Podcasts about real estate millionaires

In this episode, the host discusses the unexpected rise in the ten-year note and its impact on mortgage rates with guests Matt and Ty. They explore the reasons behind the rate hike, the potential consequences for the housing market, and strategies for investors to navigate this challenging environment. The conversation highlights the importance of understanding market dynamics, being prepared with the right financial tools, and the opportunities that a slow market can present for savvy investors. [00:00] Introduction and discussion on the unexpected rise of the ten-year note by 13 basis points and its implications for mortgage rates. [01:39] Analysis of the short-term increase in mortgage rates and its impact on the housing market, including higher rates leading to the need for lower offers to maintain returns. [02:33] The importance of understanding the difference between a list price reduction and getting a good deal, emphasizing the need to do the math and focus on great deals. [03:22] The current state of the housing market: longer days on market, price reductions, and the emergence of buyer concessions. [04:17] The opportunity for investors in a frozen housing market, with the potential to find motivated sellers and negotiate better deals. [05:05] The changing tone among buyers as the election approaches, leading to more hesitancy and potentially fewer transactions. [06:10] Insights from real estate agents on the disparity between high-demand properties and those that are sitting on the market. [07:32] Case study: a listing with 88 days on the market and three price reductions, highlighting the importance of identifying motivated sellers and considering creative financing options. [08:56] Ty's insights on the market positioning well for creative financing strategies and the opportunities that arise in the second half of the year. [10:29] Upcoming class on creative financing and investment strategies, including novations, seller financing, and lease options, to be held on July 7th. [11:09] Overview of recent sessions in the school community, including a mortgage session with Matt the Mortgage Guy, and the value of these educational resources for investors. [13:57] Announcement of a new reality TV-style series "Buying Vegas," premiering on July 4th, showcasing Michael and Olivia's journey in buy-and-hold investing. Convoy Home Loans: https://www.convoyhomeloans.com Matt the Mortgage Guy: https://www.greatmortgagebroker.com One Rental at a Time School: Educational resources and community for real estate investors. These show notes provide a comprehensive overview of the episode, highlighting the main discussion points and offering easy access to mentioned resources.

In this episode, the host addresses the misconceptions and inaccuracies often spread by those predicting a housing market crash, commonly referred to as "Crash Bros." The discussion covers the reasons behind the stickiness of home prices, the lessons learned from the Great Recession, and the current housing market dynamics. The host also provides actionable advice for investors looking to capitalize on opportunities in the second half of the year, emphasizing the importance of understanding the market, tracking inventory, and identifying motivated sellers. [00:00] Introduction to the seasonally slower housing market and the opportunities it presents for investors. [00:27] Critique of the "Crash Bros" and their misunderstanding of the housing market's timing and dynamics. [01:19] The importance of historical context in understanding potential housing market declines. [02:17] Explanation of price elasticity in the housing market and how it differs from stocks and crypto. [03:22] Lessons learned from the Great Recession and how financial institutions have adapted to avoid mass foreclosures. [05:21] The timeline of potential market pain and why a significant crash would take years to develop. [06:50] Advice on tracking inventory and price reductions to identify motivated sellers in your buy box. [09:25] The concept of "fake inventory" and its impact on market perceptions. [10:24] The host's excitement about the opportunities in the housing market for the second half of 2024. [11:09] The importance of knowing your numbers and focusing on yield rather than just price reductions. [11:30] Promotion of the accountability group sessions and the benefits of joining the school community. [13:18] Discussion on the unexpected rise in the ten-year note and its potential implications for the housing market. [14:04] Insights from a Bank of America survey on where different age groups are keeping their wealth. [15:37] Update on Roaring Kitty's recent activities and investments. [16:25] Upcoming sessions in the school community with Henry Washington and Lance Lambert. One Rental at a Time School: Educational resources and community for real estate investors. Accountability Group Sessions: Regular meetings to help investors stay on track and motivated. Upcoming Sessions with Experts: Opportunities to learn from Henry Washington and Lance Lambert. These show notes provide a comprehensive overview of the episode, highlighting the main discussion points and offering easy access to mentioned resources.

In this episode, the host discusses the current state of the housing and real estate markets with Dustin from Convoy Home Loans. They explore recent trends in mortgage rates, consumer behavior, and the impact of the upcoming election on the housing market. The conversation also highlights the potential opportunities for investors in the current slow market and offers insights into creative financing strategies. [00:00] Introduction and overview of the discussion with Dustin from Convoy Home Loans. [00:41] Recent trends in mortgage rates and their impact on consumer behavior and mortgage applications. [02:29] The importance of the 6.7% mortgage rate as a key threshold to unlock significant demand. [04:08] Speculations on potential rate cuts and the impact of the upcoming election on the housing market. [06:32] Discussion on the potential slowdown in real estate transactions due to the election cycle and consumer hesitancy. [07:39] Analysis of pending home sales and new home sales data, highlighting the current market conditions. [09:08] The three factors affecting affordability: rates, income, and home prices, and their current status. [10:16] The host's excitement about the next five months for real estate investors, emphasizing the opportunities in a slow market. [11:17] Insights into investor strategies, including refinancing and holding properties as rentals instead of selling. [12:50] Predictions on inventory levels and the potential for inventory rollovers due to lack of interest in current listings. [13:36] Encouragement for first-time homebuyers to get creative with offers, including seller credits and seller financing. Convoy Home Loans: https://www.convoyhomeloans.com Dustin from Convoy Home Loans: Mention you came from the podcast for personalized service. These show notes provide a comprehensive overview of the episode, highlighting the main discussion points and offering easy access to mentioned resources.

In this episode, the host discusses the shift in the housing market towards a buyer's market, focusing on key indicators such as inventory levels and price changes. The discussion includes a detailed analysis of Manhattan's housing market, insights from Altos Research, and updates from notable figures like Jerome Powell and Barry Sternlicht. Listeners will gain a deeper understanding of the current housing market dynamics and what it means for buyers and sellers. [00:00] Introduction and overview of the topics including the JOLTS report, inventory updates from Altos Research, and insights from Jerome Powell's speech in Europe. [00:51] Discussion on Manhattan's housing market, highlighting the shift to a buyer's market with inventory levels above the ten-year average and 9.8 months of supply. [02:50] Analysis of average and median prices in Manhattan, showing a 3% decline in average prices and a 2% decline in median prices. [03:59] Examination of the luxury market in Manhattan, with inventory up 22% and prices down 11%, highlighting the bifurcated market dynamics. [05:38] Insight into the high percentage of cash transactions (62%) in Manhattan and the impact of this trend on the market. [07:02] Importance of understanding your buy box, inventory levels, and market trends to find and create great deals in the slowing market. [08:48] Upcoming events and sessions for the community, including live streams and special classes on creative financing and the economy. [10:16] Discussion on Altos Research data, indicating that new listing data has peaked and the impact of wish pricing on active inventory. [11:41] Analysis of a significant discount on an LA office tower, discussing the implications for lenders and the commercial real estate market. [13:09] Encouragement for home builders to construct smaller homes, with data showing a decrease in the size of newly constructed homes. [14:39] Insights from Jerome Powell's speech in Europe and its implications for future rate cuts, with a 70% chance of a cut in September. [17:14] Discussion on Barry Sternlicht selling a portfolio of multifamily properties to Brookfield for $1.6 billion, and what this indicates about the multifamily market. [19:18] Preview of the upcoming jobs reports, including the JOLTS report, ADP report, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics report, with insights into job market trends. Altos Research: Weekly data on housing market trends. Logan Mohtashami: Housing market insights. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Upcoming jobs report. Life Goal Investments: Find more insights from Taylor at https://lifegoalinvestments.com. These show notes provide a comprehensive overview of the episode, highlighting the main discussion points and offering easy access to mentioned resources.

In this episode, the hosts dive into the claims made by Reventure Consulting about an impending housing market crash. With insights from Taylor from Life Goal Investments, the conversation covers inventory levels, the impact of investor behavior, and the current state of the housing market. They scrutinize the data presented by Reventure Consulting and provide a balanced perspective on the situation. Tune in for an enlightening discussion filled with expert analysis and practical advice for real estate investors. [00:00] Introduction and overview of Reventure Consulting's bearish stance on the housing market. [01:29] Taylor discusses the increase in inventory levels in various states and its implications. [04:23] Analysis of Florida's housing market and the factors contributing to its inventory issues. [06:09] Comparison of current inventory levels to 2019, highlighting the importance of historical context. [07:32] Discussion on the bifurcation in the housing market between luxury and entry-level homes. [11:02] Examination of Texas and Arizona's housing markets and the impact of insurance and property taxes. [12:19] The role of iBuyers in the current market and their impact on inventory levels. [14:55] Discussion on the difference between "want to sell" and "need to sell" listings and their effect on the market. [16:53] Seasonal trends in housing inventory and the expected changes in the coming months. [18:17] Critique of Reventure Consulting's methodology and the potential harm caused by spreading fear. Life Goal Investments: Find more insights from Taylor at https://lifegoalinvestments.com Reventure Consulting: Not explicitly mentioned by URL, but discussed extensively in the episode. These show notes provide a comprehensive overview of the episode, highlighting the main discussion points and offering easy access to mentioned resources.

In this episode, the host discusses recent developments in the housing market, inflation trends, and the aftermath of the latest political debate. The conversation covers key economic indicators, insights from industry experts, and predictions for the future of the housing market. Listeners will gain valuable information on market trends, potential risks, and strategies for building wealth in the current economic climate. [00:00] Introduction to the topics: housing, inflation, and the recent political debate. [01:08] Host's opinion on the political debate and its impact on the American public. [02:27] Overview of inflation data with a focus on the PCE reading and its implications for future rate cuts. [03:24] Discussion on Nike's earnings announcement and its significance for the market. [04:25] Quote from Jaspreet Singh on wealth-building strategies and the importance of buying assets. [05:24] Analysis of the US housing market's outlook, with Bank of America's prediction that it will remain stuck until at least 2026. [06:57] Identification of 15 housing markets at risk of correction, with 13 of them in Florida. [07:26] Jay Parsons' tweet on the significant increase in homeownership compared to renting over the past eight years. [09:08] Importance of building smaller homes and the impact on the housing market. [10:16] Insights from Altos Research on active listings and the potential for inventory rollovers. [11:13] Discussion on the impact of 7% mortgage rates and the expected market response when rates dip below 6.7%. [12:08] Celebration of the channel reaching 60,000 subscribers and announcement of a live Q&A session. [13:34] Overview of the upcoming week's economic events, including the ISM manufacturing report, JOLTS report, and ADP jobs numbers. [14:46] Announcement of a new series, "Buying Vegas," with the first episode releasing on July 4th. [15:39] Preview of the upcoming jobs report and its importance for the market. [16:00] Information on upcoming live sessions and accountability groups in the school community. Bank of America: Prediction on the US housing market. Parcel Labs: Identification of housing markets at risk. Jay Parsons: Tweet on homeownership and renting trends. Altos Research: Insights on active listings. Jaspreet Singh: Wealth-building strategies. These show notes provide a comprehensive overview of the episode, highlighting the main discussion points and offering easy access to mentioned resources.

In today's episode, we provide a mid-week update on the stock market as we approach the end of the quarter. We discuss the typical rebalancing actions of mutual funds and hedge funds, their impact on the market, and review key indicators and trends to watch. We also delve into the performance of notable stocks like Nvidia and Micron, and analyze the potential bullish period ahead. This episode offers valuable insights for investors on how to navigate the end-of-quarter market dynamics. [00:00] Introduction and overview of end-of-quarter market dynamics. [01:13] Explanation of Max Payne's impact on Nvidia and other stocks. [02:49] Analysis of Nvidia's performance and market indicators. [03:34] Historical data on market performance from June 26th to July 12th. [05:09] Micron's earnings report and its impact on the semiconductor sector. [07:27] Overview of semiconductor sector performance and future predictions. [09:11] Trends in aggressive and defensive market sectors. [11:09] Insights on trading strategies using short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends. [12:20] Discussion on Bitcoin and its recent market behavior. [16:08] Analysis of major stock indices: S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow. [17:07] Overview of the discretionary vs. staples sector performance. Breakpoint Trading Website: https://breakpointtrading.net Free Newsletter Subscription: https://breakpointtrading.net/newsletter Stock Traders Almanac: https://www.stocktradersalmanac.com Jay Parsons on Twitter: https://twitter.com/jayparsons If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay connected for more market insights and updates as we navigate the end-of-quarter dynamics. Thanks for tuning in, and good luck with your trading!

In this episode, the hosts discuss the recent news about President Biden stepping down and its potential impacts on the stock market. They explore historical precedents, analyze current economic indicators such as inflation and unemployment rates, and provide insights into future market movements. The conversation also covers the Federal Reserve's potential actions and the overall market sentiment. Tune in for an in-depth discussion with expert analysis and predictions. [00:00] Introduction and market overview, discussing recent market trends and key economic indicators. [01:29] Inflation insights, analysis of recent inflation data, and its implications for the economy. [04:16] Unemployment trends, predictions on upcoming unemployment rates, and their potential impact on the market. [06:10] Federal Reserve's actions, speculations on the Fed's future rate cuts and their timing. [14:01] Historical context: LBJ's 1968 decision, comparison of Biden's situation to LBJ's decision in 1968 and its market effects. [17:11] Market reaction to political changes, historical analysis of market reactions to significant political events. [27:02] Sector performance analysis, review of recent sector performances and what it indicates about market trends. [29:54] Stock market sentiment, discussion on current market sentiment and potential corrections. [31:32] Investment strategies and recommendations, advice on investment strategies given the current market conditions. [33:34] Upcoming sessions and resources, information on upcoming webinars and how to access additional resources. Breakpoint Trading Newsletter: https://breakpointtrading.net Stock Traders Almanac: Reference for historical market data and trends. Think Media: Shout out to Sean Cannell for media strategies. Upcoming Zoom Call: Details for subscribers on the next open mic session after the Fourth of July.

In this episode, we tackle the burning question: how can we accelerate our journey to financial freedom? I sit down with Diane and Matt to reflect on our personal experiences and share practical strategies that could have shaved years off our paths to wealth. We discuss the importance of aggressive investing, the power of networking, and some often overlooked techniques like house hacking and the binder strategy. Whether you're just starting out or looking to speed up your progress, this episode is packed with actionable advice to help you reach your financial goals faster. [00:00] Introduction and overview of the topic: accelerating the path to financial freedom. [00:41] Discussion on whether speed matters in the journey to wealth. [01:37] Diane shares her insights on investing aggressively and the misconception of a "quick" ten years. [02:14] The benefits of house hacking and its impact on accelerating financial freedom. [04:37] Matt reflects on the importance of pacing investments and leveraging capital efficiently. [06:27] The value of networking and learning from others to avoid common mistakes. [08:33] How social connections and being in the right environment can significantly impact your investment journey. [11:22] Diane explains the binder method for increasing rents effectively. [12:12] The necessity of self-managing properties or ensuring property managers implement effective strategies. [17:12] Diane offers a hands-on binder method tutorial in the school community for better rent management. [20:32] The role of education and informed decision-making in speeding up financial success. Diane's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/Diane Matt's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/LumberjackLandlord The Purple Book (Rich Dad, Poor Dad): https://www.amazon.com/Rich-Dad-Poor-Teach-Middle/dp/1612680194 One Rental at a Time Book: https://www.amazon.com/One-Rental-Time-Financial-Independence/dp/1798275338 If you found this episode helpful, don't forget to rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay connected with us for more tips and insights on achieving financial freedom faster. Thanks for tuning in!

In today's episode, we dive into the recent crash in new home sales and its implications for the housing market. We explore why new home sales dropped by 11.3% and the underlying factors contributing to this decline. Additionally, we discuss the potential impact of rising interest rates on the market and what the future might hold for both large and small builders. This episode provides a comprehensive analysis of current market trends, valuable insights for investors, and the importance of staying informed and connected within the real estate community. [00:00] Introduction to the episode and the significance of the 11.3% drop in new home sales. [00:34] Discussion on the slight decrease in new home prices by 0.9% and the factors influencing this. [01:22] Analysis of the significant miss in new home sales estimates and the role of interest rates. [02:21] Reflection on the prediction made a year ago about the impact of higher interest rates on small builders. [03:10] Examination of the consequences of reduced new home construction on the housing supply and prices. [04:04] The importance of building smaller, more affordable homes to address housing shortages. [04:36] Summary of the winners (big builders) and losers (small builders) in the current market. [05:22] Exciting updates about the school community and special guest appearances. [06:13] Overview of KKR's significant investment in real estate and what it signals for the market. [07:04] Discussion on recent earnings reports, mortgage applications, and market trends. 15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B094YRYF86 April Crossley: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMqA0-SYmS-6mpBMLy93HbA School Community: https://www.school.com If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay connected with us for more insights and updates on the housing market. We appreciate your support and look forward to reaching our milestone of 60,000 subscribers. Thanks for tuning in!

In today's episode of The Daily Financial News, we delve into the dynamics of the housing market with top 1% real estate agent Beth Travers. Beth shares her insights on the shifting landscape, emphasizing the importance of working with experienced agents, especially in a less robust market. We discuss the current state of the Seattle and King County markets, the phenomenon of homes either selling quickly with multiple offers or sitting idle, and the implications of the recent NAR settlement on buyer's agents. This episode is packed with valuable information for both buyers and sellers navigating these uncertain times. [00:00] Introduction to Beth Travers, a top 1% real estate agent responsible for a significant portion of transactions. [00:24] Beth discusses the increasing market share of top agents in a less robust market. [01:47] Current market conditions in Seattle and King County, including the split market phenomenon. [02:33] Example of a house in Shoreline receiving 13 offers and selling for 20% over the list price. [03:23] Strategies for pricing and marketing unique properties. [05:03] Insights into inventory levels and market seasonality. [07:03] Discussion on who wants to sell versus who needs to sell and potential market implications. [11:03] Beth's experience with sellers who need to sell due to personal circumstances like divorce or moving out of state. [12:06] Impact of the NAR settlement on buyer's agents and market transparency. [19:12] The importance of open houses in the current market environment. [21:07] VA's quick adaptation to the NAR settlement, ensuring veterans aren't adversely affected. Beth Travers' website: BethSchreiberGroup.com If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay tuned for more insights on the housing market and financial news. Thank you for listening!

In this episode, we delve into the current state of the housing market and how the upcoming presidential election could influence it. Michael Zuber joins us to discuss the implications of high interest rates on home sales, the Fed's future actions, and the potential for creative financing in a slow market. We also touch on the latest economic data, including the Case-Shiller index and pending home sales. Additionally, we announce exciting new content and opportunities for our community. [00:00] - Introduction to the Friday financial report with Michael Zuber. [00:21] - Discussion on the presidential debate and its potential impact on the market. [03:38] - Examination of Fed policy and interest rates over the next four years. [06:50] - Importance of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) core reading. [08:50] - Summary of recent Fed speeches and their hawkish stance. [11:38] - Analysis of the Case-Shiller index and its relevance. [13:38] - Projections from Redfin and Zillow about home price trends. [14:32] - Insights on new home sales and the challenges faced by smaller builders. [15:47] - Impact of high interest rates on existing home sales and pending home sales. [17:10] - Discussion on inventory levels and opportunities for investors. One Rental at a Time - onerentalatatime.com Great Mortgage Broker - greatmortgagebroker.com Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and share our podcast. Your support helps us reach more listeners and continue bringing you valuable insights. Don't forget to join our community on the One Rental at a Time website and participate in our upcoming sessions. See you next time!

In this episode, I sit down with Matt, the mortgage guy, to discuss how the upcoming presidential election is impacting the real estate market. With the election heating up, many potential buyers are adopting a wait-and-see approach, leading to a noticeable slowdown in housing transactions. We delve into why this might be happening, the potential opportunities for investors during this period, and the strategies buyers and sellers can adopt to navigate these uncertain times. Matt also shares valuable insights into creative financing options and the importance of understanding market dynamics. [00:00] - Introduction to the impact of the presidential election on the housing market. [00:36] - Discussion on the current slowdown in mortgage applications despite low rates. [02:18] - Uncertainty surrounding the election and its effect on buyer confidence. [03:43] - Personal reflections on the benefits of a slower housing market. [04:31] - Opportunities for investors in a slowing market. [06:19] - Creative financing strategies and examples of recent deals. [07:00] - The importance of explaining financing options to sellers. [08:42] - Insights on past market conditions and the current buyer's market. [09:57] - Preview of the upcoming Friday session on mortgage questions and financing. [12:20] - Closing remarks and how to connect with Matt for mortgage advice. Great Mortgage Broker - greatmortgagebroker.com Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and share our podcast. Your support helps us reach more listeners and continue bringing you valuable insights. Don't forget to join our community and participate in the next Friday session for more expert advice from Matt. See you next time!

