The Investing Podcast

Andrew, Tom, and Thomas break down September's 29K payrolls miss, August's downward revision, and the bond rally that followed, plus ISM prices paid jumping to 77.9 and Nike sinking to its lowest level since 2013.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Tom, and Thomas explain why the 10-year hit its highest yield since 2002 and why the debt narrative doesn't add up, plus Trump calling for Powell to resign over the $2.5B Fed renovation and Google's new Gemini 4 Argon model.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Tom, and Thomas break down the cooler-than-expected PCE report and big downward revisions to last month's inflation data, plus OpenAI's Dots agent stumbling in its live demo and Trump's White House AI lunch with the tech titans.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Ben and Tom break down the Dallas Fed survey's surge in new orders and production, then Oura postponing its IPO despite strong demand and what that could mean for Anthropic's November timing.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom cover Trump rejecting Iran's offer, prospects of the Anthropic IPO, and privacy concerns surrounding Meta Muse. Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Ben and Tom cover Xi gifting two pandas to Zoo Atlanta and Brightline's bankruptcy hitting the muni bond market, plus US-Iran talks on reopening Hormuz and Bob Chapek's new book taking aim at Bob Iger.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Tom and Thomas break down the bond market selloff that pushed the 30-year to its highest level since 2004, plus Meta Connect's hearing-aid glasses, possible diesel export curbs, and McDonald's shift from beef to chicken.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Ben and Tom break down Meta Muse as a potential ChatGPT moment for AI agents and why the friction economy — bank fees, idle cash, unused credits, insurance overpayments — is suddenly under threat.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Ben and Tom break down the new sports performance ETFs launching in the NHL and MLB and why sportsbooks stand to benefit most, plus Medicare's PAMA cuts hitting Quest and LabCorp, Trump's packed UN meeting schedule, and Iran's offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Ben and Tom preview UN General Assembly week including the Greenland security pact signing, Trump's Iran decision, and pre-summit optimism on the Trump-Xi talks, plus Germany's political collapse and Amazon blocking Meta's Muse AI shopping agent.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom cover signs the Strait of Hormuz is opening back up as LNG tankers get through, plus the Bank of Japan's 1.25% rate hike, Nvidia's guide-up on chip demand, and Warren Buffett handing over the Berkshire chairmanship.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Ben and Tom break down Kevin Warsh's hawkish 25bps hike in a unanimous 12-0 vote, Lennar's Q3 miss and housing warning, plus commentary from JB Hunt, Goldman Sachs, and Boeing.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom cover Mark Zuckerberg's pushback against Anthropic on AI self-policing, today's Fed decision preview, OpenAI's potential $1.2T funding round, and Saudi Arabia's post-pipeline oil workarounds.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom cover Jensen Huang's All-in Podcast appearance blasting the AI doomers, Trump's surprise call-in defending AI, Obama's push for AI policy debate, plus Corning's $2B stock sale and Bank of America's guidance cut.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Ben and Tom break down Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's call to slow the pace of AI development, the endorsements from Elon Musk, Sam Altman, and Mark Zuckerberg, and the resulting selloff across AI chip, cloud, and infrastructure stocks.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom cover the CPI print, diesel hitting a record $6/gallon, Kevin Warsh's potential surprise double cut, Middle East shipping tensions, and France's debt cancellation debate.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom cover Apple's $2K foldable iPhone Duo launch and Quest Diagnostics health-app tie-up, plus Bessent's $6B bond buyback, the ECB rate hike, and Trump's proposed $5K dividend.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom break down Scott Bessent's bond buyback program going live, plus today's Apple event, Sunbelt earnings, and industry conference readouts from Smithfield and UHS.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew and Ben unpack Bessent's $40 oil call against crude at $94, Canada's new 50% tariffs, the Fannie-Freddie housing ads, and Germany's AfD election shock.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom unpack August's 162K jobs blowout versus a 55K forecast, plus Lululemon's 19% plunge, Adobe's new CEO, and Tesla's Cybercab flop.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom break down Broadcom's 3% dip and use a New York City delivery analogy to finally explain the difference between CPUs, GPUs, and XPUs, plus updates on Iran, Russia, and Snowflake's AI-driven earnings beat.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom debate whether markets are facing real chaos or just noise as oil jumps back to $90 on Iran tensions, ISM manufacturing cools, and midterm uncertainty builds, plus Elon Musk's G20 remarks on AI and power constraints.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosures

Andrew, Ben, and Tom break down Nvidia's $35 billion Lambda/Anthropic cloud deal and new MediaTek partnership that squeezes Broadcom and Marvell, plus Bessent's latest comments on bonds and inflation.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom dig into Bessent's scorched-earth letter to Elizabeth Warren, Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech and softer-than-expected BLS jobs revision, plus France's growing sovereign debt problems.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss Venezuela's potential OPEC exit as the US nears a deal for a stake in 17+ Venezuelan oil fields holding 90 billion barrels of reserves, possibly via a 100-year leaseJoin our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom break down Nvidia's blowout revenue forecast and reaction from Okta, CrowdStrike, and Salesforce, plus Meta's $17.1 billion settlement over teen safety and new usage restrictions.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom dig into LeBron James' mysterious $300 million loan against future earnings, plus Intuit's guidance reset, Zoom's soft outlook, and oil sliding as Iran and Oman signal reopening the Strait of Hormuz.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss Dick's Sporting Goods and Foot Locker slashing full-year guidance as footwear demand deteriorates, plus Meta's new $199/month consumer AI agent Hatch and the growing IPO pipeline led by Oura and Dunkin.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom preview Bessent's 1pm press conference declaring economic war on Iran, break down the collapsed US-Canada tariff deal and the resulting 50% tariff on $20B of goods, and discuss Nvidia's coming 15% server price hikes tied to memory costs.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss Ross Stores surging 8% after raising full-year guidance on strong customer traffic with third-quarter comps now expected at 6-7%, Trump announcing a deal to import 300,000 metric tons of quota-free ground beef priced 25% below current market prices as the US works to rebuild its cattle herd, oil tankers reportedly waiting up to 30 days to load at Venezuelan ports amid aging infrastructure even as interest in Venezuelan crude grows, and Treasury Secretary Bessent's continued bond buybacks that the hosts argue are effectively reducing the national debt by repurchasing previously issued bonds at a steep discount.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Ben and Tom discuss Scott Bessent's expanding influence across the administration as the Treasury doubles the maximum size of its long-bond buyback operations from $2 billion to at least $4 billion effective September 9, a move Tom explains functions as the reverse of quantitative easing since it uses already-borrowed cash to repurchase bonds now trading below where they were issued, Trump announcing unprecedented economic warfare against Iran in remarks that echo language Bessent used a week earlier, Walmart falling 6% as tariff refunds get redirected into price investments and underlying margins soften even as headline results beat, and John Deere rising 2% on construction strength while Big Ag remains pressured by financing, fuel, and fertilizer costs.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Ben and Tom discuss OpenAI's second-quarter revenue growing just 18% quarter-over-quarter to $6.7 billion compared to Anthropic's 143% growth, with OpenAI's operating loss widening to $12.3 billion even as Anthropic turned a small profit, Analog Devices guiding to another strong quarter with data center demand accelerating alongside industrial and auto strength, Home Depot continuing to outexecute Lowe's while Target raised guidance on improving traffic, Estee Lauder rising 8% on strong fragrance and skincare growth, and rising Middle East tensions as Iran reportedly considers targeting US military sites in Europe and the UAE cuts economic ties with Tehran after a missile launch toward its territory.