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The Game of Thrones Tariff Edition continues at its wild, unpredictable & ever-changing pace.The latest development as of this recording has the US placing a pause on its recently-announced 50% tariffs on the EU until July 9th.As we now have a *little* more clarity and data to look at since Trump's Liberation Day, what conclusions can we start drawing about the implications of these tariffs?Are they strengthening or weakening America's hand? Are they inflationary? Are US consumers better or worse off, on net?For insights, we have the good fortune today to welcome back to the program Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, LLC.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bonds #bondyields #interestrates _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
The financial world stands at a critical juncture as Treasury yields approach 18-year highs and markets wrestle with conflicting economic signals. In this riveting conversation between macro strategists Jim Bianco and Jay Hatfield, hosted by Michael Gayed, we explore the counterintuitive relationship between Fed policy and market reactions that has left many investors scratching their heads.When the Fed cut rates last September, yields went up. This paradox forms the backdrop for a fascinating debate about whether higher rates might actually be the cure for higher rates. Hatfield advances his "Hopfield Rule"—the observation that housing starts falling below 1.1 million units have preceded 11 of 12 post-WWII recessions—suggesting we may be closer to economic trouble than many realize. Meanwhile, a 20% drop in oil prices this year has created what Hatfield calls "stag-deflation" rather than the stagflation many fear.The conversation takes a surprising turn when examining market influences. Bianco reveals that retail investors purchased $4.1 billion worth of stocks in just four hours following the Moody's downgrade, effectively stabilizing the market. This "do-it-yourself" investor revolution has fundamentally changed market dynamics, with retail traders wielding unprecedented influence despite focusing on just a handful of popular stocks and ETFs.Both experts offer nuanced perspectives on tariffs, inflation expectations, and the global bond sell-off. While the immediate outlook suggests continued volatility, they highlight that today's fixed income market structure offers significantly more favorable characteristics than during the initial rate hiking cycle of 2022-2023.Whether you're concerned about spiking Treasury yields, curious about the impact of retail traders, or trying to position your portfolio for what comes next, this discussion provides crucial insights from two of the sharpest minds in macro investing. Subscribe for more illuminating conversations that help you navigate these complex market conditions.With ChatDOC, instantly analyze professional documents using AI — featuring word-level citations, chart/formula breakdowns, cross-file query, and full support for PDFs/epub/scanned files.Free version handles 10 documents (up to 3000 pages) and cross-searches 30 files.Click the link below to unlock +10 document slots : https://chatdoc.com?src=leadlaglive Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Jim Bianco. They'll discuss why Jim believes we're at the “end of the beginning” — a phrase he uses to describe the evolution of Trump-era economic policies. While the initial phase, dominated by tariff strategies, may be winding down, Jim warns that this is just the opening act. https://bit.ly/3Zw8Bip
What if the volatility we're seeing is not a pause in the cycle, but the start of something lasting? In this episode, Cem Karsan sits down with Jim Bianco to unpack the forces reshaping the market and the political landscape around it. From the roots of labor unrest in 1880s Chicago to rising tariffs and inflation today, they trace how decades of policy widened inequality and fractured the middle. This is a conversation about debt, power, and the limits of the old playbook. The Fed may no longer be able to step in. Passive investing may no longer offer safety. If you are still positioned for the past, this episode is a clear signal to rethink what comes next.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Jim on X.Episode TimeStamps: 02:01 - Introduction to Jim Bianco and Bianco Research06:36 - The big macro picture view16:02 - The financial inequality is at an all time high22:51 - The power of generational wealth24:07 - The imbalance of politics - something has to change27:47 - Why we will see a major shift in how we invest soon30:19 - How the economy is changing36:10 - What defines a strong economy?40:58 - What is Trump talking about?45:36 - The outlook of the economy53:33 - The core of the political problems in the US55:16 - How to benefit from the current market...