In this episode, we share highlights from Meet Kevin's event where Ben Mallah discussed the impending real estate crash, emphasizing the impact of variable rate debt and the potential for significant opportunities in the next 6 to 18 months. We also cover insights from Michael's fireside chat with Meet Kevin, focusing on the importance of real estate investing as a skill and the power of a focused buy box. Additionally, we delve into the latest housing market statistics, expert predictions, and upcoming events in the One Rental at a Time community. Tune in to get a comprehensive view of the current real estate landscape and actionable advice for investors. [00:00] - Introduction to the episode and highlights from Meet Kevin's event featuring Ben Mallah. [00:57] - Ben Mallah's insights on variable rate debt, bank failures, and the extend and pretend strategy. [02:20] - Discussion on Michael's fireside chat with Meet Kevin and the importance of real estate investing as a skill. [03:57] - Comparison between the Great Financial Crisis and the current situation in the commercial real estate market. [05:21] - The necessity of networking and being in the right rooms for real estate success. [07:01] - Overview of upcoming events in the One Rental at a Time school community. [07:59] - KB Homes' recent earnings report and the performance of entry-level home builders. [08:59] - Grant Cardone's opinion on lowering mortgage rates to 4% and its potential impact on the housing market. [09:49] - Statistics on housing markets returning to pre-pandemic levels and the importance of tracking local markets. [10:15] - Discussion on the housing shortage, particularly the need for entry-level homes, and contrasting expert estimates. One Rental at a Time: Website Join the School Community: School Community Follow Michael Zuber: YouTube, Instagram, Twitter Thank you for joining us for this insightful episode. If you found the discussion valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay tuned for more expert insights and updates on the evolving real estate market. Join the One Rental at a Time school community for in-depth discussions and networking opportunities with industry leaders.

In this episode, we discuss the emotional and mental challenges of the real estate market over the past three years. The hosts share their personal experiences, reflecting on the impact of fluctuating market conditions, misleading information from so-called gurus, and the resilience required to stay in the game. They emphasize the importance of a focused approach, the significance of long-term goals, and the need for a supportive community. Tune in for insights on navigating the complexities of real estate investing and maintaining motivation during tough times. [00:00] - Introduction to the episode and the weirdness of the last three years in real estate. [00:35] - Reflecting on the emotional and mental challenges of the market. [01:19] - The impact of misleading information from real estate gurus. [02:17] - The importance of staying optimistic and doing the work. [03:06] - Comparing the last three years to the 2007-2008 market crash. [04:17] - The significance of having a focused buy box and daily discipline. [05:28] - Reflecting on Russell Brunson's question about personal and professional goals. [07:01] - The importance of having personal goals alongside professional ones. [09:35] - Discussion on never quitting real estate and future plans. [11:01] - The value of networking and building relationships in the real estate community. One Rental at a Time: Website Join the School Community: School Community Follow Michael Zuber: YouTube, Instagram, Twitter Thank you for joining us in this episode. If you found our discussion insightful, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay connected for more expert advice and strategies to navigate the real estate market. Join the One Rental at a Time school community for more in-depth discussions and networking opportunities with industry leaders.

In this episode, we share a comprehensive presentation on real estate investing that was initially prepared for Meet Kevin's Millionaire Summit. The presentation covers the essential steps to becoming a successful real estate investor, busting common myths, and exploring upcoming opportunities in the market. We delve into the importance of having a focused buy box, the value of daily discipline, and why the journey to wealth requires patience and dedication. Tune in to learn from Michael's extensive experience and actionable advice for navigating the real estate landscape. [00:00] - Introduction to the presentation and goals for the talk. [00:48] - Overview of the real estate market opportunities, especially in small commercial properties. [02:56] - Michael's personal story and journey in real estate investing starting in 2002. [05:14] - Five key real estate beliefs, including the importance of daily discipline and learning the market. [09:57] - Common reasons why most people fail in real estate investing. [12:54] - The importance of a focused buy box and daily monitoring of the market. [16:22] - Steps to identify and execute great deals based on market averages. [18:08] - Strategies for growing your real estate portfolio over time. [20:23] - Seven rules for successful real estate investing. [25:14] - Addressing and debunking common real estate myths. One Rental at a Time: YouTube Channel One Rental at a Time Book: Amazon | Audible 15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires: Amazon Join the School Community: School Community Thank you for tuning in to this insightful presentation. If you found the information valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay connected for more expert advice and strategies on real estate investing. Remember, wealth is built one rental at a time with patience and discipline.

In this episode, we delve into the ongoing housing market crash, focusing on the latest data on existing home sales and inventory levels. We discuss the significant drop in transactions, rising home prices, and the broader implications for the real estate market. Additionally, we cover expert predictions for housing trends in 2025, insights from leading economists, and upcoming speakers and events in the One Rental at a Time school community. Join us to stay informed on the current state and future outlook of the housing market. [00:00] - Introduction and overview of the episode's topics. [00:25] - Existing home sales report: third worst month in 30 years, transactions down, and inventory up. [02:23] - Analysis of inventory growth, particularly in Texas and Florida. [03:28] - Discussion on rising home prices and the broken state of the housing market. [04:51] - Lawrence Yun's incorrect predictions and the long-term outlook for home sales. [06:16] - Breakdown of cash sales and first-time home buyer statistics. [07:18] - Mark Zandi's recession warning and predictions for economic slowdown. [08:56] - Overview of upcoming speakers in the One Rental at a Time school community. [09:58] - Upcoming economic data and events to watch next week, including Fed speeches and Case-Shiller report. [13:24] - Discussion on how lowering interest rates could impact housing prices and supply. One Rental at a Time: Website 54-Year Spreadsheet: Download from One Rental at a Time Join the School Community: School Community Follow Michael Zuber: YouTube, Instagram, Twitter Thank you for tuning in to this detailed analysis of the housing market. If you found the information valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay connected for more expert insights and updates on the ever-evolving real estate landscape. Join the One Rental at a Time school community for more in-depth discussions and networking opportunities with industry leaders.

In this episode, Matt the Lumberjack Landlord and Dion take over while Mike is on vacation to discuss the gritty realities of managing rental properties. From dealing with evictions and abandoned pets to navigating tenant issues and maintenance challenges, they share personal experiences and practical advice for landlords. They emphasize the importance of self-management, having contingency plans, and learning from past mistakes to streamline property management. Tune in to hear their stories and strategies for making the financial journey in real estate a bit smoother. [00:00] - Introduction to the episode and overview of the topics: tenants, termites, and toilets. [00:20] - Diane's preference for self-management and the reasons behind it. [01:58] - Recent eviction experience and handling abandoned pets. [03:36] - Importance of knowing state and local laws regarding tenant abandonment. [04:52] - Dealing with tenants who leave pets and the role of law enforcement. [05:59] - Addressing tenant education and setting clear expectations. [07:58] - Planning for property damages and the importance of immediate action. [09:39] - The math of time: Why allowing late rent payments can set tenants up for failure. [11:17] - Differences between real estate investing and ownership in terms of effort and involvement. [13:46] - Lessons learned from bad tenant decisions and the value of a structured approach. Matt the Lumberjack Landlord on Instagram: Lumberjack Landlord Dion Talk Financial Freedom: Dion Talk Join the School Community: One Rental at a Time Thanks for joining us in this insightful episode. If you enjoyed our discussion, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay tuned for more practical advice and stories from the trenches of real estate investing.

In this episode, we explore the surprising new data on home prices, which have continued to rise despite expectations of a market downturn. We discuss the latest Case-Shiller report showing record highs, analyze the weekly inventory numbers from Altus Research, and delve into the Fed's stance on interest rates. Additionally, we touch on consumer confidence, economic trends, and the curious concept of a "vibe session." Tune in to get a comprehensive overview of the current real estate market and economic landscape. [00:00] - Introduction to the episode and overview of topics including home prices and Altus Research. [00:27] - Case-Shiller report reveals record-high home prices in April, with a 6.3% national increase. [01:30] - Analysis of weekly inventory numbers and trends from Altus Research. [02:28] - Discussion on the rise of price cuts and the slowing growth of inventory. [03:14] - Impact of older listings expiring and being taken off the market. [04:25] - Fed President Michelle Bowman's remarks on potential interest rate hikes. [05:33] - Earnings reports: Carnival Cruise Lines' record performance and Airbus cutting its 2024 guidance. [07:17] - Explanation of the "vibe session" concept and its implications for consumer sentiment. [08:41] - Consumer concerns about inflation and the average credit card rate reaching 21%. [09:31] - Consumer confidence data and insights from Bank of America on real estate transactions. Altus Research: For weekly real estate inventory updates. Case-Shiller Home Price Index: S&P Dow Jones Indices TransUnion Report on Consumer Concerns: TransUnion Bank of America Real Estate Analysis: Download the 54-year spreadsheet from One Rental at a Time. Thank you for joining us in this episode. If you enjoyed the insights shared, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay tuned for more updates and expert analyses on the real estate market and broader economic trends.

In this episode, we dive deep into the current shifts in the housing market. Our hosts discuss the increasing days on market for homes, how wishful pricing is affecting sales, and the emerging opportunities for buyers as the market trends towards normalcy. We also explore the dynamics of mortgage applications, the impact of higher insurance premiums in California, and practical advice for buyers navigating these changes. Tune in to hear our experts share their insights and predictions for the future of real estate. [00:00] - Introduction and catching up on the real estate market after some time off in New York. [00:38] - Discussion on current market trends: increasing days on market and the necessity for competitive pricing. [02:07] - Experiences with offers on properties: the rise of "disrespectful" offers and seller reactions. [03:12] - The seasonal slowdown and the strategy shift for buyers, including the importance of making money when you buy. [04:34] - Insight into mortgage applications and open house observations indicating a softer market. [06:05] - The importance of working with professionals and paying attention to market details. [06:09] - Update on the California insurance market: higher renewal offers and the availability of more companies. [08:05] - Advice on evaluating insurance policies and the significance of extended replacement cost coverage. [11:07] - Contact information for mortgage pre-approvals and the benefits of early financial planning. [12:01] - Upcoming events: live school sessions on mortgage details and creative financing. Contact Elaine for insurance advice: (559) 696-9196 or Elaine at Fast Savings (email: elaine@fastsavings.com). Great Mortgage Broker: GreatMortgageBroker.com for pre-approvals and mortgage advice. Join the School Community for live sessions: School Community. Thank you for joining us in this insightful episode. If you enjoyed the discussion, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay tuned for more updates and expert advice on navigating the ever-changing real estate market.

In this episode, we discuss Danielle DiMartino Booth's bold prediction that the recession will be backdated to October 2023. We delve into the implications of being nine months into what she predicts to be an eleven-month recession, the recent global interest rate cuts, and the dynamics of the current housing market. We also examine recent economic indicators like mortgage applications, unemployment rates, and consumer behavior, particularly in the context of potential deflationary trends in car sales. Join us as we unpack these complex topics and their potential impact on the economy. [00:00] - Introduction and Danielle DiMartino Booth's recession prediction. [00:48] - The significance of being nine months into a predicted eleven-month recession. [02:07] - Global interest rate cuts: Switzerland, ECB, Sweden, and potential Fed actions. [03:55] - Earnings reports: Darden Restaurants' revenue miss and Ruth's Chris Steakhouse acquisition. [05:13] - Weekly unemployment claims and their implications for the economy. [06:10] - Car prices and the potential for a deflationary spiral in consumer behavior. [07:13] - Mortgage application trends and their significance for the housing market. [08:44] - Homebuilder confidence and housing starts data. [11:21] - Consumer spending and household net worth analysis. [13:33] - The importance of addressing supply issues in the housing market. Danielle DiMartino Booth: Fed Up Great Mortgage Broker: GreatMortgageBroker.com for pre-approvals and mortgage advice. Join the School Community for live sessions: School Community. Thank you for tuning in to this episode. If you found our discussion insightful, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay connected for more in-depth analyses and expert advice on navigating these challenging economic times.

