Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

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Lance Roberts


    • Aug 1, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekdays NEW EPISODES
    • 44m AVG DURATION
    • 1,635 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

    8-1-25 Herd Mentality Could Be Costing You Big

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 1, 2025 46:30


    Why do investors so often buy high and sell low? Jonathan Penn & Matt Doyle expose the dangers of herd mentality in the stock market, how FOMO (fear of missing out) drives bad decisions, and what behavioral finance teaches us about avoiding costly investing mistakes. Learn how to recognize crowd behavior—and how to protect your portfolio from emotional traps. Jon & Matt also cover market response to new tariffs, and whether markets will catch a breather. Transitioning from an accumulator to a distributor in terms of cash flow in retirement. An interesting comparison between Ricky Arnaz & Lucille Ball and Lance & Christina Roberts. How RIA crafts a retirement fund distribution plan; more commentary on our last Radio episode, and a preview of our next Candid Coffee [see registration link below]. Is the Roth decision right for you now? * NOTE: Today was our final terrestrial Radio broadcast, as we transition to an all-digital platform starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1a: Last Radio Broadcast SEG-1b: Market Reactions to "Sweeping" New Tariffs SEG-2: Will Markets Take a Breather? SEG-3a: Ricky & Lucy and Christina & Lance SEG-3b: Transitioning from Accumulation to Distribution SEG-4a: Last Broadcast & Savvy Social Security SEG-4b: Distribution Cash Flow Strategies Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkyUUEPAlWY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Consider the Risk" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8aJBb1QNpg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed Holds Firm" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v09W8vpagMw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HerdMentality #InvestorBehavior #MarketMistakes #FOMOInvesting #BehavioralFinance #RetirementFunds #RothConversion #RequiredMinimumDistribution #KSEV #LastRadioShow #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-31-25 The Fed Holds Firm

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 46:31


    The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady in its latest policy meeting, signaling a firm stance amid inflation concerns, and despite unchecked market bullishness. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down what the Fed's decision means for investors, the economy, and your portfolio. AI datacenter buildouts are showing up in economic data...but, the 3% GDP print has a more dire undertone: Strip out the build outs, and the economy is weaker than it appears. Is dissention among Fed governors politically motivated, or being economically cautious? Home prices are declining; housing is like an economic pyramid (NOT a pyramid scheme!) The AI buildout is skewing economic data. The bulk of market positivity bs being driven by only a few, large companies; any iss by Amazon or Apple reported today could sway markets tomorrow.

    7-30-25 How to Effectively Hedge Against Inflation

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2025 46:32


    It's a mega-earnings report day, and a Fed Meeting day, to boot; the notion among some investors that 20% returns are normal is scary. The Fed is expected to hold steady on interest rates, but there is dissention in the ranks of Fed Governors. Inflation erodes your purchasing power—are you prepared? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down smart strategies to hedge against inflation and protect your wealth. Lance and Danny commiserate on kids home for the Summer and then off to college. You've got to have inflation for economic growth; the best hedge against inflation, historically, is still stocks. The only benchmark for portfolios is the rate of inflation. Investing strategies are only wrong if they don't work. Adjusting retirement for inflation and lifestyle. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Mega Earnings Reports & Fed Day Preview SEG-2a: Kids Home for Summer & Off to College SEG-2b: Currency Debasement & Inflation SEG-3: Emotional Aspects of Inflation (bias) SEG-4: Adjusting Retirement for Inflation & Lifestyle Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rXwvTN34YI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Capturing Rotation in Market Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Grit, Grind, & Glam" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #InflationHedge #ProtectYourWealth #SmartInvesting #InflationProtection #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-29-25 Two Dads on Money - Grit, Grind, & Glam

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2025 46:32


    Markets continue their bullish trend; Infrastructure build-out for AI is beginning to show up in data. Money flows return to US markets. Lance shares the bet he has with his dog; Lance & Jon share their "Two Dads" wisdom for fresh college grads' job searched & career choices, and offer three pillars for success: ○ Grit: Passion + perseverance. Stick through setbacks, stay committed, believe effort matters more than innate talent. ○ Grind: The value of hard work—late nights, travel, dedication. Equally important: know your limits and prioritize recovery to avoid burnout. ○ Glam: Pursue purpose and passion. Finding meaning in your work keeps the grind worthwhile. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: The Bullish Market Remains Intact SEG-2a: Dog Bets SEG-2b: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.1: Grit SEG-3a: Going Digital SEG-3b: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.2: Grind SEG-4: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.3: Glam Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Stocks Appreciate Money Flows" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVphLBnAmaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Big Tech Earnings" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvF7rNkJdX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=1s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MoneyFlow #Gold #EmergingMarkets #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #CareerAdvice #CollegeGrads #StartYourCareer #FinancialPlanning #NewGradTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-28-25 Big Tech Earnings

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2025 46:33


    Lance reviews the Big News from the weekend, the trade accord between the US and the European Union, and previews the data that will drive markets this week: PCE report and a Fed meeting on tap. What will move markets? Commentary on the non-impact of Tariffs: Markets have already priced-in any change, as markets adapt. What the Fed says about QT/QE will matter. Lance shares another family drama episode, with retail therapy and a "people-cott" on Ulta make up. There is no reason to be overly bearish on markets for now; more people are calling for correction now (which means it will only be delayed further) as markets grind higher. Lance addresses YouTube Chatroom questions on an oversold market, and what to do with excess cash; money doesn't leave the market, it just moves around. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: The Most Important Thing in Earnings Reports12:02 - Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentary SEG-2: The Real Impact of Tariffs & Market Movers SEG-3a: Roberts Family Drama & The Ulta Guy SEG-3b: Will Correction Be Delayed by More Expectations? SEG-4: Chat Q & A: Oversold markets & What to do with Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvF7rNkJdX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prelude to Pullback" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhyvfiwBPG8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You a Meme Stock Mania DORK?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-TT_XaVhgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=3&t=185s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #BigTechEarnings #TechStocks2025 #EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-25-25 Are You a Meme-stock Mania Dork?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 25, 2025 46:36


    Is your portfolio full of DORKs? Jonathan Penn and Jonathan McCarty unpack the return of meme stock mania and four speculative favorites: DNUT (Krispy Kreme), OPEN (Opendoor), RKLB (Rocket Lab), and KSS (Kohl's). These retail-loved names are soaring again—but should you follow the hype or stay grounded? We'll discuss why these stocks are rallying, the behavioral finance behind retail speculation, and the portfolio risks in chasing "lottery ticket" trades. Jonathan & Jonathan also memorialize Ozzy Osborne and Hulk Hogan; how college-grads' first jobs' earnings are not as rosy as expected, and the valueof a trade education is looking up; it's time to start thinking about portfolio housekeeping and RMD's as year-end approaches. How to manage inherited IRA's & wealth transfers; beneficiaries & estate planning. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Investor Appetite for Speculation SEG-2a: RIP, Ozzy & Hulk SEG-2b: Portfolio Returns & Meme Stock to Avoid SEG-2c: First Job Prospects for College Grads SEG-3a: Wrestle Mania Memories SEG-3b: College Education Expense ROI vs Trades & Apprenticeships SEG-4a: Candid Coffee & Web Tease SEG-4b: Portfolio Housekeeping & RMD's Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors Jonathan Penn, CFP, & Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-TT_XaVhgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How AI is Driving the Market" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhqbFkLRaO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=173s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ "AI Is Powering Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-is-powering-markets/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MemeStocks #DORKportfolio #CollegeROI #TradeSchool #Apprenticeship #HulkHogan #WrestleMania #OzzyOsborne #IRA #RothIRA #RMD #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-24-25 How AI is Driving the Market