In this interview with Wealthion's Maggie Lake, Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, brings his incredible insights into what is happening in these volatile times is just what the investor needs. From what the bond market is really telling us, to why he thinks the Fed WON'T be coming to the rescue in the face of a potential recession. His 4/5/6 theory and why he thinks investing is now so much harder, everyone needs a wealth manager to help them navigate the markets going forward. What the dollar's decline really means, the massive shift away from US assets and what he thinks investors should be looking to buy (hint: one is gold) and what they should be wary of (hint: one is AI). Plus, why the transactional nature of the country's current tariff policy, may not be a bad thing. Chapters 00 Watch the Bond Market 4:00 Fed to the Rescue? Why a Recession is 50/50 7:20 Tariff Effects 10:00 Inflation Expectations 12:45 Are tariff's actually deflationary? 15:20 The bond market, the center of the universe 21:30 Bonds Vs Equities and Jim's 4/5/6 Theory 25:20 Investing getting harder- Why A wealth manager is the way to go 28:45 Can Us Tolerate Higher Interest Rates? 33:20 The massive shift away from US assets 36:40 What the dollar decline means 43:40 What should investors be buying? 46:45 What should investors be concerned about? Subscribe to our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Wealthion Follow us on X: https://x.com/wealthion Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://wealthion.com/free/ Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
When it comes to recent price action, Jim Bianco points to bonds as the driving force. He looks at the correlation between stocks and bonds to explain why these market moves occurred. He doesn't expect the broader indices to perform as exceptionally as they did in the past and urges investors to watch for individual stocks and sector themes. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Jim Bianco argues that Europe will suffer more from President Trump's tariff policy than the U.S. He believes investors put too much focus on the tariffs and took attention away from what he considers the true macro headwind: inflation. If inflation persists, Jim won't be surprised to see an interest rate hike from the Fed later this year. He also expects markets won't offer as big returns as they did the last two years, but notes investment opportunity outside the Mag 7. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco research discusses the most recent Consumer Confidence report and the current climate surrounding market uncertainty. He is joined by Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mar 21, 2025 – Financial Sense Newshour welcomes Jim Bianco of Bianco Research to discuss Trump 2.0's bold economic strategies amid a $36.6 trillion U.S. debt and 7% GDP deficits. Bianco's “Mar-a-Lago Accord” highlights radical changes...
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 242 to discuss the markets and the economy. He explains why America's K-shaped economy - where the top 10% drives 50% of retail sales - has made the status quo unsustainable. He argues Trump's policies reflect the reality that our $36 trillion debt has become a national security issue requiring allies to pay for their defense rather than relying solely on U.S. taxpayers. Bianco maintains his "no landing" economic outlook, viewing tariffs as negotiation leverage rather than permanent policy. For investors, he predicts bonds will deliver 5% returns with lower volatility compared to stocks' 6-7% annually, making fixed income an attractive alternative after years of TINA (There Is No Alternative).This episode is sponsored by Monetary Metals. Visit monetary-metals.com/juliaLinks: BiancoResearch.com BiancoAdvisors.com x.com/biancoresearch 0:00 Introduction and welcome back Jim Bianco 0:55 Big picture view on K-shaped economy 3:18 Bottom half vs top half income differences 4:38 Top 10% accounting for 50% of retail sales 6:52 Unsustainable fiscal situation and policy shifts 9:12 Mar-a-Lago Accord discussion 14:03 Ukraine situation and security payments 17:44 Fourth Turning analysis and Trump's preparation 21:06 Focus on rebuilding manufacturing jobs 22:28 Bond market analysis and common misconceptions 26:43 Bond yields vs stock market returns 29:28 Stock market valuation and return expectations 31:29 Problems with passive investing 34:42 Market correction reaction and overreaction 38:43 Tesla stock overreaction example 39:59 No landing economic view 42:21 Tariffs as leverage, not permanent policy 43:22 Red Sea shipping disruption analysis 47:08 Houthi drone attacks and economic implications 50:51 Global security costs and European defense spending 54:28 Closing thoughts on economic realignment
Jim Bianco joins me to discuss the game plan moving forward and what it means for the dollar, recession, and markets. We cover the impact of debt, interest rates, and economic policy, as well as how the current environment is shaping up. Tune in for insights on what to watch for in the months ahead.#Recession #Dollar #Inflation---------
