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In Episode 403 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Russia and U.S. national security experts Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Michael Kofman about the Ukraine peace talks between the United States and Russia, and whether they are part of a larger vision by the Trump administration to reset American grand strategy and the global order. Across the first and second hour of the podcast, Taylor, Kofman, and Kofinas discuss: Ongoing negotiations in Saudi Arabia between the United States and Russia aimed at ending the Ukraine War Russian factional politics The future of Europe and European security U.S.-China relations U.S., Russian, and Chinese nuclear doctrines The future of America's alliance structures The emergence of a new world order shaped by realpolitik, reciprocity, and a more transactional U.S. foreign policy Subscribe to our premium content—including our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports—by visiting HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you'd like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed today's episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by: Subscribing on Apple Podcasts, YouTube, Spotify, Stitcher, SoundCloud, CastBox, or via our RSS Feed Writing us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Joining our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io. Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 02/25/2025
In Saudi Arabia, U.S. officials met with Russian counterparts to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. Missing from these talks were Ukrainian and European representatives. Geoff Bennett analyzed the notable absences with Andrea Kendall-Taylor, a former senior intelligence officer focused on Russia and Eurasia, and Paul Saunders, executive director of the Center for the National Interest. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders
For the first time since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, ssenior Russian and American officials are meeting to discuss what comes next. The exclusion of Kyiv and European allies at this early stage is causing concern in the continent most impacted by this war, and fears are growing that President Trump, eager for a quick deal, will give away too much. Correspondent Nick Paton Walsh joins the show from Kyiv to discuss, followed by Andrea Kendall Taylor, Senior Fellow and Director of the Transatlantic Security Program. Also on today's show Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad Mustafa; human rights advocate and author Loretta Ross Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
In Saudi Arabia, U.S. officials met with Russian counterparts to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. Missing from these talks were Ukrainian and European representatives. Geoff Bennett analyzed the notable absences with Andrea Kendall-Taylor, a former senior intelligence officer focused on Russia and Eurasia, and Paul Saunders, executive director of the Center for the National Interest. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders
After nearly three years of war, the mood among many of Ukraine's allies has turned grim. Russian forces are making steady gains; Kyiv is running low on ammunition; and the return of Donald Trump to the White House has only added to anxieties about the conflict, casting doubt over not only the future of American military aid, but also the prospect of a negotiated settlement that is satisfactory to Ukraine. In an essay for Foreign Affairs, titled “Putin's Point of No Return,” Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Michael Kofman argue that the risks are even greater—that Putin's Russia will pose a threat to Western interests even if the current fighting in Ukraine ends. Kendall-Taylor is a former intelligence official and scholar of authoritarian regimes and Russian politics; Kofman is one of the most astute analysts of the war in Ukraine. They speak with editor Dan Kurtz-Phelan about the battlefield dynamics and political dimensions of the conflict—and about Vladimir Putin's enduring ambition to reshape the global order. You can find sources, transcripts, and more episodes of The Foreign Affairs Interview at https://www.foreignaffairs.com/podcasts/foreign-affairs-interview.
Max and Donatienne are joined by Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend, hosts of the Brussels Sprouts podcast at the Center for a New American Security, to discuss the implications of Trump's return to the White House for European security, Ukraine, and US-Europe relations. Learn more: Brussels Sprouts Russian Roulette | CSIS Podcasts
Jennifer Kavanagh, senior fellow and director of military analysis at Defense Priorities, and Andrea Kendall-Taylor, senior fellow and director of the Transatlantic Security Program at the Center for a New American Security, sit down with James M. Lindsay to discuss the nature and significance of growing cooperation between China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. This episode is the seventh in a special TPI series on the U.S. 2024 presidential election and is supported by the Carnegie Corporation of New York. Mentioned on the Episode Daniel R. DePetris and Jennifer Kavanaugh, “The ‘Axis of Evil' is Overhyped,” Foreign Policy Richard Fontaine and Andrea Kendall-Taylor, “The Axis of Upheaval: How America's Adversaries Are Uniting to Overturn the Global Order,” Foreign Affairs Walter Lippmann, U.S. Foreign Policy: Shield of the Republic The U.S. Election and Foreign Policy, CFR.org For an episode transcript and show notes, visit The President's Inbox at: https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/axis-autocracies-challenge-jennifer-kavanagh-and-andrea-kendall-taylor-election-2024
In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor joins us to discuss the evolving relationship between Russia and China. Dr. Kendall-Taylor discusses the broader geopolitical factors driving Russia's desire to strengthen ties with China. She analyzes Russia's increasing dependence on China in the context of its war in Ukraine, and recent reports that China may be providing lethal aid to Russia. Dr. Kendall-Taylor also explores the dynamics between Putin and Xi, highlighting how their close relationship shapes the strategic coordination between the two countries. Finally, Dr. Kendall-Taylor addresses potential challenges for Europe and the United States in responding to this growing alignment. Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor is a senior fellow and director of the Transatlantic Security Program at CNAS, specializing in national security issues, particularly regarding Russia, authoritarianism, and the transatlantic alliance. She previously served as deputy national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at the National Intelligence Council (NIC) in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (DNI). She also served as a senior analyst at the CIA, focusing on Russia, autocratic regimes, and democratic decline. Outside CNAS, she is a distinguished practitioner in grand strategy at Yale's Jackson School, and an adjunct professor at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service. Her work has appeared in numerous prominent journals including Journal of Peace Research, Democratization, Journal of Democracy, Foreign Affairs, The Washington Post, The Washington Quarterly, and Foreign Policy. She holds a BA from Princeton and a PhD from UCLA. Kendall-Taylor was also a Fulbright scholar in Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan.