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2025 46:32


    Artificial intelligence is no longer the future—it's the engine behind today's market moves. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how AI and machine learning are reshaping investing strategies, influencing algorithmic trading, and transforming financial analysis. Lance looks at earnings season and Tesla's results; there's nothing wrong with the markets, but all the ingredients are in place for a market reversion; what will be the catalyst? Lance corrects himself on Tesla comments; Lane and Michael hash over the impact of AI on market trading, and the pro's and con's of algorithmic trading; AI can tell you what to buy, but what about when to sell? Jerome Powell is in a pickle with an over-budget Fed Building redux and an unhappy Boss (DJT). What would a Powell removal do for markets? Lance's notes on our switch to pure-digital August 4th; is the government missing an investment opportunity in the AI infrastructure buildout? * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Earnings Season Results to Date SEG-2a: Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentary SEG-2b: AI vs Dot-com Revolutions SEG-3: Fed Froth & Powell Fed Building Bungle SEG-4a: Going Digital SEG-4b: The AI Investment Buildout Opportunity Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhqbFkLRaO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=173s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Are Stocks Going Up?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ "AI Is Powering Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-is-powering-markets/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #CreditSwaps #CreditSpreads #AIMarkets #AIInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #StockMarketTrends #MachineLearningFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-23-25 Why Are Stocks Going Up

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2025 46:32


    Stocks are rallying despite weak fundamentals. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the real reasons behind the 2025 market surge. Malcom Jamal-Warner and Ozzy Osborne pass; they always come in three's: Who's next? Trumps tariff deal with Japan moves markets momentarily; Meme stocks are back. Negative divergences while markets on the rise signal more potential for market correction (not crash!) Lance & Danny discuss why stocks are up and where the money is coming from. The Roberts' Family Saga - the tale of the new mattress - continues. Why's the market going up: Markets move on speculative activity & narratives (don't watch the news during the day!) Lance & Danny discuss how the news affects forward earnings (think: Enron), and why we have Sarbanes-Oxley. How we manage our portfolios; the Schiller CAPE-10 explained, and mean reversion cycles. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Jamal-Warner, Ozzy, & Meme Stocks are Back SEG-2: Why Are Stocks Up - Where the money comes from SEG-3a: The Roberts' Mattress Saga SEG-3b: Why is the Market Rallying? SEG-4: How Does the News Affect Forward Earning Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Warning Signs in Negative Divergences," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9Yu1BZPLw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Rent or Buy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t68v7YNraes&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #Momentum #WhyAreStocksUp #StockMarketRally #InvestorSentiment #MarketMystery #Stocks2025 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-22-25 Two Dads on Money - Rent or Buy

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2025 46:33


    Renting vs Buying a Home – Which Makes More Sense in 2025? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn, Two Dads on Money, ponder whether, with rising mortgage rates and stubbornly high rents, is it better to rent or buy right now? * What are the true costs of homeownership vs renting? * What are the hidden fees most people overlook? * What are the financial pros and cons of both options? Home ownership is often styled as the "American Dream," thanks to marketing by the National Association of Realtors (what's their vested interest??) For the unprepared, home ownership can become a nightmare. Avoid the anchoring effect in determining whether your house purchase was a gain or a loss (expenses of ownership). Housing is not unaffordable; your expectations may be, however. Before you sign that lease or lock in a mortgage, listen in!

    7-21-25 Big Questions for Big Tech

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 46:35


    Can the AI boom sustain current valuations, or is a reckoning coming? Lance Roberts examines how AI and Big Tech investing trends are shaping portfolios, whether rising interest rates will derail Tech stock market outlook, and the growing risks of regulation impact on Big Tech from Washington to Brussels. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs. Lance shares the latest Roberts Family Saga, and his Coldplay strategy. Is investor exuberance getting out of hand? Options expiring within 24-hours are at an all-time high: This is not hedging, this is pure betting. Lance discusses anticipated spending for AI, and identifies associated debt as productive (think, Hoover Dam) vs non-productive (entitlements), which is dis-inflationary. Buuy backs are a poor (non-productive) use of capital. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Mega-cap Earnings Preview SEG-2a: Another Roberts Family Saga & Coldplay SEG-2b: Market Exuberance is Getting Out of Hand SEG-3a: Paramount & Colbert Kill The Late Show SEG-3b: No Concerns for Market Correction...yet SEG-4: Productive Debt vs Stock Buy Backs Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnE_SxbFc0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "Money Scripts & Credit Scores," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BigTech #TechStocks #ArtificialIntelligence #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-18-25 Money Scripts & Credit Scores

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 46:16


    Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle host Rich's last live Radio-episode* and reveal the reason for Matt's recent absence from the show. Airport Security parameters; strong start to Earnings Season; references to '80's TV sit-coms; market futures, Lance's charts, the ultimate Death Cross; Richard previews Saturday's (7/19) Candid Coffee, and the genesis of the partnership with Lance Roberts; understanding Money Scripts; Netflix & streaming services; Gen-Z and Social Media. Rich and Matt discuss the possibilities of Mrs. Roberts' bakery/coffee shop; Retail Sales report analysis: People are still spending. The Paradox of Thrift, Fed meetings and a brief history of the Federal Reserve Banking System. Rich reviews American Express' report, debt to income ratios and Money Scripts (Brad Klontz); how childhood location bears on credit scores in later life. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Matt's Back (and leg) & some market commentary SEG-2a: Candid Coffee Preview SEG-2b: Money Scripts & Financial Success SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Coffee Shop & Retail Spending SEG-3b: Retail Sales Summary SEG-4: AmEx reports, Money Scripts, & Managing Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "The Magnificent 7 Are Mediocre," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyScripts #CreditScoreTips #FinancialMindset #CreditHealth #MoneyBehavior #EarningsSeason #RetailSales #Inflation #ParadoxOfThrift #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-17-25 The Magnificent 7 Are Mediocre

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 46:14


    Are the Magnificent Seven losing their magic? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz get the real story behind Magnificent Seven stocks performance and what it means for your investment strategy. Lance reviews this week's PPI report (flat) showing little to no effects from tariffs. Yet. The make up of the US economy (80% services) is such that corporations will primarily pay tariffs, and likely not pass along much of the additional cost. Earnings Season continues to roll along as markets enter the seasonally-weaker period of the year. Lance and Michael discuss PPI and what the Fed might be thinking next. The Question de Jour is what is happening with bonds. NOTE: Lance reveals more details about our upcoming programming changes; pay attention! Lance & Michael discuss how we manage Bonds; the surge in retail speculation and the performance (?) of Mag-7 stocks (meh). Michael discusses the two forms of Volatility, and Lance preaches to the YouTube Chat choir. SEG-1: PPI Comes in Flat - Markets Prepare for Correction SEG-2: What is the FEd Thinking Now? SEG-3a: Show Changes Coming SEG-3b: How We Manage Bond Portfolios SEG-3c: Has the Mag-7 Lost its Magic? SEG-4a: YouTube Chat SEG-4b: S&P 500 Realized vs Implied Volatility Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "SPAC's are Back!," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaCxUW2BClU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BondPortfolio #MagnificentSeven #StockMarketUpdate #TechStocks #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-16-25 SPAC's Are Back