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss Meta heading to trial as Kentucky, Colorado, California, and New Jersey allege the platform encourages compulsive use by young people while a broader group of 29 states accuses it of illegally collecting data on children under 13, with potential penalties Meta claims could reach $1.4 trillion though plaintiffs argue the real exposure is closer to $193 billion, Home Depot beating same-store sales expectations despite high financing costs still weighing on large home renovation projects, rising unfilled orders in the Empire State Manufacturing Survey pointing to leaner just-in-time inventory strategies as elevated rates make carrying stock more expensive, and continued stalemate in the Middle East as Iran presses for more control over the Strait of Hormuz, Israel keeps striking in Lebanon, and Gaza ceasefire talks remain stuck.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss leaked Anthropic second-quarter results showing revenue of $11.5 billion, up 1300% year-over-year and 143% quarter-over-quarter with an annualized run rate crossing $47 billion in May compared to OpenAI's roughly $40 billion at the same point, SpaceX's AI division contributing $2.6 billion in the quarter while posting positive adjusted EBITDA despite an adjusted operating loss, Chinese memory chipmaker CXMT surpassing Tencent to become China's most valuable company with a market cap over $500 billion as capital increasingly shifts from internet platforms to hardware, and Goldman Sachs pushing back on market pricing that it views as too hawkish on the odds of a Fed rate hike.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew and Tom discuss retail sales falling 0.6% month-over-month against an expected 0.1% gain, with the prior month also revised lower, driving the market-implied odds of a Fed rate hike this year down to 27% from near-certainty just two weeks ago, a weak 30-year Treasury auction that priced at 5.216%, the highest since 2001, with bonds continuing to decouple from cooling inflation and labor data, Trump announcing 100% tariffs on unmanned drones in a further push to decouple supply chains from China, and Cobb County's 5-2 vote greenlighting the Powers Ferry data center despite local opposition.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Ben and Tom discuss producer prices coming in cooler than expected for a second straight month with headline PPI flat month-over-month and core PPI easing to 4.2% year-over-year, Tom's argument that interest rates remain too high given the $40 trillion national debt after the 10-year auctioned at the highest rate since 2007 and the 30-year approaching its highest since 2001, a breakdown of how portfolio management fees and retail margins are skewing the services component of inflation data, Lenovo surging 20% as AI-related revenue climbs to 35% of total revenue, and Lambda's new $926 million amortizing loan priced at 300 basis points over SOFR as an early example of asset-backed financing structures emerging to fund AI infrastructure buildouts.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss CoreWeave soaring 17% after raising its 2026 CapEx guidance to $35-39 billion and pushing through roughly 25% price increases across its GPU pricing tiers, extending the useful life of its chips and signing an A100 contract through 2029 despite the SKU launching in 2020, Trump reportedly weighing changes to capital gains taxes including exemptions for homes worth $2 million or less and indexing gains to inflation, a discussion of whether eliminating the corporate income tax and capital gains tax in favor of ordinary income treatment would be simpler and more pro-growth, and a New York State Supreme Court judge temporarily blocking Mayor Mamdani's pied-a-terre tax rollout after finding the city improperly shifted the burden of proving primary-residence exemptions onto property owners, with arguments set for August 31.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Ben and Tom discuss the $500 billion private-capital AI infrastructure fund unveiled on CNBC by Jensen Huang, David Solomon, Larry Fink, Jonathan Gray, and the heads of Apollo, KKR, and Brookfield, Fink's comparison of financing GPU purchases to the early days of 1970s mortgage-backed securities and the underlying assumption that Nvidia chips won't depreciate, a breakdown of how asset-backed lending structures like aircraft bonds could apply to GPU financing, Tom's "Through the Looking Glass" thesis arguing markets remain captive to Bernanke-era assumptions that no longer hold in a supply-side, fiscal-dominance framework, tomorrow's CPI report and whether a firm print could test Warsh's rate stance, and NFIB Small Business Optimism hitting its highest level since last August with hiring plans at a four-year high even as actual employment remains soft.