On this week's episode, Max and Maria are joined by Andrea Kendall-Taylor to discuss Russian collaboration with China, Iran, and North Korea, and the key role that these partnerships are playing in sustaining Russia's invasion of Ukraine and post-2022 foreign policy strategy. "The Axis of Upheaval: How America's Adversaries Are Uniting to Overturn the Global Order," by Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Richard Fontaine (Foreign Affairs)
In this episode, host Tom Keatinge, CFS Director, is joined by Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Director of the Transatlantic Security Program at CNAS, to discuss her co-authored article ‘Axis of Upheaval'. They discuss the convergence of Russia, China, Iran and North Korea and the challenges posed across economic, military, political and technological dimensions. The conversation also delves into whether these deepening ties represent a coordinated grouping or a series of ‘marriages of convenience' in response to Russia's war in Ukraine, as well as what the West should do.
Managing Director and Partner at Beacon Global Strategies, Michael Allen, sits in for Michael Morell and Andy Makridis this week and checks in with the Center for a New American Security's Andrea Kendall-Taylor about the current state of Russia's war on Ukraine and how a possible President Kamala Harris could spearhead U.S. support for Ukraine. Andrea, a former CIA senior analyst and now Senior Fellow and Director of the Transatlantic Security Program at CNAS, discusses the current status of NATO support for Ukrainian membership and what the future could hold for the war.
As Ukraine pleads for weapons, Russia has again struck Kharkiv with missiles, killing at least seven civilians. Kharkiv and the surrounding region is now the centre of this war. President Volodymyr Zelensky blames Western hesitation for the country's weakness, restricting where and how Kyiv can use NATO weapons. According to the New York Times, a debate is raging in the White House over allowing Ukraine to fire US weapons into Russia and after a “sobering” trip, US Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, plans to change US policy. Earlier this month the United Kingdom gave Kyiv permission to target Russia with its weapons. Andrea Kendall-Taylor, senior fellow and director at the Center for a New American Security, joins Bianna Golodryga to discuss the potential ramifications of these decisions. Also on today's show: Susan Glasser, Staff Writer, The New Yorker; best-selling author Amor Towles; Meryl Streep & Tom Hanks (from the archives) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Democracies today are increasingly eroding at the hands of democratically-elected incumbents, who seize control by slowly chipping away at democratic institutions. Penn State political science professor Joseph Wright is and his coauthors explore this trend in their new book, The Origins of Elected Strongmen: How Personalist Parties Destroy Democracy from Within . Wright joins Michael Berkman, McCourtney Institute for Democracy director and professor of political science at Penn State, on the show this week to explore how the rise of personalist parties around the globe facilitating the decline of democracy. The book examines the role of personalist political parties, or parties that exist primarily to further their leader's career as opposed to promote a specific policy platform.The Origins of Elected Strongmen will be released June 11 from Oxford University Press. Wright's co-authors are Erica Frantz, associate professor of political science at Michigan State University, and Andrea Kendall-Taylor, senior fellow and director of the Transatlantic Security Program at the Center for a New American Security.
Ryan sat down with three friends to talk about the war in Ukraine through the lens of a new edited volume on the topic. Enjoy this conversation with Andrea Kendall-Taylor (former CIA), Hal Brands, and Alexander Bick (former National Security Council staff), which surfaces some important disagreements and debates about the war and international order. Oh, and also buy War in Ukraine: Conflict, Strategy, and the Return of a Fractured World (https://www.amazon.com/War-Ukraine-Conflict-Strategy-Fractured/dp/1421449846). Please note this was recorded shortly before the U.S. Congress passed the security supplemental, which included aid for Ukraine.
