Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

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Lance Roberts


    • Jun 27, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekdays NEW EPISODES
    • 44m AVG DURATION
    • 1,615 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

    6-27-25 Annuities Are Not Your Enemy

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2025 46:19


    Are annuities always a bad deal? Not so fast. In today's episode, Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty tackle the myths and misconceptions around annuities. From income guarantees to tax-deferred growth, find out how annuities can actually support your retirement strategy—if used the right way. Jonathan shares his changed life as a new father, and a discussion of investor confirmation bias, who's likely to be the replacement for Jerome Powell, and the Shado Fed, tariffs, inflation, and political bias in investing. Rich and Jonathan address the growing impact of AI on the labor market and the velocity of AI. The concept of annuities and life expectancy: How AI can extend your life. Rich's insight to the Texas State Fair and an intriguing business opportunity; Texas History and good music; spending in retirement with stable-income vs variable-income sources. Why most annuities are sold and not planned for. The job of a financial advisor is to be unbiased; origins of the retirement crisis without pensions. SEG-1: Daddy Duty & Investor Confirmation Bias SEG-2: The Velocity of AI in Financial Planning SEG-3: Retirement Spending w Stable vs Variable Income SEG-4: Why Annuities Get a Bad Rap Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QvoAQJShFsU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Next Mistake," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AnnuitiesExplained #RetirementPlanning #InvestSmart #AnnuityEducation #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-26-25 The Fed's Next Mistake

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2025 46:25


    Is the Fed setting the stage for another policy blunder? As inflation pressures linger and economic growth slows, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the risks of the central bank's next move—and what it could mean for your money on this morning's episode of #TheRealInvestmentShow. The Market Rally is ON, yet oil prices are telling a different story about the economy. President Trump could be picking a successor to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sooner than later. Lance and Michael expose the Fed's political "independance," and it's proclivity for financial socialism. The Fed is always late...and always wrong. The true role of the Fed is to protect its member banks. Jerome Powell doesn't mind being late. The ill-fated push to lower bank's minimum reserve requirements. Again. (Did we not learn from the past?) SEG-1: Vacation Prelude - The Rally is On SEG-2: The Folly of the Fed & Financial Socialism SEG-3: Economic Data Shows Weaking - Will the Fed be too late? SEG-4: The Fed is Always Wrong RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8wHxhOOWMQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bulls Are Back in Town," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InflationOutlook #RecessionRisk #FedMistake #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #IranIsraelConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-25-25 The Bulls Are Back in Town

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2025 46:22


    Market speculation is at an all time high, yet there are economic surprises in store that could shake things up. There is now an illusion of economic strength. Lance discusses the recent reversal of the Death Cross in the S&P and NASDAQ; the Gold Cross is at an all time high. Lance and Danny address the new push to make private equity investing available for "the little guy," and the illusion of limited volatility. Beware the "good deals;" Wall Street will always find something to sell you if you want to buy it. The fallacy of "above average" gains in private equity; you never hear about the deals that go sour. A political sidetrack into the supposed fate of the Big Beautiful Bill and Term Limits. Danny and Lance review a Vanguard report on the average balances of 401k's (beware "average" comparisons!). SEG-1: Market Speculation Has Gone Bonkers SEG-2: The Private Equity Push SEG-3: The Fallacy in "Above Average" Gains SEG-4: How Does Your 401k Compare to National Averages? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Trajectory Remains Bullish," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRzdiS6C1vc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is WW III Off the Table?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #BuyTheDip #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #401k #PrivateEquity #PrivateEquityETF #SpaceX #SuperSavers #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-24-25 Is WW III Off the Table?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2025 46:24


    Is the threat of World War III finally off the table? Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in global conflict and what they mean for financial markets. From oil prices and defense stocks to safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries, we'll unpack how investors should think about geopolitical risk now. Are markets too complacent—or is the worst truly behind us? Is Apple dead? Lance addresses a YouTube Chatroom query with analysis of how Apple continues to do well, despite a paucity of innovation; why 420 ETF's all own Apple; the evolution of the smartphone. Why you need Apple in your portfolio. What is the next narrative of the Summer? Is the Fed trapped (again)? SEG-1: Markets & The End of WW3 SEG-2 Is Apple Dead (It's not growing...) SEG-3: Why You Need Apple in Your Portfolio SEG-4: Cease Fire Violations & Summer's Next Narrative RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Bullish Prelude to July," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiUwcZ7ujqU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "U.S. Strikes Iran: How to Invest When Geopolitics Explode" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #BullishMarket #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-23-25 US Strikes Iran - How to Invest When Geopolitics Explode

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2025 46:23


    Over the weekend, the U.S. launched strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities. Of course, for Americans and the financial markets, the response from not only Iran but also Iran's allies will be critical. Lance Roberts describes a process of logical evaluation and portfolio risk management when markets experience turmoil: What matters most to investors? What do these attacks mean for earnings? How might geopolitics affect EOQ activity? [NOTE: Lance is on vacation next week, 6/30-7/4] Remembering the Japanese Carry Trade blow up vs Iran Bombings: There is not the same sense of urgency this time; markets have already moved-on. How will the Israel-Iran conflict play out? Watch "Top Gun." Likely outcomes will be higher oil prices, a stronger dollar, and weaker equities. SEG-1: Bombings in Iran: What Matters Most? SEG-2a: Lance's Summer Vacation Preview SEG-2b: Where's the Sense of Urgency? SEG-3: How the Iran-Israel Conflict Will Play Out SEG-4: Watching for Pickup in Volatility RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Respond to Iran Bombings," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yWM3nfbeF2I ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Day Preview: Will They or Won't They?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Gold #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-18-25 Fed Day Preview - Will They or Won't They?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2025 46:13


    It's Fed Day! Will the Federal Reserve finally cut rates—or kick the can again? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down what's at stake, what markets are pricing in, and what it means for your money. Thursday is Juneteenth, markets are closed, and so are we. Lance reviews the track for crude oil prices and the likely effect on inflation as the Iran-Israel conflict continues. What will Jerome Powell say following today's Fed meeting? Fed grammar matters. Danny and Lance review elements of the Big, Beautiful Bill as it bounces between the House and Senate; contents subject to change. Lance points out the insane irony of the Dept. of Agriculture's stance on feeding wildlife vs. feeding the masses. Danny and Lance review a Barron's article depicting a dilemma of wanting to retire early on limited savings, and live to 98. Hilarity ensues. SEG-1: Juneteenth & Fed Day SEG-2a: Fed Meeting Preview & Market Sentiment SEG-2b: The BIg, Beautiful Bill - Pt.1 SEG-3: The Big, Beautiful Bill - Pt.2 SEG-4: Can You Afford to Retire? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Oil Prices Are On the Rise," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4O6HNmfPPb4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What's the Difference Between Fixed Income and "Stable" Income?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Inflation #SupplyDemand #FedDay #FederalReserve #FedRateDecision #FOMC #InterestRateCut #JeromePowell #FinanceNews #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #BigBeautifulBill #DeptAgriculture #ParksWildlife #SNAP #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-17-25 What's the Difference Between Fixed Income & Stable Income?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2025 46:15