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 46:16


    SPAC's (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies) are making headlines again. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down why SPAC investing is back in 2025, what's driving the latest SPAC market trends, and what investors need to know before jumping in. Are these deals a golden opportunity or another speculative bubble? Earnings Season continues with Banks' reports and the effects of stock buy backs beginning to wane. Tuesday's CPI print had something for everyone; will PPI finally show effects of tariffs? We're preparing for 3-5% correction by mid-August or September. Will President Trump replace Jerome Powell at the Fed? What really matters is what markets wants: An independent Fed. Should the Fed be cutting rates now? (The Fed is always late.) Lance & Danny discuss who really pays tariff fees (producers); eating out and budget leakage. Wall Street will sellyou anything you want, even when you don't know what it is yet: SPAC's are back, along with a voracious appetite for risk. When investors are all-in, that sets up for correction. Danny describes new challenges to Roth Conversions under the Big Beautiful Bill...and impromptu revelation of grade school antics and interpersonal relationships...and commentary on speculative risk returning to the market. SEG-1: Bank Earnings Review, PPI Preview, and Contrarian Indicators SEG-2: Will Trump Replace Powell? SEG-3: SPAC's are Bank - Will St. Will Sell You What You Want SEG-4a: Roth Conversations Under the Big Beautiful Bill SEG-4b: If Lance Was a Bully SEG-4c: Speculative Risk Returns to the Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaCxUW2BClU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Turtle Trading" "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bullish Sentiment is a Contrarian Indicator," is here: https://youtu.be/4k2AfV8moZ8 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dad's on Money," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rm-FNuRdgB0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #BullishSentiment #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #SPACs #SPACInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestingNews #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-15-25 Two Dad's on Money

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2025 46:12


    What kinds of traps and pitfalls could younger investors be falling into? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn provide advice from Two Dad's on Money in today's episode: Nvidia is shipping its H-20 chips to China; Lance previews this week's CPI and PPI reports; earnings season is underway, stock buy backs have dominated, surging higher than ever, but will taper; Markets prepare for sector rotations. Lance & Jonathan discuss the differences betweem trading and speculating, the Math of Loss, and the cost of starting over. How to successfully speculate with little money (there are some caveats!) High risk vs low risk; The one thing you cannot squander: Time. The power of saving. SEG-1: Nvidia Ships Chips; CPI, PPI Previews SEG-2: The Difference Between Investing & Speculating SEG-3: How to Successfully Speculate SEG-4: The One Thing You Must Not Squander Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rm-FNuRdgB0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Turtle Trading" "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set for Rotation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=diYGZ_-lLMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Relative Returns Or Absolute: What's More Important?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EbuyQ4mMSas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketRotation #Transportation #Technology #Industrials #AI #AIbuildOut #ArtificialIntelligence #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #FinancialAdviceForKids #MoneyLessonsFromDad #TeachingKidsMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-14-25 Relative Returns or Absolute - What's More Important

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2025 46:15


    Earnings Season has commenced with lowered expectations, meaning higher "beat" rates for companies, thanks to the lowered bar. Market react mildly to Mexican & Canadian 30% Tariffs; a warning for this week's CPI Report: The past four reports have been lower than expected, so a much higher number may be printed this time around. A three-month preview of market probabilities shows 50-50 chance of continued bullish activity; BUT, markets are over bought, and the odds are even for a correction of as much as 5% back to the 6,000 level. Lance shares his family's weekend exploits with Tex Mex food and Mrs. Roberts' new penchant for sourdough bread making. Lance reviews his weekend piece on Absolute vs Relative Returns, the consequences of both, and three things required for market predictions. We are naturally negatively biased; why market compounding is a myth; average vs compound returns are very different; what really caused the Dot-com Crash. NOTE: There are BIG changes coming to The Real Investment Show; if you're not subscribed here, you could miss out. Comparing Trade War outcomes: 2017 vs 2025. The risk to markets now: Trump vs Powell tiffs; the markets want an independent Fed; the risk to be aware of. "Con" is short for "Confidence Game.: SEG-1: Earnings Season Begins SEG-2a: Tex-Mex & Sourdough SEG-2b: Absolute vs Relative Returns SEG-3: Dealing with Our Naturally Negative Bias SEG-4a: Big Changes Coming SEG-4b: Maybe this Trade War Really Isn't that Different Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EbuyQ4mMSas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risks Ahead of Earnings Season," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUggnhse9kk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Big Beautiful Bill Means for Your Money & Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=juL4OhaFgbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=114s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #RelativeReturns #AbsoluteReturns #InvestmentStrategy #PortfolioPerformance #InvestorEducation #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-11-25 What the Big Beautiful Bill Means for Your Money & Retirement

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 11, 2025 46:14


    What is the impact of the recently-passed Big Beautiful Bill on your money and retirement plans? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty plumb the depths of the legislation to find the good--and the bad--effects it will have. Richard review the latest round of tariffs on Canada (markets don't care), and AI is promising to be a game changer in the middle management job market. The Big Beautiful Bill has benefits and drawbacks: there are caps and limitations, as well as enhancements for charitable giving; there is no "no taxes" on Social Security; changes in SS for future generations will likely be phased-in; remembering Gilligan's Island and coconut adaptations; the reality of "no tax on tips;" accelerated depreciation for business and higher SALT deductions; the Trump Savings Account for kids; a preview of our January 2026 Economic Summit. SEG-1: Canadian Tariffs' Market Impact - meh SEG-2: The Big Beautiful Bill's Caps & Limitations SEG-3a: Candid Coffee Teaser SEG-3b: The Big Beautiful Bill - Tax Brackets & Social Security SEG-4a: Gilligan's Island, & Policy Polarization SEG-4b: SALT Deduction & Trump Savings Accounts Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=juL4OhaFgbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=114s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/ "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BigBeautifulBill #FederalBill2025 #MoneyAndPolicy #LegislationImpact #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #TrumpSavingsAccount #SALTdeduction #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-10-25 Will Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2025 46:13


    As inflation remains elevated and the Federal Reserve begins to shift its tone, markets are asking: Will lower interest rates actually bring prices down — or make them worse? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz unpack the delicate balance between monetary policy, consumer behavior, and price pressures: * The historical relationship between rate cuts and inflation * Why inflation may be more “sticky” than expected * How consumer demand and debt loads are reshaped by lower rates * The unintended consequences of looser policy on asset prices * What this means for investors and retirees going forward SEG-1: Why Economists Expect Higher Growth by 2026 SEG-2: Growth is Back in Vogue SEG-3a: Like & Subscribe tease - changes coming SEG-3b: Can Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices? SEG-4a: Coffee Cafe, ChatGPT, & Economic Haiku SEG-4b: Earnings Season Preview: Tariff Effects? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/ "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Protect Your Multi-decade Retirement From Inflation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #InterestRates #InflationControl #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #PriceStability#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-9-25 How to Protect Your Multi-decade Retirement from Inflation

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2025 46:17


    More Tariff trouble on the horizon, but markets have seen this movie before (The Stick & Carrot Show). Market risk remains, as markets are highly deviated. Sentiment remains positive; there's a large gap between market performance and economic data, however. Deviations tend to resolve themselves to the downside. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff reveal how to shield your retirement savings from decades of inflation: The necessity of Inflation and how to deal with it (inflation is a function of economic growth); the mistake of being too conservative, fear of The Black Swan that never appears. Lance reveals his memory challenges; living thru market downturns, and lessons learned. Market downturns don't happen over night. Treasuries vs Equities: What's the proper blend? Passive Investing is an oxymoron. Risk management is essential for fighting inflation. SEG-1: Tariff Threats Return, Market Risk Rises SEG-2: The Necessity of Inflation and How to Deal With It SEG-3a: Lance's Dementia Test SEG-3b: Living thru Market Downturns SEG-4: Inflation-proofing Retirement - Treasuries vs Equities RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risk is Rising," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdRpxHuJF4s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "ETF's Are Eating the World," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InflationProtection #RetirementSavings #FinancialFreedom #SmartInvesting #InvestingStrategies #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-8-25 ETF's are Eating the World

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 8, 2025 46:15


    Earnings season is upon us; will volatility pick up? A bigger question will be how tariffs may affect corporate earnings. Employment numbers are dipping into contraction zone as the economy slows. Markets sell off on renewed tariff news. Crude oil prices are creeping back up. No one is expecting correction...which is when they usually appear. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have exploded in popularity—driving a massive shift from active to passive investing. But is this trend distorting markets and concentrating risk? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn explore how ETF growth may be reshaping price discovery, liquidity, and investor behavior: Why do investors choose single-stock ETF's? Leverage. But that cuts both ways, when stocks are going up as well as going down. Lance and Jonathan examine FUnd performance vs Indexes over time. The irony of ETF's: They're passive, but being traded like stocks because of a "get-rich-quick" mentality. Speculation leads to broken markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the US Dollar and why it remains the default reserve currency of the world, even as the mix of currencies evolves. Lance advises when it's time to be bearish. SEG-1: Earnings Season Prelude - No Fear of Correction SEG-2: Astro's & ETF's - It's All About Leverage SEG-3: The Irony of ETF's SEG-4: Dealing with the Dollar RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Fear of Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtaKUHTNq-Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bull Market is Alive and Well" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtaiG62GGL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=141s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #OilPrices #Tariffs #ETFs #PassiveInvesting #MarketTrends #InvestingStrategies #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-7-25 The Bull Market is Alive and Well

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2025 46:13


    Lance is back from vacation, and the markets did not crash in his absence! On the contrary, they're doing very well. President Donald Trump's Big Beautiful Bill has been signed into law; still to be seen: its impact on earnings. We express our sentiments for the families and friends of loved ones lost in the Central Texas Flash Floods over the July 4th Weekend. Investor greed is a record levels, along with technical indicators, meaning markets are primed for a correction or consolidation; all that's needed is a catalyst. There's nothing wrong with the markets; how to properly prognosticate: Correction is coming. Lance and Brent commiserate on Monday's studio technical challenges. Looking for a better risk-reward proposition in markets; understanding retail investor enthusiasm: Where is the money coming from? A comparison, 2020 vs 2025. Lance reviews his UK trip to visit his son: Is America Unfair? Lance visits a Bath liquor store; eating the tariffs in order to compete. The Penny Stock fraud. SEG-1: BBB Passes - What's the Impact on Earnings? SEG-2: There's Nothing Wrong w the market SEG-3: Looking For a Better Risk-Reward Ratio SEG-4a: Is America Unfair? SEG-4b: Penny Stock Fraud Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtaiG62GGL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=141s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Greed Is At Extreme Levels," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lneFe1hqJc4 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bulls Are Back in Town" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-27-25 Annuities Are Not Your Enemy

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2025 46:19


    Are annuities always a bad deal? Not so fast. In today's episode, Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty tackle the myths and misconceptions around annuities. From income guarantees to tax-deferred growth, find out how annuities can actually support your retirement strategy—if used the right way. Jonathan shares his changed life as a new father, and a discussion of investor confirmation bias, who's likely to be the replacement for Jerome Powell, and the Shado Fed, tariffs, inflation, and political bias in investing. Rich and Jonathan address the growing impact of AI on the labor market and the velocity of AI. The concept of annuities and life expectancy: How AI can extend your life. Rich's insight to the Texas State Fair and an intriguing business opportunity; Texas History and good music; spending in retirement with stable-income vs variable-income sources. Why most annuities are sold and not planned for. The job of a financial advisor is to be unbiased; origins of the retirement crisis without pensions. SEG-1: Daddy Duty & Investor Confirmation Bias SEG-2: The Velocity of AI in Financial Planning SEG-3: Retirement Spending w Stable vs Variable Income SEG-4: Why Annuities Get a Bad Rap Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QvoAQJShFsU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Next Mistake," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AnnuitiesExplained #RetirementPlanning #InvestSmart #AnnuityEducation #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-26-25 The Fed's Next Mistake

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2025 46:25


    Is the Fed setting the stage for another policy blunder? As inflation pressures linger and economic growth slows, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the risks of the central bank's next move—and what it could mean for your money on this morning's episode of #TheRealInvestmentShow. The Market Rally is ON, yet oil prices are telling a different story about the economy. President Trump could be picking a successor to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sooner than later. Lance and Michael expose the Fed's political "independance," and it's proclivity for financial socialism. The Fed is always late...and always wrong. The true role of the Fed is to protect its member banks. Jerome Powell doesn't mind being late. The ill-fated push to lower bank's minimum reserve requirements. Again. (Did we not learn from the past?) SEG-1: Vacation Prelude - The Rally is On SEG-2: The Folly of the Fed & Financial Socialism SEG-3: Economic Data Shows Weaking - Will the Fed be too late? SEG-4: The Fed is Always Wrong RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8wHxhOOWMQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bulls Are Back in Town," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InflationOutlook #RecessionRisk #FedMistake #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #IranIsraelConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-25-25 The Bulls Are Back in Town

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2025 46:22


    Market speculation is at an all time high, yet there are economic surprises in store that could shake things up. There is now an illusion of economic strength. Lance discusses the recent reversal of the Death Cross in the S&P and NASDAQ; the Gold Cross is at an all time high. Lance and Danny address the new push to make private equity investing available for "the little guy," and the illusion of limited volatility. Beware the "good deals;" Wall Street will always find something to sell you if you want to buy it. The fallacy of "above average" gains in private equity; you never hear about the deals that go sour. A political sidetrack into the supposed fate of the Big Beautiful Bill and Term Limits. Danny and Lance review a Vanguard report on the average balances of 401k's (beware "average" comparisons!). SEG-1: Market Speculation Has Gone Bonkers SEG-2: The Private Equity Push SEG-3: The Fallacy in "Above Average" Gains SEG-4: How Does Your 401k Compare to National Averages? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Trajectory Remains Bullish," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRzdiS6C1vc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is WW III Off the Table?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #BuyTheDip #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #401k #PrivateEquity #PrivateEquityETF #SpaceX #SuperSavers #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-24-25 Is WW III Off the Table?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2025 46:24


    Is the threat of World War III finally off the table? Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in global conflict and what they mean for financial markets. From oil prices and defense stocks to safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries, we'll unpack how investors should think about geopolitical risk now. Are markets too complacent—or is the worst truly behind us? Is Apple dead? Lance addresses a YouTube Chatroom query with analysis of how Apple continues to do well, despite a paucity of innovation; why 420 ETF's all own Apple; the evolution of the smartphone. Why you need Apple in your portfolio. What is the next narrative of the Summer? Is the Fed trapped (again)? SEG-1: Markets & The End of WW3 SEG-2 Is Apple Dead (It's not growing...) SEG-3: Why You Need Apple in Your Portfolio SEG-4: Cease Fire Violations & Summer's Next Narrative RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Bullish Prelude to July," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiUwcZ7ujqU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "U.S. Strikes Iran: How to Invest When Geopolitics Explode" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #BullishMarket #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-23-25 US Strikes Iran - How to Invest When Geopolitics Explode

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2025 46:23


    Over the weekend, the U.S. launched strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities. Of course, for Americans and the financial markets, the response from not only Iran but also Iran's allies will be critical. Lance Roberts describes a process of logical evaluation and portfolio risk management when markets experience turmoil: What matters most to investors? What do these attacks mean for earnings? How might geopolitics affect EOQ activity? [NOTE: Lance is on vacation next week, 6/30-7/4] Remembering the Japanese Carry Trade blow up vs Iran Bombings: There is not the same sense of urgency this time; markets have already moved-on. How will the Israel-Iran conflict play out? Watch "Top Gun." Likely outcomes will be higher oil prices, a stronger dollar, and weaker equities. SEG-1: Bombings in Iran: What Matters Most? SEG-2a: Lance's Summer Vacation Preview SEG-2b: Where's the Sense of Urgency? SEG-3: How the Iran-Israel Conflict Will Play Out SEG-4: Watching for Pickup in Volatility RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Respond to Iran Bombings," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yWM3nfbeF2I ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Day Preview: Will They or Won't They?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Gold #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-18-25 Fed Day Preview - Will They or Won't They?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2025 46:13


    It's Fed Day! Will the Federal Reserve finally cut rates—or kick the can again? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down what's at stake, what markets are pricing in, and what it means for your money. Thursday is Juneteenth, markets are closed, and so are we. Lance reviews the track for crude oil prices and the likely effect on inflation as the Iran-Israel conflict continues. What will Jerome Powell say following today's Fed meeting? Fed grammar matters. Danny and Lance review elements of the Big, Beautiful Bill as it bounces between the House and Senate; contents subject to change. Lance points out the insane irony of the Dept. of Agriculture's stance on feeding wildlife vs. feeding the masses. Danny and Lance review a Barron's article depicting a dilemma of wanting to retire early on limited savings, and live to 98. Hilarity ensues. SEG-1: Juneteenth & Fed Day SEG-2a: Fed Meeting Preview & Market Sentiment SEG-2b: The BIg, Beautiful Bill - Pt.1 SEG-3: The Big, Beautiful Bill - Pt.2 SEG-4: Can You Afford to Retire? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Oil Prices Are On the Rise," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4O6HNmfPPb4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What's the Difference Between Fixed Income and "Stable" Income?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Inflation #SupplyDemand #FedDay #FederalReserve #FedRateDecision #FOMC #InterestRateCut #JeromePowell #FinanceNews #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #BigBeautifulBill #DeptAgriculture #ParksWildlife #SNAP #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-17-25 What's the Difference Between Fixed Income & Stable Income?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2025 46:15


    What's the difference between fixed income and "stable" income? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the key differences between Dividend Stocks vs fixed income investments like bonds and annuities, and other strategies often labeled as stable income; how each performs in various market environments, the risks you may not see, and what every retiree or income-focused investor should consider. Lance and Jon also address the #1 Thing that homeowners regret about their houses, and a special "Two Dad's on Money" episode about whether your college grad kid should move back in with Mom & Dad. SEG-1: Retail Sales Preview, Where Market Risk Remains SEG-2: Are Dividend Stocks "Stable" or Fixed? SEG-3a: How to Calculate (and understand) Dividend Risk SEG-3b: Homeowners' #1 Remorse SEG-4: Two Dad's on Money - Should Your College Grad Move Back Home? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Where Downside Risk Remains," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIyoblbtIdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How the Iran-Israel Conflict Could Shock Global Markets," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PensionFund #DownsideRisk #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #TwoDadsOnMoney #CollegeGrads #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-16-25 How the Iran-Israel Conflict Could Shock Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2025 46:02


    Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in the Iran-Israel conflict and what they mean for global markets, oil prices, and investor sentiment. With tensions rising in the Middle East, we explore how geopolitical risk is shaping the outlook for the S&P 500, energy stocks, safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries. Lance touches on the impact of Middle East conflicts on the stock market, how oil prices typically respond to geopolitical tension, and what sectors may benefit or suffer from the crisis. Lanec also addresses investor strategies during geopolitical uncertainty, with a look at historical market reactions to major conflicts. SEG-1: Iran-Israel - What's the next Catalyst? SEG-2: Market Effects of Iran-Israel Conflict SEG-3: Bifurcated Investing by Political Persuasion SEG-4: The Return of TINA RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Bullish Despite Weekend Events," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMnSNn4v7Yo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is a College Degree Really Worth It?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-13-25 Is a College Degree Really Worth It

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2025 46:17


    Is a college degree still worth the rising cost? As student loan debt climbs and tuition skyrockets, more families and young adults are asking whether a traditional four-year education offers a worthwhile return on investment. In this episode, we break down the financial data behind college costs, degree value by major, and explore growing alternatives like trade schools, certifications, and apprenticeships. Richard Rosso & Susan Buenger posit whether higher education is still the smart path — or if it's time to rethink the college equation. SEG-1: Initial Market Response to Israeli Attack on Iran SEG-2: The Best College Major ROI SEG-3a: Israeli Raid & Market Volatility SEG-3b: Expectations & College Preparation - When to Start the Process SEG-4: Competition & Planning for College RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Love for Puts," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation Cools" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F4zKT325bo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InflationCools #InflationUpdate #ConsumerPriceIndex #HigherEducation #TradeSchoolAlternative #CollegeWorthIt #StudentDebt #EducationROI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-12-25 Inflation Cools

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2025 46:20


    May CPI surprised with a "cooler" print on inflation, begging the question of what the Fed will do next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the CPI report, reveal what's driving the slowdown in some consumer prices, and explore what it means for interest rates, your portfolio, and the broader economy. Who's going to end up "eating" the tariff-related increases? A clue may appear in the PPI reading. April saw a massiv surge in stock buy backs; that window will soon close. Lance and MIchael discuss the initial effects of tariffs on the economy; consumer choice is a factor that should not be ignored. For investors, the key is focusing on what really matters (earnings) vs the popular narratives de jour. Markets have all the information, but investors sometimes allow sentiment to take control. SEG-1: CPI & PPI - Who's Eating the Tariffs? SEG-2: Parsing CPI: What Did Tariffs Really Affect? SEG-3: Why All That Matters is Earnings SEG-4: How to Manage Risk Best RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F4zKT325bo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Love for Puts," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI Day - Will Inflation Hold Steady?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InflationCools #InflationUpdate #ConsumerPriceIndex #MarketPullback #StockBuyBacks #Puts #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-11-25 CPI Day - Will Inflation Hold Steady?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2025 46:17