Original Air Date: February 24, 2022 In the late hours of Wednesday, Vladimir Putin began a war of choice in Ukraine. On Thursday, President Biden detailed a variety of harsh sanctions that the United States, our allies, and partners will place upon Russia for his actions. To make sense of these developments, David Rothkopf spoke with David Sanger of the New York Times, Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security, and Joe Cirincione of the Quincy Institute. What comes next for Ukraine? Is Putin a rational actor? What more can the United States do to push back? All these questions and more answered on this episode. Don't miss it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Original Air Date: February 24, 2022 In the late hours of Wednesday, Vladimir Putin began a war of choice in Ukraine. On Thursday, President Biden detailed a variety of harsh sanctions that the United States, our allies, and partners will place upon Russia for his actions. To make sense of these developments, David Rothkopf spoke with David Sanger of the New York Times, Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security, and Joe Cirincione of the Quincy Institute. What comes next for Ukraine? Is Putin a rational actor? What more can the United States do to push back? All these questions and more answered on this episode. Don't miss it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The frontlines of the war in Ukraine have hardly moved in the last few months, but could the course of the war change in 2024? Geoff Bennett discussed two perspectives with Charles Kupchan, who served on the National Security Council staff during the Obama and Clinton administrations, and Andrea Kendall-Taylor, a former senior intelligence official who focused on Russia and Eurasia. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders
The frontlines of the war in Ukraine have hardly moved in the last few months, but could the course of the war change in 2024? Geoff Bennett discussed two perspectives with Charles Kupchan, who served on the National Security Council staff during the Obama and Clinton administrations, and Andrea Kendall-Taylor, a former senior intelligence official who focused on Russia and Eurasia. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders
Andy talks with Andrea Kendall-Taylor, she's a former CIA analyst and is now a Senior Fellow and Director of the Transatlantic Security Program at CNAS. They discuss what's at stake in Russia's war on Ukraine, and what could be next.
Welcome to the first episode of a new weekly pod from DSR. Each week You're All Going to Die Radio will look at the big issue at where national security and technology meet, from nukes to AI. This week we consider the implications of the upcoming meeting between Kim Jong Un and Vladimir Putin...with former US Ambassador to Korea Mark Lippert, Russia expert Andrea Kendall-Taylor and co-hosts Jon Wolfsthal and David Rothkopf. Don't miss it. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Welcome to the first episode of a new weekly pod from DSR. Each week You're All Going to Die Radio will look at the big issue at where national security and technology meet, from nukes to AI. This week we consider the implications of the upcoming meeting between Kim Jong Un and Vladimir Putin...with former US Ambassador to Korea Mark Lippert, Russia expert Andrea Kendall-Taylor and co-hosts Jon Wolfsthal and David Rothkopf. Don't miss it. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In light of the shocking death of Yevgeny Prigozhin, today's From the Archive imagines a world without Vladimir Putin. Original air date: May 17, 2022 As the war continues in Ukraine, Putin is looking worse for the wear. David Rothkopf speaks with Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security, Ed Luce of the Financial Times, and Michael Weiss of New Lines Magazine. Does Vladimir Putin have cancer? What would happen if Putin left office? Is Turkey about to veto Finland and Sweden joining NATO? Find out on this informative and entertaining episode. Join us! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In light of the shocking death of Yevgeny Prigozhin, today's From the Archive imagines a world without Vladimir Putin. Original air date: May 17, 2022 As the war continues in Ukraine, Putin is looking worse for the wear. David Rothkopf speaks with Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security, Ed Luce of the Financial Times, and Michael Weiss of New Lines Magazine. Does Vladimir Putin have cancer? What would happen if Putin left office? Is Turkey about to veto Finland and Sweden joining NATO? Find out on this informative and entertaining episode. Join us! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
It's been a mixed summer for Ukraine. Kyiv's counteroffensive is progressing slowly, and the country was stymied in its bid to join NATO. But Russia has suffered military setbacks, and the West continues to offer Ukraine important security guarantees. Andrea Kendall-Taylor joins FP Live host Ravi Agrawal to discuss the latest in the war and assess where things might head next. Kendall-Taylor is the director of the Transatlantic Security Program at the Center for New American Security. Suggested reading: Simon Sebag Montefiore: Putin's Fear of Strong Generals Is as Old as Russia Itself Anastasia Edel: Inside Putin's Surreal Television Empire Jack Detsch: Wagner Mutiny Rattles the Kremlin's War in Ukraine Stephen M. Walt: Cluster Bombs and the Contradictions of Liberalism Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
An armed rebellion in Russia led by Yevgeny Prigozhin, leader of the private military company (PMC) Wagner, shocked the world and amounted to the most significant challenge to Putin's rule in over two decades. Although the revolt was short-lived, new questions about Putin's hold on power remain. Michèle Flournoy, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of Teneo's partner firm WestExec Advisors and Chair of the Center for a New American Security; Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Senior Advisor at WestExec Advisors and former Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Russia and Eurasia at the National Intelligence Council; Andrius Tursa, Central & Eastern Europe Advisor for Teneo, join our host Kevin Kajiwara for an important update on Russia's war against Ukraine, the weakening of Putin's grip on power and how a period of instability in Russia might impact Ukraine and the rest of the world
De kans is niet groot dat Poetin wordt afgezet in Rusland. Niet door de elite om hem heen. Niet door massaprotesten van het volk. En zou hij toch het veld moeten ruimen, of overlijden, dan wordt zijn plek hoogstwaarschijnlijk ingevuld door een nieuwe dictator. Deze inzichten zijn gebaseerd op historische cijfers. Ze komen uit The Treacherous Path to a Better Russia van Andrea Kendall-Taylor en Erica Frantz, in Foreign AffairsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Originally Aired: February 24, 2022 In the late hours of Wednesday, Vladimir Putin began a war of choice in Ukraine. On Thursday, President Biden detailed a variety of harsh sanctions that the United States, our allies, and partners will place upon Russia for his actions. To make sense of these developments, David Rothkopf spoke with David Sanger of the New York Times, Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security, and Joe Cirincione of the Quincy Institute. What comes next for Ukraine? Is Putin a rational actor? What more can the United States do to push back? All these questions and more answered on this episode. Don't miss it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Originally Aired: February 24, 2022 In the late hours of Wednesday, Vladimir Putin began a war of choice in Ukraine. On Thursday, President Biden detailed a variety of harsh sanctions that the United States, our allies, and partners will place upon Russia for his actions. To make sense of these developments, David Rothkopf spoke with David Sanger of the New York Times, Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security, and Joe Cirincione of the Quincy Institute. What comes next for Ukraine? Is Putin a rational actor? What more can the United States do to push back? All these questions and more answered on this episode. Don't miss it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In recent weeks, Turkey has been grabbing the headlines with a series of major moves. Just a few days ago, Turkish President Erdogan provoked anxiety in the U.S. and Europe by threatening to strike Athens with ballistic missiles, raising tensions with Greece. Meanwhile, Erdogan and Russian President Putin are reportedly discussing making Turkey a regional hub for Russian natural gas headed to Europe. All of this is occurring against the backdrop of Turkey's increasingly contentious position within NATO, including its delays in approving membership bids by Finland and Sweden. How might these developments in Turkish foreign policy impact European security and transatlantic relations? Asli Aydintasbas and Steven Cook join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to discuss Turkey's role on the international stage. -Asli Aydintasbas is a visiting fellow in the Center on the United States and Europe at the Brookings Institution. Prior to joining the foreign policy community, she had a long career in journalism, during which she focused on Turkey, its domestic evolution, and foreign policy in an age of regional reshuffling and geopolitical competition. -Steven Cook is the Eni Enrico Mattei senior fellow for Middle East and Africa studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. He is an expert on Arab and Turkish politics as well as U.S.-Middle East policy.
What were the key outcomes from the third meeting of the Trade and Technology Council? Tyson Barker and Frances Burwell join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Carisa Nietsche to discuss their top takeaways and what to look out for in the months ahead. Tyson Barker is the head of Technology and Global Affairs at the German Council on Foreign Relations. He previously worked at Aspen Germany where, as deputy executive director and fellow, he was responsible for the institute's digital and transatlantic programs. Frances G. Burwell is a distinguished fellow at the Atlantic Council and a senior director at McLarty Associates. Her work focuses on the European Union and US-EU relations as well as a range of transatlantic economic, political, and defense issues.
