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Here are the show notes:Lisa Kiss is back with the latest forecast, and it's a doozy. We're talking snow, lots of it, with a storm system set to blast through 25 states this weekend. Meteorologist Jason Michael from WBZTV joins the show to break down the details. Plus, we've got updates on the State of the Commonwealth address, the Economic Summit in Davos, and the latest Oscar nominations. It's going to be a busy day, and Lisa's got you covered.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This morning's episode is a news-packed update. We're covering the latest forecast, which is looking extremely cold, with a chance of snow on Sunday and Monday. Governor Maura Healey is running for re-election, citing her plans to lower costs and make life better for Massachusetts residents. We're also discussing a large anti-ice protest in Boston, the Vice President's expected visit to Minneapolis, and President Trump's trip to the Economic Summit in Davos. Additionally, we're touching on the latest news in sports, entertainment, and more. It's a busy morning, and we're breaking it all down for you.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Congress is debating major changes to Social Security—and the outcome could mean benefit expansion or future cuts. With trust fund shortfalls projected by 2033, lawmakers have introduced a wave of bills aimed at increasing benefits, changing cost-of-living calculations, and redefining how and when Americans claim Social Security. Richard Rosso breaks down the key Social Security reform proposals currently circulating in Congress, what they would change, why most face steep political hurdles, and what these debates mean for retirement planning in the years ahead. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Social Security's Deadline for Survival 3:12 - The Importance of Checking Your SS Statement 5:57 - Lawmakers Looking at Social Security Reform 7:21 - Why Waiting is Worth it 10:48 - Safeguarding Social Security Act 13:35 - Social Security Emergency Inflation Relief Act 15:04 - Boosting Benefits & COLA's Act 18:53 - Protecting & Preserving SS Act 20:27 - The Claiming Age Clarity Act 22:14 - The Overall Theme of SS Reform 27:28 - Figure Out Your Own Situation Hosted by Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQSiR6fxLGg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "Silver's Surge: Bubble or Fundamentals?" here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bbdac54510I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Is Broadening — But Risks Remain," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KS2mSWm16qg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #Congress #COLA #RetirementIncome
Congress is debating major changes to Social Security—and the outcome could mean benefit expansion or future cuts. With trust fund shortfalls projected by 2033, lawmakers have introduced a wave of bills aimed at increasing benefits, changing cost-of-living calculations, and redefining how and when Americans claim Social Security. Richard Rosso breaks down the key Social Security reform proposals currently circulating in Congress, what they would change, why most face steep political hurdles, and what these debates mean for retirement planning in the years ahead. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Social Security's Deadline for Survival 3:12 - The Importance of Checking Your SS Statement 5:57 - Lawmakers Looking at Social Security Reform 7:21 - Why Waiting is Worth it 10:48 - Safeguarding Social Security Act 13:35 - Social Security Emergency Inflation Relief Act 15:04 - Boosting Benefits & COLA's Act 18:53 - Protecting & Preserving SS Act 20:27 - The Claiming Age Clarity Act 22:14 - The Overall Theme of SS Reform 27:28 - Figure Out Your Own Situation Hosted by Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQSiR6fxLGg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "Silver's Surge: Bubble or Fundamentals?" here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bbdac54510I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Is Broadening — But Risks Remain," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KS2mSWm16qg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #Congress #COLA #RetirementIncome
Can we classify Silver as a microbubble? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz take a disciplined, valuation-driven look at silver through the lens of post-2020 micro-bubble cycles. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Oil Prices Slide, CPI/PPI Moderate 8:15 - Index Performance Comparisons 14:33 - PPI/CPI Increase rate Cut Expectations 17:19 - The Risks of Reflation 20:48 - GDP Predictions? 23:08 - The Saga of the Silver Bubble 26:18 - Meme Stocks & SPAC's 29:57 - What's the Narrative in Silver? 31:41 - Silver, Gold, & Commodity Supply-Demand Imbalances 34:03 - Unlike God, Silver is a Critical Mineral 36:44 - Speculation in Silver? 38:25 - Portfolio Positioning & Position Sizing 47:19 - Don't Take Advice from the Guy that's Selling 48:17 - Market Behavior Commentary 49:54 - Markets' Rotation into Anything that's not a Mag-7 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bbdac54510I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday - Your Money & Market Questions Answered " here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jAYfTLVka6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Is Broadening — But Risks Remain," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KS2mSWm16qg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRotation #SmallCapStocks #MarketBreadth #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy#SilverMarket #PreciousMetals #MarketBubbles #InvestorRisk #MacroInvesting
Can we classify Silver as a microbubble? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz take a disciplined, valuation-driven look at silver through the lens of post-2020 micro-bubble cycles. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Oil Prices Slide, CPI/PPI Moderate 8:15 - Index Performance Comparisons 14:33 - PPI/CPI Increase rate Cut Expectations 17:19 - The Risks of Reflation 20:48 - GDP Predictions? 23:08 - The Saga of the Silver Bubble 26:18 - Meme Stocks & SPAC's 29:57 - What's the Narrative in Silver? 31:41 - Silver, Gold, & Commodity Supply-Demand Imbalances 34:03 - Unlike God, Silver is a Critical Mineral 36:44 - Speculation in Silver? 38:25 - Portfolio Positioning & Position Sizing 47:19 - Don't Take Advice from the Guy that's Selling 48:17 - Market Behavior Commentary 49:54 - Markets' Rotation into Anything that's not a Mag-7 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bbdac54510I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday - Your Money & Market Questions Answered " here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jAYfTLVka6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Is Broadening — But Risks Remain," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KS2mSWm16qg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRotation #SmallCapStocks #MarketBreadth #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy#SilverMarket #PreciousMetals #MarketBubbles #InvestorRisk #MacroInvesting
Markets are quietly broadening beneath the surface. While mega-cap stocks continue to dominate headlines, money is rotating into small caps, mid caps, value stocks, and even international equities. The S&P Equal Weight Index just set a new all-time high—even as the S&P 500 lagged—highlighting improving market breadth. Small caps and mid caps have closed part of their long-standing performance gap with large caps, but meaningful differences remain. The Russell 2000 and S&P 600 are still trailing the S&P 500, and small caps remain highly sensitive to economic slowdowns. Roughly 40% of the small-cap universe is unprofitable, making today's valuation enthusiasm especially vulnerable if growth expectations disappoint. Value stocks, defensive names, and select international markets are participating, suggesting this rally is not as narrow as many headlines imply. However, rotation does not eliminate risk—it shifts it. Investors should be cautious chasing economically sensitive areas at elevated valuations and remain disciplined with diversification, rebalancing, and risk management as market leadership evolves. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KS2mSWm16qg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRotation #SmallCapStocks #MarketBreadth #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy
Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff take your real-time questions directly from our YouTube live chat window, and break down today's most important money, market, investing, and retirement topics. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Big Banks' Earnings & Trading Revenue 4:00 - Markets Decline off All-time Highs 9:05 - Fun with Charts - Understanding Market Dynamics 16:17 - Contributing to Roth in Retirement? 20:27 - SimpleVisor Alerts 21:10 - Determining Percentage of Assets to Own vs Sell 26:15 - Thoughts on Trump Plan to use Retirement Money for Home Purchases 30:01 - You never Own Your House 33:48 - Sartorial Advice from Chat Room 34:50 - Target Allocations & Market Valuations 40:18 - 10% Cap on Credit Card Interest 43:08 - The Problem with Checks to Households & UBI 47:10 - A Candid Critique of the Service Industry 48:18 - Why MasterCard Stock Dropped on CC News 49:33 - The Problem with Crony Capitalism 49:52 - Defense Contractor Stock Buys Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jAYfTLVka6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "The Economic Reflation Narrative Is Back" here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LT4dfHthMSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Compress Near All-time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3p7ti6VnJQI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #InvestingQuestions #PersonalFinance #RetirementPlanning
Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff take your real-time questions directly from our YouTube live chat window, and break down today's most important money, market, investing, and retirement topics. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Big Banks' Earnings & Trading Revenue 4:00 - Markets Decline off All-time Highs 9:05 - Fun with Charts - Understanding Market Dynamics 16:17 - Contributing to Roth in Retirement? 20:27 - SimpleVisor Alerts 21:10 - Determining Percentage of Assets to Own vs Sell 26:15 - Thoughts on Trump Plan to use Retirement Money for Home Purchases 30:01 - You never Own Your House 33:48 - Sartorial Advice from Chat Room 34:50 - Target Allocations & Market Valuations 40:18 - 10% Cap on Credit Card Interest 43:08 - The Problem with Checks to Households & UBI 47:10 - A Candid Critique of the Service Industry 48:18 - Why MasterCard Stock Dropped on CC News 49:33 - The Problem with Crony Capitalism 49:52 - Defense Contractor Stock Buys Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jAYfTLVka6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "The Economic Reflation Narrative Is Back" here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LT4dfHthMSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Compress Near All-time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3p7ti6VnJQI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #InvestingQuestions #PersonalFinance #RetirementPlanning