In this episode, we dive into the current state of the housing market, emphasizing the importance of writing aggressive offers and understanding market dynamics like days on market and price reductions. We discuss notable examples, such as Derek Jeter's significant price cut on his luxury home, to illustrate the opportunities available in the market. Additionally, I share insights on global economic trends, millionaire migration patterns, and offer personal reflections on what would make the next three years successful both personally and professionally. [00:00:00] - Importance of Aggressive Offers in the Housing Market Emphasizing the need to write aggressive offers and understand key market indicators like inventory and days on market. [00:01:20] - Example of a Disrespectful Offer: Derek Jeter's Home Sale Discussing Derek Jeter's sale of his property at a 50% discount, highlighting the importance of identifying motivated sellers. [00:02:30] - Benefits of a Slowing Market Explaining why a slowing housing market can be advantageous for both real estate investors and home buyers. [00:04:17] - Community Updates: Sessions with Dion and Lumberjack Landlord Announcing upcoming sessions with Dion and the Lumberjack Landlord in the One Rental at a Time school community. [00:06:04] - UK Inflation and Potential Rate Cuts Analyzing recent inflation data from the UK and discussing the possibility of upcoming rate cuts. [00:07:26] - Millionaire Migration Trends Highlighting the Henley Private Wealth report on where millionaires are moving and which countries are losing high net worth individuals. [00:08:54] - Claudia Sahm's Warning to the Fed Sharing Claudia Sahm's caution about the Fed's risk in not gradually cutting rates. [00:09:33] - Juneteenth and Market Closures Recognizing Juneteenth and noting the closures of major markets and institutions in observance of the holiday. [00:09:54] - Home Price Reductions in Key Cities Reporting on recent home price reductions in San Antonio, Austin, and Tampa, and the role of increasing inventory. [00:10:36] - AvalonBay's Low Move-Out Rates Discussing AvalonBay's report of record low move-out rates among renters due to high unaffordability of buying homes. [00:11:01] - Personal and Professional Success in Three Years Reflecting on what would make the next three years successful for me both personally and professionally, including growing the school community and continuing to provide valuable content. One Rental at a Time Community - Join the community for support, networking, and access to expert sessions. Contact Information for Dion and Lumberjack Landlord - Available within the One Rental at a Time school community. If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Join the One Rental at a Time community to connect with like-minded individuals and take consistent action towards your real estate goals. Have an amazing day and keep pushing forward!

In this episode, we explore the latest housing market forecasts from Zillow and Redfin, with Zillow's forecast being 20% worse than Redfin's. We also discuss Neel Kashkari's comments on potential rate cuts and their implications for the housing market. Additionally, I share insights from Russell Brunson's thought-provoking question about personal and professional success over the next three years. We touch on key economic indicators and highlight upcoming events in the One Rental at a Time community. [00:00:00] - Introduction and East Coast Experience Sharing my experience on the East Coast and the early start to the day. [00:00:20] - Fed's Potential Rate Cuts and Economic Outlook Neel Kashkari's comments on possible rate cuts in December and the importance of upcoming unemployment claims data. [00:02:00] - Zillow vs. Redfin Housing Forecasts Analyzing Zillow's forecast, which predicts a 1.2% decline in home prices, 20% worse than Redfin's 1% decline prediction. [00:04:26] - Impact of Mortgage Rates and Fed Policy Discussing the potential effects of mortgage rate changes and Fed policies on the housing market. [00:05:14] - Thought-Provoking Quote from Russell Brunson Reflecting on Russell Brunson's question about what needs to happen personally and professionally in three years to feel happy with your progress. [00:07:02] - Historical Home Return Analysis Reviewing Reggie Club's analysis on the average five-year return on US homes since 1975 and the amplified returns with leverage. [00:08:05] - Housing as a Key Election Issue Considering the impact of housing affordability on the upcoming elections and whether millennials and Gen Z will turn out to vote. [00:09:32] - Empire State Manufacturing Survey Examining the latest data from the New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey and its implications for the economy. [00:10:28] - Community Updates: Sessions with Dion and Lumberjack Landlord Announcing upcoming sessions with Dion and the Lumberjack Landlord in the One Rental at a Time school community. [00:11:56] - Call for Accountability Group Leaders Encouraging school members to start accountability groups and network within the community. One Rental at a Time Community - Join the community for support, networking, and access to expert sessions. Contact Information for Dion and Lumberjack Landlord - Available within the One Rental at a Time school community. If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Reflect on what you need to achieve personally and professionally in the next three years and take action today. Join the One Rental at a Time community to connect with like-minded individuals and stay motivated. Have an amazing day!

In this episode, I give a special shout-out to all the fathers on Father's Day and dive into Tom Brady's inspiring Hall of Fame speech. Despite not being a Brady fan, I highlight the valuable life lessons he shared about hard work, consistency, and determination. We also look ahead to important economic data and Fed speeches expected next week, and discuss the current trends in the housing market, including slowing competition and rising inventory. Finally, I emphasize the importance of community and accountability in achieving real estate success. [00:00:00] - Father's Day Wishes and Tom Brady's Speech Starting with Father's Day greetings and diving into Tom Brady's motivating Hall of Fame speech. [00:01:07] - Lessons from Tom Brady's Speech Highlighting the importance of hard work, consistency, and determination as key takeaways from Brady's speech. [00:02:29] - Economic Data and Fed Speeches Upcoming economic data releases and Fed speeches that could impact the market, including inflation metrics and manufacturing data. [00:03:41] - Retail Sales and Homebuilder Confidence Discussing the significance of upcoming retail sales data and homebuilder confidence reports in understanding the market's health. [00:05:05] - Weekly Unemployment Claims and Housing Starts Examining the importance of weekly unemployment claims and housing starts data in gauging economic conditions. [00:06:18] - Housing Market Trends Current trends in the housing market, including increased days on market and rising inventory, and what it means for investors. [00:07:11] - Encouragement for New Investors Congratulating a follower for making their first offer and encouraging others to take action and write offers. [00:09:55] - Stock Splits and Rent Trends Updates on recent stock splits and Ivy Zelman's predictions on rent trends in multifamily and single-family homes. [00:10:47] - Predictions on Fed Rate Cuts My prediction on the Fed's first rate cut in November and its potential impact on the market. [00:12:31] - Joining the One Rental at a Time Community Encouraging listeners to join the One Rental at a Time school community for support, networking, and accountability. Tom Brady's Hall of Fame Speech - A must-watch for inspiration and motivation. One Rental at a Time Community - Join the community for support and networking. Contact Information: If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Join the One Rental at a Time community, stay informed, and take consistent action towards your real estate goals. Happy Father's Day to all the dads out there!

In this episode, we delve into the accelerating housing market crash, examining the latest data on transactions, inventory, and price trends. I share insights from Altus Research and discuss the impact of high interest rates on the market. We also cover the myth of Wall Street's dominance in the housing market and highlight the importance of homebuilders stepping up to build affordable homes. Finally, I address some frustrations with certain online channels spreading fear and misinformation, and emphasize the importance of personal responsibility in building wealth. [00:00:00] - Introduction and Housing Market Update Introduction to the episode and a quick overview of the accelerating housing market crash. [00:01:04] - Detailed Analysis of May Housing Data Breakdown of May's housing transactions data, highlighting it as the third worst month on record. [00:02:30] - Week-on-Week Housing Data Insights Weekly update from Altus Research showing increasing inventory and price reductions. [00:03:41] - Myth of Wall Street Dominance in Housing Debunking the myth that Wall Street owns 40% of rental homes, with specific data from Las Vegas. [00:05:27] - Federal Reserve Insights and Homebuilder Role Discussion on Fed President Patrick Harker's views on interest rates and the need for homebuilders to focus on affordable homes. [00:06:25] - Predictions on Stock Market and Economy Predictions on the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, including a potential crash-up scenario. [00:07:54] - Average vs. Median Net Worth Analysis of the recent data showing the average US household net worth crossing $1 million and the disparity with the median net worth. [00:09:55] - Importance of Owning Assets Emphasizing the importance of owning assets and the superpower of having fixed-rate debt. [00:11:50] - Community Updates and Events Announcing upcoming sessions with Dion from Dion Talk and Matt, the Lumberjack Landlord, in the One Rental at a Time school community. [00:13:27] - Retail Sales Data and Economic Trends Examination of the latest retail sales data and its implications for the economy and Federal Reserve policy. [00:14:52] - Rant on Doom and Gloom Channels Expressing frustration with online channels that spread fear and misinformation, and encouraging listeners to focus on personal responsibility and wealth-building. Altus Research - Weekly housing market data and insights. One Rental at a Time Community - Join the community for support, networking, and access to expert sessions. Dion Talk on Think Media - Interview with Dion from Dion Talk about self-management strategies. If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Remember to take personal responsibility for your financial journey and join the One Rental at a Time community to connect with like-minded individuals. Have an amazing day and keep pushing forward!

In this episode, we explore the recent shifts in the housing market, focusing on increasing inventory, extended days on market, and what these changes mean for investors and home buyers. With insights from experienced real estate professionals, we discuss strategies to take advantage of the current market conditions, including making aggressive offers and leveraging opportunities for price reductions and closing cost credits. We'll also cover why managing your own insurance payments might be beneficial and share some practical tips for navigating these turbulent times. [00:00:00] - Market Overview Introduction to the current housing market conditions, including increased inventory and longer days on market. [00:01:19] - Aggressive Market Strategies Ty's plan to return to MLS hunting with daily offers and leveraging days on market keywords for better deals. [00:02:30] - Insights from Experienced Investors Discussion on how experienced investors like Jody are adjusting their strategies to capitalize on the current market. [00:03:41] - Market Specifics and Buyer Positioning Matt highlights the importance of knowing your local market and how buyers can benefit from current trends. [00:05:04] - Maximizing Builder Credits Tips on how to negotiate and make the most out of credits offered by builders in new construction deals. [00:06:14] - Insurance Payment Management Elaine advises on why it might be better to manage your own insurance payments instead of relying on escrow. [00:08:01] - Potential Insurance Issues The risks of having your insurance payments managed by your mortgage escrow and how it can lead to unexpected costs. [00:09:32] - Proactive Insurance Management Real-life example of significant savings by managing insurance payments directly and keeping updated with policy changes. [00:11:56] - Coordinated Efforts Between Agents and Lenders The importance of seamless communication between real estate agents and mortgage lenders for strategic planning. [00:13:46] - Future Market Predictions Preparing for market slowdowns and setting up your buy box to be ready for when the market truly gets slow. Great Mortgage Broker - For getting pre-approved and finding a great mortgage broker. Contact Information: One Rental at a Time Community - For more resources and community support. If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Stay informed and proactive in these changing times, and see you in the next episode!