Earlier this week, French President Emmanuel Macron arrived in Washington for the first state visit of the Biden administration. This visit comes on the heels of many months of strong transatlantic cooperation in response to Russia's war against Ukraine. More recently, however, there have been signs of new strains on the transatlantic relationship, in particular with respect to trade issues. There have also been accusations that the United States is attempting to profit from the energy crisis by selling LNG at high prices to Europe. How might these ongoing tensions affect transatlantic cooperation going forward? Liana Fix, Mathieu Droin, and David Kleimann join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to discuss how Paris, Berlin, and Brussels view the status of transatlantic relations. ▪ Liana Fix is a fellow for Europe at the Council on Foreign Relations. She is a historian and political scientist, with expertise in German and European foreign and security policy, European security, transatlantic relations, Russia, and Eastern Europe. ▪ Mathieu Droin is a visiting fellow in the Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, where he focuses on transatlantic European security and defense. Prior to joining CSIS, Mathieu served as deputy head of the strategic affairs unit at the French Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs. ▪ David Kleimann is a visiting fellow at Bruegel, where he focuses on the climate and trade policy nexus as well as legal and diplomatic challenges arising from transatlantic and international climate and trade cooperation. David is an expert on trade issues with 15 years of experience in law, policy, and institutions governing EU and international trade.
Russia has suffered major setbacks on the battlefield in Ukraine, its economy is battered by Western sanctions, and its diplomatic clout has suffered due to President Vladimir Putin's illegal invasion. It is fair to say that Russia is militarily, economically, and geopolitically weaker than it was a year ago—and policymakers in Washington and Europe may be tempted to downgrade the Russian threat as a result. But dismissing Russia would be a mistake, argue Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Michael Kofman in the November/December issue of Foreign Affairs. “Russian power and influence may be diminished, but that does not mean Russia will become dramatically less threatening,” they write. “Instead, some aspects of the threat are likely to worsen.” In this episode, Kendall-Taylor and Kofman speak with Deputy Editor Kate Brannen as part of Foreign Affairs' event series. We discuss the state of Russian power, Ukraine's recent battlefield wins, and how this war might end. You can find transcripts and more episodes of “The Foreign Affairs Interview” at https://www.foreignaffairs.com/podcasts/foreign-affairs-interview.
Links1. “Russia in the Arctic: Gauging How Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Will Alter Regional Dynamics,”by Andrea Kendall-Taylor et al., Center for New American Security, September 15, 2022.2. “Russia Assumes Arctic Council Chairmanship amid Regional Tensions,” by Mary Chesnut and Anya Fink, Center for Naval Analyses, May 26, 2021.3. “The Arctic Ice between Russia and The US Is Melting. What's at Stake at The Top of The World?”, by Sherryn Groch, The Age, October 21, 2022.
Last week, Kiev reached an important milestone when Russian troops withdrew from the city of Kherson. This retreat has both strategic and symbolic significance, given that Kherson was the only regional capital that Moscow had managed to take since beginning its invasion in February. It also further adds to Ukraine's momentum over the past few months, during which Kiev has liberated nearly half of the territory originally occupied by Russia. Nevertheless, serious questions remain about the months ahead.Where can Ukraine go from here? How might the U.S. and Europe support Ukraine to end the war sooner rather than later? What are the new risks Kiev may face in the coming months? Michael Kofman and Mick Ryan join Andrea Kendall-Taylor to discuss the implications of the Russian withdrawal from Kherson, and what it means for Ukraine going forward. Michael Kofman is the Research Program Director in the Russia Studies Program at CNA as well as an Adjunct Senior Fellow at CNAS. His research focuses on Russia and the former Soviet Union, specializing in Russian armed forces, military thought, capabilities, and strategy. Mick Ryan is an Adjunct Fellow with the Australia Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. He is also a retired major general in the Australian army as well as the author of "War Transformed: The Future of 21st Century Great Power Competition and Conflict."
On Tuesday, November 8th, voters went to the polls in the United States for the first federal elections since President Joe Biden took office. With control of both chambers of the U.S. Congress hanging in the balance, the results of these midterm elections have been highly anticipated not only in the United States but around the world. Although full results are not yet in, it looks likely that Democrats will lose their majority in the House of Representatives, while the Senate remains up for grabs. The shift in Congressional power will raise questions about the Biden Administration's future ability to execute on its foreign policy agenda. Most significantly, it is unclear to what extent Congress will continue to provide support for Ukraine amidst considerable isolationist sentiment in the Republican party. Other issues of particular concern to allies in Europe include U.S. efforts to tackle climate change, persistent trade tensions, the future U.S. policy toward China, and more. Steve Erlanger and Doug Kriner join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Carisa Nietsche to unpack what the election results could mean for the future of the transatlantic relationship and international relations more broadly. Steve Erlanger is the chief diplomatic correspondent in Europe for The New York Times. A two-time Pulitzer Prize recipient, he has previously served as the Times' bureau chief in seven countries, including posts in London, Paris, Moscow, and Berlin. Doug Kriner is The Clinton Rossiter Professor in American Institutions in the Department of Government at Cornell University. His research and teaching interests focus on American political institutions and the separation of powers, as well as on US foreign policy.
With the conclusion of the Chinese Communist Party's 20th National Party Congress last week, Xi Jinping has now secured a precedent-breaking third term as general secretary. The Congress was also notable for Xi's moves to replace the Politburo Standing Committee with a slate of his most committed loyalists, cementing his authoritarian grasp on power. Against the backdrop of these events, E.U. leaders met last week in Brussels to discuss their approach to Beijing, raising concerns over Europe's continued dependence on China for technology and raw materials. How has the war in Ukraine impacted European attitudes and policies toward China? Will German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's planned visit to the PRC this week pose a risk to future European cohesion on China? Bonnie Glaser and Dave Shullman join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to unpack the party congress and what a third term for Xi means for Europe. Bonnie Glaser is director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States. She was previously senior adviser for Asia and the director of the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, while also serving as a nonresident fellow with the Lowy Institute in Sydney, Australia, and a senior associate with the Pacific Forum. Dave Shullman is senior director of the Global China Hub at the Atlantic Council, where he leads the council's work on China. He has served as one of the US Government's top experts on East Asia, most recently as Deputy National Intelligence Officer for East Asia on the National Intelligence Council, where he led the IC's strategic analysis on East Asia.
The war in Ukraine may have fallen out of the headlines but it continues to grind on. David speaks with Rosa Brooks of Georgetown University, Kori Schake of the American Enterprise Institute, Andrew Weiss of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security about the latest updates from Ukraine and what could come next. How bad was the Progressive Caucus letter on Ukraine? Will someone use a dirty bomb in Ukraine? What more assistance do they need? Find out the answers to these and other pressing questions during this timely episode. Join us! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The war in Ukraine may have fallen out of the headlines but it continues to grind on. David speaks with Rosa Brooks of Georgetown University, Kori Schake of the American Enterprise Institute, Andrew Weiss of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security about the latest updates from Ukraine and what could come next. How bad was the Progressive Caucus letter on Ukraine? Will someone use a dirty bomb in Ukraine? What more assistance do they need? Find out the answers to these and other pressing questions during this timely episode. Join us! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
As the war in Ukraine continues into its tenth month, it appears to have entered its most dangerous phase yet. During the past week, Russia's attacks on Ukrainian civilians have intensified, in apparent retaliation for last weekend's destruction of the Kerch Strait Bridge. Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin's threats to use nuclear weapons following the annexation of four Ukrainian regions in the east and south have raised alarms across the world, even causing U.S. President Joe Biden to make warnings about the risks of “nuclear Armageddon.” Finally, the Ukrainian counteroffensive continues to make significant progress in reclaiming occupied territory, though it remains unclear to what extent Russia's partial military mobilization may be able to turn back the tide. Ambassadors Bill Taylor and John Tefft join Andrea Kendall-Taylor to discuss the most recent developments in this increasingly dangerous phase of the war, and how Putin might maneuver going forward. Bill Taylor is the Vice President for Russia and Eurasia at the United States Institute of Peace. He served as U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine from 2006 to 2009. John Tefft is a retired U.S. diplomat with more than 45 years of experience in the foreign service. He has previously served as U.S. Ambassador to Russia, Ukraine, Georgia, and Lithuania.
Russian missiles and drones rained down on cities across Ukraine for the second day. The renewed Russian campaign largely targeted civilians and drew condemnation from the G7 nations led by the U.S. Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security and Amy Knight joined Nick Schifrin to discuss the escalation. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders
Russian missiles and drones rained down on cities across Ukraine for the second day. The renewed Russian campaign largely targeted civilians and drew condemnation from the G7 nations led by the U.S. Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security and Amy Knight joined Nick Schifrin to discuss the escalation. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders
President Biden says Vladimir Putin is not joking about his threats to use nuclear weapons to get out of the war in the Ukraine. As tensions escalate worldwide, America continues to supply the Ukrainian army with the equipment it needs to fight Russia. Andy speaks with Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Andrew Weiss, experts on Putin and Russian intelligence, about what it would take for Putin to follow through on that threat. They discuss what the war looks like now, how it's impacting oil prices heading into winter, and the calculated moves President Biden must make to ensure the war doesn't spiral into something much more dangerous and widespread. Keep up with Andy on Twitter @ASlavitt. Follow Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Andrew Weiss on Twitter @AKendallTaylor and @andrewsweiss. Joining Lemonada Premium is a great way to support our show and get bonus content. Subscribe today at bit.ly/lemonadapremium. Support the show by checking out our sponsors! CVS Health helps people navigate the healthcare system and their personal healthcare by improving access, lowering costs and being a trusted partner for every meaningful moment of health. At CVS Health, healthier happens together. Learn more at cvshealth.com. Click this link for a list of current sponsors and discount codes for this show and all Lemonada shows: https://lemonadamedia.com/sponsors/ Check out these resources from today's episode: Pre-order Andrew's graphic novel, “Accidental Czar: The Life and Lies of Vladimir Putin”: https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250760753/accidentalczar Find vaccines, masks, testing, treatments, and other resources in your community: https://www.covid.gov/ Order Andy's book, “Preventable: The Inside Story of How Leadership Failures, Politics, and Selfishness Doomed the U.S. Coronavirus Response”: https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250770165 Stay up to date with us on Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram at @LemonadaMedia. For additional resources, information, and a transcript of the episode, visit lemonadamedia.com/show/inthebubble.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Nine years after the launch of the Belt and Road Initiative, China's flagship global infrastructure investment program is at a critical juncture. While many countries were initially eager to sign up for the initiative, the BRI has recently lost some of its luster in the face of mounting obstacles including delays, corruption, and heavy debt burdens associated with its projects. Over the past year, CNAS researchers have been thinking through how the BRI might develop in the two key regions of Europe and the Indo-Pacific, forecasting different scenarios for its evolution along with their respective consequences. This research recently culminated in the launch of a report entitled “Competitive Connectivity: Crafting Transatlantic Responses to the Belt and Road Initiative,” which outlines how the United States and Europe can work together to compete against the BRI. The authors of the report join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to discuss how the BRI stands up nearly a decade after its launch, and how Europe and the U.S. might push against it going forward. Lisa Curtis is a Senior Fellow and Director of the Indo-Pacific Security Program at CNAS. Jake Stokes is a Fellow with the Indo-Pacific Security Program at CNAS. Josh Fitt is an Associate Fellow with the Indo-Pacific Security Program at CNAS. Carisa Nietsche is an Associate Fellow with the Transatlantic Security Program at CNAS. Nicholas Lokker is a Research Assistant with the Transatlantic Security Program at CNAS.
When Russia invaded Ukraine in February, the question most analysts were asking was not whether Russia would win. It was how fast. On almost every quantifiable metric from military strength to economic size Russia has decisive advantages over Ukraine. A swift Russian victory appeared inevitable.Of course, that swift victory didn't happen. And in recent weeks, the direction of the war has begun to tilt in Ukraine's direction. On Sept. 6, the Ukrainian military launched a counteroffensive near Kharkiv in northern Ukraine and regained 3,400 square miles of territory in a week — more territory than Russia had captured in the last five months. Analysts are now saying it's unlikely that Vladimir Putin can accomplish one of his chief aims: annexing the Donbas by force.Andrea Kendall-Taylor is the director of the trans-Atlantic security program at the Center for a New American Security. She's a former intelligence officer who, from 2015 to 2018, led strategic analysis on Russia at the National Intelligence Council. When we spoke, she was recently back from a trip to Ukraine. And she believes that the long-term trends favor a Ukrainian victory.In this conversation, Kendall-Taylor helps me understand this watershed moment in the war. We discuss why Ukraine's recent counteroffensive was so significant; how it and other recent developments have hampered Russian morale, manpower and weapons supply; whether sanctions are really influencing Russia's strategy, and how sanctions might get worse; how this conflict is profoundly changing Europe; whether this recent turn of events signals a possible Ukrainian victory; why “personalist dictators” like Putin can be so dangerous when backed into a corner; how likely it is that we'll see stalemate or settlement negotiations in the near future; how Kendall-Taylor rates the likelihood of various outcomes; what we should expect in the next phase of the war and more.Mentioned:“Ukraine Holds the Future” by Timothy Snyder“The Russia-Ukraine War at Six Months” by Adam ToozeRecommendations:Stalin: Paradoxes of Power, 1878-1928 by Stephen KotkinTwitter Accounts to Follow for Russia-Ukraine War Analysis:Michael KofmanRob LeeMick RyanThe Institute for the Study of WarThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.“The Ezra Klein Show” is produced by Annie Galvin and Rogé Karma. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris, Mary Marge Locker and Kate Sinclair. Original music by Isaac Jones. Mixing by Sonia Herrero, Isaac Jones and Carole Sabouraud. Audience strategy by Shannon Busta. Special thanks to Kristin Lin, Kristina Samulewski and Emma Ashford.
How have recent Ukrainian counteroffensives changed the trajectory of the war? Will Putin's announcement of Russian mobilization increase the risk of potential escalation? After a highly successful Ukrainian counteroffensive in the North, Putin has now sought to turn the tables with two important developments. First, Kremlin proxies in four Ukrainian regions have announced plans for sham referenda on annexation to Russia. Additionally, Putin has announced a “partial” mobilization in which he plans to bring 300,000 reservists into Ukraine. Mick Ryan and Robert Lee join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to discuss the most recent developments shaping the war in both Ukraine and Russia. Mick Ryan is an Adjunct Fellow with the Australia Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. He is also a retired major general in the Australian army as well as the author of War Transformed: The Future of 21st Century Great Power Competition and Conflict. Rob Lee is a Senior Fellow in the Foreign Policy Research Institute's Eurasia Program and a former Marine infantry officer. He is currently completing his PhD on Russian defense policy at King's College London's War Studies Department.
What do the war in Ukraine and prospects of E.U. enlargement mean for the Balkans? Damir Marusic and Majda Ruge join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Nick Lokker to discuss how the shifting dynamics across the continent could impact the region's politics. Damir Marusic is a resident senior fellow with the Atlantic Council's Europe Center. He works principally on the Council's Balkans Forward Initiative, an effort working to foster a democratic, secure, and prosperous Western Balkans firmly integrated into the transatlantic community. Majda Ruge is a senior policy fellow with the Wider Europe program at the European Council on Foreign Relations, based in Berlin. Before joining ECFR, she spent three years as a fellow at the Foreign Policy Institute/SAIS at Johns Hopkins University.
During recent weeks and months, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has repeatedly been in the spotlight, drawing both praise and criticism from observers in Germany and abroad. On the one hand, he has received positive attention for his efforts to promote an ambitious agenda that would transform both Germany and the European Union, attempting to meet the pivotal current moment sparked by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. On the other hand, Scholz has encountered significant challenges in executing on this political agenda, facing a worsening energy crisis, a fractious coalition government, and a series of personal scandals. Jana Puglierin and Sam Denney join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to discuss Scholz's recent speech in Prague, and the shifting dynamics within the European Union that could impact the future of the war in Ukraine. Jana Puglierin is the head of the Berlin office and a Senior Policy Fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations. Her work focuses on German and European foreign, security, and defense policy, as well as Germany's role in Europe and transatlantic relations. Sam Denney is a German Chancellor Fellow of the Alexander von Humboldt Stiftung. He specializes in U.S. foreign policy, transatlantic relations, German domestic and foreign policy, and threats to democracy in Europe.
How does the crisis provoked by Nancy Pelosi's recent trip to Taiwan illustrate the broader state of U.S.-China relations?Jude Blanchette and Zack Cooper join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to discuss the likely trajectory of the crisis and its broader implications for the transatlantic community. Jude Blanchette holds the Freeman Chair in China Studies at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Previously, he was engagement director at The Conference Board's China Center for Economics and Business in Beijing, where he researched China's political environment with a focus on the workings of the Communist Party of China and its impact on foreign companies and investors. Zack Cooper is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where he studies U.S. strategy in Asia, including alliance dynamics and U.S.-China competition. He also teaches at Princeton University, co-directs the Alliance for Securing Democracy, and cohosts the “Net Assessment” podcast.
Has the war in Ukraine reached a critical turning point? Mike Kofman and Jeff Edmonds join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to discuss the evolution of the military situation and what we might expect from a forthcoming Ukrainian counteroffensive. Mike Kofman is the Research Program Director in the Russia Studies Program at CNA as well as an Adjunct Senior Fellow at CNAS. His research focuses on Russia and the former Soviet Union, specializing in Russian armed forces, military thought, capabilities, and strategy. Jeff Edmonds is a Research Scientist with CNA's Russia Studies Program and an Adjunct Senior Fellow at CNAS. His research focuses on the Russian military, foreign policy, Russian threat perceptions, and Russian information and cyber operations.
As the war continues in Ukraine, Putin is looking worse for the wear. David Rothkopf speaks with Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security, Ed Luce of the Financial Times, and Michael Weiss of New Lines Magazine. Does Vladimir Putin have cancer? What would happen if Putin left office? Is Turkey about to veto Finland and Sweden joining NATO? Find out on this informative and entertaining episode. Join us!Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/deepstateradio. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.