Markets pulled back from all-time highs, not in a bearish way, but through tightening consolidation. Price is compressing between a rising support line and a clearly defined ceiling, creating a narrowing trading range that historically resolves with a decisive move. The key question now is direction. A downside break could bring a retracement toward the 100-day moving average, while an upside resolution could push prices toward the 7,100 area. Over the next two to four weeks, a downside resolution would not be surprising—but any move will still require a catalyst. Market breadth continues to weaken, volatility is slowly creeping higher, and defensive sector rotation is beginning to appear beneath the surface. While momentum remains intact, relative strength is stretched, suggesting consolidation may not be finished. As earnings season fades, markets tend to "sniff out" the next risk. Price action will provide confirmation. Compression always resolves—it is only a matter of time. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3p7ti6VnJQI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement
The economic reflation narrative is back—but is it durable or just another market storyline driven by optimism and liquidity? Lance Roberts explains what investors mean by “economic reflation,” why markets are once again pricing in stronger growth, and which data points are reinforcing the bullish case. We examine the role of monetary policy shifts, fiscal spending, labor market dynamics, and commodity trends that are supporting expectations for improving earnings and profitability. Visit RealInvestmentAdvice.com for daily market commentary, portfolio strategy insights, and risk-management tools. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - One Dad on Money - The Reflation Narrative preview 2:03 - Markets Rally Despite Powell Probe 7:33 - JPMorgan performance & Q4 Earnings Structure 12:33 - Optimism for 2026 - Rate of Inflation Slowing 14:42 - Goldman Survey: Everyone is Bullish About Everything All at Once 16:31 - The Premise of Economic Reflation - Three Reasons 19:01 - The Flaw in the Reflation Narrative 23:14 - Good Consensus for High Market Returns in 2026 24:19 - Why Valuations Matter 28:17 - Wilshire 5000 vs GDP Ratio Explained 29:50 - Why Cut Rates if Economy is Growing? 30:57 - The Biggest Risk to Economy - Geopolitics 33:55 - Sectors to Benefit from Reflation Narrative 36:20 - Risks from the Reflation Narrative 37:24 - The Nirvana of Reflation is Driving Markets 40:23 - Top Ten Percent vs the Rest of Earners 42:18 - What Does the Reflation Narrative Mean for the Average Person? 43:28 - The Risk from the Reflation Story Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LT4dfHthMSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Investor Lessons From 2025 For 2026" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-for-2026-copy/ "2026 Earnings Outlook: Another Year Of Optimism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-earnings-outlook-another-year-of-optimism/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Investor Lessons From 2025 for 2026" here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIPCj5xEG0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Turbulence - Earnings Test Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dcg2Jj73T5U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsSeason #MarketVolatility #StockMarketOutlook #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy #EconomicReflation #MarketOutlook #MacroInvesting #InflationAndGrowth #RiskManagement
With earnings season underway and markets stretched, conditions suggest rising market turbulence as price discovery accelerates. JPMorgan Chase kicked things off with a technical earnings miss after an extraordinary multi-year rally, highlighting how stretched both individual stocks and the broader market have become. While markets remain on a buy signal and continue to hover near all-time highs, deviations from key moving averages and increasingly overbought conditions suggest a near-term pullback would be healthy—and not unexpected. Financial heavyweights such as Goldman Sachs and BlackRock remain central to the AI buildout narrative as capital providers, which could continue to support the sector longer term. With earnings estimates having been lowered ahead of this reporting season, beat rates should remain favorable. Investors can remain long equities, but this is also an opportune moment to rebalance, take partial profits, and manage risk. Any volatility-driven pullback may present a more attractive entry point for the next leg of the rally. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dcg2Jj73T5U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Lessons From 2025 For 2026" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-for-2026-copy/ "DOJ Investigates Powell: Implications For Fed Policy?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/doj-investigates-powell-implications-for-fed-policy/ --- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsSeason #MarketVolatility #StockMarketOutlook #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy
The economic reflation narrative is back—but is it durable or just another market storyline driven by optimism and liquidity? Lance Roberts explains what investors mean by "economic reflation," why markets are once again pricing in stronger growth, and which data points are reinforcing the bullish case. We examine the role of monetary policy shifts, fiscal spending, labor market dynamics, and commodity trends that are supporting expectations for improving earnings and profitability. Just as importantly, we address the risks to the reflation narrative. Sticky inflation, slowing global growth, tighter financial conditions, and policy missteps could all challenge the assumption that reflation is sustainable. Markets often price in best-case outcomes long before the data confirms them—and that gap can matter for portfolio risk. We close with practical investor considerations, focusing on risk management, diversification, and how to think about portfolios when markets are caught between reflation optimism and late-cycle realities. This discussion is designed for investors seeking context, not predictions, and a disciplined framework for navigating shifting macro narratives. Visit RealInvestmentAdvice.com for daily market commentary, portfolio strategy insights, and risk-management tools. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - One Dad on Money - The Reflation Narrative preview 2:03 - Markets Rally Despite Powell Probe 7:33 - JPMorgan performance & Q4 Earnings Structure 12:33 - Optimism for 2026 - Rate of Inflation Slowing 14:42 - Goldman Survey: Everyone is Bullish About Everything All at Once 16:31 - The Premise of Economic Reflation - Three Reasons 19:01 - The Flaw in the Reflation Narrative 23:14 - Good Consensus for High Market Returns in 2026 24:19 - Why Valuations Matter 28:17 - Wilshire 5000 vs GDP Ratio Explained 29:50 - Why Cut Rates if Economy is Growing? 30:57 - The Biggest Risk to Economy - Geopolitics 33:55 - Sectors to Benefit from Reflation Narrative 36:20 - Risks from the Reflation Narrative 37:24 - The Nirvana of Reflation is Driving Markets 40:23 - Top Ten Percent vs the Rest of Earners 42:18 - What Does the Reflation Narrative Mean for the Average Person? 43:28 - The Risk from the Reflation Story Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LT4dfHthMSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Investor Lessons From 2025 For 2026" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-for-2026-copy/ "2026 Earnings Outlook: Another Year Of Optimism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-earnings-outlook-another-year-of-optimism/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Investor Lessons From 2025 for 2026" here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIPCj5xEG0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Turbulence - Earnings Test Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dcg2Jj73T5U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsSeason #MarketVolatility #StockMarketOutlook #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy #EconomicReflation #MarketOutlook #MacroInvesting #InflationAndGrowth #RiskManagement
Markets opened 2026 with early gains, improving breadth, and a rotation toward value—but mixed fundamentals and elevated expectations remain beneath the surface. Lance Roberts reviews key investor lessons from 2025 that matter most as we head into 2026. We review what worked, what failed, and why market narratives once again misled investors. Topics include value versus growth, volatility versus risk, the role of cash, earnings-driven returns, portfolio rebalancing, and why discipline—not prediction—remains the foundation of long-term investing. We also examine the technical backdrop for the S&P 500, key support and resistance levels, inflation and labor market catalysts ahead, and why risk management may matter more than return chasing in 2026. If your objective is to protect capital, reduce portfolio stress, and improve long-term outcomes, these investor lessons are essential. For ongoing market commentary and portfolio strategy, visit RealInvestmentAdvice.com. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Jerome Powell in Hot Water 5:21 - Bracing for Market Volatility 10:05 - Economic Summit Preview 11:45 - Lessons We Should Have Learned in 2025 15:00 - Leave Narratives Behind 18:16 - Volatility is not Risk 21:43 - Cash has Value 26:12 - Earnings Drive Long Term Returns 30:16 - Your Plan Must Survive Stress 33:32 - Losing All Your Capital is a Problem - The Landman Example 38:18 - Thinking Ahead Instead of Looking Behind 41:58 - Earnings Estimates Preview 44:46 - Betting on the Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIPCj5xEG0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Investor Lessons From 2025 For 2026" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-for-2026-copy/ "2026 Earnings Outlook: Another Year Of Optimism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-earnings-outlook-another-year-of-optimism/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Big Beautiful Tax Breaks - 7 Changes for the 2026 Tax Season," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5dEwx5cGCZw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility Risk Rising," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I9FUNPzVZAg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #RiskManagement #EarningsSeason #InvestingStrategy #InvestorLessons #2026MarketOutlook #RiskManagement #PortfolioStrategy #LongTermInvesting
Markets closed at new highs but are flashing short-term overbought signals. Unexpected weekend headlines around a potential investigation tied to the Fed introduced a volatility catalyst markets were not pricing in—especially at elevated levels. While the issue itself is unlikely to become a long-term concern, surprises are often what trigger near-term selling pressure. With earnings season approaching, volatility risk is more likely to come from corporate results than headlines. We discuss why managing risk, rebalancing portfolios, and preparing for routine pullbacks matter when markets are stretched, what a test of the 20-day moving average could mean, and why 2–3% downside moves are normal—not alarming. This is a timely opportunity to review positioning, hedge volatility, and ensure portfolios are aligned with current market conditions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I9FUNPzVZAg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Lessons From 2025 For 2026" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-for-2026-copy/ --- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #RiskManagement #EarningsSeason #InvestingStrategy