Jim Bianco discusses the Mar-a-Lago Accord, its implications for the U.S. economy, and the shifting dynamics of global trade and military spending, particularly in relation to Europe. He emphasizes the need for a new monetary system, the challenges of U.S. debt, and the evolving nature of military spending in the face of modern threats. The discussion also touches on the complexities of U.S.-Canada trade relations and the potential for a trade war. In this conversation, Jim Bianco discusses the implications of Trump's tariff threats on Canada and Mexico, the potential for economic disruption, and the political ramifications of a possible recession. He compares Trump's transactional approach to leadership with that of Javier Milei in Argentina, emphasizing the need for clear communication and execution of economic policies. The discussion also touches on the nature of recessions and how they become political issues, particularly in the context of upcoming elections.This episode of Mining Stock Daily is brought to you by... Vizsla Silver is focused on becoming one of the world's largest single-asset silver producers through the exploration and development of the 100% owned Panuco-Copala silver-gold district in Sinaloa, Mexico. The company consolidated this historic district in 2019 and has now completed over 325,000 meters of drilling. The company has the world's largest, undeveloped high-grade silver resource. Learn more at https://vizslasilvercorp.com/Calibre Mining is a Canadian-listed, Americas focused, growing mid-tier gold producer with a strong pipeline of development and exploration opportunities across Newfoundland & Labrador in Canada, Nevada and Washington in the USA, and Nicaragua. With a strong balance sheet, a proven management team, strong operating cash flow, accretive development projects and district-scale exploration opportunities Calibre will unlock significant value.https://www.calibremining.com/Integra is a growing precious metals producer in the Great Basin of the Western United States. Integra is focused on demonstrating profitability and operational excellence at its principal operating asset, the Florida Canyon Mine, located in Nevada. In addition, Integra is committed to advancing its flagship development-stage heap leach projects: the past producing DeLamar Project located in southwestern Idaho, and the Nevada North Project located in western Nevada. Learn more about the business and their high industry standards over at integraresources.com
Taiki is off getting married this week, but Jordi & Justin are joined by special guest Jim Bianco! Jim brings is macro expertise, and fills us in on how all of it fits into what we're seeing happen in the world of crypto. Thanks for tuning in, and make sure to Like & Subscribe! In Episode #86 we cover:00:00 Stream Starts Soon…00:31 Episode Start/The Easy Days Are Over05:04 The Focus on the 10 Year Bond 10:51 The New Administration & The Big Realignment 22:17 How Long Can Trump Hold Out On This Adjustment Period?28:35 Why Is Bitcoin Down 30%32:30 There Is No Third Door38:11 In Politics It's One Person One Vote43:07 Is This Turmoil Priced In?48:50 Does Jim Like Crypto?51:13 How Do We Make ETH Go Back Up?1:01:54 Pasta of the Week
Is Trump trying to wreck the economy, or is he just ripping off the Band-Aid? Macro expert Jim Bianco breaks down Trump's economic strategy—tariffs, tax cuts, and shifting focus from the stock market to the 10-year Treasury yield. We discuss the potential risks of short-term pain, the surprising Crypto Strategic Reserve, and whether this shift could lead to long-term economic stability. Is this the start of a recession or a necessary correction? Tune in for Jim's expert take. ------
Jim Bianco is looking ahead to the State of the Union address, and says the market is missing increased European defense spending. He's also waiting for payrolls data on Friday, particularly the revisions. He also discusses the potential of a U.S. Crypto Reserve, with some major words of warning.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Jim Bianco, president and macro strategist at Bianco Research, discusses the factors he sees driving six weeks of lower bond yields and explains the potential scenario of a “Mar-A-Lago Accord.” He speaks with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Paul SweeneySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Jim Bianco. They'll discuss Jim's opinions on the new ‘Mar-a-Lago Accord,' which he and others speculate could represent the new monetary world order being considered by the Trump administration. https://bit.ly/4kbt7On
From AI shaking up Big Tech to bitcoin's role in the macro landscape, Jim Bianco delivers insights on the DeepSeek-triggered market selloff, memecoins, and the challenges facing traditional systems. In this episode, the macro strategist shares why DeepSeek's AI model is reshaping competition, how crypto reserves might evolve, and what happens to MicroStrategy if bitcoin's price takes a hit. Plus, hear his take on why stablecoins are a threat to banks, and why memecoins could be more than speculation. Show highlights: What of crypto attracted Jim so much 0:49 What of crypto attracted Jim so much 6:15 Why the DeepSeek new model was so disruptive 12:47 Whether the biggest loser is OpenAI, not all the Mag 7 16:14 Whether we'll see a major macro response from U.S. companies and government 26:06 What will happen next with the price of bitcoin 28:54 What would happen to MSTR if bitcoin goes 30% lower 34:11 How Trump was able to move so fast since the inauguration 39:30 Why the Fed should not do QE, according to Jim 49:02 How memecoins could be designed to be much more than speculative assets 53:03 Why James hopes the SEC doesn't approve all the memecoin ETF applications 58:06 Whether banks will start onboarding crypto companies 1:05:52 Why stablecoins poise an existential threat to the current banking system 1:11:19 Whether it's a bad idea for the U.S. to acquire other cryptos that are not bitcoin Hosts: James Seyffart, Research Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence Ram Ahluwalia, CFA, CEO and Founder of Lumida Noelle Acheson, Author of the “Crypto Is Macro Now” Newsletter Guest: Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research Links CNN Business: Trump announces a $500 billion AI infrastructure investment in the US Unchained: Tuttle Capital Files for 10 Leveraged Crypto ETFs CoinDesk: Nasdaq Files for In-Kind Redemptions for BlackRock Spot Bitcoin ETF Reuters: US, Colombia reach deal on deportations; tariff, sanctions put on hold Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jim Bianco says it's China's way to “take what we have and make it cheaper” on the DeepSeek news. He says it makes it easier for smaller players to enter the A.I. market and could disrupt U.S. dominance. He also thinks traders have been watching for opportunities to short the Mag 7. On the Fed, he doesn't expect a rate cut this month and is waiting to see if Trump publicly “rips” Powell on social media. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Interview recorded - 16th of January, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Jim Bianco. Jim is the is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C.During our conversation we spoke about the increasing volatility in the markets, what this means for the FED, why their first cut was a mistake, the dollar wrecking ball, Chinese desperation, Scott Bessent and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:29 - Increased volatility3:26 - FED cut mistake5:56 - Issue with duel mandate8:26 - FED to pause?10:43 - Dollar wrecking ball12:40 - China is desperate16:41 - Japanification of China?18:51 - Risk of increasing rates?21:41 - Combination of monetary & fiscal policy23:36 - Incumbents getting voted out25:36 - Yields coming back down?29:16 - Yellen dampened long-term yields?32:26 - Scott Bessent make changes?35:46 - Monroe doctrine37:26 - What does this mean for markets?43:46 - The market is overvalued46:16 - US sucking global liquidity52:15 - One message to takeaway?Jim Bianco is President and Index Manager at Bianco Research Advisors. He is also the President of Bianco Research LLC. Since 1990, Jim's commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking.Jim appears regularly on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business, and is often featured in the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Grants Interest Rate Observer, and MarketWatch. Jim has a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from Marquette University (1984) and an MBA from Fordham University (1989).Jim Bianco: Research: https://www.biancoresearch.com/visitor-home/ETF: https://www.biancoadvisors.com/X: https://twitter.com/intent/follow?screen_name=biancoresearch&tw_p=followbuttonLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-bianco-117619152/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfnTikTok - https://vm.tiktok.com/ZMeUjj9xV/iTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
In Episode 397 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, about the macroeconomic factors driving the recent rise in bond yields and a range of other variables shaping the economies of the U.S., Europe, and China, as well as their impact on investors' portfolios. In the first hour, Bianco and Kofinas analyze the factors behind the surge in long-term interest rates across the developed world. Their discussion covers the Federal Reserve's role, concerns about government debt and deficits, inflation, tariff policies, and economic growth expectations amid these potential challenges. In the second hour, they shift their focus to the implications of these changes for investors. They explore the resilience—or lack thereof—of the traditional 60/40 portfolio and strategies for mitigating portfolio volatility in a market environment where stocks and bonds increasingly move in tandem. Additionally, Demetri and Jim examine the drivers of U.S. dollar strength, the risks posed by U.S. equity concentration, the potential for a recession, and what the continued decline in Chinese bond yields suggests about the state of China's economy. You can subscribe to our premium content and access our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces, you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 01/14/2024
Despite the confidence Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is doing his best to project, inflation has not yet been slain. And today's guest expert, Jim Bianco, founder of market research firm Bianco Research, thinks it's going to continue to prove problematic as the return of the "bond vigilantes" increasingly undermines the Fed's efforts. We'll talk about his reasons why, as well as his concerns about the current extreme valuations in stocks, and why if they experience a material correction, bonds may not provide the protection to portfolios they did in the past. Follow Jim at: https://www.biancoresearch.com/ https://www.biancoadvisors.com/ https://www.youtube.com/@UCsHvbh9xvK12_1-A6GeY3qQ https://x.com/biancoresearch https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-bianco-117619152/ WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
Dec 20, 2024 – The stock market sold off this week after the Fed cut rates by another 25 basis points. Why? Financial Sense Newshour speaks with Jim Bianco about the important events happening in the bond market, particularly with long-term bond yields...
On this TCAF Tuesday, Josh Brown is joined by Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research to discuss: the bond market, if Bitcoin could actually reach $13 million, the Fed's political dimension, and more! Then, at 39:45 hear an all-new episode of What Are Your Thoughts with Josh and Michael Batnick! This episode is sponsored by YCharts! Visit: https://go.ycharts.com/compound and and get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free YCharts trial and tell them we sent you (new customers only). WAYT survey: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/ZH7WNM7 Sign up for The Compound newsletter and never miss out: https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe Instagram: https://instagram.com/thecompoundnews Twitter: https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jim Bianco believes the Fed shouldn't cut interest rates anymore, attributing the recent market strength to investor confidence in the economy. According to Jim, inflation can tick higher if the Fed cuts again, especially if president-elect Donald Trump introduces tariffs and stimulus. As for bonds and yields, he worries premiums will continue to tick higher. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Renowned macro analyst Lyn Alden and several others joins us to unravel the intricate world of fiscal dominance affecting major economies like Japan and the U.S. Can massive public debts really constrain monetary policy's effectiveness? By analyzing Japan's towering debt-to-GDP ratio, we explore the knock-on effects in sectors such as Social Security and defense. Lyn provides a comprehensive look at the future of fiscal dominance and the potential parallels with the U.S. scenario, making a bold statement about the evolving economic landscape and what it might mean for government spending patterns.The landscape of monetary policy is in flux, and we dive into the transition from zero-interest rates to a world of rising rates. As inflation concerns mount, how do these shifts impact the Federal Reserve's strategies? Join Jim and Larry as they discuss the challenges of adjusting to a high-interest rate economy. With debt growth outpacing GDP, we consider the possible repercussions for the dollar, and delve into the debate over alternative assets like Bitcoin and gold. This exploration sets the stage for understanding how fiscal and monetary policies intertwine and the possible shifts in spending habits they might provoke.In our engaging discussion about Bitcoin and gold, experts like Peter Schiff and Jim Bianco weigh in on their current and future roles in the financial landscape. Is Bitcoin truly digital gold, or is it a speculative bubble waiting to burst? We tackle the emotional aspects of investing and how geopolitical uncertainties might influence market sentiment. DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Quantify Funds and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruLabel. Scan. Find your stuff.Stay organized with color coded QR code smart labels. Find everything in storage from your phone!
In this episode of the Money Masters Podcast, we bring you highlights from a recent X Space featuring top financial experts discussing market trends, investment strategies, and upcoming MoneyShow events.Host Mike Larson, Editor-in-Chief at MoneyShow, previews the Sarasota MoneyShow Masters Symposium (Dec 5-7), sharing insights on the economy, interest rates, and alternative investments. Guest speakers Jim Bianco, Carely Garner, and Jason Bodner dive into the bond market, small-cap opportunities, commodities, and more. Key topics include:The largest short positions in bonds and their implications.Seasonality trends in stocks and commodities.Insights on Bitcoin and its evolving role in the financial system.Actionable investment strategies for 2024.Whether you're a seasoned investor or a curious trader, this episode is packed with expert guidance to help you navigate the markets. Plus, don't miss details on the next big event: MoneyShow Traders Expo, Las Vegas, February 2025.Subscribe for weekly episodes featuring top financial minds. Follow MoneyShow (@MoneyShow) for more investing content.
Political uncertainty rattles Bitcoin markets as Trump's betting odds fall to 56%, pushing BTC below $68,000. Jim Bianco raises red flags over ETF fund flows while Charles Hoskinson battles community backlash. Meanwhile, DOGE whales move $7.72B amid a broader market decline, and forecasts suggest BTC could hit $90K with a Trump victory or $65K under Harris.