    Today is CPI Day, and all eyes are on the Consumer Price Index report for May. What will today's CPI data mean for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path and future market volatility? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the implications for stocks, bonds, and consumer sentiment. Lance questions the data the government is providing, and examines the Small Caps' performance of late. What will be the impact of tariffs on CPI? Why now is a "normal" interest rate environment. Nobody cares about economic date revisions. Danny tackles the question of whether you should disclaim a $5-Million inheritance; hilarity ensues with an anecdote about Lance's son's request for money. No. Impossible Meat goes "Flexitarian;" more hilarity ensues. Danny & Lance discuss the sticky wicket of stock and land inheritances; CPI preview: No expectation of a hot print. SEG-1: What Difference Does a One-Tenth Percent Inflation Make? SEG-2: Inflation Expectations vs Real Life SEG-3: Should You Disclaim an Inheritance? SEG-4a: Beyond Meat & Flexitarian's SEG-4b: Land Inheritances & Liquidity Issues SEG-4c: CPI Preview RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Small Caps on a Tear...but," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IaVrimYakns&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Private Equity is Coming for Your Money," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5pY32IgCBY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=152s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-10-25 Private Equity is Coming for Your Money

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2025 46:19


    Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn uncover how private equity investments are no longer just for the ultra-wealthy...but is that the best plan? With Wall Street's latest push, retail investors are now being targeted as the next frontier for capital. From alternative investments in 2025 to the growing trend of private equity entering 401(k) plans, we break down what you need to know about the risks of private equity, the lack of transparency compared to public markets, and what this shift could mean for retail investors. Don't miss this deep dive into why Wall Street is coming after your retirement savings—and what you can do about it. SEG-1: Industrials Lead the Way SEG-2: The Private Equity Story - Why Am I So Lucky? SEG-3: The Private Equity Story - The Democratization of Private Equity SEG-4: The Private Equity Story - Everyone's Looking for an Edge RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5pY32IgCBY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=152s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Preparing for a Pullback," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoKv2jBDwNs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Buy the Dip--Technically Speaking," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuySignal #Tariffs #MarketNarrative #PrivateEquity #AlternativeInvestments #RetailInvestors #WallStreetWatch #FinancialFreedom #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-9-25 How to Buy the Dip--Technically Speaking

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2025 46:18


    Are you waiting for the perfect moment to "buy the dip" but unsure how to spot it? Lance Roberts reveals how to identify smart entry points using technical analysis. From recognizing key support levels and reversal patterns, to understanding what oversold indicators are really telling you, we'll walk you through the tools, charts, and signals that professional investors rely on. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a long-term investor trying to fine-tune your entry, this episode will help you buy with more confidence when markets pull back. Plus, we'll share insights on how to avoid common pitfalls, manage risk, and ride the recovery wave effectively. SEG-1: Market Upsides Outweigh the Downsides SEG-2: How to Know When to Buy the Dip or Not SEG-3: Two Key Tools - Sentiment & Price SEG-4a: Futures Commentary SEG-4b: Preparing for Next Earnings Season RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "This is Not a Bear Market Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15oEA1pEwQE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is 70 the New 65? Reshaping Retirement in America," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6DR5m8qL-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarketRally #MarketCorrection #BuySignal #RisingRelativeStrength #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    america preparing register dip technically speaking lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit
    6-6-25 Is 70 the New 65? Reshaping Retirement in America

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2025 46:26


    Should the new retirement age be 70? Richard Rosso explores the financial, social, and personal implications of delaying retirement. What does working longer mean for your retirement planning in 2025 and beyond? Is it a necessity—or a trap? Whether you're nearing retirement or decades away, understanding how changes to the retirement age could affect your benefits and financial independence is critical. Listen or watch to hear what raising the Social Security age could mean for you and why 70 might become the new 65. We introduce another of our Summer Interns, Parker McGill, from the University of Tennessee; the aftershocks of the Trump/Musk feud; retirement savings trends are improving; Denmark has raised its retirement age to 70; should the US take a cue? A preview of today's Government Jobs Report: Will bad news (lower employment) be good news (Fed incentive to cut rates)? SEG-1: Polymarkets Bets on Trump, Musk, & Recession SEG-2: Jobs Report Preview & Raising SS Retirement Age SEG-3: Saving for Retirement & Financial Independence SEG-4: Jobs Numbers: Bad News is Good News? Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Summer Intern, Parker McGill (University of Tennessee) Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6DR5m8qL-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "S&P 7,000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8b98kV23Ao&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Rates Cuts Do Not Equal Inflation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4BgEM6uejWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=155s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementAge #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #FinancialIndependence #WorkingLonger #DonaldTrump #ElonMusk #RetirementSavings #JobsNumbers #ADP #BLS #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-5-25 Fed Rate Cuts Do Not Equal Inflation

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 5, 2025 46:23


    Are investors wrong to assume that rate cuts will automatically tame inflation? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz challenge the belief that the Fed's rate cuts always translate into lower inflation. Using historical data and current economic conditions, we explore how monetary policy really interacts with price pressures—and why rate cuts may actually stoke inflation under the wrong conditions. Specifically, Lance and Mike address the real impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflation, why cutting rates doesn't always reduce inflation, and some lessons from past economic cycles. What today's investors should expect in 2025

    6-4-25 Will There Be a Summer Swoon?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2025 46:30


    Is a summer swoon looming in the stock market for 2025? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff explore the historical performance of the S&P 500 and major sectors during the summer months—June through August, and examine whether investors should brace for a seasonal pullback, looking at historical June-to-August returns and volatility trends, what typically drives a summer slowdown in stocks, and sector-by-sector analysis: What holds up best in weak seasonal periods? How do global macroeconomic conditions and slowing growth shape investor behavior? Lance and Danny also discuss how markets listen and absorb news...and adapt. The US is NOT going broke; Lance again discusses the economic benefits of needful government spending on infrastructure projects and the multiplier effect. Danny and Lance also parse a potential bill to ban sitting Congresspersons from investing in markets. SEG-1: Sell in May, or Go Away? SEG-2: Why June Isn't Always a Loser Month for Markets SEG-3: The More Markets Hear, the More They Adapt SEG-4a: Is the US Going Broke? SEG-4b: Should Congress Be Banned from Trading? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_d45otgA4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sell in May & Go Away?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0JoZpN0_40&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Reports of the Death of American Exceptionalism are Greatly Exaggerated," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellInMay #MarketRally #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #SummerSwoon #StockMarketTrends #MarketForecast #Investing2025 #SeasonalInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-3-25 Reports of the Death of American Exceptionalism Are Greatly Exaggerated

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 3, 2025 46:27


    Is America's global leadership really fading? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn reveal the truth behind the “decline of American exceptionalism” narrative, and why the U.S. continues to lead in economic strength, innovation, and global influence. Today's show also features several bonus elements, including a recap of Mrs. Robert's trip to the Vegas Bitcoin Expo and convention robots; an exposition on the alleged death of American Exceptionalism, and a follow-up to the story of Mrs. Roberts' instant pickle recipe. Lance & Jonathan opine with chatroom participants about their first PC's, and Jonathan critiques a ChatGPT-created SWAN Portfolio. Parents have apparently failed an entire generation, if a survey of Google search terms is to be believed; Lance and Jonathan expose homeowner "wilding" as reason enough for HOA's, and Lance closes with the promise of opportunity. And amore focused show tomorrow. SEG-1: Be Careful of Negative Narratives SEG-2a: Convention Robots SEG-2b: The Death of American Exceptionalism SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickles, Pt-2 SEG-3b: First PC's & AI Multipliers SEG-3c: The SWAN Portfolio SEG-4a: Google Searches & Parental Failures SEG-4b: Wilding Homeowners SEG-4c: Opportunities are Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Beware of Anti-US Narratives ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5p7sa_q0rI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Buying Stocks is Always hard," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AmericanExceptionalism #USEconomicResilience #USGlobalLeadership #AmericasFuture #DebunkTheDecline #Dollar #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #ForeignCurrency #MoneyFlows #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #Innovation #ArtificialInetlligence #AI #BitCoin #Robots #SWANPortfolio #HomeOwnership #Wilding #HOA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    6-2-25 Why Buying Stocks is Always Hard

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2025 45:39


    Why does the stock market test our patience and nerve? Lance Roberts looks at the psychology of investing, how to master long-term strategies, and ways to navigate market volatility with confidence! Today is National Leave Work Early day...but before you do, make sure to tackle Lance's Monday Mandatory Reading list (links are provided below); Lance shares another tender moment from the Roberts' kitchen, and his essay on why buying stocks is hard any way you look at it (yet investors still do!) and a review of Ten Investing Rules to live and invest by. SEG-1a: National Leave Work Early Day SEG-1b: Wrapping Up May SEG-2: Monday Mandatory Reading List SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickle Recipe SEG-3b: Why Buying Stocks is Hard SEG-4: Ten Investing Rules for Navigating Volatile Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "6-2-25 Don't Get Greedy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClTgBtG0z3g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is This the Year for Your Roth Conversion?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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    5-30-25 Is This the Year for Your Roth Conversion?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 30, 2025 46:19


    Is 2025 the ideal time for a Roth conversion? RIchard Rosso considers future tax rates potentially on the rise and retirement goals in focus, and why converting to a Roth IRA could be a smart move. We'll break down the rules, potential tax implications, and key strategies to maximize your tax-free retirement income. Whether you're planning for retirement or looking to optimize your wealth, don't miss this essential guide to Roth conversions in 2025 and beyond! [NOTE: Due to technical issues, the missing first segment will be reposted in a separate clip.] SEG-1: Markets, Tariffs, & Corporate Concerns (The Lost Segment can be viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oCeEyCktR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ) SEG-2a: Young Interns & '70's Crime Dramas SEG-2b: Dealing with Decumulation SEG-3: The Problem of Under-spending in Retirement SEG-4: PCE Preview & Needed Tweaks in Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w A&M University Intern, Will Lewis Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction is Over," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Death of Narratives" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIl8rM1AW6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RothConversion #TaxFreeRetirement #RothIRA2025 #RetirementStrategies #TaxPlanning #MarketNarratives #SocialSecurity #RothIRA #Roth401k #PCE #Inflation #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-29-25 The Death of Narratives

    Play Episode Listen Later May 29, 2025 46:12


    President Trump's tariffs are being negated by Trade Courts, and markets feel inspired. Nvidia reports earnings, and is poised for a 6% gain today; we're still on the cusp of all that AI can do. Lance and Michael discuss the importance of recognizing and shutting out the narratives that distract investors; why we all seem to need a reason "why" things are as they are. Commentary on Nvidia's technology "moat;" comparisons to Apple's growth curve. How narratives matter (and do not); fundamentals are still long-term market drivers. The relationship between deficits and interest rates explored; beware of being too attached to any narrative. "The End of American Exceptionalism?" Don't you believe it. Consumer confidence...what is the Money Supply doing. SEG-1: Nvidia Earnings & Cusp of AI Growth SEG-2: Shifting Narratives & Reasons Why SEG-3: Fundamentals Drive Markets Long-term SEG-4: Why Tariffs are NOT Inflationary Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIl8rM1AW6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction is Over," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Nvidia Day!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorrectionOver #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MarketNarratives #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-28-25 Nvidia Day!

    Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2025 46:18


    It's “Nvidia Day!” The Big Dog in the Tall Grass for AI reports earnings after the closing bell today. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff delve into the anticipation surrounding Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, set to be released after today's market close. We'll explore market expectations, potential impacts on NVDA stock, and the broader implications for the AI and semiconductor sectors. Also a discussion about the inimitable Mrs. Roberts, and the profound changes AI is poised to wrought on global industries. Is the 4% Rule dead or just being updated? Lance bemoans the bots in our X and YouTube channels, and he and Danny review the changes afoot in advisors' recommendations for retirement savings drawdowns. SEG-1: EOM & Shifting Sentiment SEG-2a: Lance' Wife is Scary SEG-2b: Is AI the Next Leg of Industrial Revolution? SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment teaser SEG-3b: Death of the 4% Rule? SEG-4a: Twitter Bots & Chatrooms SEG-4b: Changing the 4% Rule Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is the Risk to Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KJCZut3qwU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Anchoring Problem & How to Solve It" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t41x9fsYv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NvidiaDay #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #AnchoringBias #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBiases #InvestmentPsychology #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-27-25 The Anchoring Problem & How to Solve It

    Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2025 46:18


    Discover the hidden influence of anchoring bias on investment decisions and learn actionable strategies to overcome it. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn share behavioral finance concepts and provide practical solutions for navigating cognitive pitfalls in today's markets. Lance and Jon examine the literal ramifications of anchoring (example: real estate prices); why headlines are to be avoided; Lance's Calculus anecdote; secrets clients don't tell advisors. Lance provides a Nvidia Earnings Preview and a look at building AI factories; how deficit trajectories can be changed by higher industrial output; how much money is lost in corrections; what is your time frame for savings. SEG-1: Waiting on Nvidia SEG-2: Solving the Challenge of Anchoring SEG-3: Headlines are Meaningless SEG-4: Changing the Trajectory of Deficits Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t41x9fsYv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Today's the Day to Reduce Risk," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gbbRIpFRqE ------- Our previous show is here: "Are There Warts on The One Big Beautiful Bill?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLSBdKV-eO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=152s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #AnchoringBias #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBiases #InvestmentPsychology #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-23-25 Are There Warts on The One Big Beautiful Bill?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2025 46:16


    Are there hidden flaws in the One Big Beautiful Spending Bill? Danny Ratliff & Jonathan Penn expose what they're not telling you, diving into the fine print of the 2025 federal spending bill. Is it as beautiful as they claim—or are there costly warts hidden beneath the surface? Danny & Jon break down the economic risks inherent in the politics and pork. SEG-1: Will Investors Pause for Memorial Day Weekend? SEG-2: Wart on the One Big Beautiful Bill SEG-3: Advice for the Class of 2025, Pt 1 SEG-4a: Advice for the Class of 2025, Pt 2 SEG-4b: Is Now the Time to Add Bonds? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: ------- Articles mention in this show: "Death Of The Dollar: An Eternal Tale" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/death-of-the-dollar-an-eternal-tale/ "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pullback We Needed ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bonds Are Cheap?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SpendingBill2025 #DebtAndDeficits #FiscalPolicyWatch #EconomicRealityCheck #LegislativeImpact #Bitcoincash #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #BondMarket #InvestingInBonds #FixedIncome #InterestRates2025 #MarketOutlook #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-22-25 Bonds Are Cheap?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2025 46:14


    Are bonds cheap? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss whether or not bonds are a good buy now, with a composite bond market outlook, and the relationship of interest rates and bond prices. SEG-1: Hurricane Season & Market Pullback SEG-2: Bond Auction Reality - What did the dealers do? SEG-3: Debunking the Narratives & Bad, Scary Charts SEG-4: Why Bonds Are a Good Buy Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Death Of The Dollar: An Eternal Tale" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/death-of-the-dollar-an-eternal-tale/ "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pullback We Needed ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Has the Correction Started?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD_sgSpa4Go&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #BondMarket #InvestingInBonds #FixedIncome #InterestRates2025 #MarketOutlook #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-21-25 Has the Correction Started?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2025 46:15


    Is this the beginning of a market correction—or just a healthy pullback? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down recent volatility, key technical signals, and what smart investors should be watching right now; a review of Target & WalMart's earnings reports. Lance rebuts claims by Fisher Investments that stock buy backs do not affect markets. Convincingly. A review of Jamie Dimon's market complacency warnings, and Lance and Danny discuss on line shopping pro's and con's. Danny backs into a preview of our upcoming Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop, how to build and grow wealth, and how Lance plans to distribute his inheritance to his kids. SEG-1: A Retail Tale of Have's & Have-nots SEG-2: Is This the Start of a Correction? SEG-3a: The Buy Back Factor in Markets SEG-3b: Jaime Dimon's Warning of Market Complacency SEG-3c: Retailers, Tariffs, & Online Shopping SEG-4a: Succession Planning for Boomers SEG-4b: Retirement Income Empowerment preview SEG-4c: The First Step to Building Wealth & Self Preservation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD_sgSpa4Go&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Market Sectors Are Telling Us," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsVVT2IzJuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Markets Too Complacent?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicCommentary #BasicMaterials #Communications #Utilities #Transportation #Energy #AI #RealEstate #MarketCorrection #StockMarket2025 #InvestorInsights #BearMarketWatch #RiskManagement #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-20-25 Are Markets Too Complacent?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2025 46:15


    Are investors dangerously ignoring risk? Despite signs of slowing economic growth, elevated valuations, and geopolitical uncertainty, markets continue to trend higher with remarkably low volatility. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn address whether or not markets too complacent, remembering wedding anniversaries, and whether the ratings agencies are to be believed: Why even rate Treasuries at all? A look at bad headlines (If it bleeds, it leads), and whether now is a terrible time to retire; the reality that markets don't really care about anything but forward earnings guidance. We'll explore why investor sentiment appears disconnected from fundamentals, what past periods of complacency have taught us, and how to identify the early warning signs of risk being mispriced. If you're concerned about market bubbles, overconfidence, or “this time is different” thinking, this episode offers important context — and caution. SEG-1: Moody Downgrade, CBO Projections, & Buy the Dip SEG-2a: Happy Anniversary - Tomorrow SEG-2b: Why Have Ratings on Treasuries? SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment tease (registration link below) SEG-3b: Bad Headlines, Retirement Timing, & AC/DC-Squirrel! SEG-4: All Markets Care About is Forward Earnings Guidance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s ------- Articles mention in this show: "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Patience, Grasshopper," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEQXlux8Yfg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UP8yVn_65v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorPatience #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #RetirementPlanning #RetireSmart #InflationAndRetirement #FinancialFreedom #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    5-19-25 Moody's Debt Downgrade - Does It Matter

    Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2025 46:14


    What does a lower credit rating mean for investors, interest rates, and the broader economy? Lance Roberts examines the implications of Moody's recent U.S. debt downgrade, historical precedents, market reactions, and potential consequences for fiscal policy and the bond market.

    5-16-25 Tax-free Social Security - Dream or Deception?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2025 45:43


    What if your Social Security benefits were no longer taxed? A new bill in Congress could make that happen — but is it real policy or just political posturing? Richard Rosso unpacks the proposal to eliminate federal income tax on Social Security, what it could mean for retirees, and the fiscal reality behind the promise.

    5-15-25 What Is Up With Yields Now

    Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2025 45:46


    Are rising yields a warning sign, or are they reflecting renewed economic strength? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz dive into the latest movements in bond yields and what they signal for markets, the Fed, and your portfolio. Lance and Mike analyze the shape of the yield curve, interest rate forecasts, and what it all means for investors in 2025: * Why the 10-year Treasury yield is making headlines * Is the inverted yield curve still relevant? * What to watch from the Fed and inflation data * How bond market signals impact equity prices Stay informed. Stay ahead. ➤ Subscribe for more market insight and financial commentary. SEG-1: If You Don't Raise Cash, You Can't Buy the Dip SEG-2: Inflation Continues to Modulate Lower SEG-3: Markets Are Driven by Trading Dynamics SEG-4: The Problem with the Buffett Indicator Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkCQucjucCo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Wealth Effect Is Not Always Virtuous" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-wealth-effect-is-not-always-virtuous/ "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is the Time to Not Be Greedy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdJgbyS_PkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Equity Chase is On" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondYields #InterestRates #YieldCurve #MarketUpdate #TreasuryYields #MarketRally InvestorGreed #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #StockMarket2025 #StockMarketRally #EquityOutlook #BullMarket2025 #InvestmentStrategy #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays#MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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    5-14-25 The Equity Chase is On

    Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2025 45:44


    As markets climb higher, investors are rushing back into stocks. But is the chase for equity returns grounded in fundamentals—or just FOMO? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff dive into the sudden surge in equity markets and the renewed appetite for risk. Is this rally sustainable—or are investors simply chasing performance at the top? What's fueling the stock market rally in 2025, how is sentiment shifting, and why chasing returns in bull markets can be dangerous without a disciplined investment strategy. Lance & Danny also explore portfolio positioning and risk management tips that can help you stay grounded amid the hype. How to get back into the market? Is a bid to offer 4 X leverage for retirement accounts a good idea? What changes our thesis about Bonds? Whether you're managing your own money or working with an advisor, now's the time to revisit your equity exposure and prepare for what comes next. SEG-1: Do We Sell in May & Go Away? SEG-2: How Do We Get Back In? SEG-3: 4 x Leverage for 401k? SEG-4: What Changes our Thesis on Bonds? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Turn Positive for the Year...barely" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dp2bd5BsGmE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Tariff-driven Volatility Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5U_4ulK_Pw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #StockMarket2025 #StockMarketRally #EquityOutlook #BullMarket2025 #InvestmentStrategy #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays#MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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    5-13-25 Is Tariff Volatility Over?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2025 45:46


    Tariffs rattled markets. Then… silence. Are we in the clear—or is another shock coming? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn tackle the question: Is Tariff Volatility Over? The reversal of tariffs is only a 90-day reprieve; markets are very over bought, and after Monday's rally are due for some pullback (sooner or later); be patient and bide your time before jumping into the fray. Lance and Jonathan discuss why contrarian investing is smart. Preview of today's inflation print; the danger of not doing proper research before investing: Know what you own. Wondering where to invest next? What do you use on an everyday basis? Watch now and subscribe for more real-world investing insight. SEG-1: This is Inflation Week SEG-2: Why Contrarian Investing is Important SEG-3: The Danger of Not Doing the Research SEG-4: The Importance of Understanding What You Own Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5U_4ulK_Pw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It Pays to Be Patient" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtbRbUJF0L8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Deal with a Bear Market Rally" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uTZmVaVMzpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays #TariffVolatility #GlobalMarkets #StockMarket2025 #TradeWarAftermath #RealInvestmentShow #MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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