Markets opened 2026 with early gains, improving breadth, and a rotation toward value—but mixed fundamentals and elevated expectations remain beneath the surface. Lance Roberts reviews key investor lessons from 2025 that matter most as we head into 2026. We review what worked, what failed, and why market narratives once again misled investors. Topics include value versus growth, volatility versus risk, the role of cash, earnings-driven returns, portfolio rebalancing, and why discipline—not prediction—remains the foundation of long-term investing. We also examine the technical backdrop for the S&P 500, key support and resistance levels, inflation and labor market catalysts ahead, and why risk management may matter more than return chasing in 2026. If your objective is to protect capital, reduce portfolio stress, and improve long-term outcomes, these investor lessons are essential. For ongoing market commentary and portfolio strategy, visit RealInvestmentAdvice.com. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Jerome Powell in Hot Water 5:21 - Bracing for Market Volatility 10:05 - Economic Summit Preview 11:45 - Lessons We Should Have Learned in 2025 15:00 - Leave Narratives Behind 18:16 - Volatility is not Risk 21:43 - Cash has Value 26:12 - Earnings Drive Long Term Returns 30:16 - Your Plan Must Survive Stress 33:32 - Losing All Your Capital is a Problem - The Landman Example 38:18 - Thinking Ahead Instead of Looking Behind 41:58 - Earnings Estimates Preview 44:46 - Betting on the Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIPCj5xEG0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Investor Lessons From 2025 For 2026" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-for-2026-copy/ "2026 Earnings Outlook: Another Year Of Optimism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-earnings-outlook-another-year-of-optimism/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Big Beautiful Tax Breaks - 7 Changes for the 2026 Tax Season," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5dEwx5cGCZw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility Risk Rising," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I9FUNPzVZAg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #RiskManagement #EarningsSeason #InvestingStrategy #InvestorLessons #2026MarketOutlook #RiskManagement #PortfolioStrategy #LongTermInvesting
The 2026 tax season is shaping up to look very different—especially for retirees, near-retirees, and late-career workers. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down some major tax changes tied to the “One Big Beautiful Bill” and recent retirement legislation that could materially impact your tax planning strategy. From higher standard deductions and new age-based write-offs to expanded SALT limits, auto-loan interest deductions, and larger 401(k) catch-up contributions, these changes create both opportunities and planning traps. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - The Big D in the OBBB 3:52 - Higher Standard Deductions 6:57 - Withholding Adjustments 10:25 - Higher SALT Deduction 12:33 - Automobile Loan Interest Deduction 15:29 - Larger Catch-up Contributions 19:15 - Tipped Workers & Qualifying Jobs 23:15 - To Itemize or Not to Itemize 23:56 - Getting Ready not to File Tax Returns 25:06 - Looking at Roth Options 30:52 - 2026 Economic Summit 33:14 - Roth Conversion Deadlines 35:43 - YouTube Poll Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5dEwx5cGCZw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "2026 Market Forecasts: Why Wall Street Gets It Wrong," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQA10SrDk3s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sector Rotation Quietly Begins," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l6zc2wXLn5o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2026Taxes #TaxPlanning #RetirementPlanning #IRSUpdates #FinancialEducation
The 2026 tax season is shaping up to look very different—especially for retirees, near-retirees, and late-career workers. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down some major tax changes tied to the "One Big Beautiful Bill" and recent retirement legislation that could materially impact your tax planning strategy. From higher standard deductions and new age-based write-offs to expanded SALT limits, auto-loan interest deductions, and larger 401(k) catch-up contributions, these changes create both opportunities and planning traps. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - The Big D in the OBBB 3:52 - Higher Standard Deductions 6:57 - Withholding Adjustments 10:25 - Higher SALT Deduction 12:33 - Automobile Loan Interest Deduction 15:29 - Larger Catch-up Contributions 19:15 - Tipped Workers & Qualifying Jobs 23:15 - To Itemize or Not to Itemize 23:56 - Getting Ready not to File Tax Returns 25:06 - Looking at Roth Options 30:52 - 2026 Economic Summit 33:14 - Roth Conversion Deadlines 35:43 - YouTube Poll Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5dEwx5cGCZw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "2026 Market Forecasts: Why Wall Street Gets It Wrong," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQA10SrDk3s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sector Rotation Quietly Begins," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l6zc2wXLn5o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2026Taxes #TaxPlanning #RetirementPlanning #IRSUpdates #FinancialEducation
Every year, Wall Street rolls out confident forecasts for where the S&P 500 will end the year—and every year those projections are treated as actionable insight. For 2026, analyst expectations cluster around modestly positive returns, even as valuations sit near historical extremes and macro risks continue to build. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain why year-ahead market forecasts are largely an exercise in false precision. Instead of offering a price target with zero confidence, we walk through the key forces that are likely to shape markets in 2026—including stretched valuations, liquidity injections disguised as “reserve management,” the Federal Reserve leadership transition, midterm elections, fiscal uncertainty, AI-driven capital spending, tariffs, geopolitics, and rising sovereign debt risks. We also examine historical market behavior to provide perspective on drawdowns, winning streaks, and why valuations are a poor short-term timing tool but an excellent long-term risk signal. Finally, we discuss why flexibility, discipline, and risk management matter far more than guessing an index level twelve months in advance. If you are an investor trying to navigate uncertainty without relying on headlines or optimistic forecasts, this discussion provides the framework you need to think more clearly about markets in 2026. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Betting on Anything, Healthcare Subsidies, HSA's, & Housing Bans 8:15 - Roll-of in Markets 12:42 - Guessing at 2026 Markets 20:35 - Think About the Known; Consider the Unknown 22:59 - Quantitative Easing & Chart Crime 25:09 - The Powell Exit & Midterm Elections 28:21 - Will Europe Keep Dumping Money into US Markets? 29:55 - AI Infrastructure Boom & New Technologies 32:02 - Our Process for Managing Market Rotations 35:14 - SCOTUS' Tariff Ruling & Trump's Plan-B 37:10 - Return of the Yen Carry Trade 38:50 - Smart Money Has Already Considered the Risks 42:08 - Don't Get Too Comfortable with Narratives Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQA10SrDk3s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "2026 Forecast: Tis The Season For Wild Guesses" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-forecast-tis-the-season-for-wild-guesses/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sector Rotation Quietly Begins," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l6zc2wXLn5o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Open Chat Q&A: Markets, Earnings, Taxes & Portfolio Strategy," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGgxAtaZIOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketUpdate #SectorRotation #StockMarketNews #EconomicData #MarketVolatility #MarketOutlook2026 #StockMarketRisk #InvestorDiscipline #FedPolicy #ValuationsMatter
Every year, Wall Street rolls out confident forecasts for where the S&P 500 will end the year—and every year those projections are treated as actionable insight. For 2026, analyst expectations cluster around modestly positive returns, even as valuations sit near historical extremes and macro risks continue to build. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain why year-ahead market forecasts are largely an exercise in false precision. Instead of offering a price target with zero confidence, we walk through the key forces that are likely to shape markets in 2026—including stretched valuations, liquidity injections disguised as "reserve management," the Federal Reserve leadership transition, midterm elections, fiscal uncertainty, AI-driven capital spending, tariffs, geopolitics, and rising sovereign debt risks. We also examine historical market behavior to provide perspective on drawdowns, winning streaks, and why valuations are a poor short-term timing tool but an excellent long-term risk signal. Finally, we discuss why flexibility, discipline, and risk management matter far more than guessing an index level twelve months in advance. If you are an investor trying to navigate uncertainty without relying on headlines or optimistic forecasts, this discussion provides the framework you need to think more clearly about markets in 2026. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Betting on Anything, Healthcare Subsidies, HSA's, & Housing Bans 8:15 - Roll-of in Markets 12:42 - Guessing at 2026 Markets 20:35 - Think About the Known; Consider the Unknown 22:59 - Quantitative Easing & Chart Crime 25:09 - The Powell Exit & Midterm Elections 28:21 - Will Europe Keep Dumping Money into US Markets? 29:55 - AI Infrastructure Boom & New Technologies 32:02 - Our Process for Managing Market Rotations 35:14 - SCOTUS' Tariff Ruling & Trump's Plan-B 37:10 - Return of the Yen Carry Trade 38:50 - Smart Money Has Already Considered the Risks 42:08 - Don't Get Too Comfortable with Narratives Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQA10SrDk3s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "2026 Forecast: Tis The Season For Wild Guesses" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-forecast-tis-the-season-for-wild-guesses/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sector Rotation Quietly Begins," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l6zc2wXLn5o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Open Chat Q&A: Markets, Earnings, Taxes & Portfolio Strategy," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGgxAtaZIOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketUpdate #SectorRotation #StockMarketNews #EconomicData #MarketVolatility #MarketOutlook2026 #StockMarketRisk #InvestorDiscipline #FedPolicy #ValuationsMatter