    What's the difference between fixed income and "stable" income? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the key differences between Dividend Stocks vs fixed income investments like bonds and annuities, and other strategies often labeled as stable income; how each performs in various market environments, the risks you may not see, and what every retiree or income-focused investor should consider. Lance and Jon also address the #1 Thing that homeowners regret about their houses, and a special "Two Dad's on Money" episode about whether your college grad kid should move back in with Mom & Dad. SEG-1: Retail Sales Preview, Where Market Risk Remains SEG-2: Are Dividend Stocks "Stable" or Fixed? SEG-3a: How to Calculate (and understand) Dividend Risk SEG-3b: Homeowners' #1 Remorse SEG-4: Two Dad's on Money - Should Your College Grad Move Back Home? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Where Downside Risk Remains," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIyoblbtIdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How the Iran-Israel Conflict Could Shock Global Markets," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PensionFund #DownsideRisk #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #TwoDadsOnMoney #CollegeGrads #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-16-25 How the Iran-Israel Conflict Could Shock Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2025 46:02


    Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in the Iran-Israel conflict and what they mean for global markets, oil prices, and investor sentiment. With tensions rising in the Middle East, we explore how geopolitical risk is shaping the outlook for the S&P 500, energy stocks, safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries. Lance touches on the impact of Middle East conflicts on the stock market, how oil prices typically respond to geopolitical tension, and what sectors may benefit or suffer from the crisis. Lanec also addresses investor strategies during geopolitical uncertainty, with a look at historical market reactions to major conflicts. SEG-1: Iran-Israel - What's the next Catalyst? SEG-2: Market Effects of Iran-Israel Conflict SEG-3: Bifurcated Investing by Political Persuasion SEG-4: The Return of TINA RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Bullish Despite Weekend Events," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMnSNn4v7Yo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is a College Degree Really Worth It?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-13-25 Is a College Degree Really Worth It

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2025 46:17


    Is a college degree still worth the rising cost? As student loan debt climbs and tuition skyrockets, more families and young adults are asking whether a traditional four-year education offers a worthwhile return on investment. In this episode, we break down the financial data behind college costs, degree value by major, and explore growing alternatives like trade schools, certifications, and apprenticeships. Richard Rosso & Susan Buenger posit whether higher education is still the smart path — or if it's time to rethink the college equation. SEG-1: Initial Market Response to Israeli Attack on Iran SEG-2: The Best College Major ROI SEG-3a: Israeli Raid & Market Volatility SEG-3b: Expectations & College Preparation - When to Start the Process SEG-4: Competition & Planning for College RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Love for Puts," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation Cools" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F4zKT325bo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InflationCools #InflationUpdate #ConsumerPriceIndex #HigherEducation #TradeSchoolAlternative #CollegeWorthIt #StudentDebt #EducationROI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-12-25 Inflation Cools

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2025 46:20


    May CPI surprised with a "cooler" print on inflation, begging the question of what the Fed will do next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the CPI report, reveal what's driving the slowdown in some consumer prices, and explore what it means for interest rates, your portfolio, and the broader economy. Who's going to end up "eating" the tariff-related increases? A clue may appear in the PPI reading. April saw a massiv surge in stock buy backs; that window will soon close. Lance and MIchael discuss the initial effects of tariffs on the economy; consumer choice is a factor that should not be ignored. For investors, the key is focusing on what really matters (earnings) vs the popular narratives de jour. Markets have all the information, but investors sometimes allow sentiment to take control. SEG-1: CPI & PPI - Who's Eating the Tariffs? SEG-2: Parsing CPI: What Did Tariffs Really Affect? SEG-3: Why All That Matters is Earnings SEG-4: How to Manage Risk Best RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F4zKT325bo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Love for Puts," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI Day - Will Inflation Hold Steady?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InflationCools #InflationUpdate #ConsumerPriceIndex #MarketPullback #StockBuyBacks #Puts #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-11-25 CPI Day - Will Inflation Hold Steady?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2025 46:17


    Today is CPI Day, and all eyes are on the Consumer Price Index report for May. What will today's CPI data mean for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path and future market volatility? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the implications for stocks, bonds, and consumer sentiment. Lance questions the data the government is providing, and examines the Small Caps' performance of late. What will be the impact of tariffs on CPI? Why now is a "normal" interest rate environment. Nobody cares about economic date revisions. Danny tackles the question of whether you should disclaim a $5-Million inheritance; hilarity ensues with an anecdote about Lance's son's request for money. No. Impossible Meat goes "Flexitarian;" more hilarity ensues. Danny & Lance discuss the sticky wicket of stock and land inheritances; CPI preview: No expectation of a hot print. SEG-1: What Difference Does a One-Tenth Percent Inflation Make? SEG-2: Inflation Expectations vs Real Life SEG-3: Should You Disclaim an Inheritance? SEG-4a: Beyond Meat & Flexitarian's SEG-4b: Land Inheritances & Liquidity Issues SEG-4c: CPI Preview RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Small Caps on a Tear...but," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IaVrimYakns&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Private Equity is Coming for Your Money," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5pY32IgCBY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=152s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-10-25 Private Equity is Coming for Your Money

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2025 46:19


    Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn uncover how private equity investments are no longer just for the ultra-wealthy...but is that the best plan? With Wall Street's latest push, retail investors are now being targeted as the next frontier for capital. From alternative investments in 2025 to the growing trend of private equity entering 401(k) plans, we break down what you need to know about the risks of private equity, the lack of transparency compared to public markets, and what this shift could mean for retail investors. Don't miss this deep dive into why Wall Street is coming after your retirement savings—and what you can do about it. SEG-1: Industrials Lead the Way SEG-2: The Private Equity Story - Why Am I So Lucky? SEG-3: The Private Equity Story - The Democratization of Private Equity SEG-4: The Private Equity Story - Everyone's Looking for an Edge RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5pY32IgCBY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=152s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Preparing for a Pullback," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoKv2jBDwNs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Buy the Dip--Technically Speaking," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuySignal #Tariffs #MarketNarrative #PrivateEquity #AlternativeInvestments #RetailInvestors #WallStreetWatch #FinancialFreedom #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-9-25 How to Buy the Dip--Technically Speaking

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2025 46:18


    Are you waiting for the perfect moment to "buy the dip" but unsure how to spot it? Lance Roberts reveals how to identify smart entry points using technical analysis. From recognizing key support levels and reversal patterns, to understanding what oversold indicators are really telling you, we'll walk you through the tools, charts, and signals that professional investors rely on. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a long-term investor trying to fine-tune your entry, this episode will help you buy with more confidence when markets pull back. Plus, we'll share insights on how to avoid common pitfalls, manage risk, and ride the recovery wave effectively. SEG-1: Market Upsides Outweigh the Downsides SEG-2: How to Know When to Buy the Dip or Not SEG-3: Two Key Tools - Sentiment & Price SEG-4a: Futures Commentary SEG-4b: Preparing for Next Earnings Season RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "This is Not a Bear Market Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15oEA1pEwQE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is 70 the New 65? Reshaping Retirement in America," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6DR5m8qL-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarketRally #MarketCorrection #BuySignal #RisingRelativeStrength #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    america preparing register dip technically speaking lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit
    6-6-25 Is 70 the New 65? Reshaping Retirement in America