In this episode, we dive into the bold prediction that the Dow Jones Industrial Average could reach 100,000 within the next nine years. I discuss the factors that could drive such a massive increase, including historical trends, current market conditions, and the impact of potential Federal Reserve actions. We'll also explore insights from Jeffrey Hirsch's work and consider the broader economic context that might influence this forecast. Tune in to find out if this prediction holds water and what it could mean for investors. [00:00:00] - Introduction and Max Payne Video Mention Welcoming listeners and a brief mention of the Max Payne video related to Friday's options expiration. [00:01:23] - Breakpoint Trading and Index Trend Model Introduction to the new index trend model on my website showing trends for the S&P, Nasdaq, and more, including Bitcoin. [00:02:30] - Dow 100,000 Article Overview Discussion of the article predicting the Dow reaching 100,000 and the initial skepticism. [00:03:41] - Interest Rates and Market Growth Explanation of how interest rates and growth could push the Dow to 100,000, with a focus on historical growth rates. [00:05:27] - Jeffrey Hirsch's Super Boom Prediction Insights from Jeffrey Hirsch's book predicting a 15-year super boom starting from 2011 and its accuracy so far. [00:07:10] - Dow's Evolution Over Decades How the Dow continuously evolves by replacing underperforming companies with new leaders, ensuring its growth trajectory. [00:09:00] - Historical Market Performance Analysis Detailed analysis of the Dow's performance since 2011 and the potential for reaching 100,000 based on past trends. [00:11:04] - Secular Bull and Bear Markets Explanation of secular bull and bear markets and their potential impact on the Dow's future growth. [00:14:25] - S&P 6000 Prediction for the Year-End Prediction of the S&P 500 reaching 6000 by the end of the year, driven by current market momentum. [00:15:40] - Investment Strategies and Secular Bull Market - Final thoughts on the secular bull market and investment strategies, with a light-hearted suggestion about investing in the Dow ETF. Breakpoint Trading - For free newsletters and more information on the index trend model. Jeffrey Hirsch's Book - Stock Traders Almanac for historical market perspectives. Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) - A suggested investment vehicle for tracking the Dow's performance. If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Happy investing, and see you on Sunday!

In today's episode of "One Rental at a Time," we dive into the latest economic data and forecasts, including a hot jobs report and upcoming CPI and PPI releases. We discuss the implications of these numbers on potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and debate whether the first rate cut will come in September or November. We also examine the accuracy of current job numbers and what it means for the economy. Join us for an in-depth analysis and expert opinions on the future of interest rates. [00:00] - Introduction and discussion on the hot jobs number and its implications. [00:30] - Analysis of potential inaccuracies in the job numbers and their adjustments. [02:00] - Examination of the unemployment rate and its importance over other job metrics. [03:55] - Discussion on household vs. establishment surveys and their reliability. [05:27] - The significance of the birth-death adjustment in job reports. [07:01] - Forecasting the next rate cut based on unemployment and CPI data. [08:00] - Presentation of recession watch indicators and their current status. [09:00] - Detailed analysis of CPI trends and predictions for the coming months. [16:00] - Debate on the timing of the first rate cut, with perspectives on both September and November. [27:20] - Call to action for listeners to share their opinions on the timing of the rate cut. Break Point Trading: https://breakpointtrading.net - Visit Dan Byrd's website for more insights and access to his newsletter. One Rental at a Time School: https://onerentalatatime.com/school - Join the school community for masterclasses, boot camps, and live sessions with real estate experts. Thank you for tuning into today's episode of "One Rental at a Time." If you enjoyed the discussion, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform, and leave us a review. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from these real estate investing insights. Follow us on social media for more updates and exclusive content. Keep taking action, and remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!

In today's episode of "One Rental at a Time," I sit down with Austin Thorne to explore the concept of financial peace versus financial gain. Austin shares his journey from being a professional basketball player to buying rentals for cash and building a financially secure future without leveraging debt. We discuss his disciplined financial habits, his investing strategy, and the benefits of owning properties outright. Tune in to learn from Austin's unique approach and get inspired to take control of your financial future. [00:00] - Introduction to Austin Thorne and the episode's topics. [00:30] - Austin's background as a professional basketball player and his transition to financial literacy. [02:00] - The importance of tracking income and expenses from an early stage. [04:20] - Starting a business and focusing on financial education during the pandemic. [07:00] - The decision to buy rentals with cash and the rationale behind it. [09:00] - Austin's first real estate investment and the lessons learned. [12:00] - The benefits of living below your means and saving for investments. [14:00] - Austin's approach to finding and managing rental properties. [18:00] - Expanding investments internationally and maintaining financial discipline. [22:00] - The significance of having a financial education and mentoring others. Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ashton.khan15 Website: https://mycoachak.com Thank you for tuning into today's episode of "One Rental at a Time." If you enjoyed the discussion, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform, and leave us a review. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from these real estate investing insights. Follow us on social media for more updates and exclusive content. Keep taking action, and remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!

In today's episode of "One Rental at a Time," we discuss the recent surge in mortgage applications as interest rates fall, the implications of the latest Federal Reserve meeting, and a significant change in VA mortgage guidelines. We also explore market dynamics and the potential opportunities for buyers in the current real estate environment. Tune in to hear expert insights and advice on navigating these changes and making the most of the current market conditions. [00:00] - Introduction and overview of the Fed Day meeting. [00:30] - Impact of CPI and core inflation numbers on mortgage rates. [01:52] - Surge in mortgage applications and refinancing due to falling rates. [02:21] - Seasonal peak in home sales prices and current market cooling trends. [03:06] - Increased inventory and longer days on market in various regions. [03:33] - Importance of studying your local market for real estate opportunities. [04:26] - Changes to VA mortgage guidelines allowing buyers to pay their agents. [05:20] - Implications of new buyer broker agreements in real estate transactions. [07:33] - Encouragement to get pre-approved and the benefits of working with a great mortgage broker. [17:05] - Invitation to join the "One Rental at a Time" school community for more in-depth learning. Great Mortgage Broker: https://greatmortgagebroker.com - Get pre-approved and connect with Matt and his team across 48 states. One Rental at a Time School: https://onerentalatatime.com/school - Join the school community for masterclasses, boot camps, and live sessions with real estate experts. Thank you for tuning into today's episode of "One Rental at a Time." If you enjoyed the discussion, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform, and leave us a review. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from these real estate investing insights. Follow us on social media for more updates and exclusive content. Keep taking action, and remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!

In this episode of "One Rental at a Time," we delve into the latest economic indicators and predictions about the housing market. We discuss key updates from the Federal Reserve, including the dot plot and unemployment claims, and provide a detailed analysis of the recent PPI and CPI reports. Highlighting insights from Redfin's CEO, we explore the anticipated decline in home prices and what it means for potential buyers and investors. Tune in to understand the dynamics at play and how you can leverage this information in your real estate strategy. [00:00] - Introduction and overview of Fed Day dot plot, PPI, and unemployment claims. [00:27] - Insight from Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal on the Fed's potential late actions. [01:07] - Discussing the Fed's PTSD from past inflation calls and expected aggressive cuts. [02:24] - Breaking down the PPI report: headline and core figures better than expected. [04:11] - Analysis of weekly unemployment claims and its implications on the Fed's projections. [05:08] - Mortgage rates drop below 7% and the potential impact on the housing market. [06:10] - Understanding the Fed's dot plot and economic projections. [09:11] - Critical evaluation of the Fed's unemployment and GDP forecasts. [11:09] - Exploring "super core" inflation and its significance. [12:56] - Jerome Powell's remarks on job data accuracy and economic outlook. [15:11] - Redfin CEO predicts a 1% drop in home prices due to increased selling pressure. One Rental at a Time School: https://onerentalatatime.com/school - Join the school community for exclusive content, boot camps, and live sessions with real estate experts. Nick Timiraos, Wall Street Journal: https://www.wsj.com/news/author/nick-timiraos - Follow Nick Timiraos for insights on the Federal Reserve and economic policies. Thank you for tuning into today's episode of "One Rental at a Time." If you enjoyed the discussion, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform, and leave us a review. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from these real estate investing insights. Follow us on social media for more updates and exclusive content. Keep taking action, and remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!

In today's episode, we explore how the rich are managing their cash, delve into the latest survey insights on Gen Z's job search behavior, and discuss the staggering figures around homeowners' equity. With a focus on strategic financial moves and real estate trends, I offer practical advice on how to leverage your home equity for maximum benefit. Plus, we examine the surprising differences in investment preferences across income levels and the implications for future market opportunities. Key Talking Points: [00:00] - Introduction: What are the rich doing with their cash? [00:50] - Survey insights: Cash holdings of high-net-worth individuals. [01:55] - The value of keeping liquid capital: Emergency funds and investment opportunities. [03:31] - LA Lakers coach offer: Dan Hurley declines a $70 million contract. [03:56] - Rocket Mortgage survey: Investment preferences by income level. [05:37] - Indeed job posting index: Trends in job market recalibration. [06:39] - Self-management advice: Upcoming sessions with real estate experts. [09:01] - Homeowners' equity statistics: $17 trillion in equity among mortgaged homes. [09:28] - Total homeowners' equity: A staggering $34 trillion. [09:59] - Gen Z job interviews: Shocking behaviors and social media's influence. Links & Resources: One Rental at a Time School Community: https://www.onerentalatatime.com CoreLogic: https://www.corelogic.com Rocket Mortgage: https://www.rocketmortgage.com Indeed Job Posting Index: https://www.indeed.com Intelligent.com Survey: https://www.intelligent.com Closing Remark: Thanks for tuning in to today's episode! If you found this information valuable, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from our real estate investing tips. Leave us a review and let us know your thoughts. Your feedback helps us improve. Follow us on social media for updates and exclusive content. Keep taking action and remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!

In today's episode, we delve into the potential for a July rate cut and what it could mean for the economy and the housing market. We'll analyze the latest CPI data, discuss mortgage application trends, and highlight the contrasting forecasts from Goldman Sachs and Moody's on future home prices. Additionally, I'll share my nine money rules and update you on significant moves in commercial real estate by big players like Pimco. Join me as we break down these important topics and explore the implications for investors and homeowners. Key Talking Points: [00:00] - Discussion on potential July rate cuts and recent CPI data. [01:28] - Detailed CPI data breakdown: Headline and core, month-on-month and year-on-year metrics. [03:12] - Analysis of the Fed's charter and upcoming dot plot impact. [04:40] - Concerns about a July rate cut reigniting inflation, drawing parallels to the late '70s and early '80s. [05:22] - Surge in mortgage applications due to a dip in rates: Implications for the housing market. [06:55] - Recap of my nine money rules and their importance. [08:00] - Pimco's strategic moves in commercial real estate and the impending wave of distressed properties. [10:01] - Announcement of self-management sessions with real estate experts in the school community. [11:40] - Update on VA rule changes allowing sellers to pay buyers' commissions. [12:33] - Comparison of home price forecasts from Goldman Sachs and Moody's, and my take on it. Links & Resources: One Rental at a Time School Community: https://www.onerentalatatime.com CoreLogic: https://www.corelogic.com Joseph Wang's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/user/josephwang Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter: https://twitter.com/FedGuy12 Pimco: https://www.pimco.com Goldman Sachs: https://www.goldmansachs.com Moody's: https://www.moodys.com Closing Remark: Thanks for tuning in! If you enjoyed today's episode, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from our real estate investing tips. Leave us a review to let us know your thoughts. Your feedback helps us improve. Follow us on social media for updates and exclusive content. Keep taking action and remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!

In this episode, we dive deep into the relationship between recessions and home prices, challenging the widespread belief that an economic downturn automatically leads to a housing market crash. I provide a historical analysis dating back to 1980, debunking common myths and highlighting key differences in today's economic landscape compared to past recessions. Join me as I dissect the facts, share insights from industry experts like Joseph Wang, and discuss what the future might hold for the housing market. Timeline Summary: [00:30] - Introduction to the topic: Recessions and home price crashes. [01:10] - Historical analysis: Home prices during past recessions. [02:28] - Debunking the 2008 PTSD effect: Why not every recession is the same. [04:01] - Forbearance and modern banking practices: How they're different today. [05:13] - Insights from Joseph Wang: Fed policies and their potential impact. [07:03] - Inflation concerns: Comparing today to the early '80s. [10:03] - Inventory analysis: Market trends and opportunities. [12:03] - Practical advice for investors: Tracking inventory and motivated sellers. [14:56] - Shoutout to Liz Ann Sonders: Top markets with the highest price per square foot increase. [15:16] - Special guest announcement: Greg Dickerson joins the school community. Links & Resources: One Rental at a Time - Access the 54-year spreadsheet. Joseph Wang's YouTube Channel - Weekly summaries and insights. Housing Wire - Source for historical data and market analysis. Liz Ann Sonders on Twitter - Follow for economic insights and updates. Closing Remark: Thank you for tuning in! If you found this episode insightful, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us reach more listeners and continue delivering valuable content. Stay tuned for more episodes and don't forget to join our school community for exclusive content and discussions. Happy investing!

In this episode, we explore the bold recommendation from Sean Dobson, CEO of Amherst, who suggests selling your home and renting. I delve into his rationale and critically examine the implications of his advice, especially considering Amherst's ownership of 44,000 rental homes. We'll also discuss the current state of the housing market, the benefits of fixed-rate debt, and strategies for identifying motivated sellers in both residential and commercial real estate. Join me as we break down these complex topics and uncover valuable insights for homeowners and investors alike. Key Talking Points: [00:00] - Introduction to Sean Dobson's recommendation to sell and rent. [00:30] - Overview of Amherst and its significant rental home portfolio. [01:35] - The value of 30-year fixed-rate debt and why selling it might be unwise. [02:33] - The potential for becoming an accidental landlord with low-rate mortgages. [03:34] - Critique of timing the market: Historical context and common pitfalls. [04:18] - Differentiating residential and commercial real estate trends. [05:36] - Hunting for motivated sellers: Strategies and market signals. [06:07] - Opportunities in commercial real estate: Overpaid properties and upcoming refis. [07:28] - Reflection on regrets: Insights from an oncologist about end-of-life reflections. [10:08] - Upcoming economic indicators: CPI, PPI, and consumer sentiment. Links & Resources: Amherst Residential: https://www.amherst.com One Rental at a Time School Community: https://www.onerentalatatime.com Joseph Wang's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/user/josephwang Follow Liz Ann Sonders on Twitter: https://twitter.com/LizAnnSonders Closing Remark: Thank you for tuning in to another insightful episode of One Rental at a Time! If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite platform. Share this podcast with friends and family who might benefit from our real estate investing tips. Leave us a review to let us know your thoughts and follow us on social media for updates and exclusive content. Remember, it's all about doing the work. Happy investing!

In this thought-provoking episode, we explore whether the current U.S. economy is more likely to echo the trends of the 1950s, the 1970s, or even the 1920s. Joined by Dan Bird, we delve into the significance of secular bull and bear markets and their implications for our financial future. We analyze current market trends, sector performances, and the impact of recent CPI and PPI data. Dan also shares his insights on potential market shifts and the importance of historical context in understanding today's economic landscape. [00:00] - Introduction to the discussion on whether the U.S. economy is repeating trends from the 1950s, 1970s, or 1920s. [00:37] - Dan Bird's perspective on current market trends compared to historical secular bull and bear markets. [01:46] - Explanation of secular bull and bear markets, highlighting their durations and impacts on market performance. [03:00] - Analysis of the current secular bull market and its expected continuation until 2029-2033. [05:29] - Discussion on the potential for stagflation and why Dan believes it's unlikely in the current secular bull market. [07:16] - Exploration of significant historical market events and their parallels to today's trends. [08:34] - Examination of recent CPI and PPI data and their implications for inflation and economic growth. [10:09] - Sector performance analysis, highlighting the dominance of technology and the underperformance of defensive sectors. [12:58] - Divergence in market signals from different financial analysis tools and their potential implications. [14:42] - Insight into short squeezes and the risks associated with trading highly volatile stocks like GameStop. Dan Bird's Website: For detailed market analysis and the weekly newsletter. Visit https://breakpointtrading.net Newsletter Signup: Access Dan Bird's free weekly newsletter for in-depth market insights. Sign up at https://breakpointtrading.net/newsletter CPI and PPI Economic Charts: Detailed breakdown of recent CPI and PPI data. Visit https://breakpointtrading.net/economic-charts Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us continue bringing valuable content to you. Don't forget to check out the links and resources mentioned, and join our community for more exclusive insights and opportunities. See you next time!

In this episode, we address the alarming claim that the recent 3.94% drop in the M2 money supply signals the onset of a Great Depression 2.0. Joined by Taylor from Life Goal Investments, a ten-year Wall Street veteran, we break down why this decline, despite its historical significance, may not spell disaster for the economy. We discuss the unprecedented stimulus injected during COVID-19, the current state of fiscal policies, and the role of credit spreads and market liquidity in shaping economic conditions. Tune in to gain a comprehensive understanding of why this situation is different from past economic downturns. The M2 money supply has fallen 3.94%, raising fears of a Great Depression 2.0. Historical context: Previous significant drops in M2 have correlated with depressions, but the current scenario is different due to the massive COVID-19 stimulus. The importance of looking at long-term trends: Despite the recent drop, M2 money supply is still up 29% from pre-COVID levels. The role of fiscal policy: While monetary policy is tightening, fiscal conditions remain loose, as evidenced by the National Financial Conditions Index. Impact of high federal funds rates: These primarily affect variable rate debt, but most homeowners are locked into fixed-rate mortgages, mitigating the impact. Breakdown of M2 components: Savings, checking accounts, and money market accounts are included, while stocks are not, explaining part of the decline. Current market behavior: Money is moving from safe assets like money markets to riskier assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies. Credit spreads indicate market confidence: Tight spreads suggest investors are confident in companies' ability to meet debt obligations, signaling economic stability. Lessons from the 2008 financial crisis: Modern regulatory measures are designed to prevent bank failures from causing systemic crises. The importance of supporting banks: Ensuring bank stability is crucial for maintaining economic liquidity and preventing severe recessions. Life Goal Investments on Instagram: Follow Taylor for more educational videos. https://www.instagram.com/lifegoalinvestments Life Goal Investments on TikTok: Quick insights and financial education. https://www.tiktok.com/@lifegoalinvestments National Financial Conditions Index: Understand the broader financial conditions. https://www.chicagofed.org/research/data/nfci/index Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us continue bringing valuable content to you. Don't forget to check out the links and resources mentioned, and join our community for more exclusive insights and opportunities. See you next time!

In this midweek market update, Dan Byrd steps in for Mr. Zuber, who is on vacation, to break down the latest developments in the financial markets. Today's focus is on the recent CPI report and the Federal Reserve meeting, where CPI came in lower than expected at 3.3%, largely due to drops in oil and gas prices. The market reacted positively initially, but Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's cautious stance on future rate cuts tempered the enthusiasm. We also explore sector performance, with technology leading the way, and delve into specific stocks and market signals that indicate current trends. [00:00] - Introduction to the midweek update and today's focus on CPI and the Federal Reserve meeting. [00:28] - CPI came in at 3.3%, lower than expected, with significant drops in oil and gas prices. [01:16] - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hints at one possible rate cut this year but remains non-committal. [02:12] - Analysis of the 12-month CPI window and commodity price impacts on inflation. [03:39] - Market reaction to the CPI report and Powell's statements, with technology stocks leading the way. [04:03] - Detailed look at sector performance, highlighting the outperformance of technology and the underperformance of other sectors. [06:19] - Examination of the Magnificent Seven stocks and their influence on market movements. [07:17] - Specific stock analysis, including Apple's significant pullback despite overall positive performance. [09:00] - Discussion on Broadcom's after-hours performance and upcoming stock splits for CMG and others. [10:49] - Analysis of broader market signals and concerns about rapid signal changes indicating potential market tops. Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us continue bringing valuable content to you. Don't forget to check out the links and resources mentioned, and join our community for more exclusive insights and opportunities. See you next time!

In this episode, I share the nine essential rules of money that I wish I had known decades ago. These insights can transform your financial future by focusing on key principles like disposable income, delayed gratification, and leveraging your job as a superpower. We also discuss the importance of having the right circle of friends, becoming elite at one thing, and the reality of social media's impact on financial perceptions. Join me for a deep dive into these valuable lessons and learn how to apply them to achieve financial freedom. [00:00] - Introduction to the nine rules of money and the importance of understanding disposable income over total income. [00:21] - The significance of tracking and growing your disposable income for financial freedom. [02:47] - Delayed gratification as a superpower during the grind phase of life. [05:02] - Viewing your job as a key to financial success and the importance of making it work for you. [06:42] - The necessity of surrounding yourself with like-minded, supportive friends who share your financial goals. [08:18] - Focusing on becoming elite at one thing rather than diversifying too early. [10:08] - Accepting that the first five years of the financial journey will be challenging and sticking with it. [11:24] - Understanding that inflation is a feature, not a bug, and how to use it to your advantage with fixed-rate debt. [13:20] - Realizing that it only takes four rental properties to change your life and that bigger is not always better. [14:20] - The misleading nature of social media and the importance of curating your feed to avoid unnecessary stress and envy. Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us continue bringing valuable content to you. Don't forget to check out the links and resources mentioned, and join our community for more exclusive insights and opportunities. See you next time!

In this special episode, we dive into the latest Federal Reserve moves and dissect the implications of their decisions on the economy. We explore why the Fed's actions are often reactive rather than proactive and what this means for future rate cuts. We also break down the latest jobs report, uncovering contradictions within the data and its impact on the financial markets. Plus, there's an insightful discussion on the current state of the real estate market, particularly in Las Vegas, and what investors can expect moving forward. Lastly, we highlight some upcoming events and resources for our community, including a valuable financial education challenge for kids. [00:00] - The Fed's history of looking backward rather than forward in its decision-making process. [01:00] - Predictions about upcoming rate cuts and their potential magnitude. [02:00] - Analysis of the May jobs report and its contradictory nature. [03:00] - Detailed explanation of the household survey vs. the establishment survey in job data. [04:00] - Immediate market reactions to the jobs report and what it means for future rate decisions. [05:00] - Insight into the birth-death model tweak and its impact on job creation numbers. [06:00] - Discussion on the rise of part-time jobs and decline in full-time jobs. [07:00] - The concept of stagflation and its potential reemergence. [08:00] - Current trends in the Las Vegas real estate market and advice for investors. [09:00] - Introduction to upcoming financial education events and resources for the community. Bloomberg Article: An insightful piece on the current financial climate and investment pitfalls. [Link to the article on Twitter/X] Buying Vegas YouTube Series: Follow our journey as we explore the Las Vegas rental market. [Link to the series] Three-Day Financial Challenge for Kids: A free resource by Bill Allen to teach kids about money management. [Join the school community for access] Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more valuable content to you. Don't forget to check out the links and resources mentioned, and join our community for exclusive insights and opportunities. See you next time!

In this eye-opening episode, we expose the mainstream media's manipulation of the narrative around the Federal Reserve's actions and intentions. We delve into the misconceptions about the Fed's goals and strategies, particularly regarding inflation and interest rates. Our discussion features insights from the "Uneducated Economist" and highlights the disconnect between the media portrayal and the actual economic policies. We also touch on the importance of understanding the true objectives of the Federal Reserve and how this knowledge can impact individual financial decisions. Join us as we unravel the truth behind the headlines and offer a clearer perspective on the current economic landscape. [00:00] - Introduction: Media gaslighting around the Federal Reserve's plans. [00:24] - Simon's explanation of the Fed's strategy for a low neutral interest rate world. [01:09] - Misconceptions about the Fed's fight against inflation. [02:21] - The Federal Reserve's real goal: maintaining elevated inflation expectations. [03:07] - How average Americans feel the impact of inflation. [04:08] - The Federal Reserve's attempt to keep inflation expectations high to raise the neutral interest rate. [06:19] - The role of communication in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. [07:11] - The ineffectiveness of traditional interest rate adjustments in the current economic climate. [10:54] - Reaction to the latest jobs report and its implications for interest rates. [13:07] - Upcoming economic indicators: CPI and PPI inflation data. Uneducated Economist YouTube Channel: For more insights from Simon on economic policies and the Federal Reserve. [Link to channel] Rebel Capitalist Event: Insights from the latest event featuring discussions on real estate, macroeconomics, and more. [Link to event] Sean Canal Interview: Watch Simon's interview with Sean Canal for an in-depth conversation on economics and YouTube growth. [Link to interview] Thank you for listening! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us continue bringing valuable content to you. Don't forget to check out the links and resources mentioned, and join our community for more exclusive insights and opportunities. See you next time!

In this episode, I dive into three harsh truths that might be holding you back from achieving financial success: you're too busy to get rich, you have too many options to get wealthy, and your friends are keeping you poor. Drawing from my own experiences and those of successful millionaires, I break down these statements to offer practical advice on how to overcome these obstacles. We discuss the importance of focus, the need to cut out distractions, and the value of surrounding yourself with the right people. This episode is a wake-up call to get serious about your financial future. [0:00] Introduction to the Harsh Truths - Addressing the three main obstacles to financial success: being too busy, having too many options, and being held back by friends. [1:09] My Personal Journey - Sharing my experience of working long hours and raising a family while starting in real estate. [2:45] The Problem of Too Many Options - Explaining how a lack of focus can hinder financial success and why becoming elite at one thing is crucial. [4:15] The Impact of Your Friends - Discussing how your social circle can influence your financial behavior and decisions. [6:00] The Four Seasons of Life - Introducing the concept of the four seasons of life and the importance of minimizing time in the "grind" season. [9:02] The Importance of Focus and Discipline - Emphasizing the need for daily discipline and cutting out distractions to achieve financial goals. [10:16] Diversification vs. Focus - Discussing when to diversify and why focus is essential in the early stages of wealth building. [11:26] The Role of Your Job in Wealth Building - Viewing your job as a tool for creating disposable income and investing in your future. [13:16] The Value of Community - Highlighting the importance of being part of a supportive community that shares your financial goals. [15:07] Joining the One Rental at a Time Community - Information on how to join the school community and access resources and support for real estate investing. One Rental at a Time: Access resources, including the 54-year real estate spreadsheet. Join the School Community: Sign up for special content and expert sessions (link is illustrative). Thank you for tuning into today's episode. If you found our discussion valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Your support helps us continue to deliver quality content. Stay focused, stay disciplined, and surround yourself with the right people to achieve your financial goals. Join our community to get the support and resources you need on your journey to financial freedom.

In this episode, we tackle the pressing question of whether deflation could lead to a depression in the U.S. economy. Joined by Dan Burke, we explore the latest economic data, including GDP reductions and persistent inflation readings. We discuss various economic scenarios, such as stagflation, deflation, and disinflation, and their potential impacts on the market. By analyzing historical patterns and current trends, we provide a comprehensive outlook on what might be ahead for the economy and how to navigate these uncertain times. [0:00] Introduction and Overview - Discussion on the reduction in Q1 GDP and expectations for Q2, highlighting slowing growth and sticky inflation. [1:00] Definition of Stagflation - Explanation of stagflation as low growth combined with high inflation and its current relevance. [2:00] Job Market Trends - Analysis of the unemployment rate and its implications for future Fed actions, with predictions for upcoming job reports. [4:45] Unemployment Rate Impact - Insight into how rising unemployment rates can signal the onset of a recession. [6:05] Inflation vs. Deflation - Debate on the dangers of long-term deflation compared to inflation and its effects on the economy and job market. [8:00] Historical Context of Deflation - Comparison to the Great Depression and why deflation over an extended period can lead to severe economic downturns. [10:05] Importance of Inflation - Argument that moderate inflation is a feature of a growing economy and necessary for long-term stability. [12:00] Cumulative Inflation Analysis - Review of 34 years of cumulative inflation data and its implications for future economic policies. [14:00] Market Reactions to Economic Indicators - How bond prices, the U.S. dollar, and gold prices reflect current economic conditions and predictions for future trends. [20:00] Predictions for Upcoming Jobs Report - Expectations for the upcoming jobs report and its potential impact on the market and Fed policies. Breakpoint Trading: Access Dan Burke's charts and subscribe to his newsletter for in-depth economic analysis. One Rental at a Time: Access resources and join the community for exclusive content and expert sessions. Thank you for tuning into today's episode. If you found our discussion insightful, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Your support helps us continue to provide valuable content. Stay informed, stay proactive, and leverage the insights and resources available to navigate the economic challenges and opportunities ahead. Join our community to get the support and tools you need for successful real estate investing.

In this episode, we discuss the alarming drop in the M2 money supply and the concerns it raises about a potential Great Depression 2.0. We dive into the historical context of money supply contractions and compare them to the current economic situation. Additionally, we cover the changing behaviors of American consumers, the growth of build-for-rent communities, and key economic indicators. Special shoutouts to community members and insights from experts are also highlighted. [0:00] M2 Money Supply Drop - Explanation of the 3.94% drop in the M2 money supply and its historical significance. [1:27] Historical Context - Analysis of past instances where M2 money supply drops led to depressions. [4:22] Recent Market Behavior - Discussion on why the M2 money supply has decreased, including consumer behavior and investment trends. [6:28] American Consumer Trends - Insights into how inflation is affecting consumer spending, with an emphasis on value-oriented retailers like Ross Stores and TJX. [8:34] Build-for-Rent Communities - Overview of the growing trend of single-family homes built specifically for rent. [9:37] Economic Indicators - Analysis of the S&P Manufacturing PMI and its implications for the economy. [10:47] Consumer Spending Slowdown - Bank of America's observations on the slowing rate of consumer purchases. [11:13] Roaring Kitty's Market Influence - Discussion on Roaring Kitty's recent market activity and its potential implications. [12:19] Real Estate Investing Insights - Jason Pritchard's strategies and insights shared with the One Rental at a Time community. [14:16] Community Engagement and Resources - Information on joining the school community for access to expert advice and resources. One Rental at a Time: Access the 54-year real estate spreadsheet and other valuable resources. Think Media Interview with Uneducated Economist: Watch the insightful interview (link is illustrative). Join the School Community: Sign up for special content and expert sessions (link is illustrative). Thank you for tuning into today's episode. If you found our discussion valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Your support helps us continue to deliver quality content. Stay informed, stay proactive, and remember, understanding market dynamics and leveraging educational opportunities is key to navigating these economic challenges.

In this episode, we explore the ongoing banking crisis, highlighting the significant unrealized losses reported by banks and the growing list of troubled institutions. We discuss the potential implications of these issues for the financial system and the economy. Additionally, we touch on key market indicators, the current state of the real estate market, and opportunities in small multifamily properties. Special shoutouts go to Sean Canal of Think Media and Simon, the Uneducated Economist, for their insightful contributions to the community. [0:00] Banking Crisis Overview - Discussion on the continued banking crisis and the half trillion dollars in unrealized losses. [1:23] FDIC Report Highlights - Analysis of the FDIC's report showing 63 banks on the troubled list, up from 52. [5:03] Unrealized Losses Impact - Explanation of unrealized losses and their potential impact if banks are forced to sell assets. [6:22] Class B and C Multifamily Market - Insights into the challenges and opportunities in the Class B and C multifamily market. [8:03] Disrespectful Offers - Richard Branson's legendary 1978 offer on Necker Island as an example of a highly disrespectful yet successful offer. [10:26] Real Estate Market Trends - Discussion on active inventory increases and price movements in the housing market. [13:32] Community Announcements - Details on upcoming sessions in the school community with CPA Bob Langworthy and multifamily expert Jonathan Twombly. [14:26] Jobs and Economic Indicators - Review of the JOLTS report and expectations for upcoming job market data. [15:56] ISM Manufacturing Index - Analysis of the latest ISM Manufacturing Index report showing economic weakening. [16:30] Consumer Behavior Shift - Observations on the fading YOLO economy and the shift towards more conservative consumer spending. One Rental at a Time: Access resources including the 54-year real estate spreadsheet. Think Media Interview with Uneducated Economist: Watch the insightful interview (link is illustrative). Join the School Community: Sign up for special content and expert sessions (link is illustrative). Thank you for tuning into today's episode. If you found our discussion valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Your support helps us continue to deliver quality content. Stay informed, stay proactive, and remember, understanding the intricacies of the market and leveraging educational opportunities is key to navigating these economic challenges.