Markets pulled back modestly Wednesday after reaching an intraday all-time high, as afternoon selling trimmed gains. While overall market trends remain constructive and prices are well above key moving averages, leadership is beginning to shift beneath the surface. Healthcare—one of the most oversold sectors back in September—has now rotated into the most overbought territory, with standout strength from names like Google and Eli Lilly. Meanwhile, traditionally defensive areas such as Staples, Utilities, and Real Estate are now among the most oversold sectors, suggesting potential opportunities if volatility picks up. Looking ahead, markets may face short-term catalysts from the Bloomberg Commodity Index rebalancing, which could introduce volatility within commodity-related assets. The first employment report of the new year arrives tomorrow, followed by the start of earnings season next week—both of which could move markets more meaningfully while volatility remains suppressed. Given elevated positioning and sensitivity to incoming data, we continue to advise caution with allocations as these key reports are released. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l6zc2wXLn5o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketUpdate #SectorRotation #StockMarketNews #EconomicData #MarketVolatility
Markets are hitting all-time highs, earnings expectations are rising, and investors are navigating everything from oil prices to Roth conversions. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff take live viewer questions and explore the themes investors are most focused on right now. Topics discussed include why earnings may be the primary market driver this year, what recent all-time highs signal for forward returns, and how capital flows are shifting across sectors and asset classes. We also examine oil markets—WTI pricing, energy stocks, Venezuela supply dynamics—and what the “sweet spot” for oil prices means for the broader economy. On the planning side, we address Roth IRA advantages and drawbacks, Roth conversions, RMD considerations, and asset allocation questions across different life stages, including retirement-focused portfolios. Additional discussion covers the growing disconnect between GDP and unemployment data, hidden consumer leverage through buy-now-pay-later programs, and how diversification differs from simply owning non-correlated assets. We also touch on factor rotation, bond ETF structure, metals like gold and silver, and whether certain defensive or out-of-favor sectors may eventually regain investor interest. 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Earnings to be The Big Driver this Year 5:45 - Markets Hit All-time Highs 9:23 - Economic Summit Preview & Danny's Holiday Recap 12:25 - WTI, XLE, and Venezuela Oil 17:51 - What is the "Sweet Spot" for Oil Pricing? 21:23 - Tax Advantages - Disadvantages of Roth IRA 24:38 - Where to Look for Capital Flows 27:08 - Roth Conversions & RMD's 28:27 - Commentary - Divergence Between Unemployment & GDP 31:10 - Unrecognized Debt - Buy Now - Pay Later is a Black Box 31:53 - Recommendations for 60-40 Allocations 35:03 - Example of Bond ETF's in SimpleVisor 38:57 - Factor Rotation Portfolio 41:54 - Diversification vs Non-Correlated Assets 44:46 - Silver, Gold, & Other Metals 45:51 - Back Door Roth Conversions 47:30 - Asset Allocations for Septuagenarians 50:18 - Are Packaged Food stocks Ever Coming Back? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGgxAtaZIOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sector Rotation Signals Improving Market Breadth," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R8z27km9G1M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Financial Nihilism vs. Financial Planning," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1qXRp9gLoc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketUpdate #StockMarketToday #MarketRisk #VIX #PortfolioManagement
Markets are hitting all-time highs, earnings expectations are rising, and investors are navigating everything from oil prices to Roth conversions. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff take live viewer questions and explore the themes investors are most focused on right now. Topics discussed include why earnings may be the primary market driver this year, what recent all-time highs signal for forward returns, and how capital flows are shifting across sectors and asset classes. We also examine oil markets—WTI pricing, energy stocks, Venezuela supply dynamics—and what the "sweet spot" for oil prices means for the broader economy. On the planning side, we address Roth IRA advantages and drawbacks, Roth conversions, RMD considerations, and asset allocation questions across different life stages, including retirement-focused portfolios. Additional discussion covers the growing disconnect between GDP and unemployment data, hidden consumer leverage through buy-now-pay-later programs, and how diversification differs from simply owning non-correlated assets. We also touch on factor rotation, bond ETF structure, metals like gold and silver, and whether certain defensive or out-of-favor sectors may eventually regain investor interest. 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Earnings to be The Big Driver this Year 5:45 - Markets Hit All-time Highs 9:23 - Economic Summit Preview & Danny's Holiday Recap 12:25 - WTI, XLE, and Venezuela Oil 17:51 - What is the "Sweet Spot" for Oil Pricing? 21:23 - Tax Advantages - Disadvantages of Roth IRA 24:38 - Where to Look for Capital Flows 27:08 - Roth Conversions & RMD's 28:27 - Commentary - Divergence Between Unemployment & GDP 31:10 - Unrecognized Debt - Buy Now - Pay Later is a Black Box 31:53 - Recommendations for 60-40 Allocations 35:03 - Example of Bond ETF's in SimpleVisor 38:57 - Factor Rotation Portfolio 41:54 - Diversification vs Non-Correlated Assets 44:46 - Silver, Gold, & Other Metals 45:51 - Back Door Roth Conversions 47:30 - Asset Allocations for Septuagenarians 50:18 - Are Packaged Food stocks Ever Coming Back? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGgxAtaZIOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sector Rotation Signals Improving Market Breadth," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R8z27km9G1M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Financial Nihilism vs. Financial Planning," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1qXRp9gLoc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketUpdate #StockMarketToday #MarketRisk #VIX #PortfolioManagement
Markets pushed to a new all-time high after successfully testing the 20-day moving average, with relative strength improving and momentum signals turning positive. However, following yesterday's strong rally, futures are pointing slightly lower this morning. The Dow is approaching the psychologically important 50,000 level, while ten-year Treasury yields are beginning to ease after a recent surge. That shift could signal early rotation from equity risk back toward bonds. Volatility remains a key indicator to watch—despite November's spike, the VIX is holding near 15, reflecting elevated complacency. Historically, extended periods of compressed volatility often precede increased market turbulence. While there is no immediate sign of stress, this environment argues for discipline. Risk management actions such as rebalancing, trimming extended positions, adding hedges, or modestly increasing cash exposure may help manage downside risk as complacency rises. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R8z27km9G1M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketUpdate #StockMarketToday #MarketRisk #VIX #PortfolioManagement
More investors—especially Millennials and Gen Z—are treating markets like a casino. Not because they're reckless, but because the traditional path to financial security feels broken. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down Financial Nihilism vs. Financial Planning: why speculative behavior is rising, and what still works when confidence in long-term investing erodes. Options trading, crypto, meme assets, and betting apps offer fast outcomes in a world where housing is expensive, debt is high, and patience feels unrewarded. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - ISM Index Weaker than Expected 4:25 - Market Breadth Improves 8:51 - Two Dads on Money Holiday Recap 10:43 - What is 'Financial Nihilism'? 15:10 - The Path to "Getting Rich" 17:04 - What Capitalism is Built For 17:54 - Baby Boomer's, Millennial's, & Gen-Z 21:19 - What is "The American Dream"? 23:03 - Experience is a Good Teacher 28:03 - No One is Holding You Back 32:55 - The most Important Thing - The Savings Rate 37:15 - Cars & Collectibles 43:08 - Financial Nihilism is Not Real 45:45 - Car Financing & Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1qXRp9gLoc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sector Rotation Signals Improving Market Breadth," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sttQ3aaH4Rc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "2026 Market Outlook: Bullish Momentum, Valuation Risks, and What Comes Next," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LxDnB-Z7mJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #SectorRotation #ValueStocks #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #FinancialNihilism #FinancialPlanning #InvestorBehavior #LongTermInvesting #WealthBuilding
More investors—especially Millennials and Gen Z—are treating markets like a casino. Not because they're reckless, but because the traditional path to financial security feels broken. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down Financial Nihilism vs. Financial Planning: why speculative behavior is rising, and what still works when confidence in long-term investing erodes. Options trading, crypto, meme assets, and betting apps offer fast outcomes in a world where housing is expensive, debt is high, and patience feels unrewarded. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - ISM Index Weaker than Expected 4:25 - Market Breadth Improves 8:51 - Two Dads on Money Holiday Recap 10:43 - What is 'Financial Nihilism'? 15:10 - The Path to "Getting Rich" 17:04 - What Capitalism is Built For 17:54 - Baby Boomer's, Millennial's, & Gen-Z 21:19 - What is "The American Dream"? 23:03 - Experience is a Good Teacher 28:03 - No One is Holding You Back 32:55 - The most Important Thing - The Savings Rate 37:15 - Cars & Collectibles 43:08 - Financial Nihilism is Not Real 45:45 - Car Financing & Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1qXRp9gLoc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sector Rotation Signals Improving Market Breadth," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sttQ3aaH4Rc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "2026 Market Outlook: Bullish Momentum, Valuation Risks, and What Comes Next," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LxDnB-Z7mJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #SectorRotation #ValueStocks #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #FinancialNihilism #FinancialPlanning #InvestorBehavior #LongTermInvesting #WealthBuilding