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2025 46:26


    Should the new retirement age be 70? Richard Rosso explores the financial, social, and personal implications of delaying retirement. What does working longer mean for your retirement planning in 2025 and beyond? Is it a necessity—or a trap? Whether you're nearing retirement or decades away, understanding how changes to the retirement age could affect your benefits and financial independence is critical. Listen or watch to hear what raising the Social Security age could mean for you and why 70 might become the new 65. We introduce another of our Summer Interns, Parker McGill, from the University of Tennessee; the aftershocks of the Trump/Musk feud; retirement savings trends are improving; Denmark has raised its retirement age to 70; should the US take a cue? A preview of today's Government Jobs Report: Will bad news (lower employment) be good news (Fed incentive to cut rates)? SEG-1: Polymarkets Bets on Trump, Musk, & Recession SEG-2: Jobs Report Preview & Raising SS Retirement Age SEG-3: Saving for Retirement & Financial Independence SEG-4: Jobs Numbers: Bad News is Good News? Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Summer Intern, Parker McGill (University of Tennessee) Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6DR5m8qL-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "S&P 7,000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8b98kV23Ao&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Rates Cuts Do Not Equal Inflation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4BgEM6uejWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=155s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementAge #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #FinancialIndependence #WorkingLonger #DonaldTrump #ElonMusk #RetirementSavings #JobsNumbers #ADP #BLS #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-5-25 Fed Rate Cuts Do Not Equal Inflation

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 5, 2025 46:23


    Are investors wrong to assume that rate cuts will automatically tame inflation? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz challenge the belief that the Fed's rate cuts always translate into lower inflation. Using historical data and current economic conditions, we explore how monetary policy really interacts with price pressures—and why rate cuts may actually stoke inflation under the wrong conditions. Specifically, Lance and Mike address the real impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflation, why cutting rates doesn't always reduce inflation, and some lessons from past economic cycles. What today's investors should expect in 2025

    6-4-25 Will There Be a Summer Swoon?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2025 46:30


    Is a summer swoon looming in the stock market for 2025? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff explore the historical performance of the S&P 500 and major sectors during the summer months—June through August, and examine whether investors should brace for a seasonal pullback, looking at historical June-to-August returns and volatility trends, what typically drives a summer slowdown in stocks, and sector-by-sector analysis: What holds up best in weak seasonal periods? How do global macroeconomic conditions and slowing growth shape investor behavior? Lance and Danny also discuss how markets listen and absorb news...and adapt. The US is NOT going broke; Lance again discusses the economic benefits of needful government spending on infrastructure projects and the multiplier effect. Danny and Lance also parse a potential bill to ban sitting Congresspersons from investing in markets. SEG-1: Sell in May, or Go Away? SEG-2: Why June Isn't Always a Loser Month for Markets SEG-3: The More Markets Hear, the More They Adapt SEG-4a: Is the US Going Broke? SEG-4b: Should Congress Be Banned from Trading? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_d45otgA4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sell in May & Go Away?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0JoZpN0_40&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Reports of the Death of American Exceptionalism are Greatly Exaggerated," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellInMay #MarketRally #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #SummerSwoon #StockMarketTrends #MarketForecast #Investing2025 #SeasonalInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-3-25 Reports of the Death of American Exceptionalism Are Greatly Exaggerated

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 3, 2025 46:27


    Is America's global leadership really fading? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn reveal the truth behind the “decline of American exceptionalism” narrative, and why the U.S. continues to lead in economic strength, innovation, and global influence. Today's show also features several bonus elements, including a recap of Mrs. Robert's trip to the Vegas Bitcoin Expo and convention robots; an exposition on the alleged death of American Exceptionalism, and a follow-up to the story of Mrs. Roberts' instant pickle recipe. Lance & Jonathan opine with chatroom participants about their first PC's, and Jonathan critiques a ChatGPT-created SWAN Portfolio. Parents have apparently failed an entire generation, if a survey of Google search terms is to be believed; Lance and Jonathan expose homeowner "wilding" as reason enough for HOA's, and Lance closes with the promise of opportunity. And amore focused show tomorrow. SEG-1: Be Careful of Negative Narratives SEG-2a: Convention Robots SEG-2b: The Death of American Exceptionalism SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickles, Pt-2 SEG-3b: First PC's & AI Multipliers SEG-3c: The SWAN Portfolio SEG-4a: Google Searches & Parental Failures SEG-4b: Wilding Homeowners SEG-4c: Opportunities are Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Beware of Anti-US Narratives ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5p7sa_q0rI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Buying Stocks is Always hard," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AmericanExceptionalism #USEconomicResilience #USGlobalLeadership #AmericasFuture #DebunkTheDecline #Dollar #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #ForeignCurrency #MoneyFlows #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #Innovation #ArtificialInetlligence #AI #BitCoin #Robots #SWANPortfolio #HomeOwnership #Wilding #HOA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-2-25 Why Buying Stocks is Always Hard

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2025 45:39


    Why does the stock market test our patience and nerve? Lance Roberts looks at the psychology of investing, how to master long-term strategies, and ways to navigate market volatility with confidence! Today is National Leave Work Early day...but before you do, make sure to tackle Lance's Monday Mandatory Reading list (links are provided below); Lance shares another tender moment from the Roberts' kitchen, and his essay on why buying stocks is hard any way you look at it (yet investors still do!) and a review of Ten Investing Rules to live and invest by. SEG-1a: National Leave Work Early Day SEG-1b: Wrapping Up May SEG-2: Monday Mandatory Reading List SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickle Recipe SEG-3b: Why Buying Stocks is Hard SEG-4: Ten Investing Rules for Navigating Volatile Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "6-2-25 Don't Get Greedy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClTgBtG0z3g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is This the Year for Your Roth Conversion?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    register roberts stocks lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit
    5-30-25 Is This the Year for Your Roth Conversion?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 30, 2025 46:19


    Is 2025 the ideal time for a Roth conversion? RIchard Rosso considers future tax rates potentially on the rise and retirement goals in focus, and why converting to a Roth IRA could be a smart move. We'll break down the rules, potential tax implications, and key strategies to maximize your tax-free retirement income. Whether you're planning for retirement or looking to optimize your wealth, don't miss this essential guide to Roth conversions in 2025 and beyond! [NOTE: Due to technical issues, the missing first segment will be reposted in a separate clip.] SEG-1: Markets, Tariffs, & Corporate Concerns (The Lost Segment can be viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oCeEyCktR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ) SEG-2a: Young Interns & '70's Crime Dramas SEG-2b: Dealing with Decumulation SEG-3: The Problem of Under-spending in Retirement SEG-4: PCE Preview & Needed Tweaks in Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w A&M University Intern, Will Lewis Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction is Over," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Death of Narratives" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIl8rM1AW6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RothConversion #TaxFreeRetirement #RothIRA2025 #RetirementStrategies #TaxPlanning #MarketNarratives #SocialSecurity #RothIRA #Roth401k #PCE #Inflation #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-29-25 The Death of Narratives

    Play Episode Listen Later May 29, 2025 46:12


    President Trump's tariffs are being negated by Trade Courts, and markets feel inspired. Nvidia reports earnings, and is poised for a 6% gain today; we're still on the cusp of all that AI can do. Lance and Michael discuss the importance of recognizing and shutting out the narratives that distract investors; why we all seem to need a reason "why" things are as they are. Commentary on Nvidia's technology "moat;" comparisons to Apple's growth curve. How narratives matter (and do not); fundamentals are still long-term market drivers. The relationship between deficits and interest rates explored; beware of being too attached to any narrative. "The End of American Exceptionalism?" Don't you believe it. Consumer confidence...what is the Money Supply doing. SEG-1: Nvidia Earnings & Cusp of AI Growth SEG-2: Shifting Narratives & Reasons Why SEG-3: Fundamentals Drive Markets Long-term SEG-4: Why Tariffs are NOT Inflationary Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIl8rM1AW6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction is Over," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Nvidia Day!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorrectionOver #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MarketNarratives #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-28-25 Nvidia Day!

    Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2025 46:18


    It's “Nvidia Day!” The Big Dog in the Tall Grass for AI reports earnings after the closing bell today. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff delve into the anticipation surrounding Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, set to be released after today's market close. We'll explore market expectations, potential impacts on NVDA stock, and the broader implications for the AI and semiconductor sectors. Also a discussion about the inimitable Mrs. Roberts, and the profound changes AI is poised to wrought on global industries. Is the 4% Rule dead or just being updated? Lance bemoans the bots in our X and YouTube channels, and he and Danny review the changes afoot in advisors' recommendations for retirement savings drawdowns. SEG-1: EOM & Shifting Sentiment SEG-2a: Lance' Wife is Scary SEG-2b: Is AI the Next Leg of Industrial Revolution? SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment teaser SEG-3b: Death of the 4% Rule? SEG-4a: Twitter Bots & Chatrooms SEG-4b: Changing the 4% Rule Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is the Risk to Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KJCZut3qwU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Anchoring Problem & How to Solve It" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t41x9fsYv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NvidiaDay #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #AnchoringBias #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBiases #InvestmentPsychology #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-27-25 The Anchoring Problem & How to Solve It

    Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2025 46:18


    Discover the hidden influence of anchoring bias on investment decisions and learn actionable strategies to overcome it. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn share behavioral finance concepts and provide practical solutions for navigating cognitive pitfalls in today's markets. Lance and Jon examine the literal ramifications of anchoring (example: real estate prices); why headlines are to be avoided; Lance's Calculus anecdote; secrets clients don't tell advisors. Lance provides a Nvidia Earnings Preview and a look at building AI factories; how deficit trajectories can be changed by higher industrial output; how much money is lost in corrections; what is your time frame for savings. SEG-1: Waiting on Nvidia SEG-2: Solving the Challenge of Anchoring SEG-3: Headlines are Meaningless SEG-4: Changing the Trajectory of Deficits Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t41x9fsYv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Today's the Day to Reduce Risk," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gbbRIpFRqE ------- Our previous show is here: "Are There Warts on The One Big Beautiful Bill?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLSBdKV-eO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=152s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #AnchoringBias #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBiases #InvestmentPsychology #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-23-25 Are There Warts on The One Big Beautiful Bill?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2025 46:16


    Are there hidden flaws in the One Big Beautiful Spending Bill? Danny Ratliff & Jonathan Penn expose what they're not telling you, diving into the fine print of the 2025 federal spending bill. Is it as beautiful as they claim—or are there costly warts hidden beneath the surface? Danny & Jon break down the economic risks inherent in the politics and pork. SEG-1: Will Investors Pause for Memorial Day Weekend? SEG-2: Wart on the One Big Beautiful Bill SEG-3: Advice for the Class of 2025, Pt 1 SEG-4a: Advice for the Class of 2025, Pt 2 SEG-4b: Is Now the Time to Add Bonds? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: ------- Articles mention in this show: "Death Of The Dollar: An Eternal Tale" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/death-of-the-dollar-an-eternal-tale/ "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pullback We Needed ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bonds Are Cheap?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SpendingBill2025 #DebtAndDeficits #FiscalPolicyWatch #EconomicRealityCheck #LegislativeImpact #Bitcoincash #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #BondMarket #InvestingInBonds #FixedIncome #InterestRates2025 #MarketOutlook #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-22-25 Bonds Are Cheap?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2025 46:14


    Are bonds cheap? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss whether or not bonds are a good buy now, with a composite bond market outlook, and the relationship of interest rates and bond prices. SEG-1: Hurricane Season & Market Pullback SEG-2: Bond Auction Reality - What did the dealers do? SEG-3: Debunking the Narratives & Bad, Scary Charts SEG-4: Why Bonds Are a Good Buy Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Death Of The Dollar: An Eternal Tale" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/death-of-the-dollar-an-eternal-tale/ "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pullback We Needed ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Has the Correction Started?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD_sgSpa4Go&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #BondMarket #InvestingInBonds #FixedIncome #InterestRates2025 #MarketOutlook #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-21-25 Has the Correction Started?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2025 46:15


    Is this the beginning of a market correction—or just a healthy pullback? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down recent volatility, key technical signals, and what smart investors should be watching right now; a review of Target & WalMart's earnings reports. Lance rebuts claims by Fisher Investments that stock buy backs do not affect markets. Convincingly. A review of Jamie Dimon's market complacency warnings, and Lance and Danny discuss on line shopping pro's and con's. Danny backs into a preview of our upcoming Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop, how to build and grow wealth, and how Lance plans to distribute his inheritance to his kids. SEG-1: A Retail Tale of Have's & Have-nots SEG-2: Is This the Start of a Correction? SEG-3a: The Buy Back Factor in Markets SEG-3b: Jaime Dimon's Warning of Market Complacency SEG-3c: Retailers, Tariffs, & Online Shopping SEG-4a: Succession Planning for Boomers SEG-4b: Retirement Income Empowerment preview SEG-4c: The First Step to Building Wealth & Self Preservation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD_sgSpa4Go&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Market Sectors Are Telling Us," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsVVT2IzJuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Markets Too Complacent?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicCommentary #BasicMaterials #Communications #Utilities #Transportation #Energy #AI #RealEstate #MarketCorrection #StockMarket2025 #InvestorInsights #BearMarketWatch #RiskManagement #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-20-25 Are Markets Too Complacent?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2025 46:15


    Are investors dangerously ignoring risk? Despite signs of slowing economic growth, elevated valuations, and geopolitical uncertainty, markets continue to trend higher with remarkably low volatility. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn address whether or not markets too complacent, remembering wedding anniversaries, and whether the ratings agencies are to be believed: Why even rate Treasuries at all? A look at bad headlines (If it bleeds, it leads), and whether now is a terrible time to retire; the reality that markets don't really care about anything but forward earnings guidance. We'll explore why investor sentiment appears disconnected from fundamentals, what past periods of complacency have taught us, and how to identify the early warning signs of risk being mispriced. If you're concerned about market bubbles, overconfidence, or “this time is different” thinking, this episode offers important context — and caution. SEG-1: Moody Downgrade, CBO Projections, & Buy the Dip SEG-2a: Happy Anniversary - Tomorrow SEG-2b: Why Have Ratings on Treasuries? SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment tease (registration link below) SEG-3b: Bad Headlines, Retirement Timing, & AC/DC-Squirrel! SEG-4: All Markets Care About is Forward Earnings Guidance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s ------- Articles mention in this show: "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Patience, Grasshopper," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEQXlux8Yfg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UP8yVn_65v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorPatience #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #RetirementPlanning #RetireSmart #InflationAndRetirement #FinancialFreedom #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-19-25 Moody's Debt Downgrade - Does It Matter

    Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2025 46:14


    What does a lower credit rating mean for investors, interest rates, and the broader economy? Lance Roberts examines the implications of Moody's recent U.S. debt downgrade, historical precedents, market reactions, and potential consequences for fiscal policy and the bond market.

    5-16-25 Tax-free Social Security - Dream or Deception?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2025 45:43


    What if your Social Security benefits were no longer taxed? A new bill in Congress could make that happen — but is it real policy or just political posturing? Richard Rosso unpacks the proposal to eliminate federal income tax on Social Security, what it could mean for retirees, and the fiscal reality behind the promise.

    5-15-25 What Is Up With Yields Now

    Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2025 45:46


    Are rising yields a warning sign, or are they reflecting renewed economic strength? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz dive into the latest movements in bond yields and what they signal for markets, the Fed, and your portfolio. Lance and Mike analyze the shape of the yield curve, interest rate forecasts, and what it all means for investors in 2025: * Why the 10-year Treasury yield is making headlines * Is the inverted yield curve still relevant? * What to watch from the Fed and inflation data * How bond market signals impact equity prices Stay informed. Stay ahead. ➤ Subscribe for more market insight and financial commentary. SEG-1: If You Don't Raise Cash, You Can't Buy the Dip SEG-2: Inflation Continues to Modulate Lower SEG-3: Markets Are Driven by Trading Dynamics SEG-4: The Problem with the Buffett Indicator Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkCQucjucCo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Wealth Effect Is Not Always Virtuous" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-wealth-effect-is-not-always-virtuous/ "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is the Time to Not Be Greedy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdJgbyS_PkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Equity Chase is On" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondYields #InterestRates #YieldCurve #MarketUpdate #TreasuryYields #MarketRally InvestorGreed #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #StockMarket2025 #StockMarketRally #EquityOutlook #BullMarket2025 #InvestmentStrategy #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays#MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    time fed cio treasury yields lance roberts michael lebowitz real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit
    5-14-25 The Equity Chase is On

    Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2025 45:44


    As markets climb higher, investors are rushing back into stocks. But is the chase for equity returns grounded in fundamentals—or just FOMO? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff dive into the sudden surge in equity markets and the renewed appetite for risk. Is this rally sustainable—or are investors simply chasing performance at the top? What's fueling the stock market rally in 2025, how is sentiment shifting, and why chasing returns in bull markets can be dangerous without a disciplined investment strategy. Lance & Danny also explore portfolio positioning and risk management tips that can help you stay grounded amid the hype. How to get back into the market? Is a bid to offer 4 X leverage for retirement accounts a good idea? What changes our thesis about Bonds? Whether you're managing your own money or working with an advisor, now's the time to revisit your equity exposure and prepare for what comes next. SEG-1: Do We Sell in May & Go Away? SEG-2: How Do We Get Back In? SEG-3: 4 x Leverage for 401k? SEG-4: What Changes our Thesis on Bonds? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Turn Positive for the Year...barely" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dp2bd5BsGmE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Tariff-driven Volatility Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5U_4ulK_Pw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #StockMarket2025 #StockMarketRally #EquityOutlook #BullMarket2025 #InvestmentStrategy #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays#MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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    5-13-25 Is Tariff Volatility Over?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2025 45:46


    Tariffs rattled markets. Then… silence. Are we in the clear—or is another shock coming? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn tackle the question: Is Tariff Volatility Over? The reversal of tariffs is only a 90-day reprieve; markets are very over bought, and after Monday's rally are due for some pullback (sooner or later); be patient and bide your time before jumping into the fray. Lance and Jonathan discuss why contrarian investing is smart. Preview of today's inflation print; the danger of not doing proper research before investing: Know what you own. Wondering where to invest next? What do you use on an everyday basis? Watch now and subscribe for more real-world investing insight. SEG-1: This is Inflation Week SEG-2: Why Contrarian Investing is Important SEG-3: The Danger of Not Doing the Research SEG-4: The Importance of Understanding What You Own Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5U_4ulK_Pw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It Pays to Be Patient" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtbRbUJF0L8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Deal with a Bear Market Rally" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uTZmVaVMzpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays #TariffVolatility #GlobalMarkets #StockMarket2025 #TradeWarAftermath #RealInvestmentShow #MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-12-25 How to Deal With a Bear Market Rally

    Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2025 45:45


    It's Lance Roberts' 60th birthday, and the birthday faery made an early visit to the studio. Markets will be boosted today by news of an agreement between the US and China over tariffs. Is the recent market rebound a sign of recovery—or just a classic bear market trap? Lance Roberts breaks down what defines a bear market rally, why investors often get whipsawed by false hope, and how to position your portfolio amid short-term optimism and long-term uncertainty. With earnings season in full swing and rate cuts still in question, we'll explore whether this bounce has legs or is setting up for another leg lower. Lance is looking for a classic truck and has his eye on a '71 International Scout; interestingly, commentary on valuations, and the prices people are willing to pay. A history lesson on market corrections, recessions, and bottoms (with charts); why it's important to not ignore bear market signs. SEG-1: 60th Birthday, Mother's Day & Bear Market Rally SEG-2a: Bidding on a '71 Scout SEG-2b: Valuations Are What People Are Willing to Pay SEG-3: Bear Market Rallies and Market Bottoms SEG-4: Do Not Ignore Bear Market Signs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uTZmVaVMzpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "S5-12-25 Do You Want to Make Some Money?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngmFyV6B9TY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Tax Reform Stall?" and "Money Advice for Single Moms on Mother's Day:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_0Zpmbtb-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s Watch the first-hour of the show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwfW2yddsWI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #RayDaleo #JohnHuntsman #PEterSchiff #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-9-25 HOUR-2 Financial Advice for Mom's on Mother's Day

    Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2025 45:53


    Being a single mom means wearing every hat—and that includes the CFO of the household. In this special Mother's Day edition of Financial Fitness Friday, Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle offer tailored financial planning advice for single moms, covering essential strategies for budgeting, building an emergency fund, managing debt, and long-term investing. Rich and Matt also cover market trends, tariff news, and Qualified Charitable Deduction Strategies. SEG-5: Will the Tax Bill Pass - How to Prepare SEG-6: Memory Care & Tax Changes Coming SEG-7: Qualified Charitable Deduction Strategies SEG-8: Money Advice for Single Mom's on Mother's Day Hosted by RIA Advisors DIrector of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_0Zpmbtb-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s What the first-hour of the show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwfW2yddsWI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Shallow Pullbacks Still Spell Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rqKH5pCCtr8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed Stays Hawkish" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SingleMomFinance #MothersDayMoneyTips #FinancialIndependenceForMoms #SmartMoneyForMoms #BudgetingForSingleMoms #TaxReform2025 #CapitalGainsTax #CorporateTaxChanges #TaxPolicyUpdate #CongressionalGridlock #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-9-25 HOUR-1 Will Tax Reform Stall

    Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2025 45:58


    With a new administration in Washington and control of Congress shifting, tax reform is once again a high-stakes issue for investors and business owners. Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle analyze what's on the table—proposals to adjust capital gains rates, reduce or expand corporate tax burdens, and modify personal income brackets. We'll break down where negotiations stand, what's likely to change, and how gridlock could delay progress. This episode is a must-listen for anyone trying to position their portfolio ahead of potential tax legislation. SEG-1: Why It's Never "Really Different This Time" SEG-2: The American Pope & Mother's Day Spending SEG-3: Tax "Reform" May Not Look Like You Want SEG-4: When Roth vs Pre-Tax Works Best Hosted by RIA Advisors DIrector of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwfW2yddsWI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 What the second-hour of the show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_0Zpmbtb-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Shallow Pullbacks Still Spell Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rqKH5pCCtr8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed Stays Hawkish" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxReform2025 #CapitalGainsTax #CorporateTaxChanges #TaxPolicyUpdate #CongressionalGridlock #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-8-25 The Fed Stays Hawkish

    Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2025 46:00


    The Federal Reserve kept its stance firmly hawkish at their latest FOMC meeting — but what does that mean for stocks, bonds, and the economy? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the Fed's latest interest rate decision, Jerome Powell's comments, and the immediate market reaction, covering key sectors impacted, investor sentiment shifts, and the Fed's outlook for inflation, growth, and monetary policy going forward. Lance and Michael discuss why Fed Head Jerome Powell was surprised by the Trump Tariffs, the relative strength of the dollar, and how the economy is "normalizing" with "higher" interest rates. Lance and Michael also discuss the merits of Ai with Apple & Google, and the multiplier effect artificial intelligence will produce for supporting industries; the importance of identifying and investing in companies poised for generating earnings growth. Don't miss this critical update as the Fed's tough tone shapes the path ahead for portfolios and financial markets. SEG-1: Fed Day Snoozer; Earnings Season Wraps SEG-2: Why It's Okay to Run a Trade Deficit SEG-3: The Economy is Actually Normalizing SEG-4a: Apple vs Google-Ai SEG-4b: Investing in Companies Generating Earnings Growth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9m45eTIyu0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Storm Before The Calm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-storm-before-the-calm/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/ "Economic Decline Gains Momentum" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the Market Continue to Build?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e00bUJpRZZc ------- Our previous show is here: "China Blinks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #FederalReserve #InterestRate #HawkishFed #InvestingOpportunity FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-7-25 China Blinks

    Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2025 46:00


    The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting concludes this afternoon; expect some volatility. As the U.S. pushes forward with new tariffs and a tougher trade stance, China appears to blink — signaling potential cracks in its economic armor. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff dive into the latest developments in the U.S.–China trade conflict, why China is making strategic concessions, and what it means for global markets, supply chains, and future negotiations. Danny reviews his trip to South Africa, and they discuss the possible impact of AI on employment; market dynamics are being pulled by two forces: older, more bearish investors, and youthful, more bullish types; dealing with investor exhaustion. The first fallout from the GLP-1 craze is Weight Watchers' bankruptcy; health = wealth. SEG-1: Fed Day Preview - China Blinks SEG-2a: Speaking Like Alpha's & Danny's Travelogue SEG-2b: China Returns to the Table SEG-3a: What Is Overall Impact of AI? SEG-3b: Market Dynamics - Where Are Investors Going? SEG-4: GLP-1 Fallout - Weight Watchers' Bankruptcy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/ "Economic Decline Gains Momentum" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Shallow Pullbacks Still Spell Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rqKH5pCCtr8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "No Free Lunch: The Hidden Costs of 'Free' Investment Advice" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-dNIEwh8Coc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #20DMA #50DMW #200DMA #InvestingOpportunity #FinancialAdvice #SmartInvesting #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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    5-6-25 There's No Free Lunch - The Hidden Costs of Free Advice

    Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2025 45:59


    Think you're getting "free" investment advice? Think again. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn uncover the hidden costs behind so-called "free" financial services. Lance reveals the toughest jobs in America, and a look at the end of markets' winning string. Learn how mutual fund share classes — A shares vs. B shares — reveal how advisors get paid, and why front-end and back-end loads can quietly erode your returns. If you're not sure who's paying the fees, it's probably you. Lance and Jonathan take on the great AI debate: Whose jobs will be eliminated? Why Target Date Mutual Funds are the worst financial product on the planet. SEG-1A: The Toughest Jobs in America SEG-1B: Markets End Winning String SEG-2: Pre-show Planning & No Free Lunch SEG-3: The Great AI Debate: Whose Jobs Will Be Replaced? SEG-4: Target Date Mutual Funds: The Worst on the Planet Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-dNIEwh8Coc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/ "Economic Decline Gains Momentum" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Sell Off" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NDfokdu8Bo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Doing Debt the American Way" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_8BLk9Ewn6k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #PeakOil #OilPrices #OilProduction #DrillBabyDrill #20DMA #50DMW #200DMA #InvestingOpportunity #InvestmentFees #NoFreeLunch #MutualFunds #FinancialAdvice #SmartInvesting #StockMarket #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-5-25 Resistance is Futile for Bulls and Bears

    Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2025 46:02


    May begins and stock buy backs return; earnings season has been okay, on lowered expectations. Employment report is stronger than expected, but showing slippage. Lance Roberts explores why resistance levels are challenging both bulls and bears in today's volatile market. Over the past two weeks, the market has had a furious nine-day rally, the longest winning streak in 21 years. However, there are two takeaways from such a historic advance. First, it is “bullish” as investors return to the market. However, investors should also recognize that if the rally is the longest in 21 years, then previous such rallies failed. As shown in the chart below, there have been longer rallies, with 14 trading days being the peak. But in every case, it is worth remembering the following: “Record levels' of anything are records for a reason. It is where the point was reached where previous limits existed. Therefore, when a ‘record level' is reached, it is NOT THE BEGINNING, but rather an indication of the MATURITY of a cycle.” SEG-1: May Begins & Stock Buy Backs Return SEG-2: Why Wall Street Doesn't Want You to Hold Cash SEG-3: Parsing the Employment Report: Resistance is Futile SEG-4: There is No Magic Wand in Investing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-dNIEwh8Coc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/ "Economic Decline Gains Momentum" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Has the Market Rally Peaked?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MeqfgKzbwJk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Doing Debt the American Way" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_8BLk9Ewn6k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #BullMarket #BearMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketNormalization #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-2-25 Doing Debt the American Way

    Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 46:25


    Why are Americans drowning in debt? In today's episode, Jonathan McCarty and Matt Doyle uncover the real story behind 'Doing Debt the American Way.' Jonathan and Matt discuss the financial implications to Buy-now/Pay-later plans, how to save money at home, and the choices consumers are making to make ends meet. SEG-1: China's Long Game with Tariffs SEG-2: Debt American Style SEG-3: How to Save Money at Home SEG-4: First Time Investing for the Younger Crowd Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_8BLk9Ewn6k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Path Ahead: Soar, Stall, Or Plummet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-path-ahead-soar-stall-or-plummet/ "Interest Rate Swaps: Plumbing Of The Financial System" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/interest-rate-swaps-plumbing-of-the-financial-system/ "A Rare Zweig Breadth Thrust Provides Optimism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-rare-zweig-breadth-thrust-provides-optimism/ "Correction Continues – The Value Of Risk Management" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/correction-continues-remain-cautious/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Corrections are Investing Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4baHmCJqfYU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Is Up with Yields?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXH5dCkquaI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1827s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AmericanDebt #DebtCrisis #FinancialHealth #ConsumerDebt #MoneyMatters #BondYields #InterestRates #YieldCurve #MarketTrends #InvestingInsights #MarketCorrection #InvestingOpportunity #Gold #Oil #Liquidity#StayTheCourse #InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #LongTermInvesting #FinancialPlanning #TakeProfits #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketNormalization #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-1-25 What Is Up With Yields?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2025 46:27


    Bond yields are rising — but why now, and what does it mean for your investments? In this episode, we break down what's driving Treasury yields higher, how the Federal Reserve and inflation expectations are playing a role, and what the risks (and opportunities) are for stocks, bonds, and the broader economy. Stay ahead of market shifts with expert insights and practical strategies for the changing rate environment." SEG-1: Meta & MSFT Results to Float all Boats SEG-2: What's Up with Yields, Pt-1 - The Inputs to CPI SEG-3: What's Up w Yields, Pt-2 - Debt Refinancing Myths SEG-4: What's Up w Yields, Pt-3 - Margin, Liquidity, & Volatility Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXH5dCkquaI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1827s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Interest Rate Swaps: Plumbing Of The Financial System" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/interest-rate-swaps-plumbing-of-the-financial-system/ "A Rare Zweig Breadth Thrust Provides Optimism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-rare-zweig-breadth-thrust-provides-optimism/ "Correction Continues – The Value Of Risk Management" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/correction-continues-remain-cautious/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Corrections are Investing Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4baHmCJqfYU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why is the Trade Deficit at Record Levels?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXH5dCkquaI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1827s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondYields #InterestRates #YieldCurve #MarketTrends #InvestingInsights #MarketCorrection #InvestingOpportunity #Gold #Oil #Liquidity#StayTheCourse #InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #LongTermInvesting #FinancialPlanning #TakeProfits #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketNormalization #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    4-30-25 Why is the Trade Deficit at Record Levels?

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2025 46:25


    Why is the trade deficit at record levels? Lance Roberts breaks down the record-setting U.S. trade deficit and its far-reaching implications. From global trade imbalances and currency pressures to the potential impact on interest rates and inflation, we unpack what this growing deficit could signal for the U.S. economy in 2025. Lance Roberts explores: How the trade deficit affects GDP and growth Whether trade surpluses or deficits are “bad” for the economy Key sectors driving the imbalance What investors need to watch going forward SEG-1: Be Careful in May (and don't go away) SEG-2: The Problem with Buy Now-Pay Later SEG-3: The Truth about "Tariff-fueled" Inflation SEG-4a: What Markets Really Care About SEG-4b: Market Open Preview Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXH5dCkquaI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1827s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "A Rare Zweig Breadth Thrust Provides Optimism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-rare-zweig-breadth-thrust-provides-optimism/ "Correction Continues – The Value Of Risk Management" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/correction-continues-remain-cautious/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Normalizing?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IgzHlYeVdYM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=6s ------- Our previous show is here: "Should You "Stay the Course" Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtRcKMkKoFQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StayTheCourse #InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #LongTermInvesting #FinancialPlanning #TakeProfits #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketNormalization #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    4-29-25 Should You Stay the Course Now?

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 46:27


    Should you stay invested during today's market volatility? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn dive into why staying the course could be your best long-term strategy — and when it might make sense to rethink your plan. Whether you're worried about a market correction or planning for the future, we'll help you navigate through the noise with smart, practical advice. Lance and Jonathan also address how to define risk, the Math of Loss, and how liquidity gives you options. The emerging issue of AI interviews for job openings; why leverage is not a bad thing, and why the rich have no aversion to debt. SEG-1: Why Inflation Fears are Unfounded SEG-2: The Problem with Buy & Hold SEG-3: Why Warren Buffett is Holding Cash SEG-4a: Interviewing AI Applicants SEG-4b: Why Rich People Have no Aversion to Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtRcKMkKoFQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "A Rare Zweig Breadth Thrust Provides Optimism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-rare-zweig-breadth-thrust-provides-optimism/ "Correction Continues – The Value Of Risk Management" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/correction-continues-remain-cautious/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Start taking Profits " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nlVXku2L9ow&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Correction Continues - How Risk Management Protects Your Portfolio" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zo7ij56aoBM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StayTheCourse #InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #LongTermInvesting #FinancialPlanning #TakeProfits #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    4-28-25 Correction Continues - How Risk Management Protects Your Portfolio

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2025 46:21


    The market correction continues, and understanding the value of risk management is more critical than ever. Lance Roberts breaks down why market volatility is a normal part of investing, how risk management strategies protect your portfolio, and practical steps you can take today to stay disciplined. Learn how to navigate downturns, control emotions, and plan for long-term success. Key Topics: • Market correction insights • Importance of managing investment risk • Risk management strategies during volatility • How to avoid emotional investment decision SEG-1: Correction Likely to Continue SEG-2: Now is a Good Time to Reduce Risk SEG-3: For Every Buyer there's a Seller SEG-4: The Probabilities of Armageddon Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zo7ij56aoBM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Correction Continues – The Value Of Risk Management" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/correction-continues-remain-cautious/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Rally We've Been Looking For" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrau1crd3LM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Wouldn't You Rather Roth?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1U-OXgzj4g4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    4-25-25 Wouldn't You Rather Roth

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2025 46:14


    Are you contemplating a Roth IRA conversion in 2025? With potential tax rate increases on the horizon, now might be the optimal time to act. Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty delve into:​ * The benefits of converting to a Roth IRA before 2026 * Strategies to minimize taxes during conversion * How Roth conversions can impact your retirement planning * The role of Roth IRAs in estate planning​ Rich and Jonathan explore how a Roth IRA can offer tax-free withdrawals, eliminate required minimum distributions (RMDs), and provide greater flexibility in retirement. We'll also discuss the implications of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act expiring in 2026 and how that affects your decision-making.​ SEG-1: Why China Needs the U.S. SEG-2: Roth Evangelism SEG-3: Planning for Longevity in Retirement SEG-4: The Joy (and Strategy) of Gifting Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1U-OXgzj4g4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Path Ahead: Soar, Stall, Or Plummet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-path-ahead-soar-stall-or-plummet/ "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/ "Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Middlin Momentum" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CA6HUOOge7Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: The Path Ahead: Soar, Stall, Or Plummet? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mx2LIiXrMlc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RothIRA #TaxPlanning #RetirementStrategies #RothConversion #SmartMoneyMoves #EconomicTrends #StockMarketFuture #BullOrBear #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #DonaldTrump #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    4-24-25 The Path Ahead - Soar, Stall, or Plummet?

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2025 46:13


    Will the market soar to new heights, stall in uncertainty, or plummet into correction? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the key drivers that will shape the economy and stock market in the months ahead. From Federal Reserve policy shifts to earnings forecasts, geopolitical risks to liquidity conditions—this is your investor's guide to what's next. Whether you're managing a portfolio or planning your financial future, this episode offers data-driven insights and strategic foresight you won't want to miss. SEG-1: The Burrito Economic Indicator SEG-2: Three Paths Forward for Markets SEG-3: Bear Market vs Bull Market: Putting Markets in Context SEG-4: Is a Liquidity Crisis Brewing? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mx2LIiXrMlc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Path Ahead: Soar, Stall, Or Plummet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-path-ahead-soar-stall-or-plummet/ "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/ "Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Middlin Momentum" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CA6HUOOge7Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trump vs. Powell: Should the Fed Chair Be Fired?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wk1oFwfzi90&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #OilDemand #ConsumerDemand #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestorForecast #EconomicTrends #StockMarketFuture #BullOrBear #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #DonaldTrump #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    4-23-25 Trump vs Powell - Should the Fed Chair be Fired

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2025 46:14


    On today's show, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff dig into the growing tensions between Donald Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Should Trump fire Powell? What would it mean for interest rates, inflation, and market stability? Join me as we explore the politics behind the Fed, the potential fallout for investors, and what history tells us about presidential pressure on the central bank. SEG-1: The Economy IS Slowing SEG-2: Trump vs Powell SEG-3: Tariffs & Consumer CHoice SEG-4: Tariffs Are Never a Positive Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wk1oFwfzi90&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/ "Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Taking Risk Off the Table" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7E7r7Qx48Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "If Spock Was Your Financial Advisor" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmqBwxAEAmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #DonaldTrump #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    4-22-25 If Spock Was Your Financial Advisor

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 22, 2025 46:15


    We're not exactly going where no man has gone before, but a recent piece in Forbes.com caught our eye, and it's worth...exploring. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn blend a little pop culture with personal finance on today's episode: What if logic—not emotion—guided your financial decisions? How might the legendary Vulcan's rational mindset be applied to modern investing. From avoiding behavioral biases to making objective portfolio decisions, we break down what it truly means to invest like Spock. Whether you're a die-hard Star Trek fan or just looking for smarter money habits, this episode blends pop culture with practical financial wisdom. Live long—and invest logically. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior FInancial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Market Tariff Turmoil, Trump -Powell Feud SEG-2: Dealing with Dire Headlines vs Reality SEG-3: Investing Lessons From a Vulcan SEG-4a: Dealing w the Dollar or Going with Gold? SEG-4b: How Much Money You Need for Retirement - debunked Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmqBwxAEAmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/ "Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Mimicking 2022?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d88hmC6Ipjs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #LogicalInvesting #SpockFinance #VulcanWisdom #RationalInvestor #MoneyMindset #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    4-21-25 The Death Cross and Market Bottoms

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 21, 2025 39:00


    Is the dreaded death cross a warning sign—or a buying opportunity? In this episode, I break down what the death cross really signals for the stock market and whether it reliably marks a market bottom or just more volatility ahead. We'll look at historical patterns, technical analysis indicators, and investor behavior during past bear markets. If you're trying to navigate through the noise and make smarter investment decisions, this episode is for you. We also deal with an electrical power outage in the third segment, resulting in a truncated show. SEG-1: Markets Are Working Thru Retesting SEG-2: Be Careful of Rationalization SEG-3: The Death Cross Explained (w thunder crash) SEG-4: Campfire Tales Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/ "Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBl6GOYthE8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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    4-17-25 Powell Rekindles Trump Feud

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2025 45:52


    Markets could experience volatility today as options expire; healthcare stocks are also being sympathetic to UnitedHealthCare's unhealthy quarterly report and performance of weight loss drug makers' stocks. Markets are recovering from recent lows: Did the "Death Cross" mark the bottom? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks criticizing President Trump's tariff policies, highlighting their potential to exacerbate inflation and slow economic growth has reignited tensions between Powell and Trump, reminiscent of their earlier disputes during President Trump's first term.​ UnitedHealthCare is struggling with Medicare and Medicaid costs; drug stocks are part of a sector rotation story that includes weight loss pills and clinical trials; Lance and Michael discuss the relative relevance of the Dow vs the S&P, sector rotations, and the danger of listening too closely to negative narratives in the media. SEG-1: Options Expirations to Generate Market Volatility SEG-2: Powell vs Trump: Liquidity Problems SEG-3: The Saga of UnitedHealthCare SEG-4: Dealing with the Dow vs S&P: Sector Rotations Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mt6uvwuEjCQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Swaps And Basis Trades Warn Of Mounting Liquidity Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/swaps-and-basis-trades-warn-of-mounting-liquidity-problems/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "The Dollar And Inflation: Don't Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBl6GOYthE8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpVsPowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Election2025 #MonetaryPolicy #MarketLow #EconomicActivity #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #MarketLow #TariffImpact #JeromePowell #DonaldTrump #FederalReserve #RecessionReady #FinancialPlanning #EconomicDownturn #MoneyTips #RecessionProof #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    4-16-25 A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 16, 2025 45:52


    Lance Roberts' opening monologue covers Easter prep, DMA Death Crosses, and rising recession risk; an earnings season update (so far, okay), the lack of forward guidance, and negative earnings revisions (except in the Russell 2000); the significance of the 50-DMA crossing below the 200-DMA: Know the context. Event-driven vs. Construct-driven corrections; Scott Bessent and tariffs, tax cuts, and deregulation; what if the US and China reach an accord? Defining Bear Markets vs Corrections; what to do to prepare for Recessions; what comes next, after tariffs? Is now the best time to take RMD's, or wait until EOY? Tariffs are "The Art of the Deal." Charitable ways to take RMD's. Donuts, 8-Balls, & Tax Planning: strategies for buying & selling; the danger of being overly negative. SEG-1: Recession Risk Rises SEG-2: When the Death Cross Occurs SEG-3: Bear Market vs Correction - How to Prepare for Recession SEG-4: Strategies for Buying and Selling Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "The Dollar And Inflation: Don't Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Death Cross Signals Consolidation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9A7En3WnClw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's Tax Day!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYhGAfYYmZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #TariffImpact #RecessionReady #FinancialPlanning #EconomicDownturn #MoneyTips #RecessionProof #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    4-15-25 It's Tax Day

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2025 45:50


    It's Tax Day 2025 — are you ready? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn review last-minute tax tips, filing strategies, and how to avoid costly IRS penalties. But frankly, if you haven't gotten it done by today... There are market benefits from Tax Day, as some tax return money finds its way back into play; stock buy back will also supply some support to markets. In an event-driven market (tariffs), have we passed the markets' low? How the US Dollar is dealing with pressure. Last-minute tax tips include HSA advice, and shwat diversification is not. Treasury Sec'y Scott Bessent and Bond Market turmoil: Is it beginning to taper? Will there be a battle between the Treasury and the Fed? Lance and Jonathan review HSA's and 72-T rules & penalties. Volatility in the market: There's nothing really wrong. Portfolio management mistakes: You don't really make money until you sell. Everything reverts to the mean; how markets work; dealing with loss avoidance; what goes up must come down. SEG-1: Have We Passed the Market Low? SEG-2: Last Minutes Tax Day Tips SEG-3a: More Tax Tips: HSA's & 72-T's SEG-3b: Volatility in the Market - Why Hedge? SEG-4: You Don't Make Money Until You Sell Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYhGAfYYmZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar And Inflation: Don't Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Dollar Under Pressure," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_C0sBBJ9EPE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp7qlAhspWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxDay2025 #TaxTips #IRSDeadline #LastMinuteTaxes #FileYourTaxes #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #InternationalTrade #YieldSpreads #TariffImpact #StockMarket2025 #YieldCurve2025 #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #NAFTA #BillMaher #DonaldTrump #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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