currently serving as an op-ed columnist for Forbes Magazine. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/world-affairs

In Seven Crashes: The Economic Crises That Shaped Globalization (Yale UP, 2023), distinguished economic historian Harold James offers a fresh perspective on the past two centuries of globalization and the pivotal moments that shaped it. James analyzes seven major economic crises that occurred over this period, including the late 1840s, the simultaneous stock market shocks of 1873, the First World War years, the Great Depression era, the 1970s, the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008, and most recently the Covid-19 crisis. Through his insightful analysis, he illustrates how some of these crises contributed to increased cross-border integration of labor, goods, and capital markets, while others resulted in significant deglobalization. James classifies the crises into two categories: those caused by shortages and those driven by demand. He explains how shortages have led to greater globalization as markets expanded and producers innovated to increase supply, as evidenced by events such as the First World War and the oil shocks of the 1970s. In contrast, demand-driven crises, such as those that caused the Great Depression and the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008, have typically led to international trade contraction and decreased globalization, often accompanied by widespread skepticism of governments. To support his findings, James examines the writings of key observers who shaped our understanding of each crisis, including Karl Marx in 1848, Stanley Jevons, Léon Walras, and Carl Menger in the 1870s, German Treasury Secretary Karl Helfferich in the First World War, John Maynard Keynes in the Great Depression, Milton Friedman and Friedrich Hayek in the 1970s, Ben Bernanke in 2008, and Larry Summers and Raj Chetty in 2020. Overall, James' work provides an insightful and thought-provoking analysis of the relationship between economic crises and globalization over the past two centuries, and sheds light on the potential trajectory of future economic developments. Javier Mejia is an economist at Stanford University who specializes in the intersection of social networks and economic history. His research interests also include entrepreneurship and political economy, with a particular focus on Latin America and the Middle East. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Los Andes University. Mejia has previously been a Postdoctoral Associate and Lecturer at New York University-Abu Dhabi and a Visiting Scholar at the University of Bordeaux. He is also a frequent contributor to various news outlets, currently serving as an op-ed columnist for Forbes Magazine. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

In Seven Crashes: The Economic Crises That Shaped Globalization (Yale UP, 2023), distinguished economic historian Harold James offers a fresh perspective on the past two centuries of globalization and the pivotal moments that shaped it. James analyzes seven major economic crises that occurred over this period, including the late 1840s, the simultaneous stock market shocks of 1873, the First World War years, the Great Depression era, the 1970s, the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008, and most recently the Covid-19 crisis. Through his insightful analysis, he illustrates how some of these crises contributed to increased cross-border integration of labor, goods, and capital markets, while others resulted in significant deglobalization. James classifies the crises into two categories: those caused by shortages and those driven by demand. He explains how shortages have led to greater globalization as markets expanded and producers innovated to increase supply, as evidenced by events such as the First World War and the oil shocks of the 1970s. In contrast, demand-driven crises, such as those that caused the Great Depression and the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008, have typically led to international trade contraction and decreased globalization, often accompanied by widespread skepticism of governments. To support his findings, James examines the writings of key observers who shaped our understanding of each crisis, including Karl Marx in 1848, Stanley Jevons, Léon Walras, and Carl Menger in the 1870s, German Treasury Secretary Karl Helfferich in the First World War, John Maynard Keynes in the Great Depression, Milton Friedman and Friedrich Hayek in the 1970s, Ben Bernanke in 2008, and Larry Summers and Raj Chetty in 2020. Overall, James' work provides an insightful and thought-provoking analysis of the relationship between economic crises and globalization over the past two centuries, and sheds light on the potential trajectory of future economic developments. Javier Mejia is an economist at Stanford University who specializes in the intersection of social networks and economic history. His research interests also include entrepreneurship and political economy, with a particular focus on Latin America and the Middle East. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Los Andes University. Mejia has previously been a Postdoctoral Associate and Lecturer at New York University-Abu Dhabi and a Visiting Scholar at the University of Bordeaux. He is also a frequent contributor to various news outlets, currently serving as an op-ed columnist for Forbes Magazine. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/economics

Send us a textWe started our careers at the epicenter of the Global Financial Crisis in 2008: the trading floor Lehman Brothers and the CDO Structuring desk at Morgan Stanley. And now, we get to watch our favorite characters reenacting all the drama of the Lehman bankruptcy through the lens of Industry.  We dissect the chaotic "war room" dynamics as executive leadership scrambles for a lifeline, debating the merits of a strategic capital injection from Mitsubishi (mirroring the real-life rescue of Morgan Stanley) versus a total buyout by Barclays (the ultimate fate of Lehman). We explain the critical financial concepts at play, including the mechanics of "good bank/bad bank" splits, dispelling common myths about how government "bailouts" actually worked, and the reality of liquidity crises where "too big to fail" meets "moral hazard."All of our characters' ambitions and come to a head as they jockey for power and profit with everything on the line. Who will emerge victorious from the boardroom coup? How did a financial error end up in the pitch deck? Who is stabbing whom in the back? And who will ultimately be our useful idiot?This is an exceptionally technical recap, and we explain topics like counterparty credit risk, employee stock options, insider trading, and converts...as well as a detailed blow by blow of the real events underlying one of Industry's all time best episodes!!!Shop our Self Paced Courses: Investment Banking & Private Equity Fundamentals HEREFixed Income Sales & Trading HERE Wealthfront.com/wss. This is a paid endorsement for Wealthfront. May not reflect others' experiences. Similar outcomes not guaranteed. Wealthfront Brokerage is not a bank. Rate subject to change. Promo terms apply. If eligible for the boosted rate of 4.15% offered in connection with this promo, the boosted rate is also subject to change if base rate decreases during the 3 month promo period.The Cash Account, which is not a deposit account, is offered by Wealthfront Brokerage LLC ("Wealthfront Brokerage"), Member FINRA/SIPC. Wealthfront Brokerage is not a bank. The Annual Percentage Yield ("APY") on cash deposits as of 11/7/25, is representative, requires no minimum, and may change at any time. The APY reflects the weighted average of deposit balances at participating Program Banks, which are not allocated equally. Wealthfront Brokerage sweeps cash balances to Program Banks, where they earn the variable APY. Sources HERE.

It was a pleasure to welcome Ian Harnett, co-founder and Chief Investment Strategist at Absolute Strategy Research, to the Alpha Exchange. Our discussion explores how long periods of low volatility and abundant liquidity can quietly allow systemic risks to accumulate outside the traditional banking system. Drawing on lessons from the Global Financial Crisis, Ian explains why today's financial system—now dominated by non-banks rather than banks—requires a different risk framework.  While post-GFC regulation focused on large banks and insurers, much of the system's leverage and liquidity transformation has migrated toward pension funds, private equity, insurance companies, and private credit vehicles. In the U.S. alone, roughly three-quarters of private-sector financial assets are now controlled by non-banks, reshaping how shocks can propagate through markets. A key theme of the discussion is that systemic risk is multiplicative rather than additive. Ian argues that past crises were often triggered not by the largest institutions, but by smaller nodes in the system that proved critical once stress emerged. Today, he highlights the growing role of private-equity-backed insurers, which tend to hold riskier assets, maintain lower capital buffers, and allocate more heavily to private credit—an area that remains largely illiquid and difficult to mark to market. Ian's work emphasizes cash flow as a central lens for assessing vulnerability. I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Ian Harnett.

Guy Adami hosts Liz Thomas of SoFi, discussing various topics including the current performance of the Green Bay Packers, Japan's economic situation, and its potential global impact. They delve into Japan's rising bond yields, appreciating yen, and how these factors could influence global markets, particularly the US bond and equity markets. Elizabeth explains the potential implications for US investors and highlights interconnected financial systems. They also examine cryptocurrency behavior, consumer sentiment, small-cap stocks performance, and the importance of upcoming economic data. The episode concludes with a discussion on Elizabeth's upcoming mid-December outlook report with Mario. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