Markets are quietly sending important signals beneath the surface. Energy led early gains Monday, but strength broadened into financials as capital continued rotating from growth into value stocks. Over the past several weeks, value has steadily outperformed growth, while leadership has begun shifting away from mega-cap stocks into more underlying areas of the market. Notably, the S&P equal-weighted index reached a new all-time high, even as the cap-weighted index lagged. The performance gap between the two has narrowed from roughly 10% to about 6%, signaling improving market breadth. This rotation suggests investors are becoming more selective while positioning more defensively amid the potential for higher volatility. Technically, markets remain above the 20-day moving average and are close to triggering a short-term MACD buy signal. If follow-through continues near all-time highs, an upside breakout could provide additional tailwinds in the near term. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sttQ3aaH4Rc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --- Articles mentioned in this report: 2026 Market Outlook Based On Valuations https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-market-outlook-based-on-valuations/ "Fed's Soft Landing Narrative Meets Economic Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/feds-soft-landing-narrative-meets-economic-data/ --- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #SectorRotation #ValueStocks #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday
Markets closed 2025 with strong gains, but the path forward into 2026 is far more nuanced than headline optimism suggests. Lance Roberts reviews what drove 2025's market performance, why the Santa Claus Rally failed, and how shifting inflation trends, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and valuation levels are shaping market outlooks for 2026.How can investors navigate the New Year with realistic expectations, disciplined risk management, and diversified positioning, recognizing that returns may come with higher volatility than recent years. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Maduro Impact on Oil; What's Next for New Year? 4:42 - No Santa Rally! 9:58 - What to Expect in 2026 14:13 - Base Portfolio Management in Terms of a Range of Outcomes 20:02 - The Risk of Disappointment 24:00 - Full Time Employment is Driver for Economic Growth 27:39 - The Big Story - Earnings Catch Down to Growth 31:43 - What WILL Derail Markets in 2026 35:16 - Supply Demand Imbalances & Precious Metals 40:23 - How Prices are Set by Futures Markets 42:20 - Margins on Commodities 50:42 - Comming Attractions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LxDnB-Z7mJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Outlook For 2026" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-for-2026/ "Precious Metals Aren't Predicting Economic Collapse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/precious-metals-arent-predicting-economic-collapse-draft/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Enter 2026 Consolidation Phase as Volatility Looms," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeEA-JQBKEA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=10s ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "What Great Financial Planning Looks Like," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhVoQc7adgU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #PreMarketUpdate #MarketOutlook2026 #StockMarketAnalysis #InvestmentRisk #FederalReservePolicy #PortfolioStrategy
Markets wrapped up the year with solid gains, finishing roughly 17% higher, but momentum has cooled as stocks consolidate near recent highs. Despite briefly setting a new all-time high in late December, markets spent the final weeks of the year moving sideways, reflecting growing fatigue after an extended rally. In this pre-market update, we review why the market's two-month consolidation range matters, how staying above the 20-day moving average supports the broader trend, and why recent momentum sell signals do not necessarily signal a major downturn. With markets up eight consecutive months, short-term pullbacks or mild corrections would be a normal and healthy way to relieve overbought conditions. As traders return for the first full week of the new year, futures are pointing higher—but volatility may increase as we move into the first quarter. We discuss what investors should watch in January and February, how to think about near-term weakness, and why disciplined risk management remains critical after a long run of gains. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeEA-JQBKEA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: 2026 Market Outlook Based On Valuations https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-market-outlook-based-on-valuations/ "Fed's Soft Landing Narrative Meets Economic Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/feds-soft-landing-narrative-meets-economic-data/ ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #PreMarketUpdate
Markets closed 2025 with strong gains, but the path forward into 2026 is far more nuanced than headline optimism suggests. Lance Roberts reviews what drove 2025's market performance, why the Santa Claus Rally failed, and how shifting inflation trends, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and valuation levels are shaping market outlooks for 2026.How can investors navigate the New Year with realistic expectations, disciplined risk management, and diversified positioning, recognizing that returns may come with higher volatility than recent years. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Maduro Impact on Oil; What's Next for New Year? 4:42 - No Santa Rally! 9:58 - What to Expect in 2026 14:13 - Base Portfolio Management in Terms of a Range of Outcomes 20:02 - The Risk of Disappointment 24:00 - Full Time Employment is Driver for Economic Growth 27:39 - The Big Story - Earnings Catch Down to Growth 31:43 - What WILL Derail Markets in 2026 35:16 - Supply Demand Imbalances & Precious Metals 40:23 - How Prices are Set by Futures Markets 42:20 - Margins on Commodities 50:42 - Comming Attractions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LxDnB-Z7mJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Outlook For 2026" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-for-2026/ "Precious Metals Aren't Predicting Economic Collapse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/precious-metals-arent-predicting-economic-collapse-draft/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Enter 2026 Consolidation Phase as Volatility Looms," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeEA-JQBKEA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=10s ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "What Great Financial Planning Looks Like," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhVoQc7adgU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #PreMarketUpdate #MarketOutlook2026 #StockMarketAnalysis #InvestmentRisk #FederalReservePolicy #PortfolioStrategy
"Trump Accounts" are being discussed as a new way to help children and young adults invest for the future—but are they a meaningful planning tool or simply clever branding? In this episode, we break down how Trump Accounts are structured, how they differ from traditional retirement and custodial accounts, and why return assumptions deserve careful scrutiny. We also discuss funding mechanics, diversification considerations, and what actually happens when a child reaches age 18. Importantly, we address what these accounts are not designed to do—including education planning, where 529 plans may remain more effective. Along the way, we share lessons on dollar-cost averaging, long-term ownership, and why financial literacy matters more than the wrapper itself. Finally, we zoom out to the bigger picture: using the new year as an opportunity to refresh your financial plan, revisit retirement contributions, understand SECURE Act changes, and begin thoughtful estate and legacy conversations. January may be a "no-fun" month, but it is one of the most important times to get organized and set the foundation for 2026 and beyond. 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Trump Accounts Overview - is it a con? How they're going to be structured, diversification; differences - requires separate form to establish Assumptions for returns are more than rosy; How to fund - 3:28 - Account acts like an IRA 11:21 - Where is the financial literacy associated with the accounts? 12:48 - The artistry in stock certificates 14:53 - How to convert the money - what happens when the child turns 18 18:02 - Not for education planning - 529 is better 19:09 - Rosso's McDonald's Stock ownership story 20:13 - Is this the time to start a fund when the market is at the top? 22:18 - The lesson of dollar cost averaging 24:52 - Setting up for 2026 - 26:43 - Revisit Retirement Contributions - set as high as possible 27:40 - Secure Act changes - Rothification; Gift of Introductory conversations about estate planning & will 32:34 - January is no-fun month; 34:16 - Assess relationship with financiel advisor, tax planner, etc. Knox Box financial organization tool Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kjxe7xjaj74&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #RetirementStrategy #InvestingEducation #WealthBuilding #RealInvestmentAdvice
As we begin the new year, this New Year's Day market outlook takes a balanced, risk-aware look at what 2026 may hold for investors. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the bullish case for markets, including the macro and technical backdrops supporting higher prices, while also addressing the growing risks beneath the surface—particularly stress in credit markets and the potential for lower long-term returns. The discussion explores how elevated valuations, tighter financial conditions, and shifting economic dynamics could impact portfolio outcomes in the year ahead. We also outline practical investment strategies for 2026, including why cash can provide valuable optionality during periods of volatility and uncertainty. Additional topics include a preview of the 2026 Economic Summit, sector opportunities such as energy, expectations for gold and silver, and a critical discussion of which investments may be inappropriate to hold inside a Roth IRA structure. This episode is designed to help investors set realistic expectations, manage risk, and position portfolios thoughtfully for the year ahead. 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Market Outlook for 2026 2:12 - The Case for Bullishness 7:15 - The Risk for Lower Returns 9:44 - The Case for Bearishness 13:24 - Stress in Credit markets 15:33 - Investing Strategies for 2026 20:40 - Cash Provides Optionality 23:48 - 2026 Economic Summit Preview 29:17 - Energy Plays for 2026 32:20 - Expectations for Gold and Silver in 2026 39:15 - What Investments Should NOT Be Held in a Roth IRA? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5ZwEVKb4e0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Marketing for Financial Advisors in the AI Age - Greg Joslyn Interview," here: https://youtube.com/live/Rz5VtHnobEk?feature=share -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2026MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #MarketRisk #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning
The holidays bring families together—but they also create a rare opportunity to talk about something that truly matters: legacy. Richard Rosso & Sarah Buenger explore how thoughtful, well-framed conversations about money, wishes, and values can become one of the greatest gifts you give your family. Research shows that nearly 70% of parents have never discussed inheritance with their children, often leaving confusion, conflict, or unresolved questions behind. Questions lead to stories. Stories lead to understanding. And understanding builds a legacy that lasts beyond the holidays. 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 Santa's Elves & Christmas Ornaments 2:15 - parents who don't tell children about their inheritance. 3:21 - Holiday Legacy Guide 5:41 -Thoughtful conversations: Talking about Money is the greatest gift 9:33 - Conversation starters are tough - use an independent third party to help (friends, clergy, financial advisors, etc.) 12:52 - Care in framing the questions - no dead-end questions 14:46 - Long-lost money 17:34 - Ask about the pets - who gets it? 19:35 - Ask about he "final arrangements:" What do you want? - do it for the ones you love 24:19 - What would you do if you had a month to live? 26:51 - The strategy for learning what your family wants 29:59 - The Christmas Ornament 33:17 - The Tool: www.agingwithdignity.org - Five wishes Questions lead to stories, stories lead to conversations Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Sara Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/8_W5XkBMmF4?feature=share ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LegacyPlanning #FamilyFinance #EstatePlanning #HolidayConversations #FinancialWellbeing
Our Christmas Day Best-Of episode revisits some of the most important investing and financial planning discussions of the year. Lance Roberts, Danny Ratliff, & Jonathan Penn examine whether the traditional 60/40 portfolio still serves its original purpose of reducing volatility, and what the three legs of investing mean in today's market environment; whether the Federal Reserve has shifted away from its inflation mandate, how to interpret 2- and 3-standard-deviation market moves using tools like Bollinger Bands, and which economic data truly matters for investors—and where to find it. We close by addressing common misconceptions around inflation, including the real impact of tariffs and why sustainable economic growth requires some level of inflation, along with a thoughtful discussion on when marriage can be a sound financial decision—and when it may not be. A reflective, evergreen episode focused on perspective, risk management, and better decision-making heading into the new year. 0:00 - INTRO 0:17 - Live Q&A: Is the 60-40 Rule still viable - the goal is reducing volatility (three legs of investing) 8:52 - Has the Fed given up on their inflation mandate? 12:04 - Explain 2x, 3x standard deviations from average (Bollinger Band articles) 15:40 - What data to watch (and where can you find it)? 18:48 - Inflation: true impact of tariffs? True sources of Inflation: No inflation, no economic growth 23:20 - When is marriage a good investment (and when is it not)? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oi-a7CySU1g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Pause Before the Fed: Time to Trim Risk?," is here: https://youtu.be/watJ1Jqsf-4 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Bullish Case Or Bearish Backdrop" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bullish-case-or-bearish-backdrop/ -------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Dealing with Debt & Smart Money Moves" here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1iPM7ef0BKg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingEducation #MarketRisk #FederalReserve #Inflation #FinancialPlanning
The Federal Reserve is entering a pivotal phase, and the decisions it makes now will define the next era of monetary policy. Lance Roberts and The Fed Guy, Joseph Wang, examine the structural forces putting the Fed at a crossroads—from rate cuts and shifting labor-market dynamics to the long-term impact of AI, tariff-driven inflation, and changes in the Fed's balance-sheet strategy. We explore why markets appear bullish on economic growth despite weakening employment data, how tariff inflation may be a one-time impulse, and what a redesigned policy framework could look like as banks, regulators, and political leaders debate the Fed's future role. If you want a grounded assessment of where monetary policy is heading and how structural changes could reshape markets, this episode provides the context investors need. 0:00 - INTRO 1:07 - Fed Rate Cuts & Commentary 5:37 - Markets Are Bullish About Economic Growth vs Employment Data; Tariff Inflation? One-Time Impact 7:59 - Labor Market Commentary 8:56 - Impact of AI? Double-checking the bot; building data centers; 11:25 - How will the Fed respond to AI impact on labor market? 12:47 - The Shift in Fed Policy - Ben Bernanke: Boosting asset prices to improve consumer mood 15:28 - The Fed is at a crossroads in its role - a smaller Fed balance sheet? 18:00 - Fed to de-regulate commercial banks (supplementary leverage ratio) so they can take over Fed's role? 20:16 - Is the Fox in the henhouse? 21:42 - How to unwind Fed balance sheet? 23:27 - Fed to Purchase $40-B in Bonds - not QE? 24:55 - QE vs Reserve Management Purchase 27:13 - Never Going back to Zero Interest Rates? 28:48 - Government Bond Rollover coming - will banks manage? 31:54 - Administrative make up of the future Fed - Kevin Hassett? - How Low will Rates Go; would low rates help with affordability; will the Fed Become more Trump-dominated? 38:34 - What is the risk from lower rates? 41:09 - Changes in the way we operate - the past is not the future. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Joseph Wang, CIO, The Fed Guy Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/uv88L9zT4Ok?feature=share ------- Our Previous show, "Dollar Power, AI, & The New Financial Order," is here: https://youtube.com/live/QYUME1I-SDg?feature=share ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates #MarketOutlook #AIEconomy #JosephWang #TheFedGuy
In this episode, Lance Roberts sits down with Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, to break down what's really happening with the U.S. dollar, the global monetary system, and why AI is accelerating a geopolitical and economic power shift. If you're looking for big-picture insights on the future of the dollar, geopolitics, AI-driven capital flows, and where long-term investing tailwinds are forming—this is a must-watch. 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Dollar Pessimism is Everywhere 3:32 - Why the Dollar Loses Purchasing Power: Inflation 5:08 - How Reserve Currencies Work - Why the Dollar is the Global Reserve Currency 6:30 - Why Oil is Priced in Dollars 9:07 - Reserve Currency Storage - Rule of Law & Liquidity Stability; effects of Euro Conversion on Reserves 11:10 - Ronald Regan clip, "Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall" 13:00 - Why the Dollar needs not be too strong or too weak (Chart - US Dollar Index) 16:00 - The Debt based monetary system 16:42 - The Carry Trade 19:59 - The Dollar Milkshake Theory - 21:00 - What a Falling Dollar would indicate 22:00 - The Impact of Where Money is Being Spent for AI Buildout - the multiplier effect; will this attract more foreign capital into the US? 25:11 - AI is transformational - Separation of East from West is happening; outcome is existential to the US 26:22 - The Office of Strategic Capital - 27:07 - The Race to Win AI - leadership in the global economy 28:53 - Two hang ups - Power generation/transmission grid 29:46 - Looking for the investing tailwinds 31:23 - The Fed's Return to QE 35:08 - Stablecoin vs Bitcoin - Digital Token, linked to a specific asset or commodity; Bitcoin which suffers from volatility 38:14 - The Genius Act - official blessing of Stablecoin; geopolitical implications 39:24 - The potential to become a new Eurodollar market - the importance of sovereignty for a nation 42:58 - Using Money as a weapon 44:46 - Stablecoin Implications for Investors - impact on Treasuries 47:14 - Currency Manipulation - China vs U.S. 50:30 - AI is overpriced - Looking ahead: short term cautious; buy the dip; Energy assets, including nuclear; critical minerals are national security implications 52:08 - Precious Metals outlook: If you own them, don't sell them; 53:40 - Opportunity in Energy Sector; Will VanLowe/Quantum - Energy Demand vs available supply imbalance 54:34 - The LNG supply gap solution 56:25 - How to Find Brent Johnson Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Brent Johnson, CEO, Santiago Capital, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QYUME1I-SDg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAug2oeXwuQUeSf8Hd6AFR5O9&index=4 ------- Our Previous show, "Bear Markets Are a Good Thing," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdlhQgMthW4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "QE Is Coming: The 2008 Roots Of Fed Dominance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/qe-is-coming-the-2008-roots-of-fed-dominance/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BrentJohnson #USDollar #AIInvesting #GlobalMacro #FinancialMarkets
Markets are heading into year-end with optimism still firmly embedded in prices, but the economic data are telling a more complicated story. Lance Roberts examines the growing gap between the Federal Reserve's soft-landing narrative and what inflation, employment, consumer spending, and earnings expectations are actually signaling. While markets have stabilized following recent volatility, participation remains narrow, sentiment is elevated, and valuations appear priced for a smooth economic outcome in 2026. Lance Roberts breaks down the technical backdrop, including key support and resistance levels, momentum conditions, and volatility trends, along with the limited—but potentially market-moving—economic catalysts ahead. We also discuss why falling inflation driven by weakening demand presents a very different risk profile than supply-driven disinflation, and what that means for investors as liquidity thins into year-end. Finally, we outline risk-managed portfolio considerations if the Fed's assumptions prove optimistic and markets are forced to reprice expectations. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Christmas Week Preview & Valuation Ranges for 2026 3:28 - Markets Are Doing What Markets Do 10:35 - Challenges to the Fed's Soft Landing Narrative 14:06 - Earnings Growth Expectations Illustrated (charts) 20:22 - Risks to Look for in 2026 24:21 - Forecast Comparisons - Then & Now 28:00 - Valuations Are Elevated Everywhere 30:05 - Multiple Expansion Estimates - Three Scenarios 37:28 - Averages Returns Examined 39:06 - The Range of Outcomes - Not a Prediction 42:32 - Markets Have Been Too Easy 45:30 - What Happens If...? 47:43 - Coming Attractions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B4EaxzOPEWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: 2026 Market Outlook Based On Valuations https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-market-outlook-based-on-valuations/ "Fed's Soft Landing Narrative Meets Economic Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/feds-soft-landing-narrative-meets-economic-data/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Too Soon for Santa?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7EFSU2vZeFE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "What Great Financial Planning Looks Like," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhVoQc7adgU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SantaClausRally #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MarketTrends #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #EconomicData #InvestingRisk #StockMarket
Markets are doing what they often do this time of year—attempting to stabilize and rally amid choppy trading. While some are already declaring that the Santa Claus Rally is "dead," history suggests patience is warranted. The official Santa Rally window hasn't even begun yet, and statistically, the odds still favor a year-end lift. Lance Roberts breaks down why recent pullbacks below key moving averages triggered algorithmic selling—and why disciplined investors avoid knee-jerk reactions. With markets rebounding above short-term technical levels and consolidating gains from earlier in the year, the bigger takeaway is this: how you managed risk mattered far more than what you owned. As we head toward year-end and look into next year, remember—markets rotate, leadership changes, and yesterday's winners are rarely tomorrow's. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and stay focused on risk management. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7EFSU2vZeFE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: 2026 Market Outlook Based On Valuations https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-market-outlook-based-on-valuations/ ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SantaClausRally #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MarketTrends
Markets are heading into year-end with optimism still firmly embedded in prices, but the economic data are telling a more complicated story. Lance Roberts examines the growing gap between the Federal Reserve's soft-landing narrative and what inflation, employment, consumer spending, and earnings expectations are actually signaling. While markets have stabilized following recent volatility, participation remains narrow, sentiment is elevated, and valuations appear priced for a smooth economic outcome in 2026. Lance Roberts breaks down the technical backdrop, including key support and resistance levels, momentum conditions, and volatility trends, along with the limited—but potentially market-moving—economic catalysts ahead. We also discuss why falling inflation driven by weakening demand presents a very different risk profile than supply-driven disinflation, and what that means for investors as liquidity thins into year-end. Finally, we outline risk-managed portfolio considerations if the Fed's assumptions prove optimistic and markets are forced to reprice expectations. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Christmas Week Preview & Valuation Ranges for 2026 3:28 - Markets Are Doing What Markets Do 10:35 - Challenges to the Fed's Soft Landing Narrative 14:06 - Earnings Growth Expectations Illustrated (charts) 20:22 - Risks to Look for in 2026 24:21 - Forecast Comparisons - Then & Now 28:00 - Valuations Are Elevated Everywhere 30:05 - Multiple Expansion Estimates - Three Scenarios 37:28 - Averages Returns Examined 39:06 - The Range of Outcomes - Not a Prediction 42:32 - Markets Have Been Too Easy 45:30 - What Happens If...? 47:43 - Coming Attractions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B4EaxzOPEWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: 2026 Market Outlook Based On Valuations https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2026-market-outlook-based-on-valuations/ "Fed's Soft Landing Narrative Meets Economic Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/feds-soft-landing-narrative-meets-economic-data/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Too Soon for Santa?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7EFSU2vZeFE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "What Great Financial Planning Looks Like," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhVoQc7adgU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SantaClausRally #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MarketTrends #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #EconomicData #InvestingRisk #StockMarket
What should a great financial planning experience actually look like? For many investors, “financial planning” is reduced to product selection, performance chasing, or a one-time retirement projection that never gets revisited. In reality, a high-quality financial planning experience is far more comprehensive — and far more valuable. Richard Rosso breaks down the essential elements of effective financial planning. True financial planning is not about predicting markets or selling products. It is about building a durable framework that helps investors make better decisions through market cycles, life changes, and economic uncertainty. Whether you are working with an advisor or managing your finances independently, understanding what a great planning experience looks like can help you avoid costly mistakes and set more realistic expectations for long-term success. 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Financial Planning, PBS, & Benny Hill 4:08 - Comparisons of Big Box Brokerages' Financial Plans 7:52 - Financial Goals are Being Re-shuffled 12:54 - Financial Planners' Meaningless Titles 15:32 - Financial Advisors as Holistic Partners 23:00 - Maintaining Behavioral Balance 27:32 - Bad Gift-giving & Financial Swiffers 32:50 - Accumulation & De-cumulation Expertise Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhVoQc7adgU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Oversold After Key Support Break," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ITeHTYtt1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? Global Risks & Opportunities ," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5XBlkxO7lfI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #InvestorEducation #RetirementPlanning #PersonalFinance
What should a great financial planning experience actually look like? For many investors, "financial planning" is reduced to product selection, performance chasing, or a one-time retirement projection that never gets revisited. In reality, a high-quality financial planning experience is far more comprehensive — and far more valuable. Richard Rosso breaks down the essential elements of effective financial planning. True financial planning is not about predicting markets or selling products. It is about building a durable framework that helps investors make better decisions through market cycles, life changes, and economic uncertainty. Whether you are working with an advisor or managing your finances independently, understanding what a great planning experience looks like can help you avoid costly mistakes and set more realistic expectations for long-term success. 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Financial Planning, PBS, & Benny Hill 4:08 - Comparisons of Big Box Brokerages' Financial Plans 7:52 - Financial Goals are Being Re-shuffled 12:54 - Financial Planners' Meaningless Titles 15:32 - Financial Advisors as Holistic Partners 23:00 - Maintaining Behavioral Balance 27:32 - Bad Gift-giving & Financial Swiffers 32:50 - Accumulation & De-cumulation Expertise Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhVoQc7adgU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Oversold After Key Support Break," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ITeHTYtt1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? Global Risks & Opportunities ," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5XBlkxO7lfI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #InvestorEducation #RetirementPlanning #PersonalFinance
For decades, the 60/40 portfolio—stocks and bonds—served as the foundation of balanced investing. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz examine the growing global forces reshaping markets. While Wall Street has remained fixated on AI hyperscalers, major developments abroad are increasingly driving returns and risk. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Inflation Report Preview - Where's the Fed's Soft Landing? 3:05 - Markets working Through the Chop 9:56 - Top 10 Christmas Movies 13:24 - Inflation Expectations (Preview) 14:35 - The Fed Ends QT 20:35 - JP Morgan's Liquidity Crunch 22:53 - Is the Economy Slowing More than They Think? 24:03 - Is the 60/40 Portfolio Model Dead? 26:07 - CAPE-10 Predictions 27:05 - The All-weather Portfolio - Why to Own Bonds 31:31 - Double Digit Environment is Unsustainable 32:33 - How Are Bonds Not Safe?? 34:42 - BitCoin Does Not Belong in Your "Safe" Bucket 37:29 - Safe Money Bucket Composition 42:43 - Why Central Banks Hold Gold 48:15 - Bonds vs Real Estate 51:23 - Diversification Matters 52:01 - A note about REIT's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5XBlkxO7lfI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Oversold After Key Support Break," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ITeHTYtt1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Live Market Questions & Investor Insights," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yJV-vnHx4Eg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #OversoldMarkets #PortfolioManagement #SectorRotation #GlobalMarkets #PortfolioRisk #AssetAllocation #BondMarkets #MacroOutlook
Markets broke below both the 20- and 50-day moving averages, triggering a short-term MACD sell signal and raising concerns about near-term weakness. While technical damage should not be ignored, markets are becoming oversold on a relative strength basis, which historically increases the odds of a short-term bounce. Importantly, market bottoms tend to be brief, and prior episodes have shown that support breaks can be quickly reversed. The key issue now is not the intraday violation of moving averages, but where markets ultimately close the week. A sustained close below key support levels would suggest additional downside risk heading into the Christmas-shortened trading week. However, after four consecutive down days, selling pressure is becoming extended, increasing the probability of at least a reflexive rally. Investors feeling uncomfortable with recent volatility may consider using a bounce to rebalance portfolios, reduce excess equity exposure, and take profits where appropriate. This also presents an opportunity for tax-loss harvesting as select stocks are becoming more attractively priced. Importantly, much of the recent weakness has been driven by mega-cap stocks, while equal-weight indexes are beginning to close the performance gap—suggesting improving market breadth. Sector rotation is also underway, with strength emerging in Energy, Healthcare, and Staples. Staying disciplined and attentive to these shifts may help uncover selective opportunities even as headline risk remains elevated. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ITeHTYtt1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #OversoldMarkets #PortfolioManagement #SectorRotation
For decades, the 60/40 portfolio—stocks and bonds—served as the foundation of balanced investing. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz examine the growing global forces reshaping markets. While Wall Street has remained fixated on AI hyperscalers, major developments abroad are increasingly driving returns and risk. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Inflation Report Preview - Where's the Fed's Soft Landing? 3:05 - Markets working Through the Chop 9:56 - Top 10 Christmas Movies 13:24 - Inflation Expectations (Preview) 14:35 - The Fed Ends QT 20:35 - JP Morgan's Liquidity Crunch 22:53 - Is the Economy Slowing More than They Think? 24:03 - Is the 60/40 Portfolio Model Dead? 26:07 - CAPE-10 Predictions 27:05 - The All-weather Portfolio - Why to Own Bonds 31:31 - Double Digit Environment is Unsustainable 32:33 - How Are Bonds Not Safe?? 34:42 - BitCoin Does Not Belong in Your "Safe" Bucket 37:29 - Safe Money Bucket Composition 42:43 - Why Central Banks Hold Gold 48:15 - Bonds vs Real Estate 51:23 - Diversification Matters 52:01 - A note about REIT's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5XBlkxO7lfI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Oversold After Key Support Break," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ITeHTYtt1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Live Market Questions & Investor Insights," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yJV-vnHx4Eg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #OversoldMarkets #PortfolioManagement #SectorRotation #GlobalMarkets #PortfolioRisk #AssetAllocation #BondMarkets #MacroOutlook
As the year comes to a close, young investors have a unique opportunity to make small moves that can compound into meaningful long-term results. In this episode, we walk through a practical, end-of-year checklist designed for early-career investors who want to stay organized, tax-aware, and financially disciplined. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn cover how to confirm you're capturing all available employer benefits, including 401(k) or 403(b) matches and vesting schedules. We also discuss how to think about Roth IRAs, HSAs, and other tax-advantaged accounts early in your career—when time is often your greatest asset. On the investment side, we review simple allocation checks, diversification risks, and why staying invested through volatility matters. We also highlight tax-smart considerations like capital gains awareness, loss harvesting, and stock-compensation planning for ESPPs and RSUs. Finally, we address the foundational elements of financial stability: emergency savings, cash management, credit health, and high-interest debt. This checklist is not about speculation—it's about building durable financial habits that support long-term wealth creation. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Wealth by Brackets 3:39 - Will the Santa Rally be Delayed? 9:02 - Open Enrollment & Benefits Tips 16:12 - 401k/IRA Contributions & Employer Matches 24:26 - Investment Choices in 401k's 26:56 - Tracking Down old 401k's 29:38 - Understanding Vesting Schedules 32:29 - Catching Up in 401k 33:58 - Wills, Estate Plans, & Beneficiary Designations 36:26 - Checking for Leakage 39:55 - Annual Credit Report Review 41:18 - Comniog Attractions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Wyudzh3naw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Data, Volatility & Santa Rally Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/gnorFZc1qM8 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Facing Your Financial Ghosts," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypp_HKgciow&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #SantaClausRally #Volatility #RiskManagement #StockMarketAnalysis #YoungInvestors #PersonalFinance #YearEndPlanning #InvestingBasics #FinancialWellness
Today's Q&A Wednesday is driven entirely by live YouTube chat questions, covering the market topics investors are most focused on right now. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff address real-time concerns around market volatility, Federal Reserve policy, interest rates, inflation, portfolio risk, asset allocation, and year-end positioning—without hype or speculation. This interactive session is designed to help investors better understand what matters, what doesn't, and how markets typically behave during periods of uncertainty. Rather than making predictions, we focus on context, probabilities, and risk management—answering your questions as they come in live. If you have a market question, join the conversation in the chat. If you're watching the replay, timestamps and chapter markers are included for easy navigation. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Economic Data Disappoints 5:50 - Markets Re-Test 50-DMA 11:26 - Reindeer & Dwarfs 13:54 - Volatility Commentary 21:23 - Effects of the One Big Beautiful Bill on Charitable Donations 24:37 - Buybacks vs Dividends 26:42 - Expectations for Gold and Silver in 2026 33:25 - Economic Summit Tease 34:41 - TLT Shorts & Speculative Bets 37:37 - Best Portfolio Allocations for 2026 39:35 - What Investments Should NOT Be Held in a Roth IRA? 41:54 - RSI vs Value, MACD, & Volume Trading? 45:38 - Retiring at 63? 48:07 - Dealing with Future Risk 51:50 - Sectors and Stocks for 2026 56:07 - 403b's vs 457's 57:58 - Energy Plays for 2026 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yJV-vnHx4Eg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Consolidate After 50-DMA Test," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4PjkAGK804&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Year-End Checklist for Young Investors," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Wyudzh3naw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #TechnicalAnalysis #YearEndMarkets #RiskManagement #MarketQandA #InvestorQuestions #MarketVolatility #FedPolicy #RiskManagement
Markets briefly retested the 50-day moving average before rebounding toward break-even, remaining locked in a broader consolidation range. While sell signals are currently in place and relative strength continues to normalize, short-term weakness and choppy trading may persist. Importantly, this pullback is creating a more constructive setup as markets work off oversold conditions, potentially laying the groundwork for renewed buying interest into year-end. That said, seasonal strength is not guaranteed. December has not always delivered positive returns, and risk remains elevated as portfolio managers continue year-end positioning and rebalancing across large-cap, small- and mid-cap, and international markets. Investors should remain focused on risk management, discipline, and flexibility as volatility creates both challenges and tactical opportunities. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4PjkAGK804&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #TechnicalAnalysis #YearEndMarkets #RiskManagement
Today's Q&A Wednesday is driven entirely by live YouTube chat questions, covering the market topics investors are most focused on right now. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff address real-time concerns around market volatility, Federal Reserve policy, interest rates, inflation, portfolio risk, asset allocation, and year-end positioning—without hype or speculation. This interactive session is designed to help investors better understand what matters, what doesn't, and how markets typically behave during periods of uncertainty. Rather than making predictions, we focus on context, probabilities, and risk management—answering your questions as they come in live. If you have a market question, join the conversation in the chat. If you're watching the replay, timestamps and chapter markers are included for easy navigation. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Economic Data Disappoints 5:50 - Markets Re-Test 50-DMA 11:26 - Reindeer & Dwarfs 13:54 - Volatility Commentary 21:23 - Effects of the One Big Beautiful Bill on Charitable Donations 24:37 - Buybacks vs Dividends 26:42 - Expectations for Gold and Silver in 2026 33:25 - Economic Summit Tease 34:41 - TLT Shorts & Speculative Bets 37:37 - Best Portfolio Allocations for 2026 39:35 - What Investments Should NOT Be Held in a Roth IRA? 41:54 - RSI vs Value, MACD, & Volume Trading? 45:38 - Retiring at 63? 48:07 - Dealing with Future Risk 51:50 - Sectors and Stocks for 2026 56:07 - 403b's vs 457's 57:58 - Energy Plays for 2026 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yJV-vnHx4Eg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Consolidate After 50-DMA Test," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4PjkAGK804&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Year-End Checklist for Young Investors," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Wyudzh3naw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #TechnicalAnalysis #YearEndMarkets #RiskManagement #MarketQandA #InvestorQuestions #MarketVolatility #FedPolicy #RiskManagement
Markets finished last week slightly lower but held critical support at the 20- and 50-day moving averages. As we enter the final two weeks of December—historically the strongest stretch of the month—investors are positioning for a potential Santa Claus Rally and looking ahead to 2026. Portfolio window dressing, year-end performance reporting, and managers chasing returns could provide an additional tailwind. Markets remain in a constructive consolidation near all-time highs, and early signs of sector rotation into utilities, real estate, and staples suggest improving market breadth. Futures are pointing higher this morning, indicating a positive open. For now, markets remain fine—stay invested, but continue managing risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g5X05sTq-zI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SantaClausRally #MarketOutlook #StockMarketToday #YearEndRally #MarketBreadth
Everyone has financial ghosts—old decisions, forgotten expenses, or long-ignored habits that creep back into the present and shape our financial lives. In this episode, we explore three practical strategies to tackle your financial ghosts, reduce money stress, and build a healthier long-term financial foundation. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down how to evaluate your household debt-to-income ratios, identify where spending silently grows, and improve the financial conversations inside your home. You'll learn how better awareness, open communication, and a disciplined review of expenses can help transform financial uncertainty into clarity and confidence. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Coffee Stains & Christmas Movies 5:02 - Money Distress for the Holidays 8:15 - December is the Month to Review Financial History 14:45 - Set Financial Goals 17:35 - The Math of Monthly Payments 18:50 - Housing Expense Ratios 27:08 - Variable Expense Ratios 33:16 - Looking at Emergency Preparedness 36:22 - Money Communication is Key 39:32 - Communicate Financial Failures as Learning Opportunities 45:10 -Dealing with Instant Gratification 45:58 - Communicate Financial Intentions 46:47 - Christmas Tree Inflation & Rosso's Razzle Dazzle Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fj0imDEqFLE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility After the Fed," is here: https://youtu.be/gnorFZc1qM8 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Holiday Legacy Conversations" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/financial-survival-guides-gated/ -------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Watch our previous show, "Bifurcated Fed Cuts Rates: What's Next?" here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bT1azosP1yk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialWellness #MoneyMistakes #PersonalFinanceTips #DebtManagement #WealthBuilding