In today's episode, we explore Citigroup's recent super bearish outlook on the U.S. economy and their prediction of significant rate cuts in the near future. We also dive into the latest ADP report and discuss its implications for the job market. Additionally, we examine the potential parallels between today's economic environment and the 1950s and 1970s, highlighting what these historical comparisons could mean for the future. Lastly, we provide updates on notable market figures and discuss opportunities in small multifamily real estate. [0:00] Citigroup's Super Bearish Forecast - Citigroup predicts 200 basis points in rate cuts over the next eight meetings. [1:32] Job Market Weakening - Analysis of the JOLTS report and ADP report showing weakening job openings and additions. [4:54] Upcoming BLS Report - Expectations for the upcoming Bureau of Labor Statistics report and its potential impact. [5:29] Billionaire Barry's Struggles - Discussion on Barry Sternlicht's recent challenges and his need for rate cuts to stabilize his assets. [7:06] 1970s vs. 1950s Economic Comparison - Examining whether the U.S. economy is heading for a 1970s-style stagflation or a 1950s-style recovery. [10:10] Roaring Kitty's Success - Highlighting Roaring Kitty's incredible transformation of $53,000 into $300 million. [11:26] School Community Session with Bob Langworthy - Recap of the recent session on taxes, available exclusively to the school community. [12:49] Upcoming Session with Jonathan Twombly - Details on the upcoming session focused on opportunities in small multifamily real estate. [14:31] Uneducated Economist and Think Media - Encouraging listeners to watch the inspiring interview with the Uneducated Economist on Think Media. [14:59] Bill Allen's Three-Day Challenge - Information on Bill Allen's challenge to help kids learn sales and marketing, available to the school community. One Rental at a Time: Access the 54-year real estate spreadsheet and other valuable resources. Join the School Community: Sign up for special content and expert sessions (link is illustrative). Think Media Interview with Uneducated Economist: Watch the interview for inspiration (link is illustrative). Thank you for joining today's insightful episode. If you enjoyed our discussion and found it valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Your support helps us continue to deliver quality content. Stay informed, stay proactive, and remember, understanding market trends and leveraging educational opportunities is key to navigating these economic shifts.

In this episode, we discuss the long-term outlook for the housing market, exploring why recovery might take up to a decade. Joined by Lance Lambert, we analyze current trends, economic forecasts, and historical data to understand the challenges ahead. We delve into the impacts of rising interest rates, builder market share, and the potential for motivated sellers. This conversation provides a comprehensive view of the factors influencing the housing market and offers insights for investors and real estate professionals on navigating the upcoming years. [0:00] Introduction with Lance Lambert - Overview of the current housing market conditions and the long-term outlook. [0:20] Public Builders' Market Share - Discussion on the increase in market share for public builders, expected to reach 60%. [1:14] Impact of Big Companies - Analysis of how large companies with significant resources are dominating the market, leaving smaller builders struggling. [2:21] Forecast Adjustments - Examination of Bank of America's forecast of a 4% rise in home prices and a 5% rise in single-family rents. [3:03] Billionaire Barry's Rate Cut Plea - Commentary on Barry Sternlicht's public plea for rate cuts and the implications for the market. [4:06] Existing Home Sales Recession - Comparison of current existing home sales to levels last seen in 1978 and the prolonged recovery period. [6:00] Historical Data Analysis - Review of historical data showing the slow recovery of existing home sales after significant downturns. [7:00] Goldman Sachs Forecast - Overview of Goldman Sachs' prediction that it will take several years for home sales to return to 2019 levels. [10:00] Increasing Inventory - Discussion on the recent increase in housing inventory and its potential impact on the market. [13:34] Motivated Sellers - Insights on the growing presence of motivated sellers and the importance of doing the work to find deals in the current market. One Rental at a Time: Access the 54-year real estate spreadsheet and other valuable resources. Resi Club Analytics: Subscribe to Lance Lambert's free and premium lists for detailed market analysis and inventory tracking. Lance Lambert on Twitter: Follow Lance for the latest updates and insights on the housing market. Thank you for tuning into today's episode. If you found our discussion valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Your support helps us continue to deliver quality content. Stay informed, stay proactive, and leverage the insights and resources available to navigate the housing market's challenges and opportunities. Join our community to get the support and tools you need for successful real estate investing.

In this episode, we discuss the recent rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank (ECB), marking significant moves in the global financial landscape. We analyze the implications of these cuts for the U.S. economy, the dollar, and trade. With a crucial U.S. jobs report on the horizon, we explore how it could influence future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Additionally, we delve into market reactions, share insights from recent earnings reports, and highlight the importance of financial education and networking in the current economic climate. [0:00] Bank of Canada and ECB Rate Cuts - Analysis of the first rate cuts by G7 nations and their potential impact. [1:10] Sticky Inflation Concerns - Despite high shelter inflation in Canada, rate cuts proceed, indicating a shift in central bank strategies. [2:52] European Central Bank's Inflation Forecasts - The ECB's revised inflation expectations for 2024 and 2025 and their implications. [3:25] U.S. Jobs Report Significance - How tomorrow's jobs report could make or break the likelihood of a September rate cut. [5:50] Market Expectations and Reactions - Discussing market predictions and reactions to potential rate cuts. [7:57] Shoutout to the Community - Acknowledging the support and participation of the daily live stream audience. [8:37] Importance of Networking and Education - Opportunities to interact with experts like Jonathan Twombly and Greg Dickerson in the school community. [10:38] Recent Earnings Reports - Highlights from Lululemon, Five Below, and Costco's earnings and their market implications. [11:17] Bankruptcy Trends and Consumer Behavior - Insights from Lisa Song Sutton on the rise in Chapter 7 bankruptcies and its impact on consumer markets. [14:31] Tech Layoffs and Labor Market Dynamics - Explaining why tech layoffs haven't significantly impacted the unemployment rate. One Rental at a Time: Access resources and join the school community. Lisa Song Sutton Interview: Watch the interview discussing bankruptcy trends (link is illustrative). Join the School Community: Sign up for special content and expert sessions (link is illustrative). Thank you for tuning in to today's episode. If you found our discussion insightful, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Your support helps us continue to deliver valuable content. Stay informed, stay proactive, and remember, understanding market dynamics and networking with experts is key to navigating these economic shifts.

In this episode, we discuss the significant shift in the housing market, highlighting the recent trends and opportunities for buyers and investors. With mortgage rates potentially dropping below 7% and an increase in inventory, the market dynamics are changing rapidly. We emphasize the importance of being proactive and aggressive in making offers, especially as motivated sellers become more common. Additionally, we discuss the benefits of having a well-networked real estate agent and the advantages of joining a supportive community for real estate investors. [0:00] Recent Economic Data - Discussion on the soft JOLTS report, ADP report, and the anticipation of a soft BLS report impacting the housing market. [0:33] Mortgage Rates Update - Analysis of the recent drop in the 10-year treasury yield and its effect on mortgage rates, potentially going below 7%. [1:00] Inventory Increase - Observations on rising inventory levels and the market feeling slower, creating opportunities for buyers. [2:07] Spring Selling Season Over - Declaration that the spring selling season is over and the focus shifts to motivated buyers and sellers. [3:30] Finding Motivated Sellers - Strategies for identifying and approaching motivated sellers in the current market. [4:26] Importance of Aggressive Offers - Encouragement to write aggressive offers and be prepared for rejections, aiming for significant discounts. [5:12] Role of Real Estate Agents - The critical role of well-networked real estate agents in uncovering valuable market information and opportunities. [7:04] Market Analysis - Emphasis on consistently analyzing the market, tracking days on market, and being prepared to act. [9:29] School Community Sessions - Overview of the new monthly school sessions for real estate investors to ask questions and learn from experts. [11:41] Community Benefits - Highlighting the value of joining the One Rental at a Time school community for access to exclusive content and networking opportunities. Great Mortgage Broker: For advice and mortgage services across 48 states. One Rental at a Time: Access resources and join the school community for exclusive content and expert sessions. Thank you for tuning into today's episode. If you found our discussion valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Your support helps us continue to deliver quality content. Stay proactive, stay aggressive, and make the most of the current market opportunities. Join our community to get the support and resources you need on your journey to financial success.

In this emergency episode, we address the alarming drop in the M2 money supply, which has fallen by 4.9% from its peak, sparking concerns about a potential economic depression. Joined by Mr. Dan Byrd, we analyze the historical significance of such a drop and compare current economic conditions to those of past recessions. Through detailed charts and data, we examine why this time might be different due to unique factors like the recent pandemic and unprecedented government interventions. We aim to provide clarity and context to help viewers understand the implications of the current economic trends. [0:00] Introduction and Context - Explanation of the emergency session and the importance of discussing the M2 money supply drop. [1:20] Historical Context of M2 Money Supply - Overview of how drops in the M2 money supply have historically preceded economic depressions. [2:15] Analyzing the Chart - Detailed analysis of the M2 money supply chart showing the significant spike during the pandemic and subsequent drop. [3:45] Impact of Government Interventions - Discussion on how government actions during the pandemic have distorted economic models. [4:55] Current Economic Trends - Examination of current trends and how they compare to historical data. [5:40] Importance of Context - Emphasizing the need to understand the broader context and not just rely on single data points. [6:20] Visualizing the Data - Using charts to illustrate the trajectory of the M2 money supply and its relationship to economic health. [7:15] GDP and Economic Indicators - Analysis of GDP changes and other economic indicators in relation to the M2 money supply. [8:00] Reversion to the Mean - Explanation of the concept of reversion to the mean and how it applies to the current economic situation. [9:30] Future Outlook - Predictions on how the M2 money supply might trend in the coming years and what it means for the economy. Breakpoint Trading: Access Dan Byrd's charts and weekly newsletter for in-depth economic analysis. Thank you for tuning into this emergency episode. If you found our discussion valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Stay informed, stay proactive, and remember, understanding the broader economic context is key to navigating these challenging times. For more detailed analysis and insights, visit Dan Byrd's Breakpoint Trading website.