"Strong economy says your job is not at risk...consumers are worried about the prices at the grocery store," says Jim Bianco. He joins Oliver Renick to preview this week's Jobs report and to discuss the Fed's rate cycle amid a surge in yields. With the 10-year yield touching 4.20% he says the stock market might be stalling ahead of the election. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 205 to discuss the macro view, why the market is signaling the Fed's rate cut was a mistake, the dynamics of the labor market, and the presidential election. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.6% yield: https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only. *A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.6% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 9/18/2024. A bond's yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond's YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account. Links: BiancoResearch.com BiancoAdvisors.com x.com/biancoresearch 00:00 Intro and welcome Jim 01:00 Analysis of Fed's 50 basis point rate cut and market reaction 04:27 Discussion of labor market and population growth impact 06:53 Analysis of ADP data and small business employment 09:11 Impact of immigration on economic statistics 11:20 Fed's political vs partisan nature in rate decisions 14:13 Explanation of "no landing" economic scenario 17:06 Outlook for bonds and inflation impact 19:59 Stock market return expectations 22:25 Bond market competition with stocks 23:33 Demographics and bear market discussion 26:28 Analysis of election betting markets and probabilities 31:41 Inflation outlook regardless of election outcome 33:04 Discussion of inflation rates vs cumulative price increases 37:11 Implications of a 3% inflation world 40:48 Closing remarks and information about Bianco Research
How is immigration impacting the housing market? What should we expect from inflation in the coming years? In this episode, Josh welcomes Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research and widely respected macro strategist, to dive into these pressing financial questions. With Jim's decades of experience in challenging traditional market views, this episode brings an insightful discussion on the real estate market, inflation, and central bank policies. Josh and Jim Bianco challenge the mainstream view on inflation, with Jim making a compelling case for why it will be more persistent than expected, driven by key factors such as housing shortages and large-scale immigration. The two explore the implications of central bank policies, the risks tied to recent rate cuts, and the impact of global economic policies like those in China. We also take live callers who ask about the future of bonds, investment strategies, and whether the U.S. stock market can sustain its bullish trend amid rising interest rates and inflation concerns. Can't get enough of the Financial Quarterback? Click 'Subscribe' to never miss a play. New episodes touchdown right here! Loving the playbook? Drop us a 5-star rating and share your thoughts in a review. Your feedback fuels the game plan!
In this episode, Jim Bianco and James Seyffart join Felix at Permissionless to discuss who has been buying the BTC ETFs, whether ETFs are consistent with crypto ideals, and why the BTC ETFs were more successful than the ETH ETFs. We also delve into the difference between buying to hold and arbitrage, BTC ETF options, and much more. Enjoy! — Follow Jim Bianco: https://x.com/biancoresearch Follow James Seyffart: https://x.com/JSeyff Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ — Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network's future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now's the time to join. Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/ — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:49) Have Bitcoin ETFs Been A Success? (02:27) Who is Buying Bitcoin ETFs? (06:58) Are ETFs Consistent with Crypto Ideals? (11:13) Basis Trade vs Holding (15:46) Advertisements (17:21) ETH ETFs vs BTC ETFs (22:08) Bitcoin ETF Options (26:59) Crypto Ideals at Risk? — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
In this episode with Jim Bianco, we discuss: Fed rate cuts this week- 25 or 50 bps, is there a big difference? Will we soon have to go back to ZIRP and QE? Bitcoin ETF outflows Jim says THIS needs to happen for Bitcoin to get to $1 million/coin ---- Bio: Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C. Since 1990 Jim's commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking. Follow Jim on X at https://x.com/biancoresearch ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ: BTDR), a publicly-traded leader in Bitcoin mining that stands alone as the only vertically-integrated, technology-focused Bitcoin mining company. Learn more at www.bitdeer.com. ---- Natalie's Promotional Links: Secure your Bitcoin with collaborative custody and set up your inheritance plan with Casa: https://www.casa.io/natalie For easy, low-cost, instant Bitcoin payments, I use Speed Lightning Wallet. Get 5000 sats when you download using this link and promo code COINSTORIES10: https://www.speed.app/sweepstakes-promocode/ River is where I DCA weekly and buy Bitcoin with the lowest fees in the industry: https://partner.river.com/natalie Safely self-custody your Bitcoin with Coinkite and the ColdCard Wallet. Get 5% off: https://store.coinkite.com/promo/COINSTORIES Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/partners/natalie-brunell Bitcoin 2025 is heading to Las Vegas May 27-29th! Join me for my 4th Annual Women of Bitcoin Brunch! Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/affiliate/hodl/event/bitcoin-2025 Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie Connect with Bitcoiners and Bitcoin merchants wherever you live and travel on the Orange Pill App: https://signup.theorangepillapp.com/opa/natbrunell ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome back, Jim Bianco. They'll discuss why Jim thinks the Fed has become political and risks a policy error, they also cover long-term inflationary trends, the role of precious metals in today's economy, and more. https://bit.ly/4d372MT ⚫ Follow Jim Bianco on X: https://www.x.com/biancoresearch
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss tomorrow's Payrolls Report, and what to expect from the Fed and the Market with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss Sticky Inflation, Immigration/Labor Market Data, Size of Rate Cuts with Rick Santelli.
This interview with Jim Bianco and Jeremy Schwartz discusses the Federal Reserve's policy path, whether inflation will actually come down, and if the economy is headed for a no landing. We also delve into the neutral rate, the key election issues for markets, and whether stocks will outperform bonds. Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 00:48 Jim & Jack's Assessment Of The Economy 02:58 The Fed & Interest Rates 03:55 Unemployment & The Sahm Rule 06:57 Is Inflation Coming Down? 08:33 Real Interest Rates 11:05 What Is The Neutral Rate? 14:21 The Pace Of The Cutting Cycle 18:41 Election Insights 20:55 Deficits Are The Key Issue 23:11 Will Stocks Outperform Bonds?
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. Today Jim discusses consumer spending and consumption strength. •What is going on with Consumption & Retail Sales? •Why is this happening? •How long will this last? Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know. For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
This interview with Jim Bianco and Jeremy Schwartz discusses the Federal Reserve's policy path, whether inflation will actually come down, and if the economy is headed for a no landing. We also delve into the neutral rate, the key election issues for markets, and whether stocks will outperform bonds. __ Follow Jim Bianco on Twitter https://x.com/biancoresearch Follow Jeremy Schwartz on Twitter https://x.com/JeremyDSchwartz Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:48) Jim & Jack's Assessment Of The Economy (02:58) The Fed & Interest Rates (03:55) Unemployment & The Sahm Rule (06:57) Is Inflation Coming Down? (08:33) Real Interest Rates (11:05) What Is The Neutral Rate? (14:21) The Pace Of The Cutting Cycle (18:41) Election Insights (20:55) Deficits Are The Key Issue (23:11) Will Stocks Outperform Bonds? __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Fed Chairman Powell's Speech, the Economy & Labor Market with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss Chairman Powell's Speech and the U.S. Economy with Sara Eisen and Carl Quintanilla.
Jim Bianco is looking for a "sense of stability" in the market ahead of this week's key inflation data. And, following last week's volatile market swings, Bianco weighs in on the state of the yen-carry trade.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. Today Jim discusses what Powell said and what it means. · What did Powell say? · Outlook on the economy · How to position? Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know. For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Recent Market Volatility, Mixed Economic Signals & Bond Market Liquidity with Charles Payne.
Why are stocks up but crypto's not? What happened to the bull market? Jim Bianco is the perfect guest to intersect crypto, traditional finance and the broader macro world. And that's exactly why we brought him on the show today. We ask him: - Are tech stocks in an AI bubble? - Is crypto going to have its moment? - How's the U.S economy really doing? - What are the next potential market movers? Jim guides us through all this, not only that, he explains how he's positioning himself and his portfolio for 2024. ------ ✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/collect/zora:0x0c294913a7596b427add7dcbd6d7bbfc7338d53f/31?referrer=0x077Fe9e96Aa9b20Bd36F1C6290f54F8717C5674E ------
Jul 12, 2024 – After this week's market wrap-up, Financial Sense Newshour interviews Jim Bianco of Bianco Research for his latest insights on the US economy and markets. Jim discusses how the US is spending approximately $6 trillion annually...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome back, Bianco Research founder, Jim Bianco. They'll discuss inflation, bond yields, precious metals, energy prices, geopolitics and more. https://bit.ly/3x7wP7E ⚫ Follow Jim Bianco on X: https://www.twitter.com/BiancoResearch ⚫ Check Out Bianco Research: https://www.biancoresearch.com