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss Berkshire Hathaway finally deploying its cash pile with the $6.8 billion purchase of Taylor Morrison Homes, a $10 billion new stake in Google now among its top five holdings, and $4.5 billion in buybacks, prompting the question of whether Buffett's years of caution are giving way to optimism, operating earnings up 24% and utilities profit up 27% even as BNSF and Geico continue to lag, TSMC's strong July sales supporting Q3 guidance for 46-48% revenue growth, a rough stretch for agriculture with Taylor Farms recalling jalapeño products in a salmonella outbreak following an earlier Cyclospora scare, and Treasury Wine Estates taking a $500 million charge and retreating from its US "masstige" strategy as global wine consumption hits its lowest level since the 1960sJoin our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss Atlassian soaring 30% after declaring "AI is the best thing that's ever happened" to the company with credit consumption doubling quarter-over-quarter, the ECB reportedly blindsided after Treasury sold euros rather than dollars in last week's yen intervention with senior officials calling it an unprecedented breach of monetary cooperation conventions, Microchip Technology rising 9% on accelerating data center demand and a long multi-year upcycle across aerospace, defense, industrial, and automotive, Natera jumping 15% on accelerated MRD testing, Elon Musk's new $16.8 billion Terafab chip facility in Texas backed by SpaceX and Tesla, SK Hynix's $38 billion capacity expansion to ease the memory shortage, reports that Nvidia is testing lower-memory versions of its next-gen Rubin Ultra GPU, upcoming changes to the PCE calculation expected to lower reported inflation by up to 30bps, today's jobs report, and new US intelligence suggesting Putin could test NATO's resolve with a limited incursion.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Ben and Tom discuss WSJ's Timiraos reporting that Trump has been calling Warsh repeatedly since he became Fed Chair — treating him as a trusted economic adviser on the Iran war and AI's economic impact — reigniting the Fed independence debate just as Bessent posted a viral tweet that lit up financial media, memory names WDC dropping 16% and SNDK falling 12% on decelerating quarterly growth despite still-strong annual revenue, ISM Services showing continued resilience with tariff and Middle East concerns fading and World Cup boosts persisting, Fastenal running slightly better than seasonal, Bank of America showing acceleration in lower-income segments, Costco's lowest ex-gas ticket since November potentially signaling disinflation, and Meta launching its Muse Code coding agent as a cheaper alternative to OpenAI and Anthropic.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss SpaceX falling 11% despite laying out an ambitious AI and Starlink roadmap including Grok 5 trained on internal SpaceX data by year-end, 1.4GW of current compute growing toward 10GW by end of 2027, deploying NVL72-designed data centers on the ground rather than in space, boots on the moon by 2028, and the goal of scaling launch cadence to one per day in 2027, SpaceX's decision to go exclusively with Nvidia sending AMD down 9% despite good results and CPU acceleration while Arista Networks jumped 14% on accelerating networking demand tied to Nvidia, CVS raising guidance and re-adding Zepbound to its formulary while publicly backing Eli Lilly with expanded GLP-1 support, Lilly beating on stronger-than-expected GLP-1 pricing, Disney rising 4% on parks strength and a TikTok short-form video partnership, Uber slipping despite record first-time user additions, and the JOLTS report showing softer job openings but likely not a signal Warsh will weigh.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss the industrial demand train continuing to roll with ISM Manufacturing accelerating to 55.6 and employment turning positive for the first time in 33 months, Caterpillar raising guidance and surging 10% on data center engine and turbine demand, Palantir soaring 15% with US commercial revenue up 149% and Karp declaring the "revolution for AI sovereignty" is underway, ON Semi up 8% on silicon carbide AI data center revenue growing 60%, Entegris beating estimates, TransDigm +3% on double-digit aerospace and defense growth, Cummins raising outlook on data center power gen, healthcare beats from MRK and PFE potentially masking channel stuffing, McDonald's +2% on better-than-feared comps with a new US president appointed, ADM +5% on the EPA biofuel mandate, and Snap +6% on the World Cup boost.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Ben and Tom discuss the rare coordinated currency intervention with the US joining Japan and possibly Korea to prop up the yen from 164 to 155, Japan spending at least $53 billion with the US chipping in over $1 billion — reportedly by selling euros rather than dollars in a strategic move to pressure Eurozone policy while supporting Japan, Bessent's incentive to keep Japan from dumping US Treasuries, Japan's plan to tap a COVID-era $60B/day USD swap facility, Iran signaling that Hormuz talks with Oman are entering the final stages after MBS urged Trump to prioritize dialogue, and the market reaction with oil down 5% to the high-$70s/low-$80s, the 10-year at 4.68%, and stocks up 0.5%.