As market murmurs about an AI bubble, our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets offers some perspective on the impacts of the increasing demand for debt.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Today, a look at a very different type of challenge for credit markets. It's Friday, November 21st at 6pm in Singapore. It has now been well over 15 years since the Global Financial Crisis shook the credit markets to its very core. It's hard to state just how extreme that period was. How many usual relationships and valuation approaches broke. It saw the worst credit losses in 80 years; I think, and hope, that this record will hold for the next 80. This shock, however, did have a silver lining for the credit market. After a crisis that was driven by bank balance sheets being too large and complex, they shrank and simplified. After companies saw capital markets suddenly shut, they increased their cash levels and often managed themselves more conservatively. The housing market long, the engine of debt growth in the U.S. saw much tighter lending standards and less overall borrowing. And so, all these trends had a common theme. Less bond supply. The credit market has seen numerous bouts of volatility in the years since. But these have generally been driven by concerns around the macro economy, like the eurozone crisis or COVID. Or they've been driven by companies' specific issues such as weakness around the oil sector in the mid 2010s or the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023. The idea that there would be too much borrowing for the level of demand and that this causes market weakness, well, it just hasn't been an issue. Until – that is – now. As we've discussed on this program, there is an enormous increase underway in the amount of capital expenditure by technology companies as they look to build out the infrastructure that supports their cloud and AI ambitions. Morgan Stanley Equity Research estimates that the largest spenders will commit about $470 billion of spending this year and [$]620 billion of spending next year. That's over $1 trillion of spending in just a two-year period. And it's still growing. We see a lot of momentum behind this spending, as the companies doing it have both enormous financial resources and see it as central to their future ambitions. But all this spending, however, will need to come from somewhere. These are often very profitable companies and so we think about half will be funded from their cash flows. The other half, well, debt markets will play a big role, especially as these companies are often highly rated and so have significant capacity to borrow more. And over the last few weeks, those spigots have now turned on. Several large technology hyperscalers have been borrowing tens of billions at a clip, and they've been doing this in short succession. There is some good news here. This new borrowing has been coming at a discount, with the issuers willing to pay investors a bit more than their existing debt to take it on. Demand in turn has been very high for this debt. And in most cases, this borrowing is still well below anything that could feasibly trigger rating agency action. But it is raising a very different type of issue after a long period where, generally speaking, investors have rarely worried about excessive supply – these are very large deals coming at very large discounts, and they are moving the market. If a AA rated company is in the market willing to pay the same as a current single A, well, that existing single A credit just simply looks less attractive. As far as problems go, we think this is a generally less scary one for the market to face but is a new challenge – something we haven't encountered for some time. And based on the aforementioned spending plans, it may be with us for some time to come. Thank you as always, for your time. If you find Thoughts on the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen, and also tell a friend or colleague about us today.

This week on Swimming with Allocators, Vivek Jindal, CIO at Caprock, shares his journey from risk manager to leading allocator, offering valuable insights into building all-weather, customized portfolios for ultra-high-net-worth families. The conversation covers the evolution of venture investing, the art and science of risk management, the growing role of secondary markets, manager selection, and the importance of diversification and due diligence. Listeners will gain key takeaways on how to compound capital over decades, adapt to market changes, and identify fund managers' unique superpowers for long-term success. Also, don't miss our insider segment as Shane Goudey highlights Sidley's expansive, practical expertise in representing venture firms and emerging companies, emphasizing the firm's holistic, relationship-driven approach and ability to offer clients sophisticated legal and strategic support across the entire investment and startup ecosystem.Highlights from this week's conversation include:Welcoming Vivek Jindal to the Show (0:22)Lessons from Starting on the Risk Side and the Global Financial Crisis (1:44)Approaching Risk in Venture & Asset Allocation (5:30)Evolution of Portfolio Construction and Blurring Asset Class Lines (10:01)Strategies for Identifying Manager “Superpowers” (10:38)Caprock's Venture Investing Approach and Its Evolution (13:42)Sectors Out of Favor and Long-term Perspective (16:36)Selecting and Accessing Fund Managers (18:36)Word of Mouth, Networking, and New Venture Managers (19:06)Discussion with Sponsor Sidley's Shane Goudey (21:52)Ideal Client Profiles for Caprock (27:06)Why Alternatives—and Why Venture? (29:21)Opportunities in the Secondary Market (31:45)Trends to Watch in Venture and Growth Equity (35:22)What Makes a Good Fund Manager and Reference Checking (38:36)Final Thoughts and Takeaways (41:52)Caprock is a leading multifamily office providing independent, fiduciary advice to ultra-high-net-worth families and institutions. With a multi-asset class approach spanning traditional and alternative investments, Caprock creates fully customized portfolios designed to preserve, compound, and align wealth across generations. Learn more at www.caprock.com.Sidley Austin LLP is a premier global law firm with a dedicated Venture Funds practice, advising top venture capital firms, institutional investors, and private equity sponsors on fund formation, investment structuring, and regulatory compliance. With deep expertise across private markets, Sidley provides strategic legal counsel to help funds scale effectively. Learn more at sidley.com.Swimming with Allocators is a podcast that dives into the intriguing world of Venture Capital from an LP (Limited Partner) perspective. Hosts Alexa Binns and Earnest Sweat are seasoned professionals who have donned various hats in the VC ecosystem. Each episode, we explore where the future opportunities lie in the VC landscape with insights from top LPs on their investment strategies and industry experts shedding light on emerging trends and technologies. The information provided on this podcast does not, and is not intended to, constitute legal advice; instead, all information, content, and materials available on this podcast are for general informational purposes only. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Bestselling author Michael Lewis joins the show to talk about how bubbles happen, the legacy of 'The Big Short' and the global financial crisis, 'Moneyball' and how the data analytics revolution conquered sports and entertainment, the difference between being a good investor and being a good investigative journalist, and the craft of writing. Listen to the new audiobook of Michael's hit 'The Big Short' ⁠HERE⁠! If you have questions, observations, or ideas for future episodes, email us at PlainEnglish@Spotify.com. Host: Derek Thompson Guest: Michael Lewis Producers: Devon Baroldi and Kaya McMullen Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Jim Clouse is a veteran of the Federal Reserve System and is currently a fellow at the Andersen Institute. In Jim's first appearance on the show, he discusses the evolution of monetary rules at the Fed, what happened at the Fed during Y2K, 9/11, the Great Financial Crisis, and the COVID Pandemic, the ever changing stigma of the discount window, Ted Cruz's calls to end interest on reserves, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on September 11th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel  Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:16 - Jim's Career 00:05:38 - Monetary Rules at the Fed 00:09:12 - Increasing Transparency at the Fed 00:17:25 - Y2K and the Fed 00:26:19 - Discount Window 00:32:21 - Global Financial Crisis 00:39:10 - Covid Pandemic 00:46:10 - Jim's Current Research 01:00:31 - Outro

Barack Obama was the greatest Republican president of my lifetime—a statement sure to fire up establishment liberals and conservatives alike. But for progressives in the United States, this is what the Obama years felt like. Today’s episode examines the seminal policy achievements of the Obama years from the Affordable Care Act and wars in Iraq and Afghanistan to DACA and the response to the Global Financial Crisis. We offer the liberal and conservative views of the same issues, then finish with the progressive perspective on all. Resources Migration Policy Institute: The Obama Record on Deportations: Deporter in Chief or Not? TBIJ: Obama’s covert drone war in numbers: ten times more strikes… NPR: Pledging To End Two Wars, Obama Finds Himself Entangled In Three Video: Cornel West's Note to Obama Obama Library UNFTR Resources Video: Barack Obama: The BEST REPUBLICAN President Ever -- If you like #UNFTR, please leave us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and Spotify: unftr.com/rate and follow us on Facebook, Bluesky, TikTok and Instagram at @UNFTRpod. Visit us online at unftr.com. Join our Discord at unftr.com/discord. Become a member at unftr.com/memberships. Buy yourself some Unf*cking Coffee at shop.unftr.com. Visit our bookshop.org page at bookshop.org/shop/UNFTRpod to find the full UNFTR book list, and find book recommendations from our Unf*ckers at bookshop.org/lists/unf-cker-book-recommendations. Access the UNFTR Musicless feed by following the instructions at unftr.com/accessibility. Unf*cking the Republic is produced by 99 and engineered by Manny Faces Media (mannyfacesmedia.com). Original music is by Tom McGovern (tommcgovern.com). The show is hosted by Max and distributed by 99.Support the show: https://www.unftr.com/membershipsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Featuring Melinda Cooper on Counterrevolution: Extravagance and Austerity in Public Finance. Balanced budget conservatism and supply side populism engineered a politics of austerity and budget deficits. Deep cuts to the social wage like welfare reform disciplined labor so severely that Fed Chair Alan Greenspan opened the floodgates of easy money confident it would juice the price of assets alone. Assets like homes, the value of which spiraled ever upward until the Global Financial Crisis. The crash made the politics of revolutionary conservatism that dominate us today with MAGA. But the crisis also revealed powerful monetary tools that we could wield to make socialism—if only we organize the power necessary to seize them. The SECOND in a two-part series. Call in to leave a question for The Dig's mailbag episode: speakpipe.com/ListenerMailbag Support The Dig at Patreon.com/TheDig Get your first month free at OVID.tv using promo code DIG25 Visit dropsitenews.com/DIG20 for 20% off an annual Drop Site subscription