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Ben and Andrew discuss a plan for Hamas to disarm in Gaza, Apple and Amazon's earnings reports, and the blowup of the AI focused hedge fund Situational Awarness. Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss Warsh holding rates at 3.50-3.75% in a divided 6-3 vote with market-implied inflation expectations dropping meaningfully since the last meeting, the BOE also holding at 3.75% in a matching 6-3 split, the emerging Mag-7 split with Microsoft rising 8% on improved AI ROI, better throughput, and Copilot seat growth versus Meta down 9% on longer time-to-value and fuzzy CapEx guidance beyond 2027, the broader takeaway that Mag-7 is now focused on driving AI revenue and CapEx efficiency which is bearish for Nvidia near-term but long-term positive for the industry, a Russian missile leaving a 30-foot crater on the Poland-Ukraine border, Admiral Cooper preparing a 10-14 day punishing air campaign against Iran, and South Korea weighing a short-selling ban.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss today's Fed meeting with a 35% chance of a rate hike and expectations of a hawkish hold from Warsh amid potential mutiny from Waller, Bostic, and Lisa Cook, the emerging "semi-stagflation" theme with memory prices destroying demand and slamming chip stocks including Vertiv down 14%, Skyworks and Qorvo down double digits, and KLA down 8%, Procter & Gamble's remarkable flatline quarter with 0% volume, 0% pricing, and 0% organic growth, the strong and resilient consumer theme from Visa and Garmin, disruption stories like CoStar losing search traffic to AI, Trump vowing to hit Iran hard after intercepted attacks sending oil up 5%, and Zuckerberg's WSJ op-ed calling for democratized AI access.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Ben and Tom discuss the growing Fed infighting reported by WSJ's Nick Timiraos with Governor Chris Waller openly challenging new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at a dinner over his five new outside expert task forces on communications, inflation framework, asset holdings, data, and AI's impact on productivity, Warsh's notable silence on economic shocks despite the changed environment, the AIA Architecture Billings Index staying below 50 for 41 straight months in one of the longest downturns on record, oil falling as Iran hosts a diplomatic call with Saudi Arabia and Oman with WTI down to $80, chips getting smashed again on Korea weakness and China competition, and Trump's packed schedule meeting Zelensky and Netanyahu before Lindsey Graham's funeral.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss Nvidia agreeing to guarantee $250 billion in financing for OpenAI's $500 billion 10GW data center in southern Ohio developed by SoftBank Energy with Japan investing $33 billion in the natural gas power plant and the US government splitting power revenues, CXMT's 450% China market debut and Apple's interest in sourcing memory chips from them to avoid hostage-taking by SK Hynix, Samsung, and Micron, "TACO Monday" as Trump paused Iran strikes over the weekend to give diplomacy space amid concerns over Patriot interceptor stockpiles, and the market impact with oil down 7% to the mid-$80s, stocks up across the board, gold rising on Fed dovish odds, and a 33% chance of a rate hike this Wednesday.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Ben discusses SLB rising 5% after beating on broad-based international drilling activity with its Data Center Solutions business on track to exceed $1 billion annualized run rate this year and $2 billion by end of 2027, Intel's after-hours pop fading as CapEx ballooned to over $20 billion for 2026 with 2027 significantly higher despite strong Client and Data Center results, Tenet Healthcare soaring 16% on a massive EPS guidance raise from Medicaid supplemental payments in TX and CA, HCA falling 3% on payer mix headwinds from ACA coverage losses, and NextEra reiterating all guidance through 2035 as power demand accelerates.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss the Houthis targeting Saudi tankers Encelia and Layla in the Red Sea with Trump vowing to destroy a bridge or power plant for every Strait attack, a mixed AI earnings print with ServiceNow up 6% cementing itself as the AI control tower while Google fell 4% on heavy cloud spend without ad acceleration and TPU revenue pushed to 2027, STMicroelectronics dropping 14% on a big margin miss, strong railroad growth from CSX raising numbers with FCF up over 80%, Norfolk Southern posting solid revenue growth, the 30-year yield nearing 5.2%, the ECB holding rates at 2.25% while warning on energy inflation, Uber cutting 10% of customer service jobs, and Bessent moving to oust Fed Vice Chair Barr over SVB.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure